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1977-78 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

44 points · 18th Title

Last Title: 1976-77

Relegated

Pescara

17 pts

Genoa · 25 pts

Foggia · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Lanerossi Vicenza

10.75 points above expected

39 points · 28.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pescara

8.87 points below expected

17 points · 25.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 30 15 14 1 44 46 17 +29 39.62 +4.38
2 Lanerossi Vicenza 30 14 11 5 39 50 34 +16 28.25 +10.75
3 Torino 30 14 11 5 39 36 23 +13 39.16 -0.16
4 AC Milan 30 12 13 5 37 38 25 +13 33.00 +4.00
5 Inter Milan 30 13 10 7 36 35 24 +11 32.72 +3.28
6 Perugia 30 10 10 10 30 36 35 +1 30.12 -0.12
7 Napoli 30 8 14 8 30 35 31 +4 29.23 +0.77
8 Roma 30 8 12 10 28 31 34 -3 27.83 +0.17
9 Atalanta 30 6 15 9 27 28 32 -4 27.92 -0.92
10 Hellas Verona 30 6 14 10 26 25 30 -5 27.88 -1.88
11 Bologna 30 7 12 11 26 21 32 -11 26.82 -0.82
12 Lazio Roma 30 8 10 12 26 31 38 -7 30.11 -4.11
13 Genoa Relegated 30 5 15 10 25 23 33 -10 26.82 -1.82
14 Foggia Relegated 30 8 9 13 25 28 43 -15 25.43 -0.43
15 Fiorentina 30 7 11 12 25 28 37 -9 29.22 -4.22
16 Pescara Relegated 30 4 9 17 17 21 44 -23 25.87 -8.87

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lanerossi Vicenza 39 28.25 +10.75
2 Juventus 44 39.62 +4.38
3 AC Milan 37 33.00 +4.00
4 Inter Milan 36 32.72 +3.28
5 Napoli 30 29.23 +0.77

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pescara 17 25.87 -8.87
2 Fiorentina 25 29.22 -4.22
3 Lazio Roma 26 30.11 -4.11
4 Hellas Verona 26 27.88 -1.88
5 Genoa 25 26.82 -1.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 6 Oct 2 – Nov 27 1 in 1,323
2 Lanerossi Vicenza 4 Oct 30 – Nov 27 1 in 483
3 Inter Milan 3 Jan 8 – Jan 22 1 in 32
4 Lazio Roma 2 Apr 23 – Apr 30 1 in 31
5 Hellas Verona 3 Feb 26 – Mar 12 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fiorentina 4 Sep 25 – Oct 30 1 in 262
2 Atalanta 3 Apr 23 – May 7 1 in 127
3 Genoa 4 Dec 18 – Jan 15 1 in 60
4 Bologna 3 Sep 25 – Oct 23 1 in 42
5 Hellas Verona 3 Apr 16 – Apr 30 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lanerossi Vicenza 12 Oct 23 – Jan 29 1 in 102
2 Juventus 26 Oct 23 – May 7 1 in 72
3 Bologna 8 Mar 19 – May 7 1 in 62
4 Atalanta 6 Jan 29 – Mar 5 1 in 22
5 AC Milan 11 Jan 29 – Apr 9 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atalanta 13 Oct 23 – Feb 5 1 in 78
2 Pescara 13 Oct 2 – Jan 29 1 in 39
3 Bologna 11 Sep 18 – Dec 31 1 in 35
4 Fiorentina 8 Sep 11 – Nov 20 1 in 27
5 Perugia 6 Jan 15 – Feb 19 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Juventus 1888 44 +0 7 7.2 -0.2
Lanerossi Vicenza 1750 39 +26 6 5.0 +1.0
Torino 1844 39 -16 6 6.4 -0.4
AC Milan 1736 37 -29 4 5.7 -1.7
Inter Milan 1763 36 +1 6 5.7 +0.3
Perugia 1689 30 -9 5 5.1 -0.1
Napoli 1672 30 -26 4 5.5 -1.5
Roma 1657 28 +8 5 3.9 +1.1
Atalanta 1651 27 -5 4 5.2 -1.2
Bologna 1637 26 +22 7 4.3 +2.7
Lazio Roma 1670 26 +29 6 4.8 +1.2
Hellas Verona 1641 26 -39 2 4.8 -2.8
Fiorentina 1684 25 +22 6 4.5 +1.5
Genoa 1617 25 +4 5 4.6 +0.4
Foggia 1634 25 +26 5 4.0 +1.0
Pescara 1578 17 -13 2 3.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BOL FIO FOG GEN HV IM JUV LV LR NAP PER PES ROM TOR
AC Milan —
0-1-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
2.64
2-0-0
3.25
0-2-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.55
0-2-0
1.82
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.07
Atalanta
1-1-0
2.01
 —
0-2-0
2.45
0-2-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.84
1-1-0
2.67
2-0-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
1.48
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.33
0-2-0
2.52
0-2-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.67
0-1-1
1.50
Bologna
0-1-1
1.92
0-2-0
2.73
 —
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.60
2-0-0
2.13
0-1-1
1.30
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-0
2.19
0-2-0
2.29
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.53
0-0-2
1.55
Fiorentina
0-1-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.73
 —
0-2-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.35
0-1-1
1.58
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
2.51
1-1-0
2.34
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-0
2.99
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
1.52
Foggia
0-0-2
1.94
2-0-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.32
0-2-0
2.20
 —
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
1.35
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.19
2-0-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
1.42
Genoa
0-2-0
2.12
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.27
0-2-0
2.70
 —
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
1.86
0-1-1
1.31
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
2.23
0-2-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
1.48
Hellas Verona
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.59
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.59
 —
0-2-0
2.11
0-1-1
1.57
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.32
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
1.50
Inter Milan
0-1-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
3.05
2-0-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
3.09
 —
0-1-1
1.91
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
3.49
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.04
Juventus
0-2-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.79
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.30
 —
1-1-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.60
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.96
0-2-0
2.67
Lanerossi Vicenza
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
1.68
 —
2-0-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.85
0-2-0
1.46
Lazio Roma
2-0-0
2.23
0-1-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.99
2-0-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.96
0-2-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.34
1-0-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.83
 —
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.98
0-2-0
2.86
0-1-1
1.77
Napoli
1-1-0
2.30
0-2-0
2.67
0-2-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.97
0-2-0
2.80
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.62
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.65
 —
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-2
1.69
Perugia
0-1-1
2.33
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.67
 —
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
1.66
Pescara
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
1.72
0-0-2
1.32
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
1.96
 —
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
1.41
Roma
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
2.51
0-2-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
1.34
0-1-1
2.32
0-2-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.65
 —
1-1-0
1.45
Torino
1-1-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.73
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
3.87
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
2.52
0-2-0
3.79
1-1-0
3.49
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.58
1-0-1
3.86
0-1-1
3.84
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +7.5
Allowed 0.69 -8.2
Differential 0.96 +5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.75%6.46%1.25%0.62%0.42%34.17%
18.75%17.50%7.08%2.92%0.21%0.42%36.88%
26.46%7.08%5.42%1.25%0.42%—20.62%
31.25%2.92%1.25%—0.42%—5.83%
40.62%0.21%0.42%0.42%——1.67%
5+0.42%0.42%————0.83%
Total34.17%36.88%20.62%5.83%1.67%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.07 +0.00
SD 1.04 1.04 1.41
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%6.67%———26.67%
110.00%26.67%————36.67%
210.00%10.00%6.67%———26.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total30.00%56.67%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.83 +0.43
SD 1.14 0.65 1.28
CV 0.90 0.78 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
110.00%23.33%3.33%3.33%——40.00%
26.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.07 -0.13
SD 0.78 1.05 1.01
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%——53.33%
16.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
2—13.33%—3.33%——16.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%13.33%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.07 -0.37
SD 0.88 1.01 1.16
CV 1.25 0.95 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
16.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%—6.67%43.33%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%23.33%3.33%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.23 -0.30
SD 0.83 1.33 1.51
CV 0.89 1.08 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%10.00%——6.67%33.33%
110.00%20.00%10.00%10.00%——50.00%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%36.67%20.00%10.00%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.43 -0.50
SD 0.94 1.45 1.96
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%10.00%6.67%—3.33%—43.33%
16.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%——36.67%
23.33%6.67%10.00%———20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%26.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.10 -0.33
SD 0.77 1.03 1.15
CV 1.01 0.94 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%—3.33%3.33%—46.67%
16.67%10.00%13.33%———30.00%
23.33%3.33%10.00%———16.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%23.33%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.00 -0.17
SD 0.95 1.05 1.34
CV 1.14 1.05 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%————30.00%
110.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
216.67%13.33%6.67%———36.67%
3———————
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%36.67%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.80 +0.37
SD 0.99 0.85 1.13
CV 0.84 1.06 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%——3.33%——26.67%
113.33%16.67%————30.00%
213.33%6.67%6.67%———26.67%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total60.00%26.67%10.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.57 +0.97
SD 1.50 0.82 1.67
CV 0.98 1.44 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%—3.33%———16.67%
110.00%16.67%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
23.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
33.33%10.00%————13.33%
4—3.33%3.33%3.33%——10.00%
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%16.67%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.13 +0.53
SD 1.21 1.01 1.28
CV 0.73 0.89 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
110.00%23.33%10.00%6.67%——50.00%
210.00%3.33%3.33%———16.67%
33.33%———3.33%—6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%36.67%16.67%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.27 -0.23
SD 0.85 1.20 1.52
CV 0.82 0.95 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%3.33%———36.67%
16.67%20.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
23.33%—6.67%———10.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total36.67%36.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.03 +0.13
SD 1.32 1.07 1.53
CV 1.13 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%16.67%———33.33%
13.33%20.00%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
210.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
3—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%36.67%30.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.17 +0.03
SD 1.13 0.91 1.50
CV 0.94 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%23.33%3.33%——43.33%
13.33%16.67%20.00%3.33%——43.33%
2—10.00%3.33%———13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%33.33%46.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.47 -0.77
SD 0.70 0.82 1.10
CV 1.00 0.56 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%10.00%———33.33%
110.00%20.00%6.67%———36.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—23.33%
3—3.33%——3.33%—6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.13 -0.10
SD 0.93 1.14 1.16
CV 0.90 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%3.33%6.67%———30.00%
116.67%13.33%6.67%———36.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
3—13.33%3.33%———16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%36.67%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.77 +0.43
SD 1.06 0.77 1.14
CV 0.89 1.01 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 1888 44 39.62 +4.38 89.0% 29 34 37 40 42 45 47
Torino 1844 39 39.16 -0.16 50.0% 30 33 37 39 42 44 48
Inter Milan 1763 36 32.72 +3.28 81.0% 20 25 30 33 36 40 47
Lanerossi Vicenza 1750 39 28.25 +10.75 100.0% 19 21 25 29 31 35 37
AC Milan 1736 37 33.00 +4.00 93.0% 25 28 30 33 35 38 42
Perugia 1689 30 30.12 -0.12 55.0% 20 24 28 30 33 36 40
Fiorentina 1684 25 29.22 -4.22 13.0% 20 24 27 29 31 36 40
Napoli 1672 30 29.23 +0.77 61.0% 18 22 26 29 32 36 41
Lazio Roma 1670 26 30.11 -4.11 17.0% 21 23 28 31 32 36 39
Roma 1657 28 27.83 +0.17 56.0% 20 21 25 28 30 34 37
Atalanta 1651 27 27.92 -0.92 46.0% 18 21 25 28 31 34 38
Hellas Verona 1641 26 27.88 -1.88 37.0% 19 21 25 28 31 35 38
Bologna 1637 26 26.82 -0.82 49.0% 16 20 24 27 30 33 36
Foggia 1634 25 25.43 -0.43 52.0% 14 18 23 25 28 32 36
Genoa 1617 25 26.82 -1.82 35.0% 18 21 24 27 30 32 38
Pescara 1578 17 25.87 -8.87 3.0% 14 19 23 26 29 32 36

