1980-81 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

44 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Roma

8.43 points above expected

42 points · 33.57 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pistoiese

11.02 points below expected

16 points · 27.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	30	17	10	3	44	46	15	+31	36.5	+7.45
2	Roma	30	14	14	2	42	43	20	+23	33.6	+8.43
3	Napoli	30	14	10	6	38	31	21	+10	32.1	+5.91
4	Inter Milan	30	14	8	8	36	41	24	+17	35.5	+0.48
5	Bologna	30	11	12	7	34	32	27	+5	26.7	+7.34
6	Fiorentina	30	9	14	7	32	28	25	+3	30.1	+1.88
7	Avellino	30	10	10	10	30	36	33	+3	23.2	+6.84
8	Cagliari	30	8	14	8	30	29	30	-1	28.9	+1.14
9	Catanzaro	30	6	17	7	29	24	27	-3	27.2	+1.82
10	Torino	30	8	10	12	26	26	29	-3	31.9	-5.94
11	Brescia	30	4	17	9	25	19	25	-6	29.4	-4.40
12	Como	30	8	9	13	25	25	33	-8	27.5	-2.46
13	Udinese	30	6	13	11	25	24	39	-15	23.4	+1.64
14	Ascoli	30	7	11	12	25	18	34	-16	28.0	-3.02
15	Perugia	30	5	13	12	23	18	31	-13	24.1	-1.09
16	Pistoiese	30	6	4	20	16	19	46	-27	27.0	-11.02

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1876	44	36.55	+7.45	99.0%	28	30	34	36	39	43	45
Roma	1820	42	33.57	+8.43	99.0%	23	26	31	33	37	41	43
Inter Milan	1780	36	35.52	+0.48	59.0%	27	29	33	36	38	41	44
Napoli	1737	38	32.09	+5.91	98.0%	20	25	30	32	34	38	40
Fiorentina	1705	32	30.12	+1.88	71.0%	20	21	28	31	33	36	45
Bologna	1692	34	26.66	+7.34	78.0%	17	21	24	26	29	33	36
Avellino	1663	30	23.16	+6.84	67.0%	12	16	20	23	26	29	34
Cagliari	1663	30	28.86	+1.14	62.0%	20	22	26	29	31	35	43
Brescia	1649	25	29.40	-4.40	15.0%	19	22	27	29	32	36	39
Torino	1641	26	31.94	-5.94	6.0%	18	26	29	32	35	39	41
Catanzaro	1635	29	27.18	+1.82	72.0%	18	19	24	28	30	33	37
Perugia	1613	23	24.09	-1.09	11.0%	15	17	21	24	27	31	35
Como	1611	25	27.46	-2.46	32.0%	17	21	25	28	30	32	36
Ascoli	1604	25	28.02	-3.02	28.0%	19	21	25	28	30	35	39
Udinese	1585	25	23.36	+1.64	75.0%	13	18	21	23	25	29	32
Pistoiese	1501	16	27.02	-11.02	0.0%	20	21	24	27	30	32	34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ASC	AVE	BOL	BRE	CAG	CAT	COM	FIO	IM	JUV	NAP	PER	PIS	ROM	TOR	UDI
Ascoli	—	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.24	0-1-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.55	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.16	1-0-1 1.70	0-1-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 1.67	0-1-1 2.21	1-1-0 2.78
Avellino	1-1-0 2.79	—	1-1-0 2.33	2-0-0 2.41	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.82	0-0-2 2.58	0-1-1 2.05	0-1-1 1.84	0-1-1 2.25	1-1-0 2.67	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 1.78	1-0-1 2.14	0-1-1 3.14
Bologna	1-1-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.86	—	0-1-1 2.85	1-1-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.99	0-1-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.14	0-1-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.68	2-0-0 2.69	0-2-0 2.37	2-0-0 2.59	1-1-0 3.26
Brescia	0-1-1 2.98	0-0-2 2.79	1-1-0 2.33	—	2-0-0 2.59	0-2-0 2.70	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.45	0-2-0 2.03	0-1-1 2.12	0-1-1 2.16	0-2-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.31	0-2-0 2.36	0-2-0 3.27
Cagliari	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.58	—	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.43	0-1-1 1.84	0-2-0 2.03	0-1-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.60	2-0-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.19	1-1-0 2.34	0-2-0 3.02
Catanzaro	2-0-0 2.62	0-1-1 2.47	0-2-0 2.20	0-2-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.56	—	1-1-0 2.52	0-2-0 2.36	0-2-0 1.71	0-1-1 1.90	0-2-0 2.25	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.84	0-2-0 1.84	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 2.93
Como	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.34	1-1-0 2.13	0-1-1 2.33	1-1-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.66	—	1-1-0 2.26	1-0-1 1.78	0-0-2 1.99	0-0-2 2.01	1-1-0 2.41	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.35	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.86
Fiorentina	1-0-1 3.06	2-0-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.72	0-2-0 2.76	0-2-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.93	—	1-1-0 2.03	0-0-2 1.87	0-1-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 3.15	0-2-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.44	0-2-0 3.16
Inter Milan	1-0-1 3.59	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.10	0-2-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.40	0-2-0 3.57	1-0-1 3.48	0-1-1 3.21	—	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 3.10	2-0-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.45	0-0-2 2.84	1-1-0 3.01	2-0-0 3.48
Juventus	1-1-0 3.46	1-1-0 3.44	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 3.11	0-2-0 3.19	1-1-0 3.40	2-0-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.68	—	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.78	0-2-0 2.86	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.99
Napoli	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.85	0-2-0 2.93	2-0-0 3.17	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.11	0-1-1 2.08	—	0-1-1 2.97	2-0-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.26	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 3.61
Perugia	1-1-0 2.56	0-1-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.51	0-2-0 2.46	0-1-1 2.60	1-1-0 2.64	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.59	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 2.13	1-1-0 2.32	—	1-0-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.16	1-0-1 2.28	0-1-1 2.97
Pistoiese	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.38	0-0-2 2.47	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.14	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.03	0-0-2 1.78	0-0-2 1.50	0-0-2 2.44	1-0-1 2.38	—	0-0-2 2.04	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 3.16
Roma	1-1-0 3.57	0-2-0 3.45	0-2-0 2.83	2-0-0 2.85	1-0-1 3.06	0-2-0 3.36	1-1-0 2.89	0-2-0 2.93	2-0-0 2.40	0-2-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.12	2-0-0 3.35	—	2-0-0 2.60	2-0-0 3.63
Torino	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.06	0-0-2 2.62	0-2-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.20	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.16	1-0-1 2.03	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.97	0-0-2 2.56	—	0-2-0 3.41
Udinese	0-1-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.09	0-1-1 1.96	0-2-0 1.94	0-2-0 2.18	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.33	0-2-0 2.03	0-0-2 1.83	0-0-2 1.35	1-0-1 1.66	1-1-0 2.22	1-1-0 2.07	0-0-2 1.63	0-2-0 1.81	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.33%	10.83%	5.83%	1.67%	1.04%	0.21%	37.92%
