1972-73 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lazio Roma

11.96 points above expected

43 points · 31.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ternana

10.30 points below expected

16 points · 26.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	30	18	9	3	45	45	22	+23	38.2	+6.81
2	AC Milan	30	18	8	4	44	65	33	+32	38.1	+5.94
3	Lazio Roma	30	16	11	3	43	33	16	+17	31.0	+11.96
4	Fiorentina	30	16	5	9	37	39	26	+13	32.3	+4.70
5	Inter Milan	30	15	7	8	37	32	23	+9	36.8	+0.17
6	Torino	30	11	9	10	31	33	21	+12	33.2	-2.18
7	Bologna	30	11	9	10	31	33	31	+2	27.6	+3.38
8	Cagliari	30	9	11	10	29	26	28	-2	31.3	-2.34
9	Napoli	30	7	14	9	28	18	20	-2	29.9	-1.90
10	Hellas Verona	30	5	16	9	26	28	34	-6	25.7	+0.26
11	Roma	30	6	12	12	24	23	28	-5	30.3	-6.30
12	Sampdoria	30	5	14	11	24	16	25	-9	26.3	-2.33
13	Lanerossi Vicenza	30	7	10	13	24	15	31	-16	23.9	+0.08
14	Atalanta	30	5	14	11	24	16	33	-17	25.9	-1.92
15	Palermo	30	3	11	16	17	13	41	-28	23.0	-6.03
16	Ternana	30	3	10	17	16	14	37	-23	26.3	-10.30

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
AC Milan	1966	44	38.06	+5.94	95.0%	28	31	35	38	41	44	48
Juventus	1960	45	38.19	+6.81	99.0%	29	33	36	39	40	44	49
Lazio Roma	1868	43	31.04	+11.96	100.0%	21	25	28	31	34	37	40
Inter Milan	1867	37	36.83	+0.17	52.0%	25	29	34	37	40	43	45
Torino	1862	31	33.18	-2.18	31.0%	24	25	30	34	36	39	45
Fiorentina	1859	37	32.30	+4.70	89.0%	23	25	30	32	35	40	41
Cagliari	1807	29	31.34	-2.34	32.0%	23	26	29	31	34	38	42
Bologna	1800	31	27.62	+3.38	82.0%	19	22	24	28	30	34	37
Napoli	1789	28	29.90	-1.90	38.0%	21	23	27	30	32	36	39
Roma	1758	24	30.30	-6.30	8.0%	20	23	28	30	33	37	38
Sampdoria	1748	24	26.33	-2.33	26.0%	16	19	24	27	29	33	38
Hellas Verona	1745	26	25.74	+0.26	58.0%	16	19	23	25	28	34	37
Atalanta	1693	24	25.92	-1.92	36.0%	16	19	23	26	29	32	34
Lanerossi Vicenza	1693	24	23.92	+0.08	50.0%	14	17	21	24	26	31	34
Ternana	1647	16	26.30	-10.30	2.0%	16	19	23	26	29	33	37
Palermo	1620	17	23.03	-6.03	8.0%	12	16	20	23	26	31	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ATA	BOL	CAG	FIO	HV	IM	JUV	LV	LR	NAP	PAL	ROM	SAM	TER	TOR
AC Milan	—	1-1-0 3.69	1-0-1 3.69	1-1-0 3.40	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 4.02	2-0-0 2.74	0-2-0 2.60	2-0-0 3.98	1-0-1 3.35	1-1-0 3.54	2-0-0 3.91	1-1-0 3.34	2-0-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.15
Atalanta	0-1-1 1.67	—	1-0-1 2.40	0-2-0 2.17	0-1-1 2.05	0-1-1 2.64	0-2-0 1.71	0-1-1 1.54	0-1-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.44	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 2.65	0-2-0 2.81	1-0-1 1.92
Bologna	1-0-1 1.69	1-0-1 2.88	—	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.29	1-1-0 2.78	1-1-0 1.76	0-0-2 1.94	0-2-0 3.06	0-2-0 2.26	1-1-0 2.48	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.05
Cagliari	0-1-1 1.99	0-2-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.87	—	0-1-1 2.73	0-2-0 3.11	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 2.16	1-0-1 3.41	0-0-2 2.59	1-1-0 2.78	2-0-0 3.55	0-2-0 2.75	2-0-0 3.01	1-1-0 3.21	1-1-0 2.34
Fiorentina	1-0-1 2.06	1-1-0 3.29	1-0-1 3.02	1-1-0 2.56	—	2-0-0 3.06	0-0-2 2.33	1-0-1 2.12	2-0-0 3.48	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.66	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.61	0-1-1 2.63
Hellas Verona	1-0-1 1.40	1-1-0 2.65	0-1-1 2.52	0-2-0 2.20	0-0-2 2.25	—	0-0-2 1.80	0-2-0 1.64	0-2-0 2.95	0-1-1 2.17	0-2-0 2.35	0-2-0 3.00	1-1-0 2.23	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 1.84
Inter Milan	0-0-2 2.53	0-2-0 3.65	0-1-1 3.59	2-0-0 2.97	2-0-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.57	—	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 3.90	0-2-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.40	2-0-0 4.15	1-1-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.54	2-0-0 3.73	1-0-1 2.82
Juventus	0-2-0 2.68	1-1-0 3.86	2-0-0 3.44	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.17	0-2-0 3.73	2-0-0 2.77	—	2-0-0 3.99	1-1-0 3.44	0-2-0 3.20	2-0-0 4.04	2-0-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.62	2-0-0 4.07	0-0-2 3.05
Lanerossi Vicenza	0-0-2 1.44	1-1-0 2.35	0-2-0 2.28	1-0-1 1.93	0-0-2 1.86	0-2-0 2.34	1-0-1 1.54	0-0-2 1.46	—	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 2.18	1-1-0 2.74	0-2-0 1.90	0-2-0 2.32	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 1.85
Lazio Roma	1-0-1 1.98	1-1-0 3.15	0-2-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.40	1-1-0 3.18	0-2-0 1.88	0-1-1 1.91	2-0-0 3.06	—	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 3.51	2-0-0 2.58	1-1-0 3.15	2-0-0 2.99	0-2-0 2.50
Napoli	0-1-1 1.84	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.47	0-2-0 2.96	1-0-1 1.92	0-2-0 2.15	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 2.28	—	0-1-1 3.46	1-0-1 2.49	0-2-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.83	0-2-0 2.20
Palermo	0-0-2 1.49	0-0-2 2.24	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 1.79	1-0-1 1.73	0-2-0 2.31	0-0-2 1.31	0-0-2 1.43	0-1-1 2.54	0-0-2 1.82	1-1-0 1.89	—	0-2-0 1.80	0-2-0 2.39	0-2-0 2.42	1-0-1 1.86
Roma	0-1-1 2.04	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.98	0-2-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.22	0-0-2 1.70	0-2-0 3.43	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 2.80	0-2-0 3.56	—	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.29
Sampdoria	0-0-2 1.56	1-1-0 2.65	1-1-0 2.40	0-0-2 2.29	0-0-2 2.30	0-1-1 2.66	0-1-1 1.84	0-1-1 1.73	0-2-0 3.00	0-1-1 2.18	0-2-0 2.36	0-2-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.25	—	1-1-0 2.73	2-0-0 1.98
Ternana	0-1-1 1.84	0-2-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.13	0-0-2 1.74	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-2 1.65	0-0-2 1.36	1-0-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.29	0-1-1 2.46	0-2-0 2.87	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.54	—	0-1-1 2.15
Torino	0-1-1 2.16	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 3.26	0-1-1 2.94	1-1-0 2.65	1-1-0 3.49	1-0-1 2.48	2-0-0 2.29	1-0-1 3.48	0-2-0 2.79	0-2-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.49	1-0-1 2.99	0-0-2 3.37	1-1-0 3.16	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	12.71%	6.88%	2.29%	0.83%	—	42.71%
1	12.71%	12.50%	4.79%	2.08%	0.83%	—	32.92%
2	6.88%	4.79%	2.92%	1.25%	0.21%	—	16.04%
3	2.29%	2.08%	1.25%	—	—	0.42%	6.04%
4	0.83%	0.83%	0.21%	—	—	—	1.88%
5+	—	—	—	0.42%	—	—	0.42%
Total	42.71%	32.92%	16.04%	6.04%	1.88%	0.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.94
Mean allowed	0.94
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.161
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
1	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	26.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	30.00%	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.367
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	33.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Atalanta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.53
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	1.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.545
