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2002-03 Serie A Season

306 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

72 points · 27th Title

Last Title: 2001-02

Relegated

Torino

21 pts

Como · 24 pts

Piacenza · 30 pts

Atalanta · 38 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Udinese

14.25 points above expected

56 points · 41.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Torino

13.30 points below expected

21 points · 34.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 34 21 9 4 72 64 29 +35 68.67 +3.33
2 Inter Milan 34 19 8 7 65 64 38 +26 60.39 +4.61
3 AC Milan 34 18 7 9 61 55 30 +25 61.00 +0.00
4 Lazio Roma 34 15 15 4 60 57 32 +25 55.69 +4.31
5 Parma 34 15 11 8 56 55 36 +19 51.71 +4.29
6 Udinese 34 16 8 10 56 38 35 +3 41.75 +14.25
7 Chievo Verona 34 16 7 11 55 51 39 +12 47.51 +7.49
8 Roma 34 13 10 11 49 55 46 +9 59.24 -10.24
9 Brescia 34 9 15 10 42 36 38 -2 41.59 +0.41
10 Perugia 34 10 12 12 42 40 48 -8 43.16 -1.16
11 Bologna 34 10 11 13 41 39 47 -8 42.72 -1.72
12 Modena 34 9 11 14 38 30 48 -18 37.56 +0.44
13 Empoli 34 9 11 14 38 36 46 -10 41.09 -3.09
14 Atalanta Relegated 34 8 14 12 38 35 47 -12 40.32 -2.32
15 Reggina 34 10 8 16 38 38 53 -15 35.10 +2.90
16 Piacenza Relegated 34 8 6 20 30 44 62 -18 38.75 -8.75
17 Como Relegated 34 4 12 18 24 29 57 -28 32.38 -8.38
18 Torino Relegated 34 4 9 21 21 23 58 -35 34.30 -13.30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Udinese 56 41.75 +14.25
2 Chievo Verona 55 47.51 +7.49
3 Inter Milan 65 60.39 +4.61
4 Lazio Roma 60 55.69 +4.31
5 Parma 56 51.71 +4.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Torino 21 34.30 -13.30
2 Roma 49 59.24 -10.24
3 Piacenza 30 38.75 -8.75
4 Como 24 32.38 -8.38
5 Empoli 38 41.09 -3.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Reggina 3 Jan 18 – Feb 2 1 in 123
2 Udinese 4 May 3 – May 24 1 in 61
3 Chievo Verona 4 Oct 26 – Nov 10 1 in 49
4 Modena 3 Nov 6 – Nov 17 1 in 30
5 Juventus 6 Feb 8 – Mar 15 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Roma 3 Jan 12 – Jan 25 1 in 143
2 Juventus 2 Dec 8 – Dec 15 1 in 34
3 Bologna 3 Feb 1 – Feb 16 1 in 31
4 Atalanta 4 Sep 29 – Oct 27 1 in 31
5 AC Milan 2 Apr 19 – Apr 26 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brescia 16 Dec 8 – Apr 13 1 in 2,171
2 Atalanta 11 Dec 22 – Mar 9 1 in 1,237
3 Lazio Roma 16 Sep 22 – Jan 19 1 in 161
4 Udinese 8 Nov 9 – Jan 12 1 in 44
5 Bologna 7 Nov 10 – Dec 22 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lazio Roma 7 Jan 26 – Mar 8 1 in 154
2 Como 17 Sep 14 – Jan 19 1 in 121
3 Torino 15 Nov 10 – Mar 2 1 in 53
4 Modena 11 Nov 24 – Feb 16 1 in 45
5 Bologna 7 Dec 22 – Feb 16 1 in 33

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Juventus 2139 72 -10 8 10.5 -2.5
Inter Milan 2056 65 +4 7 9.4 -2.4
AC Milan 2034 61 -23 6 9.1 -3.1
Lazio Roma 2050 60 +12 8 7.4 +0.6
Udinese 1941 56 +39 13 6.8 +6.2
Parma 2027 56 +4 8 8.5 -0.5
Chievo Verona 1956 55 +14 8 6.8 +1.2
Roma 2009 49 +4 10 9.0 +1.0
Brescia 1926 42 +0 5 5.5 -0.5
Perugia 1869 42 -38 3 5.4 -2.4
Bologna 1857 41 -26 4 5.6 -1.6
Atalanta 1873 38 +18 9 6.3 +2.7
Reggina 1868 38 +29 8 4.5 +3.5
Empoli 1857 38 -14 4 6.9 -2.9
Modena 1837 38 -14 3 5.3 -2.3
Piacenza 1857 30 +29 7 5.3 +1.7
Como 1795 24 -13 4 5.7 -1.7
Torino 1759 21 -14 2 4.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BOL BRE CV COM EMP IM JUV LR MOD PAR PER PIA REG ROM TOR UDI
AC Milan —
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.73
0-1-1
3.50
2-0-0
4.31
0-1-1
3.92
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.15
0-2-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
4.14
1-1-0
4.10
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-1
3.88
Atalanta
0-1-1
1.63
 —
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.15
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
2.41
0-1-1
1.43
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
2.78
0-2-0
2.94
2-0-0
1.54
0-2-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.67
Bologna
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
2.98
 —
1-1-0
2.78
0-2-0
2.45
1-0-1
3.48
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
1.87
0-2-0
1.31
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
2.21
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-2
3.37
1-0-1
1.88
0-1-1
3.46
1-1-0
2.94
Brescia
1-1-0
1.73
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.62
 —
1-1-0
2.35
0-2-0
3.29
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
1.23
0-1-1
1.75
0-2-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
1.87
2-0-0
3.15
0-2-0
2.74
Chievo Verona
1-1-0
1.92
1-0-1
3.27
0-2-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.04
 —
2-0-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.84
1-1-0
2.30
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
3.26
1-1-0
3.60
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.48
1-0-1
3.08
Como
0-0-2
1.24
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
1.94
0-2-0
2.10
0-0-2
1.64
 —
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.34
0-1-1
1.04
0-0-2
1.49
0-2-0
2.33
0-1-1
1.79
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.28
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.10
Empoli
1-1-0
1.57
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.15
1-1-0
2.91
 —
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
2.49
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
1.67
0-2-0
3.43
0-1-1
2.63
Inter Milan
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
3.88
 —
0-1-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.80
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
4.00
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.96
0-2-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.97
0-0-2
3.91
Juventus
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
4.15
0-2-0
4.21
1-0-1
4.32
2-0-0
3.63
1-1-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.15
1-1-0
3.09
 —
0-1-1
3.33
2-0-0
4.34
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
4.57
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
4.19
Lazio Roma
0-2-0
2.45
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.69
0-1-1
3.09
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.58
0-2-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.06
 —
1-1-0
3.82
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.96
0-2-0
2.46
1-1-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.62
Modena
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.01
0-2-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
1.63
 —
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
2.90
1-1-0
1.53
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.36
Parma
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
3.24
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.63
2-0-0
3.51
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.73
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
3.35
 —
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.92
1-0-1
2.23
2-0-0
3.88
1-1-0
3.10
Perugia
1-0-1
1.77
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
1.49
0-1-1
1.33
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.26
 —
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
1.82
1-0-1
3.23
0-1-1
2.48
Piacenza
1-0-1
1.38
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
3.12
0-0-2
2.72
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
1.78
1-1-0
2.33
 —
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
1.58
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.66
Reggina
0-1-1
1.40
0-2-0
2.44
2-0-0
2.02
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.83
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
1.03
1-0-1
1.54
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
1.55
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.41
 —
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.31
Roma
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
3.94
1-0-1
3.53
1-1-0
3.55
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
4.25
2-0-0
3.78
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.01
0-2-0
2.91
0-1-1
3.95
1-0-1
3.14
0-1-1
3.65
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.03
 —
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
3.58
Torino
0-0-2
1.43
0-2-0
2.31
1-1-0
1.98
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.68
0-2-0
1.99
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.06
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
1.26
 —
0-1-1
1.93
Udinese
1-0-1
1.59
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.30
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
1.57
0-0-2
1.33
1-0-1
1.82
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
1.89
1-1-0
3.49
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +10.2
Allowed 0.84 -13.3
Differential 0.95 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.15%8.01%5.72%3.43%0.98%0.33%27.61%
18.01%13.40%8.82%2.94%1.47%0.33%34.97%
25.72%8.82%6.21%1.96%0.49%—23.20%
33.43%2.94%1.96%1.31%0.49%—10.13%
40.98%1.47%0.49%0.49%——3.43%
5+0.33%0.33%————0.65%
Total27.61%34.97%23.20%10.13%3.43%0.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.12 1.62
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 306

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%14.71%————23.53%
111.76%5.88%5.88%———23.53%
28.82%14.71%2.94%2.94%2.94%—32.35%
38.82%2.94%—2.94%——14.71%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total41.18%41.18%8.82%5.88%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.88 +0.74
SD 1.35 1.01 1.66
CV 0.83 1.14 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%11.76%5.88%5.88%——35.29%
12.94%17.65%2.94%2.94%5.88%—32.35%
28.82%8.82%8.82%———26.47%
3——2.94%2.94%——5.88%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.53%38.24%20.59%11.76%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.38 -0.35
SD 0.94 1.16 1.41
CV 0.91 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%2.94%11.76%———26.47%
18.82%11.76%5.88%8.82%—2.94%38.24%
22.94%11.76%8.82%5.88%——29.41%
35.88%—————5.88%
4———————
5+———————
Total29.41%26.47%26.47%14.71%—2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.38 -0.24
SD 0.89 1.23 1.52
CV 0.78 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.47%2.94%5.88%2.94%2.94%—41.18%
15.88%11.76%5.88%2.94%——26.47%
25.88%5.88%5.88%2.94%——20.59%
32.94%2.94%——2.94%—8.82%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+———————
Total41.18%26.47%17.65%8.82%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.12 -0.06
SD 1.13 1.23 1.52
CV 1.06 1.10 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%11.76%——2.94%—26.47%
18.82%8.82%11.76%—2.94%—32.35%
25.88%5.88%————11.76%
38.82%2.94%8.82%—2.94%—23.53%
4—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
5+———————
Total35.29%32.35%23.53%—8.82%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.15 +0.35
SD 1.29 1.18 1.65
CV 0.86 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%17.65%5.88%2.94%—38.24%
15.88%23.53%8.82%5.88%2.94%—47.06%
22.94%—2.94%2.94%2.94%—11.76%
3———————
4———————
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total17.65%29.41%29.41%14.71%8.82%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.68 -0.82
SD 0.99 1.20 1.59
CV 1.16 0.72 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%8.82%11.76%2.94%——35.29%
15.88%17.65%5.88%5.88%2.94%—38.24%
25.88%5.88%2.94%———14.71%
3—5.88%——2.94%—8.82%
4——2.94%———2.94%
5+———————
Total23.53%38.24%23.53%8.82%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.35 -0.29
SD 1.07 1.12 1.45
CV 1.01 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.88%—2.94%——8.82%
18.82%11.76%8.82%—2.94%—32.35%
214.71%11.76%5.88%———32.35%
35.88%2.94%—5.88%——14.71%
45.88%2.94%—2.94%——11.76%
5+———————
Total35.29%35.29%14.71%11.76%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.12 +0.76
SD 1.15 1.12 1.69
CV 0.61 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%—2.94%———5.88%
117.65%11.76%8.82%———38.24%
28.82%11.76%11.76%———32.35%
38.82%2.94%————11.76%
42.94%2.94%—2.94%——8.82%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total44.12%29.41%23.53%2.94%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.85 +1.03
SD 1.17 0.89 1.51
CV 0.62 1.05 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.71%2.94%————17.65%
15.88%17.65%5.88%———29.41%
22.94%11.76%8.82%2.94%——26.47%
38.82%5.88%2.94%2.94%——20.59%
42.94%2.94%————5.88%
5+———————
Total35.29%41.18%17.65%5.88%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.94 +0.74
SD 1.17 0.89 1.31
CV 0.70 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%8.82%14.71%8.82%2.94%—44.12%
18.82%17.65%5.88%———32.35%
2—11.76%2.94%———14.71%
3—2.94%2.94%2.94%——8.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.65%41.18%26.47%11.76%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.41 -0.53
SD 0.98 1.02 1.46
CV 1.11 0.72 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%————11.76%
15.88%14.71%20.59%———41.18%
211.76%8.82%8.82%———29.41%
32.94%—5.88%———8.82%
45.88%——2.94%——8.82%
5+———————
Total35.29%26.47%35.29%2.94%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.06 +0.56
SD 1.10 0.92 1.37
CV 0.68 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%2.94%8.82%——23.53%
111.76%11.76%8.82%8.82%—2.94%44.12%
28.82%2.94%14.71%———26.47%
32.94%—————2.94%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+———————
Total32.35%20.59%26.47%17.65%—2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.41 -0.24
SD 0.94 1.28 1.71
CV 0.80 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%11.76%5.88%5.88%——26.47%
12.94%8.82%11.76%11.76%5.88%—41.18%
25.88%2.94%2.94%5.88%——17.65%
3—5.88%—2.94%——8.82%
4——2.94%———2.94%
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total11.76%32.35%23.53%26.47%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.82 -0.53
SD 1.22 1.14 1.73
CV 0.94 0.63 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.82%8.82%8.82%—2.94%35.29%
18.82%11.76%11.76%———32.35%
22.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%—20.59%
3—5.88%2.94%———8.82%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+———————
Total17.65%35.29%29.41%11.76%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.56 -0.44
SD 1.09 1.19 1.71
CV 0.98 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.82%2.94%2.94%——20.59%
12.94%8.82%17.65%———29.41%
2—8.82%11.76%———20.59%
35.88%11.76%5.88%2.94%——26.47%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+———————
Total14.71%41.18%38.24%5.88%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.35 +0.26
SD 1.18 0.81 1.44
CV 0.73 0.60 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%23.53%8.82%2.94%5.88%2.94%47.06%
15.88%17.65%8.82%5.88%——38.24%
2—5.88%5.88%2.94%——14.71%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total8.82%47.06%23.53%11.76%5.88%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.71 -1.03
SD 0.73 1.27 1.53
CV 1.07 0.74 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%11.76%2.94%2.94%——29.41%
114.71%11.76%2.94%—2.94%—32.35%
25.88%23.53%—5.88%——35.29%
3——2.94%———2.94%
4———————
5+———————
Total32.35%47.06%8.82%8.82%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.03 +0.09
SD 0.88 1.03 1.24
CV 0.79 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 2139 72 68.67 +3.33 71.0% 54 57 64 68 74 80 85
Inter Milan 2056 65 60.39 +4.61 78.0% 45 50 56 59 64 72 77
Lazio Roma 2050 60 55.69 +4.31 74.0% 28 42 51 56 61 67 75
AC Milan 2034 61 61.00 +0.00 53.0% 41 49 55 60 66 74 77
Parma 2027 56 51.71 +4.29 75.0% 34 40 47 52 56 62 66
Roma 2009 49 59.24 -10.24 10.0% 40 47 54 59 64 71 77
Chievo Verona 1956 55 47.51 +7.49 92.0% 35 36 43 48 51 57 65
Udinese 1941 56 41.75 +14.25 97.0% 26 30 36 42 46 54 59
Brescia 1926 42 41.59 +0.41 62.0% 24 29 38 42 46 54 59
Atalanta 1873 38 40.32 -2.32 44.0% 22 29 36 40 44 52 59
Perugia 1869 42 43.16 -1.16 47.0% 22 32 39 43 49 54 59
Reggina 1868 38 35.10 +2.90 70.0% 19 25 30 35 39 44 56
Empoli 1857 38 41.09 -3.09 43.0% 23 30 36 40 47 54 61
Piacenza 1857 30 38.75 -8.75 9.0% 24 29 34 38 43 50 56
Bologna 1857 41 42.72 -1.72 38.0% 26 30 39 43 47 53 58
Modena 1837 38 37.56 +0.44 55.0% 20 24 32 38 42 49 56
Como 1795 24 32.38 -8.38 12.0% 21 22 29 32 36 44 50
Torino 1759 21 34.30 -13.30 2.0% 21 25 29 34 38 46 53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 27.5% * Clear Edge: 27.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.53%
Slight Edge
46.73%30.07%23.20%
Elo Value
Home Edge
205 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
083.31600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Juventus, 1st of 18
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.54 * Some Luck: 5.54 to 8.3 * Lucky: 8.3 to 11.07 * Wild Swing: 11.07 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.96 * Close: 1.96 to 2.94 * Off: 2.94 to 3.93 * Way Off: 3.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.57 * A Surprise: 1.57 to 2.51 * Several Surprises: 2.51 to 3.45 * Many Surprises: 3.45 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.59 points
Some Luck
06.9217
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.56
Pinpoint
02.455
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.22%
97.00%
Udinese
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.78%
2.00%
Torino
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 18
Minimal Outliers
01.89
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 4
A Surprise
01.64

