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2004-05 Serie A Season

380 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Juventus

86 points

Relegated

Atalanta

35 pts

Brescia · 41 pts

Bologna · 42 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Juventus

12.45 points above expected

86 points · 73.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Roma

13.95 points below expected

45 points · 58.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 38 26 8 4 86 67 27 +40 73.55 +12.45
2 AC Milan 38 23 10 5 79 63 28 +35 72.86 +6.14
3 Inter Milan 38 18 18 2 72 65 37 +28 66.25 +5.75
4 Udinese 38 17 11 10 62 56 40 +16 58.30 +3.70
5 Sampdoria 38 17 10 11 61 42 29 +13 51.85 +9.15
6 Palermo 38 12 17 9 53 48 44 +4 51.54 +1.46
7 Messina 38 12 12 14 48 44 52 -8 42.85 +5.15
8 Roma 38 11 12 15 45 55 58 -3 58.95 -13.95
9 Livorno 38 11 12 15 45 49 60 -11 43.92 +1.08
10 Reggina 38 10 14 14 44 36 45 -9 44.60 -0.60
11 Lecce 38 10 14 14 44 66 73 -7 47.57 -3.57
12 Cagliari 38 10 14 14 44 51 60 -9 46.79 -2.79
13 Lazio Roma 38 11 11 16 44 48 53 -5 54.26 -10.26
14 Siena 38 9 16 13 43 44 55 -11 39.82 +3.18
15 Chievo Verona 38 11 10 17 43 32 49 -17 44.79 -1.79
16 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 42 42 50 -8 41.27 +0.73
17 Bologna Relegated 38 9 15 14 42 33 36 -3 48.05 -6.05
18 Parma 38 10 12 16 42 48 65 -17 48.07 -6.07
19 Brescia Relegated 38 11 8 19 41 37 54 -17 41.91 -0.91
20 Atalanta Relegated 38 8 11 19 35 34 45 -11 40.38 -5.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Juventus 86 73.55 +12.45
2 Sampdoria 61 51.85 +9.15
3 AC Milan 79 72.86 +6.14
4 Inter Milan 72 66.25 +5.75
5 Messina 48 42.85 +5.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Roma 45 58.95 -13.95
2 Lazio Roma 44 54.26 -10.26
3 Parma 42 48.07 -6.07
4 Bologna 42 48.05 -6.05
5 Atalanta 35 40.38 -5.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 8 Feb 2 – Mar 20 1 in 182
2 Udinese 4 Oct 27 – Nov 10 1 in 150
3 Siena 2 Apr 17 – Apr 20 1 in 48
4 Atalanta 3 Mar 13 – Apr 10 1 in 47
5 Bologna 3 Jan 22 – Feb 3 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Reggina 4 Mar 6 – Apr 10 1 in 93
2 Roma 4 Feb 27 – Mar 20 1 in 69
3 AC Milan 2 Jan 23 – Jan 30 1 in 58
4 Lazio Roma 3 Jan 16 – Jan 30 1 in 47
5 Juventus 2 Feb 2 – Feb 5 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Milan 25 Sep 11 – Feb 19 1 in 1,068
2 Bologna 9 Dec 19 – Feb 13 1 in 77
3 AC Milan 16 Sep 26 – Jan 16 1 in 41
4 Brescia 5 Apr 9 – May 1 1 in 39
5 Siena 7 Jan 16 – Feb 20 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Roma 11 Feb 27 – May 15 1 in 137
2 Bologna 11 Mar 13 – May 29 1 in 125
3 Atalanta 15 Sep 12 – Dec 11 1 in 98
4 Palermo 8 Apr 16 – May 29 1 in 57
5 Inter Milan 7 Oct 24 – Nov 28 1 in 30

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Juventus 2136 86 +22 13 9.9 +3.1
AC Milan 2121 79 -13 6 9.5 -3.5
Inter Milan 2110 72 +29 13 10.3 +2.7
Udinese 2015 62 +12 9 7.9 +1.1
Sampdoria 1992 61 +6 6 7.1 -1.1
Palermo 1923 53 -2 5 7.3 -2.3
Messina 1881 48 -10 5 6.9 -1.9
Roma 1899 45 -1 6 7.4 -1.4
Livorno 1860 45 -34 2 5.0 -3.0
Lecce 1869 44 +1 6 5.6 +0.4
Reggina 1848 44 +7 5 5.1 -0.1
Cagliari 1871 44 -12 3 5.8 -2.8
Lazio Roma 1908 44 -23 3 6.5 -3.5
Chievo Verona 1840 43 +16 8 5.4 +2.6
Siena 1882 43 +11 7 6.1 +0.9
Fiorentina 1862 42 +32 8 5.5 +2.5
Parma 1872 42 +15 8 6.1 +1.9
Bologna 1876 42 -24 2 6.0 -4.0
Brescia 1833 41 -15 7 5.1 +1.9
Atalanta 1858 35 -15 4 6.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BOL BRE CAG CV FIO IM JUV LR LEC LIV MES PAL PAR REG ROM SAM SIE UDI
AC Milan —
2-0-0
4.27
1-0-1
3.80
0-2-0
4.27
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.31
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
4.26
0-1-1
3.99
1-0-1
3.99
0-2-0
3.98
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.87
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
4.35
1-1-0
3.40
Atalanta
0-0-2
1.22
—
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.00
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.63
Bologna
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
3.27
—
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
2.40
0-2-0
2.68
0-1-1
3.05
0-2-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
1.86
0-2-0
2.00
0-2-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.31
Brescia
0-2-0
1.25
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.41
—
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.72
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.36
2-0-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.01
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
1.77
Cagliari
0-0-2
1.49
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.94
—
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
1.69
0-1-1
1.22
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
1.81
0-2-0
2.19
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
1.75
Chievo Verona
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.50
—
0-0-2
2.78
0-2-0
1.94
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.27
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.73
0-2-0
1.85
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.27
Fiorentina
0-0-2
1.19
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.54
—
0-1-1
1.65
0-1-1
1.23
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.21
2-0-0
2.24
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
2.26
0-1-1
2.60
0-2-0
1.77
Inter Milan
0-1-1
2.35
2-0-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.63
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.73
0-2-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.79
—
1-1-0
2.13
0-2-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.86
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
3.63
0-2-0
4.11
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.19
Juventus
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
4.29
2-0-0
4.20
1-1-0
4.26
0-1-1
3.20
—
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
4.06
1-1-0
4.34
1-1-0
4.05
0-1-1
3.80
1-1-0
4.28
1-0-1
4.28
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.76
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.40
Lazio Roma
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
1.99
0-0-2
1.61
—
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.10
0-1-1
3.08
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
3.45
0-0-2
2.10
Lecce
0-1-1
1.24
1-1-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
3.28
0-1-1
2.04
0-0-2
1.40
1-1-0
2.29
—
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.77
0-2-0
1.79
0-0-2
2.35
0-2-0
3.03
0-0-2
2.22
Livorno
1-1-0
1.45
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.28
2-0-0
2.74
0-2-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.66
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.54
0-1-1
1.17
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.62
—
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
1.91
Messina
1-0-1
1.45
1-0-1
2.84
0-2-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.52
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
1.54
0-1-1
1.40
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.73
—
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.27
2-0-0
2.56
1-0-1
1.63
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
1.78
Palermo
0-2-0
1.46
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
1.61
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.22
1-1-0
2.87
—
0-2-0
2.84
0-1-1
3.24
1-1-0
2.07
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.50
Parma
0-0-2
1.41
0-1-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.76
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.96
0-1-1
3.15
0-2-0
1.74
0-1-1
1.23
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
3.08
0-2-0
2.47
—
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.37
Reggina
0-0-2
1.55
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.85
1-1-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-2
3.09
0-2-0
1.37
1-0-1
1.22
1-1-0
2.29
0-2-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.79
1-1-0
2.11
0-0-2
2.55
—
2-0-0
1.89
0-0-2
2.39
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.10
Roma
0-1-1
1.85
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.50
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.56
0-2-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.79
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.05
0-1-1
2.98
0-2-0
3.58
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
3.48
—
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.42
0-1-1
2.69
Sampdoria
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
3.38
0-2-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.35
0-2-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
1.65
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
2.96
1-1-0
2.63
—
0-1-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.26
Siena
1-0-1
1.16
1-1-0
2.71
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
1.38
0-0-2
1.31
1-1-0
1.92
0-2-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.55
0-2-0
2.35
1-0-1
1.93
1-1-0
2.26
—
0-0-2
1.73
Udinese
0-1-1
1.96
2-0-0
3.76
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.10
0-2-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
3.28
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.06
2-0-0
3.68
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.48 +8.7
Allowed 0.51 -7.9
Differential 0.94 +7.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.47%11.18%4.87%2.50%0.39%0.26%28.68%
111.18%12.63%7.76%2.37%0.66%0.39%35.00%
24.87%7.76%7.37%1.84%0.39%0.26%22.50%
32.50%2.37%1.84%3.42%0.26%0.26%10.66%
40.39%0.66%0.39%0.26%—0.13%1.84%
5+0.26%0.39%0.26%0.26%0.13%—1.32%
Total28.68%35.00%22.50%10.66%1.84%1.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.26 +0.00
SD 1.13 1.13 1.45
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 380

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%————18.42%
121.05%7.89%5.26%———34.21%
25.26%15.79%5.26%———26.32%
35.26%5.26%—2.63%——13.16%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+2.63%—2.63%———5.26%
Total44.74%39.47%13.16%2.63%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 0.74 +0.92
SD 1.38 0.79 1.42
CV 0.83 1.08 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%23.68%2.63%2.63%——39.47%
110.53%7.89%18.42%———36.84%
22.63%5.26%7.89%2.63%——18.42%
32.63%——2.63%——5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%36.84%28.95%7.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.18 -0.29
SD 0.89 0.93 1.11
CV 1.00 0.78 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%21.05%5.26%———42.11%
17.89%18.42%10.53%———36.84%
22.63%5.26%5.26%———13.16%
3—7.89%————7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%52.63%21.05%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.95 -0.08
SD 0.93 0.70 1.05
CV 1.08 0.73 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%15.79%10.53%7.89%——42.11%
17.89%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%—28.95%
25.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
3—5.26%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.05%36.84%23.68%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.42 -0.45
SD 1.03 1.08 1.48
CV 1.05 0.76 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%7.89%2.63%——28.95%
15.26%13.16%5.26%2.63%—2.63%28.95%
22.63%7.89%5.26%5.26%2.63%—23.68%
32.63%2.63%2.63%7.89%——15.79%
4——2.63%———2.63%
5+———————
Total21.05%31.58%23.68%18.42%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.58 -0.24
SD 1.15 1.24 1.44
CV 0.85 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%18.42%5.26%10.53%——44.74%
115.79%5.26%2.63%5.26%——28.95%
22.63%7.89%10.53%—2.63%—23.68%
3—2.63%————2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.95%34.21%18.42%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.84 1.29 -0.45
SD 0.89 1.14 1.41
CV 1.05 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%—2.63%36.84%
12.63%15.79%7.89%———26.32%
22.63%13.16%7.89%5.26%——28.95%
32.63%——2.63%——5.26%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total23.68%42.11%21.05%10.53%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.32 -0.21
SD 1.06 1.21 1.61
CV 0.96 0.92 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%————10.53%
115.79%15.79%2.63%———34.21%
213.16%2.63%18.42%———34.21%
32.63%2.63%7.89%5.26%——18.42%
4———————
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total42.11%23.68%28.95%5.26%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.97 +0.74
SD 1.06 0.97 1.16
CV 0.62 1.00 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%————13.16%
121.05%7.89%2.63%———31.58%
210.53%15.79%5.26%———31.58%
313.16%——2.63%——15.79%
4——5.26%———5.26%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total50.00%31.58%15.79%2.63%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.71 +1.05
SD 1.20 0.84 1.21
CV 0.68 1.18 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%—2.63%——23.68%
15.26%18.42%13.16%5.26%——42.11%
27.89%7.89%—2.63%——18.42%
3—5.26%2.63%5.26%—2.63%15.79%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.42%47.37%15.79%15.79%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.39 -0.13
SD 1.00 1.13 1.26
CV 0.80 0.81 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%—2.63%2.63%—13.16%
17.89%10.53%10.53%2.63%2.63%—34.21%
22.63%—18.42%2.63%—5.26%28.95%
32.63%2.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%—15.79%
4—5.26%————5.26%
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total15.79%23.68%31.58%15.79%7.89%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.92 -0.18
SD 1.20 1.36 1.69
CV 0.69 0.71 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%7.89%7.89%2.63%——23.68%
113.16%15.79%7.89%2.63%——39.47%
25.26%5.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
3—2.63%2.63%2.63%—2.63%10.53%
4—————2.63%2.63%
5+———————
Total23.68%31.58%26.32%10.53%2.63%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.58 -0.29
SD 1.04 1.48 1.33
CV 0.80 0.94 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%7.89%2.63%——2.63%26.32%
110.53%10.53%13.16%2.63%5.26%—42.11%
25.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%——26.32%
3———————
4—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total28.95%31.58%23.68%7.89%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.37 -0.21
SD 1.00 1.28 1.51
CV 0.86 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%10.53%5.26%———28.95%
110.53%15.79%5.26%——2.63%34.21%
27.89%5.26%5.26%———18.42%
32.63%2.63%2.63%10.53%——18.42%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.21%34.21%18.42%10.53%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.16 +0.11
SD 1.08 1.17 1.29
CV 0.86 1.01 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%—31.58%
17.89%7.89%10.53%5.26%—2.63%34.21%
2—7.89%10.53%———18.42%
3—5.26%2.63%5.26%——13.16%
4———————
5+————2.63%—2.63%
Total15.79%28.95%34.21%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.71 -0.45
SD 1.29 1.21 1.50
CV 1.02 0.71 —
Max 6 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%10.53%7.89%———34.21%
110.53%15.79%7.89%7.89%——42.11%
22.63%10.53%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
3——2.63%2.63%——5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.95%36.84%21.05%13.16%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.18 -0.24
SD 0.87 1.01 1.08
CV 0.92 0.85 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%13.16%5.26%——26.32%
17.89%13.16%10.53%5.26%——36.84%
22.63%5.26%7.89%———15.79%
32.63%—2.63%5.26%2.63%—13.16%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+—5.26%————5.26%
Total21.05%26.32%34.21%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.53 -0.08
SD 1.37 1.08 1.79
CV 0.95 0.71 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%15.79%2.63%2.63%——34.21%
118.42%10.53%5.26%———34.21%
210.53%5.26%2.63%2.63%——21.05%
35.26%—2.63%———7.89%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total47.37%34.21%13.16%5.26%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 0.76 +0.34
SD 1.06 0.88 1.38
CV 0.96 1.16 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%—34.21%
17.89%18.42%2.63%—2.63%—31.58%
22.63%7.89%10.53%5.26%——26.32%
3—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
4———————
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total21.05%39.47%18.42%15.79%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.45 -0.29
SD 1.22 1.16 1.45
CV 1.05 0.80 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%5.26%———21.05%
115.79%15.79%5.26%5.26%——42.11%
22.63%7.89%5.26%———15.79%
37.89%—2.63%2.63%——13.16%
42.63%——2.63%——5.26%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total34.21%36.84%18.42%10.53%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.05 +0.42
SD 1.27 0.98 1.55
CV 0.86 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 2136 86 73.55 +12.45 96.0% 55 60 69 74 79 85 88
AC Milan 2121 79 72.86 +6.14 79.0% 54 62 67 72 78 84 90
Inter Milan 2110 72 66.25 +5.75 79.0% 49 54 61 66 71 78 82
Udinese 2015 62 58.30 +3.70 76.0% 43 48 54 58 62 69 75
Sampdoria 1992 61 51.85 +9.15 92.0% 37 39 46 52 57 66 69
Palermo 1923 53 51.54 +1.46 61.0% 32 39 47 51 56 62 68
Lazio Roma 1908 44 54.26 -10.26 13.0% 38 42 47 54 60 67 87
Roma 1899 45 58.95 -13.95 3.0% 42 48 53 58 64 71 75
Parma 1884 42 48.07 -6.07 26.0% 31 35 42 49 53 58 66
Siena 1882 43 39.82 +3.18 74.0% 20 30 35 39 44 52 58
Messina 1881 48 42.85 +5.15 81.0% 27 33 38 42 48 56 59
Cagliari 1871 44 46.79 -2.79 39.0% 28 33 41 46 51 60 71
Lecce 1869 44 47.57 -3.57 34.0% 29 36 42 47 52 59 64
Bologna 1864 42 48.05 -6.05 19.0% 29 36 44 47 52 59 64
Fiorentina 1862 42 41.27 +0.73 55.0% 29 30 36 41 46 50 67
Livorno 1860 45 43.92 +1.08 56.0% 26 31 39 43 49 55 60
Atalanta 1858 35 40.38 -5.38 22.0% 27 30 36 39 45 51 56
Reggina 1848 44 44.60 -0.60 51.0% 28 32 40 44 50 56 59
Chievo Verona 1840 43 44.79 -1.79 41.0% 26 35 40 45 49 57 61
Brescia 1833 41 41.91 -0.91 45.0% 23 29 37 42 46 53 58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 27.5% * Clear Edge: 27.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.26%
No Edge
43.68%32.89%23.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 71.39 Elo pts.
242 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 10th * Longshot: 11th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Juventus, 1st of 20
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.59 * Lucky: 8.59 to 11.45 * Wild Swing: 11.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.44 * Close: 2.44 to 3.65 * Off: 3.65 to 4.87 * Way Off: 4.87 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 20 * As Expected: 20 to 32 * Several Outliers: 32 to 44 * Many Outliers: 44 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.76 * A Surprise: 1.76 to 2.82 * Several Surprises: 2.82 to 3.87 * Many Surprises: 3.87 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.29 points
Some Luck
07.1618
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.20
Close
03.048
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.50%
96.00%
Juventus
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.50%
3.00%
Roma
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 20
Minimal Outliers
02.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.83

