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1978-79 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

AC Milan

44 points · 10th Title

Last Title: 1967-68

Relegated

Hellas Verona

15 pts

Vicenza · 24 pts

Atalanta · 24 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Perugia

7.70 points above expected

41 points · 33.30 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hellas Verona

8.85 points below expected

15 points · 23.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AC Milan Champion 30 17 10 3 44 46 19 +27 36.70 +7.30
2 Perugia 30 11 19 0 41 34 16 +18 33.30 +7.70
3 Juventus 30 12 13 5 37 40 23 +17 37.11 -0.11
4 Inter Milan 30 10 16 4 36 38 24 +14 34.46 +1.54
5 Torino 30 11 14 5 36 35 23 +12 35.64 +0.36
6 Fiorentina 30 10 12 8 32 26 26 0 29.86 +2.14
7 Napoli 30 9 14 7 32 23 21 +2 28.97 +3.03
8 Lazio Roma 30 9 11 10 29 35 40 -5 29.11 -0.11
9 Catanzaro 30 6 16 8 28 23 30 -7 27.53 +0.47
10 Roma 30 8 10 12 26 24 32 -8 26.40 -0.40
11 Avellino 30 6 14 10 26 19 26 -7 28.90 -2.90
12 Ascoli 30 7 12 11 26 26 31 -5 27.76 -1.76
13 Bologna 30 4 16 10 24 23 30 -7 26.16 -2.16
14 Atalanta Relegated 30 6 12 12 24 20 33 -13 25.33 -1.33
15 Lanerossi Vicenza 30 5 14 11 24 29 42 -13 28.92 -4.92
16 Hellas Verona Relegated 30 2 11 17 15 14 39 -25 23.85 -8.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Perugia 41 33.30 +7.70
2 AC Milan 44 36.70 +7.30
3 Napoli 32 28.97 +3.03
4 Fiorentina 32 29.86 +2.14
5 Inter Milan 36 34.46 +1.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hellas Verona 15 23.85 -8.85
2 Lanerossi Vicenza 24 28.92 -4.92
3 Avellino 26 28.90 -2.90
4 Bologna 24 26.16 -2.16
5 Ascoli 26 27.76 -1.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 5 Dec 10 – Jan 21 1 in 71
2 Fiorentina 3 Mar 25 – Apr 8 1 in 70
3 Atalanta 2 Apr 14 – Apr 22 1 in 39
4 Napoli 3 Apr 22 – May 6 1 in 38
5 Perugia 2 Oct 15 – Oct 22 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Milan 3 Apr 29 – May 13 1 in 1,081
2 Hellas Verona 7 Jan 14 – Mar 4 1 in 505
3 Lanerossi Vicenza 4 Apr 1 – Apr 22 1 in 191
4 Fiorentina 3 Jan 7 – Jan 21 1 in 61
5 Roma 3 Mar 4 – Mar 18 1 in 56

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Perugia 30 Oct 1 – May 13 1 in 2,210
2 Inter Milan 20 Nov 19 – Apr 22 1 in 86
3 Catanzaro 9 Oct 15 – Dec 10 1 in 32
4 Bologna 7 Mar 4 – Apr 14 1 in 17
5 Lanerossi Vicenza 8 Nov 26 – Jan 28 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bologna 19 Oct 22 – Mar 18 1 in 79
2 Fiorentina 11 Dec 17 – Mar 18 1 in 23
3 Catanzaro 9 Mar 11 – May 6 1 in 19
4 Atalanta 13 Oct 1 – Jan 7 1 in 16
5 AC Milan 5 Mar 11 – Apr 8 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
AC Milan 1832 44 +43 8 6.3 +1.7
Perugia 1763 41 +14 7 6.3 +0.7
Juventus 1797 37 -7 5 6.5 -1.5
Inter Milan 1743 36 -24 4 6.3 -2.3
Torino 1739 36 -48 3 5.9 -2.9
Napoli 1673 32 +14 7 5.1 +1.9
Fiorentina 1667 32 +10 6 4.6 +1.4
Lazio Roma 1641 29 -27 2 4.6 -2.6
Catanzaro 1630 28 -9 4 4.4 -0.4
Avellino 1633 26 +7 6 4.3 +1.7
Roma 1622 26 +8 5 4.2 +0.8
Ascoli 1621 26 -4 4 5.4 -1.4
Atalanta 1593 24 +37 8 4.7 +3.3
Bologna 1606 24 +8 5 4.0 +1.0
Lanerossi Vicenza 1605 24 -27 2 4.0 -2.0
Hellas Verona 1529 15 +5 4 3.5 +0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ASC ATA AVE BOL CAT FIO HV IM JUV LV LR NAP PER ROM TOR
AC Milan —
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.21
0-2-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
2.53
Ascoli
0-1-1
1.68
 —
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
1.57
0-2-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
1.72
Atalanta
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.20
 —
0-2-0
2.23
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
1.94
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.48
1-1-0
2.25
0-2-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
1.93
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
1.84
Avellino
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.86
 —
0-2-0
2.85
0-2-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
1.81
0-2-0
1.80
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-1
1.87
Bologna
0-1-1
1.46
0-2-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.64
0-2-0
2.24
 —
0-2-0
2.40
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
1.99
0-2-0
1.66
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
1.69
Catanzaro
0-0-2
1.57
0-2-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.47
0-2-0
2.42
0-2-0
2.69
 —
0-2-0
2.42
0-2-0
3.03
0-2-0
1.84
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
1.90
2-0-0
2.54
1-0-1
1.78
Fiorentina
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.64
 —
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.86
0-2-0
1.93
Hellas Verona
0-0-2
1.49
0-0-2
2.26
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.05
0-0-2
1.98
 —
0-1-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.54
0-2-0
1.87
1-0-1
1.81
0-1-1
1.87
0-2-0
1.45
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
1.55
Inter Milan
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.14
0-2-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.27
 —
1-1-0
2.32
1-1-0
3.31
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.10
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.42
0-2-0
2.41
Juventus
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.71
0-2-0
3.34
0-2-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.76
 —
0-1-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
2.58
Lanerossi Vicenza
0-1-1
1.89
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.44
0-2-0
3.22
0-1-1
1.79
1-1-0
1.62
 —
1-0-1
2.50
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
1.89
Lazio Roma
0-1-1
1.58
1-1-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
3.28
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.57
 —
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.94
0-2-0
1.98
Napoli
1-1-0
1.91
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.47
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
3.22
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
1.84
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.59
 —
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
1.94
Perugia
0-2-0
2.33
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.21
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.80
0-2-0
3.71
0-2-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.14
1-1-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
2.95
 —
0-2-0
3.36
0-2-0
2.33
Roma
0-0-2
2.06
1-1-0
2.40
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.28
2-0-0
2.49
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
1.73
1-0-1
1.53
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.33
0-2-0
1.78
 —
0-0-2
1.81
Torino
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.35
0-2-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.64
0-2-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.50
1-1-0
3.21
0-2-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.34
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +7.3
Allowed 0.67 -8.0
Differential 0.96 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.92%10.42%4.79%2.08%1.04%—41.25%
110.42%16.25%4.58%2.71%0.62%—34.58%
24.79%4.58%4.58%0.83%—0.42%15.21%
32.08%2.71%0.83%0.83%0.21%—6.67%
41.04%0.62%—0.21%——1.88%
5+——0.42%———0.42%
Total41.25%34.58%15.21%6.67%1.88%0.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 0.95 +0.00
SD 1.04 1.04 1.36
CV 1.10 1.10 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%————23.33%
120.00%16.67%————36.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
36.67%10.00%6.67%———23.33%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total46.67%43.33%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.63 +0.90
SD 1.28 0.67 1.27
