1974-75 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Roma

9.04 points above expected

39 points · 29.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Varese

8.10 points below expected

17 points · 25.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	30	18	7	5	43	49	19	+30	38.7	+4.31
2	Napoli	30	14	13	3	41	50	22	+28	33.4	+7.59
3	Roma	30	15	9	6	39	27	15	+12	30.0	+9.04
4	Lazio Roma	30	14	9	7	37	34	28	+6	34.9	+2.11
5	AC Milan	30	12	12	6	36	37	22	+15	32.3	+3.68
6	Torino	30	11	13	6	35	40	30	+10	33.1	+1.92
7	Bologna	30	10	12	8	32	36	33	+3	30.5	+1.49
8	Fiorentina	30	9	13	8	31	31	27	+4	31.3	-0.34
9	Inter Milan	30	10	10	10	30	26	26	0	32.1	-2.10
10	Cagliari	30	6	14	10	26	22	30	-8	27.9	-1.85
11	Cesena	30	5	15	10	25	23	35	-12	26.9	-1.88
12	Ascoli	30	6	12	12	24	14	27	-13	27.2	-3.17
13	Sampdoria	30	4	16	10	24	21	35	-14	26.4	-2.40
14	Lanerossi Vicenza	30	5	11	14	21	19	34	-15	24.9	-3.92
15	Ternana	30	4	11	15	19	19	42	-23	25.4	-6.38
16	Varese	30	3	11	16	17	19	42	-23	25.1	-8.10

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1904	43	38.69	+4.31	86.0%	27	31	36	39	41	44	50
Napoli	1833	41	33.41	+7.59	98.0%	24	26	30	33	37	40	45
Torino	1805	35	33.08	+1.92	70.0%	24	27	30	33	36	39	45
Roma	1803	39	29.96	+9.04	100.0%	21	25	27	30	32	35	39
AC Milan	1796	36	32.32	+3.68	88.0%	20	26	29	32	35	39	43
Lazio Roma	1786	37	34.89	+2.11	75.0%	22	28	32	34	37	42	43
Fiorentina	1760	31	31.34	-0.34	49.0%	20	24	29	32	34	37	39
Inter Milan	1740	30	32.10	-2.10	30.0%	24	26	30	32	34	38	42
Bologna	1739	32	30.51	+1.49	74.0%	20	25	28	30	33	36	40
Cagliari	1694	26	27.85	-1.85	36.0%	16	22	25	28	31	35	37
Ascoli	1667	24	27.17	-3.17	23.0%	17	22	25	27	29	34	39
Cesena	1665	25	26.88	-1.88	37.0%	19	21	24	27	29	33	34
Sampdoria	1646	24	26.40	-2.40	32.0%	17	20	24	26	29	33	38
Lanerossi Vicenza	1618	21	24.92	-3.92	22.0%	17	19	22	25	27	31	36
Ternana	1590	19	25.38	-6.38	5.0%	16	19	23	25	28	31	32
Varese	1582	17	25.10	-8.10	0.0%	18	19	22	25	27	31	37

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ASC	BOL	CAG	CES	FIO	IM	JUV	LV	LR	NAP	ROM	SAM	TER	TOR	VAR
AC Milan	—	1-1-0 3.15	1-1-0 2.80	0-2-0 3.07	1-0-1 3.20	0-2-0 2.64	1-1-0 2.46	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 3.37	0-1-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.01	2-0-0 3.60	1-1-0 2.53	2-0-0 3.54
Ascoli	0-1-1 2.14	—	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.50	0-2-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.20	1-1-0 2.13	0-1-1 1.49	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 1.71	0-1-1 2.17	0-1-1 2.31	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.18	1-0-1 2.73
Bologna	0-1-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.93	—	1-1-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.37	1-1-0 1.95	1-1-0 3.12	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 3.05	0-2-0 3.17	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 3.08
Cagliari	0-2-0 2.22	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.48	—	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.28	0-0-2 2.18	0-1-1 1.53	0-2-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.41	1-1-0 2.87	2-0-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.09	1-1-0 2.83
Cesena	1-0-1 2.10	0-2-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.55	—	0-2-0 2.28	1-1-0 2.16	0-0-2 1.68	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 1.94	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.22	0-2-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.10	0-2-0 2.77
Fiorentina	0-2-0 2.61	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.98	0-2-0 3.01	—	0-1-1 2.58	1-1-0 1.70	1-1-0 3.21	0-1-1 2.35	0-1-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.18	2-0-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.47	1-1-0 3.16
Inter Milan	0-1-1 2.81	0-1-1 3.22	0-1-1 2.91	2-0-0 3.10	0-1-1 3.16	1-1-0 2.70	—	0-0-2 2.13	1-1-0 3.39	2-0-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.67	0-2-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.35	2-0-0 2.51	1-0-1 3.34
Juventus	2-0-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.89	0-1-1 3.42	1-1-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.74	0-1-1 3.65	2-0-0 3.21	—	2-0-0 4.24	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.56	1-1-0 3.79	2-0-0 4.30	0-1-1 3.27	1-1-0 3.75
Lanerossi Vicenza	1-0-1 1.94	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.19	0-2-0 2.36	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.12	0-1-1 1.95	0-0-2 1.26	—	0-0-2 1.83	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 2.13	0-2-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 1.93	0-2-0 2.69
Lazio Roma	1-1-0 2.75	1-0-1 3.63	2-0-0 3.05	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.37	1-1-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.92	1-0-1 2.16	2-0-0 3.57	—	0-2-0 2.88	0-0-2 3.13	2-0-0 3.52	0-2-0 3.84	0-1-1 2.79	2-0-0 3.53
Napoli	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 3.08	1-1-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.73	1-1-0 2.73	0-0-2 2.16	1-1-0 3.39	0-2-0 2.40	—	1-1-0 2.75	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.43	1-1-0 2.53	2-0-0 3.74
Roma	0-1-1 2.51	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.65	1-1-0 2.90	1-1-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.57	2-0-0 2.58	1-0-1 1.80	2-0-0 3.22	2-0-0 2.16	0-1-1 2.51	—	1-1-0 3.26	1-1-0 3.44	0-0-2 2.51	1-1-0 2.97
Sampdoria	0-1-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.21	0-1-1 2.40	0-2-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.13	0-2-0 2.03	0-1-1 1.67	0-2-0 2.69	0-0-2 1.80	0-1-1 2.18	0-1-1 2.04	—	1-1-0 2.72	0-2-0 1.93	1-0-1 2.78
Ternana	0-0-2 1.75	1-0-1 2.44	0-2-0 2.13	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 2.38	0-0-2 2.15	0-1-1 1.98	0-0-2 1.20	0-1-1 2.63	0-2-0 1.58	0-1-1 1.93	0-1-1 1.93	0-1-1 2.54	—	1-1-0 1.79	1-1-0 2.50
Torino	0-1-1 2.74	1-1-0 3.17	1-1-0 2.83	1-1-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.18	1-1-0 2.78	0-0-2 2.80	1-1-0 2.03	1-0-1 3.44	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 2.73	2-0-0 2.77	0-2-0 3.45	0-1-1 3.56	—	1-1-0 3.74
Varese	0-0-2 1.79	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.45	0-2-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.15	1-0-1 2.01	0-1-1 1.69	0-2-0 2.61	0-0-2 1.85	0-0-2 1.61	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.76	0-1-1 1.61	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.50%	12.92%	5.83%	1.46%	1.04%	0.42%	39.17%
1	12.92%	17.92%	3.75%	2.29%	0.62%	0.42%	37.92%
2	5.83%	3.75%	3.33%	0.83%	0.42%	0.21%	14.37%
3	1.46%	2.29%	0.83%	0.42%	0.21%	—	5.21%
4	1.04%	0.62%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	2.29%
5+	0.42%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	—	1.04%
Total	39.17%	37.92%	14.37%	5.21%	2.29%	1.04%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	1.95
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.108
