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1976-77 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

51 points · 17th Title

Last Title: 1974-75

Relegated

Cesena

14 pts

Catanzaro · 21 pts

Sampdoria · 24 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Juventus

12.05 points above expected

51 points · 38.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cesena

10.43 points below expected

14 points · 24.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 30 23 5 2 51 50 20 +30 38.95 +12.05
2 Torino 30 21 8 1 50 51 14 +37 41.97 +8.03
3 Fiorentina 30 12 11 7 35 38 31 +7 30.55 +4.45
4 Inter Milan 30 10 13 7 33 34 27 +7 33.92 -0.92
5 Lazio Roma 30 10 11 9 31 34 28 +6 30.26 +0.74
6 Perugia 30 9 11 10 29 32 28 +4 30.56 -1.56
7 Napoli* 30 9 11 10 28 37 38 -1 32.05 -4.05
8 Roma 30 9 10 11 28 27 33 -6 27.78 +0.22
9 Hellas Verona 30 7 14 9 28 26 32 -6 27.76 +0.24
10 AC Milan 30 5 17 8 27 30 33 -3 30.90 -3.90
11 Genoa 30 8 11 11 27 40 45 -5 27.32 -0.32
12 Bologna 30 8 11 11 27 24 31 -7 25.70 +1.30
13 Foggia 30 10 6 14 26 33 39 -6 26.97 -0.97
14 Sampdoria Relegated 30 6 12 12 24 28 42 -14 24.58 -0.58
15 Catanzaro Relegated 30 7 7 16 21 26 43 -17 25.30 -4.30
16 Cesena Relegated 30 3 8 19 14 22 48 -26 24.43 -10.43

* Point deductions: Napoli (-1 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Juventus 51 38.95 +12.05
2 Torino 50 41.97 +8.03
3 Fiorentina 35 30.55 +4.45
4 Bologna 27 25.70 +1.30
5 Lazio Roma 31 30.26 +0.74

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cesena 14 24.43 -10.43
2 Catanzaro 21 25.30 -4.30
3 Napoli 28 32.05 -4.05
4 AC Milan 27 30.90 -3.90
5 Perugia 29 30.56 -1.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 7 Oct 3 – Nov 28 1 in 375
2 Genoa 4 Dec 19 – Jan 16 1 in 64
3 Foggia 3 Apr 24 – May 8 1 in 56
4 Inter Milan 4 Dec 12 – Jan 9 1 in 52
5 Torino 5 Oct 3 – Nov 7 1 in 48

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Foggia 4 Jan 2 – Jan 30 1 in 169
2 Catanzaro 6 Feb 13 – Mar 20 1 in 131
3 Napoli 4 May 2 – May 22 1 in 121
4 Bologna 5 Dec 12 – Jan 16 1 in 61
5 Cesena 5 Nov 21 – Dec 19 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sampdoria 8 Mar 20 – May 8 1 in 99
2 Fiorentina 12 Nov 7 – Feb 13 1 in 72
3 Lazio Roma 8 Oct 10 – Dec 12 1 in 22
4 Torino 17 Oct 3 – Feb 21 1 in 22
5 Hellas Verona 6 Dec 12 – Jan 30 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Milan 7 Feb 28 – Apr 10 1 in 80
2 AC Milan 11 Feb 28 – May 8 1 in 71
3 Lazio Roma 9 Dec 5 – Feb 13 1 in 57
4 Cesena 13 Feb 28 – May 22 1 in 42
5 Napoli 7 Apr 10 – May 22 1 in 29

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Juventus 2007 51 +51 9 6.8 +2.2
Torino 2017 50 +17 9 7.7 +1.3
Fiorentina 1798 35 +68 7 4.7 +2.3
Inter Milan 1790 33 -73 4 6.2 -2.2
Lazio Roma 1751 31 +38 7 4.6 +2.4
Perugia 1733 29 -19 4 4.4 -0.4
Napoli 1668 29 -82 1 5.2 -4.2
Hellas Verona 1674 28 -8 4 4.9 -0.9
Roma 1665 28 -14 3 4.3 -1.3
Bologna 1728 27 +56 7 4.6 +2.4
AC Milan 1735 27 +31 6 4.9 +1.1
Genoa 1656 27 -26 3 4.6 -1.6
Foggia 1675 26 +27 6 4.2 +1.8
Sampdoria 1630 24 +13 5 3.9 +1.1
Catanzaro 1598 21 -4 4 4.7 -0.7
Cesena 1528 14 -75 1 4.4 -3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM BOL CAT CES FIO FOG GEN HV IM JUV LR NAP PER ROM SAM TOR
AC Milan —
0-2-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.42
0-2-0
2.74
0-1-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.92
0-2-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
1.91
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.79
0-2-0
2.75
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
1.33
Bologna
0-2-0
2.12
 —
1-1-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.46
0-2-0
2.53
0-1-1
1.71
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.79
Catanzaro
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.68
 —
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.20
0-2-0
1.94
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
1.17
Cesena
0-1-1
1.87
0-2-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.42
 —
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.27
0-2-0
1.70
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
0.95
Fiorentina
0-2-0
2.55
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
2.94
 —
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.08
0-1-1
1.74
0-0-2
2.98
2-0-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.55
0-2-0
2.96
0-2-0
3.25
0-0-2
1.65
Foggia
1-1-0
2.25
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.24
 —
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.30
0-2-0
2.10
0-0-2
1.68
1-1-0
2.17
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
1.07
Genoa
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.72
 —
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
1.62
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
1.21
Hellas Verona
0-2-0
2.44
0-2-0
2.73
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
3.01
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.63
 —
1-1-0
2.03
0-1-1
1.40
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.16
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
1.14
Inter Milan
0-2-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.34
0-2-0
3.60
0-1-1
3.20
0-2-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
3.28
 —
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
3.05
2-0-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
1.93
Juventus
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.09
 —
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.97
2-0-0
4.29
0-1-1
2.46
Lazio Roma
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.30
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.01
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.22
0-0-2
1.98
 —
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.18
0-2-0
1.23
Napoli
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.46
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.46
0-0-2
2.55
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.24
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
2.13
0-2-0
3.05
 —
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.24
0-2-0
3.55
0-1-1
1.70
Perugia
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
3.34
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.94
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.47
 —
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
3.25
0-1-1
1.76
Roma
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.69
0-2-0
2.71
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
1.40
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.48
 —
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
1.29
Sampdoria
0-1-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.54
0-2-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.09
0-1-1
2.10
0-2-0
1.75
1-1-0
2.05
1-0-1
2.42
 —
0-0-2
1.20
Torino
1-1-0
4.03
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
4.23
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
3.67
2-0-0
4.34
1-1-0
4.18
1-1-0
4.24
2-0-0
3.37
1-1-0
2.82
0-2-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.57
1-0-1
4.04
2-0-0
4.14
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +9.8
Allowed 0.79 -9.1
Differential 0.96 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.83%10.42%5.00%3.12%0.42%—34.79%
110.42%13.33%6.25%2.71%1.25%0.42%34.38%
25.00%6.25%4.58%2.71%0.42%—18.96%
33.12%2.71%2.71%0.83%——9.38%
40.42%1.25%0.42%———2.08%
5+—0.42%————0.42%
Total34.79%34.38%18.96%9.38%2.08%0.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.11 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.45
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%3.33%———36.67%
1—20.00%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
23.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%——23.33%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.10 -0.10
SD 0.95 0.99 1.06
CV 0.95 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%20.00%—10.00%——56.67%
16.67%3.33%3.33%——3.33%16.67%
210.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%33.33%6.67%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.03 -0.23
SD 1.10 1.27 1.59
CV 1.37 1.23 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
110.00%13.33%10.00%10.00%——43.33%
2—6.67%—3.33%——10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%40.00%20.00%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.43 -0.57
SD 0.97 1.10 1.41
CV 1.12 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%13.33%10.00%——50.00%
13.33%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%——6.67%3.33%—13.33%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%20.00%26.67%20.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.60 -0.87
SD 0.94 1.28 1.53
CV 1.29 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%6.67%———26.67%
16.67%20.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
23.33%16.67%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%—3.33%———10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%46.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.03 +0.23
SD 1.08 0.96 1.45
CV 0.85 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%3.33%———33.33%
113.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%10.00%3.33%10.00%——26.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%33.33%16.67%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.30 -0.20
SD 1.03 1.18 1.32
CV 0.94 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
16.67%16.67%10.00%—3.33%3.33%40.00%
23.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%——30.00%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%40.00%30.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.50 -0.17
SD 0.99 1.17 1.42
CV 0.75 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%6.67%—3.33%——40.00%
110.00%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
3——3.33%3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%23.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.07 -0.20
SD 0.90 1.17 1.13
CV 1.04 1.10 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%——40.00%
110.00%20.00%3.33%———33.33%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
36.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total36.67%40.00%20.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.90 +0.23
SD 1.31 0.84 1.48
CV 1.15 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—3.33%———10.00%
123.33%6.67%—3.33%——33.33%
220.00%13.33%3.33%———36.67%
36.67%3.33%10.00%———20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total56.67%23.33%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.67 +1.00
SD 0.92 0.88 1.14
CV 0.55 1.33 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%6.67%———40.00%
113.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
2—6.67%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
36.67%——3.33%——10.00%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total40.00%36.67%13.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.93 +0.20
SD 1.25 0.98 1.42
CV 1.10 1.05 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——26.67%
110.00%16.67%13.33%———40.00%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
33.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%26.67%33.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.27 -0.03
SD 1.04 1.08 1.35
CV 0.84 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%———33.33%
110.00%23.33%10.00%———43.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%46.67%23.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.93 +0.13
SD 1.08 0.74 1.31
CV 1.01 0.79 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%—43.33%
116.67%16.67%————33.33%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%——13.33%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%13.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.10 -0.20
SD 0.99 1.09 1.58
CV 1.11 0.99 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%6.67%10.00%——43.33%
13.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
23.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%——23.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%36.67%20.00%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.40 -0.47
SD 0.98 1.13 1.46
CV 1.05 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%————16.67%
123.33%10.00%————33.33%
216.67%6.67%————23.33%
36.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total63.33%30.00%3.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.47 +1.23
SD 1.26 0.73 1.22
CV 0.74 1.56 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Torino 2017 50 41.97 +8.03 100.0% 34 36 39 41 45 47 49
Juventus 2007 51 38.95 +12.05 100.0% 28 32 36 39 41 45 48
Fiorentina 1798 35 30.55 +4.45 86.0% 19 22 27 31 34 38 40
Inter Milan 1790 33 33.92 -0.92 42.0% 23 27 31 34 37 39 42
Lazio Roma 1751 31 30.26 +0.74 60.0% 22 23 27 30 34 36 40
AC Milan 1735 27 30.90 -3.90 22.0% 24 25 28 31 34 36 44
Perugia 1733 29 30.56 -1.56 37.0% 22 25 28 30 32 36 41
Bologna 1728 27 25.70 +1.30 62.0% 17 19 23 25 29 31 34
Foggia 1675 26 26.97 -0.97 44.0% 18 20 24 27 30 33 38
Hellas Verona 1674 28 27.76 +0.24 59.0% 15 22 25 28 30 34 39
Napoli 1668 28 32.05 -4.05 20.0% 22 25 29 32 35 38 42
Roma 1665 28 27.78 +0.22 57.0% 19 21 26 28 30 33 43
Genoa 1656 27 27.32 -0.32 48.0% 19 21 24 28 30 33 38
Sampdoria 1630 24 24.58 -0.58 52.0% 17 18 22 24 28 31 35
Catanzaro 1598 21 25.30 -4.30 16.0% 15 19 22 25 28 31 38
Cesena 1528 14 24.43 -10.43 0.0% 15 18 22 24 27 31 35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 27.5% * Clear Edge: 27.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.42%
Slight Edge
45.42%34.58%20.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
242 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
090.29800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Juventus, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.13 * Some Luck: 3.13 to 4.7 * Lucky: 4.7 to 6.27 * Wild Swing: 6.27 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.09 * Close: 2.09 to 3.14 * Off: 3.14 to 4.19 * Way Off: 4.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.5 * A Surprise: 1.5 to 2.4 * Several Surprises: 2.4 to 3.3 * Many Surprises: 3.3 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.97 points
Lucky
03.9210
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.626
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
100.00%
Juventus
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.00%
Cesena
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.53