CV 0.83 1.06 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%3.33%———40.00%
110.00%13.33%6.67%10.00%——40.00%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%16.67%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.03 -0.17
SD 0.90 1.07 1.18
CV 1.04 1.03 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%16.67%13.33%6.67%——56.67%
16.67%13.33%—3.33%——23.33%
26.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.10 -0.43
SD 0.88 0.99 1.30
CV 1.33 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
033.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%——56.67%
110.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
23.33%3.33%————6.67%
3—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%30.00%13.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 0.87 -0.23
SD 0.89 1.01 1.14
CV 1.41 1.16 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%16.67%3.33%———50.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
2—3.33%10.00%———13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total36.67%33.33%23.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.00 -0.23
SD 1.07 0.95 1.01
CV 1.40 0.95 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—46.67%
13.33%23.33%—10.00%——36.67%
26.67%3.33%————10.00%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%40.00%3.33%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.00 -0.23
SD 0.90 1.14 1.43
CV 1.17 1.14 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%——3.33%—33.33%
120.00%20.00%6.67%—3.33%—50.00%
23.33%6.67%—3.33%——13.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%36.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.87 +0.00
SD 0.78 1.14 1.34
CV 0.90 1.31 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%30.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—63.33%
13.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
23.33%——3.33%—3.33%10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%46.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.47 1.30 -0.83
SD 0.68 1.37 1.29
CV 1.46 1.05 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%————26.67%
110.00%20.00%6.67%———36.67%
26.67%10.00%10.00%———26.67%
3———3.33%——3.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total43.33%36.67%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.80 +0.47
SD 1.11 0.85 1.22
CV 0.88 1.06 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%————26.67%
120.00%16.67%10.00%———46.67%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
36.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total46.67%33.33%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.77 +0.57
SD 1.40 0.86 1.30
CV 1.05 1.12 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%—46.67%
13.33%13.33%3.33%———20.00%
23.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%—3.33%26.67%
3————3.33%—3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%30.00%23.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.40 -0.43
SD 1.10 1.35 1.45
CV 1.14 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—10.00%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
16.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
3—10.00%————10.00%
43.33%——3.33%——6.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%23.33%26.67%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.33 -0.17
SD 1.23 1.24 1.74
CV 1.06 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%6.67%10.00%———46.67%
113.33%13.33%6.67%———33.33%
23.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%30.00%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 0.70 +0.07
SD 0.86 0.79 1.11
CV 1.12 1.13 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%—————23.33%
110.00%33.33%————43.33%
220.00%3.33%6.67%———30.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%40.00%6.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.53 +0.60
SD 0.82 0.63 0.86
CV 0.72 1.18 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%——46.67%
16.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
26.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.07 -0.27
SD 0.89 1.05 1.44
CV 1.11 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%—6.67%——36.67%
116.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
23.33%—6.67%———10.00%
36.67%6.67%—3.33%——16.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total53.33%26.67%10.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.77 +0.40
SD 1.21 1.01 1.52
CV 1.03 1.31 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
AC Milan 1832 44 36.70 +7.30 99.0% 22 29 35 37 39 43 45
Juventus 1797 37 37.11 -0.11 52.0% 28 31 35 37 40 43 49
Perugia 1763 41 33.30 +7.70 99.0% 26 27 30 33 36 41 42
Inter Milan 1743 36 34.46 +1.54 68.0% 24 27 32 34 37 41 43
Torino 1739 36 35.64 +0.36 63.0% 25 29 33 36 38 42 50
Napoli 1673 32 28.97 +3.03 81.0% 22 23 26 29 31 35 38
Fiorentina 1667 32 29.86 +2.14 75.0% 22 23 27 30 32 36 38
Lazio Roma 1641 29 29.11 -0.11 57.0% 21 24 26 29 32 35 37
Avellino 1633 26 28.90 -2.90 31.0% 20 23 26 29 31 35 41
Catanzaro 1630 28 27.53 +0.47 63.0% 20 21 25 27 30 34 38
Roma 1622 26 26.40 -0.40 52.0% 16 21 24 26 29 33 35
Ascoli 1621 26 27.76 -1.76 35.0% 20 22 25 27 30 34 39
Bologna 1606 24 26.16 -2.16 34.0% 17 20 23 26 28 32 37
Lanerossi Vicenza 1605 24 28.92 -4.92 14.0% 20 21 26 29 32 35 41
Atalanta 1593 24 25.33 -1.33 43.0% 16 18 23 26 28 31 33
Hellas Verona 1529 15 23.85 -8.85 1.0% 15 16 22 24 27 29 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 27.5% * Clear Edge: 27.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.25%
Slight Edge
38.33%44.58%17.08%
Elo Value
Home Edge
212 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
074.97600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
AC Milan, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Tight Race
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.07 * Some Luck: 3.07 to 4.61 * Lucky: 4.61 to 6.15 * Wild Swing: 6.15 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.16 * Close: 2.16 to 3.24 * Off: 3.24 to 4.33 * Way Off: 4.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.55 * A Surprise: 1.55 to 2.48 * Several Surprises: 2.48 to 3.41 * Many Surprises: 3.41 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.95 points
Some Luck
03.8410
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.62
Pinpoint
02.706
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.00%
AC Milan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
1.00%
Hellas Verona
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64% * Slight Edge: 64% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90.5% * Strong Edge: 90.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 62.5% * Some Drama: 62.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 71% * Very Frequent: 71% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11% * Occasional: 11% to 13.5% * Frequent: 13.5% to 16.5% * Very Frequent: 16.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 83.03
1.83
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%64%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Even
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
77%
Very Frequent
0%73%100%
Blowouts
Expected 7%
8%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 19.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 19.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Some Carryover
00.560.731
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.58
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.071
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
AC Milan27.00%29.00%19.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%—1.00%—
Perugia9.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%—1.00%———
Juventus32.00%18.00%22.00%10.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%———1.00%————
