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1980-81 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

44 points · 19th Title

Last Title: 1977-78

Relegated

Pistoiese

16 pts

Perugia · 18 pts

Brescia · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Roma

6.85 points above expected

42 points · 35.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pistoiese

9.65 points below expected

16 points · 25.65 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 30 17 10 3 44 46 15 +31 37.27 +6.73
2 Roma 30 14 14 2 42 43 20 +23 35.15 +6.85
3 Napoli 30 14 10 6 38 31 21 +10 32.64 +5.36
4 Inter Milan 30 14 8 8 36 41 24 +17 36.68 -0.68
5 Fiorentina 30 9 14 7 32 28 25 +3 30.51 +1.49
6 Cagliari 30 8 14 8 30 29 30 -1 29.11 +0.89
7 Bologna* 30 11 12 7 29 32 27 +5 26.32 +2.68
8 Catanzaro 30 6 17 7 29 24 27 -3 27.51 +1.49
9 Torino 30 8 10 12 26 26 29 -3 31.63 -5.63
10 Avellino* 30 10 10 10 25 36 33 +3 23.78 +1.22
11 Brescia Relegated 30 4 17 9 25 19 25 -6 28.82 -3.82
12 Como 30 8 9 13 25 25 33 -8 26.99 -1.99
13 Udinese 30 6 13 11 25 24 39 -15 22.67 +2.33
14 Ascoli 30 7 11 12 25 18 34 -16 26.58 -1.58
15 Perugia* Relegated 30 5 13 12 18 18 31 -13 23.70 -5.70
16 Pistoiese Relegated 30 6 4 20 16 19 46 -27 25.65 -9.65

* Point deductions: Avellino (-5 pts), Bologna (-5 pts), Perugia (-5 pts)

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 1919 44 37.27 +6.73 97.3% 24 31 35 37 40 44 51
Roma 1860 42 35.15 +6.85 97.3% 20 29 33 35 38 41 50
Inter Milan 1793 36 36.68 -0.68 47.6% 21 30 34 37 39 43 54
Napoli 1755 38 32.64 +5.36 93.2% 17 26 30 33 35 39 46
Fiorentina 1717 32 30.51 +1.49 69.6% 14 24 28 31 33 37 46
Bologna 1697 29 26.32 +2.68 78.9% 12 20 24 26 29 33 40
Cagliari 1666 30 29.11 +0.89 64.3% 15 23 26 29 32 36 43
Avellino 1663 25 23.78 +1.22 66.7% 7 17 21 24 26 30 41
Brescia 1638 25 28.82 -3.82 19.2% 14 23 26 29 31 35 44
Catanzaro 1633 29 27.51 +1.49 69.2% 10 21 25 28 30 34 41
Torino 1618 26 31.63 -5.63 10.0% 15 25 29 32 34 38 47
Perugia 1598 18 23.70 -5.70 8.5% 9 17 21 24 26 30 39
Como 1597 25 26.99 -1.99 35.8% 10 21 24 27 30 34 41
Ascoli 1591 25 26.58 -1.58 39.4% 11 20 24 27 29 33 42
Udinese 1581 25 22.67 +2.33 76.4% 9 16 20 23 25 29 37
Pistoiese 1445 16 25.65 -9.65 0.8% 12 19 23 26 28 32 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ASC AVE BOL BRE CAG CAT COM FIO IM JUV NAP PER PIS ROM TOR UDI
Ascoli —
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.51
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
1.56
0-1-1
1.70
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
1.45
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.77
Avellino
1-1-0
2.92
 —
1-1-0
2.25
2-0-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.99
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.76
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.98
0-2-0
1.59
1-0-1
2.11
0-1-1
3.25
Bologna
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.95
 —
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.73
0-2-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.30
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
3.44
Brescia
0-1-1
3.01
0-0-2
2.74
1-1-0
2.15
 —
2-0-0
2.48
0-2-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.34
0-2-0
1.93
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
1.91
0-2-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.10
0-2-0
2.31
0-2-0
3.36
Cagliari
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.70
 —
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.78
0-2-0
2.45
0-1-1
1.74
0-2-0
1.97
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.39
0-2-0
3.09
Catanzaro
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.11
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.57
 —
1-1-0
2.55
0-2-0
2.35
0-2-0
1.62
0-1-1
1.87
0-2-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.07
0-2-0
1.66
1-0-1
1.94
1-0-1
3.06
Como
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
1.97
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.64
 —
1-1-0
2.17
1-0-1
1.62
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.89
Fiorentina
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.85
0-2-0
2.75
0-2-0
2.85
0-1-1
3.03
 —
1-1-0
1.95
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
3.34
0-2-0
2.25
1-1-0
2.45
0-2-0
3.30
Inter Milan
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.12
0-2-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.48
0-2-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.62
0-1-1
3.28
 —
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.52
Juventus
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
3.23
0-2-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.50
1-0-1
2.77
 —
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.95
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
4.07
Napoli
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
2.91
0-2-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.37
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.05
 —
0-1-1
3.01
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.14
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.75
Perugia
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.15
1-1-0
2.25
 —
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
3.03
Pistoiese
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.23
 —
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
2.06
0-1-1
3.19
Roma
1-1-0
3.79
0-2-0
3.63
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.10
0-2-0
3.56
1-1-0
2.95
0-2-0
2.98
2-0-0
2.45
0-2-0
2.34
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.33
 —
2-0-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.81
Torino
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.56
0-2-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.45
 —
0-2-0
3.50
Udinese
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
1.97
0-1-1
1.77
0-2-0
1.84
0-2-0
2.11
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.30
0-2-0
1.90
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
1.49
1-1-0
2.17
1-1-0
2.03
0-0-2
1.43
0-2-0
1.71
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +7.4
Allowed 0.75 -8.9
Differential 0.87 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.33%10.83%5.83%1.67%1.04%0.21%37.92%
110.83%17.92%7.50%1.67%0.62%0.21%38.75%
25.83%7.50%2.50%0.42%0.42%—16.67%
31.67%1.67%0.42%———3.75%
41.04%0.62%0.42%——0.21%2.29%
5+0.21%0.21%——0.21%—0.62%
Total37.92%38.75%16.67%3.75%2.29%0.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 0.96 +0.00
SD 1.00 1.00 1.39
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%10.00%6.67%10.00%——56.67%
113.33%6.67%6.67%—3.33%—30.00%
2—6.67%——3.33%—10.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%23.33%16.67%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.13 -0.53
SD 0.81 1.28 1.33
CV 1.36 1.13 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%6.67%———33.33%
16.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
23.33%13.33%—3.33%——20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4——3.33%——3.33%6.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%16.67%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.10 +0.10
SD 1.19 1.16 1.32
CV 0.99 1.05 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%3.33%———26.67%
113.33%20.00%10.00%——3.33%46.67%
26.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total40.00%40.00%16.67%——3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.90 +0.17
SD 0.91 1.06 1.39
CV 0.85 1.18 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%16.67%3.33%———46.67%
110.00%23.33%10.00%———43.33%
2—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%43.33%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 0.83 -0.20
SD 0.67 0.75 0.71
CV 1.06 0.90 —
Max 2 2 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%3.33%———30.00%
16.67%23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—46.67%
26.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%43.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.00 -0.03
SD 0.81 0.98 1.16
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%——43.33%
16.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
26.67%6.67%10.00%———23.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%30.00%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 0.90 -0.10
SD 0.81 0.96 1.06
CV 1.01 1.07 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%20.00%———40.00%
110.00%16.67%13.33%———40.00%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%36.67%36.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.10 -0.27
SD 0.83 0.80 1.26
CV 1.00 0.73 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%————33.33%
110.00%23.33%10.00%———43.33%
23.33%13.33%3.33%———20.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 0.83 +0.10
SD 0.83 0.70 0.80
CV 0.89 0.84 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%————26.67%
113.33%6.67%13.33%———33.33%
210.00%6.67%3.33%—3.33%—23.33%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total46.67%33.33%16.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 0.80 +0.57
SD 1.19 0.96 1.45
CV 0.87 1.20 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%————23.33%
113.33%16.67%3.33%———33.33%
213.33%10.00%————23.33%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total53.33%43.33%3.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.50 +1.03
SD 1.33 0.57 1.40
CV 0.87 1.14 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%—3.33%——23.33%
130.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%——56.67%
26.67%6.67%—3.33%——16.67%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total53.33%33.33%3.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.70 +0.33
SD 0.85 0.95 1.30
CV 0.82 1.36 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%10.00%6.67%—3.33%3.33%53.33%
110.00%13.33%13.33%3.33%——40.00%
2———————
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%23.33%20.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.03 -0.43
SD 0.81 1.30 1.61
CV 1.36 1.26 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%30.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%—56.67%
16.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%—26.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%46.67%20.00%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 1.53 -0.90
SD 0.85 1.11 1.49
CV 1.34 0.72 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%——3.33%—20.00%
116.67%33.33%————50.00%
210.00%3.33%————13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total46.67%46.67%3.33%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.67 +0.77
SD 1.33 0.84 1.61
CV 0.93 1.27 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%13.33%3.33%——43.33%
13.33%23.33%6.67%———33.33%
213.33%3.33%————16.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%46.67%20.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.97 -0.10
SD 0.94 0.81 1.47
CV 1.08 0.84 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%13.33%—6.67%—50.00%
13.33%20.00%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
23.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+————3.33%—3.33%
Total26.67%40.00%20.00%3.33%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.30 -0.50
SD 1.10 1.21 1.41
CV 1.37 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Roma 42 35.15 +6.85
2 Juventus 44 37.27 +6.73
3 Napoli 38 32.64 +5.36
4 Bologna 29 26.32 +2.68
5 Udinese 25 22.67 +2.33

