2006 A Lyga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

FBK Kaunas

88 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vetra

6.53 points above expected

61 points · 54.47 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Silute

15.19 points below expected

18 points · 33.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FBK Kaunas	36	28	4	4	88	84	30	+54	81.74	+6.26
2	Ekranas	36	20	7	9	67	60	38	+22	72.13	-5.13
3	Vetra	36	17	10	9	61	49	33	+16	54.47	+6.53
4	Zalgiris	36	14	12	10	54	52	39	+13	48.87	+5.13
5	Suduva	36	15	8	13	53	48	44	+4	56.35	-3.35
6	Atlantas	36	14	10	12	52	46	41	+5	46.73	+5.27
7	Vilnius	36	11	14	11	47	46	40	+6	46.73	+0.27
8	FK Siauliai	36	10	11	15	41	42	46	-4	44.47	-3.47
9	Silute	36	5	3	28	18	25	77	-52	33.19	-15.19
10	Nevezis	36	4	5	27	17	35	99	-64	17.32	-0.32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vetra	61	54.47	+6.53
2	FBK Kaunas	88	81.74	+6.26
3	Atlantas	52	46.73	+5.27
4	Zalgiris	54	48.87	+5.13
5	Vilnius	47	46.73	+0.27

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Silute	18	33.19	-15.19
2	Ekranas	67	72.13	-5.13
3	FK Siauliai	41	44.47	-3.47
4	Suduva	53	56.35	-3.35
5	Nevezis	17	17.32	-0.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vetra	4	Aug 8 – Sep 10	1 in 91
2	FBK Kaunas	10	Apr 15 – May 24	1 in 78
3	Vilnius	3	Oct 18 – Oct 28	1 in 45
4	Atlantas	4	May 24 – Jun 9	1 in 30
5	Zalgiris	4	Aug 5 – Aug 25	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Silute	13	Jun 16 – Sep 10	1 in 2,979
2	FK Siauliai	5	Oct 18 – Nov 12	1 in 103
3	Ekranas	3	Oct 31 – Nov 12	1 in 33
4	Zalgiris	4	Jun 16 – Jun 28	1 in 14
5	Atlantas	3	Jul 7 – Aug 6	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nevezis	4	Jul 2 – Aug 4	1 in 228
2	Vilnius	9	May 21 – Jun 27	1 in 158
3	Atlantas	10	May 7 – Jun 16	1 in 104
4	Vetra	11	Aug 8 – Oct 18	1 in 63
5	Zalgiris	8	Jul 29 – Sep 20	1 in 38

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FBK Kaunas	3	Sep 20 – Sep 30	1 in 37
2	Silute	13	Jun 16 – Sep 10	1 in 31
3	Vetra	7	May 21 – Jul 2	1 in 26
4	Suduva	8	May 10 – Jun 9	1 in 20
5	Zalgiris	7	Jun 6 – Jun 28	1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
FBK Kaunas	1641	88	+15	12	10.9	+1.1
Ekranas	1507	67	-62	3	8.4	-5.4
Vetra	1470	61	+2	6	6.7	-0.7
Zalgiris	1417	54	+31	11	7.6	+3.4
Suduva	1426	53	+6	9	7.4	+1.6
Atlantas	1375	52	+14	10	7.5	+2.5
Vilnius	1390	47	+25	8	7.5	+0.5
FK Siauliai	1305	41	-55	0	6.3	-6.3
Silute	1167	18	+4	6	4.3	+1.7
Nevezis	1049	17	+5	4	2.2	+1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ATL	EKR	FK	FS	NEV	SIL	SUD	VET	VIL	ZAL
Atlantas	—	1-1-2 2.82	1-1-2 2.18	1-2-1 5.69	3-1-0 9.13	3-0-1 7.23	1-0-3 4.60	1-2-1 4.63	2-1-1 5.58	1-2-1 5.27
Ekranas	2-1-1 8.33	—	1-0-3 3.87	3-0-1 8.56	3-1-0 10.45	3-1-0 9.43	2-1-1 7.35	2-0-2 7.50	1-2-1 8.38	3-1-0 8.28
FBK Kaunas	2-1-1 9.05	3-0-1 7.19	—	3-0-1 9.46	3-1-0 10.91	4-0-0 9.87	4-0-0 8.35	3-0-1 8.51	3-1-0 9.07	3-1-0 9.13
FK Siauliai	1-2-1 5.32	1-0-3 2.61	1-0-3 1.84	—	3-1-0 8.88	1-1-2 6.97	1-2-1 4.10	0-2-2 4.03	1-2-1 4.93	1-1-2 5.13
Nevezis	0-1-3 2.12	0-1-3 1.06	0-1-3 0.73	0-1-3 2.34	—	3-0-1 3.16	0-0-4 1.64	1-0-3 1.71	0-1-3 1.97	0-0-4 2.07
Silute	1-0-3 3.85	0-1-3 1.87	0-0-4 1.52	2-1-1 4.09	1-0-3 7.95	—	0-0-4 3.14	0-1-3 3.32	0-0-4 4.02	1-0-3 3.79
Suduva	3-0-1 6.43	1-1-2 3.71	0-0-4 2.80	1-2-1 6.94	4-0-0 9.71	4-0-0 7.97	—	0-1-3 5.85	1-2-1 6.66	1-2-1 6.45
Vetra	1-2-1 6.40	2-0-2 3.58	1-0-3 2.65	2-2-0 7.02	3-0-1 9.62	3-1-0 7.79	3-1-0 5.16	—	2-2-0 6.28	0-2-2 6.51
Vilnius	1-1-2 5.44	1-2-1 2.77	0-1-3 2.17	1-2-1 6.08	3-1-0 9.31	4-0-0 7.03	1-2-1 4.37	0-2-2 4.75	—	0-3-1 5.33
Zalgiris	1-2-1 5.74	0-1-3 2.86	0-1-3 2.12	2-1-1 5.88	4-0-0 9.19	3-0-1 7.29	1-2-1 4.58	2-2-0 4.51	1-3-0 5.69	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.89	+12.9
Allowed	0.76	-8.5
Differential	0.96	+6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.44%	8.06%	6.67%	3.06%	1.39%	0.56%	29.17%
1	8.06%	10.56%	7.78%	4.17%	2.22%	1.11%	33.89%
2	6.67%	7.78%	3.33%	1.67%	—	0.56%	20.00%
3	3.06%	4.17%	1.67%	—	0.56%	0.56%	10.00%
4	1.39%	2.22%	—	0.56%	—	—	4.17%
5+	0.56%	1.11%	0.56%	0.56%	—	—	2.78%
Total	29.17%	33.89%	20.00%	10.00%	4.17%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.35	1.35	+0.00
SD	1.29	1.29	1.88
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	19.44%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.14	+0.14
SD	1.06	1.05	1.42
CV	0.83	0.92	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	36.11%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.06	+0.61
SD	1.57	1.07	1.79
CV	0.94	1.01	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
1	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	11.11%	19.44%	5.56%	—	—	—	36.11%
3	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	41.67%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.33	0.83	+1.50
SD	1.35	0.81	1.66
CV	0.58	0.97	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	41.67%
1	2.78%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	38.89%	30.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.28	-0.11
SD	1.44	0.97	1.91
CV	1.24	0.76	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	41.67%
1	—	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.78%	22.22%	27.78%	16.67%	11.11%	19.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	2.75	-1.78
SD	1.00	1.61	1.69
CV	1.03	0.59	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	38.89%
1	11.11%	5.56%	22.22%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	58.33%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	19.44%	30.56%	19.44%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	2.14	-1.44
SD	0.75	1.46	1.56
CV	1.08	0.68	—
Max	4	6	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	2.78%	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	27.78%	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.22	+0.11
SD	1.12	1.33	1.79
CV	0.84	1.09	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	38.89%	44.44%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	0.92	+0.44
SD	1.20	1.05	1.68
CV	0.88	1.15	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
Total	33.33%	38.89%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.11	+0.17
SD	1.41	1.09	1.66
CV	1.10	0.98	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	36.11%	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.08	+0.36
SD	1.27	1.02	1.40
CV	0.88	0.95	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
FBK Kaunas	1641	88	81.74	+6.26	86.0%	69	72	77	82	85	92	99
Ekranas	1507	67	72.13	-5.13	23.0%	54	60	68	73	76	83	88
Vetra	1470	61	54.47	+6.53	83.0%	38	42	49	55	60	64	67
Suduva	1426	53	56.35	-3.35	35.0%	37	44	51	56	62	67	72
Zalgiris	1417	54	48.87	+5.13	80.0%	34	38	44	48	53	61	68
Vilnius	1390	47	46.73	+0.27	53.0%	32	35	41	47	51	59	74
Atlantas	1375	52	46.73	+5.27	83.0%	27	37	42	47	50	58	63
FK Siauliai	1305	41	44.47	-3.47	29.0%	24	31	41	45	49	53	63
Silute	1167	18	33.19	-15.19	1.0%	18	22	29	32	39	45	49
Nevezis	1049	17	17.32	-0.32	52.0%	4	6	13	17	21	27	32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.44%

Slight Edge

40.56%23.33%36.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.45 Elo pts.

