1970-71 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Inter Milan

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inter Milan

10.44 points above expected

46 points · 35.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lazio Roma

5.22 points below expected

22 points · 27.22 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Inter Milan	30	19	8	3	46	50	26	+24	35.6	+10.44
2	AC Milan	30	15	12	3	42	54	26	+28	37.1	+4.92
3	Napoli	30	15	9	6	39	33	19	+14	32.8	+6.25
4	Juventus	30	11	13	6	35	41	30	+11	33.2	+1.77
5	Bologna	30	10	14	6	34	30	24	+6	30.4	+3.63
6	Roma	30	7	18	5	32	32	25	+7	29.0	+3.02
7	Cagliari	30	8	14	8	30	33	35	-2	33.9	-3.87
8	Torino	30	6	14	10	26	27	30	-3	28.9	-2.93
9	Varese	30	5	16	9	26	29	33	-4	26.4	-0.43
10	Lanerossi Vicenza	30	6	14	10	26	23	31	-8	27.8	-1.83
11	Hellas Verona	30	7	12	11	26	23	35	-12	28.4	-2.38
12	Sampdoria	30	6	13	11	25	30	34	-4	27.1	-2.10
13	Fiorentina	30	3	19	8	25	26	32	-6	29.9	-4.95
14	Foggia	30	6	13	11	25	28	43	-15	27.8	-2.78
15	Lazio Roma	30	5	12	13	22	28	43	-15	27.2	-5.22
16	Catania	30	5	11	14	21	18	39	-21	24.5	-3.54

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Inter Milan	1889	46	35.56	+10.44	100.0%	26	28	33	36	38	41	45
AC Milan	1885	42	37.08	+4.92	92.0%	26	30	35	37	40	43	45
Napoli	1814	39	32.75	+6.25	97.0%	24	27	30	33	35	38	42
Juventus	1809	35	33.23	+1.77	69.0%	24	27	30	33	36	39	42
Cagliari	1777	30	33.87	-3.87	18.0%	24	28	31	34	37	39	43
Bologna	1766	34	30.37	+3.63	86.0%	20	23	27	31	33	37	41
Roma	1753	32	28.98	+3.02	83.0%	21	22	27	29	32	35	39
Fiorentina	1745	25	29.95	-4.95	13.0%	21	23	27	30	33	36	38
Torino	1719	26	28.93	-2.93	27.0%	18	23	26	29	31	34	39
Lanerossi Vicenza	1718	26	27.83	-1.83	37.0%	18	21	25	28	31	34	38
Sampdoria	1705	25	27.10	-2.10	29.0%	16	20	25	27	30	33	37
Varese	1700	26	26.43	-0.43	48.0%	17	19	23	27	29	32	39
Hellas Verona	1691	26	28.38	-2.38	33.0%	18	21	26	28	31	34	39
Lazio Roma	1691	22	27.22	-5.22	15.0%	19	21	24	27	30	35	41
Foggia	1673	25	27.78	-2.78	27.0%	21	23	25	28	30	34	37
Catania	1647	21	24.54	-3.54	21.0%	14	19	22	24	27	30	36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	BOL	CAG	CAT	FIO	FOG	HV	IM	JUV	LV	LR	NAP	ROM	SAM	TOR	VAR
AC Milan	—	1-0-1 3.27	2-0-0 2.98	1-1-0 4.07	2-0-0 3.15	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.63	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.89	1-1-0 3.63	1-1-0 3.45	1-1-0 2.96	0-2-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.53	0-1-1 3.73
Bologna	1-0-1 1.95	—	0-1-1 2.39	1-1-0 3.21	1-1-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.86	0-2-0 3.03	0-1-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.36	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.41	0-2-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.01
Cagliari	0-0-2 2.27	1-1-0 2.83	—	0-2-0 3.66	2-0-0 2.93	0-2-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.13	1-1-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.68	0-2-0 3.31	2-0-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 3.14	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 3.12	0-1-1 3.39
Catania	0-1-1 1.38	0-1-1 2.00	0-2-0 1.66	—	0-2-0 2.06	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.35	0-0-2 1.62	0-0-2 1.98	0-2-0 2.30	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 1.68	0-0-2 2.23	0-0-2 2.39	1-1-0 2.12	1-1-0 2.43
Fiorentina	0-0-2 2.14	0-1-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.27	0-2-0 3.15	—	1-1-0 2.69	0-2-0 2.86	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.79	0-2-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.80	0-2-0 2.75	0-2-0 2.72	0-2-0 2.93
Foggia	0-1-1 2.01	1-1-0 2.34	0-2-0 2.07	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.44	—	1-1-0 2.58	0-1-1 1.84	0-1-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.46	0-1-1 2.66
Hellas Verona	0-1-1 1.69	0-2-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.05	1-1-0 2.81	0-2-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.58	—	0-0-2 2.04	0-1-1 2.14	1-1-0 2.58	1-1-0 2.59	0-0-2 2.04	1-1-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.75
Inter Milan	1-0-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.68	2-0-0 3.69	1-1-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.51	2-0-0 3.21	—	1-1-0 2.84	2-0-0 3.36	1-1-0 3.64	1-0-1 2.80	0-2-0 3.27	2-0-0 3.44	2-0-0 3.14	2-0-0 3.55
Juventus	0-1-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.81	1-1-0 2.42	2-0-0 3.27	1-1-0 2.85	1-1-0 3.17	1-1-0 3.06	0-1-1 2.28	—	1-1-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 3.16	0-1-1 3.00	0-2-0 3.20
Lanerossi Vicenza	0-1-1 1.68	0-1-1 2.40	0-2-0 1.89	0-2-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.40	1-1-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 1.94	0-1-1 2.07	—	2-0-0 2.59	0-0-2 2.17	0-1-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.61	1-1-0 2.45	1-1-0 2.63
Lazio Roma	0-1-1 1.77	0-1-1 2.29	0-0-2 2.09	1-0-1 2.79	0-2-0 2.36	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.58	0-1-1 1.73	0-1-1 2.06	0-0-2 2.54	—	0-1-1 2.11	0-2-0 2.47	2-0-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.38	0-1-1 2.67
Napoli	0-1-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.47	1-0-1 3.61	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.91	2-0-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.57	2-0-0 3.02	1-1-0 3.12	—	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 3.07
Roma	0-2-0 1.76	0-2-0 2.42	1-1-0 2.04	2-0-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.82	0-2-0 1.96	0-1-1 2.20	1-1-0 2.57	0-2-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.26	—	0-2-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.73
Sampdoria	0-1-1 1.70	0-1-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.03	2-0-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.41	1-1-0 2.53	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 1.89	1-0-1 2.07	0-1-1 2.55	0-0-2 2.64	0-1-1 2.22	0-2-0 2.47	—	0-2-0 2.49	1-1-0 2.65
Torino	0-1-1 1.80	1-0-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.13	0-1-1 3.09	0-2-0 2.41	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.04	1-1-0 2.21	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.21	1-1-0 2.48	0-2-0 2.67	—	1-1-0 2.84
Varese	1-1-0 1.65	0-1-1 2.20	1-1-0 1.89	0-1-1 2.74	0-2-0 2.23	1-1-0 2.52	1-1-0 2.38	0-0-2 1.72	0-2-0 2.04	0-1-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 2.10	0-1-1 2.41	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.34	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.92%	8.75%	4.58%	1.88%	0.62%	0.62%	34.38%
1	8.75%	20.42%	5.83%	3.12%	0.83%	—	38.96%
2	4.58%	5.83%	5.42%	1.04%	0.21%	0.42%	17.50%
3	1.88%	3.12%	1.04%	0.42%	—	—	6.46%
4	0.62%	0.83%	0.21%	—	—	—	1.67%
5+	0.62%	—	0.42%	—	—	—	1.04%
Total	34.38%	38.96%	17.50%	6.46%	1.67%	1.04%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.05
Mean allowed	1.05
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.133
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
1	10.00%	33.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	46.67%
2	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	50.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.80
