1973-74 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Lazio Roma

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lazio Roma

7.03 points above expected

43 points · 35.97 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Genoa

8.96 points below expected

17 points · 25.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Lazio Roma	30	18	7	5	43	45	23	+22	36.0	+7.03
2	Juventus	30	16	9	5	41	50	26	+24	36.9	+4.09
3	Napoli	30	12	12	6	36	35	28	+7	31.6	+4.36
4	Inter Milan	30	12	11	7	35	47	33	+14	33.5	+1.55
5	Torino	30	10	14	6	34	27	24	+3	32.0	+1.98
6	Fiorentina	30	10	13	7	33	32	26	+6	32.2	+0.79
7	AC Milan	30	11	8	11	30	34	36	-2	35.2	-5.21
8	Roma	30	10	9	11	29	29	28	+1	27.6	+1.40
9	Bologna	30	6	17	7	29	35	36	-1	30.6	-1.63
10	Cagliari	30	7	14	9	28	25	32	-7	29.3	-1.28
11	Cesena	30	6	15	9	27	25	28	-3	26.9	+0.13
12	Lanerossi Vicenza	30	7	12	11	26	22	37	-15	23.8	+2.24
13	Hellas Verona	30	8	9	13	25	28	35	-7	26.2	-1.17
14	Foggia	30	6	12	12	24	20	34	-14	18.6	+5.39
15	Sampdoria	30	5	13	12	23	27	34	-7	24.7	-1.71
16	Genoa	30	4	9	17	17	16	37	-21	26.0	-8.96

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1933	41	36.91	+4.09	83.0%	28	31	34	37	40	44	45
Lazio Roma	1881	43	35.97	+7.03	96.0%	28	30	33	35	39	43	46
Inter Milan	1839	35	33.45	+1.55	69.0%	24	26	31	33	36	39	42
Torino	1813	34	32.02	+1.98	73.0%	23	25	30	32	35	37	44
Fiorentina	1800	33	32.21	+0.79	59.0%	21	25	29	33	35	38	42
AC Milan	1792	30	35.21	-5.21	13.0%	26	28	32	36	38	41	44
Napoli	1786	36	31.64	+4.36	87.0%	19	25	29	33	34	38	41
Roma	1750	29	27.60	+1.40	73.0%	17	21	25	28	30	33	38
Bologna	1739	29	30.63	-1.63	34.0%	21	24	28	31	33	37	42
Cagliari	1730	28	29.28	-1.28	43.0%	17	23	26	29	32	36	42
Cesena	1714	27	26.87	+0.13	55.0%	19	20	24	27	30	33	37
Hellas Verona	1712	25	26.17	-1.17	47.0%	13	20	23	26	29	33	36
Sampdoria	1702	23	24.71	-1.71	13.0%	14	17	22	25	27	30	33
Lanerossi Vicenza	1661	26	23.76	+2.24	72.0%	15	17	20	24	27	31	35
Foggia	1647	24	18.61	+5.39	52.0%	10	12	16	18	21	25	27
Genoa	1618	17	25.96	-8.96	3.0%	14	18	22	26	29	34	36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	BOL	CAG	CES	FIO	FOG	GEN	HV	IM	JUV	LV	LR	NAP	ROM	SAM	TOR
AC Milan	—	0-1-1 3.07	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.54	0-1-1 2.73	1-1-0 3.53	2-0-0 3.55	1-0-1 3.41	0-0-2 2.77	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 3.96	0-1-1 2.40	1-1-0 2.84	2-0-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.46	1-0-1 2.80
Bologna	1-1-0 2.23	—	1-1-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.94	0-2-0 2.33	0-2-0 3.15	1-1-0 3.10	0-1-1 3.10	1-1-0 2.23	0-2-0 2.17	1-0-1 3.31	0-1-1 2.01	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.59
Cagliari	0-1-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.62	—	0-2-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.25	1-1-0 3.03	0-1-1 2.96	0-1-1 3.02	1-1-0 2.21	1-1-0 1.88	1-1-0 3.03	0-0-2 2.19	0-1-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.39
Cesena	1-0-1 1.82	1-1-0 2.36	0-2-0 2.55	—	0-2-0 2.17	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-2 2.17	0-1-1 1.86	0-2-0 2.94	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.34	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.62	0-1-1 2.17
Fiorentina	1-1-0 2.59	0-2-0 2.96	1-0-1 3.05	0-2-0 3.15	—	0-0-2 3.47	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.35	1-1-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 3.70	0-2-0 2.45	0-1-1 2.79	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.72
Foggia	0-1-1 1.85	0-2-0 2.16	0-1-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.55	2-0-0 1.88	—	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 1.98	0-1-1 1.69	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 1.75	1-1-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.40	0-2-0 2.40	0-2-0 2.02
Genoa	0-0-2 1.83	0-1-1 2.21	1-1-0 2.36	0-1-1 2.41	0-1-1 2.15	1-0-1 2.68	—	1-0-1 2.44	0-2-0 2.07	0-0-2 1.71	0-2-0 2.97	0-0-2 1.67	0-0-2 1.91	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.54	0-0-2 2.06
Hellas Verona	1-0-1 1.95	1-1-0 2.20	1-1-0 2.29	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 1.96	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.88	—	0-1-1 2.17	0-1-1 1.64	0-2-0 2.91	0-0-2 1.83	1-0-1 2.11	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.11
Inter Milan	2-0-0 2.51	0-1-1 3.12	0-1-1 3.10	2-0-0 3.17	0-1-1 2.75	2-0-0 3.37	0-2-0 3.24	1-1-0 3.18	—	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 3.78	1-1-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.81	1-1-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.25	1-1-0 2.66
Juventus	1-1-0 2.69	0-2-0 3.16	0-1-1 3.49	1-1-0 3.52	1-0-1 3.10	1-1-0 3.70	2-0-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.75	2-0-0 2.91	—	1-1-0 4.06	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 3.72	2-0-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.11
Lanerossi Vicenza	1-1-0 1.49	1-0-1 2.01	0-1-1 2.30	0-2-0 2.39	2-0-0 1.68	1-0-1 2.54	0-2-0 2.32	0-2-0 2.39	1-0-1 1.62	0-1-1 1.40	—	0-0-2 1.88	1-0-1 1.91	0-1-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 1.92
Lazio Roma	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.15	1-1-0 3.34	0-2-0 2.84	2-0-0 3.68	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.57	0-1-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.58	2-0-0 3.55	—	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.47	0-0-2 3.06
Napoli	0-1-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.51	0-1-1 3.19	2-0-0 3.42	1-0-1 3.20	1-1-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 3.44	0-1-1 2.27	—	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.00	0-2-0 2.52
Roma	0-0-2 1.99	1-1-0 2.47	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.14	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 2.79	0-1-1 2.04	1-0-1 1.67	1-1-0 3.00	0-0-2 1.99	0-1-1 2.36	—	1-1-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.23
Sampdoria	1-0-1 1.91	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.08	0-2-0 2.91	1-1-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.09	0-0-2 1.84	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 1.86	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.59	—	0-2-0 2.22
Torino	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.91	1-1-0 3.15	0-0-2 2.60	0-2-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.26	1-1-0 3.22	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.22	1-1-0 3.42	2-0-0 2.25	0-2-0 2.76	1-1-0 3.08	0-2-0 3.09	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.83%	5.21%	1.88%	0.42%	—	31.67%
1	10.83%	20.00%	8.75%	1.67%	0.42%	0.62%	42.29%
2	5.21%	8.75%	4.17%	0.83%	0.21%	—	19.17%
3	1.88%	1.67%	0.83%	0.83%	—	—	5.21%
4	0.42%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	—	1.04%
5+	—	0.62%	—	—	—	—	0.62%
Total	31.67%	42.29%	19.17%	5.21%	1.04%	0.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.132
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	40.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.78
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.263
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	—	30.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	30.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.128