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64% * Slight Edge: 64% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90.5% * Strong Edge: 90.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 62.5% * Some Drama: 62.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 71% * Very Frequent: 71% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11% * Occasional: 11% to 13.5% * Frequent: 13.5% to 16.5% * Very Frequent: 16.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 103.95
1.91
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Wide Edge
50%64%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Clear Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 19.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 19.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Strong Carryover
00.560.731
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.37
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.054
Well Within Noise
00.0980.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718
Juventus59.00%21.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%————————————
Inter Milan12.00%20.00%17.00%23.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%——2.00%————————
AC Milan16.00%24.00%20.00%14.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%—2.00%———————
Lazio Roma3.00%11.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%—1.00%3.00%———1.00%—
Parma—3.00%8.00%14.00%17.00%16.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%—
Udinese——1.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%
Chievo Verona—4.00%1.00%1.00%8.00%17.00%19.00%10.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%———
Roma10.00%16.00%20.00%19.00%15.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%———1.00%1.00%1.00%————
Brescia————4.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%20.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%
Perugia—1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%12.00%16.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%
Bologna————4.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%
Modena———1.00%—3.00%—11.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%
Empoli——1.00%—3.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%10.00%1.00%9.00%14.00%15.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%
Atalanta———2.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%
Reggina—————1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%13.00%8.00%12.00%17.00%13.00%16.00%
Piacenza———1.00%——4.00%3.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%
Como————1.00%——1.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%10.00%21.00%25.00%23.00%
Torino————1.00%—3.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%21.00%20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AC Milan 100% —
Inter Milan 100% —
Juventus 100% —
Roma 100% —
Lazio Roma 99.00% 1.00%
Chievo Verona 98.00% 2.00%
Parma 98.00% 2.00%
Bologna 84.00% 16.00%
Perugia 82.00% 18.00%
Brescia 81.00% 19.00%
Empoli 80.00% 20.00%
Udinese 80.00% 20.00%
Atalanta 77.00% 23.00%
Piacenza 64.00% 36.00%
Modena 58.00% 42.00%
Reggina 42.00% 58.00%
Torino 36.00% 64.00%
Como 21.00% 79.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-09-14 AC Milan L 0-356.0 1892 1974 34.23% 31.89% 33.88%+0.01 -22.3 0
2002-09-14 @ Modena W 3-056.0 1974 1892 33.88% 31.89% 34.23%-0.01 +22.3 3
2002-09-14 Empoli L 0-260.9 1870 1861 46.79% 30.33% 22.88%+0.45 -19.3 0
2002-09-14 @ Como W 2-060.9 1861 1870 22.88% 30.33% 46.79%-0.45 +19.3 3
2002-09-14 Roma W 2-170.1 1908 2063 24.99% 30.93% 44.08%-0.35 +9.2 3
2002-09-14 @ Bologna L 1-270.1 2063 1908 44.08% 30.93% 24.99%+0.35 -9.2 0
2002-09-14 Torino W 1-054.1 2005 1903 58.21% 26.17% 15.62%+0.90 +4.2 3
2002-09-14 @ Inter Milan L 0-154.1 1903 2005 15.62% 26.17% 58.21%-0.90 -4.2 0
2002-09-15 Atalanta W 3-046.5 2071 1901 65.68% 22.27% 12.05%+1.24 +8.4 3
2002-09-15 @ Juventus L 0-346.5 1901 2071 12.05% 22.27% 65.68%-1.24 -8.4 0
2002-09-15 Chievo Verona L 2-376.9 1965 1920 51.38% 28.96% 19.66%+0.63 -9.8 0
2002-09-15 @ Lazio Roma W 3-276.9 1920 1965 19.66% 28.96% 51.38%-0.63 +9.8 3
2002-09-15 Parma D 1-171.0 1870 1924 38.21% 31.73% 30.06%+0.14 -0.3 1
2002-09-15 @ Udinese D 1-171.0 1924 1870 30.06% 31.73% 38.21%-0.14 +0.3 1
2002-09-15 Piacenza L 1-269.7 1903 1927 42.44% 31.22% 26.34%+0.29 -9.0 0
2002-09-15 @ Brescia W 2-169.7 1927 1903 26.34% 31.22% 42.44%-0.29 +9.0 3
2002-09-15 Reggina W 2-053.0 1891 1862 49.39% 29.61% 21.00%+0.55 +10.5 3
2002-09-15 @ Perugia L 0-253.0 1862 1891 21.00% 29.61% 49.39%-0.55 -10.5 0
2002-09-21 Juventus L 0-252.9 1880 2079 20.70% 29.47% 49.82%-0.57 -10.4 3
2002-09-21 @ Empoli W 2-052.9 2079 1880 49.82% 29.47% 20.70%+0.57 +10.4 6
2002-09-21 Perugia W 3-049.0 1996 1902 57.30% 26.59% 16.11%+0.87 +11.8 6
2002-09-21 @ AC Milan L 0-349.0 1902 1996 16.11% 26.59% 57.30%-0.87 -11.8 3
2002-09-22 Bologna D 2-277.2 1893 1918 42.26% 31.25% 26.48%+0.28 -0.5 1
2002-09-22 @ Atalanta D 2-277.2 1918 1893 26.48% 31.25% 42.26%-0.28 +0.5 4
2002-09-22 Brescia L 1-271.4 1930 1894 50.24% 29.34% 20.42%+0.58 -10.2 3
2002-09-22 @ Chievo Verona W 2-171.4 1894 1930 20.42% 29.34% 50.24%-0.58 +10.2 3
2002-09-22 Como W 2-051.3 1925 1851 54.90% 27.63% 17.47%+0.77 +8.8 4
2002-09-22 @ Parma L 0-251.3 1851 1925 17.47% 27.63% 54.90%-0.77 -8.8 0
2002-09-22 Inter Milan L 1-264.3 1852 2009 24.78% 30.88% 44.34%-0.36 -6.1 0
2002-09-22 @ Reggina W 2-164.3 2009 1852 44.34% 30.88% 24.78%+0.36 +6.1 6
2002-09-22 Lazio Roma L 0-162.4 1898 1955 37.83% 31.76% 30.41%+0.13 -8.8 0
2002-09-22 @ Torino W 1-062.4 1955 1898 30.41% 31.76% 37.83%-0.13 +8.8 3
2002-09-22 Modena L 1-274.2 2054 1869 67.21% 21.39% 11.40%+1.31 -12.6 0
2002-09-22 @ Roma W 2-174.2 1869 2054 11.40% 21.39% 67.21%-1.31 +12.6 3
2002-09-22 Udinese W 2-051.6 1936 1870 53.95% 28.01% 18.04%+0.73 +9.1 6
2002-09-22 @ Piacenza L 0-251.6 1870 1936 18.04% 28.01% 53.95%-0.73 -9.1 1
2002-09-28 AC Milan D 1-171.1 1964 2008 39.63% 31.60% 28.77%+0.19 -0.5 4
2002-09-28 @ Lazio Roma D 1-171.1 2008 1964 28.77% 31.60% 39.63%-0.19 +0.5 7
2002-09-28 Parma D 2-279.7 2090 1933 64.25% 23.07% 12.68%+1.17 -1.9 7
2002-09-28 @ Juventus D 2-279.7 1933 2090 12.68% 23.07% 64.25%-1.17 +1.9 5
2002-09-29 Atalanta W 1-059.1 1861 1892 41.35% 31.39% 27.26%+0.25 +6.9 4
2002-09-29 @ Udinese L 0-159.1 1892 1861 27.26% 31.39% 41.35%-0.25 -6.9 1
2002-09-29 Chievo Verona W 2-160.4 2015 1920 57.40% 26.54% 16.06%+0.87 +4.0 9
2002-09-29 @ Inter Milan L 1-260.4 1920 2015 16.06% 26.54% 57.40%-0.87 -4.0 3
2002-09-29 Empoli L 1-367.4 1890 1870 48.26% 29.94% 21.80%+0.51 -17.1 3
2002-09-29 @ Perugia W 3-167.4 1870 1890 21.80% 29.94% 48.26%-0.51 +17.1 6
2002-09-29 Piacenza W 1-058.9 1918 1945 42.03% 31.29% 26.68%+0.28 +6.8 7
2002-09-29 @ Bologna L 0-158.9 1945 1918 26.68% 31.29% 42.03%-0.28 -6.8 6
2002-09-29 Reggina D 1-171.2 1842 1846 45.09% 30.73% 24.18%+0.39 -1.0 1
2002-09-29 @ Como D 1-171.2 1846 1842 24.18% 30.73% 45.09%-0.39 +0.9 1
2002-09-29 Roma L 2-370.3 1904 2042 26.99% 31.34% 41.67%-0.26 -6.2 3
2002-09-29 @ Brescia W 3-270.3 2042 1904 41.67% 31.34% 26.99%+0.26 +6.2 3
2002-09-29 Torino W 2-164.2 1882 1890 44.61% 30.83% 24.57%+0.37 +6.0 6
2002-09-29 @ Modena L 1-264.2 1890 1882 24.57% 30.83% 44.61%-0.37 -6.0 0
2002-10-05 Brescia D 2-277.1 1847 1898 38.59% 31.70% 29.71%+0.16 -0.3 2
2002-10-05 @ Reggina D 2-277.1 1898 1847 29.71% 31.70% 38.59%-0.16 +0.3 4
2002-10-05 Udinese W 4-151.3 2048 1867 66.75% 21.65% 11.60%+1.29 +6.7 6
2002-10-05 @ Roma L 1-451.3 1867 2048 11.60% 21.65% 66.75%-1.29 -6.8 4
2002-10-06 Bologna D 0-066.1 1887 1925 40.48% 31.50% 28.02%+0.22 -0.6 7
2002-10-06 @ Empoli D 0-066.1 1925 1887 28.02% 31.50% 40.48%-0.22 +0.6 8
2002-10-06 Como D 1-175.2 2088 1841 73.32% 17.70% 8.98%+1.61 -3.1 8
2002-10-06 @ Juventus D 1-175.2 1841 2088 8.98% 17.70% 73.32%-1.61 +3.1 2
2002-10-06 Inter Milan L 1-461.2 1938 2019 34.39% 31.89% 33.72%+0.01 -18.9 6
2002-10-06 @ Piacenza W 4-161.2 2019 1938 33.72% 31.89% 34.39%-0.01 +18.9 12
