1986-87 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Napoli

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Udinese

6.49 points above expected

24 points · 17.51 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Atalanta

7.00 points below expected

21 points · 28.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Napoli	30	15	12	3	42	41	21	+20	35.8	+6.17
2	Juventus	30	14	11	5	39	42	27	+15	35.8	+3.21
3	Inter Milan	30	15	8	7	38	32	17	+15	33.1	+4.89
4	Hellas Verona	30	12	12	6	36	36	25	+11	31.1	+4.88
5	Sampdoria	30	13	9	8	35	37	21	+16	31.2	+3.76
6	AC Milan	30	13	9	8	35	31	21	+10	32.2	+2.81
7	Roma	30	12	9	9	33	37	31	+6	35.3	-2.26
8	Avellino	30	9	12	9	30	31	38	-7	28.1	+1.89
9	Como	30	5	16	9	26	16	20	-4	30.1	-4.08
10	Fiorentina	30	8	10	12	26	30	35	-5	29.7	-3.73
11	Torino	30	8	10	12	26	26	32	-6	29.4	-3.39
12	Ascoli	30	7	10	13	24	18	33	-15	24.4	-0.35
13	Udinese	30	6	12	12	24	25	41	-16	17.5	+6.49
14	Empoli	30	8	7	15	23	13	33	-20	24.8	-1.77
15	Brescia	30	7	8	15	22	25	35	-10	24.5	-2.52
16	Atalanta	30	7	7	16	21	22	32	-10	28.0	-7.00

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	1961	39	35.79	+3.21	85.0%	24	29	34	36	38	43	45
Napoli	1960	42	35.83	+6.17	96.0%	25	29	33	36	38	42	44
Sampdoria	1947	35	31.24	+3.76	84.0%	21	24	28	31	34	38	44
Inter Milan	1906	38	33.11	+4.89	93.0%	19	28	30	33	36	39	43
Hellas Verona	1889	36	31.12	+4.88	92.0%	23	24	28	31	34	38	39
AC Milan	1889	35	32.19	+2.81	79.0%	22	24	29	32	35	38	42
Roma	1885	33	35.26	-2.26	32.0%	24	28	33	35	38	41	45
Avellino	1828	30	28.11	+1.89	73.0%	20	22	26	28	31	34	36
Fiorentina	1820	26	29.73	-3.73	25.0%	22	24	26	30	33	36	38
Torino	1807	26	29.39	-3.39	22.0%	20	23	27	29	32	35	40
Como	1805	26	30.08	-4.08	14.0%	21	24	28	29	32	37	41
Atalanta	1787	21	28.00	-7.00	5.0%	18	21	25	28	31	34	41
Ascoli	1753	24	24.35	-0.35	49.0%	15	16	22	25	27	30	33
Brescia	1750	22	24.52	-2.52	36.0%	16	17	21	25	27	31	36
Udinese	1747	24	17.51	+6.49	35.0%	9	10	14	18	20	24	29
Empoli	1730	23	24.77	-1.77	39.0%	14	18	22	25	27	31	34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ASC	ATA	AVE	BRE	COM	EMP	FIO	HV	IM	JUV	NAP	ROM	SAM	TOR	UDI
AC Milan	—	0-0-2 3.41	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.59	1-1-0 2.96	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.06	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.53	0-2-0 2.31	0-1-1 2.31	2-0-0 2.32	0-0-2 2.88	1-1-0 2.99	0-2-0 3.38
Ascoli	2-0-0 1.97	—	1-1-0 2.44	0-1-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.59	0-2-0 2.24	0-0-2 2.74	0-0-2 2.34	0-0-2 2.17	1-0-1 1.68	0-1-1 1.86	0-1-1 1.57	0-2-0 1.54	0-0-2 1.88	1-1-0 2.21	1-0-1 2.61
Atalanta	0-0-2 2.43	0-1-1 2.93	—	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.47	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.01	0-1-1 1.84	0-1-1 1.84	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 2.53	0-1-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.78
Avellino	1-0-1 2.34	1-1-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.79	—	0-1-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.50	1-0-1 3.17	1-0-1 2.51	0-2-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 1.93	0-1-1 2.14	1-0-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.31	0-1-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.80
Brescia	1-0-1 1.83	0-1-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.27	—	1-0-1 2.12	1-1-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.08	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-2 1.92	0-1-1 1.63	0-0-2 1.93	0-1-1 1.59	0-0-2 2.13	1-1-0 2.19	1-0-1 2.39
Como	0-1-1 2.43	0-2-0 3.15	1-1-0 2.90	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.28	—	0-1-1 3.27	1-1-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.41	0-1-1 2.01	0-1-1 2.00	0-2-0 2.21	1-1-0 2.62	0-1-1 2.69	1-1-0 3.01
Empoli	0-0-2 2.24	2-0-0 2.64	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.13	—	1-1-0 2.14	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.16	0-0-2 1.87	0-1-1 1.44	0-0-2 1.69	0-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.43
Fiorentina	0-1-1 2.31	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 3.31	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 3.25	—	0-1-1 2.66	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 2.13	1-1-0 1.97	1-1-0 2.08	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.99
Hellas Verona	1-0-1 2.58	2-0-0 3.22	1-0-1 2.96	0-2-0 2.85	1-1-0 3.26	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.30	1-1-0 2.73	—	1-1-0 2.44	0-1-1 2.29	1-1-0 2.06	0-1-1 2.18	0-2-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.67	1-1-0 2.90
Inter Milan	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.76	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 3.20	2-0-0 3.48	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.27	2-0-0 3.09	0-1-1 2.93	—	1-1-0 2.30	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.17
Juventus	0-2-0 3.10	1-1-0 3.60	1-1-0 3.59	1-1-0 3.47	1-1-0 3.83	1-1-0 3.40	2-0-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.27	1-1-0 3.11	0-1-1 3.11	—	0-0-2 2.80	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 3.13	1-1-0 3.49	2-0-0 3.28
Napoli	1-1-0 3.08	1-1-0 3.89	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.51	1-1-0 3.39	1-1-0 4.03	0-1-1 3.45	0-1-1 3.34	0-1-1 3.03	2-0-0 2.61	—	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 3.16	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.36
Roma	0-0-2 3.06	0-2-0 3.93	2-0-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.20	1-1-0 3.86	0-2-0 3.17	2-0-0 3.78	0-1-1 3.34	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.70	—	0-1-1 2.94	2-0-0 3.26	1-0-1 3.81
Sampdoria	2-0-0 2.49	2-0-0 3.53	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 3.09	2-0-0 3.27	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 2.75	0-2-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.24	0-1-1 2.26	1-1-0 2.43	—	1-0-1 3.09	0-2-0 3.19
Torino	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 3.17	1-1-0 2.70	1-1-0 2.67	0-1-1 3.18	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 2.10	0-0-2 2.16	1-0-1 2.32	—	1-1-0 2.87
Udinese	0-2-0 2.01	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.39	0-1-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.25	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 2.03	1-0-1 1.61	0-2-0 2.24	0-1-1 2.52	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.75%	13.12%	3.96%	3.75%	0.62%	0.21%	40.42%
1	13.12%	11.67%	7.29%	2.08%	1.04%	—	35.21%
2	3.96%	7.29%	3.33%	0.21%	0.42%	0.21%	15.42%
3	3.75%	2.08%	0.21%	—	0.21%	—	6.25%
4	0.62%	1.04%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	2.29%
5+	0.21%	—	0.21%	—	—	—	0.42%
Total	40.42%	35.21%	15.42%	6.25%	2.29%	0.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.085
