2007 A Lyga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

FBK Kaunas

83 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Suduva

7.93 points above expected

68 points · 60.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Interas Visaginas

10.21 points below expected

8 points · 18.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FBK Kaunas	36	25	8	3	83	91	26	+65	77.86	+5.14
2	Suduva	36	20	8	8	68	66	34	+32	60.07	+7.93
3	Ekranas	36	19	9	8	66	83	36	+47	63.70	+2.30
4	Zalgiris	36	18	10	8	64	64	34	+30	61.51	+2.49
5	Vetra	36	18	7	11	61	55	30	+25	57.68	+3.32
6	Atlantas	36	13	6	17	45	54	45	+9	47.22	-2.22
7	FK Siauliai	36	13	6	17	45	47	50	-3	39.93	+5.07
8	Vilnius	36	13	6	17	45	54	63	-9	53.90	-8.90
9	Silute	36	6	4	26	22	28	86	-58	26.79	-4.79
10	Interas Visaginas	36	2	2	32	8	16	154	-138	18.21	-10.21

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Suduva	68	60.07	+7.93
2	FBK Kaunas	83	77.86	+5.14
3	FK Siauliai	45	39.93	+5.07
4	Vetra	61	57.68	+3.32
5	Zalgiris	64	61.51	+2.49

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Interas Visaginas	8	18.21	-10.21
2	Vilnius	45	53.90	-8.90
3	Silute	22	26.79	-4.79
4	Atlantas	45	47.22	-2.22
5	Ekranas	66	63.70	+2.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vilnius	7	Apr 18 – May 12	1 in 154
2	FK Siauliai	3	Oct 30 – Nov 10	1 in 101
3	FBK Kaunas	11	Aug 11 – Oct 27	1 in 64
4	Suduva	5	Aug 24 – Sep 22	1 in 28
5	Atlantas	3	Jul 28 – Aug 12	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Interas Visaginas	16	Aug 7 – Nov 10	1 in 60
2	Vetra	3	Aug 2 – Aug 12	1 in 58
3	Vilnius	6	Aug 25 – Sep 30	1 in 37
4	Atlantas	3	Apr 29 – May 8	1 in 26
5	FBK Kaunas	2	Jun 17 – Jun 20	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Suduva	12	May 8 – Jul 12	1 in 193
2	Vilnius	10	Apr 7 – May 12	1 in 145
3	FK Siauliai	6	Oct 6 – Nov 10	1 in 76
4	Zalgiris	8	Apr 7 – May 5	1 in 48
5	FBK Kaunas	17	Jun 24 – Oct 27	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ekranas	5	Apr 11 – Apr 25	1 in 34
2	FBK Kaunas	4	Jun 17 – Jun 30	1 in 33
3	Vilnius	6	Jun 24 – Jul 29	1 in 20
4	Atlantas	6	Jun 9 – Jul 12	1 in 16
5	Zalgiris	3	May 8 – May 19	1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
FBK Kaunas	1734	83	+30	12	10.8	+1.2
Suduva	1537	68	-13	6	9.4	-3.4
Ekranas	1554	66	+20	10	9.1	+0.9
Zalgiris	1510	64	-17	6	8.5	-2.5
Vetra	1526	61	+18	10	8.5	+1.5
FK Siauliai	1387	45	+47	11	5.0	+6.0
Atlantas	1454	45	+28	10	7.5	+2.5
Vilnius	1264	45	-95	1	6.0	-5.0
Silute	1184	22	-6	3	2.6	+0.4
Interas Visaginas	954	8	-30	0	1.2	-1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ATL	EKR	FK	FS	IV	SIL	SUD	VET	VIL	ZAL
Atlantas	—	2-1-1 3.45	0-0-4 2.46	2-2-0 6.43	3-1-0 9.57	2-1-1 8.61	1-0-3 4.15	1-0-3 4.25	2-0-2 5.21	0-1-3 4.22
Ekranas	1-1-2 7.81	—	0-2-2 3.66	4-0-0 7.79	4-0-0 10.24	4-0-0 9.33	0-3-1 6.40	1-2-1 6.13	3-1-0 6.97	2-0-2 5.90
FBK Kaunas	4-0-0 8.83	2-2-0 7.59	—	3-1-0 9.29	4-0-0 10.48	4-0-0 10.28	2-2-0 7.80	2-0-2 8.28	3-1-0 8.34	1-2-1 7.87
FK Siauliai	0-2-2 4.80	0-0-4 3.46	0-1-3 2.03	—	3-0-1 8.72	3-0-1 7.71	2-0-2 3.52	2-0-2 3.52	2-1-1 4.20	1-2-1 3.43
Interas Visaginas	0-1-3 1.78	0-0-4 1.19	0-0-4 1.00	1-0-3 2.57	—	1-1-2 4.29	0-0-4 1.58	0-0-4 1.52	0-0-4 1.98	0-0-4 1.41
Silute	1-1-2 2.67	0-0-4 2.00	0-0-4 1.16	1-0-3 3.54	2-1-1 6.95	—	0-0-4 2.32	1-0-3 2.15	1-0-3 2.50	0-2-2 2.10
Suduva	3-0-1 7.08	1-3-0 4.83	0-2-2 3.45	2-0-2 7.73	4-0-0 9.81	4-0-0 8.98	—	2-2-0 5.78	3-0-1 6.27	1-1-2 5.48
Vetra	3-0-1 6.98	1-2-1 5.09	2-0-2 2.99	2-0-2 7.72	4-0-0 9.88	3-0-1 9.17	0-2-2 5.45	—	1-2-1 6.17	2-1-1 4.84
Vilnius	2-0-2 6.02	0-1-3 4.26	0-1-3 2.94	1-1-2 7.04	4-0-0 9.36	3-0-1 8.80	1-0-3 4.97	1-2-1 5.05	—	1-1-2 4.42
Zalgiris	3-1-0 7.01	2-0-2 5.33	1-2-1 3.38	1-2-1 7.83	4-0-0 9.98	2-2-0 9.23	2-1-1 5.75	1-1-2 6.39	2-1-1 6.82	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.92	+9.6
Allowed	0.83	-5.3
Differential	0.93	+3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.22%	6.67%	5.00%	5.00%	1.94%	5.28%	31.11%
1	6.67%	10.00%	7.78%	3.61%	2.22%	1.39%	31.67%
2	5.00%	7.78%	1.11%	1.11%	0.56%	0.28%	15.83%
3	5.00%	3.61%	1.11%	—	—	—	9.72%
4	1.94%	2.22%	0.56%	—	—	—	4.72%
5+	5.28%	1.39%	0.28%	—	—	—	6.94%
Total	31.11%	31.67%	15.83%	9.72%	4.72%	6.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.55	+0.00
SD	1.74	1.74	2.88
CV	1.12	1.12	—
Max	10	10	+10
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	30.56%	30.56%	25.00%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.25	+0.25
SD	1.75	1.11	2.39
CV	1.17	0.88	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	2.78%	16.67%
1	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	36.11%	44.44%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.31	1.00	+1.31
SD	2.23	1.15	2.84
CV	0.97	1.15	—
Max	10	5	+10
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
1	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
Total	41.67%	44.44%	13.89%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.53	0.72	+1.81
SD	1.86	0.70	2.11
CV	0.74	0.97	—
Max	8	2	+8
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	36.11%
1	2.78%	5.56%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	36.11%	25.00%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.39	-0.08
SD	1.55	1.08	2.12
CV	1.18	0.78	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	36.11%	72.22%
1	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	13.89%
2	2.78%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	2.78%	11.11%	25.00%	11.11%	41.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.44	4.28	-3.83
SD	0.81	2.53	2.95
CV	1.82	0.59	—
Max	3	10	+3
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	50.00%
1	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	27.78%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	11.11%	19.44%	25.00%	13.89%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	2.39	-1.61
SD	0.93	1.68	2.13
CV	1.19	0.70	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
1	19.44%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	47.22%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	41.67%	36.11%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	0.94	+0.89
SD	1.80	1.09	2.26
CV	0.98	1.16	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
3	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	44.44%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	0.83	+0.69
SD	1.54	0.85	1.92
CV	1.01	1.01	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	33.33%
1	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	27.78%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	30.56%	30.56%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.75	-0.25
SD	1.83	1.93	3.09
CV	1.22	1.10	—
Max	9	7	+9
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	19.44%
1	13.89%	19.44%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	41.67%	36.11%	16.67%	—	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	0.94	+0.83
SD	1.79	1.15	2.40
CV	1.01	1.21	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
FBK Kaunas	1734	83	77.86	+5.14	81.0%	53	65	73	79	82	89	94
Ekranas	1554	66	63.70	+2.30	64.0%	48	51	59	63	69	74	82
Suduva	1537	68	60.07	+7.93	89.0%	39	47	54	61	66	73	80
Vetra	1526	61	57.68	+3.32	67.0%	37	45	53	58	63	68	73
Zalgiris	1510	64	61.51	+2.49	70.0%	43	49	56	61	66	74	79
Atlantas	1454	45	47.22	-2.22	35.0%	30	34	44	48	52	58	66
FK Siauliai	1387	45	39.93	+5.07	73.0%	20	28	33	40	46	51	60
Vilnius	1264	45	53.90	-8.90	14.0%	36	42	49	54	59	66	70
Silute	1184	22	26.79	-4.79	24.0%	11	16	23	26	32	38	43
Interas Visaginas	954	8	18.21	-10.21	8.0%	4	6	13	18	22	28	34