1	10.83%	17.92%	7.50%	1.67%	0.62%	0.21%	38.75%
2	5.83%	7.50%	2.50%	0.42%	0.42%	—	16.67%
3	1.67%	1.67%	0.42%	—	—	—	3.75%
4	1.04%	0.62%	0.42%	—	—	0.21%	2.29%
5+	0.21%	0.21%	—	—	0.21%	—	0.62%
Total	37.92%	38.75%	16.67%	3.75%	2.29%	0.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	1.91
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.068
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	56.67%
1	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	—	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	23.33%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.60
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.252
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	40.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Avellino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.362
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	46.67%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	40.00%	16.67%	—	—	3.33%	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.007
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	46.67%
1	10.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	43.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	100%

Brescia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	0.67
StdDev allowed	0.75
Mean total goals/game	1.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.495
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	46.67%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	43.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.174
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	30.00%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Catanzaro — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.286
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	20.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	36.67%	—	—	—	100%

Como — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.180
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	50.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.457
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	33.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.097
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	53.33%	43.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	0.50
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	0.57
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.090
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	30.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	56.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.33%	33.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	0.85
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.030
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	53.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	23.33%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Perugia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.60
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	1.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.117
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	30.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	46.67%	20.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Pistoiese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	0.85
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.152
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	16.67%	33.33%	—	—	—	—	50.00%
2	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	46.67%	46.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.051
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	3.33%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	46.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.416
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	10.00%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	50.00%
1	3.33%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	40.00%	20.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	100%

Udinese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.255
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Roma	42	33.6	+8.43
2	Juventus	44	36.5	+7.45
3	Bologna	34	26.7	+7.34
4	Avellino	30	23.2	+6.84
5	Napoli	38	32.1	+5.91

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Pistoiese	16	27.0	-11.02
2	Torino	26	31.9	-5.94
3	Brescia	25	29.4	-4.40
4	Ascoli	25	28.0	-3.02
5	Como	25	27.5	-2.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	6	Feb 15 – Mar 22	1 in 185
2	Pistoiese	3	Dec 21 – Jan 18	1 in 71
3	Udinese	2	Feb 15 – Feb 22	1 in 24
4	Napoli	3	Feb 15 – Mar 1	1 in 23
5	Bologna	2	Oct 5 – Oct 19	1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pistoiese	9	Mar 22 – May 24	1 in 1,772
2	Fiorentina	5	Dec 21 – Feb 1	1 in 894
3	Brescia	4	Feb 1 – Feb 22	1 in 158
4	Torino	4	Apr 5 – May 3	1 in 83
5	Inter Milan	3	Mar 1 – Mar 15	1 in 72

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roma	22	Nov 30 – May 24	1 in 246
2	Fiorentina	14	Feb 8 – May 17	1 in 226
3	Napoli	15	Dec 21 – Apr 12	1 in 220
4	Juventus	16	Nov 9 – Mar 22	1 in 62
5	Brescia	10	Oct 19 – Jan 25	1 in 34

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Perugia	16	Nov 9 – Mar 22	1 in 453
2	Fiorentina	14	Sep 28 – Feb 8	1 in 203
3	Brescia	14	Dec 28 – Apr 12	1 in 102
4	Pistoiese	17	Jan 25 – May 24	1 in 78
5	Catanzaro	12	Dec 21 – Mar 22	1 in 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Juventus	46.00%	19.00%	9.00%	12.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Roma	17.00%	14.00%	16.00%	15.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Napoli	5.00%	11.00%	11.00%	17.00%	16.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Inter Milan	20.00%	35.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Bologna	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	13.00%	14.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Fiorentina	3.00%	1.00%	14.00%	6.00%	13.00%	12.00%	7.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—
Avellino	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%	12.00%	28.00%
Cagliari	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	7.00%	12.00%	4.00%	7.00%	12.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Catanzaro	—	2.00%	3.00%	—	5.00%	7.00%	12.00%	8.00%	8.00%	12.00%	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Torino	4.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	13.00%	13.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%	11.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Brescia	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	14.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	13.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Como	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	7.00%	10.00%	4.00%	14.00%	9.00%	5.00%	10.00%	2.00%