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	33.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.026
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	23.33%	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	53.33%
1	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	43.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.60
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.72
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.153
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	46.67%
1	16.67%	3.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	26.67%	33.33%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Atalanta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.357
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	—	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	43.33%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Avellino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.069
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	26.67%	20.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	100%

Brescia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.136
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	36.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	60.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	46.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	100%

Como — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.53
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	0.78
StdDev allowed	0.66
Mean total goals/game	1.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.359
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	20.00%	—	16.67%	3.33%	—	60.00%
1	23.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	23.33%	6.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Empoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.43
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.57
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	1.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.295
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	46.67%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.223
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	16.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	—	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	50.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.287
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
1	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	56.67%	33.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	0.57
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	0.77
Mean total goals/game	1.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.035
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
1	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	46.67%
2	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	46.67%	30.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.137
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	43.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.025
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	26.67%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.081
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
1	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	53.33%	26.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	0.70
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.091
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.063
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	23.33%	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Udinese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.165
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Udinese	24	17.5	+6.49
2	Napoli	42	35.8	+6.17
3	Inter Milan	38	33.1	+4.89
4	Hellas Verona	36	31.1	+4.88
5	Sampdoria	35	31.2	+3.76

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Atalanta	21	28.0	-7.00
2	Como	26	30.1	-4.08
3	Fiorentina	26	29.7	-3.73
4	Torino	26	29.4	-3.39
5	Brescia	22	24.5	-2.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Napoli	5	Jan 11 – Feb 22	1 in 33
2	Ascoli	2	May 3 – May 10	1 in 25
3	Juventus	3	Sep 14 – Sep 28	1 in 22
4	Avellino	3	May 3 – May 17	1 in 17
5	Hellas Verona	3	Mar 29 – Apr 12	1 in 16

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Empoli	6	Sep 28 – Nov 2	1 in 262
2	Roma	3	May 3 – May 17	1 in 35
3	Avellino	3	Jan 4 – Jan 18	1 in 28
4	Inter Milan	3	Feb 22 – Mar 8	1 in 25
5	Fiorentina	3	Nov 30 – Dec 21	1 in 24

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Milan	13	Sep 21 – Jan 4	1 in 215
2	Napoli	13	Sep 14 – Dec 21	1 in 128
3	Como	11	Sep 14 – Nov 30	1 in 110
4	Sampdoria	11	Feb 1 – Apr 26	1 in 73
5	Ascoli	6	Feb 8 – Mar 22	1 in 45

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roma	7	Mar 29 – May 17	1 in 86
2	Torino	11	Feb 8 – May 3	1 in 73
3	Ascoli	12	Oct 5 – Jan 11	1 in 62
4	Como	9	Dec 14 – Mar 1	1 in 48
5	Avellino	7	Oct 12 – Nov 30	1 in 21

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Napoli	33.00%	15.00%	14.00%	14.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Juventus	24.00%	25.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Inter Milan	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	14.00%	11.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%
Hellas Verona	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Sampdoria	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	13.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—
AC Milan	3.00%	14.00%	12.00%	8.00%	14.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—
Roma	17.00%	19.00%	19.00%	7.00%	9.00%	16.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
Avellino	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	11.00%	11.00%	12.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	—
Como	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	11.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
Fiorentina	1.00%	5.00%	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	5.00%	11.00%	5.00%	15.00%	12.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—
Torino	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	9.00%	5.00%	8.00%	16.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—
Ascoli	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	13.00%	15.00%	26.00%	9.00%
Udinese	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	7.00%	15.00%	73.00%
Empoli	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	26.00%	19.00%	5.00%
Brescia	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	16.00%	14.00%	16.00%	18.00%	10.00%
Atalanta	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	12.00%	8.00%	6.00%	2.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Juventus	100%	—
Napoli	100%	—
Inter Milan	99.0%	1.0%
Roma	99.0%	1.0%
AC Milan	98.0%	2.0%
Hellas Verona	97.0%	3.0%
