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1952-53 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Progres Niedercorn

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Progres Niedercorn

7.44 points above expected

32 points · 24.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

FC Schifflange 95

6.34 points below expected

20 points · 26.34 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Progres Niedercorn 22 13 6 3 32 52 32 +20 24.56 +7.44
2 Jeunesse Esch 22 13 5 4 31 41 24 +17 25.96 +5.04
3 Stade Dudelange 22 11 5 6 27 40 25 +15 25.57 +1.43
4 Differdange 03 22 10 2 10 22 37 39 -2 23.29 -1.29
5 Fola Esch 22 10 2 10 22 25 31 -6 20.09 +1.91
6 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 22 9 3 10 21 44 49 -5 22.39 -1.39
7 Red Star Merl 22 10 1 11 21 41 51 -10 18.43 +2.57
8 FC Schifflange 95 22 8 4 10 20 46 39 +7 26.34 -6.34
9 Spora Luxembourg 22 9 0 13 18 44 42 +2 23.56 -5.56
10 Alliance Dudelange 22 7 3 12 17 39 47 -8 16.35 +0.65
11 SC Tetange 22 7 3 12 17 33 41 -8 20.53 -3.53
12 Racing Rodange 22 5 6 11 16 32 54 -22 16.93 -0.93

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Progres Niedercorn 32 24.56 +7.44
2 Jeunesse Esch 31 25.96 +5.04
3 Red Star Merl 21 18.43 +2.57
4 Fola Esch 22 20.09 +1.91
5 Stade Dudelange 27 25.57 +1.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Schifflange 95 20 26.34 -6.34
2 Spora Luxembourg 18 23.56 -5.56
3 SC Tetange 17 20.53 -3.53
4 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 21 22.39 -1.39
5 Differdange 03 22 23.29 -1.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 6 Apr 19 – May 17 1 in 1,967
2 Stade Dudelange 6 Dec 7 – Feb 15 1 in 45
3 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 4 Nov 23 – Jan 11 1 in 33
4 Progres Niedercorn 4 Jan 18 – Mar 8 1 in 32
5 Jeunesse Esch 5 Sep 21 – Nov 9 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 9 Sep 7 – Dec 7 1 in 597
2 SC Tetange 5 Sep 28 – Nov 23 1 in 86
3 Spora Luxembourg 4 Jan 4 – Feb 1 1 in 51
4 Stade Dudelange 3 May 3 – May 14 1 in 36
5 Differdange 03 4 Feb 15 – Mar 8 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 6 Apr 19 – May 17 1 in 118
2 Fola Esch 7 Sep 28 – Jan 4 1 in 94
3 Stade Dudelange 8 Dec 7 – Mar 8 1 in 25
4 Racing Rodange 4 Mar 8 – Apr 26 1 in 23
5 Progres Niedercorn 6 Oct 5 – Jan 4 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Schifflange 95 6 Mar 8 – May 14 1 in 82
2 Stade Dudelange 6 Apr 19 – May 17 1 in 72
3 SC Tetange 7 Sep 14 – Nov 23 1 in 65
4 Alliance Dudelange 10 Sep 7 – Jan 4 1 in 64
5 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 6 Jan 18 – Apr 19 1 in 45

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Progres Niedercorn 1179 32 +5 6 5.4 +0.6
Jeunesse Esch 1199 31 +4 7 5.3 +1.7
Stade Dudelange 1162 27 -16 2 5.4 -3.4
Differdange 03 1109 22 -7 6 5.8 +0.2
Fola Esch 1056 22 -14 3 4.7 -1.7
Red Star Merl 1056 21 +2 6 4.4 +1.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1095 21 -3 5 5.2 -0.2
FC Schifflange 95 1171 20 -13 3 5.1 -2.1
Spora Luxembourg 1133 18 -12 2 5.0 -3.0
Alliance Dudelange 1063 17 +51 10 4.3 +5.7
SC Tetange 1071 17 +11 5 4.7 +0.3
Racing Rodange 1013 16 -9 5 4.7 +0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD D0 FS9 FE JE PN RFUL RR RSM ST SL SD
Alliance Dudelange —
2-0-0
2.07
1-0-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.72
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
1.96
0-1-1
1.71
Differdange 03
0-0-2
3.62
 —
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.37
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.45
FC Schifflange 95
1-0-1
4.00
1-1-0
3.21
 —
1-0-1
3.63
0-1-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
4.05
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
3.08
Fola Esch
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.06
 —
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.45
0-2-0
2.12
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.61
 —
0-2-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
4.00
1-1-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.06
Progres Niedercorn
1-0-1
3.91
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.62
2-0-0
3.35
0-2-0
2.57
 —
2-0-0
3.05
0-2-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.84
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
3.36
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.63
 —
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.38
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.40
Racing Rodange
0-1-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
1.64
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
1.69
0-2-0
2.00
0-1-1
2.12
 —
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.82
Red Star Merl
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
1.91
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.16
 —
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
1.98
SC Tetange
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-2
3.36
1-0-1
3.01
 —
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
2.46
Spora Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.24
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.87
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
3.09
 —
0-0-2
2.67
Stade Dudelange
1-1-0
3.97
0-0-2
3.23
2-0-0
2.60
0-2-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
3.28
1-1-0
3.87
1-0-1
3.70
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.01
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.19 +3.3
Allowed 0.60 -4.2
Differential 0.73 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%6.44%2.27%3.79%1.52%0.38%16.67%
16.44%5.30%11.36%5.30%2.65%1.14%32.20%
22.27%11.36%5.30%2.65%1.14%2.27%25.00%
33.79%5.30%2.65%2.27%1.14%0.38%15.53%
41.52%2.65%1.14%1.14%——6.44%
5+0.38%1.14%2.27%0.38%——4.17%
Total16.67%32.20%25.00%15.53%6.44%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.11
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%4.55%—18.18%
