2002-03 Serie A Season

306 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Juventus

72 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Udinese

13.59 points above expected

56 points · 42.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Torino

13.51 points below expected

21 points · 34.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Juventus	34	21	9	4	72	64	29	+35	68.5	+3.47
2	Inter Milan	34	19	8	7	65	64	38	+26	59.7	+5.27
3	AC Milan	34	18	7	9	61	55	30	+25	61.6	-0.62
4	Lazio Roma	34	15	15	4	60	57	32	+25	57.3	+2.69
5	Parma	34	15	11	8	56	55	36	+19	52.6	+3.44
6	Udinese	34	16	8	10	56	38	35	+3	42.4	+13.59
7	Chievo Verona	34	16	7	11	55	51	39	+12	49.5	+5.54
8	Roma	34	13	10	11	49	55	46	+9	57.3	-8.30
9	Brescia	34	9	15	10	42	36	38	-2	41.4	+0.65
10	Perugia	34	10	12	12	42	40	48	-8	43.3	-1.31
11	Bologna	34	10	11	13	41	39	47	-8	45.1	-4.12
12	Empoli	34	9	11	14	38	36	46	-10	40.7	-2.67
13	Atalanta	34	8	14	12	38	35	47	-12	40.3	-2.32
14	Reggina	34	10	8	16	38	38	53	-15	34.2	+3.77
15	Modena	34	9	11	14	38	30	48	-18	37.5	+0.53
16	Piacenza	34	8	6	20	30	44	62	-18	38.7	-8.73
17	Como	34	4	12	18	24	29	57	-28	32.8	-8.80
18	Torino	34	4	9	21	21	23	58	-35	34.5	-13.51

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Juventus	2118	72	68.53	+3.47	73.0%	52	56	64	68	73	78	84
Inter Milan	2037	65	59.73	+5.27	84.0%	46	50	55	60	63	70	74
Lazio Roma	2036	60	57.31	+2.69	68.0%	39	46	52	57	62	68	74
AC Milan	2019	61	61.62	-0.62	50.0%	48	49	57	61	68	72	74
Parma	2013	56	52.56	+3.44	71.0%	29	41	48	53	57	62	66
Roma	1990	49	57.30	-8.30	15.0%	42	45	53	58	62	67	74
Chievo Verona	1941	55	49.46	+5.54	79.0%	30	38	44	50	54	61	67
Udinese	1930	56	42.41	+13.59	96.0%	27	31	38	42	46	55	62
Brescia	1912	42	41.35	+0.65	53.0%	24	28	36	41	47	55	57
Atalanta	1860	38	40.32	-2.32	44.0%	28	31	36	40	44	51	58
Perugia	1857	42	43.31	-1.31	43.0%	21	33	38	43	48	54	60
Reggina	1854	38	34.23	+3.77	71.0%	12	23	30	34	39	45	47
Bologna	1846	41	45.12	-4.12	31.0%	28	32	40	45	50	57	65
Empoli	1843	38	40.67	-2.67	35.0%	26	29	37	40	45	51	57
Piacenza	1843	30	38.73	-8.73	10.0%	20	29	33	38	43	50	54
Modena	1823	38	37.47	+0.53	56.0%	24	25	33	38	43	50	53
Como	1778	24	32.80	-8.80	15.0%	19	22	27	33	37	45	49
Torino	1747	21	34.51	-13.51	0.0%	23	25	29	33	39	46	54

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	ATA	BOL	BRE	CV	COM	EMP	IM	JUV	LR	MOD	PAR	PER	PIA	REG	ROM	TOR	UDI
AC Milan	—	1-1-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.59	0-1-1 3.78	0-1-1 3.53	2-0-0 4.44	0-1-1 4.00	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.21	0-2-0 2.92	2-0-0 3.77	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.65	1-0-1 4.22	1-1-0 4.17	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 4.10	1-0-1 3.89
Atalanta	0-1-1 1.65	—	1-1-0 2.43	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.18	1-1-0 3.18	0-2-0 2.45	0-1-1 1.46	0-1-1 1.42	0-1-1 1.98	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 2.80	0-2-0 2.96	2-0-0 1.59	0-2-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.62
Bologna	0-0-2 1.91	0-1-1 3.00	—	1-1-0 2.81	0-2-0 2.48	1-0-1 3.57	1-1-0 2.99	0-0-2 1.93	0-2-0 1.36	0-1-1 1.88	1-0-1 3.08	2-0-0 2.22	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 3.01	0-0-2 3.39	1-0-1 1.98	0-1-1 3.51	1-1-0 2.91
Brescia	1-1-0 1.74	1-0-1 2.96	0-1-1 2.62	—	1-1-0 2.38	0-2-0 3.35	0-1-1 3.02	0-0-2 1.82	1-0-1 1.26	0-1-1 1.75	0-2-0 3.17	0-1-1 2.27	1-1-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 1.94	2-0-0 3.19	0-2-0 2.71
Chievo Verona	1-1-0 1.92	1-0-1 3.27	0-2-0 2.91	0-1-1 3.03	—	2-0-0 3.93	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 2.06	0-0-2 1.86	1-1-0 2.28	1-0-1 3.38	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.14	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.61	1-1-0 2.31	1-0-1 3.52	1-0-1 3.02
Como	0-0-2 1.21	0-1-1 2.25	1-0-1 1.90	0-2-0 2.07	0-0-2 1.62	—	0-1-1 2.48	0-0-2 1.33	0-1-1 1.03	0-0-2 1.44	0-2-0 2.32	0-1-1 1.75	0-1-1 2.15	1-1-0 2.24	0-1-1 2.56	1-0-1 1.29	1-1-0 2.70	0-0-2 2.04
Empoli	1-1-0 1.56	0-2-0 2.95	0-1-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.16	1-1-0 2.97	—	0-0-2 1.63	0-0-2 1.40	0-0-2 1.85	1-1-0 2.85	0-0-2 1.89	1-1-0 2.46	2-0-0 2.70	1-0-1 3.04	0-0-2 1.72	0-2-0 3.44	0-1-1 2.58
Inter Milan	0-0-2 2.67	1-1-0 4.12	2-0-0 3.52	2-0-0 3.69	1-0-1 3.39	2-0-0 4.29	2-0-0 3.90	—	0-1-1 2.34	0-2-0 2.76	2-0-0 4.14	1-1-0 3.10	0-1-1 4.01	2-0-0 3.71	2-0-0 3.99	0-2-0 2.86	2-0-0 3.97	0-0-2 3.90
Juventus	1-0-1 3.20	1-1-0 4.16	0-2-0 4.23	1-0-1 4.37	2-0-0 3.66	1-1-0 4.68	2-0-0 4.20	1-1-0 3.09	—	0-1-1 3.29	2-0-0 4.42	1-1-0 3.69	1-1-0 4.25	2-0-0 4.26	1-0-1 4.67	1-1-0 3.47	2-0-0 4.63	2-0-0 4.18
Lazio Roma	0-2-0 2.48	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.57	1-1-0 3.73	0-1-1 3.14	2-0-0 4.14	2-0-0 3.66	0-2-0 2.64	1-1-0 2.13	—	1-1-0 3.89	0-1-1 3.07	1-1-0 3.54	2-0-0 3.94	1-0-1 4.05	0-2-0 2.55	1-1-0 3.69	1-0-1 3.63
Modena	0-0-2 1.79	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.34	0-2-0 2.28	1-0-1 2.03	0-2-0 3.12	0-1-1 2.56	0-0-2 1.44	0-0-2 1.23	0-1-1 1.62	—	1-1-0 2.06	0-1-1 2.50	1-1-0 2.80	2-0-0 2.88	1-1-0 1.57	1-1-0 2.77	0-0-2 2.33
Parma	1-0-1 2.23	1-1-0 3.32	0-0-2 3.28	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.73	2-0-0 3.55	0-1-1 2.31	0-1-1 1.80	1-1-0 2.39	0-1-1 3.43	—	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.75	1-1-0 3.99	1-0-1 2.31	2-0-0 3.97	1-1-0 3.08
Perugia	1-0-1 1.81	2-0-0 2.93	0-1-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.27	1-1-0 3.28	0-1-1 2.95	1-1-0 1.54	0-1-1 1.36	0-1-1 1.92	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.27	—	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 1.88	1-0-1 3.25	0-1-1 2.47
Piacenza	1-0-1 1.38	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 3.17	0-0-2 2.75	0-0-2 1.85	0-0-2 1.35	0-0-2 1.61	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-1 1.77	1-1-0 2.32	—	0-1-1 2.97	0-1-1 1.62	2-0-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.63
Reggina	0-1-1 1.41	0-2-0 2.44	2-0-0 2.02	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 1.86	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.41	0-0-2 1.57	1-0-1 1.04	1-0-1 1.53	0-0-2 2.50	0-1-1 1.55	1-0-1 2.24	1-1-0 2.43	—	0-0-2 1.51	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.27
Roma	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 3.94	1-0-1 3.45	1-1-0 3.51	0-1-1 3.11	1-0-1 4.33	2-0-0 3.78	0-2-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.02	0-2-0 2.82	0-1-1 3.97	1-0-1 3.07	0-1-1 3.63	1-1-0 3.91	2-0-0 4.06	—	2-0-0 4.34	1-0-1 3.52
Torino	0-0-2 1.45	0-2-0 2.31	1-1-0 1.98	0-0-2 2.29	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.73	0-2-0 2.01	0-0-2 1.55	0-0-2 1.07	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 1.61	1-0-1 2.15	0-0-2 2.47	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 1.29	—	0-1-1 1.91
Udinese	1-0-1 1.64	1-1-0 2.76	0-1-1 2.48	0-2-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.37	2-0-0 3.41	1-1-0 2.82	2-0-0 1.64	0-0-2 1.40	1-0-1 1.85	2-0-0 3.10	0-1-1 2.34	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 1.98	1-1-0 3.54	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.15%	8.01%	5.72%	3.43%	0.98%	0.33%	27.61%
1	8.01%	13.40%	8.82%	2.94%	1.47%	0.33%	34.97%
2	5.72%	8.82%	6.21%	1.96%	0.49%	—	23.20%
3	3.43%	2.94%	1.96%	1.31%	0.49%	—	10.13%
4	0.98%	1.47%	0.49%	0.49%	—	—	3.43%
5+	0.33%	0.33%	—	—	—	—	0.65%
Total	27.61%	34.97%	23.20%	10.13%	3.43%	0.65%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.007
Sample size (games)	306

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.82%	14.71%	—	—	—	—	23.53%
1	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
2	8.82%	14.71%	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	32.35%
3	8.82%	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	14.71%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	41.18%	41.18%	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	0.88
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.033
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
1	2.94%	17.65%	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	—	32.35%
2	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%	—	—	—	26.47%
3	—	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	5.88%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.53%	38.24%	20.59%	11.76%	5.88%	—	100%

Atalanta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.41
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.101
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.76%	2.94%	11.76%	—	—	—	26.47%
1	8.82%	11.76%	5.88%	8.82%	—	2.94%	38.24%
2	2.94%	11.76%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
3	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.41%	26.47%	26.47%	14.71%	—	2.94%	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	0.89
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.002
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.47%	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	41.18%
1	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	26.47%
2	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	20.59%
3	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	2.94%	—	8.82%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.18%	26.47%	17.65%	8.82%	5.88%	—	100%

Brescia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.06
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.170
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	2.94%	—	26.47%
1	8.82%	8.82%	11.76%	—	2.94%	—	32.35%
2	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
3	8.82%	2.94%	8.82%	—	2.94%	—	23.53%
4	—	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.29%	32.35%	23.53%	—	8.82%	—	100%