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64% * Slight Edge: 64% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90.5% * Strong Edge: 90.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 62.5% * Some Drama: 62.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 71% * Very Frequent: 71% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11% * Occasional: 11% to 13.5% * Frequent: 13.5% to 16.5% * Very Frequent: 16.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 97.19
1.80
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.75
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%64%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Even
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
75%
Very Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 9%
9%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 19.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 19.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.73
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Weak Carryover
00.560.731
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.087
Well Within Noise
00.0890.2

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Parma 2
Bologna 1

Leg 1: Parma 0-1 Bologna

Leg 2: Bologna 0-2 Parma

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Juventus47.00%28.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%——————————————
AC Milan37.00%36.00%19.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%————————————
Inter Milan13.00%21.00%29.00%15.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%——————————
Udinese1.00%2.00%13.00%18.00%17.00%19.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%————————
Sampdoria—2.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—
Palermo—1.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%15.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%
Messina———2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%13.00%7.00%
Roma1.00%7.00%10.00%24.00%12.00%4.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—————
Livorno————3.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%11.00%4.00%7.00%—13.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%
Reggina————2.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%
Lecce——1.00%1.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%
Cagliari—1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%
Lazio Roma1.00%2.00%4.00%13.00%10.00%13.00%6.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Siena————2.00%1.00%1.00%—3.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%21.00%14.00%
Chievo Verona———2.00%—4.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%
Fiorentina——1.00%——1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%3.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%15.00%
Bologna———2.00%6.00%3.00%10.00%3.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%
Parma———1.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%
Brescia————1.00%—2.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%
Atalanta————1.00%1.00%—5.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AC Milan 100% —
Inter Milan 100% —
Juventus 100% —
Roma 100% —
Udinese 100% —
Lazio Roma 99.00% 1.00%
Palermo 97.00% 3.00%
Sampdoria 96.00% 4.00%
Bologna 93.00% 7.00%
Lecce 90.00% 10.00%
Cagliari 88.00% 12.00%
Parma 84.00% 16.00%
Chievo Verona 82.00% 18.00%
Reggina 76.00% 24.00%
Livorno 75.00% 25.00%
Messina 74.00% 26.00%
Brescia 70.00% 30.00%
Fiorentina 65.00% 35.00%
Atalanta 57.00% 43.00%
Siena 54.00% 46.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2004-09-11 Inter Milan D 2-275.7 1926 1987 34.00% 34.70% 31.30%+0.04 -0.1 1
2004-09-11 @ Chievo Verona D 2-275.7 1987 1926 31.30% 34.70% 34.00%-0.04 +0.1 1
2004-09-11 Livorno D 2-278.0 2028 1887 59.51% 27.16% 13.33%+0.88 -2.1 1
2004-09-11 @ AC Milan D 2-278.0 1887 2028 13.33% 27.16% 59.51%-0.88 +2.1 1
2004-09-12 Bologna W 1-059.2 1878 1898 39.70% 34.22% 26.08%+0.21 +8.5 3
2004-09-12 @ Cagliari L 0-159.2 1898 1878 26.08% 34.22% 39.70%-0.21 -8.5 0
2004-09-12 Fiorentina W 1-051.7 2032 1843 64.75% 24.11% 11.14%+1.08 +3.7 3
2004-09-12 @ Roma L 0-151.7 1843 2032 11.14% 24.11% 64.75%-1.08 -3.7 0
2004-09-12 Juventus L 0-354.7 1915 1999 30.68% 34.68% 34.64%-0.05 -26.1 0
2004-09-12 @ Brescia W 3-054.7 1999 1915 34.64% 34.68% 30.68%+0.05 +26.1 3
2004-09-12 Lazio Roma L 0-161.2 1899 1972 32.18% 34.72% 33.10%-0.01 -9.8 0
2004-09-12 @ Sampdoria W 1-061.2 1972 1899 33.10% 34.72% 32.18%+0.01 +9.8 3
2004-09-12 Lecce D 2-275.9 1881 1889 41.37% 33.95% 24.68%+0.26 -0.7 1
2004-09-12 @ Atalanta D 2-275.9 1889 1881 24.68% 33.95% 41.37%-0.26 +0.7 1
2004-09-12 Messina D 0-066.9 1964 1872 53.92% 29.96% 16.12%+0.67 -2.5 1
2004-09-12 @ Parma D 0-066.9 1872 1964 16.12% 29.96% 53.92%-0.67 +2.5 1
2004-09-12 Siena W 1-058.3 1888 1886 42.65% 33.70% 23.64%+0.30 +7.9 3
2004-09-12 @ Palermo L 0-158.3 1886 1888 23.64% 33.70% 42.65%-0.30 -7.9 0
2004-09-12 Udinese D 0-065.5 1883 1930 35.86% 34.62% 29.52%+0.10 -0.4 1
2004-09-12 @ Reggina D 0-065.5 1930 1883 29.52% 34.62% 35.86%-0.10 +0.4 1
2004-09-18 Brescia W 4-157.1 1890 1889 42.53% 33.73% 23.74%+0.30 +18.3 4
2004-09-18 @ Lecce L 1-457.1 1889 1890 23.74% 33.73% 42.53%-0.30 -18.3 0
2004-09-18 Palermo D 1-171.6 1987 1896 53.84% 30.00% 16.16%+0.67 -2.2 2
2004-09-18 @ Inter Milan D 1-171.6 1896 1987 16.16% 30.00% 53.84%-0.67 +2.2 4
2004-09-19 AC Milan L 0-254.3 1889 2026 24.28% 33.86% 41.86%-0.27 -15.2 0
2004-09-19 @ Bologna W 2-054.3 2026 1889 41.86% 33.86% 24.28%+0.27 +15.2 4
2004-09-19 Atalanta W 2-048.8 2025 1880 60.01% 26.88% 13.10%+0.90 +8.4 6
2004-09-19 @ Juventus L 0-248.8 1880 2025 13.10% 26.88% 60.01%-0.90 -8.4 1
2004-09-19 Cagliari W 2-165.8 1840 1886 36.00% 34.61% 29.39%+0.10 +8.7 3
2004-09-19 @ Fiorentina L 1-265.8 1886 1840 29.39% 34.61% 36.00%-0.10 -8.7 3
2004-09-19 Chievo Verona L 1-268.2 1889 1926 37.45% 34.49% 28.06%+0.15 -10.3 1
2004-09-19 @ Livorno W 2-168.2 1926 1889 28.06% 34.49% 37.45%-0.15 +10.3 4
2004-09-19 Parma W 4-054.0 1931 1961 38.30% 34.40% 27.30%+0.17 +31.4 4
2004-09-19 @ Udinese L 0-454.0 1961 1931 27.30% 34.40% 38.30%-0.17 -31.4 1
2004-09-19 Reggina D 1-171.7 1982 1882 54.90% 29.51% 15.59%+0.71 -2.3 4
2004-09-19 @ Lazio Roma D 1-171.7 1882 1982 15.59% 29.51% 54.90%-0.71 +2.3 2
2004-09-19 Roma W 4-377.4 1875 2036 21.73% 33.12% 45.15%-0.37 +10.9 4
2004-09-19 @ Messina L 3-477.4 2036 1875 45.15% 33.12% 21.73%+0.37 -10.9 3
2004-09-19 Sampdoria W 2-164.3 1878 1889 40.99% 34.02% 24.99%+0.25 +7.8 3
2004-09-19 @ Siena L 1-264.3 1889 1878 24.99% 34.02% 40.99%-0.25 -7.8 0
2004-09-22 Bologna L 1-271.0 1930 1874 49.56% 31.74% 18.70%+0.53 -12.6 1
2004-09-22 @ Parma W 2-171.0 1874 1930 18.70% 31.74% 49.56%-0.53 +12.6 3
2004-09-22 Fiorentina D 0-066.2 1898 1848 48.87% 31.98% 19.15%+0.50 -1.9 5
2004-09-22 @ Palermo D 0-066.2 1848 1898 19.15% 31.98% 48.87%-0.50 +1.9 4
2004-09-22 Inter Milan L 2-369.8 1872 1985 27.02% 34.37% 38.61%-0.17 -7.8 1
2004-09-22 @ Atalanta W 3-269.8 1985 1872 38.61% 34.37% 27.02%+0.17 +7.8 5
2004-09-22 Juventus L 0-351.9 1881 2034 22.59% 33.40% 44.01%-0.34 -20.9 0
2004-09-22 @ Sampdoria W 3-051.9 2034 1881 44.01% 33.40% 22.59%+0.34 +20.9 9
2004-09-22 Lazio Roma L 0-255.4 1871 1980 27.42% 34.42% 38.16%-0.16 -16.6 0
2004-09-22 @ Brescia W 2-055.4 1980 1871 38.16% 34.42% 27.42%+0.16 +16.6 7
2004-09-22 Lecce D 2-277.5 2025 1908 56.85% 28.56% 14.59%+0.78 -1.9 4
2004-09-22 @ Roma D 2-277.5 1908 2025 14.59% 28.56% 56.85%-0.78 +1.9 5
2004-09-22 Livorno W 2-163.7 1885 1879 43.17% 33.60% 23.24%+0.32 +7.3 5
2004-09-22 @ Reggina L 1-263.7 1879 1885 23.24% 33.60% 43.17%-0.32 -7.4 1
2004-09-22 Messina L 1-272.9 2041 1885 61.17% 26.23% 12.60%+0.94 -14.7 4
2004-09-22 @ AC Milan W 2-172.9 1885 2041 12.60% 26.23% 61.17%-0.94 +14.7 7
2004-09-22 Siena W 2-054.4 1877 1886 41.26% 33.97% 24.77%+0.26 +15.4 6
2004-09-22 @ Cagliari L 0-254.4 1886 1877 24.77% 33.97% 41.26%-0.26 -15.4 3
2004-09-22 Udinese D 0-065.6 1936 1962 38.86% 34.34% 26.80%+0.19 -0.7 5
2004-09-22 @ Chievo Verona D 0-065.6 1962 1936 26.80% 34.34% 38.86%-0.19 +0.7 5
2004-09-25 Palermo D 1-172.8 2055 1896 61.50% 26.04% 12.46%+0.95 -3.0 10
2004-09-25 @ Juventus D 1-172.8 1896 2055 12.46% 26.04% 61.50%-0.95 +3.0 6
2004-09-25 Roma W 3-165.1 1887 2023 24.29% 33.87% 41.85%-0.27 +19.2 6
2004-09-25 @ Bologna L 1-365.1 2023 1887 41.85% 33.87% 24.29%+0.27 -19.2 4
2004-09-26 AC Milan L 1-268.5 1997 2026 38.39% 34.39% 27.21%+0.17 -10.5 7
2004-09-26 @ Lazio Roma W 2-168.5 2026 1997 27.21% 34.39% 38.39%-0.17 +10.5 7
2004-09-26 Atalanta D 1-170.5 1872 1864 43.43% 33.54% 23.04%+0.33 -1.1 2
2004-09-26 @ Livorno D 1-170.5 1864 1872 23.04% 33.54% 43.43%-0.33 +1.1 2
2004-09-26 Brescia L 1-272.1 1963 1854 55.95% 29.01% 15.04%+0.75 -13.8 5
2004-09-26 @ Udinese W 2-172.1 1854 1963 15.04% 29.01% 55.95%-0.75 +13.8 3
2004-09-26 Cagliari W 3-158.9 1910 1893 44.67% 33.24% 22.09%+0.37 +12.2 8
2004-09-26 @ Lecce L 1-358.9 1893 1910 22.09% 33.24% 44.67%-0.37 -12.2 6
2004-09-26 Chievo Verona D 0-065.5 1900 1935 37.61% 34.48% 27.91%+0.15 -0.6 8
2004-09-26 @ Messina D 0-065.5 1935 1900 27.91% 34.48% 37.61%-0.15 +0.6 6
2004-09-26 Parma D 2-276.9 1992 1917 51.99% 30.80% 17.21%+0.61 -1.5 6
2004-09-26 @ Inter Milan D 2-276.9 1917 1992 17.21% 30.80% 51.99%-0.61 +1.5 2
2004-09-26 Reggina D 0-065.6 1871 1892 39.55% 34.24% 26.21%+0.21 -0.8 4
2004-09-26 @ Siena D 0-065.6 1892 1871 26.21% 34.24% 39.55%-0.21 +0.8 6
2004-09-26 Sampdoria L 0-259.3 1850 1860 41.04% 34.01% 24.95%+0.25 -21.9 4
2004-09-26 @ Fiorentina W 2-059.3 1860 1850 24.95% 34.01% 41.04%-0.25 +21.9 3
2004-10-02 Brescia W 2-163.4 1881 1868 44.13% 33.37% 22.49%+0.35 +7.2 9
2004-10-02 @ Cagliari L 1-263.4 1868 1881 22.49% 33.37% 44.13%-0.35 -7.2 3
2004-10-02 Lecce W 2-163.4 1936 1922 44.25% 33.34% 22.41%+0.35 +7.1 9
2004-10-02 @ Chievo Verona L 1-263.4 1922 1936 22.41% 33.34% 44.25%-0.35 -7.1 8
2004-10-03 Bologna W 1-058.7 1899 1906 41.51% 33.93% 24.56%+0.27 +8.1 9
2004-10-03 @ Palermo L 0-158.7 1906 1899 24.56% 33.93% 41.51%-0.27 -8.1 6
2004-10-03 Fiorentina D 0-066.8 1919 1828 53.77% 30.03% 16.20%+0.67 -2.5 3
2004-10-03 @ Parma D 0-066.8 1828 1919 16.20% 30.03% 53.77%-0.67 +2.5 5
