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2009 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Aktobe

65 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lokomotiv Astana

16.49 points above expected

60 points · 43.51 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kaisar

10.66 points below expected

14 points · 24.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aktobe 26 21 2 3 65 65 19 +46 57.99 +7.01
2 Lokomotiv Astana 26 20 0 6 60 54 24 +30 43.51 +16.49
3 Shakter Karagandy 26 18 3 5 57 50 18 +32 49.38 +7.62
4 Tobol 26 14 9 3 51 54 23 +31 49.31 +1.69
5 Zhetysu 26 13 5 8 44 33 26 +7 41.79 +2.21
6 Atyrau 26 11 7 8 40 37 29 +8 34.88 +5.12
7 Ordabasy 26 10 6 10 36 33 30 +3 38.49 -2.49
8 Taraz 26 9 6 11 33 37 36 +1 30.21 +2.79
9 Irtysh 26 8 5 13 29 24 31 -7 36.20 -7.20
10 Vostok* 26 7 5 14 23 32 56 -24 26.98 -3.98
11 Okzhetpes 26 6 4 16 22 22 48 -26 26.10 -4.10
12 Kazakhmys* 26 7 3 16 21 32 61 -29 26.63 -5.63
13 Kaisar 26 3 5 18 14 15 45 -30 24.66 -10.66
14 Kyzylzhar* 26 3 4 19 6 14 56 -42 14.29 -8.29

* Point deductions: Kazakhmys (-3 pts), Kyzylzhar (-7 pts), Vostok (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lokomotiv Astana 60 43.51 +16.49
2 Shakter Karagandy 57 49.38 +7.62
3 Aktobe 65 57.99 +7.01
4 Atyrau 40 34.88 +5.12
5 Taraz 33 30.21 +2.79

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kaisar 14 24.66 -10.66
2 Kyzylzhar 6 14.29 -8.29
3 Irtysh 29 36.20 -7.20
4 Kazakhmys 21 26.63 -5.63
5 Okzhetpes 22 26.10 -4.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Astana 7 Mar 7 – Apr 30 1 in 1,477
2 Okzhetpes 3 Apr 12 – Apr 30 1 in 149
3 Zhetysu 5 Jul 3 – Aug 8 1 in 49
4 Atyrau 3 Aug 2 – Aug 15 1 in 16
5 Tobol 5 May 24 – Jul 9 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kaisar 7 Aug 23 – Nov 2 1 in 38
2 Ordabasy 3 Aug 2 – Aug 16 1 in 33
3 Irtysh 3 Mar 7 – Mar 21 1 in 32
4 Aktobe 1 Apr 19 – Apr 19 1 in 14
5 Lokomotiv Astana 2 May 10 – May 16 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Astana 7 Mar 7 – Apr 30 1 in 66
2 Tobol 16 May 16 – Oct 25 1 in 56
3 Irtysh 6 Jul 13 – Aug 16 1 in 38
4 Atyrau 7 May 16 – Jul 19 1 in 27
5 Taraz 5 Jul 19 – Aug 16 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kazakhmys 12 Apr 30 – Aug 8 1 in 44
2 Zhetysu 5 May 16 – Jun 28 1 in 26
3 Kaisar 7 Mar 7 – Apr 30 1 in 23
4 Kyzylzhar 10 Mar 21 – Jun 19 1 in 19
5 Tobol 5 Apr 12 – May 16 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aktobe 1638 65 +99 13 10.7 +2.3
Lokomotiv Astana 1465 60 +72 15 10.1 +4.9
Shakter Karagandy 1486 57 +5 12 10.8 +1.2
Tobol 1496 51 +11 12 10.9 +1.1
Zhetysu 1284 44 -14 5 7.1 -2.1
Atyrau 1305 40 +28 10 8.4 +1.6
Ordabasy 1206 36 -5 4 4.7 -0.7
Taraz 1267 33 +63 9 6.9 +2.1
Irtysh 1156 29 -90 3 6.7 -3.7
Vostok 1112 26 -34 3 2.8 +0.2
Kazakhmys 1023 24 +13 6 3.6 +2.4
Okzhetpes 1031 22 -51 1 3.8 -2.8
Kaisar 901 14 -90 0 3.3 -3.3
Kyzylzhar 888 13 -23 1 2.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKT ATY IRT KAI KAZ KYZ LA OKZ ORD SK TAR TOB VOS ZHE
Aktobe —
1-0-1
4.53
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
4.94
2-0-0
5.02
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
4.90
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
4.53
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.59
1-1-0
4.23
Atyrau
1-0-1
1.11
 —
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.50
1-0-1
3.59
0-0-2
2.17
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
1.28
0-2-0
4.07
0-2-0
1.29
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-2
2.84
Irtysh
0-0-2
1.12
1-0-1
2.38
 —
2-0-0
3.86
0-0-2
4.08
2-0-0
4.09
0-0-2
2.23
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-2
3.28
0-1-1
1.19
0-2-0
3.13
0-1-1
1.73
1-1-0
3.20
0-0-2
2.92
Kaisar
0-0-2
1.21
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.78
 —
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.34
2-0-0
2.00
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
1.16
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
1.43
Kazakhmys
0-0-2
0.73
0-0-2
2.13
2-0-0
1.56
1-1-0
3.12
 —
1-1-0
3.62
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
3.32
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
1.80
Kyzylzhar
0-0-2
0.67
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
1.55
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.01
 —
0-0-2
1.44
0-2-0
2.19
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.05
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-2
0.87
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.30
Lokomotiv Astana
1-0-1
1.73
2-0-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
4.21
 —
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
3.36
0-0-2
2.93
2-0-0
4.06
1-0-1
1.97
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
3.18
Okzhetpes
1-0-1
0.76
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
3.63
2-0-0
2.31
0-2-0
3.44
0-0-2
1.23
 —
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.02
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
1.16
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
1.53
Ordabasy
0-0-2
1.07
0-1-1
3.57
2-0-0
2.35
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
2.27
2-0-0
4.11
 —
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
3.38
0-1-1
1.41
0-1-1
4.29
0-2-0
2.28
Shakter Karagandy
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
4.36
1-1-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
2.70
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
3.86
 —
1-0-1
4.17
0-2-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.28
Taraz
0-0-2
1.12
0-2-0
1.57
0-2-0
2.50
2-0-0
3.78
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
2.94
0-0-2
1.57
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.47
 —
0-0-2
1.17
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.28
Tobol
0-1-1
1.72
0-2-0
4.35
1-1-0
3.90
1-1-0
4.48
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
4.79
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
4.50
1-1-0
4.23
0-2-0
2.87
2-0-0
4.47
 —
2-0-0
4.48
1-0-1
2.75
Vostok
0-0-2
1.07
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.42
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.00
0-0-2
1.17
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
1.35
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
3.09
0-0-2
1.16
 —
1-1-0
1.89
Zhetysu
0-1-1
1.42
2-0-0
2.78
2-0-0
2.71
1-0-1
4.21
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
4.11
0-2-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
3.74
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +11.1
Allowed 0.78 -10.9
Differential 0.97 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.40%11.54%6.32%2.20%1.92%2.20%28.57%
111.54%9.89%7.97%2.75%2.47%1.10%35.71%
26.32%7.97%3.30%1.10%0.82%0.55%20.05%
32.20%2.75%1.10%—0.27%—6.32%
41.92%2.47%0.82%0.27%——5.49%
5+2.20%1.10%0.55%———3.85%
Total28.57%35.71%20.05%6.32%5.49%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.38 2.15
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%————11.54%
111.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
27.69%19.23%————26.92%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
411.54%—3.85%———15.38%
5+—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
Total38.46%50.00%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.73 +1.77
SD 1.79 0.67 1.80
CV 0.72 0.91 —
Max 7 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
17.69%11.54%15.38%———34.62%
211.54%7.69%7.69%———26.92%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total26.92%34.62%38.46%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.12 +0.31
SD 1.17 0.82 1.35
CV 0.82 0.73 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%23.08%———34.62%
119.23%15.38%15.38%3.85%——53.85%
2———————
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%38.46%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.19 -0.27
SD 1.02 0.90 1.54
CV 1.10 0.75 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%19.23%11.54%3.85%—53.85%
17.69%19.23%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
2—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%42.31%23.08%23.08%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.73 -1.15
SD 0.70 1.04 1.32
CV 1.22 0.60 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%3.85%7.69%19.23%
13.85%7.69%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%46.15%
211.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
3——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%19.23%23.08%11.54%19.23%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.35 -1.12
SD 0.86 1.65 2.10
CV 0.70 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%57.69%
17.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%38.46%
2———————
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%15.38%11.54%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.54 2.15 -1.62
SD 0.86 1.89 2.14
CV 1.60 0.88 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
115.38%—3.85%———19.23%
27.69%19.23%——3.85%—30.77%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
47.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%42.31%11.54%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 0.92 +1.15
SD 1.41 1.02 1.74
CV 0.68 1.10 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%7.69%—3.85%3.85%42.31%
111.54%3.85%15.38%—3.85%7.69%42.31%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%34.62%26.92%—7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.85 -1.00
SD 1.01 1.78 2.10
CV 1.19 0.97 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
111.54%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%—46.15%
27.69%7.69%————15.38%
3———————
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total34.62%34.62%15.38%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.15 +0.12
SD 1.31 1.16 2.01
CV 1.03 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
115.38%7.69%3.85%———26.92%
215.38%7.69%————23.08%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+7.69%3.85%————11.54%
Total50.00%34.62%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.69 +1.23
SD 1.57 0.84 1.95
CV 0.82 1.21 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%———3.85%26.92%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%—34.62%
27.69%11.54%7.69%———26.92%
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total23.08%46.15%15.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.38 +0.04
SD 1.42 1.33 2.24
CV 1.00 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%——3.85%—19.23%
111.54%19.23%————30.77%
23.85%11.54%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
37.69%—————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+11.54%—3.85%———15.38%
Total46.15%38.46%7.69%—3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 0.88 +1.19
SD 2.00 1.24 2.47
CV 0.96 1.41 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%—7.69%3.85%19.23%
115.38%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
23.85%3.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%34.62%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%19.23%23.08%15.38%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.15 -0.92
SD 0.82 1.67 1.94
CV 0.66 0.77 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%3.85%——3.85%30.77%
119.23%7.69%3.85%———30.77%
211.54%7.69%7.69%———26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total38.46%38.46%19.23%——3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.00 +0.27
SD 1.19 1.26 1.89
CV 0.93 1.26 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aktobe 1638 65 57.99 +7.01 94.0% 46 49 54 58 62 66 67
Tobol 1496 51 49.31 +1.69 61.0% 26 40 44 49 53 59 65
Shakter Karagandy 1486 57 49.38 +7.62 91.0% 33 40 45 49 54 59 63
Lokomotiv Astana 1465 60 43.51 +16.49 100.0% 29 31 39 44 49 53 58
Atyrau 1305 40 34.88 +5.12 81.0% 18 23 30 34 39 46 52
Zhetysu 1284 44 41.79 +2.21 69.0% 24 30 38 41 46 53 61
Taraz 1267 33 30.21 +2.79 71.0% 19 19 25 30 34 41 47
Ordabasy 1206 36 38.49 -2.49 39.0% 24 29 34 38 42 48 54
Irtysh 1156 29 36.20 -7.20 16.0% 11 25 32 36 41 47 49
Vostok 1112 23 26.98 -3.98 29.0% 7 17 23 27 31 38 47
Okzhetpes 1031 22 26.10 -4.10 28.0% 12 17 22 26 29 36 46
Kazakhmys 1023 21 26.63 -5.63 19.0% 9 14 23 27 30 37 40
Kaisar 901 14 24.66 -10.66 1.0% 13 16 20 24 29 34 43
Kyzylzhar 888 6 14.29 -8.29 13.0% 1 4 10 14 19 26 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.19%
No Edge
47.80%17.58%34.62%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 46.08 Elo pts.