Chievo Verona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.110
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.82%	2.94%	17.65%	5.88%	2.94%	—	38.24%
1	5.88%	23.53%	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	—	47.06%
2	2.94%	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	11.76%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	17.65%	29.41%	29.41%	14.71%	8.82%	—	100%

Como — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.85
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.041
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.76%	8.82%	11.76%	2.94%	—	—	35.29%
1	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	—	38.24%
2	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	—	14.71%
3	—	5.88%	—	—	2.94%	—	8.82%
4	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.53%	38.24%	23.53%	8.82%	5.88%	—	100%

Empoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.06
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.41
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.133
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
1	8.82%	11.76%	8.82%	—	2.94%	—	32.35%
2	14.71%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	32.35%
3	5.88%	2.94%	—	5.88%	—	—	14.71%
4	5.88%	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	11.76%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.29%	35.29%	14.71%	11.76%	2.94%	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.107
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	—	5.88%
1	17.65%	11.76%	8.82%	—	—	—	38.24%
2	8.82%	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	—	32.35%
3	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
4	2.94%	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
5+	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	44.12%	29.41%	23.53%	2.94%	—	—	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	0.85
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.74
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.046
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.71%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
1	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	—	29.41%
2	2.94%	11.76%	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	26.47%
3	8.82%	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	20.59%
4	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.29%	41.18%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.68
Mean allowed	0.94
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.214
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.82%	8.82%	14.71%	8.82%	2.94%	—	44.12%
1	8.82%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	—	32.35%
2	—	11.76%	2.94%	—	—	—	14.71%
3	—	2.94%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	41.18%	26.47%	11.76%	2.94%	—	100%

Modena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.88
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.072
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.82%	2.94%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
1	5.88%	14.71%	20.59%	—	—	—	41.18%
2	11.76%	8.82%	8.82%	—	—	—	29.41%
3	2.94%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	8.82%
4	5.88%	—	—	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.29%	26.47%	35.29%	2.94%	—	—	100%

Parma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.06
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.083
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	8.82%	—	—	23.53%
1	11.76%	11.76%	8.82%	8.82%	—	2.94%	44.12%
2	8.82%	2.94%	14.71%	—	—	—	26.47%
3	2.94%	—	—	—	—	—	2.94%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	32.35%	20.59%	26.47%	17.65%	—	2.94%	100%

Perugia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.18
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.59
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.163
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	26.47%
1	2.94%	8.82%	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	41.18%
2	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
3	—	5.88%	—	2.94%	—	—	8.82%
4	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
Total	11.76%	32.35%	23.53%	26.47%	5.88%	—	100%

Piacenza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	1.82
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.070
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.88%	8.82%	8.82%	8.82%	—	2.94%	35.29%
1	8.82%	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	—	32.35%
2	2.94%	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	2.94%	—	20.59%
3	—	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	—	8.82%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	35.29%	29.41%	11.76%	2.94%	2.94%	100%

Reggina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.122
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.88%	8.82%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	20.59%
1	2.94%	8.82%	17.65%	—	—	—	29.41%
2	—	8.82%	11.76%	—	—	—	20.59%
3	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	26.47%
4	—	2.94%	—	—	—	—	2.94%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.71%	41.18%	38.24%	5.88%	—	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.013
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.94%	23.53%	8.82%	2.94%	5.88%	2.94%	47.06%
1	5.88%	17.65%	8.82%	5.88%	—	—	38.24%
2	—	5.88%	5.88%	2.94%	—	—	14.71%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.82%	47.06%	23.53%	11.76%	5.88%	2.94%	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.68
Mean allowed	1.71
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.106
Games played	34

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.76%	11.76%	2.94%	2.94%	—	—	29.41%
1	14.71%	11.76%	2.94%	—	2.94%	—	32.35%
2	5.88%	23.53%	—	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
3	—	—	2.94%	—	—	—	2.94%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	32.35%	47.06%	8.82%	8.82%	2.94%	—	100%

Udinese — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.163
Games played	34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Udinese	56	42.4	+13.59
2	Chievo Verona	55	49.5	+5.54
3	Inter Milan	65	59.7	+5.27
4	Reggina	38	34.2	+3.77
5	Juventus	72	68.5	+3.47

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Torino	21	34.5	-13.51
2	Como	24	32.8	-8.80
3	Piacenza	30	38.7	-8.73
4	Roma	49	57.3	-8.30
5	Bologna	41	45.1	-4.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Reggina	3	Jan 18 – Feb 2	1 in 103
2	Udinese	4	May 3 – May 24	1 in 55
3	Chievo Verona	4	Oct 26 – Nov 10	1 in 48
4	Modena	3	Nov 6 – Nov 17	1 in 30
5	Inter Milan	4	Sep 14 – Oct 6	1 in 20

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roma	3	Jan 12 – Jan 25	1 in 115
2	Bologna	3	Feb 1 – Feb 16	1 in 30
3	Atalanta	4	Sep 29 – Oct 27	1 in 29
4	Juventus	2	Dec 8 – Dec 15	1 in 28
5	AC Milan	2	Apr 19 – Apr 26	1 in 22

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brescia	16	Dec 8 – Apr 13	1 in 2,703
2	Atalanta	11	Dec 22 – Mar 9	1 in 1,559
3	Lazio Roma	16	Sep 22 – Jan 19	1 in 166
4	Udinese	8	Nov 9 – Jan 12	1 in 45
5	Bologna	7	Nov 10 – Dec 22	1 in 38

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lazio Roma	7	Jan 26 – Mar 8	1 in 263
2	Como	17	Sep 14 – Jan 19	1 in 124
3	Torino	15	Nov 10 – Mar 2	1 in 67
4	Modena	11	Nov 24 – Feb 16	1 in 51
5	Bologna	7	Dec 22 – Feb 16	1 in 39