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 27.5% * Clear Edge: 27.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.92%
Slight Edge
41.67%39.58%18.75%
Elo Value
Home Edge
235 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
081.06600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.44 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
Juventus, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Comfortable
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.16 * Some Luck: 3.16 to 4.74 * Lucky: 4.74 to 6.33 * Wild Swing: 6.33 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.4 * Close: 2.4 to 3.6 * Off: 3.6 to 4.8 * Way Off: 4.8 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.71 * A Surprise: 1.71 to 2.74 * Several Surprises: 2.74 to 3.76 * Many Surprises: 3.76 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.21 points
Some Luck
03.9510
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.25
Pinpoint
03.006
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
100.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
3.00%
Pescara
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.73

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64% * Slight Edge: 64% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90.5% * Strong Edge: 90.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 62.5% * Some Drama: 62.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 71% * Very Frequent: 71% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11% * Occasional: 11% to 13.5% * Frequent: 13.5% to 16.5% * Very Frequent: 16.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 83.04
1.66
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Even
50%64%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Even
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
75%
Very Frequent
0%71%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
6%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 19.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 19.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Notable Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.25
Weak Carryover
00.560.731
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.24
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1100.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Juventus50.00%32.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%————————
Lanerossi Vicenza—3.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%
Torino41.00%36.00%9.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%————————
AC Milan3.00%8.00%19.00%22.00%16.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%———
Inter Milan3.00%11.00%18.00%18.00%10.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—3.00%1.00%
Perugia2.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%17.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%4.00%
Napoli—2.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%
Roma——2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%16.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%2.00%
Atalanta—1.00%—7.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%
Hellas Verona—1.00%2.00%3.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%
Bologna——4.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%21.00%7.00%6.00%14.00%
Lazio Roma—1.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%
Genoa——3.00%—3.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%
Foggia——2.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%15.00%11.00%22.00%
Fiorentina1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%16.00%13.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%
Pescara——1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AC Milan 100% —
Juventus 100% —
Torino 100% —
Inter Milan 96.00% 4.00%
Lazio Roma 92.00% 8.00%
Perugia 89.00% 11.00%
Fiorentina 87.00% 13.00%
Napoli 84.00% 16.00%
Atalanta 79.00% 21.00%
Roma 78.00% 22.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza 77.00% 23.00%
Hellas Verona 74.00% 26.00%
Bologna 73.00% 27.00%
Genoa 64.00% 36.00%
Pescara 55.00% 45.00%
Foggia 52.00% 48.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1977-09-11 Perugia D 1-167.2 1658 1688 41.04% 41.61% 17.35%+0.22 -1.2 1
1977-09-11 @ Atalanta D 1-167.2 1688 1658 17.35% 41.61% 41.04%-0.22 +1.2 1
1977-09-11 AC Milan D 1-168.2 1725 1688 47.83% 40.11% 12.06%+0.50 -1.9 1
1977-09-11 @ Fiorentina D 1-168.2 1688 1725 12.06% 40.11% 47.83%-0.50 +1.9 1
1977-09-11 Lazio Roma W 2-164.7 1641 1699 37.73% 41.91% 20.36%+0.10 +6.4 2
1977-09-11 @ Genoa L 1-264.7 1699 1641 20.36% 41.91% 37.73%-0.10 -6.4 0
1977-09-11 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-061.1 1651 1627 46.63% 40.47% 12.90%+0.45 -2.0 1
1977-09-11 @ Hellas Verona D 0-061.1 1627 1651 12.90% 40.47% 46.63%-0.45 +2.0 1
1977-09-11 Bologna L 0-166.7 1722 1683 48.10% 40.02% 11.88%+0.51 -12.0 0
1977-09-11 @ Inter Milan W 1-066.7 1683 1722 11.88% 40.02% 48.10%-0.51 +12.0 2
1977-09-11 Foggia W 6-050.1 1839 1652 60.46% 33.45% 6.09%+1.14 +12.5 2
1977-09-11 @ Juventus L 0-650.1 1652 1839 6.09% 33.45% 60.46%-1.14 -12.5 0
1977-09-11 Napoli L 1-368.3 1684 1648 47.77% 40.12% 12.10%+0.50 -19.6 0
1977-09-11 @ Pescara W 3-168.3 1648 1684 12.10% 40.12% 47.77%-0.50 +19.5 2
1977-09-11 Torino W 2-171.4 1646 1860 18.77% 39.73% 41.49%-0.57 +9.9 2
1977-09-11 @ Roma L 1-271.4 1860 1646 41.49% 39.73% 18.77%+0.57 -9.9 0
1977-09-18 Genoa D 2-273.5 1690 1647 48.40% 39.91% 11.68%+0.53 -1.4 2
1977-09-18 @ AC Milan D 2-273.5 1647 1690 11.68% 39.91% 48.40%-0.53 +1.4 3
1977-09-18 Atalanta D 0-062.1 1695 1657 47.96% 40.06% 11.98%+0.51 -2.1 3
1977-09-18 @ Bologna D 0-062.1 1657 1695 11.98% 40.06% 47.96%-0.51 +2.1 2
1977-09-18 Fiorentina D 1-167.2 1640 1723 34.65% 41.99% 23.36%-0.01 -0.5 1
1977-09-18 @ Foggia D 1-167.2 1723 1640 23.36% 41.99% 34.65%+0.01 +0.5 2
1977-09-18 Hellas Verona D 1-167.7 1693 1649 48.49% 39.88% 11.63%+0.53 -1.9 1
1977-09-18 @ Lazio Roma D 1-167.7 1649 1693 11.63% 39.88% 48.49%-0.53 +1.9 2
1977-09-18 Juventus L 1-265.8 1668 1852 21.76% 40.63% 37.61%-0.44 -6.5 2
1977-09-18 @ Napoli W 2-165.8 1852 1668 37.61% 40.63% 21.76%+0.44 +6.5 4
1977-09-18 Roma W 3-266.4 1689 1655 47.54% 40.20% 12.26%+0.49 +4.3 3
1977-09-18 @ Perugia L 2-366.4 1655 1689 12.26% 40.20% 47.54%-0.49 -4.3 2
1977-09-18 Pescara W 2-049.1 1850 1664 60.35% 33.53% 6.13%+1.13 +4.5 2
1977-09-18 @ Torino L 0-249.1 1664 1850 6.13% 33.53% 60.35%-1.13 -4.5 0
1977-09-18 Inter Milan L 1-269.1 1629 1710 34.85% 41.99% 23.16%+0.00 -8.9 1
1977-09-18 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-169.1 1710 1629 23.16% 41.99% 34.85%+0.00 +8.9 2
1977-09-25 Lazio Roma D 1-167.2 1659 1691 40.82% 41.64% 17.54%+0.21 -1.1 3
1977-09-25 @ Atalanta D 1-167.2 1691 1659 17.54% 41.64% 40.82%-0.21 +1.1 2
1977-09-25 Hellas Verona L 1-273.3 1723 1651 51.09% 38.87% 10.04%+0.65 -11.9 2
1977-09-25 @ Fiorentina W 2-173.3 1651 1723 10.04% 38.87% 51.09%-0.65 +11.9 4