2002-10-06 Lazio Roma L 0-161.5 1885 1964 34.77% 31.89% 33.35%+0.02 -8.2 1
2002-10-06 @ Atalanta W 1-061.5 1964 1885 33.35% 31.89% 34.77%-0.02 +8.2 7
2002-10-06 Modena W 2-053.0 1916 1888 49.19% 29.67% 21.14%+0.54 +10.6 6
2002-10-06 @ Chievo Verona L 0-253.0 1888 1916 21.14% 29.67% 49.19%-0.54 -10.6 6
2002-10-06 Perugia D 2-278.2 1935 1873 53.48% 28.20% 18.32%+0.71 -1.2 6
2002-10-06 @ Parma D 2-278.2 1873 1935 18.32% 28.20% 53.48%-0.71 +1.2 4
2002-10-06 Torino W 6-050.1 2009 1884 60.79% 24.91% 14.31%+1.02 +19.7 10
2002-10-06 @ AC Milan L 0-650.1 1884 2009 14.31% 24.91% 60.79%-1.02 -19.7 0
2002-10-19 Juventus D 1-171.0 2038 2085 39.21% 31.64% 29.15%+0.18 -0.4 13
2002-10-19 @ Inter Milan D 1-171.0 2085 2038 29.15% 31.64% 39.21%-0.18 +0.4 9
2002-10-19 Roma L 1-360.2 1886 2054 23.63% 30.57% 45.80%-0.41 -10.1 7
2002-10-19 @ Empoli W 3-160.2 2054 1886 45.80% 30.57% 23.63%+0.41 +10.1 9
2002-10-20 AC Milan L 1-458.3 1877 2028 25.40% 31.03% 43.57%-0.33 -15.2 1
2002-10-20 @ Atalanta W 4-158.3 2028 1877 43.57% 31.03% 25.40%+0.33 +15.2 13
2002-10-20 Brescia W 3-051.4 1926 1898 49.13% 29.69% 21.18%+0.54 +15.4 11
2002-10-20 @ Bologna L 0-351.4 1898 1926 21.18% 29.69% 49.13%-0.54 -15.4 4
2002-10-20 Chievo Verona W 1-060.4 1864 1926 37.04% 31.81% 31.15%+0.10 +7.6 3
2002-10-20 @ Torino L 0-160.4 1926 1864 31.15% 31.81% 37.04%-0.10 -7.6 6
2002-10-20 Parma W 2-166.2 1878 1934 37.88% 31.75% 30.36%+0.13 +7.1 9
2002-10-20 @ Modena L 1-266.2 1934 1878 30.36% 31.75% 37.88%-0.13 -7.1 6
2002-10-20 Perugia W 3-048.9 1972 1874 57.67% 26.42% 15.91%+0.88 +11.6 10
2002-10-20 @ Lazio Roma L 0-348.9 1874 1972 15.91% 26.42% 57.67%-0.88 -11.6 4
2002-10-20 Piacenza D 1-170.9 1844 1919 35.23% 31.88% 32.89%+0.04 -0.1 3
2002-10-20 @ Como D 1-170.9 1919 1844 32.89% 31.88% 35.23%-0.04 +0.1 7
2002-10-20 Reggina W 1-057.2 1861 1846 47.49% 30.15% 22.36%+0.48 +5.9 7
2002-10-20 @ Udinese L 0-157.2 1846 1861 22.36% 30.15% 47.49%-0.48 -5.9 2
2002-10-26 AC Milan W 3-274.2 1919 2043 28.50% 31.57% 39.93%-0.20 +8.1 9
2002-10-26 @ Chievo Verona L 2-374.2 2043 1919 39.93% 31.57% 28.50%+0.20 -8.1 13
2002-10-26 Udinese W 1-050.4 2085 1867 70.62% 19.36% 10.02%+1.47 +2.4 12
2002-10-26 @ Juventus L 0-150.4 1867 2085 10.02% 19.36% 70.62%-1.47 -2.4 7
2002-10-27 Atalanta W 2-161.4 1927 1862 53.84% 28.06% 18.10%+0.72 +4.6 9
2002-10-27 @ Parma L 1-261.4 1862 1927 18.10% 28.06% 53.84%-0.72 -4.6 1
2002-10-27 Bologna W 2-050.6 2037 1941 57.55% 26.47% 15.97%+0.88 +8.0 16
2002-10-27 @ Inter Milan L 0-250.6 1941 2037 15.97% 26.47% 57.55%-0.88 -8.0 11
2002-10-27 Como D 1-171.7 1883 1844 50.65% 29.21% 20.14%+0.60 -1.4 5
2002-10-27 @ Brescia D 1-171.7 1844 1883 20.14% 29.21% 50.65%-0.60 +1.4 4
2002-10-27 Empoli L 1-271.6 1919 1876 51.11% 29.06% 19.83%+0.62 -10.3 7
2002-10-27 @ Piacenza W 2-171.6 1876 1919 19.83% 29.06% 51.11%-0.62 +10.3 10
2002-10-27 Modena W 2-055.0 1863 1885 42.68% 31.19% 26.14%+0.30 +12.6 7
2002-10-27 @ Perugia L 0-255.0 1885 1863 26.14% 31.19% 42.68%-0.30 -12.6 9
2002-10-27 Roma D 2-277.1 1983 2065 34.36% 31.89% 33.75%+0.01 -0.0 11
2002-10-27 @ Lazio Roma D 2-277.1 2065 1983 33.75% 31.89% 34.36%-0.01 +0.0 10
2002-10-27 Torino W 2-165.1 1840 1872 41.42% 31.38% 27.20%+0.25 +6.5 5
2002-10-27 @ Reggina L 1-265.1 1872 1840 27.20% 31.38% 41.42%-0.25 -6.5 3
2002-11-02 Bologna D 0-066.0 1864 1933 36.14% 31.85% 32.01%+0.07 -0.2 8
2002-11-02 @ Udinese D 0-066.0 1933 1864 32.01% 31.85% 36.14%-0.07 +0.2 12
2002-11-02 Brescia L 0-260.1 1865 1882 43.40% 31.06% 25.54%+0.33 -18.2 3
2002-11-02 @ Torino W 2-060.1 1882 1865 25.54% 31.06% 43.40%-0.33 +18.2 8
2002-11-03 Chievo Verona L 0-164.6 1931 1927 46.23% 30.47% 23.30%+0.43 -10.2 9
2002-11-03 @ Parma W 1-064.6 1927 1931 23.30% 30.47% 46.23%-0.43 +10.2 12
2002-11-03 Inter Milan L 0-252.8 1845 2045 20.61% 29.44% 49.95%-0.57 -10.4 4
2002-11-03 @ Como W 2-052.8 2045 1845 49.95% 29.44% 20.61%+0.57 +10.4 19
2002-11-03 Juventus L 0-156.0 1872 2088 19.32% 28.78% 51.90%-0.65 -5.2 9
2002-11-03 @ Modena W 1-056.0 2088 1872 51.90% 28.78% 19.32%+0.65 +5.2 15
2002-11-03 Lazio Roma L 1-266.8 1887 1983 32.16% 31.86% 35.98%-0.07 -7.4 10
2002-11-03 @ Empoli W 2-166.8 1983 1887 35.98% 31.86% 32.16%+0.07 +7.4 14
2002-11-03 Perugia D 2-280.3 2065 1875 67.67% 21.12% 11.21%+1.33 -2.1 11
2002-11-03 @ Roma D 2-280.3 1875 2065 11.21% 21.12% 67.67%-1.33 +2.1 8
2002-11-03 Piacenza W 2-056.2 1857 1909 38.57% 31.70% 29.73%+0.15 +13.9 4
2002-11-03 @ Atalanta L 0-256.2 1909 1857 29.73% 31.70% 38.57%-0.15 -13.9 7
2002-11-03 Reggina W 2-047.6 2035 1847 67.57% 21.17% 11.25%+1.33 +5.3 16
2002-11-03 @ AC Milan L 0-247.6 1847 2035 11.25% 21.17% 67.57%-1.33 -5.3 5
2002-11-06 Bologna W 2-167.5 1847 1933 33.62% 31.89% 34.49%-0.01 +7.7 6
2002-11-06 @ Torino L 1-267.5 1933 1847 34.49% 31.89% 33.62%+0.01 -7.7 12
2002-11-06 Brescia W 4-370.6 1921 1900 48.42% 29.89% 21.69%+0.51 +5.0 12
2002-11-06 @ Parma L 3-470.6 1900 1921 21.69% 29.89% 48.42%-0.51 -5.0 8
2002-11-06 Como W 2-156.1 2063 1835 71.48% 18.83% 9.69%+1.52 +2.2 14
2002-11-06 @ Roma L 1-256.1 1835 2063 9.69% 18.83% 71.48%-1.52 -2.2 4
2002-11-06 Inter Milan L 3-471.1 1879 2056 22.79% 30.30% 46.92%-0.45 -5.2 10
2002-11-06 @ Empoli W 4-371.1 2056 1879 46.92% 30.30% 22.79%+0.45 +5.2 22
2002-11-06 Juventus L 0-156.7 1895 2093 20.80% 29.52% 49.68%-0.56 -5.5 7
2002-11-06 @ Piacenza W 1-056.7 2093 1895 49.68% 29.52% 20.80%+0.56 +5.5 18
2002-11-06 Lazio Roma L 0-353.2 1842 1991 25.65% 31.08% 43.27%-0.32 -18.1 5
2002-11-06 @ Reggina W 3-053.2 1991 1842 43.27% 31.08% 25.65%+0.32 +18.1 17
2002-11-06 Modena L 1-366.9 1871 1867 46.19% 30.48% 23.33%+0.43 -16.6 4
2002-11-06 @ Atalanta W 3-166.9 1867 1871 23.33% 30.48% 46.19%-0.43 +16.6 12
2002-11-06 Perugia W 3-050.2 1937 1877 53.17% 28.32% 18.52%+0.70 +13.6 15
2002-11-06 @ Chievo Verona L 0-350.2 1877 1937 18.52% 28.32% 53.17%-0.70 -13.6 8
2002-11-06 Udinese W 1-051.6 2041 1864 66.37% 21.87% 11.76%+1.27 +3.0 19
2002-11-06 @ AC Milan L 0-151.6 1864 2041 11.76% 21.87% 66.37%-1.27 -3.0 8
2002-11-09 Roma D 1-171.4 1889 2065 22.90% 30.34% 46.77%-0.45 +1.1 8
2002-11-09 @ Piacenza D 1-171.4 2065 1889 46.77% 30.34% 22.90%+0.45 -1.1 15
2002-11-09 Udinese L 1-274.4 2061 1861 68.77% 20.47% 10.76%+1.38 -12.8 22
2002-11-09 @ Inter Milan W 2-174.4 1861 2061 10.76% 20.47% 68.77%-1.38 +12.8 11
2002-11-10 AC Milan W 2-161.8 2098 2044 52.60% 28.53% 18.87%+0.67 +4.8 21
2002-11-10 @ Juventus L 1-261.8 2044 2098 18.87% 28.53% 52.60%-0.67 -4.8 19
2002-11-10 Atalanta W 4-154.1 1951 1855 57.50% 26.50% 16.00%+0.87 +9.9 18
2002-11-10 @ Chievo Verona L 1-454.1 1855 1951 16.00% 26.50% 57.50%-0.87 -9.9 4
2002-11-10 Como W 1-054.4 1925 1833 57.11% 26.67% 16.21%+0.86 +4.3 15
2002-11-10 @ Bologna L 0-154.4 1833 1925 16.21% 26.67% 57.11%-0.86 -4.3 4
2002-11-10 Empoli L 0-261.3 1895 1874 48.31% 29.92% 21.76%+0.51 -19.8 8
2002-11-10 @ Brescia W 2-061.3 1874 1895 21.76% 29.92% 48.31%-0.51 +19.8 13
2002-11-10 Modena L 0-162.2 1824 1883 37.42% 31.79% 30.80%+0.11 -8.7 5
2002-11-10 @ Reggina W 1-062.2 1883 1824 30.80% 31.79% 37.42%-0.11 +8.7 15
2002-11-10 Parma D 0-067.4 2009 1926 55.92% 27.20% 16.88%+0.81 -2.1 18
2002-11-10 @ Lazio Roma D 0-067.4 1926 2009 16.88% 27.20% 55.92%-0.81 +2.1 13
2002-11-10 Torino W 2-163.5 1864 1854 46.84% 30.32% 22.85%+0.45 +5.7 11
2002-11-10 @ Perugia L 1-263.5 1854 1864 22.85% 30.32% 46.84%-0.45 -5.7 6
2002-11-16 Inter Milan D 2-277.6 2064 2048 47.63% 30.11% 22.26%+0.48 -0.9 16
2002-11-16 @ Roma D 2-277.6 2048 2064 22.26% 30.11% 47.63%-0.48 +0.9 23
2002-11-16 Perugia W 2-161.6 1930 1869 53.25% 28.29% 18.47%+0.70 +4.7 18
2002-11-16 @ Bologna L 1-261.6 1869 1930 18.47% 28.29% 53.25%-0.70 -4.7 11
2002-11-17 Brescia W 2-055.3 1845 1875 41.54% 31.36% 27.10%+0.26 +13.0 7
2002-11-17 @ Atalanta L 0-255.3 1875 1845 27.10% 31.36% 41.54%-0.26 -13.0 8
2002-11-17 Chievo Verona W 2-167.5 1874 1960 33.58% 31.89% 34.53%-0.02 +7.7 14
2002-11-17 @ Udinese L 1-267.5 1960 1874 34.53% 31.89% 33.58%+0.02 -7.7 18
2002-11-17 Juventus L 0-449.5 1849 2103 16.53% 26.93% 56.54%-0.83 -15.8 6
2002-11-17 @ Torino W 4-049.5 2103 1849 56.54% 26.93% 16.53%+0.83 +15.8 24