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
Juventus	60.00%	23.00%	8.00%	6.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inter Milan	10.00%	20.00%	21.00%	24.00%	8.00%	10.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
AC Milan	16.00%	33.00%	18.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lazio Roma	7.00%	10.00%	18.00%	15.00%	18.00%	12.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Parma	—	3.00%	4.00%	13.00%	24.00%	14.00%	17.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%
Udinese	—	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	19.00%	6.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	6.00%
Chievo Verona	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	15.00%	13.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Roma	5.00%	7.00%	24.00%	19.00%	14.00%	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Brescia	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	15.00%	1.00%	6.00%	9.00%	16.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Perugia	—	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	9.00%	12.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Bologna	—	2.00%	—	2.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—
Empoli	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	15.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	5.00%	3.00%	10.00%	1.00%
Atalanta	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Reggina	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	8.00%	2.00%	5.00%	12.00%	23.00%	14.00%	17.00%
Modena	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	17.00%	10.00%	16.00%	7.00%
Piacenza	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	14.00%	7.00%	13.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Como	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	4.00%	9.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	12.00%	8.00%	21.00%	30.00%
Torino	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	14.00%	13.00%	26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AC Milan	100%	—
Inter Milan	100%	—
Juventus	100%	—
Lazio Roma	100%	—
Roma	100%	—
Parma	98.0%	2.0%
Chievo Verona	97.0%	3.0%
Perugia	89.0%	11.0%
Bologna	88.0%	12.0%
Empoli	81.0%	19.0%
Udinese	80.0%	20.0%
Brescia	78.0%	22.0%
Atalanta	75.0%	25.0%
Piacenza	63.0%	37.0%
Modena	50.0%	50.0%
Torino	38.0%	62.0%
Reggina	34.0%	66.0%
Como	29.0%	71.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2002-09-14	Roma	W 2-1	1899	2036	27.2%	30.8%	42.0%	+8.6	3
2002-09-14	@ Bologna	L 1-2	2036	1899	42.0%	30.8%	27.2%	-8.6	0
2002-09-14	Empoli	L 0-2	1847	1846	46.2%	29.6%	24.2%	-18.5	0
2002-09-14	@ Como	W 2-0	1846	1847	24.2%	29.6%	46.2%	+18.5	3
2002-09-14	Torino	W 1-0	1983	1889	59.2%	23.4%	17.4%	+4.2	3
2002-09-14	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1889	1983	17.4%	23.4%	59.2%	-4.2	0
2002-09-14	AC Milan	L 0-3	1875	1960	34.0%	31.7%	34.3%	-21.6	0
2002-09-14	@ Modena	W 3-0	1960	1875	34.3%	31.7%	34.0%	+21.6	3
2002-09-15	Piacenza	L 1-2	1891	1910	43.4%	30.5%	26.2%	-8.8	0
2002-09-15	@ Brescia	W 2-1	1910	1891	26.2%	30.5%	43.4%	+8.8	3
2002-09-15	Atalanta	W 3-0	2046	1890	67.6%	18.1%	14.3%	+8.7	3
2002-09-15	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1890	2046	14.3%	18.1%	67.6%	-8.7	0
2002-09-15	Chievo Verona	L 2-3	1955	1904	53.4%	26.6%	20.1%	-9.7	0
2002-09-15	@ Lazio Roma	W 3-2	1904	1955	20.1%	26.6%	53.4%	+9.7	3
2002-09-15	Reggina	W 2-0	1883	1850	50.8%	27.8%	21.4%	+10.1	3
2002-09-15	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1850	1883	21.4%	27.8%	50.8%	-10.1	0
2002-09-15	Parma	D 1-1	1867	1916	39.1%	31.4%	29.5%	-0.4	1
2002-09-15	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1916	1867	29.5%	31.4%	39.1%	+0.4	1
2002-09-21	Perugia	W 3-0	1981	1893	58.5%	23.8%	17.7%	+11.8	6
2002-09-21	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1893	1981	17.7%	23.8%	58.5%	-11.8	3
2002-09-21	Juventus	L 0-2	1865	2055	22.2%	28.4%	49.5%	-10.5	3
2002-09-21	@ Empoli	W 2-0	2055	1865	49.5%	28.4%	22.2%	+10.5	6
2002-09-22	Bologna	D 2-2	1881	1907	42.3%	30.7%	26.9%	-0.5	1
2002-09-22	@ Atalanta	D 2-2	1907	1881	26.9%	30.7%	42.3%	+0.5	4
2002-09-22	Brescia	L 1-2	1913	1882	50.5%	27.9%	21.6%	-9.8	3
2002-09-22	@ Chievo Verona	W 2-1	1882	1913	21.6%	27.9%	50.5%	+9.8	3
2002-09-22	Como	W 2-0	1916	1828	58.4%	23.8%	17.8%	+8.1	4
2002-09-22	@ Parma	L 0-2	1828	1916	17.8%	23.8%	58.4%	-8.1	0
2002-09-22	Udinese	W 2-0	1919	1866	53.6%	26.5%	20.0%	+9.4	6
2002-09-22	@ Piacenza	L 0-2	1866	1919	20.0%	26.5%	53.6%	-9.4	1
2002-09-22	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1840	1987	26.2%	30.5%	43.4%	-6.1	0
2002-09-22	@ Reggina	W 2-1	1987	1840	43.4%	30.5%	26.2%	+6.1	6
2002-09-22	Modena	L 1-2	2028	1854	69.9%	16.6%	13.5%	-12.2	0
2002-09-22	@ Roma	W 2-1	1854	2028	13.5%	16.6%	69.9%	+12.2	3
2002-09-22	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1885	1945	37.4%	31.6%	31.0%	-8.4	0
2002-09-22	@ Torino	W 1-0	1945	1885	31.0%	31.6%	37.4%	+8.4	3
2002-09-28	Parma	D 2-2	2065	1924	65.6%	19.4%	15.0%	-1.7	7
2002-09-28	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1924	2065	15.0%	19.4%	65.6%	+1.7	5
2002-09-28	AC Milan	D 1-1	1954	1993	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	-0.5	4
2002-09-28	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1993	1954	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	+0.5	7
2002-09-29	Piacenza	W 1-0	1908	1928	43.2%	30.5%	26.3%	+6.5	7
2002-09-29	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1928	1908	26.3%	30.5%	43.2%	-6.5	6
2002-09-29	Roma	L 2-3	1892	2016	28.8%	31.2%	40.0%	-6.3	3
2002-09-29	@ Brescia	W 3-2	2016	1892	40.0%	31.2%	28.8%	+6.3	3
2002-09-29	Reggina	D 1-1	1820	1833	44.2%	30.2%	25.6%	-0.8	1
2002-09-29	@ Como	D 1-1	1833	1820	25.6%	30.2%	44.2%	+0.8	1
2002-09-29	Chievo Verona	W 2-1	1993	1903	58.7%	23.7%	17.6%	+4.0	9
2002-09-29	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1903	1993	17.6%	23.7%	58.7%	-4.0	3
2002-09-29	Torino	W 2-1	1866	1876	44.6%	30.1%	25.3%	+5.9	6
2002-09-29	@ Modena	L 1-2	1876	1866	25.3%	30.1%	44.6%	-5.9	0
2002-09-29	Empoli	L 1-3	1881	1854	50.0%	28.2%	21.9%	-16.9	3
2002-09-29	@ Perugia	W 3-1	1854	1881	21.9%	28.2%	50.0%	+16.9	6
2002-09-29	Atalanta	W 1-0	1857	1880	42.8%	30.6%	26.6%	+6.6	4
2002-09-29	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1880	1857	26.6%	30.6%	42.8%	-6.6	1
2002-10-05	Brescia	D 2-2	1834	1886	38.8%	31.4%	29.8%	-0.3	2
2002-10-05	@ Reggina	D 2-2	1886	1834	29.8%	31.4%	38.8%	+0.3	4
2002-10-05	Udinese	W 4-1	2022	1864	67.9%	17.9%	14.2%	+7.3	6
2002-10-05	@ Roma	L 1-4	1864	2022	14.2%	17.9%	67.9%	-7.3	4
2002-10-06	Torino	W 6-0	1994	1870	63.2%	20.9%	15.9%	+19.4	10
2002-10-06	@ AC Milan	L 0-6	1870	1994	15.9%	20.9%	63.2%	-19.4	0
2002-10-06	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1874	1953	34.7%	31.7%	33.6%	-8.0	1
2002-10-06	@ Atalanta	W 1-0	1953	1874	33.6%	31.7%	34.7%	+8.0	7
2002-10-06	Modena	W 2-0	1899	1872	50.0%	28.1%	21.8%	+10.3	6
2002-10-06	@ Chievo Verona	L 0-2	1872	1899	21.8%	28.1%	50.0%	-10.3	6
2002-10-06	Bologna	D 0-0	1871	1914	39.9%	31.2%	28.9%	-0.5	7
2002-10-06	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1914	1871	28.9%	31.2%	39.9%	+0.5	8
2002-10-06	Como	D 1-1	2064	1819	78.3%	11.1%	10.6%	-3.0	8
2002-10-06	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1819	2064	10.6%	11.1%	78.3%	+3.0	2
2002-10-06	Perugia	D 2-2	1926	1864	54.8%	25.8%	19.4%	-1.2	6
2002-10-06	@ Parma	D 2-2	1864	1926	19.4%	25.8%	54.8%	+1.2	4
2002-10-06	Inter Milan	L 1-4	1922	1997	35.3%	31.7%	33.0%	-18.7	6
2002-10-06	@ Piacenza	W 4-1	1997	1922	33.0%	31.7%	35.3%	+18.7	12
2002-10-19	Roma	L 1-3	1871	2029	25.0%	30.0%	45.0%	-10.2	7
2002-10-19	@ Empoli	W 3-1	2029	1871	45.0%	30.0%	25.0%	+10.2	9
2002-10-19	Juventus	D 1-1	2016	2060	39.7%	31.2%	29.0%	-0.5	13
2002-10-19	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	2060	2016	29.0%	31.2%	39.7%	+0.5	9
2002-10-20	AC Milan	L 1-4	1866	2013	26.2%	30.5%	43.4%	-15.0	1
2002-10-20	@ Atalanta	W 4-1	2013	1866	43.4%	30.5%	26.2%	+15.0	13
2002-10-20	Brescia	W 3-0	1915	1886	50.2%	28.0%	21.7%	+14.9	11