19.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%———4.55%—9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%18.18%22.73%18.18%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.14 -0.36
SD 1.66 1.52 2.50
CV 0.94 0.71 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—9.09%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.77 -0.09
SD 1.46 1.60 2.39
CV 0.87 0.90 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%————18.18%
1—4.55%9.09%18.18%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
4———————
5+——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.77 +0.32
SD 2.04 1.19 2.06
CV 0.98 0.67 —
Max 8 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
19.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
2—31.82%————31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%59.09%13.64%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.41 -0.27
SD 0.89 0.91 1.49
CV 0.78 0.64 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
19.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%22.73%4.55%———31.82%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%50.00%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.09 +0.77
SD 1.39 0.81 1.38
CV 0.75 0.74 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
19.09%—9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
29.09%18.18%13.64%———40.91%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%27.27%36.36%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.45 +0.91
SD 1.53 1.10 1.69
CV 0.65 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
1—9.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
29.09%9.09%—9.09%9.09%—36.36%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%40.91%4.55%18.18%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.23 -0.23
SD 1.11 2.05 2.37
CV 0.56 0.92 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
2—13.64%18.18%——4.55%36.36%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%36.36%13.64%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.45 -1.00
SD 1.10 1.84 2.39
CV 0.76 0.75 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
118.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
2—9.09%—9.09%—13.64%31.82%
3———————
4———13.64%——13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%18.18%18.18%27.27%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.32 -0.45
SD 1.46 1.81 1.99
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%9.09%—22.73%
14.55%4.55%22.73%9.09%——40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%22.73%36.36%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.86 -0.36
SD 1.37 1.17 2.15
CV 0.91 0.63 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
1——31.82%4.55%9.09%—45.45%
2—4.55%————4.55%
313.64%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%18.18%45.45%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.91 +0.09
SD 1.60 1.19 2.33
CV 0.80 0.62 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
19.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
313.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.14 +0.68
SD 1.26 0.99 1.84
CV 0.69 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1199 31 25.96 +5.04 90.0% 18 20 22 26 29 32 35
Progres Niedercorn 1179 32 24.56 +7.44 98.0% 13 18 21 24 29 31 34
FC Schifflange 95 1171 20 26.34 -6.34 5.0% 16 20 23 26 29 33 38
Stade Dudelange 1162 27 25.57 +1.43 68.0% 14 19 23 26 28 32 35
Spora Luxembourg 1133 18 23.56 -5.56 7.0% 14 17 21 23 26 30 32
Differdange 03 1109 22 23.29 -1.29 45.0% 13 16 20 23 26 30 33
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1095 21 22.39 -1.39 41.0% 13 15 19 22 25 30 32
SC Tetange 1071 17 20.53 -3.53 18.0% 13 15 18 20 23 27 28
Alliance Dudelange 1063 17 16.35 +0.65 60.0% 6 10 13 16 19 23 26
Red Star Merl 1056 21 18.43 +2.57 76.0% 9 12 16 18 21 26 28
Fola Esch 1056 22 20.09 +1.91 67.0% 10 13 17 20 23 26 31
Racing Rodange 1013 16 16.93 -0.93 48.0% 10 10 14 17 20 24 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.67%
Strong Edge
50.76%15.15%34.09%
Elo Value
Home Edge
178 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
058.45500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.9
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
Progres Niedercorn, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.29 * Some Luck: 3.29 to 4.94 * Lucky: 4.94 to 6.59 * Wild Swing: 6.59 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.81 * Close: 1.81 to 2.72 * Off: 2.72 to 3.62 * Way Off: 3.62 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.89 points
Some Luck
04.1210
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.50
Close
02.275
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Progres Niedercorn
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
FC Schifflange 95
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 59.37
1.24
Coin-Flip Parity
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
74%
Even
50%77%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Occasional
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.14
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.65
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Progres Niedercorn20.00%9.00%16.00%8.00%7.00%14.00%7.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
Jeunesse Esch20.00%21.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%——
Stade Dudelange19.00%20.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%—2.00%
Differdange 039.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%6.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%
Fola Esch1.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%15.00%14.00%8.00%9.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg8.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%7.00%14.00%3.00%13.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%
Red Star Merl——4.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%20.00%24.00%11.00%
FC Schifflange 9519.00%21.00%11.00%17.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%—1.00%—