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pistoiese 16 25.65 -9.65
2 Perugia 18 23.70 -5.70
3 Torino 26 31.63 -5.63
4 Brescia 25 28.82 -3.82
5 Como 25 26.99 -1.99

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 6 Feb 15 – Mar 22 1 in 141
2 Pistoiese 3 Dec 21 – Jan 18 1 in 71
3 Udinese 2 Feb 15 – Feb 22 1 in 24
4 Bologna 2 Oct 5 – Oct 19 1 in 23
5 Napoli 3 Feb 15 – Mar 1 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pistoiese 9 Mar 22 – May 24 1 in 739
2 Fiorentina 5 Dec 21 – Feb 1 1 in 732
3 Brescia 4 Feb 1 – Feb 22 1 in 144
4 Inter Milan 3 Mar 1 – Mar 15 1 in 89
5 Torino 4 Apr 5 – May 3 1 in 55

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fiorentina 14 Feb 8 – May 17 1 in 230
2 Napoli 15 Dec 21 – Apr 12 1 in 146
3 Roma 22 Nov 30 – May 24 1 in 126
4 Juventus 16 Nov 9 – Mar 22 1 in 50
5 Brescia 10 Oct 19 – Jan 25 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Perugia 16 Nov 9 – Mar 22 1 in 442
2 Fiorentina 14 Sep 28 – Feb 8 1 in 233
3 Brescia 14 Dec 28 – Apr 12 1 in 84
4 Pistoiese 17 Jan 25 – May 24 1 in 41
5 Catanzaro 12 Dec 21 – Mar 22 1 in 34

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Juventus39.47%24.64%15.14%8.63%5.12%2.81%1.95%0.94%0.56%0.37%0.20%0.12%0.03%0.02%——
Roma17.51%21.80%19.87%13.99%9.94%6.21%3.98%2.71%1.68%1.17%0.48%0.39%0.16%0.07%0.02%0.02%
Napoli6.15%10.22%14.38%15.59%13.06%11.34%8.85%6.20%4.74%3.30%2.28%1.57%0.99%0.84%0.34%0.15%
Inter Milan29.11%25.30%17.72%11.53%6.35%3.92%2.61%1.52%0.82%0.59%0.27%0.13%0.08%0.04%0.01%—
Fiorentina1.80%4.30%7.40%10.76%12.12%12.27%11.06%9.83%7.84%6.70%5.12%3.85%3.23%1.98%1.16%0.58%
Cagliari0.83%2.17%4.31%7.18%8.85%9.66%10.58%10.55%10.23%8.48%7.67%6.35%5.29%4.02%2.32%1.51%
Bologna0.21%0.56%1.23%2.44%4.02%5.72%7.27%8.15%8.92%9.78%9.30%10.44%9.94%8.71%7.86%5.45%
Catanzaro0.26%1.02%2.27%3.94%5.41%7.67%8.30%9.11%10.07%10.02%9.61%8.54%7.52%6.89%5.60%3.77%
Torino3.46%6.64%10.03%12.46%13.05%12.52%9.79%8.49%6.92%5.29%4.01%2.87%2.17%1.30%0.68%0.32%
Avellino0.01%0.10%0.25%0.63%1.29%2.39%3.15%4.32%5.82%6.88%8.22%10.11%11.28%13.41%15.63%16.51%
Brescia0.67%1.70%3.54%5.62%8.00%9.26%10.15%10.63%10.19%9.65%8.66%7.02%5.95%4.31%2.99%1.66%
Como0.24%0.66%1.62%2.90%4.79%6.05%7.45%8.22%9.07%9.82%9.95%9.36%9.06%8.95%7.01%4.85%
Udinese0.02%0.01%0.09%0.23%0.61%0.70%1.64%2.36%2.99%4.60%6.18%8.20%10.17%13.83%19.14%29.23%
Ascoli0.16%0.50%1.21%2.46%3.72%4.75%6.39%7.55%8.68%9.43%10.35%10.29%10.44%9.66%8.11%6.30%
Perugia0.04%0.06%0.13%0.46%1.16%1.42%2.50%3.29%4.48%6.07%7.60%9.75%12.13%14.41%17.56%18.94%
Pistoiese0.06%0.32%0.81%1.18%2.51%3.31%4.33%6.13%6.99%7.85%10.10%11.01%11.56%11.56%11.57%10.71%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.42%
Clear Edge
40.83%38.75%20.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge
223 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
071.95600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Juventus, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.68 * Lucky: 4.68 to 6.24 * Wild Swing: 6.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.01 * Close: 2.01 to 3.01 * Off: 3.01 to 4.02 * Way Off: 4.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.41 * A Surprise: 1.41 to 2.26 * Several Surprises: 2.26 to 3.11 * Many Surprises: 3.11 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.47 points
Some Luck
03.9010
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.12
Close
02.516
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
97.34%
Juventus
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.80%
Pistoiese
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.43

