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1979-80 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Inter Milan

41 points · 12th Title

Last Title: 1970-71

Relegated

Pescara

16 pts

AC Milan · expelled from league

Lazio · expelled from league

Biggest Overachiever

Ascoli

5.16 points above expected

34 points · 28.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pescara

7.35 points below expected

16 points · 23.35 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Inter Milan Champion 30 14 13 3 41 44 25 +19 36.20 +4.80
2 Juventus 30 16 6 8 38 42 25 +17 34.35 +3.65
3 AC Milan Expelled 30 14 8 8 36 34 19 +15 35.72 +0.28
4 Torino 30 11 13 6 35 26 15 +11 33.95 +1.05
5 Ascoli 30 11 12 7 34 35 28 +7 28.84 +5.16
6 Fiorentina 30 11 11 8 33 33 27 +6 30.42 +2.58
7 Roma 30 10 12 8 32 34 35 -1 28.48 +3.52
8 Bologna 30 8 14 8 30 23 24 -1 28.69 +1.31
9 Cagliari 30 8 14 8 30 27 29 -2 27.00 +3.00
10 Perugia 30 9 12 9 30 27 32 -5 31.68 -1.68
11 Napoli 30 7 14 9 28 20 20 0 30.46 -2.46
12 Avellino 30 7 13 10 27 24 32 -8 28.20 -1.20
13 Lazio Roma 30 5 15 10 25 21 25 -4 29.26 -4.26
14 Catanzaro 30 5 14 11 24 20 34 -14 26.09 -2.09
15 Udinese 30 3 15 12 21 24 38 -14 27.31 -6.31
16 Pescara Relegated 30 4 8 18 16 18 44 -26 23.35 -7.35

Notes

  • AC Milan and Lazio were automatically placed at the bottom of the table and relegated to Serie B due to their involvement in the Totonero 1980 scandal.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 1788 38 34.35 +3.65 86.0% 19 28 32 34 37 40 48
Inter Milan 1769 41 36.20 +4.80 92.0% 23 30 34 36 39 42 52
AC Milan 1757 36 35.72 +0.28 57.1% 23 29 33 36 38 42 51
Torino 1747 35 33.95 +1.05 66.0% 20 28 31 34 36 40 48
Ascoli 1689 34 28.84 +5.16 93.4% 14 23 26 29 31 35 44
Fiorentina 1680 33 30.42 +2.58 78.8% 17 24 28 30 33 37 46
Roma 1634 32 28.48 +3.52 85.4% 13 22 26 28 31 35 42
Perugia 1628 30 31.68 -1.68 38.5% 17 25 29 32 34 38 46
Napoli 1614 28 30.46 -2.46 30.5% 15 24 28 30 33 37 46
Bologna 1608 30 28.69 +1.31 68.1% 13 22 26 29 31 35 43
Cagliari 1579 30 27.00 +3.00 81.9% 13 21 24 27 30 33 42
Lazio Roma 1564 25 29.26 -4.26 16.8% 16 23 27 29 32 36 43
Avellino 1563 27 28.20 -1.20 42.7% 15 22 26 28 31 35 41
Catanzaro 1549 24 26.09 -2.09 34.2% 12 20 23 26 29 32 42
Udinese 1523 21 27.31 -6.31 6.2% 13 21 25 27 30 34 42
Pescara 1480 16 23.35 -7.35 3.2% 10 17 21 23 26 30 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ASC AVE BOL CAG CAT FIO IM JUV LR NAP PER PES ROM TOR UDI
AC Milan —
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
3.88
0-2-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
3.49
Ascoli
0-1-1
2.02
 —
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.53
1-1-0
2.78
0-2-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
1.87
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.50
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.82
Avellino
1-0-1
1.90
0-2-0
2.44
 —
1-0-1
2.50
0-2-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.03
0-2-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.78
Bologna
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.65
 —
0-0-2
2.81
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.18
2-0-0
2.47
0-2-0
2.45
0-2-0
2.17
0-2-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
1.98
2-0-0
2.68
Cagliari
0-1-1
1.76
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.44
2-0-0
2.34
 —
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.33
0-2-0
1.70
1-0-1
1.80
0-2-0
2.35
1-1-0
2.21
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.52
0-2-0
2.00
1-1-0
2.48
Catanzaro
0-1-1
1.65
0-2-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.51
 —
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.07
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.05
1-1-0
2.04
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.34
0-2-0
1.63
1-1-0
2.48
Fiorentina
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.95
 —
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.64
0-2-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.26
0-2-0
2.71
Inter Milan
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.16
0-2-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.01
 —
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
3.56
0-2-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.11
Juventus
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.16
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.41
 —
0-1-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.28
Lazio Roma
0-0-2
1.82
0-1-1
2.70
0-2-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.68
0-2-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.11
 —
0-2-0
2.38
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.74
Napoli
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.67
0-2-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.96
0-1-1
3.12
0-2-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
2.13
0-2-0
2.78
 —
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.15
1-1-0
3.05
Perugia
0-1-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.89
0-2-0
3.00
2-0-0
2.88
0-1-1
3.14
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.21
0-2-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.84
 —
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.66
2-0-0
2.97
Pescara
1-0-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.09
0-2-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.37
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
1.67
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
1.70
 —
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
1.49
0-1-1
2.34
Roma
0-2-0
1.92
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
1.67
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.93
 —
0-1-1
2.11
0-2-0
2.69
Torino
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.20
0-2-0
3.20
0-2-0
3.59
0-1-1
2.92
0-2-0
2.23
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.17
0-1-1
3.03
2-0-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.75
1-1-0
3.05
 —
1-1-0
3.26
Udinese
1-1-0
1.72
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.68
0-2-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
1.90
0-2-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
2.83
0-2-0
2.51
0-1-1
1.98
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +7.0
Allowed 0.47 -6.0
Differential 0.94 +5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.58%10.21%6.67%2.29%0.62%—39.38%
110.21%17.08%6.04%2.29%0.21%—35.83%
26.67%6.04%3.33%1.04%0.21%—17.29%
32.29%2.29%1.04%0.42%0.21%—6.25%
40.62%0.21%0.21%0.21%——1.25%
5+———————
Total39.38%35.83%17.29%6.25%1.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.94 +0.00
SD 0.96 0.96 1.32
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%6.67%———33.33%
116.67%6.67%13.33%———36.67%
210.00%6.67%————16.67%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total56.67%23.33%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.63 +0.50
SD 1.11 0.81 1.48
CV 0.98 1.28 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%—3.33%——33.33%
116.67%13.33%—6.67%——36.67%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%——13.33%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total46.67%26.67%13.33%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.93 +0.23
SD 1.15 1.08 1.38
CV 0.98 1.16 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%10.00%6.67%——43.33%
116.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
