1983-84 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Juventus

5.37 points above expected

43 points · 37.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Catania

12.26 points below expected

12 points · 24.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	30	17	9	4	43	57	29	+28	37.6	+5.37
2	Roma	30	15	11	4	41	48	28	+20	36.6	+4.38
3	Fiorentina	30	12	12	6	36	48	31	+17	35.1	+0.92
4	Inter Milan	30	12	11	7	35	37	23	+14	32.4	+2.57
5	Torino	30	11	11	8	33	37	30	+7	30.8	+2.19
6	Hellas Verona	30	12	8	10	32	43	35	+8	31.5	+0.46
7	Sampdoria	30	12	8	10	32	36	30	+6	31.0	+0.96
8	AC Milan	30	10	12	8	32	37	40	-3	26.7	+5.31
9	Udinese	30	11	9	10	31	47	40	+7	31.1	-0.05
10	Ascoli	30	9	11	10	29	29	35	-6	29.2	-0.25
11	Avellino	30	9	8	13	26	33	39	-6	28.0	-1.98
12	Napoli	30	7	12	11	26	28	38	-10	28.4	-2.38
13	Genoa	30	6	13	11	25	24	36	-12	23.5	+1.53
14	Lazio Roma	30	8	9	13	25	35	49	-14	24.8	+0.23
15	Pisa	30	3	16	11	22	20	35	-15	29.0	-7.00
16	Catania	30	1	10	19	12	14	55	-41	24.3	-12.26

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1959	43	37.63	+5.37	92.0%	27	33	35	37	39	44	47
Roma	1928	41	36.62	+4.38	91.0%	26	31	34	37	39	43	45
Inter Milan	1884	35	32.43	+2.57	78.0%	21	26	30	32	35	39	42
Fiorentina	1883	36	35.08	+0.92	66.0%	26	29	33	35	38	41	43
Sampdoria	1829	32	31.04	+0.96	66.0%	22	24	28	30	33	39	41
Hellas Verona	1815	32	31.54	+0.46	58.0%	22	25	29	32	34	37	43
Torino	1783	33	30.81	+2.19	71.0%	19	22	28	31	34	37	39
Udinese	1779	31	31.05	-0.05	56.0%	25	25	29	31	33	36	39
Napoli	1750	26	28.38	-2.38	31.0%	19	21	25	28	31	35	37
Ascoli	1749	29	29.25	-0.25	51.0%	21	23	27	29	32	35	40
Avellino	1747	26	27.98	-1.98	39.0%	21	21	24	28	31	35	38
AC Milan	1723	32	26.69	+5.31	92.0%	16	19	23	27	29	34	36
Pisa	1707	22	29.00	-7.00	7.0%	19	22	26	29	32	37	40
Genoa	1692	25	23.47	+1.53	69.0%	14	17	21	23	26	30	33
Lazio Roma	1683	25	24.77	+0.23	55.0%	13	18	22	25	28	30	36
Catania	1591	12	24.26	-12.26	1.0%	12	18	21	25	27	30	35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ASC	AVE	CAT	FIO	GEN	HV	IM	JUV	LR	NAP	PIS	ROM	SAM	TOR	UDI
AC Milan	—	1-1-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.85	0-2-0 1.99	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 2.34	0-1-1 2.06	0-0-2 1.73	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.63	0-1-1 1.94	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.34
Ascoli	0-1-1 2.99	—	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 3.24	0-0-2 2.25	0-1-1 3.27	1-0-1 2.40	1-1-0 2.40	0-1-1 1.98	1-0-1 3.12	0-1-1 2.80	2-0-0 2.78	0-2-0 1.94	1-0-1 2.38	0-2-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.43
Avellino	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.59	—	0-2-0 3.02	0-1-1 2.03	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.33	0-1-1 2.24	0-1-1 1.68	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 1.83	1-0-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.38
Catania	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.20	0-2-0 2.35	—	0-0-2 1.63	0-0-2 2.61	0-0-2 2.27	0-1-1 1.78	0-0-2 1.67	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 1.20	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.16
Fiorentina	0-2-0 3.44	2-0-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.39	2-0-0 3.78	—	0-2-0 3.68	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.39	2-0-0 3.61	1-1-0 3.13	0-2-0 3.35	0-1-1 2.51	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.97
Genoa	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.12	0-0-2 2.34	2-0-0 2.74	0-2-0 1.78	—	0-2-0 1.95	0-2-0 1.83	1-0-1 1.29	0-1-1 2.60	0-2-0 2.33	0-2-0 2.37	0-0-2 1.57	0-1-1 2.00	1-0-1 1.98	0-0-2 2.48
Hellas Verona	0-1-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.19	1-0-1 2.49	0-2-0 3.46	—	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.14	1-1-0 3.30	0-1-1 3.19	2-0-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.69	0-2-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.66
Inter Milan	1-1-0 3.33	0-1-1 2.99	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.71	1-1-0 2.54	0-2-0 3.64	2-0-0 2.81	—	0-0-2 2.27	0-1-1 3.48	2-0-0 3.03	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.75
Juventus	2-0-0 3.73	1-1-0 3.42	1-1-0 3.79	2-0-0 3.85	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 4.22	1-0-1 3.24	2-0-0 3.12	—	2-0-0 3.79	1-1-0 3.60	1-1-0 3.36	0-2-0 2.83	0-1-1 3.53	1-0-1 3.37	1-1-0 3.38
Lazio Roma	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.33	1-1-0 2.75	0-0-2 1.85	1-1-0 2.76	0-1-1 2.08	1-1-0 1.97	0-0-2 1.70	—	1-0-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.41	0-1-1 1.78	1-1-0 2.14	1-0-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.13
Napoli	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.24	0-2-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.19	0-0-2 2.33	0-1-1 1.82	1-0-1 3.07	—	0-2-0 2.66	0-0-2 1.82	0-1-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.47
Pisa	0-1-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.61	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.93	0-2-0 2.04	0-2-0 3.03	0-0-2 2.58	0-1-1 2.33	0-1-1 2.07	1-1-0 2.96	0-2-0 2.72	—	0-1-1 2.13	0-1-1 2.26	0-2-0 2.34	0-1-1 2.40
Roma	1-1-0 3.49	0-2-0 3.48	1-1-0 3.60	1-1-0 4.31	1-1-0 2.87	2-0-0 3.89	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.04	0-2-0 2.55	1-1-0 3.69	2-0-0 3.60	1-1-0 3.25	—	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.17	1-0-1 3.23
Sampdoria	0-1-1 3.05	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.14	0-0-2 2.45	1-1-0 3.41	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 1.88	0-1-1 3.25	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.34	—	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 2.64
Torino	1-0-1 3.05	0-2-0 2.88	1-1-0 2.95	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 3.45	0-2-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.05	1-0-1 3.37	1-1-0 2.92	0-2-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.53	—	0-1-1 2.76
Udinese	0-1-1 3.05	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.41	2-0-0 2.95	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.05	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.16	0-0-2 2.76	1-1-0 2.63	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.42%	6.88%	5.62%	2.71%	0.42%	0.83%	31.88%
1	6.88%	13.33%	9.58%	2.29%	1.25%	0.42%	33.75%
2	5.62%	9.58%	5.83%	1.25%	1.04%	—	23.33%
3	2.71%	2.29%	1.25%	0.83%	—	—	7.08%
4	0.42%	1.25%	1.04%	—	—	—	2.71%
5+	0.83%	0.42%	—	—	—	—	1.25%
Total	31.88%	33.75%	23.33%	7.08%	2.71%	1.25%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.39
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.085
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	—	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	36.67%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.169
