1985-86 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Juventus

7.58 points above expected

45 points · 37.42 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lecce

7.01 points below expected

16 points · 23.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	30	18	9	3	45	43	17	+26	37.4	+7.58
2	Roma	30	19	3	8	41	51	27	+24	34.5	+6.47
3	Napoli	30	14	11	5	39	35	21	+14	32.5	+6.53
4	Fiorentina	30	10	13	7	33	29	23	+6	31.8	+1.18
5	Torino	30	11	11	8	33	31	26	+5	31.9	+1.11
6	Inter Milan	30	12	8	10	32	36	33	+3	32.4	-0.41
7	AC Milan	30	10	11	9	31	26	24	+2	31.1	-0.14
8	Atalanta	30	7	15	8	29	27	26	+1	28.0	+1.00
9	Como	30	7	15	8	29	32	32	0	27.4	+1.60
10	Hellas Verona	30	9	10	11	28	31	40	-9	30.7	-2.73
11	Sampdoria	30	8	11	11	27	27	25	+2	32.4	-5.36
12	Avellino	30	9	9	12	27	28	38	-10	27.1	-0.08
13	Udinese	30	6	13	11	25	31	37	-6	28.4	-3.36
14	Pisa	30	5	13	12	23	27	40	-13	26.6	-3.61
15	Bari	30	5	12	13	22	18	31	-13	24.8	-2.77
16	Lecce	30	5	6	19	16	23	55	-32	23.0	-7.01

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Roma	2003	41	34.53	+6.47	96.0%	26	28	32	35	37	41	44
Juventus	1996	45	37.42	+7.58	98.0%	26	29	34	38	41	44	46
Napoli	1933	39	32.47	+6.53	96.0%	23	26	30	33	35	38	41
Fiorentina	1887	33	31.82	+1.18	62.0%	22	24	28	32	35	38	43
Inter Milan	1878	32	32.41	-0.41	50.0%	23	26	30	32	36	38	40
Atalanta	1871	29	28.00	+1.00	66.0%	16	21	25	28	31	34	39
Sampdoria	1868	27	32.36	-5.36	9.0%	22	25	29	32	35	39	41
Torino	1867	33	31.89	+1.11	61.0%	24	25	29	31	35	40	41
AC Milan	1860	31	31.14	-0.14	51.0%	23	25	29	31	33	37	41
Como	1850	29	27.40	+1.60	70.0%	17	21	24	27	30	35	39
Hellas Verona	1818	28	30.73	-2.73	32.0%	21	25	28	30	33	37	43
Avellino	1808	27	27.08	-0.08	52.0%	16	21	25	27	29	32	37
Udinese	1803	25	28.36	-3.36	23.0%	21	22	26	29	31	35	41
Pisa	1742	23	26.61	-3.61	23.0%	16	21	24	26	29	33	36
Bari	1731	22	24.77	-2.77	29.0%	14	17	22	24	28	32	36
Lecce	1666	16	23.01	-7.01	4.0%	15	17	20	23	25	30	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ATA	AVE	BAR	COM	FIO	HV	IM	JUV	LEC	NAP	PIS	ROM	SAM	TOR	UDI
AC Milan	—	0-2-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 3.13	1-1-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.12	2-0-0 3.39	0-0-2 2.59	2-0-0 3.17	0-0-2 2.35	0-2-0 2.67	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 3.11
Atalanta	0-2-0 2.56	—	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 3.04	1-1-0 2.71	0-2-0 2.40	1-1-0 2.47	2-0-0 2.21	0-1-1 1.90	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.39	0-1-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.23	1-1-0 2.34	0-2-0 2.56	0-1-1 2.85
Avellino	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.55	—	1-1-0 3.03	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 2.40	0-1-1 1.96	1-1-0 3.10	0-0-2 2.23	0-2-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.12	2-0-0 2.21	0-1-1 2.39	0-1-1 2.73
Bari	0-1-1 2.28	0-2-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.36	—	0-2-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.14	0-0-2 1.54	1-1-0 2.77	0-0-2 1.99	0-2-0 2.55	1-0-1 1.88	0-1-1 2.10	1-0-1 1.99	1-1-0 2.31
Como	0-1-1 2.28	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.63	0-2-0 2.82	—	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.05	2-0-0 3.09	0-1-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 1.90	0-2-0 2.21	1-1-0 2.18	0-2-0 2.58
Fiorentina	1-0-1 2.63	0-2-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.06	—	0-2-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.09	1-0-1 3.54	0-2-0 2.65	1-1-0 3.29	0-1-1 2.27	1-1-0 2.56	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.96
Hellas Verona	1-1-0 2.60	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 3.09	0-2-0 2.68	—	0-2-0 2.64	0-0-2 2.41	0-1-1 3.57	0-1-1 2.66	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.91
Inter Milan	1-1-0 2.73	0-0-2 3.18	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.27	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.87	0-2-0 2.74	—	0-1-1 2.30	2-0-0 3.47	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 2.54	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 3.04
Juventus	1-1-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.43	2-0-0 3.92	1-1-0 3.39	1-0-1 3.30	2-0-0 3.00	1-1-0 3.11	—	2-0-0 4.38	0-1-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.59	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.54
Lecce	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.36	1-0-1 1.85	1-1-0 1.84	0-0-2 1.97	0-0-2 1.16	—	0-1-1 2.14	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 1.56	0-0-2 1.80	0-1-1 2.09	1-0-1 2.32
Napoli	2-0-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.99	2-0-0 3.16	2-0-0 3.43	1-1-0 3.11	0-2-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.70	1-1-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.24	1-1-0 3.31	—	0-1-1 3.17	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 3.26
Pisa	0-0-2 2.23	1-1-0 2.57	0-2-0 2.63	0-2-0 2.83	1-1-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-2 2.39	1-0-1 2.09	0-1-1 1.83	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 2.25	—	0-0-2 1.65	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 2.20	0-2-0 2.64
Roma	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.31	1-0-1 3.56	0-1-1 3.51	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 3.98	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 3.77	—	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 2.88	2-0-0 3.22
Sampdoria	0-2-0 2.71	0-1-1 3.05	0-0-2 3.20	1-1-0 3.31	0-2-0 3.18	0-1-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.21	2-0-0 3.61	1-0-1 2.53	2-0-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.39	—	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 3.08
Torino	1-0-1 2.66	0-2-0 2.84	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.42	0-1-1 3.21	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.32	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-1 2.63	1-1-0 3.20	0-0-2 2.48	1-1-0 2.70	—	1-1-0 2.95
Udinese	0-1-1 2.29	1-1-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.63	0-1-1 3.08	0-2-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.46	0-1-1 2.35	0-0-2 1.92	1-0-1 3.08	1-1-0 2.14	0-2-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.17	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.43	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.83%	11.67%	5.83%	2.92%	0.62%	0.21%	37.08%
1	11.67%	13.75%	5.42%	3.33%	0.83%	0.42%	35.42%
2	5.83%	5.42%	5.42%	0.83%	0.21%	—	17.71%
3	2.92%	3.33%	0.83%	0.42%	—	—	7.50%
4	0.62%	0.83%	0.21%	—	—	—	1.67%
5+	0.21%	0.42%	—	—	—	—	0.62%
Total	37.08%	35.42%	17.71%	7.50%	1.67%	0.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.06
