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1992-93 A Lyga Season

147 games

Final

Champion

Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ekranas

5.37 points above expected

22 points · 16.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

ALK Neris

5.49 points below expected

9 points · 14.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 13 10 2 1 22 32 6 +26 19.76 +2.24
2 Ekranas 13 10 2 1 22 27 3 +24 16.63 +5.37
3 Panerys 13 10 1 2 21 34 14 +20 18.00 +3.00
4 Sirijus Klaipeda 13 7 4 2 18 20 7 +13 16.97 +1.03
5 Banga Kaunas 13 7 3 3 17 24 9 +15 16.28 +0.72
6 Romar Mazeikiai 13 6 2 5 14 13 13 0 11.83 +2.17
7 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 13 4 5 4 13 16 13 +3 13.30 -0.30
8 Gelezinis Vilkas 13 3 6 4 12 12 17 -5 11.50 +0.50
9 Inkaras Kaunas 13 4 3 6 11 16 20 -4 10.71 +0.29
10 ALK Neris 13 3 3 7 9 15 20 -5 14.49 -5.49
11 Snaige Alytus 13 3 2 8 8 8 27 -19 8.65 -0.65
12 Sakalas Siauliai 13 2 2 9 6 8 23 -15 10.09 -4.09
13 Tauras-Karsuva 13 2 2 9 6 6 26 -20 6.58 -0.58
14 Minija Kretinga 13 1 1 11 3 5 38 -33 7.21 -4.21
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ekranas 14 10 4 0 24 23 5 +18 41.51 -17.51
2 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 14 8 5 1 21 22 7 +15 41.18 -20.18
3 Panerys 14 6 3 5 15 19 15 +4 37.21 -22.21
4 Sirijus Klaipeda 14 4 5 5 13 16 22 -6 31.80 -18.80
5 Romar Mazeikiai 14 5 2 7 12 14 14 0 24.06 -12.06
6 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 14 4 3 7 11 10 20 -10 23.58 -12.58
7 Banga Kaunas 14 4 2 8 10 12 20 -8 31.45 -21.45
8 Gelezinis Vilkas 14 2 2 10 6 13 26 -13 20.19 -14.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ekranas 22 16.63 +5.37
2 Panerys 21 18.00 +3.00
3 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 22 19.76 +2.24
4 Romar Mazeikiai 14 11.83 +2.17
5 Sirijus Klaipeda 18 16.97 +1.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 ALK Neris 9 14.49 -5.49
2 Minija Kretinga 3 7.21 -4.21
3 Sakalas Siauliai 6 10.09 -4.09
4 Snaige Alytus 8 8.65 -0.65
5 Tauras-Karsuva 6 6.58 -0.58

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Panerys 8 Aug 1 – Sep 18 1 in 26
2 Gelezinis Vilkas 2 Aug 22 – Aug 29 1 in 20
3 Inkaras Kaunas 1 Aug 15 – Aug 15 1 in 14
4 Ekranas 4 Sep 5 – Sep 26 1 in 12
5 Romar Mazeikiai 3 Oct 10 – Oct 29 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sakalas Siauliai 5 Sep 19 – Oct 18 1 in 62
2 Minija Kretinga 5 Aug 1 – Aug 29 1 in 27
3 Ekranas 1 Aug 29 – Aug 29 1 in 11
4 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 3 Aug 23 – Sep 5 1 in 9
5 Banga Kaunas 2 Oct 10 – Oct 18 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 7 Sep 10 – Nov 2 1 in 52
2 Ekranas 8 Sep 5 – Nov 2 1 in 20
3 Gelezinis Vilkas 5 Aug 5 – Sep 5 1 in 16
4 Banga Kaunas 7 Aug 22 – Oct 3 1 in 9
5 ALK Neris 4 Aug 5 – Aug 29 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 8 Aug 4 – Sep 26 1 in 23
2 ALK Neris 3 Aug 1 – Aug 15 1 in 12
3 Minija Kretinga 9 Aug 1 – Sep 26 1 in 10
4 Banga Kaunas 4 Oct 3 – Nov 2 1 in 10
5 Sirijus Klaipeda 4 Oct 10 – Nov 2 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ekranas 1433 46 +11 8 7.4 +0.6
Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 1382 43 +12 8 7.4 +0.6
Panerys 1215 36 +145 9 5.2 +3.8
Sirijus Klaipeda 1040 31 -95 5 5.9 -0.9
Banga Kaunas 1037 27 -83 0 3.4 -3.4
Romar Mazeikiai 1096 26 +13 4 4.2 -0.2
Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 1015 24 +16 4 3.8 +0.2
Gelezinis Vilkas 884 18 -20 2 2.7 -0.7
Inkaras Kaunas 904 11 +31 6 5.0 +1.0
ALK Neris 935 9 -101 2 5.3 -3.3
Snaige Alytus 737 8 -73 3 3.6 -0.6
Tauras-Karsuva 717 6 -24 3 2.8 +0.2
Sakalas Siauliai 793 6 -68 2 4.1 -2.1
Minija Kretinga 693 3 -29 2 2.0 -0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AN BK EKR GV GK IK MK PAN RM SS SK SA TAU ZV
ALK Neris —
0-1-0
1.62
0-0-1
0.87
0-1-0
1.67
1-0-0
1.27
0-0-1
1.71
1-0-0
2.25
0-0-1
0.92
0-0-1
2.22
0-1-0
1.78
0-0-1
1.07
1-0-0
2.20
0-0-1
2.02
0-0-1
0.34
Banga Kaunas
0-1-0
1.15
—
0-1-0
1.69
1-0-0
1.65
1-0-0
1.65
0-0-1
2.35
1-0-0
2.34
0-0-1
1.73
1-0-0
1.55
1-0-0
2.25
0-1-0
1.82
1-0-0
2.29
1-0-0
2.37
0-0-1
0.69
Ekranas
1-0-0
1.90
0-1-0
1.08
—
0-0-1
2.29
1-0-0
1.12
1-0-0
2.23
1-0-0
2.45
1-0-0
1.03
0-1-0
1.94
1-0-0
2.37
1-0-0
1.06
1-0-0
2.30
1-0-0
2.51
1-0-0
1.28
Gelezinis Vilkas
0-1-0
1.10
0-0-1
1.12
1-0-0
0.49
—
0-1-0
1.36
0-1-0
1.82
1-0-0
1.94
0-0-1
0.37
0-0-1
1.11
1-0-0
1.91
0-1-0
0.47
0-1-0
1.67
0-1-0
1.93
0-0-1
0.44
Granitas-Aras Klaipeda
0-0-1
1.49
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-1
1.65
0-1-0
1.41
—
0-1-0
1.34
1-0-0
2.39
0-1-0
0.43
0-1-0
1.17
1-0-0
2.09
0-0-1
0.54
1-0-0
1.56
1-0-0
2.29
0-1-0
0.61
Inkaras Kaunas
1-0-0
1.06
1-0-0
0.43
0-0-1
0.55
0-1-0
0.95
0-1-0
1.43
—
1-0-0
1.89
0-0-1
0.66
0-0-1
1.18
1-0-0
1.92
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
1.41
0-1-0
1.85
0-0-1
0.35
Minija Kretinga
0-0-1
0.52
0-0-1
0.44
0-0-1
0.35
0-0-1
0.83
0-0-1
0.40
0-0-1
0.88
—
0-0-1
0.92
1-0-0
0.94
0-0-1
0.75
0-0-1
0.30
0-1-0
1.56
0-0-1
1.56
0-0-1
0.52
Panerys
1-0-0
1.85
1-0-0
1.04
0-0-1
1.74
1-0-0
2.41
0-1-0
2.35
1-0-0
2.12
1-0-0
1.85
—
1-0-0
2.42
1-0-0
2.22
1-0-0
1.28
1-0-0
2.48
1-0-0
2.49
0-0-1
1.14
Romar Mazeikiai
1-0-0
0.56
0-0-1
1.22
0-1-0
0.83
1-0-0
1.66
0-1-0
1.60
1-0-0
1.59
0-0-1
1.83
0-0-1
0.37
—
1-0-0
1.06
0-0-1
0.57
1-0-0
1.74
1-0-0
2.08
0-0-1
0.56
Sakalas Siauliai
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-1
0.53
0-0-1
0.42
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-1
0.68
0-0-1
0.85
1-0-0
2.02
0-0-1
0.56
0-0-1
1.71
—
0-1-0
0.61
0-0-1
1.82
1-0-0
1.75
0-0-1
0.27
Sirijus Klaipeda
1-0-0
1.70
0-1-0
0.95
0-0-1
1.71
0-1-0
2.31
1-0-0
2.23
1-0-0
2.08
1-0-0
2.49
0-0-1
1.49
1-0-0
2.21
0-1-0
2.16
—
1-0-0
2.42
1-0-0
2.17
0-1-0
0.55
Snaige Alytus
0-0-1
0.57
0-0-1
0.48
0-0-1
0.48
0-1-0
1.10
0-0-1
1.21
1-0-0
1.36
0-1-0
1.21
0-0-1
0.31
0-0-1
1.03
1-0-0
0.95
0-0-1
0.36
—
1-0-0
1.80
0-0-1
0.53
Tauras-Karsuva
1-0-0
0.75
0-0-1
0.42
0-0-1
0.28
0-1-0
0.84
0-0-1
0.49
0-1-0
0.92
1-0-0
1.21
0-0-1
0.30
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-1
1.02
0-0-1
0.61
0-0-1
0.97
—
0-0-1
0.28
Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius
1-0-0
2.45
1-0-0
2.08
0-0-1
1.49
1-0-0
2.34
0-1-0
2.16
1-0-0
2.44
1-0-0
2.26
1-0-0
1.63
1-0-0
2.22
1-0-0
2.53
0-1-0
2.23
1-0-0
2.25
1-0-0
2.52
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +6.3
Allowed 0.84 -6.0