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	30.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.156
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	16.67%	13.33%	—	10.00%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	33.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.47
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	0.57
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	1.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.021
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	46.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.260
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	43.33%
1	6.67%	20.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	36.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.74
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	50.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	36.67%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Cesena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.188
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	13.33%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	46.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.367
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	50.00%
1	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	40.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.218
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	60.00%	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.63
Mean allowed	0.63
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.089
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	46.67%
1	10.00%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Lanerossi Vicenza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.67
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.024
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	23.33%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	53.33%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	40.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.196
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	53.33%	33.33%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.58
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.079
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
1	30.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	60.00%	30.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	0.50
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	0.68
Mean total goals/game	1.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.237
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	10.00%	26.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.354
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	50.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Ternana — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	0.72
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.241
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	46.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.392
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	20.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	—	26.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Varese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.279
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Roma	39	30.0	+9.04
2	Napoli	41	33.4	+7.59
3	Juventus	43	38.7	+4.31
4	AC Milan	36	32.3	+3.68
5	Lazio Roma	37	34.9	+2.11

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Varese	17	25.1	-8.10
2	Ternana	19	25.4	-6.38
3	Lanerossi Vicenza	21	24.9	-3.92
4	Ascoli	24	27.2	-3.17
5	Sampdoria	24	26.4	-2.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roma	6	Nov 24 – Jan 5	1 in 613
2	Juventus	5	Oct 20 – Nov 24	1 in 124
3	Torino	3	Jan 26 – Feb 9	1 in 17
4	Cagliari	2	Feb 16 – Feb 23	1 in 11
5	AC Milan	2	Oct 20 – Oct 27	1 in 11

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sampdoria	4	Feb 2 – Feb 23	1 in 48
2	Lanerossi Vicenza	3	Dec 15 – Jan 5	1 in 37
3	Ascoli	4	Nov 4 – Dec 1	1 in 32
4	Inter Milan	2	Feb 16 – Feb 23	1 in 29
5	Ternana	5	Apr 13 – May 18	1 in 23

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sampdoria	10	Mar 1 – May 11	1 in 520
2	Roma	13	Feb 16 – May 18	1 in 165
3	Ascoli	8	Feb 16 – Apr 6	1 in 95
4	Cagliari	9	Feb 16 – Apr 13	1 in 74
5	AC Milan	9	Oct 13 – Dec 15	1 in 27

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sampdoria	12	Oct 13 – Jan 12	1 in 56
2	Varese	13	Feb 16 – May 18	1 in 42
3	Cagliari	11	Mar 1 – May 18	1 in 40
4	Fiorentina	7	Dec 1 – Jan 26	1 in 39
5	Cesena	10	Jan 12 – Mar 23	1 in 34

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Juventus	55.00%	17.00%	15.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Napoli	15.00%	15.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Roma	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	12.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	13.00%	7.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Lazio Roma	15.00%	15.00%	15.00%	19.00%	12.00%	10.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	4.00%	—	—	—	1.00%
AC Milan	4.00%	10.00%	13.00%	14.00%	8.00%	13.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%
Torino	5.00%	18.00%	12.00%	16.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Bologna	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	15.00%	9.00%	12.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Fiorentina	—	7.00%	10.00%	13.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Inter Milan	1.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	16.00%	13.00%	15.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Cagliari	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	3.00%	10.00%	2.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%
Cesena	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	12.00%	7.00%	10.00%	12.00%	12.00%	15.00%	4.00%
Ascoli	—	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	14.00%	9.00%	9.00%
Sampdoria	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	14.00%	13.00%	11.00%	11.00%	18.00%	7.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	8.00%	13.00%	14.00%	12.00%	17.00%	22.00%
Ternana	—	—	—	—	5.00%	1.00%	—	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	14.00%	17.00%	10.00%	20.00%
Varese	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	18.00%	24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Juventus	100%	—
Torino	100%	—
Inter Milan	99.0%	1.0%
Lazio Roma	99.0%	1.0%
Napoli	98.0%	2.0%
AC Milan	96.0%	4.0%
Fiorentina	95.0%	5.0%
Roma	95.0%	5.0%
Bologna	92.0%	8.0%
Cagliari	77.0%	23.0%
Cesena	69.0%	31.0%
Ascoli	68.0%	32.0%
Sampdoria	64.0%	36.0%
Ternana	53.0%	47.0%
Lanerossi Vicenza	49.0%	51.0%
Varese	46.0%	54.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1974-09-30	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1745	1693	55.1%	33.6%	11.3%	-2.6	1
1974-09-30	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1693	1745	11.3%	33.6%	55.1%	+2.6	1