Udinese	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	15.00%	21.00%	13.00%	27.00%
Ascoli	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Perugia	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	12.00%	22.00%	17.00%
Pistoiese	—	—	4.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	13.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Inter Milan	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Roma	100%	—
Torino	98.0%	2.0%
Napoli	97.0%	3.0%
Brescia	92.0%	8.0%
Cagliari	90.0%	10.0%
Fiorentina	90.0%	10.0%
Como	83.0%	17.0%
Ascoli	79.0%	21.0%
Bologna	79.0%	21.0%
Catanzaro	78.0%	22.0%
Pistoiese	78.0%	22.0%
Perugia	49.0%	51.0%
Avellino	48.0%	52.0%
Udinese	39.0%	61.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1980-09-14	Ascoli	W 1-0	1653	1684	38.9%	42.0%	19.1%	+8.4	3
1980-09-14	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1684	1653	19.1%	42.0%	38.9%	-8.4	0
1980-09-14	Avellino	L 1-2	1698	1636	49.6%	38.3%	12.2%	-14.7	0
1980-09-14	@ Brescia	W 2-1	1636	1698	12.2%	38.3%	49.6%	+14.7	3
1980-09-14	Juventus	D 1-1	1642	1729	31.7%	42.3%	26.0%	-0.3	1
1980-09-14	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1729	1642	26.0%	42.3%	31.7%	+0.3	1
1980-09-14	Roma	L 0-1	1665	1663	42.9%	41.1%	16.1%	-14.1	0
1980-09-14	@ Como	W 1-0	1663	1665	16.1%	41.1%	42.9%	+14.1	3
1980-09-14	Perugia	W 1-0	1683	1666	44.6%	40.5%	14.9%	+7.0	3
1980-09-14	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1666	1683	14.9%	40.5%	44.6%	-7.0	0
1980-09-14	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1660	1629	46.2%	39.9%	13.9%	-2.1	1
1980-09-14	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1629	1660	13.9%	39.9%	46.2%	+2.1	1
1980-09-14	Pistoiese	W 1-0	1714	1704	43.8%	40.8%	15.4%	+7.2	3
1980-09-14	@ Torino	L 0-1	1704	1714	15.4%	40.8%	43.8%	-7.2	0
1980-09-14	Inter Milan	L 0-4	1626	1721	30.8%	42.3%	26.9%	-40.0	0
1980-09-14	@ Udinese	W 4-0	1721	1626	26.9%	42.3%	30.8%	+40.0	3
1980-09-21	Napoli	W 3-2	1676	1658	44.6%	40.5%	14.9%	+6.3	3
1980-09-21	@ Ascoli	L 2-3	1658	1676	14.9%	40.5%	44.6%	-6.3	1
1980-09-21	Fiorentina	L 2-3	1651	1690	38.0%	42.1%	19.9%	-11.5	3
1980-09-21	@ Avellino	W 3-2	1690	1651	19.9%	42.1%	38.0%	+11.5	6
1980-09-21	Torino	W 1-0	1631	1721	31.3%	42.3%	26.4%	+10.2	4
1980-09-21	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1721	1631	26.4%	42.3%	31.3%	-10.2	3
1980-09-21	Cagliari	W 4-1	1761	1641	55.8%	34.4%	9.8%	+10.6	6
1980-09-21	@ Inter Milan	L 1-4	1641	1761	9.8%	34.4%	55.8%	-10.6	1
1980-09-21	Como	W 2-0	1730	1651	51.4%	37.2%	11.3%	+10.3	4
1980-09-21	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1651	1730	11.3%	37.2%	51.4%	-10.3	0
1980-09-21	Bologna	D 0-0	1659	1661	42.3%	41.2%	16.5%	-1.8	1
1980-09-21	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1661	1659	16.5%	41.2%	42.3%	+1.8	4
1980-09-21	Udinese	D 1-1	1697	1586	54.9%	35.1%	10.1%	-3.1	1
1980-09-21	@ Pistoiese	D 1-1	1586	1697	10.1%	35.1%	54.9%	+3.1	1
1980-09-21	Brescia	W 1-0	1677	1683	41.8%	41.4%	16.8%	+7.7	6
1980-09-21	@ Roma	L 0-1	1683	1677	16.8%	41.4%	41.8%	-7.7	0
1980-09-28	Roma	D 1-1	1663	1685	40.1%	41.8%	18.1%	-1.4	5
1980-09-28	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1685	1663	18.1%	41.8%	40.1%	+1.4	7
1980-09-28	Juventus	D 1-1	1676	1740	34.7%	42.4%	22.9%	-0.7	1
1980-09-28	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1740	1676	22.9%	42.4%	34.7%	+0.7	5
1980-09-28	Ascoli	W 2-0	1631	1682	36.4%	42.3%	21.3%	+17.0	4
1980-09-28	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1682	1631	21.3%	42.3%	36.4%	-17.0	3
1980-09-28	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1641	1771	26.1%	41.6%	32.3%	+11.4	3
1980-09-28	@ Como	L 0-1	1771	1641	32.3%	41.6%	26.1%	-11.4	6
1980-09-28	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1701	1641	49.4%	38.4%	12.2%	-2.5	7
1980-09-28	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1641	1701	12.2%	38.4%	49.4%	+2.5	5
1980-09-28	Pistoiese	W 1-0	1652	1694	37.6%	42.2%	20.2%	+8.7	4
1980-09-28	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1694	1652	20.2%	42.2%	37.6%	-8.7	1
1980-09-28	Avellino	W 2-0	1711	1640	50.6%	37.7%	11.7%	+10.6	6
1980-09-28	@ Torino	L 0-2	1640	1711	11.7%	37.7%	50.6%	-10.7	3
1980-09-28	Perugia	D 1-1	1589	1657	34.3%	42.4%	23.3%	-0.7	2
1980-09-28	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1657	1589	23.3%	42.4%	34.3%	+0.6	2
1980-10-05	Perugia	L 0-3	1665	1657	43.5%	40.9%	15.6%	-38.9	3
1980-10-05	@ Ascoli	W 3-0	1657	1665	15.6%	40.9%	43.5%	+38.9	5
1980-10-05	Cagliari	W 2-1	1629	1648	40.4%	41.7%	17.9%	+7.6	6
1980-10-05	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1648	1629	17.9%	41.7%	40.4%	-7.6	4
1980-10-05	Como	W 2-0	1644	1652	41.6%	41.4%	17.0%	+14.6	8
1980-10-05	@ Catanzaro	L 0-2	1652	1644	17.0%	41.4%	41.6%	-14.6	3
1980-10-05	Napoli	W 3-0	1760	1661	53.7%	35.9%	10.5%	+13.7	9
1980-10-05	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1661	1760	10.5%	35.9%	53.7%	-13.7	4
1980-10-05	Bologna	L 0-1	1741	1662	51.4%	37.2%	11.3%	-16.0	5
1980-10-05	@ Juventus	W 1-0	1662	1741	11.3%	37.2%	51.4%	+16.0	8
1980-10-05	Brescia	W 1-0	1685	1675	43.7%	40.8%	15.4%	+7.2	4
1980-10-05	@ Pistoiese	L 0-1	1675	1685	15.4%	40.8%	43.7%	-7.2	1
1980-10-05	Torino	W 2-0	1686	1722	38.3%	42.1%	19.6%	+16.1	10
1980-10-05	@ Roma	L 0-2	1722	1686	19.6%	42.1%	38.3%	-16.1	6
1980-10-05	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1589	1699	28.7%	42.0%	29.3%	+0.0	3
1980-10-05	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1699	1589	29.3%	42.0%	28.7%	-0.0	8
1980-10-19	Juventus	D 0-0	1626	1725	30.2%	42.2%	27.6%	-0.2	4
1980-10-19	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1725	1626	27.6%	42.2%	30.2%	+0.2	6
1980-10-19	Pistoiese	W 2-0	1678	1692	40.9%	41.6%	17.5%	+14.9	11
1980-10-19	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1692	1678	17.5%	41.6%	40.9%	-14.9	4
1980-10-19	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1668	1658	43.7%	40.8%	15.5%	-1.8	2
1980-10-19	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1658	1668	15.5%	40.8%	43.7%	+1.8	9
1980-10-19	Udinese	W 2-0	1638	1589	48.1%	39.0%	12.8%	+11.7	6
1980-10-19	@ Como	L 0-2	1589	1638	12.8%	39.0%	48.1%	-11.7	3
1980-10-19	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1699	1773	33.4%	42.4%	24.2%	-0.6	9
1980-10-19	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1773	1699	24.2%	42.4%	33.4%	+0.6	10
1980-10-19	Roma	W 4-0	1647	1702	35.9%	42.3%	21.8%	+32.7	7
1980-10-19	@ Napoli	L 0-4	1702	1647	21.8%	42.3%	35.9%	-32.7	10
1980-10-19	Avellino	D 0-0	1696	1637	49.4%	38.4%	12.2%	-2.8	6
1980-10-19	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1637	1696	12.2%	38.4%	49.4%	+2.8	7
1980-10-19	Cagliari	L 1-2	1706	1640	50.0%	38.1%	12.0%	-14.8	6
