1982-83 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Roma

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Roma

7.61 points above expected

43 points · 35.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Catanzaro

11.11 points below expected

13 points · 24.11 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Roma	30	16	11	3	43	47	24	+23	35.4	+7.61
2	Juventus	30	15	9	6	39	49	26	+23	38.0	+0.98
3	Inter Milan	30	12	14	4	38	40	23	+17	33.3	+4.68
4	Hellas Verona	30	11	13	6	35	37	31	+6	28.9	+6.05
5	Fiorentina	30	12	10	8	34	36	25	+11	34.7	-0.71
6	Udinese	30	6	20	4	32	25	29	-4	28.0	+4.03
7	Sampdoria	30	8	15	7	31	31	30	+1	29.7	+1.30
8	Torino	30	9	12	9	30	30	28	+2	30.4	-0.44
9	Avellino	30	8	12	10	28	29	34	-5	27.6	+0.35
10	Napoli	30	7	14	9	28	22	29	-7	29.2	-1.22
11	Pisa	30	8	11	11	27	27	27	0	30.2	-3.25
12	Genoa	30	6	15	9	27	34	38	-4	27.0	-0.01
13	Ascoli	30	9	9	12	27	32	37	-5	29.1	-2.05
14	Cagliari	30	6	14	10	26	23	33	-10	26.6	-0.61
15	Cesena	30	4	14	12	22	22	35	-13	27.6	-5.60
16	Catanzaro	30	2	9	19	13	21	56	-35	24.1	-11.11

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1839	39	38.02	+0.98	63.0%	29	31	35	38	40	45	49
Roma	1827	43	35.39	+7.61	98.0%	25	27	33	36	38	42	44
Inter Milan	1794	38	33.32	+4.68	87.0%	22	26	30	33	36	40	42
Fiorentina	1777	34	34.71	-0.71	47.0%	26	28	32	35	37	42	44
Sampdoria	1727	31	29.70	+1.30	72.0%	20	23	27	30	32	36	40
Pisa	1713	27	30.25	-3.25	21.0%	21	23	28	30	33	36	38
Napoli	1693	28	29.22	-1.22	41.0%	18	22	27	29	31	36	40
Hellas Verona	1691	35	28.95	+6.05	94.0%	21	22	26	29	32	36	44
Ascoli	1683	27	29.05	-2.05	34.0%	20	23	26	29	31	34	40
Avellino	1674	28	27.65	+0.35	58.0%	19	21	26	28	30	33	35
Torino	1671	30	30.44	-0.44	47.0%	22	23	28	31	33	38	39
Genoa	1642	27	27.01	-0.01	54.0%	18	22	24	27	29	33	38
Udinese	1641	32	27.97	+4.03	88.0%	19	21	25	28	31	35	39
Cagliari	1635	26	26.61	-0.61	49.0%	13	20	24	27	29	33	35
Cesena	1602	22	27.60	-5.60	9.0%	18	21	25	27	30	34	38
Catanzaro	1512	13	24.11	-11.11	0.0%	15	18	22	24	27	29	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ASC	AVE	CAG	CAT	CES	FIO	GEN	HV	IM	JUV	NAP	PIS	ROM	SAM	TOR	UDI
Ascoli	—	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.98	0-2-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.22	0-2-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.57	0-1-1 2.31	1-0-1 1.71	1-1-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 1.97	1-1-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.61
Avellino	1-0-1 2.44	—	0-2-0 2.65	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 1.96	1-1-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 1.65	0-2-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.38	0-1-1 1.77	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 2.39	0-2-0 2.57
Cagliari	1-0-1 2.43	0-2-0 2.55	—	2-0-0 2.78	0-2-0 2.62	0-1-1 1.90	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.30	0-0-2 2.24	0-1-1 1.67	1-0-1 2.44	0-2-0 2.25	0-0-2 2.18	1-1-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.21	0-2-0 2.58
Catanzaro	1-0-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.39	—	0-2-0 2.36	0-0-2 1.90	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.09	0-0-2 1.42	0-0-2 1.23	0-0-2 2.25	0-1-1 2.06	0-1-1 1.56	0-1-1 2.17	0-1-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.24
Cesena	0-2-0 2.37	1-0-1 2.61	0-2-0 2.62	0-2-0 2.88	—	0-1-1 2.03	0-0-2 2.76	0-1-1 2.33	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 1.85	0-1-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 1.76	0-1-1 2.43	2-0-0 2.02	1-0-1 2.43
Fiorentina	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.26	1-1-0 3.37	2-0-0 3.35	1-1-0 3.23	—	2-0-0 3.25	1-1-0 2.93	0-2-0 2.70	0-0-2 2.44	1-0-1 3.09	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.92	0-1-1 3.25
Genoa	0-2-0 2.46	0-1-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.58	1-1-0 2.80	2-0-0 2.47	0-0-2 2.01	—	0-1-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.12	1-0-1 1.62	0-2-0 2.44	1-1-0 2.27	0-1-1 1.69	0-2-0 2.31	0-2-0 2.33	0-1-1 2.56
Hellas Verona	2-0-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.87	0-1-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.81	—	0-1-1 2.23	1-1-0 1.74	1-1-0 2.74	2-0-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.07	0-2-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.55	0-2-0 2.73
Inter Milan	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 3.10	2-0-0 3.03	2-0-0 3.93	1-1-0 3.24	0-2-0 2.48	2-0-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.98	—	1-1-0 2.21	0-2-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 3.00	0-1-1 2.96	0-2-0 3.21
Juventus	1-0-1 3.60	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.66	2-0-0 4.20	1-1-0 3.44	2-0-0 2.77	1-0-1 3.72	0-1-1 3.52	0-1-1 3.03	—	1-1-0 3.24	1-1-0 3.42	2-0-0 2.75	0-1-1 3.40	1-0-1 3.30	1-1-0 3.58
Napoli	0-1-1 2.62	0-2-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.75	2-0-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.13	0-2-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.45	0-2-0 2.21	0-1-1 1.99	—	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.20	0-1-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.39	0-2-0 2.75
Pisa	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.84	0-2-0 2.95	1-1-0 3.17	1-1-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.74	1-1-0 2.38	0-1-1 1.85	1-0-1 2.66	—	0-0-2 2.09	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.59	0-2-0 2.77
Roma	1-1-0 3.25	1-1-0 3.53	2-0-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.85	1-1-0 3.51	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.62	1-1-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.82	0-0-2 2.47	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.13	—	1-0-1 3.10	1-1-0 3.26	0-2-0 3.37
Sampdoria	0-1-1 2.64	0-2-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.92	1-1-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.28	0-2-0 2.90	0-2-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.20	1-1-0 1.88	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.19	—	0-1-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.73
Torino	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.94	0-0-2 3.19	1-1-0 2.30	0-2-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.27	1-0-1 1.97	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.02	1-1-0 2.63	—	0-2-0 2.70
Udinese	1-0-1 2.60	0-2-0 2.60	0-2-0 2.61	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.81	1-1-0 2.04	1-1-0 2.65	0-2-0 2.47	0-2-0 2.08	0-1-1 1.71	0-2-0 2.51	0-2-0 2.42	0-2-0 1.92	1-0-1 2.49	0-2-0 2.50	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.58%	7.71%	5.62%	1.88%	1.04%	0.42%	36.25%
1	7.71%	17.50%	6.46%	2.92%	0.62%	—	35.21%
2	5.62%	6.46%	4.58%	1.67%	0.42%	0.21%	18.96%
3	1.88%	2.92%	1.67%	0.42%	—	—	6.88%
4	1.04%	0.62%	0.42%	—	—	—	2.08%
5+	0.42%	—	0.21%	—	—	—	0.62%