Como	95.0%	5.0%
Sampdoria	95.0%	5.0%
Fiorentina	94.0%	6.0%
Torino	93.0%	7.0%
Avellino	85.0%	15.0%
Atalanta	84.0%	16.0%
Brescia	56.0%	44.0%
Ascoli	50.0%	50.0%
Empoli	50.0%	50.0%
Udinese	5.0%	95.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1986-09-14	Ascoli	L 0-1	1846	1797	58.1%	29.7%	12.3%	-14.0	0
1986-09-14	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1797	1846	12.3%	29.7%	58.1%	+14.0	3
1986-09-14	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1820	1860	49.1%	32.2%	18.6%	+5.6	3
1986-09-14	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1860	1820	18.6%	32.2%	49.1%	-5.6	0
1986-09-14	Napoli	L 0-1	1756	1881	38.9%	32.9%	28.3%	-10.1	0
1986-09-14	@ Brescia	W 1-0	1881	1756	28.3%	32.9%	38.9%	+10.0	3
1986-09-14	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1785	1855	45.7%	32.7%	21.6%	+6.6	3
1986-09-14	@ Empoli	L 0-1	1855	1785	21.6%	32.7%	45.7%	-6.7	0
1986-09-14	Como	D 0-0	1915	1841	60.3%	28.7%	11.0%	-3.1	1
1986-09-14	@ Roma	D 0-0	1841	1915	11.0%	28.7%	60.3%	+3.1	1
1986-09-14	Atalanta	W 1-0	1851	1852	53.2%	31.3%	15.4%	+5.1	3
1986-09-14	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1852	1851	15.4%	31.3%	53.2%	-5.1	0
1986-09-14	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1850	1825	55.7%	30.6%	13.7%	+4.3	3
1986-09-14	@ Torino	L 1-2	1825	1850	13.7%	30.6%	55.7%	-4.3	0
1986-09-14	Juventus	L 0-2	1819	1912	43.0%	32.9%	24.2%	-20.5	0
1986-09-14	@ Udinese	W 2-0	1912	1819	24.2%	32.9%	43.0%	+20.5	3
1986-09-21	Empoli	L 0-1	1811	1792	55.1%	30.8%	14.1%	-13.4	3
1986-09-21	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1792	1811	14.1%	30.8%	55.1%	+13.4	6
1986-09-21	Roma	L 0-1	1847	1912	46.2%	32.6%	21.1%	-11.5	0
1986-09-21	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1912	1847	21.1%	32.6%	46.2%	+11.5	4
1986-09-21	Torino	D 1-1	1844	1854	52.3%	31.6%	16.1%	-2.0	2
1986-09-21	@ Como	D 1-1	1854	1844	16.1%	31.6%	52.3%	+1.9	4
1986-09-21	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1854	1856	53.0%	31.4%	15.6%	+9.7	3
1986-09-21	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1856	1854	15.6%	31.4%	53.0%	-9.7	3
1986-09-21	AC Milan	W 1-0	1821	1832	52.1%	31.6%	16.3%	+5.3	3
1986-09-21	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1832	1821	16.3%	31.6%	52.1%	-5.3	0
1986-09-21	Brescia	W 4-0	1848	1746	62.8%	27.4%	9.8%	+11.5	3
1986-09-21	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1746	1848	9.8%	27.4%	62.8%	-11.5	0
1986-09-21	Avellino	W 3-0	1932	1826	63.2%	27.2%	9.6%	+8.6	6
1986-09-21	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1826	1932	9.6%	27.2%	63.2%	-8.6	3
1986-09-21	Udinese	D 1-1	1891	1798	62.0%	27.8%	10.2%	-2.9	4
1986-09-21	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1798	1891	10.2%	27.8%	62.0%	+2.9	1
1986-09-28	Atalanta	W 2-1	1827	1835	52.4%	31.6%	16.0%	+4.9	3
1986-09-28	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1835	1827	16.0%	31.6%	52.4%	-5.0	0
1986-09-28	Napoli	D 0-0	1817	1888	45.6%	32.7%	21.8%	-1.4	4
1986-09-28	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1888	1817	21.8%	32.7%	45.6%	+1.4	5
1986-09-28	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1734	1864	38.4%	32.8%	28.8%	-0.5	1
1986-09-28	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1864	1734	28.8%	32.8%	38.4%	+0.5	4
1986-09-28	Juventus	L 0-1	1805	1941	37.5%	32.8%	29.7%	-9.8	6
1986-09-28	@ Empoli	W 1-0	1941	1805	29.7%	32.8%	37.5%	+9.8	9
1986-09-28	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1924	1826	62.4%	27.6%	10.0%	-3.3	5
1986-09-28	@ Roma	D 0-0	1826	1924	10.0%	27.6%	62.4%	+3.3	4
1986-09-28	Como	L 0-1	1847	1843	53.7%	31.2%	15.1%	-13.1	3
1986-09-28	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1843	1847	15.1%	31.2%	53.7%	+13.1	5
1986-09-28	Ascoli	L 0-2	1856	1797	58.9%	29.3%	11.8%	-26.7	4
1986-09-28	@ Torino	W 2-0	1797	1856	11.8%	29.3%	58.9%	+26.7	6
1986-09-28	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1801	1860	47.0%	32.5%	20.4%	-1.5	2
1986-09-28	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1860	1801	20.4%	32.5%	47.0%	+1.5	4
1986-10-05	Avellino	L 0-1	1824	1816	54.1%	31.1%	14.8%	-13.2	6
1986-10-05	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1816	1824	14.8%	31.1%	54.1%	+13.2	7
1986-10-05	Empoli	W 1-0	1830	1795	56.7%	30.2%	13.1%	+4.4	3
1986-10-05	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1795	1830	13.1%	30.2%	56.7%	-4.4	6
1986-10-05	Brescia	W 1-0	1856	1734	64.5%	26.5%	9.0%	+2.9	8
1986-10-05	@ Como	L 0-1	1734	1856	9.0%	26.5%	64.5%	-2.9	1
1986-10-05	Udinese	L 0-1	1864	1800	59.4%	29.1%	11.5%	-14.3	4
1986-10-05	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1800	1864	11.5%	29.1%	59.4%	+14.3	5
1986-10-05	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1829	1833	52.8%	31.4%	15.7%	-2.0	5
1986-10-05	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1833	1829	15.7%	31.4%	52.8%	+2.0	4
1986-10-05	Roma	W 4-1	1861	1920	46.9%	32.6%	20.5%	+14.8	7
1986-10-05	@ Inter Milan	L 1-4	1920	1861	20.5%	32.6%	46.9%	-14.8	5
1986-10-05	AC Milan	D 0-0	1951	1832	64.3%	26.6%	9.1%	-3.5	10
1986-10-05	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1832	1951	9.1%	26.6%	64.3%	+3.5	4
1986-10-05	Torino	W 3-1	1890	1829	59.1%	29.2%	11.7%	+6.4	8
1986-10-05	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1829	1890	11.7%	29.2%	59.1%	-6.4	4
1986-10-12	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1835	1876	49.0%	32.3%	18.8%	-1.8	5
1986-10-12	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1876	1835	18.8%	32.3%	49.0%	+1.8	8
1986-10-12	Ascoli	D 0-0	1834	1811	55.6%	30.6%	13.8%	-2.6	4
1986-10-12	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1811	1834	13.8%	30.6%	55.6%	+2.6	7
1986-10-12	Como	D 1-1	1829	1859	50.2%	32.0%	17.8%	-1.7	8
1986-10-12	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1859	1829	17.8%	32.0%	50.2%	+1.7	9
1986-10-12	Juventus	D 1-1	1850	1947	42.4%	32.9%	24.7%	-0.9	5
1986-10-12	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1947	1850	24.7%	32.9%	42.4%	+0.9	11
1986-10-12	Brescia	W 2-1	1905	1731	69.0%	23.7%	7.3%	+2.1	8
1986-10-12	@ Roma	L 1-2	1731	1905	7.3%	23.7%	69.0%	-2.1	1
1986-10-12	Napoli	L 1-2	1835	1896	46.8%	32.6%	20.7%	-11.0	4
1986-10-12	@ Sampdoria	W 2-1	1896	1835	20.7%	32.6%	46.8%	+11.0	11
1986-10-12	Empoli	W 1-0	1823	1791	56.4%	30.3%	13.3%	+4.4	7
1986-10-12	@ Torino	L 0-1	1791	1823	13.3%	30.3%	56.4%	-4.4	6
1986-10-12	Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1814	1827	51.9%	31.7%	16.4%	-1.4	6
1986-10-12	@ Udinese	D 2-2	1827	1814	16.4%	31.7%	51.9%	+1.4	6
1986-10-19	Juventus	L 0-5	1813	1948	37.6%	32.8%	29.6%	-43.2	7
1986-10-19	@ Ascoli	W 5-0	1948	1813	29.6%	32.8%	37.6%	+43.2	14
1986-10-19	Udinese	W 1-0	1729	1813	44.0%	32.8%	23.2%	+7.0	4
1986-10-19	@ Brescia	L 0-1	1813	1729	23.2%	32.8%	44.0%	-7.0	6
1986-10-19	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1860	1849	54.4%	31.0%	14.6%	-2.4	10
