1981-82 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fiorentina

10.60 points above expected

45 points · 34.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Como

6.43 points below expected

17 points · 23.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	30	19	8	3	46	48	14	+34	39.7	+6.32
2	Fiorentina	30	17	11	2	45	36	17	+19	34.4	+10.60
3	Roma	30	15	8	7	38	40	29	+11	36.2	+1.83
4	Napoli	30	10	15	5	35	31	21	+10	32.5	+2.46
5	Inter Milan	30	11	13	6	35	39	34	+5	35.2	-0.21
6	Ascoli	30	9	14	7	32	26	21	+5	28.3	+3.71
7	Catanzaro	30	9	10	11	28	25	29	-4	28.4	-0.44
8	Avellino	30	9	9	12	27	22	26	-4	30.2	-3.21
9	Torino	30	8	11	11	27	25	30	-5	28.9	-1.91
10	Cesena	30	8	11	11	27	34	41	-7	26.2	+0.81
11	Udinese	30	9	8	13	26	27	37	-10	25.2	+0.79
12	Cagliari	30	7	11	12	25	33	36	-3	28.1	-3.07
13	Genoa	30	6	13	11	25	24	29	-5	26.5	-1.48
14	AC Milan	30	7	10	13	24	21	31	-10	28.7	-4.71
15	Bologna	30	6	11	13	23	25	37	-12	28.1	-5.06
16	Como	30	3	11	16	17	18	42	-24	23.4	-6.43

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1876	46	39.68	+6.32	96.0%	30	34	37	40	42	46	50
Fiorentina	1779	45	34.40	+10.60	100.0%	28	29	32	34	36	40	43
Roma	1733	38	36.17	+1.83	72.0%	24	30	33	37	39	43	45
Napoli	1717	35	32.54	+2.46	76.0%	25	27	29	32	35	38	42
Inter Milan	1696	35	35.21	-0.21	53.0%	25	29	33	35	37	41	44
Ascoli	1648	32	28.29	+3.71	81.0%	18	22	25	28	32	35	36
Cagliari	1633	25	28.07	-3.07	29.0%	20	22	25	28	31	35	37
Torino	1610	27	28.91	-1.91	41.0%	21	23	26	29	32	35	37
Avellino	1600	27	30.21	-3.21	23.0%	20	23	28	30	33	37	38
AC Milan	1599	24	28.71	-4.71	17.0%	18	22	26	29	31	36	39
Catanzaro	1598	28	28.44	-0.44	50.0%	18	21	26	28	31	36	39
Cesena	1593	27	26.19	+0.81	57.0%	16	19	23	27	29	33	34
Genoa	1583	25	26.48	-1.48	42.0%	17	21	24	26	29	32	35
Bologna	1581	23	28.06	-5.06	14.0%	16	21	25	28	31	35	40
Udinese	1571	26	25.21	+0.79	67.0%	18	20	23	25	27	31	35
Como	1491	17	23.43	-6.43	2.0%	14	18	20	23	26	30	34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ASC	AVE	BOL	CAG	CAT	CES	COM	FIO	GEN	IM	JUV	NAP	ROM	TOR	UDI
AC Milan	—	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.38	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.79	2-0-0 2.79	0-1-1 3.24	0-1-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.30	0-0-2 1.93	1-1-0 2.33	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 2.66	0-1-1 3.04
Ascoli	1-1-0 2.72	—	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.30	0-2-0 2.15	0-2-0 2.84	0-2-0 1.94	1-1-0 1.58	0-2-0 2.34	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.66
Avellino	1-0-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.71	—	0-0-2 2.73	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 3.09	1-1-0 3.42	0-0-2 2.24	1-1-0 2.82	0-0-2 2.26	0-0-2 1.89	1-1-0 2.17	1-1-0 2.06	0-2-0 2.85	1-0-1 3.00
Bologna	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.49	2-0-0 2.52	—	0-2-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.66	0-1-1 3.03	1-1-0 3.03	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 1.88	0-1-1 1.47	0-1-1 2.25	1-0-1 1.93	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.72
Cagliari	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.39	0-2-0 2.61	—	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.06	0-2-0 1.83	1-1-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.09	0-0-2 1.61	0-1-1 2.34	0-0-2 2.03	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.97
Catanzaro	2-0-0 2.45	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.71	—	1-0-1 2.92	0-2-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 2.90	0-2-0 2.13	0-0-2 1.42	0-1-1 2.35	0-2-0 1.91	2-0-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.95
Cesena	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.18	1-1-0 2.26	1-1-0 2.46	1-0-1 2.35	—	0-1-1 3.17	1-0-1 1.85	0-2-0 2.43	0-0-2 1.88	0-1-1 1.43	0-1-1 1.99	1-1-0 1.72	0-2-0 2.45	2-0-0 2.60
Como	1-1-0 2.03	0-1-1 1.96	0-1-1 1.92	0-1-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.24	0-2-0 2.26	1-1-0 2.08	—	0-1-1 1.75	0-1-1 2.46	0-1-1 1.50	0-0-2 1.32	0-0-2 1.76	0-0-2 1.40	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.43
Fiorentina	1-1-0 2.89	0-2-0 3.12	2-0-0 3.03	2-0-0 3.16	0-2-0 3.47	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.49	1-1-0 3.54	—	1-1-0 3.50	1-1-0 2.79	0-2-0 2.05	2-0-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.49	1-1-0 3.33	2-0-0 3.54
Genoa	0-1-1 2.57	0-2-0 2.45	0-1-1 2.45	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.36	0-2-0 2.83	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 1.79	—	0-2-0 1.79	1-0-1 1.42	1-1-0 1.98	0-0-2 1.83	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 2.73
Inter Milan	2-0-0 3.01	0-2-0 3.36	2-0-0 3.03	1-0-1 3.42	0-1-1 3.23	0-2-0 3.16	2-0-0 3.43	1-1-0 3.85	0-1-1 2.45	0-2-0 3.53	—	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.55	2-0-0 3.12	0-2-0 3.58
Juventus	2-0-0 3.43	0-1-1 3.80	2-0-0 3.42	1-1-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.74	2-0-0 3.95	1-1-0 3.96	2-0-0 4.09	0-2-0 3.25	1-0-1 4.02	1-1-0 3.13	—	0-2-0 3.28	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.98
Napoli	0-1-1 2.91	0-2-0 2.94	0-1-1 3.11	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 2.94	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.35	2-0-0 3.53	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 3.34	1-1-0 2.47	0-2-0 2.05	—	1-1-0 2.39	1-1-0 3.10	1-1-0 3.38
Roma	1-1-0 3.43	2-0-0 3.31	0-1-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.37	2-0-0 3.26	0-2-0 3.38	0-1-1 3.65	2-0-0 4.00	1-0-1 2.78	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.24	0-1-1 2.86	—	1-1-0 3.25	1-1-0 3.59
Torino	1-1-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.39	0-2-0 2.42	1-1-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.56	0-2-0 2.81	1-1-0 3.17	0-1-1 1.95	2-0-0 2.66	0-0-2 2.15	0-0-2 1.60	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.06	—	1-0-1 2.98
Udinese	1-1-0 2.22	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.55	1-1-0 2.29	1-1-0 2.32	0-0-2 2.67	2-0-0 2.87	0-0-2 1.81	1-0-1 2.54	0-2-0 1.75	0-0-2 1.41	0-1-1 1.93	0-1-1 1.75	1-0-1 2.28	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	4.79%	1.46%	0.62%	—	36.88%
1	13.33%	15.42%	6.67%	1.25%	0.83%	0.42%	37.92%
2	4.79%	6.67%	4.17%	1.67%	0.83%	—	18.12%
3	1.46%	1.25%	1.67%	—	—	—	4.38%
4	0.62%	0.83%	0.83%	—	—	—	2.29%
5+	—	0.42%	—	—	—	—	0.42%
Total	36.88%	37.92%	18.12%	4.38%	2.29%	0.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.99
Mean allowed	0.99
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	1.98
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.169
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	50.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.84
