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1981-82 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

46 points · 20th Title

Last Title: 1980-81

Relegated

Como

17 pts

Bologna · 23 pts

AC Milan · 24 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Fiorentina

10.51 points above expected

45 points · 34.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Como

6.00 points below expected

17 points · 23.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 30 19 8 3 46 48 14 +34 40.26 +5.74
2 Fiorentina 30 17 11 2 45 36 17 +19 34.49 +10.51
3 Roma 30 15 8 7 38 40 29 +11 36.66 +1.34
4 Napoli 30 10 15 5 35 31 21 +10 33.21 +1.79
5 Inter Milan 30 11 13 6 35 39 34 +5 34.77 +0.23
6 Ascoli 30 9 14 7 32 26 21 +5 28.45 +3.55
7 Catanzaro 30 9 10 11 28 25 29 -4 28.46 -0.46
8 Avellino 30 9 9 12 27 22 26 -4 30.01 -3.01
9 Torino 30 8 11 11 27 25 30 -5 27.50 -0.50
10 Cesena 30 8 11 11 27 34 41 -7 25.22 +1.78
11 Udinese 30 9 8 13 26 27 37 -10 25.56 +0.44
12 Cagliari 30 7 11 12 25 33 36 -3 28.37 -3.37
13 Genoa 30 6 13 11 25 24 29 -5 26.59 -1.59
14 AC Milan Relegated 30 7 10 13 24 21 31 -10 29.33 -5.33
15 Bologna Relegated 30 6 11 13 23 25 37 -12 28.14 -5.14
16 Como Relegated 30 3 11 16 17 18 42 -24 23.00 -6.00

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 1885 46 40.26 +5.74 95.6% 25 34 38 40 43 46 55
Fiorentina 1782 45 34.49 +10.51 99.8% 19 28 32 34 37 41 50
Roma 1742 38 36.66 +1.34 67.8% 23 30 34 37 39 43 52
Napoli 1720 35 33.21 +1.79 71.6% 19 27 31 33 36 40 48
Inter Milan 1699 35 34.77 +0.23 57.0% 18 28 32 35 37 41 49
Ascoli 1643 32 28.45 +3.55 84.4% 13 22 26 28 31 35 43
Cagliari 1633 25 28.37 -3.37 23.6% 14 22 26 28 31 35 43
Torino 1604 27 27.50 -0.50 50.3% 14 21 25 27 30 34 44
AC Milan 1601 24 29.33 -5.33 12.1% 15 23 27 29 32 36 43
Avellino 1600 27 30.01 -3.01 26.6% 14 23 27 30 33 37 44
Catanzaro 1596 28 28.46 -0.46 50.4% 12 22 26 28 31 35 44
Cesena 1584 27 25.22 +1.78 72.2% 11 19 23 25 28 32 41
Bologna 1582 23 28.14 -5.14 11.9% 12 22 25 28 31 35 44
Genoa 1582 25 26.59 -1.59 39.4% 9 20 24 27 29 33 42
Udinese 1569 26 25.56 +0.44 59.4% 11 19 23 26 28 32 42
Como 1488 17 23.00 -6.00 7.2% 8 17 20 23 26 29 37

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ASC AVE BOL CAG CAT CES COM FIO GEN IM JUV NAP ROM TOR UDI
AC Milan —
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.82
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
3.28
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
1.86
1-1-0
2.30
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.08
Ascoli
1-1-0
2.64
 —
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.28
0-2-0
2.07
0-2-0
2.80
0-2-0
1.87
1-1-0
1.49
0-2-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.63
Avellino
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.74
 —
0-0-2
2.71
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
3.39
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
2.83
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
1.77
1-1-0
2.14
1-1-0
1.95
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.00
Bologna
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.53
 —
0-2-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
3.09
1-1-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.74
Cagliari
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.40
0-2-0
2.59
 —
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.07
0-2-0
1.82
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.07
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
3.00
Catanzaro
2-0-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.69
 —
1-0-1
2.97
0-2-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.09
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
2.29
0-2-0
1.81
2-0-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.95
Cesena
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.18
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.30
 —
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
1.75
0-2-0
2.35
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
1.29
0-1-1
1.87
1-1-0
1.54
0-2-0
2.42
2-0-0
2.53
Como
1-1-0
1.98
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.20
0-2-0
2.24
1-1-0
2.13
 —
0-1-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
1.47
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
1.34
0-1-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.42
Fiorentina
1-1-0
2.87
0-2-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.13
0-2-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
3.59
 —
1-1-0
3.52
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
1.99
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.53
Genoa
0-1-1
2.54
0-2-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
1.75
 —
0-2-0
1.76
1-0-1
1.36
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.73
Inter Milan
2-0-0
2.98
0-2-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
3.21
0-2-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.85
0-1-1
2.45
0-2-0
3.53
 —
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.20
0-2-0
3.59
Juventus
2-0-0
3.46
0-1-1
3.86
2-0-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
4.07
2-0-0
4.13
0-2-0
3.29
1-0-1
4.02
1-1-0
3.16
 —
0-2-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
4.00
Napoli
0-1-1
2.93
0-2-0
3.01
0-1-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.58
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
3.34
1-1-0
2.48
0-2-0
2.01
 —
1-1-0
2.32
1-1-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.40
Roma
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
3.34
0-2-0
3.47
0-1-1
3.80
2-0-0
4.01
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.59
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.92
 —
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.63
Torino
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.38
0-2-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.51
0-2-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
1.87
2-0-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-1
2.10
0-1-1
1.89
 —
1-0-1
2.93
Udinese
1-1-0
2.17
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.25
1-1-0
2.30
0-0-2
2.73
2-0-0
2.86
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
2.52
0-2-0
1.71
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.32
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +8.2
Allowed 0.64 -7.7
Differential 0.94 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%4.79%1.46%0.62%—36.88%
113.33%15.42%6.67%1.25%0.83%0.42%37.92%
24.79%6.67%4.17%1.67%0.83%—18.12%
31.46%1.25%1.67%———4.38%
40.62%0.83%0.83%———2.29%
5+—0.42%————0.42%
Total36.88%37.92%18.12%4.38%2.29%0.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.99 0.99 +0.00
SD 1.01 1.01 1.33
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%——50.00%
110.00%13.33%10.00%———33.33%
2—10.00%—3.33%——13.33%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.03 -0.33
SD 0.84 0.89 1.03
CV 1.20 0.86 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%————40.00%
110.00%16.67%10.00%———36.67%
23.33%13.33%3.33%———20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%43.33%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.70 +0.17
SD 0.86 0.70 0.95
CV 0.99 1.00 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%20.00%3.33%—3.33%—46.67%
113.33%10.00%10.00%—3.33%—36.67%
210.00%3.33%————13.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%33.33%13.33%—6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 0.87 -0.13
SD 0.83 1.11 1.48
CV 1.13 1.28 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%13.33%———43.33%
110.00%6.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%3.33%13.33%———20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%26.67%36.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.23 -0.40
SD 0.87 1.04 1.22
CV 1.05 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%————26.67%
16.67%26.67%13.33%———46.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%—6.67%—20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%60.00%16.67%—6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.20 -0.10
SD 0.96 0.96 1.16
CV 0.87 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%6.67%———36.67%
120.00%13.33%10.00%—6.67%—50.00%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%30.00%20.00%—6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 0.97 -0.13
SD 0.83 1.13 1.41
CV 1.00 1.17 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
16.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%—3.33%40.00%
23.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%——23.33%
3———————
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total23.33%46.67%10.00%16.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.37 -0.23
SD 1.07 1.33 1.63
CV 0.95 0.97 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%23.33%16.67%—6.67%—53.33%
1—26.67%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%56.67%23.33%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.40 -0.80
SD 0.72 0.97 1.32
CV 1.21 0.69 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%—3.33%———26.67%
126.67%10.00%3.33%———40.00%
26.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total60.00%23.33%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.57 +0.63
SD 1.03 0.77 0.96
CV 0.86 1.37 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%16.67%6.67%———43.33%
16.67%20.00%6.67%———33.33%
26.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%——23.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%43.33%16.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 0.97 -0.17
SD 0.81 0.89 0.99
CV 1.01 0.92 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%3.33%———20.00%
113.33%26.67%—6.67%——46.67%
2—10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—20.00%
3—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.13 +0.17
SD 1.02 1.07 1.26
CV 0.79 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%————26.67%
130.00%6.67%3.33%———40.00%
26.67%—————6.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total63.33%26.67%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 0.47 +1.13
SD 1.65 0.68 1.50
CV 1.03 1.46 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——36.67%
113.33%16.67%3.33%———33.33%
213.33%—10.00%———23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total53.33%26.67%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.70 +0.33
SD 1.03 0.88 1.35
CV 1.00 1.25 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
120.00%16.67%————36.67%
26.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%——26.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%43.33%16.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.97 +0.37
SD 1.06 0.89 1.30
CV 0.80 0.92 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%——50.00%
113.33%3.33%6.67%———23.33%
23.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—23.33%
3———————
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%26.67%20.00%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.00 -0.17
SD 1.02 1.11 1.15
CV 1.22 1.11 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%3.33%6.67%——36.67%
113.33%13.33%13.33%——3.33%43.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
3——6.67%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%33.33%26.67%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.23 -0.33
SD 0.88 1.17 1.42
CV 0.98 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fiorentina 45 34.49 +10.51
2 Juventus 46 40.26 +5.74
3 Ascoli 32 28.45 +3.55
4 Napoli 35 33.21 +1.79
5 Cesena 27 25.22 +1.78