2004-10-03 Inter Milan D 3-379.7 2004 1991 44.13% 33.37% 22.50%+0.35 -0.8 5
2004-10-03 @ Roma D 3-379.7 1991 2004 22.50% 33.37% 44.13%-0.35 +0.7 7
2004-10-03 Juventus L 0-160.0 1949 2052 28.26% 34.51% 37.23%-0.13 -9.0 5
2004-10-03 @ Udinese W 1-060.0 2052 1949 37.23% 34.51% 28.26%+0.13 +9.0 13
2004-10-03 Lazio Roma D 1-170.3 1865 1986 26.04% 34.22% 39.74%-0.20 +0.7 3
2004-10-03 @ Atalanta D 1-170.3 1986 1865 39.74% 34.22% 26.04%+0.20 -0.7 8
2004-10-03 Livorno W 2-053.6 1882 1871 43.98% 33.41% 22.61%+0.34 +14.4 6
2004-10-03 @ Sampdoria L 0-253.6 1871 1882 22.61% 33.41% 43.98%-0.34 -14.4 2
2004-10-03 Reggina W 3-154.4 2037 1893 59.89% 26.95% 13.16%+0.89 +7.3 10
2004-10-03 @ AC Milan L 1-354.4 1893 2037 13.16% 26.95% 59.89%-0.89 -7.3 6
2004-10-03 Siena W 4-155.9 1900 1870 46.30% 32.80% 20.90%+0.42 +16.5 11
2004-10-03 @ Messina L 1-455.9 1870 1900 20.90% 32.80% 46.30%-0.42 -16.5 4
2004-10-16 Messina W 2-158.7 2061 1916 59.99% 26.89% 13.12%+0.89 +4.2 16
2004-10-16 @ Juventus L 1-258.7 1916 2061 13.12% 26.89% 59.99%-0.89 -4.2 11
2004-10-16 Roma L 0-253.9 1856 2003 23.18% 33.58% 43.25%-0.31 -14.7 2
2004-10-16 @ Livorno W 2-053.9 2003 1856 43.25% 33.58% 23.18%+0.31 +14.7 8
2004-10-17 AC Milan L 0-157.8 1888 2044 22.23% 33.29% 44.48%-0.35 -7.5 9
2004-10-17 @ Cagliari W 1-057.8 2044 1888 44.48% 33.29% 22.23%+0.35 +7.5 13
2004-10-17 Atalanta W 2-162.6 1898 1866 46.58% 32.72% 20.70%+0.43 +6.7 9
2004-10-17 @ Bologna L 1-262.6 1866 1898 20.70% 32.72% 46.58%-0.43 -6.7 3
2004-10-17 Chievo Verona L 0-165.2 1985 1943 47.92% 32.30% 19.78%+0.47 -13.0 8
2004-10-17 @ Lazio Roma W 1-065.2 1943 1985 19.78% 32.30% 47.92%-0.47 +13.0 12
2004-10-17 Palermo W 2-053.8 1915 1907 43.45% 33.53% 23.02%+0.33 +14.6 11
2004-10-17 @ Lecce L 0-253.8 1907 1915 23.02% 33.53% 43.45%-0.33 -14.6 9
2004-10-17 Parma W 3-161.9 1861 1916 34.77% 34.68% 30.55%+0.07 +15.5 6
2004-10-17 @ Brescia L 1-361.9 1916 1861 30.55% 34.68% 34.77%-0.07 -15.5 3
2004-10-17 Sampdoria L 0-163.6 1886 1897 40.91% 34.03% 25.06%+0.25 -11.6 6
2004-10-17 @ Reggina W 1-063.6 1897 1886 25.06% 34.03% 40.91%-0.25 +11.6 9
2004-10-17 Siena D 0-065.5 1831 1853 39.35% 34.27% 26.38%+0.20 -0.8 6
2004-10-17 @ Fiorentina D 0-065.5 1853 1831 26.38% 34.27% 39.35%-0.20 +0.8 5
2004-10-17 Udinese W 3-157.6 1992 1940 49.06% 31.92% 19.02%+0.51 +10.8 10
2004-10-17 @ Inter Milan L 1-357.6 1940 1992 19.02% 31.92% 49.06%-0.51 -10.8 5
2004-10-23 Cagliari D 2-275.8 1859 1880 39.60% 34.24% 26.17%+0.21 -0.5 4
2004-10-23 @ Atalanta D 2-275.8 1880 1859 26.17% 34.24% 39.60%-0.21 +0.5 10
2004-10-23 Juventus L 0-349.7 1854 2065 17.58% 31.05% 51.37%-0.58 -16.8 5
2004-10-23 @ Siena W 3-049.7 2065 1854 51.37% 31.05% 17.58%+0.58 +16.8 19
2004-10-24 Bologna W 1-061.0 1842 1905 33.69% 34.71% 31.60%+0.03 +9.7 5
2004-10-24 @ Livorno L 0-161.0 1905 1842 31.60% 34.71% 33.69%-0.03 -9.7 9
2004-10-24 Brescia L 0-164.9 1908 1876 46.64% 32.70% 20.66%+0.43 -12.8 9
2004-10-24 @ Sampdoria W 1-064.9 1876 1908 20.66% 32.70% 46.64%-0.43 +12.8 9
2004-10-24 Fiorentina D 2-277.2 1929 1830 54.85% 29.54% 15.61%+0.71 -1.7 6
2004-10-24 @ Udinese D 2-277.2 1830 1929 15.61% 29.54% 54.85%-0.71 +1.7 7
2004-10-24 Inter Milan D 0-066.3 2051 2002 48.77% 32.02% 19.21%+0.50 -1.9 14
2004-10-24 @ AC Milan D 0-066.3 2002 2051 19.21% 32.02% 48.77%-0.50 +1.9 11
2004-10-24 Lazio Roma W 3-162.6 1901 1972 32.42% 34.72% 32.86%+0.00 +16.3 6
2004-10-24 @ Parma L 1-362.6 1972 1901 32.86% 34.72% 32.42%+0.00 -16.3 8
2004-10-24 Lecce L 1-462.1 1912 1930 40.03% 34.17% 25.80%+0.22 -26.4 11
2004-10-24 @ Messina W 4-162.1 1930 1912 25.80% 34.17% 40.03%-0.22 +26.4 14
2004-10-24 Palermo D 1-172.2 2018 1893 57.77% 28.09% 14.14%+0.81 -2.6 9
2004-10-24 @ Roma D 1-172.2 1893 2018 14.14% 28.09% 57.77%-0.81 +2.6 10
2004-10-24 Reggina D 0-066.7 1956 1874 52.81% 30.45% 16.74%+0.64 -2.4 13
2004-10-24 @ Chievo Verona D 0-066.7 1874 1956 16.74% 30.45% 52.81%-0.64 +2.4 7
2004-10-27 Atalanta W 3-045.6 2050 1859 64.93% 24.00% 11.07%+1.08 +9.9 17
2004-10-27 @ AC Milan L 0-345.6 1859 2050 11.07% 24.00% 64.93%-1.08 -9.9 4
2004-10-27 Fiorentina L 1-270.7 1876 1832 48.21% 32.21% 19.59%+0.48 -12.3 7
2004-10-27 @ Reggina W 2-170.7 1832 1876 19.59% 32.21% 48.21%-0.48 +12.3 10
2004-10-27 Inter Milan D 2-275.7 1956 2004 35.78% 34.62% 29.60%+0.10 -0.2 15
2004-10-27 @ Lecce D 2-275.7 2004 1956 29.60% 34.62% 35.78%-0.10 +0.2 12
2004-10-27 Livorno L 1-270.7 1895 1851 48.14% 32.23% 19.63%+0.48 -12.3 10
2004-10-27 @ Palermo W 2-170.7 1851 1895 19.63% 32.23% 48.14%-0.48 +12.3 8
2004-10-27 Messina W 2-051.4 1956 1885 51.41% 31.03% 17.55%+0.59 +11.5 11
2004-10-27 @ Lazio Roma L 0-251.4 1885 1956 17.55% 31.03% 51.41%-0.59 -11.5 11
2004-10-27 Parma W 2-165.4 1881 1917 37.51% 34.49% 28.00%+0.15 +8.4 13
2004-10-27 @ Cagliari L 1-265.4 1917 1881 28.00% 34.49% 37.51%-0.15 -8.4 6
2004-10-27 Sampdoria L 0-261.3 1954 1896 49.89% 31.62% 18.49%+0.54 -25.3 13
2004-10-27 @ Chievo Verona W 2-061.3 1896 1954 18.49% 31.62% 49.89%-0.54 +25.3 12
2004-10-27 Siena L 0-165.4 1889 1837 49.07% 31.91% 19.02%+0.51 -13.3 9
2004-10-27 @ Brescia W 1-065.4 1837 1889 19.02% 31.91% 49.07%-0.51 +13.3 8
2004-10-27 Udinese L 0-162.9 1895 1928 37.95% 34.44% 27.61%+0.16 -11.0 9
2004-10-27 @ Bologna W 1-062.9 1928 1895 27.61% 34.44% 37.95%-0.16 +11.0 9
2004-10-28 Roma W 2-051.6 2082 2015 50.94% 31.22% 17.84%+0.57 +11.7 22
2004-10-28 @ Juventus L 0-251.6 2015 2082 17.84% 31.22% 50.94%-0.57 -11.7 9
2004-10-30 AC Milan L 0-158.5 1921 2059 24.04% 33.80% 42.16%-0.28 -8.0 12
2004-10-30 @ Sampdoria W 1-058.5 2059 1921 42.16% 33.80% 24.04%+0.28 +8.0 20
2004-10-30 Lazio Roma D 1-170.8 2004 1968 47.24% 32.52% 20.24%+0.45 -1.5 13
2004-10-30 @ Inter Milan D 1-170.8 1968 2004 20.24% 32.52% 47.24%-0.45 +1.5 12
2004-10-31 Atalanta D 2-276.6 1908 1849 50.04% 31.56% 18.39%+0.54 -1.4 7
2004-10-31 @ Parma D 2-276.6 1849 1908 18.39% 31.56% 50.04%-0.54 +1.4 5
2004-10-31 Bologna D 1-170.2 1851 1884 37.90% 34.45% 27.65%+0.16 -0.5 9
2004-10-31 @ Siena D 1-170.2 1884 1851 27.65% 34.45% 37.90%-0.16 +0.6 10
2004-10-31 Brescia W 2-164.3 1864 1876 40.81% 34.05% 25.14%+0.25 +7.8 11
2004-10-31 @ Livorno L 1-264.3 1876 1864 25.14% 34.05% 40.81%-0.25 -7.8 9
2004-10-31 Cagliari W 5-152.2 2003 1889 56.53% 28.72% 14.75%+0.77 +15.2 12
2004-10-31 @ Roma L 1-552.2 1889 2003 14.75% 28.72% 56.53%-0.77 -15.2 13
2004-10-31 Chievo Verona W 3-046.5 2093 1928 62.21% 25.63% 12.16%+0.98 +11.2 25
2004-10-31 @ Juventus L 0-346.5 1928 2093 12.16% 25.63% 62.21%-0.98 -11.1 13
2004-10-31 Lecce W 4-057.3 1844 1956 27.12% 34.38% 38.50%-0.17 +39.7 13
2004-10-31 @ Fiorentina L 0-457.3 1956 1844 38.50% 34.38% 27.12%+0.17 -39.7 15
2004-10-31 Palermo W 1-056.3 1939 1883 49.59% 31.73% 18.68%+0.53 +6.5 12
2004-10-31 @ Udinese L 0-156.3 1883 1939 18.68% 31.73% 49.59%-0.53 -6.5 10
2004-10-31 Reggina W 2-163.5 1874 1864 43.76% 33.46% 22.78%+0.34 +7.2 14
2004-10-31 @ Messina L 1-263.5 1864 1874 22.78% 33.46% 43.76%-0.34 -7.2 7
2004-11-06 Chievo Verona W 1-060.4 1868 1917 35.63% 34.63% 29.74%+0.09 +9.3 12
2004-11-06 @ Brescia L 0-160.4 1917 1868 29.74% 34.63% 35.63%-0.09 -9.3 13
2004-11-06 Juventus W 2-172.1 1857 2105 15.13% 29.10% 55.77%-0.73 +13.8 10
2004-11-06 @ Reggina L 1-272.1 2105 1857 55.77% 29.10% 15.13%+0.73 -13.8 25
2004-11-07 Inter Milan D 1-170.3 1884 2003 26.22% 34.25% 39.54%-0.20 +0.7 14
2004-11-07 @ Fiorentina D 1-170.3 2003 1884 39.54% 34.25% 26.22%+0.20 -0.7 14
2004-11-07 Livorno D 0-065.7 1874 1871 42.78% 33.68% 23.54%+0.31 -1.2 14
2004-11-07 @ Cagliari D 0-065.7 1871 1874 23.54% 33.68% 42.78%-0.31 +1.2 12
2004-11-07 Messina D 2-276.0 1884 1881 42.86% 33.66% 23.48%+0.31 -0.8 11
2004-11-07 @ Bologna D 2-276.0 1881 1884 23.48% 33.66% 42.86%-0.31 +0.8 15
2004-11-07 Parma D 1-170.2 1877 1907 38.27% 34.41% 27.32%+0.17 -0.6 11
2004-11-07 @ Palermo D 1-170.2 1907 1877 27.32% 34.41% 38.27%-0.17 +0.6 8
2004-11-07 Roma D 1-171.0 2067 2019 48.75% 32.03% 19.23%+0.50 -1.7 21
2004-11-07 @ AC Milan D 1-171.0 2019 2067 19.23% 32.03% 48.75%-0.50 +1.7 13
2004-11-07 Sampdoria D 0-065.4 1850 1913 33.74% 34.71% 31.55%+0.04 -0.1 6
2004-11-07 @ Atalanta D 0-065.4 1913 1850 31.55% 34.71% 33.74%-0.04 +0.1 13
2004-11-07 Siena D 1-172.0 1969 1850 57.09% 28.44% 14.47%+0.79 -2.5 13
2004-11-07 @ Lazio Roma D 1-172.0 1850 1969 14.47% 28.44% 57.09%-0.79 +2.5 10
2004-11-07 Udinese L 3-475.7 1916 1945 38.46% 34.38% 27.16%+0.17 -9.7 15
2004-11-07 @ Lecce W 4-375.7 1945 1916 27.16% 34.38% 38.46%-0.17 +9.7 15
2004-11-10 AC Milan D 0-066.3 1877 2066 19.30% 32.06% 48.64%-0.48 +1.9 13
2004-11-10 @ Brescia D 0-066.3 2066 1877 48.64% 32.06% 19.30%+0.48 -1.9 22
2004-11-10 Atalanta W 1-056.2 1908 1850 49.83% 31.64% 18.53%+0.53 +6.4 16
2004-11-10 @ Chievo Verona L 0-156.2 1850 1908 18.53% 31.64% 49.83%-0.53 -6.4 6
2004-11-10 Bologna D 2-277.6 2002 1884 57.06% 28.45% 14.48%+0.79 -1.9 15
2004-11-10 @ Inter Milan D 2-277.6 1884 2002 14.48% 28.45% 57.06%-0.79 +1.9 12
2004-11-10 Cagliari D 0-066.1 1913 1873 47.65% 32.39% 19.96%+0.46 -1.8 14
2004-11-10 @ Sampdoria D 0-066.1 1873 1913 19.96% 32.39% 47.65%-0.46 +1.8 15
2004-11-10 Fiorentina W 1-051.2 2091 1884 66.56% 22.99% 10.45%+1.15 +3.4 28
2004-11-10 @ Juventus L 0-151.2 1884 2091 10.45% 22.99% 66.56%-1.15 -3.4 14
2004-11-10 Lazio Roma W 1-062.3 1873 1967 29.38% 34.61% 36.01%-0.09 +10.6 15
2004-11-10 @ Livorno L 0-162.3 1967 1873 36.01% 34.61% 29.38%+0.09 -10.6 13
2004-11-10 Lecce D 1-170.1 1853 1906 35.03% 34.67% 30.31%+0.07 -0.2 11
2004-11-10 @ Siena D 1-170.1 1906 1853 30.31% 34.67% 35.03%-0.07 +0.2 16
2004-11-10 Reggina W 1-056.9 1908 1870 47.27% 32.51% 20.22%+0.45 +7.0 11
2004-11-10 @ Parma L 0-156.9 1870 1908 20.22% 32.51% 47.27%-0.45 -7.0 10
2004-11-10 Udinese L 0-359.7 2020 1955 50.78% 31.28% 17.93%+0.57 -37.3 13
2004-11-10 @ Roma W 3-059.7 1955 2020 17.93% 31.28% 50.78%-0.57 +37.3 18
2004-11-11 Palermo D 0-065.8 1882 1876 43.23% 33.58% 23.19%+0.32 -1.2 16
2004-11-11 @ Messina D 0-065.8 1876 1882 23.19% 33.58% 43.23%-0.32 +1.2 12
2004-11-14 Bologna W 2-161.2 1956 1886 51.40% 31.04% 17.56%+0.59 +5.8 16
2004-11-14 @ Lazio Roma L 1-261.2 1886 1956 17.56% 31.04% 51.40%-0.59 -5.8 12
2004-11-14 Brescia D 0-065.5 1844 1879 37.60% 34.48% 27.92%+0.15 -0.6 7
