2023 A Lyga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Panevezys

87 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Panevezys

12.59 points above expected

87 points · 74.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

DFK Dainava

9.64 points below expected

31 points · 40.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Panevezys	36	26	9	1	87	64	14	+50	74.41	+12.59
2	Zalgiris	36	23	6	7	75	67	28	+39	71.63	+3.37
3	FA Siauliai	36	16	14	6	62	51	35	+16	58.14	+3.86
4	Kauno Zalgiris	36	15	14	7	59	61	40	+21	57.41	+1.59
5	Hegelmann	36	18	5	13	59	62	43	+19	58.65	+0.35
6	Banga Gargzdai	36	10	6	20	36	22	52	-30	30.66	+5.34
7	Suduva	36	10	5	21	35	28	60	-32	38.77	-3.77
8	DFK Dainava	36	7	10	19	31	25	40	-15	40.64	-9.64
9	Dziugas	36	4	13	19	25	25	57	-32	30.93	-5.93
10	Riteriai	36	5	10	21	25	26	62	-36	34.39	-9.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Panevezys	87	74.41	+12.59
2	Banga Gargzdai	36	30.66	+5.34
3	FA Siauliai	62	58.14	+3.86
4	Zalgiris	75	71.63	+3.37
5	Kauno Zalgiris	59	57.41	+1.59

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	DFK Dainava	31	40.64	-9.64
2	Riteriai	25	34.39	-9.39
3	Dziugas	25	30.93	-5.93
4	Suduva	35	38.77	-3.77
5	Hegelmann	59	58.65	+0.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Panevezys	8	Jun 3 – Jul 30	1 in 70
2	Hegelmann	5	Jun 28 – Jul 30	1 in 25
3	Zalgiris	6	Apr 16 – May 14	1 in 21
4	Suduva	3	Aug 4 – Aug 18	1 in 18
5	FA Siauliai	3	Apr 29 – May 12	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Suduva	5	Apr 14 – May 2	1 in 76
2	Riteriai	7	Jul 30 – Sep 17	1 in 32
3	DFK Dainava	5	Jul 28 – Aug 26	1 in 25
4	Hegelmann	3	Apr 4 – Apr 16	1 in 22
5	FA Siauliai	2	Jun 28 – Jul 2	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kauno Zalgiris	15	Jul 18 – Nov 12	1 in 230
2	FA Siauliai	14	Apr 4 – Jun 24	1 in 69
3	Banga Gargzdai	4	May 28 – Jun 10	1 in 22
4	Panevezys	21	Jun 3 – Nov 12	1 in 20
5	Dziugas	4	Jul 14 – Aug 6	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Riteriai	21	Apr 22 – Sep 17	1 in 130
2	FA Siauliai	7	Sep 3 – Nov 4	1 in 65
3	Kauno Zalgiris	5	May 28 – Jun 27	1 in 64
4	Dziugas	14	Jul 23 – Nov 12	1 in 28
5	Panevezys	3	May 13 – May 28	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Panevezys	1605	87	-15	7	11.0	-4.0
Zalgiris	1502	75	-46	7	9.5	-2.5
FA Siauliai	1375	62	-17	6	7.6	-1.6
Kauno Zalgiris	1503	59	+81	13	8.4	+4.6
Hegelmann	1422	59	-23	7	6.5	+0.5
Banga Gargzdai	1158	36	-31	3	4.7	-1.7
Suduva	1163	35	-14	7	6.9	+0.1
DFK Dainava	1177	31	-11	2	3.6	-1.6
Riteriai	1171	25	+56	7	4.3	+2.7
Dziugas	1130	25	+2	4	3.9	+0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	DD	DZI	FS	HEG	KZ	PAN	RIT	SUD	ZAL
Banga Gargzdai	—	3-0-1 4.26	3-0-1 5.67	0-2-2 2.61	0-0-4 2.87	0-2-2 2.70	0-0-4 2.23	1-2-1 5.42	3-0-1 4.43	0-0-4 1.86
DFK Dainava	1-0-3 6.67	—	2-1-1 6.84	0-2-2 3.40	1-1-2 3.61	0-3-1 3.75	0-1-3 2.05	2-1-1 6.13	1-0-3 6.28	0-1-3 2.23
Dziugas	1-0-3 5.25	1-1-2 4.11	—	0-2-2 2.39	1-1-2 2.49	0-2-2 2.55	0-1-3 1.48	0-4-0 5.08	0-2-2 4.65	1-0-3 1.78
FA Siauliai	2-2-0 8.43	2-2-0 7.58	2-2-0 8.68	—	2-0-2 5.80	1-2-1 5.50	0-2-2 3.47	3-1-0 7.50	3-0-1 7.82	1-3-0 3.76
Hegelmann	4-0-0 8.15	2-1-1 7.35	2-1-1 8.57	2-0-2 5.12	—	1-1-2 5.32	0-2-2 3.67	3-0-1 8.39	3-0-1 7.73	1-0-3 3.81
Kauno Zalgiris	2-2-0 8.34	1-3-0 7.22	2-2-0 8.50	1-2-1 5.42	2-1-1 5.61	—	0-1-3 3.59	3-1-0 8.41	3-1-0 7.32	1-1-2 3.66
Panevezys	4-0-0 8.92	3-1-0 9.10	3-1-0 9.79	2-2-0 7.51	2-2-0 7.29	3-1-0 7.37	—	4-0-0 8.65	3-1-0 8.98	2-1-1 5.90
Riteriai	1-2-1 5.51	1-1-2 4.80	0-4-0 5.85	0-1-3 3.53	1-0-3 2.67	0-1-3 2.64	0-0-4 2.49	—	2-1-1 4.72	0-0-4 2.10
Suduva	1-0-3 6.51	3-0-1 4.65	2-2-0 6.28	1-0-3 3.18	1-0-3 3.26	0-1-3 3.65	0-1-3 2.19	1-1-2 6.21	—	1-0-3 2.02
Zalgiris	4-0-0 9.31	3-1-0 8.87	3-0-1 9.41	0-3-1 7.19	3-0-1 7.14	2-1-1 7.31	1-1-2 5.02	4-0-0 9.05	3-0-1 9.13	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.86	+10.5
Allowed	0.82	-13.1
Differential	0.95	+6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.67%	10.00%	8.61%	3.06%	2.22%	1.11%	36.67%
1	10.00%	10.56%	5.28%	2.78%	0.56%	—	29.17%
2	8.61%	5.28%	2.78%	1.94%	0.83%	0.83%	20.28%
3	3.06%	2.78%	1.94%	0.56%	—	—	8.33%
4	2.22%	0.56%	0.83%	—	—	—	3.61%
5+	1.11%	—	0.83%	—	—	—	1.94%
Total	36.67%	29.17%	20.28%	8.33%	3.61%	1.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.20	1.20	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.88
CV	1.05	1.05	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	19.44%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	50.00%
1	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	36.11%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.61	1.44	-0.83
SD	0.69	1.42	1.80
CV	1.13	0.99	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	16.67%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	55.56%
1	8.33%	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	30.56%	36.11%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.11	-0.42
SD	1.06	0.89	1.44
CV	1.53	0.80	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	52.78%
1	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	27.78%	33.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.58	-0.89
SD	0.89	1.13	1.37
CV	1.28	0.71	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	47.22%	22.22%	16.67%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	0.97	+0.44
SD	1.02	1.11	1.40
CV	0.72	1.14	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	38.89%	30.56%	13.89%	5.56%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.19	+0.53
SD	1.61	1.33	2.36
CV	0.94	1.11	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
1	2.78%	25.00%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	13.89%
3	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	41.67%	19.44%	5.56%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.11	+0.58
SD	1.47	1.09	1.61
CV	0.87	0.98	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	69.44%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	0.39	+1.39
SD	1.22	0.64	1.27
CV	0.69	1.66	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	47.22%
1	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	36.11%
2	—	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	13.89%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	13.89%	19.44%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.72	1.72	-1.00
SD	0.81	1.52	1.66
CV	1.13	0.88	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	52.78%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	13.89%	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	30.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	19.44%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	1.67	-0.89
SD	0.90	1.64	2.00
CV	1.15	0.98	—
Max	2	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	52.78%	19.44%	25.00%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	0.78	+1.08
SD	1.53	0.93	1.75
CV	0.82	1.19	—
Max	6	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Panevezys	1605	87	74.41	+12.59	99.0%	58	64	71	75	79	83	90
Kauno Zalgiris	1503	59	57.41	+1.59	62.0%	40	47	53	57	62	68	77
Zalgiris	1502	75	71.63	+3.37	77.0%	57	61	67	72	75	84	92
Hegelmann	1422	59	58.65	+0.35	53.0%	44	48	54	58	63	69	76
FA Siauliai	1375	62	58.14	+3.86	77.0%	44	47	53	58	62	69	79
DFK Dainava	1177	31	40.64	-9.64	12.0%	25	27	36	41	46	52	56
Riteriai	1171	25	34.39	-9.39	6.0%	19	25	30	34	38	46	55
Suduva	1163	35	38.77	-3.77	31.0%	23	26	35	39	43	50	57
Banga Gargzdai	1158	36	30.66	+5.34	76.0%	15	20	25	30	36	42	49
Dziugas	1130	25	30.93	-5.93	20.0%	12	20	27	31	36	42	44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.78%

Slight Edge

41.11%25.56%33.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 27.08 Elo pts.