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	3.33%	40.00%
1	10.00%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	30.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.51
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.158
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Avellino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.105
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	23.33%	10.00%	—	6.67%	60.00%
1	—	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	23.33%	36.67%	16.67%	—	6.67%	100%

Catania — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.47
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	0.63
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.184
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	36.67%	33.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.155
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	46.67%
1	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	30.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Genoa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.89
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.096
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	50.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.058
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	50.00%	30.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.241
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	33.33%	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.082
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	33.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	—	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	30.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.147
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	40.00%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	23.33%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.062
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
1	6.67%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.00%	23.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Pisa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.71
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.215
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	46.67%	23.33%	—	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	0.74
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.351
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	20.00%	20.00%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.269
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	6.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	33.33%	26.67%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.247
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	6.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	30.00%	30.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Udinese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.067
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Juventus	43	37.6	+5.37
2	AC Milan	32	26.7	+5.31
3	Roma	41	36.6	+4.38
4	Inter Milan	35	32.4	+2.57
5	Torino	33	30.8	+2.19

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Catania	12	24.3	-12.26
2	Pisa	22	29.0	-7.00
3	Napoli	26	28.4	-2.38
4	Avellino	26	28.0	-1.98
5	Ascoli	29	29.2	-0.25

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sampdoria	5	Oct 30 – Dec 4	1 in 358
2	AC Milan	3	Apr 28 – May 13	1 in 226
3	Avellino	3	Mar 18 – Apr 1	1 in 33
4	Napoli	3	Mar 25 – Apr 8	1 in 27
5	Genoa	3	Apr 1 – Apr 21	1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sampdoria	3	Dec 31 – Jan 15	1 in 144
2	Juventus	2	Oct 23 – Oct 30	1 in 30
3	Avellino	3	Nov 6 – Nov 27	1 in 23
4	Inter Milan	2	Sep 12 – Sep 18	1 in 22
5	Udinese	2	May 6 – May 13	1 in 21

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Genoa	8	Mar 18 – May 13	1 in 177
2	Juventus	15	Nov 6 – Mar 11	1 in 78
3	Roma	15	Jan 15 – May 13	1 in 42
4	Torino	9	Nov 6 – Jan 15	1 in 34
5	Ascoli	6	Feb 12 – Mar 25	1 in 34

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Catania	25	Oct 23 – May 13	1 in 2,238
2	Pisa	14	Sep 12 – Dec 31	1 in 501
3	Avellino	10	Oct 30 – Jan 15	1 in 56
4	AC Milan	11	Jan 22 – Apr 21	1 in 42
5	Torino	7	Mar 18 – May 6	1 in 39

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Juventus	35.00%	27.00%	16.00%	12.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—
Roma	30.00%	22.00%	12.00%	12.00%	5.00%	9.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Fiorentina	14.00%	20.00%	15.00%	17.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Inter Milan	5.00%	7.00%	13.00%	12.00%	7.00%	13.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Torino	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	15.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	5.00%
Hellas Verona	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	13.00%	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Sampdoria	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
AC Milan	—	—	—	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	9.00%	10.00%	7.00%	11.00%	13.00%	9.00%	10.00%	14.00%	5.00%
Udinese	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	14.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Ascoli	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	4.00%	9.00%	14.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	13.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Avellino	1.00%	—	5.00%	—	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Napoli	—	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	4.00%
Genoa	—	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	23.00%	28.00%
Lazio Roma	—	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	11.00%	11.00%	11.00%	11.00%	14.00%	13.00%	21.00%
Pisa	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Catania	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	20.00%	15.00%	26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Fiorentina	100%	—
Roma	100%	—
Juventus	99.0%	1.0%
Hellas Verona	97.0%	3.0%
Inter Milan	97.0%	3.0%
Sampdoria	97.0%	3.0%
Udinese	97.0%	3.0%
Torino	94.0%	6.0%
Ascoli	87.0%	13.0%
Pisa	80.0%	20.0%
Avellino	78.0%	22.0%
Napoli	77.0%	23.0%
AC Milan	71.0%	29.0%
Lazio Roma	52.0%	48.0%
Catania	39.0%	61.0%
Genoa	35.0%	65.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1983-09-12	AC Milan	W 4-0	1762	1716	59.2%	29.6%	11.2%	+14.1	3
1983-09-12	@ Avellino	L 0-4	1716	1762	11.2%	29.6%	59.2%	-14.1	0
1983-09-12	Torino	D 0-0	1760	1762	54.7%	31.4%	14.0%	-2.6	1
1983-09-12	@ Catania	D 0-0	1762	1760	14.0%	31.4%	54.7%	+2.6	1
1983-09-12	Napoli	W 5-1	1832	1773	60.2%	29.1%	10.6%	+11.1	3
1983-09-12	@ Fiorentina	L 1-5	1773	1832	10.6%	29.1%	60.2%	-11.1	0
