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1959-60 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fola Esch

4.50 points above expected

17 points · 12.50 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Progres Niedercorn

5.51 points below expected

16 points · 21.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 15 4 3 34 62 25 +37 30.89 +3.11
2 Stade Dudelange 22 12 4 6 28 42 31 +11 24.06 +3.94
3 Grevenmacher 22 11 4 7 26 35 20 +15 24.56 +1.44
4 Union Luxembourg 22 7 10 5 24 28 22 +6 24.46 -0.46
5 FC Schifflange 95 22 8 6 8 22 27 26 +1 21.79 +0.21
6 Alliance Dudelange 22 7 7 8 21 45 31 +14 21.24 -0.24
7 Differdange 03 22 7 6 9 20 28 33 -5 23.13 -3.13
8 Aris Bonnevoie 22 8 3 11 19 38 43 -5 16.80 +2.20
9 Spora Luxembourg 22 8 3 11 19 38 45 -7 21.74 -2.74
10 SC Tetange 22 5 8 9 18 26 45 -19 21.32 -3.32
11 Fola Esch 22 8 1 13 17 38 69 -31 12.50 +4.50
12 Progres Niedercorn 22 4 8 10 16 27 44 -17 21.51 -5.51

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fola Esch 17 12.50 +4.50
2 Stade Dudelange 28 24.06 +3.94
3 Jeunesse Esch 34 30.89 +3.11
4 Aris Bonnevoie 19 16.80 +2.20
5 Grevenmacher 26 24.56 +1.44

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Progres Niedercorn 16 21.51 -5.51
2 SC Tetange 18 21.32 -3.32
3 Differdange 03 20 23.13 -3.13
4 Spora Luxembourg 19 21.74 -2.74
5 Union Luxembourg 24 24.46 -0.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 8 Sep 27 – Jan 3 1 in 100
2 FC Schifflange 95 4 Aug 30 – Sep 20 1 in 89
3 Aris Bonnevoie 4 Jan 17 – Mar 13 1 in 86
4 Fola Esch 2 May 8 – May 15 1 in 36
5 Stade Dudelange 5 Jan 17 – Mar 20 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aris Bonnevoie 7 Sep 20 – Dec 6 1 in 234
2 Differdange 03 5 Mar 13 – May 15 1 in 201
3 Progres Niedercorn 5 Feb 7 – May 8 1 in 49
4 SC Tetange 4 Jan 17 – Mar 13 1 in 41
5 Grevenmacher 3 Sep 20 – Oct 11 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 12 Sep 20 – Jan 31 1 in 167
2 Grevenmacher 9 Nov 29 – Mar 13 1 in 38
3 Stade Dudelange 7 Sep 20 – Dec 6 1 in 22
4 FC Schifflange 95 5 Aug 22 – Sep 20 1 in 17
5 Differdange 03 8 Oct 11 – Jan 10 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Progres Niedercorn 13 Nov 29 – May 15 1 in 186
2 SC Tetange 11 Dec 20 – May 15 1 in 108
3 Union Luxembourg 6 Feb 7 – May 15 1 in 49
4 Aris Bonnevoie 9 Sep 13 – Dec 20 1 in 15
5 Differdange 03 5 Mar 13 – May 15 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1668 34 +15 8 7.7 +0.3
Stade Dudelange 1552 28 +27 8 6.7 +1.3
Grevenmacher 1553 26 +30 8 6.4 +1.6
Union Luxembourg 1472 24 -52 3 6.2 -3.2
FC Schifflange 95 1442 22 +1 5 5.2 -0.2
Alliance Dudelange 1524 21 +88 7 4.2 +2.8
Differdange 03 1443 20 -80 0 5.1 -5.1
Spora Luxembourg 1446 19 +8 6 4.9 +1.1
Aris Bonnevoie 1413 19 +25 5 3.5 +1.5
SC Tetange 1344 18 -62 3 3.7 -0.7
Fola Esch 1318 17 +33 6 2.6 +3.4
Progres Niedercorn 1397 16 -33 1 3.9 -2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB D0 FS9 FE GRE JE PN ST SL SD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
3.94
1-1-0
2.24
0-0-2
1.50
0-2-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.36
Aris Bonnevoie
1-0-1
2.25
 —
1-0-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
3.47
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
1.19
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.10
0-0-2
2.30
1-0-1
1.87
1-1-0
1.95
Differdange 03
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.64
 —
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
4.17
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.07
