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1960-61 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Spora Luxembourg

7.11 points above expected

33 points · 25.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

SC Tetange

4.44 points below expected

14 points · 18.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 15 3 4 33 65 30 +35 30.19 +2.81
2 Spora Luxembourg 22 16 1 5 33 56 29 +27 25.89 +7.11
3 Union Luxembourg 22 13 4 5 30 44 31 +13 24.76 +5.24
4 Differdange 03 22 8 7 7 23 33 36 -3 21.79 +1.21
5 Stade Dudelange 22 8 6 8 22 45 38 +7 25.52 -3.52
6 Grevenmacher 22 7 7 8 21 36 36 0 25.42 -4.42
7 Fola Esch 22 8 4 10 20 39 41 -2 19.58 +0.42
8 FC Schifflange 95 22 8 4 10 20 31 36 -5 23.46 -3.46
9 Rumelange 22 6 5 11 17 25 35 -10 11.35 +5.65
10 Aris Bonnevoie 22 6 4 12 16 32 52 -20 19.13 -3.13
11 Chiers Rodange 22 4 7 11 15 23 38 -15 18.47 -3.47
12 SC Tetange 22 5 4 13 14 26 53 -27 18.44 -4.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Spora Luxembourg 33 25.89 +7.11
2 Rumelange 17 11.35 +5.65
3 Union Luxembourg 30 24.76 +5.24
4 Jeunesse Esch 33 30.19 +2.81
5 Differdange 03 23 21.79 +1.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SC Tetange 14 18.44 -4.44
2 Grevenmacher 21 25.42 -4.42
3 Stade Dudelange 22 25.52 -3.52
4 Chiers Rodange 15 18.47 -3.47
5 FC Schifflange 95 20 23.46 -3.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SC Tetange 3 Feb 26 – Mar 12 1 in 162
2 Spora Luxembourg 4 Jan 7 – Feb 19 1 in 54
3 Union Luxembourg 5 Dec 17 – Feb 19 1 in 39
4 Jeunesse Esch 6 Aug 20 – Sep 24 1 in 26
5 Grevenmacher 4 Sep 17 – Oct 17 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chiers Rodange 7 Sep 17 – Nov 12 1 in 306
2 Aris Bonnevoie 3 Sep 17 – Oct 10 1 in 22
3 Union Luxembourg 2 Mar 12 – Mar 26 1 in 21
4 Stade Dudelange 2 Sep 10 – Sep 17 1 in 19
5 FC Schifflange 95 3 Aug 20 – Sep 3 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 12 Oct 10 – Feb 19 1 in 97
2 Chiers Rodange 6 Jan 14 – Mar 12 1 in 45
3 Grevenmacher 10 Aug 20 – Nov 5 1 in 21
4 Rumelange 3 Oct 17 – Nov 5 1 in 16
5 Spora Luxembourg 8 Jan 7 – Mar 26 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grevenmacher 7 Dec 17 – Mar 5 1 in 448
2 SC Tetange 13 Sep 24 – Feb 19 1 in 199
3 Chiers Rodange 13 Sep 10 – Jan 14 1 in 88
4 Aris Bonnevoie 7 Aug 20 – Oct 10 1 in 39
5 FC Schifflange 95 4 Dec 10 – Jan 14 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Spora Luxembourg 1570 33 +40 9 6.8 +2.2
Jeunesse Esch 1609 33 +3 6 6.7 -0.7
Union Luxembourg 1458 30 -48 3 5.4 -2.4
Differdange 03 1405 23 -23 4 5.6 -1.6
Stade Dudelange 1470 22 +8 5 5.1 -0.1
Grevenmacher 1410 21 -38 3 5.3 -2.3
Fola Esch 1387 20 +31 6 5.1 +0.9
FC Schifflange 95 1394 20 -49 3 5.4 -2.4
Rumelange 1205 17 -12 3 3.2 -0.2
Aris Bonnevoie 1306 16 +26 6 4.4 +1.6
Chiers Rodange 1306 15 +19 6 4.1 +1.9
SC Tetange 1285 14 +43 6 2.9 +3.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB CR D0 FS9 FE GRE JE RUM ST SL SD UL
Aris Bonnevoie —
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
4.10
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
1.88
0-2-0
1.99
1-1-0
1.79
Chiers Rodange
1-0-1
2.82
 —
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
1.79
0-1-1
1.07
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
2.85
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.97
Differdange 03
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.33
 —
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
2.09
0-0-2
1.70
1-1-0
4.22
1-1-0
3.39
0-0-2
2.18
1-1-0
2.39
0-0-2
2.60
FC Schifflange 95
1-0-1
3.63
0-1-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.90
 —
0-1-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
4.16
0-1-1
3.65
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.44
Fola Esch
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.26
 —
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.61
1-1-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.02
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.15
Grevenmacher
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
3.77
0-1-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.55
 —
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
4.56
0-1-1
3.94
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.75
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
4.52
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.64
 —
2-0-0
4.92
1-0-1
4.60
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
3.51
0-1-1
3.61
Rumelange
1-0-1
1.46
1-0-1
1.96
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
1.42
0-1-1
1.76
1-1-0
1.05
0-0-2
0.71
 —
1-0-1
1.45
1-1-0
0.97
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-1
1.13
SC Tetange
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
1.91
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
1.63
1-0-1
0.99
1-0-1
4.12
 —
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
1.99
Spora Luxembourg
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
4.63
2-0-0
3.44
 —
2-0-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.86
Stade Dudelange
0-2-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.82
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
3.20
1-0-1
3.43
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.05
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
3.55
0-0-2
2.67
 —
1-0-1
2.66
Union Luxembourg
0-1-1
3.77
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
1.95
1-1-0
4.47
2-0-0
3.59
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.90
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +4.8
Allowed 0.60 -6.7
Differential 0.92 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%5.68%6.82%1.89%1.14%0.38%20.45%
15.68%11.36%7.20%4.92%1.14%3.79%34.09%
26.82%7.20%4.55%0.76%1.52%1.14%21.97%
31.89%4.92%0.76%0.76%2.27%0.76%11.36%
41.14%1.14%1.52%2.27%——6.06%
