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1975-76 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Torino

45 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 1948-49

Relegated

Cagliari

19 pts

Como · 21 pts

Ascoli · 23 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Torino

8.98 points above expected

45 points · 36.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Roma

6.29 points below expected

25 points · 31.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Torino Champion 30 18 9 3 45 49 22 +27 36.02 +8.98
2 Juventus 30 18 7 5 43 46 26 +20 38.42 +4.58
3 AC Milan 30 15 8 7 38 42 28 +14 34.42 +3.58
4 Inter Milan 30 14 9 7 37 36 28 +8 31.50 +5.50
5 Napoli 30 13 10 7 36 40 27 +13 34.43 +1.57
6 Bologna 30 9 14 7 32 32 32 0 30.57 +1.43
7 Cesena 30 9 14 7 32 39 35 +4 29.13 +2.87
8 Perugia 30 10 11 9 31 31 34 -3 29.71 +1.29
9 Fiorentina 30 9 9 12 27 39 39 0 30.02 -3.02
10 Roma 30 6 13 11 25 25 31 -6 31.29 -6.29
11 Hellas Verona 30 8 8 14 24 35 46 -11 26.38 -2.38
12 Sampdoria 30 8 8 14 24 21 32 -11 24.66 -0.66
13 Lazio Roma 30 6 11 13 23 35 40 -5 28.37 -5.37
14 Ascoli Relegated 30 4 15 11 23 19 34 -15 25.04 -2.04
15 Como Relegated 30 5 11 14 21 28 36 -8 25.83 -4.83
16 Cagliari Relegated 30 5 9 16 19 25 52 -27 24.21 -5.21

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Torino 45 36.02 +8.98
2 Inter Milan 37 31.50 +5.50
3 Juventus 43 38.42 +4.58
4 AC Milan 38 34.42 +3.58
5 Cesena 32 29.13 +2.87

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Roma 25 31.29 -6.29
2 Lazio Roma 23 28.37 -5.37
3 Cagliari 19 24.21 -5.21
4 Como 21 25.83 -4.83
5 Fiorentina 27 30.02 -3.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 8 Dec 14 – Feb 9 1 in 311
2 Torino 5 Dec 7 – Jan 12 1 in 145
3 Cagliari 2 May 9 – May 16 1 in 73
4 Fiorentina 3 Jan 18 – Feb 2 1 in 53
5 Inter Milan 3 Dec 21 – Jan 12 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Como 5 Dec 14 – Jan 18 1 in 133
2 Juventus 3 Mar 21 – Apr 4 1 in 102
3 Cagliari 4 Oct 19 – Nov 16 1 in 51
4 Fiorentina 3 Apr 4 – Apr 18 1 in 31
5 Ascoli 3 Dec 21 – Jan 12 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cesena 12 Nov 2 – Feb 2 1 in 119
2 Torino 15 Oct 12 – Feb 9 1 in 83
3 Inter Milan 13 Dec 21 – Mar 21 1 in 71
4 Bologna 10 Oct 19 – Jan 12 1 in 57
5 Fiorentina 7 Jan 12 – Feb 22 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Roma 11 Mar 7 – May 16 1 in 174
2 Como 15 Nov 30 – Mar 14 1 in 89
3 Ascoli 13 Dec 7 – Mar 7 1 in 42
4 Cagliari 11 Oct 5 – Dec 30 1 in 36
5 Fiorentina 9 Feb 22 – Apr 18 1 in 31

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Torino 1859 45 +0 7 7.2 -0.2
Juventus 1858 43 +16 6 6.0 -0.0
AC Milan 1769 38 -58 4 7.0 -3.0
Inter Milan 1747 37 +8 7 5.4 +1.6
Napoli 1798 36 +23 5 5.4 -0.4
Bologna 1697 32 -23 4 5.2 -1.2
Cesena 1687 32 -3 4 4.4 -0.4
Perugia 1683 31 -23 4 5.0 -1.0
Fiorentina 1677 27 +1 5 5.6 -0.6
Roma 1661 25 -47 3 5.0 -2.0
Sampdoria 1611 24 +27 6 4.0 +2.0
Hellas Verona 1640 24 +22 5 3.7 +1.3
Ascoli 1602 23 +19 5 3.8 +1.2
Lazio Roma 1692 23 +41 5 3.7 +1.3
Como 1626 21 +11 6 5.0 +1.0
Cagliari 1551 19 -14 4 3.4 +0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ASC BOL CAG CES COM FIO HV IM JUV LR NAP PER ROM SAM TOR
AC Milan —
2-0-0
3.60
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.49
0-1-1
2.71
0-2-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.59
0-0-2
2.50
Ascoli
0-0-2
1.71
 —
0-2-0
2.03
0-2-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.60
1-0-1
2.28
0-2-0
1.70
0-1-1
2.27
0-2-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.02
Bologna
0-1-1
2.33
0-2-0
3.28
 —
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
3.24
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.03
1-1-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.36
0-2-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.64
2-0-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.33
Cagliari
1-0-1
1.56
0-2-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.18
 —
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
1.59
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
1.40
Cesena
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.07
 —
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
1.60
0-2-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.29
1-1-0
3.01
0-2-0
1.96
Como
0-1-1
1.93
0-2-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.05
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.22
 —
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.09
0-2-0
1.66
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
1.54
Fiorentina
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
3.09
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.03
 —
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.89
2-0-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
3.31
0-0-2
2.00
Hellas Verona
0-1-1
1.73
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.37
2-0-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.32
 —
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.49
0-2-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
1.52
Inter Milan
0-0-2
2.34
1-0-1
3.36
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
3.14
 —
1-0-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.24
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.31
Juventus
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.28
2-0-0
3.76
0-1-1
3.74
0-2-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.29
 —
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.78
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
4.12
0-0-2
3.02
Lazio Roma
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
3.16
0-2-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.59
0-2-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.62
 —
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
2.73
0-2-0
2.41
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
1.66
Napoli
1-1-0
2.59
0-2-0
3.63
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.28
2-0-0
3.13
 —
1-1-0
3.19
2-0-0
2.94
0-1-1
3.81
0-1-1
2.61
Perugia
0-2-0
2.29
1-1-0
3.03
0-2-0
2.53
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
2.44
1-0-1
1.57
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.11
 —
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.07
Roma
0-1-1
2.42
0-2-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
2.82
2-0-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
1.92
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
2.79
 —
1-0-1
3.38
0-1-1
2.38
Sampdoria
0-0-2
1.72
1-1-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.55
1-1-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
2.21
1-1-0
1.54
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
1.92
 —
0-1-1
1.87
Torino
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
4.02
0-2-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.28
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.49
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.67 +7.5
Allowed 0.64 -8.4
Differential 0.91 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.75%10.62%4.58%2.29%0.62%—31.87%
110.62%15.00%8.33%2.71%0.83%0.42%37.92%
24.58%8.33%5.42%0.83%0.62%—19.79%
32.29%2.71%0.83%0.42%0.42%0.42%7.08%
40.62%0.83%0.62%0.42%——2.50%
5+—0.42%—0.42%——0.83%
Total31.87%37.92%19.79%7.08%2.50%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.13 +0.00
SD 1.07 1.07 1.40
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%——3.33%—20.00%
123.33%10.00%10.00%———43.33%