186 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.22 goals
Neutral
-2+0.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
71%
Aktobe, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Runaway
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.05 * Some Luck: 5.05 to 7.57 * Lucky: 7.57 to 10.09 * Wild Swing: 10.09 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.2 * Close: 1.2 to 1.81 * Off: 1.81 to 2.41 * Way Off: 2.41 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.20 points
Some Luck
06.3116
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.86
Pinpoint
01.504
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Lokomotiv Astana
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.00%
Kaisar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.28
Lopsided
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 231.34
2.56
Wide Separation
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
90%
Wide Edge
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Few
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Very Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.35
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.24
Weak Carryover
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Aktobe71.00%23.00%4.00%2.00%——————————
Lokomotiv Astana2.00%9.00%18.00%22.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%—————
Shakter Karagandy13.00%29.00%26.00%18.00%11.00%2.00%—1.00%——————
Tobol13.00%29.00%28.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%——1.00%———
Zhetysu1.00%8.00%14.00%11.00%21.00%21.00%11.00%8.00%2.00%——2.00%1.00%—
Atyrau——3.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%18.00%14.00%20.00%11.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%—
Ordabasy—2.00%4.00%13.00%19.00%13.00%17.00%15.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%——
Taraz———2.00%3.00%5.00%11.00%16.00%16.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%1.00%
Irtysh——3.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%13.00%18.00%12.00%5.00%9.00%1.00%—1.00%
Vostok———1.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%11.00%18.00%20.00%18.00%14.00%3.00%
Okzhetpes————1.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%17.00%17.00%23.00%5.00%
Kazakhmys————1.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%18.00%19.00%17.00%15.00%5.00%
Kaisar————1.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%23.00%28.00%5.00%
Kyzylzhar—————————3.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%80.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Aktobe 100% — —
Lokomotiv Astana 100% — —
Shakter Karagandy 100% — —
Tobol 99.00% 1.00% —
Irtysh 89.00% 9.00% 2.00%
Ordabasy 95.00% 3.00% 2.00%
Zhetysu 97.00% — 3.00%
Atyrau 92.00% 3.00% 5.00%
Taraz 67.00% 13.00% 20.00%
Vostok 45.00% 20.00% 35.00%
Kazakhmys 44.00% 19.00% 37.00%
Okzhetpes 38.00% 17.00% 45.00%
Kaisar 31.00% 13.00% 56.00%
Kyzylzhar 3.00% 2.00% 95.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-03-07 Aktobe L 0-139.2 1259 1391 29.15% 18.56% 52.30%-0.46 -18.1 0
2009-03-07 @ Kaisar W 1-039.2 1391 1259 52.30% 18.56% 29.15%+0.46 +18.1 3
2009-03-07 Lokomotiv Astana L 3-460.7 1174 1052 61.53% 18.29% 20.18%+0.91 -30.2 0
2009-03-07 @ Kazakhmys W 4-360.7 1052 1174 20.18% 18.29% 61.53%-0.91 +30.2 3
2009-03-07 Atyrau D 2-261.1 1280 1146 62.63% 18.24% 19.13%+0.97 -4.4 1
2009-03-07 @ Vostok D 2-261.1 1146 1280 19.13% 18.24% 62.63%-0.97 +4.4 1
2009-03-07 Kyzylzhar D 0-050.8 1188 1183 47.83% 18.62% 33.55%+0.28 -2.0 1
2009-03-07 @ Okzhetpes D 0-050.8 1183 1188 33.55% 18.62% 47.83%-0.28 +2.0 1
2009-03-07 Shakter Karagandy W 1-047.0 1137 1323 23.01% 18.40% 58.59%-0.75 +33.0 3
2009-03-07 @ Taraz L 0-147.0 1323 1137 58.59% 18.40% 23.01%+0.75 -33.0 0
2009-03-07 Tobol D 1-155.9 1199 1366 25.01% 18.46% 56.53%-0.65 +4.1 1
2009-03-07 @ Ordabasy D 1-155.9 1366 1199 56.53% 18.46% 25.01%+0.65 -4.1 1
2009-03-07 Zhetysu L 0-244.8 1330 1232 59.10% 18.38% 22.52%+0.78 -62.7 0
2009-03-07 @ Irtysh W 2-044.8 1232 1330 22.52% 18.38% 59.10%-0.78 +62.7 3
2009-03-14 Aktobe L 1-338.2 1170 1409 18.04% 18.18% 63.78%-1.03 -19.3 3
2009-03-14 @ Taraz W 3-138.2 1409 1170 63.78% 18.18% 18.04%+1.03 +19.3 6
2009-03-14 Lokomotiv Astana L 0-443.1 1241 1082 64.88% 18.12% 17.00%+1.10 -130.5 0
2009-03-14 @ Kaisar W 4-043.1 1082 1241 17.00% 18.12% 64.88%-1.10 +130.5 6
2009-03-14 Atyrau W 1-038.2 1185 1150 51.64% 18.57% 29.79%+0.43 +18.4 4
2009-03-14 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-138.2 1150 1185 29.79% 18.57% 51.64%-0.43 -18.4 1
2009-03-14 Kazakhmys L 0-245.1 1268 1144 61.63% 18.28% 20.09%+0.91 -65.3 0
2009-03-14 @ Irtysh W 2-045.1 1144 1268 20.09% 18.28% 61.63%-0.91 +65.3 3
2009-03-14 Shakter Karagandy L 1-346.3 1275 1291 45.04% 18.64% 36.32%+0.17 -42.4 1
2009-03-14 @ Vostok W 3-146.3 1291 1275 36.32% 18.64% 45.04%-0.17 +42.4 3
2009-03-14 Tobol D 1-155.8 1186 1362 24.06% 18.43% 57.50%-0.70 +4.4 2
2009-03-14 @ Okzhetpes D 1-155.8 1362 1186 57.50% 18.43% 24.06%+0.70 -4.4 2
2009-03-14 Zhetysu D 0-051.1 1203 1294 34.37% 18.62% 47.00%-0.24 +1.8 2
2009-03-14 @ Ordabasy D 0-051.1 1294 1203 47.00% 18.62% 34.37%+0.24 -1.8 4
2009-03-21 Irtysh W 3-136.6 1428 1202 70.06% 17.73% 12.22%+1.46 +13.5 9
2009-03-21 @ Aktobe L 1-336.6 1202 1428 12.22% 17.73% 70.06%-1.46 -13.5 0
2009-03-21 Kaisar D 1-155.3 1209 1110 59.15% 18.38% 22.47%+0.78 -4.9 4
2009-03-21 @ Kazakhmys D 1-155.3 1110 1209 22.47% 18.38% 59.15%-0.78 +4.9 1
2009-03-21 Kyzylzhar W 1-039.3 1212 1203 48.36% 18.61% 33.03%+0.30 +20.1 9