Spora Luxembourg4.00%11.00%15.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Alliance Dudelange———2.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%11.00%8.00%17.00%23.00%30.00%
SC Tetange—1.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%3.00%
Racing Rodange———3.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
FC Schifflange 95 99.00% 1.00%
Stade Dudelange 98.00% 2.00%
Progres Niedercorn 96.00% 4.00%
Differdange 03 95.00% 5.00%
Spora Luxembourg 95.00% 5.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 89.00% 11.00%
SC Tetange 87.00% 13.00%
Fola Esch 83.00% 17.00%
Red Star Merl 65.00% 35.00%
Alliance Dudelange 47.00% 53.00%
Racing Rodange 46.00% 54.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1952-09-07 SC Tetange L 1-539.5 1063 1096 49.60% 16.06% 34.34%+0.14 -15.8 0
1952-09-07 @ Alliance Dudelange W 5-139.5 1096 1063 34.34% 16.06% 49.60%-0.14 +15.8 2
1952-09-07 Stade Dudelange L 0-145.8 1190 1136 60.20% 15.84% 23.97%+0.63 -6.4 0
1952-09-07 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-045.8 1136 1190 23.97% 15.84% 60.20%-0.63 +6.4 2
1952-09-07 Racing Rodange W 2-028.9 1169 1037 67.81% 15.40% 16.79%+1.06 +3.8 2
1952-09-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-228.9 1037 1169 16.79% 15.40% 67.81%-1.06 -3.8 0
1952-09-07 Spora Luxembourg W 2-141.9 1121 1142 51.23% 16.05% 32.72%+0.21 +3.5 2
1952-09-07 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-241.9 1142 1121 32.72% 16.05% 51.23%-0.21 -3.5 0
1952-09-07 Differdange 03 L 2-352.0 1098 1127 50.07% 16.06% 33.87%+0.16 -4.8 0
1952-09-07 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-252.0 1127 1098 33.87% 16.06% 50.07%-0.16 +4.8 2
1952-09-07 Fola Esch W 2-141.2 1063 1067 53.39% 16.02% 30.60%+0.31 +3.3 2
1952-09-07 @ Red Star Merl L 1-241.2 1067 1063 30.60% 16.02% 53.39%-0.31 -3.3 0
1952-09-14 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-434.5 1047 1093 47.89% 16.07% 36.04%+0.07 -18.4 0
1952-09-14 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-034.5 1093 1047 36.04% 16.07% 47.89%-0.07 +18.4 2
1952-09-14 Red Star Merl W 3-135.7 1132 1066 61.45% 15.78% 22.77%+0.69 +4.4 4
1952-09-14 @ Differdange 03 L 1-335.7 1066 1132 22.77% 15.78% 61.45%-0.69 -4.4 2
1952-09-14 Jeunesse Esch W 2-145.6 1064 1172 38.97% 16.02% 45.01%-0.28 +4.6 2
1952-09-14 @ Fola Esch L 1-245.6 1172 1064 45.01% 16.02% 38.97%+0.28 -4.6 2
1952-09-14 Progres Niedercorn D 2-259.7 1033 1125 41.46% 16.05% 42.49%-0.18 +0.0 1
1952-09-14 @ Racing Rodange D 2-259.7 1125 1033 42.49% 16.05% 41.46%+0.18 -0.0 3
1952-09-14 Stade Dudelange L 1-343.9 1112 1142 49.91% 16.06% 34.03%+0.16 -8.7 2
1952-09-14 @ SC Tetange W 3-143.9 1142 1112 34.03% 16.06% 49.91%-0.16 +8.7 4
1952-09-14 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-247.9 1138 1183 47.96% 16.07% 35.97%+0.08 +3.6 2
1952-09-14 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-347.9 1183 1138 35.97% 16.07% 47.96%-0.08 -3.6 0
1952-09-21 Racing Rodange W 2-028.5 1180 1033 69.06% 15.30% 15.64%+1.15 +3.6 2
1952-09-21 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-228.5 1033 1180 15.64% 15.30% 69.06%-1.15 -3.6 1
1952-09-21 Differdange 03 W 1-035.7 1168 1136 57.71% 15.92% 26.37%+0.51 +3.1 4
1952-09-21 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-135.7 1136 1168 26.37% 15.92% 57.71%-0.51 -3.1 4
1952-09-21 Fola Esch W 2-139.1 1125 1068 60.52% 15.82% 23.66%+0.65 +2.6 5
1952-09-21 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-239.1 1068 1125 23.66% 15.82% 60.52%-0.65 -2.6 2
1952-09-21 Alliance Dudelange W 4-348.4 1062 1029 57.87% 15.91% 26.22%+0.51 +2.7 4
1952-09-21 @ Red Star Merl L 3-448.4 1029 1062 26.22% 15.91% 57.87%-0.51 -2.7 0
1952-09-21 Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 1-154.8 1103 1111 52.83% 16.03% 31.14%+0.28 -0.5 3
1952-09-21 @ SC Tetange D 1-154.8 1111 1103 31.14% 16.03% 52.83%-0.28 +0.5 3
1952-09-21 Spora Luxembourg W 3-030.0 1151 1142 54.99% 15.99% 29.02%+0.38 +9.2 6
1952-09-21 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-330.0 1142 1151 29.02% 15.99% 54.99%-0.38 -9.1 2
1952-09-28 Jeunesse Esch L 1-242.2 1026 1171 34.11% 15.93% 49.96%-0.48 -3.6 0
1952-09-28 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-142.2 1171 1026 49.96% 15.93% 34.11%+0.48 +3.6 6
1952-09-28 Progres Niedercorn W 2-140.9 1133 1127 54.56% 16.00% 29.44%+0.36 +3.2 6
1952-09-28 @ Differdange 03 L 1-240.9 1127 1133 29.44% 16.00% 54.56%-0.36 -3.2 5
1952-09-28 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-145.9 1065 1183 37.75% 16.01% 46.25%-0.33 +4.7 4
1952-09-28 @ Fola Esch L 1-245.9 1183 1065 46.25% 16.01% 37.75%+0.33 -4.7 2
1952-09-28 Red Star Merl W 3-244.3 1112 1065 59.46% 15.86% 24.68%+0.59 +2.6 5
1952-09-28 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-344.3 1065 1112 24.68% 15.86% 59.46%-0.59 -2.6 4
1952-09-28 Stade Dudelange D 1-154.8 1030 1160 36.05% 15.98% 47.97%-0.40 +0.3 2
1952-09-28 @ Racing Rodange D 1-154.8 1160 1030 47.97% 15.98% 36.05%+0.40 -0.3 7
1952-09-28 SC Tetange W 2-140.0 1133 1102 57.53% 15.92% 26.54%+0.50 +2.9 4
1952-09-28 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-240.0 1102 1133 26.54% 15.92% 57.53%-0.50 -2.9 3
1952-10-05 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-347.3 1178 1114 61.34% 15.79% 22.87%+0.69 -10.6 2
1952-10-05 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-147.3 1114 1178 22.87% 15.79% 61.34%-0.69 +10.6 7
1952-10-05 SC Tetange W 2-138.5 1174 1100 62.46% 15.74% 21.80%+0.75 +2.4 8
1952-10-05 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-238.5 1100 1174 21.80% 15.74% 62.46%-0.75 -2.4 3
1952-10-05 Red Star Merl W 2-030.9 1124 1062 61.11% 15.80% 23.09%+0.68 +5.1 7
1952-10-05 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-230.9 1062 1124 23.09% 15.80% 61.11%-0.68 -5.1 4
1952-10-05 Fola Esch L 1-246.6 1030 1070 48.64% 16.07% 35.29%+0.10 -4.9 2
1952-10-05 @ Racing Rodange W 2-146.6 1070 1030 35.29% 16.07% 48.64%-0.10 +4.9 6