2—10.00%6.67%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total40.00%36.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.93 +0.47
SD 1.13 1.01 1.53
CV 0.81 1.09 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%10.00%—6.67%3.33%—46.67%
13.33%23.33%6.67%10.00%——43.33%
26.67%3.33%————10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%36.67%6.67%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 1.13 -0.50
SD 0.67 1.20 1.36
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%————23.33%
113.33%26.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%—56.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———3.33%——3.33%
Total33.33%43.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.07 +0.00
SD 0.98 1.08 1.11
CV 0.92 1.01 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%3.33%10.00%——43.33%
13.33%10.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%43.33%
2—6.67%————6.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———3.33%——3.33%
Total23.33%26.67%20.00%20.00%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.73 -0.90
SD 1.09 1.46 1.56
CV 1.30 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%3.33%———30.00%
13.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
26.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%——33.33%
33.33%3.33%—3.33%—3.33%13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%16.67%10.00%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.17 +0.13
SD 1.06 1.21 1.20
CV 0.81 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%23.33%6.67%———46.67%
1—10.00%6.67%—3.33%—20.00%
23.33%6.67%10.00%6.67%——26.67%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%40.00%23.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.20 -0.27
SD 1.01 1.03 1.31
CV 1.09 0.86 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%3.33%———30.00%
13.33%13.33%13.33%———30.00%
23.33%10.00%6.67%—3.33%—23.33%
33.33%6.67%——3.33%—13.33%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%46.67%23.33%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.06 1.23
CV 0.88 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%10.00%6.67%——33.33%
110.00%6.67%13.33%———30.00%
23.33%3.33%13.33%—6.67%—26.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%26.67%40.00%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.53 -0.37
SD 1.09 1.11 1.47
CV 0.93 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
116.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%——43.33%
26.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%—3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%33.33%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.93 +0.27
SD 0.92 0.94 1.41
CV 0.77 1.01 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
120.00%16.67%3.33%———40.00%
213.33%16.67%3.33%———33.33%
33.33%——3.33%——6.67%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total36.67%43.33%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.87 +0.67
SD 1.04 0.82 1.27
CV 0.68 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
16.67%20.00%16.67%———43.33%
2——10.00%———10.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%—3.33%—13.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%36.67%36.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.33 -0.17
SD 1.12 0.96 1.42
CV 0.96 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%3.33%———20.00%
120.00%13.33%13.33%3.33%——50.00%
23.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total43.33%26.67%26.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.90 +0.43
SD 1.12 0.92 1.38
CV 0.84 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%—3.33%3.33%—33.33%
110.00%13.33%3.33%10.00%——36.67%
26.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
3———————
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%10.00%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.13 -0.10
SD 0.96 1.14 1.49
CV 0.93 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%——43.33%
110.00%20.00%10.00%———40.00%
23.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total30.00%40.00%26.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.03 -0.20
SD 1.05 0.85 1.32
CV 1.26 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%23.33%13.33%———53.33%
113.33%10.00%3.33%—3.33%—30.00%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
3—3.33%———3.33%6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%43.33%16.67%—3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.07 -0.37
SD 0.92 1.17 1.27
CV 1.31 1.10 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%————20.00%
113.33%16.67%3.33%———33.33%
210.00%13.33%————23.33%
33.33%10.00%————13.33%
4——3.33%3.33%——6.67%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total40.00%50.00%6.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 0.73 +0.90
SD 1.33 0.74 1.18
CV 0.81 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Torino 1859 45 36.02 +8.98 99.0% 24 30 34 36 38 42 48
Juventus 1858 43 38.42 +4.58 89.0% 30 33 36 38 40 45 49
Napoli 1798 36 34.43 +1.57 69.0% 23 28 31 35 37 41 44
AC Milan 1769 38 34.42 +3.58 84.0% 24 28 32 35 37 40 42
Inter Milan 1747 37 31.50 +5.50 95.0% 22 25 29 31 34 37 40
Bologna 1697 32 30.57 +1.43 69.0% 20 24 27 30 34 37 43
Lazio Roma 1692 23 28.37 -5.37 12.0% 18 20 26 29 31 34 39
Cesena 1687 32 29.13 +2.87 81.0% 21 23 26 29 32 36 39
Perugia 1683 31 29.71 +1.29 71.0% 22 23 27 30 32 35 37
Fiorentina 1677 27 30.02 -3.02 26.0% 22 24 27 30 33 36 38
Roma 1661 25 31.29 -6.29 6.0% 22 25 29 31 34 36 38
Hellas Verona 1640 24 26.38 -2.38 32.0% 18 20 23 26 29 33 35
Como 1626 21 25.83 -4.83 13.0% 15 19 23 26 29 32 36
Sampdoria 1611 24 24.66 -0.66 48.0% 14 18 22 25 27 30 35
Ascoli 1602 23 25.04 -2.04 35.0% 16 17 23 25 28 31 38
Cagliari 1551 19 24.21 -5.21 8.0% 13 18 22 24 27 29 33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 27.5% * Clear Edge: 27.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.08%
Slight Edge
46.25%34.58%19.17%
Elo Value
Home Edge
234 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
096.50600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Torino, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.08 * Some Luck: 3.08 to 4.62 * Lucky: 4.62 to 6.16 * Wild Swing: 6.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.08 * Close: 2.08 to 3.12 * Off: 3.12 to 4.15 * Way Off: 4.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.4 * A Surprise: 1.4 to 2.24 * Several Surprises: 2.24 to 3.08 * Many Surprises: 3.08 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.31 points
Some Luck
03.8510
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.606
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.00%
Torino
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
6.00%
Roma
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.43

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64% * Slight Edge: 64% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90.5% * Strong Edge: 90.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 62.5% * Some Drama: 62.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 71% * Very Frequent: 71% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11% * Occasional: 11% to 13.5% * Frequent: 13.5% to 16.5% * Very Frequent: 16.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Top-Heavy
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 88.70
1.80
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%64%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Even
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
75%
Very Frequent
0%71%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