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64% * Slight Edge: 64% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90.5% * Strong Edge: 90.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 62.5% * Some Drama: 62.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 71% * Very Frequent: 71% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11% * Occasional: 11% to 13.5% * Frequent: 13.5% to 16.5% * Very Frequent: 16.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Top-Heavy
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 130.64
2.11
Wide Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Even
50%64%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
73%
Very Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
10%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 19.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 19.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.75
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Weak Carryover
00.560.731
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.64
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.37
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1090.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Juventus24.00%44.00%19.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%——1.00%——————
Torino69.00%25.00%4.00%2.00%————————————
Fiorentina—2.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%
Inter Milan3.00%13.00%24.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%———
Lazio Roma—3.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Perugia—5.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%14.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Napoli2.00%3.00%14.00%12.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%
Roma1.00%——2.00%3.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%17.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%3.00%
Hellas Verona—2.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%
AC Milan—1.00%5.00%15.00%17.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%——
Genoa—1.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%
Bologna—————5.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%16.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%
Foggia1.00%——2.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%
Sampdoria——1.00%1.00%1.00%—6.00%3.00%8.00%1.00%7.00%5.00%15.00%12.00%21.00%19.00%
Catanzaro—1.00%——3.00%2.00%5.00%1.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%16.00%
Cesena———1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%18.00%16.00%20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Inter Milan 100% —
Juventus 100% —
Torino 100% —
Perugia 98.00% 2.00%
Napoli 97.00% 3.00%
AC Milan 96.00% 4.00%
Lazio Roma 91.00% 9.00%
Fiorentina 89.00% 11.00%
Roma 83.00% 17.00%
Hellas Verona 81.00% 19.00%
Foggia 75.00% 25.00%
Genoa 74.00% 26.00%
Bologna 66.00% 34.00%
Catanzaro 56.00% 44.00%
Sampdoria 48.00% 52.00%
Cesena 46.00% 54.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1976-10-03 Perugia W 2-161.4 1764 1713 52.59% 35.38% 12.03%+0.59 +7.6 2
1976-10-03 @ AC Milan L 1-261.4 1713 1764 12.03% 35.38% 52.59%-0.59 -7.6 0
1976-10-03 Napoli D 0-064.7 1712 1782 40.39% 36.64% 22.97%+0.09 -1.7 1
1976-10-03 @ Catanzaro D 0-064.7 1782 1712 22.97% 36.64% 40.39%-0.09 +1.7 1
1976-10-03 Fiorentina L 1-272.3 1716 1712 48.45% 36.08% 15.47%+0.39 -20.6 0
1976-10-03 @ Cesena W 2-172.3 1712 1716 15.47% 36.08% 48.45%-0.39 +20.7 2
1976-10-03 Inter Milan D 0-064.5 1695 1751 42.05% 36.59% 21.37%+0.14 -2.1 1
1976-10-03 @ Foggia D 0-064.5 1751 1695 21.37% 36.59% 42.05%-0.14 +2.1 1
1976-10-03 Roma D 2-275.2 1679 1701 45.80% 36.36% 17.84%+0.28 -1.9 1
1976-10-03 @ Genoa D 2-275.2 1701 1679 17.84% 36.36% 45.80%-0.28 +1.9 1
1976-10-03 Bologna D 3-378.6 1689 1721 44.68% 36.45% 18.88%+0.24 -1.5 1
1976-10-03 @ Hellas Verona D 3-378.6 1721 1689 18.88% 36.45% 44.68%-0.24 +1.5 1
1976-10-03 Juventus L 2-374.2 1720 1813 37.50% 36.67% 25.83%-0.01 -15.9 0
1976-10-03 @ Lazio Roma W 3-274.2 1813 1720 25.83% 36.67% 37.50%+0.01 +15.9 2
1976-10-03 Sampdoria W 3-155.1 1816 1669 59.42% 33.23% 7.35%+0.98 +8.5 2
1976-10-03 @ Torino L 1-355.1 1669 1816 7.35% 33.23% 59.42%-0.98 -8.5 0
1976-10-10 Torino L 0-357.7 1723 1824 36.41% 36.66% 26.93%-0.04 -47.6 1
1976-10-10 @ Bologna W 3-057.7 1824 1723 26.93% 36.66% 36.41%+0.04 +47.6 4
1976-10-10 Lazio Roma L 0-166.8 1732 1704 50.59% 35.77% 13.65%+0.49 -22.8 2
1976-10-10 @ Fiorentina W 1-066.8 1704 1732 13.65% 35.77% 50.59%-0.49 +22.8 2
1976-10-10 Catanzaro W 2-161.6 1753 1710 51.84% 35.54% 12.62%+0.55 +7.9 3
1976-10-10 @ Inter Milan L 1-261.6 1710 1753 12.62% 35.54% 51.84%-0.55 -7.9 1
1976-10-10 Genoa W 1-053.3 1829 1677 59.77% 33.08% 7.15%+1.00 +5.1 4
1976-10-10 @ Juventus L 0-153.3 1677 1829 7.15% 33.08% 59.77%-1.00 -5.1 1
1976-10-10 Hellas Verona W 3-048.8 1784 1688 56.03% 34.48% 9.49%+0.77 +18.1 3
1976-10-10 @ Napoli L 0-348.8 1688 1784 9.49% 34.48% 56.03%-0.77 -18.1 1
1976-10-10 Foggia W 1-055.9 1705 1693 49.17% 35.98% 14.84%+0.42 +9.5 2
1976-10-10 @ Perugia L 0-155.9 1693 1705 14.84% 35.98% 49.17%-0.42 -9.5 1
1976-10-10 Cesena W 2-052.1 1703 1696 48.72% 36.05% 15.23%+0.40 +18.2 3
1976-10-10 @ Roma L 0-252.1 1696 1703 15.23% 36.05% 48.72%-0.40 -18.2 0
1976-10-10 AC Milan D 0-064.4 1661 1772 35.15% 36.64% 28.21%-0.08 -0.7 1
1976-10-10 @ Sampdoria D 0-064.4 1772 1661 28.21% 36.64% 35.15%+0.08 +0.7 3
1976-10-24 Fiorentina D 0-065.1 1772 1709 53.52% 35.17% 11.31%+0.63 -4.7 4
1976-10-24 @ AC Milan D 0-065.1 1709 1772 11.31% 35.17% 53.52%-0.63 +4.7 3
1976-10-24 Sampdoria W 1-054.9 1703 1660 51.85% 35.54% 12.62%+0.55 +8.4 3
1976-10-24 @ Catanzaro L 0-154.9 1660 1703 12.62% 35.54% 51.85%-0.55 -8.4 1
1976-10-24 Perugia L 0-359.3 1677 1715 44.14% 36.48% 19.37%+0.22 -55.3 0
1976-10-24 @ Cesena W 3-059.3 1715 1677 19.37% 36.48% 44.14%-0.22 +55.3 4
1976-10-24 Juventus L 0-161.1 1683 1834 29.62% 36.43% 33.96%-0.25 -15.1 1
1976-10-24 @ Foggia W 1-061.1 1834 1683 33.96% 36.43% 29.62%+0.25 +15.1 6
1976-10-24 Napoli L 2-372.5 1672 1802 32.58% 36.57% 30.85%-0.16 -14.4 1
1976-10-24 @ Genoa W 3-272.5 1802 1672 30.85% 36.57% 32.58%+0.16 +14.4 5
1976-10-24 Inter Milan W 1-059.6 1670 1761 37.73% 36.67% 25.60%+0.00 +13.8 3
1976-10-24 @ Hellas Verona L 0-159.6 1761 1670 25.60% 36.67% 37.73%+0.00 -13.8 3
1976-10-24 Bologna W 3-049.4 1727 1675 52.64% 35.37% 11.99%+0.59 +22.0 4
1976-10-24 @ Lazio Roma L 0-349.4 1675 1727 11.99% 35.37% 52.64%-0.59 -22.0 1
1976-10-24 Roma W 2-049.5 1872 1721 59.70% 33.11% 7.19%+1.00 +9.7 6
1976-10-24 @ Torino L 0-249.5 1721 1872 7.19% 33.11% 59.70%-1.00 -9.6 3