2002-10-20	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1886	1915	21.7%	28.0%	50.2%	-14.9	4
2002-10-20	Piacenza	D 1-1	1822	1903	34.5%	31.7%	33.8%	-0.0	3
2002-10-20	@ Como	D 1-1	1903	1822	33.8%	31.7%	34.5%	+0.0	7
2002-10-20	Perugia	W 3-0	1961	1865	59.5%	23.2%	17.3%	+11.4	10
2002-10-20	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1865	1961	17.3%	23.2%	59.5%	-11.4	4
2002-10-20	Parma	W 2-1	1861	1925	37.0%	31.6%	31.4%	+7.0	9
2002-10-20	@ Modena	L 1-2	1925	1861	31.4%	31.6%	37.0%	-7.0	6
2002-10-20	Chievo Verona	W 1-0	1851	1910	37.7%	31.5%	30.8%	+7.4	3
2002-10-20	@ Torino	L 0-1	1910	1851	30.8%	31.5%	37.7%	-7.4	6
2002-10-20	Reggina	W 1-0	1856	1834	49.3%	28.4%	22.3%	+5.6	7
2002-10-20	@ Udinese	L 0-1	1834	1856	22.3%	28.4%	49.3%	-5.6	2
2002-10-26	AC Milan	W 3-2	1902	2028	28.6%	31.2%	40.2%	+8.0	9
2002-10-26	@ Chievo Verona	L 2-3	2028	1902	40.2%	31.2%	28.6%	-8.0	13
2002-10-26	Udinese	W 1-0	2061	1862	73.0%	14.5%	12.4%	+2.6	12
2002-10-26	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1862	2061	12.4%	14.5%	73.0%	-2.6	7
2002-10-27	Como	D 1-1	1871	1822	53.0%	26.7%	20.2%	-1.5	5
2002-10-27	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1822	1871	20.2%	26.7%	53.0%	+1.5	4
2002-10-27	Bologna	W 2-0	2015	1930	58.1%	24.0%	17.9%	+8.2	16
2002-10-27	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1930	2015	17.9%	24.0%	58.1%	-8.2	11
2002-10-27	Roma	D 2-2	1973	2039	36.5%	31.6%	31.8%	-0.2	11
2002-10-27	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	2039	1973	31.8%	31.6%	36.5%	+0.2	10
2002-10-27	Atalanta	W 2-1	1918	1851	55.5%	25.4%	19.0%	+4.4	9
2002-10-27	@ Parma	L 1-2	1851	1918	19.0%	25.4%	55.5%	-4.4	1
2002-10-27	Modena	W 2-0	1854	1868	44.1%	30.3%	25.7%	+12.0	7
2002-10-27	@ Perugia	L 0-2	1868	1854	25.7%	30.3%	44.1%	-12.0	9
2002-10-27	Empoli	L 1-2	1903	1860	52.2%	27.2%	20.7%	-10.1	7
2002-10-27	@ Piacenza	W 2-1	1860	1903	20.7%	27.2%	52.2%	+10.1	10
2002-10-27	Torino	W 2-1	1828	1858	41.8%	30.8%	27.3%	+6.3	5
2002-10-27	@ Reggina	L 1-2	1858	1828	27.3%	30.8%	41.8%	-6.3	3
2002-11-02	Brescia	L 0-2	1852	1869	43.6%	30.4%	26.0%	-17.7	3
2002-11-02	@ Torino	W 2-0	1869	1852	26.0%	30.4%	43.6%	+17.7	8
2002-11-02	Bologna	D 0-0	1859	1922	37.2%	31.6%	31.3%	-0.3	8
2002-11-02	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1922	1859	31.3%	31.6%	37.2%	+0.3	12
2002-11-03	Reggina	W 2-0	2020	1835	71.3%	15.7%	13.0%	+5.2	16
2002-11-03	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1835	2020	13.0%	15.7%	71.3%	-5.2	5
2002-11-03	Piacenza	W 2-0	1846	1893	39.4%	31.3%	29.3%	+13.4	4
2002-11-03	@ Atalanta	L 0-2	1893	1846	29.3%	31.3%	39.4%	-13.4	7
2002-11-03	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1824	2024	21.4%	27.8%	50.8%	-10.1	4
2002-11-03	@ Como	W 2-0	2024	1824	50.8%	27.8%	21.4%	+10.1	19
2002-11-03	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1870	1973	31.5%	31.6%	36.9%	-7.1	10
2002-11-03	@ Empoli	W 2-1	1973	1870	36.9%	31.6%	31.5%	+7.1	14
2002-11-03	Juventus	L 0-1	1856	2064	20.8%	27.3%	51.9%	-5.2	9
2002-11-03	@ Modena	W 1-0	2064	1856	51.9%	27.3%	20.8%	+5.2	15
2002-11-03	Chievo Verona	L 0-1	1922	1910	47.8%	29.0%	23.2%	-10.0	9
2002-11-03	@ Parma	W 1-0	1910	1922	23.2%	29.0%	47.8%	+10.0	12
2002-11-03	Perugia	D 2-2	2040	1866	69.8%	16.7%	13.5%	-1.9	11
2002-11-03	@ Roma	D 2-2	1866	2040	13.5%	16.7%	69.8%	+1.9	8
2002-11-06	Udinese	W 1-0	2025	1859	68.9%	17.2%	13.9%	+3.0	19
2002-11-06	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	1859	2025	13.9%	17.2%	68.9%	-3.0	8
2002-11-06	Modena	L 1-3	1860	1851	47.3%	29.2%	23.4%	-16.3	4
2002-11-06	@ Atalanta	W 3-1	1851	1860	23.4%	29.2%	47.3%	+16.3	12
2002-11-06	Perugia	W 3-0	1920	1868	53.5%	26.5%	20.0%	+13.6	15
2002-11-06	@ Chievo Verona	L 0-3	1868	1920	20.0%	26.5%	53.5%	-13.6	8
2002-11-06	Inter Milan	L 3-4	1863	2034	23.9%	29.5%	46.7%	-5.2	10
2002-11-06	@ Empoli	W 4-3	2034	1863	46.7%	29.5%	23.9%	+5.2	22
2002-11-06	Brescia	W 4-3	1912	1887	49.6%	28.3%	22.1%	+4.8	12
2002-11-06	@ Parma	L 3-4	1887	1912	22.1%	28.3%	49.6%	-4.8	8
2002-11-06	Juventus	L 0-1	1880	2069	22.3%	28.4%	49.3%	-5.6	7
2002-11-06	@ Piacenza	W 1-0	2069	1880	49.3%	28.4%	22.3%	+5.6	18
2002-11-06	Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1830	1980	25.9%	30.4%	43.8%	-17.6	5
2002-11-06	@ Reggina	W 3-0	1980	1830	43.8%	30.4%	25.9%	+17.6	17
2002-11-06	Como	W 2-1	2038	1814	76.0%	12.6%	11.4%	+2.2	14
2002-11-06	@ Roma	L 1-2	1814	2038	11.4%	12.6%	76.0%	-2.2	4
2002-11-06	Bologna	W 2-1	1834	1922	33.5%	31.7%	34.8%	+7.6	6
2002-11-06	@ Torino	L 1-2	1922	1834	34.8%	31.7%	33.5%	-7.6	12
2002-11-09	Udinese	L 1-2	2039	1856	71.0%	15.9%	13.1%	-12.3	22
2002-11-09	@ Inter Milan	W 2-1	1856	2039	13.1%	15.9%	71.0%	+12.3	11
2002-11-09	Roma	D 1-1	1874	2040	24.3%	29.7%	46.0%	+0.9	8
2002-11-09	@ Piacenza	D 1-1	2040	1874	46.0%	29.7%	24.3%	-1.0	15
2002-11-10	Como	W 1-0	1914	1811	60.5%	22.6%	16.9%	+4.0	15
2002-11-10	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1811	1914	16.9%	22.6%	60.5%	-4.0	4
2002-11-10	Empoli	L 0-2	1882	1858	49.6%	28.3%	22.1%	-19.4	8
2002-11-10	@ Brescia	W 2-0	1858	1882	22.1%	28.3%	49.6%	+19.4	13
2002-11-10	Atalanta	W 4-1	1934	1843	58.8%	23.6%	17.6%	+9.8	18
2002-11-10	@ Chievo Verona	L 1-4	1843	1934	17.6%	23.6%	58.8%	-9.8	4
2002-11-10	AC Milan	W 2-1	2074	2028	52.6%	26.9%	20.4%	+4.8	21
2002-11-10	@ Juventus	L 1-2	2028	2074	20.4%	26.9%	52.6%	-4.8	19
2002-11-10	Parma	D 0-0	1997	1917	57.4%	24.4%	18.2%	-2.0	18
2002-11-10	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1917	1997	18.2%	24.4%	57.4%	+2.0	13
2002-11-10	Torino	W 2-1	1854	1842	47.9%	29.0%	23.1%	+5.5	11
2002-11-10	@ Perugia	L 1-2	1842	1854	23.1%	29.0%	47.9%	-5.5	6
2002-11-10	Modena	L 0-1	1812	1867	38.1%	31.5%	30.4%	-8.6	5
2002-11-10	@ Reggina	W 1-0	1867	1812	30.4%	31.5%	38.1%	+8.6	15
2002-11-16	Perugia	W 2-1	1918	1860	54.4%	26.1%	19.6%	+4.6	18
2002-11-16	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1860	1918	19.6%	26.1%	54.4%	-4.6	11
2002-11-16	Inter Milan	D 2-2	2039	2027	47.9%	29.0%	23.1%	-0.8	16
2002-11-16	@ Roma	D 2-2	2027	2039	23.1%	29.0%	47.9%	+0.8	23
2002-11-17	Parma	W 2-1	2023	1919	60.7%	22.5%	16.8%	+3.8	22
2002-11-17	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1919	2023	16.8%	22.5%	60.7%	-3.8	13
2002-11-17	Brescia	W 2-0	1834	1863	41.9%	30.8%	27.3%	+12.6	7
2002-11-17	@ Atalanta	L 0-2	1863	1834	27.3%	30.8%	41.9%	-12.6	8
2002-11-17	Lazio Roma	L 1-3	1807	1995	22.4%	28.5%	49.1%	-9.2	4
2002-11-17	@ Como	W 3-1	1995	1807	49.1%	28.5%	22.4%	+9.2	21
2002-11-17	Reggina	W 4-2	1878	1803	56.5%	24.9%	18.6%	+6.7	16
2002-11-17	@ Empoli	L 2-4	1803	1878	18.6%	24.9%	56.5%	-6.7	5
2002-11-17	Piacenza	W 1-0	1876	1875	46.3%	29.6%	24.1%	+6.0	18
2002-11-17	@ Modena	L 0-1	1875	1876	24.1%	29.6%	46.3%	-6.0	8
2002-11-17	Juventus	L 0-4	1836	2079	18.4%	24.7%	56.8%	-16.2	6
2002-11-17	@ Torino	W 4-0	2079	1836	56.8%	24.7%	18.4%	+16.2	24
2002-11-17	Chievo Verona	W 2-1	1868	1944	35.2%	31.7%	33.1%	+7.3	14
2002-11-17	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1944	1868	33.1%	31.7%	35.2%	-7.3	18
2002-11-23	Inter Milan	W 1-0	2027	2027	46.1%	29.6%	24.2%	+6.1	25
2002-11-23	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	2027	2027	24.2%	29.6%	46.1%	-6.1	23
2002-11-23	Bologna	D 1-1	2095	1923	69.7%	16.7%	13.6%	-2.6	25
2002-11-23	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1923	2095	13.6%	16.7%	69.7%	+2.6	19
2002-11-24	Udinese	D 1-1	1850	1875	42.5%	30.7%	26.8%	-0.7	9
2002-11-24	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1875	1850	26.8%	30.7%	42.5%	+0.7	15
2002-11-24	Empoli	W 1-0	1936	1884	53.5%	26.5%	20.0%	+5.0	21
2002-11-24	@ Chievo Verona	L 0-1	1884	1936	20.0%	26.5%	53.5%	-5.0	16
2002-11-24	Modena	W 4-0	2004	1882	63.1%	21.0%	15.9%	+13.3	24
2002-11-24	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-4	1882	2004	15.9%	21.0%	63.1%	-13.3	18
2002-11-24	Roma	W 3-0	1915	2038	28.9%	31.2%	39.9%	+24.2	16
2002-11-24	@ Parma	L 0-3	2038	1915	39.9%	31.2%	28.9%	-24.2	16
2002-11-24	Como	W 3-0	1855	1798	54.2%	26.2%	19.7%	+13.4	14
2002-11-24	@ Perugia	L 0-3	1798	1855	19.7%	26.2%	54.2%	-13.4	4