0-2-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.80
FC Schifflange 95
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.56
 —
1-0-1
3.94
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
1.75
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.94
2-0-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.39
Fola Esch
1-0-1
1.57
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
1.58
 —
1-0-1
1.33
0-0-2
0.87
1-0-1
1.55
1-1-0
1.32
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
1.28
Grevenmacher
0-1-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.63
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
4.20
 —
2-0-0
1.66
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.81
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
4.01
1-1-0
4.34
2-0-0
3.43
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
4.71
0-0-2
3.85
 —
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.95
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
3.60
0-1-1
3.69
Progres Niedercorn
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.30
0-2-0
2.40
0-2-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.96
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.50
 —
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
2.41
0-1-1
2.40
SC Tetange
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
3.40
1-1-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
4.20
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
1.57
0-1-1
2.77
 —
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.52
0-2-0
2.24
Spora Luxembourg
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
3.77
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
1.77
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.65
 —
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.59
Stade Dudelange
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
1.89
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.07
 —
0-1-1
2.77
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
3.55
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
4.24
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
1.81
1-1-0
3.09
0-2-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.72
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.46 +3.4
Allowed 0.46 -2.6
Differential 0.82 +2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%7.95%2.65%3.79%1.14%1.14%24.24%
17.95%12.88%6.82%4.17%1.14%3.03%35.98%
22.65%6.82%2.27%1.52%2.27%0.38%15.91%
33.79%4.17%1.52%0.76%0.38%1.52%12.12%
41.14%1.14%2.27%0.38%0.76%—5.68%
5+1.14%3.03%0.38%1.52%——6.06%
Total24.24%35.98%15.91%12.12%5.68%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.64 +0.00
SD 1.64 1.64 2.32
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%—4.55%—9.09%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.41 +0.64
SD 2.21 1.26 2.68
CV 1.08 0.89 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
14.55%—4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3———————
44.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%27.27%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.95 -0.23
SD 1.86 1.33 2.11
CV 1.07 0.68 —
Max 7 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
118.18%13.64%13.64%9.09%——54.55%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
3———————
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total31.82%18.18%22.73%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.50 -0.23
SD 1.75 1.30 1.88
CV 1.38 0.87 —
Max 8 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
2—13.64%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