1976-10-31 Foggia D 0-063.6 1653 1668 46.52% 36.30% 17.19%+0.31 -3.0 2
1976-10-31 @ Bologna D 0-063.6 1668 1653 17.19% 36.30% 46.52%-0.31 +3.0 2
1976-10-31 Torino L 0-160.6 1714 1881 27.45% 36.28% 36.27%-0.32 -14.4 3
1976-10-31 @ Fiorentina W 1-060.6 1881 1714 36.27% 36.28% 27.45%+0.32 +14.4 8
1976-10-31 Cesena D 1-170.2 1747 1622 58.03% 33.79% 8.18%+0.89 -5.2 4
1976-10-31 @ Inter Milan D 1-170.2 1622 1747 8.18% 33.79% 58.03%-0.89 +5.2 1
1976-10-31 Catanzaro W 3-048.2 1849 1711 58.92% 33.44% 7.64%+0.95 +14.9 8
1976-10-31 @ Juventus L 0-348.2 1711 1849 7.64% 33.44% 58.92%-0.95 -14.9 3
1976-10-31 AC Milan W 3-157.5 1816 1767 52.38% 35.43% 12.19%+0.58 +13.3 7
1976-10-31 @ Napoli L 1-357.5 1767 1816 12.19% 35.43% 52.38%-0.58 -13.3 4
1976-10-31 Genoa W 2-159.8 1770 1658 57.16% 34.10% 8.73%+0.84 +5.8 6
1976-10-31 @ Perugia L 1-259.8 1658 1770 8.73% 34.10% 57.16%-0.84 -5.8 1
1976-10-31 Hellas Verona D 0-064.4 1712 1683 50.63% 35.76% 13.61%+0.49 -4.0 4
1976-10-31 @ Roma D 0-064.4 1683 1712 13.61% 35.76% 50.63%-0.49 +4.0 4
1976-10-31 Lazio Roma D 0-064.2 1652 1749 36.91% 36.66% 26.43%-0.03 -1.0 2
1976-10-31 @ Sampdoria D 0-064.2 1749 1652 26.43% 36.66% 36.91%+0.03 +1.0 5
1976-11-07 Juventus L 2-373.7 1754 1864 35.24% 36.64% 28.12%-0.08 -15.2 4
1976-11-07 @ AC Milan W 3-273.7 1864 1754 28.12% 36.64% 35.24%+0.08 +15.2 10
1976-11-07 Roma D 1-169.7 1696 1708 46.85% 36.26% 16.88%+0.33 -2.8 4
1976-11-07 @ Catanzaro D 1-169.7 1708 1696 16.88% 36.26% 46.85%-0.33 +2.8 5
1976-11-07 Bologna D 0-063.0 1627 1650 45.67% 36.37% 17.96%+0.28 -2.9 2
1976-11-07 @ Cesena D 0-063.0 1650 1627 17.96% 36.37% 45.67%-0.28 +2.9 3
1976-11-07 Napoli D 2-275.9 1671 1829 28.63% 36.37% 35.01%-0.28 +0.4 3
1976-11-07 @ Foggia D 2-275.9 1829 1671 35.01% 36.37% 28.63%+0.28 -0.4 8
1976-11-07 Sampdoria D 1-168.8 1652 1651 48.12% 36.12% 15.76%+0.38 -3.1 2
1976-11-07 @ Genoa D 1-168.8 1651 1652 15.76% 36.12% 48.12%-0.38 +3.1 3
1976-11-07 Fiorentina L 1-271.6 1687 1700 46.77% 36.27% 16.96%+0.32 -20.0 4
1976-11-07 @ Hellas Verona W 2-171.6 1700 1687 16.96% 36.27% 46.77%-0.32 +20.0 5
1976-11-07 Perugia W 1-057.7 1750 1776 45.41% 36.39% 18.19%+0.27 +11.0 7
1976-11-07 @ Lazio Roma L 0-157.7 1776 1750 18.19% 36.39% 45.41%-0.27 -11.0 6
1976-11-07 Inter Milan W 1-053.5 1896 1742 59.93% 33.00% 7.06%+1.01 +5.0 10
1976-11-07 @ Torino L 0-153.5 1742 1896 7.06% 33.00% 59.93%-1.01 -5.0 4
1976-11-21 AC Milan D 2-275.2 1653 1739 38.39% 36.67% 24.94%+0.02 -0.9 4
1976-11-21 @ Bologna D 2-275.2 1739 1653 24.94% 36.67% 38.39%-0.02 +0.9 5
1976-11-21 Catanzaro D 1-169.9 1720 1693 50.47% 35.79% 13.74%+0.48 -3.6 6
1976-11-21 @ Fiorentina D 1-169.9 1693 1720 13.74% 35.79% 50.47%-0.48 +3.6 5
1976-11-21 Genoa W 1-054.0 1737 1649 55.42% 34.67% 9.92%+0.74 +6.9 6
1976-11-21 @ Inter Milan L 0-154.0 1649 1737 9.92% 34.67% 55.42%-0.74 -6.9 2
1976-11-21 Hellas Verona W 2-158.4 1879 1667 63.38% 31.26% 5.36%+1.25 +3.6 12
1976-11-21 @ Juventus L 1-258.4 1667 1879 5.36% 31.26% 63.38%-1.25 -3.6 4
1976-11-21 Lazio Roma D 1-170.7 1829 1761 53.92% 35.07% 11.01%+0.65 -4.3 9
1976-11-21 @ Napoli D 1-170.7 1761 1829 11.01% 35.07% 53.92%-0.65 +4.3 8
1976-11-21 Torino D 1-170.4 1765 1901 31.64% 36.53% 31.83%-0.19 +0.0 7
1976-11-21 @ Perugia D 1-170.4 1901 1765 31.83% 36.53% 31.64%+0.19 -0.0 11
1976-11-21 Foggia W 3-156.9 1710 1672 51.55% 35.59% 12.86%+0.53 +13.9 7
1976-11-21 @ Roma L 1-356.9 1672 1710 12.86% 35.59% 51.55%-0.53 -13.9 3
1976-11-21 Cesena W 2-160.3 1654 1624 50.75% 35.74% 13.52%+0.50 +8.3 5
1976-11-21 @ Sampdoria L 1-260.3 1624 1654 13.52% 35.74% 50.75%-0.50 -8.3 2
1976-11-28 Inter Milan D 1-170.1 1740 1743 47.65% 36.18% 16.17%+0.36 -3.0 6
1976-11-28 @ AC Milan D 1-170.1 1743 1740 16.17% 36.18% 47.65%-0.36 +3.0 7
1976-11-28 Bologna L 1-272.6 1697 1652 52.04% 35.50% 12.47%+0.56 -22.0 5
1976-11-28 @ Catanzaro W 2-172.6 1652 1697 12.47% 35.50% 52.04%-0.56 +22.0 6
1976-11-28 Juventus L 0-156.7 1616 1883 16.86% 34.69% 48.45%-0.73 -10.1 2
1976-11-28 @ Cesena W 1-056.7 1883 1616 48.45% 34.69% 16.86%+0.73 +10.1 14
1976-11-28 Sampdoria W 2-051.7 1658 1662 47.56% 36.19% 16.25%+0.36 +19.1 5
1976-11-28 @ Foggia L 0-251.7 1662 1658 16.25% 36.19% 47.56%-0.36 -19.1 5
1976-11-28 Fiorentina D 1-169.2 1642 1716 39.86% 36.65% 23.49%+0.07 -1.4 3
1976-11-28 @ Genoa D 1-169.2 1716 1642 23.49% 36.65% 39.86%-0.07 +1.4 7
1976-11-28 Perugia W 2-055.9 1664 1765 36.45% 36.66% 26.89%-0.04 +26.9 6
1976-11-28 @ Hellas Verona L 0-255.9 1765 1664 26.89% 36.66% 36.45%+0.04 -26.9 7
1976-11-28 Roma W 1-055.6 1765 1724 51.75% 35.55% 12.69%+0.54 +8.4 10
1976-11-28 @ Lazio Roma L 0-155.6 1724 1765 12.69% 35.55% 51.75%-0.54 -8.4 7
1976-11-28 Napoli W 2-161.3 1901 1825 54.56% 34.91% 10.53%+0.69 +6.8 13
1976-11-28 @ Torino L 1-261.3 1825 1901 10.53% 34.91% 54.56%-0.69 -6.8 9
1976-12-05 Genoa D 0-063.7 1674 1641 51.09% 35.68% 13.23%+0.51 -4.1 7
1976-12-05 @ Bologna D 0-063.7 1641 1674 13.23% 35.68% 51.09%-0.51 +4.1 4
1976-12-05 Foggia W 4-154.3 1718 1677 51.72% 35.56% 12.72%+0.54 +19.5 9
1976-12-05 @ Fiorentina L 1-454.3 1677 1718 12.72% 35.56% 51.72%-0.54 -19.5 5
1976-12-05 Lazio Roma D 1-170.2 1746 1774 45.19% 36.41% 18.40%+0.26 -2.5 8
1976-12-05 @ Inter Milan D 1-170.2 1774 1746 18.40% 36.41% 45.19%-0.26 +2.5 11
1976-12-05 Torino L 0-262.5 1893 1908 46.54% 36.29% 17.17%+0.31 -39.9 14
1976-12-05 @ Juventus W 2-062.5 1908 1893 17.17% 36.29% 46.54%-0.31 +39.9 15
1976-12-05 Cesena W 3-153.6 1818 1606 63.38% 31.26% 5.36%+1.25 +6.2 11
1976-12-05 @ Napoli L 1-353.6 1606 1818 5.36% 31.26% 63.38%-1.25 -6.2 2
1976-12-05 Catanzaro D 1-170.1 1738 1675 53.55% 35.16% 11.29%+0.63 -4.2 8
1976-12-05 @ Perugia D 1-170.1 1675 1738 11.29% 35.16% 53.55%-0.63 +4.2 6
1976-12-05 AC Milan D 1-169.9 1716 1737 45.89% 36.35% 17.76%+0.29 -2.6 8
1976-12-05 @ Roma D 1-169.9 1737 1716 17.76% 36.35% 45.89%-0.29 +2.6 7
1976-12-05 Hellas Verona W 3-159.0 1643 1691 42.99% 36.55% 20.47%+0.18 +19.5 7
1976-12-05 @ Sampdoria L 1-359.0 1691 1643 20.47% 36.55% 42.99%-0.18 -19.5 6
1976-12-12 Genoa D 2-275.8 1739 1645 55.93% 34.51% 9.56%+0.77 -3.5 8
1976-12-12 @ AC Milan D 2-275.8 1645 1739 9.56% 34.51% 55.93%-0.77 +3.5 5
1976-12-12 Torino L 0-451.8 1679 1947 16.72% 34.66% 48.62%-0.74 -36.0 6
1976-12-12 @ Catanzaro W 4-051.8 1947 1679 48.62% 34.66% 16.72%+0.74 +36.0 17
1976-12-12 Hellas Verona L 0-162.4 1600 1671 40.16% 36.64% 23.19%+0.08 -18.7 2
1976-12-12 @ Cesena W 1-062.4 1671 1600 23.19% 36.64% 40.16%-0.08 +18.7 8
1976-12-12 Fiorentina D 0-065.7 1853 1737 57.44% 34.01% 8.56%+0.85 -5.7 15
1976-12-12 @ Juventus D 0-065.7 1737 1853 8.56% 34.01% 57.44%-0.85 +5.7 10
