1979-80 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Inter Milan

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ascoli

5.61 points above expected

34 points · 28.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pescara

7.71 points below expected

16 points · 23.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Inter Milan	30	14	13	3	41	44	25	+19	36.2	+4.81
2	Juventus	30	16	6	8	38	42	25	+17	33.9	+4.09
3	AC Milan	30	14	8	8	36	34	19	+15	36.5	-0.53
4	Torino	30	11	13	6	35	26	15	+11	33.3	+1.66
5	Ascoli	30	11	12	7	34	35	28	+7	28.4	+5.61
6	Fiorentina	30	11	11	8	33	33	27	+6	30.2	+2.80
7	Roma	30	10	12	8	32	34	35	-1	28.3	+3.68
8	Bologna	30	8	14	8	30	23	24	-1	28.0	+1.99
9	Cagliari	30	8	14	8	30	27	29	-2	26.9	+3.09
10	Perugia	30	9	12	9	30	27	32	-5	31.5	-1.50
11	Napoli	30	7	14	9	28	20	20	0	30.8	-2.80
12	Avellino	30	7	13	10	27	24	32	-8	28.5	-1.51
13	Lazio Roma	30	5	15	10	25	21	25	-4	28.7	-3.71
14	Catanzaro	30	5	14	11	24	20	34	-14	26.5	-2.52
15	Udinese	30	3	15	12	21	24	38	-14	28.4	-7.45
16	Pescara	30	4	8	18	16	18	44	-26	23.7	-7.71

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1769	38	33.91	+4.09	87.0%	24	28	31	34	36	41	43
Inter Milan	1754	41	36.19	+4.81	95.0%	23	29	34	36	38	41	45
AC Milan	1747	36	36.53	-0.53	49.0%	27	30	34	37	39	42	46
Torino	1733	35	33.34	+1.66	71.0%	24	26	31	34	36	40	42
Ascoli	1672	34	28.39	+5.61	91.0%	20	22	25	28	31	35	40
Fiorentina	1670	33	30.20	+2.80	84.0%	19	25	28	30	32	36	42
Perugia	1635	30	31.50	-1.50	40.0%	21	25	29	31	34	38	43
Roma	1630	32	28.32	+3.68	89.0%	21	22	26	28	30	35	40
Napoli	1620	28	30.80	-2.80	22.0%	23	25	29	31	33	36	40
Bologna	1608	30	28.01	+1.99	73.0%	16	21	25	28	31	34	37
Cagliari	1585	30	26.91	+3.09	81.0%	18	20	24	27	30	33	37
Lazio Roma	1577	25	28.71	-3.71	19.0%	16	23	27	29	31	34	35
Avellino	1574	27	28.51	-1.51	43.0%	19	22	26	29	31	35	40
Catanzaro	1559	24	26.52	-2.52	35.0%	16	21	23	26	30	33	36
Udinese	1545	21	28.45	-7.45	4.0%	21	22	26	28	31	35	38
Pescara	1493	16	23.71	-7.71	2.0%	16	17	21	24	26	29	34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ASC	AVE	BOL	CAG	CAT	FIO	IM	JUV	LR	NAP	PER	PES	ROM	TOR	UDI
AC Milan	—	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.25	1-1-0 3.45	1-1-0 3.59	1-1-0 3.06	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.67	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 3.96	0-2-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 3.44
Ascoli	0-1-1 2.01	—	0-2-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.74	0-2-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.51	1-1-0 1.93	1-0-1 2.08	1-1-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.47	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.16	1-0-1 2.77
Avellino	1-0-1 1.94	0-2-0 2.49	—	1-0-1 2.56	0-2-0 2.75	1-1-0 2.65	0-0-2 2.38	0-1-1 1.88	1-0-1 2.06	0-2-0 2.53	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.28	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.69
Bologna	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.62	—	0-0-2 2.75	1-1-0 2.73	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 2.06	0-2-0 2.15	2-0-0 2.48	0-2-0 2.44	0-2-0 2.18	0-2-0 3.05	1-1-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.03	2-0-0 2.65
Cagliari	0-1-1 1.82	0-1-1 2.42	0-2-0 2.47	2-0-0 2.42	—	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.37	0-2-0 1.78	1-0-1 1.86	0-2-0 2.39	1-1-0 2.26	0-0-2 2.30	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 2.54	0-2-0 2.05	1-1-0 2.47
Catanzaro	0-1-1 1.72	0-2-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.55	—	0-0-2 2.29	0-1-1 1.76	0-0-2 2.10	1-0-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.14	1-1-0 2.10	0-2-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.41	0-2-0 1.75	1-1-0 2.48
Fiorentina	0-1-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.68	2-0-0 2.79	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.88	2-0-0 2.89	—	0-1-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.24	0-1-1 2.64	0-2-0 2.52	1-1-0 2.48	2-0-0 3.29	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.28	0-2-0 2.65
Inter Milan	2-0-0 2.60	0-1-1 3.33	1-1-0 3.38	1-1-0 3.21	0-2-0 3.53	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.05	—	1-0-1 2.68	1-1-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.12	1-1-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.56	0-1-1 3.52	0-2-0 2.92	1-1-0 3.10
Juventus	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 3.18	0-2-0 3.10	1-0-1 3.38	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.48	—	0-1-1 3.12	1-1-0 3.04	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 3.61	2-0-0 3.16	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 3.22
Lazio Roma	0-0-2 1.89	0-1-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.67	0-0-2 2.69	0-2-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.54	0-1-1 2.06	1-1-0 2.12	—	0-2-0 2.42	0-2-0 2.26	1-0-1 3.19	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.09	0-2-0 2.70
Napoli	1-0-1 2.19	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.74	0-1-1 2.94	0-1-1 3.07	0-2-0 2.66	0-0-2 2.09	0-1-1 2.16	0-2-0 2.76	—	0-1-1 2.35	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.21	1-1-0 2.94
Perugia	0-1-1 2.36	0-1-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.90	0-2-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.93	0-1-1 3.11	0-1-1 2.69	0-1-1 1.99	1-0-1 2.25	0-2-0 2.94	1-1-0 2.85	—	1-1-0 3.56	1-0-1 2.97	0-0-2 2.66	2-0-0 2.93
Pescara	1-0-1 1.44	0-1-1 2.22	0-1-1 2.13	0-2-0 2.19	1-0-1 2.11	0-2-0 2.36	0-0-2 1.93	0-0-2 1.70	0-0-2 1.70	1-0-1 2.03	1-0-1 1.96	0-1-1 1.75	—	0-0-2 2.29	0-0-2 1.57	0-1-1 2.30
Roma	0-2-0 1.95	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.74	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 1.77	0-0-2 2.07	1-1-0 2.44	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.28	2-0-0 2.95	—	0-1-1 2.14	0-2-0 2.66
Torino	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 3.19	0-2-0 3.19	0-2-0 3.53	0-1-1 2.95	0-2-0 2.30	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 3.17	0-1-1 3.01	2-0-0 2.54	2-0-0 3.76	1-1-0 3.05	—	1-1-0 3.24
Udinese	1-1-0 1.82	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.58	0-1-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.71	0-2-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.17	0-1-1 2.00	0-2-0 2.47	0-1-1 2.24	0-0-2 2.27	1-1-0 2.91	0-2-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.06	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.58%	10.21%	6.67%	2.29%	0.62%	—	39.38%
1	10.21%	17.08%	6.04%	2.29%	0.21%	—	35.83%
2	6.67%	6.04%	3.33%	1.04%	0.21%	—	17.29%
3	2.29%	2.29%	1.04%	0.42%	0.21%	—	6.25%
4	0.62%	0.21%	0.21%	0.21%	—	—	1.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.38%	35.83%	17.29%	6.25%	1.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.94
Mean allowed	0.94
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	1.88