203 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.08 goals

Neutral

-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.3

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

86%

FBK Kaunas, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.58/gm

Runaway

00.300.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.47 * Some Luck: 5.47 to 8.21 * Lucky: 8.21 to 10.94 * Wild Swing: 10.94 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.71 * Close: 0.71 to 1.06 * Off: 1.06 to 1.41 * Way Off: 1.41 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.44 points

Some Luck

06.8417

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.50

Pinpoint

00.882

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

86.00%

FBK Kaunas

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

1.00%

Silute

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Balanced

00.240.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 168.75

2.67

Strong Separation

12.52.853.5

Interquartile Edge

69%

Even

50%77.5%86.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

97%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Rare

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.54

Highly Predictable

00.552

Matchup Imbalance

0.47

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.94

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.90

Near-Lock

00.650.811

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Very Upset-Prone

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Very Shaky

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.18

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.99

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.073

Well Within Noise

00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
FBK Kaunas	86.00%	13.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ekranas	14.00%	72.00%	11.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Vetra	—	3.00%	38.00%	22.00%	16.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	—	—
Zalgiris	—	1.00%	8.00%	14.00%	23.00%	22.00%	19.00%	12.00%	1.00%	—
Suduva	—	10.00%	26.00%	31.00%	17.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—
Atlantas	—	—	7.00%	8.00%	15.00%	30.00%	18.00%	15.00%	7.00%	—
Vilnius	—	1.00%	6.00%	14.00%	13.00%	14.00%	26.00%	20.00%	6.00%	—
FK Siauliai	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	15.00%	19.00%	20.00%	25.00%	10.00%	—
Silute	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	17.00%	71.00%	4.00%
Nevezis	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	96.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Atlantas	93.00%	7.00%	—
Ekranas	100%	—	—
FBK Kaunas	100%	—	—
FK Siauliai	90.00%	10.00%	—
Suduva	99.00%	1.00%	—
Vetra	100%	—	—
Vilnius	94.00%	6.00%	—
Zalgiris	99.00%	1.00%	—
Silute	25.00%	71.00%	4.00%
Nevezis	—	4.00%	96.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2006-04-15	Atlantas	W 1-0	39.5	1450	1324	56.08%	23.06%	20.86%	+0.70	+5.0	3
2006-04-15	@ Suduva	L 0-1	39.5	1324	1450	20.86%	23.06%	56.08%	-0.70	-5.0	0
2006-04-15	FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	46.2	1339	1585	14.18%	20.61%	65.21%	-1.13	-3.2	0
2006-04-15	@ Zalgiris	W 2-1	46.2	1585	1339	65.21%	20.61%	14.18%	+1.13	+3.2	3
2006-04-15	FK Siauliai	W 2-0	33.6	1563	1293	70.11%	18.76%	11.13%	+1.41	+5.0	3
2006-04-15	@ Ekranas	L 0-2	33.6	1293	1563	11.13%	18.76%	70.11%	-1.41	-5.0	0
2006-04-15	Nevezis	W 2-0	29.2	1371	1111	69.30%	19.09%	11.61%	+1.36	+5.2	3
2006-04-15	@ Vilnius	L 0-2	29.2	1111	1371	11.61%	19.09%	69.30%	-1.36	-5.2	0
2006-04-15	Silute	D 1-1	55.8	1386	1323	48.49%	24.20%	27.31%	+0.39	-1.0	1
2006-04-15	@ Vetra	D 1-1	55.8	1323	1386	27.31%	24.20%	48.49%	-0.39	+0.9	1
2006-04-18	Vetra	D 0-0	52.1	1377	1386	38.58%	24.74%	36.68%	+0.03	-0.1	4
2006-04-18	@ Vilnius	D 0-0	52.1	1386	1377	36.68%	24.74%	38.58%	-0.03	+0.1	2
2006-04-19	Atlantas	W 2-1	44.2	1588	1319	70.06%	18.78%	11.16%	+1.40	+2.5	6
2006-04-19	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	44.2	1319	1588	11.16%	18.78%	70.06%	-1.40	-2.5	0
2006-04-19	Ekranas	L 0-2	37.0	1336	1568	15.05%	21.04%	63.91%	-1.07	-6.9	0
2006-04-19	@ Zalgiris	W 2-0	37.0	1568	1336	63.91%	21.04%	15.05%	+1.07	+6.9	6
2006-04-19	Nevezis	W 5-0	28.8	1288	1106	62.07%	21.60%	16.34%	+0.97	+17.5	3
2006-04-19	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-5	28.8	1106	1288	16.34%	21.60%	62.07%	-0.97	-17.5	0
2006-04-19	Silute	W 1-0	39.4	1455	1324	56.67%	22.94%	20.40%	+0.72	+4.9	6
2006-04-19	@ Suduva	L 0-1	39.4	1324	1455	20.40%	22.94%	56.67%	-0.72	-4.9	1
2006-04-23	Atlantas	D 0-0	57.0	1575	1316	69.16%	19.15%	11.69%	+1.35	-3.1	7
2006-04-23	@ Ekranas	D 0-0	57.0	1316	1575	11.69%	19.15%	69.16%	-1.35	+3.1	1
2006-04-23	FBK Kaunas	L 0-3	33.7	1319	1591	12.63%	19.75%	67.62%	-1.26	-8.3	1
2006-04-23	@ Silute	W 3-0	33.7	1591	1319	67.62%	19.75%	12.63%	+1.26	+8.3	9
2006-04-23	Nevezis	W 2-0	28.3	1386	1089	72.33%	17.80%	9.87%	+1.54	+4.4	5
2006-04-23	@ Vetra	L 0-2	28.3	1089	1386	9.87%	17.80%	72.33%	-1.54	-4.4	0
2006-04-23	Suduva	D 0-0	53.8	1377	1460	28.62%	24.34%	47.04%	-0.34	+0.9	5
2006-04-23	@ Vilnius	D 0-0	53.8	1460	1377	47.04%	24.34%	28.62%	+0.34	-0.9	7
2006-04-23	Zalgiris	D 0-0	50.4	1306	1329	36.47%	24.74%	38.79%	-0.04	+0.1	4
2006-04-23	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	50.4	1329	1306	38.79%	24.74%	36.47%	+0.04	-0.1	1
