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2010 A Lyga Season

135 games

Final

Champion

Ekranas

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

VMFD Zalgiris

9.38 points above expected

55 points · 45.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mazeikiai

12.76 points below expected

12 points · 24.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ekranas 27 20 3 4 63 64 19 +45 62.47 +0.53
2 Suduva 27 16 8 3 56 56 16 +40 57.40 -1.40
3 VMFD Zalgiris 26 16 7 3 55 47 16 +31 45.62 +9.38
4 Tauras Taurage 28 15 5 8 50 42 27 +15 45.85 +4.15
5 FK Siauliai 27 11 8 8 41 35 26 +9 39.95 +1.05
6 Banga Gargzdai 27 10 9 8 39 34 30 +4 33.13 +5.87
7 Kruoja Pakruojis 27 8 10 9 34 39 44 -5 27.89 +6.11
8 FK Klaipeda 27 3 6 18 15 19 74 -55 20.51 -5.51
9 Mazeikiai 27 2 6 19 12 17 59 -42 24.76 -12.76
10 Atletas Kaunas* 27 0 6 21 0 14 56 -42 9.24 -9.24

* Point deductions: Atletas Kaunas (-6 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 VMFD Zalgiris 55 45.62 +9.38
2 Kruoja Pakruojis 34 27.89 +6.11
3 Banga Gargzdai 39 33.13 +5.87
4 Tauras Taurage 50 45.85 +4.15
5 FK Siauliai 41 39.95 +1.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mazeikiai 12 24.76 -12.76
2 Atletas Kaunas 0 9.24 -9.24
3 FK Klaipeda 15 20.51 -5.51
4 Suduva 56 57.40 -1.40
5 Ekranas 63 62.47 +0.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VMFD Zalgiris 7 Apr 25 – Jun 6 1 in 149
2 Kruoja Pakruojis 2 Apr 18 – Apr 25 1 in 20
3 Banga Gargzdai 2 Jun 4 – Jun 11 1 in 20
4 Ekranas 8 Jun 5 – Aug 8 1 in 16
5 FK Siauliai 3 Aug 15 – Aug 22 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Suduva 2 Oct 3 – Oct 17 1 in 56
2 Tauras Taurage 2 May 29 – Jun 4 1 in 18
3 Atletas Kaunas 6 Mar 21 – May 2 1 in 17
4 Ekranas 1 May 1 – May 1 1 in 8
5 Mazeikiai 6 Aug 15 – Sep 25 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kruoja Pakruojis 6 Jul 4 – Aug 21 1 in 63
2 Suduva 20 Mar 20 – Aug 29 1 in 32
3 Banga Gargzdai 5 Apr 10 – May 9 1 in 29
4 FK Klaipeda 3 Oct 17 – Oct 31 1 in 11
5 VMFD Zalgiris 12 Jul 4 – Oct 31 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mazeikiai 15 Mar 20 – Jul 30 1 in 167
2 FK Siauliai 7 May 30 – Aug 8 1 in 34
3 Atletas Kaunas 27 Mar 21 – Nov 7 1 in 29
4 Suduva 2 Apr 4 – Apr 10 1 in 8
5 Tauras Taurage 3 Aug 18 – Aug 25 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ekranas 1690 63 -71 9 11.3 -2.3
Suduva 1669 56 -9 7 9.2 -2.2
VMFD Zalgiris 1584 55 -64 8 10.9 -2.9
Tauras Taurage 1511 50 +45 9 6.8 +2.2
FK Siauliai 1556 41 +131 10 5.2 +4.8
Banga Gargzdai 1431 39 +73 9 6.7 +2.3
Kruoja Pakruojis 1409 34 +26 9 8.5 +0.5
FK Klaipeda 1095 15 -22 5 3.6 +1.4
Mazeikiai 1107 12 -52 4 5.0 -1.0
Atletas Kaunas 1042 6 -28 1 2.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AK BG EKR FK FS KP MAZ SUD TT VZ
Atletas Kaunas —
0-1-2
2.27
0-0-3
0.64
0-0-3
3.30
0-2-1
1.41
0-1-2
1.86
0-2-1
2.60
0-0-3
0.84
0-0-3
1.26
0-0-3
0.91
Banga Gargzdai
2-1-0
5.97
 —
1-1-1
1.19
1-2-0
5.88
1-0-2
3.26
1-1-1
5.00
2-1-0
5.76
0-1-2
1.62
2-0-1
2.43
0-2-1
2.16
Ekranas
3-0-0
7.88
1-1-1
7.16
 —
3-0-0
7.40
3-0-0
6.68
3-0-0
7.36
3-0-0
7.24
0-2-1
5.39
2-0-1
6.37
2-0-1
6.16
FK Klaipeda
3-0-0
4.90
0-2-1
2.36
0-0-3
1.01
 —
0-0-3
1.68
0-2-1
2.97
0-2-1
3.50
0-0-3
0.94
0-0-3
1.51
0-0-3
1.79
FK Siauliai
1-2-0
6.90
2-0-1
4.95
0-0-3
1.61
3-0-0
6.61
 —
0-2-0
4.33
3-0-0
6.18
1-3-0
2.90
0-1-2
3.66
1-0-2
3.62
Kruoja Pakruojis
2-1-0
6.42
1-1-1
3.21
0-0-3
1.03
1-2-0
5.28
0-2-0
1.18
 —
3-0-0
4.13
1-0-2
1.21
0-2-2
3.14
0-2-1
1.82
Mazeikiai
1-2-0
5.62
0-1-2
2.47
0-0-3
1.13
1-2-0
4.70
0-0-3
2.07
0-0-3
4.09
 —
0-0-3
1.58
0-1-2
1.58
0-0-3
1.74
Suduva
3-0-0
7.60
2-1-0
6.66
1-2-0
2.82
3-0-0
7.47
0-3-1
8.09
2-0-1
7.13
3-0-0
6.75
 —
2-0-1
5.87
0-2-0
3.75
Tauras Taurage
3-0-0
7.08
1-0-2
5.79
1-0-2
1.89
3-0-0
6.79
2-1-0
4.54
2-2-0
7.83
2-1-0
6.71
1-0-2
2.36
 —
0-1-2
4.07
VMFD Zalgiris
3-0-0
7.51
1-2-0
6.09
1-0-2
2.09
3-0-0
6.53
2-0-1
4.60
1-2-0
6.45
3-0-0
6.57
0-2-0
1.74
2-1-0
4.14
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +12.2
Allowed 0.82 -9.4
Differential 0.93 +5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.93%9.26%6.30%4.44%1.11%2.96%30.00%
19.26%13.33%6.30%2.59%1.85%0.74%34.07%
26.30%6.30%4.44%1.85%——18.89%
34.44%2.59%1.85%1.48%——10.37%
41.11%1.85%————2.96%
5+2.96%0.74%————3.70%
Total30.00%34.07%18.89%10.37%2.96%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.36 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 2.20
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%25.93%7.41%11.11%—7.41%55.56%
1—14.81%11.11%3.70%7.41%—37.04%
2——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total3.70%40.74%22.22%18.52%7.41%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.52 2.07 -1.56
SD 0.64 1.33 1.42
CV 1.24 0.64 —
Max 2 5 +0
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%7.41%——40.74%
13.70%18.52%————22.22%
23.70%11.11%3.70%———18.52%
37.41%—7.41%———14.81%
4———————
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total25.93%44.44%22.22%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.11 +0.15
SD 1.46 0.89 1.81
CV 1.16 0.80 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
17.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
