1976-77 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

51 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Juventus

12.90 points above expected

51 points · 38.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cesena

11.12 points below expected

14 points · 25.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	30	23	5	2	51	50	20	+30	38.1	+12.90
2	Torino	30	21	8	1	50	51	14	+37	40.6	+9.36
3	Fiorentina	30	12	11	7	35	38	31	+7	30.3	+4.72
4	Inter Milan	30	10	13	7	33	34	27	+7	33.1	-0.09
5	Lazio Roma	30	10	11	9	31	34	28	+6	30.0	+1.01
6	Perugia	30	9	11	10	29	32	28	+4	30.2	-1.19
7	Napoli	30	9	11	10	29	37	38	-1	32.2	-3.16
8	Roma	30	9	10	11	28	27	33	-6	28.1	-0.12
9	Hellas Verona	30	7	14	9	28	26	32	-6	27.8	+0.16
10	AC Milan	30	5	17	8	27	30	33	-3	31.1	-4.11
11	Genoa	30	8	11	11	27	40	45	-5	27.4	-0.45
12	Bologna	30	8	11	11	27	24	31	-7	26.3	+0.73
13	Foggia	30	10	6	14	26	33	39	-6	27.3	-1.32
14	Sampdoria	30	6	12	12	24	28	42	-14	24.9	-0.91
15	Catanzaro	30	7	7	16	21	26	43	-17	26.4	-5.41
16	Cesena	30	3	8	19	14	22	48	-26	25.1	-11.12

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Torino	1960	50	40.64	+9.36	100.0%	33	34	38	40	44	47	49
Juventus	1946	51	38.10	+12.90	100.0%	27	30	35	38	41	45	48
Inter Milan	1778	33	33.09	-0.09	52.0%	23	27	30	33	36	39	41
Fiorentina	1765	35	30.28	+4.72	86.0%	19	22	27	30	34	38	40
Lazio Roma	1734	31	29.99	+1.01	61.0%	21	23	27	30	33	36	40
AC Milan	1732	27	31.11	-4.11	20.0%	24	25	28	31	34	37	44
Perugia	1724	29	30.19	-1.19	45.0%	22	25	28	30	32	36	41
Bologna	1702	27	26.27	+0.73	59.0%	17	19	23	26	30	33	35
Napoli	1696	29	32.16	-3.16	22.0%	22	25	29	32	36	39	42
Hellas Verona	1674	28	27.84	+0.16	53.0%	15	21	25	28	30	35	38
Roma	1672	28	28.12	-0.12	53.0%	19	21	26	28	31	33	44
Foggia	1671	26	27.32	-1.32	40.0%	18	20	25	27	30	32	36
Genoa	1663	27	27.45	-0.45	50.0%	19	21	24	27	30	34	38
Sampdoria	1628	24	24.91	-0.91	48.0%	16	18	22	25	28	32	36
Catanzaro	1619	21	26.41	-5.41	10.0%	15	20	23	27	29	33	38
Cesena	1564	14	25.12	-11.12	0.0%	15	19	22	25	27	31	35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	BOL	CAT	CES	FIO	FOG	GEN	HV	IM	JUV	LR	NAP	PER	ROM	SAM	TOR
AC Milan	—	0-2-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 3.36	0-2-0 2.80	0-1-1 3.04	0-1-1 2.98	0-2-0 2.91	0-2-0 2.49	0-0-2 2.05	1-1-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.84	0-2-0 2.81	1-1-0 3.24	0-1-1 1.57
Bologna	0-2-0 2.20	—	1-1-0 2.60	0-2-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.54	0-2-0 2.60	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 1.65	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 1.93	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.70	0-0-2 1.86
Catanzaro	1-0-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.73	—	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.46	1-1-0 2.36	0-0-2 2.17	0-0-2 1.60	1-0-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.29	0-2-0 2.19	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.95	0-0-2 1.42
Cesena	0-1-1 1.98	0-2-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.46	—	0-0-2 2.42	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.31	0-0-2 2.40	0-2-0 1.89	0-0-2 1.47	0-1-1 2.13	0-0-2 1.93	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.78	0-0-2 1.11
Fiorentina	0-2-0 2.54	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 2.93	—	2-0-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.93	2-0-0 2.81	1-1-0 2.22	0-1-1 1.86	0-0-2 2.87	2-0-0 2.58	1-1-0 2.60	0-2-0 2.90	0-2-0 3.19	0-0-2 1.82
Foggia	1-1-0 2.28	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.34	—	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.45	0-2-0 2.19	0-0-2 1.79	1-1-0 2.28	0-1-1 1.97	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 1.22
Genoa	1-1-0 2.36	0-1-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.71	—	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.16	0-1-1 1.73	1-0-1 2.35	0-1-1 2.10	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 1.36
Hellas Verona	0-2-0 2.41	0-2-0 2.70	0-1-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.91	0-0-2 2.51	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.64	—	1-1-0 2.13	0-1-1 1.55	0-2-0 2.46	1-0-1 2.11	1-1-0 2.29	0-2-0 2.57	0-1-1 2.94	0-1-1 1.32
Inter Milan	0-2-0 2.85	1-1-0 3.45	2-0-0 3.14	0-2-0 3.45	0-1-1 3.10	0-2-0 3.18	1-1-0 3.16	0-1-1 3.22	—	0-0-2 2.22	0-1-1 2.98	2-0-0 2.45	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.31	0-0-2 2.04
Juventus	2-0-0 3.32	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.96	1-1-0 3.49	2-0-0 3.61	1-1-0 3.64	1-1-0 3.85	2-0-0 3.10	—	2-0-0 3.33	2-0-0 3.17	1-1-0 3.57	1-0-1 3.88	2-0-0 4.24	0-1-1 2.54
Lazio Roma	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 2.44	0-1-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.94	0-2-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.32	0-0-2 2.04	—	0-2-0 2.28	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.13	0-2-0 1.41
Napoli	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 3.40	1-1-0 3.05	2-0-0 3.44	0-0-2 2.72	1-1-0 3.37	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 3.22	0-0-2 2.85	0-0-2 2.20	0-2-0 3.05	—	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.19	0-2-0 3.51	0-1-1 1.94
Perugia	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 3.00	0-2-0 3.12	2-0-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.93	0-1-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 1.78	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.45	—	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 3.19	0-1-1 1.88
Roma	0-2-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.93	0-2-0 2.42	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.74	0-2-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.03	1-0-1 1.56	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.53	—	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 1.52
Sampdoria	0-1-1 2.09	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.37	1-1-0 2.55	0-2-0 2.14	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.39	0-1-1 2.07	0-0-2 1.22	0-1-1 2.20	0-2-0 1.85	1-1-0 2.14	1-0-1 2.41	—	0-0-2 1.37
Torino	1-1-0 3.85	2-0-0 3.60	2-0-0 4.06	2-0-0 4.40	2-0-0 3.56	2-0-0 4.28	1-1-0 4.11	1-1-0 4.15	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 2.78	0-2-0 4.01	1-1-0 3.39	1-1-0 3.51	1-0-1 3.86	2-0-0 4.03	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.83%	10.42%	5.00%	3.12%	0.42%	—	34.79%
1	10.42%	13.33%	6.25%	2.71%	1.25%	0.42%	34.38%
2	5.00%	6.25%	4.58%	2.71%	0.42%	—	18.96%
3	3.12%	2.71%	2.71%	0.83%	—	—	9.38%
4	0.42%	1.25%	0.42%	—	—	—	2.08%
5+	—	0.42%	—	—	—	—	0.42%
Total	34.79%	34.38%	18.96%	9.38%	2.08%	0.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	1.11
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.22
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.141
