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1985-86 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

45 points · 22nd Title

Last Title: 1983-84

Relegated

Lecce

16 pts

Bari · 22 pts

Pisa · 23 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Juventus

8.43 points above expected

45 points · 36.57 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lecce

7.45 points below expected

16 points · 23.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 30 18 9 3 45 43 17 +26 36.57 +8.43
2 Roma 30 19 3 8 41 51 27 +24 34.75 +6.25
3 Napoli 30 14 11 5 39 35 21 +14 32.28 +6.72
4 Fiorentina 30 10 13 7 33 29 23 +6 30.81 +2.19
5 Torino 30 11 11 8 33 31 26 +5 31.82 +1.18
6 Inter Milan 30 12 8 10 32 36 33 +3 32.12 -0.12
7 AC Milan 30 10 11 9 31 26 24 +2 31.28 -0.28
8 Atalanta 30 7 15 8 29 27 26 +1 28.90 +0.10
9 Como 30 7 15 8 29 32 32 0 27.47 +1.53
10 Hellas Verona 30 9 10 11 28 31 40 -9 31.17 -3.17
11 Sampdoria 30 8 11 11 27 27 25 +2 31.92 -4.92
12 Avellino 30 9 9 12 27 28 38 -10 27.76 -0.76
13 Udinese 30 6 13 11 25 31 37 -6 27.71 -2.71
14 Pisa Relegated 30 5 13 12 23 27 40 -13 26.67 -3.67
15 Bari Relegated 30 5 12 13 22 18 31 -13 25.31 -3.31
16 Lecce Relegated 30 5 6 19 16 23 55 -32 23.45 -7.45

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Roma 2007 41 34.75 +6.25 96.1% 20 28 32 35 37 41 49
Juventus 1999 45 36.57 +8.43 99.3% 22 30 34 37 39 43 51
Napoli 1937 39 32.28 +6.72 97.2% 20 26 30 32 35 38 46
Fiorentina 1885 33 30.81 +2.19 75.9% 16 24 28 31 33 37 45
Inter Milan 1878 32 32.12 -0.12 53.9% 18 26 30 32 35 38 45
Atalanta 1873 29 28.90 +0.10 55.9% 16 23 26 29 32 35 42
Sampdoria 1870 27 31.92 -4.92 11.5% 17 26 29 32 34 38 47
Torino 1869 33 31.82 +1.18 67.0% 19 26 29 32 34 38 48
AC Milan 1860 31 31.28 -0.28 52.4% 17 25 29 31 34 38 47
Como 1852 29 27.47 +1.53 70.6% 11 21 25 27 30 34 42
Hellas Verona 1818 28 31.17 -3.17 23.8% 16 25 29 31 34 37 45
Avellino 1806 27 27.76 -0.76 47.4% 13 22 25 28 30 34 44
Udinese 1800 25 27.71 -2.71 28.5% 14 22 25 28 30 34 41
Pisa 1739 23 26.67 -3.67 20.8% 13 20 24 27 29 33 41
Bari 1728 22 25.31 -3.31 22.8% 13 19 23 25 28 31 42
Lecce 1662 16 23.45 -7.45 3.4% 9 17 21 23 26 30 38

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA AVE BAR COM FIO HV IM JUV LEC NAP PIS ROM SAM TOR UDI
AC Milan —
0-2-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
3.07
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.10
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-2
2.53
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.31
0-2-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
3.07
Atalanta
0-2-0
2.52
 —
1-0-1
2.80
0-2-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.43
2-0-0
2.18
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
3.10
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
2.31
0-2-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.83
Avellino
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.50
 —
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.35
0-1-1
1.89
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.18
0-2-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.09
2-0-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.69
Bari
0-1-1
2.24
0-2-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.34
 —
0-2-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.10
0-0-2
1.51
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
1.95
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
1.94
1-1-0
2.29
Como
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.60
0-2-0
2.77
 —
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.03
2-0-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
1.87
0-2-0
2.17
1-1-0
2.13
0-2-0
2.56
Fiorentina
1-0-1
2.55
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
2.97
 —
0-2-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
3.46
0-2-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.90
Hellas Verona
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
2.66
 —
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
3.54
0-1-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.89
Inter Milan
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
3.11
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.67
 —
0-1-1
2.26
2-0-0
3.39
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.00
Juventus
1-1-0
3.21
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.05
 —
2-0-0
4.27
0-1-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.49
Lecce
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
1.83
1-1-0
1.77
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
1.16
 —
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.32
Napoli
2-0-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
3.07
0-2-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.22
1-1-0
3.24
 —
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
3.24
Pisa
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
2.52
0-2-0
2.60
0-2-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.34
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.79
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.20
 —
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
2.16
0-2-0
2.62
Roma
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
3.49
0-1-1
3.44
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
3.88
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.71
 —
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.19
Sampdoria
0-2-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.99
0-0-2
3.15
1-1-0
3.25
0-2-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.19
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.36
 —
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
3.06
Torino
1-0-1
2.62
0-2-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.37
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.31
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
2.65
 —
1-1-0
2.94
Udinese
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
3.00
0-2-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.07
0-2-0
2.68
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.35
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +7.8
Allowed 0.64 -6.2
Differential 0.94 +4.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.83%11.67%5.83%2.92%0.62%0.21%37.08%
111.67%13.75%5.42%3.33%0.83%0.42%35.42%
25.83%5.42%5.42%0.83%0.21%—17.71%
32.92%3.33%0.83%0.42%——7.50%
40.62%0.83%0.21%———1.67%
5+0.21%0.42%————0.62%