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.079
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	23.33%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	33.33%	23.33%	—	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	0.78
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	1.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.155
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	—	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	40.00%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Atalanta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.057
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	40.00%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Avellino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.014
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Bari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.60
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	1.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.024
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	26.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	46.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Como — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.149
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.33%	20.00%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	0.93
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.229
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	36.67%
1	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	20.00%	20.00%	13.33%	—	6.67%	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.105
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	56.67%	33.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	0.57
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	0.77
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.084
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	50.00%
1	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	26.67%	30.00%	23.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Lecce — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.039
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	23.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	46.67%	36.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	0.75
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.144
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
1	6.67%	33.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	53.33%
2	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	53.33%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Pisa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	40.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.026
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	13.33%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	20.00%	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.055
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
1	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	36.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.295
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	3.33%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	40.00%	36.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Udinese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.028
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Juventus	45	37.4	+7.58
2	Napoli	39	32.5	+6.53
3	Roma	41	34.5	+6.47
4	Como	29	27.4	+1.60
5	Fiorentina	33	31.8	+1.18

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lecce	16	23.0	-7.01
2	Sampdoria	27	32.4	-5.36
3	Pisa	23	26.6	-3.61
4	Udinese	25	28.4	-3.36
5	Bari	22	24.8	-2.77

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juventus	8	Sep 8 – Oct 27	1 in 2,836
2	Roma	6	Jan 5 – Feb 16	1 in 106
3	Napoli	4	Apr 6 – Apr 27	1 in 80
4	Pisa	2	Jan 5 – Jan 12	1 in 32
5	Inter Milan	3	Oct 13 – Oct 27	1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roma	2	Apr 20 – Apr 27	1 in 100
2	AC Milan	4	Mar 23 – Apr 20	1 in 86
3	Inter Milan	3	Jan 5 – Jan 19	1 in 56
4	Lecce	4	Dec 1 – Dec 22	1 in 47
5	Udinese	5	Dec 22 – Jan 26	1 in 36

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pisa	8	Dec 22 – Feb 23	1 in 110
2	Como	9	Nov 24 – Jan 26	1 in 85
3	Juventus	15	Nov 10 – Mar 9	1 in 36
4	Hellas Verona	6	Feb 9 – Mar 16	1 in 23
5	AC Milan	8	Dec 15 – Feb 16	1 in 22

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pisa	13	Jan 19 – Apr 27	1 in 148
2	Como	8	Jan 26 – Mar 23	1 in 46
3	Udinese	8	Sep 29 – Nov 24	1 in 29
4	AC Milan	7	Nov 10 – Jan 5	1 in 21
5	Inter Milan	6	Nov 3 – Dec 15	1 in 20

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Juventus	41.00%	20.00%	16.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	4.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Roma	16.00%	15.00%	27.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	2.00%	7.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Napoli	4.00%	12.00%	10.00%	16.00%	10.00%	13.00%	7.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	7.00%	—	6.00%	4.00%	—	—
Fiorentina	4.00%	9.00%	13.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Torino	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	11.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	6.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Inter Milan	7.00%	12.00%	8.00%	8.00%	12.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
AC Milan	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	9.00%	9.00%	18.00%	12.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Atalanta	1.00%	—	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%	3.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	13.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Como	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	12.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%
Hellas Verona	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	11.00%	13.00%	5.00%	9.00%	4.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Sampdoria	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	4.00%	1.00%	—
Avellino	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	5.00%	8.00%	15.00%	16.00%	11.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Udinese	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	15.00%	9.00%	14.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%
Pisa	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	13.00%	12.00%	15.00%	15.00%	10.00%
Bari	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	17.00%	21.00%	17.00%
Lecce	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	11.00%	22.00%	44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Juventus	100%	—
Roma	99.0%	1.0%
Inter Milan	97.0%	3.0%