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	—	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.403
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	20.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	56.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
2	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	33.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.104
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	43.33%
2	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	40.00%	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Catanzaro — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.088
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	50.00%
1	3.33%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	—	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	20.00%	26.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Cesena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.60
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.080
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	46.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.009
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Foggia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.287
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	40.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	40.00%	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Genoa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.149
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	23.33%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.434
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	40.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.106
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
1	23.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	56.67%	23.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.197
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	36.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.204
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	26.67%	33.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.188
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	46.67%	23.33%	—	—	—	100%

Perugia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	0.74
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.006
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	40.00%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.149
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	43.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	36.67%	20.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
2	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	63.33%	30.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	0.47
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	0.73
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.344
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Juventus	51	38.1	+12.90
2	Torino	50	40.6	+9.36
3	Fiorentina	35	30.3	+4.72
4	Lazio Roma	31	30.0	+1.01
5	Bologna	27	26.3	+0.73

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Cesena	14	25.1	-11.12
2	Catanzaro	21	26.4	-5.41
3	AC Milan	27	31.1	-4.11
4	Napoli	29	32.2	-3.16
5	Foggia	26	27.3	-1.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	7	Oct 3 – Nov 28	1 in 464
2	Inter Milan	4	Dec 12 – Jan 9	1 in 59
3	Genoa	4	Dec 19 – Jan 16	1 in 57
4	Foggia	3	Apr 24 – May 8	1 in 56
5	Torino	5	Oct 3 – Nov 7	1 in 53

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Catanzaro	6	Feb 13 – Mar 20	1 in 191
2	Napoli	4	May 2 – May 22	1 in 150
3	Foggia	4	Jan 2 – Jan 30	1 in 128
4	Bologna	5	Dec 12 – Jan 16	1 in 91
5	Cesena	5	Nov 21 – Dec 19	1 in 46

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sampdoria	8	Mar 20 – May 8	1 in 110
2	Fiorentina	12	Nov 7 – Feb 13	1 in 99
3	Torino	17	Oct 3 – Feb 21	1 in 50
4	Juventus	16	Feb 6 – May 22	1 in 34
5	Lazio Roma	8	Oct 10 – Dec 12	1 in 27

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AC Milan	11	Feb 28 – May 8	1 in 99
2	Inter Milan	7	Feb 28 – Apr 10	1 in 78
3	Cesena	13	Feb 28 – May 22	1 in 59
4	Lazio Roma	9	Dec 5 – Feb 13	1 in 55
5	Napoli	7	Apr 10 – May 22	1 in 40

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Juventus	30.00%	34.00%	12.00%	9.00%	9.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Torino	58.00%	30.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Fiorentina	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	14.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%
Inter Milan	4.00%	14.00%	20.00%	10.00%	11.00%	11.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Lazio Roma	1.00%	1.00%	9.00%	14.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Perugia	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Napoli	2.00%	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%	15.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	3.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Roma	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Hellas Verona	—	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	6.00%	7.00%
AC Milan	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—
Genoa	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	14.00%	8.00%
Bologna	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	2.00%	8.00%	8.00%	14.00%	13.00%	15.00%
Foggia	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	15.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%
Sampdoria	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	8.00%	20.00%	22.00%
Catanzaro	—	1.00%	—	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	13.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%
Cesena	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	16.00%	13.00%	14.00%	18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Juventus	100%	—
Torino	100%	—
AC Milan	98.0%	2.0%
Inter Milan	98.0%	2.0%
Napoli	97.0%	3.0%
Perugia	97.0%	3.0%
Lazio Roma	92.0%	8.0%
Fiorentina	85.0%	15.0%
Roma	81.0%	19.0%
Foggia	76.0%	24.0%
Hellas Verona	76.0%	24.0%
Genoa	72.0%	28.0%
Catanzaro	65.0%	35.0%
Bologna	58.0%	42.0%
Cesena	55.0%	45.0%
Sampdoria	50.0%	50.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1976-10-03	Perugia	W 2-1	1754	1705	54.0%	32.9%	13.2%	+5.0	3
1976-10-03	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1705	1754	13.2%	32.9%	54.0%	-5.0	0
1976-10-03	Napoli	D 0-0	1718	1769	43.1%	35.5%	21.4%	-1.4	1
1976-10-03	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1769	1718	21.4%	35.5%	43.1%	+1.4	1
1976-10-03	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1705	1706	48.9%	34.5%	16.6%	-13.2	0
1976-10-03	@ Cesena	W 2-1	1706	1705	16.6%	34.5%	48.9%	+13.2	3
1976-10-03	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1692	1738	43.7%	35.4%	20.9%	-1.5	1
1976-10-03	@ Foggia	D 0-0	1738	1692	20.9%	35.4%	43.7%	+1.5	1