Total	36.25%	35.21%	18.96%	6.88%	2.08%	0.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.05
Mean allowed	1.05
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.153
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	33.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	26.67%	30.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.137
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
1	6.67%	26.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	46.67%
2	13.33%	—	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	26.67%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Avellino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.376
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.67%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Cagliari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.234
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	6.67%	3.33%	43.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	43.33%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	26.67%	30.00%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Catanzaro — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.70
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	0.70
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.170
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Cesena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.236
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	26.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.025
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	26.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	36.67%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Genoa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.227
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	—	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	46.67%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.217
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
1	—	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	46.67%	33.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.181
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	36.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.63
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.042
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	33.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	0.74
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.343
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	40.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	30.00%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Pisa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.313
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
1	13.33%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	53.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	0.66
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.384
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	13.33%	23.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	33.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.185
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	46.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.099
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	36.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	50.00%
1	—	26.67%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
2	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	46.67%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Udinese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.180
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Roma	43	35.4	+7.61
2	Hellas Verona	35	28.9	+6.05
3	Inter Milan	38	33.3	+4.68
4	Udinese	32	28.0	+4.03
5	Sampdoria	31	29.7	+1.30

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Catanzaro	13	24.1	-11.11
2	Cesena	22	27.6	-5.60
3	Pisa	27	30.2	-3.25
4	Ascoli	27	29.1	-2.05
5	Napoli	28	29.2	-1.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hellas Verona	5	Sep 26 – Oct 24	1 in 1,330
2	Sampdoria	3	Sep 12 – Sep 26	1 in 70
3	Juventus	4	Feb 20 – Mar 13	1 in 35
4	Genoa	2	Oct 10 – Oct 17	1 in 20
5	Cesena	2	Nov 21 – Nov 28	1 in 20

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Catanzaro	8	Mar 13 – May 15	1 in 588
2	Ascoli	3	Mar 20 – Apr 24	1 in 42
3	Pisa	3	Dec 19 – Jan 9	1 in 39
4	Cesena	4	Mar 6 – Mar 20	1 in 32
5	Torino	3	Nov 21 – Dec 12	1 in 31

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hellas Verona	17	Sep 26 – Feb 6	1 in 1,083
2	Udinese	10	Nov 28 – Feb 20	1 in 54
3	Cesena	9	Oct 24 – Jan 9	1 in 42
4	Cagliari	7	Nov 7 – Jan 9	1 in 27
5	Roma	14	Oct 31 – Feb 27	1 in 26

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Napoli	13	Oct 3 – Jan 16	1 in 107
2	Cesena	14	Dec 12 – Mar 20	1 in 82
3	Juventus	7	Dec 19 – Feb 6	1 in 65
4	Catanzaro	15	Oct 24 – Feb 27	1 in 63
5	Sampdoria	9	Nov 21 – Jan 30	1 in 20

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Roma	22.00%	21.00%	21.00%	12.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Juventus	47.00%	25.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inter Milan	10.00%	13.00%	16.00%	14.00%	14.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	—
Hellas Verona	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	13.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Fiorentina	16.00%	18.00%	17.00%	14.00%	13.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	—	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Udinese	—	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%
Sampdoria	—	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	13.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	3.00%	1.00%	5.00%
Torino	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	11.00%	11.00%	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	6.00%	—
Avellino	—	—	2.00%	—	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Napoli	—	3.00%	2.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	13.00%	16.00%	13.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Pisa	—	2.00%	7.00%	13.00%	9.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Genoa	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%
Ascoli	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	6.00%	10.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Cagliari	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	12.00%	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	16.00%	14.00%
Cesena	—	3.00%	—	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	12.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%
Catanzaro	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	16.00%	9.00%	19.00%	34.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Fiorentina	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Roma	99.0%	1.0%
Inter Milan	96.0%	4.0%