1974-09-30	Juventus	W 2-1	1713	1830	35.9%	38.8%	25.3%	+7.1	3
1974-09-30	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1830	1713	25.3%	38.8%	35.9%	-7.1	0
1974-09-30	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1708	1664	54.2%	34.1%	11.7%	-2.5	1
1974-09-30	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1664	1708	11.7%	34.1%	54.2%	+2.5	1
1974-09-30	Cesena	W 2-1	1796	1698	60.0%	30.4%	9.6%	+3.0	3
1974-09-30	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1698	1796	9.6%	30.4%	60.0%	-3.0	0
1974-09-30	Ascoli	W 3-1	1741	1709	53.0%	34.8%	12.3%	+7.1	3
1974-09-30	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1709	1741	12.3%	34.8%	53.0%	-7.1	0
1974-09-30	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1661	1750	39.3%	38.8%	21.9%	-10.1	0
1974-09-30	@ Ternana	W 1-0	1750	1661	21.9%	38.8%	39.3%	+10.1	3
1974-09-30	Roma	W 1-0	1756	1720	53.4%	34.5%	12.1%	+4.3	3
1974-09-30	@ Torino	L 0-1	1720	1756	12.1%	34.5%	53.4%	-4.2	0
1974-09-30	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1669	1774	37.2%	38.8%	23.9%	+13.8	3
1974-09-30	@ Varese	L 0-2	1774	1669	23.9%	38.8%	37.2%	-13.8	0
1974-10-06	Torino	D 1-1	1702	1760	42.9%	38.4%	18.7%	-1.2	1
1974-10-06	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1760	1702	18.7%	38.4%	42.9%	+1.2	4
1974-10-06	Ternana	W 2-1	1695	1651	54.3%	34.1%	11.7%	+3.9	3
1974-10-06	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1651	1695	11.7%	34.1%	54.3%	-3.9	0
1974-10-06	Bologna	W 1-0	1760	1720	53.8%	34.3%	11.9%	+4.2	6
1974-10-06	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1720	1760	11.9%	34.3%	53.8%	-4.2	3
1974-10-06	Cagliari	W 4-1	1761	1705	55.5%	33.3%	11.2%	+9.0	3
1974-10-06	@ Inter Milan	L 1-4	1705	1761	11.2%	33.3%	55.5%	-9.0	1
1974-10-06	AC Milan	W 2-1	1822	1742	58.1%	31.7%	10.2%	+3.3	3
1974-10-06	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1742	1822	10.2%	31.7%	58.1%	-3.3	1
1974-10-06	Napoli	D 0-0	1716	1748	46.0%	37.7%	16.4%	-1.7	1
1974-10-06	@ Roma	D 0-0	1748	1716	16.4%	37.7%	46.0%	+1.7	4
1974-10-06	Varese	W 1-0	1695	1682	50.9%	35.8%	13.3%	+4.7	4
1974-10-06	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1682	1695	13.3%	35.8%	50.9%	-4.7	3
1974-10-06	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1667	1799	33.8%	38.6%	27.6%	-8.5	1
1974-10-06	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1799	1667	27.6%	38.6%	33.8%	+8.5	6
1974-10-13	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1739	1764	46.7%	37.5%	15.8%	-1.6	2
1974-10-13	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1764	1739	15.8%	37.5%	46.7%	+1.6	7
1974-10-13	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1701	1770	41.7%	38.6%	19.7%	-1.2	2
1974-10-13	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1770	1701	19.7%	38.6%	41.7%	+1.2	4
1974-10-13	Roma	W 1-0	1716	1714	49.7%	36.3%	14.0%	+4.9	6
1974-10-13	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1714	1716	14.0%	36.3%	49.7%	-4.9	1
1974-10-13	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1808	1700	61.1%	29.6%	9.3%	+8.4	9
1974-10-13	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1700	1808	9.3%	29.6%	61.1%	-8.4	4
1974-10-13	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1749	1658	59.3%	30.9%	9.8%	+6.3	7
1974-10-13	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1658	1749	9.8%	30.9%	59.3%	-6.3	1
1974-10-13	Cagliari	L 0-2	1647	1696	44.1%	38.1%	17.8%	-20.8	0
1974-10-13	@ Ternana	W 2-0	1696	1647	17.8%	38.1%	44.1%	+20.8	4
1974-10-13	Cesena	W 2-0	1761	1699	56.2%	32.9%	10.9%	+7.1	7
1974-10-13	@ Torino	L 0-2	1699	1761	10.9%	32.9%	56.2%	-7.1	3
1974-10-13	Juventus	D 0-0	1678	1826	31.8%	38.4%	29.8%	-0.1	4
1974-10-13	@ Varese	D 0-0	1826	1678	29.8%	38.4%	31.8%	+0.1	4
1974-10-20	Varese	D 1-1	1717	1678	53.8%	34.3%	11.9%	-2.2	5
1974-10-20	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1678	1717	11.9%	34.3%	53.8%	+2.2	5
1974-10-20	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1692	1766	41.1%	38.6%	20.2%	-1.0	4
1974-10-20	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1766	1692	20.2%	38.6%	41.1%	+1.0	8
1974-10-20	Bologna	D 1-1	1771	1721	54.9%	33.7%	11.4%	-2.3	5
1974-10-20	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1721	1771	11.4%	33.7%	54.9%	+2.3	7
1974-10-20	Ascoli	W 4-0	1826	1699	63.0%	28.2%	8.8%	+10.1	7
1974-10-20	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1699	1826	8.8%	28.2%	63.0%	-10.1	2
1974-10-20	AC Milan	L 0-1	1709	1737	46.4%	37.5%	16.0%	-11.5	1
1974-10-20	@ Roma	W 1-0	1737	1709	16.0%	37.5%	46.4%	+11.5	5
1974-10-20	Napoli	D 1-1	1692	1756	42.3%	38.5%	19.2%	-1.1	5
1974-10-20	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1756	1692	19.2%	38.5%	42.3%	+1.1	8
1974-10-20	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1627	1816	26.6%	37.1%	36.2%	+0.4	1
1974-10-20	@ Ternana	D 1-1	1816	1627	36.2%	37.1%	26.6%	-0.4	10
1974-10-20	Torino	W 1-0	1652	1769	35.8%	38.8%	25.4%	+7.6	4
1974-10-20	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1769	1652	25.4%	38.8%	35.8%	-7.6	7
1974-10-27	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1749	1659	59.1%	31.0%	9.9%	+3.3	8
1974-10-27	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1659	1749	9.9%	31.0%	59.1%	-3.3	4
1974-10-27	Cesena	D 0-0	1689	1691	49.3%	36.5%	14.2%	-2.0	3
1974-10-27	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1691	1689	14.2%	36.5%	49.3%	+2.0	5
1974-10-27	Cagliari	W 2-0	1723	1715	50.5%	36.0%	13.5%	+9.0	10
1974-10-27	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1715	1723	13.5%	36.0%	50.5%	-9.0	5
1974-10-27	Napoli	D 1-1	1767	1757	50.6%	35.9%	13.4%	-1.9	9
1974-10-27	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1757	1767	13.4%	35.9%	50.6%	+1.9	9
1974-10-27	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1816	1769	54.6%	33.9%	11.5%	-12.2	10
1974-10-27	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1769	1816	11.5%	33.9%	54.6%	+12.2	8
1974-10-27	Juventus	L 1-3	1690	1836	32.1%	38.4%	29.4%	-14.3	5
1974-10-27	@ Sampdoria	W 3-1	1836	1690	29.4%	38.4%	32.1%	+14.2	10
1974-10-27	Ternana	D 1-1	1761	1627	63.8%	27.6%	8.6%	-3.0	8
1974-10-27	@ Torino	D 1-1	1627	1761	8.6%	27.6%	63.8%	+3.0	2
1974-10-27	Roma	D 0-0	1680	1698	47.5%	37.2%	15.3%	-1.8	6
1974-10-27	@ Varese	D 0-0	1698	1680	15.3%	37.2%	47.5%	+1.8	2
1974-11-04	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1706	1676	52.7%	34.9%	12.4%	+4.4	8
1974-11-04	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1676	1706	12.4%	34.9%	52.7%	-4.4	5
1974-11-04	Juventus	L 0-1	1693	1850	30.6%	38.2%	31.2%	-8.4	5
1974-11-04	@ Cesena	W 1-0	1850	1693	31.2%	38.2%	30.6%	+8.5	13
1974-11-04	AC Milan	D 0-0	1781	1752	52.6%	34.9%	12.4%	-2.4	9
1974-11-04	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1752	1781	12.4%	34.9%	52.6%	+2.4	9
1974-11-04	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1759	1804	44.5%	38.0%	17.4%	-1.3	10
1974-11-04	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1804	1759	17.4%	38.0%	44.5%	+1.4	11
1974-11-04	Ascoli	W 1-0	1700	1687	50.9%	35.8%	13.3%	+4.7	5