1977-09-25 Perugia W 2-054.3 1649 1693 39.34% 41.79% 18.87%+0.16 +12.2 5
1977-09-25 @ Genoa L 0-254.3 1693 1649 18.87% 41.79% 39.34%-0.16 -12.2 3
1977-09-25 Napoli W 1-055.1 1719 1661 49.83% 39.39% 10.78%+0.59 +4.3 4
1977-09-25 @ Inter Milan L 0-155.1 1661 1719 10.78% 39.39% 49.83%-0.59 -4.3 2
1977-09-25 AC Milan D 1-170.4 1858 1688 59.12% 34.36% 6.52%+1.07 -3.0 5
1977-09-25 @ Juventus D 1-170.4 1688 1858 6.52% 34.36% 59.12%-1.07 +3.0 3
1977-09-25 Bologna W 2-163.9 1660 1693 40.65% 41.66% 17.69%+0.20 +5.9 2
1977-09-25 @ Pescara L 1-263.9 1693 1660 17.69% 41.66% 40.65%-0.20 -5.9 3
1977-09-25 Foggia W 1-055.5 1651 1639 45.43% 40.79% 13.78%+0.40 +5.2 4
1977-09-25 @ Roma L 0-155.5 1639 1651 13.78% 40.79% 45.43%-0.40 -5.2 1
1977-09-25 Torino D 0-063.2 1620 1854 17.01% 39.02% 43.97%-0.65 +1.5 2
1977-09-25 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-063.2 1854 1620 43.97% 39.02% 17.01%+0.65 -1.5 3
1977-10-02 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-156.5 1691 1622 50.88% 38.96% 10.16%+0.64 +6.7 5
1977-10-02 @ AC Milan L 1-356.5 1622 1691 10.16% 38.96% 50.88%-0.64 -6.7 2
1977-10-02 Bologna W 1-058.0 1634 1687 38.35% 41.87% 19.78%+0.12 +6.7 3
1977-10-02 @ Foggia L 0-158.0 1687 1634 19.78% 41.87% 38.35%-0.12 -6.7 3
1977-10-02 Atalanta L 1-271.5 1663 1658 44.72% 40.96% 14.32%+0.37 -10.7 4
1977-10-02 @ Hellas Verona W 2-171.5 1658 1663 14.32% 40.96% 44.72%-0.37 +10.7 5
1977-10-02 Juventus W 3-058.9 1692 1855 24.10% 41.12% 34.78%-0.35 +25.5 4
1977-10-02 @ Lazio Roma L 0-358.9 1855 1692 34.78% 41.12% 24.10%+0.35 -25.5 5
1977-10-02 Genoa D 0-061.4 1657 1661 43.77% 41.16% 15.06%+0.33 -1.6 3
1977-10-02 @ Napoli D 0-061.4 1661 1657 15.06% 41.16% 43.77%-0.33 +1.6 6
1977-10-02 Fiorentina W 2-164.2 1681 1711 40.96% 41.62% 17.42%+0.22 +5.8 5
1977-10-02 @ Perugia L 1-264.2 1711 1681 17.42% 41.62% 40.96%-0.22 -5.8 2
1977-10-02 Roma D 1-167.2 1666 1656 45.17% 40.85% 13.97%+0.38 -1.6 3
1977-10-02 @ Pescara D 1-167.2 1656 1666 13.97% 40.85% 45.17%-0.38 +1.6 5
1977-10-02 Inter Milan W 1-054.1 1853 1723 55.89% 36.40% 7.70%+0.90 +3.2 5
1977-10-02 @ Torino L 0-154.1 1723 1853 7.70% 36.40% 55.89%-0.90 -3.2 4
1977-10-23 Napoli D 1-167.2 1669 1655 45.61% 40.75% 13.65%+0.40 -1.6 6
1977-10-23 @ Atalanta D 1-167.2 1655 1669 13.65% 40.75% 45.61%-0.40 +1.6 4
1977-10-23 Perugia L 2-376.3 1680 1687 43.54% 41.21% 15.25%+0.32 -9.9 3
1977-10-23 @ Bologna W 3-276.3 1687 1680 15.25% 41.21% 43.54%-0.32 +9.9 7
1977-10-23 Torino W 1-065.1 1641 1856 18.66% 39.69% 41.64%-0.57 +10.5 5
1977-10-23 @ Foggia L 0-165.1 1856 1641 41.64% 39.69% 18.66%+0.57 -10.5 5
1977-10-23 Hellas Verona D 2-273.0 1663 1652 45.27% 40.83% 13.90%+0.39 -1.2 7
1977-10-23 @ Genoa D 2-273.0 1652 1663 13.90% 40.83% 45.27%-0.39 +1.2 5
1977-10-23 Lazio Roma D 1-168.0 1720 1717 44.54% 41.00% 14.46%+0.36 -1.5 5
1977-10-23 @ Inter Milan D 1-168.0 1717 1720 14.46% 41.00% 44.54%-0.36 +1.5 5
1977-10-23 Fiorentina W 5-153.0 1830 1706 55.48% 36.64% 7.88%+0.87 +9.6 7
1977-10-23 @ Juventus L 1-553.0 1706 1830 7.88% 36.64% 55.48%-0.87 -9.6 2
1977-10-23 AC Milan L 1-270.6 1658 1698 39.83% 41.75% 18.42%+0.17 -9.8 5
1977-10-23 @ Roma W 2-170.6 1698 1658 18.42% 41.75% 39.83%-0.17 +9.8 7
1977-10-23 Pescara D 1-166.3 1615 1664 38.78% 41.84% 19.38%+0.14 -0.9 3
1977-10-23 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-166.3 1664 1615 19.38% 41.84% 38.78%-0.14 +0.9 4
1977-10-30 Foggia W 2-051.4 1708 1651 49.70% 39.44% 10.86%+0.59 +8.2 9
1977-10-30 @ AC Milan L 0-251.4 1651 1708 10.86% 39.44% 49.70%-0.59 -8.2 5
1977-10-30 Lanerossi Vicenza L 2-471.1 1667 1614 49.38% 39.57% 11.06%+0.57 -18.0 6
1977-10-30 @ Atalanta W 4-271.1 1614 1667 11.06% 39.57% 49.38%-0.57 +18.0 5
1977-10-30 Inter Milan L 0-261.7 1696 1719 41.78% 41.51% 16.72%+0.25 -20.2 2
1977-10-30 @ Fiorentina W 2-061.7 1719 1696 16.72% 41.51% 41.78%-0.25 +20.2 7
1977-10-30 Bologna D 1-167.0 1653 1670 42.42% 41.41% 16.17%+0.27 -1.3 6
1977-10-30 @ Hellas Verona D 1-167.0 1670 1653 16.17% 41.41% 42.42%-0.27 +1.3 4
1977-10-30 Pescara W 2-161.6 1719 1665 49.43% 39.55% 11.03%+0.57 +4.2 7
1977-10-30 @ Lazio Roma L 1-261.6 1665 1719 11.03% 39.55% 49.43%-0.57 -4.2 4
1977-10-30 Roma W 2-052.2 1657 1648 45.09% 40.87% 14.04%+0.38 +10.0 6
1977-10-30 @ Napoli L 0-252.2 1648 1657 14.04% 40.87% 45.09%-0.38 -10.0 5
1977-10-30 Juventus D 0-062.7 1697 1839 26.68% 41.51% 31.81%-0.26 +0.2 8
1977-10-30 @ Perugia D 0-062.7 1839 1697 31.81% 41.51% 26.68%+0.26 -0.3 8
1977-10-30 Genoa W 3-155.0 1845 1661 60.25% 33.59% 6.16%+1.13 +4.0 7
1977-10-30 @ Torino L 1-355.0 1661 1845 6.16% 33.59% 60.25%-1.13 -4.0 7
1977-11-06 Torino L 1-362.0 1672 1849 22.46% 40.79% 36.75%-0.41 -11.6 4
1977-11-06 @ Bologna W 3-162.0 1849 1672 36.75% 40.79% 22.46%+0.41 +11.6 9
1977-11-06 Foggia D 0-061.3 1657 1643 45.68% 40.73% 13.59%+0.41 -1.8 8
1977-11-06 @ Genoa D 0-061.3 1643 1657 13.59% 40.73% 45.68%-0.41 +1.8 6
1977-11-06 AC Milan L 1-368.9 1739 1716 46.52% 40.50% 12.98%+0.44 -19.1 7
1977-11-06 @ Inter Milan W 3-168.9 1716 1739 12.98% 40.50% 46.52%-0.44 +19.1 11
1977-11-06 Atalanta D 1-170.6 1839 1649 60.71% 33.27% 6.02%+1.15 -3.1 9
1977-11-06 @ Juventus D 1-170.6 1649 1839 6.02% 33.27% 60.71%-1.15 +3.1 7
1977-11-06 Perugia W 3-268.5 1667 1697 40.96% 41.62% 17.42%+0.22 +5.5 8
1977-11-06 @ Napoli L 2-368.5 1697 1667 17.42% 41.62% 40.96%-0.22 -5.5 8
1977-11-06 Hellas Verona D 2-272.9 1661 1652 45.12% 40.87% 14.02%+0.38 -1.2 5
1977-11-06 @ Pescara D 2-272.9 1652 1661 14.02% 40.87% 45.12%-0.38 +1.2 7
1977-11-06 Fiorentina D 2-272.7 1638 1676 40.15% 41.71% 18.14%+0.19 -0.8 6
1977-11-06 @ Roma D 2-272.7 1676 1638 18.14% 41.71% 40.15%-0.19 +0.8 3
1977-11-06 Lazio Roma W 2-166.1 1632 1723 33.60% 41.98% 24.42%-0.04 +7.1 7
1977-11-06 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-266.1 1723 1632 24.42% 41.98% 33.60%+0.04 -7.1 7
1977-11-20 Bologna W 1-054.8 1735 1660 51.34% 38.76% 9.90%+0.66 +4.0 13
1977-11-20 @ AC Milan L 0-154.8 1660 1735 9.90% 38.76% 51.34%-0.66 -4.0 4
1977-11-20 Genoa D 1-166.9 1652 1656 43.87% 41.14% 14.99%+0.33 -1.5 8
1977-11-20 @ Atalanta D 1-166.9 1656 1652 14.99% 41.14% 43.87%-0.33 +1.4 9
1977-11-20 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-368.1 1676 1639 47.92% 40.08% 12.01%+0.50 -19.6 3
1977-11-20 @ Fiorentina W 3-168.1 1639 1676 12.01% 40.08% 47.92%-0.50 +19.6 9
1977-11-20 Pescara W 2-052.9 1645 1660 42.65% 41.37% 15.98%+0.28 +11.0 8
1977-11-20 @ Foggia L 0-252.9 1660 1645 15.98% 41.37% 42.65%-0.28 -11.0 5
1977-11-20 Juventus D 0-062.8 1653 1836 21.91% 40.66% 37.42%-0.43 +0.8 8
1977-11-20 @ Hellas Verona D 0-062.8 1836 1653 37.42% 40.66% 21.91%+0.43 -0.8 10
1977-11-20 Inter Milan D 1-167.7 1691 1720 41.16% 41.59% 17.24%+0.22 -1.2 9
1977-11-20 @ Perugia D 1-167.7 1720 1691 17.24% 41.59% 41.16%-0.22 +1.2 8
1977-11-20 Lazio Roma D 0-061.6 1637 1716 35.22% 41.99% 22.78%+0.01 -0.6 7
1977-11-20 @ Roma D 0-061.6 1716 1637 22.78% 41.99% 35.22%-0.01 +0.6 8
1977-11-20 Napoli W 1-052.6 1861 1672 60.61% 33.34% 6.05%+1.15 +2.4 11
1977-11-20 @ Torino L 0-152.6 1672 1861 6.05% 33.34% 60.61%-1.15 -2.4 8