8%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 19.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 19.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Notable Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.32
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Some Carryover
00.560.731
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Upset-Prone
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Shaky Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.56
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.21
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Torino23.00%20.00%19.00%15.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%——1.00%—
Juventus45.00%23.00%15.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%———1.00%——————
AC Milan12.00%13.00%17.00%12.00%18.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Inter Milan4.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%—
Napoli11.00%18.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Bologna2.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%
Cesena2.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%
Perugia—1.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%—
Fiorentina—4.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%—
Roma1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%16.00%11.00%15.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Hellas Verona——2.00%—3.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%14.00%
Sampdoria———2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%14.00%14.00%9.00%19.00%21.00%
Lazio Roma—4.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%2.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%
Ascoli—1.00%—1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%19.00%17.00%17.00%
Como—1.00%——1.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%
Cagliari—————3.00%—2.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%20.00%24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Juventus 100% —
AC Milan 99.00% 1.00%
Napoli 99.00% 1.00%
Torino 99.00% 1.00%
Roma 98.00% 2.00%
Inter Milan 96.00% 4.00%
Bologna 95.00% 5.00%
Perugia 92.00% 8.00%
Fiorentina 91.00% 9.00%
Cesena 86.00% 14.00%
Lazio Roma 80.00% 20.00%
Hellas Verona 63.00% 37.00%
Como 62.00% 38.00%
Sampdoria 51.00% 49.00%
Ascoli 47.00% 53.00%
Cagliari 42.00% 58.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1975-10-05 Fiorentina W 1-057.2 1649 1707 42.89% 36.52% 20.59%+0.16 +7.9 2
1975-10-05 @ Ascoli L 0-157.2 1707 1649 20.59% 36.52% 42.89%-0.16 -7.9 0
1975-10-05 Torino W 1-057.1 1693 1733 44.88% 36.35% 18.76%+0.24 +7.4 2
1975-10-05 @ Bologna L 0-157.1 1733 1693 18.76% 36.35% 44.88%-0.24 -7.4 0
1975-10-05 Cesena D 0-064.2 1693 1648 53.24% 34.74% 12.02%+0.61 -3.0 1
1975-10-05 @ Inter Milan D 0-064.2 1648 1693 12.02% 34.74% 53.24%-0.61 +3.0 1
1975-10-05 Hellas Verona W 2-159.1 1794 1677 59.01% 32.49% 8.50%+0.91 +3.6 2
1975-10-05 @ Juventus L 1-259.1 1677 1794 8.50% 32.49% 59.01%-0.91 -3.6 0
1975-10-05 Como W 1-053.2 1750 1653 57.51% 33.17% 9.32%+0.83 +4.2 2
1975-10-05 @ Napoli L 0-153.2 1653 1750 9.32% 33.17% 57.51%-0.83 -4.2 0
1975-10-05 AC Milan D 0-064.3 1684 1729 44.43% 36.40% 19.17%+0.22 -1.7 1
1975-10-05 @ Perugia D 0-064.3 1729 1684 19.17% 36.40% 44.43%-0.22 +1.7 1
1975-10-05 Cagliari D 1-170.1 1731 1664 55.03% 34.15% 10.82%+0.70 -2.9 1
1975-10-05 @ Roma D 1-170.1 1664 1731 10.82% 34.15% 55.03%-0.70 +2.9 1
1975-10-05 Lazio Roma L 0-163.0 1636 1720 39.77% 36.65% 23.58%+0.05 -12.3 0
1975-10-05 @ Sampdoria W 1-063.0 1720 1636 23.58% 36.65% 39.77%-0.05 +12.3 2
1975-10-12 Sampdoria W 1-052.6 1730 1623 58.25% 32.84% 8.91%+0.87 +4.0 3
1975-10-12 @ AC Milan L 0-152.6 1623 1730 8.91% 32.84% 58.25%-0.87 -4.0 0
1975-10-12 Ascoli D 0-063.8 1667 1657 50.07% 35.55% 14.38%+0.46 -2.5 2
1975-10-12 @ Cagliari D 0-063.8 1657 1667 14.38% 35.55% 50.07%-0.46 +2.5 3
1975-10-12 Roma W 2-053.9 1651 1728 40.63% 36.63% 22.74%+0.08 +15.9 3
1975-10-12 @ Cesena L 0-253.9 1728 1651 22.74% 36.63% 40.63%-0.08 -15.9 1
1975-10-12 Juventus D 2-275.5 1649 1797 31.21% 36.40% 32.40%-0.22 +0.0 1
1975-10-12 @ Como D 2-275.5 1797 1649 32.40% 36.40% 31.21%+0.22 -0.0 3
1975-10-12 Napoli D 1-169.7 1699 1754 43.17% 36.50% 20.33%+0.18 -1.4 1
1975-10-12 @ Fiorentina D 1-169.7 1754 1699 20.33% 36.50% 43.17%-0.18 +1.4 3
1975-10-12 Bologna W 1-056.3 1673 1701 46.28% 36.19% 17.52%+0.30 +7.0 2
1975-10-12 @ Hellas Verona L 0-156.3 1701 1673 17.52% 36.19% 46.28%-0.30 -7.1 2
1975-10-12 Inter Milan D 1-170.1 1732 1690 52.94% 34.82% 12.24%+0.59 -2.7 3
1975-10-12 @ Lazio Roma D 1-170.1 1690 1732 12.24% 34.82% 52.94%-0.59 +2.7 2
1975-10-12 Perugia W 3-048.9 1726 1683 53.07% 34.78% 12.14%+0.60 +14.5 2
1975-10-12 @ Torino L 0-348.9 1683 1726 12.14% 34.78% 53.07%-0.60 -14.5 1
1975-10-19 Torino D 1-169.4 1659 1740 40.10% 36.64% 23.25%+0.06 -1.0 4
1975-10-19 @ Ascoli D 1-169.4 1740 1659 23.25% 36.64% 40.10%-0.06 +1.0 3
1975-10-19 AC Milan D 1-169.6 1694 1734 44.84% 36.36% 18.81%+0.24 -1.6 3
1975-10-19 @ Bologna D 1-169.6 1734 1694 18.81% 36.36% 44.84%-0.24 +1.6 4
1975-10-19 Cagliari W 1-054.6 1693 1665 51.70% 35.16% 13.13%+0.53 +5.6 4
1975-10-19 @ Inter Milan L 0-154.6 1665 1693 13.13% 35.16% 51.70%-0.53 -5.6 2
1975-10-19 Fiorentina W 4-258.4 1797 1697 57.73% 33.08% 9.20%+0.84 +6.0 5
1975-10-19 @ Juventus L 2-458.4 1697 1797 9.20% 33.08% 57.73%-0.84 -6.0 1
1975-10-19 Cesena W 2-049.3 1755 1667 56.85% 33.45% 9.70%+0.79 +8.2 5
1975-10-19 @ Napoli L 0-249.3 1667 1755 9.70% 33.45% 56.85%-0.79 -8.2 3
1975-10-19 Lazio Roma W 2-053.5 1668 1729 42.49% 36.54% 20.96%+0.15 +15.1 3
1975-10-19 @ Perugia L 0-253.5 1729 1668 20.96% 36.54% 42.49%-0.15 -15.1 3
1975-10-19 Hellas Verona W 2-050.6 1712 1681 51.99% 35.09% 12.92%+0.55 +10.5 3
1975-10-19 @ Roma L 0-250.6 1681 1712 12.92% 35.09% 51.99%-0.55 -10.5 2
1975-10-19 Como W 1-055.2 1619 1649 46.07% 36.22% 17.71%+0.29 +7.1 2
1975-10-19 @ Sampdoria L 0-155.2 1649 1619 17.71% 36.22% 46.07%-0.29 -7.1 1
1975-11-02 Ascoli W 4-048.5 1736 1658 55.95% 33.81% 10.24%+0.74 +16.3 6
1975-11-02 @ AC Milan L 0-448.5 1658 1736 10.24% 33.81% 55.95%-0.74 -16.3 4
1975-11-02 Juventus L 0-161.2 1659 1803 31.83% 36.44% 31.73%-0.20 -10.5 2
1975-11-02 @ Cagliari W 1-061.2 1803 1659 31.73% 36.44% 31.83%+0.20 +10.5 7
1975-11-02 Sampdoria D 1-168.7 1658 1626 52.05% 35.07% 12.87%+0.55 -2.5 4
1975-11-02 @ Cesena D 1-168.7 1626 1658 12.87% 35.07% 52.05%-0.55 +2.5 3
1975-11-02 Roma D 0-063.9 1641 1722 40.17% 36.64% 23.19%+0.07 -1.1 2
1975-11-02 @ Como D 0-063.9 1722 1641 23.19% 36.64% 40.17%-0.07 +1.1 4
1975-11-02 Perugia W 3-156.8 1691 1683 49.85% 35.60% 14.56%+0.45 +10.0 3
1975-11-02 @ Fiorentina L 1-356.8 1683 1691 14.56% 35.60% 49.85%-0.45 -10.0 3
1975-11-02 Napoli L 2-468.0 1670 1764 38.58% 36.67% 24.75%+0.01 -17.5 2
1975-11-02 @ Hellas Verona W 4-268.0 1764 1670 24.75% 36.67% 38.58%-0.01 +17.5 7
1975-11-02 Bologna D 1-169.8 1714 1692 51.17% 35.30% 13.53%+0.51 -2.4 4
1975-11-02 @ Lazio Roma D 1-169.8 1692 1714 13.53% 35.30% 51.17%-0.51 +2.4 4
1975-11-02 Inter Milan W 2-160.7 1741 1698 53.04% 34.79% 12.17%+0.60 +5.0 5
1975-11-02 @ Torino L 1-260.7 1698 1741 12.17% 34.79% 53.04%-0.60 -5.0 4
1975-11-09 Cesena D 0-063.4 1642 1656 47.64% 36.00% 16.36%+0.35 -2.2 5
1975-11-09 @ Ascoli D 0-063.4 1656 1642 16.36% 36.00% 47.64%-0.35 +2.2 5
1975-11-09 Fiorentina D 1-169.6 1694 1701 48.37% 35.88% 15.75%+0.38 -2.0 5
1975-11-09 @ Bologna D 1-169.6 1701 1694 15.75% 35.88% 48.37%-0.38 +2.0 4
1975-11-09 Hellas Verona W 3-048.5 1693 1652 52.84% 34.85% 12.30%+0.59 +14.7 6
1975-11-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-348.5 1652 1693 12.30% 34.85% 52.84%-0.59 -14.6 2
