1975-76 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Torino

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Torino

9.27 points above expected

45 points · 35.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Roma

6.45 points below expected

25 points · 31.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Torino	30	18	9	3	45	49	22	+27	35.7	+9.27
2	Juventus	30	18	7	5	43	46	26	+20	38.2	+4.76
3	AC Milan	30	15	8	7	38	42	28	+14	34.1	+3.91
4	Inter Milan	30	14	9	7	37	36	28	+8	31.3	+5.72
5	Napoli	30	13	10	7	36	40	27	+13	34.4	+1.64
6	Cesena	30	9	14	7	32	39	35	+4	28.8	+3.16
7	Bologna	30	9	14	7	32	32	32	0	30.2	+1.76
8	Perugia	30	10	11	9	31	31	34	-3	29.8	+1.19
9	Fiorentina	30	9	9	12	27	39	39	0	29.9	-2.93
10	Roma	30	6	13	11	25	25	31	-6	31.4	-6.45
11	Hellas Verona	30	8	8	14	24	35	46	-11	26.8	-2.78
12	Sampdoria	30	8	8	14	24	21	32	-11	24.6	-0.59
13	Lazio Roma	30	6	11	13	23	35	40	-5	28.7	-5.74
14	Ascoli	30	4	15	11	23	19	34	-15	25.1	-2.13
15	Como	30	5	11	14	21	28	36	-8	26.1	-5.12
16	Cagliari	30	5	9	16	19	25	52	-27	24.7	-5.67

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1841	43	38.24	+4.76	89.0%	28	32	36	38	40	44	50
Torino	1833	45	35.73	+9.27	99.0%	25	29	33	36	38	41	48
Napoli	1784	36	34.36	+1.64	68.0%	23	28	31	34	37	40	44
AC Milan	1761	38	34.09	+3.91	85.0%	23	27	31	34	37	41	42
Inter Milan	1734	37	31.28	+5.72	97.0%	22	25	28	31	34	37	40
Bologna	1690	32	30.24	+1.76	71.0%	20	24	27	30	33	37	43
Lazio Roma	1684	23	28.74	-5.74	11.0%	18	21	26	29	32	35	39
Perugia	1678	31	29.81	+1.19	71.0%	21	24	28	30	32	35	38
Cesena	1677	32	28.84	+3.16	82.0%	20	22	25	29	32	36	39
Fiorentina	1675	27	29.93	-2.93	27.0%	22	23	27	30	33	36	38
Roma	1666	25	31.45	-6.45	5.0%	22	25	29	32	34	37	38
Hellas Verona	1637	24	26.78	-2.78	31.0%	18	19	24	26	30	32	35
Como	1623	21	26.12	-5.12	13.0%	15	19	23	26	29	32	36
Sampdoria	1606	24	24.59	-0.59	50.0%	15	18	21	24	27	31	38
Ascoli	1601	23	25.13	-2.13	35.0%	16	18	23	25	28	32	38
Cagliari	1559	19	24.67	-5.67	9.0%	13	18	22	25	27	30	35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ASC	BOL	CAG	CES	COM	FIO	HV	IM	JUV	LR	NAP	PER	ROM	SAM	TOR
AC Milan	—	2-0-0 3.56	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.80	1-0-1 3.24	1-1-0 3.44	2-0-0 3.04	1-1-0 3.55	2-0-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.41	0-1-1 2.72	0-2-0 3.04	1-1-0 2.88	2-0-0 3.56	0-0-2 2.55
Ascoli	0-0-2 1.81	—	0-2-0 2.09	0-2-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.44	0-2-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.26	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.02	0-0-2 1.63	1-0-1 2.31	0-2-0 1.76	0-1-1 2.30	0-2-0 2.17	0-1-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.05
Bologna	0-1-1 2.36	0-2-0 3.27	—	1-1-0 3.17	1-1-0 2.79	0-1-1 3.19	1-1-0 2.60	0-1-1 2.94	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.04	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.37	0-2-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.63	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.36
Cagliari	1-0-1 1.65	0-2-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.23	—	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 1.94	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 1.98	0-0-2 1.67	1-0-1 2.19	0-1-1 1.69	0-1-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 1.50
Cesena	1-0-1 2.14	1-1-0 2.93	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 3.06	—	1-1-0 3.02	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.48	1-1-0 1.66	0-2-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.21	1-0-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.30	1-1-0 2.98	0-2-0 2.00
Como	0-1-1 1.98	0-2-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.14	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.31	—	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.15	0-2-0 1.69	0-1-1 2.33	0-0-2 1.86	0-1-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.13	0-1-1 2.76	0-0-2 1.65
Fiorentina	0-0-2 2.35	0-1-1 3.11	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.41	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 3.06	—	1-1-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.57	0-1-1 1.96	2-0-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.36	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 3.29	0-0-2 2.08
Hellas Verona	0-1-1 1.83	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.42	2-0-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.36	—	0-1-1 2.23	0-0-2 1.58	0-2-0 2.47	1-0-1 2.07	1-0-1 2.31	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 2.80	0-1-1 1.63
Inter Milan	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 3.32	1-1-0 2.75	1-1-0 3.35	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 3.24	1-1-0 2.75	1-1-0 3.10	—	1-0-1 2.05	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.28	0-2-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.80	2-0-0 3.18	1-0-1 2.36
Juventus	1-1-0 3.05	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 3.34	2-0-0 3.82	0-1-1 3.76	0-2-0 3.79	1-1-0 3.40	2-0-0 3.81	1-0-1 3.32	—	2-0-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.77	1-1-0 3.38	2-0-0 4.15	0-0-2 3.04
Lazio Roma	1-0-1 1.94	1-0-1 3.04	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.15	0-2-0 2.64	1-1-0 3.01	0-0-2 2.62	0-2-0 2.87	0-1-1 2.64	0-0-2 1.73	—	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 2.75	0-2-0 2.44	1-1-0 3.11	0-1-1 1.81
Napoli	1-1-0 2.64	0-2-0 3.63	0-1-1 2.97	1-1-0 3.70	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.50	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 3.04	0-1-1 2.32	2-0-0 3.13	—	1-1-0 3.20	2-0-0 2.95	0-1-1 3.82	0-1-1 2.66
Perugia	0-2-0 2.33	1-1-0 3.05	0-2-0 2.57	1-1-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.06	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 3.01	0-2-0 2.48	1-0-1 1.65	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.16	—	1-0-1 2.50	0-1-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.16
Roma	0-1-1 2.47	0-2-0 3.17	0-1-1 2.70	1-1-0 3.23	0-1-1 3.04	1-1-0 3.26	0-1-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.09	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 1.99	0-2-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.39	1-0-1 2.83	—	1-0-1 3.37	0-1-1 2.44
Sampdoria	0-0-2 1.81	1-1-0 2.64	0-0-2 2.21	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.34	1-1-0 2.57	1-1-0 2.06	1-0-1 2.52	0-0-2 2.19	0-0-2 1.34	0-1-1 2.23	1-1-0 1.60	1-1-0 2.16	1-0-1 1.98	—	0-1-1 1.91
Torino	2-0-0 2.78	1-1-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.99	0-2-0 3.40	2-0-0 3.75	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.77	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 2.30	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.52	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.75%	10.62%	4.58%	2.29%	0.62%	—	31.87%
1	10.62%	15.00%	8.33%	2.71%	0.83%	0.42%	37.92%
2	4.58%	8.33%	5.42%	0.83%	0.62%	—	19.79%