1977-11-27 Fiorentina L 0-165.0 1656 1657 44.14% 41.09% 14.77%+0.34 -11.2 4
1977-11-27 @ Bologna W 1-065.0 1657 1656 14.77% 41.09% 44.14%-0.34 +11.2 5
1977-11-27 Atalanta W 1-054.7 1721 1651 50.92% 38.95% 10.14%+0.64 +4.1 10
1977-11-27 @ Inter Milan L 0-154.7 1651 1721 10.14% 38.95% 50.92%-0.64 -4.1 8
1977-11-27 Genoa W 4-048.5 1835 1657 59.79% 33.91% 6.30%+1.10 +8.9 12
1977-11-27 @ Juventus L 0-448.5 1657 1835 6.30% 33.91% 59.79%-1.10 -8.9 9
1977-11-27 Foggia D 1-168.1 1716 1656 50.05% 39.30% 10.64%+0.60 -2.1 9
1977-11-27 @ Lazio Roma D 1-168.1 1656 1716 10.64% 39.30% 50.05%-0.60 +2.1 9
1977-11-27 Hellas Verona W 3-051.0 1670 1654 45.82% 40.69% 13.49%+0.41 +14.1 10
1977-11-27 @ Napoli L 0-351.0 1654 1670 13.49% 40.69% 45.82%-0.41 -14.1 8
1977-11-27 Torino W 2-060.4 1690 1863 22.99% 40.91% 36.11%-0.39 +18.0 11
1977-11-27 @ Perugia L 0-260.4 1863 1690 36.11% 40.91% 22.99%+0.39 -18.0 11
1977-11-27 AC Milan L 0-259.2 1649 1739 33.66% 41.99% 24.35%-0.04 -17.3 5
1977-11-27 @ Pescara W 2-059.2 1739 1649 24.35% 41.99% 33.66%+0.04 +17.3 15
1977-11-27 Roma W 4-368.0 1659 1637 46.41% 40.53% 13.05%+0.44 +4.4 11
1977-11-27 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 3-468.0 1637 1659 13.05% 40.53% 46.41%-0.44 -4.4 7
1977-12-11 Perugia D 2-274.4 1757 1708 48.93% 39.73% 11.34%+0.55 -1.5 16
1977-12-11 @ AC Milan D 2-274.4 1708 1757 11.34% 39.73% 48.93%-0.55 +1.5 12
1977-12-11 Fiorentina D 0-061.3 1647 1668 41.94% 41.48% 16.58%+0.25 -1.4 9
1977-12-11 @ Atalanta D 0-061.3 1668 1647 16.58% 41.48% 41.94%-0.25 +1.4 6
1977-12-11 Roma D 0-061.0 1645 1632 45.49% 40.78% 13.73%+0.40 -1.8 5
1977-12-11 @ Bologna D 0-061.0 1632 1645 13.73% 40.78% 45.49%-0.40 +1.8 8
1977-12-11 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-167.1 1658 1663 43.69% 41.18% 15.13%+0.32 -1.4 10
1977-12-11 @ Foggia D 1-167.1 1663 1658 15.13% 41.18% 43.69%-0.32 +1.4 12
1977-12-11 Pescara W 1-055.2 1648 1631 45.91% 40.67% 13.42%+0.42 +5.2 11
1977-12-11 @ Genoa L 0-155.2 1631 1648 13.42% 40.67% 45.91%-0.42 -5.2 5
1977-12-11 Inter Milan D 0-061.7 1640 1725 34.35% 41.99% 23.66%-0.02 -0.5 9
1977-12-11 @ Hellas Verona D 0-061.7 1725 1640 23.66% 41.99% 34.35%+0.02 +0.5 11
1977-12-11 Napoli D 1-168.0 1714 1684 47.24% 40.29% 12.47%+0.47 -1.8 10
1977-12-11 @ Lazio Roma D 1-168.0 1684 1714 12.47% 40.29% 47.24%-0.47 +1.8 11
1977-12-11 Juventus D 0-063.0 1845 1844 44.35% 41.04% 14.61%+0.35 -1.7 12
1977-12-11 @ Torino D 0-063.0 1844 1845 14.61% 41.04% 44.35%-0.35 +1.7 13
1977-12-18 Lazio Roma L 0-164.5 1669 1713 39.50% 41.78% 18.72%+0.16 -10.3 6
1977-12-18 @ Fiorentina W 1-064.5 1713 1669 18.72% 41.78% 39.50%-0.16 +10.3 12
1977-12-18 Juventus L 0-162.3 1726 1846 29.72% 41.81% 28.47%-0.17 -8.5 11
1977-12-18 @ Inter Milan W 1-062.3 1846 1726 28.47% 41.81% 29.72%+0.17 +8.5 15
1977-12-18 Foggia W 5-052.4 1686 1656 47.14% 40.32% 12.54%+0.47 +21.6 13
1977-12-18 @ Napoli L 0-552.4 1656 1686 12.54% 40.32% 47.14%-0.47 -21.5 10
1977-12-18 Hellas Verona L 0-166.7 1710 1639 50.92% 38.95% 10.14%+0.64 -12.6 12
1977-12-18 @ Perugia W 1-066.7 1639 1710 10.14% 38.95% 50.92%-0.64 +12.6 11
1977-12-18 Atalanta D 0-060.7 1626 1645 42.21% 41.44% 16.35%+0.26 -1.4 6
1977-12-18 @ Pescara D 0-060.7 1645 1626 16.35% 41.44% 42.21%-0.26 +1.4 10
1977-12-18 Genoa W 1-056.4 1634 1653 42.20% 41.44% 16.36%+0.26 +5.9 10
1977-12-18 @ Roma L 0-156.4 1653 1634 16.36% 41.44% 42.20%-0.26 -5.9 11
1977-12-18 AC Milan W 1-055.2 1844 1755 52.50% 38.22% 9.28%+0.72 +3.8 14
1977-12-18 @ Torino L 0-155.2 1755 1844 9.28% 38.22% 52.50%-0.72 -3.8 16
1977-12-18 Bologna W 3-050.7 1664 1643 46.37% 40.54% 13.09%+0.44 +13.8 14
1977-12-18 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-350.7 1643 1664 13.09% 40.54% 46.37%-0.44 -13.8 5
1977-12-31 AC Milan D 1-167.5 1647 1751 31.80% 41.93% 26.27%-0.10 -0.2 11
1977-12-31 @ Atalanta D 1-167.5 1751 1647 26.27% 41.93% 31.80%+0.10 +0.2 17
1977-12-31 Napoli W 1-058.3 1659 1707 38.91% 41.83% 19.26%+0.14 +6.6 8
1977-12-31 @ Fiorentina L 0-158.3 1707 1659 19.26% 41.83% 38.91%-0.14 -6.6 13
1977-12-31 Perugia L 0-163.4 1635 1697 37.23% 41.94% 20.84%+0.08 -9.8 10
1977-12-31 @ Foggia W 1-063.4 1697 1635 20.84% 41.94% 37.23%-0.08 +9.9 14
1977-12-31 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-270.6 1647 1678 40.89% 41.63% 17.48%+0.21 -10.0 11
1977-12-31 @ Genoa W 2-170.6 1678 1647 17.48% 41.63% 40.89%-0.21 +10.0 16
1977-12-31 Roma D 0-061.2 1652 1640 45.43% 40.79% 13.78%+0.40 -1.8 12
1977-12-31 @ Hellas Verona D 0-061.2 1640 1652 13.78% 40.79% 45.43%-0.40 +1.8 11
1977-12-31 Pescara D 0-062.6 1717 1625 52.83% 38.06% 9.11%+0.74 -2.7 12
1977-12-31 @ Inter Milan D 0-062.6 1625 1717 9.11% 38.06% 52.83%-0.74 +2.7 7
1977-12-31 Bologna W 1-051.6 1854 1629 63.40% 31.32% 5.28%+1.30 +2.0 17
1977-12-31 @ Juventus L 0-151.6 1629 1854 5.28% 31.32% 63.40%-1.30 -2.0 5
1977-12-31 Torino D 1-168.3 1723 1848 29.08% 41.76% 29.17%-0.19 +0.0 13
1977-12-31 @ Lazio Roma D 1-168.3 1848 1723 29.17% 41.76% 29.08%+0.19 +0.0 15
1978-01-08 Hellas Verona D 1-168.8 1752 1650 53.59% 37.68% 8.73%+0.78 -2.5 18
1978-01-08 @ AC Milan D 1-168.8 1650 1752 8.73% 37.68% 53.59%-0.78 +2.5 13
1978-01-08 Genoa W 2-162.1 1627 1637 43.16% 41.28% 15.56%+0.30 +5.4 7
1978-01-08 @ Bologna L 1-262.1 1637 1627 15.56% 41.28% 43.16%-0.30 -5.4 11
1978-01-08 Atalanta W 1-056.3 1625 1646 41.95% 41.48% 16.57%+0.25 +6.0 12
1978-01-08 @ Foggia L 0-156.3 1646 1625 16.57% 41.48% 41.95%-0.25 -6.0 11
1978-01-08 Lazio Roma W 4-053.4 1707 1723 42.55% 41.39% 16.07%+0.28 +20.9 16
1978-01-08 @ Perugia L 0-453.4 1723 1707 16.07% 41.39% 42.55%-0.28 -20.9 13
1978-01-08 Juventus L 1-264.0 1628 1856 17.48% 39.22% 43.30%-0.63 -5.6 7
1978-01-08 @ Pescara W 2-164.0 1856 1628 43.30% 39.22% 17.48%+0.63 +5.6 19
1978-01-08 Inter Milan L 1-269.5 1642 1715 35.94% 41.98% 22.08%+0.04 -9.0 11
1978-01-08 @ Roma W 2-169.5 1715 1642 22.08% 41.98% 35.94%-0.04 +9.1 14
1978-01-08 Fiorentina W 1-052.7 1848 1666 60.07% 33.72% 6.21%+1.12 +2.5 17
1978-01-08 @ Torino L 0-152.7 1666 1848 6.21% 33.72% 60.07%-1.12 -2.5 8
1978-01-08 Napoli D 0-062.0 1688 1701 42.90% 41.33% 15.78%+0.29 -1.5 17
1978-01-08 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-062.0 1701 1688 15.78% 41.33% 42.90%-0.29 +1.5 14
1978-01-15 Torino D 0-063.0 1640 1850 19.20% 39.88% 40.92%-0.55 +1.1 12
1978-01-15 @ Atalanta D 0-063.0 1850 1640 40.92% 39.88% 19.20%+0.55 -1.2 18
1978-01-15 Pescara W 3-049.8 1663 1622 48.28% 39.96% 11.76%+0.52 +12.7 10
1978-01-15 @ Fiorentina L 0-349.8 1622 1663 11.76% 39.96% 48.28%-0.52 -12.7 7
1978-01-15 Foggia W 3-157.4 1653 1631 46.40% 40.54% 13.06%+0.44 +8.2 15
1978-01-15 @ Hellas Verona L 1-357.4 1631 1653 13.06% 40.54% 46.40%-0.44 -8.2 12
1978-01-15 Genoa W 2-050.4 1724 1632 52.76% 38.10% 9.14%+0.73 +7.0 16
1978-01-15 @ Inter Milan L 0-250.4 1632 1724 9.14% 38.10% 52.76%-0.73 -7.1 11
1978-01-15 Roma W 2-048.0 1862 1633 63.71% 31.09% 5.20%+1.32 +3.7 21
1978-01-15 @ Juventus L 0-248.0 1633 1862 5.20% 31.09% 63.71%-1.32 -3.6 11
