1977-78 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

44 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lanerossi Vicenza

10.51 points above expected

39 points · 28.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pescara

8.58 points below expected

17 points · 25.58 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	30	15	14	1	44	46	17	+29	39.1	+4.86
2	Lanerossi Vicenza	30	14	11	5	39	50	34	+16	28.5	+10.51
3	Torino	30	14	11	5	39	36	23	+13	38.2	+0.77
4	AC Milan	30	12	13	5	37	38	25	+13	33.5	+3.48
5	Inter Milan	30	13	10	7	36	35	24	+11	32.9	+3.11
6	Napoli	30	8	14	8	30	35	31	+4	30.3	-0.28
7	Perugia	30	10	10	10	30	36	35	+1	30.1	-0.11
8	Roma	30	8	12	10	28	31	34	-3	28.2	-0.24
9	Atalanta	30	6	15	9	27	28	32	-4	28.3	-1.26
10	Hellas Verona	30	6	14	10	26	25	30	-5	28.2	-2.17
11	Lazio Roma	30	8	10	12	26	31	38	-7	29.8	-3.79
12	Bologna	30	7	12	11	26	21	32	-11	26.3	-0.29
13	Fiorentina	30	7	11	12	25	28	37	-9	28.5	-3.49
14	Genoa	30	5	15	10	25	23	33	-10	27.2	-2.20
15	Foggia	30	8	9	13	25	28	43	-15	25.3	-0.32
16	Pescara	30	4	9	17	17	21	44	-23	25.6	-8.58

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1870	44	39.14	+4.86	89.0%	26	33	36	39	41	45	48
Torino	1822	39	38.23	+0.77	60.0%	30	31	36	38	41	44	47
Inter Milan	1758	36	32.89	+3.11	76.0%	21	24	30	33	36	39	46
Lanerossi Vicenza	1750	39	28.49	+10.51	100.0%	19	22	25	29	32	35	37
AC Milan	1732	37	33.52	+3.48	90.0%	26	28	31	34	35	38	43
Perugia	1682	30	30.11	-0.11	57.0%	20	23	28	30	33	37	40
Napoli	1677	30	30.28	-0.28	55.0%	19	24	27	30	33	37	41
Fiorentina	1670	25	28.49	-3.49	15.0%	20	23	26	28	31	35	39
Lazio Roma	1660	26	29.79	-3.79	16.0%	20	23	27	30	32	35	40
Roma	1657	28	28.24	-0.24	54.0%	19	22	26	28	31	34	36
Atalanta	1652	27	28.26	-1.26	43.0%	18	21	26	28	31	35	37
Hellas Verona	1637	26	28.17	-2.17	35.0%	18	21	25	28	31	35	38
Foggia	1629	25	25.32	-0.32	54.0%	14	18	23	25	28	32	36
Bologna	1624	26	26.29	-0.29	53.0%	15	19	23	26	29	33	35
Genoa	1614	25	27.20	-2.20	35.0%	18	21	24	27	30	33	38
Pescara	1569	17	25.58	-8.58	4.0%	15	18	23	26	29	32	36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ATA	BOL	FIO	FOG	GEN	HV	IM	JUV	LV	LR	NAP	PER	PES	ROM	TOR
AC Milan	—	0-1-1 3.20	1-1-0 3.41	1-1-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.31	0-2-0 3.06	1-1-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.59	0-2-0 1.94	1-1-0 2.96	0-0-2 3.09	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 3.35	2-0-0 2.90	0-1-1 2.22
Atalanta	1-1-0 2.04	—	0-2-0 2.57	0-2-0 2.64	0-0-2 2.93	1-1-0 2.71	2-0-0 2.64	0-0-2 2.18	0-1-1 1.61	0-1-1 2.72	1-1-0 2.42	0-2-0 2.50	0-2-0 2.36	1-1-0 2.90	0-0-2 2.70	0-1-1 1.64
Bologna	0-1-1 1.84	0-2-0 2.64	—	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.83	1-1-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.53	2-0-0 2.08	0-1-1 1.30	1-0-1 2.07	2-0-0 2.17	0-2-0 2.18	0-0-2 2.42	0-1-1 2.73	0-2-0 2.46	0-0-2 1.60
Fiorentina	0-1-1 2.50	0-2-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.75	—	0-2-0 2.93	0-1-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.29	0-1-1 1.62	0-0-2 2.53	0-0-2 2.48	1-1-0 2.17	1-0-1 2.43	2-0-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.58	1-0-1 1.54
Foggia	0-0-2 1.92	2-0-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.38	0-2-0 2.28	—	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 2.36	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 1.44	0-1-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.32	0-1-1 2.12	0-0-2 2.20	2-0-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 1.51
Genoa	0-2-0 2.15	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.35	0-2-0 2.76	—	0-1-1 2.62	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 1.39	0-0-2 2.30	1-1-0 2.31	0-2-0 2.31	1-1-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.52	0-0-2 1.61
Hellas Verona	0-1-1 2.12	0-0-2 2.57	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.59	—	0-2-0 2.15	0-1-1 1.68	0-1-1 2.61	0-2-0 2.39	0-0-2 2.52	1-1-0 2.41	1-1-0 2.82	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 1.60
Inter Milan	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 3.03	0-0-2 3.13	2-0-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.36	0-2-0 3.09	—	0-1-1 2.01	2-0-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.76	0-1-1 3.54	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 2.17
Juventus	0-2-0 3.35	1-1-0 3.72	1-1-0 4.13	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.92	1-1-0 3.98	1-1-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.25	—	1-1-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.59	2-0-0 3.41	1-1-0 3.41	2-0-0 4.11	1-1-0 3.98	0-2-0 2.71
Lanerossi Vicenza	0-1-1 2.27	1-1-0 2.53	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.92	2-0-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.62	0-0-2 2.24	0-1-1 1.79	—	2-0-0 2.39	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.84	0-2-0 1.59
Lazio Roma	2-0-0 2.17	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 3.05	2-0-0 2.70	0-1-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.92	0-2-0 2.82	1-1-0 2.31	1-0-1 1.73	0-0-2 2.78	—	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.97	0-2-0 2.79	0-1-1 1.84
Napoli	1-1-0 2.36	0-2-0 2.73	0-2-0 3.07	0-1-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.09	0-2-0 2.88	2-0-0 2.70	0-1-1 2.44	0-0-2 1.86	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.78	—	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.90	1-1-0 2.81	0-0-2 1.88
Perugia	0-1-1 2.31	0-2-0 2.89	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 3.05	0-1-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.57	—	1-1-0 3.32	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 1.77
Pescara	0-0-2 1.95	0-1-1 2.34	1-1-0 2.47	0-0-2 2.25	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.44	1-1-0 1.72	0-0-2 1.34	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.24	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 1.94	—	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 1.51
Roma	0-0-2 2.33	2-0-0 2.50	0-2-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.66	1-1-0 2.46	0-0-2 2.18	0-1-1 1.41	0-1-1 2.35	0-2-0 2.40	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.72	—	1-1-0 1.60
Torino	1-1-0 3.00	1-1-0 3.68	2-0-0 3.78	1-0-1 3.81	1-0-1 3.87	2-0-0 3.71	1-1-0 3.73	1-1-0 3.09	0-2-0 2.51	0-2-0 3.72	1-1-0 3.50	2-0-0 3.41	0-1-1 3.52	1-0-1 3.83	0-1-1 3.75	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.75%	6.46%	1.25%	0.62%	0.42%	34.17%
1	8.75%	17.50%	7.08%	2.92%	0.21%	0.42%	36.88%
2	6.46%	7.08%	5.42%	1.25%	0.42%	—	20.62%
3	1.25%	2.92%	1.25%	—	0.42%	—	5.83%
4	0.62%	0.21%	0.42%	0.42%	—	—	1.67%
5+	0.42%	0.42%	—	—	—	—	0.83%
Total	34.17%	36.88%	20.62%	5.83%	1.67%	0.83%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.135
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	26.67%	—	—	—	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	56.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	0.65