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.67%

Strong Edge

46.67%18.33%35.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge

116 Elo

0.009 goals per Elo point

040.72300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.31 goals

Neutral

-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

80%

FBK Kaunas, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.42/gm

Runaway

00.290.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.75 * Some Luck: 5.75 to 8.62 * Lucky: 8.62 to 11.5 * Wild Swing: 11.5 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.69 * Close: 0.69 to 1.03 * Off: 1.03 to 1.38 * Way Off: 1.38 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.91 points

Some Luck

07.1918

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

00.862

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

89.00%

Suduva

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

8.00%

Interas Visaginas

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Balanced

00.240.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 223.05

2.75

Strong Separation

12.52.853.5

Interquartile Edge

80%

Slight Edge

50%77.5%86.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

99%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

49%

Few

0%40%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Very Frequent

0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.48

Highly Predictable

00.532

Matchup Imbalance

0.48

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.70

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.93

Near-Lock

00.650.811

Upset Rate

Expected

16%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Shaky Favorites

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.03

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.19

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.101

Well Within Noise

00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
FBK Kaunas	80.00%	14.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Suduva	3.00%	22.00%	16.00%	18.00%	23.00%	14.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Ekranas	12.00%	26.00%	24.00%	19.00%	10.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Zalgiris	4.00%	26.00%	21.00%	21.00%	16.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Vetra	1.00%	8.00%	22.00%	23.00%	19.00%	21.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	—
Atlantas	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	17.00%	43.00%	23.00%	2.00%	—
FK Siauliai	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	23.00%	54.00%	10.00%	1.00%
Vilnius	—	3.00%	12.00%	12.00%	20.00%	24.00%	25.00%	4.00%	—	—
Silute	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	11.00%	69.00%	20.00%
Interas Visaginas	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	19.00%	79.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Ekranas	100%	—
FBK Kaunas	100%	—
Suduva	100%	—
Vetra	100%	—
Vilnius	100%	—
Zalgiris	100%	—
Atlantas	98.00%	2.00%
FK Siauliai	89.00%	11.00%
Silute	11.00%	89.00%
Interas Visaginas	2.00%	98.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2007-04-07	FBK Kaunas	L 2-3	44.2	1195	1595	8.07%	15.93%	76.01%	-3.10	-2.2	0
2007-04-07	@ Interas Visaginas	W 3-2	44.2	1595	1195	76.01%	15.93%	8.07%	+3.10	+2.2	3
2007-04-07	FK Siauliai	W 2-0	39.2	1503	1363	62.58%	18.46%	18.96%	+1.56	+11.0	3
2007-04-07	@ Ekranas	L 0-2	39.2	1363	1503	18.96%	18.46%	62.58%	-1.56	-11.0	0
2007-04-07	Silute	W 4-1	38.2	1444	1262	66.44%	17.97%	15.59%	+1.93	+11.2	3
2007-04-07	@ Suduva	L 1-4	38.2	1262	1444	15.59%	17.97%	66.44%	-1.93	-11.2	0
2007-04-07	Vetra	D 0-0	56.2	1420	1478	37.83%	19.43%	42.74%	-0.15	+0.3	1
2007-04-07	@ Vilnius	D 0-0	56.2	1478	1420	42.74%	19.43%	37.83%	+0.15	-0.3	1
2007-04-07	Zalgiris	L 1-2	52.1	1409	1438	41.95%	19.44%	38.61%	+0.10	-10.9	0
2007-04-07	@ Atlantas	W 2-1	52.1	1438	1409	38.61%	19.44%	41.95%	-0.10	+10.9	3
2007-04-10	Suduva	W 1-0	47.2	1449	1456	45.06%	19.41%	35.53%	+0.29	+10.1	6
2007-04-10	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	47.2	1456	1449	35.53%	19.41%	45.06%	-0.29	-10.1	3
2007-04-11	Atlantas	W 2-1	47.6	1477	1398	56.10%	19.00%	24.90%	+1.04	+7.1	4
2007-04-11	@ Vetra	L 1-2	47.6	1398	1477	24.90%	19.00%	56.10%	-1.04	-7.1	0
2007-04-11	FK Siauliai	W 2-1	45.5	1597	1352	71.40%	17.10%	11.51%	+2.47	+3.4	6
2007-04-11	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	45.5	1352	1597	11.51%	17.10%	71.40%	-2.47	-3.4	0
2007-04-11	Silute	D 1-1	54.1	1193	1251	37.88%	19.43%	42.68%	-0.15	+0.3	1
2007-04-11	@ Interas Visaginas	D 1-1	54.1	1251	1193	42.68%	19.43%	37.88%	+0.15	-0.3	1
2007-04-11	Vilnius	D 0-0	57.7	1514	1420	57.74%	18.89%	23.37%	+1.16	-2.4	4
2007-04-11	@ Ekranas	D 0-0	57.7	1420	1514	23.37%	18.89%	57.74%	-1.16	+2.4	2
2007-04-15	Ekranas	D 1-1	60.3	1391	1512	29.52%	19.24%	51.24%	-0.69	+1.3	1
2007-04-15	@ Atlantas	D 1-1	60.3	1512	1391	51.24%	19.24%	29.52%	+0.69	-1.3	5
2007-04-15	FBK Kaunas	D 2-2	69.8	1422	1601	23.08%	18.86%	58.06%	-1.19	+1.6	3
2007-04-15	@ Vilnius	D 2-2	69.8	1601	1422	58.06%	18.86%	23.08%	+1.19	-1.6	7
2007-04-15	Interas Visaginas	W 4-1	37.6	1348	1193	63.97%	18.30%	17.73%	+1.69	+12.7	3
2007-04-15	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-4	37.6	1193	1348	17.73%	18.30%	63.97%	-1.69	-12.7	1
2007-04-15	Vetra	W 1-0	49.5	1445	1484	40.52%	19.44%	40.03%	+0.01	+11.2	6
2007-04-15	@ Suduva	L 0-1	49.5	1484	1445	40.03%	19.44%	40.52%	-0.01	-11.2	4