1978-01-15 AC Milan W 2-055.2 1702 1749 39.03% 41.82% 19.15%+0.14 +12.3 15
1978-01-15 @ Lazio Roma L 0-255.2 1749 1702 19.15% 41.82% 39.03%-0.14 -12.3 18
1978-01-15 Bologna D 0-062.3 1702 1633 50.85% 38.97% 10.18%+0.64 -2.5 15
1978-01-15 @ Napoli D 0-062.3 1633 1702 10.18% 38.97% 50.85%-0.64 +2.5 8
1978-01-15 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-168.2 1728 1687 48.27% 39.96% 11.77%+0.52 -1.9 17
1978-01-15 @ Perugia D 1-168.2 1687 1728 11.77% 39.96% 48.27%-0.52 +1.9 18
1978-01-22 Napoli L 0-166.8 1737 1700 47.87% 40.09% 12.04%+0.50 -12.0 18
1978-01-22 @ AC Milan W 1-066.8 1700 1737 12.04% 40.09% 47.87%-0.50 +12.0 17
1978-01-22 Lazio Roma W 2-165.6 1635 1714 35.12% 41.99% 22.88%+0.01 +6.9 10
1978-01-22 @ Bologna L 1-265.6 1714 1635 22.88% 41.99% 35.12%-0.01 -6.9 15
1978-01-22 Inter Milan L 0-258.2 1623 1731 31.37% 41.91% 26.72%-0.11 -16.5 12
1978-01-22 @ Foggia W 2-058.2 1731 1623 26.72% 41.91% 31.37%+0.11 +16.5 18
1978-01-22 Fiorentina W 2-164.0 1625 1676 38.57% 41.86% 19.58%+0.13 +6.2 13
1978-01-22 @ Genoa L 1-264.0 1676 1625 19.58% 41.86% 38.57%-0.13 -6.2 10
1978-01-22 Perugia D 1-167.0 1609 1726 30.18% 41.84% 27.98%-0.15 -0.1 8
1978-01-22 @ Pescara D 1-167.0 1726 1609 27.98% 41.84% 30.18%+0.15 +0.1 18
1978-01-22 Atalanta W 3-158.3 1629 1642 42.91% 41.32% 15.76%+0.29 +9.4 13
1978-01-22 @ Roma L 1-358.3 1642 1629 15.76% 41.32% 42.91%-0.29 -9.4 12
1978-01-22 Hellas Verona W 2-158.9 1849 1661 60.54% 33.39% 6.07%+1.14 +2.2 20
1978-01-22 @ Torino L 1-258.9 1661 1849 6.07% 33.39% 60.54%-1.14 -2.2 15
1978-01-22 Juventus D 0-062.9 1689 1865 22.56% 40.81% 36.63%-0.41 +0.7 19
1978-01-22 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-062.9 1865 1689 36.63% 40.81% 22.56%+0.41 -0.7 22
1978-01-29 Fiorentina W 5-154.2 1725 1670 49.55% 39.50% 10.95%+0.58 +13.1 20
1978-01-29 @ AC Milan L 1-554.2 1670 1725 10.95% 39.50% 49.55%-0.58 -13.1 10
1978-01-29 Inter Milan W 2-166.9 1642 1747 31.72% 41.93% 26.35%-0.10 +7.5 12
1978-01-29 @ Bologna L 1-266.9 1747 1642 26.35% 41.93% 31.72%+0.10 -7.5 18
1978-01-29 Juventus D 0-063.5 1606 1865 15.15% 38.06% 46.79%-0.75 +1.8 13
1978-01-29 @ Foggia D 0-063.5 1865 1606 46.79% 38.06% 15.15%+0.75 -1.8 23
1978-01-29 Genoa D 0-062.4 1707 1631 51.43% 38.72% 9.85%+0.67 -2.5 16
1978-01-29 @ Lazio Roma D 0-062.4 1631 1707 9.85% 38.72% 51.43%-0.67 +2.5 14
1978-01-29 Pescara D 1-168.1 1712 1609 53.69% 37.62% 8.68%+0.78 -2.5 18
1978-01-29 @ Napoli D 1-168.1 1609 1712 8.68% 37.62% 53.69%-0.78 +2.5 9
1978-01-29 Atalanta D 1-168.4 1726 1632 52.94% 38.01% 9.05%+0.74 -2.4 19
1978-01-29 @ Perugia D 1-168.4 1632 1726 9.05% 38.01% 52.94%-0.74 +2.4 13
1978-01-29 Roma D 1-171.0 1851 1639 62.44% 32.03% 5.53%+1.25 -3.2 21
1978-01-29 @ Torino D 1-171.0 1639 1851 5.53% 32.03% 62.44%-1.25 +3.2 14
1978-01-29 Hellas Verona W 1-055.6 1689 1659 47.27% 40.28% 12.45%+0.48 +4.9 21
1978-01-29 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-155.6 1659 1689 12.45% 40.28% 47.27%-0.48 -4.9 15
1978-02-05 Bologna D 0-060.9 1635 1649 42.66% 41.37% 15.97%+0.28 -1.5 14
1978-02-05 @ Atalanta D 0-060.9 1649 1635 15.97% 41.37% 42.66%-0.28 +1.5 13
1978-02-05 Foggia D 1-166.7 1657 1608 48.96% 39.72% 11.32%+0.55 -2.0 11
1978-02-05 @ Fiorentina D 1-166.7 1608 1657 11.32% 39.72% 48.96%-0.55 +2.0 14
1978-02-05 AC Milan D 1-167.3 1634 1738 31.87% 41.93% 26.20%-0.10 -0.2 15
1978-02-05 @ Genoa D 1-167.3 1738 1634 26.20% 41.93% 31.87%+0.10 +0.2 21
1978-02-05 Lazio Roma D 2-273.1 1654 1705 38.57% 41.86% 19.58%+0.13 -0.7 16
1978-02-05 @ Hellas Verona D 2-273.1 1705 1654 19.58% 41.86% 38.57%-0.13 +0.7 17
1978-02-05 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-052.2 1740 1694 48.68% 39.82% 11.50%+0.54 +8.6 20
1978-02-05 @ Inter Milan L 0-252.2 1694 1740 11.50% 39.82% 48.68%-0.54 -8.6 21
1978-02-05 Napoli W 1-053.5 1863 1709 57.85% 35.20% 6.95%+1.00 +2.8 25
1978-02-05 @ Juventus L 0-153.5 1709 1863 6.95% 35.20% 57.85%-1.00 -2.8 18
1978-02-05 Torino W 2-171.8 1612 1848 16.85% 38.95% 44.20%-0.66 +10.4 11
1978-02-05 @ Pescara L 1-271.8 1848 1612 44.20% 38.95% 16.85%+0.66 -10.3 21
1978-02-05 Perugia W 2-055.9 1642 1724 34.79% 41.99% 23.21%+0.00 +13.9 16
1978-02-05 @ Roma L 0-255.9 1724 1642 23.21% 41.99% 34.79%+0.00 -13.8 19
1978-02-12 Juventus D 0-062.7 1738 1866 28.68% 41.72% 29.60%-0.20 +0.0 22
1978-02-12 @ AC Milan D 0-062.7 1866 1738 29.60% 41.72% 28.68%+0.20 -0.0 26
1978-02-12 Pescara D 1-166.7 1651 1622 47.10% 40.33% 12.56%+0.47 -1.8 14
1978-02-12 @ Bologna D 1-166.7 1622 1651 12.56% 40.33% 47.10%-0.47 +1.8 12
1978-02-12 Roma D 0-060.5 1610 1656 39.21% 41.80% 18.99%+0.15 -1.1 15
1978-02-12 @ Foggia D 0-060.5 1656 1610 18.99% 41.80% 39.21%-0.15 +1.1 17
1978-02-12 Fiorentina D 0-061.3 1653 1655 44.06% 41.10% 14.84%+0.34 -1.6 17
1978-02-12 @ Hellas Verona D 0-061.3 1655 1653 14.84% 41.10% 44.06%-0.34 +1.6 12
1978-02-12 Atalanta L 0-263.1 1706 1633 51.10% 38.87% 10.04%+0.65 -23.9 17
1978-02-12 @ Lazio Roma W 2-063.1 1633 1706 10.04% 38.87% 51.10%-0.65 +23.9 16
1978-02-12 Inter Milan D 2-273.8 1707 1748 39.64% 41.76% 18.59%+0.17 -0.8 19
1978-02-12 @ Napoli D 2-273.8 1748 1707 18.59% 41.76% 39.64%-0.17 +0.8 21
1978-02-12 Genoa D 0-062.4 1710 1633 51.44% 38.72% 9.84%+0.67 -2.5 20
1978-02-12 @ Perugia D 0-062.4 1633 1710 9.84% 38.72% 51.44%-0.67 +2.5 16
1978-02-12 Lanerossi Vicenza D 2-276.0 1837 1686 57.71% 35.29% 7.00%+0.99 -2.1 22
1978-02-12 @ Torino D 2-276.0 1686 1837 7.00% 35.29% 57.71%-0.99 +2.1 22
1978-02-19 Hellas Verona W 1-055.9 1657 1651 44.79% 40.94% 14.27%+0.37 +5.4 18
1978-02-19 @ Atalanta L 0-155.9 1651 1657 14.27% 40.94% 44.79%-0.37 -5.4 17
1978-02-19 Foggia W 2-160.5 1649 1609 48.17% 39.99% 11.84%+0.52 +4.4 16
1978-02-19 @ Bologna L 1-260.5 1609 1649 11.84% 39.99% 48.17%-0.52 -4.4 15
1978-02-19 Perugia W 2-164.7 1656 1707 38.58% 41.85% 19.56%+0.13 +6.2 14
1978-02-19 @ Fiorentina L 1-264.7 1707 1656 19.56% 41.85% 38.58%-0.13 -6.2 20
1978-02-19 Napoli D 1-167.0 1636 1706 36.30% 41.97% 21.73%+0.05 -0.7 17
1978-02-19 @ Genoa D 1-167.0 1706 1636 21.73% 41.97% 36.30%-0.05 +0.7 20
1978-02-19 Torino D 0-062.6 1749 1835 34.23% 41.99% 23.78%-0.02 -0.5 22
1978-02-19 @ Inter Milan D 0-062.6 1835 1749 23.78% 41.99% 34.23%+0.02 +0.5 23
1978-02-19 Lazio Roma W 3-048.0 1866 1682 60.24% 33.60% 6.16%+1.13 +6.6 28
1978-02-19 @ Juventus L 0-348.0 1682 1866 6.16% 33.60% 60.24%-1.13 -6.6 17
1978-02-19 Pescara W 2-051.2 1657 1624 47.50% 40.21% 12.29%+0.49 +9.1 19
1978-02-19 @ Roma L 0-251.2 1624 1657 12.29% 40.21% 47.50%-0.49 -9.1 12
1978-02-19 AC Milan D 1-167.7 1688 1738 38.63% 41.85% 19.51%+0.13 -0.9 23
1978-02-19 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-167.7 1738 1688 19.51% 41.85% 38.63%-0.13 +0.9 23
1978-02-26 Roma W 1-054.9 1739 1666 51.17% 38.83% 9.99%+0.66 +4.1 25
1978-02-26 @ AC Milan L 0-154.9 1666 1739 9.99% 38.83% 51.17%-0.66 -4.1 19
1978-02-26 Juventus D 1-168.8 1663 1872 19.17% 39.87% 40.96%-0.55 +1.0 15
1978-02-26 @ Fiorentina D 1-168.8 1872 1663 40.96% 39.87% 19.17%+0.55 -1.0 29