26.67%—13.33%3.33%——23.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%23.33%26.67%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.07 -0.27
SD 0.81 1.05 1.26
CV 1.01 0.98 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%3.33%—3.33%—46.67%
110.00%20.00%6.67%———36.67%
23.33%10.00%————13.33%
3———————
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total40.00%46.67%10.00%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 0.80 -0.03
SD 0.94 0.89 1.25
CV 1.22 1.11 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%6.67%———33.33%
116.67%26.67%3.33%3.33%——50.00%
2—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
3—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%50.00%13.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 0.97 -0.07
SD 0.84 0.85 0.98
CV 0.94 0.88 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%16.67%6.67%6.67%——53.33%
13.33%16.67%—3.33%3.33%—26.67%
23.33%10.00%6.67%———20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.13 -0.47
SD 0.80 1.07 1.25
CV 1.20 0.95 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%——36.67%
16.67%13.33%10.00%———30.00%
26.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%33.33%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 0.90 +0.20
SD 1.06 0.88 1.47
CV 0.97 0.98 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%3.33%3.33%———30.00%
16.67%13.33%————20.00%
213.33%10.00%3.33%—3.33%—30.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
43.33%——3.33%——6.67%
5+———————
Total50.00%30.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.83 +0.63
SD 1.25 1.09 1.30
CV 0.85 1.30 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%——3.33%—23.33%
113.33%10.00%10.00%———33.33%
213.33%6.67%—3.33%——23.33%
310.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%33.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.83 +0.57
SD 1.07 1.02 1.57
CV 0.76 1.22 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%6.67%———43.33%
13.33%26.67%13.33%———43.33%
210.00%3.33%————13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%43.33%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 0.83 -0.13
SD 0.70 0.75 1.01
CV 1.00 0.90 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
033.33%23.33%3.33%———60.00%
110.00%13.33%————23.33%
23.33%3.33%————6.67%
33.33%—3.33%—3.33%—10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%40.00%6.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 0.67 +0.00
SD 0.99 0.88 1.02
CV 1.49 1.33 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
113.33%20.00%6.67%———40.00%
23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.07 -0.17
SD 0.84 1.05 1.34
CV 0.94 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%33.33%3.33%——53.33%
13.33%16.67%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
26.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%26.67%40.00%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.47 -0.87
SD 0.72 0.97 1.31
CV 1.21 0.66 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%——26.67%
113.33%20.00%3.33%10.00%——46.67%
23.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.17 -0.03
SD 1.01 1.09 1.52
CV 0.89 0.93 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%————40.00%
113.33%13.33%6.67%———33.33%
220.00%3.33%3.33%———26.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total60.00%30.00%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.50 +0.37
SD 0.82 0.68 1.03
CV 0.95 1.36 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%——36.67%
1—30.00%13.33%6.67%——50.00%
2—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%50.00%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.27 -0.47
SD 0.76 0.87 1.04
CV 0.95 0.69 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ascoli 34 28.84 +5.16
2 Inter Milan 41 36.20 +4.80
3 Juventus 38 34.35 +3.65
4 Roma 32 28.48 +3.52
5 Cagliari 30 27.00 +3.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pescara 16 23.35 -7.35
2 Udinese 21 27.31 -6.31
3 Lazio Roma 25 29.26 -4.26
4 Napoli 28 30.46 -2.46
5 Catanzaro 24 26.09 -2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 5 Apr 5 – May 11 1 in 116
2 Inter Milan 4 Sep 30 – Oct 14 1 in 43
3 Roma 3 Mar 2 – Mar 23 1 in 32
4 Ascoli 2 Dec 16 – Dec 30 1 in 28
5 AC Milan 4 Apr 13 – May 11 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pescara 7 Jan 6 – Feb 24 1 in 256
2 Juventus 3 Dec 16 – Jan 6 1 in 77
3 Udinese 4 Jan 20 – Feb 10 1 in 58
4 Avellino 3 Apr 27 – May 11 1 in 49
5 Cagliari 3 Dec 16 – Jan 6 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fiorentina 16 Dec 16 – Apr 27 1 in 131
2 Bologna 10 Dec 16 – Mar 2 1 in 81
3 Avellino 9 Oct 7 – Dec 9 1 in 47
4 Cagliari 9 Sep 16 – Nov 4 1 in 41
5 Catanzaro 8 Nov 4 – Jan 13 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lazio Roma 10 Jan 6 – Mar 23 1 in 22
2 Avellino 8 Mar 9 – May 11 1 in 19
3 Torino 6 Dec 30 – Feb 3 1 in 19
4 Perugia 7 Oct 14 – Dec 9 1 in 16
5 Pescara 10 Sep 16 – Nov 25 1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Inter Milan32.57%20.84%14.38%10.20%6.65%5.17%3.19%2.28%1.76%1.11%0.70%0.53%0.30%0.24%0.07%0.01%
Juventus16.30%16.84%14.70%13.24%9.90%7.91%6.34%4.19%3.37%2.44%1.78%1.16%0.95%0.54%0.23%0.11%
AC Milan25.93%21.27%15.22%10.84%7.79%5.48%4.11%3.04%2.07%1.63%1.02%0.67%0.53%0.31%0.06%0.03%
Torino12.16%14.66%15.68%13.24%11.12%8.35%6.63%5.59%3.90%2.81%2.24%1.36%1.07%0.75%0.37%0.07%
Ascoli0.95%2.12%3.36%5.14%6.47%7.62%7.89%8.63%8.70%8.63%8.53%8.08%7.59%7.14%5.49%3.66%
Fiorentina2.39%4.53%6.10%8.06%8.86%9.69%9.03%8.89%8.14%7.80%6.51%6.06%5.16%4.22%3.22%1.34%
Roma0.77%1.45%2.75%3.98%5.29%6.56%6.92%7.88%8.77%9.54%9.33%8.67%8.58%8.30%6.48%4.73%
Bologna0.75%1.73%3.29%4.10%5.85%6.59%7.98%8.22%8.12%9.57%8.59%8.67%8.28%7.69%6.45%4.12%
Cagliari0.26%0.75%1.39%2.18%3.06%4.10%5.18%6.11%6.83%7.83%9.42%10.27%10.51%11.37%12.15%8.59%
Perugia4.02%6.68%8.53%9.33%10.11%9.65%9.41%8.68%7.29%6.59%5.82%4.76%3.61%2.75%1.89%0.88%
Napoli1.93%4.38%6.07%7.72%8.78%9.03%9.64%8.79%8.78%7.69%7.26%5.97%5.42%3.81%3.15%1.58%
Avellino0.54%1.25%2.36%3.29%4.38%5.34%6.86%7.55%8.50%8.33%8.98%9.64%9.85%9.38%8.17%5.58%
Lazio Roma1.08%2.39%3.81%5.01%6.48%7.25%7.92%8.67%9.08%8.67%8.62%8.21%7.56%6.67%5.25%3.33%
Catanzaro0.10%0.27%0.87%1.19%1.90%2.53%3.41%4.19%5.48%6.82%7.65%10.22%11.45%13.21%15.47%15.24%
Udinese0.24%0.81%1.36%2.19%2.90%4.13%4.63%5.82%6.94%7.93%9.38%10.37%10.99%11.89%11.74%8.68%
Pescara0.01%0.03%0.13%0.29%0.46%0.60%0.86%1.47%2.27%2.61%4.17%5.36%8.15%11.73%19.81%42.05%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.92%
Clear Edge
41.25%40.42%18.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
207 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
081.06600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
33%
Inter Milan, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.08 * Some Luck: 3.08 to 4.61 * Lucky: 4.61 to 6.15 * Wild Swing: 6.15 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.35 * Close: 2.35 to 3.52 * Off: 3.52 to 4.69 * Way Off: 4.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.5 * A Surprise: 1.5 to 2.4 * Several Surprises: 2.4 to 3.3 * Many Surprises: 3.3 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.71 points
Some Luck
03.8510
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.25
Pinpoint
02.936
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
93.36%
Ascoli
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
3.21%
Pescara
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.53

