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2014 A Lyga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

VMFD Zalgiris

84 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

FK Siauliai

8.80 points above expected

40 points · 31.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Banga Gargzdai

8.44 points below expected

30 points · 38.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 VMFD Zalgiris 36 25 9 2 84 92 17 +75 82.98 +1.02
2 Kruoja Pakruojis 36 19 9 8 66 67 34 +33 60.38 +5.62
3 Atlantas 36 19 8 9 65 76 36 +40 63.28 +1.72
4 Trakai 36 18 9 9 63 65 38 +27 55.24 +7.76
5 Suduva 36 17 11 8 62 70 38 +32 67.84 -5.84
6 Ekranas 36 12 9 15 45 51 58 -7 50.19 -5.19
7 FK Siauliai 36 12 4 20 40 50 63 -13 31.20 +8.80
8 FK Klaipedos Granitas 36 9 10 17 37 47 67 -20 40.11 -3.11
9 Banga Gargzdai 36 8 6 22 30 29 65 -36 38.44 -8.44
10 Dainava Alytus 36 2 3 31 9 12 143 -131 13.33 -4.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FK Siauliai 40 31.20 +8.80
2 Trakai 63 55.24 +7.76
3 Kruoja Pakruojis 66 60.38 +5.62
4 Atlantas 65 63.28 +1.72
5 VMFD Zalgiris 84 82.98 +1.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Banga Gargzdai 30 38.44 -8.44
2 Suduva 62 67.84 -5.84
3 Ekranas 45 50.19 -5.19
4 Dainava Alytus 9 13.33 -4.33
5 FK Klaipedos Granitas 37 40.11 -3.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FK Siauliai 3 Jun 9 – Jun 19 1 in 245
2 Trakai 7 May 20 – Jul 27 1 in 212
3 Banga Gargzdai 2 Mar 9 – Mar 15 1 in 33
4 Dainava Alytus 1 May 27 – May 27 1 in 22
5 Atlantas 4 Sep 19 – Oct 18 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atlantas 4 May 23 – Jun 18 1 in 490
2 Dainava Alytus 14 Mar 8 – May 22 1 in 91
3 Banga Gargzdai 7 Jun 15 – Aug 17 1 in 61
4 Trakai 4 Oct 5 – Oct 30 1 in 61
5 Suduva 2 Mar 9 – Mar 16 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Banga Gargzdai 6 Mar 9 – Apr 6 1 in 67
2 Ekranas 8 Mar 16 – Apr 19 1 in 38
3 Atlantas 9 Sep 19 – Nov 29 1 in 23
4 FK Klaipedos Granitas 5 May 11 – Jun 14 1 in 22
5 FK Siauliai 3 Jun 9 – Jun 19 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Suduva 6 Aug 9 – Sep 17 1 in 398
2 Atlantas 6 May 10 – Jun 18 1 in 56
3 Ekranas 6 Mar 22 – Apr 16 1 in 17
4 Banga Gargzdai 11 Sep 14 – Nov 29 1 in 14
5 Kruoja Pakruojis 4 Mar 26 – Apr 13 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
VMFD Zalgiris 1642 84 +15 13 12.5 +0.5
Kruoja Pakruojis 1426 66 +15 8 7.3 +0.7
Atlantas 1469 65 +69 13 8.6 +4.4
Trakai 1364 63 -20 7 8.7 -1.7
Suduva 1462 62 +4 10 10.4 -0.4
Ekranas 1174 45 -69 1 4.0 -3.0
FK Siauliai 1161 40 +37 8 6.2 +1.8
FK Klaipedos Granitas 1160 37 +61 7 6.0 +1.0
Banga Gargzdai 937 30 -101 1 4.5 -3.5
Dainava Alytus 824 9 -13 1 1.8 -0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ATL BG DA EKR FKG FS KP SUD TRA VZ
Atlantas —
3-1-0
8.50
4-0-0
10.23
2-1-1
7.20
3-1-0
8.04
3-0-1
8.99
1-1-2
5.68
1-3-0
5.13
1-1-2
6.57
1-0-3
2.95
Banga Gargzdai
0-1-3
2.65
 —
2-1-1
9.36
0-2-2
3.81
1-1-2
5.12
1-0-3
6.15
2-0-2
2.89
1-0-3
2.50
1-1-2
3.64
0-0-4
1.28
Dainava Alytus
0-0-4
1.12
1-1-2
1.87
 —
0-0-4
1.48
0-1-3
1.81
0-0-4
2.89
1-0-3
1.13
0-1-3
0.90
0-0-4
1.07
0-0-4
0.53
Ekranas
1-1-2
3.90
2-2-0
7.29
4-0-0
9.80
 —
2-1-1
7.02
1-1-2
7.44
1-0-3
4.56
0-2-2
3.71
1-1-2
4.53
0-1-3
1.94
FK Klaipedos Granitas
0-1-3
3.09
2-1-1
5.97
3-1-0
9.42
1-1-2
4.07
 —
2-1-1
6.60
0-2-2
3.10
0-1-3
2.86
0-1-3
3.98
1-1-2
1.43
FK Siauliai
1-0-3
2.19
3-0-1
4.95
4-0-0
8.26
2-1-1
3.68
1-1-2
4.50
 —
0-1-3
2.25
0-0-4
1.88
1-0-3
2.61
0-1-3
1.18
Kruoja Pakruojis
2-1-1
5.40
2-0-2
8.27
3-0-1
10.25
3-0-1
6.54
2-2-0
8.04
3-1-0
8.93
 —
3-1-0
4.59
1-2-1
5.88
0-2-2
2.43
Suduva
0-3-1
5.96
3-0-1
8.67
3-1-0
10.52
2-2-0
7.40
3-1-0
8.28
4-0-0
9.34
0-1-3
6.49
 —
2-1-1
6.81
0-2-2
3.63
Trakai
2-1-1
4.53
2-1-1
7.50
4-0-0
10.30
2-1-1
6.57
3-1-0
7.13
3-0-1
8.54
1-2-1
5.21
1-1-2
4.28
 —
0-2-2
2.46
VMFD Zalgiris
3-0-1
8.18
4-0-0
10.06
4-0-0
11.06
3-1-0
9.27
2-1-1
9.85
3-1-0
10.15
2-2-0
8.73
2-2-0
7.48
2-2-0
8.70
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.97 +9.2
Allowed 0.87 -5.9
Differential 0.95 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%6.67%6.11%3.33%2.50%3.89%33.61%
16.67%5.56%5.28%3.89%2.50%2.78%26.67%
26.11%5.28%5.00%1.39%0.56%—18.33%
33.33%3.89%1.39%—0.28%—8.89%
42.50%2.50%0.56%0.28%——5.83%
5+3.89%2.78%————6.67%
Total33.61%26.67%18.33%8.89%5.83%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.83
CV 1.14 1.14 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%—22.22%
111.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
25.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
311.11%2.78%————13.89%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+8.33%—————8.33%
Total52.78%16.67%13.89%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.00 +1.11
SD 2.39 1.29 3.13
CV 1.13 1.29 —
Max 12 4 +12
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%47.22%
111.11%—8.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%38.89%
2—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%22.22%19.44%11.11%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.81 -1.00
SD 1.17 1.65 2.15
CV 1.45 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%8.33%36.11%75.00%
1——5.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%16.67%
25.56%——2.78%——8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%5.56%16.67%11.11%11.11%41.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.33 3.97 -3.64
SD 0.63 2.87 3.08
CV 1.90 0.72 —
Max 2 12 +2
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
12.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%—5.56%19.44%
2—11.11%8.33%5.56%——25.00%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%27.78%30.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.61 -0.19
SD 1.46 1.34 2.10
CV 1.03 0.83 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
12.78%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%8.33%33.33%
25.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total27.78%16.67%25.00%13.89%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.86 -0.56
SD 1.37 1.66 2.38
CV 1.05 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
15.56%2.78%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%36.11%
22.78%2.78%——2.78%—8.33%
3—8.33%2.78%———11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total22.22%25.00%25.00%13.89%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.75 -0.36
SD 1.55 1.40 2.39
CV 1.12 0.80 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%5.56%———27.78%
111.11%8.33%————19.44%
22.78%8.33%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%11.11%————13.89%
5+2.78%5.56%————8.33%
Total27.78%52.78%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.94 +0.92
SD 1.66 0.75 1.79
CV 0.89 0.80 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%—2.78%——27.78%
12.78%11.11%5.56%——2.78%22.22%
213.89%2.78%5.56%———22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
5+8.33%2.78%————11.11%
Total38.89%38.89%13.89%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.06 +0.89
SD 1.97 1.47 2.56
CV 1.01 1.39 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
18.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
213.89%5.56%8.33%———27.78%
32.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total44.44%25.00%16.67%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.06 +0.75
SD 1.60 1.22 2.09
CV 0.89 1.15 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%—————13.89%
111.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
211.11%5.56%————16.67%
313.89%5.56%————19.44%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+2.78%13.89%————16.67%
Total58.33%36.11%5.56%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.56 0.47 +2.08
SD 2.32 0.61 2.31
CV 0.91 1.29 —
Max 9 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
VMFD Zalgiris 1642 84 82.98 +1.02 61.0% 66 72 79 83 87 93 99
Atlantas 1469 65 63.28 +1.72 59.0% 46 53 58 62 69 75 78
Suduva 1462 62 67.84 -5.84 23.0% 49 55 63 68 73 81 84
Kruoja Pakruojis 1426 66 60.38 +5.62 84.0% 40 47 56 61 65 74 80
Trakai 1364 63 55.24 +7.76 87.0% 41 45 50 55 61 65 72
Ekranas 1174 45 50.19 -5.19 30.0% 34 39 45 49 55 62 69
FK Siauliai 1161 40 31.20 +8.80 93.0% 15 22 28 31 35 41 46
FK Klaipedos Granitas 1160 37 40.11 -3.11 34.0% 27 29 35 40 44 51 55
Banga Gargzdai 937 30 38.44 -8.44 12.0% 22 28 33 38 43 49 56
Dainava Alytus 824 9 13.33 -4.33 18.0% 5 7 10 13 15 20 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.11%
Slight Edge
42.22%21.67%36.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.26 Elo pts.