1974-11-04	@ Roma	L 0-1	1687	1700	13.3%	35.8%	50.9%	-4.7	3
1974-11-04	Varese	W 2-0	1630	1678	44.2%	38.1%	17.7%	+11.2	5
1974-11-04	@ Ternana	L 0-2	1678	1630	17.7%	38.1%	44.2%	-11.2	6
1974-11-04	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1758	1765	48.8%	36.7%	14.5%	+4.8	11
1974-11-04	@ Torino	L 1-2	1765	1758	14.5%	36.7%	48.8%	-4.8	9
1974-11-04	Bologna	L 0-1	1656	1732	40.8%	38.7%	20.5%	-10.4	4
1974-11-04	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1732	1656	20.5%	38.7%	40.8%	+10.4	13
1974-11-10	Ascoli	W 2-0	1754	1683	57.2%	32.2%	10.5%	+6.8	12
1974-11-10	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1683	1754	10.5%	32.2%	57.2%	-6.8	3
1974-11-10	Torino	L 1-3	1743	1763	47.3%	37.2%	15.4%	-19.0	13
1974-11-10	@ Bologna	W 3-1	1763	1743	15.4%	37.2%	47.3%	+19.0	14
1974-11-10	Napoli	D 0-0	1685	1757	41.2%	38.6%	20.1%	-1.1	6
1974-11-10	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1757	1685	20.1%	38.6%	41.2%	+1.1	11
1974-11-10	Varese	W 2-0	1760	1667	59.5%	30.7%	9.8%	+6.2	12
1974-11-10	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1667	1760	9.8%	30.7%	59.5%	-6.2	6
1974-11-10	Roma	W 1-0	1859	1704	66.0%	26.0%	8.0%	+2.5	16
1974-11-10	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1704	1859	8.0%	26.0%	66.0%	-2.5	5
1974-11-10	Cagliari	W 1-0	1805	1710	59.7%	30.6%	9.7%	+3.3	14
1974-11-10	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1710	1805	9.7%	30.6%	59.7%	-3.3	8
1974-11-10	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1672	1778	37.1%	38.8%	24.1%	-0.6	6
1974-11-10	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1778	1672	24.1%	38.8%	37.1%	+0.6	10
1974-11-10	Ternana	W 1-0	1646	1641	50.0%	36.2%	13.8%	+4.9	7
1974-11-10	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1641	1646	13.8%	36.2%	50.0%	-4.9	5
1974-11-24	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1676	1766	39.1%	38.8%	22.1%	-10.1	3
1974-11-24	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1766	1676	22.1%	38.8%	39.1%	+10.1	15
1974-11-24	Ternana	D 1-1	1724	1637	58.9%	31.2%	10.0%	-2.6	14
1974-11-24	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1637	1724	10.0%	31.2%	58.9%	+2.7	6
1974-11-24	Juventus	L 0-1	1779	1861	40.1%	38.7%	21.1%	-10.2	10
1974-11-24	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1861	1779	21.1%	38.7%	40.1%	+10.2	19
1974-11-24	Cagliari	W 5-0	1759	1707	55.1%	33.6%	11.3%	+17.5	14
1974-11-24	@ Napoli	L 0-5	1707	1759	11.3%	33.6%	55.1%	-17.5	8
1974-11-24	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1702	1808	37.1%	38.8%	24.0%	+7.3	8
1974-11-24	@ Roma	L 0-1	1808	1702	24.0%	38.8%	37.1%	-7.3	14
1974-11-24	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1671	1651	51.8%	35.4%	12.8%	-2.0	7
1974-11-24	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1651	1671	12.8%	35.4%	51.8%	+2.0	8
1974-11-24	AC Milan	D 1-1	1782	1761	51.8%	35.4%	12.8%	-2.0	15
1974-11-24	@ Torino	D 1-1	1761	1782	12.8%	35.4%	51.8%	+2.0	13
1974-11-24	Cesena	D 1-1	1661	1684	47.0%	37.4%	15.7%	-1.6	7
1974-11-24	@ Varese	D 1-1	1684	1661	15.7%	37.4%	47.0%	+1.6	7
1974-12-01	Napoli	D 0-0	1763	1776	48.1%	37.0%	14.9%	-1.9	14
1974-12-01	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1776	1763	14.9%	37.0%	48.1%	+1.9	15
1974-12-01	Roma	L 1-2	1689	1709	47.3%	37.2%	15.4%	-11.0	8
1974-12-01	@ Cagliari	W 2-1	1709	1689	15.4%	37.2%	47.3%	+11.0	11
1974-12-01	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1685	1769	39.9%	38.8%	21.3%	-1.0	8
1974-12-01	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1769	1685	21.3%	38.8%	39.9%	+1.0	11
1974-12-01	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1776	1653	62.8%	28.4%	8.8%	-3.3	16
1974-12-01	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1653	1776	8.8%	28.4%	62.8%	+3.3	9
1974-12-01	Torino	D 0-0	1871	1780	59.3%	30.9%	9.8%	-3.0	20
1974-12-01	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1780	1871	9.8%	30.9%	59.3%	+3.0	16
1974-12-01	Bologna	W 1-0	1801	1721	58.1%	31.7%	10.2%	+3.5	17
1974-12-01	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1721	1801	10.2%	31.7%	58.1%	-3.5	14
1974-12-01	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1639	1669	46.2%	37.6%	16.2%	-1.5	7
1974-12-01	@ Ternana	D 1-1	1669	1639	16.2%	37.6%	46.2%	+1.5	8
1974-12-01	Ascoli	W 3-1	1659	1666	48.8%	36.7%	14.5%	+8.3	10
1974-12-01	@ Varese	L 1-3	1666	1659	14.5%	36.7%	48.8%	-8.3	3
1974-12-08	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1657	1671	48.1%	37.0%	14.9%	+5.2	6
1974-12-08	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1671	1657	14.9%	37.0%	48.1%	-5.2	8
1974-12-08	Varese	D 1-1	1718	1667	54.9%	33.7%	11.4%	-2.3	15
1974-12-08	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1667	1718	11.4%	33.7%	54.9%	+2.3	11
1974-12-08	AC Milan	D 0-0	1678	1761	40.0%	38.8%	21.2%	-1.0	9
1974-12-08	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1761	1678	21.2%	38.8%	40.0%	+1.0	15
1974-12-08	Ternana	W 1-0	1770	1638	63.6%	27.8%	8.6%	+2.7	14
1974-12-08	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1638	1770	8.6%	27.8%	63.6%	-2.7	7
1974-12-08	Juventus	L 2-6	1778	1868	39.1%	38.8%	22.1%	-25.5	15
1974-12-08	@ Napoli	W 6-2	1868	1778	22.1%	38.8%	39.1%	+25.5	23
1974-12-08	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1720	1773	43.6%	38.2%	18.2%	+6.1	14
1974-12-08	@ Roma	L 0-1	1773	1720	18.2%	38.2%	43.6%	-6.1	16
1974-12-08	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1783	1804	47.1%	37.3%	15.6%	-1.2	17
1974-12-08	@ Torino	D 2-2	1804	1783	15.6%	37.3%	47.1%	+1.2	18
1974-12-08	Cesena	W 2-0	1656	1684	46.4%	37.5%	16.1%	+10.4	12
1974-12-08	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-2	1684	1656	16.1%	37.5%	46.4%	-10.4	8
1974-12-15	Bologna	W 3-0	1762	1715	54.6%	33.9%	11.5%	+11.1	18
1974-12-15	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1715	1762	11.5%	33.9%	54.6%	-11.1	15
1974-12-15	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1663	1666	49.1%	36.6%	14.3%	+5.0	9
1974-12-15	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1666	1663	14.3%	36.6%	49.1%	-5.0	12
1974-12-15	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1767	1772	48.9%	36.6%	14.4%	-1.8	17
1974-12-15	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1772	1767	14.4%	36.6%	48.9%	+1.8	15
1974-12-15	Cagliari	W 1-0	1894	1677	72.5%	20.9%	6.6%	+1.8	26
1974-12-15	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1677	1894	6.6%	20.9%	72.5%	-1.8	9
1974-12-15	Cesena	W 2-0	1726	1674	55.2%	33.5%	11.3%	+7.5	17
1974-12-15	@ Roma	L 0-2	1674	1726	11.3%	33.5%	55.2%	-7.5	8
1974-12-15	Torino	D 0-0	1665	1782	35.9%	38.8%	25.3%	-0.5	9
1974-12-15	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1782	1665	25.3%	38.8%	35.9%	+0.6	18
1974-12-15	Napoli	D 0-0	1635	1753	35.7%	38.8%	25.5%	-0.5	8
1974-12-15	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1753	1635	25.5%	38.8%	35.7%	+0.5	16
1974-12-15	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1670	1806	33.4%	38.6%	28.1%	-9.0	11
1974-12-15	@ Varese	W 1-0	1806	1670	28.1%	38.6%	33.4%	+9.0	21