211 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.18 goals

Neutral

-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

63%

Panevezys, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.33/gm

Runaway

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.39 * Some Luck: 5.39 to 8.08 * Lucky: 8.08 to 10.77 * Wild Swing: 10.77 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.75 * Close: 0.75 to 1.13 * Off: 1.13 to 1.5 * Way Off: 1.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.68 points

Some Luck

06.7317

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

Off

00.942

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.00%

Panevezys

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

6.00%

Riteriai

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Balanced

00.240.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 179.82

2.78

Strong Separation

12.52.853.5

Interquartile Edge

86%

Slight Edge

50%77.5%86.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

94%

Even

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Rare

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.47

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.04

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.60

Weak Carryover

00.650.811

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Upset-Prone

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

As Expected

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.92

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.21

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.047

Well Within Noise

00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Panevezys	63.00%	30.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Zalgiris	32.00%	47.00%	15.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
FA Siauliai	3.00%	8.00%	24.00%	29.00%	32.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—
Kauno Zalgiris	—	8.00%	22.00%	33.00%	27.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—
Hegelmann	2.00%	7.00%	33.00%	27.00%	28.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Banga Gargzdai	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	19.00%	25.00%	39.00%
Suduva	—	—	1.00%	—	4.00%	20.00%	37.00%	20.00%	12.00%	6.00%
DFK Dainava	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	46.00%	20.00%	15.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Dziugas	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	9.00%	22.00%	28.00%	35.00%
Riteriai	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	24.00%	24.00%	27.00%	16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
FA Siauliai	100%	—	—
Hegelmann	100%	—	—
Kauno Zalgiris	100%	—	—
Panevezys	100%	—	—
Zalgiris	100%	—	—
DFK Dainava	88.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Suduva	82.00%	12.00%	6.00%
Riteriai	57.00%	27.00%	16.00%
Dziugas	37.00%	28.00%	35.00%
Banga Gargzdai	36.00%	25.00%	39.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2023-03-03	FA Siauliai	L 0-1	46.1	1334	1303	44.52%	26.87%	28.62%	+0.28	-16.0	0
2023-03-03	@ Riteriai	W 1-0	46.1	1303	1334	28.62%	26.87%	44.52%	-0.28	+16.0	3
2023-03-04	DFK Dainava	W 3-0	33.9	1370	1274	52.53%	26.07%	21.40%	+0.59	+24.7	3
2023-03-04	@ Hegelmann	L 0-3	33.9	1274	1370	21.40%	26.07%	52.53%	-0.59	-24.7	0
2023-03-04	Kauno Zalgiris	L 2-4	49.2	1317	1368	33.15%	27.06%	39.78%	-0.11	-18.7	0
2023-03-04	@ Suduva	W 4-2	49.2	1368	1317	39.78%	27.06%	33.15%	+0.11	+18.7	3
2023-03-05	Dziugas	L 2-3	62.2	1455	1213	66.38%	22.66%	10.97%	+1.28	-20.2	0
2023-03-05	@ Zalgiris	W 3-2	62.2	1213	1455	10.97%	22.66%	66.38%	-1.28	+20.2	3
2023-03-05	Panevezys	L 0-4	33.8	1224	1347	24.19%	26.47%	49.34%	-0.46	-35.8	0
2023-03-05	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 4-0	33.8	1347	1224	49.34%	26.47%	24.19%	+0.46	+35.8	3
2023-03-10	FA Siauliai	D 0-0	50.5	1386	1319	49.05%	26.50%	24.45%	+0.45	-2.1	4
2023-03-10	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	50.5	1319	1386	24.45%	26.50%	49.05%	-0.45	+2.1	4
2023-03-11	Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	34.5	1435	1188	66.79%	22.50%	10.71%	+1.30	+4.7	3
2023-03-11	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	34.5	1188	1435	10.71%	22.50%	66.79%	-1.30	-4.7	0
2023-03-11	Hegelmann	W 2-0	44.0	1298	1395	27.25%	26.77%	45.98%	-0.33	+31.0	3
2023-03-11	@ Suduva	L 0-2	44.0	1395	1298	45.98%	26.77%	27.25%	+0.33	-31.0	3
2023-03-12	DFK Dainava	L 0-1	43.4	1233	1249	38.11%	27.09%	34.80%	+0.06	-14.2	3
2023-03-12	@ Dziugas	W 1-0	43.4	1249	1233	34.80%	27.09%	38.11%	-0.06	+14.2	3
2023-03-12	Panevezys	L 0-4	37.2	1318	1383	31.29%	27.01%	41.71%	-0.18	-43.8	0
2023-03-12	@ Riteriai	W 4-0	37.2	1383	1318	41.71%	27.01%	31.29%	+0.18	+43.8	6
2023-03-14	Hegelmann	W 3-1	47.4	1321	1364	34.22%	27.08%	38.70%	-0.07	+23.4	7
2023-03-14	@ FA Siauliai	L 1-3	47.4	1364	1321	38.70%	27.08%	34.22%	+0.07	-23.4	3
2023-03-14	Zalgiris	D 1-1	57.6	1384	1440	32.45%	27.05%	40.50%	-0.14	+0.6	5
2023-03-14	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	57.6	1440	1384	40.50%	27.05%	32.45%	+0.14	-0.6	4
2023-03-15	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	49.0	1275	1263	41.87%	27.00%	31.13%	+0.18	-0.9	1
2023-03-15	@ Riteriai	D 0-0	49.0	1263	1275	31.13%	27.00%	41.87%	-0.18	+0.9	4
2023-03-15	Dziugas	W 2-0	40.0	1183	1219	35.16%	27.10%	37.75%	-0.04	+26.5	3
2023-03-15	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-2	40.0	1219	1183	37.75%	27.10%	35.16%	+0.04	-26.5	3
2023-03-15	Panevezys	L 0-2	39.2	1329	1427	27.16%	26.76%	46.08%	-0.33	-20.7	3
2023-03-15	@ Suduva	W 2-0	39.2	1427	1329	46.08%	26.76%	27.16%	+0.33	+20.7	9
2023-03-18	Banga Gargzdai	W 2-1	45.4	1264	1210	47.47%	26.65%	25.88%	+0.39	+10.0	7
2023-03-18	@ DFK Dainava	L 1-2	45.4	1210	1264	25.88%	26.65%	47.47%	-0.39	-10.0	3
2023-03-18	Dziugas	W 2-0	33.5	1341	1193	57.99%	25.10%	16.92%	+0.83	+13.8	6
2023-03-18	@ Hegelmann	L 0-2	33.5	1193	1341	16.92%	25.10%	57.99%	-0.83	-13.8	3
2023-03-19	Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-1	49.1	1447	1385	48.51%	26.55%	24.93%	+0.43	+9.7	12
2023-03-19	@ Panevezys	L 1-2	49.1	1385	1447	24.93%	26.55%	48.51%	-0.43	-9.7	5