2006-04-27	Atlantas	W 3-1	44.8	1306	1320	37.89%	24.75%	37.36%	+0.01	+13.2	7
2006-04-27	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-3	44.8	1320	1306	37.36%	24.75%	37.89%	-0.01	-13.2	1
2006-04-27	Ekranas	L 1-3	40.9	1311	1572	13.23%	20.10%	66.68%	-1.21	-5.2	1
2006-04-27	@ Silute	W 3-1	40.9	1572	1311	66.68%	20.10%	13.23%	+1.21	+5.2	10
2006-04-27	Suduva	W 1-0	49.0	1390	1459	30.37%	24.49%	45.14%	-0.26	+9.4	8
2006-04-27	@ Vetra	L 0-1	49.0	1459	1390	45.14%	24.49%	30.37%	+0.26	-9.4	7
2006-04-27	Vilnius	W 3-2	52.8	1599	1378	65.85%	20.39%	13.76%	+1.17	+3.0	12
2006-04-27	@ FBK Kaunas	L 2-3	52.8	1378	1599	13.76%	20.39%	65.85%	-1.17	-3.0	5
2006-04-28	Nevezis	W 2-1	38.4	1329	1084	67.98%	19.61%	12.41%	+1.28	+2.8	4
2006-04-28	@ Zalgiris	L 1-2	38.4	1084	1329	12.41%	19.61%	67.98%	-1.28	-2.8	0
2006-05-07	Atlantas	L 0-1	44.9	1332	1306	43.43%	24.60%	31.97%	+0.20	-9.1	4
2006-05-07	@ Zalgiris	W 1-0	44.9	1306	1332	31.97%	24.60%	43.43%	-0.20	+9.1	4
2006-05-07	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	54.8	1305	1319	37.85%	24.75%	37.40%	+0.01	-0.0	2
2006-05-07	@ Silute	D 1-1	54.8	1319	1305	37.40%	24.75%	37.85%	-0.01	+0.0	8
2006-05-07	Nevezis	W 3-0	24.6	1450	1082	77.58%	15.24%	7.18%	+1.89	+4.4	10
2006-05-07	@ Suduva	L 0-3	24.6	1082	1450	7.18%	15.24%	77.58%	-1.89	-4.4	0
2006-05-07	Vetra	W 4-0	37.5	1602	1399	64.07%	20.99%	14.95%	+1.07	+13.0	15
2006-05-07	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-4	37.5	1399	1602	14.95%	20.99%	64.07%	-1.07	-12.9	8
2006-05-07	Vilnius	D 1-1	63.0	1577	1375	64.06%	20.99%	14.95%	+1.07	-2.3	11
2006-05-07	@ Ekranas	D 1-1	63.0	1375	1577	14.95%	20.99%	64.06%	-1.07	+2.3	6
2006-05-10	Ekranas	W 2-0	52.7	1386	1575	18.22%	22.29%	59.49%	-0.85	+22.4	11
2006-05-10	@ Vetra	L 0-2	52.7	1575	1386	59.49%	22.29%	18.22%	+0.85	-22.4	11
2006-05-10	FBK Kaunas	L 1-3	50.7	1454	1615	20.55%	22.98%	56.47%	-0.72	-8.0	10
2006-05-10	@ Suduva	W 3-1	50.7	1615	1454	56.47%	22.98%	20.55%	+0.72	+8.0	18
2006-05-10	FK Siauliai	L 0-1	46.7	1377	1319	47.71%	24.28%	28.01%	+0.36	-9.9	6
2006-05-10	@ Vilnius	W 1-0	46.7	1319	1377	28.01%	24.28%	47.71%	-0.36	+9.8	11
2006-05-10	Nevezis	D 1-1	55.3	1315	1077	67.39%	19.83%	12.78%	+1.25	-2.6	5
2006-05-10	@ Atlantas	D 1-1	55.3	1077	1315	12.78%	19.83%	67.39%	-1.25	+2.6	1
2006-05-10	Zalgiris	L 0-1	43.0	1305	1323	37.31%	24.75%	37.94%	-0.01	-8.1	2
2006-05-10	@ Silute	W 1-0	43.0	1323	1305	37.94%	24.75%	37.31%	+0.01	+8.1	7
2006-05-14	Nevezis	W 2-0	25.3	1623	1080	87.30%	9.54%	3.15%	+2.75	+1.2	21
2006-05-14	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-2	25.3	1080	1623	3.15%	9.54%	87.30%	-2.75	-1.2	1
2006-05-14	Silute	W 2-1	46.9	1313	1297	42.03%	24.66%	33.31%	+0.15	+7.0	8
2006-05-14	@ Atlantas	L 1-2	46.9	1297	1313	33.31%	24.66%	42.03%	-0.15	-7.0	2
2006-05-14	Suduva	D 0-0	59.5	1552	1446	53.73%	23.49%	22.78%	+0.60	-1.6	12
2006-05-14	@ Ekranas	D 0-0	59.5	1446	1552	22.78%	23.49%	53.73%	-0.60	+1.6	11
2006-05-14	Vetra	D 0-0	51.7	1329	1409	29.05%	24.39%	46.56%	-0.32	+0.9	12
2006-05-14	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	51.7	1409	1329	46.56%	24.39%	29.05%	+0.32	-0.9	12
2006-05-14	Zalgiris	L 0-3	39.9	1367	1331	44.83%	24.52%	30.66%	+0.25	-25.6	6
2006-05-14	@ Vilnius	W 3-0	39.9	1331	1367	30.66%	24.52%	44.83%	-0.25	+25.6	10
2006-05-17	FK Siauliai	W 2-0	35.7	1551	1330	65.79%	20.41%	13.80%	+1.16	+6.3	15
2006-05-17	@ Ekranas	L 0-2	35.7	1330	1551	13.80%	20.41%	65.79%	-1.16	-6.3	12
2006-05-17	Nevezis	W 1-0	31.2	1408	1079	74.82%	16.63%	8.55%	+1.70	+2.0	15
2006-05-17	@ Vetra	L 0-1	31.2	1079	1408	8.55%	16.63%	74.82%	-1.70	-2.0	1
2006-05-17	Suduva	W 2-0	43.8	1624	1448	61.47%	21.76%	16.76%	+0.95	+7.7	24
2006-05-17	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-2	43.8	1448	1624	16.76%	21.76%	61.47%	-0.95	-7.7	11
2006-05-21	FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	60.9	1557	1632	29.67%	24.44%	45.89%	-0.29	-6.4	15
2006-05-21	@ Ekranas	W 2-1	60.9	1632	1557	45.89%	24.44%	29.67%	+0.29	+6.4	27
2006-05-21	Silute	W 2-1	53.8	1077	1290	16.30%	21.58%	62.12%	-0.98	+11.6	4
2006-05-21	@ Nevezis	L 1-2	53.8	1290	1077	62.12%	21.58%	16.30%	+0.98	-11.7	2
2006-05-21	Suduva	W 2-1	54.0	1324	1440	24.88%	23.87%	51.25%	-0.50	+9.8	15
2006-05-21	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-2	54.0	1440	1324	51.25%	23.87%	24.88%	+0.50	-9.9	11
2006-05-21	Vetra	D 1-1	56.6	1357	1410	32.40%	24.62%	42.97%	-0.19	+0.5	11
2006-05-21	@ Zalgiris	D 1-1	56.6	1410	1357	42.97%	24.62%	32.40%	+0.19	-0.5	16
2006-05-21	Vilnius	D 0-0	50.6	1320	1341	36.74%	24.74%	38.52%	-0.03	+0.1	9
2006-05-21	@ Atlantas	D 0-0	50.6	1341	1320	38.52%	24.74%	36.74%	+0.03	-0.1	7
2006-05-24	Ekranas	L 0-4	23.5	1088	1550	5.38%	13.04%	81.58%	-2.20	-4.1	4
2006-05-24	@ Nevezis	W 4-0	23.5	1550	1088	81.58%	13.04%	5.38%	+2.20	+4.1	18
2006-05-24	FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	46.3	1333	1638	10.93%	18.62%	70.45%	-1.43	-2.4	15
2006-05-24	@ FK Siauliai	W 2-1	46.3	1638	1333	70.45%	18.62%	10.93%	+1.43	+2.5	30
2006-05-24	Suduva	D 0-0	52.6	1357	1430	29.88%	24.46%	45.66%	-0.28	+0.8	12
2006-05-24	@ Zalgiris	D 0-0	52.6	1430	1357	45.66%	24.46%	29.88%	+0.28	-0.8	12
2006-05-24	Vetra	W 2-1	52.5	1320	1410	27.88%	24.27%	47.85%	-0.37	+9.3	12
2006-05-24	@ Atlantas	L 1-2	52.5	1410	1320	47.85%	24.27%	27.88%	+0.37	-9.3	16
2006-05-24	Vilnius	L 0-1	41.0	1279	1341	31.18%	24.55%	44.27%	-0.23	-7.0	2