313.64%4.55%————18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%45.45%9.09%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.18 +0.05
SD 1.15 1.40 1.81
CV 0.94 1.19 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%36.36%
24.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%9.09%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%22.73%4.55%9.09%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 3.14 -1.41
SD 1.16 2.55 2.92
CV 0.67 0.81 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%————36.36%
19.09%—4.55%9.09%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%45.45%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 0.91 +0.68
SD 1.65 0.92 1.81
CV 1.04 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
118.18%9.09%————27.27%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+4.55%22.73%————27.27%
Total27.27%54.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 1.14 +1.68
SD 2.24 1.17 2.59
CV 0.79 1.03 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%————18.18%
19.09%18.18%13.64%4.55%—9.09%54.55%
2—4.55%——9.09%—13.64%
3—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%13.64%9.09%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.00 -0.77
SD 0.92 1.95 1.77
CV 0.75 0.98 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
14.55%27.27%4.55%—4.55%—40.91%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%50.00%18.18%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.05 -0.86
SD 1.01 2.06 2.32
CV 0.85 1.01 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%45.45%
2———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%13.64%22.73%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.05 -0.32
SD 1.58 1.62 2.42
CV 0.91 0.79 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%—4.55%18.18%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
313.64%9.09%————22.73%
4———————
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total31.82%31.82%13.64%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.41 +0.50
SD 1.69 1.50 2.44
CV 0.88 1.07 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
14.55%27.27%4.55%———36.36%
2—9.09%————9.09%
34.55%—————4.55%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%50.00%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.00 +0.27
SD 1.49 0.82 1.55
CV 1.17 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1668 34 30.89 +3.11 88.0% 24 25 29 31 33 36 37
Grevenmacher 1553 26 24.56 +1.44 72.0% 15 18 22 25 27 31 34
Stade Dudelange 1552 28 24.06 +3.94 89.0% 11 18 21 24 26 30 33
Alliance Dudelange 1524 21 21.24 -0.24 57.0% 15 15 18 21 24 27 29
Union Luxembourg 1472 24 24.46 -0.46 52.0% 18 19 22 24 27 31 33
Spora Luxembourg 1446 19 21.74 -2.74 31.0% 15 15 19 21 24 28 32
Differdange 03 1443 20 23.13 -3.13 23.0% 15 16 21 23 26 29 32
FC Schifflange 95 1442 22 21.79 +0.21 57.0% 12 14 19 22 24 29 32
Aris Bonnevoie 1413 19 16.80 +2.20 72.0% 4 11 14 17 20 23 25
Progres Niedercorn 1397 16 21.51 -5.51 5.0% 15 16 19 21 24 26 29
SC Tetange 1344 18 21.32 -3.32 27.0% 10 15 18 21 24 27 30
Fola Esch 1318 17 12.50 +4.50 91.0% 5 7 10 12 15 18 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
Slight Edge
42.42%24.24%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.
146 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.22+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
74%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.96 * Some Luck: 2.96 to 4.44 * Lucky: 4.44 to 5.92 * Wild Swing: 5.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.68 * Close: 1.68 to 2.51 * Off: 2.51 to 3.35 * Way Off: 3.35 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.05 points