Sampdoria	91.0%	9.0%
Pisa	90.0%	10.0%
Torino	87.0%	13.0%
Napoli	86.0%	14.0%
Ascoli	84.0%	16.0%
Hellas Verona	83.0%	17.0%
Avellino	77.0%	23.0%
Udinese	71.0%	29.0%
Cesena	69.0%	31.0%
Genoa	69.0%	31.0%
Cagliari	60.0%	40.0%
Catanzaro	38.0%	62.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1982-09-12	Genoa	D 0-0	1691	1657	50.6%	38.0%	11.3%	-2.8	1
1982-09-12	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1657	1691	11.3%	38.0%	50.6%	+2.8	1
1982-09-12	Roma	L 1-3	1684	1735	41.1%	41.8%	17.2%	-20.9	0
1982-09-12	@ Cagliari	W 3-1	1735	1684	17.2%	41.8%	41.1%	+20.9	3
1982-09-12	Pisa	D 0-0	1660	1710	41.3%	41.7%	17.0%	-1.6	1
1982-09-12	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1710	1660	17.0%	41.7%	41.3%	+1.6	1
1982-09-12	Catanzaro	W 4-0	1759	1663	57.4%	33.6%	9.0%	+14.2	3
1982-09-12	@ Fiorentina	L 0-4	1663	1759	9.0%	33.6%	57.4%	-14.2	0
1982-09-12	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1636	1716	37.7%	42.3%	20.1%	-11.3	0
1982-09-12	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1716	1636	20.1%	42.3%	37.7%	+11.3	3
1982-09-12	Udinese	D 0-0	1728	1647	55.6%	34.8%	9.5%	-3.4	1
1982-09-12	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1647	1728	9.5%	34.8%	55.6%	+3.4	1
1982-09-12	Juventus	W 1-0	1683	1817	30.9%	42.0%	27.1%	+9.7	3
1982-09-12	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1817	1683	27.1%	42.0%	30.9%	-9.7	0
1982-09-12	Avellino	W 4-1	1670	1664	47.5%	39.7%	12.9%	+13.7	3
1982-09-12	@ Torino	L 1-4	1664	1670	12.9%	39.7%	47.5%	-13.7	0
1982-09-19	Ascoli	W 2-0	1651	1688	42.7%	41.4%	15.9%	+13.2	3
1982-09-19	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1688	1651	15.9%	41.4%	42.7%	-13.2	1
1982-09-19	Torino	D 0-0	1648	1683	43.0%	41.3%	15.7%	-1.8	1
1982-09-19	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1683	1648	15.7%	41.3%	43.0%	+1.8	4
1982-09-19	Fiorentina	L 0-3	1660	1774	33.5%	42.3%	24.2%	-30.3	1
1982-09-19	@ Genoa	W 3-0	1774	1660	24.2%	42.3%	33.5%	+30.3	6
1982-09-19	Sampdoria	L 1-2	1728	1693	50.7%	38.0%	11.3%	-14.1	3
1982-09-19	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1693	1728	11.3%	38.0%	50.7%	+14.1	6
1982-09-19	Cesena	W 2-0	1808	1658	63.1%	29.1%	7.8%	+5.8	3
1982-09-19	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1658	1808	7.8%	29.1%	63.1%	-5.8	1
1982-09-19	Napoli	W 2-0	1711	1725	45.4%	40.5%	14.1%	+12.0	4
1982-09-19	@ Pisa	L 0-2	1725	1711	14.1%	40.5%	45.4%	-12.0	1
1982-09-19	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1756	1625	61.2%	30.7%	8.2%	+3.4	6
1982-09-19	@ Roma	L 0-1	1625	1756	8.2%	30.7%	61.2%	-3.4	0
1982-09-19	Cagliari	D 1-1	1650	1663	45.5%	40.5%	14.0%	-1.9	2
1982-09-19	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1663	1650	14.0%	40.5%	45.5%	+1.9	1
1982-09-26	Pisa	D 2-2	1675	1723	41.4%	41.7%	16.8%	-1.1	2
1982-09-26	@ Ascoli	D 2-2	1723	1675	16.8%	41.7%	41.4%	+1.1	5
1982-09-26	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1665	1714	41.4%	41.7%	16.9%	-24.3	1
1982-09-26	@ Cagliari	W 2-0	1714	1665	16.9%	41.7%	41.4%	+24.3	6
1982-09-26	Avellino	W 2-0	1653	1664	45.6%	40.4%	13.9%	+11.9	4
1982-09-26	@ Cesena	L 0-2	1664	1653	13.9%	40.4%	45.6%	-11.9	3
1982-09-26	Udinese	L 1-2	1804	1648	63.8%	28.6%	7.6%	-16.2	6
1982-09-26	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1648	1804	7.6%	28.6%	63.8%	+16.2	5
1982-09-26	Juventus	W 2-1	1621	1814	23.9%	40.2%	36.0%	+10.7	3
1982-09-26	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1814	1621	36.0%	40.2%	23.9%	-10.7	3
1982-09-26	Catanzaro	W 2-0	1713	1647	54.0%	35.9%	10.0%	+8.6	4
1982-09-26	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1647	1713	10.0%	35.9%	54.0%	-8.6	1
1982-09-26	Roma	W 1-0	1707	1760	41.0%	41.8%	17.2%	+7.4	9
1982-09-26	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1760	1707	17.2%	41.8%	41.0%	-7.4	6
1982-09-26	Genoa	D 1-1	1685	1629	52.9%	36.6%	10.4%	-2.7	5
1982-09-26	@ Torino	D 1-1	1629	1685	10.4%	36.6%	52.9%	+2.8	2
1982-10-03	Cagliari	D 0-0	1652	1640	48.1%	39.4%	12.5%	-2.5	4
1982-10-03	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1640	1652	12.5%	39.4%	48.1%	+2.5	2
1982-10-03	Cesena	D 1-1	1638	1664	44.0%	41.0%	15.0%	-1.8	2
1982-10-03	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1664	1638	15.0%	41.0%	44.0%	+1.8	5
1982-10-03	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1632	1632	46.9%	39.9%	13.2%	-14.1	2
1982-10-03	@ Genoa	W 1-0	1632	1632	13.2%	39.9%	46.9%	+14.1	6
1982-10-03	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1738	1788	41.3%	41.7%	17.0%	-1.6	7
1982-10-03	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1788	1738	17.0%	41.7%	41.3%	+1.6	7
1982-10-03	Napoli	W 3-0	1803	1721	55.7%	34.8%	9.5%	+11.6	6
1982-10-03	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1721	1803	9.5%	34.8%	55.7%	-11.6	4
1982-10-03	Sampdoria	W 3-2	1724	1715	48.0%	39.4%	12.6%	+5.2	8
1982-10-03	@ Pisa	L 2-3	1715	1724	12.6%	39.4%	48.0%	-5.2	9
1982-10-03	Ascoli	W 2-1	1752	1674	55.4%	35.0%	9.6%	+4.1	9
1982-10-03	@ Roma	L 1-2	1674	1752	9.6%	35.0%	55.4%	-4.1	2
1982-10-03	Torino	D 2-2	1665	1682	44.9%	40.7%	14.4%	-1.4	6
1982-10-03	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1682	1665	14.4%	40.7%	44.9%	+1.4	6
1982-10-10	Udinese	W 3-0	1670	1663	47.6%	39.6%	12.8%	+16.1	5
1982-10-10	@ Ascoli	L 0-3	1663	1670	12.8%	39.6%	47.6%	-16.1	6
1982-10-10	Pisa	D 1-1	1643	1730	36.9%	42.3%	20.8%	-0.9	3
1982-10-10	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1730	1643	20.8%	42.3%	36.9%	+0.9	9
1982-10-10	Genoa	L 0-1	1666	1618	52.1%	37.1%	10.7%	-15.3	5
1982-10-10	@ Cesena	W 1-0	1618	1666	10.7%	37.1%	52.1%	+15.2	5
1982-10-10	Juventus	L 0-1	1789	1815	44.1%	41.0%	14.9%	-13.5	7
1982-10-10	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1815	1789	14.9%	41.0%	44.1%	+13.5	9
1982-10-10	Avellino	W 3-0	1646	1649	46.5%	40.1%	13.4%	+16.8	9
1982-10-10	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1649	1646	13.4%	40.1%	46.5%	-16.8	4
1982-10-10	Roma	L 1-3	1710	1756	41.6%	41.7%	16.7%	-21.1	4
1982-10-10	@ Napoli	W 3-1	1756	1710	16.7%	41.7%	41.6%	+21.1	12
1982-10-10	Catanzaro	W 4-2	1709	1636	54.8%	35.4%	9.8%	+6.4	12
1982-10-10	@ Sampdoria	L 2-4	1636	1709	9.8%	35.4%	54.8%	-6.5	2
1982-10-10	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1684	1736	41.0%	41.8%	17.2%	-1.6	7
1982-10-10	@ Torino	D 0-0	1736	1684	17.2%	41.8%	41.0%	+1.5	8
1982-10-17	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1633	1776	29.7%	41.8%	28.4%	+18.8	7
1982-10-17	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1776	1633	28.4%	41.8%	29.7%	-18.8	7
1982-10-17	Ascoli	W 1-0	1630	1686	40.6%	41.9%	17.6%	+7.5	5
1982-10-17	@ Catanzaro	L 0-1	1686	1630	17.6%	41.9%	40.6%	-7.5	5
1982-10-17	Cagliari	W 3-0	1633	1642	45.9%	40.3%	13.8%	+17.1	8
1982-10-17	@ Genoa	L 0-3	1642	1633	13.8%	40.3%	45.9%	-17.1	3
1982-10-17	Napoli	D 2-2	1738	1688	52.3%	37.1%	10.7%	-2.0	9
1982-10-17	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1688	1738	10.7%	37.1%	52.3%	+2.0	5
