1987-88 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

AC Milan

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

AC Milan

10.45 points above expected

45 points · 34.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hellas Verona

6.13 points below expected

25 points · 31.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	AC Milan	30	17	11	2	45	43	14	+29	34.5	+10.45
2	Napoli	30	18	6	6	42	55	27	+28	37.3	+4.68
3	Roma	30	15	8	7	38	39	26	+13	33.6	+4.42
4	Sampdoria	30	13	11	6	37	41	30	+11	34.7	+2.31
5	Inter Milan	30	11	10	9	32	42	35	+7	32.7	-0.73
6	Juventus	30	11	9	10	31	35	30	+5	32.5	-1.45
7	Torino	30	8	15	7	31	33	30	+3	29.8	+1.23
8	Fiorentina	30	9	10	11	28	29	33	-4	30.4	-2.43
9	Cesena	30	7	12	11	26	23	32	-9	25.8	+0.17
10	Hellas Verona	30	7	11	12	25	23	30	-7	31.1	-6.13
11	Empoli	30	6	13	11	25	20	30	-10	21.1	+3.87
12	Como	30	6	13	11	25	22	37	-15	27.5	-2.50
13	Ascoli	30	6	12	12	24	30	37	-7	27.7	-3.71
14	Pisa	30	6	12	12	24	23	30	-7	25.6	-1.60
15	Pescara	30	8	8	14	24	27	44	-17	22.9	+1.08
16	Avellino	30	5	13	12	23	19	39	-20	27.7	-4.66

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
AC Milan	1957	45	34.55	+10.45	100.0%	25	28	32	35	37	40	42
Napoli	1935	42	37.32	+4.68	92.0%	27	31	35	37	40	43	45
Sampdoria	1908	37	34.69	+2.31	74.0%	26	28	31	35	38	41	45
Roma	1868	38	33.58	+4.42	92.0%	21	26	31	34	36	41	45
Inter Milan	1861	32	32.73	-0.73	52.0%	21	27	30	32	36	39	42
Juventus	1852	31	32.45	-1.45	40.0%	25	26	29	33	35	39	43
Torino	1825	31	29.77	+1.23	68.0%	19	21	28	30	32	35	39
Fiorentina	1800	28	30.43	-2.43	32.0%	19	24	28	31	33	36	38
Hellas Verona	1765	25	31.13	-6.13	9.0%	23	24	29	31	33	37	39
Como	1757	25	27.50	-2.50	33.0%	18	22	24	27	30	35	38
Ascoli	1751	24	27.71	-3.71	25.0%	17	21	24	27	30	35	38
Pisa	1744	24	25.60	-1.60	40.0%	16	19	22	25	28	33	35
Avellino	1743	23	27.66	-4.66	12.0%	18	19	25	28	30	33	36
Empoli	1743	25	21.13	+3.87	44.0%	11	13	19	22	24	27	30
Cesena	1732	26	25.83	+0.17	57.0%	16	18	23	26	28	33	38
Pescara	1699	24	22.92	+1.08	64.0%	13	17	19	23	26	30	35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ASC	AVE	CES	COM	EMP	FIO	HV	IM	JUV	NAP	PES	PIS	ROM	SAM	TOR
AC Milan	—	1-1-0 3.35	1-1-0 3.54	1-1-0 3.53	1-1-0 3.70	1-1-0 3.57	0-1-1 3.18	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.90	1-1-0 2.96	2-0-0 2.41	2-0-0 3.75	2-0-0 3.31	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.63	0-2-0 3.15
Ascoli	0-1-1 2.01	—	1-1-0 2.76	0-1-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.18	0-1-1 2.21	0-0-2 1.79	1-1-0 3.03	0-2-0 2.82	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 1.89	1-0-1 2.47
Avellino	0-1-1 1.85	0-1-1 2.59	—	0-2-0 2.94	0-2-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.14	1-0-1 2.15	0-0-2 1.93	0-1-1 3.02	1-1-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.27	0-0-2 2.05	1-1-0 2.58
Cesena	0-1-1 1.90	1-1-0 2.50	0-2-0 2.46	—	1-0-1 2.56	0-2-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.08	2-0-0 2.13	0-1-1 2.06	1-1-0 2.00	0-0-2 1.70	0-0-2 2.79	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 1.88	1-0-1 1.76	0-2-0 2.17
Como	0-1-1 1.72	1-1-0 2.66	0-2-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.78	—	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.45	1-1-0 2.35	0-0-2 2.36	0-1-1 2.16	0-1-1 1.78	1-0-1 3.03	0-2-0 2.84	0-0-2 1.93	0-0-2 2.13	0-2-0 2.45
Empoli	0-1-1 1.86	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.68	0-2-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.61	—	0-2-0 2.33	1-0-1 2.36	0-1-1 2.07	1-0-1 1.99	0-1-1 1.52	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 1.92	0-1-1 1.88	1-1-0 2.25
Fiorentina	1-1-0 2.18	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.28	0-1-1 2.91	0-2-0 3.03	—	0-1-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.50	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 1.84	1-1-0 3.25	0-1-1 3.10	1-0-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.69
Hellas Verona	0-1-1 2.54	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.05	0-0-2 3.24	0-1-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.87	—	0-2-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 1.87	1-0-1 3.47	0-2-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.37	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 2.88
Inter Milan	0-0-2 2.49	0-1-1 3.18	1-1-0 3.25	1-1-0 3.32	2-0-0 3.04	1-1-0 3.31	2-0-0 2.88	0-2-0 2.69	—	1-0-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.15	0-1-1 3.73	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 2.41	1-1-0 2.39	0-1-1 2.97
Juventus	0-1-1 2.44	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.23	0-1-1 3.45	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.40	0-1-1 3.03	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.74	—	1-0-1 2.11	1-0-1 3.76	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.62	0-2-0 2.46	1-1-0 2.96
Napoli	0-0-2 2.93	2-0-0 3.61	2-0-0 3.53	2-0-0 3.76	1-1-0 3.69	1-1-0 3.95	1-0-1 3.57	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.26	—	2-0-0 4.16	2-0-0 3.69	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.45
Pescara	0-0-2 1.71	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.33	2-0-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.15	1-0-1 1.96	1-1-0 1.72	1-0-1 1.69	0-0-2 1.34	—	1-0-1 2.42	0-1-1 1.77	0-1-1 1.66	0-1-1 2.03
Pisa	0-0-2 2.12	0-2-0 2.54	0-1-1 2.65	1-1-0 2.64	0-2-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.26	0-2-0 2.32	1-0-1 2.09	0-0-2 1.99	0-0-2 1.78	1-0-1 2.94	—	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.24
Roma	1-0-1 2.56	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.54	2-0-0 3.44	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 3.16	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.31	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.53	—	0-1-1 2.67	0-1-1 3.03
Sampdoria	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.52	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.69	2-0-0 3.27	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.92	0-1-1 2.99	0-2-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.49	1-1-0 3.80	1-1-0 3.59	1-1-0 2.72	—	0-1-1 3.20
Torino	0-2-0 2.21	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.81	0-2-0 3.20	0-2-0 2.95	0-1-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.48	1-1-0 2.40	0-1-1 2.39	0-1-1 1.96	1-1-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.35	1-1-0 2.19	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.00%	9.58%	6.88%	2.29%	0.83%	0.42%	35.00%
1	9.58%	17.50%	6.46%	2.71%	1.04%	0.21%	37.50%
2	6.88%	6.46%	3.75%	1.25%	0.21%	—	18.54%