Differential 0.96 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.24%8.84%7.14%5.78%2.38%1.36%37.76%
18.84%8.16%7.14%2.38%1.02%1.02%28.57%
27.14%7.14%1.36%0.34%0.68%0.34%17.01%
35.78%2.38%0.34%—0.34%0.34%9.18%
42.38%1.02%0.68%0.34%——4.42%
5+1.36%1.02%0.34%0.34%——3.06%
Total37.76%28.57%17.01%9.18%4.42%3.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.36 1.36 2.10
CV 1.09 1.09 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 147

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%15.38%7.69%——38.46%
17.69%23.08%—7.69%——38.46%
2————7.69%—7.69%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total15.38%46.15%15.38%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.54 -0.38
SD 1.46 1.20 2.06
CV 1.27 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%3.70%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
114.81%3.70%18.52%3.70%——40.74%
211.11%3.70%—3.70%3.70%—22.22%
3———————
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total48.15%14.81%22.22%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.07 +0.26
SD 1.30 1.24 1.89
CV 0.98 1.15 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%————11.11%
122.22%14.81%————37.04%
218.52%7.41%————25.93%
314.81%3.70%————18.52%
4———————
5+7.41%—————7.41%
Total70.37%29.63%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.30 +1.56
SD 1.41 0.47 1.58
CV 0.76 1.57 —
Max 6 1 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%11.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%—40.74%
13.70%14.81%14.81%—3.70%3.70%40.74%
2—7.41%————7.41%
3—3.70%——3.70%—7.41%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total18.52%40.74%22.22%3.70%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.59 -0.67
SD 1.07 1.37 1.64
CV 1.16 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.52%14.81%7.41%7.41%—3.70%51.85%
13.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
23.70%11.11%7.41%———22.22%
37.41%—————7.41%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%18.52%11.11%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.22 -0.26
SD 1.19 1.25 1.89
CV 1.24 1.02 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
17.69%15.38%7.69%——7.69%38.46%
2——7.69%———7.69%
315.38%7.69%————23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%23.08%7.69%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.54 -0.31
SD 1.17 1.61 2.29
CV 0.95 1.05 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—7.69%30.77%7.69%7.69%61.54%
17.69%—7.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%38.46%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%—15.38%38.46%15.38%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.38 2.92 -2.54
SD 0.51 1.71 1.81
CV 1.32 0.58 —
Max 1 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
13.70%—7.41%———11.11%
214.81%11.11%3.70%———29.63%
37.41%3.70%————11.11%
43.70%—3.70%———7.41%
5+—7.41%—3.70%——11.11%
Total40.74%25.93%22.22%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.07 +0.89
SD 1.83 1.14 2.21
CV 0.93 1.06 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%14.81%11.11%—3.70%—37.04%
118.52%7.41%14.81%———40.74%
2—7.41%————7.41%
311.11%3.70%————14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.04%33.33%25.93%—3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.00 +0.00
SD 1.04 1.00 1.69
CV 1.04 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%15.38%15.38%7.69%—53.85%
1—15.38%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
215.38%—————15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%23.08%23.08%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.77 -1.15
SD 0.77 1.24 1.82
CV 1.25 0.70 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%7.41%7.41%——3.70%40.74%
13.70%11.11%3.70%———18.52%
214.81%3.70%————18.52%
37.41%3.70%———3.70%14.81%
4———3.70%——3.70%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total48.15%25.93%14.81%3.70%—7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.07 +0.26
SD 1.44 1.54 1.89
CV 1.08 1.44 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%—15.38%15.38%7.69%—53.85%
115.38%——7.69%7.69%—30.77%
2—7.69%———7.69%15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%7.69%15.38%23.08%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 2.08 -1.46
SD 0.77 1.75 1.81
CV 1.25 0.84 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%15.38%7.69%7.69%61.54%
17.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
2—7.69%————7.69%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%15.38%23.08%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.46 2.00 -1.54
SD 0.66 1.53 1.85
CV 1.43 0.76 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%7.41%————29.63%
13.70%3.70%————7.41%
27.41%18.52%————25.93%
33.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
418.52%—3.70%———22.22%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total59.26%33.33%7.41%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.48 +1.52
SD 1.64 0.64 1.72
CV 0.82 1.33 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ekranas 1433 22 16.63 +5.37 100.0% 9 13 15 16 18 21 22
Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 1382 22 19.76 +2.24 84.0% 13 14 18 20 22 24 25
Panerys 1215 21 18.00 +3.00 94.0% 11 14 16 18 20 22 24
Romar Mazeikiai 1096 14 11.83 +2.17 81.0% 6 7 9 12 14 16 20
Sirijus Klaipeda 1040 18 16.97 +1.03 73.0% 9 12 15 17 19 21 25
Banga Kaunas 1037 17 16.28 +0.72 67.0% 9 11 14 16 18 20 22
Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 1015 13 13.30 -0.30 56.0% 8 8 11 13 16 17 19
ALK Neris 935 9 14.49 -5.49 5.0% 8 9 12 15 16 19 21
Inkaras Kaunas 904 11 10.71 +0.29 63.0% 2 6 9 11 13 15 17
Gelezinis Vilkas 884 12 11.50 +0.50 64.0% 4 6 10 12 13 16 20
Sakalas Siauliai 793 6 10.09 -4.09 14.0% 4 5 8 10 12 14 18
Snaige Alytus 737 8 8.65 -0.65 48.0% 2 4 7 9 11 13 15
Tauras-Karsuva 717 6 6.58 -0.58 52.0% 1 2 5 6 8 11 13
Minija Kretinga 693 3 7.21 -4.21 6.0% 2 3 5 7 9 12 13

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.65%
Strong Edge
46.94%21.77%31.29%
Elo Value
Home Edge
179 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
054.81500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
52%
Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.21 * Some Luck: 2.21 to 3.31 * Lucky: 3.31 to 4.42 * Wild Swing: 4.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.12 * Off: 2.12 to 2.83 * Way Off: 2.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.87 points
Some Luck
02.767