1952-10-05 Differdange 03 L 1-442.3 1136 1136 53.80% 16.01% 30.19%+0.32 -13.2 4
1952-10-05 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-142.3 1136 1136 30.19% 16.01% 53.80%-0.32 +13.2 8
1952-10-05 Alliance Dudelange W 3-025.9 1160 1023 68.32% 15.36% 16.32%+1.10 +5.4 9
1952-10-05 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-325.9 1023 1160 16.32% 15.36% 68.32%-1.10 -5.4 0
1952-10-26 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-331.2 1017 1168 33.32% 15.91% 50.77%-0.52 -10.3 0
1952-10-26 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-031.2 1168 1017 50.77% 15.91% 33.32%+0.52 +10.3 4
1952-10-26 Stade Dudelange W 1-037.4 1149 1165 51.84% 16.04% 32.12%+0.24 +3.7 10
1952-10-26 @ Differdange 03 L 0-137.4 1165 1149 32.12% 16.04% 51.84%-0.24 -3.7 9
1952-10-26 Spora Luxembourg W 2-142.9 1075 1122 47.64% 16.07% 36.29%+0.06 +3.8 8
1952-10-26 @ Fola Esch L 1-242.9 1122 1075 36.29% 16.07% 47.64%-0.06 -3.8 4
1952-10-26 Progres Niedercorn L 2-449.4 1125 1129 53.30% 16.02% 30.69%+0.30 -8.3 7
1952-10-26 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 4-249.4 1129 1125 30.69% 16.02% 53.30%-0.30 +8.3 9
1952-10-26 Jeunesse Esch L 2-541.0 1057 1177 37.42% 16.00% 46.57%-0.35 -8.3 4
1952-10-26 @ Red Star Merl W 5-241.0 1177 1057 46.57% 16.00% 37.42%+0.35 +8.3 10
1952-10-26 Racing Rodange L 1-347.4 1097 1025 62.14% 15.75% 22.11%+0.73 -10.7 3
1952-10-26 @ SC Tetange W 3-147.4 1025 1097 22.11% 15.75% 62.14%-0.73 +10.7 4
1952-11-09 Differdange 03 W 5-237.9 1178 1153 56.94% 15.94% 27.12%+0.47 +6.3 6
1952-11-09 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-537.9 1153 1178 27.12% 15.94% 56.94%-0.47 -6.3 10
1952-11-09 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 4-132.9 1185 1117 61.81% 15.77% 22.42%+0.71 +6.1 12
1952-11-09 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-432.9 1117 1185 22.42% 15.77% 61.81%-0.71 -6.1 7
1952-11-09 Alliance Dudelange W 4-238.2 1138 1007 67.76% 15.41% 16.83%+1.06 +3.0 11
1952-11-09 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-438.2 1007 1138 16.83% 15.41% 67.76%-1.06 -3.0 0
1952-11-09 SC Tetange W 2-142.5 1049 1086 48.93% 16.07% 35.01%+0.12 +3.7 6
1952-11-09 @ Red Star Merl L 1-242.5 1086 1049 35.01% 16.07% 48.93%-0.12 -3.7 3
1952-11-09 Racing Rodange W 7-130.2 1119 1036 63.24% 15.70% 21.06%+0.79 +10.8 6
1952-11-09 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-730.2 1036 1119 21.06% 15.70% 63.24%-0.79 -10.8 4
1952-11-09 Fola Esch D 1-154.9 1162 1079 63.25% 15.70% 21.06%+0.79 -1.1 10
1952-11-09 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-154.9 1079 1162 21.06% 15.70% 63.25%-0.79 +1.1 9
1952-11-23 Spora Luxembourg L 1-339.9 1004 1129 36.67% 15.99% 47.34%-0.38 -6.7 0
1952-11-23 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-139.9 1129 1004 47.34% 15.99% 36.67%+0.38 +6.7 8
1952-11-23 Racing Rodange W 5-025.5 1147 1025 66.95% 15.47% 17.58%+1.01 +9.3 12
1952-11-23 @ Differdange 03 L 0-525.5 1025 1147 17.58% 15.47% 66.95%-1.01 -9.3 4
1952-11-23 Red Star Merl W 6-232.0 1184 1052 67.89% 15.40% 16.71%+1.07 +5.1 8
1952-11-23 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-632.0 1052 1184 16.71% 15.40% 67.89%-1.07 -5.1 6
1952-11-23 Progres Niedercorn D 3-364.3 1191 1141 59.88% 15.85% 24.27%+0.61 -0.6 13
1952-11-23 @ Jeunesse Esch D 3-364.3 1141 1191 24.27% 15.85% 59.88%-0.61 +0.6 12
1952-11-23 Stade Dudelange W 3-139.9 1110 1160 47.27% 16.07% 36.66%+0.05 +6.7 9
1952-11-23 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-339.9 1160 1110 36.66% 16.07% 47.27%-0.05 -6.7 10
1952-11-23 Fola Esch L 1-248.3 1083 1080 54.20% 16.00% 29.79%+0.34 -5.4 3
1952-11-23 @ SC Tetange W 2-148.3 1080 1083 29.79% 16.00% 54.20%-0.34 +5.4 11
1952-12-07 Fola Esch L 1-244.6 997 1085 41.89% 16.06% 42.05%-0.17 -4.3 0
1952-12-07 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-144.6 1085 997 42.05% 16.06% 41.89%+0.17 +4.3 13
1952-12-07 Stade Dudelange L 0-145.3 1191 1154 58.32% 15.90% 25.78%+0.54 -6.2 13
1952-12-07 @ Jeunesse Esch W 1-045.3 1154 1191 25.78% 15.90% 58.32%-0.54 +6.2 12
1952-12-07 FC Schifflange 95 D 0-051.5 1141 1190 47.48% 16.07% 36.45%+0.06 -0.3 13
1952-12-07 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-051.5 1190 1141 36.45% 16.07% 47.48%-0.06 +0.3 9
1952-12-07 Racing Rodange W 4-131.8 1117 1016 65.08% 15.60% 19.33%+0.90 +5.3 11
1952-12-07 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-431.8 1016 1117 19.33% 15.60% 65.08%-0.90 -5.3 4
1952-12-07 Differdange 03 W 2-144.3 1077 1156 43.25% 16.07% 40.69%-0.11 +4.2 5
1952-12-07 @ SC Tetange L 1-244.3 1156 1077 40.69% 16.07% 43.25%+0.11 -4.2 12
1952-12-07 Red Star Merl W 3-243.0 1136 1047 63.88% 15.67% 20.46%+0.83 +2.2 10
1952-12-07 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-343.0 1047 1136 20.46% 15.67% 63.88%-0.83 -2.2 6
1953-01-04 Jeunesse Esch D 0-051.5 1190 1185 54.52% 16.00% 29.49%+0.36 -0.7 10
1953-01-04 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 0-051.5 1185 1190 29.49% 16.00% 54.52%-0.36 +0.7 14
1953-01-04 Differdange 03 W 1-039.3 1090 1152 45.60% 16.07% 38.33%-0.02 +4.2 15
1953-01-04 @ Fola Esch L 0-139.3 1152 1090 38.33% 16.07% 45.60%+0.02 -4.2 12
1953-01-04 SC Tetange W 2-139.0 1141 1081 60.81% 15.81% 23.38%+0.66 +2.6 15
1953-01-04 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-239.0 1081 1141 23.38% 15.81% 60.81%-0.66 -2.6 5
1953-01-04 Alliance Dudelange D 2-259.7 1010 993 56.03% 15.96% 28.00%+0.43 -0.5 5
1953-01-04 @ Racing Rodange D 2-259.7 993 1010 28.00% 15.96% 56.03%-0.43 +0.5 1
1953-01-04 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-248.8 1138 1122 55.82% 15.97% 28.22%+0.42 -5.6 10
1953-01-04 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-148.8 1122 1138 28.22% 15.97% 55.82%-0.42 +5.6 13
1953-01-04 Red Star Merl W 2-137.3 1160 1045 66.35% 15.51% 18.13%+0.97 +2.0 14
1953-01-04 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-237.3 1045 1160 18.13% 15.51% 66.35%-0.97 -2.1 6
1953-01-11 Alliance Dudelange L 0-341.9 1148 993 69.71% 15.24% 15.05%+1.19 -20.1 12