2023-03-19	Riteriai	W 1-0	37.6	1439	1274	59.70%	24.70%	15.60%	+0.91	+6.8	7
2023-03-19	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	37.6	1274	1439	15.60%	24.70%	59.70%	-0.91	-6.8	1
2023-03-19	Suduva	W 3-0	36.2	1345	1309	45.14%	26.83%	28.04%	+0.30	+30.8	10
2023-03-19	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-3	36.2	1309	1345	28.04%	26.83%	45.14%	-0.30	-30.8	3
2023-03-31	Hegelmann	L 0-5	32.9	1200	1354	21.02%	26.01%	52.98%	-0.61	-39.2	3
2023-03-31	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 5-0	32.9	1354	1200	52.98%	26.01%	21.02%	+0.61	+39.2	9
2023-04-01	FA Siauliai	W 3-1	45.2	1457	1375	50.80%	26.30%	22.90%	+0.52	+15.6	15
2023-04-01	@ Panevezys	L 1-3	45.2	1375	1457	22.90%	26.30%	50.80%	-0.52	-15.6	10
2023-04-01	Riteriai	D 1-1	53.7	1179	1267	28.30%	26.85%	44.85%	-0.29	+1.2	4
2023-04-01	@ Dziugas	D 1-1	53.7	1267	1179	44.85%	26.85%	28.30%	+0.29	-1.2	2
2023-04-01	Suduva	W 4-0	32.1	1446	1278	59.97%	24.63%	15.40%	+0.93	+24.0	10
2023-04-01	@ Zalgiris	L 0-4	32.1	1278	1446	15.40%	24.63%	59.97%	-0.93	-24.0	3
2023-04-02	Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	49.8	1274	1375	26.73%	26.73%	46.54%	-0.35	+1.7	8
2023-04-02	@ DFK Dainava	D 0-0	49.8	1375	1274	46.54%	26.73%	26.73%	+0.35	-1.7	6
2023-04-04	Panevezys	L 2-4	51.7	1394	1473	29.42%	26.92%	43.66%	-0.25	-17.0	9
2023-04-04	@ Hegelmann	W 4-2	51.7	1473	1394	43.66%	26.92%	29.42%	+0.25	+17.1	18
2023-04-04	Zalgiris	W 1-0	50.1	1360	1470	25.67%	26.63%	47.71%	-0.40	+16.9	13
2023-04-04	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-1	50.1	1470	1360	47.71%	26.63%	25.67%	+0.40	-16.9	10
2023-04-05	Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	49.0	1266	1161	53.49%	25.93%	20.58%	+0.63	-2.9	3
2023-04-05	@ Riteriai	D 0-0	49.0	1161	1266	20.58%	25.93%	53.49%	-0.63	+2.9	4
2023-04-05	DFK Dainava	W 2-0	39.7	1254	1276	37.20%	27.10%	35.70%	+0.02	+25.5	6
2023-04-05	@ Suduva	L 0-2	39.7	1276	1254	35.70%	27.10%	37.20%	-0.02	-25.5	8
2023-04-05	Dziugas	W 3-1	38.0	1373	1180	62.26%	24.01%	13.73%	+1.05	+9.8	9
2023-04-05	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-3	38.0	1180	1373	13.73%	24.01%	62.26%	-1.05	-9.8	4
2023-04-08	FA Siauliai	D 0-0	49.7	1250	1377	23.87%	26.43%	49.70%	-0.47	+2.2	9
2023-04-08	@ DFK Dainava	D 0-0	49.7	1377	1250	49.70%	26.43%	23.87%	+0.47	-2.2	14
2023-04-08	Zalgiris	D 0-0	56.3	1490	1453	45.20%	26.83%	27.98%	+0.30	-1.4	19
2023-04-08	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	56.3	1453	1490	27.98%	26.83%	45.20%	-0.30	+1.4	11
2023-04-09	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-2	33.0	1163	1383	15.59%	24.69%	59.72%	-0.92	-12.8	4
2023-04-09	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	33.0	1383	1163	59.72%	24.69%	15.59%	+0.92	+12.8	12
2023-04-09	Riteriai	L 0-1	48.8	1377	1263	54.43%	25.78%	19.79%	+0.67	-19.0	9
2023-04-09	@ Hegelmann	W 1-0	48.8	1263	1377	19.79%	25.78%	54.43%	-0.67	+19.0	6
2023-04-09	Suduva	L 0-2	36.4	1170	1279	25.83%	26.65%	47.52%	-0.39	-19.9	4
2023-04-09	@ Dziugas	W 2-0	36.4	1279	1170	47.52%	26.65%	25.83%	+0.39	+19.9	9
2023-04-14	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-2	45.6	1299	1151	58.04%	25.08%	16.87%	+0.83	-37.9	9
2023-04-14	@ Suduva	W 2-0	45.6	1151	1299	16.87%	25.08%	58.04%	-0.83	+37.9	7
2023-04-15	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	52.1	1488	1252	65.88%	22.84%	11.28%	+1.25	-5.1	20
2023-04-15	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	52.1	1252	1488	11.28%	22.84%	65.88%	-1.25	+5.0	10
2023-04-15	Dziugas	W 2-0	31.4	1374	1150	64.91%	23.18%	11.92%	+1.19	+9.9	17
2023-04-15	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-2	31.4	1150	1374	11.92%	23.18%	64.91%	-1.19	-9.9	4
2023-04-15	Riteriai	W 3-1	41.3	1396	1282	54.48%	25.77%	19.75%	+0.67	+13.8	15
2023-04-15	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-3	41.3	1282	1396	19.75%	25.77%	54.48%	-0.67	-13.8	6
2023-04-16	Hegelmann	W 1-0	41.6	1455	1358	52.57%	26.07%	21.36%	+0.59	+9.0	14
2023-04-16	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	41.6	1358	1455	21.36%	26.07%	52.57%	-0.59	-9.0	9
2023-04-18	FA Siauliai	L 0-1	37.0	1188	1384	17.41%	25.23%	57.37%	-0.80	-7.5	7
2023-04-18	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	37.0	1384	1188	57.37%	25.23%	17.41%	+0.80	+7.5	20
2023-04-18	Suduva	W 1-0	41.7	1268	1261	41.24%	27.02%	31.74%	+0.16	+12.4	9
2023-04-18	@ Riteriai	L 0-1	41.7	1261	1268	31.74%	27.02%	41.24%	-0.16	-12.4	9
2023-04-19	Kauno Zalgiris	W 3-2	57.2	1349	1410	31.73%	27.02%	41.25%	-0.16	+13.5	12
2023-04-19	@ Hegelmann	L 2-3	57.2	1410	1349	41.25%	27.02%	31.73%	+0.16	-13.5	15
2023-04-19	Panevezys	L 0-3	28.5	1141	1483	8.88%	21.25%	69.88%	-1.50	-10.5	4
2023-04-19	@ Dziugas	W 3-0	28.5	1483	1141	69.88%	21.25%	8.88%	+1.50	+10.5	23
2023-04-19	Zalgiris	L 0-2	35.0	1257	1464	16.60%	25.00%	58.40%	-0.85	-13.6	10
2023-04-19	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-0	35.0	1464	1257	58.40%	25.00%	16.60%	+0.85	+13.6	17
2023-04-22	Riteriai	D 1-1	55.3	1392	1280	54.18%	25.82%	20.00%	+0.66	-2.7	21
2023-04-22	@ FA Siauliai	D 1-1	55.3	1280	1392	20.00%	25.82%	54.18%	-0.66	+2.7	10
2023-04-23	Hegelmann	W 1-0	47.0	1244	1362	24.78%	26.54%	48.69%	-0.43	+17.2	13
2023-04-23	@ DFK Dainava	L 0-1	47.0	1362	1244	48.69%	26.54%	24.78%	+0.43	-17.2	12
2023-04-23	Suduva	W 3-0	32.2	1396	1249	57.95%	25.10%	16.95%	+0.83	+20.1	18
2023-04-23	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-3	32.2	1249	1396	16.95%	25.10%	57.95%	-0.83	-20.1	9
2023-04-23	Zalgiris	L 0-2	30.2	1130	1477	8.70%	21.10%	70.20%	-1.52	-7.1	4
2023-04-23	@ Dziugas	W 2-0	30.2	1477	1130	70.20%	21.10%	8.70%	+1.52	+7.1	20
2023-04-24	Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	30.4	1494	1181	71.58%	20.47%	7.95%	+1.61	+6.4	26
2023-04-24	@ Panevezys	L 0-2	30.4	1181	1494	7.95%	20.47%	71.58%	-1.61	-6.4	7
2023-04-28	Suduva	W 6-0	33.1	1345	1229	54.69%	25.73%	19.57%	+0.68	+43.8	15
2023-04-28	@ Hegelmann	L 0-6	33.1	1229	1345	19.57%	25.73%	54.69%	-0.68	-43.8	9
2023-04-29	Dziugas	D 2-2	59.7	1261	1123	56.99%	25.31%	17.71%	+0.78	-2.3	14
2023-04-29	@ DFK Dainava	D 2-2	59.7	1123	1261	17.71%	25.31%	56.99%	-0.78	+2.3	5
