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2005 A Lyga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Ekranas

92 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ekranas

10.90 points above expected

92 points · 81.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Nevezis

12.97 points below expected

5 points · 17.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ekranas 36 29 5 2 92 87 23 +64 81.10 +10.90
2 FBK Kaunas 36 26 4 6 82 89 25 +64 76.77 +5.23
3 Suduva 36 16 11 9 59 67 43 +24 53.63 +5.37
4 Vetra 36 17 6 13 57 45 45 0 54.47 +2.53
5 Vilnius 36 11 14 11 47 36 29 +7 47.48 -0.48
6 Silute 36 12 8 16 44 44 61 -17 48.36 -4.36
7 Atlantas 36 11 8 17 41 40 52 -12 47.91 -6.91
8 Zalgiris 36 11 8 17 41 40 52 -12 45.49 -4.49
9 FK Siauliai 36 8 9 19 33 40 61 -21 28.88 +4.12
10 Nevezis 36 0 5 31 5 18 115 -97 17.97 -12.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ekranas 92 81.10 +10.90
2 Suduva 59 53.63 +5.37
3 FBK Kaunas 82 76.77 +5.23
4 FK Siauliai 33 28.88 +4.12
5 Vetra 57 54.47 +2.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nevezis 5 17.97 -12.97
2 Atlantas 41 47.91 -6.91
3 Zalgiris 41 45.49 -4.49
4 Silute 44 48.36 -4.36
5 Vilnius 47 47.48 -0.48

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ekranas 9 Apr 12 – May 14 1 in 54
2 FK Siauliai 2 Jun 14 – Jun 28 1 in 28
3 FBK Kaunas 9 Sep 10 – Oct 30 1 in 21
4 Vetra 4 Jul 2 – Aug 2 1 in 15
5 Atlantas 3 Apr 19 – Apr 26 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atlantas 6 Jun 25 – Aug 2 1 in 508
2 Vilnius 3 Oct 30 – Nov 12 1 in 46
3 Vetra 4 May 28 – Jun 14 1 in 29
4 FK Siauliai 6 Aug 9 – Sep 10 1 in 25
5 Silute 3 Jun 8 – Jun 14 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vilnius 7 May 28 – Jul 2 1 in 128
2 FK Siauliai 4 Jun 14 – Jul 5 1 in 95
3 Vetra 8 Jun 29 – Aug 13 1 in 32
4 Ekranas 25 May 24 – Nov 6 1 in 24
5 Atlantas 5 May 28 – Jun 18 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atlantas 9 Jun 11 – Aug 2 1 in 204
2 Nevezis 36 Apr 12 – Nov 9 1 in 81
3 Silute 7 May 28 – Jul 2 1 in 24
4 FBK Kaunas 2 May 24 – May 28 1 in 16
5 Zalgiris 5 Oct 15 – Oct 30 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ekranas 1666 92 -58 12 11.8 +0.2
FBK Kaunas 1680 82 +21 12 11.1 +0.9
Suduva 1478 59 +38 13 10.0 +3.0
Vetra 1385 57 -12 6 6.8 -0.8
Vilnius 1360 47 -14 6 8.6 -2.6
Silute 1285 44 -41 6 7.4 -1.4
Atlantas 1284 41 +11 7 5.8 +1.2
Zalgiris 1309 41 -17 4 5.3 -1.3
FK Siauliai 1231 33 +103 8 3.2 +4.8
Nevezis 937 5 -27 0 1.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ATL EKR FK FS NEV SIL SUD VET VIL ZAL
Atlantas —
1-1-2
2.23
0-0-4
2.43
2-1-1
7.99
2-2-0
9.28
0-2-2
5.44
1-0-3
5.36
2-0-2
4.43
1-0-3
5.61
2-2-0
5.26
Ekranas
2-1-1
8.97
 —
3-1-0
6.47
2-1-1
10.35
4-0-0
10.83
4-0-0
8.85
3-1-0
8.84
3-1-0
8.67
4-0-0
9.22
4-0-0
9.27
FBK Kaunas
4-0-0
8.76
0-1-3
4.62
 —
2-1-1
9.86
4-0-0
10.63
4-0-0
8.49
4-0-0
8.34
3-0-1
8.42
1-2-1
9.03
4-0-0
8.67
FK Siauliai
1-1-2
3.14
1-1-2
1.05
1-1-2
1.45
 —
3-1-0
6.79
1-0-3
3.30
0-1-3
3.13
1-0-3
2.71
0-2-2
3.91
0-2-2
3.29
Nevezis
0-2-2
1.95
0-0-4
0.71
0-0-4
0.85
0-1-3
4.32
 —
0-1-3
1.94
0-0-4
1.91
0-0-4
2.01
0-1-3
2.42
0-0-4
2.15
Silute
2-2-0
5.64
0-0-4
2.35
0-0-4
2.67
3-0-1
7.82
3-1-0
9.29
 —
0-2-2
4.86
2-0-2
4.59
1-2-1
5.56
1-1-2
6.12
Suduva
3-0-1
5.74
0-1-3
2.34
0-0-4
2.81
3-1-0
8.00
4-0-0
9.34
2-2-0
6.23
 —
1-2-1
5.59
0-4-0
6.23
3-1-0
6.72
Vetra
2-0-2
6.66
0-1-3
2.52
1-0-3
2.73
3-0-1
8.45
4-0-0
9.22
2-0-2
6.49
1-2-1
5.51
 —
2-2-0
6.25
2-1-1
6.59
Vilnius
3-0-1
5.48
0-0-4
1.99
1-2-1
2.17
2-2-0
7.21
3-1-0
8.79
1-2-1
5.53
0-4-0
4.86
0-2-2
4.84
 —
1-1-2
5.91
Zalgiris
0-2-2
5.82
0-0-4
1.96
0-0-4
2.51
2-2-0
7.83
4-0-0
9.05
2-1-1
4.97
0-1-3
4.37
1-1-2
4.50
2-1-1
5.18
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +10.1
Allowed 0.78 -8.2
Differential 0.95 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%9.17%7.22%2.78%2.22%2.22%32.50%
19.17%8.33%4.72%3.06%2.50%2.50%30.28%
27.22%4.72%4.44%1.94%0.28%0.28%18.89%
32.78%3.06%1.94%—0.28%—8.06%
42.22%2.50%0.28%0.28%——5.28%
5+2.22%2.50%0.28%———5.00%
Total32.50%30.28%18.89%8.06%5.28%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.48 1.48 2.31
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
111.11%5.56%5.56%11.11%2.78%—36.11%
25.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%30.56%19.44%16.67%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.44 -0.33
SD 1.12 1.30 1.80
CV 1.00 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—————5.56%
119.44%2.78%2.78%——2.78%27.78%
216.67%8.33%5.56%———30.56%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
48.33%5.56%————13.89%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total58.33%27.78%11.11%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 0.64 +1.78
SD 1.68 1.02 2.02
CV 0.70 1.59 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%———22.22%
18.33%—2.78%———11.11%
28.33%2.78%—2.78%——13.89%
311.11%5.56%8.33%———25.00%
45.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
5+11.11%2.78%————13.89%
Total55.56%25.00%13.89%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.47 0.69 +1.78
SD 1.92 0.92 2.17
CV 0.78 1.33 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%—2.78%—30.56%
15.56%8.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%41.67%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%——22.22%
3———————
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%25.00%22.22%13.89%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.69 -0.58
SD 1.12 1.43 1.87
CV 1.00 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%13.89%13.89%8.33%13.89%61.11%
1—2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%11.11%27.78%
2——5.56%2.78%—2.78%11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total5.56%8.33%27.78%19.44%11.11%27.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 3.19 -2.69
SD 0.70 1.80 1.91
CV 1.39 0.56 —
Max 2 8 +0
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
18.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%8.33%5.56%41.67%
22.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%19.44%5.56%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.69 -0.47
SD 1.20 1.62 2.21
CV 0.98 0.95 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
18.33%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
25.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
3—5.56%——2.78%—8.33%
4—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
5+2.78%8.33%————11.11%
Total25.00%47.22%16.67%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.19 +0.67
SD 1.69 1.06 2.00
CV 0.91 0.89 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%11.11%5.56%—2.78%36.11%
18.33%11.11%—2.78%——22.22%
213.89%13.89%2.78%———30.56%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%44.44%16.67%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.46 2.27
CV 1.04 1.17 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%19.44%5.56%———41.67%
111.11%19.44%2.78%——2.78%36.11%
28.33%—2.78%———11.11%
35.56%—————5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total41.67%44.44%11.11%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.81 +0.19
SD 1.22 0.98 1.60
CV 1.22 1.22 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%16.67%—8.33%—41.67%
111.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
25.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%—19.44%
3——2.78%———2.78%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total30.56%22.22%30.56%5.56%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.44 -0.33
SD 1.30 1.30 1.96
CV 1.17 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
FBK Kaunas 1680 82 76.77 +5.23 77.0% 61 64 72 77 82 87 91
Ekranas 1666 92 81.10 +10.90 95.0% 60 67 76 82 85 92 97
Suduva 1478 59 53.63 +5.37 82.0% 35 41 49 54 58 67 71
Vetra 1385 57 54.47 +2.53 67.0% 37 42 49 55 59 66 70
Vilnius 1360 47 47.48 -0.48 48.0% 23 35 43 48 52 60 67
Zalgiris 1309 41 45.49 -4.49 31.0% 26 33 40 45 50 57 69
Silute 1285 44 48.36 -4.36 30.0% 29 36 43 48 54 59 65
Atlantas 1284 41 47.91 -6.91 16.0% 32 35 43 48 53 58 66
FK Siauliai 1231 33 28.88 +4.12 76.0% 15 17 25 29 33 38 42
Nevezis 937 5 17.97 -12.97 2.0% 4 8 14 19 22 26 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.44%
Clear Edge
43.89%21.67%34.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 32.91 Elo pts.