2002-11-17 Lazio Roma L 1-359.8 1828 2007 22.61% 30.24% 47.16%-0.46 -9.7 4
2002-11-17 @ Como W 3-159.8 2007 1828 47.16% 30.24% 22.61%+0.46 +9.7 21
2002-11-17 Parma W 2-159.9 2039 1928 59.15% 25.72% 15.13%+0.94 +3.8 22
2002-11-17 @ AC Milan L 1-259.9 1928 2039 15.13% 25.72% 59.15%-0.94 -3.8 13
2002-11-17 Piacenza W 1-057.8 1892 1890 45.82% 30.56% 23.61%+0.41 +6.2 18
2002-11-17 @ Modena L 0-157.8 1890 1892 23.61% 30.56% 45.82%-0.41 -6.2 8
2002-11-17 Reggina W 4-261.0 1894 1815 55.50% 27.38% 17.12%+0.79 +6.7 16
2002-11-17 @ Empoli L 2-461.0 1815 1894 17.12% 27.38% 55.50%-0.79 -6.7 5
2002-11-23 Bologna D 1-174.1 2119 1934 67.21% 21.39% 11.41%+1.31 -2.7 25
2002-11-23 @ Juventus D 1-174.1 1934 2119 11.41% 21.39% 67.21%-1.31 +2.7 19
2002-11-23 Inter Milan W 1-058.2 2043 2049 44.75% 30.80% 24.45%+0.37 +6.4 25
2002-11-23 @ AC Milan L 0-158.2 2049 2043 24.45% 30.80% 44.75%-0.37 -6.4 23
2002-11-24 Atalanta D 1-170.9 1808 1858 38.86% 31.67% 29.47%+0.16 -0.4 6
2002-11-24 @ Reggina D 1-170.9 1858 1808 29.47% 31.67% 38.86%-0.16 +0.4 8
2002-11-24 Como W 3-050.6 1865 1819 51.53% 28.91% 19.56%+0.63 +14.3 14
2002-11-24 @ Perugia L 0-350.6 1819 1865 19.56% 28.91% 51.53%-0.63 -14.3 4
2002-11-24 Empoli W 1-055.9 1953 1901 52.26% 28.65% 19.08%+0.66 +5.1 21
2002-11-24 @ Chievo Verona L 0-155.9 1901 1953 19.08% 28.65% 52.26%-0.66 -5.1 16
2002-11-24 Modena W 4-048.4 2016 1898 60.05% 25.28% 14.67%+0.98 +13.9 24
2002-11-24 @ Lazio Roma L 0-448.4 1898 2016 14.67% 25.28% 60.05%-0.98 -13.9 18
2002-11-24 Roma W 3-058.1 1925 2063 26.89% 31.33% 41.78%-0.27 +25.8 16
2002-11-24 @ Parma L 0-358.1 2063 1925 41.78% 31.33% 26.89%+0.27 -25.8 16
2002-11-24 Torino W 1-055.8 1884 1833 52.15% 28.69% 19.16%+0.66 +5.1 11
2002-11-24 @ Piacenza L 0-155.8 1833 1884 19.16% 28.69% 52.15%-0.66 -5.1 6
2002-11-24 Udinese D 1-171.1 1862 1882 42.99% 31.13% 25.88%+0.31 -0.8 9
2002-11-24 @ Brescia D 1-171.1 1882 1862 25.88% 31.13% 42.99%-0.31 +0.8 15
2002-11-30 Chievo Verona D 1-171.2 1808 1958 25.54% 31.06% 43.39%-0.33 +0.8 7
2002-11-30 @ Reggina D 1-171.2 1958 1808 43.39% 31.06% 25.54%+0.33 -0.8 22
2002-12-01 AC Milan D 1-171.2 1895 2049 25.16% 30.97% 43.87%-0.34 +0.8 17
2002-12-01 @ Empoli D 1-171.2 2049 1895 43.87% 30.97% 25.16%+0.34 -0.8 26
2002-12-01 Brescia W 4-046.4 2043 1861 66.88% 21.58% 11.54%+1.29 +10.4 26
2002-12-01 @ Inter Milan L 0-446.4 1861 2043 11.54% 21.58% 66.88%-1.29 -10.4 9
2002-12-01 Juventus D 2-277.1 2037 2116 34.63% 31.89% 33.49%+0.02 -0.0 17
2002-12-01 @ Roma D 2-277.1 2116 2037 33.49% 31.89% 34.63%-0.02 +0.0 26
2002-12-01 Lazio Roma L 2-370.1 1889 2030 26.56% 31.27% 42.17%-0.28 -6.1 11
2002-12-01 @ Piacenza W 3-270.1 2030 1889 42.17% 31.27% 26.56%+0.28 +6.1 27
2002-12-01 Modena W 3-050.4 1937 1884 52.34% 28.62% 19.04%+0.66 +14.0 22
2002-12-01 @ Bologna L 0-350.4 1884 1937 19.04% 28.62% 52.34%-0.66 -14.0 18
2002-12-01 Parma L 0-454.5 1828 1950 28.78% 31.60% 39.62%-0.19 -25.8 6
2002-12-01 @ Torino W 4-054.5 1950 1828 39.62% 31.60% 28.78%+0.19 +25.8 19
2002-12-01 Perugia L 0-260.0 1858 1879 42.80% 31.17% 26.04%+0.30 -18.1 8
2002-12-01 @ Atalanta W 2-060.0 1879 1858 26.04% 31.17% 42.80%-0.30 +18.0 17
2002-12-07 Inter Milan D 3-381.1 2036 2053 43.38% 31.06% 25.55%+0.33 -0.5 28
2002-12-07 @ Lazio Roma D 3-381.1 2053 2036 25.55% 31.06% 43.38%-0.33 +0.5 27
2002-12-07 Roma W 1-057.5 2048 2037 47.07% 30.26% 22.67%+0.46 +6.0 29
2002-12-07 @ AC Milan L 0-157.5 2037 2048 22.67% 30.26% 47.07%-0.46 -6.0 17
2002-12-08 Bologna D 0-066.4 1957 1951 46.39% 30.43% 23.18%+0.44 -1.2 23
2002-12-08 @ Chievo Verona D 0-066.4 1951 1957 23.18% 30.43% 46.39%-0.44 +1.2 23
2002-12-08 Como D 1-172.0 1870 1804 53.96% 28.01% 18.03%+0.73 -1.7 19
2002-12-08 @ Modena D 1-172.0 1804 1870 18.03% 28.01% 53.96%-0.73 +1.7 5
2002-12-08 Empoli W 2-164.4 1882 1896 43.75% 31.00% 25.25%+0.34 +6.2 18
2002-12-08 @ Udinese L 1-264.4 1896 1882 25.25% 31.00% 43.75%-0.34 -6.2 17
2002-12-08 Juventus W 2-063.1 1851 2116 15.82% 26.34% 57.84%-0.89 +22.7 12
2002-12-08 @ Brescia L 0-263.1 2116 1851 57.84% 26.34% 15.82%+0.89 -22.7 26
2002-12-08 Piacenza D 0-066.5 1897 1883 47.43% 30.16% 22.40%+0.47 -1.3 18
2002-12-08 @ Perugia D 0-066.5 1883 1897 22.40% 30.16% 47.43%-0.47 +1.3 12
2002-12-08 Reggina W 2-048.2 1976 1809 65.43% 22.41% 12.16%+1.22 +5.8 22
2002-12-08 @ Parma L 0-248.2 1809 1976 12.16% 22.41% 65.43%-1.22 -5.8 7
2002-12-14 Chievo Verona L 0-356.4 1885 1956 35.78% 31.86% 32.35%+0.06 -23.0 12
2002-12-14 @ Piacenza W 3-056.4 1956 1885 32.35% 31.86% 35.78%-0.06 +23.0 26
2002-12-14 Parma W 2-165.1 1952 1982 41.59% 31.35% 27.05%+0.26 +6.5 26
2002-12-14 @ Bologna L 1-265.1 1982 1952 27.05% 31.35% 41.59%-0.26 -6.5 22
2002-12-15 AC Milan L 1-260.8 1806 2054 16.95% 27.25% 55.80%-0.80 -4.3 5
2002-12-15 @ Como W 2-160.8 2054 1806 55.80% 27.25% 16.95%+0.80 +4.3 32
2002-12-15 Atalanta W 1-050.5 2054 1840 70.11% 19.67% 10.23%+1.45 +2.5 30
2002-12-15 @ Inter Milan L 0-150.5 1840 2054 10.23% 19.67% 70.11%-1.45 -2.5 8
2002-12-15 Lazio Roma L 1-272.0 2094 2036 52.94% 28.40% 18.66%+0.69 -10.6 26
2002-12-15 @ Juventus W 2-172.0 2036 2094 18.66% 28.40% 52.94%-0.69 +10.6 31
2002-12-15 Modena W 1-057.0 1890 1869 48.40% 29.90% 21.70%+0.51 +5.8 20
2002-12-15 @ Empoli L 0-157.0 1869 1890 21.70% 29.90% 48.40%-0.51 -5.8 19
2002-12-15 Perugia W 3-161.1 1874 1896 42.61% 31.20% 26.20%+0.30 +11.0 15
2002-12-15 @ Brescia L 1-361.1 1896 1874 26.20% 31.20% 42.61%-0.30 -11.0 18
2002-12-15 Reggina W 3-044.7 2031 1803 71.54% 18.80% 9.66%+1.52 +6.3 20
2002-12-15 @ Roma L 0-344.7 1803 2031 9.66% 18.80% 71.54%-1.52 -6.4 7
2002-12-15 Torino D 1-172.3 1888 1802 56.38% 27.00% 16.62%+0.83 -1.9 19
2002-12-15 @ Udinese D 1-172.3 1802 1888 16.62% 27.00% 56.38%-0.83 +1.9 7
2002-12-18 Udinese L 0-257.5 1802 1887 33.83% 31.89% 34.28%-0.01 -15.3 5
2002-12-18 @ Como W 2-057.5 1887 1802 34.28% 31.89% 33.83%+0.01 +15.3 22
2002-12-21 Roma L 0-155.3 1804 2037 17.98% 27.98% 54.05%-0.73 -4.8 7
2002-12-21 @ Torino W 1-055.3 2037 1804 54.05% 27.98% 17.98%+0.73 +4.8 23
2002-12-21 Udinese L 0-163.1 1863 1902 40.34% 31.52% 28.14%+0.22 -9.2 19
2002-12-21 @ Modena W 1-063.1 1902 1863 28.14% 31.52% 40.34%-0.22 +9.2 25
2002-12-22 Bologna D 1-172.5 2047 1959 56.55% 26.93% 16.52%+0.84 -1.9 32
2002-12-22 @ Lazio Roma D 1-172.5 1959 2047 16.52% 26.93% 56.55%-0.84 +1.9 27
2002-12-22 Brescia D 0-069.0 2058 1884 66.08% 22.04% 11.88%+1.25 -2.9 33
2002-12-22 @ AC Milan D 0-069.0 1884 2058 11.88% 22.04% 66.08%-1.25 +3.0 16
2002-12-22 Como W 2-047.4 1979 1786 67.99% 20.93% 11.08%+1.35 +5.2 29
2002-12-22 @ Chievo Verona L 0-247.4 1786 1979 11.08% 20.93% 67.99%-1.35 -5.2 5
2002-12-22 Empoli D 2-277.1 1838 1896 37.63% 31.77% 30.60%+0.12 -0.2 9
2002-12-22 @ Atalanta D 2-277.1 1896 1838 30.60% 31.77% 37.63%-0.12 +0.2 21
2002-12-22 Inter Milan L 1-267.5 1976 2056 34.45% 31.89% 33.66%+0.01 -7.7 22
2002-12-22 @ Parma W 2-167.5 2056 1976 33.66% 31.89% 34.45%-0.01 +7.7 33
2002-12-22 Juventus L 0-156.7 1885 2083 20.80% 29.52% 49.69%-0.56 -5.5 18
2002-12-22 @ Perugia W 1-056.7 2083 1885 49.69% 29.52% 20.80%+0.56 +5.5 29
2002-12-22 Piacenza W 3-162.8 1796 1862 36.65% 31.83% 31.52%+0.09 +12.6 10
2002-12-22 @ Reggina L 1-362.8 1862 1796 31.52% 31.83% 36.65%-0.09 -12.6 12
2003-01-06 Atalanta D 1-170.9 1799 1837 40.44% 31.51% 28.06%+0.22 -0.5 8
2003-01-06 @ Torino D 1-170.9 1837 1799 28.06% 31.51% 40.44%-0.22 +0.5 10
2003-01-11 Lazio Roma D 0-066.3 1887 2045 24.76% 30.88% 44.36%-0.36 +1.0 17
2003-01-11 @ Brescia D 0-066.3 2045 1887 44.36% 30.88% 24.76%+0.36 -1.0 33
2003-01-11 Torino D 1-172.5 1896 1799 57.67% 26.42% 15.91%+0.88 -2.0 22
2003-01-11 @ Empoli D 1-172.5 1799 1896 15.91% 26.42% 57.67%-0.88 +2.0 9
2003-01-12 AC Milan L 0-257.1 1961 2055 32.44% 31.87% 35.70%-0.06 -14.8 27
2003-01-12 @ Bologna W 2-057.1 2055 1961 35.70% 31.87% 32.44%+0.06 +14.8 36
2003-01-12 Atalanta D 1-170.8 1781 1838 37.86% 31.76% 30.39%+0.13 -0.3 6
2003-01-12 @ Como D 1-170.8 1838 1781 30.39% 31.76% 37.86%-0.13 +0.3 11
2003-01-12 Chievo Verona L 0-166.0 2042 1984 52.99% 28.38% 18.62%+0.69 -11.3 23