211.11%11.11%—3.70%——25.93%
314.81%3.70%3.70%———22.22%
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+11.11%—————11.11%
Total48.15%37.04%11.11%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.37 0.70 +1.67
SD 1.50 0.82 1.88
CV 0.63 1.17 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%7.41%11.11%7.41%14.81%44.44%
17.41%18.52%11.11%—3.70%3.70%44.44%
2——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
3——3.70%———3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.41%22.22%25.93%14.81%11.11%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 2.74 -2.04
SD 0.78 1.95 2.36
CV 1.10 0.71 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%————22.22%
118.52%11.11%11.11%7.41%——48.15%
27.41%11.11%3.70%———22.22%
3———3.70%——3.70%
4———————
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total40.74%33.33%14.81%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.96 +0.33
SD 1.38 1.02 1.71
CV 1.07 1.06 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%7.41%—3.70%—14.81%
17.41%18.52%3.70%3.70%3.70%—37.04%
27.41%11.11%11.11%7.41%——37.04%
33.70%——7.41%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.52%33.33%22.22%18.52%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.63 -0.19
SD 0.89 1.21 1.55
CV 0.62 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%14.81%14.81%11.11%—7.41%51.85%
13.70%7.41%11.11%7.41%—3.70%33.33%
2—3.70%11.11%———14.81%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.41%25.93%37.04%18.52%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 2.19 -1.56
SD 0.74 1.52 1.76
CV 1.18 0.70 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%3.70%————18.52%
17.41%14.81%7.41%———29.63%
211.11%7.41%————18.52%
33.70%11.11%————14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+7.41%3.70%————11.11%
Total48.15%44.44%7.41%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 0.59 +1.48
SD 1.86 0.64 2.01
CV 0.90 1.07 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%10.71%7.14%———25.00%
117.86%3.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%—32.14%
210.71%7.14%3.57%———21.43%
33.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%——14.29%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total46.43%25.00%17.86%7.14%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.96 +0.54
SD 1.32 1.14 1.84
CV 0.88 1.18 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
119.23%19.23%————38.46%
211.54%—3.85%———15.38%
311.54%7.69%————19.23%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total53.85%34.62%7.69%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.62 +1.19
SD 1.47 0.80 1.90
CV 0.81 1.31 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ekranas 1690 63 62.47 +0.53 55.0% 49 54 59 62 66 70 74
Suduva 1669 56 57.40 -1.40 43.0% 42 48 53 58 62 65 70
VMFD Zalgiris 1584 55 45.62 +9.38 94.0% 33 37 42 46 49 56 63
FK Siauliai 1556 41 39.95 +1.05 59.0% 24 29 35 40 45 50 56
Tauras Taurage 1511 50 45.85 +4.15 78.0% 29 34 42 46 49 57 63
Banga Gargzdai 1431 39 33.13 +5.87 84.0% 19 25 29 33 37 41 44
Kruoja Pakruojis 1409 34 27.89 +6.11 91.0% 16 19 24 28 31 36 42
Mazeikiai 1107 12 24.76 -12.76 2.0% 11 16 21 25 28 34 41
FK Klaipeda 1095 15 20.51 -5.51 15.0% 11 12 17 20 24 29 35
Atletas Kaunas 1042 0 9.24 -9.24 2.0% -1 2 6 9 13 17 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+0.74%
No Edge
37.78%25.19%37.04%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 2.57 Elo pts.
197 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.08 goals
Neutral
-2+0.01+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
72%
Ekranas, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.26/gm
Comfortable
00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.51 * Some Luck: 4.51 to 6.76 * Lucky: 6.76 to 9.01 * Wild Swing: 9.01 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.49 * Close: 0.49 to 0.73 * Off: 0.73 to 0.98 * Way Off: 0.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.77 points
Lucky
05.6314
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
00.611.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
VMFD Zalgiris
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Mazeikiai
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.31
Lopsided
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 243.49
3.10
Wide Separation
12.52.853.5
Interquartile Edge
91%
Wide Edge
50%77.5%86.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Occasional
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.62
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.65
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.73
Strong Carryover
00.650.811
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.17
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Ekranas72.00%28.00%————————
Suduva26.00%58.00%12.00%3.00%1.00%—————
VMFD Zalgiris—8.00%36.00%32.00%21.00%2.00%1.00%———
Tauras Taurage2.00%5.00%39.00%30.00%15.00%9.00%————
FK Siauliai—1.00%13.00%22.00%40.00%20.00%4.00%———
Banga Gargzdai———11.00%20.00%37.00%19.00%10.00%3.00%—
Kruoja Pakruojis———1.00%3.00%21.00%40.00%27.00%8.00%—
FK Klaipeda—————2.00%10.00%23.00%60.00%5.00%
Mazeikiai———1.00%—9.00%26.00%40.00%23.00%1.00%