1975-11-09 Lazio Roma W 2-049.4 1814 1712 57.88% 33.01% 9.11%+0.85 +7.7 9
1975-11-09 @ Juventus L 0-249.4 1712 1814 9.11% 33.01% 57.88%-0.85 -7.7 4
1975-11-09 Cagliari W 3-154.1 1781 1648 60.19% 31.90% 7.91%+0.98 +5.8 9
1975-11-09 @ Napoli L 1-354.1 1648 1781 7.91% 31.90% 60.19%-0.98 -5.8 2
1975-11-09 Como W 2-049.8 1673 1640 52.12% 35.05% 12.83%+0.55 +10.4 5
1975-11-09 @ Perugia L 0-249.8 1640 1673 12.83% 35.05% 52.12%-0.55 -10.4 2
1975-11-09 AC Milan D 0-064.7 1723 1752 46.13% 36.21% 17.66%+0.29 -2.0 5
1975-11-09 @ Roma D 0-064.7 1752 1723 17.66% 36.21% 46.13%-0.29 +2.0 7
1975-11-09 Torino D 0-064.0 1629 1746 35.50% 36.62% 27.88%-0.09 -0.5 4
1975-11-09 @ Sampdoria D 0-064.0 1746 1629 27.88% 36.62% 35.50%+0.09 +0.5 6
1975-11-16 Juventus L 0-164.6 1754 1822 41.77% 36.58% 21.65%+0.12 -12.8 7
1975-11-16 @ AC Milan W 1-064.6 1822 1754 21.65% 36.58% 41.77%-0.12 +12.8 11
1975-11-16 Bologna L 1-269.9 1643 1692 43.83% 36.45% 19.72%+0.20 -12.5 2
1975-11-16 @ Cagliari W 2-169.9 1692 1643 19.72% 36.45% 43.83%-0.20 +12.5 7
1975-11-16 Perugia W 2-162.0 1658 1684 46.47% 36.17% 17.36%+0.30 +6.6 7
1975-11-16 @ Cesena L 1-262.0 1684 1658 17.36% 36.17% 46.47%-0.30 -6.6 5
1975-11-16 Inter Milan W 3-052.1 1630 1708 40.50% 36.63% 22.86%+0.08 +23.2 4
1975-11-16 @ Como L 0-352.1 1708 1630 22.86% 36.63% 40.50%-0.08 -23.2 6
1975-11-16 Sampdoria L 0-166.7 1703 1629 55.72% 33.90% 10.39%+0.73 -16.3 4
1975-11-16 @ Fiorentina W 1-066.7 1629 1703 10.39% 33.90% 55.72%-0.73 +16.3 6
1975-11-16 Ascoli W 1-054.5 1638 1640 48.87% 35.79% 15.34%+0.40 +6.4 4
1975-11-16 @ Hellas Verona L 0-154.5 1640 1638 15.34% 35.79% 48.87%-0.40 -6.4 5
1975-11-16 Roma D 1-169.7 1704 1721 47.32% 36.05% 16.64%+0.34 -1.9 5
1975-11-16 @ Lazio Roma D 1-169.7 1721 1704 16.64% 36.05% 47.32%-0.34 +1.9 6
1975-11-16 Napoli W 3-159.1 1747 1787 44.91% 36.35% 18.74%+0.24 +12.1 8
1975-11-16 @ Torino L 1-359.1 1787 1747 18.74% 36.35% 44.91%-0.24 -12.1 9
1975-11-30 Lazio Roma W 2-163.4 1633 1702 41.59% 36.59% 21.81%+0.12 +7.8 7
1975-11-30 @ Ascoli L 1-263.4 1702 1633 21.81% 36.59% 41.59%-0.12 -7.7 5
1975-11-30 Como D 1-169.7 1705 1653 53.79% 34.56% 11.65%+0.63 -2.8 8
1975-11-30 @ Bologna D 1-169.7 1653 1705 11.65% 34.56% 53.79%-0.63 +2.8 5
1975-11-30 Perugia D 0-063.3 1630 1677 44.16% 36.42% 19.42%+0.21 -1.7 3
1975-11-30 @ Cagliari D 0-063.3 1677 1630 19.42% 36.42% 44.16%-0.21 +1.7 6
1975-11-30 Sampdoria W 4-153.6 1644 1645 48.99% 35.77% 15.24%+0.41 +14.7 6
1975-11-30 @ Hellas Verona L 1-453.6 1645 1644 15.24% 35.77% 48.99%-0.41 -14.7 6
1975-11-30 Fiorentina W 1-055.5 1685 1687 48.83% 35.80% 15.38%+0.40 +6.4 8
1975-11-30 @ Inter Milan L 0-155.5 1687 1685 15.38% 35.80% 48.83%-0.40 -6.4 4
1975-11-30 Cesena D 3-380.8 1834 1665 62.85% 30.44% 6.71%+1.13 -2.4 12
1975-11-30 @ Juventus D 3-380.8 1665 1834 6.71% 30.44% 62.85%-1.13 +2.4 8
1975-11-30 AC Milan W 1-055.3 1775 1741 52.20% 35.03% 12.77%+0.55 +5.5 11
1975-11-30 @ Napoli L 0-155.3 1741 1775 12.77% 35.03% 52.20%-0.55 -5.5 7
1975-11-30 Torino D 1-169.9 1723 1759 45.38% 36.30% 18.32%+0.26 -1.6 7
1975-11-30 @ Roma D 1-169.9 1759 1723 18.32% 36.30% 45.38%-0.26 +1.6 9
1975-12-07 Inter Milan W 2-160.6 1736 1691 53.16% 34.76% 12.08%+0.60 +5.0 9
1975-12-07 @ AC Milan L 1-260.6 1691 1736 12.08% 34.76% 53.16%-0.60 -5.0 8
1975-12-07 Bologna D 0-064.0 1667 1702 45.45% 36.29% 18.26%+0.26 -1.8 9
1975-12-07 @ Cesena D 0-064.0 1702 1667 18.26% 36.29% 45.45%-0.26 +1.9 9
1975-12-07 Ascoli D 0-063.5 1656 1641 50.48% 35.46% 14.06%+0.48 -2.6 6
1975-12-07 @ Como D 0-063.5 1641 1656 14.06% 35.46% 50.48%-0.48 +2.6 8
1975-12-07 Roma W 2-052.8 1681 1722 44.79% 36.36% 18.85%+0.24 +14.0 6
1975-12-07 @ Fiorentina L 0-252.8 1722 1681 18.85% 36.36% 44.79%-0.24 -14.0 7
1975-12-07 Napoli L 0-163.7 1695 1780 39.56% 36.66% 23.78%+0.05 -12.2 5
1975-12-07 @ Lazio Roma W 1-063.7 1780 1695 23.78% 36.66% 39.56%-0.05 +12.2 13
1975-12-07 Hellas Verona W 1-054.6 1679 1659 50.93% 35.36% 13.72%+0.50 +5.9 8
1975-12-07 @ Perugia L 0-154.6 1659 1679 13.72% 35.36% 50.93%-0.50 -5.8 6
1975-12-07 Cagliari W 2-160.1 1630 1629 49.21% 35.73% 15.07%+0.42 +5.9 8
1975-12-07 @ Sampdoria L 1-260.1 1629 1630 15.07% 35.73% 49.21%-0.42 -5.9 3
1975-12-07 Juventus W 2-054.5 1761 1832 41.33% 36.60% 22.07%+0.11 +15.6 11
1975-12-07 @ Torino L 0-254.5 1832 1761 22.07% 36.60% 41.33%-0.11 -15.6 12
1975-12-14 Torino L 1-271.4 1741 1776 45.38% 36.30% 18.32%+0.26 -12.9 9
1975-12-14 @ AC Milan W 2-171.4 1776 1741 18.32% 36.30% 45.38%-0.26 +12.9 13
1975-12-14 Perugia D 1-169.7 1704 1684 50.91% 35.36% 13.73%+0.49 -2.4 10
1975-12-14 @ Bologna D 1-169.7 1684 1704 13.73% 35.36% 50.91%-0.49 +2.4 9
1975-12-14 Cesena L 1-269.6 1623 1665 44.61% 36.38% 19.01%+0.23 -12.7 3
1975-12-14 @ Cagliari W 2-169.6 1665 1623 19.01% 36.38% 44.61%-0.23 +12.7 11
1975-12-14 Fiorentina L 0-164.3 1653 1695 44.75% 36.37% 18.88%+0.24 -13.5 6
1975-12-14 @ Como W 1-064.3 1695 1653 18.88% 36.37% 44.75%-0.24 +13.5 8
1975-12-14 Lazio Roma D 2-274.7 1653 1682 46.06% 36.22% 17.72%+0.29 -1.3 7
1975-12-14 @ Hellas Verona D 2-274.7 1682 1653 17.72% 36.22% 46.06%-0.29 +1.3 6
1975-12-14 Inter Milan W 2-048.7 1816 1686 60.00% 32.00% 8.00%+0.97 +6.7 14
1975-12-14 @ Juventus L 0-248.7 1686 1816 8.00% 32.00% 60.00%-0.97 -6.7 8
1975-12-14 Ascoli D 0-066.0 1793 1644 61.38% 31.27% 7.35%+1.05 -4.2 14
1975-12-14 @ Napoli D 0-066.0 1644 1793 7.35% 31.27% 61.38%-1.05 +4.2 9
1975-12-14 Sampdoria W 1-053.3 1708 1636 55.45% 33.99% 10.55%+0.72 +4.7 9
1975-12-14 @ Roma L 0-153.3 1636 1708 10.55% 33.99% 55.45%-0.72 -4.7 8
1975-12-21 Juventus L 0-354.3 1648 1823 27.74% 36.06% 36.20%-0.34 -26.1 9
1975-12-21 @ Ascoli W 3-054.3 1823 1648 36.20% 36.06% 27.74%+0.34 +26.1 16
1975-12-21 Hellas Verona W 3-048.7 1678 1652 51.53% 35.21% 13.26%+0.52 +15.6 13
1975-12-21 @ Cesena L 0-348.7 1652 1678 13.26% 35.21% 51.53%-0.52 -15.6 7
1975-12-21 AC Milan L 0-165.6 1708 1728 47.07% 36.09% 16.85%+0.33 -14.1 8
1975-12-21 @ Fiorentina W 1-065.6 1728 1708 16.85% 36.09% 47.07%-0.33 +14.1 11
1975-12-21 Napoli W 2-165.8 1680 1788 36.62% 36.65% 26.72%-0.05 +8.8 10
1975-12-21 @ Inter Milan L 1-265.8 1788 1680 26.72% 36.65% 36.62%+0.05 -8.9 14
1975-12-21 Cagliari W 3-047.0 1684 1610 55.62% 33.93% 10.45%+0.73 +12.7 8
1975-12-21 @ Lazio Roma L 0-347.0 1610 1684 10.45% 33.93% 55.62%-0.73 -12.7 3
1975-12-21 Roma L 0-165.2 1687 1712 46.45% 36.17% 17.38%+0.30 -13.9 9
1975-12-21 @ Perugia W 1-065.2 1712 1687 17.38% 36.17% 46.45%-0.30 +13.9 11
1975-12-21 Bologna L 0-163.2 1631 1702 41.46% 36.60% 21.94%+0.11 -12.7 8
1975-12-21 @ Sampdoria W 1-063.2 1702 1631 21.94% 36.60% 41.46%-0.11 +12.7 12
1975-12-21 Como W 1-052.2 1789 1640 61.41% 31.26% 7.34%+1.05 +3.2 15
1975-12-21 @ Torino L 0-152.2 1640 1789 7.34% 31.26% 61.41%-1.05 -3.3 6
1975-12-30 Roma W 2-162.3 1714 1726 47.85% 35.97% 16.18%+0.36 +6.3 14
1975-12-30 @ Bologna L 1-262.3 1726 1714 16.18% 35.97% 47.85%-0.36 -6.3 11
1975-12-30 AC Milan L 1-461.4 1637 1742 37.09% 36.66% 26.25%-0.04 -26.9 6
1975-12-30 @ Como W 4-161.4 1742 1637 26.25% 36.66% 37.09%+0.04 +26.9 13
1975-12-30 Torino L 0-163.2 1694 1792 37.99% 36.67% 25.34%-0.01 -11.8 8
1975-12-30 @ Fiorentina W 1-063.2 1792 1694 25.34% 36.67% 37.99%+0.01 +11.9 17
1975-12-30 Cagliari W 2-158.6 1636 1597 52.67% 34.90% 12.43%+0.58 +5.1 9
1975-12-30 @ Hellas Verona L 1-258.6 1597 1636 12.43% 34.90% 52.67%-0.58 -5.1 3
1975-12-30 Ascoli W 3-047.4 1688 1622 55.05% 34.14% 10.81%+0.70 +13.1 12
1975-12-30 @ Inter Milan L 0-347.4 1622 1688 10.81% 34.14% 55.05%-0.70 -13.1 9
1975-12-30 Napoli W 2-160.6 1849 1780 55.29% 34.05% 10.66%+0.71 +4.4 18