1976-12-12 Foggia D 0-065.2 1776 1657 57.64% 33.93% 8.43%+0.87 -5.7 12
1976-12-12 @ Lazio Roma D 0-065.2 1657 1776 8.43% 33.93% 57.64%-0.87 +5.7 6
1976-12-12 Roma W 1-054.2 1824 1713 57.08% 34.13% 8.79%+0.83 +6.2 13
1976-12-12 @ Napoli L 0-154.2 1713 1824 8.79% 34.13% 57.08%-0.83 -6.2 8
1976-12-12 Bologna W 1-054.7 1734 1670 53.58% 35.16% 11.27%+0.64 +7.6 10
1976-12-12 @ Perugia L 0-154.7 1670 1734 11.27% 35.16% 53.58%-0.64 -7.6 7
1976-12-12 Inter Milan L 0-163.4 1663 1744 38.96% 36.66% 24.38%+0.04 -18.3 7
1976-12-12 @ Sampdoria W 1-063.4 1744 1663 24.38% 36.66% 38.96%-0.04 +18.3 10
1976-12-19 Juventus L 0-159.6 1663 1847 25.24% 36.08% 38.67%-0.39 -13.6 7
1976-12-19 @ Bologna W 1-059.6 1847 1663 38.67% 36.08% 25.24%+0.39 +13.6 17
1976-12-19 Sampdoria D 1-170.1 1743 1644 56.21% 34.42% 9.37%+0.78 -4.8 11
1976-12-19 @ Fiorentina D 1-170.1 1644 1743 9.37% 34.42% 56.21%-0.78 +4.8 8
1976-12-19 AC Milan W 2-164.8 1663 1736 40.01% 36.65% 23.34%+0.07 +12.3 8
1976-12-19 @ Foggia L 1-264.8 1736 1663 23.34% 36.65% 40.01%-0.07 -12.3 8
1976-12-19 Lazio Roma W 3-162.5 1648 1771 33.57% 36.60% 29.83%-0.13 +24.9 7
1976-12-19 @ Genoa L 1-362.5 1771 1648 29.83% 36.60% 33.57%+0.13 -24.9 12
1976-12-19 Catanzaro D 0-064.0 1690 1643 52.24% 35.46% 12.31%+0.57 -4.4 9
1976-12-19 @ Hellas Verona D 0-064.0 1643 1690 12.31% 35.46% 52.24%-0.57 +4.4 7
1976-12-19 Napoli W 3-269.9 1762 1830 40.59% 36.63% 22.78%+0.09 +11.5 12
1976-12-19 @ Inter Milan L 2-369.9 1830 1762 22.78% 36.63% 40.59%-0.09 -11.5 13
1976-12-19 Perugia D 2-275.6 1707 1741 44.48% 36.46% 19.06%+0.23 -1.7 9
1976-12-19 @ Roma D 2-275.6 1741 1707 19.06% 36.46% 44.48%-0.23 +1.7 11
1976-12-19 Cesena W 2-045.4 1983 1581 73.28% 24.41% 2.31%+2.04 +2.6 19
1976-12-19 @ Torino L 0-245.4 1581 1983 2.31% 24.41% 73.28%-2.04 -2.6 2
1977-01-02 Catanzaro W 1-056.4 1578 1647 40.47% 36.64% 22.89%+0.09 +12.8 4
1977-01-02 @ Cesena L 0-156.4 1647 1578 22.89% 36.64% 40.47%-0.09 -12.8 7
1977-01-02 Bologna W 3-048.4 1738 1649 55.53% 34.63% 9.84%+0.74 +18.7 13
1977-01-02 @ Fiorentina L 0-348.4 1649 1738 9.84% 34.63% 55.53%-0.74 -18.7 7
1977-01-02 Genoa L 2-376.3 1675 1673 48.21% 36.11% 15.68%+0.38 -19.5 8
1977-01-02 @ Foggia W 3-276.3 1673 1675 15.68% 36.11% 48.21%-0.38 +19.5 9
1977-01-02 Torino D 0-065.8 1686 1986 14.25% 33.91% 51.83%-0.87 +4.0 10
1977-01-02 @ Hellas Verona D 0-065.8 1986 1686 51.83% 33.91% 14.25%+0.87 -4.0 20
1977-01-02 Roma W 3-049.4 1774 1705 53.96% 35.06% 10.98%+0.66 +20.5 14
1977-01-02 @ Inter Milan L 0-349.4 1705 1774 10.98% 35.06% 53.96%-0.66 -20.5 9
1977-01-02 Perugia W 1-054.2 1861 1743 57.58% 33.96% 8.46%+0.86 +6.0 19
1977-01-02 @ Juventus L 0-154.2 1743 1861 8.46% 33.96% 57.58%-0.86 -6.0 11
1977-01-02 AC Milan L 1-272.9 1746 1724 50.08% 35.85% 14.07%+0.47 -21.3 12
1977-01-02 @ Lazio Roma W 2-172.9 1724 1746 14.07% 35.85% 50.08%-0.47 +21.3 10
1977-01-02 Napoli D 2-275.8 1649 1819 27.14% 36.26% 36.61%-0.33 +0.6 9
1977-01-02 @ Sampdoria D 2-275.8 1819 1649 36.61% 36.26% 27.14%+0.33 -0.6 14
1977-01-09 Hellas Verona D 0-064.8 1745 1690 52.92% 35.31% 11.77%+0.60 -4.6 11
1977-01-09 @ AC Milan D 0-064.8 1690 1745 11.77% 35.31% 52.92%-0.60 +4.6 11
1977-01-09 Inter Milan L 1-558.3 1630 1794 27.87% 36.31% 35.81%-0.30 -43.4 7
1977-01-09 @ Bologna W 5-158.3 1794 1630 35.81% 36.31% 27.87%+0.30 +43.3 16
1977-01-09 Foggia W 3-157.6 1635 1656 45.85% 36.36% 17.79%+0.29 +17.7 9
1977-01-09 @ Catanzaro L 1-357.6 1656 1635 17.79% 36.36% 45.85%-0.29 -17.7 8
1977-01-09 Cesena W 4-151.7 1693 1591 56.43% 34.35% 9.22%+0.79 +14.9 11
1977-01-09 @ Genoa L 1-451.7 1591 1693 9.22% 34.35% 56.43%-0.79 -14.9 4
1977-01-09 Juventus L 0-261.4 1818 1867 42.84% 36.55% 20.60%+0.17 -37.2 14
1977-01-09 @ Napoli W 2-061.4 1867 1818 20.60% 36.55% 42.84%-0.17 +37.2 21
1977-01-09 Fiorentina D 0-064.7 1737 1757 46.02% 36.34% 17.64%+0.29 -2.9 12
1977-01-09 @ Perugia D 0-064.7 1757 1737 17.64% 36.34% 46.02%-0.29 +2.9 14
1977-01-09 Sampdoria W 3-049.3 1685 1650 51.23% 35.65% 13.11%+0.52 +23.6 11
1977-01-09 @ Roma L 0-349.3 1650 1685 13.11% 35.65% 51.23%-0.52 -23.6 9
1977-01-09 Lazio Roma D 3-381.4 1982 1724 65.91% 29.74% 4.35%+1.44 -4.1 21
1977-01-09 @ Torino D 3-381.4 1724 1982 4.35% 29.74% 65.91%-1.44 +4.1 13
1977-01-16 Torino D 0-065.5 1740 1978 19.52% 35.28% 45.20%-0.61 +2.6 12
1977-01-16 @ AC Milan D 0-065.5 1978 1740 45.20% 35.28% 19.52%+0.61 -2.6 22
1977-01-16 Napoli L 0-158.5 1587 1781 24.15% 35.97% 39.88%-0.43 -13.2 7
1977-01-16 @ Bologna W 1-058.5 1781 1587 39.88% 35.97% 24.15%+0.43 +13.2 16
1977-01-16 Roma D 1-170.3 1760 1708 52.58% 35.38% 12.04%+0.59 -4.0 15
1977-01-16 @ Fiorentina D 1-170.3 1708 1760 12.04% 35.38% 52.58%-0.59 +4.0 12
1977-01-16 Cesena L 0-260.9 1638 1576 53.45% 35.19% 11.36%+0.63 -45.2 8
1977-01-16 @ Foggia W 2-060.9 1576 1638 11.36% 35.19% 53.45%-0.63 +45.2 6
1977-01-16 Catanzaro W 2-050.5 1708 1652 52.93% 35.31% 11.76%+0.60 +14.9 13
1977-01-16 @ Genoa L 0-250.5 1652 1708 11.76% 35.31% 52.93%-0.60 -14.9 9
1977-01-16 Inter Milan W 2-051.4 1904 1838 53.83% 35.09% 11.07%+0.65 +14.2 23
1977-01-16 @ Juventus L 0-251.4 1838 1904 11.07% 35.09% 53.83%-0.65 -14.2 16
1977-01-16 Hellas Verona D 1-170.0 1729 1694 51.17% 35.66% 13.17%+0.52 -3.7 14
1977-01-16 @ Lazio Roma D 1-170.0 1694 1729 13.17% 35.66% 51.17%-0.52 +3.7 12
1977-01-16 Sampdoria D 0-064.6 1734 1626 56.88% 34.20% 8.92%+0.82 -5.5 13
1977-01-16 @ Perugia D 0-064.6 1626 1734 8.92% 34.20% 56.88%-0.82 +5.5 10
1977-01-30 AC Milan W 1-059.8 1637 1743 35.82% 36.65% 27.53%-0.06 +14.5 11
1977-01-30 @ Catanzaro L 0-159.8 1743 1637 27.53% 36.65% 35.82%+0.06 -14.5 12
1977-01-30 Lazio Roma D 0-063.7 1622 1725 36.12% 36.66% 27.22%-0.05 -0.8 7
1977-01-30 @ Cesena D 0-063.7 1725 1622 27.22% 36.66% 36.12%+0.05 +0.8 15
1977-01-30 Genoa W 3-267.9 1698 1723 45.50% 36.39% 18.12%+0.27 +9.8 14
1977-01-30 @ Hellas Verona L 2-367.9 1723 1698 18.12% 36.39% 45.50%-0.27 -9.8 13
1977-01-30 Fiorentina D 1-170.7 1823 1756 53.91% 35.07% 11.01%+0.65 -4.3 17
1977-01-30 @ Inter Milan D 1-170.7 1756 1823 11.01% 35.07% 53.91%-0.65 +4.3 16
1977-01-30 Perugia D 1-170.6 1794 1729 53.76% 35.11% 11.13%+0.65 -4.3 17
1977-01-30 @ Napoli D 1-170.6 1729 1794 11.13% 35.11% 53.76%-0.65 +4.3 14
1977-01-30 Juventus W 3-166.4 1713 1918 22.81% 35.80% 41.38%-0.48 +31.0 14
1977-01-30 @ Roma L 1-366.4 1918 1713 41.38% 35.80% 22.81%+0.48 -31.0 23
1977-01-30 Bologna D 0-062.0 1632 1574 53.14% 35.26% 11.60%+0.61 -4.6 11
1977-01-30 @ Sampdoria D 0-062.0 1574 1632 11.60% 35.26% 53.14%-0.61 +4.6 8
1977-01-30 Foggia W 1-049.7 1975 1593 72.31% 25.18% 2.52%+1.96 +1.5 24
1977-01-30 @ Torino L 0-149.7 1593 1975 2.52% 25.18% 72.31%-1.96 -1.5 8