Atletas Kaunas————————6.00%94.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Banga Gargzdai 100% —
Ekranas 100% —
FK Siauliai 100% —
Kruoja Pakruojis 100% —
Suduva 100% —
Tauras Taurage 100% —
VMFD Zalgiris 100% —
Mazeikiai 99.00% 1.00%
FK Klaipeda 95.00% 5.00%
Atletas Kaunas 6.00% 94.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-03-20 Kruoja Pakruojis D 2-260.6 1486 1230 64.67% 24.34% 10.99%+1.31 -5.9 1
2010-03-20 @ FK Siauliai D 2-260.6 1230 1486 10.99% 24.34% 64.67%-1.31 +5.9 1
2010-03-20 Mazeikiai W 3-042.5 1565 1424 54.86% 25.94% 19.21%+0.73 +40.0 3
2010-03-20 @ Suduva L 0-342.5 1424 1565 19.21% 25.94% 54.86%-0.73 -40.0 0
2010-03-21 Atletas Kaunas W 3-036.0 1305 1236 46.70% 26.51% 26.78%+0.36 +52.4 3
2010-03-21 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-336.0 1236 1305 26.78% 26.51% 46.70%-0.36 -52.3 0
2010-03-21 VMFD Zalgiris D 1-156.2 1461 1359 50.57% 26.30% 23.13%+0.53 -3.7 1
2010-03-21 @ Tauras Taurage D 1-156.2 1359 1461 23.13% 26.30% 50.57%-0.53 +3.7 1
2010-03-27 Banga Gargzdai W 2-039.7 1457 1357 50.33% 26.32% 23.36%+0.52 +32.3 4
2010-03-27 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-239.7 1357 1457 23.36% 26.32% 50.33%-0.52 -32.3 3
2010-03-27 Ekranas L 1-445.3 1359 1671 8.75% 23.49% 67.77%-1.57 -16.3 0
2010-03-27 @ FK Klaipeda W 4-145.3 1671 1359 67.77% 23.49% 8.75%+1.57 +16.3 3
2010-03-27 Kruoja Pakruojis W 2-141.8 1605 1236 71.62% 22.10% 6.28%+1.89 +4.8 6
2010-03-27 @ Suduva L 1-241.8 1236 1605 6.28% 22.10% 71.62%-1.89 -4.8 1
2010-03-28 FK Siauliai W 1-050.9 1363 1480 22.58% 26.26% 51.17%-0.58 +31.8 4
2010-03-28 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-150.9 1480 1363 51.17% 26.26% 22.58%+0.58 -31.8 1
2010-04-03 Atletas Kaunas W 2-032.0 1489 1183 68.02% 23.41% 8.57%+1.57 +13.1 7
2010-04-03 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-232.0 1183 1489 8.57% 23.41% 68.02%-1.57 -13.1 0
2010-04-03 Banga Gargzdai W 1-040.2 1448 1325 52.96% 26.12% 20.92%+0.64 +15.7 4
2010-04-03 @ FK Siauliai L 0-140.2 1325 1448 20.92% 26.12% 52.96%-0.64 -15.7 3
2010-04-03 Ekranas L 0-243.3 1384 1687 9.16% 23.67% 67.18%-1.53 -14.0 0
2010-04-03 @ Mazeikiai W 2-043.3 1687 1384 67.18% 23.67% 9.16%+1.53 +14.0 6
2010-04-04 VMFD Zalgiris D 0-058.0 1610 1394 61.65% 24.98% 13.37%+1.11 -7.8 7
2010-04-04 @ Suduva D 0-058.0 1394 1610 13.37% 24.98% 61.65%-1.11 +7.9 5
2010-04-10 Banga Gargzdai D 0-055.0 1602 1309 67.21% 23.66% 9.13%+1.50 -9.7 8
2010-04-10 @ Suduva D 0-055.0 1309 1602 9.13% 23.66% 67.21%-1.50 +9.7 4
2010-04-10 Kruoja Pakruojis W 4-139.1 1701 1232 76.36% 19.80% 3.84%+2.40 +6.8 9
2010-04-10 @ Ekranas L 1-439.1 1232 1701 3.84% 19.80% 76.36%-2.40 -6.8 1
2010-04-10 Mazeikiai D 2-259.9 1342 1370 33.42% 26.70% 39.87%-0.13 +0.6 1
2010-04-10 @ FK Klaipeda D 2-259.9 1370 1342 39.87% 26.70% 33.42%+0.13 -0.6 1
2010-04-11 FK Siauliai L 1-239.9 1170 1464 9.59% 23.84% 66.57%-1.48 -7.3 0
2010-04-11 @ Atletas Kaunas W 2-139.9 1464 1170 66.57% 23.84% 9.59%+1.48 +7.3 7
2010-04-17 FK Siauliai D 0-056.3 1502 1471 41.73% 26.67% 31.59%+0.17 -1.5 8
2010-04-17 @ Tauras Taurage D 0-056.3 1471 1502 31.59% 26.67% 41.73%-0.17 +1.5 8
2010-04-18 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-253.0 1343 1225 52.45% 26.16% 21.39%+0.61 -30.6 1
2010-04-18 @ FK Klaipeda W 2-153.0 1225 1343 21.39% 26.16% 52.45%-0.61 +30.6 4
2010-04-18 Suduva L 0-529.4 1163 1592 4.92% 20.98% 74.11%-2.17 -17.1 0
2010-04-18 @ Atletas Kaunas W 5-029.4 1592 1163 74.11% 20.98% 4.92%+2.17 +17.1 11
2010-04-18 VMFD Zalgiris W 3-042.9 1708 1402 68.01% 23.41% 8.58%+1.57 +19.0 12
2010-04-18 @ Ekranas L 0-342.9 1402 1708 8.58% 23.41% 68.01%-1.57 -19.0 5
2010-04-25 Banga Gargzdai D 0-060.6 1727 1319 73.57% 21.24% 5.19%+2.09 -11.6 13
2010-04-25 @ Ekranas D 0-060.6 1319 1727 5.19% 21.24% 73.57%-2.09 +11.6 5
2010-04-25 FK Klaipeda W 3-037.1 1383 1312 46.92% 26.50% 26.57%+0.37 +52.0 8
2010-04-25 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-337.1 1312 1383 26.57% 26.50% 46.92%-0.37 -52.0 1
2010-04-25 Mazeikiai W 1-047.3 1255 1370 22.86% 26.28% 50.86%-0.57 +31.6 7
2010-04-25 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-147.3 1370 1255 50.86% 26.28% 22.86%+0.57 -31.6 1
2010-04-25 Suduva L 0-151.8 1501 1610 23.46% 26.32% 50.22%-0.54 -17.2 8
2010-04-25 @ Tauras Taurage W 1-051.8 1610 1501 50.22% 26.32% 23.46%+0.54 +17.2 14
2010-04-28 Banga Gargzdai L 0-336.6 1260 1331 27.90% 26.56% 45.54%-0.34 -54.0 1
2010-04-28 @ FK Klaipeda W 3-036.6 1331 1260 45.54% 26.56% 27.90%+0.34 +54.0 8
2010-04-28 Ekranas L 0-330.6 1146 1715 2.47% 17.63% 79.90%-2.88 -5.0 0
2010-04-28 @ Atletas Kaunas W 3-030.6 1715 1146 79.90% 17.63% 2.47%+2.88 +5.0 16
2010-04-28 FK Siauliai D 1-165.8 1627 1472 56.19% 25.79% 18.02%+0.80 -5.4 15
2010-04-28 @ Suduva D 1-165.8 1472 1627 18.02% 25.79% 56.19%-0.80 +5.4 9
2010-04-28 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-141.4 1338 1435 24.74% 26.41% 48.85%-0.48 -18.0 1
2010-04-28 @ Mazeikiai W 1-041.4 1435 1338 48.85% 26.41% 24.74%+0.48 +18.0 11
2010-05-01 Ekranas W 2-171.3 1484 1720 12.68% 24.81% 62.51%-1.19 +36.2 11
2010-05-01 @ Tauras Taurage L 1-271.3 1720 1484 62.51% 24.81% 12.68%+1.19 -36.1 16