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	23.33%	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.028
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	23.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	33.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.184
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
1	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	33.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.410
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	26.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	56.67%
2	—	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.565
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	23.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	60.00%	13.33%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.073
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
3	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	26.67%	23.33%	—	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.222
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	60.00%
1	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	23.33%	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Lanerossi Vicenza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.50
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.68
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	1.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.023
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	20.00%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	10.00%	20.00%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.33%	43.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	0.53
StdDev scored	0.84
StdDev allowed	0.68
Mean total goals/game	1.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.144
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	53.33%
1	13.33%	23.33%	—	—	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	43.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.60
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	0.77
StdDev allowed	0.76
Mean total goals/game	1.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.295
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	60.00%
1	6.67%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	40.00%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Palermo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.43
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	0.57
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.040
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	56.67%
1	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.199
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	33.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	60.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	43.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.53
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	1.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.216
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	66.67%
1	—	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Ternana — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.47
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.144
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	50.00%
1	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
2	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	36.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	0.75
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.040
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lazio Roma	43	31.0	+11.96
2	Juventus	45	38.2	+6.81
3	AC Milan	44	38.1	+5.94
4	Fiorentina	37	32.3	+4.70
5	Bologna	31	27.6	+3.38

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ternana	16	26.3	-10.30
2	Roma	24	30.3	-6.30
3	Palermo	17	23.0	-6.03
4	Cagliari	29	31.3	-2.34
5	Sampdoria	24	26.3	-2.33

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lazio Roma	8	Feb 18 – Apr 22	1 in 1,330
2	AC Milan	5	Mar 4 – Apr 8	1 in 59
3	Lanerossi Vicenza	2	Jan 28 – Jan 31	1 in 55
4	Bologna	3	Feb 4 – Feb 18	1 in 49
5	Juventus	6	Apr 15 – May 20	1 in 37

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ternana	5	Feb 18 – Mar 25	1 in 98
2	Palermo	5	Apr 8 – May 6	1 in 54
3	Inter Milan	3	Mar 11 – Mar 25	1 in 35
4	Sampdoria	3	Sep 24 – Oct 15	1 in 28
5	Atalanta	3	May 6 – May 20	1 in 26

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lazio Roma	13	Sep 24 – Jan 7	1 in 228
2	Juventus	14	Nov 12 – Feb 18	1 in 35
3	Atalanta	6	Dec 17 – Jan 28	1 in 20
4	Napoli	6	Mar 11 – Apr 22	1 in 13
5	Cagliari	8	Dec 17 – Feb 11	1 in 12

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roma	11	Dec 17 – Mar 11	1 in 146
2	Ternana	16	Jan 21 – May 20	1 in 103
3	Palermo	19	Dec 23 – May 20	1 in 90
4	Lanerossi Vicenza	12	Oct 15 – Jan 21	1 in 62
5	Napoli	11	Nov 12 – Jan 28	1 in 54

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Juventus	26.00%	33.00%	17.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
AC Milan	38.00%	19.00%	18.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	—	2.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lazio Roma	2.00%	1.00%	11.00%	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—
Fiorentina	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	13.00%	8.00%	10.00%	12.00%	12.00%	11.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Inter Milan	20.00%	24.00%	13.00%	17.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—
Torino	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	15.00%	17.00%	13.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Bologna	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	13.00%	11.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Cagliari	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	14.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Napoli	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%	15.00%	13.00%	8.00%	13.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Hellas Verona	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	12.00%	9.00%	11.00%	15.00%	13.00%	11.00%
Roma	—	1.00%	7.00%	3.00%	13.00%	13.00%	8.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Sampdoria	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	11.00%	13.00%	12.00%	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	16.00%	14.00%	12.00%	17.00%	22.00%
Atalanta	—	—	—	1.00%	—	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	13.00%	14.00%	14.00%	6.00%
Palermo	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	21.00%	35.00%
Ternana	—	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	8.00%	3.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	11.00%	10.00%	19.00%	9.00%	11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Inter Milan	99.0%	1.0%
Fiorentina	98.0%	2.0%
Lazio Roma	98.0%	2.0%
Torino	98.0%	2.0%
Cagliari	97.0%	3.0%
Napoli	94.0%	6.0%
Roma	92.0%	8.0%
Bologna	79.0%	21.0%
Sampdoria	75.0%	25.0%
Atalanta	66.0%	34.0%
Hellas Verona	61.0%	39.0%
Ternana	61.0%	39.0%
Lanerossi Vicenza	49.0%	51.0%
Palermo	33.0%	67.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1972-09-24	Palermo	W 4-0	1872	1716	63.9%	27.4%	8.7%	+10.6	3