1983-09-12	Udinese	L 0-5	1743	1736	55.5%	31.1%	13.4%	-61.7	0
1983-09-12	@ Genoa	W 5-0	1736	1743	13.4%	31.1%	55.5%	+61.7	3
1983-09-12	Lazio Roma	W 4-2	1772	1707	60.9%	28.8%	10.3%	+5.3	3
1983-09-12	@ Hellas Verona	L 2-4	1707	1772	10.3%	28.8%	60.9%	-5.2	0
1983-09-12	Sampdoria	L 1-2	1843	1798	59.0%	29.7%	11.3%	-13.9	0
1983-09-12	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1798	1843	11.3%	29.7%	59.0%	+13.9	3
1983-09-12	Ascoli	W 7-0	1874	1769	64.2%	27.0%	8.8%	+18.1	3
1983-09-12	@ Juventus	L 0-7	1769	1874	8.8%	27.0%	64.2%	-18.1	0
1983-09-12	Pisa	W 2-0	1865	1790	61.6%	28.4%	10.0%	+6.5	3
1983-09-12	@ Roma	L 0-2	1790	1865	10.0%	28.4%	61.6%	-6.5	0
1983-09-18	Hellas Verona	W 4-2	1702	1778	47.0%	33.0%	20.0%	+9.6	3
1983-09-18	@ AC Milan	L 2-4	1778	1702	20.0%	33.0%	47.0%	-9.6	3
1983-09-18	Avellino	W 4-1	1751	1776	52.3%	32.0%	15.6%	+12.4	3
1983-09-18	@ Ascoli	L 1-4	1776	1751	15.6%	32.0%	52.3%	-12.4	3
1983-09-18	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1701	1829	40.8%	33.2%	25.9%	+21.6	3
1983-09-18	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1829	1701	25.9%	33.2%	40.8%	-21.6	0
1983-09-18	Genoa	D 0-0	1762	1681	62.2%	28.1%	9.6%	-3.5	1
1983-09-18	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1681	1762	9.6%	28.1%	62.2%	+3.5	1
1983-09-18	Juventus	D 0-0	1784	1892	43.3%	33.2%	23.5%	-1.2	1
1983-09-18	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1892	1784	23.5%	33.2%	43.3%	+1.1	4
1983-09-18	Roma	L 1-2	1812	1871	48.9%	32.7%	18.4%	-11.8	3
1983-09-18	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1871	1812	18.4%	32.7%	48.9%	+11.8	6
1983-09-18	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1765	1843	46.7%	33.0%	20.3%	+6.6	4
1983-09-18	@ Torino	L 0-1	1843	1765	20.3%	33.0%	46.7%	-6.6	3
1983-09-18	Catania	W 3-1	1797	1758	58.5%	29.9%	11.6%	+6.6	6
1983-09-18	@ Udinese	L 1-3	1758	1797	11.6%	29.9%	58.5%	-6.6	1
1983-09-25	Udinese	W 2-1	1764	1804	50.9%	32.4%	16.8%	+5.4	6
1983-09-25	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1804	1764	16.8%	32.4%	50.9%	-5.4	6
1983-09-25	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1751	1800	49.9%	32.5%	17.5%	-1.8	2
1983-09-25	@ Catania	D 1-1	1800	1751	17.5%	32.5%	49.9%	+1.8	4
1983-09-25	Ascoli	W 2-1	1836	1763	61.5%	28.5%	10.0%	+3.3	6
1983-09-25	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1763	1836	10.0%	28.5%	61.5%	-3.3	3
1983-09-25	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1684	1723	51.0%	32.3%	16.7%	-2.1	2
1983-09-25	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1723	1684	16.7%	32.3%	51.0%	+2.1	4
1983-09-25	Pisa	W 2-0	1768	1783	53.4%	31.7%	14.8%	+9.7	6
1983-09-25	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1783	1768	14.8%	31.7%	53.4%	-9.7	1
1983-09-25	Torino	D 0-0	1808	1771	58.3%	30.0%	11.7%	-3.0	1
1983-09-25	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1771	1808	11.7%	30.0%	58.3%	+3.0	5
1983-09-25	Napoli	W 2-0	1893	1759	66.7%	25.5%	7.8%	+4.9	7
1983-09-25	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1759	1893	7.8%	25.5%	66.7%	-4.9	1
1983-09-25	AC Milan	W 3-1	1883	1711	69.8%	23.5%	6.7%	+3.5	9
1983-09-25	@ Roma	L 1-3	1711	1883	6.7%	23.5%	69.8%	-3.5	3
1983-10-02	Catania	W 2-1	1708	1749	50.7%	32.4%	16.9%	+5.4	6
1983-10-02	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1749	1708	16.9%	32.4%	50.7%	-5.4	2
1983-10-02	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1760	1805	50.4%	32.5%	17.2%	+5.8	6
1983-10-02	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1805	1760	17.2%	32.5%	50.4%	-5.8	1
1983-10-02	Juventus	L 0-1	1725	1898	35.0%	32.9%	32.1%	-9.6	4
1983-10-02	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1898	1725	32.1%	32.9%	35.0%	+9.6	10
1983-10-02	Avellino	W 2-0	1754	1769	53.3%	31.8%	14.9%	+9.7	4
1983-10-02	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1769	1754	14.9%	31.8%	53.3%	-9.7	6
1983-10-02	Genoa	D 1-1	1773	1682	63.1%	27.7%	9.3%	-3.2	2
1983-10-02	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1682	1773	9.3%	27.7%	63.1%	+3.2	3
1983-10-02	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1802	1839	51.1%	32.3%	16.6%	-12.3	4
1983-10-02	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1839	1802	16.6%	32.3%	51.1%	+12.3	9
1983-10-02	Roma	W 2-1	1774	1886	42.8%	33.2%	24.0%	+7.0	8
1983-10-02	@ Torino	L 1-2	1886	1774	24.0%	33.2%	42.8%	-7.0	9
1983-10-02	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1799	1778	56.8%	30.6%	12.6%	-2.5	7
1983-10-02	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1778	1799	12.6%	30.6%	56.8%	+2.5	7
1983-10-09	Torino	D 0-0	1760	1781	52.7%	31.9%	15.3%	-2.3	7
1983-10-09	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1781	1760	15.3%	31.9%	52.7%	+2.3	9
1983-10-09	Pisa	W 2-0	1744	1770	52.3%	32.0%	15.7%	+10.1	5
1983-10-09	@ Catania	L 0-2	1770	1744	15.7%	32.0%	52.3%	-10.2	2
1983-10-09	Udinese	D 0-0	1852	1796	60.0%	29.2%	10.8%	-3.2	10
1983-10-09	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1796	1852	10.8%	29.2%	60.0%	+3.2	8
1983-10-09	Ascoli	W 3-1	1780	1766	56.2%	30.8%	13.0%	+7.4	10
1983-10-09	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1766	1780	13.0%	30.8%	56.2%	-7.4	6
1983-10-09	Napoli	W 1-0	1799	1764	58.1%	30.1%	11.8%	+4.1	4
1983-10-09	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1764	1799	11.8%	30.1%	58.1%	-4.1	4
1983-10-09	AC Milan	W 2-1	1908	1713	71.7%	22.2%	6.2%	+1.8	13
1983-10-09	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1713	1908	6.2%	22.2%	71.7%	-1.8	6
1983-10-09	Genoa	W 1-0	1879	1685	71.6%	22.2%	6.2%	+1.9	12
1983-10-09	@ Roma	L 0-1	1685	1879	6.2%	22.2%	71.6%	-1.9	3
1983-10-09	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1790	1715	61.6%	28.4%	9.9%	-3.0	5
1983-10-09	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1715	1790	9.9%	28.4%	61.6%	+3.0	5
1983-10-23	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1712	1787	47.1%	33.0%	20.0%	+6.2	9
1983-10-23	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1787	1712	20.0%	33.0%	47.1%	-6.1	5
1983-10-23	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1754	1788	51.5%	32.2%	16.3%	-13.1	5
1983-10-23	@ Catania	W 1-0	1788	1754	16.3%	32.2%	51.5%	+13.1	13
1983-10-23	Pisa	D 0-0	1849	1760	62.9%	27.8%	9.3%	-3.5	11
1983-10-23	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1760	1849	9.3%	27.8%	62.9%	+3.5	3
1983-10-23	Avellino	L 0-2	1683	1757	47.2%	32.9%	19.8%	-23.0	3
1983-10-23	@ Genoa	W 2-0	1757	1683	19.8%	32.9%	47.2%	+23.0	10
1983-10-23	Roma	L 0-2	1718	1881	36.3%	33.0%	30.6%	-18.6	5
1983-10-23	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1881	1718	30.6%	33.0%	36.3%	+18.6	15
1983-10-23	Ascoli	W 1-0	1760	1758	54.9%	31.3%	13.8%	+4.8	7
1983-10-23	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1758	1760	13.8%	31.3%	54.9%	-4.8	6