2002-11-24	Torino	W 1-0	1869	1820	53.0%	26.7%	20.2%	+5.0	11
2002-11-24	@ Piacenza	L 0-1	1820	1869	20.2%	26.7%	53.0%	-5.0	6
2002-11-24	Atalanta	D 1-1	1797	1846	39.0%	31.4%	29.6%	-0.4	6
2002-11-24	@ Reggina	D 1-1	1846	1797	29.6%	31.4%	39.0%	+0.4	8
2002-11-30	Chievo Verona	D 1-1	1796	1941	26.4%	30.6%	43.1%	+0.7	7
2002-11-30	@ Reggina	D 1-1	1941	1796	43.1%	30.6%	26.4%	-0.7	22
2002-12-01	Perugia	L 0-2	1847	1869	43.0%	30.6%	26.4%	-17.6	8
2002-12-01	@ Atalanta	W 2-0	1869	1847	26.4%	30.6%	43.0%	+17.6	17
2002-12-01	Modena	W 3-0	1925	1869	54.1%	26.2%	19.7%	+13.4	22
2002-12-01	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1869	1925	19.7%	26.2%	54.1%	-13.4	18
2002-12-01	AC Milan	D 1-1	1879	2033	25.5%	30.2%	44.3%	+0.8	17
2002-12-01	@ Empoli	D 1-1	2033	1879	44.3%	30.2%	25.5%	-0.8	26
2002-12-01	Brescia	W 4-0	2021	1850	69.6%	16.8%	13.6%	+10.6	26
2002-12-01	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1850	2021	13.6%	16.8%	69.6%	-10.6	9
2002-12-01	Lazio Roma	L 2-3	1874	2018	26.6%	30.6%	42.8%	-5.9	11
2002-12-01	@ Piacenza	W 3-2	2018	1874	42.8%	30.6%	26.6%	+5.9	27
2002-12-01	Juventus	D 2-2	2014	2093	34.8%	31.7%	33.5%	-0.0	17
2002-12-01	@ Roma	D 2-2	2093	2014	33.5%	31.7%	34.8%	+0.0	26
2002-12-01	Parma	L 0-4	1815	1939	28.8%	31.2%	40.0%	-25.0	6
2002-12-01	@ Torino	W 4-0	1939	1815	40.0%	31.2%	28.8%	+25.0	19
2002-12-07	Roma	W 1-0	2033	2014	48.8%	28.6%	22.6%	+5.7	29
2002-12-07	@ AC Milan	L 0-1	2014	2033	22.6%	28.6%	48.8%	-5.7	17
2002-12-07	Inter Milan	D 3-3	2024	2032	44.9%	30.0%	25.1%	-0.5	28
2002-12-07	@ Lazio Roma	D 3-3	2032	2024	25.1%	30.0%	44.9%	+0.5	27
2002-12-08	Juventus	W 2-0	1839	2093	17.8%	23.9%	58.3%	+21.7	12
2002-12-08	@ Brescia	L 0-2	2093	1839	58.3%	23.9%	17.8%	-21.7	26
2002-12-08	Bologna	D 0-0	1941	1939	46.4%	29.5%	24.1%	-1.1	23
2002-12-08	@ Chievo Verona	D 0-0	1939	1941	24.1%	29.5%	46.4%	+1.1	23
2002-12-08	Como	D 1-1	1855	1785	56.0%	25.2%	18.8%	-1.7	19
2002-12-08	@ Modena	D 1-1	1785	1855	18.8%	25.2%	56.0%	+1.7	5
2002-12-08	Reggina	W 2-0	1964	1797	69.0%	17.2%	13.8%	+5.7	22
2002-12-08	@ Parma	L 0-2	1797	1964	13.8%	17.2%	69.0%	-5.7	7
2002-12-08	Piacenza	D 0-0	1886	1868	48.7%	28.7%	22.6%	-1.3	18
2002-12-08	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1868	1886	22.6%	28.7%	48.7%	+1.3	12
2002-12-08	Empoli	W 2-1	1876	1880	45.6%	29.8%	24.6%	+5.8	18
2002-12-08	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1880	1876	24.6%	29.8%	45.6%	-5.8	17
2002-12-14	Parma	W 2-1	1940	1970	41.8%	30.9%	27.3%	+6.3	26
2002-12-14	@ Bologna	L 1-2	1970	1940	27.3%	30.9%	41.8%	-6.3	22
2002-12-14	Chievo Verona	L 0-3	1870	1940	36.0%	31.7%	32.3%	-22.5	12
2002-12-14	@ Piacenza	W 3-0	1940	1870	32.3%	31.7%	36.0%	+22.5	26
2002-12-15	Perugia	W 3-1	1861	1885	42.7%	30.6%	26.7%	+10.8	15
2002-12-15	@ Brescia	L 1-3	1885	1861	26.7%	30.6%	42.7%	-10.8	18
2002-12-15	AC Milan	L 1-2	1786	2038	17.9%	24.0%	58.0%	-4.1	5
2002-12-15	@ Como	W 2-1	2038	1786	58.0%	24.0%	17.9%	+4.1	32
2002-12-15	Modena	W 1-0	1874	1854	49.0%	28.5%	22.4%	+5.6	20
2002-12-15	@ Empoli	L 0-1	1854	1874	22.4%	28.5%	49.0%	-5.6	19
2002-12-15	Atalanta	W 1-0	2032	1829	73.5%	14.2%	12.3%	+2.5	30
2002-12-15	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1829	2032	12.3%	14.2%	73.5%	-2.5	8
2002-12-15	Lazio Roma	L 1-2	2071	2023	52.9%	26.8%	20.3%	-10.2	26
2002-12-15	@ Juventus	W 2-1	2023	2071	20.3%	26.8%	52.9%	+10.2	31
2002-12-15	Reggina	W 3-0	2008	1791	75.1%	13.2%	11.7%	+6.5	20
2002-12-15	@ Roma	L 0-3	1791	2008	11.7%	13.2%	75.1%	-6.5	7
2002-12-15	Torino	D 1-1	1882	1790	59.0%	23.5%	17.5%	-1.9	19
2002-12-15	@ Udinese	D 1-1	1790	1882	17.5%	23.5%	59.0%	+1.9	7
2002-12-18	Udinese	L 0-2	1782	1880	32.1%	31.6%	36.2%	-14.3	5
2002-12-18	@ Como	W 2-0	1880	1782	36.2%	31.6%	32.1%	+14.3	22
2002-12-21	Udinese	L 0-1	1848	1894	39.5%	31.3%	29.2%	-8.8	19
2002-12-21	@ Modena	W 1-0	1894	1848	29.2%	31.3%	39.5%	+8.8	25
2002-12-21	Roma	L 0-1	1792	2015	19.7%	26.2%	54.0%	-4.9	7
2002-12-21	@ Torino	W 1-0	2015	1792	54.0%	26.2%	19.7%	+4.9	23
2002-12-22	Brescia	D 0-0	2042	1872	69.5%	16.9%	13.7%	-2.9	33
2002-12-22	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1872	2042	13.7%	16.9%	69.5%	+2.9	16
2002-12-22	Empoli	D 2-2	1827	1880	38.5%	31.4%	30.1%	-0.3	9
2002-12-22	@ Atalanta	D 2-2	1880	1827	30.1%	31.4%	38.5%	+0.3	21
2002-12-22	Como	W 2-0	1962	1768	72.4%	15.0%	12.7%	+5.0	29
2002-12-22	@ Chievo Verona	L 0-2	1768	1962	12.7%	15.0%	72.4%	-5.0	5
2002-12-22	Bologna	D 1-1	2033	1946	58.3%	23.9%	17.8%	-1.9	32
2002-12-22	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1946	2033	17.8%	23.9%	58.3%	+1.9	27
2002-12-22	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1964	2035	35.9%	31.7%	32.5%	-7.7	22
2002-12-22	@ Parma	W 2-1	2035	1964	32.5%	31.7%	35.9%	+7.7	33
2002-12-22	Juventus	L 0-1	1874	2061	22.4%	28.6%	49.0%	-5.6	18
2002-12-22	@ Perugia	W 1-0	2061	1874	49.0%	28.6%	22.4%	+5.6	29
2002-12-22	Piacenza	W 3-1	1785	1847	37.2%	31.6%	31.2%	+12.2	10
2002-12-22	@ Reggina	L 1-3	1847	1785	31.2%	31.6%	37.2%	-12.2	12
2003-01-06	Atalanta	D 1-1	1787	1826	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	-0.5	8
2003-01-06	@ Torino	D 1-1	1826	1787	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	+0.5	10
2003-01-11	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1874	2031	25.2%	30.1%	44.7%	+1.0	17
2003-01-11	@ Brescia	D 0-0	2031	1874	44.7%	30.1%	25.2%	-1.0	33
2003-01-11	Torino	D 1-1	1880	1787	59.2%	23.4%	17.4%	-1.9	22
2003-01-11	@ Empoli	D 1-1	1787	1880	17.4%	23.4%	59.2%	+1.9	9
2003-01-12	AC Milan	L 0-2	1948	2039	33.0%	31.7%	35.3%	-14.6	27
2003-01-12	@ Bologna	W 2-0	2039	1948	35.3%	31.7%	33.0%	+14.6	36
2003-01-12	Atalanta	D 1-1	1763	1827	37.0%	31.6%	31.4%	-0.2	6
2003-01-12	@ Como	D 1-1	1827	1763	31.4%	31.6%	37.0%	+0.2	11
2003-01-12	Modena	W 2-0	2043	1839	73.5%	14.2%	12.3%	+4.8	36
2003-01-12	@ Inter Milan	L 0-2	1839	2043	12.3%	14.2%	73.5%	-4.8	19
2003-01-12	Reggina	W 5-0	2067	1797	80.9%	9.4%	9.7%	+8.1	32
2003-01-12	@ Juventus	L 0-5	1797	2067	9.7%	9.4%	80.9%	-8.1	10
2003-01-12	Parma	D 1-1	1835	1956	29.1%	31.3%	39.6%	+0.4	13
2003-01-12	@ Piacenza	D 1-1	1956	1835	39.6%	31.3%	29.1%	-0.5	23
2003-01-12	Chievo Verona	L 0-1	2020	1967	53.5%	26.5%	20.0%	-10.9	23
2003-01-12	@ Roma	W 1-0	1967	2020	20.0%	26.5%	53.5%	+10.9	32
2003-01-12	Perugia	D 0-0	1903	1868	51.0%	27.7%	21.3%	-1.5	26
2003-01-12	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1868	1903	21.3%	27.7%	51.0%	+1.5	19
2003-01-18	Empoli	W 2-0	1956	1878	57.0%	24.6%	18.4%	+8.5	26
2003-01-18	@ Parma	L 0-2	1878	1956	18.4%	24.6%	57.0%	-8.5	22
2003-01-18	Bologna	W 1-0	1789	1934	26.4%	30.6%	43.0%	+9.3	13
2003-01-18	@ Reggina	L 0-1	1934	1789	43.0%	30.6%	26.4%	-9.3	27
2003-01-19	Piacenza	W 2-1	2054	1835	75.3%	13.0%	11.6%	+2.2	39
2003-01-19	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1835	2054	11.6%	13.0%	75.3%	-2.2	13
2003-01-19	Roma	W 2-1	1827	2009	22.9%	28.8%	48.3%	+9.5	14
2003-01-19	@ Atalanta	L 1-2	2009	1827	48.3%	28.8%	22.9%	-9.5	23
2003-01-19	Juventus	L 1-4	1978	2075	32.3%	31.7%	36.1%	-17.6	32
2003-01-19	@ Chievo Verona	W 4-1	2075	1978	36.1%	31.7%	32.3%	+17.6	35
2003-01-19	Udinese	W 2-1	2030	1902	64.0%	20.4%	15.6%	+3.4	36
2003-01-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1902	2030	15.6%	20.4%	64.0%	-3.4	26
2003-01-19	Brescia	D 0-0	1834	1875	40.3%	31.2%	28.6%	-0.5	20
2003-01-19	@ Modena	D 0-0	1875	1834	28.6%	31.2%	40.3%	+0.6	18
2003-01-19	Inter Milan	W 4-1	1870	2048	23.2%	29.1%	47.7%	+23.1	22
2003-01-19	@ Perugia	L 1-4	2048	1870	47.7%	29.1%	23.2%	-23.1	36
2003-01-19	Como	D 0-0	1789	1763	49.8%	28.2%	22.0%	-1.4	10
2003-01-19	@ Torino	D 0-0	1763	1789	22.0%	28.2%	49.8%	+1.4	7
2003-01-25	Roma	W 2-0	1764	1999	18.9%	25.3%	55.7%	+21.1	10
2003-01-25	@ Como	L 0-2	1999	1764	55.7%	25.3%	18.9%	-21.1	23
2003-01-25	Atalanta	L 0-2	1834	1837	45.8%	29.8%	24.5%	-18.4	20
2003-01-25	@ Modena	W 2-0	1837	1834	24.5%	29.8%	45.8%	+18.4	17
2003-01-26	Torino	D 2-2	1924	1787	65.1%	19.7%	15.2%	-1.7	28
2003-01-26	@ Bologna	D 2-2	1787	1924	15.2%	19.7%	65.1%	+1.7	11
2003-01-26	Parma	D 1-1	1876	1964	33.5%	31.7%	34.8%	+0.0	19