Inter Milan13.00%11.00%15.00%16.00%12.00%18.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%—2.00%———
Torino17.00%17.00%15.00%17.00%17.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————
Fiorentina—3.00%3.00%11.00%4.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%—
Napoli——2.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%19.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%
Lazio Roma—1.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%4.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%
Catanzaro—1.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%
Roma———2.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%18.00%8.00%
Avellino—3.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%
Ascoli1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%13.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%
Bologna—1.00%2.00%—2.00%2.00%3.00%10.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%16.00%10.00%12.00%
Atalanta—1.00%———3.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%21.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza1.00%2.00%—3.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%
Hellas Verona——————2.00%5.00%2.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%16.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Inter Milan 100% —
Juventus 100% —
Perugia 100% —
Torino 100% —
AC Milan 99.00% 1.00%
Fiorentina 93.00% 7.00%
Napoli 88.00% 12.00%
Avellino 85.00% 15.00%
Lazio Roma 85.00% 15.00%
Catanzaro 78.00% 22.00%
Lanerossi Vicenza 78.00% 22.00%
Ascoli 76.00% 24.00%
Roma 63.00% 37.00%
Bologna 62.00% 38.00%
Atalanta 53.00% 47.00%
Hellas Verona 40.00% 60.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-10-01 Avellino W 1-058.1 1687 1683 40.65% 46.31% 13.05%+0.38 +6.5 2
1978-10-01 @ AC Milan L 0-158.1 1683 1687 13.05% 46.31% 40.65%-0.38 -6.5 0
1978-10-01 Inter Milan L 0-163.8 1633 1703 32.09% 47.26% 20.65%+0.02 -10.8 0
1978-10-01 @ Bologna W 1-063.8 1703 1633 20.65% 47.26% 32.09%-0.02 +10.8 2
1978-10-01 Atalanta D 0-059.2 1614 1641 37.26% 46.91% 15.83%+0.23 -1.3 1
1978-10-01 @ Catanzaro D 0-059.2 1641 1614 15.83% 46.91% 37.26%-0.23 +1.4 1
1978-10-01 Roma D 1-165.3 1635 1644 39.24% 46.60% 14.16%+0.31 -1.4 1
1978-10-01 @ Hellas Verona D 1-165.3 1644 1635 14.16% 46.60% 39.24%-0.31 +1.4 1
1978-10-01 Juventus D 2-272.1 1651 1773 25.30% 46.94% 27.76%-0.22 +0.1 1
1978-10-01 @ Lazio Roma D 2-272.1 1773 1651 27.76% 46.94% 25.30%+0.22 -0.1 1
1978-10-01 Ascoli W 2-162.3 1653 1620 43.45% 45.53% 11.02%+0.51 +5.5 2
1978-10-01 @ Napoli L 1-262.3 1620 1653 11.02% 45.53% 43.45%-0.51 -5.5 0
1978-10-01 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-055.6 1662 1693 36.73% 46.98% 16.29%+0.21 +14.0 2
1978-10-01 @ Perugia L 0-255.6 1693 1662 16.29% 46.98% 36.73%-0.21 -14.0 0
1978-10-01 Fiorentina D 1-167.5 1745 1659 48.22% 43.53% 8.25%+0.76 -2.6 1
1978-10-01 @ Torino D 1-167.5 1659 1745 8.25% 43.53% 48.22%-0.76 +2.6 1
1978-10-08 Bologna D 2-270.1 1614 1622 39.37% 46.58% 14.05%+0.32 -1.1 1
1978-10-08 @ Ascoli D 2-270.1 1622 1614 14.05% 46.58% 39.37%-0.32 +1.1 1
1978-10-08 Torino L 0-163.0 1642 1742 28.24% 47.18% 24.59%-0.12 -10.0 1
1978-10-08 @ Atalanta W 1-063.0 1742 1642 24.59% 47.18% 28.24%+0.12 +10.0 3
1978-10-08 Lazio Roma L 1-368.4 1676 1652 42.65% 45.78% 11.57%+0.47 -21.7 0
1978-10-08 @ Avellino W 3-168.4 1652 1676 11.57% 45.78% 42.65%-0.47 +21.7 3
1978-10-08 Napoli W 2-163.8 1662 1658 40.52% 46.34% 13.14%+0.37 +6.2 3
1978-10-08 @ Fiorentina L 1-263.8 1658 1662 13.14% 46.34% 40.52%-0.37 -6.2 2
1978-10-08 Perugia D 1-166.9 1713 1676 43.90% 45.38% 10.73%+0.53 -2.0 3
1978-10-08 @ Inter Milan D 1-166.9 1676 1713 10.73% 45.38% 43.90%-0.53 +2.0 3
1978-10-08 Hellas Verona W 6-254.3 1772 1634 52.64% 40.91% 6.45%+1.01 +9.3 3
1978-10-08 @ Juventus L 2-654.3 1634 1772 6.45% 40.91% 52.64%-1.01 -9.3 1
1978-10-08 AC Milan L 0-359.9 1646 1694 34.77% 47.16% 18.07%+0.13 -31.2 1
1978-10-08 @ Roma W 3-059.9 1694 1646 18.07% 47.16% 34.77%-0.13 +31.2 4
1978-10-08 Catanzaro W 2-052.0 1679 1613 46.55% 44.33% 9.12%+0.67 +9.6 2
1978-10-08 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-252.0 1613 1679 9.12% 44.33% 46.55%-0.67 -9.6 1
1978-10-15 Ascoli D 0-061.7 1725 1613 50.45% 42.29% 7.26%+0.88 -3.2 5
1978-10-15 @ AC Milan D 0-061.7 1613 1725 7.26% 42.29% 50.45%-0.88 +3.2 2
1978-10-15 Lanerossi Vicenza W 5-261.1 1623 1689 32.59% 47.26% 20.15%+0.04 +16.7 3
1978-10-15 @ Bologna L 2-561.1 1689 1623 20.15% 47.26% 32.59%-0.04 -16.7 2
1978-10-15 Juventus D 0-061.1 1603 1782 18.59% 45.66% 35.75%-0.49 +1.0 2
1978-10-15 @ Catanzaro D 0-061.1 1782 1603 35.75% 45.66% 18.59%+0.49 -1.0 4
1978-10-15 Inter Milan D 0-060.1 1625 1711 29.94% 47.25% 22.82%-0.06 -0.4 2
1978-10-15 @ Hellas Verona D 0-060.1 1711 1625 22.82% 47.25% 29.94%+0.06 +0.4 4
1978-10-15 Atalanta D 1-166.1 1673 1632 44.20% 45.27% 10.53%+0.55 -2.1 4
1978-10-15 @ Lazio Roma D 1-166.1 1632 1673 10.53% 45.27% 44.20%-0.55 +2.1 2
1978-10-15 Roma W 1-055.9 1652 1614 43.90% 45.37% 10.72%+0.53 +5.7 4
1978-10-15 @ Napoli L 0-155.9 1614 1652 10.72% 45.37% 43.90%-0.53 -5.7 1
1978-10-15 Fiorentina W 1-057.7 1678 1668 41.21% 46.17% 12.62%+0.40 +6.4 5
1978-10-15 @ Perugia L 0-157.7 1668 1678 12.62% 46.17% 41.21%-0.40 -6.4 3
1978-10-15 Avellino W 1-055.8 1752 1654 49.24% 42.98% 7.77%+0.81 +4.4 5
1978-10-15 @ Torino L 0-155.8 1654 1752 7.77% 42.98% 49.24%-0.81 -4.4 0
1978-10-22 Torino W 3-058.7 1616 1756 22.87% 46.62% 30.51%-0.31 +28.5 4
1978-10-22 @ Ascoli L 0-358.7 1756 1616 30.51% 46.62% 22.87%+0.31 -28.5 5
1978-10-22 AC Milan L 1-365.3 1634 1722 29.86% 47.24% 22.90%-0.06 -16.9 2
1978-10-22 @ Atalanta W 3-165.3 1722 1634 22.90% 47.24% 29.86%+0.06 +16.9 7
1978-10-22 Hellas Verona W 2-052.8 1650 1624 42.77% 45.74% 11.49%+0.48 +11.3 2
1978-10-22 @ Avellino L 0-252.8 1624 1650 11.49% 45.74% 42.77%-0.48 -11.3 2
1978-10-22 Lazio Roma W 3-053.5 1661 1671 39.13% 46.62% 14.25%+0.31 +18.8 5
1978-10-22 @ Fiorentina L 0-353.5 1671 1661 14.25% 46.62% 39.13%-0.31 -18.8 4
1978-10-22 Catanzaro D 0-061.3 1712 1604 50.08% 42.51% 7.41%+0.86 -3.1 5
1978-10-22 @ Inter Milan D 0-061.3 1604 1712 7.41% 42.51% 50.08%-0.86 +3.1 3
1978-10-22 Perugia L 1-274.7 1781 1684 49.16% 43.03% 7.81%+0.81 -14.0 4
1978-10-22 @ Juventus W 2-174.7 1684 1781 7.81% 43.03% 49.16%-0.81 +14.0 7
1978-10-22 Bologna W 2-054.2 1609 1640 36.78% 46.97% 16.24%+0.21 +14.0 3
1978-10-22 @ Roma L 0-254.2 1640 1609 16.24% 46.97% 36.78%-0.21 -14.0 3
1978-10-22 Napoli D 0-060.4 1672 1658 41.65% 46.06% 12.29%+0.42 -2.0 3
1978-10-22 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-060.4 1658 1672 12.29% 46.06% 41.65%-0.42 +1.9 5
1978-10-29 Fiorentina W 4-156.4 1739 1680 45.84% 44.63% 9.52%+0.63 +12.1 9
1978-10-29 @ AC Milan L 1-456.4 1680 1739 9.52% 44.63% 45.84%-0.63 -12.1 5
1978-10-29 Juventus D 0-060.8 1626 1767 22.73% 46.60% 30.67%-0.31 +0.5 4
1978-10-29 @ Bologna D 0-060.8 1767 1626 30.67% 46.60% 22.73%+0.31 -0.5 5
1978-10-29 Roma W 1-056.9 1608 1623 38.55% 46.72% 14.72%+0.28 +7.0 5
1978-10-29 @ Catanzaro L 0-156.9 1623 1608 14.72% 46.72% 38.55%-0.28 -7.0 3
1978-10-29 Ascoli L 2-374.4 1613 1645 36.68% 46.98% 16.34%+0.20 -10.6 2
1978-10-29 @ Hellas Verona W 3-274.4 1645 1613 16.34% 46.98% 36.68%-0.20 +10.6 6
1978-10-29 Lanerossi Vicenza W 4-370.4 1652 1670 38.24% 46.77% 14.99%+0.27 +6.2 6
1978-10-29 @ Lazio Roma L 3-470.4 1670 1652 14.99% 46.77% 38.24%-0.27 -6.2 3
1978-10-29 Atalanta W 2-052.4 1660 1618 44.32% 45.23% 10.45%+0.55 +10.6 7
1978-10-29 @ Napoli L 0-252.4 1618 1660 10.45% 45.23% 44.32%-0.55 -10.6 2
1978-10-29 Avellino D 0-060.9 1698 1661 43.84% 45.40% 10.77%+0.53 -2.2 8
1978-10-29 @ Perugia D 0-060.9 1661 1698 10.77% 45.40% 43.84%-0.53 +2.3 3
1978-10-29 Inter Milan D 3-375.3 1728 1709 42.12% 45.93% 11.95%+0.44 -1.1 6