2010-05-02 Atletas Kaunas W 1-039.3 1206 1141 46.20% 26.54% 27.26%+0.34 +19.4 4
2010-05-02 @ FK Klaipeda L 0-139.3 1141 1206 27.26% 26.54% 46.20%-0.34 -19.4 0
2010-05-02 Banga Gargzdai D 2-259.8 1320 1385 28.63% 26.59% 44.78%-0.32 +1.6 2
2010-05-02 @ Mazeikiai D 2-259.8 1385 1320 44.78% 26.59% 28.63%+0.32 -1.6 9
2010-05-02 Kruoja Pakruojis W 3-142.0 1453 1287 57.35% 25.65% 17.00%+0.86 +21.5 14
2010-05-02 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 1-342.0 1287 1453 17.00% 25.65% 57.35%-0.86 -21.5 7
2010-05-09 Atletas Kaunas D 2-258.6 1322 1122 60.38% 25.20% 14.42%+1.03 -4.9 3
2010-05-09 @ Mazeikiai D 2-258.6 1122 1322 14.42% 25.20% 60.38%-1.03 +4.9 1
2010-05-09 Banga Gargzdai L 2-349.8 1266 1383 22.51% 26.25% 51.23%-0.59 -14.9 7
2010-05-09 @ Kruoja Pakruojis W 3-249.8 1383 1266 51.23% 26.25% 22.51%+0.59 +14.9 12
2010-05-09 FK Klaipeda W 2-033.2 1520 1226 67.29% 23.63% 9.08%+1.51 +13.8 14
2010-05-09 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-233.2 1226 1520 9.08% 23.63% 67.29%-1.51 -13.9 4
2010-05-09 FK Siauliai W 3-153.8 1684 1478 60.89% 25.12% 13.99%+1.06 +18.1 19
2010-05-09 @ Ekranas L 1-353.8 1478 1684 13.99% 25.12% 60.89%-1.06 -18.1 9
2010-05-12 Banga Gargzdai W 2-042.1 1475 1398 47.63% 26.47% 25.90%+0.40 +35.1 17
2010-05-12 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-242.1 1398 1475 25.90% 26.47% 47.63%-0.40 -35.1 12
2010-05-12 Ekranas D 1-170.4 1621 1702 26.65% 26.51% 46.84%-0.40 +2.7 16
2010-05-12 @ Suduva D 1-170.4 1702 1621 46.84% 26.51% 26.65%+0.40 -2.7 20
2010-05-12 FK Klaipeda W 2-141.0 1460 1212 64.15% 24.46% 11.39%+1.27 +8.6 12
2010-05-12 @ FK Siauliai L 1-241.0 1212 1460 11.39% 24.46% 64.15%-1.27 -8.6 4
2010-05-12 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-243.3 1127 1251 21.86% 26.20% 51.95%-0.62 -15.3 1
2010-05-12 @ Atletas Kaunas W 2-143.3 1251 1127 51.95% 26.20% 21.86%+0.62 +15.3 10
2010-05-12 Mazeikiai D 0-052.7 1534 1317 61.75% 24.96% 13.29%+1.11 -7.9 15
2010-05-12 @ Tauras Taurage D 0-052.7 1317 1534 13.29% 24.96% 61.75%-1.11 +7.9 4
2010-05-19 Atletas Kaunas W 4-133.7 1510 1111 73.13% 21.44% 5.43%+2.04 +10.0 20
2010-05-19 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 1-433.7 1111 1510 5.43% 21.44% 73.13%-2.04 -10.0 1
2010-05-19 Kruoja Pakruojis W 4-032.8 1526 1266 64.99% 24.26% 10.75%+1.33 +31.0 18
2010-05-19 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-432.8 1266 1526 10.75% 24.26% 64.99%-1.33 -31.0 10
2010-05-19 Mazeikiai W 2-145.6 1468 1325 55.13% 25.91% 18.96%+0.74 +13.6 15
2010-05-19 @ FK Siauliai L 1-245.6 1325 1468 18.96% 25.91% 55.13%-0.74 -13.6 4
2010-05-19 Suduva L 1-633.7 1203 1624 5.12% 21.17% 73.70%-2.13 -14.8 4
2010-05-19 @ FK Klaipeda W 6-133.7 1624 1203 73.70% 21.17% 5.12%+2.13 +14.8 19
2010-05-29 Tauras Taurage W 1-056.1 1520 1557 32.24% 26.68% 41.08%-0.17 +26.4 23
2010-05-29 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-156.1 1557 1520 41.08% 26.68% 32.24%+0.17 -26.4 18
2010-05-30 Banga Gargzdai D 0-048.3 1101 1363 11.21% 24.40% 64.39%-1.32 +8.8 2
2010-05-30 @ Atletas Kaunas D 0-048.3 1363 1101 64.39% 24.40% 11.21%+1.32 -8.8 13
2010-05-30 FK Siauliai D 3-364.5 1235 1482 12.05% 24.65% 63.31%-1.24 +4.7 11
2010-05-30 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 3-364.5 1482 1235 63.31% 24.65% 12.05%+1.24 -4.7 16
2010-05-30 Suduva L 1-246.2 1311 1639 8.09% 23.18% 68.73%-1.65 -6.2 4
2010-05-30 @ Mazeikiai W 2-146.2 1639 1311 68.73% 23.18% 8.09%+1.65 +6.2 22
2010-06-04 Tauras Taurage W 2-159.5 1354 1530 17.06% 25.66% 57.29%-0.88 +33.2 16
2010-06-04 @ Banga Gargzdai L 1-259.5 1530 1354 57.29% 25.66% 17.06%+0.88 -33.2 18
2010-06-05 FK Klaipeda W 2-141.3 1699 1188 78.08% 18.79% 3.13%+2.61 +2.2 23
2010-06-05 @ Ekranas L 1-241.3 1188 1699 3.13% 18.79% 78.08%-2.61 -2.2 4
2010-06-05 Suduva L 0-234.8 1240 1645 5.53% 21.52% 72.95%-2.05 -8.3 11
2010-06-05 @ Kruoja Pakruojis W 2-034.8 1645 1240 72.95% 21.52% 5.53%+2.05 +8.3 25
2010-06-06 VMFD Zalgiris L 1-353.9 1477 1546 28.08% 26.57% 45.35%-0.34 -32.4 16
2010-06-06 @ FK Siauliai W 3-153.9 1546 1477 45.35% 26.57% 28.08%+0.34 +32.4 26
2010-06-11 FK Siauliai W 2-154.2 1387 1445 29.51% 26.62% 43.87%-0.28 +26.3 19
2010-06-11 @ Banga Gargzdai L 1-254.2 1445 1387 43.87% 26.62% 29.51%+0.28 -26.2 16
2010-06-12 Mazeikiai W 5-037.3 1702 1305 73.03% 21.48% 5.48%+2.03 +19.2 26
2010-06-12 @ Ekranas L 0-537.3 1305 1702 5.48% 21.48% 73.03%-2.03 -19.2 4
2010-06-13 Suduva D 1-169.0 1579 1653 27.38% 26.54% 46.08%-0.37 +2.5 27
2010-06-13 @ VMFD Zalgiris D 1-169.0 1653 1579 46.08% 26.54% 27.38%+0.37 -2.5 26
2010-06-13 Tauras Taurage L 0-132.4 1110 1497 6.05% 21.93% 72.01%-1.95 -4.8 2
2010-06-13 @ Atletas Kaunas W 1-032.4 1497 1110 72.01% 21.93% 6.05%+1.95 +4.8 21
2010-06-22 Atletas Kaunas D 1-153.5 1419 1105 68.50% 23.26% 8.25%+1.61 -9.1 17
2010-06-22 @ FK Siauliai D 1-153.5 1105 1419 8.25% 23.26% 68.50%-1.61 +9.1 3
2010-06-23 Ekranas L 0-236.0 1231 1721 3.66% 19.56% 76.78%-2.48 -5.3 11
2010-06-23 @ Kruoja Pakruojis W 2-036.0 1721 1231 76.78% 19.56% 3.66%+2.48 +5.3 29
2010-06-23 FK Klaipeda D 1-152.4 1286 1186 50.35% 26.31% 23.33%+0.52 -3.7 5
2010-06-23 @ Mazeikiai D 1-152.4 1186 1286 23.33% 26.31% 50.35%-0.52 +3.7 5