1978-02-26 Genoa W 2-051.8 1646 1635 45.32% 40.82% 13.86%+0.39 +9.9 19
1978-02-26 @ Hellas Verona L 0-251.8 1635 1646 13.86% 40.82% 45.32%-0.39 -9.9 17
1978-02-26 Inter Milan W 1-059.6 1675 1749 35.83% 41.98% 22.18%+0.03 +7.2 19
1978-02-26 @ Lazio Roma L 0-159.6 1749 1675 22.18% 41.98% 35.83%-0.03 -7.1 22
1978-02-26 Atalanta D 2-273.8 1706 1662 48.54% 39.87% 11.60%+0.53 -1.5 21
1978-02-26 @ Napoli D 2-273.8 1662 1706 11.60% 39.87% 48.54%-0.53 +1.5 19
1978-02-26 Bologna W 2-051.6 1701 1653 48.86% 39.76% 11.39%+0.55 +8.5 22
1978-02-26 @ Perugia L 0-251.6 1653 1701 11.39% 39.76% 48.86%-0.55 -8.5 16
1978-02-26 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-269.0 1615 1687 36.01% 41.98% 22.01%+0.04 -9.1 12
1978-02-26 @ Pescara W 2-169.0 1687 1615 22.01% 41.98% 36.01%-0.04 +9.1 25
1978-02-26 Foggia W 3-153.6 1836 1605 63.88% 30.96% 5.16%+1.33 +3.1 25
1978-02-26 @ Torino L 1-353.6 1605 1836 5.16% 30.96% 63.88%-1.33 -3.1 15
1978-03-05 Hellas Verona L 0-359.8 1645 1656 43.05% 41.30% 15.65%+0.30 -30.1 16
1978-03-05 @ Bologna W 3-059.8 1656 1645 15.65% 41.30% 43.05%-0.30 +30.1 21
1978-03-05 AC Milan L 1-266.6 1601 1743 26.80% 41.53% 31.68%-0.26 -7.5 15
1978-03-05 @ Foggia W 2-166.6 1743 1601 31.68% 41.53% 26.80%+0.26 +7.5 27
1978-03-05 Torino L 1-264.4 1625 1839 18.81% 39.75% 41.44%-0.56 -5.9 17
1978-03-05 @ Genoa W 2-164.4 1839 1625 41.44% 39.75% 18.81%+0.56 +5.9 27
1978-03-05 Fiorentina W 2-161.1 1741 1664 51.57% 38.66% 9.77%+0.68 +3.8 24
1978-03-05 @ Inter Milan L 1-261.1 1664 1741 9.77% 38.66% 51.57%-0.68 -3.8 15
1978-03-05 Perugia W 2-049.8 1871 1710 58.49% 34.78% 6.73%+1.03 +5.1 31
1978-03-05 @ Juventus L 0-249.8 1710 1871 6.73% 34.78% 58.49%-1.03 -5.1 22
1978-03-05 Lazio Roma W 1-058.4 1606 1682 35.45% 41.99% 22.56%+0.02 +7.2 14
1978-03-05 @ Pescara L 0-158.4 1682 1606 22.56% 41.99% 35.45%-0.02 -7.2 19
1978-03-05 Napoli D 0-061.7 1662 1705 39.49% 41.78% 18.74%+0.16 -1.1 20
1978-03-05 @ Roma D 0-061.7 1705 1662 18.74% 41.78% 39.49%-0.16 +1.1 22
1978-03-05 Atalanta D 2-273.6 1696 1664 47.40% 40.24% 12.36%+0.48 -1.4 26
1978-03-05 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 2-273.6 1664 1696 12.36% 40.24% 47.40%-0.48 +1.4 20
1978-03-12 Inter Milan D 0-062.7 1751 1745 44.78% 40.95% 14.28%+0.37 -1.7 28
1978-03-12 @ AC Milan D 0-062.7 1745 1751 14.28% 40.95% 44.78%-0.37 +1.7 25
1978-03-12 Juventus L 0-254.9 1665 1876 19.04% 39.83% 41.14%-0.55 -11.9 20
1978-03-12 @ Atalanta W 2-054.9 1876 1665 41.14% 39.83% 19.04%+0.55 +11.9 33
1978-03-12 Roma W 2-052.7 1660 1661 44.14% 41.09% 14.78%+0.34 +10.4 17
1978-03-12 @ Fiorentina L 0-252.7 1661 1660 14.78% 41.09% 44.14%-0.34 -10.4 20
1978-03-12 Genoa D 1-165.2 1594 1619 41.49% 41.55% 16.96%+0.24 -1.2 16
1978-03-12 @ Foggia D 1-165.2 1619 1594 16.96% 41.55% 41.49%-0.24 +1.2 18
1978-03-12 Pescara W 1-053.9 1686 1613 51.18% 38.83% 9.99%+0.66 +4.1 23
1978-03-12 @ Hellas Verona L 0-153.9 1613 1686 9.99% 38.83% 51.18%-0.66 -4.1 14
1978-03-12 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-367.4 1675 1694 42.15% 41.45% 16.40%+0.26 -17.7 19
1978-03-12 @ Lazio Roma W 3-167.4 1694 1675 16.40% 41.45% 42.15%-0.26 +17.7 28
1978-03-12 Napoli W 2-053.5 1704 1706 44.05% 41.11% 14.84%+0.34 +10.4 24
1978-03-12 @ Perugia L 0-253.5 1706 1704 14.84% 41.11% 44.05%-0.34 -10.4 22
1978-03-12 Bologna W 2-047.8 1845 1615 63.79% 31.03% 5.18%+1.32 +3.6 29
1978-03-12 @ Torino L 0-247.8 1615 1845 5.18% 31.03% 63.79%-1.32 -3.6 16
1978-03-19 AC Milan D 0-061.7 1611 1749 27.32% 41.59% 31.09%-0.24 +0.2 17
1978-03-19 @ Bologna D 0-061.7 1749 1611 31.09% 41.59% 27.32%+0.24 -0.2 29
1978-03-19 Atalanta L 0-163.6 1621 1653 40.70% 41.65% 17.65%+0.21 -10.5 18
1978-03-19 @ Genoa W 1-063.6 1653 1621 17.65% 41.65% 40.70%-0.21 +10.5 22
1978-03-19 Perugia W 2-052.7 1747 1715 47.40% 40.24% 12.36%+0.48 +9.1 27
1978-03-19 @ Inter Milan L 0-252.7 1715 1747 12.36% 40.24% 47.40%-0.48 -9.1 24
1978-03-19 Hellas Verona W 1-052.5 1888 1690 61.33% 32.83% 5.84%+1.19 +2.3 35
1978-03-19 @ Juventus L 0-152.5 1690 1888 5.84% 32.83% 61.33%-1.19 -2.3 23
1978-03-19 Roma D 1-167.0 1657 1650 44.94% 40.91% 14.15%+0.37 -1.6 20
1978-03-19 @ Lazio Roma D 1-167.0 1650 1657 14.15% 40.91% 44.94%-0.37 +1.6 21
1978-03-19 Torino L 1-363.1 1696 1849 25.39% 41.33% 33.28%-0.31 -12.5 22
1978-03-19 @ Napoli W 3-163.1 1849 1696 33.28% 41.33% 25.39%+0.31 +12.5 31
1978-03-19 Foggia L 1-269.8 1609 1593 45.84% 40.69% 13.47%+0.41 -10.9 14
1978-03-19 @ Pescara W 2-169.8 1593 1609 13.47% 40.69% 45.84%-0.41 +10.9 18
1978-03-19 Fiorentina W 1-055.6 1712 1670 48.34% 39.94% 11.73%+0.52 +4.6 30
1978-03-19 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-155.6 1670 1712 11.73% 39.94% 48.34%-0.52 -4.6 17
1978-03-26 Pescara W 2-048.9 1749 1598 57.63% 35.34% 7.03%+0.99 +5.4 31
1978-03-26 @ AC Milan L 0-248.9 1598 1749 7.03% 35.34% 57.63%-0.99 -5.4 14
1978-03-26 Inter Milan L 0-163.0 1664 1756 33.45% 41.98% 24.57%-0.05 -9.1 22
1978-03-26 @ Atalanta W 1-063.0 1756 1664 24.57% 41.98% 33.45%+0.05 +9.1 29
1978-03-26 Bologna D 0-061.4 1666 1611 49.47% 39.53% 11.00%+0.58 -2.3 18
1978-03-26 @ Fiorentina D 0-061.4 1611 1666 11.00% 39.53% 49.47%-0.58 +2.3 18
1978-03-26 Lazio Roma W 3-159.4 1604 1656 38.44% 41.86% 19.69%+0.12 +10.9 20
1978-03-26 @ Foggia L 1-359.4 1656 1604 19.69% 41.86% 38.44%-0.12 -10.9 20
1978-03-26 Juventus D 2-275.4 1610 1891 13.68% 37.09% 49.23%-0.85 +1.4 19
1978-03-26 @ Genoa D 2-275.4 1891 1610 49.23% 37.09% 13.68%+0.85 -1.4 36
1978-03-26 Napoli L 0-165.7 1688 1683 44.72% 40.96% 14.32%+0.37 -11.3 23
1978-03-26 @ Hellas Verona W 1-065.7 1683 1688 14.32% 40.96% 44.72%-0.37 +11.3 24
1978-03-26 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-167.3 1652 1717 36.90% 41.95% 21.15%+0.07 -0.7 22
1978-03-26 @ Roma D 1-167.3 1717 1652 21.15% 41.95% 36.90%-0.07 +0.7 31
1978-03-26 Perugia D 1-170.3 1861 1706 57.98% 35.11% 6.91%+1.01 -2.9 32
1978-03-26 @ Torino D 1-170.3 1706 1861 6.91% 35.11% 57.98%-1.01 +2.9 25
1978-04-02 Atalanta D 2-273.0 1663 1655 45.10% 40.87% 14.03%+0.38 -1.2 19
1978-04-02 @ Fiorentina D 2-273.0 1655 1663 14.03% 40.87% 45.10%-0.38 +1.2 23
1978-04-02 Hellas Verona D 0-063.3 1765 1677 52.50% 38.23% 9.28%+0.72 -2.6 30
1978-04-02 @ Inter Milan D 0-063.3 1677 1765 9.28% 38.23% 52.50%-0.72 +2.6 24
1978-04-02 Torino D 0-063.3 1889 1858 47.31% 40.27% 12.42%+0.48 -2.0 37
1978-04-02 @ Juventus D 0-063.3 1858 1889 12.42% 40.27% 47.31%-0.48 +2.0 33
1978-04-02 Lazio Roma W 4-367.7 1694 1645 49.04% 39.69% 11.27%+0.56 +3.9 26
1978-04-02 @ Napoli L 3-467.7 1645 1694 11.27% 39.69% 49.04%-0.56 -3.9 20
1978-04-02 AC Milan L 0-164.9 1709 1754 39.23% 41.80% 18.97%+0.15 -10.2 25
1978-04-02 @ Perugia W 1-064.9 1754 1709 18.97% 41.80% 39.23%-0.15 +10.2 33
1978-04-02 Genoa D 0-059.5 1592 1611 42.20% 41.44% 16.35%+0.26 -1.4 15
1978-04-02 @ Pescara D 0-059.5 1611 1592 16.35% 41.44% 42.20%-0.26 +1.4 20
1978-04-02 Bologna D 1-166.6 1651 1614 47.91% 40.08% 12.01%+0.50 -1.9 23
1978-04-02 @ Roma D 1-166.6 1614 1651 12.01% 40.08% 47.91%-0.50 +1.9 19
