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2000 A Lyga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Zalgiris Kaunas

86 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Nevezis

11.58 points above expected

47 points · 35.42 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Inkaras Kaunas

13.30 points below expected

21 points · 34.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zalgiris Kaunas 36 26 8 2 86 115 24 +91 86.75 -0.75
2 Zalgiris 36 25 8 3 83 108 28 +80 83.89 -0.89
3 Atlantas 36 21 4 11 67 70 45 +25 66.70 +0.30
4 Ekranas 36 18 8 10 62 57 31 +26 64.35 -2.35
5 Kareda Kaunas 36 17 9 10 60 56 49 +7 60.13 -0.13
6 Nevezis 36 11 14 11 47 31 44 -13 35.42 +11.58
7 Dainava Alytus 36 8 9 19 33 34 66 -32 22.35 +10.65
8 Polonija Vilnius 36 6 7 23 25 27 82 -55 32.55 -7.55
9 Inkaras Kaunas 36 5 6 25 21 28 95 -67 34.30 -13.30
10 Banga Gargzdai 36 3 7 26 16 19 81 -62 18.77 -2.77

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nevezis 47 35.42 +11.58
2 Dainava Alytus 33 22.35 +10.65
3 Atlantas 67 66.70 +0.30
4 Kareda Kaunas 60 60.13 -0.13
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 86 86.75 -0.75

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Inkaras Kaunas 21 34.30 -13.30
2 Polonija Vilnius 25 32.55 -7.55
3 Banga Gargzdai 16 18.77 -2.77
4 Ekranas 62 64.35 -2.35
5 Zalgiris 83 83.89 -0.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dainava Alytus 1 Apr 1 – Apr 1 1 in 54
2 Atlantas 8 May 10 – Jun 29 1 in 19
3 Inkaras Kaunas 2 Aug 12 – Aug 19 1 in 10
4 Nevezis 2 Jun 14 – Jun 18 1 in 7
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 7 Oct 1 – Nov 4 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Polonija Vilnius 8 Aug 28 – Oct 28 1 in 188
2 Zalgiris Kaunas 1 Sep 6 – Sep 6 1 in 98
3 Banga Gargzdai 11 Jun 30 – Sep 13 1 in 38
4 Inkaras Kaunas 6 Jun 26 – Aug 6 1 in 28
5 Zalgiris 1 Apr 20 – Apr 20 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dainava Alytus 3 Mar 25 – Apr 4 1 in 167
2 Nevezis 7 Aug 6 – Sep 10 1 in 92
3 Zalgiris 24 Apr 30 – Sep 23 1 in 33
4 Banga Gargzdai 3 Jun 1 – Jun 14 1 in 19
5 Kareda Kaunas 8 Jun 26 – Aug 6 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inkaras Kaunas 16 May 7 – Aug 6 1 in 308
2 Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Apr 8 – Apr 16 1 in 26
3 Zalgiris 3 Sep 27 – Oct 14 1 in 26
4 Ekranas 5 May 28 – Jun 18 1 in 20
5 Banga Gargzdai 25 Apr 30 – Sep 23 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zalgiris Kaunas 1884 86 +45 15 12.4 +2.6
Zalgiris 1763 83 -25 8 11.4 -3.4
Atlantas 1597 67 -36 7 9.3 -2.3
Ekranas 1594 62 +9 7 6.7 +0.3
Kareda Kaunas 1492 60 -12 6 5.2 +0.8
Nevezis 1351 47 +9 5 5.2 -0.2
Dainava Alytus 1180 33 -33 4 5.2 -1.2
Polonija Vilnius 1144 25 -78 1 6.3 -5.3
Inkaras Kaunas 1132 21 +25 6 3.3 +2.7
Banga Gargzdai 1041 16 +30 7 3.3 +3.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ATL BG DA EKR IK KK NEV PV ZAL ZK
Atlantas —
4-0-0
10.28
4-0-0
10.20
1-2-1
5.99
3-0-1
9.05
2-0-2
6.64
2-1-1
9.68
4-0-0
9.29
1-1-2
2.61
0-0-4
2.26
Banga Gargzdai
0-0-4
1.08
—
0-1-3
5.04
0-1-3
1.04
1-1-2
3.31
0-1-3
1.16
1-1-2
3.03
1-1-2
3.53
0-1-3
0.62
0-0-4
0.50
Dainava Alytus
0-0-4
1.14
3-1-0
6.03
—
1-0-3
1.06
3-1-0
4.55
0-0-4
1.37
0-3-1
3.81
0-3-1
4.13
0-0-4
0.65
1-1-2
0.57
Ekranas
1-2-1
5.07
3-1-0
10.33
3-0-1
10.31
—
3-1-0
9.13
1-2-1
6.41
2-1-1
9.23
4-0-0
9.28
0-0-4
2.70
1-1-2
2.22
Inkaras Kaunas
1-0-3
2.19
2-1-1
7.79
0-1-3
6.55
0-1-3
2.08
—
0-1-3
2.97
0-1-3
5.35
2-0-2
5.45
0-0-4
1.04
0-1-3
0.90
Kareda Kaunas
2-0-2
4.42
3-1-0
10.17
4-0-0
9.93
1-2-1
4.66
3-1-0
8.19
—
0-3-1
9.21
2-1-1
9.18
2-1-1
2.21
0-0-4
2.04
Nevezis
1-1-2
1.57
2-1-1
8.09
1-3-0
7.27
1-1-2
1.96
3-1-0
5.75
1-3-0
1.98
—
2-2-0
5.65
0-1-3
0.97
0-1-3
0.88
Polonija Vilnius
0-0-4
1.90
2-1-1
7.56
1-3-0
6.95
0-0-4
1.91
2-0-2
5.64
1-1-2
2.01
0-2-2
5.42
—
0-0-4
0.90
0-0-4
0.79
Zalgiris
2-1-1
8.53
3-1-0
10.91
4-0-0
10.87
4-0-0
8.43
4-0-0
10.36
1-1-2
8.95
3-1-0
10.43
4-0-0
10.52
—
0-4-0
4.75
Zalgiris Kaunas
4-0-0
8.90
4-0-0
11.10
2-1-1
11.00
2-1-1
8.94
3-1-0
10.56
4-0-0
9.14
3-1-0
10.54
4-0-0
10.67
0-4-0
6.31
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +7.0
Allowed 0.88 -9.6
Differential 0.97 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.83%7.78%2.22%2.50%3.33%32.78%
15.83%8.89%6.11%3.89%1.67%3.33%29.72%
27.78%6.11%1.67%1.39%0.28%0.28%17.50%
32.22%3.89%1.39%0.56%—0.28%8.33%
42.50%1.67%0.28%———4.44%
5+3.33%3.33%0.28%0.28%——7.22%
Total32.78%29.72%17.50%8.33%4.44%7.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.51 1.51 +0.00
SD 1.72 1.72 2.71
CV 1.14 1.14 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
15.56%—2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%22.22%
216.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%11.11%———2.78%16.67%
4—8.33%————8.33%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total36.11%36.11%8.33%11.11%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.25 +0.69
SD 1.39 1.42 2.10
CV 0.72 1.14 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%16.67%8.33%—8.33%55.56%
15.56%8.33%11.11%5.56%—5.56%36.11%
22.78%—2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%30.56%13.89%2.78%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 2.25 -1.72
SD 0.65 2.02 2.11
CV 1.24 0.90 —
Max 2 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%—8.33%—36.11%
12.78%13.89%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%44.44%
25.56%5.56%————11.11%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%30.56%22.22%5.56%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.83 -0.89
SD 0.98 1.76 2.15
CV 1.04 0.96 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%11.11%—2.78%—33.33%
113.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
28.33%2.78%—2.78%——13.89%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total47.22%27.78%19.44%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.86 +0.72
SD 1.78 1.02 2.21
CV 1.12 1.18 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%8.33%5.56%8.33%38.89%
12.78%13.89%8.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%47.22%
22.78%5.56%———2.78%11.11%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%27.78%16.67%22.22%11.11%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 2.64 -1.86
SD 0.76 2.03 2.34
CV 0.98 0.77 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%5.56%———19.44%
15.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%—8.33%30.56%
211.11%13.89%2.78%5.56%——33.33%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%8.33%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.36 +0.19
SD 1.18 1.53 1.98
CV 0.76 1.13 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%2.78%16.67%——8.33%52.78%
18.33%13.89%2.78%———25.00%
25.56%8.33%————13.89%
3——2.78%———2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total41.67%25.00%25.00%——8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.22 -0.36
SD 1.22 1.61 2.14
CV 1.42 1.31 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%8.33%5.56%8.33%8.33%52.78%
1—2.78%13.89%2.78%—8.33%27.78%
25.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%16.67%25.00%8.33%8.33%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 2.28 -1.53
SD 0.97 2.21 2.65
CV 1.29 0.97 —
Max 3 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—————5.56%
18.33%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—22.22%
28.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
35.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
411.11%—————11.11%
5+11.11%8.33%————19.44%
Total50.00%33.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 0.78 +2.22
SD 2.32 1.02 2.73
CV 0.77 1.31 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
15.56%8.33%————13.89%
211.11%2.78%————13.89%
3—5.56%—2.78%——8.33%
45.56%8.33%————13.89%
5+13.89%16.67%—2.78%——33.33%
Total47.22%44.44%2.78%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.19 0.67 +2.53
SD 2.40 0.79 2.46
CV 0.75 1.19 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zalgiris Kaunas 1884 86 86.75 -0.75 51.0% 73 79 83 86 90 96 99
Zalgiris 1763 83 83.89 -0.89 49.0% 68 76 80 84 88 92 96
Atlantas 1597 67 66.70 +0.30 53.0% 52 55 63 67 70 77 83
Ekranas 1594 62 64.35 -2.35 38.0% 51 55 61 65 68 73 81
Kareda Kaunas 1492 60 60.13 -0.13 48.0% 43 49 56 61 64 70 79
Nevezis 1351 47 35.42 +11.58 98.0% 23 25 32 36 38 44 51
Dainava Alytus 1180 33 22.35 +10.65 94.0% 9 14 19 22 25 34 38
Polonija Vilnius 1144 25 32.55 -7.55 13.0% 13 22 28 32 37 43 49
Inkaras Kaunas 1132 21 34.30 -13.30 2.0% 19 23 30 35 39 45 53
Banga Gargzdai 1041 16 18.77 -2.77 36.0% 5 10 14 19 23 28 37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+0.00%
No Edge
38.89%22.22%38.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 0.00 Elo pts.