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	33.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	50.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	56.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.70
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.018
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
1	6.67%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	43.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Cesena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.133
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	53.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	50.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.284
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
1	13.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	46.67%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Foggia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.66
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.107
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	23.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	53.33%
1	6.67%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	53.33%	30.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Genoa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.53
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.63
StdDev allowed	0.73
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.206
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	6.67%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	43.33%
2	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	50.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.047
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	3.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	20.00%	56.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.052
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
3	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	43.33%	33.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.010
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	40.00%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Lanerossi Vicenza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.74
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.136
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.33%	26.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.166
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	16.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	46.67%
2	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	43.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.281
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	10.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	30.00%	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.194
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	23.33%	26.67%	—	—	—	53.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	40.00%	36.67%	—	—	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.76
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.375
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	20.00%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	50.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	40.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	0.71
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.131
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lazio Roma	43	36.0	+7.03
2	Foggia	24	18.6	+5.39
3	Napoli	36	31.6	+4.36
4	Juventus	41	36.9	+4.09
5	Lanerossi Vicenza	26	23.8	+2.24

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Genoa	17	26.0	-8.96
2	AC Milan	30	35.2	-5.21
3	Sampdoria	23	24.7	-1.71
4	Bologna	29	30.6	-1.63
5	Cagliari	28	29.3	-1.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lazio Roma	6	Dec 2 – Jan 6	1 in 323
2	Inter Milan	4	Mar 3 – Mar 24	1 in 123
3	Lanerossi Vicenza	2	Mar 10 – Mar 17	1 in 50
4	Hellas Verona	2	Apr 21 – Apr 28	1 in 24
5	Roma	3	Mar 3 – Mar 17	1 in 20

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AC Milan	5	Mar 10 – Apr 7	1 in 1,271
2	Genoa	6	Apr 15 – May 19	1 in 176
3	Fiorentina	2	Apr 21 – Apr 28	1 in 32
4	Torino	2	Feb 17 – Mar 3	1 in 18
5	Hellas Verona	3	Oct 7 – Oct 28	1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bologna	11	Oct 14 – Jan 6	1 in 58
2	Napoli	8	Oct 7 – Dec 9	1 in 32
3	Foggia	7	Nov 25 – Jan 6	1 in 27
4	Fiorentina	7	Nov 4 – Dec 23	1 in 25
5	Torino	9	Mar 24 – May 19	1 in 24

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Napoli	9	Mar 17 – May 12	1 in 63
2	AC Milan	8	Mar 10 – Apr 28	1 in 57
3	Torino	8	Oct 28 – Dec 23	1 in 46
4	Sampdoria	10	Dec 2 – Feb 3	1 in 43
5	Foggia	12	Mar 3 – May 19	1 in 39

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lazio Roma	23.00%	17.00%	18.00%	17.00%	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Juventus	40.00%	15.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Napoli	3.00%	11.00%	5.00%	17.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	—	1.00%
Inter Milan	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	7.00%	14.00%	10.00%	17.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Torino	3.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
Fiorentina	2.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	17.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
AC Milan	13.00%	16.00%	18.00%	16.00%	8.00%	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Roma	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	10.00%	16.00%	14.00%	8.00%	11.00%	16.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Bologna	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	10.00%	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Cagliari	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%	15.00%	13.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Cesena	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	16.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza	—	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	11.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	15.00%	23.00%	17.00%
Hellas Verona	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	21.00%	4.00%	7.00%
Foggia	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	26.00%	55.00%
Sampdoria	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%	12.00%	21.00%	9.00%	18.00%	5.00%
Genoa	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	1.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Inter Milan	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Lazio Roma	100%	—
Torino	98.0%	2.0%
Bologna	97.0%	3.0%
Fiorentina	97.0%	3.0%
Napoli	93.0%	7.0%
Cagliari	91.0%	9.0%
Roma	91.0%	9.0%
Cesena	77.0%	23.0%
Hellas Verona	68.0%	32.0%
Sampdoria	68.0%	32.0%
Genoa	67.0%	33.0%
Lanerossi Vicenza	45.0%	55.0%
Foggia	8.0%	92.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1973-10-07	Napoli	D 0-0	1759	1747	51.7%	34.9%	13.4%	-2.3	1
1973-10-07	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1747	1759	13.4%	34.9%	51.7%	+2.3	1
1973-10-07	Torino	D 0-0	1712	1800	40.6%	37.6%	21.8%	-1.0	1