5+0.38%3.79%1.14%0.76%——6.06%
Total20.45%34.09%21.97%11.36%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.72 +0.00
SD 1.57 1.57 2.25
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%45.45%
24.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%27.27%13.64%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.36 -0.91
SD 1.26 1.76 2.09
CV 0.87 0.74 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%13.64%———45.45%
14.55%13.64%———4.55%22.73%
29.09%—4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%——9.09%4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%—9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.73 -0.68
SD 1.17 2.07 1.94
CV 1.12 1.20 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
113.64%27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%—54.55%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3—9.09%—4.55%9.09%—22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%9.09%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.64 -0.14
SD 0.96 1.40 1.58
CV 0.64 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%4.55%13.64%—4.55%40.91%
29.09%——4.55%——13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4———————
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.64 -0.23
SD 1.47 1.71 2.43
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
1—9.09%9.09%13.64%—4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%36.36%18.18%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.86 -0.09
SD 1.66 1.39 2.22
CV 0.94 0.75 —
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
1—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
29.09%9.09%13.64%——4.55%36.36%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%40.91%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.64 +0.00
SD 1.79 1.33 2.12
CV 1.09 0.81 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
49.09%—9.09%9.09%——27.27%
5+—18.18%————18.18%
Total18.18%40.91%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 1.36 +1.59
SD 1.89 0.95 2.15
CV 0.64 0.70 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
19.09%18.18%9.09%9.09%—9.09%54.55%
2—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%18.18%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.59 -0.45
SD 0.94 1.47 1.87
CV 0.83 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
1—4.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%36.36%
24.55%18.18%9.09%——9.09%40.91%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%27.27%18.18%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.41 -1.23
SD 0.80 1.94 2.05
CV 0.67 0.81 —
Max 2 8 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%4.55%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
34.55%13.64%——4.55%—22.73%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.32 +1.23
SD 1.71 1.32 2.20
CV 0.67 1.00 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
14.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
213.64%4.55%13.64%—9.09%—40.91%
34.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.73 +0.32
SD 1.76 1.78 2.64
CV 0.86 1.03 —
Max 8 7 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
213.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———9.09%——9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.41 +0.59
SD 1.95 1.30 2.26
CV 0.98 0.92 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1609 33 30.19 +2.81 85.0% 21 24 28 30 33 37 39
Spora Luxembourg 1570 33 25.89 +7.11 98.0% 18 20 23 26 28 31 34
Stade Dudelange 1470 22 25.52 -3.52 22.0% 17 20 23 25 28 32 37
Union Luxembourg 1458 30 24.76 +5.24 99.0% 17 19 22 25 28 29 31
Grevenmacher 1410 21 25.42 -4.42 13.0% 17 20 23 26 28 31 34
Differdange 03 1405 23 21.79 +1.21 77.0% 15 17 20 22 23 27 30
FC Schifflange 95 1394 20 23.46 -3.46 21.0% 11 18 21 24 25 30 38
Fola Esch 1387 20 19.58 +0.42 63.0% 11 14 18 19 22 25 32
Chiers Rodange 1306 15 18.47 -3.47 26.0% 11 12 15 18 21 25 29
Aris Bonnevoie 1306 16 19.13 -3.13 23.0% 12 13 17 19 22 24 29
SC Tetange 1285 14 18.44 -4.44 16.0% 11 13 16 19 21 24 26
Rumelange 1205 17 11.35 +5.65 98.0% 3 6 9 11 14 17 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.27%
Strong Edge
53.03%21.21%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
199 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
097.22500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.77 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.85 * Some Luck: 2.85 to 4.28 * Lucky: 4.28 to 5.7 * Wild Swing: 5.7 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.38 * Close: 1.38 to 2.08 * Off: 2.08 to 2.77 * Way Off: 2.77 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.13 points
Some Luck
03.569
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.734
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Union Luxembourg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
13.00%
Grevenmacher
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 116.92
1.60
Coin-Flip Parity
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Slight Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Clear Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Frequent
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Rare
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.42
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.74
Near-Lock
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.83
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.72
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.096
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch59.00%19.00%8.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%————
Spora Luxembourg12.00%18.00%22.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Union Luxembourg4.00%14.00%20.00%17.00%14.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%3.00%3.00%——
Differdange 031.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%23.00%15.00%15.00%6.00%4.00%—