1980-10-19	@ Torino	W 2-1	1640	1706	12.0%	38.1%	50.0%	+14.8	7
1980-10-26	Como	W 2-1	1639	1649	41.4%	41.5%	17.1%	+7.3	10
1980-10-26	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1649	1639	17.1%	41.5%	41.4%	-7.3	6
1980-10-26	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1666	1698	38.8%	42.0%	19.2%	-1.3	3
1980-10-26	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1698	1666	19.2%	42.0%	38.8%	+1.3	10
1980-10-26	Napoli	D 0-0	1655	1680	39.7%	41.9%	18.5%	-1.5	8
1980-10-26	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1680	1655	18.5%	41.9%	39.7%	+1.5	8
1980-10-26	Perugia	L 0-1	1660	1694	38.6%	42.0%	19.4%	-13.0	9
1980-10-26	@ Catanzaro	W 1-0	1694	1660	19.4%	42.0%	38.6%	+13.0	9
1980-10-26	Roma	L 2-4	1774	1669	54.2%	35.5%	10.3%	-24.3	10
1980-10-26	@ Inter Milan	W 4-2	1669	1774	10.3%	35.5%	54.2%	+24.3	13
1980-10-26	Torino	L 1-2	1725	1691	46.5%	39.8%	13.7%	-14.1	6
1980-10-26	@ Juventus	W 2-1	1691	1725	13.7%	39.8%	46.5%	+14.1	9
1980-10-26	Ascoli	L 0-1	1677	1626	48.4%	38.9%	12.7%	-15.4	4
1980-10-26	@ Pistoiese	W 1-0	1626	1677	12.7%	38.9%	48.4%	+15.4	7
1980-10-26	Bologna	D 1-1	1577	1693	27.9%	41.9%	30.1%	+0.1	4
1980-10-26	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1693	1577	30.1%	41.9%	27.9%	-0.1	12
1980-11-09	Udinese	W 1-0	1641	1577	49.8%	38.1%	12.0%	+5.8	10
1980-11-09	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1577	1641	12.0%	38.1%	49.8%	-5.8	4
1980-11-09	Brescia	L 0-1	1693	1665	45.8%	40.0%	14.1%	-14.8	12
1980-11-09	@ Bologna	W 1-0	1665	1693	14.1%	40.0%	45.8%	+14.8	6
1980-11-09	Cagliari	D 0-0	1699	1653	47.8%	39.1%	13.0%	-2.6	11
1980-11-09	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1653	1699	13.0%	39.1%	47.8%	+2.6	9
1980-11-09	Pistoiese	W 2-0	1750	1662	52.4%	36.6%	10.9%	+9.9	13
1980-11-09	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1662	1750	10.9%	36.6%	52.4%	-9.9	4
1980-11-09	Avellino	W 1-0	1681	1647	46.5%	39.8%	13.7%	+6.6	11
1980-11-09	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1647	1681	13.7%	39.8%	46.5%	-6.6	10
1980-11-09	Juventus	D 0-0	1707	1711	42.1%	41.3%	16.6%	-1.8	10
1980-11-09	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1711	1707	16.6%	41.3%	42.1%	+1.8	7
1980-11-09	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1694	1647	47.9%	39.1%	13.0%	-2.6	14
1980-11-09	@ Roma	D 0-0	1647	1694	13.0%	39.1%	47.9%	+2.6	10
1980-11-09	Como	D 1-1	1705	1642	49.7%	38.2%	12.1%	-2.5	10
1980-11-09	@ Torino	D 1-1	1642	1705	12.1%	38.2%	49.7%	+2.5	7
1980-11-23	Ascoli	W 4-2	1640	1647	41.8%	41.4%	16.8%	+11.2	13
1980-11-23	@ Avellino	L 2-4	1647	1640	16.8%	41.4%	41.8%	-11.3	10
1980-11-23	Napoli	D 1-1	1678	1688	41.5%	41.5%	17.1%	-1.5	13
1980-11-23	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1688	1678	17.1%	41.5%	41.5%	+1.5	12
1980-11-23	Torino	D 1-1	1679	1702	39.9%	41.8%	18.3%	-1.3	7
1980-11-23	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1702	1679	18.3%	41.8%	39.9%	+1.3	11
1980-11-23	Roma	W 1-0	1656	1691	38.4%	42.1%	19.5%	+8.5	12
1980-11-23	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1691	1656	19.5%	42.1%	38.4%	-8.5	14
1980-11-23	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1644	1697	36.2%	42.3%	21.4%	+8.5	10
1980-11-23	@ Como	L 1-2	1697	1644	21.4%	42.3%	36.2%	-8.5	11
1980-11-23	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1712	1760	36.9%	42.2%	20.8%	+8.4	10
1980-11-23	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1760	1712	20.8%	42.2%	36.9%	-8.4	13
1980-11-23	Perugia	W 1-0	1652	1705	36.2%	42.3%	21.5%	+9.1	7
1980-11-23	@ Pistoiese	L 0-1	1705	1652	21.5%	42.3%	36.2%	-9.1	10
1980-11-23	Catanzaro	W 2-1	1571	1650	32.9%	42.4%	24.7%	+9.3	7
1980-11-23	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1650	1571	24.7%	42.4%	32.9%	-9.3	10
1980-11-30	Como	W 2-1	1636	1653	40.6%	41.7%	17.8%	+7.5	13
1980-11-30	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1653	1636	17.8%	41.7%	40.6%	-7.5	10
1980-11-30	Juventus	D 0-0	1640	1721	32.6%	42.4%	25.0%	-0.5	11
1980-11-30	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1721	1640	25.0%	42.4%	32.6%	+0.5	11
1980-11-30	Bologna	W 1-0	1751	1676	51.0%	37.5%	11.5%	+5.6	16
1980-11-30	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1676	1751	11.5%	37.5%	51.0%	-5.6	13
1980-11-30	Brescia	D 1-1	1689	1678	43.9%	40.8%	15.4%	-1.8	13
1980-11-30	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1678	1689	15.4%	40.8%	43.9%	+1.8	8
1980-11-30	Cagliari	D 1-1	1696	1665	46.2%	39.9%	13.9%	-2.1	11
1980-11-30	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1665	1696	13.9%	39.9%	46.2%	+2.1	13
1980-11-30	Avellino	W 2-1	1661	1651	43.7%	40.8%	15.5%	+6.8	10
1980-11-30	@ Pistoiese	L 1-2	1651	1661	15.5%	40.8%	43.7%	-6.8	13
1980-11-30	Udinese	W 3-1	1683	1581	54.0%	35.7%	10.4%	+8.1	17
1980-11-30	@ Roma	L 1-3	1581	1683	10.4%	35.7%	54.0%	-8.1	7
1980-11-30	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1704	1688	44.4%	40.6%	15.0%	-1.9	12
1980-11-30	@ Torino	D 1-1	1688	1704	15.0%	40.6%	44.4%	+1.9	12
1980-12-14	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1680	1757	33.1%	42.4%	24.5%	-0.6	9
1980-12-14	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1757	1680	24.5%	42.4%	33.1%	+0.5	17
1980-12-14	Bologna	D 0-0	1667	1671	42.1%	41.3%	16.6%	-1.8	14
1980-12-14	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1671	1667	16.6%	41.3%	42.1%	+1.8	14
1980-12-14	Ascoli	W 2-0	1640	1643	42.2%	41.3%	16.5%	+14.4	14
1980-12-14	@ Catanzaro	L 0-2	1643	1640	16.5%	41.3%	42.2%	-14.3	13
1980-12-14	Perugia	W 1-0	1645	1694	36.8%	42.3%	21.0%	+8.9	13
1980-12-14	@ Como	L 0-1	1694	1645	21.0%	42.3%	36.8%	-8.9	11
1980-12-14	Roma	D 1-1	1690	1691	42.6%	41.2%	16.3%	-1.7	13
1980-12-14	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1691	1690	16.3%	41.2%	42.6%	+1.7	18
1980-12-14	Pistoiese	W 4-1	1721	1668	48.7%	38.7%	12.6%	+14.1	14
1980-12-14	@ Juventus	L 1-4	1668	1721	12.6%	38.7%	48.7%	-14.0	10
1980-12-14	Torino	L 1-3	1687	1702	40.9%	41.6%	17.5%	-22.2	13
1980-12-14	@ Napoli	W 3-1	1702	1687	17.5%	41.6%	40.9%	+22.2	15
1980-12-14	Avellino	W 5-4	1573	1645	33.7%	42.4%	23.9%	+8.3	10
1980-12-14	@ Udinese	L 4-5	1645	1573	23.9%	42.4%	33.7%	-8.3	13
1980-12-21	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1636	1654	40.5%	41.7%	17.8%	+8.0	16
1980-12-21	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1654	1636	17.8%	41.7%	40.5%	-8.0	14
1980-12-21	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1673	1689	40.7%	41.6%	17.6%	+7.5	17
1980-12-21	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1689	1673	17.6%	41.6%	40.7%	-7.5	13
1980-12-21	Brescia	L 1-2	1665	1679	40.9%	41.6%	17.5%	-12.8	14
1980-12-21	@ Cagliari	W 2-1	1679	1665	17.5%	41.6%	40.9%	+12.8	12
1980-12-21	Torino	D 1-1	1757	1724	46.5%	39.8%	13.8%	-2.1	18
1980-12-21	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1724	1757	13.8%	39.8%	46.5%	+2.1	16