2004-11-14 @ Atalanta D 0-065.5 1879 1844 27.92% 34.48% 37.60%-0.15 +0.6 14
2004-11-14 Chievo Verona D 2-276.0 1915 1914 42.46% 33.74% 23.80%+0.30 -0.8 12
2004-11-14 @ Parma D 2-276.0 1914 1915 23.80% 33.74% 42.46%-0.30 +0.8 17
2004-11-14 Inter Milan D 3-379.5 1875 2000 25.46% 34.11% 40.42%-0.22 +0.5 16
2004-11-14 @ Cagliari D 3-379.5 2000 1875 40.42% 34.11% 25.46%+0.22 -0.5 16
2004-11-14 Juventus L 0-156.6 1907 2094 19.38% 32.10% 48.52%-0.48 -6.7 16
2004-11-14 @ Lecce W 1-056.6 2094 1907 48.52% 32.10% 19.38%+0.48 +6.7 31
2004-11-14 Livorno D 1-170.4 1881 1883 42.14% 33.81% 24.05%+0.29 -1.0 15
2004-11-14 @ Fiorentina D 1-170.4 1883 1881 24.05% 33.81% 42.14%-0.29 +1.0 16
2004-11-14 Messina D 1-171.9 1992 1881 56.23% 28.87% 14.90%+0.76 -2.5 19
2004-11-14 @ Udinese D 1-171.9 1881 1992 14.90% 28.87% 56.23%-0.76 +2.5 17
2004-11-14 Roma W 1-063.3 1864 1983 26.19% 34.24% 39.57%-0.20 +11.3 13
2004-11-14 @ Reggina L 0-163.3 1983 1864 39.57% 34.24% 26.19%+0.20 -11.3 13
2004-11-14 Sampdoria W 2-055.5 1877 1911 37.77% 34.46% 27.77%+0.15 +16.8 15
2004-11-14 @ Palermo L 0-255.5 1911 1877 27.77% 34.46% 37.77%-0.15 -16.8 14
2004-11-14 Siena W 2-156.5 2064 1852 67.07% 22.67% 10.26%+1.17 +3.1 25
2004-11-14 @ AC Milan L 1-256.5 1852 2064 10.26% 22.67% 67.07%-1.17 -3.1 11
2004-11-27 Roma L 0-453.5 1849 1972 25.86% 34.19% 39.95%-0.21 -30.2 11
2004-11-27 @ Siena W 4-053.5 1972 1849 39.95% 34.19% 25.86%+0.21 +30.2 16
2004-11-27 Udinese L 1-265.4 1884 1990 27.90% 34.47% 37.63%-0.14 -8.4 16
2004-11-27 @ Livorno W 2-165.4 1990 1884 37.63% 34.47% 27.90%+0.14 +8.4 22
2004-11-28 AC Milan L 0-158.0 1915 2067 22.64% 33.42% 43.94%-0.33 -7.6 17
2004-11-28 @ Chievo Verona W 1-058.0 2067 1915 43.94% 33.42% 22.64%+0.33 +7.6 28
2004-11-28 Cagliari L 2-376.5 1962 1875 53.33% 30.23% 16.44%+0.65 -12.6 16
2004-11-28 @ Lazio Roma W 3-276.5 1875 1962 16.44% 30.23% 53.33%-0.65 +12.6 19
2004-11-28 Fiorentina D 1-170.5 1883 1880 42.84% 33.67% 23.50%+0.31 -1.1 18
2004-11-28 @ Messina D 1-170.5 1880 1883 23.50% 33.67% 42.84%-0.31 +1.1 16
2004-11-28 Juventus D 2-275.8 2000 2101 28.46% 34.53% 37.01%-0.12 +0.3 17
2004-11-28 @ Inter Milan D 2-275.8 2101 2000 37.01% 34.53% 28.46%+0.12 -0.3 32
2004-11-28 Lecce D 0-065.6 1880 1900 39.71% 34.22% 26.07%+0.21 -0.8 13
2004-11-28 @ Bologna D 0-065.6 1900 1880 26.07% 34.22% 39.71%-0.21 +0.8 17
2004-11-28 Palermo L 0-259.2 1880 1894 40.50% 34.10% 25.40%+0.24 -21.7 14
2004-11-28 @ Brescia W 2-059.2 1894 1880 25.40% 34.10% 40.50%-0.24 +21.7 18
2004-11-28 Parma W 1-059.2 1895 1914 39.82% 34.21% 25.97%+0.22 +8.5 17
2004-11-28 @ Sampdoria L 0-159.2 1914 1895 25.97% 34.21% 39.82%-0.22 -8.5 12
2004-11-28 Reggina L 0-162.9 1843 1875 38.12% 34.42% 27.46%+0.16 -11.0 7
2004-11-28 @ Atalanta W 1-062.9 1875 1843 27.46% 34.42% 38.12%-0.16 +11.0 16
2004-12-04 AC Milan L 1-262.8 1905 2075 20.97% 32.83% 46.20%-0.41 -6.8 12
2004-12-04 @ Parma W 2-162.8 2075 1905 46.20% 32.83% 20.97%+0.41 +6.8 31
2004-12-04 Messina W 5-049.6 2000 1882 57.00% 28.49% 14.52%+0.78 +22.1 20
2004-12-04 @ Inter Milan L 0-549.6 1882 2000 14.52% 28.49% 57.00%-0.78 -22.1 18
2004-12-05 Atalanta W 1-055.2 1916 1832 52.96% 30.39% 16.65%+0.64 +5.8 21
2004-12-05 @ Palermo L 0-155.2 1832 1916 16.65% 30.39% 52.96%-0.64 -5.8 7
2004-12-05 Bologna W 1-058.3 1881 1879 42.73% 33.69% 23.58%+0.30 +7.9 19
2004-12-05 @ Fiorentina L 0-158.3 1879 1881 23.58% 33.69% 42.73%-0.30 -7.9 13
2004-12-05 Brescia L 1-366.0 1886 1858 46.09% 32.86% 21.05%+0.41 -20.7 16
2004-12-05 @ Reggina W 3-166.0 1858 1886 21.05% 32.86% 46.09%-0.41 +20.7 17
2004-12-05 Chievo Verona W 4-264.0 1888 1907 39.77% 34.21% 26.02%+0.21 +12.4 22
2004-12-05 @ Cagliari L 2-464.0 1907 1888 26.02% 34.21% 39.77%-0.21 -12.4 17
2004-12-05 Lazio Roma W 2-158.4 2100 1949 60.73% 26.48% 12.79%+0.92 +4.1 35
2004-12-05 @ Juventus L 1-258.4 1949 2100 12.79% 26.48% 60.73%-0.92 -4.1 16
2004-12-05 Livorno W 3-267.7 1901 1876 45.69% 32.97% 21.34%+0.40 +6.5 20
2004-12-05 @ Lecce L 2-367.7 1876 1901 21.34% 32.97% 45.69%-0.40 -6.5 16
2004-12-05 Sampdoria D 1-171.7 2002 1903 54.78% 29.57% 15.65%+0.70 -2.3 17
2004-12-05 @ Roma D 1-171.7 1903 2002 15.65% 29.57% 54.78%-0.70 +2.3 18
2004-12-05 Siena W 1-052.0 1998 1819 63.70% 24.75% 11.55%+1.04 +3.8 25
2004-12-05 @ Udinese L 0-152.0 1819 1998 11.55% 24.75% 63.70%-1.04 -3.8 11
2004-12-11 Lecce D 3-380.0 1945 1907 47.35% 32.48% 20.17%+0.45 -1.0 17
2004-12-11 @ Lazio Roma D 3-380.0 1907 1945 20.17% 32.48% 47.35%-0.45 +1.0 21
2004-12-11 Udinese L 0-157.0 1826 2002 20.41% 32.59% 46.99%-0.43 -7.0 7
2004-12-11 @ Atalanta W 1-057.0 2002 1826 46.99% 32.59% 20.41%+0.43 +7.0 28
2004-12-12 Cagliari W 3-270.1 1865 1900 37.64% 34.47% 27.89%+0.15 +8.0 19
2004-12-12 @ Reggina L 2-370.1 1900 1865 27.89% 34.47% 37.64%-0.15 -8.0 22
2004-12-12 Fiorentina W 6-048.3 2081 1889 65.11% 23.89% 11.00%+1.09 +18.8 34
2004-12-12 @ AC Milan L 0-648.3 1889 2081 11.00% 23.89% 65.11%-1.09 -18.8 19
2004-12-12 Inter Milan D 2-276.7 1815 2022 17.86% 31.23% 50.91%-0.56 +1.4 12
2004-12-12 @ Siena D 2-276.7 2022 1815 50.91% 31.23% 17.86%+0.56 -1.4 21
2004-12-12 Juventus L 0-154.9 1871 2105 16.02% 29.88% 54.10%-0.67 -5.6 13
2004-12-12 @ Bologna W 1-054.9 2105 1871 54.10% 29.88% 16.02%+0.67 +5.6 38
2004-12-12 Messina W 1-056.6 1905 1860 48.30% 32.18% 19.52%+0.48 +6.7 21
2004-12-12 @ Sampdoria L 0-156.6 1860 1905 19.52% 32.18% 48.30%-0.48 -6.7 18
2004-12-12 Palermo W 2-165.0 1895 1921 38.83% 34.34% 26.83%+0.19 +8.2 20
2004-12-12 @ Chievo Verona L 1-265.0 1921 1895 26.83% 34.34% 38.83%-0.19 -8.2 21
2004-12-12 Parma W 2-055.3 1869 1899 38.45% 34.39% 27.17%+0.17 +16.5 19
2004-12-12 @ Livorno L 0-255.3 1899 1869 27.17% 34.39% 38.45%-0.17 -16.5 12
2004-12-12 Roma L 0-159.2 1879 2000 26.01% 34.21% 39.77%-0.20 -8.5 17
2004-12-12 @ Brescia W 1-059.2 2000 1879 39.77% 34.21% 26.01%+0.20 +8.5 20
2004-12-18 AC Milan D 0-065.9 2110 2100 43.76% 33.46% 22.78%+0.34 -1.3 39
2004-12-18 @ Juventus D 0-065.9 2100 2110 22.78% 33.46% 43.76%-0.34 +1.3 35
2004-12-19 Brescia W 1-053.0 2021 1870 60.66% 26.52% 12.82%+0.92 +4.4 24
2004-12-19 @ Inter Milan L 0-153.0 1870 2021 12.82% 26.52% 60.66%-0.92 -4.4 17
2004-12-19 Cagliari W 3-051.5 1913 1892 45.20% 33.10% 21.69%+0.38 +20.2 24
2004-12-19 @ Palermo L 0-351.5 1892 1913 21.69% 33.10% 45.20%-0.38 -20.2 22
2004-12-19 Chievo Verona W 2-055.4 1870 1903 37.93% 34.44% 27.63%+0.16 +16.7 22
2004-12-19 @ Fiorentina L 0-255.4 1903 1870 27.63% 34.44% 37.93%-0.16 -16.7 20
2004-12-19 Lazio Roma W 3-049.9 2009 1944 50.72% 31.31% 17.97%+0.56 +17.1 31
2004-12-19 @ Udinese L 0-349.9 1944 2009 17.97% 31.31% 50.72%-0.56 -17.1 17
2004-12-19 Livorno D 1-170.1 1817 1886 32.81% 34.72% 32.47%+0.01 -0.0 13
2004-12-19 @ Siena D 1-170.1 1886 1817 32.47% 34.72% 32.81%-0.01 +0.0 20
2004-12-19 Parma W 5-151.7 2008 1882 57.90% 28.02% 14.08%+0.82 +14.5 23
2004-12-19 @ Roma L 1-551.7 1882 2008 14.08% 28.02% 57.90%-0.82 -14.5 12
2004-12-19 Reggina W 2-054.4 1865 1873 41.39% 33.95% 24.66%+0.26 +15.4 16
2004-12-19 @ Bologna L 0-254.4 1873 1865 24.66% 33.95% 41.39%-0.26 -15.4 19
2004-12-19 Sampdoria L 1-462.6 1908 1912 41.90% 33.85% 24.25%+0.28 -27.2 21
2004-12-19 @ Lecce W 4-162.6 1912 1908 24.25% 33.85% 41.90%-0.28 +27.2 24
2005-01-06 Bologna D 1-170.3 1866 1881 40.39% 34.12% 25.49%+0.23 -0.8 18
2005-01-06 @ Brescia D 1-170.3 1881 1866 25.49% 34.12% 40.39%-0.23 +0.8 17
2005-01-06 Fiorentina W 1-061.2 1819 1887 33.02% 34.72% 32.26%+0.02 +9.8 10
2005-01-06 @ Atalanta L 0-161.2 1887 1819 32.26% 34.72% 33.02%-0.02 -9.8 22
2005-01-06 Inter Milan L 0-254.2 1886 2025 23.94% 33.78% 42.27%-0.28 -15.0 20
2005-01-06 @ Livorno W 2-054.2 2025 1886 42.27% 33.78% 23.94%+0.28 +15.0 27
2005-01-06 Juventus D 1-171.8 1868 2109 15.53% 29.46% 55.01%-0.70 +2.3 13
2005-01-06 @ Parma D 1-171.8 2109 1868 55.01% 29.46% 15.53%+0.70 -2.3 40
2005-01-06 Lecce W 5-251.9 2101 1881 68.00% 22.08% 9.92%+1.21 +6.3 38
2005-01-06 @ AC Milan L 2-551.9 1881 2101 9.92% 22.08% 68.00%-1.21 -6.3 21
2005-01-06 Messina W 2-163.1 1872 1853 44.90% 33.18% 21.92%+0.37 +7.0 25
2005-01-06 @ Cagliari L 1-263.1 1853 1872 21.92% 33.18% 44.90%-0.37 -7.0 18
2005-01-06 Palermo W 1-061.6 1858 1933 31.86% 34.71% 33.42%-0.02 +10.1 22
2005-01-06 @ Reggina L 0-161.6 1933 1858 33.42% 34.71% 31.86%+0.02 -10.1 24
2005-01-06 Roma W 3-163.6 1927 2022 29.16% 34.59% 36.25%-0.10 +17.4 20
2005-01-06 @ Lazio Roma L 1-363.6 2022 1927 36.25% 34.59% 29.16%+0.10 -17.4 23
2005-01-06 Siena L 1-367.0 1886 1817 51.31% 31.07% 17.61%+0.58 -22.4 20
2005-01-06 @ Chievo Verona W 3-167.0 1817 1886 17.61% 31.07% 51.31%-0.58 +22.4 16
2005-01-06 Udinese W 2-057.8 1939 2026 30.34% 34.67% 34.99%-0.06 +19.6 27
2005-01-06 @ Sampdoria L 0-257.8 2026 1939 34.99% 34.67% 30.34%+0.06 -19.6 31
2005-01-09 AC Milan D 0-066.2 1923 2108 19.65% 32.24% 48.11%-0.47 +1.8 25
2005-01-09 @ Palermo D 0-066.2 2108 1923 48.11% 32.24% 19.65%+0.47 -1.8 39
2005-01-09 Atalanta W 2-157.6 2005 1829 63.37% 24.94% 11.68%+1.02 +3.7 26
2005-01-09 @ Roma L 1-257.6 1829 2005 11.68% 24.94% 63.37%-1.02 -3.7 10
2005-01-09 Brescia W 2-054.8 1846 1865 39.89% 34.19% 25.91%+0.22 +16.0 21
2005-01-09 @ Messina L 0-254.8 1865 1846 25.91% 34.19% 39.89%-0.22 -16.0 18
2005-01-09 Cagliari W 2-049.4 2006 1879 58.06% 27.94% 14.00%+0.82 +9.1 34
2005-01-09 @ Udinese L 0-249.4 1879 2006 14.00% 27.94% 58.06%-0.82 -9.1 25
2005-01-09 Chievo Verona W 3-158.9 1882 1864 44.75% 33.22% 22.03%+0.37 +12.2 20
2005-01-09 @ Bologna L 1-358.9 1864 1882 22.03% 33.22% 44.75%-0.37 -12.2 20
2005-01-09 Lazio Roma L 2-371.7 1877 1944 33.09% 34.72% 32.20%+0.02 -9.0 22
2005-01-09 @ Fiorentina W 3-271.7 1944 1877 32.20% 34.72% 33.09%-0.02 +9.0 23
2005-01-09 Livorno W 4-255.1 2106 1871 69.51% 21.11% 9.38%+1.27 +4.2 43
2005-01-09 @ Juventus L 2-455.1 1871 2106 9.38% 21.11% 69.51%-1.27 -4.2 20
2005-01-09 Parma L 0-162.9 1839 1870 38.24% 34.41% 27.35%+0.17 -11.1 16
2005-01-09 @ Siena W 1-062.9 1870 1839 27.35% 34.41% 38.24%-0.17 +11.0 16
2005-01-09 Reggina D 1-170.5 1875 1868 43.32% 33.56% 23.12%+0.32 -1.1 22
2005-01-09 @ Lecce D 1-170.5 1868 1875 23.12% 33.56% 43.32%-0.32 +1.1 23
2005-01-09 Sampdoria W 3-265.6 2040 1959 52.71% 30.50% 16.79%+0.63 +5.2 30