1974-12-23	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1704	1665	53.8%	34.3%	11.9%	-1.7	16
1974-12-23	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1665	1704	11.9%	34.3%	53.8%	+1.6	10
1974-12-23	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1676	1765	39.2%	38.8%	22.0%	+6.5	12
1974-12-23	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1765	1676	22.0%	38.8%	39.2%	-6.5	17
1974-12-23	AC Milan	W 1-0	1666	1774	37.0%	38.8%	24.1%	+7.3	11
1974-12-23	@ Cesena	L 0-1	1774	1666	24.1%	38.8%	37.0%	-7.3	18
1974-12-23	Napoli	D 0-0	1774	1753	51.8%	35.4%	12.8%	-2.3	16
1974-12-23	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1753	1774	12.8%	35.4%	51.8%	+2.3	17
1974-12-23	Juventus	W 1-0	1815	1896	40.3%	38.7%	21.0%	+6.7	24
1974-12-23	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1896	1815	21.0%	38.7%	40.3%	-6.7	26
1974-12-23	Ascoli	W 1-0	1634	1668	45.8%	37.7%	16.5%	+5.6	11
1974-12-23	@ Ternana	L 0-1	1668	1634	16.5%	37.7%	45.8%	-5.6	9
1974-12-23	Varese	W 3-1	1782	1661	62.5%	28.6%	8.9%	+4.7	21
1974-12-23	@ Torino	L 1-3	1661	1782	8.9%	28.6%	62.5%	-4.7	11
1974-12-23	Roma	L 0-2	1661	1734	41.3%	38.6%	20.1%	-19.8	12
1974-12-23	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1734	1661	20.1%	38.6%	41.3%	+19.8	20
1975-01-05	Varese	W 4-0	1766	1656	61.3%	29.5%	9.2%	+10.9	21
1975-01-05	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1656	1766	9.2%	29.5%	61.3%	-10.9	11
1975-01-05	Bologna	L 1-3	1662	1702	45.0%	37.9%	17.1%	-18.3	9
1975-01-05	@ Ascoli	W 3-1	1702	1662	17.1%	37.9%	45.0%	+18.3	19
1975-01-05	Cagliari	W 2-1	1674	1682	48.6%	36.8%	14.6%	+4.8	14
1975-01-05	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1682	1674	14.6%	36.8%	48.6%	-4.8	12
1975-01-05	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1759	1821	42.5%	38.5%	19.1%	-1.1	18
1975-01-05	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1821	1759	19.1%	38.5%	42.5%	+1.1	25
1975-01-05	Ternana	W 2-0	1889	1640	75.8%	18.3%	5.9%	+2.9	29
1975-01-05	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1640	1889	5.9%	18.3%	75.8%	-2.9	11
1975-01-05	Torino	W 1-0	1755	1787	46.0%	37.6%	16.3%	+5.6	20
1975-01-05	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1787	1755	16.3%	37.6%	46.0%	-5.6	21
1975-01-05	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1754	1667	58.9%	31.2%	10.0%	+3.4	23
1975-01-05	@ Roma	L 0-1	1667	1754	10.0%	31.2%	58.9%	-3.4	10
1975-01-05	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1642	1772	34.1%	38.7%	27.3%	-14.9	12
1975-01-05	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-1	1772	1642	27.3%	38.7%	34.1%	+14.8	19
1975-01-12	Napoli	W 1-0	1721	1761	45.1%	37.9%	17.0%	+5.8	22
1975-01-12	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1761	1721	17.0%	37.9%	45.1%	-5.8	20
1975-01-12	Ascoli	W 2-0	1677	1644	53.1%	34.7%	12.2%	+8.1	15
1975-01-12	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1644	1677	12.2%	34.7%	53.1%	-8.1	9
1975-01-12	Torino	W 1-0	1787	1781	50.1%	36.1%	13.7%	+4.8	22
1975-01-12	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1781	1787	13.7%	36.1%	50.1%	-4.8	21
1975-01-12	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1892	1758	63.9%	27.6%	8.5%	-3.3	30
1975-01-12	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1758	1892	8.5%	27.6%	63.9%	+3.3	19
1975-01-12	AC Milan	W 3-0	1822	1777	54.4%	34.0%	11.6%	+11.2	28
1975-01-12	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1777	1822	11.6%	34.0%	54.4%	-11.2	21
1975-01-12	Cesena	D 0-0	1663	1678	47.9%	37.1%	15.1%	-1.9	11
1975-01-12	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1678	1663	15.1%	37.1%	47.9%	+1.9	15
1975-01-12	Roma	D 2-2	1637	1757	35.4%	38.8%	25.8%	-0.3	12
1975-01-12	@ Ternana	D 2-2	1757	1637	25.8%	38.8%	35.4%	+0.3	24
1975-01-12	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1645	1627	51.5%	35.5%	13.0%	-2.0	12
1975-01-12	@ Varese	D 1-1	1627	1645	13.0%	35.5%	51.5%	+2.0	13
1975-01-26	Ternana	W 3-1	1766	1637	63.3%	28.0%	8.7%	+4.5	24
1975-01-26	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1637	1766	8.7%	28.0%	63.3%	-4.5	12
1975-01-26	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1636	1834	25.7%	36.8%	37.5%	+9.5	12
1975-01-26	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1834	1636	37.5%	36.8%	25.7%	-9.5	28
1975-01-26	Bologna	D 2-2	1680	1727	44.3%	38.1%	17.6%	-1.0	16
1975-01-26	@ Cesena	D 2-2	1727	1680	17.6%	38.1%	44.3%	+1.0	23
1975-01-26	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1761	1661	60.2%	30.2%	9.5%	-26.0	19
1975-01-26	@ Fiorentina	W 2-0	1661	1761	9.5%	30.2%	60.2%	+26.0	14
1975-01-26	Varese	W 3-0	1755	1643	61.5%	29.3%	9.2%	+8.2	23
1975-01-26	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1643	1755	9.2%	29.3%	61.5%	-8.2	12
1975-01-26	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1757	1792	45.7%	37.7%	16.6%	+5.7	27
1975-01-26	@ Roma	L 0-1	1792	1757	16.6%	37.7%	45.7%	-5.7	22
1975-01-26	Cagliari	W 1-0	1776	1685	59.3%	30.9%	9.8%	+3.3	24
1975-01-26	@ Torino	L 0-1	1685	1776	9.8%	30.9%	59.3%	-3.3	15
1975-01-26	Juventus	L 1-2	1629	1888	20.1%	33.5%	46.5%	-5.7	13
1975-01-26	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1888	1629	46.5%	33.5%	20.1%	+5.7	33
1975-02-02	Napoli	D 1-1	1645	1763	35.6%	38.8%	25.6%	-0.5	13
1975-02-02	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1763	1645	25.6%	38.8%	35.6%	+0.5	24
1975-02-02	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1679	1824	32.2%	38.4%	29.3%	-0.1	17
1975-02-02	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1824	1679	29.3%	38.4%	32.2%	+0.1	29
1975-02-02	Ternana	W 2-0	1735	1632	60.5%	30.0%	9.4%	+5.9	22
1975-02-02	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1632	1735	9.4%	30.0%	60.5%	-5.9	12
1975-02-02	Varese	W 1-0	1786	1635	65.7%	26.2%	8.1%	+2.5	25
1975-02-02	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1635	1786	8.1%	26.2%	65.7%	-2.5	12
1975-02-02	Bologna	D 0-0	1894	1728	67.3%	25.0%	7.7%	-3.6	34
1975-02-02	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1728	1894	7.7%	25.0%	67.3%	+3.6	24
1975-02-02	Torino	L 0-1	1763	1780	47.7%	37.1%	15.2%	-11.7	27
1975-02-02	@ Roma	W 1-0	1780	1763	15.2%	37.1%	47.7%	+11.7	27
1975-02-02	AC Milan	L 2-4	1687	1770	40.0%	38.8%	21.2%	-14.9	14
1975-02-02	@ Sampdoria	W 4-2	1770	1687	21.2%	38.8%	40.0%	+14.9	27
1975-02-02	Cagliari	D 0-0	1623	1682	42.9%	38.4%	18.7%	-1.3	14
1975-02-02	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1682	1623	18.7%	38.4%	42.9%	+1.3	16
1975-02-09	Juventus	L 0-2	1785	1890	37.3%	38.8%	23.8%	-18.3	27
1975-02-09	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1890	1785	23.8%	38.8%	37.3%	+18.3	37
1975-02-09	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1731	1741	48.5%	36.8%	14.7%	+5.1	27
1975-02-09	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1741	1731	14.7%	36.8%	48.5%	-5.1	22
1975-02-09	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1683	1788	37.3%	38.8%	23.9%	-9.7	16