Some Luck
03.709
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.095
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
91.00%
Fola Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Progres Niedercorn
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 97.69
1.28
Coin-Flip Parity
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Even
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Occasional
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Very Even
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.79
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.49
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.69
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.148
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch74.00%12.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%———————
Stade Dudelange5.00%17.00%14.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%7.00%2.00%—
Grevenmacher8.00%20.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%—
Union Luxembourg6.00%18.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%—
FC Schifflange 952.00%9.00%5.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%18.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%
Alliance Dudelange—7.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%2.00%
Differdange 034.00%8.00%15.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%
Aris Bonnevoie——1.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%39.00%13.00%
Spora Luxembourg1.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%—
SC Tetange—2.00%7.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%1.00%
Fola Esch——1.00%———1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%12.00%80.00%
Progres Niedercorn—2.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%5.00%16.00%18.00%14.00%16.00%3.00%—

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Grevenmacher 99.00% 1.00%
Union Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00%
Stade Dudelange 98.00% 2.00%
Progres Niedercorn 97.00% 3.00%
Differdange 03 95.00% 5.00%
Spora Luxembourg 91.00% 9.00%
Alliance Dudelange 89.00% 11.00%
FC Schifflange 95 88.00% 12.00%
SC Tetange 88.00% 12.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 48.00% 52.00%
Fola Esch 8.00% 92.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1959-08-22 Union Luxembourg W 2-152.3 1398 1464 34.55% 25.65% 39.79%-0.24 +8.1 2
1959-08-22 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-252.3 1464 1398 39.79% 25.65% 34.55%+0.24 -8.1 0
1959-08-22 Alliance Dudelange W 3-150.7 1299 1456 23.36% 25.02% 51.61%-0.86 +17.4 2
1959-08-22 @ Fola Esch L 1-350.7 1456 1299 51.61% 25.02% 23.36%+0.86 -17.4 0
1959-08-22 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-158.0 1476 1416 51.29% 25.33% 23.38%+0.64 -1.3 1
1959-08-22 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-158.0 1416 1476 23.38% 25.33% 51.29%-0.64 +1.3 1
1959-08-22 Differdange 03 W 3-153.3 1470 1517 37.16% 25.69% 37.14%-0.11 +13.3 2
1959-08-22 @ SC Tetange L 1-353.3 1517 1470 37.14% 25.69% 37.16%+0.11 -13.3 0
1959-08-22 Jeunesse Esch D 1-164.5 1484 1589 29.31% 25.46% 45.22%-0.51 +0.7 1
1959-08-22 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-164.5 1589 1484 45.22% 25.46% 29.31%+0.51 -0.7 1
1959-08-22 Grevenmacher W 3-150.0 1527 1476 50.19% 25.40% 24.41%+0.57 +9.6 2
1959-08-22 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-350.0 1476 1527 24.41% 25.40% 50.19%-0.57 -9.6 0
1959-08-30 Progres Niedercorn D 3-366.6 1439 1475 38.71% 25.70% 35.59%-0.03 -0.1 1