AC Milan	96.0%	4.0%
Napoli	96.0%	4.0%
Sampdoria	95.0%	5.0%
Torino	93.0%	7.0%
Fiorentina	92.0%	8.0%
Hellas Verona	92.0%	8.0%
Atalanta	82.0%	18.0%
Udinese	82.0%	18.0%
Avellino	75.0%	25.0%
Como	73.0%	27.0%
Pisa	60.0%	40.0%
Bari	45.0%	55.0%
Lecce	23.0%	77.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1985-09-08	Roma	L 1-2	1808	1897	46.3%	32.8%	20.9%	-12.5	0
1985-09-08	@ Atalanta	W 2-1	1897	1808	20.9%	32.8%	46.3%	+12.5	3
1985-09-08	AC Milan	L 0-1	1781	1853	48.1%	32.6%	19.4%	-13.6	0
1985-09-08	@ Bari	W 1-0	1853	1781	19.4%	32.6%	48.1%	+13.6	3
1985-09-08	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1850	1897	50.8%	32.2%	17.0%	+6.3	3
1985-09-08	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1897	1850	17.0%	32.2%	50.8%	-6.3	0
1985-09-08	Lecce	D 2-2	1907	1801	64.5%	27.2%	8.4%	-2.7	1
1985-09-08	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1801	1907	8.4%	27.2%	64.5%	+2.7	1
1985-09-08	Pisa	W 3-1	1892	1794	63.8%	27.5%	8.7%	+5.5	3
1985-09-08	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1794	1892	8.7%	27.5%	63.8%	-5.4	0
1985-09-08	Avellino	W 1-0	1905	1828	62.0%	28.4%	9.5%	+3.7	3
1985-09-08	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1828	1905	9.5%	28.4%	62.0%	-3.7	0
1985-09-08	Como	W 2-1	1861	1797	60.9%	29.0%	10.1%	+3.7	3
1985-09-08	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1797	1861	10.1%	29.0%	60.9%	-3.7	0
1985-09-08	Torino	D 0-0	1830	1882	50.2%	32.3%	17.5%	-2.2	1
1985-09-08	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1882	1830	17.5%	32.3%	50.2%	+2.2	1
1985-09-15	Lecce	W 1-0	1867	1803	60.9%	29.0%	10.1%	+3.9	6
1985-09-15	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1803	1867	10.1%	29.0%	60.9%	-3.9	1
1985-09-15	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1796	1898	44.8%	32.9%	22.4%	+7.4	3
1985-09-15	@ Atalanta	L 1-2	1898	1796	22.4%	32.9%	44.8%	-7.4	3
1985-09-15	Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1824	1904	47.2%	32.7%	20.1%	+11.8	3
1985-09-15	@ Avellino	L 1-3	1904	1824	20.1%	32.7%	47.2%	-11.8	1
1985-09-15	Juventus	L 0-1	1793	1908	43.2%	32.9%	23.9%	-12.5	0
1985-09-15	@ Como	W 1-0	1908	1793	23.9%	32.9%	43.2%	+12.5	6
1985-09-15	Napoli	D 1-1	1788	1864	47.7%	32.6%	19.7%	-1.7	1
1985-09-15	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1864	1788	19.7%	32.6%	47.7%	+1.7	4
1985-09-15	Udinese	W 1-0	1909	1828	62.4%	28.2%	9.3%	+3.6	6
1985-09-15	@ Roma	L 0-1	1828	1909	9.3%	28.2%	62.4%	-3.6	1
1985-09-15	Bari	W 2-0	1891	1767	65.8%	26.4%	7.8%	+5.6	3
1985-09-15	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1767	1891	7.8%	26.4%	65.8%	-5.6	0
1985-09-15	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1884	1857	57.8%	30.3%	11.9%	+4.4	4
1985-09-15	@ Torino	L 1-2	1857	1884	11.9%	30.3%	57.8%	-4.4	3
1985-09-22	Roma	W 2-0	1761	1913	38.6%	32.8%	28.5%	+17.5	3
1985-09-22	@ Bari	L 0-2	1913	1761	28.5%	32.8%	38.6%	-17.4	6
1985-09-22	AC Milan	W 2-0	1852	1871	53.6%	31.6%	14.8%	+10.7	6
1985-09-22	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1871	1852	14.8%	31.6%	53.6%	-10.7	6
1985-09-22	Como	W 3-0	1892	1781	64.9%	26.9%	8.2%	+8.6	4
1985-09-22	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1781	1892	8.2%	26.9%	64.9%	-8.6	0
1985-09-22	Avellino	W 3-1	1890	1836	60.2%	29.3%	10.5%	+6.7	6
1985-09-22	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1836	1890	10.5%	29.3%	60.2%	-6.7	3
1985-09-22	Pisa	W 3-1	1921	1787	66.6%	25.9%	7.5%	+4.6	9
1985-09-22	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1787	1921	7.5%	25.9%	66.6%	-4.6	1
1985-09-22	Torino	D 0-0	1799	1889	46.2%	32.8%	21.0%	-1.6	2
1985-09-22	@ Lecce	D 0-0	1889	1799	21.0%	32.8%	46.2%	+1.7	5
1985-09-22	Atalanta	W 1-0	1866	1803	60.9%	29.0%	10.1%	+3.9	7
1985-09-22	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1803	1866	10.1%	29.0%	60.9%	-4.0	3
1985-09-22	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1824	1896	48.1%	32.6%	19.3%	+6.6	4
1985-09-22	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1896	1824	19.3%	32.6%	48.1%	-6.6	3
1985-09-29	Avellino	W 3-0	1860	1829	58.1%	30.2%	11.7%	+12.5	9
1985-09-29	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1829	1860	11.7%	30.2%	58.1%	-12.5	3
1985-09-29	Pisa	L 1-2	1799	1782	56.9%	30.6%	12.5%	-14.9	3
1985-09-29	@ Atalanta	W 2-1	1782	1799	12.5%	30.6%	56.9%	+14.9	4
1985-09-29	Como	D 1-1	1779	1772	55.9%	30.9%	13.1%	-2.7	4
1985-09-29	@ Bari	D 1-1	1772	1779	13.1%	30.9%	55.9%	+2.7	1
1985-09-29	Lecce	W 3-1	1863	1798	61.1%	28.9%	10.0%	+6.4	9
1985-09-29	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1798	1863	10.0%	28.9%	61.1%	-6.4	2
1985-09-29	Juventus	L 0-1	1901	1925	53.0%	31.7%	15.2%	-14.9	4
1985-09-29	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1925	1901	15.2%	31.7%	53.0%	+14.9	12
1985-09-29	Roma	D 1-1	1870	1895	52.9%	31.8%	15.3%	-2.3	8
1985-09-29	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1895	1870	15.3%	31.8%	52.9%	+2.3	7
1985-09-29	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1890	1890	55.4%	31.1%	13.5%	+5.2	8
1985-09-29	@ Torino	L 0-1	1890	1890	13.5%	31.1%	55.4%	-5.2	3
1985-09-29	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1831	1897	48.8%	32.5%	18.8%	-1.8	5
1985-09-29	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1897	1831	18.8%	32.5%	48.8%	+1.8	7
1985-10-06	Udinese	D 2-2	1817	1829	54.2%	31.4%	14.4%	-1.9	4
1985-10-06	@ Avellino	D 2-2	1829	1817	14.4%	31.4%	54.2%	+1.8	6
1985-10-06	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1775	1869	45.6%	32.8%	21.6%	-1.6	2
1985-10-06	@ Como	D 0-0	1869	1775	21.6%	32.8%	45.6%	+1.6	10
1985-10-06	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1899	1886	56.5%	30.7%	12.8%	-3.1	8
1985-10-06	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1886	1899	12.8%	30.7%	56.5%	+3.1	5
1985-10-06	Atalanta	W 2-0	1940	1784	68.3%	24.8%	6.9%	+4.7	15
1985-10-06	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1784	1940	6.9%	24.8%	68.3%	-4.7	3
1985-10-06	Napoli	D 0-0	1791	1868	47.6%	32.6%	19.7%	-1.8	3
1985-10-06	@ Lecce	D 0-0	1868	1791	19.7%	32.6%	47.6%	+1.8	9
1985-10-06	Bari	D 1-1	1797	1776	57.2%	30.5%	12.3%	-2.9	5
1985-10-06	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1776	1797	12.3%	30.5%	57.2%	+2.9	5
1985-10-06	Torino	W 2-0	1898	1895	55.6%	31.1%	13.4%	+9.8	10
1985-10-06	@ Roma	L 0-2	1895	1898	13.4%	31.1%	55.6%	-9.8	8
1985-10-06	AC Milan	D 1-1	1884	1872	56.4%	30.8%	12.8%	-2.8	4
1985-10-06	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1872	1884	12.8%	30.8%	56.4%	+2.8	10
1985-10-13	Como	W 1-0	1875	1773	64.1%	27.4%	8.6%	+3.3	13
1985-10-13	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1773	1875	8.6%	27.4%	64.1%	-3.3	2
1985-10-13	Lecce	W 3-1	1780	1789	54.4%	31.4%	14.2%	+8.9	6