220 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.00+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
62%
Zalgiris Kaunas, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.77 * Some Luck: 4.77 to 7.15 * Lucky: 7.15 to 9.54 * Wild Swing: 9.54 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.49 * Close: 0.49 to 0.73 * Off: 0.73 to 0.98 * Way Off: 0.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.02 points
Some Luck
05.9615
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
00.611.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.00%
Nevezis
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Inkaras Kaunas
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 291.50
3.17
Wide Separation
12.52.853.5
Interquartile Edge
93%
Wide Edge
50%77.5%86.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Frequent
0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.452
Matchup Imbalance
0.68
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.37
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Strong Carryover
00.650.811
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.03
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.71
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.0970.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Zalgiris Kaunas62.00%37.00%1.00%———————
Zalgiris37.00%57.00%5.00%1.00%——————
Atlantas1.00%5.00%49.00%29.00%16.00%—————
Ekranas——33.00%47.00%20.00%—————
Kareda Kaunas—1.00%12.00%23.00%63.00%1.00%————
Nevezis—————40.00%28.00%29.00%3.00%—
Dainava Alytus—————4.00%3.00%14.00%46.00%33.00%
Polonija Vilnius—————20.00%38.00%27.00%11.00%4.00%
Inkaras Kaunas————1.00%34.00%29.00%25.00%8.00%3.00%
Banga Gargzdai—————1.00%2.00%5.00%32.00%60.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Atlantas 100% — —
Ekranas 100% — —
Kareda Kaunas 100% — —
Nevezis 68.00% 32.00% —
Zalgiris 100% — —
Zalgiris Kaunas 100% — —
Inkaras Kaunas 64.00% 33.00% 3.00%
Polonija Vilnius 58.00% 38.00% 4.00%
Dainava Alytus 7.00% 60.00% 33.00%
Banga Gargzdai 3.00% 37.00% 60.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2000-03-25 Banga Gargzdai W 2-030.6 1566 1109 78.25% 17.20% 4.55%+2.08 +4.2 3
2000-03-25 @ Atlantas L 0-230.6 1109 1566 4.55% 17.20% 78.25%-2.08 -4.2 0
2000-03-25 Inkaras Kaunas D 1-167.2 1624 1499 54.40% 22.99% 22.61%+0.57 -3.0 1
2000-03-25 @ Ekranas D 1-167.2 1499 1624 22.61% 22.99% 54.40%-0.57 +3.0 1
2000-03-25 Dainava Alytus D 0-056.9 1821 975 90.44% 8.94% 0.63%+3.85 -9.5 1
2000-03-25 @ Zalgiris Kaunas D 0-056.9 975 1821 0.63% 8.94% 90.44%-3.85 +9.5 1
2000-03-25 Polonija Vilnius W 3-034.3 1778 1182 83.66% 14.05% 2.28%+2.71 +2.9 3
2000-03-25 @ Zalgiris L 0-334.3 1182 1778 2.28% 14.05% 83.66%-2.71 -2.9 0
2000-03-26 Nevezis D 1-155.2 1496 1128 73.79% 19.15% 7.06%+1.67 -6.7 1
2000-03-26 @ Kareda Kaunas D 1-155.2 1128 1496 7.06% 19.15% 73.79%-1.67 +6.7 1
2000-04-01 Nevezis L 1-259.2 1570 1134 77.26% 17.68% 5.06%+1.98 -29.0 3
2000-04-01 @ Atlantas W 2-159.2 1134 1570 5.06% 17.68% 77.26%-1.98 +29.0 4
2000-04-01 Zalgiris D 1-162.1 1104 1781 1.52% 12.28% 86.20%-3.08 +8.2 1
2000-04-01 @ Banga Gargzdai D 1-162.1 1781 1104 86.20% 12.28% 1.52%+3.08 -8.2 4
2000-04-01 Dainava Alytus L 2-363.6 1621 984 85.01% 13.14% 1.85%+2.90 -29.0 1
2000-04-01 @ Ekranas W 3-263.6 984 1621 1.85% 13.14% 85.01%-2.90 +29.0 4
2000-04-01 Inkaras Kaunas W 1-053.1 1489 1502 36.38% 23.56% 40.06%-0.06 +17.2 4
2000-04-01 @ Kareda Kaunas L 0-153.1 1502 1489 40.06% 23.56% 36.38%+0.06 -17.2 1
2000-04-01 Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-533.5 1179 1812 1.90% 13.24% 84.86%-2.88 -3.8 0
2000-04-01 @ Polonija Vilnius W 5-033.5 1812 1179 84.86% 13.24% 1.90%+2.88 +3.8 4
2000-04-04 Inkaras Kaunas W 4-152.4 1541 1485 46.06% 23.44% 30.49%+0.26 +32.2 6
2000-04-04 @ Atlantas L 1-452.4 1485 1541 30.49% 23.44% 46.06%-0.26 -32.2 1
2000-04-04 Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-135.6 1113 1815 1.32% 11.72% 86.95%-3.20 -0.6 1
2000-04-04 @ Banga Gargzdai W 1-035.6 1815 1113 86.95% 11.72% 1.32%+3.20 +0.6 7
2000-04-04 Polonija Vilnius D 1-153.1 1013 1175 19.04% 22.61% 58.35%-0.74 +3.8 5
2000-04-04 @ Dainava Alytus D 1-153.1 1175 1013 58.35% 22.61% 19.04%+0.74 -3.8 1
2000-04-04 Ekranas D 0-062.6 1506 1592 26.93% 23.29% 49.78%-0.39 +2.3 5
2000-04-04 @ Kareda Kaunas D 0-062.6 1592 1506 49.78% 23.29% 26.93%+0.39 -2.3 2
2000-04-04 Nevezis W 5-031.7 1772 1163 84.11% 13.75% 2.14%+2.77 +4.3 7
2000-04-04 @ Zalgiris L 0-531.7 1163 1772 2.14% 13.75% 84.11%-2.77 -4.3 4
2000-04-08 Kareda Kaunas L 1-235.3 1017 1509 3.84% 16.42% 79.73%-2.24 -1.8 5
2000-04-08 @ Dainava Alytus W 2-135.3 1509 1017 79.73% 16.42% 3.84%+2.24 +1.8 8
2000-04-08 Atlantas W 3-160.4 1590 1574 40.52% 23.55% 35.92%+0.07 +25.9 5
2000-04-08 @ Ekranas L 1-360.4 1574 1590 35.92% 23.55% 40.52%-0.07 -25.9 6
2000-04-08 Nevezis D 0-061.3 1816 1159 85.62% 12.70% 1.68%+2.99 -9.2 8
2000-04-08 @ Zalgiris Kaunas D 0-061.3 1159 1816 1.68% 12.70% 85.62%-2.99 +9.2 5
2000-04-08 Zalgiris L 0-149.9 1452 1777 8.74% 20.03% 71.22%-1.48 -4.5 1
2000-04-08 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 1-049.9 1777 1452 71.22% 20.03% 8.74%+1.48 +4.5 10
2000-04-08 Banga Gargzdai W 3-037.0 1172 1112 46.45% 23.43% 30.12%+0.27 +37.8 4
2000-04-08 @ Polonija Vilnius L 0-337.0 1112 1172 30.12% 23.43% 46.45%-0.27 -37.8 1
2000-04-16 Kareda Kaunas W 1-053.4 1548 1510 43.47% 23.51% 33.02%+0.17 +14.8 9
2000-04-16 @ Atlantas L 0-153.4 1510 1548 33.02% 23.51% 43.47%-0.17 -14.8 8
2000-04-16 Dainava Alytus L 1-249.7 1074 1015 46.38% 23.43% 30.18%+0.27 -18.3 1
2000-04-16 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-149.7 1015 1074 30.18% 23.43% 46.38%-0.27 +18.3 8
2000-04-16 Inkaras Kaunas D 0-067.7 1807 1448 73.27% 19.34% 7.39%+1.63 -7.4 9