1986-10-19	@ Como	D 0-0	1849	1860	14.6%	31.0%	54.4%	+2.4	6
1986-10-19	AC Milan	L 0-3	1787	1833	48.3%	32.4%	19.3%	-32.8	6
1986-10-19	@ Empoli	W 3-0	1833	1787	19.3%	32.4%	48.3%	+32.8	8
1986-10-19	Avellino	D 2-2	1829	1827	53.4%	31.3%	15.3%	-1.5	7
1986-10-19	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1827	1829	15.3%	31.3%	53.4%	+1.5	9
1986-10-19	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1878	1824	58.4%	29.5%	12.1%	+4.0	11
1986-10-19	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1824	1878	12.1%	29.5%	58.4%	-4.0	4
1986-10-19	Atalanta	D 2-2	1907	1832	60.4%	28.6%	11.0%	-2.1	12
1986-10-19	@ Napoli	D 2-2	1832	1907	11.0%	28.6%	60.4%	+2.1	5
1986-10-19	Roma	L 0-2	1827	1908	44.5%	32.8%	22.8%	-21.1	7
1986-10-19	@ Torino	W 2-0	1908	1827	22.8%	32.8%	44.5%	+21.1	11
1986-10-26	Brescia	W 2-0	1866	1736	65.3%	26.0%	8.7%	+5.3	11
1986-10-26	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1736	1866	8.7%	26.0%	65.3%	-5.3	4
1986-10-26	Como	D 0-0	1770	1858	43.6%	32.8%	23.6%	-1.1	8
1986-10-26	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1858	1770	23.6%	32.8%	43.6%	+1.1	11
1986-10-26	Torino	L 0-2	1834	1806	56.0%	30.5%	13.5%	-25.6	5
1986-10-26	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1806	1834	13.5%	30.5%	56.0%	+25.6	10
1986-10-26	Udinese	D 1-1	1829	1806	55.6%	30.6%	13.8%	-2.3	10
1986-10-26	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1806	1829	13.8%	30.6%	55.6%	+2.3	7
1986-10-26	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1851	1827	55.7%	30.6%	13.7%	-13.5	6
1986-10-26	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1827	1851	13.7%	30.6%	55.7%	+13.5	10
1986-10-26	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1991	1882	63.5%	27.1%	9.5%	-3.1	15
1986-10-26	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1882	1991	9.5%	27.1%	63.5%	+3.1	12
1986-10-26	Napoli	L 0-1	1929	1905	55.6%	30.6%	13.8%	-13.5	11
1986-10-26	@ Roma	W 1-0	1905	1929	13.8%	30.6%	55.6%	+13.5	15
1986-10-26	Empoli	W 3-0	1820	1754	59.6%	29.0%	11.4%	+10.4	7
1986-10-26	@ Sampdoria	L 0-3	1754	1820	11.4%	29.0%	59.6%	-10.4	6
1986-11-02	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1871	1838	56.6%	30.3%	13.2%	+12.0	14
1986-11-02	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1838	1871	13.2%	30.3%	56.6%	-12.0	6
1986-11-02	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1730	1831	42.0%	32.9%	25.1%	-10.7	4
1986-11-02	@ Brescia	W 1-0	1831	1730	25.1%	32.9%	42.0%	+10.7	10
1986-11-02	Juventus	D 0-0	1859	1988	38.4%	32.8%	28.8%	-0.5	12
1986-11-02	@ Como	D 0-0	1988	1859	28.8%	32.8%	38.4%	+0.5	16
1986-11-02	Roma	L 1-3	1743	1915	32.7%	32.4%	35.0%	-14.4	6
1986-11-02	@ Empoli	W 3-1	1915	1743	35.0%	32.4%	32.7%	+14.4	14
1986-11-02	Atalanta	W 2-1	1841	1808	56.4%	30.3%	13.2%	+4.2	13
1986-11-02	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1808	1841	13.2%	30.3%	56.4%	-4.2	5
1986-11-02	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1918	1885	56.6%	30.3%	13.2%	-2.7	16
1986-11-02	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1885	1918	13.2%	30.3%	56.6%	+2.7	13
1986-11-02	Avellino	W 4-1	1832	1827	53.8%	31.2%	15.0%	+11.5	13
1986-11-02	@ Torino	L 1-4	1827	1832	15.0%	31.2%	53.8%	-11.5	10
1986-11-02	Ascoli	W 3-0	1808	1769	57.1%	30.1%	12.8%	+11.8	10
1986-11-02	@ Udinese	L 0-3	1769	1808	12.8%	30.1%	57.1%	-11.8	8
1986-11-09	Fiorentina	L 0-1	1757	1826	45.8%	32.7%	21.5%	-11.5	8
1986-11-09	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1826	1757	21.5%	32.7%	45.8%	+11.5	9
1986-11-09	Como	D 0-0	1804	1858	47.5%	32.5%	20.0%	-1.6	6
1986-11-09	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1858	1804	20.0%	32.5%	47.5%	+1.6	13
1986-11-09	Brescia	D 0-0	1815	1720	62.2%	27.7%	10.1%	-3.3	11
1986-11-09	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1720	1815	10.1%	27.7%	62.2%	+3.3	5
1986-11-09	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1729	1845	40.1%	32.9%	27.0%	+7.8	9
1986-11-09	@ Empoli	L 0-1	1845	1729	27.0%	32.9%	40.1%	-7.8	13
1986-11-09	Torino	W 2-1	1888	1843	57.6%	29.9%	12.6%	+4.0	16
1986-11-09	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1843	1888	12.6%	29.9%	57.6%	-4.0	13
1986-11-09	Napoli	L 1-3	1989	1916	60.2%	28.7%	11.1%	-23.5	16
1986-11-09	@ Juventus	W 3-1	1916	1989	11.1%	28.7%	60.2%	+23.5	19
1986-11-09	Udinese	W 4-0	1930	1820	63.5%	27.0%	9.5%	+11.1	17
1986-11-09	@ Roma	L 0-4	1820	1930	9.5%	27.0%	63.5%	-11.1	10
1986-11-09	AC Milan	W 3-0	1841	1884	48.9%	32.3%	18.9%	+16.5	13
1986-11-09	@ Sampdoria	L 0-3	1884	1841	18.9%	32.3%	48.9%	-16.4	14
1986-11-23	Avellino	W 2-0	1867	1812	58.6%	29.4%	11.9%	+7.5	17
1986-11-23	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1812	1867	11.9%	29.4%	58.6%	-7.5	11
1986-11-23	Torino	W 2-0	1723	1839	40.1%	32.9%	27.1%	+14.8	8
1986-11-23	@ Brescia	L 0-2	1839	1723	27.1%	32.9%	40.1%	-14.8	13
1986-11-23	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1860	1891	50.0%	32.1%	17.9%	-1.7	14
1986-11-23	@ Como	D 1-1	1891	1860	17.9%	32.1%	50.0%	+1.7	17
1986-11-23	Roma	W 2-1	1837	1941	41.7%	32.9%	25.4%	+7.1	12
1986-11-23	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1941	1837	25.4%	32.9%	41.7%	-7.1	17
1986-11-23	Ascoli	W 2-1	1837	1746	61.9%	27.9%	10.2%	+3.2	16
1986-11-23	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1746	1837	10.2%	27.9%	61.9%	-3.2	8
1986-11-23	Atalanta	W 2-0	1965	1803	68.0%	24.3%	7.7%	+4.5	19
1986-11-23	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1803	1965	7.7%	24.3%	68.0%	-4.5	6
1986-11-23	Empoli	W 4-0	1939	1737	71.3%	22.1%	6.6%	+7.0	22
1986-11-23	@ Napoli	L 0-4	1737	1939	6.6%	22.1%	71.3%	-7.0	9
1986-11-23	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1809	1858	48.0%	32.4%	19.5%	-1.7	11
1986-11-23	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1858	1809	19.5%	32.4%	48.0%	+1.7	14
1986-11-30	Brescia	W 1-0	1798	1738	59.1%	29.2%	11.7%	+3.9	9
1986-11-30	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1738	1798	11.7%	29.2%	59.1%	-3.9	8
1986-11-30	Udinese	W 3-1	1858	1807	58.2%	29.6%	12.2%	+6.6	17
1986-11-30	@ Como	L 1-3	1807	1858	12.2%	29.6%	58.2%	-6.7	11
1986-11-30	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1730	1844	40.2%	32.9%	26.9%	+7.8	12
1986-11-30	@ Empoli	L 0-1	1844	1730	26.9%	32.9%	40.2%	-7.8	12
1986-11-30	Avellino	D 0-0	1893	1804	61.7%	28.0%	10.3%	-3.2	18
1986-11-30	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1804	1893	10.3%	28.0%	61.7%	+3.2	12
1986-11-30	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1946	1840	63.2%	27.2%	9.6%	-3.4	23
1986-11-30	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1840	1946	9.6%	27.2%	63.2%	+3.4	17
1986-11-30	Juventus	W 3-0	1934	1970	49.5%	32.2%	18.3%	+16.1	20
1986-11-30	@ Roma	L 0-3	1970	1934	18.3%	32.2%	49.5%	-16.1	19
1986-11-30	Ascoli	W 1-0	1860	1742	64.1%	26.7%	9.2%	+3.0	17