Total37.08%35.42%17.71%7.50%1.67%0.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.03 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.05 1.49
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%10.00%———33.33%
123.33%20.00%6.67%———50.00%
26.67%—6.67%———13.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%33.33%23.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.80 +0.07
SD 0.78 0.81 1.20
CV 0.90 1.01 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%10.00%3.33%—3.33%—46.67%
1—16.67%10.00%———26.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%40.00%16.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 0.87 +0.03
SD 1.03 0.94 1.35
CV 1.14 1.08 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%——36.67%
113.33%13.33%—6.67%3.33%3.33%40.00%
26.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%13.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.27 -0.33
SD 0.91 1.28 1.58
CV 0.97 1.01 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—56.67%
16.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
26.67%—3.33%———10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%36.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.03 -0.43
SD 0.81 1.07 1.36
CV 1.36 1.03 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
110.00%26.67%3.33%—3.33%—43.33%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%——13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total30.00%46.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.07 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.01 1.39
CV 1.04 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%3.33%———36.67%
116.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%——36.67%
26.67%3.33%10.00%———20.00%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total53.33%20.00%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.77 +0.20
SD 0.93 0.94 1.16
CV 0.96 1.22 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%—6.67%—3.33%36.67%
110.00%6.67%6.67%6.67%—3.33%33.33%
26.67%3.33%10.00%———20.00%
36.67%—3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%20.00%20.00%13.33%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.33 -0.30
SD 1.00 1.47 1.86
CV 0.97 1.10 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
113.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%——33.33%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
33.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%13.33%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.10 +0.10
SD 1.13 0.99 1.42
CV 0.94 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
120.00%13.33%————33.33%
26.67%10.00%————16.67%
36.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total56.67%33.33%6.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.57 +0.87
SD 1.25 0.77 1.53
CV 0.87 1.37 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%16.67%10.00%3.33%—50.00%
13.33%6.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%—26.67%
23.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%——20.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%26.67%30.00%23.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.83 -1.07
SD 0.90 1.15 1.48
CV 1.17 0.63 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%10.00%———26.67%
123.33%20.00%3.33%———46.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total46.67%36.67%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.70 +0.47
SD 1.12 0.75 1.43
CV 0.96 1.07 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%3.33%6.67%——33.33%
16.67%33.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%—53.33%
2—3.33%——3.33%—6.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%53.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.33 -0.43
SD 0.92 1.15 1.48
CV 1.03 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
116.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
210.00%16.67%—6.67%——33.33%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total40.00%40.00%10.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.90 +0.80
SD 1.26 0.96 1.61
CV 0.74 1.07 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%——46.67%
16.67%3.33%13.33%———23.33%
213.33%—10.00%———23.33%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%20.00%26.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 0.83 +0.07
SD 0.99 0.95 1.41
CV 1.11 1.14 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%3.33%———40.00%
113.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%——30.00%
26.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
3—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%36.67%10.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.87 +0.17
SD 1.10 0.97 1.23
CV 1.06 1.12 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%13.33%3.33%——40.00%
13.33%16.67%10.00%———30.00%
23.33%6.67%13.33%———23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total20.00%40.00%36.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.23 -0.20
SD 1.16 0.82 1.40
CV 1.12 0.66 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Juventus 45 36.57 +8.43
2 Napoli 39 32.28 +6.72
3 Roma 41 34.75 +6.25
4 Fiorentina 33 30.81 +2.19
5 Como 29 27.47 +1.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lecce 16 23.45 -7.45
2 Sampdoria 27 31.92 -4.92
3 Pisa 23 26.67 -3.67
4 Bari 22 25.31 -3.31
5 Hellas Verona 28 31.17 -3.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 8 Sep 8 – Oct 27 1 in 5,246
2 Roma 6 Jan 5 – Feb 16 1 in 160
3 Napoli 4 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 109
4 Pisa 2 Jan 5 – Jan 12 1 in 43
5 Inter Milan 3 Oct 13 – Oct 27 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Roma 2 Apr 20 – Apr 27 1 in 138
2 AC Milan 4 Mar 23 – Apr 20 1 in 121
3 Inter Milan 3 Jan 5 – Jan 19 1 in 78
4 Lecce 4 Dec 1 – Dec 22 1 in 63
5 Udinese 5 Dec 22 – Jan 26 1 in 47

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pisa 8 Dec 22 – Feb 23 1 in 71
2 Como 9 Nov 24 – Jan 26 1 in 55
3 Juventus 15 Nov 10 – Mar 9 1 in 23
4 Hellas Verona 6 Feb 9 – Mar 16 1 in 17
5 Atalanta 6 Oct 13 – Nov 24 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pisa 13 Jan 19 – Apr 27 1 in 93
2 Como 8 Jan 26 – Mar 23 1 in 32
3 Udinese 8 Sep 29 – Nov 24 1 in 20
4 AC Milan 7 Nov 10 – Jan 5 1 in 16
5 Inter Milan 6 Nov 3 – Dec 15 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Juventus41.37%20.14%12.72%7.68%5.59%3.72%3.03%1.90%1.43%0.87%0.67%0.38%0.30%0.15%0.05%—
Roma22.06%19.36%14.77%10.70%8.06%6.44%5.17%3.62%3.09%2.32%1.77%1.16%0.86%0.37%0.20%0.05%
Napoli7.09%10.46%10.81%11.53%10.61%8.93%8.23%7.60%6.20%5.07%4.34%3.61%2.46%1.64%0.97%0.45%