1980-12-21	Udinese	W 4-0	1735	1581	59.7%	31.6%	8.7%	+13.9	17
1980-12-21	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1581	1735	8.7%	31.6%	59.7%	-13.9	10
1980-12-21	Napoli	D 0-0	1685	1665	44.9%	40.4%	14.7%	-2.2	12
1980-12-21	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1665	1685	14.7%	40.4%	44.9%	+2.2	14
1980-12-21	Como	W 2-0	1654	1654	42.5%	41.2%	16.3%	+14.2	13
1980-12-21	@ Pistoiese	L 0-2	1654	1654	16.3%	41.2%	42.5%	-14.2	13
1980-12-21	Ascoli	W 4-1	1692	1629	49.8%	38.2%	12.1%	+13.5	21
1980-12-21	@ Roma	L 1-4	1629	1692	12.1%	38.2%	49.8%	-13.5	13
1980-12-28	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1615	1755	24.9%	41.3%	33.8%	-9.8	13
1980-12-28	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1755	1615	33.8%	41.3%	24.9%	+9.8	21
1980-12-28	Juventus	D 1-1	1644	1749	29.3%	42.1%	28.5%	-0.0	17
1980-12-28	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1749	1644	28.5%	42.1%	29.3%	+0.0	18
1980-12-28	Pistoiese	L 1-3	1646	1668	40.0%	41.8%	18.2%	-21.8	14
1980-12-28	@ Catanzaro	W 3-1	1668	1646	18.2%	41.8%	40.0%	+21.8	16
1980-12-28	Cagliari	W 3-1	1640	1652	41.2%	41.5%	17.3%	+12.8	16
1980-12-28	@ Como	L 1-3	1652	1640	17.3%	41.5%	41.2%	-12.8	14
1980-12-28	Napoli	L 0-1	1681	1667	44.2%	40.6%	15.2%	-14.4	13
1980-12-28	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1667	1681	15.2%	40.6%	44.2%	+14.4	17
1980-12-28	Roma	D 1-1	1682	1706	39.8%	41.8%	18.3%	-1.3	13
1980-12-28	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1706	1682	18.3%	41.8%	39.8%	+1.3	22
1980-12-28	Bologna	L 1-2	1726	1680	47.8%	39.2%	13.0%	-14.3	16
1980-12-28	@ Torino	W 2-1	1680	1726	13.0%	39.2%	47.8%	+14.3	20
1980-12-28	Brescia	D 0-0	1567	1692	26.7%	41.7%	31.6%	+0.3	11
1980-12-28	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1692	1567	31.6%	41.7%	26.7%	-0.3	13
1981-01-18	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1695	1624	50.5%	37.8%	11.7%	-2.9	21
1981-01-18	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1624	1695	11.7%	37.8%	50.5%	+2.9	15
1981-01-18	Perugia	D 1-1	1692	1681	43.9%	40.8%	15.4%	-1.8	14
1981-01-18	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1681	1692	15.4%	40.8%	43.9%	+1.8	14
1981-01-18	Udinese	D 1-1	1639	1567	50.7%	37.7%	11.6%	-2.6	15
1981-01-18	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1567	1639	11.6%	37.7%	50.7%	+2.7	12
1981-01-18	Pistoiese	L 1-2	1667	1690	39.9%	41.8%	18.3%	-12.6	13
1981-01-18	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1690	1667	18.3%	41.8%	39.9%	+12.6	19
1981-01-18	Avellino	D 0-0	1765	1644	56.0%	34.3%	9.7%	-3.6	22
1981-01-18	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1644	1765	9.7%	34.3%	56.0%	+3.6	18
1981-01-18	Como	W 2-0	1682	1653	45.9%	40.0%	14.1%	+12.7	20
1981-01-18	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1653	1682	14.1%	40.0%	45.9%	-12.7	16
1981-01-18	Juventus	D 0-0	1707	1749	37.5%	42.2%	20.3%	-1.1	23
1981-01-18	@ Roma	D 0-0	1749	1707	20.3%	42.2%	37.5%	+1.2	19
1981-01-18	Ascoli	W 3-0	1712	1606	54.4%	35.4%	10.2%	+13.3	19
1981-01-18	@ Torino	L 0-3	1606	1712	10.2%	35.4%	54.4%	-13.3	13
1981-01-25	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1592	1654	35.0%	42.4%	22.6%	+9.3	16
1981-01-25	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1654	1592	22.6%	42.4%	35.0%	-9.3	13
1981-01-25	Bologna	W 2-0	1648	1692	37.3%	42.2%	20.5%	+16.6	21
1981-01-25	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1692	1648	20.5%	42.2%	37.3%	-16.6	21
1981-01-25	Cagliari	D 0-0	1627	1637	41.5%	41.5%	17.0%	-1.7	16
1981-01-25	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1637	1627	17.0%	41.5%	41.5%	+1.7	16
1981-01-25	Brescia	D 2-2	1640	1690	36.6%	42.3%	21.1%	-0.7	17
1981-01-25	@ Como	D 2-2	1690	1640	21.1%	42.3%	36.6%	+0.7	15
1981-01-25	Napoli	D 1-1	1751	1694	49.0%	38.6%	12.4%	-2.4	20
1981-01-25	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1694	1751	12.4%	38.6%	49.0%	+2.5	21
1981-01-25	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1683	1761	32.9%	42.4%	24.7%	-22.0	14
1981-01-25	@ Perugia	W 2-0	1761	1683	24.7%	42.4%	32.9%	+22.0	25
1981-01-25	Roma	L 0-4	1702	1706	42.2%	41.3%	16.5%	-49.6	19
1981-01-25	@ Pistoiese	W 4-0	1706	1702	16.5%	41.3%	42.2%	+49.6	26
1981-01-25	Torino	D 0-0	1570	1725	23.3%	40.8%	36.0%	+0.8	13
1981-01-25	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1725	1570	36.0%	40.8%	23.3%	-0.8	20
1981-02-01	Como	D 1-1	1675	1640	46.7%	39.7%	13.7%	-2.2	22
1981-02-01	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1640	1675	13.7%	39.7%	46.7%	+2.2	18
1981-02-01	Ascoli	L 0-1	1691	1602	52.6%	36.6%	10.9%	-16.3	15
1981-02-01	@ Brescia	W 1-0	1602	1691	10.9%	36.6%	52.6%	+16.3	19
1981-02-01	Pistoiese	W 2-0	1638	1653	40.9%	41.6%	17.5%	+14.9	19
1981-02-01	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1653	1638	17.5%	41.6%	40.9%	-14.9	19
1981-02-01	Juventus	L 0-1	1645	1748	29.6%	42.2%	28.3%	-10.9	13
1981-02-01	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1748	1645	28.3%	42.2%	29.6%	+10.9	23
1981-02-01	Catanzaro	D 2-2	1783	1626	60.0%	31.3%	8.6%	-2.7	26
1981-02-01	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1626	1783	8.6%	31.3%	60.0%	+2.7	17
1981-02-01	Udinese	W 1-0	1697	1571	56.6%	33.9%	9.5%	+4.4	24
1981-02-01	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1571	1697	9.5%	33.9%	56.6%	-4.4	13
1981-02-01	Avellino	D 1-1	1756	1664	52.8%	36.4%	10.8%	-2.9	27
1981-02-01	@ Roma	D 1-1	1664	1756	10.8%	36.4%	52.8%	+2.9	22
1981-02-01	Perugia	W 2-0	1724	1661	49.7%	38.2%	12.1%	+11.0	23
1981-02-01	@ Torino	L 0-2	1661	1724	12.1%	38.2%	49.7%	-11.0	14
1981-02-08	Bologna	D 1-1	1618	1673	35.9%	42.3%	21.8%	-0.8	20
1981-02-08	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1673	1618	21.8%	42.3%	35.9%	+0.8	23
1981-02-08	Brescia	W 1-0	1667	1674	41.8%	41.4%	16.9%	+7.7	25
1981-02-08	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1674	1667	16.9%	41.4%	41.8%	-7.7	15
1981-02-08	Napoli	D 0-0	1628	1701	33.6%	42.4%	24.0%	-0.6	18
1981-02-08	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1701	1628	24.0%	42.4%	33.6%	+0.6	25
1981-02-08	Udinese	W 2-0	1781	1566	66.1%	26.5%	7.3%	+5.5	29
1981-02-08	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1566	1781	7.3%	26.5%	66.1%	-5.5	13
1981-02-08	Cagliari	D 1-1	1759	1653	54.4%	35.4%	10.2%	-3.0	24
1981-02-08	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1653	1759	10.2%	35.4%	54.4%	+3.0	20
1981-02-08	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1650	1634	44.5%	40.6%	15.0%	-2.1	15
1981-02-08	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1634	1650	15.0%	40.6%	44.5%	+2.1	14
1981-02-08	Torino	D 1-1	1638	1735	30.4%	42.2%	27.4%	-0.2	20
1981-02-08	@ Pistoiese	D 1-1	1735	1638	27.4%	42.2%	30.4%	+0.2	24
1981-02-08	Como	D 1-1	1753	1642	54.9%	35.0%	10.0%	-3.1	28