3	2.29%	2.71%	1.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	0.83%	1.04%	0.21%	—	—	—	2.08%
5+	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	—	—	0.62%
Total	35.00%	37.50%	18.54%	6.25%	2.08%	0.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.05
Mean allowed	1.05
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.041
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
2	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	63.33%	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	0.47
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	0.68
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.003
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	—	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	40.00%	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Ascoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.243
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	13.33%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	50.00%
2	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.00%	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Avellino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.63
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	0.61
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	1.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.058
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
1	13.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	26.67%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Cesena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.055
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	46.67%
1	6.67%	26.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	46.67%	10.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Como — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.104
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	30.00%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Empoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	1.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.260
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	10.00%	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.159
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	26.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	50.00%
1	6.67%	20.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	60.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Hellas Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.036
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	3.33%	26.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	60.00%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.048
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	30.00%	—	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	0.79
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.121
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
1	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	46.67%	33.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.123
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	40.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	16.67%	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Pescara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.263
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	33.33%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Pisa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	1.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.250
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	43.33%	33.33%	20.00%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.120
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	43.33%
2	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	40.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.068
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	3.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	40.00%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.111
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	AC Milan	45	34.5	+10.45
2	Napoli	42	37.3	+4.68
3	Roma	38	33.6	+4.42
4	Empoli	25	21.1	+3.87
5	Sampdoria	37	34.7	+2.31

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hellas Verona	25	31.1	-6.13
2	Avellino	23	27.7	-4.66
3	Ascoli	24	27.7	-3.71
4	Como	25	27.5	-2.50
5	Fiorentina	28	30.4	-2.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cesena	4	Nov 8 – Dec 13	1 in 229
2	AC Milan	5	Dec 20 – Jan 24	1 in 208
3	Napoli	7	Jan 10 – Feb 28	1 in 135
4	Roma	4	Feb 28 – Mar 20	1 in 73
5	Pescara	2	Sep 13 – Sep 20	1 in 32

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Napoli	3	May 1 – May 15	1 in 206
2	Hellas Verona	3	Mar 20 – Apr 10	1 in 202
3	Roma	3	Mar 27 – Apr 17	1 in 115
4	Avellino	4	Sep 20 – Oct 11	1 in 71
5	Pisa	4	Sep 13 – Oct 4	1 in 50

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AC Milan	19	Dec 20 – May 15	1 in 531
2	Torino	9	Dec 20 – Feb 28	1 in 80
3	Sampdoria	12	Sep 27 – Jan 10	1 in 46
4	Como	7	Mar 27 – May 15	1 in 35
5	Juventus	7	Mar 20 – May 8	1 in 35

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Avellino	15	Sep 20 – Jan 24	1 in 328
2	Hellas Verona	8	Mar 20 – May 15	1 in 46
3	Pisa	10	Feb 7 – Apr 24	1 in 25
4	Torino	8	Nov 1 – Jan 10	1 in 20
5	Empoli	8	Dec 20 – Feb 14	1 in 19

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
AC Milan	13.00%	22.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	8.00%	3.00%	6.00%	1.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Napoli	46.00%	19.00%	6.00%	15.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Roma	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	16.00%	19.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
Sampdoria	19.00%	14.00%	15.00%	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	12.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Inter Milan	6.00%	9.00%	12.00%	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	8.00%	9.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Juventus	4.00%	13.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Torino	—	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	11.00%	9.00%	12.00%	16.00%	8.00%	9.00%	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Fiorentina	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	14.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Cesena	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	19.00%	16.00%	10.00%	7.00%
Hellas Verona	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	7.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—