2009-03-21 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 0-139.3 1203 1212 33.03% 18.61% 48.36%-0.30 -20.1 4
2009-03-21 Okzhetpes W 2-039.3 1132 1190 38.87% 18.65% 42.48%-0.07 +46.6 4
2009-03-21 @ Atyrau L 0-239.3 1190 1132 42.48% 18.65% 38.87%+0.07 -46.6 2
2009-03-21 Vostok W 2-141.4 1358 1233 61.75% 18.28% 19.97%+0.92 +12.2 5
2009-03-21 @ Tobol L 1-241.4 1233 1358 19.97% 18.28% 61.75%-0.92 -12.2 1
2009-04-06 Atyrau W 2-143.0 1232 1178 54.05% 18.52% 27.43%+0.54 +16.2 12
2009-04-06 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 1-243.0 1178 1232 27.43% 18.52% 54.05%-0.54 -16.2 4
2009-04-06 Irtysh L 0-140.3 1115 1189 36.76% 18.64% 44.60%-0.15 -22.0 1
2009-04-06 @ Kaisar W 1-040.3 1189 1115 44.60% 18.64% 36.76%+0.15 +22.0 3
2009-04-06 Kyzylzhar W 3-029.4 1370 1183 67.21% 17.97% 14.82%+1.25 +27.1 8
2009-04-06 @ Tobol L 0-329.4 1183 1370 14.82% 17.97% 67.21%-1.25 -27.1 4
2009-04-06 Okzhetpes W 2-031.0 1333 1144 67.38% 17.95% 14.66%+1.27 +18.5 6
2009-04-06 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-231.0 1144 1333 14.66% 17.95% 67.38%-1.27 -18.5 2
2009-04-06 Ordabasy W 1-033.7 1442 1205 70.79% 17.65% 11.56%+1.52 +7.8 12
2009-04-06 @ Aktobe L 0-133.7 1205 1442 11.56% 17.65% 70.79%-1.52 -7.8 2
2009-04-06 Taraz W 1-037.6 1205 1151 53.98% 18.52% 27.50%+0.54 +17.2 7
2009-04-06 @ Kazakhmys L 0-137.6 1151 1205 27.50% 18.52% 53.98%-0.54 -17.2 3
2009-04-06 Vostok D 2-261.3 1292 1221 56.12% 18.47% 25.41%+0.63 -3.0 5
2009-04-06 @ Zhetysu D 2-261.3 1221 1292 25.41% 18.47% 56.12%-0.63 +3.0 2
2009-04-12 Aktobe L 0-430.9 1224 1449 19.17% 18.24% 62.59%-0.97 -44.8 2
2009-04-12 @ Vostok W 4-030.9 1449 1224 62.59% 18.24% 19.17%+0.97 +44.8 15
2009-04-12 Lokomotiv Astana L 0-142.1 1211 1249 41.85% 18.65% 39.50%+0.04 -24.4 3
2009-04-12 @ Irtysh W 1-042.1 1249 1211 39.50% 18.65% 41.85%-0.04 +24.4 15
2009-04-12 Kaisar W 2-143.3 1134 1093 52.40% 18.55% 29.04%+0.47 +17.0 6
2009-04-12 @ Taraz L 1-243.3 1093 1134 29.04% 18.55% 52.40%-0.47 -17.0 1
2009-04-12 Kazakhmys L 1-248.0 1197 1222 43.70% 18.65% 37.66%+0.11 -23.9 2
2009-04-12 @ Ordabasy W 2-148.0 1222 1197 37.66% 18.65% 43.70%-0.11 +23.9 10
2009-04-12 Shakter Karagandy L 0-136.2 1156 1351 22.07% 18.37% 59.57%-0.80 -14.2 4
2009-04-12 @ Kyzylzhar W 1-036.2 1351 1156 59.57% 18.37% 22.07%+0.80 +14.2 9
2009-04-12 Tobol D 2-261.6 1162 1397 18.35% 18.20% 63.45%-1.02 +4.5 5
2009-04-12 @ Atyrau D 2-261.6 1397 1162 63.45% 18.20% 18.35%+1.02 -4.6 9
2009-04-12 Zhetysu W 1-046.2 1125 1289 25.39% 18.47% 56.14%-0.63 +31.7 5
2009-04-12 @ Okzhetpes L 0-146.2 1289 1125 56.14% 18.47% 25.39%+0.63 -31.7 5
2009-04-19 Atyrau L 0-247.2 1366 1167 68.13% 17.90% 13.98%+1.32 -72.3 9
2009-04-19 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-047.2 1167 1366 13.98% 17.90% 68.13%-1.32 +72.3 8
2009-04-19 Kyzylzhar W 4-030.1 1258 1142 60.87% 18.32% 20.81%+0.87 +48.2 8
2009-04-19 @ Zhetysu L 0-430.1 1142 1258 20.81% 18.32% 60.87%-0.87 -48.2 4
2009-04-19 Okzhetpes L 1-258.3 1494 1157 76.22% 16.87% 6.90%+2.06 -40.5 15
2009-04-19 @ Aktobe W 2-158.3 1157 1494 6.90% 16.87% 76.22%-2.06 +40.5 8
2009-04-19 Ordabasy D 1-155.2 1076 1173 33.62% 18.62% 47.77%-0.27 +1.8 2
2009-04-19 @ Kaisar D 1-155.2 1173 1076 47.77% 18.62% 33.62%+0.27 -1.8 3
2009-04-19 Taraz D 0-050.8 1186 1151 51.76% 18.56% 29.67%+0.44 -3.2 4
2009-04-19 @ Irtysh D 0-050.8 1151 1186 29.67% 18.56% 51.76%-0.44 +3.2 7
2009-04-19 Tobol W 4-040.4 1273 1393 30.70% 18.58% 50.72%-0.39 +103.1 18
2009-04-19 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 0-440.4 1393 1273 50.72% 18.58% 30.70%+0.39 -103.1 9
2009-04-19 Vostok W 3-247.6 1246 1179 55.53% 18.49% 25.99%+0.61 +14.7 13
2009-04-19 @ Kazakhmys L 2-347.6 1179 1246 25.99% 18.49% 55.53%-0.61 -14.7 2
2009-04-30 Aktobe L 0-132.4 1094 1454 9.87% 17.43% 72.69%-1.69 -6.7 4
2009-04-30 @ Kyzylzhar W 1-032.4 1454 1094 72.69% 17.43% 9.87%+1.69 +6.7 18
2009-04-30 Lokomotiv Astana L 1-240.9 1154 1376 19.49% 18.26% 62.26%-0.95 -12.0 7
2009-04-30 @ Taraz W 2-140.9 1376 1154 62.26% 18.26% 19.49%+0.95 +12.0 21
2009-04-30 Irtysh W 2-037.3 1171 1183 45.49% 18.64% 35.87%+0.18 +40.6 6
2009-04-30 @ Ordabasy L 0-237.3 1183 1171 35.87% 18.64% 45.49%-0.18 -40.6 4
2009-04-30 Kaisar W 1-036.3 1164 1078 57.76% 18.43% 23.81%+0.71 +15.2 5
2009-04-30 @ Vostok L 0-136.3 1078 1164 23.81% 18.43% 57.76%-0.71 -15.2 2
2009-04-30 Kazakhmys W 3-145.3 1197 1260 38.30% 18.65% 43.05%-0.09 +40.8 11
2009-04-30 @ Okzhetpes L 1-345.3 1260 1197 43.05% 18.65% 38.30%+0.09 -40.8 13
2009-04-30 Shakter Karagandy D 0-051.4 1289 1293 46.60% 18.63% 34.77%+0.23 -1.7 10
2009-04-30 @ Tobol D 0-051.4 1293 1289 34.77% 18.63% 46.60%-0.23 +1.7 10
2009-04-30 Zhetysu L 0-238.4 1239 1306 37.71% 18.65% 43.65%-0.11 -42.3 8
2009-04-30 @ Atyrau W 2-038.4 1306 1239 43.65% 18.65% 37.71%+0.11 +42.3 11
2009-05-10 Atyrau W 2-138.7 1460 1197 72.45% 17.46% 10.09%+1.67 +6.5 21
2009-05-10 @ Aktobe L 1-238.7 1197 1460 10.09% 17.46% 72.45%-1.67 -6.5 8
2009-05-10 Kyzylzhar D 1-155.3 1219 1087 62.49% 18.24% 19.26%+0.96 -5.8 14
2009-05-10 @ Kazakhmys D 1-155.3 1087 1219 19.26% 18.24% 62.49%-0.96 +5.8 5
2009-05-10 Okzhetpes W 2-151.9 1063 1238 24.13% 18.44% 57.43%-0.70 +30.5 5
2009-05-10 @ Kaisar L 1-251.9 1238 1063 57.43% 18.44% 24.13%+0.70 -30.5 11
2009-05-10 Ordabasy L 0-535.1 1142 1212 37.31% 18.64% 44.05%-0.13 -98.0 7
2009-05-10 @ Taraz W 5-035.1 1212 1142 44.05% 18.64% 37.31%+0.13 +98.0 9
2009-05-10 Shakter Karagandy L 1-253.8 1388 1295 58.50% 18.40% 23.10%+0.75 -31.1 21
2009-05-10 @ Lokomotiv Astana W 2-153.8 1295 1388 23.10% 18.40% 58.50%-0.75 +31.0 13