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Como 17 23.00 -6.00
2 AC Milan 24 29.33 -5.33
3 Bologna 23 28.14 -5.14
4 Cagliari 25 28.37 -3.37
5 Avellino 27 30.01 -3.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 7 Jan 31 – Mar 21 1 in 116
2 Roma 4 Oct 11 – Nov 8 1 in 83
3 Fiorentina 4 Dec 13 – Jan 10 1 in 69
4 Torino 3 Jan 10 – Jan 24 1 in 24
5 Catanzaro 3 Dec 20 – Jan 10 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Como 4 Nov 29 – Jan 3 1 in 56
2 Bologna 4 Apr 4 – May 2 1 in 48
3 Juventus 2 Nov 1 – Nov 8 1 in 42
4 AC Milan 3 Mar 7 – Mar 21 1 in 35
5 Roma 3 Mar 7 – Mar 21 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fiorentina 22 Nov 22 – May 16 1 in 525
2 Ascoli 12 Jan 24 – Apr 25 1 in 122
3 Juventus 19 Dec 20 – May 16 1 in 35
4 Avellino 8 Nov 1 – Jan 10 1 in 27
5 Cesena 4 Jan 24 – Feb 14 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Milan 8 Mar 14 – May 9 1 in 43
2 AC Milan 9 Oct 4 – Dec 20 1 in 31
3 Torino 11 Sep 27 – Jan 3 1 in 25
4 Como 13 Nov 29 – Mar 14 1 in 22
5 Avellino 6 Apr 4 – May 16 1 in 21

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Juventus61.66%19.99%9.09%4.44%2.19%1.13%0.75%0.30%0.22%0.07%0.12%0.02%0.01%0.01%——
Fiorentina7.67%17.36%17.65%15.83%12.55%8.83%6.40%4.66%2.98%2.27%1.54%0.89%0.61%0.45%0.15%0.16%
Roma16.68%27.05%19.60%13.56%8.89%5.21%3.19%1.97%1.47%1.02%0.66%0.41%0.15%0.10%0.04%—
Napoli3.83%10.65%14.08%15.11%14.20%11.26%8.61%6.11%5.09%3.60%2.49%2.15%1.27%0.88%0.42%0.25%
Inter Milan7.65%15.52%18.86%16.28%12.85%9.27%6.36%4.51%2.97%2.26%1.41%1.00%0.52%0.34%0.13%0.07%
Ascoli0.30%1.08%2.75%4.53%6.30%8.15%9.39%9.63%9.63%9.29%8.75%8.33%7.40%6.24%4.99%3.24%
Catanzaro0.26%0.95%2.34%4.41%5.56%7.74%8.68%9.20%9.58%9.54%9.38%8.14%8.01%6.84%5.65%3.72%
Avellino0.73%2.50%4.63%6.83%8.97%9.89%10.14%10.14%9.40%8.74%7.80%6.27%5.45%3.80%2.98%1.73%
Torino0.15%0.50%1.68%2.70%4.17%5.65%7.01%7.74%9.15%9.29%9.55%9.69%9.69%9.27%8.19%5.57%
Cesena0.03%0.16%0.48%1.02%1.62%2.58%3.15%4.28%5.48%6.73%8.64%10.15%11.69%14.04%14.94%15.01%
Udinese0.05%0.16%0.57%0.97%1.61%2.65%3.88%4.96%5.86%7.12%9.11%10.06%11.27%13.66%14.46%13.61%
Cagliari0.30%0.97%2.17%4.35%5.51%7.87%8.27%9.46%9.25%9.92%8.84%9.06%7.54%7.24%5.70%3.55%
Genoa0.05%0.41%0.82%1.70%2.88%4.58%5.53%7.05%8.10%8.23%9.50%10.01%10.90%11.36%10.33%8.55%
AC Milan0.41%1.81%3.26%5.06%7.50%8.40%9.62%9.60%9.44%9.26%8.19%7.67%7.06%5.50%4.47%2.75%
Bologna0.23%0.86%1.94%3.03%4.86%6.15%7.82%8.57%8.93%9.63%9.58%9.77%8.93%7.95%7.10%4.65%
Como—0.03%0.08%0.18%0.34%0.64%1.20%1.82%2.45%3.03%4.44%6.38%9.50%12.32%20.45%37.14%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.92%
Clear Edge
43.33%36.25%20.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge
240 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
081.06600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
62%
Juventus, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.17 * Some Luck: 3.17 to 4.75 * Lucky: 4.75 to 6.33 * Wild Swing: 6.33 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.09 * Close: 2.09 to 3.14 * Off: 3.14 to 4.19 * Way Off: 4.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.44 * A Surprise: 1.44 to 2.31 * Several Surprises: 2.31 to 3.18 * Many Surprises: 3.18 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.17 points
Some Luck
03.9610
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.25
Close
02.626
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.81%
Fiorentina
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
7.21%
Como
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.43