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.292
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	43.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	1.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.274
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	33.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	100%

Avellino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	1.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.153
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	43.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	26.67%	36.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.196
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	26.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	60.00%	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.277
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	20.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	50.00%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	30.00%	20.00%	—	6.67%	—	100%

Catanzaro — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.006
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	40.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	46.67%	10.00%	16.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Cesena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.086
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	23.33%	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	53.33%
1	—	26.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	56.67%	23.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Como — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.60
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	0.72
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.207
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	60.00%	23.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	0.57
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	0.77
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.458
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	43.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Genoa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.327
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	13.33%	26.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
2	—	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.276
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	63.33%	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	0.47
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	0.68
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.416
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.33%	26.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.011
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	20.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	43.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.122
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	50.00%
1	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	26.67%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.425
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	3.33%	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	26.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Udinese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.057
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fiorentina	45	34.4	+10.60
2	Juventus	46	39.7	+6.32
3	Ascoli	32	28.3	+3.71
4	Napoli	35	32.5	+2.46
5	Roma	38	36.2	+1.83

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Como	17	23.4	-6.43
2	Bologna	23	28.1	-5.06
3	AC Milan	24	28.7	-4.71
4	Avellino	27	30.2	-3.21
5	Cagliari	25	28.1	-3.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	7	Jan 31 – Mar 21	1 in 104
2	Roma	4	Oct 11 – Nov 8	1 in 89
3	Fiorentina	4	Dec 13 – Jan 10	1 in 70
4	Torino	3	Jan 10 – Jan 24	1 in 22
5	Catanzaro	3	Dec 20 – Jan 10	1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Como	4	Nov 29 – Jan 3	1 in 54
2	Bologna	4	Apr 4 – May 2	1 in 42
3	Juventus	2	Nov 1 – Nov 8	1 in 35
4	AC Milan	3	Mar 7 – Mar 21	1 in 32
5	Roma	3	Mar 7 – Mar 21	1 in 30

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentina	22	Nov 22 – May 16	1 in 637
2	Ascoli	12	Jan 24 – Apr 25	1 in 126
3	Juventus	19	Dec 20 – May 16	1 in 50
4	Avellino	8	Nov 1 – Jan 10	1 in 29
5	Cesena	4	Jan 24 – Feb 14	1 in 15

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Milan	8	Mar 14 – May 9	1 in 46
2	Torino	11	Sep 27 – Jan 3	1 in 33
3	AC Milan	9	Oct 4 – Dec 20	1 in 32
4	Como	13	Nov 29 – Mar 14	1 in 25
5	Avellino	6	Apr 4 – May 16	1 in 23

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Juventus	57.00%	23.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Fiorentina	6.00%	20.00%	19.00%	13.00%	16.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Roma	19.00%	27.00%	15.00%	13.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Napoli	5.00%	4.00%	15.00%	17.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	—
Inter Milan	10.00%	16.00%	19.00%	17.00%	15.00%	12.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Ascoli	—	—	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%	17.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Catanzaro	—	2.00%	1.00%	7.00%	1.00%	6.00%	13.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Avellino	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	17.00%	10.00%	9.00%	11.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Torino	—	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	12.00%	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	12.00%	5.00%	—
Cesena	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	12.00%	11.00%	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	14.00%	12.00%
Udinese	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	13.00%	15.00%	18.00%	13.00%	15.00%
Cagliari	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	14.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	14.00%	8.00%	10.00%	12.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Genoa	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	10.00%	16.00%	11.00%	10.00%	15.00%	6.00%
AC Milan	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	12.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Bologna	—	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	4.00%	11.00%	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%
Como	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	17.00%	40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Fiorentina	100%	—
Inter Milan	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Roma	100%	—
