2024 A Lyga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Zalgiris

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Zalgiris

7.74 points above expected

79 points · 71.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Panevezys

18.10 points below expected

41 points · 59.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Zalgiris	36	24	7	5	79	76	31	+45	71.26	+7.74
2	Hegelmann	36	19	10	7	67	60	40	+20	61.72	+5.28
3	Kauno Zalgiris	36	15	9	12	54	43	40	+3	60.84	-6.84
4	DFK Dainava	36	12	9	15	45	33	40	-7	38.95	+6.05
5	Banga Gargzdai	36	10	13	13	43	37	46	-9	38.95	+4.05
6	FA Siauliai	36	10	12	14	42	39	50	-11	48.89	-6.89
7	Dziugas	36	11	9	16	42	33	48	-15	35.73	+6.27
8	Panevezys	36	9	14	13	41	34	40	-6	59.10	-18.10
9	Suduva	36	9	12	15	39	33	38	-5	37.40	+1.60
10	Transinvest	36	11	5	20	38	35	50	-15	39.80	-1.80

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Zalgiris	79	71.26	+7.74
2	Dziugas	42	35.73	+6.27
3	DFK Dainava	45	38.95	+6.05
4	Hegelmann	67	61.72	+5.28
5	Banga Gargzdai	43	38.95	+4.05

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Panevezys	41	59.10	-18.10
2	FA Siauliai	42	48.89	-6.89
3	Kauno Zalgiris	54	60.84	-6.84
4	Transinvest	38	39.80	-1.80
5	Suduva	39	37.40	+1.60

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hegelmann	7	Jun 30 – Aug 16	1 in 157
2	DFK Dainava	3	Oct 25 – Nov 9	1 in 92
3	Zalgiris	7	May 19 – Jun 26	1 in 47
4	Dziugas	3	Apr 27 – May 11	1 in 19
5	Transinvest	2	Jun 19 – Jun 22	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Panevezys	3	Mar 13 – Mar 30	1 in 174
2	Dziugas	7	Aug 18 – Oct 18	1 in 111
3	Hegelmann	2	Oct 19 – Oct 25	1 in 35
4	Transinvest	3	Mar 9 – Mar 17	1 in 28
5	Kauno Zalgiris	3	Mar 17 – Apr 7	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Suduva	6	Aug 17 – Oct 6	1 in 70
2	Dziugas	6	Mar 2 – Apr 6	1 in 43
3	Zalgiris	16	Mar 31 – Jun 26	1 in 36
4	FA Siauliai	9	Jun 15 – Aug 18	1 in 34
5	DFK Dainava	6	Mar 10 – Apr 9	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kauno Zalgiris	6	Sep 22 – Nov 9	1 in 75
2	Panevezys	7	Jun 29 – Sep 1	1 in 44
3	Suduva	13	Jun 15 – Sep 1	1 in 25
4	Dziugas	13	Jul 6 – Oct 22	1 in 22
5	Zalgiris	3	Apr 28 – May 12	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Zalgiris	1461	79	-12	9	11.1	-2.1
Hegelmann	1370	67	-9	7	9.9	-2.9
Kauno Zalgiris	1304	54	-43	2	9.5	-7.5
DFK Dainava	1218	45	+42	12	4.6	+7.4
Banga Gargzdai	1180	43	-36	3	5.7	-2.7
Dziugas	1158	42	+57	10	3.3	+6.7
FA Siauliai	1215	42	-22	6	6.6	-0.6
Panevezys	1295	41	+3	8	8.1	-0.1
Suduva	1209	39	+21	7	5.4	+1.6
Transinvest	1206	38	-3	5	4.7	+0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	DD	DZI	FS	HEG	KZ	PAN	SUD	TRA	ZAL
Banga Gargzdai	—	0-1-3 5.55	1-2-1 5.91	1-2-1 4.36	0-2-2 3.06	1-3-0 3.08	3-0-1 3.42	1-1-2 5.52	3-1-0 5.22	0-1-3 2.69
DFK Dainava	3-1-0 5.28	—	2-1-1 5.76	1-2-1 4.77	2-0-2 3.27	1-1-2 3.52	0-3-1 3.45	1-1-2 5.89	2-0-2 5.42	0-0-4 2.59
Dziugas	1-2-1 4.92	1-1-2 5.06	—	2-2-0 4.04	0-1-3 3.00	1-0-3 3.20	0-3-1 2.91	3-0-1 5.28	2-0-2 5.09	1-0-3 2.37
FA Siauliai	1-2-1 6.49	1-2-1 6.06	0-2-2 6.84	—	1-3-0 4.11	2-0-2 4.11	2-1-1 4.32	1-2-1 6.78	2-0-2 6.51	0-0-4 3.14
Hegelmann	2-2-0 7.92	2-0-2 7.68	3-1-0 8.01	0-3-1 6.76	—	1-1-2 5.62	3-1-0 5.71	4-0-0 7.91	2-0-2 7.42	2-2-0 4.21
Kauno Zalgiris	0-3-1 7.90	2-1-1 7.40	3-0-1 7.79	2-0-2 6.76	2-1-1 5.22	—	1-2-1 5.71	1-2-1 7.74	3-0-1 7.51	1-0-3 4.45
Panevezys	1-0-3 7.53	1-3-0 7.49	1-3-0 8.10	1-1-2 6.53	0-1-3 5.13	1-2-1 5.12	—	2-1-1 7.78	1-2-1 7.34	1-1-2 3.85
Suduva	2-1-1 5.30	2-1-1 4.94	1-0-3 5.54	1-2-1 4.09	0-0-4 3.08	1-2-1 3.23	1-1-2 3.19	—	1-2-1 5.10	0-3-1 2.52
Transinvest	0-1-3 5.61	2-0-2 5.41	2-0-2 5.74	2-0-2 4.34	2-0-2 3.50	1-0-3 3.42	1-2-1 3.59	1-2-1 5.73	—	0-0-4 2.54
Zalgiris	3-1-0 8.37	4-0-0 8.49	3-0-1 8.77	4-0-0 7.86	0-2-2 6.65	3-0-1 6.40	2-1-1 7.07	1-3-0 8.57	4-0-0 8.55	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.95	+9.3
Allowed	0.49	-15.7
Differential	0.94	+7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.78%	11.94%	5.28%	3.33%	0.83%	0.56%	34.72%
1	11.94%	8.33%	6.39%	3.61%	1.11%	—	31.39%
2	5.28%	6.39%	5.00%	1.94%	1.11%	—	19.72%
3	3.33%	3.61%	1.94%	1.67%	—	—	10.56%
4	0.83%	1.11%	1.11%	—	—	—	3.06%
5+	0.56%	—	—	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	34.72%	31.39%	19.72%	10.56%	3.06%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.18	+0.00
SD	1.14	1.14	1.60
CV	0.97	0.97	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	13.89%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	—	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	25.00%	19.44%	13.89%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.28	-0.25
SD	0.97	1.26	1.63
CV	0.94	0.98	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	50.00%
1	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	30.56%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.11	-0.19
SD	1.11	1.24	1.77
CV	1.21	1.11	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	41.67%
1	16.67%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	16.67%	19.44%	22.22%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.33	-0.42
SD	0.97	1.29	1.59
CV	1.06	0.97	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	—	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	25.00%	16.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.39	-0.31
SD	1.00	1.15	1.37
CV	0.92	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.11%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.11	+0.56
SD	1.12	1.06	1.34
CV	0.67	0.96	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	30.56%
1	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	47.22%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.11	+0.08
SD	1.06	1.17	1.59
CV	0.89	1.05	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	25.00%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
1	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	25.00%	25.00%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.11	-0.17
SD	1.09	1.12	1.23
CV	1.16	1.00	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	25.00%	—	—	2.78%	—	44.44%
1	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	36.11%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.06	-0.14
SD	1.05	1.07	1.29
CV	1.15	1.01	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
1	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	25.00%	38.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.39	-0.42
SD	1.11	1.05	1.65
CV	1.14	0.76	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	41.67%	44.44%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	0.86	+1.25
SD	1.37	1.02	1.81
CV	0.65	1.18	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Zalgiris	1461	79	71.26	+7.74	87.0%	49	58	67	72	75	83	89
Hegelmann	1370	67	61.72	+5.28	79.0%	46	51	56	61	66	74	86
Kauno Zalgiris	1304	54	60.84	-6.84	24.0%	40	47	55	60	67	73	78
Panevezys	1295	41	59.10	-18.10	1.0%	33	45	54	60	65	70	78
DFK Dainava	1218	45	38.95	+6.05	80.0%	23	28	35	39	44	48	55
FA Siauliai	1215	42	48.89	-6.89	19.0%	30	38	44	49	54	60	63
Suduva	1209	39	37.40	+1.60	61.0%	20	25	33	37	43	50	56
Transinvest	1206	38	39.80	-1.80	47.0%	23	28	35	39	44	54	60
Banga Gargzdai	1180	43	38.95	+4.05	72.0%	22	27	35	39	44	49	52
Dziugas	1158	42	35.73	+6.27	83.0%	17	24	31	35	40	50	59

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 3% * Slight Edge: 3% to 8% * Clear Edge: 8% to 11.5% * Strong Edge: 11.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+1.11%

No Edge

36.67%27.78%35.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 3.86 Elo pts.