1981-02-08	@ Roma	D 1-1	1642	1753	10.0%	35.0%	54.9%	+3.1	19
1981-02-15	Perugia	W 4-0	1674	1648	45.6%	40.1%	14.3%	+24.3	26
1981-02-15	@ Bologna	L 0-4	1648	1674	14.3%	40.1%	45.6%	-24.3	15
1981-02-15	Roma	L 1-2	1667	1750	32.3%	42.4%	25.3%	-10.9	15
1981-02-15	@ Brescia	W 2-1	1750	1667	25.3%	42.4%	32.3%	+10.9	31
1981-02-15	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1656	1786	26.1%	41.6%	32.3%	+0.4	21
1981-02-15	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1786	1656	32.3%	41.6%	26.1%	-0.4	30
1981-02-15	Juventus	L 1-2	1645	1756	28.5%	42.0%	29.4%	-10.0	19
1981-02-15	@ Como	W 2-1	1756	1645	29.4%	42.0%	28.5%	+10.0	27
1981-02-15	Avellino	W 2-1	1636	1675	37.9%	42.1%	20.0%	+8.1	17
1981-02-15	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1675	1636	20.0%	42.1%	37.9%	-8.2	25
1981-02-15	Ascoli	W 1-0	1702	1617	52.1%	36.8%	11.1%	+5.3	28
1981-02-15	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1617	1702	11.1%	36.8%	52.1%	-5.3	20
1981-02-15	Catanzaro	W 2-0	1735	1628	54.6%	35.2%	10.2%	+9.1	27
1981-02-15	@ Torino	L 0-2	1628	1735	10.2%	35.2%	54.6%	-9.1	18
1981-02-15	Pistoiese	W 1-0	1561	1638	33.1%	42.4%	24.5%	+9.8	16
1981-02-15	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1638	1561	24.5%	42.4%	33.1%	-9.8	20
1981-02-22	Cagliari	D 0-0	1612	1657	37.2%	42.2%	20.6%	-1.1	21
1981-02-22	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1657	1612	20.6%	42.2%	37.2%	+1.1	22
1981-02-22	Torino	W 3-0	1667	1744	33.0%	42.4%	24.6%	+26.9	28
1981-02-22	@ Avellino	L 0-3	1744	1667	24.6%	42.4%	33.0%	-26.9	27
1981-02-22	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1618	1644	39.6%	41.9%	18.6%	-1.0	19
1981-02-22	@ Catanzaro	D 2-2	1644	1618	18.6%	41.9%	39.6%	+1.0	18
1981-02-22	Como	W 2-1	1786	1635	59.3%	31.9%	8.8%	+3.7	33
1981-02-22	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1635	1786	8.8%	31.9%	59.3%	-3.7	19
1981-02-22	Brescia	W 2-0	1766	1656	54.9%	35.1%	10.1%	+9.0	30
1981-02-22	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1656	1766	10.1%	35.1%	54.9%	-9.0	15
1981-02-22	Udinese	L 1-2	1624	1571	48.6%	38.8%	12.6%	-14.5	15
1981-02-22	@ Perugia	W 2-1	1571	1624	12.6%	38.8%	48.6%	+14.5	19
1981-02-22	Napoli	L 0-1	1628	1707	32.8%	42.4%	24.9%	-11.6	20
1981-02-22	@ Pistoiese	W 1-0	1707	1628	24.9%	42.4%	32.8%	+11.6	31
1981-02-22	Bologna	D 1-1	1760	1698	49.7%	38.2%	12.1%	-2.5	32
1981-02-22	@ Roma	D 1-1	1698	1760	12.1%	38.2%	49.7%	+2.5	27
1981-03-01	Juventus	L 1-5	1701	1775	33.4%	42.4%	24.2%	-35.1	27
1981-03-01	@ Bologna	W 5-1	1775	1701	24.2%	42.4%	33.4%	+35.1	33
1981-03-01	Pistoiese	D 2-2	1647	1616	46.1%	39.9%	14.0%	-1.6	16
1981-03-01	@ Brescia	D 2-2	1616	1647	14.0%	39.9%	46.1%	+1.6	21
1981-03-01	Avellino	W 1-0	1658	1694	38.3%	42.1%	19.6%	+8.6	25
1981-03-01	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1694	1658	19.6%	42.1%	38.3%	-8.5	28
1981-03-01	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1631	1618	44.2%	40.7%	15.2%	-2.1	20
1981-03-01	@ Como	D 0-0	1618	1631	15.2%	40.7%	44.2%	+2.1	20
1981-03-01	Udinese	D 1-1	1645	1585	49.4%	38.4%	12.2%	-2.5	19
1981-03-01	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1585	1645	12.2%	38.4%	49.4%	+2.5	20
1981-03-01	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1719	1790	33.9%	42.4%	23.7%	+9.6	34
1981-03-01	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1790	1719	23.7%	42.4%	33.9%	-9.6	33
1981-03-01	Ascoli	D 0-0	1609	1611	42.4%	41.2%	16.4%	-1.8	16
1981-03-01	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1611	1609	16.4%	41.2%	42.4%	+1.8	22
1981-03-01	Roma	L 0-2	1718	1758	37.7%	42.2%	20.1%	-24.2	27
1981-03-01	@ Torino	W 2-0	1758	1718	20.1%	42.2%	37.7%	+24.1	35
1981-03-08	Perugia	W 2-1	1685	1607	51.4%	37.3%	11.4%	+5.2	31
1981-03-08	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1607	1685	11.4%	37.3%	51.4%	-5.2	16
1981-03-08	Torino	D 1-1	1666	1693	39.4%	41.9%	18.7%	-1.3	26
1981-03-08	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1693	1666	18.7%	41.9%	39.4%	+1.3	28
1981-03-08	Brescia	D 0-0	1620	1645	39.6%	41.9%	18.6%	-1.4	21
1981-03-08	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1645	1620	18.6%	41.9%	39.6%	+1.4	17
1981-03-08	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1780	1643	57.8%	33.0%	9.2%	-16.3	33
1981-03-08	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1643	1780	9.2%	33.0%	57.8%	+16.3	22
1981-03-08	Ascoli	W 3-0	1810	1613	64.3%	28.0%	7.7%	+8.7	36
1981-03-08	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1613	1810	7.7%	28.0%	64.3%	-8.7	22
1981-03-08	Bologna	L 0-2	1618	1665	36.8%	42.2%	20.9%	-23.7	21
1981-03-08	@ Pistoiese	W 2-0	1665	1618	20.9%	42.2%	36.8%	+23.7	30
1981-03-08	Napoli	D 1-1	1782	1728	48.7%	38.7%	12.6%	-2.4	36
1981-03-08	@ Roma	D 1-1	1728	1782	12.6%	38.7%	48.7%	+2.4	35
1981-03-08	Como	W 2-0	1588	1629	37.6%	42.2%	20.2%	+16.4	23
1981-03-08	@ Udinese	L 0-2	1629	1588	20.2%	42.2%	37.6%	-16.4	20
1981-03-15	Pistoiese	D 0-0	1604	1594	43.8%	40.8%	15.4%	-2.0	23
1981-03-15	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1594	1604	15.4%	40.8%	43.8%	+2.0	22
1981-03-15	Udinese	W 1-0	1689	1604	52.1%	36.8%	11.1%	+5.3	33
1981-03-15	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1604	1689	11.1%	36.8%	52.1%	-5.3	23
1981-03-15	Avellino	W 2-0	1613	1690	33.0%	42.4%	24.6%	+18.5	23
1981-03-15	@ Como	L 0-2	1690	1613	24.6%	42.4%	33.0%	-18.5	31
1981-03-15	Brescia	W 1-0	1659	1647	44.0%	40.7%	15.3%	+7.2	25
1981-03-15	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1647	1659	15.3%	40.7%	44.0%	-7.2	17
1981-03-15	Cagliari	W 2-0	1731	1665	50.0%	38.0%	11.9%	+10.9	38
1981-03-15	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1665	1731	11.9%	38.0%	50.0%	-10.9	26
1981-03-15	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1602	1618	40.7%	41.6%	17.7%	-1.6	17
1981-03-15	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1618	1602	17.7%	41.6%	40.7%	+1.6	22
1981-03-15	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1780	1764	44.5%	40.6%	15.0%	+7.1	39
1981-03-15	@ Roma	L 0-1	1764	1780	15.0%	40.6%	44.5%	-7.1	33
1981-03-15	Juventus	L 0-2	1695	1819	26.9%	41.7%	31.4%	-19.3	28
1981-03-15	@ Torino	W 2-0	1819	1695	31.4%	41.7%	26.9%	+19.3	39
1981-03-22	Napoli	D 0-0	1672	1742	34.0%	42.4%	23.6%	-0.7	32
1981-03-22	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1742	1672	23.6%	42.4%	34.0%	+0.7	39
1981-03-22	Bologna	D 0-0	1640	1695	35.9%	42.3%	21.8%	-0.9	18
1981-03-22	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1695	1640	21.8%	42.3%	35.9%	+0.9	34
1981-03-22	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1654	1666	41.2%	41.5%	17.3%	-1.7	27
1981-03-22	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1666	1654	17.3%	41.5%	41.2%	+1.7	26
1981-03-22	Roma	D 1-1	1620	1787	22.0%	40.3%	37.7%	+0.9	23