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.19 goals
Neutral
-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.2
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
91%
VMFD Zalgiris, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.50/gm
Runaway
00.350.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.35 * Some Luck: 5.35 to 8.03 * Lucky: 8.03 to 10.7 * Wild Swing: 10.7 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.52 * Close: 0.52 to 0.78 * Off: 0.78 to 1.04 * Way Off: 1.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.78 points
Some Luck
06.6917
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Off
00.651.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
FK Siauliai
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
12.00%
Banga Gargzdai
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Balanced
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 256.01
2.72
Strong Separation
12.52.853.5
Interquartile Edge
84%
Slight Edge
50%77.5%86.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.512
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.79
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Some Carryover
00.650.811
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Upset-Prone
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.92
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.110
Well Within Noise
00.1140.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
VMFD Zalgiris91.00%8.00%1.00%———————
Kruoja Pakruojis1.00%14.00%28.00%31.00%16.00%7.00%3.00%———
Atlantas2.00%23.00%33.00%23.00%14.00%5.00%————
Trakai—6.00%8.00%21.00%41.00%15.00%8.00%1.00%——
Suduva6.00%49.00%23.00%14.00%6.00%2.00%————
Ekranas——7.00%11.00%18.00%49.00%12.00%3.00%——
FK Siauliai——————13.00%21.00%66.00%—
FK Klaipedos Granitas————3.00%11.00%37.00%36.00%13.00%—
Banga Gargzdai————2.00%11.00%27.00%39.00%21.00%—
Dainava Alytus—————————100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Atlantas 100% —
Ekranas 100% —
Kruoja Pakruojis 100% —
Suduva 100% —
Trakai 100% —
VMFD Zalgiris 100% —
FK Klaipedos Granitas 87.00% 13.00%
Banga Gargzdai 79.00% 21.00%
FK Siauliai 34.00% 66.00%
Dainava Alytus — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-03-08 Dainava Alytus W 6-026.8 1415 1022 76.39% 17.92% 5.68%+2.53 +14.7 3
2014-03-08 @ Atlantas L 0-626.8 1022 1415 5.68% 17.92% 76.39%-2.53 -14.7 0
2014-03-09 Banga Gargzdai L 0-153.2 1487 1184 71.52% 19.67% 8.81%+1.99 -28.7 0
2014-03-09 @ Suduva W 1-053.2 1184 1487 8.81% 19.67% 71.52%-1.99 +28.7 3
2014-03-09 FK Siauliai W 3-133.8 1454 1002 79.09% 16.67% 4.24%+2.89 +3.3 3
2014-03-09 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 1-333.8 1002 1454 4.24% 16.67% 79.09%-2.89 -3.3 0
2014-03-09 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-250.7 1318 1269 48.20% 22.81% 29.00%+0.43 -18.8 0
2014-03-09 @ Ekranas W 2-150.7 1269 1318 29.00% 22.81% 48.20%-0.43 +18.8 3
2014-03-10 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 2-040.5 1234 1234 41.53% 22.96% 35.50%+0.13 +29.4 3
2014-03-10 @ Trakai L 0-240.5 1234 1234 35.50% 22.96% 41.53%-0.13 -29.4 0
2014-03-15 Atlantas D 2-258.9 1205 1430 15.84% 21.60% 62.57%-1.25 +3.4 1
2014-03-15 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas D 2-258.9 1430 1205 62.57% 21.60% 15.84%+1.25 -3.4 4
2014-03-15 Trakai W 1-044.3 1212 1263 34.34% 22.95% 42.71%-0.18 +18.0 6
2014-03-15 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-144.3 1263 1212 42.71% 22.95% 34.34%+0.18 -18.0 3
2014-03-16 Ekranas L 0-330.9 1008 1300 11.47% 20.61% 67.92%-1.66 -15.8 0
2014-03-16 @ Dainava Alytus W 3-030.9 1300 1008 67.92% 20.61% 11.47%+1.66 +15.8 3
2014-03-16 Kruoja Pakruojis D 1-153.5 999 1288 11.65% 20.66% 67.69%-1.64 +5.5 1
2014-03-16 @ FK Siauliai D 1-153.5 1288 999 67.69% 20.66% 11.65%+1.64 -5.5 4
2014-03-16 Suduva W 8-145.6 1457 1458 41.37% 22.97% 35.66%+0.12 +77.9 6
2014-03-16 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 1-845.6 1458 1457 35.66% 22.97% 41.37%-0.12 -77.9 0
2014-03-21 Banga Gargzdai D 0-050.9 1426 1230 63.73% 21.42% 14.85%+1.33 -5.3 5
2014-03-21 @ Atlantas D 0-050.9 1230 1426 14.85% 21.42% 63.73%-1.33 +5.3 7
2014-03-21 VMFD Zalgiris D 1-156.6 1245 1535 11.59% 20.65% 67.77%-1.64 +5.6 4
2014-03-21 @ Trakai D 1-156.6 1535 1245 67.77% 20.65% 11.59%+1.64 -5.6 7
2014-03-22 FK Siauliai W 2-030.1 1380 1004 75.57% 18.26% 6.17%+2.43 +5.8 3
2014-03-22 @ Suduva L 0-230.1 1004 1380 6.17% 18.26% 75.57%-2.43 -5.8 1
2014-03-22 FK Klaipedos Granitas D 1-153.4 1315 1208 55.11% 22.41% 22.48%+0.79 -3.0 4
2014-03-22 @ Ekranas D 1-153.4 1208 1315 22.48% 22.41% 55.11%-0.79 +3.0 2
2014-03-23 Dainava Alytus W 4-029.0 1282 992 70.68% 19.91% 9.40%+1.90 +17.0 7
2014-03-23 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-429.0 992 1282 9.40% 19.91% 70.68%-1.90 -16.9 0
2014-03-25 Atlantas W 4-041.7 1530 1421 55.23% 22.40% 22.36%+0.79 +38.1 10
2014-03-25 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-441.7 1421 1530 22.36% 22.40% 55.23%-0.79 -38.1 5
2014-03-25 Ekranas D 0-049.7 1236 1312 30.93% 22.87% 46.20%-0.34 +1.5 8
2014-03-25 @ Banga Gargzdai D 0-049.7 1312 1236 46.20% 22.87% 30.93%+0.34 -1.5 5
2014-03-26 Kruoja Pakruojis D 2-257.8 1211 1299 29.51% 22.83% 47.66%-0.41 +1.2 3
2014-03-26 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas D 2-257.8 1299 1211 47.66% 22.83% 29.51%+0.41 -1.2 8
2014-03-26 Trakai L 0-149.6 1386 1251 58.07% 22.15% 19.79%+0.96 -23.6 3
2014-03-26 @ Suduva W 1-049.6 1251 1386 19.79% 22.15% 58.07%-0.96 +23.6 7
2014-03-27 Dainava Alytus W 5-036.2 999 975 44.78% 22.91% 32.31%+0.27 +63.7 4
2014-03-27 @ FK Siauliai L 0-536.2 975 999 32.31% 22.91% 44.78%-0.27 -63.7 0
2014-03-29 Suduva W 1-043.5 1383 1363 44.33% 22.92% 32.75%+0.25 +14.6 8
2014-03-29 @ Atlantas L 0-143.5 1363 1383 32.75% 22.92% 44.33%-0.25 -14.6 3
2014-03-29 VMFD Zalgiris D 0-055.3 1311 1568 13.60% 21.16% 65.25%-1.44 +5.6 6
2014-03-29 @ Ekranas D 0-055.3 1568 1311 65.25% 21.16% 13.60%+1.44 -5.7 11