Napoli	98.0%	2.0%
Avellino	93.0%	7.0%
Catanzaro	83.0%	17.0%
Torino	83.0%	17.0%
Ascoli	82.0%	18.0%
AC Milan	80.0%	20.0%
Cagliari	78.0%	22.0%
Bologna	77.0%	23.0%
Genoa	69.0%	31.0%
Cesena	68.0%	32.0%
Udinese	54.0%	46.0%
Como	35.0%	65.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1981-09-13	Cagliari	D 1-1	1650	1632	48.5%	36.4%	15.1%	-2.0	1
1981-09-13	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1632	1650	15.1%	36.4%	48.5%	+2.0	1
1981-09-13	Como	W 1-0	1655	1602	52.2%	34.9%	12.9%	+5.3	3
1981-09-13	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1602	1655	12.9%	34.9%	52.2%	-5.3	0
1981-09-13	Torino	L 0-1	1607	1619	45.1%	37.3%	17.5%	-13.3	0
1981-09-13	@ Genoa	W 1-0	1619	1607	17.5%	37.3%	45.1%	+13.2	3
1981-09-13	Ascoli	D 0-0	1701	1597	57.4%	32.2%	10.4%	-3.4	1
1981-09-13	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1597	1701	10.4%	32.2%	57.4%	+3.4	1
1981-09-13	Cesena	W 6-1	1755	1586	63.8%	27.9%	8.2%	+11.5	3
1981-09-13	@ Juventus	L 1-6	1586	1755	8.2%	27.9%	63.8%	-11.5	0
1981-09-13	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1672	1616	52.5%	34.8%	12.7%	-2.5	1
1981-09-13	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1616	1672	12.7%	34.8%	52.5%	+2.5	1
1981-09-13	Avellino	D 0-0	1719	1633	55.6%	33.2%	11.2%	-3.2	1
1981-09-13	@ Roma	D 0-0	1633	1719	11.2%	33.2%	55.6%	+3.2	1
1981-09-13	AC Milan	D 0-0	1586	1678	35.4%	38.3%	26.3%	-0.5	1
1981-09-13	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1678	1586	26.3%	38.3%	35.4%	+0.6	1
1981-09-20	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1678	1661	48.4%	36.4%	15.2%	-2.2	2
1981-09-20	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1661	1678	15.2%	36.4%	48.4%	+2.3	4
1981-09-20	Udinese	W 3-0	1600	1586	48.1%	36.5%	15.4%	+17.2	4
1981-09-20	@ Ascoli	L 0-3	1586	1600	15.4%	36.5%	48.1%	-17.2	1
1981-09-20	Juventus	L 0-1	1636	1766	30.3%	37.9%	31.9%	-9.9	1
1981-09-20	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1766	1636	31.9%	37.9%	30.3%	+9.9	6
1981-09-20	Napoli	D 1-1	1634	1670	42.4%	37.9%	19.8%	-1.3	2
1981-09-20	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1670	1634	19.8%	37.9%	42.4%	+1.3	2
1981-09-20	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1618	1697	37.0%	38.3%	24.7%	-0.8	2
1981-09-20	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1697	1618	24.7%	38.3%	37.0%	+0.8	2
1981-09-20	Roma	D 1-1	1574	1716	28.7%	37.6%	33.6%	+0.3	1
1981-09-20	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1716	1574	33.6%	37.6%	28.7%	-0.3	2
1981-09-20	Genoa	D 1-1	1597	1594	46.8%	36.9%	16.3%	-1.8	1
1981-09-20	@ Como	D 1-1	1594	1597	16.3%	36.9%	46.8%	+1.8	1
1981-09-20	Bologna	W 1-0	1633	1648	44.8%	37.4%	17.8%	+7.0	6
1981-09-20	@ Torino	L 0-1	1648	1633	17.8%	37.4%	44.8%	-7.0	1
1981-09-27	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1641	1618	49.0%	36.2%	14.8%	-2.3	2
1981-09-27	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1618	1641	14.8%	36.2%	49.0%	+2.3	3
1981-09-27	Ascoli	D 0-0	1663	1617	51.4%	35.3%	13.3%	-2.6	5
1981-09-27	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1617	1663	13.3%	35.3%	51.4%	+2.6	5
1981-09-27	Cesena	D 0-0	1596	1575	48.8%	36.3%	14.9%	-2.3	2
1981-09-27	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1575	1596	14.9%	36.3%	48.8%	+2.3	2
1981-09-27	Torino	W 1-0	1698	1640	52.8%	34.7%	12.6%	+5.2	5
1981-09-27	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1640	1698	12.6%	34.7%	52.8%	-5.2	6
1981-09-27	Como	W 3-1	1776	1595	65.0%	27.1%	7.9%	+4.8	9
1981-09-27	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1595	1776	7.9%	27.1%	65.0%	-4.9	1
1981-09-27	AC Milan	L 0-1	1671	1676	45.9%	37.1%	16.9%	-13.4	2
1981-09-27	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1676	1671	16.9%	37.1%	45.9%	+13.4	5
1981-09-27	Cagliari	W 2-1	1716	1632	55.3%	33.4%	11.3%	+4.4	5
1981-09-27	@ Roma	L 1-2	1632	1716	11.3%	33.4%	55.3%	-4.4	2
1981-09-27	Avellino	L 1-2	1569	1626	39.7%	38.2%	22.1%	-11.3	1
1981-09-27	@ Udinese	W 2-1	1626	1569	22.1%	38.2%	39.7%	+11.3	4
1981-10-04	Juventus	L 0-1	1690	1781	35.4%	38.3%	26.3%	-11.0	5
1981-10-04	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1781	1690	26.3%	38.3%	35.4%	+11.0	12
1981-10-04	Napoli	D 0-0	1620	1658	42.1%	37.9%	20.0%	-1.4	6
1981-10-04	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1658	1620	20.0%	37.9%	42.1%	+1.4	3
1981-10-04	Genoa	D 0-0	1638	1594	51.3%	35.3%	13.4%	-2.6	5
1981-10-04	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1594	1638	13.4%	35.3%	51.3%	+2.6	3
1981-10-04	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1628	1703	37.5%	38.3%	24.2%	-0.7	3
1981-10-04	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1703	1628	24.2%	38.3%	37.5%	+0.7	6
1981-10-04	Fiorentina	L 0-2	1620	1660	41.8%	37.9%	20.2%	-23.5	3
1981-10-04	@ Catanzaro	W 2-0	1660	1620	20.2%	37.9%	41.8%	+23.5	8
1981-10-04	Udinese	W 2-1	1577	1557	48.7%	36.3%	15.0%	+5.8	5
1981-10-04	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1557	1577	15.0%	36.3%	48.7%	-5.8	1
1981-10-04	Bologna	D 2-2	1590	1638	40.9%	38.0%	21.0%	-0.8	2
1981-10-04	@ Como	D 2-2	1638	1590	21.0%	38.0%	40.9%	+0.8	3
1981-10-04	Roma	D 2-2	1634	1720	36.1%	38.3%	25.6%	-0.4	7
1981-10-04	@ Torino	D 2-2	1720	1634	25.6%	38.3%	36.1%	+0.4	6
1981-10-11	AC Milan	D 0-0	1639	1679	41.9%	37.9%	20.1%	-1.4	4
1981-10-11	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1679	1639	20.1%	37.9%	41.9%	+1.4	6
1981-10-11	Ascoli	W 1-0	1596	1618	44.0%	37.6%	18.4%	+7.2	6
1981-10-11	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1618	1596	18.4%	37.6%	44.0%	-7.2	6
1981-10-11	Avellino	W 1-0	1684	1635	51.8%	35.1%	13.1%	+5.4	11
1981-10-11	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1635	1684	13.1%	35.1%	51.8%	-5.4	5
1981-10-11	Roma	L 0-1	1596	1721	31.0%	38.0%	31.0%	-10.1	3
1981-10-11	@ Genoa	W 1-0	1721	1596	31.0%	38.0%	31.0%	+10.1	9
1981-10-11	Cesena	W 3-2	1704	1583	59.1%	31.1%	9.8%	+3.5	9
1981-10-11	@ Inter Milan	L 2-3	1583	1704	9.8%	31.1%	59.1%	-3.5	5
1981-10-11	Cagliari	W 1-0	1792	1627	63.4%	28.2%	8.3%	+3.2	15
1981-10-11	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1627	1792	8.3%	28.2%	63.4%	-3.2	3
1981-10-11	Como	W 2-0	1659	1590	53.9%	34.1%	12.0%	+9.4	6
1981-10-11	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1590	1659	12.0%	34.1%	53.9%	-9.4	2
1981-10-11	Torino	W 3-2	1552	1634	36.6%	38.3%	25.1%	+7.9	4
1981-10-11	@ Udinese	L 2-3	1634	1552	25.1%	38.3%	36.6%	-7.9	7
1981-10-25	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1680	1708	43.3%	37.7%	19.0%	-12.8	6
1981-10-25	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1708	1680	19.0%	37.7%	43.3%	+12.8	12
1981-10-25	Bologna	L 0-1	1630	1638	45.6%	37.2%	17.2%	-13.3	5