Empoli	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	7.00%	15.00%	26.00%	38.00%
Como	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	15.00%	12.00%	8.00%	13.00%	3.00%
Ascoli	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	2.00%	8.00%	11.00%	8.00%	13.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Pisa	—	—	1.00%	—	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	14.00%	9.00%	15.00%	12.00%	10.00%	13.00%
Pescara	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	16.00%	24.00%	24.00%
Avellino	—	—	4.00%	—	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	14.00%	16.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Inter Milan	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Napoli	100%	—
Sampdoria	100%	—
Roma	99.0%	1.0%
Fiorentina	97.0%	3.0%
Hellas Verona	97.0%	3.0%
Torino	96.0%	4.0%
Avellino	90.0%	10.0%
Ascoli	89.0%	11.0%
Como	84.0%	16.0%
Cesena	83.0%	17.0%
Pisa	77.0%	23.0%
Pescara	52.0%	48.0%
Empoli	36.0%	64.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1987-09-13	Roma	D 1-1	1768	1845	45.5%	34.2%	20.3%	-1.2	1
1987-09-13	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1845	1768	20.3%	34.2%	45.5%	+1.2	1
1987-09-13	Torino	W 2-1	1812	1801	54.9%	31.8%	13.3%	+4.0	3
1987-09-13	@ Avellino	L 1-2	1801	1812	13.3%	31.8%	54.9%	-4.0	0
1987-09-13	Napoli	L 0-1	1706	1887	32.6%	33.8%	33.6%	-8.2	0
1987-09-13	@ Cesena	W 1-0	1887	1706	33.6%	33.8%	32.6%	+8.2	3
1987-09-13	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1808	1848	49.6%	33.5%	16.9%	-1.8	1
1987-09-13	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1848	1808	16.9%	33.5%	49.6%	+1.8	1
1987-09-13	Pescara	L 0-2	1859	1667	71.9%	21.6%	6.6%	-28.0	0
1987-09-13	@ Inter Milan	W 2-0	1667	1859	6.6%	21.6%	71.9%	+28.0	3
1987-09-13	Como	W 1-0	1887	1799	62.3%	28.0%	9.7%	+3.0	3
1987-09-13	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1799	1887	9.7%	28.0%	62.3%	-3.0	0
1987-09-13	AC Milan	L 1-3	1766	1849	44.9%	34.2%	20.9%	-17.1	0
1987-09-13	@ Pisa	W 3-1	1849	1766	20.9%	34.2%	44.9%	+17.1	3
1987-09-13	Empoli	W 2-0	1886	1752	66.5%	25.3%	8.2%	+4.5	3
1987-09-13	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1752	1886	8.2%	25.3%	66.5%	-4.5	0
1987-09-20	Fiorentina	L 0-2	1866	1806	59.6%	29.6%	10.8%	-24.9	3
1987-09-20	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1806	1866	10.8%	29.6%	59.6%	+24.9	4
1987-09-20	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1796	1831	50.2%	33.3%	16.5%	-10.9	0
1987-09-20	@ Como	W 2-1	1831	1796	16.5%	33.3%	50.2%	+10.9	3
1987-09-20	Juventus	W 1-0	1748	1890	37.6%	34.4%	28.1%	+7.5	3
1987-09-20	@ Empoli	L 0-1	1890	1748	28.1%	34.4%	37.6%	-7.5	3
1987-09-20	Avellino	W 4-1	1850	1816	57.1%	30.8%	12.1%	+8.8	4
1987-09-20	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-4	1816	1850	12.1%	30.8%	57.1%	-8.8	3
1987-09-20	Ascoli	W 2-1	1895	1767	66.0%	25.7%	8.3%	+2.3	6
1987-09-20	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1767	1895	8.3%	25.7%	66.0%	-2.3	1
1987-09-20	Pisa	W 2-1	1695	1749	48.1%	33.8%	18.1%	+5.2	6
1987-09-20	@ Pescara	L 1-2	1749	1695	18.1%	33.8%	48.1%	-5.2	0
1987-09-20	Cesena	W 2-0	1847	1698	67.9%	24.4%	7.7%	+4.2	4
1987-09-20	@ Roma	L 0-2	1698	1847	7.7%	24.4%	67.9%	-4.2	0
1987-09-20	Sampdoria	W 4-1	1797	1890	43.6%	34.4%	22.0%	+14.7	3
1987-09-20	@ Torino	L 1-4	1890	1797	22.0%	34.4%	43.6%	-14.7	3
1987-09-27	Torino	W 3-0	1765	1812	48.9%	33.6%	17.5%	+14.6	4
1987-09-27	@ Ascoli	L 0-3	1812	1765	17.5%	33.6%	48.9%	-14.6	3
1987-09-27	Roma	L 2-3	1807	1851	49.3%	33.5%	17.2%	-10.1	3
1987-09-27	@ Avellino	W 3-2	1851	1807	17.2%	33.5%	49.3%	+10.1	7
1987-09-27	AC Milan	D 0-0	1694	1841	37.0%	34.3%	28.7%	-0.4	1
1987-09-27	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1841	1694	28.7%	34.3%	37.0%	+0.4	4
1987-09-27	Como	D 1-1	1831	1786	58.3%	30.2%	11.5%	-2.4	5
1987-09-27	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1786	1831	11.5%	30.2%	58.3%	+2.4	1
1987-09-27	Empoli	W 2-0	1842	1755	62.2%	28.1%	9.7%	+5.6	6
1987-09-27	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1755	1842	9.7%	28.1%	62.2%	-5.6	3
1987-09-27	Pescara	W 3-1	1883	1700	71.0%	22.2%	6.8%	+3.0	6
1987-09-27	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1700	1883	6.8%	22.2%	71.0%	-3.0	6
1987-09-27	Napoli	L 0-2	1743	1897	36.1%	34.2%	29.7%	-16.7	0
1987-09-27	@ Pisa	W 2-0	1897	1743	29.7%	34.2%	36.1%	+16.7	9
1987-09-27	Hellas Verona	W 3-1	1875	1859	55.5%	31.5%	13.0%	+6.7	6
1987-09-27	@ Sampdoria	L 1-3	1859	1875	13.0%	31.5%	55.5%	-6.7	4
1987-10-04	Ascoli	W 2-0	1841	1779	59.9%	29.4%	10.7%	+6.3	7
1987-10-04	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1779	1841	10.7%	29.4%	59.9%	-6.3	4
1987-10-04	Napoli	L 0-1	1797	1914	40.8%	34.4%	24.7%	-9.7	3
1987-10-04	@ Avellino	W 1-0	1914	1797	24.7%	34.4%	40.8%	+9.7	12
1987-10-04	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1788	1882	43.5%	34.4%	22.1%	-10.2	1
1987-10-04	@ Como	W 1-0	1882	1788	22.1%	34.4%	43.5%	+10.2	9
1987-10-04	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1750	1829	45.3%	34.2%	20.5%	-1.3	4
1987-10-04	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1829	1750	20.5%	34.2%	45.3%	+1.3	6
1987-10-04	Juventus	W 2-1	1852	1886	50.3%	33.3%	16.4%	+4.8	7
1987-10-04	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1886	1852	16.4%	33.3%	50.3%	-4.8	6
1987-10-04	Cesena	W 1-0	1697	1694	54.1%	32.1%	13.8%	+4.3	9
1987-10-04	@ Pescara	L 0-1	1694	1697	13.8%	32.1%	54.1%	-4.3	1
1987-10-04	Pisa	W 1-0	1861	1727	66.6%	25.3%	8.1%	+2.4	10
1987-10-04	@ Roma	L 0-1	1727	1861	8.1%	25.3%	66.6%	-2.4	0
1987-10-04	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1797	1847	48.5%	33.7%	17.8%	-1.5	4
1987-10-04	@ Torino	D 1-1	1847	1797	17.8%	33.7%	48.5%	+1.5	7
1987-10-11	Empoli	W 2-0	1773	1748	56.2%	31.2%	12.6%	+7.5	7
1987-10-11	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1748	1773	12.6%	31.2%	56.2%	-7.5	4
1987-10-11	Torino	D 0-0	1689	1795	42.1%	34.4%	23.5%	-1.0	2
1987-10-11	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1795	1689	23.5%	34.4%	42.1%	+1.0	5
1987-10-11	Avellino	W 2-1	1830	1787	58.0%	30.4%	11.6%	+3.5	9
1987-10-11	@ Fiorentina	L 1-2	1787	1830	11.6%	30.4%	58.0%	-3.5	3
1987-10-11	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1849	1857	53.0%	32.5%	14.5%	-1.9	8
1987-10-11	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1857	1849	14.5%	32.5%	53.0%	+1.9	8
1987-10-11	Roma	W 1-0	1881	1863	55.5%	31.5%	13.0%	+4.1	9
1987-10-11	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1863	1881	13.0%	31.5%	55.5%	-4.1	10
1987-10-11	Pescara	W 6-0	1924	1701	74.5%	19.6%	5.9%	+8.0	15
1987-10-11	@ Napoli	L 0-6	1701	1924	5.9%	19.6%	74.5%	-8.0	9