2014-03-30 Banga Gargzdai L 0-146.6 1298 1237 49.59% 22.75% 27.66%+0.50 -20.4 8
2014-03-30 @ Kruoja Pakruojis W 1-046.6 1237 1298 27.66% 22.75% 49.59%-0.50 +20.4 11
2014-03-30 FK Siauliai W 2-139.2 1274 1062 65.07% 21.19% 13.74%+1.43 +6.5 10
2014-03-30 @ Trakai L 1-239.2 1062 1274 13.74% 21.19% 65.07%-1.43 -6.5 4
2014-03-30 FK Klaipedos Granitas L 0-529.1 911 1212 10.98% 20.46% 68.56%-1.71 -24.4 0
2014-03-30 @ Dainava Alytus W 5-029.1 1212 911 68.56% 20.46% 10.98%+1.71 +24.4 6
2014-04-03 Atlantas D 0-050.7 1281 1397 26.10% 22.67% 51.23%-0.58 +2.6 11
2014-04-03 @ Trakai D 0-050.7 1397 1281 51.23% 22.67% 26.10%+0.58 -2.6 9
2014-04-04 Kruoja Pakruojis W 2-036.1 1562 1277 70.33% 20.01% 9.66%+1.87 +9.2 14
2014-04-04 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-236.1 1277 1562 9.66% 20.01% 70.33%-1.87 -9.2 8
2014-04-05 Ekranas D 2-258.8 1348 1317 45.82% 22.88% 31.30%+0.32 -1.0 4
2014-04-05 @ Suduva D 2-258.8 1317 1348 31.30% 22.88% 45.82%-0.32 +1.0 7
2014-04-06 Dainava Alytus W 6-026.9 1258 887 75.30% 18.37% 6.33%+2.40 +16.5 14
2014-04-06 @ Banga Gargzdai L 0-626.9 887 1258 6.33% 18.37% 75.30%-2.40 -16.5 0
2014-04-06 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 1-048.5 1056 1237 19.52% 22.12% 58.36%-0.97 +23.7 7
2014-04-06 @ FK Siauliai L 0-148.5 1237 1056 58.36% 22.12% 19.52%+0.97 -23.7 6
2014-04-11 FK Siauliai W 1-033.0 1395 1080 72.23% 19.45% 8.31%+2.06 +4.2 12
2014-04-11 @ Atlantas L 0-133.0 1080 1395 8.31% 19.45% 72.23%-2.06 -4.2 7
2014-04-12 Banga Gargzdai W 1-044.8 1213 1274 32.97% 22.93% 44.11%-0.24 +18.5 9
2014-04-12 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas L 0-144.8 1274 1213 44.11% 22.93% 32.97%+0.24 -18.5 14
2014-04-12 Trakai D 2-258.2 1318 1284 46.17% 22.87% 30.96%+0.34 -1.0 8
2014-04-12 @ Ekranas D 2-258.2 1284 1318 30.96% 22.87% 46.17%-0.34 +1.0 12
2014-04-12 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-824.0 870 1571 1.49% 12.24% 86.27%-4.16 -4.5 0
2014-04-12 @ Dainava Alytus W 8-024.0 1571 870 86.27% 12.24% 1.49%+4.16 +4.5 17
2014-04-13 Suduva D 1-153.8 1268 1347 30.67% 22.87% 46.46%-0.35 +1.4 9
2014-04-13 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 1-153.8 1347 1268 46.46% 22.87% 30.67%+0.35 -1.4 5
2014-04-15 Banga Gargzdai L 1-241.2 1075 1256 19.57% 22.12% 58.31%-0.97 -9.0 7
2014-04-15 @ FK Siauliai W 2-141.2 1256 1075 58.31% 22.12% 19.57%+0.97 +8.9 17
2014-04-15 FK Klaipedos Granitas D 1-157.7 1576 1231 73.90% 18.90% 7.21%+2.24 -6.7 18
2014-04-15 @ VMFD Zalgiris D 1-157.7 1231 1576 7.21% 18.90% 73.90%-2.24 +6.7 10
2014-04-16 Dainava Alytus W 5-025.6 1346 866 80.24% 16.07% 3.69%+3.06 +7.8 8
2014-04-16 @ Suduva L 0-525.6 866 1346 3.69% 16.07% 80.24%-3.06 -7.8 0
2014-04-16 Ekranas D 2-259.5 1399 1317 52.25% 22.61% 25.14%+0.63 -1.8 13
2014-04-16 @ Atlantas D 2-259.5 1317 1399 25.14% 22.61% 52.25%-0.63 +1.9 9
2014-04-17 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-446.2 1285 1270 43.59% 22.94% 33.47%+0.22 -42.3 12
2014-04-17 @ Trakai W 4-146.2 1270 1285 33.47% 22.94% 43.59%-0.22 +42.3 12
2014-04-18 VMFD Zalgiris L 1-242.4 1265 1569 10.79% 20.40% 68.81%-1.73 -5.1 17
2014-04-18 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-142.4 1569 1265 68.81% 20.40% 10.79%+1.73 +5.1 21
2014-04-19 FK Siauliai W 3-136.9 1318 1067 68.10% 20.57% 11.33%+1.67 +9.3 12
2014-04-19 @ Ekranas L 1-336.9 1067 1318 11.33% 20.57% 68.10%-1.67 -9.3 7
2014-04-19 Suduva L 0-238.1 1238 1353 26.25% 22.68% 51.08%-0.57 -23.0 10
2014-04-19 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas W 2-038.1 1353 1238 51.08% 22.68% 26.25%+0.57 +23.0 11
2014-04-22 Atlantas D 1-154.7 1312 1397 29.84% 22.84% 47.32%-0.39 +1.6 13
2014-04-22 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 1-154.7 1397 1312 47.32% 22.84% 29.84%+0.39 -1.6 14
2014-04-22 Trakai L 1-729.6 858 1242 7.31% 18.95% 73.74%-2.22 -15.8 0
2014-04-22 @ Dainava Alytus W 7-129.6 1242 858 73.74% 18.95% 7.31%+2.22 +15.8 15
2014-04-24 VMFD Zalgiris D 0-052.2 1057 1574 3.78% 16.18% 80.03%-3.03 +8.5 8
2014-04-24 @ FK Siauliai D 0-052.2 1574 1057 80.03% 16.18% 3.78%+3.03 -8.5 22
2014-04-26 Trakai D 0-049.4 1215 1258 35.44% 22.96% 41.59%-0.13 +0.6 11
2014-04-26 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas D 0-049.4 1258 1215 41.59% 22.96% 35.44%+0.13 -0.6 16
2014-04-26 Suduva L 0-140.1 1259 1376 26.05% 22.67% 51.28%-0.59 -12.1 17
2014-04-26 @ Banga Gargzdai W 1-040.1 1376 1259 51.28% 22.67% 26.05%+0.59 +12.1 14
2014-04-27 Atlantas L 0-725.1 842 1396 3.15% 15.39% 81.45%-3.25 -9.0 0
2014-04-27 @ Dainava Alytus W 7-025.1 1396 842 81.45% 15.39% 3.15%+3.25 +9.0 17
2014-04-27 Ekranas W 2-042.0 1313 1328 39.52% 22.98% 37.51%+0.04 +30.6 16
2014-04-27 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-242.0 1328 1313 37.51% 22.98% 39.52%-0.04 -30.6 12
2014-05-02 FK Siauliai W 1-033.5 1344 1066 69.92% 20.12% 9.96%+1.83 +5.0 19
2014-05-02 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-133.5 1066 1344 9.96% 20.12% 69.92%-1.83 -5.0 8
2014-05-03 Dainava Alytus W 6-025.6 1297 833 79.59% 16.42% 3.99%+2.97 +10.0 15
2014-05-03 @ Ekranas L 0-625.6 833 1297 3.99% 16.42% 79.59%-2.97 -10.0 0
2014-05-03 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 2-034.7 1405 1216 63.14% 21.51% 15.36%+1.29 +14.4 20
2014-05-03 @ Atlantas L 0-234.7 1216 1405 15.36% 21.51% 63.14%-1.29 -14.4 11
2014-05-03 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-342.0 1388 1566 19.84% 22.16% 58.00%-0.95 -26.3 14
2014-05-03 @ Suduva W 3-042.0 1566 1388 58.00% 22.16% 19.84%+0.95 +26.3 25
2014-05-04 Banga Gargzdai D 2-257.7 1257 1247 42.94% 22.95% 34.11%+0.19 -0.6 17
2014-05-04 @ Trakai D 2-257.7 1247 1257 34.11% 22.95% 42.94%-0.19 +0.6 18
2014-05-06 Ekranas L 1-342.7 1201 1307 27.35% 22.73% 49.92%-0.52 -20.6 11
2014-05-06 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas W 3-142.7 1307 1201 49.92% 22.73% 27.35%+0.52 +20.6 18
2014-05-06 Suduva L 1-435.2 1061 1362 10.95% 20.45% 68.60%-1.71 -12.7 8