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.42
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
94%
Dominant
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
77%
Very Frequent
0%72%100%
Blowouts
Expected 7%
8%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.34
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.17
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.75
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.91
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.108
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Juventus 99.98% 0.02%
Inter Milan 99.95% 0.05%
Roma 99.89% 0.11%
Napoli 98.67% 1.33%
Torino 97.70% 2.30%
Fiorentina 96.28% 3.72%
Cagliari 92.15% 7.85%
Brescia 91.04% 8.96%
Catanzaro 83.74% 16.26%
Como 79.19% 20.81%
Bologna 77.98% 22.02%
Ascoli 75.93% 24.07%
Pistoiese 66.16% 33.84%
Avellino 54.45% 45.55%
Perugia 49.09% 50.91%
Udinese 37.80% 62.20%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1980-09-14 Ascoli W 1-0 1653 1691 38.5% 41.0% 20.5% +12.5 2
1980-09-14 @ Bologna L 0-1 1691 1653 20.5% 41.0% 38.5% -12.5 0
1980-09-14 Avellino L 1-2 1697 1631 49.3% 39.3% 11.4% -21.5 0
1980-09-14 @ Brescia W 2-1 1631 1697 11.4% 39.3% 49.3% +21.5 2
1980-09-14 Juventus D 1-1 1639 1738 30.8% 41.0% 28.2% -0.2 1
1980-09-14 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1738 1639 28.2% 41.0% 30.8% +0.2 1
1980-09-14 Roma L 0-1 1664 1665 42.8% 40.6% 16.6% -20.2 0
1980-09-14 @ Como W 1-0 1665 1664 16.6% 40.6% 42.8% +20.2 2
1980-09-14 Perugia W 1-0 1687 1662 45.5% 40.2% 14.3% +9.9 2
1980-09-14 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1662 1687 14.3% 40.2% 45.5% -9.9 0
1980-09-14 Catanzaro D 1-1 1657 1623 46.3% 40.1% 13.6% -3.1 1
1980-09-14 @ Napoli D 1-1 1623 1657 13.6% 40.1% 46.3% +3.1 1
1980-09-14 Pistoiese W 1-0 1721 1704 44.7% 40.4% 15.0% +10.2 2
1980-09-14 @ Torino L 0-1 1704 1721 15.0% 40.4% 44.7% -10.2 0
1980-09-14 Inter Milan L 0-4 1616 1727 29.1% 40.9% 29.9% -55.2 0
1980-09-14 @ Udinese W 4-0 1727 1616 29.9% 40.9% 29.1% +55.2 2
1980-09-21 Napoli W 3-2 1679 1654 45.5% 40.2% 14.3% +8.8 2
1980-09-21 @ Ascoli L 2-3 1654 1679 14.3% 40.2% 45.5% -8.8 1
1980-09-21 Fiorentina L 2-3 1652 1697 37.8% 41.0% 21.2% -16.4 2
1980-09-21 @ Avellino W 3-2 1697 1652 21.2% 41.0% 37.8% +16.4 4
1980-09-21 Torino W 1-0 1627 1731 30.0% 41.0% 29.0% +15.4 3
1980-09-21 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1731 1627 29.0% 41.0% 30.0% -15.4 2
1980-09-21 Cagliari W 4-1 1782 1639 55.4% 37.0% 7.6% +13.7 4
1980-09-21 @ Inter Milan L 1-4 1639 1782 7.6% 37.0% 55.4% -13.7 1
1980-09-21 Como W 2-0 1738 1643 51.6% 38.6% 9.8% +14.0 3
1980-09-21 @ Juventus L 0-2 1643 1738 9.8% 38.6% 51.6% -14.0 0
1980-09-21 Bologna D 0-0 1652 1665 41.5% 40.8% 17.8% -2.4 1
1980-09-21 @ Perugia D 0-0 1665 1652 17.8% 40.8% 41.5% +2.4 3
1980-09-21 Udinese D 1-1 1693 1561 54.6% 37.4% 8.1% -4.8 1
1980-09-21 @ Pistoiese D 1-1 1561 1693 8.1% 37.4% 54.6% +4.8 1
1980-09-21 Brescia W 1-0 1685 1675 43.9% 40.5% 15.6% +10.5 4
1980-09-21 @ Roma L 0-1 1675 1685 15.6% 40.5% 43.9% -10.5 0
1980-09-28 Roma D 1-1 1668 1695 39.8% 40.9% 19.3% -1.8 4
1980-09-28 @ Bologna D 1-1 1695 1668 19.3% 40.9% 39.8% +1.8 5
1980-09-28 Juventus D 1-1 1665 1752 32.4% 41.1% 26.5% -0.5 1
1980-09-28 @ Brescia D 1-1 1752 1665 26.5% 41.1% 32.4% +0.5 4
1980-09-28 Ascoli W 2-0 1625 1688 35.5% 41.1% 23.4% +25.6 3
1980-09-28 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1688 1625 23.4% 41.1% 35.5% -25.6 2
1980-09-28 Inter Milan W 1-0 1629 1796 22.1% 40.3% 37.6% +18.1 2
1980-09-28 @ Como L 0-1 1796 1629 37.6% 40.3% 22.1% -18.1 4
1980-09-28 Catanzaro D 1-1 1713 1642 49.7% 39.2% 11.1% -3.8 5
1980-09-28 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1642 1713 11.1% 39.2% 49.7% +3.8 4
1980-09-28 Pistoiese W 1-0 1645 1689 38.0% 41.0% 21.0% +12.7 3
1980-09-28 @ Napoli L 0-1 1689 1645 21.0% 41.0% 38.0% -12.7 1
1980-09-28 Avellino W 2-0 1715 1636 50.4% 39.0% 10.6% +14.9 4
1980-09-28 @ Torino L 0-2 1636 1715 10.6% 39.0% 50.4% -14.9 2
1980-09-28 Perugia D 1-1 1566 1650 32.8% 41.1% 26.1% -0.5 2
1980-09-28 @ Udinese D 1-1 1650 1566 26.1% 41.1% 32.8% +0.5 2
1980-10-05 Perugia L 0-3 1662 1650 44.2% 40.4% 15.4% -56.8 2
1980-10-05 @ Ascoli W 3-0 1650 1662 15.4% 40.4% 44.2% +56.8 4
1980-10-05 Cagliari W 2-1 1621 1650 39.6% 40.9% 19.5% +11.4 4
1980-10-05 @ Avellino L 1-2 1650 1621 19.5% 40.9% 39.6% -11.4 3
1980-10-05 Como W 2-0 1646 1648 42.7% 40.6% 16.7% +20.7 6
1980-10-05 @ Catanzaro L 0-2 1648 1646 16.7% 40.6% 42.7% -20.6 2
1980-10-05 Napoli W 3-0 1778 1658 53.6% 37.8% 8.6% +18.1 6
1980-10-05 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1658 1778 8.6% 37.8% 53.6% -18.1 3
1980-10-05 Bologna L 0-1 1752 1666 51.0% 38.8% 10.2% -23.5 4
1980-10-05 @ Juventus W 1-0 1666 1752 10.2% 38.8% 51.0% +23.5 6
1980-10-05 Brescia W 1-0 1676 1664 44.1% 40.4% 15.5% +10.4 3
1980-10-05 @ Pistoiese L 0-1 1664 1676 15.5% 40.4% 44.1% -10.4 1
1980-10-05 Torino W 2-0 1697 1730 39.2% 40.9% 19.8% +23.1 7
1980-10-05 @ Roma L 0-2 1730 1697 19.8% 40.9% 39.2% -23.1 4
1980-10-05 Fiorentina D 0-0 1565 1710 24.7% 40.6% 34.7% +0.9 3
1980-10-05 @ Udinese D 0-0 1710 1565 34.7% 40.6% 24.7% -0.9 6
1980-10-19 Juventus D 0-0 1605 1729 27.4% 40.8% 31.8% +0.4 3
1980-10-19 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1729 1605 31.8% 40.8% 27.4% -0.4 5
1980-10-19 Pistoiese W 2-0 1689 1686 43.2% 40.6% 16.2% +20.3 8
1980-10-19 @ Bologna L 0-2 1686 1689 16.2% 40.6% 43.2% -20.3 3
1980-10-19 Catanzaro D 1-1 1654 1666 41.6% 40.8% 17.7% -2.2 2
1980-10-19 @ Brescia D 1-1 1666 1654 17.7% 40.8% 41.6% +2.2 7
1980-10-19 Udinese W 2-0 1627 1566 48.8% 39.5% 11.7% +16.1 4
1980-10-19 @ Como L 0-2 1566 1627 11.7% 39.5% 48.8% -16.1 3
1980-10-19 Inter Milan D 0-0 1709 1796 32.4% 41.1% 26.5% -0.5 7
1980-10-19 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1796 1709 26.5% 41.1% 32.4% +0.5 7
1980-10-19 Roma W 4-0 1640 1720 33.3% 41.1% 25.7% +51.3 5
1980-10-19 @ Napoli L 0-4 1720 1640 25.7% 41.1% 33.3% -51.3 7
1980-10-19 Avellino D 0-0 1707 1632 50.0% 39.1% 10.9% -4.3 5
1980-10-19 @ Perugia D 0-0 1632 1707 10.9% 39.1% 50.0% +4.3 5