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.029
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	23.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.276
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
1	—	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	53.33%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.102
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	6.67%	53.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Catania — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.60
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	0.77
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.107
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	6.67%	30.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	—	—	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	26.67%	—	—	3.33%	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.78
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.463
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	36.67%
1	10.00%	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	26.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Foggia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.137
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
1	16.67%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	53.33%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.078
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	16.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
3	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	43.33%	33.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.022
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	50.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	0.79
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.099
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	50.00%
2	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	43.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Lanerossi Vicenza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.295
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	20.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	40.00%	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.484
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	26.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	50.00%
2	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	60.00%	23.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	0.63
StdDev scored	0.84
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.123
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	33.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	50.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	43.33%	36.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.115
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	—	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	23.33%	20.00%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.192
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	30.00%	—	—	—	—	36.67%
2	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	60.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	0.79
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.165
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	—	20.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	40.00%	10.00%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Varese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.223
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Inter Milan	46	35.6	+10.44
2	Napoli	39	32.8	+6.25
3	AC Milan	42	37.1	+4.92
4	Bologna	34	30.4	+3.63
5	Roma	32	29.0	+3.02

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lazio Roma	22	27.2	-5.22
2	Fiorentina	25	29.9	-4.95
3	Cagliari	30	33.9	-3.87
4	Catania	21	24.5	-3.54
5	Torino	26	28.9	-2.93

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AC Milan	5	Oct 11 – Nov 22	1 in 271
2	Napoli	4	Oct 25 – Nov 22	1 in 219
3	Inter Milan	6	Mar 7 – Apr 11	1 in 219
4	Varese	2	Mar 21 – Mar 28	1 in 30
5	Catania	2	Mar 7 – Mar 14	1 in 23

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentina	3	Nov 15 – Nov 29	1 in 78
2	Cagliari	3	Jan 10 – Jan 24	1 in 60
3	Lazio Roma	4	Jan 17 – Feb 7	1 in 38
4	Varese	3	Feb 28 – Mar 14	1 in 32
5	Hellas Verona	3	Apr 4 – Apr 18	1 in 26

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Milan	23	Nov 29 – May 23	1 in 176
2	AC Milan	19	Sep 27 – Feb 28	1 in 108
3	Juventus	13	Feb 14 – May 23	1 in 45
4	Roma	8	Jan 17 – Mar 14	1 in 37
5	Fiorentina	8	Mar 28 – May 23	1 in 35

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentina	17	Dec 27 – Apr 25	1 in 1,144
2	Varese	17	Sep 27 – Feb 7	1 in 100
3	Cagliari	7	Mar 28 – May 16	1 in 33
4	Juventus	7	Mar 14 – Apr 25	1 in 21
5	Lanerossi Vicenza	10	Sep 27 – Dec 20	1 in 19

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Inter Milan	21.00%	31.00%	8.00%	14.00%	10.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
AC Milan	45.00%	20.00%	13.00%	10.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Napoli	5.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	16.00%	12.00%	12.00%	6.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Juventus	9.00%	10.00%	16.00%	12.00%	15.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Bologna	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	6.00%	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	2.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Roma	—	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	1.00%	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Cagliari	9.00%	13.00%	20.00%	12.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
Torino	—	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Varese	2.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	—	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%	11.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	11.00%	14.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	11.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%
Hellas Verona	1.00%	—	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	11.00%	3.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%
Sampdoria	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%
Fiorentina	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	4.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Foggia	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	11.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	15.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Lazio Roma	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	13.00%	9.00%	13.00%	12.00%
Catania	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	9.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	13.00%	20.00%	29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Inter Milan	100%	—
Napoli	100%	—
Cagliari	99.0%	1.0%
Juventus	97.0%	3.0%
Bologna	91.0%	9.0%
Fiorentina	88.0%	12.0%
Roma	84.0%	16.0%
Torino	83.0%	17.0%
Hellas Verona	75.0%	25.0%
Foggia	73.0%	27.0%
Lanerossi Vicenza	71.0%	29.0%
Sampdoria	71.0%	29.0%