2003-01-26	@ Brescia	D 1-1	1964	1876	34.8%	31.7%	33.5%	-0.1	27
2003-01-26	Empoli	W 3-0	2024	1870	67.4%	18.2%	14.4%	+8.8	39
2003-01-26	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1870	2024	14.4%	18.2%	67.4%	-8.8	22
2003-01-26	Piacenza	W 2-0	2092	1833	79.9%	10.1%	10.1%	+3.7	38
2003-01-26	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1833	2092	10.1%	10.1%	79.9%	-3.6	13
2003-01-26	Reggina	L 0-1	2034	1798	77.3%	11.7%	11.0%	-13.7	36
2003-01-26	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1798	2034	11.0%	11.7%	77.3%	+13.7	16
2003-01-26	Chievo Verona	W 1-0	1893	1960	36.4%	31.6%	31.9%	+7.6	25
2003-01-26	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1960	1893	31.9%	31.6%	36.4%	-7.6	32
2003-01-26	AC Milan	W 1-0	1898	2056	25.1%	30.0%	44.9%	+9.6	29
2003-01-26	@ Udinese	L 0-1	2056	1898	44.9%	30.0%	25.1%	-9.6	39
2003-02-01	Brescia	L 1-4	1829	1876	39.5%	31.3%	29.2%	-20.2	13
2003-02-01	@ Piacenza	W 4-1	1876	1829	29.2%	31.3%	39.5%	+20.2	22
2003-02-01	Bologna	W 3-1	1978	1923	54.0%	26.3%	19.8%	+8.0	26
2003-02-01	@ Roma	L 1-3	1923	1978	19.8%	26.3%	54.0%	-8.0	28
2003-02-02	Modena	W 2-1	2047	1816	76.8%	12.1%	11.2%	+2.1	42
2003-02-02	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1816	2047	11.2%	12.1%	76.8%	-2.1	20
2003-02-02	Juventus	D 1-1	1855	2096	18.6%	24.9%	56.6%	+1.7	18
2003-02-02	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	2096	1855	56.6%	24.9%	18.6%	-1.7	39
2003-02-02	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1953	2020	36.5%	31.6%	31.9%	-0.2	33
2003-02-02	@ Chievo Verona	D 1-1	2020	1953	31.9%	31.6%	36.5%	+0.2	37
2003-02-02	Como	D 0-0	1861	1785	56.8%	24.8%	18.5%	-2.0	23
2003-02-02	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1785	1861	18.5%	24.8%	56.8%	+2.0	11
2003-02-02	Udinese	W 3-2	1964	1908	54.0%	26.2%	19.7%	+4.4	30
2003-02-02	@ Parma	L 2-3	1908	1964	19.7%	26.2%	54.0%	-4.4	29
2003-02-02	Perugia	W 3-1	1812	1901	33.4%	31.7%	34.9%	+13.1	19
2003-02-02	@ Reggina	L 1-3	1901	1812	34.9%	31.7%	33.4%	-13.2	25
2003-02-02	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1789	2033	18.4%	24.6%	57.0%	-8.5	11
2003-02-02	@ Torino	W 2-0	2033	1789	57.0%	24.6%	18.4%	+8.5	42
2003-02-08	Empoli	W 1-0	2094	1859	77.2%	11.8%	11.0%	+2.2	42
2003-02-08	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1859	2094	11.0%	11.8%	77.2%	-2.2	23
2003-02-08	Piacenza	W 2-1	1903	1809	59.3%	23.3%	17.4%	+4.0	32
2003-02-08	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1809	1903	17.4%	23.3%	59.3%	-4.0	13
2003-02-09	Atalanta	L 2-3	1915	1857	54.3%	26.1%	19.6%	-9.8	28
2003-02-09	@ Bologna	W 3-2	1857	1915	19.6%	26.1%	54.3%	+9.8	21
2003-02-09	Chievo Verona	D 0-0	1896	1953	38.0%	31.5%	30.5%	-0.4	23
2003-02-09	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1953	1896	30.5%	31.5%	38.0%	+0.3	34
2003-02-09	Parma	D 2-2	1787	1968	22.9%	28.9%	48.2%	+0.8	12
2003-02-09	@ Como	D 2-2	1968	1787	48.2%	28.9%	22.9%	-0.8	31
2003-02-09	Reggina	W 3-0	2042	1825	75.1%	13.2%	11.7%	+6.5	45
2003-02-09	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1825	2042	11.7%	13.2%	75.1%	-6.5	19
2003-02-09	Torino	D 1-1	2020	1780	77.8%	11.4%	10.8%	-3.0	38
2003-02-09	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1780	2020	10.8%	11.4%	77.8%	+3.0	12
2003-02-09	Roma	D 1-1	1813	1986	23.7%	29.3%	47.0%	+1.0	21
2003-02-09	@ Modena	D 1-1	1986	1813	47.0%	29.3%	23.7%	-1.0	27
2003-02-09	AC Milan	W 1-0	1887	2049	24.8%	29.9%	45.4%	+9.7	28
2003-02-09	@ Perugia	L 0-1	2049	1887	45.4%	29.9%	24.8%	-9.7	42
2003-02-15	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1953	2048	32.5%	31.7%	35.9%	+7.7	37
2003-02-15	@ Chievo Verona	L 1-2	2048	1953	35.9%	31.7%	32.5%	-7.7	45
2003-02-15	Brescia	D 0-0	1985	1896	58.6%	23.7%	17.7%	-2.1	28
2003-02-15	@ Roma	D 0-0	1896	1985	17.7%	23.7%	58.6%	+2.1	24
2003-02-16	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	2039	2017	49.2%	28.5%	22.3%	-0.9	43
2003-02-16	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	2017	2039	22.3%	28.5%	49.2%	+0.9	39
2003-02-16	Udinese	D 0-0	1866	1907	40.3%	31.2%	28.6%	-0.5	22
2003-02-16	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1907	1866	28.6%	31.2%	40.3%	+0.5	33
2003-02-16	Perugia	D 1-1	1857	1897	40.3%	31.1%	28.5%	-0.5	24
2003-02-16	@ Empoli	D 1-1	1897	1857	28.5%	31.1%	40.3%	+0.5	29
2003-02-16	Juventus	L 1-2	1968	2096	28.2%	31.1%	40.7%	-6.5	31
2003-02-16	@ Parma	W 2-1	2096	1968	40.7%	31.1%	28.2%	+6.5	45
2003-02-16	Bologna	W 3-1	1805	1905	31.9%	31.6%	36.5%	+13.5	16
2003-02-16	@ Piacenza	L 1-3	1905	1805	36.5%	31.6%	31.9%	-13.5	28
2003-02-16	Como	W 4-1	1818	1788	50.4%	28.0%	21.6%	+12.5	22
2003-02-16	@ Reggina	L 1-4	1788	1818	21.6%	28.0%	50.4%	-12.5	12
2003-02-16	Modena	D 1-1	1783	1814	41.7%	30.9%	27.5%	-0.6	13
2003-02-16	@ Torino	D 1-1	1814	1783	27.5%	30.9%	41.7%	+0.6	22
2003-02-22	Juventus	L 1-3	1776	2103	14.1%	17.7%	68.2%	-5.1	12
2003-02-22	@ Como	W 3-1	2103	1776	68.2%	17.7%	14.1%	+5.1	48
2003-02-22	AC Milan	L 0-3	1783	2038	17.7%	23.8%	58.6%	-11.8	13
2003-02-22	@ Torino	W 3-0	2038	1783	58.6%	23.8%	17.7%	+11.8	46
2003-02-23	Empoli	W 2-0	1891	1856	51.1%	27.7%	21.3%	+10.0	31
2003-02-23	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1856	1891	21.3%	27.7%	51.1%	-10.0	24
2003-02-23	Reggina	W 2-1	1898	1831	55.5%	25.4%	19.0%	+4.4	27
2003-02-23	@ Brescia	L 1-2	1831	1898	19.0%	25.4%	55.5%	-4.4	22
2003-02-23	Piacenza	W 3-1	2040	1819	75.7%	12.8%	11.5%	+3.8	48
2003-02-23	@ Inter Milan	L 1-3	1819	2040	11.5%	12.8%	75.7%	-3.8	16
2003-02-23	Atalanta	D 0-0	2018	1866	67.1%	18.4%	14.5%	-2.7	40
2003-02-23	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1866	2018	14.5%	18.4%	67.1%	+2.7	23
2003-02-23	Chievo Verona	W 1-0	1815	1961	26.3%	30.5%	43.1%	+9.3	25
2003-02-23	@ Modena	L 0-1	1961	1815	43.1%	30.5%	26.3%	-9.3	37
2003-02-23	Parma	L 1-2	1898	1961	37.0%	31.6%	31.4%	-7.9	29
2003-02-23	@ Perugia	W 2-1	1961	1898	31.4%	31.6%	37.0%	+7.9	34
2003-02-23	Roma	W 2-1	1908	1983	35.3%	31.7%	33.0%	+7.3	36
2003-02-23	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1983	1908	33.0%	31.7%	35.3%	-7.3	28
2003-03-01	Bologna	D 0-0	1902	1901	46.3%	29.6%	24.1%	-1.1	28
2003-03-01	@ Brescia	D 0-0	1901	1902	24.1%	29.6%	46.3%	+1.1	32
2003-03-01	Modena	D 1-1	1969	1824	66.1%	19.1%	14.8%	-2.4	35
2003-03-01	@ Parma	D 1-1	1824	1969	14.8%	19.1%	66.1%	+2.3	26
2003-03-02	Atalanta	D 3-3	2050	1869	70.8%	16.0%	13.2%	-1.6	47
2003-03-02	@ AC Milan	D 3-3	1869	2050	13.2%	16.0%	70.8%	+1.6	24
2003-03-02	Torino	W 3-2	1951	1771	70.7%	16.1%	13.2%	+2.5	40
2003-03-02	@ Chievo Verona	L 2-3	1771	1951	13.2%	16.1%	70.7%	-2.5	13
2003-03-02	Inter Milan	W 3-0	2108	2044	55.1%	25.7%	19.2%	+13.0	51
2003-03-02	@ Juventus	L 0-3	2044	2108	19.2%	25.7%	55.1%	-13.0	48
2003-03-02	Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1890	2015	28.6%	31.2%	40.3%	+0.4	30
2003-03-02	@ Perugia	D 2-2	2015	1890	40.3%	31.2%	28.6%	-0.4	41
2003-03-02	Como	L 0-1	1815	1770	52.4%	27.0%	20.5%	-10.7	16
2003-03-02	@ Piacenza	W 1-0	1770	1815	20.5%	27.0%	52.4%	+10.7	15
2003-03-02	Udinese	W 3-2	1826	1915	33.4%	31.7%	34.9%	+7.2	25
2003-03-02	@ Reggina	L 2-3	1915	1826	34.9%	31.7%	33.4%	-7.2	36
2003-03-02	Empoli	W 3-1	1976	1846	64.1%	20.4%	15.6%	+5.9	31
2003-03-02	@ Roma	L 1-3	1846	1976	15.6%	20.4%	64.1%	-5.9	24
2003-03-08	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1902	2031	28.2%	31.1%	40.7%	-6.5	32
2003-03-08	@ Bologna	W 2-1	2031	1902	40.7%	31.1%	28.2%	+6.5	51
2003-03-08	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1982	2015	41.3%	30.9%	27.7%	-0.6	32
2003-03-08	@ Roma	D 1-1	2015	1982	27.7%	30.9%	41.3%	+0.6	42
2003-03-09	Chievo Verona	D 0-0	2048	1954	59.3%	23.3%	17.4%	-2.2	48
2003-03-09	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1954	2048	17.4%	23.3%	59.3%	+2.2	41
2003-03-09	Parma	D 0-0	1870	1967	32.3%	31.7%	36.0%	+0.2	25
2003-03-09	@ Atalanta	D 0-0	1967	1870	36.0%	31.7%	32.3%	-0.2	36
2003-03-09	Brescia	D 1-1	1781	1901	29.2%	31.3%	39.5%	+0.4	16
2003-03-09	@ Como	D 1-1	1901	1781	39.5%	31.3%	29.2%	-0.4	29
2003-03-09	Piacenza	W 3-1	1840	1804	51.2%	27.6%	21.2%	+8.7	27