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.062
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	40.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Atalanta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.78
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.425
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	53.33%
1	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	—	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	40.00%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.256
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	6.67%	43.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	6.67%	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.077
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	6.67%	33.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	50.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	20.00%	10.00%	—	6.67%	100%

Foggia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.305
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	26.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Genoa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.77
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.204
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	30.00%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.104
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	36.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.248
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
2	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	60.00%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	0.57
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.054
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Lanerossi Vicenza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.348
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	50.00%
2	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.85
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.077
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	36.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.193
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	3.33%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	30.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Perugia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.067
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	3.33%	16.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	33.33%	46.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Pescara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.70
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.048
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.93
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.388
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	36.67%	20.00%	—	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	0.77
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.268
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lanerossi Vicenza	39	28.5	+10.51
2	Juventus	44	39.1	+4.86
3	AC Milan	37	33.5	+3.48
4	Inter Milan	36	32.9	+3.11
5	Torino	39	38.2	+0.77

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Pescara	17	25.6	-8.58
2	Lazio Roma	26	29.8	-3.79
3	Fiorentina	25	28.5	-3.49
4	Genoa	25	27.2	-2.20
5	Hellas Verona	26	28.2	-2.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AC Milan	6	Oct 2 – Nov 27	1 in 1,012
2	Lanerossi Vicenza	4	Oct 30 – Nov 27	1 in 386
3	Inter Milan	3	Jan 8 – Jan 22	1 in 33
4	Lazio Roma	2	Apr 23 – Apr 30	1 in 28
5	Hellas Verona	3	Feb 26 – Mar 12	1 in 23

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentina	4	Sep 25 – Oct 30	1 in 183
2	Atalanta	3	Apr 23 – May 7	1 in 107
3	Genoa	4	Dec 18 – Jan 15	1 in 59
4	Bologna	3	Sep 25 – Oct 23	1 in 36
5	Hellas Verona	3	Apr 16 – Apr 30	1 in 28

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	26	Oct 23 – May 7	1 in 154
2	Lanerossi Vicenza	12	Oct 23 – Jan 29	1 in 111
3	Bologna	8	Mar 19 – May 7	1 in 83
4	Atalanta	6	Jan 29 – Mar 5	1 in 25
5	AC Milan	11	Jan 29 – Apr 9	1 in 21

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atalanta	13	Oct 23 – Feb 5	1 in 112
2	Pescara	13	Oct 2 – Jan 29	1 in 43
3	Bologna	11	Sep 18 – Dec 31	1 in 35
4	Napoli	8	Jan 29 – Mar 19	1 in 26
5	Fiorentina	8	Sep 11 – Nov 20	1 in 25

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Juventus	47.00%	33.00%	11.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lanerossi Vicenza	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Torino	37.00%	32.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
AC Milan	6.00%	10.00%	17.00%	17.00%	20.00%	10.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Inter Milan	6.00%	9.00%	19.00%	14.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%
Napoli	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Perugia	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Roma	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	13.00%	6.00%	14.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Atalanta	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%
Hellas Verona	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	11.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Lazio Roma	—	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	10.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Bologna	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	8.00%	17.00%	9.00%	12.00%	15.00%
Fiorentina	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	9.00%	6.00%	12.00%	6.00%	5.00%	13.00%	15.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Genoa	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	17.00%	11.00%
Foggia	—	—	—	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	11.00%	16.00%	12.00%	21.00%
Pescara	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	17.00%	11.00%	21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Torino	100%	—
Inter Milan	96.0%	4.0%
Lazio Roma	89.0%	11.0%
Napoli	89.0%	11.0%
Perugia	89.0%	11.0%
Fiorentina	84.0%	16.0%
Lanerossi Vicenza	82.0%	18.0%
Atalanta	81.0%	19.0%
Roma	81.0%	19.0%
Hellas Verona	78.0%	22.0%
Genoa	65.0%	35.0%
Bologna	64.0%	36.0%
Foggia	51.0%	49.0%
Pescara	51.0%	49.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1977-09-11	Perugia	D 1-1	1666	1682	42.9%	40.6%	16.5%	-1.4	1
1977-09-11	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1682	1666	16.5%	40.6%	42.9%	+1.4	1
1977-09-11	AC Milan	D 1-1	1705	1686	47.1%	39.0%	14.0%	-1.8	1
1977-09-11	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1686	1705	14.0%	39.0%	47.1%	+1.8	1
1977-09-11	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1645	1688	39.7%	41.4%	18.9%	+6.4	3
1977-09-11	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1688	1645	18.9%	41.4%	39.7%	-6.4	0