1987-10-11	Como	D 1-1	1724	1778	48.2%	33.8%	18.1%	-1.5	1
1987-10-11	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1778	1724	18.1%	33.8%	48.2%	+1.5	2
1987-10-11	AC Milan	D 1-1	1892	1848	58.2%	30.3%	11.5%	-2.4	10
1987-10-11	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1848	1892	11.5%	30.3%	58.2%	+2.4	8
1987-10-25	Cesena	D 1-1	1784	1688	63.0%	27.6%	9.4%	-2.8	4
1987-10-25	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1688	1784	9.4%	27.6%	63.0%	+2.8	3
1987-10-25	Ascoli	W 3-1	1779	1780	53.7%	32.2%	14.1%	+7.2	5
1987-10-25	@ Como	L 1-3	1780	1779	14.1%	32.2%	53.7%	-7.2	7
1987-10-25	Pisa	L 0-1	1741	1723	55.6%	31.5%	12.9%	-12.5	4
1987-10-25	@ Empoli	W 1-0	1723	1741	12.9%	31.5%	55.6%	+12.5	4
1987-10-25	AC Milan	L 0-1	1859	1850	54.7%	31.9%	13.5%	-12.4	8
1987-10-25	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1850	1859	13.5%	31.9%	54.7%	+12.4	11
1987-10-25	Juventus	W 2-1	1847	1885	49.9%	33.4%	16.8%	+4.9	11
1987-10-25	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1885	1847	16.8%	33.4%	49.9%	-4.9	9
1987-10-25	Sampdoria	D 0-0	1693	1890	30.5%	33.4%	36.1%	+0.3	10
1987-10-25	@ Pescara	D 0-0	1890	1693	36.1%	33.4%	30.5%	-0.3	11
1987-10-25	Napoli	D 1-1	1859	1932	46.1%	34.1%	19.8%	-1.2	11
1987-10-25	@ Roma	D 1-1	1932	1859	19.8%	34.1%	46.1%	+1.2	16
1987-10-25	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1796	1834	49.9%	33.4%	16.7%	+4.9	8
1987-10-25	@ Torino	L 1-2	1834	1796	16.7%	33.4%	49.9%	-4.8	9
1987-11-01	Torino	D 0-0	1862	1801	59.8%	29.5%	10.8%	-2.8	12
1987-11-01	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1801	1862	10.8%	29.5%	59.8%	+2.8	9
1987-11-01	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1773	1846	46.0%	34.1%	19.9%	-1.2	8
1987-11-01	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1846	1773	19.9%	34.1%	46.0%	+1.2	9
1987-11-01	Pescara	W 4-0	1829	1694	66.7%	25.2%	8.1%	+8.5	12
1987-11-01	@ Fiorentina	L 0-4	1694	1829	8.1%	25.2%	66.7%	-8.5	10
1987-11-01	Avellino	W 3-0	1880	1781	63.3%	27.4%	9.3%	+7.7	12
1987-11-01	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1781	1880	9.3%	27.4%	63.3%	-7.7	4
1987-11-01	Empoli	W 2-1	1933	1728	73.0%	20.8%	6.3%	+1.6	19
1987-11-01	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1728	1933	6.3%	20.8%	73.0%	-1.6	4
1987-11-01	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1735	1852	40.8%	34.4%	24.7%	+6.5	7
1987-11-01	@ Pisa	L 1-2	1852	1735	24.7%	34.4%	40.8%	-6.5	11
1987-11-01	Como	W 3-1	1858	1786	60.8%	28.9%	10.3%	+5.2	14
1987-11-01	@ Roma	L 1-3	1786	1858	10.3%	28.9%	60.8%	-5.2	5
1987-11-01	Cesena	W 4-1	1890	1691	72.5%	21.1%	6.4%	+4.0	14
1987-11-01	@ Sampdoria	L 1-4	1691	1890	6.4%	21.1%	72.5%	-4.0	3
1987-11-08	Sampdoria	L 1-2	1773	1894	40.4%	34.4%	25.2%	-9.1	4
1987-11-08	@ Avellino	W 2-1	1894	1773	25.2%	34.4%	40.4%	+9.1	17
1987-11-08	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1687	1837	36.5%	34.3%	29.2%	+7.7	6
1987-11-08	@ Cesena	L 0-1	1837	1687	29.2%	34.3%	36.5%	-7.7	12
1987-11-08	Napoli	D 0-0	1781	1934	36.2%	34.2%	29.6%	-0.3	6
1987-11-08	@ Como	D 0-0	1934	1781	29.6%	34.2%	36.2%	+0.3	20
1987-11-08	Roma	W 2-1	1727	1863	38.3%	34.4%	27.3%	+6.9	7
1987-11-08	@ Empoli	L 1-2	1863	1727	27.3%	34.4%	38.3%	-6.9	14
1987-11-08	Ascoli	D 2-2	1845	1772	60.9%	28.8%	10.2%	-2.0	12
1987-11-08	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1772	1845	10.2%	28.8%	60.9%	+2.0	9
1987-11-08	AC Milan	L 0-2	1685	1859	33.4%	33.9%	32.7%	-15.8	10
1987-11-08	@ Pescara	W 2-0	1859	1685	32.7%	33.9%	33.4%	+15.8	15
1987-11-08	Juventus	L 1-2	1742	1888	37.1%	34.3%	28.6%	-8.5	7
1987-11-08	@ Pisa	W 2-1	1888	1742	28.6%	34.3%	37.1%	+8.5	15
1987-11-08	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1804	1848	49.2%	33.5%	17.2%	-1.6	10
1987-11-08	@ Torino	D 1-1	1848	1804	17.2%	33.5%	49.2%	+1.6	10
1987-11-22	Avellino	W 3-0	1875	1764	64.5%	26.7%	8.9%	+7.3	18
1987-11-22	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1764	1875	8.9%	26.7%	64.5%	-7.3	4
1987-11-22	Pisa	D 2-2	1774	1733	57.8%	30.5%	11.7%	-1.8	10
1987-11-22	@ Ascoli	D 2-2	1733	1774	11.7%	30.5%	57.8%	+1.8	8
1987-11-22	Empoli	W 3-2	1781	1734	58.4%	30.2%	11.4%	+3.2	9
1987-11-22	@ Como	L 2-3	1734	1781	11.4%	30.2%	58.4%	-3.2	7
1987-11-22	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1830	1903	46.0%	34.1%	19.9%	-1.2	13
1987-11-22	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1903	1830	19.9%	34.1%	46.0%	+1.2	18
1987-11-22	Pescara	W 2-0	1849	1669	70.8%	22.4%	6.9%	+3.6	13
1987-11-22	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-2	1669	1849	6.9%	22.4%	70.8%	-3.6	10
1987-11-22	Cesena	L 0-2	1896	1695	72.7%	20.9%	6.4%	-28.1	15
1987-11-22	@ Juventus	W 2-0	1695	1896	6.4%	20.9%	72.7%	+28.1	9
1987-11-22	Torino	W 3-1	1935	1802	66.4%	25.4%	8.2%	+3.9	23
1987-11-22	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1802	1935	8.2%	25.4%	66.4%	-3.9	10
1987-11-22	Inter Milan	W 3-2	1856	1843	55.1%	31.7%	13.2%	+3.7	17
1987-11-22	@ Roma	L 2-3	1843	1856	13.2%	31.7%	55.1%	-3.7	12
1987-11-29	Como	D 1-1	1757	1784	51.0%	33.1%	15.9%	-1.7	5
1987-11-29	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1784	1757	15.9%	33.1%	51.0%	+1.7	10
1987-11-29	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1723	1853	39.2%	34.4%	26.4%	+7.2	12
1987-11-29	@ Cesena	L 0-1	1853	1723	26.4%	34.4%	39.2%	-7.2	13
1987-11-29	AC Milan	D 0-0	1731	1883	36.3%	34.2%	29.4%	-0.3	8
1987-11-29	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1883	1731	29.4%	34.2%	36.3%	+0.3	19
1987-11-29	Napoli	D 1-1	1840	1939	43.0%	34.4%	22.7%	-0.9	13
1987-11-29	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1939	1840	22.7%	34.4%	43.0%	+0.9	24
1987-11-29	Ascoli	W 1-0	1868	1772	63.1%	27.6%	9.4%	+2.9	18
1987-11-29	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1772	1868	9.4%	27.6%	63.1%	-2.9	10
1987-11-29	Torino	D 2-2	1666	1799	38.8%	34.4%	26.8%	-0.4	11
1987-11-29	@ Pescara	D 2-2	1799	1666	26.8%	34.4%	38.8%	+0.4	11
1987-11-29	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1735	1828	43.6%	34.4%	22.0%	+6.0	11
1987-11-29	@ Pisa	L 1-2	1828	1735	22.0%	34.4%	43.6%	-6.0	13
1987-11-29	Roma	D 0-0	1904	1860	58.1%	30.3%	11.6%	-2.7	19
1987-11-29	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1860	1904	11.6%	30.3%	58.1%	+2.7	18
1987-12-13	Roma	L 0-2	1883	1863	55.8%	31.4%	12.8%	-23.7	19
1987-12-13	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1863	1883	12.8%	31.4%	55.8%	+23.7	21
1987-12-13	Como	W 3-0	1730	1786	47.9%	33.8%	18.3%	+15.1	15
1987-12-13	@ Cesena	L 0-3	1786	1730	18.3%	33.8%	47.9%	-15.1	10
1987-12-13	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1822	1839	52.1%	32.8%	15.1%	-11.2	13