1973-10-07	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1800	1712	21.8%	37.6%	40.6%	+1.0	1
1973-10-07	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1792	1719	58.1%	31.6%	10.4%	+3.5	3
1973-10-07	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1719	1792	10.4%	31.6%	58.1%	-3.5	0
1973-10-07	Genoa	D 0-0	1796	1727	57.7%	31.8%	10.5%	-3.0	1
1973-10-07	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1727	1796	10.5%	31.8%	57.7%	+2.9	1
1973-10-07	Foggia	W 2-1	1851	1679	68.0%	24.6%	7.4%	+2.1	3
1973-10-07	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1679	1851	7.4%	24.6%	68.0%	-2.2	0
1973-10-07	Bologna	W 2-1	1727	1754	47.6%	36.4%	16.0%	+5.3	3
1973-10-07	@ Roma	L 1-2	1754	1727	16.0%	36.4%	47.6%	-5.3	0
1973-10-07	AC Milan	W 3-2	1721	1855	34.8%	37.5%	27.7%	+7.3	3
1973-10-07	@ Sampdoria	L 2-3	1855	1721	27.7%	37.5%	34.8%	-7.3	0
1973-10-07	Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1682	1797	37.3%	37.7%	25.0%	-27.3	0
1973-10-07	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1797	1682	25.0%	37.7%	37.3%	+27.3	3
1973-10-14	Cesena	W 1-0	1848	1711	64.5%	27.2%	8.3%	+2.7	3
1973-10-14	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1711	1848	8.3%	27.2%	64.5%	-2.7	1
1973-10-14	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 4-0	1749	1655	60.2%	30.2%	9.6%	+11.9	3
1973-10-14	@ Bologna	L 0-4	1655	1749	9.6%	30.2%	60.2%	-11.9	0
1973-10-14	Cagliari	D 1-1	1677	1757	41.5%	37.5%	20.9%	-1.0	1
1973-10-14	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1757	1677	20.9%	37.5%	41.5%	+1.0	2
1973-10-14	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1730	1796	43.2%	37.3%	19.5%	-11.2	1
1973-10-14	@ Genoa	W 1-0	1796	1730	19.5%	37.3%	43.2%	+11.2	6
1973-10-14	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1716	1793	41.8%	37.5%	20.7%	-17.8	0
1973-10-14	@ Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1793	1716	20.7%	37.5%	41.8%	+17.8	4
1973-10-14	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1824	1728	60.4%	30.1%	9.5%	+3.3	6
1973-10-14	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1728	1824	9.5%	30.1%	60.4%	-3.3	3
1973-10-14	Juventus	W 2-0	1750	1853	38.7%	37.7%	23.6%	+14.0	4
1973-10-14	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1853	1750	23.6%	37.7%	38.7%	-14.0	3
1973-10-14	Roma	W 1-0	1801	1733	57.6%	31.9%	10.6%	+3.8	4
1973-10-14	@ Torino	L 0-1	1733	1801	10.6%	31.9%	57.6%	-3.8	3
1973-10-28	Torino	D 1-1	1758	1804	45.4%	36.9%	17.6%	-1.4	3
1973-10-28	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1804	1758	17.6%	36.9%	45.4%	+1.4	5
1973-10-28	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1708	1698	51.6%	35.0%	13.5%	+4.8	4
1973-10-28	@ Cesena	L 0-1	1698	1708	13.5%	35.0%	51.6%	-4.8	0
1973-10-28	Foggia	L 0-1	1807	1676	63.9%	27.6%	8.4%	-14.9	6
1973-10-28	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1676	1807	8.4%	27.6%	63.9%	+14.9	4
1973-10-28	Napoli	D 2-2	1811	1764	55.4%	33.1%	11.5%	-1.8	5
1973-10-28	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1764	1811	11.5%	33.1%	55.4%	+1.8	5
1973-10-28	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1839	1827	51.7%	34.9%	13.4%	+7.8	6
1973-10-28	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1827	1839	13.4%	34.9%	51.7%	-7.8	6
1973-10-28	AC Milan	L 1-2	1729	1850	36.4%	37.6%	25.9%	-9.2	3
1973-10-28	@ Roma	W 2-1	1850	1729	25.9%	37.6%	36.4%	+9.2	6
1973-10-28	Bologna	D 0-0	1725	1761	46.6%	36.7%	16.8%	-1.7	4
1973-10-28	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1761	1725	16.8%	36.7%	46.6%	+1.7	4
1973-10-28	Genoa	D 1-1	1643	1718	42.1%	37.5%	20.4%	-1.1	1
1973-10-28	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1718	1643	20.4%	37.5%	42.1%	+1.1	2
1973-11-04	Cagliari	D 2-2	1860	1756	61.1%	29.6%	9.3%	-2.2	7
1973-11-04	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1756	1860	9.3%	29.6%	61.1%	+2.2	4
1973-11-04	Juventus	D 0-0	1763	1847	41.1%	37.6%	21.4%	-1.1	5
1973-11-04	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1847	1763	21.4%	37.6%	41.1%	+1.1	7
1973-11-04	Cesena	D 1-1	1690	1713	48.1%	36.2%	15.6%	-1.7	5
1973-11-04	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1713	1690	15.6%	36.2%	48.1%	+1.7	5
1973-11-04	Roma	W 2-1	1720	1720	50.5%	35.4%	14.1%	+4.8	5
1973-11-04	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1720	1720	14.1%	35.4%	50.5%	-4.8	3
1973-11-04	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1693	1642	55.8%	32.9%	11.3%	-2.5	1
1973-11-04	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1642	1693	11.3%	32.9%	55.8%	+2.5	2
1973-11-04	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1819	1792	53.4%	34.1%	12.5%	-2.5	7
1973-11-04	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1792	1819	12.5%	34.1%	53.4%	+2.5	7
1973-11-04	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1765	1723	54.9%	33.4%	11.7%	+4.2	8
1973-11-04	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1723	1765	11.7%	33.4%	54.9%	-4.2	4
1973-11-04	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1806	1809	50.2%	35.5%	14.3%	-1.4	6
1973-11-04	@ Torino	D 2-2	1809	1806	14.3%	35.5%	50.2%	+1.4	6
1973-11-18	Bologna	D 0-0	1758	1762	50.2%	35.5%	14.3%	-2.2	5
1973-11-18	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1762	1758	14.3%	35.5%	50.2%	+2.1	6
1973-11-18	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1714	1817	38.8%	37.7%	23.5%	-0.8	6
1973-11-18	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1817	1714	23.5%	37.7%	38.8%	+0.8	8
1973-11-18	Napoli	D 1-1	1794	1770	53.1%	34.3%	12.6%	-2.2	8
1973-11-18	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1770	1794	12.6%	34.3%	53.1%	+2.2	9
1973-11-18	Foggia	W 5-1	1811	1689	63.0%	28.3%	8.7%	+8.7	9
1973-11-18	@ Inter Milan	L 1-5	1689	1811	8.7%	28.3%	63.0%	-8.7	5
1973-11-18	Genoa	W 3-0	1848	1724	63.2%	28.2%	8.7%	+7.9	10
1973-11-18	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1724	1848	8.7%	28.2%	63.2%	-7.9	5
1973-11-18	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1715	1691	53.1%	34.3%	12.6%	+4.5	6
1973-11-18	@ Roma	L 0-1	1691	1715	12.6%	34.3%	53.1%	-4.5	1
1973-11-18	Torino	D 1-1	1719	1804	40.8%	37.6%	21.6%	-1.0	5
1973-11-18	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1804	1719	21.6%	37.6%	40.8%	+1.0	7
1973-11-18	AC Milan	D 1-1	1644	1858	25.1%	35.4%	39.5%	+0.7	3
1973-11-18	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1858	1644	39.5%	35.4%	25.1%	-0.7	8
1973-11-25	Juventus	D 2-2	1857	1856	50.6%	35.4%	14.0%	-1.5	9
1973-11-25	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1856	1857	14.0%	35.4%	50.6%	+1.5	11
1973-11-25	Cesena	D 1-1	1764	1714	55.7%	32.9%	11.3%	-2.5	7
1973-11-25	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1714	1764	11.3%	32.9%	55.7%	+2.5	7
1973-11-25	Roma	W 1-0	1680	1719	46.2%	36.8%	17.0%	+5.9	8
1973-11-25	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1719	1680	17.0%	36.8%	46.2%	-5.9	6
1973-11-25	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1716	1718	50.4%	35.4%	14.2%	-23.8	5
1973-11-25	@ Genoa	W 2-0	1718	1716	14.2%	35.4%	50.4%	+23.8	8
1973-11-25	Cagliari	W 2-0	1686	1756	42.7%	37.4%	19.9%	+12.5	4
1973-11-25	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1756	1686	19.9%	37.4%	42.7%	-12.5	5