Stade Dudelange9.00%20.00%9.00%20.00%15.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—
Grevenmacher8.00%18.00%21.00%16.00%7.00%14.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
Fola Esch1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%18.00%16.00%21.00%12.00%2.00%
FC Schifflange 955.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%18.00%15.00%15.00%13.00%4.00%3.00%—1.00%
Rumelange———————1.00%3.00%4.00%16.00%76.00%
Aris Bonnevoie1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%22.00%14.00%6.00%
Chiers Rodange—1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%19.00%14.00%25.00%9.00%
SC Tetange———3.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%23.00%26.00%6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Spora Luxembourg 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
FC Schifflange 95 99.00% 1.00%
Grevenmacher 99.00% 1.00%
Stade Dudelange 98.00% 2.00%
Differdange 03 96.00% 4.00%
Fola Esch 86.00% 14.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 80.00% 20.00%
SC Tetange 68.00% 32.00%
Chiers Rodange 66.00% 34.00%
Rumelange 8.00% 92.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1960-08-20 Jeunesse Esch L 2-455.5 1406 1537 40.86% 22.47% 36.66%-0.17 -15.6 0
1960-08-20 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-255.5 1537 1406 36.66% 22.47% 40.86%+0.17 +15.6 2
1960-08-20 Union Luxembourg L 0-248.6 1422 1439 55.20% 22.35% 22.45%+0.41 -26.2 0
1960-08-20 @ Differdange 03 W 2-048.6 1439 1422 22.45% 22.35% 55.20%-0.41 +26.2 2
1960-08-20 Chiers Rodange W 6-342.7 1352 1365 55.56% 22.34% 22.10%+0.42 +12.0 2
1960-08-20 @ Fola Esch L 3-642.7 1365 1352 22.10% 22.34% 55.56%-0.42 -12.0 0
1960-08-20 Stade Dudelange D 2-265.9 1486 1478 57.76% 22.24% 20.00%+0.53 -1.6 1
1960-08-20 @ Grevenmacher D 2-265.9 1478 1486 20.00% 22.24% 57.76%-0.53 +1.6 1
1960-08-20 SC Tetange L 1-241.7 1110 1366 24.66% 21.91% 53.43%-0.80 -6.7 0
1960-08-20 @ Rumelange W 2-141.7 1366 1110 53.43% 21.91% 24.66%+0.80 +6.7 2
1960-08-20 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-034.1 1424 1422 57.21% 22.27% 20.52%+0.50 +21.8 2
1960-08-20 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-434.1 1422 1424 20.52% 22.27% 57.21%-0.50 -21.8 0
1960-08-27 Fola Esch L 1-352.3 1400 1364 60.42% 22.09% 17.50%+0.67 -24.7 0
1960-08-27 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-152.3 1364 1400 17.50% 22.09% 60.42%-0.67 +24.7 4
1960-08-27 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-347.2 1484 1390 65.17% 21.67% 13.16%+0.96 +5.7 3
1960-08-27 @ Grevenmacher L 3-547.2 1390 1484 13.16% 21.67% 65.17%-0.96 -5.7 0
1960-08-27 Differdange 03 W 4-033.8 1553 1396 69.37% 21.05% 9.58%+1.28 +10.9 4
1960-08-27 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-433.8 1396 1553 9.58% 21.05% 69.37%-1.28 -10.9 0
1960-08-27 Rumelange W 5-127.7 1465 1103 78.47% 18.19% 3.34%+2.31 +3.1 4
1960-08-27 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-527.7 1103 1465 3.34% 18.19% 78.47%-2.31 -3.1 0
1960-08-27 Spora Luxembourg L 1-350.0 1373 1446 48.57% 22.49% 28.95%+0.12 -20.1 2
1960-08-27 @ SC Tetange W 3-150.0 1446 1373 28.95% 22.49% 48.57%-0.12 +20.1 4
1960-08-27 Chiers Rodange W 8-133.5 1479 1353 67.45% 21.37% 11.18%+1.12 +17.6 3
1960-08-27 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-833.5 1353 1479 11.18% 21.37% 67.45%-1.12 -17.7 0
1960-09-03 Stade Dudelange D 1-158.5 1385 1497 43.48% 22.50% 34.02%-0.07 -0.5 1
1960-09-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-158.5 1497 1385 34.02% 22.50% 43.48%+0.07 +0.5 4
1960-09-03 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-140.9 1336 1375 52.61% 22.42% 24.97%+0.29 +11.8 2
1960-09-03 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-340.9 1375 1336 24.97% 22.42% 52.61%-0.29 -11.8 0
1960-09-03 Grevenmacher D 1-158.3 1385 1490 44.51% 22.50% 32.99%-0.04 -0.6 1
1960-09-03 @ Differdange 03 D 1-158.3 1490 1385 32.99% 22.50% 44.51%+0.04 +0.6 4
1960-09-03 SC Tetange W 2-141.7 1389 1353 60.41% 22.09% 17.50%+0.67 +5.0 6
1960-09-03 @ Fola Esch L 1-241.7 1353 1389 17.50% 22.09% 60.41%-0.67 -5.0 2
1960-09-03 Jeunesse Esch L 1-334.7 1100 1564 9.16% 19.62% 71.23%-1.84 -4.6 0
1960-09-03 @ Rumelange W 3-134.7 1564 1100 71.23% 19.62% 9.16%+1.84 +4.6 6
1960-09-03 Union Luxembourg W 3-038.3 1466 1468 56.78% 22.29% 20.93%+0.48 +17.0 6
1960-09-03 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-338.3 1468 1466 20.93% 22.29% 56.78%-0.48 -17.0 4
1960-09-10 Differdange 03 D 1-155.8 1384 1384 56.91% 22.28% 20.81%+0.49 -2.1 2
1960-09-10 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-155.8 1384 1384 20.81% 22.28% 56.91%-0.49 +2.1 2
1960-09-10 Rumelange D 1-155.0 1490 1095 79.54% 17.64% 2.82%+2.48 -4.8 5
1960-09-10 @ Grevenmacher D 1-155.0 1095 1490 2.82% 17.64% 79.54%-2.48 +4.8 1
1960-09-10 Spora Luxembourg W 4-357.6 1568 1483 64.50% 21.74% 13.76%+0.92 +3.7 8
1960-09-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 3-457.6 1483 1568 13.76% 21.74% 64.50%-0.92 -3.7 6
1960-09-10 Fola Esch W 3-140.7 1451 1394 62.28% 21.95% 15.77%+0.78 +7.9 6
1960-09-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-340.7 1394 1451 15.77% 21.95% 62.28%-0.78 -7.9 6
1960-09-10 Chiers Rodange D 2-259.1 1348 1347 57.00% 22.28% 20.72%+0.49 -1.6 3
1960-09-10 @ SC Tetange D 2-259.1 1347 1348 20.72% 22.28% 57.00%-0.49 +1.6 3
1960-09-10 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-252.2 1497 1364 67.96% 21.29% 10.75%+1.16 -32.1 4
1960-09-10 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-052.2 1364 1497 10.75% 21.29% 67.96%-1.16 +32.1 2
1960-09-17 Union Luxembourg L 3-458.8 1349 1459 43.76% 22.50% 33.74%-0.06 -9.8 3
1960-09-17 @ Chiers Rodange W 4-358.8 1459 1349 33.74% 22.50% 43.76%+0.06 +9.8 8
1960-09-17 Stade Dudelange W 2-147.9 1387 1465 47.90% 22.49% 29.61%+0.09 +7.8 4