2000-04-16 @ Zalgiris Kaunas D 0-067.7 1448 1807 7.39% 19.34% 73.27%-1.63 +7.4 2
2000-04-16 Polonija Vilnius D 0-049.2 1168 1210 32.51% 23.50% 43.99%-0.19 +1.1 6
2000-04-16 @ Nevezis D 0-049.2 1210 1168 43.99% 23.50% 32.51%+0.19 -1.1 5
2000-04-16 Ekranas W 1-055.7 1781 1616 58.67% 22.57% 18.76%+0.75 +9.3 13
2000-04-16 @ Zalgiris L 0-155.7 1616 1781 18.76% 22.57% 58.67%-0.75 -9.3 5
2000-04-20 Dainava Alytus W 2-029.0 1562 1033 81.24% 15.57% 3.19%+2.41 +2.8 12
2000-04-20 @ Atlantas L 0-229.0 1033 1562 3.19% 15.57% 81.24%-2.41 -2.9 8
2000-04-20 Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-450.5 1606 1799 16.50% 22.23% 61.28%-0.88 -29.5 5
2000-04-20 @ Ekranas W 4-050.5 1799 1606 61.28% 22.23% 16.50%+0.88 +29.5 12
2000-04-20 Zalgiris W 2-173.6 1495 1790 10.08% 20.59% 69.33%-1.34 +26.5 11
2000-04-20 @ Kareda Kaunas L 1-273.6 1790 1495 69.33% 20.59% 10.08%+1.34 -26.5 13
2000-04-20 Banga Gargzdai L 0-245.4 1169 1056 53.08% 23.09% 23.83%+0.52 -41.2 6
2000-04-20 @ Nevezis W 2-045.4 1056 1169 23.83% 23.09% 53.08%-0.52 +41.3 4
2000-04-21 Polonija Vilnius L 0-348.5 1455 1208 65.85% 21.42% 12.73%+1.12 -73.4 2
2000-04-21 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 3-048.5 1208 1455 12.73% 21.42% 65.85%-1.12 +73.4 8
2000-04-30 Nevezis D 1-152.9 1031 1128 25.58% 23.21% 51.21%-0.44 +2.4 9
2000-04-30 @ Dainava Alytus D 1-152.9 1128 1031 51.21% 23.21% 25.58%+0.44 -2.4 7
2000-04-30 Kareda Kaunas W 2-050.1 1829 1522 70.11% 20.37% 9.52%+1.40 +9.2 15
2000-04-30 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-250.1 1522 1829 9.52% 20.37% 70.11%-1.40 -9.2 11
2000-04-30 Banga Gargzdai W 2-138.5 1382 1097 68.63% 20.78% 10.60%+1.30 +5.1 5
2000-04-30 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 1-238.5 1097 1382 10.60% 20.78% 68.63%-1.30 -5.1 4
2000-04-30 Ekranas L 0-434.2 1282 1577 10.08% 20.59% 69.33%-1.34 -18.4 8
2000-04-30 @ Polonija Vilnius W 4-034.2 1577 1282 69.33% 20.59% 10.08%+1.34 +18.4 8
2000-04-30 Atlantas W 1-054.2 1764 1565 61.80% 22.15% 16.05%+0.90 +8.0 16
2000-04-30 @ Zalgiris L 0-154.2 1565 1764 16.05% 22.15% 61.80%-0.90 -8.0 12
2000-05-07 Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-453.8 1557 1838 10.82% 20.85% 68.33%-1.28 -12.7 12
2000-05-07 @ Atlantas W 4-153.8 1838 1557 68.33% 20.85% 10.82%+1.28 +12.7 18
2000-05-07 Banga Gargzdai W 5-027.0 1595 1092 80.21% 16.16% 3.63%+2.29 +7.7 11
2000-05-07 @ Ekranas L 0-527.0 1092 1595 3.63% 16.16% 80.21%-2.29 -7.7 4
2000-05-07 Polonija Vilnius W 2-142.0 1513 1263 66.03% 21.38% 12.58%+1.13 +6.0 14
2000-05-07 @ Kareda Kaunas L 1-242.0 1263 1513 12.58% 21.38% 66.03%-1.13 -6.0 8
2000-05-07 Inkaras Kaunas W 2-049.4 1126 1387 11.88% 21.19% 66.94%-1.19 +51.3 10
2000-05-07 @ Nevezis L 0-249.4 1387 1126 66.94% 21.19% 11.88%+1.19 -51.3 5
2000-05-07 Dainava Alytus W 4-027.2 1772 1033 87.93% 10.98% 1.10%+3.36 +1.7 19
2000-05-07 @ Zalgiris L 0-427.2 1033 1772 1.10% 10.98% 87.93%-3.36 -1.7 9
2000-05-10 Kareda Kaunas L 0-230.3 1084 1519 5.10% 17.71% 77.19%-1.98 -4.8 4
2000-05-10 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-030.3 1519 1084 77.19% 17.71% 5.10%+1.98 +4.8 17
2000-05-10 Inkaras Kaunas W 3-154.4 1031 1336 9.63% 20.41% 69.96%-1.39 +46.3 12
2000-05-10 @ Dainava Alytus L 1-354.4 1336 1031 69.96% 20.41% 9.63%+1.39 -46.3 5
2000-05-10 Zalgiris D 0-068.9 1851 1774 48.67% 23.34% 27.98%+0.35 -2.1 19
2000-05-10 @ Zalgiris Kaunas D 0-068.9 1774 1851 27.98% 23.34% 48.67%-0.35 +2.1 20
2000-05-10 Ekranas L 0-134.5 1177 1603 5.32% 17.90% 76.78%-1.94 -2.6 10
2000-05-10 @ Nevezis W 1-034.5 1603 1177 76.78% 17.90% 5.32%+1.94 +2.6 14
2000-05-10 Atlantas L 1-340.2 1257 1545 10.48% 20.73% 68.79%-1.31 -8.7 8
2000-05-10 @ Polonija Vilnius W 3-140.2 1545 1257 68.79% 20.73% 10.48%+1.31 +8.7 15
2000-05-14 Nevezis W 2-032.4 1553 1174 74.38% 18.92% 6.70%+1.72 +6.4 18
2000-05-14 @ Atlantas L 0-232.4 1174 1553 6.70% 18.92% 74.38%-1.72 -6.4 10
2000-05-14 Zalgiris L 1-237.7 1080 1776 1.37% 11.86% 86.77%-3.17 -0.6 4
2000-05-14 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-137.7 1776 1080 86.77% 11.86% 1.37%+3.17 +0.6 23
2000-05-14 Dainava Alytus W 2-029.8 1606 1078 81.20% 15.59% 3.21%+2.40 +2.9 17
2000-05-14 @ Ekranas L 0-229.8 1078 1606 3.21% 15.59% 81.20%-2.40 -2.9 12
2000-05-14 Inkaras Kaunas W 3-141.6 1524 1289 64.82% 21.63% 13.55%+1.07 +11.2 20
2000-05-14 @ Kareda Kaunas L 1-341.6 1289 1524 13.55% 21.63% 64.82%-1.07 -11.2 5
2000-05-14 Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-142.7 1249 1849 2.24% 13.96% 83.80%-2.73 -1.0 8
2000-05-14 @ Polonija Vilnius W 1-042.7 1849 1249 83.80% 13.96% 2.24%+2.73 +1.0 22
2000-05-17 Atlantas L 0-526.8 1079 1560 4.06% 16.67% 79.26%-2.19 -8.7 4
2000-05-17 @ Banga Gargzdai W 5-026.8 1560 1079 79.26% 16.67% 4.06%+2.19 +8.7 21
2000-05-17 Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-435.9 1075 1850 0.91% 10.27% 88.82%-3.53 -0.9 12
2000-05-17 @ Dainava Alytus W 4-135.9 1850 1075 88.82% 10.27% 0.91%+3.53 +0.9 25
2000-05-17 Ekranas L 1-341.6 1278 1608 8.50% 19.92% 71.58%-1.50 -7.1 5
2000-05-17 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 3-141.6 1608 1278 71.58% 19.92% 8.50%+1.50 +7.1 20
2000-05-17 Kareda Kaunas D 0-052.3 1168 1535 7.11% 19.18% 73.71%-1.67 +7.5 11
2000-05-17 @ Nevezis D 0-052.3 1535 1168 73.71% 19.18% 7.11%+1.67 -7.5 21
2000-05-17 Zalgiris L 0-436.3 1248 1776 3.20% 15.58% 81.23%-2.41 -5.4 8
2000-05-17 @ Polonija Vilnius W 4-036.3 1776 1248 81.23% 15.58% 3.20%+2.41 +5.4 26
2000-05-24 Ekranas L 0-131.6 1074 1616 3.00% 15.28% 81.72%-2.47 -1.4 12
2000-05-24 @ Dainava Alytus W 1-031.6 1616 1074 81.72% 15.28% 3.00%+2.47 +1.4 23
2000-05-24 Polonija Vilnius W 5-037.4 1850 1242 84.08% 13.77% 2.14%+2.77 +4.3 28