1981-10-25	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1638	1630	17.2%	37.2%	45.6%	+13.4	7
1981-10-25	Ascoli	W 1-0	1624	1611	47.9%	36.6%	15.5%	+6.3	6
1981-10-25	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1611	1624	15.5%	36.6%	47.9%	-6.3	6
1981-10-25	Napoli	L 1-3	1579	1668	35.7%	38.3%	26.0%	-18.2	5
1981-10-25	@ Cesena	W 3-1	1668	1579	26.0%	38.3%	35.7%	+18.2	9
1981-10-25	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1580	1604	43.8%	37.6%	18.6%	-1.5	3
1981-10-25	@ Como	D 1-1	1604	1580	18.6%	37.6%	43.8%	+1.5	7
1981-10-25	Udinese	W 2-1	1586	1559	49.4%	36.1%	14.5%	+5.6	6
1981-10-25	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1559	1586	14.5%	36.1%	49.4%	-5.6	4
1981-10-25	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1731	1689	51.0%	35.4%	13.6%	+10.6	12
1981-10-25	@ Roma	L 0-2	1689	1731	13.6%	35.4%	51.0%	-10.6	11
1981-10-25	Juventus	L 0-1	1626	1795	25.4%	36.9%	37.7%	-8.8	7
1981-10-25	@ Torino	W 1-0	1795	1626	37.7%	36.9%	25.4%	+8.8	18
1981-11-01	Como	D 1-1	1605	1579	49.4%	36.1%	14.5%	-2.1	7
1981-11-01	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1579	1605	14.5%	36.1%	49.4%	+2.1	4
1981-11-01	Cesena	D 0-0	1651	1561	56.0%	33.0%	11.0%	-3.2	8
1981-11-01	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1561	1651	11.0%	33.0%	56.0%	+3.2	6
1981-11-01	AC Milan	W 3-0	1605	1667	39.2%	38.2%	22.6%	+22.7	10
1981-11-01	@ Catanzaro	L 0-3	1667	1605	22.6%	38.2%	39.2%	-22.7	6
1981-11-01	Torino	W 2-1	1679	1617	53.1%	34.5%	12.4%	+4.9	14
1981-11-01	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1617	1679	12.4%	34.5%	53.1%	-4.9	7
1981-11-01	Genoa	D 0-0	1720	1592	59.9%	30.6%	9.5%	-3.6	13
1981-11-01	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1592	1720	9.5%	30.6%	59.9%	+3.6	7
1981-11-01	Roma	L 0-1	1804	1741	53.2%	34.4%	12.3%	-15.1	18
1981-11-01	@ Juventus	W 1-0	1741	1804	12.3%	34.4%	53.2%	+15.0	15
1981-11-01	Avellino	D 0-0	1687	1616	54.0%	34.1%	11.9%	-3.0	10
1981-11-01	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1616	1687	11.9%	34.1%	54.0%	+3.0	6
1981-11-01	Cagliari	W 1-0	1554	1630	37.4%	38.3%	24.4%	+8.7	7
1981-11-01	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1630	1554	24.4%	38.3%	37.4%	-8.7	6
1981-11-08	Como	D 1-1	1644	1581	53.3%	34.4%	12.3%	-2.6	7
1981-11-08	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1581	1644	12.3%	34.4%	53.3%	+2.6	5
1981-11-08	Ascoli	W 1-0	1619	1603	48.3%	36.5%	15.2%	+6.2	9
1981-11-08	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1603	1619	15.2%	36.5%	48.3%	-6.2	7
1981-11-08	Catanzaro	W 2-1	1622	1628	45.8%	37.2%	17.0%	+6.4	9
1981-11-08	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1628	1622	17.0%	37.2%	45.8%	-6.4	10
1981-11-08	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1564	1684	31.7%	38.0%	30.3%	+9.4	9
1981-11-08	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1684	1564	30.3%	38.0%	31.7%	-9.4	14
1981-11-08	Juventus	W 2-1	1595	1789	22.8%	36.0%	41.1%	+11.4	10
1981-11-08	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1789	1595	41.1%	36.0%	22.8%	-11.4	18
1981-11-08	Bologna	W 3-1	1756	1648	57.8%	31.9%	10.2%	+6.8	18
1981-11-08	@ Roma	L 1-3	1648	1756	10.2%	31.9%	57.8%	-6.8	8
1981-11-08	Napoli	D 0-0	1612	1684	38.0%	38.3%	23.7%	-0.9	8
1981-11-08	@ Torino	D 0-0	1684	1612	23.7%	38.3%	38.0%	+0.9	11
1981-11-08	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1563	1717	27.2%	37.3%	35.5%	+0.5	8
1981-11-08	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1717	1563	35.5%	37.3%	27.2%	-0.4	14
1981-11-22	AC Milan	W 1-0	1597	1642	41.2%	38.0%	20.7%	+7.8	10
1981-11-22	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1642	1597	20.7%	38.0%	41.2%	-7.8	7
1981-11-22	Avellino	D 0-0	1621	1625	46.0%	37.1%	16.8%	-1.9	11
1981-11-22	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1625	1621	16.8%	37.1%	46.0%	+1.9	10
1981-11-22	Torino	D 0-0	1574	1611	42.1%	37.9%	20.0%	-1.4	10
1981-11-22	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1611	1574	20.0%	37.9%	42.1%	+1.4	9
1981-11-22	Cagliari	W 2-1	1583	1628	41.3%	38.0%	20.7%	+7.4	8
1981-11-22	@ Como	L 1-2	1628	1583	20.7%	38.0%	41.3%	-7.4	9
1981-11-22	Genoa	W 3-2	1674	1607	53.7%	34.2%	12.1%	+4.5	17
1981-11-22	@ Fiorentina	L 2-3	1607	1674	12.1%	34.2%	53.7%	-4.5	10
1981-11-22	Roma	W 3-2	1716	1763	41.0%	38.0%	20.9%	+7.0	17
1981-11-22	@ Inter Milan	L 2-3	1763	1716	20.9%	38.0%	41.0%	-7.0	18
1981-11-22	Bologna	W 2-0	1778	1641	60.6%	30.1%	9.2%	+6.9	21
1981-11-22	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1641	1778	9.2%	30.1%	60.6%	-6.9	8
1981-11-22	Udinese	D 0-0	1684	1563	59.1%	31.1%	9.8%	-3.5	12
1981-11-22	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1563	1684	9.8%	31.1%	59.1%	+3.5	9
1981-11-29	Cesena	W 2-0	1627	1572	52.4%	34.8%	12.8%	+10.0	13
1981-11-29	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1572	1627	12.8%	34.8%	52.4%	-10.0	10
1981-11-29	Napoli	D 2-2	1634	1681	41.1%	38.0%	20.9%	-0.9	9
1981-11-29	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1681	1634	20.9%	38.0%	41.1%	+0.9	13
1981-11-29	Torino	W 1-0	1621	1613	47.4%	36.8%	15.9%	+6.4	12
1981-11-29	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1613	1621	15.9%	36.8%	47.4%	-6.4	9
1981-11-29	Ascoli	D 0-0	1602	1604	46.2%	37.1%	16.7%	-2.0	11
1981-11-29	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1604	1602	16.7%	37.1%	46.2%	+2.0	11
1981-11-29	Como	W 4-0	1723	1591	60.2%	30.4%	9.4%	+13.4	20
1981-11-29	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1591	1723	9.4%	30.4%	60.2%	-13.4	8
1981-11-29	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1785	1679	57.6%	32.1%	10.3%	-3.4	22
1981-11-29	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1679	1785	10.3%	32.1%	57.6%	+3.4	18
1981-11-29	AC Milan	D 1-1	1756	1634	59.2%	31.1%	9.7%	-3.2	19
1981-11-29	@ Roma	D 1-1	1634	1756	9.7%	31.1%	59.2%	+3.2	8
1981-11-29	Catanzaro	W 2-1	1567	1619	40.3%	38.1%	21.6%	+7.6	12
1981-11-29	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1619	1567	21.6%	38.1%	40.3%	-7.6	11
1981-12-13	Genoa	D 0-0	1637	1600	50.5%	35.6%	13.9%	-2.5	9
1981-12-13	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1600	1637	13.9%	35.6%	50.5%	+2.5	12
1981-12-13	Juventus	W 1-0	1606	1781	24.8%	36.7%	38.5%	+11.5	14
1981-12-13	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1781	1606	38.5%	36.7%	24.8%	-11.5	22
1981-12-13	Fiorentina	L 0-2	1633	1682	40.8%	38.1%	21.1%	-23.1	9
1981-12-13	@ Bologna	W 2-0	1682	1633	21.1%	38.1%	40.8%	+23.1	21
1981-12-13	Cesena	D 1-1	1627	1562	53.4%	34.4%	12.2%	-2.6	13
1981-12-13	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1562	1627	12.2%	34.4%	53.4%	+2.6	11
1981-12-13	Roma	D 1-1	1612	1753	28.8%	37.6%	33.6%	+0.2	12