175 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
61%
Ekranas, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.28/gm
Comfortable
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.66 * Some Luck: 5.66 to 8.49 * Lucky: 8.49 to 11.32 * Wild Swing: 11.32 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.79 * Close: 0.79 to 1.18 * Off: 1.18 to 1.57 * Way Off: 1.57 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.74 points
Some Luck
07.0818
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
00.982
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
Ekranas
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Nevezis
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Top-Heavy
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 216.14
3.05
Wide Separation
12.52.853.5
Interquartile Edge
73%
Even
50%77.5%86.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
99%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.72
Strong Carryover
00.650.811
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.76
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.27
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.065
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Ekranas61.00%36.00%3.00%———————
FBK Kaunas39.00%58.00%3.00%———————
Suduva—2.00%26.00%20.00%26.00%15.00%6.00%5.00%——
Vetra—4.00%34.00%23.00%20.00%11.00%3.00%5.00%——
Vilnius——6.00%18.00%14.00%18.00%26.00%16.00%1.00%1.00%
Silute——11.00%12.00%17.00%20.00%19.00%19.00%2.00%—
Atlantas——9.00%18.00%15.00%18.00%20.00%17.00%2.00%1.00%
Zalgiris——8.00%9.00%8.00%18.00%22.00%32.00%3.00%—
FK Siauliai——————4.00%5.00%80.00%11.00%
Nevezis———————1.00%12.00%87.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Atlantas 100%
Ekranas 100%
FBK Kaunas 100%
FK Siauliai 100%
Nevezis 100%
Silute 100%
Suduva 100%
Vetra 100%
Vilnius 100%
Zalgiris 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-04-12 FK Siauliai W 5-131.6 1535 1168 76.32% 17.48% 6.21%+2.28 +7.6 3
2005-04-12 @ FBK Kaunas L 1-531.6 1168 1535 6.21% 17.48% 76.32%-2.28 -7.6 0
2005-04-12 Nevezis W 1-036.5 1407 1239 62.46% 21.40% 16.15%+1.15 +6.7 3
2005-04-12 @ Vetra L 0-136.5 1239 1407 16.15% 21.40% 62.46%-1.15 -6.7 0
2005-04-12 Silute W 2-041.1 1371 1371 43.09% 22.94% 33.97%+0.19 +24.0 3
2005-04-12 @ Zalgiris L 0-241.1 1371 1371 33.97% 22.94% 43.09%-0.19 -24.0 0
2005-04-12 Suduva W 1-040.8 1386 1329 50.58% 22.65% 26.76%+0.51 +10.5 3
2005-04-12 @ Atlantas L 0-140.8 1329 1386 26.76% 22.65% 50.58%-0.51 -10.5 0
2005-04-12 Vilnius W 5-135.5 1532 1276 69.55% 19.85% 10.59%+1.65 +13.3 3
2005-04-12 @ Ekranas L 1-535.5 1276 1532 10.59% 19.85% 69.55%-1.65 -13.3 0
2005-04-16 Atlantas W 3-041.3 1347 1397 36.17% 22.97% 40.86%-0.09 +40.2 3
2005-04-16 @ Silute L 0-341.3 1397 1347 40.86% 22.97% 36.17%+0.09 -40.2 3
2005-04-16 FBK Kaunas W 1-053.8 1262 1542 12.96% 20.64% 66.41%-1.41 +22.6 3
2005-04-16 @ Vilnius L 0-153.8 1542 1262 66.41% 20.64% 12.96%+1.41 -22.6 3
2005-04-16 FK Siauliai L 0-244.2 1233 1160 52.46% 22.53% 25.01%+0.60 -34.2 0
2005-04-16 @ Nevezis W 2-044.2 1160 1233 25.01% 22.53% 52.46%-0.60 +34.2 3
2005-04-16 Suduva W 2-036.6 1545 1319 67.33% 20.42% 12.25%+1.48 +9.7 6
2005-04-16 @ Ekranas L 0-236.6 1319 1545 12.25% 20.42% 67.33%-1.48 -9.7 0
2005-04-16 Zalgiris W 2-041.6 1414 1395 45.74% 22.87% 31.39%+0.30 +22.5 6
2005-04-16 @ Vetra L 0-241.6 1395 1414 31.39% 22.87% 45.74%-0.30 -22.5 3
2005-04-19 Nevezis W 4-030.6 1372 1198 63.00% 21.31% 15.70%+1.18 +23.4 6
2005-04-19 @ Zalgiris L 0-430.6 1198 1372 15.70% 21.31% 63.00%-1.18 -23.4 0
2005-04-19 Silute W 2-148.1 1555 1388 62.41% 21.41% 16.19%+1.14 +6.3 9
2005-04-19 @ Ekranas L 1-248.1 1388 1555 16.19% 21.41% 62.41%-1.14 -6.3 3
2005-04-19 Suduva W 3-034.1 1520 1309 66.10% 20.70% 13.19%+1.39 +15.2 6
2005-04-19 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-334.1 1309 1520 13.19% 20.70% 66.10%-1.39 -15.2 0
2005-04-19 Vetra W 1-047.8 1357 1436 32.05% 22.89% 45.06%-0.27 +15.9 6
2005-04-19 @ Atlantas L 0-147.8 1436 1357 45.06% 22.89% 32.05%+0.27 -15.9 6
2005-04-20 FK Siauliai D 0-049.9 1285 1194 54.55% 22.37% 23.08%+0.70 -2.8 4
2005-04-20 @ Vilnius D 0-049.9 1194 1285 23.08% 22.37% 54.55%-0.70 +2.8 4
2005-04-23 Atlantas L 1-252.7 1396 1372 46.29% 22.85% 30.86%+0.32 -15.3 6
2005-04-23 @ Zalgiris W 2-152.7 1372 1396 30.86% 22.85% 46.29%-0.32 +15.3 9
2005-04-23 Ekranas L 0-245.0 1421 1561 24.73% 22.51% 52.76%-0.61 -18.5 6
2005-04-23 @ Vetra W 2-045.0 1561 1421 52.76% 22.51% 24.73%+0.61 +18.5 12
2005-04-23 FBK Kaunas L 0-439.4 1381 1535 23.33% 22.39% 54.28%-0.69 -33.3 3
2005-04-23 @ Silute W 4-039.4 1535 1381 54.28% 22.39% 23.33%+0.69 +33.3 9
2005-04-23 FK Siauliai W 1-037.7 1294 1197 55.29% 22.30% 22.41%+0.74 +9.0 3
2005-04-23 @ Suduva L 0-137.7 1197 1294 22.41% 22.30% 55.29%-0.74 -9.0 4
2005-04-23 Vilnius L 0-237.2 1175 1282 28.62% 22.76% 48.63%-0.42 -20.9 0
2005-04-23 @ Nevezis W 2-037.2 1282 1175 48.63% 22.76% 28.62%+0.42 +20.9 7
2005-04-26 Nevezis W 5-132.8 1388 1154 67.90% 20.29% 11.82%+1.52 +14.8 12
2005-04-26 @ Atlantas L 1-532.8 1154 1388 11.82% 20.29% 67.90%-1.52 -14.8 0
2005-04-26 Suduva D 0-050.3 1303 1303 43.12% 22.94% 33.94%+0.19 -0.8 8