1960-09-17 @ Differdange 03 L 1-247.9 1465 1387 29.61% 22.49% 47.90%-0.09 -7.8 4
1960-09-17 SC Tetange L 1-254.9 1396 1346 61.61% 22.00% 16.39%+0.74 -14.6 2
1960-09-17 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 2-154.9 1346 1396 16.39% 22.00% 61.61%-0.74 +14.5 5
1960-09-17 Jeunesse Esch L 0-441.6 1386 1572 33.23% 22.32% 44.45%-0.45 -32.4 6
1960-09-17 @ Fola Esch W 4-041.6 1572 1386 44.45% 22.32% 33.23%+0.45 +32.4 10
1960-09-17 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-041.5 1100 1382 22.01% 21.72% 56.28%-0.93 +38.5 3
1960-09-17 @ Rumelange L 0-341.5 1382 1100 56.28% 21.72% 22.01%+0.93 -38.4 2
1960-09-17 Grevenmacher L 1-259.6 1480 1485 56.35% 22.31% 21.34%+0.46 -13.3 6
1960-09-17 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-159.6 1485 1480 21.34% 22.31% 56.35%-0.46 +13.3 7
1960-09-24 Spora Luxembourg L 0-243.4 1344 1466 42.02% 22.49% 35.49%-0.13 -20.6 2
1960-09-24 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-043.4 1466 1344 35.49% 22.49% 42.02%+0.13 +20.6 8
1960-09-24 Rumelange W 1-031.5 1394 1139 74.43% 19.81% 5.77%+1.78 +1.8 6
1960-09-24 @ Differdange 03 L 0-131.5 1139 1394 5.77% 19.81% 74.43%-1.78 -1.8 3
1960-09-24 Fola Esch W 4-243.0 1499 1354 68.68% 21.17% 10.14%+1.22 +4.7 9
1960-09-24 @ Grevenmacher L 2-443.0 1354 1499 10.14% 21.17% 68.68%-1.22 -4.7 6
1960-09-24 Chiers Rodange W 1-038.7 1604 1339 74.84% 19.67% 5.49%+1.82 +1.8 12
1960-09-24 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-138.7 1339 1604 5.49% 19.67% 74.84%-1.82 -1.8 3
1960-09-24 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-251.0 1469 1381 64.72% 21.72% 13.56%+0.93 -30.6 8
1960-09-24 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-051.0 1381 1469 13.56% 21.72% 64.72%-0.93 +30.6 4
1960-09-24 Stade Dudelange L 1-251.8 1361 1457 45.57% 22.50% 31.93%+0.00 -11.0 5
1960-09-24 @ SC Tetange W 2-151.8 1457 1361 31.93% 22.50% 45.57%+0.00 +11.0 6
1960-10-10 Grevenmacher L 0-242.3 1337 1503 35.91% 22.39% 41.70%-0.35 -18.2 3
1960-10-10 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-042.3 1503 1337 41.70% 22.39% 35.91%+0.35 +18.1 11
1960-10-10 Jeunesse Esch W 3-155.6 1412 1606 32.14% 22.28% 45.58%-0.49 +19.0 6
1960-10-10 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-355.6 1606 1412 45.58% 22.28% 32.14%+0.49 -19.0 12
1960-10-10 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-135.9 1349 1323 59.47% 22.15% 18.38%+0.62 +12.8 8
1960-10-10 @ Fola Esch L 1-435.9 1323 1349 18.38% 22.15% 59.47%-0.62 -12.8 2
1960-10-10 Union Luxembourg L 1-251.5 1350 1438 46.65% 22.50% 30.85%+0.04 -11.2 5
1960-10-10 @ SC Tetange W 2-151.5 1438 1350 30.85% 22.50% 46.65%-0.04 +11.2 10
1960-10-10 Differdange 03 W 3-141.0 1487 1396 64.96% 21.69% 13.35%+0.95 +6.8 10
1960-10-10 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-341.0 1396 1487 13.35% 21.69% 64.96%-0.95 -6.8 6
1960-10-10 Rumelange W 1-031.0 1468 1137 77.42% 18.68% 3.90%+2.16 +1.2 8
1960-10-10 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-131.0 1137 1468 3.90% 18.68% 77.42%-2.16 -1.2 3
1960-10-17 Chiers Rodange W 4-349.4 1310 1319 56.02% 22.32% 21.66%+0.44 +5.6 4
1960-10-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 3-449.4 1319 1310 21.66% 22.32% 56.02%-0.44 -5.6 3
1960-10-17 Fola Esch W 3-139.4 1389 1362 59.67% 22.14% 18.20%+0.63 +9.0 8
1960-10-17 @ Differdange 03 L 1-339.4 1362 1389 18.20% 22.14% 59.67%-0.63 -9.0 8
1960-10-17 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-038.9 1522 1431 64.97% 21.69% 13.34%+0.95 +7.9 13
1960-10-17 @ Grevenmacher L 0-238.9 1431 1522 13.34% 21.69% 64.97%-0.95 -7.9 6
1960-10-17 SC Tetange W 6-134.7 1587 1339 74.10% 19.91% 5.99%+1.74 +7.0 14
1960-10-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-634.7 1339 1587 5.99% 19.91% 74.10%-1.74 -7.0 5
1960-10-17 Spora Luxembourg W 2-153.9 1136 1494 15.37% 20.97% 63.65%-1.31 +14.9 5
1960-10-17 @ Rumelange L 1-253.9 1494 1136 63.65% 20.97% 15.37%+1.31 -14.9 10
1960-10-31 Differdange 03 L 0-146.2 1314 1398 47.09% 22.50% 30.41%+0.06 -12.0 3
1960-10-31 @ Chiers Rodange W 1-046.2 1398 1314 30.41% 22.50% 47.09%-0.06 +12.0 10
1960-10-31 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-137.3 1423 1316 66.15% 21.55% 12.31%+1.03 +6.3 8
1960-10-31 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-337.3 1316 1423 12.31% 21.55% 66.15%-1.03 -6.3 4
1960-10-31 Rumelange D 1-153.8 1353 1150 71.90% 20.52% 7.59%+1.51 -4.0 9
1960-10-31 @ Fola Esch D 1-153.8 1150 1353 7.59% 20.52% 71.90%-1.51 +4.0 6
1960-10-31 Jeunesse Esch W 1-053.2 1449 1594 38.95% 22.45% 38.60%-0.24 +10.2 12
1960-10-31 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-153.2 1594 1449 38.60% 22.45% 38.95%+0.24 -10.2 14
1960-10-31 Grevenmacher D 2-262.4 1332 1529 31.68% 22.26% 46.05%-0.51 +0.6 6
1960-10-31 @ SC Tetange D 2-262.4 1529 1332 46.05% 22.26% 31.68%+0.51 -0.6 14
1960-10-31 Spora Luxembourg L 0-154.8 1470 1479 55.98% 22.32% 21.70%+0.44 -14.0 8
1960-10-31 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-054.8 1479 1470 21.70% 22.32% 55.98%-0.44 +14.1 12
1960-11-05 SC Tetange W 5-240.4 1310 1332 54.53% 22.37% 23.10%+0.37 +13.5 6
1960-11-05 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-540.4 1332 1310 23.10% 22.37% 54.53%-0.37 -13.5 6
1960-11-05 FC Schifflange 95 W 1-041.4 1410 1429 54.96% 22.36% 22.68%+0.39 +6.6 12
1960-11-05 @ Differdange 03 L 0-141.4 1429 1410 22.68% 22.36% 54.96%-0.39 -6.7 8
1960-11-05 Union Luxembourg D 2-266.9 1529 1460 63.28% 21.86% 14.85%+0.84 -2.2 15
1960-11-05 @ Grevenmacher D 2-266.9 1460 1529 14.85% 21.86% 63.28%-0.84 +2.2 13
1960-11-05 Stade Dudelange W 4-249.8 1584 1456 67.60% 21.35% 11.06%+1.13 +5.1 16
1960-11-05 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-449.8 1456 1584 11.06% 21.35% 67.60%-1.13 -5.1 8
1960-11-05 Chiers Rodange W 1-042.0 1154 1302 38.60% 22.44% 38.96%-0.25 +10.3 8