2007-04-15	Zalgiris	D 0-0	52.2	1250	1459	20.17%	18.59%	61.24%	-1.45	+2.9	2
2007-04-15	@ Silute	D 0-0	52.2	1459	1250	61.24%	18.59%	20.17%	+1.45	-2.9	7
2007-04-18	Atlantas	W 4-0	39.6	1599	1392	68.50%	17.65%	13.85%	+2.14	+15.5	10
2007-04-18	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-4	39.6	1392	1599	13.85%	17.65%	68.50%	-2.14	-15.5	1
2007-04-18	Silute	W 1-0	37.5	1361	1253	59.23%	18.77%	22.00%	+1.28	+6.7	6
2007-04-18	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-1	37.5	1253	1361	22.00%	18.77%	59.23%	-1.28	-6.7	2
2007-04-18	Suduva	D 1-1	62.6	1510	1457	53.02%	19.17%	27.81%	+0.82	-1.5	6
2007-04-18	@ Ekranas	D 1-1	62.6	1457	1510	27.81%	19.17%	53.02%	-0.82	+1.5	7
2007-04-18	Vilnius	L 0-3	33.0	1181	1424	17.16%	18.22%	64.62%	-1.75	-14.6	1
2007-04-18	@ Interas Visaginas	W 3-0	33.0	1424	1181	64.62%	18.22%	17.16%	+1.75	+14.6	6
2007-04-18	Zalgiris	D 1-1	61.2	1473	1456	48.35%	19.34%	32.31%	+0.50	-1.0	5
2007-04-18	@ Vetra	D 1-1	61.2	1456	1473	32.31%	19.34%	48.35%	-0.50	+1.0	8
2007-04-22	Ekranas	W 1-0	51.3	1457	1509	38.67%	19.44%	41.90%	-0.10	+11.6	11
2007-04-22	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	51.3	1509	1457	41.90%	19.44%	38.67%	+0.10	-11.6	6
2007-04-22	FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	66.5	1458	1615	25.39%	19.03%	55.58%	-1.00	+1.9	8
2007-04-22	@ Suduva	D 1-1	66.5	1615	1458	55.58%	19.03%	25.39%	+1.00	-1.9	11
2007-04-22	FK Siauliai	W 2-1	46.1	1439	1368	55.09%	19.06%	25.85%	+0.96	+7.3	9
2007-04-22	@ Vilnius	L 1-2	46.1	1368	1439	25.85%	19.06%	55.09%	-0.96	-7.3	6
2007-04-22	Interas Visaginas	D 0-0	51.1	1376	1166	68.75%	17.61%	13.64%	+2.17	-4.0	2
2007-04-22	@ Atlantas	D 0-0	51.1	1166	1376	13.64%	17.61%	68.75%	-2.17	+4.0	2
2007-04-22	Vetra	L 0-3	34.7	1247	1472	18.63%	18.42%	62.96%	-1.60	-15.8	2
2007-04-22	@ Silute	W 3-0	34.7	1472	1247	62.96%	18.42%	18.63%	+1.60	+15.8	8
2007-04-25	Atlantas	L 1-3	49.1	1360	1372	44.34%	19.42%	36.24%	+0.25	-19.8	6
2007-04-25	@ FK Siauliai	W 3-1	49.1	1372	1360	36.24%	19.42%	44.34%	-0.25	+19.8	5
2007-04-25	Silute	W 4-0	31.4	1446	1231	69.12%	17.54%	13.34%	+2.21	+15.0	12
2007-04-25	@ Vilnius	L 0-4	31.4	1231	1446	13.34%	17.54%	69.12%	-2.21	-15.0	2
2007-04-25	Suduva	L 0-7	30.5	1170	1460	13.77%	17.63%	68.59%	-2.15	-26.2	2
2007-04-25	@ Interas Visaginas	W 7-0	30.5	1460	1170	68.59%	17.63%	13.77%	+2.15	+26.2	11
2007-04-25	Vetra	D 0-0	59.4	1497	1488	47.26%	19.36%	33.38%	+0.43	-0.9	7
2007-04-25	@ Ekranas	D 0-0	59.4	1488	1497	33.38%	19.36%	47.26%	-0.43	+0.9	9
2007-04-25	Zalgiris	D 1-1	67.0	1613	1468	62.98%	18.41%	18.61%	+1.60	-2.8	12
2007-04-25	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	67.0	1468	1613	18.61%	18.41%	62.98%	-1.60	+2.8	12
2007-04-29	Ekranas	L 0-5	31.8	1216	1496	14.40%	17.76%	67.84%	-2.07	-19.9	2
2007-04-29	@ Silute	W 5-0	31.8	1496	1216	67.84%	17.76%	14.40%	+2.07	+19.9	10
2007-04-29	FBK Kaunas	L 0-1	52.4	1489	1610	29.52%	19.24%	51.24%	-0.69	-8.7	9
2007-04-29	@ Vetra	W 1-0	52.4	1610	1489	51.24%	19.24%	29.52%	+0.69	+8.7	15
2007-04-29	FK Siauliai	L 0-2	51.4	1486	1341	63.09%	18.40%	18.51%	+1.61	-31.5	11
2007-04-29	@ Suduva	W 2-0	51.4	1341	1486	18.51%	18.40%	63.09%	-1.61	+31.5	9
2007-04-29	Interas Visaginas	W 3-2	41.7	1471	1144	76.52%	15.77%	7.71%	+3.18	+2.2	15
2007-04-29	@ Zalgiris	L 2-3	41.7	1144	1471	7.71%	15.77%	76.52%	-3.18	-2.2	2
2007-04-29	Vilnius	L 1-2	50.6	1392	1461	36.34%	19.42%	44.24%	-0.24	-9.7	5
2007-04-29	@ Atlantas	W 2-1	50.6	1461	1392	44.24%	19.42%	36.34%	+0.24	+9.7	15
2007-05-05	Ekranas	D 1-1	68.6	1619	1516	58.67%	18.82%	22.51%	+1.24	-2.3	16
2007-05-05	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	68.6	1516	1619	22.51%	18.82%	58.67%	-1.24	+2.3	11
2007-05-05	Silute	L 0-2	48.9	1383	1196	66.80%	17.92%	15.28%	+1.96	-33.3	5
2007-05-05	@ Atlantas	W 2-0	48.9	1196	1383	15.28%	17.92%	66.80%	-1.96	+33.3	5
2007-05-05	Suduva	W 3-1	50.5	1471	1455	48.17%	19.34%	32.49%	+0.49	+15.3	18
2007-05-05	@ Vilnius	L 1-3	50.5	1455	1471	32.49%	19.34%	48.17%	-0.49	-15.3	11
2007-05-05	Vetra	L 0-2	32.1	1142	1480	10.89%	16.93%	72.19%	-2.57	-6.5	2
2007-05-05	@ Interas Visaginas	W 2-0	32.1	1480	1142	72.19%	16.93%	10.89%	+2.57	+6.5	12
2007-05-05	Zalgiris	L 0-1	44.4	1372	1473	31.99%	19.33%	48.68%	-0.52	-9.3	9
2007-05-05	@ FK Siauliai	W 1-0	44.4	1473	1372	48.68%	19.33%	31.99%	+0.52	+9.3	18
2007-05-08	Atlantas	W 1-0	40.4	1439	1349	57.29%	18.92%	23.79%	+1.13	+7.2	14
2007-05-08	@ Suduva	L 0-1	40.4	1349	1439	23.79%	18.92%	57.29%	-1.13	-7.2	5
2007-05-08	FK Siauliai	W 2-1	45.4	1487	1363	60.94%	18.62%	20.44%	+1.42	+5.9	15
2007-05-08	@ Vetra	L 1-2	45.4	1363	1487	20.44%	18.62%	60.94%	-1.42	-5.9	9
2007-05-08	Interas Visaginas	W 6-1	30.8	1518	1135	79.39%	14.77%	5.84%	+3.66	+6.6	14
2007-05-08	@ Ekranas	L 1-6	30.8	1135	1518	5.84%	14.77%	79.39%	-3.66	-6.6	2
2007-05-08	Vilnius	L 1-2	57.1	1483	1486	45.55%	19.40%	35.05%	+0.32	-11.7	18
2007-05-08	@ Zalgiris	W 2-1	57.1	1486	1483	35.05%	19.40%	45.55%	-0.32	+11.7	21
2007-05-09	Silute	W 4-0	31.4	1616	1229	79.57%	14.70%	5.73%	+3.70	+6.3	19
2007-05-09	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-4	31.4	1229	1616	5.73%	14.70%	79.57%	-3.70	-6.3	5
2007-05-12	Atlantas	D 1-1	58.0	1471	1342	61.45%	18.57%	19.98%	+1.47	-2.6	19
2007-05-12	@ Zalgiris	D 1-1	58.0	1342	1471	19.98%	18.57%	61.45%	-1.47	+2.6	6
2007-05-12	Ekranas	L 1-2	47.6	1357	1525	24.14%	18.94%	56.92%	-1.10	-6.9	9
2007-05-12	@ FK Siauliai	W 2-1	47.6	1525	1357	56.92%	18.94%	24.14%	+1.10	+6.9	17