Fiorentina3.31%6.20%7.35%7.76%8.92%9.28%8.98%8.78%7.59%7.08%6.91%5.85%4.54%3.71%2.43%1.31%
Torino4.93%8.08%10.00%9.99%10.19%9.56%8.92%8.03%7.00%6.36%5.49%4.04%3.33%2.13%1.31%0.64%
Inter Milan6.16%8.81%10.32%10.17%9.88%9.51%8.80%7.78%6.55%6.07%5.14%3.91%3.03%1.97%1.43%0.47%
AC Milan4.04%6.52%7.87%9.78%8.72%8.67%8.79%8.59%7.81%7.42%6.36%5.12%4.01%3.31%1.94%1.05%
Atalanta1.02%2.15%3.25%4.55%6.00%6.80%7.36%8.20%8.59%8.90%8.92%9.06%8.63%7.44%5.50%3.63%
Como0.38%1.05%1.38%2.32%3.63%4.17%5.37%6.31%8.23%8.82%9.56%10.50%11.65%10.70%9.31%6.62%
Hellas Verona3.37%5.75%7.21%7.81%8.26%8.89%9.08%8.22%8.93%7.71%6.79%6.07%4.83%3.71%2.25%1.12%
Sampdoria5.20%8.30%9.49%9.83%9.67%9.57%8.85%8.38%7.17%6.70%5.29%4.00%3.25%2.32%1.35%0.63%
Avellino0.41%1.22%1.54%2.45%3.24%4.43%5.12%6.50%8.05%8.53%10.06%10.78%10.52%10.84%9.93%6.38%
Udinese0.45%1.09%1.74%2.82%3.59%4.61%5.27%6.59%7.43%9.01%8.76%10.41%11.06%10.86%9.77%6.54%
Pisa0.13%0.59%0.97%1.49%2.18%3.03%3.95%4.99%5.85%7.00%8.46%10.46%11.97%13.92%13.67%11.34%
Bari0.07%0.21%0.50%0.96%1.08%1.68%2.17%3.07%4.08%5.25%7.28%8.98%11.57%14.91%19.24%18.95%
Lecce0.01%0.07%0.08%0.16%0.38%0.71%0.91%1.44%2.00%2.89%4.20%5.67%7.99%12.02%20.65%40.82%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.58%
Strong Edge
49.58%35.42%15.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
213 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0125.32600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.60 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.59+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Juventus, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.04 * Some Luck: 3.04 to 4.56 * Lucky: 4.56 to 6.08 * Wild Swing: 6.08 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.38 * Close: 2.38 to 3.57 * Off: 3.57 to 4.75 * Way Off: 4.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.34 * A Surprise: 1.34 to 2.15 * Several Surprises: 2.15 to 2.96 * Many Surprises: 2.96 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.23 points
Some Luck
03.8010
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.976
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.25%
Juventus
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
3.42%
Lecce
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.34
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
61%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%68%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Occasional
0%9%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.58
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.24
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.46
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.17
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.050
Well Within Noise
00.0950.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Juventus 99.80% 0.20%
Roma 99.38% 0.62%
Napoli 96.94% 3.06%
Inter Milan 96.13% 3.87%
Torino 95.92% 4.08%
Sampdoria 95.70% 4.30%
AC Milan 93.70% 6.30%
Hellas Verona 92.92% 7.08%
Fiorentina 92.55% 7.45%
Atalanta 83.43% 16.57%
Como 73.37% 26.63%
Avellino 72.85% 27.15%
Udinese 72.83% 27.17%
Pisa 61.07% 38.93%
Bari 46.90% 53.10%
Lecce 26.51% 73.49%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1985-09-08 Roma L 1-2 1808 1899 43.4% 37.5% 19.1% -12.9 0
1985-09-08 @ Atalanta W 2-1 1899 1808 19.1% 37.5% 43.4% +12.9 2
1985-09-08 AC Milan L 0-1 1777 1855 44.9% 37.3% 17.8% -14.1 0
1985-09-08 @ Bari W 1-0 1855 1777 17.8% 37.3% 44.9% +14.1 2
1985-09-08 Sampdoria W 1-0 1843 1902 46.8% 37.1% 16.1% +7.0 2
1985-09-08 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1902 1843 16.1% 37.1% 46.8% -7.0 0
1985-09-08 Lecce D 2-2 1914 1798 61.2% 32.1% 6.7% -2.9 1
1985-09-08 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1798 1914 6.7% 32.1% 61.2% +2.9 1
1985-09-08 Pisa W 3-1 1894 1791 60.3% 32.6% 7.1% +5.5 2
1985-09-08 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1791 1894 7.1% 32.6% 60.3% -5.5 0
1985-09-08 Avellino W 1-0 1907 1822 59.0% 33.3% 7.7% +3.7 2
1985-09-08 @ Juventus L 0-1 1822 1907 7.7% 33.3% 59.0% -3.7 0
1985-09-08 Como W 2-1 1865 1796 57.8% 33.9% 8.3% +3.8 2
1985-09-08 @ Napoli L 1-2 1796 1865 8.3% 33.9% 57.8% -3.8 0
1985-09-08 Torino D 0-0 1822 1887 46.2% 37.2% 16.6% -2.1 1
1985-09-08 @ Udinese D 0-0 1887 1822 16.6% 37.2% 46.2% +2.1 1
1985-09-15 Lecce W 1-0 1869 1801 57.7% 34.0% 8.4% +4.0 4
1985-09-15 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1801 1869 8.4% 34.0% 57.7% -4.0 1
1985-09-15 Inter Milan W 2-1 1795 1900 41.9% 37.5% 20.6% +7.8 2
1985-09-15 @ Atalanta L 1-2 1900 1795 20.6% 37.5% 41.9% -7.8 2
1985-09-15 Hellas Verona W 3-1 1818 1911 43.2% 37.5% 19.3% +12.9 2
1985-09-15 @ Avellino L 1-3 1911 1818 19.3% 37.5% 43.2% -12.9 1
1985-09-15 Juventus L 0-1 1792 1911 40.3% 37.6% 22.1% -12.9 0
1985-09-15 @ Como W 1-0 1911 1792 22.1% 37.6% 40.3% +12.9 4
1985-09-15 Napoli D 1-1 1786 1869 44.3% 37.4% 18.3% -1.6 1
1985-09-15 @ Pisa D 1-1 1869 1786 18.3% 37.4% 44.3% +1.6 3
1985-09-15 Udinese W 1-0 1912 1819 59.5% 33.0% 7.4% +3.6 4
1985-09-15 @ Roma L 0-1 1819 1912 7.4% 33.0% 59.5% -3.6 1
1985-09-15 Bari W 2-0 1895 1763 62.3% 31.4% 6.2% +5.5 2
1985-09-15 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1763 1895 6.2% 31.4% 62.3% -5.5 0
1985-09-15 Fiorentina W 2-1 1890 1850 55.6% 34.9% 9.6% +4.3 3
1985-09-15 @ Torino L 1-2 1850 1890 9.6% 34.9% 55.6% -4.3 2
1985-09-22 Roma W 2-0 1757 1916 35.4% 37.5% 27.2% +18.6 2
1985-09-22 @ Bari L 0-2 1916 1757 27.2% 37.5% 35.4% -18.6 4
1985-09-22 AC Milan W 2-0 1845 1873 49.9% 36.6% 13.5% +11.6 4
1985-09-22 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1873 1845 13.5% 36.6% 49.9% -11.6 4
1985-09-22 Como W 3-0 1899 1779 61.4% 32.0% 6.6% +8.6 3
1985-09-22 @ Hellas Verona L 0-3 1779 1899 6.6% 32.0% 61.4% -8.6 0
1985-09-22 Avellino W 3-1 1892 1831 57.2% 34.2% 8.6% +6.8 4
1985-09-22 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1831 1892 8.6% 34.2% 57.2% -6.8 2
1985-09-22 Pisa W 3-1 1924 1784 62.8% 31.1% 6.0% +4.6 6
1985-09-22 @ Juventus L 1-3 1784 1924 6.0% 31.1% 62.8% -4.6 1
1985-09-22 Torino D 0-0 1797 1894 42.9% 37.5% 19.6% -1.6 2
1985-09-22 @ Lecce D 0-0 1894 1797 19.6% 37.5% 42.9% +1.6 4
1985-09-22 Atalanta W 1-0 1871 1803 57.7% 33.9% 8.3% +4.0 5
1985-09-22 @ Napoli L 0-1 1803 1871 8.3% 33.9% 57.7% -4.0 2
1985-09-22 Sampdoria W 2-1 1816 1901 44.1% 37.4% 18.5% +7.2 3
1985-09-22 @ Udinese L 1-2 1901 1816 18.5% 37.4% 44.1% -7.2 2
1985-09-29 Avellino W 3-0 1861 1824 55.4% 35.0% 9.7% +12.7 6
1985-09-29 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1824 1861 9.7% 35.0% 55.4% -12.7 2