1976-10-03	Roma	D 2-2	1676	1700	46.4%	35.0%	18.6%	-1.2	1
1976-10-03	@ Genoa	D 2-2	1700	1676	18.6%	35.0%	46.4%	+1.2	1
1976-10-03	Bologna	D 3-3	1683	1713	45.6%	35.1%	19.2%	-1.0	1
1976-10-03	@ Hellas Verona	D 3-3	1713	1683	19.2%	35.1%	45.6%	+1.0	1
1976-10-03	Juventus	L 2-3	1711	1799	38.6%	35.7%	25.7%	-10.4	0
1976-10-03	@ Lazio Roma	W 3-2	1799	1711	25.7%	35.7%	38.6%	+10.4	3
1976-10-03	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1796	1662	62.0%	28.8%	9.2%	+5.9	3
1976-10-03	@ Torino	L 1-3	1662	1796	9.2%	28.8%	62.0%	-5.9	0
1976-10-10	Torino	L 0-3	1714	1802	38.6%	35.7%	25.7%	-31.9	1
1976-10-10	@ Bologna	W 3-0	1802	1714	25.7%	35.7%	38.6%	+31.9	6
1976-10-10	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1719	1701	50.9%	33.9%	15.2%	-14.5	3
1976-10-10	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1701	1719	15.2%	33.9%	50.9%	+14.5	3
1976-10-10	Catanzaro	W 2-1	1740	1716	51.5%	33.8%	14.8%	+5.5	4
1976-10-10	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1716	1740	14.8%	33.8%	51.5%	-5.5	1
1976-10-10	Genoa	W 1-0	1810	1675	62.1%	28.8%	9.2%	+3.6	6
1976-10-10	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1675	1810	9.2%	28.8%	62.1%	-3.6	1
1976-10-10	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1770	1682	57.8%	31.1%	11.0%	+12.1	4
1976-10-10	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1682	1770	11.0%	31.1%	57.8%	-12.1	1
1976-10-10	Foggia	W 1-0	1700	1690	50.0%	34.2%	15.8%	+6.2	3
1976-10-10	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1690	1700	15.8%	34.2%	50.0%	-6.2	1
1976-10-10	Cesena	W 2-0	1701	1692	49.9%	34.2%	15.9%	+11.8	4
1976-10-10	@ Roma	L 0-2	1692	1701	15.9%	34.2%	49.9%	-11.8	0
1976-10-10	AC Milan	D 0-0	1657	1759	36.7%	35.7%	27.6%	-0.6	1
1976-10-10	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1759	1657	27.6%	35.7%	36.7%	+0.6	4
1976-10-24	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1760	1704	54.6%	32.6%	12.8%	-3.0	5
1976-10-24	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1704	1760	12.8%	32.6%	54.6%	+3.0	4
1976-10-24	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1711	1656	54.5%	32.6%	12.8%	+5.1	4
1976-10-24	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1656	1711	12.8%	32.6%	54.5%	-5.1	1
1976-10-24	Perugia	L 0-3	1680	1706	46.1%	35.1%	18.9%	-36.6	0
1976-10-24	@ Cesena	W 3-0	1706	1680	18.9%	35.1%	46.1%	+36.6	6
1976-10-24	Juventus	L 0-1	1684	1813	33.2%	35.5%	31.4%	-10.4	1
1976-10-24	@ Foggia	W 1-0	1813	1684	31.4%	35.5%	33.2%	+10.4	9
1976-10-24	Napoli	L 2-3	1671	1783	35.6%	35.6%	28.8%	-9.8	1
1976-10-24	@ Genoa	W 3-2	1783	1671	28.8%	35.6%	35.6%	+9.8	7
1976-10-24	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1670	1745	40.2%	35.6%	24.2%	+8.5	4
1976-10-24	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1745	1670	24.2%	35.6%	40.2%	-8.5	4
1976-10-24	Bologna	W 3-0	1715	1682	52.4%	33.5%	14.1%	+15.4	6
1976-10-24	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1682	1715	14.1%	33.5%	52.4%	-15.4	1
1976-10-24	Roma	W 2-0	1834	1713	60.8%	29.5%	9.7%	+7.2	9
1976-10-24	@ Torino	L 0-2	1713	1834	9.7%	29.5%	60.8%	-7.2	4
1976-10-31	Foggia	D 0-0	1667	1674	48.2%	34.6%	17.2%	-2.1	2
1976-10-31	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1674	1667	17.2%	34.6%	48.2%	+2.1	2
1976-10-31	Torino	L 0-1	1707	1841	32.6%	35.4%	32.0%	-10.3	4
1976-10-31	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1841	1707	32.0%	35.4%	32.6%	+10.3	12
1976-10-31	Cesena	D 1-1	1737	1644	58.2%	30.9%	10.8%	-3.0	5
1976-10-31	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1644	1737	10.8%	30.9%	58.2%	+3.1	1
1976-10-31	Catanzaro	W 3-0	1824	1716	59.6%	30.2%	10.2%	+11.1	12
1976-10-31	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1716	1824	10.2%	30.2%	59.6%	-11.1	4
1976-10-31	AC Milan	W 3-1	1792	1757	52.6%	33.4%	14.0%	+9.1	10
1976-10-31	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1757	1792	14.0%	33.4%	52.6%	-9.1	5
1976-10-31	Genoa	W 2-1	1743	1661	57.1%	31.5%	11.4%	+4.3	9
1976-10-31	@ Perugia	L 1-2	1661	1743	11.4%	31.5%	57.1%	-4.3	1
1976-10-31	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1705	1678	51.8%	33.7%	14.5%	-2.6	5
1976-10-31	@ Roma	D 0-0	1678	1705	14.5%	33.7%	51.8%	+2.6	5
1976-10-31	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1651	1731	39.7%	35.7%	24.7%	-0.9	2
1976-10-31	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1731	1651	24.7%	35.7%	39.7%	+0.9	7
1976-11-07	Juventus	L 2-3	1748	1835	38.8%	35.7%	25.6%	-10.4	5
1976-11-07	@ AC Milan	W 3-2	1835	1748	25.6%	35.7%	38.8%	+10.4	15
1976-11-07	Roma	D 1-1	1705	1703	49.1%	34.4%	16.4%	-2.0	5
1976-11-07	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1703	1705	16.4%	34.4%	49.1%	+2.0	6
1976-11-07	Bologna	D 0-0	1647	1664	47.0%	34.9%	18.1%	-1.9	2
1976-11-07	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1664	1647	18.1%	34.9%	47.0%	+1.9	3
1976-11-07	Napoli	D 2-2	1676	1801	33.6%	35.5%	30.9%	-0.1	3
1976-11-07	@ Foggia	D 2-2	1801	1676	30.9%	35.5%	33.6%	+0.1	11
1976-11-07	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1657	1650	49.7%	34.3%	16.0%	-2.1	2
1976-11-07	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1650	1657	16.0%	34.3%	49.7%	+2.0	3
1976-11-07	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1681	1697	47.2%	34.9%	18.0%	-12.8	5
1976-11-07	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1697	1681	18.0%	34.9%	47.2%	+12.8	7
1976-11-07	Perugia	W 1-0	1732	1747	47.2%	34.8%	17.9%	+6.9	10
1976-11-07	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1747	1732	17.9%	34.8%	47.2%	-6.9	9
1976-11-07	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1851	1734	60.5%	29.7%	9.8%	+3.9	15
1976-11-07	@ Torino	L 0-1	1734	1851	9.8%	29.7%	60.5%	-3.9	5
1976-11-21	AC Milan	D 2-2	1666	1737	40.8%	35.6%	23.6%	-0.7	4
1976-11-21	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1737	1666	23.6%	35.6%	40.8%	+0.7	6
1976-11-21	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1710	1703	49.7%	34.3%	16.0%	-2.1	8
1976-11-21	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1703	1710	16.0%	34.3%	49.7%	+2.1	6
1976-11-21	Genoa	W 1-0	1730	1655	56.5%	31.8%	11.7%	+4.7	8
1976-11-21	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1655	1730	11.7%	31.8%	56.5%	-4.7	2
1976-11-21	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1845	1668	65.9%	26.3%	7.8%	+2.8	18
1976-11-21	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1668	1845	7.8%	26.3%	65.9%	-2.7	5
1976-11-21	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1802	1738	55.4%	32.3%	12.3%	-2.7	12
1976-11-21	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1738	1802	12.3%	32.3%	55.4%	+2.7	11
1976-11-21	Torino	D 1-1	1741	1855	35.1%	35.6%	29.2%	-0.3	10
1976-11-21	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1855	1741	29.2%	35.6%	35.1%	+0.3	16