1985-10-13	@ Atalanta	L 1-3	1789	1780	14.2%	31.4%	54.4%	-8.9	3
1985-10-13	Roma	W 1-0	1815	1908	45.8%	32.8%	21.4%	+7.6	7
1985-10-13	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1908	1815	21.4%	32.8%	45.8%	-7.6	10
1985-10-13	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1779	1896	43.0%	32.9%	24.1%	-20.3	5
1985-10-13	@ Bari	W 3-1	1896	1779	24.1%	32.9%	43.0%	+20.3	11
1985-10-13	Napoli	D 0-0	1871	1869	55.5%	31.1%	13.5%	-3.0	11
1985-10-13	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1869	1871	13.5%	31.1%	55.5%	+3.0	10
1985-10-13	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1889	1882	56.0%	30.9%	13.1%	+4.8	8
1985-10-13	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1882	1889	13.1%	30.9%	56.0%	-4.8	4
1985-10-13	Juventus	L 1-2	1886	1945	49.5%	32.4%	18.1%	-13.2	8
1985-10-13	@ Torino	W 2-1	1945	1886	18.1%	32.4%	49.5%	+13.2	18
1985-10-13	Pisa	D 1-1	1831	1794	58.6%	30.0%	11.4%	-3.0	7
1985-10-13	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1794	1831	11.4%	30.0%	58.6%	+3.0	6
1985-10-20	Torino	W 1-0	1878	1873	55.9%	30.9%	13.2%	+5.1	16
1985-10-20	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1873	1878	13.2%	30.9%	55.9%	-5.1	8
1985-10-20	Udinese	D 0-0	1770	1828	49.6%	32.4%	18.0%	-2.1	3
1985-10-20	@ Como	D 0-0	1828	1770	18.0%	32.4%	49.6%	+2.1	8
1985-10-20	Bari	W 4-0	1958	1759	71.7%	22.6%	5.8%	+7.2	21
1985-10-20	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1759	1958	5.8%	22.6%	71.7%	-7.2	5
1985-10-20	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1781	1916	40.7%	32.9%	26.4%	-11.9	3
1985-10-20	@ Lecce	W 1-0	1916	1781	26.4%	32.9%	40.7%	+11.9	14
1985-10-20	Hellas Verona	W 5-0	1872	1894	53.3%	31.7%	15.0%	+25.3	13
1985-10-20	@ Napoli	L 0-5	1894	1872	15.0%	31.7%	53.3%	-25.2	8
1985-10-20	Avellino	D 1-1	1797	1822	52.9%	31.8%	15.3%	-2.3	7
1985-10-20	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1822	1797	15.3%	31.8%	52.9%	+2.3	8
1985-10-20	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1900	1868	58.2%	30.1%	11.7%	+4.3	13
1985-10-20	@ Roma	L 1-2	1868	1900	11.7%	30.1%	58.2%	-4.3	11
1985-10-20	Atalanta	D 0-0	1877	1789	63.0%	28.0%	9.1%	-3.9	5
1985-10-20	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1789	1877	9.1%	28.0%	63.0%	+3.9	7
1985-10-27	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1793	1864	48.2%	32.6%	19.2%	-1.9	8
1985-10-27	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1864	1793	19.2%	32.6%	48.2%	+1.9	12
1985-10-27	Como	L 1-4	1825	1768	60.4%	29.2%	10.4%	-38.3	8
1985-10-27	@ Avellino	W 4-1	1768	1825	10.4%	29.2%	60.4%	+38.3	6
1985-10-27	Lecce	W 2-0	1751	1769	53.7%	31.6%	14.7%	+10.6	8
1985-10-27	@ Bari	L 0-2	1769	1751	14.7%	31.6%	53.7%	-10.6	3
1985-10-27	AC Milan	W 1-0	1869	1884	53.9%	31.5%	14.6%	+5.6	11
1985-10-27	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1884	1869	14.6%	31.5%	53.9%	-5.6	16
1985-10-27	Roma	W 2-1	1928	1904	57.5%	30.4%	12.1%	+4.5	17
1985-10-27	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1904	1928	12.1%	30.4%	57.5%	-4.5	13
1985-10-27	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1795	1873	47.4%	32.6%	19.9%	-25.4	7
1985-10-27	@ Pisa	W 2-0	1873	1795	19.9%	32.6%	47.4%	+25.4	8
1985-10-27	Napoli	W 2-1	1867	1898	52.4%	31.9%	15.7%	+5.6	11
1985-10-27	@ Torino	L 1-2	1898	1867	15.7%	31.9%	52.4%	-5.6	13
1985-10-27	Juventus	L 1-2	1830	1965	40.7%	32.9%	26.4%	-11.2	8
1985-10-27	@ Udinese	W 2-1	1965	1830	26.4%	32.9%	40.7%	+11.2	24
1985-11-03	Pisa	W 1-0	1878	1769	64.6%	27.1%	8.3%	+3.2	19
1985-11-03	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1769	1878	8.3%	27.1%	64.6%	-3.2	7
1985-11-03	Atalanta	L 0-2	1806	1791	56.8%	30.6%	12.6%	-29.7	6
1985-11-03	@ Como	W 2-0	1791	1806	12.6%	30.6%	56.8%	+29.7	11
1985-11-03	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1866	1932	48.7%	32.5%	18.8%	+18.8	15
1985-11-03	@ Fiorentina	L 0-3	1932	1866	18.8%	32.5%	48.7%	-18.8	17
1985-11-03	Udinese	W 2-0	1758	1819	49.3%	32.4%	18.2%	+12.6	6
1985-11-03	@ Lecce	L 0-2	1819	1758	18.2%	32.4%	49.3%	-12.6	8
1985-11-03	Juventus	W 1-0	1892	1976	46.8%	32.7%	20.5%	+7.3	16
1985-11-03	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1976	1892	20.5%	32.7%	46.8%	-7.3	24
1985-11-03	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1900	1874	57.7%	30.3%	12.0%	+4.4	16
1985-11-03	@ Roma	L 1-2	1874	1900	12.0%	30.3%	57.7%	-4.4	11
1985-11-03	Avellino	L 0-2	1898	1786	64.9%	26.9%	8.2%	-33.1	8
1985-11-03	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1786	1898	8.2%	26.9%	64.9%	+33.1	11
1985-11-03	Bari	W 1-0	1873	1762	64.8%	26.9%	8.2%	+3.1	14
1985-11-03	@ Torino	L 0-1	1762	1873	8.2%	26.9%	64.8%	-3.1	8
1985-11-10	Torino	D 0-0	1819	1876	49.8%	32.4%	17.9%	-2.2	12
1985-11-10	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1876	1819	17.9%	32.4%	49.8%	+2.1	15
1985-11-10	Atalanta	D 0-0	1759	1820	49.2%	32.4%	18.3%	-2.1	9
1985-11-10	@ Bari	D 0-0	1820	1759	18.3%	32.4%	49.2%	+2.1	12
1985-11-10	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1870	1884	54.0%	31.5%	14.5%	-1.8	12
1985-11-10	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1884	1870	14.5%	31.5%	54.0%	+1.8	16
1985-11-10	Napoli	D 1-1	1913	1899	56.6%	30.7%	12.7%	-2.8	18
1985-11-10	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1899	1913	12.7%	30.7%	56.6%	+2.8	17
1985-11-10	Roma	W 3-1	1969	1904	61.0%	28.9%	10.1%	+6.4	27
1985-11-10	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1904	1969	10.1%	28.9%	61.0%	-6.4	16
1985-11-10	Como	W 4-1	1766	1777	54.4%	31.4%	14.2%	+12.6	10
1985-11-10	@ Pisa	L 1-4	1777	1766	14.2%	31.4%	54.4%	-12.6	6
1985-11-10	Lecce	W 2-0	1865	1771	63.5%	27.7%	8.8%	+6.4	11
1985-11-10	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1771	1865	8.8%	27.7%	63.5%	-6.4	6
1985-11-10	AC Milan	D 0-0	1806	1881	47.8%	32.6%	19.6%	-1.9	9
1985-11-10	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1881	1806	19.6%	32.6%	47.8%	+1.9	20
1985-11-24	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1822	1868	50.9%	32.2%	16.9%	-2.3	13
1985-11-24	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1868	1822	16.9%	32.2%	50.9%	+2.3	13
1985-11-24	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1764	1872	44.1%	32.9%	23.1%	-0.9	7
1985-11-24	@ Como	D 2-2	1872	1764	23.1%	32.9%	44.1%	+0.9	12
1985-11-24	Bari	D 0-0	1886	1757	66.3%	26.1%	7.6%	-4.3	17
1985-11-24	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1757	1886	7.6%	26.1%	66.3%	+4.3	10
1985-11-24	Juventus	D 1-1	1911	1975	48.9%	32.5%	18.6%	-1.8	19
1985-11-24	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1975	1911	18.6%	32.5%	48.9%	+1.8	28
1985-11-24	Avellino	D 2-2	1764	1817	50.1%	32.3%	17.6%	-1.5	7
1985-11-24	@ Lecce	D 2-2	1817	1764	17.6%	32.3%	50.1%	+1.5	13
1985-11-24	Udinese	D 1-1	1902	1804	63.8%	27.5%	8.7%	-3.6	18