1953-01-11 @ Differdange 03 W 3-041.9 993 1148 15.05% 15.24% 69.71%-1.19 +20.1 3
1953-01-11 SC Tetange L 1-348.6 1189 1079 65.93% 15.54% 18.53%+0.95 -11.4 10
1953-01-11 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-148.6 1079 1189 18.53% 15.54% 65.93%-0.95 +11.3 7
1953-01-11 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-238.9 1094 1128 49.44% 16.06% 34.50%+0.14 -10.0 15
1953-01-11 @ Fola Esch W 2-038.9 1128 1094 34.50% 16.06% 49.44%-0.14 +10.0 15
1953-01-11 Racing Rodange W 1-035.5 1043 1010 57.85% 15.91% 26.24%+0.51 +3.1 8
1953-01-11 @ Red Star Merl L 0-135.5 1010 1043 26.24% 15.91% 57.85%-0.51 -3.1 5
1953-01-11 Jeunesse Esch L 0-141.9 1133 1185 46.90% 16.07% 37.02%+0.03 -5.0 10
1953-01-11 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-041.9 1185 1133 37.02% 16.07% 46.90%-0.03 +5.0 16
1953-01-11 Progres Niedercorn W 2-140.4 1162 1143 56.15% 15.96% 27.89%+0.43 +3.0 16
1953-01-11 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-240.4 1143 1162 27.89% 15.96% 56.15%-0.43 -3.0 15
1953-01-18 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-246.5 1127 1138 52.52% 16.03% 31.45%+0.27 +3.2 14
1953-01-18 @ Differdange 03 L 2-346.5 1138 1127 31.45% 16.03% 52.52%-0.27 -3.2 15
1953-01-18 Red Star Merl W 1-035.4 1084 1046 58.43% 15.90% 25.67%+0.54 +3.0 17
1953-01-18 @ Fola Esch L 0-135.4 1046 1084 25.67% 15.90% 58.43%-0.54 -3.0 8
1953-01-18 Jeunesse Esch W 2-148.5 1007 1190 29.24% 15.78% 54.99%-0.70 +5.5 7
1953-01-18 @ Racing Rodange L 1-248.5 1190 1007 54.99% 15.78% 29.24%+0.70 -5.5 16
1953-01-18 Alliance Dudelange W 3-243.4 1090 1014 62.65% 15.73% 21.63%+0.76 +2.3 9
1953-01-18 @ SC Tetange L 2-343.4 1014 1090 21.63% 15.73% 62.65%-0.76 -2.3 3
1953-01-18 Progres Niedercorn L 1-247.7 1128 1140 52.24% 16.03% 31.72%+0.26 -5.2 10
1953-01-18 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-147.7 1140 1128 31.72% 16.03% 52.24%-0.26 +5.2 17
1953-01-18 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-138.5 1165 1178 52.23% 16.03% 31.74%+0.26 +5.9 18
1953-01-18 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-338.5 1178 1165 31.74% 16.03% 52.23%-0.26 -5.9 10
1953-02-01 Spora Luxembourg W 2-139.4 1172 1122 59.74% 15.85% 24.41%+0.61 +2.7 12
1953-02-01 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-239.4 1122 1172 24.41% 15.85% 59.74%-0.61 -2.7 10
1953-02-01 Fola Esch W 3-134.7 1185 1087 64.76% 15.62% 19.63%+0.88 +3.8 18
1953-02-01 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-334.7 1087 1185 19.63% 15.62% 64.76%-0.88 -3.8 17
1953-02-01 SC Tetange W 4-026.5 1171 1093 62.82% 15.72% 21.46%+0.77 +9.1 20
1953-02-01 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-426.5 1093 1171 21.46% 15.72% 62.82%-0.77 -9.1 9
1953-02-15 Fola Esch W 3-134.9 1175 1083 64.13% 15.65% 20.22%+0.84 +3.9 14
1953-02-15 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-334.9 1083 1175 20.22% 15.65% 64.13%-0.84 -3.9 17
1953-02-15 Differdange 03 W 1-036.3 1146 1131 55.71% 15.97% 28.32%+0.41 +3.3 19
1953-02-15 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-136.3 1131 1146 28.32% 15.97% 55.71%-0.41 -3.3 14
1953-02-15 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 1-040.5 1043 1135 41.38% 16.05% 42.56%-0.19 +4.6 10
1953-02-15 @ Red Star Merl L 0-140.5 1135 1043 42.56% 16.05% 41.38%+0.19 -4.6 15
1953-02-15 Spora Luxembourg L 0-336.0 1083 1120 49.14% 16.06% 34.80%+0.12 -14.4 9
1953-02-15 @ SC Tetange W 3-036.0 1120 1083 34.80% 16.06% 49.14%-0.12 +14.4 12
1953-02-15 Racing Rodange W 3-025.2 1180 1012 70.77% 15.13% 14.10%+1.27 +4.7 22
1953-02-15 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-325.2 1012 1180 14.10% 15.13% 70.77%-1.27 -4.7 7
1953-02-22 Stade Dudelange D 2-259.8 1011 1185 30.45% 15.82% 53.73%-0.65 +0.4 4
1953-02-22 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-259.8 1185 1011 53.73% 15.82% 30.45%+0.65 -0.4 23
1953-02-22 Spora Luxembourg L 0-337.2 1127 1134 53.01% 16.02% 30.96%+0.29 -15.4 14
1953-02-22 @ Differdange 03 W 3-037.2 1134 1127 30.96% 16.02% 53.01%-0.29 +15.4 14
1953-02-22 Racing Rodange W 2-138.6 1079 1008 62.11% 15.75% 22.14%+0.73 +2.5 19
1953-02-22 @ Fola Esch L 1-238.6 1008 1079 22.14% 15.75% 62.11%-0.73 -2.5 7
1953-02-22 FC Schifflange 95 L 3-840.9 1130 1179 47.48% 16.07% 36.44%+0.06 -14.1 15
1953-02-22 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 8-340.9 1179 1130 36.44% 16.07% 47.48%-0.06 +14.1 16
1953-02-22 Progres Niedercorn L 2-639.2 1048 1149 40.04% 16.04% 43.92%-0.24 -11.2 10
1953-02-22 @ Red Star Merl W 6-239.2 1149 1048 43.92% 16.04% 40.04%+0.24 +11.2 21
1953-02-22 Jeunesse Esch D 0-051.4 1069 1189 37.47% 16.00% 46.53%-0.34 +0.2 10
1953-02-22 @ SC Tetange D 0-051.4 1189 1069 46.53% 16.00% 37.47%+0.34 -0.2 19
1953-03-02 Alliance Dudelange D 1-154.9 1116 1012 65.38% 15.58% 19.05%+0.91 -1.2 16
1953-03-02 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 1-154.9 1012 1116 19.05% 15.58% 65.38%-0.91 +1.2 5
1953-03-02 Differdange 03 W 6-239.3 1036 1112 43.71% 16.07% 40.22%-0.10 +11.2 12
1953-03-02 @ Red Star Merl L 2-639.3 1112 1036 40.22% 16.07% 43.71%+0.10 -11.2 14
1953-03-08 Red Star Merl L 0-142.5 1013 1048 49.33% 16.06% 34.61%+0.13 -5.3 5
1953-03-08 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-042.5 1048 1013 34.61% 16.06% 49.33%-0.13 +5.3 14
1953-03-08 Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.7 1101 1188 41.96% 16.06% 41.98%-0.16 -4.3 14
1953-03-08 @ Differdange 03 W 2-144.7 1188 1101 41.98% 16.06% 41.96%+0.16 +4.3 21
1953-03-08 Progres Niedercorn L 0-140.8 1082 1160 43.31% 16.07% 40.63%-0.11 -4.7 19
1953-03-08 @ Fola Esch W 1-040.8 1160 1082 40.63% 16.07% 43.31%+0.11 +4.7 23
1953-03-08 SC Tetange L 0-145.5 1115 1069 59.30% 15.87% 24.84%+0.58 -6.3 16
1953-03-08 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 1-045.5 1069 1115 24.84% 15.87% 59.30%-0.58 +6.3 12
1953-03-08 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-259.8 1005 1193 28.76% 15.76% 55.48%-0.72 +0.5 8