2009-05-10 Tobol W 1-038.4 1348 1288 54.80% 18.50% 26.70%+0.57 +16.8 14
2009-05-10 @ Zhetysu L 0-138.4 1288 1348 26.70% 18.50% 54.80%-0.57 -16.8 10
2009-05-10 Vostok D 1-155.2 1143 1179 42.00% 18.65% 39.35%+0.05 -0.3 5
2009-05-10 @ Irtysh D 1-155.2 1179 1143 39.35% 18.65% 42.00%-0.05 +0.3 6
2009-05-16 Aktobe D 0-053.1 1271 1467 22.02% 18.36% 59.61%-0.81 +5.6 11
2009-05-16 @ Tobol D 0-053.1 1467 1271 59.61% 18.36% 22.02%+0.81 -5.6 22
2009-05-16 Lokomotiv Astana W 1-043.0 1310 1357 40.50% 18.65% 40.85%-0.01 +23.9 12
2009-05-16 @ Ordabasy L 0-143.0 1357 1310 40.85% 18.65% 40.50%+0.01 -23.9 21
2009-05-16 Irtysh L 1-446.2 1208 1142 55.39% 18.49% 26.12%+0.60 -72.2 11
2009-05-16 @ Okzhetpes W 4-146.2 1142 1208 26.12% 18.49% 55.39%-0.60 +72.2 8
2009-05-16 Kaisar D 1-155.1 1093 1093 47.05% 18.62% 34.32%+0.25 -1.6 6
2009-05-16 @ Kyzylzhar D 1-155.1 1093 1093 34.32% 18.62% 47.05%-0.25 +1.6 6
2009-05-16 Kazakhmys W 2-146.1 1190 1214 43.91% 18.64% 37.45%+0.12 +21.0 11
2009-05-16 @ Atyrau L 1-246.1 1214 1190 37.45% 18.64% 43.91%-0.12 -21.0 14
2009-05-16 Taraz L 0-245.2 1180 1044 62.80% 18.23% 18.97%+0.98 -66.6 6
2009-05-16 @ Vostok W 2-045.2 1044 1180 18.97% 18.23% 62.80%-0.98 +66.6 10
2009-05-16 Zhetysu W 1-042.9 1326 1365 41.69% 18.65% 39.66%+0.04 +23.4 16
2009-05-16 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-142.9 1365 1326 39.66% 18.65% 41.69%-0.04 -23.4 14
2009-05-24 Atyrau D 1-155.2 1095 1211 31.09% 18.59% 50.33%-0.38 +2.5 7
2009-05-24 @ Kaisar D 1-155.2 1211 1095 50.33% 18.59% 31.09%+0.38 -2.5 12
2009-05-24 Kyzylzhar W 1-035.2 1214 1091 61.61% 18.28% 20.11%+0.91 +13.1 11
2009-05-24 @ Irtysh L 0-135.2 1091 1214 20.11% 18.28% 61.61%-0.91 -13.1 6
2009-05-24 Okzhetpes L 0-142.4 1111 1136 43.67% 18.65% 37.69%+0.11 -25.3 10
2009-05-24 @ Taraz W 1-042.4 1136 1111 37.69% 18.65% 43.67%-0.11 +25.3 14
2009-05-24 Shakter Karagandy W 2-144.8 1461 1349 60.46% 18.33% 21.20%+0.85 +12.9 25
2009-05-24 @ Aktobe L 1-244.8 1349 1461 21.20% 18.33% 60.46%-0.85 -12.9 16
2009-05-24 Tobol L 0-140.1 1193 1277 35.35% 18.63% 46.02%-0.20 -21.3 14
2009-05-24 @ Kazakhmys W 1-040.1 1277 1193 46.02% 18.63% 35.35%+0.20 +21.3 14
2009-05-24 Vostok D 1-155.7 1334 1113 69.69% 17.76% 12.55%+1.43 -8.0 13
2009-05-24 @ Ordabasy D 1-155.7 1113 1334 12.55% 17.76% 69.69%-1.43 +8.0 7
2009-05-24 Zhetysu W 1-041.4 1333 1342 45.97% 18.63% 35.40%+0.20 +21.3 24
2009-05-24 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 0-141.4 1342 1333 35.40% 18.63% 45.97%-0.20 -21.3 14
2009-06-14 Kazakhmys W 3-137.3 1336 1171 65.43% 18.09% 16.49%+1.14 +17.8 19
2009-06-14 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-337.3 1171 1336 16.49% 18.09% 65.43%-1.14 -17.8 14
2009-06-15 Aktobe L 0-237.9 1320 1474 26.56% 18.50% 54.94%-0.58 -31.5 14
2009-06-15 @ Zhetysu W 2-037.9 1474 1320 54.94% 18.50% 26.56%+0.58 +31.5 28
2009-06-15 Lokomotiv Astana L 1-240.4 1121 1354 18.50% 18.21% 63.30%-1.01 -11.4 7
2009-06-15 @ Vostok W 2-140.4 1354 1121 63.30% 18.21% 18.50%+1.01 +11.4 27
2009-06-15 Irtysh W 2-037.8 1209 1228 44.55% 18.64% 36.81%+0.15 +41.5 15
2009-06-15 @ Atyrau L 0-237.8 1228 1209 36.81% 18.64% 44.55%-0.15 -41.4 11
2009-06-15 Kaisar W 3-028.6 1298 1097 68.26% 17.89% 13.86%+1.33 +25.4 17
2009-06-15 @ Tobol L 0-328.6 1097 1298 13.86% 17.89% 68.26%-1.33 -25.4 7
2009-06-15 Okzhetpes W 4-028.9 1326 1161 65.41% 18.09% 16.51%+1.13 +39.1 16
2009-06-15 @ Ordabasy L 0-428.9 1161 1326 16.51% 18.09% 65.41%-1.13 -39.1 14
2009-06-15 Taraz L 1-248.5 1078 1085 46.14% 18.63% 35.23%+0.21 -25.0 6
2009-06-15 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-148.5 1085 1078 35.23% 18.63% 46.14%-0.21 +25.0 13
2009-06-19 Aktobe L 0-240.4 1366 1506 28.21% 18.54% 53.26%-0.50 -33.1 27
2009-06-19 @ Lokomotiv Astana W 2-040.4 1506 1366 53.26% 18.54% 28.21%+0.50 +33.1 31
2009-06-19 Atyrau D 1-155.3 1110 1250 28.18% 18.54% 53.28%-0.51 +3.2 14
2009-06-19 @ Taraz D 1-155.3 1250 1110 53.28% 18.54% 28.18%+0.51 -3.2 16
2009-06-19 Kyzylzhar W 1-031.3 1365 1053 75.03% 17.09% 7.88%+1.92 +5.4 19
2009-06-19 @ Ordabasy L 0-131.3 1053 1365 7.88% 17.09% 75.03%-1.92 -5.4 6
2009-06-19 Okzhetpes W 1-040.0 1110 1122 45.47% 18.64% 35.90%+0.18 +21.5 10
2009-06-19 @ Vostok L 0-140.0 1122 1110 35.90% 18.64% 45.47%-0.18 -21.5 14
2009-06-19 Shakter Karagandy L 0-328.9 1072 1354 14.58% 17.95% 67.47%-1.27 -26.7 7
2009-06-19 @ Kaisar W 3-028.9 1354 1072 67.47% 17.95% 14.58%+1.27 +26.7 22
2009-06-19 Tobol L 1-243.6 1186 1323 28.51% 18.54% 52.94%-0.49 -16.7 11
2009-06-19 @ Irtysh W 2-143.6 1323 1186 52.94% 18.54% 28.51%+0.49 +16.7 20
2009-06-19 Zhetysu D 2-261.0 1154 1289 28.73% 18.55% 52.72%-0.48 +2.3 15
2009-06-19 @ Kazakhmys D 2-261.0 1289 1154 52.72% 18.55% 28.73%+0.48 -2.3 15
2009-06-26 Vostok W 4-143.3 1048 1131 35.41% 18.63% 45.95%-0.20 +61.0 9
2009-06-26 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-443.3 1131 1048 45.95% 18.63% 35.41%+0.20 -61.0 10
2009-06-27 Irtysh W 1-033.5 1381 1169 69.06% 17.82% 13.12%+1.39 +8.8 25
2009-06-27 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-133.5 1169 1381 13.12% 17.82% 69.06%-1.39 -8.8 11
2009-06-27 Taraz W 4-133.2 1340 1114 70.10% 17.72% 12.18%+1.47 +19.0 23
2009-06-27 @ Tobol L 1-433.2 1114 1340 12.18% 17.72% 70.10%-1.47 -19.0 14
2009-06-28 Kaisar L 0-150.3 1287 1045 71.08% 17.62% 11.30%+1.55 -40.0 15
2009-06-28 @ Zhetysu W 1-050.3 1045 1287 11.30% 17.62% 71.08%-1.55 +40.0 10
2009-06-28 Kazakhmys W 4-026.5 1539 1156 78.11% 16.46% 5.43%+2.31 +13.3 34
2009-06-28 @ Aktobe L 0-426.5 1156 1539 5.43% 16.46% 78.11%-2.31 -13.3 15
2009-06-28 Okzhetpes W 2-138.1 1333 1100 70.50% 17.68% 11.82%+1.50 +7.5 30