Lazio Roma	66.0%	34.0%
Varese	64.0%	36.0%
Catania	38.0%	62.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1970-09-27	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1792	1741	50.6%	37.5%	11.9%	-1.5	1
1970-09-27	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1741	1792	11.9%	37.5%	50.6%	+1.5	1
1970-09-27	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1739	1737	43.8%	42.5%	13.7%	+11.1	3
1970-09-27	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1737	1739	13.7%	42.5%	43.8%	-11.1	0
1970-09-27	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1819	1711	59.1%	30.1%	10.8%	+2.4	3
1970-09-27	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1711	1819	10.8%	30.1%	59.1%	-2.4	0
1970-09-27	Juventus	L 0-1	1694	1794	30.6%	46.3%	23.1%	-6.8	0
1970-09-27	@ Catania	W 1-0	1794	1694	23.1%	46.3%	30.6%	+6.7	3
1970-09-27	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1727	1811	32.6%	46.4%	21.0%	-6.6	0
1970-09-27	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1811	1727	21.0%	46.4%	32.6%	+6.6	3
1970-09-27	Varese	W 1-0	1759	1699	51.9%	36.4%	11.7%	+3.2	3
1970-09-27	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1699	1759	11.7%	36.4%	51.9%	-3.2	0
1970-09-27	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1724	1778	36.4%	45.9%	17.6%	-7.6	0
1970-09-27	@ Roma	W 1-0	1778	1724	17.6%	45.9%	36.4%	+7.6	3
1970-09-27	Foggia	D 1-1	1735	1721	45.4%	41.4%	13.1%	-1.2	1
1970-09-27	@ Torino	D 1-1	1721	1735	13.1%	41.4%	45.4%	+1.2	1
1970-10-07	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1785	1720	52.8%	35.7%	11.6%	-1.6	4
1970-10-07	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1720	1785	11.6%	35.7%	52.8%	+1.6	1
1970-10-07	AC Milan	D 1-1	1723	1790	34.6%	46.3%	19.1%	-0.5	2
1970-10-07	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1790	1723	19.1%	46.3%	34.6%	+0.5	2
1970-10-07	Roma	D 0-0	1817	1717	58.1%	31.0%	10.9%	-2.1	4
1970-10-07	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1717	1817	10.9%	31.0%	58.1%	+2.1	1
1970-10-07	Bologna	D 0-0	1801	1750	50.6%	37.5%	11.9%	-1.7	4
1970-10-07	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1750	1801	11.9%	37.5%	50.6%	+1.7	4
1970-10-07	Cagliari	L 2-4	1743	1821	33.3%	46.4%	20.3%	-10.4	1
1970-10-07	@ Lazio Roma	W 4-2	1821	1743	20.3%	46.4%	33.3%	+10.4	6
1970-10-07	Napoli	L 0-1	1709	1762	36.5%	45.9%	17.6%	-7.6	0
1970-10-07	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1762	1709	17.6%	45.9%	36.5%	+7.6	6
1970-10-07	Torino	D 0-0	1696	1734	38.4%	45.3%	16.3%	-0.9	1
1970-10-07	@ Varese	D 0-0	1734	1696	16.3%	45.3%	38.4%	+0.9	2
1970-10-07	Catania	D 0-0	1726	1687	48.9%	38.9%	12.2%	-1.6	1
1970-10-07	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1687	1726	12.2%	38.9%	48.9%	+1.6	1
1970-10-11	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1791	1701	56.5%	32.5%	11.1%	+4.6	5
1970-10-11	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1701	1791	11.1%	32.5%	56.5%	-4.6	0
1970-10-11	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1752	1815	35.2%	46.2%	18.6%	-0.4	5
1970-10-11	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1815	1752	18.6%	46.2%	35.2%	+0.4	5
1970-10-11	Varese	D 1-1	1831	1695	63.5%	26.2%	10.3%	-2.1	7
1970-10-11	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1695	1831	10.3%	26.2%	63.5%	+2.1	2
1970-10-11	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1689	1784	31.2%	46.4%	22.4%	-0.3	2
1970-10-11	@ Catania	D 0-0	1784	1689	22.4%	46.4%	31.2%	+0.3	5
1970-10-11	Juventus	D 0-0	1722	1799	33.4%	46.4%	20.2%	-0.5	2
1970-10-11	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1799	1722	20.2%	46.4%	33.4%	+0.5	5
1970-10-11	Foggia	D 0-0	1769	1722	50.2%	37.8%	12.0%	-1.7	7
1970-10-11	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1722	1769	12.0%	37.8%	50.2%	+1.7	3
1970-10-11	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 4-1	1719	1724	42.8%	43.1%	14.1%	+9.6	4
1970-10-11	@ Roma	L 1-4	1724	1719	14.1%	43.1%	42.8%	-9.6	1
1970-10-11	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1735	1733	43.9%	42.5%	13.7%	-1.1	3
1970-10-11	@ Torino	D 1-1	1733	1735	13.7%	42.5%	43.9%	+1.2	2
1970-10-25	Napoli	L 0-1	1784	1768	45.8%	41.2%	13.0%	-8.7	5
1970-10-25	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1768	1784	13.0%	41.2%	45.8%	+8.7	10
1970-10-25	Bologna	D 1-1	1724	1751	39.8%	44.7%	15.5%	-0.9	4
1970-10-25	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1751	1724	15.5%	44.7%	39.8%	+0.9	6
1970-10-25	Cagliari	L 1-3	1816	1829	41.7%	43.8%	14.6%	-13.4	5
1970-10-25	@ Inter Milan	W 3-1	1829	1816	14.6%	43.8%	41.7%	+13.5	10
1970-10-25	AC Milan	L 0-2	1799	1795	44.1%	42.4%	13.6%	-16.1	5
1970-10-25	@ Juventus	W 2-0	1795	1799	13.6%	42.4%	44.1%	+16.1	8
1970-10-25	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1734	1721	45.2%	41.6%	13.2%	-1.2	3
1970-10-25	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1721	1734	13.2%	41.6%	45.2%	+1.2	3
1970-10-25	Catania	W 2-0	1696	1689	44.6%	42.0%	13.4%	+7.5	3
1970-10-25	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1689	1696	13.4%	42.0%	44.6%	-7.5	2
1970-10-25	Roma	D 0-0	1697	1728	39.3%	44.9%	15.8%	-1.0	3
1970-10-25	@ Varese	D 0-0	1728	1697	15.8%	44.9%	39.3%	+1.0	5
1970-10-25	Torino	D 1-1	1715	1734	40.9%	44.2%	14.9%	-1.0	2
1970-10-25	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1734	1715	14.9%	44.2%	40.9%	+1.0	4
1970-11-08	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1811	1802	44.8%	41.9%	13.3%	+10.8	11
1970-11-08	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1802	1811	13.3%	41.9%	44.8%	-10.8	5
1970-11-08	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1752	1732	46.2%	40.9%	12.9%	+7.1	9
1970-11-08	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1732	1752	12.9%	40.9%	46.2%	-7.1	3
1970-11-08	Foggia	D 1-1	1843	1723	61.0%	28.4%	10.6%	-2.0	11
1970-11-08	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1723	1843	10.6%	28.4%	61.0%	+2.0	5
1970-11-08	Varese	D 0-0	1681	1696	41.5%	43.9%	14.6%	-1.1	3
1970-11-08	@ Catania	D 0-0	1696	1681	14.6%	43.9%	41.5%	+1.1	4
1970-11-08	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1722	1714	44.7%	41.9%	13.4%	+3.9	6
1970-11-08	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1714	1722	13.4%	41.9%	44.7%	-3.9	2
1970-11-08	Juventus	W 1-0	1777	1783	42.6%	43.3%	14.2%	+4.2	13
1970-11-08	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1783	1777	14.2%	43.3%	42.6%	-4.2	5
1970-11-08	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1729	1704	47.0%	40.3%	12.7%	-1.5	6
1970-11-08	@ Roma	D 0-0	1704	1729	12.7%	40.3%	47.0%	+1.5	4
1970-11-08	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1735	1775	38.1%	45.4%	16.5%	-0.8	5
1970-11-08	@ Torino	D 1-1	1775	1735	16.5%	45.4%	38.1%	+0.8	6
1970-11-15	AC Milan	L 2-5	1776	1822	37.4%	45.6%	17.0%	-15.4	6
1970-11-15	@ Fiorentina	W 5-2	1822	1776	17.0%	45.6%	37.4%	+15.4	14
1970-11-15	Catania	W 1-0	1725	1680	49.8%	38.1%	12.1%	+3.4	8
1970-11-15	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1680	1725	12.1%	38.1%	49.8%	-3.4	3
1970-11-15	Torino	W 2-0	1791	1734	51.6%	36.6%	11.7%	+6.1	8
1970-11-15	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1734	1791	11.7%	36.6%	51.6%	-6.1	5
