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1995-96 A Lyga Season

203 games

Final

Champion

Zalgiris

40 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Zalgiris

7.69 points above expected

40 points · 32.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Alsa Vilnius

9.21 points below expected

3 points · 12.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zalgiris 14 13 1 0 40 63 7 +56 32.31 +7.69
2 Inkaras Kaunas 14 12 2 0 38 37 7 +30 33.94 +4.06
3 Kareda Siauliai 14 11 0 3 33 35 10 +25 26.87 +6.13
4 PSK Aras Klaipeda 14 10 1 3 31 31 10 +21 26.04 +4.96
5 FBK Kaunas 14 9 1 4 28 33 15 +18 26.04 +1.96
6 Panerys 14 8 0 6 24 28 16 +12 24.61 -0.61
7 Ekranas 14 6 2 6 20 29 25 +4 20.56 -0.56
8 Zalgiris B 14 5 3 6 18 22 21 +1 18.35 -0.35
9 JR Klaipeda 14 5 1 8 16 12 25 -13 13.19 +2.81
10 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 14 3 3 8 12 13 25 -12 17.37 -5.37
11 Banga Gargzdai 14 3 3 8 12 14 33 -19 15.78 -3.78
12 Tauras Taurage 14 3 1 10 10 8 45 -37 4.37 +5.63
13 Mastis Telsiai 14 2 3 9 9 15 40 -25 15.94 -6.94
14 FK Ukmerge 14 2 3 9 9 7 34 -27 9.66 -0.66
15 Alsa Vilnius 14 1 0 13 3 4 38 -34 12.21 -9.21
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Inkaras Kaunas 14 12 1 1 37 30 2 +28 66.53 -29.53
2 Kareda Siauliai 14 11 2 1 35 32 7 +25 52.95 -17.95
3 Zalgiris 14 9 3 2 30 43 15 +28 71.28 -41.28
4 Banga Gargzdai 12 8 2 2 26 17 11 +6 29.27 -3.27
5 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 12 8 0 4 24 24 11 +13 32.73 -8.73
6 Tauras Taurage 12 5 6 1 21 9 3 +6 24.26 -3.26
7 FK Ukmerge 12 5 2 5 17 18 15 +3 22.32 -5.32
8 FBK Kaunas 14 5 2 7 17 15 20 -5 45.24 -28.24
9 Panerys 14 5 2 7 17 12 31 -19 37.53 -20.53
10 Alsa Vilnius 12 2 6 4 12 9 10 -1 13.44 -1.44
11 Mastis Telsiai 12 2 5 5 11 13 14 -1 31.53 -20.53
12 Ekranas 14 1 6 7 9 10 21 -11 32.51 -23.51
13 PSK Aras Klaipeda 14 2 3 9 9 11 24 -13 53.23 -44.23
14 JR Klaipeda 12 0 3 9 3 3 29 -26 36.02 -33.02
15 Zalgiris B 14 0 3 11 3 6 39 -33 31.04 -28.04

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zalgiris 40 32.31 +7.69
2 Kareda Siauliai 33 26.87 +6.13
3 Tauras Taurage 10 4.37 +5.63
4 PSK Aras Klaipeda 31 26.04 +4.96
5 Inkaras Kaunas 38 33.94 +4.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Alsa Vilnius 3 12.21 -9.21
2 Mastis Telsiai 9 15.94 -6.94
3 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 12 17.37 -5.37
4 Banga Gargzdai 12 15.78 -3.78
5 FK Ukmerge 9 9.66 -0.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zalgiris 11 Aug 3 – Nov 10 1 in 29
2 PSK Aras Klaipeda 4 Sep 17 – Oct 14 1 in 28
3 Tauras Taurage 1 Sep 4 – Sep 4 1 in 22
4 Kareda Siauliai 6 Jul 20 – Sep 10 1 in 9
5 Banga Gargzdai 2 Aug 19 – Sep 9 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alsa Vilnius 8 Sep 4 – Oct 11 1 in 1,266
2 Banga Gargzdai 6 Oct 1 – Nov 11 1 in 20
3 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 5 Aug 3 – Sep 9 1 in 20
4 Mastis Telsiai 5 Jul 27 – Sep 10 1 in 13
5 Zalgiris B 4 Jul 16 – Aug 5 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Banga Gargzdai 6 Aug 3 – Sep 23 1 in 15
2 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 4 Sep 17 – Oct 13 1 in 10
3 FK Ukmerge 2 Sep 17 – Sep 23 1 in 9
4 Tauras Taurage 2 Sep 23 – Oct 1 1 in 9
5 Zalgiris 14 Jul 16 – Nov 10 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alsa Vilnius 8 Sep 4 – Oct 11 1 in 37
2 Banga Gargzdai 8 Sep 17 – Nov 11 1 in 33
3 Mastis Telsiai 9 Jul 27 – Oct 7 1 in 31
4 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 9 Jul 15 – Sep 17 1 in 28
5 Ekranas 3 Jul 25 – Aug 12 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Inkaras Kaunas 1892 75 +31 12 10.9 +1.1
Zalgiris 1777 70 -15 10 10.0 +0.0
Kareda Siauliai 1780 68 +33 12 9.9 +2.1
FBK Kaunas 1453 45 -51 4 7.2 -3.2
Panerys 1350 41 +44 8 5.5 +2.5
PSK Aras Klaipeda 1396 40 -1 4 4.0 +0.0
Banga Gargzdai 1210 38 +191 15 7.4 +7.6
Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1179 36 -47 9 10.9 -1.9
Tauras Taurage 1146 31 +93 10 8.4 +1.6
Ekranas 1292 29 +1 5 5.6 -0.6
FK Ukmerge 1015 26 -24 6 7.0 -1.0
Zalgiris B 1183 21 -41 1 3.4 -2.4
Mastis Telsiai 999 20 -146 4 9.0 -5.0
JR Klaipeda 728 19 -123 1 3.2 -2.2
Alsa Vilnius 933 15 +71 7 4.2 +2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AV BG EKR FK FU IK JK KS LV MT PAK PAN TT ZAL ZB
Alsa Vilnius —
1-0-0
0.70
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
0.42
0-0-1
1.85
0-0-1
0.15
0-0-1
1.78
0-0-1
0.47
0-0-1
0.53
0-0-1
1.48
0-0-1
0.56
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
2.54
0-0-1
0.14
0-0-1
0.42
Banga Gargzdai
0-0-1
2.12
 —
0-0-1
0.74
0-0-1
0.37
1-0-0
1.66
0-0-1
0.26
0-1-0
1.10
0-0-1
0.36
1-0-0
1.14
0-1-0
1.75
0-0-1
0.67
0-0-1
0.49
0-1-0
2.45
0-0-1
0.22
1-0-0
1.45
Ekranas
1-0-0
2.12
1-0-0
2.08
 —
0-0-1
1.11
0-1-0
2.08
0-0-1
0.33
0-0-1
1.86
0-0-1
0.78
1-0-0
1.56
1-0-0
1.90
1-0-0
0.56
0-0-1
1.14
1-0-0
2.54
0-0-1
0.33
0-1-0
1.90
FBK Kaunas
1-0-0
2.41
1-0-0
2.46
1-0-0
1.70
 —
1-0-0
2.55
0-1-0
0.62
0-0-1
2.33
0-0-1
1.27
1-0-0
2.33
1-0-0
1.99
0-0-1
1.42
1-0-0
1.87
1-0-0
2.65
0-0-1
0.89
1-0-0
1.53
FK Ukmerge
1-0-0
0.97
0-0-1
1.15
0-1-0
0.74
0-0-1
0.29
 —
0-0-1
0.15
1-0-0
1.06
0-0-1
0.47
0-1-0
0.60
0-1-0
0.67
0-0-1
0.20
0-0-1
0.47
0-0-1
1.73
0-0-1
0.15
0-0-1
1.25
Inkaras Kaunas
1-0-0
2.72
1-0-0
2.59
1-0-0
2.51
0-1-0
2.21
1-0-0
2.72
 —
1-0-0
2.63
1-0-0
2.15
1-0-0
2.35
1-0-0
2.60
1-0-0
2.09
1-0-0
2.14
1-0-0
2.70
0-1-0
1.76
1-0-0
2.50
JR Klaipeda
1-0-0
1.04
0-1-0
1.72
1-0-0
0.96
1-0-0
0.49
0-0-1
1.76
0-0-1
0.22
 —
0-0-1
0.60
0-0-1
1.59
1-0-0
1.28
0-0-1
0.35
0-0-1
0.67
1-0-0
2.28
0-0-1
0.22
0-0-1
1.13
Kareda Siauliai
1-0-0
2.35
1-0-0
2.48
1-0-0
2.04
1-0-0
1.55
1-0-0
2.35
0-0-1
0.67
1-0-0
2.22
 —
1-0-0
2.02
1-0-0
2.17
0-0-1
1.46
1-0-0
1.88
1-0-0
2.64
0-0-1
0.79
1-0-0
2.10
Lokomotyvas Vilnius
1-0-0
2.29
0-0-1
1.67
0-0-1
1.26
0-0-1
0.50
0-1-0
2.23
0-0-1
0.48
1-0-0
1.23
0-0-1
0.80
 —
1-0-0
0.97
0-1-0
0.64
0-0-1
1.10
0-0-1
2.32
0-0-1
0.38
0-1-0
1.11
Mastis Telsiai
1-0-0
1.34
0-1-0
1.06
0-0-1
0.92
0-0-1
0.83
0-1-0
2.16
0-0-1
0.24
0-0-1
1.54
0-0-1
0.65
0-0-1
1.85
 —
0-0-1
0.93
0-0-1
0.80
1-0-0
2.52
0-0-1
0.27
0-1-0
0.67
PSK Aras Klaipeda
1-0-0
2.27
1-0-0
2.15
0-0-1
2.26
1-0-0
1.40
1-0-0
2.65
0-0-1
0.73
1-0-0
2.48
1-0-0
1.36
0-1-0
2.18
1-0-0
1.89
 —
1-0-0
1.16
1-0-0
2.67
0-0-1
0.68
1-0-0
2.01
Panerys
1-0-0
2.12
1-0-0
2.33
1-0-0
1.67
0-0-1
0.95
1-0-0
2.36
0-0-1
0.69
1-0-0
2.15
0-0-1
0.93
1-0-0
1.72
1-0-0
2.02
0-0-1
1.65
 —
1-0-0
2.67
0-0-1
0.85
0-0-1
2.09
Tauras Taurage
1-0-0
0.30
0-1-0
0.39
0-0-1
0.29
0-0-1
0.20
1-0-0
1.09
0-0-1
0.17
0-0-1
0.54
0-0-1
0.21
1-0-0
0.50
0-0-1
0.32
0-0-1
0.19
0-0-1
0.19
 —
0-0-1
0.15
0-0-1
0.35
Zalgiris
1-0-0
2.74
1-0-0
2.63
1-0-0
2.50
1-0-0
1.93
1-0-0
2.72
0-1-0
1.06
1-0-0
2.63
1-0-0
2.03
1-0-0
2.45
1-0-0
2.57
1-0-0
2.14
1-0-0
1.97
1-0-0
2.72
 —
1-0-0
2.24
Zalgiris B
1-0-0
2.41
0-0-1
1.37
0-1-0
0.91
0-0-1
1.29
1-0-0
1.57
0-0-1
0.33
1-0-0
1.69
0-0-1
0.72
0-1-0
1.71
0-1-0
2.15
0-0-1
0.81
1-0-0
0.73
1-0-0
2.48
0-0-1
0.58
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.86 +6.9
Allowed 0.87 -8.6
Differential 0.94 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.40%8.37%7.88%4.68%1.72%4.43%33.50%
18.37%7.88%6.40%2.46%0.99%1.72%27.83%
27.88%6.40%2.96%1.23%0.49%0.74%19.70%
34.68%2.46%1.23%—0.25%—8.62%
41.72%0.99%0.49%0.25%——3.45%
5+4.43%1.72%0.74%———6.90%
Total33.50%27.83%19.70%8.62%3.45%6.90%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.49 1.49 +0.00
SD 1.72 1.72 2.76
CV 1.16 1.16 —
Max 14 14 +13
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 203

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%15.38%7.69%—7.69%61.54%