2006-05-24	@ Silute	W 1-0	41.0	1341	1279	44.27%	24.55%	31.18%	+0.23	+7.0	10
2006-05-27	Vetra	D 1-1	58.1	1429	1400	43.90%	24.57%	31.52%	+0.22	-0.5	13
2006-05-27	@ Suduva	D 1-1	58.1	1400	1429	31.52%	24.57%	43.90%	-0.22	+0.5	17
2006-05-28	FBK Kaunas	D 2-2	70.4	1348	1640	11.55%	19.05%	69.40%	-1.36	+2.1	11
2006-05-28	@ Vilnius	D 2-2	70.4	1640	1348	69.40%	19.05%	11.55%	+1.36	-2.1	31
2006-05-28	FK Siauliai	W 1-0	42.8	1329	1331	39.57%	24.73%	35.70%	+0.07	+7.8	15
2006-05-28	@ Atlantas	L 0-1	42.8	1331	1329	35.70%	24.73%	39.57%	-0.07	-7.8	15
2006-05-28	Silute	D 0-0	55.4	1555	1272	71.22%	18.29%	10.49%	+1.47	-3.3	19
2006-05-28	@ Ekranas	D 0-0	55.4	1272	1555	10.49%	18.29%	71.22%	-1.47	+3.3	3
2006-05-28	Zalgiris	L 1-5	30.5	1084	1358	12.52%	19.68%	67.80%	-1.27	-9.0	4
2006-05-28	@ Nevezis	W 5-1	30.5	1358	1084	67.80%	19.68%	12.52%	+1.27	+9.0	15
2006-06-06	Atlantas	L 1-2	46.3	1275	1337	31.25%	24.56%	44.19%	-0.23	-6.6	3
2006-06-06	@ Silute	W 2-1	46.3	1337	1275	44.19%	24.56%	31.25%	+0.23	+6.7	18
2006-06-06	Ekranas	L 1-4	45.8	1429	1551	24.25%	23.76%	51.99%	-0.53	-13.2	13
2006-06-06	@ Suduva	W 4-1	45.8	1551	1429	51.99%	23.76%	24.25%	+0.53	+13.2	22
2006-06-06	FBK Kaunas	L 1-3	31.1	1075	1638	3.32%	9.85%	86.83%	-2.70	-1.1	4
2006-06-06	@ Nevezis	W 3-1	31.1	1638	1075	86.83%	9.85%	3.32%	+2.70	+1.1	34
2006-06-06	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	56.1	1401	1323	50.25%	24.00%	25.75%	+0.46	-1.1	18
2006-06-06	@ Vetra	D 1-1	56.1	1323	1401	25.75%	24.00%	50.25%	-0.46	+1.1	16
2006-06-06	Vilnius	D 1-1	55.8	1367	1350	42.13%	24.66%	33.21%	+0.16	-0.4	16
2006-06-06	@ Zalgiris	D 1-1	55.8	1350	1367	33.21%	24.66%	42.13%	-0.16	+0.4	12
2006-06-09	Atlantas	L 2-3	43.4	1074	1344	12.75%	19.82%	67.43%	-1.25	-2.7	4
2006-06-09	@ Nevezis	W 3-2	43.4	1344	1074	67.43%	19.82%	12.75%	+1.25	+2.7	21
2006-06-09	Silute	L 0-1	47.4	1366	1268	52.81%	23.64%	23.55%	+0.56	-10.7	16
2006-06-09	@ Zalgiris	W 1-0	47.4	1268	1366	23.55%	23.64%	52.81%	-0.56	+10.7	6
2006-06-09	Suduva	W 3-0	39.5	1640	1416	66.08%	20.31%	13.61%	+1.18	+9.0	37
2006-06-09	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-3	39.5	1416	1640	13.61%	20.31%	66.08%	-1.18	-9.0	13
2006-06-09	Vetra	W 2-1	49.1	1565	1400	60.29%	22.08%	17.62%	+0.89	+4.0	25
2006-06-09	@ Ekranas	L 1-2	49.1	1400	1565	17.62%	22.08%	60.29%	-0.89	-4.0	18
2006-06-09	Vilnius	D 1-1	55.3	1324	1351	36.04%	24.74%	39.22%	-0.05	+0.1	17
2006-06-09	@ FK Siauliai	D 1-1	55.3	1351	1324	39.22%	24.74%	36.04%	+0.05	-0.1	13
2006-06-12	FBK Kaunas	L 1-4	44.0	1396	1649	13.72%	20.37%	65.91%	-1.17	-7.7	18
2006-06-12	@ Vetra	W 4-1	44.0	1649	1396	65.91%	20.37%	13.72%	+1.17	+7.7	40
2006-06-13	Ekranas	D 0-0	57.2	1351	1569	16.00%	21.46%	62.55%	-1.00	+2.5	14
2006-06-13	@ Vilnius	D 0-0	57.2	1569	1351	62.55%	21.46%	16.00%	+1.00	-2.5	26
2006-06-13	Silute	L 0-1	45.4	1324	1279	46.11%	24.42%	29.46%	+0.30	-9.6	17
2006-06-13	@ FK Siauliai	W 1-0	45.4	1279	1324	29.46%	24.42%	46.11%	-0.30	+9.6	9
2006-06-13	Suduva	L 0-2	28.1	1071	1407	9.55%	17.53%	72.93%	-1.58	-4.2	4
2006-06-13	@ Nevezis	W 2-0	28.1	1407	1071	72.93%	17.53%	9.55%	+1.58	+4.2	16
2006-06-13	Zalgiris	D 0-0	51.1	1346	1356	38.50%	24.74%	36.75%	+0.03	-0.1	22
2006-06-13	@ Atlantas	D 0-0	51.1	1356	1346	36.75%	24.74%	38.50%	-0.03	+0.1	17
2006-06-16	Ekranas	W 2-0	51.7	1346	1566	15.86%	21.40%	62.74%	-1.01	+23.5	25
2006-06-16	@ Atlantas	L 0-2	51.7	1566	1346	62.74%	21.40%	15.86%	+1.01	-23.5	26
2006-06-16	FK Siauliai	L 2-3	56.0	1356	1315	45.49%	24.47%	30.04%	+0.28	-8.5	17
2006-06-16	@ Zalgiris	W 3-2	56.0	1315	1356	30.04%	24.47%	45.49%	-0.28	+8.5	20
2006-06-16	Silute	W 6-1	34.5	1656	1288	77.55%	15.26%	7.20%	+1.89	+5.9	43
2006-06-16	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-6	34.5	1288	1656	7.20%	15.26%	77.55%	-1.89	-5.9	9
2006-06-16	Vilnius	D 1-1	56.7	1411	1353	47.71%	24.28%	28.01%	+0.36	-0.9	17
2006-06-16	@ Suduva	D 1-1	56.7	1353	1411	28.01%	24.28%	47.71%	-0.36	+0.9	15
2006-06-20	FK Siauliai	W 3-0	34.1	1662	1323	75.51%	16.30%	8.20%	+1.75	+5.2	46
2006-06-20	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-3	34.1	1323	1662	8.20%	16.30%	75.51%	-1.75	-5.1	20
2006-06-20	Nevezis	W 4-1	27.9	1543	1067	84.05%	11.58%	4.37%	+2.42	+2.1	29
2006-06-20	@ Ekranas	L 1-4	27.9	1067	1543	4.37%	11.58%	84.05%	-2.42	-2.1	4
2006-06-20	Silute	W 2-1	44.9	1354	1283	49.50%	24.09%	26.41%	+0.43	+5.8	18
2006-06-20	@ Vilnius	L 1-2	44.9	1283	1354	26.41%	24.09%	49.50%	-0.43	-5.8	9
2006-06-20	Zalgiris	W 3-1	43.3	1410	1347	48.36%	24.22%	27.43%	+0.39	+10.4	20
2006-06-20	@ Suduva	L 1-3	43.3	1347	1410	27.43%	24.22%	48.36%	-0.39	-10.4	17
2006-06-23	FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	49.0	1370	1667	11.29%	18.87%	69.85%	-1.39	-2.5	25
2006-06-23	@ Atlantas	W 2-1	49.0	1667	1370	69.85%	18.87%	11.29%	+1.39	+2.5	49
2006-06-23	FK Siauliai	L 0-3	27.7	1065	1318	13.70%	20.36%	65.94%	-1.17	-9.1	4
2006-06-23	@ Nevezis	W 3-0	27.7	1318	1065	65.94%	20.36%	13.70%	+1.17	+9.1	23
2006-06-23	Suduva	L 0-3	32.8	1277	1420	22.12%	23.35%	54.53%	-0.63	-14.4	9
2006-06-23	@ Silute	W 3-0	32.8	1420	1277	54.53%	23.35%	22.12%	+0.63	+14.4	23
2006-06-23	Zalgiris	W 1-0	39.7	1545	1337	64.57%	20.82%	14.61%	+1.10	+3.5	32
2006-06-23	@ Ekranas	L 0-1	39.7	1337	1545	14.61%	20.82%	64.57%	-1.10	-3.5	17
2006-06-27	Vilnius	L 1-5	29.6	1056	1360	10.97%	18.64%	70.39%	-1.42	-7.8	4