1977-09-11	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1651	1623	48.1%	38.5%	13.4%	-2.1	1
1977-09-11	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1623	1651	13.4%	38.5%	48.1%	+2.1	1
1977-09-11	Bologna	L 0-1	1715	1668	50.3%	37.3%	12.4%	-12.9	0
1977-09-11	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1668	1715	12.4%	37.3%	50.3%	+12.9	3
1977-09-11	Foggia	W 6-0	1804	1650	62.7%	28.5%	8.8%	+15.5	3
1977-09-11	@ Juventus	L 0-6	1650	1804	8.8%	28.5%	62.7%	-15.5	0
1977-09-11	Napoli	L 1-3	1681	1664	46.8%	39.1%	14.1%	-20.0	0
1977-09-11	@ Pescara	W 3-1	1664	1681	14.1%	39.1%	46.8%	+20.0	3
1977-09-11	Torino	W 2-1	1650	1824	23.5%	39.5%	37.0%	+9.5	3
1977-09-11	@ Roma	L 1-2	1824	1650	37.0%	39.5%	23.5%	-9.5	0
1977-09-18	Genoa	D 2-2	1688	1651	49.2%	37.9%	12.9%	-1.5	2
1977-09-18	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1651	1688	12.9%	37.9%	49.2%	+1.5	4
1977-09-18	Atalanta	D 0-0	1680	1664	46.7%	39.1%	14.1%	-2.0	4
1977-09-18	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1664	1680	14.1%	39.1%	46.7%	+2.0	2
1977-09-18	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1634	1704	36.4%	41.8%	21.8%	-0.7	1
1977-09-18	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1704	1634	21.8%	41.8%	36.4%	+0.7	2
1977-09-18	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1682	1649	48.7%	38.2%	13.1%	-1.9	1
1977-09-18	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1649	1682	13.1%	38.2%	48.7%	+1.9	2
1977-09-18	Juventus	L 1-2	1684	1820	28.0%	41.0%	31.0%	-8.1	3
1977-09-18	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1820	1684	31.0%	41.0%	28.0%	+8.1	6
1977-09-18	Roma	W 3-2	1684	1659	47.7%	38.7%	13.6%	+4.7	4
1977-09-18	@ Perugia	L 2-3	1659	1684	13.6%	38.7%	47.7%	-4.7	3
1977-09-18	Pescara	W 2-0	1815	1661	62.6%	28.6%	8.8%	+5.6	3
1977-09-18	@ Torino	L 0-2	1661	1815	8.8%	28.6%	62.6%	-5.6	0
1977-09-18	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1625	1702	35.5%	41.8%	22.7%	-9.5	1
1977-09-18	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-1	1702	1625	22.7%	41.8%	35.5%	+9.5	3
1977-09-25	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1666	1680	43.3%	40.5%	16.2%	-1.4	3
1977-09-25	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1680	1666	16.2%	40.5%	43.3%	+1.4	2
1977-09-25	Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1704	1651	51.0%	36.9%	12.1%	-12.3	2
1977-09-25	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1651	1704	12.1%	36.9%	51.0%	+12.3	5
1977-09-25	Perugia	W 2-0	1652	1688	40.6%	41.2%	18.2%	+12.5	7
1977-09-25	@ Genoa	L 0-2	1688	1652	18.2%	41.2%	40.6%	-12.5	4
1977-09-25	Napoli	W 1-0	1711	1676	48.9%	38.1%	13.0%	+5.1	6
1977-09-25	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1676	1711	13.0%	38.1%	48.9%	-5.0	3
1977-09-25	AC Milan	D 1-1	1828	1687	61.1%	29.8%	9.1%	-2.9	7
1977-09-25	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1687	1828	9.1%	29.8%	61.1%	+2.9	3
1977-09-25	Bologna	W 2-1	1656	1678	42.2%	40.8%	17.0%	+6.0	3
1977-09-25	@ Pescara	L 1-2	1678	1656	17.0%	40.8%	42.2%	-6.0	4
1977-09-25	Foggia	W 1-0	1655	1633	47.3%	38.9%	13.8%	+5.3	6
1977-09-25	@ Roma	L 0-1	1633	1655	13.8%	38.9%	47.3%	-5.3	1
1977-09-25	Torino	D 0-0	1616	1821	20.7%	37.8%	41.5%	+1.2	2
1977-09-25	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1821	1616	41.5%	37.8%	20.7%	-1.2	4
1977-10-02	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-1	1690	1617	53.3%	35.5%	11.3%	+7.0	6
1977-10-02	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1617	1690	11.3%	35.5%	53.3%	-7.0	2
1977-10-02	Bologna	W 1-0	1628	1673	39.6%	41.4%	19.1%	+6.8	4
1977-10-02	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1673	1628	19.1%	41.4%	39.6%	-6.8	4
1977-10-02	Atalanta	L 1-2	1663	1665	44.6%	40.0%	15.4%	-11.2	5
1977-10-02	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1665	1663	15.4%	40.0%	44.6%	+11.1	6
1977-10-02	Juventus	W 3-0	1681	1825	26.9%	40.8%	32.3%	+25.5	5
1977-10-02	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1825	1681	32.3%	40.8%	26.9%	-25.5	7
1977-10-02	Genoa	D 0-0	1671	1665	45.6%	39.6%	14.8%	-1.8	4
1977-10-02	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1665	1671	14.8%	39.6%	45.6%	+1.8	8
1977-10-02	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1676	1692	43.0%	40.6%	16.5%	+5.8	7
1977-10-02	@ Perugia	L 1-2	1692	1676	16.5%	40.6%	43.0%	-5.8	2
1977-10-02	Roma	D 1-1	1662	1660	45.1%	39.8%	15.1%	-1.6	4
1977-10-02	@ Pescara	D 1-1	1660	1662	15.1%	39.8%	45.1%	+1.6	7
1977-10-02	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1819	1716	56.7%	33.1%	10.2%	+3.8	7
1977-10-02	@ Torino	L 0-1	1716	1819	10.2%	33.1%	56.7%	-3.8	6
1977-10-23	Napoli	D 1-1	1676	1669	45.6%	39.6%	14.8%	-1.6	7
1977-10-23	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1669	1676	14.8%	39.6%	45.6%	+1.6	5
1977-10-23	Perugia	L 2-3	1666	1682	43.0%	40.6%	16.5%	-10.3	4
1977-10-23	@ Bologna	W 3-2	1682	1666	16.5%	40.6%	43.0%	+10.3	10
1977-10-23	Torino	W 1-0	1635	1823	22.2%	38.8%	39.0%	+10.4	7
1977-10-23	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1823	1635	39.0%	38.8%	22.2%	-10.5	7
1977-10-23	Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1667	1652	46.6%	39.2%	14.2%	-1.3	9
1977-10-23	@ Genoa	D 2-2	1652	1667	14.2%	39.2%	46.6%	+1.3	6
1977-10-23	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1713	1707	45.6%	39.6%	14.8%	-1.6	7
1977-10-23	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1707	1713	14.8%	39.6%	45.6%	+1.6	6
1977-10-23	Fiorentina	W 5-1	1799	1686	57.9%	32.2%	9.9%	+10.7	10
1977-10-23	@ Juventus	L 1-5	1686	1799	9.9%	32.2%	57.9%	-10.7	2
1977-10-23	AC Milan	L 1-2	1661	1697	40.7%	41.2%	18.1%	-10.4	7
1977-10-23	@ Roma	W 2-1	1697	1661	18.1%	41.2%	40.7%	+10.4	9
1977-10-23	Pescara	D 1-1	1610	1660	38.8%	41.5%	19.7%	-1.0	3
1977-10-23	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1660	1610	19.7%	41.5%	38.8%	+1.0	5
1977-10-30	Foggia	W 2-0	1707	1645	52.0%	36.3%	11.7%	+8.5	12
1977-10-30	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1645	1707	11.7%	36.3%	52.0%	-8.5	7
1977-10-30	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 2-4	1674	1609	52.4%	36.0%	11.6%	-19.3	7
1977-10-30	@ Atalanta	W 4-2	1609	1674	11.6%	36.0%	52.4%	+19.3	6
1977-10-30	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1676	1711	40.6%	41.2%	18.2%	-20.8	2
1977-10-30	@ Fiorentina	W 2-0	1711	1676	18.2%	41.2%	40.6%	+20.8	10
1977-10-30	Bologna	D 1-1	1653	1655	44.6%	40.0%	15.4%	-1.5	7
1977-10-30	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1655	1653	15.4%	40.0%	44.6%	+1.5	5
1977-10-30	Pescara	W 2-1	1708	1661	50.3%	37.3%	12.4%	+4.5	9
1977-10-30	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1661	1708	12.4%	37.3%	50.3%	-4.5	5
1977-10-30	Roma	W 2-0	1671	1651	47.2%	38.9%	13.9%	+10.1	8
1977-10-30	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1651	1671	13.9%	38.9%	47.2%	-10.1	7
1977-10-30	Juventus	D 0-0	1692	1810	30.2%	41.5%	28.3%	-0.1	11