1985-09-29 Pisa L 1-2 1798 1780 53.9% 35.5% 10.6% -15.6 2
1985-09-29 @ Atalanta W 2-1 1780 1798 10.6% 35.5% 53.9% +15.6 3
1985-09-29 Como D 1-1 1776 1771 52.8% 35.9% 11.4% -2.8 3
1985-09-29 @ Bari D 1-1 1771 1776 11.4% 35.9% 52.8% +2.8 1
1985-09-29 Lecce W 3-1 1857 1796 57.2% 34.2% 8.6% +6.8 6
1985-09-29 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1796 1857 8.6% 34.2% 57.2% -6.8 2
1985-09-29 Juventus L 0-1 1907 1928 50.4% 36.5% 13.1% -15.6 3
1985-09-29 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1928 1907 13.1% 36.5% 50.4% +15.6 8
1985-09-29 Roma D 1-1 1875 1897 50.3% 36.5% 13.2% -2.5 6
1985-09-29 @ Napoli D 1-1 1897 1875 13.2% 36.5% 50.3% +2.5 5
1985-09-29 Sampdoria W 1-0 1895 1894 52.5% 35.9% 11.6% +5.4 6
1985-09-29 @ Torino L 0-1 1894 1895 11.6% 35.9% 52.5% -5.4 2
1985-09-29 Inter Milan D 1-1 1823 1899 45.1% 37.3% 17.5% -1.7 4
1985-09-29 @ Udinese D 1-1 1899 1823 17.5% 37.3% 45.1% +1.7 5
1985-10-06 Udinese D 2-2 1812 1821 51.5% 36.2% 12.3% -2.0 3
1985-10-06 @ Avellino D 2-2 1821 1812 12.3% 36.2% 51.5% +2.0 5
1985-10-06 Fiorentina D 0-0 1773 1864 43.6% 37.4% 19.0% -1.7 2
1985-10-06 @ Como D 0-0 1864 1773 19.0% 37.4% 43.6% +1.7 7
1985-10-06 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1901 1892 53.1% 35.8% 11.2% -3.2 6
1985-10-06 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1892 1901 11.2% 35.8% 53.1% +3.2 4
1985-10-06 Atalanta W 2-0 1944 1783 64.3% 30.2% 5.5% +4.8 10
1985-10-06 @ Juventus L 0-2 1783 1944 5.5% 30.2% 64.3% -4.8 2
1985-10-06 Napoli D 0-0 1789 1872 44.3% 37.4% 18.3% -1.8 3
1985-10-06 @ Lecce D 0-0 1872 1789 18.3% 37.4% 44.3% +1.8 7
1985-10-06 Bari D 1-1 1795 1773 54.2% 35.4% 10.4% -3.0 4
1985-10-06 @ Pisa D 1-1 1773 1795 10.4% 35.4% 54.2% +3.0 4
1985-10-06 Torino W 2-0 1900 1901 52.2% 36.0% 11.8% +10.4 7
1985-10-06 @ Roma L 0-2 1901 1900 11.8% 36.0% 52.2% -10.3 6
1985-10-06 AC Milan D 1-1 1888 1874 53.5% 35.6% 10.9% -2.9 3
1985-10-06 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1874 1888 10.9% 35.6% 53.5% +2.9 7
1985-10-13 Como W 1-0 1877 1772 60.4% 32.6% 7.0% +3.4 9
1985-10-13 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1772 1877 7.0% 32.6% 60.4% -3.4 2
1985-10-13 Lecce W 3-1 1778 1787 51.5% 36.2% 12.3% +9.3 4
1985-10-13 @ Atalanta L 1-3 1787 1778 12.3% 36.2% 51.5% -9.3 3
1985-10-13 Roma W 1-0 1810 1910 42.5% 37.5% 20.0% +8.1 5
1985-10-13 @ Avellino L 0-1 1910 1810 20.0% 37.5% 42.5% -8.1 7
1985-10-13 Inter Milan L 1-3 1776 1897 40.0% 37.6% 22.4% -20.9 4
1985-10-13 @ Bari W 3-1 1897 1776 22.4% 37.6% 40.0% +20.9 8
1985-10-13 Napoli D 0-0 1865 1874 51.5% 36.2% 12.3% -3.0 8
1985-10-13 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1874 1865 12.3% 36.2% 51.5% +3.0 8
1985-10-13 Sampdoria W 2-1 1895 1885 53.1% 35.7% 11.2% +4.9 6
1985-10-13 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1885 1895 11.2% 35.7% 53.1% -4.9 3
1985-10-13 Juventus L 1-2 1890 1949 46.9% 37.1% 16.0% -13.8 6
1985-10-13 @ Torino W 2-1 1949 1890 16.0% 37.1% 46.9% +13.8 12
1985-10-13 Pisa D 1-1 1823 1792 54.9% 35.1% 10.0% -3.1 6
1985-10-13 @ Udinese D 1-1 1792 1823 10.0% 35.1% 54.9% +3.1 5
1985-10-20 Torino W 1-0 1880 1877 52.6% 35.9% 11.5% +5.4 11
1985-10-20 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1877 1880 11.5% 35.9% 52.6% -5.4 6
1985-10-20 Udinese D 0-0 1768 1820 47.6% 37.0% 15.4% -2.3 3
1985-10-20 @ Como D 0-0 1820 1768 15.4% 37.0% 47.6% +2.3 7
1985-10-20 Bari W 4-0 1963 1755 67.4% 28.1% 4.6% +7.2 14
1985-10-20 @ Juventus L 0-4 1755 1963 4.6% 28.1% 67.4% -7.2 4
1985-10-20 Inter Milan L 0-1 1778 1918 37.7% 37.5% 24.8% -12.2 3
1985-10-20 @ Lecce W 1-0 1918 1778 24.8% 37.5% 37.7% +12.2 10
1985-10-20 Hellas Verona W 5-0 1877 1900 50.3% 36.5% 13.2% +26.5 10
1985-10-20 @ Napoli L 0-5 1900 1877 13.2% 36.5% 50.3% -26.5 6
1985-10-20 Avellino D 1-1 1795 1818 50.3% 36.5% 13.2% -2.5 6
1985-10-20 @ Pisa D 1-1 1818 1795 13.2% 36.5% 50.3% +2.5 6
1985-10-20 Fiorentina W 2-1 1902 1862 55.5% 34.9% 9.6% +4.3 9
1985-10-20 @ Roma L 1-2 1862 1902 9.6% 34.9% 55.5% -4.3 8
1985-10-20 Atalanta D 0-0 1880 1787 59.6% 33.0% 7.4% -4.2 4
1985-10-20 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1787 1880 7.4% 33.0% 59.6% +4.2 5
1985-10-27 Fiorentina D 0-0 1792 1858 46.1% 37.2% 16.7% -2.1 6
1985-10-27 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1858 1792 16.7% 37.2% 46.1% +2.1 9
1985-10-27 Como L 1-4 1820 1766 56.7% 34.4% 8.9% -39.9 6
1985-10-27 @ Avellino W 4-1 1766 1820 8.9% 34.4% 56.7% +39.9 5
1985-10-27 Lecce W 2-0 1748 1766 50.8% 36.4% 12.8% +11.1 6
1985-10-27 @ Bari L 0-2 1766 1748 12.8% 36.4% 50.8% -11.1 3
1985-10-27 AC Milan W 1-0 1873 1886 51.2% 36.3% 12.5% +5.8 8
1985-10-27 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1886 1873 12.5% 36.3% 51.2% -5.8 11
1985-10-27 Roma W 2-1 1931 1906 54.4% 35.3% 10.3% +4.6 12
1985-10-27 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1906 1931 10.3% 35.3% 54.4% -4.6 9
1985-10-27 Sampdoria L 0-2 1793 1876 44.3% 37.4% 18.3% -26.3 6
1985-10-27 @ Pisa W 2-0 1876 1793 18.3% 37.4% 44.3% +26.3 6
1985-10-27 Napoli W 2-1 1871 1904 49.5% 36.7% 13.9% +5.9 8
1985-10-27 @ Torino L 1-2 1904 1871 13.9% 36.7% 49.5% -5.9 10
1985-10-27 Juventus L 1-2 1823 1970 36.8% 37.5% 25.7% -11.3 7
1985-10-27 @ Udinese W 2-1 1970 1823 25.7% 37.5% 36.8% +11.3 16
1985-11-03 Pisa W 1-0 1880 1767 61.0% 32.2% 6.8% +3.2 13
1985-11-03 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1767 1880 6.8% 32.2% 61.0% -3.2 6
1985-11-03 Atalanta L 0-2 1806 1789 53.7% 35.5% 10.8% -31.1 5
1985-11-03 @ Como W 2-0 1789 1806 10.8% 35.5% 53.7% +31.1 8
1985-11-03 Inter Milan W 3-0 1860 1935 45.2% 37.3% 17.5% +20.2 11
1985-11-03 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1935 1860 17.5% 37.3% 45.2% -20.2 12
1985-11-03 Udinese W 2-0 1755 1811 47.1% 37.1% 15.8% +13.0 5
1985-11-03 @ Lecce L 0-2 1811 1755 15.8% 37.1% 47.1% -13.0 7
1985-11-03 Juventus W 1-0 1898 1981 44.3% 37.4% 18.3% +7.6 12
1985-11-03 @ Napoli L 0-1 1981 1898 18.3% 37.4% 44.3% -7.6 16
1985-11-03 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1901 1879 54.2% 35.4% 10.4% +4.7 11
1985-11-03 @ Roma L 1-2 1879 1901 10.4% 35.4% 54.2% -4.7 8
1985-11-03 Avellino L 0-2 1903 1780 61.6% 31.9% 6.5% -34.8 6
1985-11-03 @ Sampdoria W 2-0 1780 1903 6.5% 31.9% 61.6% +34.8 8
1985-11-03 Bari W 1-0 1877 1759 61.3% 32.0% 6.6% +3.2 10
1985-11-03 @ Torino L 0-1 1759 1877 6.6% 32.0% 61.3% -3.2 6
1985-11-10 Torino D 0-0 1815 1880 46.2% 37.2% 16.6% -2.1 9
1985-11-10 @ Avellino D 0-0 1880 1815 16.6% 37.2% 46.2% +2.1 11