3	2.29%	2.71%	0.83%	0.42%	0.42%	0.42%	7.08%
4	0.62%	0.83%	0.62%	0.42%	—	—	2.50%
5+	—	0.42%	—	0.42%	—	—	0.83%
Total	31.87%	37.92%	19.79%	7.08%	2.50%	0.83%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.26
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.202
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	23.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	36.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.006
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	10.00%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	3.33%	23.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.67
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.020
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	56.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	43.33%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.419
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	43.33%
1	3.33%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	43.33%
2	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	26.67%	20.00%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.276
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

Cesena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.447
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	46.67%
1	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	40.00%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Como — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.178
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	46.67%	23.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.378
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	26.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	26.67%	40.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.096
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	33.33%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.142
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	43.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.086
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	20.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	—	—	10.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	36.67%	36.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.075
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	20.00%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	50.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	26.67%	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.100
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	40.00%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Perugia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.004
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	40.00%	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.045
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	23.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	53.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	43.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.276
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	50.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.63
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	0.74
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.459
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Torino	45	35.7	+9.27
2	Inter Milan	37	31.3	+5.72
3	Juventus	43	38.2	+4.76
4	AC Milan	38	34.1	+3.91
5	Cesena	32	28.8	+3.16

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Roma	25	31.4	-6.45
2	Lazio Roma	23	28.7	-5.74
3	Cagliari	19	24.7	-5.67
4	Como	21	26.1	-5.12
5	Fiorentina	27	29.9	-2.93

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	8	Dec 14 – Feb 9	1 in 294
2	Torino	5	Dec 7 – Jan 12	1 in 136
3	Fiorentina	3	Jan 18 – Feb 2	1 in 49
4	Cagliari	2	May 9 – May 16	1 in 47
5	AC Milan	4	Feb 15 – Mar 7	1 in 21

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Como	5	Dec 14 – Jan 18	1 in 117
2	Juventus	3	Mar 21 – Apr 4	1 in 80
3	Cagliari	4	Oct 19 – Nov 16	1 in 48
4	Fiorentina	3	Apr 4 – Apr 18	1 in 24
5	Ascoli	3	Dec 21 – Jan 12	1 in 23

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cesena	12	Nov 2 – Feb 2	1 in 169
2	Torino	15	Oct 12 – Feb 9	1 in 121
3	Inter Milan	13	Dec 21 – Mar 21	1 in 96
4	Bologna	10	Oct 19 – Jan 12	1 in 71
5	Fiorentina	7	Jan 12 – Feb 22	1 in 31

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roma	11	Mar 7 – May 16	1 in 237
2	Como	15	Nov 30 – Mar 14	1 in 131
3	Ascoli	13	Dec 7 – Mar 7	1 in 57
4	Cagliari	11	Oct 5 – Dec 30	1 in 46
5	Fiorentina	9	Feb 22 – Apr 18	1 in 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Torino	17.00%	33.00%	13.00%	14.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Juventus	49.00%	20.00%	15.00%	6.00%	2.00%	7.00%	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
AC Milan	14.00%	13.00%	18.00%	12.00%	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Inter Milan	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	16.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Napoli	12.00%	13.00%	16.00%	18.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—
Cesena	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	15.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Bologna	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	4.00%	13.00%	6.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Perugia	—	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	16.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Fiorentina	2.00%	—	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	9.00%	2.00%	—
Roma	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	17.00%	13.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%
Hellas Verona	—	—	2.00%	—	4.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	13.00%	8.00%	14.00%	12.00%
Sampdoria	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	16.00%	25.00%
Lazio Roma	—	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	13.00%	8.00%	8.00%	15.00%	11.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Ascoli	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	13.00%	21.00%	19.00%
Como	—	—	2.00%	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	5.00%	13.00%	13.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%
Cagliari	—	—	—	2.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	11.00%	7.00%	19.00%	13.00%	20.00%	18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Juventus	100%	—
AC Milan	99.0%	1.0%
Napoli	99.0%	1.0%
Torino	99.0%	1.0%
Inter Milan	96.0%	4.0%
Roma	96.0%	4.0%
Perugia	94.0%	6.0%
Bologna	92.0%	8.0%
Fiorentina	89.0%	11.0%
Lazio Roma	83.0%	17.0%
Cesena	82.0%	18.0%
Hellas Verona	66.0%	34.0%
Como	64.0%	36.0%
Cagliari	49.0%	51.0%
Ascoli	47.0%	53.0%
Sampdoria	45.0%	55.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1975-10-05	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1643	1699	44.1%	34.7%	21.2%	+6.4	3