1981-12-13	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1753	1612	33.6%	37.6%	28.8%	-0.2	20
1981-12-13	Udinese	L 0-2	1577	1574	46.9%	36.9%	16.2%	-25.7	8
1981-12-13	@ Como	W 2-0	1574	1577	16.2%	36.9%	46.9%	+25.7	15
1981-12-13	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1682	1737	40.0%	38.1%	21.8%	+15.3	16
1981-12-13	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1737	1682	21.8%	38.1%	40.0%	-15.3	20
1981-12-13	Avellino	D 1-1	1606	1637	43.0%	37.8%	19.3%	-1.4	10
1981-12-13	@ Torino	D 1-1	1637	1606	19.3%	37.8%	43.0%	+1.4	14
1981-12-20	AC Milan	W 2-0	1639	1635	46.9%	36.9%	16.2%	+12.3	17
1981-12-20	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1635	1639	16.2%	36.9%	46.9%	-12.3	9
1981-12-20	Ascoli	D 1-1	1565	1618	40.3%	38.1%	21.6%	-1.0	12
1981-12-20	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1618	1565	21.6%	38.1%	40.3%	+1.0	15
1981-12-20	Napoli	W 2-1	1705	1697	47.4%	36.7%	15.9%	+6.0	24
1981-12-20	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1697	1705	15.9%	36.7%	47.4%	-6.0	16
1981-12-20	Cagliari	D 1-1	1603	1624	44.0%	37.6%	18.4%	-1.5	13
1981-12-20	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1624	1603	18.4%	37.6%	44.0%	+1.5	14
1981-12-20	Juventus	D 0-0	1722	1770	40.9%	38.1%	21.1%	-1.3	21
1981-12-20	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1770	1722	21.1%	38.1%	40.9%	+1.3	23
1981-12-20	Como	W 2-0	1753	1552	67.0%	25.6%	7.4%	+5.1	23
1981-12-20	@ Roma	L 0-2	1552	1753	7.4%	25.6%	67.0%	-5.1	8
1981-12-20	Catanzaro	L 1-2	1605	1612	45.7%	37.2%	17.1%	-12.6	10
1981-12-20	@ Torino	W 2-1	1612	1605	17.1%	37.2%	45.7%	+12.6	15
1981-12-20	Bologna	D 2-2	1600	1610	45.3%	37.3%	17.4%	-1.2	16
1981-12-20	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1610	1600	17.4%	37.3%	45.3%	+1.2	10
1982-01-03	Cagliari	W 1-0	1622	1626	46.1%	37.1%	16.8%	+6.7	12
1982-01-03	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1626	1622	16.8%	37.1%	46.1%	-6.7	14
1982-01-03	Torino	D 0-0	1619	1592	49.4%	36.1%	14.5%	-2.4	16
1982-01-03	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1592	1619	14.5%	36.1%	49.4%	+2.4	11
1982-01-03	Genoa	D 1-1	1611	1601	47.6%	36.7%	15.7%	-1.9	11
1982-01-03	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1601	1611	15.7%	36.7%	47.6%	+1.9	14
1982-01-03	Cesena	W 3-0	1625	1564	53.0%	34.5%	12.4%	+14.1	18
1982-01-03	@ Catanzaro	L 0-3	1564	1625	12.4%	34.5%	53.0%	-14.2	12
1982-01-03	Avellino	L 0-1	1547	1651	33.7%	38.2%	28.1%	-10.7	8
1982-01-03	@ Como	W 1-0	1651	1547	28.1%	38.2%	33.7%	+10.7	20
1982-01-03	Inter Milan	W 4-2	1711	1720	45.5%	37.3%	17.3%	+10.0	27
1982-01-03	@ Fiorentina	L 2-4	1720	1711	17.3%	37.3%	45.5%	-10.0	21
1982-01-03	Udinese	W 1-0	1771	1599	64.2%	27.7%	8.1%	+3.1	26
1982-01-03	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1599	1771	8.1%	27.7%	64.2%	-3.1	16
1982-01-03	Roma	W 1-0	1691	1758	38.6%	38.2%	23.2%	+8.4	19
1982-01-03	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1758	1691	23.2%	38.2%	38.6%	-8.4	23
1982-01-10	Roma	L 0-1	1617	1749	29.9%	37.8%	32.3%	-9.9	16
1982-01-10	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1749	1617	32.3%	37.8%	29.9%	+9.8	26
1982-01-10	Avellino	D 0-0	1619	1662	41.6%	38.0%	20.4%	-1.3	15
1982-01-10	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1662	1619	20.4%	38.0%	41.6%	+1.3	21
1982-01-10	Genoa	W 1-0	1639	1603	50.4%	35.7%	13.9%	+5.8	21
1982-01-10	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1603	1639	13.9%	35.7%	50.4%	-5.7	14
1982-01-10	Como	D 1-1	1550	1536	48.0%	36.5%	15.4%	-2.0	13
1982-01-10	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1536	1550	15.4%	36.5%	48.0%	+2.0	9
1982-01-10	Bologna	W 2-1	1710	1610	57.1%	32.4%	10.6%	+4.1	24
1982-01-10	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1610	1710	10.6%	32.4%	57.1%	-4.1	11
1982-01-10	Juventus	D 0-0	1699	1774	37.6%	38.3%	24.1%	-0.8	20
1982-01-10	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1774	1699	24.1%	38.3%	37.6%	+0.8	27
1982-01-10	AC Milan	W 2-1	1595	1629	42.6%	37.8%	19.6%	+7.1	14
1982-01-10	@ Torino	L 1-2	1629	1595	19.6%	37.8%	42.6%	-7.1	12
1982-01-10	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1596	1721	30.8%	37.9%	31.2%	-9.5	16
1982-01-10	@ Udinese	W 2-1	1721	1596	31.2%	37.9%	30.8%	+9.5	30
1982-01-17	Cesena	W 1-0	1622	1548	54.4%	33.9%	11.8%	+4.9	15
1982-01-17	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1548	1622	11.8%	33.9%	54.4%	-4.9	13
1982-01-17	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1663	1714	40.5%	38.1%	21.4%	-12.2	21
1982-01-17	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1714	1663	21.4%	38.1%	40.5%	+12.2	27
1982-01-17	Ascoli	W 2-1	1605	1607	46.3%	37.0%	16.6%	+6.3	14
1982-01-17	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1607	1605	16.6%	37.0%	46.3%	-6.3	16
1982-01-17	Torino	L 0-1	1538	1602	38.9%	38.2%	22.9%	-11.8	9
1982-01-17	@ Como	W 1-0	1602	1538	22.9%	38.2%	38.9%	+11.8	17
1982-01-17	Cagliari	D 1-1	1731	1618	58.3%	31.6%	10.1%	-3.1	31
1982-01-17	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1618	1731	10.1%	31.6%	58.3%	+3.1	16
1982-01-17	Napoli	W 2-0	1598	1699	34.2%	38.2%	27.6%	+17.8	17
1982-01-17	@ Genoa	L 0-2	1699	1598	27.6%	38.2%	34.2%	-17.8	20
1982-01-17	Catanzaro	W 4-1	1775	1645	60.0%	30.5%	9.4%	+8.7	30
1982-01-17	@ Juventus	L 1-4	1645	1775	9.4%	30.5%	60.0%	-8.7	21
1982-01-17	Udinese	D 1-1	1759	1586	64.2%	27.6%	8.1%	-3.6	27
1982-01-17	@ Roma	D 1-1	1586	1759	8.1%	27.6%	64.2%	+3.6	17
1982-01-24	Udinese	L 0-1	1627	1590	50.5%	35.6%	13.8%	-14.5	15
1982-01-24	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1590	1627	13.8%	35.6%	50.5%	+14.5	20
1982-01-24	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1601	1727	30.8%	37.9%	31.3%	+0.0	17
1982-01-24	@ Ascoli	D 2-2	1727	1601	31.3%	37.9%	30.8%	-0.0	28
1982-01-24	Roma	W 1-0	1651	1756	33.7%	38.2%	28.1%	+9.5	24
1982-01-24	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1756	1651	28.1%	38.2%	33.7%	-9.5	27
1982-01-24	Bologna	D 2-2	1621	1612	47.5%	36.7%	15.8%	-1.4	17
1982-01-24	@ Cagliari	D 2-2	1612	1621	15.8%	36.7%	47.5%	+1.4	15
1982-01-24	Napoli	L 0-1	1636	1681	41.3%	38.0%	20.7%	-12.4	21
1982-01-24	@ Catanzaro	W 1-0	1681	1636	20.7%	38.0%	41.3%	+12.4	23
1982-01-24	Juventus	D 1-1	1543	1784	18.7%	33.8%	47.5%	+1.7	14
1982-01-24	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1784	1543	47.5%	33.8%	18.7%	-1.7	31
1982-01-24	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1526	1728	22.1%	35.7%	42.2%	+1.1	10
1982-01-24	@ Como	D 1-1	1728	1526	42.2%	35.7%	22.1%	-1.1	32
1982-01-24	Genoa	W 2-0	1614	1615	46.3%	37.0%	16.6%	+12.6	20
1982-01-24	@ Torino	L 0-2	1615	1614	16.6%	37.0%	46.3%	-12.6	17