1977-02-06 Cesena D 0-064.5 1728 1621 56.87% 34.21% 8.93%+0.82 -5.5 13
1977-02-06 @ AC Milan D 0-064.5 1621 1728 8.93% 34.21% 56.87%-0.82 +5.5 8
1977-02-06 Roma W 2-057.7 1578 1744 27.70% 36.30% 36.00%-0.31 +32.4 10
1977-02-06 @ Bologna L 0-257.7 1744 1578 36.00% 36.30% 27.70%+0.31 -32.4 14
1977-02-06 Napoli W 2-163.9 1760 1790 44.92% 36.43% 18.65%+0.25 +10.5 18
1977-02-06 @ Fiorentina L 1-263.9 1790 1760 18.65% 36.43% 44.92%-0.25 -10.5 17
1977-02-06 Hellas Verona W 4-158.5 1591 1708 34.40% 36.62% 28.98%-0.11 +34.5 10
1977-02-06 @ Foggia L 1-458.5 1708 1591 28.98% 36.62% 34.40%+0.11 -34.5 14
1977-02-06 Torino D 1-170.9 1713 1977 17.10% 34.75% 48.14%-0.72 +2.9 14
1977-02-06 @ Genoa D 1-170.9 1977 1713 48.14% 34.75% 17.10%+0.72 -2.9 25
1977-02-06 Sampdoria W 3-045.9 1887 1627 66.06% 29.64% 4.30%+1.45 +8.1 25
1977-02-06 @ Juventus L 0-345.9 1627 1887 4.30% 29.64% 66.06%-1.45 -8.1 11
1977-02-06 Catanzaro L 0-167.4 1726 1652 54.40% 34.95% 10.65%+0.68 -24.4 15
1977-02-06 @ Lazio Roma W 1-067.4 1652 1726 10.65% 34.95% 54.40%-0.68 +24.4 13
1977-02-06 Inter Milan L 0-163.9 1733 1819 38.34% 36.67% 24.99%+0.02 -18.1 14
1977-02-06 @ Perugia W 1-063.9 1819 1733 24.99% 36.67% 38.34%-0.02 +18.1 19
1977-02-13 Hellas Verona D 0-063.0 1611 1673 41.26% 36.62% 22.12%+0.12 -1.9 11
1977-02-13 @ Bologna D 0-063.0 1673 1611 22.12% 36.62% 41.26%-0.12 +1.9 15
1977-02-13 Cesena W 2-159.0 1770 1626 59.30% 33.28% 7.42%+0.97 +5.0 20
1977-02-13 @ Fiorentina L 1-259.0 1626 1770 7.42% 33.28% 59.30%-0.97 -5.0 8
1977-02-13 Foggia D 1-171.5 1837 1626 63.33% 31.29% 5.38%+1.25 -6.2 20
1977-02-13 @ Inter Milan D 1-171.5 1626 1837 5.38% 31.29% 63.33%-1.25 +6.2 11
1977-02-13 Lazio Roma W 2-048.7 1895 1701 62.35% 31.83% 5.83%+1.18 +7.8 27
1977-02-13 @ Juventus L 0-248.7 1701 1895 5.83% 31.83% 62.35%-1.18 -7.8 15
1977-02-13 Catanzaro W 1-054.1 1779 1676 56.55% 34.31% 9.14%+0.80 +6.4 19
1977-02-13 @ Napoli L 0-154.1 1676 1779 9.14% 34.31% 56.55%-0.80 -6.4 13
1977-02-13 AC Milan W 3-158.5 1715 1723 47.19% 36.23% 16.58%+0.34 +16.8 16
1977-02-13 @ Perugia L 1-358.5 1723 1715 16.58% 36.23% 47.19%-0.34 -16.8 13
1977-02-13 Genoa W 1-056.6 1711 1716 47.55% 36.19% 16.26%+0.35 +10.1 16
1977-02-13 @ Roma L 0-156.6 1716 1711 16.26% 36.19% 47.55%-0.35 -10.1 14
1977-02-13 Torino L 2-365.1 1619 1974 10.90% 32.42% 56.68%-1.10 -6.2 11
1977-02-13 @ Sampdoria W 3-265.1 1974 1619 56.68% 32.42% 10.90%+1.10 +6.2 27
1977-02-21 Sampdoria W 3-047.7 1706 1613 55.85% 34.53% 9.61%+0.76 +18.3 15
1977-02-21 @ AC Milan L 0-347.7 1613 1706 9.61% 34.53% 55.85%-0.76 -18.3 11
1977-02-21 Inter Milan L 1-362.3 1670 1831 28.25% 36.34% 35.41%-0.29 -24.0 13
1977-02-21 @ Catanzaro W 3-162.3 1831 1670 35.41% 36.34% 28.25%+0.29 +24.0 22
1977-02-21 Roma W 4-054.2 1621 1721 36.56% 36.66% 26.77%-0.04 +50.9 10
1977-02-21 @ Cesena L 0-454.2 1721 1621 26.77% 36.66% 36.56%+0.04 -50.9 16
1977-02-21 Perugia W 2-165.5 1632 1732 36.66% 36.66% 26.68%-0.04 +13.4 13
1977-02-21 @ Foggia L 1-265.5 1732 1632 26.68% 36.66% 36.66%+0.04 -13.4 16
1977-02-21 Juventus D 2-276.3 1706 1903 23.74% 35.92% 40.34%-0.44 +1.1 15
1977-02-21 @ Genoa D 2-276.3 1903 1706 40.34% 35.92% 23.74%+0.44 -1.1 28
1977-02-21 Napoli W 1-060.5 1675 1786 35.13% 36.64% 28.23%-0.08 +14.7 17
1977-02-21 @ Hellas Verona L 0-160.5 1786 1675 28.23% 36.64% 35.13%+0.08 -14.7 19
1977-02-21 Fiorentina W 4-158.5 1694 1775 38.90% 36.66% 24.44%+0.04 +31.0 17
1977-02-21 @ Lazio Roma L 1-458.5 1775 1694 24.44% 36.66% 38.90%-0.04 -31.0 20
1977-02-21 Bologna W 1-049.9 1980 1609 71.77% 25.59% 2.64%+1.91 +1.6 29
1977-02-21 @ Torino L 0-149.9 1609 1980 2.64% 25.59% 71.77%-1.91 -1.6 11
1977-02-28 Lazio Roma W 1-059.9 1607 1725 34.24% 36.62% 29.14%-0.11 +15.0 13
1977-02-28 @ Bologna L 0-159.9 1725 1607 29.14% 36.62% 34.24%+0.11 -15.0 17
1977-02-28 AC Milan D 1-170.1 1744 1724 49.88% 35.88% 14.24%+0.46 -3.4 21
1977-02-28 @ Fiorentina D 1-170.1 1724 1744 14.24% 35.88% 49.88%-0.46 +3.4 16
1977-02-28 Hellas Verona D 0-066.0 1855 1690 60.61% 32.70% 6.70%+1.06 -6.4 23
1977-02-28 @ Inter Milan D 0-066.0 1690 1855 6.70% 32.70% 60.61%-1.06 +6.4 18
1977-02-28 Foggia W 1-051.6 1902 1646 65.85% 29.77% 4.37%+1.44 +3.0 30
1977-02-28 @ Juventus L 0-151.6 1646 1902 4.37% 29.77% 65.85%-1.44 -3.0 13
1977-02-28 Genoa D 1-170.4 1771 1707 53.66% 35.14% 11.20%+0.64 -4.2 20
1977-02-28 @ Napoli D 1-170.4 1707 1771 11.20% 35.14% 53.66%-0.64 +4.2 16
1977-02-28 Cesena W 1-055.0 1718 1672 52.15% 35.47% 12.37%+0.56 +8.2 18
1977-02-28 @ Perugia L 0-155.0 1672 1718 12.37% 35.47% 52.15%-0.56 -8.2 10
1977-02-28 Torino W 1-067.5 1670 1982 13.50% 33.63% 52.87%-0.92 +23.2 18
1977-02-28 @ Roma L 0-167.5 1982 1670 52.87% 33.63% 13.50%+0.92 -23.2 29
1977-02-28 Catanzaro W 3-157.8 1594 1646 42.55% 36.57% 20.89%+0.16 +19.7 13
1977-02-28 @ Sampdoria L 1-357.8 1646 1594 20.89% 36.57% 42.55%-0.16 -19.7 13
1977-03-06 Napoli D 1-170.1 1728 1767 43.95% 36.49% 19.55%+0.21 -2.2 17
1977-03-06 @ AC Milan D 1-170.1 1767 1728 19.55% 36.49% 43.95%-0.21 +2.2 21
1977-03-06 Juventus L 0-252.4 1626 1905 15.86% 34.42% 49.72%-0.78 -18.2 13
1977-03-06 @ Catanzaro W 2-052.4 1905 1626 49.72% 34.42% 15.86%+0.78 +18.2 32
1977-03-06 Inter Milan D 0-064.9 1664 1848 25.30% 36.09% 38.61%-0.39 +1.3 11
1977-03-06 @ Cesena D 0-064.9 1848 1664 38.61% 36.09% 25.30%+0.39 -1.3 24
1977-03-06 Bologna W 1-054.3 1643 1622 49.92% 35.87% 14.20%+0.46 +9.2 15
1977-03-06 @ Foggia L 0-154.3 1622 1643 14.20% 35.87% 49.92%-0.46 -9.2 13
1977-03-06 Perugia D 0-064.5 1711 1726 46.45% 36.30% 17.25%+0.31 -3.0 17
1977-03-06 @ Genoa D 0-064.5 1726 1711 17.25% 36.30% 46.45%-0.31 +3.0 19
1977-03-06 Roma D 1-169.6 1696 1694 48.25% 36.11% 15.64%+0.38 -3.1 19
1977-03-06 @ Hellas Verona D 1-169.6 1694 1696 15.64% 36.11% 48.25%-0.38 +3.1 19
1977-03-06 Sampdoria W 1-053.2 1710 1614 56.00% 34.49% 9.51%+0.77 +6.6 19
1977-03-06 @ Lazio Roma L 0-153.2 1614 1710 9.51% 34.49% 56.00%-0.77 -6.6 13
1977-03-06 Fiorentina W 2-048.4 1958 1741 63.70% 31.08% 5.22%+1.27 +6.9 31
1977-03-06 @ Torino L 0-248.4 1741 1958 5.22% 31.08% 63.70%-1.27 -6.9 21
1977-03-13 Cesena D 0-063.0 1613 1665 42.46% 36.57% 20.97%+0.16 -2.1 14
1977-03-13 @ Bologna D 0-063.0 1665 1613 20.97% 36.57% 42.46%-0.16 +2.1 12
1977-03-13 Hellas Verona W 2-161.4 1734 1693 51.74% 35.56% 12.71%+0.54 +7.9 23
1977-03-13 @ Fiorentina L 1-261.4 1693 1734 12.71% 35.56% 51.74%-0.54 -7.9 19
1977-03-13 Torino L 0-162.8 1847 1965 34.11% 36.62% 29.27%-0.12 -16.6 24
1977-03-13 @ Inter Milan W 1-062.8 1965 1847 29.27% 36.62% 34.11%+0.12 +16.6 33
1977-03-13 AC Milan W 2-158.8 1923 1726 62.55% 31.72% 5.73%+1.19 +3.8 34