1978-04-02 Foggia W 2-049.9 1718 1614 53.72% 37.61% 8.67%+0.78 +6.7 33
1978-04-02 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-249.9 1614 1718 8.67% 37.61% 53.72%-0.78 -6.7 20
1978-04-09 Torino D 1-168.3 1764 1860 32.97% 41.97% 25.06%-0.06 -0.4 34
1978-04-09 @ AC Milan D 1-168.3 1860 1764 25.06% 41.97% 32.97%+0.06 +0.3 34
1978-04-09 Pescara W 2-049.7 1656 1591 50.42% 39.15% 10.42%+0.62 +7.9 25
1978-04-09 @ Atalanta L 0-249.7 1591 1656 10.42% 39.15% 50.42%-0.62 -7.9 15
1978-04-09 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-271.2 1616 1724 31.27% 41.90% 26.83%-0.12 +7.1 21
1978-04-09 @ Bologna L 2-371.2 1724 1616 26.83% 41.90% 31.27%+0.12 -7.1 33
1978-04-09 Napoli D 1-166.6 1608 1698 33.66% 41.99% 24.35%-0.04 -0.4 21
1978-04-09 @ Foggia D 1-166.6 1698 1608 24.35% 41.99% 33.66%+0.04 +0.4 27
1978-04-09 Roma W 1-056.6 1613 1649 40.28% 41.70% 18.02%+0.19 +6.3 22
1978-04-09 @ Genoa L 0-156.6 1649 1613 18.02% 41.70% 40.28%-0.19 -6.3 23
1978-04-09 Perugia D 0-061.9 1679 1698 42.19% 41.44% 16.37%+0.26 -1.4 25
1978-04-09 @ Hellas Verona D 0-061.9 1698 1679 16.37% 41.44% 42.19%-0.26 +1.4 26
1978-04-09 Inter Milan D 2-275.8 1887 1763 55.51% 36.62% 7.86%+0.88 -2.0 38
1978-04-09 @ Juventus D 2-275.8 1763 1887 7.86% 36.62% 55.51%-0.88 +2.0 31
1978-04-09 Fiorentina W 1-056.7 1641 1662 41.97% 41.48% 16.55%+0.25 +6.0 22
1978-04-09 @ Lazio Roma L 0-156.7 1662 1641 16.55% 41.48% 41.97%-0.25 -5.9 19
1978-04-16 Atalanta L 0-167.7 1764 1664 53.49% 37.73% 8.78%+0.77 -13.1 34
1978-04-16 @ AC Milan W 1-067.7 1664 1764 8.78% 37.73% 53.49%-0.77 +13.1 27
1978-04-16 Juventus D 1-169.3 1623 1885 14.87% 37.88% 47.25%-0.77 +1.6 22
1978-04-16 @ Bologna D 1-169.3 1885 1623 47.25% 37.88% 14.87%+0.77 -1.6 39
1978-04-16 Fiorentina D 0-062.2 1699 1656 48.40% 39.91% 11.68%+0.53 -2.2 28
1978-04-16 @ Napoli D 0-062.2 1656 1699 11.68% 39.91% 48.40%-0.53 +2.2 20
1978-04-16 Foggia W 3-155.8 1700 1607 52.83% 38.06% 9.11%+0.74 +6.1 28
1978-04-16 @ Perugia L 1-355.8 1607 1700 9.11% 38.06% 52.83%-0.74 -6.1 21
1978-04-16 Inter Milan W 2-169.5 1583 1765 22.06% 40.70% 37.24%-0.43 +9.2 17
1978-04-16 @ Pescara L 1-269.5 1765 1583 37.24% 40.70% 22.06%+0.43 -9.2 31
1978-04-16 Hellas Verona W 2-163.7 1643 1678 40.44% 41.68% 17.88%+0.20 +5.9 25
1978-04-16 @ Roma L 1-263.7 1678 1643 17.88% 41.68% 40.44%-0.20 -5.9 25
1978-04-16 Lazio Roma W 1-052.0 1861 1647 62.53% 31.96% 5.51%+1.25 +2.1 36
1978-04-16 @ Torino L 0-152.0 1647 1861 5.51% 31.96% 62.53%-1.25 -2.1 22
1978-04-16 Genoa W 1-053.7 1717 1619 53.29% 37.83% 8.88%+0.76 +3.6 35
1978-04-16 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-153.7 1619 1717 8.88% 37.83% 53.29%-0.76 -3.6 22
1978-04-23 Foggia L 1-272.3 1677 1601 51.38% 38.74% 9.88%+0.67 -12.0 27
1978-04-23 @ Atalanta W 2-172.3 1601 1677 9.88% 38.74% 51.38%-0.67 +12.0 23
1978-04-23 Torino W 2-061.3 1658 1863 19.70% 40.05% 40.26%-0.52 +19.3 22
1978-04-23 @ Fiorentina L 0-261.3 1863 1658 40.26% 40.05% 19.70%+0.52 -19.3 36
1978-04-23 Bologna D 0-060.3 1616 1624 43.30% 41.25% 15.44%+0.31 -1.5 23
1978-04-23 @ Genoa D 0-060.3 1624 1616 15.44% 41.25% 43.30%-0.31 +1.5 23
1978-04-23 AC Milan L 1-269.8 1672 1751 35.16% 41.99% 22.85%+0.01 -8.9 25
1978-04-23 @ Hellas Verona W 2-169.8 1751 1672 22.85% 41.99% 35.16%-0.01 +8.9 36
1978-04-23 Roma W 4-259.4 1755 1649 54.02% 37.45% 8.53%+0.80 +5.1 33
1978-04-23 @ Inter Milan L 2-459.4 1649 1755 8.53% 37.45% 54.02%-0.80 -5.1 25
1978-04-23 Pescara W 2-046.5 1884 1592 68.37% 27.48% 4.15%+1.58 +2.6 41
1978-04-23 @ Juventus L 0-246.5 1592 1884 4.15% 27.48% 68.37%-1.58 -2.6 17
1978-04-23 Perugia W 2-055.0 1645 1706 37.37% 41.93% 20.70%+0.08 +12.9 24
1978-04-23 @ Lazio Roma L 0-255.0 1706 1645 20.70% 41.93% 37.37%-0.08 -12.9 28
1978-04-23 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-465.1 1697 1721 41.65% 41.52% 16.82%+0.24 -24.8 28
1978-04-23 @ Napoli W 4-165.1 1721 1697 16.82% 41.52% 41.65%-0.24 +24.7 37
1978-04-30 Lazio Roma L 0-264.1 1760 1658 53.64% 37.65% 8.71%+0.78 -24.8 36
1978-04-30 @ AC Milan W 2-064.1 1658 1760 8.71% 37.65% 53.64%-0.78 +24.8 26
1978-04-30 Napoli D 0-061.0 1626 1672 39.16% 41.81% 19.03%+0.15 -1.1 24
1978-04-30 @ Bologna D 0-061.0 1672 1626 19.03% 41.81% 39.16%-0.15 +1.1 29
1978-04-30 Hellas Verona W 4-053.1 1613 1663 38.72% 41.84% 19.43%+0.13 +23.6 25
1978-04-30 @ Foggia L 0-453.1 1663 1613 19.43% 41.84% 38.72%-0.13 -23.6 25
1978-04-30 Inter Milan D 1-167.5 1614 1760 26.19% 41.45% 32.36%-0.28 +0.3 24
1978-04-30 @ Genoa D 1-167.5 1760 1614 32.36% 41.45% 26.19%+0.28 -0.3 34
1978-04-30 Fiorentina L 1-267.9 1590 1678 33.99% 41.99% 24.02%-0.03 -8.7 17
1978-04-30 @ Pescara W 2-167.9 1678 1590 24.02% 41.99% 33.99%+0.03 +8.7 24
1978-04-30 Juventus D 1-169.1 1644 1886 16.35% 38.70% 44.95%-0.69 +1.4 26
1978-04-30 @ Roma D 1-169.1 1886 1644 44.95% 38.70% 16.35%+0.69 -1.4 42
1978-04-30 Atalanta W 3-263.7 1843 1665 59.80% 33.90% 6.30%+1.10 +2.2 38
1978-04-30 @ Torino L 2-363.7 1665 1843 6.30% 33.90% 59.80%-1.10 -2.2 27
1978-04-30 Perugia W 3-157.9 1745 1693 49.31% 39.59% 11.10%+0.57 +7.2 39
1978-04-30 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-357.9 1693 1745 11.10% 39.59% 49.31%-0.57 -7.2 28
1978-05-07 Roma L 0-165.3 1663 1645 46.00% 40.65% 13.36%+0.42 -11.6 27
1978-05-07 @ Atalanta W 1-065.3 1645 1663 13.36% 40.65% 46.00%-0.42 +11.6 28
1978-05-07 Genoa D 0-061.9 1686 1614 51.07% 38.88% 10.05%+0.65 -2.5 25
1978-05-07 @ Fiorentina D 0-061.9 1614 1686 10.05% 38.88% 51.07%-0.65 +2.5 25
1978-05-07 Torino D 0-063.0 1639 1846 19.52% 39.99% 40.49%-0.53 +1.1 26
1978-05-07 @ Hellas Verona D 0-063.0 1846 1639 40.49% 39.99% 19.52%+0.53 -1.1 39
1978-05-07 Foggia W 2-159.9 1760 1637 55.40% 36.69% 7.91%+0.87 +3.0 36
1978-05-07 @ Inter Milan L 1-259.9 1637 1760 7.91% 36.69% 55.40%-0.87 -3.1 25
1978-05-07 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-265.0 1885 1753 56.12% 36.27% 7.61%+0.91 +2.8 44
1978-05-07 @ Juventus L 2-365.0 1753 1885 7.61% 36.27% 56.12%-0.91 -2.8 39
1978-05-07 Bologna L 0-166.1 1683 1625 49.79% 39.41% 10.80%+0.59 -12.4 26
1978-05-07 @ Lazio Roma W 1-066.1 1625 1683 10.80% 39.41% 49.79%-0.59 +12.4 26
1978-05-07 AC Milan D 1-167.6 1673 1735 37.26% 41.93% 20.81%+0.08 -0.8 30
1978-05-07 @ Napoli D 1-167.6 1735 1673 20.81% 41.93% 37.26%-0.08 +0.8 37
1978-05-07 Pescara W 2-158.9 1686 1581 53.87% 37.53% 8.60%+0.79 +3.3 30
1978-05-07 @ Perugia L 1-258.9 1581 1686 8.60% 37.53% 53.87%-0.79 -3.3 17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-04-30 8.71% Lazio Roma 1658 2 @ AC Milan 1760 0
2 1978-04-16 8.78% Atalanta 1664 1 @ AC Milan 1764 0
3 1978-04-23 9.88% Foggia 1601 2 @ Atalanta 1677 1
4 1977-09-25 10.04% Hellas Verona 1651 2 @ Fiorentina 1723 1
5 1978-02-12 10.04% Atalanta 1633 2 @ Lazio Roma 1706 0
6 1977-12-18 10.14% Hellas Verona 1639 1 @ Perugia 1710 0
7 1978-05-07 10.80% Bologna 1625 1 @ Lazio Roma 1683 0
8 1977-10-30 11.06% Lanerossi Vicenza 1614 4 @ Atalanta 1667 2
9 1977-09-11 11.88% Bologna 1683 1 @ Inter Milan 1722 0
10 1977-11-20 12.01% Lanerossi Vicenza 1639 3 @ Fiorentina 1676 1