310 Elo

0.003 goals per Elo point

0800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.03 goals

Neutral

-2+0.01+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.1

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

67%

Zalgiris, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.33/gm

Runaway

00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.9 * Some Luck: 5.9 to 8.85 * Lucky: 8.85 to 11.81 * Wild Swing: 11.81 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.01 * Close: 1.01 to 1.52 * Off: 1.52 to 2.03 * Way Off: 2.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.79 points

Some Luck

07.3818

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.80

Off

01.273

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

87.00%

Zalgiris

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

1.00%

Panevezys

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.65 * Strong Separation: 2.65 to 2.85 * Wide Separation: 2.85 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 77.5% * Slight Edge: 77.5% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 90% * Wide Edge: 90% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51% * Some Drama: 51% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 60% * Very Frequent: 60% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19.5% * Occasional: 19.5% to 22.5% * Frequent: 22.5% to 27% * Very Frequent: 27% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.240.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 95.44

1.76

Coin-Flip Parity

12.52.853.5

Interquartile Edge

63%

Even

50%77.5%86.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

85%

Even

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

68%

Very Frequent

0%65%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.65 * Some Carryover: 0.65 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.81 * Near-Lock: 0.81 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.65

Hard to Predict

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.04

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.30

Weak Carryover

00.650.811

Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Very Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.81