1985-11-24	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1804	1902	8.7%	27.5%	63.8%	+3.6	10
1985-11-24	AC Milan	W 2-1	1898	1883	56.7%	30.7%	12.6%	+4.6	19
1985-11-24	@ Roma	L 1-2	1883	1898	12.6%	30.7%	56.7%	-4.6	20
1985-11-24	Pisa	W 4-1	1878	1779	63.9%	27.5%	8.6%	+7.7	18
1985-11-24	@ Torino	L 1-4	1779	1878	8.6%	27.5%	63.9%	-7.6	10
1985-12-01	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1878	1909	52.4%	31.9%	15.7%	-1.7	21
1985-12-01	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1909	1878	15.7%	31.9%	52.4%	+1.7	20
1985-12-01	Atalanta	W 1-0	1819	1820	55.2%	31.1%	13.6%	+5.3	16
1985-12-01	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1820	1819	13.6%	31.1%	55.2%	-5.3	13
1985-12-01	Napoli	L 1-2	1761	1899	40.4%	32.9%	26.7%	-11.2	10
1985-12-01	@ Bari	W 2-1	1899	1761	26.7%	32.9%	40.4%	+11.1	21
1985-12-01	Torino	D 1-1	1763	1886	42.2%	32.9%	24.9%	-1.0	8
1985-12-01	@ Como	D 1-1	1886	1763	24.9%	32.9%	42.2%	+1.0	19
1985-12-01	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1977	1882	63.6%	27.6%	8.8%	+3.4	31
1985-12-01	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1882	1977	8.8%	27.6%	63.6%	-3.4	17
1985-12-01	Lecce	W 3-0	1771	1763	56.1%	30.9%	13.0%	+13.8	13
1985-12-01	@ Pisa	L 0-3	1763	1771	13.0%	30.9%	56.1%	-13.8	7
1985-12-01	Roma	W 1-0	1873	1902	52.5%	31.9%	15.7%	+5.9	15
1985-12-01	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1902	1873	15.7%	31.9%	52.5%	-5.9	19
1985-12-01	Hellas Verona	W 5-1	1808	1870	49.1%	32.5%	18.4%	+20.1	13
1985-12-01	@ Udinese	L 1-5	1870	1808	18.4%	32.5%	49.1%	-20.1	13
1985-12-08	Udinese	D 1-1	1815	1828	54.1%	31.5%	14.4%	-2.5	14
1985-12-08	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1828	1815	14.4%	31.5%	54.1%	+2.5	14
1985-12-08	Avellino	W 1-0	1878	1824	60.2%	29.3%	10.5%	+4.1	20
1985-12-08	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1824	1878	10.5%	29.3%	60.2%	-4.1	16
1985-12-08	Bari	W 2-0	1850	1750	63.9%	27.4%	8.6%	+6.2	16
1985-12-08	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1750	1850	8.6%	27.4%	63.9%	-6.2	10
1985-12-08	Torino	D 3-3	1910	1887	57.5%	30.4%	12.1%	-1.8	21
1985-12-08	@ Inter Milan	D 3-3	1887	1910	12.1%	30.4%	57.5%	+1.8	20
1985-12-08	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1981	1879	64.1%	27.3%	8.6%	+3.3	34
1985-12-08	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1879	1981	8.6%	27.3%	64.1%	-3.3	15
1985-12-08	Como	L 1-4	1749	1762	54.1%	31.5%	14.4%	-35.0	7
1985-12-08	@ Lecce	W 4-1	1762	1749	14.4%	31.5%	54.1%	+35.0	11
1985-12-08	AC Milan	W 2-0	1910	1877	58.3%	30.1%	11.6%	+8.5	24
1985-12-08	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1877	1910	11.6%	30.1%	58.3%	-8.5	21
1985-12-08	Pisa	W 1-0	1897	1785	64.9%	26.9%	8.2%	+3.1	22
1985-12-08	@ Roma	L 0-1	1785	1897	8.2%	26.9%	64.9%	-3.1	13
1985-12-15	Juventus	D 0-0	1868	1984	43.1%	32.9%	24.0%	-1.2	22
1985-12-15	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1984	1868	24.0%	32.9%	43.1%	+1.2	35
1985-12-15	Bari	D 0-0	1820	1744	62.0%	28.5%	9.6%	-3.8	17
1985-12-15	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1744	1820	9.6%	28.5%	62.0%	+3.8	11
1985-12-15	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1797	1909	43.6%	32.9%	23.5%	+8.1	14
1985-12-15	@ Como	L 0-1	1909	1797	23.5%	32.9%	43.6%	-8.1	21
1985-12-15	Roma	L 0-3	1714	1900	34.1%	32.5%	33.4%	-28.5	7
1985-12-15	@ Lecce	W 3-0	1900	1714	33.4%	32.5%	34.1%	+28.5	25
1985-12-15	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1782	1856	47.8%	32.6%	19.6%	-13.6	13
1985-12-15	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1856	1782	19.6%	32.6%	47.8%	+13.6	19
1985-12-15	Napoli	W 2-0	1875	1918	51.2%	32.1%	16.7%	+11.8	18
1985-12-15	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1918	1875	16.7%	32.1%	51.2%	-11.8	24
1985-12-15	Atalanta	D 0-0	1889	1812	62.0%	28.4%	9.6%	-3.8	21
1985-12-15	@ Torino	D 0-0	1812	1889	9.6%	28.4%	62.0%	+3.8	15
1985-12-15	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1830	1883	50.2%	32.3%	17.5%	-1.5	15
1985-12-15	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1883	1830	17.5%	32.3%	50.2%	+1.5	21
1985-12-22	AC Milan	D 1-1	1816	1867	50.4%	32.3%	17.4%	-2.0	16
1985-12-22	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1867	1816	17.4%	32.3%	50.4%	+2.0	23
1985-12-22	Udinese	W 1-0	1748	1829	47.1%	32.7%	20.2%	+7.2	14
1985-12-22	@ Bari	L 0-1	1829	1748	20.2%	32.7%	47.1%	-7.2	15
1985-12-22	Pisa	D 1-1	1884	1768	65.2%	26.7%	8.1%	-3.8	22
1985-12-22	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1768	1884	8.1%	26.7%	65.2%	+3.8	14
1985-12-22	Torino	W 1-0	1870	1885	53.9%	31.5%	14.6%	+5.6	22
1985-12-22	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1885	1870	14.6%	31.5%	53.9%	-5.6	21
1985-12-22	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1901	1887	56.6%	30.7%	12.7%	+4.9	24
1985-12-22	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1887	1901	12.7%	30.7%	56.6%	-4.9	18
1985-12-22	Lecce	W 4-0	1985	1686	78.9%	17.2%	3.9%	+4.2	38
1985-12-22	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1686	1985	3.9%	17.2%	78.9%	-4.2	7
1985-12-22	Avellino	W 1-0	1906	1816	63.1%	27.9%	9.0%	+3.5	27
1985-12-22	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1816	1906	9.0%	27.9%	63.1%	-3.5	17
1985-12-22	Como	D 0-0	1928	1805	65.8%	26.4%	7.8%	-4.3	26
1985-12-22	@ Roma	D 0-0	1805	1928	7.8%	26.4%	65.8%	+4.2	15
1986-01-05	Bari	D 0-0	1869	1755	65.1%	26.8%	8.1%	-4.2	24
1986-01-05	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1755	1869	8.1%	26.8%	65.1%	+4.2	15
1986-01-05	Juventus	D 0-0	1813	1989	35.3%	32.6%	32.1%	-0.2	18
1986-01-05	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1989	1813	32.1%	32.6%	35.3%	+0.2	39
1986-01-05	Napoli	D 1-1	1809	1910	44.9%	32.8%	22.3%	-1.3	16
1986-01-05	@ Como	D 1-1	1910	1809	22.3%	32.8%	44.9%	+1.3	28
1986-01-05	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1681	1876	32.9%	32.4%	34.7%	+10.5	10
1986-01-05	@ Lecce	L 0-1	1876	1681	34.7%	32.4%	32.9%	-10.5	22
1986-01-05	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1772	1905	40.9%	32.9%	26.2%	+8.7	17
1986-01-05	@ Pisa	L 0-1	1905	1772	26.2%	32.9%	40.9%	-8.7	24
1986-01-05	Atalanta	W 4-0	1924	1814	64.7%	27.0%	8.3%	+11.3	29
1986-01-05	@ Roma	L 0-4	1814	1924	8.3%	27.0%	64.7%	-11.3	16
1986-01-05	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1882	1880	55.5%	31.1%	13.4%	-2.0	19
1986-01-05	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1880	1882	13.4%	31.1%	55.5%	+2.0	23
1986-01-05	Udinese	W 2-0	1879	1822	60.4%	29.2%	10.4%	+7.6	24
1986-01-05	@ Torino	L 0-2	1822	1879	10.4%	29.2%	60.4%	-7.6	15
1986-01-12	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1759	1880	42.5%	32.9%	24.6%	-1.1	16
1986-01-12	@ Bari	D 0-0	1880	1759	24.6%	32.9%	42.5%	+1.1	20