1970-11-15	Cagliari	W 2-1	1779	1841	35.4%	46.2%	18.4%	+4.8	8
1970-11-15	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1841	1779	18.4%	46.2%	35.4%	-4.8	11
1970-11-15	Roma	D 1-1	1725	1728	43.2%	42.9%	13.9%	-1.1	4
1970-11-15	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1728	1725	13.9%	42.9%	43.2%	+1.1	7
1970-11-15	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1705	1726	40.7%	44.3%	15.0%	+12.1	7
1970-11-15	@ Sampdoria	L 0-3	1726	1705	15.0%	44.3%	40.7%	-12.1	6
1970-11-15	Bologna	D 0-0	1697	1759	35.3%	46.2%	18.5%	-0.7	5
1970-11-15	@ Varese	D 0-0	1759	1697	18.5%	46.2%	35.3%	+0.7	10
1970-11-15	Napoli	L 0-1	1710	1781	34.2%	46.3%	19.5%	-7.3	2
1970-11-15	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1781	1710	19.5%	46.3%	34.2%	+7.3	16
1970-11-22	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-1	1838	1702	63.4%	26.3%	10.3%	+3.7	17
1970-11-22	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1702	1838	10.3%	26.3%	63.4%	-3.7	2
1970-11-22	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1760	1718	49.5%	38.4%	12.1%	-1.5	11
1970-11-22	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1718	1760	12.1%	38.4%	49.5%	+1.5	8
1970-11-22	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1836	1761	54.3%	34.4%	11.3%	+5.6	14
1970-11-22	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1761	1836	11.3%	34.4%	54.3%	-5.6	6
1970-11-22	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1677	1724	37.2%	45.7%	17.1%	+7.9	6
1970-11-22	@ Catania	L 1-3	1724	1677	17.1%	45.7%	37.2%	-7.9	4
1970-11-22	Varese	D 1-1	1714	1697	46.0%	41.1%	13.0%	-1.3	7
1970-11-22	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1697	1714	13.0%	41.1%	46.0%	+1.3	6
1970-11-22	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1788	1797	42.2%	43.5%	14.3%	+4.0	19
1970-11-22	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1797	1788	14.3%	43.5%	42.2%	-4.0	8
1970-11-22	Foggia	W 3-1	1729	1728	43.6%	42.6%	13.8%	+6.6	10
1970-11-22	@ Roma	L 1-3	1728	1729	13.8%	42.6%	43.6%	-6.6	8
1970-11-22	Juventus	W 2-1	1728	1784	36.1%	46.0%	17.9%	+4.7	8
1970-11-22	@ Torino	L 1-2	1784	1728	17.9%	46.0%	36.1%	-4.7	8
1970-11-29	Bologna	L 1-2	1755	1759	43.0%	43.0%	14.0%	-7.9	6
1970-11-29	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1759	1755	14.0%	43.0%	43.0%	+7.9	14
1970-11-29	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1722	1713	44.7%	41.9%	13.4%	+10.8	11
1970-11-29	@ Foggia	L 0-3	1713	1722	13.4%	41.9%	44.7%	-10.8	7
1970-11-29	Catania	W 3-2	1794	1685	59.4%	29.9%	10.7%	+2.3	11
1970-11-29	@ Inter Milan	L 2-3	1685	1794	10.7%	29.9%	59.4%	-2.3	6
1970-11-29	Roma	W 2-0	1779	1736	49.6%	38.3%	12.1%	+6.4	11
1970-11-29	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1736	1779	12.1%	38.3%	49.6%	-6.4	10
1970-11-29	Napoli	D 0-0	1716	1792	33.6%	46.4%	20.0%	-0.5	5
1970-11-29	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1792	1716	20.0%	46.4%	33.6%	+0.5	20
1970-11-29	Torino	D 0-0	1719	1733	41.7%	43.8%	14.6%	-1.1	9
1970-11-29	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1733	1719	14.6%	43.8%	41.7%	+1.1	9
1970-11-29	AC Milan	D 1-1	1698	1841	25.4%	44.6%	30.0%	+0.1	7
1970-11-29	@ Varese	D 1-1	1841	1698	30.0%	44.6%	25.4%	-0.1	18
1970-11-29	Cagliari	D 1-1	1699	1842	25.4%	44.6%	30.0%	+0.1	3
1970-11-29	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1842	1699	30.0%	44.6%	25.4%	-0.1	15
1970-12-13	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1841	1702	63.9%	25.8%	10.3%	-2.1	19
1970-12-13	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1702	1841	10.3%	25.8%	63.9%	+2.1	8
1970-12-13	Catania	W 2-0	1767	1682	55.6%	33.2%	11.2%	+5.4	17
1970-12-13	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1682	1767	11.2%	33.2%	55.6%	-5.4	6
1970-12-13	Lazio Roma	W 5-2	1732	1716	45.8%	41.2%	13.0%	+7.6	14
1970-12-13	@ Foggia	L 2-5	1716	1732	13.0%	41.2%	45.8%	-7.6	5
1970-12-13	Cagliari	D 0-0	1729	1841	29.0%	46.0%	24.9%	-0.2	11
1970-12-13	@ Roma	D 0-0	1841	1729	24.9%	46.0%	29.0%	+0.1	16
1970-12-13	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1718	1747	39.6%	44.8%	15.6%	-0.7	10
1970-12-13	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1747	1718	15.6%	44.8%	39.6%	+0.7	7
1970-12-13	Napoli	D 1-1	1734	1792	35.8%	46.1%	18.1%	-0.6	10
1970-12-13	@ Torino	D 1-1	1792	1734	18.1%	46.1%	35.8%	+0.6	21
1970-12-13	Juventus	D 0-0	1698	1786	32.1%	46.4%	21.5%	-0.4	8
1970-12-13	@ Varese	D 0-0	1786	1698	21.5%	46.4%	32.1%	+0.4	12
1970-12-13	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1699	1796	30.9%	46.4%	22.7%	-6.4	3
1970-12-13	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1796	1699	22.7%	46.4%	30.9%	+6.4	14
1970-12-20	Bologna	W 2-1	1842	1772	53.4%	35.1%	11.5%	+2.9	19
1970-12-20	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1772	1842	11.5%	35.1%	53.4%	-2.9	17
1970-12-20	Roma	L 1-2	1677	1729	36.6%	45.9%	17.5%	-7.2	6
1970-12-20	@ Catania	W 2-1	1729	1677	17.5%	45.9%	36.6%	+7.2	14
1970-12-20	Foggia	W 3-0	1748	1740	44.6%	42.0%	13.4%	+10.8	10
1970-12-20	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1740	1748	13.4%	42.0%	44.6%	-10.8	14
1970-12-20	Torino	W 1-0	1704	1733	39.6%	44.8%	15.6%	+4.6	11
1970-12-20	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1733	1704	15.6%	44.8%	39.6%	-4.5	10
1970-12-20	Varese	W 3-2	1802	1698	58.7%	30.5%	10.8%	+2.3	17
1970-12-20	@ Inter Milan	L 2-3	1698	1802	10.8%	30.5%	58.7%	-2.3	8
1970-12-20	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1786	1692	57.0%	31.9%	11.0%	+2.6	15
1970-12-20	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1692	1786	11.0%	31.9%	57.0%	-2.6	3
1970-12-20	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1708	1717	42.3%	43.4%	14.3%	+4.2	8
1970-12-20	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1717	1708	14.3%	43.4%	42.3%	-4.2	10
1970-12-20	AC Milan	L 0-2	1793	1839	37.4%	45.6%	17.0%	-14.5	21
1970-12-20	@ Napoli	W 2-0	1839	1793	17.0%	45.6%	37.4%	+14.5	22
1970-12-27	Cagliari	D 1-1	1670	1844	22.4%	42.2%	35.4%	+0.5	7
1970-12-27	@ Catania	D 1-1	1844	1670	35.4%	42.2%	22.4%	-0.4	20
1970-12-27	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1759	1712	50.0%	38.0%	12.0%	-1.5	11
1970-12-27	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1712	1759	12.0%	38.0%	50.0%	+1.5	9
1970-12-27	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1729	1713	45.8%	41.2%	13.0%	-0.9	15
1970-12-27	@ Foggia	D 2-2	1713	1729	13.0%	41.2%	45.8%	+0.9	11
1970-12-27	Juventus	W 2-0	1805	1789	45.7%	41.3%	13.1%	+7.2	20
1970-12-27	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1789	1805	13.1%	41.3%	45.7%	-7.2	15
1970-12-27	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1779	1709	53.4%	35.1%	11.5%	+5.8	24
1970-12-27	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1709	1779	11.5%	35.1%	53.4%	-5.8	11
1970-12-27	Bologna	D 1-1	1736	1769	39.1%	45.0%	15.9%	-0.9	15
1970-12-27	@ Roma	D 1-1	1769	1736	15.9%	45.0%	39.1%	+0.9	18
1970-12-27	AC Milan	D 1-1	1729	1854	27.5%	45.6%	27.0%	-0.0	11
1970-12-27	@ Torino	D 1-1	1854	1729	27.0%	45.6%	27.5%	+0.0	23
1970-12-27	Varese	W 3-1	1690	1695	42.8%	43.2%	14.1%	+6.8	6