1982-10-17	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1731	1663	54.2%	35.8%	10.0%	-15.7	9
1982-10-17	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1663	1731	10.0%	35.8%	54.2%	+15.6	12
1982-10-17	Cesena	W 1-0	1778	1651	60.6%	31.1%	8.3%	+3.5	15
1982-10-17	@ Roma	L 0-1	1651	1778	8.3%	31.1%	60.6%	-3.5	5
1982-10-17	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1682	1716	43.1%	41.3%	15.6%	+18.9	10
1982-10-17	@ Torino	L 0-3	1716	1682	15.6%	41.3%	43.1%	-18.9	12
1982-10-17	Juventus	D 0-0	1647	1828	25.1%	40.6%	34.3%	+0.6	7
1982-10-17	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1828	1647	34.3%	40.6%	25.1%	-0.5	10
1982-10-24	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1678	1697	44.8%	40.7%	14.4%	+12.3	8
1982-10-24	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1697	1678	14.4%	40.7%	44.8%	-12.3	12
1982-10-24	Torino	D 0-0	1625	1701	38.2%	42.2%	19.6%	-1.2	4
1982-10-24	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1701	1625	19.6%	42.2%	38.2%	+1.2	11
1982-10-24	Fiorentina	D 3-3	1648	1757	34.1%	42.3%	23.6%	-0.3	6
1982-10-24	@ Cesena	D 3-3	1757	1648	23.6%	42.3%	34.1%	+0.4	8
1982-10-24	Udinese	L 2-3	1650	1648	47.2%	39.8%	13.0%	-12.7	8
1982-10-24	@ Genoa	W 3-2	1648	1650	13.0%	39.8%	47.2%	+12.7	10
1982-10-24	Catanzaro	W 3-1	1679	1637	51.4%	37.6%	11.0%	+8.3	15
1982-10-24	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1637	1679	11.0%	37.6%	51.4%	-8.3	5
1982-10-24	Roma	W 2-1	1828	1781	51.9%	37.3%	10.8%	+4.7	13
1982-10-24	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1781	1828	10.8%	37.3%	51.9%	-4.7	15
1982-10-24	Avellino	D 1-1	1690	1651	51.1%	37.8%	11.1%	-2.6	6
1982-10-24	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1651	1690	11.1%	37.8%	51.1%	+2.6	8
1982-10-24	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1715	1736	44.6%	40.8%	14.6%	-1.8	10
1982-10-24	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1736	1715	14.6%	40.8%	44.6%	+1.8	10
1982-10-31	Juventus	D 1-1	1654	1832	25.4%	40.7%	33.9%	+0.5	9
1982-10-31	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1832	1654	33.9%	40.7%	25.4%	-0.5	14
1982-10-31	Genoa	D 2-2	1629	1638	45.9%	40.3%	13.7%	-1.5	6
1982-10-31	@ Catanzaro	D 2-2	1638	1629	13.7%	40.3%	45.9%	+1.5	9
1982-10-31	Cagliari	W 3-1	1757	1624	61.4%	30.5%	8.1%	+5.4	11
1982-10-31	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1624	1757	8.1%	30.5%	61.4%	-5.4	4
1982-10-31	Ascoli	W 2-0	1738	1691	52.0%	37.2%	10.8%	+9.3	13
1982-10-31	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1691	1738	10.8%	37.2%	52.0%	-9.4	8
1982-10-31	Pisa	W 3-1	1776	1713	53.7%	36.1%	10.1%	+7.5	18
1982-10-31	@ Roma	L 1-3	1713	1776	10.1%	36.1%	53.7%	-7.5	10
1982-10-31	Cesena	D 0-0	1685	1647	51.0%	37.8%	11.2%	-2.8	13
1982-10-31	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1647	1685	11.2%	37.8%	51.0%	+2.8	7
1982-10-31	Napoli	D 1-1	1702	1688	48.5%	39.2%	12.3%	-2.3	12
1982-10-31	@ Torino	D 1-1	1688	1702	12.3%	39.2%	48.5%	+2.3	7
1982-10-31	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1660	1687	43.9%	41.0%	15.0%	-1.9	11
1982-10-31	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1687	1660	15.0%	41.0%	43.9%	+2.0	16
1982-11-07	Hellas Verona	L 2-3	1681	1689	46.1%	40.3%	13.7%	-12.5	8
1982-11-07	@ Ascoli	W 3-2	1689	1681	13.7%	40.3%	46.1%	+12.5	19
1982-11-07	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1618	1627	45.9%	40.4%	13.8%	+6.3	7
1982-11-07	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1627	1618	13.8%	40.4%	45.9%	-6.3	6
1982-11-07	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1650	1747	35.6%	42.4%	22.0%	-0.6	8
1982-11-07	@ Cesena	D 2-2	1747	1650	22.0%	42.4%	35.6%	+0.6	14
1982-11-07	Torino	D 0-0	1763	1700	53.7%	36.1%	10.2%	-3.1	12
1982-11-07	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1700	1763	10.2%	36.1%	53.7%	+3.1	13
1982-11-07	Avellino	D 1-1	1639	1654	45.2%	40.6%	14.2%	-1.9	10
1982-11-07	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1654	1639	14.2%	40.6%	45.2%	+1.9	10
1982-11-07	Pisa	W 3-2	1832	1706	60.6%	31.2%	8.3%	+3.1	17
1982-11-07	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1706	1832	8.3%	31.2%	60.6%	-3.1	10
1982-11-07	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1690	1682	47.8%	39.5%	12.7%	-14.3	7
1982-11-07	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1682	1690	12.7%	39.5%	47.8%	+14.3	16
1982-11-07	Roma	D 1-1	1658	1784	32.0%	42.2%	25.8%	-0.3	12
1982-11-07	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1784	1658	25.8%	42.2%	32.0%	+0.3	19
1982-11-21	Udinese	W 1-0	1649	1658	45.9%	40.3%	13.7%	+6.3	11
1982-11-21	@ Cesena	L 0-1	1658	1649	13.7%	40.3%	45.9%	-6.2	12
1982-11-21	Cagliari	D 2-2	1701	1624	55.2%	35.1%	9.7%	-2.2	20
1982-11-21	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1624	1701	9.7%	35.1%	55.2%	+2.2	8
1982-11-21	Genoa	W 2-1	1748	1637	58.9%	32.5%	8.7%	+3.5	17
1982-11-21	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1637	1748	8.7%	32.5%	58.9%	-3.5	10
1982-11-21	Torino	W 1-0	1835	1703	61.2%	30.7%	8.2%	+3.4	20
1982-11-21	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1703	1835	8.2%	30.7%	61.2%	-3.4	13
1982-11-21	Ascoli	D 0-0	1676	1669	47.6%	39.6%	12.8%	-2.4	8
1982-11-21	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1669	1676	12.8%	39.6%	47.6%	+2.4	9
1982-11-21	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1702	1621	55.7%	34.8%	9.5%	-3.4	11
1982-11-21	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1621	1702	9.5%	34.8%	55.7%	+3.4	7
1982-11-21	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1784	1760	49.5%	38.6%	11.8%	+8.9	22
1982-11-21	@ Roma	L 1-3	1760	1784	11.8%	38.6%	49.5%	-8.9	12
1982-11-21	Avellino	D 0-0	1696	1656	51.2%	37.7%	11.1%	-2.9	17
1982-11-21	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1656	1696	11.1%	37.7%	51.2%	+2.9	11
1982-11-28	Juventus	W 2-0	1671	1838	26.7%	41.2%	32.1%	+20.1	12
1982-11-28	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1838	1671	32.1%	41.2%	26.7%	-20.1	20
1982-11-28	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1659	1751	36.2%	42.3%	21.4%	-11.0	11
1982-11-28	@ Avellino	W 2-1	1751	1659	21.4%	42.3%	36.2%	+11.0	20
1982-11-28	Napoli	W 1-0	1627	1673	41.6%	41.7%	16.7%	+7.2	11
1982-11-28	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1673	1627	16.7%	41.7%	41.6%	-7.2	8
1982-11-28	Roma	D 0-0	1625	1793	26.5%	41.1%	32.4%	+0.4	8
1982-11-28	@ Catanzaro	D 0-0	1793	1625	32.4%	41.1%	26.5%	-0.3	23
1982-11-28	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1751	1699	52.5%	36.9%	10.6%	-2.7	13
1982-11-28	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1699	1751	10.6%	36.9%	52.5%	+2.7	21
1982-11-28	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1634	1693	40.1%	42.0%	17.9%	-1.3	11
1982-11-28	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1693	1634	17.9%	42.0%	40.1%	+1.3	18