1987-12-13	@ Fiorentina	W 2-1	1839	1822	15.1%	32.8%	52.1%	+11.2	16
1987-12-13	Pisa	D 0-0	1846	1741	63.8%	27.1%	9.1%	-3.2	14
1987-12-13	@ Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1741	1846	9.1%	27.1%	63.8%	+3.2	12
1987-12-13	Juventus	W 2-1	1940	1871	60.5%	29.1%	10.4%	+3.1	27
1987-12-13	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1871	1940	10.4%	29.1%	60.5%	-3.1	18
1987-12-13	Avellino	W 2-0	1665	1755	44.0%	34.3%	21.6%	+11.8	14
1987-12-13	@ Pescara	L 0-2	1755	1665	21.6%	34.3%	44.0%	-11.8	5
1987-12-13	Ascoli	W 2-0	1901	1769	66.4%	25.4%	8.2%	+4.5	22
1987-12-13	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1769	1901	8.2%	25.4%	66.4%	-4.5	10
1987-12-13	Empoli	L 0-1	1799	1730	60.5%	29.1%	10.4%	-13.4	11
1987-12-13	@ Torino	W 1-0	1730	1799	10.4%	29.1%	60.5%	+13.4	11
1987-12-20	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1765	1811	48.9%	33.6%	17.4%	+14.6	13
1987-12-20	@ Ascoli	L 0-3	1811	1765	17.4%	33.6%	48.9%	-14.6	13
1987-12-20	Torino	D 0-0	1771	1786	52.3%	32.7%	15.0%	-2.1	11
1987-12-20	@ Como	D 0-0	1786	1771	15.0%	32.7%	52.3%	+2.1	12
1987-12-20	Cesena	D 2-2	1744	1745	53.6%	32.3%	14.1%	-1.5	12
1987-12-20	@ Empoli	D 2-2	1745	1744	14.1%	32.3%	53.6%	+1.5	16
1987-12-20	AC Milan	L 0-1	1850	1859	52.8%	32.5%	14.6%	-12.0	16
1987-12-20	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1859	1850	14.6%	32.5%	52.8%	+12.0	22
1987-12-20	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1868	1906	49.9%	33.4%	16.7%	-1.6	19
1987-12-20	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1906	1868	16.7%	33.4%	49.9%	+1.6	23
1987-12-20	Hellas Verona	W 4-1	1943	1842	63.5%	27.3%	9.2%	+6.5	30
1987-12-20	@ Napoli	L 1-4	1842	1943	9.2%	27.3%	63.5%	-6.5	14
1987-12-20	Avellino	D 0-0	1744	1744	53.9%	32.2%	14.0%	-2.3	13
1987-12-20	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1744	1744	14.0%	32.2%	53.9%	+2.3	6
1987-12-20	Pescara	W 5-1	1886	1677	73.4%	20.4%	6.2%	+4.8	24
1987-12-20	@ Roma	L 1-5	1677	1886	6.2%	20.4%	73.4%	-4.8	14
1988-01-03	Napoli	W 4-1	1871	1949	45.4%	34.2%	20.4%	+13.9	25
1988-01-03	@ AC Milan	L 1-4	1949	1871	20.4%	34.2%	45.4%	-13.9	30
1988-01-03	Ascoli	D 1-1	1746	1779	50.3%	33.3%	16.4%	-1.7	7
1988-01-03	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1779	1746	16.4%	33.3%	50.3%	+1.7	14
1988-01-03	Pisa	D 1-1	1747	1742	54.3%	32.0%	13.7%	-2.0	17
1988-01-03	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1742	1747	13.7%	32.0%	54.3%	+2.1	14
1988-01-03	Roma	W 1-0	1797	1891	43.5%	34.4%	22.2%	+6.4	16
1988-01-03	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1891	1797	22.2%	34.4%	43.5%	-6.4	24
1988-01-03	Empoli	W 1-0	1836	1742	62.9%	27.7%	9.4%	+2.9	17
1988-01-03	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1742	1836	9.4%	27.7%	62.9%	-2.9	12
1988-01-03	Como	W 2-0	1672	1769	43.3%	34.4%	22.3%	+12.1	17
1988-01-03	@ Pescara	L 0-2	1769	1672	22.3%	34.4%	43.3%	-12.1	11
1988-01-03	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1907	1838	60.6%	29.0%	10.4%	-2.6	24
1988-01-03	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1838	1907	10.4%	29.0%	60.6%	+2.6	17
1988-01-03	Juventus	D 2-2	1788	1866	45.3%	34.2%	20.5%	-0.9	13
1988-01-03	@ Torino	D 2-2	1866	1788	20.5%	34.2%	45.3%	+0.9	20
1988-01-10	Pescara	W 2-1	1781	1685	63.1%	27.5%	9.4%	+2.7	17
1988-01-10	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1685	1781	9.4%	27.5%	63.1%	-2.7	17
1988-01-10	Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1757	1839	44.9%	34.2%	20.8%	-1.1	12
1988-01-10	@ Como	D 1-1	1839	1757	20.8%	34.2%	44.9%	+1.1	18
1988-01-10	Avellino	D 0-0	1739	1744	53.3%	32.4%	14.3%	-2.2	13
1988-01-10	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1744	1739	14.3%	32.4%	53.3%	+2.2	8
1988-01-10	Cesena	W 2-0	1840	1745	63.0%	27.6%	9.4%	+5.4	20
1988-01-10	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1745	1840	9.4%	27.6%	63.0%	-5.4	17
1988-01-10	AC Milan	L 0-1	1867	1885	52.0%	32.8%	15.2%	-11.9	20
1988-01-10	@ Juventus	W 1-0	1885	1867	15.2%	32.8%	52.0%	+11.9	28
1988-01-10	Fiorentina	W 4-0	1935	1803	66.4%	25.4%	8.2%	+8.6	33
1988-01-10	@ Napoli	L 0-4	1803	1935	8.2%	25.4%	66.4%	-8.6	16
1988-01-10	Sampdoria	L 0-1	1744	1905	35.2%	34.1%	30.7%	-8.7	14
1988-01-10	@ Pisa	W 1-0	1905	1744	30.7%	34.1%	35.2%	+8.7	27
1988-01-10	Torino	D 1-1	1885	1787	63.3%	27.4%	9.3%	-2.8	25
1988-01-10	@ Roma	D 1-1	1787	1885	9.3%	27.4%	63.3%	+2.8	14
1988-01-17	Como	W 5-0	1897	1755	67.3%	24.8%	7.9%	+10.1	31
1988-01-17	@ AC Milan	L 0-5	1755	1897	7.9%	24.8%	67.3%	-10.1	12
1988-01-17	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1746	1846	42.9%	34.4%	22.7%	-16.5	8
1988-01-17	@ Avellino	W 3-1	1846	1746	22.7%	34.4%	42.9%	+16.5	23
1988-01-17	Ascoli	W 1-0	1739	1784	49.2%	33.6%	17.3%	+5.3	20
1988-01-17	@ Cesena	L 0-1	1784	1739	17.3%	33.6%	49.2%	-5.3	17
1988-01-17	Juventus	D 1-1	1794	1855	47.3%	33.9%	18.8%	-1.4	17
1988-01-17	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1855	1794	18.8%	33.9%	47.3%	+1.4	21
1988-01-17	Roma	L 0-1	1840	1882	49.4%	33.5%	17.1%	-11.4	18
1988-01-17	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1882	1840	17.1%	33.5%	49.4%	+11.4	28
1988-01-17	Empoli	D 0-0	1682	1737	48.0%	33.8%	18.2%	-1.6	18
1988-01-17	@ Pescara	D 0-0	1737	1682	18.2%	33.8%	48.0%	+1.6	14
1988-01-17	Napoli	L 0-1	1914	1944	50.7%	33.2%	16.1%	-11.6	27
1988-01-17	@ Sampdoria	W 1-0	1944	1914	16.1%	33.2%	50.7%	+11.6	36
1988-01-17	Pisa	W 3-1	1790	1735	59.1%	29.8%	11.1%	+5.7	17
1988-01-17	@ Torino	L 1-3	1735	1790	11.1%	29.8%	59.1%	-5.7	14
1988-01-24	Pisa	W 1-0	1907	1730	70.5%	22.5%	6.9%	+1.9	34
1988-01-24	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1730	1907	6.9%	22.5%	70.5%	-1.9	14
1988-01-24	Juventus	D 1-1	1745	1857	41.4%	34.4%	24.1%	-0.8	13
1988-01-24	@ Como	D 1-1	1857	1745	24.1%	34.4%	41.4%	+0.8	22
1988-01-24	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1739	1902	34.8%	34.1%	31.1%	-0.1	15
1988-01-24	@ Empoli	D 2-2	1902	1739	31.1%	34.1%	34.8%	+0.1	28
1988-01-24	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1828	1793	57.3%	30.7%	12.0%	+3.8	21
1988-01-24	@ Hellas Verona	L 0-1	1793	1828	12.0%	30.7%	57.3%	-3.8	17
1988-01-24	Cesena	W 2-0	1955	1745	73.5%	20.3%	6.2%	+3.0	39
1988-01-24	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1745	1955	6.2%	20.3%	73.5%	-3.0	20
1988-01-24	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1680	1862	32.3%	33.8%	33.9%	+0.1	19
1988-01-24	@ Pescara	D 1-1	1862	1680	33.9%	33.8%	32.3%	-0.1	24
1988-01-24	Ascoli	W 3-0	1893	1778	64.8%	26.4%	8.7%	+7.1	31
1988-01-24	@ Roma	L 0-3	1778	1893	8.7%	26.4%	64.8%	-7.2	17
1988-01-24	Avellino	D 0-0	1795	1730	60.2%	29.2%	10.6%	-2.9	18