2000-05-24 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-537.4 1242 1850 2.14% 13.77% 84.08%-2.77 -4.3 8
2000-05-24 Kareda Kaunas D 1-157.1 1271 1527 12.19% 21.28% 66.54%-1.17 +5.4 6
2000-05-24 @ Inkaras Kaunas D 1-157.1 1527 1271 66.54% 21.28% 12.19%+1.17 -5.4 22
2000-05-24 Atlantas L 1-238.7 1176 1568 6.26% 18.63% 75.12%-1.79 -3.0 11
2000-05-24 @ Nevezis W 2-138.7 1568 1176 75.12% 18.63% 6.26%+1.79 +3.0 24
2000-05-24 Banga Gargzdai W 3-029.7 1782 1070 87.19% 11.54% 1.27%+3.24 +1.5 29
2000-05-24 @ Zalgiris L 0-329.7 1070 1782 1.27% 11.54% 87.19%-3.24 -1.5 4
2000-05-28 Kareda Kaunas L 0-259.5 1617 1522 50.91% 23.23% 25.86%+0.43 -39.7 23
2000-05-28 @ Ekranas W 2-059.5 1522 1617 25.86% 23.23% 50.91%-0.43 +39.7 25
2000-05-28 Banga Gargzdai W 7-131.9 1855 1069 89.09% 10.05% 0.86%+3.58 +1.5 31
2000-05-28 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-731.9 1069 1855 0.86% 10.05% 89.09%-3.58 -1.5 4
2000-05-28 Atlantas L 1-439.3 1277 1571 10.10% 20.60% 69.30%-1.34 -11.9 6
2000-05-28 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 4-139.3 1571 1277 69.30% 20.60% 10.10%+1.34 +11.9 27
2000-05-28 Zalgiris L 0-732.4 1173 1783 2.12% 13.72% 84.16%-2.78 -5.8 11
2000-05-28 @ Nevezis W 7-032.4 1783 1173 84.16% 13.72% 2.12%+2.78 +5.8 32
2000-05-28 Dainava Alytus W 2-141.2 1238 1072 58.66% 22.57% 18.77%+0.75 +8.7 11
2000-05-28 @ Polonija Vilnius L 1-241.2 1072 1238 18.77% 22.57% 58.66%-0.75 -8.7 12
2000-06-01 Ekranas D 0-052.6 1067 1577 3.51% 16.01% 80.48%-2.32 +8.6 5
2000-06-01 @ Banga Gargzdai D 0-052.6 1577 1067 80.48% 16.01% 3.51%+2.32 -8.6 24
2000-06-02 Atlantas L 1-334.2 1064 1583 3.35% 15.79% 80.87%-2.36 -2.6 12
2000-06-02 @ Dainava Alytus W 3-134.2 1583 1064 80.87% 15.79% 3.35%+2.36 +2.6 30
2000-06-10 Polonija Vilnius D 2-257.9 1076 1247 18.32% 22.51% 59.17%-0.78 +2.9 6
2000-06-10 @ Banga Gargzdai D 2-257.9 1247 1076 59.17% 22.51% 18.32%+0.78 -2.9 12
2000-06-10 Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-237.3 1167 1856 1.42% 12.00% 86.58%-3.14 -1.2 11
2000-06-10 @ Nevezis W 2-037.3 1856 1167 86.58% 12.00% 1.42%+3.14 +1.2 34
2000-06-11 Ekranas W 2-055.5 1586 1569 40.67% 23.55% 35.77%+0.08 +29.8 33
2000-06-11 @ Atlantas L 0-255.5 1569 1586 35.77% 23.55% 40.67%-0.08 -29.8 24
2000-06-11 Dainava Alytus W 5-130.7 1562 1061 80.10% 16.22% 3.68%+2.28 +5.3 28
2000-06-11 @ Kareda Kaunas L 1-530.7 1061 1562 3.68% 16.22% 80.10%-2.28 -5.3 12
2000-06-11 Inkaras Kaunas W 4-037.5 1789 1265 81.06% 15.68% 3.27%+2.39 +5.5 35
2000-06-11 @ Zalgiris L 0-437.5 1265 1789 3.27% 15.68% 81.06%-2.39 -5.5 6
2000-06-14 Banga Gargzdai D 0-049.0 1056 1079 34.96% 23.54% 41.50%-0.11 +0.6 13
2000-06-14 @ Dainava Alytus D 0-049.0 1079 1056 41.50% 23.54% 34.96%+0.11 -0.6 7
2000-06-14 Zalgiris L 1-257.2 1539 1795 12.20% 21.28% 66.53%-1.16 -5.8 24
2000-06-14 @ Ekranas W 2-157.2 1795 1539 66.53% 21.28% 12.20%+1.16 +5.9 38
2000-06-14 Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-346.1 1259 1857 2.26% 14.00% 83.75%-2.72 -1.7 6
2000-06-14 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 3-146.1 1857 1259 83.75% 14.00% 2.26%+2.72 +1.7 37
2000-06-14 Nevezis L 0-146.2 1244 1166 48.80% 23.34% 27.86%+0.36 -20.3 12
2000-06-14 @ Polonija Vilnius W 1-046.2 1166 1244 27.86% 23.34% 48.80%-0.36 +20.3 14
2000-06-17 Inkaras Kaunas W 3-147.5 1223 1257 33.47% 23.52% 43.01%-0.16 +29.8 15
2000-06-17 @ Polonija Vilnius L 1-347.5 1257 1223 43.01% 23.52% 33.47%+0.16 -29.8 6
2000-06-18 Nevezis L 1-243.1 1078 1186 24.46% 23.14% 52.41%-0.49 -11.0 7
2000-06-18 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-143.1 1186 1078 52.41% 23.14% 24.46%+0.49 +11.0 17
2000-06-18 Ekranas D 1-172.8 1859 1533 71.34% 20.00% 8.66%+1.48 -6.3 38
2000-06-18 @ Zalgiris Kaunas D 1-172.8 1533 1859 8.66% 20.00% 71.34%-1.48 +6.3 25
2000-06-18 Kareda Kaunas W 2-158.1 1800 1567 64.79% 21.64% 13.58%+1.06 +6.5 41
2000-06-18 @ Zalgiris L 1-258.1 1567 1800 13.58% 21.64% 64.79%-1.06 -6.5 28
2000-06-22 Inkaras Kaunas D 1-153.1 1067 1228 19.23% 22.63% 58.14%-0.73 +3.7 8
2000-06-22 @ Banga Gargzdai D 1-153.1 1228 1067 58.14% 22.63% 19.23%+0.73 -3.7 7
2000-06-22 Polonija Vilnius W 3-033.7 1539 1253 68.71% 20.75% 10.54%+1.30 +14.7 28
2000-06-22 @ Ekranas L 0-333.7 1253 1539 10.54% 20.75% 68.71%-1.30 -14.7 15
2000-06-22 Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-552.0 1560 1853 10.21% 20.64% 69.15%-1.33 -15.5 28
2000-06-22 @ Kareda Kaunas W 5-152.0 1853 1560 69.15% 20.64% 10.21%+1.33 +15.5 41
2000-06-22 Dainava Alytus D 1-153.1 1197 1056 56.08% 22.84% 21.07%+0.64 -3.3 18
2000-06-22 @ Nevezis D 1-153.1 1056 1197 21.07% 22.84% 56.08%-0.64 +3.3 14
2000-06-26 Zalgiris L 0-428.7 1060 1807 1.05% 10.81% 88.14%-3.40 -1.6 14
2000-06-26 @ Dainava Alytus W 4-028.7 1807 1060 88.14% 10.81% 1.05%+3.40 +1.6 44
2000-06-26 Nevezis L 2-548.3 1224 1194 42.49% 23.53% 33.98%+0.14 -36.2 7
2000-06-26 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 5-248.3 1194 1224 33.98% 23.53% 42.49%-0.14 +36.2 21
2000-06-26 Kareda Kaunas D 0-053.2 1238 1545 9.54% 20.38% 70.08%-1.39 +6.8 16
2000-06-26 @ Polonija Vilnius D 0-053.2 1545 1238 70.08% 20.38% 9.54%+1.39 -6.8 29
2000-06-29 Polonija Vilnius W 2-035.5 1616 1245 73.92% 19.10% 6.98%+1.69 +6.7 36
2000-06-29 @ Atlantas L 0-235.5 1245 1616 6.98% 19.10% 73.92%-1.69 -6.7 16
2000-06-30 Nevezis L 0-155.0 1554 1230 71.21% 20.04% 8.75%+1.47 -28.8 28
2000-06-30 @ Ekranas W 1-055.0 1230 1554 8.75% 20.04% 71.21%-1.47 +28.8 24
2000-06-30 Dainava Alytus L 0-443.2 1188 1058 54.90% 22.95% 22.15%+0.59 -80.7 7
2000-06-30 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 4-043.2 1058 1188 22.15% 22.95% 54.90%-0.59 +80.7 17
2000-06-30 Banga Gargzdai W 4-238.3 1538 1071 78.68% 16.98% 4.34%+2.13 +3.1 32
2000-06-30 @ Kareda Kaunas L 2-438.3 1071 1538 4.34% 16.98% 78.68%-2.13 -3.1 8