1977-03-13 @ Juventus L 1-258.8 1726 1923 5.73% 31.72% 62.55%-1.19 -3.8 17
1977-03-13 Foggia W 3-264.3 1769 1652 57.52% 33.98% 8.50%+0.86 +5.4 23
1977-03-13 @ Napoli L 2-364.3 1652 1769 8.50% 33.98% 57.52%-0.86 -5.4 15
1977-03-13 Lazio Roma W 2-052.2 1729 1716 49.26% 35.97% 14.76%+0.43 +17.8 21
1977-03-13 @ Perugia L 0-252.2 1716 1729 14.76% 35.97% 49.26%-0.43 -17.8 19
1977-03-13 Catanzaro W 1-053.2 1697 1608 55.51% 34.64% 9.85%+0.74 +6.8 21
1977-03-13 @ Roma L 0-153.2 1608 1697 9.85% 34.64% 55.51%-0.74 -6.8 13
1977-03-13 Genoa L 1-268.0 1607 1708 36.51% 36.66% 26.83%-0.04 -16.4 13
1977-03-13 @ Sampdoria W 2-168.0 1708 1607 26.83% 36.66% 36.51%+0.04 +16.4 19
1977-03-20 Bologna D 1-169.7 1722 1611 57.09% 34.13% 8.78%+0.83 -5.0 18
1977-03-20 @ AC Milan D 1-169.7 1611 1722 8.78% 34.13% 57.09%-0.83 +5.0 15
1977-03-20 Fiorentina L 0-160.5 1601 1742 30.96% 36.50% 32.54%-0.21 -15.6 13
1977-03-20 @ Catanzaro W 1-060.5 1742 1601 32.54% 36.50% 30.96%+0.21 +15.6 25
1977-03-20 Sampdoria D 1-168.5 1667 1591 54.58% 34.90% 10.52%+0.69 -4.4 13
1977-03-20 @ Cesena D 1-168.5 1591 1667 10.52% 34.90% 54.58%-0.69 +4.5 14
1977-03-20 Roma W 1-057.7 1646 1704 41.89% 36.60% 21.51%+0.14 +12.3 17
1977-03-20 @ Foggia L 0-157.7 1704 1646 21.51% 36.60% 41.89%-0.14 -12.3 21
1977-03-20 Inter Milan D 2-275.9 1724 1830 35.74% 36.65% 27.61%-0.07 -0.5 20
1977-03-20 @ Genoa D 2-275.9 1830 1724 27.61% 36.65% 35.74%+0.07 +0.5 25
1977-03-20 Juventus D 0-065.4 1685 1927 19.08% 35.20% 45.72%-0.63 +2.7 20
1977-03-20 @ Hellas Verona D 0-065.4 1927 1685 45.72% 35.20% 19.08%+0.63 -2.7 35
1977-03-20 Napoli D 0-064.6 1698 1774 39.61% 36.65% 23.74%+0.06 -1.5 20
1977-03-20 @ Lazio Roma D 0-064.6 1774 1698 23.74% 36.65% 39.61%-0.06 +1.5 24
1977-03-20 Perugia W 2-158.2 1982 1747 64.67% 30.51% 4.82%+1.35 +3.2 35
1977-03-20 @ Torino L 1-258.2 1747 1982 4.82% 30.51% 64.67%-1.35 -3.2 21
1977-03-27 Catanzaro D 0-061.8 1616 1585 50.82% 35.73% 13.46%+0.50 -4.1 16
1977-03-27 @ Bologna D 0-061.8 1585 1616 13.46% 35.73% 50.82%-0.50 +4.1 14
1977-03-27 Genoa L 1-273.2 1758 1724 51.12% 35.67% 13.21%+0.51 -21.7 25
1977-03-27 @ Fiorentina W 2-173.2 1724 1758 13.21% 35.67% 51.12%-0.51 +21.7 22
1977-03-27 AC Milan D 0-065.6 1831 1717 57.31% 34.05% 8.64%+0.85 -5.6 26
1977-03-27 @ Inter Milan D 0-065.6 1717 1831 8.64% 34.05% 57.31%-0.85 +5.6 19
1977-03-27 Cesena W 3-262.3 1924 1663 66.12% 29.60% 4.27%+1.46 +2.6 37
1977-03-27 @ Juventus L 2-362.3 1663 1924 4.27% 29.60% 66.12%-1.46 -2.6 13
1977-03-27 Torino D 0-065.3 1776 1985 22.44% 35.75% 41.80%-0.49 +1.9 25
1977-03-27 @ Napoli D 0-065.3 1985 1776 41.80% 35.75% 22.44%+0.49 -1.9 36
1977-03-27 Hellas Verona D 1-170.1 1744 1688 53.00% 35.29% 11.71%+0.61 -4.1 22
1977-03-27 @ Perugia D 1-170.1 1688 1744 11.71% 35.29% 53.00%-0.61 +4.1 21
1977-03-27 Lazio Roma W 1-056.4 1691 1697 47.45% 36.20% 16.35%+0.35 +10.2 23
1977-03-27 @ Roma L 0-156.4 1697 1691 16.35% 36.20% 47.45%-0.35 -10.2 20
1977-03-27 Foggia W 2-162.8 1595 1659 41.16% 36.62% 22.22%+0.11 +11.9 16
1977-03-27 @ Sampdoria L 1-262.8 1659 1595 22.22% 36.62% 41.16%-0.11 -11.9 17
1977-04-03 Roma D 1-169.9 1722 1701 49.99% 35.86% 14.15%+0.46 -3.5 20
1977-04-03 @ AC Milan D 1-169.9 1701 1722 14.15% 35.86% 49.99%-0.46 +3.5 24
1977-04-03 Perugia D 1-169.0 1590 1740 29.67% 36.43% 33.90%-0.25 +0.4 15
1977-04-03 @ Catanzaro D 1-169.0 1740 1590 33.90% 36.43% 29.67%+0.25 -0.4 23
1977-04-03 Napoli L 0-258.2 1660 1778 34.21% 36.62% 29.17%-0.11 -31.4 13
1977-04-03 @ Cesena W 2-058.2 1778 1660 29.17% 36.62% 34.21%+0.11 +31.4 27
1977-04-03 Fiorentina L 2-373.7 1647 1736 37.98% 36.67% 25.35%+0.01 -16.0 17
1977-04-03 @ Foggia W 3-273.7 1736 1647 25.35% 36.67% 37.98%-0.01 +16.0 27
1977-04-03 Bologna L 0-264.0 1745 1612 58.62% 33.56% 7.82%+0.93 -49.3 22
1977-04-03 @ Genoa W 2-064.0 1612 1745 7.82% 33.56% 58.62%-0.93 +49.3 18
1977-04-03 Sampdoria D 2-274.9 1692 1607 55.20% 34.73% 10.07%+0.72 -3.4 22
1977-04-03 @ Hellas Verona D 2-274.9 1607 1692 10.07% 34.73% 55.20%-0.72 +3.4 17
1977-04-03 Inter Milan W 2-167.9 1687 1825 31.27% 36.51% 32.22%-0.20 +15.1 22
1977-04-03 @ Lazio Roma L 1-267.9 1825 1687 32.22% 36.51% 31.27%+0.20 -15.1 26
1977-04-03 Juventus D 1-170.9 1983 1927 53.00% 35.29% 11.71%+0.61 -4.1 37
1977-04-03 @ Torino D 1-170.9 1927 1983 11.71% 35.29% 53.00%-0.61 +4.1 38
1977-04-10 Perugia W 1-058.9 1661 1740 39.31% 36.66% 24.04%+0.05 +13.3 20
1977-04-10 @ Bologna L 0-158.9 1740 1661 24.04% 36.66% 39.31%-0.05 -13.3 23
1977-04-10 Juventus L 1-361.9 1752 1931 25.94% 36.15% 37.90%-0.37 -22.6 27
1977-04-10 @ Fiorentina W 3-161.9 1931 1752 37.90% 36.15% 25.94%+0.37 +22.6 40
1977-04-10 Lazio Roma W 1-058.1 1631 1702 40.25% 36.64% 23.11%+0.08 +12.9 19
1977-04-10 @ Foggia L 0-158.1 1702 1631 23.11% 36.64% 40.25%-0.08 -12.9 22
1977-04-10 AC Milan W 1-057.1 1696 1719 45.69% 36.37% 17.94%+0.28 +10.9 24
1977-04-10 @ Genoa L 0-157.1 1719 1696 17.94% 36.37% 45.69%-0.28 -10.9 20
1977-04-10 Cesena W 2-160.1 1689 1629 53.27% 35.23% 11.50%+0.62 +7.3 24
1977-04-10 @ Hellas Verona L 1-260.1 1629 1689 11.50% 35.23% 53.27%-0.62 -7.3 13
1977-04-10 Sampdoria D 0-065.8 1810 1611 62.67% 31.66% 5.68%+1.20 -6.8 27
1977-04-10 @ Inter Milan D 0-065.8 1611 1810 5.68% 31.66% 62.67%-1.20 +6.8 18
1977-04-10 Napoli D 0-064.7 1705 1809 35.98% 36.65% 27.37%-0.06 -0.8 25
1977-04-10 @ Roma D 0-064.7 1809 1705 27.37% 36.65% 35.98%+0.06 +0.8 28
1977-04-10 Catanzaro W 3-151.3 1979 1590 72.65% 24.91% 2.44%+1.99 +2.4 39
1977-04-10 @ Torino L 1-351.3 1590 1979 2.44% 24.91% 72.65%-1.99 -2.4 15
1977-04-17 Foggia D 0-064.3 1708 1644 53.65% 35.14% 11.21%+0.64 -4.8 21
1977-04-17 @ AC Milan D 0-064.3 1644 1708 11.21% 35.14% 53.65%-0.64 +4.7 20
1977-04-17 Hellas Verona W 2-165.0 1587 1696 35.45% 36.65% 27.90%-0.07 +13.8 17
1977-04-17 @ Catanzaro L 1-265.0 1696 1587 27.90% 36.65% 35.45%+0.07 -13.8 24
1977-04-17 Torino L 0-348.8 1622 1982 10.63% 32.27% 57.10%-1.12 -18.7 13
1977-04-17 @ Cesena W 3-048.8 1982 1622 57.10% 32.27% 10.63%+1.12 +18.7 41
1977-04-17 Bologna W 2-157.4 1954 1674 67.08% 28.97% 3.95%+1.53 +2.5 42
1977-04-17 @ Juventus L 1-257.4 1674 1954 3.95% 28.97% 67.08%-1.53 -2.5 20
1977-04-17 Genoa W 4-155.9 1689 1707 46.17% 36.33% 17.50%+0.30 +24.7 24
1977-04-17 @ Lazio Roma L 1-455.9 1707 1689 17.50% 36.33% 46.17%-0.30 -24.7 24
1977-04-17 Inter Milan L 0-361.4 1810 1803 48.64% 36.06% 15.30%+0.40 -60.2 28
1977-04-17 @ Napoli W 3-061.4 1803 1810 15.30% 36.06% 48.64%-0.40 +60.2 29
1977-04-17 Roma W 3-050.4 1726 1704 50.10% 35.85% 14.06%+0.47 +24.9 25
1977-04-17 @ Perugia L 0-350.4 1704 1726 14.06% 35.85% 50.10%-0.47 -24.9 25
1977-04-17 Fiorentina D 2-274.9 1618 1729 35.00% 36.64% 28.36%-0.09 -0.4 19