2005-01-09 @ Inter Milan L 2-365.6 1959 2040 16.79% 30.50% 52.71%-0.63 -5.2 27
2005-01-15 Fiorentina D 1-170.3 1849 1868 39.83% 34.20% 25.96%+0.22 -0.7 19
2005-01-15 @ Brescia D 1-170.3 1868 1849 25.96% 34.20% 39.83%-0.22 +0.8 23
2005-01-15 Inter Milan D 0-066.1 1869 2045 20.32% 32.55% 47.12%-0.44 +1.7 24
2005-01-15 @ Reggina D 0-066.1 2045 1869 47.12% 32.55% 20.32%+0.44 -1.7 31
2005-01-16 Bologna D 0-066.4 1954 1894 50.10% 31.54% 18.36%+0.54 -2.1 28
2005-01-16 @ Sampdoria D 0-066.4 1894 1954 18.36% 31.54% 50.10%-0.54 +2.1 21
2005-01-16 Juventus D 1-171.8 1870 2111 15.56% 29.49% 54.95%-0.70 +2.3 26
2005-01-16 @ Cagliari D 1-171.8 2111 1870 54.95% 29.49% 15.56%+0.70 -2.3 44
2005-01-16 Lecce W 2-163.6 1881 1873 43.42% 33.54% 23.04%+0.33 +7.3 19
2005-01-16 @ Parma L 1-263.6 1873 1881 23.04% 33.54% 43.42%-0.33 -7.3 22
2005-01-16 Messina W 3-159.4 1867 1862 43.01% 33.63% 23.36%+0.31 +12.8 23
2005-01-16 @ Livorno L 1-359.4 1862 1867 23.36% 33.63% 43.01%-0.31 -12.8 21
2005-01-16 Palermo L 1-366.0 1953 1925 46.10% 32.86% 21.04%+0.41 -20.7 23
2005-01-16 @ Lazio Roma W 3-166.0 1925 1953 21.04% 32.86% 46.10%-0.41 +20.7 28
2005-01-16 Roma D 2-276.1 1852 2009 22.15% 33.26% 44.59%-0.35 +0.9 21
2005-01-16 @ Chievo Verona D 2-276.1 2009 1852 44.59% 33.26% 22.15%+0.35 -0.9 27
2005-01-16 Siena D 1-170.3 1826 1828 42.09% 33.82% 24.09%+0.29 -1.0 11
2005-01-16 @ Atalanta D 1-170.3 1828 1826 24.09% 33.82% 42.09%-0.29 +1.0 17
2005-01-16 Udinese W 3-156.2 2106 2015 53.79% 30.02% 16.19%+0.67 +9.2 42
2005-01-16 @ AC Milan L 1-356.2 2015 2106 16.19% 30.02% 53.79%-0.67 -9.2 34
2005-01-19 Atalanta W 1-057.3 1849 1825 45.69% 32.97% 21.34%+0.40 +7.3 24
2005-01-19 @ Messina L 0-157.3 1825 1849 21.34% 32.97% 45.69%-0.40 -7.3 11
2005-01-22 Cagliari W 1-057.5 1896 1872 45.53% 33.01% 21.45%+0.39 +7.3 24
2005-01-22 @ Bologna L 0-157.5 1872 1896 21.45% 33.01% 45.53%-0.39 -7.3 26
2005-01-22 Chievo Verona D 1-173.4 2044 1853 64.97% 23.98% 11.05%+1.09 -3.3 32
2005-01-22 @ Inter Milan D 1-173.4 1853 2044 11.05% 23.98% 64.97%-1.09 +3.3 22
2005-01-23 AC Milan W 1-066.4 1879 2115 15.88% 29.76% 54.36%-0.68 +14.3 26
2005-01-23 @ Livorno L 0-166.4 2115 1879 54.36% 29.76% 15.88%+0.68 -14.3 42
2005-01-23 Atalanta W 1-056.4 1866 1817 48.74% 32.03% 19.23%+0.50 +6.6 25
2005-01-23 @ Lecce L 0-156.4 1817 1866 19.23% 32.03% 48.74%-0.50 -6.6 11
2005-01-23 Brescia W 2-045.3 2108 1848 71.86% 19.58% 8.56%+1.37 +4.9 47
2005-01-23 @ Juventus L 0-245.3 1848 2108 8.56% 19.58% 71.86%-1.37 -4.9 19
2005-01-23 Palermo D 0-065.6 1829 1946 26.50% 34.29% 39.21%-0.19 +0.8 18
2005-01-23 @ Siena D 0-065.6 1946 1829 39.21% 34.29% 26.50%+0.19 -0.8 29
2005-01-23 Parma W 1-059.7 1857 1888 38.12% 34.42% 27.45%+0.16 +8.8 27
2005-01-23 @ Messina L 0-159.7 1888 1857 27.45% 34.42% 38.12%-0.16 -8.8 19
2005-01-23 Reggina L 0-262.8 2006 1871 58.98% 27.45% 13.57%+0.86 -28.7 34
2005-01-23 @ Udinese W 2-062.8 1871 2006 13.57% 27.45% 58.98%-0.86 +28.7 27
2005-01-23 Roma L 1-264.0 1869 2008 24.00% 33.79% 42.21%-0.28 -7.5 23
2005-01-23 @ Fiorentina W 2-164.0 2008 1869 42.21% 33.79% 24.00%+0.28 +7.5 30
2005-01-23 Sampdoria L 1-268.9 1933 1952 39.85% 34.20% 25.95%+0.22 -10.7 23
2005-01-23 @ Lazio Roma W 2-168.9 1952 1933 25.95% 34.20% 39.85%-0.22 +10.7 31
2005-01-29 Livorno W 1-059.9 1856 1894 37.28% 34.51% 28.21%+0.14 +9.0 25
2005-01-29 @ Chievo Verona L 0-159.9 1894 1856 28.21% 34.51% 37.28%-0.14 -9.0 26
2005-01-29 Udinese W 1-062.5 1879 1978 28.82% 34.56% 36.62%-0.11 +10.7 22
2005-01-29 @ Parma L 0-162.5 1978 1879 36.62% 34.56% 28.82%+0.11 -10.7 34
2005-01-30 Bologna L 0-167.9 2101 1903 65.66% 23.55% 10.79%+1.11 -16.4 42
2005-01-30 @ AC Milan W 1-067.9 1903 2101 10.79% 23.55% 65.66%-1.11 +16.4 27
2005-01-30 Fiorentina W 1-058.2 1865 1861 42.90% 33.65% 23.44%+0.31 +7.8 29
2005-01-30 @ Cagliari L 0-158.2 1861 1865 23.44% 33.65% 42.90%-0.31 -7.9 23
2005-01-30 Inter Milan L 0-256.0 1945 2041 29.18% 34.59% 36.22%-0.10 -17.4 29
2005-01-30 @ Palermo W 2-056.0 2041 1945 36.22% 34.59% 29.18%+0.10 +17.4 35
2005-01-30 Juventus L 1-258.1 1811 2113 12.29% 25.81% 61.90%-0.96 -3.9 11
2005-01-30 @ Atalanta W 2-158.1 2113 1811 61.90% 25.81% 12.29%+0.96 +3.9 50
2005-01-30 Lazio Roma W 2-164.8 1899 1922 39.38% 34.27% 26.36%+0.20 +8.1 30
2005-01-30 @ Reggina L 1-264.8 1922 1899 26.36% 34.27% 39.38%-0.20 -8.1 23
2005-01-30 Lecce L 0-162.9 1843 1873 38.42% 34.39% 27.19%+0.17 -11.1 19
2005-01-30 @ Brescia W 1-062.9 1873 1843 27.19% 34.39% 38.42%-0.17 +11.1 28
2005-01-30 Messina W 3-263.2 2015 1866 60.56% 26.58% 12.87%+0.92 +3.9 33
2005-01-30 @ Roma L 2-363.2 1866 2015 12.87% 26.58% 60.56%-0.92 -3.9 27
2005-01-30 Siena D 1-172.3 1962 1830 58.63% 27.63% 13.73%+0.84 -2.7 32
2005-01-30 @ Sampdoria D 1-172.3 1830 1962 13.73% 27.63% 58.63%-0.84 +2.7 19
2005-02-02 AC Milan L 1-454.0 1862 2084 16.73% 30.45% 52.82%-0.63 -13.5 27
2005-02-02 @ Messina W 4-154.0 2084 1862 52.82% 30.45% 16.73%+0.63 +13.5 45
2005-02-02 Atalanta W 1-049.9 2058 1807 71.00% 20.14% 8.86%+1.34 +2.7 38
2005-02-02 @ Inter Milan L 0-149.9 1807 2058 8.86% 20.14% 71.00%-1.34 -2.7 11
2005-02-02 Brescia D 0-066.7 1914 1832 52.72% 30.49% 16.79%+0.63 -2.3 24
2005-02-02 @ Lazio Roma D 0-066.7 1832 1914 16.79% 30.49% 52.72%-0.63 +2.4 20
2005-02-02 Cagliari D 2-275.7 1833 1873 36.90% 34.54% 28.55%+0.13 -0.3 20
2005-02-02 @ Siena D 2-275.7 1873 1833 28.55% 34.54% 36.90%-0.13 +0.3 30
2005-02-02 Chievo Verona W 3-048.5 1967 1865 55.13% 29.41% 15.47%+0.72 +14.7 37
2005-02-02 @ Udinese L 0-348.5 1865 1967 15.47% 29.41% 55.13%-0.72 -14.7 25
2005-02-02 Palermo L 1-266.6 1854 1928 32.07% 34.72% 33.21%-0.01 -9.2 23
2005-02-02 @ Fiorentina W 2-166.6 1928 1854 33.21% 34.72% 32.07%+0.01 +9.2 32
2005-02-02 Reggina D 1-170.3 1885 1907 39.34% 34.27% 26.39%+0.20 -0.7 27
2005-02-02 @ Livorno D 1-170.3 1907 1885 26.39% 34.27% 39.34%-0.20 +0.7 31
2005-02-02 Roma D 1-170.4 1884 2019 24.38% 33.89% 41.73%-0.26 +0.9 29
2005-02-02 @ Lecce D 1-170.4 2019 1884 41.73% 33.89% 24.38%+0.26 -1.0 34
2005-02-02 Sampdoria L 0-167.4 2117 1960 61.40% 26.10% 12.50%+0.95 -15.6 50
2005-02-02 @ Juventus W 1-067.4 1960 2117 12.50% 26.10% 61.40%-0.95 +15.6 35
2005-02-03 Parma W 3-158.4 1920 1890 46.28% 32.80% 20.91%+0.42 +11.7 30
2005-02-03 @ Bologna L 1-358.4 1890 1920 20.91% 32.80% 46.28%-0.42 -11.7 22
2005-02-05 Fiorentina W 3-047.5 1975 1844 58.47% 27.72% 13.81%+0.84 +13.0 38
2005-02-05 @ Sampdoria L 0-347.5 1844 1975 13.81% 27.72% 58.47%-0.84 -13.0 23
2005-02-05 Juventus W 1-064.8 1937 2102 21.41% 33.00% 45.59%-0.39 +12.5 35
2005-02-05 @ Palermo L 0-164.8 2102 1937 45.59% 33.00% 21.41%+0.39 -12.6 50
2005-02-06 Bologna D 1-171.5 2018 1931 53.39% 30.20% 16.41%+0.66 -2.2 35
2005-02-06 @ Roma D 1-171.5 1931 2018 16.41% 30.20% 53.39%-0.66 +2.2 31
2005-02-06 Inter Milan D 2-276.4 1878 2061 19.84% 32.33% 47.83%-0.46 +1.2 23
2005-02-06 @ Parma D 2-276.4 2061 1878 47.83% 32.33% 19.84%+0.46 -1.2 39
2005-02-06 Lazio Roma W 2-157.3 2098 1911 64.50% 24.27% 11.24%+1.07 +3.5 48
2005-02-06 @ AC Milan L 1-257.3 1911 2098 11.24% 24.27% 64.50%-1.07 -3.5 24
2005-02-06 Lecce W 3-160.1 1873 1885 40.85% 34.04% 25.11%+0.25 +13.5 33
2005-02-06 @ Cagliari L 1-360.1 1885 1873 25.11% 34.04% 40.85%-0.25 -13.5 29
2005-02-06 Livorno W 1-061.7 1804 1884 31.28% 34.70% 34.02%-0.04 +10.2 14
2005-02-06 @ Atalanta L 0-161.7 1884 1804 34.02% 34.70% 31.28%+0.04 -10.2 27
2005-02-06 Messina W 1-058.3 1850 1848 42.72% 33.69% 23.59%+0.30 +7.9 28
2005-02-06 @ Chievo Verona L 0-158.3 1848 1850 23.59% 33.69% 42.72%-0.30 -7.9 27
2005-02-06 Siena D 3-380.4 1908 1832 52.06% 30.77% 17.17%+0.61 -1.3 32
2005-02-06 @ Reggina D 3-380.4 1832 1908 17.17% 30.77% 52.06%-0.61 +1.3 21
2005-02-06 Udinese L 0-158.2 1835 1982 23.15% 33.57% 43.28%-0.31 -7.8 20
2005-02-06 @ Brescia W 1-058.2 1982 1835 43.28% 33.57% 23.15%+0.31 +7.8 40
2005-02-12 Atalanta W 2-160.3 1908 1814 54.17% 29.85% 15.98%+0.68 +5.2 27
2005-02-12 @ Lazio Roma L 1-260.3 1814 1908 15.98% 29.85% 54.17%-0.68 -5.2 14
2005-02-12 Roma W 2-052.5 2059 2016 48.04% 32.26% 19.70%+0.47 +12.8 42
2005-02-12 @ Inter Milan L 0-252.5 2016 2059 19.70% 32.26% 48.04%-0.47 -12.8 35
2005-02-13 AC Milan L 0-156.4 1907 2101 18.82% 31.80% 49.38%-0.51 -6.5 32
2005-02-13 @ Reggina W 1-056.4 2101 1907 49.38% 31.80% 18.82%+0.51 +6.5 51
2005-02-13 Cagliari W 2-056.5 1827 1887 34.15% 34.70% 31.16%+0.05 +18.1 23
2005-02-13 @ Brescia L 0-256.5 1887 1827 31.16% 34.70% 34.15%-0.05 -18.2 33
2005-02-13 Chievo Verona W 3-051.8 1871 1858 44.17% 33.36% 22.47%+0.35 +20.8 32
2005-02-13 @ Lecce L 0-351.8 1858 1871 22.47% 33.36% 44.17%-0.35 -20.8 28
2005-02-13 Messina D 2-275.8 1833 1840 41.52% 33.93% 24.56%+0.27 -0.7 22
2005-02-13 @ Siena D 2-275.8 1840 1833 24.56% 33.93% 41.52%-0.27 +0.7 28
2005-02-13 Palermo D 1-170.3 1933 1950 40.24% 34.14% 25.61%+0.23 -0.8 32
2005-02-13 @ Bologna D 1-170.3 1950 1933 25.61% 34.14% 40.24%-0.23 +0.8 36
2005-02-13 Parma W 2-165.8 1831 1880 35.77% 34.62% 29.61%+0.10 +8.8 26
2005-02-13 @ Fiorentina L 1-265.8 1880 1831 29.61% 34.62% 35.77%-0.10 -8.8 23
2005-02-13 Sampdoria W 1-063.1 1874 1988 26.77% 34.33% 38.90%-0.18 +11.2 30
2005-02-13 @ Livorno L 0-163.1 1988 1874 38.90% 34.33% 26.77%+0.18 -11.2 38
2005-02-13 Udinese W 2-160.2 2089 1989 54.87% 29.53% 15.60%+0.71 +5.1 53
2005-02-13 @ Juventus L 1-260.2 1989 2089 15.60% 29.53% 54.87%-0.71 -5.1 40
2005-02-19 Cagliari W 1-050.2 2108 1868 69.87% 20.88% 9.25%+1.29 +2.9 54
2005-02-19 @ AC Milan L 0-150.2 1868 2108 9.25% 20.88% 69.87%-1.29 -2.9 33
2005-02-19 Inter Milan D 1-170.2 1984 2072 30.17% 34.66% 35.17%-0.07 +0.3 41
2005-02-19 @ Udinese D 1-170.2 2072 1984 35.17% 34.66% 30.17%+0.07 -0.3 43
2005-02-19 Juventus D 0-067.2 1841 2094 14.82% 28.80% 56.38%-0.75 +2.8 29
2005-02-19 @ Messina D 0-067.2 2094 1841 56.38% 28.80% 14.82%+0.75 -2.8 54
2005-02-20 Bologna W 2-059.1 1809 1933 25.70% 34.16% 40.14%-0.22 +21.6 17
2005-02-20 @ Atalanta L 0-259.1 1933 1809 40.14% 34.16% 25.70%+0.22 -21.6 32
2005-02-20 Brescia W 2-162.8 1871 1845 45.82% 32.94% 21.25%+0.40 +6.8 26
2005-02-20 @ Parma L 1-262.8 1845 1871 21.25% 32.94% 45.82%-0.40 -6.8 23
2005-02-20 Fiorentina W 1-058.6 1833 1840 41.45% 33.94% 24.61%+0.27 +8.2 25