1975-10-05	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1699	1643	21.2%	34.7%	44.1%	-6.4	0
1975-10-05	Torino	W 1-0	1686	1724	46.1%	34.4%	19.5%	+6.0	3
1975-10-05	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1724	1686	19.5%	34.4%	46.1%	-6.0	0
1975-10-05	Cesena	D 0-0	1687	1642	55.1%	31.7%	13.2%	-2.5	1
1975-10-05	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1642	1687	13.2%	31.7%	55.1%	+2.4	1
1975-10-05	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1783	1671	61.7%	28.2%	10.0%	+3.0	3
1975-10-05	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1671	1783	10.0%	28.2%	61.7%	-3.0	0
1975-10-05	Como	W 1-0	1742	1649	59.9%	29.3%	10.8%	+3.5	3
1975-10-05	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1649	1742	10.8%	29.3%	59.9%	-3.5	0
1975-10-05	AC Milan	D 0-0	1679	1721	45.8%	34.5%	19.8%	-1.4	1
1975-10-05	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1721	1679	19.8%	34.5%	45.8%	+1.4	1
1975-10-05	Cagliari	D 1-1	1723	1659	57.0%	30.9%	12.2%	-2.4	1
1975-10-05	@ Roma	D 1-1	1659	1723	12.2%	30.9%	57.0%	+2.4	1
1975-10-05	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1631	1711	41.1%	35.0%	23.9%	-10.1	0
1975-10-05	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1711	1631	23.9%	35.0%	41.1%	+10.1	3
1975-10-12	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1722	1621	60.7%	28.9%	10.4%	+3.3	4
1975-10-12	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1621	1722	10.4%	28.9%	60.7%	-3.3	0
1975-10-12	Ascoli	D 0-0	1662	1650	51.7%	33.1%	15.3%	-2.1	2
1975-10-12	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1650	1662	15.3%	33.1%	51.7%	+2.1	4
1975-10-12	Roma	W 2-0	1645	1721	41.6%	34.9%	23.4%	+12.9	4
1975-10-12	@ Cesena	L 0-2	1721	1645	23.4%	34.9%	41.6%	-12.9	1
1975-10-12	Juventus	D 2-2	1645	1786	33.2%	34.7%	32.1%	-0.0	1
1975-10-12	@ Como	D 2-2	1786	1645	32.1%	34.7%	33.2%	+0.0	4
1975-10-12	Napoli	D 1-1	1693	1745	44.5%	34.7%	20.8%	-1.1	1
1975-10-12	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1745	1693	20.8%	34.7%	44.5%	+1.1	4
1975-10-12	Bologna	W 1-0	1668	1692	47.7%	34.1%	18.1%	+5.7	3
1975-10-12	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1692	1668	18.1%	34.1%	47.7%	-5.7	3
1975-10-12	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1721	1685	54.2%	32.1%	13.7%	-2.1	4
1975-10-12	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1685	1721	13.7%	32.1%	54.2%	+2.1	2
1975-10-12	Perugia	W 3-0	1718	1678	54.6%	31.9%	13.4%	+11.9	3
1975-10-12	@ Torino	L 0-3	1678	1718	13.4%	31.9%	54.6%	-11.9	1
1975-10-19	Torino	D 1-1	1652	1730	41.3%	35.0%	23.7%	-0.8	5
1975-10-19	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1730	1652	23.7%	35.0%	41.3%	+0.8	4
1975-10-19	AC Milan	D 1-1	1686	1726	46.0%	34.5%	19.5%	-1.3	4
1975-10-19	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1726	1686	19.5%	34.5%	46.0%	+1.3	5
1975-10-19	Cagliari	W 1-0	1687	1660	53.2%	32.5%	14.3%	+4.6	5
1975-10-19	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1660	1687	14.3%	32.5%	53.2%	-4.6	2
1975-10-19	Fiorentina	W 4-2	1786	1691	60.0%	29.2%	10.7%	+5.0	7
1975-10-19	@ Juventus	L 2-4	1691	1786	10.7%	29.2%	60.0%	-5.0	1
1975-10-19	Cesena	W 2-0	1746	1657	59.5%	29.6%	11.0%	+6.6	7
1975-10-19	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1657	1746	11.0%	29.6%	59.5%	-6.6	4
1975-10-19	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1666	1719	44.5%	34.7%	20.8%	+11.9	4
1975-10-19	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1719	1666	20.8%	34.7%	44.5%	-11.9	4
1975-10-19	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1708	1674	54.0%	32.2%	13.8%	+8.4	4
1975-10-19	@ Roma	L 0-2	1674	1708	13.8%	32.2%	54.0%	-8.4	3
1975-10-19	Como	W 1-0	1617	1645	47.3%	34.2%	18.5%	+5.7	3
1975-10-19	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1645	1617	18.5%	34.2%	47.3%	-5.7	1
1975-11-02	Ascoli	W 4-0	1727	1651	58.2%	30.2%	11.6%	+13.3	8
1975-11-02	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1651	1727	11.6%	30.2%	58.2%	-13.3	5
1975-11-02	Juventus	L 0-1	1655	1791	33.9%	34.8%	31.4%	-8.7	2
1975-11-02	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1791	1655	31.4%	34.8%	33.9%	+8.7	10
1975-11-02	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1651	1623	53.3%	32.5%	14.2%	-2.0	5
1975-11-02	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1623	1651	14.2%	32.5%	53.3%	+2.0	4
1975-11-02	Roma	D 0-0	1639	1716	41.5%	35.0%	23.5%	-1.0	2
1975-11-02	@ Como	D 0-0	1716	1639	23.5%	35.0%	41.5%	+1.0	5
1975-11-02	Perugia	W 3-1	1686	1678	51.3%	33.2%	15.5%	+8.1	4
1975-11-02	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1678	1686	15.5%	33.2%	51.3%	-8.1	4
1975-11-02	Napoli	L 2-4	1665	1753	40.2%	35.0%	24.8%	-14.4	3
1975-11-02	@ Hellas Verona	W 4-2	1753	1665	24.8%	35.0%	40.2%	+14.4	10
1975-11-02	Bologna	D 1-1	1707	1685	52.7%	32.7%	14.6%	-2.0	5
1975-11-02	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1685	1707	14.6%	32.7%	52.7%	+2.0	5
1975-11-02	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1731	1691	54.6%	31.9%	13.5%	+4.1	7
1975-11-02	@ Torino	L 1-2	1691	1731	13.5%	31.9%	54.6%	-4.1	5
1975-11-09	Cesena	D 0-0	1638	1649	49.2%	33.8%	17.0%	-1.8	6
1975-11-09	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1649	1638	17.0%	33.8%	49.2%	+1.8	6
1975-11-09	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1687	1695	49.5%	33.7%	16.8%	-1.7	6
1975-11-09	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1695	1687	16.8%	33.7%	49.5%	+1.6	5
1975-11-09	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1687	1651	54.2%	32.1%	13.7%	+12.1	8
1975-11-09	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1651	1687	13.7%	32.1%	54.2%	-12.1	3
1975-11-09	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1800	1705	60.1%	29.2%	10.7%	+6.4	13
1975-11-09	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1705	1800	10.7%	29.2%	60.1%	-6.4	5
1975-11-09	Cagliari	W 3-1	1767	1646	62.6%	27.7%	9.7%	+4.9	13
1975-11-09	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1646	1767	9.7%	27.7%	62.6%	-4.9	2
1975-11-09	Como	W 2-0	1670	1638	53.7%	32.3%	14.0%	+8.5	7
1975-11-09	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1638	1670	14.0%	32.3%	53.7%	-8.5	2
1975-11-09	AC Milan	D 0-0	1717	1740	47.9%	34.1%	18.0%	-1.7	6
1975-11-09	@ Roma	D 0-0	1740	1717	18.0%	34.1%	47.9%	+1.6	9
1975-11-09	Torino	D 0-0	1625	1735	37.3%	35.0%	27.7%	-0.5	5
1975-11-09	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1735	1625	27.7%	35.0%	37.3%	+0.5	8
1975-11-16	Juventus	L 0-1	1742	1806	43.0%	34.8%	22.1%	-10.4	9
1975-11-16	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1806	1742	22.1%	34.8%	43.0%	+10.4	16
1975-11-16	Bologna	L 1-2	1641	1685	45.5%	34.5%	20.0%	-10.3	2
1975-11-16	@ Cagliari	W 2-1	1685	1641	20.0%	34.5%	45.5%	+10.3	9
1975-11-16	Perugia	W 2-1	1651	1678	47.3%	34.2%	18.5%	+5.4	9
1975-11-16	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1678	1651	18.5%	34.2%	47.3%	-5.4	7
1975-11-16	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1630	1699	42.4%	34.9%	22.7%	+18.3	5