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.45
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
80%
Very Frequent
0%74%100%
Blowouts
Expected 6%
7%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.31
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Juventus 99.99% 0.01%
Roma 99.86% 0.14%
Inter Milan 99.46% 0.54%
Fiorentina 99.24% 0.76%
Napoli 98.45% 1.55%
Avellino 91.49% 8.51%
AC Milan 87.28% 12.72%
Ascoli 85.53% 14.47%
Catanzaro 83.79% 16.21%
Cagliari 83.51% 16.49%
Bologna 80.30% 19.70%
Torino 76.97% 23.03%
Genoa 69.76% 30.24%
Udinese 58.27% 41.73%
Cesena 56.01% 43.99%
Como 30.09% 69.91%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1981-09-13 Cagliari D 1-1 1651 1632 48.1% 37.2% 14.7% -2.0 1
1981-09-13 @ Bologna D 1-1 1632 1651 14.7% 37.2% 48.1% +2.0 1
1981-09-13 Como W 1-0 1661 1593 52.7% 35.8% 11.5% +5.0 2
1981-09-13 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1593 1661 11.5% 35.8% 52.7% -5.0 0
1981-09-13 Torino L 0-1 1604 1605 46.0% 37.6% 16.3% -13.4 0
1981-09-13 @ Genoa W 1-0 1605 1604 16.3% 37.6% 46.0% +13.4 2
1981-09-13 Ascoli D 0-0 1706 1587 57.1% 33.9% 9.0% -3.5 1
1981-09-13 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1587 1706 9.0% 33.9% 57.1% +3.5 1
1981-09-13 Cesena W 6-1 1778 1564 64.4% 29.5% 6.0% +9.1 2
1981-09-13 @ Juventus L 1-6 1564 1778 6.0% 29.5% 64.4% -9.1 0
1981-09-13 Catanzaro D 1-1 1680 1613 52.7% 35.9% 11.5% -2.6 1
1981-09-13 @ Napoli D 1-1 1613 1680 11.5% 35.9% 52.7% +2.6 1
1981-09-13 Avellino D 0-0 1740 1631 56.2% 34.4% 9.4% -3.4 1
1981-09-13 @ Roma D 0-0 1631 1740 9.4% 34.4% 56.2% +3.4 1
1981-09-13 AC Milan D 0-0 1582 1681 34.4% 38.4% 27.2% -0.4 1
1981-09-13 @ Udinese D 0-0 1681 1582 27.2% 38.4% 34.4% +0.4 1
1981-09-20 Fiorentina D 0-0 1682 1666 47.8% 37.3% 14.9% -2.2 2
1981-09-20 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1666 1682 14.9% 37.3% 47.8% +2.2 3
1981-09-20 Udinese W 3-0 1590 1582 47.0% 37.5% 15.5% +17.5 3
1981-09-20 @ Ascoli L 0-3 1582 1590 15.5% 37.5% 47.0% -17.5 1
1981-09-20 Juventus L 0-1 1634 1787 27.1% 37.9% 35.0% -9.2 1
1981-09-20 @ Avellino W 1-0 1787 1634 35.0% 37.9% 27.1% +9.2 4
1981-09-20 Napoli D 1-1 1634 1678 41.2% 38.2% 20.5% -1.2 2
1981-09-20 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1678 1634 20.5% 38.2% 41.2% +1.2 2
1981-09-20 Inter Milan D 0-0 1615 1703 35.9% 38.4% 25.7% -0.6 2
1981-09-20 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1703 1615 25.7% 38.4% 35.9% +0.6 2
1981-09-20 Roma D 1-1 1555 1737 23.7% 37.3% 39.1% +0.9 1
1981-09-20 @ Cesena D 1-1 1737 1555 39.1% 37.3% 23.7% -0.9 2
1981-09-20 Genoa D 1-1 1588 1590 45.9% 37.7% 16.4% -1.8 1
1981-09-20 @ Como D 1-1 1590 1588 16.4% 37.7% 45.9% +1.8 1
1981-09-20 Bologna W 1-0 1618 1649 42.8% 38.1% 19.1% +7.4 4
1981-09-20 @ Torino L 0-1 1649 1618 19.1% 38.1% 42.8% -7.4 1
1981-09-27 Catanzaro D 0-0 1642 1615 48.9% 37.0% 14.1% -2.4 2
1981-09-27 @ Bologna D 0-0 1615 1642 14.1% 37.0% 48.9% +2.4 3
1981-09-27 Ascoli D 0-0 1668 1608 52.0% 36.1% 11.9% -2.8 4
1981-09-27 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1608 1668 11.9% 36.1% 52.0% +2.8 4
1981-09-27 Cesena D 0-0 1592 1556 49.8% 36.8% 13.4% -2.5 2
1981-09-27 @ Genoa D 0-0 1556 1592 13.4% 36.8% 49.8% +2.5 2
1981-09-27 Torino W 1-0 1703 1626 53.6% 35.5% 10.9% +4.8 4
1981-09-27 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1626 1703 10.9% 35.5% 53.6% -4.8 4
1981-09-27 Como W 3-1 1797 1586 64.1% 29.7% 6.1% +4.2 6
1981-09-27 @ Juventus L 1-3 1586 1797 6.1% 29.7% 64.1% -4.2 1
1981-09-27 AC Milan L 0-1 1679 1679 46.1% 37.6% 16.3% -13.5 2
1981-09-27 @ Napoli W 1-0 1679 1679 16.3% 37.6% 46.1% +13.5 4
1981-09-27 Cagliari W 2-1 1736 1633 55.8% 34.6% 9.7% +4.0 4
1981-09-27 @ Roma L 1-2 1633 1736 9.7% 34.6% 55.8% -4.0 2
1981-09-27 Avellino L 1-2 1565 1625 39.3% 38.4% 22.4% -11.2 1
1981-09-27 @ Udinese W 2-1 1625 1565 22.4% 38.4% 39.3% +11.2 3
1981-10-04 Juventus L 0-1 1693 1801 33.2% 38.4% 28.5% -10.5 4
1981-10-04 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1801 1693 28.5% 38.4% 33.2% +10.5 8
1981-10-04 Napoli D 0-0 1611 1666 40.0% 38.3% 21.7% -1.2 5
1981-10-04 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1666 1611 21.7% 38.3% 40.0% +1.2 3
1981-10-04 Genoa D 0-0 1636 1589 50.8% 36.5% 12.7% -2.6 4
1981-10-04 @ Avellino D 0-0 1589 1636 12.7% 36.5% 50.8% +2.6 3
1981-10-04 Inter Milan D 1-1 1629 1708 36.9% 38.4% 24.7% -0.7 3
1981-10-04 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1708 1629 24.7% 38.4% 36.9% +0.7 5
1981-10-04 Fiorentina L 0-2 1617 1665 40.8% 38.3% 20.9% -23.0 3
1981-10-04 @ Catanzaro W 2-0 1665 1617 20.9% 38.3% 40.8% +23.0 6
1981-10-04 Udinese W 2-1 1558 1553 46.6% 37.5% 15.8% +6.1 4
1981-10-04 @ Cesena L 1-2 1553 1558 15.8% 37.5% 46.6% -6.1 1
1981-10-04 Bologna D 2-2 1582 1639 39.7% 38.4% 22.0% -0.7 2
1981-10-04 @ Como D 2-2 1639 1582 22.0% 38.4% 39.7% +0.7 3
1981-10-04 Roma D 2-2 1621 1740 31.6% 38.3% 30.1% -0.1 5
1981-10-04 @ Torino D 2-2 1740 1621 30.1% 38.3% 31.6% +0.1 5
1981-10-11 AC Milan D 0-0 1640 1682 41.4% 38.2% 20.3% -1.3 4
1981-10-11 @ Bologna D 0-0 1682 1640 20.3% 38.2% 41.4% +1.4 5
1981-10-11 Ascoli W 1-0 1594 1610 44.5% 37.9% 17.6% +7.0 5
1981-10-11 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1610 1594 17.6% 37.9% 44.5% -7.0 5
1981-10-11 Avellino W 1-0 1688 1634 51.5% 36.3% 12.2% +5.3 8
1981-10-11 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1634 1688 12.2% 36.3% 51.5% -5.3 4
1981-10-11 Roma L 0-1 1592 1740 27.8% 37.9% 34.3% -9.4 3
1981-10-11 @ Genoa W 1-0 1740 1592 34.3% 37.9% 27.8% +9.4 7
1981-10-11 Cesena W 3-2 1709 1564 59.1% 32.9% 8.0% +3.1 7
1981-10-11 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 1564 1709 8.0% 32.9% 59.1% -3.2 4
1981-10-11 Cagliari W 1-0 1811 1628 62.1% 31.1% 6.8% +2.9 10
1981-10-11 @ Juventus L 0-1 1628 1811 6.8% 31.1% 62.1% -2.9 3
1981-10-11 Como W 2-0 1667 1581 54.2% 35.2% 10.5% +8.7 5
1981-10-11 @ Napoli L 0-2 1581 1667 10.5% 35.2% 54.2% -8.7 2
1981-10-11 Torino W 3-2 1547 1621 37.6% 38.4% 23.9% +7.7 3
1981-10-11 @ Udinese L 2-3 1621 1547 23.9% 38.4% 37.6% -7.7 5