1978-10-29 @ Torino D 3-375.3 1709 1728 11.95% 45.93% 42.12%-0.44 +1.1 6
1978-11-05 Lazio Roma D 0-060.1 1655 1658 39.84% 46.48% 13.68%+0.34 -1.7 7
1978-11-05 @ Ascoli D 0-060.1 1658 1655 13.68% 46.48% 39.84%-0.34 +1.7 7
1978-11-05 Perugia L 0-259.1 1607 1696 29.64% 47.24% 23.12%-0.07 -19.4 2
1978-11-05 @ Atalanta W 2-059.1 1696 1607 23.12% 47.24% 29.64%+0.07 +19.4 10
1978-11-05 Catanzaro D 0-060.1 1664 1615 44.98% 44.98% 10.04%+0.59 -2.4 4
1978-11-05 @ Avellino D 0-060.1 1615 1664 10.04% 44.98% 44.98%-0.59 +2.4 6
1978-11-05 Bologna W 1-056.2 1668 1626 44.32% 45.23% 10.45%+0.55 +5.6 7
1978-11-05 @ Fiorentina L 0-156.2 1626 1668 10.45% 45.23% 44.32%-0.55 -5.6 4
1978-11-05 Napoli W 2-053.6 1710 1670 44.09% 45.31% 10.60%+0.54 +10.7 8
1978-11-05 @ Inter Milan L 0-253.6 1670 1710 10.60% 45.31% 44.09%-0.54 -10.7 7
1978-11-05 AC Milan W 1-058.5 1766 1751 41.74% 46.04% 12.22%+0.43 +6.2 7
1978-11-05 @ Juventus L 0-158.5 1751 1766 12.22% 46.04% 41.74%-0.43 -6.2 9
1978-11-05 Torino L 0-258.6 1616 1727 26.65% 47.07% 26.29%-0.17 -18.2 3
1978-11-05 @ Roma W 2-058.6 1727 1616 26.29% 47.07% 26.65%+0.17 +18.2 8
1978-11-05 Hellas Verona D 0-060.1 1664 1602 46.13% 44.51% 9.36%+0.64 -2.6 4
1978-11-05 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-060.1 1602 1664 9.36% 44.51% 46.13%-0.64 +2.6 3
1978-11-12 Inter Milan W 1-058.1 1745 1721 42.60% 45.79% 11.61%+0.47 +6.0 11
1978-11-12 @ AC Milan L 0-158.1 1721 1745 11.61% 45.79% 42.60%-0.47 -6.0 8
1978-11-12 Avellino D 0-059.5 1620 1661 35.65% 47.09% 17.26%+0.16 -1.1 5
1978-11-12 @ Bologna D 0-059.5 1661 1620 17.26% 47.09% 35.65%-0.16 +1.1 5
1978-11-12 Fiorentina D 0-059.6 1617 1674 33.74% 47.22% 19.04%+0.09 -0.9 7
1978-11-12 @ Catanzaro D 0-059.6 1674 1617 19.04% 47.22% 33.74%-0.09 +0.9 8
1978-11-12 Atalanta D 1-163.9 1605 1588 41.93% 45.98% 12.09%+0.44 -1.8 4
1978-11-12 @ Hellas Verona D 1-163.9 1588 1605 12.09% 45.98% 41.93%-0.44 +1.8 3
1978-11-12 Roma D 0-059.9 1660 1597 46.23% 44.47% 9.30%+0.65 -2.6 8
1978-11-12 @ Lazio Roma D 0-059.9 1597 1660 9.30% 44.47% 46.23%-0.65 +2.6 4
1978-11-12 Juventus D 0-060.9 1660 1773 26.39% 47.05% 26.56%-0.18 +0.0 8
1978-11-12 @ Napoli D 0-060.9 1773 1660 26.56% 47.05% 26.39%+0.18 -0.0 8
1978-11-12 Ascoli W 2-052.9 1715 1654 46.12% 44.51% 9.36%+0.64 +9.8 12
1978-11-12 @ Perugia L 0-252.9 1654 1715 9.36% 44.51% 46.12%-0.64 -9.8 7
1978-11-12 Lanerossi Vicenza W 4-051.9 1745 1662 48.05% 43.61% 8.34%+0.75 +16.9 10
1978-11-12 @ Torino L 0-451.9 1662 1745 8.34% 43.61% 48.05%-0.75 -16.9 4
1978-11-19 Catanzaro D 1-165.3 1644 1616 42.97% 45.68% 11.35%+0.49 -1.9 8
1978-11-19 @ Ascoli D 1-165.3 1616 1644 11.35% 45.68% 42.97%-0.49 +1.9 8
1978-11-19 Bologna D 0-058.3 1589 1619 36.91% 46.96% 16.14%+0.21 -1.3 4
1978-11-19 @ Atalanta D 0-058.3 1619 1589 16.14% 46.96% 36.91%-0.21 +1.3 6
1978-11-19 Napoli D 1-166.0 1662 1660 40.45% 46.35% 13.19%+0.37 -1.6 6
1978-11-19 @ Avellino D 1-166.0 1660 1662 13.19% 46.35% 40.45%-0.37 +1.6 9
1978-11-19 Hellas Verona W 1-055.2 1675 1603 46.99% 44.13% 8.88%+0.69 +5.0 10
1978-11-19 @ Fiorentina L 0-155.2 1603 1675 8.88% 44.13% 46.99%-0.69 -5.0 4
1978-11-19 Lazio Roma W 4-052.3 1714 1658 45.69% 44.70% 9.61%+0.62 +18.9 10
1978-11-19 @ Inter Milan L 0-452.3 1658 1714 9.61% 44.70% 45.69%-0.62 -18.9 8
1978-11-19 Torino D 1-167.3 1773 1762 41.26% 46.16% 12.58%+0.40 -1.7 9
1978-11-19 @ Juventus D 1-167.3 1762 1773 12.58% 46.16% 41.26%-0.40 +1.7 11
1978-11-19 Perugia D 0-060.1 1600 1725 24.75% 46.88% 28.37%-0.24 +0.2 5
1978-11-19 @ Roma D 0-060.1 1725 1600 28.37% 46.88% 24.75%+0.24 -0.2 13
1978-11-19 AC Milan L 2-373.1 1645 1751 27.36% 47.12% 25.52%-0.15 -8.8 4
1978-11-19 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-273.1 1751 1645 25.52% 47.12% 27.36%+0.15 +8.8 13
1978-11-26 Fiorentina D 1-166.0 1661 1680 38.14% 46.79% 15.07%+0.26 -1.3 7
1978-11-26 @ Avellino D 1-166.0 1680 1661 15.07% 46.79% 38.14%-0.26 +1.3 11
1978-11-26 Catanzaro D 1-164.7 1621 1618 40.44% 46.36% 13.21%+0.37 -1.6 7
1978-11-26 @ Bologna D 1-164.7 1618 1621 13.21% 46.36% 40.44%-0.37 +1.6 9
1978-11-26 Atalanta D 2-273.2 1733 1588 53.19% 40.54% 6.27%+1.04 -2.3 11
1978-11-26 @ Inter Milan D 2-273.2 1588 1733 6.27% 40.54% 53.19%-1.04 +2.3 5
1978-11-26 Ascoli W 1-055.0 1771 1642 51.85% 41.43% 6.72%+0.96 +3.9 11
1978-11-26 @ Juventus L 0-155.0 1642 1771 6.72% 41.43% 51.85%-0.96 -3.8 8
1978-11-26 Hellas Verona W 1-055.3 1639 1598 44.18% 45.28% 10.54%+0.54 +5.6 10
1978-11-26 @ Lazio Roma L 0-155.3 1598 1639 10.54% 45.28% 44.18%-0.54 -5.7 4
1978-11-26 AC Milan D 1-166.5 1661 1759 28.40% 47.18% 24.41%-0.11 -0.2 10
1978-11-26 @ Napoli D 1-166.5 1759 1661 24.41% 47.18% 28.40%+0.11 +0.2 14
1978-11-26 Torino D 0-061.2 1725 1764 35.90% 47.07% 17.03%+0.17 -1.2 14
1978-11-26 @ Perugia D 0-061.2 1764 1725 17.03% 47.07% 35.90%-0.17 +1.2 12
1978-11-26 Roma W 1-055.4 1636 1600 43.72% 45.44% 10.84%+0.52 +5.8 6
1978-11-26 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-155.4 1600 1636 10.84% 45.44% 43.72%-0.52 -5.8 5
1978-12-03 Perugia D 1-167.4 1760 1724 43.73% 45.43% 10.83%+0.52 -2.0 15
1978-12-03 @ AC Milan D 1-167.4 1724 1760 10.83% 45.43% 43.73%-0.52 +2.0 15
1978-12-03 Inter Milan L 1-269.3 1638 1731 29.14% 47.22% 23.65%-0.08 -9.6 8
1978-12-03 @ Ascoli W 2-169.3 1731 1638 23.65% 47.22% 29.14%+0.08 +9.6 13
1978-12-03 Juventus L 0-159.3 1590 1775 18.01% 45.48% 36.50%-0.52 -7.7 5
1978-12-03 @ Atalanta W 1-059.3 1775 1590 36.50% 45.48% 18.01%+0.52 +7.7 13
1978-12-03 Lazio Roma W 3-159.8 1620 1644 37.48% 46.88% 15.64%+0.24 +11.9 11
1978-12-03 @ Catanzaro L 1-359.8 1644 1620 15.64% 46.88% 37.48%-0.24 -11.8 10
1978-12-03 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-060.6 1681 1642 44.06% 45.32% 10.62%+0.54 -2.3 12
1978-12-03 @ Fiorentina D 0-060.6 1642 1681 10.62% 45.32% 44.06%-0.54 +2.3 7
1978-12-03 Bologna W 1-056.9 1593 1619 37.29% 46.91% 15.80%+0.23 +7.3 6
1978-12-03 @ Hellas Verona L 0-156.9 1619 1593 15.80% 46.91% 37.29%-0.23 -7.3 7
1978-12-03 Avellino W 2-165.2 1594 1659 32.72% 47.25% 20.03%+0.05 +7.9 7
1978-12-03 @ Roma L 1-265.2 1659 1594 20.03% 47.25% 32.72%-0.05 -7.9 7
1978-12-03 Napoli D 0-062.2 1765 1661 49.78% 42.68% 7.54%+0.84 -3.1 13
1978-12-03 @ Torino D 0-062.2 1661 1765 7.54% 42.68% 49.78%-0.84 +3.1 11
1978-12-10 Torino W 1-059.1 1758 1762 39.74% 46.50% 13.76%+0.33 +6.7 17
1978-12-10 @ AC Milan L 0-159.1 1762 1758 13.76% 46.50% 39.74%-0.33 -6.7 13
1978-12-10 Atalanta W 1-054.7 1629 1583 44.68% 45.10% 10.23%+0.57 +5.5 10
1978-12-10 @ Ascoli L 0-154.7 1583 1629 10.23% 45.10% 44.68%-0.57 -5.5 5
1978-12-10 Hellas Verona D 1-164.8 1631 1600 43.32% 45.57% 11.11%+0.50 -2.0 12
1978-12-10 @ Catanzaro D 1-164.8 1600 1631 11.11% 45.57% 43.32%-0.50 +2.0 7
1978-12-10 Roma W 2-051.5 1679 1602 47.42% 43.92% 8.65%+0.71 +9.2 14
1978-12-10 @ Fiorentina L 0-251.5 1602 1679 8.65% 43.92% 47.42%-0.71 -9.2 7
1978-12-10 Inter Milan D 1-167.6 1782 1741 44.29% 45.24% 10.47%+0.55 -2.1 14
1978-12-10 @ Juventus D 1-167.6 1741 1782 10.47% 45.24% 44.29%-0.55 +2.1 14
1978-12-10 Bologna W 1-056.0 1633 1612 42.27% 45.89% 11.84%+0.45 +6.1 12
1978-12-10 @ Lazio Roma L 0-156.0 1612 1633 11.84% 45.89% 42.27%-0.45 -6.1 7
1978-12-10 Perugia D 1-166.3 1664 1726 33.12% 47.24% 19.64%+0.06 -0.7 12
1978-12-10 @ Napoli D 1-166.3 1726 1664 19.64% 47.24% 33.12%-0.06 +0.7 16
1978-12-10 Avellino W 2-163.8 1644 1652 39.35% 46.58% 14.07%+0.32 +6.4 9
1978-12-10 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-263.8 1652 1644 14.07% 46.58% 39.35%-0.32 -6.4 7
1978-12-17 Fiorentina D 0-059.3 1577 1688 26.74% 47.07% 26.18%-0.17 -0.0 6
1978-12-17 @ Atalanta D 0-059.3 1688 1577 26.18% 47.07% 26.74%+0.17 +0.0 15
1978-12-17 Ascoli W 3-158.9 1645 1634 41.29% 46.15% 12.55%+0.41 +10.4 9
1978-12-17 @ Avellino L 1-358.9 1634 1645 12.55% 46.15% 41.29%-0.41 -10.4 10