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.61

Overconfident

0.4958471.001.50415

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Zalgiris	67.00%	16.00%	11.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Hegelmann	13.00%	29.00%	27.00%	22.00%	9.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Kauno Zalgiris	12.00%	29.00%	24.00%	18.00%	12.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
DFK Dainava	—	—	—	4.00%	8.00%	15.00%	19.00%	21.00%	18.00%	15.00%
Banga Gargzdai	—	—	—	—	9.00%	22.00%	16.00%	16.00%	19.00%	18.00%
FA Siauliai	—	—	16.00%	10.00%	31.00%	21.00%	16.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Dziugas	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	16.00%	17.00%	29.00%	29.00%
Panevezys	8.00%	25.00%	21.00%	34.00%	7.00%	4.00%	—	—	1.00%	—
Suduva	—	—	—	2.00%	10.00%	13.00%	16.00%	18.00%	17.00%	24.00%
Transinvest	—	1.00%	—	5.00%	8.00%	19.00%	15.00%	24.00%	14.00%	14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
FA Siauliai	98.00%	2.00%	—
Hegelmann	100%	—	—
Kauno Zalgiris	100%	—	—
Panevezys	99.00%	1.00%	—
Zalgiris	100%	—	—
Transinvest	72.00%	14.00%	14.00%
DFK Dainava	67.00%	18.00%	15.00%
Banga Gargzdai	63.00%	19.00%	18.00%
Suduva	59.00%	17.00%	24.00%
Dziugas	42.00%	29.00%	29.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-03-01	FA Siauliai	D 0-0	48.4	1173	1283	22.71%	27.90%	49.39%	-0.34	+1.4	1
2024-03-01	@ Suduva	D 0-0	48.4	1283	1173	49.39%	27.90%	22.71%	+0.34	-1.4	1
2024-03-02	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	54.6	1169	1354	16.58%	25.15%	58.26%	-0.58	+2.0	1
2024-03-02	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	54.6	1354	1169	58.26%	25.15%	16.58%	+0.58	-2.0	1
2024-03-02	Panevezys	D 0-0	50.4	1162	1402	13.21%	22.53%	64.26%	-0.76	+2.8	1
2024-03-02	@ Dziugas	D 0-0	50.4	1402	1162	64.26%	22.53%	13.21%	+0.76	-2.8	1
2024-03-03	Transinvest	L 2-3	56.2	1309	1233	46.52%	28.49%	24.99%	+0.26	-8.9	0
2024-03-03	@ Hegelmann	W 3-2	56.2	1233	1309	24.99%	28.49%	46.52%	-0.26	+8.9	3
2024-03-03	Zalgiris	L 0-1	36.3	1185	1348	18.13%	26.05%	55.82%	-0.51	-4.7	0
2024-03-03	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	36.3	1348	1185	55.82%	26.05%	18.13%	+0.51	+4.7	3
2024-03-09	Dziugas	L 0-1	45.2	1242	1164	46.77%	28.44%	24.78%	+0.26	-10.0	3
2024-03-09	@ Transinvest	W 1-0	45.2	1164	1242	24.78%	28.44%	46.77%	-0.26	+10.0	4
2024-03-09	Hegelmann	L 1-2	51.4	1352	1300	43.37%	28.97%	27.67%	+0.18	-8.9	1
2024-03-09	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-1	51.4	1300	1352	27.67%	28.97%	43.37%	-0.18	+8.9	3
2024-03-10	Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	48.5	1281	1171	50.89%	27.54%	21.57%	+0.37	-1.5	2
2024-03-10	@ FA Siauliai	D 0-0	48.5	1171	1281	21.57%	27.54%	50.89%	-0.37	+1.5	2
2024-03-10	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	50.4	1399	1180	63.26%	23.01%	13.73%	+0.72	-2.7	2
2024-03-10	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	50.4	1180	1399	13.73%	23.01%	63.26%	-0.72	+2.7	1
2024-03-10	Suduva	D 3-3	63.8	1352	1174	58.84%	24.93%	16.23%	+0.59	-1.3	4
2024-03-10	@ Zalgiris	D 3-3	63.8	1174	1352	16.23%	24.93%	58.84%	-0.59	+1.3	2
2024-03-12	Transinvest	W 2-1	43.8	1343	1232	51.00%	27.51%	21.49%	+0.37	+5.2	4
2024-03-12	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	43.8	1232	1343	21.49%	27.51%	51.00%	-0.37	-5.2	3
2024-03-13	Dziugas	D 0-0	47.8	1183	1174	37.32%	29.43%	33.25%	+0.04	-0.2	2
2024-03-13	@ DFK Dainava	D 0-0	47.8	1174	1183	33.25%	29.43%	37.32%	-0.04	+0.2	5
2024-03-13	FA Siauliai	D 2-2	59.4	1309	1280	40.18%	29.28%	30.54%	+0.11	-0.3	4
2024-03-13	@ Hegelmann	D 2-2	59.4	1280	1309	30.54%	29.28%	40.18%	-0.11	+0.3	3
2024-03-13	Panevezys	W 1-0	48.9	1176	1397	14.29%	23.48%	62.23%	-0.70	+12.6	5
2024-03-13	@ Suduva	L 0-1	48.9	1397	1176	62.23%	23.48%	14.29%	+0.70	-12.6	2
2024-03-13	Zalgiris	L 1-4	34.6	1173	1351	17.00%	25.41%	57.58%	-0.56	-10.1	2
2024-03-13	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 4-1	34.6	1351	1173	57.58%	25.41%	17.00%	+0.56	+10.1	7
2024-03-16	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	49.0	1384	1163	63.49%	22.90%	13.61%	+0.73	-12.8	2
2024-03-16	@ Panevezys	W 1-0	49.0	1163	1384	13.61%	22.90%	63.49%	-0.73	+12.8	5
2024-03-16	Suduva	W 1-0	42.4	1175	1188	34.14%	29.45%	36.41%	-0.03	+8.3	8
2024-03-16	@ Dziugas	L 0-1	42.4	1188	1175	36.41%	29.45%	34.14%	+0.03	-8.3	5
2024-03-17	DFK Dainava	L 0-2	40.1	1227	1183	42.30%	29.09%	28.61%	+0.15	-17.5	3
2024-03-17	@ Transinvest	W 2-0	40.1	1183	1227	28.61%	29.09%	42.30%	-0.15	+17.5	5
2024-03-17	Hegelmann	L 1-3	47.5	1361	1308	43.49%	28.95%	27.56%	+0.18	-15.4	7
2024-03-17	@ Zalgiris	W 3-1	47.5	1308	1361	27.56%	28.95%	43.49%	-0.18	+15.4	7
2024-03-17	Kauno Zalgiris	W 2-1	51.4	1280	1348	27.17%	28.89%	43.94%	-0.21	+9.0	6
2024-03-17	@ FA Siauliai	L 1-2	51.4	1348	1280	43.94%	28.89%	27.17%	+0.21	-9.0	4
2024-03-29	Dziugas	L 0-2	38.0	1175	1183	35.05%	29.46%	35.48%	-0.01	-15.2	5
2024-03-29	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	38.0	1183	1175	35.48%	29.46%	35.05%	+0.01	+15.2	11
2024-03-30	Panevezys	W 4-2	50.6	1324	1371	29.64%	29.21%	41.16%	-0.14	+13.2	10
2024-03-30	@ Hegelmann	L 2-4	50.6	1371	1324	41.16%	29.21%	29.64%	+0.14	-13.2	2
2024-03-30	Transinvest	L 0-1	45.5	1289	1209	47.07%	28.39%	24.55%	+0.27	-10.1	6
2024-03-30	@ FA Siauliai	W 1-0	45.5	1209	1289	24.55%	28.39%	47.07%	-0.27	+10.1	6
2024-03-31	DFK Dainava	L 0-1	41.4	1180	1200	33.25%	29.43%	37.31%	-0.05	-7.8	5
2024-03-31	@ Suduva	W 1-0	41.4	1200	1180	37.31%	29.43%	33.25%	+0.05	+7.8	8
2024-03-31	Zalgiris	L 0-1	43.5	1339	1346	35.13%	29.46%	35.40%	-0.01	-8.1	4
2024-03-31	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	43.5	1346	1339	35.40%	29.46%	35.13%	+0.01	+8.1	10
2024-04-06	Banga Gargzdai	D 2-2	58.8	1208	1160	42.77%	29.04%	28.19%	+0.17	-0.5	9
2024-04-06	@ DFK Dainava	D 2-2	58.8	1160	1208	28.19%	29.04%	42.77%	-0.17	+0.5	6
2024-04-06	Hegelmann	D 0-0	49.0	1198	1337	20.04%	26.95%	53.01%	-0.44	+1.7	12
2024-04-06	@ Dziugas	D 0-0	49.0	1337	1198	53.01%	26.95%	20.04%	+0.44	-1.7	11
2024-04-07	FA Siauliai	W 3-0	33.9	1354	1279	46.40%	28.51%	25.09%	+0.25	+17.1	13
2024-04-07	@ Zalgiris	L 0-3	33.9	1279	1354	25.09%	28.51%	46.40%	-0.25	-17.1	6
2024-04-07	Panevezys	L 0-1	42.7	1331	1358	32.30%	29.40%	38.30%	-0.07	-7.6	4
2024-04-07	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	42.7	1358	1331	38.30%	29.40%	32.30%	+0.07	+7.6	5
2024-04-07	Suduva	L 0-2	40.2	1219	1172	42.71%	29.05%	28.24%	+0.16	-17.6	6