1980-10-19 Cagliari L 1-2 1707 1639 49.4% 39.3% 11.3% -21.5 4
1980-10-19 @ Torino W 2-1 1639 1707 11.3% 39.3% 49.4% +21.5 5
1980-10-26 Como W 2-1 1636 1643 42.2% 40.7% 17.1% +10.5 7
1980-10-26 @ Avellino L 1-2 1643 1636 17.1% 40.7% 42.2% -10.5 4
1980-10-26 Fiorentina D 0-0 1652 1708 36.4% 41.1% 22.5% -1.3 3
1980-10-26 @ Brescia D 0-0 1708 1652 22.5% 41.1% 36.4% +1.3 8
1980-10-26 Napoli D 0-0 1661 1691 39.5% 40.9% 19.6% -2.0 6
1980-10-26 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1691 1661 19.6% 40.9% 39.5% +2.0 6
1980-10-26 Perugia L 0-1 1669 1703 39.1% 40.9% 19.9% -18.8 7
1980-10-26 @ Catanzaro W 1-0 1703 1669 19.9% 40.9% 39.1% +18.8 7
1980-10-26 Roma L 2-4 1796 1669 54.1% 37.6% 8.3% -36.1 7
1980-10-26 @ Inter Milan W 4-2 1669 1796 8.3% 37.6% 54.1% +36.1 9
1980-10-26 Torino L 1-2 1728 1686 47.1% 39.9% 13.0% -20.7 5
1980-10-26 @ Juventus W 2-1 1686 1728 13.0% 39.9% 47.1% +20.7 6
1980-10-26 Ascoli L 0-1 1666 1606 48.7% 39.5% 11.8% -22.5 3
1980-10-26 @ Pistoiese W 1-0 1606 1666 11.8% 39.5% 48.7% +22.6 5
1980-10-26 Bologna D 1-1 1550 1710 22.9% 40.4% 36.8% +1.2 4
1980-10-26 @ Udinese D 1-1 1710 1550 36.8% 40.4% 22.9% -1.2 9
1980-11-09 Udinese W 1-0 1628 1551 50.2% 39.1% 10.7% +8.0 7
1980-11-09 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1551 1628 10.7% 39.1% 50.2% -8.0 4
1980-11-09 Brescia L 0-1 1708 1651 48.5% 39.5% 11.9% -22.5 9
1980-11-09 @ Bologna W 1-0 1651 1708 11.9% 39.5% 48.5% +22.5 5
1980-11-09 Cagliari D 0-0 1709 1659 47.9% 39.7% 12.4% -3.8 9
1980-11-09 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1659 1709 12.4% 39.7% 47.9% +3.9 7
1980-11-09 Pistoiese W 2-0 1760 1643 53.4% 37.9% 8.7% +12.6 9
1980-11-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1643 1760 8.7% 37.9% 53.4% -12.6 3
1980-11-09 Avellino W 1-0 1693 1647 47.5% 39.8% 12.7% +9.1 8
1980-11-09 @ Napoli L 0-1 1647 1693 12.7% 39.8% 47.5% -9.1 7
1980-11-09 Juventus D 0-0 1721 1708 44.3% 40.4% 15.3% -3.0 8
1980-11-09 @ Perugia D 0-0 1708 1721 15.3% 40.4% 44.3% +3.0 6
1980-11-09 Catanzaro D 0-0 1705 1650 48.3% 39.6% 12.1% -3.9 10
1980-11-09 @ Roma D 0-0 1650 1705 12.1% 39.6% 48.3% +3.9 8
1980-11-09 Como D 1-1 1706 1633 49.9% 39.1% 10.9% -3.9 7
1980-11-09 @ Torino D 1-1 1633 1706 10.9% 39.1% 49.9% +3.9 5
1980-11-23 Ascoli W 4-2 1638 1636 43.1% 40.6% 16.3% +15.8 9
1980-11-23 @ Avellino L 2-4 1636 1638 16.3% 40.6% 43.1% -15.8 7
1980-11-23 Napoli D 1-1 1686 1702 41.1% 40.8% 18.1% -2.1 10
1980-11-23 @ Bologna D 1-1 1702 1686 18.1% 40.8% 41.1% +2.1 9
1980-11-23 Torino D 1-1 1673 1702 39.6% 40.9% 19.4% -1.8 6
1980-11-23 @ Brescia D 1-1 1702 1673 19.4% 40.9% 39.6% +1.8 8
1980-11-23 Roma W 1-0 1662 1701 38.5% 41.0% 20.5% +12.5 9
1980-11-23 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1701 1662 20.5% 41.0% 38.5% -12.5 10
1980-11-23 Fiorentina W 2-1 1636 1706 34.8% 41.1% 24.2% +13.0 7
1980-11-23 @ Como L 1-2 1706 1636 24.2% 41.1% 34.8% -13.0 9
1980-11-23 Inter Milan W 2-1 1711 1773 35.7% 41.1% 23.2% +12.7 8
1980-11-23 @ Juventus L 1-2 1773 1711 23.2% 41.1% 35.7% -12.7 9
1980-11-23 Perugia W 1-0 1631 1718 32.3% 41.1% 26.6% +14.7 5
1980-11-23 @ Pistoiese L 0-1 1718 1631 26.6% 41.1% 32.3% -14.6 8
1980-11-23 Catanzaro W 2-1 1543 1654 29.1% 40.9% 29.9% +14.8 6
1980-11-23 @ Udinese L 1-2 1654 1543 29.9% 40.9% 29.1% -14.8 8
1980-11-30 Como W 2-1 1621 1649 39.7% 40.9% 19.4% +11.4 9
1980-11-30 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1649 1621 19.4% 40.9% 39.7% -11.4 7
1980-11-30 Juventus D 0-0 1639 1723 32.7% 41.1% 26.2% -0.6 9
1980-11-30 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1723 1639 26.2% 41.1% 32.7% +0.6 9
1980-11-30 Bologna W 1-0 1760 1684 50.1% 39.1% 10.8% +8.0 11
1980-11-30 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1684 1760 10.8% 39.1% 50.1% -8.0 10
1980-11-30 Brescia D 1-1 1704 1671 46.2% 40.1% 13.7% -3.1 10
1980-11-30 @ Napoli D 1-1 1671 1704 13.7% 40.1% 46.2% +3.1 7
1980-11-30 Cagliari D 1-1 1704 1675 45.8% 40.2% 14.0% -3.0 9
1980-11-30 @ Perugia D 1-1 1675 1704 14.0% 40.2% 45.8% +3.0 10
1980-11-30 Avellino W 2-1 1645 1654 42.0% 40.7% 17.3% +10.6 7
1980-11-30 @ Pistoiese L 1-2 1654 1645 17.3% 40.7% 42.0% -10.6 9
1980-11-30 Udinese W 3-1 1689 1558 54.4% 37.5% 8.1% +10.3 12
1980-11-30 @ Roma L 1-3 1558 1689 8.1% 37.5% 54.4% -10.3 6
1980-11-30 Fiorentina D 1-1 1704 1692 44.1% 40.4% 15.4% -2.7 9
1980-11-30 @ Torino D 1-1 1692 1704 15.4% 40.4% 44.1% +2.7 10
1980-12-14 Inter Milan D 0-0 1674 1768 31.5% 41.0% 27.5% -0.4 8
1980-12-14 @ Brescia D 0-0 1768 1674 27.5% 41.0% 31.5% +0.4 12
1980-12-14 Bologna D 0-0 1678 1676 43.1% 40.6% 16.3% -2.8 11
1980-12-14 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1676 1678 16.3% 40.6% 43.1% +2.8 11
1980-12-14 Ascoli W 2-0 1638 1632 43.6% 40.5% 15.9% +20.0 11
1980-12-14 @ Catanzaro L 0-2 1632 1638 15.9% 40.5% 43.6% -20.0 9
1980-12-14 Perugia W 1-0 1638 1701 35.6% 41.1% 23.3% +13.5 9
1980-12-14 @ Como L 0-1 1701 1638 23.3% 41.1% 35.6% -13.5 9
1980-12-14 Roma D 1-1 1695 1699 42.5% 40.6% 16.8% -2.3 11
1980-12-14 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1699 1695 16.8% 40.6% 42.5% +2.3 13
1980-12-14 Pistoiese W 4-1 1724 1656 49.4% 39.3% 11.3% +19.2 11
1980-12-14 @ Juventus L 1-4 1656 1724 11.3% 39.3% 49.4% -19.1 7
1980-12-14 Torino L 1-3 1701 1702 42.9% 40.6% 16.5% -33.0 10
1980-12-14 @ Napoli W 3-1 1702 1701 16.5% 40.6% 42.9% +33.0 11
1980-12-14 Avellino W 5-4 1548 1643 31.2% 41.0% 27.7% +12.9 8
1980-12-14 @ Udinese L 4-5 1643 1548 27.7% 41.0% 31.2% -12.9 9
1980-12-21 Catanzaro W 1-0 1630 1658 39.8% 40.9% 19.3% +12.0 11
1980-12-21 @ Avellino L 0-1 1658 1630 19.3% 40.9% 39.8% -12.0 11
1980-12-21 Fiorentina W 2-1 1679 1693 41.4% 40.8% 17.9% +10.8 13
1980-12-21 @ Bologna L 1-2 1693 1679 17.9% 40.8% 41.4% -10.8 11
1980-12-21 Brescia L 1-2 1675 1674 43.0% 40.6% 16.4% -19.1 11
1980-12-21 @ Cagliari W 2-1 1674 1675 16.4% 40.6% 43.0% +19.1 10
1980-12-21 Torino D 1-1 1768 1735 46.3% 40.1% 13.6% -3.1 13
1980-12-21 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1735 1768 13.6% 40.1% 46.3% +3.1 12
1980-12-21 Udinese W 4-0 1743 1560 58.1% 35.5% 6.3% +17.6 13