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Pinpoint
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Ekranas
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
5.00%
ALK Neris
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Top-Heavy
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 214.14
1.97
Coin-Flip Parity
12.52.853.5
Interquartile Edge
87%
Clear Edge
50%77.5%86.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
97%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.13
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Some Carryover
00.650.811
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Upset-Prone
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.55
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.101
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius52.00%19.00%10.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%———————
Ekranas9.00%15.00%16.00%24.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%——2.00%———
Panerys17.00%32.00%21.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————
Sirijus Klaipeda13.00%14.00%17.00%17.00%19.00%12.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Banga Kaunas5.00%11.00%17.00%23.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%1.00%3.00%—4.00%———
Romar Mazeikiai—2.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%—
Granitas-Aras Klaipeda—2.00%7.00%4.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%——
Gelezinis Vilkas1.00%1.00%——3.00%9.00%15.00%14.00%12.00%21.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%
Inkaras Kaunas——1.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%16.00%16.00%16.00%3.00%2.00%
ALK Neris3.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%15.00%16.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Snaige Alytus—————2.00%1.00%4.00%13.00%10.00%20.00%18.00%15.00%17.00%
Sakalas Siauliai———2.00%—4.00%5.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%
Tauras-Karsuva——————1.00%3.00%—8.00%8.00%14.00%28.00%38.00%
Minija Kretinga———————4.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%18.00%31.00%31.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
ALK Neris 100% —
Banga Kaunas 100% —
Ekranas 100% —
Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 100% —
Panerys 100% —
Romar Mazeikiai 100% —
Sirijus Klaipeda 100% —
Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 100% —
Gelezinis Vilkas 95.00% 5.00%
Inkaras Kaunas 94.00% 6.00%
Sakalas Siauliai 78.00% 22.00%
Snaige Alytus 56.00% 44.00%
Minija Kretinga 41.00% 59.00%
Tauras-Karsuva 36.00% 64.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level
Banga Kaunas 100%
Ekranas 100%
Gelezinis Vilkas 100%
Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 100%
Panerys 100%
Romar Mazeikiai 100%
Sirijus Klaipeda 100%
Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1992-08-01 Sakalas Siauliai W 3-031.6 1042 917 62.14% 22.73% 15.13%+1.01 +30.1 2
1992-08-01 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda L 0-331.6 917 1042 15.13% 22.73% 62.14%-1.01 -30.1 0
1992-08-01 Inkaras Kaunas W 2-032.3 1074 882 66.83% 22.43% 10.74%+1.38 +15.2 2
1992-08-01 @ Ekranas L 0-232.3 882 1074 10.74% 22.43% 66.83%-1.38 -15.2 0
1992-08-01 Snaige Alytus W 2-031.6 1076 845 69.04% 22.21% 8.75%+1.60 +12.6 2
1992-08-01 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-231.6 845 1076 8.75% 22.21% 69.04%-1.60 -12.6 0
1992-08-01 Panerys L 0-334.1 922 1124 23.16% 22.85% 53.99%-0.83 -43.1 0
1992-08-01 @ Minija Kretinga W 3-034.1 1124 922 53.99% 22.85% 23.16%+0.83 +43.1 2
1992-08-01 Romar Mazeikiai L 0-151.6 1096 911 66.39% 22.47% 11.14%+1.34 -38.9 0
1992-08-01 @ ALK Neris W 1-051.6 911 1096 11.14% 22.47% 66.39%-1.34 +38.9 2
1992-08-01 Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-330.8 779 1104 12.75% 22.30% 64.94%-1.51 -25.7 0
1992-08-01 @ Tauras-Karsuva W 3-030.8 1104 779 64.94% 22.30% 12.75%+1.51 +25.7 2
1992-08-01 Gelezinis Vilkas W 3-029.1 1185 922 70.64% 22.01% 7.35%+1.78 +15.5 2
1992-08-01 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-329.1 922 1185 7.35% 22.01% 70.64%-1.78 -15.5 0
1992-08-04 Ekranas L 0-341.4 1072 1089 47.30% 23.07% 29.63%+0.21 -76.6 2
1992-08-04 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 3-041.4 1089 1072 29.63% 23.07% 47.30%-0.21 +76.6 4
1992-08-04 Sakalas Siauliai W 2-032.1 1089 886 67.45% 22.37% 10.18%+1.44 +14.5 4
1992-08-04 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-232.1 886 1089 10.18% 22.37% 67.45%-1.44 -14.5 0
1992-08-05 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-428.8 833 1201 10.18% 22.04% 67.78%-1.76 -27.3 0
1992-08-05 @ Snaige Alytus W 4-028.8 1201 833 67.78% 22.04% 10.18%+1.76 +27.3 4
1992-08-05 ALK Neris D 1-155.0 906 1057 29.15% 22.99% 47.87%-0.54 +2.4 1
1992-08-05 @ Gelezinis Vilkas D 1-155.0 1057 906 47.87% 22.99% 29.15%+0.54 -2.4 1
1992-08-05 Panerys L 1-632.5 867 1167 14.41% 22.44% 63.15%-1.38 -38.2 0
1992-08-05 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 6-132.5 1167 867 63.15% 22.44% 14.41%+1.38 +38.2 4
1992-08-05 Romar Mazeikiai W 2-032.6 1129 950 66.04% 22.49% 11.47%+1.31 +16.2 4
1992-08-05 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-232.6 950 1129 11.47% 22.49% 66.04%-1.31 -16.2 2
1992-08-05 Minija Kretinga W 2-150.7 753 878 32.53% 23.03% 44.44%-0.39 +25.0 2
1992-08-05 @ Tauras-Karsuva L 1-250.7 878 753 44.44% 23.03% 32.53%+0.39 -25.0 0
1992-08-15 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-152.9 1103 829 71.12% 21.93% 6.94%+1.84 -41.9 4
1992-08-15 @ Banga Kaunas W 1-052.9 829 1103 6.94% 21.93% 71.12%-1.84 +41.9 2
1992-08-15 Snaige Alytus W 5-235.6 1146 805 73.66% 21.45% 4.89%+2.21 +7.6 6
1992-08-15 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 2-535.6 805 1146 4.89% 21.45% 73.66%-2.21 -7.6 0
1992-08-15 ALK Neris D 1-155.0 872 1055 25.37% 22.91% 51.73%-0.72 +3.4 1
1992-08-15 @ Sakalas Siauliai D 1-155.0 1055 872 51.73% 22.91% 25.37%+0.72 -3.4 2
1992-08-15 Ekranas D 1-155.1 934 1166 20.18% 22.74% 57.08%-0.99 +5.0 3
1992-08-15 @ Romar Mazeikiai D 1-155.1 1166 934 57.08% 22.74% 20.18%+0.99 -5.0 5
1992-08-15 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 1-337.5 853 1228 9.84% 22.00% 68.16%-1.79 -12.1 0
1992-08-15 @ Minija Kretinga W 3-137.5 1228 853 68.16% 22.00% 9.84%+1.79 +12.1 6
1992-08-15 Tauras-Karsuva W 3-135.1 1206 778 76.22% 20.71% 3.07%+2.70 +3.9 6