1970-12-27	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-3	1695	1690	14.1%	43.2%	42.8%	-6.8	8
1971-01-03	Catania	W 4-0	1854	1670	70.6%	19.9%	9.5%	+6.4	26
1971-01-03	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1670	1854	9.5%	19.9%	70.6%	-6.4	7
1971-01-03	Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1770	1703	53.0%	35.5%	11.5%	-1.2	19
1971-01-03	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1703	1770	11.5%	35.5%	53.0%	+1.2	12
1971-01-03	Torino	D 0-0	1844	1729	60.4%	29.0%	10.6%	-2.2	21
1971-01-03	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1729	1844	10.6%	29.0%	60.4%	+2.2	12
1971-01-03	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1782	1714	53.1%	35.4%	11.5%	+5.0	18
1971-01-03	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1714	1782	11.5%	35.4%	53.1%	-5.0	9
1971-01-03	Napoli	D 2-2	1735	1784	37.0%	45.8%	17.2%	-0.5	16
1971-01-03	@ Roma	D 2-2	1784	1735	17.2%	45.8%	37.0%	+0.5	25
1971-01-03	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1714	1812	30.8%	46.3%	22.8%	-12.8	11
1971-01-03	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1812	1714	22.8%	46.3%	30.8%	+12.8	23
1971-01-03	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1689	1757	34.5%	46.3%	19.2%	-0.6	9
1971-01-03	@ Varese	D 0-0	1757	1689	19.2%	46.3%	34.5%	+0.6	12
1971-01-03	Foggia	W 1-0	1697	1728	39.3%	44.9%	15.8%	+4.6	9
1971-01-03	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1728	1697	15.8%	44.9%	39.3%	-4.6	15
1971-01-10	Bologna	W 2-1	1860	1769	56.7%	32.3%	11.0%	+2.6	29
1971-01-10	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1769	1860	11.0%	32.3%	56.7%	-2.6	19
1971-01-10	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1758	1701	51.5%	36.7%	11.8%	-1.8	13
1971-01-10	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1701	1758	11.8%	36.7%	51.5%	+1.8	10
1971-01-10	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1724	1825	30.4%	46.3%	23.3%	-0.2	16
1971-01-10	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1825	1724	23.3%	46.3%	30.4%	+0.2	24
1971-01-10	Catania	D 1-1	1704	1664	49.2%	38.6%	12.2%	-1.4	13
1971-01-10	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1664	1704	12.2%	38.6%	49.2%	+1.5	8
1971-01-10	Varese	D 0-0	1709	1688	46.4%	40.8%	12.8%	-1.4	10
1971-01-10	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1688	1709	12.8%	40.8%	46.4%	+1.5	10
1971-01-10	Cagliari	W 1-0	1785	1842	36.0%	46.0%	18.0%	+5.0	28
1971-01-10	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1842	1785	18.0%	46.0%	36.0%	-5.0	21
1971-01-10	Juventus	W 2-0	1701	1787	32.4%	46.4%	21.2%	+10.4	14
1971-01-10	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1787	1701	21.2%	46.4%	32.4%	-10.4	18
1971-01-10	Roma	W 4-0	1731	1735	43.0%	43.0%	14.0%	+14.8	15
1971-01-10	@ Torino	L 0-4	1735	1731	14.0%	43.0%	43.0%	-14.8	16
1971-01-17	Napoli	W 1-0	1766	1790	40.3%	44.5%	15.2%	+4.5	22
1971-01-17	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1790	1766	15.2%	44.5%	40.3%	-4.5	28
1971-01-17	AC Milan	L 0-4	1837	1863	40.1%	44.6%	15.4%	-28.8	21
1971-01-17	@ Cagliari	W 4-0	1863	1837	15.4%	44.6%	40.1%	+28.7	32
1971-01-17	Torino	W 1-0	1665	1746	33.0%	46.4%	20.6%	+5.4	11
1971-01-17	@ Catania	L 0-1	1746	1665	20.6%	46.4%	33.0%	-5.4	15
1971-01-17	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1825	1756	53.3%	35.2%	11.5%	+2.9	27
1971-01-17	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1756	1825	11.5%	35.2%	53.3%	-2.9	13
1971-01-17	Foggia	W 2-1	1776	1723	50.9%	37.2%	11.8%	+3.1	21
1971-01-17	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1723	1776	11.8%	37.2%	50.9%	-3.1	16
1971-01-17	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1720	1703	45.9%	41.1%	13.0%	-1.4	17
1971-01-17	@ Roma	D 0-0	1703	1720	13.0%	41.1%	45.9%	+1.4	14
1971-01-17	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1689	1712	40.5%	44.4%	15.1%	-1.0	11
1971-01-17	@ Varese	D 1-1	1712	1689	15.1%	44.4%	40.5%	+0.9	15
1971-01-17	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1703	1707	42.9%	43.1%	14.0%	+4.1	13
1971-01-17	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1707	1703	14.0%	43.1%	42.9%	-4.2	10
1971-01-24	Roma	D 2-2	1891	1719	69.0%	21.3%	9.7%	-1.7	33
1971-01-24	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1719	1891	9.7%	21.3%	69.0%	+1.7	18
1971-01-24	Juventus	L 1-2	1753	1779	40.0%	44.6%	15.4%	-7.6	13
1971-01-24	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1779	1753	15.4%	44.6%	40.0%	+7.6	24
1971-01-24	Varese	D 2-2	1720	1688	47.9%	39.6%	12.4%	-1.0	17
1971-01-24	@ Foggia	D 2-2	1688	1720	12.4%	39.6%	47.9%	+1.0	12
1971-01-24	Cagliari	W 2-0	1704	1808	30.1%	46.2%	23.7%	+11.0	17
1971-01-24	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1808	1704	23.7%	46.2%	30.1%	-11.0	21
1971-01-24	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1703	1828	27.5%	45.6%	26.9%	-6.3	10
1971-01-24	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1828	1703	26.9%	45.6%	27.5%	+6.3	30
1971-01-24	Catania	W 1-0	1785	1671	60.3%	29.1%	10.7%	+2.5	31
1971-01-24	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1671	1785	10.7%	29.1%	60.3%	-2.5	11
1971-01-24	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1712	1707	44.2%	42.2%	13.5%	-8.0	15
1971-01-24	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1707	1712	13.5%	42.2%	44.2%	+8.1	16
1971-01-24	Bologna	W 1-0	1740	1771	39.5%	44.9%	15.7%	+4.6	18
1971-01-24	@ Torino	L 0-1	1771	1740	15.7%	44.9%	39.5%	-4.6	22
1971-01-31	Roma	D 2-2	1746	1720	47.0%	40.3%	12.7%	-1.0	14
1971-01-31	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1720	1746	12.7%	40.3%	47.0%	+1.0	19
1971-01-31	Torino	W 1-0	1719	1745	40.1%	44.6%	15.3%	+4.5	20
1971-01-31	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1745	1719	15.3%	44.6%	40.1%	-4.5	18
1971-01-31	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1834	1715	60.9%	28.6%	10.6%	+2.5	33
1971-01-31	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1715	1834	10.6%	28.6%	60.9%	-2.4	17
1971-01-31	Catania	W 5-0	1787	1668	60.9%	28.6%	10.6%	+10.8	27
1971-01-31	@ Juventus	L 0-5	1668	1787	10.6%	28.6%	60.9%	-10.8	11
1971-01-31	AC Milan	L 0-1	1697	1890	21.1%	40.5%	38.5%	-5.1	10
1971-01-31	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1890	1697	38.5%	40.5%	21.1%	+5.1	36
1971-01-31	Cagliari	D 0-0	1704	1797	31.5%	46.4%	22.1%	-0.4	16
1971-01-31	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1797	1704	22.1%	46.4%	31.5%	+0.4	22
1971-01-31	Napoli	D 1-1	1690	1788	30.7%	46.3%	22.9%	-0.3	13
1971-01-31	@ Varese	D 1-1	1788	1690	22.9%	46.3%	30.7%	+0.3	32
1971-01-31	Bologna	D 0-0	1715	1766	36.8%	45.8%	17.4%	-0.8	17
1971-01-31	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1766	1715	17.4%	45.8%	36.8%	+0.8	23
1971-02-07	Foggia	W 2-0	1895	1724	68.8%	21.5%	9.7%	+3.6	39
1971-02-07	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1724	1895	9.7%	21.5%	68.8%	-3.6	20
1971-02-07	Juventus	W 1-0	1767	1798	39.4%	44.9%	15.7%	+4.6	26
1971-02-07	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1798	1767	15.7%	44.9%	39.4%	-4.6	27
1971-02-07	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1797	1692	58.9%	30.3%	10.8%	+2.5	25