1973-11-25	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1818	1819	50.4%	35.5%	14.2%	-2.0	9
1973-11-25	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1819	1818	14.2%	35.5%	50.4%	+1.9	10
1973-11-25	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1772	1645	63.5%	28.0%	8.6%	+2.7	12
1973-11-25	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1645	1772	8.6%	28.0%	63.5%	-2.7	3
1973-11-25	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1805	1792	51.9%	34.8%	13.3%	-12.9	7
1973-11-25	@ Torino	W 1-0	1792	1805	13.3%	34.8%	51.9%	+12.9	11
1973-12-02	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1744	1816	42.5%	37.4%	20.1%	-11.0	5
1973-12-02	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1816	1744	20.1%	37.4%	42.5%	+11.0	12
1973-12-02	Genoa	D 1-1	1716	1693	53.0%	34.3%	12.7%	-2.2	8
1973-12-02	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1693	1716	12.7%	34.3%	53.0%	+2.2	6
1973-12-02	Bologna	D 1-1	1805	1761	55.1%	33.3%	11.7%	-2.4	12
1973-12-02	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1761	1805	11.7%	33.3%	55.1%	+2.4	8
1973-12-02	AC Milan	W 2-1	1821	1855	46.8%	36.6%	16.6%	+5.4	13
1973-12-02	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1855	1821	16.6%	36.6%	46.8%	-5.4	9
1973-12-02	Hellas Verona	W 5-1	1857	1698	66.7%	25.6%	7.7%	+7.3	14
1973-12-02	@ Juventus	L 1-5	1698	1857	7.7%	25.6%	66.7%	-7.3	4
1973-12-02	Napoli	L 0-1	1714	1775	43.8%	37.2%	19.0%	-11.3	6
1973-12-02	@ Roma	W 1-0	1775	1714	19.0%	37.2%	43.8%	+11.3	15
1973-12-02	Foggia	D 0-0	1741	1686	56.3%	32.6%	11.1%	-2.8	9
1973-12-02	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1686	1741	11.1%	32.6%	56.3%	+2.8	9
1973-12-02	Torino	D 0-0	1642	1792	32.7%	37.3%	30.0%	-0.1	4
1973-12-02	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1792	1642	30.0%	37.3%	32.7%	+0.1	8
1973-12-09	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1850	1803	55.4%	33.1%	11.5%	-2.4	10
1973-12-09	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1803	1850	11.5%	33.1%	55.4%	+2.4	13
1973-12-09	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1764	1827	43.6%	37.3%	19.2%	+17.6	11
1973-12-09	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1827	1764	19.2%	37.3%	43.6%	-17.6	13
1973-12-09	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1689	1642	55.3%	33.1%	11.5%	+3.9	12
1973-12-09	@ Foggia	L 1-2	1642	1689	11.5%	33.1%	55.3%	-3.9	4
1973-12-09	Cagliari	D 1-1	1695	1733	46.4%	36.7%	16.9%	-1.5	7
1973-12-09	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1733	1695	16.9%	36.7%	46.4%	+1.5	6
1973-12-09	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1691	1739	45.3%	37.0%	17.7%	+6.1	7
1973-12-09	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1739	1691	17.7%	37.0%	45.3%	-6.1	9
1973-12-09	Roma	W 2-1	1827	1702	63.3%	28.1%	8.6%	+2.7	15
1973-12-09	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1702	1827	8.6%	28.1%	63.3%	-2.7	6
1973-12-09	Cesena	W 1-0	1786	1714	58.0%	31.6%	10.4%	+3.7	18
1973-12-09	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1714	1786	10.4%	31.6%	58.0%	-3.7	8
1973-12-09	Juventus	L 0-1	1793	1864	42.5%	37.4%	20.1%	-11.0	8
1973-12-09	@ Torino	W 1-0	1864	1793	20.1%	37.4%	42.5%	+11.0	17
1973-12-16	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1847	1697	65.8%	26.2%	7.9%	+2.4	13
1973-12-16	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1697	1847	7.9%	26.2%	65.8%	-2.4	7
1973-12-16	Torino	D 2-2	1781	1782	50.5%	35.4%	14.1%	-1.5	12
1973-12-16	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1782	1781	14.1%	35.4%	50.5%	+1.5	9
1973-12-16	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1805	1809	50.1%	35.6%	14.3%	+5.1	16
1973-12-16	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1809	1805	14.3%	35.6%	50.1%	-5.1	13
1973-12-16	Genoa	W 1-0	1693	1693	50.4%	35.4%	14.1%	+5.1	15
1973-12-16	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1693	1693	14.1%	35.4%	50.4%	-5.0	7
1973-12-16	Cesena	D 2-2	1875	1710	67.3%	25.1%	7.5%	-2.5	18
1973-12-16	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1710	1875	7.5%	25.1%	67.3%	+2.5	9
1973-12-16	Napoli	W 1-0	1830	1789	54.7%	33.5%	11.8%	+4.2	18
1973-12-16	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1789	1830	11.8%	33.5%	54.7%	-4.2	18
1973-12-16	Cagliari	D 1-1	1733	1734	50.3%	35.5%	14.2%	-1.9	10
1973-12-16	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1734	1733	14.2%	35.5%	50.3%	+1.9	7
1973-12-16	Roma	L 0-1	1638	1700	43.8%	37.2%	19.0%	-11.3	4
1973-12-16	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1700	1638	19.0%	37.2%	43.8%	+11.3	9
1973-12-23	Juventus	W 2-1	1736	1873	34.5%	37.5%	28.1%	+7.8	10
1973-12-23	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1873	1736	28.1%	37.5%	34.5%	-7.8	18
1973-12-23	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1713	1731	48.6%	36.1%	15.3%	+5.1	12
1973-12-23	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1731	1713	15.3%	36.1%	48.6%	-5.1	10
1973-12-23	Bologna	D 1-1	1688	1780	40.1%	37.6%	22.2%	-0.9	8
1973-12-23	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1780	1688	22.2%	37.6%	40.1%	+0.9	13
1973-12-23	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1695	1834	34.2%	37.5%	28.4%	-9.4	7
1973-12-23	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1834	1695	28.4%	37.5%	34.2%	+9.4	21
1973-12-23	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1804	1627	68.5%	24.2%	7.3%	+4.2	16
1973-12-23	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1627	1804	7.3%	24.2%	68.5%	-4.2	4
1973-12-23	AC Milan	L 1-2	1785	1850	43.4%	37.3%	19.3%	-10.6	18
1973-12-23	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1850	1785	19.3%	37.3%	43.4%	+10.6	16
1973-12-23	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1711	1810	39.2%	37.7%	23.1%	-0.9	10
1973-12-23	@ Roma	D 0-0	1810	1711	23.1%	37.7%	39.2%	+0.9	17
1973-12-23	Foggia	D 0-0	1783	1698	59.3%	30.8%	9.9%	-3.1	10
1973-12-23	@ Torino	D 0-0	1698	1783	9.9%	30.8%	59.3%	+3.1	16
1973-12-30	Foggia	D 0-0	1781	1701	58.8%	31.1%	10.1%	-3.0	14
1973-12-30	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1701	1781	10.1%	31.1%	58.8%	+3.0	17
1973-12-30	Cesena	D 0-0	1744	1718	53.3%	34.2%	12.5%	-2.5	11
1973-12-30	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1718	1744	12.5%	34.2%	53.3%	+2.5	13
1973-12-30	Roma	W 2-0	1808	1710	60.6%	29.9%	9.5%	+6.2	19
1973-12-30	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1710	1808	9.5%	29.9%	60.6%	-6.2	10
1973-12-30	AC Milan	W 1-0	1843	1860	48.7%	36.1%	15.3%	+5.4	24
1973-12-30	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1860	1843	15.3%	36.1%	48.7%	-5.4	16
1973-12-30	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1775	1685	59.7%	30.5%	9.8%	+6.4	21
1973-12-30	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1685	1775	9.8%	30.5%	59.7%	-6.4	7
1973-12-30	Juventus	L 1-2	1725	1865	34.1%	37.4%	28.5%	-8.8	10
1973-12-30	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1865	1725	28.5%	37.4%	34.1%	+8.8	21
1973-12-30	Genoa	W 1-0	1780	1687	60.1%	30.3%	9.7%	+3.3	13
1973-12-30	@ Torino	L 0-1	1687	1780	9.7%	30.3%	60.1%	-3.3	8
1973-12-30	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1623	1811	27.9%	36.3%	35.8%	+9.0	7