1953-03-08 @ Racing Rodange D 2-259.8 1193 1005 55.48% 15.76% 28.76%+0.72 -0.5 17
1953-03-08 Stade Dudelange L 1-441.1 1150 1184 49.34% 16.06% 34.60%+0.13 -12.2 14
1953-03-08 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-141.1 1184 1150 34.60% 16.06% 49.34%-0.13 +12.2 25
1953-03-15 Racing Rodange D 2-259.9 1165 1006 70.10% 15.20% 14.70%+1.22 -1.1 24
1953-03-15 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-259.9 1006 1165 14.70% 15.20% 70.10%-1.22 +1.1 9
1953-03-22 Alliance Dudelange W 4-129.7 1193 1008 72.07% 14.99% 12.94%+1.37 +3.6 23
1953-03-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-429.7 1008 1193 12.94% 14.99% 72.07%-1.37 -3.6 5
1953-04-19 Alliance Dudelange L 0-149.1 1192 1004 72.29% 14.96% 12.75%+1.38 -7.6 17
1953-04-19 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-049.1 1004 1192 12.75% 14.96% 72.29%-1.38 +7.6 7
1953-04-19 Red Star Merl D 1-155.0 1196 1053 68.84% 15.32% 15.84%+1.13 -1.4 24
1953-04-19 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.0 1053 1196 15.84% 15.32% 68.84%-1.13 +1.4 15
1953-04-19 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 6-131.1 1164 1109 60.34% 15.83% 23.83%+0.64 +10.2 26
1953-04-19 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-631.1 1109 1164 23.83% 15.83% 60.34%-0.64 -10.2 16
1953-04-19 SC Tetange W 4-031.9 1007 1076 44.67% 16.07% 39.26%-0.06 +15.5 11
1953-04-19 @ Racing Rodange L 0-431.9 1076 1007 39.26% 16.07% 44.67%+0.06 -15.5 12
1953-04-19 Fola Esch W 3-028.1 1137 1077 60.92% 15.81% 23.27%+0.67 +7.5 16
1953-04-19 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-328.1 1077 1137 23.27% 15.81% 60.92%-0.67 -7.5 19
1953-04-19 Differdange 03 L 0-340.6 1196 1096 64.96% 15.60% 19.43%+0.89 -18.8 25
1953-04-19 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-040.6 1096 1196 19.43% 15.60% 64.96%-0.89 +18.8 16
1953-04-26 Progres Niedercorn W 4-141.8 1012 1174 31.84% 15.87% 52.29%-0.58 +12.8 9
1953-04-26 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-441.8 1174 1012 52.29% 15.87% 31.84%+0.58 -12.8 26
1953-04-26 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-154.8 1115 1185 44.57% 16.07% 39.36%-0.06 -0.1 17
1953-04-26 @ Differdange 03 D 1-154.8 1185 1115 39.36% 16.07% 44.57%+0.06 +0.1 18
1953-04-26 Stade Dudelange D 1-154.8 1069 1178 39.06% 16.03% 44.92%-0.28 +0.1 20
1953-04-26 @ Fola Esch D 1-154.8 1178 1069 44.92% 16.03% 39.06%+0.28 -0.1 26
1953-04-26 Jeunesse Esch W 2-037.0 1098 1195 40.68% 16.05% 43.27%-0.21 +8.9 18
1953-04-26 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-237.0 1195 1098 43.27% 16.05% 40.68%+0.21 -8.9 24
1953-04-26 Spora Luxembourg W 2-146.1 1022 1145 37.09% 16.00% 46.92%-0.36 +4.8 13
1953-04-26 @ Racing Rodange L 1-246.1 1145 1022 46.92% 16.00% 37.09%+0.36 -4.8 16
1953-04-26 Red Star Merl W 4-135.0 1060 1054 54.57% 16.00% 29.43%+0.36 +7.8 14
1953-04-26 @ SC Tetange L 1-435.0 1054 1060 29.43% 16.00% 54.57%-0.36 -7.8 15
1953-05-03 SC Tetange L 0-337.4 1070 1068 54.09% 16.00% 29.91%+0.34 -15.7 20
1953-05-03 @ Fola Esch W 3-037.4 1068 1070 29.91% 16.00% 54.09%-0.34 +15.7 16
1953-05-03 Jeunesse Esch D 2-259.8 1161 1186 50.62% 16.05% 33.33%+0.19 -0.3 27
1953-05-03 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-259.8 1186 1161 33.33% 16.05% 50.62%-0.19 +0.3 25
1953-05-03 Differdange 03 L 1-341.5 1027 1115 41.93% 16.06% 42.01%-0.17 -7.5 13
1953-05-03 @ Racing Rodange W 3-141.5 1115 1027 42.01% 16.06% 41.93%+0.17 +7.5 19
1953-05-03 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-355.3 1047 1185 34.98% 15.95% 49.07%-0.45 +4.6 17
1953-05-03 @ Red Star Merl L 3-455.3 1185 1047 49.07% 15.95% 34.98%+0.45 -4.6 18
1953-05-03 Alliance Dudelange L 1-251.8 1140 1024 66.43% 15.51% 18.07%+0.98 -6.6 16
1953-05-03 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-151.8 1024 1140 18.07% 15.51% 66.43%-0.98 +6.6 11
1953-05-03 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-250.6 1178 1107 61.98% 15.76% 22.25%+0.72 -6.2 26
1953-05-03 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-150.6 1107 1178 22.25% 15.76% 61.98%-0.72 +6.2 20
1953-05-10 Racing Rodange W 7-234.4 1031 1020 55.27% 15.98% 28.75%+0.39 +10.1 13
1953-05-10 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-734.4 1020 1031 28.75% 15.98% 55.27%-0.39 -10.1 13
1953-05-10 Fola Esch W 1-034.4 1123 1054 61.80% 15.77% 22.43%+0.71 +2.7 21
1953-05-10 @ Differdange 03 L 0-134.4 1054 1123 22.43% 15.77% 61.80%-0.71 -2.7 20
1953-05-10 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-141.0 1187 1180 54.66% 15.99% 29.34%+0.36 +3.2 27
1953-05-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-241.0 1180 1187 29.34% 15.99% 54.66%-0.36 -3.2 18
1953-05-10 Spora Luxembourg L 2-448.8 1113 1133 51.29% 16.05% 32.67%+0.22 -8.0 20
1953-05-10 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 4-248.8 1133 1113 32.67% 16.05% 51.29%-0.22 +8.0 18
1953-05-10 Stade Dudelange W 1-041.7 1051 1171 37.39% 16.00% 46.61%-0.35 +5.0 19
1953-05-10 @ Red Star Merl L 0-141.7 1171 1051 46.61% 16.00% 37.39%+0.35 -5.0 26
1953-05-10 Progres Niedercorn L 0-237.1 1084 1161 43.47% 16.07% 40.46%-0.11 -8.9 16
1953-05-10 @ SC Tetange W 2-037.1 1161 1084 40.46% 16.07% 43.47%+0.11 +8.9 29
1953-05-14 SC Tetange D 2-259.7 1125 1075 59.85% 15.85% 24.30%+0.61 -0.7 22
1953-05-14 @ Differdange 03 D 2-259.7 1075 1125 24.30% 15.85% 59.85%-0.61 +0.7 17
1953-05-14 Progres Niedercorn L 1-345.4 1177 1170 54.77% 15.99% 29.24%+0.37 -9.5 18
1953-05-14 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-145.4 1170 1177 29.24% 15.99% 54.77%-0.37 +9.5 31
1953-05-14 Alliance Dudelange L 0-144.2 1051 1041 55.12% 15.98% 28.89%+0.38 -5.8 20
1953-05-14 @ Fola Esch W 1-044.2 1041 1051 28.89% 15.98% 55.12%-0.38 +5.8 15
1953-05-14 Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 3-364.1 1009 1105 40.79% 16.05% 43.16%-0.21 +0.0 14
1953-05-14 @ Racing Rodange D 3-364.1 1105 1009 43.16% 16.05% 40.79%+0.21 -0.0 21
1953-05-14 Spora Luxembourg W 4-353.1 1056 1141 42.30% 16.06% 41.64%-0.15 +4.0 21