1986-01-12	Torino	D 0-0	1882	1887	54.9%	31.2%	13.9%	-2.9	24
1986-01-12	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1887	1882	13.9%	31.2%	54.9%	+2.9	25
1986-01-12	Avellino	W 2-0	1865	1812	60.0%	29.4%	10.6%	+7.8	25
1986-01-12	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1812	1865	10.6%	29.4%	60.0%	-7.8	18
1986-01-12	Atalanta	L 1-3	1897	1803	63.4%	27.7%	8.9%	-28.2	24
1986-01-12	@ Inter Milan	W 3-1	1803	1897	8.9%	27.7%	63.4%	+28.2	19
1986-01-12	Como	D 0-0	1990	1808	70.3%	23.5%	6.2%	-4.7	40
1986-01-12	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1808	1990	6.2%	23.5%	70.3%	+4.7	17
1986-01-12	AC Milan	L 0-2	1692	1865	35.8%	32.6%	31.5%	-20.3	10
1986-01-12	@ Lecce	W 2-0	1865	1692	31.5%	32.6%	35.8%	+20.3	27
1986-01-12	Pisa	L 0-1	1911	1781	66.4%	26.0%	7.6%	-17.8	28
1986-01-12	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1781	1911	7.6%	26.0%	66.4%	+17.8	20
1986-01-12	Roma	L 0-2	1814	1935	42.4%	32.9%	24.6%	-23.2	15
1986-01-12	@ Udinese	W 2-0	1935	1814	24.6%	32.9%	42.4%	+23.2	32
1986-01-19	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1885	1879	55.9%	30.9%	13.2%	+5.1	30
1986-01-19	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1879	1885	13.2%	30.9%	55.9%	-5.1	24
1986-01-19	Napoli	D 0-0	1831	1893	49.2%	32.5%	18.4%	-2.1	20
1986-01-19	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1893	1831	18.4%	32.5%	49.2%	+2.1	29
1986-01-19	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1805	1869	49.0%	32.5%	18.5%	+6.8	21
1986-01-19	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1869	1805	18.5%	32.5%	49.0%	-6.8	24
1986-01-19	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1813	1873	49.4%	32.4%	18.2%	+6.7	20
1986-01-19	@ Como	L 0-1	1873	1813	18.2%	32.4%	49.4%	-6.7	25
1986-01-19	Juventus	D 1-1	1799	1985	34.0%	32.5%	33.5%	-0.0	21
1986-01-19	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1985	1799	33.5%	32.5%	34.0%	+0.0	41
1986-01-19	Bari	W 2-1	1958	1758	71.8%	22.5%	5.7%	+1.9	35
1986-01-19	@ Roma	L 1-2	1758	1958	5.7%	22.5%	71.8%	-1.9	16
1986-01-19	Udinese	W 3-0	1881	1791	63.2%	27.9%	9.0%	+9.5	23
1986-01-19	@ Sampdoria	L 0-3	1791	1881	9.0%	27.9%	63.2%	-9.5	15
1986-01-19	Lecce	W 3-1	1890	1672	73.1%	21.6%	5.3%	+3.0	28
1986-01-19	@ Torino	L 1-3	1672	1890	5.3%	21.6%	73.1%	-3.0	10
1986-01-26	AC Milan	D 1-1	1811	1890	47.4%	32.7%	20.0%	-1.6	22
1986-01-26	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1890	1811	20.0%	32.7%	47.4%	+1.6	31
1986-01-26	Bari	D 1-1	1819	1756	60.9%	29.0%	10.1%	-3.3	21
1986-01-26	@ Como	D 1-1	1756	1819	10.1%	29.0%	60.9%	+3.3	17
1986-01-26	Udinese	W 2-1	1862	1781	62.3%	28.3%	9.4%	+3.4	27
1986-01-26	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1781	1862	9.4%	28.3%	62.3%	-3.4	15
1986-01-26	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1985	1866	65.4%	26.6%	8.0%	+8.3	44
1986-01-26	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1866	1985	8.0%	26.6%	65.4%	-8.3	25
1986-01-26	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1669	1874	31.4%	32.2%	36.4%	+10.2	13
1986-01-26	@ Lecce	L 1-2	1874	1669	36.4%	32.2%	31.4%	-10.2	24
1986-01-26	Atalanta	D 1-1	1799	1829	52.4%	31.9%	15.7%	-2.3	22
1986-01-26	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1829	1799	15.7%	31.9%	52.4%	+2.3	21
1986-01-26	Napoli	W 2-0	1960	1896	61.0%	28.9%	10.1%	+7.4	38
1986-01-26	@ Roma	L 0-2	1896	1960	10.1%	28.9%	61.0%	-7.4	29
1986-01-26	Torino	D 0-0	1891	1893	55.1%	31.2%	13.7%	-2.9	24
1986-01-26	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1893	1891	13.7%	31.2%	55.1%	+2.9	29
1986-02-09	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1892	1888	55.7%	31.0%	13.3%	-2.0	32
1986-02-09	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1888	1892	13.3%	31.0%	55.7%	+2.0	25
1986-02-09	Juventus	D 0-0	1831	1993	37.3%	32.8%	30.0%	-0.4	22
1986-02-09	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1993	1831	30.0%	32.8%	37.3%	+0.4	45
1986-02-09	Pisa	D 0-0	1759	1796	51.8%	32.0%	16.2%	-2.4	18
1986-02-09	@ Bari	D 0-0	1796	1759	16.2%	32.0%	51.8%	+2.4	23
1986-02-09	Como	W 1-0	1864	1816	59.6%	29.6%	10.8%	+4.2	27
1986-02-09	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1816	1864	10.8%	29.6%	59.6%	-4.2	21
1986-02-09	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1858	1865	54.6%	31.3%	14.0%	-2.9	26
1986-02-09	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1865	1858	14.0%	31.3%	54.6%	+2.8	28
1986-02-09	Lecce	W 1-0	1888	1679	72.4%	22.0%	5.5%	+1.9	32
1986-02-09	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1679	1888	5.5%	22.0%	72.4%	-1.9	13
1986-02-09	Roma	L 0-1	1896	1968	48.1%	32.6%	19.3%	-13.7	29
1986-02-09	@ Torino	W 1-0	1968	1896	19.3%	32.6%	48.1%	+13.6	41
1986-02-09	Avellino	W 3-1	1778	1810	52.3%	31.9%	15.8%	+9.8	18
1986-02-09	@ Udinese	L 1-3	1810	1778	15.8%	31.9%	52.3%	-9.8	22
1986-02-16	AC Milan	D 1-1	1812	1890	47.5%	32.6%	19.9%	-1.6	22
1986-02-16	@ Como	D 1-1	1890	1812	19.9%	32.6%	47.5%	+1.6	33
1986-02-16	Bari	W 1-0	1868	1757	64.8%	26.9%	8.2%	+3.1	31
1986-02-16	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1757	1868	8.2%	26.9%	64.8%	-3.1	18
1986-02-16	Torino	D 1-1	1994	1882	64.9%	26.9%	8.2%	-3.7	46
1986-02-16	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1882	1994	8.2%	26.9%	64.9%	+3.7	30
1986-02-16	Atalanta	W 2-1	1677	1831	38.3%	32.8%	28.9%	+8.8	16
1986-02-16	@ Lecce	L 1-2	1831	1677	28.9%	32.8%	38.3%	-8.8	22
1986-02-16	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1890	1868	57.3%	30.5%	12.2%	-3.2	33
1986-02-16	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1868	1890	12.2%	30.5%	57.3%	+3.2	28
1986-02-16	Udinese	D 0-0	1799	1788	56.4%	30.8%	12.9%	-3.1	24
1986-02-16	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1788	1799	12.9%	30.8%	56.4%	+3.1	19
1986-02-16	Avellino	W 5-1	1981	1800	70.3%	23.5%	6.2%	+6.6	44
1986-02-16	@ Roma	L 1-5	1800	1981	6.2%	23.5%	70.3%	-6.6	22
1986-02-16	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1890	1855	58.5%	30.0%	11.5%	-3.4	26
1986-02-16	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1855	1890	11.5%	30.0%	58.5%	+3.4	27
1986-02-23	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1822	1886	48.9%	32.5%	18.6%	+6.4	25
1986-02-23	@ Atalanta	L 1-2	1886	1822	18.6%	32.5%	48.9%	-6.4	26
1986-02-23	Pisa	D 1-1	1793	1796	55.1%	31.2%	13.7%	-2.6	23
1986-02-23	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1796	1793	13.7%	31.2%	55.1%	+2.6	25
1986-02-23	Juventus	L 0-3	1754	1990	27.7%	31.5%	40.8%	-24.4	18
1986-02-23	@ Bari	W 3-0	1990	1754	40.8%	31.5%	27.7%	+24.4	49
1986-02-23	Roma	D 1-1	1871	1988	43.0%	32.9%	24.1%	-1.1	29
1986-02-23	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1988	1871	24.1%	32.9%	43.0%	+1.1	45
1986-02-23	Napoli	D 2-2	1858	1887	52.6%	31.8%	15.6%	-1.7	28