1985-11-10 Atalanta D 0-0 1756 1821 46.3% 37.2% 16.5% -2.1 7
1985-11-10 @ Bari D 0-0 1821 1756 16.5% 37.2% 46.3% +2.1 9
1985-11-10 Fiorentina D 2-2 1874 1880 51.8% 36.1% 12.1% -2.0 9
1985-11-10 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1880 1874 12.1% 36.1% 51.8% +2.0 12
1985-11-10 Napoli D 1-1 1915 1905 53.1% 35.7% 11.1% -2.9 13
1985-11-10 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1905 1915 11.1% 35.7% 53.1% +2.9 13
1985-11-10 Roma W 3-1 1974 1906 57.7% 34.0% 8.4% +6.6 18
1985-11-10 @ Juventus L 1-3 1906 1974 8.4% 34.0% 57.7% -6.6 11
1985-11-10 Como W 4-1 1763 1775 51.3% 36.2% 12.4% +13.2 8
1985-11-10 @ Pisa L 1-4 1775 1763 12.4% 36.2% 51.3% -13.2 5
1985-11-10 Lecce W 2-0 1868 1768 60.1% 32.7% 7.2% +6.5 8
1985-11-10 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1768 1868 7.2% 32.7% 60.1% -6.5 5
1985-11-10 AC Milan D 0-0 1798 1883 44.2% 37.4% 18.4% -1.8 8
1985-11-10 @ Udinese D 0-0 1883 1798 18.4% 37.4% 44.2% +1.8 14
1985-11-24 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1823 1872 47.8% 37.0% 15.2% -2.4 10
1985-11-24 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1872 1823 15.2% 37.0% 47.8% +2.4 10
1985-11-24 Sampdoria D 2-2 1762 1874 41.0% 37.5% 21.4% -0.9 6
1985-11-24 @ Como D 2-2 1874 1762 21.4% 37.5% 41.0% +0.9 9
1985-11-24 Bari D 0-0 1882 1754 62.1% 31.6% 6.3% -4.5 13
1985-11-24 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1754 1882 6.3% 31.6% 62.1% +4.5 8
1985-11-24 Juventus D 1-1 1912 1980 45.9% 37.2% 16.8% -1.8 14
1985-11-24 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1980 1912 16.8% 37.2% 45.9% +1.9 19
1985-11-24 Avellino D 2-2 1761 1813 47.5% 37.0% 15.4% -1.5 6
1985-11-24 @ Lecce D 2-2 1813 1761 15.4% 37.0% 47.5% +1.5 10
1985-11-24 Udinese D 1-1 1908 1796 60.9% 32.3% 6.8% -3.9 14
1985-11-24 @ Napoli D 1-1 1796 1908 6.8% 32.3% 60.9% +3.9 9
1985-11-24 AC Milan W 2-1 1900 1885 53.5% 35.6% 10.9% +4.8 13
1985-11-24 @ Roma L 1-2 1885 1900 10.9% 35.6% 53.5% -4.8 14
1985-11-24 Pisa W 4-1 1882 1777 60.5% 32.5% 7.0% +7.7 13
1985-11-24 @ Torino L 1-4 1777 1882 7.0% 32.5% 60.5% -7.7 8
1985-12-01 Inter Milan D 2-2 1880 1910 49.6% 36.6% 13.7% -1.8 15
1985-12-01 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1910 1880 13.7% 36.6% 49.6% +1.8 15
1985-12-01 Atalanta W 1-0 1815 1820 51.8% 36.1% 12.1% +5.6 12
1985-12-01 @ Avellino L 0-1 1820 1815 12.1% 36.1% 51.8% -5.6 10
1985-12-01 Napoli L 1-2 1758 1904 37.0% 37.5% 25.5% -11.4 8
1985-12-01 @ Bari W 2-1 1904 1758 25.5% 37.5% 37.0% +11.4 16
1985-12-01 Torino D 1-1 1761 1890 39.0% 37.6% 23.4% -0.9 7
1985-12-01 @ Como D 1-1 1890 1761 23.4% 37.6% 39.0% +0.9 14
1985-12-01 Fiorentina W 1-0 1982 1878 60.3% 32.6% 7.1% +3.4 21
1985-12-01 @ Juventus L 0-1 1878 1982 7.1% 32.6% 60.3% -3.4 13
1985-12-01 Lecce W 3-0 1769 1759 53.1% 35.7% 11.2% +14.4 10
1985-12-01 @ Pisa L 0-3 1759 1769 11.2% 35.7% 53.1% -14.4 6
1985-12-01 Roma W 1-0 1875 1904 49.7% 36.6% 13.7% +6.2 11
1985-12-01 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1904 1875 13.7% 36.6% 49.7% -6.2 13
1985-12-01 Hellas Verona W 5-1 1800 1875 45.3% 37.3% 17.4% +22.0 11
1985-12-01 @ Udinese L 1-5 1875 1800 17.4% 37.3% 45.3% -22.0 10
1985-12-08 Udinese D 1-1 1815 1822 51.7% 36.2% 12.2% -2.7 11
1985-12-08 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1822 1815 12.2% 36.2% 51.7% +2.7 12
1985-12-08 Avellino W 1-0 1874 1820 56.7% 34.4% 8.9% +4.3 15
1985-12-08 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1820 1874 8.9% 34.4% 56.7% -4.3 12
1985-12-08 Bari W 2-0 1853 1747 60.5% 32.5% 7.0% +6.3 12
1985-12-08 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1747 1853 7.0% 32.5% 60.5% -6.3 8
1985-12-08 Torino D 3-3 1912 1891 54.0% 35.4% 10.5% -1.8 16
1985-12-08 @ Inter Milan D 3-3 1891 1912 10.5% 35.4% 54.0% +1.8 15
1985-12-08 Sampdoria W 1-0 1985 1881 60.3% 32.6% 7.1% +3.4 23
1985-12-08 @ Juventus L 0-1 1881 1985 7.1% 32.6% 60.3% -3.4 11
1985-12-08 Como L 1-4 1745 1760 51.0% 36.3% 12.6% -36.4 6
1985-12-08 @ Lecce W 4-1 1760 1745 12.6% 36.3% 51.0% +36.4 9
1985-12-08 AC Milan W 2-0 1916 1878 55.4% 34.9% 9.7% +8.7 18
1985-12-08 @ Napoli L 0-2 1878 1916 9.7% 34.9% 55.4% -8.7 15
1985-12-08 Pisa W 1-0 1898 1783 61.1% 32.1% 6.7% +3.2 15
1985-12-08 @ Roma L 0-1 1783 1898 6.7% 32.1% 61.1% -3.2 10
1985-12-15 Juventus D 0-0 1870 1989 40.3% 37.6% 22.1% -1.2 16
1985-12-15 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1989 1870 22.1% 37.6% 40.3% +1.2 24
1985-12-15 Bari D 0-0 1816 1740 58.3% 33.7% 8.1% -4.0 13
1985-12-15 @ Avellino D 0-0 1740 1816 8.1% 33.7% 58.3% +4.0 9
1985-12-15 Inter Milan W 1-0 1796 1910 40.9% 37.5% 21.6% +8.5 11
1985-12-15 @ Como L 0-1 1910 1796 21.6% 37.5% 40.9% -8.5 16
1985-12-15 Roma L 0-3 1709 1901 30.8% 37.1% 32.1% -29.1 6
1985-12-15 @ Lecce W 3-0 1901 1709 32.1% 37.1% 30.8% +29.1 17
1985-12-15 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1780 1859 44.8% 37.3% 17.9% -14.1 10
1985-12-15 @ Pisa W 1-0 1859 1780 17.9% 37.3% 44.8% +14.0 14
1985-12-15 Napoli W 2-0 1878 1924 48.1% 36.9% 15.0% +12.5 13
1985-12-15 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1924 1878 15.0% 36.9% 48.1% -12.5 18
1985-12-15 Atalanta D 0-0 1893 1812 58.7% 33.5% 7.8% -4.0 16
1985-12-15 @ Torino D 0-0 1812 1893 7.8% 33.5% 58.7% +4.0 12
1985-12-15 Fiorentina D 2-2 1825 1879 47.4% 37.0% 15.6% -1.5 13
1985-12-15 @ Udinese D 2-2 1879 1825 15.6% 37.0% 47.4% +1.5 16
1985-12-22 AC Milan D 1-1 1816 1868 47.5% 37.0% 15.5% -2.1 13
1985-12-22 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1868 1816 15.5% 37.0% 47.5% +2.1 17
1985-12-22 Udinese W 1-0 1744 1823 44.8% 37.3% 17.9% +7.5 11
1985-12-22 @ Bari L 0-1 1823 1744 17.9% 37.3% 44.8% -7.5 13
1985-12-22 Pisa D 1-1 1880 1766 61.1% 32.2% 6.8% -3.9 17
1985-12-22 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1766 1880 6.8% 32.2% 61.1% +3.9 11
1985-12-22 Torino W 1-0 1873 1889 50.9% 36.4% 12.7% +5.8 16
1985-12-22 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1889 1873 12.7% 36.4% 50.9% -5.8 16
1985-12-22 Sampdoria W 1-0 1902 1890 53.3% 35.7% 11.1% +5.2 18
1985-12-22 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1890 1902 11.1% 35.7% 53.3% -5.2 13
1985-12-22 Lecce W 4-0 1990 1680 73.8% 23.2% 3.0% +4.1 26
1985-12-22 @ Juventus L 0-4 1680 1990 3.0% 23.2% 73.8% -4.1 6
1985-12-22 Avellino W 1-0 1912 1812 60.1% 32.8% 7.2% +3.5 20
1985-12-22 @ Napoli L 0-1 1812 1912 7.2% 32.8% 60.1% -3.5 13
1985-12-22 Como D 0-0 1931 1805 61.9% 31.7% 6.4% -4.5 18
1985-12-22 @ Roma D 0-0 1805 1931 6.4% 31.7% 61.9% +4.5 12
1986-01-05 Bari D 0-0 1870 1752 61.4% 32.0% 6.6% -4.4 18