2024-04-07	@ Transinvest	W 2-0	40.2	1172	1219	28.24%	29.05%	42.71%	-0.16	+17.6	8
2024-04-09	DFK Dainava	L 0-1	47.1	1335	1207	53.08%	26.93%	19.99%	+0.43	-11.1	11
2024-04-09	@ Hegelmann	W 1-0	47.1	1207	1335	19.99%	26.93%	53.08%	-0.43	+11.1	12
2024-04-10	Dziugas	W 3-0	31.4	1323	1200	52.56%	27.09%	20.36%	+0.41	+14.3	7
2024-04-10	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-3	31.4	1200	1323	20.36%	27.09%	52.56%	-0.41	-14.3	12
2024-04-10	Panevezys	D 1-1	54.3	1262	1366	23.30%	28.07%	48.63%	-0.32	+1.2	7
2024-04-10	@ FA Siauliai	D 1-1	54.3	1366	1262	48.63%	28.07%	23.30%	+0.32	-1.2	6
2024-04-10	Suduva	D 0-0	47.8	1161	1190	32.04%	29.38%	38.58%	-0.08	+0.3	7
2024-04-10	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	47.8	1190	1161	38.58%	29.38%	32.04%	+0.08	-0.3	9
2024-04-10	Transinvest	W 2-0	31.9	1371	1202	57.87%	25.31%	16.82%	+0.56	+8.2	16
2024-04-10	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	31.9	1202	1371	16.82%	25.31%	57.87%	-0.56	-8.2	6
2024-04-13	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	43.6	1194	1161	40.70%	29.24%	30.05%	+0.12	-9.0	6
2024-04-13	@ Transinvest	W 1-0	43.6	1161	1194	30.05%	29.24%	40.70%	-0.12	+9.0	10
2024-04-13	Hegelmann	L 0-1	37.2	1189	1324	20.40%	27.10%	52.50%	-0.42	-5.2	9
2024-04-13	@ Suduva	W 1-0	37.2	1324	1189	52.50%	27.10%	20.40%	+0.42	+5.2	14
2024-04-14	DFK Dainava	W 1-0	37.5	1338	1218	52.02%	27.24%	20.75%	+0.40	+5.3	10
2024-04-14	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	37.5	1218	1338	20.75%	27.24%	52.02%	-0.40	-5.3	12
2024-04-14	FA Siauliai	W 2-1	50.8	1185	1263	26.04%	28.70%	45.25%	-0.24	+9.2	15
2024-04-14	@ Dziugas	L 1-2	50.8	1263	1185	45.25%	28.70%	26.04%	+0.24	-9.2	7
2024-04-14	Zalgiris	L 1-2	49.9	1365	1379	34.01%	29.45%	36.54%	-0.03	-7.4	6
2024-04-14	@ Panevezys	W 2-1	49.9	1379	1365	36.54%	29.45%	34.01%	+0.03	+7.4	19
2024-04-20	DFK Dainava	W 1-0	40.3	1254	1213	41.84%	29.14%	29.02%	+0.14	+7.0	10
2024-04-20	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-1	40.3	1213	1254	29.02%	29.14%	41.84%	-0.14	-7.0	12
2024-04-20	Suduva	W 2-1	41.9	1343	1184	56.68%	25.75%	17.57%	+0.52	+4.3	13
2024-04-20	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	41.9	1184	1343	17.57%	25.75%	56.68%	-0.52	-4.3	9
2024-04-21	Banga Gargzdai	D 2-2	60.1	1330	1170	56.76%	25.72%	17.52%	+0.53	-1.4	15
2024-04-21	@ Hegelmann	D 2-2	60.1	1170	1330	17.52%	25.72%	56.76%	-0.53	+1.4	11
2024-04-21	Dziugas	W 3-1	36.9	1387	1195	60.38%	24.29%	15.33%	+0.63	+6.4	22
2024-04-21	@ Zalgiris	L 1-3	36.9	1195	1387	15.33%	24.29%	60.38%	-0.63	-6.4	15
2024-04-21	Transinvest	D 1-1	54.7	1357	1185	58.23%	25.17%	16.60%	+0.57	-2.0	7
2024-04-21	@ Panevezys	D 1-1	54.7	1185	1357	16.60%	25.17%	58.23%	-0.57	+2.0	7
2024-04-23	Suduva	L 0-1	45.4	1261	1180	47.21%	28.36%	24.43%	+0.27	-10.1	10
2024-04-23	@ FA Siauliai	W 1-0	45.4	1180	1261	24.43%	28.36%	47.21%	-0.27	+10.1	12
2024-04-24	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-3	42.2	1347	1171	58.60%	25.02%	16.38%	+0.58	-32.8	13
2024-04-24	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 3-0	42.2	1171	1347	16.38%	25.02%	58.60%	-0.58	+32.8	14
2024-04-24	DFK Dainava	W 4-0	29.7	1393	1206	59.83%	24.52%	15.65%	+0.62	+14.4	25
2024-04-24	@ Zalgiris	L 0-4	29.7	1206	1393	15.65%	24.52%	59.83%	-0.62	-14.4	12
2024-04-24	Hegelmann	L 1-2	42.9	1187	1328	19.83%	26.87%	53.30%	-0.44	-4.8	7
2024-04-24	@ Transinvest	W 2-1	42.9	1328	1187	53.30%	26.87%	19.83%	+0.44	+4.8	18
2024-04-27	Transinvest	W 2-0	37.6	1188	1182	37.02%	29.44%	33.54%	+0.03	+14.7	18
2024-04-27	@ Dziugas	L 0-2	37.6	1182	1188	33.54%	29.44%	37.02%	-0.03	-14.7	7
2024-04-28	FA Siauliai	L 0-1	40.5	1204	1251	29.74%	29.22%	41.04%	-0.14	-7.2	14
2024-04-28	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	40.5	1251	1204	41.04%	29.22%	29.74%	+0.14	+7.1	13
2024-04-28	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	44.2	1333	1314	38.74%	29.38%	31.89%	+0.07	-8.7	18
2024-04-28	@ Hegelmann	W 1-0	44.2	1314	1333	31.89%	29.38%	38.74%	-0.07	+8.7	16
2024-04-28	Panevezys	D 0-0	49.3	1192	1355	18.09%	26.03%	55.87%	-0.51	+2.0	13
2024-04-28	@ DFK Dainava	D 0-0	49.3	1355	1192	55.87%	26.03%	18.09%	+0.51	-2.0	8
2024-04-28	Zalgiris	D 1-1	55.4	1190	1407	14.50%	23.65%	61.85%	-0.69	+2.3	13
2024-04-28	@ Suduva	D 1-1	55.4	1407	1190	61.85%	23.65%	14.50%	+0.69	-2.3	26
2024-05-01	Banga Gargzdai	D 2-2	61.2	1405	1197	62.10%	23.54%	14.36%	+0.68	-1.7	27
2024-05-01	@ Zalgiris	D 2-2	61.2	1197	1405	14.36%	23.54%	62.10%	-0.68	+1.7	15
2024-05-01	Hegelmann	D 1-1	53.7	1258	1324	27.36%	28.92%	43.72%	-0.20	+0.7	14
2024-05-01	@ FA Siauliai	D 1-1	53.7	1324	1258	43.72%	28.92%	27.36%	+0.20	-0.7	19
2024-05-02	DFK Dainava	W 2-1	47.3	1203	1194	37.42%	29.43%	33.15%	+0.04	+7.3	21
2024-05-02	@ Dziugas	L 1-2	47.3	1194	1203	33.15%	29.43%	37.42%	-0.04	-7.3	13
2024-05-02	Kauno Zalgiris	W 3-2	57.9	1167	1323	18.66%	26.32%	55.02%	-0.49	+10.2	10
2024-05-02	@ Transinvest	L 2-3	57.9	1323	1167	55.02%	26.32%	18.66%	+0.49	-10.2	16
2024-05-02	Suduva	W 1-0	36.0	1353	1192	56.91%	25.66%	17.43%	+0.53	+4.5	11
2024-05-02	@ Panevezys	L 0-1	36.0	1192	1353	17.43%	25.66%	56.91%	-0.53	-4.5	13
2024-05-11	Dziugas	L 0-1	41.4	1188	1210	32.94%	29.42%	37.64%	-0.06	-7.7	13
2024-05-11	@ Suduva	W 1-0	41.4	1210	1188	37.64%	29.42%	32.94%	+0.06	+7.7	24
2024-05-11	Panevezys	W 2-0	43.6	1199	1358	18.44%	26.21%	55.34%	-0.50	+21.6	18
2024-05-11	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-2	43.6	1358	1199	55.34%	26.21%	18.44%	+0.50	-21.6	11
2024-05-11	Transinvest	W 1-0	41.4	1186	1177	37.41%	29.43%	33.16%	+0.04	+7.8	16
2024-05-11	@ DFK Dainava	L 0-1	41.4	1177	1186	33.16%	29.43%	37.41%	-0.04	-7.8	10
2024-05-12	FA Siauliai	W 2-1	46.0	1313	1259	43.65%	28.93%	27.42%	+0.19	+6.3	19
2024-05-12	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	46.0	1259	1313	27.42%	28.93%	43.65%	-0.19	-6.3	14
2024-05-12	Zalgiris	D 0-0	50.2	1324	1403	25.80%	28.66%	45.55%	-0.25	+1.0	20
2024-05-12	@ Hegelmann	D 0-0	50.2	1403	1324	45.55%	28.66%	25.80%	+0.25	-1.0	28
2024-05-17	Suduva	L 0-1	42.9	1194	1180	38.11%	29.40%	32.49%	+0.06	-8.6	16
2024-05-17	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	42.9	1180	1194	32.49%	29.40%	38.11%	-0.06	+8.6	16
2024-05-18	FA Siauliai	L 1-3	40.7	1170	1252	25.47%	28.59%	45.94%	-0.25	-10.3	10
2024-05-18	@ Transinvest	W 3-1	40.7	1252	1170	45.94%	28.59%	25.47%	+0.25	+10.3	17
2024-05-18	Hegelmann	L 0-2	40.1	1336	1325	37.74%	29.42%	32.84%	+0.05	-16.0	11
2024-05-18	@ Panevezys	W 2-0	40.1	1325	1336	32.84%	29.42%	37.74%	-0.05	+16.0	23
