2011 A Lyga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Ekranas

80 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

VMFD Zalgiris

7.82 points above expected

72 points · 64.18 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Atlantas

11.11 points below expected

11 points · 22.11 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Ekranas	33	24	8	1	80	68	14	+54	74.31	+5.69
2	VMFD Zalgiris	33	22	6	5	72	56	17	+39	64.18	+7.82
3	Suduva	33	19	8	6	65	70	19	+51	67.04	-2.04
4	FK Siauliai	33	16	11	6	59	45	30	+15	52.48	+6.52
5	Kruoja Pakruojis	33	13	10	10	49	43	34	+9	48.69	+0.31
6	Banga Gargzdai	33	13	7	13	46	51	37	+14	49.42	-3.42
7	Tauras Taurage	33	11	12	10	45	50	38	+12	47.18	-2.18
8	Dainava Alytus	33	13	6	14	45	53	54	-1	37.23	+7.77
9	Mazeikiai	33	9	9	15	36	36	54	-18	31.96	+4.04
10	FBK Kaunas*	33	8	8	17	26	41	53	-12	35.72	-9.72
11	Atlantas	33	3	2	28	11	28	121	-93	22.11	-11.11
12	FK Klaipeda	33	2	3	28	9	19	89	-70	15.25	-6.25

* Point deductions: FBK Kaunas (-6 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	VMFD Zalgiris	72	64.18	+7.82
2	Dainava Alytus	45	37.23	+7.77
3	FK Siauliai	59	52.48	+6.52
4	Ekranas	80	74.31	+5.69
5	Mazeikiai	36	31.96	+4.04

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Atlantas	11	22.11	-11.11
2	FBK Kaunas	26	35.72	-9.72
3	FK Klaipeda	9	15.25	-6.25
4	Banga Gargzdai	46	49.42	-3.42
5	Tauras Taurage	45	47.18	-2.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	VMFD Zalgiris	8	Jul 31 – Sep 14	1 in 65
2	Ekranas	8	May 11 – Jun 29	1 in 25
3	FBK Kaunas	3	Oct 1 – Oct 23	1 in 19
4	Kruoja Pakruojis	4	Aug 6 – Aug 21	1 in 12
5	Tauras Taurage	3	Sep 14 – Sep 25	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FK Klaipeda	17	Jun 19 – Oct 15	1 in 352
2	FBK Kaunas	5	Mar 12 – Apr 17	1 in 194
3	Suduva	2	Jul 3 – Jul 24	1 in 44
4	Mazeikiai	6	Aug 17 – Sep 18	1 in 18
5	Atlantas	10	Aug 12 – Oct 16	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tauras Taurage	9	Aug 7 – Sep 25	1 in 70
2	Dainava Alytus	6	Apr 9 – May 11	1 in 58
3	FK Siauliai	9	Apr 10 – May 28	1 in 28
4	Suduva	10	Sep 9 – Nov 6	1 in 25
5	VMFD Zalgiris	17	May 22 – Sep 18	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FBK Kaunas	14	Mar 12 – Jun 19	1 in 511
2	Tauras Taurage	6	May 22 – Jun 29	1 in 39
3	Suduva	3	Jun 29 – Jul 24	1 in 26
4	Banga Gargzdai	7	Apr 9 – May 18	1 in 24
5	Atlantas	14	Apr 23 – Jul 31	1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Ekranas	1702	80	+21	11	10.3	+0.7
VMFD Zalgiris	1575	72	-23	9	9.2	-0.2
Suduva	1616	65	+68	11	8.6	+2.4
FK Siauliai	1455	59	+43	9	6.9	+2.1
Kruoja Pakruojis	1353	49	-31	10	9.8	+0.2
Banga Gargzdai	1375	46	+10	9	7.8	+1.2
Tauras Taurage	1429	45	-18	4	5.5	-1.5
Dainava Alytus	1325	45	-57	2	5.7	-3.7
Mazeikiai	1145	36	-52	6	6.8	-0.8
FBK Kaunas	1361	32	+113	10	6.9	+3.1
Atlantas	941	11	-29	1	3.1	-2.1
FK Klaipeda	872	9	-45	1	2.7	-1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ATL	BG	DA	EKR	FK	FK	FS	KP	MAZ	SUD	TT	VZ
Atlantas	—	0-0-3 2.07	1-0-2 2.92	0-0-3 1.04	1-0-2 2.43	1-1-1 4.46	0-0-3 1.66	0-1-2 1.30	0-0-3 2.99	0-0-3 0.74	0-0-3 1.78	0-0-3 0.82
Banga Gargzdai	3-0-0 6.28	—	2-0-1 4.96	0-1-2 1.52	0-2-1 5.19	3-0-0 7.27	2-0-1 3.73	0-1-2 4.28	1-1-1 5.80	1-0-2 2.31	1-1-1 4.40	0-1-2 2.51
Dainava Alytus	2-0-1 5.41	1-0-2 3.33	—	0-0-3 1.19	3-0-0 3.44	3-0-0 6.51	1-1-1 2.83	1-2-0 3.28	2-1-0 4.59	0-1-2 1.53	0-1-2 3.53	0-0-3 1.76
Ekranas	3-0-0 7.44	2-1-0 6.84	3-0-0 7.23	—	3-0-0 6.90	2-1-0 7.97	1-2-0 6.41	2-1-0 6.55	3-0-0 7.38	1-2-0 5.17	2-1-0 6.79	2-0-1 5.24
FBK Kaunas	2-0-1 5.89	1-2-0 3.10	0-0-3 4.86	0-0-3 1.48	—	2-1-0 6.58	0-1-2 3.00	2-0-1 2.90	0-2-1 4.96	1-0-2 1.91	0-2-1 3.36	0-0-3 2.35
FK Klaipeda	1-1-1 3.82	0-0-3 1.18	0-0-3 1.85	0-1-2 0.61	0-1-2 1.77	—	0-0-3 1.13	0-0-3 1.16	0-0-3 1.84	0-0-3 0.73	1-0-2 1.30	0-0-3 0.86
FK Siauliai	3-0-0 6.72	1-0-2 4.55	1-1-1 5.46	0-2-1 1.93	2-1-0 5.29	3-0-0 7.30	—	1-1-1 4.79	2-1-0 6.08	1-2-0 2.45	1-1-1 4.77	1-2-0 2.52
Kruoja Pakruojis	2-1-0 7.10	2-1-0 4.00	0-2-1 5.01	0-1-2 1.79	1-0-2 5.39	3-0-0 7.27	1-1-1 3.50	—	3-0-0 5.18	1-1-1 2.22	0-3-0 4.54	0-0-3 2.65
Mazeikiai	3-0-0 5.34	1-1-1 2.51	0-1-2 3.70	0-0-3 1.06	1-2-0 3.33	3-0-0 6.50	0-1-2 2.24	0-0-3 3.11	—	0-1-2 1.33	0-2-1 2.54	1-1-1 1.34
Suduva	3-0-0 7.80	2-0-1 6.01	2-1-0 6.85	0-2-1 3.12	2-0-1 6.44	3-0-0 7.80	0-2-1 5.86	1-1-1 6.10	2-1-0 7.07	—	3-0-0 5.94	1-1-1 4.29
Tauras Taurage	3-0-0 6.60	1-1-1 3.88	2-1-0 4.76	0-1-2 1.57	1-2-0 4.92	2-0-1 7.10	1-1-1 3.51	0-3-0 3.74	1-2-0 5.77	0-0-3 2.37	—	0-1-2 2.44
VMFD Zalgiris	3-0-0 7.71	2-1-0 5.80	3-0-0 6.59	1-0-2 3.05	3-0-0 5.99	3-0-0 7.64	0-2-1 5.79	3-0-0 5.66	1-1-1 7.06	1-1-1 3.99	2-1-0 5.87	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+13.4
Allowed	0.84	-6.5
Differential	0.89	+4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.60%	9.34%	5.81%	4.04%	2.02%	3.28%	34.09%
1	9.34%	8.08%	5.81%	3.54%	0.51%	1.77%	29.04%
2	5.81%	5.81%	5.05%	0.51%	1.01%	0.76%	18.94%
3	4.04%	3.54%	0.51%	—	0.25%	—	8.33%
4	2.02%	0.51%	1.01%	0.25%	—	—	3.79%
5+	3.28%	1.77%	0.76%	—	—	—	5.81%
Total	34.09%	29.04%	18.94%	8.33%	3.79%	5.81%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.62	1.62	2.53
CV	1.14	1.14	—
Max	13	13	+13
Min	0	0	-13

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	—	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	18.18%	48.48%
1	3.03%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	6.06%	27.27%
2	3.03%	—	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	3.03%	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	—	21.21%	24.24%	12.12%	30.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	3.67	-2.82
SD	1.03	2.64	3.09
CV	1.22	0.72	—
Max	4	13	+4
Min	0	0	-13