2023-04-29	Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	46.3	1389	1416	36.43%	27.10%	36.47%	+0.00	+13.7	24
2023-04-29	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-1	46.3	1416	1389	36.47%	27.10%	36.43%	+0.00	-13.7	18
2023-04-29	Riteriai	W 3-1	40.0	1500	1283	64.32%	23.38%	12.31%	+1.16	+8.8	29
2023-04-29	@ Panevezys	L 1-3	40.0	1283	1500	12.31%	23.38%	64.32%	-1.16	-8.8	10
2023-04-30	Zalgiris	L 0-2	31.5	1175	1484	10.31%	22.26%	67.43%	-1.34	-8.5	7
2023-04-30	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	31.5	1484	1175	67.43%	22.26%	10.31%	+1.34	+8.5	23
2023-05-02	FA Siauliai	L 0-2	33.3	1185	1403	15.72%	24.74%	59.54%	-0.91	-12.9	9
2023-05-02	@ Suduva	W 2-0	33.3	1403	1185	59.54%	24.74%	15.72%	+0.91	+12.9	27
2023-05-02	Hegelmann	W 2-0	47.0	1125	1389	12.76%	23.59%	63.65%	-1.12	+41.1	8
2023-05-02	@ Dziugas	L 0-2	47.0	1389	1125	63.65%	23.59%	12.76%	+1.12	-41.1	15
2023-05-03	DFK Dainava	W 2-1	51.2	1166	1259	27.74%	26.81%	45.45%	-0.31	+15.3	10
2023-05-03	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 1-2	51.2	1259	1166	45.45%	26.81%	27.74%	+0.31	-15.3	14
2023-05-03	Zalgiris	L 0-2	35.4	1274	1493	15.69%	24.72%	59.59%	-0.91	-12.9	10
2023-05-03	@ Riteriai	W 2-0	35.4	1493	1274	59.59%	24.72%	15.69%	+0.91	+12.9	26
2023-05-04	Panevezys	L 0-1	46.1	1403	1509	26.14%	26.67%	47.19%	-0.38	-10.6	18
2023-05-04	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	46.1	1509	1403	47.19%	26.67%	26.14%	+0.38	+10.6	32
2023-05-12	FA Siauliai	L 2-3	54.2	1347	1416	30.78%	26.98%	42.23%	-0.20	-10.8	15
2023-05-12	@ Hegelmann	W 3-2	54.2	1416	1347	42.23%	26.98%	30.78%	+0.20	+10.8	30
2023-05-13	Riteriai	W 5-0	37.3	1243	1261	37.74%	27.10%	35.16%	+0.04	+58.9	17
2023-05-13	@ DFK Dainava	L 0-5	37.3	1261	1243	35.16%	27.10%	37.74%	-0.04	-58.9	10
2023-05-13	Suduva	D 0-0	52.5	1520	1172	73.89%	19.33%	6.78%	+1.78	-6.3	33
2023-05-13	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	52.5	1172	1520	6.78%	19.33%	73.89%	-1.78	+6.3	10
2023-05-14	Banga Gargzdai	L 1-2	49.0	1166	1181	38.19%	27.09%	34.72%	+0.06	-13.4	8
2023-05-14	@ Dziugas	W 2-1	49.0	1181	1166	34.72%	27.09%	38.19%	-0.06	+13.4	13
2023-05-14	Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-1	49.2	1506	1392	54.41%	25.78%	19.81%	+0.67	+8.0	29
2023-05-14	@ Zalgiris	L 1-2	49.2	1392	1506	19.81%	25.78%	54.41%	-0.67	-8.0	18
2023-05-19	Banga Gargzdai	W 5-0	31.5	1337	1195	57.39%	25.22%	17.39%	+0.80	+33.2	18
2023-05-19	@ Hegelmann	L 0-5	31.5	1195	1337	17.39%	25.22%	57.39%	-0.80	-33.2	13
2023-05-20	DFK Dainava	W 1-0	40.0	1384	1302	50.82%	26.30%	22.88%	+0.52	+9.5	21
2023-05-20	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	40.0	1302	1384	22.88%	26.30%	50.82%	-0.52	-9.5	17
2023-05-20	Zalgiris	W 2-1	58.3	1178	1514	9.17%	21.47%	69.35%	-1.46	+22.1	13
2023-05-20	@ Suduva	L 1-2	58.3	1514	1178	69.35%	21.47%	9.17%	+1.46	-22.1	29
2023-05-21	Dziugas	D 1-1	53.6	1203	1153	46.86%	26.70%	26.44%	+0.36	-1.5	11
2023-05-21	@ Riteriai	D 1-1	53.6	1153	1203	26.44%	26.70%	46.86%	-0.36	+1.5	9
2023-05-21	Panevezys	D 0-0	56.2	1427	1513	28.47%	26.86%	44.67%	-0.28	+1.3	31
2023-05-21	@ FA Siauliai	D 0-0	56.2	1513	1427	44.67%	26.86%	28.47%	+0.28	-1.3	34
2023-05-26	Dziugas	W 1-0	39.7	1200	1155	46.39%	26.74%	26.87%	+0.35	+10.9	16
2023-05-26	@ Suduva	L 0-1	39.7	1155	1200	26.87%	26.74%	46.39%	-0.35	-10.9	9
2023-05-27	DFK Dainava	W 2-0	35.5	1428	1293	56.71%	25.36%	17.93%	+0.77	+14.6	34
2023-05-27	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-2	35.5	1293	1428	17.93%	25.36%	56.71%	-0.77	-14.6	17
2023-05-27	Hegelmann	L 0-4	32.2	1201	1370	19.71%	25.76%	54.53%	-0.67	-30.1	11
2023-05-27	@ Riteriai	W 4-0	32.2	1370	1201	54.53%	25.76%	19.71%	+0.67	+30.1	21
2023-05-28	Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	50.3	1394	1162	65.56%	22.95%	11.49%	+1.23	-5.0	22
2023-05-28	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	50.3	1162	1394	11.49%	22.95%	65.56%	-1.23	+5.0	14
2023-05-28	Panevezys	W 2-1	58.1	1492	1512	37.41%	27.10%	35.50%	+0.03	+12.7	32
2023-05-28	@ Zalgiris	L 1-2	58.1	1512	1492	35.50%	27.10%	37.41%	-0.03	-12.7	34
2023-06-02	Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	49.9	1144	1389	13.89%	24.08%	62.04%	-1.03	+4.4	10
2023-06-02	@ Dziugas	D 0-0	49.9	1389	1144	62.04%	24.08%	13.89%	+1.03	-4.4	23
2023-06-03	Hegelmann	W 1-0	44.0	1499	1400	52.84%	26.03%	21.13%	+0.60	+8.9	37
2023-06-03	@ Panevezys	L 0-1	44.0	1400	1499	21.13%	26.03%	52.84%	-0.60	-8.9	21
2023-06-03	Riteriai	D 1-1	53.5	1167	1171	39.68%	27.07%	33.26%	+0.11	-0.5	15
2023-06-03	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	53.5	1171	1167	33.26%	27.07%	39.68%	-0.11	+0.5	12
2023-06-03	Suduva	W 2-1	44.9	1278	1211	49.02%	26.50%	24.47%	+0.45	+9.5	20
2023-06-03	@ DFK Dainava	L 1-2	44.9	1211	1278	24.47%	26.50%	49.02%	-0.45	-9.5	16
2023-06-04	FA Siauliai	D 2-2	67.2	1504	1443	48.38%	26.57%	25.05%	+0.42	-1.3	33
2023-06-04	@ Zalgiris	D 2-2	67.2	1443	1504	25.05%	26.57%	48.38%	-0.42	+1.3	35
2023-06-06	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	54.7	1171	1384	16.10%	24.85%	59.05%	-0.88	+3.5	13
2023-06-06	@ Riteriai	D 1-1	54.7	1384	1171	59.05%	24.85%	16.10%	+0.88	-3.5	24
2023-06-06	Suduva	W 1-0	43.1	1166	1202	35.24%	27.10%	37.67%	-0.04	+14.0	18
2023-06-06	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	43.1	1202	1166	37.67%	27.10%	35.24%	+0.04	-14.0	16
2023-06-07	FA Siauliai	D 1-1	55.6	1148	1444	11.00%	22.68%	66.33%	-1.28	+4.6	11
2023-06-07	@ Dziugas	D 1-1	55.6	1444	1148	66.33%	22.68%	11.00%	+1.28	-4.6	36
2023-06-07	Panevezys	L 0-1	39.1	1288	1508	15.53%	24.67%	59.79%	-0.92	-6.8	20
2023-06-07	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	39.1	1508	1288	59.79%	24.67%	15.53%	+0.92	+6.8	40
2023-06-07	Zalgiris	L 0-1	45.3	1391	1503	25.49%	26.61%	47.90%	-0.40	-10.4	21
2023-06-07	@ Hegelmann	W 1-0	45.3	1503	1391	47.90%	26.61%	25.49%	+0.40	+10.4	36
2023-06-10	Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	55.9	1439	1180	67.70%	22.15%	10.15%	+1.36	-4.8	37
2023-06-10	@ FA Siauliai	D 1-1	55.9	1180	1439	10.15%	22.15%	67.70%	-1.36	+4.8	19
2023-06-10	Riteriai	D 0-0	48.6	1188	1175	42.04%	26.99%	30.96%	+0.19	-0.9	17
2023-06-10	@ Suduva	D 0-0	48.6	1175	1188	30.96%	26.99%	42.04%	-0.19	+0.9	14