1983-10-23	Juventus	W 2-1	1784	1909	41.1%	33.2%	25.7%	+7.4	12
1983-10-23	@ Torino	L 1-2	1909	1784	25.7%	33.2%	41.1%	-7.4	13
1983-10-23	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1799	1803	54.5%	31.4%	14.1%	-1.7	9
1983-10-23	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1803	1799	14.1%	31.4%	54.5%	+1.7	5
1983-10-30	Lazio Roma	W 4-1	1718	1700	56.5%	30.7%	12.7%	+10.3	12
1983-10-30	@ AC Milan	L 1-4	1700	1718	12.7%	30.7%	56.5%	-10.3	5
1983-10-30	Udinese	W 1-0	1754	1797	50.5%	32.4%	17.1%	+5.8	9
1983-10-30	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1797	1754	17.1%	32.4%	50.5%	-5.8	9
1983-10-30	Catania	D 0-0	1780	1741	58.5%	29.9%	11.6%	-3.0	11
1983-10-30	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1741	1780	11.6%	29.9%	58.5%	+3.1	6
1983-10-30	Torino	W 2-1	1661	1791	40.5%	33.2%	26.2%	+7.5	6
1983-10-30	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1791	1661	26.2%	33.2%	40.5%	-7.5	12
1983-10-30	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1801	1845	50.4%	32.4%	17.1%	+9.5	16
1983-10-30	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1845	1801	17.1%	32.4%	50.4%	-9.5	11
1983-10-30	Sampdoria	L 1-2	1902	1780	65.7%	26.2%	8.2%	-15.0	13
1983-10-30	@ Juventus	W 2-1	1780	1902	8.2%	26.2%	65.7%	+15.0	8
1983-10-30	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1763	1805	50.7%	32.4%	16.9%	-2.1	4
1983-10-30	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1805	1763	16.9%	32.4%	50.7%	+2.1	6
1983-10-30	Napoli	W 5-1	1900	1764	66.8%	25.4%	7.7%	+7.7	18
1983-10-30	@ Roma	L 1-5	1764	1900	7.7%	25.4%	66.8%	-7.7	7
1983-11-06	Torino	D 0-0	1759	1783	52.5%	32.0%	15.5%	-2.3	10
1983-11-06	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1783	1759	15.5%	32.0%	52.5%	+2.3	13
1983-11-06	Catania	W 5-0	1836	1744	63.1%	27.6%	9.2%	+14.1	14
1983-11-06	@ Fiorentina	L 0-5	1744	1836	9.2%	27.6%	63.1%	-14.1	6
1983-11-06	AC Milan	W 2-0	1807	1728	62.0%	28.2%	9.7%	+6.4	9
1983-11-06	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1728	1807	9.7%	28.2%	62.0%	-6.4	12
1983-11-06	Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1887	1810	61.8%	28.3%	9.8%	+5.6	16
1983-11-06	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1810	1887	9.8%	28.3%	61.8%	-5.6	16
1983-11-06	Avellino	W 2-1	1689	1777	45.6%	33.1%	21.3%	+6.5	8
1983-11-06	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1777	1689	21.3%	33.1%	45.6%	-6.5	11
1983-11-06	Pisa	D 0-0	1757	1761	54.4%	31.4%	14.1%	-2.6	8
1983-11-06	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1761	1757	14.1%	31.4%	54.4%	+2.5	5
1983-11-06	Genoa	W 2-0	1795	1668	66.2%	25.8%	8.0%	+5.0	11
1983-11-06	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1668	1795	8.0%	25.8%	66.2%	-5.0	6
1983-11-06	Roma	W 1-0	1792	1908	42.3%	33.2%	24.4%	+7.5	12
1983-11-06	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1908	1792	24.4%	33.2%	42.3%	-7.6	18
1983-11-20	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1722	1850	40.8%	33.2%	25.9%	-0.6	13
1983-11-20	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1850	1722	25.9%	33.2%	40.8%	+0.6	15
1983-11-20	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1771	1801	51.9%	32.1%	16.0%	-24.9	11
1983-11-20	@ Avellino	W 2-0	1801	1771	16.0%	32.1%	51.9%	+24.9	14
1983-11-20	Juventus	L 0-2	1730	1893	36.4%	33.0%	30.6%	-18.6	6
1983-11-20	@ Catania	W 2-0	1893	1730	30.6%	33.0%	36.4%	+18.7	19
1983-11-20	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1663	1813	38.0%	33.1%	28.9%	-0.5	7
1983-11-20	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1813	1663	28.9%	33.1%	38.0%	+0.5	10
1983-11-20	Napoli	D 1-1	1805	1754	59.5%	29.5%	11.0%	-2.8	17
1983-11-20	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1754	1805	11.0%	29.5%	59.5%	+2.8	9
1983-11-20	Udinese	D 1-1	1764	1799	51.3%	32.2%	16.4%	-1.9	6
1983-11-20	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1799	1764	16.4%	32.2%	51.3%	+1.9	13
1983-11-20	Ascoli	D 1-1	1900	1757	67.5%	25.0%	7.5%	-3.5	19
1983-11-20	@ Roma	D 1-1	1757	1900	7.5%	25.0%	67.5%	+3.5	11
1983-11-20	Lazio Roma	W 4-0	1786	1696	63.0%	27.7%	9.3%	+11.5	16
1983-11-20	@ Torino	L 0-4	1696	1786	9.3%	27.7%	63.0%	-11.5	8
1983-11-27	Genoa	D 0-0	1761	1662	63.7%	27.3%	9.0%	-3.6	12
1983-11-27	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1662	1761	9.0%	27.3%	63.7%	+3.6	8
1983-11-27	Juventus	D 3-3	1850	1911	48.6%	32.8%	18.6%	-1.0	16
1983-11-27	@ Fiorentina	D 3-3	1911	1850	18.6%	32.8%	48.6%	+1.0	20
1983-11-27	Avellino	W 3-0	1802	1746	60.0%	29.2%	10.8%	+10.3	20
1983-11-27	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1746	1802	10.8%	29.2%	60.0%	-10.3	11
1983-11-27	Roma	W 1-0	1814	1896	46.2%	33.0%	20.7%	+6.7	13
1983-11-27	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1896	1814	20.7%	33.0%	46.2%	-6.7	19
1983-11-27	Catania	W 3-0	1684	1711	52.2%	32.0%	15.8%	+14.8	11
1983-11-27	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1711	1684	15.8%	32.0%	52.2%	-14.8	6
1983-11-27	AC Milan	D 0-0	1757	1721	58.2%	30.0%	11.8%	-3.0	10
1983-11-27	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1721	1757	11.8%	30.0%	58.2%	+3.0	14
1983-11-27	Udinese	W 2-1	1825	1801	57.1%	30.5%	12.4%	+4.1	17
1983-11-27	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1801	1825	12.4%	30.5%	57.1%	-4.1	13
1983-11-27	Pisa	D 2-2	1797	1762	58.2%	30.1%	11.8%	-2.0	17
1983-11-27	@ Torino	D 2-2	1762	1797	11.8%	30.1%	58.2%	+2.0	7
1983-12-04	Genoa	W 1-0	1724	1666	60.2%	29.2%	10.7%	+3.7	17
1983-12-04	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1666	1724	10.7%	29.2%	60.2%	-3.7	8
1983-12-04	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1736	1820	46.0%	33.1%	21.0%	-1.3	12
1983-12-04	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1820	1736	21.0%	33.1%	46.0%	+1.3	14
1983-12-04	Napoli	D 0-0	1697	1754	49.0%	32.7%	18.3%	-1.9	7
1983-12-04	@ Catania	D 0-0	1754	1697	18.3%	32.7%	49.0%	+1.9	11
1983-12-04	Roma	D 2-2	1912	1890	57.0%	30.6%	12.5%	-1.9	21
1983-12-04	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1890	1912	12.5%	30.6%	57.0%	+1.9	20
1983-12-04	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1699	1849	38.0%	33.1%	28.8%	-9.6	11
1983-12-04	@ Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1849	1699	28.8%	33.1%	38.0%	+9.6	19
1983-12-04	Ascoli	L 0-1	1764	1757	55.5%	31.1%	13.4%	-14.0	7
1983-12-04	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1757	1764	13.4%	31.1%	55.5%	+14.0	15
1983-12-04	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1830	1812	56.5%	30.7%	12.8%	+4.5	20
1983-12-04	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1812	1830	12.8%	30.7%	56.5%	-4.5	20
1983-12-04	Torino	D 0-0	1797	1795	55.0%	31.2%	13.7%	-2.6	14
1983-12-04	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1795	1797	13.7%	31.2%	55.0%	+2.6	18