1959-08-30 @ Alliance Dudelange D 3-366.6 1475 1439 35.59% 25.70% 38.71%+0.03 +0.1 2
1959-08-30 Grevenmacher W 1-047.8 1504 1466 48.54% 25.49% 25.97%+0.48 +6.2 2
1959-08-30 @ Differdange 03 L 0-147.8 1466 1504 25.97% 25.49% 48.54%-0.48 -6.2 0
1959-08-30 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-044.2 1417 1407 45.07% 25.63% 29.30%+0.29 +6.8 3
1959-08-30 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-144.2 1407 1417 29.30% 25.63% 45.07%-0.29 -6.8 2
1959-08-30 Stade Dudelange W 6-046.5 1589 1537 50.27% 25.40% 24.34%+0.57 +30.8 3
1959-08-30 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-646.5 1537 1589 24.34% 25.40% 50.27%-0.57 -30.8 2
1959-08-30 Spora Luxembourg D 1-159.5 1456 1484 39.92% 25.70% 34.38%+0.03 -0.2 1
1959-08-30 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-159.5 1484 1456 34.38% 25.70% 39.92%-0.03 +0.2 2
1959-08-30 Fola Esch D 1-155.8 1483 1316 61.80% 24.05% 14.16%+1.36 -2.3 3
1959-08-30 @ SC Tetange D 1-155.8 1316 1483 14.16% 24.05% 61.80%-1.36 +2.3 3
1959-09-06 Alliance Dudelange W 4-251.8 1400 1439 38.40% 25.70% 35.90%-0.05 +11.6 4
1959-09-06 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-451.8 1439 1400 35.90% 25.70% 38.40%+0.05 -11.6 1
1959-09-06 Differdange 03 L 3-452.4 1318 1510 19.98% 24.61% 55.41%-1.10 -4.3 3
1959-09-06 @ Fola Esch W 4-352.4 1510 1318 55.41% 24.61% 19.98%+1.10 +4.3 4
1959-09-06 Jeunesse Esch W 4-053.2 1460 1619 23.11% 25.00% 51.89%-0.88 +38.2 2
1959-09-06 @ Grevenmacher L 0-453.2 1619 1460 51.89% 25.00% 23.11%+0.88 -38.2 3
1959-09-06 SC Tetange W 1-048.9 1475 1480 43.03% 25.67% 31.30%+0.18 +7.2 4
1959-09-06 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-148.9 1480 1475 31.30% 25.67% 43.03%-0.18 -7.2 3
1959-09-06 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-348.2 1485 1424 51.30% 25.33% 23.37%+0.64 -29.0 2
1959-09-06 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-048.2 1424 1485 23.37% 25.33% 51.30%-0.64 +29.1 5
1959-09-06 Union Luxembourg L 0-349.7 1506 1456 49.98% 25.42% 24.60%+0.56 -28.4 2
1959-09-06 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-049.7 1456 1506 24.60% 25.42% 49.98%-0.56 +28.4 3
1959-09-13 Spora Luxembourg W 4-146.6 1427 1456 39.83% 25.70% 34.47%+0.02 +17.8 3
1959-09-13 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-446.6 1456 1427 34.47% 25.70% 39.83%-0.02 -17.8 2
1959-09-13 Jeunesse Esch L 1-258.9 1514 1581 34.40% 25.65% 39.95%-0.24 -7.2 4
1959-09-13 @ Differdange 03 W 2-158.9 1581 1514 39.95% 25.65% 34.40%+0.24 +7.2 5
1959-09-13 Stade Dudelange W 3-043.8 1453 1477 40.36% 25.70% 33.94%+0.05 +20.8 7
1959-09-13 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-343.8 1477 1453 33.94% 25.70% 40.36%-0.05 -20.9 2
1959-09-13 Progres Niedercorn L 1-342.7 1314 1482 22.22% 24.90% 52.88%-0.94 -8.8 3
1959-09-13 @ Fola Esch W 3-142.7 1482 1314 52.88% 24.90% 22.22%+0.94 +8.8 6
1959-09-13 Grevenmacher L 0-153.1 1485 1498 41.92% 25.69% 32.39%+0.13 -8.9 3
1959-09-13 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-053.1 1498 1485 32.39% 25.69% 41.92%-0.13 +8.9 4
1959-09-13 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-262.0 1473 1411 51.41% 25.32% 23.26%+0.64 -1.0 4
1959-09-13 @ SC Tetange D 2-262.0 1411 1473 23.26% 25.32% 51.41%-0.64 +1.0 5
1959-09-20 Fola Esch L 2-358.1 1412 1305 56.28% 24.88% 18.84%+0.95 -10.3 5
1959-09-20 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-258.1 1305 1412 18.84% 24.88% 56.28%-0.95 +10.3 5
1959-09-20 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-356.3 1507 1474 48.01% 25.52% 26.47%+0.45 -16.3 4