2009-06-28 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 1-238.1 1100 1333 11.82% 17.68% 70.50%-1.50 -7.5 14
2009-06-28 Ordabasy D 0-051.7 1247 1370 30.23% 18.57% 51.20%-0.42 +3.0 17
2009-06-28 @ Atyrau D 0-051.7 1370 1247 51.20% 18.57% 30.23%+0.42 -3.0 20
2009-07-03 Ordabasy W 3-036.6 1390 1367 50.10% 18.59% 31.31%+0.37 +52.6 28
2009-07-03 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-336.6 1367 1390 31.31% 18.59% 50.10%-0.37 -52.6 20
2009-07-03 Taraz W 1-034.4 1247 1095 64.29% 18.15% 17.56%+1.07 +11.6 18
2009-07-03 @ Zhetysu L 0-134.4 1095 1247 17.56% 18.15% 64.29%-1.07 -11.6 14
2009-07-09 Tobol L 0-133.8 1083 1359 15.05% 17.98% 66.97%-1.24 -10.0 14
2009-07-09 @ Taraz W 1-033.8 1359 1083 66.97% 17.98% 15.05%+1.24 +10.0 26
2009-07-10 Aktobe L 2-439.6 1142 1552 7.65% 17.04% 75.31%-1.96 -7.7 15
2009-07-10 @ Kazakhmys W 4-239.6 1552 1142 75.31% 17.04% 7.65%+1.96 +7.7 37
2009-07-12 Atyrau L 1-349.3 1315 1250 55.29% 18.49% 26.22%+0.60 -51.0 20
2009-07-12 @ Ordabasy W 3-149.3 1250 1315 26.22% 18.49% 55.29%-0.60 +51.0 20
2009-07-12 Kyzylzhar W 3-144.0 1070 1109 41.77% 18.65% 39.58%+0.04 +38.1 13
2009-07-12 @ Vostok L 1-344.0 1109 1070 39.58% 18.65% 41.77%-0.04 -38.1 9
2009-07-12 Zhetysu L 2-347.0 1085 1258 24.43% 18.44% 57.13%-0.68 -13.9 10
2009-07-12 @ Kaisar W 3-247.0 1258 1085 57.13% 18.44% 24.43%+0.68 +13.9 21
2009-07-13 Lokomotiv Astana L 1-532.9 1093 1340 17.28% 18.14% 64.58%-1.08 -34.0 14
2009-07-13 @ Okzhetpes W 5-132.9 1340 1093 64.58% 18.14% 17.28%+1.08 +34.0 33
2009-07-13 Shakter Karagandy D 1-156.3 1161 1442 14.63% 17.95% 67.42%-1.27 +7.3 12
2009-07-13 @ Irtysh D 1-156.3 1442 1161 67.42% 17.95% 14.63%+1.27 -7.3 29
2009-07-19 Kaisar W 2-028.1 1435 1071 77.35% 16.64% 6.01%+2.20 +7.8 32
2009-07-19 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-228.1 1071 1435 6.01% 16.64% 77.35%-2.20 -7.8 10
2009-07-19 Kazakhmys W 2-140.4 1272 1135 62.93% 18.22% 18.85%+0.99 +11.6 24
2009-07-19 @ Zhetysu L 1-240.4 1135 1272 18.85% 18.22% 62.93%-0.99 -11.6 15
2009-07-19 Ordabasy L 0-135.9 1071 1264 22.30% 18.37% 59.33%-0.79 -14.3 9
2009-07-19 @ Kyzylzhar W 1-035.9 1264 1071 59.33% 18.37% 22.30%+0.79 +14.3 23
2009-07-19 Taraz D 1-155.5 1301 1073 70.20% 17.71% 12.09%+1.47 -8.1 21
2009-07-19 @ Atyrau D 1-155.5 1073 1301 12.09% 17.71% 70.20%-1.47 +8.1 15
2009-07-19 Vostok W 1-041.6 1059 1108 40.18% 18.65% 41.17%-0.02 +24.1 17
2009-07-19 @ Okzhetpes L 0-141.6 1108 1059 41.17% 18.65% 40.18%+0.02 -24.1 13
2009-07-24 Ordabasy L 1-241.3 1083 1278 22.10% 18.37% 59.54%-0.80 -13.4 17
2009-07-24 @ Okzhetpes W 2-141.3 1278 1083 59.54% 18.37% 22.10%+0.80 +13.4 26
2009-07-26 Atyrau W 1-044.9 1168 1293 30.01% 18.57% 51.42%-0.42 +29.2 15
2009-07-26 @ Irtysh L 0-144.9 1293 1168 51.42% 18.57% 30.01%+0.42 -29.2 21
2009-07-26 Kyzylzhar W 5-033.1 1081 1056 50.39% 18.59% 31.02%+0.38 +84.0 18
2009-07-26 @ Taraz L 0-533.1 1056 1081 31.02% 18.59% 50.39%-0.38 -84.0 9
2009-07-26 Shakter Karagandy L 1-531.7 1123 1443 12.12% 17.72% 70.16%-1.47 -24.4 15
2009-07-26 @ Kazakhmys W 5-131.7 1443 1123 70.16% 17.72% 12.12%+1.47 +24.4 35
2009-07-26 Vostok W 3-242.2 1374 1084 73.92% 17.26% 8.82%+1.81 +5.4 36
2009-07-26 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 2-342.2 1084 1374 8.82% 17.26% 73.92%-1.81 -5.4 13
2009-07-28 Tobol D 1-155.6 1064 1369 13.01% 17.81% 69.18%-1.40 +7.8 11
2009-07-28 @ Kaisar D 1-155.6 1369 1064 69.18% 17.81% 13.01%+1.40 -7.8 27
2009-07-31 Irtysh L 0-330.2 972 1197 19.26% 18.24% 62.50%-0.96 -34.4 9
2009-07-31 @ Kyzylzhar W 3-030.2 1197 972 62.50% 18.24% 19.26%+0.96 +34.4 18
2009-07-31 Kazakhmys W 5-026.8 1361 1099 72.37% 17.47% 10.15%+1.66 +30.5 30
2009-07-31 @ Tobol L 0-526.8 1099 1361 10.15% 17.47% 72.37%-1.66 -30.5 15
2009-08-02 Lokomotiv Astana W 1-044.9 1284 1380 33.74% 18.62% 47.64%-0.27 +27.3 27
2009-08-02 @ Zhetysu L 0-144.9 1380 1284 47.64% 18.62% 33.74%+0.27 -27.3 36
2009-08-02 Kaisar W 3-243.9 1264 1071 67.63% 17.94% 14.44%+1.28 +8.6 24
2009-08-02 @ Atyrau L 2-343.9 1071 1264 14.44% 17.94% 67.63%-1.28 -8.6 11
2009-08-02 Ordabasy W 1-047.6 1079 1291 20.39% 18.30% 61.31%-0.90 +34.5 16
2009-08-02 @ Vostok L 0-147.6 1291 1079 61.31% 18.30% 20.39%+0.90 -34.5 26
2009-08-02 Taraz D 2-260.8 1070 1165 33.81% 18.62% 47.58%-0.27 +1.3 18
2009-08-02 @ Okzhetpes D 2-260.8 1165 1070 47.58% 18.62% 33.81%+0.27 -1.3 19
2009-08-04 Irtysh D 1-156.4 1392 1231 65.01% 18.11% 16.88%+1.11 -6.6 31
2009-08-04 @ Tobol D 1-156.4 1231 1392 16.88% 18.11% 65.01%-1.11 +6.6 19
2009-08-08 Atyrau L 1-241.0 1068 1272 21.22% 18.33% 60.45%-0.85 -12.9 15
2009-08-08 @ Kazakhmys W 2-141.0 1272 1068 60.45% 18.33% 21.22%+0.85 +12.9 27
2009-08-08 Kyzylzhar L 0-147.6 1063 938 61.76% 18.28% 19.97%+0.92 -34.7 11
2009-08-08 @ Kaisar W 1-047.6 938 1063 19.97% 18.28% 61.76%-0.92 +34.7 12
2009-08-08 Ordabasy W 3-139.9 1352 1257 58.74% 18.39% 22.87%+0.76 +23.9 39
2009-08-08 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 1-339.9 1257 1352 22.87% 18.39% 58.74%-0.76 -23.9 26
2009-08-08 Shakter Karagandy W 1-048.9 1311 1467 26.26% 18.49% 55.24%-0.59 +31.2 30
2009-08-08 @ Zhetysu L 0-148.9 1467 1311 55.24% 18.49% 26.26%+0.59 -31.2 35
2009-08-08 Vostok D 2-260.8 1164 1113 53.60% 18.53% 27.87%+0.52 -2.5 20
2009-08-08 @ Taraz D 2-260.8 1113 1164 27.87% 18.53% 53.60%-0.52 +2.5 17
2009-08-09 Okzhetpes W 1-034.0 1238 1071 65.60% 18.08% 16.33%+1.15 +10.8 22
2009-08-09 @ Irtysh L 0-134.0 1071 1238 16.33% 18.08% 65.60%-1.15 -10.8 18
2009-08-15 Aktobe W 1-053.8 1285 1560 15.16% 17.99% 66.85%-1.23 +37.6 30