2005-04-26 @ Vilnius D 0-050.3 1303 1303 33.94% 22.94% 43.12%-0.19 +0.8 4
2005-04-26 Vetra L 0-255.5 1568 1402 62.31% 21.42% 16.27%+1.14 -40.1 9
2005-04-26 @ FBK Kaunas W 2-055.5 1402 1568 16.27% 21.42% 62.31%-1.14 +40.1 9
2005-04-26 Zalgiris W 2-040.4 1580 1380 65.19% 20.90% 13.92%+1.32 +11.0 15
2005-04-26 @ Ekranas L 0-240.4 1380 1580 13.92% 20.90% 65.19%-1.32 -11.0 6
2005-04-27 FK Siauliai W 4-136.5 1348 1188 61.70% 21.52% 16.78%+1.10 +16.1 6
2005-04-27 @ Silute L 1-436.5 1188 1348 16.78% 21.52% 61.70%-1.10 -16.1 4
2005-04-30 Ekranas L 0-146.2 1403 1591 19.97% 22.02% 58.01%-0.88 -8.1 12
2005-04-30 @ Atlantas W 1-046.2 1591 1403 58.01% 22.02% 19.97%+0.88 +8.1 18
2005-04-30 FK Siauliai W 2-138.9 1442 1172 70.50% 19.58% 9.92%+1.73 +3.9 12
2005-04-30 @ Vetra L 1-238.9 1172 1442 9.92% 19.58% 70.50%-1.73 -3.9 4
2005-04-30 Nevezis W 5-030.2 1304 1139 62.15% 21.45% 16.40%+1.13 +30.0 7
2005-04-30 @ Suduva L 0-530.2 1139 1304 16.40% 21.45% 62.15%-1.13 -30.0 0
2005-04-30 Silute L 0-142.6 1302 1364 34.47% 22.95% 42.59%-0.16 -12.9 8
2005-04-30 @ Vilnius W 1-042.6 1364 1302 42.59% 22.95% 34.47%+0.16 +12.8 9
2005-04-30 Zalgiris W 4-036.5 1528 1369 61.62% 21.53% 16.85%+1.09 +25.0 12
2005-04-30 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-436.5 1369 1528 16.85% 21.53% 61.62%-1.09 -25.0 6
2005-05-03 Atlantas W 2-148.6 1553 1394 61.61% 21.53% 16.86%+1.09 +6.6 15
2005-05-03 @ FBK Kaunas L 1-248.6 1394 1553 16.86% 21.53% 61.61%-1.09 -6.6 12
2005-05-03 Nevezis W 1-031.3 1599 1109 82.00% 14.60% 3.40%+2.98 +1.3 21
2005-05-03 @ Ekranas L 0-131.3 1109 1599 3.40% 14.60% 82.00%-2.98 -1.3 0
2005-05-03 Suduva D 1-155.7 1377 1334 48.83% 22.75% 28.42%+0.43 -1.6 10
2005-05-03 @ Silute D 1-155.7 1334 1377 28.42% 22.75% 48.83%-0.43 +1.5 8
2005-05-03 Vetra D 0-051.9 1289 1446 23.03% 22.36% 54.61%-0.71 +2.8 9
2005-05-03 @ Vilnius D 0-051.9 1446 1289 54.61% 22.36% 23.03%+0.71 -2.8 13
2005-05-04 FK Siauliai D 0-050.3 1344 1168 63.20% 21.27% 15.53%+1.19 -4.4 7
2005-05-04 @ Zalgiris D 0-050.3 1168 1344 15.53% 21.27% 63.20%-1.19 +4.4 5
2005-05-07 FBK Kaunas W 1-054.7 1600 1560 48.52% 22.76% 28.72%+0.42 +11.1 24
2005-05-07 @ Ekranas L 0-154.7 1560 1600 28.72% 22.76% 48.52%-0.42 -11.1 15
2005-05-07 FK Siauliai W 3-137.5 1388 1173 66.49% 20.62% 12.90%+1.42 +8.8 15
2005-05-07 @ Atlantas L 1-337.5 1173 1388 12.90% 20.62% 66.49%-1.42 -8.8 5
2005-05-07 Silute D 0-050.3 1108 1375 13.79% 20.86% 65.35%-1.34 +4.8 1
2005-05-07 @ Nevezis D 0-050.3 1375 1108 65.35% 20.86% 13.79%+1.34 -4.8 11
2005-05-07 Suduva W 1-040.2 1443 1335 56.48% 22.18% 21.33%+0.80 +8.6 16
2005-05-07 @ Vetra L 0-140.2 1335 1443 21.33% 22.18% 56.48%-0.80 -8.6 8
2005-05-07 Vilnius W 1-040.2 1340 1292 49.49% 22.71% 27.80%+0.46 +10.8 10
2005-05-07 @ Zalgiris L 0-140.2 1292 1340 27.80% 22.71% 49.49%-0.46 -10.8 9
2005-05-11 FBK Kaunas L 0-240.2 1351 1549 19.09% 21.90% 59.01%-0.94 -14.7 10
2005-05-11 @ Zalgiris W 2-040.2 1549 1351 59.01% 21.90% 19.09%+0.94 +14.7 18
2005-05-14 Atlantas W 1-047.3 1281 1397 27.61% 22.70% 49.69%-0.47 +17.3 12
2005-05-14 @ Vilnius L 0-147.3 1397 1281 49.69% 22.70% 27.61%+0.47 -17.3 15
2005-05-14 FBK Kaunas L 0-827.8 1113 1563 5.69% 17.07% 77.24%-2.38 -16.0 1
2005-05-14 @ Nevezis W 8-027.8 1563 1113 77.24% 17.07% 5.69%+2.38 +16.0 21
2005-05-14 FK Siauliai W 1-033.0 1611 1164 80.22% 15.59% 4.18%+2.74 +1.7 27
2005-05-14 @ Ekranas L 0-133.0 1164 1611 4.18% 15.59% 80.22%-2.74 -1.7 5
2005-05-14 Vetra W 2-046.1 1370 1452 31.84% 22.88% 45.28%-0.28 +30.1 14
2005-05-14 @ Silute L 0-246.1 1452 1370 45.28% 22.88% 31.84%+0.28 -30.1 16
2005-05-14 Zalgiris D 1-155.0 1327 1336 41.86% 22.96% 35.18%+0.13 -0.5 9
2005-05-14 @ Suduva D 1-155.0 1336 1327 35.18% 22.96% 41.86%-0.13 +0.5 11
2005-05-17 Atlantas L 1-265.1 1613 1379 67.88% 20.29% 11.83%+1.52 -21.7 27
2005-05-17 @ Ekranas W 2-165.1 1379 1613 11.83% 20.29% 67.88%-1.52 +21.7 18
2005-05-24 Atlantas W 1-046.4 1326 1401 32.71% 22.91% 44.38%-0.24 +15.7 12
2005-05-24 @ Suduva L 0-146.4 1401 1326 44.38% 22.91% 32.71%+0.24 -15.7 18
2005-05-24 Ekranas L 0-139.8 1299 1591 12.21% 20.41% 67.38%-1.48 -5.1 12
2005-05-24 @ Vilnius W 1-039.8 1591 1299 67.38% 20.41% 12.21%+1.48 +5.1 30
2005-05-24 FK Siauliai D 0-053.8 1579 1162 78.84% 16.31% 4.85%+2.57 -7.0 22
2005-05-24 @ FBK Kaunas D 0-053.8 1162 1579 4.85% 16.31% 78.84%-2.57 +7.0 6
2005-05-24 Nevezis W 6-027.1 1422 1097 73.97% 18.42% 7.61%+2.04 +16.6 19
2005-05-24 @ Vetra L 0-627.1 1097 1422 7.61% 18.42% 73.97%-2.04 -16.6 1
2005-05-24 Zalgiris W 1-040.9 1401 1337 51.45% 22.60% 25.95%+0.55 +10.2 17
2005-05-24 @ Silute L 0-140.9 1337 1401 25.95% 22.60% 51.45%-0.55 -10.2 11
2005-05-28 Ekranas D 2-267.1 1342 1596 14.66% 21.08% 64.27%-1.26 +3.0 13
2005-05-28 @ Suduva D 2-267.1 1596 1342 64.27% 21.08% 14.66%+1.26 -3.0 31
2005-05-28 Nevezis W 4-032.4 1169 1080 54.37% 22.38% 23.25%+0.69 +33.2 9
2005-05-28 @ FK Siauliai L 0-432.4 1080 1169 23.25% 22.38% 54.37%-0.69 -33.2 1
2005-05-28 Silute D 0-052.9 1385 1411 39.61% 22.98% 37.41%+0.04 -0.2 19
2005-05-28 @ Atlantas D 0-052.9 1411 1385 37.41% 22.98% 39.61%-0.04 +0.2 18
2005-05-28 Vetra W 1-048.4 1326 1438 28.02% 22.73% 49.26%-0.45 +17.1 14