1986-11-30	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1742	1860	9.2%	26.7%	64.1%	-3.0	8
1986-11-30	AC Milan	D 0-0	1824	1875	48.0%	32.4%	19.6%	-1.7	14
1986-11-30	@ Torino	D 0-0	1875	1824	19.6%	32.4%	48.0%	+1.7	18
1986-12-14	Napoli	D 0-0	1876	1943	46.1%	32.6%	21.3%	-1.4	19
1986-12-14	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1943	1876	21.3%	32.6%	46.1%	+1.4	24
1986-12-14	Roma	D 1-1	1739	1950	27.9%	31.5%	40.6%	+0.6	9
1986-12-14	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1950	1739	40.6%	31.5%	27.9%	-0.6	21
1986-12-14	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1807	1863	47.4%	32.5%	20.1%	+10.3	15
1986-12-14	@ Avellino	L 1-3	1863	1807	20.1%	32.5%	47.4%	-10.3	17
1986-12-14	Empoli	W 3-0	1734	1738	52.9%	31.4%	15.7%	+14.1	11
1986-12-14	@ Brescia	L 0-3	1738	1734	15.7%	31.4%	52.9%	-14.1	12
1986-12-14	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1837	1890	47.6%	32.5%	19.9%	-11.8	12
1986-12-14	@ Fiorentina	W 1-0	1890	1837	19.9%	32.5%	47.6%	+11.8	21
1986-12-14	Como	W 1-0	1844	1865	51.1%	31.9%	17.1%	+5.5	20
1986-12-14	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1865	1844	17.1%	31.9%	51.1%	-5.5	17
1986-12-14	Torino	W 1-0	1954	1823	65.3%	26.0%	8.7%	+2.8	22
1986-12-14	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1823	1954	8.7%	26.0%	65.3%	-2.8	14
1986-12-14	Atalanta	W 1-0	1800	1802	53.1%	31.4%	15.5%	+5.1	14
1986-12-14	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1802	1800	15.5%	31.4%	53.1%	-5.1	9
1986-12-21	Avellino	D 1-1	1797	1818	51.1%	31.9%	17.0%	-1.8	10
1986-12-21	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1818	1797	17.0%	31.9%	51.1%	+1.8	16
1986-12-21	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1748	1849	41.9%	32.9%	25.2%	-0.8	12
1986-12-21	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1849	1748	25.2%	32.9%	41.9%	+0.8	21
1986-12-21	Udinese	D 0-0	1723	1805	44.3%	32.8%	22.9%	-1.2	13
1986-12-21	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1805	1723	22.9%	32.8%	44.3%	+1.2	15
1986-12-21	Ascoli	W 3-0	1902	1740	67.9%	24.4%	7.7%	+6.6	24
1986-12-21	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1740	1902	7.7%	24.4%	67.9%	-6.6	9
1986-12-21	Como	W 2-1	1944	1859	61.3%	28.2%	10.5%	+3.3	27
1986-12-21	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1859	1944	10.5%	28.2%	61.3%	-3.3	17
1986-12-21	AC Milan	L 1-2	1949	1875	60.3%	28.7%	11.0%	-13.6	21
1986-12-21	@ Roma	W 2-1	1875	1949	11.0%	28.7%	60.3%	+13.6	22
1986-12-21	Juventus	W 4-1	1852	1956	41.6%	32.9%	25.5%	+17.3	20
1986-12-21	@ Sampdoria	L 1-4	1956	1852	25.5%	32.9%	41.6%	-17.4	22
1986-12-21	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1820	1825	52.8%	31.5%	15.8%	+4.9	17
1986-12-21	@ Torino	L 1-2	1825	1820	15.8%	31.5%	52.8%	-4.9	12
1987-01-04	Brescia	D 0-0	1733	1747	51.9%	31.7%	16.4%	-2.1	10
1987-01-04	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1747	1733	16.4%	31.7%	51.9%	+2.1	13
1987-01-04	Empoli	L 0-1	1820	1722	62.4%	27.6%	10.0%	-14.8	16
1987-01-04	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1722	1820	10.0%	27.6%	62.4%	+14.8	16
1987-01-04	AC Milan	L 0-1	1856	1888	49.9%	32.1%	18.0%	-12.3	17
1987-01-04	@ Como	W 1-0	1888	1856	18.0%	32.1%	49.9%	+12.3	25
1987-01-04	Napoli	W 3-1	1820	1948	38.6%	32.8%	28.6%	+13.2	15
1987-01-04	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1948	1820	28.6%	32.8%	38.6%	-13.2	27
1987-01-04	Atalanta	W 1-0	1908	1795	63.8%	26.9%	9.3%	+3.1	27
1987-01-04	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1795	1908	9.3%	26.9%	63.8%	-3.1	10
1987-01-04	Hellas Verona	W 2-1	1939	1850	61.7%	28.0%	10.3%	+3.2	25
1987-01-04	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1850	1939	10.3%	28.0%	61.7%	-3.2	21
1987-01-04	Roma	D 0-0	1870	1935	46.2%	32.6%	21.2%	-1.4	21
1987-01-04	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1935	1870	21.2%	32.6%	46.2%	+1.4	22
1987-01-04	Torino	D 1-1	1807	1825	51.4%	31.8%	16.8%	-1.9	16
1987-01-04	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1825	1807	16.8%	31.8%	51.4%	+1.8	18
1987-01-11	Udinese	D 0-0	1901	1805	62.3%	27.7%	10.0%	-3.3	26
1987-01-11	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1805	1901	10.0%	27.7%	62.3%	+3.3	17
1987-01-11	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1792	1833	48.9%	32.3%	18.8%	+11.3	13
1987-01-11	@ Atalanta	L 0-2	1833	1792	18.8%	32.3%	48.9%	-11.3	15
1987-01-11	Juventus	D 0-0	1749	1942	29.9%	32.0%	38.1%	+0.4	14
1987-01-11	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1942	1749	38.1%	32.0%	29.9%	-0.4	26
1987-01-11	Como	D 0-0	1737	1844	41.2%	32.9%	25.9%	-0.8	17
1987-01-11	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1844	1737	25.9%	32.9%	41.2%	+0.9	18
1987-01-11	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1847	1911	46.3%	32.6%	21.1%	+6.2	24
1987-01-11	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1911	1847	21.1%	32.6%	46.3%	-6.2	27
1987-01-11	Ascoli	W 3-0	1934	1731	71.4%	22.1%	6.6%	+5.3	30
1987-01-11	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1731	1934	6.6%	22.1%	71.4%	-5.4	10
1987-01-11	Avellino	W 3-0	1937	1805	65.4%	25.9%	8.6%	+7.6	25
1987-01-11	@ Roma	L 0-3	1805	1937	8.6%	25.9%	65.4%	-7.6	16
1987-01-11	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1827	1868	48.9%	32.3%	18.8%	+11.3	21
1987-01-11	@ Torino	L 0-2	1868	1827	18.8%	32.3%	48.9%	-11.3	21
1987-01-18	AC Milan	W 1-0	1726	1897	32.7%	32.4%	34.9%	+9.2	13
1987-01-18	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1897	1726	34.9%	32.4%	32.7%	-9.3	26
1987-01-18	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1803	1857	47.6%	32.5%	20.0%	+6.3	16
1987-01-18	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1857	1803	20.0%	32.5%	47.6%	-6.3	21
1987-01-18	Roma	D 0-0	1845	1945	42.1%	32.9%	25.0%	-1.0	19
1987-01-18	@ Como	D 0-0	1945	1845	25.0%	32.9%	42.1%	+1.0	26
1987-01-18	Avellino	W 2-0	1822	1797	55.7%	30.6%	13.7%	+8.6	18
1987-01-18	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1797	1822	13.7%	30.6%	55.7%	-8.6	16
1987-01-18	Torino	W 2-1	1853	1838	54.8%	30.9%	14.4%	+4.5	27
1987-01-18	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1838	1853	14.4%	30.9%	54.8%	-4.5	21
1987-01-18	Empoli	W 2-1	1905	1736	68.6%	24.0%	7.5%	+2.2	30
1987-01-18	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1736	1905	7.5%	24.0%	68.6%	-2.2	17
1987-01-18	Udinese	W 2-1	1942	1808	65.6%	25.8%	8.6%	+2.6	29
1987-01-18	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1808	1942	8.6%	25.8%	65.6%	-2.6	17
1987-01-18	Brescia	W 2-1	1940	1750	70.3%	22.8%	6.9%	+2.0	33
1987-01-18	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1750	1940	6.9%	22.8%	70.3%	-2.0	14
1987-02-01	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1888	1857	56.3%	30.4%	13.3%	+4.5	29
1987-02-01	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1857	1888	13.3%	30.4%	56.3%	-4.5	27