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	15.15%	9.09%	—	—	—	30.30%
1	3.03%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
2	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	9.09%	12.12%	—	—	—	—	21.21%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	27.27%	42.42%	24.24%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.12	+0.42
SD	1.50	0.96	2.02
CV	0.97	0.86	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	21.21%
1	12.12%	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	—	6.06%	39.39%
2	6.06%	3.03%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	21.21%
3	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	30.30%	24.24%	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.64	-0.03
SD	1.60	1.69	2.60
CV	1.00	1.03	—
Max	7	6	+7
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	—	—	—	—	—	15.15%
1	27.27%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.03%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
Total	66.67%	24.24%	9.09%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	0.42	+1.64
SD	1.75	0.66	1.83
CV	0.85	1.56	—
Max	7	2	+7
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	15.15%	12.12%	12.12%	—	—	42.42%
1	—	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
2	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	21.21%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	6.06%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	12.12%	42.42%	21.21%	21.21%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.61	-0.36
SD	1.44	1.06	1.95
CV	1.16	0.66	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	15.15%	60.61%
1	3.03%	—	12.12%	3.03%	—	6.06%	24.24%
2	—	—	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	12.12%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.03%	21.21%	33.33%	12.12%	9.09%	21.21%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.58	2.70	-2.12
SD	0.83	1.59	1.92
CV	1.44	0.59	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.21%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	—	27.27%
1	21.21%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	39.39%
2	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	18.18%
3	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	54.55%	27.27%	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	0.91	+0.45
SD	1.37	1.42	1.94
CV	1.00	1.56	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	12.12%	6.06%	—	6.06%	—	42.42%
1	—	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
2	9.09%	18.18%	6.06%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	36.36%	39.39%	15.15%	3.03%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.03	+0.27
SD	1.47	1.10	2.05
CV	1.13	1.07	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	39.39%
1	6.06%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	33.33%
2	9.09%	—	6.06%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	—	6.06%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	30.30%	15.15%	33.33%	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.64	-0.55
SD	1.26	1.48	2.09
CV	1.15	0.90	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	24.24%
1	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
2	15.15%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	24.24%
3	12.12%	—	—	—	—	—	12.12%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
Total	60.61%	24.24%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.12	0.58	+1.55
SD	2.56	0.83	2.77
CV	1.21	1.44	—
Max	13	3	+13
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	36.36%
1	3.03%	21.21%	3.03%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	3.03%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	6.06%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	54.55%	21.21%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.15	+0.36
SD	1.82	0.80	1.95
CV	1.20	0.69	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
1	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
3	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	21.21%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	57.58%	33.33%	9.09%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	0.52	+1.18
SD	1.67	0.67	1.84
CV	0.98	1.30	—
Max	8	2	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Ekranas	1702	80	74.31	+5.69	86.0%	63	67	71	73	78	82	85
Suduva	1616	65	67.04	-2.04	39.0%	44	56	63	67	71	77	81
VMFD Zalgiris	1575	72	64.18	+7.82	88.0%	47	51	60	64	67	75	82
FK Siauliai	1455	59	52.48	+6.52	82.0%	32	41	47	52	57	64	75
Tauras Taurage	1429	45	47.18	-2.18	47.0%	29	36	43	46	52	60	66
Banga Gargzdai	1375	46	49.42	-3.42	34.0%	38	39	45	49	54	60	67
FBK Kaunas	1361	26	35.72	-9.72	6.0%	22	24	32	35	39	46	50
Kruoja Pakruojis	1353	49	48.69	+0.31	54.0%	30	38	43	49	53	60	64
Dainava Alytus	1325	45	37.23	+7.77	89.0%	21	28	32	37	42	47	51
Mazeikiai	1145	36	31.96	+4.04	73.0%	16	23	27	32	37	41	50
Atlantas	941	11	22.11	-11.11	1.0%	11	13	17	23	26	31	35
FK Klaipeda	872	9	15.25	-6.25	17.0%	3	6	11	16	19	22	28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+1.52%

No Edge

39.39%22.73%37.88%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 5.26 Elo pts.

173 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.30 goals

Neutral

-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.7

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

75%

Ekranas, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.24/gm

Comfortable

00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.04 * Some Luck: 5.04 to 7.56 * Lucky: 7.56 to 10.08 * Wild Swing: 10.08 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.68 * Close: 0.68 to 1.02 * Off: 1.02 to 1.36 * Way Off: 1.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.39 points