2005-05-28 @ Zalgiris L 0-148.4 1438 1326 49.26% 22.73% 28.02%+0.45 -17.1 19
2005-05-28 Vilnius D 0-055.7 1572 1293 71.10% 19.40% 9.50%+1.78 -5.8 23
2005-05-28 @ FBK Kaunas D 0-055.7 1293 1572 9.50% 19.40% 71.10%-1.78 +5.8 13
2005-06-08 Atlantas L 0-246.5 1421 1385 47.95% 22.79% 29.26%+0.39 -31.6 19
2005-06-08 @ Vetra W 2-046.5 1385 1421 29.26% 22.79% 47.95%-0.39 +31.6 22
2005-06-08 Ekranas L 1-545.5 1411 1593 20.50% 22.09% 57.41%-0.85 -24.8 18
2005-06-08 @ Silute W 5-145.5 1593 1411 57.41% 22.09% 20.50%+0.85 +24.8 34
2005-06-08 FBK Kaunas L 0-142.3 1345 1567 17.09% 21.58% 61.33%-1.08 -7.1 13
2005-06-08 @ Suduva W 1-042.3 1567 1345 61.33% 21.58% 17.09%+1.08 +7.1 26
2005-06-08 Vilnius L 0-140.2 1202 1299 29.86% 22.81% 47.33%-0.37 -11.5 9
2005-06-08 @ FK Siauliai W 1-040.2 1299 1202 47.33% 22.81% 29.86%+0.37 +11.5 16
2005-06-08 Zalgiris L 0-231.4 1047 1344 11.98% 20.34% 67.68%-1.50 -9.5 1
2005-06-08 @ Nevezis W 2-031.4 1344 1047 67.68% 20.34% 11.98%+1.50 +9.5 17
2005-06-11 Nevezis D 1-154.7 1311 1038 70.71% 19.52% 9.77%+1.75 -5.1 17
2005-06-11 @ Vilnius D 1-154.7 1038 1311 9.77% 19.52% 70.71%-1.75 +5.1 2
2005-06-11 Silute W 4-143.7 1574 1386 64.20% 21.09% 14.71%+1.26 +14.2 29
2005-06-11 @ FBK Kaunas L 1-443.7 1386 1574 14.71% 21.09% 64.20%-1.26 -14.2 18
2005-06-11 Suduva L 1-341.3 1191 1338 24.03% 22.45% 53.52%-0.65 -15.6 9
2005-06-11 @ FK Siauliai W 3-141.3 1338 1191 53.52% 22.45% 24.03%+0.65 +15.6 16
2005-06-11 Vetra W 8-039.4 1618 1390 67.50% 20.38% 12.12%+1.49 +35.1 37
2005-06-11 @ Ekranas L 0-839.4 1390 1618 12.12% 20.38% 67.50%-1.49 -35.1 19
2005-06-11 Zalgiris D 2-262.0 1417 1353 51.44% 22.60% 25.96%+0.55 -1.5 23
2005-06-11 @ Atlantas D 2-262.0 1353 1417 25.96% 22.60% 51.44%-0.55 +1.5 18
2005-06-14 Atlantas D 0-050.9 1043 1415 8.30% 18.81% 72.89%-1.94 +6.1 3
2005-06-14 @ Nevezis D 0-050.9 1415 1043 72.89% 18.81% 8.30%+1.94 -6.1 24
2005-06-14 Ekranas L 0-438.6 1355 1653 11.86% 20.30% 67.83%-1.52 -17.8 18
2005-06-14 @ Zalgiris W 4-038.6 1653 1355 67.83% 20.30% 11.86%+1.52 +17.8 40
2005-06-14 FBK Kaunas L 0-143.1 1355 1588 16.18% 21.40% 62.42%-1.14 -6.7 19
2005-06-14 @ Vetra W 1-043.1 1588 1355 62.42% 21.40% 16.18%+1.14 +6.7 32
2005-06-14 Silute W 2-153.9 1175 1372 19.19% 21.91% 58.90%-0.93 +19.0 12
2005-06-14 @ FK Siauliai L 1-253.9 1372 1175 58.90% 21.91% 19.19%+0.93 -19.0 18
2005-06-14 Vilnius D 2-260.4 1354 1306 49.50% 22.71% 27.79%+0.46 -1.2 17
2005-06-14 @ Suduva D 2-260.4 1306 1354 27.79% 22.71% 49.50%-0.46 +1.2 18
2005-06-18 Atlantas D 0-063.2 1671 1409 69.92% 19.75% 10.33%+1.68 -5.6 41
2005-06-18 @ Ekranas D 0-063.2 1409 1671 10.33% 19.75% 69.92%-1.68 +5.6 25
2005-06-18 Suduva L 1-532.3 1049 1352 11.58% 20.21% 68.21%-1.54 -14.5 3
2005-06-18 @ Nevezis W 5-132.3 1352 1049 68.21% 20.21% 11.58%+1.54 +14.5 20
2005-06-18 Vilnius D 1-155.1 1353 1307 49.25% 22.73% 28.03%+0.45 -1.6 19
2005-06-18 @ Silute D 1-155.1 1307 1353 28.03% 22.73% 49.25%-0.45 +1.6 19
2005-06-21 FBK Kaunas D 0-056.5 1308 1595 12.59% 20.53% 66.89%-1.44 +5.0 20
2005-06-21 @ Vilnius D 0-056.5 1595 1308 66.89% 20.53% 12.59%+1.44 -5.0 33
2005-06-25 Ekranas L 0-425.1 1034 1665 2.32% 12.83% 84.84%-3.41 -3.1 3
2005-06-25 @ Nevezis W 4-025.1 1665 1034 84.84% 12.83% 2.32%+3.41 +3.1 44
2005-06-25 FBK Kaunas L 1-350.0 1415 1590 21.23% 22.17% 56.60%-0.81 -14.0 25
2005-06-25 @ Atlantas W 3-150.0 1590 1415 56.60% 22.17% 21.23%+0.81 +14.0 36
2005-06-25 Silute W 4-143.0 1367 1351 45.28% 22.88% 31.84%+0.28 +27.8 23
2005-06-25 @ Suduva L 1-443.0 1351 1367 31.84% 22.88% 45.28%-0.28 -27.8 19
2005-06-28 Atlantas W 2-046.9 1194 1401 18.32% 21.78% 59.90%-0.99 +38.6 15
2005-06-28 @ FK Siauliai L 0-246.9 1401 1194 59.90% 21.78% 18.32%+0.99 -38.6 25
2005-06-28 Ekranas L 1-263.8 1604 1669 34.04% 22.94% 43.02%-0.18 -12.0 36
2005-06-28 @ FBK Kaunas W 2-163.8 1669 1604 43.02% 22.94% 34.04%+0.18 +12.0 47
2005-06-29 Vetra D 2-261.5 1395 1348 49.34% 22.72% 27.94%+0.45 -1.2 24
2005-06-29 @ Suduva D 2-261.5 1348 1395 27.94% 22.72% 49.34%-0.45 +1.2 20
2005-07-02 Ekranas D 2-267.5 1233 1681 5.77% 17.13% 77.09%-2.37 +4.5 16
2005-07-02 @ FK Siauliai D 2-267.5 1681 1233 77.09% 17.13% 5.77%+2.37 -4.5 48
2005-07-02 Nevezis W 5-024.2 1592 1031 84.67% 12.95% 2.38%+3.39 +3.9 39
2005-07-02 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-524.2 1031 1592 2.38% 12.95% 84.67%-3.39 -3.9 3
2005-07-02 Silute W 1-041.5 1349 1323 46.62% 22.84% 30.54%+0.33 +11.7 23
2005-07-02 @ Vetra L 0-141.5 1323 1349 30.54% 22.84% 46.62%-0.33 -11.7 19
2005-07-02 Vilnius L 0-147.2 1362 1313 49.59% 22.71% 27.70%+0.47 -17.2 25
2005-07-02 @ Atlantas W 1-047.2 1313 1362 27.70% 22.71% 49.59%-0.47 +17.2 23
2005-07-05 FBK Kaunas W 1-055.7 1237 1596 8.91% 19.12% 71.97%-1.86 +24.3 19
2005-07-05 @ FK Siauliai L 0-155.7 1596 1237 71.97% 19.12% 8.91%+1.86 -24.3 39
2005-07-05 Suduva L 1-249.2 1345 1394 36.30% 22.97% 40.73%-0.09 -12.6 25
2005-07-05 @ Atlantas W 2-149.2 1394 1345 40.73% 22.97% 36.30%+0.09 +12.6 27
2005-07-05 Vetra L 1-238.1 1027 1361 10.03% 19.63% 70.35%-1.72 -4.0 3
2005-07-05 @ Nevezis W 2-138.1 1361 1027 70.35% 19.63% 10.03%+1.72 +4.0 26
2005-07-05 Vilnius W 2-039.2 1676 1331 75.14% 17.97% 6.89%+2.16 +5.4 51