1976-11-21	Foggia	W 3-1	1705	1676	52.0%	33.6%	14.4%	+9.4	9
1976-11-21	@ Roma	L 1-3	1676	1705	14.4%	33.6%	52.0%	-9.4	3
1976-11-21	Cesena	W 2-1	1652	1645	49.7%	34.3%	16.0%	+5.9	6
1976-11-21	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1645	1652	16.0%	34.3%	49.7%	-5.9	2
1976-11-28	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1738	1735	49.3%	34.4%	16.3%	-2.0	7
1976-11-28	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1735	1738	16.3%	34.4%	49.3%	+2.0	9
1976-11-28	Bologna	L 1-2	1705	1666	53.0%	33.2%	13.8%	-14.2	6
1976-11-28	@ Catanzaro	W 2-1	1666	1705	13.8%	33.2%	53.0%	+14.1	7
1976-11-28	Juventus	L 0-1	1639	1848	23.5%	33.6%	42.9%	-8.1	2
1976-11-28	@ Cesena	W 1-0	1848	1639	42.9%	33.6%	23.5%	+8.1	21
1976-11-28	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1666	1658	49.8%	34.2%	15.9%	+11.8	6
1976-11-28	@ Foggia	L 0-2	1658	1666	15.9%	34.2%	49.8%	-11.8	6
1976-11-28	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1650	1708	42.4%	35.5%	22.1%	-1.2	3
1976-11-28	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1708	1650	22.1%	35.5%	42.4%	+1.2	9
1976-11-28	Perugia	W 2-0	1665	1740	40.2%	35.6%	24.1%	+16.0	8
1976-11-28	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1740	1665	24.1%	35.6%	40.2%	-16.0	10
1976-11-28	Roma	W 1-0	1741	1714	51.8%	33.7%	14.6%	+5.8	14
1976-11-28	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1714	1741	14.6%	33.7%	51.8%	-5.8	9
1976-11-28	Napoli	W 2-1	1855	1799	54.7%	32.6%	12.7%	+4.8	19
1976-11-28	@ Torino	L 1-2	1799	1855	12.7%	32.6%	54.7%	-4.8	12
1976-12-05	Genoa	D 0-0	1680	1649	52.1%	33.5%	14.3%	-2.6	8
1976-12-05	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1649	1680	14.3%	33.5%	52.1%	+2.6	4
1976-12-05	Foggia	W 4-1	1709	1678	52.2%	33.5%	14.3%	+13.1	12
1976-12-05	@ Fiorentina	L 1-4	1678	1709	14.3%	33.5%	52.2%	-13.1	6
1976-12-05	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1737	1747	47.9%	34.7%	17.4%	-1.8	10
1976-12-05	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1747	1737	17.4%	34.7%	47.9%	+1.8	15
1976-12-05	Torino	L 0-2	1856	1860	48.5%	34.6%	16.9%	-26.3	21
1976-12-05	@ Juventus	W 2-0	1860	1856	16.9%	34.6%	48.5%	+26.3	22
1976-12-05	Cesena	W 3-1	1794	1631	64.6%	27.2%	8.2%	+5.1	15
1976-12-05	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1631	1794	8.2%	27.2%	64.6%	-5.1	2
1976-12-05	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1724	1691	52.5%	33.4%	14.1%	-2.4	11
1976-12-05	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1691	1724	14.1%	33.4%	52.5%	+2.4	7
1976-12-05	AC Milan	D 1-1	1708	1736	45.9%	35.1%	19.0%	-1.6	10
1976-12-05	@ Roma	D 1-1	1736	1708	19.0%	35.1%	45.9%	+1.6	8
1976-12-05	Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1646	1681	45.1%	35.2%	19.7%	+12.0	9
1976-12-05	@ Sampdoria	L 1-3	1681	1646	19.7%	35.2%	45.1%	-12.0	8
1976-12-12	Genoa	D 2-2	1738	1652	57.5%	31.3%	11.2%	-2.2	9
1976-12-12	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1652	1738	11.2%	31.3%	57.5%	+2.2	5
1976-12-12	Torino	L 0-4	1693	1886	25.1%	34.1%	40.8%	-30.6	7
1976-12-12	@ Catanzaro	W 4-0	1886	1693	40.8%	34.1%	25.1%	+30.6	25
1976-12-12	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1626	1669	44.1%	35.4%	20.5%	-12.9	2
1976-12-12	@ Cesena	W 1-0	1669	1626	20.5%	35.4%	44.1%	+12.9	11
1976-12-12	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1830	1722	59.6%	30.2%	10.2%	-3.6	22
1976-12-12	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1722	1830	10.2%	30.2%	59.6%	+3.6	13
1976-12-12	Foggia	D 0-0	1749	1665	57.4%	31.4%	11.3%	-3.3	16
1976-12-12	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1665	1749	11.3%	31.4%	57.4%	+3.3	7
1976-12-12	Roma	W 1-0	1799	1707	58.2%	31.0%	10.9%	+4.4	18
1976-12-12	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1707	1799	10.9%	31.0%	58.2%	-4.4	10
1976-12-12	Bologna	W 1-0	1722	1677	53.6%	33.0%	13.4%	+5.4	14
1976-12-12	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1677	1722	13.4%	33.0%	53.6%	-5.4	8
1976-12-12	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1658	1735	40.0%	35.7%	24.3%	-12.0	9
1976-12-12	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1735	1658	24.3%	35.7%	40.0%	+12.0	13
1976-12-19	Juventus	L 0-1	1672	1826	29.8%	35.1%	35.1%	-9.7	8
1976-12-19	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1826	1672	35.1%	35.1%	29.8%	+9.7	25
1976-12-19	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1726	1646	57.0%	31.6%	11.5%	-2.9	14
1976-12-19	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1646	1726	11.5%	31.6%	57.0%	+2.9	10
1976-12-19	AC Milan	W 2-1	1668	1735	41.2%	35.6%	23.2%	+7.8	10
1976-12-19	@ Foggia	L 1-2	1735	1668	23.2%	35.6%	41.2%	-7.8	9
1976-12-19	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1654	1745	38.2%	35.7%	26.1%	+14.6	8
1976-12-19	@ Genoa	L 1-3	1745	1654	26.1%	35.7%	38.2%	-14.6	16
1976-12-19	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1682	1662	51.0%	33.9%	15.1%	-2.5	12
1976-12-19	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1662	1682	15.1%	33.9%	51.0%	+2.5	8
1976-12-19	Napoli	W 3-2	1747	1803	42.5%	35.5%	22.0%	+7.1	16
1976-12-19	@ Inter Milan	L 2-3	1803	1747	22.0%	35.5%	42.5%	-7.1	18
1976-12-19	Perugia	D 2-2	1702	1727	46.2%	35.0%	18.7%	-1.2	11
1976-12-19	@ Roma	D 2-2	1727	1702	18.7%	35.0%	46.2%	+1.2	15
1976-12-19	Cesena	W 2-0	1917	1613	76.7%	18.4%	4.9%	+2.9	28
1976-12-19	@ Torino	L 0-2	1613	1917	4.9%	18.4%	76.7%	-2.9	2
1977-01-02	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1610	1665	42.7%	35.5%	21.8%	+7.9	5
1977-01-02	@ Cesena	L 0-1	1665	1610	21.8%	35.5%	42.7%	-7.9	8
1977-01-02	Bologna	W 3-0	1723	1662	55.1%	32.4%	12.5%	+13.7	17
1977-01-02	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1662	1723	12.5%	32.4%	55.1%	-13.7	8
1977-01-02	Genoa	L 2-3	1676	1669	49.7%	34.3%	16.0%	-12.7	10
1977-01-02	@ Foggia	W 3-2	1669	1676	16.0%	34.3%	49.7%	+12.7	11
1977-01-02	Torino	D 0-0	1680	1920	20.5%	32.4%	47.0%	+1.7	13
1977-01-02	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1920	1680	47.0%	32.4%	20.5%	-1.7	29
1977-01-02	Roma	W 3-0	1754	1701	54.4%	32.7%	12.9%	+14.2	19
1977-01-02	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1701	1754	12.9%	32.7%	54.4%	-14.2	11
1977-01-02	Perugia	W 1-0	1836	1728	59.6%	30.2%	10.2%	+4.1	28
1977-01-02	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1728	1836	10.2%	30.2%	59.6%	-4.1	15
1977-01-02	AC Milan	L 1-2	1731	1728	49.3%	34.4%	16.3%	-13.3	16
1977-01-02	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1728	1731	16.3%	34.4%	49.3%	+13.3	12
1977-01-02	Napoli	D 2-2	1649	1796	30.7%	35.2%	34.1%	+0.1	11
1977-01-02	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1796	1649	34.1%	35.2%	30.7%	-0.1	19
1977-01-09	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1741	1681	55.0%	32.4%	12.5%	-3.0	13
1977-01-09	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1681	1741	12.5%	32.4%	55.0%	+3.0	14