1987-02-01	Juventus	D 1-1	1788	1944	34.8%	32.6%	32.6%	-0.1	17
1987-02-01	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1944	1788	32.6%	32.6%	34.8%	+0.1	30
1987-02-01	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1748	1907	34.3%	32.6%	33.1%	-9.2	14
1987-02-01	@ Brescia	W 1-0	1907	1748	33.1%	32.6%	34.3%	+9.1	33
1987-02-01	Ascoli	W 1-0	1734	1735	53.1%	31.4%	15.5%	+5.1	20
1987-02-01	@ Empoli	L 0-1	1735	1734	15.5%	31.4%	53.1%	-5.1	13
1987-02-01	Atalanta	W 4-2	1945	1810	65.8%	25.7%	8.5%	+4.0	29
1987-02-01	@ Roma	L 2-4	1810	1945	8.5%	25.7%	65.8%	-4.0	16
1987-02-01	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1851	1831	55.3%	30.7%	14.0%	+7.6	24
1987-02-01	@ Sampdoria	L 1-3	1831	1851	14.0%	30.7%	55.3%	-7.6	18
1987-02-01	Como	W 1-0	1834	1844	52.2%	31.6%	16.2%	+5.3	24
1987-02-01	@ Torino	L 0-1	1844	1834	16.2%	31.6%	52.2%	-5.3	19
1987-02-01	Napoli	L 0-3	1806	1942	37.5%	32.8%	29.8%	-26.7	17
1987-02-01	@ Udinese	W 3-0	1942	1806	29.8%	32.8%	37.5%	+26.8	36
1987-02-08	Torino	D 1-1	1730	1839	41.0%	32.9%	26.1%	-0.7	14
1987-02-08	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1839	1730	26.1%	32.9%	41.0%	+0.7	25
1987-02-08	AC Milan	L 1-2	1806	1893	43.7%	32.8%	23.5%	-10.4	16
1987-02-08	@ Atalanta	W 2-1	1893	1806	23.5%	32.8%	43.7%	+10.4	32
1987-02-08	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1838	1858	51.2%	31.8%	16.9%	-2.0	20
1987-02-08	@ Como	D 0-0	1858	1838	16.9%	31.8%	51.2%	+2.0	25
1987-02-08	Brescia	W 4-3	1823	1739	61.2%	28.2%	10.5%	+3.1	21
1987-02-08	@ Fiorentina	L 3-4	1739	1823	10.5%	28.2%	61.2%	-3.1	14
1987-02-08	Roma	L 0-1	1853	1949	42.5%	32.9%	24.6%	-10.8	27
1987-02-08	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1949	1853	24.6%	32.9%	42.5%	+10.8	32
1987-02-08	Udinese	W 2-0	1917	1779	65.9%	25.6%	8.5%	+5.1	36
1987-02-08	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1779	1917	8.5%	25.6%	65.9%	-5.1	17
1987-02-08	Empoli	W 3-0	1945	1739	71.6%	21.9%	6.5%	+5.3	33
1987-02-08	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1739	1945	6.5%	21.9%	71.6%	-5.3	20
1987-02-08	Avellino	W 3-0	1968	1788	69.5%	23.4%	7.2%	+6.0	39
1987-02-08	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1788	1968	7.2%	23.4%	69.5%	-6.0	17
1987-02-22	Juventus	D 1-1	1903	1950	48.3%	32.4%	19.3%	-1.5	33
1987-02-22	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1950	1903	19.3%	32.4%	48.3%	+1.5	34
1987-02-22	Ascoli	D 0-0	1782	1729	58.4%	29.5%	12.1%	-2.9	18
1987-02-22	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1729	1782	12.1%	29.5%	58.4%	+2.9	15
1987-02-22	Como	W 2-0	1736	1836	42.0%	32.9%	25.1%	+14.0	17
1987-02-22	@ Brescia	L 0-2	1836	1736	25.1%	32.9%	42.0%	-14.0	20
1987-02-22	Atalanta	D 0-0	1734	1795	46.7%	32.6%	20.7%	-1.5	21
1987-02-22	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1795	1734	20.7%	32.6%	46.7%	+1.5	17
1987-02-22	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1960	1922	57.0%	30.1%	12.9%	+4.3	35
1987-02-22	@ Roma	L 0-1	1922	1960	12.9%	30.1%	57.0%	-4.3	36
1987-02-22	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1860	1842	55.1%	30.8%	14.1%	-2.5	26
1987-02-22	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1842	1860	14.1%	30.8%	55.1%	+2.5	28
1987-02-22	Napoli	L 0-1	1840	1974	37.6%	32.8%	29.6%	-9.8	25
1987-02-22	@ Torino	W 1-0	1974	1840	29.6%	32.8%	37.6%	+9.8	42
1987-02-22	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1774	1826	47.7%	32.5%	19.8%	-1.5	18
1987-02-22	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1826	1774	19.8%	32.5%	47.7%	+1.5	22
1987-03-01	Atalanta	W 2-1	1732	1797	46.3%	32.6%	21.0%	+6.2	18
1987-03-01	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1797	1732	21.0%	32.6%	46.3%	-6.2	17
1987-03-01	Roma	D 1-1	1750	1965	27.3%	31.4%	41.3%	+0.7	18
1987-03-01	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1965	1750	41.3%	31.4%	27.3%	-0.7	36
1987-03-01	Avellino	L 1-2	1822	1779	57.5%	29.9%	12.6%	-13.1	20
1987-03-01	@ Como	W 2-1	1779	1822	12.6%	29.9%	57.5%	+13.1	21
1987-03-01	Torino	W 2-0	1732	1830	42.4%	32.9%	24.7%	+13.9	24
1987-03-01	@ Empoli	L 0-2	1830	1732	24.7%	32.9%	42.4%	-13.9	25
1987-03-01	Udinese	W 3-1	1845	1772	60.2%	28.7%	11.1%	+6.0	31
1987-03-01	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1772	1845	11.1%	28.7%	60.2%	-6.0	18
1987-03-01	AC Milan	L 1-2	1917	1902	54.9%	30.9%	14.3%	-12.6	36
1987-03-01	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1902	1917	14.3%	30.9%	54.9%	+12.6	36
1987-03-01	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1951	1827	64.7%	26.3%	8.9%	+2.9	37
1987-03-01	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1827	1951	8.9%	26.3%	64.7%	-2.9	22
1987-03-01	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1984	1858	64.9%	26.2%	8.8%	-3.2	43
1987-03-01	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1858	1984	8.8%	26.2%	64.9%	+3.2	27
1987-03-08	Empoli	W 1-0	1914	1746	68.5%	24.0%	7.5%	+2.3	39
1987-03-08	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1746	1914	7.5%	24.0%	68.5%	-2.3	24
1987-03-08	Napoli	L 0-1	1791	1981	30.2%	32.0%	37.8%	-8.3	17
1987-03-08	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1981	1791	37.8%	32.0%	30.2%	+8.4	46
1987-03-08	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1793	1851	47.0%	32.5%	20.4%	-1.4	22
1987-03-08	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1851	1793	20.4%	32.5%	47.0%	+1.4	32
1987-03-08	Como	L 1-2	1824	1809	54.8%	30.9%	14.3%	-12.6	22
1987-03-08	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1809	1824	14.3%	30.9%	54.8%	+12.6	23
1987-03-08	Ascoli	D 2-2	1954	1738	72.4%	21.4%	6.2%	-2.8	38
1987-03-08	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1738	1954	6.2%	21.4%	72.4%	+2.8	19
1987-03-08	Torino	W 1-0	1964	1816	66.8%	25.1%	8.1%	+2.6	39
1987-03-08	@ Roma	L 0-1	1816	1964	8.1%	25.1%	66.8%	-2.6	25
1987-03-08	Inter Milan	W 3-1	1861	1905	48.7%	32.3%	19.0%	+9.9	30
1987-03-08	@ Sampdoria	L 1-3	1905	1861	19.0%	32.3%	48.7%	-9.9	36
1987-03-08	Brescia	W 1-0	1766	1750	54.9%	30.9%	14.3%	+4.8	21
1987-03-08	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1750	1766	14.3%	30.9%	54.9%	-4.8	18
1987-03-15	AC Milan	W 1-0	1746	1916	32.8%	32.4%	34.8%	+9.2	21
1987-03-15	@ Brescia	L 0-1	1916	1746	34.8%	32.4%	32.8%	-9.2	39
1987-03-15	Ascoli	D 0-0	1822	1741	60.9%	28.4%	10.7%	-3.2	24
1987-03-15	@ Como	D 0-0	1741	1822	10.7%	28.4%	60.9%	+3.2	20
1987-03-15	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1744	1871	38.6%	32.9%	28.5%	-0.5	25
1987-03-15	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1871	1744	28.5%	32.9%	38.6%	+0.6	31
1987-03-15	Fiorentina	D 2-2	1852	1812	57.2%	30.0%	12.8%	-1.8	33
1987-03-15	@ Hellas Verona	D 2-2	1812	1852	12.8%	30.0%	57.2%	+1.8	23
1987-03-15	Juventus	W 2-1	1895	1951	47.2%	32.5%	20.2%	+6.0	39
1987-03-15	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1951	1895	20.2%	32.5%	47.2%	-6.0	38