2005-07-05 @ Ekranas L 0-239.2 1331 1676 6.89% 17.97% 75.14%-2.16 -5.4 23
2005-07-23 Atlantas W 1-043.1 1312 1332 40.26% 22.97% 36.77%+0.07 +13.5 22
2005-07-23 @ Silute L 0-143.1 1332 1312 36.77% 22.97% 40.26%-0.07 -13.5 25
2005-07-23 Ekranas L 1-252.3 1406 1681 13.26% 20.72% 66.01%-1.38 -5.2 27
2005-07-23 @ Suduva W 2-152.3 1681 1406 66.01% 20.72% 13.26%+1.38 +5.2 54
2005-07-26 Vilnius W 2-146.2 1365 1325 48.41% 22.77% 28.83%+0.41 +10.5 29
2005-07-26 @ Vetra L 1-246.2 1325 1365 28.83% 22.77% 48.41%-0.41 -10.5 23
2005-07-30 Nevezis W 5-235.4 1337 1023 73.28% 18.67% 8.04%+1.98 +6.7 21
2005-07-30 @ Zalgiris L 2-535.4 1023 1337 8.04% 18.67% 73.28%-1.98 -6.7 3
2005-07-30 Vilnius L 0-239.9 1262 1315 35.64% 22.96% 41.40%-0.12 -24.9 19
2005-07-30 @ FK Siauliai W 2-039.9 1315 1262 41.40% 22.96% 35.64%+0.12 +24.9 26
2005-08-02 Silute W 3-037.3 1687 1325 76.02% 17.61% 6.38%+2.25 +7.2 57
2005-08-02 @ Ekranas L 0-337.3 1325 1687 6.38% 17.61% 76.02%-2.25 -7.2 22
2005-08-02 Vetra L 1-346.1 1319 1375 35.21% 22.96% 41.84%-0.13 -21.3 25
2005-08-02 @ Atlantas W 3-146.1 1375 1319 41.84% 22.96% 35.21%+0.13 +21.3 32
2005-08-04 FK Siauliai D 0-051.0 1401 1237 62.12% 21.45% 16.43%+1.12 -4.2 28
2005-08-04 @ Suduva D 0-051.0 1237 1401 16.43% 21.45% 62.12%-1.12 +4.1 20
2005-08-06 Ekranas D 1-167.6 1397 1694 11.94% 20.33% 67.73%-1.51 +4.6 33
2005-08-06 @ Vetra D 1-167.6 1694 1397 67.73% 20.33% 11.94%+1.51 -4.6 58
2005-08-06 FBK Kaunas L 1-441.3 1318 1571 14.73% 21.09% 64.18%-1.26 -14.2 22
2005-08-06 @ Silute W 4-141.3 1571 1318 64.18% 21.09% 14.73%+1.26 +14.2 42
2005-08-06 Vilnius L 0-328.9 1016 1340 10.54% 19.83% 69.62%-1.66 -12.1 3
2005-08-06 @ Nevezis W 3-028.9 1340 1016 69.62% 19.83% 10.54%+1.66 +12.1 29
2005-08-07 Atlantas L 0-146.7 1343 1298 49.21% 22.73% 28.06%+0.45 -17.1 21
2005-08-07 @ Zalgiris W 1-046.7 1298 1343 28.06% 22.73% 49.21%-0.45 +17.1 28
2005-08-09 Nevezis W 3-242.2 1304 1004 72.42% 18.97% 8.61%+1.90 +3.2 25
2005-08-09 @ Silute L 2-342.2 1004 1304 8.61% 18.97% 72.42%-1.90 -3.2 3
2005-08-09 Vetra L 1-243.7 1241 1401 22.65% 22.32% 55.02%-0.73 -8.6 20
2005-08-09 @ FK Siauliai W 2-143.7 1401 1241 55.02% 22.32% 22.65%+0.73 +8.6 36
2005-08-12 FBK Kaunas L 2-351.2 1326 1585 14.32% 20.99% 64.69%-1.29 -5.3 21
2005-08-12 @ Zalgiris W 3-251.2 1585 1326 64.69% 20.99% 14.32%+1.29 +5.3 45
2005-08-12 Suduva L 1-629.3 1001 1397 7.43% 18.31% 74.25%-2.07 -11.3 3
2005-08-12 @ Nevezis W 6-129.3 1397 1001 74.25% 18.31% 7.43%+2.07 +11.3 31
2005-08-12 Vilnius D 1-155.0 1307 1352 36.83% 22.97% 40.20%-0.07 +0.2 26
2005-08-12 @ Silute D 1-155.0 1352 1307 40.20% 22.97% 36.83%+0.07 -0.2 30
2005-08-13 FK Siauliai W 2-033.8 1410 1232 63.32% 21.25% 15.43%+1.20 +12.1 39
2005-08-13 @ Vetra L 0-233.8 1232 1410 15.43% 21.25% 63.32%-1.20 -12.1 20
2005-08-20 Nevezis D 2-260.3 1315 990 73.96% 18.42% 7.61%+2.04 -4.2 29
2005-08-20 @ Atlantas D 2-260.3 990 1315 7.61% 18.42% 73.96%-2.04 +4.2 4
2005-08-20 Silute L 1-441.2 1220 1307 31.10% 22.86% 46.04%-0.31 -27.3 20
2005-08-20 @ FK Siauliai W 4-141.2 1307 1220 46.04% 22.86% 31.10%+0.31 +27.3 29
2005-08-20 Suduva D 1-156.4 1352 1408 35.19% 22.96% 41.85%-0.13 +0.5 31
2005-08-20 @ Vilnius D 1-156.4 1408 1352 41.85% 22.96% 35.19%+0.13 -0.5 32
2005-08-20 Vetra W 3-041.3 1591 1422 62.55% 21.38% 16.07%+1.15 +18.3 48
2005-08-20 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-341.3 1422 1591 16.07% 21.38% 62.55%-1.15 -18.3 39
2005-08-20 Zalgiris W 4-036.1 1689 1321 76.38% 17.45% 6.17%+2.29 +9.0 61
2005-08-20 @ Ekranas L 0-436.1 1321 1689 6.17% 17.45% 76.38%-2.29 -9.1 21
2005-08-23 Atlantas W 2-036.8 1609 1311 72.36% 18.99% 8.65%+1.89 +6.8 51
2005-08-23 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-236.8 1311 1609 8.65% 18.99% 72.36%-1.89 -6.8 29
2005-08-23 Nevezis W 4-129.5 1698 994 89.01% 9.85% 1.14%+4.20 +0.9 64
2005-08-23 @ Ekranas L 1-429.5 994 1698 1.14% 9.85% 89.01%-4.20 -0.9 4
2005-08-23 Suduva D 0-051.8 1335 1408 32.97% 22.91% 44.12%-0.23 +0.9 30
2005-08-23 @ Silute D 0-051.8 1408 1335 44.12% 22.91% 32.97%+0.23 -0.9 33
2005-08-23 Vetra D 1-156.3 1352 1404 35.86% 22.97% 41.17%-0.11 +0.4 32
2005-08-23 @ Vilnius D 1-156.3 1404 1352 41.17% 22.97% 35.86%+0.11 -0.4 40
2005-08-23 Zalgiris L 0-434.1 1193 1312 27.18% 22.68% 50.14%-0.49 -37.9 20
2005-08-23 @ FK Siauliai W 4-034.1 1312 1193 50.14% 22.68% 27.18%+0.49 +37.9 24
2005-08-27 FBK Kaunas D 0-067.7 1699 1616 53.73% 22.43% 23.83%+0.66 -2.6 65
2005-08-27 @ Ekranas D 0-067.7 1616 1699 23.83% 22.43% 53.73%-0.66 +2.6 52
2005-08-27 FK Siauliai W 2-033.6 1304 1155 60.67% 21.67% 17.66%+1.04 +13.7 32
2005-08-27 @ Atlantas L 0-233.6 1155 1304 17.66% 21.67% 60.67%-1.04 -13.7 20
2005-08-27 Silute L 1-335.6 993 1336 9.61% 19.45% 70.95%-1.77 -6.6 4
2005-08-27 @ Nevezis W 3-135.6 1336 993 70.95% 19.45% 9.61%+1.77 +6.6 33
2005-08-27 Suduva D 1-157.4 1403 1407 42.69% 22.94% 34.37%+0.17 -0.6 41
2005-08-27 @ Vetra D 1-157.4 1407 1403 34.37% 22.94% 42.69%-0.17 +0.6 34
2005-08-27 Vilnius D 0-051.2 1350 1352 42.79% 22.94% 34.27%+0.17 -0.7 25
2005-08-27 @ Zalgiris D 0-051.2 1352 1350 34.27% 22.94% 42.79%-0.17 +0.7 33
2005-09-10 Atlantas W 4-141.6 1353 1317 47.92% 22.79% 29.29%+0.39 +26.0 36