2003-01-12 @ Roma W 1-066.0 1984 2042 18.62% 28.38% 52.99%-0.69 +11.3 32
2003-01-12 Modena W 2-046.9 2064 1854 69.77% 19.87% 10.36%+1.43 +4.8 36
2003-01-12 @ Inter Milan L 0-246.9 1854 2064 10.36% 19.87% 69.77%-1.43 -4.8 19
2003-01-12 Parma D 1-171.0 1849 1968 29.23% 31.65% 39.12%-0.17 +0.4 13
2003-01-12 @ Piacenza D 1-171.0 1968 1849 39.12% 31.65% 29.23%+0.17 -0.4 23
2003-01-12 Perugia D 0-066.7 1911 1879 49.70% 29.51% 20.79%+0.56 -1.5 26
2003-01-12 @ Udinese D 0-066.7 1879 1911 20.79% 29.51% 49.70%-0.56 +1.5 19
2003-01-12 Reggina W 5-044.5 2089 1809 76.23% 15.87% 7.90%+1.77 +7.9 32
2003-01-12 @ Juventus L 0-544.5 1809 2089 7.90% 15.87% 76.23%-1.77 -7.9 10
2003-01-18 Bologna W 1-063.7 1801 1946 26.13% 31.18% 42.68%-0.30 +9.5 13
2003-01-18 @ Reggina L 0-163.7 1946 1801 42.68% 31.18% 26.13%+0.30 -9.6 27
2003-01-18 Empoli W 2-051.4 1967 1894 54.84% 27.66% 17.51%+0.76 +8.8 26
2003-01-18 @ Parma L 0-251.4 1894 1967 17.51% 27.66% 54.84%-0.76 -8.8 22
2003-01-19 Brescia D 0-066.0 1849 1888 40.26% 31.53% 28.21%+0.21 -0.6 20
2003-01-19 @ Modena D 0-066.0 1888 1849 28.21% 31.53% 40.26%-0.21 +0.6 18
2003-01-19 Como D 0-066.3 1801 1781 48.18% 29.96% 21.86%+0.50 -1.3 10
2003-01-19 @ Torino D 0-066.3 1781 1801 21.86% 29.96% 48.18%-0.50 +1.3 7
2003-01-19 Inter Milan W 4-164.8 1881 2069 21.73% 29.91% 48.36%-0.51 +24.3 22
2003-01-19 @ Perugia L 1-464.8 2069 1881 48.36% 29.91% 21.73%+0.51 -24.3 36
2003-01-19 Juventus L 1-460.4 1995 2096 31.56% 31.83% 36.61%-0.09 -17.8 32
2003-01-19 @ Chievo Verona W 4-160.4 2096 1995 36.61% 31.83% 31.56%+0.09 +17.8 35
2003-01-19 Piacenza W 2-156.3 2070 1849 70.82% 19.23% 9.94%+1.48 +2.3 39
2003-01-19 @ AC Milan L 1-256.3 1849 2070 9.94% 19.23% 70.82%-1.48 -2.3 13
2003-01-19 Roma W 2-171.2 1838 2031 21.28% 29.73% 49.00%-0.53 +10.0 14
2003-01-19 @ Atalanta L 1-271.2 2031 1838 49.00% 29.73% 21.28%+0.53 -10.0 23
2003-01-19 Udinese W 2-159.1 2044 1910 61.82% 24.37% 13.81%+1.06 +3.4 36
2003-01-19 @ Lazio Roma L 1-259.1 1910 2044 13.81% 24.37% 61.82%-1.06 -3.4 26
2003-01-25 Atalanta L 0-260.6 1848 1848 45.63% 30.61% 23.76%+0.41 -18.9 20
2003-01-25 @ Modena W 2-060.6 1848 1848 23.76% 30.61% 45.63%-0.41 +18.9 17
2003-01-25 Roma W 2-062.5 1782 2021 17.60% 27.72% 54.67%-0.76 +21.8 10
2003-01-25 @ Como L 0-262.5 2021 1782 54.67% 27.72% 17.60%+0.76 -21.8 23
2003-01-26 AC Milan W 1-064.4 1906 2072 23.80% 30.62% 45.58%-0.41 +10.0 29
2003-01-26 @ Udinese L 0-164.4 2072 1906 45.58% 30.62% 23.80%+0.41 -10.0 39
2003-01-26 Chievo Verona W 1-060.9 1905 1978 35.63% 31.87% 32.51%+0.05 +7.9 25
2003-01-26 @ Perugia L 0-160.9 1978 1905 32.51% 31.87% 35.63%-0.05 -7.9 32
2003-01-26 Empoli W 3-046.8 2044 1885 64.53% 22.91% 12.56%+1.18 +8.8 39
2003-01-26 @ Inter Milan L 0-346.8 1885 2044 12.56% 22.91% 64.53%-1.18 -8.8 22
2003-01-26 Parma D 1-170.9 1889 1976 33.49% 31.89% 34.62%-0.02 +0.0 19
2003-01-26 @ Brescia D 1-170.9 1976 1889 34.62% 31.89% 33.49%+0.02 -0.0 27
2003-01-26 Piacenza W 2-045.3 2114 1847 75.14% 16.56% 8.30%+1.71 +3.6 38
2003-01-26 @ Juventus L 0-245.3 1847 2114 8.30% 16.56% 75.14%-1.71 -3.6 13
2003-01-26 Reggina L 0-168.7 2047 1811 72.32% 18.32% 9.36%+1.56 -14.0 36
2003-01-26 @ Lazio Roma W 1-068.7 1811 2047 9.36% 18.32% 72.32%-1.56 +14.0 16
2003-01-26 Torino D 2-279.3 1936 1799 62.13% 24.21% 13.66%+1.08 -1.8 28
2003-01-26 @ Bologna D 2-279.3 1799 1936 13.66% 24.21% 62.13%-1.08 +1.8 11
2003-02-01 Bologna W 3-157.8 1999 1935 53.79% 28.08% 18.14%+0.72 +7.9 26
2003-02-01 @ Roma L 1-357.8 1935 1999 18.14% 28.08% 53.79%-0.72 -8.0 28
2003-02-01 Brescia L 1-462.6 1843 1889 39.41% 31.62% 28.96%+0.18 -20.8 13
2003-02-01 @ Piacenza W 4-162.6 1889 1843 28.96% 31.62% 39.41%-0.18 +20.8 22
2003-02-02 Como D 0-067.1 1876 1804 54.71% 27.71% 17.58%+0.76 -2.0 23
2003-02-02 @ Empoli D 0-067.1 1804 1876 17.58% 27.71% 54.71%-0.76 +2.0 11
2003-02-02 Inter Milan L 0-250.9 1801 2053 16.67% 27.04% 56.28%-0.82 -8.4 11
2003-02-02 @ Torino W 2-050.9 2053 1801 56.28% 27.04% 16.67%+0.82 +8.4 42
2003-02-02 Juventus D 1-172.4 1867 2118 16.77% 27.12% 56.11%-0.82 +1.9 18
2003-02-02 @ Atalanta D 1-172.4 2118 1867 56.11% 27.12% 16.77%+0.82 -1.9 39
2003-02-02 Lazio Roma D 1-171.0 1970 2033 36.90% 31.82% 31.28%+0.10 -0.2 33
2003-02-02 @ Chievo Verona D 1-171.0 2033 1970 31.28% 31.82% 36.90%-0.10 +0.2 37
2003-02-02 Modena W 2-156.0 2062 1829 71.99% 18.52% 9.49%+1.54 +2.1 42
2003-02-02 @ AC Milan L 1-256.0 1829 2062 9.49% 18.52% 71.99%-1.54 -2.1 20
2003-02-02 Perugia W 3-163.9 1825 1913 33.33% 31.88% 34.79%-0.02 +13.5 19
2003-02-02 @ Reggina L 1-363.9 1913 1825 34.79% 31.88% 33.33%+0.02 -13.5 25
2003-02-02 Udinese W 3-266.8 1976 1916 53.24% 28.29% 18.47%+0.70 +4.4 30
2003-02-02 @ Parma L 2-366.8 1916 1976 18.47% 28.29% 53.24%-0.70 -4.4 29
2003-02-08 Empoli W 1-049.7 2116 1874 72.80% 18.02% 9.18%+1.59 +2.2 42
2003-02-08 @ Juventus L 0-149.7 1874 2116 9.18% 18.02% 72.80%-1.59 -2.2 23
2003-02-08 Piacenza W 2-160.5 1912 1823 56.69% 26.87% 16.45%+0.84 +4.1 32
2003-02-08 @ Udinese L 1-260.5 1823 1912 16.45% 26.87% 56.69%-0.84 -4.2 13
2003-02-09 AC Milan W 1-064.4 1900 2065 23.94% 30.66% 45.40%-0.40 +10.0 28
2003-02-09 @ Perugia L 0-164.4 2065 1900 45.40% 30.66% 23.94%+0.40 -10.0 42
2003-02-09 Atalanta L 2-377.1 1927 1869 52.92% 28.41% 18.67%+0.69 -10.1 28
2003-02-09 @ Bologna W 3-277.1 1869 1927 18.67% 28.41% 52.92%-0.69 +10.1 21
2003-02-09 Chievo Verona D 0-066.0 1910 1969 37.45% 31.78% 30.77%+0.12 -0.3 23
2003-02-09 @ Brescia D 0-066.0 1969 1910 30.77% 31.78% 37.45%-0.12 +0.3 34
2003-02-09 Parma D 2-277.5 1806 1981 22.97% 30.36% 46.67%-0.45 +0.8 12
2003-02-09 @ Como D 2-277.5 1981 1806 46.67% 30.36% 22.97%+0.45 -0.8 31
2003-02-09 Reggina W 3-044.8 2062 1838 71.08% 19.08% 9.84%+1.50 +6.5 45
2003-02-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-344.8 1838 2062 9.84% 19.08% 71.08%-1.50 -6.5 19
2003-02-09 Roma D 1-171.4 1827 2007 22.47% 30.19% 47.34%-0.47 +1.1 21
2003-02-09 @ Modena D 1-171.4 2007 1827 47.34% 30.19% 22.47%+0.47 -1.1 27
2003-02-09 Torino D 1-175.1 2033 1793 72.72% 18.07% 9.21%+1.58 -3.1 38
2003-02-09 @ Lazio Roma D 1-175.1 1793 2033 9.21% 18.07% 72.72%-1.58 +3.1 12
2003-02-15 Brescia D 0-067.6 2006 1910 57.55% 26.48% 15.98%+0.88 -2.2 28
2003-02-15 @ Roma D 0-067.6 1910 2006 15.98% 26.48% 57.55%-0.88 +2.2 24
2003-02-15 Inter Milan W 2-168.0 1970 2068 31.94% 31.85% 36.22%-0.07 +8.0 37
2003-02-15 @ Chievo Verona L 1-268.0 2068 1970 36.22% 31.85% 31.94%+0.07 -8.0 45
2003-02-16 Bologna W 3-164.3 1819 1916 32.00% 31.85% 36.15%-0.07 +13.8 16
2003-02-16 @ Piacenza L 1-364.3 1916 1819 36.15% 31.85% 32.00%+0.07 -13.8 28
2003-02-16 Como W 4-156.5 1832 1807 48.83% 29.77% 21.39%+0.53 +13.1 22
2003-02-16 @ Reggina L 1-456.5 1807 1832 21.39% 29.77% 48.83%-0.53 -13.1 12
2003-02-16 Juventus L 1-265.1 1980 2118 26.87% 31.32% 41.81%-0.27 -6.5 31
2003-02-16 @ Parma W 2-165.1 2118 1980 41.81% 31.32% 26.87%+0.27 +6.5 45
2003-02-16 Lazio Roma D 2-277.7 2055 2030 48.78% 29.79% 21.43%+0.53 -0.9 43
2003-02-16 @ AC Milan D 2-277.7 2030 2055 21.43% 29.79% 48.78%-0.53 +0.9 39
2003-02-16 Modena D 1-170.9 1796 1828 41.19% 31.41% 27.40%+0.25 -0.6 13
2003-02-16 @ Torino D 1-170.9 1828 1796 27.40% 31.41% 41.19%-0.25 +0.6 22
2003-02-16 Perugia D 1-171.0 1872 1910 40.56% 31.49% 27.95%+0.22 -0.6 24
2003-02-16 @ Empoli D 1-171.0 1910 1872 27.95% 31.49% 40.56%-0.22 +0.6 29
2003-02-16 Udinese D 0-066.1 1879 1916 40.64% 31.48% 27.87%+0.23 -0.6 22
2003-02-16 @ Atalanta D 0-066.1 1916 1879 27.87% 31.48% 40.64%-0.23 +0.6 33
2003-02-22 AC Milan L 0-349.0 1795 2054 16.26% 26.71% 57.03%-0.86 -11.9 13
2003-02-22 @ Torino W 3-049.0 2054 1795 57.03% 26.71% 16.26%+0.86 +11.9 46
2003-02-22 Juventus L 1-354.4 1794 2125 12.32% 22.60% 65.08%-1.21 -5.1 12
2003-02-22 @ Como W 3-154.4 2125 1794 65.08% 22.60% 12.32%+1.21 +5.2 48
2003-02-23 Atalanta D 0-068.6 2031 1878 63.83% 23.30% 12.87%+1.15 -2.8 40
2003-02-23 @ Lazio Roma D 0-068.6 1878 2031 12.87% 23.30% 63.83%-1.15 +2.8 23
2003-02-23 Chievo Verona W 1-063.8 1829 1978 25.69% 31.09% 43.22%-0.32 +9.7 25