1983-12-11	AC Milan	L 2-4	1771	1728	58.9%	29.8%	11.4%	-21.5	15
1983-12-11	@ Ascoli	W 4-2	1728	1771	11.4%	29.8%	58.9%	+21.5	20
1983-12-11	Catania	W 3-0	1662	1695	51.6%	32.2%	16.2%	+15.1	11
1983-12-11	@ Genoa	L 0-3	1695	1662	16.2%	32.2%	51.6%	-15.1	7
1983-12-11	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1822	1859	51.2%	32.3%	16.5%	+5.3	17
1983-12-11	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1859	1822	16.5%	32.3%	51.2%	-5.3	19
1983-12-11	Lazio Roma	W 3-0	1756	1690	60.9%	28.8%	10.3%	+9.8	14
1983-12-11	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1690	1756	10.3%	28.8%	60.9%	-9.8	11
1983-12-11	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1750	1834	46.1%	33.1%	20.9%	-1.5	8
1983-12-11	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1834	1750	20.9%	33.1%	46.1%	+1.5	21
1983-12-11	Avellino	W 3-2	1892	1734	68.7%	24.2%	7.1%	+2.1	23
1983-12-11	@ Roma	L 2-3	1734	1892	7.1%	24.2%	68.7%	-2.1	12
1983-12-11	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1798	1808	53.9%	31.6%	14.5%	-2.2	19
1983-12-11	@ Torino	D 1-1	1808	1798	14.5%	31.6%	53.9%	+2.2	21
1983-12-11	Juventus	D 2-2	1794	1910	42.3%	33.2%	24.4%	-0.7	15
1983-12-11	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1910	1794	24.4%	33.2%	42.3%	+0.7	22
1983-12-18	Torino	L 0-1	1749	1796	50.2%	32.5%	17.3%	-12.8	20
1983-12-18	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1796	1749	17.3%	32.5%	50.2%	+12.8	22
1983-12-18	Pisa	D 1-1	1732	1748	53.3%	31.8%	15.0%	-2.2	13
1983-12-18	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1748	1732	15.0%	31.8%	53.3%	+2.2	9
1983-12-18	Ascoli	D 1-1	1680	1750	47.7%	32.9%	19.5%	-1.5	8
1983-12-18	@ Catania	D 1-1	1750	1680	19.5%	32.9%	47.7%	+1.5	16
1983-12-18	Roma	D 0-0	1854	1894	50.8%	32.4%	16.8%	-2.1	20
1983-12-18	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1894	1854	16.8%	32.4%	50.8%	+2.1	24
1983-12-18	Genoa	D 0-0	1810	1678	66.6%	25.6%	7.8%	-3.9	22
1983-12-18	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1678	1810	7.8%	25.6%	66.6%	+3.9	12
1983-12-18	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1911	1827	62.5%	28.0%	9.5%	+6.2	25
1983-12-18	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1827	1911	9.5%	28.0%	62.5%	-6.2	17
1983-12-18	Udinese	D 2-2	1680	1794	42.5%	33.2%	24.2%	-0.7	12
1983-12-18	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1794	1680	24.2%	33.2%	42.5%	+0.7	16
1983-12-18	Napoli	W 4-1	1836	1766	61.2%	28.6%	10.1%	+8.2	24
1983-12-18	@ Sampdoria	L 1-4	1766	1836	10.1%	28.6%	61.2%	-8.2	14
1983-12-31	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1751	1679	61.4%	28.5%	10.0%	+6.6	19
1983-12-31	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1679	1751	10.0%	28.5%	61.4%	-6.6	12
1983-12-31	Juventus	L 1-2	1730	1917	33.1%	32.7%	34.3%	-8.7	13
1983-12-31	@ Avellino	W 2-1	1917	1730	34.3%	32.7%	33.1%	+8.7	28
1983-12-31	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1681	1851	35.4%	32.9%	31.7%	-0.1	13
1983-12-31	@ Genoa	D 2-2	1851	1681	31.7%	32.9%	35.4%	+0.1	21
1983-12-31	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1821	1806	56.2%	30.8%	12.9%	+4.5	20
1983-12-31	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1806	1821	12.9%	30.8%	56.2%	-4.5	22
1983-12-31	AC Milan	D 0-0	1750	1736	56.2%	30.8%	13.0%	-2.8	10
1983-12-31	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1736	1750	13.0%	30.8%	56.2%	+2.8	21
1983-12-31	Catania	W 1-0	1896	1678	73.5%	20.8%	5.6%	+1.7	27
1983-12-31	@ Roma	L 0-1	1678	1896	5.6%	20.8%	73.5%	-1.7	8
1983-12-31	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1808	1844	51.4%	32.2%	16.4%	+5.3	25
1983-12-31	@ Torino	L 1-2	1844	1808	16.4%	32.2%	51.4%	-5.3	24
1983-12-31	Napoli	W 4-1	1794	1757	58.3%	30.0%	11.7%	+9.5	19
1983-12-31	@ Udinese	L 1-4	1757	1794	11.7%	30.0%	58.3%	-9.5	14
1984-01-08	Udinese	D 3-3	1739	1804	48.2%	32.8%	19.0%	-1.0	22
1984-01-08	@ AC Milan	D 3-3	1804	1739	19.0%	32.8%	48.2%	+1.0	20
1984-01-08	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1676	1825	38.1%	33.1%	28.7%	-0.5	9
1984-01-08	@ Catania	D 0-0	1825	1676	28.7%	33.1%	38.1%	+0.5	21
1984-01-08	Avellino	W 1-0	1852	1721	66.4%	25.7%	7.9%	+2.6	24
1984-01-08	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1721	1852	7.9%	25.7%	66.4%	-2.6	13
1984-01-08	Roma	W 1-0	1802	1898	44.7%	33.1%	22.1%	+7.0	25
1984-01-08	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1898	1802	22.1%	33.1%	44.7%	-7.0	27
1984-01-08	Genoa	W 4-2	1926	1681	75.6%	19.3%	5.1%	+2.1	31
1984-01-08	@ Juventus	L 2-4	1681	1926	5.1%	19.3%	75.6%	-2.1	13
1984-01-08	Pisa	L 0-1	1672	1748	47.1%	33.0%	20.0%	-12.2	12
1984-01-08	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1748	1672	20.0%	33.0%	47.1%	+12.1	13
1984-01-08	Torino	D 0-0	1748	1814	48.1%	32.8%	19.1%	-1.8	15
1984-01-08	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1814	1748	19.1%	32.8%	48.1%	+1.8	26
1984-01-08	Ascoli	L 1-2	1838	1758	62.2%	28.1%	9.7%	-14.5	24
1984-01-08	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1758	1838	9.7%	28.1%	62.2%	+14.5	22
1984-01-15	Avellino	W 1-0	1738	1719	56.7%	30.6%	12.7%	+4.4	25
1984-01-15	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1719	1738	12.7%	30.6%	56.7%	-4.4	13
1984-01-15	Juventus	D 0-0	1772	1928	37.2%	33.1%	29.7%	-0.4	23
1984-01-15	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1928	1772	29.7%	33.1%	37.2%	+0.4	32
1984-01-15	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1660	1809	38.2%	33.1%	28.6%	-0.5	13
1984-01-15	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1809	1660	28.6%	33.1%	38.2%	+0.5	26
1984-01-15	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1746	1854	43.3%	33.2%	23.5%	-1.2	16
1984-01-15	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1854	1746	23.5%	33.2%	43.3%	+1.1	25
1984-01-15	Roma	D 1-1	1760	1890	40.5%	33.2%	26.3%	-0.7	14
1984-01-15	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1890	1760	26.3%	33.2%	40.5%	+0.7	28
1984-01-15	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1824	1826	54.7%	31.4%	14.0%	-26.0	24
1984-01-15	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1826	1824	14.0%	31.4%	54.7%	+26.0	24
1984-01-15	Catania	W 2-0	1815	1676	67.2%	25.2%	7.6%	+4.8	29
1984-01-15	@ Torino	L 0-2	1676	1815	7.6%	25.2%	67.2%	-4.8	9
1984-01-15	Genoa	W 3-1	1805	1679	66.0%	25.9%	8.0%	+4.4	23
1984-01-15	@ Udinese	L 1-3	1679	1805	8.0%	25.9%	66.0%	-4.4	13
1984-01-22	Ascoli	W 2-1	1714	1772	49.0%	32.7%	18.3%	+5.8	16
1984-01-22	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1772	1714	18.3%	32.7%	49.0%	-5.8	23
1984-01-22	Udinese	L 0-2	1671	1809	39.5%	33.2%	27.3%	-19.9	9
1984-01-22	@ Catania	W 2-0	1809	1671	27.3%	33.2%	39.5%	+19.9	26
1984-01-22	Torino	W 4-1	1855	1820	58.1%	30.1%	11.8%	+9.6	28
1984-01-22	@ Fiorentina	L 1-4	1820	1855	11.8%	30.1%	58.1%	-9.6	29