1953-05-14 @ Red Star Merl L 3-453.1 1141 1056 41.64% 16.06% 42.30%+0.15 -4.0 18
1953-05-14 Jeunesse Esch L 1-247.4 1166 1190 50.87% 16.05% 33.08%+0.20 -5.1 26
1953-05-14 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-147.4 1190 1166 33.08% 16.05% 50.87%-0.20 +5.1 29
1953-05-17 Differdange 03 W 4-032.3 1047 1125 43.41% 16.07% 40.52%-0.11 +15.9 17
1953-05-17 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-432.3 1125 1047 40.52% 16.07% 43.41%+0.11 -15.9 22
1953-05-17 Spora Luxembourg W 3-136.0 1195 1138 60.59% 15.82% 23.59%+0.65 +4.5 31
1953-05-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-336.0 1138 1195 23.59% 15.82% 60.59%-0.65 -4.5 18
1953-05-17 Stade Dudelange D 3-364.2 1179 1161 56.06% 15.96% 27.98%+0.43 -0.4 32
1953-05-17 @ Progres Niedercorn D 3-364.2 1161 1179 27.98% 15.96% 56.06%-0.43 +0.4 27
1953-05-17 Fola Esch L 1-347.1 1105 1045 60.88% 15.81% 23.31%+0.66 -10.5 21
1953-05-17 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-147.1 1045 1105 23.31% 15.81% 60.88%-0.66 +10.5 22
1953-05-17 Red Star Merl W 2-143.0 1010 1060 47.19% 16.07% 36.74%+0.04 +3.9 16
1953-05-17 @ Racing Rodange L 1-243.0 1060 1010 36.74% 16.07% 47.19%-0.04 -3.9 21
1953-05-17 FC Schifflange 95 L 2-349.4 1075 1167 41.33% 16.05% 42.61%-0.19 -4.0 17
1953-05-17 @ SC Tetange W 3-249.4 1167 1075 42.61% 16.05% 41.33%+0.19 +4.0 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1953-04-19 12.75% Alliance Dudelange 1004 1 @ FC Schifflange 95 1192 0
2 1953-01-11 15.05% Alliance Dudelange 993 3 @ Differdange 03 1148 0
3 1953-05-03 18.07% Alliance Dudelange 1024 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1140 1
4 1953-01-11 18.53% SC Tetange 1079 3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1189 1
5 1953-04-19 19.43% Differdange 03 1096 3 @ Stade Dudelange 1196 0
6 1952-10-26 22.11% Racing Rodange 1025 3 @ SC Tetange 1097 1
7 1953-05-03 22.25% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1107 2 @ Stade Dudelange 1178 1
8 1952-10-05 22.87% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1114 3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1178 1
9 1953-05-17 23.31% Fola Esch 1045 3 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1105 1
10 1952-09-07 23.97% Stade Dudelange 1136 1 @ FC Schifflange 95 1190 0
11 1953-03-08 24.84% SC Tetange 1069 1 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1115 0
12 1952-12-07 25.78% Stade Dudelange 1154 1 @ Jeunesse Esch 1191 0
13 1953-01-04 28.22% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1122 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1138 1
14 1953-05-14 28.89% Alliance Dudelange 1041 1 @ Fola Esch 1051 0
15 1953-01-18 29.24% @ Racing Rodange 1007 2 Jeunesse Esch 1190 1
16 1953-05-14 29.24% Progres Niedercorn 1170 3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1177 1
17 1952-11-23 29.79% Fola Esch 1080 2 @ SC Tetange 1083 1
18 1953-05-03 29.91% SC Tetange 1068 3 @ Fola Esch 1070 0
19 1952-10-05 30.19% Differdange 03 1136 4 @ Spora Luxembourg 1136 1
20 1952-10-26 30.69% Progres Niedercorn 1129 4 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1125 2
21 1953-02-22 30.96% Spora Luxembourg 1134 3 @ Differdange 03 1127 0
22 1953-01-18 31.72% Progres Niedercorn 1140 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1128 1
23 1953-04-26 31.84% @ Alliance Dudelange 1012 4 Progres Niedercorn 1174 1
24 1953-05-10 32.67% Spora Luxembourg 1133 4 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1113 2
25 1953-05-14 33.08% Jeunesse Esch 1190 2 @ Stade Dudelange 1166 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-01-11 20.12 Alliance Dudelange 3 993 15.05% @ Differdange 03 0 1148 69.71% 15.24%
2 1953-04-19 18.76 Differdange 03 3 1096 19.43% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1196 64.96% 15.60%
3 1952-09-14 18.39 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 4 1093 36.04% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1047 47.89% 16.07%
4 1953-05-17 15.94 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1047 43.41% Differdange 03 0 1125 40.52% 16.07%
5 1952-09-07 15.82 SC Tetange 5 1096 34.34% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1063 49.60% 16.06%
6 1953-05-03 15.72 SC Tetange 3 1068 29.91% @ Fola Esch 0 1070 54.09% 16.00%
7 1953-04-19 15.52 @ Racing Rodange 4 1007 44.67% SC Tetange 0 1076 39.26% 16.07%
8 1953-02-22 15.44 Spora Luxembourg 3 1134 30.96% @ Differdange 03 0 1127 53.01% 16.02%
9 1953-02-15 14.41 Spora Luxembourg 3 1120 34.80% @ SC Tetange 0 1083 49.14% 16.06%
10 1953-02-22 14.09 FC Schifflange 95 8 1179 36.44% @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 1130 47.48% 16.07%
11 1952-10-05 13.20 Differdange 03 4 1136 30.19% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1136 53.80% 16.01%
12 1953-04-26 12.83 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1012 31.84% Progres Niedercorn 1 1174 52.29% 15.87%
13 1953-03-08 12.20 Stade Dudelange 4 1184 34.60% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1150 49.34% 16.06%
14 1953-01-11 11.35 SC Tetange 3 1079 18.53% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1189 65.93% 15.54%
15 1953-03-02 11.20 @ Red Star Merl 6 1036 43.71% Differdange 03 2 1112 40.22% 16.07%
16 1953-02-22 11.15 Progres Niedercorn 6 1149 43.92% @ Red Star Merl 2 1048 40.04% 16.04%
17 1952-11-09 10.82 @ Spora Luxembourg 7 1119 63.24% Racing Rodange 1 1036 21.06% 15.70%
18 1952-10-26 10.71 Racing Rodange 3 1025 22.11% @ SC Tetange 1 1097 62.14% 15.75%
19 1952-10-05 10.57 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 1114 22.87% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1178 61.34% 15.79%
20 1953-05-17 10.50 Fola Esch 3 1045 23.31% @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1105 60.88% 15.81%
21 1952-10-26 10.31 FC Schifflange 95 3 1168 50.77% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1017 33.32% 15.91%
22 1953-04-19 10.23 @ Progres Niedercorn 6 1164 60.34% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1109 23.83% 15.83%