1981-10-25 Inter Milan L 0-1 1684 1712 43.0% 38.1% 18.9% -12.8 5
1981-10-25 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1712 1684 18.9% 38.1% 43.0% +12.8 9
1981-10-25 Bologna L 0-1 1628 1639 45.1% 37.8% 17.1% -13.2 4
1981-10-25 @ Avellino W 1-0 1639 1628 17.1% 37.8% 45.1% +13.2 6
1981-10-25 Ascoli W 1-0 1625 1603 48.4% 37.1% 14.4% +6.0 5
1981-10-25 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1603 1625 14.4% 37.1% 48.4% -6.0 5
1981-10-25 Napoli L 1-3 1561 1675 32.3% 38.3% 29.4% -16.9 4
1981-10-25 @ Cesena W 3-1 1675 1561 29.4% 38.3% 32.3% +16.9 7
1981-10-25 Catanzaro D 1-1 1572 1601 43.0% 38.1% 18.9% -1.4 3
1981-10-25 @ Como D 1-1 1601 1572 18.9% 38.1% 43.0% +1.4 6
1981-10-25 Udinese W 2-1 1583 1555 48.9% 37.0% 14.0% +5.6 5
1981-10-25 @ Genoa L 1-2 1555 1583 14.0% 37.0% 48.9% -5.6 3
1981-10-25 Fiorentina W 2-0 1749 1694 51.6% 36.2% 12.2% +9.9 9
1981-10-25 @ Roma L 0-2 1694 1749 12.2% 36.2% 51.6% -9.9 8
1981-10-25 Juventus L 0-1 1613 1814 21.6% 36.8% 41.6% -7.9 5
1981-10-25 @ Torino W 1-0 1814 1613 41.6% 36.8% 21.6% +7.9 12
1981-11-01 Como D 1-1 1597 1571 48.7% 37.1% 14.2% -2.1 6
1981-11-01 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1571 1597 14.2% 37.1% 48.7% +2.1 4
1981-11-01 Cesena D 0-0 1652 1544 56.1% 34.4% 9.5% -3.4 7
1981-11-01 @ Bologna D 0-0 1544 1652 9.5% 34.4% 56.1% +3.4 5
1981-11-01 AC Milan W 3-0 1603 1671 38.3% 38.4% 23.3% +23.1 8
1981-11-01 @ Catanzaro L 0-3 1671 1603 23.3% 38.4% 38.3% -23.1 5
1981-11-01 Torino W 2-1 1684 1605 53.6% 35.5% 10.9% +4.5 10
1981-11-01 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1605 1684 10.9% 35.5% 53.6% -4.5 5
1981-11-01 Genoa D 0-0 1725 1588 58.5% 33.2% 8.3% -3.7 10
1981-11-01 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1588 1725 8.3% 33.2% 58.5% +3.7 6
1981-11-01 Roma L 0-1 1822 1759 52.2% 36.0% 11.8% -15.0 12
1981-11-01 @ Juventus W 1-0 1759 1822 11.8% 36.0% 52.2% +15.0 11
1981-11-01 Avellino D 0-0 1692 1615 53.5% 35.5% 11.0% -3.0 8
1981-11-01 @ Napoli D 0-0 1615 1692 11.0% 35.5% 53.5% +3.0 5
1981-11-01 Cagliari W 1-0 1549 1631 36.6% 38.4% 24.9% +8.8 5
1981-11-01 @ Udinese L 0-1 1631 1549 24.9% 38.4% 36.6% -8.8 5
1981-11-08 Como D 1-1 1648 1573 53.3% 35.6% 11.1% -2.7 6
1981-11-08 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1573 1648 11.1% 35.6% 53.3% +2.7 5
1981-11-08 Ascoli W 1-0 1618 1594 48.6% 37.1% 14.3% +6.0 7
1981-11-08 @ Avellino L 0-1 1594 1618 14.3% 37.1% 48.6% -6.0 6
1981-11-08 Catanzaro W 2-1 1622 1626 45.8% 37.7% 16.5% +6.3 7
1981-11-08 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1626 1622 16.5% 37.7% 45.8% -6.3 8
1981-11-08 Fiorentina W 2-1 1548 1688 28.7% 38.0% 33.3% +9.9 7
1981-11-08 @ Cesena L 1-2 1688 1548 33.3% 38.0% 28.7% -9.9 10
1981-11-08 Juventus W 2-1 1592 1807 20.2% 36.4% 43.4% +11.9 8
1981-11-08 @ Genoa L 1-2 1807 1592 43.4% 36.4% 20.2% -11.9 12
1981-11-08 Bologna W 3-1 1774 1648 57.6% 33.7% 8.7% +6.3 13
1981-11-08 @ Roma L 1-3 1648 1774 8.7% 33.7% 57.6% -6.3 7
1981-11-08 Napoli D 0-0 1601 1689 35.8% 38.4% 25.8% -0.6 6
1981-11-08 @ Torino D 0-0 1689 1601 25.8% 38.4% 35.8% +0.6 9
1981-11-08 Inter Milan D 1-1 1558 1721 25.9% 37.7% 36.4% +0.6 6
1981-11-08 @ Udinese D 1-1 1721 1558 36.4% 37.7% 25.9% -0.6 11
1981-11-22 AC Milan W 1-0 1588 1645 39.7% 38.4% 21.9% +8.1 8
1981-11-22 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1645 1588 21.9% 38.4% 39.7% -8.1 6
1981-11-22 Avellino D 0-0 1619 1624 45.6% 37.7% 16.7% -1.9 9
1981-11-22 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1624 1619 16.7% 37.7% 45.6% +1.9 8
1981-11-22 Torino D 0-0 1558 1600 41.4% 38.2% 20.3% -1.3 8
1981-11-22 @ Cesena D 0-0 1600 1558 20.3% 38.2% 41.4% +1.3 7
1981-11-22 Cagliari W 2-1 1576 1629 40.2% 38.3% 21.4% +7.5 7
1981-11-22 @ Como L 1-2 1629 1576 21.4% 38.3% 40.2% -7.5 7
1981-11-22 Genoa W 3-2 1678 1604 53.3% 35.6% 11.1% +4.3 12
1981-11-22 @ Fiorentina L 2-3 1604 1678 11.1% 35.6% 53.3% -4.3 8
1981-11-22 Roma W 3-2 1721 1780 39.4% 38.4% 22.3% +7.3 13
1981-11-22 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 1780 1721 22.3% 38.4% 39.4% -7.3 13
1981-11-22 Bologna W 2-0 1795 1642 59.8% 32.5% 7.7% +6.4 14
1981-11-22 @ Juventus L 0-2 1642 1795 7.7% 32.5% 59.8% -6.4 7
1981-11-22 Udinese D 0-0 1690 1559 58.0% 33.5% 8.5% -3.6 10
1981-11-22 @ Napoli D 0-0 1559 1690 8.5% 33.5% 58.0% +3.6 7
1981-11-29 Cesena W 2-0 1626 1556 52.9% 35.8% 11.3% +9.3 10
1981-11-29 @ Avellino L 0-2 1556 1626 11.3% 35.8% 52.9% -9.3 8
1981-11-29 Napoli D 2-2 1636 1686 40.5% 38.3% 21.2% -0.8 8
1981-11-29 @ Bologna D 2-2 1686 1636 21.2% 38.3% 40.5% +0.8 11
1981-11-29 Torino W 1-0 1621 1602 48.1% 37.2% 14.7% +6.1 9
1981-11-29 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1602 1621 14.7% 37.2% 48.1% -6.1 7
1981-11-29 Ascoli D 0-0 1599 1597 46.5% 37.6% 16.0% -2.0 9
1981-11-29 @ Genoa D 0-0 1597 1599 16.0% 37.6% 46.5% +2.0 9
1981-11-29 Como W 4-0 1728 1583 59.1% 32.9% 8.0% +12.6 15
1981-11-29 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1583 1728 8.0% 32.9% 59.1% -12.6 7
1981-11-29 Fiorentina D 0-0 1802 1683 57.0% 34.0% 9.0% -3.5 15
1981-11-29 @ Juventus D 0-0 1683 1802 9.0% 34.0% 57.0% +3.5 13
1981-11-29 AC Milan D 1-1 1773 1637 58.4% 33.2% 8.3% -3.3 14
1981-11-29 @ Roma D 1-1 1637 1773 8.3% 33.2% 58.4% +3.3 7
1981-11-29 Catanzaro W 2-1 1562 1617 39.9% 38.3% 21.7% +7.6 9
1981-11-29 @ Udinese L 1-2 1617 1562 21.7% 38.3% 39.9% -7.6 9
1981-12-13 Genoa D 0-0 1640 1597 50.4% 36.6% 13.0% -2.6 8
1981-12-13 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1597 1640 13.0% 36.6% 50.4% +2.6 10
1981-12-13 Juventus W 1-0 1599 1798 21.8% 36.9% 41.4% +12.2 11
1981-12-13 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1798 1599 41.4% 36.9% 21.8% -12.2 15
1981-12-13 Fiorentina L 0-2 1635 1686 40.4% 38.3% 21.3% -22.9 8
1981-12-13 @ Bologna W 2-0 1686 1635 21.3% 38.3% 40.4% +22.9 15
1981-12-13 Cesena D 1-1 1627 1547 53.8% 35.4% 10.8% -2.7 10
1981-12-13 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1547 1627 10.8% 35.4% 53.8% +2.8 9
1981-12-13 Roma D 1-1 1610 1770 26.2% 37.7% 36.0% +0.5 10
1981-12-13 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1770 1610 36.0% 37.7% 26.2% -0.5 15