1987-03-15	Roma	D 0-0	1989	1966	55.5%	30.6%	13.8%	-2.6	47
1987-03-15	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1966	1989	13.8%	30.6%	55.5%	+2.6	40
1987-03-15	Atalanta	D 0-0	1813	1782	56.3%	30.3%	13.3%	-2.7	26
1987-03-15	@ Torino	D 0-0	1782	1813	13.3%	30.3%	56.3%	+2.6	18
1987-03-15	Avellino	L 2-6	1771	1791	51.2%	31.8%	17.0%	-31.9	21
1987-03-15	@ Udinese	W 6-2	1791	1771	17.0%	31.8%	51.2%	+31.8	25
1987-03-22	Udinese	W 1-0	1744	1739	53.8%	31.2%	15.0%	+5.0	23
1987-03-22	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1739	1744	15.0%	31.2%	53.8%	-5.0	21
1987-03-22	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1785	1850	46.2%	32.6%	21.1%	+6.6	21
1987-03-22	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1850	1785	21.1%	32.6%	46.2%	-6.6	33
1987-03-22	Torino	D 0-0	1823	1811	54.5%	31.0%	14.5%	-2.5	26
1987-03-22	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1811	1823	14.5%	31.0%	54.5%	+2.5	27
1987-03-22	AC Milan	D 2-2	1814	1907	42.9%	32.9%	24.2%	-0.7	24
1987-03-22	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1907	1814	24.2%	32.9%	42.9%	+0.7	40
1987-03-22	Napoli	W 1-0	1901	1987	43.8%	32.8%	23.4%	+7.1	42
1987-03-22	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1987	1901	23.4%	32.8%	43.8%	-7.1	47
1987-03-22	Como	W 1-0	1945	1819	65.0%	26.2%	8.8%	+2.9	41
1987-03-22	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1819	1945	8.8%	26.2%	65.0%	-2.9	24
1987-03-22	Empoli	W 2-1	1969	1743	73.2%	20.8%	6.0%	+1.6	43
1987-03-22	@ Roma	L 1-2	1743	1969	6.0%	20.8%	73.2%	-1.6	25
1987-03-22	Brescia	W 2-0	1871	1755	64.1%	26.7%	9.2%	+5.7	34
1987-03-22	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1755	1871	9.2%	26.7%	64.1%	-5.7	21
1987-03-29	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1908	1877	56.3%	30.4%	13.3%	-25.7	40
1987-03-29	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1877	1908	13.3%	30.4%	56.3%	+25.7	37
1987-03-29	Avellino	W 2-0	1749	1821	45.5%	32.7%	21.8%	+12.7	24
1987-03-29	@ Brescia	L 0-2	1821	1749	21.8%	32.7%	45.5%	-12.6	26
1987-03-29	Atalanta	W 2-1	1816	1791	55.7%	30.6%	13.7%	+4.3	27
1987-03-29	@ Como	L 1-2	1791	1816	13.7%	30.6%	55.7%	-4.3	21
1987-03-29	Ascoli	W 2-1	1813	1749	59.4%	29.1%	11.5%	+3.6	27
1987-03-29	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1749	1813	11.5%	29.1%	59.4%	-3.6	23
1987-03-29	Empoli	W 1-0	1844	1742	62.8%	27.4%	9.8%	+3.2	36
1987-03-29	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1742	1844	9.8%	27.4%	62.8%	-3.2	25
1987-03-29	Juventus	W 2-1	1980	1948	56.4%	30.3%	13.3%	+4.2	50
1987-03-29	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1948	1980	13.3%	30.3%	56.4%	-4.2	41
1987-03-29	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1813	1908	42.7%	32.9%	24.4%	-1.0	28
1987-03-29	@ Torino	D 0-0	1908	1813	24.4%	32.9%	42.7%	+1.0	43
1987-03-29	Roma	W 2-1	1734	1971	24.9%	30.8%	44.3%	+10.3	24
1987-03-29	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1971	1734	44.3%	30.8%	24.9%	-10.3	43
1987-04-05	Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1746	1847	41.9%	32.9%	25.2%	-10.7	23
1987-04-05	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1847	1746	25.2%	32.9%	41.9%	+10.7	39
1987-04-05	Juventus	D 0-0	1787	1944	34.6%	32.6%	32.8%	-0.1	22
1987-04-05	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1944	1787	32.8%	32.6%	34.6%	+0.1	42
1987-04-05	AC Milan	W 2-1	1808	1882	45.2%	32.7%	22.1%	+6.4	29
1987-04-05	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1882	1808	22.1%	32.7%	45.2%	-6.4	40
1987-04-05	Napoli	D 0-0	1738	1984	24.0%	30.5%	45.5%	+1.2	26
1987-04-05	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1984	1738	45.5%	30.5%	24.0%	-1.2	51
1987-04-05	Como	W 1-0	1909	1820	61.6%	28.0%	10.3%	+3.4	46
1987-04-05	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1820	1909	10.3%	28.0%	61.6%	-3.4	27
1987-04-05	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1960	1817	66.4%	25.3%	8.3%	-3.3	44
1987-04-05	@ Roma	D 1-1	1817	1960	8.3%	25.3%	66.4%	+3.3	28
1987-04-05	Udinese	D 0-0	1903	1744	67.7%	24.6%	7.8%	-3.8	38
1987-04-05	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1744	1903	7.8%	24.6%	67.7%	+3.8	25
1987-04-05	Brescia	D 2-2	1812	1762	58.1%	29.6%	12.2%	-1.9	29
1987-04-05	@ Torino	D 2-2	1762	1812	12.2%	29.6%	58.1%	+1.9	25
1987-04-12	Torino	W 1-0	1876	1810	59.6%	29.0%	11.4%	+3.8	43
1987-04-12	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1810	1876	11.4%	29.0%	59.6%	-3.8	29
1987-04-12	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1735	1899	33.7%	32.5%	33.8%	-9.0	23
1987-04-12	@ Ascoli	W 1-0	1899	1735	33.8%	32.5%	33.7%	+9.0	41
1987-04-12	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1814	1912	42.3%	32.9%	24.8%	-10.7	29
1987-04-12	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1912	1814	24.8%	32.9%	42.3%	+10.7	49
1987-04-12	Atalanta	W 1-0	1764	1787	50.9%	31.9%	17.2%	+5.6	28
1987-04-12	@ Brescia	L 0-1	1787	1764	17.2%	31.9%	50.9%	-5.6	22
1987-04-12	Empoli	D 1-1	1820	1740	60.9%	28.4%	10.7%	-2.8	29
1987-04-12	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1740	1820	10.7%	28.4%	60.9%	+2.8	27
1987-04-12	Napoli	W 3-0	1858	1983	38.9%	32.9%	28.3%	+22.1	42
1987-04-12	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-3	1983	1858	28.3%	32.9%	38.9%	-22.1	51
1987-04-12	Roma	W 2-0	1944	1957	52.0%	31.7%	16.4%	+10.1	45
1987-04-12	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1957	1944	16.4%	31.7%	52.0%	-10.1	44
1987-04-12	Como	D 0-0	1748	1817	45.9%	32.7%	21.5%	-1.4	26
1987-04-12	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1817	1748	21.5%	32.7%	45.9%	+1.4	28
1987-04-26	Udinese	W 4-2	1781	1747	56.7%	30.2%	13.1%	+6.4	25
1987-04-26	@ Atalanta	L 2-4	1747	1781	13.1%	30.2%	56.7%	-6.4	26
1987-04-26	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1818	1880	46.7%	32.6%	20.7%	-1.3	29
1987-04-26	@ Como	D 1-1	1880	1818	20.7%	32.6%	46.7%	+1.3	43
1987-04-26	Brescia	D 0-0	1742	1769	50.5%	32.0%	17.5%	-2.0	28
1987-04-26	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1769	1742	17.5%	32.0%	50.5%	+2.0	29
1987-04-26	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1923	1817	63.2%	27.2%	9.6%	+3.2	52
1987-04-26	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1817	1923	9.6%	27.2%	63.2%	-3.2	29
1987-04-26	AC Milan	W 2-1	1961	1880	61.0%	28.4%	10.7%	+3.4	54
1987-04-26	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1880	1961	10.7%	28.4%	61.0%	-3.3	43
1987-04-26	Ascoli	D 1-1	1947	1726	72.8%	21.1%	6.1%	-3.8	45
1987-04-26	@ Roma	D 1-1	1726	1947	6.1%	21.1%	72.8%	+3.8	24
1987-04-26	Avellino	D 2-2	1908	1804	63.0%	27.3%	9.7%	-2.3	42
1987-04-26	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1804	1908	9.7%	27.3%	63.0%	+2.2	30
1987-04-26	Juventus	D 1-1	1806	1954	35.9%	32.7%	31.4%	-0.2	30
1987-04-26	@ Torino	D 1-1	1954	1806	31.4%	32.7%	35.9%	+0.2	46