Some Luck

06.3016

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.50

Pinpoint

00.852

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

89.00%

Dainava Alytus

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Atlantas

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.27

Top-Heavy

00.240.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 252.56

2.90

Wide Separation

12.52.853.5

Interquartile Edge

76%

Even

50%77.5%86.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

99%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

55%

Some Drama

0%44%100%

Blowouts

Expected

25%

Frequent

0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.50

Highly Predictable

00.532

Matchup Imbalance

0.54

Notable Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.17

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.77

Strong Carryover

00.650.811

Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Upset-Prone

0%18%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

As Expected

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.11

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.09

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.088

Well Within Noise

00.1110.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Ekranas	75.00%	21.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
VMFD Zalgiris	8.00%	26.00%	46.00%	15.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Suduva	16.00%	51.00%	29.00%	3.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
FK Siauliai	1.00%	1.00%	15.00%	26.00%	19.00%	23.00%	9.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Kruoja Pakruojis	—	1.00%	1.00%	20.00%	25.00%	21.00%	22.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Banga Gargzdai	—	—	3.00%	19.00%	30.00%	23.00%	19.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Tauras Taurage	—	—	2.00%	14.00%	19.00%	24.00%	18.00%	18.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Dainava Alytus	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	16.00%	33.00%	25.00%	17.00%	2.00%	—
Mazeikiai	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	13.00%	25.00%	45.00%	11.00%	—
FBK Kaunas	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	11.00%	19.00%	40.00%	23.00%	2.00%	—
Atlantas	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	10.00%	61.00%	26.00%
FK Klaipeda	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	24.00%	74.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Banga Gargzdai	100%	—
Ekranas	100%	—
FK Siauliai	100%	—
Kruoja Pakruojis	100%	—
Suduva	100%	—
Tauras Taurage	100%	—
VMFD Zalgiris	100%	—
Dainava Alytus	98.00%	2.00%
FBK Kaunas	98.00%	2.00%
Mazeikiai	89.00%	11.00%
Atlantas	13.00%	87.00%
FK Klaipeda	2.00%	98.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2011-03-12	Dainava Alytus	W 6-1	32.4	1522	1182	72.08%	20.14%	7.78%	+2.00	+15.7	3
2011-03-12	@ Suduva	L 1-6	32.4	1182	1522	7.78%	20.14%	72.08%	-2.00	-15.7	0
2011-03-12	FBK Kaunas	W 3-0	45.8	1458	1457	38.87%	24.10%	37.02%	+0.04	+47.8	3
2011-03-12	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-3	45.8	1457	1458	37.02%	24.10%	38.87%	-0.04	-47.8	0
2011-03-12	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 1-2	49.8	1343	1327	41.05%	24.09%	34.87%	+0.13	-17.8	0
2011-03-12	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-1	49.8	1327	1343	34.87%	24.09%	41.05%	-0.13	+17.8	3
2011-03-12	Mazeikiai	D 1-1	54.1	1400	1114	68.68%	21.19%	10.13%	+1.69	-6.3	1
2011-03-12	@ Tauras Taurage	D 1-1	54.1	1114	1400	10.13%	21.19%	68.68%	-1.69	+6.3	1
2011-03-13	Ekranas	L 0-4	34.0	1282	1530	12.84%	22.03%	65.13%	-1.40	-25.3	0
2011-03-13	@ Atlantas	W 4-0	34.0	1530	1282	65.13%	22.03%	12.84%	+1.40	+25.3	3
2011-03-13	FK Siauliai	L 0-1	33.2	1099	1437	8.27%	20.39%	71.34%	-1.93	-4.6	0
2011-03-13	@ FK Klaipeda	W 1-0	33.2	1437	1099	71.34%	20.39%	8.27%	+1.93	+4.6	3
2011-03-19	FK Klaipeda	W 2-1	38.2	1394	1094	69.59%	20.94%	9.47%	+1.77	+5.0	4
2011-03-19	@ Tauras Taurage	L 1-2	38.2	1094	1394	9.47%	20.94%	69.59%	-1.77	-4.9	0
2011-03-19	Suduva	L 0-3	42.4	1409	1538	22.53%	23.54%	53.92%	-0.72	-32.1	0
2011-03-19	@ FBK Kaunas	W 3-0	42.4	1538	1409	53.92%	23.54%	22.53%	+0.72	+32.1	6
2011-03-19	VMFD Zalgiris	W 2-0	51.2	1120	1506	6.57%	19.42%	74.01%	-2.20	+60.4	4
2011-03-19	@ Mazeikiai	L 0-2	51.2	1506	1120	74.01%	19.42%	6.57%	+2.20	-60.4	3
2011-03-20	Banga Gargzdai	L 1-2	45.5	1257	1325	29.40%	23.96%	46.64%	-0.37	-13.8	0
2011-03-20	@ Atlantas	W 2-1	45.5	1325	1257	46.64%	23.96%	29.40%	+0.37	+13.8	3
2011-03-20	Ekranas	L 0-3	30.5	1166	1555	6.45%	19.34%	74.21%	-2.22	-9.6	0
2011-03-20	@ Dainava Alytus	W 3-0	30.5	1555	1166	74.21%	19.34%	6.45%	+2.22	+9.7	6
2011-03-20	FK Siauliai	L 1-2	47.0	1344	1441	25.98%	23.79%	50.22%	-0.53	-12.5	3
2011-03-20	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	W 2-1	47.0	1441	1344	50.22%	23.79%	25.98%	+0.53	+12.5	6
2011-04-02	FBK Kaunas	W 3-0	40.1	1565	1377	60.98%	22.76%	16.26%	+1.12	+24.1	9
2011-04-02	@ Ekranas	L 0-3	40.1	1377	1565	16.26%	22.76%	60.98%	-1.12	-24.1	0
2011-04-02	FK Siauliai	W 3-1	53.2	1339	1454	24.00%	23.66%	52.34%	-0.63	+38.0	6
2011-04-02	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 1-3	53.2	1454	1339	52.34%	23.66%	24.00%	+0.63	-38.0	6
2011-04-02	Kruoja Pakruojis	D 0-0	51.0	1399	1332	47.78%	23.91%	28.31%	+0.42	-2.1	5
2011-04-02	@ Tauras Taurage	D 0-0	51.0	1332	1399	28.31%	23.91%	47.78%	-0.42	+2.1	4
2011-04-02	Mazeikiai	W 3-0	30.8	1570	1181	74.76%	19.12%	6.13%	+2.28	+9.1	9
2011-04-02	@ Suduva	L 0-3	30.8	1181	1570	6.13%	19.12%	74.76%	-2.28	-9.1	4
2011-04-03	Dainava Alytus	W 1-0	39.1	1243	1156	50.23%	23.79%	25.98%	+0.53	+13.2	3
2011-04-03	@ Atlantas	L 0-1	39.1	1156	1243	25.98%	23.79%	50.23%	-0.53	-13.2	0
2011-04-03	FK Klaipeda	W 5-0	27.9	1445	1089	72.99%	19.82%	7.19%	+2.09	+17.4	6
2011-04-03	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-5	27.9	1089	1445	7.19%	19.82%	72.99%	-2.09	-17.4	0
2011-04-09	Dainava Alytus	L 0-1	50.0	1352	1143	62.85%	22.46%	14.69%	+1.24	-27.6	0
2011-04-09	@ FBK Kaunas	W 1-0	50.0	1143	1352	14.69%	22.46%	62.85%	-1.24	+27.6	3
2011-04-09	Suduva	L 0-2	29.5	1072	1579	3.61%	16.70%	79.70%	-2.91	-3.5	0
2011-04-09	@ FK Klaipeda	W 2-0	29.5	1579	1072	79.70%	16.70%	3.61%	+2.91	+3.5	12
2011-04-09	Tauras Taurage	D 1-1	55.8	1377	1397	35.89%	24.10%	40.01%	-0.08	+0.4	7
2011-04-09	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	55.8	1397	1377	40.01%	24.10%	35.89%	+0.08	-0.4	6
2011-04-10	Atlantas	W 3-1	41.0	1416	1256	58.29%	23.12%	18.59%	+0.96	+16.2	9
2011-04-10	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-3	41.0	1256	1416	18.59%	23.12%	58.29%	-0.96	-16.2	3
2011-04-10	Ekranas	L 1-2	38.8	1172	1589	5.61%	18.73%	75.66%	-2.39	-2.9	4
2011-04-10	@ Mazeikiai	W 2-1	38.8	1589	1172	75.66%	18.73%	5.61%	+2.39	+2.9	12
2011-04-10	VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-1	41.4	1334	1463	22.55%	23.55%	53.90%	-0.71	-11.7	4
2011-04-10	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	W 1-0	41.4	1463	1334	53.90%	23.55%	22.55%	+0.71	+11.7	9
2011-04-16	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-1	46.5	1474	1377	51.48%	23.72%	24.80%	+0.59	+20.8	12
2011-04-16	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 1-3	46.5	1377	1474	24.80%	23.72%	51.48%	-0.59	-20.8	7
2011-04-16	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 1-2	61.8	1582	1322	66.85%	21.66%	11.49%	+1.54	-27.6	12
2011-04-16	@ Suduva	W 2-1	61.8	1322	1582	11.49%	21.66%	66.85%	-1.54	+27.6	7
2011-04-17	FBK Kaunas	W 2-0	44.6	1240	1325	27.40%	23.87%	48.73%	-0.46	+41.1	6
2011-04-17	@ Atlantas	L 0-2	44.6	1325	1240	48.73%	23.87%	27.40%	+0.46	-41.1	0