1982-11-28	Cesena	L 0-1	1700	1656	51.7%	37.4%	10.9%	-15.2	13
1982-11-28	@ Torino	W 1-0	1656	1700	10.9%	37.4%	51.7%	+15.1	14
1982-11-28	Pisa	D 1-1	1652	1699	41.6%	41.7%	16.7%	-1.5	13
1982-11-28	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1699	1652	16.7%	41.7%	41.6%	+1.5	12
1982-12-12	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1691	1748	40.5%	41.9%	17.6%	+7.5	15
1982-12-12	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1748	1691	17.6%	41.9%	40.5%	-7.5	13
1982-12-12	Cagliari	D 0-0	1671	1634	50.9%	37.9%	11.2%	-2.8	15
1982-12-12	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1634	1671	11.2%	37.9%	50.9%	+2.8	12
1982-12-12	Torino	W 1-0	1702	1685	48.8%	39.0%	12.2%	+5.6	24
1982-12-12	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1685	1702	12.2%	39.0%	48.8%	-5.6	13
1982-12-12	Catanzaro	W 3-1	1818	1625	67.9%	25.2%	6.9%	+4.1	23
1982-12-12	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1625	1818	6.9%	25.2%	67.9%	-4.1	8
1982-12-12	Genoa	D 1-1	1666	1632	50.6%	38.1%	11.4%	-2.5	9
1982-12-12	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1632	1666	11.4%	38.1%	50.6%	+2.5	12
1982-12-12	Avellino	W 2-0	1701	1648	52.6%	36.9%	10.5%	+9.1	15
1982-12-12	@ Pisa	L 0-2	1648	1701	10.5%	36.9%	52.6%	-9.1	11
1982-12-12	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1793	1762	50.2%	38.3%	11.5%	+5.0	26
1982-12-12	@ Roma	L 1-2	1762	1793	11.5%	38.3%	50.2%	-5.0	20
1982-12-12	Udinese	L 1-3	1695	1650	51.7%	37.4%	10.9%	-24.8	18
1982-12-12	@ Sampdoria	W 3-1	1650	1695	10.9%	37.4%	51.7%	+24.8	16
1982-12-19	Roma	D 1-1	1639	1798	27.7%	41.4%	30.9%	+0.2	12
1982-12-19	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1798	1639	30.9%	41.4%	27.7%	-0.2	27
1982-12-19	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1637	1670	43.2%	41.3%	15.5%	+6.9	15
1982-12-19	@ Cagliari	L 0-1	1670	1637	15.5%	41.3%	43.2%	-6.9	18
1982-12-19	Udinese	D 1-1	1621	1675	40.8%	41.9%	17.4%	-1.4	9
1982-12-19	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1675	1621	17.4%	41.9%	40.8%	+1.4	17
1982-12-19	Napoli	W 1-0	1741	1664	55.2%	35.1%	9.7%	+4.3	16
1982-12-19	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1664	1741	9.7%	35.1%	55.2%	-4.3	9
1982-12-19	Pisa	W 1-0	1635	1710	38.3%	42.2%	19.5%	+8.0	15
1982-12-19	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1710	1635	19.5%	42.2%	38.3%	-8.0	15
1982-12-19	Cesena	D 1-1	1707	1668	51.2%	37.7%	11.1%	-2.6	25
1982-12-19	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1668	1707	11.1%	37.7%	51.2%	+2.6	16
1982-12-19	Juventus	D 0-0	1757	1822	39.5%	42.1%	18.4%	-1.4	21
1982-12-19	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1822	1757	18.4%	42.1%	39.5%	+1.4	24
1982-12-19	Ascoli	W 2-0	1679	1699	44.7%	40.8%	14.5%	+12.3	16
1982-12-19	@ Torino	L 0-2	1699	1679	14.5%	40.8%	44.7%	-12.3	15
1983-01-02	Cesena	D 1-1	1687	1671	48.6%	39.1%	12.3%	-2.3	16
1983-01-02	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1671	1687	12.3%	39.1%	48.6%	+2.3	17
1983-01-02	Avellino	D 1-1	1620	1639	44.7%	40.8%	14.5%	-1.8	10
1983-01-02	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1639	1620	14.5%	40.8%	44.7%	+1.8	13
1983-01-02	Cagliari	D 1-1	1824	1644	66.4%	26.4%	7.1%	-3.8	25
1983-01-02	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1644	1824	7.1%	26.4%	66.4%	+3.8	16
1983-01-02	Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1659	1705	41.8%	41.6%	16.6%	-12.2	9
1983-01-02	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1705	1659	16.6%	41.6%	41.8%	+12.2	28
1983-01-02	Torino	L 0-1	1702	1691	48.0%	39.4%	12.6%	-14.4	15
1983-01-02	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1691	1702	12.6%	39.4%	48.0%	+14.4	19
1983-01-02	Genoa	W 2-0	1798	1643	63.7%	28.7%	7.6%	+5.7	30
1983-01-02	@ Roma	L 0-2	1643	1798	7.6%	28.7%	63.7%	-5.7	15
1983-01-02	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1663	1745	37.5%	42.3%	20.2%	-1.1	19
1983-01-02	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1745	1663	20.2%	42.3%	37.5%	+1.1	17
1983-01-02	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1676	1756	37.8%	42.3%	20.0%	-1.1	18
1983-01-02	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1756	1676	20.0%	42.3%	37.8%	+1.1	22
1983-01-09	Udinese	D 1-1	1641	1675	43.1%	41.3%	15.6%	-1.6	14
1983-01-09	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1675	1641	15.6%	41.3%	43.1%	+1.6	19
1983-01-09	Ascoli	W 3-1	1647	1684	42.8%	41.4%	15.8%	+11.4	19
1983-01-09	@ Cagliari	L 1-3	1684	1647	15.8%	41.4%	42.8%	-11.4	16
1983-01-09	Napoli	D 0-0	1673	1647	49.7%	38.6%	11.7%	-2.7	18
1983-01-09	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1647	1673	11.7%	38.6%	49.7%	+2.7	10
1983-01-09	Pisa	W 2-1	1746	1687	53.2%	36.4%	10.3%	+4.5	20
1983-01-09	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1687	1746	10.3%	36.4%	53.2%	-4.5	15
1983-01-09	Juventus	W 1-0	1637	1820	24.9%	40.6%	34.5%	+11.1	18
1983-01-09	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1820	1637	34.5%	40.6%	24.9%	-11.1	25
1983-01-09	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1717	1662	52.9%	36.7%	10.4%	-2.7	29
1983-01-09	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1662	1717	10.4%	36.7%	52.9%	+2.7	20
1983-01-09	Catanzaro	W 5-0	1757	1618	62.0%	30.0%	8.0%	+14.3	25
1983-01-09	@ Inter Milan	L 0-5	1618	1757	8.0%	30.0%	62.0%	-14.3	10
1983-01-09	Roma	D 1-1	1706	1803	35.6%	42.4%	22.1%	-0.8	20
1983-01-09	@ Torino	D 1-1	1803	1706	22.1%	42.4%	35.6%	+0.8	31
1983-01-16	Torino	W 2-0	1639	1705	39.4%	42.1%	18.5%	+14.6	17
1983-01-16	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1705	1639	18.5%	42.1%	39.4%	-14.6	20
1983-01-16	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1603	1750	29.2%	41.8%	29.0%	-10.1	10
1983-01-16	@ Catanzaro	W 1-0	1750	1603	29.0%	41.8%	29.2%	+10.1	23
1983-01-16	Ascoli	D 0-0	1648	1673	44.2%	41.0%	14.9%	-2.0	19
1983-01-16	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1673	1648	14.9%	41.0%	44.2%	+2.0	17
1983-01-16	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1771	1714	53.0%	36.6%	10.4%	-2.8	26
1983-01-16	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1714	1771	10.4%	36.6%	53.0%	+2.8	30
1983-01-16	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1809	1665	62.5%	29.6%	7.9%	-3.6	26
1983-01-16	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1665	1809	7.9%	29.6%	62.5%	+3.6	21
1983-01-16	Cesena	W 1-0	1683	1670	48.3%	39.3%	12.4%	+5.7	18
1983-01-16	@ Pisa	L 0-1	1670	1683	12.4%	39.3%	48.3%	-5.7	18
1983-01-16	Cagliari	W 1-0	1804	1659	62.6%	29.5%	7.8%	+3.2	34
1983-01-16	@ Roma	L 0-1	1659	1804	7.8%	29.5%	62.6%	-3.1	19
1983-01-16	Napoli	D 0-0	1677	1650	49.9%	38.5%	11.7%	-2.7	20
1983-01-16	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1650	1677	11.7%	38.5%	49.9%	+2.7	11
1983-01-23	Avellino	W 2-1	1675	1654	49.2%	38.8%	12.0%	+5.2	20