1977-01-09	Inter Milan	L 1-5	1648	1768	34.4%	35.5%	30.0%	-31.9	8
1977-01-09	@ Bologna	W 5-1	1768	1648	30.0%	35.5%	34.4%	+31.9	22
1977-01-09	Foggia	W 3-1	1657	1663	48.3%	34.6%	17.1%	+10.8	11
1977-01-09	@ Catanzaro	L 1-3	1663	1657	17.1%	34.6%	48.3%	-10.8	10
1977-01-09	Cesena	W 4-1	1681	1618	55.4%	32.3%	12.3%	+11.4	14
1977-01-09	@ Genoa	L 1-4	1618	1681	12.3%	32.3%	55.4%	-11.4	5
1977-01-09	Juventus	L 0-2	1796	1840	44.0%	35.4%	20.6%	-24.3	19
1977-01-09	@ Napoli	W 2-0	1840	1796	20.6%	35.4%	44.0%	+24.3	31
1977-01-09	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1724	1737	47.6%	34.8%	17.6%	-2.0	16
1977-01-09	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1737	1724	17.6%	34.8%	47.6%	+2.0	18
1977-01-09	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1687	1649	52.9%	33.3%	13.9%	+15.1	14
1977-01-09	@ Roma	L 0-3	1649	1687	13.9%	33.3%	52.9%	-15.1	11
1977-01-09	Lazio Roma	D 3-3	1918	1717	68.0%	24.9%	7.1%	-2.5	30
1977-01-09	@ Torino	D 3-3	1717	1918	7.1%	24.9%	68.0%	+2.5	17
1977-01-16	Torino	D 0-0	1738	1916	26.9%	34.5%	38.5%	+0.7	14
1977-01-16	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1916	1738	38.5%	34.5%	26.9%	-0.7	31
1977-01-16	Napoli	L 0-1	1616	1772	29.7%	35.0%	35.3%	-9.7	8
1977-01-16	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1772	1616	35.3%	35.0%	29.7%	+9.7	22
1977-01-16	Roma	D 1-1	1739	1702	52.7%	33.3%	13.9%	-2.4	19
1977-01-16	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1702	1739	13.9%	33.3%	52.7%	+2.4	15
1977-01-16	Cesena	L 0-2	1652	1607	53.7%	33.0%	13.3%	-28.6	10
1977-01-16	@ Foggia	W 2-0	1607	1652	13.3%	33.0%	53.7%	+28.6	8
1977-01-16	Catanzaro	W 2-0	1693	1668	51.6%	33.7%	14.7%	+11.0	17
1977-01-16	@ Genoa	L 0-2	1668	1693	14.7%	33.7%	51.6%	-11.0	11
1977-01-16	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1864	1800	55.5%	32.2%	12.3%	+9.3	34
1977-01-16	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1800	1864	12.3%	32.2%	55.5%	-9.3	22
1977-01-16	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1720	1684	52.7%	33.4%	14.0%	-2.4	18
1977-01-16	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1684	1720	14.0%	33.4%	52.7%	+2.4	15
1977-01-16	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1722	1634	57.8%	31.2%	11.1%	-3.4	17
1977-01-16	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1634	1722	11.1%	31.2%	57.8%	+3.4	12
1977-01-30	AC Milan	W 1-0	1657	1739	39.4%	35.7%	24.9%	+8.7	14
1977-01-30	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1739	1657	24.9%	35.7%	39.4%	-8.7	14
1977-01-30	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1635	1718	39.3%	35.7%	25.0%	-0.9	9
1977-01-30	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1718	1635	25.0%	35.7%	39.3%	+0.9	19
1977-01-30	Genoa	W 3-2	1687	1704	47.1%	34.9%	18.0%	+6.2	18
1977-01-30	@ Hellas Verona	L 2-3	1704	1687	18.0%	34.9%	47.1%	-6.2	17
1977-01-30	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1791	1736	54.5%	32.6%	12.8%	-2.6	23
1977-01-30	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1736	1791	12.8%	32.6%	54.5%	+2.6	20
1977-01-30	Perugia	D 1-1	1782	1719	55.3%	32.3%	12.4%	-2.7	23
1977-01-30	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1719	1782	12.4%	32.3%	55.3%	+2.7	18
1977-01-30	Juventus	W 3-1	1705	1874	28.0%	34.8%	37.3%	+18.3	18
1977-01-30	@ Roma	L 1-3	1874	1705	37.3%	34.8%	28.0%	-18.3	34
1977-01-30	Bologna	D 0-0	1637	1607	52.1%	33.5%	14.3%	-2.6	13
1977-01-30	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1607	1637	14.3%	33.5%	52.1%	+2.6	9
1977-01-30	Foggia	W 1-0	1915	1624	75.7%	19.2%	5.1%	+1.6	34
1977-01-30	@ Torino	L 0-1	1624	1915	5.1%	19.2%	75.7%	-1.6	10
1977-02-06	Cesena	D 0-0	1730	1634	58.5%	30.8%	10.7%	-3.5	15
1977-02-06	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1634	1730	10.7%	30.8%	58.5%	+3.4	10
1977-02-06	Roma	W 2-0	1609	1723	35.3%	35.6%	29.1%	+18.1	12
1977-02-06	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1723	1609	29.1%	35.6%	35.3%	-18.1	18
1977-02-06	Napoli	W 2-1	1739	1779	44.5%	35.3%	20.2%	+7.1	23
1977-02-06	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1779	1739	20.2%	35.3%	44.5%	-7.1	23
1977-02-06	Hellas Verona	W 4-1	1622	1693	40.8%	35.6%	23.6%	+19.3	13
1977-02-06	@ Foggia	L 1-4	1693	1622	23.6%	35.6%	40.8%	-19.3	18
1977-02-06	Torino	D 1-1	1698	1917	22.5%	33.3%	44.2%	+1.2	18
1977-02-06	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1917	1698	44.2%	33.3%	22.5%	-1.2	35
1977-02-06	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1855	1635	69.7%	23.7%	6.6%	+6.4	37
1977-02-06	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1635	1855	6.6%	23.7%	69.7%	-6.4	13
1977-02-06	Catanzaro	L 0-1	1718	1665	54.4%	32.7%	12.9%	-15.3	19
1977-02-06	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1665	1718	12.9%	32.7%	54.4%	+15.3	17
1977-02-06	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1722	1788	41.3%	35.6%	23.1%	-12.3	18
1977-02-06	@ Perugia	W 1-0	1788	1722	23.1%	35.6%	41.3%	+12.3	26
1977-02-13	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1628	1674	43.8%	35.4%	20.8%	-1.5	13
1977-02-13	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1674	1628	20.8%	35.4%	43.8%	+1.5	19
1977-02-13	Cesena	W 2-1	1746	1638	59.6%	30.2%	10.2%	+3.8	26
1977-02-13	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1638	1746	10.2%	30.2%	59.6%	-3.8	10
1977-02-13	Foggia	D 1-1	1800	1642	64.3%	27.4%	8.3%	-3.7	27
1977-02-13	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1642	1800	8.3%	27.4%	64.3%	+3.7	14
1977-02-13	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1862	1703	64.2%	27.4%	8.3%	+6.0	40
1977-02-13	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1703	1862	8.3%	27.4%	64.2%	-6.0	19
1977-02-13	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1772	1681	58.0%	31.0%	10.9%	+4.4	26
1977-02-13	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1681	1772	10.9%	31.0%	58.0%	-4.4	17
1977-02-13	AC Milan	W 3-1	1709	1727	47.1%	34.9%	18.0%	+11.2	21
1977-02-13	@ Perugia	L 1-3	1727	1709	18.0%	34.9%	47.1%	-11.2	15
1977-02-13	Genoa	W 1-0	1705	1699	49.6%	34.3%	16.1%	+6.3	21
1977-02-13	@ Roma	L 0-1	1699	1705	16.1%	34.3%	49.6%	-6.3	18
1977-02-13	Torino	L 2-3	1628	1915	16.9%	30.3%	52.8%	-5.4	13
1977-02-13	@ Sampdoria	W 3-2	1915	1628	52.8%	30.3%	16.9%	+5.4	38
1977-02-21	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1715	1623	58.1%	31.0%	10.9%	+11.9	18
1977-02-21	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1623	1715	10.9%	31.0%	58.1%	-11.9	13
1977-02-21	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1676	1797	34.4%	35.5%	30.1%	-17.5	17
1977-02-21	@ Catanzaro	W 3-1	1797	1676	30.1%	35.5%	34.4%	+17.5	30
1977-02-21	Roma	W 4-0	1634	1711	40.0%	35.7%	24.4%	+30.6	13
1977-02-21	@ Cesena	L 0-4	1711	1634	24.4%	35.7%	40.0%	-30.6	21
1977-02-21	Perugia	W 2-1	1645	1721	40.2%	35.6%	24.1%	+8.0	17