1986-01-05 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1752 1870 6.6% 32.0% 61.4% +4.4 12
1986-01-05 Juventus D 0-0 1808 1994 31.7% 37.2% 31.1% -0.0 14
1986-01-05 @ Avellino D 0-0 1994 1808 31.1% 37.2% 31.7% +0.0 27
1986-01-05 Napoli D 1-1 1809 1915 41.8% 37.5% 20.7% -1.3 13
1986-01-05 @ Como D 1-1 1915 1809 20.7% 37.5% 41.8% +1.3 21
1986-01-05 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1675 1879 29.3% 36.9% 33.7% +11.2 8
1986-01-05 @ Lecce L 0-1 1879 1675 33.7% 36.9% 29.3% -11.2 16
1986-01-05 Inter Milan W 1-0 1770 1907 38.1% 37.5% 24.3% +9.2 13
1986-01-05 @ Pisa L 0-1 1907 1770 24.3% 37.5% 38.1% -9.2 18
1986-01-05 Atalanta W 4-0 1926 1814 60.9% 32.3% 6.8% +11.6 20
1986-01-05 @ Roma L 0-4 1814 1926 6.8% 32.3% 60.9% -11.6 13
1986-01-05 Fiorentina D 2-2 1885 1876 53.1% 35.8% 11.2% -2.1 14
1986-01-05 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1876 1885 11.2% 35.8% 53.1% +2.1 18
1986-01-05 Udinese W 2-0 1883 1816 57.7% 34.0% 8.4% +7.6 18
1986-01-05 @ Torino L 0-2 1816 1883 8.4% 34.0% 57.7% -7.6 13
1986-01-12 Sampdoria D 0-0 1756 1883 39.4% 37.6% 23.1% -1.1 13
1986-01-12 @ Bari D 0-0 1883 1756 23.1% 37.6% 39.4% +1.1 15
1986-01-12 Torino D 0-0 1878 1891 51.2% 36.3% 12.5% -2.9 19
1986-01-12 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1891 1878 12.5% 36.3% 51.2% +2.9 19
1986-01-12 Avellino W 2-0 1868 1808 57.1% 34.2% 8.7% +7.9 18
1986-01-12 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1808 1868 8.7% 34.2% 57.1% -7.9 14
1986-01-12 Atalanta L 1-3 1898 1802 59.7% 32.9% 7.4% -29.4 18
1986-01-12 @ Inter Milan W 3-1 1802 1898 7.4% 32.9% 59.7% +29.4 15
1986-01-12 Como D 0-0 1994 1808 66.0% 29.0% 5.0% -4.9 28
1986-01-12 @ Juventus D 0-0 1808 1994 5.0% 29.0% 66.0% +4.9 14
1986-01-12 AC Milan L 0-2 1687 1866 32.6% 37.3% 30.1% -20.8 8
1986-01-12 @ Lecce W 2-0 1866 1687 30.1% 37.3% 32.6% +20.8 20
1986-01-12 Pisa L 0-1 1917 1779 62.7% 31.2% 6.1% -18.7 21
1986-01-12 @ Napoli W 1-0 1779 1917 6.1% 31.2% 62.7% +18.7 15
1986-01-12 Roma L 0-2 1808 1938 39.1% 37.6% 23.4% -23.7 13
1986-01-12 @ Udinese W 2-0 1938 1808 23.4% 37.6% 39.1% +23.7 22
1986-01-19 Fiorentina W 1-0 1887 1876 53.3% 35.7% 11.0% +5.2 22
1986-01-19 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1876 1887 11.0% 35.7% 53.3% -5.2 19
1986-01-19 Napoli D 0-0 1832 1898 46.1% 37.2% 16.7% -2.1 16
1986-01-19 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1898 1832 16.7% 37.2% 46.1% +2.1 22
1986-01-19 Inter Milan W 1-0 1800 1868 46.0% 37.2% 16.8% +7.2 16
1986-01-19 @ Avellino L 0-1 1868 1800 16.8% 37.2% 46.0% -7.2 18
1986-01-19 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1813 1876 46.5% 37.2% 16.4% +7.0 16
1986-01-19 @ Como L 0-1 1876 1813 16.4% 37.2% 46.5% -7.0 18
1986-01-19 Juventus D 1-1 1798 1989 30.9% 37.1% 31.9% +0.1 16
1986-01-19 @ Pisa D 1-1 1989 1798 31.9% 37.1% 30.9% -0.1 29
1986-01-19 Bari W 2-1 1961 1755 67.3% 28.1% 4.6% +1.9 24
1986-01-19 @ Roma L 1-2 1755 1961 4.6% 28.1% 67.3% -1.9 13
1986-01-19 Udinese W 3-0 1884 1785 60.0% 32.8% 7.2% +9.5 17
1986-01-19 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1785 1884 7.2% 32.8% 60.0% -9.5 13
1986-01-19 Lecce W 3-1 1894 1666 68.7% 27.1% 4.2% +2.9 21
1986-01-19 @ Torino L 1-3 1666 1894 4.2% 27.1% 68.7% -2.9 8
1986-01-26 AC Milan D 1-1 1808 1892 44.2% 37.4% 18.4% -1.6 17
1986-01-26 @ Avellino D 1-1 1892 1808 18.4% 37.4% 44.2% +1.6 23
1986-01-26 Bari D 1-1 1820 1753 57.6% 34.0% 8.4% -3.5 17
1986-01-26 @ Como D 1-1 1753 1820 8.4% 34.0% 57.6% +3.5 14
1986-01-26 Udinese W 2-1 1861 1775 59.0% 33.3% 7.7% +3.5 20
1986-01-26 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1775 1861 7.7% 33.3% 59.0% -3.5 13
1986-01-26 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1989 1868 61.5% 31.9% 6.6% +8.5 31
1986-01-26 @ Juventus L 0-3 1868 1989 6.6% 31.9% 61.5% -8.5 18
1986-01-26 Fiorentina W 2-1 1663 1870 28.8% 36.9% 34.3% +10.7 10
1986-01-26 @ Lecce L 1-2 1870 1663 34.3% 36.9% 28.8% -10.7 19
1986-01-26 Atalanta D 1-1 1798 1830 49.5% 36.7% 13.9% -2.3 17
1986-01-26 @ Pisa D 1-1 1830 1798 13.9% 36.7% 49.5% +2.3 17
1986-01-26 Napoli W 2-0 1963 1900 57.4% 34.1% 8.5% +7.8 26
1986-01-26 @ Roma L 0-2 1900 1963 8.5% 34.1% 57.4% -7.7 22
1986-01-26 Torino D 0-0 1894 1897 52.1% 36.0% 11.9% -3.0 18
1986-01-26 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1897 1894 11.9% 36.0% 52.1% +3.0 22
1986-02-09 Sampdoria D 2-2 1894 1891 52.6% 35.9% 11.5% -2.1 24
1986-02-09 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1891 1894 11.5% 35.9% 52.6% +2.1 19
1986-02-09 Juventus D 0-0 1832 1998 34.4% 37.4% 28.2% -0.4 18
1986-02-09 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1998 1832 28.2% 37.4% 34.4% +0.4 32
1986-02-09 Pisa D 0-0 1757 1795 48.9% 36.8% 14.4% -2.5 15
1986-02-09 @ Bari D 0-0 1795 1757 14.4% 36.8% 48.9% +2.5 18
1986-02-09 Como W 1-0 1860 1816 55.8% 34.8% 9.4% +4.5 21
1986-02-09 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1816 1860 9.4% 34.8% 55.8% -4.5 17
1986-02-09 Inter Milan D 0-0 1860 1864 51.9% 36.1% 12.0% -3.0 19
1986-02-09 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1864 1860 12.0% 36.1% 51.9% +3.0 21
1986-02-09 Lecce W 1-0 1892 1674 68.1% 27.5% 4.4% +1.9 24
1986-02-09 @ Napoli L 0-1 1674 1892 4.4% 27.5% 68.1% -1.9 10
1986-02-09 Roma L 0-1 1900 1971 45.6% 37.3% 17.2% -14.3 22
1986-02-09 @ Torino W 1-0 1971 1900 17.2% 37.3% 45.6% +14.3 28
1986-02-09 Avellino W 3-1 1772 1806 49.2% 36.7% 14.0% +10.3 15
1986-02-09 @ Udinese L 1-3 1806 1772 14.0% 36.7% 49.2% -10.3 17
1986-02-16 AC Milan D 1-1 1812 1892 44.7% 37.4% 17.9% -1.7 18
1986-02-16 @ Como D 1-1 1892 1812 17.9% 37.4% 44.7% +1.7 25
1986-02-16 Bari W 1-0 1867 1754 61.0% 32.2% 6.8% +3.2 23
1986-02-16 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1754 1867 6.8% 32.2% 61.0% -3.2 15
1986-02-16 Torino D 1-1 1998 1885 61.0% 32.2% 6.8% -3.9 33
1986-02-16 @ Juventus D 1-1 1885 1998 6.8% 32.2% 61.0% +3.9 23
1986-02-16 Atalanta W 2-1 1672 1832 35.2% 37.4% 27.4% +9.3 12
1986-02-16 @ Lecce L 1-2 1832 1672 27.4% 37.4% 35.2% -9.3 18
1986-02-16 Fiorentina D 0-0 1894 1864 54.8% 35.2% 10.0% -3.5 25
1986-02-16 @ Napoli D 0-0 1864 1894 10.0% 35.2% 54.8% +3.5 22
1986-02-16 Udinese D 0-0 1798 1782 53.6% 35.6% 10.8% -3.3 19
1986-02-16 @ Pisa D 0-0 1782 1798 10.8% 35.6% 53.6% +3.3 16
1986-02-16 Avellino W 5-1 1985 1796 66.2% 28.9% 4.9% +6.6 30
1986-02-16 @ Roma L 1-5 1796 1985 4.9% 28.9% 66.2% -6.6 17
1986-02-16 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1893 1857 55.2% 35.0% 9.8% -3.5 20
1986-02-16 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1857 1893 9.8% 35.0% 55.2% +3.5 20