1992-08-15 @ Panerys L 1-335.1 778 1206 3.07% 20.71% 76.22%-2.70 -3.9 2
1992-08-16 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda D 0-050.3 908 995 37.78% 23.08% 39.14%-0.18 +0.2 2
1992-08-16 @ Gelezinis Vilkas D 0-050.3 995 908 39.14% 23.08% 37.78%+0.18 -0.2 3
1992-08-22 Sakalas Siauliai W 2-030.9 1161 875 71.59% 21.86% 6.55%+1.91 +9.6 7
1992-08-22 @ Ekranas L 0-230.9 875 1161 6.55% 21.86% 71.59%-1.91 -9.6 1
1992-08-22 Minija Kretinga W 4-138.0 909 841 56.93% 22.92% 20.15%+0.68 +32.4 4
1992-08-22 @ Gelezinis Vilkas L 1-438.0 841 909 20.15% 22.92% 56.93%-0.68 -32.4 0
1992-08-22 Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-136.4 871 1153 15.76% 22.52% 61.71%-1.28 -11.3 2
1992-08-22 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 1-036.4 1153 871 61.71% 22.52% 15.76%+1.28 +11.3 8
1992-08-22 Banga Kaunas L 0-239.1 939 1061 32.84% 23.04% 44.12%-0.38 -39.4 3
1992-08-22 @ Romar Mazeikiai W 2-039.1 1061 939 44.12% 23.04% 32.84%+0.38 +39.4 6
1992-08-23 ALK Neris L 0-144.5 995 1051 42.12% 23.09% 34.79%-0.01 -25.4 3
1992-08-23 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 1-044.5 1051 995 34.79% 23.09% 42.12%+0.01 +25.4 4
1992-08-23 Snaige Alytus W 2-029.6 1210 798 75.82% 20.85% 3.33%+2.61 +4.9 8
1992-08-23 @ Panerys L 0-229.6 798 1210 3.33% 20.85% 75.82%-2.61 -4.9 0
1992-08-23 Tauras-Karsuva W 4-026.0 1240 775 77.16% 20.35% 2.49%+2.91 +6.9 8
1992-08-23 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-426.0 775 1240 2.49% 20.35% 77.16%-2.91 -6.9 2
1992-08-29 Tauras-Karsuva W 2-144.7 793 768 52.44% 23.02% 24.55%+0.45 +15.6 2
1992-08-29 @ Snaige Alytus L 1-244.7 768 793 24.55% 23.02% 52.44%-0.45 -15.6 2
1992-08-29 Gelezinis Vilkas L 0-152.3 1171 941 68.96% 22.22% 8.82%+1.59 -40.5 7
1992-08-29 @ Ekranas W 1-052.3 941 1171 8.82% 22.22% 68.96%-1.59 +40.5 6
1992-08-29 Minija Kretinga W 3-033.7 859 809 55.19% 22.97% 21.84%+0.59 +41.2 4
1992-08-29 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-333.7 809 859 21.84% 22.97% 55.19%-0.59 -41.2 0
1992-08-29 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 3-137.9 1165 970 67.00% 22.42% 10.58%+1.40 +13.0 10
1992-08-29 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 1-337.9 970 1165 10.58% 22.42% 67.00%-1.40 -13.0 3
1992-08-29 Panerys L 0-135.0 866 1214 11.28% 22.16% 66.56%-1.64 -8.4 1
1992-08-29 @ Sakalas Siauliai W 1-035.0 1214 866 66.56% 22.16% 11.28%+1.64 +8.4 10
1992-08-29 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 1-240.5 899 1247 11.32% 22.17% 66.51%-1.64 -7.9 3
1992-08-29 @ Romar Mazeikiai W 2-140.5 1247 899 66.51% 22.17% 11.32%+1.64 +7.9 10
1992-08-29 Banga Kaunas D 1-155.0 1077 1101 46.44% 23.08% 30.49%+0.17 -2.0 5
1992-08-29 @ ALK Neris D 1-155.0 1101 1077 30.49% 23.08% 46.44%-0.17 +2.0 7
1992-09-05 Banga Kaunas L 0-140.8 957 1103 29.79% 23.00% 47.21%-0.51 -19.3 3
1992-09-05 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 1-040.8 1103 957 47.21% 23.00% 29.79%+0.51 +19.3 9
1992-09-05 ALK Neris W 3-033.6 1130 1075 55.72% 22.95% 21.33%+0.62 +40.4 9
1992-09-05 @ Ekranas L 0-333.6 1075 1130 21.33% 22.95% 55.72%-0.62 -40.3 5
1992-09-05 Sirijus Klaipeda D 1-155.2 857 1178 13.05% 22.33% 64.62%-1.49 +7.2 2
1992-09-05 @ Sakalas Siauliai D 1-155.2 1178 857 64.62% 22.33% 13.05%+1.49 -7.2 11
1992-09-05 Snaige Alytus D 0-050.2 768 808 44.25% 23.08% 32.66%+0.08 -1.6 1
1992-09-05 @ Minija Kretinga D 0-050.2 808 768 32.66% 23.08% 44.25%-0.08 +1.6 3
1992-09-05 Romar Mazeikiai W 4-027.2 1223 891 73.35% 21.52% 5.13%+2.16 +14.3 12
1992-09-05 @ Panerys L 0-427.2 891 1223 5.13% 21.52% 73.35%-2.16 -14.3 3
1992-09-05 Gelezinis Vilkas D 0-050.3 752 982 20.43% 22.75% 56.81%-0.98 +5.5 3
1992-09-05 @ Tauras-Karsuva D 0-050.3 982 752 56.81% 22.75% 20.43%+0.98 -5.5 7
1992-09-06 Inkaras Kaunas W 2-138.3 1255 900 74.14% 21.34% 4.52%+2.29 +3.3 12
1992-09-06 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 1-238.3 900 1255 4.52% 21.34% 74.14%-2.29 -3.3 4
1992-09-10 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius D 0-050.5 937 1258 12.99% 22.32% 64.69%-1.49 +8.1 4
1992-09-10 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda D 0-050.5 1258 937 64.69% 22.32% 12.99%+1.49 -8.1 13
1992-09-11 Banga Kaunas L 1-441.0 976 1122 29.79% 23.00% 47.21%-0.51 -44.6 7
1992-09-11 @ Gelezinis Vilkas W 4-141.0 1122 976 47.21% 23.00% 29.79%+0.51 +44.6 11
1992-09-11 Ekranas L 0-146.8 1170 1170 49.46% 23.05% 27.49%+0.31 -29.1 11
1992-09-11 @ Sirijus Klaipeda W 1-046.8 1170 1170 27.49% 23.05% 49.46%-0.31 +29.1 11
1992-09-12 Inkaras Kaunas W 1-043.6 810 897 37.77% 23.08% 39.15%-0.18 +23.9 5
1992-09-12 @ Snaige Alytus L 0-143.6 897 810 39.15% 23.08% 37.77%+0.18 -24.0 4
1992-09-12 Minija Kretinga W 2-034.4 865 766 59.88% 22.83% 17.29%+0.86 +23.3 4
1992-09-12 @ Sakalas Siauliai L 0-234.4 766 865 17.29% 22.83% 59.88%-0.86 -23.2 1
1992-09-12 Tauras-Karsuva W 1-036.4 877 757 61.68% 22.76% 15.57%+0.98 +11.3 5
1992-09-12 @ Romar Mazeikiai L 0-136.4 757 877 15.57% 22.76% 61.68%-0.98 -11.3 3
1992-09-12 Panerys L 2-445.5 1034 1237 23.17% 22.85% 53.99%-0.83 -23.0 5
1992-09-12 @ ALK Neris W 4-245.5 1237 1034 53.99% 22.85% 23.17%+0.83 +23.0 14
1992-09-18 Gelezinis Vilkas W 5-130.9 1260 931 73.25% 21.54% 5.20%+2.15 +12.1 16
1992-09-18 @ Panerys L 1-530.9 931 1260 5.20% 21.54% 73.25%-2.15 -12.1 7
1992-09-19 Tauras-Karsuva W 3-027.2 1200 746 76.87% 20.47% 2.67%+2.84 +5.7 13
1992-09-19 @ Ekranas L 0-327.2 746 1200 2.67% 20.47% 76.87%-2.84 -5.7 3
1992-09-19 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda D 2-260.6 873 946 39.85% 23.08% 37.07%-0.10 -0.2 5
1992-09-19 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 2-260.6 946 873 37.07% 23.08% 39.85%+0.10 +0.3 5
1992-09-19 Romar Mazeikiai L 1-252.2 888 888 49.41% 23.05% 27.53%+0.30 -27.4 4
1992-09-19 @ Sakalas Siauliai W 2-152.2 888 888 27.53% 23.05% 49.41%-0.30 +27.4 7
1992-09-19 Banga Kaunas L 0-427.9 743 1167 7.61% 21.65% 70.74%-2.07 -20.7 1
1992-09-19 @ Minija Kretinga W 4-027.9 1167 743 70.74% 21.65% 7.61%+2.07 +20.8 13
1992-09-19 Snaige Alytus W 3-030.5 1011 834 65.91% 22.50% 11.58%+1.30 +23.7 7
1992-09-19 @ ALK Neris L 0-330.5 834 1011 11.58% 22.50% 65.91%-1.30 -23.7 5
1992-09-26 Ekranas L 1-337.2 810 1205 8.86% 21.86% 69.28%-1.90 -10.9 5
1992-09-26 @ Snaige Alytus W 3-137.2 1205 810 69.28% 21.86% 8.86%+1.90 +10.9 15
1992-09-26 Sakalas Siauliai W 3-141.1 919 861 56.08% 22.95% 20.98%+0.64 +23.7 9
1992-09-26 @ Gelezinis Vilkas L 1-341.1 861 919 20.98% 22.95% 56.08%-0.64 -23.7 4