1—15.38%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%46.15%23.08%11.54%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.85 -1.35
SD 0.71 1.91 2.21
CV 1.41 1.04 —
Max 2 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—11.54%3.85%3.85%26.92%
115.38%15.38%3.85%———34.62%
2—19.23%—3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%7.69%15.38%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.69 -0.50
SD 0.94 1.57 1.96
CV 0.79 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%7.14%3.57%—3.57%25.00%
13.57%14.29%14.29%7.14%——39.29%
23.57%3.57%14.29%———21.43%
33.57%—7.14%———10.71%
4———————
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total14.29%28.57%42.86%10.71%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.64 -0.25
SD 1.45 1.10 2.12
CV 1.04 0.67 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%7.14%3.57%——25.00%
17.14%3.57%10.71%———21.43%
210.71%7.14%3.57%3.57%—3.57%28.57%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total28.57%35.71%25.00%7.14%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.25 +0.46
SD 1.49 1.17 1.99
CV 0.87 0.94 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%15.38%—11.54%7.69%53.85%
13.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—19.23%
27.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total23.08%23.08%30.77%—15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.88 -0.92
SD 1.43 1.68 2.46
CV 1.48 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%3.57%————14.29%
110.71%—————10.71%
225.00%7.14%————32.14%
310.71%10.71%————21.43%
47.14%—3.57%———10.71%
5+7.14%3.57%————10.71%
Total71.43%25.00%3.57%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.39 0.32 +2.07
SD 1.57 0.55 1.56
CV 0.66 1.70 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%15.38%15.38%—11.54%57.69%
13.85%7.69%7.69%—3.85%3.85%26.92%
27.69%7.69%————15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%23.08%23.08%15.38%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 2.08 -1.50
SD 0.76 1.67 2.08
CV 1.31 0.80 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
121.43%3.57%3.57%3.57%——32.14%
27.14%3.57%————10.71%
314.29%7.14%3.57%———25.00%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+10.71%—3.57%———14.29%
Total60.71%21.43%14.29%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.39 0.61 +1.79
SD 1.83 0.88 2.15
CV 0.77 1.44 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
111.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%11.54%—7.69%—3.85%26.92%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%34.62%19.23%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.38 +0.04
SD 1.39 1.27 1.97
CV 0.98 0.92 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
13.85%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%46.15%
2——3.85%———3.85%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total26.92%23.08%23.08%11.54%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 2.08 -1.00
SD 1.49 2.81 3.39
CV 1.39 1.35 —
Max 6 14 +6
Min 0 0 -13

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%10.71%3.57%3.57%——25.00%
110.71%7.14%10.71%3.57%—7.14%39.29%
214.29%—————14.29%
33.57%3.57%——3.57%—10.71%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total46.43%21.43%14.29%7.14%3.57%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.21 +0.29
SD 1.45 1.55 2.37
CV 0.97 1.27 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%7.14%3.57%7.14%32.14%
17.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%—21.43%
210.71%14.29%3.57%3.57%——32.14%
37.14%—————7.14%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total32.14%25.00%14.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.68 -0.25
SD 1.43 1.79 2.85
CV 1.00 1.06 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%7.69%—3.85%19.23%53.85%
115.38%11.54%————26.92%
215.38%———3.85%—19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%19.23%7.69%—7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.65 1.85 -1.19
SD 0.80 2.46 2.88
CV 1.22 1.33 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—3.57%———7.14%
110.71%7.14%—3.57%——21.43%
2—7.14%3.57%———10.71%
310.71%—3.57%———14.29%
47.14%——3.57%——10.71%
5+17.86%14.29%3.57%———35.71%
Total50.00%28.57%14.29%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.79 0.79 +3.00
SD 3.15 0.96 3.40
CV 0.83 1.22 —
Max 14 3 +13
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%14.29%10.71%10.71%—7.14%46.43%
1—7.14%10.71%——7.14%25.00%
27.14%—10.71%———17.86%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
4———————
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total17.86%25.00%32.14%10.71%—14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.14 -1.14
SD 1.25 2.10 2.76
CV 1.25 0.98 —
Max 5 9 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Inkaras Kaunas 1892 38 33.94 +4.06 89.0% 17 26 32 34 37 40 42
Kareda Siauliai 1780 33 26.87 +6.13 92.0% 15 19 24 27 30 34 39
Zalgiris 1777 40 32.31 +7.69 99.0% 20 25 29 33 35 38 42
FBK Kaunas 1453 28 26.04 +1.96 67.0% 11 17 23 26 30 34 36
PSK Aras Klaipeda 1396 31 26.04 +4.96 93.0% 15 20 23 26 29 32 37
Panerys 1350 24 24.61 -0.61 50.0% 10 18 21 24 28 34 36
Ekranas 1292 20 20.56 -0.56 52.0% 12 14 17 20 24 27 31
Banga Gargzdai 1210 12 15.78 -3.78 19.0% 4 10 14 15 18 22 27
Zalgiris B 1183 18 18.35 -0.35 53.0% 5 8 15 18 22 27 29
Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1179 12 17.37 -5.37 19.0% 8 10 13 17 20 26 30
Tauras Taurage 1146 10 4.37 +5.63 100.0% 0 1 2 4 6 9 10
FK Ukmerge 1015 9 9.66 -0.66 47.0% 1 4 7 10 12 15 18
Mastis Telsiai 999 9 15.94 -6.94 3.0% 9 10 13 16 18 22 24
Alsa Vilnius 933 3 12.21 -9.21 0.0% 4 6 9 12 14 19 22
JR Klaipeda 728 16 13.19 +2.81 83.0% 4 7 11 13 16 19 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.87%
Clear Edge
45.81%17.24%36.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 30.89 Elo pts.
160 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Zalgiris, 2nd of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.36 * Some Luck: 3.36 to 5.04 * Lucky: 5.04 to 6.71 * Wild Swing: 6.71 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.81 * Off: 1.81 to 2.41 * Way Off: 2.41 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.87 points
Some Luck
04.2010
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.514
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
100.00%
Tauras Taurage
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
0.00%
Alsa Vilnius
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.31
Lopsided
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 288.19
2.24
Coin-Flip Parity
12.52.853.5
Interquartile Edge
92%
Wide Edge
50%77.5%86.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Few
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Very Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.48
Highly Predictable
00.492
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.70
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Strong Carryover
00.650.811
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.38
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1080.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415
Zalgiris36.00%32.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%————————
Inkaras Kaunas47.00%35.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%——1.00%——————
Kareda Siauliai8.00%9.00%22.00%20.00%14.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—————
PSK Aras Klaipeda3.00%6.00%19.00%24.00%19.00%16.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