2005-02-20 @ Siena L 0-158.6 1840 1833 24.61% 33.94% 41.45%-0.27 -8.1 26
2005-02-20 Lazio Roma L 0-161.1 1837 1913 31.86% 34.71% 33.43%-0.02 -9.8 28
2005-02-20 @ Chievo Verona W 1-061.1 1913 1837 33.43% 34.71% 31.86%+0.02 +9.8 30
2005-02-20 Lecce W 3-266.4 1950 1892 49.90% 31.61% 18.48%+0.54 +5.7 39
2005-02-20 @ Palermo L 2-366.4 1892 1950 18.48% 31.61% 49.90%-0.54 -5.7 32
2005-02-20 Livorno W 3-048.0 2003 1885 57.03% 28.47% 14.50%+0.79 +13.7 38
2005-02-20 @ Roma L 0-348.0 1885 2003 14.50% 28.47% 57.03%-0.79 -13.7 30
2005-02-20 Reggina W 3-265.8 1977 1900 52.16% 30.73% 17.11%+0.61 +5.3 41
2005-02-20 @ Sampdoria L 2-365.8 1900 1977 17.11% 30.73% 52.16%-0.61 -5.3 32
2005-02-26 Sampdoria L 0-158.3 1838 1982 23.43% 33.65% 42.92%-0.30 -7.9 23
2005-02-26 @ Brescia W 1-058.3 1982 1838 42.92% 33.65% 23.43%+0.30 +7.8 44
2005-02-26 Udinese D 2-276.1 1832 1985 22.57% 33.40% 44.03%-0.34 +0.9 27
2005-02-26 @ Fiorentina D 2-276.1 1985 1832 44.03% 33.40% 22.57%+0.34 -0.9 42
2005-02-27 AC Milan L 0-162.7 2072 2111 37.11% 34.52% 28.36%+0.13 -10.8 43
2005-02-27 @ Inter Milan W 1-062.7 2111 2072 28.36% 34.52% 37.11%-0.13 +10.8 57
2005-02-27 Atalanta D 3-379.9 1866 1831 47.00% 32.59% 20.41%+0.44 -0.9 34
2005-02-27 @ Cagliari D 3-379.9 1831 1866 20.41% 32.59% 47.00%-0.44 +0.9 18
2005-02-27 Chievo Verona W 1-055.8 1895 1828 51.02% 31.19% 17.79%+0.57 +6.2 35
2005-02-27 @ Reggina L 0-155.8 1828 1895 17.79% 31.19% 51.02%-0.57 -6.2 28
2005-02-27 Livorno D 0-066.1 1911 1871 47.61% 32.40% 19.99%+0.46 -1.8 33
2005-02-27 @ Bologna D 0-066.1 1871 1911 19.99% 32.40% 47.61%-0.46 +1.8 31
2005-02-27 Messina W 1-056.7 1886 1844 47.97% 32.29% 19.75%+0.47 +6.8 35
2005-02-27 @ Lecce L 0-156.7 1844 1886 19.75% 32.29% 47.97%-0.47 -6.8 29
2005-02-27 Parma W 2-052.3 1923 1878 48.29% 32.18% 19.53%+0.48 +12.7 33
2005-02-27 @ Lazio Roma L 0-252.3 1878 1923 19.53% 32.18% 48.29%-0.48 -12.7 26
2005-02-27 Roma W 2-056.7 1956 2017 33.98% 34.70% 31.32%+0.04 +18.2 42
2005-02-27 @ Palermo L 0-256.7 2017 1956 31.32% 34.70% 33.98%-0.04 -18.2 38
2005-02-27 Siena W 3-043.8 2091 1841 70.93% 20.19% 8.88%+1.33 +7.4 57
2005-02-27 @ Juventus L 0-343.8 1841 2091 8.88% 20.19% 70.93%-1.33 -7.4 25
2005-03-05 AC Milan L 1-258.5 1832 2122 12.88% 26.60% 60.52%-0.91 -4.1 18
2005-03-05 @ Atalanta W 2-158.5 2122 1832 60.52% 26.60% 12.88%+0.91 +4.1 60
2005-03-05 Juventus L 1-265.6 1999 2099 28.59% 34.54% 36.86%-0.12 -8.6 38
2005-03-05 @ Roma W 2-165.6 2099 1999 36.86% 34.54% 28.59%+0.12 +8.6 60
2005-03-06 Bologna L 0-166.0 1984 1909 51.87% 30.85% 17.28%+0.60 -13.8 42
2005-03-06 @ Udinese W 1-066.0 1909 1984 17.28% 30.85% 51.87%-0.60 +13.8 36
2005-03-06 Brescia L 2-374.2 1834 1830 42.85% 33.66% 23.49%+0.31 -10.7 25
2005-03-06 @ Siena W 3-274.2 1830 1834 23.49% 33.66% 42.85%-0.31 +10.7 26
2005-03-06 Cagliari W 3-268.6 1865 1865 42.47% 33.74% 23.79%+0.30 +7.1 29
2005-03-06 @ Parma L 2-368.6 1865 1865 23.79% 33.74% 42.47%-0.30 -7.1 34
2005-03-06 Chievo Verona W 1-052.4 1990 1822 62.62% 25.39% 11.99%+0.99 +4.0 47
2005-03-06 @ Sampdoria L 0-152.4 1822 1990 11.99% 25.39% 62.62%-0.99 -4.0 28
2005-03-06 Lazio Roma W 1-062.5 1837 1936 28.75% 34.56% 36.70%-0.11 +10.7 32
2005-03-06 @ Messina L 0-162.5 1936 1837 36.70% 34.56% 28.75%+0.11 -10.7 33
2005-03-06 Lecce W 2-157.9 2061 1893 62.52% 25.45% 12.03%+0.99 +3.8 46
2005-03-06 @ Inter Milan L 1-257.9 1893 2061 12.03% 25.45% 62.52%-0.99 -3.8 35
2005-03-06 Palermo D 2-275.7 1873 1974 28.41% 34.53% 37.06%-0.12 +0.3 32
2005-03-06 @ Livorno D 2-275.7 1974 1873 37.06% 34.53% 28.41%+0.12 -0.3 43
2005-03-06 Reggina W 2-166.7 1833 1901 32.91% 34.72% 32.37%+0.01 +9.3 30
2005-03-06 @ Fiorentina L 1-266.7 1901 1833 32.37% 34.72% 32.91%-0.01 -9.3 35
2005-03-12 Fiorentina D 2-276.4 1889 1842 48.55% 32.09% 19.36%+0.49 -1.2 36
2005-03-12 @ Lecce D 2-276.4 1842 1889 19.36% 32.09% 48.55%-0.49 +1.2 31
2005-03-12 Inter Milan D 1-170.5 1925 2065 23.88% 33.76% 42.36%-0.28 +1.0 34
2005-03-12 @ Lazio Roma D 1-170.5 2065 1925 42.36% 33.76% 23.88%+0.28 -1.0 47
2005-03-13 Juventus L 0-153.0 1817 2107 12.89% 26.61% 60.50%-0.90 -4.4 28
2005-03-13 @ Chievo Verona W 1-053.0 2107 1817 60.50% 26.61% 12.89%+0.90 +4.4 63
2005-03-13 Livorno L 2-373.1 1841 1873 38.03% 34.43% 27.54%+0.16 -9.8 26
2005-03-13 @ Brescia W 3-273.1 1873 1841 27.54% 34.43% 38.03%-0.16 +9.9 35
2005-03-13 Messina L 0-260.9 1892 1848 48.16% 32.22% 19.62%+0.48 -24.7 35
2005-03-13 @ Reggina W 2-060.9 1848 1892 19.62% 32.22% 48.16%-0.48 +24.7 35
2005-03-13 Parma W 1-060.2 1827 1872 36.29% 34.59% 29.12%+0.11 +9.2 21
2005-03-13 @ Atalanta L 0-160.2 1872 1827 29.12% 34.59% 36.29%-0.11 -9.2 29
2005-03-13 Roma W 3-057.7 1858 1990 24.68% 33.95% 41.37%-0.25 +32.0 37
2005-03-13 @ Cagliari L 0-357.7 1990 1858 41.37% 33.95% 24.68%+0.25 -32.0 38
2005-03-13 Sampdoria W 1-053.6 2126 1994 58.51% 27.70% 13.79%+0.84 +4.7 63
2005-03-13 @ AC Milan L 0-153.6 1994 2126 13.79% 27.70% 58.51%-0.84 -4.7 47
2005-03-13 Siena D 1-171.7 1923 1823 54.95% 29.49% 15.56%+0.71 -2.3 37
2005-03-13 @ Bologna D 1-171.7 1823 1923 15.56% 29.49% 54.95%-0.71 +2.3 26
2005-03-13 Udinese L 1-562.1 1974 1970 42.98% 33.63% 23.38%+0.31 -35.8 43
2005-03-13 @ Palermo W 5-162.1 1970 1974 23.38% 33.63% 42.98%-0.31 +35.8 45
2005-03-19 Lazio Roma W 1-062.6 1825 1926 28.48% 34.53% 36.99%-0.12 +10.8 29
2005-03-19 @ Siena L 0-162.6 1926 1825 36.99% 34.53% 28.48%+0.12 -10.8 34
2005-03-19 Reggina W 1-050.1 2112 1867 70.36% 20.56% 9.08%+1.31 +2.8 66
2005-03-19 @ Juventus L 0-150.1 1867 2112 9.08% 20.56% 70.36%-1.31 -2.8 35
2005-03-20 AC Milan L 0-252.9 1958 2130 20.71% 32.72% 46.57%-0.42 -13.4 38
2005-03-20 @ Roma W 2-052.9 2130 1958 46.57% 32.72% 20.71%+0.42 +13.4 66
2005-03-20 Atalanta L 1-272.8 1990 1837 60.90% 26.39% 12.72%+0.93 -14.7 47
2005-03-20 @ Sampdoria W 2-172.8 1837 1990 12.72% 26.39% 60.90%-0.93 +14.7 24
2005-03-20 Bologna D 0-065.5 1872 1921 35.75% 34.63% 29.62%+0.09 -0.4 36
2005-03-20 @ Messina D 0-065.5 1921 1872 29.62% 34.63% 35.75%-0.09 +0.4 38
2005-03-20 Brescia W 3-160.2 1813 1831 39.97% 34.18% 25.84%+0.22 +13.8 31
2005-03-20 @ Chievo Verona L 1-360.2 1831 1813 25.84% 34.18% 39.97%-0.22 -13.8 26
2005-03-20 Cagliari D 3-379.5 1883 1890 41.56% 33.92% 24.52%+0.27 -0.6 36
2005-03-20 @ Livorno D 3-379.5 1890 1883 24.52% 33.92% 41.56%-0.27 +0.6 38
2005-03-20 Fiorentina W 3-261.0 2064 1843 68.00% 22.08% 9.92%+1.21 +2.8 50
2005-03-20 @ Inter Milan L 2-361.0 1843 2064 9.92% 22.08% 68.00%-1.21 -2.8 31
2005-03-20 Lecce W 2-159.6 2006 1888 56.93% 28.52% 14.55%+0.78 +4.8 48
2005-03-20 @ Udinese L 1-259.6 1888 2006 14.55% 28.52% 56.93%-0.78 -4.8 36
2005-03-20 Palermo D 3-379.3 1863 1938 31.93% 34.72% 33.36%-0.02 +0.0 30
2005-03-20 @ Parma D 3-379.3 1938 1863 33.36% 34.72% 31.93%+0.02 -0.1 44
2005-04-09 Brescia D 1-175.9 2144 1817 77.72% 15.66% 6.62%+1.65 -4.2 67
2005-04-09 @ AC Milan D 1-175.9 1817 2144 6.62% 15.66% 77.72%-1.65 +4.2 27
2005-04-09 Inter Milan L 0-158.2 1921 2067 23.29% 33.61% 43.10%-0.31 -7.8 38
2005-04-09 @ Bologna W 1-058.2 2067 1921 43.10% 33.61% 23.29%+0.31 +7.8 53
2005-04-09 Juventus D 3-381.4 1841 2114 13.69% 27.58% 58.74%-0.84 +1.7 32
2005-04-09 @ Fiorentina D 3-381.4 2114 1841 58.74% 27.58% 13.69%+0.84 -1.7 67
2005-04-10 Chievo Verona W 3-051.3 1851 1827 45.63% 32.99% 21.38%+0.40 +20.0 27
2005-04-10 @ Atalanta L 0-351.3 1827 1851 21.38% 32.99% 45.63%-0.40 -20.0 31
2005-04-10 Livorno W 3-158.3 1915 1883 46.68% 32.69% 20.63%+0.43 +11.5 37
2005-04-10 @ Lazio Roma L 1-358.3 1883 1915 20.63% 32.69% 46.68%-0.43 -11.5 36
2005-04-10 Messina W 2-161.4 1938 1872 50.87% 31.25% 17.88%+0.57 +5.9 47
2005-04-10 @ Palermo L 1-261.4 1872 1938 17.88% 31.25% 50.87%-0.57 -5.9 36
2005-04-10 Parma L 1-365.2 1864 1863 42.62% 33.71% 23.66%+0.30 -19.5 35
2005-04-10 @ Reggina W 3-165.2 1863 1864 23.66% 33.71% 42.62%-0.30 +19.5 33
2005-04-10 Roma D 3-380.3 2010 1945 50.80% 31.27% 17.92%+0.57 -1.2 49
2005-04-10 @ Udinese D 3-380.3 1945 2010 17.92% 31.27% 50.80%-0.57 +1.2 39
2005-04-10 Sampdoria D 0-065.5 1890 1975 30.61% 34.68% 34.71%-0.06 +0.2 39
2005-04-10 @ Cagliari D 0-065.5 1975 1890 34.71% 34.68% 30.61%+0.06 -0.2 48
2005-04-10 Siena D 2-276.4 1883 1836 48.57% 32.08% 19.34%+0.49 -1.2 37
2005-04-10 @ Lecce D 2-276.4 1836 1883 19.34% 32.08% 48.57%-0.49 +1.2 30
2005-04-16 Palermo W 1-057.2 1975 1944 46.44% 32.76% 20.80%+0.42 +7.1 51
2005-04-16 @ Sampdoria L 0-157.2 1944 1975 20.80% 32.76% 46.44%-0.42 -7.1 47
2005-04-16 Reggina L 1-272.0 1946 1845 55.05% 29.44% 15.51%+0.71 -13.6 39
2005-04-16 @ Roma W 2-172.0 1845 1946 15.51% 29.44% 55.05%-0.71 +13.6 38
2005-04-16 Udinese W 1-064.1 1866 2009 23.55% 33.68% 42.77%-0.30 +12.0 39
2005-04-16 @ Messina L 0-164.1 2009 1866 42.77% 33.68% 23.55%+0.30 -12.0 49
2005-04-17 AC Milan W 2-173.0 1837 2140 12.30% 25.82% 61.88%-0.96 +14.8 33
2005-04-17 @ Siena L 1-273.0 2140 1837 61.88% 25.82% 12.30%+0.96 -14.8 67
2005-04-17 Atalanta W 1-060.4 1822 1871 35.59% 34.64% 29.78%+0.09 +9.3 30
2005-04-17 @ Brescia L 0-160.4 1871 1822 29.78% 34.64% 35.59%-0.09 -9.3 27
2005-04-17 Cagliari W 2-047.6 2074 1890 64.25% 24.42% 11.34%+1.06 +7.0 56
2005-04-17 @ Inter Milan L 0-247.6 1890 2074 11.34% 24.42% 64.25%-1.06 -7.0 39
2005-04-17 Fiorentina W 2-052.9 1871 1842 46.20% 32.83% 20.97%+0.41 +13.5 39
2005-04-17 @ Livorno L 0-252.9 1842 1871 20.97% 32.83% 46.20%-0.41 -13.5 32
2005-04-17 Lazio Roma L 1-269.0 1913 1927 40.63% 34.08% 25.29%+0.24 -10.9 38
2005-04-17 @ Bologna W 2-169.0 1927 1913 25.29% 34.08% 40.63%-0.24 +10.9 40
2005-04-17 Lecce W 5-251.6 2113 1882 69.00% 21.44% 9.56%+1.25 +6.0 70
2005-04-17 @ Juventus L 2-551.6 1882 2113 9.56% 21.44% 69.00%-1.25 -6.0 37
2005-04-17 Parma W 2-057.2 1807 1882 31.89% 34.72% 33.39%-0.02 +19.0 34
2005-04-17 @ Chievo Verona L 0-257.2 1882 1807 33.39% 34.72% 31.89%+0.02 -19.0 33
2005-04-20 Atalanta D 0-065.7 1859 1862 41.98% 33.84% 24.18%+0.28 -1.1 39
2005-04-20 @ Reggina D 0-065.7 1862 1859 24.18% 33.84% 41.98%-0.28 +1.1 28
2005-04-20 Bologna D 1-170.3 1876 1902 38.86% 34.34% 26.81%+0.19 -0.7 38
2005-04-20 @ Lecce D 1-170.3 1902 1876 26.81% 34.34% 38.86%-0.19 +0.6 39
2005-04-20 Brescia D 3-380.9 1937 1831 55.60% 29.18% 15.22%+0.73 -1.5 48
2005-04-20 @ Palermo D 3-380.9 1831 1937 15.22% 29.18% 55.60%-0.73 +1.5 31