2007-05-12	Interas Visaginas	W 8-0	27.4	1623	1129	83.97%	12.69%	3.34%	+4.62	+6.8	22
2007-05-12	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-8	27.4	1129	1623	3.34%	12.69%	83.97%	-4.62	-6.8	2
2007-05-12	Suduva	L 1-3	40.4	1223	1446	18.82%	18.44%	62.74%	-1.58	-9.5	5
2007-05-12	@ Silute	W 3-1	40.4	1446	1223	62.74%	18.44%	18.82%	+1.58	+9.5	17
2007-05-12	Vilnius	L 1-2	57.9	1493	1498	45.31%	19.40%	35.29%	+0.31	-11.7	15
2007-05-12	@ Vetra	W 2-1	57.9	1498	1493	35.29%	19.40%	45.31%	-0.31	+11.7	24
2007-05-15	FK Siauliai	W 4-0	37.7	1630	1350	73.67%	16.57%	9.76%	+2.77	+11.0	25
2007-05-15	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-4	37.7	1350	1630	9.76%	16.57%	73.67%	-2.77	-11.0	9
2007-05-15	Interas Visaginas	W 3-0	28.9	1481	1122	78.20%	15.21%	6.59%	+3.45	+5.6	18
2007-05-15	@ Vetra	L 0-3	28.9	1122	1481	6.59%	15.21%	78.20%	-3.45	-5.6	2
2007-05-15	Suduva	D 0-0	59.6	1532	1456	55.68%	19.02%	25.29%	+1.01	-2.1	18
2007-05-15	@ Ekranas	D 0-0	59.6	1456	1532	25.29%	19.02%	55.68%	-1.01	+2.1	18
2007-05-19	Ekranas	L 1-2	59.1	1509	1530	43.17%	19.43%	37.40%	+0.18	-11.2	24
2007-05-19	@ Vilnius	W 2-1	59.1	1530	1509	37.40%	19.43%	43.17%	-0.18	+11.2	21
2007-05-19	FBK Kaunas	D 0-0	59.7	1339	1640	13.02%	17.47%	69.50%	-2.25	+4.1	10
2007-05-19	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	59.7	1640	1339	69.50%	17.47%	13.02%	+2.25	-4.1	26
2007-05-19	Silute	W 3-0	41.7	1116	1214	32.53%	19.34%	48.13%	-0.49	+35.7	5
2007-05-19	@ Interas Visaginas	L 0-3	41.7	1214	1116	48.13%	19.34%	32.53%	+0.49	-35.7	5
2007-05-19	Vetra	W 3-1	53.9	1345	1487	27.04%	19.13%	53.83%	-0.87	+23.5	9
2007-05-19	@ Atlantas	L 1-3	53.9	1487	1345	53.83%	19.13%	27.04%	+0.87	-23.5	18
2007-05-19	Zalgiris	D 1-1	61.1	1458	1468	44.59%	19.41%	36.00%	+0.26	-0.5	19
2007-05-19	@ Suduva	D 1-1	61.1	1468	1458	36.00%	19.41%	44.59%	-0.26	+0.5	20
2007-05-26	Atlantas	L 1-2	60.7	1541	1368	65.61%	18.09%	16.30%	+1.84	-16.4	21
2007-05-26	@ Ekranas	W 2-1	60.7	1368	1541	16.30%	18.09%	65.61%	-1.84	+16.4	12
2007-05-26	FK Siauliai	L 1-4	38.7	1152	1343	21.80%	18.75%	59.45%	-1.30	-15.3	5
2007-05-26	@ Interas Visaginas	W 4-1	38.7	1343	1152	59.45%	18.75%	21.80%	+1.30	+15.3	13
2007-05-26	Silute	W 2-0	31.7	1469	1178	74.39%	16.38%	9.22%	+2.87	+5.5	23
2007-05-26	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	31.7	1178	1469	9.22%	16.38%	74.39%	-2.87	-5.5	5
2007-05-26	Suduva	D 0-0	57.0	1463	1458	46.76%	19.38%	33.86%	+0.40	-0.8	19
2007-05-26	@ Vetra	D 0-0	57.0	1458	1463	33.86%	19.38%	46.76%	-0.40	+0.9	20
2007-05-26	Vilnius	W 1-0	50.1	1636	1498	62.37%	18.48%	19.15%	+1.55	+5.9	29
2007-05-26	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-1	50.1	1498	1636	19.15%	18.48%	62.37%	-1.55	-5.9	24
2007-06-09	Ekranas	D 1-1	63.1	1458	1525	36.67%	19.42%	43.91%	-0.22	+0.4	21
2007-06-09	@ Suduva	D 1-1	63.1	1525	1458	43.91%	19.42%	36.67%	+0.22	-0.4	22
2007-06-09	FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	50.1	1385	1642	16.03%	18.05%	65.92%	-1.87	-4.7	12
2007-06-09	@ Atlantas	W 2-1	50.1	1642	1385	65.92%	18.05%	16.03%	+1.87	+4.7	32
2007-06-09	FK Siauliai	W 2-1	52.7	1172	1359	22.29%	18.80%	58.91%	-1.26	+14.8	8
2007-06-09	@ Silute	L 1-2	52.7	1359	1172	58.91%	18.80%	22.29%	+1.26	-14.8	13
2007-06-09	Vetra	W 1-0	47.6	1474	1462	47.64%	19.36%	33.00%	+0.46	+9.5	26
2007-06-09	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	47.6	1462	1474	33.00%	19.36%	47.64%	-0.46	-9.5	19
2007-06-10	Interas Visaginas	W 4-0	28.3	1492	1137	78.03%	15.27%	6.70%	+3.42	+7.4	27
2007-06-10	@ Vilnius	L 0-4	28.3	1137	1492	6.70%	15.27%	78.03%	-3.42	-7.4	5
2007-06-17	Atlantas	W 1-0	41.8	1500	1380	60.52%	18.66%	20.82%	+1.39	+6.4	30
2007-06-17	@ Vilnius	L 0-1	41.8	1380	1500	20.82%	18.66%	60.52%	-1.39	-6.4	12
2007-06-17	Silute	W 6-1	32.1	1524	1187	77.05%	15.60%	7.35%	+3.26	+8.4	25
2007-06-17	@ Ekranas	L 1-6	32.1	1187	1524	7.35%	15.60%	77.05%	-3.26	-8.4	8
2007-06-17	Suduva	L 1-3	46.2	1344	1459	30.26%	19.27%	50.47%	-0.64	-14.5	13
2007-06-17	@ FK Siauliai	W 3-1	46.2	1459	1344	50.47%	19.27%	30.26%	+0.64	+14.5	24
2007-06-17	Vetra	L 1-2	68.0	1647	1453	67.46%	17.82%	14.72%	+2.03	-16.8	32
2007-06-17	@ FBK Kaunas	W 2-1	68.0	1453	1647	14.72%	17.82%	67.46%	-2.03	+16.8	22
2007-06-17	Zalgiris	L 0-2	31.7	1129	1484	10.07%	16.67%	73.26%	-2.71	-6.0	5
2007-06-17	@ Interas Visaginas	W 2-0	31.7	1484	1129	73.26%	16.67%	10.07%	+2.71	+6.0	29
2007-06-20	Ekranas	W 1-0	53.1	1470	1533	37.11%	19.43%	43.46%	-0.19	+11.9	25
2007-06-20	@ Vetra	L 0-1	53.1	1533	1470	43.46%	19.43%	37.11%	+0.19	-11.9	25
2007-06-20	FBK Kaunas	W 1-0	60.2	1490	1630	27.22%	19.14%	53.65%	-0.86	+14.4	32
2007-06-20	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	60.2	1630	1490	53.65%	19.14%	27.22%	+0.86	-14.4	32
2007-06-20	FK Siauliai	D 0-0	51.9	1373	1329	51.82%	19.22%	28.96%	+0.73	-1.5	13
2007-06-20	@ Atlantas	D 0-0	51.9	1329	1373	28.96%	19.22%	51.82%	-0.73	+1.6	14
2007-06-20	Interas Visaginas	W 2-0	30.3	1473	1123	77.74%	15.37%	6.89%	+3.37	+4.0	27
2007-06-20	@ Suduva	L 0-2	30.3	1123	1473	6.89%	15.37%	77.74%	-3.37	-4.0	5
2007-06-20	Vilnius	L 0-2	32.9	1179	1506	11.50%	17.10%	71.41%	-2.48	-6.8	8
2007-06-20	@ Silute	W 2-0	32.9	1506	1179	71.41%	17.10%	11.50%	+2.48	+6.8	33
2007-06-24	Atlantas	D 1-1	54.6	1172	1372	20.95%	18.67%	60.38%	-1.38	+2.5	9
2007-06-24	@ Silute	D 1-1	54.6	1372	1172	60.38%	18.67%	20.95%	+1.38	-2.5	14
2007-06-24	FBK Kaunas	D 2-2	73.5	1521	1616	32.79%	19.35%	47.86%	-0.47	+0.7	26
2007-06-24	@ Ekranas	D 2-2	73.5	1616	1521	47.86%	19.35%	32.79%	+0.47	-0.7	33