2000-06-30 Zalgiris Kaunas D 1-172.7 1809 1868 30.10% 23.43% 46.47%-0.27 +1.5 45
2000-06-30 @ Zalgiris D 1-172.7 1868 1809 46.47% 23.43% 30.10%+0.27 -1.5 42
2000-07-04 Ekranas L 0-133.4 1139 1525 6.46% 18.76% 74.78%-1.76 -3.2 17
2000-07-04 @ Dainava Alytus W 1-033.4 1525 1139 74.78% 18.76% 6.46%+1.76 +3.2 31
2000-07-04 Polonija Vilnius W 4-038.1 1867 1239 84.73% 13.33% 1.94%+2.86 +3.1 45
2000-07-04 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-438.1 1239 1867 1.94% 13.33% 84.73%-2.86 -3.1 16
2000-07-04 Kareda Kaunas L 0-329.1 1107 1541 5.11% 17.72% 77.17%-1.98 -6.9 7
2000-07-04 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 3-029.1 1541 1107 77.17% 17.72% 5.11%+1.98 +6.9 35
2000-07-04 Banga Gargzdai W 2-031.8 1810 1068 88.00% 10.92% 1.08%+3.38 +0.9 48
2000-07-04 @ Zalgiris L 0-231.8 1068 1810 1.08% 10.92% 88.00%-3.38 -0.9 8
2000-07-15 Atlantas W 1-061.5 1548 1622 28.32% 23.36% 48.32%-0.34 +20.1 38
2000-07-15 @ Kareda Kaunas L 0-161.5 1622 1548 48.32% 23.36% 28.32%+0.34 -20.1 36
2000-07-15 Zalgiris L 1-639.1 1236 1811 2.53% 14.52% 82.95%-2.62 -4.3 16
2000-07-15 @ Polonija Vilnius W 6-139.1 1811 1236 82.95% 14.52% 2.53%+2.62 +4.3 51
2000-07-22 Inkaras Kaunas W 3-028.8 1602 1100 80.16% 16.19% 3.65%+2.28 +4.8 39
2000-07-22 @ Atlantas L 0-328.8 1100 1602 3.65% 16.19% 80.16%-2.28 -4.8 7
2000-07-22 Polonija Vilnius D 0-049.3 1136 1231 25.80% 23.23% 50.97%-0.44 +2.6 18
2000-07-22 @ Dainava Alytus D 0-049.3 1231 1136 50.97% 23.23% 25.80%+0.44 -2.6 17
2000-07-22 Ekranas D 1-166.3 1568 1528 43.80% 23.51% 32.70%+0.18 -1.0 39
2000-07-22 @ Kareda Kaunas D 1-166.3 1528 1568 32.70% 23.51% 43.80%-0.18 +1.0 32
2000-07-22 Nevezis W 2-040.5 1815 1259 82.27% 14.94% 2.78%+2.53 +2.4 54
2000-07-22 @ Zalgiris L 0-240.5 1259 1815 2.78% 14.94% 82.27%-2.53 -2.5 24
2000-07-25 Zalgiris L 0-830.0 1095 1818 1.20% 11.32% 87.48%-3.29 -3.5 7
2000-07-25 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 8-030.0 1818 1095 87.48% 11.32% 1.20%+3.29 +3.5 57
2000-07-29 Kareda Kaunas L 0-231.4 1138 1567 5.24% 17.83% 76.93%-1.95 -4.9 18
2000-07-29 @ Dainava Alytus W 2-031.4 1567 1138 76.93% 17.83% 5.24%+1.95 +4.9 42
2000-08-01 Atlantas D 0-063.8 1529 1607 27.91% 23.34% 48.75%-0.35 +2.1 33
2000-08-01 @ Ekranas D 0-063.8 1607 1529 48.75% 23.34% 27.91%+0.35 -2.1 40
2000-08-02 Banga Gargzdai W 2-035.1 1229 1067 58.27% 22.61% 19.11%+0.74 +17.7 20
2000-08-02 @ Polonija Vilnius L 0-235.1 1067 1229 19.11% 22.61% 58.27%-0.74 -17.7 8
2000-08-02 Zalgiris D 2-277.1 1572 1821 12.61% 21.39% 66.00%-1.13 +3.9 43
2000-08-02 @ Kareda Kaunas D 2-277.1 1821 1572 66.00% 21.39% 12.61%+1.13 -3.9 58
2000-08-06 Kareda Kaunas L 0-258.1 1605 1576 42.29% 23.53% 34.18%+0.13 -34.0 40
2000-08-06 @ Atlantas W 2-058.1 1576 1605 34.18% 23.53% 42.29%-0.13 +34.0 46
2000-08-06 Dainava Alytus L 0-139.5 1049 1133 27.15% 23.30% 49.55%-0.38 -12.7 8
2000-08-06 @ Banga Gargzdai W 1-039.5 1133 1049 49.55% 23.30% 27.15%+0.38 +12.7 21
2000-08-06 Inkaras Kaunas W 8-031.3 1870 1092 88.90% 10.20% 0.90%+3.54 +2.6 48
2000-08-06 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-831.3 1092 1870 0.90% 10.20% 88.90%-3.54 -2.6 7
2000-08-06 Polonija Vilnius D 0-049.5 1256 1246 39.62% 23.56% 36.82%+0.04 -0.3 25
2000-08-06 @ Nevezis D 0-049.5 1246 1256 36.82% 23.56% 39.62%-0.04 +0.3 21
2000-08-06 Ekranas W 2-050.5 1817 1531 68.69% 20.76% 10.55%+1.30 +10.1 61
2000-08-06 @ Zalgiris L 0-250.5 1531 1817 10.55% 20.76% 68.69%-1.30 -10.2 33
2000-08-09 Atlantas D 0-054.3 1256 1571 9.15% 20.21% 70.63%-1.43 +6.9 26
2000-08-09 @ Nevezis D 0-054.3 1571 1256 70.63% 20.21% 9.15%+1.43 -6.9 41
2000-08-12 Dainava Alytus W 2-137.8 1564 1146 76.39% 18.08% 5.53%+1.90 +2.6 44
2000-08-12 @ Atlantas L 1-237.8 1146 1564 5.53% 18.08% 76.39%-1.90 -2.6 21
2000-08-12 Polonija Vilnius W 2-046.7 1089 1247 19.49% 22.66% 57.85%-0.72 +44.7 10
2000-08-12 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-246.7 1247 1089 57.85% 22.66% 19.49%+0.72 -44.7 21
2000-08-12 Banga Gargzdai W 1-035.2 1263 1037 64.18% 21.75% 14.07%+1.03 +7.1 29
2000-08-12 @ Nevezis L 0-135.2 1037 1263 14.07% 21.75% 64.18%-1.03 -7.1 8
2000-08-18 Ekranas L 1-239.7 1202 1521 8.96% 20.13% 70.91%-1.45 -4.3 21
2000-08-18 @ Polonija Vilnius W 2-139.7 1521 1202 70.91% 20.13% 8.96%+1.45 +4.3 36
2000-08-19 Nevezis D 1-153.2 1143 1270 22.47% 22.98% 54.56%-0.58 +3.0 22
2000-08-19 @ Dainava Alytus D 1-153.2 1270 1143 54.56% 22.98% 22.47%+0.58 -3.0 30
2000-08-19 Kareda Kaunas W 6-151.7 1873 1610 67.03% 21.16% 11.80%+1.19 +22.0 51
2000-08-19 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-651.7 1610 1873 11.80% 21.16% 67.03%-1.19 -22.0 46
2000-08-19 Banga Gargzdai W 1-038.7 1134 1030 52.02% 23.16% 24.82%+0.48 +11.8 13
2000-08-19 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 0-138.7 1030 1134 24.82% 23.16% 52.02%-0.48 -11.8 8
2000-08-19 Atlantas W 3-156.0 1827 1567 66.90% 21.20% 11.91%+1.19 +9.9 64
2000-08-19 @ Zalgiris L 1-356.0 1567 1827 11.91% 21.20% 66.90%-1.19 -9.9 44
2000-08-24 Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-354.8 1557 1895 8.18% 19.76% 72.05%-1.54 -6.8 44
2000-08-24 @ Atlantas W 3-154.8 1895 1557 72.05% 19.76% 8.18%+1.54 +6.8 54
2000-08-24 Nevezis L 1-242.8 1146 1267 23.01% 23.02% 53.96%-0.55 -10.4 13
2000-08-24 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 2-142.8 1267 1146 53.96% 23.02% 23.01%+0.55 +10.4 33
2000-08-24 Polonija Vilnius L 0-253.9 1588 1198 74.99% 18.68% 6.33%+1.78 -56.7 46
2000-08-24 @ Kareda Kaunas W 2-053.9 1198 1588 6.33% 18.68% 74.99%-1.78 +56.7 24
2000-08-28 Kareda Kaunas L 0-327.3 1018 1531 3.45% 15.92% 80.63%-2.34 -4.5 8
2000-08-28 @ Banga Gargzdai W 3-027.3 1531 1018 80.63% 15.92% 3.45%+2.34 +4.5 49
2000-08-28 Inkaras Kaunas D 1-152.9 1146 1135 39.81% 23.56% 36.63%+0.05 -0.3 23