1983-01-23	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1654	1675	12.0%	38.8%	49.2%	-5.2	17
1983-01-23	Udinese	D 0-0	1656	1674	44.8%	40.7%	14.4%	-2.1	20
1983-01-23	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1674	1656	14.4%	40.7%	44.8%	+2.1	21
1983-01-23	Juventus	D 2-2	1664	1805	30.1%	41.9%	28.0%	-0.1	19
1983-01-23	@ Cesena	D 2-2	1805	1664	28.0%	41.9%	30.1%	+0.1	27
1983-01-23	Genoa	W 2-1	1761	1646	59.3%	32.2%	8.6%	+3.5	26
1983-01-23	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1646	1761	8.6%	32.2%	59.3%	-3.5	19
1983-01-23	Roma	D 1-1	1717	1807	36.5%	42.3%	21.2%	-0.9	31
1983-01-23	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1807	1717	21.2%	42.3%	36.5%	+0.9	35
1983-01-23	Pisa	W 2-1	1652	1689	42.9%	41.4%	15.8%	+6.6	14
1983-01-23	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1689	1652	15.8%	41.4%	42.9%	-6.6	18
1983-01-23	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1668	1769	35.2%	42.4%	22.4%	-0.8	22
1983-01-23	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1769	1668	22.4%	42.4%	35.2%	+0.8	27
1983-01-23	Catanzaro	W 1-0	1690	1593	57.4%	33.6%	9.0%	+4.0	23
1983-01-23	@ Torino	L 0-1	1593	1690	9.0%	33.6%	57.4%	-4.0	10
1983-01-30	Cesena	W 1-0	1649	1664	45.2%	40.6%	14.2%	+6.4	20
1983-01-30	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1664	1649	14.2%	40.6%	45.2%	-6.4	19
1983-01-30	Napoli	L 1-2	1589	1659	39.0%	42.1%	18.9%	-11.6	10
1983-01-30	@ Catanzaro	W 2-1	1659	1589	18.9%	42.1%	39.0%	+11.6	17
1983-01-30	Torino	D 1-1	1643	1694	41.1%	41.8%	17.1%	-1.4	20
1983-01-30	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1694	1643	17.1%	41.8%	41.1%	+1.4	24
1983-01-30	Cagliari	W 2-0	1769	1654	59.4%	32.0%	8.5%	+6.9	30
1983-01-30	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1654	1769	8.5%	32.0%	59.4%	-6.8	20
1983-01-30	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1805	1716	56.5%	34.2%	9.3%	-3.4	28
1983-01-30	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1716	1805	9.3%	34.2%	56.5%	+3.5	32
1983-01-30	Ascoli	W 2-1	1682	1680	47.1%	39.8%	13.1%	+5.7	21
1983-01-30	@ Pisa	L 1-2	1680	1682	13.1%	39.8%	47.1%	-5.7	20
1983-01-30	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1808	1667	62.1%	29.9%	8.0%	+3.2	38
1983-01-30	@ Roma	L 0-1	1667	1808	8.0%	29.9%	62.1%	-3.2	22
1983-01-30	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1676	1764	36.8%	42.3%	20.9%	-1.0	22
1983-01-30	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1764	1676	20.9%	42.3%	36.8%	+1.0	27
1983-02-06	Roma	D 1-1	1674	1811	30.6%	42.0%	27.5%	-0.2	21
1983-02-06	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1811	1674	27.5%	42.0%	30.6%	+0.2	39
1983-02-06	Avellino	D 1-1	1647	1655	46.0%	40.3%	13.7%	-2.0	21
1983-02-06	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1655	1647	13.7%	40.3%	46.0%	+2.0	21
1983-02-06	Catanzaro	D 0-0	1658	1578	55.6%	34.9%	9.6%	-3.4	20
1983-02-06	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1578	1658	9.6%	34.9%	55.6%	+3.3	11
1983-02-06	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1765	1776	45.7%	40.4%	13.9%	-2.2	28
1983-02-06	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1776	1765	13.9%	40.4%	45.7%	+2.2	31
1983-02-06	Genoa	D 2-2	1720	1641	55.4%	35.0%	9.6%	-2.2	33
1983-02-06	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1641	1720	9.6%	35.0%	55.4%	+2.2	21
1983-02-06	Juventus	D 0-0	1671	1802	31.3%	42.1%	26.6%	-0.3	18
1983-02-06	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1802	1671	26.6%	42.1%	31.3%	+0.3	29
1983-02-06	Pisa	W 1-0	1664	1688	44.3%	40.9%	14.8%	+6.6	25
1983-02-06	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1688	1664	14.8%	40.9%	44.3%	-6.6	21
1983-02-06	Udinese	D 0-0	1696	1675	49.1%	38.9%	12.0%	-2.6	25
1983-02-06	@ Torino	D 0-0	1675	1696	12.0%	38.9%	49.1%	+2.6	23
1983-02-20	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1657	1718	40.1%	42.0%	18.0%	+20.8	24
1983-02-20	@ Avellino	L 0-3	1718	1657	18.0%	42.0%	40.1%	-20.8	33
1983-02-20	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1581	1671	36.5%	42.3%	21.1%	-0.9	12
1983-02-20	@ Catanzaro	D 1-1	1671	1581	21.1%	42.3%	36.5%	+0.9	26
1983-02-20	Cesena	W 2-1	1644	1655	45.7%	40.4%	13.9%	+5.9	24
1983-02-20	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1655	1644	13.9%	40.4%	45.7%	-6.0	20
1983-02-20	Torino	L 1-3	1778	1693	56.1%	34.5%	9.4%	-26.1	31
1983-02-20	@ Inter Milan	W 3-1	1693	1778	9.4%	34.5%	56.1%	+26.1	28
1983-02-20	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1802	1763	51.1%	37.8%	11.1%	+14.1	32
1983-02-20	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1763	1802	11.1%	37.8%	51.1%	-14.1	28
1983-02-20	Cagliari	D 0-0	1681	1645	50.8%	37.9%	11.2%	-2.8	22
1983-02-20	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1645	1681	11.2%	37.9%	50.8%	+2.8	22
1983-02-20	Napoli	W 5-2	1811	1670	62.2%	29.9%	7.9%	+6.4	42
1983-02-20	@ Roma	L 2-5	1670	1811	7.9%	29.9%	62.2%	-6.4	18
1983-02-20	Ascoli	W 2-1	1678	1674	47.3%	39.7%	13.0%	+5.6	26
1983-02-20	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1674	1678	13.0%	39.7%	47.3%	-5.6	21
1983-02-27	Catanzaro	W 3-2	1669	1580	56.5%	34.2%	9.3%	+3.7	24
1983-02-27	@ Ascoli	L 2-3	1580	1669	9.3%	34.2%	56.5%	-3.7	12
1983-02-27	Genoa	D 1-1	1648	1650	46.7%	40.0%	13.3%	-2.1	23
1983-02-27	@ Cagliari	D 1-1	1650	1648	13.3%	40.0%	46.7%	+2.1	25
1983-02-27	Roma	D 1-1	1649	1818	26.5%	41.1%	32.5%	+0.3	21
1983-02-27	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1818	1649	32.5%	41.1%	26.5%	-0.3	43
1983-02-27	Avellino	W 3-0	1749	1678	54.5%	35.6%	9.9%	+12.2	31
1983-02-27	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1678	1749	9.9%	35.6%	54.5%	-12.2	24
1983-02-27	Pisa	W 2-1	1697	1678	48.9%	39.0%	12.1%	+5.3	36
1983-02-27	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1678	1697	12.1%	39.0%	48.9%	-5.3	22
1983-02-27	Udinese	W 4-0	1816	1684	61.2%	30.6%	8.1%	+12.0	35
1983-02-27	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1684	1816	8.1%	30.6%	61.2%	-12.0	26
1983-02-27	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1664	1752	36.7%	42.3%	21.0%	-0.9	19
1983-02-27	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1752	1664	21.0%	42.3%	36.7%	+0.9	32
1983-02-27	Torino	D 0-0	1672	1719	41.5%	41.7%	16.8%	-1.6	27
1983-02-27	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1719	1672	16.8%	41.7%	41.5%	+1.6	29
1983-03-06	Napoli	D 0-0	1666	1663	47.2%	39.8%	13.0%	-2.4	25
1983-03-06	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1663	1666	13.0%	39.8%	47.2%	+2.4	20
1983-03-06	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1576	1702	32.0%	42.2%	25.8%	+8.9	15
1983-03-06	@ Catanzaro	L 1-2	1702	1576	25.8%	42.2%	32.0%	-8.9	36
1983-03-06	Cesena	W 4-0	1761	1649	59.0%	32.4%	8.6%	+13.2	34
1983-03-06	@ Fiorentina	L 0-4	1649	1761	8.6%	32.4%	59.0%	-13.2	21
1983-03-06	Pisa	L 0-1	1753	1673	55.6%	34.9%	9.6%	-15.9	32
1983-03-06	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1673	1753	9.6%	34.9%	55.6%	+15.9	25