2023-06-11	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	53.1	1513	1281	65.60%	22.94%	11.46%	+1.23	-5.0	37
2023-06-11	@ Zalgiris	D 0-0	53.1	1281	1513	11.46%	22.94%	65.60%	-1.23	+5.0	21
2023-06-11	Dziugas	W 4-0	26.9	1515	1153	74.81%	18.85%	6.34%	+1.85	+9.4	43
2023-06-11	@ Panevezys	L 0-4	26.9	1153	1515	6.34%	18.85%	74.81%	-1.85	-9.4	11
2023-06-22	Suduva	D 1-1	55.0	1381	1187	62.33%	23.99%	13.68%	+1.05	-4.0	25
2023-06-22	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	55.0	1187	1381	13.68%	23.99%	62.33%	-1.05	+4.0	18
2023-06-22	Zalgiris	L 1-2	39.1	1143	1508	8.02%	20.53%	71.45%	-1.60	-3.2	11
2023-06-22	@ Dziugas	W 2-1	39.1	1508	1143	71.45%	20.53%	8.02%	+1.60	+3.2	40
2023-06-24	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	50.2	1381	1286	52.31%	26.10%	21.59%	+0.58	-2.7	22
2023-06-24	@ Hegelmann	D 0-0	50.2	1286	1381	21.59%	26.10%	52.31%	-0.58	+2.7	22
2023-06-24	Riteriai	W 2-0	31.0	1434	1176	67.67%	22.16%	10.17%	+1.36	+8.4	40
2023-06-24	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-2	31.0	1176	1434	10.17%	22.16%	67.67%	-1.36	-8.4	14
2023-06-25	Panevezys	L 0-1	34.6	1185	1524	9.01%	21.35%	69.65%	-1.48	-3.9	19
2023-06-25	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	34.6	1524	1185	69.65%	21.35%	9.01%	+1.48	+3.9	46
2023-06-27	Zalgiris	L 2-5	46.2	1377	1512	23.02%	26.32%	50.67%	-0.51	-19.2	25
2023-06-27	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 5-2	46.2	1512	1377	50.67%	26.32%	23.02%	+0.51	+19.2	43
2023-06-28	Hegelmann	L 1-3	52.7	1443	1378	48.79%	26.53%	24.68%	+0.44	-28.2	40
2023-06-28	@ FA Siauliai	W 3-1	52.7	1378	1443	24.68%	26.53%	48.79%	-0.44	+28.2	25
2023-06-30	Riteriai	W 1-0	32.9	1528	1167	74.73%	18.89%	6.38%	+1.84	+2.7	49
2023-06-30	@ Panevezys	L 0-1	32.9	1167	1528	6.38%	18.89%	74.73%	-1.84	-2.7	14
2023-07-01	DFK Dainava	W 2-1	53.0	1140	1289	21.63%	26.11%	52.26%	-0.58	+17.2	14
2023-07-01	@ Dziugas	L 1-2	53.0	1289	1140	52.26%	26.11%	21.63%	+0.58	-17.3	22
2023-07-02	FA Siauliai	W 3-2	57.3	1358	1415	32.28%	27.04%	40.68%	-0.14	+13.3	28
2023-07-02	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 2-3	57.3	1415	1358	40.68%	27.04%	32.28%	+0.14	-13.3	40
2023-07-02	Hegelmann	L 0-1	36.6	1191	1406	15.92%	24.80%	59.29%	-0.89	-6.9	18
2023-07-02	@ Suduva	W 1-0	36.6	1406	1191	59.29%	24.80%	15.92%	+0.89	+6.9	28
2023-07-02	Zalgiris	L 1-4	34.0	1181	1531	8.60%	21.02%	70.38%	-1.53	-8.5	19
2023-07-02	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 4-1	34.0	1531	1181	70.38%	21.02%	8.60%	+1.53	+8.5	46
2023-07-06	Riteriai	W 3-0	27.6	1539	1165	75.57%	18.44%	5.99%	+1.91	+6.8	49
2023-07-06	@ Zalgiris	L 0-3	27.6	1165	1539	5.99%	18.44%	75.57%	-1.91	-6.8	14
2023-07-07	Kauno Zalgiris	W 3-0	37.0	1531	1371	59.18%	24.82%	16.00%	+0.89	+19.1	52
2023-07-07	@ Panevezys	L 0-3	37.0	1371	1531	16.00%	24.82%	59.18%	-0.89	-19.1	28
2023-07-08	Hegelmann	L 1-2	41.1	1157	1413	13.22%	23.80%	62.99%	-1.09	-5.5	14
2023-07-08	@ Dziugas	W 2-1	41.1	1413	1157	62.99%	23.80%	13.22%	+1.09	+5.5	31
2023-07-08	Suduva	W 3-2	45.5	1401	1184	64.36%	23.36%	12.28%	+1.16	+4.8	43
2023-07-08	@ FA Siauliai	L 2-3	45.5	1184	1401	12.28%	23.36%	64.36%	-1.16	-4.8	18
2023-07-09	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	47.4	1271	1173	52.77%	26.04%	21.20%	+0.60	-18.5	22
2023-07-09	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	47.4	1173	1271	21.20%	26.04%	52.77%	-0.60	+18.5	22
2023-07-14	Dziugas	L 0-1	45.3	1191	1152	45.53%	26.80%	27.66%	+0.31	-16.3	22
2023-07-14	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	45.3	1152	1191	27.66%	26.80%	45.53%	-0.31	+16.3	17
2023-07-16	DFK Dainava	L 1-3	42.5	1158	1253	27.48%	26.79%	45.73%	-0.32	-18.1	14
2023-07-16	@ Riteriai	W 3-1	42.5	1253	1158	45.73%	26.79%	27.48%	+0.32	+18.1	25
2023-07-18	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	54.4	1175	1352	18.97%	25.61%	55.42%	-0.71	+2.9	23
2023-07-18	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	54.4	1352	1175	55.42%	25.61%	18.97%	+0.71	-2.9	29
2023-07-21	Suduva	W 4-0	27.5	1546	1179	75.11%	18.69%	6.20%	+1.87	+9.2	52
2023-07-21	@ Zalgiris	L 0-4	27.5	1179	1546	6.20%	18.69%	75.11%	-1.87	-9.2	18
2023-07-22	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	54.5	1271	1349	29.53%	26.92%	43.54%	-0.24	+1.0	26
2023-07-22	@ DFK Dainava	D 1-1	54.5	1349	1271	43.54%	26.92%	29.53%	+0.24	-1.0	30
2023-07-23	Riteriai	D 2-2	59.2	1168	1140	44.12%	26.89%	28.99%	+0.26	-0.8	18
2023-07-23	@ Dziugas	D 2-2	59.2	1140	1168	28.99%	26.89%	44.12%	-0.26	+0.8	15
2023-07-24	FA Siauliai	W 2-0	41.4	1550	1406	57.58%	25.18%	17.24%	+0.81	+14.1	55
2023-07-24	@ Panevezys	L 0-2	41.4	1406	1550	17.24%	25.18%	57.58%	-0.81	-14.1	43
2023-07-25	Hegelmann	L 0-3	30.7	1178	1418	14.15%	24.18%	61.67%	-1.02	-17.0	23
2023-07-25	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 3-0	30.7	1418	1178	61.67%	24.18%	14.15%	+1.02	+17.0	34
2023-07-28	FA Siauliai	L 1-2	46.0	1272	1392	24.56%	26.51%	48.93%	-0.44	-9.5	26
2023-07-28	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-1	46.0	1392	1272	48.93%	26.51%	24.56%	+0.44	+9.5	46
2023-07-29	Suduva	D 1-1	53.5	1167	1170	39.94%	27.06%	33.00%	+0.12	-0.5	19
2023-07-29	@ Dziugas	D 1-1	53.5	1170	1167	33.00%	27.06%	39.94%	-0.12	+0.5	19
2023-07-30	Panevezys	L 1-2	63.3	1555	1564	39.04%	27.08%	33.88%	+0.09	-13.6	52
2023-07-30	@ Zalgiris	W 2-1	63.3	1564	1555	33.88%	27.08%	39.04%	-0.09	+13.6	58
2023-07-30	Riteriai	W 1-0	33.2	1435	1141	70.32%	21.05%	8.63%	+1.53	+3.7	37
2023-07-30	@ Hegelmann	L 0-1	33.2	1141	1435	8.63%	21.05%	70.32%	-1.53	-3.7	15
2023-08-04	DFK Dainava	W 2-0	42.2	1170	1262	27.81%	26.81%	45.38%	-0.31	+30.6	22
2023-08-04	@ Suduva	L 0-2	42.2	1262	1170	45.38%	26.81%	27.81%	+0.31	-30.6	26
2023-08-05	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	42.8	1137	1161	36.95%	27.10%	35.95%	+0.02	-13.8	15
2023-08-05	@ Riteriai	W 1-0	42.8	1161	1137	35.95%	27.10%	36.95%	-0.02	+13.8	26
2023-08-06	Dziugas	D 0-0	49.7	1348	1167	61.17%	24.32%	14.52%	+0.99	-4.2	31
2023-08-06	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	49.7	1167	1348	14.52%	24.32%	61.17%	-0.99	+4.2	20
2023-08-06	Zalgiris	D 0-0	56.5	1402	1542	22.48%	26.24%	51.28%	-0.54	+2.5	47