1977-10-30	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1810	1692	28.3%	41.5%	30.2%	+0.1	11
1977-10-30	Genoa	W 3-1	1813	1666	61.8%	29.2%	8.9%	+5.0	10
1977-10-30	@ Torino	L 1-3	1666	1813	8.9%	29.2%	61.8%	-5.0	9
1977-11-06	Torino	L 1-3	1657	1818	24.9%	40.1%	34.9%	-12.9	5
1977-11-06	@ Bologna	W 3-1	1818	1657	34.9%	40.1%	24.9%	+12.9	13
1977-11-06	Foggia	D 0-0	1661	1637	47.6%	38.7%	13.7%	-2.1	10
1977-11-06	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1637	1661	13.7%	38.7%	47.6%	+2.0	8
1977-11-06	AC Milan	L 1-3	1732	1716	46.8%	39.1%	14.1%	-20.0	10
1977-11-06	@ Inter Milan	W 3-1	1716	1732	14.1%	39.1%	46.8%	+20.0	15
1977-11-06	Atalanta	D 1-1	1810	1655	62.7%	28.5%	8.8%	-3.0	12
1977-11-06	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1655	1810	8.8%	28.5%	62.7%	+3.0	8
1977-11-06	Perugia	W 3-2	1681	1692	43.6%	40.4%	16.0%	+5.4	11
1977-11-06	@ Napoli	L 2-3	1692	1681	16.0%	40.4%	43.6%	-5.4	11
1977-11-06	Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1657	1652	45.4%	39.7%	14.9%	-1.2	6
1977-11-06	@ Pescara	D 2-2	1652	1657	14.9%	39.7%	45.4%	+1.2	8
1977-11-06	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1641	1655	43.2%	40.5%	16.3%	-1.0	8
1977-11-06	@ Roma	D 2-2	1655	1641	16.3%	40.5%	43.2%	+1.0	3
1977-11-06	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1628	1713	34.5%	41.8%	23.6%	+7.4	9
1977-11-06	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1713	1628	23.6%	41.8%	34.5%	-7.4	9
1977-11-20	Bologna	W 1-0	1736	1644	55.4%	34.0%	10.6%	+4.0	18
1977-11-20	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1644	1736	10.6%	34.0%	55.4%	-4.0	5
1977-11-20	Genoa	D 1-1	1658	1658	44.8%	39.9%	15.2%	-1.6	9
1977-11-20	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1658	1658	15.2%	39.9%	44.8%	+1.6	11
1977-11-20	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-3	1656	1636	47.2%	38.9%	13.9%	-20.1	3
1977-11-20	@ Fiorentina	W 3-1	1636	1656	13.9%	38.9%	47.2%	+20.1	12
1977-11-20	Pescara	W 2-0	1639	1655	42.9%	40.6%	16.5%	+11.6	11
1977-11-20	@ Foggia	L 0-2	1655	1639	16.5%	40.6%	42.9%	-11.6	6
1977-11-20	Juventus	D 0-0	1653	1807	25.7%	40.4%	33.9%	+0.4	9
1977-11-20	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1807	1653	33.9%	40.4%	25.7%	-0.4	13
1977-11-20	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1687	1712	41.9%	40.9%	17.2%	-1.3	12
1977-11-20	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1712	1687	17.2%	40.9%	41.9%	+1.3	11
1977-11-20	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1640	1705	37.0%	41.7%	21.3%	-0.9	9
1977-11-20	@ Roma	D 0-0	1705	1640	21.3%	41.7%	37.0%	+0.9	10
1977-11-20	Napoli	W 1-0	1831	1687	61.5%	29.5%	9.0%	+3.1	16
1977-11-20	@ Torino	L 0-1	1687	1831	9.0%	29.5%	61.5%	-3.1	11
1977-11-27	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1640	1636	45.4%	39.7%	14.9%	-12.0	5
1977-11-27	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1636	1640	14.9%	39.7%	45.4%	+12.0	6
1977-11-27	Atalanta	W 1-0	1713	1657	51.4%	36.7%	11.9%	+4.6	14
1977-11-27	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1657	1713	11.9%	36.7%	51.4%	-4.6	9
1977-11-27	Genoa	W 4-0	1807	1660	61.8%	29.3%	9.0%	+11.0	16
1977-11-27	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1660	1807	9.0%	29.3%	61.8%	-11.0	11
1977-11-27	Foggia	D 1-1	1706	1651	51.3%	36.7%	12.0%	-2.2	11
1977-11-27	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1651	1706	12.0%	36.7%	51.3%	+2.2	12
1977-11-27	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1684	1653	48.4%	38.3%	13.3%	+14.1	14
1977-11-27	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1653	1684	13.3%	38.3%	48.4%	-14.1	9
1977-11-27	Torino	W 2-0	1685	1834	26.3%	40.6%	33.0%	+17.8	15
1977-11-27	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1834	1685	33.0%	40.6%	26.3%	-17.8	16
1977-11-27	AC Milan	L 0-2	1644	1739	33.1%	41.8%	25.1%	-18.0	6
1977-11-27	@ Pescara	W 2-0	1739	1644	25.1%	41.8%	33.1%	+18.0	21
1977-11-27	Roma	W 4-3	1656	1639	46.8%	39.1%	14.1%	+4.7	15
1977-11-27	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 3-4	1639	1656	14.1%	39.1%	46.8%	-4.7	9
1977-12-11	Perugia	D 2-2	1758	1703	51.1%	36.8%	12.0%	-1.6	22
1977-12-11	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1703	1758	12.0%	36.8%	51.1%	+1.6	16
1977-12-11	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1652	1648	45.4%	39.7%	14.9%	-1.8	10
1977-12-11	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1648	1652	14.9%	39.7%	45.4%	+1.8	7
1977-12-11	Roma	D 0-0	1628	1634	44.1%	40.2%	15.7%	-1.7	6
1977-12-11	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1634	1628	15.7%	40.2%	44.1%	+1.7	10
1977-12-11	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1653	1660	44.0%	40.2%	15.8%	-1.5	13
1977-12-11	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1660	1653	15.8%	40.2%	44.0%	+1.5	16
1977-12-11	Pescara	W 1-0	1649	1626	47.6%	38.7%	13.7%	+5.3	14
1977-12-11	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1626	1649	13.7%	38.7%	47.6%	-5.3	6
1977-12-11	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1639	1718	35.3%	41.8%	22.9%	-0.7	10
1977-12-11	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1718	1639	22.9%	41.8%	35.3%	+0.7	15
1977-12-11	Napoli	D 1-1	1704	1698	45.6%	39.6%	14.8%	-1.6	12
1977-12-11	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1698	1704	14.8%	39.6%	45.6%	+1.6	15
1977-12-11	Juventus	D 0-0	1816	1818	44.7%	40.0%	15.3%	-1.7	17
1977-12-11	@ Torino	D 0-0	1818	1816	15.3%	40.0%	44.7%	+1.7	17
1977-12-18	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1649	1702	38.5%	41.6%	19.9%	-10.6	7
1977-12-18	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1702	1649	19.9%	41.6%	38.5%	+10.6	15
1977-12-18	Juventus	L 0-1	1718	1819	32.4%	41.7%	25.8%	-9.4	15
1977-12-18	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1819	1718	25.8%	41.7%	32.4%	+9.4	20
1977-12-18	Foggia	W 5-0	1699	1651	50.4%	37.2%	12.3%	+21.1	18
1977-12-18	@ Napoli	L 0-5	1651	1699	12.3%	37.2%	50.4%	-21.1	13
1977-12-18	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1705	1639	52.5%	36.0%	11.5%	-13.2	16
1977-12-18	@ Perugia	W 1-0	1639	1705	11.5%	36.0%	52.5%	+13.3	13
1977-12-18	Atalanta	D 0-0	1620	1650	41.3%	41.0%	17.6%	-1.4	7
1977-12-18	@ Pescara	D 0-0	1650	1620	17.6%	41.0%	41.3%	+1.3	11
1977-12-18	Genoa	W 1-0	1636	1654	42.7%	40.6%	16.7%	+6.2	13
1977-12-18	@ Roma	L 0-1	1654	1636	16.7%	40.6%	42.7%	-6.2	14
1977-12-18	AC Milan	W 1-0	1814	1756	51.6%	36.5%	11.9%	+4.6	20
1977-12-18	@ Torino	L 0-1	1756	1814	11.9%	36.5%	51.6%	-4.6	22
1977-12-18	Bologna	W 3-0	1662	1626	49.0%	38.0%	13.0%	+13.8	19
1977-12-18	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-3	1626	1662	13.0%	38.0%	49.0%	-13.8	6
1977-12-31	AC Milan	D 1-1	1652	1751	32.6%	41.7%	25.7%	-0.3	12
1977-12-31	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1751	1652	25.7%	41.7%	32.6%	+0.3	23
1977-12-31	Napoli	W 1-0	1639	1720	34.9%	41.8%	23.3%	+7.8	10