1977-04-17 @ Sampdoria D 2-274.9 1729 1618 28.36% 36.64% 35.00%+0.09 +0.4 28
1977-04-24 Lazio Roma D 2-275.5 1703 1713 47.01% 36.25% 16.75%+0.33 -2.1 22
1977-04-24 @ AC Milan D 2-275.5 1713 1703 16.75% 36.25% 47.01%-0.33 +2.1 25
1977-04-24 Fiorentina W 2-054.2 1672 1730 41.79% 36.60% 21.61%+0.13 +23.3 22
1977-04-24 @ Bologna L 0-254.2 1730 1672 21.61% 36.60% 41.79%-0.13 -23.3 28
1977-04-24 Cesena W 4-258.7 1601 1603 47.84% 36.16% 16.00%+0.37 +14.6 19
1977-04-24 @ Catanzaro L 2-458.7 1603 1601 16.00% 36.16% 47.84%-0.37 -14.6 13
1977-04-24 Foggia L 1-272.2 1682 1649 51.12% 35.67% 13.21%+0.51 -21.7 24
1977-04-24 @ Genoa W 2-172.2 1649 1682 13.21% 35.67% 51.12%-0.51 +21.7 22
1977-04-24 Sampdoria D 1-170.2 1750 1617 58.56% 33.58% 7.86%+0.92 -5.3 29
1977-04-24 @ Napoli D 1-170.2 1617 1750 7.86% 33.58% 58.56%-0.92 +5.3 20
1977-04-24 Juventus D 1-170.6 1751 1956 22.91% 35.82% 41.27%-0.47 +1.6 26
1977-04-24 @ Perugia D 1-170.6 1956 1751 41.27% 35.82% 22.91%+0.47 -1.6 43
1977-04-24 Inter Milan L 2-370.4 1679 1864 25.29% 36.09% 38.62%-0.39 -12.2 25
1977-04-24 @ Roma W 3-270.4 1864 1679 38.62% 36.09% 25.29%+0.39 +12.2 31
1977-04-24 Hellas Verona W 1-050.8 2000 1682 69.11% 27.57% 3.33%+1.69 +2.2 43
1977-04-24 @ Torino L 0-150.8 1682 2000 3.33% 27.57% 69.11%-1.69 -2.2 24
1977-05-02 Genoa D 1-167.8 1588 1661 40.06% 36.65% 23.30%+0.07 -1.5 14
1977-05-02 @ Cesena D 1-167.8 1661 1588 23.30% 36.65% 40.06%-0.07 +1.5 25
1977-05-02 Perugia W 1-058.1 1706 1753 43.12% 36.54% 20.34%+0.18 +11.9 30
1977-05-02 @ Fiorentina L 0-158.1 1753 1706 20.34% 36.54% 43.12%-0.18 -11.9 26
1977-05-02 Catanzaro W 1-053.7 1670 1616 52.84% 35.33% 11.83%+0.60 +8.0 24
1977-05-02 @ Foggia L 0-153.7 1616 1670 11.83% 35.33% 52.84%-0.60 -8.0 19
1977-05-02 AC Milan D 0-064.1 1680 1701 45.84% 36.36% 17.80%+0.29 -2.9 25
1977-05-02 @ Hellas Verona D 0-064.1 1701 1680 17.80% 36.36% 45.84%-0.29 +2.9 23
1977-05-02 Bologna D 0-066.2 1876 1695 61.56% 32.24% 6.21%+1.12 -6.6 32
1977-05-02 @ Inter Milan D 0-066.2 1695 1876 6.21% 32.24% 61.56%-1.12 +6.6 23
1977-05-02 Napoli W 2-158.6 1955 1745 63.27% 31.32% 5.41%+1.24 +3.6 45
1977-05-02 @ Juventus L 1-258.6 1745 1955 5.41% 31.32% 63.27%-1.24 -3.6 29
1977-05-02 Torino D 0-065.8 1716 2002 15.25% 34.24% 50.51%-0.81 +3.8 26
1977-05-02 @ Lazio Roma D 0-065.8 2002 1716 50.51% 34.24% 15.25%+0.81 -3.8 44
1977-05-02 Roma W 1-056.6 1622 1667 43.34% 36.53% 20.13%+0.19 +11.8 22
1977-05-02 @ Sampdoria L 0-156.6 1667 1622 20.13% 36.53% 43.34%-0.19 -11.8 25
1977-05-08 Genoa W 2-162.7 1608 1662 42.22% 36.58% 21.19%+0.15 +11.5 21
1977-05-08 @ Catanzaro L 1-262.7 1662 1608 21.19% 36.58% 42.22%-0.15 -11.5 25
1977-05-08 Foggia L 2-372.2 1587 1678 37.68% 36.67% 25.65%+0.00 -16.0 14
1977-05-08 @ Cesena W 3-272.2 1678 1587 25.65% 36.67% 37.68%+0.00 +15.9 26
1977-05-08 Lazio Roma D 0-064.2 1677 1719 43.58% 36.52% 19.90%+0.20 -2.4 26
1977-05-08 @ Hellas Verona D 0-064.2 1719 1677 19.90% 36.52% 43.58%-0.20 +2.4 27
1977-05-08 Juventus L 0-260.0 1869 1958 37.98% 36.67% 25.35%+0.01 -33.8 32
1977-05-08 @ Inter Milan W 2-060.0 1958 1869 25.35% 36.67% 37.98%-0.01 +33.8 47
1977-05-08 Bologna L 1-273.2 1741 1702 51.59% 35.59% 12.82%+0.54 -21.9 29
1977-05-08 @ Napoli W 2-173.2 1702 1741 12.82% 35.59% 51.59%-0.54 +21.9 25
1977-05-08 Fiorentina D 0-064.0 1655 1718 41.17% 36.62% 22.21%+0.11 -1.9 26
1977-05-08 @ Roma D 0-064.0 1718 1655 22.21% 36.62% 41.17%-0.11 +1.9 31
1977-05-08 Perugia W 2-055.8 1634 1741 35.67% 36.65% 27.68%-0.07 +27.4 24
1977-05-08 @ Sampdoria L 0-255.8 1741 1634 27.68% 36.65% 35.67%+0.07 -27.4 26
1977-05-08 AC Milan W 2-047.2 1999 1704 67.88% 28.43% 3.69%+1.59 +4.6 46
1977-05-08 @ Torino L 0-247.2 1704 1999 3.69% 28.43% 67.88%-1.59 -4.6 23
1977-05-15 Catanzaro W 3-264.2 1700 1619 54.87% 34.82% 10.31%+0.71 +6.4 25
1977-05-15 @ AC Milan L 2-364.2 1619 1700 10.31% 34.82% 54.87%-0.71 -6.4 21
1977-05-15 Sampdoria W 4-153.7 1724 1662 53.46% 35.19% 11.36%+0.63 +17.8 27
1977-05-15 @ Bologna L 1-453.7 1662 1724 11.36% 35.19% 53.46%-0.63 -17.8 24
1977-05-15 Inter Milan W 3-055.5 1720 1835 34.53% 36.63% 28.84%-0.10 +40.8 33
1977-05-15 @ Fiorentina L 0-355.5 1835 1720 28.84% 36.63% 34.53%+0.10 -40.9 32
1977-05-15 Torino L 0-155.8 1694 2003 13.64% 33.69% 52.67%-0.91 -8.5 26
1977-05-15 @ Foggia W 1-055.8 2003 1694 52.67% 33.69% 13.64%+0.91 +8.5 48
1977-05-15 Hellas Verona W 1-056.4 1651 1675 45.57% 36.38% 18.05%+0.27 +10.9 27
1977-05-15 @ Genoa L 0-156.4 1675 1651 18.05% 36.38% 45.57%-0.27 -10.9 26
1977-05-15 Roma W 1-050.5 1992 1653 70.15% 26.80% 3.04%+1.78 +1.9 49
1977-05-15 @ Juventus L 0-150.5 1653 1992 3.04% 26.80% 70.15%-1.78 -1.9 26
1977-05-15 Cesena W 3-046.2 1722 1571 59.73% 33.10% 7.18%+1.00 +14.0 29
1977-05-15 @ Lazio Roma L 0-346.2 1571 1722 7.18% 33.10% 59.73%-1.00 -14.0 14
1977-05-15 Napoli W 4-261.7 1714 1719 47.46% 36.20% 16.34%+0.35 +14.9 28
1977-05-15 @ Perugia L 2-461.7 1719 1714 16.34% 36.20% 47.46%-0.35 -14.9 29
1977-05-22 Lazio Roma L 1-267.4 1613 1736 33.52% 36.60% 29.88%-0.13 -15.5 21
1977-05-22 @ Catanzaro W 2-167.4 1736 1613 29.88% 36.60% 33.52%+0.13 +15.5 31
1977-05-22 AC Milan L 0-255.1 1557 1706 29.84% 36.44% 33.71%-0.24 -28.7 14
1977-05-22 @ Cesena W 2-055.1 1706 1557 33.71% 36.44% 29.84%+0.24 +28.7 27
1977-05-22 Foggia W 2-162.6 1664 1686 45.79% 36.36% 17.85%+0.28 +10.2 28
1977-05-22 @ Hellas Verona L 1-262.6 1686 1664 17.85% 36.36% 45.79%-0.28 -10.2 26
1977-05-22 Perugia D 1-170.6 1795 1728 53.79% 35.11% 11.11%+0.65 -4.3 33
1977-05-22 @ Inter Milan D 1-170.6 1728 1795 11.11% 35.11% 53.79%-0.65 +4.3 29
1977-05-22 Fiorentina L 0-260.6 1704 1761 41.93% 36.59% 21.48%+0.14 -36.5 29
1977-05-22 @ Napoli W 2-060.6 1761 1704 21.48% 36.59% 41.93%-0.14 +36.5 35
1977-05-22 Bologna W 1-059.3 1651 1741 37.85% 36.67% 25.48%+0.00 +13.8 28
1977-05-22 @ Roma L 0-159.3 1741 1651 25.48% 36.67% 37.85%+0.00 -13.8 27
1977-05-22 Juventus L 0-250.6 1644 1994 11.15% 32.56% 56.28%-1.08 -13.5 24
1977-05-22 @ Sampdoria W 2-050.6 1994 1644 56.28% 32.56% 11.15%+1.08 +13.4 51
1977-05-22 Genoa W 5-148.5 2012 1662 70.73% 26.38% 2.89%+1.82 +5.4 50
1977-05-22 @ Torino L 1-548.5 1662 2012 2.89% 26.38% 70.73%-1.82 -5.4 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-04-03 7.82% Bologna 1612 2 @ Genoa 1745 0
2 1977-02-06 10.65% Catanzaro 1652 1 @ Lazio Roma 1726 0
3 1977-01-16 11.36% Cesena 1576 2 @ Foggia 1638 0
4 1976-11-28 12.47% Bologna 1652 2 @ Catanzaro 1697 1
5 1977-05-08 12.82% Bologna 1702 2 @ Napoli 1741 1
6 1977-03-27 13.21% Genoa 1724 2 @ Fiorentina 1758 1
7 1977-04-24 13.21% Foggia 1649 2 @ Genoa 1682 1