1975-12-30 @ Juventus L 1-260.6 1780 1849 10.66% 34.05% 55.29%-0.71 -4.5 14
1975-12-30 Cesena D 2-275.3 1696 1694 49.32% 35.70% 14.98%+0.42 -1.6 9
1975-12-30 @ Lazio Roma D 2-275.3 1694 1696 14.98% 35.70% 49.32%-0.42 +1.6 14
1975-12-30 Sampdoria D 0-063.7 1673 1619 53.99% 34.50% 11.51%+0.64 -3.1 10
1975-12-30 @ Perugia D 0-063.7 1619 1673 11.51% 34.50% 53.99%-0.64 +3.1 9
1976-01-12 Hellas Verona W 1-052.5 1769 1641 59.81% 32.09% 8.09%+0.96 +3.6 15
1976-01-12 @ AC Milan L 0-152.5 1641 1769 8.09% 32.09% 59.81%-0.96 -3.6 9
1976-01-12 Perugia L 1-268.8 1609 1670 42.50% 36.54% 20.95%+0.15 -12.2 9
1976-01-12 @ Ascoli W 2-168.8 1670 1609 20.95% 36.54% 42.50%-0.15 +12.2 12
1976-01-12 Como W 1-053.6 1592 1610 47.29% 36.05% 16.65%+0.34 +6.8 5
1976-01-12 @ Cagliari L 0-153.6 1610 1592 16.65% 36.05% 47.29%-0.34 -6.8 6
1976-01-12 Fiorentina D 1-169.6 1695 1682 50.29% 35.50% 14.20%+0.47 -2.3 15
1976-01-12 @ Cesena D 1-169.6 1682 1695 14.20% 35.50% 50.29%-0.47 +2.3 9
1976-01-12 Bologna D 2-276.2 1775 1721 54.03% 34.49% 11.48%+0.64 -2.1 15
1976-01-12 @ Napoli D 2-276.2 1721 1775 11.48% 34.49% 54.03%-0.64 +2.1 15
1976-01-12 Juventus L 0-162.0 1720 1854 33.33% 36.53% 30.14%-0.16 -10.8 11
1976-01-12 @ Roma W 1-062.0 1854 1720 30.14% 36.53% 33.33%+0.16 +10.8 20
1976-01-12 Inter Milan L 0-258.6 1622 1701 40.33% 36.64% 23.03%+0.07 -23.4 9
1976-01-12 @ Sampdoria W 2-058.6 1701 1622 23.03% 36.64% 40.33%-0.07 +23.4 14
1976-01-12 Lazio Roma W 2-159.3 1804 1695 58.46% 32.75% 8.80%+0.88 +3.7 19
1976-01-12 @ Torino L 1-259.3 1695 1804 8.80% 32.75% 58.46%-0.88 -3.7 9
1976-01-18 Sampdoria D 1-166.8 1596 1599 48.84% 35.80% 15.37%+0.40 -2.1 10
1976-01-18 @ Ascoli D 1-166.8 1599 1596 15.37% 35.80% 48.84%-0.40 +2.1 10
1976-01-18 Torino D 0-064.6 1599 1808 23.74% 35.44% 40.82%-0.48 +1.1 6
1976-01-18 @ Cagliari D 0-064.6 1808 1599 40.82% 35.44% 23.74%+0.48 -1.1 20
1976-01-18 AC Milan W 2-164.6 1693 1772 40.33% 36.64% 23.03%+0.07 +8.0 17
1976-01-18 @ Cesena L 1-264.6 1772 1693 23.03% 36.64% 40.33%-0.07 -8.0 15
1976-01-18 Como W 3-263.5 1638 1603 52.30% 35.01% 12.69%+0.56 +4.9 11
1976-01-18 @ Hellas Verona L 2-363.5 1603 1638 12.69% 35.01% 52.30%-0.56 -4.9 6
1976-01-18 Perugia D 2-275.7 1725 1682 53.02% 34.80% 12.18%+0.59 -2.0 15
1976-01-18 @ Inter Milan D 2-275.7 1682 1725 12.18% 34.80% 53.02%-0.59 +2.0 13
1976-01-18 Bologna W 1-052.8 1864 1723 60.86% 31.55% 7.59%+1.02 +3.4 22
1976-01-18 @ Juventus L 0-152.8 1723 1864 7.59% 31.55% 60.86%-1.02 -3.4 15
1976-01-18 Fiorentina L 1-271.8 1691 1685 49.68% 35.63% 14.69%+0.44 -13.9 9
1976-01-18 @ Lazio Roma W 2-171.8 1685 1691 14.69% 35.63% 49.68%-0.44 +13.9 11
1976-01-18 Roma W 2-160.4 1773 1709 54.81% 34.23% 10.97%+0.68 +4.6 17
1976-01-18 @ Napoli L 1-260.4 1709 1773 10.97% 34.23% 54.81%-0.68 -4.6 11
1976-01-25 Lazio Roma W 3-048.0 1764 1677 56.72% 33.50% 9.78%+0.78 +11.9 17
1976-01-25 @ AC Milan L 0-348.0 1677 1764 9.78% 33.50% 56.72%-0.78 -11.9 9
1976-01-25 Ascoli D 1-169.9 1719 1594 59.62% 32.19% 8.19%+0.94 -3.5 16
1976-01-25 @ Bologna D 1-169.9 1594 1719 8.19% 32.19% 59.62%-0.94 +3.5 11
1976-01-25 Cesena D 0-063.2 1598 1701 37.40% 36.66% 25.94%-0.03 -0.7 7
1976-01-25 @ Como D 0-063.2 1701 1598 25.94% 36.66% 37.40%+0.03 +0.7 18
1976-01-25 Cagliari W 3-046.5 1698 1600 57.59% 33.13% 9.27%+0.83 +11.3 13
1976-01-25 @ Fiorentina L 0-346.5 1600 1698 9.27% 33.13% 57.59%-0.83 -11.3 6
1976-01-25 Napoli D 2-275.5 1684 1778 38.58% 36.67% 24.75%+0.01 -0.6 14
1976-01-25 @ Perugia D 2-275.5 1778 1684 24.75% 36.67% 38.58%-0.01 +0.6 18
1976-01-25 Inter Milan D 1-169.7 1705 1723 47.22% 36.06% 16.71%+0.33 -1.9 12
1976-01-25 @ Roma D 1-169.7 1723 1705 16.71% 36.06% 47.22%-0.33 +1.9 16
1976-01-25 Juventus L 0-252.2 1601 1868 18.07% 33.92% 48.02%-0.73 -13.1 10
1976-01-25 @ Sampdoria W 2-052.2 1868 1601 48.02% 33.92% 18.07%+0.73 +13.0 24
1976-01-25 Hellas Verona W 4-256.8 1807 1643 62.48% 30.65% 6.87%+1.11 +4.4 22
1976-01-25 @ Torino L 2-456.8 1643 1807 6.87% 30.65% 62.48%-1.11 -4.4 11
1976-02-02 Roma D 0-063.2 1598 1703 37.13% 36.66% 26.21%-0.04 -0.7 12
1976-02-02 @ Ascoli D 0-063.2 1703 1598 26.21% 36.66% 37.13%+0.04 +0.7 13
1976-02-02 AC Milan L 1-360.3 1589 1776 26.22% 35.86% 37.93%-0.39 -15.0 6
1976-02-02 @ Cagliari W 3-160.3 1776 1589 37.93% 35.86% 26.22%+0.39 +15.0 19
1976-02-02 Torino D 1-169.9 1702 1811 36.53% 36.65% 26.82%-0.06 -0.5 19
1976-02-02 @ Cesena D 1-169.9 1811 1702 26.82% 36.65% 36.53%+0.06 +0.5 23
1976-02-02 Fiorentina L 1-269.3 1638 1710 41.28% 36.61% 22.11%+0.11 -11.9 11
1976-02-02 @ Hellas Verona W 2-169.3 1710 1638 22.11% 36.61% 41.28%-0.11 +11.9 15
1976-02-02 Bologna D 1-170.0 1725 1716 49.92% 35.58% 14.50%+0.45 -2.2 17
1976-02-02 @ Inter Milan D 1-170.0 1716 1725 14.50% 35.58% 49.92%-0.45 +2.2 17
1976-02-02 Perugia W 1-051.6 1881 1683 64.79% 29.26% 5.96%+1.25 +2.6 26
1976-02-02 @ Juventus L 0-151.6 1683 1881 5.96% 29.26% 64.79%-1.25 -2.6 14
1976-02-02 Como W 3-263.0 1665 1597 55.15% 34.10% 10.75%+0.70 +4.2 11
1976-02-02 @ Lazio Roma L 2-363.0 1597 1665 10.75% 34.10% 55.15%-0.70 -4.2 7
1976-02-02 Sampdoria D 0-066.0 1778 1588 64.32% 29.55% 6.13%+1.22 -4.5 19
1976-02-02 @ Napoli D 0-066.0 1588 1778 6.13% 29.55% 64.32%-1.22 +4.5 11
1976-02-09 Perugia D 0-065.7 1791 1681 58.53% 32.71% 8.76%+0.88 -3.8 20
1976-02-09 @ AC Milan D 0-065.7 1681 1791 8.76% 32.71% 58.53%-0.88 +3.8 15
1976-02-09 Roma L 1-558.4 1574 1703 33.85% 36.56% 29.59%-0.14 -32.5 6
1976-02-09 @ Cagliari W 5-158.4 1703 1574 29.59% 36.56% 33.85%+0.14 +32.5 15
1976-02-09 Inter Milan L 2-376.1 1701 1722 46.89% 36.11% 17.00%+0.32 -12.5 19
1976-02-09 @ Cesena W 3-276.1 1722 1701 17.00% 36.11% 46.89%-0.32 +12.5 19
1976-02-09 Napoli L 0-159.1 1593 1774 27.06% 35.97% 36.97%-0.36 -9.4 7
1976-02-09 @ Como W 1-059.1 1774 1593 36.97% 35.97% 27.06%+0.36 +9.4 21
1976-02-09 Ascoli D 0-064.8 1722 1597 59.59% 32.20% 8.20%+0.94 -3.9 16
1976-02-09 @ Fiorentina D 0-064.8 1597 1722 8.20% 32.20% 59.59%-0.94 +3.9 13
1976-02-09 Juventus L 1-262.8 1626 1883 18.94% 34.22% 46.85%-0.69 -6.8 11
1976-02-09 @ Hellas Verona W 2-162.8 1883 1626 46.85% 34.22% 18.94%+0.69 +6.8 28
1976-02-09 Sampdoria D 1-168.7 1669 1592 55.92% 33.82% 10.26%+0.74 -3.1 12
1976-02-09 @ Lazio Roma D 1-168.7 1592 1669 10.26% 33.82% 55.92%-0.74 +3.0 12
1976-02-09 Bologna W 3-155.4 1812 1718 57.24% 33.29% 9.47%+0.81 +6.9 25
1976-02-09 @ Torino L 1-355.4 1718 1812 9.47% 33.29% 57.24%-0.81 -6.9 17
1976-02-15 Cagliari D 1-165.9 1601 1541 54.47% 34.34% 11.19%+0.67 -2.9 14
1976-02-15 @ Ascoli D 1-165.9 1541 1601 11.19% 34.34% 54.47%-0.67 +2.8 7
1976-02-15 Hellas Verona D 0-064.5 1711 1619 57.06% 33.36% 9.57%+0.80 -3.6 18
1976-02-15 @ Bologna D 0-064.5 1619 1711 9.57% 33.36% 57.06%-0.80 +3.6 12
1976-02-15 Lazio Roma W 1-053.8 1735 1666 55.21% 34.08% 10.70%+0.70 +4.7 21
1976-02-15 @ Inter Milan L 0-153.8 1666 1735 10.70% 34.08% 55.21%-0.70 -4.7 12
1976-02-15 Como D 1-173.5 1890 1584 71.91% 24.29% 3.80%+1.72 -4.7 29
1976-02-15 @ Juventus D 1-173.5 1584 1890 3.80% 24.29% 71.91%-1.72 +4.6 8
1976-02-15 Fiorentina L 1-273.6 1783 1718 54.93% 34.18% 10.89%+0.69 -15.2 21
1976-02-15 @ Napoli W 2-173.6 1718 1783 10.89% 34.18% 54.93%-0.69 +15.2 18
1976-02-15 Torino W 2-166.9 1685 1819 33.25% 36.53% 30.22%-0.16 +9.6 17
1976-02-15 @ Perugia L 1-266.9 1819 1685 30.22% 36.53% 33.25%+0.16 -9.6 25
1976-02-15 Cesena D 2-275.9 1736 1689 53.42% 34.68% 11.90%+0.61 -2.0 16
1976-02-15 @ Roma D 2-275.9 1689 1736 11.90% 34.68% 53.42%-0.61 +2.0 20
1976-02-15 AC Milan L 0-158.7 1595 1788 25.64% 35.77% 38.59%-0.41 -9.0 12
1976-02-15 @ Sampdoria W 1-058.7 1788 1595 38.59% 35.77% 25.64%+0.41 +9.0 22