FBK Kaunas4.00%10.00%12.00%23.00%20.00%12.00%9.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Panerys2.00%6.00%15.00%8.00%18.00%18.00%17.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——1.00%—
Ekranas——4.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%19.00%23.00%9.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%———
Zalgiris B—1.00%1.00%2.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%—
JR Klaipeda——————3.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%20.00%20.00%11.00%—
Lokomotyvas Vilnius—1.00%—4.00%2.00%10.00%11.00%17.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%1.00%—
Banga Gargzdai———1.00%—2.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%15.00%17.00%11.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%
Tauras Taurage————————————2.00%12.00%86.00%
Mastis Telsiai—————4.00%4.00%9.00%22.00%15.00%19.00%12.00%13.00%2.00%—
FK Ukmerge———————2.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%21.00%42.00%9.00%
Alsa Vilnius————1.00%—1.00%2.00%2.00%13.00%12.00%19.00%22.00%24.00%4.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Ekranas 100% —
FBK Kaunas 100% —
Inkaras Kaunas 100% —
Kareda Siauliai 100% —
PSK Aras Klaipeda 100% —
Panerys 100% —
Zalgiris 100% —
Zalgiris B 99.00% 1.00%
Mastis Telsiai 97.00% 3.00%
Lokomotyvas Vilnius 96.00% 4.00%
JR Klaipeda 91.00% 9.00%
Banga Gargzdai 89.00% 11.00%
Alsa Vilnius 51.00% 49.00%
FK Ukmerge 48.00% 52.00%
Tauras Taurage 29.00% 71.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Ekranas 100% —
FBK Kaunas 100% —
Inkaras Kaunas 100% —
Kareda Siauliai 100% —
PSK Aras Klaipeda 100% —
Panerys 100% —
Zalgiris 100% —
Zalgiris B 100% —
JR Klaipeda 95.38% 4.62%
Lokomotyvas Vilnius 92.10% 7.90%
Mastis Telsiai 91.75% 8.25%
Banga Gargzdai 83.78% 16.22%
Tauras Taurage 66.63% 33.37%
FK Ukmerge 56.07% 43.93%
Alsa Vilnius 14.29% 85.71%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1995-07-15 Inkaras Kaunas L 1-343.8 1299 1639 10.15% 17.35% 72.49%-1.93 -13.6 0
1995-07-15 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 3-143.8 1639 1299 72.49% 17.35% 10.15%+1.93 +13.6 3
1995-07-16 PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-332.7 1141 1384 16.50% 17.84% 65.66%-1.32 -36.0 0
1995-07-16 @ Banga Gargzdai W 3-032.7 1384 1141 65.66% 17.84% 16.50%+1.32 +36.0 3
1995-07-16 Ekranas W 3-143.9 1340 1299 50.75% 18.23% 31.01%+0.45 +37.4 3
1995-07-16 @ FBK Kaunas L 1-343.9 1299 1340 31.01% 18.23% 50.75%-0.45 -37.4 0
1995-07-16 Mastis Telsiai L 0-131.2 826 1299 5.05% 16.45% 78.50%-2.76 -4.2 0
1995-07-16 @ Tauras Taurage W 1-031.2 1299 826 78.50% 16.45% 5.05%+2.76 +4.2 3
1995-07-16 Zalgiris L 0-139.9 1299 1583 13.46% 17.65% 68.89%-1.58 -10.9 0
1995-07-16 @ Zalgiris B W 1-039.9 1583 1299 68.89% 17.65% 13.46%+1.58 +10.9 3
1995-07-19 Panerys L 0-239.4 1285 1393 30.45% 18.22% 51.33%-0.48 -42.6 0
1995-07-19 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 2-039.4 1393 1285 51.33% 18.22% 30.45%+0.48 +42.6 3
1995-07-20 Zalgiris B W 1-038.4 1420 1288 61.15% 18.02% 20.84%+1.02 +16.2 6
1995-07-20 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-138.4 1288 1420 20.84% 18.02% 61.15%-1.02 -16.2 0
1995-07-20 Banga Gargzdai W 3-244.6 1261 1105 63.43% 17.94% 18.63%+1.17 +13.1 3
1995-07-20 @ Ekranas L 2-344.6 1105 1261 18.63% 17.94% 63.43%-1.17 -13.1 0
1995-07-20 JR Klaipeda L 1-256.2 1378 1108 72.00% 17.40% 10.60%+1.88 -46.2 3
1995-07-20 @ FBK Kaunas W 2-156.2 1108 1378 10.60% 17.40% 72.00%-1.88 +46.2 3
1995-07-20 FK Ukmerge W 2-031.7 1352 1071 72.64% 17.34% 10.02%+1.94 +15.5 3
1995-07-20 @ Kareda Siauliai L 0-231.7 1071 1352 10.02% 17.34% 72.64%-1.94 -15.5 0
1995-07-20 Tauras Taurage W 7-024.3 1594 822 86.22% 13.06% 0.72%+5.01 +3.4 6
1995-07-20 @ Zalgiris L 0-724.3 822 1594 0.72% 13.06% 86.22%-5.01 -3.4 0
1995-07-25 Lokomotyvas Vilnius D 0-052.4 1437 1243 66.69% 17.79% 15.53%+1.40 -9.5 7
1995-07-25 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda D 0-052.4 1243 1437 15.53% 17.79% 66.69%-1.40 +9.5 1
1995-07-25 Zalgiris D 0-068.0 1653 1598 52.46% 18.21% 29.33%+0.54 -4.0 4
1995-07-25 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 0-068.0 1598 1653 29.33% 18.21% 52.46%-0.54 +4.0 7
1995-07-25 JR Klaipeda W 3-031.9 1368 1154 68.24% 17.69% 14.06%+1.53 +31.0 6
1995-07-25 @ Kareda Siauliai L 0-331.9 1154 1368 14.06% 17.69% 68.24%-1.53 -31.0 3
1995-07-25 Ekranas D 2-259.0 1056 1274 18.57% 17.93% 63.50%-1.17 +5.5 1
1995-07-25 @ FK Ukmerge D 2-259.0 1274 1056 63.50% 17.93% 18.57%+1.17 -5.5 4
1995-07-25 FBK Kaunas L 1-641.0 1272 1331 36.83% 18.28% 44.90%-0.18 -96.7 0
1995-07-25 @ Zalgiris B W 6-141.0 1331 1272 44.90% 18.28% 36.83%+0.18 +96.7 6
1995-07-27 Mastis Telsiai W 2-037.3 1436 1303 61.17% 18.02% 20.81%+1.02 +30.5 6
1995-07-27 @ Panerys L 0-237.3 1303 1436 20.81% 18.02% 61.17%-1.02 -30.5 3
1995-08-03 FK Ukmerge W 2-144.1 1092 1061 49.38% 18.25% 32.38%+0.38 +22.4 3
1995-08-03 @ Banga Gargzdai L 1-244.1 1061 1092 32.38% 18.25% 49.38%-0.38 -22.4 1
1995-08-03 PSK Aras Klaipeda L 1-342.6 1273 1427 24.93% 18.13% 56.94%-0.77 -31.0 3
1995-08-03 @ Mastis Telsiai W 3-142.6 1427 1273 56.94% 18.13% 24.93%+0.77 +31.0 10
1995-08-03 Tauras Taurage W 6-024.8 1466 818 84.25% 14.33% 1.42%+4.24 +6.0 9
1995-08-03 @ Panerys L 0-624.8 818 1466 1.42% 14.33% 84.25%-4.24 -5.9 0
1995-08-03 Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 5-241.9 1602 1252 76.09% 16.90% 7.01%+2.37 +11.6 10
1995-08-03 @ Zalgiris L 2-541.9 1252 1602 7.01% 16.90% 76.09%-2.37 -11.6 1
1995-08-05 Kareda Siauliai L 0-333.5 1175 1399 18.13% 17.92% 63.96%-1.20 -39.2 0
1995-08-05 @ Zalgiris B W 3-033.5 1399 1175 63.96% 17.92% 18.13%+1.20 +39.2 9
1995-08-06 Ekranas W 2-151.4 1123 1269 25.86% 18.15% 55.99%-0.72 +35.9 6
1995-08-06 @ JR Klaipeda L 1-251.4 1269 1123 55.99% 18.15% 25.86%+0.72 -35.9 4
1995-08-11 Banga Gargzdai D 1-154.3 1159 1115 51.11% 18.23% 30.67%+0.47 -3.2 7
1995-08-11 @ JR Klaipeda D 1-154.3 1115 1159 30.67% 18.23% 51.11%-0.47 +3.2 4
1995-08-12 Tauras Taurage W 5-025.1 1458 812 84.21% 14.35% 1.43%+4.22 +5.1 13
1995-08-12 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-525.1 812 1458 1.43% 14.35% 84.21%-4.22 -5.1 0
1995-08-12 Zalgiris B D 2-259.0 1233 1136 57.43% 18.12% 24.45%+0.80 -3.9 5
1995-08-12 @ Ekranas D 2-259.0 1136 1233 24.45% 18.12% 57.43%-0.80 +3.9 1
1995-08-12 Panerys W 3-046.5 1649 1472 65.25% 17.86% 16.89%+1.29 +36.8 7
1995-08-12 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-346.5 1472 1649 16.89% 17.86% 65.25%-1.29 -36.8 9
1995-08-12 Kareda Siauliai L 0-137.9 1241 1438 20.52% 18.01% 61.47%-1.04 -16.0 1
1995-08-12 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 1-037.9 1438 1241 61.47% 18.01% 20.52%+1.04 +16.0 12
1995-08-12 FBK Kaunas L 1-439.9 1242 1428 21.57% 18.04% 60.39%-0.97 -38.6 3
1995-08-12 @ Mastis Telsiai W 4-139.9 1428 1242 60.39% 18.04% 21.57%+0.97 +38.6 9
1995-08-18 Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 3-250.1 1229 1225 45.84% 18.27% 35.89%+0.22 +23.2 8
1995-08-18 @ Ekranas L 2-350.1 1225 1229 35.89% 18.27% 45.84%-0.22 -23.2 1
1995-08-18 Kareda Siauliai L 0-432.4 1203 1454 15.88% 17.80% 66.32%-1.37 -45.4 3
1995-08-18 @ Mastis Telsiai W 4-032.4 1454 1203 66.32% 17.80% 15.88%+1.37 +45.4 15
1995-08-19 Zalgiris B W 2-146.4 1118 1140 42.11% 18.28% 39.61%+0.05 +26.5 7
1995-08-19 @ Banga Gargzdai L 1-246.4 1140 1118 39.61% 18.28% 42.11%-0.05 -26.5 1
1995-08-20 Zalgiris L 2-357.4 1435 1613 22.43% 18.07% 59.51%-0.92 -15.5 9
1995-08-20 @ Panerys W 3-257.4 1613 1435 59.51% 18.07% 22.43%+0.92 +15.5 13
1995-08-20 FBK Kaunas L 2-437.0 807 1467 1.86% 14.82% 83.32%-3.92 -2.2 0