2000-08-28 @ Dainava Alytus D 1-152.9 1135 1146 36.63% 23.56% 39.81%-0.05 +0.3 14
2000-08-28 Atlantas L 1-241.6 1254 1550 10.07% 20.58% 69.35%-1.34 -4.8 24
2000-08-28 @ Polonija Vilnius W 2-141.6 1550 1254 69.35% 20.58% 10.07%+1.34 +4.8 47
2000-08-29 Zalgiris D 3-381.2 1901 1837 47.03% 23.41% 29.56%+0.29 -1.0 55
2000-08-29 @ Zalgiris Kaunas D 3-381.2 1837 1901 29.56% 23.41% 47.03%-0.29 +1.0 65
2000-09-02 Banga Gargzdai W 3-133.5 1526 1013 80.58% 15.95% 3.47%+2.33 +2.7 39
2000-09-02 @ Ekranas L 1-333.5 1013 1526 3.47% 15.95% 80.58%-2.33 -2.7 8
2000-09-06 Atlantas L 0-228.7 1011 1555 2.96% 15.22% 81.82%-2.48 -2.6 8
2000-09-06 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-028.7 1555 1011 81.82% 15.22% 2.96%+2.48 +2.6 50
2000-09-06 Inkaras Kaunas W 6-028.1 1528 1136 75.12% 18.62% 6.26%+1.79 +16.5 42
2000-09-06 @ Ekranas L 0-628.1 1136 1528 6.26% 18.62% 75.12%-1.79 -16.5 14
2000-09-06 Dainava Alytus L 0-263.9 1900 1146 88.31% 10.67% 1.01%+3.43 -61.9 55
2000-09-06 @ Zalgiris Kaunas W 2-063.9 1146 1900 1.01% 10.67% 88.31%-3.43 +61.9 26
2000-09-06 Kareda Kaunas D 0-053.7 1277 1536 12.04% 21.23% 66.72%-1.18 +6.1 34
2000-09-06 @ Nevezis D 0-053.7 1536 1277 66.72% 21.23% 12.04%+1.18 -6.1 50
2000-09-06 Polonija Vilnius W 9-037.7 1838 1250 83.42% 14.22% 2.37%+2.68 +8.4 68
2000-09-06 @ Zalgiris L 0-937.7 1250 1838 2.37% 14.22% 83.42%-2.68 -8.4 24
2000-09-09 Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-441.6 1208 1838 1.92% 13.28% 84.80%-2.87 -2.0 26
2000-09-09 @ Dainava Alytus W 4-141.6 1838 1208 84.80% 13.28% 1.92%+2.87 +2.0 58
2000-09-10 Banga Gargzdai W 3-133.2 1557 1008 82.01% 15.10% 2.88%+2.50 +2.2 53
2000-09-10 @ Atlantas L 1-333.2 1008 1557 2.88% 15.10% 82.01%-2.50 -2.2 8
2000-09-10 Ekranas L 0-230.9 1119 1545 5.32% 17.91% 76.77%-1.94 -5.0 14
2000-09-10 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 2-030.9 1545 1119 76.77% 17.91% 5.32%+1.94 +5.0 45
2000-09-10 Nevezis L 2-363.3 1530 1283 65.80% 21.43% 12.77%+1.12 -24.0 50
2000-09-10 @ Kareda Kaunas W 3-263.3 1283 1530 12.77% 21.43% 65.80%-1.12 +24.0 37
2000-09-13 Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-727.0 1006 1840 0.67% 9.15% 90.19%-3.80 -1.6 8
2000-09-13 @ Banga Gargzdai W 7-027.0 1840 1006 90.19% 9.15% 0.67%+3.80 +1.6 61
2000-09-13 Dainava Alytus W 8-137.2 1847 1206 85.12% 13.06% 1.82%+2.91 +4.0 71
2000-09-13 @ Zalgiris L 1-837.2 1206 1847 1.82% 13.06% 85.12%-2.91 -4.1 26
2000-09-13 Ekranas L 0-237.9 1307 1550 13.02% 21.50% 65.49%-1.10 -12.5 37
2000-09-13 @ Nevezis W 2-037.9 1550 1307 65.49% 21.50% 13.02%+1.10 +12.5 48
2000-09-16 Polonija Vilnius W 5-136.0 1560 1241 70.85% 20.15% 9.00%+1.45 +13.7 56
2000-09-16 @ Atlantas L 1-536.0 1241 1560 9.00% 20.15% 70.85%-1.45 -13.7 24
2000-09-16 Nevezis D 0-054.8 1562 1295 67.38% 21.08% 11.54%+1.22 -6.2 49
2000-09-16 @ Ekranas D 0-054.8 1295 1562 11.54% 21.08% 67.38%-1.22 +6.2 38
2000-09-16 Dainava Alytus L 1-243.8 1114 1202 26.69% 23.28% 50.03%-0.40 -11.8 14
2000-09-16 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 2-143.8 1202 1114 50.03% 23.28% 26.69%+0.40 +11.8 29
2000-09-16 Banga Gargzdai D 1-155.5 1506 1004 80.15% 16.19% 3.66%+2.28 -7.7 51
2000-09-16 @ Kareda Kaunas D 1-155.5 1004 1506 3.66% 16.19% 80.15%-2.28 +7.7 9
2000-09-16 Zalgiris Kaunas D 1-172.7 1851 1842 39.45% 23.56% 36.99%+0.04 -0.2 72
2000-09-16 @ Zalgiris D 1-172.7 1842 1851 36.99% 23.56% 39.45%-0.04 +0.2 62
2000-09-23 Ekranas L 0-130.5 1012 1556 2.96% 15.22% 81.82%-2.48 -1.4 9
2000-09-23 @ Banga Gargzdai W 1-030.5 1556 1012 81.82% 15.22% 2.96%+2.48 +1.4 52
2000-09-23 Zalgiris L 1-344.0 1214 1850 1.86% 13.14% 85.00%-2.90 -1.4 29
2000-09-23 @ Dainava Alytus W 3-144.0 1850 1214 85.00% 13.14% 1.86%+2.90 +1.4 75
2000-09-23 Atlantas W 5-362.0 1842 1573 67.51% 21.05% 11.44%+1.22 +8.0 65
2000-09-23 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 3-562.0 1573 1842 11.44% 21.05% 67.51%-1.22 -8.0 56
2000-09-23 Inkaras Kaunas D 1-153.4 1301 1102 61.82% 22.15% 16.04%+0.90 -4.4 39
2000-09-23 @ Nevezis D 1-153.4 1102 1301 16.04% 22.15% 61.82%-0.90 +4.4 15
2000-09-23 Kareda Kaunas L 1-240.7 1228 1498 11.36% 21.03% 67.62%-1.23 -5.5 24
2000-09-23 @ Polonija Vilnius W 2-140.7 1498 1228 67.62% 21.03% 11.36%+1.23 +5.5 54
2000-09-27 Zalgiris W 4-171.3 1565 1852 10.51% 20.74% 68.75%-1.30 +64.4 59
2000-09-27 @ Atlantas L 1-471.3 1852 1565 68.75% 20.74% 10.51%+1.30 -64.5 75
2000-09-27 Zalgiris Kaunas W 1-070.4 1557 1850 10.19% 20.63% 69.18%-1.33 +28.1 55
2000-09-27 @ Ekranas L 0-170.4 1850 1557 69.18% 20.63% 10.19%+1.33 -28.1 65
2000-09-27 Dainava Alytus W 4-035.4 1297 1212 49.58% 23.30% 27.12%+0.38 +45.4 42
2000-09-27 @ Nevezis L 0-435.4 1212 1297 27.12% 23.30% 49.58%-0.38 -45.4 29
2000-09-29 Inkaras Kaunas W 1-046.6 1010 1107 25.71% 23.22% 51.07%-0.44 +21.1 12
2000-09-29 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-146.6 1107 1010 51.07% 23.22% 25.71%+0.44 -21.1 15
2000-09-30 Zalgiris D 2-276.8 1630 1787 19.46% 22.66% 57.88%-0.72 +2.7 60
2000-09-30 @ Atlantas D 2-276.8 1787 1630 57.88% 22.66% 19.46%+0.72 -2.7 76
2000-10-01 Polonija Vilnius W 7-133.1 1585 1222 73.53% 19.25% 7.22%+1.65 +15.8 58
2000-10-01 @ Ekranas L 1-733.1 1222 1585 7.22% 19.25% 73.53%-1.65 -15.8 24
2000-10-01 Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-550.8 1504 1822 8.99% 20.14% 70.87%-1.45 -13.7 54
2000-10-01 @ Kareda Kaunas W 5-150.8 1822 1504 70.87% 20.14% 8.99%+1.45 +13.7 68
2000-10-04 Nevezis W 2-044.3 1836 1342 79.83% 16.37% 3.80%+2.25 +3.5 71
2000-10-04 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-244.3 1342 1836 3.80% 16.37% 79.83%-2.25 -3.5 42
2000-10-05 Atlantas L 1-354.5 1490 1632 20.89% 22.82% 56.29%-0.65 -16.6 54
2000-10-05 @ Kareda Kaunas W 3-154.5 1632 1490 56.29% 22.82% 20.89%+0.65 +16.6 63