1978-12-17 Napoli D 1-165.0 1606 1663 33.63% 47.22% 19.15%+0.08 -0.8 8
1978-12-17 @ Bologna D 1-165.0 1663 1606 19.15% 47.22% 33.63%-0.08 +0.8 13
1978-12-17 AC Milan L 1-362.1 1602 1764 20.26% 46.11% 33.63%-0.41 -13.5 7
1978-12-17 @ Hellas Verona W 3-162.1 1764 1602 33.63% 46.11% 20.26%+0.41 +13.5 19
1978-12-17 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-061.8 1743 1650 48.81% 43.22% 7.97%+0.79 -3.0 15
1978-12-17 @ Inter Milan D 0-061.8 1650 1743 7.97% 43.22% 48.81%-0.79 +3.0 10
1978-12-17 Catanzaro W 1-055.4 1727 1629 49.21% 43.00% 7.79%+0.81 +4.4 18
1978-12-17 @ Perugia L 0-155.4 1629 1727 7.79% 43.00% 49.21%-0.81 -4.4 12
1978-12-17 Juventus W 1-065.0 1593 1780 17.73% 45.39% 36.89%-0.53 +11.7 9
1978-12-17 @ Roma L 0-165.0 1780 1593 36.89% 45.39% 17.73%+0.53 -11.7 14
1978-12-17 Lazio Roma D 2-273.4 1755 1639 50.82% 42.07% 7.11%+0.90 -2.1 14
1978-12-17 @ Torino D 2-273.4 1639 1755 7.11% 42.07% 50.82%-0.90 +2.2 13
1979-01-07 Catanzaro W 4-050.1 1778 1625 53.80% 40.12% 6.08%+1.07 +12.3 21
1979-01-07 @ AC Milan L 0-450.1 1625 1778 6.08% 40.12% 53.80%-1.07 -12.3 12
1979-01-07 Atalanta D 0-059.7 1656 1577 47.60% 43.84% 8.57%+0.72 -2.8 10
1979-01-07 @ Avellino D 0-059.7 1577 1656 8.57% 43.84% 47.60%-0.72 +2.8 7
1979-01-07 Juventus L 0-164.2 1688 1769 30.71% 47.26% 22.03%-0.03 -10.5 15
1979-01-07 @ Fiorentina W 1-064.2 1769 1688 22.03% 47.26% 30.71%+0.03 +10.5 16
1979-01-07 Lazio Roma L 0-262.6 1664 1641 42.52% 45.82% 11.66%+0.46 -24.9 13
1979-01-07 @ Napoli W 2-062.6 1641 1664 11.66% 45.82% 42.52%-0.46 +24.9 15
1979-01-07 Hellas Verona D 1-167.6 1731 1588 52.98% 40.68% 6.34%+1.03 -3.1 19
1979-01-07 @ Perugia D 1-167.6 1588 1731 6.34% 40.68% 52.98%-1.03 +3.1 8
1979-01-07 Inter Milan D 1-166.1 1605 1740 23.50% 46.72% 29.79%-0.28 +0.3 10
1979-01-07 @ Roma D 1-166.1 1740 1605 29.79% 46.72% 23.50%+0.28 -0.3 16
1979-01-07 Bologna W 3-156.1 1753 1605 53.41% 40.39% 6.20%+1.05 +5.7 16
1979-01-07 @ Torino L 1-356.1 1605 1753 6.20% 40.39% 53.41%-1.05 -5.7 8
1979-01-07 Ascoli D 1-165.6 1653 1624 43.13% 45.63% 11.24%+0.49 -1.9 11
1979-01-07 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-165.6 1624 1653 11.24% 45.63% 43.13%-0.49 +1.9 11
1979-01-14 Fiorentina W 2-165.4 1626 1677 34.37% 47.18% 18.44%+0.11 +7.5 13
1979-01-14 @ Ascoli L 1-265.4 1677 1626 18.44% 47.18% 34.37%-0.11 -7.5 15
1979-01-14 Roma W 2-052.7 1580 1605 37.45% 46.89% 15.66%+0.24 +13.7 9
1979-01-14 @ Atalanta L 0-252.7 1605 1580 15.66% 46.89% 37.45%-0.24 -13.7 10
1979-01-14 AC Milan L 0-159.2 1599 1790 17.37% 45.26% 37.38%-0.55 -7.5 8
1979-01-14 @ Bologna W 1-059.2 1790 1599 37.38% 45.26% 17.37%+0.55 +7.5 23
1979-01-14 Napoli D 0-059.1 1613 1639 37.30% 46.91% 15.79%+0.23 -1.4 13
1979-01-14 @ Catanzaro D 0-059.1 1639 1613 15.79% 46.91% 37.30%-0.23 +1.4 14
1979-01-14 Torino L 0-159.8 1591 1759 19.76% 45.99% 34.25%-0.43 -8.1 8
1979-01-14 @ Hellas Verona W 1-059.8 1759 1591 34.25% 45.99% 19.76%+0.43 +8.1 18
1979-01-14 Avellino W 2-052.4 1739 1653 48.32% 43.47% 8.20%+0.76 +8.8 18
1979-01-14 @ Inter Milan L 0-252.4 1653 1739 8.20% 43.47% 48.32%-0.76 -8.8 10
1979-01-14 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-274.8 1779 1651 51.77% 41.48% 6.75%+0.96 -14.5 16
1979-01-14 @ Juventus W 2-174.8 1651 1779 6.75% 41.48% 51.77%-0.96 +14.5 13
1979-01-14 Perugia D 0-060.6 1666 1728 33.08% 47.24% 19.68%+0.06 -0.8 16
1979-01-14 @ Lazio Roma D 0-060.6 1728 1666 19.68% 47.24% 33.08%-0.06 +0.8 20
1979-01-21 Lazio Roma W 2-051.7 1798 1665 52.17% 41.22% 6.61%+0.98 +7.1 25
1979-01-21 @ AC Milan L 0-251.7 1665 1798 6.61% 41.22% 52.17%-0.98 -7.1 16
1979-01-21 Juventus D 0-060.8 1644 1765 25.36% 46.95% 27.69%-0.22 +0.1 11
1979-01-21 @ Avellino D 0-060.8 1765 1644 27.69% 46.95% 25.36%+0.22 -0.1 17
1979-01-21 Inter Milan L 1-270.3 1670 1748 31.02% 47.27% 21.72%-0.02 -10.0 15
1979-01-21 @ Fiorentina W 2-170.3 1748 1670 21.72% 47.27% 31.02%+0.02 +10.0 20
1979-01-21 Hellas Verona W 1-054.6 1640 1583 45.72% 44.69% 9.60%+0.62 +5.3 16
1979-01-21 @ Napoli L 0-154.6 1583 1640 9.60% 44.69% 45.72%-0.62 -5.3 8
1979-01-21 Bologna W 3-156.0 1729 1592 52.53% 40.99% 6.49%+1.00 +6.0 22
1979-01-21 @ Perugia L 1-356.0 1592 1729 6.49% 40.99% 52.53%-1.00 -6.0 8
1979-01-21 Ascoli W 1-057.7 1591 1633 35.53% 47.10% 17.37%+0.16 +7.7 12
1979-01-21 @ Roma L 0-157.7 1633 1591 17.37% 47.10% 35.53%-0.16 -7.7 13
1979-01-21 Catanzaro W 3-049.4 1767 1611 54.00% 39.98% 6.02%+1.09 +9.3 20
1979-01-21 @ Torino L 0-349.4 1611 1767 6.02% 39.98% 54.00%-1.09 -9.3 13
1979-01-21 Atalanta D 1-165.8 1666 1594 47.06% 44.09% 8.85%+0.69 -2.4 14
1979-01-21 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-165.8 1594 1666 8.85% 44.09% 47.06%-0.69 +2.4 10
1979-01-28 Napoli D 0-059.5 1626 1646 37.99% 46.81% 15.20%+0.26 -1.5 14
1979-01-28 @ Ascoli D 0-059.5 1646 1626 15.20% 46.81% 37.99%-0.26 +1.4 17
1979-01-28 Catanzaro L 0-260.1 1596 1602 39.54% 46.54% 13.92%+0.33 -23.6 10
1979-01-28 @ Atalanta W 2-060.1 1602 1596 13.92% 46.54% 39.54%-0.33 +23.6 15
1979-01-28 AC Milan W 1-064.7 1644 1805 20.47% 46.16% 33.38%-0.40 +11.0 13
1979-01-28 @ Avellino L 0-164.7 1805 1644 33.38% 46.16% 20.47%+0.40 -11.0 25
1979-01-28 Torino D 0-061.0 1660 1776 25.96% 47.01% 27.04%-0.19 +0.1 16
1979-01-28 @ Fiorentina D 0-061.0 1776 1660 27.04% 47.01% 25.96%+0.19 -0.1 21
1979-01-28 Bologna D 0-062.7 1758 1586 55.39% 38.98% 5.63%+1.17 -3.8 21
1979-01-28 @ Inter Milan D 0-062.7 1586 1758 5.63% 38.98% 55.39%-1.17 +3.8 9
1979-01-28 Lazio Roma W 2-161.8 1764 1658 50.02% 42.54% 7.44%+0.86 +4.0 19
1979-01-28 @ Juventus L 1-261.8 1658 1764 7.44% 42.54% 50.02%-0.86 -4.0 16
1979-01-28 Hellas Verona W 2-051.1 1599 1578 42.30% 45.88% 11.82%+0.45 +11.5 14
1979-01-28 @ Roma L 0-251.1 1578 1599 11.82% 45.88% 42.30%-0.45 -11.5 8
1979-01-28 Perugia D 1-166.4 1663 1735 31.94% 47.27% 20.79%+0.02 -0.6 15
1979-01-28 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-166.4 1735 1663 20.79% 47.27% 31.94%-0.02 +0.6 23
1979-02-04 Roma W 1-053.7 1794 1611 56.23% 38.35% 5.42%+1.22 +3.0 27
1979-02-04 @ AC Milan L 0-153.7 1611 1794 5.42% 38.35% 56.23%-1.22 -3.0 14
1979-02-04 Ascoli D 0-058.3 1589 1624 36.35% 47.02% 16.63%+0.19 -1.2 10
1979-02-04 @ Bologna D 0-058.3 1624 1589 16.63% 47.02% 36.35%-0.19 +1.2 15
1979-02-04 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-055.1 1626 1663 36.06% 47.05% 16.89%+0.18 +14.3 17
1979-02-04 @ Catanzaro L 0-255.1 1663 1626 16.89% 47.05% 36.06%-0.18 -14.3 15
1979-02-04 Juventus L 0-353.6 1567 1768 16.38% 44.88% 38.74%-0.60 -19.7 8
1979-02-04 @ Hellas Verona W 3-053.6 1768 1567 38.74% 44.88% 16.38%+0.60 +19.7 21
1979-02-04 Avellino D 0-060.1 1654 1655 40.03% 46.44% 13.53%+0.35 -1.7 17
1979-02-04 @ Lazio Roma D 0-060.1 1655 1654 13.53% 46.44% 40.03%-0.35 +1.7 14
1979-02-04 Fiorentina D 0-060.0 1647 1660 38.82% 46.68% 14.51%+0.29 -1.5 18
1979-02-04 @ Napoli D 0-060.0 1660 1647 14.51% 46.68% 38.82%-0.29 +1.6 17
1979-02-04 Inter Milan D 2-272.5 1735 1754 38.11% 46.79% 15.10%+0.26 -1.0 24
1979-02-04 @ Perugia D 2-272.5 1754 1735 15.10% 46.79% 38.11%-0.26 +1.0 22
1979-02-04 Atalanta W 3-048.0 1776 1573 57.84% 37.12% 5.05%+1.31 +7.4 23
1979-02-04 @ Torino L 0-348.0 1573 1776 5.05% 37.12% 57.84%-1.31 -7.4 10
1979-02-11 AC Milan L 0-160.2 1625 1797 19.30% 45.87% 34.83%-0.46 -8.0 15
1979-02-11 @ Ascoli W 1-060.2 1797 1625 34.83% 45.87% 19.30%+0.46 +8.0 29
1979-02-11 Lazio Roma D 0-058.4 1565 1652 29.92% 47.25% 22.83%-0.06 -0.4 11
1979-02-11 @ Atalanta D 0-058.4 1652 1565 22.83% 47.25% 29.92%+0.06 +0.4 18
1979-02-11 Torino D 1-166.7 1657 1783 24.58% 46.86% 28.55%-0.24 +0.2 15
1979-02-11 @ Avellino D 1-166.7 1783 1657 28.55% 46.86% 24.58%+0.24 -0.2 24
1979-02-11 Perugia D 1-166.4 1661 1734 31.73% 47.27% 21.01%+0.01 -0.6 18
1979-02-11 @ Fiorentina D 1-166.4 1734 1661 21.01% 47.27% 31.73%-0.01 +0.6 25