2007-06-24	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	58.7	1504	1331	65.66%	18.08%	16.26%	+1.85	-3.2	33
2007-06-24	@ Zalgiris	D 1-1	58.7	1331	1504	16.26%	18.08%	65.66%	-1.85	+3.2	15
2007-06-24	Vilnius	W 1-0	51.5	1477	1513	41.01%	19.44%	39.55%	+0.04	+11.0	30
2007-06-24	@ Suduva	L 0-1	51.5	1513	1477	39.55%	19.44%	41.01%	-0.04	-11.1	33
2007-06-30	Suduva	D 1-1	67.7	1615	1488	61.23%	18.59%	20.17%	+1.45	-2.6	34
2007-06-30	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	67.7	1488	1615	20.17%	18.59%	61.23%	-1.45	+2.6	31
2007-06-30	Zalgiris	W 4-1	52.3	1521	1501	48.74%	19.33%	31.93%	+0.53	+21.4	29
2007-06-30	@ Ekranas	L 1-4	52.3	1501	1521	31.93%	19.33%	48.74%	-0.53	-21.4	33
2007-07-01	Vilnius	W 3-0	48.6	1334	1502	24.17%	18.95%	56.88%	-1.10	+41.5	18
2007-07-01	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-3	48.6	1502	1334	56.88%	18.95%	24.17%	+1.10	-41.5	33
2007-07-08	Ekranas	L 0-4	28.8	1119	1543	7.17%	15.51%	77.32%	-3.31	-8.0	5
2007-07-08	@ Interas Visaginas	W 4-0	28.8	1543	1119	77.32%	15.51%	7.17%	+3.31	+8.0	32
2007-07-08	Silute	W 2-0	31.5	1613	1174	81.82%	13.75%	4.43%	+4.14	+2.5	37
2007-07-08	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-2	31.5	1174	1613	4.43%	13.75%	81.82%	-4.14	-2.5	9
2007-07-08	Suduva	L 0-1	44.0	1369	1491	29.46%	19.24%	51.30%	-0.70	-8.7	14
2007-07-08	@ Atlantas	W 1-0	44.0	1491	1369	51.30%	19.24%	29.46%	+0.70	+8.7	34
2007-07-08	Zalgiris	D 1-1	61.5	1460	1480	43.34%	19.43%	37.23%	+0.19	-0.4	34
2007-07-08	@ Vilnius	D 1-1	61.5	1480	1460	37.23%	19.43%	43.34%	-0.19	+0.4	34
2007-07-11	Interas Visaginas	W 6-1	30.2	1615	1111	84.32%	12.51%	3.17%	+4.70	+3.4	40
2007-07-11	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-6	30.2	1111	1615	3.17%	12.51%	84.32%	-4.70	-3.4	5
2007-07-12	Ekranas	L 0-1	44.2	1376	1551	23.40%	18.89%	57.71%	-1.16	-7.1	18
2007-07-12	@ FK Siauliai	W 1-0	44.2	1551	1376	57.71%	18.89%	23.40%	+1.16	+7.1	35
2007-07-12	Silute	W 3-0	30.0	1500	1172	76.54%	15.76%	7.70%	+3.18	+6.6	37
2007-07-12	@ Suduva	L 0-3	30.0	1172	1500	7.70%	15.76%	76.54%	-3.18	-6.6	9
2007-07-12	Vetra	D 0-0	57.7	1460	1481	43.03%	19.43%	37.54%	+0.17	-0.4	35
2007-07-12	@ Vilnius	D 0-0	57.7	1481	1460	37.54%	19.43%	43.03%	-0.17	+0.4	26
2007-07-12	Zalgiris	L 1-3	47.0	1361	1480	29.75%	19.25%	51.00%	-0.68	-14.2	14
2007-07-12	@ Atlantas	W 3-1	47.0	1480	1361	51.00%	19.25%	29.75%	+0.68	+14.2	37
2007-07-17	Silute	W 3-0	29.9	1482	1165	75.91%	15.96%	8.14%	+3.09	+7.0	29
2007-07-17	@ Vetra	L 0-3	29.9	1165	1482	8.14%	15.96%	75.91%	-3.09	-7.0	9
2007-07-22	Interas Visaginas	W 3-0	35.7	1158	1108	52.61%	19.18%	28.20%	+0.79	+22.8	12
2007-07-22	@ Silute	L 0-3	35.7	1108	1158	28.20%	19.18%	52.61%	-0.79	-22.8	5
2007-07-24	Suduva	W 4-1	52.8	1494	1506	44.35%	19.42%	36.24%	+0.25	+23.8	40
2007-07-24	@ Zalgiris	L 1-4	52.8	1506	1494	36.24%	19.42%	44.35%	-0.25	-23.8	37
2007-07-24	Vilnius	W 3-1	50.8	1558	1460	58.20%	18.85%	22.95%	+1.20	+11.4	38
2007-07-24	@ Ekranas	L 1-3	50.8	1460	1558	22.95%	18.85%	58.20%	-1.20	-11.4	35
2007-07-28	Ekranas	W 5-0	51.4	1347	1569	18.88%	18.45%	62.67%	-1.57	+73.2	17
2007-07-28	@ Atlantas	L 0-5	51.4	1569	1347	62.67%	18.45%	18.88%	+1.57	-73.2	38
2007-07-28	Interas Visaginas	L 0-2	50.1	1368	1085	73.92%	16.51%	9.57%	+2.80	-36.6	18
2007-07-28	@ FK Siauliai	W 2-0	50.1	1085	1368	9.57%	16.51%	73.92%	-2.80	+36.6	8
2007-07-28	Zalgiris	D 0-0	52.6	1181	1518	10.98%	16.95%	72.07%	-2.56	+4.5	13
2007-07-28	@ Silute	D 0-0	52.6	1518	1181	72.07%	16.95%	10.98%	+2.56	-4.5	41
2007-07-29	FBK Kaunas	L 0-2	48.0	1448	1618	23.92%	18.93%	57.15%	-1.12	-13.6	35
2007-07-29	@ Vilnius	W 2-0	48.0	1618	1448	57.15%	18.93%	23.92%	+1.12	+13.6	43
2007-08-02	Vetra	W 2-1	55.4	1332	1489	25.34%	19.03%	55.63%	-1.00	+14.0	21
2007-08-02	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-2	55.4	1489	1332	55.63%	19.03%	25.34%	+1.00	-14.0	29
2007-08-05	Atlantas	L 0-2	42.1	1346	1420	35.61%	19.41%	44.98%	-0.29	-19.1	21
2007-08-05	@ FK Siauliai	W 2-0	42.1	1420	1346	44.98%	19.41%	35.61%	+0.29	+19.1	20
2007-08-05	Silute	W 2-0	32.3	1435	1186	71.63%	17.05%	11.32%	+2.50	+6.7	38
2007-08-05	@ Vilnius	L 0-2	32.3	1186	1435	11.32%	17.05%	71.63%	-2.50	-6.7	13
2007-08-05	Zalgiris	D 1-1	69.0	1632	1513	60.40%	18.67%	20.93%	+1.38	-2.5	44
2007-08-05	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	69.0	1513	1632	20.93%	18.67%	60.40%	-1.38	+2.5	42
2007-08-07	Suduva	L 2-3	42.5	1122	1482	9.77%	16.57%	73.66%	-2.76	-2.8	8
2007-08-07	@ Interas Visaginas	W 3-2	42.5	1482	1122	73.66%	16.57%	9.77%	+2.76	+2.8	40
2007-08-07	Vetra	W 2-1	53.1	1496	1475	48.85%	19.32%	31.83%	+0.53	+8.7	41
2007-08-07	@ Ekranas	L 1-2	53.1	1475	1496	31.83%	19.32%	48.85%	-0.53	-8.7	29
2007-08-11	Ekranas	W 4-1	52.6	1516	1505	47.54%	19.36%	33.10%	+0.45	+22.1	45
2007-08-11	@ Zalgiris	L 1-4	52.6	1505	1516	33.10%	19.36%	47.54%	-0.45	-22.0	41
2007-08-11	FBK Kaunas	L 0-4	48.3	1485	1630	26.75%	19.11%	54.14%	-0.90	-28.5	40
2007-08-11	@ Suduva	W 4-0	48.3	1630	1485	54.14%	19.11%	26.75%	+0.90	+28.5	47
2007-08-12	FK Siauliai	L 2-4	58.3	1441	1327	59.99%	18.71%	21.31%	+1.34	-23.3	38
2007-08-12	@ Vilnius	W 4-2	58.3	1327	1441	21.31%	18.71%	59.99%	-1.34	+23.3	24
2007-08-12	Interas Visaginas	W 3-0	29.2	1439	1119	76.11%	15.90%	8.00%	+3.12	+6.8	23
2007-08-12	@ Atlantas	L 0-3	29.2	1119	1439	8.00%	15.90%	76.11%	-3.12	-6.9	8
2007-08-12	Vetra	W 3-0	48.5	1179	1466	13.95%	17.67%	68.38%	-2.13	+49.5	16
2007-08-12	@ Silute	L 0-3	48.5	1466	1179	68.38%	17.67%	13.95%	+2.13	-49.5	29