1976-02-22 Bologna W 3-155.4 1797 1708 56.86% 33.44% 9.69%+0.79 +7.1 24
1976-02-22 @ AC Milan L 1-355.4 1708 1797 9.69% 33.44% 56.86%-0.79 -7.1 18
1976-02-22 Inter Milan D 0-063.2 1544 1740 25.25% 35.71% 39.04%-0.42 +0.9 8
1976-02-22 @ Cagliari D 0-063.2 1740 1544 39.04% 35.71% 25.25%+0.42 -0.9 22
1976-02-22 Napoli L 0-163.9 1691 1768 40.60% 36.63% 22.77%+0.08 -12.5 20
1976-02-22 @ Cesena W 1-063.9 1768 1691 22.77% 36.63% 40.60%-0.08 +12.5 23
1976-02-22 Sampdoria D 0-061.1 1588 1586 49.26% 35.72% 15.02%+0.42 -2.4 9
1976-02-22 @ Como D 0-061.1 1586 1588 15.02% 35.72% 49.26%-0.42 +2.4 13
1976-02-22 Juventus D 1-170.2 1733 1885 30.71% 36.36% 32.93%-0.24 +0.1 19
1976-02-22 @ Fiorentina D 1-170.2 1885 1733 32.93% 36.36% 30.71%+0.24 -0.1 30
1976-02-22 Roma L 0-162.0 1623 1734 36.35% 36.65% 27.00%-0.06 -11.5 12
1976-02-22 @ Hellas Verona W 1-062.0 1734 1623 27.00% 36.65% 36.35%+0.06 +11.5 18
1976-02-22 Perugia W 1-056.3 1662 1694 45.71% 36.26% 18.02%+0.27 +7.2 14
1976-02-22 @ Lazio Roma L 0-156.3 1694 1662 18.02% 36.26% 45.71%-0.27 -7.2 17
1976-02-22 Ascoli W 3-152.3 1809 1598 65.71% 28.66% 5.63%+1.31 +3.9 27
1976-02-22 @ Torino L 1-352.3 1598 1809 5.63% 28.66% 65.71%-1.31 -3.9 14
1976-02-28 AC Milan L 0-158.1 1594 1804 23.70% 35.43% 40.87%-0.48 -8.5 14
1976-02-28 @ Ascoli W 1-058.1 1804 1594 40.87% 35.43% 23.70%+0.48 +8.5 26
1976-02-28 Lazio Roma W 1-054.6 1700 1669 52.02% 35.08% 12.90%+0.55 +5.6 20
1976-02-28 @ Bologna L 0-154.6 1669 1700 12.90% 35.08% 52.02%-0.55 -5.6 14
1976-02-28 Torino W 1-058.7 1739 1813 40.98% 36.62% 22.40%+0.10 +8.4 24
1976-02-28 @ Inter Milan L 0-158.7 1813 1739 22.40% 36.62% 40.98%-0.10 -8.4 27
1976-02-28 Cagliari W 1-048.4 1885 1545 73.98% 22.72% 3.30%+1.86 +1.2 32
1976-02-28 @ Juventus L 0-148.4 1545 1885 3.30% 22.72% 73.98%-1.86 -1.2 8
1976-02-28 Hellas Verona L 0-168.3 1780 1612 62.79% 30.47% 6.74%+1.13 -18.0 23
1976-02-28 @ Napoli W 1-068.3 1612 1780 6.74% 30.47% 62.79%-1.13 +18.0 14
1976-02-28 Fiorentina W 2-163.2 1687 1733 44.23% 36.42% 19.36%+0.21 +7.1 19
1976-02-28 @ Perugia L 1-263.2 1733 1687 19.36% 36.42% 44.23%-0.21 -7.1 19
1976-02-28 Como W 2-157.1 1745 1586 62.14% 30.84% 7.01%+1.09 +2.9 20
1976-02-28 @ Roma L 1-257.1 1586 1745 7.01% 30.84% 62.14%-1.09 -2.9 9
1976-02-28 Cesena L 0-161.7 1589 1678 39.09% 36.66% 24.25%+0.03 -12.1 13
1976-02-28 @ Sampdoria W 1-061.7 1678 1589 24.25% 36.66% 39.09%-0.03 +12.1 22
1976-03-07 Roma W 1-054.6 1812 1748 54.81% 34.23% 10.97%+0.68 +4.8 28
1976-03-07 @ AC Milan L 0-154.6 1748 1812 10.97% 34.23% 54.81%-0.68 -4.8 20
1976-03-07 Napoli D 1-168.9 1544 1762 22.69% 35.22% 42.08%-0.52 +1.1 9
1976-03-07 @ Cagliari D 1-168.9 1762 1544 42.08% 35.22% 22.69%+0.52 -1.1 24
1976-03-07 Ascoli W 3-153.2 1690 1586 58.07% 32.92% 9.01%+0.86 +6.6 24
1976-03-07 @ Cesena L 1-353.2 1586 1690 9.01% 32.92% 58.07%-0.86 -6.6 14
1976-03-07 Perugia D 0-062.9 1583 1694 36.33% 36.65% 27.02%-0.06 -0.6 10
1976-03-07 @ Como D 0-062.9 1694 1583 27.02% 36.65% 36.33%+0.06 +0.6 20
1976-03-07 Bologna L 1-272.5 1726 1706 50.95% 35.35% 13.70%+0.50 -14.2 19
1976-03-07 @ Fiorentina W 2-172.5 1706 1726 13.70% 35.35% 50.95%-0.50 +14.2 22
1976-03-07 Inter Milan D 1-169.2 1630 1747 35.46% 36.62% 27.92%-0.09 -0.4 15
1976-03-07 @ Hellas Verona D 1-169.2 1747 1630 27.92% 36.62% 35.46%+0.09 +0.4 25
1976-03-07 Juventus L 1-264.2 1663 1887 22.19% 35.11% 42.69%-0.54 -7.7 14
1976-03-07 @ Lazio Roma W 2-164.2 1887 1663 42.69% 35.11% 22.19%+0.54 +7.7 34
1976-03-07 Sampdoria W 2-046.0 1805 1576 66.87% 27.89% 5.23%+1.39 +4.1 29
1976-03-07 @ Torino L 0-246.0 1576 1805 5.23% 27.89% 66.87%-1.39 -4.1 13
1976-03-14 Hellas Verona W 2-050.6 1579 1629 43.79% 36.45% 19.75%+0.20 +14.5 16
1976-03-14 @ Ascoli L 0-250.6 1629 1579 19.75% 36.45% 43.79%-0.20 -14.5 15
1976-03-14 Cagliari D 0-064.6 1720 1545 63.26% 30.20% 6.55%+1.16 -4.4 23
1976-03-14 @ Bologna D 0-064.6 1545 1720 6.55% 30.20% 63.26%-1.16 +4.4 10
1976-03-14 Como W 2-157.0 1748 1582 62.55% 30.61% 6.84%+1.12 +2.8 27
1976-03-14 @ Inter Milan L 1-257.0 1582 1748 6.84% 30.61% 62.55%-1.12 -2.8 10
1976-03-14 AC Milan D 1-171.1 1894 1817 55.92% 33.82% 10.26%+0.74 -3.0 35
1976-03-14 @ Juventus D 1-171.1 1817 1894 10.26% 33.82% 55.92%-0.74 +3.0 29
1976-03-14 Torino D 0-064.9 1761 1809 44.06% 36.43% 19.51%+0.21 -1.7 25
1976-03-14 @ Napoli D 0-064.9 1809 1761 19.51% 36.43% 44.06%-0.21 +1.7 30
1976-03-14 Cesena W 1-055.7 1695 1697 48.84% 35.79% 15.36%+0.40 +6.4 22
1976-03-14 @ Perugia L 0-155.7 1697 1695 15.36% 35.79% 48.84%-0.40 -6.4 24
1976-03-14 Lazio Roma D 0-065.1 1744 1656 56.78% 33.48% 9.74%+0.79 -3.5 21
1976-03-14 @ Roma D 0-065.1 1656 1744 9.74% 33.48% 56.78%-0.79 +3.5 15
1976-03-14 Fiorentina D 0-063.0 1572 1712 32.52% 36.48% 31.00%-0.18 -0.1 14
1976-03-14 @ Sampdoria D 0-063.0 1712 1572 31.00% 36.48% 32.52%+0.18 +0.1 20
1976-03-21 Napoli D 1-170.8 1820 1760 54.53% 34.32% 11.15%+0.67 -2.9 30
1976-03-21 @ AC Milan D 1-170.8 1760 1820 11.15% 34.32% 54.53%-0.67 +2.9 26
1976-03-21 Juventus W 2-169.7 1690 1891 24.65% 35.61% 39.74%-0.44 +11.4 26
1976-03-21 @ Cesena L 1-269.7 1891 1690 39.74% 35.61% 24.65%+0.44 -11.4 35
1976-03-21 Bologna W 2-165.5 1580 1716 32.95% 36.51% 30.54%-0.17 +9.6 12
1976-03-21 @ Como L 1-265.5 1716 1580 30.54% 36.51% 32.95%+0.17 -9.6 23
1976-03-21 Inter Milan D 0-064.6 1712 1750 45.04% 36.34% 18.62%+0.25 -1.8 21
1976-03-21 @ Fiorentina D 0-064.6 1750 1712 18.62% 36.34% 45.04%-0.25 +1.8 28
1976-03-21 Ascoli W 3-153.8 1659 1594 54.95% 34.18% 10.87%+0.69 +7.8 17
1976-03-21 @ Lazio Roma L 1-353.8 1594 1659 10.87% 34.18% 54.95%-0.69 -7.9 16
1976-03-21 Cagliari W 4-149.2 1701 1549 61.59% 31.16% 7.26%+1.06 +7.4 24
1976-03-21 @ Perugia L 1-449.2 1549 1701 7.26% 31.16% 61.59%-1.06 -7.4 10
1976-03-21 Hellas Verona W 2-049.8 1572 1615 44.63% 36.38% 18.99%+0.23 +14.1 16
1976-03-21 @ Sampdoria L 0-249.8 1615 1572 18.99% 36.38% 44.63%-0.23 -14.1 15
1976-03-21 Roma W 1-054.4 1810 1740 55.36% 34.03% 10.61%+0.71 +4.7 32
1976-03-21 @ Torino L 0-154.4 1740 1810 10.61% 34.03% 55.36%-0.71 -4.7 21
1976-03-28 Como D 1-166.3 1586 1589 48.72% 35.82% 15.47%+0.40 -2.1 17
1976-03-28 @ Ascoli D 1-166.3 1589 1586 15.47% 35.82% 48.72%-0.40 +2.1 13
1976-03-28 Cesena W 5-361.7 1706 1702 49.48% 35.67% 14.85%+0.43 +8.6 25
1976-03-28 @ Bologna L 3-561.7 1702 1706 14.85% 35.67% 49.48%-0.43 -8.6 26
1976-03-28 Sampdoria W 5-358.6 1542 1586 44.42% 36.40% 19.19%+0.22 +10.4 12
1976-03-28 @ Cagliari L 3-558.6 1586 1542 19.19% 36.40% 44.42%-0.22 -10.4 16
1976-03-28 Perugia W 3-160.1 1601 1708 36.75% 36.65% 26.60%-0.05 +15.3 17
1976-03-28 @ Hellas Verona L 1-360.1 1708 1601 26.60% 36.65% 36.75%+0.05 -15.3 24
1976-03-28 AC Milan L 0-164.7 1752 1817 42.08% 36.57% 21.35%+0.13 -12.8 28
1976-03-28 @ Inter Milan W 1-064.7 1817 1752 21.35% 36.57% 42.08%-0.13 +12.8 32
1976-03-28 Torino L 0-263.8 1880 1815 54.88% 34.20% 10.92%+0.69 -30.3 35
1976-03-28 @ Juventus W 2-063.8 1815 1880 10.92% 34.20% 54.88%-0.69 +30.3 34
1976-03-28 Lazio Roma W 1-053.4 1762 1667 57.37% 33.23% 9.40%+0.82 +4.2 28
1976-03-28 @ Napoli L 0-153.4 1667 1762 9.40% 33.23% 57.37%-0.82 -4.2 17
1976-03-28 Fiorentina D 2-275.8 1735 1710 51.44% 35.23% 13.33%+0.52 -1.8 22
1976-03-28 @ Roma D 2-275.8 1710 1735 13.33% 35.23% 51.44%-0.52 +1.8 22
1976-04-04 Napoli D 0-064.0 1584 1767 26.78% 35.93% 37.29%-0.37 +0.7 18
1976-04-04 @ Ascoli D 0-064.0 1767 1584 37.29% 35.93% 26.78%+0.37 -0.7 29
1976-04-04 Cagliari D 0-063.9 1693 1552 60.80% 31.58% 7.61%+1.01 -4.1 27
1976-04-04 @ Cesena D 0-063.9 1552 1693 7.61% 31.58% 60.80%-1.01 +4.1 13
1976-04-04 Como L 0-262.8 1712 1591 59.30% 32.35% 8.35%+0.93 -32.4 22