1980-12-21 @ Juventus L 0-4 1560 1743 6.3% 35.5% 58.1% -17.6 8
1980-12-21 Napoli D 0-0 1687 1668 44.9% 40.3% 14.8% -3.1 10
1980-12-21 @ Perugia D 0-0 1668 1687 14.8% 40.3% 44.9% +3.2 11
1980-12-21 Como W 2-0 1637 1652 41.3% 40.8% 17.9% +21.7 9
1980-12-21 @ Pistoiese L 0-2 1652 1637 17.9% 40.8% 41.3% -21.6 9
1980-12-21 Ascoli W 4-1 1701 1612 51.2% 38.7% 10.1% +17.5 15
1980-12-21 @ Roma L 1-4 1612 1701 10.1% 38.7% 51.2% -17.5 9
1980-12-28 Inter Milan L 0-1 1594 1765 21.6% 40.2% 38.2% -12.8 9
1980-12-28 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1765 1594 38.2% 40.2% 21.6% +12.8 15
1980-12-28 Juventus D 1-1 1642 1761 28.1% 40.9% 31.1% +0.2 12
1980-12-28 @ Avellino D 1-1 1761 1642 31.1% 40.9% 28.1% -0.2 14
1980-12-28 Pistoiese L 1-3 1646 1658 41.6% 40.8% 17.7% -32.2 11
1980-12-28 @ Catanzaro W 3-1 1658 1646 17.7% 40.8% 41.6% +32.2 11
1980-12-28 Cagliari W 3-1 1630 1656 40.0% 40.9% 19.1% +19.5 11
1980-12-28 @ Como L 1-3 1656 1630 19.1% 40.9% 40.0% -19.5 11
1980-12-28 Napoli L 0-1 1682 1671 44.0% 40.5% 15.5% -20.7 11
1980-12-28 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1671 1682 15.5% 40.5% 44.0% +20.7 13
1980-12-28 Roma D 1-1 1684 1719 39.0% 41.0% 20.0% -1.7 11
1980-12-28 @ Perugia D 1-1 1719 1684 20.0% 41.0% 39.0% +1.7 16
1980-12-28 Bologna L 1-2 1738 1689 47.7% 39.8% 12.6% -20.9 12
1980-12-28 @ Torino W 2-1 1689 1738 12.6% 39.8% 47.7% +20.9 15
1980-12-28 Brescia D 0-0 1543 1693 24.0% 40.5% 35.5% +1.1 9
1980-12-28 @ Udinese D 0-0 1693 1543 35.5% 40.5% 24.0% -1.1 11
1981-01-18 Catanzaro D 0-0 1710 1614 51.8% 38.5% 9.7% -4.8 16
1981-01-18 @ Bologna D 0-0 1614 1710 9.7% 38.5% 51.8% +4.7 12
1981-01-18 Perugia D 1-1 1692 1682 43.9% 40.5% 15.6% -2.6 12
1981-01-18 @ Brescia D 1-1 1682 1692 15.6% 40.5% 43.9% +2.6 12
1981-01-18 Udinese D 1-1 1636 1544 51.5% 38.6% 9.9% -4.2 12
1981-01-18 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1544 1636 9.9% 38.6% 51.5% +4.2 10
1981-01-18 Pistoiese L 1-2 1661 1691 39.6% 40.9% 19.4% -17.9 11
1981-01-18 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1691 1661 19.4% 40.9% 39.6% +17.9 13
1981-01-18 Avellino D 0-0 1778 1643 54.8% 37.3% 7.9% -5.4 16
1981-01-18 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1643 1778 7.9% 37.3% 54.8% +5.4 13
1981-01-18 Como W 2-0 1692 1649 47.1% 39.9% 13.0% +17.4 15
1981-01-18 @ Napoli L 0-2 1649 1692 13.0% 39.9% 47.1% -17.4 11
1981-01-18 Juventus D 0-0 1720 1761 38.4% 41.0% 20.6% -1.7 17
1981-01-18 @ Roma D 0-0 1761 1720 20.6% 41.0% 38.4% +1.7 15
1981-01-18 Ascoli W 3-0 1717 1582 54.8% 37.3% 8.0% +16.9 14
1981-01-18 @ Torino L 0-3 1582 1717 8.0% 37.3% 54.8% -16.9 9
1981-01-25 Fiorentina W 1-0 1565 1643 33.5% 41.1% 25.4% +14.2 11
1981-01-25 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1643 1565 25.4% 41.1% 33.5% -14.2 11
1981-01-25 Bologna W 2-0 1648 1705 36.2% 41.1% 22.7% +25.1 15
1981-01-25 @ Avellino L 0-2 1705 1648 22.7% 41.1% 36.2% -25.1 16
1981-01-25 Cagliari D 0-0 1619 1632 41.4% 40.8% 17.8% -2.4 13
1981-01-25 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1632 1619 17.8% 40.8% 41.4% +2.4 13
1981-01-25 Brescia D 2-2 1632 1689 36.3% 41.1% 22.7% -0.9 12
1981-01-25 @ Como D 2-2 1689 1632 22.7% 41.1% 36.3% +0.9 13
1981-01-25 Napoli D 1-1 1762 1709 48.1% 39.6% 12.2% -3.5 16
1981-01-25 @ Juventus D 1-1 1709 1762 12.2% 39.6% 48.1% +3.5 16
1981-01-25 Inter Milan L 0-2 1685 1773 32.3% 41.1% 26.6% -31.0 12
1981-01-25 @ Perugia W 2-0 1773 1685 26.6% 41.1% 32.3% +31.0 18
1981-01-25 Roma L 0-4 1709 1719 41.8% 40.7% 17.4% -71.0 13
1981-01-25 @ Pistoiese W 4-0 1719 1709 17.4% 40.7% 41.8% +71.0 19
1981-01-25 Torino D 0-0 1548 1734 20.0% 39.9% 40.1% +2.0 11
1981-01-25 @ Udinese D 0-0 1734 1548 40.1% 39.9% 20.0% -2.0 15
1981-02-01 Como D 1-1 1680 1631 47.8% 39.7% 12.5% -3.4 17
1981-02-01 @ Bologna D 1-1 1631 1680 12.5% 39.7% 47.8% +3.4 13
1981-02-01 Ascoli L 0-1 1690 1579 52.9% 38.1% 9.0% -24.2 13
1981-02-01 @ Brescia W 1-0 1579 1690 9.0% 38.1% 52.9% +24.2 13
1981-02-01 Pistoiese W 2-0 1635 1638 42.6% 40.6% 16.8% +20.7 15
1981-02-01 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1638 1635 16.8% 40.6% 42.6% -20.8 13
1981-02-01 Juventus L 0-1 1629 1759 26.6% 40.8% 32.7% -14.6 11
1981-02-01 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1759 1629 32.7% 40.8% 26.6% +14.6 18
1981-02-01 Catanzaro D 2-2 1804 1616 58.4% 35.4% 6.2% -4.1 19
1981-02-01 @ Inter Milan D 2-2 1616 1804 6.2% 35.4% 58.4% +4.1 14
1981-02-01 Udinese W 1-0 1713 1550 56.7% 36.3% 7.0% +5.4 18
1981-02-01 @ Napoli L 0-1 1550 1713 7.0% 36.3% 56.7% -5.4 11
1981-02-01 Avellino D 1-1 1790 1673 53.4% 37.9% 8.7% -4.6 20
1981-02-01 @ Roma D 1-1 1673 1790 8.7% 37.9% 53.4% +4.6 16
1981-02-01 Perugia W 2-0 1732 1654 50.3% 39.0% 10.7% +15.0 17
1981-02-01 @ Torino L 0-2 1654 1732 10.7% 39.0% 50.3% -15.0 12
1981-02-08 Bologna D 1-1 1603 1677 34.2% 41.1% 24.7% -0.8 14
1981-02-08 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1677 1603 24.7% 41.1% 34.2% +0.8 18
1981-02-08 Brescia W 1-0 1678 1666 44.1% 40.4% 15.4% +10.4 18
1981-02-08 @ Avellino L 0-1 1666 1678 15.4% 40.4% 44.1% -10.4 13
1981-02-08 Napoli D 0-0 1621 1718 30.9% 41.0% 28.0% -0.3 15
1981-02-08 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1718 1621 28.0% 41.0% 30.9% +0.3 19
1981-02-08 Udinese W 2-0 1799 1545 62.9% 32.5% 4.7% +6.5 21
1981-02-08 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1545 1799 4.7% 32.5% 62.9% -6.5 11
1981-02-08 Cagliari D 1-1 1773 1655 53.5% 37.9% 8.7% -4.6 19
1981-02-08 @ Juventus D 1-1 1655 1773 8.7% 37.9% 53.5% +4.6 16
1981-02-08 Fiorentina D 0-0 1639 1615 45.4% 40.2% 14.4% -3.3 13
1981-02-08 @ Perugia D 0-0 1615 1639 14.4% 40.2% 45.4% +3.3 12
1981-02-08 Torino D 1-1 1617 1747 26.6% 40.8% 32.7% +0.5 14
1981-02-08 @ Pistoiese D 1-1 1747 1617 32.7% 40.8% 26.6% -0.5 18
1981-02-08 Como D 1-1 1785 1635 55.9% 36.8% 7.4% -5.1 21
1981-02-08 @ Roma D 1-1 1635 1785 7.4% 36.8% 55.9% +5.1 14
1981-02-15 Perugia W 4-0 1678 1636 47.1% 39.9% 13.0% +33.0 20
1981-02-15 @ Bologna L 0-4 1636 1678 13.0% 39.9% 47.1% -33.0 13
1981-02-15 Roma L 1-2 1656 1780 27.3% 40.8% 31.9% -14.0 13