1959-09-20 @ Grevenmacher W 3-156.3 1474 1507 26.47% 25.52% 48.01%-0.45 +16.3 9
1959-09-20 Union Luxembourg D 1-164.3 1588 1476 56.86% 24.81% 18.34%+0.99 -1.8 6
1959-09-20 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-164.3 1476 1588 18.34% 24.81% 56.86%-0.99 +1.8 4
1959-09-20 Differdange 03 D 0-058.3 1491 1507 41.62% 25.69% 32.69%+0.11 -0.4 7
1959-09-20 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-058.3 1507 1491 32.69% 25.69% 41.62%-0.11 +0.4 5
1959-09-20 SC Tetange L 2-357.7 1438 1472 38.98% 25.70% 35.31%-0.02 -7.6 2
1959-09-20 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-257.7 1472 1438 35.31% 25.70% 38.98%+0.02 +7.6 6
1959-09-20 Alliance Dudelange D 0-054.8 1457 1445 45.29% 25.62% 29.09%+0.30 -0.8 3
1959-09-20 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-054.8 1445 1457 29.09% 25.62% 45.29%-0.30 +0.8 4
1959-09-27 Grevenmacher W 1-049.9 1446 1491 37.50% 25.70% 36.80%-0.09 +8.1 6
1959-09-27 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-149.9 1491 1446 36.80% 25.70% 37.50%+0.09 -8.1 4
1959-09-27 Jeunesse Esch L 0-153.1 1490 1587 30.45% 25.52% 44.03%-0.45 -7.0 9
1959-09-27 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-053.1 1587 1490 44.03% 25.52% 30.45%+0.45 +7.0 8
1959-09-27 Spora Luxembourg L 0-535.6 1316 1430 28.21% 25.40% 46.38%-0.57 -29.1 5
1959-09-27 @ Fola Esch W 5-035.6 1430 1316 46.38% 25.40% 28.21%+0.57 +29.1 4
1959-09-27 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-147.3 1491 1402 54.39% 25.08% 20.54%+0.83 +4.8 9
1959-09-27 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-247.3 1402 1491 20.54% 25.08% 54.39%-0.83 -4.8 5
1959-09-27 Differdange 03 W 2-155.0 1477 1507 39.64% 25.70% 34.65%+0.01 +7.3 6
1959-09-27 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-255.0 1507 1477 34.65% 25.70% 39.64%-0.01 -7.3 5
1959-09-27 Stade Dudelange L 1-256.8 1480 1456 46.85% 25.57% 27.58%+0.38 -9.2 6
1959-09-27 @ SC Tetange W 2-156.8 1456 1480 27.58% 25.57% 46.85%-0.38 +9.2 5
1959-10-11 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-040.3 1500 1397 55.85% 24.92% 19.23%+0.92 +9.1 7
1959-10-11 @ Differdange 03 L 0-240.3 1397 1500 19.23% 24.92% 55.85%-0.92 -9.1 5
1959-10-11 SC Tetange L 0-153.0 1482 1471 45.28% 25.62% 29.10%+0.30 -9.5 4
1959-10-11 @ Grevenmacher W 1-053.0 1471 1482 29.10% 25.62% 45.28%-0.30 +9.5 8
1959-10-11 Alliance Dudelange W 2-151.4 1594 1454 59.45% 24.45% 16.10%+1.18 +3.9 10
1959-10-11 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-251.4 1454 1594 16.10% 24.45% 59.45%-1.18 -3.9 6
1959-10-11 FC Schifflange 95 D 0-057.1 1485 1483 43.97% 25.66% 30.37%+0.23 -0.7 7
1959-10-11 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-057.1 1483 1485 30.37% 25.66% 43.97%-0.23 +0.7 10
1959-10-11 Progres Niedercorn W 4-255.4 1459 1496 38.73% 25.70% 35.56%-0.03 +11.5 6
1959-10-11 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-455.4 1496 1459 35.56% 25.70% 38.73%+0.03 -11.5 9
1959-10-11 Fola Esch W 6-341.4 1465 1286 62.78% 23.85% 13.37%+1.44 +6.5 7
1959-10-11 @ Stade Dudelange L 3-641.4 1286 1465 13.37% 23.85% 62.78%-1.44 -6.5 5
1959-10-18 Union Luxembourg L 1-254.4 1450 1484 39.02% 25.70% 35.27%-0.02 -8.0 6
1959-10-18 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-154.4 1484 1450 35.27% 25.70% 39.02%+0.02 +8.0 9
1959-10-18 Spora Luxembourg L 0-146.0 1388 1471 32.29% 25.59% 42.12%-0.35 -7.3 5
1959-10-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-046.0 1471 1388 42.12% 25.59% 32.29%+0.35 +7.3 8
1959-10-18 Differdange 03 L 0-153.0 1484 1509 40.25% 25.70% 34.05%+0.04 -8.7 10