1973-12-30	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1811	1623	35.8%	36.3%	27.9%	-9.0	17
1974-01-06	Torino	W 1-0	1855	1783	57.9%	31.6%	10.4%	+3.7	19
1974-01-06	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1783	1855	10.4%	31.6%	57.9%	-3.7	13
1974-01-06	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 2-2	1720	1632	59.6%	30.6%	9.8%	-2.1	14
1974-01-06	@ Cesena	D 2-2	1632	1720	9.8%	30.6%	59.6%	+2.1	8
1974-01-06	Cagliari	W 4-1	1802	1742	56.8%	32.3%	10.9%	+9.0	20
1974-01-06	@ Fiorentina	L 1-4	1742	1802	10.9%	32.3%	56.8%	-9.0	11
1974-01-06	Napoli	W 1-0	1704	1781	41.9%	37.5%	20.6%	+6.8	20
1974-01-06	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1781	1704	20.6%	37.5%	41.9%	-6.8	21
1974-01-06	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1684	1849	30.8%	37.0%	32.2%	-8.2	8
1974-01-06	@ Genoa	W 2-1	1849	1684	32.2%	37.0%	30.8%	+8.2	27
1974-01-06	Bologna	D 1-1	1679	1778	39.3%	37.7%	23.1%	-0.8	8
1974-01-06	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1778	1679	23.1%	37.7%	39.3%	+0.8	15
1974-01-06	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1874	1814	56.7%	32.4%	10.9%	+7.3	24
1974-01-06	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1814	1874	10.9%	32.4%	56.7%	-7.3	19
1974-01-06	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1704	1717	49.1%	35.9%	15.0%	+5.0	13
1974-01-06	@ Roma	L 1-2	1717	1704	15.0%	35.9%	49.1%	-5.0	10
1974-01-13	Genoa	W 2-0	1859	1676	69.1%	23.8%	7.1%	+4.1	22
1974-01-13	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1676	1859	7.1%	23.8%	69.1%	-4.1	8
1974-01-13	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1733	1634	60.6%	29.9%	9.4%	+6.2	14
1974-01-13	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1634	1733	9.4%	29.9%	60.6%	-6.1	8
1974-01-13	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1718	1811	40.0%	37.6%	22.4%	-1.0	15
1974-01-13	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1811	1718	22.4%	37.6%	40.0%	+1.0	21
1974-01-13	Foggia	W 3-0	1678	1711	47.0%	36.5%	16.4%	+15.7	11
1974-01-13	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1711	1678	16.4%	36.5%	47.0%	-15.7	20
1974-01-13	Roma	W 2-1	1881	1709	68.1%	24.6%	7.4%	+2.1	27
1974-01-13	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1709	1881	7.4%	24.6%	68.1%	-2.1	13
1974-01-13	Torino	L 0-1	1857	1780	58.5%	31.3%	10.2%	-14.1	27
1974-01-13	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1780	1857	10.2%	31.3%	58.5%	+14.1	16
1974-01-13	Bologna	W 2-0	1774	1779	50.1%	35.6%	14.4%	+9.7	24
1974-01-13	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1779	1774	14.4%	35.6%	50.1%	-9.7	15
1974-01-13	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1712	1807	39.7%	37.6%	22.6%	-0.8	11
1974-01-13	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1807	1712	22.6%	37.6%	39.7%	+0.8	20
1974-01-21	AC Milan	W 3-2	1769	1863	39.9%	37.6%	22.5%	+6.4	18
1974-01-21	@ Bologna	L 2-3	1863	1769	22.5%	37.6%	39.9%	-6.4	22
1974-01-21	Juventus	W 2-0	1812	1884	42.5%	37.4%	20.0%	+12.5	24
1974-01-21	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1884	1812	20.0%	37.4%	42.5%	-12.5	27
1974-01-21	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1695	1843	33.0%	37.3%	29.7%	-9.1	20
1974-01-21	@ Foggia	W 1-0	1843	1695	29.7%	37.3%	33.0%	+9.1	30
1974-01-21	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1672	1694	48.1%	36.2%	15.7%	+5.5	11
1974-01-21	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1694	1672	15.7%	36.2%	48.1%	-5.5	11
1974-01-21	Cagliari	L 0-1	1808	1739	57.6%	31.8%	10.5%	-13.9	20
1974-01-21	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1739	1808	10.5%	31.8%	57.6%	+13.9	17
1974-01-21	Cesena	W 1-0	1707	1717	49.4%	35.8%	14.8%	+5.3	16
1974-01-21	@ Roma	L 0-1	1717	1707	14.8%	35.8%	49.4%	-5.3	15
1974-01-21	Napoli	D 1-1	1794	1784	51.5%	35.0%	13.5%	-2.1	17
1974-01-21	@ Torino	D 1-1	1784	1794	13.5%	35.0%	51.5%	+2.1	25
1974-01-21	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1628	1711	41.2%	37.6%	21.2%	-1.1	9
1974-01-21	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1711	1628	21.2%	37.6%	41.2%	+1.1	12
1974-01-27	Foggia	W 1-0	1856	1686	67.9%	24.7%	7.4%	+2.3	25
1974-01-27	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1686	1856	7.4%	24.7%	67.9%	-2.3	20
1974-01-27	Roma	D 1-1	1753	1712	54.8%	33.5%	11.8%	-2.4	18
1974-01-27	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1712	1753	11.8%	33.5%	54.8%	+2.4	17
1974-01-27	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1712	1794	41.3%	37.5%	21.1%	-10.8	15
1974-01-27	@ Cesena	W 1-0	1794	1712	21.1%	37.5%	41.3%	+10.8	23
1974-01-27	Torino	L 0-1	1688	1792	38.7%	37.7%	23.6%	-10.3	11
1974-01-27	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1792	1688	23.6%	37.7%	38.7%	+10.3	20
1974-01-27	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1871	1627	75.0%	19.2%	5.8%	-4.2	28
1974-01-27	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1627	1871	5.8%	19.2%	75.0%	+4.2	10
1974-01-27	Bologna	W 4-0	1852	1775	58.4%	31.3%	10.2%	+12.9	33
1974-01-27	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-4	1775	1852	10.2%	31.3%	58.4%	-12.9	18
1974-01-27	Genoa	W 1-0	1786	1677	61.7%	29.2%	9.1%	+3.1	28
1974-01-27	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1677	1786	9.1%	29.2%	61.7%	-3.1	11
1974-01-27	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1712	1824	37.6%	37.7%	24.8%	-9.5	12
1974-01-27	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1824	1712	24.8%	37.7%	37.6%	+9.5	27
1974-02-03	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1859	1702	66.4%	25.8%	7.8%	+2.3	28
1974-02-03	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1702	1859	7.8%	25.8%	66.4%	-2.3	12
1974-02-03	Roma	D 0-0	1762	1714	55.5%	33.0%	11.4%	-2.7	19
1974-02-03	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1714	1762	11.4%	33.0%	55.5%	+2.7	18
1974-02-03	Juventus	D 0-0	1683	1867	28.4%	36.5%	35.1%	+0.3	21
1974-02-03	@ Foggia	D 0-0	1867	1683	35.1%	36.5%	28.4%	-0.3	29
1974-02-03	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1674	1805	35.3%	37.5%	27.2%	-0.4	12
1974-02-03	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1805	1674	27.2%	37.5%	35.3%	+0.4	24
1974-02-03	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1678	1834	32.0%	37.2%	30.9%	-0.0	12
1974-02-03	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1834	1678	30.9%	37.2%	32.0%	+0.0	28
1974-02-03	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1865	1631	74.1%	20.0%	6.0%	+4.6	36
1974-02-03	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1631	1865	6.0%	20.0%	74.1%	-4.5	10
1974-02-03	Cagliari	W 1-0	1789	1750	54.6%	33.6%	11.9%	+4.3	31
1974-02-03	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1750	1789	11.9%	33.6%	54.6%	-4.3	18
1974-02-03	Cesena	W 2-1	1802	1701	60.9%	29.8%	9.4%	+3.0	23
1974-02-03	@ Torino	L 1-2	1701	1802	9.4%	29.8%	60.9%	-3.0	15
1974-02-09	Foggia	W 1-0	1746	1684	57.0%	32.2%	10.8%	+3.9	21
1974-02-09	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1684	1746	10.8%	32.2%	57.0%	-3.8	21
1974-02-10	AC Milan	W 1-0	1698	1861	31.0%	37.0%	32.0%	+8.9	18
1974-02-10	@ Cesena	L 0-1	1861	1698	32.0%	37.0%	31.0%	-8.9	28