2003-03-09	@ Empoli	L 1-3	1804	1840	21.2%	27.6%	51.2%	-8.7	16
2003-03-09	Perugia	D 1-1	1827	1890	37.0%	31.6%	31.4%	-0.2	27
2003-03-09	@ Modena	D 1-1	1890	1827	31.4%	31.6%	37.0%	+0.2	31
2003-03-09	Reggina	W 1-0	1768	1834	36.8%	31.6%	31.6%	+7.5	16
2003-03-09	@ Torino	L 0-1	1834	1768	31.6%	31.6%	36.8%	-7.5	25
2003-03-09	Juventus	L 0-1	1908	2121	20.4%	26.9%	52.7%	-5.1	36
2003-03-09	@ Udinese	W 1-0	2121	1908	52.7%	26.9%	20.4%	+5.1	54
2003-03-15	Modena	W 3-0	2126	1827	83.8%	7.6%	8.6%	+4.3	57
2003-03-15	@ Juventus	L 0-3	1827	2126	8.6%	7.6%	83.8%	-4.3	27
2003-03-15	AC Milan	D 0-0	1826	2046	19.9%	26.4%	53.6%	+1.7	26
2003-03-15	@ Reggina	D 0-0	2046	1826	53.6%	26.4%	19.9%	-1.7	49
2003-03-16	Udinese	W 1-0	1896	1903	45.1%	30.0%	24.9%	+6.2	35
2003-03-16	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1903	1896	24.9%	30.0%	45.1%	-6.2	36
2003-03-16	Torino	W 1-0	1901	1776	63.4%	20.8%	15.8%	+3.7	32
2003-03-16	@ Brescia	L 0-1	1776	1901	15.8%	20.8%	63.4%	-3.7	16
2003-03-16	Parma	L 0-4	1956	1966	44.7%	30.1%	25.2%	-34.2	41
2003-03-16	@ Chievo Verona	W 4-0	1966	1956	25.2%	30.1%	44.7%	+34.2	39
2003-03-16	Como	W 4-0	2038	1782	79.5%	10.3%	10.2%	+7.0	54
2003-03-16	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1782	2038	10.2%	10.3%	79.5%	-7.0	16
2003-03-16	Empoli	W 4-1	2016	1849	68.9%	17.2%	13.8%	+7.0	45
2003-03-16	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-4	1849	2016	13.8%	17.2%	68.9%	-7.0	27
2003-03-16	Roma	W 1-0	1890	1981	33.1%	31.7%	35.2%	+8.1	34
2003-03-16	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1981	1890	35.2%	31.7%	33.1%	-8.1	32
2003-03-16	Atalanta	W 2-0	1796	1870	35.4%	31.7%	33.0%	+14.6	19
2003-03-16	@ Piacenza	L 0-2	1870	1796	33.0%	31.7%	35.4%	-14.6	25
2003-03-22	Juventus	W 2-1	2044	2130	33.8%	31.7%	34.5%	+7.5	52
2003-03-22	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	2130	2044	34.5%	31.7%	33.8%	-7.5	57
2003-03-22	Reggina	W 2-1	1822	1828	45.3%	29.9%	24.8%	+5.8	30
2003-03-22	@ Modena	L 1-2	1828	1822	24.8%	29.9%	45.3%	-5.8	26
2003-03-23	Chievo Verona	W 1-0	1856	1922	36.6%	31.6%	31.8%	+7.5	28
2003-03-23	@ Atalanta	L 0-1	1922	1856	31.8%	31.6%	36.6%	-7.5	41
2003-03-23	Bologna	W 5-1	1775	1902	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	+26.6	19
2003-03-23	@ Como	L 1-5	1902	1775	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	-26.6	35
2003-03-23	Brescia	D 0-0	1842	1904	37.1%	31.6%	31.3%	-0.3	28
2003-03-23	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1904	1842	31.3%	31.6%	37.1%	+0.3	33
2003-03-23	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	2001	2023	43.0%	30.6%	26.5%	+6.2	42
2003-03-23	@ Parma	L 1-2	2023	2001	26.5%	30.6%	43.0%	-6.2	45
2003-03-23	Piacenza	W 3-0	1973	1810	68.4%	17.5%	14.0%	+8.5	35
2003-03-23	@ Roma	L 0-3	1810	1973	14.0%	17.5%	68.4%	-8.5	19
2003-03-23	Perugia	W 2-1	1772	1898	28.5%	31.1%	40.3%	+8.4	19
2003-03-23	@ Torino	L 1-2	1898	1772	40.3%	31.1%	28.5%	-8.4	34
2003-03-23	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1897	2045	26.1%	30.4%	43.5%	+8.8	39
2003-03-23	@ Udinese	L 1-2	2045	1897	43.5%	30.4%	26.1%	-8.8	54
2003-04-05	Torino	W 2-0	2123	1781	87.4%	5.4%	7.2%	+2.4	60
2003-04-05	@ Juventus	L 0-2	1781	2123	7.2%	5.4%	87.4%	-2.4	19
2003-04-05	AC Milan	W 1-0	2007	2052	39.6%	31.3%	29.1%	+7.1	45
2003-04-05	@ Parma	L 0-1	2052	2007	29.1%	31.3%	39.6%	-7.1	52
2003-04-06	Atalanta	W 3-0	1905	1863	52.0%	27.2%	20.8%	+14.2	36
2003-04-06	@ Brescia	L 0-3	1863	1905	20.8%	27.2%	52.0%	-14.2	28
2003-04-06	Udinese	W 3-0	1914	1906	47.4%	29.2%	23.4%	+16.1	44
2003-04-06	@ Chievo Verona	L 0-3	1906	1914	23.4%	29.2%	47.4%	-16.1	39
2003-04-06	Roma	D 3-3	2036	1981	53.8%	26.3%	19.8%	-1.0	55
2003-04-06	@ Inter Milan	D 3-3	1981	2036	19.8%	26.3%	53.8%	+1.0	36
2003-04-06	Como	W 3-0	2017	1801	75.0%	13.3%	11.8%	+6.6	48
2003-04-06	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-3	1801	2017	11.8%	13.3%	75.0%	-6.6	19
2003-04-06	Bologna	D 1-1	1890	1875	48.2%	28.9%	22.9%	-1.1	35
2003-04-06	@ Perugia	D 1-1	1875	1890	22.9%	28.9%	48.2%	+1.1	36
2003-04-06	Modena	D 3-3	1802	1828	42.4%	30.7%	26.9%	-0.4	20
2003-04-06	@ Piacenza	D 3-3	1828	1802	26.9%	30.7%	42.4%	+0.4	31
2003-04-06	Empoli	W 1-0	1822	1842	43.3%	30.5%	26.2%	+6.5	29
2003-04-06	@ Reggina	L 0-1	1842	1822	26.2%	30.5%	43.3%	-6.5	28
2003-04-12	Perugia	D 1-1	1795	1889	32.6%	31.7%	35.7%	+0.1	20
2003-04-12	@ Como	D 1-1	1889	1795	35.7%	31.7%	32.6%	-0.1	36
2003-04-12	AC Milan	L 0-1	2035	2045	44.7%	30.1%	25.2%	-9.6	55
2003-04-12	@ Inter Milan	W 1-0	2045	2035	25.2%	30.1%	44.7%	+9.6	55
2003-04-13	Reggina	D 1-1	1849	1829	49.0%	28.5%	22.4%	-1.2	29
2003-04-13	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	1829	1849	22.4%	28.5%	49.0%	+1.2	30
2003-04-13	Juventus	D 2-2	1877	2125	18.1%	24.3%	57.6%	+1.4	37
2003-04-13	@ Bologna	D 2-2	2125	1877	57.6%	24.3%	18.1%	-1.4	61
2003-04-13	Chievo Verona	W 2-1	1835	1930	32.5%	31.7%	35.9%	+7.7	31
2003-04-13	@ Empoli	L 1-2	1930	1835	35.9%	31.7%	32.5%	-7.7	44
2003-04-13	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1828	2023	21.8%	28.1%	50.1%	+1.4	32
2003-04-13	@ Modena	D 0-0	2023	1828	50.1%	28.1%	21.8%	-1.4	49
2003-04-13	Parma	W 2-1	1982	2014	41.6%	30.9%	27.5%	+6.4	39
2003-04-13	@ Roma	L 1-2	2014	1982	27.5%	30.9%	41.6%	-6.4	45
2003-04-13	Piacenza	L 1-3	1778	1801	42.9%	30.6%	26.6%	-15.2	19
2003-04-13	@ Torino	W 3-1	1801	1778	26.6%	30.6%	42.9%	+15.2	23
2003-04-13	Brescia	D 0-0	1890	1919	41.9%	30.8%	27.3%	-0.7	40
2003-04-13	@ Udinese	D 0-0	1919	1890	27.3%	30.8%	41.9%	+0.7	37
2003-04-19	Empoli	L 0-1	2054	1843	74.5%	13.6%	11.9%	-13.4	55
2003-04-19	@ AC Milan	W 1-0	1843	2054	11.9%	13.6%	74.5%	+13.4	34
2003-04-19	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1920	2025	31.1%	31.6%	37.4%	-7.4	37
2003-04-19	@ Brescia	W 1-0	2025	1920	37.4%	31.6%	31.1%	+7.4	58
2003-04-19	Reggina	W 2-1	1923	1830	59.1%	23.4%	17.5%	+4.0	47
2003-04-19	@ Chievo Verona	L 1-2	1830	1923	17.5%	23.4%	59.1%	-4.0	30
2003-04-19	Roma	W 2-1	2124	1989	64.8%	19.9%	15.3%	+3.3	64
2003-04-19	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1989	2124	15.3%	19.9%	64.8%	-3.3	39
2003-04-19	Piacenza	W 2-1	2022	1816	73.8%	14.1%	12.2%	+2.4	52
2003-04-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-2	1816	2022	12.2%	14.1%	73.8%	-2.4	23
2003-04-19	Bologna	W 3-2	1830	1878	39.2%	31.3%	29.4%	+6.4	35
2003-04-19	@ Modena	L 2-3	1878	1830	29.4%	31.3%	39.2%	-6.4	37
2003-04-19	Torino	W 1-0	2007	1763	78.3%	11.1%	10.6%	+2.1	48
2003-04-19	@ Parma	L 0-1	1763	2007	10.6%	11.1%	78.3%	-2.1	19
2003-04-19	Atalanta	W 1-0	1889	1848	51.9%	27.3%	20.8%	+5.2	39
2003-04-19	@ Perugia	L 0-1	1848	1889	20.8%	27.3%	51.9%	-5.2	29
2003-04-19	Como	W 3-2	1889	1795	59.3%	23.3%	17.4%	+3.8	43
2003-04-19	@ Udinese	L 2-3	1795	1889	17.4%	23.3%	59.3%	-3.8	20
2003-04-26	Torino	D 2-2	1843	1761	57.6%	24.3%	18.1%	-1.3	30
2003-04-26	@ Atalanta	D 2-2	1761	1843	18.1%	24.3%	57.6%	+1.4	20
2003-04-26	AC Milan	W 2-1	1985	2041	38.1%	31.5%	30.4%	+6.9	42
2003-04-26	@ Roma	L 1-2	2041	1985	30.4%	31.5%	38.1%	-6.9	55
2003-04-27	Chievo Verona	D 1-1	1872	1927	38.2%	31.5%	30.3%	-0.3	38
2003-04-27	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1927	1872	30.3%	31.5%	38.2%	+0.3	48
2003-04-27	Modena	D 0-0	1791	1836	39.6%	31.3%	29.1%	-0.5	21
2003-04-27	@ Como	D 0-0	1836	1791	29.1%	31.3%	39.6%	+0.5	36
2003-04-27	Udinese	D 1-1	1856	1893	40.9%	31.0%	28.0%	-0.5	35
2003-04-27	@ Empoli	D 1-1	1893	1856	28.0%	31.0%	40.9%	+0.6	44
2003-04-27	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	2033	2024	47.4%	29.2%	23.4%	-1.1	59
2003-04-27	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	2024	2033	23.4%	29.2%	47.4%	+1.1	53
2003-04-27	Brescia	W 2-1	2127	1912	74.9%	13.3%	11.8%	+2.3	67
2003-04-27	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1912	2127	11.8%	13.3%	74.9%	-2.3	37
2003-04-27	Perugia	W 5-1	1814	1894	34.6%	31.7%	33.7%	+23.4	26
2003-04-27	@ Piacenza	L 1-5	1894	1814	33.7%	31.7%	34.6%	-23.4	39
2003-04-27	Parma	D 0-0	1826	2010	22.7%	28.7%	48.6%	+1.3	31
2003-04-27	@ Reggina	D 0-0	2010	1826	48.6%	28.7%	22.7%	-1.3	49
2003-05-03	Como	W 2-0	2034	1790	78.2%	11.2%	10.7%	+4.0	58