1971-02-07	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1692	1797	10.8%	30.3%	58.9%	-2.5	10
1971-02-07	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1657	1714	36.0%	46.0%	18.0%	-0.6	12
1971-02-07	@ Catania	D 1-1	1714	1657	18.0%	46.0%	36.0%	+0.6	18
1971-02-07	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1713	1745	39.3%	45.0%	15.8%	-0.9	18
1971-02-07	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1745	1713	15.8%	45.0%	39.3%	+0.9	15
1971-02-07	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1788	1704	55.6%	33.2%	11.2%	-2.0	33
1971-02-07	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1704	1788	11.2%	33.2%	55.6%	+2.0	17
1971-02-07	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1721	1836	28.7%	45.9%	25.4%	-0.1	20
1971-02-07	@ Roma	D 0-0	1836	1721	25.4%	45.9%	28.7%	+0.1	34
1971-02-07	Varese	W 3-1	1740	1689	50.7%	37.4%	11.9%	+5.4	21
1971-02-07	@ Torino	L 1-3	1689	1740	11.9%	37.4%	50.7%	-5.4	13
1971-02-14	Catania	D 1-1	1746	1657	56.3%	32.6%	11.1%	-1.8	16
1971-02-14	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1657	1746	11.1%	32.6%	56.3%	+1.8	13
1971-02-14	Napoli	L 0-3	1720	1786	34.8%	46.3%	18.9%	-20.1	20
1971-02-14	@ Foggia	W 3-0	1786	1720	18.9%	46.3%	34.8%	+20.1	36
1971-02-14	Bologna	W 1-0	1837	1771	52.8%	35.7%	11.6%	+3.1	37
1971-02-14	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1771	1837	11.6%	35.7%	52.8%	-3.1	26
1971-02-14	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1793	1712	55.1%	33.6%	11.2%	+2.7	30
1971-02-14	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1712	1793	11.2%	33.6%	55.1%	-2.7	18
1971-02-14	Torino	W 1-0	1689	1746	36.1%	46.0%	17.9%	+5.0	13
1971-02-14	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1746	1689	17.9%	46.0%	36.1%	-5.0	21
1971-02-14	AC Milan	D 1-1	1706	1898	21.1%	40.5%	38.4%	+0.6	18
1971-02-14	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1898	1706	38.4%	40.5%	21.1%	-0.6	40
1971-02-14	Cagliari	W 4-1	1684	1800	28.6%	45.9%	25.5%	+14.0	16
1971-02-14	@ Varese	L 1-4	1800	1684	25.5%	45.9%	28.6%	-14.0	25
1971-02-14	Roma	D 0-0	1715	1721	42.7%	43.2%	14.1%	-1.2	19
1971-02-14	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1721	1715	14.1%	43.2%	42.7%	+1.2	21
1971-02-28	Juventus	D 1-1	1898	1796	58.3%	30.8%	10.9%	-1.9	41
1971-02-28	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1796	1898	10.9%	30.8%	58.3%	+1.9	31
1971-02-28	Foggia	L 1-2	1768	1700	53.2%	35.3%	11.5%	-8.9	26
1971-02-28	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1700	1768	11.5%	35.3%	53.2%	+8.9	23
1971-02-28	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1786	1840	36.4%	45.9%	17.7%	-0.8	26
1971-02-28	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1840	1786	17.7%	45.9%	36.4%	+0.8	38
1971-02-28	Sampdoria	L 1-3	1658	1707	37.1%	45.7%	17.2%	-12.5	13
1971-02-28	@ Catania	W 3-1	1707	1658	17.2%	45.7%	37.1%	+12.5	21
1971-02-28	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1709	1694	45.6%	41.3%	13.1%	+3.8	21
1971-02-28	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1694	1709	13.1%	41.3%	45.6%	-3.8	13
1971-02-28	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1806	1744	52.4%	36.0%	11.6%	-1.8	37
1971-02-28	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1744	1806	11.6%	36.0%	52.4%	+1.8	17
1971-02-28	Varese	W 3-0	1722	1698	46.9%	40.4%	12.7%	+10.1	24
1971-02-28	@ Roma	L 0-3	1698	1722	12.7%	40.4%	46.9%	-10.1	16
1971-02-28	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 2-3	1741	1714	47.2%	40.1%	12.6%	-7.9	21
1971-02-28	@ Torino	W 3-2	1714	1741	12.6%	40.1%	47.2%	+7.9	22
1971-03-07	Torino	D 1-1	1746	1733	45.3%	41.5%	13.2%	-1.2	18
1971-03-07	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1733	1746	13.2%	41.5%	45.3%	+1.2	22
1971-03-07	Cagliari	D 0-0	1709	1785	33.5%	46.4%	20.1%	-0.5	24
1971-03-07	@ Foggia	D 0-0	1785	1709	20.1%	46.4%	33.5%	+0.5	27
1971-03-07	AC Milan	W 2-0	1840	1896	36.2%	46.0%	17.8%	+9.4	41
1971-03-07	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1896	1840	17.8%	46.0%	36.2%	-9.4	41
1971-03-07	Napoli	W 4-1	1798	1805	42.6%	43.3%	14.2%	+9.7	34
1971-03-07	@ Juventus	L 1-4	1805	1798	14.2%	43.3%	42.6%	-9.7	37
1971-03-07	Bologna	D 2-2	1691	1759	34.5%	46.3%	19.2%	-0.4	14
1971-03-07	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1759	1691	19.2%	46.3%	34.5%	+0.4	27
1971-03-07	Roma	D 0-0	1719	1732	41.7%	43.8%	14.5%	-1.1	22
1971-03-07	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1732	1719	14.5%	43.8%	41.7%	+1.1	25
1971-03-07	Catania	L 0-1	1688	1646	49.4%	38.5%	12.1%	-9.1	16
1971-03-07	@ Varese	W 1-0	1646	1688	12.1%	38.5%	49.4%	+9.1	16
1971-03-07	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1722	1713	44.7%	41.9%	13.4%	-1.3	23
1971-03-07	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1713	1722	13.4%	41.9%	44.7%	+1.3	22
1971-03-14	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1887	1744	64.5%	25.4%	10.2%	+2.2	44
1971-03-14	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1744	1887	10.2%	25.4%	64.5%	-2.2	18
1971-03-14	Varese	W 1-0	1760	1679	55.1%	33.6%	11.2%	+2.9	30
1971-03-14	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1679	1760	11.2%	33.6%	55.1%	-2.9	16
1971-03-14	Juventus	D 1-1	1786	1807	40.6%	44.3%	15.1%	-0.9	28
1971-03-14	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1807	1786	15.1%	44.3%	40.6%	+1.0	35
1971-03-14	Foggia	W 2-0	1655	1708	36.4%	45.9%	17.6%	+9.4	19
1971-03-14	@ Catania	L 0-2	1708	1655	17.6%	45.9%	36.4%	-9.4	24
1971-03-14	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1714	1718	43.0%	43.0%	14.0%	+6.8	25
1971-03-14	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1718	1714	14.0%	43.0%	43.0%	-6.8	22
1971-03-14	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1795	1720	54.2%	34.5%	11.3%	+3.0	40
1971-03-14	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1720	1795	11.3%	34.5%	54.2%	-3.0	23
1971-03-14	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1734	1690	49.6%	38.3%	12.1%	-1.1	26
1971-03-14	@ Roma	D 2-2	1690	1734	12.1%	38.3%	49.6%	+1.1	15
1971-03-14	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1734	1850	28.6%	45.9%	25.5%	-12.2	22
1971-03-14	@ Torino	W 2-0	1850	1734	25.5%	45.9%	28.6%	+12.2	44
1971-03-21	Cagliari	L 1-2	1742	1785	37.9%	45.5%	16.7%	-7.3	18
1971-03-21	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1785	1742	16.7%	45.5%	37.9%	+7.3	31
1971-03-21	Roma	W 1-0	1699	1733	39.0%	45.0%	15.9%	+4.6	27
1971-03-21	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1733	1699	15.9%	45.0%	39.0%	-4.6	26
1971-03-21	Napoli	W 2-1	1862	1798	52.6%	35.8%	11.6%	+3.0	47
1971-03-21	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1798	1862	11.6%	35.8%	52.6%	-3.0	40
1971-03-21	Torino	D 3-3	1808	1722	56.0%	32.9%	11.1%	-1.1	36
1971-03-21	@ Juventus	D 3-3	1722	1808	11.1%	32.9%	56.0%	+1.1	23
1971-03-21	Catania	W 1-0	1691	1664	47.2%	40.1%	12.6%	+3.7	18
1971-03-21	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1664	1691	12.6%	40.1%	47.2%	-3.7	19
1971-03-21	Bologna	L 1-2	1711	1763	36.7%	45.9%	17.4%	-7.2	22
1971-03-21	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1763	1711	17.4%	45.9%	36.7%	+7.2	33