1974-02-10	Genoa	D 0-0	1834	1674	66.8%	25.5%	7.7%	-3.7	29
1974-02-10	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1674	1834	7.7%	25.5%	66.8%	+3.7	13
1974-02-10	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1805	1678	63.5%	27.9%	8.6%	-3.5	25
1974-02-10	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1678	1805	8.6%	27.9%	63.5%	+3.4	13
1974-02-10	Napoli	W 4-1	1866	1793	58.1%	31.6%	10.4%	+8.5	32
1974-02-10	@ Juventus	L 1-4	1793	1866	10.4%	31.6%	58.1%	-8.5	31
1974-02-10	Torino	D 0-0	1717	1805	40.6%	37.6%	21.8%	-1.0	19
1974-02-10	@ Roma	D 0-0	1805	1717	21.8%	37.6%	40.6%	+1.0	24
1974-02-10	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1700	1869	30.2%	36.9%	32.9%	+9.1	15
1974-02-10	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1869	1700	32.9%	36.9%	30.2%	-9.1	36
1974-02-10	Bologna	W 2-1	1626	1760	34.9%	37.5%	27.6%	+7.7	13
1974-02-10	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1760	1626	27.6%	37.5%	34.9%	-7.7	19
1974-02-17	Roma	W 2-0	1852	1716	64.4%	27.3%	8.3%	+5.1	31
1974-02-17	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1716	1852	8.3%	27.3%	64.4%	-5.1	19
1974-02-17	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1752	1709	55.0%	33.3%	11.7%	+4.0	22
1974-02-17	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1709	1752	11.7%	33.3%	55.0%	-4.0	15
1974-02-17	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1680	1830	32.7%	37.3%	30.0%	+8.1	24
1974-02-17	@ Foggia	L 1-2	1830	1680	30.0%	37.3%	32.7%	-8.1	29
1974-02-17	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1677	1634	55.0%	33.3%	11.7%	-2.4	14
1974-02-17	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1634	1677	11.7%	33.3%	55.0%	+2.4	14
1974-02-17	Cesena	W 2-1	1682	1707	47.8%	36.3%	15.9%	+5.3	16
1974-02-17	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1707	1682	15.9%	36.3%	47.8%	-5.3	18
1974-02-17	Juventus	W 3-1	1860	1875	48.9%	36.0%	15.1%	+8.7	39
1974-02-17	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-3	1875	1860	15.1%	36.0%	48.9%	-8.7	32
1974-02-17	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1785	1801	48.7%	36.0%	15.2%	+5.1	34
1974-02-17	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1801	1785	15.2%	36.0%	48.7%	-5.1	25
1974-02-17	Cagliari	L 1-2	1806	1750	56.3%	32.6%	11.1%	-12.9	24
1974-02-17	@ Torino	W 2-1	1750	1806	11.1%	32.6%	56.3%	+12.9	24
1974-03-03	AC Milan	L 0-1	1763	1857	39.8%	37.6%	22.6%	-10.5	24
1974-03-03	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1857	1763	22.6%	37.6%	39.8%	+10.5	34
1974-03-03	Foggia	W 2-0	1702	1688	52.0%	34.8%	13.2%	+9.0	21
1974-03-03	@ Cesena	L 0-2	1688	1702	13.2%	34.8%	52.0%	-9.0	24
1974-03-03	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1822	1869	45.4%	36.9%	17.7%	-1.4	30
1974-03-03	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1869	1822	17.7%	36.9%	45.4%	+1.4	40
1974-03-03	Torino	W 3-0	1796	1793	50.9%	35.3%	13.9%	+13.6	28
1974-03-03	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1793	1796	13.9%	35.3%	50.9%	-13.6	24
1974-03-03	Bologna	D 1-1	1866	1756	61.8%	29.1%	9.1%	-3.0	33
1974-03-03	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1756	1866	9.1%	29.1%	61.8%	+3.0	23
1974-03-03	Genoa	W 2-0	1711	1675	54.3%	33.7%	12.0%	+8.2	22
1974-03-03	@ Roma	L 0-2	1675	1711	12.0%	33.7%	54.3%	-8.2	14
1974-03-03	Napoli	D 0-0	1705	1790	41.0%	37.6%	21.4%	-1.1	16
1974-03-03	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1790	1705	21.4%	37.6%	41.0%	+1.1	35
1974-03-03	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1637	1687	45.0%	37.0%	18.0%	-1.4	15
1974-03-03	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1687	1637	18.0%	37.0%	45.0%	+1.4	17
1974-03-10	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1868	1635	73.9%	20.0%	6.0%	-15.1	34
1974-03-10	@ AC Milan	W 2-1	1635	1868	6.0%	20.0%	73.9%	+15.1	18
1974-03-10	Cagliari	W 3-1	1759	1752	51.2%	35.1%	13.7%	+8.0	26
1974-03-10	@ Bologna	L 1-3	1752	1759	13.7%	35.1%	51.2%	-8.0	24
1974-03-10	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1679	1810	35.2%	37.5%	27.2%	-9.0	24
1974-03-10	@ Foggia	W 2-1	1810	1679	27.2%	37.5%	35.2%	+9.0	31
1974-03-10	Juventus	L 0-1	1667	1863	26.9%	36.0%	37.0%	-7.9	14
1974-03-10	@ Genoa	W 1-0	1863	1667	37.0%	36.0%	26.9%	+7.9	36
1974-03-10	Roma	L 0-1	1688	1719	47.2%	36.5%	16.3%	-12.0	17
1974-03-10	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1719	1688	16.3%	36.5%	47.2%	+12.0	25
1974-03-10	Cesena	W 2-0	1870	1711	66.8%	25.5%	7.7%	+4.6	43
1974-03-10	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1711	1870	7.7%	25.5%	66.8%	-4.6	21
1974-03-10	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1791	1821	47.3%	36.5%	16.2%	+5.4	38
1974-03-10	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1821	1791	16.2%	36.5%	47.3%	-5.3	30
1974-03-10	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1779	1704	58.3%	31.4%	10.3%	-2.7	25
1974-03-10	@ Torino	D 1-1	1704	1779	10.3%	31.4%	58.3%	+2.7	17
1974-03-17	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1744	1676	57.6%	31.9%	10.6%	-2.6	25
1974-03-17	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1676	1744	10.6%	31.9%	57.6%	+2.6	18
1974-03-17	Bologna	W 3-0	1706	1767	43.8%	37.2%	18.9%	+17.5	24
1974-03-17	@ Cesena	L 0-3	1767	1706	18.9%	37.2%	43.8%	-17.5	26
1974-03-17	Torino	W 3-1	1815	1777	54.5%	33.6%	11.9%	+7.0	33
1974-03-17	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1777	1815	11.9%	33.6%	54.5%	-7.0	25
1974-03-17	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1819	1875	44.4%	37.1%	18.5%	+10.2	34
1974-03-17	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1875	1819	18.5%	37.1%	44.4%	-10.2	43
1974-03-17	AC Milan	W 2-0	1871	1853	52.5%	34.6%	13.0%	+8.8	39
1974-03-17	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1853	1871	13.0%	34.6%	52.5%	-8.8	34
1974-03-17	Foggia	W 3-0	1731	1670	56.8%	32.3%	10.9%	+10.6	28
1974-03-17	@ Roma	L 0-3	1670	1731	10.9%	32.3%	56.8%	-10.6	24
1974-03-17	Genoa	D 1-1	1707	1659	55.5%	33.1%	11.5%	-2.4	18
1974-03-17	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1659	1707	11.5%	33.1%	55.5%	+2.4	15
1974-03-17	Napoli	W 2-1	1650	1796	33.2%	37.3%	29.4%	+8.0	21
1974-03-17	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1796	1650	29.4%	37.3%	33.2%	-8.0	38
1974-03-24	Inter Milan	L 1-5	1844	1829	52.0%	34.8%	13.2%	-38.5	34
1974-03-24	@ AC Milan	W 5-1	1829	1844	13.2%	34.8%	52.0%	+38.5	37
1974-03-24	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1749	1822	42.4%	37.4%	20.2%	-1.1	27
1974-03-24	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1822	1749	20.2%	37.4%	42.4%	+1.1	34
1974-03-24	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1659	1704	45.6%	36.9%	17.5%	-1.1	25
1974-03-24	@ Foggia	D 2-2	1704	1659	17.5%	36.9%	45.6%	+1.1	19
1974-03-24	Cesena	L 1-2	1661	1724	43.6%	37.3%	19.1%	-10.6	15
1974-03-24	@ Genoa	W 2-1	1724	1661	19.1%	37.3%	43.6%	+10.6	27
1974-03-24	Juventus	D 0-0	1679	1880	26.4%	35.9%	37.7%	+0.6	19
1974-03-24	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1880	1679	37.7%	35.9%	26.4%	-0.6	40
1974-03-24	Cagliari	W 2-0	1865	1742	63.1%	28.2%	8.7%	+5.5	46
1974-03-24	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1742	1865	8.7%	28.2%	63.1%	-5.5	25