1995-08-20 @ Tauras Taurage W 4-237.0 1467 807 83.32% 14.82% 1.86%+3.92 +2.2 12
1995-08-20 JR Klaipeda W 2-150.2 1039 1156 29.34% 18.21% 52.45%-0.53 +33.8 4
1995-08-20 @ FK Ukmerge L 1-250.2 1156 1039 52.45% 18.21% 29.34%+0.53 -33.8 7
1995-08-29 Inkaras Kaunas L 1-254.8 1463 1685 18.24% 17.92% 63.84%-1.19 -13.6 13
1995-08-29 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda W 2-154.8 1685 1463 63.84% 17.92% 18.24%+1.19 +13.6 10
1995-08-29 Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 3-031.9 1469 1202 71.85% 17.42% 10.73%+1.86 +24.1 15
1995-08-29 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-331.9 1202 1469 10.73% 17.42% 71.85%-1.86 -24.0 1
1995-08-29 Panerys L 0-429.4 1073 1420 9.79% 17.31% 72.90%-1.97 -28.8 4
1995-08-29 @ FK Ukmerge W 4-029.4 1420 1073 72.90% 17.31% 9.79%+1.97 +28.8 12
1995-09-04 Alsa Vilnius W 1-053.3 805 1299 4.52% 16.28% 79.19%-2.89 +53.9 3
1995-09-04 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-153.3 1299 805 79.19% 16.28% 4.52%+2.89 -53.9 0
1995-09-09 Banga Gargzdai L 1-249.4 1177 1144 49.69% 18.24% 32.07%+0.40 -32.2 1
1995-09-09 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 2-149.4 1144 1177 32.07% 18.24% 49.69%-0.40 +32.2 10
1995-09-09 Zalgiris B L 0-536.4 1044 1113 35.45% 18.27% 46.28%-0.24 -113.1 4
1995-09-09 @ FK Ukmerge W 5-036.4 1113 1044 46.28% 18.27% 35.45%+0.24 +113.1 4
1995-09-10 Mastis Telsiai W 2-036.3 1252 1158 57.18% 18.13% 24.70%+0.78 +35.5 11
1995-09-10 @ Ekranas L 0-236.3 1158 1252 24.70% 18.13% 57.18%-0.78 -35.5 3
1995-09-10 FBK Kaunas D 0-067.0 1699 1493 67.65% 17.73% 14.62%+1.48 -9.9 11
1995-09-10 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 0-067.0 1493 1699 14.62% 17.73% 67.65%-1.48 +9.9 16
1995-09-10 Alsa Vilnius W 2-044.8 1122 1245 28.53% 18.20% 53.28%-0.58 +68.5 10
1995-09-10 @ JR Klaipeda L 0-244.8 1245 1122 53.28% 18.20% 28.53%+0.58 -68.5 0
1995-09-10 Kareda Siauliai L 0-625.3 859 1499 2.06% 15.00% 82.94%-3.80 -8.8 3
1995-09-10 @ Tauras Taurage W 6-025.3 1499 859 82.94% 15.00% 2.06%+3.80 +8.8 18
1995-09-10 PSK Aras Klaipeda W 5-148.1 1629 1450 65.49% 17.85% 16.66%+1.31 +39.5 16
1995-09-10 @ Zalgiris L 1-548.1 1450 1629 16.66% 17.85% 65.49%-1.31 -39.5 13
1995-09-16 Tauras Taurage W 7-026.1 1288 850 79.37% 16.24% 4.39%+2.92 +22.1 14
1995-09-16 @ Ekranas L 0-726.1 850 1288 4.39% 16.24% 79.37%-2.92 -22.1 3
1995-09-16 Kareda Siauliai W 3-154.4 1689 1508 65.64% 17.84% 16.52%+1.32 +21.5 14
1995-09-16 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 1-354.4 1508 1689 16.52% 17.84% 65.64%-1.32 -21.5 18
1995-09-16 JR Klaipeda W 2-038.4 1227 1190 50.09% 18.24% 31.67%+0.42 +44.0 7
1995-09-16 @ Zalgiris B L 0-238.4 1190 1227 31.67% 18.24% 50.09%-0.42 -44.0 10
1995-09-17 Alsa Vilnius W 1-034.6 1410 1177 69.66% 17.60% 12.74%+1.65 +10.3 16
1995-09-17 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-134.6 1177 1410 12.74% 17.60% 69.66%-1.65 -10.3 0
1995-09-17 Mastis Telsiai D 1-154.3 1176 1122 52.40% 18.21% 29.39%+0.53 -3.6 11
1995-09-17 @ Banga Gargzdai D 1-154.3 1122 1176 29.39% 18.21% 52.40%-0.53 +3.6 4
1995-09-17 FK Ukmerge D 0-050.8 1145 931 68.29% 17.69% 14.02%+1.53 -10.1 2
1995-09-17 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius D 0-050.8 931 1145 14.02% 17.69% 68.29%-1.53 +10.1 5
1995-09-18 Zalgiris L 1-257.1 1503 1668 23.72% 18.10% 58.18%-0.84 -17.1 16
1995-09-18 @ FBK Kaunas W 2-157.1 1668 1503 58.18% 18.10% 23.72%+0.84 +17.2 19
1995-09-22 Ekranas W 2-146.3 1710 1310 78.12% 16.53% 5.35%+2.69 +4.2 17
1995-09-22 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 1-246.3 1310 1710 5.35% 16.53% 78.12%-2.69 -4.2 14
1995-09-23 Tauras Taurage D 1-154.6 1173 828 75.88% 16.93% 7.19%+2.34 -11.8 12
1995-09-23 @ Banga Gargzdai D 1-154.6 828 1173 7.19% 16.93% 75.88%-2.34 +11.8 4
1995-09-23 Alsa Vilnius W 2-032.1 1486 1166 74.70% 17.10% 8.20%+2.19 +12.8 19
1995-09-23 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-232.1 1166 1486 8.20% 17.10% 74.70%-2.19 -12.8 0
1995-09-23 Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 1-248.5 1146 1135 46.75% 18.27% 34.98%+0.26 -30.5 10
1995-09-23 @ JR Klaipeda W 2-148.5 1135 1146 34.98% 18.27% 46.75%-0.26 +30.5 5
1995-09-23 Zalgiris L 0-151.9 1487 1685 20.36% 18.00% 61.64%-1.05 -15.9 18
1995-09-23 @ Kareda Siauliai W 1-051.9 1685 1487 61.64% 18.00% 20.36%+1.05 +15.9 22
1995-09-23 FK Ukmerge D 0-050.8 1126 941 65.95% 17.82% 16.23%+1.34 -9.2 5
1995-09-23 @ Mastis Telsiai D 0-050.8 941 1126 16.23% 17.82% 65.95%-1.34 +9.2 6
1995-09-23 PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-248.8 1449 1420 49.05% 18.25% 32.70%+0.37 -63.6 12
1995-09-23 @ Panerys W 2-048.8 1420 1449 32.70% 18.25% 49.05%-0.37 +63.6 19
1995-09-26 Panerys L 0-234.4 1153 1385 17.43% 17.88% 64.68%-1.25 -26.0 0
1995-09-26 @ Alsa Vilnius W 2-034.4 1385 1153 64.68% 17.88% 17.43%+1.25 +26.1 15
1995-09-30 Zalgiris B D 1-154.5 1166 1271 30.79% 18.23% 50.98%-0.46 +3.1 6
1995-09-30 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius D 1-154.5 1271 1166 50.98% 18.23% 30.79%+0.46 -3.1 8
1995-10-01 Kareda Siauliai L 1-337.0 1127 1471 9.98% 17.34% 72.68%-1.95 -13.4 0
1995-10-01 @ Alsa Vilnius W 3-137.0 1471 1127 72.68% 17.34% 9.98%+1.95 +13.4 21
1995-10-01 Inkaras Kaunas L 2-443.2 1161 1715 3.29% 15.79% 80.93%-3.26 -4.0 12
1995-10-01 @ Banga Gargzdai W 4-243.2 1715 1161 80.93% 15.79% 3.29%+3.26 +4.0 20
1995-10-01 Panerys W 2-148.8 1498 1411 56.33% 18.14% 25.52%+0.74 +18.3 22
1995-10-01 @ FBK Kaunas L 1-248.8 1411 1498 25.52% 18.14% 56.33%-0.74 -18.3 15
1995-10-01 JR Klaipeda L 0-143.8 1116 1116 45.31% 18.27% 36.42%+0.20 -31.5 5
1995-10-01 @ Mastis Telsiai W 1-043.8 1116 1116 36.42% 18.27% 45.31%-0.20 +31.5 13
1995-10-01 FK Ukmerge W 2-044.1 840 950 30.13% 18.22% 51.65%-0.49 +66.6 7
1995-10-01 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-244.1 950 840 51.65% 18.22% 30.13%+0.49 -66.6 6
1995-10-02 Ekranas W 5-037.2 1701 1306 77.94% 16.57% 5.49%+2.66 +20.1 25
1995-10-02 @ Zalgiris L 0-537.2 1306 1701 5.49% 16.57% 77.94%-2.66 -20.1 14
1995-10-06 FBK Kaunas W 2-051.0 1484 1517 40.59% 18.28% 41.13%-0.01 +54.7 22
1995-10-06 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-251.0 1517 1484 41.13% 18.28% 40.59%+0.01 -54.7 22
1995-10-06 Alsa Vilnius W 3-032.6 1286 1114 64.84% 17.88% 17.29%+1.26 +37.5 17
1995-10-06 @ Ekranas L 0-332.6 1114 1286 17.29% 17.88% 64.84%-1.26 -37.5 0
1995-10-06 Panerys W 2-041.8 1484 1393 56.78% 18.13% 25.08%+0.76 +36.0 24
1995-10-06 @ Kareda Siauliai L 0-241.8 1393 1484 25.08% 18.13% 56.78%-0.76 -36.0 15
1995-10-06 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-625.1 884 1719 0.72% 13.06% 86.23%-5.02 -2.9 6
1995-10-06 @ FK Ukmerge W 6-025.1 1719 884 86.23% 13.06% 0.72%+5.02 +2.9 23
1995-10-06 Banga Gargzdai W 4-031.8 1721 1157 82.64% 15.13% 2.22%+3.71 +6.5 28
1995-10-06 @ Zalgiris L 0-431.8 1157 1721 2.22% 15.13% 82.64%-3.71 -6.5 12
1995-10-07 Tauras Taurage W 2-032.2 1147 907 70.16% 17.56% 12.28%+1.69 +18.8 16
1995-10-07 @ JR Klaipeda L 0-232.2 907 1147 12.28% 17.56% 70.16%-1.69 -18.8 7
1995-10-07 Mastis Telsiai D 2-259.1 1267 1085 65.76% 17.83% 16.40%+1.33 -6.1 9
1995-10-07 @ Zalgiris B D 2-259.1 1085 1267 16.40% 17.83% 65.76%-1.33 +6.1 6
1995-10-11 Mastis Telsiai L 0-638.5 1076 1091 43.18% 18.28% 38.54%+0.10 -158.1 0
1995-10-11 @ Alsa Vilnius W 6-038.5 1091 1076 38.54% 18.28% 43.18%-0.10 +158.1 9
1995-10-13 Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 1-251.3 1249 1169 55.54% 18.16% 26.30%+0.69 -35.6 9
1995-10-13 @ Mastis Telsiai W 2-151.3 1169 1249 26.30% 18.16% 55.54%-0.69 +35.6 9