1986-02-23	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1887	1858	15.6%	31.8%	52.6%	+1.7	34
1986-02-23	Lecce	W 3-0	1871	1686	70.6%	23.3%	6.1%	+5.9	34
1986-02-23	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1686	1871	6.1%	23.3%	70.6%	-5.9	16
1986-02-23	AC Milan	W 2-0	1886	1892	54.8%	31.3%	13.9%	+10.1	33
1986-02-23	@ Torino	L 0-2	1892	1886	13.9%	31.3%	54.8%	-10.1	33
1986-02-23	Como	D 2-2	1791	1810	53.5%	31.6%	14.9%	-1.8	20
1986-02-23	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1810	1791	14.9%	31.6%	53.5%	+1.8	23
1986-03-02	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1881	1857	57.6%	30.4%	12.1%	-2.9	34
1986-03-02	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1857	1881	12.1%	30.4%	57.6%	+2.9	29
1986-03-02	Avellino	D 1-1	1812	1791	57.3%	30.5%	12.3%	-2.9	24
1986-03-02	@ Como	D 1-1	1791	1812	12.3%	30.5%	57.3%	+2.9	24
1986-03-02	Atalanta	D 0-0	1870	1828	59.1%	29.8%	11.1%	-3.5	30
1986-03-02	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1828	1870	11.1%	29.8%	59.1%	+3.5	26
1986-03-02	Udinese	W 2-1	2014	1789	73.6%	21.2%	5.2%	+1.7	52
1986-03-02	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1789	2014	5.2%	21.2%	73.6%	-1.7	20
1986-03-02	Bari	D 1-1	1680	1729	50.5%	32.2%	17.3%	-2.0	17
1986-03-02	@ Lecce	D 1-1	1729	1680	17.3%	32.2%	50.5%	+2.0	19
1986-03-02	Torino	W 3-1	1889	1896	54.6%	31.3%	14.0%	+8.8	37
1986-03-02	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1896	1889	14.0%	31.3%	54.6%	-8.8	33
1986-03-02	Inter Milan	W 3-1	1989	1877	64.9%	26.9%	8.2%	+5.1	48
1986-03-02	@ Roma	L 1-3	1877	1989	8.2%	26.9%	64.9%	-5.1	34
1986-03-02	Pisa	W 3-0	1880	1798	62.5%	28.2%	9.3%	+9.9	29
1986-03-02	@ Sampdoria	L 0-3	1798	1880	9.3%	28.2%	62.5%	-9.9	25
1986-03-09	Como	D 1-1	1832	1809	57.4%	30.4%	12.2%	-2.9	27
1986-03-09	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1809	1832	12.2%	30.4%	57.4%	+2.9	25
1986-03-09	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1794	1890	45.4%	32.8%	21.8%	+7.2	27
1986-03-09	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1890	1794	21.8%	32.8%	45.4%	-7.2	29
1986-03-09	Torino	W 1-0	1731	1887	38.1%	32.8%	29.1%	+9.4	22
1986-03-09	@ Bari	L 0-1	1887	1731	29.1%	32.8%	38.1%	-9.4	33
1986-03-09	Roma	W 3-2	1860	1994	40.8%	32.9%	26.3%	+7.8	32
1986-03-09	@ Hellas Verona	L 2-3	1994	1860	26.3%	32.9%	40.8%	-7.8	48
1986-03-09	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1872	1867	55.8%	31.0%	13.2%	+9.7	37
1986-03-09	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1867	1872	13.2%	31.0%	55.8%	-9.6	30
1986-03-09	Napoli	D 1-1	2016	1897	65.4%	26.6%	8.0%	-3.8	53
1986-03-09	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1897	2016	8.0%	26.6%	65.4%	+3.8	38
1986-03-09	AC Milan	L 0-1	1788	1878	46.1%	32.8%	21.1%	-13.2	25
1986-03-09	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1878	1788	21.1%	32.8%	46.1%	+13.2	37
1986-03-09	Lecce	W 2-1	1787	1678	64.7%	27.0%	8.3%	+3.0	23
1986-03-09	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1678	1787	8.3%	27.0%	64.7%	-3.0	17
1986-03-16	Udinese	W 2-0	1892	1790	64.0%	27.4%	8.6%	+6.2	40
1986-03-16	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1790	1892	8.6%	27.4%	64.0%	-6.2	23
1986-03-16	Bari	D 0-0	1829	1741	63.0%	28.0%	9.1%	-4.0	28
1986-03-16	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1741	1829	9.1%	28.0%	63.0%	+4.0	23
1986-03-16	Pisa	D 1-1	1812	1775	58.7%	29.9%	11.4%	-3.0	26
1986-03-16	@ Como	D 1-1	1775	1812	11.4%	29.9%	58.7%	+3.0	26
1986-03-16	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1857	1867	54.4%	31.4%	14.2%	-2.8	31
1986-03-16	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1867	1857	14.2%	31.4%	54.4%	+2.8	33
1986-03-16	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1675	1883	31.1%	32.1%	36.8%	-9.7	17
1986-03-16	@ Lecce	W 1-0	1883	1675	36.8%	32.1%	31.1%	+9.7	32
1986-03-16	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1901	1882	57.1%	30.5%	12.3%	+4.8	41
1986-03-16	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1882	1901	12.3%	30.5%	57.1%	-4.8	37
1986-03-16	Juventus	W 3-0	1986	2012	52.9%	31.8%	15.4%	+16.0	51
1986-03-16	@ Roma	L 0-3	2012	1986	15.4%	31.8%	52.9%	-16.0	53
1986-03-16	Avellino	W 1-0	1878	1801	62.0%	28.4%	9.5%	+3.7	36
1986-03-16	@ Torino	L 0-1	1801	1878	9.5%	28.4%	62.0%	-3.7	27
1986-03-23	Roma	L 0-1	1898	2002	44.5%	32.9%	22.7%	-12.8	40
1986-03-23	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	2002	1898	22.7%	32.9%	44.5%	+12.8	54
1986-03-23	Lecce	W 2-0	1797	1665	66.5%	25.9%	7.5%	+5.3	30
1986-03-23	@ Avellino	L 0-2	1665	1797	7.5%	25.9%	66.5%	-5.3	17
1986-03-23	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1745	1854	43.8%	32.9%	23.3%	-12.6	23
1986-03-23	@ Bari	W 1-0	1854	1745	23.3%	32.9%	43.8%	+12.6	34
1986-03-23	Atalanta	L 0-3	1870	1825	59.4%	29.7%	11.0%	-44.9	33
1986-03-23	@ Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1825	1870	11.0%	29.7%	59.4%	+44.9	31
1986-03-23	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1996	1877	65.5%	26.6%	8.0%	+5.7	56
1986-03-23	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1877	1996	8.0%	26.6%	65.5%	-5.7	37
1986-03-23	Torino	D 0-0	1778	1881	44.6%	32.9%	22.5%	-1.4	27
1986-03-23	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1881	1778	22.5%	32.9%	44.6%	+1.4	37
1986-03-23	Como	D 0-0	1892	1809	62.6%	28.1%	9.3%	-3.9	33
1986-03-23	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1809	1892	9.3%	28.1%	62.6%	+3.9	27
1986-03-23	Napoli	W 2-0	1784	1906	42.4%	32.9%	24.7%	+15.8	26
1986-03-23	@ Udinese	L 0-2	1906	1784	24.7%	32.9%	42.4%	-15.8	41
1986-04-06	Avellino	W 2-0	1870	1803	61.3%	28.8%	9.9%	+7.3	34
1986-04-06	@ Atalanta	L 0-2	1803	1870	9.9%	28.8%	61.3%	-7.3	30
1986-04-06	Juventus	W 2-0	1867	2002	40.8%	32.9%	26.3%	+16.5	37
1986-04-06	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	2002	1867	26.3%	32.9%	40.8%	-16.5	56
1986-04-06	Udinese	D 1-1	1825	1800	57.6%	30.3%	12.0%	-2.9	34
1986-04-06	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1800	1825	12.0%	30.3%	57.6%	+2.9	27
1986-04-06	AC Milan	W 1-0	1871	1885	54.0%	31.5%	14.5%	+5.5	40
1986-04-06	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1885	1871	14.5%	31.5%	54.0%	-5.5	40
1986-04-06	Pisa	D 1-1	1660	1777	43.0%	32.9%	24.1%	-1.1	18
1986-04-06	@ Lecce	D 1-1	1777	1660	24.1%	32.9%	43.0%	+1.1	28
1986-04-06	Bari	W 1-0	1890	1732	68.5%	24.7%	6.8%	+2.5	44
1986-04-06	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1732	1890	6.8%	24.7%	68.5%	-2.5	23
1986-04-06	Sampdoria	W 1-0	2015	1889	66.0%	26.2%	7.7%	+2.9	57
1986-04-06	@ Roma	L 0-1	1889	2015	7.7%	26.2%	66.0%	-2.9	33
1986-04-06	Como	L 1-3	1883	1813	61.5%	28.7%	9.8%	-27.5	37
1986-04-06	@ Torino	W 3-1	1813	1883	9.8%	28.7%	61.5%	+27.5	30