1975-02-09	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1788	1683	23.9%	38.8%	37.3%	+9.7	28
1975-02-09	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1824	1622	71.1%	22.0%	6.9%	+1.9	32
1975-02-09	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1622	1824	6.9%	22.0%	71.1%	-1.9	14
1975-02-09	Roma	W 2-0	1764	1751	50.9%	35.8%	13.3%	+8.9	27
1975-02-09	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1751	1764	13.3%	35.8%	50.9%	-8.9	27
1975-02-09	Cesena	W 1-0	1626	1679	43.6%	38.2%	18.1%	+6.1	15
1975-02-09	@ Ternana	L 0-1	1679	1626	18.1%	38.2%	43.6%	-6.1	17
1975-02-09	Ascoli	W 1-0	1791	1645	65.2%	26.6%	8.2%	+2.5	30
1975-02-09	@ Torino	L 0-1	1645	1791	8.2%	26.6%	65.2%	-2.5	13
1975-02-09	Sampdoria	W 4-0	1632	1672	45.1%	37.9%	17.0%	+20.7	15
1975-02-09	@ Varese	L 0-4	1672	1632	17.0%	37.9%	45.1%	-20.7	14
1975-02-16	Ternana	W 2-0	1674	1632	54.0%	34.2%	11.8%	+7.8	19
1975-02-16	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1632	1674	11.8%	34.2%	54.0%	-7.8	15
1975-02-16	Torino	D 1-1	1673	1794	35.3%	38.8%	25.9%	-0.4	18
1975-02-16	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1794	1673	25.9%	38.8%	35.3%	+0.4	31
1975-02-16	AC Milan	D 1-1	1736	1767	46.1%	37.6%	16.3%	-1.5	23
1975-02-16	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1767	1736	16.3%	37.6%	46.1%	+1.5	28
1975-02-16	Ascoli	L 0-1	1798	1642	66.2%	25.8%	8.0%	-14.6	28
1975-02-16	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1642	1798	8.0%	25.8%	66.2%	+14.6	16
1975-02-16	Varese	W 3-0	1909	1653	76.4%	17.8%	5.8%	+4.0	40
1975-02-16	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1653	1909	5.8%	17.8%	76.4%	-4.0	15
1975-02-16	Bologna	W 2-1	1742	1736	50.2%	36.1%	13.7%	+4.6	30
1975-02-16	@ Roma	L 1-2	1736	1742	13.7%	36.1%	50.2%	-4.5	27
1975-02-16	Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1652	1826	28.4%	37.7%	33.9%	-15.1	14
1975-02-16	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1826	1652	33.9%	37.7%	28.4%	+15.1	35
1975-02-16	Napoli	D 2-2	1620	1773	31.1%	38.3%	30.6%	-0.0	15
1975-02-16	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 2-2	1773	1620	30.6%	38.3%	31.1%	+0.0	28
1975-02-23	Roma	D 1-1	1769	1747	51.9%	35.3%	12.8%	-2.1	29
1975-02-23	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1747	1769	12.8%	35.3%	51.9%	+2.1	31
1975-02-23	Juventus	D 0-0	1657	1913	20.3%	33.7%	45.9%	+1.4	17
1975-02-23	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1913	1657	45.9%	33.7%	20.3%	-1.4	41
1975-02-23	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1732	1784	43.7%	38.2%	18.1%	+5.7	30
1975-02-23	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1784	1732	18.1%	38.2%	43.7%	-5.7	28
1975-02-23	Cesena	D 2-2	1734	1673	56.1%	32.9%	10.9%	-1.8	24
1975-02-23	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1673	1734	10.9%	32.9%	56.1%	+1.8	19
1975-02-23	Ternana	D 0-0	1841	1625	72.5%	20.9%	6.6%	-3.9	36
1975-02-23	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1625	1841	6.6%	20.9%	72.5%	+3.9	16
1975-02-23	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1773	1637	64.1%	27.4%	8.5%	+5.1	31
1975-02-23	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1637	1773	8.5%	27.4%	64.1%	-5.0	14
1975-02-23	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1794	1620	68.2%	24.3%	7.5%	+2.1	34
1975-02-23	@ Torino	L 1-2	1620	1794	7.5%	24.3%	68.2%	-2.1	15
1975-02-23	Cagliari	L 0-1	1649	1682	45.9%	37.7%	16.4%	-11.4	15
1975-02-23	@ Varese	W 1-0	1682	1649	16.4%	37.7%	45.9%	+11.4	22
1975-03-01	Bologna	D 1-1	1693	1737	44.5%	38.0%	17.4%	-1.4	23
1975-03-01	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1737	1693	17.4%	38.0%	44.5%	+1.3	31
1975-03-01	Ascoli	D 0-0	1674	1658	51.3%	35.6%	13.1%	-2.2	20
1975-03-01	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1658	1674	13.1%	35.6%	51.3%	+2.2	18
1975-03-01	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1778	1837	42.8%	38.4%	18.8%	+10.2	31
1975-03-01	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1837	1778	18.8%	38.4%	42.8%	-10.2	36
1975-03-01	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1911	1632	78.7%	15.9%	5.3%	-3.7	42
1975-03-01	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1632	1911	5.3%	15.9%	78.7%	+3.7	15
1975-03-01	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1778	1732	54.4%	34.0%	11.6%	+4.1	34
1975-03-01	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1732	1778	11.6%	34.0%	54.4%	-4.1	24
1975-03-01	Varese	W 1-0	1749	1638	61.4%	29.4%	9.2%	+3.0	34
1975-03-01	@ Roma	L 0-1	1638	1749	9.2%	29.4%	61.4%	-3.0	15
1975-03-01	Torino	W 2-1	1628	1796	29.2%	37.9%	32.9%	+8.3	19
1975-03-01	@ Ternana	L 1-2	1796	1628	32.9%	37.9%	29.2%	-8.3	34
1975-03-01	AC Milan	W 2-0	1618	1766	31.7%	38.4%	29.9%	+15.8	18
1975-03-01	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-2	1766	1618	29.9%	38.4%	31.7%	-15.8	29
1975-03-09	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1751	1788	45.4%	37.8%	16.8%	+15.7	32
1975-03-09	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1788	1751	16.8%	37.8%	45.4%	-15.7	31
1975-03-09	Roma	D 0-0	1660	1752	39.0%	38.8%	22.2%	-0.9	19
1975-03-09	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1752	1660	22.2%	38.8%	39.0%	+0.9	35
1975-03-09	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1739	1633	60.8%	29.8%	9.4%	-2.8	32
1975-03-09	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1633	1739	9.4%	29.8%	60.8%	+2.8	19
1975-03-09	Torino	D 2-2	1728	1788	42.8%	38.4%	18.8%	-0.9	25
1975-03-09	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1788	1728	18.8%	38.4%	42.8%	+0.9	35
1975-03-09	Cesena	W 1-0	1908	1672	74.4%	19.4%	6.2%	+1.6	45
1975-03-09	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1672	1908	6.2%	19.4%	74.4%	-1.6	20
1975-03-09	Napoli	D 1-1	1827	1782	54.4%	34.0%	11.6%	-2.3	37
1975-03-09	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1782	1827	11.6%	34.0%	54.4%	+2.3	35
1975-03-09	Cagliari	D 0-0	1635	1692	43.2%	38.3%	18.5%	-1.3	16
1975-03-09	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1692	1635	18.5%	38.3%	43.2%	+1.4	24
1975-03-09	Ternana	D 1-1	1635	1637	49.3%	36.5%	14.2%	-1.8	16
1975-03-09	@ Varese	D 1-1	1637	1635	14.2%	36.5%	49.3%	+1.8	20
1975-03-16	AC Milan	D 1-1	1660	1766	37.1%	38.8%	24.1%	-0.6	20
1975-03-16	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1766	1660	24.1%	38.8%	37.1%	+0.6	33
1975-03-16	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1693	1825	33.9%	38.6%	27.5%	-0.3	25
1975-03-16	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1825	1693	27.5%	38.6%	33.9%	+0.3	38
1975-03-16	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1772	1634	64.3%	27.2%	8.4%	-3.4	32
1975-03-16	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1634	1772	8.4%	27.2%	64.3%	+3.4	17
1975-03-16	Cesena	W 4-0	1784	1671	61.7%	29.2%	9.1%	+10.7	38
1975-03-16	@ Napoli	L 0-4	1671	1784	9.1%	29.2%	61.7%	-10.7	20
1975-03-16	Juventus	W 1-0	1753	1909	30.7%	38.2%	31.1%	+8.5	38
1975-03-16	@ Roma	L 0-1	1909	1753	31.1%	38.2%	30.7%	-8.5	45