1992-09-26 ALK Neris W 3-149.6 873 1035 27.78% 22.96% 49.26%-0.60 +47.3 7
1992-09-26 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 1-349.6 1035 873 49.26% 22.96% 27.78%+0.60 -47.3 7
1992-09-26 Minija Kretinga W 3-027.4 1141 722 76.01% 20.78% 3.20%+2.65 +6.8 13
1992-09-26 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-327.4 722 1141 3.20% 20.78% 76.01%-2.65 -6.8 1
1992-09-26 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda D 0-050.3 916 946 45.66% 23.08% 31.26%+0.14 -2.0 8
1992-09-26 @ Romar Mazeikiai D 0-050.3 946 916 31.26% 23.08% 45.66%-0.14 +2.0 6
1992-09-26 Banga Kaunas L 0-527.4 741 1188 6.74% 21.47% 71.79%-2.20 -22.7 3
1992-09-26 @ Tauras-Karsuva W 5-027.4 1188 741 71.79% 21.47% 6.74%+2.20 +22.7 15
1992-09-26 Panerys W 4-035.7 1250 1272 46.72% 23.08% 30.21%+0.18 +70.0 15
1992-09-26 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-435.7 1272 1250 30.21% 23.08% 46.72%-0.18 -70.0 16
1992-10-03 Ekranas D 0-050.5 1210 1216 48.75% 23.06% 28.19%+0.27 -3.0 16
1992-10-03 @ Banga Kaunas D 0-050.5 1216 1210 28.19% 23.06% 48.75%-0.27 +3.0 16
1992-10-03 Romar Mazeikiai W 1-047.8 715 914 23.62% 22.86% 53.52%-0.80 +31.2 3
1992-10-03 @ Minija Kretinga L 0-147.8 914 715 53.52% 22.86% 23.62%+0.80 -31.2 8
1992-10-03 Inkaras Kaunas D 1-155.0 718 920 23.21% 22.85% 53.94%-0.83 +4.1 4
1992-10-03 @ Tauras-Karsuva D 1-155.0 920 718 53.94% 22.85% 23.21%+0.83 -4.1 8
1992-10-03 Sakalas Siauliai W 4-025.9 1320 837 77.56% 20.17% 2.27%+3.01 +6.3 17
1992-10-03 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-425.9 837 1320 2.27% 20.17% 77.56%-3.01 -6.3 4
1992-10-04 Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-237.7 988 1148 28.03% 22.97% 49.01%-0.59 -34.7 7
1992-10-04 @ ALK Neris W 2-037.7 1148 988 49.01% 22.97% 28.03%+0.59 +34.7 15
1992-10-10 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius W 1-045.1 1219 1327 34.90% 23.06% 42.05%-0.30 +25.3 18
1992-10-10 @ Ekranas L 0-145.1 1327 1219 42.05% 23.06% 34.90%+0.30 -25.3 17
1992-10-10 Panerys L 1-252.6 1207 1202 50.09% 23.05% 26.87%+0.34 -27.8 16
1992-10-10 @ Banga Kaunas W 2-152.6 1202 1207 26.87% 23.05% 50.09%-0.34 +27.8 18
1992-10-10 Gelezinis Vilkas D 0-050.6 1183 943 69.48% 22.16% 8.36%+1.65 -9.9 16
1992-10-10 @ Sirijus Klaipeda D 0-050.6 943 1183 8.36% 22.16% 69.48%-1.65 +9.9 10
1992-10-10 Snaige Alytus L 0-147.8 831 799 53.13% 23.01% 23.87%+0.48 -31.1 4
1992-10-10 @ Sakalas Siauliai W 1-047.8 799 831 23.87% 23.01% 53.13%-0.48 +31.1 7
1992-10-10 Inkaras Kaunas W 3-036.7 883 916 45.20% 23.08% 31.72%+0.12 +55.7 10
1992-10-10 @ Romar Mazeikiai L 0-336.7 916 883 31.72% 23.08% 45.20%-0.12 -55.7 8
1992-10-10 Minija Kretinga W 5-132.5 953 747 67.69% 22.35% 9.95%+1.46 +22.5 9
1992-10-10 @ ALK Neris L 1-532.5 747 953 9.95% 22.35% 67.69%-1.46 -22.5 3
1992-10-11 Tauras-Karsuva W 1-034.3 948 722 68.77% 22.24% 8.99%+1.57 +6.9 8
1992-10-11 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda L 0-134.3 722 948 8.99% 22.24% 68.77%-1.57 -6.9 4
1992-10-18 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda L 1-441.8 830 955 32.62% 23.03% 44.35%-0.39 -48.0 7
1992-10-18 @ Snaige Alytus W 4-141.8 955 830 44.35% 23.03% 32.62%+0.39 +48.0 10
1992-10-18 Sakalas Siauliai W 3-033.4 860 799 56.29% 22.94% 20.77%+0.65 +39.5 10
1992-10-18 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-333.4 799 860 20.77% 22.94% 56.29%-0.65 -39.5 4
1992-10-18 Panerys L 0-242.1 1173 1230 42.00% 23.09% 34.92%-0.01 -47.8 16
1992-10-18 @ Sirijus Klaipeda W 2-042.1 1230 1173 34.92% 23.09% 42.00%+0.01 +47.8 20
1992-10-18 Gelezinis Vilkas W 1-040.6 938 953 47.63% 23.07% 29.30%+0.22 +19.1 12
1992-10-18 @ Romar Mazeikiai L 0-140.6 953 938 29.30% 23.07% 47.63%-0.22 -19.1 10
1992-10-18 Ekranas L 0-626.7 724 1244 4.56% 20.86% 74.58%-2.61 -18.4 3
1992-10-18 @ Minija Kretinga W 6-026.7 1244 724 74.58% 20.86% 4.56%+2.61 +18.4 20
1992-10-18 ALK Neris W 1-049.7 715 976 17.59% 22.63% 59.78%-1.15 +34.8 6
1992-10-18 @ Tauras-Karsuva L 0-149.7 976 715 59.78% 22.63% 17.59%+1.15 -34.8 9
1992-10-18 Banga Kaunas W 4-243.5 1301 1180 61.84% 22.75% 15.41%+0.99 +16.3 19
1992-10-18 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 2-443.5 1180 1301 15.41% 22.75% 61.84%-0.99 -16.3 16
1992-10-22 Sirijus Klaipeda D 0-050.7 1318 1125 66.86% 22.43% 10.71%+1.38 -9.0 20
1992-10-22 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius D 0-050.7 1125 1318 10.71% 22.43% 66.86%-1.38 +9.0 17
1992-10-22 Gelezinis Vilkas D 0-050.3 782 934 29.11% 22.98% 47.91%-0.54 +2.7 8
1992-10-22 @ Snaige Alytus D 0-050.3 934 782 47.91% 22.98% 29.11%+0.54 -2.7 11
1992-10-23 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda D 2-261.0 1278 1003 71.14% 21.93% 6.93%+1.85 -7.0 21
1992-10-23 @ Panerys D 2-261.0 1003 1278 6.93% 21.93% 71.14%-1.85 +7.0 11
1992-10-29 Romar Mazeikiai L 0-335.1 785 957 26.59% 22.94% 50.47%-0.66 -48.3 8
1992-10-29 @ Snaige Alytus W 3-035.1 957 785 50.47% 22.94% 26.59%+0.66 +48.3 14
1992-10-30 Tauras-Karsuva W 2-037.1 760 750 50.70% 23.04% 26.26%+0.36 +33.0 6
1992-10-30 @ Sakalas Siauliai L 0-237.1 750 760 26.26% 23.04% 50.70%-0.36 -33.0 6
1992-11-02 Minija Kretinga W 3-028.5 1010 706 72.34% 21.73% 5.94%+2.01 +12.6 13
1992-11-02 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda L 0-328.5 706 1010 5.94% 21.73% 72.34%-2.01 -12.6 3
1992-11-02 Sirijus Klaipeda D 0-050.4 1163 1134 52.90% 23.01% 24.09%+0.47 -4.2 17
1992-11-02 @ Banga Kaunas D 0-050.4 1134 1163 24.09% 23.01% 52.90%-0.47 +4.2 18
1992-11-02 Inkaras Kaunas D 1-155.0 931 900 53.14% 23.01% 23.85%+0.48 -3.9 12
1992-11-02 @ Gelezinis Vilkas D 1-155.0 900 931 23.85% 23.01% 53.14%-0.48 +3.8 11
1992-11-02 Ekranas L 0-245.0 1271 1263 50.42% 23.04% 26.53%+0.35 -55.9 21
1992-11-02 @ Panerys W 2-045.0 1263 1271 26.53% 23.04% 50.42%-0.35 +55.9 22
1992-11-02 ALK Neris W 2-030.0 1309 941 74.55% 21.23% 4.22%+2.37 +6.2 22
1992-11-02 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-230.0 941 1309 4.22% 21.23% 74.55%-2.37 -6.2 9

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1993-03-24 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius D 0-050.6 1022 1315 15.01% 22.48% 62.51%-1.33 +7.4 1
1993-03-24 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda D 0-050.6 1315 1022 62.51% 22.48% 15.01%+1.33 -7.4 1
1993-03-25 Gelezinis Vilkas W 2-138.0 1319 927 75.25% 21.03% 3.72%+2.50 +2.7 2