2007-08-18	Silute	W 2-1	41.4	1350	1228	60.69%	18.65%	20.67%	+1.40	+6.0	27
2007-08-18	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-2	41.4	1228	1350	20.67%	18.65%	60.69%	-1.40	-6.0	16
2007-08-18	Vilnius	L 0-5	29.7	1112	1418	12.74%	17.41%	69.86%	-2.29	-17.6	8
2007-08-18	@ Interas Visaginas	W 5-0	29.7	1418	1112	69.86%	17.41%	12.74%	+2.29	+17.7	41
2007-08-18	Zalgiris	W 2-1	58.3	1417	1538	29.47%	19.24%	51.29%	-0.70	+13.0	32
2007-08-18	@ Vetra	L 1-2	58.3	1538	1417	51.29%	19.24%	29.47%	+0.70	-13.0	45
2007-08-19	Atlantas	W 2-1	51.9	1658	1446	68.92%	17.58%	13.51%	+2.19	+4.0	50
2007-08-19	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	51.9	1446	1658	13.51%	17.58%	68.92%	-2.19	-4.0	23
2007-08-24	FK Siauliai	W 3-0	37.8	1457	1356	58.49%	18.83%	22.68%	+1.22	+18.9	43
2007-08-24	@ Suduva	L 0-3	37.8	1356	1457	22.68%	18.83%	58.49%	-1.22	-18.9	27
2007-08-25	Ekranas	L 0-3	33.5	1223	1483	15.86%	18.02%	66.12%	-1.89	-13.5	16
2007-08-25	@ Silute	W 3-0	33.5	1483	1223	66.12%	18.02%	15.86%	+1.89	+13.5	44
2007-08-25	FBK Kaunas	L 0-1	48.4	1430	1662	18.04%	18.34%	63.62%	-1.66	-5.6	32
2007-08-25	@ Vetra	W 1-0	48.4	1662	1430	63.62%	18.34%	18.04%	+1.66	+5.6	53
2007-08-25	Interas Visaginas	W 7-0	26.5	1525	1094	81.51%	13.89%	4.60%	+4.07	+8.5	48
2007-08-25	@ Zalgiris	L 0-7	26.5	1094	1525	4.60%	13.89%	81.51%	-4.07	-8.5	8
2007-08-25	Vilnius	W 1-0	45.9	1442	1436	46.82%	19.37%	33.81%	+0.40	+9.7	26
2007-08-25	@ Atlantas	L 0-1	45.9	1436	1442	33.81%	19.37%	46.82%	-0.40	-9.7	41
2007-09-01	Silute	W 2-0	32.7	1451	1209	71.17%	17.14%	11.68%	+2.45	+6.9	29
2007-09-01	@ Atlantas	L 0-2	32.7	1209	1451	11.68%	17.14%	71.17%	-2.45	-6.9	16
2007-09-01	Vetra	L 0-7	28.7	1086	1424	10.91%	16.93%	72.16%	-2.57	-20.8	8
2007-09-01	@ Interas Visaginas	W 7-0	28.7	1424	1086	72.16%	16.93%	10.91%	+2.57	+20.8	35
2007-09-01	Zalgiris	D 0-0	55.6	1337	1533	21.28%	18.71%	60.02%	-1.35	+2.7	28
2007-09-01	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	55.6	1533	1337	60.02%	18.71%	21.28%	+1.35	-2.7	49
2007-09-02	Ekranas	W 2-1	54.7	1668	1496	65.50%	18.10%	16.39%	+1.83	+4.8	56
2007-09-02	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	54.7	1496	1668	16.39%	18.10%	65.50%	-1.83	-4.8	44
2007-09-02	Suduva	L 0-3	45.4	1426	1476	39.03%	19.44%	41.53%	-0.08	-30.0	41
2007-09-02	@ Vilnius	W 3-0	45.4	1476	1426	41.53%	19.44%	39.03%	+0.08	+30.0	46
2007-09-15	Atlantas	W 1-0	47.2	1505	1458	52.18%	19.20%	28.61%	+0.76	+8.4	49
2007-09-15	@ Suduva	L 0-1	47.2	1458	1505	28.61%	19.20%	52.18%	-0.76	-8.4	29
2007-09-15	FBK Kaunas	L 2-5	40.9	1202	1673	5.67%	14.66%	79.67%	-3.71	-3.5	16
2007-09-15	@ Silute	W 5-2	40.9	1673	1202	79.67%	14.66%	5.67%	+3.71	+3.5	59
2007-09-15	FK Siauliai	W 1-0	39.8	1445	1340	58.95%	18.80%	22.25%	+1.26	+6.8	38
2007-09-15	@ Vetra	L 0-1	39.8	1340	1445	22.25%	18.80%	58.95%	-1.26	-6.8	28
2007-09-15	Interas Visaginas	W 10-0	26.3	1491	1065	81.32%	13.97%	4.70%	+4.03	+12.2	47
2007-09-15	@ Ekranas	L 0-10	26.3	1065	1491	4.70%	13.97%	81.32%	-4.03	-12.2	8
2007-09-15	Vilnius	W 3-1	46.4	1531	1396	62.03%	18.52%	19.46%	+1.52	+9.8	52
2007-09-15	@ Zalgiris	L 1-3	46.4	1396	1531	19.46%	18.52%	62.03%	-1.52	-9.8	41
2007-09-18	Atlantas	W 3-0	43.8	1541	1450	57.36%	18.91%	23.73%	+1.13	+19.6	55
2007-09-18	@ Zalgiris	L 0-3	43.8	1450	1541	23.73%	18.91%	57.36%	-1.13	-19.6	29
2007-09-18	Interas Visaginas	W 3-0	27.3	1676	1053	87.99%	10.30%	1.71%	+5.73	+1.3	62
2007-09-18	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-3	27.3	1053	1676	1.71%	10.30%	87.99%	-5.73	-1.3	8
2007-09-18	Suduva	L 2-4	42.6	1199	1514	12.18%	17.27%	70.55%	-2.37	-5.6	16
2007-09-18	@ Silute	W 4-2	42.6	1514	1199	70.55%	17.27%	12.18%	+2.37	+5.6	52
2007-09-18	Vilnius	W 5-1	42.8	1452	1386	54.41%	19.10%	26.49%	+0.92	+23.6	41
2007-09-18	@ Vetra	L 1-5	42.8	1386	1452	26.49%	19.10%	54.41%	-0.92	-23.5	41
2007-09-22	Ekranas	L 1-2	48.1	1363	1503	27.18%	19.13%	53.69%	-0.86	-7.6	41
2007-09-22	@ Vilnius	W 2-1	48.1	1503	1363	53.69%	19.13%	27.18%	+0.86	+7.6	50
2007-09-22	FBK Kaunas	L 1-3	46.2	1333	1677	10.58%	16.83%	72.59%	-2.62	-5.4	28
2007-09-22	@ FK Siauliai	W 3-1	46.2	1677	1333	72.59%	16.83%	10.58%	+2.62	+5.4	65
2007-09-22	Interas Visaginas	W 2-0	33.9	1193	1052	62.68%	18.45%	18.87%	+1.57	+11.0	19
2007-09-22	@ Silute	L 0-2	33.9	1052	1193	18.87%	18.45%	62.68%	-1.57	-11.0	8
2007-09-22	Vetra	L 1-2	53.2	1430	1475	39.69%	19.44%	40.87%	-0.04	-10.5	29
2007-09-22	@ Atlantas	W 2-1	53.2	1475	1430	40.87%	19.44%	39.69%	+0.04	+10.4	44
2007-09-22	Zalgiris	W 1-0	55.0	1520	1560	40.29%	19.44%	40.27%	+0.00	+11.2	55
2007-09-22	@ Suduva	L 0-1	55.0	1560	1520	40.27%	19.44%	40.29%	+0.00	-11.2	55
2007-09-26	Atlantas	L 0-6	27.8	1041	1420	8.92%	16.27%	74.81%	-2.92	-14.7	8
2007-09-26	@ Interas Visaginas	W 6-0	27.8	1420	1041	74.81%	16.27%	8.92%	+2.92	+14.7	32
2007-09-26	Vetra	D 1-1	64.4	1531	1486	51.94%	19.21%	28.85%	+0.74	-1.4	56
2007-09-26	@ Suduva	D 1-1	64.4	1486	1531	28.85%	19.21%	51.94%	-0.74	+1.4	45
2007-09-30	Atlantas	W 3-1	48.9	1511	1435	55.75%	19.02%	25.23%	+1.01	+12.4	53
2007-09-30	@ Ekranas	L 1-3	48.9	1435	1511	25.23%	19.02%	55.75%	-1.01	-12.4	32
2007-09-30	FK Siauliai	L 0-7	29.2	1026	1328	13.02%	17.47%	69.51%	-2.25	-24.8	8
2007-09-30	@ Interas Visaginas	W 7-0	29.2	1328	1026	69.51%	17.47%	13.02%	+2.25	+24.8	31
2007-09-30	Silute	W 3-0	30.8	1549	1204	77.48%	15.46%	7.06%	+3.33	+6.0	58
2007-09-30	@ Zalgiris	L 0-3	30.8	1204	1549	7.06%	15.46%	77.48%	-3.33	-6.0	19