2011-04-17	FK Klaipeda	D 2-2	61.4	1592	1068	80.77%	16.07%	3.15%	+3.06	-6.2	13
2011-04-17	@ Ekranas	D 2-2	61.4	1068	1592	3.15%	16.07%	80.77%	-3.06	+6.2	1
2011-04-17	Mazeikiai	W 2-0	40.5	1171	1169	39.00%	24.10%	36.90%	+0.04	+32.9	6
2011-04-17	@ Dainava Alytus	L 0-2	40.5	1169	1171	36.90%	24.10%	39.00%	-0.04	-32.9	4
2011-04-17	Tauras Taurage	W 1-0	45.2	1432	1396	43.70%	24.04%	32.26%	+0.24	+15.7	12
2011-04-17	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-1	45.2	1396	1432	32.26%	24.04%	43.70%	-0.24	-15.7	6
2011-04-21	FK Klaipeda	W 5-1	36.9	1204	1074	55.12%	23.44%	21.43%	+0.78	+33.5	9
2011-04-21	@ Dainava Alytus	L 1-5	36.9	1074	1204	21.43%	23.44%	55.12%	-0.78	-33.5	1
2011-04-23	Ekranas	L 0-4	37.9	1350	1585	13.62%	22.23%	64.16%	-1.33	-26.7	7
2011-04-23	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	W 4-0	37.9	1585	1350	64.16%	22.23%	13.62%	+1.33	+26.7	16
2011-04-23	FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	53.2	1136	1284	20.64%	23.36%	56.00%	-0.83	+3.6	5
2011-04-23	@ Mazeikiai	D 1-1	53.2	1284	1136	56.00%	23.36%	20.64%	+0.83	-3.6	1
2011-04-23	Suduva	L 0-1	42.5	1357	1555	16.30%	22.77%	60.94%	-1.12	-8.8	7
2011-04-23	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	42.5	1555	1357	60.94%	22.77%	16.30%	+1.12	+8.8	15
2011-04-23	Tauras Taurage	L 2-4	47.0	1281	1381	25.70%	23.78%	50.52%	-0.55	-19.1	6
2011-04-23	@ Atlantas	W 4-2	47.0	1381	1281	50.52%	23.78%	25.70%	+0.55	+19.1	9
2011-04-24	VMFD Zalgiris	D 0-0	56.6	1448	1495	32.14%	24.04%	43.82%	-0.24	+1.2	13
2011-04-24	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	56.6	1495	1448	43.82%	24.04%	32.14%	+0.24	-1.2	13
2011-04-30	FK Siauliai	D 0-0	59.3	1564	1449	53.49%	23.58%	22.93%	+0.69	-3.4	16
2011-04-30	@ Suduva	D 0-0	59.3	1449	1564	22.93%	23.58%	53.49%	-0.69	+3.4	14
2011-04-30	Tauras Taurage	W 1-0	44.9	1494	1400	51.14%	23.74%	25.12%	+0.58	+12.8	16
2011-04-30	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-1	44.9	1400	1494	25.12%	23.74%	51.14%	-0.58	-12.8	9
2011-05-01	Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	61.9	1612	1348	67.17%	21.58%	11.25%	+1.56	-6.0	17
2011-05-01	@ Ekranas	D 1-1	61.9	1348	1612	11.25%	21.58%	67.17%	-1.56	+6.0	8
2011-05-01	FK Klaipeda	D 2-2	58.3	1280	1041	65.29%	22.00%	12.71%	+1.42	-4.2	2
2011-05-01	@ FBK Kaunas	D 2-2	58.3	1041	1280	12.71%	22.00%	65.29%	-1.42	+4.2	2
2011-05-01	Kruoja Pakruojis	D 0-0	49.4	1237	1323	27.28%	23.86%	48.86%	-0.47	+2.3	10
2011-05-01	@ Dainava Alytus	D 0-0	49.4	1323	1237	48.86%	23.86%	27.28%	+0.47	-2.3	8
2011-05-01	Mazeikiai	L 0-5	42.8	1262	1139	54.39%	23.51%	22.10%	+0.74	-106.1	6
2011-05-01	@ Atlantas	W 5-0	42.8	1139	1262	22.10%	23.51%	54.39%	-0.74	+106.1	8
2011-05-08	Atlantas	W 8-1	30.3	1507	1156	72.70%	19.92%	7.38%	+2.06	+20.2	19
2011-05-08	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 1-8	30.3	1156	1507	7.38%	19.92%	72.70%	-2.06	-20.2	6
2011-05-08	Dainava Alytus	L 1-2	52.7	1354	1240	53.47%	23.58%	22.95%	+0.69	-22.3	8
2011-05-08	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-1	52.7	1240	1354	22.95%	23.58%	53.47%	-0.69	+22.3	13
2011-05-08	Ekranas	D 0-0	61.1	1453	1606	20.09%	23.30%	56.60%	-0.86	+4.1	15
2011-05-08	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	61.1	1606	1453	56.60%	23.30%	20.09%	+0.86	-4.1	18
2011-05-08	FBK Kaunas	W 2-0	39.5	1321	1276	44.90%	24.01%	31.09%	+0.29	+28.8	11
2011-05-08	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	L 0-2	39.5	1276	1321	31.09%	24.01%	44.90%	-0.29	-28.8	2
2011-05-08	Mazeikiai	L 2-4	42.4	1045	1246	16.11%	22.74%	61.15%	-1.13	-12.8	2
2011-05-08	@ FK Klaipeda	W 4-2	42.4	1246	1045	61.15%	22.74%	16.11%	+1.13	+12.8	11
2011-05-08	Tauras Taurage	W 3-0	40.7	1560	1387	59.60%	22.95%	17.44%	+1.03	+25.7	19
2011-05-08	@ Suduva	L 0-3	40.7	1387	1560	17.44%	22.95%	59.60%	-1.03	-25.7	9
2011-05-11	Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	53.6	1247	1331	27.49%	23.87%	48.63%	-0.46	+2.1	3
2011-05-11	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	53.6	1331	1247	48.63%	23.87%	27.49%	+0.46	-2.1	9
2011-05-11	FK Klaipeda	L 1-3	49.7	1136	1032	52.21%	23.67%	24.12%	+0.63	-37.9	6
2011-05-11	@ Atlantas	W 3-1	49.7	1032	1136	24.12%	23.67%	52.21%	-0.63	+37.9	5
2011-05-11	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	55.2	1262	1457	16.55%	22.81%	60.64%	-1.10	+4.6	14
2011-05-11	@ Dainava Alytus	D 1-1	55.2	1457	1262	60.64%	22.81%	16.55%	+1.10	-4.6	16
2011-05-11	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 0-2	38.2	1258	1350	26.66%	23.83%	49.51%	-0.50	-25.4	11
2011-05-11	@ Mazeikiai	W 2-0	38.2	1350	1258	49.51%	23.83%	26.66%	+0.50	+25.4	14
2011-05-11	Tauras Taurage	W 1-0	43.0	1602	1361	65.41%	21.98%	12.61%	+1.43	+7.0	21
2011-05-11	@ Ekranas	L 0-1	43.0	1361	1602	12.61%	21.98%	65.41%	-1.43	-7.0	9
2011-05-11	VMFD Zalgiris	D 1-1	66.7	1586	1527	46.74%	23.95%	29.30%	+0.37	-1.7	20
2011-05-11	@ Suduva	D 1-1	66.7	1527	1586	29.30%	23.95%	46.74%	-0.37	+1.7	20
2011-05-17	Tauras Taurage	L 1-2	45.1	1266	1354	27.06%	23.85%	49.09%	-0.48	-12.9	14
2011-05-17	@ Dainava Alytus	W 2-1	45.1	1354	1266	49.09%	23.85%	27.06%	+0.48	+12.9	12
2011-05-18	Ekranas	L 0-1	54.3	1529	1609	27.96%	23.90%	48.15%	-0.43	-14.0	20
2011-05-18	@ VMFD Zalgiris	W 1-0	54.3	1609	1529	48.15%	23.90%	27.96%	+0.43	+14.0	24
2011-05-18	FBK Kaunas	W 2-1	41.9	1452	1249	62.29%	22.56%	15.16%	+1.20	+7.8	19
2011-05-18	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-2	41.9	1249	1452	15.16%	22.56%	62.29%	-1.20	-7.8	3
2011-05-18	FK Klaipeda	W 2-0	31.4	1375	1070	69.92%	20.84%	9.24%	+1.80	+9.7	17
2011-05-18	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	L 0-2	31.4	1070	1375	9.24%	20.84%	69.92%	-1.80	-9.7	5
2011-05-18	Mazeikiai	L 0-1	47.3	1329	1233	51.41%	23.72%	24.86%	+0.59	-22.9	9
2011-05-18	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	47.3	1233	1329	24.86%	23.72%	51.41%	-0.59	+22.9	14
2011-05-18	Suduva	L 0-2	30.1	1098	1584	3.99%	17.17%	78.84%	-2.79	-4.0	6
2011-05-18	@ Atlantas	W 2-0	30.1	1584	1098	78.84%	17.17%	3.99%	+2.79	+4.0	23
2011-05-21	Atlantas	D 0-0	49.9	1385	1094	69.01%	21.10%	9.89%	+1.71	-7.1	18
2011-05-21	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	D 0-0	49.9	1094	1385	9.89%	21.10%	69.01%	-1.71	+7.1	7
2011-05-21	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-3	31.2	1061	1307	12.95%	22.06%	64.99%	-1.39	-19.5	5
2011-05-21	@ FK Klaipeda	W 3-0	31.2	1307	1061	64.99%	22.06%	12.95%	+1.39	+19.5	12
2011-05-21	FK Siauliai	D 0-0	51.2	1256	1460	15.84%	22.69%	61.48%	-1.15	+5.3	15
2011-05-21	@ Mazeikiai	D 0-0	51.2	1460	1256	61.48%	22.69%	15.84%	+1.15	-5.3	20
2011-05-22	Suduva	W 1-0	57.5	1623	1588	43.57%	24.05%	32.38%	+0.23	+15.8	27
2011-05-22	@ Ekranas	L 0-1	57.5	1588	1623	32.38%	24.05%	43.57%	-0.23	-15.8	23
2011-05-22	Tauras Taurage	D 1-1	53.8	1242	1367	22.87%	23.57%	53.56%	-0.70	+3.1	4
2011-05-22	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	53.8	1367	1242	53.56%	23.57%	22.87%	+0.70	-3.1	13
2011-05-22	VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-2	35.2	1254	1515	12.03%	21.81%	66.15%	-1.48	-12.5	14
2011-05-22	@ Dainava Alytus	W 2-0	35.2	1515	1254	66.15%	21.81%	12.03%	+1.48	+12.5	23
2011-05-27	Atlantas	W 7-0	27.4	1639	1101	81.33%	15.74%	2.94%	+3.15	+9.1	30
2011-05-27	@ Ekranas	L 0-7	27.4	1101	1639	2.94%	15.74%	81.33%	-3.15	-9.1	7
2011-05-27	Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	50.6	1378	1326	45.79%	23.99%	30.23%	+0.33	-1.7	19
2011-05-27	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	D 0-0	50.6	1326	1378	30.23%	23.99%	45.79%	-0.33	+1.7	13
2011-05-27	Suduva	L 0-6	31.8	1241	1572	8.55%	20.53%	70.92%	-1.89	-24.8	14