1977-12-31	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1720	1639	23.3%	41.8%	34.9%	-7.8	18
1977-12-31	Perugia	L 0-1	1630	1691	37.5%	41.7%	20.8%	-10.4	13
1977-12-31	@ Foggia	W 1-0	1691	1630	20.8%	41.7%	37.5%	+10.4	19
1977-12-31	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1648	1676	41.6%	41.0%	17.4%	-10.6	14
1977-12-31	@ Genoa	W 2-1	1676	1648	17.4%	41.0%	41.6%	+10.6	22
1977-12-31	Roma	D 0-0	1652	1642	46.0%	39.5%	14.5%	-1.9	14
1977-12-31	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1642	1652	14.5%	39.5%	46.0%	+1.9	14
1977-12-31	Pescara	D 0-0	1709	1619	55.2%	34.2%	10.6%	-2.8	16
1977-12-31	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1619	1709	10.6%	34.2%	55.2%	+2.8	8
1977-12-31	Bologna	W 1-0	1829	1613	69.8%	22.8%	7.4%	+2.2	23
1977-12-31	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1613	1829	7.4%	22.8%	69.8%	-2.2	6
1977-12-31	Torino	D 1-1	1713	1819	31.8%	41.7%	26.5%	-0.2	16
1977-12-31	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1819	1713	26.5%	41.7%	31.8%	+0.2	21
1978-01-08	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1752	1650	56.6%	33.2%	10.2%	-2.6	24
1978-01-08	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1650	1752	10.2%	33.2%	56.6%	+2.6	15
1978-01-08	Genoa	W 2-1	1610	1638	41.7%	40.9%	17.4%	+6.0	9
1978-01-08	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1638	1610	17.4%	40.9%	41.7%	-6.1	14
1978-01-08	Atalanta	W 1-0	1620	1651	41.1%	41.1%	17.8%	+6.5	16
1978-01-08	@ Foggia	L 0-1	1651	1620	17.8%	41.1%	41.1%	-6.5	12
1978-01-08	Lazio Roma	W 4-0	1702	1713	43.6%	40.4%	16.0%	+21.6	22
1978-01-08	@ Perugia	L 0-4	1713	1702	16.0%	40.4%	43.6%	-21.6	16
1978-01-08	Juventus	L 1-2	1622	1831	20.3%	37.5%	42.1%	-6.3	8
1978-01-08	@ Pescara	W 2-1	1831	1622	42.1%	37.5%	20.3%	+6.4	26
1978-01-08	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1644	1706	37.4%	41.7%	20.9%	-9.8	14
1978-01-08	@ Roma	W 2-1	1706	1644	20.9%	41.7%	37.4%	+9.8	19
1978-01-08	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1819	1647	64.8%	26.9%	8.3%	+2.7	24
1978-01-08	@ Torino	L 0-1	1647	1819	8.3%	26.9%	64.8%	-2.7	10
1978-01-08	Napoli	D 0-0	1686	1713	41.8%	40.9%	17.3%	-1.4	23
1978-01-08	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1713	1686	17.3%	40.9%	41.8%	+1.4	19
1978-01-15	Torino	D 0-0	1645	1822	23.2%	39.4%	37.4%	+0.8	13
1978-01-15	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1822	1645	37.4%	39.4%	23.2%	-0.8	25
1978-01-15	Pescara	W 3-0	1644	1615	48.2%	38.5%	13.4%	+14.2	13
1978-01-15	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1615	1644	13.4%	38.5%	48.2%	-14.2	8
1978-01-15	Foggia	W 3-1	1653	1626	47.9%	38.6%	13.5%	+8.5	18
1978-01-15	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1626	1653	13.5%	38.6%	47.9%	-8.5	16
1978-01-15	Genoa	W 2-0	1716	1631	54.6%	34.6%	10.8%	+7.7	22
1978-01-15	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1631	1716	10.8%	34.6%	54.6%	-7.7	14
1978-01-15	Roma	W 2-0	1837	1634	68.3%	24.1%	7.7%	+4.4	29
1978-01-15	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1634	1837	7.7%	24.1%	68.3%	-4.4	14
1978-01-15	AC Milan	W 2-0	1691	1749	37.9%	41.6%	20.5%	+13.5	19
1978-01-15	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1749	1691	20.5%	41.6%	37.9%	-13.5	24
1978-01-15	Bologna	D 0-0	1714	1617	56.1%	33.6%	10.4%	-2.9	20
1978-01-15	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1617	1714	10.4%	33.6%	56.1%	+2.9	10
1978-01-15	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1724	1685	49.3%	37.8%	12.8%	-2.0	23
1978-01-15	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1685	1724	12.8%	37.8%	49.3%	+2.0	24
1978-01-22	Napoli	L 0-1	1736	1711	47.7%	38.7%	13.6%	-12.4	24
1978-01-22	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1711	1736	13.6%	38.7%	47.7%	+12.4	23
1978-01-22	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1619	1705	34.4%	41.8%	23.8%	+7.4	13
1978-01-22	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1705	1619	23.8%	41.8%	34.4%	-7.4	19
1978-01-22	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1618	1724	31.8%	41.7%	26.6%	-17.5	16
1978-01-22	@ Foggia	W 2-0	1724	1618	26.6%	41.7%	31.8%	+17.5	25
1978-01-22	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1624	1658	40.8%	41.1%	18.1%	+6.2	17
1978-01-22	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1658	1624	18.1%	41.1%	40.8%	-6.2	13
1978-01-22	Perugia	D 1-1	1601	1722	29.9%	41.4%	28.7%	-0.1	9
1978-01-22	@ Pescara	D 1-1	1722	1601	28.7%	41.4%	29.9%	+0.0	24
1978-01-22	Atalanta	W 3-1	1630	1645	43.0%	40.6%	16.4%	+10.1	17
1978-01-22	@ Roma	L 1-3	1645	1630	16.4%	40.6%	43.0%	-10.0	13
1978-01-22	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1821	1661	63.3%	28.1%	8.6%	+2.7	28
1978-01-22	@ Torino	L 1-2	1661	1821	8.6%	28.1%	63.3%	-2.7	18
1978-01-22	Juventus	D 0-0	1687	1842	25.6%	40.4%	34.0%	+0.4	25
1978-01-22	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 0-0	1842	1687	34.0%	40.4%	25.6%	-0.4	30
1978-01-29	Fiorentina	W 5-1	1723	1652	53.1%	35.6%	11.3%	+12.9	27
1978-01-29	@ AC Milan	L 1-5	1652	1723	11.3%	35.6%	53.1%	-12.9	13
1978-01-29	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1627	1741	30.6%	41.5%	27.8%	+8.1	16
1978-01-29	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1741	1627	27.8%	41.5%	30.6%	-8.1	25
1978-01-29	Juventus	D 0-0	1600	1841	18.0%	35.3%	46.7%	+1.6	17
1978-01-29	@ Foggia	D 0-0	1841	1600	46.7%	35.3%	18.0%	-1.7	31
1978-01-29	Genoa	D 0-0	1697	1630	52.6%	35.9%	11.5%	-2.6	20
1978-01-29	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1630	1697	11.5%	35.9%	52.6%	+2.6	18
1978-01-29	Pescara	D 1-1	1724	1601	59.0%	31.4%	9.6%	-2.8	24
1978-01-29	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1601	1724	9.6%	31.4%	59.0%	+2.8	10
1978-01-29	Atalanta	D 1-1	1722	1635	54.8%	34.5%	10.8%	-2.5	25
1978-01-29	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1635	1722	10.8%	34.5%	54.8%	+2.5	14
1978-01-29	Roma	D 1-1	1824	1640	66.1%	25.8%	8.1%	-3.2	29
1978-01-29	@ Torino	D 1-1	1640	1824	8.1%	25.8%	66.1%	+3.2	18
1978-01-29	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1687	1658	48.2%	38.4%	13.4%	+5.2	28
1978-01-29	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1658	1687	13.4%	38.4%	48.2%	-5.2	18
1978-02-05	Bologna	D 0-0	1638	1635	45.2%	39.8%	15.0%	-1.8	15
1978-02-05	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1635	1638	15.0%	39.8%	45.2%	+1.8	17
1978-02-05	Foggia	D 1-1	1639	1602	49.2%	37.9%	12.9%	-2.0	14
1978-02-05	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1602	1639	12.9%	37.9%	49.2%	+2.0	18
1978-02-05	AC Milan	D 1-1	1633	1736	32.1%	41.7%	26.2%	-0.3	19
1978-02-05	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1736	1633	26.2%	41.7%	32.1%	+0.3	28
1978-02-05	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1653	1695	39.9%	41.3%	18.8%	-0.8	19
1978-02-05	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1695	1653	18.8%	41.3%	39.9%	+0.8	21