2007-09-30	Suduva	L 0-1	52.7	1487	1529	40.05%	19.44%	40.51%	-0.01	-11.2	45
2007-09-30	@ Vetra	W 1-0	52.7	1529	1487	40.51%	19.44%	40.05%	+0.01	+11.2	59
2007-09-30	Vilnius	W 6-0	38.4	1683	1355	76.54%	15.76%	7.70%	+3.18	+12.6	68
2007-09-30	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-6	38.4	1355	1683	7.70%	15.76%	76.54%	-3.18	-12.6	41
2007-10-03	Ekranas	L 0-3	39.8	1352	1523	23.82%	18.92%	57.26%	-1.13	-19.7	31
2007-10-03	@ FK Siauliai	W 3-0	39.8	1523	1352	57.26%	18.92%	23.82%	+1.13	+19.7	56
2007-10-06	Ekranas	W 2-1	58.2	1540	1543	45.64%	19.40%	34.97%	+0.33	+9.4	62
2007-10-06	@ Suduva	L 1-2	58.2	1543	1540	34.97%	19.40%	45.64%	-0.33	-9.4	56
2007-10-06	FBK Kaunas	L 0-2	46.6	1422	1695	14.90%	17.85%	67.24%	-2.01	-8.8	32
2007-10-06	@ Atlantas	W 2-0	46.6	1695	1422	67.24%	17.85%	14.90%	+2.01	+8.8	71
2007-10-06	FK Siauliai	L 1-2	43.5	1198	1333	27.88%	19.17%	52.95%	-0.81	-7.8	19
2007-10-06	@ Silute	W 2-1	43.5	1333	1198	52.95%	19.17%	27.88%	+0.81	+7.8	34
2007-10-06	Interas Visaginas	W 9-0	26.9	1343	1001	77.28%	15.52%	7.19%	+3.30	+17.3	44
2007-10-06	@ Vilnius	L 0-9	26.9	1001	1343	7.19%	15.52%	77.28%	-3.30	-17.3	8
2007-10-06	Vetra	L 0-2	56.3	1555	1476	56.05%	19.00%	24.95%	+1.04	-28.2	58
2007-10-06	@ Zalgiris	W 2-0	56.3	1476	1555	24.95%	19.00%	56.05%	-1.04	+28.2	48
2007-10-09	Atlantas	L 0-7	26.8	984	1413	6.96%	15.41%	77.63%	-3.36	-13.1	8
2007-10-09	@ Interas Visaginas	W 7-0	26.8	1413	984	77.63%	15.41%	6.96%	+3.36	+13.1	35
2007-10-21	Silute	W 3-1	36.7	1504	1190	75.76%	16.00%	8.24%	+3.06	+4.2	51
2007-10-21	@ Vetra	L 1-3	36.7	1190	1504	8.24%	16.00%	75.76%	-3.06	-4.2	19
2007-10-21	Suduva	W 2-1	57.1	1704	1550	63.92%	18.31%	17.78%	+1.68	+5.2	74
2007-10-21	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	57.1	1550	1704	17.78%	18.31%	63.92%	-1.68	-5.2	62
2007-10-21	Vilnius	D 1-1	55.7	1340	1360	43.31%	19.43%	37.26%	+0.18	-0.4	35
2007-10-21	@ FK Siauliai	D 1-1	55.7	1360	1340	37.26%	19.43%	43.31%	-0.18	+0.4	45
2007-10-21	Zalgiris	W 2-0	50.8	1534	1527	46.95%	19.37%	33.68%	+0.41	+18.3	59
2007-10-21	@ Ekranas	L 0-2	50.8	1527	1534	33.68%	19.37%	46.95%	-0.41	-18.3	58
2007-10-24	Atlantas	W 3-1	48.3	1508	1426	56.35%	18.98%	24.67%	+1.06	+12.1	54
2007-10-24	@ Vetra	L 1-3	48.3	1426	1508	24.67%	18.98%	56.35%	-1.06	-12.1	35
2007-10-27	Ekranas	D 1-1	66.4	1520	1552	41.57%	19.44%	38.99%	+0.08	-0.1	55
2007-10-27	@ Vetra	D 1-1	66.4	1552	1520	38.99%	19.44%	41.57%	-0.08	+0.2	60
2007-10-27	FBK Kaunas	L 0-5	48.7	1509	1709	20.86%	18.67%	60.47%	-1.38	-28.2	58
2007-10-27	@ Zalgiris	W 5-0	48.7	1709	1509	60.47%	18.67%	20.86%	+1.38	+28.2	77
2007-10-27	FK Siauliai	D 0-0	52.8	1414	1340	55.49%	19.04%	25.48%	+0.99	-2.1	36
2007-10-27	@ Atlantas	D 0-0	52.8	1340	1414	25.48%	19.04%	55.49%	-0.99	+2.1	36
2007-10-27	Vilnius	W 1-0	47.8	1186	1360	23.50%	18.90%	57.61%	-1.15	+15.3	22
2007-10-27	@ Silute	L 0-1	47.8	1360	1186	57.61%	18.90%	23.50%	+1.15	-15.3	45
2007-10-30	Atlantas	L 1-4	45.7	1345	1412	36.51%	19.42%	44.07%	-0.23	-23.9	45
2007-10-30	@ Vilnius	W 4-1	45.7	1412	1345	44.07%	19.42%	36.51%	+0.23	+23.9	39
2007-10-30	Silute	W 5-0	29.5	1552	1201	77.79%	15.35%	6.86%	+3.38	+9.4	63
2007-10-30	@ Ekranas	L 0-5	29.5	1201	1552	6.86%	15.35%	77.79%	-3.38	-9.4	22
2007-10-30	Suduva	W 2-1	58.6	1342	1545	20.70%	18.65%	60.66%	-1.40	+15.2	39
2007-10-30	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-2	58.6	1545	1342	60.66%	18.65%	20.70%	+1.40	-15.2	62
2007-10-30	Vetra	L 0-1	67.7	1737	1520	69.30%	17.51%	13.19%	+2.23	-18.3	77
2007-10-30	@ FBK Kaunas	W 1-0	67.7	1520	1737	13.19%	17.51%	69.30%	-2.23	+18.3	58
2007-10-30	Zalgiris	L 0-6	25.8	971	1480	4.66%	13.94%	81.40%	-4.05	-7.4	8
2007-10-30	@ Interas Visaginas	W 6-0	25.8	1480	971	81.40%	13.94%	4.66%	+4.05	+7.4	61
2007-11-04	Atlantas	L 2-3	45.3	1192	1436	17.07%	18.21%	64.72%	-1.76	-4.8	22
2007-11-04	@ Silute	W 3-2	45.3	1436	1192	64.72%	18.21%	17.07%	+1.76	+4.7	42
2007-11-04	FBK Kaunas	L 1-3	58.8	1562	1719	25.27%	19.02%	55.71%	-1.01	-12.4	63
2007-11-04	@ Ekranas	W 3-1	58.8	1719	1562	55.71%	19.02%	25.27%	+1.01	+12.4	80
2007-11-04	FK Siauliai	L 1-2	57.7	1488	1357	61.61%	18.56%	19.83%	+1.48	-15.4	61
2007-11-04	@ Zalgiris	W 2-1	57.7	1357	1488	19.83%	18.56%	61.61%	-1.48	+15.4	42
2007-11-04	Interas Visaginas	W 3-0	25.8	1538	963	86.63%	11.17%	2.20%	+5.32	+1.7	61
2007-11-04	@ Vetra	L 0-3	25.8	963	1538	2.20%	11.17%	86.63%	-5.32	-1.7	8
2007-11-04	Vilnius	W 7-1	36.4	1530	1321	68.62%	17.63%	13.75%	+2.15	+18.6	65
2007-11-04	@ Suduva	L 1-7	36.4	1321	1530	13.75%	17.63%	68.62%	-2.15	-18.6	45
2007-11-07	Interas Visaginas	W 5-0	24.5	1548	962	86.97%	10.96%	2.07%	+5.42	+2.6	68
2007-11-07	@ Suduva	L 0-5	24.5	962	1548	2.07%	10.96%	86.97%	-5.42	-2.6	8
2007-11-10	Ekranas	L 0-6	25.1	959	1549	3.09%	12.42%	84.49%	-4.75	-4.8	8
2007-11-10	@ Interas Visaginas	W 6-0	25.1	1549	959	84.49%	12.42%	3.09%	+4.75	+4.8	66
2007-11-10	FBK Kaunas	L 1-4	38.3	1187	1732	3.90%	13.28%	82.82%	-4.35	-2.7	22
2007-11-10	@ Silute	W 4-1	38.3	1732	1187	82.82%	13.28%	3.90%	+4.35	+2.7	83
2007-11-10	Suduva	W 1-0	54.6	1441	1551	30.91%	19.29%	49.80%	-0.60	+13.4	45
2007-11-10	@ Atlantas	L 0-1	54.6	1551	1441	49.80%	19.29%	30.91%	+0.60	-13.4	68
2007-11-10	Vetra	W 2-1	58.4	1373	1540	24.21%	18.95%	56.84%	-1.10	+14.3	45
2007-11-10	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-2	58.4	1540	1373	56.84%	18.95%	24.21%	+1.10	-14.3	61
2007-11-10	Zalgiris	L 0-6	35.9	1302	1472	23.93%	18.93%	57.14%	-1.12	-37.8	45
2007-11-10	@ Vilnius	W 6-0	35.9	1472	1302	57.14%	18.93%	23.93%	+1.12	+37.8	64