1975-11-16	@ Como	L 0-3	1699	1630	22.7%	34.9%	42.4%	-18.3	8
1975-11-16	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1696	1625	57.8%	30.5%	11.8%	-13.2	5
1975-11-16	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1625	1696	11.8%	30.5%	57.8%	+13.2	8
1975-11-16	Ascoli	W 1-0	1639	1636	50.7%	33.4%	16.0%	+5.1	6
1975-11-16	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1636	1639	16.0%	33.4%	50.7%	-5.1	6
1975-11-16	Roma	D 1-1	1698	1716	48.5%	34.0%	17.5%	-1.5	6
1975-11-16	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1716	1698	17.5%	34.0%	48.5%	+1.5	7
1975-11-16	Napoli	W 3-1	1736	1772	46.3%	34.4%	19.3%	+9.7	11
1975-11-16	@ Torino	L 1-3	1772	1736	19.3%	34.4%	46.3%	-9.7	13
1975-11-30	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1631	1697	42.9%	34.9%	22.3%	+6.2	9
1975-11-30	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1697	1631	22.3%	34.9%	42.9%	-6.2	6
1975-11-30	Como	D 1-1	1696	1648	55.3%	31.6%	13.1%	-2.2	10
1975-11-30	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1648	1696	13.1%	31.6%	55.3%	+2.2	6
1975-11-30	Perugia	D 0-0	1631	1673	45.7%	34.5%	19.8%	-1.4	3
1975-11-30	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1673	1631	19.8%	34.5%	45.7%	+1.4	8
1975-11-30	Sampdoria	W 4-1	1644	1638	51.0%	33.3%	15.7%	+11.6	9
1975-11-30	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-4	1638	1644	15.7%	33.3%	51.0%	-11.6	8
1975-11-30	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1681	1683	50.2%	33.5%	16.3%	+5.2	11
1975-11-30	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1683	1681	16.3%	33.5%	50.2%	-5.2	5
1975-11-30	Cesena	D 3-3	1817	1656	66.4%	25.3%	8.4%	-1.9	17
1975-11-30	@ Juventus	D 3-3	1656	1817	8.4%	25.3%	66.4%	+1.9	10
1975-11-30	AC Milan	W 1-0	1763	1731	53.7%	32.3%	14.0%	+4.5	16
1975-11-30	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1731	1763	14.0%	32.3%	53.7%	-4.5	9
1975-11-30	Torino	D 1-1	1717	1746	47.2%	34.2%	18.5%	-1.4	8
1975-11-30	@ Roma	D 1-1	1746	1717	18.5%	34.2%	47.2%	+1.4	12
1975-12-07	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1727	1686	54.6%	31.9%	13.4%	+4.1	12
1975-12-07	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1686	1727	13.4%	31.9%	54.6%	-4.1	11
1975-12-07	Bologna	D 0-0	1658	1693	46.5%	34.4%	19.2%	-1.5	11
1975-12-07	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1693	1658	19.2%	34.4%	46.5%	+1.5	11
1975-12-07	Ascoli	D 0-0	1650	1637	51.8%	33.0%	15.2%	-2.1	7
1975-12-07	@ Como	D 0-0	1637	1650	15.2%	33.0%	51.8%	+2.1	10
1975-12-07	Roma	W 2-0	1678	1716	46.2%	34.4%	19.4%	+11.2	8
1975-12-07	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1716	1678	19.4%	34.4%	46.2%	-11.2	8
1975-12-07	Napoli	L 0-1	1691	1767	41.5%	35.0%	23.5%	-10.1	6
1975-12-07	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1767	1691	23.5%	35.0%	41.5%	+10.2	19
1975-12-07	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1674	1655	52.4%	32.8%	14.8%	+4.8	11
1975-12-07	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1655	1674	14.8%	32.8%	52.4%	-4.8	9
1975-12-07	Cagliari	W 2-1	1626	1630	50.0%	33.6%	16.4%	+4.9	11
1975-12-07	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1630	1626	16.4%	33.6%	50.0%	-4.9	3
1975-12-07	Juventus	W 2-0	1747	1815	42.6%	34.9%	22.5%	+12.5	15
1975-12-07	@ Torino	L 0-2	1815	1747	22.5%	34.9%	42.6%	-12.5	17
1975-12-14	Torino	L 1-2	1731	1759	47.2%	34.2%	18.5%	-10.6	12
1975-12-14	@ AC Milan	W 2-1	1759	1731	18.5%	34.2%	47.2%	+10.6	18
1975-12-14	Perugia	D 1-1	1695	1679	52.1%	32.9%	15.0%	-1.9	12
1975-12-14	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1679	1695	15.0%	32.9%	52.1%	+1.9	12
1975-12-14	Cesena	L 1-2	1625	1656	46.9%	34.3%	18.8%	-10.5	3
1975-12-14	@ Cagliari	W 2-1	1656	1625	18.8%	34.3%	46.9%	+10.5	14
1975-12-14	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1648	1689	45.8%	34.5%	19.7%	-11.0	7
1975-12-14	@ Como	W 1-0	1689	1648	19.7%	34.5%	45.8%	+11.0	11
1975-12-14	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1650	1680	47.1%	34.3%	18.7%	-1.0	10
1975-12-14	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1680	1650	18.7%	34.3%	47.1%	+1.0	7
1975-12-14	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1802	1682	62.5%	27.8%	9.7%	+5.7	20
1975-12-14	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1682	1802	9.7%	27.8%	62.5%	-5.7	11
1975-12-14	Ascoli	D 0-0	1777	1639	64.2%	26.7%	9.1%	-3.3	20
1975-12-14	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1639	1777	9.1%	26.7%	64.2%	+3.3	11
1975-12-14	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1704	1631	57.9%	30.4%	11.7%	+3.8	11
1975-12-14	@ Roma	L 0-1	1631	1704	11.7%	30.4%	57.9%	-3.8	11
1975-12-21	Juventus	L 0-3	1642	1808	30.0%	34.2%	35.8%	-21.9	11
1975-12-21	@ Ascoli	W 3-0	1808	1642	35.8%	34.2%	30.0%	+21.9	23
1975-12-21	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1667	1649	52.2%	32.9%	14.9%	+13.1	17
1975-12-21	@ Cesena	L 0-3	1649	1667	14.9%	32.9%	52.2%	-13.1	10
1975-12-21	AC Milan	L 0-1	1700	1720	48.1%	34.0%	17.8%	-11.4	11
1975-12-21	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1720	1700	17.8%	34.0%	48.1%	+11.4	15
1975-12-21	Napoli	W 2-1	1676	1774	38.9%	35.0%	26.1%	+6.9	14
1975-12-21	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1774	1676	26.1%	35.0%	38.9%	-6.9	20
1975-12-21	Cagliari	W 3-0	1681	1614	57.3%	30.7%	12.0%	+10.6	10
1975-12-21	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1614	1681	12.0%	30.7%	57.3%	-10.6	3
1975-12-21	Roma	L 0-1	1681	1708	47.4%	34.2%	18.4%	-11.3	12
1975-12-21	@ Perugia	W 1-0	1708	1681	18.4%	34.2%	47.4%	+11.3	14
1975-12-21	Bologna	L 0-1	1627	1693	42.9%	34.9%	22.2%	-10.4	11
1975-12-21	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1693	1627	22.2%	34.9%	42.9%	+10.4	15
1975-12-21	Como	W 1-0	1770	1637	63.7%	27.0%	9.3%	+2.9	21
1975-12-21	@ Torino	L 0-1	1637	1770	9.3%	27.0%	63.7%	-2.9	7
1975-12-30	Roma	W 2-1	1703	1719	48.6%	33.9%	17.5%	+5.2	18
1975-12-30	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1719	1703	17.5%	33.9%	48.6%	-5.2	14
1975-12-30	AC Milan	L 1-4	1635	1732	39.0%	35.0%	26.0%	-22.3	7
1975-12-30	@ Como	W 4-1	1732	1635	26.0%	35.0%	39.0%	+22.3	18
1975-12-30	Torino	L 0-1	1689	1773	40.6%	35.0%	24.4%	-10.0	11
1975-12-30	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1773	1689	24.4%	35.0%	40.6%	+10.0	24
1975-12-30	Cagliari	W 2-1	1636	1604	53.8%	32.3%	13.9%	+4.2	13
1975-12-30	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1604	1636	13.9%	32.3%	53.8%	-4.2	3
1975-12-30	Ascoli	W 3-0	1683	1621	56.9%	30.9%	12.2%	+10.8	17
1975-12-30	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1621	1683	12.2%	30.9%	56.9%	-10.8	11
1975-12-30	Napoli	W 2-1	1830	1767	56.9%	30.9%	12.2%	+3.7	26
1975-12-30	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1767	1830	12.2%	30.9%	56.9%	-3.7	20
1975-12-30	Cesena	D 2-2	1692	1680	51.6%	33.1%	15.3%	-1.4	11
1975-12-30	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1680	1692	15.3%	33.1%	51.6%	+1.4	18