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.18
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
75%
Very Frequent
0%74%100%
Blowouts
Expected 6%
6%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.21
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.091
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Inter Milan 99.68% 0.32%
AC Milan 99.60% 0.40%
Juventus 99.12% 0.88%
Torino 98.81% 1.19%
Perugia 94.48% 5.52%
Napoli 91.46% 8.54%
Fiorentina 91.22% 8.78%
Lazio Roma 84.75% 15.25%
Ascoli 83.71% 16.29%
Bologna 81.74% 18.26%
Roma 80.49% 19.51%
Avellino 76.87% 23.13%
Cagliari 67.89% 32.11%
Udinese 67.69% 32.31%
Catanzaro 56.08% 43.92%
Pescara 26.41% 73.59%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1979-09-16 Napoli D 0-0 1605 1635 40.5% 42.5% 17.1% -1.7 1
1979-09-16 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1635 1605 17.1% 42.5% 40.5% +1.7 1
1979-09-16 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1612 1616 43.3% 42.0% 14.7% -2.1 1
1979-09-16 @ Avellino D 0-0 1616 1612 14.7% 42.0% 43.3% +2.1 1
1979-09-16 Torino D 0-0 1575 1674 32.1% 42.8% 25.1% -0.5 1
1979-09-16 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1674 1575 25.1% 42.8% 32.1% +0.5 1
1979-09-16 Udinese D 1-1 1631 1630 44.0% 41.9% 14.2% -2.0 1
1979-09-16 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1630 1631 14.2% 41.9% 44.0% +2.0 1
1979-09-16 Pescara W 2-0 1677 1581 52.6% 38.7% 8.7% +9.2 2
1979-09-16 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1581 1677 8.7% 38.7% 52.6% -9.2 0
1979-09-16 Bologna D 1-1 1710 1596 54.1% 37.9% 8.0% -3.4 1
1979-09-16 @ Juventus D 1-1 1596 1710 8.0% 37.9% 54.1% +3.4 1
1979-09-16 Catanzaro D 0-0 1688 1610 51.1% 39.4% 9.4% -3.4 1
1979-09-16 @ Perugia D 0-0 1610 1688 9.4% 39.4% 51.1% +3.4 1
1979-09-16 AC Milan D 0-0 1605 1727 29.0% 42.6% 28.3% -0.0 1
1979-09-16 @ Roma D 0-0 1727 1605 28.3% 42.6% 29.0% +0.0 1
1979-09-23 Avellino W 1-0 1727 1610 54.4% 37.7% 7.9% +4.4 3
1979-09-23 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1610 1727 7.9% 37.7% 54.4% -4.4 1
1979-09-23 Perugia D 1-1 1600 1685 33.9% 42.9% 23.2% -0.6 2
1979-09-23 @ Bologna D 1-1 1685 1600 23.2% 42.9% 33.9% +0.6 2
1979-09-23 Juventus L 0-1 1613 1706 32.8% 42.8% 24.3% -12.1 1
1979-09-23 @ Catanzaro W 1-0 1706 1613 24.3% 42.8% 32.8% +12.1 3
1979-09-23 Fiorentina W 2-0 1618 1629 42.6% 42.1% 15.3% +14.4 3
1979-09-23 @ Lazio Roma L 0-2 1629 1618 15.3% 42.1% 42.6% -14.4 1
1979-09-23 Cagliari D 0-0 1637 1574 49.7% 40.0% 10.2% -3.2 2
1979-09-23 @ Napoli D 0-0 1574 1637 10.2% 40.0% 49.7% +3.2 2
1979-09-23 Roma L 2-3 1572 1605 40.2% 42.5% 17.3% -12.5 0
1979-09-23 @ Pescara W 3-2 1605 1572 17.3% 42.5% 40.2% +12.5 3
1979-09-23 Ascoli W 1-0 1675 1603 50.5% 39.7% 9.8% +5.4 3
1979-09-23 @ Torino L 0-1 1603 1675 9.8% 39.7% 50.5% -5.4 1
1979-09-23 Inter Milan D 1-1 1632 1686 37.7% 42.7% 19.6% -1.1 2
1979-09-23 @ Udinese D 1-1 1686 1632 19.6% 42.7% 37.7% +1.1 3
1979-09-30 Catanzaro D 2-2 1598 1601 43.4% 42.0% 14.6% -1.4 2
1979-09-30 @ Ascoli D 2-2 1601 1598 14.6% 42.0% 43.4% +1.4 2
1979-09-30 Torino L 0-2 1605 1680 35.2% 42.8% 21.9% -24.0 1
1979-09-30 @ Avellino W 2-0 1680 1605 21.9% 42.8% 35.2% +24.0 5
1979-09-30 AC Milan D 0-0 1578 1731 24.9% 42.2% 33.0% +0.5 3
1979-09-30 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1731 1578 33.0% 42.2% 24.9% -0.5 4
1979-09-30 Napoli D 0-0 1615 1634 41.8% 42.3% 16.0% -1.9 2
1979-09-30 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1634 1615 16.0% 42.3% 41.8% +1.9 3
1979-09-30 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1687 1633 49.0% 40.3% 10.7% +5.5 5
1979-09-30 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1633 1687 10.7% 40.3% 49.0% -5.5 3
1979-09-30 Pescara W 3-0 1719 1559 57.8% 35.6% 6.6% +10.0 5
1979-09-30 @ Juventus L 0-3 1559 1719 6.6% 35.6% 57.8% -10.0 0
1979-09-30 Udinese W 2-0 1685 1630 49.0% 40.3% 10.7% +11.0 4
1979-09-30 @ Perugia L 0-2 1630 1685 10.7% 40.3% 49.0% -11.0 2
1979-09-30 Bologna L 1-2 1617 1599 45.6% 41.4% 12.9% -14.6 3
1979-09-30 @ Roma W 2-1 1599 1617 12.9% 41.4% 45.6% +14.6 4
1979-10-07 Juventus W 2-1 1731 1729 44.0% 41.9% 14.2% +6.8 6
1979-10-07 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1729 1731 14.2% 41.9% 44.0% -6.8 5
1979-10-07 Inter Milan L 1-2 1613 1693 34.6% 42.9% 22.5% -11.8 4
1979-10-07 @ Bologna W 2-1 1693 1613 22.5% 42.9% 34.6% +11.8 7
1979-10-07 Avellino D 0-0 1602 1581 45.9% 41.4% 12.8% -2.5 3
1979-10-07 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1581 1602 12.8% 41.4% 45.9% +2.5 2
1979-10-07 Perugia D 1-1 1627 1696 35.9% 42.8% 21.2% -0.9 4
1979-10-07 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1696 1627 21.2% 42.8% 35.9% +0.9 5
1979-10-07 Roma W 3-0 1636 1603 47.0% 41.0% 12.0% +17.6 5
1979-10-07 @ Napoli L 0-3 1603 1636 12.0% 41.0% 47.0% -17.5 3
1979-10-07 Ascoli D 0-0 1550 1596 38.6% 42.7% 18.7% -1.4 1
1979-10-07 @ Pescara D 0-0 1596 1550 18.7% 42.7% 38.6% +1.4 3
1979-10-07 Fiorentina D 1-1 1704 1613 52.2% 38.9% 8.9% -3.2 6
1979-10-07 @ Torino D 1-1 1613 1704 8.9% 38.9% 52.2% +3.2 3
1979-10-07 Cagliari D 1-1 1619 1578 47.8% 40.8% 11.4% -2.6 3
1979-10-07 @ Udinese D 1-1 1578 1619 11.4% 40.8% 47.8% +2.5 4
1979-10-11 Fiorentina W 1-0 1598 1616 41.8% 42.3% 16.0% +7.9 5
1979-10-11 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1616 1598 16.0% 42.3% 41.8% -7.8 3
1979-10-11 Catanzaro W 4-1 1602 1600 44.0% 41.9% 14.2% +16.8 6
1979-10-11 @ Bologna L 1-4 1600 1602 14.2% 41.9% 44.0% -16.8 3
1979-10-11 Avellino D 1-1 1581 1584 43.4% 42.0% 14.6% -1.9 5
1979-10-11 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1584 1581 14.6% 42.0% 43.4% +1.9 3
1979-10-11 Juventus W 4-0 1705 1722 42.0% 42.2% 15.8% +27.9 9
1979-10-11 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1722 1705 15.8% 42.2% 42.0% -27.9 5
1979-10-11 Pescara W 2-0 1626 1548 51.1% 39.4% 9.5% +10.0 6
1979-10-11 @ Lazio Roma L 0-2 1548 1626 9.5% 39.4% 51.1% -10.0 1
1979-10-11 Udinese W 1-0 1653 1617 47.3% 40.9% 11.7% +6.3 7
1979-10-11 @ Napoli L 0-1 1617 1653 11.7% 40.9% 47.3% -6.3 3
1979-10-11 Roma W 3-1 1697 1585 54.0% 38.0% 8.1% +7.4 7
1979-10-11 @ Perugia L 1-3 1585 1697 8.1% 38.0% 54.0% -7.4 3
1979-10-11 AC Milan L 0-1 1701 1738 39.8% 42.5% 17.6% -13.9 6