1971-03-21	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1676	1721	37.5%	45.6%	16.9%	+9.1	19
1971-03-21	@ Varese	L 0-2	1721	1676	16.9%	45.6%	37.5%	-9.1	25
1971-03-21	AC Milan	D 1-1	1717	1889	22.7%	42.5%	34.8%	+0.4	24
1971-03-21	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1889	1717	34.8%	42.5%	22.7%	-0.4	45
1971-03-28	Varese	L 1-2	1888	1685	73.5%	17.5%	9.0%	-10.3	45
1971-03-28	@ AC Milan	W 2-1	1685	1888	9.0%	17.5%	73.5%	+10.3	22
1971-03-28	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1770	1735	48.4%	39.3%	12.3%	-1.6	34
1971-03-28	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1735	1770	12.3%	39.3%	48.4%	+1.6	19
1971-03-28	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1792	1718	54.1%	34.5%	11.4%	-1.7	32
1971-03-28	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1718	1792	11.4%	34.5%	54.1%	+1.7	25
1971-03-28	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1661	1865	20.3%	39.2%	40.4%	-4.9	19
1971-03-28	@ Catania	W 1-0	1865	1661	40.4%	39.2%	20.3%	+4.9	50
1971-03-28	Foggia	D 1-1	1712	1704	44.7%	41.9%	13.4%	-1.2	26
1971-03-28	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1704	1712	13.4%	41.9%	44.7%	+1.2	28
1971-03-28	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1795	1695	58.0%	31.1%	10.9%	+5.0	43
1971-03-28	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1695	1795	10.9%	31.1%	58.0%	-5.0	18
1971-03-28	Juventus	D 0-0	1728	1807	33.1%	46.4%	20.4%	-0.5	27
1971-03-28	@ Roma	D 0-0	1807	1728	20.4%	46.4%	33.1%	+0.5	37
1971-03-28	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1723	1704	46.1%	41.0%	12.9%	-1.4	24
1971-03-28	@ Torino	D 0-0	1704	1723	12.9%	41.0%	46.1%	+1.4	23
1971-04-04	Roma	L 0-1	1790	1727	52.4%	36.0%	11.6%	-9.4	32
1971-04-04	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1727	1790	11.6%	36.0%	52.4%	+9.4	30
1971-04-04	Bologna	D 0-0	1656	1768	29.0%	46.0%	25.0%	-0.1	20
1971-04-04	@ Catania	D 0-0	1768	1656	25.0%	46.0%	29.0%	+0.1	35
1971-04-04	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1736	1706	47.8%	39.7%	12.5%	-1.5	20
1971-04-04	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1706	1736	12.5%	39.7%	47.8%	+1.5	24
1971-04-04	AC Milan	L 1-3	1711	1878	23.1%	42.9%	34.1%	-9.1	26
1971-04-04	@ Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1878	1711	34.1%	42.9%	23.1%	+9.0	48
1971-04-04	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1870	1720	65.7%	24.3%	10.1%	+2.0	53
1971-04-04	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1720	1870	10.1%	24.3%	65.7%	-2.0	25
1971-04-04	Varese	D 2-2	1808	1695	59.9%	29.4%	10.7%	-1.4	38
1971-04-04	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1695	1808	10.7%	29.4%	59.9%	+1.4	23
1971-04-04	Foggia	W 2-1	1690	1705	41.5%	43.9%	14.6%	+4.1	21
1971-04-04	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1705	1690	14.6%	43.9%	41.5%	-4.1	28
1971-04-04	Torino	W 2-0	1800	1721	54.8%	34.0%	11.3%	+5.5	46
1971-04-04	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1721	1800	11.3%	34.0%	54.8%	-5.5	24
1971-04-11	Napoli	D 1-1	1887	1806	55.2%	33.6%	11.2%	-1.7	49
1971-04-11	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1806	1887	11.2%	33.6%	55.2%	+1.7	47
1971-04-11	Cagliari	D 0-0	1768	1781	41.8%	43.7%	14.5%	-1.1	36
1971-04-11	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1781	1768	14.5%	43.7%	41.8%	+1.1	33
1971-04-11	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1701	1735	39.0%	45.1%	16.0%	-0.8	29
1971-04-11	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1735	1701	16.0%	45.1%	39.0%	+0.8	21
1971-04-11	Catania	W 5-0	1737	1656	55.2%	33.6%	11.2%	+12.8	33
1971-04-11	@ Roma	L 0-5	1656	1737	11.2%	33.6%	55.2%	-12.8	20
1971-04-11	Lazio Roma	L 2-3	1707	1694	45.3%	41.5%	13.2%	-7.7	24
1971-04-11	@ Sampdoria	W 3-2	1694	1707	13.2%	41.5%	45.3%	+7.7	24
1971-04-11	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1716	1702	45.5%	41.4%	13.1%	+3.8	27
1971-04-11	@ Torino	L 0-1	1702	1716	13.1%	41.4%	45.5%	-3.8	26
1971-04-11	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1697	1872	22.4%	42.1%	35.5%	-8.8	23
1971-04-11	@ Varese	W 3-1	1872	1697	35.5%	42.1%	22.4%	+8.8	56
1971-04-11	Juventus	D 1-1	1718	1806	32.0%	46.4%	21.6%	-0.3	26
1971-04-11	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1806	1718	21.6%	46.4%	32.0%	+0.3	39
1971-04-18	Torino	W 1-0	1885	1720	68.0%	22.2%	9.8%	+2.0	52
1971-04-18	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1720	1885	9.8%	22.2%	68.0%	-2.0	27
1971-04-18	Roma	D 0-0	1767	1750	45.9%	41.1%	13.0%	-1.4	37
1971-04-18	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1750	1767	13.0%	41.1%	45.9%	+1.4	34
1971-04-18	Catania	D 1-1	1782	1643	64.0%	25.8%	10.2%	-2.1	34
1971-04-18	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1643	1782	10.2%	25.8%	64.0%	+2.1	21
1971-04-18	Napoli	L 0-2	1698	1807	29.4%	46.1%	24.5%	-12.4	26
1971-04-18	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1807	1698	24.5%	46.1%	29.4%	+12.4	50
1971-04-18	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1807	1881	33.8%	46.4%	19.8%	-0.5	40
1971-04-18	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1881	1807	19.8%	46.4%	33.8%	+0.5	57
1971-04-18	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1702	1736	39.0%	45.1%	16.0%	-0.9	25
1971-04-18	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1736	1702	16.0%	45.1%	39.0%	+0.9	22
1971-04-18	Foggia	W 2-0	1699	1700	43.4%	42.8%	13.8%	+7.7	27
1971-04-18	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1700	1699	13.8%	42.8%	43.4%	-7.7	29
1971-04-18	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1688	1717	39.6%	44.8%	15.6%	-1.0	24
1971-04-18	@ Varese	D 0-0	1717	1688	15.6%	44.8%	39.6%	+1.0	27
1971-04-25	AC Milan	D 0-0	1645	1887	18.4%	34.6%	47.0%	+1.2	22
1971-04-25	@ Catania	D 0-0	1887	1645	47.0%	34.6%	18.4%	-1.2	53
1971-04-25	Varese	D 1-1	1737	1687	50.5%	37.5%	11.9%	-1.5	23
1971-04-25	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1687	1737	11.9%	37.5%	50.5%	+1.5	25
1971-04-25	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1692	1718	40.0%	44.6%	15.4%	-0.9	30
1971-04-25	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1718	1692	15.4%	44.6%	40.0%	+0.9	28
1971-04-25	Bologna	D 0-0	1686	1766	33.0%	46.4%	20.5%	-0.5	27
1971-04-25	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1766	1686	20.5%	46.4%	33.0%	+0.5	38
1971-04-25	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1881	1707	69.2%	21.1%	9.6%	+3.1	60
1971-04-25	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1707	1881	9.6%	21.1%	69.2%	-3.1	27
1971-04-25	Juventus	D 2-2	1701	1806	29.9%	46.2%	23.9%	-0.2	26
1971-04-25	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1806	1701	23.9%	46.2%	29.9%	+0.2	41
1971-04-25	Roma	L 1-2	1820	1751	53.3%	35.2%	11.5%	-8.9	50
1971-04-25	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1751	1820	11.5%	35.2%	53.3%	+8.9	37
1971-04-25	Cagliari	W 2-1	1718	1780	35.3%	46.2%	18.5%	+4.8	30
1971-04-25	@ Torino	L 1-2	1780	1718	18.5%	46.2%	35.3%	-4.8	34
1971-05-02	AC Milan	W 3-2	1766	1886	28.1%	45.8%	26.1%	+5.5	41
1971-05-02	@ Bologna	L 2-3	1886	1766	26.1%	45.8%	28.1%	-5.5	53