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.117
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	56.67%	23.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	0.63
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.175
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	26.67%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.232
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
1	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	23.33%	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Avellino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.098
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	10.00%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	46.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	1.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.067
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	26.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	50.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	0.84
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.331
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	53.33%
1	3.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Catanzaro — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.80
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.133
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	33.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.136
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
2	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	30.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.389
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	33.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.126
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	43.33%
1	3.33%	26.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	43.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	0.70
StdDev allowed	0.75
Mean total goals/game	1.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.033
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	33.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	60.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	40.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	1.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.418
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	40.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Perugia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.84
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.008
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	33.33%	3.33%	—	—	53.33%
1	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	26.67%	40.00%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Pescara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.60
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.72
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.166
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	20.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.053
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	40.00%
1	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	60.00%	30.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	0.50
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	0.68
Mean total goals/game	1.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.062
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	—	30.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Udinese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.76
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.188
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ascoli	34	28.4	+5.61
2	Inter Milan	41	36.2	+4.81
3	Juventus	38	33.9	+4.09
4	Roma	32	28.3	+3.68
5	Cagliari	30	26.9	+3.09

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Pescara	16	23.7	-7.71
2	Udinese	21	28.4	-7.45
3	Lazio Roma	25	28.7	-3.71
4	Napoli	28	30.8	-2.80
5	Catanzaro	24	26.5	-2.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	5	Apr 5 – May 11	1 in 102
2	Inter Milan	4	Sep 30 – Oct 14	1 in 40
3	Roma	3	Mar 2 – Mar 23	1 in 32
4	Fiorentina	3	Mar 23 – Apr 5	1 in 27
5	AC Milan	4	Apr 13 – May 11	1 in 26

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pescara	7	Jan 6 – Feb 24	1 in 246
2	Udinese	4	Jan 20 – Feb 10	1 in 65
3	Juventus	3	Dec 16 – Jan 6	1 in 64
4	Avellino	3	Apr 27 – May 11	1 in 54
5	Perugia	3	Mar 23 – Apr 5	1 in 32

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentina	16	Dec 16 – Apr 27	1 in 186
2	Bologna	10	Dec 16 – Mar 2	1 in 106
3	Avellino	9	Oct 7 – Dec 9	1 in 48
4	Cagliari	9	Sep 16 – Nov 4	1 in 44
5	Catanzaro	8	Nov 4 – Jan 13	1 in 38

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lazio Roma	10	Jan 6 – Mar 23	1 in 25
2	Avellino	8	Mar 9 – May 11	1 in 22
3	Torino	6	Dec 30 – Feb 3	1 in 22
4	Perugia	7	Oct 14 – Dec 9	1 in 17
5	Pescara	10	Sep 16 – Nov 25	1 in 17

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Inter Milan	29.00%	28.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%
Juventus	20.00%	8.00%	17.00%	11.00%	7.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—
AC Milan	29.00%	33.00%	11.00%	13.00%	3.00%	5.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Torino	11.00%	11.00%	13.00%	15.00%	11.00%	14.00%	6.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Ascoli	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	12.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Fiorentina	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Roma	—	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Bologna	—	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%
Cagliari	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	7.00%	1.00%	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	7.00%	11.00%	14.00%	10.00%
Perugia	3.00%	3.00%	14.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Napoli	1.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	13.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Avellino	2.00%	—	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%	16.00%	5.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Lazio Roma	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	13.00%	12.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%
Catanzaro	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	10.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	11.00%	17.00%
Udinese	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%
Pescara	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	11.00%	6.00%	18.00%	20.00%	36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Inter Milan	99.0%	1.0%
Juventus	97.0%	3.0%
Torino	96.0%	4.0%
Fiorentina	95.0%	5.0%
Napoli	93.0%	7.0%
Perugia	93.0%	7.0%
Avellino	84.0%	16.0%
Lazio Roma	84.0%	16.0%
Roma	83.0%	17.0%
Ascoli	77.0%	23.0%
Bologna	75.0%	25.0%