1988-01-24	@ Torino	D 0-0	1730	1795	10.6%	29.2%	60.2%	+2.9	9
1988-01-31	Napoli	L 1-3	1771	1958	31.7%	33.7%	34.7%	-13.1	17
1988-01-31	@ Ascoli	W 3-1	1958	1771	34.7%	33.7%	31.7%	+13.1	42
1988-01-31	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1733	1832	42.9%	34.4%	22.7%	+6.5	12
1988-01-31	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1832	1733	22.7%	34.4%	42.9%	-6.5	21
1988-01-31	Roma	D 0-0	1741	1901	35.4%	34.2%	30.4%	-0.2	21
1988-01-31	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1901	1741	30.4%	34.2%	35.4%	+0.2	32
1988-01-31	AC Milan	D 1-1	1789	1909	40.4%	34.4%	25.1%	-0.7	18
1988-01-31	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1909	1789	25.1%	34.4%	40.4%	+0.7	35
1988-01-31	Como	W 1-0	1862	1744	65.1%	26.3%	8.6%	+2.6	27
1988-01-31	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1744	1862	8.6%	26.3%	65.1%	-2.6	13
1988-01-31	Empoli	W 4-0	1858	1738	65.2%	26.2%	8.6%	+9.2	25
1988-01-31	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1738	1858	8.6%	26.2%	65.2%	-9.2	15
1988-01-31	Pescara	W 2-0	1728	1680	58.5%	30.1%	11.4%	+6.8	17
1988-01-31	@ Pisa	L 0-2	1680	1728	11.4%	30.1%	58.5%	-6.8	19
1988-01-31	Torino	D 1-1	1902	1792	64.3%	26.8%	8.9%	-2.9	29
1988-01-31	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1792	1902	8.9%	26.8%	64.3%	+2.9	19
1988-02-07	Cesena	W 3-0	1910	1741	69.7%	23.1%	7.2%	+5.5	38
1988-02-07	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1741	1910	7.2%	23.1%	69.7%	-5.5	21
1988-02-07	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1742	1788	48.9%	33.6%	17.5%	+5.3	16
1988-02-07	@ Como	L 0-1	1788	1742	17.5%	33.6%	48.9%	-5.3	18
1988-02-07	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1729	1865	38.4%	34.4%	27.2%	-0.5	16
1988-02-07	@ Empoli	D 1-1	1865	1729	27.2%	34.4%	38.4%	+0.5	28
1988-02-07	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1826	1899	46.0%	34.1%	19.9%	+9.7	24
1988-02-07	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-3	1899	1826	19.9%	34.1%	46.0%	-9.6	29
1988-02-07	Pisa	W 2-1	1972	1735	75.8%	18.6%	5.6%	+1.3	45
1988-02-07	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1735	1972	5.6%	18.6%	75.8%	-1.3	17
1988-02-07	Juventus	W 2-0	1674	1867	30.9%	33.5%	35.6%	+16.4	22
1988-02-07	@ Pescara	L 0-2	1867	1674	35.6%	33.5%	30.9%	-16.4	25
1988-02-07	Avellino	D 0-0	1901	1739	69.1%	23.5%	7.3%	-3.6	33
1988-02-07	@ Roma	D 0-0	1739	1901	7.3%	23.5%	69.1%	+3.6	13
1988-02-07	Ascoli	W 2-1	1795	1758	57.5%	30.6%	11.9%	+3.5	22
1988-02-07	@ Torino	L 1-2	1758	1795	11.9%	30.6%	57.5%	-3.5	17
1988-02-14	AC Milan	D 1-1	1755	1915	35.2%	34.1%	30.7%	-0.2	18
1988-02-14	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1915	1755	30.7%	34.1%	35.2%	+0.2	39
1988-02-14	Pescara	L 0-1	1736	1690	58.3%	30.2%	11.5%	-13.0	21
1988-02-14	@ Cesena	W 1-0	1690	1736	11.5%	30.2%	58.3%	+13.0	25
1988-02-14	Empoli	D 0-0	1783	1729	59.1%	29.8%	11.1%	-2.8	19
1988-02-14	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1729	1783	11.1%	29.8%	59.1%	+2.8	17
1988-02-14	Torino	L 0-1	1865	1799	60.3%	29.2%	10.5%	-13.3	28
1988-02-14	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	1799	1865	10.5%	29.2%	60.3%	+13.3	25
1988-02-14	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1850	1835	55.3%	31.6%	13.1%	-2.4	26
1988-02-14	@ Juventus	D 0-0	1835	1850	13.1%	31.6%	55.3%	+2.4	25
1988-02-14	Avellino	W 4-0	1973	1743	75.2%	19.1%	5.7%	+5.2	48
1988-02-14	@ Napoli	L 0-4	1743	1973	5.7%	19.1%	75.2%	-5.2	13
1988-02-14	Roma	D 1-1	1733	1897	34.8%	34.1%	31.2%	-0.2	18
1988-02-14	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1897	1733	31.2%	34.1%	34.8%	+0.2	34
1988-02-14	Como	W 3-0	1889	1747	67.3%	24.8%	7.9%	+6.3	32
1988-02-14	@ Sampdoria	L 0-3	1747	1889	7.9%	24.8%	67.3%	-6.3	16
1988-02-28	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1915	1896	55.8%	31.4%	12.8%	+3.8	42
1988-02-28	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1896	1915	12.8%	31.4%	55.8%	-3.8	32
1988-02-28	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1738	1780	49.3%	33.5%	17.2%	-1.6	14
1988-02-28	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1780	1738	17.2%	33.5%	49.3%	+1.6	20
1988-02-28	Pisa	D 0-0	1741	1733	54.6%	31.9%	13.5%	-2.3	17
1988-02-28	@ Como	D 0-0	1733	1741	13.5%	31.9%	54.6%	+2.3	19
1988-02-28	Ascoli	W 2-0	1732	1754	51.4%	33.0%	15.6%	+9.1	20
1988-02-28	@ Empoli	L 0-2	1754	1732	15.6%	33.0%	51.4%	-9.1	18
1988-02-28	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1838	1852	52.3%	32.7%	15.0%	-1.9	26
1988-02-28	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1852	1838	15.0%	32.7%	52.3%	+1.9	29
1988-02-28	Napoli	L 0-1	1703	1978	22.1%	30.5%	47.4%	-6.0	25
1988-02-28	@ Pescara	W 1-0	1978	1703	47.4%	30.5%	22.1%	+6.0	51
1988-02-28	Juventus	W 2-0	1897	1848	58.7%	30.0%	11.3%	+6.7	37
1988-02-28	@ Roma	L 0-2	1848	1897	11.3%	30.0%	58.7%	-6.7	26
1988-02-28	Cesena	D 2-2	1812	1723	62.5%	27.9%	9.6%	-2.1	26
1988-02-28	@ Torino	D 2-2	1723	1812	9.6%	27.9%	62.5%	+2.1	22
1988-03-06	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1919	1836	61.9%	28.3%	9.8%	-3.0	43
1988-03-06	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1836	1919	9.8%	28.3%	61.9%	+3.0	27
1988-03-06	Como	D 0-0	1745	1739	54.4%	31.9%	13.6%	-2.3	19
1988-03-06	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1739	1745	13.6%	31.9%	54.4%	+2.3	18
1988-03-06	Avellino	D 1-1	1725	1736	52.7%	32.6%	14.8%	-1.9	23
1988-03-06	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1736	1725	14.8%	32.6%	52.7%	+1.9	15
1988-03-06	Torino	W 1-0	1782	1810	50.9%	33.1%	16.0%	+5.0	23
1988-03-06	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1810	1782	16.0%	33.1%	50.9%	-5.0	26
1988-03-06	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1841	1854	52.5%	32.6%	14.9%	+4.6	29
1988-03-06	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1854	1841	14.9%	32.6%	52.5%	-4.7	29
1988-03-06	Roma	L 1-2	1984	1904	61.6%	28.5%	10.0%	-12.7	51
1988-03-06	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1904	1984	10.0%	28.5%	61.6%	+12.8	40
1988-03-06	Empoli	D 0-0	1735	1741	53.3%	32.4%	14.3%	-2.2	20
1988-03-06	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1741	1735	14.3%	32.4%	53.3%	+2.2	21
1988-03-06	Pescara	W 2-1	1892	1697	72.1%	21.4%	6.5%	+1.6	35
1988-03-06	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1697	1892	6.5%	21.4%	72.1%	-1.7	25
1988-03-13	Juventus	W 1-0	1738	1846	41.9%	34.4%	23.7%	+6.7	18
1988-03-13	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1846	1738	23.7%	34.4%	41.9%	-6.7	29
1988-03-13	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1723	1894	33.9%	34.0%	32.2%	+15.4	26