1984-01-22	Napoli	D 0-0	1675	1745	47.6%	32.9%	19.5%	-1.7	14
1984-01-22	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1745	1675	19.5%	32.9%	47.6%	+1.7	17
1984-01-22	AC Milan	D 1-1	1809	1743	60.9%	28.8%	10.3%	-3.0	27
1984-01-22	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1743	1809	10.3%	28.8%	60.9%	+3.0	26
1984-01-22	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1852	1660	71.5%	22.3%	6.2%	-3.8	25
1984-01-22	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1660	1852	6.2%	22.3%	71.5%	+3.8	14
1984-01-22	Pisa	W 3-1	1929	1759	69.7%	23.6%	6.8%	+3.5	35
1984-01-22	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1759	1929	6.8%	23.6%	69.7%	-3.5	14
1984-01-22	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1891	1798	63.3%	27.6%	9.2%	-3.2	29
1984-01-22	@ Roma	D 1-1	1798	1891	9.2%	27.6%	63.3%	+3.2	25
1984-01-29	Roma	D 1-1	1746	1888	39.0%	33.2%	27.8%	-0.6	27
1984-01-29	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1888	1746	27.8%	33.2%	39.0%	+0.6	30
1984-01-29	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1766	1865	44.4%	33.2%	22.5%	-10.9	23
1984-01-29	@ Ascoli	W 2-1	1865	1766	22.5%	33.2%	44.4%	+10.9	31
1984-01-29	Genoa	W 2-1	1664	1673	53.9%	31.6%	14.5%	+4.7	17
1984-01-29	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1673	1664	14.5%	31.6%	53.9%	-4.7	14
1984-01-29	Juventus	D 1-1	1747	1932	33.3%	32.7%	34.0%	+0.0	18
1984-01-29	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1932	1747	34.0%	32.7%	33.3%	-0.0	36
1984-01-29	Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1756	1806	49.8%	32.6%	17.7%	-34.9	14
1984-01-29	@ Pisa	W 3-0	1806	1756	17.7%	32.6%	49.8%	+34.9	30
1984-01-29	Catania	W 2-0	1801	1651	68.0%	24.6%	7.3%	+4.5	28
1984-01-29	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1651	1801	7.3%	24.6%	68.0%	-4.5	9
1984-01-29	Inter Milan	W 3-1	1811	1848	51.1%	32.3%	16.6%	+9.2	32
1984-01-29	@ Torino	L 1-3	1848	1811	16.6%	32.3%	51.1%	-9.2	25
1984-01-29	Avellino	W 2-1	1829	1720	64.6%	26.8%	8.6%	+2.8	29
1984-01-29	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1720	1829	8.6%	26.8%	64.6%	-2.8	16
1984-02-12	Napoli	W 1-0	1717	1747	51.9%	32.1%	16.0%	+5.5	19
1984-02-12	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1747	1717	16.0%	32.1%	51.9%	-5.5	18
1984-02-12	AC Milan	D 1-1	1647	1745	44.4%	33.2%	22.4%	-1.2	10
1984-02-12	@ Catania	D 1-1	1745	1647	22.4%	33.2%	44.4%	+1.2	28
1984-02-12	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1876	1806	61.3%	28.6%	10.1%	+9.7	34
1984-02-12	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1806	1876	10.1%	28.6%	61.3%	-9.7	28
1984-02-12	Pisa	D 0-0	1668	1721	49.6%	32.6%	17.8%	-1.9	15
1984-02-12	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1721	1668	17.8%	32.6%	49.6%	+1.9	15
1984-02-12	Udinese	W 2-1	1841	1832	55.7%	31.0%	13.3%	+4.4	33
1984-02-12	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1832	1841	13.3%	31.0%	55.7%	-4.4	29
1984-02-12	Ascoli	D 0-0	1839	1755	62.5%	28.0%	9.5%	-3.5	26
1984-02-12	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1755	1839	9.5%	28.0%	62.5%	+3.5	24
1984-02-12	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1932	1668	77.1%	18.2%	4.7%	+1.2	39
1984-02-12	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1668	1932	4.7%	18.2%	77.1%	-1.2	17
1984-02-12	Torino	W 2-1	1889	1820	61.1%	28.7%	10.2%	+3.4	33
1984-02-12	@ Roma	L 1-2	1820	1889	10.2%	28.7%	61.1%	-3.4	32
1984-02-19	Juventus	L 0-3	1746	1933	33.1%	32.7%	34.2%	-25.3	28
1984-02-19	@ AC Milan	W 3-0	1933	1746	34.2%	32.7%	33.1%	+25.3	42
1984-02-19	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1759	1845	45.8%	33.1%	21.2%	+6.4	27
1984-02-19	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1845	1759	21.2%	33.1%	45.8%	-6.4	33
1984-02-19	Roma	L 0-2	1666	1892	28.2%	31.8%	39.9%	-15.5	15
1984-02-19	@ Genoa	W 2-0	1892	1666	39.9%	31.8%	28.2%	+15.5	36
1984-02-19	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1667	1796	40.7%	33.2%	26.0%	+7.5	20
1984-02-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1796	1667	26.0%	33.2%	40.7%	-7.4	28
1984-02-19	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1741	1835	44.9%	33.1%	21.9%	-22.0	18
1984-02-19	@ Napoli	W 2-0	1835	1741	21.9%	33.1%	44.9%	+22.0	29
1984-02-19	Catania	W 2-0	1723	1646	61.9%	28.3%	9.8%	+6.4	18
1984-02-19	@ Pisa	L 0-2	1646	1723	9.8%	28.3%	61.9%	-6.4	10
1984-02-19	Avellino	W 4-2	1817	1723	63.3%	27.5%	9.2%	+4.6	35
1984-02-19	@ Torino	L 2-4	1723	1817	9.2%	27.5%	63.3%	-4.6	19
1984-02-19	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1828	1885	49.0%	32.7%	18.3%	+10.0	32
1984-02-19	@ Udinese	L 1-3	1885	1828	18.3%	32.7%	49.0%	-10.0	34
1984-02-26	Napoli	D 2-2	1765	1719	59.1%	29.7%	11.2%	-2.1	28
1984-02-26	@ Ascoli	D 2-2	1719	1765	11.2%	29.7%	59.1%	+2.1	19
1984-02-26	Genoa	W 3-1	1718	1651	61.0%	28.8%	10.2%	+5.8	22
1984-02-26	@ Avellino	L 1-3	1651	1718	10.2%	28.8%	61.0%	-5.8	15
1984-02-26	Catania	W 3-1	1839	1639	72.1%	21.9%	6.0%	+3.0	36
1984-02-26	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1639	1839	6.0%	21.9%	72.1%	-3.0	10
1984-02-26	Udinese	W 2-0	1857	1838	56.7%	30.6%	12.6%	+8.3	32
1984-02-26	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1838	1857	12.6%	30.6%	56.7%	-8.3	32
1984-02-26	Torino	W 2-1	1959	1821	67.0%	25.3%	7.7%	+2.4	45
1984-02-26	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1821	1959	7.7%	25.3%	67.0%	-2.4	35
1984-02-26	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1729	1875	38.5%	33.2%	28.3%	-0.5	19
1984-02-26	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1875	1729	28.3%	33.2%	38.5%	+0.5	35
1984-02-26	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1907	1675	74.7%	20.0%	5.3%	-3.0	37
1984-02-26	@ Roma	D 2-2	1675	1907	5.3%	20.0%	74.7%	+3.0	21
1984-02-26	AC Milan	D 1-1	1789	1721	61.0%	28.7%	10.2%	-3.0	29
1984-02-26	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1721	1789	10.2%	28.7%	61.0%	+3.0	29
1984-03-11	Avellino	D 1-1	1636	1724	45.6%	33.1%	21.3%	-1.3	11
1984-03-11	@ Catania	D 1-1	1724	1636	21.3%	33.1%	45.6%	+1.3	23
1984-03-11	Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1876	1842	58.0%	30.1%	11.8%	+7.8	38
1984-03-11	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1842	1876	11.8%	30.1%	58.0%	-7.8	36
1984-03-11	Pisa	W 3-0	1866	1729	67.0%	25.3%	7.7%	+7.0	35
1984-03-11	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1729	1866	7.7%	25.3%	67.0%	-7.0	19
1984-03-11	AC Milan	D 0-0	1678	1724	50.2%	32.5%	17.3%	-2.0	22
1984-03-11	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1724	1678	17.3%	32.5%	50.2%	+2.0	30
1984-03-11	Roma	L 1-2	1721	1904	33.6%	32.8%	33.6%	-8.8	19
1984-03-11	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1904	1721	33.6%	32.8%	33.6%	+8.8	40
1984-03-11	Juventus	D 1-1	1786	1961	34.7%	32.9%	32.5%	-0.1	30