1975-03-16	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1639	1636	49.8%	36.3%	13.9%	-2.1	21
1975-03-16	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1636	1639	13.9%	36.3%	49.8%	+2.1	20
1975-03-16	Bologna	D 3-3	1789	1736	55.2%	33.5%	11.3%	-1.5	36
1975-03-16	@ Torino	D 3-3	1736	1789	11.3%	33.5%	55.2%	+1.5	33
1975-03-16	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1633	1727	38.6%	38.8%	22.6%	-0.8	17
1975-03-16	@ Varese	D 1-1	1727	1633	22.6%	38.8%	38.6%	+0.8	26
1975-03-23	Torino	W 2-0	1767	1788	47.3%	37.3%	15.5%	+10.1	36
1975-03-23	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1788	1767	15.5%	37.3%	47.3%	-10.1	36
1975-03-23	Napoli	D 1-1	1693	1795	37.7%	38.9%	23.5%	-0.7	26
1975-03-23	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1795	1693	23.5%	38.9%	37.7%	+0.7	39
1975-03-23	Varese	D 1-1	1660	1632	52.5%	35.0%	12.5%	-2.1	21
1975-03-23	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1632	1660	12.5%	35.0%	52.5%	+2.1	18
1975-03-23	Ascoli	D 0-0	1728	1659	57.0%	32.4%	10.6%	-2.8	27
1975-03-23	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1659	1728	10.6%	32.4%	57.0%	+2.8	21
1975-03-23	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1901	1769	63.6%	27.8%	8.6%	+2.7	48
1975-03-23	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1769	1901	8.6%	27.8%	63.6%	-2.7	32
1975-03-23	Roma	L 0-1	1825	1761	56.4%	32.8%	10.8%	-13.2	38
1975-03-23	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1761	1825	10.8%	32.8%	56.4%	+13.2	41
1975-03-23	Bologna	D 0-0	1637	1737	37.8%	38.8%	23.3%	-0.8	22
1975-03-23	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1737	1637	23.3%	38.8%	37.8%	+0.8	34
1975-03-23	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1638	1637	49.6%	36.4%	14.0%	-1.8	21
1975-03-23	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1637	1638	14.0%	36.4%	49.6%	+1.8	18
1975-03-31	Varese	W 2-0	1662	1634	52.5%	35.0%	12.5%	+8.3	24
1975-03-31	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1634	1662	12.5%	35.0%	52.5%	-8.3	18
1975-03-31	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1738	1812	41.1%	38.6%	20.2%	-9.8	34
1975-03-31	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1812	1738	20.2%	38.6%	41.1%	+9.8	41
1975-03-31	Cesena	L 0-1	1766	1658	61.1%	29.6%	9.3%	-13.9	32
1975-03-31	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1658	1766	9.3%	29.6%	61.1%	+13.9	24
1975-03-31	AC Milan	W 2-0	1795	1777	51.5%	35.5%	13.0%	+8.6	42
1975-03-31	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1777	1795	13.0%	35.5%	51.5%	-8.6	36
1975-03-31	Cagliari	D 1-1	1775	1692	58.4%	31.5%	10.1%	-2.6	42
1975-03-31	@ Roma	D 1-1	1692	1775	10.1%	31.5%	58.4%	+2.6	27
1975-03-31	Ternana	W 1-0	1639	1636	49.9%	36.3%	13.9%	+4.9	21
1975-03-31	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1636	1639	13.9%	36.3%	49.9%	-4.9	22
1975-03-31	Juventus	W 3-2	1777	1903	34.6%	38.7%	26.6%	+7.0	39
1975-03-31	@ Torino	L 2-3	1903	1777	26.6%	38.7%	34.6%	-7.0	48
1975-03-31	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1636	1725	39.3%	38.8%	21.9%	-10.1	21
1975-03-31	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1725	1636	21.9%	38.8%	39.3%	+10.1	30
1975-04-06	Cagliari	D 0-0	1769	1695	57.5%	32.1%	10.4%	-2.8	37
1975-04-06	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1695	1769	10.4%	32.1%	57.5%	+2.8	28
1975-04-06	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-1	1672	1626	54.4%	34.0%	11.6%	+6.7	27
1975-04-06	@ Cesena	L 1-3	1626	1672	11.6%	34.0%	54.4%	-6.7	21
1975-04-06	Roma	D 0-0	1736	1772	45.5%	37.8%	16.7%	-1.6	31
1975-04-06	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1772	1736	16.7%	37.8%	45.5%	+1.6	43
1975-04-06	Napoli	W 2-1	1896	1804	59.4%	30.8%	9.8%	+3.1	51
1975-04-06	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1804	1896	9.8%	30.8%	59.4%	-3.1	42
1975-04-06	Torino	L 1-5	1822	1784	53.6%	34.4%	12.0%	-38.1	41
1975-04-06	@ Lazio Roma	W 5-1	1784	1822	12.0%	34.4%	53.6%	+38.1	42
1975-04-06	Ascoli	D 0-0	1644	1670	46.7%	37.5%	15.9%	-1.7	22
1975-04-06	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1670	1644	15.9%	37.5%	46.7%	+1.7	25
1975-04-06	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1631	1752	35.2%	38.8%	26.0%	-0.5	23
1975-04-06	@ Ternana	D 0-0	1752	1631	26.0%	38.8%	35.2%	+0.5	33
1975-04-06	Bologna	L 1-4	1626	1728	37.6%	38.9%	23.5%	-22.6	18
1975-04-06	@ Varese	W 4-1	1728	1626	23.5%	38.9%	37.6%	+22.6	37
1975-04-13	AC Milan	D 0-0	1751	1766	47.9%	37.0%	15.0%	-1.9	38
1975-04-13	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1766	1751	15.0%	37.0%	47.9%	+1.9	38
1975-04-13	Juventus	D 1-1	1697	1900	25.3%	36.6%	38.1%	+0.6	29
1975-04-13	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1900	1697	38.1%	36.6%	25.3%	-0.6	52
1975-04-13	Roma	D 0-0	1678	1774	38.5%	38.8%	22.7%	-0.8	28
1975-04-13	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1774	1678	22.7%	38.8%	38.5%	+0.8	44
1975-04-13	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1753	1734	51.6%	35.5%	12.9%	+4.6	36
1975-04-13	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1734	1753	12.9%	35.5%	51.6%	-4.6	31
1975-04-13	Varese	W 2-0	1784	1603	68.8%	23.8%	7.4%	+4.1	44
1975-04-13	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1603	1784	7.4%	23.8%	68.8%	-4.1	18
1975-04-13	Ternana	W 7-1	1801	1630	67.7%	24.6%	7.6%	+9.8	45
1975-04-13	@ Napoli	L 1-7	1630	1801	7.6%	24.6%	67.7%	-9.8	23
1975-04-13	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1823	1642	68.8%	23.8%	7.4%	-3.3	43
1975-04-13	@ Torino	D 1-1	1642	1823	7.4%	23.8%	68.8%	+3.3	23
1975-04-13	Ascoli	W 1-0	1620	1672	43.7%	38.2%	18.1%	+6.1	24
1975-04-13	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1672	1620	18.1%	38.2%	43.7%	-6.0	25
1975-04-27	Cesena	W 3-0	1768	1678	59.2%	31.0%	9.9%	+9.1	41
1975-04-27	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1678	1768	9.9%	31.0%	59.2%	-9.1	28
1975-04-27	Ternana	W 1-0	1666	1621	54.4%	34.0%	11.6%	+4.1	28
1975-04-27	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1621	1666	11.6%	34.0%	54.4%	-4.1	23
1975-04-27	Cagliari	W 2-1	1729	1698	52.9%	34.8%	12.3%	+4.1	34
1975-04-27	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1698	1729	12.3%	34.8%	52.9%	-4.1	29
1975-04-27	Lazio Roma	W 4-0	1899	1788	61.4%	29.4%	9.2%	+10.8	55
1975-04-27	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1788	1899	9.2%	29.4%	61.4%	-10.8	44
1975-04-27	Inter Milan	W 3-2	1811	1757	55.3%	33.5%	11.2%	+3.5	48
1975-04-27	@ Napoli	L 2-3	1757	1811	11.2%	33.5%	55.3%	-3.5	36
1975-04-27	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 1-0	1774	1626	65.4%	26.4%	8.2%	+2.5	47
1975-04-27	@ Roma	L 0-1	1626	1774	8.2%	26.4%	65.4%	-2.5	24
1975-04-27	Bologna	W 1-0	1646	1749	37.5%	38.9%	23.7%	+7.2	26
1975-04-27	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1749	1646	23.7%	38.9%	37.5%	-7.2	38
1975-04-27	Torino	D 0-0	1599	1819	23.5%	35.8%	40.8%	+0.9	19
1975-04-27	@ Varese	D 0-0	1819	1599	40.8%	35.8%	23.5%	-0.9	44
1975-05-04	Ascoli	D 1-1	1742	1670	57.3%	32.2%	10.5%	-2.5	39