1986-02-23 Sampdoria W 2-1 1822 1889 46.1% 37.2% 16.7% +6.8 20
1986-02-23 @ Atalanta L 1-2 1889 1822 16.7% 37.2% 46.1% -6.8 20
1986-02-23 Pisa D 1-1 1789 1795 51.8% 36.1% 12.0% -2.7 18
1986-02-23 @ Avellino D 1-1 1795 1789 12.0% 36.1% 51.8% +2.7 20
1986-02-23 Juventus L 0-3 1751 1994 24.5% 36.2% 39.3% -24.9 15
1986-02-23 @ Bari W 3-0 1994 1751 39.3% 36.2% 24.5% +24.9 35
1986-02-23 Roma D 1-1 1868 1992 39.7% 37.6% 22.8% -1.0 23
1986-02-23 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1992 1868 22.8% 37.6% 39.7% +1.0 31
1986-02-23 Napoli D 2-2 1860 1891 49.6% 36.6% 13.7% -1.8 21
1986-02-23 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1891 1860 13.7% 36.6% 49.6% +1.8 26
1986-02-23 Lecce W 3-0 1871 1681 66.2% 28.9% 4.9% +6.0 25
1986-02-23 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1681 1871 4.9% 28.9% 66.2% -6.0 12
1986-02-23 AC Milan W 2-0 1889 1893 52.0% 36.1% 12.0% +10.5 25
1986-02-23 @ Torino L 0-2 1893 1889 12.0% 36.1% 52.0% -10.5 25
1986-02-23 Como D 2-2 1785 1810 50.1% 36.5% 13.4% -1.8 17
1986-02-23 @ Udinese D 2-2 1810 1785 13.4% 36.5% 50.1% +1.8 19
1986-03-02 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1883 1859 54.3% 35.3% 10.3% -3.0 26
1986-03-02 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1859 1883 10.3% 35.3% 54.3% +3.0 22
1986-03-02 Avellino D 1-1 1812 1787 54.4% 35.3% 10.3% -3.0 20
1986-03-02 @ Como D 1-1 1787 1812 10.3% 35.3% 54.4% +3.0 19
1986-03-02 Atalanta D 0-0 1867 1829 55.4% 34.9% 9.7% -3.6 24
1986-03-02 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1829 1867 9.7% 34.9% 55.4% +3.5 21
1986-03-02 Udinese W 2-1 2019 1783 69.2% 26.7% 4.1% +1.6 37
1986-03-02 @ Juventus L 1-2 1783 2019 4.1% 26.7% 69.2% -1.6 17
1986-03-02 Bari D 1-1 1675 1726 47.6% 37.0% 15.4% -2.1 13
1986-03-02 @ Lecce D 1-1 1726 1675 15.4% 37.0% 47.6% +2.1 16
1986-03-02 Torino W 3-1 1892 1900 51.7% 36.1% 12.2% +9.2 28
1986-03-02 @ Napoli L 1-3 1900 1892 12.2% 36.1% 51.7% -9.2 25
1986-03-02 Inter Milan W 3-1 1993 1877 61.2% 32.1% 6.7% +5.2 33
1986-03-02 @ Roma L 1-3 1877 1993 6.7% 32.1% 61.2% -5.2 25
1986-03-02 Pisa W 3-0 1882 1797 59.0% 33.3% 7.7% +10.2 22
1986-03-02 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1797 1882 7.7% 33.3% 59.0% -10.1 20
1986-03-09 Como D 1-1 1833 1809 54.3% 35.4% 10.4% -3.0 22
1986-03-09 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1809 1833 10.4% 35.4% 54.3% +3.0 21
1986-03-09 Sampdoria W 2-1 1790 1893 42.2% 37.5% 20.3% +7.7 21
1986-03-09 @ Avellino L 1-2 1893 1790 20.3% 37.5% 42.2% -7.7 22
1986-03-09 Torino W 1-0 1728 1891 34.9% 37.4% 27.7% +10.0 18
1986-03-09 @ Bari L 0-1 1891 1728 27.7% 37.4% 34.9% -10.0 25
1986-03-09 Roma W 3-2 1862 1998 38.2% 37.5% 24.3% +8.2 24
1986-03-09 @ Hellas Verona L 2-3 1998 1862 24.3% 37.5% 38.2% -8.2 33
1986-03-09 Fiorentina W 2-0 1872 1863 53.0% 35.8% 11.2% +9.9 27
1986-03-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1863 1872 11.2% 35.8% 53.0% -9.9 24
1986-03-09 Napoli D 1-1 2021 1902 61.4% 32.0% 6.6% -3.9 38
1986-03-09 @ Juventus D 1-1 1902 2021 6.6% 32.0% 61.4% +3.9 29
1986-03-09 AC Milan L 0-1 1787 1880 43.3% 37.5% 19.2% -13.7 20
1986-03-09 @ Pisa W 1-0 1880 1787 19.2% 37.5% 43.3% +13.7 28
1986-03-09 Lecce W 2-1 1782 1673 60.7% 32.4% 6.9% +3.1 19
1986-03-09 @ Udinese L 1-2 1673 1782 6.9% 32.4% 60.7% -3.1 13
1986-03-16 Udinese W 2-0 1893 1785 60.7% 32.4% 6.9% +6.2 30
1986-03-16 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1785 1893 6.9% 32.4% 60.7% -6.2 19
1986-03-16 Bari D 0-0 1830 1738 59.4% 33.1% 7.5% -4.1 23
1986-03-16 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1738 1830 7.5% 33.1% 59.4% +4.1 19
1986-03-16 Pisa D 1-1 1812 1773 55.5% 34.9% 9.6% -3.2 22
1986-03-16 @ Como D 1-1 1773 1812 9.6% 34.9% 55.5% +3.2 21
1986-03-16 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1853 1870 50.8% 36.4% 12.8% -2.8 25
1986-03-16 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1870 1853 12.8% 36.4% 50.8% +2.8 25
1986-03-16 Sampdoria L 0-1 1670 1885 27.9% 36.7% 35.4% -10.0 13
1986-03-16 @ Lecce W 1-0 1885 1670 35.4% 36.7% 27.9% +10.0 24
1986-03-16 Inter Milan W 1-0 1906 1881 54.3% 35.3% 10.3% +4.9 31
1986-03-16 @ Napoli L 0-1 1881 1906 10.3% 35.3% 54.3% -4.9 27
1986-03-16 Juventus W 3-0 1990 2017 49.9% 36.6% 13.5% +16.7 35
1986-03-16 @ Roma L 0-3 2017 1990 13.5% 36.6% 49.9% -16.7 38
1986-03-16 Avellino W 1-0 1881 1797 58.8% 33.4% 7.8% +3.7 27
1986-03-16 @ Torino L 0-1 1797 1881 7.8% 33.4% 58.8% -3.7 21
1986-03-23 Roma L 0-1 1900 2007 41.7% 37.5% 20.8% -13.2 30
1986-03-23 @ AC Milan W 1-0 2007 1900 20.8% 37.5% 41.7% +13.2 37
1986-03-23 Lecce W 2-0 1794 1660 62.4% 31.4% 6.2% +5.5 23
1986-03-23 @ Avellino L 0-2 1660 1794 6.2% 31.4% 62.4% -5.5 13
1986-03-23 Fiorentina L 0-1 1742 1850 41.6% 37.5% 20.9% -13.2 19
1986-03-23 @ Bari W 1-0 1850 1742 20.9% 37.5% 41.6% +13.2 27
1986-03-23 Atalanta L 0-3 1873 1825 56.1% 34.6% 9.2% -46.9 25
1986-03-23 @ Hellas Verona W 3-0 1825 1873 9.2% 34.6% 56.1% +46.9 25
1986-03-23 Inter Milan W 2-0 2000 1877 61.7% 31.8% 6.5% +5.8 40
1986-03-23 @ Juventus L 0-2 1877 2000 6.5% 31.8% 61.7% -5.8 27
1986-03-23 Torino D 0-0 1777 1884 41.6% 37.5% 20.8% -1.4 22
1986-03-23 @ Pisa D 0-0 1884 1777 20.8% 37.5% 41.6% +1.4 28
1986-03-23 Como D 0-0 1895 1809 59.0% 33.3% 7.7% -4.1 25
1986-03-23 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1809 1895 7.7% 33.3% 59.0% +4.1 23
1986-03-23 Napoli W 2-0 1779 1911 38.8% 37.6% 23.7% +17.1 21
1986-03-23 @ Udinese L 0-2 1911 1779 23.7% 37.6% 38.8% -17.1 31
1986-04-06 Avellino W 2-0 1872 1799 58.1% 33.8% 8.1% +7.4 27
1986-04-06 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1799 1872 8.1% 33.8% 58.1% -7.4 23
1986-04-06 Juventus W 2-0 1864 2006 37.5% 37.5% 25.0% +17.7 29
1986-04-06 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 2006 1864 25.0% 37.5% 37.5% -17.7 40
1986-04-06 Udinese D 1-1 1826 1796 54.8% 35.2% 10.0% -3.1 26
1986-04-06 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1796 1826 10.0% 35.2% 54.8% +3.1 22
1986-04-06 AC Milan W 1-0 1871 1886 50.9% 36.3% 12.7% +5.8 29
1986-04-06 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1886 1871 12.7% 36.3% 50.9% -5.8 30
1986-04-06 Pisa D 1-1 1654 1775 40.1% 37.6% 22.4% -1.1 14
1986-04-06 @ Lecce D 1-1 1775 1654 22.4% 37.6% 40.1% +1.1 23
1986-04-06 Bari W 1-0 1893 1729 64.5% 30.0% 5.5% +2.5 33
1986-04-06 @ Napoli L 0-1 1729 1893 5.5% 30.0% 64.5% -2.5 19
1986-04-06 Sampdoria W 1-0 2020 1891 62.1% 31.6% 6.3% +3.0 39
1986-04-06 @ Roma L 0-1 1891 2020 6.3% 31.6% 62.1% -3.0 25