1983-03-06	Juventus	L 1-2	1818	1828	45.7%	40.4%	13.9%	-13.1	43
1983-03-06	@ Roma	W 2-1	1828	1818	13.9%	40.4%	45.7%	+13.1	38
1983-03-06	Ascoli	D 1-1	1670	1672	46.6%	40.0%	13.3%	-2.1	28
1983-03-06	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1672	1670	13.3%	40.0%	46.6%	+2.1	25
1983-03-06	Cagliari	W 3-2	1721	1646	55.0%	35.2%	9.7%	+3.9	32
1983-03-06	@ Torino	L 2-3	1646	1721	9.7%	35.2%	55.0%	-3.9	23
1983-03-06	Genoa	D 1-1	1672	1652	49.1%	38.9%	12.0%	-2.3	27
1983-03-06	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1652	1672	12.0%	38.9%	49.1%	+2.3	26
1983-03-13	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1674	1737	39.8%	42.0%	18.2%	-1.4	26
1983-03-13	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1737	1674	18.2%	42.0%	39.8%	+1.4	33
1983-03-13	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1642	1774	31.1%	42.0%	26.8%	-0.3	24
1983-03-13	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1774	1642	26.8%	42.0%	31.1%	+0.2	35
1983-03-13	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1636	1668	43.3%	41.2%	15.5%	-25.1	21
1983-03-13	@ Cesena	W 2-0	1668	1636	15.5%	41.2%	43.3%	+25.1	31
1983-03-13	Catanzaro	W 4-1	1654	1585	54.3%	35.7%	9.9%	+10.4	29
1983-03-13	@ Genoa	L 1-4	1585	1654	9.9%	35.7%	54.3%	-10.4	15
1983-03-13	Udinese	D 0-0	1693	1669	49.5%	38.7%	11.8%	-2.7	37
1983-03-13	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1669	1693	11.8%	38.7%	49.5%	+2.7	28
1983-03-13	Avellino	W 4-1	1841	1663	66.2%	26.6%	7.2%	+6.2	41
1983-03-13	@ Juventus	L 1-4	1663	1841	7.2%	26.6%	66.2%	-6.2	25
1983-03-13	Torino	W 1-0	1665	1725	40.2%	42.0%	17.9%	+7.6	23
1983-03-13	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1725	1665	17.9%	42.0%	40.2%	-7.6	32
1983-03-13	Roma	L 1-2	1689	1804	33.3%	42.3%	24.4%	-10.4	25
1983-03-13	@ Pisa	W 2-1	1804	1689	24.4%	42.3%	33.3%	+10.4	46
1983-03-20	Napoli	W 2-1	1673	1673	46.9%	39.9%	13.2%	+5.7	29
1983-03-20	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1673	1673	13.2%	39.9%	46.9%	-5.7	23
1983-03-20	Genoa	W 2-0	1657	1664	46.1%	40.3%	13.7%	+11.7	28
1983-03-20	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1664	1657	13.7%	40.3%	46.1%	-11.7	29
1983-03-20	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1669	1693	44.2%	40.9%	14.8%	-2.0	29
1983-03-20	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1693	1669	14.8%	40.9%	44.2%	+2.0	32
1983-03-20	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1641	1690	41.4%	41.7%	16.9%	+6.9	27
1983-03-20	@ Cagliari	L 1-2	1690	1641	16.9%	41.7%	41.4%	-6.9	37
1983-03-20	Cagliari	L 1-2	1575	1648	38.5%	42.2%	19.3%	-11.5	15
1983-03-20	@ Catanzaro	W 2-1	1648	1575	19.3%	42.2%	38.5%	+11.5	30
1983-03-20	Pisa	L 0-2	1563	1678	33.4%	42.3%	24.3%	-20.8	15
1983-03-20	@ Catanzaro	W 2-0	1678	1563	24.3%	42.3%	33.4%	+20.8	28
1983-03-20	Roma	D 2-2	1774	1815	42.4%	41.5%	16.1%	-1.2	36
1983-03-20	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1815	1774	16.1%	41.5%	42.4%	+1.2	47
1983-03-20	Inter Milan	L 2-3	1653	1739	37.0%	42.3%	20.7%	-10.6	29
1983-03-20	@ Genoa	W 3-2	1739	1653	20.7%	42.3%	37.0%	+10.6	36
1983-03-20	Ascoli	W 2-1	1684	1679	47.4%	39.7%	12.9%	+5.6	40
1983-03-20	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1679	1684	12.9%	39.7%	47.4%	-5.6	29
1983-03-20	Cesena	W 3-1	1749	1611	61.9%	30.1%	8.0%	+5.3	39
1983-03-20	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1611	1749	8.0%	30.1%	61.9%	-5.3	21
1983-03-20	Juventus	D 0-0	1699	1847	29.1%	41.7%	29.2%	+0.0	29
1983-03-20	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1847	1699	29.2%	41.7%	29.1%	-0.0	42
1983-03-20	Udinese	D 0-0	1816	1672	62.5%	29.6%	7.9%	-4.0	48
1983-03-20	@ Roma	D 0-0	1672	1816	7.9%	29.6%	62.5%	+4.0	29
1983-03-20	Napoli	D 1-1	1695	1667	49.9%	38.4%	11.6%	-2.4	33
1983-03-20	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1667	1695	11.6%	38.4%	49.9%	+2.4	24
1983-03-20	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1717	1773	40.6%	41.9%	17.6%	+14.1	35
1983-03-20	@ Torino	L 0-2	1773	1717	17.6%	41.9%	40.6%	-14.1	36
1983-03-20	Juventus	W 3-2	1731	1847	33.2%	42.3%	24.5%	+8.2	38
1983-03-20	@ Torino	L 2-3	1847	1731	24.5%	42.3%	33.2%	-8.2	42
1983-03-20	Cesena	W 3-1	1676	1605	54.5%	35.6%	9.9%	+7.3	32
1983-03-20	@ Udinese	L 1-3	1605	1676	9.9%	35.6%	54.5%	-7.3	21
1983-04-10	Torino	W 2-0	1598	1740	29.9%	41.9%	28.2%	+18.7	24
1983-04-10	@ Cesena	L 0-2	1740	1598	28.2%	41.9%	29.9%	-18.7	38
1983-04-10	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1689	1759	38.9%	42.1%	18.9%	-12.3	40
1983-04-10	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1759	1689	18.9%	42.1%	38.9%	+12.3	39
1983-04-10	Avellino	W 2-0	1755	1667	56.4%	34.3%	9.3%	+7.8	42
1983-04-10	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1667	1755	9.3%	34.3%	56.4%	-7.8	29
1983-04-10	Ascoli	W 5-0	1839	1673	64.9%	27.7%	7.4%	+12.6	45
1983-04-10	@ Juventus	L 0-5	1673	1839	7.4%	27.7%	64.9%	-12.6	29
1983-04-10	Cagliari	W 1-0	1670	1660	48.0%	39.4%	12.6%	+5.8	27
1983-04-10	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1660	1670	12.6%	39.4%	48.0%	-5.8	30
1983-04-10	Udinese	D 0-0	1699	1683	48.6%	39.1%	12.2%	-2.6	30
1983-04-10	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1683	1699	12.2%	39.1%	48.6%	+2.6	33
1983-04-10	Catanzaro	W 2-0	1812	1543	75.9%	18.6%	5.5%	+3.2	51
1983-04-10	@ Roma	L 0-2	1543	1812	5.5%	18.6%	75.9%	-3.2	15
1983-04-10	Genoa	D 2-2	1693	1642	52.4%	37.0%	10.6%	-2.0	34
1983-04-10	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1642	1693	10.6%	37.0%	52.4%	+2.0	30
1983-04-24	Pisa	W 1-0	1659	1697	42.7%	41.4%	15.9%	+7.0	32
1983-04-24	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1697	1659	15.9%	41.4%	42.7%	-7.0	30
1983-04-24	Cesena	D 0-0	1654	1617	50.9%	37.9%	11.2%	-2.8	31
1983-04-24	@ Cagliari	D 0-0	1617	1654	11.2%	37.9%	50.9%	+2.8	25
1983-04-24	Juventus	L 1-2	1539	1852	15.0%	32.1%	52.9%	-5.3	15
1983-04-24	@ Catanzaro	W 2-1	1852	1539	52.9%	32.1%	15.0%	+5.3	48
1983-04-24	Ascoli	W 1-0	1772	1661	58.9%	32.4%	8.7%	+3.7	42
1983-04-24	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1661	1772	8.7%	32.4%	58.9%	-3.7	29
1983-04-24	Napoli	D 0-0	1644	1675	43.4%	41.2%	15.4%	-1.9	31
1983-04-24	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1675	1644	15.4%	41.2%	43.4%	+1.9	28
1983-04-24	Roma	D 0-0	1762	1815	40.9%	41.8%	17.2%	-1.5	43
1983-04-24	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1815	1762	17.2%	41.8%	40.9%	+1.5	52
1983-04-24	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1721	1677	51.7%	37.4%	10.9%	-2.6	39
1983-04-24	@ Torino	D 1-1	1677	1721	10.9%	37.4%	51.7%	+2.6	41
1983-04-24	Sampdoria	L 0-4	1686	1691	46.4%	40.2%	13.5%	-50.2	33
1983-04-24	@ Udinese	W 4-0	1691	1686	13.5%	40.2%	46.4%	+50.2	37
1983-05-01	Torino	W 2-0	1657	1718	39.9%	42.0%	18.1%	+14.4	32
1983-05-01	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1718	1657	18.1%	42.0%	39.9%	-14.4	39