1979-02-11 Hellas Verona W 4-047.8 1755 1547 58.25% 36.79% 4.96%+1.34 +9.4 24
1979-02-11 @ Inter Milan L 0-447.8 1547 1755 4.96% 36.79% 58.25%-1.34 -9.4 8
1979-02-11 Catanzaro W 3-156.6 1788 1640 53.43% 40.37% 6.19%+1.05 +5.7 23
1979-02-11 @ Juventus L 1-356.6 1640 1788 6.19% 40.37% 53.43%-1.05 -5.7 17
1979-02-11 Napoli D 0-059.1 1608 1646 35.98% 47.06% 16.96%+0.17 -1.2 15
1979-02-11 @ Roma D 0-059.1 1646 1608 16.96% 47.06% 35.98%-0.17 +1.2 19
1979-02-11 Bologna D 2-270.8 1649 1588 46.02% 44.56% 9.42%+0.64 -1.7 16
1979-02-11 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 2-270.8 1588 1649 9.42% 44.56% 46.02%-0.64 +1.7 11
1979-02-18 Atalanta D 1-169.9 1805 1565 60.73% 34.80% 4.47%+1.49 -3.8 30
1979-02-18 @ AC Milan D 1-169.9 1565 1805 4.47% 34.80% 60.73%-1.49 +3.8 12
1979-02-18 Roma L 1-269.4 1590 1606 38.38% 46.75% 14.87%+0.27 -11.5 11
1979-02-18 @ Bologna W 2-169.4 1606 1590 14.87% 46.75% 38.38%-0.27 +11.5 17
1979-02-18 Inter Milan D 1-166.5 1634 1765 24.06% 46.80% 29.15%-0.26 +0.3 18
1979-02-18 @ Catanzaro D 1-166.5 1765 1634 29.15% 46.80% 24.06%+0.26 -0.3 25
1979-02-18 Avellino L 0-159.4 1537 1657 25.50% 46.96% 27.54%-0.21 -9.4 8
1979-02-18 @ Hellas Verona W 1-059.4 1657 1537 27.54% 46.96% 25.50%+0.21 +9.4 17
1979-02-18 Fiorentina W 4-053.7 1652 1661 39.28% 46.59% 14.13%+0.31 +24.5 20
1979-02-18 @ Lazio Roma L 0-453.7 1661 1652 14.13% 46.59% 39.28%-0.31 -24.5 18
1979-02-18 Lanerossi Vicenza D 2-271.1 1647 1647 40.16% 46.42% 13.43%+0.35 -1.2 20
1979-02-18 @ Napoli D 2-271.1 1647 1647 13.43% 46.42% 40.16%-0.35 +1.2 17
1979-02-18 Juventus D 0-061.3 1735 1794 33.46% 47.23% 19.31%+0.07 -0.9 26
1979-02-18 @ Perugia D 0-061.3 1794 1735 19.31% 47.23% 33.46%-0.07 +0.8 24
1979-02-18 Ascoli W 3-156.0 1783 1617 54.85% 39.38% 5.78%+1.14 +5.3 26
1979-02-18 @ Torino L 1-356.0 1617 1783 5.78% 39.38% 54.85%-1.14 -5.3 15
1979-03-04 Hellas Verona W 1-051.9 1612 1528 48.09% 43.59% 8.32%+0.75 +4.7 17
1979-03-04 @ Ascoli L 0-151.9 1528 1612 8.32% 43.59% 48.09%-0.75 -4.7 8
1979-03-04 Napoli W 2-164.9 1569 1646 31.20% 47.27% 21.53%-0.01 +8.2 14
1979-03-04 @ Atalanta L 1-264.9 1646 1569 21.53% 47.27% 31.20%+0.01 -8.2 20
1979-03-04 Perugia L 0-164.4 1666 1734 32.40% 47.26% 20.34%+0.03 -10.9 17
1979-03-04 @ Avellino W 1-064.4 1734 1666 20.34% 47.26% 32.40%-0.03 +10.9 28
1979-03-04 AC Milan L 2-370.9 1636 1801 20.04% 46.06% 33.91%-0.42 -7.3 18
1979-03-04 @ Fiorentina W 3-270.9 1801 1636 33.91% 46.06% 20.04%+0.42 +7.3 32
1979-03-04 Torino D 0-061.4 1765 1788 37.59% 46.87% 15.54%+0.24 -1.4 26
1979-03-04 @ Inter Milan D 0-061.4 1788 1765 15.54% 46.87% 37.59%-0.24 +1.4 27
1979-03-04 Bologna D 1-169.5 1795 1578 58.88% 36.30% 4.83%+1.37 -3.7 25
1979-03-04 @ Juventus D 1-169.5 1578 1795 4.83% 36.30% 58.88%-1.37 +3.7 12
1979-03-04 Catanzaro L 1-366.4 1618 1634 38.40% 46.75% 14.85%+0.28 -20.0 17
1979-03-04 @ Roma W 3-166.4 1634 1618 14.85% 46.75% 38.40%-0.28 +20.0 20
1979-03-04 Lazio Roma W 4-158.2 1648 1677 37.02% 46.94% 16.03%+0.22 +17.0 19
1979-03-04 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-458.2 1677 1648 16.03% 46.94% 37.02%-0.22 -17.0 20
1979-03-11 Juventus D 0-061.8 1808 1791 41.91% 45.99% 12.10%+0.43 -2.0 33
1979-03-11 @ AC Milan D 0-061.8 1791 1808 12.10% 45.99% 41.91%-0.43 +2.0 26
1979-03-11 Fiorentina D 0-058.3 1582 1629 34.90% 47.15% 17.95%+0.13 -1.0 13
1979-03-11 @ Bologna D 0-058.3 1629 1582 17.95% 47.15% 34.90%-0.13 +1.0 19
1979-03-11 Avellino D 0-060.1 1654 1656 40.04% 46.44% 13.51%+0.35 -1.7 21
1979-03-11 @ Catanzaro D 0-060.1 1656 1654 13.51% 46.44% 40.04%-0.35 +1.7 18
1979-03-11 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-057.9 1523 1665 22.66% 46.59% 30.75%-0.32 +0.5 9
1979-03-11 @ Hellas Verona D 0-057.9 1665 1523 30.75% 46.59% 22.66%+0.32 -0.5 20
1979-03-11 Ascoli W 3-157.9 1660 1617 44.43% 45.19% 10.38%+0.56 +9.1 22
1979-03-11 @ Lazio Roma L 1-357.9 1617 1660 10.38% 45.19% 44.43%-0.56 -9.1 17
1979-03-11 Inter Milan D 0-060.8 1637 1763 24.70% 46.88% 28.43%-0.24 +0.2 21
1979-03-11 @ Napoli D 0-060.8 1763 1637 28.43% 46.88% 24.70%+0.24 -0.2 27
1979-03-11 Atalanta W 2-049.8 1745 1577 55.03% 39.24% 5.73%+1.15 +6.0 30
1979-03-11 @ Perugia L 0-249.8 1577 1745 5.73% 39.24% 55.03%-1.15 -6.0 14
1979-03-11 Roma W 1-053.4 1790 1598 56.91% 37.83% 5.25%+1.26 +2.9 29
1979-03-11 @ Torino L 0-153.4 1598 1790 5.25% 37.83% 56.91%-1.26 -2.8 17
1979-03-18 Perugia D 0-060.6 1608 1751 22.47% 46.56% 30.98%-0.32 +0.5 18
1979-03-18 @ Ascoli D 0-060.6 1751 1608 30.98% 46.56% 22.47%+0.32 -0.5 31
1979-03-18 Hellas Verona W 1-051.4 1571 1524 44.78% 45.06% 10.16%+0.58 +5.5 16
1979-03-18 @ Atalanta L 0-151.4 1524 1571 10.16% 45.06% 44.78%-0.58 -5.5 9
1979-03-18 Bologna D 0-059.8 1657 1581 47.43% 43.92% 8.65%+0.71 -2.8 19
1979-03-18 @ Avellino D 0-059.8 1581 1657 8.65% 43.92% 47.43%-0.71 +2.8 14
1979-03-18 Catanzaro D 1-165.3 1630 1653 37.72% 46.85% 15.43%+0.25 -1.3 20
1979-03-18 @ Fiorentina D 1-165.3 1653 1630 15.43% 46.85% 37.72%-0.25 +1.3 22
1979-03-18 AC Milan D 2-272.6 1763 1806 35.35% 47.12% 17.54%+0.15 -0.7 28
1979-03-18 @ Inter Milan D 2-272.6 1806 1763 17.54% 47.12% 35.35%-0.15 +0.7 34
1979-03-18 Napoli W 1-054.5 1793 1638 54.01% 39.97% 6.02%+1.09 +3.4 28
1979-03-18 @ Juventus L 0-154.5 1638 1793 6.02% 39.97% 54.01%-1.09 -3.4 21
1979-03-18 Lazio Roma L 1-268.8 1595 1669 31.61% 47.27% 21.12%+0.01 -10.1 17
1979-03-18 @ Roma W 2-168.8 1669 1595 21.12% 47.27% 31.61%-0.01 +10.1 24
1979-03-18 Torino D 2-272.3 1665 1793 24.38% 46.84% 28.78%-0.25 +0.2 21
1979-03-18 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 2-272.3 1793 1665 28.78% 46.84% 24.38%+0.25 -0.2 30
1979-03-25 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-063.0 1807 1665 52.95% 40.70% 6.35%+1.02 -3.5 35
1979-03-25 @ AC Milan D 0-063.0 1665 1807 6.35% 40.70% 52.95%-1.02 +3.5 22
1979-03-25 Atalanta W 1-054.6 1584 1576 40.93% 46.24% 12.83%+0.39 +6.4 16
1979-03-25 @ Bologna L 0-154.6 1576 1584 12.83% 46.24% 40.93%-0.39 -6.4 16
1979-03-25 Ascoli D 1-165.5 1654 1608 44.68% 45.09% 10.22%+0.57 -2.1 23
1979-03-25 @ Catanzaro D 1-165.5 1608 1654 10.22% 45.09% 44.68%-0.57 +2.1 19
1979-03-25 Fiorentina L 0-158.6 1518 1629 26.73% 47.07% 26.20%-0.17 -9.7 9
1979-03-25 @ Hellas Verona W 1-058.6 1629 1518 26.20% 47.07% 26.73%+0.17 +9.7 22
1979-03-25 Inter Milan D 1-166.6 1679 1762 30.42% 47.26% 22.32%-0.04 -0.4 25
1979-03-25 @ Lazio Roma D 1-166.6 1762 1679 22.32% 47.26% 30.42%+0.04 +0.4 29
1979-03-25 Avellino W 3-053.3 1634 1655 37.99% 46.81% 15.20%+0.26 +19.5 23
1979-03-25 @ Napoli L 0-353.3 1655 1634 15.20% 46.81% 37.99%-0.26 -19.5 19
1979-03-25 Roma D 1-168.2 1750 1585 54.81% 39.40% 5.79%+1.13 -3.3 32
1979-03-25 @ Perugia D 1-168.2 1585 1750 5.79% 39.40% 54.81%-1.13 +3.3 18
1979-03-25 Juventus L 0-167.1 1792 1797 39.74% 46.50% 13.76%+0.33 -12.5 30
1979-03-25 @ Torino W 1-067.1 1797 1792 13.76% 46.50% 39.74%-0.33 +12.6 30
1979-04-01 Napoli L 0-169.0 1804 1654 53.55% 40.29% 6.16%+1.06 -15.8 35
1979-04-01 @ AC Milan W 1-069.0 1654 1804 6.16% 40.29% 53.55%-1.06 +15.8 25
1979-04-01 Juventus W 1-065.6 1610 1809 16.65% 44.99% 38.36%-0.58 +12.0 21
1979-04-01 @ Ascoli L 0-165.6 1809 1610 38.36% 44.99% 16.65%+0.58 -12.0 30
1979-04-01 Inter Milan L 0-158.7 1570 1763 17.20% 45.20% 37.60%-0.56 -7.5 16
1979-04-01 @ Atalanta W 1-058.7 1763 1570 37.60% 45.20% 17.20%+0.56 +7.4 31
1979-04-01 Bologna D 0-059.7 1652 1590 46.13% 44.51% 9.36%+0.64 -2.6 24
1979-04-01 @ Catanzaro D 0-059.7 1590 1652 9.36% 44.51% 46.13%-0.64 +2.6 17
1979-04-01 Avellino W 1-057.0 1639 1635 40.53% 46.33% 13.14%+0.37 +6.5 24
1979-04-01 @ Fiorentina L 0-157.0 1635 1639 13.14% 46.33% 40.53%-0.37 -6.5 19
1979-04-01 Lazio Roma W 2-058.2 1509 1679 19.44% 45.90% 34.66%-0.45 +21.2 11
1979-04-01 @ Hellas Verona L 0-258.2 1679 1509 34.66% 45.90% 19.44%+0.45 -21.2 25