1975-12-30	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1670	1617	55.9%	31.4%	12.8%	-2.5	13
1975-12-30	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1617	1670	12.8%	31.4%	55.9%	+2.5	12
1976-01-12	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1754	1641	61.9%	28.2%	10.0%	+3.1	21
1976-01-12	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1641	1754	10.0%	28.2%	61.9%	-3.1	13
1976-01-12	Perugia	L 1-2	1610	1667	43.9%	34.8%	21.4%	-10.0	11
1976-01-12	@ Ascoli	W 2-1	1667	1610	21.4%	34.8%	43.9%	+10.0	16
1976-01-12	Como	W 1-0	1599	1612	49.0%	33.8%	17.2%	+5.4	6
1976-01-12	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1612	1599	17.2%	33.8%	49.0%	-5.4	7
1976-01-12	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1682	1679	50.7%	33.4%	16.0%	-1.8	19
1976-01-12	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1679	1682	16.0%	33.4%	50.7%	+1.8	12
1976-01-12	Bologna	D 2-2	1763	1709	56.1%	31.3%	12.6%	-1.7	21
1976-01-12	@ Napoli	D 2-2	1709	1763	12.6%	31.3%	56.1%	+1.7	19
1976-01-12	Juventus	L 0-1	1714	1834	36.1%	34.9%	29.0%	-9.1	14
1976-01-12	@ Roma	W 1-0	1834	1714	29.0%	34.9%	36.1%	+9.1	29
1976-01-12	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1619	1694	41.8%	34.9%	23.3%	-19.2	12
1976-01-12	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1694	1619	23.3%	34.9%	41.8%	+19.2	20
1976-01-12	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1783	1691	59.8%	29.4%	10.8%	+3.3	27
1976-01-12	@ Torino	L 1-2	1691	1783	10.8%	29.4%	59.8%	-3.3	11
1976-01-18	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1600	1600	50.3%	33.5%	16.2%	-1.7	12
1976-01-18	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1600	1600	16.2%	33.5%	50.3%	+1.7	13
1976-01-18	Torino	D 0-0	1605	1786	28.0%	33.8%	38.2%	+0.5	7
1976-01-18	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1786	1605	38.2%	33.8%	28.0%	-0.5	28
1976-01-18	AC Milan	W 2-1	1680	1757	41.4%	35.0%	23.6%	+6.5	22
1976-01-18	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1757	1680	23.6%	35.0%	41.4%	-6.5	21
1976-01-18	Como	W 3-2	1637	1607	53.6%	32.3%	14.1%	+4.1	16
1976-01-18	@ Hellas Verona	L 2-3	1607	1637	14.1%	32.3%	53.6%	-4.1	7
1976-01-18	Perugia	D 2-2	1713	1677	54.2%	32.1%	13.7%	-1.6	21
1976-01-18	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1677	1713	13.7%	32.1%	54.2%	+1.6	17
1976-01-18	Bologna	W 1-0	1843	1710	63.7%	27.0%	9.3%	+2.9	32
1976-01-18	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1710	1843	9.3%	27.0%	63.7%	-2.9	19
1976-01-18	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1687	1680	51.1%	33.2%	15.7%	-11.3	11
1976-01-18	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1680	1687	15.7%	33.2%	51.1%	+11.3	15
1976-01-18	Roma	W 2-1	1762	1705	56.2%	31.2%	12.6%	+3.8	24
1976-01-18	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1705	1762	12.6%	31.2%	56.2%	-3.8	14
1976-01-25	Lazio Roma	W 3-0	1751	1676	58.1%	30.3%	11.6%	+10.3	24
1976-01-25	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1676	1751	11.6%	30.3%	58.1%	-10.3	11
1976-01-25	Ascoli	D 1-1	1707	1598	61.5%	28.4%	10.1%	-2.7	20
1976-01-25	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1598	1707	10.1%	28.4%	61.5%	+2.7	13
1976-01-25	Cesena	D 0-0	1603	1686	40.7%	35.0%	24.3%	-0.8	8
1976-01-25	@ Como	D 0-0	1686	1603	24.3%	35.0%	40.7%	+0.9	23
1976-01-25	Cagliari	W 3-0	1692	1605	59.2%	29.7%	11.1%	+9.7	18
1976-01-25	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1605	1692	11.1%	29.7%	59.2%	-9.7	7
1976-01-25	Napoli	D 2-2	1679	1765	40.3%	35.0%	24.7%	-0.5	18
1976-01-25	@ Perugia	D 2-2	1765	1679	24.7%	35.0%	40.3%	+0.5	25
1976-01-25	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1701	1712	49.2%	33.8%	17.0%	-1.6	15
1976-01-25	@ Roma	D 1-1	1712	1701	17.0%	33.8%	49.2%	+1.6	22
1976-01-25	Juventus	L 0-2	1602	1846	21.6%	31.5%	46.9%	-11.6	13
1976-01-25	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1846	1602	46.9%	31.5%	21.6%	+11.6	35
1976-01-25	Hellas Verona	W 4-2	1786	1641	64.8%	26.3%	8.9%	+4.0	31
1976-01-25	@ Torino	L 2-4	1641	1786	8.9%	26.3%	64.8%	-4.0	16
1976-02-02	Roma	D 0-0	1601	1700	38.7%	35.0%	26.2%	-0.7	14
1976-02-02	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1700	1601	26.2%	35.0%	38.7%	+0.6	16
1976-02-02	AC Milan	L 1-3	1596	1761	30.0%	34.2%	35.8%	-13.1	7
1976-02-02	@ Cagliari	W 3-1	1761	1596	35.8%	34.2%	30.0%	+13.1	27
1976-02-02	Torino	D 1-1	1687	1790	38.3%	35.0%	26.7%	-0.5	24
1976-02-02	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1790	1687	26.7%	35.0%	38.3%	+0.5	32
1976-02-02	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1638	1701	43.1%	34.8%	22.1%	-9.8	16
1976-02-02	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1701	1638	22.1%	34.8%	43.1%	+9.8	21
1976-02-02	Bologna	D 1-1	1713	1705	51.3%	33.2%	15.5%	-1.8	23
1976-02-02	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1705	1713	15.5%	33.2%	51.3%	+1.8	21
1976-02-02	Perugia	W 1-0	1857	1678	68.1%	24.1%	7.8%	+2.3	38
1976-02-02	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1678	1857	7.8%	24.1%	68.1%	-2.3	18
1976-02-02	Como	W 3-2	1666	1602	57.0%	30.9%	12.2%	+3.5	14
1976-02-02	@ Lazio Roma	L 2-3	1602	1666	12.2%	30.9%	57.0%	-3.5	8
1976-02-02	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1766	1590	67.8%	24.3%	7.9%	-3.6	26
1976-02-02	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1590	1766	7.9%	24.3%	67.8%	+3.6	14
1976-02-09	Perugia	D 0-0	1774	1676	60.4%	29.0%	10.6%	-3.0	28
1976-02-09	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1676	1774	10.6%	29.0%	60.4%	+3.0	19
1976-02-09	Roma	L 1-5	1583	1700	36.3%	34.9%	28.8%	-27.3	7
1976-02-09	@ Cagliari	W 5-1	1700	1583	28.8%	34.9%	36.3%	+27.3	19
1976-02-09	Inter Milan	L 2-3	1687	1712	47.6%	34.2%	18.2%	-10.1	24
1976-02-09	@ Cesena	W 3-2	1712	1687	18.2%	34.2%	47.6%	+10.1	26
1976-02-09	Napoli	L 0-1	1598	1762	30.2%	34.2%	35.6%	-8.0	8
1976-02-09	@ Como	W 1-0	1762	1598	35.6%	34.2%	30.2%	+8.0	29
1976-02-09	Ascoli	D 0-0	1711	1600	61.6%	28.3%	10.1%	-3.1	22
1976-02-09	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1600	1711	10.1%	28.3%	61.6%	+3.1	15
1976-02-09	Juventus	L 1-2	1628	1859	22.7%	32.0%	45.3%	-6.0	16
1976-02-09	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1859	1628	45.3%	32.0%	22.7%	+6.0	41
1976-02-09	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1669	1594	58.1%	30.3%	11.6%	-2.5	15
1976-02-09	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1594	1669	11.6%	30.3%	58.1%	+2.5	15
1976-02-09	Bologna	W 3-1	1790	1706	59.0%	29.8%	11.2%	+5.9	35
1976-02-09	@ Torino	L 1-3	1706	1790	11.2%	29.8%	59.0%	-5.9	21
1976-02-15	Cagliari	D 1-1	1603	1555	55.4%	31.6%	13.0%	-2.2	16
1976-02-15	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1555	1603	13.0%	31.6%	55.4%	+2.2	8
1976-02-15	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1701	1622	58.5%	30.1%	11.4%	-2.8	22
1976-02-15	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1622	1701	11.4%	30.1%	58.5%	+2.8	17
1976-02-15	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1722	1667	56.1%	31.3%	12.6%	+4.1	29