2006-06-27	@ Nevezis	W 5-1	29.6	1360	1056	70.39%	18.64%	10.97%	+1.42	+7.8	21
2006-06-28	Ekranas	W 4-1	53.1	1327	1548	15.78%	21.36%	62.86%	-1.01	+28.8	26
2006-06-28	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-4	53.1	1548	1327	62.86%	21.36%	15.78%	+1.01	-28.8	32
2006-06-28	Suduva	W 3-0	41.8	1367	1435	30.57%	24.51%	44.92%	-0.26	+25.6	28
2006-06-28	@ Atlantas	L 0-3	41.8	1435	1367	44.92%	24.51%	30.57%	+0.26	-25.6	23
2006-06-28	Zalgiris	W 2-1	46.1	1670	1333	75.33%	16.38%	8.29%	+1.73	+1.8	52
2006-06-28	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	46.1	1333	1670	8.29%	16.38%	75.33%	-1.73	-1.8	17
2006-07-02	Atlantas	L 1-4	43.3	1368	1393	36.22%	24.74%	39.04%	-0.05	-18.3	21
2006-07-02	@ Vilnius	W 4-1	43.3	1393	1368	39.04%	24.74%	36.22%	+0.05	+18.3	31
2006-07-02	Ekranas	L 0-1	63.8	1672	1519	58.94%	22.43%	18.64%	+0.83	-11.8	52
2006-07-02	@ FBK Kaunas	W 1-0	63.8	1519	1672	18.64%	22.43%	58.94%	-0.83	+11.8	35
2006-07-02	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	56.7	1409	1356	47.11%	24.34%	28.55%	+0.34	-0.8	24
2006-07-02	@ Suduva	D 1-1	56.7	1356	1409	28.55%	24.34%	47.11%	-0.34	+0.8	27
2006-07-02	Nevezis	L 1-2	54.4	1262	1048	65.17%	20.62%	14.21%	+1.13	-12.1	9
2006-07-02	@ Silute	W 2-1	54.4	1048	1262	14.21%	20.62%	65.17%	-1.13	+12.1	7
2006-07-02	Zalgiris	L 0-1	47.0	1388	1332	47.53%	24.30%	28.17%	+0.35	-9.8	18
2006-07-02	@ Vetra	W 1-0	47.0	1332	1388	28.17%	24.30%	47.53%	-0.35	+9.8	20
2006-07-05	Silute	W 1-0	38.3	1349	1250	52.92%	23.62%	23.46%	+0.57	+5.6	24
2006-07-05	@ Vilnius	L 0-1	38.3	1250	1349	23.46%	23.62%	52.92%	-0.57	-5.6	9
2006-07-07	Atlantas	W 2-1	51.4	1378	1411	35.14%	24.72%	40.14%	-0.09	+8.1	21
2006-07-07	@ Vetra	L 1-2	51.4	1411	1378	40.14%	24.72%	35.14%	+0.09	-8.1	31
2006-07-07	FK Siauliai	W 2-0	38.4	1660	1357	72.80%	17.58%	9.61%	+1.57	+4.2	55
2006-07-07	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-2	38.4	1357	1660	9.61%	17.58%	72.80%	-1.57	-4.2	27
2006-07-07	Nevezis	D 1-1	58.4	1531	1060	83.80%	11.73%	4.47%	+2.40	-3.7	36
2006-07-07	@ Ekranas	D 1-1	58.4	1060	1531	4.47%	11.73%	83.80%	-2.40	+3.7	8
2006-07-07	Zalgiris	L 2-3	58.0	1408	1341	48.90%	24.16%	26.94%	+0.41	-9.0	24
2006-07-07	@ Suduva	W 3-2	58.0	1341	1408	26.94%	24.16%	48.90%	-0.41	+9.0	23
2006-07-21	Atlantas	W 3-1	47.0	1399	1403	39.30%	24.74%	35.96%	+0.06	+12.9	27
2006-07-21	@ Suduva	L 1-3	47.0	1403	1399	35.96%	24.74%	39.30%	-0.06	-12.9	31
2006-07-21	FBK Kaunas	L 0-1	42.4	1350	1664	10.51%	18.30%	71.18%	-1.47	-2.5	23
2006-07-21	@ Zalgiris	W 1-0	42.4	1664	1350	71.18%	18.30%	10.51%	+1.47	+2.5	58
2006-07-21	Vetra	L 1-2	43.4	1245	1386	22.32%	23.39%	54.29%	-0.62	-5.0	9
2006-07-21	@ Silute	W 2-1	43.4	1386	1245	54.29%	23.39%	22.32%	+0.62	+5.0	24
2006-07-25	Vilnius	W 1-0	42.4	1391	1355	44.88%	24.51%	30.61%	+0.26	+7.0	27
2006-07-25	@ Vetra	L 0-1	42.4	1355	1391	30.61%	24.51%	44.88%	-0.26	-7.0	24
2006-07-28	Nevezis	D 0-0	51.4	1353	1064	71.67%	18.09%	10.24%	+1.50	-3.3	28
2006-07-28	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	51.4	1064	1353	10.24%	18.09%	71.67%	-1.50	+3.3	9
2006-07-29	Ekranas	D 2-2	65.4	1348	1528	18.92%	22.51%	58.56%	-0.81	+1.4	24
2006-07-29	@ Zalgiris	D 2-2	65.4	1528	1348	58.56%	22.51%	18.92%	+0.81	-1.4	37
2006-07-29	Vetra	D 0-0	51.8	1348	1398	32.81%	24.64%	42.55%	-0.17	+0.5	25
2006-07-29	@ Vilnius	D 0-0	51.8	1398	1348	42.55%	24.64%	32.81%	+0.17	-0.5	28
2006-08-01	Suduva	L 1-4	36.2	1240	1412	19.50%	22.69%	57.81%	-0.77	-10.8	9
2006-08-01	@ Silute	W 4-1	36.2	1412	1240	57.81%	22.69%	19.50%	+0.77	+10.8	30
2006-08-04	Vetra	W 3-2	60.8	1067	1398	9.76%	17.71%	72.53%	-1.55	+12.5	12
2006-08-04	@ Nevezis	L 2-3	60.8	1398	1067	72.53%	17.71%	9.76%	+1.55	-12.5	28
2006-08-05	FK Siauliai	W 2-1	48.5	1349	1349	39.84%	24.73%	35.44%	+0.08	+7.3	27
2006-08-05	@ Zalgiris	L 1-2	48.5	1349	1349	35.44%	24.73%	39.84%	-0.08	-7.3	28
2006-08-05	Silute	W 4-0	28.4	1666	1229	81.96%	12.82%	5.22%	+2.23	+4.0	61
2006-08-05	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-4	28.4	1229	1666	5.22%	12.82%	81.96%	-2.23	-4.0	9
2006-08-05	Vilnius	W 2-1	46.6	1423	1348	49.89%	24.04%	26.07%	+0.44	+5.7	33
2006-08-05	@ Suduva	L 1-2	46.6	1348	1423	26.07%	24.04%	49.89%	-0.44	-5.7	25
2006-08-06	Atlantas	W 3-1	44.9	1526	1390	57.16%	22.83%	20.01%	+0.75	+7.8	40
2006-08-06	@ Ekranas	L 1-3	44.9	1390	1526	20.01%	22.83%	57.16%	-0.75	-7.9	31
2006-08-08	Vetra	L 0-4	30.8	1225	1385	20.56%	22.98%	56.46%	-0.71	-17.7	9
2006-08-08	@ Silute	W 4-0	30.8	1385	1225	56.46%	22.98%	20.56%	+0.71	+17.6	31
2006-08-11	Atlantas	L 0-1	32.5	1080	1382	11.03%	18.69%	70.27%	-1.41	-2.6	12
2006-08-11	@ Nevezis	W 1-0	32.5	1382	1080	70.27%	18.69%	11.03%	+1.41	+2.6	34
2006-08-11	Zalgiris	L 0-2	33.8	1207	1357	21.56%	23.22%	55.22%	-0.66	-9.7	9
2006-08-11	@ Silute	W 2-0	33.8	1357	1207	55.22%	23.22%	21.56%	+0.66	+9.7	30
2006-08-12	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	55.4	1343	1342	39.93%	24.73%	35.34%	+0.08	-0.2	26
2006-08-12	@ Vilnius	D 1-1	55.4	1342	1343	35.34%	24.73%	39.93%	-0.08	+0.2	29
2006-08-18	Suduva	L 1-3	33.3	1077	1429	8.89%	16.95%	74.17%	-1.66	-3.4	12
2006-08-18	@ Nevezis	W 3-1	33.3	1429	1077	74.17%	16.95%	8.89%	+1.66	+3.4	36
2006-08-19	Atlantas	W 3-1	46.6	1366	1385	37.17%	24.75%	38.08%	-0.02	+13.4	33
2006-08-19	@ Zalgiris	L 1-3	46.6	1385	1366	38.08%	24.75%	37.17%	+0.02	-13.4	34
2006-08-19	Silute	W 2-1	41.7	1342	1197	58.15%	22.61%	19.24%	+0.79	+4.4	32