1993-03-25 @ Ekranas L 1-238.0 927 1319 3.72% 21.03% 75.25%-2.50 -2.7 0
1993-03-25 Banga Kaunas L 1-251.6 1138 1159 46.86% 23.07% 30.06%+0.19 -26.2 0
1993-03-25 @ Sirijus Klaipeda W 2-151.6 1159 1138 30.06% 23.07% 46.86%-0.19 +26.2 2
1993-03-25 Romar Mazeikiai W 2-140.2 1215 1006 67.85% 22.34% 9.81%+1.48 +7.0 2
1993-03-25 @ Panerys L 1-240.2 1006 1215 9.81% 22.34% 67.85%-1.48 -7.0 0
1993-04-03 Romar Mazeikiai D 1-155.0 1030 999 53.11% 23.01% 23.89%+0.48 -3.8 2
1993-04-03 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda D 1-155.0 999 1030 23.89% 23.01% 53.11%-0.48 +3.8 1
1993-04-04 Panerys W 2-035.0 1321 1222 59.96% 22.83% 17.21%+0.86 +23.2 4
1993-04-04 @ Ekranas L 0-235.0 1222 1321 17.21% 22.83% 59.96%-0.86 -23.2 2
1993-04-04 Banga Kaunas W 2-155.2 925 1185 17.58% 22.63% 59.79%-1.15 +32.8 2
1993-04-04 @ Gelezinis Vilkas L 1-255.2 1185 925 59.79% 22.63% 17.58%+1.15 -32.8 2
1993-04-04 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius D 0-050.6 1112 1307 23.97% 22.87% 53.16%-0.79 +4.3 1
1993-04-04 @ Sirijus Klaipeda D 0-050.6 1307 1112 53.16% 22.87% 23.97%+0.79 -4.3 2
1993-04-08 Sirijus Klaipeda D 1-155.0 957 1116 28.19% 22.97% 48.84%-0.58 +2.7 3
1993-04-08 @ Gelezinis Vilkas D 1-155.0 1116 957 48.84% 22.97% 28.19%+0.58 -2.7 2
1993-04-09 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 1-036.3 1152 1026 62.23% 22.73% 15.04%+1.02 +10.9 4
1993-04-09 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-136.3 1026 1152 15.04% 22.73% 62.23%-1.02 -10.9 2
1993-04-09 Ekranas D 0-050.7 1002 1345 11.66% 22.20% 66.14%-1.61 +8.6 2
1993-04-09 @ Romar Mazeikiai D 0-050.7 1345 1002 66.14% 22.20% 11.66%+1.61 -8.6 5
1993-04-09 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 1-248.4 1199 1303 35.33% 23.06% 41.61%-0.28 -20.9 2
1993-04-09 @ Panerys W 2-148.4 1303 1199 41.61% 23.06% 35.33%+0.28 +20.9 4
1993-04-17 Panerys W 2-152.2 1015 1178 27.71% 22.96% 49.33%-0.61 +27.4 4
1993-04-17 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda L 1-252.2 1178 1015 49.33% 22.96% 27.71%+0.61 -27.3 2
1993-04-17 Ekranas L 0-335.5 1163 1336 26.56% 22.94% 50.51%-0.66 -48.2 4
1993-04-17 @ Banga Kaunas W 3-035.5 1336 1163 50.51% 22.94% 26.56%+0.66 +48.2 7
1993-04-17 Gelezinis Vilkas W 4-026.9 1324 960 74.43% 21.26% 4.31%+2.34 +12.0 6
1993-04-17 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-426.9 960 1324 4.31% 21.26% 74.43%-2.34 -12.0 3
1993-04-18 Romar Mazeikiai W 2-034.3 1114 1011 60.23% 22.82% 16.95%+0.88 +22.8 4
1993-04-18 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-234.3 1011 1114 16.95% 22.82% 60.23%-0.88 -22.9 2
1993-04-20 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda L 1-248.4 948 1042 36.75% 23.07% 40.18%-0.22 -21.5 3
1993-04-20 @ Gelezinis Vilkas W 2-148.4 1042 948 40.18% 23.07% 36.75%+0.22 +21.5 6
1993-04-21 Sirijus Klaipeda W 1-034.5 1384 1137 69.87% 22.11% 8.02%+1.69 +6.2 9
1993-04-21 @ Ekranas L 0-134.5 1137 1384 8.02% 22.11% 69.87%-1.69 -6.2 4
1993-04-21 Panerys D 0-050.3 1115 1150 44.95% 23.08% 31.97%+0.11 -1.8 5
1993-04-21 @ Banga Kaunas D 0-050.3 1150 1115 31.97% 23.08% 44.95%-0.11 +1.8 3
1993-04-21 Romar Mazeikiai W 2-138.4 1336 988 73.91% 21.39% 4.70%+2.25 +3.5 8
1993-04-21 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 1-238.4 988 1336 4.70% 21.39% 73.91%-2.25 -3.5 2
1993-04-25 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 5-027.3 1390 1064 73.18% 21.56% 5.27%+2.13 +18.1 11
1993-04-25 @ Ekranas L 0-527.3 1064 1390 5.27% 21.56% 73.18%-2.13 -18.1 6
1993-04-25 Gelezinis Vilkas W 2-143.7 985 927 56.02% 22.95% 21.03%+0.63 +13.7 4
1993-04-25 @ Romar Mazeikiai L 1-243.7 927 985 21.03% 22.95% 56.02%-0.63 -13.7 3
1993-04-25 Banga Kaunas W 2-032.0 1339 1113 68.78% 22.24% 8.98%+1.57 +12.9 10
1993-04-25 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-232.0 1113 1339 8.98% 22.24% 68.78%-1.57 -12.9 5
1993-04-26 Sirijus Klaipeda D 0-050.4 1152 1130 52.06% 23.02% 24.92%+0.43 -4.0 4
1993-04-26 @ Panerys D 0-050.4 1130 1152 24.92% 23.02% 52.06%-0.43 +4.0 5
1993-05-01 Sirijus Klaipeda L 0-240.6 1046 1134 37.53% 23.07% 39.39%-0.19 -43.7 6
1993-05-01 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 2-040.6 1134 1046 39.39% 23.07% 37.53%+0.19 +43.7 7
1993-05-01 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius W 1-041.0 1408 1352 55.79% 22.95% 21.26%+0.62 +14.7 13
1993-05-01 @ Ekranas L 0-141.0 1352 1408 21.26% 22.95% 55.79%-0.62 -14.7 10
1993-05-01 Romar Mazeikiai W 1-036.9 1100 999 60.16% 22.82% 17.02%+0.88 +12.2 7
1993-05-01 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-136.9 999 1100 17.02% 22.82% 60.16%-0.88 -12.2 4
1993-05-01 Gelezinis Vilkas W 2-031.6 1148 913 69.27% 22.18% 8.54%+1.63 +12.3 6
1993-05-01 @ Panerys L 0-231.6 913 1148 8.54% 22.18% 69.27%-1.63 -12.3 3
1993-05-05 Sirijus Klaipeda D 0-050.3 1113 1178 40.82% 23.09% 36.10%-0.06 -0.7 8
1993-05-05 @ Banga Kaunas D 0-050.3 1178 1113 36.10% 23.09% 40.82%+0.06 +0.6 8
1993-05-05 Ekranas D 1-155.7 900 1423 4.51% 20.84% 74.65%-2.62 +10.4 4
1993-05-05 @ Gelezinis Vilkas D 1-155.7 1423 900 74.65% 20.84% 4.51%+2.62 -10.4 14
1993-05-05 Panerys W 3-042.4 986 1161 26.35% 22.93% 50.72%-0.67 +81.5 6
1993-05-05 @ Romar Mazeikiai L 0-342.4 1161 986 50.72% 22.93% 26.35%+0.67 -81.5 6
1993-05-06 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda D 0-050.9 1338 1002 73.50% 21.49% 5.01%+2.19 -11.4 11
1993-05-06 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius D 0-050.9 1002 1338 5.01% 21.49% 73.50%-2.19 +11.4 7
1993-05-09 Gelezinis Vilkas W 1-034.7 1112 911 67.37% 22.38% 10.25%+1.43 +7.7 10
1993-05-09 @ Banga Kaunas L 0-134.7 911 1112 10.25% 22.38% 67.37%-1.43 -7.7 4
1993-05-09 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 1-038.3 1068 1013 55.63% 22.96% 21.42%+0.61 +14.8 8
1993-05-09 @ Romar Mazeikiai L 0-138.3 1013 1068 21.42% 22.96% 55.63%-0.61 -14.8 7
1993-05-09 Ekranas L 0-135.7 1079 1413 12.19% 22.25% 65.56%-1.56 -9.0 6
1993-05-09 @ Panerys W 1-035.7 1413 1079 65.56% 22.25% 12.19%+1.56 +9.0 16
1993-05-09 Sirijus Klaipeda W 5-030.2 1326 1179 63.84% 22.64% 13.52%+1.13 +43.8 13
1993-05-09 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-530.2 1179 1326 13.52% 22.64% 63.84%-1.13 -43.8 8
1993-05-13 Romar Mazeikiai W 1-033.3 1422 1083 73.62% 21.46% 4.92%+2.20 +3.8 18
1993-05-13 @ Ekranas L 0-133.3 1083 1422 4.92% 21.46% 73.62%-2.20 -3.8 8
1993-05-13 Gelezinis Vilkas W 4-347.2 1135 903 69.08% 22.21% 8.72%+1.60 +5.8 10