2023-08-06	@ FA Siauliai	D 0-0	56.5	1542	1402	51.28%	26.24%	22.48%	+0.54	-2.5	53
2023-08-07	Hegelmann	D 2-2	70.2	1578	1439	57.04%	25.29%	17.66%	+0.79	-2.3	59
2023-08-07	@ Panevezys	D 2-2	70.2	1439	1578	17.66%	25.29%	57.04%	-0.79	+2.3	38
2023-08-11	Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	40.5	1201	1174	43.88%	26.91%	29.21%	+0.25	+11.6	25
2023-08-11	@ Suduva	L 0-1	40.5	1174	1201	29.21%	26.91%	43.88%	-0.25	-11.6	26
2023-08-11	Dziugas	W 3-0	29.4	1404	1171	65.65%	22.92%	11.43%	+1.24	+13.7	50
2023-08-11	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-3	29.4	1171	1404	11.43%	22.92%	65.65%	-1.24	-13.7	20
2023-08-13	DFK Dainava	W 2-0	32.0	1575	1232	73.64%	19.46%	6.90%	+1.76	+5.5	62
2023-08-13	@ Panevezys	L 0-2	32.0	1232	1575	6.90%	19.46%	73.64%	-1.76	-5.5	26
2023-08-13	Hegelmann	W 4-0	41.3	1539	1441	52.64%	26.06%	21.30%	+0.59	+32.2	56
2023-08-13	@ Zalgiris	L 0-4	41.3	1441	1539	21.30%	26.06%	52.64%	-0.59	-32.1	38
2023-08-13	Riteriai	W 3-2	44.9	1344	1123	64.61%	23.28%	12.11%	+1.18	+4.8	34
2023-08-13	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 2-3	44.9	1123	1344	12.11%	23.28%	64.61%	-1.18	-4.8	15
2023-08-18	Suduva	L 1-2	45.7	1118	1213	27.56%	26.79%	45.64%	-0.32	-10.5	15
2023-08-18	@ Riteriai	W 2-1	45.7	1213	1118	45.64%	26.79%	27.56%	+0.32	+10.5	28
2023-08-19	FA Siauliai	D 1-1	55.2	1163	1418	13.26%	23.81%	62.93%	-1.08	+4.1	27
2023-08-19	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	55.2	1418	1163	62.93%	23.81%	13.26%	+1.08	-4.1	51
2023-08-19	Panevezys	L 0-3	28.2	1157	1581	6.14%	18.61%	75.25%	-1.88	-7.0	20
2023-08-19	@ Dziugas	W 3-0	28.2	1581	1157	75.25%	18.61%	6.14%	+1.88	+7.0	65
2023-08-20	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	56.3	1409	1348	48.29%	26.58%	25.14%	+0.42	-1.8	39
2023-08-20	@ Hegelmann	D 1-1	56.3	1348	1409	25.14%	26.58%	48.29%	-0.42	+1.8	35
2023-08-20	Zalgiris	L 0-2	32.9	1226	1571	8.78%	21.17%	70.05%	-1.51	-7.1	26
2023-08-20	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-0	32.9	1571	1226	70.05%	21.17%	8.78%	+1.51	+7.2	59
2023-08-25	FA Siauliai	L 0-1	33.9	1108	1414	10.50%	22.38%	67.12%	-1.32	-4.6	15
2023-08-25	@ Riteriai	W 1-0	33.9	1414	1108	67.12%	22.38%	10.50%	+1.32	+4.6	54
2023-08-26	Hegelmann	L 1-2	43.4	1219	1408	18.01%	25.38%	56.61%	-0.77	-7.3	26
2023-08-26	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-1	43.4	1408	1219	56.61%	25.38%	18.01%	+0.77	+7.3	42
2023-08-26	Kauno Zalgiris	L 2-6	38.5	1223	1350	23.81%	26.42%	49.77%	-0.48	-25.0	28
2023-08-26	@ Suduva	W 6-2	38.5	1350	1223	49.77%	26.42%	23.81%	+0.48	+25.0	38
2023-08-27	Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	29.6	1588	1167	78.26%	16.90%	4.84%	+2.13	+3.7	68
2023-08-27	@ Panevezys	L 0-2	29.6	1167	1588	4.84%	16.90%	78.26%	-2.13	-3.7	27
2023-08-27	Dziugas	W 4-1	31.8	1578	1150	78.66%	16.66%	4.68%	+2.16	+4.3	62
2023-08-27	@ Zalgiris	L 1-4	31.8	1150	1578	4.68%	16.66%	78.66%	-2.16	-4.3	20
2023-09-02	Dziugas	W 1-0	39.0	1212	1146	48.88%	26.52%	24.60%	+0.44	+10.1	29
2023-09-02	@ DFK Dainava	L 0-1	39.0	1146	1212	24.60%	26.52%	48.88%	-0.44	-10.1	20
2023-09-02	Panevezys	L 0-2	28.5	1103	1591	4.55%	16.47%	78.98%	-2.19	-3.4	15
2023-09-02	@ Riteriai	W 2-0	28.5	1591	1103	78.98%	16.47%	4.55%	+2.19	+3.4	71
2023-09-02	Suduva	W 2-0	32.1	1415	1198	64.31%	23.38%	12.32%	+1.16	+10.2	45
2023-09-02	@ Hegelmann	L 0-2	32.1	1198	1415	12.32%	23.38%	64.31%	-1.16	-10.2	28
2023-09-03	Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	32.6	1583	1163	78.19%	16.94%	4.87%	+2.12	+2.0	65
2023-09-03	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	32.6	1163	1583	4.87%	16.94%	78.19%	-2.12	-2.0	27
2023-09-03	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	57.0	1418	1375	46.06%	26.76%	27.17%	+0.33	-1.4	55
2023-09-03	@ FA Siauliai	D 1-1	57.0	1375	1418	27.17%	26.76%	46.06%	-0.33	+1.4	39
2023-09-16	DFK Dainava	W 1-0	44.1	1161	1222	31.80%	27.02%	41.17%	-0.16	+15.0	30
2023-09-16	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	44.1	1222	1161	41.17%	27.02%	31.80%	+0.16	-15.0	29
2023-09-16	Panevezys	L 0-1	34.5	1188	1595	6.62%	19.16%	74.22%	-1.80	-2.8	28
2023-09-16	@ Suduva	W 1-0	34.5	1595	1188	74.22%	19.16%	6.62%	+1.80	+2.8	74
2023-09-17	Dziugas	D 1-1	55.8	1425	1136	69.92%	21.23%	8.85%	+1.50	-5.1	46
2023-09-17	@ Hegelmann	D 1-1	55.8	1136	1425	8.85%	21.23%	69.92%	-1.50	+5.1	21
2023-09-17	Zalgiris	L 2-6	30.7	1100	1585	4.63%	16.58%	78.80%	-2.17	-4.6	15
2023-09-17	@ Riteriai	W 6-2	30.7	1585	1100	78.80%	16.58%	4.63%	+2.17	+4.6	68
2023-09-22	Riteriai	L 0-1	47.6	1207	1095	54.19%	25.82%	19.99%	+0.66	-18.9	29
2023-09-22	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	47.6	1095	1207	19.99%	25.82%	54.19%	-0.66	+18.9	18
2023-09-23	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	42.3	1141	1176	35.28%	27.10%	37.62%	-0.04	-13.4	21
2023-09-23	@ Dziugas	W 1-0	42.3	1176	1141	37.62%	27.10%	35.28%	+0.04	+13.4	33
2023-09-23	Suduva	W 2-1	39.2	1598	1185	77.80%	17.18%	5.03%	+2.09	+1.9	77
2023-09-23	@ Panevezys	L 1-2	39.2	1185	1598	5.03%	17.18%	77.80%	-2.09	-1.9	28
2023-09-24	FA Siauliai	W 3-1	48.3	1420	1417	40.70%	27.04%	32.26%	+0.14	+20.4	49
2023-09-24	@ Hegelmann	L 1-3	48.3	1417	1420	32.26%	27.04%	40.70%	-0.14	-20.5	55
2023-09-24	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-2	55.3	1589	1377	63.96%	23.49%	12.55%	+1.14	-41.3	68
2023-09-24	@ Zalgiris	W 2-0	55.3	1377	1589	12.55%	23.49%	63.96%	-1.14	+41.3	42
2023-09-28	DFK Dainava	D 1-1	55.6	1418	1188	65.39%	23.01%	11.60%	+1.22	-4.4	43
2023-09-28	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	55.6	1188	1418	11.60%	23.01%	65.39%	-1.22	+4.5	30
2023-09-29	Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	34.5	1440	1190	67.05%	22.41%	10.55%	+1.32	+4.6	52
2023-09-29	@ Hegelmann	L 0-1	34.5	1190	1440	10.55%	22.41%	67.05%	-1.32	-4.6	33
2023-09-30	Dziugas	D 0-0	48.4	1114	1128	38.39%	27.09%	34.52%	+0.06	-0.3	19
2023-09-30	@ Riteriai	D 0-0	48.4	1128	1114	34.52%	27.09%	38.39%	-0.06	+0.3	22
2023-09-30	Zalgiris	L 0-2	31.2	1183	1548	8.02%	20.54%	71.44%	-1.60	-6.5	28
2023-09-30	@ Suduva	W 2-0	31.2	1548	1183	71.44%	20.54%	8.02%	+1.60	+6.5	71
2023-10-07	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-1	37.3	1413	1185	65.26%	23.06%	11.68%	+1.21	+8.4	46