2005-09-10 @ Vilnius L 1-441.6 1317 1353 29.29% 22.79% 47.92%-0.39 -26.0 32
2005-09-10 Ekranas L 1-336.7 1141 1697 3.40% 14.60% 82.00%-2.98 -2.2 20
2005-09-10 @ FK Siauliai W 3-136.7 1697 1141 82.00% 14.60% 3.40%+2.98 +2.2 68
2005-09-10 Nevezis W 3-024.5 1619 986 86.99% 11.35% 1.66%+3.79 +1.6 55
2005-09-10 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-324.5 986 1619 1.66% 11.35% 86.99%-3.79 -1.6 4
2005-09-10 Vetra W 3-149.0 1342 1403 34.64% 22.95% 42.41%-0.16 +24.7 36
2005-09-10 @ Silute L 1-349.0 1403 1342 42.41% 22.95% 34.64%+0.16 -24.7 41
2005-09-10 Zalgiris W 2-039.0 1407 1349 50.75% 22.64% 26.61%+0.52 +19.6 37
2005-09-10 @ Suduva L 0-239.0 1349 1407 26.61% 22.64% 50.75%-0.52 -19.6 25
2005-09-13 Suduva L 2-449.2 1329 1427 29.80% 22.81% 47.39%-0.37 -16.7 25
2005-09-13 @ Zalgiris W 4-249.2 1427 1329 47.39% 22.81% 29.80%+0.37 +16.7 40
2005-09-14 FK Siauliai L 1-242.7 985 1139 23.29% 22.39% 54.32%-0.69 -8.8 4
2005-09-14 @ Nevezis W 2-142.7 1139 985 54.32% 22.39% 23.29%+0.69 +8.8 23
2005-09-17 Atlantas W 3-140.9 1444 1291 60.99% 21.63% 17.38%+1.06 +11.7 43
2005-09-17 @ Suduva L 1-340.9 1291 1444 17.38% 21.63% 60.99%-1.06 -11.7 32
2005-09-17 Ekranas L 0-145.9 1379 1699 10.73% 19.91% 69.36%-1.63 -4.5 36
2005-09-17 @ Vilnius W 1-045.9 1699 1379 69.36% 19.91% 10.73%+1.63 +4.5 71
2005-09-17 FBK Kaunas L 2-343.3 1148 1620 5.12% 16.56% 78.32%-2.51 -1.8 23
2005-09-17 @ FK Siauliai W 3-243.3 1620 1148 78.32% 16.56% 5.12%+2.51 +1.8 58
2005-09-17 Vetra L 0-229.3 976 1378 7.21% 18.18% 74.61%-2.10 -5.6 4
2005-09-17 @ Nevezis W 2-029.3 1378 976 74.61% 18.18% 7.21%+2.10 +5.6 44
2005-09-17 Zalgiris L 0-147.4 1367 1313 50.25% 22.67% 27.08%+0.50 -17.4 36
2005-09-17 @ Silute W 1-047.4 1313 1367 27.08% 22.67% 50.25%-0.50 +17.4 28
2005-09-20 Zalgiris W 2-146.0 1384 1330 50.16% 22.68% 27.16%+0.49 +10.0 47
2005-09-20 @ Vetra L 1-246.0 1330 1384 27.16% 22.68% 50.16%-0.49 -10.0 28
2005-09-21 Suduva W 3-150.9 1622 1455 62.35% 21.41% 16.24%+1.14 +11.0 61
2005-09-21 @ FBK Kaunas L 1-350.9 1455 1622 16.24% 21.41% 62.35%-1.14 -11.0 43
2005-09-24 Nevezis D 2-259.4 1146 970 63.14% 21.28% 15.58%+1.19 -2.9 24
2005-09-24 @ FK Siauliai D 2-259.4 970 1146 15.58% 21.28% 63.14%-1.19 +2.9 5
2005-09-24 Silute D 2-260.0 1280 1349 33.39% 22.92% 43.69%-0.21 +0.6 33
2005-09-24 @ Atlantas D 2-260.0 1349 1280 43.69% 22.92% 33.39%+0.21 -0.6 37
2005-09-24 Suduva W 4-148.5 1703 1444 69.73% 19.80% 10.47%+1.66 +10.2 74
2005-09-24 @ Ekranas L 1-448.5 1444 1703 10.47% 19.80% 69.73%-1.66 -10.2 43
2005-09-24 Vetra D 1-155.7 1320 1394 32.90% 22.91% 44.19%-0.23 +0.8 29
2005-09-24 @ Zalgiris D 1-155.7 1394 1320 44.19% 22.91% 32.90%+0.23 -0.8 48
2005-09-24 Vilnius W 1-043.3 1633 1375 69.69% 19.81% 10.49%+1.66 +4.4 64
2005-09-24 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-143.3 1375 1633 10.49% 19.81% 69.69%-1.66 -4.4 36
2005-09-28 Silute D 0-050.8 1321 1349 39.24% 22.98% 37.78%+0.03 -0.1 30
2005-09-28 @ Zalgiris D 0-050.8 1349 1321 37.78% 22.98% 39.24%-0.03 +0.1 38
2005-10-01 Atlantas W 3-248.3 1393 1280 56.98% 22.13% 20.88%+0.83 +7.6 51
2005-10-01 @ Vetra L 2-348.3 1280 1393 20.88% 22.13% 56.98%-0.83 -7.6 33
2005-10-01 Ekranas L 0-242.1 1349 1713 8.65% 18.99% 72.36%-1.89 -6.8 38
2005-10-01 @ Silute W 2-042.1 1713 1349 72.36% 18.99% 8.65%+1.89 +6.8 77
2005-10-01 FBK Kaunas L 3-461.3 1434 1637 18.61% 21.83% 59.56%-0.97 -6.7 43
2005-10-01 @ Suduva W 4-361.3 1637 1434 59.56% 21.83% 18.61%+0.97 +6.7 67
2005-10-01 FK Siauliai D 1-154.8 1370 1143 67.41% 20.41% 12.19%+1.48 -4.6 37
2005-10-01 @ Vilnius D 1-154.8 1143 1370 12.19% 20.41% 67.41%-1.48 +4.6 25
2005-10-01 Zalgiris L 1-237.7 973 1321 9.38% 19.34% 71.28%-1.79 -3.7 5
2005-10-01 @ Nevezis W 2-137.7 1321 973 71.28% 19.34% 9.38%+1.79 +3.7 33
2005-10-04 Zalgiris L 2-347.1 1148 1325 21.01% 22.15% 56.84%-0.82 -7.6 25
2005-10-04 @ FK Siauliai W 3-247.1 1325 1148 56.84% 22.15% 21.01%+0.82 +7.6 36
2005-10-15 Nevezis W 3-026.4 1366 970 77.81% 16.81% 5.39%+2.45 +6.0 40
2005-10-15 @ Vilnius L 0-326.4 970 1366 5.39% 16.81% 77.81%-2.45 -6.0 5
2005-10-15 Silute W 5-036.2 1644 1342 72.58% 18.92% 8.51%+1.91 +15.7 70
2005-10-15 @ FBK Kaunas L 0-536.2 1342 1644 8.51% 18.92% 72.58%-1.91 -15.7 38
2005-10-15 Suduva L 1-435.1 1140 1427 12.52% 20.51% 66.98%-1.45 -12.1 25
2005-10-15 @ FK Siauliai W 4-135.1 1427 1140 66.98% 20.51% 12.52%+1.45 +12.1 46
2005-10-15 Vetra W 1-046.0 1720 1400 73.67% 18.53% 7.80%+2.01 +3.2 80
2005-10-15 @ Ekranas L 0-146.0 1400 1720 7.80% 18.53% 73.67%-2.01 -3.2 51
2005-10-15 Zalgiris D 1-154.5 1273 1332 34.76% 22.95% 42.28%-0.15 +0.5 34
2005-10-15 @ Atlantas D 1-154.5 1332 1273 42.28% 22.95% 34.76%+0.15 -0.5 37
2005-10-18 Atlantas L 0-329.1 964 1273 11.26% 20.10% 68.65%-1.58 -13.0 5
2005-10-18 @ Nevezis W 3-029.1 1273 964 68.65% 20.10% 11.26%+1.58 +13.0 37
2005-10-18 Ekranas L 0-241.3 1332 1723 7.57% 18.40% 74.03%-2.05 -5.9 37
2005-10-18 @ Zalgiris W 2-041.3 1723 1332 74.03% 18.40% 7.57%+2.05 +5.9 83
2005-10-18 FBK Kaunas L 0-342.2 1397 1660 14.08% 20.94% 64.99%-1.31 -16.1 51
2005-10-18 @ Vetra W 3-042.2 1660 1397 64.99% 20.94% 14.08%+1.31 +16.1 73
2005-10-18 FK Siauliai W 2-139.8 1326 1128 65.12% 20.91% 13.97%+1.32 +5.5 41