1972-09-24	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1716	1872	8.7%	27.4%	63.9%	-10.6	0
1972-09-24	Juventus	L 0-2	1765	1866	35.7%	36.9%	27.5%	-18.8	0
1972-09-24	@ Bologna	W 2-0	1866	1765	27.5%	36.9%	35.7%	+18.8	3
1972-09-24	Atalanta	D 0-0	1841	1753	57.2%	31.6%	11.2%	-3.0	1
1972-09-24	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1753	1841	11.2%	31.6%	57.2%	+3.0	1
1972-09-24	Roma	D 2-2	1743	1811	39.9%	36.8%	23.3%	-0.6	1
1972-09-24	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1811	1743	23.3%	36.8%	39.9%	+0.6	1
1972-09-24	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1741	1876	31.1%	36.5%	32.4%	+0.1	1
1972-09-24	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1876	1741	32.4%	36.5%	31.1%	-0.1	1
1972-09-24	Ternana	W 1-0	1794	1766	50.9%	34.5%	14.6%	+5.3	3
1972-09-24	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1766	1794	14.6%	34.5%	50.9%	-5.3	0
1972-09-24	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1766	1814	42.4%	36.6%	21.0%	-11.3	0
1972-09-24	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1814	1766	21.0%	36.6%	42.4%	+11.3	3
1972-09-24	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1832	1725	59.1%	30.5%	10.4%	+10.2	3
1972-09-24	@ Torino	L 0-3	1725	1832	10.4%	30.5%	59.1%	-10.2	0
1972-10-01	Napoli	D 0-0	1756	1799	42.9%	36.5%	20.5%	-1.3	2
1972-10-01	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1799	1756	20.5%	36.5%	42.9%	+1.3	4
1972-10-01	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1826	1741	56.9%	31.8%	11.4%	-14.3	3
1972-10-01	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1741	1826	11.4%	31.8%	56.9%	+14.3	4
1972-10-01	Bologna	D 0-0	1876	1746	61.4%	29.0%	9.6%	-3.4	2
1972-10-01	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1746	1876	9.6%	29.0%	61.4%	+3.4	1
1972-10-01	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1885	1742	62.7%	28.2%	9.1%	-3.1	4
1972-10-01	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1742	1885	9.1%	28.2%	62.7%	+3.1	2
1972-10-01	Torino	W 2-1	1705	1842	30.9%	36.4%	32.6%	+8.8	3
1972-10-01	@ Palermo	L 1-2	1842	1705	32.6%	36.4%	30.9%	-8.8	3
1972-10-01	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1812	1755	54.0%	33.2%	12.8%	+7.6	4
1972-10-01	@ Roma	L 1-3	1755	1812	12.8%	33.2%	54.0%	-7.6	0
1972-10-01	AC Milan	D 0-0	1761	1882	33.1%	36.7%	30.2%	-0.2	1
1972-10-01	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1882	1761	30.2%	36.7%	33.1%	+0.1	4
1972-10-01	Cagliari	W 1-0	1715	1838	32.8%	36.7%	30.6%	+9.0	3
1972-10-01	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1838	1715	30.6%	36.7%	32.8%	-9.0	1
1972-10-15	Atalanta	W 9-3	1882	1754	61.2%	29.2%	9.6%	+10.8	7
1972-10-15	@ AC Milan	L 3-9	1754	1882	9.6%	29.2%	61.2%	-10.8	2
1972-10-15	Roma	L 1-3	1749	1819	39.7%	36.9%	23.5%	-17.6	1
1972-10-15	@ Bologna	W 3-1	1819	1749	23.5%	36.9%	39.7%	+17.6	7
1972-10-15	Palermo	W 2-0	1829	1714	59.8%	30.0%	10.1%	+6.8	4
1972-10-15	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1714	1829	10.1%	30.0%	59.8%	-6.8	3
1972-10-15	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1745	1811	40.2%	36.8%	23.0%	-10.3	2
1972-10-15	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1811	1745	23.0%	36.8%	40.2%	+10.3	6
1972-10-15	Juventus	D 1-1	1755	1882	32.3%	36.6%	31.1%	-0.0	5
1972-10-15	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1882	1755	31.1%	36.6%	32.3%	+0.1	5
1972-10-15	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1800	1724	56.0%	32.2%	11.8%	+8.0	7
1972-10-15	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1724	1800	11.8%	32.2%	56.0%	-8.1	3
1972-10-15	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1747	1873	32.4%	36.6%	30.9%	-9.3	0
1972-10-15	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1873	1747	30.9%	36.6%	32.4%	+9.3	5
1972-10-15	Ternana	W 2-0	1833	1761	55.6%	32.4%	12.0%	+8.2	6
1972-10-15	@ Torino	L 0-2	1761	1833	12.0%	32.4%	55.6%	-8.2	1
1972-10-29	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1743	1735	48.9%	35.2%	15.9%	-12.7	2
1972-10-29	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1735	1743	15.9%	35.2%	48.9%	+12.7	5
1972-10-29	Torino	D 0-0	1822	1842	45.7%	36.1%	18.3%	-1.6	7
1972-10-29	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1842	1822	18.3%	36.1%	45.7%	+1.6	7
1972-10-29	Cagliari	W 1-0	1882	1835	52.9%	33.7%	13.4%	+4.9	8
1972-10-29	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1835	1882	13.4%	33.7%	52.9%	-4.9	4
1972-10-29	AC Milan	D 2-2	1882	1893	46.7%	35.9%	17.5%	-1.2	6
1972-10-29	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1893	1882	17.5%	35.9%	46.7%	+1.2	8
1972-10-29	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1707	1738	44.5%	36.3%	19.2%	-1.5	4
1972-10-29	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1738	1707	19.2%	36.3%	44.5%	+1.5	1
1972-10-29	Napoli	W 1-0	1837	1808	51.0%	34.5%	14.5%	+5.2	10
1972-10-29	@ Roma	L 0-1	1808	1837	14.5%	34.5%	51.0%	-5.2	7
1972-10-29	Bologna	W 2-0	1753	1732	50.2%	34.8%	15.0%	+10.2	4
1972-10-29	@ Ternana	L 0-2	1732	1753	15.0%	34.8%	50.2%	-10.2	1
1972-10-29	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1716	1755	43.4%	36.5%	20.1%	-10.9	3
1972-10-29	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1755	1716	20.1%	36.5%	43.4%	+10.9	8
1972-11-05	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1894	1705	67.2%	25.0%	7.8%	+4.7	11
1972-11-05	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1705	1894	7.8%	25.0%	67.2%	-4.7	3
1972-11-05	Palermo	W 3-0	1721	1706	49.6%	35.0%	15.4%	+15.2	4
1972-11-05	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1706	1721	15.4%	35.0%	49.6%	-15.2	4
1972-11-05	Roma	D 2-2	1831	1842	46.6%	35.9%	17.5%	-1.2	5
1972-11-05	@ Cagliari	D 2-2	1842	1831	17.5%	35.9%	46.6%	+1.2	11
1972-11-05	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1747	1887	30.6%	36.4%	33.0%	-9.0	5
1972-11-05	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1887	1747	33.0%	36.4%	30.6%	+9.0	11
1972-11-05	Ternana	W 2-1	1766	1763	48.2%	35.4%	16.3%	+5.5	11
1972-11-05	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1763	1766	16.3%	35.4%	48.2%	-5.5	4
1972-11-05	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1803	1820	46.0%	36.0%	18.0%	+17.2	10
1972-11-05	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1820	1803	18.0%	36.0%	46.0%	-17.2	7
1972-11-05	Atalanta	D 0-0	1739	1731	48.9%	35.2%	15.9%	-2.0	2
1972-11-05	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1731	1739	15.9%	35.2%	48.9%	+2.0	3
1972-11-05	Juventus	W 2-1	1843	1881	43.7%	36.4%	19.9%	+6.4	10
1972-11-05	@ Torino	L 1-2	1881	1843	19.9%	36.4%	43.7%	-6.4	6
1972-11-12	Torino	W 1-0	1733	1850	33.6%	36.7%	29.7%	+8.8	6
1972-11-12	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1850	1733	29.7%	36.7%	33.6%	-8.8	10
1972-11-12	AC Milan	W 3-1	1803	1899	36.3%	36.9%	26.8%	+13.5	10
1972-11-12	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1899	1803	26.8%	36.9%	36.3%	-13.5	11
1972-11-12	Napoli	W 2-0	1896	1820	55.9%	32.3%	11.8%	+8.1	14
1972-11-12	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1820	1896	11.8%	32.3%	55.9%	-8.1	10
1972-11-12	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1874	1737	62.1%	28.6%	9.3%	-3.1	7