1979-10-11 @ Torino W 1-0 1738 1701 17.6% 42.5% 39.8% +13.9 8
1979-10-14 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1605 1636 40.5% 42.5% 17.1% -1.5 6
1979-10-14 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1636 1605 17.1% 42.5% 40.5% +1.5 7
1979-10-14 Bologna W 1-0 1586 1618 40.2% 42.5% 17.2% +8.3 5
1979-10-14 @ Avellino L 0-1 1618 1586 17.2% 42.5% 40.2% -8.3 6
1979-10-14 Catanzaro W 1-0 1579 1583 43.3% 42.0% 14.7% +7.4 7
1979-10-14 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1583 1579 14.7% 42.0% 43.3% -7.4 3
1979-10-14 Pescara W 2-0 1608 1538 50.4% 39.7% 9.8% +10.3 5
1979-10-14 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1538 1608 9.8% 39.7% 50.4% -10.3 1
1979-10-14 Napoli W 1-0 1733 1660 50.7% 39.6% 9.7% +5.4 11
1979-10-14 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1660 1733 9.7% 39.6% 50.7% -5.4 7
1979-10-14 Udinese D 1-1 1694 1611 51.5% 39.2% 9.2% -3.1 6
1979-10-14 @ Juventus D 1-1 1611 1694 9.2% 39.2% 51.5% +3.1 4
1979-10-14 AC Milan D 1-1 1705 1752 38.6% 42.7% 18.7% -1.3 8
1979-10-14 @ Perugia D 1-1 1752 1705 18.7% 42.7% 38.6% +1.3 9
1979-10-14 Torino D 1-1 1578 1687 30.8% 42.8% 26.5% -0.2 4
1979-10-14 @ Roma D 1-1 1687 1578 26.5% 42.8% 30.8% +0.2 7
1979-10-21 Ascoli W 3-0 1753 1604 57.0% 36.2% 6.9% +10.5 11
1979-10-21 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1604 1753 6.9% 36.2% 57.0% -10.5 6
1979-10-21 Fiorentina W 2-1 1610 1619 42.9% 42.1% 15.1% +7.1 8
1979-10-21 @ Bologna L 1-2 1619 1610 15.1% 42.1% 42.9% -7.1 5
1979-10-21 Inter Milan D 0-0 1576 1738 23.8% 42.0% 34.2% +0.7 4
1979-10-21 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1738 1576 34.2% 42.0% 23.8% -0.7 12
1979-10-21 Cagliari D 1-1 1638 1586 48.7% 40.4% 10.8% -2.7 8
1979-10-21 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1586 1638 10.8% 40.4% 48.7% +2.7 8
1979-10-21 Perugia D 1-1 1654 1703 38.3% 42.7% 19.0% -1.2 8
1979-10-21 @ Napoli D 1-1 1703 1654 19.0% 42.7% 38.3% +1.2 9
1979-10-21 Avellino D 1-1 1528 1594 36.3% 42.8% 20.9% -1.0 2
1979-10-21 @ Pescara D 1-1 1594 1528 20.9% 42.8% 36.3% +1.0 6
1979-10-21 Juventus L 1-2 1687 1691 43.4% 42.0% 14.6% -14.0 7
1979-10-21 @ Torino W 2-1 1691 1687 14.6% 42.0% 43.4% +14.0 8
1979-10-21 Roma D 0-0 1614 1578 47.3% 40.9% 11.8% -2.8 5
1979-10-21 @ Udinese D 0-0 1578 1614 11.8% 40.9% 47.3% +2.8 5
1979-10-28 Bologna W 2-0 1593 1617 41.2% 42.4% 16.4% +15.1 8
1979-10-28 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1617 1593 16.4% 42.4% 41.2% -15.1 8
1979-10-28 Udinese D 0-0 1595 1611 42.1% 42.2% 15.7% -2.0 7
1979-10-28 @ Avellino D 0-0 1611 1595 15.7% 42.2% 42.1% +1.9 6
1979-10-28 Pescara W 1-0 1589 1527 49.7% 40.1% 10.3% +5.7 10
1979-10-28 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1527 1589 10.3% 40.1% 49.7% -5.7 2
1979-10-28 Catanzaro W 3-0 1612 1576 47.2% 41.0% 11.8% +17.4 7
1979-10-28 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1576 1612 11.8% 41.0% 47.2% -17.4 4
1979-10-28 AC Milan W 2-0 1737 1763 41.0% 42.4% 16.6% +15.2 14
1979-10-28 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1763 1737 16.6% 42.4% 41.0% -15.2 11
1979-10-28 Napoli W 1-0 1705 1653 48.8% 40.4% 10.8% +5.9 10
1979-10-28 @ Juventus L 0-1 1653 1705 10.8% 40.4% 48.8% -5.9 8
1979-10-28 Torino L 0-2 1705 1673 46.9% 41.1% 12.1% -29.8 9
1979-10-28 @ Perugia W 2-0 1673 1705 12.1% 41.1% 46.9% +29.8 9
1979-10-28 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1580 1635 37.7% 42.7% 19.6% -1.1 6
1979-10-28 @ Roma D 1-1 1635 1580 19.6% 42.7% 37.7% +1.1 9
1979-11-04 Fiorentina W 2-0 1748 1629 54.5% 37.6% 7.8% +8.3 13
1979-11-04 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1629 1748 7.8% 37.6% 54.5% -8.3 7
1979-11-04 Cagliari L 0-1 1602 1595 44.5% 41.7% 13.7% -15.2 8
1979-11-04 @ Bologna W 1-0 1595 1602 13.7% 41.7% 44.5% +15.2 12
1979-11-04 Roma D 2-2 1559 1579 41.6% 42.3% 16.1% -1.2 5
1979-11-04 @ Catanzaro D 2-2 1579 1559 16.1% 42.3% 41.6% +1.2 7
1979-11-04 Juventus W 1-0 1636 1711 35.3% 42.8% 21.9% +9.5 11
1979-11-04 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1711 1636 21.9% 42.8% 35.3% -9.5 10
1979-11-04 Avellino L 0-1 1647 1593 49.0% 40.3% 10.7% -16.4 8
1979-11-04 @ Napoli W 1-0 1593 1647 10.7% 40.3% 49.0% +16.4 9
1979-11-04 Perugia D 1-1 1521 1675 24.9% 42.2% 33.0% +0.5 3
1979-11-04 @ Pescara D 1-1 1675 1521 33.0% 42.2% 24.9% -0.5 10
1979-11-04 Inter Milan D 0-0 1703 1753 38.3% 42.7% 19.0% -1.4 10
1979-11-04 @ Torino D 0-0 1753 1703 19.0% 42.7% 38.3% +1.4 15
1979-11-04 Ascoli W 3-1 1613 1609 44.2% 41.8% 14.0% +11.7 8
1979-11-04 @ Udinese L 1-3 1609 1613 14.0% 41.8% 44.2% -11.7 8
1979-11-25 Napoli L 1-2 1756 1631 55.1% 37.3% 7.6% -17.0 13
1979-11-25 @ AC Milan W 2-1 1631 1756 7.6% 37.3% 55.1% +17.0 10
1979-11-25 Inter Milan D 0-0 1609 1754 26.0% 42.3% 31.7% +0.4 10
1979-11-25 @ Avellino D 0-0 1754 1609 31.7% 42.3% 26.0% -0.4 16
1979-11-25 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1558 1646 33.6% 42.9% 23.6% +9.4 7
1979-11-25 @ Catanzaro L 1-2 1646 1558 23.6% 42.9% 33.6% -9.4 11
1979-11-25 Perugia D 0-0 1621 1674 37.8% 42.7% 19.4% -1.3 8
1979-11-25 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1674 1621 19.4% 42.7% 37.8% +1.3 11
1979-11-25 Cagliari W 1-0 1701 1610 52.2% 38.9% 8.9% +5.0 12
1979-11-25 @ Juventus L 0-1 1610 1701 8.9% 38.9% 52.2% -5.0 12
1979-11-25 Bologna D 0-0 1522 1587 36.4% 42.8% 20.8% -1.1 4
1979-11-25 @ Pescara D 0-0 1587 1522 20.8% 42.8% 36.4% +1.1 9
1979-11-25 Ascoli W 1-0 1580 1597 42.0% 42.2% 15.7% +7.8 9
1979-11-25 @ Roma L 0-1 1597 1580 15.7% 42.2% 42.0% -7.8 8
1979-11-25 Torino L 0-1 1625 1702 34.9% 42.9% 22.2% -12.6 8
1979-11-25 @ Udinese W 1-0 1702 1625 22.2% 42.9% 34.9% +12.6 12
1979-12-02 Udinese D 0-0 1739 1612 55.2% 37.2% 7.5% -4.0 14
1979-12-02 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1612 1739 7.5% 37.2% 55.2% +4.0 9
1979-12-02 Juventus W 1-0 1610 1706 32.5% 42.8% 24.7% +10.2 12
1979-12-02 @ Avellino L 0-1 1706 1610 24.7% 42.8% 32.5% -10.2 12
1979-12-02 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1588 1636 38.5% 42.7% 18.9% +8.7 11
1979-12-02 @ Bologna L 0-1 1636 1588 18.9% 42.7% 38.5% -8.7 11
1979-12-02 Inter Milan D 1-1 1605 1754 25.5% 42.2% 32.3% +0.4 13
1979-12-02 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1754 1605 32.3% 42.2% 25.5% -0.4 17