1976-04-04 @ Fiorentina W 2-062.8 1591 1712 8.35% 32.35% 59.30%-0.93 +32.4 15
1976-04-04 Juventus W 1-060.2 1739 1849 36.49% 36.65% 26.86%-0.06 +9.4 30
1976-04-04 @ Inter Milan L 0-160.2 1849 1739 26.86% 36.65% 36.49%+0.06 -9.4 35
1976-04-04 Hellas Verona D 1-168.7 1663 1616 53.37% 34.69% 11.93%+0.61 -2.7 18
1976-04-04 @ Lazio Roma D 1-168.7 1616 1663 11.93% 34.69% 53.37%-0.61 +2.7 18
1976-04-04 Bologna D 1-169.6 1693 1715 46.87% 36.11% 17.02%+0.32 -1.8 25
1976-04-04 @ Perugia D 1-169.6 1715 1693 17.02% 36.11% 46.87%-0.32 +1.8 26
1976-04-04 Roma W 1-060.6 1576 1733 30.03% 36.30% 33.67%-0.26 +10.8 18
1976-04-04 @ Sampdoria L 0-160.6 1733 1576 33.67% 36.30% 30.03%+0.26 -10.8 22
1976-04-04 AC Milan W 2-162.0 1845 1830 50.54% 35.45% 14.01%+0.48 +5.6 36
1976-04-04 @ Torino L 1-262.0 1830 1845 14.01% 35.45% 50.54%-0.48 -5.6 32
1976-04-11 Fiorentina W 2-158.6 1824 1679 61.09% 31.43% 7.48%+1.03 +3.1 34
1976-04-11 @ AC Milan L 1-258.6 1679 1824 7.48% 31.43% 61.09%-1.03 -3.1 22
1976-04-11 Sampdoria W 1-051.5 1717 1587 59.99% 32.00% 8.01%+0.97 +3.6 28
1976-04-11 @ Bologna L 0-151.5 1587 1717 8.01% 32.00% 59.99%-0.97 -3.6 18
1976-04-11 Lazio Roma W 2-162.8 1556 1660 37.29% 36.66% 26.05%-0.03 +8.7 15
1976-04-11 @ Cagliari L 1-262.8 1660 1556 26.05% 36.66% 37.29%+0.03 -8.7 18
1976-04-11 Torino L 0-157.8 1624 1851 21.77% 35.01% 43.22%-0.56 -8.0 15
1976-04-11 @ Como W 1-057.8 1851 1624 43.22% 35.01% 21.77%+0.56 +8.0 38
1976-04-11 Cesena D 2-274.3 1619 1689 41.40% 36.60% 22.00%+0.11 -0.8 19
1976-04-11 @ Hellas Verona D 2-274.3 1689 1619 22.00% 36.60% 41.40%-0.11 +0.8 28
1976-04-11 Ascoli W 2-155.9 1840 1584 68.68% 26.65% 4.68%+1.50 +1.8 37
1976-04-11 @ Juventus L 1-255.9 1584 1840 4.68% 26.65% 68.68%-1.50 -1.8 18
1976-04-11 Inter Milan W 3-157.3 1766 1749 50.69% 35.41% 13.90%+0.48 +9.6 31
1976-04-11 @ Napoli L 1-357.3 1749 1766 13.90% 35.41% 50.69%-0.48 -9.7 30
1976-04-11 Perugia L 1-272.6 1723 1691 51.99% 35.09% 12.92%+0.55 -14.5 22
1976-04-11 @ Roma W 2-172.6 1691 1723 12.92% 35.09% 51.99%-0.55 +14.5 27
1976-04-18 Como D 2-277.8 1827 1616 65.77% 28.62% 5.61%+1.32 -3.1 35
1976-04-18 @ AC Milan D 2-277.8 1616 1827 5.61% 28.62% 65.77%-1.32 +3.1 16
1976-04-18 Inter Milan W 2-056.5 1583 1739 30.15% 36.31% 33.54%-0.26 +20.4 20
1976-04-18 @ Ascoli L 0-256.5 1739 1583 33.54% 36.31% 30.15%+0.26 -20.4 30
1976-04-18 Hellas Verona L 0-257.1 1565 1618 43.49% 36.48% 20.04%+0.19 -24.8 15
1976-04-18 @ Cagliari W 2-057.1 1618 1565 20.04% 36.48% 43.49%-0.19 +24.8 21
1976-04-18 Lazio Roma D 0-064.2 1690 1651 52.65% 34.91% 12.44%+0.58 -2.9 29
1976-04-18 @ Cesena D 0-064.2 1651 1690 12.44% 34.91% 52.65%-0.58 +2.9 19
1976-04-18 Juventus D 1-170.2 1776 1842 41.93% 36.58% 21.49%+0.13 -1.2 32
1976-04-18 @ Napoli D 1-170.2 1842 1776 21.49% 36.58% 41.93%-0.13 +1.2 38
1976-04-18 Bologna D 0-064.5 1708 1720 47.85% 35.97% 16.19%+0.36 -2.2 23
1976-04-18 @ Roma D 0-064.5 1720 1708 16.19% 35.97% 47.85%-0.36 +2.2 29
1976-04-18 Perugia W 3-160.4 1583 1706 34.80% 36.60% 28.60%-0.11 +16.0 20
1976-04-18 @ Sampdoria L 1-360.4 1706 1583 28.60% 36.60% 34.80%+0.11 -16.0 27
1976-04-18 Fiorentina W 4-364.6 1859 1676 63.78% 29.88% 6.34%+1.19 +2.4 40
1976-04-18 @ Torino L 3-464.6 1676 1859 6.34% 29.88% 63.78%-1.19 -2.4 22
1976-04-25 Napoli W 2-053.6 1722 1774 43.56% 36.47% 19.97%+0.19 +14.6 31
1976-04-25 @ Bologna L 0-253.6 1774 1722 19.97% 36.47% 43.56%-0.19 -14.6 32
1976-04-25 Cagliari W 3-044.2 1619 1540 56.02% 33.78% 10.20%+0.75 +12.4 18
1976-04-25 @ Como L 0-344.2 1540 1619 10.20% 33.78% 56.02%-0.75 -12.4 15
1976-04-25 Cesena W 3-157.3 1674 1687 47.74% 35.98% 16.28%+0.36 +10.9 24
1976-04-25 @ Fiorentina L 1-357.3 1687 1674 16.28% 35.98% 47.74%-0.36 -10.9 29
1976-04-25 AC Milan D 2-275.7 1643 1824 26.91% 35.95% 37.14%-0.36 +0.4 22
1976-04-25 @ Hellas Verona D 2-275.7 1824 1643 37.14% 35.95% 26.91%+0.36 -0.4 36
1976-04-25 Sampdoria W 2-157.9 1719 1599 59.23% 32.38% 8.39%+0.92 +3.5 32
1976-04-25 @ Inter Milan L 1-257.9 1599 1719 8.39% 32.38% 59.23%-0.92 -3.5 20
1976-04-25 Roma D 1-171.5 1843 1706 60.51% 31.73% 7.75%+1.00 -3.6 39
1976-04-25 @ Juventus D 1-171.5 1706 1843 7.75% 31.73% 60.51%-1.00 +3.6 24
1976-04-25 Torino D 1-170.3 1654 1862 23.93% 35.47% 40.60%-0.47 +1.0 20
1976-04-25 @ Lazio Roma D 1-170.3 1862 1654 40.60% 35.47% 23.93%+0.47 -1.0 41
1976-04-25 Ascoli D 1-169.3 1690 1603 56.69% 33.51% 9.79%+0.78 -3.1 28
1976-04-25 @ Perugia D 1-169.3 1603 1690 9.79% 33.51% 56.69%-0.78 +3.1 21
1976-05-02 Cesena W 2-158.5 1824 1676 61.30% 31.32% 7.39%+1.04 +3.1 38
1976-05-02 @ AC Milan L 1-258.5 1676 1824 7.39% 31.32% 61.30%-1.04 -3.1 29
1976-05-02 Juventus L 1-462.3 1737 1839 37.47% 36.66% 25.87%-0.03 -27.1 31
1976-05-02 @ Bologna W 4-162.3 1839 1737 25.87% 36.66% 37.47%+0.03 +27.1 41
1976-05-02 Hellas Verona W 2-160.7 1631 1643 47.87% 35.96% 16.16%+0.36 +6.3 20
1976-05-02 @ Como L 1-260.7 1643 1631 16.16% 35.96% 47.87%-0.36 -6.3 22
1976-05-02 Lazio Roma W 4-367.1 1685 1655 51.84% 35.13% 13.03%+0.54 +4.9 26
1976-05-02 @ Fiorentina L 3-467.1 1655 1685 13.03% 35.13% 51.84%-0.54 -4.9 20
1976-05-02 Inter Milan D 1-169.6 1687 1722 45.37% 36.30% 18.32%+0.26 -1.6 29
1976-05-02 @ Perugia D 1-169.6 1722 1687 18.32% 36.30% 45.37%-0.26 +1.6 33
1976-05-02 Napoli L 0-359.2 1710 1760 43.76% 36.46% 19.78%+0.20 -36.2 24
1976-05-02 @ Roma W 3-059.2 1760 1710 19.78% 36.46% 43.76%-0.20 +36.2 34
1976-05-02 Ascoli W 1-053.3 1596 1606 48.01% 35.94% 16.05%+0.37 +6.6 22
1976-05-02 @ Sampdoria L 0-153.3 1606 1596 16.05% 35.94% 48.01%-0.37 -6.6 21
1976-05-02 Cagliari W 5-146.5 1861 1528 73.52% 23.07% 3.41%+1.83 +3.8 43
1976-05-02 @ Torino L 1-546.5 1528 1861 3.41% 23.07% 73.52%-1.83 -3.8 15
1976-05-09 Bologna D 0-063.3 1600 1710 36.43% 36.65% 26.93%-0.06 -0.6 22
1976-05-09 @ Ascoli D 0-063.3 1710 1600 26.93% 36.65% 36.43%+0.06 +0.6 32
1976-05-09 Fiorentina W 2-165.3 1524 1690 28.96% 36.20% 34.84%-0.30 +10.5 17
1976-05-09 @ Cagliari L 1-265.3 1690 1524 34.84% 36.20% 28.96%+0.30 -10.5 26
1976-05-09 Como W 2-049.7 1673 1637 52.38% 34.98% 12.63%+0.56 +10.3 31
1976-05-09 @ Cesena L 0-249.7 1637 1673 12.63% 34.98% 52.38%-0.56 -10.3 20
1976-05-09 Torino D 0-065.1 1637 1864 21.75% 35.01% 43.24%-0.56 +1.4 23
1976-05-09 @ Hellas Verona D 0-065.1 1864 1637 43.24% 35.01% 21.75%+0.56 -1.4 44
1976-05-09 Roma W 2-050.1 1724 1673 53.70% 34.59% 11.71%+0.63 +9.7 35
1976-05-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-250.1 1673 1724 11.71% 34.59% 53.70%-0.63 -9.7 24
1976-05-09 Sampdoria W 2-045.8 1866 1602 69.23% 26.25% 4.51%+1.54 +3.4 43
1976-05-09 @ Juventus L 0-245.8 1602 1866 4.51% 26.25% 69.23%-1.54 -3.4 22
1976-05-09 AC Milan W 4-057.5 1650 1827 27.55% 36.03% 36.42%-0.34 +40.9 22
1976-05-09 @ Lazio Roma L 0-457.5 1827 1650 36.42% 36.03% 27.55%+0.34 -40.8 38
1976-05-09 Perugia W 4-048.2 1796 1685 58.57% 32.69% 8.73%+0.89 +14.0 36
1976-05-09 @ Napoli L 0-448.2 1685 1796 8.73% 32.69% 58.57%-0.89 -14.0 29
1976-05-16 Cagliari L 2-378.9 1786 1534 68.42% 26.83% 4.75%+1.49 -17.0 38
1976-05-16 @ AC Milan W 3-278.9 1534 1786 4.75% 26.83% 68.42%-1.49 +17.0 19
1976-05-16 Inter Milan L 1-271.5 1710 1734 46.70% 36.14% 17.16%+0.31 -13.2 32
1976-05-16 @ Bologna W 2-171.5 1734 1710 17.16% 36.14% 46.70%-0.31 +13.2 37
1976-05-16 Lazio Roma D 2-274.4 1627 1691 42.17% 36.56% 21.26%+0.14 -0.9 21
1976-05-16 @ Como D 2-274.4 1691 1627 21.26% 36.56% 42.17%-0.14 +0.9 23
1976-05-16 Hellas Verona D 2-274.9 1679 1638 52.87% 34.85% 12.29%+0.59 -2.0 27
1976-05-16 @ Fiorentina D 2-274.9 1638 1679 12.29% 34.85% 52.87%-0.59 +2.0 24
1976-05-16 Juventus W 1-063.5 1671 1870 24.89% 35.65% 39.47%-0.44 +12.1 31