1995-10-14 Banga Gargzdai W 2-153.7 918 1151 17.38% 17.88% 64.74%-1.26 +41.4 3
1995-10-14 @ Alsa Vilnius L 1-253.7 1151 918 64.74% 17.88% 17.38%+1.26 -41.4 12
1995-10-14 JR Klaipeda W 2-034.5 1722 1166 82.45% 15.22% 2.34%+3.66 +3.6 26
1995-10-14 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-234.5 1166 1722 2.34% 15.22% 82.45%-3.66 -3.6 16
1995-10-14 PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-253.6 1520 1539 42.63% 18.28% 39.09%+0.08 -56.3 24
1995-10-14 @ Kareda Siauliai W 2-053.6 1539 1520 39.09% 18.28% 42.63%-0.08 +56.3 25
1995-10-14 Ekranas W 2-145.7 1357 1323 49.75% 18.24% 32.00%+0.40 +22.2 18
1995-10-14 @ Panerys L 1-245.7 1323 1357 32.00% 18.24% 49.75%-0.40 -22.2 17
1995-10-14 Zalgiris L 0-426.0 881 1728 0.67% 12.93% 86.40%-5.09 -1.9 6
1995-10-14 @ FK Ukmerge W 4-026.0 1728 881 86.40% 12.93% 0.67%+5.09 +1.9 31
1995-10-14 Tauras Taurage W 2-030.1 1261 888 77.10% 16.73% 6.17%+2.52 +9.7 12
1995-10-14 @ Zalgiris B L 0-230.1 888 1261 6.17% 16.73% 77.10%-2.52 -9.7 7
1995-10-22 FK Ukmerge L 0-245.3 960 879 55.60% 18.16% 26.24%+0.70 -71.3 3
1995-10-22 @ Alsa Vilnius W 2-045.3 879 960 26.24% 18.16% 55.60%-0.70 +71.3 9
1995-10-22 PSK Aras Klaipeda W 2-161.4 1301 1595 12.83% 17.60% 69.57%-1.64 +44.6 20
1995-10-22 @ Ekranas L 1-261.4 1595 1301 69.57% 17.60% 12.83%+1.64 -44.6 25
1995-10-22 FBK Kaunas W 3-257.1 1464 1462 45.47% 18.27% 36.26%+0.20 +23.4 27
1995-10-22 @ Kareda Siauliai L 2-357.1 1462 1464 36.26% 18.27% 45.47%-0.20 -23.4 22
1995-10-22 Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 2-049.9 878 1204 10.89% 17.43% 71.68%-1.84 +92.0 10
1995-10-22 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-249.9 1204 878 71.68% 17.43% 10.89%+1.84 -92.0 9
1995-10-22 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-239.7 1271 1725 5.59% 16.59% 77.82%-2.64 -8.8 12
1995-10-22 @ Zalgiris B W 2-039.7 1725 1271 77.82% 16.59% 5.59%+2.64 +8.8 29
1995-10-23 JR Klaipeda W 3-033.2 1730 1163 82.70% 15.11% 2.19%+3.73 +4.9 34
1995-10-23 @ Zalgiris L 0-333.2 1163 1730 2.19% 15.11% 82.70%-3.73 -4.9 16
1995-10-24 Banga Gargzdai W 3-030.7 1379 1109 72.00% 17.40% 10.60%+1.88 +23.8 21
1995-10-24 @ Panerys L 0-330.7 1109 1379 10.60% 17.40% 72.00%-1.88 -23.8 12
1995-10-26 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-129.9 888 1734 0.68% 12.95% 86.37%-5.08 -0.5 3
1995-10-26 @ Alsa Vilnius W 1-029.9 1734 888 86.37% 12.95% 0.68%+5.08 +0.5 32
1995-11-03 Alsa Vilnius W 9-024.8 1735 888 87.23% 12.29% 0.48%+5.48 +2.8 37
1995-11-03 @ Zalgiris L 0-924.8 888 1735 0.48% 12.29% 87.23%-5.48 -2.8 3
1995-11-04 Banga Gargzdai W 3-029.5 1439 1085 76.25% 16.88% 6.87%+2.40 +15.6 25
1995-11-04 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-329.5 1085 1439 6.87% 16.88% 76.25%-2.40 -15.6 12
1995-11-04 Panerys L 0-332.8 1158 1403 16.33% 17.83% 65.84%-1.34 -35.6 16
1995-11-04 @ JR Klaipeda W 3-032.8 1403 1158 65.84% 17.83% 16.33%+1.34 +35.6 24
1995-11-04 Ekranas W 2-144.7 1487 1346 62.07% 17.99% 19.94%+1.08 +14.7 30
1995-11-04 @ Kareda Siauliai L 1-244.7 1346 1487 19.94% 17.99% 62.07%-1.08 -14.7 20
1995-11-05 FK Ukmerge W 4-026.3 1550 950 83.37% 14.79% 1.83%+3.94 +5.3 28
1995-11-05 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-426.3 950 1550 1.83% 14.79% 83.37%-3.94 -5.3 9
1995-11-05 Mastis Telsiai W 5-138.5 1734 1214 81.65% 15.53% 2.81%+3.44 +6.9 35
1995-11-05 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 1-538.5 1214 1734 2.81% 15.53% 81.65%-3.44 -6.9 9
1995-11-07 Zalgiris B L 0-329.5 885 1262 8.37% 17.13% 74.50%-2.16 -18.9 3
1995-11-07 @ Alsa Vilnius W 3-029.5 1262 885 74.50% 17.13% 8.37%+2.16 +18.9 15
1995-11-10 Zalgiris L 1-1433.9 1207 1738 3.71% 15.98% 80.30%-3.12 -27.6 9
1995-11-10 @ Mastis Telsiai W 14-133.9 1738 1207 80.30% 15.98% 3.71%+3.12 +27.6 40
1995-11-11 Kareda Siauliai L 0-528.0 1070 1502 6.28% 16.75% 76.96%-2.50 -23.0 12
1995-11-11 @ Banga Gargzdai W 5-028.0 1502 1070 76.96% 16.75% 6.28%+2.50 +23.0 33
1995-11-11 PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-528.8 1122 1556 6.23% 16.74% 77.03%-2.51 -22.8 16
1995-11-11 @ JR Klaipeda W 5-028.8 1556 1122 77.03% 16.74% 6.23%+2.51 +22.8 31
1995-11-11 Zalgiris B L 1-354.4 1438 1281 63.55% 17.93% 18.52%+1.17 -70.4 24
1995-11-11 @ Panerys W 3-154.4 1281 1438 18.52% 17.93% 63.55%-1.17 +70.4 18
1995-11-11 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-427.3 970 1741 1.01% 13.71% 85.27%-4.62 -2.9 10
1995-11-11 @ Tauras Taurage W 4-027.3 1741 970 85.27% 13.71% 1.01%+4.62 +2.9 38
1995-11-11 FBK Kaunas L 0-229.5 945 1454 4.16% 16.16% 79.68%-2.99 -6.5 9
1995-11-11 @ FK Ukmerge W 2-029.5 1454 945 79.68% 16.16% 4.16%+2.99 +6.5 28
1995-11-12 Alsa Vilnius W 2-137.8 1112 866 70.52% 17.53% 11.95%+1.73 +9.2 12
1995-11-12 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 1-237.8 866 1112 11.95% 17.53% 70.52%-1.73 -9.2 3

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1996-03-30 Zalgiris L 0-641.2 1352 1765 6.92% 16.88% 76.19%-2.39 -30.1 0
1996-03-30 @ Zalgiris B W 6-041.2 1765 1352 76.19% 16.88% 6.92%+2.39 +30.1 3
1996-03-31 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-243.1 1331 1744 6.93% 16.89% 76.18%-2.39 -10.8 0
1996-03-31 @ Ekranas W 2-043.1 1744 1331 76.18% 16.89% 6.93%+2.39 +10.8 3
1996-03-31 PSK Aras Klaipeda W 1-057.4 1461 1578 29.20% 18.21% 52.59%-0.54 +35.9 3
1996-03-31 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-157.4 1578 1461 52.59% 18.21% 29.20%+0.54 -35.9 0
1996-03-31 Kareda Siauliai L 0-738.9 1368 1525 24.67% 18.12% 57.21%-0.79 -114.1 0
1996-03-31 @ Panerys W 7-038.9 1525 1368 57.21% 18.12% 24.67%+0.79 +114.1 3
1996-04-06 Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 0-136.7 938 1122 21.88% 18.05% 60.06%-0.95 -16.9 0
1996-04-06 @ FK Ukmerge W 1-036.7 1122 938 60.06% 18.05% 21.88%+0.95 +17.0 3
1996-04-06 Zalgiris B W 2-037.9 1543 1322 68.78% 17.66% 13.56%+1.57 +20.7 3
1996-04-06 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-237.9 1322 1543 13.56% 17.66% 68.78%-1.57 -20.7 0
1996-04-06 Zalgiris D 1-168.8 1320 1795 5.00% 16.43% 78.57%-2.77 +12.8 1
1996-04-06 @ Ekranas D 1-168.8 1795 1320 78.57% 16.43% 5.00%+2.77 -12.8 4
1996-04-06 Panerys W 4-036.9 1755 1254 81.17% 15.71% 3.13%+3.32 +9.2 6
1996-04-06 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-436.9 1254 1755 3.13% 15.71% 81.17%-3.32 -9.2 0
1996-04-06 FBK Kaunas W 5-255.7 1639 1497 62.14% 17.98% 19.87%+1.08 +31.1 6
1996-04-06 @ Kareda Siauliai L 2-555.7 1497 1639 19.87% 17.98% 62.14%-1.08 -31.1 3
1996-04-08 Alsa Vilnius W 2-139.0 1047 857 66.38% 17.80% 15.82%+1.38 +11.9 3
1996-04-08 @ Banga Gargzdai L 1-239.0 857 1047 15.82% 17.80% 66.38%-1.38 -11.9 0
1996-04-13 Banga Gargzdai L 0-145.4 1099 1059 50.64% 18.23% 31.13%+0.45 -34.7 0
1996-04-13 @ JR Klaipeda W 1-045.4 1059 1099 31.13% 18.23% 50.64%-0.45 +34.7 6
1996-04-13 Tauras Taurage D 0-050.6 921 967 38.73% 18.28% 42.99%-0.09 +0.7 1
1996-04-13 @ FK Ukmerge D 0-050.6 967 921 42.99% 18.28% 38.73%+0.09 -0.7 1
1996-04-13 Ekranas D 2-260.0 1301 1333 40.71% 18.28% 41.00%-0.01 +0.0 1
1996-04-13 @ Zalgiris B D 2-260.0 1333 1301 41.00% 18.28% 40.71%+0.01 -0.0 2
1996-04-14 Kareda Siauliai L 0-156.4 1563 1670 30.55% 18.23% 51.22%-0.47 -22.6 3
1996-04-14 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda W 1-056.4 1670 1563 51.22% 18.23% 30.55%+0.47 +22.6 9
1996-04-14 FBK Kaunas W 2-048.1 1764 1466 73.63% 17.23% 9.13%+2.06 +14.2 9
1996-04-14 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-248.1 1466 1764 9.13% 17.23% 73.63%-2.06 -14.2 3
1996-04-14 Panerys W 5-036.7 1782 1245 82.05% 15.38% 2.57%+3.55 +9.3 7