1977-02-21	@ Foggia	L 1-2	1721	1645	24.1%	35.6%	40.2%	-8.0	21
1977-02-21	Juventus	D 2-2	1693	1868	27.3%	34.6%	38.1%	+0.5	19
1977-02-21	@ Genoa	D 2-2	1868	1693	38.1%	34.6%	27.3%	-0.4	41
1977-02-21	Napoli	W 1-0	1675	1776	36.9%	35.7%	27.4%	+9.2	22
1977-02-21	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1776	1675	27.4%	35.7%	36.9%	-9.2	26
1977-02-21	Fiorentina	W 4-1	1697	1750	43.0%	35.5%	21.5%	+18.1	22
1977-02-21	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-4	1750	1697	21.5%	35.5%	43.0%	-18.1	26
1977-02-21	Bologna	W 1-0	1921	1626	76.0%	19.0%	5.0%	+1.6	41
1977-02-21	@ Torino	L 0-1	1626	1921	5.0%	19.0%	76.0%	-1.6	13
1977-02-28	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1624	1715	38.3%	35.7%	26.1%	+8.9	16
1977-02-28	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1715	1624	26.1%	35.7%	38.3%	-8.9	22
1977-02-28	AC Milan	D 1-1	1732	1727	49.4%	34.4%	16.2%	-2.0	27
1977-02-28	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1727	1732	16.2%	34.4%	49.4%	+2.0	19
1977-02-28	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1814	1684	61.6%	29.0%	9.3%	-3.8	31
1977-02-28	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1684	1814	9.3%	29.0%	61.6%	+3.8	23
1977-02-28	Foggia	W 1-0	1867	1653	69.1%	24.1%	6.8%	+2.4	44
1977-02-28	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1653	1867	6.8%	24.1%	69.1%	-2.4	17
1977-02-28	Genoa	D 1-1	1767	1693	56.4%	31.8%	11.8%	-2.9	27
1977-02-28	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1693	1767	11.8%	31.8%	56.4%	+2.9	20
1977-02-28	Cesena	W 1-0	1713	1664	53.9%	32.9%	13.2%	+5.3	24
1977-02-28	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1664	1713	13.2%	32.9%	53.9%	-5.3	13
1977-02-28	Torino	W 1-0	1680	1922	20.4%	32.4%	47.2%	+13.3	24
1977-02-28	@ Roma	L 0-1	1922	1680	47.2%	32.4%	20.4%	-13.3	41
1977-02-28	Catanzaro	W 3-1	1611	1659	43.6%	35.4%	21.0%	+12.6	16
1977-02-28	@ Sampdoria	L 1-3	1659	1611	21.0%	35.4%	43.6%	-12.6	17
1977-03-06	Napoli	D 1-1	1729	1764	45.1%	35.2%	19.7%	-1.5	20
1977-03-06	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1764	1729	19.7%	35.2%	45.1%	+1.5	28
1977-03-06	Juventus	L 0-2	1646	1870	22.1%	33.1%	44.8%	-14.5	17
1977-03-06	@ Catanzaro	W 2-0	1870	1646	44.8%	33.1%	22.1%	+14.5	47
1977-03-06	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1659	1810	30.2%	35.1%	34.7%	+0.3	14
1977-03-06	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1810	1659	34.7%	35.1%	30.2%	-0.3	32
1977-03-06	Bologna	W 1-0	1651	1633	50.8%	34.0%	15.2%	+6.0	20
1977-03-06	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1633	1651	15.2%	34.0%	50.8%	-6.0	16
1977-03-06	Perugia	D 0-0	1696	1718	46.5%	35.0%	18.5%	-1.9	21
1977-03-06	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1718	1696	18.5%	35.0%	46.5%	+1.9	25
1977-03-06	Roma	D 1-1	1688	1694	48.3%	34.6%	17.1%	-1.9	24
1977-03-06	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1694	1688	17.1%	34.6%	48.3%	+1.9	25
1977-03-06	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1706	1624	57.2%	31.4%	11.3%	+4.5	25
1977-03-06	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1624	1706	11.3%	31.4%	57.2%	-4.5	16
1977-03-06	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1909	1730	66.1%	26.2%	7.7%	+5.4	44
1977-03-06	@ Torino	L 0-2	1730	1909	7.7%	26.2%	66.1%	-5.4	27
1977-03-13	Cesena	D 0-0	1627	1659	45.4%	35.2%	19.4%	-1.7	17
1977-03-13	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1659	1627	19.4%	35.2%	45.4%	+1.7	15
1977-03-13	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1724	1686	52.9%	33.3%	13.8%	+5.2	30
1977-03-13	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1686	1724	13.8%	33.3%	52.9%	-5.2	24
1977-03-13	Torino	L 0-1	1810	1914	36.5%	35.6%	27.9%	-11.2	32
1977-03-13	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1914	1810	27.9%	35.6%	36.5%	+11.2	47
1977-03-13	AC Milan	W 2-1	1884	1728	64.0%	27.6%	8.4%	+3.0	50
1977-03-13	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1728	1884	8.4%	27.6%	64.0%	-3.0	20
1977-03-13	Foggia	W 3-2	1766	1657	59.7%	30.2%	10.2%	+3.6	31
1977-03-13	@ Napoli	L 2-3	1657	1766	10.2%	30.2%	59.7%	-3.6	20
1977-03-13	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1720	1711	49.9%	34.2%	15.9%	+11.7	28
1977-03-13	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1711	1720	15.9%	34.2%	49.9%	-11.7	25
1977-03-13	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1696	1632	55.5%	32.2%	12.3%	+4.9	28
1977-03-13	@ Roma	L 0-1	1632	1696	12.3%	32.2%	55.5%	-4.9	17
1977-03-13	Genoa	L 1-2	1619	1694	40.3%	35.6%	24.1%	-11.3	16
1977-03-13	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1694	1619	24.1%	35.6%	40.3%	+11.3	24
1977-03-20	Bologna	D 1-1	1725	1626	58.8%	30.6%	10.6%	-3.1	21
1977-03-20	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1626	1725	10.6%	30.6%	58.8%	+3.1	18
1977-03-20	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1627	1729	36.7%	35.7%	27.6%	-11.2	17
1977-03-20	@ Catanzaro	W 1-0	1729	1627	27.6%	35.7%	36.7%	+11.2	33
1977-03-20	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1661	1608	54.4%	32.7%	12.9%	-2.6	16
1977-03-20	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1608	1661	12.9%	32.7%	54.4%	+2.6	17
1977-03-20	Roma	W 1-0	1653	1701	43.6%	35.4%	21.0%	+7.7	23
1977-03-20	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1701	1653	21.0%	35.4%	43.6%	-7.7	28
1977-03-20	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1705	1799	37.9%	35.7%	26.4%	-0.5	25
1977-03-20	@ Genoa	D 2-2	1799	1705	26.4%	35.7%	37.9%	+0.5	33
1977-03-20	Juventus	D 0-0	1681	1887	23.8%	33.7%	42.5%	+1.2	25
1977-03-20	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1887	1681	42.5%	33.7%	23.8%	-1.2	51
1977-03-20	Napoli	D 0-0	1699	1769	40.9%	35.6%	23.5%	-1.1	26
1977-03-20	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1769	1699	23.5%	35.6%	40.9%	+1.1	32
1977-03-20	Perugia	W 2-1	1926	1732	67.4%	25.3%	7.3%	+2.5	50
1977-03-20	@ Torino	L 1-2	1732	1926	7.3%	25.3%	67.4%	-2.5	28
1977-03-27	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1629	1616	50.3%	34.1%	15.6%	-2.4	19
1977-03-27	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1616	1629	15.6%	34.1%	50.3%	+2.4	18
1977-03-27	Genoa	L 1-2	1741	1705	52.7%	33.4%	14.0%	-14.1	33
1977-03-27	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1705	1741	14.0%	33.4%	52.7%	+14.1	28
1977-03-27	AC Milan	D 0-0	1799	1722	56.8%	31.6%	11.6%	-3.2	34
1977-03-27	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1722	1799	11.6%	31.6%	56.8%	+3.2	22
1977-03-27	Cesena	W 3-2	1886	1659	70.3%	23.2%	6.5%	+2.0	54
1977-03-27	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1659	1886	6.5%	23.2%	70.3%	-2.0	16
1977-03-27	Torino	D 0-0	1770	1928	29.3%	35.0%	35.7%	+0.4	33
1977-03-27	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1928	1770	35.7%	35.0%	29.3%	-0.4	51