1976-05-16 @ Perugia L 0-163.5 1870 1671 39.47% 35.65% 24.89%+0.44 -12.1 43
1976-05-16 Ascoli D 1-168.6 1664 1599 54.89% 34.20% 10.91%+0.69 -2.9 25
1976-05-16 @ Roma D 1-168.6 1599 1664 10.91% 34.20% 54.89%-0.69 +2.9 23
1976-05-16 Napoli W 2-169.4 1599 1810 23.48% 35.39% 41.13%-0.49 +11.7 24
1976-05-16 @ Sampdoria L 1-269.4 1810 1599 41.13% 35.39% 23.48%+0.49 -11.7 36
1976-05-16 Cesena D 1-172.0 1863 1683 63.55% 30.02% 6.43%+1.18 -4.0 45
1976-05-16 @ Torino D 1-172.0 1683 1863 6.43% 30.02% 63.55%-1.18 +3.9 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-05-16 4.75% Cagliari 1534 3 @ AC Milan 1786 2
2 1976-02-28 6.74% Hellas Verona 1612 1 @ Napoli 1780 0
3 1976-04-04 8.35% Como 1591 2 @ Fiorentina 1712 0
4 1975-11-16 10.39% Sampdoria 1629 1 @ Fiorentina 1703 0
5 1976-02-15 10.89% Fiorentina 1718 2 @ Napoli 1783 1
6 1976-03-28 10.92% Torino 1815 2 @ Juventus 1880 0
7 1976-04-11 12.92% Perugia 1691 2 @ Roma 1723 1
8 1976-03-07 13.70% Bologna 1706 2 @ Fiorentina 1726 1
9 1976-01-18 14.69% Fiorentina 1685 2 @ Lazio Roma 1691 1
10 1975-12-21 16.85% AC Milan 1728 1 @ Fiorentina 1708 0
11 1976-02-09 17.00% Inter Milan 1722 3 @ Cesena 1701 2
12 1976-05-16 17.16% Inter Milan 1734 2 @ Bologna 1710 1
13 1975-12-21 17.38% Roma 1712 1 @ Perugia 1687 0
14 1975-12-14 18.32% Torino 1776 2 @ AC Milan 1741 1
15 1975-12-14 18.88% Fiorentina 1695 1 @ Como 1653 0
16 1975-12-14 19.01% Cesena 1665 2 @ Cagliari 1623 1
17 1975-11-16 19.72% Bologna 1692 2 @ Cagliari 1643 1
18 1976-05-02 19.78% Napoli 1760 3 @ Roma 1710 0
19 1976-04-18 20.04% Hellas Verona 1618 2 @ Cagliari 1565 0
20 1976-01-12 20.95% Perugia 1670 2 @ Ascoli 1609 1
21 1976-03-28 21.35% AC Milan 1817 1 @ Inter Milan 1752 0
22 1975-11-16 21.65% Juventus 1822 1 @ AC Milan 1754 0
23 1975-12-21 21.94% Bologna 1702 1 @ Sampdoria 1631 0
24 1976-02-02 22.11% Fiorentina 1710 2 @ Hellas Verona 1638 1
25 1976-02-22 22.77% Napoli 1768 1 @ Cesena 1691 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-05-09 40.85 @ Lazio Roma 4 1650 27.55% AC Milan 0 1827 36.42% 36.03%
2 1976-05-02 36.25 Napoli 3 1760 19.78% @ Roma 0 1710 43.76% 36.46%
3 1976-02-09 32.54 Roma 5 1703 29.59% @ Cagliari 1 1574 33.85% 36.56%
4 1976-04-04 32.41 Como 2 1591 8.35% @ Fiorentina 0 1712 59.30% 32.35%
5 1976-03-28 30.35 Torino 2 1815 10.92% @ Juventus 0 1880 54.88% 34.20%
6 1976-05-02 27.08 Juventus 4 1839 25.87% @ Bologna 1 1737 37.47% 36.66%
7 1975-12-30 26.88 AC Milan 4 1742 26.25% @ Como 1 1637 37.09% 36.66%
8 1975-12-21 26.14 Juventus 3 1823 36.20% @ Ascoli 0 1648 27.74% 36.06%
9 1976-04-18 24.83 Hellas Verona 2 1618 20.04% @ Cagliari 0 1565 43.49% 36.48%
10 1976-01-12 23.38 Inter Milan 2 1701 23.03% @ Sampdoria 0 1622 40.33% 36.64%
11 1975-11-16 23.22 @ Como 3 1630 40.50% Inter Milan 0 1708 22.86% 36.63%
12 1976-04-18 20.40 @ Ascoli 2 1583 30.15% Inter Milan 0 1739 33.54% 36.31%
13 1976-02-28 17.96 Hellas Verona 1 1612 6.74% @ Napoli 0 1780 62.79% 30.47%
14 1975-11-02 17.51 Napoli 4 1764 24.75% @ Hellas Verona 2 1670 38.58% 36.67%
15 1976-05-16 16.98 Cagliari 3 1534 4.75% @ AC Milan 2 1786 68.42% 26.83%
16 1975-11-16 16.31 Sampdoria 1 1629 10.39% @ Fiorentina 0 1703 55.72% 33.90%
17 1975-11-02 16.28 @ AC Milan 4 1736 55.95% Ascoli 0 1658 10.24% 33.81%
18 1976-04-18 16.00 @ Sampdoria 3 1583 34.80% Perugia 1 1706 28.60% 36.60%
19 1975-10-12 15.93 @ Cesena 2 1651 40.63% Roma 0 1728 22.74% 36.63%
20 1975-12-07 15.61 @ Torino 2 1761 41.33% Juventus 0 1832 22.07% 36.60%
21 1975-12-21 15.58 @ Cesena 3 1678 51.53% Hellas Verona 0 1652 13.26% 35.21%
22 1976-03-28 15.27 @ Hellas Verona 3 1601 36.75% Perugia 1 1708 26.60% 36.65%
23 1976-02-15 15.19 Fiorentina 2 1718 10.89% @ Napoli 1 1783 54.93% 34.18%
24 1975-10-19 15.07 @ Perugia 2 1668 42.49% Lazio Roma 0 1729 20.96% 36.54%
25 1976-02-02 14.99 AC Milan 3 1776 37.93% @ Cagliari 1 1589 26.22% 35.86%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-11-30 80.8 @ Juventus 3 1834 62.85% Cesena 3 1665 6.71% 30.44%
2 1976-05-16 78.9 Cagliari 3 1534 4.75% @ AC Milan 2 1786 68.42% 26.83%
3 1976-04-18 77.8 @ AC Milan 2 1827 65.77% Como 2 1616 5.61% 28.62%
4 1976-01-12 76.2 @ Napoli 2 1775 54.03% Bologna 2 1721 11.48% 34.49%
5 1976-02-09 76.1 Inter Milan 3 1722 17.00% @ Cesena 2 1701 46.89% 36.11%
6 1976-02-15 75.9 @ Roma 2 1736 53.42% Cesena 2 1689 11.90% 34.68%
7 1976-03-28 75.8 @ Roma 2 1735 51.44% Fiorentina 2 1710 13.33% 35.23%
8 1976-01-18 75.7 @ Inter Milan 2 1725 53.02% Perugia 2 1682 12.18% 34.80%
9 1976-04-25 75.7 @ Hellas Verona 2 1643 26.91% AC Milan 2 1824 37.14% 35.95%
10 1975-10-12 75.5 @ Como 2 1649 31.21% Juventus 2 1797 32.40% 36.40%
11 1976-01-25 75.5 @ Perugia 2 1684 38.58% Napoli 2 1778 24.75% 36.67%
12 1975-12-30 75.3 @ Lazio Roma 2 1696 49.32% Cesena 2 1694 14.98% 35.70%
13 1976-05-16 74.9 @ Fiorentina 2 1679 52.87% Hellas Verona 2 1638 12.29% 34.85%
14 1975-12-14 74.7 @ Hellas Verona 2 1653 46.06% Lazio Roma 2 1682 17.72% 36.22%
15 1976-05-16 74.4 @ Como 2 1627 42.17% Lazio Roma 2 1691 21.26% 36.56%
16 1976-04-11 74.3 @ Hellas Verona 2 1619 41.40% Cesena 2 1689 22.00% 36.60%
17 1976-02-15 73.6 Fiorentina 2 1718 10.89% @ Napoli 1 1783 54.93% 34.18%
18 1976-02-15 73.5 @ Juventus 1 1890 71.91% Como 1 1584 3.80% 24.29%
19 1976-04-11 72.6 Perugia 2 1691 12.92% @ Roma 1 1723 51.99% 35.09%
20 1976-03-07 72.5 Bologna 2 1706 13.70% @ Fiorentina 1 1726 50.95% 35.35%
21 1976-05-16 72.0 @ Torino 1 1863 63.55% Cesena 1 1683 6.43% 30.02%
22 1976-01-18 71.8 Fiorentina 2 1685 14.69% @ Lazio Roma 1 1691 49.68% 35.63%
23 1976-04-25 71.5 @ Juventus 1 1843 60.51% Roma 1 1706 7.75% 31.73%
24 1976-05-16 71.5 Inter Milan 2 1734 17.16% @ Bologna 1 1710 46.70% 36.14%
25 1975-12-14 71.4 Torino 2 1776 18.32% @ AC Milan 1 1741 45.38% 36.30%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-04-25 44.2 @ Como 3 1619 56.02% Cagliari 0 1540 10.20% 33.78%
2 1976-05-09 45.8 @ Juventus 2 1866 69.23% Sampdoria 0 1602 4.51% 26.25%
3 1976-03-07 46.0 @ Torino 2 1805 66.87% Sampdoria 0 1576 5.23% 27.89%
4 1976-01-25 46.5 @ Fiorentina 3 1698 57.59% Cagliari 0 1600 9.27% 33.13%
5 1976-05-02 46.5 @ Torino 5 1861 73.52% Cagliari 1 1528 3.41% 23.07%
6 1975-12-21 47.0 @ Lazio Roma 3 1684 55.62% Cagliari 0 1610 10.45% 33.93%
7 1975-12-30 47.4 @ Inter Milan 3 1688 55.05% Ascoli 0 1622 10.81% 34.14%
8 1976-01-25 48.0 @ AC Milan 3 1764 56.72% Lazio Roma 0 1677 9.78% 33.50%
9 1976-05-09 48.2 @ Napoli 4 1796 58.57% Perugia 0 1685 8.73% 32.69%
10 1976-02-28 48.4 @ Juventus 1 1885 73.98% Cagliari 0 1545 3.30% 22.72%
11 1975-11-02 48.5 @ AC Milan 4 1736 55.95% Ascoli 0 1658 10.24% 33.81%
12 1975-11-09 48.5 @ Inter Milan 3 1693 52.84% Hellas Verona 0 1652 12.30% 34.85%
13 1975-12-14 48.7 @ Juventus 2 1816 60.00% Inter Milan 0 1686 8.00% 32.00%
14 1975-12-21 48.7 @ Cesena 3 1678 51.53% Hellas Verona 0 1652 13.26% 35.21%
15 1975-10-12 48.9 @ Torino 3 1726 53.07% Perugia 0 1683 12.14% 34.78%
16 1976-03-21 49.2 @ Perugia 4 1701 61.59% Cagliari 1 1549 7.26% 31.16%
17 1975-10-19 49.3 @ Napoli 2 1755 56.85% Cesena 0 1667 9.70% 33.45%
18 1975-11-09 49.4 @ Juventus 2 1814 57.88% Lazio Roma 0 1712 9.11% 33.01%
19 1976-05-09 49.7 @ Cesena 2 1673 52.38% Como 0 1637 12.63% 34.98%
20 1975-11-09 49.8 @ Perugia 2 1673 52.12% Como 0 1640 12.83% 35.05%
21 1976-03-21 49.8 @ Sampdoria 2 1572 44.63% Hellas Verona 0 1615 18.99% 36.38%
22 1976-05-09 50.1 @ Inter Milan 2 1724 53.70% Roma 0 1673 11.71% 34.59%
23 1975-10-19 50.6 @ Roma 2 1712 51.99% Hellas Verona 0 1681 12.92% 35.09%
24 1976-03-14 50.6 @ Ascoli 2 1579 43.79% Hellas Verona 0 1629 19.75% 36.45%
25 1976-04-11 51.5 @ Bologna 1 1717 59.99% Sampdoria 0 1587 8.01% 32.00%