1996-04-14 @ Zalgiris L 0-536.7 1245 1782 2.57% 15.38% 82.05%-3.55 -9.3 0
1996-04-15 Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 0-133.8 845 1139 12.86% 17.61% 69.54%-1.64 -10.4 0
1996-04-15 @ Alsa Vilnius W 1-033.8 1139 845 69.54% 17.61% 12.86%+1.64 +10.4 6
1996-04-19 PSK Aras Klaipeda W 1-052.0 1778 1541 69.96% 17.58% 12.47%+1.68 +10.1 12
1996-04-19 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-152.0 1541 1778 12.47% 17.58% 69.96%-1.68 -10.1 3
1996-04-19 Zalgiris B W 3-038.3 1693 1301 77.80% 16.60% 5.61%+2.64 +12.8 12
1996-04-19 @ Kareda Siauliai L 0-338.3 1301 1693 5.61% 16.60% 77.80%-2.64 -12.8 1
1996-04-19 FBK Kaunas W 3-046.4 1792 1451 75.69% 16.96% 7.35%+2.32 +16.7 10
1996-04-19 @ Zalgiris L 0-346.4 1451 1792 7.35% 16.96% 75.69%-2.32 -16.7 3
1996-04-20 Ekranas W 1-045.9 1235 1333 31.76% 18.24% 50.00%-0.41 +34.3 3
1996-04-20 @ Panerys L 0-145.9 1333 1235 50.00% 18.24% 31.76%+0.41 -34.3 2
1996-04-21 JR Klaipeda W 4-139.7 1149 1065 56.01% 18.15% 25.84%+0.72 +45.3 9
1996-04-21 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 1-439.7 1065 1149 25.84% 18.15% 56.01%-0.72 -45.3 0
1996-04-21 FK Ukmerge L 0-151.3 1179 922 71.21% 17.47% 11.31%+1.80 -48.4 0
1996-04-21 @ Mastis Telsiai W 1-051.3 922 1179 11.31% 17.47% 71.21%-1.80 +48.4 4
1996-04-21 Alsa Vilnius D 1-154.2 966 835 61.11% 18.02% 20.87%+1.02 -6.5 2
1996-04-21 @ Tauras Taurage D 1-154.2 835 966 20.87% 18.02% 61.11%-1.02 +6.5 1
1996-04-26 Mastis Telsiai D 1-154.4 841 1131 13.12% 17.63% 69.26%-1.61 +9.4 2
1996-04-26 @ Alsa Vilnius D 1-154.4 1131 841 69.26% 17.63% 13.12%+1.61 -9.4 1
1996-04-27 Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 3-254.2 1093 1194 31.32% 18.23% 50.45%-0.44 +30.9 9
1996-04-27 @ Banga Gargzdai L 2-354.2 1194 1093 50.45% 18.23% 31.32%+0.44 -30.9 9
1996-04-27 Zalgiris B W 1-042.6 1270 1288 42.64% 18.28% 39.08%+0.08 +27.8 6
1996-04-27 @ Panerys L 0-142.6 1288 1270 39.08% 18.28% 42.64%-0.08 -27.8 1
1996-04-28 FBK Kaunas D 2-261.2 1298 1435 26.99% 18.17% 54.84%-0.66 +3.3 3
1996-04-28 @ Ekranas D 2-261.2 1435 1298 54.84% 18.17% 26.99%+0.66 -3.3 4
1996-04-28 Kareda Siauliai D 0-070.2 1789 1705 55.85% 18.15% 25.99%+0.71 -5.3 13
1996-04-28 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 0-070.2 1705 1789 25.99% 18.15% 55.85%-0.71 +5.3 13
1996-04-28 PSK Aras Klaipeda W 5-151.7 1808 1530 72.48% 17.36% 10.16%+1.93 +24.9 13
1996-04-28 @ Zalgiris L 1-551.7 1530 1808 10.16% 17.36% 72.48%-1.93 -24.9 3
1996-04-30 JR Klaipeda D 0-050.6 960 1019 36.84% 18.28% 44.88%-0.18 +1.4 3
1996-04-30 @ Tauras Taurage D 0-050.6 1019 960 44.88% 18.28% 36.84%+0.18 -1.4 1
1996-05-01 Ekranas D 1-158.1 1506 1302 67.49% 17.74% 14.77%+1.46 -8.8 4
1996-05-01 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda D 1-158.1 1302 1506 14.77% 17.74% 67.49%-1.46 +8.8 4
1996-05-01 Panerys W 1-038.6 1431 1298 61.32% 18.01% 20.67%+1.03 +16.1 7
1996-05-01 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-138.6 1298 1431 20.67% 18.01% 61.32%-1.03 -16.1 6
1996-05-01 Zalgiris D 1-173.8 1711 1833 28.61% 18.20% 53.19%-0.57 +3.8 14
1996-05-01 @ Kareda Siauliai D 1-173.8 1833 1711 53.19% 18.20% 28.61%+0.57 -3.8 14
1996-05-01 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-339.5 1260 1783 3.87% 16.05% 80.08%-3.07 -8.8 1
1996-05-01 @ Zalgiris B W 3-039.5 1783 1260 80.08% 16.05% 3.87%+3.07 +8.8 16
1996-05-04 Mastis Telsiai L 0-535.1 1018 1121 30.99% 18.23% 50.78%-0.45 -101.0 1
1996-05-04 @ JR Klaipeda W 5-035.1 1121 1018 50.78% 18.23% 30.99%+0.45 +101.0 4
1996-05-04 Banga Gargzdai W 1-047.5 961 1124 23.99% 18.11% 57.90%-0.82 +39.3 6
1996-05-04 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-147.5 1124 961 57.90% 18.11% 23.99%+0.82 -39.3 9
1996-05-04 Alsa Vilnius D 1-154.2 971 851 59.90% 18.06% 22.04%+0.94 -6.1 5
1996-05-04 @ FK Ukmerge D 1-154.2 851 971 22.04% 18.06% 59.90%-0.94 +6.1 3
1996-05-05 Panerys L 1-257.9 1497 1281 68.37% 17.69% 13.95%+1.54 -43.8 4
1996-05-05 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda W 2-157.9 1281 1497 13.95% 17.69% 68.37%-1.54 +43.8 9
1996-05-05 Zalgiris B W 2-035.0 1448 1252 66.87% 17.77% 15.35%+1.42 +23.2 10
1996-05-05 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-235.0 1252 1448 15.35% 17.77% 66.87%-1.42 -23.2 1
1996-05-05 Ekranas W 3-145.3 1715 1310 78.24% 16.50% 5.25%+2.71 +7.1 17
1996-05-05 @ Kareda Siauliai L 1-345.3 1310 1715 5.25% 16.50% 78.24%-2.71 -7.1 4
1996-05-05 Inkaras Kaunas L 1-368.2 1829 1792 50.24% 18.24% 31.52%+0.43 -56.2 14
1996-05-05 @ Zalgiris W 3-168.2 1792 1829 31.52% 18.24% 50.24%-0.43 +56.2 19
1996-05-08 Mastis Telsiai D 1-154.3 1085 1222 26.87% 18.17% 54.96%-0.66 +4.4 10
1996-05-08 @ Banga Gargzdai D 1-154.3 1222 1085 54.96% 18.17% 26.87%+0.66 -4.4 5
1996-05-08 FK Ukmerge L 0-240.2 917 964 38.48% 18.28% 43.24%-0.10 -51.8 1
1996-05-08 @ JR Klaipeda W 2-040.2 964 917 43.24% 18.28% 38.48%+0.10 +51.8 8
1996-05-08 Tauras Taurage L 0-149.3 1163 1001 64.05% 17.91% 18.04%+1.21 -43.4 9
1996-05-08 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 1-049.3 1001 1163 18.04% 17.91% 64.05%-1.21 +43.4 9
1996-05-11 FBK Kaunas L 1-353.4 1453 1471 42.75% 18.28% 38.97%+0.08 -48.9 4
1996-05-11 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda W 3-153.4 1471 1453 38.97% 18.28% 42.75%-0.08 +48.9 13
1996-05-11 Ekranas W 2-043.7 1848 1303 82.22% 15.31% 2.47%+3.59 +3.8 22
1996-05-11 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-243.7 1303 1848 2.47% 15.31% 82.22%-3.59 -3.8 4
1996-05-11 Panerys W 4-144.8 1722 1325 77.97% 16.56% 5.47%+2.67 +10.5 20
1996-05-11 @ Kareda Siauliai L 1-444.8 1325 1722 5.47% 16.56% 77.97%-2.67 -10.5 9
1996-05-11 Zalgiris B W 9-136.4 1773 1228 82.21% 15.31% 2.47%+3.59 +11.5 17
1996-05-11 @ Zalgiris L 1-936.4 1228 1773 2.47% 15.31% 82.21%-3.59 -11.5 1
1996-05-12 JR Klaipeda D 1-154.2 857 865 44.05% 18.28% 37.67%+0.14 -1.0 4
1996-05-12 @ Alsa Vilnius D 1-154.2 865 857 37.67% 18.28% 44.05%-0.14 +1.0 2
1996-05-12 Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 1-350.7 1218 1120 57.54% 18.12% 24.34%+0.80 -63.8 5
1996-05-12 @ Mastis Telsiai W 3-150.7 1120 1218 24.34% 18.12% 57.54%-0.80 +63.8 12
1996-05-12 Banga Gargzdai W 5-249.2 1016 1089 34.93% 18.27% 46.80%-0.26 +64.7 11
1996-05-12 @ FK Ukmerge L 2-549.2 1089 1016 46.80% 18.27% 34.93%+0.26 -64.7 10
1996-05-15 Tauras Taurage D 1-154.3 1154 1044 58.85% 18.09% 23.07%+0.88 -5.7 6
1996-05-15 @ Mastis Telsiai D 1-154.3 1044 1154 23.07% 18.09% 58.85%-0.88 +5.7 10
1996-05-19 Banga Gargzdai D 0-050.7 856 1025 23.34% 18.09% 58.56%-0.86 +6.3 5
1996-05-19 @ Alsa Vilnius D 0-050.7 1025 856 58.56% 18.09% 23.34%+0.86 -6.3 11
1996-05-19 FK Ukmerge W 4-139.1 1184 1081 58.07% 18.10% 23.82%+0.83 +42.2 15
1996-05-19 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 1-439.1 1081 1184 23.82% 18.10% 58.07%-0.83 -42.2 11
1996-05-19 Mastis Telsiai D 0-050.7 1050 1148 31.61% 18.24% 50.16%-0.42 +3.2 11
1996-05-19 @ Tauras Taurage D 0-050.7 1148 1050 50.16% 18.24% 31.61%+0.42 -3.2 7
1996-05-19 Kareda Siauliai L 0-153.2 1520 1732 19.09% 17.96% 62.95%-1.13 -15.0 13
1996-05-19 @ FBK Kaunas W 1-053.2 1732 1520 62.95% 17.96% 19.09%+1.13 +15.0 23
1996-05-19 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-343.3 1315 1852 3.59% 15.93% 80.49%-3.16 -8.1 9
1996-05-19 @ Panerys W 3-043.3 1852 1315 80.49% 15.93% 3.59%+3.16 +8.1 25
1996-05-19 Ekranas W 3-040.7 1785 1300 80.75% 15.84% 3.41%+3.22 +7.7 20
1996-05-19 @ Zalgiris L 0-340.7 1300 1785 3.41% 15.84% 80.75%-3.22 -7.7 4
1996-05-19 PSK Aras Klaipeda D 0-051.8 1217 1404 21.49% 18.04% 60.47%-0.98 +7.0 2