2010-06-23 Suduva L 0-244.4 1414 1651 12.65% 24.80% 62.55%-1.19 -19.0 19
2010-06-23 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-044.4 1651 1414 62.55% 24.80% 12.65%+1.19 +19.0 29
2010-06-26 Tauras Taurage L 0-145.3 1410 1502 25.31% 26.44% 48.25%-0.46 -18.3 17
2010-06-26 @ FK Siauliai W 1-045.3 1502 1410 48.25% 26.44% 25.31%+0.46 +18.3 24
2010-06-27 Atletas Kaunas W 3-136.0 1670 1114 79.78% 17.71% 2.51%+2.84 +3.0 32
2010-06-27 @ Suduva L 1-336.0 1114 1670 2.51% 17.71% 79.78%-2.84 -3.0 3
2010-06-27 Ekranas L 0-154.9 1581 1726 19.79% 26.00% 54.21%-0.72 -15.0 27
2010-06-27 @ VMFD Zalgiris W 1-054.9 1726 1581 54.21% 26.00% 19.79%+0.72 +15.0 32
2010-07-02 Ekranas L 0-343.1 1395 1741 7.38% 22.80% 69.83%-1.75 -16.3 19
2010-07-02 @ Banga Gargzdai W 3-043.1 1741 1395 69.83% 22.80% 7.38%+1.75 +16.3 35
2010-07-04 Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-242.8 1282 1226 45.02% 26.58% 28.39%+0.30 -53.6 5
2010-07-04 @ Mazeikiai W 2-042.8 1226 1282 28.39% 26.58% 45.02%-0.30 +53.7 14
2010-07-04 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-330.7 1190 1566 6.37% 22.16% 71.46%-1.90 -14.0 5
2010-07-04 @ FK Klaipeda W 3-030.7 1566 1190 71.46% 22.16% 6.37%+1.90 +14.0 30
2010-07-23 FK Klaipeda D 1-153.1 1378 1176 60.58% 25.17% 14.25%+1.04 -6.7 20
2010-07-23 @ Banga Gargzdai D 1-153.1 1176 1378 14.25% 25.17% 60.58%-1.04 +6.7 6
2010-07-24 Mazeikiai W 6-031.8 1580 1228 70.70% 22.47% 6.83%+1.80 +28.8 33
2010-07-24 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-631.8 1228 1580 6.83% 22.47% 70.70%-1.80 -28.8 5
2010-07-25 Atletas Kaunas W 1-033.6 1757 1111 82.88% 15.52% 1.60%+3.30 +1.1 38
2010-07-25 @ Ekranas L 0-133.6 1111 1757 1.60% 15.52% 82.88%-3.30 -1.1 3
2010-07-25 Suduva D 0-060.5 1391 1673 10.16% 24.06% 65.78%-1.42 +9.2 18
2010-07-25 @ FK Siauliai D 0-060.5 1673 1391 65.78% 24.06% 10.16%+1.42 -9.3 33
2010-07-30 Mazeikiai W 2-142.1 1372 1200 57.89% 25.58% 16.53%+0.89 +12.1 23
2010-07-30 @ Banga Gargzdai L 1-242.1 1200 1372 16.53% 25.58% 57.89%-0.89 -12.1 5
2010-08-01 FK Klaipeda L 0-139.4 1110 1183 27.66% 26.55% 45.78%-0.35 -19.6 3
2010-08-01 @ Atletas Kaunas W 1-039.4 1183 1110 45.78% 26.55% 27.66%+0.35 +19.6 9
2010-08-01 Tauras Taurage W 4-153.3 1759 1520 63.45% 24.62% 11.94%+1.23 +22.1 41
2010-08-01 @ Ekranas L 1-453.3 1520 1759 11.94% 24.62% 63.45%-1.23 -22.1 24
2010-08-01 VMFD Zalgiris D 1-159.1 1280 1609 8.03% 23.15% 68.82%-1.66 +9.2 15
2010-08-01 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 1-159.1 1609 1280 68.82% 23.15% 8.03%+1.66 -9.2 34
2010-08-06 Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-343.8 1384 1289 49.81% 26.35% 23.84%+0.50 -84.9 23
2010-08-06 @ Banga Gargzdai W 3-043.8 1289 1384 23.84% 26.35% 49.81%-0.50 +84.9 18
2010-08-07 Tauras Taurage L 2-345.7 1202 1498 9.47% 23.79% 66.74%-1.49 -6.8 9
2010-08-07 @ FK Klaipeda W 3-245.7 1498 1202 66.74% 23.79% 9.47%+1.49 +6.8 27
2010-08-08 Ekranas L 1-253.1 1401 1781 6.26% 22.08% 71.66%-1.92 -4.7 18
2010-08-08 @ FK Siauliai W 2-153.1 1781 1401 71.66% 22.08% 6.26%+1.92 +4.7 44
2010-08-08 Mazeikiai L 1-244.1 1091 1188 24.77% 26.41% 48.82%-0.48 -16.9 3
2010-08-08 @ Atletas Kaunas W 2-144.1 1188 1091 48.82% 26.41% 24.77%+0.48 +17.0 8
2010-08-13 VMFD Zalgiris D 1-159.2 1299 1600 9.23% 23.70% 67.07%-1.52 +8.7 24
2010-08-13 @ Banga Gargzdai D 1-159.2 1600 1299 67.07% 23.70% 9.23%+1.52 -8.7 35
2010-08-14 Atletas Kaunas D 1-153.2 1374 1074 67.68% 23.52% 8.81%+1.54 -8.8 19
2010-08-14 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 1-153.2 1074 1374 8.81% 23.52% 67.68%-1.54 +8.8 4
2010-08-15 FK Siauliai L 0-233.8 1195 1396 15.13% 25.34% 59.53%-1.01 -22.4 9
2010-08-15 @ FK Klaipeda W 2-033.8 1396 1195 59.53% 25.34% 15.13%+1.01 +22.4 21
2010-08-15 Suduva D 1-171.4 1785 1664 52.83% 26.13% 21.04%+0.63 -4.4 45
2010-08-15 @ Ekranas D 1-171.4 1664 1785 21.04% 26.13% 52.83%-0.63 +4.4 34
2010-08-15 Tauras Taurage L 1-338.6 1204 1505 9.26% 23.71% 67.03%-1.51 -12.2 8
2010-08-15 @ Mazeikiai W 3-138.6 1505 1204 67.03% 23.71% 9.26%+1.51 +12.2 30
2010-08-18 FK Klaipeda W 4-030.3 1668 1173 77.44% 19.18% 3.38%+2.53 +9.2 37
2010-08-18 @ Suduva L 0-430.3 1173 1668 3.38% 19.18% 77.44%-2.53 -9.2 9
2010-08-18 FK Siauliai L 0-135.5 1192 1418 13.36% 24.98% 61.67%-1.14 -10.6 8
2010-08-18 @ Mazeikiai W 1-035.5 1418 1192 61.67% 24.98% 13.36%+1.14 +10.6 24
2010-08-18 Tauras Taurage D 3-367.8 1365 1517 19.14% 25.93% 54.94%-0.76 +3.1 20
2010-08-18 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 3-367.8 1517 1365 54.94% 25.93% 19.14%+0.76 -3.1 31
2010-08-18 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-229.1 1082 1591 3.33% 19.10% 77.57%-2.57 -4.8 4
2010-08-18 @ Atletas Kaunas W 2-029.1 1591 1082 77.57% 19.10% 3.33%+2.57 +4.8 38
2010-08-21 Kruoja Pakruojis D 2-263.9 1514 1368 55.36% 25.88% 18.76%+0.75 -3.8 32
2010-08-21 @ Tauras Taurage D 2-263.9 1368 1514 18.76% 25.88% 55.36%-0.75 +3.8 21
2010-08-22 Atletas Kaunas W 1-034.4 1307 1078 62.78% 24.76% 12.46%+1.18 +10.0 27
2010-08-22 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-134.4 1078 1307 12.46% 24.76% 62.78%-1.18 -10.0 4
2010-08-22 FK Klaipeda W 7-030.7 1677 1164 78.18% 18.73% 3.09%+2.62 +14.1 40