Udinese	75.0%	25.0%
Cagliari	65.0%	35.0%
Catanzaro	58.0%	42.0%
Pescara	26.0%	74.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1979-09-16	Napoli	D 0-0	1605	1636	40.8%	41.9%	17.3%	-1.3	1
1979-09-16	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1636	1605	17.3%	41.9%	40.8%	+1.3	1
1979-09-16	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1614	1617	44.1%	40.8%	15.1%	-1.7	1
1979-09-16	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1617	1614	15.1%	40.8%	44.1%	+1.7	1
1979-09-16	Torino	D 0-0	1582	1673	33.3%	42.7%	24.0%	-0.5	1
1979-09-16	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1673	1582	24.0%	42.7%	33.3%	+0.5	1
1979-09-16	Udinese	D 1-1	1630	1635	43.8%	40.9%	15.3%	-1.5	1
1979-09-16	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1635	1630	15.3%	40.9%	43.8%	+1.5	1
1979-09-16	Pescara	W 2-0	1676	1580	55.8%	33.9%	10.3%	+7.1	3
1979-09-16	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1580	1676	10.3%	33.9%	55.8%	-7.1	0
1979-09-16	Bologna	D 1-1	1707	1596	57.5%	32.6%	9.9%	-2.6	1
1979-09-16	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1596	1707	9.9%	32.6%	57.5%	+2.6	1
1979-09-16	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1683	1613	52.8%	36.0%	11.2%	-2.5	1
1979-09-16	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1613	1683	11.2%	36.0%	52.8%	+2.5	1
1979-09-16	AC Milan	D 0-0	1606	1721	30.1%	42.4%	27.5%	-0.1	1
1979-09-16	@ Roma	D 0-0	1721	1606	27.5%	42.4%	30.1%	+0.1	1
1979-09-23	Avellino	W 1-0	1721	1612	57.3%	32.8%	10.0%	+3.6	4
1979-09-23	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1612	1721	10.0%	32.8%	57.3%	-3.6	1
1979-09-23	Perugia	D 1-1	1598	1681	34.4%	42.7%	22.9%	-0.5	2
1979-09-23	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1681	1598	22.9%	42.7%	34.4%	+0.5	2
1979-09-23	Juventus	L 0-1	1615	1704	33.6%	42.7%	23.7%	-9.5	1
1979-09-23	@ Catanzaro	W 1-0	1704	1615	23.7%	42.7%	33.6%	+9.5	4
1979-09-23	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1618	1628	43.3%	41.1%	15.6%	+11.1	4
1979-09-23	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1628	1618	15.6%	41.1%	43.3%	-11.1	1
1979-09-23	Cagliari	D 0-0	1637	1582	51.0%	37.2%	11.8%	-2.4	2
1979-09-23	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1582	1637	11.8%	37.2%	51.0%	+2.4	2
1979-09-23	Roma	L 2-3	1573	1606	40.5%	42.0%	17.6%	-9.7	0
1979-09-23	@ Pescara	W 3-2	1606	1573	17.6%	42.0%	40.5%	+9.7	4
1979-09-23	Ascoli	W 1-0	1674	1604	52.6%	36.1%	11.2%	+4.3	4
1979-09-23	@ Torino	L 0-1	1604	1674	11.2%	36.1%	52.6%	-4.3	1
1979-09-23	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1637	1683	38.9%	42.3%	18.8%	-1.0	2
1979-09-23	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1683	1637	18.8%	42.3%	38.9%	+1.0	4
1979-09-30	Catanzaro	D 2-2	1600	1606	43.7%	40.9%	15.3%	-1.1	2
1979-09-30	@ Ascoli	D 2-2	1606	1600	15.3%	40.9%	43.7%	+1.1	2
1979-09-30	Torino	L 0-2	1609	1678	36.0%	42.6%	21.3%	-18.8	1
1979-09-30	@ Avellino	W 2-0	1678	1609	21.3%	42.6%	36.0%	+18.9	7
1979-09-30	AC Milan	D 0-0	1584	1725	26.9%	41.7%	31.4%	+0.2	3
1979-09-30	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1725	1584	31.4%	41.7%	26.9%	-0.2	5
1979-09-30	Napoli	D 0-0	1617	1635	42.4%	41.4%	16.2%	-1.5	2
1979-09-30	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1635	1617	16.2%	41.4%	42.4%	+1.5	3
1979-09-30	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1684	1629	50.9%	37.2%	11.9%	+4.3	7
1979-09-30	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1629	1684	11.9%	37.2%	50.9%	-4.3	4
1979-09-30	Pescara	W 3-0	1713	1563	62.3%	28.8%	8.9%	+8.1	7
1979-09-30	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1563	1713	8.9%	28.8%	62.3%	-8.1	0
1979-09-30	Udinese	W 2-0	1681	1636	49.8%	37.9%	12.3%	+8.9	5
1979-09-30	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1636	1681	12.3%	37.9%	49.8%	-8.9	2
1979-09-30	Bologna	L 1-2	1615	1598	46.5%	39.7%	13.8%	-11.3	4
1979-09-30	@ Roma	W 2-1	1598	1615	13.8%	39.7%	46.5%	+11.3	5
1979-10-07	Juventus	W 2-1	1724	1722	44.8%	40.5%	14.7%	+5.3	8
1979-10-07	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1722	1724	14.7%	40.5%	44.8%	-5.3	7
1979-10-07	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1609	1688	34.8%	42.7%	22.5%	-9.2	5
1979-10-07	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1688	1609	22.5%	42.7%	34.8%	+9.2	10
1979-10-07	Avellino	D 0-0	1607	1590	46.5%	39.7%	13.8%	-1.9	3
1979-10-07	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1590	1607	13.8%	39.7%	46.5%	+1.9	2
1979-10-07	Perugia	D 1-1	1625	1690	36.5%	42.6%	20.8%	-0.8	5
1979-10-07	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1690	1625	20.8%	42.6%	36.5%	+0.8	6
1979-10-07	Roma	W 3-0	1636	1604	48.2%	38.8%	13.0%	+13.7	6
1979-10-07	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1604	1636	13.0%	38.8%	48.2%	-13.7	4
1979-10-07	Ascoli	D 0-0	1555	1599	39.2%	42.2%	18.6%	-1.1	1
1979-10-07	@ Pescara	D 0-0	1599	1555	18.6%	42.2%	39.2%	+1.1	3
1979-10-07	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1697	1616	54.0%	35.2%	10.8%	-2.4	8
1979-10-07	@ Torino	D 1-1	1616	1697	10.8%	35.2%	54.0%	+2.4	3
1979-10-07	Cagliari	D 1-1	1627	1584	49.5%	38.1%	12.4%	-2.0	3
1979-10-07	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1584	1627	12.4%	38.1%	49.5%	+2.0	4
1979-10-11	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1600	1618	42.3%	41.4%	16.3%	+6.1	6
1979-10-11	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1618	1600	16.3%	41.4%	42.3%	-6.1	3
1979-10-11	Catanzaro	W 4-1	1600	1605	43.9%	40.9%	15.3%	+13.3	8
1979-10-11	@ Bologna	L 1-4	1605	1600	15.3%	40.9%	43.9%	-13.3	3
1979-10-11	Avellino	D 1-1	1586	1592	43.8%	40.9%	15.3%	-1.5	5
1979-10-11	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1592	1586	15.3%	40.9%	43.8%	+1.5	3
1979-10-11	Juventus	W 4-0	1697	1716	42.2%	41.5%	16.3%	+21.8	13
1979-10-11	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1716	1697	16.3%	41.5%	42.2%	-21.8	7
1979-10-11	Pescara	W 2-0	1624	1554	52.8%	36.0%	11.2%	+8.0	8
1979-10-11	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1554	1624	11.2%	36.0%	52.8%	-8.0	1
1979-10-11	Udinese	W 1-0	1650	1625	47.4%	39.3%	13.3%	+5.1	9
1979-10-11	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1625	1650	13.3%	39.3%	47.4%	-5.1	3
1979-10-11	Roma	W 3-1	1691	1590	56.3%	33.5%	10.2%	+6.1	9
1979-10-11	@ Perugia	L 1-3	1590	1691	10.2%	33.5%	56.3%	-6.1	4
1979-10-11	AC Milan	L 0-1	1694	1730	40.2%	42.0%	17.8%	-10.8	8
1979-10-11	@ Torino	W 1-0	1730	1694	17.8%	42.0%	40.2%	+10.8	11
1979-10-14	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1606	1632	41.3%	41.7%	17.0%	-1.2	7
1979-10-14	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1632	1606	17.0%	41.7%	41.3%	+1.2	9
1979-10-14	Bologna	W 1-0	1593	1613	42.0%	41.5%	16.4%	+6.1	6
1979-10-14	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1613	1593	16.4%	41.5%	42.0%	-6.1	8