2005-04-20 Chievo Verona W 1-048.6 2125 1826 75.38% 17.24% 7.39%+1.53 +2.1 70
2005-04-20 @ AC Milan L 0-148.6 1826 2125 7.39% 17.24% 75.38%-1.53 -2.1 34
2005-04-20 Inter Milan L 0-165.1 2119 2082 47.28% 32.51% 20.22%+0.45 -12.9 70
2005-04-20 @ Juventus W 1-065.1 2082 2119 20.22% 32.51% 47.28%-0.45 +12.9 59
2005-04-20 Lazio Roma D 1-170.2 1883 1938 34.94% 34.67% 30.39%+0.07 -0.2 40
2005-04-20 @ Cagliari D 1-170.2 1938 1883 30.39% 34.67% 34.94%-0.07 +0.2 41
2005-04-20 Livorno D 1-172.0 1997 1885 56.38% 28.80% 14.82%+0.76 -2.5 50
2005-04-20 @ Udinese D 1-172.0 1885 1997 14.82% 28.80% 56.38%-0.76 +2.5 40
2005-04-20 Messina D 1-170.1 1829 1878 35.62% 34.63% 29.74%+0.09 -0.3 33
2005-04-20 @ Fiorentina D 1-170.1 1878 1829 29.74% 34.63% 35.62%-0.09 +0.3 40
2005-04-20 Sampdoria D 1-170.3 1863 1982 26.32% 34.26% 39.42%-0.19 +0.7 34
2005-04-20 @ Parma D 1-170.3 1982 1863 39.42% 34.26% 26.32%+0.19 -0.7 52
2005-04-20 Siena L 0-261.8 1932 1852 52.60% 30.54% 16.86%+0.63 -26.4 39
2005-04-20 @ Roma W 2-061.8 1852 1932 16.86% 30.54% 52.60%-0.63 +26.4 36
2005-04-23 Parma W 3-043.5 2127 1864 72.10% 19.42% 8.48%+1.38 +7.0 73
2005-04-23 @ AC Milan L 0-343.5 1864 2127 8.48% 19.42% 72.10%-1.38 -7.0 34
2005-04-23 Udinese L 2-369.7 1878 1995 26.55% 34.30% 39.15%-0.19 -7.7 36
2005-04-23 @ Siena W 3-269.7 1995 1878 39.15% 34.30% 26.55%+0.19 +7.7 53
2005-04-24 Cagliari D 1-170.1 1824 1883 34.21% 34.70% 31.10%+0.05 -0.2 35
2005-04-24 @ Chievo Verona D 1-170.1 1883 1824 31.10% 34.70% 34.21%-0.05 +0.2 41
2005-04-24 Fiorentina D 0-066.6 1903 1828 51.91% 30.83% 17.26%+0.60 -2.3 40
2005-04-24 @ Bologna D 0-066.6 1828 1903 17.26% 30.83% 51.91%-0.60 +2.3 34
2005-04-24 Inter Milan W 2-171.5 1878 2094 17.20% 30.79% 52.01%-0.60 +13.1 43
2005-04-24 @ Messina L 1-271.5 2094 1878 52.01% 30.79% 17.20%+0.60 -13.1 59
2005-04-24 Juventus L 0-157.4 1938 2106 21.09% 32.87% 46.04%-0.40 -7.2 41
2005-04-24 @ Lazio Roma W 1-057.4 2106 1938 46.04% 32.87% 21.09%+0.40 +7.2 73
2005-04-24 Lecce W 1-057.9 1887 1876 43.95% 33.42% 22.64%+0.34 +7.6 43
2005-04-24 @ Livorno L 0-157.9 1876 1887 22.64% 33.42% 43.95%-0.34 -7.6 38
2005-04-24 Palermo W 1-061.4 1863 1935 32.34% 34.72% 32.94%+0.00 +10.0 31
2005-04-24 @ Atalanta L 0-161.4 1935 1863 32.94% 34.72% 32.34%+0.00 -10.0 48
2005-04-24 Reggina W 2-055.0 1832 1857 39.03% 34.31% 26.66%+0.19 +16.3 34
2005-04-24 @ Brescia L 0-255.0 1857 1832 26.66% 34.31% 39.03%-0.19 -16.3 39
2005-04-24 Roma W 2-161.1 1981 1906 51.95% 30.81% 17.23%+0.61 +5.7 55
2005-04-24 @ Sampdoria L 1-261.1 1906 1981 17.23% 30.81% 51.95%-0.61 -5.6 39
2005-04-30 AC Milan L 1-258.1 1831 2134 12.26% 25.77% 61.96%-0.96 -3.9 34
2005-04-30 @ Fiorentina W 2-158.1 2134 1831 61.96% 25.77% 12.26%+0.96 +3.9 76
2005-04-30 Reggina D 1-170.8 1883 1841 47.90% 32.31% 19.79%+0.47 -1.6 42
2005-04-30 @ Cagliari D 1-170.8 1841 1883 19.79% 32.31% 47.90%-0.47 +1.6 40
2005-05-01 Atalanta W 2-159.2 2002 1873 58.29% 27.81% 13.89%+0.83 +4.5 56
2005-05-01 @ Udinese L 1-259.2 1873 2002 13.89% 27.81% 58.29%-0.83 -4.5 31
2005-05-01 Bologna W 2-156.5 2113 1901 67.16% 22.61% 10.23%+1.17 +3.1 76
2005-05-01 @ Juventus L 1-256.5 1901 2113 10.23% 22.61% 67.16%-1.17 -3.1 40
2005-05-01 Brescia D 2-276.5 1900 1849 49.09% 31.91% 19.00%+0.51 -1.3 40
2005-05-01 @ Roma D 2-276.5 1849 1900 19.00% 31.91% 49.09%-0.51 +1.3 35
2005-05-01 Chievo Verona D 2-277.2 1925 1824 55.11% 29.41% 15.48%+0.72 -1.8 49
2005-05-01 @ Palermo D 2-277.2 1824 1925 15.48% 29.41% 55.11%-0.72 +1.8 36
2005-05-01 Lazio Roma W 5-367.4 1868 1931 33.73% 34.71% 31.56%+0.04 +13.4 41
2005-05-01 @ Lecce L 3-567.4 1931 1868 31.56% 34.71% 33.73%-0.04 -13.4 41
2005-05-01 Livorno W 6-466.8 1857 1895 37.30% 34.51% 28.20%+0.14 +12.0 37
2005-05-01 @ Parma L 4-666.8 1895 1857 28.20% 34.51% 37.30%-0.14 -12.0 43
2005-05-01 Sampdoria D 2-275.7 1891 1987 29.20% 34.60% 36.21%-0.10 +0.3 44
2005-05-01 @ Messina D 2-275.7 1987 1891 36.21% 34.60% 29.20%+0.10 -0.3 56
2005-05-01 Siena W 2-046.8 2081 1871 67.01% 22.71% 10.28%+1.17 +6.2 62
2005-05-01 @ Inter Milan L 0-246.8 1871 2081 10.28% 22.71% 67.01%-1.17 -6.2 36
2005-05-08 Bologna D 1-170.1 1843 1898 34.82% 34.67% 30.50%+0.07 -0.2 41
2005-05-08 @ Reggina D 1-170.1 1898 1843 30.50% 34.67% 34.82%-0.07 +0.2 41
2005-05-08 Fiorentina L 1-269.3 1825 1827 42.24% 33.79% 23.97%+0.29 -11.2 36
2005-05-08 @ Chievo Verona W 2-169.3 1827 1825 23.97% 33.79% 42.24%-0.29 +11.2 37
2005-05-08 Inter Milan L 0-348.7 1850 2088 15.76% 29.67% 54.57%-0.69 -15.0 35
2005-05-08 @ Brescia W 3-048.7 2088 1850 54.57% 29.67% 15.76%+0.69 +15.0 65
2005-05-08 Juventus L 0-164.7 2138 2116 45.27% 33.08% 21.64%+0.39 -12.5 76
2005-05-08 @ AC Milan W 1-064.7 2116 2138 21.64% 33.08% 45.27%-0.39 +12.5 79
2005-05-08 Lecce W 3-048.4 1986 1881 55.51% 29.22% 15.27%+0.73 +14.5 59
2005-05-08 @ Sampdoria L 0-348.4 1881 1986 15.27% 29.22% 55.51%-0.73 -14.5 41
2005-05-08 Messina W 2-164.8 1868 1892 39.27% 34.28% 26.45%+0.20 +8.1 34
2005-05-08 @ Atalanta L 1-264.8 1892 1868 26.45% 34.28% 39.27%-0.20 -8.1 44
2005-05-08 Palermo D 0-065.5 1882 1924 36.68% 34.56% 28.76%+0.12 -0.5 43
2005-05-08 @ Cagliari D 0-065.5 1924 1882 28.76% 34.56% 36.68%-0.12 +0.5 50
2005-05-08 Roma W 2-165.1 1869 1899 38.35% 34.40% 27.25%+0.17 +8.3 40
2005-05-08 @ Parma L 1-265.1 1899 1869 27.25% 34.40% 38.35%-0.17 -8.3 40
2005-05-08 Siena L 3-666.6 1883 1864 44.83% 33.20% 21.97%+0.37 -23.0 43
2005-05-08 @ Livorno W 6-366.6 1864 1883 21.97% 33.20% 44.83%-0.37 +23.0 39
2005-05-08 Udinese L 0-160.5 1917 2007 29.93% 34.64% 35.43%-0.08 -9.4 41
2005-05-08 @ Lazio Roma W 1-060.5 2007 1917 35.43% 34.64% 29.93%+0.08 +9.4 59
2005-05-15 AC Milan D 2-277.6 1867 2125 14.52% 28.49% 56.99%-0.77 +1.9 42
2005-05-15 @ Lecce D 2-277.6 2125 1867 56.99% 28.49% 14.52%+0.77 -1.9 77
2005-05-15 Atalanta D 0-065.5 1838 1877 37.14% 34.52% 28.34%+0.14 -0.5 38
2005-05-15 @ Fiorentina D 0-065.5 1877 1838 28.34% 34.52% 37.14%-0.14 +0.5 35
2005-05-15 Brescia L 1-271.2 1898 1835 50.49% 31.39% 18.12%+0.56 -12.8 41
2005-05-15 @ Bologna W 2-171.2 1835 1898 18.12% 31.39% 50.49%-0.56 +12.8 38
2005-05-15 Cagliari W 2-163.8 1884 1881 42.75% 33.69% 23.57%+0.31 +7.4 47
2005-05-15 @ Messina L 1-263.8 1881 1884 23.57% 33.69% 42.75%-0.31 -7.4 43
2005-05-15 Chievo Verona L 0-165.9 1887 1814 51.73% 30.91% 17.36%+0.60 -13.8 39
2005-05-15 @ Siena W 1-065.9 1814 1887 17.36% 30.91% 51.73%-0.60 +13.8 39
2005-05-15 Lazio Roma D 0-065.6 1891 1908 40.13% 34.16% 25.71%+0.23 -0.9 41
2005-05-15 @ Roma D 0-065.6 1908 1891 25.71% 34.16% 40.13%-0.23 +0.9 42
2005-05-15 Livorno W 1-050.1 2103 1860 70.21% 20.66% 9.13%+1.30 +2.8 68
2005-05-15 @ Inter Milan L 0-150.1 1860 2103 9.13% 20.66% 70.21%-1.30 -2.8 43
2005-05-15 Parma W 2-045.6 2129 1877 71.01% 20.14% 8.86%+1.34 +5.1 82
2005-05-15 @ Juventus L 0-245.6 1877 2129 8.86% 20.14% 71.01%-1.34 -5.1 40
2005-05-15 Reggina D 1-171.4 1924 1843 52.73% 30.49% 16.78%+0.63 -2.1 51
2005-05-15 @ Palermo D 1-171.4 1843 1924 16.78% 30.49% 52.73%-0.63 +2.1 42
2005-05-15 Sampdoria D 1-170.6 2016 2001 44.46% 33.29% 22.25%+0.36 -1.2 60
2005-05-15 @ Udinese D 1-170.6 2001 2016 22.25% 33.29% 44.46%-0.36 +1.2 60
2005-05-20 Palermo D 3-382.7 2123 1922 66.05% 23.31% 10.64%+1.13 -2.1 78
2005-05-20 @ AC Milan D 3-382.7 1922 2123 10.64% 23.31% 66.05%-1.13 +2.1 52
2005-05-22 Bologna W 1-060.7 1828 1885 34.51% 34.69% 30.80%+0.06 +9.6 42
2005-05-22 @ Chievo Verona L 0-160.7 1885 1828 30.80% 34.69% 34.51%-0.06 -9.5 41
2005-05-22 Fiorentina D 1-171.2 1909 1837 51.49% 31.00% 17.50%+0.59 -2.0 43
2005-05-22 @ Lazio Roma D 1-171.2 1837 1909 17.50% 31.00% 51.49%-0.59 +2.0 39
2005-05-22 Inter Milan L 0-160.0 2002 2105 28.18% 34.50% 37.32%-0.13 -9.0 60
2005-05-22 @ Sampdoria W 1-060.0 2105 2002 37.32% 34.50% 28.18%+0.13 +9.0 71
2005-05-22 Juventus D 2-277.9 1857 2134 13.54% 27.40% 59.06%-0.85 +2.0 44
2005-05-22 @ Livorno D 2-277.9 2134 1857 59.06% 27.40% 13.54%+0.85 -2.0 83
2005-05-22 Lecce D 2-275.7 1845 1869 39.16% 34.30% 26.54%+0.20 -0.5 43
2005-05-22 @ Reggina D 2-275.7 1869 1845 26.54% 34.30% 39.16%-0.20 +0.5 43
2005-05-22 Messina W 2-165.6 1848 1891 36.48% 34.58% 28.94%+0.12 +8.6 41
2005-05-22 @ Brescia L 1-265.6 1891 1848 28.94% 34.58% 36.48%-0.12 -8.6 47
2005-05-22 Roma L 0-163.5 1877 1890 40.70% 34.07% 25.24%+0.24 -11.5 35
2005-05-22 @ Atalanta W 1-063.5 1890 1877 25.24% 34.07% 40.70%-0.24 +11.5 44
2005-05-22 Siena D 0-065.7 1872 1874 42.26% 33.78% 23.95%+0.29 -1.1 41
2005-05-22 @ Parma D 0-065.7 1874 1872 23.95% 33.78% 42.26%-0.29 +1.1 40
2005-05-22 Udinese D 1-170.5 1874 2015 23.74% 33.73% 42.53%-0.29 +1.0 44
2005-05-22 @ Cagliari D 1-170.5 2015 1874 42.53% 33.73% 23.74%+0.29 -1.0 61
2005-05-29 AC Milan D 1-170.3 2014 2121 27.67% 34.45% 37.89%-0.15 +0.5 62
2005-05-29 @ Udinese D 1-170.3 2121 2014 37.89% 34.45% 27.67%+0.15 -0.5 79
2005-05-29 Atalanta W 2-163.5 1875 1866 43.65% 33.49% 22.87%+0.33 +7.3 43
2005-05-29 @ Siena L 1-263.5 1866 1875 22.87% 33.49% 43.65%-0.33 -7.3 35
2005-05-29 Brescia W 3-053.0 1839 1856 40.13% 34.16% 25.71%+0.23 +23.0 42
2005-05-29 @ Fiorentina L 0-353.0 1856 1839 25.71% 34.16% 40.13%-0.23 -23.0 41
2005-05-29 Cagliari W 4-254.5 2132 1875 71.54% 19.78% 8.67%+1.36 +3.8 86
2005-05-29 @ Juventus L 2-454.5 1875 2132 8.67% 19.78% 71.54%-1.36 -3.8 44
2005-05-29 Chievo Verona D 0-066.4 1902 1838 50.60% 31.35% 18.05%+0.56 -2.1 45
2005-05-29 @ Roma D 0-066.4 1838 1902 18.05% 31.35% 50.60%-0.56 +2.1 43
2005-05-29 Lazio Roma D 3-379.7 1924 1907 44.72% 33.23% 22.06%+0.37 -0.8 53
2005-05-29 @ Palermo D 3-379.7 1907 1924 22.06% 33.23% 44.72%-0.37 +0.8 44
2005-05-29 Livorno D 1-170.6 1882 1859 45.52% 33.02% 21.46%+0.39 -1.4 48
2005-05-29 @ Messina D 1-170.6 1859 1882 21.46% 33.02% 45.52%-0.39 +1.3 45
2005-05-29 Parma D 3-379.5 1869 1871 42.16% 33.81% 24.04%+0.29 -0.6 44
2005-05-29 @ Lecce D 3-379.5 1871 1869 24.04% 33.81% 42.16%-0.29 +0.6 42
2005-05-29 Reggina D 0-070.2 2114 1844 72.80% 18.95% 8.24%+1.41 -4.3 72
2005-05-29 @ Inter Milan D 0-070.2 1844 2114 8.24% 18.95% 72.80%-1.41 +4.3 44
2005-05-29 Sampdoria D 0-065.6 1876 1993 26.41% 34.28% 39.31%-0.19 +0.8 42
2005-05-29 @ Bologna D 0-065.6 1993 1876 39.31% 34.28% 26.41%+0.19 -0.8 61