11 1978-01-22 12.04% Napoli 1700 1 @ AC Milan 1737 0
12 1977-09-11 12.10% Napoli 1648 3 @ Pescara 1684 1
13 1977-11-06 12.98% AC Milan 1716 3 @ Inter Milan 1739 1
14 1978-05-07 13.36% Roma 1645 1 @ Atalanta 1663 0
15 1978-03-19 13.47% Foggia 1593 2 @ Pescara 1609 1
16 1977-10-02 14.32% Atalanta 1658 2 @ Hellas Verona 1663 1
17 1978-03-26 14.32% Napoli 1683 1 @ Hellas Verona 1688 0
18 1977-11-27 14.77% Fiorentina 1657 1 @ Bologna 1656 0
19 1977-10-23 15.25% Perugia 1687 3 @ Bologna 1680 2
20 1978-03-05 15.65% Hellas Verona 1656 3 @ Bologna 1645 0
21 1978-03-12 16.40% Lanerossi Vicenza 1694 3 @ Lazio Roma 1675 1
22 1977-10-30 16.72% Inter Milan 1719 2 @ Fiorentina 1696 0
23 1978-04-23 16.82% Lanerossi Vicenza 1721 4 @ Napoli 1697 1
24 1978-02-05 16.85% @ Pescara 1612 2 Torino 1848 1
25 1977-12-31 17.48% Lanerossi Vicenza 1678 2 @ Genoa 1647 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-03-05 30.12 Hellas Verona 3 1656 15.65% @ Bologna 0 1645 43.05% 41.30%
2 1977-10-02 25.47 @ Lazio Roma 3 1692 24.10% Juventus 0 1855 34.78% 41.12%
3 1978-04-30 24.81 Lazio Roma 2 1658 8.71% @ AC Milan 0 1760 53.64% 37.65%
4 1978-04-23 24.75 Lanerossi Vicenza 4 1721 16.82% @ Napoli 1 1697 41.65% 41.52%
5 1978-02-12 23.86 Atalanta 2 1633 10.04% @ Lazio Roma 0 1706 51.10% 38.87%
6 1978-04-30 23.60 @ Foggia 4 1613 38.72% Hellas Verona 0 1663 19.43% 41.84%
7 1977-12-18 21.56 @ Napoli 5 1686 47.14% Foggia 0 1656 12.54% 40.32%
8 1978-01-08 20.87 @ Perugia 4 1707 42.55% Lazio Roma 0 1723 16.07% 41.39%
9 1977-10-30 20.25 Inter Milan 2 1719 16.72% @ Fiorentina 0 1696 41.78% 41.51%
10 1977-11-20 19.60 Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1639 12.01% @ Fiorentina 1 1676 47.92% 40.08%
11 1977-09-11 19.55 Napoli 3 1648 12.10% @ Pescara 1 1684 47.77% 40.12%
12 1978-04-23 19.34 @ Fiorentina 2 1658 19.70% Torino 0 1863 40.26% 40.05%
13 1977-11-06 19.13 AC Milan 3 1716 12.98% @ Inter Milan 1 1739 46.52% 40.50%
14 1977-10-30 17.97 Lanerossi Vicenza 4 1614 11.06% @ Atalanta 2 1667 49.38% 39.57%
15 1977-11-27 17.97 @ Perugia 2 1690 22.99% Torino 0 1863 36.11% 40.91%
16 1978-03-12 17.67 Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1694 16.40% @ Lazio Roma 1 1675 42.15% 41.45%
17 1977-11-27 17.30 AC Milan 2 1739 24.35% @ Pescara 0 1649 33.66% 41.99%
18 1978-01-22 16.52 Inter Milan 2 1731 26.72% @ Foggia 0 1623 31.37% 41.91%
19 1977-11-27 14.14 @ Napoli 3 1670 45.82% Hellas Verona 0 1654 13.49% 40.69%
20 1978-02-05 13.85 @ Roma 2 1642 34.79% Perugia 0 1724 23.21% 41.99%
21 1977-12-18 13.83 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1664 46.37% Bologna 0 1643 13.09% 40.54%
22 1978-04-16 13.13 Atalanta 1 1664 8.78% @ AC Milan 0 1764 53.49% 37.73%
23 1978-01-29 13.09 @ AC Milan 5 1725 49.55% Fiorentina 1 1670 10.95% 39.50%
24 1978-04-23 12.93 @ Lazio Roma 2 1645 37.37% Perugia 0 1706 20.70% 41.93%
25 1978-01-15 12.74 @ Fiorentina 3 1663 48.28% Pescara 0 1622 11.76% 39.96%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-10-23 76.3 Perugia 3 1687 15.25% @ Bologna 2 1680 43.54% 41.21%
2 1978-02-12 76.0 @ Torino 2 1837 57.71% Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1686 7.00% 35.29%
3 1978-04-09 75.8 @ Juventus 2 1887 55.51% Inter Milan 2 1763 7.86% 36.62%
4 1978-03-26 75.4 @ Genoa 2 1610 13.68% Juventus 2 1891 49.23% 37.09%
5 1977-12-11 74.4 @ AC Milan 2 1757 48.93% Perugia 2 1708 11.34% 39.73%
6 1978-02-12 73.8 @ Napoli 2 1707 39.64% Inter Milan 2 1748 18.59% 41.76%
7 1978-02-26 73.8 @ Napoli 2 1706 48.54% Atalanta 2 1662 11.60% 39.87%
8 1978-03-05 73.6 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1696 47.40% Atalanta 2 1664 12.36% 40.24%
9 1977-09-18 73.5 @ AC Milan 2 1690 48.40% Genoa 2 1647 11.68% 39.91%
10 1977-09-25 73.3 Hellas Verona 2 1651 10.04% @ Fiorentina 1 1723 51.09% 38.87%
11 1978-02-05 73.1 @ Hellas Verona 2 1654 38.57% Lazio Roma 2 1705 19.58% 41.86%
12 1977-10-23 73.0 @ Genoa 2 1663 45.27% Hellas Verona 2 1652 13.90% 40.83%
13 1978-04-02 73.0 @ Fiorentina 2 1663 45.10% Atalanta 2 1655 14.03% 40.87%
14 1977-11-06 72.9 @ Pescara 2 1661 45.12% Hellas Verona 2 1652 14.02% 40.87%
15 1977-11-06 72.7 @ Roma 2 1638 40.15% Fiorentina 2 1676 18.14% 41.71%
16 1978-04-23 72.3 Foggia 2 1601 9.88% @ Atalanta 1 1677 51.38% 38.74%
17 1978-02-05 71.8 @ Pescara 2 1612 16.85% Torino 1 1848 44.20% 38.95%
18 1977-10-02 71.5 Atalanta 2 1658 14.32% @ Hellas Verona 1 1663 44.72% 40.96%
19 1977-09-11 71.4 @ Roma 2 1646 18.77% Torino 1 1860 41.49% 39.73%
20 1978-04-09 71.2 @ Bologna 3 1616 31.27% Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1724 26.83% 41.90%
21 1977-10-30 71.1 Lanerossi Vicenza 4 1614 11.06% @ Atalanta 2 1667 49.38% 39.57%
22 1978-01-29 71.0 @ Torino 1 1851 62.44% Roma 1 1639 5.53% 32.03%
23 1977-10-23 70.6 AC Milan 2 1698 18.42% @ Roma 1 1658 39.83% 41.75%
24 1977-11-06 70.6 @ Juventus 1 1839 60.71% Atalanta 1 1649 6.02% 33.27%
25 1977-12-31 70.6 Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1678 17.48% @ Genoa 1 1647 40.89% 41.63%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-04-23 46.5 @ Juventus 2 1884 68.37% Pescara 0 1592 4.15% 27.48%
2 1978-03-12 47.8 @ Torino 2 1845 63.79% Bologna 0 1615 5.18% 31.03%
3 1978-01-15 48.0 @ Juventus 2 1862 63.71% Roma 0 1633 5.20% 31.09%
4 1978-02-19 48.0 @ Juventus 3 1866 60.24% Lazio Roma 0 1682 6.16% 33.60%
5 1977-11-27 48.5 @ Juventus 4 1835 59.79% Genoa 0 1657 6.30% 33.91%
6 1978-03-26 48.9 @ AC Milan 2 1749 57.63% Pescara 0 1598 7.03% 35.34%
7 1977-09-18 49.1 @ Torino 2 1850 60.35% Pescara 0 1664 6.13% 33.53%
8 1978-04-09 49.7 @ Atalanta 2 1656 50.42% Pescara 0 1591 10.42% 39.15%
9 1978-01-15 49.8 @ Fiorentina 3 1663 48.28% Pescara 0 1622 11.76% 39.96%
10 1978-03-05 49.8 @ Juventus 2 1871 58.49% Perugia 0 1710 6.73% 34.78%
11 1978-04-02 49.9 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1718 53.72% Foggia 0 1614 8.67% 37.61%
12 1977-09-11 50.1 @ Juventus 6 1839 60.46% Foggia 0 1652 6.09% 33.45%
13 1978-01-15 50.4 @ Inter Milan 2 1724 52.76% Genoa 0 1632 9.14% 38.10%
14 1977-12-18 50.7 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1664 46.37% Bologna 0 1643 13.09% 40.54%
15 1977-11-27 51.0 @ Napoli 3 1670 45.82% Hellas Verona 0 1654 13.49% 40.69%
16 1978-02-19 51.2 @ Roma 2 1657 47.50% Pescara 0 1624 12.29% 40.21%
17 1977-10-30 51.4 @ AC Milan 2 1708 49.70% Foggia 0 1651 10.86% 39.44%
18 1977-12-31 51.6 @ Juventus 1 1854 63.40% Bologna 0 1629 5.28% 31.32%
19 1978-02-26 51.6 @ Perugia 2 1701 48.86% Bologna 0 1653 11.39% 39.76%
20 1978-02-26 51.8 @ Hellas Verona 2 1646 45.32% Genoa 0 1635 13.86% 40.82%
21 1978-04-16 52.0 @ Torino 1 1861 62.53% Lazio Roma 0 1647 5.51% 31.96%
22 1977-10-30 52.2 @ Napoli 2 1657 45.09% Roma 0 1648 14.04% 40.87%
23 1978-02-05 52.2 @ Inter Milan 2 1740 48.68% Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1694 11.50% 39.82%
24 1977-12-18 52.4 @ Napoli 5 1686 47.14% Foggia 0 1656 12.54% 40.32%
25 1978-03-19 52.5 @ Juventus 1 1888 61.33% Hellas Verona 0 1690 5.84% 32.83%