2006-08-19	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-2	41.7	1197	1342	19.24%	22.61%	58.15%	-0.79	-4.4	9
2006-08-19	Vetra	L 1-2	67.9	1670	1403	69.94%	18.83%	11.23%	+1.40	-12.9	61
2006-08-19	@ FBK Kaunas	W 2-1	67.9	1403	1670	11.23%	18.83%	69.94%	-1.40	+12.9	34
2006-08-20	Vilnius	W 2-0	36.4	1534	1342	63.00%	21.32%	15.68%	+1.02	+7.2	43
2006-08-20	@ Ekranas	L 0-2	36.4	1342	1534	15.68%	21.32%	63.00%	-1.02	-7.2	26
2006-08-24	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	55.8	1372	1347	43.34%	24.60%	32.06%	+0.20	-0.5	35
2006-08-24	@ Atlantas	D 1-1	55.8	1347	1372	32.06%	24.60%	43.34%	-0.20	+0.5	33
2006-08-25	Ekranas	L 0-1	33.5	1193	1541	9.02%	17.07%	73.91%	-1.64	-2.1	9
2006-08-25	@ Silute	W 1-0	33.5	1541	1193	73.91%	17.07%	9.02%	+1.64	+2.1	46
2006-08-25	Zalgiris	L 1-4	31.3	1074	1380	10.87%	18.57%	70.56%	-1.43	-6.0	12
2006-08-25	@ Nevezis	W 4-1	31.3	1380	1074	70.56%	18.57%	10.87%	+1.43	+6.0	36
2006-08-28	FBK Kaunas	L 1-3	43.2	1335	1658	10.11%	17.99%	71.89%	-1.51	-3.9	26
2006-08-28	@ Vilnius	W 3-1	43.2	1658	1335	71.89%	17.99%	10.11%	+1.51	+3.9	64
2006-08-28	Suduva	W 2-1	52.1	1416	1432	37.48%	24.75%	37.77%	-0.01	+7.7	37
2006-08-28	@ Vetra	L 1-2	52.1	1432	1416	37.77%	24.75%	37.48%	+0.01	-7.7	36
2006-09-09	Zalgiris	D 0-0	51.4	1331	1386	32.27%	24.62%	43.11%	-0.19	+0.5	27
2006-09-09	@ Vilnius	D 0-0	51.4	1386	1331	43.11%	24.62%	32.27%	+0.19	-0.5	37
2006-09-10	Ekranas	L 1-3	48.4	1424	1543	24.64%	23.83%	51.53%	-0.51	-9.5	36
2006-09-10	@ Suduva	W 3-1	48.4	1543	1424	51.53%	23.83%	24.64%	+0.51	+9.5	49
2006-09-10	Nevezis	D 1-1	60.9	1661	1068	89.36%	8.19%	2.45%	+3.00	-4.0	65
2006-09-10	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	60.9	1068	1661	2.45%	8.19%	89.36%	-3.00	+4.0	13
2006-09-10	Silute	W 4-1	34.3	1371	1191	61.87%	21.65%	16.48%	+0.96	+9.2	38
2006-09-10	@ Atlantas	L 1-4	34.3	1191	1371	16.48%	21.65%	61.87%	-0.96	-9.2	9
2006-09-10	Vetra	L 0-4	35.9	1347	1423	29.48%	24.42%	46.10%	-0.30	-24.1	33
2006-09-10	@ FK Siauliai	W 4-0	35.9	1423	1347	46.10%	24.42%	29.48%	+0.30	+24.1	40
2006-09-17	FBK Kaunas	L 0-1	54.9	1553	1658	26.15%	24.06%	49.80%	-0.44	-6.1	49
2006-09-17	@ Ekranas	W 1-0	54.9	1658	1553	49.80%	24.06%	26.15%	+0.44	+6.1	68
2006-09-17	Silute	L 3-4	51.0	1072	1182	25.61%	23.98%	50.41%	-0.46	-5.2	13
2006-09-17	@ Nevezis	W 4-3	51.0	1182	1072	50.41%	23.98%	25.61%	+0.46	+5.2	12
2006-09-17	Suduva	D 1-1	56.3	1323	1415	27.60%	24.24%	48.16%	-0.38	+0.9	34
2006-09-17	@ FK Siauliai	D 1-1	56.3	1415	1323	48.16%	24.24%	27.60%	+0.38	-0.9	37
2006-09-17	Vetra	D 1-1	58.1	1385	1448	31.25%	24.56%	44.20%	-0.23	+0.6	38
2006-09-17	@ Zalgiris	D 1-1	58.1	1448	1385	44.20%	24.56%	31.25%	+0.23	-0.6	41
2006-09-17	Vilnius	L 1-2	51.9	1380	1332	46.48%	24.39%	29.12%	+0.31	-9.1	38
2006-09-17	@ Atlantas	W 2-1	51.9	1332	1380	29.12%	24.39%	46.48%	-0.31	+9.1	30
2006-09-20	Ekranas	L 3-6	32.1	1067	1547	4.95%	12.44%	82.60%	-2.29	-2.0	13
2006-09-20	@ Nevezis	W 6-3	32.1	1547	1067	82.60%	12.44%	4.95%	+2.29	+1.9	52
2006-09-20	FBK Kaunas	W 3-0	54.0	1324	1664	9.36%	17.37%	73.27%	-1.60	+38.7	37
2006-09-20	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-3	54.0	1664	1324	73.27%	17.37%	9.36%	+1.60	-38.7	68
2006-09-20	Suduva	D 0-0	52.8	1386	1414	35.81%	24.73%	39.46%	-0.06	+0.2	39
2006-09-20	@ Zalgiris	D 0-0	52.8	1414	1386	39.46%	24.73%	35.81%	+0.06	-0.2	38
2006-09-20	Vetra	D 0-0	53.3	1371	1447	29.56%	24.43%	46.01%	-0.30	+0.8	39
2006-09-20	@ Atlantas	D 0-0	53.3	1447	1371	46.01%	24.43%	29.56%	+0.30	-0.8	42
2006-09-20	Vilnius	L 1-3	38.9	1187	1341	21.14%	23.12%	55.74%	-0.68	-8.3	12
2006-09-20	@ Silute	W 3-1	38.9	1341	1187	55.74%	23.12%	21.14%	+0.68	+8.3	33
2006-09-23	Atlantas	D 1-1	65.2	1625	1372	68.68%	19.34%	11.98%	+1.32	-2.7	69
2006-09-23	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	65.2	1372	1625	11.98%	19.34%	68.68%	-1.32	+2.7	40
2006-09-24	FK Siauliai	L 2-5	34.1	1065	1363	11.27%	18.86%	69.88%	-1.39	-5.4	13
2006-09-24	@ Nevezis	W 5-2	34.1	1363	1065	69.88%	18.86%	11.27%	+1.39	+5.4	40
2006-09-24	Silute	W 2-0	30.4	1414	1179	67.12%	19.93%	12.94%	+1.24	+5.9	41
2006-09-24	@ Suduva	L 0-2	30.4	1179	1414	12.94%	19.93%	67.12%	-1.24	-5.9	12
2006-09-24	Vilnius	W 1-0	41.0	1446	1349	52.63%	23.67%	23.70%	+0.55	+5.6	45
2006-09-24	@ Vetra	L 0-1	41.0	1349	1446	23.70%	23.67%	52.63%	-0.55	-5.6	33
2006-09-24	Zalgiris	W 4-3	55.7	1549	1386	60.05%	22.15%	17.80%	+0.88	+3.8	55
2006-09-24	@ Ekranas	L 3-4	55.7	1386	1549	17.80%	22.15%	60.05%	-0.88	-3.8	39
2006-09-30	Ekranas	L 1-3	44.4	1368	1552	18.52%	22.39%	59.09%	-0.83	-7.3	40
2006-09-30	@ FK Siauliai	W 3-1	44.4	1552	1368	59.09%	22.39%	18.52%	+0.83	+7.3	58
2006-09-30	Silute	W 5-1	30.4	1452	1173	70.88%	18.43%	10.68%	+1.45	+7.5	48
2006-09-30	@ Vetra	L 1-5	30.4	1173	1452	10.68%	18.43%	70.88%	-1.45	-7.5	12
2006-09-30	Suduva	L 0-1	44.2	1375	1420	33.51%	24.67%	41.82%	-0.15	-7.5	40
2006-09-30	@ Atlantas	W 1-0	44.2	1420	1375	41.82%	24.67%	33.51%	+0.15	+7.5	44
2006-09-30	Zalgiris	D 2-2	70.8	1622	1382	67.55%	19.77%	12.68%	+1.26	-2.0	70
2006-09-30	@ FBK Kaunas	D 2-2	70.8	1382	1622	12.68%	19.77%	67.55%	-1.26	+2.0	40
2006-10-01	Nevezis	W 5-0	26.0	1344	1059	71.32%	18.24%	10.43%	+1.48	+10.9	36
2006-10-01	@ Vilnius	L 0-5	26.0	1059	1344	10.43%	18.24%	71.32%	-1.48	-10.9	13
2006-10-03	Atlantas	D 2-2	63.7	1459	1367	52.04%	23.76%	24.21%	+0.53	-0.9	49
2006-10-03	@ Vetra	D 2-2	63.7	1367	1459	24.21%	23.76%	52.04%	-0.53	+0.9	41