2010-08-22 @ Suduva L 0-730.7 1164 1677 3.09% 18.73% 78.18%-2.62 -14.1 9
2010-08-22 Mazeikiai W 1-034.8 1429 1182 64.10% 24.47% 11.43%+1.27 +9.2 27
2010-08-22 @ FK Siauliai L 0-134.8 1182 1429 11.43% 24.47% 64.10%-1.27 -9.2 8
2010-08-25 Tauras Taurage W 3-155.4 1691 1510 58.72% 25.46% 15.81%+0.93 +20.2 43
2010-08-25 @ Suduva L 1-355.4 1510 1691 15.81% 25.46% 58.72%-0.93 -20.2 32
2010-08-29 Ekranas W 1-067.0 1596 1781 16.32% 25.55% 58.13%-0.93 +35.8 41
2010-08-29 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-167.0 1781 1596 58.13% 25.55% 16.32%+0.93 -35.8 45
2010-08-29 Suduva L 1-338.9 1172 1712 2.87% 18.36% 78.77%-2.73 -3.5 8
2010-08-29 @ Mazeikiai W 3-138.9 1712 1172 78.77% 18.36% 2.87%+2.73 +3.5 46
2010-08-29 Tauras Taurage L 0-131.6 1068 1490 5.09% 21.14% 73.77%-2.13 -4.0 4
2010-08-29 @ Atletas Kaunas W 1-031.6 1490 1068 73.77% 21.14% 5.09%+2.13 +4.0 35
2010-08-29 Tauras Taurage L 0-142.8 1372 1494 22.05% 26.22% 51.74%-0.61 -16.4 21
2010-08-29 @ Kruoja Pakruojis W 1-042.8 1494 1372 51.74% 26.22% 22.05%+0.61 +16.4 38
2010-09-12 Atletas Kaunas D 1-153.8 1438 1064 71.90% 21.98% 6.12%+1.92 -10.0 28
2010-09-12 @ FK Siauliai D 1-153.8 1064 1438 6.12% 21.98% 71.90%-1.92 +10.0 5
2010-09-12 Banga Gargzdai L 0-250.6 1510 1317 59.77% 25.30% 14.93%+0.99 -69.2 38
2010-09-12 @ Tauras Taurage W 2-050.6 1317 1510 14.93% 25.30% 59.77%-0.99 +69.2 30
2010-09-12 FK Klaipeda W 5-030.8 1745 1150 81.21% 16.73% 2.06%+3.04 +6.5 48
2010-09-12 @ Ekranas L 0-530.8 1150 1745 2.06% 16.73% 81.21%-3.04 -6.5 9
2010-09-12 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-269.3 1715 1356 71.12% 22.30% 6.58%+1.84 -40.7 46
2010-09-12 @ Suduva W 2-169.3 1356 1715 6.58% 22.30% 71.12%-1.84 +40.7 24
2010-09-15 FK Klaipeda D 1-153.3 1396 1143 64.52% 24.37% 11.10%+1.30 -7.9 25
2010-09-15 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 1-153.3 1143 1396 11.10% 24.37% 64.52%-1.30 +7.9 10
2010-09-17 Suduva L 1-432.8 1074 1674 2.12% 16.87% 81.02%-3.04 -3.5 5
2010-09-17 @ Atletas Kaunas W 4-132.8 1674 1074 81.02% 16.87% 2.12%+3.04 +3.5 49
2010-09-18 Ekranas L 0-332.3 1169 1752 2.31% 17.30% 80.39%-2.95 -4.6 8
2010-09-18 @ Mazeikiai W 3-032.3 1752 1169 80.39% 17.30% 2.31%+2.95 +4.6 51
2010-09-18 FK Siauliai L 0-144.5 1387 1428 31.61% 26.67% 41.72%-0.20 -21.7 30
2010-09-18 @ Banga Gargzdai W 1-044.5 1428 1387 41.72% 26.67% 31.61%+0.20 +21.7 31
2010-09-19 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-429.2 1151 1632 3.82% 19.77% 76.41%-2.43 -10.5 10
2010-09-19 @ FK Klaipeda W 4-029.2 1632 1151 76.41% 19.77% 3.82%+2.43 +10.5 44
2010-09-25 Mazeikiai W 2-031.6 1642 1164 76.73% 19.59% 3.68%+2.44 +5.3 47
2010-09-25 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-231.6 1164 1642 3.68% 19.59% 76.73%-2.44 -5.3 8
2010-09-26 Banga Gargzdai W 1-044.0 1678 1365 68.46% 23.27% 8.27%+1.60 +6.7 52
2010-09-26 @ Suduva L 0-144.0 1365 1678 8.27% 23.27% 68.46%-1.60 -6.7 30
2010-09-26 Kruoja Pakruojis W 3-257.3 1756 1388 71.58% 22.12% 6.31%+1.88 +4.5 54
2010-09-26 @ Ekranas L 2-357.3 1388 1756 6.31% 22.12% 71.58%-1.88 -4.5 25
2010-09-26 Tauras Taurage L 0-148.7 1450 1441 38.61% 26.71% 34.68%+0.06 -25.2 31
2010-09-26 @ FK Siauliai W 1-048.7 1441 1450 34.68% 26.71% 38.61%-0.06 +25.2 41
2010-10-03 Ekranas L 0-528.1 1070 1761 1.35% 14.72% 83.93%-3.50 -4.0 5
2010-10-03 @ Atletas Kaunas W 5-028.1 1761 1070 83.93% 14.72% 1.35%+3.50 +4.0 57
2010-10-03 FK Klaipeda W 1-041.1 1159 1140 40.01% 26.70% 33.29%+0.11 +22.6 11
2010-10-03 @ Mazeikiai L 0-141.1 1140 1159 33.29% 26.70% 40.01%-0.11 -22.6 10
2010-10-03 Suduva W 2-169.6 1466 1685 13.88% 25.09% 61.02%-1.10 +35.3 44
2010-10-03 @ Tauras Taurage L 1-269.6 1685 1466 61.02% 25.09% 13.88%+1.10 -35.3 52
2010-10-03 VMFD Zalgiris D 2-269.7 1384 1648 11.09% 24.37% 64.54%-1.33 +5.9 26
2010-10-03 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 2-269.7 1648 1384 64.54% 24.37% 11.09%+1.33 -5.9 48
2010-10-17 Atletas Kaunas W 3-027.2 1642 1066 80.50% 17.22% 2.28%+2.94 +4.5 51
2010-10-17 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-327.2 1066 1642 2.28% 17.22% 80.50%-2.94 -4.5 5
2010-10-17 Banga Gargzdai L 2-376.6 1765 1358 73.52% 21.26% 5.22%+2.08 -39.6 57
2010-10-17 @ Ekranas W 3-276.6 1358 1765 5.22% 21.26% 73.52%-2.08 +39.6 33
2010-10-17 FK Siauliai L 0-161.9 1649 1425 62.38% 24.84% 12.78%+1.16 -38.3 52
2010-10-17 @ Suduva W 1-061.9 1425 1649 12.78% 24.84% 62.38%-1.16 +38.3 34
2010-10-17 Kruoja Pakruojis D 1-153.2 1118 1390 10.66% 24.23% 65.11%-1.37 +8.1 11
2010-10-17 @ FK Klaipeda D 1-153.2 1390 1118 65.11% 24.23% 10.66%+1.37 -8.1 27
2010-10-23 Ekranas L 0-249.3 1502 1725 13.51% 25.01% 61.47%-1.12 -20.2 44
2010-10-23 @ Tauras Taurage W 2-049.3 1725 1502 61.47% 25.01% 13.51%+1.12 +20.2 60
2010-10-24 FK Klaipeda L 2-350.4 1062 1126 28.66% 26.59% 44.75%-0.31 -18.0 5
2010-10-24 @ Atletas Kaunas W 3-250.4 1126 1062 44.75% 26.59% 28.66%+0.31 +18.0 14
2010-10-24 Mazeikiai W 2-033.4 1382 1182 60.37% 25.21% 14.42%+1.03 +21.5 30
2010-10-24 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-233.4 1182 1382 14.42% 25.21% 60.37%-1.03 -21.5 11
2010-10-24 VMFD Zalgiris D 1-164.2 1398 1646 11.97% 24.63% 63.40%-1.25 +7.6 34