1979-12-02 Ascoli D 0-0 1676 1589 51.8% 39.1% 9.1% -3.5 12
1979-12-02 @ Perugia D 0-0 1589 1676 9.1% 39.1% 51.8% +3.5 9
1979-12-02 Napoli W 1-0 1521 1648 28.3% 42.6% 29.1% +11.2 6
1979-12-02 @ Pescara L 0-1 1648 1521 29.1% 42.6% 28.3% -11.2 10
1979-12-02 Fiorentina W 2-1 1588 1619 40.4% 42.5% 17.1% +7.7 11
1979-12-02 @ Roma L 1-2 1619 1588 17.1% 42.5% 40.4% -7.7 8
1979-12-02 Catanzaro D 0-0 1715 1567 56.8% 36.2% 6.9% -4.2 13
1979-12-02 @ Torino D 0-0 1567 1715 6.9% 36.2% 56.8% +4.2 8
1979-12-09 Avellino D 0-0 1592 1620 40.8% 42.4% 16.8% -1.7 10
1979-12-09 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1620 1592 16.8% 42.4% 40.8% +1.8 13
1979-12-09 AC Milan L 0-1 1597 1735 26.8% 42.4% 30.8% -10.7 11
1979-12-09 @ Bologna W 1-0 1735 1597 30.8% 42.4% 26.8% +10.7 16
1979-12-09 Fiorentina W 2-1 1605 1612 43.1% 42.0% 14.9% +7.1 15
1979-12-09 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1612 1605 14.9% 42.0% 43.1% -7.1 8
1979-12-09 Pescara D 1-1 1571 1532 47.6% 40.8% 11.6% -2.5 9
1979-12-09 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1532 1571 11.6% 40.8% 47.6% +2.5 7
1979-12-09 Perugia W 3-2 1753 1672 51.3% 39.3% 9.3% +4.7 19
1979-12-09 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 1672 1753 9.3% 39.3% 51.3% -4.7 12
1979-12-09 Roma W 2-0 1696 1596 52.9% 38.5% 8.5% +9.0 14
1979-12-09 @ Juventus L 0-2 1596 1696 8.5% 38.5% 52.9% -9.0 11
1979-12-09 Udinese D 0-0 1628 1616 44.9% 41.6% 13.4% -2.4 12
1979-12-09 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1616 1628 13.4% 41.6% 44.9% +2.4 10
1979-12-09 Torino W 1-0 1636 1710 35.4% 42.8% 21.8% +9.5 12
1979-12-09 @ Napoli L 0-1 1710 1636 21.8% 42.8% 35.4% -9.5 13
1979-12-16 Catanzaro D 0-0 1746 1569 59.2% 34.6% 6.1% -4.5 17
1979-12-16 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1569 1746 6.1% 34.6% 59.2% +4.5 10
1979-12-16 Cagliari W 1-0 1591 1612 41.5% 42.3% 16.2% +7.9 12
1979-12-16 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1612 1591 16.2% 42.3% 41.5% -7.9 15
1979-12-16 Avellino W 3-0 1605 1622 41.9% 42.2% 15.8% +21.4 10
1979-12-16 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1622 1605 15.8% 42.2% 41.9% -21.4 13
1979-12-16 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1646 1625 45.8% 41.4% 12.8% -2.5 13
1979-12-16 @ Napoli D 0-0 1625 1646 12.8% 41.4% 45.8% +2.5 13
1979-12-16 Juventus W 1-0 1668 1705 39.7% 42.6% 17.7% +8.4 14
1979-12-16 @ Perugia L 0-1 1705 1668 17.7% 42.6% 39.7% -8.4 14
1979-12-16 Inter Milan W 1-0 1587 1758 22.8% 41.8% 35.4% +12.6 13
1979-12-16 @ Roma L 0-1 1758 1587 35.4% 41.8% 22.8% -12.6 19
1979-12-16 Pescara W 2-0 1701 1534 58.3% 35.2% 6.4% +6.6 15
1979-12-16 @ Torino L 0-2 1534 1701 6.4% 35.2% 58.3% -6.6 7
1979-12-16 Bologna L 0-2 1618 1586 46.9% 41.1% 12.0% -29.9 10
1979-12-16 @ Udinese W 2-0 1586 1618 12.0% 41.1% 46.9% +29.9 13
1979-12-30 Perugia D 2-2 1600 1676 35.1% 42.8% 22.0% -0.6 14
1979-12-30 @ Avellino D 2-2 1676 1600 22.0% 42.8% 35.1% +0.6 15
1979-12-30 Napoli D 0-0 1616 1643 40.8% 42.4% 16.8% -1.8 14
1979-12-30 @ Bologna D 0-0 1643 1616 16.8% 42.4% 40.8% +1.8 14
1979-12-30 Roma L 1-3 1604 1600 44.2% 41.8% 14.0% -24.6 15
1979-12-30 @ Cagliari W 3-1 1600 1604 14.0% 41.8% 44.2% +24.7 15
1979-12-30 Udinese D 1-1 1573 1588 42.1% 42.2% 15.6% -1.8 11
1979-12-30 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1588 1573 15.6% 42.2% 42.1% +1.8 11
1979-12-30 Fiorentina D 0-0 1745 1626 54.5% 37.6% 7.8% -3.9 20
1979-12-30 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1626 1745 7.8% 37.6% 54.5% +3.9 11
1979-12-30 Ascoli L 2-3 1697 1599 52.8% 38.6% 8.6% -15.6 14
1979-12-30 @ Juventus W 3-2 1599 1697 8.6% 38.6% 52.8% +15.6 14
1979-12-30 Torino W 2-1 1628 1707 34.6% 42.9% 22.5% +9.2 15
1979-12-30 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1707 1628 22.5% 42.9% 34.6% -9.2 15
1979-12-30 AC Milan W 2-1 1528 1742 18.4% 40.6% 41.0% +13.1 9
1979-12-30 @ Pescara L 1-2 1742 1528 41.0% 40.6% 18.4% -13.1 17
1980-01-06 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1728 1637 52.2% 38.9% 8.9% +4.7 19
1980-01-06 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1637 1728 8.9% 38.9% 52.2% -4.7 15
1980-01-06 Inter Milan D 1-1 1614 1741 28.3% 42.6% 29.1% +0.0 15
1980-01-06 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1741 1614 29.1% 42.6% 28.3% -0.1 21
1980-01-06 Juventus W 2-1 1630 1681 38.1% 42.7% 19.2% +8.3 13
1980-01-06 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1681 1630 19.2% 42.7% 38.1% -8.3 14
1980-01-06 Catanzaro D 1-1 1645 1571 50.7% 39.6% 9.7% -3.0 15
1980-01-06 @ Napoli D 1-1 1571 1645 9.7% 39.6% 50.7% +3.0 12
1980-01-06 Cagliari W 1-0 1677 1580 52.7% 38.6% 8.6% +4.9 17
1980-01-06 @ Perugia L 0-1 1580 1677 8.6% 38.6% 52.7% -4.9 15
1980-01-06 Avellino D 1-1 1624 1600 46.2% 41.3% 12.5% -2.3 16
1980-01-06 @ Roma D 1-1 1600 1624 12.5% 41.3% 46.2% +2.3 15
1980-01-06 Bologna D 0-0 1698 1614 51.6% 39.2% 9.2% -3.5 16
1980-01-06 @ Torino D 0-0 1614 1698 9.2% 39.2% 51.6% +3.5 15
1980-01-06 Pescara W 2-1 1590 1541 48.5% 40.5% 11.0% +5.6 13
1980-01-06 @ Udinese L 1-2 1541 1590 11.0% 40.5% 48.5% -5.6 9
1980-01-13 Roma D 0-0 1733 1622 53.9% 38.0% 8.1% -3.8 20
1980-01-13 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1622 1733 8.1% 38.0% 53.9% +3.8 17
1980-01-13 Juventus D 1-1 1618 1673 37.7% 42.7% 19.6% -1.1 16
1980-01-13 @ Bologna D 1-1 1673 1618 19.6% 42.7% 37.7% +1.1 15
1980-01-13 Perugia W 2-1 1574 1681 31.1% 42.8% 26.2% +10.0 14
1980-01-13 @ Catanzaro L 1-2 1681 1574 26.2% 42.8% 31.1% -10.0 17
1980-01-13 Avellino D 1-1 1632 1602 46.7% 41.1% 12.2% -2.4 16
1980-01-13 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1602 1632 12.2% 41.1% 46.7% +2.4 16
1980-01-13 Ascoli W 1-0 1642 1614 46.5% 41.2% 12.3% +6.5 17
1980-01-13 @ Napoli L 0-1 1614 1642 12.3% 41.2% 46.5% -6.5 15
1980-01-13 Inter Milan L 0-2 1535 1741 19.1% 40.8% 40.1% -16.1 9
1980-01-13 @ Pescara W 2-0 1741 1535 40.1% 40.8% 19.1% +16.2 23
1980-01-13 Cagliari D 0-0 1695 1575 54.6% 37.6% 7.8% -3.9 17
1980-01-13 @ Torino D 0-0 1575 1695 7.8% 37.6% 54.6% +3.9 16
1980-01-13 Fiorentina D 2-2 1596 1638 39.1% 42.6% 18.2% -1.0 14
1980-01-13 @ Udinese D 2-2 1638 1596 18.2% 42.6% 39.1% +1.0 14
1980-01-20 Torino W 1-0 1608 1691 34.2% 42.9% 23.0% +9.8 17