2011-05-27	@ Dainava Alytus	W 6-0	31.8	1572	1241	70.92%	20.53%	8.55%	+1.89	+24.7	26
2011-05-27	VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-1	36.7	1245	1527	10.84%	21.44%	67.72%	-1.61	-6.0	4
2011-05-27	@ FBK Kaunas	W 1-0	36.7	1527	1245	67.72%	21.44%	10.84%	+1.61	+6.0	26
2011-05-28	FK Klaipeda	W 4-0	27.2	1455	1041	75.99%	18.58%	5.43%	+2.43	+10.5	23
2011-05-28	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-4	27.2	1041	1455	5.43%	18.58%	75.99%	-2.43	-10.5	5
2011-05-28	Tauras Taurage	D 0-0	49.9	1261	1364	25.32%	23.75%	50.93%	-0.57	+2.8	16
2011-05-28	@ Mazeikiai	D 0-0	49.9	1364	1261	50.93%	23.75%	25.32%	+0.57	-2.8	14
2011-06-10	Atlantas	W 3-0	31.3	1328	1092	65.02%	22.06%	12.92%	+1.40	+19.5	16
2011-06-10	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-3	31.3	1092	1328	12.92%	22.06%	65.02%	-1.40	-19.5	7
2011-06-10	FBK Kaunas	W 3-0	33.1	1597	1239	73.13%	19.76%	7.11%	+2.11	+10.7	29
2011-06-10	@ Suduva	L 0-3	33.1	1239	1597	7.11%	19.76%	73.13%	-2.11	-10.7	4
2011-06-11	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 0-4	46.5	1465	1376	50.54%	23.77%	25.68%	+0.55	-80.6	23
2011-06-11	@ FK Siauliai	W 4-0	46.5	1376	1465	25.68%	23.77%	50.54%	-0.55	+80.6	22
2011-06-11	Mazeikiai	D 1-1	57.0	1533	1264	67.52%	21.49%	10.99%	+1.59	-6.0	27
2011-06-11	@ VMFD Zalgiris	D 1-1	57.0	1264	1533	10.99%	21.49%	67.52%	-1.59	+6.1	17
2011-06-11	Tauras Taurage	W 1-0	51.6	1031	1361	8.57%	20.54%	70.88%	-1.88	+30.9	8
2011-06-11	@ FK Klaipeda	L 0-1	51.6	1361	1031	70.88%	20.54%	8.57%	+1.88	-30.9	14
2011-06-12	Dainava Alytus	W 1-0	36.2	1648	1216	76.86%	18.18%	4.97%	+2.53	+2.7	33
2011-06-12	@ Ekranas	L 0-1	36.2	1216	1648	4.97%	18.18%	76.86%	-2.53	-2.7	14
2011-06-15	Banga Gargzdai	L 1-3	49.7	1384	1347	43.90%	24.04%	32.07%	+0.25	-32.6	23
2011-06-15	@ FK Siauliai	W 3-1	49.7	1347	1384	32.07%	24.04%	43.90%	-0.25	+32.6	19
2011-06-18	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-3	39.3	1330	1380	31.86%	24.03%	44.11%	-0.26	-42.6	14
2011-06-18	@ Tauras Taurage	W 3-0	39.3	1380	1330	44.11%	24.03%	31.86%	+0.26	+42.6	22
2011-06-18	FK Siauliai	L 0-2	32.1	1072	1352	11.00%	21.50%	67.50%	-1.59	-11.5	7
2011-06-18	@ Atlantas	W 2-0	32.1	1352	1072	67.50%	21.50%	11.00%	+1.59	+11.5	26
2011-06-19	FBK Kaunas	W 1-0	43.3	1214	1228	36.66%	24.10%	39.24%	-0.05	+18.3	17
2011-06-19	@ Dainava Alytus	L 0-1	43.3	1228	1214	39.24%	24.10%	36.66%	+0.05	-18.3	4
2011-06-19	FK Klaipeda	W 2-1	35.7	1608	1061	81.64%	15.54%	2.81%	+3.19	+1.3	32
2011-06-19	@ Suduva	L 1-2	35.7	1061	1608	2.81%	15.54%	81.64%	-3.19	-1.4	8
2011-06-19	Kruoja Pakruojis	W 1-0	48.9	1527	1456	48.26%	23.89%	27.85%	+0.44	+14.0	30
2011-06-19	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-1	48.9	1456	1527	27.85%	23.89%	48.26%	-0.44	-14.0	22
2011-06-19	Mazeikiai	W 5-0	34.0	1650	1270	74.32%	19.30%	6.38%	+2.23	+15.4	36
2011-06-19	@ Ekranas	L 0-5	34.0	1270	1650	6.38%	19.30%	74.32%	-2.23	-15.4	17
2011-06-24	VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-1	46.8	1422	1541	23.59%	23.63%	52.78%	-0.66	-12.2	22
2011-06-24	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	46.8	1541	1422	52.78%	23.63%	23.59%	+0.66	+12.2	33
2011-06-25	Ekranas	L 0-1	31.3	1060	1666	2.20%	14.42%	83.38%	-3.48	-1.1	8
2011-06-25	@ FK Klaipeda	W 1-0	31.3	1666	1060	83.38%	14.42%	2.20%	+3.48	+1.1	39
2011-06-25	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	54.1	1288	1363	28.54%	23.92%	47.54%	-0.41	+1.8	15
2011-06-25	@ Tauras Taurage	D 1-1	54.1	1363	1288	47.54%	23.92%	28.54%	+0.41	-1.8	27
2011-06-26	Atlantas	W 4-0	32.5	1210	1061	57.19%	23.24%	19.57%	+0.89	+37.2	7
2011-06-26	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-4	32.5	1061	1210	19.57%	23.24%	57.19%	-0.89	-37.2	7
2011-06-26	Dainava Alytus	D 2-2	58.0	1255	1232	41.90%	24.08%	34.02%	+0.16	-0.5	18
2011-06-26	@ Mazeikiai	D 2-2	58.0	1232	1255	34.02%	24.08%	41.90%	-0.16	+0.6	18
2011-06-26	Suduva	L 0-1	48.5	1442	1609	18.91%	23.16%	57.93%	-0.93	-10.1	22
2011-06-26	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	W 1-0	48.5	1609	1442	57.93%	23.16%	18.91%	+0.93	+10.1	35
2011-06-28	VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-1	31.3	1059	1553	3.84%	16.99%	79.17%	-2.83	-2.0	8
2011-06-28	@ FK Klaipeda	W 1-0	31.3	1553	1059	79.17%	16.99%	3.84%	+2.83	+2.0	36
2011-06-29	Atlantas	W 7-0	30.5	1232	1024	62.80%	22.47%	14.73%	+1.24	+48.8	21
2011-06-29	@ Dainava Alytus	L 0-7	30.5	1024	1232	14.73%	22.47%	62.80%	-1.24	-48.8	7
2011-06-29	Ekranas	L 0-1	38.1	1247	1667	5.53%	18.66%	75.80%	-2.40	-3.0	7
2011-06-29	@ FBK Kaunas	W 1-0	38.1	1667	1247	75.80%	18.66%	5.53%	+2.40	+3.0	42
2011-06-29	Suduva	D 0-0	55.5	1254	1619	7.24%	19.84%	72.91%	-2.08	+8.0	19
2011-06-29	@ Mazeikiai	D 0-0	55.5	1619	1254	72.91%	19.84%	7.24%	+2.08	-8.0	36
2011-06-29	Tauras Taurage	D 1-1	55.1	1432	1290	56.57%	23.30%	20.13%	+0.86	-3.7	23
2011-06-29	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	D 1-1	55.1	1290	1432	20.13%	23.30%	56.57%	-0.86	+3.7	16
2011-07-02	Dainava Alytus	L 0-1	35.2	1057	1281	14.38%	22.40%	63.22%	-1.27	-7.9	8
2011-07-02	@ FK Klaipeda	W 1-0	35.2	1281	1057	63.22%	22.40%	14.38%	+1.27	+7.9	24
2011-07-02	Mazeikiai	D 0-0	49.1	1244	1262	36.10%	24.10%	39.80%	-0.07	+0.4	8
2011-07-02	@ FBK Kaunas	D 0-0	49.1	1262	1244	39.80%	24.10%	36.10%	+0.07	-0.4	20
2011-07-03	Atlantas	W 6-0	28.0	1293	975	70.77%	20.58%	8.65%	+1.87	+25.0	19
2011-07-03	@ Tauras Taurage	L 0-6	28.0	975	1293	8.65%	20.58%	70.77%	-1.87	-25.1	7
2011-07-03	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	60.2	1611	1410	62.14%	22.58%	15.28%	+1.19	-27.3	36
2011-07-03	@ Suduva	W 1-0	60.2	1410	1611	15.28%	22.58%	62.14%	-1.19	+27.3	25
2011-07-03	FK Siauliai	D 0-0	56.0	1555	1361	61.50%	22.68%	15.82%	+1.15	-5.3	37
2011-07-03	@ VMFD Zalgiris	D 0-0	56.0	1361	1555	15.82%	22.68%	61.50%	-1.15	+5.3	28
2011-07-03	Kruoja Pakruojis	D 0-0	62.8	1670	1429	65.44%	21.97%	12.59%	+1.43	-6.3	43
2011-07-03	@ Ekranas	D 0-0	62.8	1429	1670	12.59%	21.97%	65.44%	-1.43	+6.3	24
2011-07-22	FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	40.6	1049	1244	16.53%	22.81%	60.66%	-1.10	-8.4	8
2011-07-22	@ FK Klaipeda	W 2-1	40.6	1244	1049	60.66%	22.81%	16.53%	+1.10	+8.4	11
2011-07-23	Atlantas	W 2-0	31.0	1262	950	70.36%	20.71%	8.93%	+1.84	+9.3	23
2011-07-23	@ Mazeikiai	L 0-2	31.0	950	1262	8.93%	20.71%	70.36%	-1.84	-9.3	7
2011-07-23	Dainava Alytus	L 0-1	50.3	1435	1289	56.89%	23.27%	19.83%	+0.88	-25.1	24
2011-07-23	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	W 1-0	50.3	1289	1435	19.83%	23.27%	56.89%	-0.88	+25.1	27
2011-07-24	Suduva	W 1-0	57.7	1367	1584	14.88%	22.50%	62.62%	-1.23	+27.5	31
2011-07-24	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-1	57.7	1584	1367	62.62%	22.50%	14.88%	+1.23	-27.5	36
2011-07-26	VMFD Zalgiris	D 1-1	58.7	1318	1550	13.88%	22.29%	63.84%	-1.31	+5.3	20
2011-07-26	@ Tauras Taurage	D 1-1	58.7	1550	1318	63.84%	22.29%	13.88%	+1.31	-5.3	38
2011-07-29	Banga Gargzdai	L 2-4	47.4	1314	1437	23.10%	23.59%	53.31%	-0.68	-17.5	27
2011-07-29	@ Dainava Alytus	W 4-2	47.4	1437	1314	53.31%	23.59%	23.10%	+0.68	+17.5	28
2011-07-30	FK Klaipeda	W 1-0	34.7	1271	1041	64.58%	22.15%	13.28%	+1.36	+7.3	26
2011-07-30	@ Mazeikiai	L 0-1	34.7	1041	1271	13.28%	22.15%	64.58%	-1.36	-7.3	8
2011-07-30	FK Siauliai	W 1-0	45.9	1664	1394	67.53%	21.49%	10.98%	+1.59	+6.1	46
2011-07-30	@ Ekranas	L 0-1	45.9	1394	1664	10.98%	21.49%	67.53%	-1.59	-6.1	31
2011-07-31	Kruoja Pakruojis	W 3-1	52.5	1253	1410	19.76%	23.26%	56.98%	-0.88	+41.0	14
2011-07-31	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-3	52.5	1410	1253	56.98%	23.26%	19.76%	+0.88	-41.0	24
2011-07-31	Suduva	L 1-2	45.3	1324	1556	13.79%	22.27%	63.94%	-1.32	-7.1	20