1996-05-19 @ Zalgiris B D 0-051.8 1404 1217 60.47% 18.04% 21.49%+0.98 -7.0 5
1996-05-21 FK Ukmerge W 2-039.1 1053 1039 47.18% 18.26% 34.56%+0.28 +47.3 14
1996-05-21 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-239.1 1039 1053 34.56% 18.26% 47.18%-0.28 -47.4 11
1996-05-25 JR Klaipeda W 1-035.8 1018 866 63.11% 17.95% 18.94%+1.14 +14.9 14
1996-05-25 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-135.8 866 1018 18.94% 17.95% 63.11%-1.14 -14.9 2
1996-05-25 Alsa Vilnius W 1-031.7 1226 862 76.70% 16.80% 6.50%+2.46 +5.4 18
1996-05-25 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 0-131.7 862 1226 6.50% 16.80% 76.70%-2.46 -5.4 5
1996-05-25 Zalgiris B D 1-154.7 1292 1224 54.05% 18.19% 27.76%+0.62 -4.1 5
1996-05-25 @ Ekranas D 1-154.7 1224 1292 27.76% 18.19% 54.05%-0.62 +4.1 3
1996-05-25 PSK Aras Klaipeda W 3-044.0 1747 1397 76.12% 16.90% 6.99%+2.38 +15.9 26
1996-05-25 @ Kareda Siauliai L 0-344.0 1397 1747 6.99% 16.90% 76.12%-2.38 -15.9 5
1996-05-26 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-151.5 1505 1860 9.37% 17.26% 73.37%-2.03 -7.7 13
1996-05-26 @ FBK Kaunas W 1-051.5 1860 1505 73.37% 17.26% 9.37%+2.03 +7.7 28
1996-05-26 Zalgiris D 2-272.9 1307 1792 4.72% 16.35% 78.93%-2.84 +9.6 10
1996-05-26 @ Panerys D 2-272.9 1792 1307 78.93% 16.35% 4.72%+2.84 -9.6 21
1996-05-29 Tauras Taurage L 0-135.0 857 1100 16.44% 17.83% 65.73%-1.33 -13.1 5
1996-05-29 @ Alsa Vilnius W 1-035.0 1100 857 65.73% 17.83% 16.44%+1.33 +13.1 17
1996-05-29 Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 0-527.9 851 1231 8.25% 17.11% 74.64%-2.18 -30.0 2
1996-05-29 @ JR Klaipeda W 5-027.9 1231 851 74.64% 17.11% 8.25%+2.18 +30.0 21
1996-05-29 Mastis Telsiai W 2-151.5 991 1145 25.00% 18.13% 56.87%-0.77 +36.4 14
1996-05-29 @ FK Ukmerge L 1-251.5 1145 991 56.87% 18.13% 25.00%+0.77 -36.4 7
1996-05-30 Inkaras Kaunas L 0-246.8 1381 1868 4.70% 16.34% 78.96%-2.84 -7.3 5
1996-05-30 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda W 2-046.8 1868 1381 78.96% 16.34% 4.70%+2.84 +7.3 31
1996-05-30 Panerys W 1-043.3 1288 1316 41.21% 18.28% 40.51%+0.02 +28.6 8
1996-05-30 @ Ekranas L 0-143.3 1316 1288 40.51% 18.28% 41.21%-0.02 -28.6 10
1996-05-30 Zalgiris L 0-151.8 1497 1783 13.36% 17.64% 69.00%-1.59 -10.8 13
1996-05-30 @ FBK Kaunas W 1-051.8 1783 1497 69.00% 17.64% 13.36%+1.59 +10.8 24
1996-05-30 Kareda Siauliai L 0-140.2 1228 1763 3.63% 15.95% 80.42%-3.15 -3.0 3
1996-05-30 @ Zalgiris B W 1-040.2 1763 1228 80.42% 15.95% 3.63%+3.15 +3.0 29
1996-06-02 Tauras Taurage D 0-050.8 821 1113 12.93% 17.61% 69.46%-1.63 +10.6 3
1996-06-02 @ JR Klaipeda D 0-050.8 1113 821 69.46% 17.61% 12.93%+1.63 -10.6 18
1996-06-02 Banga Gargzdai L 1-255.1 1261 1033 69.27% 17.63% 13.10%+1.61 -44.4 21
1996-06-02 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 2-155.1 1033 1261 13.10% 17.63% 69.27%-1.61 +44.4 17
1996-06-02 Alsa Vilnius D 0-050.9 1109 844 71.72% 17.43% 10.85%+1.85 -11.5 8
1996-06-02 @ Mastis Telsiai D 0-050.9 844 1109 10.85% 17.43% 71.72%-1.85 +11.5 6
1996-06-04 Zalgiris L 3-459.4 1374 1794 6.71% 16.84% 76.45%-2.43 -4.9 5
1996-06-04 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda W 4-359.4 1794 1374 76.45% 16.84% 6.71%+2.43 +4.9 27
1996-06-04 Ekranas D 1-158.0 1486 1316 64.67% 17.88% 17.44%+1.25 -7.8 14
1996-06-04 @ FBK Kaunas D 1-158.0 1316 1486 17.44% 17.88% 64.67%-1.25 +7.8 9
1996-06-04 Inkaras Kaunas W 1-065.4 1766 1875 30.25% 18.22% 51.53%-0.49 +35.2 32
1996-06-04 @ Kareda Siauliai L 0-165.4 1875 1766 51.53% 18.22% 30.25%+0.49 -35.2 31
1996-06-04 Panerys L 1-245.8 1225 1288 36.40% 18.27% 45.32%-0.20 -24.7 3
1996-06-04 @ Zalgiris B W 2-145.8 1288 1225 45.32% 18.27% 36.40%+0.20 +24.7 13
1996-06-07 FK Ukmerge W 2-152.0 855 1028 22.96% 18.08% 58.96%-0.89 +37.7 9
1996-06-07 @ Alsa Vilnius L 1-252.0 1028 855 58.96% 18.08% 22.96%+0.89 -37.7 14
1996-06-07 Tauras Taurage W 1-042.2 1078 1103 41.69% 18.28% 40.02%+0.04 +28.4 20
1996-06-07 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-142.2 1103 1078 40.02% 18.28% 41.69%-0.04 -28.4 18
1996-06-07 JR Klaipeda W 3-030.3 1097 832 71.74% 17.43% 10.84%+1.85 +24.3 11
1996-06-07 @ Mastis Telsiai L 0-330.3 832 1097 10.84% 17.43% 71.74%-1.85 -24.3 3
1996-06-09 PSK Aras Klaipeda L 0-143.6 1324 1369 38.85% 18.28% 42.87%-0.09 -27.7 9
1996-06-09 @ Ekranas W 1-043.6 1369 1324 42.87% 18.28% 38.85%+0.09 +27.7 8
1996-06-09 Zalgiris B W 5-036.5 1840 1200 84.11% 14.41% 1.48%+4.18 +5.2 34
1996-06-09 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-536.5 1200 1840 1.48% 14.41% 84.11%-4.18 -5.2 3
1996-06-09 FBK Kaunas W 2-155.3 1312 1478 23.66% 18.10% 58.23%-0.84 +37.3 16
1996-06-09 @ Panerys L 1-255.3 1478 1312 58.23% 18.10% 23.66%+0.84 -37.3 14
1996-06-09 Kareda Siauliai W 2-165.3 1798 1801 44.83% 18.28% 36.89%+0.18 +25.0 30
1996-06-09 @ Zalgiris L 1-265.3 1801 1798 36.89% 18.28% 44.83%-0.18 -25.0 32
1996-06-12 Banga Gargzdai L 0-341.6 1121 1106 47.32% 18.26% 34.42%+0.29 -89.4 11
1996-06-12 @ Mastis Telsiai W 3-041.6 1106 1121 34.42% 18.26% 47.32%-0.29 +89.4 23
1996-06-12 Lokomotyvas Vilnius W 2-045.4 1074 1217 26.27% 18.16% 55.57%-0.70 +71.3 21
1996-06-12 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-245.4 1217 1074 55.57% 18.16% 26.27%+0.70 -71.3 21
1996-06-12 JR Klaipeda W 5-135.2 990 807 65.78% 17.83% 16.39%+1.33 +38.9 17
1996-06-12 @ FK Ukmerge L 1-535.2 807 990 16.39% 17.83% 65.78%-1.33 -38.9 3
1996-06-13 Kareda Siauliai L 0-143.7 1296 1776 4.88% 16.40% 78.73%-2.80 -4.0 9
1996-06-13 @ Ekranas W 1-043.7 1776 1296 78.73% 16.40% 4.88%+2.80 +4.0 35
1996-06-13 Zalgiris W 2-058.6 1845 1823 48.20% 18.26% 33.55%+0.33 +46.2 37
1996-06-13 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-258.6 1823 1845 33.55% 18.26% 48.20%-0.33 -46.2 30
1996-06-13 PSK Aras Klaipeda D 1-156.7 1350 1397 38.54% 18.28% 43.18%-0.10 +0.7 17
1996-06-13 @ Panerys D 1-156.7 1397 1350 43.18% 18.28% 38.54%+0.10 -0.7 9
1996-06-13 FBK Kaunas L 1-240.4 1195 1441 16.26% 17.83% 65.91%-1.34 -12.2 3
1996-06-13 @ Zalgiris B W 2-140.4 1441 1195 65.91% 17.83% 16.26%+1.34 +12.2 17
1996-06-16 FK Ukmerge W 1-035.4 1196 1029 64.39% 17.90% 17.71%+1.23 +14.0 26
1996-06-16 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-135.4 1029 1196 17.71% 17.90% 64.39%-1.23 -14.0 17
1996-06-16 Alsa Vilnius L 0-237.2 768 893 28.41% 18.20% 53.40%-0.58 -40.1 3
1996-06-16 @ JR Klaipeda W 2-037.2 893 768 53.40% 18.20% 28.41%+0.58 +40.1 12
1996-06-16 Mastis Telsiai W 2-035.5 1146 1032 59.24% 18.07% 22.68%+0.90 +33.0 24
1996-06-16 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius L 0-235.5 1032 1146 22.68% 18.07% 59.24%-0.90 -33.0 11

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1995-09-04 4.52% @ Tauras Taurage 805 1 Alsa Vilnius 1299 0
2 1995-07-20 10.60% JR Klaipeda 1108 2 @ FBK Kaunas 1378 1
3 1995-10-22 10.89% @ Tauras Taurage 878 2 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1204 0
4 1996-04-21 11.31% FK Ukmerge 922 1 @ Mastis Telsiai 1179 0
5 1995-10-22 12.83% @ Ekranas 1301 2 PSK Aras Klaipeda 1595 1
6 1996-06-02 13.10% Banga Gargzdai 1033 2 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1261 1
7 1996-05-05 13.95% Panerys 1281 2 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda 1497 1
8 1995-10-14 17.38% @ Alsa Vilnius 918 2 Banga Gargzdai 1151 1
9 1996-05-08 18.04% Tauras Taurage 1001 1 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1163 0
10 1995-11-11 18.52% Zalgiris B 1281 3 @ Panerys 1438 1
11 1996-06-07 22.96% @ Alsa Vilnius 855 2 FK Ukmerge 1028 1
12 1996-06-09 23.66% @ Panerys 1312 2 FBK Kaunas 1478 1