1988-03-13	@ Cesena	L 0-2	1894	1723	32.2%	34.0%	33.9%	-15.4	35
1988-03-13	Roma	L 0-1	1741	1917	33.1%	33.9%	33.0%	-8.3	18
1988-03-13	@ Como	W 1-0	1917	1741	33.0%	33.9%	33.1%	+8.3	43
1988-03-13	Napoli	D 0-0	1743	1971	26.7%	32.4%	40.8%	+0.7	22
1988-03-13	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1971	1743	40.8%	32.4%	26.7%	-0.7	52
1988-03-13	Ascoli	W 2-1	1839	1743	63.1%	27.6%	9.4%	+2.7	30
1988-03-13	@ Hellas Verona	L 1-2	1743	1839	9.4%	27.6%	63.1%	-2.7	19
1988-03-13	Pisa	W 2-1	1849	1733	64.9%	26.4%	8.7%	+2.5	32
1988-03-13	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1733	1849	8.7%	26.4%	64.9%	-2.5	20
1988-03-13	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1695	1787	43.8%	34.3%	21.8%	-1.0	26
1988-03-13	@ Pescara	D 1-1	1787	1695	21.8%	34.3%	43.8%	+1.0	24
1988-03-13	AC Milan	D 1-1	1805	1916	41.5%	34.4%	24.1%	-0.8	27
1988-03-13	@ Torino	D 1-1	1916	1805	24.1%	34.4%	41.5%	+0.8	44
1988-03-20	Pescara	W 2-0	1917	1694	74.6%	19.6%	5.9%	+2.9	47
1988-03-20	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1694	1917	5.9%	19.6%	74.6%	-2.9	26
1988-03-20	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1740	1852	41.4%	34.4%	24.1%	+6.4	22
1988-03-20	@ Ascoli	L 1-2	1852	1740	24.1%	34.4%	41.4%	-6.4	32
1988-03-20	Cesena	W 3-1	1788	1738	58.7%	30.0%	11.3%	+5.8	27
1988-03-20	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1738	1788	11.3%	30.0%	58.7%	-5.8	26
1988-03-20	Torino	L 0-2	1842	1804	57.5%	30.6%	11.9%	-24.2	30
1988-03-20	@ Hellas Verona	W 2-0	1804	1842	11.9%	30.6%	57.5%	+24.2	30
1988-03-20	Pisa	W 2-1	1839	1731	64.2%	26.8%	8.9%	+2.5	32
1988-03-20	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1731	1839	8.9%	26.8%	64.2%	-2.5	20
1988-03-20	Como	W 3-0	1971	1733	75.9%	18.6%	5.6%	+3.8	55
1988-03-20	@ Napoli	L 0-3	1733	1971	5.6%	18.6%	75.9%	-3.8	18
1988-03-20	Empoli	W 1-0	1925	1744	70.9%	22.2%	6.8%	+1.9	46
1988-03-20	@ Roma	L 0-1	1744	1925	6.8%	22.2%	70.9%	-1.9	22
1988-03-20	Avellino	W 2-0	1878	1745	66.6%	25.3%	8.1%	+4.5	38
1988-03-20	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1745	1878	8.1%	25.3%	66.6%	-4.5	18
1988-03-27	AC Milan	D 0-0	1740	1920	32.6%	33.8%	33.6%	+0.0	19
1988-03-27	@ Avellino	D 0-0	1920	1740	33.6%	33.8%	32.6%	-0.0	48
1988-03-27	Juventus	D 0-0	1733	1842	41.7%	34.4%	23.8%	-0.9	27
1988-03-27	@ Cesena	D 0-0	1842	1733	23.8%	34.4%	41.7%	+0.9	33
1988-03-27	Como	D 1-1	1742	1729	55.1%	31.7%	13.2%	-2.1	23
1988-03-27	@ Empoli	D 1-1	1729	1742	13.2%	31.7%	55.1%	+2.1	19
1988-03-27	Roma	W 4-2	1845	1927	45.0%	34.2%	20.8%	+8.9	35
1988-03-27	@ Inter Milan	L 2-4	1927	1845	20.8%	34.2%	45.0%	-8.9	46
1988-03-27	Hellas Verona	W 3-0	1691	1817	39.6%	34.4%	25.9%	+19.5	29
1988-03-27	@ Pescara	L 0-3	1817	1691	25.9%	34.4%	39.6%	-19.5	30
1988-03-27	Ascoli	D 1-1	1728	1747	51.9%	32.8%	15.2%	-1.8	21
1988-03-27	@ Pisa	D 1-1	1747	1728	15.2%	32.8%	51.9%	+1.8	23
1988-03-27	Fiorentina	W 1-0	1883	1794	62.4%	28.0%	9.6%	+3.0	41
1988-03-27	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1794	1883	9.6%	28.0%	62.4%	-3.0	27
1988-03-27	Napoli	D 0-0	1829	1974	37.1%	34.3%	28.6%	-0.4	31
1988-03-27	@ Torino	D 0-0	1974	1829	28.6%	34.3%	37.1%	+0.4	56
1988-04-10	Empoli	W 1-0	1920	1740	70.8%	22.3%	6.9%	+1.9	51
1988-04-10	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1740	1920	6.9%	22.3%	70.8%	-1.9	23
1988-04-10	Juventus	D 1-1	1748	1843	43.5%	34.4%	22.1%	-1.0	24
1988-04-10	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1843	1748	22.1%	34.4%	43.5%	+1.0	34
1988-04-10	Avellino	D 0-0	1731	1740	52.9%	32.5%	14.6%	-2.2	20
1988-04-10	@ Como	D 0-0	1740	1731	14.6%	32.5%	52.9%	+2.1	20
1988-04-10	Pisa	D 0-0	1791	1726	60.1%	29.3%	10.6%	-2.9	28
1988-04-10	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1726	1791	10.6%	29.3%	60.1%	+2.9	22
1988-04-10	Cesena	L 0-1	1798	1732	60.3%	29.2%	10.5%	-13.3	30
1988-04-10	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1732	1798	10.5%	29.2%	60.3%	+13.3	30
1988-04-10	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1975	1854	65.4%	26.1%	8.5%	+2.5	59
1988-04-10	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1854	1975	8.5%	26.1%	65.4%	-2.5	35
1988-04-10	Sampdoria	L 0-2	1918	1886	57.0%	30.9%	12.1%	-24.1	46
1988-04-10	@ Roma	W 2-0	1886	1918	12.1%	30.9%	57.0%	+24.1	44
1988-04-10	Pescara	W 2-0	1828	1711	65.1%	26.3%	8.6%	+4.9	34
1988-04-10	@ Torino	L 0-2	1711	1828	8.6%	26.3%	65.1%	-4.9	29
1988-04-17	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1747	1910	35.0%	34.1%	30.9%	-0.2	25
1988-04-17	@ Ascoli	D 1-1	1910	1747	30.9%	34.1%	35.0%	+0.2	45
1988-04-17	Pescara	D 1-1	1742	1706	57.4%	30.7%	11.9%	-2.3	21
1988-04-17	@ Avellino	D 1-1	1706	1742	11.9%	30.7%	57.4%	+2.3	30
1988-04-17	Cesena	W 2-0	1729	1745	52.1%	32.8%	15.1%	+8.9	23
1988-04-17	@ Como	L 0-2	1745	1729	15.1%	32.8%	52.1%	-8.9	30
1988-04-17	Torino	D 0-0	1738	1833	43.4%	34.4%	22.2%	-1.1	24
1988-04-17	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1833	1738	22.2%	34.4%	43.4%	+1.1	35
1988-04-17	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1852	1788	60.0%	29.3%	10.6%	+9.1	38
1988-04-17	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1788	1852	10.6%	29.3%	60.0%	-9.1	28
1988-04-17	Napoli	W 3-1	1844	1977	38.6%	34.4%	26.9%	+11.9	37
1988-04-17	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1977	1844	26.9%	34.4%	38.6%	-11.9	59
1988-04-17	Hellas Verona	D 0-0	1729	1785	48.0%	33.8%	18.2%	-1.6	23
1988-04-17	@ Pisa	D 0-0	1785	1729	18.2%	33.8%	48.0%	+1.6	31
1988-04-17	AC Milan	L 0-2	1894	1922	50.9%	33.1%	15.9%	-22.0	46
1988-04-17	@ Roma	W 2-0	1922	1894	15.9%	33.1%	50.9%	+22.0	54
1988-04-24	Inter Milan	W 2-0	1944	1861	61.8%	28.3%	9.9%	+5.8	57
1988-04-24	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1861	1944	9.9%	28.3%	61.8%	-5.8	38
1988-04-24	Pisa	W 1-0	1740	1728	55.0%	31.7%	13.3%	+4.2	24
1988-04-24	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1728	1740	13.3%	31.7%	55.0%	-4.2	23
1988-04-24	Empoli	D 1-1	1736	1737	53.7%	32.2%	14.1%	-2.0	31
1988-04-24	@ Cesena	D 1-1	1737	1736	14.1%	32.2%	53.7%	+2.0	25
1988-04-24	Ascoli	W 1-0	1779	1747	56.9%	30.9%	12.2%	+3.8	31
1988-04-24	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1747	1779	12.2%	30.9%	56.9%	-3.8	25
1988-04-24	Napoli	D 1-1	1786	1966	32.7%	33.8%	33.5%	+0.0	32
1988-04-24	@ Hellas Verona	D 1-1	1966	1786	33.5%	33.8%	32.7%	-0.0	60
1988-04-24	Roma	D 0-0	1708	1872	34.8%	34.1%	31.1%	-0.2	31
1988-04-24	@ Pescara	D 0-0	1872	1708	31.1%	34.1%	34.8%	+0.2	47
1988-04-24	Juventus	D 2-2	1910	1856	59.1%	29.8%	11.1%	-1.9	46
1988-04-24	@ Sampdoria	D 2-2	1856	1910	11.1%	29.8%	59.1%	+1.9	38
1988-04-24	Como	D 1-1	1834	1738	63.1%	27.5%	9.4%	-2.8	36