1978-02-05	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 2-0	1733	1692	49.6%	37.7%	12.7%	+9.3	28
1978-02-05	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1692	1733	12.7%	37.7%	49.6%	-9.3	28
1978-02-05	Napoli	W 1-0	1840	1721	58.6%	31.8%	9.7%	+3.5	34
1978-02-05	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1721	1840	9.7%	31.8%	58.6%	-3.5	24
1978-02-05	Torino	W 2-1	1604	1820	19.8%	37.1%	43.2%	+10.5	13
1978-02-05	@ Pescara	L 1-2	1820	1604	43.2%	37.1%	19.8%	-10.5	29
1978-02-05	Perugia	W 2-0	1643	1719	35.6%	41.8%	22.6%	+14.3	21
1978-02-05	@ Roma	L 0-2	1719	1643	22.6%	41.8%	35.6%	-14.4	25
1978-02-12	Juventus	D 0-0	1736	1843	31.7%	41.7%	26.7%	-0.3	29
1978-02-12	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1843	1736	26.7%	41.7%	31.7%	+0.3	35
1978-02-12	Pescara	D 1-1	1637	1614	47.4%	38.8%	13.8%	-1.8	18
1978-02-12	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1614	1637	13.8%	38.8%	47.4%	+1.8	14
1978-02-12	Roma	D 0-0	1604	1658	38.4%	41.6%	20.0%	-1.0	19
1978-02-12	@ Foggia	D 0-0	1658	1604	20.0%	41.6%	38.4%	+1.0	22
1978-02-12	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1652	1637	46.7%	39.2%	14.2%	-2.0	20
1978-02-12	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1637	1652	14.2%	39.2%	46.7%	+1.9	15
1978-02-12	Atalanta	L 0-2	1696	1636	51.7%	36.5%	11.8%	-24.7	21
1978-02-12	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1636	1696	11.8%	36.5%	51.7%	+24.7	18
1978-02-12	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1717	1742	41.9%	40.9%	17.2%	-0.9	25
1978-02-12	@ Napoli	D 2-2	1742	1717	17.2%	40.9%	41.9%	+1.0	29
1978-02-12	Genoa	D 0-0	1705	1632	53.2%	35.5%	11.3%	-2.6	26
1978-02-12	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1632	1705	11.3%	35.5%	53.2%	+2.6	20
1978-02-12	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 2-2	1810	1683	59.5%	31.1%	9.5%	-2.1	30
1978-02-12	@ Torino	D 2-2	1683	1810	9.5%	31.1%	59.5%	+2.1	29
1978-02-19	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1661	1650	46.1%	39.4%	14.5%	+5.6	21
1978-02-19	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1650	1661	14.5%	39.4%	46.1%	-5.6	20
1978-02-19	Foggia	W 2-1	1635	1603	48.6%	38.2%	13.2%	+4.8	21
1978-02-19	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1603	1635	13.2%	38.2%	48.6%	-4.8	19
1978-02-19	Perugia	W 2-1	1639	1702	37.2%	41.7%	21.1%	+6.9	18
1978-02-19	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1702	1639	21.1%	41.7%	37.2%	-6.9	26
1978-02-19	Napoli	D 1-1	1635	1716	34.9%	41.8%	23.2%	-0.6	21
1978-02-19	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1716	1635	23.2%	41.8%	34.9%	+0.6	26
1978-02-19	Torino	D 0-0	1743	1808	37.1%	41.7%	21.2%	-0.9	30
1978-02-19	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1808	1743	21.2%	41.7%	37.1%	+0.9	31
1978-02-19	Lazio Roma	W 3-0	1843	1671	64.8%	26.9%	8.3%	+7.4	38
1978-02-19	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1671	1843	8.3%	26.9%	64.8%	-7.4	21
1978-02-19	Pescara	W 2-0	1659	1616	49.8%	37.6%	12.6%	+9.2	25
1978-02-19	@ Roma	L 0-2	1616	1659	12.6%	37.6%	49.8%	-9.2	14
1978-02-19	AC Milan	D 1-1	1685	1736	38.8%	41.5%	19.7%	-1.0	30
1978-02-19	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1736	1685	19.7%	41.5%	38.8%	+1.0	30
1978-02-26	Roma	W 1-0	1737	1668	52.8%	35.8%	11.4%	+4.4	33
1978-02-26	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1668	1737	11.4%	35.8%	52.8%	-4.4	25
1978-02-26	Juventus	D 1-1	1646	1851	20.7%	37.8%	41.5%	+1.0	19
1978-02-26	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1851	1646	41.5%	37.8%	20.7%	-1.0	39
1978-02-26	Genoa	W 2-0	1645	1634	46.1%	39.4%	14.5%	+10.5	23
1978-02-26	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1634	1645	14.5%	39.4%	46.1%	-10.5	21
1978-02-26	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1663	1743	35.2%	41.8%	23.0%	+7.7	24
1978-02-26	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1743	1663	23.0%	41.8%	35.2%	-7.7	30
1978-02-26	Atalanta	D 2-2	1717	1666	50.7%	37.1%	12.2%	-1.6	27
1978-02-26	@ Napoli	D 2-2	1666	1717	12.2%	37.1%	50.7%	+1.6	22
1978-02-26	Bologna	W 2-0	1695	1640	51.3%	36.7%	12.0%	+8.7	29
1978-02-26	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1640	1695	12.0%	36.7%	51.3%	-8.7	21
1978-02-26	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-2	1607	1684	35.5%	41.8%	22.7%	-9.5	14
1978-02-26	@ Pescara	W 2-1	1684	1607	22.7%	41.8%	35.5%	+9.5	33
1978-02-26	Foggia	W 3-1	1809	1598	69.2%	23.3%	7.5%	+3.7	34
1978-02-26	@ Torino	L 1-3	1598	1809	7.5%	23.3%	69.2%	-3.7	19
1978-03-05	Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1631	1655	42.0%	40.9%	17.2%	-31.0	21
1978-03-05	@ Bologna	W 3-0	1655	1631	17.2%	40.9%	42.0%	+31.0	26
1978-03-05	AC Milan	L 1-2	1594	1741	26.5%	40.7%	32.8%	-7.8	19
1978-03-05	@ Foggia	W 2-1	1741	1594	32.8%	40.7%	26.5%	+7.8	36
1978-03-05	Torino	L 1-2	1624	1812	22.1%	38.8%	39.1%	-6.8	21
1978-03-05	@ Genoa	W 2-1	1812	1624	39.1%	38.8%	22.1%	+6.8	37
1978-03-05	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1735	1647	55.0%	34.3%	10.7%	+3.8	33
1978-03-05	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1647	1735	10.7%	34.3%	55.0%	-3.8	19
1978-03-05	Perugia	W 2-0	1850	1704	61.7%	29.4%	9.0%	+5.8	42
1978-03-05	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1704	1850	9.0%	29.4%	61.7%	-5.8	29
1978-03-05	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1598	1671	35.9%	41.8%	22.3%	+7.6	17
1978-03-05	@ Pescara	L 0-1	1671	1598	22.3%	41.8%	35.9%	-7.5	24
1978-03-05	Napoli	D 0-0	1663	1715	38.6%	41.5%	19.8%	-1.1	26
1978-03-05	@ Roma	D 0-0	1715	1663	19.8%	41.5%	38.6%	+1.0	28
1978-03-05	Atalanta	D 2-2	1694	1668	47.9%	38.6%	13.5%	-1.4	34
1978-03-05	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	D 2-2	1668	1694	13.5%	38.6%	47.9%	+1.4	23
1978-03-12	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1749	1739	46.1%	39.4%	14.5%	-1.9	37
1978-03-12	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1739	1749	14.5%	39.4%	46.1%	+1.9	34
1978-03-12	Juventus	L 0-2	1669	1855	22.4%	38.9%	38.7%	-13.7	23
1978-03-12	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1855	1669	38.7%	38.9%	22.4%	+13.7	45
1978-03-12	Roma	W 2-0	1643	1662	42.6%	40.7%	16.7%	+11.8	22
1978-03-12	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1662	1643	16.7%	40.7%	42.6%	-11.8	26
1978-03-12	Genoa	D 1-1	1587	1617	41.2%	41.0%	17.7%	-1.2	20
1978-03-12	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1617	1587	17.7%	41.0%	41.2%	+1.2	22
1978-03-12	Pescara	W 1-0	1686	1605	54.2%	34.8%	10.9%	+4.2	29
1978-03-12	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1605	1686	10.9%	34.8%	54.2%	-4.2	17
1978-03-12	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-3	1664	1692	41.4%	41.0%	17.6%	-18.3	24
1978-03-12	@ Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1692	1664	17.6%	41.0%	41.4%	+18.3	37
1978-03-12	Napoli	W 2-0	1698	1716	42.7%	40.6%	16.6%	+11.7	32