13 1996-05-04 23.99% @ Tauras Taurage 961 1 Banga Gargzdai 1124 0
14 1996-05-12 24.34% Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1120 3 @ Mastis Telsiai 1218 1
15 1996-05-29 25.00% @ FK Ukmerge 991 2 Mastis Telsiai 1145 1
16 1995-08-06 25.86% @ JR Klaipeda 1123 2 Ekranas 1269 1
17 1995-10-22 26.24% FK Ukmerge 879 2 @ Alsa Vilnius 960 0
18 1996-06-12 26.27% @ Tauras Taurage 1074 2 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1217 0
19 1995-10-13 26.30% Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1169 2 @ Mastis Telsiai 1249 1
20 1995-09-10 28.53% @ JR Klaipeda 1122 2 Alsa Vilnius 1245 0
21 1996-03-31 29.20% @ FBK Kaunas 1461 1 PSK Aras Klaipeda 1578 0
22 1995-08-20 29.34% @ FK Ukmerge 1039 2 JR Klaipeda 1156 1
23 1995-10-01 30.13% @ Tauras Taurage 840 2 FK Ukmerge 950 0
24 1996-06-04 30.25% @ Kareda Siauliai 1766 1 Inkaras Kaunas 1875 0
25 1996-04-13 31.13% Banga Gargzdai 1059 1 @ JR Klaipeda 1099 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-10-11 158.13 Mastis Telsiai 6 1091 38.54% @ Alsa Vilnius 0 1076 43.18% 18.28%
2 1996-03-31 114.13 Kareda Siauliai 7 1525 57.21% @ Panerys 0 1368 24.67% 18.12%
3 1995-09-09 113.13 Zalgiris B 5 1113 46.28% @ FK Ukmerge 0 1044 35.45% 18.27%
4 1996-05-04 101.04 Mastis Telsiai 5 1121 50.78% @ JR Klaipeda 0 1018 30.99% 18.23%
5 1995-07-25 96.69 FBK Kaunas 6 1331 44.90% @ Zalgiris B 1 1272 36.83% 18.28%
6 1995-10-22 91.98 @ Tauras Taurage 2 878 10.89% Lokomotyvas Vilnius 0 1204 71.68% 17.43%
7 1996-06-12 89.43 Banga Gargzdai 3 1106 34.42% @ Mastis Telsiai 0 1121 47.32% 18.26%
8 1995-10-22 71.32 FK Ukmerge 2 879 26.24% @ Alsa Vilnius 0 960 55.60% 18.16%
9 1996-06-12 71.27 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1074 26.27% Lokomotyvas Vilnius 0 1217 55.57% 18.16%
10 1995-11-11 70.37 Zalgiris B 3 1281 18.52% @ Panerys 1 1438 63.55% 17.93%
11 1995-09-10 68.52 @ JR Klaipeda 2 1122 28.53% Alsa Vilnius 0 1245 53.28% 18.20%
12 1995-10-01 66.60 @ Tauras Taurage 2 840 30.13% FK Ukmerge 0 950 51.65% 18.22%
13 1996-05-12 64.69 @ FK Ukmerge 5 1016 34.93% Banga Gargzdai 2 1089 46.80% 18.27%
14 1996-05-12 63.81 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 3 1120 24.34% @ Mastis Telsiai 1 1218 57.54% 18.12%
15 1995-09-23 63.56 PSK Aras Klaipeda 2 1420 32.70% @ Panerys 0 1449 49.05% 18.25%
16 1995-10-14 56.32 PSK Aras Klaipeda 2 1539 39.09% @ Kareda Siauliai 0 1520 42.63% 18.28%
17 1996-05-05 56.24 Inkaras Kaunas 3 1792 31.52% @ Zalgiris 1 1829 50.24% 18.24%
18 1995-10-06 54.68 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda 2 1484 40.59% FBK Kaunas 0 1517 41.13% 18.28%
19 1995-09-04 53.94 @ Tauras Taurage 1 805 4.52% Alsa Vilnius 0 1299 79.19% 16.28%
20 1996-05-08 51.78 FK Ukmerge 2 964 43.24% @ JR Klaipeda 0 917 38.48% 18.28%
21 1996-05-11 48.89 FBK Kaunas 3 1471 38.97% @ PSK Aras Klaipeda 1 1453 42.75% 18.28%
22 1996-04-21 48.45 FK Ukmerge 1 922 11.31% @ Mastis Telsiai 0 1179 71.21% 17.47%
23 1996-05-21 47.35 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1053 47.18% FK Ukmerge 0 1039 34.56% 18.26%
24 1995-07-20 46.21 JR Klaipeda 2 1108 10.60% @ FBK Kaunas 1 1378 72.00% 17.40%
25 1996-06-13 46.19 @ Inkaras Kaunas 2 1845 48.20% Zalgiris 0 1823 33.55% 18.26%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-05-01 73.8 @ Kareda Siauliai 1 1711 28.61% Zalgiris 1 1833 53.19% 18.20%
2 1996-05-26 72.9 @ Panerys 2 1307 4.72% Zalgiris 2 1792 78.93% 16.35%
3 1996-04-28 70.2 @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1789 55.85% Kareda Siauliai 0 1705 25.99% 18.15%
4 1996-04-06 68.8 @ Ekranas 1 1320 5.00% Zalgiris 1 1795 78.57% 16.43%
5 1996-05-05 68.2 Inkaras Kaunas 3 1792 31.52% @ Zalgiris 1 1829 50.24% 18.24%
6 1995-07-25 68.0 @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1653 52.46% Zalgiris 0 1598 29.33% 18.21%
7 1995-09-10 67.0 @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1699 67.65% FBK Kaunas 0 1493 14.62% 17.73%
8 1996-06-04 65.4 @ Kareda Siauliai 1 1766 30.25% Inkaras Kaunas 0 1875 51.53% 18.22%
9 1996-06-09 65.3 @ Zalgiris 2 1798 44.83% Kareda Siauliai 1 1801 36.89% 18.28%
10 1995-10-22 61.4 @ Ekranas 2 1301 12.83% PSK Aras Klaipeda 1 1595 69.57% 17.60%
11 1996-04-28 61.2 @ Ekranas 2 1298 26.99% FBK Kaunas 2 1435 54.84% 18.17%
12 1996-04-13 60.0 @ Zalgiris B 2 1301 40.71% Ekranas 2 1333 41.00% 18.28%
13 1996-06-04 59.4 Zalgiris 4 1794 76.45% @ PSK Aras Klaipeda 3 1374 6.71% 16.84%
14 1995-10-07 59.1 @ Zalgiris B 2 1267 65.76% Mastis Telsiai 2 1085 16.40% 17.83%
15 1995-07-25 59.0 @ FK Ukmerge 2 1056 18.57% Ekranas 2 1274 63.50% 17.93%
16 1995-08-12 59.0 @ Ekranas 2 1233 57.43% Zalgiris B 2 1136 24.45% 18.12%
17 1996-06-13 58.6 @ Inkaras Kaunas 2 1845 48.20% Zalgiris 0 1823 33.55% 18.26%
18 1996-05-01 58.1 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda 1 1506 67.49% Ekranas 1 1302 14.77% 17.74%
19 1996-06-04 58.0 @ FBK Kaunas 1 1486 64.67% Ekranas 1 1316 17.44% 17.88%
20 1996-05-05 57.9 Panerys 2 1281 13.95% @ PSK Aras Klaipeda 1 1497 68.37% 17.69%
21 1995-08-20 57.4 Zalgiris 3 1613 59.51% @ Panerys 2 1435 22.43% 18.07%
22 1996-03-31 57.4 @ FBK Kaunas 1 1461 29.20% PSK Aras Klaipeda 0 1578 52.59% 18.21%
23 1995-09-18 57.1 Zalgiris 2 1668 58.18% @ FBK Kaunas 1 1503 23.72% 18.10%
24 1995-10-22 57.1 @ Kareda Siauliai 3 1464 45.47% FBK Kaunas 2 1462 36.26% 18.27%
25 1996-06-13 56.7 @ Panerys 1 1350 38.54% PSK Aras Klaipeda 1 1397 43.18% 18.28%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-07-20 24.3 @ Zalgiris 7 1594 86.22% Tauras Taurage 0 822 0.72% 13.06%
2 1995-08-03 24.8 @ Panerys 6 1466 84.25% Tauras Taurage 0 818 1.42% 14.33%
3 1995-11-03 24.8 @ Zalgiris 9 1735 87.23% Alsa Vilnius 0 888 0.48% 12.29%
4 1995-08-12 25.1 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda 5 1458 84.21% Tauras Taurage 0 812 1.43% 14.35%
5 1995-10-06 25.1 Inkaras Kaunas 6 1719 86.23% @ FK Ukmerge 0 884 0.72% 13.06%
6 1995-09-10 25.3 Kareda Siauliai 6 1499 82.94% @ Tauras Taurage 0 859 2.06% 15.00%
7 1995-10-14 26.0 Zalgiris 4 1728 86.40% @ FK Ukmerge 0 881 0.67% 12.93%
8 1995-09-16 26.1 @ Ekranas 7 1288 79.37% Tauras Taurage 0 850 4.39% 16.24%
9 1995-11-05 26.3 @ PSK Aras Klaipeda 4 1550 83.37% FK Ukmerge 0 950 1.83% 14.79%
10 1995-11-11 27.3 Inkaras Kaunas 4 1741 85.27% @ Tauras Taurage 0 970 1.01% 13.71%
11 1996-05-29 27.9 Lokomotyvas Vilnius 5 1231 74.64% @ JR Klaipeda 0 851 8.25% 17.11%
12 1995-11-11 28.0 Kareda Siauliai 5 1502 76.96% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1070 6.28% 16.75%
13 1995-11-11 28.8 PSK Aras Klaipeda 5 1556 77.03% @ JR Klaipeda 0 1122 6.23% 16.74%
14 1995-08-29 29.4 Panerys 4 1420 72.90% @ FK Ukmerge 0 1073 9.79% 17.31%
15 1995-11-04 29.5 @ FBK Kaunas 3 1439 76.25% Banga Gargzdai 0 1085 6.87% 16.88%
16 1995-11-07 29.5 Zalgiris B 3 1262 74.50% @ Alsa Vilnius 0 885 8.37% 17.13%
17 1995-11-11 29.5 FBK Kaunas 2 1454 79.68% @ FK Ukmerge 0 945 4.16% 16.16%
18 1995-10-26 29.9 Inkaras Kaunas 1 1734 86.37% @ Alsa Vilnius 0 888 0.68% 12.95%
19 1995-10-14 30.1 @ Zalgiris B 2 1261 77.10% Tauras Taurage 0 888 6.17% 16.73%
20 1996-06-07 30.3 @ Mastis Telsiai 3 1097 71.74% JR Klaipeda 0 832 10.84% 17.43%
21 1995-10-24 30.7 @ Panerys 3 1379 72.00% Banga Gargzdai 0 1109 10.60% 17.40%
22 1995-07-16 31.2 Mastis Telsiai 1 1299 78.50% @ Tauras Taurage 0 826 5.05% 16.45%
23 1995-07-20 31.7 @ Kareda Siauliai 2 1352 72.64% FK Ukmerge 0 1071 10.02% 17.34%
24 1996-05-25 31.7 @ Lokomotyvas Vilnius 1 1226 76.70% Alsa Vilnius 0 862 6.50% 16.80%
25 1995-10-06 31.8 @ Zalgiris 4 1721 82.64% Banga Gargzdai 0 1157 2.22% 15.13%