1976-02-15	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1667	1722	12.6%	31.3%	56.1%	-4.1	15
1976-02-15	Como	D 1-1	1865	1590	76.8%	17.7%	5.5%	-3.7	42
1976-02-15	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1590	1865	5.5%	17.7%	76.8%	+3.7	9
1976-02-15	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1770	1708	56.8%	30.9%	12.2%	-12.3	29
1976-02-15	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1708	1770	12.2%	30.9%	56.8%	+12.3	25
1976-02-15	Torino	W 2-1	1679	1796	36.4%	34.9%	28.7%	+7.4	22
1976-02-15	@ Perugia	L 1-2	1796	1679	28.7%	34.9%	36.4%	-7.4	35
1976-02-15	Cesena	D 2-2	1728	1676	55.7%	31.4%	12.8%	-1.7	20
1976-02-15	@ Roma	D 2-2	1676	1728	12.8%	31.4%	55.7%	+1.7	25
1976-02-15	AC Milan	L 0-1	1596	1771	28.8%	34.0%	37.2%	-7.8	15
1976-02-15	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1771	1596	37.2%	34.0%	28.8%	+7.8	31
1976-02-22	Bologna	W 3-1	1779	1698	58.7%	30.0%	11.3%	+5.9	34
1976-02-22	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1698	1779	11.3%	30.0%	58.7%	-5.9	22
1976-02-22	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1557	1726	29.6%	34.1%	36.2%	+0.3	9
1976-02-22	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1726	1557	36.2%	34.1%	29.6%	-0.3	30
1976-02-22	Napoli	L 0-1	1678	1758	41.1%	35.0%	23.9%	-10.1	25
1976-02-22	@ Cesena	W 1-0	1758	1678	23.9%	35.0%	41.1%	+10.1	32
1976-02-22	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1594	1589	51.0%	33.3%	15.8%	-2.0	10
1976-02-22	@ Como	D 0-0	1589	1594	15.8%	33.3%	51.0%	+2.0	16
1976-02-22	Juventus	D 1-1	1721	1862	33.2%	34.7%	32.2%	-0.0	26
1976-02-22	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1862	1721	32.2%	34.7%	33.2%	+0.0	43
1976-02-22	Roma	L 0-1	1624	1726	38.4%	35.0%	26.6%	-9.6	17
1976-02-22	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1726	1624	26.6%	35.0%	38.4%	+9.5	23
1976-02-22	Perugia	W 1-0	1663	1686	47.8%	34.1%	18.1%	+5.7	18
1976-02-22	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1686	1663	18.1%	34.1%	47.8%	-5.6	22
1976-02-22	Ascoli	W 3-1	1789	1601	68.9%	23.5%	7.6%	+3.6	38
1976-02-22	@ Torino	L 1-3	1601	1789	7.6%	23.5%	68.9%	-3.6	16
1976-02-28	AC Milan	L 0-1	1597	1785	27.3%	33.6%	39.1%	-7.5	16
1976-02-28	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1785	1597	39.1%	33.6%	27.3%	+7.5	37
1976-02-28	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1692	1668	52.9%	32.6%	14.5%	+4.7	25
1976-02-28	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1668	1692	14.5%	32.6%	52.9%	-4.7	18
1976-02-28	Torino	W 1-0	1725	1792	42.8%	34.9%	22.4%	+6.6	33
1976-02-28	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1792	1725	22.4%	34.9%	42.8%	-6.6	38
1976-02-28	Cagliari	W 1-0	1862	1558	79.2%	15.9%	5.0%	+1.2	46
1976-02-28	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1558	1862	5.0%	15.9%	79.2%	-1.2	9
1976-02-28	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1768	1615	65.7%	25.7%	8.6%	-14.4	32
1976-02-28	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1615	1768	8.6%	25.7%	65.7%	+14.4	20
1976-02-28	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1681	1720	45.9%	34.5%	19.6%	+5.7	25
1976-02-28	@ Perugia	L 1-2	1720	1681	19.6%	34.5%	45.9%	-5.7	26
1976-02-28	Como	W 2-1	1736	1592	64.7%	26.4%	8.9%	+2.6	26
1976-02-28	@ Roma	L 1-2	1592	1736	8.9%	26.4%	64.7%	-2.6	10
1976-02-28	Cesena	L 0-1	1591	1668	41.4%	35.0%	23.6%	-10.1	16
1976-02-28	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1668	1591	23.6%	35.0%	41.4%	+10.1	28
1976-03-07	Roma	W 1-0	1792	1738	56.0%	31.3%	12.7%	+4.1	40
1976-03-07	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1738	1792	12.7%	31.3%	56.0%	-4.1	26
1976-03-07	Napoli	D 1-1	1557	1754	26.2%	33.3%	40.5%	+0.7	10
1976-03-07	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1754	1557	40.5%	33.3%	26.2%	-0.7	33
1976-03-07	Ascoli	W 3-1	1678	1590	59.4%	29.6%	11.0%	+5.8	31
1976-03-07	@ Cesena	L 1-3	1590	1678	11.0%	29.6%	59.4%	-5.8	16
1976-03-07	Perugia	D 0-0	1589	1686	39.0%	35.0%	26.0%	-0.7	11
1976-03-07	@ Como	D 0-0	1686	1589	26.0%	35.0%	39.0%	+0.7	26
1976-03-07	Bologna	L 1-2	1715	1697	52.3%	32.8%	14.8%	-11.5	26
1976-03-07	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1697	1715	14.8%	32.8%	52.3%	+11.5	28
1976-03-07	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1629	1732	38.2%	35.0%	26.7%	-0.5	21
1976-03-07	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1732	1629	26.7%	35.0%	38.2%	+0.5	34
1976-03-07	Juventus	L 1-2	1664	1863	26.0%	33.2%	40.8%	-6.8	18
1976-03-07	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1863	1664	40.8%	33.2%	26.0%	+6.8	49
1976-03-07	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1786	1581	70.5%	22.4%	7.1%	+3.8	41
1976-03-07	@ Torino	L 0-2	1581	1786	7.1%	22.4%	70.5%	-3.8	16
1976-03-14	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1584	1629	45.4%	34.6%	20.1%	+11.5	19
1976-03-14	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1629	1584	20.1%	34.6%	45.4%	-11.5	21
1976-03-14	Cagliari	D 0-0	1708	1557	65.4%	25.9%	8.7%	-3.4	29
1976-03-14	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1557	1708	8.7%	25.9%	65.4%	+3.4	11
1976-03-14	Como	W 2-1	1733	1589	64.8%	26.3%	8.9%	+2.6	37
1976-03-14	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1589	1733	8.9%	26.3%	64.8%	-2.6	11
1976-03-14	AC Milan	D 1-1	1870	1796	57.9%	30.4%	11.7%	-2.5	50
1976-03-14	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1796	1870	11.7%	30.4%	57.9%	+2.4	41
1976-03-14	Torino	D 0-0	1753	1789	46.4%	34.4%	19.2%	-1.5	34
1976-03-14	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1789	1753	19.2%	34.4%	46.4%	+1.5	42
1976-03-14	Cesena	W 1-0	1687	1684	50.7%	33.4%	15.9%	+5.1	29
1976-03-14	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1684	1687	15.9%	33.4%	50.7%	-5.1	31
1976-03-14	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1734	1657	58.3%	30.2%	11.5%	-2.8	27
1976-03-14	@ Roma	D 0-0	1657	1734	11.5%	30.2%	58.3%	+2.8	19
1976-03-14	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1577	1703	35.1%	34.9%	30.0%	-0.2	17
1976-03-14	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1703	1577	30.0%	34.9%	35.1%	+0.2	27
1976-03-21	Napoli	D 1-1	1799	1752	55.3%	31.6%	13.1%	-2.2	42
1976-03-21	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1752	1799	13.1%	31.6%	55.3%	+2.2	35
1976-03-21	Juventus	W 2-1	1679	1867	27.2%	33.6%	39.2%	+9.0	34
1976-03-21	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1867	1679	39.2%	33.6%	27.2%	-9.0	50
1976-03-21	Bologna	W 2-1	1586	1705	36.2%	34.9%	28.8%	+7.4	14
1976-03-21	@ Como	L 1-2	1705	1586	28.8%	34.9%	36.2%	-7.4	29
1976-03-21	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1704	1735	46.9%	34.3%	18.8%	-1.5	28
1976-03-21	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1735	1704	18.8%	34.3%	46.9%	+1.5	38
1976-03-21	Ascoli	W 3-1	1660	1596	57.0%	30.8%	12.2%	+6.4	22
1976-03-21	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-3	1596	1660	12.2%	30.8%	57.0%	-6.4	19