2024-05-19	Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	53.0	1218	1220	35.75%	29.46%	34.78%	+0.00	-0.0	25
2024-05-19	@ Dziugas	D 1-1	53.0	1220	1218	34.78%	29.46%	35.75%	+0.00	+0.0	19
2024-05-19	Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	40.4	1402	1319	47.50%	28.30%	24.19%	+0.28	+6.1	31
2024-05-19	@ Zalgiris	L 0-1	40.4	1319	1402	24.19%	28.30%	47.50%	-0.28	-6.1	19
2024-05-24	Transinvest	L 0-1	43.5	1189	1159	40.28%	29.28%	30.44%	+0.11	-8.9	16
2024-05-24	@ Suduva	W 1-0	43.5	1159	1189	30.44%	29.28%	40.28%	-0.11	+8.9	13
2024-05-25	Dziugas	W 2-1	43.3	1341	1218	52.43%	27.12%	20.45%	+0.41	+4.9	26
2024-05-25	@ Hegelmann	L 1-2	43.3	1218	1341	20.45%	27.12%	52.43%	-0.41	-4.9	25
2024-05-25	Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	48.8	1320	1313	37.08%	29.44%	33.48%	+0.03	-0.2	12
2024-05-25	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	48.8	1313	1320	33.48%	29.44%	37.08%	-0.03	+0.2	20
2024-05-26	DFK Dainava	L 0-3	37.9	1220	1186	41.02%	29.22%	29.77%	+0.12	-24.8	19
2024-05-26	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 3-0	37.9	1186	1220	29.77%	29.22%	41.02%	-0.12	+24.8	19
2024-05-26	Zalgiris	L 1-2	43.8	1263	1409	19.48%	26.71%	53.81%	-0.46	-4.7	17
2024-05-26	@ FA Siauliai	W 2-1	43.8	1409	1263	53.81%	26.71%	19.48%	+0.46	+4.7	34
2024-05-31	Hegelmann	L 0-2	33.4	1210	1346	20.38%	27.09%	52.53%	-0.42	-9.8	19
2024-05-31	@ DFK Dainava	W 2-0	33.4	1346	1210	52.53%	27.09%	20.38%	+0.42	+9.8	29
2024-06-01	Banga Gargzdai	W 1-0	42.5	1180	1196	33.84%	29.45%	36.71%	-0.04	+8.3	19
2024-06-01	@ Suduva	L 0-1	42.5	1196	1180	36.71%	29.45%	33.84%	+0.04	-8.3	19
2024-06-01	FA Siauliai	W 2-0	35.9	1320	1258	44.68%	28.79%	26.53%	+0.21	+12.3	15
2024-06-01	@ Panevezys	L 0-2	35.9	1258	1320	26.53%	28.79%	44.68%	-0.21	-12.3	17
2024-06-02	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	38.5	1213	1313	23.64%	28.16%	48.20%	-0.31	-6.0	25
2024-06-02	@ Dziugas	W 1-0	38.5	1313	1213	48.20%	28.16%	23.64%	+0.31	+6.0	23
2024-06-02	Zalgiris	L 1-3	35.6	1168	1413	12.96%	22.30%	64.74%	-0.78	-5.3	13
2024-06-02	@ Transinvest	W 3-1	35.6	1413	1168	64.74%	22.30%	12.96%	+0.78	+5.3	37
2024-06-15	Dziugas	D 3-3	62.3	1246	1207	41.55%	29.17%	29.28%	+0.14	-0.3	18
2024-06-15	@ FA Siauliai	D 3-3	62.3	1207	1246	29.28%	29.17%	41.55%	-0.14	+0.3	26
2024-06-15	Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	48.7	1201	1319	21.85%	27.63%	50.52%	-0.37	+1.5	20
2024-06-15	@ DFK Dainava	D 0-0	48.7	1319	1201	50.52%	27.63%	21.85%	+0.37	-1.5	24
2024-06-15	Suduva	W 3-2	46.4	1355	1188	57.64%	25.39%	16.97%	+0.55	+3.9	32
2024-06-15	@ Hegelmann	L 2-3	46.4	1188	1355	16.97%	25.39%	57.64%	-0.55	-3.9	19
2024-06-15	Transinvest	W 2-0	36.8	1187	1163	39.59%	29.33%	31.09%	+0.09	+13.9	22
2024-06-15	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-2	36.8	1163	1187	31.09%	29.33%	39.59%	-0.09	-13.9	13
2024-06-16	Panevezys	W 2-1	46.6	1419	1332	47.91%	28.22%	23.86%	+0.29	+5.7	40
2024-06-16	@ Zalgiris	L 1-2	46.6	1332	1419	23.86%	28.22%	47.91%	-0.29	-5.7	15
2024-06-18	FA Siauliai	D 2-2	58.9	1202	1245	30.16%	29.25%	40.59%	-0.13	+0.3	21
2024-06-18	@ DFK Dainava	D 2-2	58.9	1245	1202	40.59%	29.25%	30.16%	+0.13	-0.3	19
2024-06-19	Kauno Zalgiris	D 2-2	59.7	1184	1318	20.51%	27.14%	52.35%	-0.42	+1.1	20
2024-06-19	@ Suduva	D 2-2	59.7	1318	1184	52.35%	27.14%	20.51%	+0.42	-1.1	25
2024-06-19	Panevezys	W 3-0	41.9	1149	1327	17.05%	25.44%	57.51%	-0.56	+32.4	16
2024-06-19	@ Transinvest	L 0-3	41.9	1327	1149	57.51%	25.44%	17.05%	+0.56	-32.3	15
2024-06-19	Zalgiris	L 0-4	29.3	1207	1424	14.53%	23.68%	61.80%	-0.69	-13.3	26
2024-06-19	@ Dziugas	W 4-0	29.3	1424	1207	61.80%	23.68%	14.53%	+0.69	+13.3	43
2024-06-22	DFK Dainava	W 2-0	34.4	1294	1202	48.60%	28.08%	23.32%	+0.31	+11.1	18
2024-06-22	@ Panevezys	L 0-2	34.4	1202	1294	23.32%	28.08%	48.60%	-0.31	-11.1	21
2024-06-22	Dziugas	W 3-0	36.5	1181	1194	34.25%	29.46%	36.29%	-0.03	+22.6	19
2024-06-22	@ Transinvest	L 0-3	36.5	1194	1181	36.29%	29.46%	34.25%	+0.03	-22.6	26
2024-06-23	Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	48.1	1245	1201	42.25%	29.10%	28.65%	+0.15	-0.7	20
2024-06-23	@ FA Siauliai	D 0-0	48.1	1201	1245	28.65%	29.10%	42.25%	-0.15	+0.7	23
2024-06-23	Hegelmann	W 4-1	43.9	1317	1359	30.26%	29.26%	40.47%	-0.12	+20.7	28
2024-06-23	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-4	43.9	1359	1317	40.47%	29.26%	30.26%	+0.12	-20.7	32
2024-06-23	Suduva	W 4-0	27.8	1438	1185	66.61%	21.37%	12.03%	+0.83	+10.7	46
2024-06-23	@ Zalgiris	L 0-4	27.8	1185	1438	12.03%	21.37%	66.61%	-0.83	-10.7	20
2024-06-26	Dziugas	W 3-1	42.7	1191	1171	38.92%	29.37%	31.72%	+0.08	+12.2	24
2024-06-26	@ DFK Dainava	L 1-3	42.7	1171	1191	31.72%	29.37%	38.92%	-0.08	-12.3	26
2024-06-26	FA Siauliai	D 0-0	48.9	1339	1244	48.90%	28.01%	23.09%	+0.32	-1.3	33
2024-06-26	@ Hegelmann	D 0-0	48.9	1244	1339	23.09%	28.01%	48.90%	-0.32	+1.3	21
2024-06-26	Panevezys	L 1-3	39.0	1175	1305	20.77%	27.25%	51.99%	-0.41	-8.7	20
2024-06-26	@ Suduva	W 3-1	39.0	1305	1175	51.99%	27.25%	20.77%	+0.41	+8.7	21
2024-06-26	Transinvest	W 2-0	33.0	1337	1204	53.74%	26.73%	19.52%	+0.44	+9.5	31
2024-06-26	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-2	33.0	1204	1337	19.52%	26.73%	53.74%	-0.44	-9.5	19
2024-06-26	Zalgiris	L 0-2	30.4	1202	1448	12.91%	22.25%	64.85%	-0.78	-6.1	23
2024-06-26	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	30.4	1448	1202	64.85%	22.25%	12.91%	+0.78	+6.1	49
2024-06-29	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	46.7	1314	1196	51.88%	27.28%	20.85%	+0.39	-10.9	21
2024-06-29	@ Panevezys	W 1-0	46.7	1196	1314	20.85%	27.28%	51.88%	-0.39	+10.9	26
2024-06-30	DFK Dainava	W 2-1	48.1	1194	1204	34.79%	29.46%	35.75%	-0.02	+7.7	22
2024-06-30	@ Transinvest	L 1-2	48.1	1204	1194	35.75%	29.46%	34.79%	+0.02	-7.7	24
2024-06-30	Suduva	W 1-0	42.0	1159	1166	35.14%	29.46%	35.40%	-0.01	+8.1	29
2024-06-30	@ Dziugas	L 0-1	42.0	1166	1159	35.40%	29.46%	35.14%	+0.01	-8.1	20
2024-06-30	Zalgiris	W 3-1	51.1	1337	1454	22.00%	27.68%	50.32%	-0.36	+17.3	36
2024-06-30	@ Hegelmann	L 1-3	51.1	1454	1337	50.32%	27.68%	22.00%	+0.36	-17.3	49
2024-07-01	Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	46.3	1246	1347	23.55%	28.14%	48.30%	-0.31	+10.3	24
2024-07-01	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-1	46.3	1347	1246	48.30%	28.14%	23.55%	+0.31	-10.3	31
2024-07-04	Hegelmann	L 0-1	41.4	1303	1355	29.13%	29.15%	41.72%	-0.15	-7.0	21
2024-07-04	@ Panevezys	W 1-0	41.4	1355	1303	41.72%	29.15%	29.13%	+0.15	+7.0	39
2024-07-05	Transinvest	W 1-0	39.7	1256	1202	43.62%	28.94%	27.44%	+0.19	+6.7	27