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2007-07-28	9.57%	Interas Visaginas	1085	2	@ FK Siauliai	1368	0
2	2007-10-30	13.19%	Vetra	1520	1	@ FBK Kaunas	1737	0
3	2007-08-12	13.95%	@ Silute	1179	3	Vetra	1466	0
4	2007-06-17	14.72%	Vetra	1453	2	@ FBK Kaunas	1647	1
5	2007-05-05	15.28%	Silute	1196	2	@ Atlantas	1383	0
6	2007-05-26	16.30%	Atlantas	1368	2	@ Ekranas	1541	1
7	2007-04-29	18.51%	FK Siauliai	1341	2	@ Suduva	1486	0
8	2007-07-28	18.88%	@ Atlantas	1347	5	Ekranas	1569	0
9	2007-11-04	19.83%	FK Siauliai	1357	2	@ Zalgiris	1488	1
10	2007-10-30	20.70%	@ FK Siauliai	1342	2	Suduva	1545	1
11	2007-08-12	21.31%	FK Siauliai	1327	4	@ Vilnius	1441	2
12	2007-06-09	22.29%	@ Silute	1172	2	FK Siauliai	1359	1
13	2007-10-27	23.50%	@ Silute	1186	1	Vilnius	1360	0
14	2007-07-01	24.17%	@ FK Siauliai	1334	3	Vilnius	1502	0
15	2007-11-10	24.21%	@ FK Siauliai	1373	2	Vetra	1540	1
16	2007-10-06	24.95%	Vetra	1476	2	@ Zalgiris	1555	0
17	2007-08-02	25.34%	@ FK Siauliai	1332	2	Vetra	1489	1
18	2007-05-19	27.04%	@ Atlantas	1345	3	Vetra	1487	1
19	2007-06-20	27.22%	@ Zalgiris	1490	1	FBK Kaunas	1630	0
20	2007-08-18	29.47%	@ Vetra	1417	2	Zalgiris	1538	1
21	2007-11-10	30.91%	@ Atlantas	1441	1	Suduva	1551	0
22	2007-05-19	32.53%	@ Interas Visaginas	1116	3	Silute	1214	0
23	2007-05-08	35.05%	Vilnius	1486	2	@ Zalgiris	1483	1
24	2007-05-12	35.29%	Vilnius	1498	2	@ Vetra	1493	1
25	2007-04-25	36.24%	Atlantas	1372	3	@ FK Siauliai	1360	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-07-28	73.24	@ Atlantas	5	1347	18.88%	Ekranas	0	1569	62.67%	18.45%
2	2007-08-12	49.47	@ Silute	3	1179	13.95%	Vetra	0	1466	68.38%	17.67%
3	2007-07-01	41.49	@ FK Siauliai	3	1334	24.17%	Vilnius	0	1502	56.88%	18.95%
4	2007-11-10	37.84	Zalgiris	6	1472	57.14%	@ Vilnius	0	1302	23.93%	18.93%
5	2007-07-28	36.64	Interas Visaginas	2	1085	9.57%	@ FK Siauliai	0	1368	73.92%	16.51%
6	2007-05-19	35.67	@ Interas Visaginas	3	1116	32.53%	Silute	0	1214	48.13%	19.34%
7	2007-05-05	33.31	Silute	2	1196	15.28%	@ Atlantas	0	1383	66.80%	17.92%
8	2007-04-29	31.52	FK Siauliai	2	1341	18.51%	@ Suduva	0	1486	63.09%	18.40%
9	2007-09-02	29.95	Suduva	3	1476	41.53%	@ Vilnius	0	1426	39.03%	19.44%
10	2007-08-11	28.50	FBK Kaunas	4	1630	54.14%	@ Suduva	0	1485	26.75%	19.11%
11	2007-10-06	28.18	Vetra	2	1476	24.95%	@ Zalgiris	0	1555	56.05%	19.00%
12	2007-10-27	28.16	FBK Kaunas	5	1709	60.47%	@ Zalgiris	0	1509	20.86%	18.67%
13	2007-04-25	26.19	Suduva	7	1460	68.59%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1170	13.77%	17.63%
14	2007-09-30	24.79	FK Siauliai	7	1328	69.51%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1026	13.02%	17.47%
15	2007-10-30	23.92	Atlantas	4	1412	44.07%	@ Vilnius	1	1345	36.51%	19.42%
16	2007-07-24	23.78	@ Zalgiris	4	1494	44.35%	Suduva	1	1506	36.24%	19.42%
17	2007-09-18	23.55	@ Vetra	5	1452	54.41%	Vilnius	1	1386	26.49%	19.10%
18	2007-05-19	23.51	@ Atlantas	3	1345	27.04%	Vetra	1	1487	53.83%	19.13%
19	2007-08-12	23.27	FK Siauliai	4	1327	21.31%	@ Vilnius	2	1441	59.99%	18.71%
20	2007-07-22	22.84	@ Silute	3	1158	52.61%	Interas Visaginas	0	1108	28.20%	19.18%
21	2007-08-11	22.06	@ Zalgiris	4	1516	47.54%	Ekranas	1	1505	33.10%	19.36%
22	2007-06-30	21.40	@ Ekranas	4	1521	48.74%	Zalgiris	1	1501	31.93%	19.33%
23	2007-09-01	20.81	Vetra	7	1424	72.16%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1086	10.91%	16.93%
24	2007-04-29	19.90	Ekranas	5	1496	67.84%	@ Silute	0	1216	14.40%	17.76%
25	2007-04-25	19.83	Atlantas	3	1372	36.24%	@ FK Siauliai	1	1360	44.34%	19.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-06-24	73.5	@ Ekranas	2	1521	32.79%	FBK Kaunas	2	1616	47.86%	19.35%
2	2007-04-15	69.8	@ Vilnius	2	1422	23.08%	FBK Kaunas	2	1601	58.06%	18.86%
3	2007-08-05	69.0	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1632	60.40%	Zalgiris	1	1513	20.93%	18.67%
4	2007-05-05	68.6	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1619	58.67%	Ekranas	1	1516	22.51%	18.82%
5	2007-06-17	68.0	Vetra	2	1453	14.72%	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1647	67.46%	17.82%
6	2007-06-30	67.7	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1615	61.23%	Suduva	1	1488	20.17%	18.59%
7	2007-10-30	67.7	Vetra	1	1520	13.19%	@ FBK Kaunas	0	1737	69.30%	17.51%
8	2007-04-25	67.0	@ FBK Kaunas	1	1613	62.98%	Zalgiris	1	1468	18.61%	18.41%
9	2007-04-22	66.5	@ Suduva	1	1458	25.39%	FBK Kaunas	1	1615	55.58%	19.03%
10	2007-10-27	66.4	@ Vetra	1	1520	41.57%	Ekranas	1	1552	38.99%	19.44%
11	2007-09-26	64.4	@ Suduva	1	1531	51.94%	Vetra	1	1486	28.85%	19.21%
12	2007-06-09	63.1	@ Suduva	1	1458	36.67%	Ekranas	1	1525	43.91%	19.42%
13	2007-04-18	62.6	@ Ekranas	1	1510	53.02%	Suduva	1	1457	27.81%	19.17%
14	2007-07-08	61.5	@ Vilnius	1	1460	43.34%	Zalgiris	1	1480	37.23%	19.43%
15	2007-04-18	61.2	@ Vetra	1	1473	48.35%	Zalgiris	1	1456	32.31%	19.34%
16	2007-05-19	61.1	@ Suduva	1	1458	44.59%	Zalgiris	1	1468	36.00%	19.41%
17	2007-05-26	60.7	Atlantas	2	1368	16.30%	@ Ekranas	1	1541	65.61%	18.09%
18	2007-04-15	60.3	@ Atlantas	1	1391	29.52%	Ekranas	1	1512	51.24%	19.24%
19	2007-06-20	60.2	@ Zalgiris	1	1490	27.22%	FBK Kaunas	0	1630	53.65%	19.14%
20	2007-05-19	59.7	@ FK Siauliai	0	1339	13.02%	FBK Kaunas	0	1640	69.50%	17.47%
21	2007-05-15	59.6	@ Ekranas	0	1532	55.68%	Suduva	0	1456	25.29%	19.02%
22	2007-04-25	59.4	@ Ekranas	0	1497	47.26%	Vetra	0	1488	33.38%	19.36%
23	2007-05-19	59.1	Ekranas	2	1530	37.40%	@ Vilnius	1	1509	43.17%	19.43%
24	2007-11-04	58.8	FBK Kaunas	3	1719	55.71%	@ Ekranas	1	1562	25.27%	19.02%
25	2007-06-24	58.7	@ Zalgiris	1	1504	65.66%	FK Siauliai	1	1331	16.26%	18.08%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-11-07	24.5	@ Suduva	5	1548	86.97%	Interas Visaginas	0	962	2.07%	10.96%
2	2007-11-10	25.1	Ekranas	6	1549	84.49%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	959	3.09%	12.42%
3	2007-10-30	25.8	Zalgiris	6	1480	81.40%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	971	4.66%	13.94%
4	2007-11-04	25.8	@ Vetra	3	1538	86.63%	Interas Visaginas	0	963	2.20%	11.17%
5	2007-09-15	26.3	@ Ekranas	10	1491	81.32%	Interas Visaginas	0	1065	4.70%	13.97%
6	2007-08-25	26.5	@ Zalgiris	7	1525	81.51%	Interas Visaginas	0	1094	4.60%	13.89%
7	2007-10-09	26.8	Atlantas	7	1413	77.63%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	984	6.96%	15.41%
8	2007-10-06	26.9	@ Vilnius	9	1343	77.28%	Interas Visaginas	0	1001	7.19%	15.52%
9	2007-09-18	27.3	@ FBK Kaunas	3	1676	87.99%	Interas Visaginas	0	1053	1.71%	10.30%
10	2007-05-12	27.4	@ FBK Kaunas	8	1623	83.97%	Interas Visaginas	0	1129	3.34%	12.69%
11	2007-09-26	27.8	Atlantas	6	1420	74.81%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1041	8.92%	16.27%
12	2007-06-10	28.3	@ Vilnius	4	1492	78.03%	Interas Visaginas	0	1137	6.70%	15.27%
13	2007-09-01	28.7	Vetra	7	1424	72.16%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1086	10.91%	16.93%
14	2007-07-08	28.8	Ekranas	4	1543	77.32%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1119	7.17%	15.51%
15	2007-05-15	28.9	@ Vetra	3	1481	78.20%	Interas Visaginas	0	1122	6.59%	15.21%
16	2007-08-12	29.2	@ Atlantas	3	1439	76.11%	Interas Visaginas	0	1119	8.00%	15.90%
17	2007-09-30	29.2	FK Siauliai	7	1328	69.51%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1026	13.02%	17.47%
18	2007-10-30	29.5	@ Ekranas	5	1552	77.79%	Silute	0	1201	6.86%	15.35%
19	2007-08-18	29.7	Vilnius	5	1418	69.86%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1112	12.74%	17.41%
20	2007-07-17	29.9	@ Vetra	3	1482	75.91%	Silute	0	1165	8.14%	15.96%
21	2007-07-12	30.0	@ Suduva	3	1500	76.54%	Silute	0	1172	7.70%	15.76%
22	2007-07-11	30.2	@ FBK Kaunas	6	1615	84.32%	Interas Visaginas	1	1111	3.17%	12.51%
23	2007-06-20	30.3	@ Suduva	2	1473	77.74%	Interas Visaginas	0	1123	6.89%	15.37%
24	2007-04-25	30.5	Suduva	7	1460	68.59%	@ Interas Visaginas	0	1170	13.77%	17.63%
25	2007-05-08	30.8	@ Ekranas	6	1518	79.39%	Interas Visaginas	1	1135	5.84%	14.77%