1972-11-12	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1737	1874	9.3%	28.6%	62.1%	+3.1	3
1972-11-12	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1691	1738	42.4%	36.6%	21.0%	-1.2	5
1972-11-12	@ Palermo	D 0-0	1738	1691	21.0%	36.6%	42.4%	+1.2	6
1972-11-12	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1843	1771	55.5%	32.5%	12.0%	-14.0	11
1972-11-12	@ Roma	W 1-0	1771	1843	12.0%	32.5%	55.5%	+14.0	14
1972-11-12	Cagliari	D 1-1	1758	1829	39.5%	36.9%	23.7%	-0.8	5
1972-11-12	@ Ternana	D 1-1	1829	1758	23.7%	36.9%	39.5%	+0.8	6
1972-11-12	Bologna	D 0-0	1700	1737	43.7%	36.4%	19.8%	-1.4	4
1972-11-12	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1737	1700	19.8%	36.4%	43.7%	+1.4	5
1972-11-19	Inter Milan	W 3-2	1886	1904	45.9%	36.0%	18.1%	+5.7	14
1972-11-19	@ AC Milan	L 2-3	1904	1886	18.1%	36.0%	45.9%	-5.7	14
1972-11-19	Atalanta	W 1-0	1738	1742	47.5%	35.6%	16.8%	+6.0	8
1972-11-19	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1742	1738	16.8%	35.6%	47.5%	-6.0	6
1972-11-19	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1830	1816	49.5%	35.0%	15.5%	-1.4	7
1972-11-19	@ Cagliari	D 2-2	1816	1830	15.5%	35.0%	49.5%	+1.4	11
1972-11-19	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1740	1698	52.4%	33.9%	13.7%	-2.4	7
1972-11-19	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1698	1740	13.7%	33.9%	52.4%	+2.4	5
1972-11-19	Palermo	W 2-0	1785	1690	58.0%	31.1%	10.9%	+7.4	17
1972-11-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1690	1785	10.9%	31.1%	58.0%	-7.4	5
1972-11-19	Juventus	D 1-1	1812	1871	41.1%	36.8%	22.2%	-1.0	11
1972-11-19	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1871	1812	22.2%	36.8%	41.1%	+1.0	8
1972-11-19	Ternana	D 0-0	1740	1757	46.1%	36.0%	17.9%	-1.7	4
1972-11-19	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1757	1740	17.9%	36.0%	46.1%	+1.7	6
1972-11-19	Roma	W 2-0	1841	1829	49.2%	35.1%	15.7%	+10.6	13
1972-11-19	@ Torino	L 0-2	1829	1841	15.7%	35.1%	49.2%	-10.6	11
1972-11-26	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1736	1793	41.3%	36.7%	22.0%	-1.0	7
1972-11-26	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1793	1736	22.0%	36.7%	41.3%	+1.0	18
1972-11-26	Bologna	W 3-0	1818	1744	55.7%	32.4%	11.9%	+11.9	14
1972-11-26	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1744	1818	11.9%	32.4%	55.7%	-11.9	8
1972-11-26	Torino	W 2-0	1898	1851	53.0%	33.7%	13.3%	+9.2	17
1972-11-26	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1851	1898	13.3%	33.7%	53.0%	-9.2	13
1972-11-26	Cagliari	W 2-0	1872	1829	52.6%	33.9%	13.6%	+9.3	11
1972-11-26	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1829	1872	13.6%	33.9%	52.6%	-9.3	7
1972-11-26	Napoli	W 1-0	1682	1811	32.0%	36.6%	31.5%	+9.1	8
1972-11-26	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1811	1682	31.5%	36.6%	32.0%	-9.1	11
1972-11-26	AC Milan	D 0-0	1819	1891	39.4%	36.9%	23.8%	-0.9	12
1972-11-26	@ Roma	D 0-0	1891	1819	23.8%	36.9%	39.4%	+0.9	15
1972-11-26	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1758	1737	50.2%	34.8%	15.0%	+5.1	9
1972-11-26	@ Ternana	L 1-2	1737	1758	15.0%	34.8%	50.2%	-5.1	7
1972-11-26	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1701	1739	43.6%	36.4%	20.0%	-1.4	6
1972-11-26	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1739	1701	20.0%	36.4%	43.6%	+1.4	5
1972-12-03	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1892	1740	63.5%	27.6%	8.8%	+4.9	18
1972-12-03	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1740	1892	8.8%	27.6%	63.5%	-4.9	5
1972-12-03	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1735	1908	26.4%	35.5%	38.0%	+0.6	8
1972-12-03	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1908	1735	38.0%	35.5%	26.4%	-0.6	18
1972-12-03	Torino	W 1-0	1732	1842	34.5%	36.8%	28.7%	+8.7	11
1972-12-03	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1842	1732	28.7%	36.8%	34.5%	-8.7	13
1972-12-03	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1881	1829	53.5%	33.5%	13.1%	+4.5	14
1972-12-03	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1829	1881	13.1%	33.5%	53.5%	-4.5	14
1972-12-03	Cagliari	W 2-1	1794	1820	45.0%	36.2%	18.8%	+6.1	21
1972-12-03	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1820	1794	18.8%	36.2%	45.0%	-6.1	7
1972-12-03	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1802	1732	55.4%	32.6%	12.1%	-2.5	12
1972-12-03	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1732	1802	12.1%	32.6%	55.4%	+2.5	8
1972-12-03	Roma	L 1-4	1764	1818	41.6%	36.7%	21.7%	-25.8	9
1972-12-03	@ Ternana	W 4-1	1818	1764	21.7%	36.7%	41.6%	+25.8	15
1972-12-03	Palermo	D 1-1	1700	1691	48.8%	35.2%	15.9%	-1.8	7
1972-12-03	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1691	1700	15.9%	35.2%	48.8%	+1.8	9
1972-12-10	AC Milan	L 0-1	1813	1897	38.0%	36.9%	25.1%	-10.4	7
1972-12-10	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1897	1813	25.1%	36.9%	38.0%	+10.4	21
1972-12-10	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1825	1698	61.1%	29.2%	9.7%	+3.4	17
1972-12-10	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1698	1825	9.7%	29.2%	61.1%	-3.4	7
1972-12-10	Bologna	D 0-0	1735	1741	47.2%	35.7%	17.1%	-1.8	9
1972-12-10	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1741	1735	17.1%	35.7%	47.2%	+1.8	12
1972-12-10	Ternana	W 4-0	1907	1738	65.2%	26.5%	8.3%	+9.9	21
1972-12-10	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1738	1907	8.3%	26.5%	65.2%	-9.9	9
1972-12-10	Juventus	L 0-1	1693	1886	24.3%	34.9%	40.8%	-7.6	9
1972-12-10	@ Palermo	W 1-0	1886	1693	40.8%	34.9%	24.3%	+7.6	17
1972-12-10	Atalanta	W 2-0	1844	1735	59.2%	30.4%	10.4%	+7.0	18
1972-12-10	@ Roma	L 0-2	1735	1844	10.4%	30.4%	59.2%	-7.0	8
1972-12-10	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1735	1800	40.3%	36.8%	22.9%	-1.0	6
1972-12-10	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1800	1735	22.9%	36.8%	40.3%	+1.0	22
1972-12-10	Napoli	D 0-0	1834	1800	51.6%	34.3%	14.1%	-2.3	14
1972-12-10	@ Torino	D 0-0	1800	1834	14.1%	34.3%	51.6%	+2.3	13
1972-12-17	Napoli	W 2-0	1743	1802	41.0%	36.8%	22.2%	+13.8	15
1972-12-17	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1802	1743	22.2%	36.8%	41.0%	-13.8	13
1972-12-17	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1803	1734	55.2%	32.6%	12.1%	+4.4	10
1972-12-17	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1734	1803	12.1%	32.6%	55.2%	-4.4	6
1972-12-17	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1686	1828	30.1%	36.3%	33.5%	+9.5	12
1972-12-17	@ Palermo	L 0-1	1828	1686	33.5%	36.3%	30.1%	-9.5	17
1972-12-17	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1851	1917	40.2%	36.8%	23.0%	-20.5	18
1972-12-17	@ Roma	W 2-0	1917	1851	23.0%	36.8%	40.2%	+20.5	24
1972-12-17	Atalanta	D 0-0	1728	1728	47.9%	35.5%	16.6%	-1.9	10
1972-12-17	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1728	1728	16.6%	35.5%	47.9%	+1.9	9
1972-12-17	Hellas Verona	W 3-2	1831	1733	58.2%	31.0%	10.8%	+3.5	17
1972-12-17	@ Torino	L 2-3	1733	1831	10.8%	31.0%	58.2%	-3.5	9
1972-12-17	Juventus	L 0-2	1694	1893	23.6%	34.6%	41.7%	-14.0	7
1972-12-17	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1893	1694	41.7%	34.6%	23.6%	+14.0	20
1972-12-23	Palermo	W 1-0	1730	1695	51.7%	34.2%	14.1%	+5.1	12