1980-01-20 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1691 1608 23.0% 42.9% 34.2% -9.8 17
1980-01-20 AC Milan W 1-0 1605 1729 28.6% 42.6% 28.8% +11.2 18
1980-01-20 @ Avellino L 0-1 1729 1605 28.8% 42.6% 28.6% -11.2 20
1980-01-20 Napoli W 1-0 1579 1649 35.8% 42.8% 21.3% +9.4 18
1980-01-20 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1649 1579 21.3% 42.8% 35.8% -9.4 17
1980-01-20 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1639 1630 44.7% 41.7% 13.6% -2.4 15
1980-01-20 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1630 1639 13.6% 41.7% 44.7% +2.4 17
1980-01-20 Udinese W 2-1 1757 1595 58.0% 35.4% 6.5% +3.4 25
1980-01-20 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1595 1757 6.5% 35.4% 58.0% -3.4 14
1980-01-20 Catanzaro W 1-0 1674 1584 52.1% 39.0% 9.0% +5.0 17
1980-01-20 @ Juventus L 0-1 1584 1674 9.0% 39.0% 52.1% -5.0 14
1980-01-20 Bologna D 1-1 1671 1617 49.0% 40.3% 10.7% -2.7 18
1980-01-20 @ Perugia D 1-1 1617 1671 10.7% 40.3% 49.0% +2.7 17
1980-01-20 Pescara W 2-0 1626 1519 53.5% 38.2% 8.3% +8.8 19
1980-01-20 @ Roma L 0-2 1519 1626 8.3% 38.2% 53.5% -8.8 9
1980-01-27 Cagliari W 2-0 1718 1588 55.4% 37.1% 7.4% +7.9 22
1980-01-27 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1588 1718 7.4% 37.1% 55.4% -7.9 18
1980-01-27 Roma D 1-1 1619 1634 42.2% 42.2% 15.6% -1.8 18
1980-01-27 @ Bologna D 1-1 1634 1619 15.6% 42.2% 42.2% +1.8 20
1980-01-27 Ascoli D 1-1 1579 1618 39.6% 42.6% 17.8% -1.4 15
1980-01-27 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1618 1579 17.8% 42.6% 39.6% +1.4 18
1980-01-27 Inter Milan D 0-0 1632 1761 28.1% 42.6% 29.3% +0.1 18
1980-01-27 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1761 1632 29.3% 42.6% 28.1% -0.1 26
1980-01-27 Fiorentina D 0-0 1639 1637 44.0% 41.9% 14.1% -2.2 18
1980-01-27 @ Napoli D 0-0 1637 1639 14.1% 41.9% 44.0% +2.2 16
1980-01-27 Juventus L 0-2 1510 1679 23.1% 41.9% 35.1% -18.3 9
1980-01-27 @ Pescara W 2-0 1679 1510 35.1% 41.9% 23.1% +18.3 19
1980-01-27 Avellino D 2-2 1681 1616 50.0% 39.9% 10.1% -2.1 18
1980-01-27 @ Torino D 2-2 1616 1681 10.1% 39.9% 50.0% +2.1 19
1980-01-27 Perugia L 1-2 1591 1669 34.9% 42.9% 22.2% -11.9 14
1980-01-27 @ Udinese W 2-1 1669 1591 22.2% 42.9% 34.9% +11.9 20
1980-02-03 Pescara W 3-1 1619 1492 55.2% 37.3% 7.5% +6.9 20
1980-02-03 @ Ascoli L 1-3 1492 1619 7.5% 37.3% 55.2% -6.9 9
1980-02-03 Catanzaro W 2-0 1618 1578 47.7% 40.8% 11.5% +11.7 21
1980-02-03 @ Avellino L 0-2 1578 1618 11.5% 40.8% 47.7% -11.7 15
1980-02-03 Udinese W 3-1 1580 1580 43.8% 41.9% 14.3% +11.9 20
1980-02-03 @ Cagliari L 1-3 1580 1580 14.3% 41.9% 43.8% -11.9 14
1980-02-03 Torino W 1-0 1639 1679 39.4% 42.6% 18.0% +8.5 18
1980-02-03 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1679 1639 18.0% 42.6% 39.4% -8.5 18
1980-02-03 Bologna D 0-0 1761 1618 56.5% 36.4% 7.0% -4.2 27
1980-02-03 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1618 1761 7.0% 36.4% 56.5% +4.2 19
1980-02-03 AC Milan W 2-1 1697 1726 40.7% 42.4% 16.9% +7.7 21
1980-02-03 @ Juventus L 1-2 1726 1697 16.9% 42.4% 40.7% -7.7 22
1980-02-03 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1681 1632 48.4% 40.5% 11.0% -3.0 21
1980-02-03 @ Perugia D 0-0 1632 1681 11.0% 40.5% 48.4% +3.0 19
1980-02-03 Napoli D 0-0 1636 1637 43.7% 41.9% 14.4% -2.2 21
1980-02-03 @ Roma D 0-0 1637 1636 14.4% 41.9% 43.7% +2.2 19
1980-02-10 Perugia W 1-0 1718 1678 47.7% 40.8% 11.5% +6.2 24
1980-02-10 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1678 1718 11.5% 40.8% 47.7% -6.2 21
1980-02-10 Avellino W 1-0 1622 1630 42.9% 42.1% 15.0% +7.5 21
1980-02-10 @ Bologna L 0-1 1630 1622 15.0% 42.1% 42.9% -7.5 21
1980-02-10 Cagliari W 1-0 1566 1592 41.0% 42.4% 16.6% +8.0 17
1980-02-10 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1592 1566 16.6% 42.4% 41.0% -8.1 20
1980-02-10 Ascoli L 0-1 1635 1626 44.7% 41.7% 13.6% -15.2 19
1980-02-10 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1626 1635 13.6% 41.7% 44.7% +15.2 22
1980-02-10 Inter Milan L 3-4 1639 1757 29.7% 42.7% 27.7% -9.9 19
1980-02-10 @ Napoli W 4-3 1757 1639 27.7% 42.7% 29.7% +9.9 29
1980-02-10 Fiorentina L 1-2 1485 1648 23.8% 42.0% 34.2% -9.3 9
1980-02-10 @ Pescara W 2-1 1648 1485 34.2% 42.0% 23.8% +9.4 20
1980-02-10 Roma W 1-0 1670 1634 47.3% 40.9% 11.7% +6.3 20
1980-02-10 @ Torino L 0-1 1634 1670 11.7% 40.9% 47.3% -6.3 21
1980-02-10 Juventus L 1-3 1568 1705 27.0% 42.4% 30.6% -17.5 14
1980-02-10 @ Udinese W 3-1 1705 1568 30.6% 42.4% 27.0% +17.5 23
1980-02-24 AC Milan D 0-0 1641 1725 34.1% 42.9% 23.0% -0.8 23
1980-02-24 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1725 1641 23.0% 42.9% 34.1% +0.8 25
1980-02-24 Pescara W 2-0 1622 1476 56.8% 36.3% 7.0% +7.3 23
1980-02-24 @ Avellino L 0-2 1476 1622 7.0% 36.3% 56.8% -7.3 9
1980-02-24 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1584 1620 39.9% 42.5% 17.6% -1.4 21
1980-02-24 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1620 1584 17.6% 42.5% 39.9% +1.4 20
1980-02-24 Bologna D 0-0 1657 1629 46.5% 41.2% 12.3% -2.7 21
1980-02-24 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1629 1657 12.3% 41.2% 46.5% +2.7 22
1980-02-24 Catanzaro W 3-1 1767 1574 60.4% 33.8% 5.8% +5.0 31
1980-02-24 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1574 1767 5.8% 33.8% 60.4% -5.0 17
1980-02-24 Torino D 0-0 1722 1677 48.2% 40.6% 11.2% -2.9 24
1980-02-24 @ Juventus D 0-0 1677 1722 11.2% 40.6% 48.2% +2.9 21
1980-02-24 Napoli W 1-0 1671 1629 47.9% 40.8% 11.4% +6.2 23
1980-02-24 @ Perugia L 0-1 1629 1671 11.4% 40.8% 47.9% -6.2 19
1980-02-24 Udinese D 1-1 1628 1550 51.0% 39.5% 9.5% -3.0 22
1980-02-24 @ Roma D 1-1 1550 1628 9.5% 39.5% 51.0% +3.0 15
1980-03-02 Inter Milan L 0-1 1725 1772 38.7% 42.7% 18.6% -13.6 25
1980-03-02 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1772 1725 18.6% 42.7% 38.7% +13.6 33
1980-03-02 Ascoli D 0-0 1632 1640 42.9% 42.1% 15.0% -2.1 23
1980-03-02 @ Bologna D 0-0 1640 1632 15.0% 42.1% 42.9% +2.1 24
1980-03-02 Fiorentina L 0-1 1569 1654 33.9% 42.9% 23.2% -12.4 17
1980-03-02 @ Catanzaro W 1-0 1654 1569 23.2% 42.9% 33.9% +12.4 23
1980-03-02 Roma L 1-2 1621 1625 43.4% 42.0% 14.6% -14.0 20
1980-03-02 @ Lazio Roma W 2-1 1625 1621 14.6% 42.0% 43.4% +14.0 24
1980-03-02 Juventus D 0-0 1623 1719 32.5% 42.8% 24.7% -0.5 20