2005-10-18 @ Silute L 1-239.8 1128 1326 13.97% 20.91% 65.12%-1.32 -5.5 25
2005-10-18 Vilnius D 1-157.6 1440 1372 51.94% 22.57% 25.50%+0.58 -2.0 47
2005-10-18 @ Suduva D 1-157.6 1372 1440 25.50% 22.57% 51.94%-0.58 +2.0 41
2005-10-22 Zalgiris W 2-038.5 1374 1326 49.48% 22.71% 27.81%+0.46 +20.4 44
2005-10-22 @ Vilnius L 0-238.5 1326 1374 27.81% 22.71% 49.48%-0.46 -20.4 37
2005-10-26 Ekranas L 1-344.3 1286 1729 5.90% 17.24% 76.86%-2.34 -3.9 37
2005-10-26 @ Atlantas W 3-144.3 1729 1286 76.86% 17.24% 5.90%+2.34 +3.9 86
2005-10-26 Nevezis W 5-128.2 1438 951 81.89% 14.66% 3.44%+2.96 +4.0 50
2005-10-26 @ Suduva L 1-528.2 951 1438 3.44% 14.66% 81.89%-2.96 -4.0 5
2005-10-26 Silute W 5-139.5 1394 1332 51.23% 22.61% 26.16%+0.54 +30.6 47
2005-10-26 @ Vilnius L 1-539.5 1332 1394 26.16% 22.61% 51.23%-0.54 -30.6 41
2005-10-26 Vetra W 1-050.1 1122 1381 14.36% 21.01% 64.63%-1.29 +22.0 28
2005-10-26 @ FK Siauliai L 0-150.1 1381 1122 64.63% 21.01% 14.36%+1.29 -22.0 51
2005-10-26 Zalgiris W 3-250.1 1676 1305 76.51% 17.40% 6.10%+2.30 +2.2 76
2005-10-26 @ FBK Kaunas L 2-350.1 1305 1676 6.10% 17.40% 76.51%-2.30 -2.2 37
2005-10-30 Ekranas L 0-523.4 947 1733 1.05% 9.52% 89.43%-4.30 -1.6 5
2005-10-30 @ Nevezis W 5-023.4 1733 947 89.43% 9.52% 1.05%+4.30 +1.6 89
2005-10-30 FBK Kaunas L 0-534.8 1282 1678 7.42% 18.31% 74.27%-2.07 -13.6 37
2005-10-30 @ Atlantas W 5-034.8 1678 1282 74.27% 18.31% 7.42%+2.07 +13.6 79
2005-10-30 FK Siauliai D 1-154.3 1303 1144 61.61% 21.53% 16.86%+1.09 -3.6 38
2005-10-30 @ Zalgiris D 1-154.3 1144 1303 16.86% 21.53% 61.61%-1.09 +3.6 29
2005-10-30 Silute W 2-143.6 1442 1301 59.83% 21.79% 18.38%+0.99 +7.1 53
2005-10-30 @ Suduva L 1-243.6 1301 1442 18.38% 21.79% 59.83%-0.99 -7.1 41
2005-10-30 Vilnius W 2-044.6 1359 1425 33.92% 22.94% 43.14%-0.19 +28.9 54
2005-10-30 @ Vetra L 0-244.6 1425 1359 43.14% 22.94% 33.92%+0.19 -28.9 47
2005-11-06 Atlantas D 1-153.9 1148 1269 26.99% 22.67% 50.34%-0.50 +1.8 30
2005-11-06 @ FK Siauliai D 1-153.9 1269 1148 50.34% 22.67% 26.99%+0.50 -1.8 38
2005-11-06 Ekranas L 2-371.0 1692 1735 37.05% 22.98% 39.97%-0.06 -12.2 79
2005-11-06 @ FBK Kaunas W 3-271.0 1735 1692 39.97% 22.98% 37.05%+0.06 +12.2 92
2005-11-06 Nevezis W 3-027.1 1294 945 75.35% 17.88% 6.77%+2.18 +7.7 44
2005-11-06 @ Silute L 0-327.1 945 1294 6.77% 17.88% 75.35%-2.18 -7.7 5
2005-11-06 Vetra W 2-040.7 1449 1388 51.08% 22.62% 26.30%+0.53 +19.4 56
2005-11-06 @ Suduva L 0-240.7 1388 1449 26.30% 22.62% 51.08%-0.53 -19.5 54
2005-11-07 Zalgiris L 0-149.0 1396 1300 55.21% 22.31% 22.48%+0.74 -19.0 47
2005-11-07 @ Vilnius W 1-049.0 1300 1396 22.48% 22.31% 55.21%-0.74 +19.0 41
2005-11-09 FBK Kaunas L 0-226.1 937 1680 1.32% 10.42% 88.27%-4.05 -0.9 5
2005-11-09 @ Nevezis W 2-026.1 1680 937 88.27% 10.42% 1.32%+4.05 +0.9 82
2005-11-12 FK Siauliai L 1-558.3 1747 1150 85.91% 12.11% 1.98%+3.59 -81.3 92
2005-11-12 @ Ekranas W 5-158.3 1150 1747 1.98% 12.11% 85.91%-3.59 +81.4 33
2005-11-12 Silute W 3-142.8 1368 1302 51.76% 22.58% 25.66%+0.57 +16.5 57
2005-11-12 @ Vetra L 1-342.8 1302 1368 25.66% 22.58% 51.76%-0.57 -16.5 44
2005-11-12 Suduva L 0-141.1 1318 1468 23.77% 22.43% 53.80%-0.67 -9.5 41
2005-11-12 @ Zalgiris W 1-041.1 1468 1318 53.80% 22.43% 23.77%+0.67 +9.5 59
2005-11-12 Vilnius W 1-046.7 1267 1377 28.27% 22.74% 49.00%-0.44 +17.1 41
2005-11-12 @ Atlantas L 0-146.7 1377 1267 49.00% 22.74% 28.27%+0.44 -17.1 47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-11-12 1.98% FK Siauliai 1150 5 @ Ekranas 1747 1
2 2005-07-05 8.91% @ FK Siauliai 1237 1 FBK Kaunas 1596 0
3 2005-05-17 11.83% Atlantas 1379 2 @ Ekranas 1613 1
4 2005-04-16 12.96% @ Vilnius 1262 1 FBK Kaunas 1542 0
5 2005-10-26 14.36% @ FK Siauliai 1122 1 Vetra 1381 0
6 2005-04-26 16.27% Vetra 1402 2 @ FBK Kaunas 1568 0
7 2005-06-28 18.32% @ FK Siauliai 1194 2 Atlantas 1401 0
8 2005-06-14 19.19% @ FK Siauliai 1175 2 Silute 1372 1
9 2005-11-07 22.48% Zalgiris 1300 1 @ Vilnius 1396 0
10 2005-04-16 25.01% FK Siauliai 1160 2 @ Nevezis 1233 0
11 2005-09-17 27.08% Zalgiris 1313 1 @ Silute 1367 0
12 2005-05-14 27.61% @ Vilnius 1281 1 Atlantas 1397 0
13 2005-07-02 27.70% Vilnius 1313 1 @ Atlantas 1362 0
14 2005-05-28 28.02% @ Zalgiris 1326 1 Vetra 1438 0
15 2005-08-07 28.06% Atlantas 1298 1 @ Zalgiris 1343 0
16 2005-11-12 28.27% @ Atlantas 1267 1 Vilnius 1377 0
17 2005-06-08 29.26% Atlantas 1385 2 @ Vetra 1421 0
18 2005-04-23 30.86% Atlantas 1372 2 @ Zalgiris 1396 1
19 2005-05-14 31.84% @ Silute 1370 2 Vetra 1452 0
20 2005-04-19 32.05% @ Atlantas 1357 1 Vetra 1436 0
21 2005-05-24 32.71% @ Suduva 1326 1 Atlantas 1401 0
22 2005-10-30 33.92% @ Vetra 1359 2 Vilnius 1425 0
23 2005-09-10 34.64% @ Silute 1342 3 Vetra 1403 1
24 2005-04-16 36.17% @ Silute 1347 3 Atlantas 1397 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-11-12 81.35 FK Siauliai 5 1150 1.98% @ Ekranas 1 1747 85.91% 12.11%
2 2005-04-16 40.18 @ Silute 3 1347 36.17% Atlantas 0 1397 40.86% 22.97%
3 2005-04-26 40.09 Vetra 2 1402 16.27% @ FBK Kaunas 0 1568 62.31% 21.42%
4 2005-06-28 38.62 @ FK Siauliai 2 1194 18.32% Atlantas 0 1401 59.90% 21.78%
5 2005-08-23 37.94 Zalgiris 4 1312 50.14% @ FK Siauliai 0 1193 27.18% 22.68%
6 2005-06-11 35.07 @ Ekranas 8 1618 67.50% Vetra 0 1390 12.12% 20.38%