2006-10-15	Atlantas	D 0-0	51.5	1361	1368	38.74%	24.74%	36.52%	+0.04	-0.1	41
2006-10-15	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	51.5	1368	1361	36.52%	24.74%	38.74%	-0.04	+0.1	42
2006-10-15	Nevezis	W 3-2	41.1	1384	1049	75.28%	16.41%	8.31%	+1.73	+1.7	43
2006-10-15	@ Zalgiris	L 2-3	41.1	1049	1384	8.31%	16.41%	75.28%	-1.73	-1.7	13
2006-10-15	Silute	W 3-1	33.5	1560	1165	79.31%	14.31%	6.38%	+2.02	+2.3	61
2006-10-15	@ Ekranas	L 1-3	33.5	1165	1560	6.38%	14.31%	79.31%	-2.02	-2.3	12
2006-10-15	Vetra	L 1-2	52.5	1427	1458	35.41%	24.73%	39.86%	-0.08	-7.3	44
2006-10-15	@ Suduva	W 2-1	52.5	1458	1427	39.86%	24.73%	35.41%	+0.08	+7.3	52
2006-10-15	Vilnius	W 2-1	46.7	1620	1355	69.78%	18.90%	11.33%	+1.39	+2.5	73
2006-10-15	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	46.7	1355	1620	11.33%	18.90%	69.78%	-1.39	-2.5	36
2006-10-18	Ekranas	L 1-3	44.5	1368	1562	17.80%	22.15%	60.06%	-0.88	-7.0	42
2006-10-18	@ Atlantas	W 3-1	44.5	1562	1368	60.06%	22.15%	17.80%	+0.88	+7.0	64
2006-10-18	FBK Kaunas	L 0-3	26.2	1163	1623	5.44%	13.12%	81.45%	-2.19	-3.2	12
2006-10-18	@ Silute	W 3-0	26.2	1623	1163	81.45%	13.12%	5.44%	+2.19	+3.2	76
2006-10-18	Suduva	W 5-3	54.5	1352	1420	30.53%	24.51%	44.96%	-0.26	+12.9	39
2006-10-18	@ Vilnius	L 3-5	54.5	1420	1352	44.96%	24.51%	30.53%	+0.26	-12.9	44
2006-10-18	Vetra	L 0-2	26.4	1047	1466	6.57%	14.54%	78.90%	-1.99	-2.7	13
2006-10-18	@ Nevezis	W 2-0	26.4	1466	1047	78.90%	14.54%	6.57%	+1.99	+2.8	55
2006-10-18	Zalgiris	L 0-2	40.5	1360	1386	36.20%	24.74%	39.06%	-0.05	-14.9	41
2006-10-18	@ FK Siauliai	W 2-0	40.5	1386	1360	39.06%	24.74%	36.20%	+0.05	+14.9	46
2006-10-25	Ekranas	W 2-0	52.1	1365	1569	17.00%	21.86%	61.14%	-0.93	+23.0	42
2006-10-25	@ Vilnius	L 0-2	52.1	1569	1365	61.14%	21.86%	17.00%	+0.93	-23.0	64
2006-10-25	FBK Kaunas	L 0-1	49.8	1468	1626	20.82%	23.05%	56.13%	-0.70	-5.0	55
2006-10-25	@ Vetra	W 1-0	49.8	1626	1468	56.13%	23.05%	20.82%	+0.70	+5.0	79
2006-10-25	FK Siauliai	W 1-0	48.2	1160	1346	18.41%	22.35%	59.24%	-0.84	+11.8	15
2006-10-25	@ Silute	L 0-1	48.2	1346	1160	59.24%	22.35%	18.41%	+0.84	-11.9	41
2006-10-25	Nevezis	W 2-0	26.7	1407	1044	77.22%	15.43%	7.36%	+1.86	+3.1	47
2006-10-25	@ Suduva	L 0-2	26.7	1044	1407	7.36%	15.43%	77.22%	-1.86	-3.1	13
2006-10-25	Zalgiris	D 2-2	62.0	1361	1401	34.26%	24.70%	41.05%	-0.12	+0.2	43
2006-10-25	@ Atlantas	D 2-2	62.0	1401	1361	41.05%	24.70%	34.26%	+0.12	-0.2	47
2006-10-28	Nevezis	W 2-0	27.6	1362	1041	74.17%	16.95%	8.89%	+1.66	+3.9	46
2006-10-28	@ Atlantas	L 0-2	27.6	1041	1362	8.89%	16.95%	74.17%	-1.66	-3.9	13
2006-10-28	Silute	W 2-0	30.4	1401	1172	66.56%	20.14%	13.30%	+1.21	+6.0	50
2006-10-28	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	30.4	1172	1401	13.30%	20.14%	66.56%	-1.21	-6.0	15
2006-10-28	Suduva	W 2-0	41.4	1631	1410	65.81%	20.40%	13.79%	+1.17	+6.3	82
2006-10-28	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-2	41.4	1410	1631	13.79%	20.40%	65.81%	-1.17	-6.3	47
2006-10-28	Vetra	W 1-0	48.3	1546	1463	50.87%	23.92%	25.21%	+0.48	+5.9	67
2006-10-28	@ Ekranas	L 0-1	48.3	1463	1546	25.21%	23.92%	50.87%	-0.48	-5.9	55
2006-10-28	Vilnius	L 0-2	38.9	1334	1388	32.28%	24.62%	43.10%	-0.19	-13.7	41
2006-10-28	@ FK Siauliai	W 2-0	38.9	1388	1334	43.10%	24.62%	32.28%	+0.19	+13.7	45
2006-10-31	Ekranas	W 2-0	51.7	1458	1552	27.34%	24.21%	48.46%	-0.39	+18.8	58
2006-10-31	@ Vetra	L 0-2	51.7	1552	1458	48.46%	24.21%	27.34%	+0.39	-18.8	67
2006-10-31	FBK Kaunas	W 2-1	64.9	1365	1637	12.63%	19.74%	67.63%	-1.26	+12.5	49
2006-10-31	@ Atlantas	L 1-2	64.9	1637	1365	67.63%	19.74%	12.63%	+1.26	-12.5	82
2006-10-31	Vilnius	D 2-2	61.9	1037	1402	8.39%	16.48%	75.13%	-1.72	+2.4	14
2006-10-31	@ Nevezis	D 2-2	61.9	1402	1037	75.13%	16.48%	8.39%	+1.72	-2.4	46
2006-11-05	Atlantas	W 1-0	48.9	1166	1378	16.38%	21.61%	62.00%	-0.97	+12.3	18
2006-11-05	@ Silute	L 0-1	48.9	1378	1166	62.00%	21.61%	16.38%	+0.97	-12.3	49
2006-11-05	FBK Kaunas	L 2-6	27.4	1039	1625	2.98%	9.23%	87.79%	-2.81	-1.5	14
2006-11-05	@ Nevezis	W 6-2	27.4	1625	1039	87.79%	9.23%	2.98%	+2.81	+1.5	85
2006-11-05	FK Siauliai	W 2-1	44.3	1476	1320	59.39%	22.32%	18.30%	+0.85	+4.2	61
2006-11-05	@ Vetra	L 1-2	44.3	1320	1476	18.30%	22.32%	59.39%	-0.85	-4.2	41
2006-11-05	Suduva	L 0-1	54.7	1533	1404	56.42%	22.99%	20.59%	+0.71	-11.4	67
2006-11-05	@ Ekranas	W 1-0	54.7	1404	1533	20.59%	22.99%	56.42%	-0.71	+11.4	50
2006-11-05	Vilnius	D 1-1	57.4	1407	1399	40.89%	24.70%	34.41%	+0.11	-0.3	51
2006-11-05	@ Zalgiris	D 1-1	57.4	1399	1407	34.41%	24.70%	40.89%	-0.11	+0.3	47
2006-11-12	Atlantas	L 0-1	46.9	1399	1366	44.54%	24.53%	30.93%	+0.24	-9.3	47
2006-11-12	@ Vilnius	W 1-0	46.9	1366	1399	30.93%	24.53%	44.54%	-0.24	+9.3	52
2006-11-12	Ekranas	W 3-0	46.2	1626	1522	53.56%	23.52%	22.92%	+0.59	+14.9	88
2006-11-12	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-3	46.2	1522	1626	22.92%	23.52%	53.56%	-0.59	-14.9	67
2006-11-12	FK Siauliai	W 2-0	36.1	1415	1316	52.93%	23.62%	23.45%	+0.57	+10.5	53
2006-11-12	@ Suduva	L 0-2	36.1	1316	1415	23.45%	23.62%	52.93%	-0.57	-10.5	41
2006-11-12	Nevezis	L 1-2	52.7	1178	1038	57.61%	22.73%	19.66%	+0.77	-10.9	18
2006-11-12	@ Silute	W 2-1	52.7	1038	1178	19.66%	22.73%	57.61%	-0.77	+10.9	17
2006-11-12	Zalgiris	L 0-1	51.4	1480	1406	49.82%	24.05%	26.13%	+0.44	-10.2	61
2006-11-12	@ Vetra	W 1-0	51.4	1406	1480	26.13%	24.05%	49.82%	-0.44	+10.2	54