1977-03-27	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1729	1682	53.8%	32.9%	13.3%	-2.5	29
1977-03-27	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1682	1729	13.3%	32.9%	53.8%	+2.5	26
1977-03-27	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1693	1698	48.4%	34.6%	17.0%	+6.6	31
1977-03-27	@ Roma	L 0-1	1698	1693	17.0%	34.6%	48.4%	-6.6	26
1977-03-27	Foggia	W 2-1	1610	1661	43.2%	35.4%	21.3%	+7.3	20
1977-03-27	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1661	1610	21.3%	35.4%	43.2%	-7.3	23
1977-04-03	Roma	D 1-1	1725	1699	51.6%	33.7%	14.7%	-2.3	23
1977-04-03	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1699	1725	14.7%	33.7%	51.6%	+2.3	32
1977-04-03	Perugia	D 1-1	1618	1726	35.9%	35.6%	28.4%	-0.4	19
1977-04-03	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1726	1618	28.4%	35.6%	35.9%	+0.4	30
1977-04-03	Napoli	L 0-2	1657	1771	35.2%	35.6%	29.2%	-20.5	16
1977-04-03	@ Cesena	W 2-0	1771	1657	29.2%	35.6%	35.2%	+20.5	36
1977-04-03	Fiorentina	L 2-3	1654	1726	40.5%	35.6%	23.8%	-10.8	23
1977-04-03	@ Foggia	W 3-2	1726	1654	23.8%	35.6%	40.5%	+10.8	36
1977-04-03	Bologna	L 0-2	1719	1626	58.2%	31.0%	10.9%	-30.5	28
1977-04-03	@ Genoa	W 2-0	1626	1719	10.9%	31.0%	58.2%	+30.5	22
1977-04-03	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1685	1618	55.7%	32.1%	12.1%	-2.1	27
1977-04-03	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1618	1685	12.1%	32.1%	55.7%	+2.1	21
1977-04-03	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1691	1796	36.4%	35.6%	27.9%	+8.8	29
1977-04-03	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1796	1691	27.9%	35.6%	36.4%	-8.8	34
1977-04-03	Juventus	D 1-1	1928	1888	53.1%	33.2%	13.7%	-2.5	52
1977-04-03	@ Torino	D 1-1	1888	1928	13.7%	33.2%	53.1%	+2.5	55
1977-04-10	Perugia	W 1-0	1657	1727	40.9%	35.6%	23.5%	+8.4	25
1977-04-10	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1727	1657	23.5%	35.6%	40.9%	-8.3	30
1977-04-10	Juventus	L 1-3	1737	1890	29.9%	35.1%	35.0%	-15.9	36
1977-04-10	@ Fiorentina	W 3-1	1890	1737	35.0%	35.1%	29.9%	+15.9	58
1977-04-10	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1643	1700	42.4%	35.5%	22.1%	+8.0	26
1977-04-10	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1700	1643	22.1%	35.5%	42.4%	-8.0	29
1977-04-10	AC Milan	W 1-0	1689	1723	45.2%	35.2%	19.6%	+7.3	31
1977-04-10	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1723	1689	19.6%	35.2%	45.2%	-7.3	23
1977-04-10	Cesena	W 2-1	1683	1636	53.8%	33.0%	13.3%	+5.0	30
1977-04-10	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1636	1683	13.3%	33.0%	53.8%	-5.0	16
1977-04-10	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1787	1620	65.0%	26.9%	8.1%	-4.2	35
1977-04-10	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1620	1787	8.1%	26.9%	65.0%	+4.2	22
1977-04-10	Napoli	D 0-0	1702	1791	38.4%	35.7%	25.9%	-0.8	33
1977-04-10	@ Roma	D 0-0	1791	1702	25.9%	35.7%	38.4%	+0.8	37
1977-04-10	Catanzaro	W 3-1	1925	1618	77.0%	18.2%	4.8%	+2.4	55
1977-04-10	@ Torino	L 1-3	1618	1925	4.8%	18.2%	77.0%	-2.4	19
1977-04-17	Foggia	D 0-0	1715	1651	55.5%	32.2%	12.3%	-3.1	24
1977-04-17	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1651	1715	12.3%	32.2%	55.5%	+3.1	27
1977-04-17	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1615	1688	40.6%	35.6%	23.8%	+7.9	22
1977-04-17	@ Catanzaro	L 1-2	1688	1615	23.8%	35.6%	40.6%	-7.9	30
1977-04-17	Torino	L 0-3	1631	1928	16.2%	29.8%	54.0%	-15.9	16
1977-04-17	@ Cesena	W 3-0	1928	1631	54.0%	29.8%	16.2%	+15.9	58
1977-04-17	Bologna	W 2-1	1906	1665	71.5%	22.4%	6.2%	+2.0	61
1977-04-17	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1665	1906	6.2%	22.4%	71.5%	-2.0	25
1977-04-17	Genoa	W 4-1	1692	1696	48.6%	34.6%	16.9%	+15.1	32
1977-04-17	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-4	1696	1692	16.9%	34.6%	48.6%	-15.1	31
1977-04-17	Inter Milan	L 0-3	1792	1783	49.9%	34.2%	15.9%	-39.1	37
1977-04-17	@ Napoli	W 3-0	1783	1792	15.9%	34.2%	49.9%	+39.1	38
1977-04-17	Roma	W 3-0	1719	1701	50.8%	34.0%	15.2%	+16.5	33
1977-04-17	@ Perugia	L 0-3	1701	1719	15.2%	34.0%	50.8%	-16.5	33
1977-04-17	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1624	1721	37.4%	35.7%	26.9%	-0.4	23
1977-04-17	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1721	1624	26.9%	35.7%	37.4%	+0.4	37
1977-04-24	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1712	1707	49.5%	34.3%	16.2%	-1.5	25
1977-04-24	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1707	1712	16.2%	34.3%	49.5%	+1.5	33
1977-04-24	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1663	1722	42.3%	35.5%	22.2%	+15.1	28
1977-04-24	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1722	1663	22.2%	35.5%	42.3%	-15.1	37
1977-04-24	Cesena	W 4-2	1623	1615	49.8%	34.2%	16.0%	+9.1	25
1977-04-24	@ Catanzaro	L 2-4	1615	1623	16.0%	34.2%	49.8%	-9.1	16
1977-04-24	Foggia	L 1-2	1681	1654	51.8%	33.7%	14.6%	-13.9	31
1977-04-24	@ Genoa	W 2-1	1654	1681	14.6%	33.7%	51.8%	+13.9	30
1977-04-24	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1753	1624	61.6%	29.1%	9.3%	-3.4	38
1977-04-24	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1624	1753	9.3%	29.1%	61.6%	+3.4	24
1977-04-24	Juventus	D 1-1	1735	1908	27.5%	34.6%	37.9%	+0.6	34
1977-04-24	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1908	1735	37.9%	34.6%	27.5%	-0.6	62
1977-04-24	Inter Milan	L 2-3	1685	1822	32.0%	35.3%	32.7%	-9.1	33
1977-04-24	@ Roma	W 3-2	1822	1685	32.7%	35.3%	32.0%	+9.1	41
1977-04-24	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1944	1680	73.4%	20.9%	5.7%	+1.9	61
1977-04-24	@ Torino	L 0-1	1680	1944	5.7%	20.9%	73.4%	-1.9	30
1977-05-02	Genoa	D 1-1	1606	1667	42.0%	35.5%	22.4%	-1.1	17
1977-05-02	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1667	1606	22.4%	35.5%	42.0%	+1.1	32
1977-05-02	Perugia	W 1-0	1707	1736	45.8%	35.1%	19.1%	+7.2	40
1977-05-02	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1736	1707	19.1%	35.1%	45.8%	-7.2	34
1977-05-02	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1668	1632	52.6%	33.4%	14.0%	+5.6	33
1977-05-02	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1632	1668	14.0%	33.4%	52.6%	-5.6	25
1977-05-02	AC Milan	D 0-0	1678	1711	45.3%	35.2%	19.5%	-1.7	31
1977-05-02	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1711	1678	19.5%	35.2%	45.3%	+1.7	26
1977-05-02	Bologna	D 0-0	1831	1678	63.7%	27.7%	8.5%	-4.0	42
1977-05-02	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1678	1831	8.5%	27.7%	63.7%	+4.0	29
1977-05-02	Napoli	W 2-1	1908	1749	64.2%	27.4%	8.3%	+3.0	65
1977-05-02	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1749	1908	8.3%	27.4%	64.2%	-3.0	38
1977-05-02	Torino	D 0-0	1709	1946	20.8%	32.6%	46.6%	+1.7	34
1977-05-02	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1946	1709	46.6%	32.6%	20.8%	-1.7	62
1977-05-02	Roma	W 1-0	1627	1675	43.5%	35.4%	21.1%	+7.7	27