1979-10-14	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1585	1592	43.6%	41.0%	15.4%	+5.8	8
1979-10-14	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1592	1585	15.4%	41.0%	43.6%	-5.8	3
1979-10-14	Pescara	W 2-0	1612	1546	52.2%	36.4%	11.4%	+8.2	6
1979-10-14	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1546	1612	11.4%	36.4%	52.2%	-8.2	1
1979-10-14	Napoli	W 1-0	1719	1655	52.0%	36.5%	11.5%	+4.3	16
1979-10-14	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1655	1719	11.5%	36.5%	52.0%	-4.4	9
1979-10-14	Udinese	D 1-1	1694	1620	53.2%	35.7%	11.1%	-2.3	8
1979-10-14	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1620	1694	11.1%	35.7%	53.2%	+2.3	4
1979-10-14	AC Milan	D 1-1	1697	1740	39.2%	42.2%	18.5%	-1.0	10
1979-10-14	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1740	1697	18.5%	42.2%	39.2%	+1.0	12
1979-10-14	Torino	D 1-1	1584	1683	32.2%	42.6%	25.1%	-0.3	5
1979-10-14	@ Roma	D 1-1	1683	1584	25.1%	42.6%	32.2%	+0.3	9
1979-10-21	Ascoli	W 3-0	1741	1605	60.7%	30.1%	9.2%	+8.6	15
1979-10-21	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1605	1741	9.2%	30.1%	60.7%	-8.6	7
1979-10-21	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1607	1620	42.9%	41.2%	15.8%	+5.6	11
1979-10-21	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1620	1607	15.8%	41.2%	42.9%	-5.6	6
1979-10-21	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1586	1724	27.2%	41.8%	31.0%	+0.2	4
1979-10-21	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1724	1586	31.0%	41.8%	27.2%	-0.2	17
1979-10-21	Cagliari	D 1-1	1634	1591	49.5%	38.1%	12.4%	-2.0	10
1979-10-21	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1591	1634	12.4%	38.1%	49.5%	+2.0	9
1979-10-21	Perugia	D 1-1	1651	1696	39.0%	42.3%	18.7%	-1.0	10
1979-10-21	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1696	1651	18.7%	42.3%	39.0%	+1.0	11
1979-10-21	Avellino	D 1-1	1538	1599	37.0%	42.6%	20.5%	-0.8	2
1979-10-21	@ Pescara	D 1-1	1599	1538	20.5%	42.6%	37.0%	+0.8	7
1979-10-21	Juventus	L 1-2	1684	1692	43.5%	41.0%	15.5%	-10.8	9
1979-10-21	@ Torino	W 2-1	1692	1684	15.5%	41.0%	43.5%	+10.8	11
1979-10-21	Roma	D 0-0	1622	1584	48.9%	38.4%	12.6%	-2.2	5
1979-10-21	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1584	1622	12.6%	38.4%	48.9%	+2.2	6
1979-10-28	Bologna	W 2-0	1596	1613	42.4%	41.4%	16.2%	+11.4	10
1979-10-28	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1613	1596	16.2%	41.4%	42.4%	-11.4	11
1979-10-28	Udinese	D 0-0	1600	1620	42.1%	41.5%	16.4%	-1.5	8
1979-10-28	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1620	1600	16.4%	41.5%	42.1%	+1.5	6
1979-10-28	Pescara	W 1-0	1593	1537	51.0%	37.2%	11.8%	+4.5	12
1979-10-28	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1537	1593	11.8%	37.2%	51.0%	-4.5	2
1979-10-28	Catanzaro	W 3-0	1614	1586	47.8%	39.1%	13.1%	+13.9	9
1979-10-28	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1586	1614	13.1%	39.1%	47.8%	-13.9	4
1979-10-28	AC Milan	W 2-0	1723	1750	41.3%	41.7%	17.0%	+11.8	20
1979-10-28	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1750	1723	17.0%	41.7%	41.3%	-11.8	15
1979-10-28	Napoli	W 1-0	1703	1650	50.7%	37.4%	11.9%	+4.6	14
1979-10-28	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1650	1703	11.9%	37.4%	50.7%	-4.6	10
1979-10-28	Torino	L 0-2	1697	1673	47.3%	39.3%	13.4%	-22.8	11
1979-10-28	@ Perugia	W 2-0	1673	1697	13.4%	39.3%	47.3%	+22.8	12
1979-10-28	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1586	1632	39.0%	42.3%	18.7%	-1.0	7
1979-10-28	@ Roma	D 1-1	1632	1586	18.7%	42.3%	39.0%	+1.0	11
1979-11-04	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1738	1628	57.4%	32.6%	9.9%	+6.7	18
1979-11-04	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1628	1738	9.9%	32.6%	57.4%	-6.7	9
1979-11-04	Cagliari	L 0-1	1601	1597	45.0%	40.4%	14.6%	-11.7	11
1979-11-04	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1597	1601	14.6%	40.4%	45.0%	+11.7	15
1979-11-04	Roma	D 2-2	1572	1585	42.9%	41.2%	15.9%	-1.0	5
1979-11-04	@ Catanzaro	D 2-2	1585	1572	15.9%	41.2%	42.9%	+1.0	8
1979-11-04	Juventus	W 1-0	1633	1707	35.3%	42.7%	22.0%	+7.4	14
1979-11-04	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1707	1633	22.0%	42.7%	35.3%	-7.4	14
1979-11-04	Avellino	L 0-1	1645	1599	49.9%	37.9%	12.2%	-12.6	10
1979-11-04	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1599	1645	12.2%	37.9%	49.9%	+12.6	11
1979-11-04	Perugia	D 1-1	1532	1674	26.7%	41.6%	31.6%	+0.2	3
1979-11-04	@ Pescara	D 1-1	1674	1532	31.6%	41.6%	26.7%	-0.2	12
1979-11-04	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1696	1735	39.7%	42.1%	18.1%	-1.2	13
1979-11-04	@ Torino	D 0-0	1735	1696	18.1%	42.1%	39.7%	+1.2	21
1979-11-04	Ascoli	W 3-1	1622	1607	46.1%	39.9%	14.0%	+8.8	9
1979-11-04	@ Udinese	L 1-3	1607	1622	14.0%	39.9%	46.1%	-8.8	10
1979-11-25	Napoli	L 1-2	1745	1632	57.7%	32.4%	9.8%	-13.0	18
1979-11-25	@ AC Milan	W 2-1	1632	1745	9.8%	32.4%	57.7%	+13.0	13
1979-11-25	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1611	1736	28.8%	42.2%	29.0%	+0.0	12
1979-11-25	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1736	1611	29.0%	42.2%	28.8%	-0.0	22
1979-11-25	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1571	1640	36.1%	42.6%	21.3%	+6.9	8
1979-11-25	@ Catanzaro	L 1-2	1640	1571	21.3%	42.6%	36.1%	-6.8	14
1979-11-25	Perugia	D 0-0	1622	1674	38.1%	42.4%	19.4%	-1.0	10
1979-11-25	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1674	1622	19.4%	42.4%	38.1%	+1.0	13
1979-11-25	Cagliari	W 1-0	1700	1609	55.2%	34.3%	10.5%	+3.9	17
1979-11-25	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1609	1700	10.5%	34.3%	55.2%	-3.9	15
1979-11-25	Bologna	D 0-0	1532	1590	37.5%	42.5%	20.0%	-1.0	4
1979-11-25	@ Pescara	D 0-0	1590	1532	20.0%	42.5%	37.5%	+1.0	12
1979-11-25	Ascoli	W 1-0	1586	1599	43.0%	41.2%	15.8%	+5.9	11
1979-11-25	@ Roma	L 0-1	1599	1586	15.8%	41.2%	43.0%	-5.9	10
1979-11-25	Torino	L 0-1	1630	1695	36.6%	42.6%	20.8%	-10.1	9
1979-11-25	@ Udinese	W 1-0	1695	1630	20.8%	42.6%	36.6%	+10.1	16
1979-12-02	Udinese	D 0-0	1732	1620	57.6%	32.5%	9.9%	-3.0	19
1979-12-02	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1620	1732	9.9%	32.5%	57.6%	+2.9	10
1979-12-02	Juventus	W 1-0	1611	1704	33.0%	42.7%	24.3%	+7.8	15
1979-12-02	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1704	1611	24.3%	42.7%	33.0%	-7.9	17
1979-12-02	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1591	1633	39.3%	42.2%	18.4%	+6.6	15
1979-12-02	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1633	1591	18.4%	42.2%	39.3%	-6.6	14
1979-12-02	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1605	1736	28.0%	42.0%	30.0%	+0.1	16
1979-12-02	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1736	1605	30.0%	42.0%	28.0%	-0.1	23
1979-12-02	Ascoli	D 0-0	1675	1593	54.1%	35.1%	10.8%	-2.7	14
1979-12-02	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1593	1675	10.8%	35.1%	54.1%	+2.6	11
1979-12-02	Napoli	W 1-0	1531	1645	30.3%	42.4%	27.3%	+8.4	7