1972-12-23	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1695	1730	14.1%	34.2%	51.7%	-5.1	12
1972-12-23	Roma	W 2-1	1819	1830	46.7%	35.8%	17.5%	+5.8	20
1972-12-23	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1830	1819	17.5%	35.8%	46.7%	-5.8	18
1972-12-23	Cagliari	D 1-1	1729	1807	38.7%	36.9%	24.4%	-0.7	10
1972-12-23	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1807	1729	24.4%	36.9%	38.7%	+0.7	11
1972-12-23	Ternana	W 2-0	1907	1726	66.4%	25.6%	8.0%	+4.9	23
1972-12-23	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1726	1907	8.0%	25.6%	66.4%	-4.9	10
1972-12-23	Torino	D 0-0	1801	1835	44.1%	36.4%	19.6%	-1.5	23
1972-12-23	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1835	1801	19.6%	36.4%	44.1%	+1.5	18
1972-12-23	AC Milan	D 0-0	1788	1907	33.3%	36.7%	30.0%	-0.2	14
1972-12-23	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1907	1788	30.0%	36.7%	33.3%	+0.2	22
1972-12-23	Bologna	W 2-1	1730	1756	44.9%	36.2%	18.9%	+6.1	9
1972-12-23	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1756	1730	18.9%	36.2%	44.9%	-6.1	15
1972-12-30	Torino	W 1-0	1908	1836	55.5%	32.5%	12.0%	+4.4	25
1972-12-30	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1836	1908	12.0%	32.5%	55.5%	-4.4	18
1972-12-30	Napoli	W 1-0	1808	1788	50.1%	34.8%	15.0%	+5.4	14
1972-12-30	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1788	1808	15.0%	34.8%	50.1%	-5.4	14
1972-12-30	Ternana	W 2-1	1825	1721	58.8%	30.7%	10.6%	+3.6	23
1972-12-30	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1721	1825	10.6%	30.7%	58.8%	-3.6	10
1972-12-30	Atalanta	D 0-0	1912	1735	66.0%	25.9%	8.1%	-3.8	24
1972-12-30	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1735	1912	8.1%	25.9%	66.0%	+3.8	13
1972-12-30	Bologna	D 0-0	1799	1750	53.2%	33.6%	13.2%	-2.5	24
1972-12-30	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1750	1799	13.2%	33.6%	53.2%	+2.5	16
1972-12-30	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1690	1937	19.3%	32.4%	48.3%	-11.7	12
1972-12-30	@ Palermo	W 2-0	1937	1690	48.3%	32.4%	19.3%	+11.7	27
1972-12-30	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1736	1729	48.7%	35.3%	16.0%	-12.7	9
1972-12-30	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1729	1736	16.0%	35.3%	48.7%	+12.7	13
1972-12-30	Roma	D 0-0	1680	1824	30.0%	36.3%	33.7%	+0.2	8
1972-12-30	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1824	1680	33.7%	36.3%	30.0%	-0.2	19
1973-01-07	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1739	1828	37.2%	36.9%	25.9%	-0.6	14
1973-01-07	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1828	1739	25.9%	36.9%	37.2%	+0.6	24
1973-01-07	AC Milan	W 3-2	1753	1912	28.1%	35.9%	36.0%	+8.9	19
1973-01-07	@ Bologna	L 2-3	1912	1753	36.0%	35.9%	28.1%	-8.9	25
1973-01-07	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1741	1797	41.5%	36.7%	21.8%	-1.0	14
1973-01-07	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1797	1741	21.8%	36.7%	41.5%	+1.0	25
1973-01-07	Juventus	L 0-2	1949	1909	52.3%	34.0%	13.7%	-25.2	27
1973-01-07	@ Inter Milan	W 2-0	1909	1949	13.7%	34.0%	52.3%	+25.2	27
1973-01-07	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1783	1723	54.3%	33.1%	12.6%	-2.6	15
1973-01-07	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1723	1783	12.6%	33.1%	54.3%	+2.6	10
1973-01-07	Palermo	D 0-0	1824	1678	62.9%	28.0%	9.0%	-3.5	20
1973-01-07	@ Roma	D 0-0	1678	1824	9.0%	28.0%	62.9%	+3.5	13
1973-01-07	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1717	1681	51.9%	34.1%	14.0%	+9.6	13
1973-01-07	@ Ternana	L 0-2	1681	1717	14.0%	34.1%	51.9%	-9.6	8
1973-01-07	Cagliari	D 0-0	1832	1814	49.9%	34.9%	15.2%	-2.1	19
1973-01-07	@ Torino	D 0-0	1814	1832	15.2%	34.9%	49.9%	+2.2	15
1973-01-17	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1903	1798	58.9%	30.6%	10.5%	+6.1	28
1973-01-17	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1798	1903	10.5%	30.6%	58.9%	-6.1	25
1973-01-21	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1909	1740	65.2%	26.5%	8.3%	+2.6	31
1973-01-21	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1740	1909	8.3%	26.5%	65.2%	-2.6	14
1973-01-21	Bologna	W 1-0	1816	1762	53.7%	33.4%	12.9%	+4.7	18
1973-01-21	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1762	1816	12.9%	33.4%	53.7%	-4.7	19
1973-01-21	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1829	1924	36.5%	36.9%	26.6%	-9.6	24
1973-01-21	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1924	1829	26.6%	36.9%	36.5%	+9.5	30
1973-01-21	Roma	W 1-0	1934	1821	59.7%	30.1%	10.2%	+3.6	30
1973-01-21	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1821	1934	10.2%	30.1%	59.7%	-3.6	20
1973-01-21	Napoli	W 3-0	1792	1780	49.2%	35.1%	15.7%	+15.4	28
1973-01-21	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1780	1792	15.7%	35.1%	49.2%	-15.4	15
1973-01-21	Ternana	D 1-1	1682	1727	42.7%	36.6%	20.7%	-1.2	14
1973-01-21	@ Palermo	D 1-1	1727	1682	20.7%	36.6%	42.7%	+1.1	14
1973-01-21	Torino	W 2-1	1726	1830	35.3%	36.9%	27.8%	+8.0	13
1973-01-21	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1830	1726	27.8%	36.9%	35.3%	-8.0	19
1973-01-21	Atalanta	D 1-1	1671	1738	40.0%	36.8%	23.2%	-0.8	9
1973-01-21	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1738	1671	23.2%	36.8%	40.0%	+0.9	15
1973-01-28	Cagliari	D 0-0	1739	1820	38.3%	36.9%	24.8%	-0.8	16
1973-01-28	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1820	1739	24.8%	36.9%	38.3%	+0.8	19
1973-01-28	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1819	1734	56.9%	31.7%	11.3%	+7.8	27
1973-01-28	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1734	1819	11.3%	31.7%	56.9%	-7.8	13
1973-01-28	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1933	1807	61.0%	29.3%	9.7%	-3.0	31
1973-01-28	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1807	1933	9.7%	29.3%	61.0%	+3.0	29
1973-01-28	Bologna	W 2-0	1937	1757	66.3%	25.7%	8.0%	+5.0	33
1973-01-28	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1757	1937	8.0%	25.7%	66.3%	-5.0	19
1973-01-28	AC Milan	L 0-1	1681	1912	20.6%	33.2%	46.1%	-6.6	14
1973-01-28	@ Palermo	W 1-0	1912	1681	46.1%	33.2%	20.6%	+6.6	34
1973-01-28	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1817	1738	56.3%	32.1%	11.6%	-14.2	20
1973-01-28	@ Roma	W 1-0	1738	1817	11.6%	32.1%	56.3%	+14.2	17
1973-01-28	Napoli	D 0-0	1728	1765	43.8%	36.4%	19.8%	-1.4	15
1973-01-28	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1765	1728	19.8%	36.4%	43.8%	+1.4	16
1973-01-28	Torino	W 1-0	1670	1822	29.0%	36.1%	34.8%	+9.7	12
1973-01-28	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1822	1670	34.8%	36.1%	29.0%	-9.7	19
1973-01-31	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1930	1680	73.0%	20.7%	6.3%	-15.6	31
1973-01-31	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1680	1930	6.3%	20.7%	73.0%	+15.6	15
1973-02-04	Ternana	W 3-1	1918	1727	67.4%	24.9%	7.7%	+4.1	37
1973-02-04	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1727	1918	7.7%	24.9%	67.4%	-4.0	15
1973-02-04	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1752	1915	27.6%	35.9%	36.5%	+10.0	22
1973-02-04	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1915	1752	36.5%	35.9%	27.6%	-10.0	31