8 1977-02-28 13.50% @ Roma 1670 1 Torino 1982 0
9 1976-10-10 13.65% Lazio Roma 1704 1 @ Fiorentina 1732 0
10 1977-01-02 14.07% AC Milan 1724 2 @ Lazio Roma 1746 1
11 1977-04-17 15.30% Inter Milan 1803 3 @ Napoli 1810 0
12 1976-10-03 15.47% Fiorentina 1712 2 @ Cesena 1716 1
13 1977-01-02 15.68% Genoa 1673 3 @ Foggia 1675 2
14 1976-11-07 16.96% Fiorentina 1700 2 @ Hellas Verona 1687 1
15 1976-12-05 17.17% Torino 1908 2 @ Juventus 1893 0
16 1976-10-24 19.37% Perugia 1715 3 @ Cesena 1677 0
17 1977-01-09 20.60% Juventus 1867 2 @ Napoli 1818 0
18 1977-05-22 21.48% Fiorentina 1761 2 @ Napoli 1704 0
19 1977-01-30 22.81% @ Roma 1713 3 Juventus 1918 1
20 1976-12-12 23.19% Hellas Verona 1671 1 @ Cesena 1600 0
21 1976-12-12 24.38% Inter Milan 1744 1 @ Sampdoria 1663 0
22 1977-02-06 24.99% Inter Milan 1819 1 @ Perugia 1733 0
23 1977-04-03 25.35% Fiorentina 1736 3 @ Foggia 1647 2
24 1977-05-08 25.35% Juventus 1958 2 @ Inter Milan 1869 0
25 1977-05-08 25.65% Foggia 1678 3 @ Cesena 1587 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-04-17 60.18 Inter Milan 3 1803 15.30% @ Napoli 0 1810 48.64% 36.06%
2 1976-10-24 55.31 Perugia 3 1715 19.37% @ Cesena 0 1677 44.14% 36.48%
3 1977-02-21 50.90 @ Cesena 4 1621 36.56% Roma 0 1721 26.77% 36.66%
4 1977-04-03 49.26 Bologna 2 1612 7.82% @ Genoa 0 1745 58.62% 33.56%
5 1976-10-10 47.63 Torino 3 1824 26.93% @ Bologna 0 1723 36.41% 36.66%
6 1977-01-16 45.20 Cesena 2 1576 11.36% @ Foggia 0 1638 53.45% 35.19%
7 1977-01-09 43.35 Inter Milan 5 1794 35.81% @ Bologna 1 1630 27.87% 36.31%
8 1977-05-15 40.85 @ Fiorentina 3 1720 34.53% Inter Milan 0 1835 28.84% 36.63%
9 1976-12-05 39.85 Torino 2 1908 17.17% @ Juventus 0 1893 46.54% 36.29%
10 1977-01-09 37.16 Juventus 2 1867 20.60% @ Napoli 0 1818 42.84% 36.55%
11 1977-05-22 36.51 Fiorentina 2 1761 21.48% @ Napoli 0 1704 41.93% 36.59%
12 1976-12-12 35.96 Torino 4 1947 48.62% @ Catanzaro 0 1679 16.72% 34.66%
13 1977-02-06 34.55 @ Foggia 4 1591 34.40% Hellas Verona 1 1708 28.98% 36.62%
14 1977-05-08 33.83 Juventus 2 1958 25.35% @ Inter Milan 0 1869 37.98% 36.67%
15 1977-02-06 32.42 @ Bologna 2 1578 27.70% Roma 0 1744 36.00% 36.30%
16 1977-04-03 31.40 Napoli 2 1778 29.17% @ Cesena 0 1660 34.21% 36.62%
17 1977-01-30 31.04 @ Roma 3 1713 22.81% Juventus 1 1918 41.38% 35.80%
18 1977-02-21 30.97 @ Lazio Roma 4 1694 38.90% Fiorentina 1 1775 24.44% 36.66%
19 1977-05-22 28.69 AC Milan 2 1706 33.71% @ Cesena 0 1557 29.84% 36.44%
20 1977-05-08 27.41 @ Sampdoria 2 1634 35.67% Perugia 0 1741 27.68% 36.65%
21 1976-11-28 26.90 @ Hellas Verona 2 1664 36.45% Perugia 0 1765 26.89% 36.66%
22 1977-04-17 24.93 @ Perugia 3 1726 50.10% Roma 0 1704 14.06% 35.85%
23 1976-12-19 24.88 @ Genoa 3 1648 33.57% Lazio Roma 1 1771 29.83% 36.60%
24 1977-04-17 24.69 @ Lazio Roma 4 1689 46.17% Genoa 1 1707 17.50% 36.33%
25 1977-02-06 24.37 Catanzaro 1 1652 10.65% @ Lazio Roma 0 1726 54.40% 34.95%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-01-09 81.4 @ Torino 3 1982 65.91% Lazio Roma 3 1724 4.35% 29.74%
2 1976-10-03 78.6 @ Hellas Verona 3 1689 44.68% Bologna 3 1721 18.88% 36.45%
3 1977-01-02 76.3 Genoa 3 1673 15.68% @ Foggia 2 1675 48.21% 36.11%
4 1977-02-21 76.3 @ Genoa 2 1706 23.74% Juventus 2 1903 40.34% 35.92%
5 1976-11-07 75.9 @ Foggia 2 1671 28.63% Napoli 2 1829 35.01% 36.37%
6 1977-03-20 75.9 @ Genoa 2 1724 35.74% Inter Milan 2 1830 27.61% 36.65%
7 1976-12-12 75.8 @ AC Milan 2 1739 55.93% Genoa 2 1645 9.56% 34.51%
8 1977-01-02 75.8 @ Sampdoria 2 1649 27.14% Napoli 2 1819 36.61% 36.26%
9 1976-12-19 75.6 @ Roma 2 1707 44.48% Perugia 2 1741 19.06% 36.46%
10 1977-04-24 75.5 @ AC Milan 2 1703 47.01% Lazio Roma 2 1713 16.75% 36.25%
11 1976-10-03 75.2 @ Genoa 2 1679 45.80% Roma 2 1701 17.84% 36.36%
12 1976-11-21 75.2 @ Bologna 2 1653 38.39% AC Milan 2 1739 24.94% 36.67%
13 1977-04-03 74.9 @ Hellas Verona 2 1692 55.20% Sampdoria 2 1607 10.07% 34.73%
14 1977-04-17 74.9 @ Sampdoria 2 1618 35.00% Fiorentina 2 1729 28.36% 36.64%
15 1976-10-03 74.2 Juventus 3 1813 25.83% @ Lazio Roma 2 1720 37.50% 36.67%
16 1976-11-07 73.7 Juventus 3 1864 28.12% @ AC Milan 2 1754 35.24% 36.64%
17 1977-04-03 73.7 Fiorentina 3 1736 25.35% @ Foggia 2 1647 37.98% 36.67%
18 1977-03-27 73.2 Genoa 2 1724 13.21% @ Fiorentina 1 1758 51.12% 35.67%
19 1977-05-08 73.2 Bologna 2 1702 12.82% @ Napoli 1 1741 51.59% 35.59%
20 1977-01-02 72.9 AC Milan 2 1724 14.07% @ Lazio Roma 1 1746 50.08% 35.85%
21 1976-11-28 72.6 Bologna 2 1652 12.47% @ Catanzaro 1 1697 52.04% 35.50%
22 1976-10-24 72.5 Napoli 3 1802 30.85% @ Genoa 2 1672 32.58% 36.57%
23 1976-10-03 72.3 Fiorentina 2 1712 15.47% @ Cesena 1 1716 48.45% 36.08%
24 1977-04-24 72.2 Foggia 2 1649 13.21% @ Genoa 1 1682 51.12% 35.67%
25 1977-05-08 72.2 Foggia 3 1678 25.65% @ Cesena 2 1587 37.68% 36.67%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-12-19 45.4 @ Torino 2 1983 73.28% Cesena 0 1581 2.31% 24.41%
2 1977-02-06 45.9 @ Juventus 3 1887 66.06% Sampdoria 0 1627 4.30% 29.64%
3 1977-05-15 46.2 @ Lazio Roma 3 1722 59.73% Cesena 0 1571 7.18% 33.10%
4 1977-05-08 47.2 @ Torino 2 1999 67.88% AC Milan 0 1704 3.69% 28.43%
5 1977-02-21 47.7 @ AC Milan 3 1706 55.85% Sampdoria 0 1613 9.61% 34.53%
6 1976-10-31 48.2 @ Juventus 3 1849 58.92% Catanzaro 0 1711 7.64% 33.44%
7 1977-01-02 48.4 @ Fiorentina 3 1738 55.53% Bologna 0 1649 9.84% 34.63%
8 1977-03-06 48.4 @ Torino 2 1958 63.70% Fiorentina 0 1741 5.22% 31.08%
9 1977-05-22 48.5 @ Torino 5 2012 70.73% Genoa 1 1662 2.89% 26.38%
10 1977-02-13 48.7 @ Juventus 2 1895 62.35% Lazio Roma 0 1701 5.83% 31.83%
11 1976-10-10 48.8 @ Napoli 3 1784 56.03% Hellas Verona 0 1688 9.49% 34.48%
12 1977-04-17 48.8 Torino 3 1982 57.10% @ Cesena 0 1622 10.63% 32.27%
13 1977-01-09 49.3 @ Roma 3 1685 51.23% Sampdoria 0 1650 13.11% 35.65%
14 1976-10-24 49.4 @ Lazio Roma 3 1727 52.64% Bologna 0 1675 11.99% 35.37%
15 1977-01-02 49.4 @ Inter Milan 3 1774 53.96% Roma 0 1705 10.98% 35.06%
16 1976-10-24 49.5 @ Torino 2 1872 59.70% Roma 0 1721 7.19% 33.11%
17 1977-01-30 49.7 @ Torino 1 1975 72.31% Foggia 0 1593 2.52% 25.18%
18 1977-02-21 49.9 @ Torino 1 1980 71.77% Bologna 0 1609 2.64% 25.59%
19 1977-04-17 50.4 @ Perugia 3 1726 50.10% Roma 0 1704 14.06% 35.85%
20 1977-01-16 50.5 @ Genoa 2 1708 52.93% Catanzaro 0 1652 11.76% 35.31%
21 1977-05-15 50.5 @ Juventus 1 1992 70.15% Roma 0 1653 3.04% 26.80%
22 1977-05-22 50.6 Juventus 2 1994 56.28% @ Sampdoria 0 1644 11.15% 32.56%
23 1977-04-24 50.8 @ Torino 1 2000 69.11% Hellas Verona 0 1682 3.33% 27.57%
24 1977-04-10 51.3 @ Torino 3 1979 72.65% Catanzaro 1 1590 2.44% 24.91%
25 1977-01-16 51.4 @ Juventus 2 1904 53.83% Inter Milan 0 1838 11.07% 35.09%