1978-03-12	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1716	1698	16.6%	40.6%	42.7%	-11.7	28
1978-03-12	Bologna	W 2-0	1819	1600	70.1%	22.5%	7.3%	+4.0	40
1978-03-12	@ Torino	L 0-2	1600	1819	7.3%	22.5%	70.1%	-4.0	21
1978-03-19	AC Milan	D 0-0	1596	1747	26.0%	40.5%	33.5%	+0.4	22
1978-03-19	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1747	1596	33.5%	40.5%	26.0%	-0.4	38
1978-03-19	Atalanta	L 0-1	1618	1656	40.4%	41.2%	18.4%	-11.0	22
1978-03-19	@ Genoa	W 1-0	1656	1618	18.4%	41.2%	40.4%	+11.0	26
1978-03-19	Perugia	W 2-0	1740	1710	48.4%	38.3%	13.3%	+9.7	37
1978-03-19	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1710	1740	13.3%	38.3%	48.4%	-9.7	32
1978-03-19	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1869	1690	65.5%	26.3%	8.2%	+2.6	48
1978-03-19	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1690	1869	8.2%	26.3%	65.5%	-2.6	29
1978-03-19	Roma	D 1-1	1645	1651	44.2%	40.2%	15.6%	-1.5	25
1978-03-19	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1651	1645	15.6%	40.2%	44.2%	+1.5	27
1978-03-19	Torino	L 1-3	1705	1823	30.1%	41.5%	28.4%	-14.7	28
1978-03-19	@ Napoli	W 3-1	1823	1705	28.4%	41.5%	30.1%	+14.7	43
1978-03-19	Foggia	L 1-2	1601	1585	46.7%	39.1%	14.1%	-11.5	17
1978-03-19	@ Pescara	W 2-1	1585	1601	14.1%	39.1%	46.7%	+11.5	23
1978-03-19	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1711	1655	51.3%	36.7%	12.0%	+4.6	40
1978-03-19	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1655	1711	12.0%	36.7%	51.3%	-4.6	22
1978-03-26	Pescara	W 2-0	1747	1590	63.0%	28.3%	8.7%	+5.5	41
1978-03-26	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1590	1747	8.7%	28.3%	63.0%	-5.5	17
1978-03-26	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1667	1750	34.7%	41.8%	23.5%	-9.9	26
1978-03-26	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1750	1667	23.5%	41.8%	34.7%	+9.9	40
1978-03-26	Bologna	D 0-0	1650	1596	51.1%	36.8%	12.1%	-2.4	23
1978-03-26	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1596	1650	12.1%	36.8%	51.1%	+2.4	23
1978-03-26	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1597	1644	39.3%	41.4%	19.3%	+11.3	26
1978-03-26	@ Foggia	L 1-3	1644	1597	19.3%	41.4%	39.3%	-11.3	25
1978-03-26	Juventus	D 2-2	1607	1872	16.6%	33.5%	50.0%	+1.3	23
1978-03-26	@ Genoa	D 2-2	1872	1607	50.0%	33.5%	16.6%	-1.3	49
1978-03-26	Napoli	L 0-1	1688	1690	44.6%	40.0%	15.4%	-11.8	29
1978-03-26	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1690	1688	15.4%	40.0%	44.6%	+11.8	31
1978-03-26	Lanerossi Vicenza	D 1-1	1652	1715	37.2%	41.7%	21.1%	-0.8	28
1978-03-26	@ Roma	D 1-1	1715	1652	21.1%	41.7%	37.2%	+0.8	41
1978-03-26	Perugia	D 1-1	1838	1700	60.7%	30.1%	9.2%	-2.9	44
1978-03-26	@ Torino	D 1-1	1700	1838	9.2%	30.1%	60.7%	+2.9	33
1978-04-02	Atalanta	D 2-2	1648	1657	43.8%	40.3%	15.9%	-1.1	24
1978-04-02	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1657	1648	15.9%	40.3%	43.8%	+1.1	27
1978-04-02	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1760	1676	54.5%	34.6%	10.8%	-2.7	41
1978-04-02	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1676	1760	10.8%	34.6%	54.5%	+2.7	30
1978-04-02	Torino	D 0-0	1871	1835	49.0%	38.0%	13.0%	-2.2	50
1978-04-02	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1835	1871	13.0%	38.0%	49.0%	+2.2	45
1978-04-02	Lazio Roma	W 4-3	1702	1632	52.9%	35.7%	11.4%	+3.8	34
1978-04-02	@ Napoli	L 3-4	1632	1702	11.4%	35.7%	52.9%	-3.8	25
1978-04-02	AC Milan	L 0-1	1703	1752	39.0%	41.5%	19.5%	-10.7	33
1978-04-02	@ Perugia	W 1-0	1752	1703	19.5%	41.5%	39.0%	+10.7	44
1978-04-02	Genoa	D 0-0	1584	1609	42.0%	40.9%	17.2%	-1.4	18
1978-04-02	@ Pescara	D 0-0	1609	1584	17.2%	40.9%	42.0%	+1.4	24
1978-04-02	Bologna	D 1-1	1651	1599	50.9%	36.9%	12.1%	-2.1	29
1978-04-02	@ Roma	D 1-1	1599	1651	12.1%	36.9%	50.9%	+2.1	24
1978-04-02	Foggia	W 2-0	1716	1608	57.3%	32.7%	10.0%	+6.9	44
1978-04-02	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-2	1608	1716	10.0%	32.7%	57.3%	-6.9	26
1978-04-09	Torino	D 1-1	1763	1837	35.9%	41.8%	22.3%	-0.6	45
1978-04-09	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1837	1763	22.3%	41.8%	35.9%	+0.7	46
1978-04-09	Pescara	W 2-0	1658	1583	53.5%	35.3%	11.2%	+8.0	30
1978-04-09	@ Atalanta	L 0-2	1583	1658	11.2%	35.3%	53.5%	-8.0	18
1978-04-09	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-2	1601	1723	29.6%	41.4%	29.0%	+7.9	27
1978-04-09	@ Bologna	L 2-3	1723	1601	29.0%	41.4%	29.6%	-7.8	44
1978-04-09	Napoli	D 1-1	1601	1706	32.0%	41.7%	26.3%	-0.3	27
1978-04-09	@ Foggia	D 1-1	1706	1601	26.3%	41.7%	32.0%	+0.3	35
1978-04-09	Roma	W 1-0	1610	1649	40.2%	41.3%	18.5%	+6.7	27
1978-04-09	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1649	1610	18.5%	41.3%	40.2%	-6.7	29
1978-04-09	Perugia	D 0-0	1679	1692	43.3%	40.5%	16.3%	-1.6	31
1978-04-09	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1692	1679	16.3%	40.5%	43.3%	+1.6	34
1978-04-09	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1868	1757	57.6%	32.4%	9.9%	-2.0	51
1978-04-09	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1757	1868	9.9%	32.4%	57.6%	+2.0	42
1978-04-09	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1629	1647	42.7%	40.6%	16.6%	+6.2	28
1978-04-09	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1647	1629	16.6%	40.6%	42.7%	-6.2	24
1978-04-16	Atalanta	L 0-1	1762	1666	56.0%	33.6%	10.4%	-13.8	45
1978-04-16	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1666	1762	10.4%	33.6%	56.0%	+13.8	33
1978-04-16	Juventus	D 1-1	1609	1866	17.0%	34.0%	49.0%	+1.7	28
1978-04-16	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1866	1609	49.0%	34.0%	17.0%	-1.7	52
1978-04-16	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1706	1640	52.4%	36.0%	11.6%	-2.5	36
1978-04-16	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1640	1706	11.6%	36.0%	52.4%	+2.5	25
1978-04-16	Foggia	W 3-1	1694	1601	55.6%	33.9%	10.5%	+6.4	37
1978-04-16	@ Perugia	L 1-3	1601	1694	10.5%	33.9%	55.6%	-6.4	27
1978-04-16	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1575	1759	22.5%	39.0%	38.5%	+9.8	21
1978-04-16	@ Pescara	L 1-2	1759	1575	38.5%	39.0%	22.5%	-9.8	42
1978-04-16	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1642	1677	40.7%	41.2%	18.1%	+6.2	32
1978-04-16	@ Roma	L 1-2	1677	1642	18.1%	41.2%	40.7%	-6.2	31
1978-04-16	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1838	1635	68.3%	24.0%	7.7%	+2.3	49
1978-04-16	@ Torino	L 0-1	1635	1838	7.7%	24.0%	68.3%	-2.3	28
1978-04-16	Genoa	W 1-0	1715	1617	56.2%	33.5%	10.3%	+3.8	47
1978-04-16	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 0-1	1617	1715	10.3%	33.5%	56.2%	-3.8	27
1978-04-23	Foggia	L 1-2	1680	1595	54.7%	34.5%	10.8%	-12.8	33
1978-04-23	@ Atalanta	W 2-1	1595	1680	10.8%	34.5%	54.7%	+12.8	30
1978-04-23	Torino	W 2-0	1643	1840	21.3%	38.3%	40.4%	+20.1	28
1978-04-23	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1840	1643	40.4%	38.3%	21.3%	-20.1	49
1978-04-23	Bologna	D 0-0	1613	1610	45.1%	39.8%	15.0%	-1.8	28