2014-05-06 @ FK Siauliai W 4-135.2 1362 1061 68.60% 20.45% 10.95%+1.71 +12.7 17
2014-05-07 Atlantas L 0-236.9 1248 1419 20.40% 22.22% 57.38%-0.92 -18.6 18
2014-05-07 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-036.9 1419 1248 57.38% 22.22% 20.40%+0.92 +18.6 23
2014-05-07 Trakai D 1-158.7 1592 1257 73.38% 19.08% 7.54%+2.18 -6.6 26
2014-05-07 @ VMFD Zalgiris D 1-158.7 1257 1592 7.54% 19.08% 73.38%-2.18 +6.6 18
2014-05-08 Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-525.5 823 1349 3.62% 15.99% 80.39%-3.08 -7.6 0
2014-05-08 @ Dainava Alytus W 5-025.5 1349 823 80.39% 15.99% 3.62%+3.08 +7.6 22
2014-05-10 Banga Gargzdai D 0-049.8 1328 1229 54.09% 22.49% 23.42%+0.73 -3.2 19
2014-05-10 @ Ekranas D 0-049.8 1229 1328 23.42% 22.49% 54.09%-0.73 +3.2 19
2014-05-10 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-148.7 1438 1585 22.71% 22.43% 54.86%-0.77 -10.8 23
2014-05-10 @ Atlantas W 1-048.7 1585 1438 54.86% 22.43% 22.71%+0.77 +10.8 29
2014-05-11 FK Klaipedos Granitas D 2-258.3 1357 1181 61.99% 21.68% 16.33%+1.21 -3.3 23
2014-05-11 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 2-258.3 1181 1357 16.33% 21.68% 61.99%-1.21 +3.3 12
2014-05-11 Suduva L 3-452.1 1263 1375 26.69% 22.70% 50.61%-0.55 -10.8 18
2014-05-11 @ Trakai W 4-352.1 1375 1263 50.61% 22.70% 26.69%+0.55 +10.8 20
2014-05-13 FK Siauliai L 0-630.5 816 1048 15.31% 21.50% 63.19%-1.29 -39.8 0
2014-05-13 @ Dainava Alytus W 6-030.5 1048 816 63.19% 21.50% 15.31%+1.29 +39.8 11
2014-05-20 Atlantas D 1-156.6 1386 1427 35.71% 22.97% 41.33%-0.12 +0.5 21
2014-05-20 @ Suduva D 1-156.6 1427 1386 41.33% 22.97% 35.71%+0.12 -0.5 24
2014-05-20 Trakai L 0-235.7 1088 1253 21.00% 22.28% 56.73%-0.88 -19.0 11
2014-05-20 @ FK Siauliai W 2-035.7 1253 1088 56.73% 22.28% 21.00%+0.88 +19.0 21
2014-05-21 Banga Gargzdai L 0-148.8 1353 1232 56.57% 22.29% 21.14%+0.87 -23.0 23
2014-05-21 @ Kruoja Pakruojis W 1-048.8 1232 1353 21.14% 22.29% 56.57%-0.87 +23.0 22
2014-05-21 Ekranas W 1-040.5 1596 1325 69.46% 20.24% 10.30%+1.79 +5.2 32
2014-05-21 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-140.5 1325 1596 10.30% 20.24% 69.46%-1.79 -5.2 19
2014-05-22 Dainava Alytus W 2-029.4 1184 776 77.13% 17.60% 5.26%+2.62 +4.9 15
2014-05-22 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas L 0-229.4 776 1184 5.26% 17.60% 77.13%-2.62 -4.9 0
2014-05-23 Trakai L 0-249.0 1426 1272 59.98% 21.94% 18.08%+1.08 -45.9 24
2014-05-23 @ Atlantas W 2-049.0 1272 1426 18.08% 21.94% 59.98%-1.08 +45.9 24
2014-05-24 Suduva L 0-241.1 1319 1386 32.22% 22.91% 44.87%-0.28 -27.2 19
2014-05-24 @ Ekranas W 2-041.1 1386 1319 44.87% 22.91% 32.22%+0.28 +27.2 24
2014-05-24 VMFD Zalgiris D 0-057.1 1330 1601 12.70% 20.94% 66.35%-1.53 +5.9 24
2014-05-24 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 0-057.1 1601 1330 66.35% 20.94% 12.70%+1.53 -5.9 33
2014-05-25 FK Siauliai W 3-034.3 1189 1069 56.48% 22.30% 21.22%+0.86 +27.9 18
2014-05-25 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas L 0-334.3 1069 1189 21.22% 22.30% 56.48%-0.86 -27.9 11
2014-05-27 Banga Gargzdai W 2-051.3 771 1255 4.45% 16.89% 78.66%-2.83 +58.5 3
2014-05-27 @ Dainava Alytus L 0-251.3 1255 771 78.66% 16.89% 4.45%+2.83 -58.5 22
2014-06-09 Atlantas W 3-154.7 1041 1380 9.09% 19.79% 71.12%-1.95 +46.7 14
2014-06-09 @ FK Siauliai L 1-354.7 1380 1041 71.12% 19.79% 9.09%+1.95 -46.7 24
2014-06-09 Dainava Alytus W 9-124.2 1595 830 89.02% 10.13% 0.85%+4.81 +2.0 36
2014-06-09 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 1-924.2 830 1595 0.85% 10.13% 89.02%-4.81 -2.0 3
2014-06-10 Ekranas W 2-040.1 1318 1292 45.02% 22.90% 32.07%+0.29 +27.1 27
2014-06-10 @ Trakai L 0-240.1 1292 1318 32.07% 22.90% 45.02%-0.29 -27.1 19
2014-06-10 Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-149.2 1413 1336 51.60% 22.65% 25.75%+0.60 -21.2 24
2014-06-10 @ Suduva W 1-049.2 1336 1413 25.75% 22.65% 51.60%-0.60 +21.2 27
2014-06-11 FK Klaipedos Granitas D 0-049.2 1197 1217 38.73% 22.98% 38.29%+0.01 -0.0 23
2014-06-11 @ Banga Gargzdai D 0-049.2 1217 1197 38.29% 22.98% 38.73%-0.01 +0.0 19
2014-06-13 Suduva L 0-825.0 828 1392 2.98% 15.15% 81.87%-3.32 -9.6 3
2014-06-13 @ Dainava Alytus W 8-025.0 1392 828 81.87% 15.15% 2.98%+3.32 +9.6 27
2014-06-14 Atlantas W 2-149.9 1265 1334 31.98% 22.90% 45.12%-0.29 +17.8 22
2014-06-14 @ Ekranas L 1-249.9 1334 1265 45.12% 22.90% 31.98%+0.29 -17.8 24
2014-06-14 Trakai L 0-146.1 1357 1345 43.30% 22.94% 33.76%+0.21 -18.2 27
2014-06-14 @ Kruoja Pakruojis W 1-046.1 1345 1357 33.76% 22.94% 43.30%-0.21 +18.2 30
2014-06-14 VMFD Zalgiris W 2-160.3 1217 1597 7.43% 19.02% 73.55%-2.20 +27.8 22
2014-06-14 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas L 1-260.3 1597 1217 73.55% 19.02% 7.43%+2.20 -27.8 36
2014-06-15 FK Siauliai L 1-252.0 1197 1088 55.33% 22.40% 22.28%+0.80 -21.3 23
2014-06-15 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-152.0 1088 1197 22.28% 22.40% 55.33%-0.80 +21.2 17
2014-06-17 Dainava Alytus W 4-025.4 1363 818 82.69% 14.65% 2.66%+3.46 +4.4 33
2014-06-17 @ Trakai L 0-425.4 818 1363 2.66% 14.65% 82.69%-3.46 -4.4 3
2014-06-17 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 5-137.2 1402 1245 60.24% 21.91% 17.85%+1.09 +26.0 30
2014-06-17 @ Suduva L 1-537.2 1245 1402 17.85% 21.91% 60.24%-1.09 -26.1 22
2014-06-18 Banga Gargzdai W 1-033.9 1570 1176 76.46% 17.89% 5.64%+2.54 +2.8 39
2014-06-18 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-133.9 1176 1570 5.64% 17.89% 76.46%-2.54 -2.8 23
2014-06-18 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-346.9 1316 1339 38.22% 22.98% 38.80%-0.01 -26.9 24
2014-06-18 @ Atlantas W 3-146.9 1339 1316 38.80% 22.98% 38.22%+0.01 +26.9 30
2014-06-19 Ekranas W 2-046.7 1109 1283 20.13% 22.19% 57.68%-0.93 +44.2 20
2014-06-19 @ FK Siauliai L 0-246.7 1283 1109 57.68% 22.19% 20.13%+0.93 -44.2 22
2014-06-21 Dainava Alytus W 12-025.9 1289 814 80.07% 16.16% 3.76%+3.04 +18.3 27