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2005-06-14 Bologna L 0-163.8 1872 1876 41.81% 33.87% 24.32%+0.28 -11.8 0-1
2005-06-14 @ Parma W 1-063.8 1876 1872 24.32% 33.87% 41.81%-0.28 +11.8 1-0
2005-06-18 Parma L 0-260.5 1888 1860 46.12% 32.85% 21.03%+0.41 -23.9 1-1
2005-06-18 @ Bologna W 2-060.5 1860 1888 21.03% 32.85% 46.12%-0.41 +23.9 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-01-30 10.79% Bologna 1903 1 @ AC Milan 2101 0
2 2005-04-17 12.30% @ Siena 1837 2 AC Milan 2140 1
3 2005-02-02 12.50% Sampdoria 1960 1 @ Juventus 2117 0
4 2004-09-22 12.60% Messina 1885 2 @ AC Milan 2041 1
5 2005-03-20 12.72% Atalanta 1837 2 @ Sampdoria 1990 1
6 2005-01-23 13.57% Reggina 1871 2 @ Udinese 2006 0
7 2004-09-26 15.04% Brescia 1854 2 @ Udinese 1963 1
8 2004-11-06 15.13% @ Reggina 1857 2 Juventus 2105 1
9 2005-04-16 15.51% Reggina 1845 2 @ Roma 1946 1
10 2005-01-23 15.88% @ Livorno 1879 1 AC Milan 2115 0
11 2004-11-28 16.44% Cagliari 1875 3 @ Lazio Roma 1962 2
12 2005-04-20 16.86% Siena 1852 2 @ Roma 1932 0
13 2005-04-24 17.20% @ Messina 1878 2 Inter Milan 2094 1
14 2005-03-06 17.28% Bologna 1909 1 @ Udinese 1984 0
15 2005-05-15 17.36% Chievo Verona 1814 1 @ Siena 1887 0
16 2005-01-06 17.61% Siena 1817 3 @ Chievo Verona 1886 1
17 2004-11-10 17.93% Udinese 1955 3 @ Roma 2020 0
18 2005-05-15 18.12% Brescia 1835 2 @ Bologna 1898 1
19 2004-10-27 18.49% Sampdoria 1896 2 @ Chievo Verona 1954 0
20 2004-09-22 18.70% Bologna 1874 2 @ Parma 1930 1
21 2004-10-27 19.02% Siena 1837 1 @ Brescia 1889 0
22 2004-10-27 19.59% Fiorentina 1832 2 @ Reggina 1876 1
23 2005-03-13 19.62% Messina 1848 2 @ Reggina 1892 0
24 2004-10-27 19.63% Livorno 1851 2 @ Palermo 1895 1
25 2004-10-17 19.78% Chievo Verona 1943 1 @ Lazio Roma 1985 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-10-31 39.73 @ Fiorentina 4 1844 27.12% Lecce 0 1956 38.50% 34.38%
2 2004-11-10 37.29 Udinese 3 1955 17.93% @ Roma 0 2020 50.78% 31.28%
3 2005-03-13 35.84 Udinese 5 1970 23.38% @ Palermo 1 1974 42.98% 33.63%
4 2005-03-13 32.01 @ Cagliari 3 1858 24.68% Roma 0 1990 41.37% 33.95%
5 2004-09-19 31.44 @ Udinese 4 1931 38.30% Parma 0 1961 27.30% 34.40%
6 2004-11-27 30.25 Roma 4 1972 39.95% @ Siena 0 1849 25.86% 34.19%
7 2005-01-23 28.67 Reggina 2 1871 13.57% @ Udinese 0 2006 58.98% 27.45%
8 2004-12-19 27.25 Sampdoria 4 1912 24.25% @ Lecce 1 1908 41.90% 33.85%
9 2004-10-24 26.37 Lecce 4 1930 25.80% @ Messina 1 1912 40.03% 34.17%
10 2005-04-20 26.37 Siena 2 1852 16.86% @ Roma 0 1932 52.60% 30.54%
11 2004-09-12 26.09 Juventus 3 1999 34.64% @ Brescia 0 1915 30.68% 34.68%
12 2004-10-27 25.34 Sampdoria 2 1896 18.49% @ Chievo Verona 0 1954 49.89% 31.62%
13 2005-03-13 24.67 Messina 2 1848 19.62% @ Reggina 0 1892 48.16% 32.22%
14 2005-06-18 * 23.89 Parma 2 1860 21.03% @ Bologna 0 1888 46.12% 32.85%
15 2005-05-29 23.05 @ Fiorentina 3 1839 40.13% Brescia 0 1856 25.71% 34.16%
16 2005-05-08 22.97 Siena 6 1864 21.97% @ Livorno 3 1883 44.83% 33.20%
17 2005-01-06 22.41 Siena 3 1817 17.61% @ Chievo Verona 1 1886 51.31% 31.07%
18 2004-12-04 22.13 @ Inter Milan 5 2000 57.00% Messina 0 1882 14.52% 28.49%
19 2004-09-26 21.91 Sampdoria 2 1860 24.95% @ Fiorentina 0 1850 41.04% 34.01%
20 2004-11-28 21.71 Palermo 2 1894 25.40% @ Brescia 0 1880 40.50% 34.10%
21 2005-02-20 21.57 @ Atalanta 2 1809 25.70% Bologna 0 1933 40.14% 34.16%
22 2004-09-22 20.87 Juventus 3 2034 44.01% @ Sampdoria 0 1881 22.59% 33.40%
23 2005-02-13 20.78 @ Lecce 3 1871 44.17% Chievo Verona 0 1858 22.47% 33.36%
24 2005-01-16 20.68 Palermo 3 1925 21.04% @ Lazio Roma 1 1953 46.10% 32.86%
25 2004-12-05 20.67 Brescia 3 1858 21.05% @ Reggina 1 1886 46.09% 32.86%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-05-20 82.7 @ AC Milan 3 2123 66.05% Palermo 3 1922 10.64% 23.31%
2 2005-04-09 81.4 @ Fiorentina 3 1841 13.69% Juventus 3 2114 58.74% 27.58%
3 2005-04-20 80.9 @ Palermo 3 1937 55.60% Brescia 3 1831 15.22% 29.18%
4 2005-02-06 80.4 @ Reggina 3 1908 52.06% Siena 3 1832 17.17% 30.77%
5 2005-04-10 80.3 @ Udinese 3 2010 50.80% Roma 3 1945 17.92% 31.27%
6 2004-12-11 80.0 @ Lazio Roma 3 1945 47.35% Lecce 3 1907 20.17% 32.48%
7 2005-02-27 79.9 @ Cagliari 3 1866 47.00% Atalanta 3 1831 20.41% 32.59%
8 2004-10-03 79.7 @ Roma 3 2004 44.13% Inter Milan 3 1991 22.50% 33.37%
9 2005-05-29 79.7 @ Palermo 3 1924 44.72% Lazio Roma 3 1907 22.06% 33.23%
10 2004-11-14 79.5 @ Cagliari 3 1875 25.46% Inter Milan 3 2000 40.42% 34.11%
11 2005-03-20 79.5 @ Livorno 3 1883 41.56% Cagliari 3 1890 24.52% 33.92%
12 2005-05-29 79.5 @ Lecce 3 1869 42.16% Parma 3 1871 24.04% 33.81%
13 2005-03-20 79.3 @ Parma 3 1863 31.93% Palermo 3 1938 33.36% 34.72%
14 2004-09-11 78.0 @ AC Milan 2 2028 59.51% Livorno 2 1887 13.33% 27.16%
15 2005-05-22 77.9 @ Livorno 2 1857 13.54% Juventus 2 2134 59.06% 27.40%
16 2004-11-10 77.6 @ Inter Milan 2 2002 57.06% Bologna 2 1884 14.48% 28.45%
17 2005-05-15 77.6 @ Lecce 2 1867 14.52% AC Milan 2 2125 56.99% 28.49%
18 2004-09-22 77.5 @ Roma 2 2025 56.85% Lecce 2 1908 14.59% 28.56%
19 2004-09-19 77.4 @ Messina 4 1875 21.73% Roma 3 2036 45.15% 33.12%
20 2004-10-24 77.2 @ Udinese 2 1929 54.85% Fiorentina 2 1830 15.61% 29.54%
21 2005-05-01 77.2 @ Palermo 2 1925 55.11% Chievo Verona 2 1824 15.48% 29.41%
22 2004-09-26 76.9 @ Inter Milan 2 1992 51.99% Parma 2 1917 17.21% 30.80%
23 2004-12-12 76.7 @ Siena 2 1815 17.86% Inter Milan 2 2022 50.91% 31.23%
24 2004-10-31 76.6 @ Parma 2 1908 50.04% Atalanta 2 1849 18.39% 31.56%
25 2004-11-28 76.5 Cagliari 3 1875 16.44% @ Lazio Roma 2 1962 53.33% 30.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-04-23 43.5 @ AC Milan 3 2127 72.10% Parma 0 1864 8.48% 19.42%
2 2005-02-27 43.8 @ Juventus 3 2091 70.93% Siena 0 1841 8.88% 20.19%
3 2005-01-23 45.3 @ Juventus 2 2108 71.86% Brescia 0 1848 8.56% 19.58%
4 2004-10-27 45.6 @ AC Milan 3 2050 64.93% Atalanta 0 1859 11.07% 24.00%
5 2005-05-15 45.6 @ Juventus 2 2129 71.01% Parma 0 1877 8.86% 20.14%
6 2004-10-31 46.5 @ Juventus 3 2093 62.21% Chievo Verona 0 1928 12.16% 25.63%
7 2005-05-01 46.8 @ Inter Milan 2 2081 67.01% Siena 0 1871 10.28% 22.71%
8 2005-02-05 47.5 @ Sampdoria 3 1975 58.47% Fiorentina 0 1844 13.81% 27.72%
9 2005-04-17 47.6 @ Inter Milan 2 2074 64.25% Cagliari 0 1890 11.34% 24.42%
10 2005-02-20 48.0 @ Roma 3 2003 57.03% Livorno 0 1885 14.50% 28.47%
11 2004-12-12 48.3 @ AC Milan 6 2081 65.11% Fiorentina 0 1889 11.00% 23.89%
12 2005-05-08 48.4 @ Sampdoria 3 1986 55.51% Lecce 0 1881 15.27% 29.22%
13 2005-02-02 48.5 @ Udinese 3 1967 55.13% Chievo Verona 0 1865 15.47% 29.41%
14 2005-04-20 48.6 @ AC Milan 1 2125 75.38% Chievo Verona 0 1826 7.39% 17.24%
15 2005-05-08 48.7 Inter Milan 3 2088 54.57% @ Brescia 0 1850 15.76% 29.67%
16 2004-09-19 48.8 @ Juventus 2 2025 60.01% Atalanta 0 1880 13.10% 26.88%
17 2005-01-09 49.4 @ Udinese 2 2006 58.06% Cagliari 0 1879 14.00% 27.94%
18 2004-12-04 49.6 @ Inter Milan 5 2000 57.00% Messina 0 1882 14.52% 28.49%
19 2004-10-23 49.7 Juventus 3 2065 51.37% @ Siena 0 1854 17.58% 31.05%
20 2004-12-19 49.9 @ Udinese 3 2009 50.72% Lazio Roma 0 1944 17.97% 31.31%
21 2005-02-02 49.9 @ Inter Milan 1 2058 71.00% Atalanta 0 1807 8.86% 20.14%
22 2005-03-19 50.1 @ Juventus 1 2112 70.36% Reggina 0 1867 9.08% 20.56%
23 2005-05-15 50.1 @ Inter Milan 1 2103 70.21% Livorno 0 1860 9.13% 20.66%
24 2005-02-19 50.2 @ AC Milan 1 2108 69.87% Cagliari 0 1868 9.25% 20.88%
25 2004-11-10 51.2 @ Juventus 1 2091 66.56% Fiorentina 0 1884 10.45% 22.99%