1981-02-15 @ Brescia W 2-1 1780 1656 31.9% 40.8% 27.3% +14.0 23
1981-02-15 Inter Milan D 1-1 1660 1806 24.5% 40.6% 34.9% +0.9 17
1981-02-15 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1806 1660 34.9% 40.6% 24.5% -0.9 22
1981-02-15 Juventus L 1-2 1640 1769 26.6% 40.8% 32.6% -13.8 14
1981-02-15 @ Como W 2-1 1769 1640 32.6% 40.8% 26.6% +13.8 21
1981-02-15 Avellino W 2-1 1618 1688 34.6% 41.1% 24.3% +13.1 14
1981-02-15 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1688 1618 24.3% 41.1% 34.6% -13.1 18
1981-02-15 Ascoli W 1-0 1718 1603 53.3% 37.9% 8.8% +6.7 21
1981-02-15 @ Napoli L 0-1 1603 1718 8.8% 37.9% 53.3% -6.7 14
1981-02-15 Catanzaro W 2-0 1746 1620 54.1% 37.6% 8.3% +12.1 20
1981-02-15 @ Torino L 0-2 1620 1746 8.3% 37.6% 54.1% -12.1 15
1981-02-15 Pistoiese W 1-0 1538 1617 33.4% 41.1% 25.5% +14.3 13
1981-02-15 @ Udinese L 0-1 1617 1538 25.5% 41.1% 33.4% -14.3 14
1981-02-22 Cagliari D 0-0 1596 1661 35.3% 41.1% 23.6% -1.1 15
1981-02-22 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1661 1596 23.6% 41.1% 35.3% +1.1 18
1981-02-22 Torino W 3-0 1675 1758 32.9% 41.1% 26.0% +39.6 20
1981-02-22 @ Avellino L 0-3 1758 1675 26.0% 41.1% 32.9% -39.6 20
1981-02-22 Fiorentina D 2-2 1608 1631 40.4% 40.9% 18.7% -1.4 16
1981-02-22 @ Catanzaro D 2-2 1631 1608 18.7% 40.9% 40.4% +1.4 15
1981-02-22 Como W 2-1 1805 1626 57.9% 35.7% 6.5% +4.7 24
1981-02-22 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1626 1805 6.5% 35.7% 57.9% -4.7 14
1981-02-22 Brescia W 2-0 1783 1642 55.2% 37.1% 7.7% +11.3 23
1981-02-22 @ Juventus L 0-2 1642 1783 7.7% 37.1% 55.2% -11.3 13
1981-02-22 Udinese L 1-2 1603 1553 47.8% 39.7% 12.4% -20.9 13
1981-02-22 @ Perugia W 2-1 1553 1603 12.4% 39.7% 47.8% +20.9 15
1981-02-22 Napoli L 0-1 1603 1725 27.6% 40.8% 31.6% -14.9 14
1981-02-22 @ Pistoiese W 1-0 1725 1603 31.6% 40.8% 27.6% +14.9 23
1981-02-22 Bologna D 1-1 1794 1711 50.7% 38.9% 10.4% -4.0 24
1981-02-22 @ Roma D 1-1 1711 1794 10.4% 38.9% 50.7% +4.0 21
1981-03-01 Juventus L 1-5 1715 1794 33.5% 41.1% 25.5% -50.2 21
1981-03-01 @ Bologna W 5-1 1794 1715 25.5% 41.1% 33.5% +50.2 25
1981-03-01 Pistoiese D 2-2 1630 1588 47.1% 39.9% 13.0% -2.4 14
1981-03-01 @ Brescia D 2-2 1588 1630 13.0% 39.9% 47.1% +2.4 15
1981-03-01 Avellino W 1-0 1662 1715 36.9% 41.0% 22.1% +13.1 20
1981-03-01 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1715 1662 22.1% 41.0% 36.9% -13.1 20
1981-03-01 Catanzaro D 0-0 1621 1607 44.4% 40.4% 15.2% -3.0 15
1981-03-01 @ Como D 0-0 1607 1621 15.2% 40.4% 44.4% +3.0 17
1981-03-01 Udinese D 1-1 1632 1573 48.6% 39.5% 11.9% -3.6 16
1981-03-01 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1573 1632 11.9% 39.5% 48.6% +3.6 16
1981-03-01 Inter Milan W 1-0 1740 1810 34.7% 41.1% 24.2% +13.9 25
1981-03-01 @ Napoli L 0-1 1810 1740 24.2% 41.1% 34.7% -13.8 24
1981-03-01 Ascoli D 0-0 1582 1595 41.5% 40.8% 17.7% -2.4 14
1981-03-01 @ Perugia D 0-0 1595 1582 17.7% 40.8% 41.5% +2.4 16
1981-03-01 Roma L 0-2 1719 1790 34.5% 41.1% 24.4% -32.4 20
1981-03-01 @ Torino W 2-0 1790 1719 24.4% 41.1% 34.5% +32.4 26
1981-03-08 Perugia W 2-1 1701 1579 53.8% 37.7% 8.5% +6.2 22
1981-03-08 @ Avellino L 1-2 1579 1701 8.5% 37.7% 53.8% -6.2 14
1981-03-08 Torino D 1-1 1675 1686 41.7% 40.7% 17.6% -2.2 21
1981-03-08 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1686 1675 17.6% 40.7% 41.7% +2.2 21
1981-03-08 Brescia D 0-0 1610 1628 40.9% 40.8% 18.2% -2.3 18
1981-03-08 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1628 1610 18.2% 40.8% 40.9% +2.3 15
1981-03-08 Fiorentina L 1-2 1796 1629 57.0% 36.1% 6.8% -24.4 24
1981-03-08 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1629 1796 6.8% 36.1% 57.0% +24.3 18
1981-03-08 Ascoli W 3-0 1844 1597 62.4% 32.8% 4.8% +9.8 27
1981-03-08 @ Juventus L 0-3 1597 1844 4.8% 32.8% 62.4% -9.8 16
1981-03-08 Bologna L 0-2 1591 1665 34.2% 41.1% 24.8% -32.2 15
1981-03-08 @ Pistoiese W 2-0 1665 1591 24.8% 41.1% 34.2% +32.2 23
1981-03-08 Napoli D 1-1 1822 1754 49.5% 39.3% 11.3% -3.8 27
1981-03-08 @ Roma D 1-1 1754 1822 11.3% 39.3% 49.5% +3.8 26
1981-03-08 Como W 2-0 1577 1618 38.3% 41.0% 20.7% +23.8 18
1981-03-08 @ Udinese L 0-2 1618 1577 20.7% 41.0% 38.3% -23.8 15
1981-03-15 Pistoiese D 0-0 1587 1558 45.8% 40.1% 14.0% -3.4 17
1981-03-15 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1558 1587 14.0% 40.1% 45.8% +3.4 16
1981-03-15 Udinese W 1-0 1697 1601 51.7% 38.5% 9.7% +7.3 25
1981-03-15 @ Bologna L 0-1 1601 1697 9.7% 38.5% 51.7% -7.3 18
1981-03-15 Avellino W 2-0 1594 1708 28.8% 40.9% 30.3% +29.8 17
1981-03-15 @ Como L 0-2 1708 1594 30.3% 40.9% 28.8% -29.8 22
1981-03-15 Brescia W 1-0 1653 1630 45.3% 40.2% 14.5% +10.0 20
1981-03-15 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1630 1653 14.5% 40.2% 45.3% -10.0 15
1981-03-15 Cagliari W 2-0 1758 1673 50.8% 38.9% 10.3% +14.5 28
1981-03-15 @ Napoli L 0-2 1673 1758 10.3% 38.9% 50.8% -14.6 21
1981-03-15 Catanzaro D 0-0 1573 1607 39.1% 40.9% 20.0% -1.9 15
1981-03-15 @ Perugia D 0-0 1607 1573 20.0% 40.9% 39.1% +1.9 19
1981-03-15 Inter Milan W 1-0 1819 1772 47.6% 39.8% 12.7% +9.0 29
1981-03-15 @ Roma L 0-1 1772 1819 12.7% 39.8% 47.6% -9.0 24
1981-03-15 Juventus L 0-2 1688 1854 22.2% 40.3% 37.5% -24.5 21
1981-03-15 @ Torino W 2-0 1854 1688 37.5% 40.3% 22.2% +24.5 29
1981-03-22 Napoli D 0-0 1678 1772 31.4% 41.0% 27.6% -0.3 23
1981-03-22 @ Avellino D 0-0 1772 1678 27.6% 41.0% 31.4% +0.3 29
1981-03-22 Bologna D 0-0 1620 1704 32.8% 41.1% 26.1% -0.6 16
1981-03-22 @ Brescia D 0-0 1704 1620 26.1% 41.1% 32.8% +0.6 26
1981-03-22 Fiorentina D 0-0 1658 1663 42.4% 40.7% 16.9% -2.6 22
1981-03-22 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1663 1658 16.9% 40.7% 42.4% +2.6 21
1981-03-22 Roma D 1-1 1609 1828 16.9% 39.1% 44.0% +2.5 20
1981-03-22 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1828 1609 44.0% 39.1% 16.9% -2.5 30
1981-03-22 Torino L 0-2 1624 1664 38.4% 41.0% 20.6% -35.0 17
1981-03-22 @ Como W 2-0 1664 1624 20.6% 41.0% 38.4% +35.0 23
1981-03-22 Perugia W 2-1 1878 1571 66.2% 30.1% 3.8% +2.5 31
1981-03-22 @ Juventus L 1-2 1571 1878 3.8% 30.1% 66.2% -2.5 15