2009-08-15 @ Atyrau L 0-153.8 1560 1285 66.85% 17.99% 15.16%+1.23 -37.6 37
2009-08-16 Lokomotiv Astana W 4-247.9 1436 1376 54.72% 18.51% 26.77%+0.57 +24.5 38
2009-08-16 @ Shakter Karagandy L 2-447.9 1376 1436 26.77% 18.51% 54.72%-0.57 -24.5 39
2009-08-16 Irtysh L 1-340.9 1116 1249 29.03% 18.55% 52.41%-0.47 -29.4 17
2009-08-16 @ Vostok W 3-140.9 1249 1116 52.41% 18.55% 29.03%+0.47 +29.4 25
2009-08-16 Kaisar L 0-144.6 1060 1028 51.31% 18.57% 30.12%+0.42 -29.1 18
2009-08-16 @ Okzhetpes W 1-044.6 1028 1060 30.12% 18.57% 51.31%-0.42 +29.1 14
2009-08-16 Kazakhmys L 0-237.1 973 1055 35.51% 18.63% 45.86%-0.20 -40.2 12
2009-08-16 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-037.1 1055 973 45.86% 18.63% 35.51%+0.20 +40.2 18
2009-08-16 Taraz L 1-446.5 1233 1161 56.11% 18.47% 25.41%+0.63 -73.1 26
2009-08-16 @ Ordabasy W 4-146.5 1161 1233 25.41% 18.47% 56.11%-0.63 +73.1 23
2009-08-16 Zhetysu W 6-035.1 1385 1342 52.70% 18.55% 28.75%+0.48 +93.5 34
2009-08-16 @ Tobol L 0-635.1 1342 1385 28.75% 18.55% 52.70%-0.48 -93.5 30
2009-08-23 Atyrau W 2-148.8 1248 1323 36.68% 18.64% 44.68%-0.15 +24.3 33
2009-08-23 @ Zhetysu L 1-248.8 1323 1248 44.68% 18.64% 36.68%+0.15 -24.3 30
2009-08-23 Okzhetpes L 1-446.1 1096 1031 55.31% 18.49% 26.20%+0.60 -72.1 18
2009-08-23 @ Kazakhmys W 4-146.1 1031 1096 26.20% 18.49% 55.31%-0.60 +72.1 21
2009-08-23 Ordabasy L 1-253.1 1278 1160 61.10% 18.31% 20.59%+0.88 -32.4 25
2009-08-23 @ Irtysh W 2-153.1 1160 1278 20.59% 18.31% 61.10%-0.88 +32.4 29
2009-08-23 Taraz W 4-136.5 1352 1234 61.01% 18.31% 20.68%+0.88 +30.9 42
2009-08-23 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 1-436.5 1234 1352 20.68% 18.31% 61.01%-0.88 -30.9 23
2009-08-23 Tobol D 1-162.8 1461 1479 44.64% 18.64% 36.72%+0.15 -1.0 39
2009-08-23 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-162.8 1479 1461 36.72% 18.64% 44.64%-0.15 +1.0 35
2009-08-23 Vostok L 0-239.4 1057 1086 43.07% 18.65% 38.28%+0.09 -47.2 14
2009-08-23 @ Kaisar W 2-039.4 1086 1057 38.28% 18.65% 43.07%-0.09 +47.1 20
2009-08-24 Kyzylzhar W 6-126.1 1522 932 83.92% 14.27% 1.81%+3.42 +4.4 40
2009-08-24 @ Aktobe L 1-626.1 932 1522 1.81% 14.27% 83.92%-3.42 -4.4 12
2009-08-30 Lokomotiv Astana W 1-041.2 1480 1383 58.91% 18.39% 22.70%+0.77 +14.5 38
2009-08-30 @ Tobol L 0-141.2 1383 1480 22.70% 18.39% 58.91%-0.77 -14.6 42
2009-08-30 Atyrau W 2-034.1 1460 1299 65.08% 18.11% 16.81%+1.11 +20.9 42
2009-08-30 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-234.1 1299 1460 16.81% 18.11% 65.08%-1.11 -20.9 30
2009-08-30 Kazakhmys W 2-141.0 1134 1024 60.26% 18.34% 21.40%+0.84 +13.0 23
2009-08-30 @ Vostok L 1-241.0 1024 1134 21.40% 18.34% 60.26%-0.84 -13.0 18
2009-08-31 Aktobe L 1-728.7 1103 1527 7.12% 16.92% 75.96%-2.03 -21.1 21
2009-08-31 @ Okzhetpes W 7-128.7 1527 1103 75.96% 16.92% 7.12%+2.03 +21.1 43
2009-08-31 Irtysh D 1-155.4 1203 1246 41.21% 18.65% 40.14%+0.02 -0.1 24
2009-08-31 @ Taraz D 1-155.4 1246 1203 40.14% 18.65% 41.21%-0.02 +0.1 26
2009-08-31 Kaisar W 2-030.8 1192 1010 66.85% 17.99% 15.16%+1.23 +19.0 32
2009-08-31 @ Ordabasy L 0-230.8 1010 1192 15.16% 17.99% 66.85%-1.23 -19.0 14
2009-08-31 Zhetysu L 1-432.4 928 1273 10.67% 17.54% 71.79%-1.61 -16.7 12
2009-08-31 @ Kyzylzhar W 4-132.4 1273 928 71.79% 17.54% 10.67%+1.61 +16.7 36
2009-09-14 Atyrau D 0-053.9 1494 1278 69.42% 17.79% 12.80%+1.41 -8.8 39
2009-09-14 @ Tobol D 0-053.9 1278 1494 12.80% 17.79% 69.42%-1.41 +8.8 31
2009-09-14 Irtysh W 2-033.4 1368 1246 61.49% 18.29% 20.22%+0.91 +24.8 45
2009-09-14 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 0-233.4 1246 1368 20.22% 18.29% 61.49%-0.91 -24.8 26
2009-09-14 Kyzylzhar W 2-134.2 1481 911 83.48% 14.50% 2.02%+3.31 +1.3 45
2009-09-14 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-234.2 911 1481 2.02% 14.50% 83.48%-3.31 -1.3 12
2009-09-14 Okzhetpes W 1-033.1 1290 1082 68.77% 17.84% 13.38%+1.36 +9.0 39
2009-09-14 @ Zhetysu L 0-133.1 1082 1290 13.38% 17.84% 68.77%-1.36 -9.0 21
2009-09-14 Ordabasy L 1-435.9 1011 1211 21.53% 18.34% 60.13%-0.83 -32.0 18
2009-09-14 @ Kazakhmys W 4-135.9 1211 1011 60.13% 18.34% 21.53%+0.83 +32.1 35
2009-09-14 Taraz L 0-232.5 991 1203 20.41% 18.30% 61.29%-0.89 -25.0 14
2009-09-14 @ Kaisar W 2-032.5 1203 991 61.29% 18.30% 20.41%+0.89 +25.0 27
2009-09-14 Vostok W 4-026.3 1548 1147 78.77% 16.29% 4.94%+2.40 +12.1 46
2009-09-14 @ Aktobe L 0-426.3 1147 1548 4.94% 16.29% 78.77%-2.40 -12.1 23
2009-09-20 Lokomotiv Astana L 1-245.9 1286 1393 32.37% 18.60% 49.03%-0.32 -18.6 31
2009-09-20 @ Atyrau W 2-145.9 1393 1286 49.03% 18.60% 32.37%+0.32 +18.6 48
2009-09-20 Kaisar W 1-032.1 1221 966 71.94% 17.53% 10.53%+1.62 +7.2 29
2009-09-20 @ Irtysh L 0-132.1 966 1221 10.53% 17.53% 71.94%-1.62 -7.2 14
2009-09-20 Kazakhmys W 5-026.8 1228 979 71.61% 17.56% 10.83%+1.59 +32.4 30
2009-09-20 @ Taraz L 0-526.8 979 1228 10.83% 17.56% 71.61%-1.59 -32.4 18
2009-09-20 Shakter Karagandy L 0-526.3 1073 1482 7.68% 17.05% 75.27%-1.95 -23.2 21
2009-09-20 @ Okzhetpes W 5-026.3 1482 1073 75.27% 17.05% 7.68%+1.95 +23.2 48
2009-09-20 Tobol L 0-724.9 910 1485 3.20% 15.45% 81.35%-2.85 -13.1 12
2009-09-20 @ Kyzylzhar W 7-024.9 1485 910 81.35% 15.45% 3.20%+2.85 +13.1 42
2009-09-21 Aktobe L 1-241.7 1243 1560 12.33% 17.74% 69.93%-1.45 -7.8 35
2009-09-21 @ Ordabasy W 2-141.7 1560 1243 69.93% 17.74% 12.33%+1.45 +7.8 49
2009-09-22 Zhetysu W 1-046.2 1134 1299 25.40% 18.47% 56.13%-0.63 +31.7 26
2009-09-22 @ Vostok L 0-146.2 1299 1134 56.13% 18.47% 25.40%+0.63 -31.7 39
2009-09-25 Lokomotiv Astana L 0-157.6 1568 1411 64.64% 18.13% 17.23%+1.09 -36.3 49