2000-10-14 Atlantas L 0-134.5 1167 1649 4.04% 16.65% 79.32%-2.19 -2.0 29
2000-10-14 @ Dainava Alytus W 1-034.5 1649 1167 79.32% 16.65% 4.04%+2.19 +2.0 66
2000-10-14 Inkaras Kaunas L 1-251.9 1206 1086 53.90% 23.03% 23.07%+0.55 -20.9 24
2000-10-14 @ Polonija Vilnius W 2-151.9 1086 1206 23.07% 23.03% 53.90%-0.55 +20.9 18
2000-10-14 Kareda Kaunas L 2-377.8 1785 1473 70.40% 20.28% 9.32%+1.42 -25.5 76
2000-10-14 @ Zalgiris W 3-277.8 1473 1785 9.32% 20.28% 70.40%-1.42 +25.5 57
2000-10-21 Banga Gargzdai W 2-035.9 1165 1032 55.34% 22.91% 21.75%+0.61 +19.9 32
2000-10-21 @ Dainava Alytus L 0-235.9 1032 1165 21.75% 22.91% 55.34%-0.61 -19.9 12
2000-10-21 Zalgiris L 1-260.1 1601 1759 19.45% 22.66% 57.89%-0.72 -9.0 58
2000-10-21 @ Ekranas W 2-160.1 1759 1601 57.89% 22.66% 19.45%+0.72 +9.0 79
2000-10-21 Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-240.4 1107 1839 1.13% 11.10% 87.76%-3.33 -0.5 18
2000-10-21 @ Inkaras Kaunas W 2-140.4 1839 1107 87.76% 11.10% 1.13%+3.33 +0.5 74
2000-10-21 Nevezis L 0-235.8 1185 1339 19.87% 22.71% 57.42%-0.70 -18.4 24
2000-10-21 @ Polonija Vilnius W 2-035.8 1339 1185 57.42% 22.71% 19.87%+0.70 +18.4 45
2000-10-25 Atlantas W 5-154.8 1840 1651 60.91% 22.28% 16.81%+0.86 +25.0 77
2000-10-25 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-554.8 1651 1840 16.81% 22.28% 60.91%-0.86 -25.0 66
2000-10-28 Ekranas D 0-065.8 1626 1592 42.96% 23.52% 33.52%+0.15 -0.9 67
2000-10-28 @ Atlantas D 0-065.8 1592 1626 33.52% 23.52% 42.96%-0.15 +0.9 59
2000-10-28 Polonija Vilnius W 1-048.4 1012 1167 19.68% 22.68% 57.64%-0.71 +23.6 15
2000-10-28 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-148.4 1167 1012 57.64% 22.68% 19.68%+0.71 -23.6 24
2000-10-28 Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-542.0 1357 1865 3.55% 16.05% 80.40%-2.31 -7.5 45
2000-10-28 @ Nevezis W 5-042.0 1865 1357 80.40% 16.05% 3.55%+2.31 +7.5 80
2000-10-29 Dainava Alytus W 2-139.2 1499 1185 70.56% 20.24% 9.20%+1.43 +4.4 60
2000-10-29 @ Kareda Kaunas L 1-239.2 1185 1499 9.20% 20.24% 70.56%-1.43 -4.4 32
2000-10-29 Inkaras Kaunas W 6-132.2 1768 1106 85.78% 12.59% 1.63%+3.01 +2.6 82
2000-10-29 @ Zalgiris L 1-632.2 1106 1768 1.63% 12.59% 85.78%-3.01 -2.6 18
2000-10-31 Nevezis D 0-050.2 1035 1349 9.18% 20.23% 70.59%-1.43 +6.9 16
2000-10-31 @ Banga Gargzdai D 0-050.2 1349 1035 70.59% 20.23% 9.18%+1.43 -6.9 46
2000-10-31 Ekranas W 2-051.4 1872 1593 68.23% 20.88% 10.89%+1.27 +10.5 83
2000-10-31 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 0-251.4 1593 1872 10.89% 20.88% 68.23%-1.27 -10.5 59
2000-11-04 Kareda Kaunas W 3-261.5 1583 1503 48.99% 23.33% 27.68%+0.36 +11.5 62
2000-11-04 @ Ekranas L 2-361.5 1503 1583 27.68% 23.33% 48.99%-0.36 -11.5 60
2000-11-04 Banga Gargzdai W 8-130.9 1883 1042 90.32% 9.04% 0.64%+3.83 +1.3 86
2000-11-04 @ Zalgiris Kaunas L 1-830.9 1042 1883 0.64% 9.04% 90.32%-3.83 -1.3 16
2000-11-04 Atlantas W 3-264.4 1103 1625 3.31% 15.74% 80.94%-2.37 +28.3 21
2000-11-04 @ Inkaras Kaunas L 2-364.4 1625 1103 80.94% 15.74% 3.31%+2.37 -28.4 67
2000-11-04 Zalgiris D 0-064.7 1343 1771 5.26% 17.85% 76.89%-1.95 +8.1 47
2000-11-04 @ Nevezis D 0-064.7 1771 1343 76.89% 17.85% 5.26%+1.95 -8.1 83
2000-11-04 Dainava Alytus D 0-049.1 1143 1181 33.05% 23.51% 43.44%-0.17 +1.0 25
2000-11-04 @ Polonija Vilnius D 0-049.1 1181 1143 43.44% 23.51% 33.05%+0.17 -1.0 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2000-09-06 1.01% Dainava Alytus 1146 2 @ Zalgiris Kaunas 1900 0
2 2000-04-01 1.85% Dainava Alytus 984 3 @ Ekranas 1621 2
3 2000-11-04 3.31% @ Inkaras Kaunas 1103 3 Atlantas 1625 2
4 2000-04-01 5.06% Nevezis 1134 2 @ Atlantas 1570 1
5 2000-08-24 6.33% Polonija Vilnius 1198 2 @ Kareda Kaunas 1588 0
6 2000-06-30 8.75% Nevezis 1230 1 @ Ekranas 1554 0
7 2000-10-14 9.32% Kareda Kaunas 1473 3 @ Zalgiris 1785 2
8 2000-05-10 9.63% @ Dainava Alytus 1031 3 Inkaras Kaunas 1336 1
9 2000-04-20 10.08% @ Kareda Kaunas 1495 2 Zalgiris 1790 1
10 2000-09-27 10.19% @ Ekranas 1557 1 Zalgiris Kaunas 1850 0
11 2000-09-27 10.51% @ Atlantas 1565 4 Zalgiris 1852 1
12 2000-05-07 11.88% @ Nevezis 1126 2 Inkaras Kaunas 1387 0
13 2000-04-21 12.73% Polonija Vilnius 1208 3 @ Inkaras Kaunas 1455 0
14 2000-09-10 12.77% Nevezis 1283 3 @ Kareda Kaunas 1530 2
15 2000-08-12 19.49% @ Inkaras Kaunas 1089 2 Polonija Vilnius 1247 0
16 2000-10-28 19.68% @ Banga Gargzdai 1012 1 Polonija Vilnius 1167 0
17 2000-06-30 22.15% Dainava Alytus 1058 4 @ Inkaras Kaunas 1188 0
18 2000-10-14 23.07% Inkaras Kaunas 1086 2 @ Polonija Vilnius 1206 1
19 2000-04-20 23.83% Banga Gargzdai 1056 2 @ Nevezis 1169 0
20 2000-09-29 25.71% @ Banga Gargzdai 1010 1 Inkaras Kaunas 1107 0
21 2000-05-28 25.86% Kareda Kaunas 1522 2 @ Ekranas 1617 0
22 2000-06-14 27.86% Nevezis 1166 1 @ Polonija Vilnius 1244 0
23 2000-07-15 28.32% @ Kareda Kaunas 1548 1 Atlantas 1622 0
24 2000-04-16 30.18% Dainava Alytus 1015 2 @ Banga Gargzdai 1074 1
25 2000-06-17 33.47% @ Polonija Vilnius 1223 3 Inkaras Kaunas 1257 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-06-30 80.73 Dainava Alytus 4 1058 22.15% @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1188 54.90% 22.95%
2 2000-04-21 73.39 Polonija Vilnius 3 1208 12.73% @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1455 65.85% 21.42%
3 2000-09-27 64.45 @ Atlantas 4 1565 10.51% Zalgiris 1 1852 68.75% 20.74%
4 2000-09-06 61.91 Dainava Alytus 2 1146 1.01% @ Zalgiris Kaunas 0 1900 88.31% 10.67%
5 2000-08-24 56.73 Polonija Vilnius 2 1198 6.33% @ Kareda Kaunas 0 1588 74.99% 18.68%
6 2000-05-07 51.32 @ Nevezis 2 1126 11.88% Inkaras Kaunas 0 1387 66.94% 21.19%
7 2000-05-10 46.30 @ Dainava Alytus 3 1031 9.63% Inkaras Kaunas 1 1336 69.96% 20.41%
8 2000-09-27 45.36 @ Nevezis 4 1297 49.58% Dainava Alytus 0 1212 27.12% 23.30%