1981-03-22 Inter Milan L 1-2 1562 1763 18.5% 39.6% 41.9% -10.8 16
1981-03-22 @ Pistoiese W 2-1 1763 1562 41.9% 39.6% 18.5% +10.8 26
1981-03-22 Ascoli D 0-0 1593 1584 43.9% 40.5% 15.6% -2.9 19
1981-03-22 @ Udinese D 0-0 1584 1593 15.6% 40.5% 43.9% +2.9 18
1981-03-29 Avellino D 1-1 1587 1677 31.9% 41.0% 27.0% -0.4 19
1981-03-29 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1677 1587 27.0% 41.0% 31.9% +0.4 24
1981-03-29 Udinese W 2-1 1612 1591 45.1% 40.3% 14.6% +9.5 22
1981-03-29 @ Catanzaro L 1-2 1591 1612 14.6% 40.3% 45.1% -9.5 19
1981-03-29 Como D 1-1 1666 1589 50.1% 39.1% 10.8% -3.9 22
1981-03-29 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1589 1666 10.8% 39.1% 50.1% +3.9 18
1981-03-29 Juventus W 1-0 1773 1881 29.6% 41.0% 29.5% +15.5 28
1981-03-29 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1881 1773 29.5% 41.0% 29.6% -15.5 31
1981-03-29 Bologna W 2-1 1773 1705 49.4% 39.3% 11.3% +7.8 31
1981-03-29 @ Napoli L 1-2 1705 1773 11.3% 39.3% 49.4% -7.8 26
1981-03-29 Pistoiese W 3-0 1569 1551 44.8% 40.3% 14.9% +27.8 17
1981-03-29 @ Perugia L 0-3 1551 1569 14.9% 40.3% 44.8% -27.8 16
1981-03-29 Cagliari W 1-0 1825 1656 57.2% 36.1% 6.7% +5.2 32
1981-03-29 @ Roma L 0-1 1656 1825 6.7% 36.1% 57.2% -5.2 22
1981-03-29 Brescia D 1-1 1699 1620 50.4% 39.0% 10.6% -4.0 24
1981-03-29 @ Torino D 1-1 1620 1699 10.6% 39.0% 50.4% +4.0 17
1981-04-05 Pistoiese W 3-0 1678 1523 56.2% 36.6% 7.2% +15.4 26
1981-04-05 @ Avellino L 0-3 1523 1678 7.2% 36.6% 56.2% -15.4 16
1981-04-05 Inter Milan W 2-1 1697 1789 31.7% 41.0% 27.2% +14.0 28
1981-04-05 @ Bologna L 1-2 1789 1697 27.2% 41.0% 31.7% -14.0 28
1981-04-05 Napoli L 1-2 1624 1780 23.2% 40.4% 36.4% -12.6 17
1981-04-05 @ Brescia W 2-1 1780 1624 36.4% 40.4% 23.2% +12.6 33
1981-04-05 Perugia W 2-1 1651 1597 48.2% 39.6% 12.2% +8.3 24
1981-04-05 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1597 1651 12.2% 39.6% 48.2% -8.3 17
1981-04-05 Ascoli D 0-0 1593 1586 43.6% 40.5% 15.9% -2.9 19
1981-04-05 @ Como D 0-0 1586 1593 15.9% 40.5% 43.6% +2.9 20
1981-04-05 Torino W 2-0 1662 1695 39.2% 40.9% 19.9% +23.1 24
1981-04-05 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1695 1662 19.9% 40.9% 39.2% -23.1 24
1981-04-05 Catanzaro W 3-0 1865 1621 62.2% 33.0% 4.9% +9.9 33
1981-04-05 @ Juventus L 0-3 1621 1865 4.9% 33.0% 62.2% -9.9 22
1981-04-05 Roma L 0-2 1581 1830 14.4% 38.3% 47.3% -18.0 19
1981-04-05 @ Udinese W 2-0 1830 1581 47.3% 38.3% 14.4% +18.0 34
1981-04-12 Catanzaro L 1-2 1589 1611 40.5% 40.8% 18.7% -18.2 20
1981-04-12 @ Ascoli W 2-1 1611 1589 18.7% 40.8% 40.5% +18.2 24
1981-04-12 Udinese D 0-0 1693 1563 54.4% 37.5% 8.2% -5.3 27
1981-04-12 @ Avellino D 0-0 1563 1693 8.2% 37.5% 54.4% +5.3 20
1981-04-12 Cagliari W 2-1 1711 1659 48.0% 39.7% 12.3% +8.4 30
1981-04-12 @ Bologna L 1-2 1659 1711 12.3% 39.7% 48.0% -8.3 24
1981-04-12 Brescia D 0-0 1775 1611 56.8% 36.3% 6.9% -5.9 29
1981-04-12 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1611 1775 6.9% 36.3% 56.8% +5.9 18
1981-04-12 Como D 0-0 1588 1590 42.7% 40.6% 16.7% -2.7 18
1981-04-12 @ Perugia D 0-0 1590 1588 16.7% 40.6% 42.7% +2.7 20
1981-04-12 Juventus L 1-3 1508 1875 8.2% 33.9% 58.0% -9.3 16
1981-04-12 @ Pistoiese W 3-1 1875 1508 58.0% 33.9% 8.2% +9.3 35
1981-04-12 Fiorentina D 1-1 1848 1685 56.8% 36.3% 6.9% -5.2 35
1981-04-12 @ Roma D 1-1 1685 1848 6.9% 36.3% 56.8% +5.2 25
1981-04-12 Napoli L 0-1 1672 1793 27.7% 40.9% 31.4% -15.0 24
1981-04-12 @ Torino W 1-0 1793 1672 31.4% 40.9% 27.7% +15.0 35
1981-04-26 Roma D 0-0 1571 1843 12.9% 37.5% 49.6% +4.0 21
1981-04-26 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1843 1571 49.6% 37.5% 12.9% -4.0 36
1981-04-26 Cagliari W 1-0 1617 1650 39.1% 40.9% 19.9% +12.3 20
1981-04-26 @ Brescia L 0-1 1650 1617 19.9% 40.9% 39.1% -12.3 24
1981-04-26 Avellino D 1-1 1630 1688 36.1% 41.1% 22.8% -1.1 25
1981-04-26 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1688 1630 22.8% 41.1% 36.1% +1.1 28
1981-04-26 Pistoiese W 1-0 1593 1498 51.6% 38.6% 9.8% +7.4 22
1981-04-26 @ Como L 0-1 1498 1593 9.8% 38.6% 51.6% -7.4 16
1981-04-26 Bologna W 2-1 1690 1719 39.7% 40.9% 19.4% +11.4 27
1981-04-26 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1719 1690 19.4% 40.9% 39.7% -11.4 30
1981-04-26 Perugia L 0-1 1808 1586 60.8% 33.9% 5.3% -27.1 35
1981-04-26 @ Napoli W 1-0 1586 1808 5.3% 33.9% 60.8% +27.1 20
1981-04-26 Inter Milan L 0-1 1657 1769 28.9% 40.9% 30.1% -15.4 24
1981-04-26 @ Torino W 1-0 1769 1657 30.1% 40.9% 28.9% +15.4 31
1981-04-26 Juventus L 0-2 1568 1885 10.4% 35.9% 53.7% -13.6 20
1981-04-26 @ Udinese W 2-0 1885 1568 53.7% 35.9% 10.4% +13.6 37
1981-05-03 Torino W 1-0 1708 1642 49.3% 39.3% 11.4% +8.4 32
1981-05-03 @ Bologna L 0-1 1642 1708 11.4% 39.3% 49.3% -8.3 24
1981-05-03 Udinese D 1-1 1629 1555 50.0% 39.1% 10.9% -3.9 21
1981-05-03 @ Brescia D 1-1 1555 1629 10.9% 39.1% 50.0% +3.9 21
1981-05-03 Como D 1-1 1638 1600 46.7% 40.0% 13.3% -3.2 25
1981-05-03 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1600 1638 13.3% 40.0% 46.7% +3.2 23
1981-05-03 Ascoli L 1-2 1784 1575 59.9% 34.5% 5.6% -25.3 31
1981-05-03 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1575 1784 5.6% 34.5% 59.9% +25.3 23
1981-05-03 Avellino W 1-0 1898 1689 59.9% 34.5% 5.6% +4.3 39
1981-05-03 @ Juventus L 0-1 1689 1898 5.6% 34.5% 59.9% -4.3 28
1981-05-03 Fiorentina D 1-1 1781 1702 50.4% 39.0% 10.6% -4.0 36
1981-05-03 @ Napoli D 1-1 1702 1781 10.6% 39.0% 50.4% +4.0 28
1981-05-03 Catanzaro L 0-1 1491 1628 25.6% 40.7% 33.7% -14.2 16
1981-05-03 @ Pistoiese W 1-0 1628 1491 33.7% 40.7% 25.6% +14.2 27
1981-05-03 Perugia W 5-0 1839 1613 61.0% 33.7% 5.2% +17.5 38
1981-05-03 @ Roma L 0-5 1613 1839 5.2% 33.7% 61.0% -17.5 20
1981-05-10 Torino D 0-0 1600 1633 39.2% 40.9% 19.8% -1.9 24
1981-05-10 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1633 1600 19.8% 40.9% 39.2% +1.9 25
1981-05-10 Inter Milan L 1-3 1685 1759 34.1% 41.1% 24.8% -27.8 28
1981-05-10 @ Avellino W 3-1 1759 1685 24.8% 41.1% 34.1% +27.8 33
1981-05-10 Bologna D 2-2 1643 1716 34.2% 41.1% 24.7% -0.6 28
1981-05-10 @ Catanzaro D 2-2 1716 1643 24.7% 41.1% 34.2% +0.6 33