1977-05-02	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1675	1627	21.1%	35.4%	43.5%	-7.7	33
1977-05-08	Genoa	W 2-1	1627	1668	44.3%	35.3%	20.4%	+7.1	28
1977-05-08	@ Catanzaro	L 1-2	1668	1627	20.4%	35.3%	44.3%	-7.1	32
1977-05-08	Foggia	L 2-3	1605	1673	41.1%	35.6%	23.3%	-10.9	17
1977-05-08	@ Cesena	W 3-2	1673	1605	23.3%	35.6%	41.1%	+10.9	36
1977-05-08	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1676	1711	45.1%	35.2%	19.7%	-1.7	32
1977-05-08	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1711	1676	19.7%	35.2%	45.1%	+1.7	35
1977-05-08	Juventus	L 0-2	1827	1911	39.2%	35.7%	25.1%	-22.2	42
1977-05-08	@ Inter Milan	W 2-0	1911	1827	25.1%	35.7%	39.2%	+22.2	68
1977-05-08	Bologna	L 1-2	1746	1682	55.5%	32.2%	12.3%	-14.7	38
1977-05-08	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1682	1746	12.3%	32.2%	55.5%	+14.7	32
1977-05-08	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1668	1714	43.8%	35.4%	20.9%	-1.5	34
1977-05-08	@ Roma	D 0-0	1714	1668	20.9%	35.4%	43.8%	+1.5	41
1977-05-08	Perugia	W 2-0	1635	1728	37.9%	35.7%	26.4%	+17.0	30
1977-05-08	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1728	1635	26.4%	35.7%	37.9%	-17.0	34
1977-05-08	AC Milan	W 2-0	1944	1712	70.7%	23.0%	6.4%	+4.2	65
1977-05-08	@ Torino	L 0-2	1712	1944	6.4%	23.0%	70.7%	-4.2	26
1977-05-15	Catanzaro	W 3-2	1708	1634	56.5%	31.8%	11.7%	+4.2	29
1977-05-15	@ AC Milan	L 2-3	1634	1708	11.7%	31.8%	56.5%	-4.2	28
1977-05-15	Sampdoria	W 4-1	1697	1652	53.6%	33.0%	13.4%	+12.4	35
1977-05-15	@ Bologna	L 1-4	1652	1697	13.4%	33.0%	53.6%	-12.4	30
1977-05-15	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1715	1805	38.4%	35.7%	25.9%	+24.4	44
1977-05-15	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1805	1715	25.9%	35.7%	38.4%	-24.4	42
1977-05-15	Torino	L 0-1	1684	1948	18.6%	31.4%	50.0%	-6.6	36
1977-05-15	@ Foggia	W 1-0	1948	1684	50.0%	31.4%	18.6%	+6.6	68
1977-05-15	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1661	1675	47.5%	34.8%	17.7%	+6.8	35
1977-05-15	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1675	1661	17.7%	34.8%	47.5%	-6.8	32
1977-05-15	Roma	W 1-0	1933	1666	73.7%	20.8%	5.6%	+1.8	71
1977-05-15	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1666	1933	5.6%	20.8%	73.7%	-1.8	34
1977-05-15	Cesena	W 3-0	1712	1594	60.6%	29.7%	9.8%	+10.6	38
1977-05-15	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1594	1712	9.8%	29.7%	60.6%	-10.6	17
1977-05-15	Napoli	W 4-2	1711	1732	46.7%	34.9%	18.3%	+10.2	37
1977-05-15	@ Perugia	L 2-4	1732	1711	18.3%	34.9%	46.7%	-10.2	38
1977-05-22	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1630	1723	37.9%	35.7%	26.4%	-10.8	28
1977-05-22	@ Catanzaro	W 2-1	1723	1630	26.4%	35.7%	37.9%	+10.8	41
1977-05-22	AC Milan	L 0-2	1583	1712	33.2%	35.5%	31.4%	-19.7	17
1977-05-22	@ Cesena	W 2-0	1712	1583	31.4%	35.5%	33.2%	+19.7	32
1977-05-22	Foggia	W 2-1	1668	1678	47.9%	34.7%	17.4%	+6.3	35
1977-05-22	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1678	1668	17.4%	34.7%	47.9%	-6.3	36
1977-05-22	Perugia	D 1-1	1781	1722	55.0%	32.5%	12.6%	-2.7	43
1977-05-22	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1722	1781	12.6%	32.5%	55.0%	+2.7	38
1977-05-22	Fiorentina	L 0-2	1722	1740	47.0%	34.9%	18.1%	-25.6	38
1977-05-22	@ Napoli	W 2-0	1740	1722	18.1%	34.9%	47.0%	+25.6	47
1977-05-22	Bologna	W 1-0	1664	1709	43.9%	35.4%	20.7%	+7.6	37
1977-05-22	@ Roma	L 0-1	1709	1664	20.7%	35.4%	43.9%	-7.6	35
1977-05-22	Juventus	L 0-2	1639	1935	16.3%	29.8%	53.8%	-11.0	30
1977-05-22	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1935	1639	53.8%	29.8%	16.3%	+11.0	74
1977-05-22	Genoa	W 5-1	1955	1668	75.3%	19.5%	5.2%	+4.9	71
1977-05-22	@ Torino	L 1-5	1668	1955	5.2%	19.5%	75.3%	-4.9	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1977-04-03	10.86%	Bologna	1626	2	@ Genoa	1719	0
2	1977-05-08	12.29%	Bologna	1682	2	@ Napoli	1746	1
3	1977-02-06	12.91%	Catanzaro	1665	1	@ Lazio Roma	1718	0
4	1977-01-16	13.34%	Cesena	1607	2	@ Foggia	1652	0
5	1976-11-28	13.77%	Bologna	1666	2	@ Catanzaro	1705	1
6	1977-03-27	13.98%	Genoa	1705	2	@ Fiorentina	1741	1
7	1977-04-24	14.57%	Foggia	1654	2	@ Genoa	1681	1
8	1976-10-10	15.17%	Lazio Roma	1701	1	@ Fiorentina	1719	0
9	1977-04-17	15.90%	Inter Milan	1783	3	@ Napoli	1792	0
10	1977-01-02	16.00%	Genoa	1669	3	@ Foggia	1676	2
11	1977-01-02	16.33%	AC Milan	1728	2	@ Lazio Roma	1731	1
12	1976-10-03	16.60%	Fiorentina	1706	2	@ Cesena	1705	1
13	1976-12-05	16.92%	Torino	1860	2	@ Juventus	1856	0
14	1976-11-07	17.97%	Fiorentina	1697	2	@ Hellas Verona	1681	1
15	1977-05-22	18.14%	Fiorentina	1740	2	@ Napoli	1722	0
16	1976-10-24	18.85%	Perugia	1706	3	@ Cesena	1680	0
17	1977-02-28	20.39%	@ Roma	1680	1	Torino	1922	0
18	1976-12-12	20.55%	Hellas Verona	1669	1	@ Cesena	1626	0
19	1977-01-09	20.59%	Juventus	1840	2	@ Napoli	1796	0
20	1977-02-06	23.09%	Inter Milan	1788	1	@ Perugia	1722	0
21	1977-05-08	23.32%	Foggia	1673	3	@ Cesena	1605	2
22	1977-04-03	23.84%	Fiorentina	1726	3	@ Foggia	1654	2
23	1977-03-13	24.08%	Genoa	1694	2	@ Sampdoria	1619	1
24	1976-12-12	24.30%	Inter Milan	1735	1	@ Sampdoria	1658	0
25	1977-05-08	25.11%	Juventus	1911	2	@ Inter Milan	1827	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-04-17	39.09	Inter Milan	3	1783	15.90%	@ Napoli	0	1792	49.87%
2	1976-10-24	36.63	Perugia	3	1706	18.85%	@ Cesena	0	1680	46.09%
3	1977-01-09	31.94	Inter Milan	5	1768	30.01%	@ Bologna	1	1648	34.44%
4	1976-10-10	31.90	Torino	3	1802	25.69%	@ Bologna	0	1714	38.63%
5	1976-12-12	30.60	Torino	4	1886	40.76%	@ Catanzaro	0	1693	25.13%
6	1977-02-21	30.58	@ Cesena	4	1634	39.99%	Roma	0	1711	24.36%
7	1977-04-03	30.46	Bologna	2	1626	10.86%	@ Genoa	0	1719	58.18%
8	1977-01-16	28.59	Cesena	2	1607	13.34%	@ Foggia	0	1652	53.68%
9	1976-12-05	26.31	Torino	2	1860	16.92%	@ Juventus	0	1856	48.50%
10	1977-05-22	25.62	Fiorentina	2	1740	18.14%	@ Napoli	0	1722	46.96%
11	1977-05-15	24.41	@ Fiorentina	3	1715	38.38%	Inter Milan	0	1805	25.94%
12	1977-01-09	24.32	Juventus	2	1840	20.59%	@ Napoli	0	1796	44.05%
13	1977-05-08	22.21	Juventus	2	1911	25.11%	@ Inter Milan	0	1827	39.21%
14	1977-04-03	20.52	Napoli	2	1771	29.20%	@ Cesena	0	1657	35.20%
15	1977-05-22	19.69	AC Milan	2	1712	31.35%	@ Cesena	0	1583	33.19%
16	1977-02-06	19.31	@ Foggia	4	1622	40.80%	Hellas Verona	1	1693	23.57%
17	1977-01-30	18.35	@ Roma	3	1705	27.97%	Juventus	1	1874	37.27%
18	1977-02-21	18.14	@ Lazio Roma	4	1697	42.99%	Fiorentina	1	1750	21.54%
19	1977-02-06	18.11	@ Bologna	2	1609	35.29%	Roma	0	1723	29.11%
20	1977-02-21	17.46	Inter Milan	3	1797	30.11%	@ Catanzaro	1	1676	34.35%
21	1977-05-08	17.02	@ Sampdoria	2	1635	37.89%	Perugia	0	1728	26.43%
22	1977-04-17	16.45	@ Perugia	3	1719	50.81%	Roma	0	1701	15.23%
23	1976-11-28	16.00	@ Hellas Verona	2	1665	40.25%	Perugia	0	1740	24.11%
24	1977-04-17	15.91	Torino	3	1928	54.00%	@ Cesena	0	1631	16.23%
25	1977-04-10	15.89	Juventus	3	1890	34.96%	@ Fiorentina	1	1737	29.95%