1982-01-31	Torino	D 0-0	1613	1626	45.0%	37.4%	17.6%	-1.8	16
1982-01-31	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1626	1613	17.6%	37.4%	45.0%	+1.8	21
1982-01-31	AC Milan	W 1-0	1727	1612	58.4%	31.6%	10.0%	+4.1	35
1982-01-31	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1612	1727	10.0%	31.6%	58.4%	-4.1	15
1982-01-31	Como	W 1-0	1603	1527	54.5%	33.8%	11.7%	+4.8	20
1982-01-31	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1527	1603	11.7%	33.8%	54.5%	-4.9	10
1982-01-31	Catanzaro	D 1-1	1727	1624	57.3%	32.2%	10.5%	-3.0	29
1982-01-31	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1624	1727	10.5%	32.2%	57.3%	+3.0	22
1982-01-31	Avellino	W 4-0	1782	1660	59.2%	31.1%	9.8%	+14.1	34
1982-01-31	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1660	1782	9.8%	31.1%	59.2%	-14.1	24
1982-01-31	Cagliari	W 1-0	1693	1620	54.3%	33.9%	11.8%	+4.9	26
1982-01-31	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1620	1693	11.8%	33.9%	54.3%	-4.9	17
1982-01-31	Cesena	L 0-1	1746	1544	67.0%	25.6%	7.4%	-17.5	27
1982-01-31	@ Roma	W 1-0	1544	1746	7.4%	25.6%	67.0%	+17.5	17
1982-01-31	Ascoli	L 0-2	1604	1601	46.9%	36.9%	16.2%	-25.7	20
1982-01-31	@ Udinese	W 2-0	1601	1604	16.2%	36.9%	46.9%	+25.7	20
1982-02-07	Napoli	D 1-1	1608	1698	35.6%	38.3%	26.1%	-0.5	16
1982-02-07	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1698	1608	26.1%	38.3%	35.6%	+0.5	27
1982-02-07	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1626	1731	33.7%	38.2%	28.1%	-0.3	21
1982-02-07	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1731	1626	28.1%	38.2%	33.7%	+0.3	36
1982-02-07	Udinese	L 0-1	1646	1578	53.7%	34.2%	12.1%	-15.2	24
1982-02-07	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1578	1646	12.1%	34.2%	53.7%	+15.2	23
1982-02-07	Roma	L 2-4	1615	1729	32.4%	38.1%	29.5%	-15.2	17
1982-02-07	@ Cagliari	W 4-2	1729	1615	29.5%	38.1%	32.4%	+15.2	30
1982-02-07	Bologna	W 1-0	1626	1611	48.2%	36.5%	15.3%	+6.2	25
1982-02-07	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1611	1626	15.3%	36.5%	48.2%	-6.2	16
1982-02-07	Genoa	D 1-1	1562	1608	41.2%	38.0%	20.8%	-1.2	18
1982-02-07	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1608	1562	20.8%	38.0%	41.2%	+1.2	21
1982-02-07	Juventus	L 0-2	1522	1796	16.4%	31.9%	51.7%	-11.3	10
1982-02-07	@ Como	W 2-0	1796	1522	51.7%	31.9%	16.4%	+11.3	37
1982-02-07	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1628	1724	34.9%	38.3%	26.8%	-10.9	21
1982-02-07	@ Torino	W 1-0	1724	1628	26.8%	38.3%	34.9%	+10.9	32
1982-02-14	Como	W 1-0	1605	1511	56.4%	32.8%	10.8%	+4.5	19
1982-02-14	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1511	1605	10.8%	32.8%	56.4%	-4.5	10
1982-02-14	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1731	1633	56.8%	32.5%	10.7%	+4.4	39
1982-02-14	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1633	1731	10.7%	32.5%	56.8%	-4.4	25
1982-02-14	Avellino	L 0-2	1609	1631	44.0%	37.6%	18.5%	-24.5	21
1982-02-14	@ Genoa	W 2-0	1631	1609	18.5%	37.6%	44.0%	+24.5	27
1982-02-14	Cagliari	L 1-3	1734	1599	60.5%	30.2%	9.3%	-26.9	32
1982-02-14	@ Inter Milan	W 3-1	1599	1734	9.3%	30.2%	60.5%	+26.9	20
1982-02-14	AC Milan	W 3-2	1807	1608	66.8%	25.8%	7.4%	+2.4	40
1982-02-14	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1608	1807	7.4%	25.8%	66.8%	-2.4	16
1982-02-14	Ascoli	D 0-0	1699	1626	54.2%	34.0%	11.8%	-3.0	28
1982-02-14	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1626	1699	11.8%	34.0%	54.2%	+3.0	22
1982-02-14	Torino	W 3-0	1744	1617	59.7%	30.8%	9.6%	+10.5	33
1982-02-14	@ Roma	L 0-3	1617	1744	9.6%	30.8%	59.7%	-10.5	21
1982-02-14	Cesena	L 0-1	1594	1561	50.1%	35.8%	14.1%	-14.4	23
1982-02-14	@ Udinese	W 1-0	1561	1594	14.1%	35.8%	50.1%	+14.4	21
1982-02-28	Bologna	W 2-1	1605	1610	46.0%	37.1%	16.9%	+6.3	19
1982-02-28	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1610	1605	16.9%	37.1%	46.0%	-6.3	19
1982-02-28	Catanzaro	W 2-1	1629	1628	46.6%	37.0%	16.5%	+6.2	25
1982-02-28	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1628	1629	16.5%	37.0%	46.6%	-6.2	25
1982-02-28	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1656	1735	36.9%	38.3%	24.8%	-10.7	27
1982-02-28	@ Avellino	W 2-1	1735	1656	24.8%	38.3%	36.9%	+10.7	42
1982-02-28	Juventus	L 0-1	1626	1810	23.9%	36.4%	39.7%	-8.4	20
1982-02-28	@ Cagliari	W 1-0	1810	1626	39.7%	36.4%	23.9%	+8.4	43
1982-02-28	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1575	1708	30.0%	37.8%	32.2%	-16.1	21
1982-02-28	@ Cesena	W 3-1	1708	1575	32.2%	37.8%	30.0%	+16.1	35
1982-02-28	Napoli	L 0-4	1507	1696	23.3%	36.2%	40.5%	-29.5	10
1982-02-28	@ Como	W 4-0	1696	1507	40.5%	36.2%	23.3%	+29.5	31
1982-02-28	Genoa	W 1-0	1754	1584	63.9%	27.9%	8.2%	+3.1	36
1982-02-28	@ Roma	L 0-1	1584	1754	8.2%	27.9%	63.9%	-3.1	21
1982-02-28	Udinese	W 1-0	1607	1579	49.5%	36.0%	14.5%	+5.9	24
1982-02-28	@ Torino	L 0-1	1579	1607	14.5%	36.0%	49.5%	-5.9	23
1982-03-07	Cagliari	W 2-1	1635	1618	48.4%	36.4%	15.2%	+5.8	28
1982-03-07	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1618	1635	15.2%	36.4%	48.4%	-5.8	20
1982-03-07	Avellino	W 1-0	1603	1645	41.7%	38.0%	20.4%	+7.7	22
1982-03-07	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1645	1603	20.4%	38.0%	41.7%	-7.7	27
1982-03-07	Como	D 0-0	1622	1477	61.5%	29.6%	9.0%	-3.8	26
1982-03-07	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1477	1622	9.0%	29.6%	61.5%	+3.8	11
1982-03-07	Roma	W 1-0	1746	1757	45.2%	37.3%	17.5%	+6.9	45
1982-03-07	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1757	1746	17.5%	37.3%	45.2%	-6.9	36
1982-03-07	AC Milan	W 2-1	1724	1612	58.2%	31.7%	10.1%	+3.9	38
1982-03-07	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1612	1724	10.1%	31.7%	58.2%	-3.9	19
1982-03-07	Torino	W 4-2	1818	1613	67.4%	25.3%	7.3%	+3.8	46
1982-03-07	@ Juventus	L 2-4	1613	1818	7.3%	25.3%	67.4%	-3.8	24
1982-03-07	Cesena	D 2-2	1725	1559	63.5%	28.1%	8.3%	-2.7	32
1982-03-07	@ Napoli	D 2-2	1559	1725	8.3%	28.1%	63.5%	+2.7	22
1982-03-07	Genoa	W 3-2	1573	1581	45.6%	37.2%	17.2%	+6.1	26
1982-03-07	@ Udinese	L 2-3	1581	1573	17.2%	37.2%	45.6%	-6.1	21
1982-03-14	Catanzaro	L 0-1	1608	1618	45.3%	37.3%	17.4%	-13.3	19
1982-03-14	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1618	1608	17.4%	37.3%	45.3%	+13.3	29
1982-03-14	Napoli	W 3-0	1637	1722	36.2%	38.3%	25.5%	+24.5	30
1982-03-14	@ Avellino	L 0-3	1722	1637	25.5%	38.3%	36.2%	-24.5	32
1982-03-14	Udinese	D 1-1	1612	1579	50.1%	35.8%	14.1%	-2.2	21
1982-03-14	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1579	1612	14.1%	35.8%	50.1%	+2.2	27
1982-03-14	Bologna	W 4-1	1562	1611	40.8%	38.1%	21.2%	+18.3	25
1982-03-14	@ Cesena	L 1-4	1611	1562	21.2%	38.1%	40.8%	-18.3	22
1982-03-14	Ascoli	L 1-2	1481	1641	26.5%	37.2%	36.3%	-8.5	11