2010-10-24 @ Banga Gargzdai D 1-164.2 1646 1398 63.40% 24.63% 11.97%+1.25 -7.6 52
2010-10-31 Atletas Kaunas D 1-152.2 1160 1044 52.26% 26.17% 21.56%+0.61 -4.2 12
2010-10-31 @ Mazeikiai D 1-152.2 1044 1160 21.56% 26.17% 52.26%-0.61 +4.2 6
2010-10-31 Banga Gargzdai D 1-153.3 1144 1405 11.22% 24.41% 64.38%-1.32 +7.8 15
2010-10-31 @ FK Klaipeda D 1-153.3 1405 1144 64.38% 24.41% 11.22%+1.32 -7.9 35
2010-10-31 FK Siauliai W 2-155.2 1746 1463 66.56% 23.85% 9.60%+1.45 +7.3 63
2010-10-31 @ Ekranas L 1-255.2 1463 1746 9.60% 23.85% 66.56%-1.45 -7.3 34
2010-10-31 Tauras Taurage W 1-050.3 1639 1481 56.48% 25.76% 17.76%+0.81 +13.7 55
2010-10-31 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-150.3 1481 1639 17.76% 25.76% 56.48%-0.81 -13.7 44
2010-11-07 Ekranas W 2-063.5 1611 1753 20.09% 26.03% 53.88%-0.71 +62.8 55
2010-11-07 @ Suduva L 0-263.5 1753 1611 53.88% 26.03% 20.09%+0.71 -62.8 63
2010-11-07 FK Klaipeda W 5-029.4 1468 1152 68.65% 23.20% 8.15%+1.62 +29.1 47
2010-11-07 @ Tauras Taurage L 0-529.4 1152 1468 8.15% 23.20% 68.65%-1.62 -29.0 15
2010-11-07 Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-132.2 1048 1403 7.07% 22.61% 70.32%-1.79 -5.7 6
2010-11-07 @ Atletas Kaunas W 1-032.2 1403 1048 70.32% 22.61% 7.07%+1.79 +5.7 33
2010-11-07 Mazeikiai W 6-133.1 1398 1156 63.68% 24.56% 11.75%+1.24 +34.4 38
2010-11-07 @ Banga Gargzdai L 1-633.1 1156 1398 11.75% 24.56% 63.68%-1.24 -34.4 12
2010-11-07 VMFD Zalgiris W 2-060.0 1456 1652 15.42% 25.39% 59.19%-0.99 +68.6 37
2010-11-07 @ FK Siauliai L 0-260.0 1652 1456 59.19% 25.39% 15.42%+0.99 -68.6 55
2010-11-14 Banga Gargzdai D 1-156.6 1409 1432 34.09% 26.71% 39.21%-0.11 +0.7 34
2010-11-14 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 1-156.6 1432 1409 39.21% 26.71% 34.09%+0.11 -0.7 39
2010-11-14 FK Siauliai L 0-729.0 1123 1524 5.64% 21.61% 72.75%-2.03 -27.2 15
2010-11-14 @ FK Klaipeda W 7-029.0 1524 1123 72.75% 21.61% 5.64%+2.03 +27.2 40
2010-11-14 Suduva D 0-064.3 1551 1674 22.03% 26.21% 51.76%-0.61 +4.6 41
2010-11-14 @ FK Siauliai D 0-064.3 1674 1551 51.76% 26.21% 22.03%+0.61 -4.5 56
2010-11-14 Tauras Taurage L 0-329.0 1121 1497 6.40% 22.19% 71.41%-1.90 -14.1 12
2010-11-14 @ Mazeikiai W 3-029.0 1497 1121 71.41% 22.19% 6.40%+1.90 +14.1 50

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-10-17 5.22% Banga Gargzdai 1358 3 @ Ekranas 1765 2
2 2010-09-12 6.58% Kruoja Pakruojis 1356 2 @ Suduva 1715 1
3 2010-05-01 12.68% @ Tauras Taurage 1484 2 Ekranas 1720 1
4 2010-10-17 12.78% FK Siauliai 1425 1 @ Suduva 1649 0
5 2010-10-03 13.88% @ Tauras Taurage 1466 2 Suduva 1685 1
6 2010-09-12 14.93% Banga Gargzdai 1317 2 @ Tauras Taurage 1510 0
7 2010-11-07 15.42% @ FK Siauliai 1456 2 VMFD Zalgiris 1652 0
8 2010-08-29 16.32% @ VMFD Zalgiris 1596 1 Ekranas 1781 0
9 2010-06-04 17.06% @ Banga Gargzdai 1354 2 Tauras Taurage 1530 1
10 2010-11-07 20.09% @ Suduva 1611 2 Ekranas 1753 0
11 2010-04-18 21.39% Kruoja Pakruojis 1225 2 @ FK Klaipeda 1343 1
12 2010-03-28 22.58% @ VMFD Zalgiris 1363 1 FK Siauliai 1480 0
13 2010-04-25 22.86% @ Kruoja Pakruojis 1255 1 Mazeikiai 1370 0
14 2010-08-06 23.84% Kruoja Pakruojis 1289 3 @ Banga Gargzdai 1384 0
15 2010-07-04 28.39% Kruoja Pakruojis 1226 2 @ Mazeikiai 1282 0
16 2010-06-11 29.51% @ Banga Gargzdai 1387 2 FK Siauliai 1445 1
17 2010-05-29 32.24% @ VMFD Zalgiris 1520 1 Tauras Taurage 1557 0
18 2010-09-26 34.68% Tauras Taurage 1441 1 @ FK Siauliai 1450 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-08-06 84.94 Kruoja Pakruojis 3 1289 23.84% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1384 49.81% 26.35%
2 2010-09-12 69.23 Banga Gargzdai 2 1317 14.93% @ Tauras Taurage 0 1510 59.77% 25.30%
3 2010-11-07 68.59 @ FK Siauliai 2 1456 15.42% VMFD Zalgiris 0 1652 59.19% 25.39%
4 2010-11-07 62.79 @ Suduva 2 1611 20.09% Ekranas 0 1753 53.88% 26.03%
5 2010-04-28 54.04 Banga Gargzdai 3 1331 45.54% @ FK Klaipeda 0 1260 27.90% 26.56%
6 2010-07-04 53.65 Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1226 28.39% @ Mazeikiai 0 1282 45.02% 26.58%
7 2010-03-21 52.35 @ Banga Gargzdai 3 1305 46.70% Atletas Kaunas 0 1236 26.78% 26.51%
8 2010-04-25 52.03 @ VMFD Zalgiris 3 1383 46.92% FK Klaipeda 0 1312 26.57% 26.50%
9 2010-09-12 40.70 Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1356 6.58% @ Suduva 1 1715 71.12% 22.30%
10 2010-03-20 39.97 @ Suduva 3 1565 54.86% Mazeikiai 0 1424 19.21% 25.94%
11 2010-10-17 39.64 Banga Gargzdai 3 1358 5.22% @ Ekranas 2 1765 73.52% 21.26%
12 2010-10-17 38.26 FK Siauliai 1 1425 12.78% @ Suduva 0 1649 62.38% 24.84%
13 2010-05-01 36.15 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1484 12.68% Ekranas 1 1720 62.51% 24.81%
14 2010-08-29 35.76 @ VMFD Zalgiris 1 1596 16.32% Ekranas 0 1781 58.13% 25.55%
15 2010-10-03 35.32 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1466 13.88% Suduva 1 1685 61.02% 25.09%
16 2010-05-12 35.11 @ VMFD Zalgiris 2 1475 47.63% Banga Gargzdai 0 1398 25.90% 26.47%
17 2010-11-07 34.41 @ Banga Gargzdai 6 1398 63.68% Mazeikiai 1 1156 11.75% 24.56%
18 2010-06-04 33.24 @ Banga Gargzdai 2 1354 17.06% Tauras Taurage 1 1530 57.29% 25.66%