1981-12-13 Udinese L 0-2 1571 1570 46.2% 37.6% 16.2% -25.5 7
1981-12-13 @ Como W 2-0 1570 1571 16.2% 37.6% 46.2% +25.5 11
1981-12-13 Inter Milan W 2-0 1687 1740 40.1% 38.3% 21.5% +15.1 13
1981-12-13 @ Napoli L 0-2 1740 1687 21.5% 38.3% 40.1% -15.1 15
1981-12-13 Avellino D 1-1 1596 1636 41.7% 38.2% 20.1% -1.2 8
1981-12-13 @ Torino D 1-1 1636 1596 20.1% 38.2% 41.7% +1.2 11
1981-12-20 AC Milan W 2-0 1637 1638 46.0% 37.6% 16.3% +12.5 13
1981-12-20 @ Avellino L 0-2 1638 1637 16.3% 37.6% 46.0% -12.5 8
1981-12-20 Ascoli D 1-1 1550 1611 39.2% 38.4% 22.4% -0.9 10
1981-12-20 @ Cesena D 1-1 1611 1550 22.4% 38.4% 39.2% +0.9 12
1981-12-20 Napoli W 2-1 1709 1702 46.9% 37.5% 15.7% +6.0 17
1981-12-20 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1702 1709 15.7% 37.5% 46.9% -6.0 13
1981-12-20 Cagliari D 1-1 1600 1624 43.5% 38.0% 18.5% -1.5 11
1981-12-20 @ Genoa D 1-1 1624 1600 18.5% 38.0% 43.5% +1.5 11
1981-12-20 Juventus D 0-0 1725 1786 39.3% 38.4% 22.4% -1.0 16
1981-12-20 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1786 1725 22.4% 38.4% 39.3% +1.1 16
1981-12-20 Como W 2-0 1769 1545 65.1% 29.1% 5.8% +4.5 17
1981-12-20 @ Roma L 0-2 1545 1769 5.8% 29.1% 65.1% -4.5 7
1981-12-20 Catanzaro L 1-2 1594 1610 44.4% 37.9% 17.7% -12.3 8
1981-12-20 @ Torino W 2-1 1610 1594 17.7% 37.9% 44.4% +12.3 12
1981-12-20 Bologna D 2-2 1596 1612 44.4% 37.9% 17.7% -1.2 12
1981-12-20 @ Udinese D 2-2 1612 1596 17.7% 37.9% 44.4% +1.2 9
1982-01-03 Cagliari W 1-0 1625 1626 46.1% 37.6% 16.3% +6.6 10
1982-01-03 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1626 1625 16.3% 37.6% 46.1% -6.6 11
1982-01-03 Torino D 0-0 1612 1582 49.1% 37.0% 13.9% -2.4 13
1982-01-03 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1582 1612 13.9% 37.0% 49.1% +2.4 9
1982-01-03 Genoa D 1-1 1613 1599 47.7% 37.3% 15.0% -2.0 10
1982-01-03 @ Bologna D 1-1 1599 1613 15.0% 37.3% 47.7% +2.0 12
1982-01-03 Cesena W 3-0 1623 1549 53.2% 35.6% 11.1% +13.3 14
1982-01-03 @ Catanzaro L 0-3 1549 1623 11.1% 35.6% 53.2% -13.3 10
1982-01-03 Avellino L 0-1 1541 1649 33.1% 38.4% 28.6% -10.5 7
1982-01-03 @ Como W 1-0 1649 1541 28.6% 38.4% 33.1% +10.5 15
1982-01-03 Inter Milan W 4-2 1715 1724 45.2% 37.8% 17.1% +10.0 19
1982-01-03 @ Fiorentina L 2-4 1724 1715 17.1% 37.8% 45.2% -10.0 16
1982-01-03 Udinese W 1-0 1787 1594 62.8% 30.6% 6.6% +2.8 18
1982-01-03 @ Juventus L 0-1 1594 1787 6.6% 30.6% 62.8% -2.8 12
1982-01-03 Roma W 1-0 1696 1774 37.1% 38.4% 24.4% +8.7 15
1982-01-03 @ Napoli L 0-1 1774 1696 24.4% 38.4% 37.1% -8.7 17
1982-01-10 Roma L 0-1 1609 1765 26.7% 37.8% 35.4% -9.1 13
1982-01-10 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1765 1609 35.4% 37.8% 26.7% +9.1 19
1982-01-10 Avellino D 0-0 1619 1660 41.7% 38.2% 20.1% -1.4 12
1982-01-10 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1660 1619 20.1% 38.2% 41.7% +1.4 16
1982-01-10 Genoa W 1-0 1636 1601 49.7% 36.8% 13.5% +5.7 16
1982-01-10 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1601 1636 13.5% 36.8% 49.7% -5.7 12
1982-01-10 Como D 1-1 1535 1530 46.7% 37.5% 15.8% -1.9 11
1982-01-10 @ Cesena D 1-1 1530 1535 15.8% 37.5% 46.7% +1.8 8
1982-01-10 Bologna W 2-1 1714 1611 55.7% 34.6% 9.7% +4.0 18
1982-01-10 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1611 1714 9.7% 34.6% 55.7% -4.0 10
1982-01-10 Juventus D 0-0 1705 1790 36.2% 38.4% 25.4% -0.7 16
1982-01-10 @ Napoli D 0-0 1790 1705 25.4% 38.4% 36.2% +0.7 19
1982-01-10 AC Milan W 2-1 1584 1632 40.8% 38.3% 20.9% +7.4 11
1982-01-10 @ Torino L 1-2 1632 1584 20.9% 38.3% 40.8% -7.4 10
1982-01-10 Fiorentina L 1-2 1592 1725 29.6% 38.1% 32.2% -9.2 12
1982-01-10 @ Udinese W 2-1 1725 1592 32.2% 38.1% 29.6% +9.2 21
1982-01-17 Cesena W 1-0 1624 1534 54.7% 35.0% 10.2% +4.5 12
1982-01-17 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1534 1624 10.2% 35.0% 54.7% -4.5 11
1982-01-17 Inter Milan L 0-1 1661 1718 39.7% 38.4% 22.0% -11.9 16
1982-01-17 @ Avellino W 1-0 1718 1661 22.0% 38.4% 39.7% +12.0 20
1982-01-17 Ascoli W 2-1 1607 1600 46.9% 37.5% 15.6% +6.0 12
1982-01-17 @ Bologna L 1-2 1600 1607 15.6% 37.5% 46.9% -6.0 13
1982-01-17 Torino L 0-1 1532 1592 39.4% 38.4% 22.2% -11.9 8
1982-01-17 @ Como W 1-0 1592 1532 22.2% 38.4% 39.4% +11.9 13
1982-01-17 Cagliari D 1-1 1734 1618 56.8% 34.1% 9.1% -3.1 22
1982-01-17 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1618 1734 9.1% 34.1% 56.8% +3.1 13
1982-01-17 Napoli W 2-0 1595 1704 33.0% 38.4% 28.7% +18.1 14
1982-01-17 @ Genoa L 0-2 1704 1595 28.7% 38.4% 33.0% -18.1 16
1982-01-17 Catanzaro W 4-1 1790 1642 59.4% 32.7% 7.9% +8.0 21
1982-01-17 @ Juventus L 1-4 1642 1790 7.9% 32.7% 59.4% -8.0 16
1982-01-17 Udinese D 1-1 1774 1582 62.8% 30.7% 6.6% -3.7 20
1982-01-17 @ Roma D 1-1 1582 1774 6.6% 30.7% 62.8% +3.7 13
1982-01-24 Udinese L 0-1 1629 1586 50.4% 36.6% 13.0% -14.5 12
1982-01-24 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1586 1629 13.0% 36.6% 50.4% +14.5 15
1982-01-24 Inter Milan D 2-2 1594 1730 29.3% 38.1% 32.6% +0.1 14
1982-01-24 @ Ascoli D 2-2 1730 1594 32.6% 38.1% 29.3% -0.1 21
1982-01-24 Roma W 1-0 1649 1770 31.3% 38.3% 30.4% +9.9 18
1982-01-24 @ Avellino L 0-1 1770 1649 30.4% 38.3% 31.3% -9.9 20
1982-01-24 Bologna D 2-2 1621 1613 46.9% 37.5% 15.6% -1.4 14
1982-01-24 @ Cagliari D 2-2 1613 1621 15.6% 37.5% 46.9% +1.4 13
1982-01-24 Napoli L 0-1 1634 1686 40.3% 38.3% 21.4% -12.1 16
1982-01-24 @ Catanzaro W 1-0 1686 1634 21.4% 38.3% 40.3% +12.1 18
1982-01-24 Juventus D 1-1 1529 1798 15.7% 34.6% 49.7% +2.0 12
1982-01-24 @ Cesena D 1-1 1798 1529 49.7% 34.6% 15.7% -2.0 22
1982-01-24 Fiorentina D 1-1 1520 1731 20.6% 36.5% 42.8% +1.3 9
1982-01-24 @ Como D 1-1 1731 1520 42.8% 36.5% 20.6% -1.3 23
1982-01-24 Genoa W 2-0 1604 1613 45.2% 37.8% 17.1% +12.9 15
1982-01-24 @ Torino L 0-2 1613 1604 17.1% 37.8% 45.2% -12.9 14
1982-01-31 Torino D 0-0 1615 1617 46.0% 37.7% 16.4% -2.0 14
1982-01-31 @ Bologna D 0-0 1617 1615 16.4% 37.7% 46.0% +2.0 16
1982-01-31 AC Milan W 1-0 1730 1614 56.8% 34.1% 9.2% +4.0 25
1982-01-31 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1614 1730 9.2% 34.1% 56.8% -4.0 12