2014-06-21 @ Atlantas L 0-1225.9 814 1289 3.76% 16.16% 80.07%-3.04 -18.3 3
2014-06-22 FK Siauliai W 2-031.5 1572 1153 77.67% 17.36% 4.97%+2.69 +4.6 42
2014-06-22 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-231.5 1153 1572 4.97% 17.36% 77.67%-2.69 -4.6 20
2014-06-22 Kruoja Pakruojis W 3-256.5 1239 1366 24.86% 22.59% 52.55%-0.65 +19.2 25
2014-06-22 @ Ekranas L 2-356.5 1366 1239 52.55% 22.59% 24.86%+0.65 -19.2 30
2014-06-24 Banga Gargzdai W 2-033.0 1428 1173 68.31% 20.52% 11.17%+1.69 +10.6 33
2014-06-24 @ Suduva L 0-233.0 1173 1428 11.17% 20.52% 68.31%-1.69 -10.6 23
2014-06-24 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 2-141.6 1367 1218 59.42% 22.00% 18.57%+1.04 +8.5 36
2014-06-24 @ Trakai L 1-241.6 1218 1367 18.57% 22.00% 59.42%-1.04 -8.5 22
2014-07-25 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-536.4 1148 1347 17.95% 21.92% 60.13%-1.08 -26.2 20
2014-07-25 @ FK Siauliai W 5-136.4 1347 1148 60.13% 21.92% 17.95%+1.08 +26.2 33
2014-07-26 Suduva D 0-059.8 1577 1438 58.40% 22.12% 19.49%+0.98 -4.1 43
2014-07-26 @ VMFD Zalgiris D 0-059.8 1438 1577 19.49% 22.12% 58.40%-0.98 +4.1 34
2014-07-27 Ekranas L 1-235.3 795 1258 4.96% 17.35% 77.69%-2.70 -2.3 3
2014-07-27 @ Dainava Alytus W 2-135.3 1258 795 77.69% 17.35% 4.96%+2.70 +2.3 28
2014-07-27 Trakai L 0-432.3 1162 1376 16.73% 21.74% 61.53%-1.18 -29.5 23
2014-07-27 @ Banga Gargzdai W 4-032.3 1376 1162 61.53% 21.74% 16.73%+1.18 +29.5 39
2014-07-28 Atlantas L 0-337.0 1210 1307 28.36% 22.78% 48.86%-0.47 -35.6 22
2014-07-28 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas W 3-037.0 1307 1210 48.86% 22.78% 28.36%+0.47 +35.6 30
2014-08-01 Dainava Alytus W 3-237.8 1373 793 83.89% 13.89% 2.22%+3.68 +0.9 36
2014-08-01 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 2-337.8 793 1373 2.22% 13.89% 83.89%-3.68 -0.9 3
2014-08-02 FK Siauliai W 2-031.6 1443 1122 72.54% 19.36% 8.11%+2.09 +7.7 37
2014-08-02 @ Suduva L 0-231.6 1122 1443 8.11% 19.36% 72.54%-2.09 -7.7 20
2014-08-03 FK Klaipedos Granitas L 2-355.8 1260 1174 52.64% 22.59% 24.77%+0.65 -19.3 28
2014-08-03 @ Ekranas W 3-255.8 1174 1260 24.77% 22.59% 52.64%-0.65 +19.3 25
2014-08-03 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-244.7 1405 1573 20.74% 22.25% 57.01%-0.89 -18.8 39
2014-08-03 @ Trakai W 2-044.7 1573 1405 57.01% 22.25% 20.74%+0.89 +18.8 46
2014-08-04 Banga Gargzdai W 3-138.1 1343 1133 64.91% 21.22% 13.87%+1.41 +11.3 33
2014-08-04 @ Atlantas L 1-338.1 1133 1343 13.87% 21.22% 64.91%-1.41 -11.3 23
2014-08-07 Dainava Alytus W 4-133.7 1115 792 72.65% 19.32% 8.03%+2.10 +9.3 23
2014-08-07 @ FK Siauliai L 1-433.7 792 1115 8.03% 19.32% 72.65%-2.10 -9.3 3
2014-08-08 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-537.2 1194 1374 19.54% 22.12% 58.34%-0.97 -28.2 25
2014-08-08 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas W 5-137.2 1374 1194 58.34% 22.12% 19.54%+0.97 +28.2 39
2014-08-09 Trakai D 0-053.6 1450 1386 49.98% 22.73% 27.29%+0.52 -2.3 38
2014-08-09 @ Suduva D 0-053.6 1386 1450 27.29% 22.73% 49.98%-0.52 +2.3 40
2014-08-10 Ekranas L 0-139.0 1122 1241 25.78% 22.65% 51.57%-0.60 -12.0 23
2014-08-10 @ Banga Gargzdai W 1-039.0 1241 1122 51.57% 22.65% 25.78%+0.60 +12.0 31
2014-08-11 Atlantas W 3-039.0 1592 1354 67.04% 20.80% 12.16%+1.58 +16.7 49
2014-08-11 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-339.0 1354 1592 12.16% 20.80% 67.04%-1.58 -16.7 33
2014-08-14 FK Klaipedos Granitas D 0-050.2 783 1165 7.36% 18.98% 73.66%-2.21 +7.4 4
2014-08-14 @ Dainava Alytus D 0-050.2 1165 783 73.66% 18.98% 7.36%+2.21 -7.4 26
2014-08-15 FK Siauliai W 3-137.0 1389 1124 69.01% 20.35% 10.63%+1.75 +8.7 43
2014-08-15 @ Trakai L 1-337.0 1124 1389 10.63% 20.35% 69.01%-1.75 -8.7 23
2014-08-16 Suduva D 2-260.7 1338 1448 26.81% 22.71% 50.49%-0.55 +1.6 34
2014-08-16 @ Atlantas D 2-260.7 1448 1338 50.49% 22.71% 26.81%+0.55 -1.6 39
2014-08-16 VMFD Zalgiris L 1-340.8 1253 1608 8.41% 19.50% 72.10%-2.04 -6.9 31
2014-08-16 @ Ekranas W 3-140.8 1608 1253 72.10% 19.50% 8.41%+2.04 +6.9 52
2014-08-17 Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-134.4 1110 1402 11.42% 20.60% 67.98%-1.66 -5.7 23
2014-08-17 @ Banga Gargzdai W 1-034.4 1402 1110 67.98% 20.60% 11.42%+1.66 +5.7 42
2014-08-21 FK Klaipedos Granitas L 1-246.2 1115 1158 35.47% 22.96% 41.57%-0.13 -14.7 23
2014-08-21 @ FK Siauliai W 2-146.2 1158 1115 41.57% 22.96% 35.47%+0.13 +14.7 29
2014-08-22 Atlantas W 3-038.8 1398 1339 49.30% 22.76% 27.93%+0.49 +35.2 46
2014-08-22 @ Trakai L 0-338.8 1339 1398 27.93% 22.76% 49.30%-0.49 -35.2 34
2014-08-23 Ekranas D 0-051.3 1446 1246 64.10% 21.35% 14.54%+1.36 -5.4 40
2014-08-23 @ Suduva D 0-051.3 1246 1446 14.54% 21.35% 64.10%-1.36 +5.4 32
2014-08-24 Dainava Alytus W 3-135.5 1104 790 72.13% 19.49% 8.39%+2.05 +6.9 26
2014-08-24 @ Banga Gargzdai L 1-335.5 790 1104 8.39% 19.49% 72.13%-2.05 -6.9 4
2014-08-24 Kruoja Pakruojis W 1-045.7 1615 1408 64.68% 21.26% 14.06%+1.40 +7.0 55
2014-08-24 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-145.7 1408 1615 14.06% 21.26% 64.68%-1.40 -7.0 42
2014-08-28 Suduva W 2-152.5 1401 1441 35.86% 22.97% 41.17%-0.11 +16.5 45
2014-08-28 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-252.5 1441 1401 41.17% 22.97% 35.86%+0.11 -16.5 40
2014-08-29 Banga Gargzdai L 1-250.4 1173 1111 49.75% 22.74% 27.51%+0.51 -19.3 29
2014-08-29 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas W 2-150.4 1111 1173 27.51% 22.74% 49.75%-0.51 +19.3 29
2014-08-30 FK Siauliai W 4-031.0 1304 1100 64.37% 21.31% 14.32%+1.37 +25.5 37
2014-08-30 @ Atlantas L 0-431.0 1100 1304 14.32% 21.31% 64.37%-1.37 -25.5 23
2014-08-30 Trakai W 2-154.4 1251 1433 19.46% 22.11% 58.42%-0.98 +22.4 35
2014-08-30 @ Ekranas L 1-254.4 1433 1251 58.42% 22.11% 19.46%+0.98 -22.4 46
2014-08-31 VMFD Zalgiris L 0-324.4 783 1622 0.73% 9.57% 89.71%-5.00 -0.8 4
2014-08-31 @ Dainava Alytus W 3-024.4 1622 783 89.71% 9.57% 0.73%+5.00 +0.8 58
2014-09-11 Dainava Alytus D 0-052.2 1424 783 85.80% 12.58% 1.62%+4.06 -9.2 41