1960-11-05 @ Rumelange L 0-142.0 1302 1154 38.96% 22.44% 38.60%+0.25 -10.3 3
1960-11-05 Fola Esch W 3-138.7 1493 1349 68.63% 21.18% 10.19%+1.21 +5.3 14
1960-11-05 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-338.7 1349 1493 10.19% 21.18% 68.63%-1.21 -5.3 9
1960-11-12 Spora Luxembourg L 0-239.4 1291 1498 30.52% 22.22% 47.26%-0.55 -15.9 3
1960-11-12 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-039.4 1498 1291 47.26% 22.22% 30.52%+0.55 +15.9 16
1960-11-12 Rumelange W 5-129.0 1423 1165 74.52% 19.78% 5.70%+1.79 +5.4 10
1960-11-12 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-529.0 1165 1423 5.70% 19.78% 74.52%-1.79 -5.4 8
1960-11-12 Grevenmacher W 2-045.4 1589 1527 62.70% 21.91% 15.38%+0.80 +9.0 18
1960-11-12 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-245.4 1527 1589 15.38% 21.91% 62.70%-0.80 -8.9 15
1960-11-12 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-156.4 1462 1323 68.28% 21.24% 10.48%+1.19 -3.6 14
1960-11-12 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-156.4 1323 1462 10.48% 21.24% 68.28%-1.19 +3.6 7
1960-11-12 Differdange 03 D 1-155.1 1319 1417 45.34% 22.50% 32.16%-0.01 -0.7 7
1960-11-12 @ SC Tetange D 1-155.1 1417 1319 32.16% 22.50% 45.34%+0.01 +0.7 13
1960-11-12 Fola Esch W 2-033.8 1450 1343 66.15% 21.55% 12.30%+1.03 +7.3 10
1960-11-12 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-233.8 1343 1450 12.30% 21.55% 66.15%-1.03 -7.3 9
1960-11-26 Stade Dudelange W 4-354.9 1458 1458 56.99% 22.28% 20.73%+0.49 +5.4 16
1960-11-26 @ Union Luxembourg L 3-454.9 1458 1458 20.73% 22.28% 56.99%-0.49 -5.4 10
1960-12-03 Fola Esch D 0-050.4 1275 1336 50.13% 22.47% 27.40%+0.18 -1.4 4
1960-12-03 @ Chiers Rodange D 0-050.4 1336 1275 27.40% 22.47% 50.13%-0.18 +1.4 10
1960-12-03 Spora Luxembourg W 5-144.2 1428 1514 46.93% 22.50% 30.57%+0.06 +25.3 12
1960-12-03 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-544.2 1514 1428 30.57% 22.50% 46.93%-0.06 -25.3 16
1960-12-03 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-135.2 1598 1327 75.09% 19.59% 5.32%+1.85 +5.1 20
1960-12-03 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-535.2 1327 1598 5.32% 19.59% 75.09%-1.85 -5.1 7
1960-12-03 Differdange 03 W 2-144.8 1464 1418 61.30% 22.03% 16.67%+0.72 +4.8 18
1960-12-03 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-244.8 1418 1464 16.67% 22.03% 61.30%-0.72 -4.8 13
1960-12-03 Rumelange L 0-150.8 1318 1159 69.50% 21.03% 9.47%+1.29 -17.4 7
1960-12-03 @ SC Tetange W 1-050.8 1159 1318 9.47% 21.03% 69.50%-1.29 +17.4 10
1960-12-03 Grevenmacher W 2-044.2 1452 1518 49.55% 22.48% 27.97%+0.16 +14.9 12
1960-12-03 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-244.2 1518 1452 27.97% 22.48% 49.55%-0.16 -14.9 15
1960-12-10 Grevenmacher L 1-740.4 1322 1503 33.85% 22.34% 43.81%-0.42 -39.7 7
1960-12-10 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 7-140.4 1503 1322 43.81% 22.34% 33.85%+0.42 +39.7 17
1960-12-10 Stade Dudelange D 1-155.3 1274 1467 32.27% 22.28% 45.45%-0.48 +0.7 5
1960-12-10 @ Chiers Rodange D 1-155.3 1467 1274 45.45% 22.28% 32.27%+0.48 -0.7 13
1960-12-10 Jeunesse Esch L 3-462.1 1413 1603 32.71% 22.30% 44.99%-0.47 -7.8 13
1960-12-10 @ Differdange 03 W 4-362.1 1603 1413 44.99% 22.30% 32.71%+0.47 +7.8 22
1960-12-10 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-156.1 1337 1453 42.98% 22.49% 34.53%-0.09 -0.5 11
1960-12-10 @ Fola Esch D 1-156.1 1453 1337 34.53% 22.49% 42.98%+0.09 +0.5 13
1960-12-10 Union Luxembourg D 0-050.9 1177 1468 21.05% 21.63% 57.32%-0.98 +2.3 11
1960-12-10 @ Rumelange D 0-050.9 1468 1177 57.32% 21.63% 21.05%+0.98 -2.4 19
1960-12-10 SC Tetange W 4-134.2 1489 1301 71.16% 20.69% 8.15%+1.44 +6.0 18
1960-12-10 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-434.2 1301 1489 8.15% 20.69% 71.16%-1.44 -6.0 7
1960-12-17 Chiers Rodange D 0-052.1 1454 1275 70.67% 20.80% 8.54%+1.39 -4.3 14
1960-12-17 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 0-052.1 1275 1454 8.54% 20.80% 70.67%-1.39 +4.3 6
1960-12-17 Differdange 03 L 1-262.2 1543 1405 68.19% 21.25% 10.56%+1.18 -16.1 17
1960-12-17 @ Grevenmacher W 2-162.2 1405 1543 10.56% 21.25% 68.19%-1.18 +16.1 15
1960-12-17 Rumelange W 3-241.0 1611 1179 80.65% 17.02% 2.33%+2.66 +0.6 24
1960-12-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-341.0 1179 1611 2.33% 17.02% 80.65%-2.66 -0.6 11
1960-12-17 Spora Luxembourg W 2-042.6 1466 1495 53.86% 22.39% 23.75%+0.34 +13.0 21
1960-12-17 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-242.6 1495 1466 23.75% 22.39% 53.86%-0.34 -13.0 18
1960-12-17 Fola Esch L 0-341.3 1295 1337 52.30% 22.43% 25.27%+0.28 -36.1 7
1960-12-17 @ SC Tetange W 3-041.3 1337 1295 25.27% 22.43% 52.30%-0.28 +36.1 13
1960-12-17 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-260.3 1467 1282 70.97% 20.73% 8.30%+1.42 -2.9 14
1960-12-17 @ Stade Dudelange D 2-260.3 1282 1467 8.30% 20.73% 70.97%-1.42 +2.9 8
1961-01-07 Rumelange W 2-137.8 1285 1178 66.10% 21.55% 12.35%+1.02 +3.7 10
1961-01-07 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-237.8 1178 1285 12.35% 21.55% 66.10%-1.02 -3.7 11
1961-01-07 Spora Luxembourg L 2-658.3 1526 1482 61.19% 22.03% 16.77%+0.71 -38.8 17
1961-01-07 @ Grevenmacher W 6-258.3 1482 1526 16.77% 22.03% 61.19%-0.71 +38.8 20
1961-01-07 Fola Esch W 5-137.8 1611 1373 73.64% 20.05% 6.31%+1.69 +6.0 26
1961-01-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-537.8 1373 1611 6.31% 20.05% 73.64%-1.69 -6.0 13
1961-01-07 Chiers Rodange W 2-031.4 1479 1279 71.79% 20.54% 7.67%+1.50 +4.6 23
1961-01-07 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-231.4 1279 1479 7.67% 20.54% 71.79%-1.50 -4.6 6
1961-01-07 FC Schifflange 95 D 0-051.4 1258 1449 32.58% 22.30% 45.13%-0.47 +0.8 8
1961-01-07 @ SC Tetange D 0-051.4 1449 1258 45.13% 22.30% 32.58%+0.47 -0.8 15
1961-01-07 Differdange 03 D 3-367.2 1464 1421 60.99% 22.05% 16.96%+0.70 -1.6 15