2003-02-23 @ Modena L 0-163.8 1978 1829 43.22% 31.09% 25.69%+0.32 -9.6 37
2003-02-23 Empoli W 2-052.9 1903 1872 49.62% 29.54% 20.84%+0.56 +10.5 31
2003-02-23 @ Bologna L 0-252.9 1872 1903 20.84% 29.54% 49.62%-0.56 -10.5 24
2003-02-23 Parma L 1-268.2 1910 1973 36.92% 31.81% 31.26%+0.10 -8.1 29
2003-02-23 @ Perugia W 2-168.2 1973 1910 31.26% 31.81% 36.92%-0.10 +8.1 34
2003-02-23 Piacenza W 3-152.5 2060 1832 71.49% 18.83% 9.68%+1.52 +3.8 48
2003-02-23 @ Inter Milan L 1-352.5 1832 2060 9.68% 18.83% 71.49%-1.52 -3.8 16
2003-02-23 Reggina W 2-161.3 1912 1845 54.08% 27.96% 17.96%+0.73 +4.5 27
2003-02-23 @ Brescia L 1-261.3 1845 1912 17.96% 27.96% 54.08%-0.73 -4.5 22
2003-02-23 Roma W 2-167.5 1916 2004 33.49% 31.89% 34.62%-0.02 +7.8 36
2003-02-23 @ Udinese L 1-267.5 2004 1916 34.62% 31.89% 33.49%+0.02 -7.8 28
2003-03-01 Bologna D 0-066.4 1916 1913 46.04% 30.51% 23.45%+0.42 -1.1 28
2003-03-01 @ Brescia D 0-066.4 1913 1916 23.45% 30.51% 46.04%-0.42 +1.1 32
2003-03-01 Modena D 1-173.3 1982 1839 62.77% 23.87% 13.36%+1.10 -2.4 35
2003-03-01 @ Parma D 1-173.3 1839 1982 13.36% 23.87% 62.77%-1.10 +2.4 26
2003-03-02 Atalanta D 3-384.0 2066 1881 67.16% 21.42% 11.42%+1.31 -1.7 47
2003-03-02 @ AC Milan D 3-384.0 1881 2066 11.42% 21.42% 67.16%-1.31 +1.7 24
2003-03-02 Como L 0-165.4 1829 1789 50.76% 29.17% 20.07%+0.60 -10.9 16
2003-03-02 @ Piacenza W 1-065.4 1789 1829 20.07% 29.17% 50.76%-0.60 +10.9 15
2003-03-02 Empoli W 3-155.4 1996 1861 61.88% 24.34% 13.78%+1.06 +5.9 31
2003-03-02 @ Roma L 1-355.4 1861 1996 13.78% 24.34% 61.88%-1.06 -5.9 24
2003-03-02 Inter Milan W 3-050.0 2130 2064 53.94% 28.02% 18.05%+0.73 +13.2 51
2003-03-02 @ Juventus L 0-350.0 2064 2130 18.05% 28.02% 53.94%-0.73 -13.3 48
2003-03-02 Lazio Roma D 2-277.2 1902 2028 28.30% 31.54% 40.15%-0.21 +0.4 30
2003-03-02 @ Perugia D 2-277.2 2028 1902 40.15% 31.54% 28.30%+0.21 -0.4 41
2003-03-02 Torino W 3-262.5 1968 1783 67.23% 21.38% 11.40%+1.31 +2.6 40
2003-03-02 @ Chievo Verona L 2-362.5 1783 1968 11.40% 21.38% 67.23%-1.31 -2.6 13
2003-03-02 Udinese W 3-272.5 1840 1924 33.95% 31.89% 34.16%+0.00 +7.3 25
2003-03-02 @ Reggina L 2-372.5 1924 1840 34.16% 31.89% 33.95%+0.00 -7.3 36
2003-03-08 Inter Milan L 1-265.1 1914 2051 27.10% 31.36% 41.54%-0.26 -6.5 32
2003-03-08 @ Bologna W 2-165.1 2051 1914 41.54% 31.36% 27.10%+0.26 +6.5 51
2003-03-08 Lazio Roma D 1-171.2 2002 2028 42.10% 31.28% 26.62%+0.28 -0.7 32
2003-03-08 @ Roma D 1-171.2 2028 2002 26.62% 31.28% 42.10%-0.28 +0.7 42
2003-03-09 Brescia D 1-170.9 1799 1915 29.64% 31.69% 38.67%-0.16 +0.4 16
2003-03-09 @ Como D 1-170.9 1915 1799 38.67% 31.69% 29.64%+0.16 -0.4 29
2003-03-09 Chievo Verona D 0-067.6 2064 1971 57.18% 26.65% 16.18%+0.86 -2.2 48
2003-03-09 @ AC Milan D 0-067.6 1971 2064 16.18% 26.65% 57.18%-0.86 +2.2 41
2003-03-09 Juventus L 0-155.6 1917 2143 18.52% 28.32% 53.16%-0.70 -5.0 36
2003-03-09 @ Udinese W 1-055.6 2143 1917 53.16% 28.32% 18.52%+0.70 +5.0 54
2003-03-09 Parma D 0-066.0 1883 1979 32.25% 31.86% 35.89%-0.06 +0.2 25
2003-03-09 @ Atalanta D 0-066.0 1979 1883 35.89% 31.86% 32.25%+0.06 -0.2 36
2003-03-09 Perugia D 1-170.9 1841 1902 37.19% 31.80% 31.01%+0.11 -0.3 27
2003-03-09 @ Modena D 1-170.9 1902 1841 31.01% 31.80% 37.19%-0.11 +0.3 31
2003-03-09 Piacenza W 3-158.7 1855 1818 50.46% 29.27% 20.27%+0.59 +8.8 27
2003-03-09 @ Empoli L 1-358.7 1818 1855 20.27% 29.27% 50.46%-0.59 -8.8 16
2003-03-09 Reggina W 1-060.5 1781 1847 36.41% 31.84% 31.75%+0.08 +7.8 16
2003-03-09 @ Torino L 0-160.5 1847 1781 31.75% 31.84% 36.41%-0.08 -7.8 25
2003-03-15 AC Milan D 0-067.0 1840 2062 18.84% 28.51% 52.65%-0.68 +1.8 26
2003-03-15 @ Reggina D 0-067.0 2062 1840 52.65% 28.51% 18.84%+0.68 -1.8 49
2003-03-15 Modena W 3-042.6 2148 1841 78.54% 14.40% 7.06%+1.91 +4.2 57
2003-03-15 @ Juventus L 0-342.6 1841 2148 7.06% 14.40% 78.54%-1.91 -4.3 27
2003-03-16 Atalanta W 2-057.1 1809 1883 35.35% 31.87% 32.78%+0.04 +14.9 19
2003-03-16 @ Piacenza L 0-257.1 1883 1809 32.78% 31.87% 35.35%-0.04 -14.9 25
2003-03-16 Como W 4-044.1 2057 1800 74.25% 17.12% 8.63%+1.66 +7.2 54
2003-03-16 @ Inter Milan L 0-444.1 1800 2057 8.63% 17.12% 74.25%-1.66 -7.2 16
2003-03-16 Empoli W 4-151.8 2029 1864 65.10% 22.59% 12.31%+1.21 +7.3 45
2003-03-16 @ Lazio Roma L 1-451.8 1864 2029 12.31% 22.59% 65.10%-1.21 -7.3 27
2003-03-16 Parma L 0-459.1 1973 1979 44.80% 30.79% 24.41%+0.38 -35.4 41
2003-03-16 @ Chievo Verona W 4-059.1 1979 1973 24.41% 30.79% 44.80%-0.38 +35.5 39
2003-03-16 Roma W 1-062.0 1903 2001 31.92% 31.85% 36.23%-0.07 +8.5 34
2003-03-16 @ Perugia L 0-162.0 2001 1903 36.23% 31.85% 31.92%+0.07 -8.5 32
2003-03-16 Torino W 1-053.2 1915 1788 60.96% 24.82% 14.22%+1.02 +3.7 32
2003-03-16 @ Brescia L 0-153.2 1788 1915 14.22% 24.82% 60.96%-1.02 -3.8 16
2003-03-16 Udinese W 1-058.0 1908 1912 45.05% 30.73% 24.21%+0.39 +6.3 35
2003-03-16 @ Bologna L 0-158.0 1912 1908 24.21% 30.73% 45.05%-0.39 -6.3 36
2003-03-22 Juventus W 2-167.8 2060 2152 32.77% 31.87% 35.36%-0.04 +7.9 52
2003-03-22 @ AC Milan L 1-267.8 2152 2060 35.36% 31.87% 32.77%+0.04 -7.9 57
2003-03-22 Reggina W 2-164.0 1837 1842 44.95% 30.75% 24.29%+0.38 +6.0 30
2003-03-22 @ Modena L 1-264.0 1842 1837 24.29% 30.75% 44.95%-0.38 -6.0 26
2003-03-23 Bologna W 5-161.4 1793 1914 28.92% 31.62% 39.46%-0.19 +26.9 19
2003-03-23 @ Como L 1-561.4 1914 1793 39.46% 31.62% 28.92%+0.19 -26.9 35
2003-03-23 Brescia D 0-066.0 1857 1919 37.15% 31.80% 31.05%+0.11 -0.3 28
2003-03-23 @ Empoli D 0-066.0 1919 1857 31.05% 31.80% 37.15%-0.11 +0.3 33
2003-03-23 Chievo Verona W 1-060.7 1868 1937 36.08% 31.85% 32.07%+0.07 +7.8 28
2003-03-23 @ Atalanta L 0-160.7 1937 1868 32.07% 31.85% 36.08%-0.07 -7.8 41
2003-03-23 Inter Milan W 2-170.2 1906 2064 24.60% 30.84% 44.56%-0.37 +9.3 39
2003-03-23 @ Udinese L 1-270.2 2064 1906 44.56% 30.84% 24.60%+0.37 -9.3 54
2003-03-23 Lazio Roma W 2-164.8 2014 2036 42.72% 31.18% 26.10%+0.30 +6.3 42
2003-03-23 @ Parma L 1-264.8 2036 2014 26.10% 31.18% 42.72%-0.30 -6.3 45
2003-03-23 Perugia W 2-169.0 1785 1911 28.28% 31.54% 40.18%-0.21 +8.6 19
2003-03-23 @ Torino L 1-269.0 1911 1785 40.18% 31.54% 28.28%+0.21 -8.6 34
2003-03-23 Piacenza W 3-046.5 1993 1824 65.56% 22.33% 12.10%+1.23 +8.5 35
2003-03-23 @ Roma L 0-346.5 1824 1993 12.10% 22.33% 65.56%-1.23 -8.5 19
2003-04-05 AC Milan W 1-059.8 2021 2068 39.21% 31.64% 29.15%+0.18 +7.3 45
2003-04-05 @ Parma L 0-159.8 2068 2021 29.15% 31.64% 39.21%-0.18 -7.3 52
2003-04-05 Torino W 2-043.3 2144 1793 81.91% 12.22% 5.86%+2.12 +2.3 60
2003-04-05 @ Juventus L 0-243.3 1793 2144 5.86% 12.22% 81.91%-2.12 -2.3 19
2003-04-06 Atalanta W 3-050.8 1919 1876 51.11% 29.06% 19.84%+0.62 +14.5 36
2003-04-06 @ Brescia L 0-350.8 1876 1919 19.84% 29.06% 51.11%-0.62 -14.5 28
2003-04-06 Bologna D 1-171.5 1903 1887 47.62% 30.11% 22.26%+0.48 -1.2 35
2003-04-06 @ Perugia D 1-171.5 1887 1903 22.26% 30.11% 47.62%-0.48 +1.2 36
2003-04-06 Como W 3-045.2 2030 1820 69.77% 19.87% 10.36%+1.43 +6.9 48
2003-04-06 @ Lazio Roma L 0-345.2 1820 2030 10.36% 19.87% 69.77%-1.43 -7.0 19
2003-04-06 Empoli W 1-058.6 1836 1857 42.79% 31.17% 26.04%+0.30 +6.7 29
2003-04-06 @ Reggina L 0-158.6 1857 1836 26.04% 31.17% 42.79%-0.30 -6.7 28
2003-04-06 Modena D 3-380.9 1815 1843 41.96% 31.30% 26.74%+0.27 -0.4 20
2003-04-06 @ Piacenza D 3-380.9 1843 1815 26.74% 31.30% 41.96%-0.27 +0.4 31
2003-04-06 Roma D 3-381.8 2055 2001 52.48% 28.57% 18.95%+0.67 -1.0 55
2003-04-06 @ Inter Milan D 3-381.8 2001 2055 18.95% 28.57% 52.48%-0.67 +1.0 36
2003-04-06 Udinese W 3-051.9 1930 1915 47.52% 30.14% 22.34%+0.48 +16.2 44
2003-04-06 @ Chievo Verona L 0-351.9 1915 1930 22.34% 30.14% 47.52%-0.48 -16.2 39
2003-04-12 AC Milan L 0-164.2 2054 2060 44.76% 30.79% 24.44%+0.38 -9.9 55
2003-04-12 @ Inter Milan W 1-064.2 2060 2054 24.44% 30.79% 44.76%-0.38 +9.9 55
2003-04-12 Perugia D 1-170.9 1813 1901 33.28% 31.88% 34.84%-0.03 +0.1 20
2003-04-12 @ Como D 1-170.9 1901 1813 34.84% 31.88% 33.28%+0.03 -0.1 36
2003-04-13 Brescia D 0-066.1 1899 1933 40.95% 31.44% 27.61%+0.24 -0.7 40
2003-04-13 @ Udinese D 0-066.1 1933 1899 27.61% 31.44% 40.95%-0.24 +0.7 37