1974-03-24	Roma	D 1-1	1788	1742	55.4%	33.1%	11.5%	-2.4	39
1974-03-24	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1742	1788	11.5%	33.1%	55.4%	+2.4	29
1974-03-24	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1770	1658	62.0%	29.0%	9.0%	+3.1	28
1974-03-24	@ Torino	L 0-1	1658	1770	9.0%	29.0%	62.0%	-3.1	21
1974-03-31	Genoa	L 0-1	1736	1651	59.3%	30.8%	9.9%	-14.2	25
1974-03-31	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1651	1736	9.9%	30.8%	59.3%	+14.2	18
1974-03-31	Napoli	D 1-1	1734	1786	44.8%	37.1%	18.1%	-1.4	28
1974-03-31	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1786	1734	18.1%	37.1%	44.8%	+1.4	40
1974-03-31	AC Milan	W 3-2	1824	1805	52.4%	34.6%	13.0%	+4.2	37
1974-03-31	@ Fiorentina	L 2-3	1805	1824	13.0%	34.6%	52.4%	-4.2	34
1974-03-31	Bologna	D 1-1	1868	1748	62.8%	28.5%	8.8%	-3.0	38
1974-03-31	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1748	1868	8.8%	28.5%	62.8%	+3.0	28
1974-03-31	Torino	D 1-1	1879	1773	61.4%	29.4%	9.2%	-2.9	41
1974-03-31	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1773	1879	9.2%	29.4%	61.4%	+3.0	29
1974-03-31	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1744	1870	35.8%	37.6%	26.6%	-9.1	29
1974-03-31	@ Roma	W 2-1	1870	1744	26.6%	37.6%	35.8%	+9.1	49
1974-03-31	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1706	1680	53.2%	34.2%	12.6%	+4.3	22
1974-03-31	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1680	1706	12.6%	34.2%	53.2%	-4.3	19
1974-03-31	Foggia	W 1-0	1655	1658	50.2%	35.5%	14.3%	+5.1	24
1974-03-31	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1658	1655	14.3%	35.5%	50.2%	-5.1	25
1974-04-07	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1722	1710	51.8%	34.9%	13.3%	+4.5	28
1974-04-07	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1710	1722	13.3%	34.9%	51.8%	-4.5	22
1974-04-07	Juventus	L 0-2	1733	1876	33.6%	37.4%	29.0%	-17.4	28
1974-04-07	@ Cesena	W 2-0	1876	1733	29.0%	37.4%	33.6%	+17.4	44
1974-04-07	Foggia	W 2-1	1665	1653	51.7%	34.9%	13.4%	+4.5	21
1974-04-07	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1653	1665	13.4%	34.9%	51.7%	-4.5	25
1974-04-07	AC Milan	W 2-1	1675	1801	35.9%	37.6%	26.5%	+7.5	22
1974-04-07	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1801	1675	26.5%	37.6%	35.9%	-7.5	34
1974-04-07	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1865	1828	54.4%	33.6%	12.0%	-2.3	39
1974-04-07	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1828	1865	12.0%	33.6%	54.4%	+2.3	38
1974-04-07	Lazio Roma	D 3-3	1787	1879	40.1%	37.6%	22.3%	-0.5	41
1974-04-07	@ Napoli	D 3-3	1879	1787	22.3%	37.6%	40.1%	+0.6	50
1974-04-07	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1735	1660	58.2%	31.5%	10.3%	-3.0	30
1974-04-07	@ Roma	D 0-0	1660	1735	10.3%	31.5%	58.2%	+3.0	25
1974-04-07	Bologna	W 2-0	1776	1751	53.1%	34.3%	12.6%	+8.6	32
1974-04-07	@ Torino	L 0-2	1751	1776	12.6%	34.3%	53.1%	-8.6	28
1974-04-15	Napoli	D 0-0	1794	1787	51.2%	35.1%	13.7%	-2.3	35
1974-04-15	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1787	1794	13.7%	35.1%	51.2%	+2.3	42
1974-04-15	Genoa	W 2-0	1743	1670	58.1%	31.6%	10.4%	+6.9	31
1974-04-15	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1670	1743	10.4%	31.6%	58.1%	-6.9	21
1974-04-15	Roma	W 1-0	1830	1732	60.6%	29.9%	9.5%	+3.3	41
1974-04-15	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1732	1830	9.5%	29.9%	60.6%	-3.3	30
1974-04-15	Torino	D 1-1	1649	1784	34.6%	37.5%	27.9%	-0.3	26
1974-04-15	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1784	1649	27.9%	37.5%	34.6%	+0.3	33
1974-04-15	Cagliari	D 1-1	1894	1727	67.5%	25.0%	7.5%	-3.3	45
1974-04-15	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1727	1894	7.5%	25.0%	67.5%	+3.4	29
1974-04-15	Hellas Verona	W 4-2	1880	1683	70.5%	22.7%	6.8%	+2.9	53
1974-04-15	@ Lazio Roma	L 2-4	1683	1880	6.8%	22.7%	70.5%	-2.9	22
1974-04-15	Cesena	D 1-1	1705	1715	49.4%	35.8%	14.8%	-1.8	23
1974-04-15	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1715	1705	14.8%	35.8%	49.4%	+1.8	29
1974-04-15	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1663	1862	26.6%	35.9%	37.5%	+9.8	28
1974-04-15	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1862	1663	37.5%	35.9%	26.6%	-9.8	39
1974-04-21	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1791	1883	40.2%	37.6%	22.2%	-1.0	36
1974-04-21	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1883	1791	22.2%	37.6%	40.2%	+1.0	54
1974-04-21	Cagliari	D 1-1	1717	1730	49.2%	35.9%	14.9%	-1.8	30
1974-04-21	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1730	1717	14.9%	35.9%	49.2%	+1.8	30
1974-04-21	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1833	1673	66.8%	25.5%	7.7%	-15.2	41
1974-04-21	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1673	1833	7.7%	25.5%	66.8%	+15.2	31
1974-04-21	Bologna	D 1-1	1648	1750	39.0%	37.7%	23.4%	-0.8	27
1974-04-21	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1750	1648	23.4%	37.7%	39.0%	+0.8	32
1974-04-21	Torino	L 0-2	1663	1785	36.4%	37.6%	26.0%	-18.5	21
1974-04-21	@ Genoa	W 2-0	1785	1663	26.0%	37.6%	36.4%	+18.4	36
1974-04-21	Napoli	W 1-0	1680	1789	38.0%	37.7%	24.4%	+7.6	25
1974-04-21	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1789	1680	24.4%	37.7%	38.0%	-7.6	42
1974-04-21	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1890	1703	69.5%	23.5%	7.0%	+4.0	48
1974-04-21	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1703	1890	7.0%	23.5%	69.5%	-4.0	23
1974-04-21	Inter Milan	D 3-3	1729	1853	36.1%	37.6%	26.3%	-0.3	31
1974-04-21	@ Roma	D 3-3	1853	1729	26.3%	37.6%	36.1%	+0.3	40
1974-04-28	Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1750	1687	57.0%	32.2%	10.8%	-13.0	32
1974-04-28	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1687	1750	10.8%	32.2%	57.0%	+13.0	28
1974-04-28	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1732	1818	40.8%	37.6%	21.6%	+7.0	33
1974-04-28	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1818	1732	21.6%	37.6%	40.8%	-7.0	41
1974-04-28	Juventus	L 0-2	1853	1894	46.0%	36.8%	17.2%	-22.1	40
1974-04-28	@ Inter Milan	W 2-0	1894	1853	17.2%	36.8%	46.0%	+22.1	51
1974-04-28	Genoa	W 1-0	1884	1644	74.6%	19.5%	5.9%	+1.6	57
1974-04-28	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1644	1884	5.9%	19.5%	74.6%	-1.6	21
1974-04-28	Foggia	D 1-1	1782	1648	64.2%	27.4%	8.4%	-3.1	43
1974-04-28	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1648	1782	8.4%	27.4%	64.2%	+3.1	28
1974-04-28	Roma	D 0-0	1699	1728	47.4%	36.4%	16.2%	-1.8	24
1974-04-28	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1728	1699	16.2%	36.4%	47.4%	+1.8	32
1974-04-28	AC Milan	W 1-0	1803	1790	51.9%	34.8%	13.3%	+4.8	39
1974-04-28	@ Torino	L 0-1	1790	1803	13.3%	34.8%	51.9%	-4.8	36
1974-04-28	Cesena	D 0-0	1688	1715	47.6%	36.4%	16.0%	-1.9	32
1974-04-28	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1715	1688	16.0%	36.4%	47.6%	+1.9	31
1974-05-05	Napoli	D 2-2	1737	1778	46.1%	36.8%	17.2%	-1.1	33
1974-05-05	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1778	1737	17.2%	36.8%	46.1%	+1.1	44
1974-05-05	Cesena	D 0-0	1811	1717	60.2%	30.2%	9.6%	-3.2	42