1981-05-10 Napoli L 0-1 1603 1777 21.3% 40.1% 38.6% -12.7 23
1981-05-10 @ Como W 1-0 1777 1603 38.6% 40.1% 21.3% +12.7 38
1981-05-10 Roma D 0-0 1903 1857 47.4% 39.8% 12.8% -3.7 40
1981-05-10 @ Juventus D 0-0 1857 1903 12.8% 39.8% 47.4% +3.7 39
1981-05-10 Brescia D 0-0 1595 1625 39.6% 40.9% 19.5% -2.0 21
1981-05-10 @ Perugia D 0-0 1625 1595 19.5% 40.9% 39.6% +2.0 22
1981-05-10 Fiorentina L 0-1 1477 1705 16.0% 38.9% 45.1% -10.4 16
1981-05-10 @ Pistoiese W 1-0 1705 1477 45.1% 38.9% 16.0% +10.4 30
1981-05-10 Cagliari D 2-2 1559 1635 33.8% 41.1% 25.1% -0.5 22
1981-05-10 @ Udinese D 2-2 1635 1559 25.1% 41.1% 33.8% +0.5 26
1981-05-17 Avellino D 0-0 1717 1657 48.7% 39.5% 11.8% -4.0 34
1981-05-17 @ Bologna D 0-0 1657 1717 11.8% 39.5% 48.7% +4.0 29
1981-05-17 Como W 1-0 1627 1591 46.6% 40.0% 13.4% +9.5 24
1981-05-17 @ Brescia L 0-1 1591 1627 13.4% 40.0% 46.6% -9.4 23
1981-05-17 Catanzaro W 2-1 1636 1642 42.2% 40.7% 17.1% +10.5 28
1981-05-17 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1642 1636 17.1% 40.7% 42.2% -10.5 28
1981-05-17 Ascoli W 2-1 1716 1598 53.4% 37.9% 8.7% +6.3 32
1981-05-17 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1598 1716 8.7% 37.9% 53.4% -6.3 24
1981-05-17 Perugia W 3-1 1787 1593 58.9% 35.1% 6.0% +7.6 35
1981-05-17 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1593 1787 6.0% 35.1% 58.9% -7.6 21
1981-05-17 Juventus L 0-1 1790 1899 29.3% 41.0% 29.7% -15.5 38
1981-05-17 @ Napoli W 1-0 1899 1790 29.7% 41.0% 29.3% +15.5 42
1981-05-17 Pistoiese W 1-0 1860 1466 71.4% 25.9% 2.7% +1.6 41
1981-05-17 @ Roma L 0-1 1466 1860 2.7% 25.9% 71.4% -1.6 16
1981-05-17 Udinese D 0-0 1635 1558 50.2% 39.1% 10.8% -4.4 26
1981-05-17 @ Torino D 0-0 1558 1635 10.8% 39.1% 50.2% +4.4 23
1981-05-24 Brescia D 0-0 1592 1637 37.9% 41.0% 21.1% -1.6 25
1981-05-24 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1637 1592 21.1% 41.0% 37.9% +1.6 25
1981-05-24 Roma D 1-1 1661 1862 18.5% 39.6% 42.0% +2.1 30
1981-05-24 @ Avellino D 1-1 1862 1661 42.0% 39.6% 18.5% -2.1 42
1981-05-24 Inter Milan D 0-0 1632 1795 22.5% 40.3% 37.2% +1.4 29
1981-05-24 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1795 1632 37.2% 40.3% 22.5% -1.4 36
1981-05-24 Bologna W 2-1 1581 1713 26.3% 40.8% 32.9% +15.7 25
1981-05-24 @ Como L 1-2 1713 1581 32.9% 40.8% 26.3% -15.7 34
1981-05-24 Fiorentina W 1-0 1914 1722 58.8% 35.2% 6.1% +4.7 44
1981-05-24 @ Juventus L 0-1 1722 1914 6.1% 35.2% 58.8% -4.7 32
1981-05-24 Torino W 1-0 1586 1631 37.8% 41.0% 21.2% +12.8 23
1981-05-24 @ Perugia L 0-1 1631 1586 21.2% 41.0% 37.8% -12.8 26
1981-05-24 Cagliari L 1-3 1465 1646 20.5% 40.0% 39.5% -20.1 16
1981-05-24 @ Pistoiese W 3-1 1646 1465 39.5% 40.0% 20.5% +20.1 30
1981-05-24 Napoli W 2-1 1563 1774 17.5% 39.3% 43.2% +18.9 25
1981-05-24 @ Udinese L 1-2 1774 1563 43.2% 39.3% 17.5% -18.9 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1981-04-26 5.33% Perugia 1586 1 @ Napoli 1808 0
2 1981-05-03 5.64% Ascoli 1575 2 @ Inter Milan 1784 1
3 1981-03-08 6.82% Fiorentina 1629 2 @ Inter Milan 1796 1
4 1980-10-26 8.27% Roma 1669 4 @ Inter Milan 1796 2
5 1981-02-01 8.97% Ascoli 1579 1 @ Brescia 1690 0
6 1980-10-05 10.22% Bologna 1666 1 @ Juventus 1752 0
7 1980-10-19 11.27% Cagliari 1639 2 @ Torino 1707 1
8 1980-09-14 11.39% Avellino 1631 2 @ Brescia 1697 1
9 1980-10-26 11.78% Ascoli 1606 1 @ Pistoiese 1666 0
10 1980-11-09 11.93% Brescia 1651 1 @ Bologna 1708 0
11 1981-02-22 12.45% Udinese 1553 2 @ Perugia 1603 1
12 1980-12-28 12.57% Bologna 1689 2 @ Torino 1738 1
13 1980-10-26 12.97% Torino 1686 2 @ Juventus 1728 1
14 1980-10-05 15.40% Perugia 1650 3 @ Ascoli 1662 0
15 1980-12-28 15.52% Napoli 1671 1 @ Fiorentina 1682 0
16 1980-12-21 16.38% Brescia 1674 2 @ Cagliari 1675 1
17 1980-12-14 16.53% Torino 1702 3 @ Napoli 1701 1
18 1980-09-14 16.59% Roma 1665 1 @ Como 1664 0
19 1981-01-25 17.44% Roma 1719 4 @ Pistoiese 1709 0
20 1981-05-24 17.50% @ Udinese 1563 2 Napoli 1774 1
21 1980-12-28 17.66% Pistoiese 1658 3 @ Catanzaro 1646 1
22 1981-04-12 18.66% Catanzaro 1611 2 @ Ascoli 1589 1
23 1981-01-18 19.44% Pistoiese 1691 2 @ Fiorentina 1661 1
24 1980-10-26 19.94% Perugia 1703 1 @ Catanzaro 1669 0
25 1981-03-22 20.59% Torino 1664 2 @ Como 1624 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-01-25 70.95 Roma 4 1719 17.44% @ Pistoiese 0 1709 41.83% 40.73%
2 1980-10-05 56.79 Perugia 3 1650 15.40% @ Ascoli 0 1662 44.18% 40.43%
3 1980-09-14 55.22 Inter Milan 4 1727 29.94% @ Udinese 0 1616 29.12% 40.94%
4 1980-10-19 51.29 @ Napoli 4 1640 33.27% Roma 0 1720 25.65% 41.08%
5 1981-03-01 50.23 Juventus 5 1794 25.46% @ Bologna 1 1715 33.46% 41.08%
6 1981-02-22 39.61 @ Avellino 3 1675 32.89% Torino 0 1758 26.04% 41.07%
7 1980-10-26 36.12 Roma 4 1669 8.27% @ Inter Milan 2 1796 54.15% 37.57%
8 1981-03-22 35.02 Torino 2 1664 20.59% @ Como 0 1624 38.42% 40.99%
9 1980-12-14 33.03 Torino 3 1702 16.53% @ Napoli 1 1701 42.86% 40.61%
10 1981-02-15 33.02 @ Bologna 4 1678 47.10% Perugia 0 1636 13.02% 39.89%
11 1981-03-01 32.43 Roma 2 1790 24.42% @ Torino 0 1719 34.49% 41.09%
12 1980-12-28 32.24 Pistoiese 3 1658 17.66% @ Catanzaro 1 1646 41.59% 40.75%
13 1981-03-08 32.21 Bologna 2 1665 24.76% @ Pistoiese 0 1591 34.15% 41.09%
14 1981-01-25 31.05 Inter Milan 2 1773 26.62% @ Perugia 0 1685 32.32% 41.06%
15 1981-03-15 29.79 @ Como 2 1594 28.78% Avellino 0 1708 30.30% 40.93%
16 1981-05-10 27.85 Inter Milan 3 1759 24.84% @ Avellino 1 1685 34.08% 41.09%
17 1981-03-29 27.84 @ Perugia 3 1569 44.75% Pistoiese 0 1551 14.92% 40.34%
18 1981-04-26 27.08 Perugia 1 1586 5.33% @ Napoli 0 1808 60.77% 33.90%
19 1980-09-28 25.56 @ Cagliari 2 1625 35.55% Ascoli 0 1688 23.37% 41.08%
20 1981-05-03 25.27 Ascoli 2 1575 5.64% @ Inter Milan 1 1784 59.91% 34.46%
21 1981-01-25 25.12 @ Avellino 2 1648 36.25% Bologna 0 1705 22.69% 41.07%
22 1981-03-15 24.53 Juventus 2 1854 37.52% @ Torino 0 1688 22.21% 40.27%
23 1981-03-08 24.35 Fiorentina 2 1629 6.82% @ Inter Milan 1 1796 57.04% 36.14%
24 1981-02-01 24.25 Ascoli 1 1579 8.97% @ Brescia 0 1690 52.94% 38.09%
25 1981-03-08 23.77 @ Udinese 2 1577 38.26% Como 0 1618 20.74% 41.00%