1978-04-23	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1610	1613	15.0%	39.8%	45.1%	+1.8	29
1978-04-23	AC Milan	L 1-2	1671	1749	35.4%	41.8%	22.8%	-9.4	31
1978-04-23	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1749	1671	22.8%	41.8%	35.4%	+9.5	48
1978-04-23	Roma	W 4-2	1750	1649	56.5%	33.3%	10.2%	+5.5	45
1978-04-23	@ Inter Milan	L 2-4	1649	1750	10.2%	33.3%	56.5%	-5.5	32
1978-04-23	Pescara	W 2-0	1865	1584	76.8%	17.1%	6.1%	+3.0	55
1978-04-23	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1584	1865	6.1%	17.1%	76.8%	-3.0	21
1978-04-23	Perugia	W 2-0	1633	1700	36.6%	41.8%	21.6%	+14.0	31
1978-04-23	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1700	1633	21.6%	41.8%	36.6%	-14.0	37
1978-04-23	Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-4	1703	1719	43.0%	40.6%	16.4%	-26.6	36
1978-04-23	@ Napoli	W 4-1	1719	1703	16.4%	40.6%	43.0%	+26.6	50
1978-04-30	Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1758	1646	57.7%	32.4%	9.9%	-26.5	48
1978-04-30	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1646	1758	9.9%	32.4%	57.7%	+26.5	34
1978-04-30	Napoli	D 0-0	1612	1677	37.1%	41.7%	21.2%	-0.9	30
1978-04-30	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1677	1612	21.2%	41.7%	37.1%	+0.9	37
1978-04-30	Hellas Verona	W 4-0	1607	1662	38.4%	41.6%	20.1%	+25.3	33
1978-04-30	@ Foggia	L 0-4	1662	1607	20.1%	41.6%	38.4%	-25.3	31
1978-04-30	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1611	1755	26.9%	40.8%	32.4%	+0.3	29
1978-04-30	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1755	1611	32.4%	40.8%	26.9%	-0.3	46
1978-04-30	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1581	1663	34.9%	41.8%	23.3%	-9.3	21
1978-04-30	@ Pescara	W 2-1	1663	1581	23.3%	41.8%	34.9%	+9.4	31
1978-04-30	Juventus	D 1-1	1643	1868	19.2%	36.5%	44.3%	+1.3	33
1978-04-30	@ Roma	D 1-1	1868	1643	44.3%	36.5%	19.2%	-1.3	56
1978-04-30	Atalanta	W 3-2	1820	1667	62.5%	28.7%	8.8%	+2.7	52
1978-04-30	@ Torino	L 2-3	1667	1820	8.8%	28.7%	62.5%	-2.7	33
1978-04-30	Perugia	W 3-1	1746	1686	51.7%	36.5%	11.8%	+7.4	53
1978-04-30	@ Lanerossi Vicenza	L 1-3	1686	1746	11.8%	36.5%	51.7%	-7.4	37
1978-05-07	Roma	L 0-1	1664	1644	47.2%	38.9%	13.9%	-12.3	33
1978-05-07	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1644	1664	13.9%	38.9%	47.2%	+12.3	36
1978-05-07	Genoa	D 0-0	1672	1611	51.9%	36.3%	11.7%	-2.5	32
1978-05-07	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1611	1672	11.7%	36.3%	51.9%	+2.5	30
1978-05-07	Torino	D 0-0	1636	1823	22.3%	38.9%	38.8%	+0.9	32
1978-05-07	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1823	1636	38.8%	38.9%	22.3%	-0.9	53
1978-05-07	Foggia	W 2-1	1755	1633	58.9%	31.4%	9.6%	+3.2	49
1978-05-07	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1633	1755	9.6%	31.4%	58.9%	-3.2	33
1978-05-07	Lanerossi Vicenza	W 3-2	1866	1753	57.9%	32.2%	9.9%	+3.2	59
1978-05-07	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1753	1866	9.9%	32.2%	57.9%	-3.2	53
1978-05-07	Bologna	L 0-1	1673	1611	52.0%	36.3%	11.7%	-13.2	34
1978-05-07	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1611	1673	11.7%	36.3%	52.0%	+13.2	33
1978-05-07	AC Milan	D 1-1	1678	1732	38.4%	41.6%	20.0%	-0.9	38
1978-05-07	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1732	1678	20.0%	41.6%	38.4%	+0.9	49
1978-05-07	Pescara	W 2-1	1679	1572	57.2%	32.8%	10.1%	+3.5	40
1978-05-07	@ Perugia	L 1-2	1572	1679	10.1%	32.8%	57.2%	-3.5	21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1978-04-30	9.92%	Lazio Roma	1646	2	@ AC Milan	1758	0
2	1978-04-16	10.39%	Atalanta	1666	1	@ AC Milan	1762	0
3	1978-04-23	10.79%	Foggia	1595	2	@ Atalanta	1680	1
4	1977-12-18	11.53%	Hellas Verona	1639	1	@ Perugia	1705	0
5	1977-10-30	11.55%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1609	4	@ Atalanta	1674	2
6	1978-05-07	11.72%	Bologna	1611	1	@ Lazio Roma	1673	0
7	1978-02-12	11.82%	Atalanta	1636	2	@ Lazio Roma	1696	0
8	1977-09-25	12.09%	Hellas Verona	1651	2	@ Fiorentina	1704	1
9	1977-09-11	12.39%	Bologna	1668	1	@ Inter Milan	1715	0
10	1978-01-22	13.62%	Napoli	1711	1	@ AC Milan	1736	0
11	1977-11-20	13.87%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1636	3	@ Fiorentina	1656	1
12	1978-05-07	13.90%	Roma	1644	1	@ Atalanta	1664	0
13	1977-09-11	14.08%	Napoli	1664	3	@ Pescara	1681	1
14	1977-11-06	14.12%	AC Milan	1716	3	@ Inter Milan	1732	1
15	1978-03-19	14.15%	Foggia	1585	2	@ Pescara	1601	1
16	1977-11-27	14.90%	Fiorentina	1636	1	@ Bologna	1640	0
17	1977-10-02	15.36%	Atalanta	1665	2	@ Hellas Verona	1663	1
18	1978-03-26	15.37%	Napoli	1690	1	@ Hellas Verona	1688	0
19	1978-04-23	16.43%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1719	4	@ Napoli	1703	1
20	1977-10-23	16.46%	Perugia	1682	3	@ Bologna	1666	2
21	1978-03-05	17.17%	Hellas Verona	1655	3	@ Bologna	1631	0
22	1977-12-31	17.44%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1676	2	@ Genoa	1648	1
23	1978-03-12	17.57%	Lanerossi Vicenza	1692	3	@ Lazio Roma	1664	1
24	1977-10-23	18.14%	AC Milan	1697	2	@ Roma	1661	1
25	1977-10-30	18.18%	Inter Milan	1711	2	@ Fiorentina	1676	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1978-03-05	30.98	Hellas Verona	3	1655	17.17%	@ Bologna	0	1631	41.97%
2	1978-04-23	26.59	Lanerossi Vicenza	4	1719	16.43%	@ Napoli	1	1703	43.01%
3	1978-04-30	26.51	Lazio Roma	2	1646	9.92%	@ AC Milan	0	1758	57.71%
4	1977-10-02	25.54	@ Lazio Roma	3	1681	26.90%	Juventus	0	1825	32.31%
5	1978-04-30	25.31	@ Foggia	4	1607	38.35%	Hellas Verona	0	1662	20.06%
6	1978-02-12	24.74	Atalanta	2	1636	11.82%	@ Lazio Roma	0	1696	51.73%
7	1978-01-08	21.64	@ Perugia	4	1702	43.58%	Lazio Roma	0	1713	16.04%
8	1977-12-18	21.08	@ Napoli	5	1699	50.41%	Foggia	0	1651	12.35%
9	1977-10-30	20.84	Inter Milan	2	1711	18.18%	@ Fiorentina	0	1676	40.64%
10	1977-11-20	20.11	Lanerossi Vicenza	3	1636	13.87%	@ Fiorentina	1	1656	47.21%
11	1978-04-23	20.10	@ Fiorentina	2	1643	21.35%	Torino	0	1840	40.37%
12	1977-09-11	20.00	Napoli	3	1664	14.08%	@ Pescara	1	1681	46.83%
13	1977-11-06	19.98	AC Milan	3	1716	14.12%	@ Inter Milan	1	1732	46.76%
14	1977-10-30	19.34	Lanerossi Vicenza	4	1609	11.55%	@ Atalanta	2	1674	52.43%
15	1978-03-12	18.30	Lanerossi Vicenza	3	1692	17.57%	@ Lazio Roma	1	1664	41.43%
16	1977-11-27	18.03	AC Milan	2	1739	25.15%	@ Pescara	0	1644	33.08%
17	1977-11-27	17.81	@ Perugia	2	1685	26.34%	Torino	0	1834	33.04%
18	1978-01-22	17.55	Inter Milan	2	1724	26.57%	@ Foggia	0	1618	31.76%
19	1977-09-11	15.48	@ Juventus	6	1804	62.68%	Foggia	0	1650	8.77%
20	1978-03-19	14.67	Torino	3	1823	28.44%	@ Napoli	1	1705	30.10%
21	1978-02-05	14.35	@ Roma	2	1643	35.62%	Perugia	0	1719	22.57%
22	1978-01-15	14.19	@ Fiorentina	3	1644	48.16%	Pescara	0	1615	13.39%
23	1977-11-27	14.09	@ Napoli	3	1684	48.37%	Hellas Verona	0	1653	13.28%
24	1978-04-23	13.98	@ Lazio Roma	2	1633	36.64%	Perugia	0	1700	21.60%
25	1978-04-16	13.81	Atalanta	1	1666	10.39%	@ AC Milan	0	1762	55.98%