2024-07-05	@ FA Siauliai	L 0-1	39.7	1202	1256	27.44%	28.94%	43.62%	-0.19	-6.7	22
2024-07-05	Zalgiris	W 1-0	48.5	1337	1437	23.62%	28.16%	48.22%	-0.31	+10.2	34
2024-07-05	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	48.5	1437	1337	48.22%	28.16%	23.62%	+0.31	-10.2	49
2024-07-06	Dziugas	D 0-0	47.9	1207	1167	41.64%	29.16%	29.20%	+0.14	-0.6	27
2024-07-06	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 0-0	47.9	1167	1207	29.20%	29.16%	41.64%	-0.14	+0.6	30
2024-07-07	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	47.8	1158	1196	30.85%	29.31%	39.84%	-0.11	+0.4	21
2024-07-07	@ Suduva	D 0-0	47.8	1196	1158	39.84%	29.31%	30.85%	+0.11	-0.4	25
2024-07-12	Hegelmann	L 2-4	41.9	1206	1362	18.70%	26.34%	54.96%	-0.49	-7.0	27
2024-07-12	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 4-2	41.9	1362	1206	54.96%	26.34%	18.70%	+0.49	+7.0	42
2024-07-19	Hegelmann	L 0-2	31.1	1168	1369	15.51%	24.43%	60.06%	-0.63	-7.5	30
2024-07-19	@ Dziugas	W 2-0	31.1	1369	1168	60.06%	24.43%	15.51%	+0.63	+7.5	45
2024-07-20	Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	47.1	1296	1347	29.22%	29.16%	41.62%	-0.15	-6.7	21
2024-07-20	@ Panevezys	W 2-1	47.1	1347	1296	41.62%	29.16%	29.22%	+0.15	+6.7	37
2024-07-20	Suduva	D 2-2	58.7	1195	1158	41.33%	29.19%	29.48%	+0.13	-0.4	23
2024-07-20	@ Transinvest	D 2-2	58.7	1158	1195	29.48%	29.19%	41.33%	-0.13	+0.4	22
2024-07-21	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-1	43.8	1195	1199	35.57%	29.46%	34.96%	+0.00	+13.1	28
2024-07-21	@ DFK Dainava	L 1-3	43.8	1199	1195	34.96%	29.46%	35.57%	+0.00	-13.1	27
2024-07-26	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	54.4	1186	1353	17.78%	25.86%	56.35%	-0.53	+1.8	28
2024-07-26	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	54.4	1353	1186	56.35%	25.86%	17.78%	+0.53	-1.8	38
2024-07-27	Panevezys	D 3-3	62.9	1160	1289	20.92%	27.30%	51.78%	-0.40	+0.9	31
2024-07-27	@ Dziugas	D 3-3	62.9	1289	1160	51.78%	27.30%	20.92%	+0.40	-0.9	22
2024-07-28	FA Siauliai	D 0-0	48.3	1159	1263	23.26%	28.06%	48.68%	-0.32	+1.3	23
2024-07-28	@ Suduva	D 0-0	48.3	1263	1159	48.68%	28.06%	23.26%	+0.32	-1.3	28
2024-08-02	Suduva	W 1-0	40.6	1188	1160	40.04%	29.29%	30.66%	+0.10	+7.3	31
2024-08-02	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	40.6	1160	1188	30.66%	29.29%	40.04%	-0.10	-7.3	23
2024-08-03	Hegelmann	L 0-1	36.4	1209	1376	17.77%	25.86%	56.36%	-0.53	-4.6	28
2024-08-03	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	36.4	1376	1209	56.36%	25.86%	17.77%	+0.53	+4.6	48
2024-08-04	Kauno Zalgiris	L 2-3	45.9	1161	1352	16.18%	24.89%	58.92%	-0.60	-3.7	31
2024-08-04	@ Dziugas	W 3-2	45.9	1352	1161	58.92%	24.89%	16.18%	+0.60	+3.7	41
2024-08-09	FA Siauliai	D 2-2	59.2	1158	1261	23.29%	28.07%	48.64%	-0.32	+0.9	32
2024-08-09	@ Dziugas	D 2-2	59.2	1261	1158	48.64%	28.07%	23.29%	+0.32	-0.9	29
2024-08-10	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-1	42.3	1195	1195	36.09%	29.46%	34.45%	+0.01	-8.2	23
2024-08-10	@ Transinvest	W 1-0	42.3	1195	1195	34.45%	29.46%	36.09%	-0.01	+8.2	34
2024-08-10	Hegelmann	L 0-1	34.1	1153	1381	13.88%	23.14%	62.98%	-0.72	-3.5	23
2024-08-10	@ Suduva	W 1-0	34.1	1381	1153	62.98%	23.14%	13.88%	+0.72	+3.5	51
2024-08-11	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-1	36.8	1204	1355	19.02%	26.50%	54.48%	-0.48	-4.9	28
2024-08-11	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	36.8	1355	1204	54.48%	26.50%	19.02%	+0.48	+4.9	44
2024-08-11	Zalgiris	D 0-0	50.5	1288	1427	20.10%	26.98%	52.92%	-0.43	+1.7	23
2024-08-11	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	50.5	1427	1288	52.92%	26.98%	20.10%	+0.43	-1.7	50
2024-08-14	Transinvest	W 2-0	30.0	1425	1187	65.22%	22.06%	12.72%	+0.78	+6.0	53
2024-08-14	@ Zalgiris	L 0-2	30.0	1187	1425	12.72%	22.06%	65.22%	-0.78	-6.0	23
2024-08-16	Banga Gargzdai	W 3-0	29.7	1384	1203	59.17%	24.79%	16.03%	+0.60	+11.3	54
2024-08-16	@ Hegelmann	L 0-3	29.7	1203	1384	16.03%	24.79%	59.17%	-0.60	-11.3	34
2024-08-17	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	54.9	1149	1360	14.86%	23.94%	61.19%	-0.67	+2.2	24
2024-08-17	@ Suduva	D 1-1	54.9	1360	1149	61.19%	23.94%	14.86%	+0.67	-2.2	45
2024-08-18	DFK Dainava	D 0-0	48.2	1261	1199	44.64%	28.79%	26.56%	+0.21	-0.9	30
2024-08-18	@ FA Siauliai	D 0-0	48.2	1199	1261	26.56%	28.79%	44.64%	-0.21	+0.9	29
2024-08-18	Dziugas	W 2-1	38.6	1431	1158	68.59%	20.33%	11.09%	+0.89	+2.6	56
2024-08-18	@ Zalgiris	L 1-2	38.6	1158	1431	11.09%	20.33%	68.59%	-0.89	-2.6	32
2024-08-23	Transinvest	L 0-3	35.3	1156	1181	32.61%	29.41%	37.98%	-0.07	-21.0	32
2024-08-23	@ Dziugas	W 3-0	35.3	1181	1156	37.98%	29.41%	32.61%	+0.07	+21.0	26
2024-08-24	FA Siauliai	W 4-1	43.5	1192	1260	27.19%	28.90%	43.91%	-0.21	+22.0	37
2024-08-24	@ Banga Gargzdai	L 1-4	43.5	1260	1192	43.91%	28.90%	27.19%	+0.21	-22.0	30
2024-08-24	Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	55.6	1396	1358	41.39%	29.18%	29.43%	+0.13	-0.5	55
2024-08-24	@ Hegelmann	D 1-1	55.6	1358	1396	29.43%	29.18%	41.39%	-0.13	+0.5	46
2024-08-25	Panevezys	D 1-1	53.5	1200	1290	24.68%	28.42%	46.90%	-0.28	+1.0	30
2024-08-25	@ DFK Dainava	D 1-1	53.5	1290	1200	46.90%	28.42%	24.68%	+0.28	-1.0	24
2024-08-25	Zalgiris	D 1-1	56.3	1151	1434	11.17%	20.43%	68.40%	-0.90	+2.8	25
2024-08-25	@ Suduva	D 1-1	56.3	1434	1151	68.40%	20.43%	11.17%	+0.90	-2.8	57
2024-08-31	Kauno Zalgiris	L 0-3	30.8	1202	1359	18.59%	26.29%	55.12%	-0.49	-13.1	26
2024-08-31	@ Transinvest	W 3-0	30.8	1359	1202	55.12%	26.29%	18.59%	+0.49	+13.1	49
2024-09-01	Banga Gargzdai	W 2-1	40.7	1431	1214	63.02%	23.12%	13.86%	+0.71	+3.3	60
2024-09-01	@ Zalgiris	L 1-2	40.7	1214	1431	13.86%	23.12%	63.02%	-0.71	-3.3	37
2024-09-01	DFK Dainava	L 0-2	35.5	1135	1201	27.38%	28.93%	43.69%	-0.20	-12.7	32
2024-09-01	@ Dziugas	W 2-0	35.5	1201	1135	43.69%	28.93%	27.38%	+0.20	+12.6	33
2024-09-01	Hegelmann	W 3-1	49.9	1238	1395	18.55%	26.27%	55.18%	-0.49	+18.7	33
2024-09-01	@ FA Siauliai	L 1-3	49.9	1395	1238	55.18%	26.27%	18.55%	+0.49	-18.7	55
2024-09-01	Suduva	D 0-0	48.8	1289	1154	53.93%	26.68%	19.40%	+0.45	-1.8	25
2024-09-01	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	48.8	1154	1289	19.40%	26.68%	53.93%	-0.45	+1.8	26
2024-09-14	Dziugas	W 2-1	46.2	1156	1122	40.84%	29.23%	29.92%	+0.12	+6.8	29
2024-09-14	@ Suduva	L 1-2	46.2	1122	1156	29.92%	29.23%	40.84%	-0.12	-6.8	32
2024-09-14	Hegelmann	D 1-1	56.8	1434	1376	44.15%	28.86%	26.98%	+0.20	-0.8	61
2024-09-14	@ Zalgiris	D 1-1	56.8	1376	1434	26.98%	28.86%	44.15%	-0.20	+0.8	56