1982-01-31 Como W 1-0 1600 1522 53.6% 35.5% 10.9% +4.8 16
1982-01-31 @ Genoa L 0-1 1522 1600 10.9% 35.5% 53.6% -4.8 9
1982-01-31 Catanzaro D 1-1 1730 1622 56.2% 34.4% 9.4% -3.0 22
1982-01-31 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1622 1730 9.4% 34.4% 56.2% +3.0 17
1982-01-31 Avellino W 4-0 1796 1659 58.5% 33.2% 8.3% +13.0 24
1982-01-31 @ Juventus L 0-4 1659 1796 8.3% 33.2% 58.5% -13.0 18
1982-01-31 Cagliari W 1-0 1698 1620 53.6% 35.5% 10.9% +4.8 20
1982-01-31 @ Napoli L 0-1 1620 1698 10.9% 35.5% 53.6% -4.8 14
1982-01-31 Cesena L 0-1 1761 1531 65.5% 28.8% 5.7% -17.8 20
1982-01-31 @ Roma W 1-0 1531 1761 5.7% 28.8% 65.5% +17.8 14
1982-01-31 Ascoli L 0-2 1601 1594 46.8% 37.5% 15.7% -25.7 15
1982-01-31 @ Udinese W 2-0 1594 1601 15.7% 37.5% 46.8% +25.7 16
1982-02-07 Napoli D 1-1 1610 1703 35.2% 38.4% 26.4% -0.5 13
1982-02-07 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1703 1610 26.4% 38.4% 35.2% +0.5 21
1982-02-07 Fiorentina D 0-0 1620 1734 32.3% 38.3% 29.3% -0.2 17
1982-02-07 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1734 1620 29.3% 38.3% 32.3% +0.2 26
1982-02-07 Udinese L 0-1 1646 1575 53.0% 35.7% 11.3% -15.1 18
1982-02-07 @ Avellino W 1-0 1575 1646 11.3% 35.7% 53.0% +15.2 17
1982-02-07 Roma L 2-4 1615 1743 30.4% 38.2% 31.4% -14.5 14
1982-02-07 @ Cagliari W 4-2 1743 1615 31.4% 38.2% 30.4% +14.5 22
1982-02-07 Bologna W 1-0 1625 1613 47.4% 37.4% 15.2% +6.3 19
1982-02-07 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1613 1625 15.2% 37.4% 47.4% -6.3 14
1982-02-07 Genoa D 1-1 1549 1605 39.8% 38.4% 21.8% -1.0 15
1982-02-07 @ Cesena D 1-1 1605 1549 21.8% 38.4% 39.8% +1.0 17
1982-02-07 Juventus L 0-2 1517 1809 14.1% 33.6% 52.2% -10.4 9
1982-02-07 @ Como W 2-0 1809 1517 52.2% 33.6% 14.1% +10.4 26
1982-02-07 Inter Milan L 0-1 1618 1727 33.1% 38.4% 28.6% -10.5 16
1982-02-07 @ Torino W 1-0 1727 1618 28.6% 38.4% 33.1% +10.5 24
1982-02-14 Como W 1-0 1607 1506 55.5% 34.7% 9.8% +4.3 16
1982-02-14 @ Bologna L 0-1 1506 1607 9.8% 34.7% 55.5% -4.3 9
1982-02-14 Catanzaro W 1-0 1734 1631 55.7% 34.6% 9.7% +4.3 28
1982-02-14 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1631 1734 9.7% 34.6% 55.7% -4.3 19
1982-02-14 Avellino L 0-2 1606 1631 43.4% 38.0% 18.5% -24.2 17
1982-02-14 @ Genoa W 2-0 1631 1606 18.5% 38.0% 43.4% +24.2 20
1982-02-14 Cagliari L 1-3 1738 1600 58.5% 33.2% 8.3% -26.8 24
1982-02-14 @ Inter Milan W 3-1 1600 1738 8.3% 33.2% 58.5% +26.8 16
1982-02-14 AC Milan W 3-2 1820 1610 64.1% 29.8% 6.1% +2.3 28
1982-02-14 @ Juventus L 2-3 1610 1820 6.1% 29.8% 64.1% -2.3 13
1982-02-14 Ascoli D 0-0 1703 1620 54.1% 35.3% 10.6% -3.1 22
1982-02-14 @ Napoli D 0-0 1620 1703 10.6% 35.3% 54.1% +3.1 18
1982-02-14 Torino W 3-0 1757 1608 59.5% 32.6% 7.9% +9.4 24
1982-02-14 @ Roma L 0-3 1608 1757 7.9% 32.6% 59.5% -9.4 16
1982-02-14 Cesena L 0-1 1590 1548 50.3% 36.6% 13.0% -14.5 17
1982-02-14 @ Udinese W 1-0 1548 1590 13.0% 36.6% 50.3% +14.5 17
1982-02-28 Bologna W 2-1 1608 1611 45.8% 37.7% 16.5% +6.3 15
1982-02-28 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1611 1608 16.5% 37.7% 45.8% -6.3 16
1982-02-28 Catanzaro W 2-1 1623 1627 45.7% 37.7% 16.6% +6.3 20
1982-02-28 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1627 1623 16.6% 37.7% 45.7% -6.3 19
1982-02-28 Fiorentina L 1-2 1655 1738 36.4% 38.4% 25.1% -10.6 20
1982-02-28 @ Avellino W 2-1 1738 1655 25.1% 38.4% 36.4% +10.6 30
1982-02-28 Juventus L 0-1 1627 1822 22.2% 37.0% 40.8% -8.0 16
1982-02-28 @ Cagliari W 1-0 1822 1627 40.8% 37.0% 22.2% +8.0 30
1982-02-28 Inter Milan L 1-3 1562 1711 27.7% 37.9% 34.4% -15.3 17
1982-02-28 @ Cesena W 3-1 1711 1562 34.4% 37.9% 27.7% +15.3 26
1982-02-28 Napoli L 0-4 1502 1700 21.9% 36.9% 41.2% -28.4 9
1982-02-28 @ Como W 4-0 1700 1502 41.2% 36.9% 21.9% +28.4 24
1982-02-28 Genoa W 1-0 1767 1582 62.3% 31.0% 6.8% +2.9 26
1982-02-28 @ Roma L 0-1 1582 1767 6.8% 31.0% 62.3% -2.9 17
1982-02-28 Udinese W 1-0 1599 1576 48.5% 37.1% 14.4% +6.0 18
1982-02-28 @ Torino L 0-1 1576 1599 14.4% 37.1% 48.5% -6.0 17
1982-03-07 Cagliari W 2-1 1629 1619 47.2% 37.4% 15.4% +6.0 22
1982-03-07 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1619 1629 15.4% 37.4% 47.2% -6.0 16
1982-03-07 Avellino W 1-0 1605 1645 41.7% 38.2% 20.1% +7.6 18
1982-03-07 @ Bologna L 0-1 1645 1605 20.1% 38.2% 41.7% -7.6 20
1982-03-07 Como D 0-0 1620 1474 59.3% 32.8% 8.0% -3.8 20
1982-03-07 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1474 1620 8.0% 32.8% 59.3% +3.8 10
1982-03-07 Roma W 1-0 1749 1770 43.9% 38.0% 18.1% +7.1 32
1982-03-07 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1770 1749 18.1% 38.0% 43.9% -7.1 26
1982-03-07 AC Milan W 2-1 1726 1614 56.5% 34.2% 9.3% +3.9 28
1982-03-07 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1614 1726 9.3% 34.2% 56.5% -3.9 15
1982-03-07 Torino W 4-2 1830 1605 65.3% 29.0% 5.8% +3.5 32
1982-03-07 @ Juventus L 2-4 1605 1830 5.8% 29.0% 65.3% -3.4 18
1982-03-07 Cesena D 2-2 1729 1547 62.0% 31.2% 6.9% -2.7 25
1982-03-07 @ Napoli D 2-2 1547 1729 6.9% 31.2% 62.0% +2.7 18
1982-03-07 Genoa W 3-2 1570 1579 45.2% 37.8% 17.0% +6.1 19
1982-03-07 @ Udinese L 2-3 1579 1570 17.0% 37.8% 45.2% -6.1 17
1982-03-14 Catanzaro L 0-1 1610 1617 45.5% 37.8% 16.8% -13.3 15
1982-03-14 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1617 1610 16.8% 37.8% 45.5% +13.3 22
1982-03-14 Napoli W 3-0 1637 1726 35.7% 38.4% 25.9% +24.7 22
1982-03-14 @ Avellino L 0-3 1726 1637 25.9% 38.4% 35.7% -24.7 25
1982-03-14 Udinese D 1-1 1613 1576 49.9% 36.8% 13.4% -2.2 17
1982-03-14 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1576 1613 13.4% 36.8% 49.9% +2.3 20
1982-03-14 Bologna W 4-1 1550 1612 39.1% 38.4% 22.6% +19.1 20
1982-03-14 @ Cesena L 1-4 1612 1550 22.6% 38.4% 39.1% -19.1 18
1982-03-14 Ascoli L 1-2 1477 1635 26.5% 37.8% 35.7% -8.6 10
1982-03-14 @ Como W 2-1 1635 1477 35.7% 37.8% 26.5% +8.6 24
1982-03-14 Inter Milan D 1-1 1573 1730 26.6% 37.8% 35.7% +0.5 18
1982-03-14 @ Genoa D 1-1 1730 1573 35.7% 37.8% 26.6% -0.5 29
1982-03-14 Juventus L 0-3 1762 1834 38.0% 38.4% 23.6% -31.7 26
1982-03-14 @ Roma W 3-0 1834 1762 23.6% 38.4% 38.0% +31.7 34