1986-04-13	Napoli	L 1-2	1880	1893	54.1%	31.5%	14.4%	-14.3	40
1986-04-13	@ AC Milan	W 2-1	1893	1880	14.4%	31.5%	54.1%	+14.3	47
1986-04-13	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1795	1884	46.3%	32.8%	20.9%	+12.2	33
1986-04-13	@ Avellino	L 1-3	1884	1795	20.9%	32.8%	46.3%	-12.2	37
1986-04-13	Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1730	1822	45.8%	32.8%	21.4%	+12.4	26
1986-04-13	@ Bari	L 1-3	1822	1730	21.4%	32.8%	45.8%	-12.4	34
1986-04-13	Lecce	W 2-0	1840	1659	70.3%	23.5%	6.2%	+4.1	33
1986-04-13	@ Como	L 0-2	1659	1840	6.2%	23.5%	70.3%	-4.1	18
1986-04-13	Roma	L 2-4	1778	2018	27.2%	31.4%	41.4%	-12.9	28
1986-04-13	@ Pisa	W 4-2	2018	1778	41.4%	31.4%	27.2%	+12.8	60
1986-04-13	Juventus	D 0-0	1886	1985	45.0%	32.8%	22.2%	-1.5	34
1986-04-13	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1985	1886	22.2%	32.8%	45.0%	+1.5	57
1986-04-13	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1855	1877	53.3%	31.7%	15.0%	+5.7	40
1986-04-13	@ Torino	L 0-1	1877	1855	15.0%	31.7%	53.3%	-5.7	40
1986-04-13	Atalanta	W 1-0	1803	1877	47.9%	32.6%	19.5%	+7.1	30
1986-04-13	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1877	1803	19.5%	32.6%	47.9%	-7.1	34
1986-04-20	Torino	D 2-2	1870	1861	56.2%	30.9%	13.0%	-2.0	35
1986-04-20	@ Atalanta	D 2-2	1861	1870	13.0%	30.9%	56.2%	+2.0	41
1986-04-20	Avellino	L 0-1	1742	1807	48.8%	32.5%	18.7%	-13.8	26
1986-04-20	@ Bari	W 1-0	1807	1742	18.7%	32.5%	48.8%	+13.8	36
1986-04-20	Udinese	W 1-0	1871	1810	60.8%	29.0%	10.2%	+4.0	40
1986-04-20	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1810	1871	10.2%	29.0%	60.8%	-4.0	30
1986-04-20	Pisa	W 3-0	1810	1765	59.4%	29.7%	11.0%	+11.7	37
1986-04-20	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1765	1810	11.0%	29.7%	59.4%	-11.7	28
1986-04-20	Como	W 3-2	1871	1845	57.7%	30.3%	12.0%	+4.2	43
1986-04-20	@ Inter Milan	L 2-3	1845	1871	12.0%	30.3%	57.7%	-4.2	33
1986-04-20	AC Milan	W 1-0	1987	1865	65.7%	26.5%	7.9%	+3.0	60
1986-04-20	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1865	1987	7.9%	26.5%	65.7%	-3.0	40
1986-04-20	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1907	1884	57.4%	30.4%	12.2%	+13.0	50
1986-04-20	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1884	1907	12.2%	30.4%	57.4%	-13.0	34
1986-04-20	Lecce	L 2-3	2031	1655	83.9%	13.4%	2.8%	-17.8	60
1986-04-20	@ Roma	W 3-2	1655	2031	2.8%	13.4%	83.9%	+17.8	21
1986-04-27	Atalanta	D 1-1	1862	1868	54.8%	31.3%	13.9%	-2.6	41
1986-04-27	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1868	1862	13.9%	31.3%	54.8%	+2.6	36
1986-04-27	Napoli	L 0-1	1821	1920	45.1%	32.8%	22.0%	-12.9	36
1986-04-27	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1920	1821	22.0%	32.8%	45.1%	+12.9	53
1986-04-27	Roma	W 1-0	1840	2013	35.9%	32.6%	31.5%	+9.9	36
1986-04-27	@ Como	L 0-1	2013	1840	31.5%	32.6%	35.9%	-9.9	60
1986-04-27	Juventus	L 2-3	1672	1990	19.6%	28.8%	51.6%	-6.0	21
1986-04-27	@ Lecce	W 3-2	1990	1672	51.6%	28.8%	19.6%	+6.0	63
1986-04-27	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1753	1875	42.3%	32.9%	24.8%	-11.6	28
1986-04-27	@ Pisa	W 2-1	1875	1753	24.8%	32.9%	42.3%	+11.6	43
1986-04-27	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1871	1875	55.0%	31.2%	13.8%	-2.9	35
1986-04-27	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1875	1871	13.8%	31.2%	55.0%	+2.9	44
1986-04-27	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1863	1822	59.0%	29.8%	11.2%	+4.1	44
1986-04-27	@ Torino	L 1-2	1822	1863	11.2%	29.8%	59.0%	-4.1	37
1986-04-27	Bari	D 2-2	1806	1728	62.1%	28.4%	9.5%	-2.6	31
1986-04-27	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1728	1806	9.5%	28.4%	62.1%	+2.6	27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1986-04-20	2.78%	Lecce	1655	3	@ Roma	2031	2
2	1986-01-12	7.60%	Pisa	1781	1	@ Napoli	1911	0
3	1985-11-03	8.20%	Avellino	1786	2	@ Sampdoria	1898	0
4	1986-01-12	8.86%	Atalanta	1803	3	@ Inter Milan	1897	1
5	1986-04-06	9.83%	Como	1813	3	@ Torino	1883	1
6	1985-10-27	10.41%	Como	1768	4	@ Avellino	1825	1
7	1986-03-23	10.98%	Atalanta	1825	3	@ Hellas Verona	1870	0
8	1985-09-29	12.48%	Pisa	1782	2	@ Atalanta	1799	1
9	1985-11-03	12.58%	Atalanta	1791	2	@ Como	1806	0
10	1985-12-08	14.42%	Como	1762	4	@ Lecce	1749	1
11	1986-04-13	14.43%	Napoli	1893	2	@ AC Milan	1880	1
12	1985-09-29	15.24%	Juventus	1925	1	@ Hellas Verona	1901	0
13	1985-10-13	18.10%	Juventus	1945	2	@ Torino	1886	1
14	1986-04-20	18.68%	Avellino	1807	1	@ Bari	1742	0
15	1986-02-09	19.29%	Roma	1968	1	@ Torino	1896	0
16	1985-09-08	19.35%	AC Milan	1853	1	@ Bari	1781	0
17	1985-12-15	19.55%	Hellas Verona	1856	1	@ Pisa	1782	0
18	1985-10-27	19.90%	Sampdoria	1873	2	@ Pisa	1795	0
19	1985-09-08	20.95%	Roma	1897	2	@ Atalanta	1808	1
20	1986-03-09	21.13%	AC Milan	1878	1	@ Pisa	1788	0
21	1986-04-27	22.03%	Napoli	1920	1	@ Avellino	1821	0
22	1986-03-23	22.68%	Roma	2002	1	@ AC Milan	1898	0
23	1986-03-23	23.29%	Fiorentina	1854	1	@ Bari	1745	0
24	1985-09-15	23.90%	Juventus	1908	1	@ Como	1793	0
25	1985-10-13	24.09%	Inter Milan	1896	3	@ Bari	1779	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1986-03-23	44.86	Atalanta	3	1825	10.98%	@ Hellas Verona	0	1870	59.37%
2	1985-10-27	38.34	Como	4	1768	10.41%	@ Avellino	1	1825	60.36%
3	1985-12-08	34.95	Como	4	1762	14.42%	@ Lecce	1	1749	54.12%
4	1985-11-03	33.08	Avellino	2	1786	8.20%	@ Sampdoria	0	1898	64.90%
5	1985-11-03	29.74	Atalanta	2	1791	12.58%	@ Como	0	1806	56.77%
6	1985-12-15	28.49	Roma	3	1900	33.41%	@ Lecce	0	1714	34.10%
7	1986-01-12	28.18	Atalanta	3	1803	8.86%	@ Inter Milan	1	1897	63.43%
8	1986-04-06	27.51	Como	3	1813	9.83%	@ Torino	1	1883	61.47%
9	1985-10-27	25.45	Sampdoria	2	1873	19.90%	@ Pisa	0	1795	47.45%
10	1985-10-20	25.26	@ Napoli	5	1872	53.30%	Hellas Verona	0	1894	15.03%
11	1986-02-23	24.40	Juventus	3	1990	40.84%	@ Bari	0	1754	27.66%
12	1986-01-12	23.18	Roma	2	1935	24.64%	@ Udinese	0	1814	42.45%
13	1986-01-12	20.33	AC Milan	2	1865	31.54%	@ Lecce	0	1692	35.81%
14	1985-10-13	20.29	Inter Milan	3	1896	24.09%	@ Bari	1	1779	43.00%
15	1985-12-01	20.14	@ Udinese	5	1808	49.13%	Hellas Verona	1	1870	18.41%
16	1985-11-03	18.79	@ Fiorentina	3	1866	48.69%	Inter Milan	0	1932	18.79%
17	1986-01-12	17.81	Pisa	1	1781	7.60%	@ Napoli	0	1911	66.38%
18	1986-04-20	17.79	Lecce	3	1655	2.78%	@ Roma	2	2031	83.87%
19	1985-09-22	17.45	@ Bari	2	1761	38.62%	Roma	0	1913	28.54%
20	1986-04-06	16.52	@ Fiorentina	2	1867	40.77%	Juventus	0	2002	26.33%
21	1986-03-16	15.98	@ Roma	3	1986	52.87%	Juventus	0	2012	15.36%
22	1986-03-23	15.82	@ Udinese	2	1784	42.37%	Napoli	0	1906	24.72%
23	1985-09-29	14.91	Pisa	2	1782	12.48%	@ Atalanta	1	1799	56.92%
24	1985-09-29	14.87	Juventus	1	1925	15.24%	@ Hellas Verona	0	1901	53.03%
25	1986-04-13	14.27	Napoli	2	1893	14.43%	@ AC Milan	1	1880	54.11%