1961-01-07 @ Stade Dudelange D 3-367.2 1421 1464 16.96% 22.05% 60.99%-0.70 +1.6 16
1961-01-14 Jeunesse Esch D 1-159.3 1274 1617 16.54% 21.14% 62.33%-1.24 +2.7 7
1961-01-14 @ Chiers Rodange D 1-159.3 1617 1274 62.33% 21.14% 16.54%+1.24 -2.7 27
1961-01-14 Union Luxembourg L 2-361.9 1449 1484 53.15% 22.41% 24.44%+0.31 -12.0 15
1961-01-14 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-261.9 1484 1449 24.44% 22.41% 53.15%-0.31 +12.0 25
1961-01-14 Grevenmacher D 0-054.4 1367 1488 42.32% 22.49% 35.19%-0.12 -0.4 14
1961-01-14 @ Fola Esch D 0-054.4 1488 1367 35.19% 22.49% 42.32%+0.12 +0.4 18
1961-01-14 Differdange 03 D 1-153.8 1175 1423 25.60% 21.97% 52.43%-0.76 +1.5 12
1961-01-14 @ Rumelange D 1-153.8 1423 1175 52.43% 21.97% 25.60%+0.76 -1.5 17
1961-01-14 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-139.2 1521 1288 73.36% 20.13% 6.51%+1.66 +2.0 22
1961-01-14 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-239.2 1288 1521 6.51% 20.13% 73.36%-1.66 -2.0 10
1961-01-14 SC Tetange W 3-028.3 1462 1259 71.93% 20.51% 7.56%+1.51 +6.6 17
1961-01-14 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-328.3 1259 1462 7.56% 20.51% 71.93%-1.51 -6.6 8
1961-01-29 SC Tetange W 2-032.9 1277 1253 59.35% 22.16% 18.49%+0.61 +10.5 9
1961-01-29 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-232.9 1253 1277 18.49% 22.16% 59.35%-0.61 -10.5 8
1961-01-29 Stade Dudelange W 1-043.8 1437 1469 53.50% 22.40% 24.10%+0.33 +7.0 17
1961-01-29 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-143.8 1469 1437 24.10% 22.40% 53.50%-0.33 -7.0 17
1961-01-29 Union Luxembourg L 0-147.6 1367 1496 41.15% 22.48% 36.37%-0.16 -10.7 14
1961-01-29 @ Fola Esch W 1-047.6 1496 1367 36.37% 22.48% 41.15%+0.16 +10.7 27
1961-01-29 Grevenmacher W 3-043.5 1176 1488 19.17% 21.45% 59.38%-1.08 +40.5 14
1961-01-29 @ Rumelange L 0-343.5 1488 1176 59.38% 21.45% 19.17%+1.08 -40.5 18
1961-01-29 Jeunesse Esch W 2-158.2 1523 1615 46.16% 22.50% 31.34%+0.03 +8.2 24
1961-01-29 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-258.2 1615 1523 31.34% 22.50% 46.16%-0.03 -8.2 27
1961-02-05 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-031.8 1421 1286 68.03% 21.28% 10.69%+1.17 +6.4 19
1961-02-05 @ Differdange 03 L 0-231.8 1286 1421 10.69% 21.28% 68.03%-1.17 -6.4 10
1961-02-19 Fola Esch W 2-144.1 1280 1356 48.24% 22.49% 29.27%+0.11 +7.7 12
1961-02-19 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-244.1 1356 1280 29.27% 22.49% 48.24%-0.11 -7.7 14
1961-02-19 Spora Luxembourg L 3-463.7 1428 1531 44.72% 22.50% 32.78%-0.03 -10.0 19
1961-02-19 @ Differdange 03 W 4-363.7 1531 1428 32.78% 22.50% 44.72%+0.03 +10.0 26
1961-02-19 Chiers Rodange D 0-052.2 1448 1288 69.58% 21.01% 9.41%+1.29 -4.2 19
1961-02-19 @ Grevenmacher D 0-052.2 1288 1448 9.41% 21.01% 69.58%-1.29 +4.2 10
1961-02-19 FC Schifflange 95 W 7-140.3 1607 1444 69.74% 20.98% 9.28%+1.31 +12.8 29
1961-02-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-740.3 1444 1607 9.28% 20.98% 69.74%-1.31 -12.8 17
1961-02-19 SC Tetange W 8-230.8 1506 1242 74.80% 19.69% 5.52%+1.82 +6.3 29
1961-02-19 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-830.8 1242 1506 5.52% 19.69% 74.80%-1.82 -6.3 8
1961-02-19 Stade Dudelange L 0-236.2 1217 1462 25.96% 22.00% 52.04%-0.74 -13.9 14
1961-02-19 @ Rumelange W 2-036.2 1462 1217 52.04% 22.00% 25.96%+0.74 +13.9 19
1961-02-26 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-036.9 1292 1288 57.34% 22.26% 20.39%+0.51 +6.1 12
1961-02-26 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-136.9 1288 1292 20.39% 22.26% 57.34%-0.51 -6.1 12
1961-02-26 Grevenmacher W 1-042.2 1431 1443 55.63% 22.33% 22.04%+0.43 +6.5 19
1961-02-26 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-142.2 1443 1431 22.04% 22.33% 55.63%-0.43 -6.5 19
1961-02-26 Differdange 03 W 4-140.4 1348 1418 49.04% 22.48% 28.48%+0.14 +18.5 16
1961-02-26 @ Fola Esch L 1-440.4 1418 1348 28.48% 22.48% 49.04%-0.14 -18.5 19
1961-02-26 Jeunesse Esch W 2-158.3 1236 1619 13.60% 20.68% 65.72%-1.44 +15.4 10
1961-02-26 @ SC Tetange L 1-258.3 1619 1236 65.72% 20.68% 13.60%+1.44 -15.4 29
1961-02-26 Rumelange D 1-156.4 1541 1203 77.65% 18.57% 3.78%+2.19 -4.7 27
1961-02-26 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-156.4 1203 1541 3.78% 18.57% 77.65%-2.19 +4.7 15
1961-02-26 Union Luxembourg W 5-040.0 1476 1513 52.92% 22.42% 24.67%+0.30 +31.4 21
1961-02-26 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-540.0 1513 1476 24.67% 22.42% 52.92%-0.30 -31.4 29
1961-03-05 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-041.1 1282 1437 37.38% 22.42% 40.20%-0.29 +19.8 14
1961-03-05 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-241.1 1437 1282 40.20% 22.42% 37.38%+0.29 -19.8 19
1961-03-05 Chiers Rodange D 1-154.8 1399 1298 65.75% 21.60% 12.65%+1.00 -3.2 20
1961-03-05 @ Differdange 03 D 1-154.8 1298 1399 12.65% 21.60% 65.75%-1.00 +3.2 13
1961-03-05 SC Tetange L 0-249.5 1437 1251 71.03% 20.72% 8.25%+1.42 -33.6 19
1961-03-05 @ Grevenmacher W 2-049.5 1251 1437 8.25% 20.72% 71.03%-1.42 +33.6 12
1961-03-05 Union Luxembourg D 1-166.1 1604 1481 67.23% 21.40% 11.37%+1.11 -3.4 30
1961-03-05 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-166.1 1481 1604 11.37% 21.40% 67.23%-1.11 +3.4 30
1961-03-05 Fola Esch L 1-343.2 1207 1367 36.88% 22.41% 40.71%-0.31 -16.1 15
1961-03-05 @ Rumelange W 3-143.2 1367 1207 40.71% 22.41% 36.88%+0.31 +16.1 18
1961-03-05 Stade Dudelange W 7-143.0 1536 1507 59.79% 22.13% 18.08%+0.64 +23.7 29
1961-03-05 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-743.0 1507 1536 18.08% 22.13% 59.79%-0.64 -23.7 21
1961-03-12 Rumelange W 2-030.7 1301 1191 66.33% 21.52% 12.15%+1.04 +7.2 15
1961-03-12 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-230.7 1191 1301 12.15% 21.52% 66.33%-1.04 -7.2 15
1961-03-12 Differdange 03 D 1-156.8 1418 1396 59.07% 22.17% 18.76%+0.60 -2.4 20