1979-04-01 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-055.0 1588 1668 30.84% 47.26% 21.89%-0.02 +23.9 20
1979-04-01 @ Roma L 0-355.0 1668 1588 21.89% 47.26% 30.84%+0.02 -23.9 22
1979-04-01 Perugia D 0-061.8 1780 1747 43.44% 45.53% 11.03%+0.51 -2.2 31
1979-04-01 @ Torino D 0-061.8 1747 1780 11.03% 45.53% 43.44%-0.51 +2.2 33
1979-04-08 Roma D 0-059.2 1628 1612 41.81% 46.02% 12.17%+0.43 -2.0 20
1979-04-08 @ Avellino D 0-059.2 1612 1628 12.17% 46.02% 41.81%-0.43 +2.0 21
1979-04-08 Hellas Verona W 1-051.9 1593 1530 46.24% 44.46% 9.30%+0.65 +5.1 19
1979-04-08 @ Bologna L 0-151.9 1530 1593 9.30% 44.46% 46.24%-0.65 -5.1 11
1979-04-08 Ascoli D 1-168.4 1770 1622 53.40% 40.40% 6.20%+1.05 -3.2 32
1979-04-08 @ Inter Milan D 1-168.4 1622 1770 6.20% 40.40% 53.40%-1.05 +3.2 22
1979-04-08 Atalanta W 3-047.4 1797 1562 60.31% 35.14% 4.55%+1.46 +6.3 32
1979-04-08 @ Juventus L 0-347.4 1562 1797 4.55% 35.14% 60.31%-1.46 -6.3 16
1979-04-08 Catanzaro W 3-159.3 1658 1649 41.02% 46.22% 12.76%+0.39 +10.5 27
1979-04-08 @ Lazio Roma L 1-359.3 1649 1658 12.76% 46.22% 41.02%-0.39 -10.5 24
1979-04-08 Torino L 0-163.0 1670 1778 27.07% 47.10% 25.83%-0.16 -9.8 25
1979-04-08 @ Napoli W 1-063.0 1778 1670 25.83% 47.10% 27.07%+0.16 +9.8 33
1979-04-08 AC Milan D 1-167.0 1749 1788 35.93% 47.06% 17.01%+0.17 -1.0 34
1979-04-08 @ Perugia D 1-167.0 1788 1749 17.01% 47.06% 35.93%-0.17 +1.0 36
1979-04-08 Fiorentina L 0-165.4 1644 1645 40.08% 46.43% 13.48%+0.35 -12.6 22
1979-04-08 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-065.4 1645 1644 13.48% 46.43% 40.08%-0.35 +12.6 26
1979-04-14 Ascoli W 3-268.0 1556 1625 32.19% 47.26% 20.55%+0.03 +7.5 18
1979-04-14 @ Atalanta L 2-368.0 1625 1556 20.55% 47.26% 32.19%-0.03 -7.5 22
1979-04-14 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-163.2 1626 1632 39.62% 46.53% 13.85%+0.33 +6.4 22
1979-04-14 @ Avellino L 1-263.2 1632 1626 13.85% 46.53% 39.62%-0.33 -6.4 22
1979-04-14 Lazio Roma W 2-165.6 1598 1668 32.07% 47.26% 20.66%+0.02 +8.0 21
1979-04-14 @ Bologna L 1-265.6 1668 1598 20.66% 47.26% 32.07%-0.02 -8.0 27
1979-04-14 Catanzaro D 0-057.2 1525 1639 26.23% 47.03% 26.74%-0.19 +0.0 12
1979-04-14 @ Hellas Verona D 0-057.2 1639 1525 26.74% 47.03% 26.23%+0.19 -0.0 25
1979-04-14 Juventus W 2-166.5 1767 1803 36.15% 47.04% 16.81%+0.18 +7.1 34
1979-04-14 @ Inter Milan L 1-266.5 1803 1767 16.81% 47.04% 36.15%-0.18 -7.1 32
1979-04-14 Napoli W 2-052.5 1748 1660 48.47% 43.40% 8.13%+0.77 +8.7 36
1979-04-14 @ Perugia L 0-252.5 1660 1748 8.13% 43.40% 48.47%-0.77 -8.7 25
1979-04-14 Fiorentina D 1-165.1 1614 1658 35.34% 47.12% 17.54%+0.15 -1.0 22
1979-04-14 @ Roma D 1-165.1 1658 1614 17.54% 47.12% 35.34%-0.15 +1.0 27
1979-04-14 AC Milan L 0-362.4 1787 1789 40.02% 46.45% 13.53%+0.35 -34.6 33
1979-04-14 @ Torino W 3-062.4 1789 1787 13.53% 46.45% 40.02%-0.35 +34.6 38
1979-04-22 Hellas Verona W 2-156.6 1823 1525 65.32% 30.97% 3.72%+1.76 +1.6 40
1979-04-22 @ AC Milan L 1-256.6 1525 1823 3.72% 30.97% 65.32%-1.76 -1.6 12
1979-04-22 Avellino W 2-053.7 1618 1633 38.56% 46.72% 14.72%+0.28 +13.2 24
1979-04-22 @ Ascoli L 0-253.7 1633 1618 14.72% 46.72% 38.56%-0.28 -13.2 22
1979-04-22 Perugia D 1-166.4 1639 1757 25.68% 46.98% 27.34%-0.20 +0.1 26
1979-04-22 @ Catanzaro D 1-166.4 1757 1639 27.34% 46.98% 25.68%+0.20 -0.1 37
1979-04-22 Atalanta L 0-165.9 1659 1564 49.04% 43.09% 7.87%+0.80 -14.8 27
1979-04-22 @ Fiorentina W 1-065.9 1564 1659 7.87% 43.09% 49.04%-0.80 +14.8 20
1979-04-22 Roma W 4-153.2 1796 1613 56.21% 38.37% 5.42%+1.22 +6.9 34
1979-04-22 @ Juventus L 1-453.2 1613 1796 5.42% 38.37% 56.21%-1.22 -6.9 22
1979-04-22 Torino D 0-060.8 1660 1753 29.13% 47.22% 23.65%-0.08 -0.3 28
1979-04-22 @ Lazio Roma D 0-060.8 1753 1660 23.65% 47.22% 29.13%+0.08 +0.3 34
1979-04-22 Bologna W 2-161.7 1651 1606 44.63% 45.11% 10.26%+0.57 +5.2 27
1979-04-22 @ Napoli L 1-261.7 1606 1651 10.26% 45.11% 44.63%-0.57 -5.2 21
1979-04-22 Inter Milan L 0-161.0 1625 1774 21.82% 46.44% 31.73%-0.35 -8.6 22
1979-04-22 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-061.0 1774 1625 31.73% 46.44% 21.82%+0.35 +8.6 36
1979-04-29 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-059.3 1631 1617 41.63% 46.06% 12.30%+0.42 -2.0 25
1979-04-29 @ Ascoli D 0-059.3 1617 1631 12.30% 46.06% 41.63%-0.42 +1.9 23
1979-04-29 Avellino D 0-058.0 1578 1620 35.60% 47.09% 17.31%+0.16 -1.1 21
1979-04-29 @ Atalanta D 0-058.0 1620 1578 17.31% 47.09% 35.60%-0.16 +1.1 23
1979-04-29 Torino D 1-166.3 1601 1753 21.37% 46.35% 32.27%-0.37 +0.6 22
1979-04-29 @ Bologna D 1-166.3 1753 1601 32.27% 46.35% 21.37%+0.37 -0.6 35
1979-04-29 AC Milan L 1-361.8 1639 1825 17.84% 45.42% 36.74%-0.52 -12.4 26
1979-04-29 @ Catanzaro W 3-161.8 1825 1639 36.74% 45.42% 17.84%+0.52 +12.5 42
1979-04-29 Perugia D 1-166.3 1523 1757 13.86% 43.59% 42.54%-0.75 +1.7 13
1979-04-29 @ Hellas Verona D 1-166.3 1757 1523 42.54% 43.59% 13.86%+0.75 -1.7 38
1979-04-29 Roma L 1-274.9 1783 1606 55.68% 38.77% 5.56%+1.18 -15.3 36
1979-04-29 @ Inter Milan W 2-174.9 1606 1783 5.56% 38.77% 55.68%-1.18 +15.3 24
1979-04-29 Fiorentina D 1-168.9 1803 1644 54.32% 39.76% 5.93%+1.10 -3.2 35
1979-04-29 @ Juventus D 1-168.9 1644 1803 5.93% 39.76% 54.32%-1.10 +3.2 28
1979-04-29 Napoli L 1-271.9 1660 1656 40.51% 46.34% 13.15%+0.37 -12.0 28
1979-04-29 @ Lazio Roma W 2-171.9 1656 1660 13.15% 46.34% 40.51%-0.37 +12.0 29
1979-05-06 Bologna D 0-064.6 1837 1601 60.43% 35.04% 4.53%+1.47 -4.2 43
1979-05-06 @ AC Milan D 0-064.6 1601 1837 4.53% 35.04% 60.43%-1.47 +4.2 23
1979-05-06 Inter Milan W 1-063.8 1621 1767 22.07% 46.49% 31.44%-0.34 +10.6 25
1979-05-06 @ Avellino L 0-163.8 1767 1621 31.44% 46.49% 22.07%+0.34 -10.6 36
1979-05-06 Ascoli W 1-056.6 1647 1629 42.00% 45.96% 12.03%+0.44 +6.2 30
1979-05-06 @ Fiorentina L 0-156.6 1629 1647 12.03% 45.96% 42.00%-0.44 -6.2 25
1979-05-06 Catanzaro W 1-056.2 1668 1626 44.32% 45.23% 10.45%+0.55 +5.6 31
1979-05-06 @ Napoli L 0-156.2 1626 1668 10.45% 45.23% 44.32%-0.55 -5.6 26
1979-05-06 Lazio Roma W 2-052.0 1755 1648 50.09% 42.50% 7.41%+0.86 +8.0 40
1979-05-06 @ Perugia L 0-252.0 1648 1755 7.41% 42.50% 50.09%-0.86 -8.0 28
1979-05-06 Atalanta D 2-269.8 1622 1577 44.54% 45.15% 10.31%+0.56 -1.6 25
1979-05-06 @ Roma D 2-269.8 1577 1622 10.31% 45.15% 44.54%-0.56 +1.6 22
1979-05-06 Hellas Verona D 0-062.9 1753 1525 59.78% 35.57% 4.65%+1.43 -4.2 36
1979-05-06 @ Torino D 0-062.9 1525 1753 4.65% 35.57% 59.78%-1.43 +4.2 14
1979-05-06 Juventus D 1-167.0 1619 1800 18.31% 45.58% 36.12%-0.50 +1.0 24
1979-05-06 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-167.0 1800 1619 36.12% 45.58% 18.31%+0.50 -1.0 36
1979-05-13 Roma D 0-059.1 1623 1620 40.45% 46.35% 13.20%+0.37 -1.8 26
1979-05-13 @ Ascoli D 0-059.1 1620 1623 13.20% 46.35% 40.45%-0.37 +1.8 26
1979-05-13 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-053.5 1579 1620 35.66% 47.09% 17.25%+0.16 +14.5 24
1979-05-13 @ Atalanta L 0-253.5 1620 1579 17.25% 47.09% 35.66%-0.16 -14.5 24
1979-05-13 Perugia D 2-272.0 1605 1763 20.78% 46.23% 32.99%-0.39 +0.5 24
1979-05-13 @ Bologna D 2-272.0 1763 1605 32.99% 46.23% 20.78%+0.39 -0.5 41
1979-05-13 Torino W 2-169.1 1621 1748 24.43% 46.84% 28.72%-0.25 +9.5 28
1979-05-13 @ Catanzaro L 1-269.1 1748 1621 28.72% 46.84% 24.43%+0.25 -9.5 36
1979-05-13 Napoli D 0-058.3 1529 1674 22.25% 46.52% 31.23%-0.33 +0.5 15
1979-05-13 @ Hellas Verona D 0-058.3 1674 1529 31.23% 46.52% 22.25%+0.33 -0.5 32
1979-05-13 Fiorentina L 1-274.5 1757 1653 49.75% 42.70% 7.55%+0.84 -14.1 36
1979-05-13 @ Inter Milan W 2-174.5 1653 1757 7.55% 42.70% 49.75%-0.84 +14.1 32
1979-05-13 Avellino D 3-377.3 1799 1631 54.98% 39.28% 5.74%+1.14 -2.1 37
1979-05-13 @ Juventus D 3-377.3 1631 1799 5.74% 39.28% 54.98%-1.14 +2.1 26
1979-05-13 AC Milan D 1-167.4 1640 1833 17.15% 45.18% 37.68%-0.56 +1.1 29