1981-03-22	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1787	1620	37.7%	40.3%	22.0%	-0.9	40
1981-03-22	Torino	L 0-2	1631	1675	37.3%	42.2%	20.5%	-23.9	23
1981-03-22	@ Como	W 2-0	1675	1631	20.5%	42.2%	37.3%	+23.9	31
1981-03-22	Perugia	W 2-1	1838	1600	68.7%	24.5%	6.9%	+2.4	42
1981-03-22	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1600	1838	6.9%	24.5%	68.7%	-2.4	17
1981-03-22	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1596	1757	22.7%	40.5%	36.8%	-8.6	22
1981-03-22	@ Pistoiese	W 2-1	1757	1596	36.8%	40.5%	22.7%	+8.6	36
1981-03-22	Ascoli	D 0-0	1599	1602	42.2%	41.3%	16.5%	-1.8	24
1981-03-22	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1602	1599	16.5%	41.3%	42.2%	+1.8	24
1981-03-29	Avellino	D 1-1	1604	1671	34.3%	42.4%	23.3%	-0.6	25
1981-03-29	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1671	1604	23.3%	42.4%	34.3%	+0.6	33
1981-03-29	Udinese	W 2-1	1621	1597	45.3%	40.2%	14.4%	+6.5	26
1981-03-29	@ Catanzaro	L 1-2	1597	1621	14.4%	40.2%	45.3%	-6.5	24
1981-03-29	Como	D 1-1	1668	1607	49.5%	38.3%	12.2%	-2.5	27
1981-03-29	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1607	1668	12.2%	38.3%	49.5%	+2.5	24
1981-03-29	Juventus	W 1-0	1765	1840	33.3%	42.4%	24.3%	+9.7	39
1981-03-29	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1840	1765	24.3%	42.4%	33.3%	-9.7	42
1981-03-29	Bologna	W 2-1	1742	1695	47.9%	39.1%	13.0%	+5.9	42
1981-03-29	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1695	1742	13.0%	39.1%	47.9%	-5.9	34
1981-03-29	Pistoiese	W 3-0	1598	1587	43.8%	40.8%	15.4%	+19.8	20
1981-03-29	@ Perugia	L 0-3	1587	1598	15.4%	40.8%	43.8%	-19.8	22
1981-03-29	Cagliari	W 1-0	1786	1652	57.4%	33.3%	9.3%	+4.3	43
1981-03-29	@ Roma	L 0-1	1652	1786	9.3%	33.3%	57.4%	-4.3	27
1981-03-29	Brescia	D 1-1	1699	1639	49.5%	38.3%	12.2%	-2.5	32
1981-03-29	@ Torino	D 1-1	1639	1699	12.2%	38.3%	49.5%	+2.5	19
1981-04-05	Pistoiese	W 3-0	1672	1568	54.2%	35.5%	10.3%	+13.4	36
1981-04-05	@ Avellino	L 0-3	1568	1672	10.3%	35.5%	54.2%	-13.4	22
1981-04-05	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1690	1775	32.0%	42.4%	25.7%	+9.5	37
1981-04-05	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1775	1690	25.7%	42.4%	32.0%	-9.5	39
1981-04-05	Napoli	L 1-2	1641	1748	29.1%	42.1%	28.8%	-10.2	19
1981-04-05	@ Brescia	W 2-1	1748	1641	28.8%	42.1%	29.1%	+10.2	45
1981-04-05	Perugia	W 2-1	1648	1618	46.1%	39.9%	14.0%	+6.3	30
1981-04-05	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1618	1648	14.0%	39.9%	46.1%	-6.3	20
1981-04-05	Ascoli	D 0-0	1610	1603	43.4%	40.9%	15.7%	-2.0	25
1981-04-05	@ Como	D 0-0	1603	1610	15.7%	40.9%	43.4%	+2.0	26
1981-04-05	Torino	W 2-0	1665	1697	38.8%	42.0%	19.2%	+15.9	30
1981-04-05	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1697	1665	19.2%	42.0%	38.8%	-15.9	32
1981-04-05	Catanzaro	W 3-0	1831	1627	65.0%	27.5%	7.5%	+8.4	45
1981-04-05	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1627	1831	7.5%	27.5%	65.0%	-8.4	26
1981-04-05	Roma	L 0-2	1590	1790	19.1%	38.6%	42.3%	-15.0	24
1981-04-05	@ Udinese	W 2-0	1790	1590	42.3%	38.6%	19.1%	+15.0	46
1981-04-12	Catanzaro	L 1-2	1605	1619	41.0%	41.6%	17.4%	-12.8	26
1981-04-12	@ Ascoli	W 2-1	1619	1605	17.4%	41.6%	41.0%	+12.8	29
1981-04-12	Udinese	D 0-0	1685	1575	54.8%	35.1%	10.1%	-3.5	37
1981-04-12	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1575	1685	10.1%	35.1%	54.8%	+3.5	25
1981-04-12	Cagliari	W 2-1	1699	1654	47.7%	39.2%	13.1%	+6.0	40
1981-04-12	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1654	1699	13.1%	39.2%	47.7%	-6.0	30
1981-04-12	Brescia	D 0-0	1765	1631	57.5%	33.2%	9.3%	-3.7	40
1981-04-12	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1631	1765	9.3%	33.2%	57.5%	+3.7	20
1981-04-12	Como	D 0-0	1611	1608	43.0%	41.0%	15.9%	-1.9	21
1981-04-12	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1608	1611	15.9%	41.0%	43.0%	+1.9	26
1981-04-12	Juventus	L 1-3	1554	1839	13.8%	32.7%	53.5%	-9.3	22
1981-04-12	@ Pistoiese	W 3-1	1839	1554	53.5%	32.7%	13.8%	+9.3	48
1981-04-12	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1805	1681	56.4%	34.0%	9.6%	-3.2	47
1981-04-12	@ Roma	D 1-1	1681	1805	9.6%	34.0%	56.4%	+3.2	31
1981-04-12	Napoli	L 0-1	1681	1758	33.0%	42.4%	24.6%	-11.7	32
1981-04-12	@ Torino	W 1-0	1758	1681	24.6%	42.4%	33.0%	+11.7	48
1981-04-26	Roma	D 0-0	1592	1802	18.3%	38.0%	43.7%	+1.8	27
1981-04-26	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1802	1592	43.7%	38.0%	18.3%	-1.8	48
1981-04-26	Cagliari	W 1-0	1635	1649	41.0%	41.6%	17.4%	+7.9	23
1981-04-26	@ Brescia	L 0-1	1649	1635	17.4%	41.6%	41.0%	-7.9	30
1981-04-26	Avellino	D 1-1	1632	1682	36.5%	42.3%	21.2%	-0.9	30
1981-04-26	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1682	1632	21.2%	42.3%	36.5%	+0.9	38
1981-04-26	Pistoiese	W 1-0	1610	1545	49.9%	38.1%	12.0%	+5.8	29
1981-04-26	@ Como	L 0-1	1545	1610	12.0%	38.1%	49.9%	-5.8	22
1981-04-26	Bologna	W 2-1	1684	1705	40.2%	41.8%	18.1%	+7.6	34
1981-04-26	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1705	1684	18.1%	41.8%	40.2%	-7.6	40
1981-04-26	Perugia	L 0-1	1770	1609	60.3%	31.1%	8.6%	-17.7	48
1981-04-26	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1609	1770	8.6%	31.1%	60.3%	+17.7	24
1981-04-26	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1669	1762	31.0%	42.3%	26.7%	-11.2	32
1981-04-26	@ Torino	W 1-0	1762	1669	26.7%	42.3%	31.0%	+11.2	43
1981-04-26	Juventus	L 0-2	1579	1848	14.5%	33.9%	51.6%	-11.5	25
1981-04-26	@ Udinese	W 2-0	1848	1579	51.6%	33.9%	14.5%	+11.5	51
1981-05-03	Torino	W 1-0	1697	1658	47.1%	39.5%	13.4%	+6.5	43
1981-05-03	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1658	1697	13.4%	39.5%	47.1%	-6.5	32
1981-05-03	Udinese	D 1-1	1643	1567	51.1%	37.5%	11.5%	-2.7	24
1981-05-03	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1567	1643	11.5%	37.5%	51.1%	+2.7	26
1981-05-03	Como	D 1-1	1641	1615	45.5%	40.2%	14.3%	-2.0	31
1981-05-03	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1615	1641	14.3%	40.2%	45.5%	+2.0	30
1981-05-03	Ascoli	L 1-2	1773	1594	62.3%	29.6%	8.1%	-17.0	43
1981-05-03	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1594	1773	8.1%	29.6%	62.3%	+17.0	30
1981-05-03	Avellino	W 1-0	1860	1683	62.1%	29.7%	8.2%	+3.5	54
1981-05-03	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1683	1860	8.2%	29.7%	62.1%	-3.5	38
1981-05-03	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1752	1692	49.4%	38.4%	12.2%	-2.5	49
1981-05-03	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1692	1752	12.2%	38.4%	49.4%	+2.5	35
1981-05-03	Catanzaro	L 0-1	1539	1631	31.1%	42.3%	26.6%	-11.3	22
1981-05-03	@ Pistoiese	W 1-0	1631	1539	26.6%	42.3%	31.1%	+11.2	33
1981-05-03	Perugia	W 5-0	1800	1627	61.7%	30.1%	8.2%	+15.7	51
1981-05-03	@ Roma	L 0-5	1627	1800	8.2%	30.1%	61.7%	-15.7	24
1981-05-10	Torino	D 0-0	1611	1652	37.7%	42.2%	20.1%	-1.2	31