1976-03-21	Cagliari	W 4-1	1692	1561	63.6%	27.1%	9.3%	+6.7	32
1976-03-21	@ Perugia	L 1-4	1561	1692	9.3%	27.1%	63.6%	-6.7	11
1976-03-21	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1576	1617	45.8%	34.5%	19.7%	+11.4	20
1976-03-21	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1617	1576	19.7%	34.5%	45.8%	-11.4	21
1976-03-21	Roma	W 1-0	1791	1731	56.6%	31.1%	12.4%	+4.0	45
1976-03-21	@ Torino	L 0-1	1731	1791	12.4%	31.1%	56.6%	-4.0	27
1976-03-28	Como	D 1-1	1589	1594	49.9%	33.6%	16.5%	-1.7	20
1976-03-28	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1594	1589	16.5%	33.6%	49.9%	+1.7	15
1976-03-28	Cesena	W 5-3	1697	1688	51.4%	33.1%	15.5%	+6.8	32
1976-03-28	@ Bologna	L 3-5	1688	1697	15.5%	33.1%	51.4%	-6.8	34
1976-03-28	Sampdoria	W 5-3	1554	1588	46.6%	34.4%	19.0%	+8.1	14
1976-03-28	@ Cagliari	L 3-5	1588	1554	19.0%	34.4%	46.6%	-8.1	20
1976-03-28	Perugia	W 3-1	1606	1699	39.5%	35.0%	25.5%	+11.8	24
1976-03-28	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1699	1606	25.5%	35.0%	39.5%	-11.8	32
1976-03-28	AC Milan	L 0-1	1737	1797	43.6%	34.8%	21.6%	-10.5	38
1976-03-28	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1797	1737	21.6%	34.8%	43.6%	+10.5	45
1976-03-28	Torino	L 0-2	1858	1795	57.0%	30.9%	12.2%	-24.6	50
1976-03-28	@ Juventus	W 2-0	1795	1858	12.2%	30.9%	57.0%	+24.6	48
1976-03-28	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1754	1666	59.4%	29.6%	11.0%	+3.5	38
1976-03-28	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1666	1754	11.0%	29.6%	59.4%	-3.5	22
1976-03-28	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1727	1702	53.1%	32.6%	14.4%	-1.5	28
1976-03-28	@ Roma	D 2-2	1702	1727	14.4%	32.6%	53.1%	+1.5	29
1976-04-04	Napoli	D 0-0	1588	1757	29.4%	34.1%	36.5%	+0.4	21
1976-04-04	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1757	1588	36.5%	34.1%	29.4%	-0.4	39
1976-04-04	Cagliari	D 0-0	1681	1562	62.4%	27.9%	9.8%	-3.1	35
1976-04-04	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1562	1681	9.8%	27.9%	62.4%	+3.1	15
1976-04-04	Como	L 0-2	1703	1595	61.3%	28.5%	10.2%	-26.0	29
1976-04-04	@ Fiorentina	W 2-0	1595	1703	10.2%	28.5%	61.3%	+26.0	18
1976-04-04	Juventus	W 1-0	1726	1834	37.6%	35.0%	27.4%	+7.6	41
1976-04-04	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1834	1726	27.4%	35.0%	37.6%	-7.6	50
1976-04-04	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1663	1618	55.1%	31.7%	13.2%	-2.2	23
1976-04-04	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1618	1663	13.2%	31.7%	55.1%	+2.2	25
1976-04-04	Bologna	D 1-1	1687	1704	48.5%	34.0%	17.5%	-1.5	33
1976-04-04	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1704	1687	17.5%	34.0%	48.5%	+1.5	33
1976-04-04	Roma	W 1-0	1580	1726	32.5%	34.6%	32.9%	+8.5	23
1976-04-04	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1726	1580	32.9%	34.6%	32.5%	-8.5	28
1976-04-04	AC Milan	W 2-1	1819	1807	51.7%	33.0%	15.3%	+4.6	51
1976-04-04	@ Torino	L 1-2	1807	1819	15.3%	33.0%	51.7%	-4.6	45
1976-04-11	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1803	1678	63.0%	27.5%	9.5%	+2.8	48
1976-04-11	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1678	1803	9.5%	27.5%	63.0%	-2.8	29
1976-04-11	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1706	1588	62.2%	28.0%	9.8%	+3.1	36
1976-04-11	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1588	1706	9.8%	28.0%	62.2%	-3.1	23
1976-04-11	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1565	1660	39.2%	35.0%	25.8%	+6.9	18
1976-04-11	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1660	1565	25.8%	35.0%	39.2%	-6.9	23
1976-04-11	Torino	L 0-1	1621	1824	25.6%	33.1%	41.3%	-7.1	18
1976-04-11	@ Como	W 1-0	1824	1621	41.3%	33.1%	25.6%	+7.1	54
1976-04-11	Cesena	D 2-2	1620	1678	43.8%	34.8%	21.4%	-0.8	26
1976-04-11	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1678	1620	21.4%	34.8%	43.8%	+0.8	36
1976-04-11	Ascoli	W 2-1	1826	1588	73.5%	20.2%	6.3%	+1.6	53
1976-04-11	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1588	1826	6.3%	20.2%	73.5%	-1.6	21
1976-04-11	Inter Milan	W 3-1	1757	1734	52.8%	32.6%	14.5%	+7.6	42
1976-04-11	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1734	1757	14.5%	32.6%	52.8%	-7.7	41
1976-04-11	Perugia	L 1-2	1717	1685	53.8%	32.3%	14.0%	-11.8	28
1976-04-11	@ Roma	W 2-1	1685	1717	14.0%	32.3%	53.8%	+11.8	36
1976-04-18	Como	D 2-2	1805	1614	69.2%	23.3%	7.5%	-2.4	49
1976-04-18	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1614	1805	7.5%	23.3%	69.2%	+2.5	19
1976-04-18	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1586	1726	33.4%	34.7%	31.9%	+15.8	24
1976-04-18	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1726	1586	31.9%	34.7%	33.4%	-15.8	41
1976-04-18	Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1572	1619	45.1%	34.6%	20.3%	-20.4	18
1976-04-18	@ Cagliari	W 2-0	1619	1572	20.3%	34.6%	45.1%	+20.4	29
1976-04-18	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1679	1654	53.0%	32.6%	14.4%	-2.2	37
1976-04-18	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1654	1679	14.4%	32.6%	53.0%	+2.2	24
1976-04-18	Juventus	D 1-1	1765	1828	43.2%	34.8%	22.0%	-1.0	43
1976-04-18	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1828	1765	22.0%	34.8%	43.2%	+1.0	54
1976-04-18	Bologna	D 0-0	1705	1709	50.0%	33.6%	16.4%	-1.9	29
1976-04-18	@ Roma	D 0-0	1709	1705	16.4%	33.6%	50.0%	+1.9	37
1976-04-18	Perugia	W 3-1	1585	1697	37.1%	35.0%	28.0%	+12.6	26
1976-04-18	@ Sampdoria	L 1-3	1697	1585	28.0%	35.0%	37.1%	-12.6	36
1976-04-18	Fiorentina	W 4-3	1831	1675	66.0%	25.5%	8.5%	+2.2	57
1976-04-18	@ Torino	L 3-4	1675	1831	8.5%	25.5%	66.0%	-2.2	29
1976-04-25	Napoli	W 2-0	1711	1764	44.4%	34.7%	20.9%	+11.9	40
1976-04-25	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1764	1711	20.9%	34.7%	44.4%	-11.9	43
1976-04-25	Cagliari	W 3-0	1617	1552	57.1%	30.8%	12.1%	+10.7	22
1976-04-25	@ Como	L 0-3	1552	1617	12.1%	30.8%	57.1%	-10.7	18
1976-04-25	Cesena	W 3-1	1672	1676	50.0%	33.6%	16.5%	+8.5	32
1976-04-25	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1676	1672	16.5%	33.6%	50.0%	-8.5	37
1976-04-25	AC Milan	D 2-2	1639	1803	30.2%	34.3%	35.5%	+0.2	30
1976-04-25	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1803	1639	35.5%	34.3%	30.2%	-0.2	50
1976-04-25	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1710	1598	61.8%	28.2%	10.0%	+3.0	44
1976-04-25	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1598	1710	10.0%	28.2%	61.8%	-3.0	26
1976-04-25	Roma	D 1-1	1829	1704	63.0%	27.5%	9.5%	-2.9	55
1976-04-25	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1704	1829	9.5%	27.5%	63.0%	+2.9	30
1976-04-25	Torino	D 1-1	1656	1833	28.5%	33.9%	37.6%	+0.4	25
1976-04-25	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1833	1656	37.6%	33.9%	28.5%	-0.4	58
1976-04-25	Ascoli	D 1-1	1685	1602	58.8%	29.9%	11.3%	-2.5	37
1976-04-25	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1602	1685	11.3%	29.9%	58.8%	+2.5	25