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2006-09-20	9.36%	@ FK Siauliai	1324	3	FBK Kaunas	1664	0
2	2006-08-04	9.76%	@ Nevezis	1067	3	Vetra	1398	2
3	2006-08-19	11.23%	Vetra	1403	2	@ FBK Kaunas	1670	1
4	2006-10-31	12.63%	@ Atlantas	1365	2	FBK Kaunas	1637	1
5	2006-07-02	14.21%	Nevezis	1048	2	@ Silute	1262	1
6	2006-06-28	15.78%	@ FK Siauliai	1327	4	Ekranas	1548	1
7	2006-06-16	15.86%	@ Atlantas	1346	2	Ekranas	1566	0
8	2006-05-21	16.30%	@ Nevezis	1077	2	Silute	1290	1
9	2006-11-05	16.38%	@ Silute	1166	1	Atlantas	1378	0
10	2006-10-25	17.00%	@ Vilnius	1365	2	Ekranas	1569	0
11	2006-05-10	18.22%	@ Vetra	1386	2	Ekranas	1575	0
12	2006-10-25	18.41%	@ Silute	1160	1	FK Siauliai	1346	0
13	2006-07-02	18.64%	Ekranas	1519	1	@ FBK Kaunas	1672	0
14	2006-11-12	19.66%	Nevezis	1038	2	@ Silute	1178	1
15	2006-11-05	20.59%	Suduva	1404	1	@ Ekranas	1533	0
16	2006-06-09	23.55%	Silute	1268	1	@ Zalgiris	1366	0
17	2006-05-21	24.88%	@ FK Siauliai	1324	2	Suduva	1440	1
18	2006-11-12	26.13%	Zalgiris	1406	1	@ Vetra	1480	0
19	2006-07-07	26.94%	Zalgiris	1341	3	@ Suduva	1408	2
20	2006-10-31	27.34%	@ Vetra	1458	2	Ekranas	1552	0
21	2006-05-24	27.88%	@ Atlantas	1320	2	Vetra	1410	1
22	2006-05-10	28.01%	FK Siauliai	1319	1	@ Vilnius	1377	0
23	2006-07-02	28.17%	Zalgiris	1332	1	@ Vetra	1388	0
24	2006-09-17	29.12%	Vilnius	1332	2	@ Atlantas	1380	1
25	2006-06-13	29.46%	Silute	1279	1	@ FK Siauliai	1324	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-09-20	38.67	@ FK Siauliai	3	1324	9.36%	FBK Kaunas	0	1664	73.27%	17.37%
2	2006-06-28	28.82	@ FK Siauliai	4	1327	15.78%	Ekranas	1	1548	62.86%	21.36%
3	2006-06-28	25.64	@ Atlantas	3	1367	30.57%	Suduva	0	1435	44.92%	24.51%
4	2006-05-14	25.60	Zalgiris	3	1331	30.66%	@ Vilnius	0	1367	44.83%	24.52%
5	2006-09-10	24.10	Vetra	4	1423	46.10%	@ FK Siauliai	0	1347	29.48%	24.42%
6	2006-06-16	23.49	@ Atlantas	2	1346	15.86%	Ekranas	0	1566	62.74%	21.40%
7	2006-10-25	22.98	@ Vilnius	2	1365	17.00%	Ekranas	0	1569	61.14%	21.86%
8	2006-05-10	22.44	@ Vetra	2	1386	18.22%	Ekranas	0	1575	59.49%	22.29%
9	2006-10-31	18.80	@ Vetra	2	1458	27.34%	Ekranas	0	1552	48.46%	24.21%
10	2006-07-02	18.29	Atlantas	4	1393	39.04%	@ Vilnius	1	1368	36.22%	24.74%
11	2006-08-08	17.65	Vetra	4	1385	56.46%	@ Silute	0	1225	20.56%	22.98%
12	2006-04-19	17.46	@ FK Siauliai	5	1288	62.07%	Nevezis	0	1106	16.34%	21.60%
13	2006-10-18	14.93	Zalgiris	2	1386	39.06%	@ FK Siauliai	0	1360	36.20%	24.74%
14	2006-11-12	14.91	@ FBK Kaunas	3	1626	53.56%	Ekranas	0	1522	22.92%	23.52%
15	2006-06-23	14.44	Suduva	3	1420	54.53%	@ Silute	0	1277	22.12%	23.35%
16	2006-10-28	13.66	Vilnius	2	1388	43.10%	@ FK Siauliai	0	1334	32.28%	24.62%
17	2006-08-19	13.43	@ Zalgiris	3	1366	37.17%	Atlantas	1	1385	38.08%	24.75%
18	2006-04-27	13.24	@ FK Siauliai	3	1306	37.89%	Atlantas	1	1320	37.36%	24.75%
19	2006-06-06	13.20	Ekranas	4	1551	51.99%	@ Suduva	1	1429	24.25%	23.76%
20	2006-05-07	12.95	@ FBK Kaunas	4	1602	64.07%	Vetra	0	1399	14.95%	20.99%
21	2006-10-18	12.94	@ Vilnius	5	1352	30.53%	Suduva	3	1420	44.96%	24.51%
22	2006-07-21	12.86	@ Suduva	3	1399	39.30%	Atlantas	1	1403	35.96%	24.74%
23	2006-08-19	12.85	Vetra	2	1403	11.23%	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1670	69.94%	18.83%
24	2006-08-04	12.54	@ Nevezis	3	1067	9.76%	Vetra	2	1398	72.53%	17.71%
25	2006-10-31	12.51	@ Atlantas	2	1365	12.63%	FBK Kaunas	1	1637	67.63%	19.74%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-09-30	70.8	@ FBK Kaunas	2	1622	67.55%	Zalgiris	2	1382	12.68%	19.77%
2	2006-05-28	70.4	@ Vilnius	2	1348	11.55%	FBK Kaunas	2	1640	69.40%	19.05%
3	2006-08-19	67.9	Vetra	2	1403	11.23%	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1670	69.94%	18.83%
4	2006-07-29	65.4	@ Zalgiris	2	1348	18.92%	Ekranas	2	1528	58.56%	22.51%
5	2006-09-23	65.2	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1625	68.68%	Atlantas	1	1372	11.98%	19.34%
6	2006-10-31	64.9	@ Atlantas	2	1365	12.63%	FBK Kaunas	1	1637	67.63%	19.74%
7	2006-07-02	63.8	Ekranas	1	1519	18.64%	@ FBK Kaunas	0	1672	58.94%	22.43%
8	2006-10-03	63.7	@ Vetra	2	1459	52.04%	Atlantas	2	1367	24.21%	23.76%
9	2006-05-07	63.0	@ Ekranas	1	1577	64.06%	Vilnius	1	1375	14.95%	20.99%
10	2006-10-25	62.0	@ Atlantas	2	1361	34.26%	Zalgiris	2	1401	41.05%	24.70%
11	2006-10-31	61.9	@ Nevezis	2	1037	8.39%	Vilnius	2	1402	75.13%	16.48%
12	2006-05-21	60.9	FBK Kaunas	2	1632	45.89%	@ Ekranas	1	1557	29.67%	24.44%
13	2006-09-10	60.9	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1661	89.36%	Nevezis	1	1068	2.45%	8.19%
14	2006-08-04	60.8	@ Nevezis	3	1067	9.76%	Vetra	2	1398	72.53%	17.71%
15	2006-05-14	59.5	@ Ekranas	0	1552	53.73%	Suduva	0	1446	22.78%	23.49%
16	2006-07-07	58.4	@ Ekranas	1	1531	83.80%	Nevezis	1	1060	4.47%	11.73%
17	2006-05-27	58.1	@ Suduva	1	1429	43.90%	Vetra	1	1400	31.52%	24.57%
18	2006-09-17	58.1	@ Zalgiris	1	1385	31.25%	Vetra	1	1448	44.20%	24.56%
19	2006-07-07	58.0	Zalgiris	3	1341	26.94%	@ Suduva	2	1408	48.90%	24.16%
20	2006-11-05	57.4	@ Zalgiris	1	1407	40.89%	Vilnius	1	1399	34.41%	24.70%
21	2006-06-13	57.2	@ Vilnius	0	1351	16.00%	Ekranas	0	1569	62.55%	21.46%
22	2006-04-23	57.0	@ Ekranas	0	1575	69.16%	Atlantas	0	1316	11.69%	19.15%
23	2006-06-16	56.7	@ Suduva	1	1411	47.71%	Vilnius	1	1353	28.01%	24.28%
24	2006-07-02	56.7	@ Suduva	1	1409	47.11%	FK Siauliai	1	1356	28.55%	24.34%
25	2006-05-21	56.6	@ Zalgiris	1	1357	32.40%	Vetra	1	1410	42.97%	24.62%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-05-24	23.5	Ekranas	4	1550	81.58%	@ Nevezis	0	1088	5.38%	13.04%
2	2006-05-07	24.6	@ Suduva	3	1450	77.58%	Nevezis	0	1082	7.18%	15.24%
3	2006-05-14	25.3	@ FBK Kaunas	2	1623	87.30%	Nevezis	0	1080	3.15%	9.54%
4	2006-10-01	26.0	@ Vilnius	5	1344	71.32%	Nevezis	0	1059	10.43%	18.24%
5	2006-10-18	26.2	FBK Kaunas	3	1623	81.45%	@ Silute	0	1163	5.44%	13.12%
6	2006-10-18	26.4	Vetra	2	1466	78.90%	@ Nevezis	0	1047	6.57%	14.54%
7	2006-10-25	26.7	@ Suduva	2	1407	77.22%	Nevezis	0	1044	7.36%	15.43%
8	2006-11-05	27.4	FBK Kaunas	6	1625	87.79%	@ Nevezis	2	1039	2.98%	9.23%
9	2006-10-28	27.6	@ Atlantas	2	1362	74.17%	Nevezis	0	1041	8.89%	16.95%
10	2006-06-23	27.7	FK Siauliai	3	1318	65.94%	@ Nevezis	0	1065	13.70%	20.36%
11	2006-06-20	27.9	@ Ekranas	4	1543	84.05%	Nevezis	1	1067	4.37%	11.58%
12	2006-06-13	28.1	Suduva	2	1407	72.93%	@ Nevezis	0	1071	9.55%	17.53%
13	2006-04-23	28.3	@ Vetra	2	1386	72.33%	Nevezis	0	1089	9.87%	17.80%
14	2006-08-05	28.4	@ FBK Kaunas	4	1666	81.96%	Silute	0	1229	5.22%	12.82%
15	2006-04-19	28.8	@ FK Siauliai	5	1288	62.07%	Nevezis	0	1106	16.34%	21.60%
16	2006-04-15	29.2	@ Vilnius	2	1371	69.30%	Nevezis	0	1111	11.61%	19.09%
17	2006-06-27	29.6	Vilnius	5	1360	70.39%	@ Nevezis	1	1056	10.97%	18.64%
18	2006-09-24	30.4	@ Suduva	2	1414	67.12%	Silute	0	1179	12.94%	19.93%
19	2006-09-30	30.4	@ Vetra	5	1452	70.88%	Silute	1	1173	10.68%	18.43%
20	2006-10-28	30.4	@ Zalgiris	2	1401	66.56%	Silute	0	1172	13.30%	20.14%
21	2006-05-28	30.5	Zalgiris	5	1358	67.80%	@ Nevezis	1	1084	12.52%	19.68%
22	2006-08-08	30.8	Vetra	4	1385	56.46%	@ Silute	0	1225	20.56%	22.98%
23	2006-06-06	31.1	FBK Kaunas	3	1638	86.83%	@ Nevezis	1	1075	3.32%	9.85%
24	2006-05-17	31.2	@ Vetra	1	1408	74.82%	Nevezis	0	1079	8.55%	16.63%
25	2006-08-25	31.3	Zalgiris	4	1380	70.56%	@ Nevezis	1	1074	10.87%	18.57%