2023-10-07	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-3	37.3	1185	1413	11.68%	23.06%	65.26%	-1.21	-8.4	33
2023-10-07	Dziugas	D 0-0	48.6	1177	1128	46.77%	26.71%	26.52%	+0.36	-1.7	29
2023-10-07	@ Suduva	D 0-0	48.6	1128	1177	26.52%	26.71%	46.77%	-0.36	+1.7	23
2023-10-07	Hegelmann	L 2-3	44.0	1114	1445	9.35%	21.61%	69.04%	-1.44	-3.6	19
2023-10-07	@ Riteriai	W 3-2	44.0	1445	1114	69.04%	21.61%	9.35%	+1.44	+3.6	55
2023-10-08	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	50.3	1396	1192	63.21%	23.73%	13.06%	+1.10	-4.6	56
2023-10-08	@ FA Siauliai	D 0-0	50.3	1192	1396	13.06%	23.73%	63.21%	-1.10	+4.6	31
2023-10-08	Zalgiris	W 2-0	51.6	1599	1554	46.29%	26.75%	26.96%	+0.34	+20.6	80
2023-10-08	@ Panevezys	L 0-2	51.6	1554	1599	26.96%	26.75%	46.29%	-0.34	-20.6	71
2023-10-20	Suduva	L 1-2	50.5	1197	1175	43.29%	26.94%	29.77%	+0.23	-14.7	31
2023-10-20	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-1	50.5	1175	1197	29.77%	26.94%	43.29%	-0.23	+14.7	32
2023-10-21	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-2	31.2	1130	1422	11.18%	22.78%	66.04%	-1.26	-9.2	23
2023-10-21	@ Dziugas	W 2-0	31.2	1422	1130	66.04%	22.78%	11.18%	+1.26	+9.2	49
2023-10-21	Panevezys	D 0-0	61.3	1449	1620	19.48%	25.71%	54.81%	-0.69	+3.1	56
2023-10-21	@ Hegelmann	D 0-0	61.3	1620	1449	54.81%	25.71%	19.48%	+0.69	-3.1	81
2023-10-21	Riteriai	L 1-2	52.0	1177	1110	48.97%	26.51%	24.52%	+0.44	-16.3	33
2023-10-21	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-1	52.0	1110	1177	24.52%	26.51%	48.97%	-0.44	+16.3	22
2023-10-22	FA Siauliai	D 2-2	66.9	1534	1392	57.40%	25.22%	17.38%	+0.80	-2.4	72
2023-10-22	@ Zalgiris	D 2-2	66.9	1392	1534	17.38%	25.22%	57.40%	-0.80	+2.4	57
2023-10-25	FA Siauliai	W 2-0	46.1	1190	1394	16.73%	25.04%	58.23%	-0.84	+38.0	35
2023-10-25	@ Suduva	L 0-2	46.1	1394	1190	58.23%	25.04%	16.73%	+0.84	-38.0	57
2023-10-25	Panevezys	D 1-1	65.6	1431	1617	18.22%	25.43%	56.34%	-0.75	+3.0	50
2023-10-25	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	65.6	1617	1431	56.34%	25.43%	18.22%	+0.75	-3.0	82
2023-10-29	Hegelmann	W 4-0	42.4	1434	1452	37.79%	27.10%	35.11%	+0.04	+47.7	53
2023-10-29	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-4	42.4	1452	1434	35.11%	27.10%	37.79%	-0.04	-47.7	56
2023-10-30	Panevezys	D 1-1	63.2	1356	1614	13.10%	23.74%	63.16%	-1.10	+4.1	58
2023-10-30	@ FA Siauliai	D 1-1	63.2	1614	1356	63.16%	23.74%	13.10%	+1.10	-4.1	83
2023-11-03	Suduva	W 1-0	44.4	1160	1228	30.92%	26.99%	42.09%	-0.19	+15.3	36
2023-11-03	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	44.4	1228	1160	42.09%	26.99%	30.92%	+0.19	-15.3	35
2023-11-04	FA Siauliai	D 3-3	63.7	1120	1360	14.21%	24.20%	61.59%	-1.01	+2.4	24
2023-11-04	@ Dziugas	D 3-3	63.7	1360	1120	61.59%	24.20%	14.21%	+1.01	-2.4	59
2023-11-04	Zalgiris	W 2-0	50.8	1404	1532	23.78%	26.42%	49.81%	-0.48	+33.1	59
2023-11-04	@ Hegelmann	L 0-2	50.8	1532	1404	49.81%	26.42%	23.78%	+0.48	-33.1	72
2023-11-05	Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-3	35.7	1127	1482	8.38%	20.85%	70.77%	-1.56	-5.9	22
2023-11-05	@ Riteriai	W 3-1	35.7	1482	1127	70.77%	20.85%	8.38%	+1.56	+5.9	56
2023-11-05	Panevezys	L 1-2	40.0	1182	1610	6.02%	18.48%	75.50%	-1.90	-2.3	31
2023-11-05	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-1	40.0	1610	1182	75.50%	18.48%	6.02%	+1.90	+2.3	86
2023-11-12	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-0	30.5	1358	1176	61.27%	24.29%	14.44%	+0.99	+17.3	62
2023-11-12	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-3	30.5	1176	1358	14.44%	24.29%	61.27%	-0.99	-17.3	36
2023-11-12	DFK Dainava	W 1-0	33.5	1498	1180	71.97%	20.29%	7.74%	+1.64	+3.3	75
2023-11-12	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	33.5	1180	1498	7.74%	20.29%	71.97%	-1.64	-3.3	31
2023-11-12	Dziugas	D 0-0	54.5	1612	1123	81.82%	14.67%	3.51%	+2.45	-7.1	87
2023-11-12	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	54.5	1123	1612	3.51%	14.67%	81.82%	-2.45	+7.1	25
2023-11-12	Hegelmann	W 4-2	52.6	1488	1437	46.99%	26.69%	26.32%	+0.37	+15.6	59
2023-11-12	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 2-4	52.6	1437	1488	26.32%	26.69%	46.99%	-0.37	-15.6	59
2023-11-12	Riteriai	L 0-3	41.9	1212	1121	51.97%	26.15%	21.88%	+0.56	-49.9	35
2023-11-12	@ Suduva	W 3-0	41.9	1121	1212	21.88%	26.15%	51.97%	-0.56	+49.9	25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-05-20	9.17%	@ Suduva	1178	2	Zalgiris	1514	1
2	2023-03-05	10.97%	Dziugas	1213	3	@ Zalgiris	1455	2
3	2023-09-24	12.55%	Kauno Zalgiris	1377	2	@ Zalgiris	1589	0
4	2023-05-02	12.76%	@ Dziugas	1125	2	Hegelmann	1389	0
5	2023-10-25	16.73%	@ Suduva	1190	2	FA Siauliai	1394	0
6	2023-04-14	16.87%	Banga Gargzdai	1151	2	@ Suduva	1299	0
7	2023-04-09	19.79%	Riteriai	1263	1	@ Hegelmann	1377	0
8	2023-09-22	19.99%	Riteriai	1095	1	@ DFK Dainava	1207	0
9	2023-07-09	21.20%	Banga Gargzdai	1173	1	@ DFK Dainava	1271	0
10	2023-07-01	21.63%	@ Dziugas	1140	2	DFK Dainava	1289	1
11	2023-11-12	21.88%	Riteriai	1121	3	@ Suduva	1212	0
12	2023-11-04	23.78%	@ Hegelmann	1404	2	Zalgiris	1532	0
13	2023-10-21	24.52%	Riteriai	1110	2	@ Banga Gargzdai	1177	1
14	2023-06-28	24.68%	Hegelmann	1378	3	@ FA Siauliai	1443	1
15	2023-04-23	24.78%	@ DFK Dainava	1244	1	Hegelmann	1362	0
16	2023-04-04	25.67%	@ FA Siauliai	1360	1	Zalgiris	1470	0
17	2023-03-11	27.25%	@ Suduva	1298	2	Hegelmann	1395	0
18	2023-07-14	27.66%	Dziugas	1152	1	@ Banga Gargzdai	1191	0
19	2023-05-03	27.74%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1166	2	DFK Dainava	1259	1
20	2023-08-04	27.81%	@ Suduva	1170	2	DFK Dainava	1262	0
21	2023-03-03	28.62%	FA Siauliai	1303	1	@ Riteriai	1334	0
22	2023-10-20	29.77%	Suduva	1175	2	@ DFK Dainava	1197	1
23	2023-11-03	30.92%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1160	1	Suduva	1228	0
24	2023-04-19	31.73%	@ Hegelmann	1349	3	Kauno Zalgiris	1410	2
25	2023-09-16	31.80%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1161	1	DFK Dainava	1222	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-05-13	58.87	@ DFK Dainava	5	1243	37.74%	Riteriai	0	1261	35.16%	27.10%
2	2023-11-12	49.89	Riteriai	3	1121	21.88%	@ Suduva	0	1212	51.97%	26.15%