1984-03-11	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1961	1786	32.5%	32.9%	34.7%	+0.1	46
1984-03-11	Genoa	W 2-1	1819	1645	70.0%	23.3%	6.7%	+2.0	38
1984-03-11	@ Torino	L 1-2	1645	1819	6.7%	23.3%	70.0%	-2.0	15
1984-03-11	Ascoli	D 0-0	1829	1763	60.9%	28.8%	10.3%	-3.3	33
1984-03-11	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1763	1829	10.3%	28.8%	60.9%	+3.3	29
1984-03-18	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1726	1873	38.4%	33.2%	28.4%	-0.6	31
1984-03-18	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1873	1726	28.4%	33.2%	38.4%	+0.6	36
1984-03-18	Lazio Roma	W 3-0	1725	1676	59.5%	29.5%	11.1%	+10.6	26
1984-03-18	@ Avellino	L 0-3	1676	1725	11.1%	29.5%	59.5%	-10.6	22
1984-03-18	Fiorentina	L 0-2	1635	1884	25.6%	31.1%	43.3%	-14.3	11
1984-03-18	@ Catania	W 2-0	1884	1635	43.3%	31.1%	25.6%	+14.3	41
1984-03-18	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1643	1785	39.0%	33.2%	27.8%	-0.6	16
1984-03-18	@ Genoa	D 0-0	1785	1643	27.8%	33.2%	39.0%	+0.6	31
1984-03-18	Juventus	W 2-1	1834	1961	41.0%	33.2%	25.8%	+7.4	39
1984-03-18	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1961	1834	25.8%	33.2%	41.0%	-7.4	46
1984-03-18	Napoli	D 1-1	1722	1713	55.7%	31.0%	13.3%	-2.4	20
1984-03-18	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1713	1722	13.3%	31.0%	55.7%	+2.4	20
1984-03-18	Udinese	W 4-1	1913	1826	62.7%	27.8%	9.4%	+7.5	43
1984-03-18	@ Roma	L 1-4	1826	1913	9.4%	27.8%	62.7%	-7.5	33
1984-03-18	Ascoli	D 0-0	1821	1766	59.9%	29.3%	10.8%	-3.2	39
1984-03-18	@ Torino	D 0-0	1766	1821	10.8%	29.3%	59.9%	+3.2	30
1984-03-25	Roma	D 0-0	1769	1921	37.9%	33.1%	29.0%	-0.5	31
1984-03-25	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1921	1769	29.0%	33.1%	37.9%	+0.5	44
1984-03-25	AC Milan	D 2-2	1898	1725	69.9%	23.4%	6.7%	-2.8	42
1984-03-25	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1725	1898	6.7%	23.4%	69.9%	+2.8	32
1984-03-25	Genoa	D 1-1	1873	1642	74.6%	20.1%	5.3%	-4.0	37
1984-03-25	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1642	1873	5.3%	20.1%	74.6%	+4.0	17
1984-03-25	Catania	W 2-0	1954	1621	82.1%	14.4%	3.5%	+1.7	49
1984-03-25	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1621	1954	3.5%	14.4%	82.1%	-1.7	11
1984-03-25	Torino	W 1-0	1665	1818	37.7%	33.1%	29.2%	+8.5	25
1984-03-25	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1818	1665	29.2%	33.1%	37.7%	-8.5	39
1984-03-25	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1715	1842	41.0%	33.2%	25.7%	+7.8	23
1984-03-25	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1842	1715	25.7%	33.2%	41.0%	-7.8	39
1984-03-25	Avellino	L 0-1	1786	1736	59.5%	29.5%	11.0%	-14.8	31
1984-03-25	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1736	1786	11.0%	29.5%	59.5%	+14.8	29
1984-03-25	Pisa	W 2-1	1818	1719	63.8%	27.3%	9.0%	+2.9	36
1984-03-25	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1719	1818	9.0%	27.3%	63.8%	-2.9	20
1984-04-01	Napoli	L 0-2	1728	1723	55.4%	31.1%	13.5%	-26.3	32
1984-04-01	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1723	1728	13.5%	31.1%	55.4%	+26.3	26
1984-04-01	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1751	1834	46.2%	33.0%	20.8%	+6.7	32
1984-04-01	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1834	1751	20.8%	33.0%	46.2%	-6.7	39
1984-04-01	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1619	1673	49.3%	32.6%	18.0%	-1.7	12
1984-04-01	@ Catania	D 1-1	1673	1619	18.0%	32.6%	49.3%	+1.7	26
1984-04-01	Ascoli	W 1-0	1646	1769	41.5%	33.2%	25.2%	+7.7	20
1984-04-01	@ Genoa	L 0-1	1769	1646	25.2%	33.2%	41.5%	-7.7	31
1984-04-01	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1955	1895	60.4%	29.1%	10.6%	+3.7	52
1984-04-01	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1895	1955	10.6%	29.1%	60.4%	-3.7	42
1984-04-01	Torino	D 1-1	1716	1809	45.1%	33.1%	21.8%	-1.2	21
1984-04-01	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1809	1716	21.8%	33.1%	45.1%	+1.2	40
1984-04-01	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1921	1869	59.6%	29.4%	10.9%	+3.8	47
1984-04-01	@ Roma	L 0-1	1869	1921	10.9%	29.4%	59.6%	-3.8	37
1984-04-01	Sampdoria	L 0-3	1821	1771	59.5%	29.5%	11.0%	-40.5	36
1984-04-01	@ Udinese	W 3-0	1771	1821	11.0%	29.5%	59.5%	+40.5	34
1984-04-08	Pisa	W 3-2	1761	1715	59.1%	29.6%	11.2%	+3.5	34
1984-04-08	@ Ascoli	L 2-3	1715	1761	11.2%	29.6%	59.1%	-3.5	21
1984-04-08	Lazio Roma	W 3-2	1892	1675	73.5%	20.9%	5.7%	+1.5	45
1984-04-08	@ Fiorentina	L 2-3	1675	1892	5.7%	20.9%	73.5%	-1.5	26
1984-04-08	AC Milan	W 2-0	1654	1702	50.1%	32.5%	17.4%	+11.1	23
1984-04-08	@ Genoa	L 0-2	1702	1654	17.4%	32.5%	50.1%	-11.1	32
1984-04-08	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1827	1812	56.3%	30.8%	12.9%	+4.5	42
1984-04-08	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1812	1827	12.9%	30.8%	56.3%	-4.5	34
1984-04-08	Avellino	W 3-0	1866	1757	64.5%	26.8%	8.6%	+8.1	40
1984-04-08	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1757	1866	8.6%	26.8%	64.5%	-8.1	32
1984-04-08	Catania	W 3-0	1749	1617	66.6%	25.6%	7.8%	+7.2	29
1984-04-08	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1617	1749	7.8%	25.6%	66.6%	-7.2	12
1984-04-08	Juventus	D 0-0	1925	1959	51.5%	32.2%	16.3%	-2.2	48
1984-04-08	@ Roma	D 0-0	1959	1925	16.3%	32.2%	51.5%	+2.2	53
1984-04-08	Udinese	L 0-1	1810	1781	57.6%	30.3%	12.1%	-14.4	40
1984-04-08	@ Torino	W 1-0	1781	1810	12.1%	30.3%	57.6%	+14.4	39
1984-04-21	Ascoli	D 0-0	1691	1765	47.2%	32.9%	19.9%	-1.6	33
1984-04-21	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1765	1691	19.9%	32.9%	47.2%	+1.6	35
1984-04-21	Roma	D 2-2	1749	1923	34.9%	32.9%	32.2%	-0.1	33
1984-04-21	@ Avellino	D 2-2	1923	1749	32.2%	32.9%	34.9%	+0.1	49
1984-04-21	Genoa	L 1-2	1610	1665	49.2%	32.6%	18.1%	-11.9	12
1984-04-21	@ Catania	W 2-1	1665	1610	18.1%	32.6%	49.2%	+11.9	26
1984-04-21	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1893	1874	56.7%	30.6%	12.7%	-2.5	46
1984-04-21	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1874	1893	12.7%	30.6%	56.7%	+2.5	41
1984-04-21	Torino	D 2-2	1832	1796	58.2%	30.1%	11.8%	-2.0	43
1984-04-21	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1796	1832	11.8%	30.1%	58.2%	+2.0	41
1984-04-21	Udinese	W 3-2	1961	1795	69.4%	23.8%	6.9%	+2.0	56
1984-04-21	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1795	1961	6.9%	23.8%	69.4%	-2.0	39
1984-04-21	Napoli	W 3-2	1674	1756	46.2%	33.0%	20.7%	+6.0	29
1984-04-21	@ Lazio Roma	L 2-3	1756	1674	20.7%	33.0%	46.2%	-6.0	29
1984-04-21	Pisa	W 1-0	1807	1712	63.5%	27.4%	9.1%	+3.1	37
1984-04-21	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1712	1807	9.1%	27.4%	63.5%	-3.1	21
1984-04-28	Catania	W 2-1	1766	1598	69.6%	23.6%	6.8%	+2.1	38
1984-04-28	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1598	1766	6.8%	23.6%	69.6%	-2.0	12