1979-12-02	@ Pescara	L 0-1	1645	1531	27.3%	42.4%	30.3%	-8.4	13
1979-12-02	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1592	1620	41.1%	41.8%	17.1%	+5.9	14
1979-12-02	@ Roma	L 1-2	1620	1592	17.1%	41.8%	41.1%	-5.9	10
1979-12-02	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1705	1578	59.5%	31.1%	9.5%	-3.1	17
1979-12-02	@ Torino	D 0-0	1578	1705	9.5%	31.1%	59.5%	+3.1	9
1979-12-09	Avellino	D 0-0	1595	1619	41.6%	41.6%	16.7%	-1.4	12
1979-12-09	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1619	1595	16.7%	41.6%	41.6%	+1.4	16
1979-12-09	AC Milan	L 0-1	1597	1729	28.0%	42.0%	30.0%	-8.5	15
1979-12-09	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1729	1597	30.0%	42.0%	28.0%	+8.5	22
1979-12-09	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1605	1615	43.3%	41.1%	15.6%	+5.5	19
1979-12-09	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1615	1605	15.6%	41.1%	43.3%	-5.5	10
1979-12-09	Pescara	D 1-1	1581	1540	49.3%	38.2%	12.5%	-2.0	10
1979-12-09	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1540	1581	12.5%	38.2%	49.3%	+2.0	8
1979-12-09	Perugia	W 3-2	1736	1672	52.0%	36.5%	11.5%	+3.9	26
1979-12-09	@ Inter Milan	L 2-3	1672	1736	11.5%	36.5%	52.0%	-3.9	14
1979-12-09	Roma	W 2-0	1696	1598	56.0%	33.7%	10.3%	+7.1	20
1979-12-09	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1598	1696	10.3%	33.7%	56.0%	-7.1	14
1979-12-09	Udinese	D 0-0	1627	1623	44.9%	40.5%	14.7%	-1.8	15
1979-12-09	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1623	1627	14.7%	40.5%	44.9%	+1.8	11
1979-12-09	Torino	W 1-0	1637	1702	36.6%	42.6%	20.8%	+7.2	16
1979-12-09	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1702	1637	20.8%	42.6%	36.6%	-7.2	17
1979-12-16	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1737	1579	63.2%	28.0%	8.7%	-3.3	23
1979-12-16	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1579	1737	8.7%	28.0%	63.2%	+3.4	11
1979-12-16	Cagliari	W 1-0	1594	1611	42.5%	41.4%	16.2%	+6.0	15
1979-12-16	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1611	1594	16.2%	41.4%	42.5%	-6.0	19
1979-12-16	Avellino	W 3-0	1609	1620	43.1%	41.2%	15.7%	+16.2	13
1979-12-16	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1620	1609	15.7%	41.2%	43.1%	-16.2	16
1979-12-16	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1644	1625	46.8%	39.6%	13.7%	-2.0	17
1979-12-16	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1625	1644	13.7%	39.6%	46.8%	+2.0	16
1979-12-16	Juventus	W 1-0	1668	1703	40.3%	42.0%	17.7%	+6.5	17
1979-12-16	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1703	1668	17.7%	42.0%	40.3%	-6.5	20
1979-12-16	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1591	1740	25.9%	41.4%	32.8%	+9.2	17
1979-12-16	@ Roma	L 0-1	1740	1591	32.8%	41.4%	25.9%	-9.2	26
1979-12-16	Pescara	W 2-0	1695	1542	62.6%	28.6%	8.8%	+5.5	20
1979-12-16	@ Torino	L 0-2	1542	1695	8.8%	28.6%	62.6%	-5.5	8
1979-12-16	Bologna	L 0-2	1625	1589	48.7%	38.6%	12.7%	-23.3	11
1979-12-16	@ Udinese	W 2-0	1589	1625	12.7%	38.6%	48.7%	+23.3	18
1979-12-30	Perugia	D 2-2	1604	1675	35.9%	42.7%	21.5%	-0.5	17
1979-12-30	@ Avellino	D 2-2	1675	1604	21.5%	42.7%	35.9%	+0.5	18
1979-12-30	Napoli	D 0-0	1612	1642	40.9%	41.9%	17.3%	-1.3	19
1979-12-30	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1642	1612	17.3%	41.9%	40.9%	+1.3	18
1979-12-30	Roma	L 1-3	1605	1600	45.0%	40.4%	14.6%	-19.1	19
1979-12-30	@ Cagliari	W 3-1	1600	1605	14.6%	40.4%	45.0%	+19.1	20
1979-12-30	Udinese	D 1-1	1582	1602	42.2%	41.5%	16.4%	-1.3	12
1979-12-30	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1602	1582	16.4%	41.5%	42.2%	+1.3	12
1979-12-30	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1731	1625	56.9%	33.0%	10.0%	-2.9	27
1979-12-30	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1625	1731	10.0%	33.0%	56.9%	+2.9	14
1979-12-30	Ascoli	L 2-3	1697	1600	55.9%	33.8%	10.3%	-12.1	20
1979-12-30	@ Juventus	W 3-2	1600	1697	10.3%	33.8%	55.9%	+12.1	18
1979-12-30	Torino	W 2-1	1627	1700	35.5%	42.7%	21.8%	+7.0	19
1979-12-30	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1700	1627	21.8%	42.7%	35.5%	-7.0	20
1979-12-30	AC Milan	W 2-1	1536	1734	21.0%	38.8%	40.2%	+9.8	11
1979-12-30	@ Pescara	L 1-2	1734	1536	40.2%	38.8%	21.0%	-9.8	23
1980-01-06	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1724	1634	55.1%	34.4%	10.5%	+3.7	26
1980-01-06	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1634	1724	10.5%	34.4%	55.1%	-3.7	19
1980-01-06	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1612	1728	30.0%	42.4%	27.6%	-0.1	19
1980-01-06	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1728	1612	27.6%	42.4%	30.0%	+0.1	28
1980-01-06	Juventus	W 2-1	1628	1685	37.6%	42.5%	19.9%	+6.6	17
1980-01-06	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1685	1628	19.9%	42.5%	37.6%	-6.6	20
1980-01-06	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1644	1581	51.8%	36.7%	11.5%	-2.2	19
1980-01-06	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1581	1644	11.5%	36.7%	51.8%	+2.2	13
1980-01-06	Cagliari	W 1-0	1675	1585	55.0%	34.4%	10.5%	+3.9	21
1980-01-06	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1585	1675	10.5%	34.4%	55.0%	-3.9	19
1980-01-06	Avellino	D 1-1	1619	1604	46.3%	39.8%	13.9%	-1.7	21
1980-01-06	@ Roma	D 1-1	1604	1619	13.9%	39.8%	46.3%	+1.7	18
1980-01-06	Bologna	D 0-0	1693	1611	54.1%	35.1%	10.8%	-2.6	21
1980-01-06	@ Torino	D 0-0	1611	1693	10.8%	35.1%	54.1%	+2.7	20
1980-01-06	Pescara	W 2-1	1603	1546	51.1%	37.1%	11.8%	+4.2	15
1980-01-06	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1546	1603	11.8%	37.1%	51.1%	-4.2	11
1980-01-13	Roma	D 0-0	1728	1618	57.5%	32.6%	9.9%	-2.9	27
1980-01-13	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1618	1728	9.9%	32.6%	57.5%	+2.9	22
1980-01-13	Juventus	D 1-1	1614	1678	36.6%	42.6%	20.8%	-0.8	21
1980-01-13	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1678	1614	20.8%	42.6%	36.6%	+0.8	21
1980-01-13	Perugia	W 2-1	1583	1679	32.6%	42.7%	24.7%	+7.5	16
1980-01-13	@ Catanzaro	L 1-2	1679	1583	24.7%	42.7%	32.6%	-7.5	21
1980-01-13	Avellino	D 1-1	1630	1605	47.4%	39.3%	13.4%	-1.8	20
1980-01-13	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1605	1630	13.4%	39.3%	47.4%	+1.8	19
1980-01-13	Ascoli	W 1-0	1641	1612	47.9%	39.0%	13.1%	+5.1	22
1980-01-13	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1612	1641	13.1%	39.0%	47.9%	-5.0	19
1980-01-13	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1542	1728	22.0%	39.5%	38.4%	-13.4	11
1980-01-13	@ Pescara	W 2-0	1728	1542	38.4%	39.5%	22.0%	+13.4	31
1980-01-13	Cagliari	D 0-0	1690	1582	57.3%	32.7%	10.0%	-2.9	22
1980-01-13	@ Torino	D 0-0	1582	1690	10.0%	32.7%	57.3%	+2.9	20
1980-01-13	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1607	1635	41.2%	41.8%	17.1%	-0.9	16
1980-01-13	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1635	1607	17.1%	41.8%	41.2%	+0.9	18