1993-05-13 @ Sirijus Klaipeda L 3-447.2 903 1135 8.72% 22.21% 69.08%-1.60 -5.8 4
1993-05-13 Panerys D 0-050.9 1370 1070 72.17% 21.76% 6.07%+1.99 -10.9 14
1993-05-13 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius D 0-050.9 1070 1370 6.07% 21.76% 72.17%-1.99 +10.9 7
1993-05-14 Banga Kaunas W 2-150.6 999 1120 33.06% 23.04% 43.90%-0.37 +24.8 9
1993-05-14 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda L 1-250.6 1120 999 43.90% 23.04% 33.06%+0.37 -24.8 10
1993-05-28 Banga Kaunas W 2-139.0 1426 1095 73.32% 21.53% 5.15%+2.16 +3.8 20
1993-05-28 @ Ekranas L 1-239.0 1095 1426 5.15% 21.53% 73.32%-2.16 -3.8 10
1993-05-28 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 1-238.8 897 1359 6.23% 21.36% 72.42%-2.28 -4.5 4
1993-05-28 @ Gelezinis Vilkas W 2-138.8 1359 897 72.42% 21.36% 6.23%+2.28 +4.5 16
1993-05-28 Sirijus Klaipeda L 1-249.8 1079 1141 41.32% 23.09% 35.59%-0.04 -23.6 8
1993-05-28 @ Romar Mazeikiai W 2-149.8 1141 1079 35.59% 23.09% 41.32%+0.04 +23.6 12
1993-05-28 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 3-033.5 1081 1023 55.97% 22.95% 21.08%+0.63 +40.0 9
1993-05-28 @ Panerys L 0-333.5 1023 1081 21.08% 22.95% 55.97%-0.63 -40.0 9
1993-06-05 Gelezinis Vilkas L 1-255.1 983 893 59.15% 22.86% 17.99%+0.81 -32.5 9
1993-06-05 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 2-155.1 893 983 17.99% 22.86% 59.15%-0.81 +32.5 6
1993-06-06 Ekranas D 1-156.0 1164 1429 17.21% 22.61% 60.18%-1.18 +5.9 13
1993-06-06 @ Sirijus Klaipeda D 1-156.0 1429 1164 60.18% 22.61% 17.21%+1.18 -5.9 21
1993-06-06 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 0-136.1 1055 1364 13.84% 22.39% 63.76%-1.42 -10.1 8
1993-06-06 @ Romar Mazeikiai W 1-036.1 1364 1055 63.76% 22.39% 13.84%+1.42 +10.1 18
1993-06-06 Banga Kaunas W 2-144.6 1121 1091 52.99% 23.01% 24.01%+0.47 +15.3 11
1993-06-06 @ Panerys L 1-244.6 1091 1121 24.01% 23.01% 52.99%-0.47 -15.3 10
1993-06-10 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius L 2-346.8 1076 1374 14.59% 22.45% 62.96%-1.36 -9.5 10
1993-06-10 @ Banga Kaunas W 3-246.8 1374 1076 62.96% 22.45% 14.59%+1.36 +9.5 20
1993-06-10 Romar Mazeikiai L 0-141.8 925 1045 33.23% 23.04% 43.73%-0.36 -21.1 6
1993-06-10 @ Gelezinis Vilkas W 1-041.8 1045 925 43.73% 23.04% 33.23%+0.36 +21.1 10
1993-06-10 Panerys L 3-651.6 1170 1136 53.41% 23.00% 23.59%+0.50 -57.8 13
1993-06-10 @ Sirijus Klaipeda W 6-351.6 1136 1170 23.59% 23.00% 53.41%-0.50 +57.8 13
1993-06-11 Ekranas L 0-230.7 951 1423 5.88% 21.27% 72.85%-2.34 -8.5 9
1993-06-11 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda W 2-030.7 1423 951 72.85% 21.27% 5.88%+2.34 +8.5 23
1993-06-18 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda L 0-248.7 1112 942 65.42% 22.54% 12.04%+1.26 -72.2 13
1993-06-18 @ Sirijus Klaipeda W 2-048.7 942 1112 12.04% 22.54% 65.42%-1.26 +72.2 11
1993-06-19 Panerys L 0-233.7 904 1194 15.20% 22.49% 62.31%-1.32 -20.7 6
1993-06-19 @ Gelezinis Vilkas W 2-033.7 1194 904 62.31% 22.49% 15.20%+1.32 +20.7 15
1993-06-19 Banga Kaunas W 3-143.2 1066 1066 49.45% 23.05% 27.49%+0.31 +29.6 12
1993-06-19 @ Romar Mazeikiai L 1-343.2 1066 1066 27.49% 23.05% 49.45%-0.31 -29.6 10
1993-06-19 Ekranas D 1-158.9 1383 1432 43.16% 23.09% 33.75%+0.03 -1.2 21
1993-06-19 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius D 1-158.9 1432 1383 33.75% 23.09% 43.16%-0.03 +1.2 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1992-08-15 6.94% Inkaras Kaunas 829 1 @ Banga Kaunas 1103 0
2 1992-08-29 8.82% Gelezinis Vilkas 941 1 @ Ekranas 1171 0
3 1992-08-01 11.14% Romar Mazeikiai 911 1 @ ALK Neris 1096 0
4 1993-06-18 12.04% Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 942 2 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1112 0
5 1993-04-04 17.58% @ Gelezinis Vilkas 925 2 Banga Kaunas 1185 1
6 1992-10-18 17.59% @ Tauras-Karsuva 715 1 ALK Neris 976 0
7 1993-06-05 17.99% Gelezinis Vilkas 893 2 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 983 1
8 1993-06-10 23.59% Panerys 1136 6 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1170 3
9 1992-10-03 23.62% @ Minija Kretinga 715 1 Romar Mazeikiai 914 0
10 1992-10-10 23.87% Snaige Alytus 799 1 @ Sakalas Siauliai 831 0
11 1993-05-05 26.35% @ Romar Mazeikiai 986 3 Panerys 1161 0
12 1992-11-02 26.53% Ekranas 1263 2 @ Panerys 1271 0
13 1992-10-10 26.87% Panerys 1202 2 @ Banga Kaunas 1207 1
14 1992-09-11 27.49% Ekranas 1170 1 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1170 0
15 1992-09-19 27.53% Romar Mazeikiai 888 2 @ Sakalas Siauliai 888 1
16 1993-04-17 27.71% @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 1015 2 Panerys 1178 1
17 1992-09-26 27.78% @ Inkaras Kaunas 873 3 ALK Neris 1035 1
18 1992-08-04 29.63% Ekranas 1089 3 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 1072 0
19 1993-03-25 30.06% Banga Kaunas 1159 2 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1138 1
20 1992-08-05 32.53% @ Tauras-Karsuva 753 2 Minija Kretinga 878 1
21 1993-05-14 33.06% @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 999 2 Banga Kaunas 1120 1
22 1992-08-23 34.79% ALK Neris 1051 1 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 995 0
23 1992-10-10 34.90% @ Ekranas 1219 1 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 1327 0
24 1992-10-18 34.92% Panerys 1230 2 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1173 0
25 1993-05-28 35.59% Sirijus Klaipeda 1141 2 @ Romar Mazeikiai 1079 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-05-05 81.46 @ Romar Mazeikiai 3 986 26.35% Panerys 0 1161 50.72% 22.93%
2 1992-08-04 76.65 Ekranas 3 1089 29.63% @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 0 1072 47.30% 23.07%
3 1993-06-18 72.20 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 2 942 12.04% @ Sirijus Klaipeda 0 1112 65.42% 22.54%
4 1992-09-26 69.99 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 4 1250 46.72% Panerys 0 1272 30.21% 23.08%
5 1993-06-10 57.83 Panerys 6 1136 23.59% @ Sirijus Klaipeda 3 1170 53.41% 23.00%
6 1992-11-02 55.85 Ekranas 2 1263 26.53% @ Panerys 0 1271 50.42% 23.04%
7 1992-10-10 55.70 @ Romar Mazeikiai 3 883 45.20% Inkaras Kaunas 0 916 31.72% 23.08%
8 1992-10-29 48.30 Romar Mazeikiai 3 957 50.47% @ Snaige Alytus 0 785 26.59% 22.94%
9 1993-04-17 48.25 Ekranas 3 1336 50.51% @ Banga Kaunas 0 1163 26.56% 22.94%
10 1992-10-18 47.98 Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 4 955 44.35% @ Snaige Alytus 1 830 32.62% 23.03%