23 1953-05-10 10.13 @ Alliance Dudelange 7 1031 55.27% Racing Rodange 2 1020 28.75% 15.98%
24 1953-01-11 9.98 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 1128 34.50% @ Fola Esch 0 1094 49.44% 16.06%
25 1953-05-14 9.49 Progres Niedercorn 3 1170 29.24% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1177 54.77% 15.99%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-11-23 64.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1191 59.88% Progres Niedercorn 3 1141 24.27% 15.85%
2 1953-05-17 64.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1179 56.06% Stade Dudelange 3 1161 27.98% 15.96%
3 1953-05-14 64.1 @ Racing Rodange 3 1009 40.79% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 1105 43.16% 16.05%
4 1953-03-15 59.9 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1165 70.10% Racing Rodange 2 1006 14.70% 15.20%
5 1953-02-22 59.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1011 30.45% Stade Dudelange 2 1185 53.73% 15.82%
6 1953-03-08 59.8 @ Racing Rodange 2 1005 28.76% FC Schifflange 95 2 1193 55.48% 15.76%
7 1953-05-03 59.8 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1161 50.62% Jeunesse Esch 2 1186 33.33% 16.05%
8 1952-09-14 59.7 @ Racing Rodange 2 1033 41.46% Progres Niedercorn 2 1125 42.49% 16.05%
9 1953-01-04 59.7 @ Racing Rodange 2 1010 56.03% Alliance Dudelange 2 993 28.00% 15.96%
10 1953-05-14 59.7 @ Differdange 03 2 1125 59.85% SC Tetange 2 1075 24.30% 15.85%
11 1953-05-03 55.3 @ Red Star Merl 4 1047 34.98% FC Schifflange 95 3 1185 49.07% 15.95%
12 1953-04-19 55.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1196 68.84% Red Star Merl 1 1053 15.84% 15.32%
13 1952-11-09 54.9 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1162 63.25% Fola Esch 1 1079 21.06% 15.70%
14 1953-03-02 54.9 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1116 65.38% Alliance Dudelange 1 1012 19.05% 15.58%
15 1952-09-21 54.8 @ SC Tetange 1 1103 52.83% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1111 31.14% 16.03%
16 1952-09-28 54.8 @ Racing Rodange 1 1030 36.05% Stade Dudelange 1 1160 47.97% 15.98%
17 1953-04-26 54.8 @ Differdange 03 1 1115 44.57% FC Schifflange 95 1 1185 39.36% 16.07%
18 1953-04-26 54.8 @ Fola Esch 1 1069 39.06% Stade Dudelange 1 1178 44.92% 16.03%
19 1953-05-14 53.1 @ Red Star Merl 4 1056 42.30% Spora Luxembourg 3 1141 41.64% 16.06%
20 1952-09-07 52.0 Differdange 03 3 1127 33.87% @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 1098 50.07% 16.06%
21 1953-05-03 51.8 Alliance Dudelange 2 1024 18.07% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1140 66.43% 15.51%
22 1952-12-07 51.5 @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1141 47.48% FC Schifflange 95 0 1190 36.45% 16.07%
23 1953-01-04 51.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1190 54.52% Jeunesse Esch 0 1185 29.49% 16.00%
24 1953-02-22 51.4 @ SC Tetange 0 1069 37.47% Jeunesse Esch 0 1189 46.53% 16.00%
25 1953-05-03 50.6 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 1107 22.25% @ Stade Dudelange 1 1178 61.98% 15.76%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-02-15 25.2 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1180 70.77% Racing Rodange 0 1012 14.10% 15.13%
2 1952-11-23 25.5 @ Differdange 03 5 1147 66.95% Racing Rodange 0 1025 17.58% 15.47%
3 1952-10-05 25.9 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1160 68.32% Alliance Dudelange 0 1023 16.32% 15.36%
4 1953-02-01 26.5 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1171 62.82% SC Tetange 0 1093 21.46% 15.72%
5 1953-04-19 28.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1137 60.92% Fola Esch 0 1077 23.27% 15.81%
6 1952-09-21 28.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1180 69.06% Racing Rodange 0 1033 15.64% 15.30%
7 1952-09-07 28.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1169 67.81% Racing Rodange 0 1037 16.79% 15.40%
8 1953-03-22 29.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1193 72.07% Alliance Dudelange 1 1008 12.94% 14.99%
9 1952-09-21 30.0 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1151 54.99% Spora Luxembourg 0 1142 29.02% 15.99%
10 1952-11-09 30.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 7 1119 63.24% Racing Rodange 1 1036 21.06% 15.70%
11 1952-10-05 30.9 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1124 61.11% Red Star Merl 0 1062 23.09% 15.80%
12 1953-04-19 31.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 6 1164 60.34% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1109 23.83% 15.83%
13 1952-10-26 31.2 FC Schifflange 95 3 1168 50.77% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1017 33.32% 15.91%
14 1952-12-07 31.8 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 4 1117 65.08% Racing Rodange 1 1016 19.33% 15.60%
15 1953-04-19 31.9 @ Racing Rodange 4 1007 44.67% SC Tetange 0 1076 39.26% 16.07%
16 1952-11-23 32.0 @ FC Schifflange 95 6 1184 67.89% Red Star Merl 2 1052 16.71% 15.40%
17 1953-05-17 32.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1047 43.41% Differdange 03 0 1125 40.52% 16.07%
18 1952-11-09 32.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1185 61.81% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 1117 22.42% 15.77%
19 1953-05-10 34.4 @ Alliance Dudelange 7 1031 55.27% Racing Rodange 2 1020 28.75% 15.98%
20 1953-05-10 34.4 @ Differdange 03 1 1123 61.80% Fola Esch 0 1054 22.43% 15.77%
21 1952-09-14 34.5 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 4 1093 36.04% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1047 47.89% 16.07%
22 1953-02-01 34.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1185 64.76% Fola Esch 1 1087 19.63% 15.62%
23 1953-02-15 34.9 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1175 64.13% Fola Esch 1 1083 20.22% 15.65%
24 1953-04-26 35.0 @ SC Tetange 4 1060 54.57% Red Star Merl 1 1054 29.43% 16.00%
25 1953-01-18 35.4 @ Fola Esch 1 1084 58.43% Red Star Merl 0 1046 25.67% 15.90%