1982-03-14	@ Como	W 2-1	1641	1481	36.3%	37.2%	26.5%	+8.5	31
1982-03-14	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1575	1728	27.4%	37.4%	35.2%	+0.4	22
1982-03-14	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1728	1575	35.2%	37.4%	27.4%	-0.4	39
1982-03-14	Juventus	L 0-3	1751	1822	38.0%	38.3%	23.8%	-31.8	36
1982-03-14	@ Roma	W 3-0	1822	1751	23.8%	38.3%	38.0%	+31.8	49
1982-03-14	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1609	1753	28.4%	37.6%	34.0%	+0.2	25
1982-03-14	@ Torino	D 2-2	1753	1609	34.0%	37.6%	28.4%	-0.2	46
1982-03-21	Avellino	D 1-1	1650	1662	45.1%	37.3%	17.5%	-1.6	32
1982-03-21	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1662	1650	17.5%	37.3%	45.1%	+1.6	31
1982-03-21	Roma	W 2-0	1593	1719	30.8%	37.9%	31.3%	+19.1	25
1982-03-21	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1719	1593	31.3%	37.9%	30.8%	-19.1	36
1982-03-21	Cagliari	W 1-0	1632	1610	48.9%	36.3%	14.9%	+6.1	32
1982-03-21	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1610	1632	14.9%	36.3%	48.9%	-6.1	21
1982-03-21	AC Milan	W 2-0	1472	1595	31.3%	38.0%	30.7%	+18.9	14
1982-03-21	@ Como	L 0-2	1595	1472	30.7%	38.0%	31.3%	-18.9	19
1982-03-21	Cesena	W 1-0	1753	1580	64.2%	27.7%	8.1%	+3.1	49
1982-03-21	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1580	1753	8.1%	27.7%	64.2%	-3.1	25
1982-03-21	Udinese	D 1-1	1727	1582	61.5%	29.5%	8.9%	-3.4	40
1982-03-21	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1582	1727	8.9%	29.5%	61.5%	+3.4	28
1982-03-21	Genoa	W 1-0	1854	1575	74.3%	20.0%	5.7%	+1.8	52
1982-03-21	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1575	1854	5.7%	20.0%	74.3%	-1.8	22
1982-03-21	Torino	W 2-0	1698	1609	55.9%	33.1%	11.1%	+8.6	35
1982-03-21	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1609	1698	11.1%	33.1%	55.9%	-8.6	25
1982-03-28	Ascoli	D 0-0	1576	1648	37.9%	38.3%	23.8%	-0.9	20
1982-03-28	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1648	1576	23.8%	38.3%	37.9%	+0.9	33
1982-03-28	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1663	1638	49.3%	36.1%	14.6%	+6.0	34
1982-03-28	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1638	1663	14.6%	36.1%	49.3%	-6.0	32
1982-03-28	Juventus	D 0-0	1612	1856	18.5%	33.7%	47.9%	+1.9	26
1982-03-28	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1856	1612	47.9%	33.7%	18.5%	-1.9	53
1982-03-28	Como	W 2-0	1604	1491	58.3%	31.7%	10.1%	+7.7	24
1982-03-28	@ Cagliari	L 0-2	1491	1604	10.1%	31.7%	58.3%	-7.7	14
1982-03-28	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1574	1756	24.0%	36.5%	39.5%	+1.0	23
1982-03-28	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1756	1574	39.5%	36.5%	24.0%	-1.0	50
1982-03-28	Inter Milan	W 3-2	1700	1724	43.8%	37.6%	18.6%	+6.5	39
1982-03-28	@ Roma	L 2-3	1724	1700	18.6%	37.6%	43.8%	-6.5	40
1982-03-28	Cesena	D 0-0	1600	1577	49.1%	36.2%	14.8%	-2.3	26
1982-03-28	@ Torino	D 0-0	1577	1600	14.8%	36.2%	49.1%	+2.3	26
1982-03-28	Napoli	L 0-1	1585	1706	31.4%	38.0%	30.6%	-10.2	28
1982-03-28	@ Udinese	W 1-0	1706	1585	30.6%	38.0%	31.4%	+10.2	38
1982-04-04	Roma	L 1-2	1575	1706	30.1%	37.8%	32.1%	-9.3	20
1982-04-04	@ AC Milan	W 2-1	1706	1575	32.1%	37.8%	30.1%	+9.3	42
1982-04-04	Genoa	D 1-1	1649	1575	54.4%	33.9%	11.8%	-2.7	34
1982-04-04	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1575	1649	11.8%	33.9%	54.4%	+2.7	24
1982-04-04	Udinese	D 0-0	1632	1575	52.6%	34.7%	12.7%	-2.8	33
1982-04-04	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1575	1632	12.7%	34.7%	52.6%	+2.8	29
1982-04-04	Avellino	W 2-0	1579	1669	35.6%	38.3%	26.1%	+17.2	29
1982-04-04	@ Cesena	L 0-2	1669	1579	26.1%	38.3%	35.6%	-17.2	34
1982-04-04	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1483	1717	19.3%	34.2%	46.6%	+1.6	15
1982-04-04	@ Como	D 1-1	1717	1483	46.6%	34.2%	19.3%	-1.6	41
1982-04-04	Juventus	D 0-0	1755	1854	34.4%	38.2%	27.3%	-0.4	51
1982-04-04	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1854	1755	27.3%	38.2%	34.4%	+0.4	54
1982-04-04	Bologna	W 2-0	1717	1614	57.3%	32.2%	10.5%	+8.1	41
1982-04-04	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1614	1717	10.5%	32.2%	57.3%	-8.1	26
1982-04-04	Cagliari	W 4-2	1598	1612	45.0%	37.4%	17.7%	+10.2	29
1982-04-04	@ Torino	L 2-4	1612	1598	17.7%	37.4%	45.0%	-10.2	24
1982-04-11	Torino	D 0-0	1652	1608	51.2%	35.3%	13.4%	-2.6	35
1982-04-11	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1608	1652	13.4%	35.3%	51.2%	+2.6	30
1982-04-11	Cagliari	W 2-1	1596	1601	45.9%	37.1%	16.9%	+6.4	32
1982-04-11	@ Cesena	L 1-2	1601	1596	16.9%	37.1%	45.9%	-6.4	24
1982-04-11	Bologna	W 1-0	1754	1606	61.9%	29.3%	8.8%	+3.5	54
1982-04-11	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1606	1754	8.8%	29.3%	61.9%	-3.5	26
1982-04-11	AC Milan	L 1-2	1577	1565	47.8%	36.6%	15.6%	-13.1	24
1982-04-11	@ Genoa	W 2-1	1565	1577	15.6%	36.6%	47.8%	+13.1	23
1982-04-11	Napoli	D 1-1	1716	1725	45.5%	37.3%	17.3%	-1.7	42
1982-04-11	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1725	1716	17.3%	37.3%	45.5%	+1.7	42
1982-04-11	Ascoli	D 1-1	1854	1646	67.6%	25.1%	7.2%	-3.9	55
1982-04-11	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1646	1854	7.2%	25.1%	67.6%	+3.9	35
1982-04-11	Catanzaro	D 2-2	1715	1629	55.6%	33.2%	11.2%	-2.1	43
1982-04-11	@ Roma	D 2-2	1629	1715	11.2%	33.2%	55.6%	+2.1	34
1982-04-11	Como	W 1-0	1578	1485	56.2%	32.9%	10.9%	+4.5	32
1982-04-11	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1485	1578	10.9%	32.9%	56.2%	-4.5	15
1982-04-25	Avellino	W 2-1	1578	1650	38.0%	38.3%	23.7%	+8.1	26
1982-04-25	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1650	1578	23.7%	38.3%	38.0%	-8.1	35
1982-04-25	Cesena	W 1-0	1650	1603	51.6%	35.2%	13.2%	+5.5	38
1982-04-25	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1603	1650	13.2%	35.2%	51.6%	-5.5	32
1982-04-25	Udinese	L 0-2	1602	1582	48.7%	36.3%	15.0%	-26.5	26
1982-04-25	@ Bologna	W 2-0	1582	1602	15.0%	36.3%	48.7%	+26.5	35
1982-04-25	Genoa	W 2-1	1595	1564	49.9%	35.9%	14.2%	+5.5	27
1982-04-25	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1564	1595	14.2%	35.9%	49.9%	-5.5	24
1982-04-25	Torino	W 1-0	1631	1611	48.7%	36.3%	15.0%	+6.1	37
1982-04-25	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1611	1631	15.0%	36.3%	48.7%	-6.1	30
1982-04-25	Roma	L 0-1	1481	1713	19.3%	34.2%	46.4%	-7.0	15
1982-04-25	@ Como	W 1-0	1713	1481	46.4%	34.2%	19.3%	+7.1	46
1982-04-25	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1850	1714	60.6%	30.1%	9.2%	+3.7	58
1982-04-25	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1714	1850	9.2%	30.1%	60.6%	-3.7	42
1982-04-25	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1726	1758	42.9%	37.8%	19.3%	-12.7	42