1983-05-01	Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1620	1679	40.1%	42.0%	17.9%	-11.9	25
1983-05-01	@ Cesena	W 2-1	1679	1620	17.9%	42.0%	40.1%	+11.9	44
1983-05-01	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1857	1761	57.3%	33.6%	9.1%	-30.6	48
1983-05-01	@ Juventus	W 2-0	1761	1857	9.1%	33.6%	57.3%	+30.5	46
1983-05-01	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1677	1775	35.5%	42.4%	22.1%	+8.7	31
1983-05-01	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1775	1677	22.1%	42.4%	35.5%	-8.7	42
1983-05-01	Genoa	D 0-0	1690	1642	52.0%	37.2%	10.8%	-3.0	31
1983-05-01	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1642	1690	10.8%	37.2%	52.0%	+3.0	32
1983-05-01	Avellino	W 2-0	1817	1666	63.2%	29.0%	7.7%	+5.8	55
1983-05-01	@ Roma	L 0-2	1666	1817	7.7%	29.0%	63.2%	-5.8	32
1983-05-01	Cagliari	D 1-1	1741	1651	56.6%	34.2%	9.3%	-3.1	38
1983-05-01	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1651	1741	9.3%	34.2%	56.6%	+3.1	32
1983-05-01	Catanzaro	W 2-1	1636	1534	57.9%	33.2%	8.9%	+3.7	36
1983-05-01	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1534	1636	8.9%	33.2%	57.9%	-3.7	15
1983-05-08	Catanzaro	W 4-0	1660	1530	61.0%	30.9%	8.2%	+12.2	35
1983-05-08	@ Avellino	L 0-4	1530	1660	8.2%	30.9%	61.0%	-12.2	15
1983-05-08	Juventus	L 1-2	1654	1826	26.1%	41.0%	32.9%	-8.9	32
1983-05-08	@ Cagliari	W 2-1	1826	1654	32.9%	41.0%	26.1%	+8.8	51
1983-05-08	Ascoli	D 1-1	1608	1671	39.7%	42.0%	18.3%	-1.2	26
1983-05-08	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1671	1608	18.3%	42.0%	39.7%	+1.2	33
1983-05-08	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1767	1738	50.0%	38.4%	11.6%	+8.8	45
1983-05-08	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1738	1767	11.6%	38.4%	50.0%	-8.8	38
1983-05-08	Roma	D 1-1	1645	1822	25.5%	40.8%	33.7%	+0.4	33
1983-05-08	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1822	1645	33.7%	40.8%	25.5%	-0.4	56
1983-05-08	Napoli	D 0-0	1691	1686	47.5%	39.7%	12.9%	-2.4	45
1983-05-08	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1686	1691	12.9%	39.7%	47.5%	+2.4	32
1983-05-08	Udinese	D 1-1	1791	1639	63.4%	28.9%	7.7%	-3.6	47
1983-05-08	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1639	1791	7.7%	28.9%	63.4%	+3.6	37
1983-05-08	Pisa	L 0-2	1704	1687	48.8%	39.1%	12.2%	-27.4	39
1983-05-08	@ Torino	W 2-0	1687	1704	12.2%	39.1%	48.8%	+27.4	34
1983-05-15	Cagliari	W 2-0	1672	1645	49.8%	38.5%	11.7%	+10.2	36
1983-05-15	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1645	1672	11.7%	38.5%	49.8%	-10.2	32
1983-05-15	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1518	1788	17.4%	35.5%	47.1%	-6.3	15
1983-05-15	@ Catanzaro	W 2-1	1788	1518	47.1%	35.5%	17.4%	+6.3	50
1983-05-15	Genoa	W 4-2	1835	1646	67.5%	25.6%	6.9%	+3.7	54
1983-05-15	@ Juventus	L 2-4	1646	1835	6.9%	25.6%	67.5%	-3.7	33
1983-05-15	Cesena	W 1-0	1688	1606	55.8%	34.7%	9.5%	+4.2	35
1983-05-15	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1606	1688	9.5%	34.7%	55.8%	-4.2	26
1983-05-15	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1714	1775	40.0%	42.0%	18.1%	-1.4	35
1983-05-15	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1775	1714	18.1%	42.0%	40.0%	+1.4	46
1983-05-15	Torino	W 3-1	1822	1676	62.7%	29.5%	7.8%	+5.1	59
1983-05-15	@ Roma	L 1-3	1676	1822	7.8%	29.5%	62.7%	-5.1	39
1983-05-15	Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1729	1689	51.2%	37.7%	11.1%	-1.9	39
1983-05-15	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1689	1729	11.1%	37.7%	51.2%	+1.9	46
1983-05-15	Avellino	D 1-1	1643	1672	43.6%	41.1%	15.2%	-1.7	38
1983-05-15	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1672	1643	15.2%	41.1%	43.6%	+1.7	36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1982-09-26	7.62%	Udinese	1648	2	@ Fiorentina	1804	1
2	1983-05-01	9.07%	Inter Milan	1761	2	@ Juventus	1857	0
3	1983-02-20	9.39%	Torino	1693	3	@ Inter Milan	1778	1
4	1983-03-06	9.55%	Pisa	1673	1	@ Inter Milan	1753	0
5	1982-10-17	9.98%	Hellas Verona	1663	1	@ Pisa	1731	0
6	1982-10-10	10.72%	Genoa	1618	1	@ Cesena	1666	0
7	1982-12-12	10.89%	Udinese	1650	3	@ Sampdoria	1695	1
8	1982-11-28	10.90%	Cesena	1656	1	@ Torino	1700	0
9	1982-09-19	11.32%	Sampdoria	1693	2	@ Inter Milan	1728	1
10	1983-05-08	12.20%	Pisa	1687	2	@ Torino	1704	0
11	1983-01-02	12.57%	Torino	1691	1	@ Pisa	1702	0
12	1982-11-07	12.69%	Sampdoria	1682	1	@ Napoli	1690	0
13	1982-10-24	13.03%	Udinese	1648	3	@ Genoa	1650	2
14	1982-10-03	13.19%	Hellas Verona	1632	1	@ Genoa	1632	0
15	1983-04-24	13.50%	Sampdoria	1691	4	@ Udinese	1686	0
16	1982-11-07	13.67%	Hellas Verona	1689	3	@ Ascoli	1681	2
17	1983-03-06	13.86%	Juventus	1828	2	@ Roma	1818	1
18	1982-10-10	14.92%	Juventus	1815	1	@ Fiorentina	1789	0
19	1983-03-13	15.47%	Sampdoria	1668	2	@ Cesena	1636	0
20	1983-01-02	16.60%	Hellas Verona	1705	2	@ Napoli	1659	1
21	1982-10-10	16.70%	Roma	1756	3	@ Napoli	1710	1
22	1982-09-26	16.90%	Inter Milan	1714	2	@ Cagliari	1665	0
23	1982-09-12	17.15%	Roma	1735	3	@ Cagliari	1684	1
24	1983-05-01	17.92%	Hellas Verona	1679	2	@ Cesena	1620	1
25	1983-01-30	18.91%	Napoli	1659	2	@ Catanzaro	1589	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1983-04-24	50.17	Sampdoria	4	1691	13.50%	@ Udinese	0	1686	46.35%
2	1983-05-01	30.56	Inter Milan	2	1761	9.07%	@ Juventus	0	1857	57.30%
3	1982-09-19	30.31	Fiorentina	3	1774	24.22%	@ Genoa	0	1660	33.49%
4	1983-05-08	27.44	Pisa	2	1687	12.20%	@ Torino	0	1704	48.76%
5	1983-02-20	26.13	Torino	3	1693	9.39%	@ Inter Milan	1	1778	56.11%
6	1983-03-13	25.13	Sampdoria	2	1668	15.47%	@ Cesena	0	1636	43.29%
7	1982-12-12	24.76	Udinese	3	1650	10.89%	@ Sampdoria	1	1695	51.70%
8	1982-09-26	24.30	Inter Milan	2	1714	16.90%	@ Cagliari	0	1665	41.37%
9	1982-10-10	21.14	Roma	3	1756	16.70%	@ Napoli	1	1710	41.63%
10	1982-09-12	20.92	Roma	3	1735	17.15%	@ Cagliari	1	1684	41.06%
11	1983-02-20	20.83	@ Avellino	3	1657	40.05%	Hellas Verona	0	1718	17.97%
12	1983-03-20	20.82	Pisa	2	1678	24.35%	@ Catanzaro	0	1563	33.37%
13	1982-11-28	20.08	@ Ascoli	2	1671	26.73%	Juventus	0	1838	32.11%
14	1982-10-17	18.88	@ Torino	3	1682	43.13%	Sampdoria	0	1716	15.58%
15	1982-10-17	18.78	@ Avellino	2	1633	29.72%	Fiorentina	0	1776	28.44%
16	1983-04-10	18.69	@ Cesena	2	1598	29.95%	Torino	0	1740	28.17%
17	1982-10-17	17.14	@ Genoa	3	1633	45.92%	Cagliari	0	1642	13.75%
18	1982-10-10	16.76	@ Hellas Verona	3	1646	46.54%	Avellino	0	1649	13.38%
19	1982-09-26	16.21	Udinese	2	1648	7.62%	@ Fiorentina	1	1804	63.78%
20	1982-10-10	16.11	@ Ascoli	3	1670	47.61%	Udinese	0	1663	12.79%
21	1983-03-06	15.90	Pisa	1	1673	9.55%	@ Inter Milan	0	1753	55.56%
22	1982-10-17	15.65	Hellas Verona	1	1663	9.98%	@ Pisa	0	1731	54.20%
23	1982-10-10	15.26	Genoa	1	1618	10.72%	@ Cesena	0	1666	52.13%
24	1982-11-28	15.16	Cesena	1	1656	10.90%	@ Torino	0	1700	51.67%
25	1983-01-16	14.61	@ Avellino	2	1639	39.44%	Torino	0	1705	18.49%