1986-04-06 Como L 1-3 1886 1813 58.1% 33.8% 8.2% -28.8 28
1986-04-06 @ Torino W 3-1 1813 1886 8.2% 33.8% 58.1% +28.8 25
1986-04-13 Napoli L 1-2 1881 1896 51.0% 36.3% 12.7% -14.8 30
1986-04-13 @ AC Milan W 2-1 1896 1881 12.7% 36.3% 51.0% +14.8 35
1986-04-13 Fiorentina W 3-1 1792 1881 43.7% 37.4% 18.9% +12.7 25
1986-04-13 @ Avellino L 1-3 1881 1792 18.9% 37.4% 43.7% -12.7 29
1986-04-13 Hellas Verona W 3-1 1727 1823 42.9% 37.5% 19.6% +13.0 21
1986-04-13 @ Bari L 1-3 1823 1727 19.6% 37.5% 42.9% -13.0 26
1986-04-13 Lecce W 2-0 1842 1653 66.1% 28.9% 4.9% +4.2 27
1986-04-13 @ Como L 0-2 1653 1842 4.9% 28.9% 66.1% -4.2 14
1986-04-13 Roma L 2-4 1776 2023 24.1% 36.1% 39.8% -13.1 23
1986-04-13 @ Pisa W 4-2 2023 1776 39.8% 36.1% 24.1% +13.1 41
1986-04-13 Juventus D 0-0 1888 1988 42.4% 37.5% 20.1% -1.5 26
1986-04-13 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1988 1888 20.1% 37.5% 42.4% +1.5 41
1986-04-13 Inter Milan W 1-0 1857 1877 50.6% 36.4% 13.0% +5.9 30
1986-04-13 @ Torino L 0-1 1877 1857 13.0% 36.4% 50.6% -5.9 29
1986-04-13 Atalanta W 1-0 1799 1880 44.6% 37.4% 18.1% +7.6 24
1986-04-13 @ Udinese L 0-1 1880 1799 18.1% 37.4% 44.6% -7.6 27
1986-04-20 Torino D 2-2 1872 1863 53.1% 35.7% 11.2% -2.1 28
1986-04-20 @ Atalanta D 2-2 1863 1872 11.2% 35.7% 53.1% +2.1 31
1986-04-20 Avellino L 0-1 1740 1804 46.3% 37.2% 16.5% -14.5 21
1986-04-20 @ Bari W 1-0 1804 1740 16.5% 37.2% 46.3% +14.5 27
1986-04-20 Udinese W 1-0 1868 1806 57.3% 34.1% 8.6% +4.1 31
1986-04-20 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1806 1868 8.6% 34.1% 57.3% -4.1 24
1986-04-20 Pisa W 3-0 1810 1763 56.1% 34.7% 9.3% +12.2 28
1986-04-20 @ Hellas Verona L 0-3 1763 1810 9.3% 34.7% 56.1% -12.2 23
1986-04-20 Como W 3-2 1871 1846 54.4% 35.3% 10.3% +4.4 31
1986-04-20 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 1846 1871 10.3% 35.3% 54.4% -4.4 27
1986-04-20 AC Milan W 1-0 1990 1866 61.7% 31.8% 6.5% +3.1 43
1986-04-20 @ Juventus L 0-1 1866 1990 6.5% 31.8% 61.7% -3.1 30
1986-04-20 Sampdoria W 3-0 1911 1886 54.4% 35.3% 10.3% +13.4 37
1986-04-20 @ Napoli L 0-3 1886 1911 10.3% 35.3% 54.4% -13.4 26
1986-04-20 Lecce L 2-3 2036 1649 78.2% 19.6% 2.2% -18.6 41
1986-04-20 @ Roma W 3-2 1649 2036 2.2% 19.6% 78.2% +18.6 16
1986-04-27 Atalanta D 1-1 1863 1870 51.7% 36.2% 12.2% -2.7 31
1986-04-27 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1870 1863 12.2% 36.2% 51.7% +2.7 29
1986-04-27 Napoli L 0-1 1819 1924 41.9% 37.5% 20.6% -13.3 27
1986-04-27 @ Avellino W 1-0 1924 1819 20.6% 37.5% 41.9% +13.3 39
1986-04-27 Roma W 1-0 1841 2017 33.1% 37.3% 29.6% +10.4 29
1986-04-27 @ Como L 0-1 2017 1841 29.6% 37.3% 33.1% -10.4 41
1986-04-27 Juventus L 2-3 1668 1993 16.8% 33.7% 49.5% -6.0 16
1986-04-27 @ Lecce W 3-2 1993 1668 49.5% 33.7% 16.8% +6.0 45
1986-04-27 Fiorentina L 1-2 1751 1873 40.0% 37.6% 22.4% -12.1 23
1986-04-27 @ Pisa W 2-1 1873 1751 22.4% 37.6% 40.0% +12.1 33
1986-04-27 Inter Milan D 0-0 1873 1875 52.1% 36.0% 11.8% -3.0 27
1986-04-27 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1875 1873 11.8% 36.0% 52.1% +3.0 32
1986-04-27 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1865 1822 55.8% 34.8% 9.4% +4.2 33
1986-04-27 @ Torino L 1-2 1822 1865 9.4% 34.8% 55.8% -4.2 28
1986-04-27 Bari D 2-2 1802 1725 58.4% 33.6% 8.0% -2.7 25
1986-04-27 @ Udinese D 2-2 1725 1802 8.0% 33.6% 58.4% +2.7 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1986-04-20 2.19% Lecce 1649 3 @ Roma 2036 2
2 1986-01-12 6.10% Pisa 1779 1 @ Napoli 1917 0
3 1985-11-03 6.52% Avellino 1780 2 @ Sampdoria 1903 0
4 1986-01-12 7.36% Atalanta 1802 3 @ Inter Milan 1898 1
5 1986-04-06 8.16% Como 1813 3 @ Torino 1886 1
6 1985-10-27 8.92% Como 1766 4 @ Avellino 1820 1
7 1986-03-23 9.22% Atalanta 1825 3 @ Hellas Verona 1873 0
8 1985-09-29 10.62% Pisa 1780 2 @ Atalanta 1798 1
9 1985-11-03 10.75% Atalanta 1789 2 @ Como 1806 0
10 1985-12-08 12.64% Como 1760 4 @ Lecce 1745 1
11 1986-04-13 12.69% Napoli 1896 2 @ AC Milan 1881 1
12 1985-09-29 13.10% Juventus 1928 1 @ Hellas Verona 1907 0
13 1985-10-13 15.97% Juventus 1949 2 @ Torino 1890 1
14 1986-04-20 16.53% Avellino 1804 1 @ Bari 1740 0
15 1986-02-09 17.15% Roma 1971 1 @ Torino 1900 0
16 1985-09-08 17.76% AC Milan 1855 1 @ Bari 1777 0
17 1985-12-15 17.87% Hellas Verona 1859 1 @ Pisa 1780 0
18 1985-10-27 18.31% Sampdoria 1876 2 @ Pisa 1793 0
19 1985-09-08 19.12% Roma 1899 2 @ Atalanta 1808 1
20 1986-03-09 19.23% AC Milan 1880 1 @ Pisa 1787 0
21 1986-04-27 20.58% Napoli 1924 1 @ Avellino 1819 0
22 1986-03-23 20.76% Roma 2007 1 @ AC Milan 1900 0
23 1986-03-23 20.87% Fiorentina 1850 1 @ Bari 1742 0
24 1985-09-15 22.12% Juventus 1911 1 @ Como 1792 0
25 1985-10-13 22.43% Inter Milan 1897 3 @ Bari 1776 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-03-23 46.93 Atalanta 3 1825 9.22% @ Hellas Verona 0 1873 56.15% 34.63%
2 1985-10-27 39.88 Como 4 1766 8.92% @ Avellino 1 1820 56.67% 34.41%
3 1985-12-08 36.37 Como 4 1760 12.64% @ Lecce 1 1745 51.03% 36.32%
4 1985-11-03 34.81 Avellino 2 1780 6.52% @ Sampdoria 0 1903 61.62% 31.86%
5 1985-11-03 31.07 Atalanta 2 1789 10.75% @ Como 0 1806 53.69% 35.55%
6 1986-01-12 29.44 Atalanta 3 1802 7.36% @ Inter Milan 1 1898 59.71% 32.93%
7 1985-12-15 29.12 Roma 3 1901 32.12% @ Lecce 0 1709 30.78% 37.10%
8 1986-04-06 28.79 Como 3 1813 8.16% @ Torino 1 1886 58.07% 33.77%
9 1985-10-20 26.48 @ Napoli 5 1877 50.32% Hellas Verona 0 1900 13.19% 36.49%
10 1985-10-27 26.26 Sampdoria 2 1876 18.31% @ Pisa 0 1793 44.31% 37.38%
11 1986-02-23 24.88 Juventus 3 1994 39.34% @ Bari 0 1751 24.50% 36.16%
12 1986-01-12 23.72 Roma 2 1938 23.39% @ Udinese 0 1808 39.05% 37.56%
13 1985-12-01 21.98 @ Udinese 5 1800 45.29% Hellas Verona 1 1875 17.42% 37.30%
14 1985-10-13 20.93 Inter Milan 3 1897 22.43% @ Bari 1 1776 40.01% 37.56%
15 1986-01-12 20.83 AC Milan 2 1866 30.13% @ Lecce 0 1687 32.60% 37.26%
16 1985-11-03 20.25 @ Fiorentina 3 1860 45.20% Inter Milan 0 1935 17.49% 37.30%
17 1986-01-12 18.69 Pisa 1 1779 6.10% @ Napoli 0 1917 62.69% 31.21%
18 1985-09-22 18.61 @ Bari 2 1757 35.37% Roma 0 1916 27.17% 37.45%
19 1986-04-20 18.60 Lecce 3 1649 2.19% @ Roma 2 2036 78.22% 19.59%
20 1986-04-06 17.67 @ Fiorentina 2 1864 37.45% Juventus 0 2006 25.02% 37.54%
21 1986-03-23 17.07 @ Udinese 2 1779 38.75% Napoli 0 1911 23.69% 37.56%
22 1986-03-16 16.73 @ Roma 3 1990 49.94% Juventus 0 2017 13.49% 36.58%
23 1985-09-29 15.59 Juventus 1 1928 13.10% @ Hellas Verona 0 1907 50.44% 36.46%
24 1985-09-29 15.58 Pisa 2 1780 10.62% @ Atalanta 1 1798 53.90% 35.48%
25 1986-04-13 14.84 Napoli 2 1896 12.69% @ AC Milan 1 1881 50.98% 36.34%