2003-04-13 Chievo Verona W 2-167.9 1850 1946 32.29% 31.86% 35.85%-0.06 +7.9 31
2003-04-13 @ Empoli L 1-267.9 1946 1850 35.85% 31.86% 32.29%+0.06 -7.9 44
2003-04-13 Juventus D 2-278.6 1888 2147 16.27% 26.72% 57.01%-0.85 +1.5 37
2003-04-13 @ Bologna D 2-278.6 2147 1888 57.01% 26.72% 16.27%+0.85 -1.5 61
2003-04-13 Lazio Roma D 0-066.6 1843 2037 21.19% 29.69% 49.12%-0.54 +1.4 32
2003-04-13 @ Modena D 0-066.6 2037 1843 49.12% 29.69% 21.19%+0.54 -1.4 49
2003-04-13 Parma W 2-165.0 2002 2028 42.13% 31.27% 26.59%+0.28 +6.4 39
2003-04-13 @ Roma L 1-265.0 2028 2002 26.59% 31.27% 42.13%-0.28 -6.4 45
2003-04-13 Piacenza L 1-365.8 1791 1815 42.39% 31.23% 26.38%+0.29 -15.5 19
2003-04-13 @ Torino W 3-165.8 1815 1791 26.38% 31.23% 42.39%-0.29 +15.5 23
2003-04-13 Reggina D 1-171.4 1861 1842 48.12% 29.98% 21.90%+0.50 -1.2 29
2003-04-13 @ Atalanta D 1-171.4 1842 1861 21.90% 29.98% 48.12%-0.50 +1.2 30
2003-04-19 Atalanta W 1-056.3 1901 1860 50.89% 29.13% 19.98%+0.61 +5.3 39
2003-04-19 @ Perugia L 0-156.3 1860 1901 19.98% 29.13% 50.89%-0.61 -5.3 29
2003-04-19 Bologna W 3-270.9 1844 1890 39.43% 31.62% 28.95%+0.18 +6.5 35
2003-04-19 @ Modena L 2-370.9 1890 1844 28.95% 31.62% 39.43%-0.18 -6.5 37
2003-04-19 Como W 3-265.8 1898 1813 56.27% 27.05% 16.68%+0.82 +4.0 43
2003-04-19 @ Udinese L 2-365.8 1813 1898 16.68% 27.05% 56.27%-0.82 -4.0 20
2003-04-19 Empoli L 0-168.5 2070 1858 70.01% 19.73% 10.26%+1.44 -13.8 55
2003-04-19 @ AC Milan W 1-068.5 1858 2070 10.26% 19.73% 70.01%-1.44 +13.8 34
2003-04-19 Inter Milan L 0-160.2 1934 2044 30.36% 31.75% 37.89%-0.13 -7.5 37
2003-04-19 @ Brescia W 1-060.2 2044 1934 37.89% 31.75% 30.36%+0.13 +7.5 58
2003-04-19 Piacenza W 2-156.8 2035 1830 69.23% 20.19% 10.57%+1.41 +2.5 52
2003-04-19 @ Lazio Roma L 1-256.8 1830 2035 10.57% 20.19% 69.23%-1.41 -2.5 23
2003-04-19 Reggina W 2-160.4 1938 1843 57.31% 26.59% 16.11%+0.87 +4.0 47
2003-04-19 @ Chievo Verona L 1-260.4 1843 1938 16.11% 26.59% 57.31%-0.87 -4.1 30
2003-04-19 Roma W 2-159.0 2145 2009 62.10% 24.23% 13.67%+1.07 +3.4 64
2003-04-19 @ Juventus L 1-259.0 2009 2145 13.67% 24.23% 62.10%-1.07 -3.4 39
2003-04-19 Torino W 1-049.6 2022 1775 73.23% 17.75% 9.02%+1.61 +2.1 48
2003-04-19 @ Parma L 0-149.6 1775 2022 9.02% 17.75% 73.23%-1.61 -2.1 19
2003-04-26 AC Milan W 2-166.0 2005 2057 38.59% 31.70% 29.71%+0.16 +7.0 42
2003-04-26 @ Roma L 1-266.0 2057 2005 29.71% 31.70% 38.59%-0.16 -7.0 55
2003-04-26 Torino D 2-278.3 1855 1773 55.82% 27.24% 16.93%+0.81 -1.4 30
2003-04-26 @ Atalanta D 2-278.3 1773 1855 16.93% 27.24% 55.82%-0.81 +1.4 20
2003-04-27 Brescia W 2-156.3 2149 1926 70.95% 19.16% 9.89%+1.49 +2.3 67
2003-04-27 @ Juventus L 1-256.3 1926 2149 9.89% 19.16% 70.95%-1.49 -2.3 37
2003-04-27 Chievo Verona D 1-171.0 1883 1942 37.59% 31.77% 30.63%+0.12 -0.3 38
2003-04-27 @ Bologna D 1-171.0 1942 1883 30.63% 31.77% 37.59%-0.12 +0.3 48
2003-04-27 Lazio Roma D 1-171.5 2052 2038 47.45% 30.16% 22.39%+0.48 -1.2 59
2003-04-27 @ Inter Milan D 1-171.5 2038 2052 22.39% 30.16% 47.45%-0.48 +1.1 53
2003-04-27 Modena D 0-066.0 1809 1851 39.89% 31.57% 28.54%+0.20 -0.5 21
2003-04-27 @ Como D 0-066.0 1851 1809 28.54% 31.57% 39.89%-0.20 +0.6 36
2003-04-27 Parma D 0-066.5 1839 2024 22.04% 30.03% 47.92%-0.49 +1.3 31
2003-04-27 @ Reggina D 0-066.5 2024 1839 47.92% 30.03% 22.04%+0.49 -1.3 49
2003-04-27 Perugia W 5-159.7 1828 1907 34.72% 31.89% 33.39%+0.02 +23.9 26
2003-04-27 @ Piacenza L 1-559.7 1907 1828 33.39% 31.89% 34.72%-0.02 -23.9 39
2003-04-27 Udinese D 1-171.1 1872 1902 41.49% 31.37% 27.14%+0.26 -0.6 35
2003-04-27 @ Empoli D 1-171.1 1902 1872 27.14% 31.37% 41.49%-0.26 +0.6 44
2003-05-03 Bologna L 1-273.5 2022 1883 62.39% 24.08% 13.54%+1.09 -12.0 49
2003-05-03 @ Parma W 2-173.5 1883 2022 13.54% 24.08% 62.39%-1.09 +12.0 41
2003-05-03 Brescia D 0-066.1 1883 1924 39.98% 31.56% 28.46%+0.20 -0.6 40
2003-05-03 @ Perugia D 0-066.1 1924 1883 28.46% 31.56% 39.98%-0.20 +0.6 38
2003-05-03 Como W 2-046.0 2050 1808 72.79% 18.03% 9.18%+1.58 +4.1 58
2003-05-03 @ AC Milan L 0-246.0 1808 2050 9.18% 18.03% 72.79%-1.58 -4.1 21
2003-05-03 Empoli D 1-171.1 1851 1871 42.99% 31.13% 25.87%+0.31 -0.8 37
2003-05-03 @ Modena D 1-171.1 1871 1851 25.87% 31.13% 42.99%-0.31 +0.8 36
2003-05-03 Inter Milan D 1-171.7 1854 2051 20.90% 29.56% 49.54%-0.55 +1.3 31
2003-05-03 @ Atalanta D 1-171.7 2051 1854 49.54% 29.56% 20.90%+0.55 -1.3 60
2003-05-03 Juventus D 0-066.1 2039 2151 30.10% 31.73% 38.17%-0.14 +0.4 54
2003-05-03 @ Lazio Roma D 0-066.1 2151 2039 38.17% 31.73% 30.10%+0.14 -0.4 68
2003-05-03 Piacenza W 3-156.9 1942 1852 56.83% 26.80% 16.37%+0.85 +7.1 51
2003-05-03 @ Chievo Verona L 1-356.9 1852 1942 16.37% 26.80% 56.83%-0.85 -7.1 26
2003-05-03 Roma L 2-368.9 1841 2012 23.29% 30.46% 46.24%-0.43 -5.5 31
2003-05-03 @ Reggina W 3-268.9 2012 1841 46.24% 30.46% 23.29%+0.43 +5.5 45
2003-05-03 Udinese L 0-159.3 1775 1903 28.09% 31.51% 40.40%-0.22 -7.1 20
2003-05-03 @ Torino W 1-059.3 1903 1775 40.40% 31.51% 28.09%+0.22 +7.1 47
2003-05-10 AC Milan W 1-063.2 1925 2054 27.99% 31.50% 40.51%-0.22 +9.2 41
2003-05-10 @ Brescia L 0-163.2 2054 1925 40.51% 31.50% 27.99%+0.22 -9.2 58
2003-05-10 Atalanta D 0-066.5 1872 1855 47.81% 30.06% 22.12%+0.49 -1.3 37
2003-05-10 @ Empoli D 0-066.5 1855 1872 22.12% 30.06% 47.81%-0.49 +1.3 32
2003-05-10 Chievo Verona L 2-464.8 1804 1949 26.08% 31.17% 42.75%-0.30 -9.8 21
2003-05-10 @ Como W 4-264.8 1949 1804 42.75% 31.17% 26.08%+0.30 +9.8 54
2003-05-10 Lazio Roma L 0-255.1 1895 2039 26.21% 31.20% 42.59%-0.30 -12.7 41
2003-05-10 @ Bologna W 2-055.1 2039 1895 42.59% 31.20% 26.21%+0.30 +12.7 57
2003-05-10 Modena W 2-161.6 1910 1851 53.13% 28.33% 18.54%+0.70 +4.7 50
2003-05-10 @ Udinese L 1-261.6 1851 1910 18.54% 28.33% 53.13%-0.70 -4.7 37
2003-05-10 Parma D 1-171.8 2049 2010 50.61% 29.22% 20.17%+0.60 -1.4 61
2003-05-10 @ Inter Milan D 1-171.8 2010 2049 20.17% 29.22% 50.61%-0.60 +1.4 50
2003-05-10 Perugia D 2-281.7 2151 1882 75.24% 16.50% 8.27%+1.72 -2.4 69
2003-05-10 @ Juventus D 2-281.7 1882 2151 8.27% 16.50% 75.24%-1.72 +2.4 41
2003-05-10 Reggina D 2-277.5 1845 1835 46.86% 30.31% 22.83%+0.45 -0.8 27
2003-05-10 @ Piacenza D 2-277.5 1835 1845 22.83% 30.31% 46.86%-0.45 +0.8 32
2003-05-10 Torino W 3-151.8 2018 1768 73.58% 17.53% 8.88%+1.63 +3.4 48
2003-05-10 @ Roma L 1-351.8 1768 2018 8.88% 17.53% 73.58%-1.63 -3.4 20
2003-05-17 Bologna W 3-154.5 2045 1882 64.85% 22.73% 12.42%+1.20 +5.2 61
2003-05-17 @ AC Milan L 1-354.5 1882 2045 12.42% 22.73% 64.85%-1.20 -5.2 41
2003-05-17 Brescia W 3-156.0 2052 1934 59.99% 25.31% 14.70%+0.98 +6.3 60
2003-05-17 @ Lazio Roma L 1-356.0 1934 2052 14.70% 25.31% 59.99%-0.98 -6.3 41
2003-05-17 Como W 2-161.4 1856 1794 53.46% 28.21% 18.34%+0.71 +4.6 35
2003-05-17 @ Atalanta L 1-261.4 1794 1856 18.34% 28.21% 53.46%-0.71 -4.6 21
2003-05-17 Empoli D 1-170.8 1764 1870 30.87% 31.79% 37.33%-0.11 +0.3 21
2003-05-17 @ Torino D 1-170.8 1870 1764 37.33% 31.79% 30.87%+0.11 -0.3 38
2003-05-17 Inter Milan L 0-252.8 1846 2048 20.48% 29.37% 50.15%-0.58 -10.3 37
2003-05-17 @ Modena W 2-052.8 2048 1846 50.15% 29.37% 20.48%+0.58 +10.3 64
2003-05-17 Juventus W 2-173.6 1836 2148 13.23% 23.72% 63.05%-1.12 +12.1 35
2003-05-17 @ Reggina L 1-273.6 2148 1836 63.05% 23.72% 13.23%+1.12 -12.1 69
2003-05-17 Piacenza W 3-263.1 2012 1844 65.45% 22.40% 12.15%+1.23 +2.8 53
2003-05-17 @ Parma L 2-363.1 1844 2012 12.15% 22.40% 65.45%-1.23 -2.8 27
2003-05-17 Roma D 0-066.0 1959 2021 37.11% 31.80% 31.08%+0.10 -0.3 55
2003-05-17 @ Chievo Verona D 0-066.0 2021 1959 31.08% 31.80% 37.11%-0.10 +0.3 49
2003-05-17 Udinese L 0-259.7 1885 1915 41.57% 31.36% 27.07%+0.26 -17.7 41
2003-05-17 @ Perugia W 2-059.7 1915 1885 27.07% 31.36% 41.57%-0.26 +17.7 53
2003-05-24 AC Milan W 4-271.7 1841 2050 19.91% 29.09% 51.00%-0.61 +16.0 30
2003-05-24 @ Piacenza L 2-471.7 2050 1841 51.00% 29.09% 19.91%+0.61 -16.0 61
2003-05-24 Atalanta L 1-273.8 2021 1861 64.67% 22.84% 12.50%+1.19 -12.3 49
2003-05-24 @ Roma W 2-173.8 1861 2021 12.50% 22.84% 64.67%-1.19 +12.3 38
2003-05-24 Chievo Verona W 4-365.2 2136 1959 66.43% 21.84% 11.73%+1.27 +2.6 72