2011-07-31	@ Tauras Taurage	W 2-1	45.3	1556	1324	63.94%	22.27%	13.79%	+1.32	+7.1	39
2011-07-31	VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-3	25.9	941	1545	2.22%	14.46%	83.32%	-3.47	-3.0	7
2011-07-31	@ Atlantas	W 3-0	25.9	1545	941	83.32%	14.46%	2.22%	+3.47	+3.0	41
2011-08-05	FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	55.6	1455	1294	58.44%	23.10%	18.46%	+0.96	-4.1	29
2011-08-05	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	55.6	1294	1455	18.46%	23.10%	58.44%	-0.96	+4.1	15
2011-08-06	Atlantas	L 0-4	42.1	1033	938	51.34%	23.73%	24.94%	+0.59	-81.7	8
2011-08-06	@ FK Klaipeda	W 4-0	42.1	938	1033	24.94%	23.73%	51.34%	-0.59	+81.7	10
2011-08-06	Mazeikiai	W 2-1	44.8	1369	1278	50.71%	23.77%	25.52%	+0.56	+12.3	27
2011-08-06	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	L 1-2	44.8	1278	1369	25.52%	23.77%	50.71%	-0.56	-12.3	26
2011-08-07	Dainava Alytus	L 1-3	51.0	1388	1297	50.83%	23.76%	25.41%	+0.56	-37.0	31
2011-08-07	@ FK Siauliai	W 3-1	51.0	1297	1388	25.41%	23.76%	50.83%	-0.56	+37.0	30
2011-08-07	Suduva	W 3-1	60.0	1548	1564	36.43%	24.10%	39.47%	-0.06	+30.0	44
2011-08-07	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 1-3	60.0	1564	1548	39.47%	24.10%	36.43%	+0.06	-29.9	39
2011-08-07	Tauras Taurage	D 0-0	59.4	1670	1316	72.83%	19.87%	7.29%	+2.08	-8.0	47
2011-08-07	@ Ekranas	D 0-0	59.4	1316	1670	7.29%	19.87%	72.83%	-2.08	+8.0	21
2011-08-12	Atlantas	W 5-2	34.4	1534	1019	80.42%	16.28%	3.30%	+3.01	+3.4	42
2011-08-12	@ Suduva	L 2-5	34.4	1019	1534	3.30%	16.28%	80.42%	-3.01	-3.4	10
2011-08-13	Dainava Alytus	W 2-1	48.9	1324	1334	37.39%	24.10%	38.51%	-0.02	+17.0	24
2011-08-13	@ Tauras Taurage	L 1-2	48.9	1334	1324	38.51%	24.10%	37.39%	+0.02	-17.0	30
2011-08-13	FK Siauliai	L 0-1	41.9	1298	1351	31.32%	24.02%	44.66%	-0.28	-15.3	15
2011-08-13	@ FBK Kaunas	W 1-0	41.9	1351	1298	44.66%	24.02%	31.32%	+0.28	+15.3	34
2011-08-13	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 1-2	35.9	952	1381	5.29%	18.46%	76.26%	-2.46	-2.7	8
2011-08-13	@ FK Klaipeda	W 2-1	35.9	1381	952	76.26%	18.46%	5.29%	+2.46	+2.7	30
2011-08-14	Banga Gargzdai	D 2-2	60.0	1266	1451	17.36%	22.94%	59.71%	-1.04	+3.3	27
2011-08-14	@ Mazeikiai	D 2-2	60.0	1451	1266	59.71%	22.94%	17.36%	+1.04	-3.3	30
2011-08-14	VMFD Zalgiris	L 1-2	68.0	1662	1578	49.92%	23.81%	26.27%	+0.52	-21.0	47
2011-08-14	@ Ekranas	W 2-1	68.0	1578	1662	26.27%	23.81%	49.92%	-0.52	+21.0	47
2011-08-16	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 1-2	37.0	1016	1384	7.15%	19.79%	73.07%	-2.10	-3.7	10
2011-08-16	@ Atlantas	W 2-1	37.0	1384	1016	73.07%	19.79%	7.15%	+2.10	+3.7	33
2011-08-17	FK Klaipeda	W 3-1	33.2	1448	949	79.79%	16.65%	3.57%	+2.92	+3.0	33
2011-08-17	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 1-3	33.2	949	1448	3.57%	16.65%	79.79%	-2.92	-3.0	8
2011-08-17	Mazeikiai	W 1-0	39.8	1367	1269	51.52%	23.72%	24.77%	+0.59	+12.7	37
2011-08-17	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-1	39.8	1269	1367	24.77%	23.72%	51.52%	-0.59	-12.7	27
2011-08-17	Tauras Taurage	D 1-1	53.8	1282	1341	30.61%	24.00%	45.39%	-0.31	+1.4	16
2011-08-17	@ FBK Kaunas	D 1-1	53.8	1341	1282	45.39%	24.00%	30.61%	+0.31	-1.4	25
2011-08-18	Dainava Alytus	W 2-1	45.1	1599	1317	68.41%	21.27%	10.32%	+1.66	+5.4	50
2011-08-18	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 1-2	45.1	1317	1599	10.32%	21.27%	68.41%	-1.66	-5.4	30
2011-08-20	FK Klaipeda	W 5-0	26.2	1379	946	76.94%	18.14%	4.92%	+2.54	+11.6	40
2011-08-20	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-5	26.2	946	1379	4.92%	18.14%	76.94%	-2.54	-11.6	8
2011-08-20	Mazeikiai	W 3-1	42.9	1340	1257	49.85%	23.81%	26.34%	+0.51	+21.8	28
2011-08-20	@ Tauras Taurage	L 1-3	42.9	1257	1340	26.34%	23.81%	49.85%	-0.51	-21.8	27
2011-08-21	Atlantas	W 2-1	34.7	1641	1012	84.47%	13.67%	1.86%	+3.67	+0.9	50
2011-08-21	@ Ekranas	L 1-2	34.7	1012	1641	1.86%	13.67%	84.47%	-3.67	-0.8	10
2011-08-21	Dainava Alytus	D 1-1	58.1	1537	1311	64.22%	22.21%	13.56%	+1.34	-5.3	43
2011-08-21	@ Suduva	D 1-1	58.1	1311	1537	13.56%	22.21%	64.22%	-1.34	+5.3	31
2011-08-21	FBK Kaunas	W 2-0	36.8	1604	1284	70.89%	20.54%	8.57%	+1.89	+8.9	53
2011-08-21	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-2	36.8	1284	1604	8.57%	20.54%	70.89%	-1.89	-8.9	16
2011-08-21	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 1-2	54.6	1451	1388	47.30%	23.93%	28.77%	+0.40	-20.0	33
2011-08-21	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-1	54.6	1388	1451	28.77%	23.93%	47.30%	-0.40	+20.0	36
2011-08-26	Atlantas	W 5-0	26.6	1431	1011	76.27%	18.45%	5.28%	+2.46	+12.5	36
2011-08-26	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-5	26.6	1011	1431	5.28%	18.45%	76.27%	-2.46	-12.6	10
2011-08-27	FK Siauliai	D 1-1	56.3	1408	1391	41.05%	24.09%	34.86%	+0.13	-0.6	37
2011-08-27	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	D 1-1	56.3	1391	1408	34.86%	24.09%	41.05%	-0.13	+0.6	41
2011-08-27	Tauras Taurage	L 0-2	29.3	934	1362	5.34%	18.50%	76.16%	-2.45	-5.4	8
2011-08-27	@ FK Klaipeda	W 2-0	29.3	1362	934	76.16%	18.50%	5.34%	+2.45	+5.4	31
2011-08-28	Ekranas	L 1-5	40.6	1317	1642	8.81%	20.65%	70.53%	-1.85	-14.5	31
2011-08-28	@ Dainava Alytus	W 5-1	40.6	1642	1317	70.53%	20.65%	8.81%	+1.85	+14.5	53
2011-08-28	Suduva	W 2-1	58.8	1275	1532	12.28%	21.89%	65.83%	-1.46	+27.2	19
2011-08-28	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-2	58.8	1532	1275	65.83%	21.89%	12.28%	+1.46	-27.2	43
2011-08-28	VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-1	36.7	1235	1613	6.79%	19.57%	73.64%	-2.16	-3.7	27
2011-08-28	@ Mazeikiai	W 1-0	36.7	1613	1235	73.64%	19.57%	6.79%	+2.16	+3.7	56
2011-09-09	Dainava Alytus	L 2-5	37.2	999	1302	9.80%	21.07%	69.13%	-1.73	-10.9	10
2011-09-09	@ Atlantas	W 5-2	37.2	1302	999	69.13%	21.07%	9.80%	+1.73	+10.9	34
2011-09-09	Mazeikiai	W 4-0	31.6	1505	1231	67.82%	21.42%	10.76%	+1.61	+21.3	46
2011-09-09	@ Suduva	L 0-4	31.6	1231	1505	10.76%	21.42%	67.82%	-1.61	-21.3	27
2011-09-10	Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	47.1	1392	1443	31.57%	24.03%	44.41%	-0.27	+38.0	44
2011-09-10	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-2	47.1	1443	1392	44.41%	24.03%	31.57%	+0.27	-38.0	36
2011-09-10	FK Klaipeda	W 3-0	25.3	1617	929	86.26%	12.37%	1.38%	+4.01	+1.8	59
2011-09-10	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-3	25.3	929	1617	1.38%	12.37%	86.26%	-4.01	-1.8	8
2011-09-11	FBK Kaunas	W 3-1	43.5	1656	1302	72.88%	19.86%	7.26%	+2.08	+6.5	56
2011-09-11	@ Ekranas	L 1-3	43.5	1302	1656	7.26%	19.86%	72.88%	-2.08	-6.5	19
2011-09-11	Kruoja Pakruojis	D 2-2	60.7	1367	1407	33.14%	24.06%	42.80%	-0.20	+0.7	32
2011-09-11	@ Tauras Taurage	D 2-2	60.7	1407	1367	42.80%	24.06%	33.14%	+0.20	-0.7	38
2011-09-13	Suduva	L 0-1	29.4	927	1526	2.28%	14.58%	83.14%	-3.44	-1.1	8
2011-09-13	@ FK Klaipeda	W 1-0	29.4	1526	927	83.14%	14.58%	2.28%	+3.44	+1.1	49
2011-09-14	Atlantas	W 3-1	34.0	1430	988	77.32%	17.95%	4.73%	+2.59	+4.1	47
2011-09-14	@ FK Siauliai	L 1-3	34.0	988	1430	4.73%	17.95%	77.32%	-2.59	-4.1	10
2011-09-14	Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	47.0	1368	1405	33.49%	24.07%	42.45%	-0.18	+19.4	35
2011-09-14	@ Tauras Taurage	L 0-1	47.0	1405	1368	42.45%	24.07%	33.49%	+0.18	-19.4	36
2011-09-14	Dainava Alytus	L 0-2	41.2	1296	1313	36.22%	24.10%	39.68%	-0.07	-32.4	19
2011-09-14	@ FBK Kaunas	W 2-0	41.2	1313	1296	39.68%	24.10%	36.22%	+0.07	+32.4	37
2011-09-14	Kruoja Pakruojis	W 2-0	44.1	1619	1406	63.10%	22.42%	14.48%	+1.26	+14.9	62
2011-09-14	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-2	44.1	1406	1619	14.48%	22.42%	63.10%	-1.26	-14.9	38
2011-09-15	Ekranas	L 1-2	41.0	1210	1663	4.71%	17.93%	77.36%	-2.59	-2.4	27