1975-05-04	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1670	1742	10.5%	32.2%	57.3%	+2.5	29
1975-05-04	Cesena	D 2-2	1694	1668	52.3%	35.1%	12.6%	-1.6	30
1975-05-04	@ Cagliari	D 2-2	1668	1694	12.6%	35.1%	52.3%	+1.6	29
1975-05-04	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1754	1623	63.5%	27.9%	8.6%	-3.3	37
1975-05-04	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1623	1754	8.6%	27.9%	63.5%	+3.3	25
1975-05-04	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1777	1733	54.2%	34.1%	11.7%	+4.1	47
1975-05-04	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1733	1777	11.7%	34.1%	54.2%	-4.1	34
1975-05-04	Roma	D 0-0	1653	1777	34.9%	38.7%	26.4%	-0.4	27
1975-05-04	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1777	1653	26.4%	38.7%	34.9%	+0.4	48
1975-05-04	Juventus	L 0-2	1617	1910	17.7%	31.2%	51.1%	-10.0	23
1975-05-04	@ Ternana	W 2-0	1910	1617	51.1%	31.2%	17.7%	+10.0	58
1975-05-04	Napoli	D 1-1	1818	1814	50.0%	36.2%	13.8%	-1.9	45
1975-05-04	@ Torino	D 1-1	1814	1818	13.8%	36.2%	50.0%	+1.9	49
1975-05-04	AC Milan	L 0-1	1600	1777	28.2%	37.6%	34.2%	-8.0	19
1975-05-04	@ Varese	W 1-0	1777	1600	34.2%	37.6%	28.2%	+8.0	44
1975-05-11	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1785	1781	49.9%	36.2%	13.8%	-1.9	45
1975-05-11	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1781	1785	13.8%	36.2%	49.9%	+1.9	48
1975-05-11	Cagliari	D 0-0	1672	1692	47.3%	37.2%	15.4%	-1.8	30
1975-05-11	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1692	1672	15.4%	37.2%	47.3%	+1.8	31
1975-05-11	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1670	1652	51.4%	35.5%	13.0%	-2.0	30
1975-05-11	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1652	1670	13.0%	35.5%	51.4%	+2.0	28
1975-05-11	Juventus	W 4-1	1729	1920	26.6%	37.1%	36.4%	+21.6	37
1975-05-11	@ Fiorentina	L 1-4	1920	1729	36.4%	37.1%	26.6%	-21.6	58
1975-05-11	Bologna	W 1-0	1816	1739	57.8%	31.9%	10.3%	+3.5	52
1975-05-11	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1739	1816	10.3%	31.9%	57.8%	-3.5	39
1975-05-11	Ternana	W 4-2	1777	1607	67.8%	24.6%	7.6%	+3.3	51
1975-05-11	@ Roma	L 2-4	1607	1777	7.6%	24.6%	67.8%	-3.3	23
1975-05-11	Inter Milan	L 2-3	1816	1751	56.6%	32.6%	10.7%	-11.9	45
1975-05-11	@ Torino	W 3-2	1751	1816	10.7%	32.6%	56.6%	+11.9	40
1975-05-11	Varese	D 1-1	1627	1592	53.2%	34.6%	12.1%	-2.2	26
1975-05-11	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1592	1627	12.1%	34.6%	53.2%	+2.2	20
1975-05-18	Cesena	W 3-2	1736	1668	56.8%	32.5%	10.7%	+3.3	42
1975-05-18	@ Bologna	L 2-3	1668	1736	10.7%	32.5%	56.8%	-3.3	30
1975-05-18	Torino	D 0-0	1694	1805	36.6%	38.8%	24.5%	-0.6	32
1975-05-18	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1805	1694	24.5%	38.8%	36.6%	+0.6	46
1975-05-18	Roma	L 0-2	1762	1781	47.5%	37.2%	15.3%	-22.0	40
1975-05-18	@ Inter Milan	W 2-0	1781	1762	15.3%	37.2%	47.5%	+22.0	54
1975-05-18	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 5-0	1898	1624	78.1%	16.4%	5.5%	+5.9	61
1975-05-18	@ Juventus	L 0-5	1624	1898	5.5%	16.4%	78.1%	-5.9	26
1975-05-18	Ascoli	W 1-0	1783	1670	61.6%	29.3%	9.2%	+3.0	51
1975-05-18	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1670	1783	9.2%	29.3%	61.6%	-3.0	30
1975-05-18	Fiorentina	L 3-4	1654	1751	38.4%	38.8%	22.8%	-8.6	28
1975-05-18	@ Sampdoria	W 4-3	1751	1654	22.8%	38.8%	38.4%	+8.6	40
1975-05-18	AC Milan	L 1-3	1603	1783	27.8%	37.5%	34.7%	-12.9	23
1975-05-18	@ Ternana	W 3-1	1783	1603	34.7%	37.5%	27.8%	+12.9	48
1975-05-18	Napoli	L 0-2	1594	1820	23.0%	35.5%	41.6%	-12.8	20
1975-05-18	@ Varese	W 2-0	1820	1594	41.6%	35.5%	23.0%	+12.8	55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1975-02-16	7.98%	Ascoli	1642	1	@ Inter Milan	1798	0
2	1975-03-31	9.27%	Cesena	1658	1	@ Inter Milan	1766	0
3	1975-01-26	9.54%	Sampdoria	1661	2	@ Fiorentina	1761	0
4	1975-05-11	10.74%	Inter Milan	1751	3	@ Torino	1816	2
5	1975-03-23	10.82%	Roma	1761	1	@ Lazio Roma	1825	0
6	1974-10-27	11.52%	Inter Milan	1769	2	@ Lazio Roma	1816	1
7	1975-04-06	11.98%	Torino	1784	5	@ Lazio Roma	1822	1
8	1975-02-02	15.20%	Torino	1780	1	@ Roma	1763	0
9	1975-05-18	15.31%	Roma	1781	2	@ Inter Milan	1762	0
10	1974-12-01	15.43%	Roma	1709	2	@ Cagliari	1689	1
11	1974-11-10	15.44%	Torino	1763	3	@ Bologna	1743	1
12	1974-10-20	16.04%	AC Milan	1737	1	@ Roma	1709	0
13	1975-02-23	16.40%	Cagliari	1682	1	@ Varese	1649	0
14	1975-01-05	17.06%	Bologna	1702	3	@ Ascoli	1662	1
15	1974-10-13	17.78%	Cagliari	1696	2	@ Ternana	1647	0
16	1974-12-23	20.10%	Roma	1734	2	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1661	0
17	1975-03-31	20.23%	Lazio Roma	1812	2	@ Bologna	1738	1
18	1974-11-04	20.49%	Bologna	1732	1	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1656	0
19	1974-11-24	21.12%	Juventus	1861	1	@ Inter Milan	1779	0
20	1975-02-02	21.24%	AC Milan	1770	4	@ Sampdoria	1687	2
21	1974-09-30	21.87%	Fiorentina	1750	1	@ Ternana	1661	0
22	1975-03-31	21.91%	Fiorentina	1725	1	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1636	0
23	1974-12-08	22.06%	Juventus	1868	6	@ Napoli	1778	2
24	1974-11-24	22.10%	Fiorentina	1766	1	@ Ascoli	1676	0
25	1975-05-18	22.81%	Fiorentina	1751	4	@ Sampdoria	1654	3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1975-04-06	38.09	Torino	5	1784	11.98%	@ Lazio Roma	1	1822	53.57%
2	1975-01-26	26.04	Sampdoria	2	1661	9.54%	@ Fiorentina	0	1761	60.20%
3	1974-12-08	25.46	Juventus	6	1868	22.06%	@ Napoli	2	1778	39.13%
4	1975-04-06	22.57	Bologna	4	1728	23.53%	@ Varese	1	1626	37.62%
5	1975-05-18	22.02	Roma	2	1781	15.31%	@ Inter Milan	0	1762	47.51%
6	1975-05-11	21.63	@ Fiorentina	4	1729	26.55%	Juventus	1	1920	36.36%
7	1974-10-13	20.78	Cagliari	2	1696	17.78%	@ Ternana	0	1647	44.07%
8	1975-02-09	20.71	@ Varese	4	1632	45.06%	Sampdoria	0	1672	17.03%
9	1974-12-23	19.76	Roma	2	1734	20.10%	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	0	1661	41.28%
10	1974-11-10	19.01	Torino	3	1763	15.44%	@ Bologna	1	1743	47.31%
11	1975-02-09	18.31	Juventus	2	1890	23.85%	@ AC Milan	0	1785	37.30%
12	1975-01-05	18.30	Bologna	3	1702	17.06%	@ Ascoli	1	1662	45.02%
13	1974-11-24	17.50	@ Napoli	5	1759	55.10%	Cagliari	0	1707	11.33%
14	1975-03-01	15.75	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	2	1618	31.69%	AC Milan	0	1766	29.95%
15	1975-03-09	15.69	@ AC Milan	3	1751	45.37%	Inter Milan	0	1788	16.80%
16	1975-02-16	15.13	Lazio Roma	2	1826	33.92%	@ Sampdoria	0	1652	28.41%
17	1975-02-02	14.95	AC Milan	4	1770	21.24%	@ Sampdoria	2	1687	40.01%
18	1975-01-05	14.86	Inter Milan	3	1772	27.25%	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	1	1642	34.08%
19	1975-02-16	14.57	Ascoli	1	1642	7.98%	@ Inter Milan	0	1798	66.19%
20	1974-10-27	14.26	Juventus	3	1836	29.44%	@ Sampdoria	1	1690	32.13%
21	1975-03-31	13.93	Cesena	1	1658	9.27%	@ Inter Milan	0	1766	61.14%
22	1974-09-30	13.78	@ Varese	2	1669	37.21%	Inter Milan	0	1774	23.95%
23	1975-03-23	13.24	Roma	1	1761	10.82%	@ Lazio Roma	0	1825	56.39%
24	1975-05-18	12.90	AC Milan	3	1783	34.69%	@ Ternana	1	1603	27.81%
25	1975-05-18	12.82	Napoli	2	1820	41.56%	@ Varese	0	1594	22.96%