2009-09-25 @ Aktobe W 1-057.6 1411 1568 17.23% 18.13% 64.64%-1.09 +36.3 51
2009-09-27 Atyrau L 0-135.2 1050 1268 19.87% 18.27% 61.85%-0.92 -12.9 21
2009-09-27 @ Okzhetpes W 1-035.2 1268 1050 61.85% 18.27% 19.87%+0.92 +12.9 34
2009-09-27 Kazakhmys L 0-241.1 959 946 48.82% 18.61% 32.57%+0.32 -52.5 14
2009-09-27 @ Kaisar W 2-041.1 946 959 32.57% 18.61% 48.82%-0.32 +52.5 21
2009-09-27 Shakter Karagandy L 0-233.4 1236 1505 15.54% 18.02% 66.43%-1.20 -19.5 35
2009-09-27 @ Ordabasy W 2-033.4 1505 1236 66.43% 18.02% 15.54%+1.20 +19.5 51
2009-09-27 Vostok W 6-232.4 1499 1166 76.01% 16.92% 7.08%+2.04 +12.3 45
2009-09-27 @ Tobol L 2-632.4 1166 1499 7.08% 16.92% 76.01%-2.04 -12.3 26
2009-09-27 Zhetysu W 2-145.7 1261 1267 46.28% 18.63% 35.09%+0.21 +19.9 33
2009-09-27 @ Taraz L 1-245.7 1267 1261 35.09% 18.63% 46.28%-0.21 -19.9 39
2009-09-29 Aktobe L 1-241.1 1228 1531 13.18% 17.82% 68.99%-1.38 -8.4 29
2009-09-29 @ Irtysh W 2-141.1 1531 1228 68.99% 17.82% 13.18%+1.38 +8.3 52
2009-09-29 Lokomotiv Astana L 0-226.8 897 1448 3.64% 15.71% 80.65%-2.72 -4.7 12
2009-09-29 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-026.8 1448 897 80.65% 15.71% 3.64%+2.72 +4.7 54
2009-10-03 Zhetysu D 1-158.9 1540 1247 74.06% 17.24% 8.70%+1.82 -9.2 53
2009-10-03 @ Aktobe D 1-158.9 1247 1540 8.70% 17.24% 74.06%-1.82 +9.2 40
2009-10-22 Aktobe L 0-350.4 1524 1530 46.33% 18.63% 35.04%+0.22 -72.9 51
2009-10-22 @ Shakter Karagandy W 3-050.4 1530 1524 35.04% 18.63% 46.33%-0.22 +72.9 56
2009-10-25 Irtysh W 2-153.2 999 1220 19.57% 18.26% 62.17%-0.94 +33.0 24
2009-10-25 @ Kazakhmys L 1-253.2 1220 999 62.17% 18.26% 19.57%+0.94 -33.0 29
2009-10-25 Kaisar W 3-024.2 1452 906 82.95% 14.76% 2.29%+3.19 +4.2 57
2009-10-25 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 0-324.2 906 1452 2.29% 14.76% 82.95%-3.19 -4.2 14
2009-10-25 Kyzylzhar W 4-130.5 1281 892 78.31% 16.41% 5.28%+2.34 +8.3 37
2009-10-25 @ Atyrau L 1-430.5 892 1281 5.28% 16.41% 78.31%-2.34 -8.4 12
2009-10-25 Okzhetpes W 2-135.3 1511 1037 81.09% 15.55% 3.36%+2.80 +2.1 48
2009-10-25 @ Tobol L 1-235.3 1037 1511 3.36% 15.55% 81.09%-2.80 -2.1 21
2009-10-25 Ordabasy D 1-155.5 1256 1216 52.33% 18.56% 29.12%+0.46 -3.0 41
2009-10-25 @ Zhetysu D 1-155.5 1216 1256 29.12% 18.56% 52.33%-0.46 +3.0 36
2009-10-25 Taraz W 2-142.2 1603 1281 75.55% 17.00% 7.45%+1.98 +4.8 59
2009-10-25 @ Aktobe L 1-242.2 1281 1603 7.45% 17.00% 75.55%-1.98 -4.8 33
2009-10-26 Vostok W 5-026.9 1452 1154 74.33% 17.20% 8.47%+1.85 +25.5 54
2009-10-26 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-526.9 1154 1452 8.47% 17.20% 74.33%-1.85 -25.5 26
2009-10-29 Tobol W 5-253.3 1608 1513 58.69% 18.40% 22.91%+0.76 +29.3 62
2009-10-29 @ Aktobe L 2-553.3 1513 1608 22.91% 18.40% 58.69%-0.76 -29.3 48
2009-11-02 Irtysh W 2-034.5 1253 1187 55.47% 18.49% 26.04%+0.60 +30.9 44
2009-11-02 @ Zhetysu L 0-234.5 1187 1253 26.04% 18.49% 55.47%-0.60 -30.9 29
2009-11-02 Kaisar W 3-131.1 1637 902 86.62% 12.55% 0.83%+4.20 +0.9 65
2009-11-02 @ Aktobe L 1-331.1 902 1637 0.83% 12.55% 86.62%-4.20 -0.9 14
2009-11-02 Kazakhmys W 3-025.4 1457 1032 79.60% 16.05% 4.35%+2.53 +8.1 60
2009-11-02 @ Lokomotiv Astana L 0-325.4 1032 1457 4.35% 16.05% 79.60%-2.53 -8.1 24
2009-11-02 Okzhetpes D 0-050.6 884 1035 26.91% 18.51% 54.58%-0.56 +4.0 13
2009-11-02 @ Kyzylzhar D 0-050.6 1035 884 54.58% 18.51% 26.91%+0.56 -4.0 22
2009-11-02 Ordabasy W 2-031.0 1484 1219 72.50% 17.46% 10.05%+1.67 +12.9 51
2009-11-02 @ Tobol L 0-231.0 1219 1484 10.05% 17.46% 72.50%-1.67 -12.9 36
2009-11-02 Taraz W 1-035.8 1477 1276 68.31% 17.88% 13.80%+1.33 +9.2 57
2009-11-02 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-135.8 1276 1477 13.80% 17.88% 68.31%-1.33 -9.2 33
2009-11-02 Vostok W 4-241.1 1289 1128 65.05% 18.11% 16.84%+1.11 +16.2 40
2009-11-02 @ Atyrau L 2-441.1 1128 1289 16.84% 18.11% 65.05%-1.11 -16.2 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-04-19 6.90% Okzhetpes 1157 2 @ Aktobe 1494 1
2 2009-06-28 11.30% Kaisar 1045 1 @ Zhetysu 1287 0
3 2009-04-19 13.98% Atyrau 1167 2 @ Shakter Karagandy 1366 0
4 2009-08-15 15.16% @ Atyrau 1285 1 Aktobe 1560 0
5 2009-03-14 17.00% Lokomotiv Astana 1082 4 @ Kaisar 1241 0
6 2009-09-25 17.23% Lokomotiv Astana 1411 1 @ Aktobe 1568 0
7 2009-05-16 18.97% Taraz 1044 2 @ Vostok 1180 0
8 2009-10-25 19.57% @ Kazakhmys 999 2 Irtysh 1220 1
9 2009-08-08 19.97% Kyzylzhar 938 1 @ Kaisar 1063 0
10 2009-03-14 20.09% Kazakhmys 1144 2 @ Irtysh 1268 0
11 2009-03-07 20.18% Lokomotiv Astana 1052 4 @ Kazakhmys 1174 3
12 2009-08-02 20.39% @ Vostok 1079 1 Ordabasy 1291 0
13 2009-08-23 20.59% Ordabasy 1160 2 @ Irtysh 1278 1
14 2009-03-07 22.52% Zhetysu 1232 2 @ Irtysh 1330 0
15 2009-03-07 23.01% @ Taraz 1137 1 Shakter Karagandy 1323 0
16 2009-05-10 23.10% Shakter Karagandy 1295 2 @ Lokomotiv Astana 1388 1
17 2009-05-10 24.13% @ Kaisar 1063 2 Okzhetpes 1238 1
18 2009-04-12 25.39% @ Okzhetpes 1125 1 Zhetysu 1289 0
19 2009-09-22 25.40% @ Vostok 1134 1 Zhetysu 1299 0
20 2009-08-16 25.41% Taraz 1161 4 @ Ordabasy 1233 1
21 2009-05-16 26.12% Irtysh 1142 4 @ Okzhetpes 1208 1
22 2009-08-23 26.20% Okzhetpes 1031 4 @ Kazakhmys 1096 1
23 2009-07-12 26.22% Atyrau 1250 3 @ Ordabasy 1315 1
24 2009-08-08 26.26% @ Zhetysu 1311 1 Shakter Karagandy 1467 0
25 2009-07-26 30.01% @ Irtysh 1168 1 Atyrau 1293 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-03-14 130.54 Lokomotiv Astana 4 1082 17.00% @ Kaisar 0 1241 64.88% 18.12%
2 2009-04-19 103.10 @ Lokomotiv Astana 4 1273 30.70% Tobol 0 1393 50.72% 18.58%
3 2009-05-10 97.99 Ordabasy 5 1212 44.05% @ Taraz 0 1142 37.31% 18.64%