1980-03-02 @ Napoli D 0-0 1719 1623 24.7% 42.8% 32.5% +0.5 25
1980-03-02 Cagliari W 2-0 1468 1583 30.1% 42.7% 27.2% +20.4 11
1980-03-02 @ Pescara L 0-2 1583 1468 27.2% 42.7% 30.1% -20.4 21
1980-03-02 Perugia W 2-0 1680 1678 44.0% 41.9% 14.2% +13.7 23
1980-03-02 @ Torino L 0-2 1678 1680 14.2% 41.9% 44.0% -13.7 23
1980-03-02 Avellino L 0-1 1553 1629 35.1% 42.8% 22.1% -12.7 15
1980-03-02 @ Udinese W 1-0 1629 1553 22.1% 42.8% 35.1% +12.7 25
1980-03-09 Udinese W 3-0 1642 1540 53.1% 38.4% 8.5% +13.0 26
1980-03-09 @ Ascoli L 0-3 1540 1642 8.5% 38.4% 53.1% -13.0 15
1980-03-09 Napoli L 2-3 1642 1623 45.7% 41.4% 12.9% -13.9 25
1980-03-09 @ Avellino W 3-2 1623 1642 12.9% 41.4% 45.7% +13.9 22
1980-03-09 Bologna W 1-0 1562 1630 36.1% 42.8% 21.1% +9.3 23
1980-03-09 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1630 1562 21.1% 42.8% 36.1% -9.3 23
1980-03-09 AC Milan D 1-1 1667 1712 38.8% 42.6% 18.5% -1.3 24
1980-03-09 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1712 1667 18.5% 42.6% 38.8% +1.3 26
1980-03-09 Torino D 1-1 1785 1693 52.3% 38.9% 8.9% -3.2 34
1980-03-09 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1693 1785 8.9% 38.9% 52.3% +3.2 24
1980-03-09 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1720 1607 54.0% 37.9% 8.1% -3.8 26
1980-03-09 @ Juventus D 0-0 1607 1720 8.1% 37.9% 54.0% +3.8 21
1980-03-09 Pescara W 1-0 1664 1489 59.0% 34.8% 6.2% +3.4 25
1980-03-09 @ Perugia L 0-1 1489 1664 6.2% 34.8% 59.0% -3.4 11
1980-03-09 Catanzaro W 1-0 1639 1557 51.4% 39.3% 9.3% +5.2 26
1980-03-09 @ Roma L 0-1 1557 1639 9.3% 39.3% 51.4% -5.2 17
1980-03-23 Torino L 0-2 1713 1697 45.4% 41.5% 13.1% -29.1 26
1980-03-23 @ AC Milan W 2-0 1697 1713 13.1% 41.5% 45.4% +29.1 26
1980-03-23 Cagliari D 2-2 1628 1572 49.2% 40.2% 10.6% -2.1 26
1980-03-23 @ Avellino D 2-2 1572 1628 10.6% 40.2% 49.2% +2.0 24
1980-03-23 Bologna D 0-0 1552 1620 36.0% 42.8% 21.2% -1.0 18
1980-03-23 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1620 1552 21.2% 42.8% 36.0% +1.0 24
1980-03-23 Ascoli W 3-1 1665 1655 44.8% 41.7% 13.6% +11.5 26
1980-03-23 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1655 1665 13.6% 41.7% 44.8% -11.5 26
1980-03-23 Inter Milan W 2-0 1716 1782 36.4% 42.8% 20.8% +17.5 28
1980-03-23 @ Juventus L 0-2 1782 1716 20.8% 42.8% 36.4% -17.5 34
1980-03-23 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1485 1611 28.5% 42.6% 28.9% +21.1 13
1980-03-23 @ Pescara L 0-2 1611 1485 28.9% 42.6% 28.5% -21.1 21
1980-03-23 Perugia W 4-0 1644 1667 41.3% 42.4% 16.4% +28.6 28
1980-03-23 @ Roma L 0-4 1667 1644 16.4% 42.4% 41.3% -28.6 25
1980-03-23 Napoli D 0-0 1527 1637 30.8% 42.8% 26.5% -0.3 16
1980-03-23 @ Udinese D 0-0 1637 1527 26.5% 42.8% 30.8% +0.3 23
1980-03-30 Roma W 3-0 1644 1672 40.7% 42.4% 16.9% +22.3 28
1980-03-30 @ Ascoli L 0-3 1672 1644 16.9% 42.4% 40.7% -22.3 28
1980-03-30 Pescara D 0-0 1622 1506 54.2% 37.8% 8.0% -3.8 25
1980-03-30 @ Bologna D 0-0 1506 1622 8.0% 37.8% 54.2% +3.8 14
1980-03-30 Juventus W 2-1 1574 1734 24.1% 42.0% 33.9% +11.6 26
1980-03-30 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1734 1574 33.9% 42.0% 24.1% -11.6 28
1980-03-30 Avellino W 3-0 1765 1626 56.1% 36.7% 7.2% +11.0 36
1980-03-30 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1626 1765 7.2% 36.7% 56.1% -11.0 26
1980-03-30 Catanzaro W 2-0 1590 1551 47.6% 40.8% 11.6% +11.8 23
1980-03-30 @ Lazio Roma L 0-2 1551 1590 11.6% 40.8% 47.6% -11.8 18
1980-03-30 AC Milan L 0-1 1637 1684 38.6% 42.7% 18.8% -13.6 23
1980-03-30 @ Napoli W 1-0 1684 1637 18.8% 42.7% 38.6% +13.6 28
1980-03-30 Fiorentina L 1-2 1639 1677 39.6% 42.6% 17.8% -13.0 25
1980-03-30 @ Perugia W 2-1 1677 1639 17.8% 42.6% 39.6% +13.1 28
1980-03-30 Udinese D 1-1 1726 1527 60.9% 33.5% 5.7% -4.2 27
1980-03-30 @ Torino D 1-1 1527 1726 5.7% 33.5% 60.9% +4.2 17
1980-04-05 Perugia W 1-0 1666 1626 47.7% 40.8% 11.5% +6.2 30
1980-04-05 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1626 1666 11.5% 40.8% 47.7% -6.2 25
1980-04-05 Torino D 0-0 1539 1721 21.5% 41.5% 37.0% +1.1 19
1980-04-05 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1721 1539 37.0% 41.5% 21.5% -1.1 28
1980-04-05 Roma W 3-1 1690 1650 47.6% 40.8% 11.5% +10.2 30
1980-04-05 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1650 1690 11.5% 40.8% 47.6% -10.2 28
1980-04-05 Cagliari D 3-3 1776 1585 60.2% 33.9% 5.9% -2.6 37
1980-04-05 @ Inter Milan D 3-3 1585 1776 5.9% 33.9% 60.2% +2.6 27
1980-04-05 Avellino W 2-0 1722 1615 53.5% 38.2% 8.3% +8.8 30
1980-04-05 @ Juventus L 0-2 1615 1722 8.3% 38.2% 53.5% -8.8 26
1980-04-05 Bologna L 0-1 1602 1618 42.1% 42.2% 15.7% -14.5 23
1980-04-05 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1618 1602 15.7% 42.2% 42.1% +14.5 27
1980-04-05 Pescara W 2-0 1623 1510 54.0% 37.9% 8.0% +8.5 25
1980-04-05 @ Napoli L 0-2 1510 1623 8.0% 37.9% 54.0% -8.5 14
1980-04-05 AC Milan W 2-1 1531 1698 23.4% 41.9% 34.7% +11.8 19
1980-04-05 @ Udinese L 1-2 1698 1531 34.7% 41.9% 23.4% -11.8 28
1980-04-13 Bologna W 4-0 1686 1632 48.9% 40.4% 10.7% +21.0 30
1980-04-13 @ AC Milan L 0-4 1632 1686 10.7% 40.4% 48.9% -21.0 27
1980-04-13 Ascoli D 2-2 1606 1672 36.3% 42.8% 20.9% -0.7 27
1980-04-13 @ Avellino D 2-2 1672 1606 20.9% 42.8% 36.3% +0.7 31
1980-04-13 Cagliari D 1-1 1700 1588 54.0% 38.0% 8.1% -3.4 31
1980-04-13 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1588 1700 8.1% 38.0% 54.0% +3.4 28
1980-04-13 Inter Milan D 0-0 1620 1773 24.9% 42.2% 32.9% +0.5 26
1980-04-13 @ Perugia D 0-0 1773 1620 32.9% 42.2% 24.9% -0.5 38
1980-04-13 Catanzaro D 1-1 1502 1540 39.6% 42.6% 17.8% -1.4 15
1980-04-13 @ Pescara D 1-1 1540 1502 17.8% 42.6% 39.6% +1.4 20
1980-04-13 Juventus L 1-3 1640 1731 33.2% 42.8% 24.0% -19.9 28
1980-04-13 @ Roma W 3-1 1731 1640 24.0% 42.8% 33.2% +19.9 32
1980-04-13 Napoli D 0-0 1720 1632 52.0% 39.0% 9.0% -3.5 29
1980-04-13 @ Torino D 0-0 1632 1720 9.0% 39.0% 52.0% +3.5 26
1980-04-13 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1543 1587 38.9% 42.6% 18.4% -1.3 20
1980-04-13 @ Udinese D 1-1 1587 1543 18.4% 42.6% 38.9% +1.3 24
1980-04-27 Fiorentina L 0-2 1606 1697 33.2% 42.8% 24.0% -23.0 27
1980-04-27 @ Avellino W 2-0 1697 1606 24.0% 42.8% 33.2% +23.0 33
1980-04-27 Udinese W 2-1 1611 1542 50.3% 39.8% 9.9% +5.2 29
1980-04-27 @ Bologna L 1-2 1542 1611 9.9% 39.8% 50.3% -5.2 20