2003-05-03	@ AC Milan	L 0-2	1790	2034	10.7%	11.2%	78.2%	-4.0	21
2003-05-03	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1841	2032	22.1%	28.3%	49.5%	+1.2	31
2003-05-03	@ Atalanta	D 1-1	2032	1841	49.5%	28.3%	22.1%	-1.2	60
2003-05-03	Piacenza	W 3-1	1927	1837	58.7%	23.7%	17.6%	+7.0	51
2003-05-03	@ Chievo Verona	L 1-3	1837	1927	17.6%	23.7%	58.7%	-7.0	26
2003-05-03	Juventus	D 0-0	2025	2129	31.2%	31.6%	37.2%	+0.3	54
2003-05-03	@ Lazio Roma	D 0-0	2129	2025	37.2%	31.6%	31.2%	-0.3	68
2003-05-03	Empoli	D 1-1	1837	1856	43.4%	30.5%	26.1%	-0.8	37
2003-05-03	@ Modena	D 1-1	1856	1837	26.1%	30.5%	43.4%	+0.8	36
2003-05-03	Bologna	L 1-2	2008	1871	65.1%	19.7%	15.2%	-11.7	49
2003-05-03	@ Parma	W 2-1	1871	2008	15.2%	19.7%	65.1%	+11.7	41
2003-05-03	Brescia	D 0-0	1871	1910	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	-0.6	40
2003-05-03	@ Perugia	D 0-0	1910	1871	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	+0.6	38
2003-05-03	Roma	L 2-3	1827	1992	24.4%	29.7%	45.9%	-5.4	31
2003-05-03	@ Reggina	W 3-2	1992	1827	45.9%	29.7%	24.4%	+5.5	45
2003-05-03	Udinese	L 0-1	1762	1893	28.0%	31.0%	41.0%	-6.9	20
2003-05-03	@ Torino	W 1-0	1893	1762	41.0%	31.0%	28.0%	+6.9	47
2003-05-10	Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1883	2025	26.7%	30.6%	42.7%	-12.4	41
2003-05-10	@ Bologna	W 2-0	2025	1883	42.7%	30.6%	26.7%	+12.4	57
2003-05-10	AC Milan	W 1-0	1911	2038	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	+8.9	41
2003-05-10	@ Brescia	L 0-1	2038	1911	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	-8.9	58
2003-05-10	Chievo Verona	L 2-4	1786	1934	26.1%	30.5%	43.4%	-9.5	21
2003-05-10	@ Como	W 4-2	1934	1786	43.4%	30.5%	26.1%	+9.5	54
2003-05-10	Atalanta	D 0-0	1857	1843	48.1%	28.9%	23.0%	-1.2	37
2003-05-10	@ Empoli	D 0-0	1843	1857	23.0%	28.9%	48.1%	+1.2	32
2003-05-10	Parma	D 1-1	2031	1997	50.9%	27.7%	21.3%	-1.3	61
2003-05-10	@ Inter Milan	D 1-1	1997	2031	21.3%	27.7%	50.9%	+1.3	50
2003-05-10	Perugia	D 2-2	2129	1870	79.8%	10.1%	10.1%	-2.3	69
2003-05-10	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1870	2129	10.1%	10.1%	79.8%	+2.3	41
2003-05-10	Reggina	D 2-2	1830	1822	47.4%	29.2%	23.4%	-0.8	27
2003-05-10	@ Piacenza	D 2-2	1822	1830	23.4%	29.2%	47.4%	+0.8	32
2003-05-10	Torino	W 3-1	1998	1756	78.0%	11.3%	10.7%	+3.4	48
2003-05-10	@ Roma	L 1-3	1756	1998	10.7%	11.3%	78.0%	-3.5	20
2003-05-10	Modena	W 2-1	1900	1836	55.1%	25.7%	19.2%	+4.5	50
2003-05-10	@ Udinese	L 1-2	1836	1900	19.2%	25.7%	55.1%	-4.5	37
2003-05-17	Bologna	W 3-1	2029	1870	67.9%	17.9%	14.2%	+5.2	61
2003-05-17	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1870	2029	14.2%	17.9%	67.9%	-5.1	41
2003-05-17	Como	W 2-1	1844	1777	55.5%	25.4%	19.0%	+4.4	35
2003-05-17	@ Atalanta	L 1-2	1777	1844	19.0%	25.4%	55.5%	-4.4	21
2003-05-17	Roma	D 0-0	1943	2001	37.8%	31.5%	30.6%	-0.3	55
2003-05-17	@ Chievo Verona	D 0-0	2001	1943	30.6%	31.5%	37.8%	+0.3	49
2003-05-17	Brescia	W 3-1	2038	1920	62.6%	21.3%	16.1%	+6.2	60
2003-05-17	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-3	1920	2038	16.1%	21.3%	62.6%	-6.2	41
2003-05-17	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1832	2029	21.6%	27.9%	50.5%	-10.2	37
2003-05-17	@ Modena	W 2-0	2029	1832	50.5%	27.9%	21.6%	+10.2	64
2003-05-17	Piacenza	W 3-2	1998	1830	69.2%	17.1%	13.8%	+2.7	53
2003-05-17	@ Parma	L 2-3	1830	1998	13.8%	17.1%	69.2%	-2.7	27
2003-05-17	Udinese	L 0-2	1872	1904	41.5%	30.9%	27.6%	-17.1	41
2003-05-17	@ Perugia	W 2-0	1904	1872	27.6%	30.9%	41.5%	+17.1	53
2003-05-17	Juventus	W 2-1	1822	2127	15.2%	19.7%	65.2%	+11.7	35
2003-05-17	@ Reggina	L 1-2	2127	1822	65.2%	19.7%	15.2%	-11.7	69
2003-05-17	Empoli	D 1-1	1752	1855	31.4%	31.6%	37.0%	+0.2	21
2003-05-17	@ Torino	D 1-1	1855	1752	37.0%	31.6%	31.4%	-0.2	38
2003-05-24	Reggina	L 0-2	1865	1834	50.5%	27.9%	21.6%	-19.7	41
2003-05-24	@ Bologna	W 2-0	1834	1865	21.6%	27.9%	50.5%	+19.7	38
2003-05-24	Modena	D 2-2	1913	1821	59.0%	23.5%	17.5%	-1.4	42
2003-05-24	@ Brescia	D 2-2	1821	1913	17.5%	23.5%	59.0%	+1.4	38
2003-05-24	Torino	W 1-0	1773	1752	49.0%	28.6%	22.4%	+5.6	24
2003-05-24	@ Como	L 0-1	1752	1773	22.4%	28.6%	49.0%	-5.6	21
2003-05-24	Parma	L 0-2	1855	2001	26.4%	30.5%	43.1%	-12.3	38
2003-05-24	@ Empoli	W 2-0	2001	1855	43.1%	30.5%	26.4%	+12.3	56
2003-05-24	Perugia	D 2-2	2039	1855	71.2%	15.8%	13.1%	-2.0	65
2003-05-24	@ Inter Milan	D 2-2	1855	2039	13.1%	15.8%	71.2%	+2.0	42
2003-05-24	Chievo Verona	W 4-3	2115	1943	69.6%	16.8%	13.6%	+2.6	72
2003-05-24	@ Juventus	L 3-4	1943	2115	13.6%	16.8%	69.6%	-2.6	55
2003-05-24	AC Milan	W 4-2	1827	2034	20.8%	27.3%	51.9%	+15.5	30
2003-05-24	@ Piacenza	L 2-4	2034	1827	51.9%	27.3%	20.8%	-15.5	61
2003-05-24	Atalanta	L 1-2	2002	1848	67.2%	18.4%	14.4%	-11.9	49
2003-05-24	@ Roma	W 2-1	1848	2002	14.4%	18.4%	67.2%	+11.9	38
2003-05-24	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1922	2044	29.0%	31.2%	39.8%	+8.3	56
2003-05-24	@ Udinese	L 1-2	2044	1922	39.8%	31.2%	29.0%	-8.3	60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2003-01-26	10.97%	Reggina	1798	1	@ Lazio Roma	2034	0
2	2003-04-19	11.93%	Empoli	1843	1	@ AC Milan	2054	0
3	2002-11-09	13.12%	Udinese	1856	2	@ Inter Milan	2039	1
4	2002-09-22	13.50%	Modena	1854	2	@ Roma	2028	1
5	2003-05-24	14.44%	Atalanta	1848	2	@ Roma	2002	1
6	2003-05-17	15.15%	@ Reggina	1822	2	Juventus	2127	1
7	2003-05-03	15.19%	Bologna	1871	2	@ Parma	2008	1
8	2002-12-08	17.79%	@ Brescia	1839	2	Juventus	2093	0
9	2003-01-25	18.93%	@ Como	1764	2	Roma	1999	0
10	2003-02-09	19.62%	Atalanta	1857	3	@ Bologna	1915	2
11	2003-01-12	19.99%	Chievo Verona	1967	1	@ Roma	2020	0
12	2002-09-15	20.05%	Chievo Verona	1904	3	@ Lazio Roma	1955	2
13	2002-12-15	20.29%	Lazio Roma	2023	2	@ Juventus	2071	1
14	2003-03-02	20.55%	Como	1770	1	@ Piacenza	1815	0
15	2002-10-27	20.67%	Empoli	1860	2	@ Piacenza	1903	1
16	2003-05-24	20.82%	@ Piacenza	1827	4	AC Milan	2034	2
17	2002-09-22	21.55%	Brescia	1882	2	@ Chievo Verona	1913	1
18	2003-05-24	21.55%	Reggina	1834	2	@ Bologna	1865	0
19	2002-09-29	21.89%	Empoli	1854	3	@ Perugia	1881	1
20	2002-11-10	22.11%	Empoli	1858	2	@ Brescia	1882	0
21	2003-01-19	22.88%	@ Atalanta	1827	2	Roma	2009	1
22	2002-11-03	23.16%	Chievo Verona	1910	1	@ Parma	1922	0
23	2003-01-19	23.23%	@ Perugia	1870	4	Inter Milan	2048	1
24	2002-11-06	23.45%	Modena	1851	3	@ Atalanta	1860	1
25	2002-09-14	24.20%	Empoli	1846	2	@ Como	1847	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-03-16	34.23	Parma	4	1966	25.23%	@ Chievo Verona	0	1956	44.67%
2	2003-03-23	26.61	@ Como	5	1775	28.37%	Bologna	1	1902	40.52%
3	2002-12-01	25.04	Parma	4	1939	40.03%	@ Torino	0	1815	28.77%
4	2002-11-24	24.16	@ Parma	3	1915	28.92%	Roma	0	2038	39.85%
5	2003-04-27	23.40	@ Piacenza	5	1814	34.62%	Perugia	1	1894	33.67%
6	2003-01-19	23.15	@ Perugia	4	1870	23.23%	Inter Milan	1	2048	47.69%
7	2002-12-14	22.52	Chievo Verona	3	1940	32.29%	@ Piacenza	0	1870	36.05%
8	2002-12-08	21.74	@ Brescia	2	1839	17.79%	Juventus	0	2093	58.33%
9	2002-09-14	21.63	AC Milan	3	1960	34.31%	@ Modena	0	1875	33.97%
10	2003-01-25	21.08	@ Como	2	1764	18.93%	Roma	0	1999	55.74%
11	2003-02-01	20.23	Brescia	4	1876	29.25%	@ Piacenza	1	1829	39.45%
12	2003-05-24	19.70	Reggina	2	1834	21.55%	@ Bologna	0	1865	50.55%
13	2002-11-10	19.42	Empoli	2	1858	22.11%	@ Brescia	0	1882	49.57%
14	2002-10-06	19.38	@ AC Milan	6	1994	63.23%	Torino	0	1870	15.86%
15	2002-10-06	18.73	Inter Milan	4	1997	32.99%	@ Piacenza	1	1922	35.32%
16	2002-09-14	18.48	Empoli	2	1846	24.20%	@ Como	0	1847	46.19%
17	2003-01-25	18.35	Atalanta	2	1837	24.49%	@ Modena	0	1834	45.75%
18	2002-11-02	17.74	Brescia	2	1869	25.97%	@ Torino	0	1852	43.64%
19	2003-01-19	17.61	Juventus	4	2075	36.06%	@ Chievo Verona	1	1978	32.29%
20	2002-11-06	17.58	Lazio Roma	3	1980	43.77%	@ Reggina	0	1830	25.87%
21	2002-12-01	17.56	Perugia	2	1869	26.44%	@ Atalanta	0	1847	42.99%
22	2003-05-17	17.13	Udinese	2	1904	27.56%	@ Perugia	0	1872	41.53%
23	2002-09-29	16.92	Empoli	3	1854	21.89%	@ Perugia	1	1881	49.95%
24	2002-11-06	16.28	Modena	3	1851	23.45%	@ Atalanta	1	1860	47.35%
25	2002-11-17	16.18	Juventus	4	2079	56.81%	@ Torino	0	1836	18.45%