1971-05-02	Napoli	D 1-1	1775	1811	38.8%	45.1%	16.1%	-0.8	35
1971-05-02	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1811	1775	16.1%	45.1%	38.8%	+0.8	51
1971-05-02	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1646	1685	38.3%	45.3%	16.4%	-7.8	22
1971-05-02	@ Catania	W 1-0	1685	1646	16.4%	45.3%	38.3%	+7.8	30
1971-05-02	Foggia	W 5-0	1884	1691	72.0%	18.8%	9.3%	+7.6	63
1971-05-02	@ Inter Milan	L 0-5	1691	1884	9.3%	18.8%	72.0%	-7.6	30
1971-05-02	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1806	1704	58.4%	30.8%	10.8%	+4.3	44
1971-05-02	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1704	1806	10.8%	30.8%	58.4%	-4.3	27
1971-05-02	Torino	D 1-1	1760	1723	48.7%	39.0%	12.3%	-1.4	38
1971-05-02	@ Roma	D 1-1	1723	1760	12.3%	39.0%	48.7%	+1.4	31
1971-05-02	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1688	1701	41.9%	43.7%	14.5%	+4.0	28
1971-05-02	@ Varese	L 1-2	1701	1688	14.5%	43.7%	41.9%	-4.0	26
1971-05-02	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1719	1735	41.3%	44.0%	14.7%	-8.2	28
1971-05-02	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1735	1719	14.7%	44.0%	41.3%	+8.2	26
1971-05-16	Cagliari	W 3-1	1881	1774	59.0%	30.2%	10.8%	+4.2	56
1971-05-16	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1774	1881	10.8%	30.2%	59.0%	-4.2	35
1971-05-16	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1743	1892	24.8%	44.2%	30.9%	+0.2	27
1971-05-16	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1892	1743	30.9%	44.2%	24.8%	-0.1	64
1971-05-16	Juventus	D 0-0	1684	1811	27.3%	45.5%	27.3%	+0.0	31
1971-05-16	@ Foggia	D 0-0	1811	1684	27.3%	45.5%	27.3%	+0.0	45
1971-05-16	Roma	W 1-0	1693	1759	34.9%	46.2%	18.9%	+5.2	33
1971-05-16	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1759	1693	18.9%	46.2%	34.9%	-5.2	38
1971-05-16	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1697	1711	41.6%	43.8%	14.6%	-8.2	26
1971-05-16	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1711	1697	14.6%	43.8%	41.6%	+8.2	31
1971-05-16	Bologna	W 3-0	1812	1772	49.1%	38.7%	12.2%	+9.5	54
1971-05-16	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1772	1812	12.2%	38.7%	49.1%	-9.5	41
1971-05-16	Varese	W 2-1	1700	1692	44.5%	42.0%	13.4%	+3.7	30
1971-05-16	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1692	1700	13.4%	42.0%	44.5%	-3.7	28
1971-05-16	Catania	D 1-1	1724	1638	55.9%	33.0%	11.1%	-1.8	32
1971-05-16	@ Torino	D 1-1	1638	1724	11.1%	33.0%	55.9%	+1.8	23
1971-05-23	Torino	W 1-0	1762	1722	49.1%	38.7%	12.2%	+3.5	44
1971-05-23	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1722	1762	12.2%	38.7%	49.1%	-3.5	32
1971-05-23	Hellas Verona	W 4-1	1770	1698	53.8%	34.8%	11.4%	+7.0	38
1971-05-23	@ Cagliari	L 1-4	1698	1770	11.4%	34.8%	53.8%	-7.0	33
1971-05-23	Napoli	W 1-0	1640	1821	21.9%	41.6%	36.4%	+7.2	26
1971-05-23	@ Catania	L 0-1	1821	1640	36.4%	41.6%	21.9%	-7.2	54
1971-05-23	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1892	1688	73.4%	17.5%	9.0%	-2.4	65
1971-05-23	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1688	1892	9.0%	17.5%	73.4%	+2.4	27
1971-05-23	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1811	1743	53.1%	35.4%	11.5%	-1.6	46
1971-05-23	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1743	1811	11.5%	35.4%	53.1%	+1.6	28
1971-05-23	AC Milan	D 1-1	1753	1885	26.7%	45.2%	28.1%	+0.0	39
1971-05-23	@ Roma	D 1-1	1885	1753	28.1%	45.2%	26.7%	-0.0	57
1971-05-23	Foggia	W 3-0	1689	1684	44.2%	42.3%	13.6%	+11.0	31
1971-05-23	@ Varese	L 0-3	1684	1689	13.6%	42.3%	44.2%	-11.0	31
1971-05-23	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1719	1703	45.7%	41.3%	13.1%	-1.4	32
1971-05-23	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1703	1719	13.1%	41.3%	45.7%	+1.4	31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1971-03-28	9.04%	Varese	1685	2	@ AC Milan	1888	1
2	1971-04-25	11.47%	Roma	1751	2	@ Napoli	1820	1
3	1971-02-28	11.48%	Foggia	1700	2	@ Bologna	1768	1
4	1971-04-04	11.60%	Roma	1727	1	@ Cagliari	1790	0
5	1971-03-07	12.14%	Catania	1646	1	@ Varese	1688	0
6	1971-02-28	12.63%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1714	3	@ Torino	1741	2
7	1970-10-25	13.03%	Napoli	1768	1	@ Fiorentina	1784	0
8	1971-04-11	13.17%	Lazio Roma	1694	3	@ Sampdoria	1707	2
9	1971-01-24	13.52%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1707	2	@ Sampdoria	1712	1
10	1970-10-25	13.58%	AC Milan	1795	2	@ Juventus	1799	0
11	1970-11-29	13.97%	Bologna	1759	2	@ Fiorentina	1755	1
12	1970-10-25	14.56%	Cagliari	1829	3	@ Inter Milan	1816	1
13	1971-05-16	14.59%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1711	1	@ Lazio Roma	1697	0
14	1971-05-02	14.70%	Fiorentina	1735	1	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1719	0
15	1971-01-17	15.36%	AC Milan	1863	4	@ Cagliari	1837	0
16	1971-01-24	15.37%	Juventus	1779	2	@ Fiorentina	1753	1
17	1971-05-02	16.36%	Hellas Verona	1685	1	@ Catania	1646	0
18	1971-03-21	16.66%	Cagliari	1785	2	@ Fiorentina	1742	1
19	1970-12-20	16.95%	AC Milan	1839	2	@ Napoli	1793	0
20	1970-11-15	16.96%	AC Milan	1822	5	@ Fiorentina	1776	2
21	1971-02-28	17.15%	Sampdoria	1707	3	@ Catania	1658	1
22	1971-03-21	17.44%	Bologna	1763	2	@ Sampdoria	1711	1
23	1970-12-20	17.52%	Roma	1729	2	@ Catania	1677	1
24	1970-10-07	17.63%	Napoli	1762	1	@ Sampdoria	1709	0
25	1970-09-27	17.65%	Fiorentina	1778	1	@ Roma	1724	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1971-01-17	28.75	AC Milan	4	1863	15.36%	@ Cagliari	0	1837	40.05%
2	1971-02-14	20.12	Napoli	3	1786	18.92%	@ Foggia	0	1720	34.82%
3	1970-10-25	16.07	AC Milan	2	1795	13.58%	@ Juventus	0	1799	44.07%
4	1970-11-15	15.39	AC Milan	5	1822	16.96%	@ Fiorentina	2	1776	37.40%
5	1971-01-10	14.81	@ Torino	4	1731	42.98%	Roma	0	1735	14.00%
6	1970-12-20	14.51	AC Milan	2	1839	16.95%	@ Napoli	0	1793	37.41%
7	1971-02-14	14.02	@ Varese	4	1684	28.57%	Cagliari	1	1800	25.53%
8	1970-10-25	13.45	Cagliari	3	1829	14.56%	@ Inter Milan	1	1816	41.66%
9	1971-04-11	12.82	@ Roma	5	1737	55.16%	Catania	0	1656	11.22%
10	1971-01-03	12.79	Inter Milan	2	1812	22.84%	@ Sampdoria	0	1714	30.81%
11	1971-02-28	12.51	Sampdoria	3	1707	17.15%	@ Catania	1	1658	37.12%
12	1971-04-18	12.41	Napoli	2	1807	24.49%	@ Hellas Verona	0	1698	29.40%
13	1971-03-14	12.18	Inter Milan	2	1850	25.51%	@ Torino	0	1734	28.59%
14	1970-11-15	12.09	@ Sampdoria	3	1705	40.69%	Hellas Verona	0	1726	15.02%
15	1970-09-27	11.07	@ Bologna	3	1739	43.82%	Lanerossi Vicenza	0	1737	13.67%
16	1971-01-24	11.03	@ Hellas Verona	2	1704	30.08%	Cagliari	0	1808	23.68%
17	1971-05-23	10.96	@ Varese	3	1689	44.17%	Foggia	0	1684	13.55%
18	1971-01-31	10.82	@ Juventus	5	1787	60.86%	Catania	0	1668	10.58%
19	1970-12-20	10.82	@ Fiorentina	3	1748	44.60%	Foggia	0	1740	13.40%
20	1970-11-29	10.79	@ Foggia	3	1722	44.68%	Hellas Verona	0	1713	13.37%
21	1970-11-08	10.76	@ AC Milan	3	1811	44.79%	Inter Milan	0	1802	13.34%
22	1970-10-07	10.43	Cagliari	4	1821	20.27%	@ Lazio Roma	2	1743	33.31%
23	1971-01-10	10.42	@ Sampdoria	2	1701	32.37%	Juventus	0	1787	21.19%
24	1971-03-28	10.28	Varese	2	1685	9.04%	@ AC Milan	1	1888	73.47%
25	1971-02-28	10.12	@ Roma	3	1722	46.91%	Varese	0	1698	12.71%