1980-01-20	Torino	W 1-0	1607	1687	34.6%	42.7%	22.7%	+7.5	22
1980-01-20	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1687	1607	22.7%	42.7%	34.6%	-7.5	22
1980-01-20	AC Milan	W 1-0	1607	1725	29.8%	42.3%	27.9%	+8.5	22
1980-01-20	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1725	1607	27.9%	42.3%	29.8%	-8.5	27
1980-01-20	Napoli	W 1-0	1584	1646	36.9%	42.6%	20.5%	+7.1	23
1980-01-20	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1646	1584	20.5%	42.6%	36.9%	-7.1	22
1980-01-20	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1636	1628	45.3%	40.3%	14.4%	-1.8	19
1980-01-20	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1628	1636	14.4%	40.3%	45.3%	+1.8	21
1980-01-20	Udinese	W 2-1	1742	1606	60.5%	30.3%	9.2%	+3.0	34
1980-01-20	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1606	1742	9.2%	30.3%	60.5%	-3.0	16
1980-01-20	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1679	1591	54.8%	34.6%	10.6%	+3.9	24
1980-01-20	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1591	1679	10.6%	34.6%	54.8%	-3.9	16
1980-01-20	Bologna	D 1-1	1672	1613	51.4%	36.9%	11.7%	-2.2	22
1980-01-20	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1613	1672	11.7%	36.9%	51.4%	+2.2	22
1980-01-20	Pescara	W 2-0	1621	1528	55.3%	34.2%	10.5%	+7.3	25
1980-01-20	@ Roma	L 0-2	1528	1621	10.5%	34.2%	55.3%	-7.3	11
1980-01-27	Cagliari	W 2-0	1717	1592	59.2%	31.3%	9.5%	+6.3	30
1980-01-27	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1592	1717	9.5%	31.3%	59.2%	-6.3	23
1980-01-27	Roma	D 1-1	1615	1628	42.9%	41.2%	15.9%	-1.4	23
1980-01-27	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1628	1615	15.9%	41.2%	42.9%	+1.4	26
1980-01-27	Ascoli	D 1-1	1587	1614	41.1%	41.8%	17.1%	-1.2	17
1980-01-27	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1614	1587	17.1%	41.8%	41.1%	+1.2	23
1980-01-27	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1630	1745	30.2%	42.4%	27.4%	-0.1	22
1980-01-27	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1745	1630	27.4%	42.4%	30.2%	+0.1	35
1980-01-27	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1639	1634	45.1%	40.4%	14.5%	-1.8	23
1980-01-27	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1634	1639	14.5%	40.4%	45.1%	+1.8	20
1980-01-27	Juventus	L 0-2	1521	1683	24.5%	40.8%	34.7%	-14.5	11
1980-01-27	@ Pescara	W 2-0	1683	1521	34.7%	40.8%	24.5%	+14.5	27
1980-01-27	Avellino	D 2-2	1680	1616	52.0%	36.5%	11.5%	-1.6	23
1980-01-27	@ Torino	D 2-2	1616	1680	11.5%	36.5%	52.0%	+1.6	23
1980-01-27	Perugia	L 1-2	1603	1670	36.4%	42.6%	21.0%	-9.5	16
1980-01-27	@ Udinese	W 2-1	1670	1603	21.0%	42.6%	36.4%	+9.5	25
1980-02-03	Pescara	W 3-1	1616	1507	57.3%	32.7%	10.0%	+5.8	26
1980-02-03	@ Ascoli	L 1-3	1507	1616	10.0%	32.7%	57.3%	-5.8	11
1980-02-03	Catanzaro	W 2-0	1617	1586	48.2%	38.8%	13.0%	+9.4	26
1980-02-03	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1586	1617	13.0%	38.8%	48.2%	-9.4	17
1980-02-03	Udinese	W 3-1	1585	1594	43.5%	41.0%	15.5%	+9.6	26
1980-02-03	@ Cagliari	L 1-3	1594	1585	15.5%	41.0%	43.5%	-9.6	16
1980-02-03	Torino	W 1-0	1636	1678	39.3%	42.2%	18.5%	+6.6	23
1980-02-03	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1678	1636	18.5%	42.2%	39.3%	-6.6	23
1980-02-03	Bologna	D 0-0	1745	1614	60.0%	30.7%	9.4%	-3.1	36
1980-02-03	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1614	1745	9.4%	30.7%	60.0%	+3.1	24
1980-02-03	AC Milan	W 2-1	1697	1723	41.4%	41.7%	16.9%	+5.9	30
1980-02-03	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1723	1697	16.9%	41.7%	41.4%	-5.9	30
1980-02-03	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1679	1630	50.3%	37.6%	12.1%	-2.3	26
1980-02-03	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1630	1679	12.1%	37.6%	50.3%	+2.3	23
1980-02-03	Napoli	D 0-0	1629	1638	43.5%	41.0%	15.5%	-1.6	27
1980-02-03	@ Roma	D 0-0	1638	1629	15.5%	41.0%	43.5%	+1.6	24
1980-02-10	Perugia	W 1-0	1717	1677	49.2%	38.3%	12.5%	+4.8	33
1980-02-10	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1677	1717	12.5%	38.3%	49.2%	-4.8	26
1980-02-10	Avellino	W 1-0	1617	1627	43.2%	41.1%	15.6%	+5.9	27
1980-02-10	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1627	1617	15.6%	41.1%	43.2%	-5.9	26
1980-02-10	Cagliari	W 1-0	1576	1595	42.2%	41.5%	16.3%	+6.1	20
1980-02-10	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1595	1576	16.3%	41.5%	42.2%	-6.1	26
1980-02-10	Ascoli	L 0-1	1632	1621	45.7%	40.1%	14.2%	-11.8	23
1980-02-10	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1621	1632	14.2%	40.1%	45.7%	+11.8	29
1980-02-10	Inter Milan	L 3-4	1639	1742	31.8%	42.6%	25.6%	-8.0	24
1980-02-10	@ Napoli	W 4-3	1742	1639	25.6%	42.6%	31.8%	+8.0	39
1980-02-10	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1501	1642	26.8%	41.7%	31.6%	-7.7	11
1980-02-10	@ Pescara	W 2-1	1642	1501	31.6%	41.7%	26.8%	+7.8	26
1980-02-10	Roma	W 1-0	1672	1628	49.6%	38.0%	12.3%	+4.8	26
1980-02-10	@ Torino	L 0-1	1628	1672	12.3%	38.0%	49.6%	-4.8	27
1980-02-10	Juventus	L 1-3	1584	1703	29.6%	42.3%	28.1%	-14.3	16
1980-02-10	@ Udinese	W 3-1	1703	1584	28.1%	42.3%	29.6%	+14.3	33
1980-02-24	AC Milan	D 0-0	1633	1722	33.6%	42.7%	23.7%	-0.5	30
1980-02-24	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1722	1633	23.7%	42.7%	33.6%	+0.5	34
1980-02-24	Pescara	W 2-0	1621	1493	59.6%	31.0%	9.4%	+6.2	29
1980-02-24	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1493	1621	9.4%	31.0%	59.6%	-6.2	11
1980-02-24	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1589	1620	40.7%	41.9%	17.4%	-1.2	27
1980-02-24	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1620	1589	17.4%	41.9%	40.7%	+1.2	24
1980-02-24	Bologna	D 0-0	1650	1623	47.7%	39.1%	13.2%	-2.0	27
1980-02-24	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1623	1650	13.2%	39.1%	47.7%	+2.0	28
1980-02-24	Catanzaro	W 3-1	1750	1582	64.3%	27.2%	8.5%	+4.4	42
1980-02-24	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1582	1750	8.5%	27.2%	64.3%	-4.4	20
1980-02-24	Torino	D 0-0	1718	1676	49.3%	38.2%	12.5%	-2.2	34
1980-02-24	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1676	1718	12.5%	38.2%	49.3%	+2.2	27
1980-02-24	Napoli	W 1-0	1672	1631	49.3%	38.2%	12.5%	+4.8	29
1980-02-24	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1631	1672	12.5%	38.2%	49.3%	-4.8	24
1980-02-24	Udinese	D 1-1	1623	1570	50.7%	37.4%	11.9%	-2.1	28
1980-02-24	@ Roma	D 1-1	1570	1623	11.9%	37.4%	50.7%	+2.1	17
1980-03-02	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1722	1754	40.6%	41.9%	17.4%	-10.9	34
1980-03-02	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1754	1722	17.4%	41.9%	40.6%	+10.9	45
1980-03-02	Ascoli	D 0-0	1625	1633	43.5%	41.0%	15.5%	-1.6	29
1980-03-02	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1633	1625	15.5%	41.0%	43.5%	+1.6	31
1980-03-02	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1578	1648	35.9%	42.7%	21.4%	-10.0	20
1980-03-02	@ Catanzaro	W 1-0	1648	1578	21.4%	42.7%	35.9%	+10.0	30