7 2005-04-16 34.17 FK Siauliai 2 1160 25.01% @ Nevezis 0 1233 52.46% 22.53%
8 2005-04-23 33.34 FBK Kaunas 4 1535 54.28% @ Silute 0 1381 23.33% 22.39%
9 2005-05-28 33.24 @ FK Siauliai 4 1169 54.37% Nevezis 0 1080 23.25% 22.38%
10 2005-06-08 31.58 Atlantas 2 1385 29.26% @ Vetra 0 1421 47.95% 22.79%
11 2005-10-26 30.61 @ Vilnius 5 1394 51.23% Silute 1 1332 26.16% 22.61%
12 2005-05-14 30.08 @ Silute 2 1370 31.84% Vetra 0 1452 45.28% 22.88%
13 2005-04-30 30.01 @ Suduva 5 1304 62.15% Nevezis 0 1139 16.40% 21.45%
14 2005-10-30 28.90 @ Vetra 2 1359 33.92% Vilnius 0 1425 43.14% 22.94%
15 2005-06-25 27.85 @ Suduva 4 1367 45.28% Silute 1 1351 31.84% 22.88%
16 2005-08-20 27.33 Silute 4 1307 46.04% @ FK Siauliai 1 1220 31.10% 22.86%
17 2005-09-10 26.04 @ Vilnius 4 1353 47.92% Atlantas 1 1317 29.29% 22.79%
18 2005-04-30 24.96 @ FBK Kaunas 4 1528 61.62% Zalgiris 0 1369 16.85% 21.53%
19 2005-07-30 24.86 Vilnius 2 1315 41.40% @ FK Siauliai 0 1262 35.64% 22.96%
20 2005-06-08 24.83 Ekranas 5 1593 57.41% @ Silute 1 1411 20.50% 22.09%
21 2005-09-10 24.68 @ Silute 3 1342 34.64% Vetra 1 1403 42.41% 22.95%
22 2005-07-05 24.28 @ FK Siauliai 1 1237 8.91% FBK Kaunas 0 1596 71.97% 19.12%
23 2005-04-12 23.95 @ Zalgiris 2 1371 43.09% Silute 0 1371 33.97% 22.94%
24 2005-04-19 23.37 @ Zalgiris 4 1372 63.00% Nevezis 0 1198 15.70% 21.31%
25 2005-04-16 22.57 @ Vilnius 1 1262 12.96% FBK Kaunas 0 1542 66.41% 20.64%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-11-06 71.0 Ekranas 3 1735 39.97% @ FBK Kaunas 2 1692 37.05% 22.98%
2 2005-08-27 67.7 @ Ekranas 0 1699 53.73% FBK Kaunas 0 1616 23.83% 22.43%
3 2005-08-06 67.6 @ Vetra 1 1397 11.94% Ekranas 1 1694 67.73% 20.33%
4 2005-07-02 67.5 @ FK Siauliai 2 1233 5.77% Ekranas 2 1681 77.09% 17.13%
5 2005-05-28 67.1 @ Suduva 2 1342 14.66% Ekranas 2 1596 64.27% 21.08%
6 2005-05-17 65.1 Atlantas 2 1379 11.83% @ Ekranas 1 1613 67.88% 20.29%
7 2005-06-28 63.8 Ekranas 2 1669 43.02% @ FBK Kaunas 1 1604 34.04% 22.94%
8 2005-06-18 63.2 @ Ekranas 0 1671 69.92% Atlantas 0 1409 10.33% 19.75%
9 2005-06-11 62.0 @ Atlantas 2 1417 51.44% Zalgiris 2 1353 25.96% 22.60%
10 2005-06-29 61.5 @ Suduva 2 1395 49.34% Vetra 2 1348 27.94% 22.72%
11 2005-10-01 61.3 FBK Kaunas 4 1637 59.56% @ Suduva 3 1434 18.61% 21.83%
12 2005-06-14 60.4 @ Suduva 2 1354 49.50% Vilnius 2 1306 27.79% 22.71%
13 2005-08-20 60.3 @ Atlantas 2 1315 73.96% Nevezis 2 990 7.61% 18.42%
14 2005-09-24 60.0 @ Atlantas 2 1280 33.39% Silute 2 1349 43.69% 22.92%
15 2005-09-24 59.4 @ FK Siauliai 2 1146 63.14% Nevezis 2 970 15.58% 21.28%
16 2005-11-12 58.3 FK Siauliai 5 1150 1.98% @ Ekranas 1 1747 85.91% 12.11%
17 2005-10-18 57.6 @ Suduva 1 1440 51.94% Vilnius 1 1372 25.50% 22.57%
18 2005-08-27 57.4 @ Vetra 1 1403 42.69% Suduva 1 1407 34.37% 22.94%
19 2005-06-21 56.5 @ Vilnius 0 1308 12.59% FBK Kaunas 0 1595 66.89% 20.53%
20 2005-08-20 56.4 @ Vilnius 1 1352 35.19% Suduva 1 1408 41.85% 22.96%
21 2005-08-23 56.3 @ Vilnius 1 1352 35.86% Vetra 1 1404 41.17% 22.97%
22 2005-05-03 55.7 @ Silute 1 1377 48.83% Suduva 1 1334 28.42% 22.75%
23 2005-05-28 55.7 @ FBK Kaunas 0 1572 71.10% Vilnius 0 1293 9.50% 19.40%
24 2005-07-05 55.7 @ FK Siauliai 1 1237 8.91% FBK Kaunas 0 1596 71.97% 19.12%
25 2005-09-24 55.7 @ Zalgiris 1 1320 32.90% Vetra 1 1394 44.19% 22.91%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-10-30 23.4 Ekranas 5 1733 89.43% @ Nevezis 0 947 1.05% 9.52%
2 2005-07-02 24.2 @ FBK Kaunas 5 1592 84.67% Nevezis 0 1031 2.38% 12.95%
3 2005-09-10 24.5 @ FBK Kaunas 3 1619 86.99% Nevezis 0 986 1.66% 11.35%
4 2005-06-25 25.1 Ekranas 4 1665 84.84% @ Nevezis 0 1034 2.32% 12.83%
5 2005-11-09 26.1 FBK Kaunas 2 1680 88.27% @ Nevezis 0 937 1.32% 10.42%
6 2005-10-15 26.4 @ Vilnius 3 1366 77.81% Nevezis 0 970 5.39% 16.81%
7 2005-05-24 27.1 @ Vetra 6 1422 73.97% Nevezis 0 1097 7.61% 18.42%
8 2005-11-06 27.1 @ Silute 3 1294 75.35% Nevezis 0 945 6.77% 17.88%
9 2005-05-14 27.8 FBK Kaunas 8 1563 77.24% @ Nevezis 0 1113 5.69% 17.07%
10 2005-10-26 28.2 @ Suduva 5 1438 81.89% Nevezis 1 951 3.44% 14.66%
11 2005-08-06 28.9 Vilnius 3 1340 69.62% @ Nevezis 0 1016 10.54% 19.83%
12 2005-10-18 29.1 Atlantas 3 1273 68.65% @ Nevezis 0 964 11.26% 20.10%
13 2005-08-12 29.3 Suduva 6 1397 74.25% @ Nevezis 1 1001 7.43% 18.31%
14 2005-09-17 29.3 Vetra 2 1378 74.61% @ Nevezis 0 976 7.21% 18.18%
15 2005-08-23 29.5 @ Ekranas 4 1698 89.01% Nevezis 1 994 1.14% 9.85%
16 2005-04-30 30.2 @ Suduva 5 1304 62.15% Nevezis 0 1139 16.40% 21.45%
17 2005-04-19 30.6 @ Zalgiris 4 1372 63.00% Nevezis 0 1198 15.70% 21.31%
18 2005-05-03 31.3 @ Ekranas 1 1599 82.00% Nevezis 0 1109 3.40% 14.60%
19 2005-06-08 31.4 Zalgiris 2 1344 67.68% @ Nevezis 0 1047 11.98% 20.34%
20 2005-04-12 31.6 @ FBK Kaunas 5 1535 76.32% FK Siauliai 1 1168 6.21% 17.48%
21 2005-06-18 32.3 Suduva 5 1352 68.21% @ Nevezis 1 1049 11.58% 20.21%
22 2005-05-28 32.4 @ FK Siauliai 4 1169 54.37% Nevezis 0 1080 23.25% 22.38%
23 2005-04-26 32.8 @ Atlantas 5 1388 67.90% Nevezis 1 1154 11.82% 20.29%
24 2005-05-14 33.0 @ Ekranas 1 1611 80.22% FK Siauliai 0 1164 4.18% 15.59%
25 2005-08-27 33.6 @ Atlantas 2 1304 60.67% FK Siauliai 0 1155 17.66% 21.67%