3	2023-10-29	47.71	@ Kauno Zalgiris	4	1434	37.79%	Hegelmann	0	1452	35.11%	27.10%
4	2023-03-12	43.78	Panevezys	4	1383	41.71%	@ Riteriai	0	1318	31.29%	27.01%
5	2023-04-28	43.75	@ Hegelmann	6	1345	54.69%	Suduva	0	1229	19.57%	25.73%
6	2023-09-24	41.30	Kauno Zalgiris	2	1377	12.55%	@ Zalgiris	0	1589	63.96%	23.49%
7	2023-05-02	41.12	@ Dziugas	2	1125	12.76%	Hegelmann	0	1389	63.65%	23.59%
8	2023-03-31	39.17	Hegelmann	5	1354	52.98%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1200	21.02%	26.01%
9	2023-10-25	38.01	@ Suduva	2	1190	16.73%	FA Siauliai	0	1394	58.23%	25.04%
10	2023-04-14	37.90	Banga Gargzdai	2	1151	16.87%	@ Suduva	0	1299	58.04%	25.08%
11	2023-03-05	35.76	Panevezys	4	1347	49.34%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1224	24.19%	26.47%
12	2023-05-19	33.16	@ Hegelmann	5	1337	57.39%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1195	17.39%	25.22%
13	2023-11-04	33.11	@ Hegelmann	2	1404	23.78%	Zalgiris	0	1532	49.81%	26.42%
14	2023-08-13	32.15	@ Zalgiris	4	1539	52.64%	Hegelmann	0	1441	21.30%	26.06%
15	2023-03-11	30.95	@ Suduva	2	1298	27.25%	Hegelmann	0	1395	45.98%	26.77%
16	2023-03-19	30.79	@ FA Siauliai	3	1345	45.14%	Suduva	0	1309	28.04%	26.83%
17	2023-08-04	30.62	@ Suduva	2	1170	27.81%	DFK Dainava	0	1262	45.38%	26.81%
18	2023-05-27	30.07	Hegelmann	4	1370	54.53%	@ Riteriai	0	1201	19.71%	25.76%
19	2023-06-28	28.18	Hegelmann	3	1378	24.68%	@ FA Siauliai	1	1443	48.79%	26.53%
20	2023-03-15	26.52	@ Banga Gargzdai	2	1183	35.16%	Dziugas	0	1219	37.75%	27.10%
21	2023-04-05	25.46	@ Suduva	2	1254	37.20%	DFK Dainava	0	1276	35.70%	27.10%
22	2023-08-26	24.95	Kauno Zalgiris	6	1350	49.77%	@ Suduva	2	1223	23.81%	26.42%
23	2023-03-04	24.71	@ Hegelmann	3	1370	52.53%	DFK Dainava	0	1274	21.40%	26.07%
24	2023-04-01	24.04	@ Zalgiris	4	1446	59.97%	Suduva	0	1278	15.40%	24.63%
25	2023-03-14	23.40	@ FA Siauliai	3	1321	34.22%	Hegelmann	1	1364	38.70%	27.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-08-07	70.2	@ Panevezys	2	1578	57.04%	Hegelmann	2	1439	17.66%	25.29%
2	2023-06-04	67.2	@ Zalgiris	2	1504	48.38%	FA Siauliai	2	1443	25.05%	26.57%
3	2023-10-22	66.9	@ Zalgiris	2	1534	57.40%	FA Siauliai	2	1392	17.38%	25.22%
4	2023-10-25	65.6	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1	1431	18.22%	Panevezys	1	1617	56.34%	25.43%
5	2023-11-04	63.7	@ Dziugas	3	1120	14.21%	FA Siauliai	3	1360	61.59%	24.20%
6	2023-07-30	63.3	Panevezys	2	1564	33.88%	@ Zalgiris	1	1555	39.04%	27.08%
7	2023-10-30	63.2	@ FA Siauliai	1	1356	13.10%	Panevezys	1	1614	63.16%	23.74%
8	2023-03-05	62.2	Dziugas	3	1213	10.97%	@ Zalgiris	2	1455	66.38%	22.66%
9	2023-10-21	61.3	@ Hegelmann	0	1449	19.48%	Panevezys	0	1620	54.81%	25.71%
10	2023-04-29	59.7	@ DFK Dainava	2	1261	56.99%	Dziugas	2	1123	17.71%	25.31%
11	2023-07-23	59.2	@ Dziugas	2	1168	44.12%	Riteriai	2	1140	28.99%	26.89%
12	2023-05-20	58.3	@ Suduva	2	1178	9.17%	Zalgiris	1	1514	69.35%	21.47%
13	2023-05-28	58.1	@ Zalgiris	2	1492	37.41%	Panevezys	1	1512	35.50%	27.10%
14	2023-03-14	57.6	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1	1384	32.45%	Zalgiris	1	1440	40.50%	27.05%
15	2023-07-02	57.3	@ Kauno Zalgiris	3	1358	32.28%	FA Siauliai	2	1415	40.68%	27.04%
16	2023-04-19	57.2	@ Hegelmann	3	1349	31.73%	Kauno Zalgiris	2	1410	41.25%	27.02%
17	2023-09-03	57.0	@ FA Siauliai	1	1418	46.06%	Kauno Zalgiris	1	1375	27.17%	26.76%
18	2023-08-06	56.5	@ FA Siauliai	0	1402	22.48%	Zalgiris	0	1542	51.28%	26.24%
19	2023-04-08	56.3	@ Panevezys	0	1490	45.20%	Zalgiris	0	1453	27.98%	26.83%
20	2023-08-20	56.3	@ Hegelmann	1	1409	48.29%	Kauno Zalgiris	1	1348	25.14%	26.58%
21	2023-05-21	56.2	@ FA Siauliai	0	1427	28.47%	Panevezys	0	1513	44.67%	26.86%
22	2023-06-10	55.9	@ FA Siauliai	1	1439	67.70%	Banga Gargzdai	1	1180	10.15%	22.15%
23	2023-09-17	55.8	@ Hegelmann	1	1425	69.92%	Dziugas	1	1136	8.85%	21.23%
24	2023-06-07	55.6	@ Dziugas	1	1148	11.00%	FA Siauliai	1	1444	66.33%	22.68%
25	2023-09-28	55.6	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1	1418	65.39%	DFK Dainava	1	1188	11.60%	23.01%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-06-11	26.9	@ Panevezys	4	1515	74.81%	Dziugas	0	1153	6.34%	18.85%
2	2023-07-21	27.5	@ Zalgiris	4	1546	75.11%	Suduva	0	1179	6.20%	18.69%
3	2023-07-06	27.6	@ Zalgiris	3	1539	75.57%	Riteriai	0	1165	5.99%	18.44%
4	2023-08-19	28.2	Panevezys	3	1581	75.25%	@ Dziugas	0	1157	6.14%	18.61%
5	2023-04-19	28.5	Panevezys	3	1483	69.88%	@ Dziugas	0	1141	8.88%	21.25%
6	2023-09-02	28.5	Panevezys	2	1591	78.98%	@ Riteriai	0	1103	4.55%	16.47%
7	2023-08-11	29.4	@ FA Siauliai	3	1404	65.65%	Dziugas	0	1171	11.43%	22.92%
8	2023-08-27	29.6	@ Panevezys	2	1588	78.26%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1167	4.84%	16.90%
9	2023-04-23	30.2	Zalgiris	2	1477	70.20%	@ Dziugas	0	1130	8.70%	21.10%
10	2023-04-24	30.4	@ Panevezys	2	1494	71.58%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1181	7.95%	20.47%
11	2023-11-12	30.5	@ FA Siauliai	3	1358	61.27%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1176	14.44%	24.29%
12	2023-07-25	30.7	Hegelmann	3	1418	61.67%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1178	14.15%	24.18%
13	2023-09-17	30.7	Zalgiris	6	1585	78.80%	@ Riteriai	2	1100	4.63%	16.58%
14	2023-06-24	31.0	@ FA Siauliai	2	1434	67.67%	Riteriai	0	1176	10.17%	22.16%
15	2023-09-30	31.2	Zalgiris	2	1548	71.44%	@ Suduva	0	1183	8.02%	20.54%
16	2023-10-21	31.2	Kauno Zalgiris	2	1422	66.04%	@ Dziugas	0	1130	11.18%	22.78%
17	2023-04-15	31.4	@ FA Siauliai	2	1374	64.91%	Dziugas	0	1150	11.92%	23.18%
18	2023-04-30	31.5	Zalgiris	2	1484	67.43%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1175	10.31%	22.26%
19	2023-05-19	31.5	@ Hegelmann	5	1337	57.39%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1195	17.39%	25.22%
20	2023-08-27	31.8	@ Zalgiris	4	1578	78.66%	Dziugas	1	1150	4.68%	16.66%
21	2023-08-13	32.0	@ Panevezys	2	1575	73.64%	DFK Dainava	0	1232	6.90%	19.46%
22	2023-04-01	32.1	@ Zalgiris	4	1446	59.97%	Suduva	0	1278	15.40%	24.63%
23	2023-09-02	32.1	@ Hegelmann	2	1415	64.31%	Suduva	0	1198	12.32%	23.38%
24	2023-04-23	32.2	@ Kauno Zalgiris	3	1396	57.95%	Suduva	0	1249	16.95%	25.10%
25	2023-05-27	32.2	Hegelmann	4	1370	54.53%	@ Riteriai	0	1201	19.71%	25.76%