19 2010-06-06 32.38 VMFD Zalgiris 3 1546 45.35% @ FK Siauliai 1 1477 28.08% 26.57%
20 2010-03-27 32.33 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1457 50.33% Banga Gargzdai 0 1357 23.36% 26.32%
21 2010-03-28 31.76 @ VMFD Zalgiris 1 1363 22.58% FK Siauliai 0 1480 51.17% 26.26%
22 2010-04-25 31.60 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 1 1255 22.86% Mazeikiai 0 1370 50.86% 26.28%
23 2010-05-19 30.98 @ Tauras Taurage 4 1526 64.99% Kruoja Pakruojis 0 1266 10.75% 24.26%
24 2010-04-18 30.62 Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1225 21.39% @ FK Klaipeda 1 1343 52.45% 26.16%
25 2010-11-07 29.06 @ Tauras Taurage 5 1468 68.65% FK Klaipeda 0 1152 8.15% 23.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-10-17 76.6 Banga Gargzdai 3 1358 5.22% @ Ekranas 2 1765 73.52% 21.26%
2 2010-08-15 71.4 @ Ekranas 1 1785 52.83% Suduva 1 1664 21.04% 26.13%
3 2010-05-01 71.3 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1484 12.68% Ekranas 1 1720 62.51% 24.81%
4 2010-05-12 70.4 @ Suduva 1 1621 26.65% Ekranas 1 1702 46.84% 26.51%
5 2010-10-03 69.7 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1384 11.09% VMFD Zalgiris 2 1648 64.54% 24.37%
6 2010-10-03 69.6 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1466 13.88% Suduva 1 1685 61.02% 25.09%
7 2010-09-12 69.3 Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1356 6.58% @ Suduva 1 1715 71.12% 22.30%
8 2010-06-13 69.0 @ VMFD Zalgiris 1 1579 27.38% Suduva 1 1653 46.08% 26.54%
9 2010-08-18 67.8 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 3 1365 19.14% Tauras Taurage 3 1517 54.94% 25.93%
10 2010-08-29 67.0 @ VMFD Zalgiris 1 1596 16.32% Ekranas 0 1781 58.13% 25.55%
11 2010-04-28 65.8 @ Suduva 1 1627 56.19% FK Siauliai 1 1472 18.02% 25.79%
12 2010-05-30 64.5 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 3 1235 12.05% FK Siauliai 3 1482 63.31% 24.65%
13 2010-11-14 64.3 @ FK Siauliai 0 1551 22.03% Suduva 0 1674 51.76% 26.21%
14 2010-10-24 64.2 @ Banga Gargzdai 1 1398 11.97% VMFD Zalgiris 1 1646 63.40% 24.63%
15 2010-08-21 63.9 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1514 55.36% Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1368 18.76% 25.88%
16 2010-11-07 63.5 @ Suduva 2 1611 20.09% Ekranas 0 1753 53.88% 26.03%
17 2010-10-17 61.9 FK Siauliai 1 1425 12.78% @ Suduva 0 1649 62.38% 24.84%
18 2010-03-20 60.6 @ FK Siauliai 2 1486 64.67% Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1230 10.99% 24.34%
19 2010-04-25 60.6 @ Ekranas 0 1727 73.57% Banga Gargzdai 0 1319 5.19% 21.24%
20 2010-07-25 60.5 @ FK Siauliai 0 1391 10.16% Suduva 0 1673 65.78% 24.06%
21 2010-11-07 60.0 @ FK Siauliai 2 1456 15.42% VMFD Zalgiris 0 1652 59.19% 25.39%
22 2010-04-10 59.9 @ FK Klaipeda 2 1342 33.42% Mazeikiai 2 1370 39.87% 26.70%
23 2010-05-02 59.8 @ Mazeikiai 2 1320 28.63% Banga Gargzdai 2 1385 44.78% 26.59%
24 2010-06-04 59.5 @ Banga Gargzdai 2 1354 17.06% Tauras Taurage 1 1530 57.29% 25.66%
25 2010-08-13 59.2 @ Banga Gargzdai 1 1299 9.23% VMFD Zalgiris 1 1600 67.07% 23.70%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-10-17 27.2 @ VMFD Zalgiris 3 1642 80.50% Atletas Kaunas 0 1066 2.28% 17.22%
2 2010-10-03 28.1 Ekranas 5 1761 83.93% @ Atletas Kaunas 0 1070 1.35% 14.72%
3 2010-11-14 29.0 FK Siauliai 7 1524 72.75% @ FK Klaipeda 0 1123 5.64% 21.61%
4 2010-11-14 29.0 Tauras Taurage 3 1497 71.41% @ Mazeikiai 0 1121 6.40% 22.19%
5 2010-08-18 29.1 VMFD Zalgiris 2 1591 77.57% @ Atletas Kaunas 0 1082 3.33% 19.10%
6 2010-09-19 29.2 VMFD Zalgiris 4 1632 76.41% @ FK Klaipeda 0 1151 3.82% 19.77%
7 2010-04-18 29.4 Suduva 5 1592 74.11% @ Atletas Kaunas 0 1163 4.92% 20.98%
8 2010-11-07 29.4 @ Tauras Taurage 5 1468 68.65% FK Klaipeda 0 1152 8.15% 23.20%
9 2010-08-18 30.3 @ Suduva 4 1668 77.44% FK Klaipeda 0 1173 3.38% 19.18%
10 2010-04-28 30.6 Ekranas 3 1715 79.90% @ Atletas Kaunas 0 1146 2.47% 17.63%
11 2010-07-04 30.7 VMFD Zalgiris 3 1566 71.46% @ FK Klaipeda 0 1190 6.37% 22.16%
12 2010-08-22 30.7 @ Suduva 7 1677 78.18% FK Klaipeda 0 1164 3.09% 18.73%
13 2010-09-12 30.8 @ Ekranas 5 1745 81.21% FK Klaipeda 0 1150 2.06% 16.73%
14 2010-08-29 31.6 Tauras Taurage 1 1490 73.77% @ Atletas Kaunas 0 1068 5.09% 21.14%
15 2010-09-25 31.6 @ VMFD Zalgiris 2 1642 76.73% Mazeikiai 0 1164 3.68% 19.59%
16 2010-07-24 31.8 @ VMFD Zalgiris 6 1580 70.70% Mazeikiai 0 1228 6.83% 22.47%
17 2010-04-03 32.0 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1489 68.02% Atletas Kaunas 0 1183 8.57% 23.41%
18 2010-11-07 32.2 Kruoja Pakruojis 1 1403 70.32% @ Atletas Kaunas 0 1048 7.07% 22.61%
19 2010-09-18 32.3 Ekranas 3 1752 80.39% @ Mazeikiai 0 1169 2.31% 17.30%
20 2010-06-13 32.4 Tauras Taurage 1 1497 72.01% @ Atletas Kaunas 0 1110 6.05% 21.93%
21 2010-05-19 32.8 @ Tauras Taurage 4 1526 64.99% Kruoja Pakruojis 0 1266 10.75% 24.26%
22 2010-09-17 32.8 Suduva 4 1674 81.02% @ Atletas Kaunas 1 1074 2.12% 16.87%
23 2010-11-07 33.1 @ Banga Gargzdai 6 1398 63.68% Mazeikiai 1 1156 11.75% 24.56%
24 2010-05-09 33.2 @ Tauras Taurage 2 1520 67.29% FK Klaipeda 0 1226 9.08% 23.63%
25 2010-10-24 33.4 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1382 60.37% Mazeikiai 0 1182 14.42% 25.21%