1987-05-03	Roma	W 4-1	1876	1943	46.0%	32.6%	21.3%	+15.2	46
1987-05-03	@ AC Milan	L 1-4	1943	1876	21.3%	32.6%	46.0%	-15.2	45
1987-05-03	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1730	1926	29.5%	31.9%	38.6%	+9.9	27
1987-05-03	@ Ascoli	L 0-1	1926	1730	38.6%	31.9%	29.5%	-9.9	52
1987-05-03	Atalanta	W 2-1	1806	1788	55.1%	30.8%	14.1%	+4.4	33
1987-05-03	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1788	1806	14.1%	30.8%	55.1%	-4.4	25
1987-05-03	Napoli	D 1-1	1817	1964	36.0%	32.7%	31.3%	-0.2	30
1987-05-03	@ Como	D 1-1	1964	1817	31.3%	32.7%	36.0%	+0.2	55
1987-05-03	Torino	D 0-0	1814	1806	54.1%	31.1%	14.8%	-2.4	30
1987-05-03	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1806	1814	14.8%	31.1%	54.1%	+2.4	31
1987-05-03	Brescia	W 4-1	1881	1771	63.5%	27.0%	9.5%	+7.2	46
1987-05-03	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-4	1771	1881	9.5%	27.0%	63.5%	-7.2	29
1987-05-03	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1955	1906	58.0%	29.7%	12.3%	+3.9	49
1987-05-03	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1906	1955	12.3%	29.7%	58.0%	-3.9	42
1987-05-03	Empoli	W 3-0	1740	1740	53.3%	31.3%	15.4%	+13.9	29
1987-05-03	@ Udinese	L 0-3	1740	1740	15.4%	31.3%	53.3%	-13.9	28
1987-05-10	Como	D 0-0	1891	1817	60.4%	28.6%	11.0%	-3.1	47
1987-05-10	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1817	1891	11.0%	28.6%	60.4%	+3.1	31
1987-05-10	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1783	1916	37.9%	32.8%	29.3%	+8.2	28
1987-05-10	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1916	1783	29.3%	32.8%	37.9%	-8.2	52
1987-05-10	Ascoli	L 1-2	1764	1740	55.7%	30.6%	13.8%	-12.7	29
1987-05-10	@ Brescia	W 2-1	1740	1764	13.8%	30.6%	55.7%	+12.8	30
1987-05-10	Avellino	L 0-1	1727	1810	44.1%	32.8%	23.1%	-11.1	28
1987-05-10	@ Empoli	W 1-0	1810	1727	23.1%	32.8%	44.1%	+11.1	36
1987-05-10	Juventus	D 1-1	1888	1958	45.7%	32.7%	21.7%	-1.2	47
1987-05-10	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1958	1888	21.7%	32.7%	45.7%	+1.2	50
1987-05-10	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1964	1812	67.2%	24.9%	8.0%	-3.4	56
1987-05-10	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1812	1964	8.0%	24.9%	67.2%	+3.4	31
1987-05-10	Sampdoria	L 0-3	1928	1902	55.9%	30.5%	13.6%	-37.1	45
1987-05-10	@ Roma	W 3-0	1902	1928	13.6%	30.5%	55.9%	+37.1	45
1987-05-10	Udinese	W 3-1	1809	1754	58.5%	29.5%	12.0%	+6.6	34
1987-05-10	@ Torino	L 1-3	1754	1809	12.0%	29.5%	58.5%	-6.6	29
1987-05-17	Napoli	D 1-1	1752	1961	28.1%	31.6%	40.4%	+0.6	31
1987-05-17	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1961	1752	40.4%	31.6%	28.1%	-0.6	57
1987-05-17	Roma	W 2-1	1821	1891	45.8%	32.7%	21.6%	+6.3	39
1987-05-17	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1891	1821	21.6%	32.7%	45.8%	-6.3	45
1987-05-17	Empoli	L 0-1	1820	1715	63.0%	27.3%	9.7%	-14.9	31
1987-05-17	@ Como	W 1-0	1715	1820	9.7%	27.3%	63.0%	+14.9	31
1987-05-17	Atalanta	W 1-0	1815	1792	55.6%	30.6%	13.8%	+4.6	34
1987-05-17	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1792	1815	13.8%	30.6%	55.6%	-4.6	28
1987-05-17	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1908	1887	55.4%	30.7%	13.9%	-2.6	53
1987-05-17	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1887	1908	13.9%	30.7%	55.4%	+2.5	48
1987-05-17	Brescia	W 3-2	1960	1751	71.8%	21.8%	6.4%	+1.7	53
1987-05-17	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1751	1960	6.4%	21.8%	71.8%	-1.7	29
1987-05-17	Torino	W 3-0	1939	1815	64.7%	26.3%	8.9%	+8.0	48
1987-05-17	@ Sampdoria	L 0-3	1815	1939	8.9%	26.3%	64.7%	-8.0	34
1987-05-17	AC Milan	D 0-0	1748	1888	36.9%	32.8%	30.4%	-0.3	30
1987-05-17	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1888	1748	30.4%	32.8%	36.9%	+0.3	48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1987-05-17	9.69%	Empoli	1715	1	@ Como	1820	0
2	1987-01-04	9.97%	Empoli	1722	1	@ Avellino	1820	0
3	1986-12-21	11.00%	AC Milan	1875	2	@ Roma	1949	1
4	1986-11-09	11.07%	Napoli	1916	3	@ Juventus	1989	1
5	1986-10-05	11.49%	Udinese	1800	1	@ Fiorentina	1864	0
6	1986-09-28	11.77%	Ascoli	1797	2	@ Torino	1856	0
7	1986-09-14	12.27%	Ascoli	1797	1	@ AC Milan	1846	0
8	1987-03-01	12.63%	Avellino	1779	2	@ Como	1822	1
9	1987-03-29	13.34%	Sampdoria	1877	2	@ AC Milan	1908	0
10	1986-10-26	13.52%	Torino	1806	2	@ Atalanta	1834	0
11	1987-05-10	13.63%	Sampdoria	1902	3	@ Roma	1928	0
12	1986-10-26	13.74%	Hellas Verona	1827	1	@ Fiorentina	1851	0
13	1987-05-10	13.75%	Ascoli	1740	2	@ Brescia	1764	1
14	1986-10-26	13.79%	Napoli	1905	1	@ Roma	1929	0
15	1986-09-21	14.10%	Empoli	1792	1	@ Ascoli	1811	0
16	1987-03-01	14.30%	AC Milan	1902	2	@ Inter Milan	1917	1
17	1987-03-08	14.34%	Como	1809	2	@ Fiorentina	1824	1
18	1986-10-05	14.83%	Avellino	1816	1	@ Ascoli	1824	0
19	1986-09-28	15.11%	Como	1843	1	@ Sampdoria	1847	0
20	1987-03-15	16.97%	Avellino	1791	6	@ Udinese	1771	2
21	1987-01-04	17.98%	AC Milan	1888	1	@ Como	1856	0
22	1986-10-19	19.30%	AC Milan	1833	3	@ Empoli	1787	0
23	1986-12-14	19.92%	Inter Milan	1890	1	@ Fiorentina	1837	0
24	1986-10-12	20.66%	Napoli	1896	2	@ Sampdoria	1835	1
25	1986-09-21	21.14%	Roma	1912	1	@ Atalanta	1847	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1986-10-19	43.23	Juventus	5	1948	29.56%	@ Ascoli	0	1813	37.64%
2	1987-05-10	37.13	Sampdoria	3	1902	13.63%	@ Roma	0	1928	55.85%
3	1986-10-19	32.83	AC Milan	3	1833	19.30%	@ Empoli	0	1787	48.33%
4	1987-03-15	31.85	Avellino	6	1791	16.97%	@ Udinese	2	1771	51.19%
5	1987-02-01	26.75	Napoli	3	1942	29.76%	@ Udinese	0	1806	37.45%
6	1986-09-28	26.71	Ascoli	2	1797	11.77%	@ Torino	0	1856	58.91%
7	1987-03-29	25.74	Sampdoria	2	1877	13.34%	@ AC Milan	0	1908	56.30%
8	1986-10-26	25.63	Torino	2	1806	13.52%	@ Atalanta	0	1834	56.02%
9	1986-11-09	23.53	Napoli	3	1916	11.07%	@ Juventus	1	1989	60.21%
10	1987-04-12	22.06	@ Hellas Verona	3	1858	38.89%	Napoli	0	1983	28.26%
11	1986-10-19	21.08	Roma	2	1908	22.75%	@ Torino	0	1827	44.47%
12	1986-09-14	20.51	Juventus	2	1912	24.16%	@ Udinese	0	1819	42.98%
13	1986-12-21	17.36	@ Sampdoria	4	1852	41.57%	Juventus	1	1956	25.54%
14	1986-11-09	16.45	@ Sampdoria	3	1841	48.85%	AC Milan	0	1884	18.86%
15	1986-11-30	16.06	@ Roma	3	1934	49.51%	Juventus	0	1970	18.31%
16	1987-05-03	15.23	@ AC Milan	4	1876	46.04%	Roma	1	1943	21.30%
17	1987-05-17	14.91	Empoli	1	1715	9.69%	@ Como	0	1820	63.00%
18	1987-01-04	14.81	Empoli	1	1722	9.97%	@ Avellino	0	1820	62.40%
19	1986-10-05	14.79	@ Inter Milan	4	1861	46.95%	Roma	1	1920	20.50%
20	1986-11-23	14.75	@ Brescia	2	1723	40.05%	Torino	0	1839	27.07%
21	1986-11-02	14.44	Roma	3	1915	34.97%	@ Empoli	1	1743	32.66%
22	1986-10-05	14.26	Udinese	1	1800	11.49%	@ Fiorentina	0	1864	59.43%
23	1986-12-14	14.11	@ Brescia	3	1734	52.91%	Empoli	0	1738	15.67%
24	1987-02-22	14.02	@ Brescia	2	1736	41.98%	Como	0	1836	25.14%
25	1986-09-14	14.00	Ascoli	1	1797	12.27%	@ AC Milan	0	1846	58.06%