11 1992-10-18 47.76 Panerys 2 1230 34.92% @ Sirijus Klaipeda 0 1173 42.00% 23.09%
12 1992-09-26 47.32 @ Inkaras Kaunas 3 873 27.78% ALK Neris 1 1035 49.26% 22.96%
13 1992-09-11 44.64 Banga Kaunas 4 1122 47.21% @ Gelezinis Vilkas 1 976 29.79% 23.00%
14 1993-05-09 43.84 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 5 1326 63.84% Sirijus Klaipeda 0 1179 13.52% 22.64%
15 1993-05-01 43.72 Sirijus Klaipeda 2 1134 39.39% @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 0 1046 37.53% 23.07%
16 1992-08-01 43.11 Panerys 3 1124 53.99% @ Minija Kretinga 0 922 23.16% 22.85%
17 1992-08-15 41.89 Inkaras Kaunas 1 829 6.94% @ Banga Kaunas 0 1103 71.12% 21.93%
18 1992-08-29 41.16 @ Inkaras Kaunas 3 859 55.19% Minija Kretinga 0 809 21.84% 22.97%
19 1992-08-29 40.52 Gelezinis Vilkas 1 941 8.82% @ Ekranas 0 1171 68.96% 22.22%
20 1992-09-05 40.35 @ Ekranas 3 1130 55.72% ALK Neris 0 1075 21.33% 22.95%
21 1993-05-28 39.96 @ Panerys 3 1081 55.97% Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 0 1023 21.08% 22.95%
22 1992-10-18 39.46 @ Inkaras Kaunas 3 860 56.29% Sakalas Siauliai 0 799 20.77% 22.94%
23 1992-08-22 39.39 Banga Kaunas 2 1061 44.12% @ Romar Mazeikiai 0 939 32.84% 23.04%
24 1992-08-01 38.90 Romar Mazeikiai 1 911 11.14% @ ALK Neris 0 1096 66.39% 22.47%
25 1992-08-05 38.22 Panerys 6 1167 63.15% @ Inkaras Kaunas 1 867 14.41% 22.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1992-10-23 61.0 @ Panerys 2 1278 71.14% Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 2 1003 6.93% 21.93%
2 1992-09-19 60.6 @ Inkaras Kaunas 2 873 39.85% Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 2 946 37.07% 23.08%
3 1993-06-19 58.9 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 1 1383 43.16% Ekranas 1 1432 33.75% 23.09%
4 1993-06-06 56.0 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1164 17.21% Ekranas 1 1429 60.18% 22.61%
5 1993-05-05 55.7 @ Gelezinis Vilkas 1 900 4.51% Ekranas 1 1423 74.65% 20.84%
6 1992-09-05 55.2 @ Sakalas Siauliai 1 857 13.05% Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1178 64.62% 22.33%
7 1993-04-04 55.2 @ Gelezinis Vilkas 2 925 17.58% Banga Kaunas 1 1185 59.79% 22.63%
8 1992-08-15 55.1 @ Romar Mazeikiai 1 934 20.18% Ekranas 1 1166 57.08% 22.74%
9 1993-06-05 55.1 Gelezinis Vilkas 2 893 17.99% @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 1 983 59.15% 22.86%
10 1992-08-05 55.0 @ Gelezinis Vilkas 1 906 29.15% ALK Neris 1 1057 47.87% 22.99%
11 1992-08-15 55.0 @ Sakalas Siauliai 1 872 25.37% ALK Neris 1 1055 51.73% 22.91%
12 1992-08-29 55.0 @ ALK Neris 1 1077 46.44% Banga Kaunas 1 1101 30.49% 23.08%
13 1992-10-03 55.0 @ Tauras-Karsuva 1 718 23.21% Inkaras Kaunas 1 920 53.94% 22.85%
14 1992-11-02 55.0 @ Gelezinis Vilkas 1 931 53.14% Inkaras Kaunas 1 900 23.85% 23.01%
15 1993-04-03 55.0 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 1 1030 53.11% Romar Mazeikiai 1 999 23.89% 23.01%
16 1993-04-08 55.0 @ Gelezinis Vilkas 1 957 28.19% Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1116 48.84% 22.97%
17 1992-08-15 52.9 Inkaras Kaunas 1 829 6.94% @ Banga Kaunas 0 1103 71.12% 21.93%
18 1992-10-10 52.6 Panerys 2 1202 26.87% @ Banga Kaunas 1 1207 50.09% 23.05%
19 1992-08-29 52.3 Gelezinis Vilkas 1 941 8.82% @ Ekranas 0 1171 68.96% 22.22%
20 1992-09-19 52.2 Romar Mazeikiai 2 888 27.53% @ Sakalas Siauliai 1 888 49.41% 23.05%
21 1993-04-17 52.2 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 2 1015 27.71% Panerys 1 1178 49.33% 22.96%
22 1992-08-01 51.6 Romar Mazeikiai 1 911 11.14% @ ALK Neris 0 1096 66.39% 22.47%
23 1993-03-25 51.6 Banga Kaunas 2 1159 30.06% @ Sirijus Klaipeda 1 1138 46.86% 23.07%
24 1993-06-10 51.6 Panerys 6 1136 23.59% @ Sirijus Klaipeda 3 1170 53.41% 23.00%
25 1993-05-06 50.9 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 0 1338 73.50% Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 0 1002 5.01% 21.49%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1992-10-03 25.9 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 4 1320 77.56% Sakalas Siauliai 0 837 2.27% 20.17%
2 1992-08-23 26.0 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 4 1240 77.16% Tauras-Karsuva 0 775 2.49% 20.35%
3 1992-10-18 26.7 Ekranas 6 1244 74.58% @ Minija Kretinga 0 724 4.56% 20.86%
4 1993-04-17 26.9 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 4 1324 74.43% Gelezinis Vilkas 0 960 4.31% 21.26%
5 1992-09-05 27.2 @ Panerys 4 1223 73.35% Romar Mazeikiai 0 891 5.13% 21.52%
6 1992-09-19 27.2 @ Ekranas 3 1200 76.87% Tauras-Karsuva 0 746 2.67% 20.47%
7 1993-04-25 27.3 @ Ekranas 5 1390 73.18% Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 0 1064 5.27% 21.56%
8 1992-09-26 27.4 @ Sirijus Klaipeda 3 1141 76.01% Minija Kretinga 0 722 3.20% 20.78%
9 1992-09-26 27.4 Banga Kaunas 5 1188 71.79% @ Tauras-Karsuva 0 741 6.74% 21.47%
10 1992-09-19 27.9 Banga Kaunas 4 1167 70.74% @ Minija Kretinga 0 743 7.61% 21.65%
11 1992-11-02 28.5 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 3 1010 72.34% Minija Kretinga 0 706 5.94% 21.73%
12 1992-08-05 28.8 Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 4 1201 67.78% @ Snaige Alytus 0 833 10.18% 22.04%
13 1992-08-01 29.1 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 3 1185 70.64% Gelezinis Vilkas 0 922 7.35% 22.01%
14 1992-08-23 29.6 @ Panerys 2 1210 75.82% Snaige Alytus 0 798 3.33% 20.85%
15 1992-11-02 30.0 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 2 1309 74.55% ALK Neris 0 941 4.22% 21.23%
16 1993-05-09 30.2 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 5 1326 63.84% Sirijus Klaipeda 0 1179 13.52% 22.64%
17 1992-09-19 30.5 @ ALK Neris 3 1011 65.91% Snaige Alytus 0 834 11.58% 22.50%
18 1993-06-11 30.7 Ekranas 2 1423 72.85% @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 0 951 5.88% 21.27%
19 1992-08-01 30.8 Sirijus Klaipeda 3 1104 64.94% @ Tauras-Karsuva 0 779 12.75% 22.30%
20 1992-08-22 30.9 @ Ekranas 2 1161 71.59% Sakalas Siauliai 0 875 6.55% 21.86%
21 1992-09-18 30.9 @ Panerys 5 1260 73.25% Gelezinis Vilkas 1 931 5.20% 21.54%
22 1992-08-01 31.6 @ Granitas-Aras Klaipeda 3 1042 62.14% Sakalas Siauliai 0 917 15.13% 22.73%
23 1992-08-01 31.6 @ Banga Kaunas 2 1076 69.04% Snaige Alytus 0 845 8.75% 22.21%
24 1993-05-01 31.6 @ Panerys 2 1148 69.27% Gelezinis Vilkas 0 913 8.54% 22.18%
25 1993-04-25 32.0 @ Zalgiris-EBSW Vilnius 2 1339 68.78% Banga Kaunas 0 1113 8.98% 22.24%