9 2000-08-12 44.67 @ Inkaras Kaunas 2 1089 19.49% Polonija Vilnius 0 1247 57.85% 22.66%
10 2000-04-20 41.26 Banga Gargzdai 2 1056 23.83% @ Nevezis 0 1169 53.08% 23.09%
11 2000-05-28 39.74 Kareda Kaunas 2 1522 25.86% @ Ekranas 0 1617 50.91% 23.23%
12 2000-04-08 37.81 @ Polonija Vilnius 3 1172 46.45% Banga Gargzdai 0 1112 30.12% 23.43%
13 2000-06-26 36.16 Nevezis 5 1194 33.98% @ Inkaras Kaunas 2 1224 42.49% 23.53%
14 2000-08-06 33.95 Kareda Kaunas 2 1576 34.18% @ Atlantas 0 1605 42.29% 23.53%
15 2000-04-04 32.19 @ Atlantas 4 1541 46.06% Inkaras Kaunas 1 1485 30.49% 23.44%
16 2000-06-17 29.82 @ Polonija Vilnius 3 1223 33.47% Inkaras Kaunas 1 1257 43.01% 23.52%
17 2000-06-11 29.81 @ Atlantas 2 1586 40.67% Ekranas 0 1569 35.77% 23.55%
18 2000-04-20 29.49 Zalgiris Kaunas 4 1799 61.28% @ Ekranas 0 1606 16.50% 22.23%
19 2000-04-01 29.01 Nevezis 2 1134 5.06% @ Atlantas 1 1570 77.26% 17.68%
20 2000-04-01 29.01 Dainava Alytus 3 984 1.85% @ Ekranas 2 1621 85.01% 13.14%
21 2000-06-30 28.80 Nevezis 1 1230 8.75% @ Ekranas 0 1554 71.21% 20.04%
22 2000-11-04 28.35 @ Inkaras Kaunas 3 1103 3.31% Atlantas 2 1625 80.94% 15.74%
23 2000-09-27 28.07 @ Ekranas 1 1557 10.19% Zalgiris Kaunas 0 1850 69.18% 20.63%
24 2000-04-20 26.51 @ Kareda Kaunas 2 1495 10.08% Zalgiris 1 1790 69.33% 20.59%
25 2000-04-08 25.90 @ Ekranas 3 1590 40.52% Atlantas 1 1574 35.92% 23.55%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-08-29 81.2 @ Zalgiris Kaunas 3 1901 47.03% Zalgiris 3 1837 29.56% 23.41%
2 2000-10-14 77.8 Kareda Kaunas 3 1473 9.32% @ Zalgiris 2 1785 70.40% 20.28%
3 2000-08-02 77.1 @ Kareda Kaunas 2 1572 12.61% Zalgiris 2 1821 66.00% 21.39%
4 2000-09-30 76.8 @ Atlantas 2 1630 19.46% Zalgiris 2 1787 57.88% 22.66%
5 2000-04-20 73.6 @ Kareda Kaunas 2 1495 10.08% Zalgiris 1 1790 69.33% 20.59%
6 2000-06-18 72.8 @ Zalgiris Kaunas 1 1859 71.34% Ekranas 1 1533 8.66% 20.00%
7 2000-06-30 72.7 @ Zalgiris 1 1809 30.10% Zalgiris Kaunas 1 1868 46.47% 23.43%
8 2000-09-16 72.7 @ Zalgiris 1 1851 39.45% Zalgiris Kaunas 1 1842 36.99% 23.56%
9 2000-09-27 71.3 @ Atlantas 4 1565 10.51% Zalgiris 1 1852 68.75% 20.74%
10 2000-09-27 70.4 @ Ekranas 1 1557 10.19% Zalgiris Kaunas 0 1850 69.18% 20.63%
11 2000-05-10 68.9 @ Zalgiris Kaunas 0 1851 48.67% Zalgiris 0 1774 27.98% 23.34%
12 2000-04-16 67.7 @ Zalgiris Kaunas 0 1807 73.27% Inkaras Kaunas 0 1448 7.39% 19.34%
13 2000-03-25 67.2 @ Ekranas 1 1624 54.40% Inkaras Kaunas 1 1499 22.61% 22.99%
14 2000-07-22 66.3 @ Kareda Kaunas 1 1568 43.80% Ekranas 1 1528 32.70% 23.51%
15 2000-10-28 65.8 @ Atlantas 0 1626 42.96% Ekranas 0 1592 33.52% 23.52%
16 2000-11-04 64.7 @ Nevezis 0 1343 5.26% Zalgiris 0 1771 76.89% 17.85%
17 2000-11-04 64.4 @ Inkaras Kaunas 3 1103 3.31% Atlantas 2 1625 80.94% 15.74%
18 2000-09-06 63.9 Dainava Alytus 2 1146 1.01% @ Zalgiris Kaunas 0 1900 88.31% 10.67%
19 2000-08-01 63.8 @ Ekranas 0 1529 27.91% Atlantas 0 1607 48.75% 23.34%
20 2000-04-01 63.6 Dainava Alytus 3 984 1.85% @ Ekranas 2 1621 85.01% 13.14%
21 2000-09-10 63.3 Nevezis 3 1283 12.77% @ Kareda Kaunas 2 1530 65.80% 21.43%
22 2000-04-04 62.6 @ Kareda Kaunas 0 1506 26.93% Ekranas 0 1592 49.78% 23.29%
23 2000-04-01 62.1 @ Banga Gargzdai 1 1104 1.52% Zalgiris 1 1781 86.20% 12.28%
24 2000-09-23 62.0 @ Zalgiris Kaunas 5 1842 67.51% Atlantas 3 1573 11.44% 21.05%
25 2000-07-15 61.5 @ Kareda Kaunas 1 1548 28.32% Atlantas 0 1622 48.32% 23.36%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-05-17 26.8 Atlantas 5 1560 79.26% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1079 4.06% 16.67%
2 2000-05-07 27.0 @ Ekranas 5 1595 80.21% Banga Gargzdai 0 1092 3.63% 16.16%
3 2000-09-13 27.0 Zalgiris Kaunas 7 1840 90.19% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1006 0.67% 9.15%
4 2000-05-07 27.2 @ Zalgiris 4 1772 87.93% Dainava Alytus 0 1033 1.10% 10.98%
5 2000-08-28 27.3 Kareda Kaunas 3 1531 80.63% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1018 3.45% 15.92%
6 2000-09-06 28.1 @ Ekranas 6 1528 75.12% Inkaras Kaunas 0 1136 6.26% 18.62%
7 2000-06-26 28.7 Zalgiris 4 1807 88.14% @ Dainava Alytus 0 1060 1.05% 10.81%
8 2000-09-06 28.7 Atlantas 2 1555 81.82% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1011 2.96% 15.22%
9 2000-07-22 28.8 @ Atlantas 3 1602 80.16% Inkaras Kaunas 0 1100 3.65% 16.19%
10 2000-04-20 29.0 @ Atlantas 2 1562 81.24% Dainava Alytus 0 1033 3.19% 15.57%
11 2000-07-04 29.1 Kareda Kaunas 3 1541 77.17% @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1107 5.11% 17.72%
12 2000-05-24 29.7 @ Zalgiris 3 1782 87.19% Banga Gargzdai 0 1070 1.27% 11.54%
13 2000-05-14 29.8 @ Ekranas 2 1606 81.20% Dainava Alytus 0 1078 3.21% 15.59%
14 2000-07-25 30.0 Zalgiris 8 1818 87.48% @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1095 1.20% 11.32%
15 2000-05-10 30.3 Kareda Kaunas 2 1519 77.19% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1084 5.10% 17.71%
16 2000-09-23 30.5 Ekranas 1 1556 81.82% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1012 2.96% 15.22%
17 2000-03-25 30.6 @ Atlantas 2 1566 78.25% Banga Gargzdai 0 1109 4.55% 17.20%
18 2000-06-11 30.7 @ Kareda Kaunas 5 1562 80.10% Dainava Alytus 1 1061 3.68% 16.22%
19 2000-09-10 30.9 Ekranas 2 1545 76.77% @ Inkaras Kaunas 0 1119 5.32% 17.91%
20 2000-11-04 30.9 @ Zalgiris Kaunas 8 1883 90.32% Banga Gargzdai 1 1042 0.64% 9.04%
21 2000-08-06 31.3 @ Zalgiris Kaunas 8 1870 88.90% Inkaras Kaunas 0 1092 0.90% 10.20%
22 2000-07-29 31.4 Kareda Kaunas 2 1567 76.93% @ Dainava Alytus 0 1138 5.24% 17.83%
23 2000-05-24 31.6 Ekranas 1 1616 81.72% @ Dainava Alytus 0 1074 3.00% 15.28%
24 2000-04-04 31.7 @ Zalgiris 5 1772 84.11% Nevezis 0 1163 2.14% 13.75%
25 2000-07-04 31.8 @ Zalgiris 2 1810 88.00% Banga Gargzdai 0 1068 1.08% 10.92%