1973-02-04	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1821	1695	61.0%	29.3%	9.7%	+9.4	22
1973-02-04	@ Cagliari	L 0-3	1695	1821	9.7%	29.3%	61.0%	-9.4	15
1973-02-04	Juventus	D 0-0	1752	1942	24.5%	35.0%	40.5%	+0.9	18
1973-02-04	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1942	1752	40.5%	35.0%	24.5%	-0.9	34
1973-02-04	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1810	1827	46.0%	36.0%	18.0%	-1.7	30
1973-02-04	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1827	1810	18.0%	36.0%	46.0%	+1.7	28
1973-02-04	Atalanta	W 1-0	1766	1739	50.9%	34.5%	14.6%	+5.3	19
1973-02-04	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1739	1766	14.6%	34.5%	50.9%	-5.3	16
1973-02-04	Roma	D 0-0	1726	1803	38.8%	36.9%	24.3%	-0.8	14
1973-02-04	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1803	1726	24.3%	36.9%	38.8%	+0.8	21
1973-02-04	Palermo	W 2-0	1812	1674	62.2%	28.5%	9.3%	+6.1	22
1973-02-04	@ Torino	L 0-2	1674	1812	9.3%	28.5%	62.2%	-6.1	14
1973-02-11	AC Milan	D 1-1	1733	1923	24.6%	35.0%	40.3%	+0.8	17
1973-02-11	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1923	1733	40.3%	35.0%	24.6%	-0.8	38
1973-02-11	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1829	1753	56.0%	32.2%	11.8%	+8.1	31
1973-02-11	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1753	1829	11.8%	32.2%	56.0%	-8.1	18
1973-02-11	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1905	1725	66.2%	25.7%	8.0%	-3.8	32
1973-02-11	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1725	1905	8.0%	25.7%	66.2%	+3.8	15
1973-02-11	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1942	1808	61.7%	28.9%	9.5%	+3.3	37
1973-02-11	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1808	1942	9.5%	28.9%	61.7%	-3.3	30
1973-02-11	Cagliari	L 0-1	1668	1831	27.7%	35.9%	36.5%	-8.4	14
1973-02-11	@ Palermo	W 1-0	1831	1668	36.5%	35.9%	27.7%	+8.3	25
1973-02-11	Bologna	L 0-1	1804	1762	52.4%	33.9%	13.7%	-13.4	21
1973-02-11	@ Roma	W 1-0	1762	1804	13.7%	33.9%	52.4%	+13.4	25
1973-02-11	Torino	D 0-0	1723	1818	36.4%	36.9%	26.7%	-0.5	16
1973-02-11	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1818	1723	26.7%	36.9%	36.4%	+0.5	23
1973-02-11	Napoli	W 1-0	1686	1771	37.8%	36.9%	25.3%	+8.0	18
1973-02-11	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1771	1686	25.3%	36.9%	37.8%	-8.0	19
1973-02-18	Juventus	D 2-2	1922	1945	45.3%	36.1%	18.5%	-1.1	39
1973-02-18	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1945	1922	18.5%	36.1%	45.3%	+1.1	38
1973-02-18	Ternana	W 3-0	1775	1722	53.6%	33.4%	13.0%	+13.0	28
1973-02-18	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1722	1775	13.0%	33.4%	53.6%	-12.9	16
1973-02-18	Inter Milan	L 2-3	1839	1901	40.7%	36.8%	22.6%	-9.8	25
1973-02-18	@ Cagliari	W 3-2	1901	1839	22.6%	36.8%	40.7%	+9.8	35
1973-02-18	Atalanta	D 1-1	1745	1734	49.1%	35.2%	15.7%	-1.8	19
1973-02-18	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1734	1745	15.7%	35.2%	49.1%	+1.8	18
1973-02-18	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1805	1694	59.5%	30.2%	10.3%	+3.6	33
1973-02-18	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1694	1805	10.3%	30.2%	59.5%	-3.7	18
1973-02-18	Roma	W 1-0	1763	1790	44.9%	36.2%	18.9%	+6.5	22
1973-02-18	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1790	1763	18.9%	36.2%	44.9%	-6.5	21
1973-02-18	Palermo	D 0-0	1729	1660	55.3%	32.6%	12.1%	-2.8	16
1973-02-18	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1660	1729	12.1%	32.6%	55.3%	+2.8	15
1973-02-18	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1819	1837	45.9%	36.0%	18.1%	+17.3	26
1973-02-18	@ Torino	L 0-3	1837	1819	18.1%	36.0%	45.9%	-17.3	31
1973-03-04	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1736	1726	49.0%	35.2%	15.8%	-24.0	18
1973-03-04	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1726	1736	15.8%	35.2%	49.0%	+24.0	19
1973-03-04	Napoli	W 1-0	1819	1770	53.3%	33.6%	13.2%	+4.8	34
1973-03-04	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1770	1819	13.2%	33.6%	53.3%	-4.8	22
1973-03-04	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1911	1743	65.1%	26.5%	8.3%	+2.8	38
1973-03-04	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1743	1911	8.3%	26.5%	65.1%	-2.8	19
1973-03-04	Torino	L 0-2	1946	1836	59.4%	30.3%	10.3%	-27.7	38
1973-03-04	@ Juventus	W 2-0	1836	1946	10.3%	30.3%	59.4%	+27.7	29
1973-03-04	Bologna	D 1-1	1662	1788	32.4%	36.6%	31.0%	-0.1	16
1973-03-04	@ Palermo	D 1-1	1788	1662	31.0%	36.6%	32.4%	+0.1	29
1973-03-04	Cagliari	D 0-0	1784	1829	42.7%	36.6%	20.7%	-1.3	22
1973-03-04	@ Roma	D 0-0	1829	1784	20.7%	36.6%	42.7%	+1.3	26
1973-03-04	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1709	1809	35.9%	36.9%	27.2%	-10.0	16
1973-03-04	@ Ternana	W 1-0	1809	1709	27.2%	36.9%	35.9%	+10.0	36
1973-03-04	AC Milan	L 0-3	1690	1921	20.7%	33.3%	46.0%	-18.2	18
1973-03-04	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1921	1690	46.0%	33.3%	20.7%	+18.2	42
1973-03-11	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1939	1824	59.8%	30.0%	10.1%	+6.8	45
1973-03-11	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1824	1939	10.1%	30.0%	59.8%	-6.8	34
1973-03-11	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1788	1672	60.0%	29.9%	10.1%	-3.2	30
1973-03-11	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1672	1788	10.1%	29.9%	60.0%	+3.2	19
1973-03-11	Ternana	W 1-0	1830	1699	61.5%	29.0%	9.5%	+3.3	29
1973-03-11	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1699	1830	9.5%	29.0%	61.5%	-3.3	16
1973-03-11	Palermo	D 1-1	1740	1662	56.1%	32.1%	11.7%	-2.5	20
1973-03-11	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1662	1740	11.7%	32.1%	56.1%	+2.5	17
1973-03-11	Roma	W 2-0	1819	1782	51.9%	34.2%	14.0%	+9.6	39
1973-03-11	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1782	1819	14.0%	34.2%	51.9%	-9.6	22
1973-03-11	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1765	1914	29.4%	36.2%	34.4%	+18.2	25
1973-03-11	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1914	1765	34.4%	36.2%	29.4%	-18.2	38
1973-03-11	Juventus	L 0-1	1750	1918	27.0%	35.7%	37.3%	-8.2	19
1973-03-11	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1918	1750	37.3%	35.7%	27.0%	+8.2	41
1973-03-11	Atalanta	W 2-1	1864	1712	63.5%	27.6%	8.8%	+2.9	32
1973-03-11	@ Torino	L 1-2	1712	1864	8.8%	27.6%	63.5%	-2.9	18
1973-03-18	Bologna	W 1-0	1709	1785	38.9%	36.9%	24.2%	+7.8	21
1973-03-18	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1785	1709	24.2%	36.9%	38.9%	-7.8	30
1973-03-18	Cagliari	W 3-0	1817	1834	46.1%	36.0%	17.9%	+17.2	37
1973-03-18	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1834	1817	17.9%	36.0%	46.1%	-17.2	29
1973-03-18	AC Milan	L 0-2	1895	1946	42.1%	36.6%	21.2%	-21.3	38
1973-03-18	@ Inter Milan	W 2-0	1946	1895	21.2%	36.6%	42.1%	+21.3	48
1973-03-18	Napoli	D 0-0	1926	1783	62.7%	28.2%	9.1%	-3.5	42
1973-03-18	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1783	1926	9.1%	28.2%	62.7%	+3.5	26
1973-03-18	Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1665	1828	27.5%	35.8%	36.6%	-15.7	17
1973-03-18	@ Palermo	W 2-0	1828	1665	36.6%	35.8%	27.5%	+15.7	42
1973-03-18	Torino	W 1-0	1773	1866	36.7%	36.9%	26.4%	+8.2	25
1973-03-18	@ Roma	L 0-1	1866	1773	26.4%	36.9%	36.7%	-8.2	32