2014-09-11 @ Suduva D 0-052.2 783 1424 1.62% 12.58% 85.80%-4.06 +9.2 5
2014-09-12 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 4-029.3 1623 1153 79.85% 16.28% 3.87%+3.00 +6.6 61
2014-09-12 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-429.3 1153 1623 3.87% 16.28% 79.85%-3.00 -6.6 29
2014-09-13 Ekranas W 4-036.4 1330 1274 48.97% 22.78% 28.25%+0.47 +46.4 40
2014-09-13 @ Atlantas L 0-436.4 1274 1330 28.25% 22.78% 48.97%-0.47 -46.4 35
2014-09-13 Kruoja Pakruojis D 0-053.3 1410 1418 40.52% 22.97% 36.50%+0.09 -0.4 47
2014-09-13 @ Trakai D 0-053.3 1418 1410 36.50% 22.97% 40.52%-0.09 +0.4 46
2014-09-14 Banga Gargzdai W 4-145.4 1075 1130 33.79% 22.94% 43.27%-0.21 +42.0 26
2014-09-14 @ FK Siauliai L 1-445.4 1130 1075 43.27% 22.94% 33.79%+0.21 -42.0 29
2014-09-16 Atlantas W 4-144.9 1418 1376 47.21% 22.84% 29.95%+0.39 +31.4 49
2014-09-16 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-444.9 1376 1418 29.95% 22.84% 47.21%-0.39 -31.4 40
2014-09-16 Trakai L 0-227.5 792 1410 2.27% 13.99% 83.74%-3.65 -1.9 5
2014-09-16 @ Dainava Alytus W 2-027.5 1410 792 83.74% 13.99% 2.27%+3.65 +2.0 50
2014-09-17 Suduva D 1-154.0 1147 1415 12.84% 20.98% 66.19%-1.51 +5.2 30
2014-09-17 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas D 1-154.0 1415 1147 66.19% 20.98% 12.84%+1.51 -5.2 42
2014-09-17 VMFD Zalgiris L 1-531.8 1088 1630 3.34% 15.64% 81.02%-3.18 -4.7 29
2014-09-17 @ Banga Gargzdai W 5-131.8 1630 1088 81.02% 15.64% 3.34%+3.18 +4.7 64
2014-09-18 FK Siauliai L 2-356.5 1227 1117 55.44% 22.39% 22.17%+0.81 -20.2 35
2014-09-18 @ Ekranas W 3-256.5 1117 1227 22.17% 22.39% 55.44%-0.81 +20.2 29
2014-09-19 Atlantas L 0-425.7 790 1344 3.13% 15.36% 81.50%-3.26 -5.3 5
2014-09-19 @ Dainava Alytus W 4-025.7 1344 790 81.50% 15.36% 3.13%+3.26 +5.3 43
2014-09-20 Trakai L 2-344.1 1152 1412 13.39% 21.11% 65.51%-1.46 -6.0 30
2014-09-20 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas W 3-244.1 1412 1152 65.51% 21.11% 13.39%+1.46 +6.0 53
2014-09-20 Suduva L 1-336.5 1083 1410 9.67% 20.02% 70.31%-1.87 -8.0 29
2014-09-20 @ Banga Gargzdai W 3-136.5 1410 1083 70.31% 20.02% 9.67%+1.87 +8.0 45
2014-09-21 Ekranas W 1-035.5 1449 1207 67.39% 20.73% 11.88%+1.61 +6.0 52
2014-09-21 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 0-135.5 1207 1449 11.88% 20.73% 67.39%-1.61 -6.0 35
2014-09-21 VMFD Zalgiris L 1-237.9 1137 1634 4.17% 16.60% 79.23%-2.91 -1.9 29
2014-09-21 @ FK Siauliai W 2-137.9 1634 1137 79.23% 16.60% 4.17%+2.91 +1.9 67
2014-09-25 Dainava Alytus W 2-135.3 1201 785 77.54% 17.42% 5.04%+2.68 +2.3 38
2014-09-25 @ Ekranas L 1-235.3 785 1201 5.04% 17.42% 77.54%-2.68 -2.3 5
2014-09-27 FK Siauliai W 4-134.7 1455 1135 72.52% 19.36% 8.12%+2.09 +9.4 55
2014-09-27 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-434.7 1135 1455 8.12% 19.36% 72.52%-2.09 -9.4 29
2014-09-27 VMFD Zalgiris D 1-165.1 1418 1636 16.35% 21.68% 61.97%-1.21 +4.4 46
2014-09-27 @ Suduva D 1-165.1 1636 1418 61.97% 21.68% 16.35%+1.21 -4.4 68
2014-09-28 Banga Gargzdai W 4-028.4 1418 1075 73.80% 18.93% 7.27%+2.23 +13.0 56
2014-09-28 @ Trakai L 0-428.4 1075 1418 7.27% 18.93% 73.80%-2.23 -13.0 29
2014-09-28 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 3-032.3 1350 1146 64.40% 21.30% 14.30%+1.38 +19.5 46
2014-09-28 @ Atlantas L 0-332.3 1146 1350 14.30% 21.30% 64.40%-1.38 -19.5 30
2014-10-04 Atlantas L 1-238.2 1062 1369 10.66% 20.36% 68.98%-1.75 -5.1 29
2014-10-04 @ Banga Gargzdai W 2-138.2 1369 1062 68.98% 20.36% 10.66%+1.75 +5.1 49
2014-10-04 Kruoja Pakruojis W 2-052.2 782 1465 1.64% 12.62% 85.74%-4.04 +61.2 8
2014-10-04 @ Dainava Alytus L 0-252.2 1465 782 85.74% 12.62% 1.64%+4.04 -61.2 55
2014-10-04 Suduva L 2-441.2 1126 1422 11.21% 20.53% 68.26%-1.68 -8.2 29
2014-10-04 @ FK Siauliai W 4-241.2 1422 1126 68.26% 20.53% 11.21%+1.68 +8.2 49
2014-10-05 Ekranas L 2-447.3 1126 1204 30.88% 22.87% 46.25%-0.34 -20.3 30
2014-10-05 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas W 4-247.3 1204 1126 46.25% 22.87% 30.88%+0.34 +20.4 41
2014-10-05 Trakai W 3-044.2 1632 1431 64.17% 21.34% 14.49%+1.36 +19.8 71
2014-10-05 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-344.2 1431 1632 14.49% 21.34% 64.17%-1.36 -19.8 56
2014-10-16 Suduva L 1-350.4 1411 1431 38.76% 22.98% 38.26%+0.01 -27.2 56
2014-10-16 @ Trakai W 3-150.4 1431 1411 38.26% 22.98% 38.76%-0.01 +27.2 52
2014-10-17 FK Siauliai L 0-134.3 843 1118 12.51% 20.89% 66.60%-1.55 -6.3 8
2014-10-17 @ Dainava Alytus W 1-034.3 1118 843 66.60% 20.89% 12.51%+1.55 +6.3 32
2014-10-18 Banga Gargzdai W 4-137.3 1224 1057 61.13% 21.80% 17.07%+1.15 +19.4 44
2014-10-18 @ Ekranas L 1-437.3 1057 1224 17.07% 21.80% 61.13%-1.15 -19.4 29
2014-10-18 VMFD Zalgiris W 2-165.9 1374 1652 12.31% 20.84% 66.85%-1.57 +25.4 52
2014-10-18 @ Atlantas L 1-265.9 1652 1374 66.85% 20.84% 12.31%+1.57 -25.4 71
2014-10-19 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 3-136.3 1404 1106 71.15% 19.78% 9.07%+1.95 +7.5 58
2014-10-19 @ Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-336.3 1106 1404 9.07% 19.78% 71.15%-1.95 -7.5 30
2014-10-24 Trakai W 3-153.6 1124 1384 13.38% 21.11% 65.51%-1.46 +43.2 35
2014-10-24 @ FK Siauliai L 1-353.6 1384 1124 65.51% 21.11% 13.38%+1.46 -43.2 56
2014-10-25 Atlantas D 0-054.2 1458 1400 49.27% 22.76% 27.96%+0.49 -2.2 53
2014-10-25 @ Suduva D 0-054.2 1400 1458 27.96% 22.76% 49.27%-0.49 +2.2 53
2014-10-25 Ekranas W 5-136.6 1626 1243 75.93% 18.12% 5.95%+2.47 +8.8 74
2014-10-25 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 1-536.6 1243 1626 5.95% 18.12% 75.93%-2.47 -8.8 44
2014-10-26 Dainava Alytus W 2-032.0 1099 837 68.77% 20.41% 10.82%+1.73 +10.3 33
2014-10-26 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas L 0-232.0 837 1099 10.82% 20.41% 68.77%-1.73 -10.3 8
2014-10-26 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-433.9 1038 1411 7.71% 19.16% 73.13%-2.15 -8.9 29
2014-10-26 @ Banga Gargzdai W 4-133.9 1411 1038 73.13% 19.16% 7.71%+2.15 +8.9 61