1961-03-12 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-156.8 1396 1418 18.76% 22.17% 59.07%-0.60 +2.4 21
1961-03-12 Spora Luxembourg L 1-252.2 1383 1560 34.44% 22.35% 43.21%-0.40 -8.8 18
1961-03-12 @ Fola Esch W 2-152.2 1560 1383 43.21% 22.35% 34.44%+0.40 +8.8 31
1961-03-12 Grevenmacher L 1-259.2 1485 1403 64.24% 21.77% 13.99%+0.90 -15.2 30
1961-03-12 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-159.2 1403 1485 13.99% 21.77% 64.24%-0.90 +15.2 21
1961-03-12 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-141.6 1285 1302 55.17% 22.35% 22.48%+0.40 +6.2 14
1961-03-12 @ SC Tetange L 1-241.6 1302 1285 22.48% 22.35% 55.17%-0.40 -6.2 14
1961-03-12 Jeunesse Esch D 2-270.2 1483 1601 42.80% 22.49% 34.71%-0.10 -0.3 22
1961-03-12 @ Stade Dudelange D 2-270.2 1601 1483 34.71% 22.49% 42.80%+0.10 +0.3 31
1961-03-26 Union Luxembourg W 1-045.7 1295 1470 34.82% 22.36% 42.82%-0.39 +11.1 16
1961-03-26 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-145.7 1470 1295 42.82% 22.36% 34.82%+0.39 -11.1 30
1961-03-26 SC Tetange W 3-136.5 1398 1291 66.18% 21.54% 12.28%+1.03 +6.3 23
1961-03-26 @ Differdange 03 L 1-336.5 1291 1398 12.28% 21.54% 66.18%-1.03 -6.3 14
1961-03-26 Stade Dudelange W 4-250.6 1374 1483 43.90% 22.50% 33.60%-0.06 +13.4 20
1961-03-26 @ Fola Esch L 2-450.6 1483 1374 33.60% 22.50% 43.90%+0.06 -13.4 22
1961-03-26 Jeunesse Esch L 1-254.9 1419 1601 33.73% 22.33% 43.94%-0.43 -8.6 21
1961-03-26 @ Grevenmacher W 2-154.9 1601 1419 43.94% 22.33% 33.73%+0.43 +8.6 33
1961-03-26 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-147.3 1184 1415 27.58% 22.09% 50.33%-0.67 +20.7 17
1961-03-26 @ Rumelange L 1-347.3 1415 1184 50.33% 22.09% 27.58%+0.67 -20.7 20
1961-03-26 Chiers Rodange W 1-036.6 1569 1308 74.62% 19.74% 5.63%+1.80 +1.8 33
1961-03-26 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-136.6 1308 1569 5.63% 19.74% 74.62%-1.80 -1.8 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1961-03-05 8.25% SC Tetange 1251 2 @ Grevenmacher 1437 0
2 1960-12-03 9.47% Rumelange 1159 1 @ SC Tetange 1318 0
3 1960-12-17 10.56% Differdange 03 1405 2 @ Grevenmacher 1543 1
4 1960-09-10 10.75% FC Schifflange 95 1364 2 @ Stade Dudelange 1497 0
5 1960-09-24 13.56% FC Schifflange 95 1381 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1469 0
6 1961-02-26 13.60% @ SC Tetange 1236 2 Jeunesse Esch 1619 1
7 1961-03-12 13.99% Grevenmacher 1403 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1485 1
8 1960-10-17 15.37% @ Rumelange 1136 2 Spora Luxembourg 1494 1
9 1960-09-17 16.39% SC Tetange 1346 2 @ FC Schifflange 95 1396 1
10 1961-01-07 16.77% Spora Luxembourg 1482 6 @ Grevenmacher 1526 2
11 1960-08-27 17.50% Fola Esch 1364 3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1400 1
12 1961-01-29 19.17% @ Rumelange 1176 3 Grevenmacher 1488 0
13 1960-09-17 21.34% Grevenmacher 1485 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1480 1
14 1960-10-31 21.70% Spora Luxembourg 1479 1 @ Stade Dudelange 1470 0
15 1960-09-17 22.01% @ Rumelange 1100 3 Aris Bonnevoie 1382 0
16 1960-08-20 22.45% Union Luxembourg 1439 2 @ Differdange 03 1422 0
17 1961-01-14 24.44% Union Luxembourg 1484 3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1449 2
18 1960-12-17 25.27% Fola Esch 1337 3 @ SC Tetange 1295 0
19 1961-03-26 27.58% @ Rumelange 1184 3 FC Schifflange 95 1415 1
20 1960-08-27 28.95% Spora Luxembourg 1446 3 @ SC Tetange 1373 1
21 1960-10-31 30.41% Differdange 03 1398 1 @ Chiers Rodange 1314 0
22 1960-10-10 30.85% Union Luxembourg 1438 2 @ SC Tetange 1350 1
23 1960-09-24 31.93% Stade Dudelange 1457 2 @ SC Tetange 1361 1
24 1960-10-10 32.14% @ FC Schifflange 95 1412 3 Jeunesse Esch 1606 1
25 1961-02-19 32.78% Spora Luxembourg 1531 4 @ Differdange 03 1428 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-01-29 40.46 @ Rumelange 3 1176 19.17% Grevenmacher 0 1488 59.38% 21.45%
2 1960-12-10 39.68 Grevenmacher 7 1503 43.81% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1322 33.85% 22.34%
3 1961-01-07 38.79 Spora Luxembourg 6 1482 16.77% @ Grevenmacher 2 1526 61.19% 22.03%
4 1960-09-17 38.46 @ Rumelange 3 1100 22.01% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1382 56.28% 21.72%
5 1960-12-17 36.11 Fola Esch 3 1337 25.27% @ SC Tetange 0 1295 52.30% 22.43%
6 1961-03-05 33.59 SC Tetange 2 1251 8.25% @ Grevenmacher 0 1437 71.03% 20.72%
7 1960-09-17 32.38 Jeunesse Esch 4 1572 44.45% @ Fola Esch 0 1386 33.23% 22.32%
8 1960-09-10 32.14 FC Schifflange 95 2 1364 10.75% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1497 67.96% 21.29%
9 1961-02-26 31.43 @ Stade Dudelange 5 1476 52.92% Union Luxembourg 0 1513 24.67% 22.42%
10 1960-09-24 30.59 FC Schifflange 95 2 1381 13.56% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1469 64.72% 21.72%
11 1960-08-20 26.15 Union Luxembourg 2 1439 22.45% @ Differdange 03 0 1422 55.20% 22.35%
12 1960-12-03 25.30 @ FC Schifflange 95 5 1428 46.93% Spora Luxembourg 1 1514 30.57% 22.50%
13 1960-08-27 24.72 Fola Esch 3 1364 17.50% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1400 60.42% 22.09%
14 1961-03-05 23.65 @ Spora Luxembourg 7 1536 59.79% Stade Dudelange 1 1507 18.08% 22.13%
15 1960-08-20 21.84 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1424 57.21% FC Schifflange 95 0 1422 20.52% 22.27%
16 1961-03-26 20.72 @ Rumelange 3 1184 27.58% FC Schifflange 95 1 1415 50.33% 22.09%
17 1960-09-24 20.57 Spora Luxembourg 2 1466 35.49% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1344 42.02% 22.49%
18 1960-08-27 20.14 Spora Luxembourg 3 1446 28.95% @ SC Tetange 1 1373 48.57% 22.49%
19 1961-03-05 19.83 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1282 37.38% FC Schifflange 95 0 1437 40.20% 22.42%
20 1960-10-10 19.02 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1412 32.14% Jeunesse Esch 1 1606 45.58% 22.28%