1980-03-02	Roma	L 1-2	1621	1621	44.5%	40.6%	14.9%	-11.0	24
1980-03-02	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1621	1621	14.9%	40.6%	44.5%	+10.9	31
1980-03-02	Juventus	D 0-0	1626	1715	33.5%	42.7%	23.8%	-0.5	25
1980-03-02	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1715	1626	23.8%	42.7%	33.5%	+0.5	35
1980-03-02	Cagliari	W 2-0	1487	1588	32.0%	42.6%	25.4%	+15.2	14
1980-03-02	@ Pescara	L 0-2	1588	1487	25.4%	42.6%	32.0%	-15.2	27
1980-03-02	Perugia	W 2-0	1679	1677	44.7%	40.6%	14.8%	+10.6	30
1980-03-02	@ Torino	L 0-2	1677	1679	14.8%	40.6%	44.7%	-10.6	29
1980-03-02	Avellino	L 0-1	1572	1627	37.8%	42.5%	19.7%	-10.3	17
1980-03-02	@ Udinese	W 1-0	1627	1572	19.7%	42.5%	37.8%	+10.3	32
1980-03-09	Udinese	W 3-0	1634	1562	53.0%	35.9%	11.1%	+11.5	34
1980-03-09	@ Ascoli	L 0-3	1562	1634	11.1%	35.9%	53.0%	-11.5	17
1980-03-09	Napoli	L 2-3	1637	1626	45.8%	40.0%	14.1%	-10.6	32
1980-03-09	@ Avellino	W 3-2	1626	1637	14.1%	40.0%	45.8%	+10.6	28
1980-03-09	Bologna	W 1-0	1572	1623	38.4%	42.4%	19.3%	+6.8	30
1980-03-09	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1623	1572	19.3%	42.4%	38.4%	-6.8	29
1980-03-09	AC Milan	D 1-1	1658	1711	38.0%	42.4%	19.6%	-0.9	31
1980-03-09	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1711	1658	19.6%	42.4%	38.0%	+0.9	35
1980-03-09	Torino	D 1-1	1765	1689	53.4%	35.6%	11.0%	-2.3	46
1980-03-09	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1689	1765	11.0%	35.6%	53.4%	+2.3	31
1980-03-09	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1716	1611	56.9%	33.1%	10.1%	-2.9	36
1980-03-09	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1611	1716	10.1%	33.1%	56.9%	+2.9	25
1980-03-09	Pescara	W 1-0	1666	1502	63.9%	27.5%	8.6%	+2.8	32
1980-03-09	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1502	1666	8.6%	27.5%	63.9%	-2.8	14
1980-03-09	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1632	1568	52.0%	36.5%	11.5%	+4.4	34
1980-03-09	@ Roma	L 0-1	1568	1632	11.5%	36.5%	52.0%	-4.4	20
1980-03-23	Torino	L 0-2	1712	1692	46.9%	39.5%	13.6%	-22.7	35
1980-03-23	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1692	1712	13.6%	39.5%	46.9%	+22.7	34
1980-03-23	Cagliari	D 2-2	1627	1579	50.0%	37.8%	12.2%	-1.5	33
1980-03-23	@ Avellino	D 2-2	1579	1627	12.2%	37.8%	50.0%	+1.5	31
1980-03-23	Bologna	D 0-0	1564	1616	38.1%	42.4%	19.5%	-1.0	21
1980-03-23	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1616	1564	19.5%	42.4%	38.1%	+1.0	30
1980-03-23	Ascoli	W 3-1	1657	1646	45.8%	40.1%	14.2%	+8.9	34
1980-03-23	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1646	1657	14.2%	40.1%	45.8%	-8.9	34
1980-03-23	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1713	1763	38.5%	42.4%	19.2%	+12.8	39
1980-03-23	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1763	1713	19.2%	42.4%	38.5%	-12.8	46
1980-03-23	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1499	1613	30.3%	42.4%	27.3%	+15.8	17
1980-03-23	@ Pescara	L 0-2	1613	1499	27.3%	42.4%	30.3%	-15.8	25
1980-03-23	Perugia	W 4-0	1636	1669	40.5%	41.9%	17.5%	+22.9	37
1980-03-23	@ Roma	L 0-4	1669	1636	17.5%	41.9%	40.5%	-22.9	32
1980-03-23	Napoli	D 0-0	1550	1636	33.9%	42.7%	23.4%	-0.5	18
1980-03-23	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1636	1550	23.4%	42.7%	33.9%	+0.5	29
1980-03-30	Roma	W 3-0	1637	1659	41.8%	41.6%	16.6%	+16.9	37
1980-03-30	@ Ascoli	L 0-3	1659	1637	16.6%	41.6%	41.8%	-16.9	37
1980-03-30	Pescara	D 0-0	1617	1515	56.5%	33.4%	10.2%	-2.9	31
1980-03-30	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1515	1617	10.2%	33.4%	56.5%	+2.9	18
1980-03-30	Juventus	W 2-1	1581	1726	26.4%	41.5%	32.1%	+8.6	34
1980-03-30	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1726	1581	32.1%	41.5%	26.4%	-8.6	39
1980-03-30	Avellino	W 3-0	1750	1625	59.2%	31.3%	9.5%	+9.1	49
1980-03-30	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1625	1750	9.5%	31.3%	59.2%	-9.1	33
1980-03-30	Catanzaro	W 2-0	1598	1563	48.6%	38.6%	12.8%	+9.3	28
1980-03-30	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1563	1598	12.8%	38.6%	48.6%	-9.3	21
1980-03-30	AC Milan	L 0-1	1637	1690	38.1%	42.4%	19.5%	-10.4	29
1980-03-30	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1690	1637	19.5%	42.4%	38.1%	+10.4	38
1980-03-30	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1646	1666	42.1%	41.5%	16.4%	-10.5	32
1980-03-30	@ Perugia	W 2-1	1666	1646	16.4%	41.5%	42.1%	+10.5	37
1980-03-30	Udinese	D 1-1	1714	1550	64.0%	27.4%	8.6%	-3.0	35
1980-03-30	@ Torino	D 1-1	1550	1714	8.6%	27.4%	64.0%	+3.0	19
1980-04-05	Perugia	W 1-0	1654	1635	46.6%	39.6%	13.7%	+5.3	40
1980-04-05	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1635	1654	13.7%	39.6%	46.6%	-5.3	32
1980-04-05	Torino	D 0-0	1553	1711	24.9%	41.0%	34.1%	+0.5	22
1980-04-05	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1711	1553	34.1%	41.0%	24.9%	-0.5	36
1980-04-05	Roma	W 3-1	1676	1642	48.5%	38.7%	12.8%	+8.1	40
1980-04-05	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1642	1676	12.8%	38.7%	48.5%	-8.1	37
1980-04-05	Cagliari	D 3-3	1759	1589	64.6%	27.0%	8.5%	-1.9	50
1980-04-05	@ Inter Milan	D 3-3	1589	1759	8.5%	27.0%	64.6%	+1.9	35
1980-04-05	Avellino	W 2-0	1717	1616	56.4%	33.5%	10.2%	+7.0	42
1980-04-05	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1616	1717	10.2%	33.5%	56.4%	-7.0	33
1980-04-05	Bologna	L 0-1	1607	1614	43.6%	41.0%	15.4%	-11.4	28
1980-04-05	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1614	1607	15.4%	41.0%	43.6%	+11.4	34
1980-04-05	Pescara	W 2-0	1627	1518	57.3%	32.8%	10.0%	+6.8	32
1980-04-05	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1518	1627	10.0%	32.8%	57.3%	-6.8	18
1980-04-05	AC Milan	W 2-1	1553	1700	26.1%	41.4%	32.5%	+8.7	22
1980-04-05	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1700	1553	32.5%	41.4%	26.1%	-8.7	38
1980-04-13	Bologna	W 4-0	1691	1626	52.2%	36.4%	11.4%	+15.5	41
1980-04-13	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1626	1691	11.4%	36.4%	52.2%	-15.5	34
1980-04-13	Ascoli	D 2-2	1609	1659	38.4%	42.4%	19.2%	-0.7	34
1980-04-13	@ Avellino	D 2-2	1659	1609	19.2%	42.4%	38.4%	+0.7	41
1980-04-13	Cagliari	D 1-1	1684	1591	55.4%	34.1%	10.4%	-2.5	41
1980-04-13	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1591	1684	10.4%	34.1%	55.4%	+2.5	36
1980-04-13	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1630	1757	28.6%	42.1%	29.3%	+0.0	33
1980-04-13	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1757	1630	29.3%	42.1%	28.6%	-0.0	51
1980-04-13	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1511	1554	39.3%	42.2%	18.4%	-1.0	19
1980-04-13	@ Pescara	D 1-1	1554	1511	18.4%	42.2%	39.3%	+1.0	23
1980-04-13	Juventus	L 1-3	1634	1724	33.4%	42.7%	23.9%	-15.5	37
1980-04-13	@ Roma	W 3-1	1724	1634	23.9%	42.7%	33.4%	+15.5	45
1980-04-13	Napoli	D 0-0	1711	1633	53.6%	35.5%	10.9%	-2.6	37
1980-04-13	@ Torino	D 0-0	1633	1711	10.9%	35.5%	53.6%	+2.6	33