2014-10-30 Trakai W 1-041.9 1402 1341 49.66% 22.75% 27.59%+0.50 +12.7 56
2014-10-30 @ Atlantas L 0-141.9 1341 1402 27.59% 22.75% 49.66%-0.50 -12.7 56
2014-10-31 Banga Gargzdai D 0-049.3 827 1029 17.66% 21.88% 60.46%-1.11 +4.6 9
2014-10-31 @ Dainava Alytus D 0-049.3 1029 827 60.46% 21.88% 17.66%+1.11 -4.6 30
2014-10-31 FK Siauliai D 0-049.1 1109 1167 33.36% 22.93% 43.71%-0.23 +1.0 34
2014-10-31 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas D 0-049.1 1167 1109 43.71% 22.93% 33.36%+0.23 -1.0 36
2014-11-02 Suduva L 1-241.7 1234 1456 16.12% 21.64% 62.23%-1.22 -7.5 44
2014-11-02 @ Ekranas W 2-141.7 1456 1234 62.23% 21.64% 16.12%+1.22 +7.5 56
2014-11-02 VMFD Zalgiris D 0-061.4 1420 1635 16.59% 21.72% 61.68%-1.19 +4.8 62
2014-11-02 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 0-061.4 1635 1420 61.68% 21.72% 16.59%+1.19 -4.9 75
2014-11-08 FK Klaipedos Granitas L 0-635.3 1024 1110 29.82% 22.84% 47.34%-0.39 -71.0 30
2014-11-08 @ Banga Gargzdai W 6-035.3 1110 1024 47.34% 22.84% 29.82%+0.39 +71.0 37
2014-11-08 Kruoja Pakruojis L 1-255.5 1463 1425 46.76% 22.86% 30.38%+0.37 -18.3 56
2014-11-08 @ Suduva W 2-155.5 1425 1463 30.38% 22.86% 46.76%-0.37 +18.3 65
2014-11-09 Atlantas L 0-332.6 1166 1415 14.15% 21.27% 64.58%-1.39 -19.3 36
2014-11-09 @ FK Siauliai W 3-032.6 1415 1166 64.58% 21.27% 14.15%+1.39 +19.3 59
2014-11-09 Dainava Alytus W 2-026.0 1630 831 89.76% 9.53% 0.72%+5.01 +0.6 78
2014-11-09 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-226.0 831 1630 0.72% 9.53% 89.76%-5.01 -0.6 9
2014-11-10 Ekranas W 5-138.3 1328 1227 54.38% 22.47% 23.15%+0.75 +32.7 59
2014-11-10 @ Trakai L 1-538.3 1227 1328 23.15% 22.47% 54.38%-0.75 -32.7 44
2014-11-20 Suduva L 0-624.4 831 1445 2.32% 14.08% 83.60%-3.63 -5.5 9
2014-11-20 @ Dainava Alytus W 6-024.4 1445 831 83.60% 14.08% 2.32%+3.63 +5.5 59
2014-11-22 Atlantas L 0-333.1 1194 1434 14.76% 21.40% 63.84%-1.34 -20.1 44
2014-11-22 @ Ekranas W 3-033.1 1434 1194 63.84% 21.40% 14.76%+1.34 +20.1 62
2014-11-22 Trakai D 2-261.1 1443 1361 52.23% 22.61% 25.16%+0.63 -1.8 66
2014-11-22 @ Kruoja Pakruojis D 2-261.1 1361 1443 25.16% 22.61% 52.23%-0.63 +1.8 60
2014-11-23 FK Siauliai L 1-339.3 953 1147 18.40% 21.98% 59.62%-1.05 -14.7 30
2014-11-23 @ Banga Gargzdai W 3-139.3 1147 953 59.62% 21.98% 18.40%+1.05 +14.7 39
2014-11-23 VMFD Zalgiris L 1-633.4 1181 1631 5.28% 17.61% 77.11%-2.62 -9.5 37
2014-11-23 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas W 6-133.4 1631 1181 77.11% 17.61% 5.28%+2.62 +9.5 81
2014-11-29 Banga Gargzdai W 3-025.7 1640 939 87.44% 11.37% 1.19%+4.42 +1.4 84
2014-11-29 @ VMFD Zalgiris L 0-325.7 939 1640 1.19% 11.37% 87.44%-4.42 -1.4 30
2014-11-29 Dainava Alytus W 1-029.6 1363 825 82.42% 14.82% 2.76%+3.42 +1.3 63
2014-11-29 @ Trakai L 0-129.6 825 1363 2.76% 14.82% 82.42%-3.42 -1.3 9
2014-11-29 Ekranas D 0-049.1 1161 1174 39.73% 22.98% 37.29%+0.05 -0.2 40
2014-11-29 @ FK Siauliai D 0-049.1 1174 1161 37.29% 22.98% 39.73%-0.05 +0.2 45
2014-11-29 FK Klaipedos Granitas W 4-135.7 1450 1171 69.97% 20.11% 9.92%+1.84 +11.5 62
2014-11-29 @ Suduva L 1-435.7 1171 1450 9.92% 20.11% 69.97%-1.84 -11.5 37
2014-11-29 Kruoja Pakruojis W 1-047.5 1454 1441 43.32% 22.94% 33.74%+0.21 +15.0 65
2014-11-29 @ Atlantas L 0-147.5 1441 1454 33.74% 22.94% 43.32%-0.21 -15.0 66

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-10-04 1.64% @ Dainava Alytus 782 2 Kruoja Pakruojis 1465 0
2 2014-05-27 4.45% @ Dainava Alytus 771 2 Banga Gargzdai 1255 0
3 2014-06-14 7.43% @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 1217 2 VMFD Zalgiris 1597 1
4 2014-03-09 8.81% Banga Gargzdai 1184 1 @ Suduva 1487 0
5 2014-06-09 9.09% @ FK Siauliai 1041 3 Atlantas 1380 1
6 2014-10-18 12.31% @ Atlantas 1374 2 VMFD Zalgiris 1652 1
7 2014-10-24 13.38% @ FK Siauliai 1124 3 Trakai 1384 1
8 2014-05-23 18.08% Trakai 1272 2 @ Atlantas 1426 0
9 2014-08-30 19.46% @ Ekranas 1251 2 Trakai 1433 1
10 2014-04-06 19.52% @ FK Siauliai 1056 1 FK Klaipedos Granitas 1237 0
11 2014-03-26 19.79% Trakai 1251 1 @ Suduva 1386 0
12 2014-06-19 20.13% @ FK Siauliai 1109 2 Ekranas 1283 0
13 2014-05-21 21.14% Banga Gargzdai 1232 1 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 1353 0
14 2014-09-18 22.17% FK Siauliai 1117 3 @ Ekranas 1227 2
15 2014-06-15 22.28% FK Siauliai 1088 2 @ Banga Gargzdai 1197 1
16 2014-08-03 24.77% FK Klaipedos Granitas 1174 3 @ Ekranas 1260 2
17 2014-06-22 24.86% @ Ekranas 1239 3 Kruoja Pakruojis 1366 2
18 2014-06-10 25.75% Kruoja Pakruojis 1336 1 @ Suduva 1413 0
19 2014-08-29 27.51% Banga Gargzdai 1111 2 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 1173 1
20 2014-03-30 27.66% Banga Gargzdai 1237 1 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 1298 0
21 2014-03-09 29.00% Kruoja Pakruojis 1269 2 @ Ekranas 1318 1
22 2014-11-08 30.38% Kruoja Pakruojis 1425 2 @ Suduva 1463 1
23 2014-06-14 31.98% @ Ekranas 1265 2 Atlantas 1334 1
24 2014-04-12 32.97% @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 1213 1 Banga Gargzdai 1274 0
25 2014-04-17 33.47% Kruoja Pakruojis 1270 4 @ Trakai 1285 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-03-16 77.94 @ VMFD Zalgiris 8 1457 41.37% Suduva 1 1458 35.66% 22.97%
2 2014-11-08 70.97 FK Klaipedos Granitas 6 1110 47.34% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1024 29.82% 22.84%
3 2014-03-27 63.73 @ FK Siauliai 5 999 44.78% Dainava Alytus 0 975 32.31% 22.91%
4 2014-10-04 61.18 @ Dainava Alytus 2 782 1.64% Kruoja Pakruojis 0 1465 85.74% 12.62%
5 2014-05-27 58.47 @ Dainava Alytus 2 771 4.45% Banga Gargzdai 0 1255 78.66% 16.89%
6 2014-06-09 46.69 @ FK Siauliai 3 1041 9.09% Atlantas 1 1380 71.12% 19.79%
7 2014-09-13 46.39 @ Atlantas 4 1330 48.97% Ekranas 0 1274 28.25% 22.78%
8 2014-05-23 45.87 Trakai 2 1272 18.08% @ Atlantas 0 1426 59.98% 21.94%
9 2014-06-19 44.20 @ FK Siauliai 2 1109 20.13% Ekranas 0 1283 57.68% 22.19%
10 2014-10-24 43.23 @ FK Siauliai 3 1124 13.38% Trakai 1 1384 65.51% 21.11%