21 1961-02-26 18.52 @ Fola Esch 4 1348 49.04% Differdange 03 1 1418 28.48% 22.48%
22 1960-10-10 18.16 Grevenmacher 2 1503 41.70% @ Chiers Rodange 0 1337 35.91% 22.39%
23 1960-08-27 17.65 @ Stade Dudelange 8 1479 67.45% Chiers Rodange 1 1353 11.18% 21.37%
24 1960-12-03 17.44 Rumelange 1 1159 9.47% @ SC Tetange 0 1318 69.50% 21.03%
25 1960-09-03 17.00 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1466 56.78% Union Luxembourg 0 1468 20.93% 22.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-03-12 70.2 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1483 42.80% Jeunesse Esch 2 1601 34.71% 22.49%
2 1961-01-07 67.2 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1464 60.99% Differdange 03 3 1421 16.96% 22.05%
3 1960-11-05 66.9 @ Grevenmacher 2 1529 63.28% Union Luxembourg 2 1460 14.85% 21.86%
4 1961-03-05 66.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1604 67.23% Union Luxembourg 1 1481 11.37% 21.40%
5 1960-08-20 65.9 @ Grevenmacher 2 1486 57.76% Stade Dudelange 2 1478 20.00% 22.24%
6 1961-02-19 63.7 Spora Luxembourg 4 1531 32.78% @ Differdange 03 3 1428 44.72% 22.50%
7 1960-10-31 62.4 @ SC Tetange 2 1332 31.68% Grevenmacher 2 1529 46.05% 22.26%
8 1960-12-17 62.2 Differdange 03 2 1405 10.56% @ Grevenmacher 1 1543 68.19% 21.25%
9 1960-12-10 62.1 Jeunesse Esch 4 1603 44.99% @ Differdange 03 3 1413 32.71% 22.30%
10 1961-01-14 61.9 Union Luxembourg 3 1484 24.44% @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1449 53.15% 22.41%
11 1960-12-17 60.3 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1467 70.97% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1282 8.30% 20.73%
12 1960-09-17 59.6 Grevenmacher 2 1485 21.34% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1480 56.35% 22.31%
13 1961-01-14 59.3 @ Chiers Rodange 1 1274 16.54% Jeunesse Esch 1 1617 62.33% 21.14%
14 1961-03-12 59.2 Grevenmacher 2 1403 13.99% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1485 64.24% 21.77%
15 1960-09-10 59.1 @ SC Tetange 2 1348 57.00% Chiers Rodange 2 1347 20.72% 22.28%
16 1960-09-17 58.8 Union Luxembourg 4 1459 33.74% @ Chiers Rodange 3 1349 43.76% 22.50%
17 1960-09-03 58.5 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1385 43.48% Stade Dudelange 1 1497 34.02% 22.50%
18 1960-09-03 58.3 @ Differdange 03 1 1385 44.51% Grevenmacher 1 1490 32.99% 22.50%
19 1961-01-07 58.3 Spora Luxembourg 6 1482 16.77% @ Grevenmacher 2 1526 61.19% 22.03%
20 1961-02-26 58.3 @ SC Tetange 2 1236 13.60% Jeunesse Esch 1 1619 65.72% 20.68%
21 1961-01-29 58.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1523 46.16% Jeunesse Esch 1 1615 31.34% 22.50%
22 1960-09-10 57.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1568 64.50% Spora Luxembourg 3 1483 13.76% 21.74%
23 1961-03-12 56.8 @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1418 59.07% Differdange 03 1 1396 18.76% 22.17%
24 1960-11-12 56.4 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1462 68.28% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1323 10.48% 21.24%
25 1961-02-26 56.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1541 77.65% Rumelange 1 1203 3.78% 18.57%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-08-27 27.7 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1465 78.47% Rumelange 1 1103 3.34% 18.19%
2 1961-01-14 28.3 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1462 71.93% SC Tetange 0 1259 7.56% 20.51%
3 1960-11-12 29.0 @ FC Schifflange 95 5 1423 74.52% Rumelange 1 1165 5.70% 19.78%
4 1961-03-12 30.7 @ Chiers Rodange 2 1301 66.33% Rumelange 0 1191 12.15% 21.52%
5 1961-02-19 30.8 @ Union Luxembourg 8 1506 74.80% SC Tetange 2 1242 5.52% 19.69%
6 1960-10-10 31.0 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1468 77.42% Rumelange 0 1137 3.90% 18.68%
7 1961-01-07 31.4 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1479 71.79% Chiers Rodange 0 1279 7.67% 20.54%
8 1960-09-24 31.5 @ Differdange 03 1 1394 74.43% Rumelange 0 1139 5.77% 19.81%
9 1961-02-05 31.8 @ Differdange 03 2 1421 68.03% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1286 10.69% 21.28%
10 1961-01-29 32.9 @ Chiers Rodange 2 1277 59.35% SC Tetange 0 1253 18.49% 22.16%
11 1960-08-27 33.5 @ Stade Dudelange 8 1479 67.45% Chiers Rodange 1 1353 11.18% 21.37%
12 1960-08-27 33.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1553 69.37% Differdange 03 0 1396 9.58% 21.05%
13 1960-11-12 33.8 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1450 66.15% Fola Esch 0 1343 12.30% 21.55%
14 1960-08-20 34.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1424 57.21% FC Schifflange 95 0 1422 20.52% 22.27%
15 1960-12-10 34.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1489 71.16% SC Tetange 1 1301 8.15% 20.69%
16 1960-09-03 34.7 Jeunesse Esch 3 1564 71.23% @ Rumelange 1 1100 9.16% 19.62%
17 1960-10-17 34.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1587 74.10% SC Tetange 1 1339 5.99% 19.91%
18 1960-12-03 35.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 5 1598 75.09% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1327 5.32% 19.59%
19 1960-10-10 35.9 @ Fola Esch 4 1349 59.47% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1323 18.38% 22.15%
20 1961-02-19 36.2 Stade Dudelange 2 1462 52.04% @ Rumelange 0 1217 25.96% 22.00%
21 1961-03-26 36.5 @ Differdange 03 3 1398 66.18% SC Tetange 1 1291 12.28% 21.54%
22 1961-03-26 36.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1569 74.62% Chiers Rodange 0 1308 5.63% 19.74%
23 1961-02-26 36.9 @ Chiers Rodange 1 1292 57.34% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1288 20.39% 22.26%
24 1960-10-31 37.3 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1423 66.15% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1316 12.31% 21.55%
25 1961-01-07 37.8 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1285 66.10% Rumelange 1 1178 12.35% 21.55%