1982-04-25	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1758	1726	19.3%	37.8%	42.9%	+12.7	57
1982-05-02	Como	D 1-1	1641	1474	63.7%	28.0%	8.3%	-3.6	36
1982-05-02	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1474	1641	8.3%	28.0%	63.7%	+3.6	16
1982-05-02	AC Milan	D 1-1	1601	1587	48.0%	36.5%	15.4%	-2.0	28
1982-05-02	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1587	1601	15.4%	36.5%	48.0%	+2.0	27
1982-05-02	Catanzaro	W 4-1	1597	1637	41.9%	37.9%	20.2%	+17.7	35
1982-05-02	@ Cesena	L 1-4	1637	1597	20.2%	37.9%	41.9%	-17.7	37
1982-05-02	Bologna	W 1-0	1559	1576	44.6%	37.5%	17.9%	+7.1	27
1982-05-02	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1576	1559	17.9%	37.5%	44.6%	-7.1	26
1982-05-02	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1710	1771	39.4%	38.2%	22.4%	-1.0	43
1982-05-02	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1771	1710	22.4%	38.2%	39.4%	+1.0	58
1982-05-02	Napoli	D 1-1	1720	1714	47.2%	36.8%	16.0%	-1.9	47
1982-05-02	@ Roma	D 1-1	1714	1720	16.0%	36.8%	47.2%	+1.9	43
1982-05-02	Ascoli	W 2-1	1605	1655	40.6%	38.1%	21.3%	+7.5	33
1982-05-02	@ Torino	L 1-2	1655	1605	21.3%	38.1%	40.6%	-7.5	38
1982-05-02	Juventus	L 1-5	1609	1854	18.4%	33.6%	48.1%	-20.0	35
1982-05-02	@ Udinese	W 5-1	1854	1609	48.1%	33.6%	18.4%	+20.0	61
1982-05-09	Torino	D 0-0	1589	1612	43.8%	37.6%	18.6%	-1.6	28
1982-05-09	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1612	1589	18.6%	37.6%	43.8%	+1.6	34
1982-05-09	Cagliari	L 1-4	1638	1599	50.7%	35.5%	13.7%	-33.5	36
1982-05-09	@ Avellino	W 4-1	1599	1638	13.7%	35.5%	50.7%	+33.5	31
1982-05-09	Inter Milan	W 3-1	1569	1709	28.9%	37.6%	33.5%	+17.2	29
1982-05-09	@ Bologna	L 1-3	1709	1569	33.5%	37.6%	28.9%	-17.3	43
1982-05-09	Cesena	W 2-1	1477	1615	29.2%	37.7%	33.1%	+9.9	19
1982-05-09	@ Como	L 1-2	1615	1477	33.1%	37.7%	29.2%	-9.9	35
1982-05-09	Udinese	W 3-0	1772	1589	65.2%	26.9%	7.8%	+8.0	61
1982-05-09	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1589	1772	7.8%	26.9%	65.2%	-8.0	35
1982-05-09	Catanzaro	W 2-0	1566	1619	40.2%	38.1%	21.7%	+15.2	30
1982-05-09	@ Genoa	L 0-2	1619	1566	21.7%	38.1%	40.2%	-15.2	37
1982-05-09	Napoli	D 0-0	1874	1716	62.8%	28.7%	8.5%	-3.9	62
1982-05-09	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1716	1874	8.5%	28.7%	62.8%	+3.9	44
1982-05-09	Ascoli	W 2-1	1718	1648	54.0%	34.1%	11.9%	+4.7	50
1982-05-09	@ Roma	L 1-2	1648	1718	11.9%	34.1%	54.0%	-4.7	38
1982-05-16	Bologna	W 2-1	1643	1586	52.7%	34.7%	12.6%	+4.9	41
1982-05-16	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1586	1643	12.6%	34.7%	52.7%	-4.9	29
1982-05-16	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1632	1780	28.0%	37.5%	34.5%	+0.4	32
1982-05-16	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1780	1632	34.5%	37.5%	28.0%	-0.4	62
1982-05-16	Juventus	L 0-1	1604	1870	16.9%	32.4%	50.7%	-6.2	37
1982-05-16	@ Catanzaro	W 1-0	1870	1604	50.7%	32.4%	16.9%	+6.2	65
1982-05-16	AC Milan	L 2-3	1605	1587	48.5%	36.4%	15.1%	-12.5	35
1982-05-16	@ Cesena	W 3-2	1587	1605	15.1%	36.4%	48.5%	+12.5	31
1982-05-16	Avellino	W 2-1	1692	1604	55.8%	33.1%	11.1%	+4.3	46
1982-05-16	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1604	1692	11.1%	33.1%	55.8%	-4.3	36
1982-05-16	Genoa	D 2-2	1720	1581	60.8%	30.0%	9.2%	-2.5	45
1982-05-16	@ Napoli	D 2-2	1581	1720	9.2%	30.0%	60.8%	+2.5	31
1982-05-16	Como	D 0-0	1614	1487	59.7%	30.8%	9.6%	-3.6	35
1982-05-16	@ Torino	D 0-0	1487	1614	9.6%	30.8%	59.7%	+3.6	20
1982-05-16	Roma	L 0-1	1581	1723	28.6%	37.6%	33.8%	-9.6	35
1982-05-16	@ Udinese	W 1-0	1723	1581	33.8%	37.6%	28.6%	+9.6	53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1982-01-31	7.38%	Cesena	1544	1	@ Roma	1746	0
2	1982-02-14	9.29%	Cagliari	1599	3	@ Inter Milan	1734	1
3	1982-02-07	12.07%	Udinese	1578	1	@ Avellino	1646	0
4	1981-11-01	12.34%	Roma	1741	1	@ Juventus	1804	0
5	1982-05-09	13.70%	Cagliari	1599	4	@ Avellino	1638	1
6	1982-01-24	13.83%	Udinese	1590	1	@ AC Milan	1627	0
7	1982-02-14	14.11%	Cesena	1561	1	@ Udinese	1594	0
8	1982-04-25	14.98%	Udinese	1582	2	@ Bologna	1602	0
9	1982-05-16	15.10%	AC Milan	1587	3	@ Cesena	1605	2
10	1982-04-11	15.58%	AC Milan	1565	2	@ Genoa	1577	1
11	1982-01-31	16.22%	Ascoli	1601	2	@ Udinese	1604	0
12	1981-12-13	16.25%	Udinese	1574	2	@ Como	1577	0
13	1981-09-27	16.93%	AC Milan	1676	1	@ Napoli	1671	0
14	1981-12-20	17.09%	Catanzaro	1612	2	@ Torino	1605	1
15	1981-10-25	17.19%	Bologna	1638	1	@ Avellino	1630	0
16	1982-03-14	17.39%	Catanzaro	1618	1	@ AC Milan	1608	0
17	1981-09-13	17.51%	Torino	1619	1	@ Genoa	1607	0
18	1982-02-14	18.46%	Avellino	1631	2	@ Genoa	1609	0
19	1981-10-25	18.96%	Inter Milan	1708	1	@ AC Milan	1680	0
20	1982-04-25	19.34%	Fiorentina	1758	1	@ Napoli	1726	0
21	1981-10-04	20.24%	Fiorentina	1660	2	@ Catanzaro	1620	0
22	1982-01-24	20.71%	Napoli	1681	1	@ Catanzaro	1636	0
23	1981-12-13	21.13%	Fiorentina	1682	2	@ Bologna	1633	0
24	1982-01-17	21.40%	Inter Milan	1714	1	@ Avellino	1663	0
25	1981-09-27	22.12%	Avellino	1626	2	@ Udinese	1569	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1982-05-09	33.54	Cagliari	4	1599	13.70%	@ Avellino	1	1638	50.75%
2	1982-03-14	31.82	Juventus	3	1822	23.75%	@ Roma	0	1751	37.99%
3	1982-02-28	29.47	Napoli	4	1696	40.48%	@ Como	0	1507	23.31%
4	1982-02-14	26.91	Cagliari	3	1599	9.29%	@ Inter Milan	1	1734	60.47%
5	1982-04-25	26.52	Udinese	2	1582	14.98%	@ Bologna	0	1602	48.70%
6	1982-01-31	25.74	Ascoli	2	1601	16.22%	@ Udinese	0	1604	46.90%
7	1981-12-13	25.72	Udinese	2	1574	16.25%	@ Como	0	1577	46.85%
8	1982-03-14	24.54	@ Avellino	3	1637	36.22%	Napoli	0	1722	25.49%
9	1982-02-14	24.46	Avellino	2	1631	18.46%	@ Genoa	0	1609	43.95%
10	1981-10-04	23.54	Fiorentina	2	1660	20.24%	@ Catanzaro	0	1620	41.81%
11	1981-12-13	23.10	Fiorentina	2	1682	21.13%	@ Bologna	0	1633	40.81%
12	1981-11-01	22.73	@ Catanzaro	3	1605	39.17%	AC Milan	0	1667	22.62%
13	1982-05-02	20.02	Juventus	5	1854	48.06%	@ Udinese	1	1609	18.35%
14	1982-03-21	19.12	@ Bologna	2	1593	30.79%	Roma	0	1719	31.28%
15	1982-03-21	18.91	@ Como	2	1472	31.32%	AC Milan	0	1595	30.68%
16	1982-03-14	18.34	@ Cesena	4	1562	40.76%	Bologna	1	1611	21.17%
17	1981-10-25	18.15	Napoli	3	1668	26.00%	@ Cesena	1	1579	35.72%
18	1982-01-17	17.75	@ Genoa	2	1598	34.16%	Napoli	0	1699	27.61%
19	1982-05-02	17.74	@ Cesena	4	1597	41.89%	Catanzaro	1	1637	20.17%
20	1982-01-31	17.50	Cesena	1	1544	7.38%	@ Roma	0	1746	67.02%
21	1982-05-09	17.26	@ Bologna	3	1569	28.86%	Inter Milan	1	1709	33.49%
22	1981-09-20	17.16	@ Ascoli	3	1600	48.08%	Udinese	0	1586	15.39%
23	1982-04-04	17.15	@ Cesena	2	1579	35.62%	Avellino	0	1669	26.10%
24	1982-02-28	16.10	Inter Milan	3	1708	32.22%	@ Cesena	1	1575	29.96%
25	1981-12-13	15.28	@ Napoli	2	1682	40.04%	Inter Milan	0	1737	21.82%