2011-09-15	@ Mazeikiai	W 2-1	41.0	1663	1210	77.36%	17.93%	4.71%	+2.59	+2.4	59
2011-09-17	FBK Kaunas	L 3-4	45.8	984	1263	11.01%	21.50%	67.49%	-1.59	-5.3	10
2011-09-17	@ Atlantas	W 4-3	45.8	1263	984	67.49%	21.50%	11.01%	+1.59	+5.3	22
2011-09-17	Kruoja Pakruojis	D 0-0	55.9	1527	1391	55.81%	23.38%	20.81%	+0.82	-4.0	50
2011-09-17	@ Suduva	D 0-0	55.9	1391	1527	20.81%	23.38%	55.81%	-0.82	+4.0	39
2011-09-18	Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	60.0	1633	1386	65.94%	21.86%	12.20%	+1.47	-6.4	63
2011-09-18	@ VMFD Zalgiris	D 0-0	60.0	1386	1633	12.20%	21.86%	65.94%	-1.47	+6.4	37
2011-09-18	FK Klaipeda	W 5-0	23.8	1665	926	87.65%	11.29%	1.06%	+4.31	+2.1	62
2011-09-18	@ Ekranas	L 0-5	23.8	926	1665	1.06%	11.29%	87.65%	-4.31	-2.1	8
2011-09-18	FK Siauliai	W 6-2	49.8	1387	1434	32.27%	24.04%	43.69%	-0.24	+50.3	38
2011-09-18	@ Tauras Taurage	L 2-6	49.8	1434	1387	43.69%	24.04%	32.27%	+0.24	-50.3	47
2011-09-18	Mazeikiai	W 3-0	34.4	1345	1207	56.06%	23.35%	20.58%	+0.83	+29.7	40
2011-09-18	@ Dainava Alytus	L 0-3	34.4	1207	1345	20.58%	23.35%	56.06%	-0.83	-29.7	27
2011-09-24	Dainava Alytus	L 0-3	27.4	924	1375	4.75%	17.97%	77.28%	-2.58	-7.0	8
2011-09-24	@ FK Klaipeda	W 3-0	27.4	1375	924	77.28%	17.97%	4.75%	+2.58	+7.0	43
2011-09-24	Ekranas	L 0-2	44.3	1395	1667	11.42%	21.63%	66.95%	-1.54	-11.9	39
2011-09-24	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	W 2-0	44.3	1667	1395	66.95%	21.63%	11.42%	+1.54	+11.9	65
2011-09-24	FBK Kaunas	W 3-2	55.5	1178	1268	26.71%	23.83%	49.46%	-0.50	+19.8	30
2011-09-24	@ Mazeikiai	L 2-3	55.5	1268	1178	49.46%	23.83%	26.71%	+0.50	-19.8	22
2011-09-25	Atlantas	W 6-1	28.8	1438	978	78.11%	17.55%	4.33%	+2.69	+8.4	41
2011-09-25	@ Tauras Taurage	L 1-6	28.8	978	1438	4.33%	17.55%	78.11%	-2.69	-8.4	10
2011-09-25	Suduva	L 0-2	42.8	1392	1523	22.31%	23.52%	54.16%	-0.73	-21.9	37
2011-09-25	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	42.8	1523	1392	54.16%	23.52%	22.31%	+0.73	+21.9	53
2011-09-25	VMFD Zalgiris	W 1-0	60.5	1383	1627	13.09%	22.10%	64.81%	-1.38	+28.4	50
2011-09-25	@ FK Siauliai	L 0-1	60.5	1627	1383	64.81%	22.10%	13.09%	+1.38	-28.4	63
2011-09-28	Ekranas	D 0-0	65.7	1545	1679	21.99%	23.49%	54.52%	-0.75	+3.6	54
2011-09-28	@ Suduva	D 0-0	65.7	1679	1545	54.52%	23.49%	21.99%	+0.75	-3.6	66
2011-10-01	FK Klaipeda	W 5-1	31.9	1249	917	71.59%	20.31%	8.10%	+1.95	+13.3	25
2011-10-01	@ FBK Kaunas	L 1-5	31.9	917	1249	8.10%	20.31%	71.59%	-1.95	-13.3	8
2011-10-01	Kruoja Pakruojis	D 2-2	60.5	1382	1383	38.50%	24.10%	37.40%	+0.02	-0.1	44
2011-10-01	@ Dainava Alytus	D 2-2	60.5	1383	1382	37.40%	24.10%	38.50%	-0.02	+0.1	40
2011-10-02	Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	44.7	1675	1370	69.95%	20.83%	9.22%	+1.80	+5.1	69
2011-10-02	@ Ekranas	L 0-1	44.7	1370	1675	9.22%	20.83%	69.95%	-1.80	-5.1	37
2011-10-02	FK Siauliai	D 0-0	57.4	1549	1412	55.95%	23.37%	20.69%	+0.82	-4.0	55
2011-10-02	@ Suduva	D 0-0	57.4	1412	1549	20.69%	23.37%	55.95%	-0.82	+4.0	51
2011-10-02	Mazeikiai	L 2-3	44.2	970	1197	14.17%	22.35%	63.48%	-1.29	-6.9	10
2011-10-02	@ Atlantas	W 3-2	44.2	1197	970	63.48%	22.35%	14.17%	+1.29	+6.9	33
2011-10-02	Tauras Taurage	W 1-0	48.4	1599	1446	57.57%	23.20%	19.23%	+0.91	+10.2	66
2011-10-02	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-1	48.4	1446	1599	19.23%	23.20%	57.57%	-0.91	-10.2	41
2011-10-05	Ekranas	L 1-4	45.7	1365	1681	9.23%	20.84%	69.93%	-1.80	-11.8	37
2011-10-05	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 4-1	45.7	1681	1365	69.93%	20.84%	9.23%	+1.80	+11.8	72
2011-10-14	Dainava Alytus	W 3-1	49.0	1353	1382	34.65%	24.08%	41.27%	-0.14	+31.0	40
2011-10-14	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 1-3	49.0	1382	1353	41.27%	24.08%	34.65%	+0.14	-31.0	44
2011-10-15	FBK Kaunas	L 0-4	44.2	1383	1262	54.28%	23.51%	22.21%	+0.73	-85.9	40
2011-10-15	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	W 4-0	44.2	1262	1383	22.21%	23.51%	54.28%	-0.73	+85.9	28
2011-10-15	Mazeikiai	L 0-2	31.4	904	1204	9.92%	21.12%	68.96%	-1.71	-10.4	8
2011-10-15	@ FK Klaipeda	W 2-0	31.4	1204	904	68.96%	21.12%	9.92%	+1.71	+10.4	36
2011-10-16	Atlantas	W 3-0	25.8	1609	963	85.01%	13.29%	1.71%	+3.77	+2.2	69
2011-10-16	@ VMFD Zalgiris	L 0-3	25.8	963	1609	1.71%	13.29%	85.01%	-3.77	-2.2	10
2011-10-16	Ekranas	D 0-0	63.3	1416	1692	11.16%	21.55%	67.29%	-1.57	+6.7	52
2011-10-16	@ FK Siauliai	D 0-0	63.3	1692	1416	67.29%	21.55%	11.16%	+1.57	-6.7	73
2011-10-16	Suduva	L 0-2	45.9	1436	1545	24.67%	23.71%	51.62%	-0.60	-23.8	41
2011-10-16	@ Tauras Taurage	W 2-0	45.9	1545	1436	51.62%	23.71%	24.67%	+0.60	+23.9	58
2011-10-23	Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	44.4	1348	1384	33.61%	24.07%	42.32%	-0.18	+36.6	31
2011-10-23	@ FBK Kaunas	L 0-2	44.4	1384	1348	42.32%	24.07%	33.61%	+0.18	-36.6	40
2011-10-23	Ekranas	L 0-1	47.4	1412	1686	11.32%	21.60%	67.08%	-1.55	-6.3	41
2011-10-23	@ Tauras Taurage	W 1-0	47.4	1686	1412	67.08%	21.60%	11.32%	+1.55	+6.3	76
2011-10-23	FK Klaipeda	D 2-2	57.6	961	893	47.88%	23.91%	28.21%	+0.42	-1.4	11
2011-10-23	@ Atlantas	D 2-2	57.6	893	961	28.21%	23.91%	47.88%	-0.42	+1.4	9
2011-10-23	FK Siauliai	L 0-1	43.0	1351	1422	29.03%	23.94%	47.03%	-0.38	-14.4	44
2011-10-23	@ Dainava Alytus	W 1-0	43.0	1422	1351	47.03%	23.94%	29.03%	+0.38	+14.4	55
2011-10-23	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 1-4	41.0	1215	1298	27.65%	23.88%	48.47%	-0.45	-32.1	36
2011-10-23	@ Mazeikiai	W 4-1	41.0	1298	1215	48.47%	23.88%	27.65%	+0.45	+32.1	43
2011-10-23	VMFD Zalgiris	W 2-0	58.1	1568	1611	32.75%	24.05%	43.20%	-0.22	+37.2	61
2011-10-23	@ Suduva	L 0-2	58.1	1611	1568	43.20%	24.05%	32.75%	+0.22	-37.2	69
2011-10-30	Atlantas	W 13-0	25.2	1606	959	85.02%	13.28%	1.70%	+3.77	+9.0	64
2011-10-30	@ Suduva	L 0-13	25.2	959	1606	1.70%	13.28%	85.02%	-3.77	-9.0	11
2011-10-30	Dainava Alytus	D 2-2	60.1	1406	1336	48.09%	23.90%	28.02%	+0.43	-1.5	42
2011-10-30	@ Tauras Taurage	D 2-2	60.1	1336	1406	28.02%	23.90%	48.09%	-0.43	+1.4	45
2011-10-30	Ekranas	L 1-2	60.5	1574	1692	23.67%	23.64%	52.69%	-0.65	-11.5	69
2011-10-30	@ VMFD Zalgiris	W 2-1	60.5	1692	1574	52.69%	23.64%	23.67%	+0.65	+11.5	79
2011-10-30	FBK Kaunas	D 2-2	61.7	1437	1385	45.90%	23.98%	30.12%	+0.33	-1.1	56
2011-10-30	@ FK Siauliai	D 2-2	61.7	1385	1437	30.12%	23.98%	45.90%	-0.33	+1.1	32
2011-10-30	FK Klaipeda	W 6-0	26.1	1330	895	77.02%	18.10%	4.88%	+2.55	+13.7	46
2011-10-30	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	L 0-6	26.1	895	1330	4.88%	18.10%	77.02%	-2.55	-13.7	9
2011-10-30	Mazeikiai	W 2-0	35.0	1348	1183	58.82%	23.05%	18.13%	+0.99	+18.3	43
2011-10-30	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-2	35.0	1183	1348	18.13%	23.05%	58.82%	-0.99	-18.3	36
2011-11-05	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-5	25.6	881	1366	4.02%	17.20%	78.78%	-2.78	-9.3	9
2011-11-05	@ FK Klaipeda	W 5-0	25.6	1366	881	78.78%	17.20%	4.02%	+2.78	+9.3	46
2011-11-06	FBK Kaunas	W 4-2	51.7	1404	1386	41.33%	24.08%	34.58%	+0.14	+24.2	45
2011-11-06	@ Tauras Taurage	L 2-4	51.7	1386	1404	34.58%	24.08%	41.33%	-0.14	-24.2	32
2011-11-06	FK Siauliai	L 1-5	34.2	1164	1436	11.44%	21.64%	66.92%	-1.54	-18.9	36
2011-11-06	@ Mazeikiai	W 5-1	34.2	1436	1164	66.92%	21.64%	11.44%	+1.54	+18.9	59
2011-11-06	Kruoja Pakruojis	L 0-3	28.3	950	1343	6.33%	19.26%	74.41%	-2.24	-9.5	11
2011-11-06	@ Atlantas	W 3-0	28.3	1343	950	74.41%	19.26%	6.33%	+2.24	+9.5	49
2011-11-06	Suduva	D 2-2	76.0	1703	1615	50.50%	23.78%	25.73%	+0.54	-1.8	80
2011-11-06	@ Ekranas	D 2-2	76.0	1615	1703	25.73%	23.78%	50.50%	-0.54	+1.8	65
2011-11-06	VMFD Zalgiris	L 1-3	44.4	1338	1562	14.36%	22.39%	63.25%	-1.27	-12.8	45
2011-11-06	@ Dainava Alytus	W 3-1	44.4	1562	1338	63.25%	22.39%	14.36%	+1.27	+12.8	72