2024-09-14	Transinvest	L 0-1	43.4	1214	1189	39.65%	29.32%	31.03%	+0.09	-8.8	33
2024-09-14	@ DFK Dainava	W 1-0	43.4	1189	1214	31.03%	29.32%	39.65%	-0.09	+8.8	29
2024-09-15	FA Siauliai	W 2-1	44.0	1372	1256	51.54%	27.37%	21.09%	+0.38	+5.1	52
2024-09-15	@ Kauno Zalgiris	L 1-2	44.0	1256	1372	21.09%	27.37%	51.54%	-0.38	-5.1	33
2024-09-15	Panevezys	L 2-3	50.0	1211	1287	26.16%	28.72%	45.12%	-0.23	-5.8	37
2024-09-15	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 3-2	50.0	1287	1211	45.12%	28.72%	26.16%	+0.23	+5.8	28
2024-09-20	Suduva	L 0-3	38.1	1205	1163	42.02%	29.12%	28.85%	+0.15	-25.2	33
2024-09-20	@ DFK Dainava	W 3-0	38.1	1163	1205	28.85%	29.12%	42.02%	-0.15	+25.2	32
2024-09-21	FA Siauliai	W 2-0	40.1	1197	1251	28.85%	29.12%	42.03%	-0.16	+17.4	32
2024-09-21	@ Transinvest	L 0-2	40.1	1251	1197	42.03%	29.12%	28.85%	+0.16	-17.4	33
2024-09-22	Banga Gargzdai	L 0-2	34.6	1116	1205	24.77%	28.44%	46.79%	-0.28	-11.7	32
2024-09-22	@ Dziugas	W 2-0	34.6	1205	1116	46.79%	28.44%	24.77%	+0.28	+11.7	40
2024-09-22	Kauno Zalgiris	W 5-0	38.2	1433	1377	44.00%	28.89%	27.12%	+0.20	+29.4	64
2024-09-22	@ Zalgiris	L 0-5	38.2	1377	1433	27.12%	28.89%	44.00%	-0.20	-29.4	52
2024-09-22	Panevezys	D 2-2	60.4	1377	1293	47.60%	28.29%	24.12%	+0.28	-0.8	57
2024-09-22	@ Hegelmann	D 2-2	60.4	1293	1377	24.12%	28.29%	47.60%	-0.28	+0.8	29
2024-09-26	Panevezys	W 2-1	50.5	1234	1294	28.09%	29.03%	42.88%	-0.18	+8.8	36
2024-09-26	@ FA Siauliai	L 1-2	50.5	1294	1234	42.88%	29.03%	28.09%	+0.18	-8.8	29
2024-09-27	DFK Dainava	W 3-1	34.6	1463	1180	69.59%	19.79%	10.62%	+0.93	+4.2	67
2024-09-27	@ Zalgiris	L 1-3	34.6	1180	1463	10.62%	19.79%	69.59%	-0.93	-4.2	33
2024-10-01	Transinvest	W 2-1	45.1	1285	1215	45.82%	28.61%	25.57%	+0.24	+6.0	32
2024-10-01	@ Panevezys	L 1-2	45.1	1215	1285	25.57%	28.61%	45.82%	-0.24	-6.0	32
2024-10-04	Zalgiris	L 1-3	37.5	1243	1467	14.10%	23.32%	62.58%	-0.71	-5.9	36
2024-10-04	@ FA Siauliai	W 3-1	37.5	1467	1243	62.58%	23.32%	14.10%	+0.71	+5.9	70
2024-10-05	DFK Dainava	L 0-3	38.1	1217	1175	41.90%	29.13%	28.97%	+0.15	-25.2	40
2024-10-05	@ Banga Gargzdai	W 3-0	38.1	1175	1217	28.97%	29.13%	41.90%	-0.15	+25.2	36
2024-10-05	Panevezys	D 0-0	49.1	1347	1291	43.94%	28.89%	27.16%	+0.19	-0.8	53
2024-10-05	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 0-0	49.1	1291	1347	27.16%	28.89%	43.94%	-0.19	+0.8	33
2024-10-06	Dziugas	W 1-0	32.3	1376	1104	68.58%	20.33%	11.09%	+0.89	+2.7	60
2024-10-06	@ Hegelmann	L 0-1	32.3	1104	1376	11.09%	20.33%	68.58%	-0.89	-2.7	32
2024-10-06	Transinvest	D 0-0	47.9	1188	1209	33.14%	29.43%	37.43%	-0.05	+0.2	33
2024-10-06	@ Suduva	D 0-0	47.9	1209	1188	37.43%	29.43%	33.14%	+0.05	-0.2	33
2024-10-18	Dziugas	W 1-0	34.6	1292	1101	60.25%	24.35%	15.40%	+0.63	+4.0	36
2024-10-18	@ Panevezys	L 0-1	34.6	1101	1292	15.40%	24.35%	60.25%	-0.63	-3.9	32
2024-10-19	Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	54.4	1347	1191	56.27%	25.90%	17.84%	+0.51	-1.8	54
2024-10-19	@ Kauno Zalgiris	D 1-1	54.4	1191	1347	17.84%	25.90%	56.27%	-0.51	+1.8	41
2024-10-19	Hegelmann	W 3-2	58.7	1209	1379	17.57%	25.74%	56.69%	-0.54	+10.4	36
2024-10-19	@ Transinvest	L 2-3	58.7	1379	1209	56.69%	25.74%	17.57%	+0.54	-10.4	60
2024-10-20	Suduva	W 2-1	45.7	1237	1188	42.93%	29.02%	28.05%	+0.17	+6.5	39
2024-10-20	@ FA Siauliai	L 1-2	45.7	1188	1237	28.05%	29.02%	42.93%	-0.17	-6.5	33
2024-10-20	Zalgiris	L 0-5	28.9	1201	1473	11.63%	20.94%	67.44%	-0.87	-12.7	36
2024-10-20	@ DFK Dainava	W 5-0	28.9	1473	1201	67.44%	20.94%	11.63%	+0.87	+12.7	73
2024-10-22	Dziugas	D 0-0	49.5	1296	1097	61.10%	23.98%	14.91%	+0.65	-2.5	37
2024-10-22	@ Panevezys	D 0-0	49.5	1097	1296	14.91%	23.98%	61.10%	-0.65	+2.5	33
2024-10-25	DFK Dainava	L 1-2	54.2	1369	1188	59.15%	24.80%	16.05%	+0.60	-11.4	60
2024-10-25	@ Hegelmann	W 2-1	54.2	1188	1369	16.05%	24.80%	59.15%	-0.60	+11.4	39
2024-10-26	Zalgiris	L 0-1	34.4	1219	1486	11.90%	21.23%	66.87%	-0.85	-3.0	36
2024-10-26	@ Transinvest	W 1-0	34.4	1486	1219	66.87%	21.23%	11.90%	+0.85	+3.0	76
2024-10-27	Banga Gargzdai	W 2-0	38.3	1182	1193	34.44%	29.46%	36.10%	-0.02	+15.5	36
2024-10-27	@ Suduva	L 0-2	38.3	1193	1182	36.10%	29.46%	34.44%	+0.02	-15.5	41
2024-10-27	Dziugas	L 0-1	49.0	1345	1100	65.90%	21.72%	12.37%	+0.80	-13.1	54
2024-10-27	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	49.0	1100	1345	12.37%	21.72%	65.90%	-0.80	+13.1	36
2024-10-27	FA Siauliai	L 1-3	46.5	1293	1243	43.12%	29.00%	27.89%	+0.17	-15.3	37
2024-10-27	@ Panevezys	W 3-1	46.5	1243	1293	27.89%	29.00%	43.12%	-0.17	+15.3	42
2024-11-02	Dziugas	L 0-3	41.2	1259	1113	55.19%	26.27%	18.54%	+0.48	-31.3	42
2024-11-02	@ FA Siauliai	W 3-0	41.2	1113	1259	18.54%	26.27%	55.19%	-0.48	+31.3	39
2024-11-02	Suduva	W 2-1	42.0	1357	1197	56.83%	25.69%	17.48%	+0.53	+4.2	63
2024-11-02	@ Hegelmann	L 1-2	42.0	1197	1357	17.48%	25.69%	56.83%	-0.53	-4.2	36
2024-11-02	Transinvest	D 1-1	53.0	1178	1216	30.80%	29.31%	39.89%	-0.11	+0.4	42
2024-11-02	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	53.0	1216	1178	39.89%	29.31%	30.80%	+0.11	-0.4	37
2024-11-03	DFK Dainava	L 0-1	47.1	1332	1199	53.61%	26.77%	19.62%	+0.44	-11.2	54
2024-11-03	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 1-0	47.1	1199	1332	19.62%	26.77%	53.61%	-0.44	+11.2	42
2024-11-03	Panevezys	L 2-4	56.3	1489	1278	62.34%	23.43%	14.22%	+0.69	-18.4	76
2024-11-03	@ Zalgiris	W 4-2	56.3	1278	1489	14.22%	23.43%	62.34%	-0.69	+18.4	40
2024-11-06	FA Siauliai	W 3-1	36.4	1470	1227	65.67%	21.84%	12.49%	+0.80	+5.1	79
2024-11-06	@ Zalgiris	L 1-3	36.4	1227	1470	12.49%	21.84%	65.67%	-0.80	-5.1	42
2024-11-06	Transinvest	W 4-1	35.6	1361	1216	55.18%	26.27%	18.55%	+0.48	+11.0	66
2024-11-06	@ Hegelmann	L 1-4	35.6	1216	1361	18.55%	26.27%	55.18%	-0.48	-11.0	37
2024-11-09	FA Siauliai	W 3-2	53.0	1210	1222	34.41%	29.46%	36.13%	-0.03	+7.4	45
2024-11-09	@ DFK Dainava	L 2-3	53.0	1222	1210	36.13%	29.46%	34.41%	+0.03	-7.4	42
2024-11-09	Hegelmann	D 1-1	54.8	1178	1373	15.92%	24.71%	59.37%	-0.61	+2.1	43
2024-11-09	@ Banga Gargzdai	D 1-1	54.8	1373	1178	59.37%	24.71%	15.92%	+0.61	-2.1	67
2024-11-09	Panevezys	D 0-0	48.4	1205	1296	24.52%	28.38%	47.10%	-0.28	+1.1	38
2024-11-09	@ Transinvest	D 0-0	48.4	1296	1205	47.10%	28.38%	24.52%	+0.28	-1.1	41
2024-11-09	Suduva	L 2-4	52.1	1320	1193	53.03%	26.95%	20.03%	+0.42	-16.2	54
2024-11-09	@ Kauno Zalgiris	W 4-2	52.1	1193	1320	20.03%	26.95%	53.03%	-0.42	+16.2	39
2024-11-09	Zalgiris	W 1-0	50.8	1144	1475	9.18%	17.93%	72.89%	-1.06	+14.0	42
2024-11-09	@ Dziugas	L 0-1	50.8	1475	1144	72.89%	17.93%	9.18%	+1.06	-14.0	79