1973-03-18	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1696	1742	42.6%	36.6%	20.8%	-21.5	16
1973-03-18	@ Ternana	W 2-0	1742	1696	20.8%	36.6%	42.6%	+21.5	22
1973-03-18	Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1676	1737	40.7%	36.8%	22.5%	-0.7	20
1973-03-18	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 2-2	1737	1676	22.5%	36.8%	40.7%	+0.7	21
1973-03-25	Roma	W 3-1	1967	1781	66.9%	25.3%	7.8%	+4.2	51
1973-03-25	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1781	1967	7.8%	25.3%	66.9%	-4.2	25
1973-03-25	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1777	1835	41.3%	36.7%	22.0%	+13.7	33
1973-03-25	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1835	1777	22.0%	36.7%	41.3%	-13.7	37
1973-03-25	Juventus	L 0-1	1816	1923	35.0%	36.8%	28.2%	-9.8	29
1973-03-25	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1923	1816	28.2%	36.8%	35.0%	+9.8	45
1973-03-25	Ternana	W 1-0	1738	1674	54.7%	32.9%	12.4%	+4.5	24
1973-03-25	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1674	1738	12.4%	32.9%	54.7%	-4.5	16
1973-03-25	Atalanta	W 2-1	1844	1717	61.1%	29.2%	9.7%	+3.2	45
1973-03-25	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1717	1844	9.7%	29.2%	61.1%	-3.2	21
1973-03-25	Palermo	D 1-1	1787	1649	62.1%	28.6%	9.3%	-3.1	27
1973-03-25	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1649	1787	9.3%	28.6%	62.1%	+3.1	18
1973-03-25	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1764	1675	57.3%	31.6%	11.2%	-3.0	23
1973-03-25	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1675	1764	11.2%	31.6%	57.3%	+3.0	21
1973-03-25	Inter Milan	W 4-0	1858	1874	46.2%	36.0%	17.9%	+22.4	35
1973-03-25	@ Torino	L 0-4	1874	1858	17.9%	36.0%	46.2%	-22.4	38
1973-04-08	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1807	1847	43.3%	36.5%	20.2%	-11.5	29
1973-04-08	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1847	1807	20.2%	36.5%	43.3%	+11.5	48
1973-04-08	Juventus	W 2-1	1821	1933	34.3%	36.8%	28.9%	+8.2	40
1973-04-08	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1933	1821	28.9%	36.8%	34.3%	-8.2	45
1973-04-08	Napoli	D 0-0	1743	1784	43.2%	36.5%	20.3%	-1.4	25
1973-04-08	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1784	1743	20.3%	36.5%	43.2%	+1.3	28
1973-04-08	Atalanta	D 0-0	1852	1714	62.2%	28.5%	9.3%	-3.5	39
1973-04-08	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1714	1852	9.3%	28.5%	62.2%	+3.4	22
1973-04-08	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1652	1678	45.0%	36.2%	18.8%	-11.9	18
1973-04-08	@ Palermo	W 1-0	1678	1652	18.8%	36.2%	45.0%	+11.9	24
1973-04-08	Ternana	D 0-0	1777	1670	59.1%	30.5%	10.4%	-3.2	26
1973-04-08	@ Roma	D 0-0	1670	1777	10.4%	30.5%	59.1%	+3.2	17
1973-04-08	AC Milan	L 1-4	1761	1971	22.5%	34.2%	43.3%	-16.4	23
1973-04-08	@ Sampdoria	W 4-1	1971	1761	43.3%	34.2%	22.5%	+16.4	54
1973-04-08	Bologna	W 3-1	1881	1791	57.3%	31.5%	11.2%	+6.6	38
1973-04-08	@ Torino	L 1-3	1791	1881	11.2%	31.5%	57.3%	-6.6	33
1973-04-15	Cagliari	D 1-1	1988	1795	67.5%	24.8%	7.7%	-3.5	55
1973-04-15	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1795	1988	7.7%	24.8%	67.5%	+3.5	30
1973-04-15	Roma	W 1-0	1717	1774	41.3%	36.7%	21.9%	+7.3	25
1973-04-15	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1774	1717	21.9%	36.7%	41.3%	-7.3	26
1973-04-15	Hellas Verona	W 4-1	1785	1741	52.6%	33.9%	13.6%	+11.4	36
1973-04-15	@ Bologna	L 1-4	1741	1785	13.6%	33.9%	52.6%	-11.4	25
1973-04-15	Palermo	W 4-1	1924	1640	76.1%	18.3%	5.6%	+3.6	48
1973-04-15	@ Juventus	L 1-4	1640	1924	5.6%	18.3%	76.1%	-3.6	18
1973-04-15	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1859	1744	59.9%	30.0%	10.1%	+3.6	51
1973-04-15	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1744	1859	10.1%	30.0%	59.9%	-3.6	23
1973-04-15	Torino	D 1-1	1785	1887	35.5%	36.9%	27.6%	-0.4	29
1973-04-15	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1887	1785	27.6%	36.9%	35.5%	+0.4	39
1973-04-15	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1673	1848	26.2%	35.5%	38.3%	-8.0	17
1973-04-15	@ Ternana	W 1-0	1848	1673	38.3%	35.5%	26.2%	+8.0	42
1973-04-15	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1690	1829	30.6%	36.4%	33.0%	-9.0	24
1973-04-15	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1829	1690	33.0%	36.4%	30.6%	+9.0	43
1973-04-22	Ternana	D 0-0	1724	1665	54.3%	33.1%	12.6%	-2.6	26
1973-04-22	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1665	1724	12.6%	33.1%	54.3%	+2.6	18
1973-04-22	Palermo	W 3-0	1838	1637	68.3%	24.2%	7.4%	+6.5	46
1973-04-22	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1637	1838	7.4%	24.2%	68.3%	-6.5	18
1973-04-22	Torino	D 0-0	1730	1888	28.3%	36.0%	35.8%	+0.4	26
1973-04-22	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1888	1730	35.8%	36.0%	28.3%	-0.4	40
1973-04-22	Roma	D 0-0	1856	1766	57.4%	31.5%	11.2%	-3.0	43
1973-04-22	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1766	1856	11.2%	31.5%	57.4%	+3.0	27
1973-04-22	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-2	1928	1681	72.7%	20.9%	6.4%	+1.7	51
1973-04-22	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1681	1928	6.4%	20.9%	72.7%	-1.7	24
1973-04-22	AC Milan	W 2-1	1862	1984	33.0%	36.7%	30.3%	+8.4	54
1973-04-22	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1984	1862	30.3%	36.7%	33.0%	-8.4	55
1973-04-22	Bologna	D 1-1	1785	1796	46.7%	35.9%	17.5%	-1.6	30
1973-04-22	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1796	1785	17.5%	35.9%	46.7%	+1.6	37
1973-04-22	Cagliari	L 0-1	1741	1799	41.2%	36.8%	22.1%	-11.1	23
1973-04-22	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1799	1741	22.1%	36.8%	41.2%	+11.1	33
1973-04-29	Napoli	W 1-0	1976	1783	67.5%	24.8%	7.7%	+2.5	58
1973-04-29	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1783	1976	7.7%	24.8%	67.5%	-2.5	30
1973-04-29	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1798	1729	55.2%	32.7%	12.2%	-2.5	38
1973-04-29	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1729	1798	12.2%	32.7%	55.2%	+2.5	24
1973-04-29	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1810	1730	56.3%	32.1%	11.6%	-2.6	34
1973-04-29	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1730	1810	11.6%	32.1%	56.3%	+2.6	27
1973-04-29	Atalanta	L 1-2	1630	1722	37.0%	36.9%	26.1%	-9.7	18
1973-04-29	@ Palermo	W 2-1	1722	1630	26.1%	36.9%	37.0%	+9.6	29
1973-04-29	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1769	1845	39.0%	36.9%	24.1%	-0.8	28
1973-04-29	@ Roma	D 1-1	1845	1769	24.1%	36.9%	39.0%	+0.8	47
1973-04-29	Juventus	L 2-3	1668	1930	18.2%	31.6%	50.2%	-5.2	18
1973-04-29	@ Ternana	W 3-2	1930	1668	50.2%	31.6%	18.2%	+5.3	54
1973-04-29	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1887	1871	49.7%	35.0%	15.3%	-2.1	41
1973-04-29	@ Torino	D 0-0	1871	1887	15.3%	35.0%	49.7%	+2.1	55
1973-04-29	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1679	1853	26.3%	35.5%	38.2%	-8.0	24
1973-04-29	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1853	1679	38.2%	35.5%	26.3%	+8.0	46
1973-05-06	Juventus	L 0-2	1731	1935	23.2%	34.4%	42.4%	-13.8	29
1973-05-06	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1935	1731	42.4%	34.4%	23.2%	+13.7	57
1973-05-06	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1795	1873	38.7%	36.9%	24.4%	-0.7	39