1988-04-24	@ Torino	D 1-1	1738	1834	9.4%	27.5%	63.1%	+2.8	24
1988-05-01	Avellino	W 2-0	1743	1744	53.7%	32.2%	14.1%	+8.3	28
1988-05-01	@ Ascoli	L 0-2	1744	1743	14.1%	32.2%	53.7%	-8.3	24
1988-05-01	Pescara	W 2-1	1741	1708	57.0%	30.9%	12.1%	+3.6	27
1988-05-01	@ Como	L 1-2	1708	1741	12.1%	30.9%	57.0%	-3.6	31
1988-05-01	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1739	1786	48.8%	33.6%	17.6%	+5.4	28
1988-05-01	@ Empoli	L 0-1	1786	1739	17.6%	33.6%	48.8%	-5.4	32
1988-05-01	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1855	1908	48.2%	33.8%	18.0%	+8.9	41
1988-05-01	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1908	1855	18.0%	33.8%	48.2%	-8.9	46
1988-05-01	Torino	W 2-1	1857	1831	56.4%	31.1%	12.5%	+3.7	41
1988-05-01	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1831	1857	12.5%	31.1%	56.4%	-3.7	36
1988-05-01	AC Milan	L 2-3	1966	1949	55.4%	31.6%	13.0%	-11.2	60
1988-05-01	@ Napoli	W 3-2	1949	1966	13.0%	31.6%	55.4%	+11.2	60
1988-05-01	Cesena	W 1-0	1724	1734	52.7%	32.6%	14.7%	+4.6	26
1988-05-01	@ Pisa	L 0-1	1734	1724	14.7%	32.6%	52.7%	-4.6	31
1988-05-01	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1872	1783	62.5%	27.9%	9.6%	+2.8	50
1988-05-01	@ Roma	L 1-2	1783	1872	9.6%	27.9%	62.5%	-2.8	31
1988-05-08	Juventus	D 0-0	1961	1861	63.4%	27.4%	9.2%	-3.2	61
1988-05-08	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1861	1961	9.2%	27.4%	63.4%	+3.2	42
1988-05-08	Empoli	W 1-0	1736	1744	53.0%	32.5%	14.5%	+4.6	27
1988-05-08	@ Avellino	L 0-1	1744	1736	14.5%	32.5%	53.0%	-4.6	28
1988-05-08	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1729	1864	38.6%	34.4%	27.0%	-0.4	32
1988-05-08	@ Cesena	D 2-2	1864	1729	27.0%	34.4%	38.6%	+0.4	42
1988-05-08	Napoli	W 3-2	1780	1954	33.3%	33.9%	32.8%	+7.4	34
1988-05-08	@ Fiorentina	L 2-3	1954	1780	32.8%	33.9%	33.3%	-7.4	60
1988-05-08	Como	L 0-1	1781	1744	57.4%	30.7%	11.9%	-12.9	32
1988-05-08	@ Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1744	1781	11.9%	30.7%	57.4%	+12.8	30
1988-05-08	Ascoli	D 0-0	1705	1752	48.9%	33.6%	17.5%	-1.7	32
1988-05-08	@ Pescara	D 0-0	1752	1705	17.5%	33.6%	48.9%	+1.7	29
1988-05-08	Pisa	D 0-0	1899	1728	70.0%	22.9%	7.1%	-3.6	47
1988-05-08	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1728	1899	7.1%	22.9%	70.0%	+3.6	27
1988-05-08	Roma	W 2-0	1828	1875	48.8%	33.6%	17.5%	+10.1	39
1988-05-08	@ Torino	L 0-2	1875	1828	17.5%	33.6%	48.8%	-10.1	50
1988-05-15	Cesena	D 0-0	1753	1729	56.2%	31.2%	12.6%	-2.5	30
1988-05-15	@ Ascoli	D 0-0	1729	1753	12.6%	31.2%	56.2%	+2.5	33
1988-05-15	AC Milan	D 1-1	1757	1957	30.0%	33.3%	36.7%	+0.3	31
1988-05-15	@ Como	D 1-1	1957	1757	36.7%	33.3%	30.0%	-0.3	62
1988-05-15	Pescara	W 3-2	1739	1703	57.4%	30.7%	11.9%	+3.4	31
1988-05-15	@ Empoli	L 2-3	1703	1739	11.9%	30.7%	57.4%	-3.4	32
1988-05-15	Avellino	D 1-1	1864	1740	65.7%	25.9%	8.4%	-3.0	43
1988-05-15	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1740	1864	8.4%	25.9%	65.7%	+3.0	28
1988-05-15	Fiorentina	L 1-2	1864	1787	61.3%	28.6%	10.1%	-12.7	42
1988-05-15	@ Juventus	W 2-1	1787	1864	10.1%	28.6%	61.3%	+12.7	37
1988-05-15	Sampdoria	L 1-2	1947	1895	58.9%	29.9%	11.2%	-12.3	60
1988-05-15	@ Napoli	W 2-1	1895	1947	11.2%	29.9%	58.9%	+12.3	50
1988-05-15	Torino	W 2-0	1732	1838	42.1%	34.4%	23.4%	+12.5	30
1988-05-15	@ Pisa	L 0-2	1838	1732	23.4%	34.4%	42.1%	-12.5	39
1988-05-15	Hellas Verona	W 1-0	1865	1768	63.1%	27.5%	9.3%	+2.9	53
1988-05-15	@ Roma	L 0-1	1768	1865	9.3%	27.5%	63.1%	-2.8	32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1987-11-22	6.36%	Cesena	1695	2	@ Juventus	1896	0
2	1987-09-13	6.58%	Pescara	1667	2	@ Inter Milan	1859	0
3	1988-03-06	9.98%	Roma	1904	2	@ Napoli	1984	1
4	1988-05-15	10.09%	Fiorentina	1787	2	@ Juventus	1864	1
5	1987-12-13	10.43%	Empoli	1730	1	@ Torino	1799	0
6	1988-02-14	10.53%	Torino	1799	1	@ Inter Milan	1865	0
7	1988-04-10	10.53%	Cesena	1732	1	@ Hellas Verona	1798	0
8	1987-09-20	10.84%	Fiorentina	1806	2	@ AC Milan	1866	0
9	1988-05-15	11.19%	Sampdoria	1895	2	@ Napoli	1947	1
10	1988-02-14	11.46%	Pescara	1690	1	@ Cesena	1736	0
11	1988-03-20	11.88%	Torino	1804	2	@ Hellas Verona	1842	0
12	1988-05-08	11.91%	Como	1744	1	@ Hellas Verona	1781	0
13	1988-04-10	12.13%	Sampdoria	1886	2	@ Roma	1918	0
14	1987-12-13	12.80%	Roma	1863	2	@ AC Milan	1883	0
15	1987-10-25	12.92%	Pisa	1723	1	@ Empoli	1741	0
16	1988-05-01	13.03%	AC Milan	1949	3	@ Napoli	1966	2
17	1987-10-25	13.47%	AC Milan	1850	1	@ Hellas Verona	1859	0
18	1987-12-20	14.63%	AC Milan	1859	1	@ Inter Milan	1850	0
19	1987-12-13	15.11%	Inter Milan	1839	2	@ Fiorentina	1822	1
20	1988-01-10	15.22%	AC Milan	1885	1	@ Juventus	1867	0
21	1988-04-17	15.94%	AC Milan	1922	2	@ Roma	1894	0
22	1988-01-17	16.14%	Napoli	1944	1	@ Sampdoria	1914	0
23	1987-09-20	16.47%	Inter Milan	1831	2	@ Como	1796	1
24	1988-01-17	17.10%	Roma	1882	1	@ Hellas Verona	1840	0
25	1987-09-27	17.21%	Roma	1851	3	@ Avellino	1807	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1987-11-22	28.12	Cesena	2	1695	6.36%	@ Juventus	0	1896	72.71%
2	1987-09-13	27.96	Pescara	2	1667	6.58%	@ Inter Milan	0	1859	71.86%
3	1987-09-20	24.91	Fiorentina	2	1806	10.84%	@ AC Milan	0	1866	59.60%
4	1988-03-20	24.24	Torino	2	1804	11.88%	@ Hellas Verona	0	1842	57.49%
5	1988-04-10	24.09	Sampdoria	2	1886	12.13%	@ Roma	0	1918	57.02%
6	1987-12-13	23.69	Roma	2	1863	12.80%	@ AC Milan	0	1883	55.80%
7	1988-04-17	21.98	AC Milan	2	1922	15.94%	@ Roma	0	1894	50.95%
8	1988-03-27	19.47	@ Pescara	3	1691	39.63%	Hellas Verona	0	1817	25.93%
9	1987-09-13	17.13	AC Milan	3	1849	20.90%	@ Pisa	1	1766	44.85%
10	1987-09-27	16.69	Napoli	2	1897	29.68%	@ Pisa	0	1743	36.09%
11	1988-01-17	16.52	Inter Milan	3	1846	22.72%	@ Avellino	1	1746	42.89%
12	1988-02-07	16.41	@ Pescara	2	1674	30.90%	Juventus	0	1867	35.60%
13	1987-11-08	15.76	AC Milan	2	1859	32.72%	@ Pescara	0	1685	33.36%
14	1988-03-13	15.39	@ Cesena	2	1723	33.85%	Sampdoria	0	1894	32.16%
15	1987-12-13	15.14	@ Cesena	3	1730	47.92%	Como	0	1786	18.27%
16	1987-09-20	14.66	@ Torino	4	1797	43.64%	Sampdoria	1	1890	22.01%
17	1987-09-27	14.63	@ Ascoli	3	1765	48.89%	Torino	0	1812	17.49%
18	1987-12-20	14.60	@ Ascoli	3	1765	48.94%	Fiorentina	0	1811	17.45%
19	1988-01-03	13.88	@ AC Milan	4	1871	45.43%	Napoli	1	1949	20.39%
20	1987-12-13	13.36	Empoli	1	1730	10.43%	@ Torino	0	1799	60.50%
21	1988-02-14	13.32	Torino	1	1799	10.53%	@ Inter Milan	0	1865	60.29%
22	1988-04-10	13.32	Cesena	1	1732	10.53%	@ Hellas Verona	0	1798	60.28%
23	1988-01-31	13.15	Napoli	3	1958	34.69%	@ Ascoli	1	1771	31.66%
24	1988-02-14	13.00	Pescara	1	1690	11.46%	@ Cesena	0	1736	58.31%
25	1988-05-08	12.85	Como	1	1744	11.91%	@ Hellas Verona	0	1781	57.44%