1981-05-10	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1652	1611	20.1%	42.2%	37.7%	+1.2	33
1981-05-10	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1679	1756	33.1%	42.4%	24.5%	-19.1	38
1981-05-10	@ Avellino	W 3-1	1756	1679	24.5%	42.4%	33.1%	+19.1	46
1981-05-10	Bologna	D 2-2	1642	1704	35.0%	42.4%	22.6%	-0.5	34
1981-05-10	@ Catanzaro	D 2-2	1704	1642	22.6%	42.4%	35.0%	+0.5	44
1981-05-10	Napoli	L 0-1	1617	1750	25.8%	41.5%	32.7%	-10.0	30
1981-05-10	@ Como	W 1-0	1750	1617	32.7%	41.5%	25.8%	+10.0	52
1981-05-10	Roma	D 0-0	1863	1816	48.0%	39.1%	12.9%	-2.6	55
1981-05-10	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1816	1863	12.9%	39.1%	48.0%	+2.6	52
1981-05-10	Brescia	D 0-0	1612	1640	39.2%	41.9%	18.9%	-1.4	25
1981-05-10	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1640	1612	18.9%	41.9%	39.2%	+1.4	25
1981-05-10	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1528	1695	22.1%	40.3%	37.7%	-8.9	22
1981-05-10	@ Pistoiese	W 1-0	1695	1528	37.7%	40.3%	22.1%	+9.0	38
1981-05-10	Cagliari	D 2-2	1570	1639	34.2%	42.4%	23.4%	-0.5	27
1981-05-10	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1639	1570	23.4%	42.4%	34.2%	+0.5	32
1981-05-17	Avellino	D 0-0	1704	1660	47.6%	39.2%	13.1%	-2.5	45
1981-05-17	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1660	1704	13.1%	39.2%	47.6%	+2.5	39
1981-05-17	Como	W 1-0	1641	1607	46.5%	39.8%	13.8%	+6.6	28
1981-05-17	@ Brescia	L 0-1	1607	1641	13.8%	39.8%	46.5%	-6.6	30
1981-05-17	Catanzaro	W 2-1	1639	1641	42.3%	41.2%	16.4%	+7.2	35
1981-05-17	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1641	1639	16.4%	41.2%	42.3%	-7.1	34
1981-05-17	Ascoli	W 2-1	1703	1610	53.1%	36.2%	10.7%	+4.8	41
1981-05-17	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1610	1703	10.7%	36.2%	53.1%	-4.8	31
1981-05-17	Perugia	W 3-1	1775	1610	60.8%	30.8%	8.5%	+6.0	49
1981-05-17	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1610	1775	8.5%	30.8%	60.8%	-6.0	25
1981-05-17	Juventus	L 0-1	1760	1861	29.9%	42.2%	27.9%	-11.0	52
1981-05-17	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1861	1760	27.9%	42.2%	29.9%	+11.0	58
1981-05-17	Pistoiese	W 1-0	1818	1519	75.1%	19.2%	5.7%	+1.9	55
1981-05-17	@ Roma	L 0-1	1519	1818	5.7%	19.2%	75.1%	-1.9	22
1981-05-17	Udinese	D 0-0	1653	1570	51.9%	37.0%	11.1%	-3.1	34
1981-05-17	@ Torino	D 0-0	1570	1653	11.1%	37.0%	51.9%	+3.1	28
1981-05-24	Brescia	D 0-0	1605	1648	37.4%	42.2%	20.4%	-1.1	32
1981-05-24	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1648	1605	20.4%	42.2%	37.4%	+1.1	29
1981-05-24	Roma	D 1-1	1663	1820	23.0%	40.6%	36.4%	+0.8	40
1981-05-24	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1820	1663	36.4%	40.6%	23.0%	-0.8	56
1981-05-24	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1634	1781	24.1%	41.1%	34.8%	+0.7	35
1981-05-24	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1781	1634	34.8%	41.1%	24.1%	-0.7	50
1981-05-24	Bologna	W 2-1	1601	1702	29.9%	42.2%	27.9%	+9.9	33
1981-05-24	@ Como	L 1-2	1702	1601	27.9%	42.2%	29.9%	-9.9	45
1981-05-24	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1872	1708	60.6%	30.9%	8.5%	+3.7	61
1981-05-24	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1708	1872	8.5%	30.9%	60.6%	-3.7	41
1981-05-24	Torino	W 1-0	1604	1650	37.1%	42.2%	20.7%	+8.8	28
1981-05-24	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1650	1604	20.7%	42.2%	37.1%	-8.8	34
1981-05-24	Cagliari	L 1-3	1517	1646	26.2%	41.6%	32.2%	-16.5	22
1981-05-24	@ Pistoiese	W 3-1	1646	1517	32.2%	41.6%	26.2%	+16.5	38
1981-05-24	Napoli	W 2-1	1573	1749	21.1%	39.8%	39.0%	+12.1	31
1981-05-24	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1749	1573	39.0%	39.8%	21.1%	-12.1	52

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1981-05-03	8.10%	Ascoli	1594	2	@ Inter Milan	1773	1
2	1981-04-26	8.56%	Perugia	1609	1	@ Napoli	1770	0
3	1981-03-08	9.20%	Fiorentina	1643	2	@ Inter Milan	1780	1
4	1980-10-26	10.27%	Roma	1669	4	@ Inter Milan	1774	2
5	1981-02-01	10.88%	Ascoli	1602	1	@ Brescia	1691	0
6	1980-10-05	11.33%	Bologna	1662	1	@ Juventus	1741	0
7	1980-10-19	11.96%	Cagliari	1640	2	@ Torino	1706	1
8	1980-09-14	12.15%	Avellino	1636	2	@ Brescia	1698	1
9	1981-02-22	12.62%	Udinese	1571	2	@ Perugia	1624	1
10	1980-10-26	12.70%	Ascoli	1626	1	@ Pistoiese	1677	0
11	1980-12-28	13.02%	Bologna	1680	2	@ Torino	1726	1
12	1980-10-26	13.74%	Torino	1691	2	@ Juventus	1725	1
13	1980-11-09	14.13%	Brescia	1665	1	@ Bologna	1693	0
14	1980-12-28	15.15%	Napoli	1667	1	@ Fiorentina	1681	0
15	1980-10-05	15.64%	Perugia	1657	3	@ Ascoli	1665	0
16	1980-09-14	16.05%	Roma	1663	1	@ Como	1665	0
17	1981-01-25	16.54%	Roma	1706	4	@ Pistoiese	1702	0
18	1981-04-12	17.44%	Catanzaro	1619	2	@ Ascoli	1605	1
19	1980-12-14	17.50%	Torino	1702	3	@ Napoli	1687	1
20	1980-12-21	17.50%	Brescia	1679	2	@ Cagliari	1665	1
21	1980-12-28	18.19%	Pistoiese	1668	3	@ Catanzaro	1646	1
22	1981-01-18	18.31%	Pistoiese	1690	2	@ Fiorentina	1667	1
23	1980-10-26	19.37%	Perugia	1694	1	@ Catanzaro	1660	0
24	1980-09-21	19.90%	Fiorentina	1690	3	@ Avellino	1651	2
25	1981-03-01	20.11%	Roma	1758	2	@ Torino	1718	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1981-01-25	49.65	Roma	4	1706	16.54%	@ Pistoiese	0	1702	42.18%
2	1980-09-14	39.96	Inter Milan	4	1721	26.93%	@ Udinese	0	1626	30.79%
3	1980-10-05	38.86	Perugia	3	1657	15.64%	@ Ascoli	0	1665	43.47%
4	1981-03-01	35.13	Juventus	5	1775	24.19%	@ Bologna	1	1701	33.42%
5	1980-10-19	32.67	@ Napoli	4	1647	35.88%	Roma	0	1702	21.79%
6	1981-02-22	26.86	@ Avellino	3	1667	33.01%	Torino	0	1744	24.60%
7	1981-02-15	24.34	@ Bologna	4	1674	45.58%	Perugia	0	1648	14.28%
8	1980-10-26	24.26	Roma	4	1669	10.27%	@ Inter Milan	2	1774	54.25%
9	1981-03-01	24.16	Roma	2	1758	20.11%	@ Torino	0	1718	37.74%
10	1981-03-22	23.94	Torino	2	1675	20.52%	@ Como	0	1631	37.27%
11	1981-03-08	23.74	Bologna	2	1665	20.92%	@ Pistoiese	0	1618	36.83%
12	1980-12-14	22.17	Torino	3	1702	17.50%	@ Napoli	1	1687	40.90%
13	1981-01-25	21.98	Inter Milan	2	1761	24.73%	@ Perugia	0	1683	32.89%
14	1980-12-28	21.82	Pistoiese	3	1668	18.19%	@ Catanzaro	1	1646	40.02%
15	1981-03-29	19.77	@ Perugia	3	1598	43.83%	Pistoiese	0	1587	15.39%
16	1981-03-15	19.32	Juventus	2	1819	31.41%	@ Torino	0	1695	26.85%
17	1981-05-10	19.12	Inter Milan	3	1756	24.50%	@ Avellino	1	1679	33.11%
18	1981-03-15	18.51	@ Como	2	1613	32.98%	Avellino	0	1690	24.63%
19	1981-04-26	17.71	Perugia	1	1609	8.56%	@ Napoli	0	1770	60.33%
20	1981-05-03	17.01	Ascoli	2	1594	8.10%	@ Inter Milan	1	1773	62.33%
21	1980-09-28	16.98	@ Cagliari	2	1631	36.41%	Ascoli	0	1682	21.30%
22	1981-01-25	16.56	@ Avellino	2	1648	37.33%	Bologna	0	1692	20.47%
23	1981-05-24	16.48	Cagliari	3	1646	32.18%	@ Pistoiese	1	1517	26.22%
24	1981-03-08	16.43	@ Udinese	2	1588	37.62%	Como	0	1629	20.21%
25	1981-03-08	16.30	Fiorentina	2	1643	9.20%	@ Inter Milan	1	1780	57.80%