1982-03-14 Fiorentina D 2-2 1601 1756 26.9% 37.8% 35.3% +0.3 19
1982-03-14 @ Torino D 2-2 1756 1601 35.3% 37.8% 26.9% -0.3 33
1982-03-21 Avellino D 1-1 1644 1662 44.2% 37.9% 17.8% -1.5 25
1982-03-21 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1662 1644 17.8% 37.9% 44.2% +1.5 23
1982-03-21 Roma W 2-0 1593 1731 29.1% 38.1% 32.8% +19.7 20
1982-03-21 @ Bologna L 0-2 1731 1593 32.8% 38.1% 29.1% -19.6 26
1982-03-21 Cagliari W 1-0 1630 1611 48.1% 37.2% 14.7% +6.1 24
1982-03-21 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1611 1630 14.7% 37.2% 48.1% -6.1 17
1982-03-21 AC Milan W 2-0 1469 1597 30.4% 38.2% 31.4% +19.1 12
1982-03-21 @ Como L 0-2 1597 1469 31.4% 38.2% 30.4% -19.1 15
1982-03-21 Cesena W 1-0 1756 1569 62.4% 30.9% 6.7% +2.9 35
1982-03-21 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1569 1756 6.7% 30.9% 62.4% -2.9 20
1982-03-21 Udinese D 1-1 1729 1578 59.7% 32.6% 7.8% -3.4 30
1982-03-21 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1578 1729 7.8% 32.6% 59.7% +3.4 21
1982-03-21 Genoa W 1-0 1865 1573 70.0% 25.6% 4.4% +1.7 36
1982-03-21 @ Juventus L 0-1 1573 1865 4.4% 25.6% 70.0% -1.7 18
1982-03-21 Torino W 2-0 1701 1601 55.5% 34.7% 9.8% +8.2 27
1982-03-21 @ Napoli L 0-2 1601 1701 9.8% 34.7% 55.5% -8.2 19
1982-03-28 Ascoli D 0-0 1578 1642 38.8% 38.4% 22.8% -1.0 16
1982-03-28 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1642 1578 22.8% 38.4% 38.8% +1.0 26
1982-03-28 Catanzaro W 1-0 1663 1636 48.9% 37.0% 14.1% +5.9 25
1982-03-28 @ Avellino L 0-1 1636 1663 14.1% 37.0% 48.9% -5.9 24
1982-03-28 Juventus D 0-0 1613 1867 16.8% 35.1% 48.0% +2.1 21
1982-03-28 @ Bologna D 0-0 1867 1613 48.0% 35.1% 16.8% -2.1 37
1982-03-28 Como W 2-0 1605 1488 56.9% 34.0% 9.1% +7.6 19
1982-03-28 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1488 1605 9.1% 34.0% 56.9% -7.6 12
1982-03-28 Fiorentina D 0-0 1571 1759 23.1% 37.2% 39.8% +1.0 19
1982-03-28 @ Genoa D 0-0 1759 1571 39.8% 37.2% 23.1% -1.0 36
1982-03-28 Inter Milan W 3-2 1711 1726 44.6% 37.9% 17.6% +6.2 28
1982-03-28 @ Roma L 2-3 1726 1711 17.6% 37.9% 44.6% -6.2 30
1982-03-28 Cesena D 0-0 1593 1566 48.9% 37.0% 14.1% -2.4 20
1982-03-28 @ Torino D 0-0 1566 1593 14.1% 37.0% 48.9% +2.4 21
1982-03-28 Napoli L 0-1 1581 1709 30.4% 38.2% 31.4% -9.9 21
1982-03-28 @ Udinese W 1-0 1709 1581 31.4% 38.2% 30.4% +9.9 29
1982-04-04 Roma L 1-2 1577 1717 28.7% 38.0% 33.3% -9.0 16
1982-04-04 @ AC Milan W 2-1 1717 1577 33.3% 38.0% 28.7% +9.0 30
1982-04-04 Genoa D 1-1 1643 1572 52.9% 35.8% 11.3% -2.6 27
1982-04-04 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1572 1643 11.3% 35.8% 52.9% +2.6 20
1982-04-04 Udinese D 0-0 1630 1571 51.9% 36.1% 12.0% -2.8 25
1982-04-04 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1571 1630 12.0% 36.1% 51.9% +2.8 22
1982-04-04 Avellino W 2-0 1568 1669 34.1% 38.4% 27.5% +17.6 23
1982-04-04 @ Cesena L 0-2 1669 1568 27.5% 38.4% 34.1% -17.6 25
1982-04-04 Inter Milan D 1-1 1480 1720 18.0% 35.6% 46.3% +1.7 13
1982-04-04 @ Como D 1-1 1720 1480 46.3% 35.6% 18.0% -1.6 31
1982-04-04 Juventus D 0-0 1758 1865 33.2% 38.4% 28.4% -0.3 37
1982-04-04 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1865 1758 28.4% 38.4% 33.2% +0.3 38
1982-04-04 Bologna W 2-0 1719 1615 55.9% 34.5% 9.6% +8.0 31
1982-04-04 @ Napoli L 0-2 1615 1719 9.6% 34.5% 55.9% -8.0 21
1982-04-04 Cagliari W 4-2 1591 1612 43.8% 38.0% 18.2% +10.4 22
1982-04-04 @ Torino L 2-4 1612 1591 18.2% 38.0% 43.8% -10.4 19
1982-04-11 Torino D 0-0 1651 1601 51.1% 36.4% 12.5% -2.7 26
1982-04-11 @ Avellino D 0-0 1601 1651 12.5% 36.4% 51.1% +2.7 23
1982-04-11 Cagliari W 2-1 1586 1602 44.5% 37.9% 17.6% +6.6 25
1982-04-11 @ Cesena L 1-2 1602 1586 17.6% 37.9% 44.5% -6.6 19
1982-04-11 Bologna W 1-0 1757 1607 59.6% 32.6% 7.8% +3.4 39
1982-04-11 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1607 1757 7.8% 32.6% 59.6% -3.4 21
1982-04-11 AC Milan L 1-2 1575 1568 46.9% 37.5% 15.6% -12.9 20
1982-04-11 @ Genoa W 2-1 1568 1575 15.6% 37.5% 46.9% +12.9 18
1982-04-11 Napoli D 1-1 1718 1727 45.2% 37.8% 17.0% -1.7 32
1982-04-11 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1727 1718 17.0% 37.8% 45.2% +1.7 32
1982-04-11 Ascoli D 1-1 1865 1641 65.2% 29.0% 5.8% -4.0 39
1982-04-11 @ Juventus D 1-1 1641 1865 5.8% 29.0% 65.2% +4.0 28
1982-04-11 Catanzaro D 2-2 1726 1627 55.4% 34.7% 9.9% -2.2 31
1982-04-11 @ Roma D 2-2 1627 1726 9.9% 34.7% 55.4% +2.2 26
1982-04-11 Como W 1-0 1574 1482 54.8% 35.0% 10.2% +4.5 24
1982-04-11 @ Udinese L 0-1 1482 1574 10.2% 35.0% 54.8% -4.5 13
1982-04-25 Avellino W 2-1 1581 1649 38.3% 38.4% 23.3% +7.9 20
1982-04-25 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1649 1581 23.3% 38.4% 38.3% -8.0 26
1982-04-25 Cesena W 1-0 1644 1593 51.2% 36.3% 12.4% +5.3 30
1982-04-25 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1593 1644 12.4% 36.3% 51.2% -5.4 25
1982-04-25 Udinese L 0-2 1603 1579 48.7% 37.1% 14.3% -26.6 21
1982-04-25 @ Bologna W 2-0 1579 1603 14.3% 37.1% 48.7% +26.6 26
1982-04-25 Genoa W 2-1 1595 1562 49.5% 36.9% 13.7% +5.5 21
1982-04-25 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1562 1595 13.7% 36.9% 49.5% -5.4 20
1982-04-25 Torino W 1-0 1630 1604 48.7% 37.1% 14.2% +6.0 28
1982-04-25 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1604 1630 14.2% 37.1% 48.7% -6.0 23
1982-04-25 Roma L 0-1 1478 1724 17.4% 35.4% 47.2% -6.6 13
1982-04-25 @ Como W 1-0 1724 1478 47.2% 35.4% 17.4% +6.6 33
1982-04-25 Inter Milan W 1-0 1861 1716 59.1% 32.9% 8.0% +3.5 41
1982-04-25 @ Juventus L 0-1 1716 1861 8.0% 32.9% 59.1% -3.5 32
1982-04-25 Fiorentina L 0-1 1729 1761 42.7% 38.1% 19.2% -12.7 32
1982-04-25 @ Napoli W 1-0 1761 1729 19.2% 38.1% 42.7% +12.6 41
1982-05-02 Como D 1-1 1641 1471 61.1% 31.7% 7.2% -3.6 27
1982-05-02 @ Avellino D 1-1 1471 1641 7.2% 31.7% 61.1% +3.6 14
1982-05-02 AC Milan D 1-1 1601 1588 47.4% 37.4% 15.2% -1.9 22
1982-05-02 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1588 1601 15.2% 37.4% 47.4% +1.9 21
1982-05-02 Catanzaro W 4-1 1587 1636 40.8% 38.3% 20.9% +18.2 27
1982-05-02 @ Cesena L 1-4 1636 1587 20.9% 38.3% 40.8% -18.2 28