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2011-03-19	6.57%	@ Mazeikiai	1120	2	VMFD Zalgiris	1506	0
2	2011-06-11	8.57%	@ FK Klaipeda	1031	1	Tauras Taurage	1361	0
3	2011-04-16	11.49%	Kruoja Pakruojis	1322	2	@ Suduva	1582	1
4	2011-08-28	12.28%	@ FBK Kaunas	1275	2	Suduva	1532	1
5	2011-09-25	13.09%	@ FK Siauliai	1383	1	VMFD Zalgiris	1627	0
6	2011-04-09	14.69%	Dainava Alytus	1143	1	@ FBK Kaunas	1352	0
7	2011-07-24	14.88%	@ FK Siauliai	1367	1	Suduva	1584	0
8	2011-07-03	15.28%	Banga Gargzdai	1410	1	@ Suduva	1611	0
9	2011-07-31	19.76%	@ FBK Kaunas	1253	3	Kruoja Pakruojis	1410	1
10	2011-07-23	19.83%	Dainava Alytus	1289	1	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	1435	0
11	2011-05-01	22.10%	Mazeikiai	1139	5	@ Atlantas	1262	0
12	2011-10-15	22.21%	FBK Kaunas	1262	4	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	1383	0
13	2011-05-08	22.95%	Dainava Alytus	1240	2	@ Banga Gargzdai	1354	1
14	2011-04-02	24.00%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1339	3	FK Siauliai	1454	1
15	2011-05-11	24.12%	FK Klaipeda	1032	3	@ Atlantas	1136	1
16	2011-05-18	24.86%	Mazeikiai	1233	1	@ Banga Gargzdai	1329	0
17	2011-08-06	24.94%	Atlantas	938	4	@ FK Klaipeda	1033	0
18	2011-08-07	25.41%	Dainava Alytus	1297	3	@ FK Siauliai	1388	1
19	2011-06-11	25.68%	Kruoja Pakruojis	1376	4	@ FK Siauliai	1465	0
20	2011-08-14	26.27%	VMFD Zalgiris	1578	2	@ Ekranas	1662	1
21	2011-09-24	26.71%	@ Mazeikiai	1178	3	FBK Kaunas	1268	2
22	2011-04-17	27.40%	@ Atlantas	1240	2	FBK Kaunas	1325	0
23	2011-08-21	28.77%	Kruoja Pakruojis	1388	2	@ Banga Gargzdai	1451	1
24	2011-09-10	31.57%	@ FK Siauliai	1392	2	Banga Gargzdai	1443	0
25	2011-06-15	32.07%	Banga Gargzdai	1347	3	@ FK Siauliai	1384	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-05-01	106.14	Mazeikiai	5	1139	22.10%	@ Atlantas	0	1262	54.39%	23.51%
2	2011-10-15	85.94	FBK Kaunas	4	1262	22.21%	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	0	1383	54.28%	23.51%
3	2011-08-06	81.72	Atlantas	4	938	24.94%	@ FK Klaipeda	0	1033	51.34%	23.73%
4	2011-06-11	80.59	Kruoja Pakruojis	4	1376	25.68%	@ FK Siauliai	0	1465	50.54%	23.77%
5	2011-03-19	60.36	@ Mazeikiai	2	1120	6.57%	VMFD Zalgiris	0	1506	74.01%	19.42%
6	2011-09-18	50.33	@ Tauras Taurage	6	1387	32.27%	FK Siauliai	2	1434	43.69%	24.04%
7	2011-06-29	48.75	@ Dainava Alytus	7	1232	62.80%	Atlantas	0	1024	14.73%	22.47%
8	2011-03-12	47.85	@ VMFD Zalgiris	3	1458	38.87%	FBK Kaunas	0	1457	37.02%	24.10%
9	2011-06-18	42.59	Banga Gargzdai	3	1380	44.11%	@ Tauras Taurage	0	1330	31.86%	24.03%
10	2011-04-17	41.14	@ Atlantas	2	1240	27.40%	FBK Kaunas	0	1325	48.73%	23.87%
11	2011-07-31	41.04	@ FBK Kaunas	3	1253	19.76%	Kruoja Pakruojis	1	1410	56.98%	23.26%
12	2011-09-10	38.02	@ FK Siauliai	2	1392	31.57%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1443	44.41%	24.03%
13	2011-04-02	37.95	@ Banga Gargzdai	3	1339	24.00%	FK Siauliai	1	1454	52.34%	23.66%
14	2011-05-11	37.86	FK Klaipeda	3	1032	24.12%	@ Atlantas	1	1136	52.21%	23.67%
15	2011-06-26	37.17	@ FBK Kaunas	4	1210	57.19%	Atlantas	0	1061	19.57%	23.24%
16	2011-10-23	37.16	@ Suduva	2	1568	32.75%	VMFD Zalgiris	0	1611	43.20%	24.05%
17	2011-08-07	36.97	Dainava Alytus	3	1297	25.41%	@ FK Siauliai	1	1388	50.83%	23.76%
18	2011-10-23	36.56	@ FBK Kaunas	2	1348	33.61%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1384	42.32%	24.07%
19	2011-04-21	33.51	@ Dainava Alytus	5	1204	55.12%	FK Klaipeda	1	1074	21.43%	23.44%
20	2011-04-17	32.86	@ Dainava Alytus	2	1171	39.00%	Mazeikiai	0	1169	36.90%	24.10%
21	2011-06-15	32.62	Banga Gargzdai	3	1347	32.07%	@ FK Siauliai	1	1384	43.90%	24.04%
22	2011-09-14	32.40	Dainava Alytus	2	1313	39.68%	@ FBK Kaunas	0	1296	36.22%	24.10%
23	2011-03-19	32.11	Suduva	3	1538	53.92%	@ FBK Kaunas	0	1409	22.53%	23.54%
24	2011-10-23	32.08	Kruoja Pakruojis	4	1298	48.47%	@ Mazeikiai	1	1215	27.65%	23.88%
25	2011-10-14	31.03	@ Banga Gargzdai	3	1353	34.65%	Dainava Alytus	1	1382	41.27%	24.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-11-06	76.0	@ Ekranas	2	1703	50.50%	Suduva	2	1615	25.73%	23.78%
2	2011-08-14	68.0	VMFD Zalgiris	2	1578	26.27%	@ Ekranas	1	1662	49.92%	23.81%
3	2011-05-11	66.7	@ Suduva	1	1586	46.74%	VMFD Zalgiris	1	1527	29.30%	23.95%
4	2011-09-28	65.7	@ Suduva	0	1545	21.99%	Ekranas	0	1679	54.52%	23.49%
5	2011-10-16	63.3	@ FK Siauliai	0	1416	11.16%	Ekranas	0	1692	67.29%	21.55%
6	2011-07-03	62.8	@ Ekranas	0	1670	65.44%	Kruoja Pakruojis	0	1429	12.59%	21.97%
7	2011-05-01	61.9	@ Ekranas	1	1612	67.17%	Banga Gargzdai	1	1348	11.25%	21.58%
8	2011-04-16	61.8	Kruoja Pakruojis	2	1322	11.49%	@ Suduva	1	1582	66.85%	21.66%
9	2011-10-30	61.7	@ FK Siauliai	2	1437	45.90%	FBK Kaunas	2	1385	30.12%	23.98%
10	2011-04-17	61.4	@ Ekranas	2	1592	80.77%	FK Klaipeda	2	1068	3.15%	16.07%
11	2011-05-08	61.1	@ FK Siauliai	0	1453	20.09%	Ekranas	0	1606	56.60%	23.30%
12	2011-09-11	60.7	@ Tauras Taurage	2	1367	33.14%	Kruoja Pakruojis	2	1407	42.80%	24.06%
13	2011-09-25	60.5	@ FK Siauliai	1	1383	13.09%	VMFD Zalgiris	0	1627	64.81%	22.10%
14	2011-10-01	60.5	@ Dainava Alytus	2	1382	38.50%	Kruoja Pakruojis	2	1383	37.40%	24.10%
15	2011-10-30	60.5	Ekranas	2	1692	52.69%	@ VMFD Zalgiris	1	1574	23.67%	23.64%
16	2011-07-03	60.2	Banga Gargzdai	1	1410	15.28%	@ Suduva	0	1611	62.14%	22.58%
17	2011-10-30	60.1	@ Tauras Taurage	2	1406	48.09%	Dainava Alytus	2	1336	28.02%	23.90%
18	2011-08-07	60.0	@ VMFD Zalgiris	3	1548	36.43%	Suduva	1	1564	39.47%	24.10%
19	2011-08-14	60.0	@ Mazeikiai	2	1266	17.36%	Banga Gargzdai	2	1451	59.71%	22.94%
20	2011-09-18	60.0	@ VMFD Zalgiris	0	1633	65.94%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1386	12.20%	21.86%
21	2011-08-07	59.4	@ Ekranas	0	1670	72.83%	Tauras Taurage	0	1316	7.29%	19.87%
22	2011-04-30	59.3	@ Suduva	0	1564	53.49%	FK Siauliai	0	1449	22.93%	23.58%
23	2011-08-28	58.8	@ FBK Kaunas	2	1275	12.28%	Suduva	1	1532	65.83%	21.89%
24	2011-07-26	58.7	@ Tauras Taurage	1	1318	13.88%	VMFD Zalgiris	1	1550	63.84%	22.29%
25	2011-05-01	58.3	@ FBK Kaunas	2	1280	65.29%	FK Klaipeda	2	1041	12.71%	22.00%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-09-18	23.8	@ Ekranas	5	1665	87.65%	FK Klaipeda	0	926	1.06%	11.29%
2	2011-10-30	25.2	@ Suduva	13	1606	85.02%	Atlantas	0	959	1.70%	13.28%
3	2011-09-10	25.3	@ VMFD Zalgiris	3	1617	86.26%	FK Klaipeda	0	929	1.38%	12.37%
4	2011-11-05	25.6	Banga Gargzdai	5	1366	78.78%	@ FK Klaipeda	0	881	4.02%	17.20%
5	2011-10-16	25.8	@ VMFD Zalgiris	3	1609	85.01%	Atlantas	0	963	1.71%	13.29%
6	2011-07-31	25.9	VMFD Zalgiris	3	1545	83.32%	@ Atlantas	0	941	2.22%	14.46%
7	2011-10-30	26.1	@ Kruoja Pakruojis	6	1330	77.02%	FK Klaipeda	0	895	4.88%	18.10%
8	2011-08-20	26.2	@ FK Siauliai	5	1379	76.94%	FK Klaipeda	0	946	4.92%	18.14%
9	2011-08-26	26.6	@ Banga Gargzdai	5	1431	76.27%	Atlantas	0	1011	5.28%	18.45%
10	2011-05-28	27.2	@ FK Siauliai	4	1455	75.99%	FK Klaipeda	0	1041	5.43%	18.58%
11	2011-05-27	27.4	@ Ekranas	7	1639	81.33%	Atlantas	0	1101	2.94%	15.74%
12	2011-09-24	27.4	Dainava Alytus	3	1375	77.28%	@ FK Klaipeda	0	924	4.75%	17.97%
13	2011-04-03	27.9	@ VMFD Zalgiris	5	1445	72.99%	FK Klaipeda	0	1089	7.19%	19.82%
14	2011-07-03	28.0	@ Tauras Taurage	6	1293	70.77%	Atlantas	0	975	8.65%	20.58%
15	2011-11-06	28.3	Kruoja Pakruojis	3	1343	74.41%	@ Atlantas	0	950	6.33%	19.26%
16	2011-09-25	28.8	@ Tauras Taurage	6	1438	78.11%	Atlantas	1	978	4.33%	17.55%
17	2011-08-27	29.3	Tauras Taurage	2	1362	76.16%	@ FK Klaipeda	0	934	5.34%	18.50%
18	2011-09-13	29.4	Suduva	1	1526	83.14%	@ FK Klaipeda	0	927	2.28%	14.58%
19	2011-04-09	29.5	Suduva	2	1579	79.70%	@ FK Klaipeda	0	1072	3.61%	16.70%
20	2011-05-18	30.1	Suduva	2	1584	78.84%	@ Atlantas	0	1098	3.99%	17.17%
21	2011-05-08	30.3	@ VMFD Zalgiris	8	1507	72.70%	Atlantas	1	1156	7.38%	19.92%
22	2011-03-20	30.5	Ekranas	3	1555	74.21%	@ Dainava Alytus	0	1166	6.45%	19.34%
23	2011-06-29	30.5	@ Dainava Alytus	7	1232	62.80%	Atlantas	0	1024	14.73%	22.47%
24	2011-04-02	30.8	@ Suduva	3	1570	74.76%	Mazeikiai	0	1181	6.13%	19.12%
25	2011-07-23	31.0	@ Mazeikiai	2	1262	70.36%	Atlantas	0	950	8.93%	20.71%