11 2014-04-17 42.27 Kruoja Pakruojis 4 1270 33.47% @ Trakai 1 1285 43.59% 22.94%
12 2014-09-14 42.02 @ FK Siauliai 4 1075 33.79% Banga Gargzdai 1 1130 43.27% 22.94%
13 2014-05-13 39.78 FK Siauliai 6 1048 63.19% @ Dainava Alytus 0 816 15.31% 21.50%
14 2014-03-25 38.13 @ VMFD Zalgiris 4 1530 55.23% Atlantas 0 1421 22.36% 22.40%
15 2014-07-28 35.62 Atlantas 3 1307 48.86% @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 0 1210 28.36% 22.78%
16 2014-08-22 35.18 @ Trakai 3 1398 49.30% Atlantas 0 1339 27.93% 22.76%
17 2014-11-10 32.73 @ Trakai 5 1328 54.38% Ekranas 1 1227 23.15% 22.47%
18 2014-09-16 31.40 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 4 1418 47.21% Atlantas 1 1376 29.95% 22.84%
19 2014-04-27 30.64 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1313 39.52% Ekranas 0 1328 37.51% 22.98%
20 2014-07-27 29.49 Trakai 4 1376 61.53% @ Banga Gargzdai 0 1162 16.73% 21.74%
21 2014-03-10 29.36 @ Trakai 2 1234 41.53% FK Klaipedos Granitas 0 1234 35.50% 22.96%
22 2014-03-09 28.74 Banga Gargzdai 1 1184 8.81% @ Suduva 0 1487 71.52% 19.67%
23 2014-08-08 28.25 Kruoja Pakruojis 5 1374 58.34% @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 1 1194 19.54% 22.12%
24 2014-05-25 27.89 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 3 1189 56.48% FK Siauliai 0 1069 21.22% 22.30%
25 2014-06-14 27.77 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 2 1217 7.43% VMFD Zalgiris 1 1597 73.55% 19.02%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-10-18 65.9 @ Atlantas 2 1374 12.31% VMFD Zalgiris 1 1652 66.85% 20.84%
2 2014-09-27 65.1 @ Suduva 1 1418 16.35% VMFD Zalgiris 1 1636 61.97% 21.68%
3 2014-11-02 61.4 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 0 1420 16.59% VMFD Zalgiris 0 1635 61.68% 21.72%
4 2014-11-22 61.1 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1443 52.23% Trakai 2 1361 25.16% 22.61%
5 2014-08-16 60.7 @ Atlantas 2 1338 26.81% Suduva 2 1448 50.49% 22.71%
6 2014-06-14 60.3 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 2 1217 7.43% VMFD Zalgiris 1 1597 73.55% 19.02%
7 2014-07-26 59.8 @ VMFD Zalgiris 0 1577 58.40% Suduva 0 1438 19.49% 22.12%
8 2014-04-16 59.5 @ Atlantas 2 1399 52.25% Ekranas 2 1317 25.14% 22.61%
9 2014-03-15 58.9 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 2 1205 15.84% Atlantas 2 1430 62.57% 21.60%
10 2014-04-05 58.8 @ Suduva 2 1348 45.82% Ekranas 2 1317 31.30% 22.88%
11 2014-05-07 58.7 @ VMFD Zalgiris 1 1592 73.38% Trakai 1 1257 7.54% 19.08%
12 2014-05-11 58.3 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1357 61.99% FK Klaipedos Granitas 2 1181 16.33% 21.68%
13 2014-04-12 58.2 @ Ekranas 2 1318 46.17% Trakai 2 1284 30.96% 22.87%
14 2014-03-26 57.8 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 2 1211 29.51% Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1299 47.66% 22.83%
15 2014-04-15 57.7 @ VMFD Zalgiris 1 1576 73.90% FK Klaipedos Granitas 1 1231 7.21% 18.90%
16 2014-05-04 57.7 @ Trakai 2 1257 42.94% Banga Gargzdai 2 1247 34.11% 22.95%
17 2014-05-24 57.1 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 0 1330 12.70% VMFD Zalgiris 0 1601 66.35% 20.94%
18 2014-03-21 56.6 @ Trakai 1 1245 11.59% VMFD Zalgiris 1 1535 67.77% 20.65%
19 2014-05-20 56.6 @ Suduva 1 1386 35.71% Atlantas 1 1427 41.33% 22.97%
20 2014-06-22 56.5 @ Ekranas 3 1239 24.86% Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1366 52.55% 22.59%
21 2014-09-18 56.5 FK Siauliai 3 1117 22.17% @ Ekranas 2 1227 55.44% 22.39%
22 2014-08-03 55.8 FK Klaipedos Granitas 3 1174 24.77% @ Ekranas 2 1260 52.64% 22.59%
23 2014-11-08 55.5 Kruoja Pakruojis 2 1425 30.38% @ Suduva 1 1463 46.76% 22.86%
24 2014-03-29 55.3 @ Ekranas 0 1311 13.60% VMFD Zalgiris 0 1568 65.25% 21.16%
25 2014-04-22 54.7 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 1 1312 29.84% Atlantas 1 1397 47.32% 22.84%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-04-12 24.0 VMFD Zalgiris 8 1571 86.27% @ Dainava Alytus 0 870 1.49% 12.24%
2 2014-06-09 24.2 @ VMFD Zalgiris 9 1595 89.02% Dainava Alytus 1 830 0.85% 10.13%
3 2014-08-31 24.4 VMFD Zalgiris 3 1622 89.71% @ Dainava Alytus 0 783 0.73% 9.57%
4 2014-11-20 24.4 Suduva 6 1445 83.60% @ Dainava Alytus 0 831 2.32% 14.08%
5 2014-06-13 25.0 Suduva 8 1392 81.87% @ Dainava Alytus 0 828 2.98% 15.15%
6 2014-04-27 25.1 Atlantas 7 1396 81.45% @ Dainava Alytus 0 842 3.15% 15.39%
7 2014-06-17 25.4 @ Trakai 4 1363 82.69% Dainava Alytus 0 818 2.66% 14.65%
8 2014-05-08 25.5 Kruoja Pakruojis 5 1349 80.39% @ Dainava Alytus 0 823 3.62% 15.99%
9 2014-04-16 25.6 @ Suduva 5 1346 80.24% Dainava Alytus 0 866 3.69% 16.07%
10 2014-05-03 25.6 @ Ekranas 6 1297 79.59% Dainava Alytus 0 833 3.99% 16.42%
11 2014-09-19 25.7 Atlantas 4 1344 81.50% @ Dainava Alytus 0 790 3.13% 15.36%
12 2014-11-29 25.7 @ VMFD Zalgiris 3 1640 87.44% Banga Gargzdai 0 939 1.19% 11.37%
13 2014-06-21 25.9 @ Atlantas 12 1289 80.07% Dainava Alytus 0 814 3.76% 16.16%
14 2014-11-09 26.0 @ VMFD Zalgiris 2 1630 89.76% Dainava Alytus 0 831 0.72% 9.53%
15 2014-03-08 26.8 @ Atlantas 6 1415 76.39% Dainava Alytus 0 1022 5.68% 17.92%
16 2014-04-06 26.9 @ Banga Gargzdai 6 1258 75.30% Dainava Alytus 0 887 6.33% 18.37%
17 2014-09-16 27.5 Trakai 2 1410 83.74% @ Dainava Alytus 0 792 2.27% 13.99%
18 2014-09-28 28.4 @ Trakai 4 1418 73.80% Banga Gargzdai 0 1075 7.27% 18.93%
19 2014-03-23 29.0 @ Kruoja Pakruojis 4 1282 70.68% Dainava Alytus 0 992 9.40% 19.91%
20 2014-03-30 29.1 FK Klaipedos Granitas 5 1212 68.56% @ Dainava Alytus 0 911 10.98% 20.46%
21 2014-09-12 29.3 @ VMFD Zalgiris 4 1623 79.85% FK Klaipedos Granitas 0 1153 3.87% 16.28%
22 2014-05-22 29.4 @ FK Klaipedos Granitas 2 1184 77.13% Dainava Alytus 0 776 5.26% 17.60%
23 2014-04-22 29.6 Trakai 7 1242 73.74% @ Dainava Alytus 1 858 7.31% 18.95%
24 2014-11-29 29.6 @ Trakai 1 1363 82.42% Dainava Alytus 0 825 2.76% 14.82%
25 2014-03-22 30.1 @ Suduva 2 1380 75.57% FK Siauliai 0 1004 6.17% 18.26%