1980-04-27 Ascoli D 1-1 1591 1673 34.3% 42.9% 22.8% -0.7 29
1980-04-27 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1673 1591 22.8% 42.9% 34.3% +0.7 32
1980-04-27 AC Milan L 0-3 1541 1707 23.4% 41.9% 34.6% -26.9 20
1980-04-27 @ Catanzaro W 3-0 1707 1541 34.6% 41.9% 23.4% +26.9 32
1980-04-27 Roma D 2-2 1772 1620 57.2% 36.0% 6.8% -2.8 39
1980-04-27 @ Inter Milan D 2-2 1620 1772 6.8% 36.0% 57.2% +2.8 29
1980-04-27 Perugia W 3-0 1751 1620 55.5% 37.1% 7.4% +11.4 34
1980-04-27 @ Juventus L 0-3 1620 1751 7.4% 37.1% 55.5% -11.4 26
1980-04-27 Napoli D 1-1 1589 1635 38.6% 42.7% 18.7% -1.3 25
1980-04-27 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1635 1589 18.7% 42.7% 38.6% +1.3 27
1980-04-27 Torino L 0-2 1500 1717 18.2% 40.5% 41.4% -15.6 15
1980-04-27 @ Pescara W 2-0 1717 1500 41.4% 40.5% 18.2% +15.6 31
1980-05-04 Pescara W 3-1 1734 1485 64.7% 30.6% 4.7% +3.8 34
1980-05-04 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1485 1734 4.7% 30.6% 64.7% -3.8 15
1980-05-04 Juventus L 2-3 1674 1762 33.5% 42.9% 23.6% -11.0 32
1980-05-04 @ Ascoli W 3-2 1762 1674 23.6% 42.9% 33.5% +11.0 36
1980-05-04 Inter Milan L 0-2 1720 1770 38.3% 42.7% 19.0% -25.4 33
1980-05-04 @ Fiorentina W 2-0 1770 1720 19.0% 42.7% 38.3% +25.4 41
1980-05-04 Bologna D 1-1 1637 1616 45.8% 41.4% 12.8% -2.3 28
1980-05-04 @ Napoli D 1-1 1616 1637 12.8% 41.4% 45.8% +2.3 30
1980-05-04 Avellino W 2-1 1609 1583 46.3% 41.2% 12.4% +6.2 28
1980-05-04 @ Perugia L 1-2 1583 1609 12.4% 41.2% 46.3% -6.2 27
1980-05-04 Cagliari D 1-1 1623 1590 47.0% 41.0% 12.0% -2.4 30
1980-05-04 @ Roma D 1-1 1590 1623 12.0% 41.0% 47.0% +2.4 30
1980-05-04 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1732 1587 56.6% 36.4% 7.0% +3.9 33
1980-05-04 @ Torino L 0-1 1587 1732 7.0% 36.4% 56.6% -3.9 25
1980-05-04 Catanzaro L 1-2 1537 1514 46.0% 41.3% 12.7% -14.7 20
1980-05-04 @ Udinese W 2-1 1514 1537 12.7% 41.3% 46.0% +14.7 22
1980-05-11 Roma L 0-1 1576 1620 38.9% 42.6% 18.4% -13.7 27
1980-05-11 @ Avellino W 1-0 1620 1576 18.4% 42.6% 38.9% +13.7 32
1980-05-11 Torino L 1-2 1619 1736 29.6% 42.7% 27.7% -10.7 30
1980-05-11 @ Bologna W 2-1 1736 1619 27.7% 42.7% 29.6% +10.7 35
1980-05-11 Perugia L 1-2 1593 1615 41.4% 42.3% 16.2% -13.5 30
1980-05-11 @ Cagliari W 2-1 1615 1593 16.2% 42.3% 41.4% +13.5 30
1980-05-11 Napoli W 2-0 1529 1634 31.3% 42.8% 25.9% +19.8 24
1980-05-11 @ Catanzaro L 0-2 1634 1529 25.9% 42.8% 31.3% -19.8 28
1980-05-11 Ascoli L 2-4 1795 1663 55.6% 37.0% 7.4% -26.5 41
1980-05-11 @ Inter Milan W 4-2 1663 1795 7.4% 37.0% 55.6% +26.5 34
1980-05-11 Fiorentina W 3-0 1773 1694 51.2% 39.4% 9.4% +14.4 38
1980-05-11 @ Juventus L 0-3 1694 1773 9.4% 39.4% 51.2% -14.4 33
1980-05-11 AC Milan L 0-2 1584 1738 24.8% 42.2% 33.0% -19.2 25
1980-05-11 @ Lazio Roma W 2-0 1738 1584 33.0% 42.2% 24.8% +19.2 36
1980-05-11 Udinese D 1-1 1481 1522 39.3% 42.6% 18.1% -1.4 16
1980-05-11 @ Pescara D 1-1 1522 1481 18.1% 42.6% 39.3% +1.4 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1980-05-11 7.39% Ascoli 1663 4 @ Inter Milan 1795 2
2 1979-11-25 7.60% Napoli 1631 2 @ AC Milan 1756 1
3 1979-12-30 8.61% Ascoli 1599 3 @ Juventus 1697 2
4 1979-11-04 10.70% Avellino 1593 1 @ Napoli 1647 0
5 1979-12-16 12.01% Bologna 1586 2 @ Udinese 1618 0
6 1979-10-28 12.07% Torino 1673 2 @ Perugia 1705 0
7 1980-05-04 12.68% Catanzaro 1514 2 @ Udinese 1537 1
8 1980-03-09 12.88% Napoli 1623 3 @ Avellino 1642 2
9 1979-09-30 12.94% Bologna 1599 2 @ Roma 1617 1
10 1980-03-23 13.08% Torino 1697 2 @ AC Milan 1713 0
11 1980-02-10 13.61% Ascoli 1626 1 @ Lazio Roma 1635 0
12 1979-11-04 13.74% Cagliari 1595 1 @ Bologna 1602 0
13 1979-12-30 13.97% Roma 1600 3 @ Cagliari 1604 1
14 1979-10-21 14.61% Juventus 1691 2 @ Torino 1687 1
15 1980-03-02 14.61% Roma 1625 2 @ Lazio Roma 1621 1
16 1980-04-05 15.68% Bologna 1618 1 @ Lazio Roma 1602 0
17 1980-05-11 16.24% Perugia 1615 2 @ Cagliari 1593 1
18 1979-09-23 17.28% Roma 1605 3 @ Pescara 1572 2
19 1979-10-11 17.65% AC Milan 1738 1 @ Torino 1701 0
20 1980-03-30 17.80% Fiorentina 1677 2 @ Perugia 1639 1
21 1979-12-30 18.41% @ Pescara 1528 2 AC Milan 1742 1
22 1980-05-11 18.42% Roma 1620 1 @ Avellino 1576 0
23 1980-03-02 18.64% Inter Milan 1772 1 @ AC Milan 1725 0
24 1980-03-30 18.75% AC Milan 1684 1 @ Napoli 1637 0
25 1980-05-04 19.04% Inter Milan 1770 2 @ Fiorentina 1720 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-12-16 29.86 Bologna 2 1586 12.01% @ Udinese 0 1618 46.93% 41.06%
2 1979-10-28 29.82 Torino 2 1673 12.07% @ Perugia 0 1705 46.85% 41.09%
3 1980-03-23 29.07 Torino 2 1697 13.08% @ AC Milan 0 1713 45.41% 41.50%
4 1980-03-23 28.57 @ Roma 4 1644 41.26% Perugia 0 1667 16.37% 42.36%
5 1979-10-11 27.88 @ Inter Milan 4 1705 41.97% Juventus 0 1722 15.78% 42.25%
6 1980-04-27 26.90 AC Milan 3 1707 34.64% @ Catanzaro 0 1541 23.44% 41.92%
7 1980-05-11 26.47 Ascoli 4 1663 7.39% @ Inter Milan 2 1795 55.60% 37.01%
8 1980-05-04 25.42 Inter Milan 2 1770 19.04% @ Fiorentina 0 1720 38.26% 42.70%
9 1979-12-30 24.65 Roma 3 1600 13.97% @ Cagliari 1 1604 44.23% 41.80%
10 1979-09-30 23.96 Torino 2 1680 21.95% @ Avellino 0 1605 35.21% 42.84%
11 1980-04-27 23.00 Fiorentina 2 1697 23.99% @ Avellino 0 1606 33.17% 42.84%
12 1980-03-30 22.28 @ Ascoli 3 1644 40.70% Roma 0 1672 16.85% 42.44%
13 1979-12-16 21.36 @ Fiorentina 3 1605 41.95% Avellino 0 1622 15.80% 42.25%
14 1980-03-23 21.08 @ Pescara 2 1485 28.50% Lazio Roma 0 1611 28.91% 42.60%
15 1980-04-13 21.04 @ AC Milan 4 1686 48.93% Bologna 0 1632 10.72% 40.36%
16 1980-03-02 20.38 @ Pescara 2 1468 30.09% Cagliari 0 1583 27.19% 42.72%
17 1980-04-13 19.94 Juventus 3 1731 23.96% @ Roma 1 1640 33.20% 42.84%
18 1980-05-11 19.84 @ Catanzaro 2 1529 31.31% Napoli 0 1634 25.91% 42.78%
19 1980-05-11 19.21 AC Milan 2 1738 33.02% @ Lazio Roma 0 1584 24.83% 42.16%
20 1980-01-27 18.34 Juventus 2 1679 35.06% @ Pescara 0 1510 23.09% 41.85%
21 1979-10-07 17.56 @ Napoli 3 1636 47.00% Roma 0 1603 11.96% 41.04%
22 1980-02-10 17.51 Juventus 3 1705 30.59% @ Udinese 1 1568 26.96% 42.44%
23 1980-03-23 17.49 @ Juventus 2 1716 36.35% Inter Milan 0 1782 20.84% 42.81%
24 1979-10-28 17.37 @ Fiorentina 3 1612 47.24% Catanzaro 0 1576 11.80% 40.96%
25 1979-11-25 16.97 Napoli 2 1631 7.60% @ AC Milan 1 1756 55.08% 37.32%