1980-04-13	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1561	1595	40.4%	42.0%	17.7%	-1.1	23
1980-04-13	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1595	1561	17.7%	42.0%	40.4%	+1.1	29
1980-04-27	Fiorentina	L 0-2	1608	1682	35.5%	42.7%	21.8%	-18.7	34
1980-04-27	@ Avellino	W 2-0	1682	1608	21.8%	42.7%	35.5%	+18.6	44
1980-04-27	Udinese	W 2-1	1610	1560	50.4%	37.6%	12.1%	+4.4	37
1980-04-27	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1560	1610	12.1%	37.6%	50.4%	-4.4	23
1980-04-27	Ascoli	D 1-1	1594	1660	36.4%	42.6%	21.0%	-0.7	37
1980-04-27	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1660	1594	21.0%	42.6%	36.4%	+0.7	42
1980-04-27	AC Milan	L 0-3	1555	1707	25.5%	41.3%	33.2%	-21.8	23
1980-04-27	@ Catanzaro	W 3-0	1707	1555	33.2%	41.3%	25.5%	+21.8	44
1980-04-27	Roma	D 2-2	1757	1619	60.8%	30.0%	9.2%	-2.1	52
1980-04-27	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1619	1757	9.2%	30.0%	60.8%	+2.1	38
1980-04-27	Perugia	W 3-0	1740	1630	57.4%	32.7%	9.9%	+9.8	48
1980-04-27	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1630	1740	9.9%	32.7%	57.4%	-9.8	33
1980-04-27	Napoli	D 1-1	1597	1636	39.7%	42.1%	18.1%	-1.1	30
1980-04-27	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1636	1597	18.1%	42.1%	39.7%	+1.1	34
1980-04-27	Torino	L 0-2	1510	1708	21.0%	38.8%	40.2%	-12.9	19
1980-04-27	@ Pescara	W 2-0	1708	1510	40.2%	38.8%	21.0%	+12.9	40
1980-05-04	Pescara	W 3-1	1729	1497	71.9%	20.9%	7.2%	+3.2	47
1980-05-04	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1497	1729	7.2%	20.9%	71.9%	-3.2	19
1980-05-04	Juventus	L 2-3	1661	1749	33.5%	42.7%	23.8%	-8.5	42
1980-05-04	@ Ascoli	W 3-2	1749	1661	23.8%	42.7%	33.5%	+8.5	51
1980-05-04	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1701	1755	37.9%	42.5%	19.7%	-19.5	44
1980-05-04	@ Fiorentina	W 2-0	1755	1701	19.7%	42.5%	37.9%	+19.5	55
1980-05-04	Bologna	D 1-1	1637	1615	47.1%	39.4%	13.5%	-1.8	35
1980-05-04	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1615	1637	13.5%	39.4%	47.1%	+1.8	38
1980-05-04	Avellino	W 2-1	1620	1590	48.1%	38.9%	13.0%	+4.7	36
1980-05-04	@ Perugia	L 1-2	1590	1620	13.0%	38.9%	48.1%	-4.7	34
1980-05-04	Cagliari	D 1-1	1621	1593	47.7%	39.1%	13.2%	-1.8	39
1980-05-04	@ Roma	D 1-1	1593	1621	13.2%	39.1%	47.7%	+1.8	38
1980-05-04	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1721	1596	59.3%	31.2%	9.5%	+3.3	43
1980-05-04	@ Torino	L 0-1	1596	1721	9.5%	31.2%	59.3%	-3.3	30
1980-05-04	Catanzaro	L 1-2	1556	1533	47.2%	39.4%	13.5%	-11.4	23
1980-05-04	@ Udinese	W 2-1	1533	1556	13.5%	39.4%	47.2%	+11.4	26
1980-05-11	Roma	L 0-1	1585	1619	40.4%	42.0%	17.6%	-10.8	34
1980-05-11	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1619	1585	17.6%	42.0%	40.4%	+10.8	42
1980-05-11	Torino	L 1-2	1616	1724	31.1%	42.5%	26.4%	-8.5	38
1980-05-11	@ Bologna	W 2-1	1724	1616	26.4%	42.5%	31.1%	+8.5	46
1980-05-11	Perugia	L 1-2	1595	1625	40.8%	41.9%	17.3%	-10.3	38
1980-05-11	@ Cagliari	W 2-1	1625	1595	17.3%	41.9%	40.8%	+10.3	39
1980-05-11	Napoli	W 2-0	1544	1635	33.3%	42.7%	24.0%	+14.7	29
1980-05-11	@ Catanzaro	L 0-2	1635	1544	24.0%	42.7%	33.3%	-14.7	35
1980-05-11	Ascoli	L 2-4	1774	1652	58.9%	31.5%	9.6%	-20.3	55
1980-05-11	@ Inter Milan	W 4-2	1652	1774	9.6%	31.5%	58.9%	+20.3	45
1980-05-11	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1758	1681	53.5%	35.5%	11.0%	+11.3	54
1980-05-11	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1681	1758	11.0%	35.5%	53.5%	-11.3	44
1980-05-11	AC Milan	L 0-2	1592	1732	27.0%	41.7%	31.3%	-15.6	30
1980-05-11	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1732	1592	31.3%	41.7%	27.0%	+15.6	50
1980-05-11	Udinese	D 1-1	1494	1544	38.4%	42.4%	19.2%	-0.9	20
1980-05-11	@ Pescara	D 1-1	1544	1494	19.2%	42.4%	38.4%	+0.9	24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1980-05-11	9.59%	Ascoli	1652	4	@ Inter Milan	1774	2
2	1979-11-25	9.85%	Napoli	1632	2	@ AC Milan	1745	1
3	1979-12-30	10.31%	Ascoli	1600	3	@ Juventus	1697	2
4	1979-11-04	12.23%	Avellino	1599	1	@ Napoli	1645	0
5	1979-12-16	12.73%	Bologna	1589	2	@ Udinese	1625	0
6	1979-10-28	13.39%	Torino	1673	2	@ Perugia	1697	0
7	1980-05-04	13.45%	Catanzaro	1533	2	@ Udinese	1556	1
8	1980-03-23	13.57%	Torino	1692	2	@ AC Milan	1712	0
9	1979-09-30	13.76%	Bologna	1598	2	@ Roma	1615	1
10	1980-03-09	14.13%	Napoli	1626	3	@ Avellino	1637	2
11	1980-02-10	14.19%	Ascoli	1621	1	@ Lazio Roma	1632	0
12	1979-11-04	14.61%	Cagliari	1597	1	@ Bologna	1601	0
13	1979-12-30	14.61%	Roma	1600	3	@ Cagliari	1605	1
14	1980-03-02	14.86%	Roma	1621	2	@ Lazio Roma	1621	1
15	1980-04-05	15.43%	Bologna	1614	1	@ Lazio Roma	1607	0
16	1979-10-21	15.51%	Juventus	1692	2	@ Torino	1684	1
17	1980-03-30	16.41%	Fiorentina	1666	2	@ Perugia	1646	1
18	1980-05-11	17.30%	Perugia	1625	2	@ Cagliari	1595	1
19	1980-03-02	17.44%	Inter Milan	1754	1	@ AC Milan	1722	0
20	1979-09-23	17.57%	Roma	1606	3	@ Pescara	1573	2
21	1980-05-11	17.63%	Roma	1619	1	@ Avellino	1585	0
22	1979-10-11	17.77%	AC Milan	1730	1	@ Torino	1694	0
23	1980-03-30	19.48%	AC Milan	1690	1	@ Napoli	1637	0
24	1980-05-04	19.65%	Inter Milan	1755	2	@ Fiorentina	1701	0
25	1980-03-02	19.74%	Avellino	1627	1	@ Udinese	1572	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1979-12-16	23.31	Bologna	2	1589	12.73%	@ Udinese	0	1625	48.70%
2	1980-03-23	22.92	@ Roma	4	1636	40.53%	Perugia	0	1669	17.52%
3	1979-10-28	22.84	Torino	2	1673	13.39%	@ Perugia	0	1697	47.29%
4	1980-03-23	22.71	Torino	2	1692	13.57%	@ AC Milan	0	1712	46.91%
5	1979-10-11	21.78	@ Inter Milan	4	1697	42.22%	Juventus	0	1716	16.32%
6	1980-04-27	21.78	AC Milan	3	1707	33.20%	@ Catanzaro	0	1555	25.53%
7	1980-05-11	20.31	Ascoli	4	1652	9.59%	@ Inter Milan	2	1774	58.90%
8	1980-05-04	19.53	Inter Milan	2	1755	19.65%	@ Fiorentina	0	1701	37.89%
9	1979-12-30	19.10	Roma	3	1600	14.61%	@ Cagliari	1	1605	44.96%
10	1979-09-30	18.85	Torino	2	1678	21.32%	@ Avellino	0	1609	36.03%
11	1980-04-27	18.65	Fiorentina	2	1682	21.83%	@ Avellino	0	1608	35.48%
12	1980-03-30	16.87	@ Ascoli	3	1637	41.82%	Roma	0	1659	16.59%
13	1979-12-16	16.22	@ Fiorentina	3	1609	43.10%	Avellino	0	1620	15.74%
14	1980-03-23	15.80	@ Pescara	2	1499	30.26%	Lazio Roma	0	1613	27.32%
15	1980-05-11	15.57	AC Milan	2	1732	31.26%	@ Lazio Roma	0	1592	27.00%
16	1980-04-13	15.50	@ AC Milan	4	1691	52.17%	Bologna	0	1626	11.40%
17	1980-04-13	15.50	Juventus	3	1724	23.92%	@ Roma	1	1634	33.39%
18	1980-03-02	15.17	@ Pescara	2	1487	32.00%	Cagliari	0	1588	25.39%
19	1980-05-11	14.71	@ Catanzaro	2	1544	33.27%	Napoli	0	1635	24.03%
20	1980-01-27	14.55	Juventus	2	1683	34.66%	@ Pescara	0	1521	24.49%
21	1980-02-10	14.32	Juventus	3	1703	28.07%	@ Udinese	1	1584	29.62%
22	1979-10-28	13.88	@ Fiorentina	3	1614	47.80%	Catanzaro	0	1586	13.14%
23	1979-10-07	13.68	@ Napoli	3	1636	48.22%	Roma	0	1604	12.95%
24	1980-01-13	13.41	Inter Milan	2	1728	38.43%	@ Pescara	0	1542	22.03%
25	1979-10-11	13.35	@ Bologna	4	1600	43.86%	Catanzaro	1	1605	15.26%