1973-05-06	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1873	1795	24.4%	36.9%	38.7%	+0.7	56
1973-05-06	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1733	1732	48.0%	35.5%	16.5%	-1.7	28
1973-05-06	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1732	1733	16.5%	35.5%	48.0%	+1.7	25
1973-05-06	Palermo	W 3-1	1861	1621	72.1%	21.4%	6.5%	+3.2	49
1973-05-06	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1621	1861	6.5%	21.4%	72.1%	-3.2	18
1973-05-06	Cagliari	D 1-1	1780	1807	44.9%	36.2%	18.9%	-1.4	31
1973-05-06	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1807	1780	18.9%	36.2%	44.9%	+1.4	35
1973-05-06	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1769	1671	58.2%	31.0%	10.8%	-3.1	29
1973-05-06	@ Roma	D 0-0	1671	1769	10.8%	31.0%	58.2%	+3.1	25
1973-05-06	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1662	1845	25.3%	35.2%	39.5%	-7.8	18
1973-05-06	@ Ternana	W 1-0	1845	1662	39.5%	35.2%	25.3%	+7.8	50
1973-05-06	AC Milan	D 2-2	1885	1978	36.8%	36.9%	26.4%	-0.4	42
1973-05-06	@ Torino	D 2-2	1978	1885	26.4%	36.9%	36.8%	+0.4	59
1973-05-13	Bologna	W 3-1	1978	1794	66.7%	25.4%	7.9%	+4.2	62
1973-05-13	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1794	1978	7.9%	25.4%	66.7%	-4.2	39
1973-05-13	Torino	W 1-0	1809	1885	38.9%	36.9%	24.2%	+7.8	38
1973-05-13	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1885	1809	24.2%	36.9%	38.9%	-7.8	42
1973-05-13	Atalanta	W 4-0	1853	1718	61.9%	28.7%	9.4%	+11.7	53
1973-05-13	@ Fiorentina	L 0-4	1718	1853	9.4%	28.7%	61.9%	-11.7	29
1973-05-13	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1949	1864	56.8%	31.8%	11.4%	+3.9	60
1973-05-13	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1864	1949	11.4%	31.8%	56.8%	-3.9	49
1973-05-13	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1874	1731	62.6%	28.2%	9.1%	+3.0	59
1973-05-13	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1731	1874	9.1%	28.2%	62.6%	-3.0	28
1973-05-13	Roma	D 1-1	1617	1766	29.4%	36.2%	34.3%	+0.2	19
1973-05-13	@ Palermo	D 1-1	1766	1617	34.3%	36.2%	29.4%	-0.2	30
1973-05-13	Napoli	D 1-1	1734	1779	42.7%	36.6%	20.7%	-1.1	26
1973-05-13	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1779	1734	20.7%	36.6%	42.7%	+1.1	32
1973-05-13	Ternana	W 1-0	1674	1655	50.1%	34.8%	15.1%	+5.5	28
1973-05-13	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1655	1674	15.1%	34.8%	50.1%	-5.5	18
1973-05-20	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1706	1680	50.8%	34.6%	14.6%	-13.1	29
1973-05-20	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1680	1706	14.6%	34.6%	50.8%	+13.1	31
1973-05-20	Cagliari	W 4-2	1790	1816	45.0%	36.2%	18.8%	+9.5	42
1973-05-20	@ Bologna	L 2-4	1816	1790	18.8%	36.2%	45.0%	-9.5	38
1973-05-20	AC Milan	W 5-3	1728	1983	18.8%	32.0%	49.2%	+17.0	31
1973-05-20	@ Hellas Verona	L 3-5	1983	1728	49.2%	32.0%	18.8%	-17.0	62
1973-05-20	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1861	1865	47.5%	35.6%	16.9%	+6.0	52
1973-05-20	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1865	1861	16.9%	35.6%	47.5%	-6.0	53
1973-05-20	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1780	1877	36.3%	36.9%	26.8%	+8.3	35
1973-05-20	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1877	1780	26.8%	36.9%	36.3%	-8.3	59
1973-05-20	Juventus	L 1-2	1765	1953	24.9%	35.1%	40.1%	-7.3	30
1973-05-20	@ Roma	W 2-1	1953	1765	40.1%	35.1%	24.9%	+7.3	63
1973-05-20	Palermo	D 0-0	1649	1618	51.3%	34.4%	14.3%	-2.3	19
1973-05-20	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1618	1649	14.3%	34.4%	51.3%	+2.3	20
1973-05-20	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1877	1732	62.8%	28.1%	9.1%	-15.3	42
1973-05-20	@ Torino	W 1-0	1732	1877	9.1%	28.1%	62.8%	+15.3	29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1973-01-31	6.29%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1680	2	@ Inter Milan	1930	1
2	1973-05-20	9.08%	Sampdoria	1732	1	@ Torino	1877	0
3	1973-03-04	10.30%	Torino	1836	2	@ Juventus	1946	0
4	1972-10-01	11.38%	Lazio Roma	1741	1	@ Fiorentina	1826	0
5	1973-01-28	11.63%	Hellas Verona	1738	1	@ Roma	1817	0
6	1972-11-12	11.99%	Lazio Roma	1771	1	@ Roma	1843	0
7	1973-02-11	13.66%	Bologna	1762	1	@ Roma	1804	0
8	1973-01-07	13.72%	Juventus	1909	2	@ Inter Milan	1949	0
9	1973-05-20	14.63%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1680	1	@ Atalanta	1706	0
10	1973-03-04	15.82%	Sampdoria	1726	2	@ Atalanta	1736	0
11	1972-10-29	15.89%	Hellas Verona	1735	1	@ Atalanta	1743	0
12	1972-12-30	16.00%	Hellas Verona	1729	1	@ Sampdoria	1736	0
13	1973-04-08	18.77%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1678	1	@ Palermo	1652	0
14	1973-05-20	18.78%	@ Hellas Verona	1728	5	AC Milan	1983	3
15	1972-10-29	20.12%	Lazio Roma	1755	2	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1716	1
16	1973-04-08	20.24%	Lazio Roma	1847	1	@ Cagliari	1807	0
17	1973-03-18	20.81%	Sampdoria	1742	2	@ Ternana	1696	0
18	1972-09-24	21.00%	Fiorentina	1814	1	@ Sampdoria	1766	0
19	1973-03-18	21.24%	AC Milan	1946	2	@ Inter Milan	1895	0
20	1972-12-03	21.67%	Roma	1818	4	@ Ternana	1764	1
21	1973-04-22	22.09%	Cagliari	1799	1	@ Sampdoria	1741	0
22	1973-02-18	22.55%	Inter Milan	1901	3	@ Cagliari	1839	2
23	1972-12-17	23.02%	Inter Milan	1917	2	@ Roma	1851	0
24	1972-10-15	23.03%	Fiorentina	1811	2	@ Hellas Verona	1745	1
25	1972-10-15	23.47%	Roma	1819	3	@ Bologna	1749	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-03-04	27.73	Torino	2	1836	10.30%	@ Juventus	0	1946	59.40%
2	1972-12-03	25.83	Roma	4	1818	21.67%	@ Ternana	1	1764	41.63%
3	1973-01-07	25.25	Juventus	2	1909	13.72%	@ Inter Milan	0	1949	52.30%
4	1973-03-04	23.97	Sampdoria	2	1726	15.82%	@ Atalanta	0	1736	48.98%
5	1973-03-25	22.39	@ Torino	4	1858	46.15%	Inter Milan	0	1874	17.89%
6	1973-03-18	21.47	Sampdoria	2	1742	20.81%	@ Ternana	0	1696	42.59%
7	1973-03-18	21.28	AC Milan	2	1946	21.24%	@ Inter Milan	0	1895	42.11%
8	1972-12-17	20.51	Inter Milan	2	1917	23.02%	@ Roma	0	1851	40.16%
9	1972-09-24	18.80	Juventus	2	1866	27.47%	@ Bologna	0	1765	35.66%
10	1973-03-11	18.23	@ Napoli	2	1765	29.38%	Inter Milan	0	1914	34.42%
11	1973-03-04	18.16	AC Milan	3	1921	46.00%	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	0	1690	20.73%
12	1972-10-15	17.61	Roma	3	1819	23.47%	@ Bologna	1	1749	39.68%
13	1973-02-18	17.29	@ Torino	3	1819	45.88%	Fiorentina	0	1837	18.10%
14	1972-11-05	17.20	@ Napoli	3	1803	46.04%	Fiorentina	0	1820	17.97%
15	1973-03-18	17.16	@ Fiorentina	3	1817	46.11%	Cagliari	0	1834	17.91%
16	1973-05-20	17.02	@ Hellas Verona	5	1728	18.78%	AC Milan	3	1983	49.20%
17	1973-04-08	16.44	AC Milan	4	1971	43.32%	@ Sampdoria	1	1761	22.51%
18	1973-03-18	15.70	Lazio Roma	2	1828	36.63%	@ Palermo	0	1665	27.54%
19	1973-01-31	15.60	Lanerossi Vicenza	2	1680	6.29%	@ Inter Milan	1	1930	73.01%
20	1973-01-21	15.38	@ Lazio Roma	3	1792	49.24%	Napoli	0	1780	15.65%
21	1973-05-20	15.26	Sampdoria	1	1732	9.08%	@ Torino	0	1877	62.80%
22	1972-11-05	15.16	@ Bologna	3	1721	49.62%	Palermo	0	1706	15.39%
23	1972-10-01	14.26	Lazio Roma	1	1741	11.38%	@ Fiorentina	0	1826	56.85%
24	1973-01-28	14.16	Hellas Verona	1	1738	11.63%	@ Roma	0	1817	56.30%
25	1972-11-12	14.02	Lazio Roma	1	1771	11.99%	@ Roma	0	1843	55.55%