1979-05-13 @ Lazio Roma D 1-167.4 1833 1640 37.68% 45.18% 17.15%+0.56 -1.1 44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-04-29 5.56% Roma 1606 2 @ Inter Milan 1783 1
2 1979-04-01 6.16% Napoli 1654 1 @ AC Milan 1804 0
3 1979-01-14 6.75% Lanerossi Vicenza 1651 2 @ Juventus 1779 1
4 1979-05-13 7.55% Fiorentina 1653 2 @ Inter Milan 1757 1
5 1978-10-22 7.81% Perugia 1684 2 @ Juventus 1781 1
6 1979-04-22 7.87% Atalanta 1564 1 @ Fiorentina 1659 0
7 1978-10-08 11.57% Lazio Roma 1652 3 @ Avellino 1676 1
8 1979-01-07 11.66% Lazio Roma 1641 2 @ Napoli 1664 0
9 1979-04-29 13.15% Napoli 1656 2 @ Lazio Roma 1660 1
10 1979-04-08 13.48% Fiorentina 1645 1 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 1644 0
11 1979-04-14 13.53% AC Milan 1789 3 @ Torino 1787 0
12 1979-03-25 13.76% Juventus 1797 1 @ Torino 1792 0
13 1979-01-28 13.92% Catanzaro 1602 2 @ Atalanta 1596 0
14 1979-03-04 14.85% Catanzaro 1634 3 @ Roma 1618 1
15 1979-02-18 14.87% Roma 1606 2 @ Bologna 1590 1
16 1978-10-29 16.34% Ascoli 1645 3 @ Hellas Verona 1613 2
17 1979-04-01 16.65% @ Ascoli 1610 1 Juventus 1809 0
18 1978-12-17 17.73% @ Roma 1593 1 Juventus 1780 0
19 1978-10-08 18.07% AC Milan 1694 3 @ Roma 1646 0
20 1979-04-01 19.44% @ Hellas Verona 1509 2 Lazio Roma 1679 0
21 1979-03-04 20.34% Perugia 1734 1 @ Avellino 1666 0
22 1979-01-28 20.47% @ Avellino 1644 1 AC Milan 1805 0
23 1978-10-01 20.65% Inter Milan 1703 1 @ Bologna 1633 0
24 1979-03-18 21.12% Lazio Roma 1669 2 @ Roma 1595 1
25 1979-01-21 21.72% Inter Milan 1748 2 @ Fiorentina 1670 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-04-14 34.56 AC Milan 3 1789 13.53% @ Torino 0 1787 40.02% 46.45%
2 1978-10-08 31.22 AC Milan 3 1694 18.07% @ Roma 0 1646 34.77% 47.16%
3 1978-10-22 28.49 @ Ascoli 3 1616 22.87% Torino 0 1756 30.51% 46.62%
4 1979-01-07 24.93 Lazio Roma 2 1641 11.66% @ Napoli 0 1664 42.52% 45.82%
5 1979-02-18 24.46 @ Lazio Roma 4 1652 39.28% Fiorentina 0 1661 14.13% 46.59%
6 1979-04-01 23.93 @ Roma 3 1588 30.84% Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1668 21.89% 47.26%
7 1979-01-28 23.58 Catanzaro 2 1602 13.92% @ Atalanta 0 1596 39.54% 46.54%
8 1978-10-08 21.65 Lazio Roma 3 1652 11.57% @ Avellino 1 1676 42.65% 45.78%
9 1979-04-01 21.17 @ Hellas Verona 2 1509 19.44% Lazio Roma 0 1679 34.66% 45.90%
10 1979-03-04 19.98 Catanzaro 3 1634 14.85% @ Roma 1 1618 38.40% 46.75%
11 1979-02-04 19.74 Juventus 3 1768 38.74% @ Hellas Verona 0 1567 16.38% 44.88%
12 1979-03-25 19.55 @ Napoli 3 1634 37.99% Avellino 0 1655 15.20% 46.81%
13 1978-11-05 19.40 Perugia 2 1696 23.12% @ Atalanta 0 1607 29.64% 47.24%
14 1978-11-19 18.89 @ Inter Milan 4 1714 45.69% Lazio Roma 0 1658 9.61% 44.70%
15 1978-10-22 18.81 @ Fiorentina 3 1661 39.13% Lazio Roma 0 1671 14.25% 46.62%
16 1978-11-05 18.24 Torino 2 1727 26.29% @ Roma 0 1616 26.65% 47.07%
17 1979-03-04 17.01 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 4 1648 37.02% Lazio Roma 1 1677 16.03% 46.94%
18 1978-10-22 16.87 AC Milan 3 1722 22.90% @ Atalanta 1 1634 29.86% 47.24%
19 1978-11-12 16.86 @ Torino 4 1745 48.05% Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1662 8.34% 43.61%
20 1978-10-15 16.72 @ Bologna 5 1623 32.59% Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1689 20.15% 47.26%
21 1979-04-01 15.79 Napoli 1 1654 6.16% @ AC Milan 0 1804 53.55% 40.29%
22 1979-04-29 15.27 Roma 2 1606 5.56% @ Inter Milan 1 1783 55.68% 38.77%
23 1979-04-22 14.80 Atalanta 1 1564 7.87% @ Fiorentina 0 1659 49.04% 43.09%
24 1979-01-14 14.53 Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1651 6.75% @ Juventus 1 1779 51.77% 41.48%
25 1979-05-13 14.47 @ Atalanta 2 1579 35.66% Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1620 17.25% 47.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-05-13 77.3 @ Juventus 3 1799 54.98% Avellino 3 1631 5.74% 39.28%
2 1978-10-29 75.3 @ Torino 3 1728 42.12% Inter Milan 3 1709 11.95% 45.93%
3 1979-04-29 74.9 Roma 2 1606 5.56% @ Inter Milan 1 1783 55.68% 38.77%
4 1979-01-14 74.8 Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1651 6.75% @ Juventus 1 1779 51.77% 41.48%
5 1978-10-22 74.7 Perugia 2 1684 7.81% @ Juventus 1 1781 49.16% 43.03%
6 1979-05-13 74.5 Fiorentina 2 1653 7.55% @ Inter Milan 1 1757 49.75% 42.70%
7 1978-10-29 74.4 Ascoli 3 1645 16.34% @ Hellas Verona 2 1613 36.68% 46.98%
8 1978-12-17 73.4 @ Torino 2 1755 50.82% Lazio Roma 2 1639 7.11% 42.07%
9 1978-11-26 73.2 @ Inter Milan 2 1733 53.19% Atalanta 2 1588 6.27% 40.54%
10 1978-11-19 73.1 AC Milan 3 1751 25.52% @ Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1645 27.36% 47.12%
11 1979-03-18 72.6 @ Inter Milan 2 1763 35.35% AC Milan 2 1806 17.54% 47.12%
12 1979-02-04 72.5 @ Perugia 2 1735 38.11% Inter Milan 2 1754 15.10% 46.79%
13 1979-03-18 72.3 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1665 24.38% Torino 2 1793 28.78% 46.84%
14 1978-10-01 72.1 @ Lazio Roma 2 1651 25.30% Juventus 2 1773 27.76% 46.94%
15 1979-05-13 72.0 @ Bologna 2 1605 20.78% Perugia 2 1763 32.99% 46.23%
16 1979-04-29 71.9 Napoli 2 1656 13.15% @ Lazio Roma 1 1660 40.51% 46.34%
17 1979-02-18 71.1 @ Napoli 2 1647 40.16% Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1647 13.43% 46.42%
18 1979-03-04 70.9 AC Milan 3 1801 33.91% @ Fiorentina 2 1636 20.04% 46.06%
19 1979-02-11 70.8 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1649 46.02% Bologna 2 1588 9.42% 44.56%
20 1978-10-29 70.4 @ Lazio Roma 4 1652 38.24% Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1670 14.99% 46.77%
21 1979-01-21 70.3 Inter Milan 2 1748 21.72% @ Fiorentina 1 1670 31.02% 47.27%
22 1978-10-08 70.1 @ Ascoli 2 1614 39.37% Bologna 2 1622 14.05% 46.58%
23 1979-02-18 69.9 @ AC Milan 1 1805 60.73% Atalanta 1 1565 4.47% 34.80%
24 1979-05-06 69.8 @ Roma 2 1622 44.54% Atalanta 2 1577 10.31% 45.15%
25 1979-03-04 69.5 @ Juventus 1 1795 58.88% Bologna 1 1578 4.83% 36.30%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-04-08 47.4 @ Juventus 3 1797 60.31% Atalanta 0 1562 4.55% 35.14%
2 1979-02-11 47.8 @ Inter Milan 4 1755 58.25% Hellas Verona 0 1547 4.96% 36.79%
3 1979-02-04 48.0 @ Torino 3 1776 57.84% Atalanta 0 1573 5.05% 37.12%
4 1979-01-21 49.4 @ Torino 3 1767 54.00% Catanzaro 0 1611 6.02% 39.98%
5 1979-03-11 49.8 @ Perugia 2 1745 55.03% Atalanta 0 1577 5.73% 39.24%
6 1979-01-07 50.1 @ AC Milan 4 1778 53.80% Catanzaro 0 1625 6.08% 40.12%
7 1979-01-28 51.1 @ Roma 2 1599 42.30% Hellas Verona 0 1578 11.82% 45.88%
8 1979-03-18 51.4 @ Atalanta 1 1571 44.78% Hellas Verona 0 1524 10.16% 45.06%
9 1978-12-10 51.5 @ Fiorentina 2 1679 47.42% Roma 0 1602 8.65% 43.92%
10 1979-01-21 51.7 @ AC Milan 2 1798 52.17% Lazio Roma 0 1665 6.61% 41.22%
11 1978-11-12 51.9 @ Torino 4 1745 48.05% Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1662 8.34% 43.61%
12 1979-03-04 51.9 @ Ascoli 1 1612 48.09% Hellas Verona 0 1528 8.32% 43.59%
13 1979-04-08 51.9 @ Bologna 1 1593 46.24% Hellas Verona 0 1530 9.30% 44.46%
14 1978-10-08 52.0 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 2 1679 46.55% Catanzaro 0 1613 9.12% 44.33%
15 1979-05-06 52.0 @ Perugia 2 1755 50.09% Lazio Roma 0 1648 7.41% 42.50%
16 1978-11-19 52.3 @ Inter Milan 4 1714 45.69% Lazio Roma 0 1658 9.61% 44.70%
17 1978-10-29 52.4 @ Napoli 2 1660 44.32% Atalanta 0 1618 10.45% 45.23%
18 1979-01-14 52.4 @ Inter Milan 2 1739 48.32% Avellino 0 1653 8.20% 43.47%
19 1979-04-14 52.5 @ Perugia 2 1748 48.47% Napoli 0 1660 8.13% 43.40%
20 1979-01-14 52.7 @ Atalanta 2 1580 37.45% Roma 0 1605 15.66% 46.89%
21 1978-10-22 52.8 @ Avellino 2 1650 42.77% Hellas Verona 0 1624 11.49% 45.74%
22 1978-11-12 52.9 @ Perugia 2 1715 46.12% Ascoli 0 1654 9.36% 44.51%
23 1979-04-22 53.2 @ Juventus 4 1796 56.21% Roma 1 1613 5.42% 38.37%
24 1979-03-25 53.3 @ Napoli 3 1634 37.99% Avellino 0 1655 15.20% 46.81%
25 1979-03-11 53.4 @ Torino 1 1790 56.91% Roma 0 1598 5.25% 37.83%