4 2009-08-16 93.54 @ Tobol 6 1385 52.70% Zhetysu 0 1342 28.75% 18.55%
5 2009-07-26 84.01 @ Taraz 5 1081 50.39% Kyzylzhar 0 1056 31.02% 18.59%
6 2009-08-16 73.08 Taraz 4 1161 25.41% @ Ordabasy 1 1233 56.11% 18.47%
7 2009-10-22 72.87 Aktobe 3 1530 35.04% @ Shakter Karagandy 0 1524 46.33% 18.63%
8 2009-04-19 72.30 Atyrau 2 1167 13.98% @ Shakter Karagandy 0 1366 68.13% 17.90%
9 2009-05-16 72.20 Irtysh 4 1142 26.12% @ Okzhetpes 1 1208 55.39% 18.49%
10 2009-08-23 72.09 Okzhetpes 4 1031 26.20% @ Kazakhmys 1 1096 55.31% 18.49%
11 2009-05-16 66.58 Taraz 2 1044 18.97% @ Vostok 0 1180 62.80% 18.23%
12 2009-03-14 65.35 Kazakhmys 2 1144 20.09% @ Irtysh 0 1268 61.63% 18.28%
13 2009-03-07 62.72 Zhetysu 2 1232 22.52% @ Irtysh 0 1330 59.10% 18.38%
14 2009-06-26 61.01 @ Kyzylzhar 4 1048 35.41% Vostok 1 1131 45.95% 18.63%
15 2009-07-03 52.60 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1390 50.10% Ordabasy 0 1367 31.31% 18.59%
16 2009-09-27 52.52 Kazakhmys 2 946 32.57% @ Kaisar 0 959 48.82% 18.61%
17 2009-07-12 50.96 Atyrau 3 1250 26.22% @ Ordabasy 1 1315 55.29% 18.49%
18 2009-04-19 48.18 @ Zhetysu 4 1258 60.87% Kyzylzhar 0 1142 20.81% 18.32%
19 2009-08-23 47.15 Vostok 2 1086 38.28% @ Kaisar 0 1057 43.07% 18.65%
20 2009-03-21 46.61 @ Atyrau 2 1132 38.87% Okzhetpes 0 1190 42.48% 18.65%
21 2009-04-12 44.75 Aktobe 4 1449 62.59% @ Vostok 0 1224 19.17% 18.24%
22 2009-03-14 42.40 Shakter Karagandy 3 1291 36.32% @ Vostok 1 1275 45.04% 18.64%
23 2009-04-30 42.27 Zhetysu 2 1306 43.65% @ Atyrau 0 1239 37.71% 18.65%
24 2009-06-15 41.45 @ Atyrau 2 1209 44.55% Irtysh 0 1228 36.81% 18.64%
25 2009-04-30 40.82 @ Okzhetpes 3 1197 38.30% Kazakhmys 1 1260 43.05% 18.65%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-08-23 62.8 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1461 44.64% Tobol 1 1479 36.72% 18.64%
2 2009-04-12 61.6 @ Atyrau 2 1162 18.35% Tobol 2 1397 63.45% 18.20%
3 2009-04-06 61.3 @ Zhetysu 2 1292 56.12% Vostok 2 1221 25.41% 18.47%
4 2009-03-07 61.1 @ Vostok 2 1280 62.63% Atyrau 2 1146 19.13% 18.24%
5 2009-06-19 61.0 @ Kazakhmys 2 1154 28.73% Zhetysu 2 1289 52.72% 18.55%
6 2009-08-02 60.8 @ Okzhetpes 2 1070 33.81% Taraz 2 1165 47.58% 18.62%
7 2009-08-08 60.8 @ Taraz 2 1164 53.60% Vostok 2 1113 27.87% 18.53%
8 2009-03-07 60.7 Lokomotiv Astana 4 1052 20.18% @ Kazakhmys 3 1174 61.53% 18.29%
9 2009-10-03 58.9 @ Aktobe 1 1540 74.06% Zhetysu 1 1247 8.70% 17.24%
10 2009-04-19 58.3 Okzhetpes 2 1157 6.90% @ Aktobe 1 1494 76.22% 16.87%
11 2009-09-25 57.6 Lokomotiv Astana 1 1411 17.23% @ Aktobe 0 1568 64.64% 18.13%
12 2009-08-04 56.4 @ Tobol 1 1392 65.01% Irtysh 1 1231 16.88% 18.11%
13 2009-07-13 56.3 @ Irtysh 1 1161 14.63% Shakter Karagandy 1 1442 67.42% 17.95%
14 2009-03-07 55.9 @ Ordabasy 1 1199 25.01% Tobol 1 1366 56.53% 18.46%
15 2009-03-14 55.8 @ Okzhetpes 1 1186 24.06% Tobol 1 1362 57.50% 18.43%
16 2009-05-24 55.7 @ Ordabasy 1 1334 69.69% Vostok 1 1113 12.55% 17.76%
17 2009-07-28 55.6 @ Kaisar 1 1064 13.01% Tobol 1 1369 69.18% 17.81%
18 2009-07-19 55.5 @ Atyrau 1 1301 70.20% Taraz 1 1073 12.09% 17.71%
19 2009-10-25 55.5 @ Zhetysu 1 1256 52.33% Ordabasy 1 1216 29.12% 18.56%
20 2009-08-31 55.4 @ Taraz 1 1203 41.21% Irtysh 1 1246 40.14% 18.65%
21 2009-03-21 55.3 @ Kazakhmys 1 1209 59.15% Kaisar 1 1110 22.47% 18.38%
22 2009-05-10 55.3 @ Kazakhmys 1 1219 62.49% Kyzylzhar 1 1087 19.26% 18.24%
23 2009-06-19 55.3 @ Taraz 1 1110 28.18% Atyrau 1 1250 53.28% 18.54%
24 2009-04-19 55.2 @ Kaisar 1 1076 33.62% Ordabasy 1 1173 47.77% 18.62%
25 2009-05-10 55.2 @ Irtysh 1 1143 42.00% Vostok 1 1179 39.35% 18.65%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-10-25 24.2 @ Lokomotiv Astana 3 1452 82.95% Kaisar 0 906 2.29% 14.76%
2 2009-09-20 24.9 Tobol 7 1485 81.35% @ Kyzylzhar 0 910 3.20% 15.45%
3 2009-11-02 25.4 @ Lokomotiv Astana 3 1457 79.60% Kazakhmys 0 1032 4.35% 16.05%
4 2009-08-24 26.1 @ Aktobe 6 1522 83.92% Kyzylzhar 1 932 1.81% 14.27%
5 2009-09-14 26.3 @ Aktobe 4 1548 78.77% Vostok 0 1147 4.94% 16.29%
6 2009-09-20 26.3 Shakter Karagandy 5 1482 75.27% @ Okzhetpes 0 1073 7.68% 17.05%
7 2009-06-28 26.5 @ Aktobe 4 1539 78.11% Kazakhmys 0 1156 5.43% 16.46%
8 2009-07-31 26.8 @ Tobol 5 1361 72.37% Kazakhmys 0 1099 10.15% 17.47%
9 2009-09-20 26.8 @ Taraz 5 1228 71.61% Kazakhmys 0 979 10.83% 17.56%
10 2009-09-29 26.8 Lokomotiv Astana 2 1448 80.65% @ Kyzylzhar 0 897 3.64% 15.71%
11 2009-10-26 26.9 @ Shakter Karagandy 5 1452 74.33% Vostok 0 1154 8.47% 17.20%
12 2009-07-19 28.1 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1435 77.35% Kaisar 0 1071 6.01% 16.64%
13 2009-06-15 28.6 @ Tobol 3 1298 68.26% Kaisar 0 1097 13.86% 17.89%
14 2009-08-31 28.7 Aktobe 7 1527 75.96% @ Okzhetpes 1 1103 7.12% 16.92%
15 2009-06-15 28.9 @ Ordabasy 4 1326 65.41% Okzhetpes 0 1161 16.51% 18.09%
16 2009-06-19 28.9 Shakter Karagandy 3 1354 67.47% @ Kaisar 0 1072 14.58% 17.95%
17 2009-04-06 29.4 @ Tobol 3 1370 67.21% Kyzylzhar 0 1183 14.82% 17.97%
18 2009-04-19 30.1 @ Zhetysu 4 1258 60.87% Kyzylzhar 0 1142 20.81% 18.32%
19 2009-07-31 30.2 Irtysh 3 1197 62.50% @ Kyzylzhar 0 972 19.26% 18.24%
20 2009-10-25 30.5 @ Atyrau 4 1281 78.31% Kyzylzhar 1 892 5.28% 16.41%
21 2009-08-31 30.8 @ Ordabasy 2 1192 66.85% Kaisar 0 1010 15.16% 17.99%
22 2009-04-12 30.9 Aktobe 4 1449 62.59% @ Vostok 0 1224 19.17% 18.24%
23 2009-04-06 31.0 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1333 67.38% Okzhetpes 0 1144 14.66% 17.95%
24 2009-11-02 31.0 @ Tobol 2 1484 72.50% Ordabasy 0 1219 10.05% 17.46%
25 2009-11-02 31.1 @ Aktobe 3 1637 86.62% Kaisar 1 902 0.83% 12.55%