2003-05-24 @ Juventus L 3-465.2 1959 2136 11.73% 21.84% 66.43%-1.27 -2.6 55
2003-05-24 Lazio Roma W 2-169.1 1932 2058 28.36% 31.55% 40.09%-0.21 +8.6 56
2003-05-24 @ Udinese L 1-269.1 2058 1932 40.09% 31.55% 28.36%+0.21 -8.6 60
2003-05-24 Modena D 2-278.6 1928 1836 57.03% 26.71% 16.26%+0.86 -1.5 42
2003-05-24 @ Brescia D 2-278.6 1836 1928 16.26% 26.71% 57.03%-0.86 +1.5 38
2003-05-24 Parma L 0-255.0 1870 2015 26.17% 31.19% 42.64%-0.30 -12.7 38
2003-05-24 @ Empoli W 2-055.0 2015 1870 42.64% 31.19% 26.17%+0.30 +12.7 56
2003-05-24 Perugia D 2-280.3 2058 1867 67.87% 21.00% 11.13%+1.34 -2.1 65
2003-05-24 @ Inter Milan D 2-280.3 1867 2058 11.13% 21.00% 67.87%-1.34 +2.1 42
2003-05-24 Reggina L 0-261.5 1877 1848 49.37% 29.62% 21.02%+0.55 -20.1 41
2003-05-24 @ Bologna W 2-061.5 1848 1877 21.02% 29.62% 49.37%-0.55 +20.1 38
2003-05-24 Torino W 1-056.6 1790 1764 48.89% 29.76% 21.35%+0.53 +5.7 24
2003-05-24 @ Como L 0-156.6 1764 1790 21.35% 29.76% 48.89%-0.53 -5.7 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-01-26 9.36% Reggina 1811 1 @ Lazio Roma 2047 0
2 2003-04-19 10.26% Empoli 1858 1 @ AC Milan 2070 0
3 2002-11-09 10.76% Udinese 1861 2 @ Inter Milan 2061 1
4 2002-09-22 11.40% Modena 1869 2 @ Roma 2054 1
5 2003-05-24 12.50% Atalanta 1861 2 @ Roma 2021 1
6 2003-05-17 13.23% @ Reggina 1836 2 Juventus 2148 1
7 2003-05-03 13.54% Bologna 1883 2 @ Parma 2022 1
8 2002-12-08 15.82% @ Brescia 1851 2 Juventus 2116 0
9 2003-01-25 17.60% @ Como 1782 2 Roma 2021 0
10 2003-01-12 18.62% Chievo Verona 1984 1 @ Roma 2042 0
11 2002-12-15 18.66% Lazio Roma 2036 2 @ Juventus 2094 1
12 2003-02-09 18.67% Atalanta 1869 3 @ Bologna 1927 2
13 2002-09-15 19.66% Chievo Verona 1920 3 @ Lazio Roma 1965 2
14 2002-10-27 19.83% Empoli 1876 2 @ Piacenza 1919 1
15 2003-05-24 19.91% @ Piacenza 1841 4 AC Milan 2050 2
16 2003-03-02 20.07% Como 1789 1 @ Piacenza 1829 0
17 2002-09-22 20.42% Brescia 1894 2 @ Chievo Verona 1930 1
18 2003-05-24 21.02% Reggina 1848 2 @ Bologna 1877 0
19 2003-01-19 21.28% @ Atalanta 1838 2 Roma 2031 1
20 2003-01-19 21.73% @ Perugia 1881 4 Inter Milan 2069 1
21 2002-11-10 21.76% Empoli 1874 2 @ Brescia 1895 0
22 2002-09-29 21.80% Empoli 1870 3 @ Perugia 1890 1
23 2002-09-14 22.88% Empoli 1861 2 @ Como 1870 0
24 2002-11-03 23.30% Chievo Verona 1927 1 @ Parma 1931 0
25 2002-11-06 23.33% Modena 1867 3 @ Atalanta 1871 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-03-16 35.45 Parma 4 1979 24.41% @ Chievo Verona 0 1973 44.80% 30.79%
2 2003-03-23 26.90 @ Como 5 1793 28.92% Bologna 1 1914 39.46% 31.62%
3 2002-12-01 25.83 Parma 4 1950 39.62% @ Torino 0 1828 28.78% 31.60%
4 2002-11-24 25.75 @ Parma 3 1925 26.89% Roma 0 2063 41.78% 31.33%
5 2003-01-19 24.26 @ Perugia 4 1881 21.73% Inter Milan 1 2069 48.36% 29.91%
6 2003-04-27 23.92 @ Piacenza 5 1828 34.72% Perugia 1 1907 33.39% 31.89%
7 2002-12-14 23.05 Chievo Verona 3 1956 32.35% @ Piacenza 0 1885 35.78% 31.86%
8 2002-12-08 22.72 @ Brescia 2 1851 15.82% Juventus 0 2116 57.84% 26.34%
9 2002-09-14 22.35 AC Milan 3 1974 33.88% @ Modena 0 1892 34.23% 31.89%
10 2003-01-25 21.76 @ Como 2 1782 17.60% Roma 0 2021 54.67% 27.72%
11 2003-02-01 20.81 Brescia 4 1889 28.96% @ Piacenza 1 1843 39.41% 31.62%
12 2003-05-24 20.13 Reggina 2 1848 21.02% @ Bologna 0 1877 49.37% 29.62%
13 2002-11-10 19.79 Empoli 2 1874 21.76% @ Brescia 0 1895 48.31% 29.92%
14 2002-10-06 19.74 @ AC Milan 6 2009 60.79% Torino 0 1884 14.31% 24.91%
15 2002-09-14 19.32 Empoli 2 1861 22.88% @ Como 0 1870 46.79% 30.33%
16 2003-01-25 18.95 Atalanta 2 1848 23.76% @ Modena 0 1848 45.63% 30.61%
17 2002-10-06 18.91 Inter Milan 4 2019 33.72% @ Piacenza 1 1938 34.39% 31.89%
18 2002-11-02 18.25 Brescia 2 1882 25.54% @ Torino 0 1865 43.40% 31.06%
19 2002-11-06 18.10 Lazio Roma 3 1991 43.27% @ Reggina 0 1842 25.65% 31.08%
20 2002-12-01 18.05 Perugia 2 1879 26.04% @ Atalanta 0 1858 42.80% 31.17%
21 2003-01-19 17.82 Juventus 4 2096 36.61% @ Chievo Verona 1 1995 31.56% 31.83%
22 2003-05-17 17.67 Udinese 2 1915 27.07% @ Perugia 0 1885 41.57% 31.36%
23 2002-09-29 17.12 Empoli 3 1870 21.80% @ Perugia 1 1890 48.26% 29.94%
24 2002-11-06 16.56 Modena 3 1867 23.33% @ Atalanta 1 1871 46.19% 30.48%
25 2003-04-06 16.15 @ Chievo Verona 3 1930 47.52% Udinese 0 1915 22.34% 30.14%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-03-02 84.0 @ AC Milan 3 2066 67.16% Atalanta 3 1881 11.42% 21.42%
2 2003-04-06 81.8 @ Inter Milan 3 2055 52.48% Roma 3 2001 18.95% 28.57%
3 2003-05-10 81.7 @ Juventus 2 2151 75.24% Perugia 2 1882 8.27% 16.50%
4 2002-12-07 81.1 @ Lazio Roma 3 2036 43.38% Inter Milan 3 2053 25.55% 31.06%
5 2003-04-06 80.9 @ Piacenza 3 1815 41.96% Modena 3 1843 26.74% 31.30%
6 2002-11-03 80.3 @ Roma 2 2065 67.67% Perugia 2 1875 11.21% 21.12%
7 2003-05-24 80.3 @ Inter Milan 2 2058 67.87% Perugia 2 1867 11.13% 21.00%
8 2002-09-28 79.7 @ Juventus 2 2090 64.25% Parma 2 1933 12.68% 23.07%
9 2003-01-26 79.3 @ Bologna 2 1936 62.13% Torino 2 1799 13.66% 24.21%
10 2003-04-13 78.6 @ Bologna 2 1888 16.27% Juventus 2 2147 57.01% 26.72%
11 2003-05-24 78.6 @ Brescia 2 1928 57.03% Modena 2 1836 16.26% 26.71%
12 2003-04-26 78.3 @ Atalanta 2 1855 55.82% Torino 2 1773 16.93% 27.24%
13 2002-10-06 78.2 @ Parma 2 1935 53.48% Perugia 2 1873 18.32% 28.20%
14 2003-02-16 77.7 @ AC Milan 2 2055 48.78% Lazio Roma 2 2030 21.43% 29.79%
15 2002-11-16 77.6 @ Roma 2 2064 47.63% Inter Milan 2 2048 22.26% 30.11%
16 2003-02-09 77.5 @ Como 2 1806 22.97% Parma 2 1981 46.67% 30.36%
17 2003-05-10 77.5 @ Piacenza 2 1845 46.86% Reggina 2 1835 22.83% 30.31%
18 2002-09-22 77.2 @ Atalanta 2 1893 42.26% Bologna 2 1918 26.48% 31.25%
19 2003-03-02 77.2 @ Perugia 2 1902 28.30% Lazio Roma 2 2028 40.15% 31.54%
20 2002-10-05 77.1 @ Reggina 2 1847 38.59% Brescia 2 1898 29.71% 31.70%
21 2002-10-27 77.1 @ Lazio Roma 2 1983 34.36% Roma 2 2065 33.75% 31.89%
22 2002-12-01 77.1 @ Roma 2 2037 34.63% Juventus 2 2116 33.49% 31.89%
23 2002-12-22 77.1 @ Atalanta 2 1838 37.63% Empoli 2 1896 30.60% 31.77%
24 2003-02-09 77.1 Atalanta 3 1869 18.67% @ Bologna 2 1927 52.92% 28.41%
25 2002-09-15 76.9 Chievo Verona 3 1920 19.66% @ Lazio Roma 2 1965 51.38% 28.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-03-15 42.6 @ Juventus 3 2148 78.54% Modena 0 1841 7.06% 14.40%
2 2003-04-05 43.3 @ Juventus 2 2144 81.91% Torino 0 1793 5.86% 12.22%
3 2003-03-16 44.1 @ Inter Milan 4 2057 74.25% Como 0 1800 8.63% 17.12%
4 2003-01-12 44.5 @ Juventus 5 2089 76.23% Reggina 0 1809 7.90% 15.87%
5 2002-12-15 44.7 @ Roma 3 2031 71.54% Reggina 0 1803 9.66% 18.80%
6 2003-02-09 44.8 @ Inter Milan 3 2062 71.08% Reggina 0 1838 9.84% 19.08%
7 2003-04-06 45.2 @ Lazio Roma 3 2030 69.77% Como 0 1820 10.36% 19.87%
8 2003-01-26 45.3 @ Juventus 2 2114 75.14% Piacenza 0 1847 8.30% 16.56%
9 2003-05-03 46.0 @ AC Milan 2 2050 72.79% Como 0 1808 9.18% 18.03%
10 2002-12-01 46.4 @ Inter Milan 4 2043 66.88% Brescia 0 1861 11.54% 21.58%
11 2002-09-15 46.5 @ Juventus 3 2071 65.68% Atalanta 0 1901 12.05% 22.27%
12 2003-03-23 46.5 @ Roma 3 1993 65.56% Piacenza 0 1824 12.10% 22.33%
13 2003-01-26 46.8 @ Inter Milan 3 2044 64.53% Empoli 0 1885 12.56% 22.91%
14 2003-01-12 46.9 @ Inter Milan 2 2064 69.77% Modena 0 1854 10.36% 19.87%
15 2002-12-22 47.4 @ Chievo Verona 2 1979 67.99% Como 0 1786 11.08% 20.93%
16 2002-11-03 47.6 @ AC Milan 2 2035 67.57% Reggina 0 1847 11.25% 21.17%
17 2002-12-08 48.2 @ Parma 2 1976 65.43% Reggina 0 1809 12.16% 22.41%
18 2002-11-24 48.4 @ Lazio Roma 4 2016 60.05% Modena 0 1898 14.67% 25.28%
19 2002-10-20 48.9 @ Lazio Roma 3 1972 57.67% Perugia 0 1874 15.91% 26.42%
20 2002-09-21 49.0 @ AC Milan 3 1996 57.30% Perugia 0 1902 16.11% 26.59%
21 2003-02-22 49.0 AC Milan 3 2054 57.03% @ Torino 0 1795 16.26% 26.71%
22 2002-11-17 49.5 Juventus 4 2103 56.54% @ Torino 0 1849 16.53% 26.93%
23 2003-04-19 49.6 @ Parma 1 2022 73.23% Torino 0 1775 9.02% 17.75%
24 2003-02-08 49.7 @ Juventus 1 2116 72.80% Empoli 0 1874 9.18% 18.02%
25 2003-03-02 50.0 @ Juventus 3 2130 53.94% Inter Milan 0 2064 18.05% 28.02%