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-11-09	9.18%	@ Dziugas	1144	1	Zalgiris	1475	0
2	2024-10-27	12.37%	Dziugas	1100	1	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1345	0
3	2024-03-16	13.61%	Banga Gargzdai	1163	1	@ Panevezys	1384	0
4	2024-11-03	14.22%	Panevezys	1278	4	@ Zalgiris	1489	2
5	2024-03-13	14.29%	@ Suduva	1176	1	Panevezys	1397	0
6	2024-10-25	16.05%	DFK Dainava	1188	2	@ Hegelmann	1369	1
7	2024-04-24	16.38%	Banga Gargzdai	1171	3	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1347	0
8	2024-06-19	17.05%	@ Transinvest	1149	3	Panevezys	1327	0
9	2024-10-19	17.57%	@ Transinvest	1209	3	Hegelmann	1379	2
10	2024-05-11	18.44%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1199	2	Panevezys	1358	0
11	2024-11-02	18.54%	Dziugas	1113	3	@ FA Siauliai	1259	0
12	2024-09-01	18.55%	@ FA Siauliai	1238	3	Hegelmann	1395	1
13	2024-05-02	18.66%	@ Transinvest	1167	3	Kauno Zalgiris	1323	2
14	2024-11-03	19.62%	DFK Dainava	1199	1	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1332	0
15	2024-04-09	19.99%	DFK Dainava	1207	1	@ Hegelmann	1335	0
16	2024-11-09	20.03%	Suduva	1193	4	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1320	2
17	2024-06-29	20.85%	Banga Gargzdai	1196	1	@ Panevezys	1314	0
18	2024-06-30	22.00%	@ Hegelmann	1337	3	Zalgiris	1454	1
19	2024-07-01	23.55%	@ FA Siauliai	1246	1	Kauno Zalgiris	1347	0
20	2024-07-05	23.62%	@ Kauno Zalgiris	1337	1	Zalgiris	1437	0
21	2024-04-23	24.43%	Suduva	1180	1	@ FA Siauliai	1261	0
22	2024-03-30	24.55%	Transinvest	1209	1	@ FA Siauliai	1289	0
23	2024-03-09	24.78%	Dziugas	1164	1	@ Transinvest	1242	0
24	2024-03-03	24.99%	Transinvest	1233	3	@ Hegelmann	1309	2
25	2024-04-14	26.04%	@ Dziugas	1185	2	FA Siauliai	1263	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-04-24	32.84	Banga Gargzdai	3	1171	16.38%	@ Kauno Zalgiris	0	1347	58.60%	25.02%
2	2024-06-19	32.35	@ Transinvest	3	1149	17.05%	Panevezys	0	1327	57.51%	25.44%
3	2024-11-02	31.31	Dziugas	3	1113	18.54%	@ FA Siauliai	0	1259	55.19%	26.27%
4	2024-09-22	29.37	@ Zalgiris	5	1433	44.00%	Kauno Zalgiris	0	1377	27.12%	28.89%
5	2024-09-20	25.24	Suduva	3	1163	28.85%	@ DFK Dainava	0	1205	42.02%	29.12%
6	2024-10-05	25.18	DFK Dainava	3	1175	28.97%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1217	41.90%	29.13%
7	2024-05-26	24.77	DFK Dainava	3	1186	29.77%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1220	41.02%	29.22%
8	2024-06-22	22.64	@ Transinvest	3	1181	34.25%	Dziugas	0	1194	36.29%	29.46%
9	2024-08-24	22.01	@ Banga Gargzdai	4	1192	27.19%	FA Siauliai	1	1260	43.91%	28.90%
10	2024-05-11	21.60	@ Banga Gargzdai	2	1199	18.44%	Panevezys	0	1358	55.34%	26.21%
11	2024-08-23	20.97	Transinvest	3	1181	37.98%	@ Dziugas	0	1156	32.61%	29.41%
12	2024-06-23	20.68	@ Kauno Zalgiris	4	1317	30.26%	Hegelmann	1	1359	40.47%	29.26%
13	2024-09-01	18.66	@ FA Siauliai	3	1238	18.55%	Hegelmann	1	1395	55.18%	26.27%
14	2024-11-03	18.38	Panevezys	4	1278	14.22%	@ Zalgiris	2	1489	62.34%	23.43%
15	2024-04-07	17.59	Suduva	2	1172	28.24%	@ Transinvest	0	1219	42.71%	29.05%
16	2024-03-17	17.46	DFK Dainava	2	1183	28.61%	@ Transinvest	0	1227	42.30%	29.09%
17	2024-09-21	17.37	@ Transinvest	2	1197	28.85%	FA Siauliai	0	1251	42.03%	29.12%
18	2024-06-30	17.33	@ Hegelmann	3	1337	22.00%	Zalgiris	1	1454	50.32%	27.68%
19	2024-04-07	17.13	@ Zalgiris	3	1354	46.40%	FA Siauliai	0	1279	25.09%	28.51%
20	2024-11-09	16.17	Suduva	4	1193	20.03%	@ Kauno Zalgiris	2	1320	53.03%	26.95%
21	2024-05-18	16.04	Hegelmann	2	1325	32.84%	@ Panevezys	0	1336	37.74%	29.42%
22	2024-10-27	15.53	@ Suduva	2	1182	34.44%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1193	36.10%	29.46%
23	2024-03-17	15.45	Hegelmann	3	1308	27.56%	@ Zalgiris	1	1361	43.49%	28.95%
24	2024-10-27	15.34	FA Siauliai	3	1243	27.89%	@ Panevezys	1	1293	43.12%	29.00%
25	2024-03-29	15.21	Dziugas	2	1183	35.48%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1175	35.05%	29.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-03-10	63.8	@ Zalgiris	3	1352	58.84%	Suduva	3	1174	16.23%	24.93%
2	2024-07-27	62.9	@ Dziugas	3	1160	20.92%	Panevezys	3	1289	51.78%	27.30%
3	2024-06-15	62.3	@ FA Siauliai	3	1246	41.55%	Dziugas	3	1207	29.28%	29.17%
4	2024-05-01	61.2	@ Zalgiris	2	1405	62.10%	Banga Gargzdai	2	1197	14.36%	23.54%
5	2024-09-22	60.4	@ Hegelmann	2	1377	47.60%	Panevezys	2	1293	24.12%	28.29%
6	2024-04-21	60.1	@ Hegelmann	2	1330	56.76%	Banga Gargzdai	2	1170	17.52%	25.72%
7	2024-06-19	59.7	@ Suduva	2	1184	20.51%	Kauno Zalgiris	2	1318	52.35%	27.14%
8	2024-03-13	59.4	@ Hegelmann	2	1309	40.18%	FA Siauliai	2	1280	30.54%	29.28%
9	2024-08-09	59.2	@ Dziugas	2	1158	23.29%	FA Siauliai	2	1261	48.64%	28.07%
10	2024-06-18	58.9	@ DFK Dainava	2	1202	30.16%	FA Siauliai	2	1245	40.59%	29.25%
11	2024-04-06	58.8	@ DFK Dainava	2	1208	42.77%	Banga Gargzdai	2	1160	28.19%	29.04%
12	2024-07-20	58.7	@ Transinvest	2	1195	41.33%	Suduva	2	1158	29.48%	29.19%
13	2024-10-19	58.7	@ Transinvest	3	1209	17.57%	Hegelmann	2	1379	56.69%	25.74%
14	2024-05-02	57.9	@ Transinvest	3	1167	18.66%	Kauno Zalgiris	2	1323	55.02%	26.32%
15	2024-09-14	56.8	@ Zalgiris	1	1434	44.15%	Hegelmann	1	1376	26.98%	28.86%
16	2024-08-25	56.3	@ Suduva	1	1151	11.17%	Zalgiris	1	1434	68.40%	20.43%
17	2024-11-03	56.3	Panevezys	4	1278	14.22%	@ Zalgiris	2	1489	62.34%	23.43%
18	2024-03-03	56.2	Transinvest	3	1233	24.99%	@ Hegelmann	2	1309	46.52%	28.49%
19	2024-08-24	55.6	@ Hegelmann	1	1396	41.39%	Kauno Zalgiris	1	1358	29.43%	29.18%
20	2024-04-28	55.4	@ Suduva	1	1190	14.50%	Zalgiris	1	1407	61.85%	23.65%
21	2024-08-17	54.9	@ Suduva	1	1149	14.86%	Kauno Zalgiris	1	1360	61.19%	23.94%
22	2024-11-09	54.8	@ Banga Gargzdai	1	1178	15.92%	Hegelmann	1	1373	59.37%	24.71%
23	2024-04-21	54.7	@ Panevezys	1	1357	58.23%	Transinvest	1	1185	16.60%	25.17%
24	2024-03-02	54.6	@ Banga Gargzdai	1	1169	16.58%	Kauno Zalgiris	1	1354	58.26%	25.15%
25	2024-07-26	54.4	@ Banga Gargzdai	1	1186	17.78%	Kauno Zalgiris	1	1353	56.35%	25.86%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-06-23	27.8	@ Zalgiris	4	1438	66.61%	Suduva	0	1185	12.03%	21.37%
2	2024-10-20	28.9	Zalgiris	5	1473	67.44%	@ DFK Dainava	0	1201	11.63%	20.94%
3	2024-06-19	29.3	Zalgiris	4	1424	61.80%	@ Dziugas	0	1207	14.53%	23.68%
4	2024-04-24	29.7	@ Zalgiris	4	1393	59.83%	DFK Dainava	0	1206	15.65%	24.52%
5	2024-08-16	29.7	@ Hegelmann	3	1384	59.17%	Banga Gargzdai	0	1203	16.03%	24.79%
6	2024-08-14	30.0	@ Zalgiris	2	1425	65.22%	Transinvest	0	1187	12.72%	22.06%
7	2024-06-26	30.4	Zalgiris	2	1448	64.85%	@ Banga Gargzdai	0	1202	12.91%	22.25%
8	2024-08-31	30.8	Kauno Zalgiris	3	1359	55.12%	@ Transinvest	0	1202	18.59%	26.29%
9	2024-07-19	31.1	Hegelmann	2	1369	60.06%	@ Dziugas	0	1168	15.51%	24.43%
10	2024-04-10	31.4	@ Kauno Zalgiris	3	1323	52.56%	Dziugas	0	1200	20.36%	27.09%
11	2024-04-10	31.9	@ Zalgiris	2	1371	57.87%	Transinvest	0	1202	16.82%	25.31%
12	2024-10-06	32.3	@ Hegelmann	1	1376	68.58%	Dziugas	0	1104	11.09%	20.33%
13	2024-06-26	33.0	@ Kauno Zalgiris	2	1337	53.74%	Transinvest	0	1204	19.52%	26.73%
14	2024-05-31	33.4	Hegelmann	2	1346	52.53%	@ DFK Dainava	0	1210	20.38%	27.09%
15	2024-04-07	33.9	@ Zalgiris	3	1354	46.40%	FA Siauliai	0	1279	25.09%	28.51%
16	2024-08-10	34.1	Hegelmann	1	1381	62.98%	@ Suduva	0	1153	13.88%	23.14%
17	2024-06-22	34.4	@ Panevezys	2	1294	48.60%	DFK Dainava	0	1202	23.32%	28.08%
18	2024-10-26	34.4	Zalgiris	1	1486	66.87%	@ Transinvest	0	1219	11.90%	21.23%
19	2024-03-13	34.6	Zalgiris	4	1351	57.58%	@ Banga Gargzdai	1	1173	17.00%	25.41%
20	2024-09-22	34.6	Banga Gargzdai	2	1205	46.79%	@ Dziugas	0	1116	24.77%	28.44%
21	2024-09-27	34.6	@ Zalgiris	3	1463	69.59%	DFK Dainava	1	1180	10.62%	19.79%
22	2024-10-18	34.6	@ Panevezys	1	1292	60.25%	Dziugas	0	1101	15.40%	24.35%
23	2024-08-23	35.3	Transinvest	3	1181	37.98%	@ Dziugas	0	1156	32.61%	29.41%
24	2024-09-01	35.5	DFK Dainava	2	1201	43.69%	@ Dziugas	0	1135	27.38%	28.93%
25	2024-06-02	35.6	Zalgiris	3	1413	64.74%	@ Transinvest	1	1168	12.96%	22.30%