1982-05-02 Bologna W 1-0 1557 1577 44.0% 38.0% 18.1% +7.1 22
1982-05-02 @ Genoa L 0-1 1577 1557 18.1% 38.0% 44.0% -7.1 21
1982-05-02 Fiorentina D 1-1 1713 1773 39.3% 38.4% 22.3% -0.9 33
1982-05-02 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1773 1713 22.3% 38.4% 39.3% +1.0 42
1982-05-02 Napoli D 1-1 1731 1716 47.6% 37.3% 15.0% -2.0 34
1982-05-02 @ Roma D 1-1 1716 1731 15.0% 37.3% 47.6% +2.0 33
1982-05-02 Ascoli W 2-1 1598 1650 40.3% 38.3% 21.3% +7.5 25
1982-05-02 @ Torino L 1-2 1650 1598 21.3% 38.3% 40.3% -7.5 30
1982-05-02 Juventus L 1-5 1605 1865 16.4% 34.9% 48.6% -18.8 26
1982-05-02 @ Udinese W 5-1 1865 1605 48.6% 34.9% 16.4% +18.8 43
1982-05-09 Torino D 0-0 1590 1606 44.5% 37.9% 17.6% -1.8 22
1982-05-09 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1606 1590 17.6% 37.9% 44.5% +1.8 26
1982-05-09 Cagliari L 1-4 1637 1599 50.0% 36.7% 13.3% -33.3 27
1982-05-09 @ Avellino W 4-1 1599 1637 13.3% 36.7% 50.0% +33.3 24
1982-05-09 Inter Milan W 3-1 1570 1712 28.5% 38.0% 33.5% +17.2 23
1982-05-09 @ Bologna L 1-3 1712 1570 33.5% 38.0% 28.5% -17.2 33
1982-05-09 Cesena W 2-1 1475 1605 30.0% 38.2% 31.9% +9.6 16
1982-05-09 @ Como L 1-2 1605 1475 31.9% 38.2% 30.0% -9.6 27
1982-05-09 Udinese W 3-0 1774 1586 62.5% 30.9% 6.7% +7.8 44
1982-05-09 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1586 1774 6.7% 30.9% 62.5% -7.8 26
1982-05-09 Catanzaro W 2-0 1564 1617 40.1% 38.3% 21.5% +15.1 24
1982-05-09 @ Genoa L 0-2 1617 1564 21.5% 38.3% 40.1% -15.1 28
1982-05-09 Napoli D 0-0 1883 1718 60.7% 31.9% 7.3% -4.0 44
1982-05-09 @ Juventus D 0-0 1718 1883 7.3% 31.9% 60.7% +4.0 34
1982-05-09 Ascoli W 2-1 1729 1642 54.3% 35.2% 10.5% +4.3 36
1982-05-09 @ Roma L 1-2 1642 1729 10.5% 35.2% 54.3% -4.3 30
1982-05-16 Bologna W 2-1 1638 1587 51.2% 36.4% 12.5% +5.0 32
1982-05-16 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1587 1638 12.5% 36.4% 51.2% -5.0 23
1982-05-16 Fiorentina D 0-0 1632 1782 27.5% 37.9% 34.6% +0.4 25
1982-05-16 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1782 1632 34.6% 37.9% 27.5% -0.4 45
1982-05-16 Juventus L 0-1 1602 1880 15.1% 34.2% 50.6% -5.9 28
1982-05-16 @ Catanzaro W 1-0 1880 1602 50.6% 34.2% 15.1% +5.9 46
1982-05-16 AC Milan L 2-3 1596 1589 46.9% 37.5% 15.6% -12.2 27
1982-05-16 @ Cesena W 3-2 1589 1596 15.6% 37.5% 46.9% +12.2 24
1982-05-16 Avellino W 2-1 1695 1604 54.7% 35.0% 10.2% +4.2 35
1982-05-16 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1604 1695 10.2% 35.0% 54.7% -4.2 27
1982-05-16 Genoa D 2-2 1722 1579 59.0% 32.9% 8.1% -2.5 35
1982-05-16 @ Napoli D 2-2 1579 1722 8.1% 32.9% 59.0% +2.5 25
1982-05-16 Como D 0-0 1607 1484 57.4% 33.8% 8.8% -3.6 27
1982-05-16 @ Torino D 0-0 1484 1607 8.8% 33.8% 57.4% +3.5 17
1982-05-16 Roma L 0-1 1579 1733 26.9% 37.8% 35.3% -9.2 26
1982-05-16 @ Udinese W 1-0 1733 1579 35.3% 37.8% 26.9% +9.2 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1982-01-31 5.66% Cesena 1531 1 @ Roma 1761 0
2 1982-02-14 8.29% Cagliari 1600 3 @ Inter Milan 1738 1
3 1982-02-07 11.27% Udinese 1575 1 @ Avellino 1646 0
4 1981-11-01 11.75% Roma 1759 1 @ Juventus 1822 0
5 1982-01-24 12.99% Udinese 1586 1 @ AC Milan 1629 0
6 1982-02-14 13.03% Cesena 1548 1 @ Udinese 1590 0
7 1982-05-09 13.29% Cagliari 1599 4 @ Avellino 1637 1
8 1982-04-25 14.26% Udinese 1579 2 @ Bologna 1603 0
9 1982-04-11 15.60% AC Milan 1568 2 @ Genoa 1575 1
10 1982-05-16 15.63% AC Milan 1589 3 @ Cesena 1596 2
11 1982-01-31 15.69% Ascoli 1594 2 @ Udinese 1601 0
12 1981-12-13 16.17% Udinese 1570 2 @ Como 1571 0
13 1981-09-27 16.26% AC Milan 1679 1 @ Napoli 1679 0
14 1981-09-13 16.34% Torino 1605 1 @ Genoa 1604 0
15 1982-03-14 16.80% Catanzaro 1617 1 @ AC Milan 1610 0
16 1981-10-25 17.12% Bologna 1639 1 @ Avellino 1628 0
17 1981-12-20 17.68% Catanzaro 1610 2 @ Torino 1594 1
18 1982-02-14 18.53% Avellino 1631 2 @ Genoa 1606 0
19 1981-10-25 18.87% Inter Milan 1712 1 @ AC Milan 1684 0
20 1982-04-25 19.20% Fiorentina 1761 1 @ Napoli 1729 0
21 1981-11-08 20.22% @ Genoa 1592 2 Juventus 1807 1
22 1981-10-04 20.93% Fiorentina 1665 2 @ Catanzaro 1617 0
23 1981-12-13 21.27% Fiorentina 1686 2 @ Bologna 1635 0
24 1982-01-24 21.40% Napoli 1686 1 @ Catanzaro 1634 0
25 1981-12-13 21.77% @ Ascoli 1599 1 Juventus 1798 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1982-05-09 33.31 Cagliari 4 1599 13.29% @ Avellino 1 1637 49.98% 36.73%
2 1982-03-14 31.68 Juventus 3 1834 23.61% @ Roma 0 1762 37.97% 38.42%
3 1982-02-28 28.40 Napoli 4 1700 41.21% @ Como 0 1502 21.90% 36.89%
4 1982-02-14 26.84 Cagliari 3 1600 8.29% @ Inter Milan 1 1738 58.54% 33.17%
5 1982-04-25 26.59 Udinese 2 1579 14.26% @ Bologna 0 1603 48.66% 37.08%
6 1982-01-31 25.74 Ascoli 2 1594 15.69% @ Udinese 0 1601 46.81% 37.50%
7 1981-12-13 25.47 Udinese 2 1570 16.17% @ Como 0 1571 46.23% 37.61%
8 1982-03-14 24.70 @ Avellino 3 1637 35.66% Napoli 0 1726 25.91% 38.43%
9 1982-02-14 24.19 Avellino 2 1631 18.53% @ Genoa 0 1606 43.43% 38.04%
10 1981-11-01 23.09 @ Catanzaro 3 1603 38.31% AC Milan 0 1671 23.29% 38.41%
11 1981-10-04 23.02 Fiorentina 2 1665 20.93% @ Catanzaro 0 1617 40.78% 38.29%
12 1981-12-13 22.87 Fiorentina 2 1686 21.27% @ Bologna 0 1635 40.41% 38.31%
13 1982-03-21 19.65 @ Bologna 2 1593 29.08% Roma 0 1731 32.84% 38.08%
14 1982-03-21 19.12 @ Como 2 1469 30.41% AC Milan 0 1597 31.40% 38.19%
15 1982-03-14 19.08 @ Cesena 4 1550 39.05% Bologna 1 1612 22.57% 38.38%
16 1982-05-02 18.85 Juventus 5 1865 48.64% @ Udinese 1 1605 16.42% 34.94%
17 1982-05-02 18.18 @ Cesena 4 1587 40.76% Catanzaro 1 1636 20.95% 38.29%
18 1982-01-17 18.10 @ Genoa 2 1595 32.97% Napoli 0 1704 28.68% 38.35%
19 1982-01-31 17.76 Cesena 1 1531 5.66% @ Roma 0 1761 65.55% 28.79%
20 1982-04-04 17.64 @ Cesena 2 1568 34.13% Avellino 0 1669 27.47% 38.40%
21 1981-09-20 17.47 @ Ascoli 3 1590 47.01% Udinese 0 1582 15.53% 37.46%
22 1982-05-09 17.24 @ Bologna 3 1570 28.47% Inter Milan 1 1712 33.51% 38.02%
23 1981-10-25 16.87 Napoli 3 1675 29.40% @ Cesena 1 1561 32.28% 38.32%
24 1982-02-28 15.26 Inter Milan 3 1711 34.40% @ Cesena 1 1562 27.67% 37.93%
25 1982-02-07 15.16 Udinese 1 1575 11.27% @ Avellino 0 1646 52.99% 35.73%