1974-05-05	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1717	1811	9.6%	30.2%	60.2%	+3.2	32
1974-05-05	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1651	1700	45.1%	37.0%	17.9%	-1.4	29
1974-05-05	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1700	1651	17.9%	37.0%	45.1%	+1.4	29
1974-05-05	AC Milan	L 0-1	1643	1786	33.7%	37.4%	28.9%	-9.3	21
1974-05-05	@ Genoa	W 1-0	1786	1643	28.9%	37.4%	33.7%	+9.3	39
1974-05-05	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1831	1698	64.1%	27.5%	8.4%	+2.6	43
1974-05-05	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1698	1831	8.4%	27.5%	64.1%	-2.6	24
1974-05-05	Juventus	W 3-2	1730	1917	28.1%	36.4%	35.5%	+8.5	35
1974-05-05	@ Roma	L 2-3	1917	1730	35.5%	36.4%	28.1%	-8.5	51
1974-05-05	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1808	1885	41.8%	37.5%	20.7%	+6.4	42
1974-05-05	@ Torino	L 1-2	1885	1808	20.7%	37.5%	41.8%	-6.4	57
1974-05-05	Cagliari	D 1-1	1686	1739	44.8%	37.1%	18.1%	-1.4	33
1974-05-05	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1739	1686	18.1%	37.1%	44.8%	+1.4	34
1974-05-12	Bologna	D 1-1	1795	1736	56.6%	32.4%	11.0%	-2.5	40
1974-05-12	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1736	1795	11.0%	32.4%	56.6%	+2.5	34
1974-05-12	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1740	1833	39.9%	37.6%	22.4%	-0.9	35
1974-05-12	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1833	1740	22.4%	37.6%	39.9%	+0.9	44
1974-05-12	Roma	D 1-1	1720	1739	48.6%	36.1%	15.3%	-1.8	33
1974-05-12	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1739	1720	15.3%	36.1%	48.6%	+1.8	36
1974-05-12	Genoa	W 2-0	1702	1633	57.6%	31.8%	10.5%	+7.1	32
1974-05-12	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1633	1702	10.5%	31.8%	57.6%	-7.1	21
1974-05-12	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1908	1808	60.8%	29.8%	9.4%	+5.3	54
1974-05-12	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1808	1908	9.4%	29.8%	60.8%	-5.3	42
1974-05-12	Foggia	W 1-0	1879	1649	73.7%	20.3%	6.1%	+1.7	60
1974-05-12	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1649	1879	6.1%	20.3%	73.7%	-1.7	29
1974-05-12	Torino	D 1-1	1780	1814	46.8%	36.6%	16.6%	-1.6	45
1974-05-12	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1814	1780	16.6%	36.6%	46.8%	+1.6	43
1974-05-12	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1695	1685	51.6%	35.0%	13.5%	+4.6	27
1974-05-12	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1685	1695	13.5%	35.0%	51.6%	-4.6	33
1974-05-19	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1739	1881	33.8%	37.4%	28.8%	-0.2	35
1974-05-19	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1881	1739	28.8%	37.4%	33.8%	+0.2	61
1974-05-19	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1803	1700	61.1%	29.6%	9.3%	-2.9	43
1974-05-19	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1700	1803	9.3%	29.6%	61.1%	+2.9	28
1974-05-19	AC Milan	D 0-0	1648	1792	33.5%	37.4%	29.2%	-0.2	30
1974-05-19	@ Foggia	D 0-0	1792	1648	29.2%	37.4%	33.5%	+0.2	41
1974-05-19	Napoli	L 1-2	1626	1778	32.5%	37.2%	30.2%	-8.5	21
1974-05-19	@ Genoa	W 2-1	1778	1626	30.2%	37.2%	32.5%	+8.5	48
1974-05-19	Cesena	W 3-1	1834	1719	62.4%	28.7%	8.9%	+4.9	47
1974-05-19	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1719	1834	8.9%	28.7%	62.4%	-4.9	33
1974-05-19	Cagliari	W 2-0	1740	1739	50.6%	35.4%	14.0%	+9.5	39
1974-05-19	@ Roma	L 0-2	1739	1740	14.0%	35.4%	50.6%	-9.5	35
1974-05-19	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1816	1709	61.5%	29.3%	9.2%	-3.3	44
1974-05-19	@ Torino	D 0-0	1709	1816	9.2%	29.3%	61.5%	+3.3	33
1974-05-19	Juventus	L 0-3	1681	1913	23.1%	34.5%	42.4%	-19.2	33
1974-05-19	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-0	1913	1681	42.4%	34.5%	23.1%	+19.2	57

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1974-03-10	6.03%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1635	2	@ AC Milan	1868	1
2	1974-04-21	7.67%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1673	1	@ Fiorentina	1833	0
3	1973-10-28	8.44%	Foggia	1676	1	@ Fiorentina	1807	0
4	1974-03-31	9.91%	Genoa	1651	1	@ Cagliari	1736	0
5	1974-01-13	10.22%	Torino	1780	1	@ Lazio Roma	1857	0
6	1974-01-21	10.54%	Cagliari	1739	1	@ Inter Milan	1808	0
7	1974-04-28	10.78%	Hellas Verona	1687	2	@ Bologna	1750	1
8	1974-02-17	11.08%	Cagliari	1750	2	@ Torino	1806	1
9	1974-03-24	13.19%	Inter Milan	1829	5	@ AC Milan	1844	1
10	1973-11-25	13.26%	Fiorentina	1792	1	@ Torino	1805	0
11	1973-11-25	14.17%	Sampdoria	1718	2	@ Genoa	1716	0
12	1974-03-10	16.30%	Roma	1719	1	@ Hellas Verona	1688	0
13	1974-04-28	17.20%	Juventus	1894	2	@ Inter Milan	1853	0
14	1973-12-02	18.97%	Napoli	1775	1	@ Roma	1714	0
15	1973-12-16	18.99%	Roma	1700	1	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1638	0
16	1974-03-24	19.10%	Cesena	1724	2	@ Genoa	1661	1
17	1973-12-23	19.33%	AC Milan	1850	2	@ Napoli	1785	1
18	1973-10-14	19.46%	Fiorentina	1796	1	@ Genoa	1730	0
19	1973-12-09	20.06%	Juventus	1864	1	@ Torino	1793	0
20	1973-12-02	20.08%	Lazio Roma	1816	1	@ Cagliari	1744	0
21	1973-10-14	20.66%	Inter Milan	1793	3	@ Hellas Verona	1716	1
22	1974-01-27	21.13%	Inter Milan	1794	1	@ Cesena	1712	0
23	1974-03-03	22.55%	AC Milan	1857	1	@ Cagliari	1763	0
24	1974-01-27	23.60%	Torino	1792	1	@ Hellas Verona	1688	0
25	1974-01-27	24.77%	Fiorentina	1824	2	@ Sampdoria	1712	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1974-03-24	38.55	Inter Milan	5	1829	13.19%	@ AC Milan	1	1844	52.04%
2	1973-10-07	27.34	Lazio Roma	3	1797	25.01%	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	0	1682	37.33%
3	1973-11-25	23.77	Sampdoria	2	1718	14.17%	@ Genoa	0	1716	50.37%
4	1974-04-28	22.12	Juventus	2	1894	17.20%	@ Inter Milan	0	1853	45.99%
5	1974-05-19	19.18	Juventus	3	1913	42.37%	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	0	1681	23.12%
6	1974-04-21	18.46	Torino	2	1785	26.02%	@ Genoa	0	1663	36.35%
7	1973-10-14	17.78	Inter Milan	3	1793	20.66%	@ Hellas Verona	1	1716	41.84%
8	1973-12-09	17.63	@ Bologna	3	1764	43.56%	Inter Milan	0	1827	19.16%
9	1974-03-17	17.50	@ Cesena	3	1706	43.81%	Bologna	0	1767	18.95%
10	1974-04-07	17.44	Juventus	2	1876	29.02%	@ Cesena	0	1733	33.59%
11	1974-01-13	15.70	@ Hellas Verona	3	1678	47.02%	Foggia	0	1711	16.43%
12	1974-04-21	15.25	Lanerossi Vicenza	1	1673	7.67%	@ Fiorentina	0	1833	66.84%
13	1974-03-10	15.09	Lanerossi Vicenza	2	1635	6.03%	@ AC Milan	1	1868	73.92%
14	1973-10-28	14.89	Foggia	1	1676	8.44%	@ Fiorentina	0	1807	63.93%
15	1974-03-31	14.20	Genoa	1	1651	9.91%	@ Cagliari	0	1736	59.32%
16	1974-01-13	14.08	Torino	1	1780	10.22%	@ Lazio Roma	0	1857	58.48%
17	1973-10-14	13.98	@ Napoli	2	1750	38.72%	Juventus	0	1853	23.61%
18	1974-01-21	13.94	Cagliari	1	1739	10.54%	@ Inter Milan	0	1808	57.65%
19	1974-03-03	13.61	@ Inter Milan	3	1796	50.87%	Torino	0	1793	13.87%
20	1974-04-28	13.04	Hellas Verona	2	1687	10.78%	@ Bologna	1	1750	57.04%
21	1974-02-17	12.93	Cagliari	2	1750	11.08%	@ Torino	1	1806	56.34%
22	1974-01-27	12.92	@ Lazio Roma	4	1852	58.42%	Bologna	0	1775	10.24%
23	1973-11-25	12.91	Fiorentina	1	1792	13.26%	@ Torino	0	1805	51.92%
24	1974-01-21	12.53	@ Fiorentina	2	1812	42.55%	Juventus	0	1884	20.03%
25	1973-11-25	12.47	@ Hellas Verona	2	1686	42.69%	Cagliari	0	1756	19.91%