1976-05-02	Cesena	W 2-1	1803	1668	63.9%	26.9%	9.2%	+2.7	53
1976-05-02	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1668	1803	9.2%	26.9%	63.9%	-2.7	37
1976-05-02	Juventus	L 1-4	1722	1826	38.2%	35.0%	26.8%	-22.0	40
1976-05-02	@ Bologna	W 4-1	1826	1722	26.8%	35.0%	38.2%	+22.0	58
1976-05-02	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1627	1640	49.0%	33.8%	17.1%	+5.1	25
1976-05-02	@ Como	L 1-2	1640	1627	17.1%	33.8%	49.0%	-5.1	30
1976-05-02	Lazio Roma	W 4-3	1681	1656	53.0%	32.6%	14.4%	+4.1	35
1976-05-02	@ Fiorentina	L 3-4	1656	1681	14.4%	32.6%	53.0%	-4.1	25
1976-05-02	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1682	1713	46.9%	34.3%	18.8%	-1.4	38
1976-05-02	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1713	1682	18.8%	34.3%	46.9%	+1.4	45
1976-05-02	Napoli	L 0-3	1706	1752	45.3%	34.6%	20.1%	-29.8	30
1976-05-02	@ Roma	W 3-0	1752	1706	20.1%	34.6%	45.3%	+29.8	46
1976-05-02	Ascoli	W 1-0	1595	1605	49.3%	33.8%	16.9%	+5.4	29
1976-05-02	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1605	1595	16.9%	33.8%	49.3%	-5.4	25
1976-05-02	Cagliari	W 5-1	1833	1541	78.2%	16.6%	5.2%	+3.8	61
1976-05-02	@ Torino	L 1-5	1541	1833	5.2%	16.6%	78.2%	-3.8	18
1976-05-09	Bologna	D 0-0	1599	1701	38.5%	35.0%	26.5%	-0.6	26
1976-05-09	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1701	1599	26.5%	35.0%	38.5%	+0.6	41
1976-05-09	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1537	1685	32.3%	34.6%	33.2%	+8.1	21
1976-05-09	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1685	1537	33.2%	34.6%	32.3%	-8.1	35
1976-05-09	Como	W 2-0	1665	1632	53.8%	32.2%	13.9%	+8.5	40
1976-05-09	@ Cesena	L 0-2	1632	1665	13.9%	32.2%	53.8%	-8.5	25
1976-05-09	Torino	D 0-0	1635	1837	25.7%	33.1%	41.2%	+0.8	31
1976-05-09	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1837	1635	41.2%	33.1%	25.7%	-0.8	62
1976-05-09	Roma	W 2-0	1715	1677	54.4%	32.0%	13.6%	+8.3	48
1976-05-09	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1677	1715	13.6%	32.0%	54.4%	-8.3	30
1976-05-09	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1848	1600	74.4%	19.5%	6.1%	+3.0	61
1976-05-09	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1600	1848	6.1%	19.5%	74.4%	-3.0	29
1976-05-09	AC Milan	W 4-0	1652	1805	31.6%	34.5%	34.0%	+31.1	28
1976-05-09	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-4	1805	1652	34.0%	34.5%	31.6%	-31.2	53
1976-05-09	Perugia	W 4-0	1782	1681	60.6%	28.9%	10.5%	+11.9	49
1976-05-09	@ Napoli	L 0-4	1681	1782	10.5%	28.9%	60.6%	-11.9	38
1976-05-16	Cagliari	L 2-3	1774	1545	72.7%	20.8%	6.5%	-13.6	53
1976-05-16	@ AC Milan	W 3-2	1545	1774	6.5%	20.8%	72.7%	+13.6	24
1976-05-16	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1701	1723	48.0%	34.1%	17.9%	-10.7	41
1976-05-16	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1723	1701	17.9%	34.1%	48.0%	+10.7	51
1976-05-16	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1624	1683	43.6%	34.8%	21.6%	-0.8	26
1976-05-16	@ Como	D 2-2	1683	1624	21.6%	34.8%	43.6%	+0.8	29
1976-05-16	Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1677	1635	54.7%	31.9%	13.4%	-1.6	36
1976-05-16	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1635	1677	13.4%	31.9%	54.7%	+1.6	32
1976-05-16	Juventus	W 1-0	1669	1851	27.9%	33.8%	38.3%	+9.4	41
1976-05-16	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1851	1669	38.3%	33.8%	27.9%	-9.4	61
1976-05-16	Ascoli	D 1-1	1668	1599	57.6%	30.6%	11.9%	-2.4	31
1976-05-16	@ Roma	D 1-1	1599	1668	11.9%	30.6%	57.6%	+2.4	27
1976-05-16	Napoli	W 2-1	1597	1793	26.3%	33.3%	40.3%	+9.2	32
1976-05-16	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1793	1597	40.3%	33.3%	26.3%	-9.2	49
1976-05-16	Cesena	D 1-1	1836	1674	66.5%	25.2%	8.3%	-3.1	63
1976-05-16	@ Torino	D 1-1	1674	1836	8.3%	25.2%	66.5%	+3.1	41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1976-05-16	6.54%	Cagliari	1545	3	@ AC Milan	1774	2
2	1976-02-28	8.59%	Hellas Verona	1615	1	@ Napoli	1768	0
3	1976-04-04	10.17%	Como	1595	2	@ Fiorentina	1703	0
4	1975-11-16	11.77%	Sampdoria	1625	1	@ Fiorentina	1696	0
5	1976-03-28	12.18%	Torino	1795	2	@ Juventus	1858	0
6	1976-02-15	12.25%	Fiorentina	1708	2	@ Napoli	1770	1
7	1976-04-11	13.96%	Perugia	1685	2	@ Roma	1717	1
8	1976-03-07	14.85%	Bologna	1697	2	@ Fiorentina	1715	1
9	1976-01-18	15.65%	Fiorentina	1680	2	@ Lazio Roma	1687	1
10	1975-12-21	17.81%	AC Milan	1720	1	@ Fiorentina	1700	0
11	1976-05-16	17.94%	Inter Milan	1723	2	@ Bologna	1701	1
12	1976-02-09	18.22%	Inter Milan	1712	3	@ Cesena	1687	2
13	1975-12-21	18.42%	Roma	1708	1	@ Perugia	1681	0
14	1975-12-14	18.53%	Torino	1759	2	@ AC Milan	1731	1
15	1975-12-14	18.82%	Cesena	1656	2	@ Cagliari	1625	1
16	1975-12-14	19.67%	Fiorentina	1689	1	@ Como	1648	0
17	1975-11-16	19.98%	Bologna	1685	2	@ Cagliari	1641	1
18	1976-05-02	20.13%	Napoli	1752	3	@ Roma	1706	0
19	1976-04-18	20.28%	Hellas Verona	1619	2	@ Cagliari	1572	0
20	1976-01-12	21.37%	Perugia	1667	2	@ Ascoli	1610	1
21	1976-03-28	21.63%	AC Milan	1797	1	@ Inter Milan	1737	0
22	1976-02-02	22.06%	Fiorentina	1701	2	@ Hellas Verona	1638	1
23	1975-11-16	22.12%	Juventus	1806	1	@ AC Milan	1742	0
24	1975-12-21	22.25%	Bologna	1693	1	@ Sampdoria	1627	0
25	1976-01-12	23.27%	Inter Milan	1694	2	@ Sampdoria	1619	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1976-05-09	31.15	@ Lazio Roma	4	1652	31.55%	AC Milan	0	1805	33.97%
2	1976-05-02	29.76	Napoli	3	1752	20.13%	@ Roma	0	1706	45.30%
3	1976-02-09	27.30	Roma	5	1700	28.77%	@ Cagliari	1	1583	36.29%
4	1976-04-04	26.00	Como	2	1595	10.17%	@ Fiorentina	0	1703	61.34%
5	1976-03-28	24.63	Torino	2	1795	12.18%	@ Juventus	0	1858	56.95%
6	1975-12-30	22.30	AC Milan	4	1732	26.02%	@ Como	1	1635	38.95%
7	1976-05-02	21.96	Juventus	4	1826	26.81%	@ Bologna	1	1722	38.17%
8	1975-12-21	21.88	Juventus	3	1808	35.82%	@ Ascoli	0	1642	29.97%
9	1976-04-18	20.43	Hellas Verona	2	1619	20.28%	@ Cagliari	0	1572	45.11%
10	1976-01-12	19.22	Inter Milan	2	1694	23.27%	@ Sampdoria	0	1619	41.79%
11	1975-11-16	18.30	@ Como	3	1630	42.43%	Inter Milan	0	1699	22.67%
12	1976-04-18	15.79	@ Ascoli	2	1586	33.36%	Inter Milan	0	1726	31.93%
13	1975-11-02	14.43	Napoli	4	1753	24.83%	@ Hellas Verona	2	1665	40.16%
14	1976-02-28	14.41	Hellas Verona	1	1615	8.59%	@ Napoli	0	1768	65.67%
15	1976-05-16	13.62	Cagliari	3	1545	6.54%	@ AC Milan	2	1774	72.69%
16	1975-11-02	13.34	@ AC Milan	4	1727	58.18%	Ascoli	0	1651	11.57%
17	1975-11-16	13.20	Sampdoria	1	1625	11.77%	@ Fiorentina	0	1696	57.76%
18	1975-12-21	13.13	@ Cesena	3	1667	52.25%	Hellas Verona	0	1649	14.90%
19	1976-02-02	13.06	AC Milan	3	1761	35.80%	@ Cagliari	1	1596	29.98%
20	1975-10-12	12.91	@ Cesena	2	1645	41.60%	Roma	0	1721	23.44%
21	1976-04-18	12.57	@ Sampdoria	3	1585	37.07%	Perugia	1	1697	27.95%
22	1975-12-07	12.54	@ Torino	2	1747	42.62%	Juventus	0	1815	22.50%
23	1976-02-15	12.30	Fiorentina	2	1708	12.25%	@ Napoli	1	1770	56.82%
24	1975-11-09	12.12	@ Inter Milan	3	1687	54.22%	Hellas Verona	0	1651	13.68%
25	1975-10-12	11.92	@ Torino	3	1718	54.63%	Perugia	0	1678	13.44%