1984-04-28	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1677	1830	37.7%	33.1%	29.2%	-0.4	27
1984-04-28	@ Genoa	D 1-1	1830	1677	29.2%	33.1%	37.7%	+0.4	44
1984-04-28	Juventus	L 1-2	1876	1963	45.7%	33.1%	21.2%	-11.2	41
1984-04-28	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1963	1876	21.2%	33.1%	45.7%	+11.2	59
1984-04-28	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1750	1810	48.7%	32.7%	18.5%	-1.6	30
1984-04-28	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1810	1750	18.5%	32.7%	48.7%	+1.6	38
1984-04-28	Avellino	W 1-0	1708	1749	50.8%	32.4%	16.9%	+5.7	24
1984-04-28	@ Pisa	L 0-1	1749	1708	16.9%	32.4%	50.8%	-5.7	33
1984-04-28	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1923	1891	57.9%	30.2%	11.9%	+4.0	52
1984-04-28	@ Roma	L 1-2	1891	1923	11.9%	30.2%	57.9%	-4.0	46
1984-04-28	AC Milan	L 1-2	1798	1689	64.6%	26.8%	8.6%	-14.8	41
1984-04-28	@ Torino	W 2-1	1689	1798	8.6%	26.8%	64.6%	+14.8	36
1984-04-28	Lazio Roma	W 2-0	1793	1680	65.0%	26.6%	8.5%	+5.4	42
1984-04-28	@ Udinese	L 0-2	1680	1793	8.5%	26.6%	65.0%	-5.4	29
1984-05-06	Pisa	W 2-1	1704	1714	53.9%	31.6%	14.5%	+4.8	39
1984-05-06	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1714	1704	14.5%	31.6%	53.9%	-4.8	24
1984-05-06	Roma	D 2-2	1596	1927	18.2%	27.9%	53.9%	+1.4	13
1984-05-06	@ Catania	D 2-2	1927	1596	53.9%	27.9%	18.2%	-1.4	53
1984-05-06	Genoa	D 0-0	1887	1677	72.9%	21.3%	5.8%	-4.4	47
1984-05-06	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1677	1887	5.8%	21.3%	72.9%	+4.4	28
1984-05-06	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1830	1865	51.4%	32.2%	16.4%	-12.3	44
1984-05-06	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1865	1830	16.4%	32.2%	51.4%	+12.3	44
1984-05-06	Avellino	D 1-1	1974	1743	74.6%	20.1%	5.3%	-4.0	60
1984-05-06	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1743	1974	5.3%	20.1%	74.6%	+4.0	34
1984-05-06	Ascoli	W 2-1	1674	1768	44.9%	33.1%	21.9%	+6.6	32
1984-05-06	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1768	1674	21.9%	33.1%	44.9%	-6.6	38
1984-05-06	Udinese	W 2-1	1749	1799	49.8%	32.6%	17.6%	+5.6	33
1984-05-06	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1799	1749	17.6%	32.6%	49.8%	-5.6	42
1984-05-06	Torino	W 2-1	1812	1783	57.6%	30.3%	12.1%	+4.0	41
1984-05-06	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1783	1812	12.1%	30.3%	57.6%	-4.0	41
1984-05-13	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1762	1816	49.4%	32.6%	18.0%	-12.6	38
1984-05-13	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1816	1762	18.0%	32.6%	49.4%	+12.7	44
1984-05-13	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1748	1882	40.0%	33.2%	26.8%	-0.8	35
1984-05-13	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1882	1748	26.8%	33.2%	40.0%	+0.8	48
1984-05-13	Juventus	W 2-1	1681	1970	21.6%	29.7%	48.7%	+11.4	31
1984-05-13	@ Genoa	L 1-2	1970	1681	48.7%	29.7%	21.6%	-11.4	60
1984-05-13	Catania	W 6-0	1877	1597	78.3%	17.3%	4.4%	+6.4	47
1984-05-13	@ Inter Milan	L 0-6	1597	1877	4.4%	17.3%	78.3%	-6.4	13
1984-05-13	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1709	1681	57.5%	30.3%	12.1%	-1.9	25
1984-05-13	@ Pisa	D 2-2	1681	1709	12.1%	30.3%	57.5%	+2.0	33
1984-05-13	Hellas Verona	W 3-2	1925	1818	64.5%	26.8%	8.6%	+2.6	56
1984-05-13	@ Roma	L 2-3	1818	1925	8.6%	26.8%	64.5%	-2.6	44
1984-05-13	Napoli	W 2-1	1779	1754	57.2%	30.5%	12.4%	+4.1	44
1984-05-13	@ Torino	L 1-2	1754	1779	12.4%	30.5%	57.2%	-4.1	33
1984-05-13	AC Milan	L 1-2	1793	1709	62.5%	28.0%	9.5%	-14.5	42
1984-05-13	@ Udinese	W 2-1	1709	1793	9.5%	28.0%	62.5%	+14.5	42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1983-10-30	8.18%	Sampdoria	1780	2	@ Juventus	1902	1
2	1984-04-28	8.62%	AC Milan	1689	2	@ Torino	1798	1
3	1984-05-13	9.53%	AC Milan	1709	2	@ Udinese	1793	1
4	1984-01-08	9.67%	Ascoli	1758	2	@ Sampdoria	1838	1
5	1984-03-25	11.02%	Avellino	1736	1	@ Sampdoria	1786	0
6	1984-04-01	11.03%	Sampdoria	1771	3	@ Udinese	1821	0
7	1983-09-12	11.27%	Sampdoria	1798	2	@ Inter Milan	1843	1
8	1983-12-11	11.37%	AC Milan	1728	4	@ Ascoli	1771	2
9	1984-04-08	12.09%	Udinese	1781	1	@ Torino	1810	0
10	1983-09-12	13.40%	Udinese	1736	5	@ Genoa	1743	0
11	1983-12-04	13.42%	Ascoli	1757	1	@ Pisa	1764	0
12	1984-04-01	13.51%	Napoli	1723	2	@ AC Milan	1728	0
13	1984-01-15	13.98%	Inter Milan	1826	2	@ Sampdoria	1824	0
14	1983-11-20	15.97%	Sampdoria	1801	2	@ Avellino	1771	0
15	1983-10-23	16.27%	Hellas Verona	1788	1	@ Catania	1754	0
16	1984-05-06	16.38%	Inter Milan	1865	2	@ Hellas Verona	1830	1
17	1983-10-02	16.58%	Fiorentina	1839	2	@ Sampdoria	1802	1
18	1983-12-18	17.32%	Torino	1796	1	@ AC Milan	1749	0
19	1984-01-29	17.68%	Hellas Verona	1806	3	@ Pisa	1756	0
20	1984-05-13	18.00%	Sampdoria	1816	1	@ Ascoli	1762	0
21	1984-04-21	18.10%	Genoa	1665	2	@ Catania	1610	1
22	1983-09-18	18.44%	Roma	1871	2	@ Sampdoria	1812	1
23	1983-10-23	19.84%	Avellino	1757	2	@ Genoa	1683	0
24	1984-01-08	19.98%	Pisa	1748	1	@ Lazio Roma	1672	0
25	1984-04-28	21.19%	Juventus	1963	2	@ Inter Milan	1876	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1983-09-12	61.71	Udinese	5	1736	13.40%	@ Genoa	0	1743	55.52%
2	1984-04-01	40.55	Sampdoria	3	1771	11.03%	@ Udinese	0	1821	59.48%
3	1984-01-29	34.88	Hellas Verona	3	1806	17.68%	@ Pisa	0	1756	49.76%
4	1984-04-01	26.32	Napoli	2	1723	13.51%	@ AC Milan	0	1728	55.35%
5	1984-01-15	26.04	Inter Milan	2	1826	13.98%	@ Sampdoria	0	1824	54.66%
6	1984-02-19	25.28	Juventus	3	1933	34.24%	@ AC Milan	0	1746	33.08%
7	1983-11-20	24.91	Sampdoria	2	1801	15.97%	@ Avellino	0	1771	51.91%
8	1983-10-23	22.98	Avellino	2	1757	19.84%	@ Genoa	0	1683	47.23%
9	1984-02-19	22.02	Inter Milan	2	1835	21.94%	@ Napoli	0	1741	44.92%
10	1983-09-18	21.57	@ Lazio Roma	3	1701	40.81%	Inter Milan	0	1829	25.95%
11	1983-12-11	21.45	AC Milan	4	1728	11.37%	@ Ascoli	2	1771	58.87%
12	1984-01-22	19.87	Udinese	2	1809	27.25%	@ Catania	0	1671	39.54%
13	1983-11-20	18.65	Juventus	2	1893	30.59%	@ Catania	0	1730	36.38%
14	1983-10-23	18.64	Roma	2	1881	30.64%	@ Lazio Roma	0	1718	36.34%
15	1983-09-12	18.14	@ Juventus	7	1874	64.25%	Ascoli	0	1769	8.76%
16	1984-02-19	15.47	Roma	2	1892	39.93%	@ Genoa	0	1666	28.23%
17	1983-12-11	15.13	@ Genoa	3	1662	51.65%	Catania	0	1695	16.17%
18	1983-10-30	15.01	Sampdoria	2	1780	8.18%	@ Juventus	1	1902	65.67%
19	1984-04-28	14.84	AC Milan	2	1689	8.62%	@ Torino	1	1798	64.58%
20	1984-03-25	14.81	Avellino	1	1736	11.02%	@ Sampdoria	0	1786	59.50%
21	1983-11-27	14.80	@ Lazio Roma	3	1684	52.19%	Catania	0	1711	15.76%
22	1984-05-13	14.50	AC Milan	2	1709	9.53%	@ Udinese	1	1793	62.49%
23	1984-01-08	14.45	Ascoli	2	1758	9.67%	@ Sampdoria	1	1838	62.18%
24	1984-04-08	14.43	Udinese	1	1781	12.09%	@ Torino	0	1810	57.62%
25	1984-03-18	14.30	Fiorentina	2	1884	43.26%	@ Catania	0	1635	25.60%