1959-10-18 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-053.0 1509 1484 34.05% 25.70% 40.25%-0.04 +8.6 9
1959-10-18 Grevenmacher L 0-236.8 1280 1473 19.84% 24.59% 55.57%-1.11 -9.3 5
1959-10-18 @ Fola Esch W 2-036.8 1473 1280 55.57% 24.59% 19.84%+1.11 +9.3 6
1959-10-18 Stade Dudelange L 1-257.1 1484 1472 45.38% 25.62% 29.00%+0.30 -9.0 9
1959-10-18 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-157.1 1472 1484 29.00% 25.62% 45.38%-0.30 +9.0 9
1959-10-18 Jeunesse Esch L 0-152.3 1480 1598 27.89% 25.38% 46.72%-0.59 -6.5 8
1959-10-18 @ SC Tetange W 1-052.3 1598 1480 46.72% 25.38% 27.89%+0.59 +6.5 12
1959-10-25 Spora Luxembourg W 1-048.7 1518 1478 48.78% 25.48% 25.74%+0.49 +6.2 11
1959-10-25 @ Differdange 03 L 0-148.7 1478 1518 25.74% 25.48% 48.78%-0.49 -6.1 8
1959-10-25 Alliance Dudelange D 1-158.7 1475 1442 47.98% 25.52% 26.50%+0.44 -1.0 11
1959-10-25 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-158.7 1442 1475 26.50% 25.52% 47.98%-0.44 +1.0 7
1959-10-25 Progres Niedercorn L 0-153.0 1482 1475 44.67% 25.64% 29.70%+0.27 -9.4 6
1959-10-25 @ Grevenmacher W 1-053.0 1475 1482 29.70% 25.64% 44.67%-0.27 +9.4 11
1959-10-25 Fola Esch W 7-133.3 1604 1271 73.06% 20.63% 6.32%+2.51 +7.1 14
1959-10-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-733.3 1271 1604 6.32% 20.63% 73.06%-2.51 -7.1 5
1959-10-25 SC Tetange D 1-160.5 1492 1474 46.12% 25.60% 28.29%+0.34 -0.8 10
1959-10-25 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-160.5 1474 1492 28.29% 25.60% 46.12%-0.34 +0.8 9
1959-10-25 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-037.1 1480 1381 55.53% 24.96% 19.51%+0.90 +13.4 11
1959-10-25 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-337.1 1381 1480 19.51% 24.96% 55.53%-0.90 -13.4 5
1959-11-29 SC Tetange L 1-254.0 1443 1474 39.38% 25.71% 34.91%+0.00 -8.0 7
1959-11-29 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-154.0 1474 1443 34.91% 25.71% 39.38%+0.00 +8.0 11
1959-11-29 Stade Dudelange D 1-162.4 1524 1494 47.59% 25.54% 26.87%+0.42 -0.9 12
1959-11-29 @ Differdange 03 D 1-162.4 1494 1524 26.87% 25.54% 47.59%-0.42 +0.9 12
1959-11-29 Fola Esch W 2-140.3 1474 1264 65.24% 23.29% 11.47%+1.66 +2.8 13
1959-11-29 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-240.3 1264 1474 11.47% 23.29% 65.24%-1.66 -2.8 5
1959-11-29 Spora Luxembourg W 3-149.8 1473 1472 43.85% 25.66% 30.50%+0.22 +11.5 8
1959-11-29 @ Grevenmacher L 1-349.8 1472 1473 30.50% 25.66% 43.85%-0.22 -11.5 8
1959-11-29 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-143.9 1611 1367 67.62% 22.63% 9.75%+1.89 +4.2 16
1959-11-29 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-343.9 1367 1611 9.75% 22.63% 67.62%-1.89 -4.2 5
1959-11-29 Progres Niedercorn W 4-254.4 1491 1485 44.61% 25.64% 29.75%+0.26 +10.0 12
1959-11-29 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-454.4 1485 1491 29.75% 25.64% 44.61%-0.26 -10.0 11
1959-12-06 Differdange 03 D 2-264.4 1435 1523 31.54% 25.56% 42.89%-0.39 +0.4 8
1959-12-06 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-264.4 1523 1435 42.89% 25.56% 31.54%+0.39 -0.4 13
1959-12-06 Grevenmacher L 1-541.6 1363 1484 27.44% 25.36% 47.21%-0.61 -19.2 5
1959-12-06 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 5-141.6 1484 1363 47.21% 25.36% 27.44%+0.61 +19.2 10
1959-12-06 Union Luxembourg L 1-535.8 1261 1501 15.87% 23.88% 60.25%-1.43 -12.0 5
1959-12-06 @ Fola Esch W 5-135.8 1501 1261 60.25% 23.88% 15.87%+1.43 +12.0 14
1959-12-06 Jeunesse Esch L 1-747.9 1474 1615 25.16% 25.19% 49.66%-0.75 -26.0 11
1959-12-06 @ Progres Niedercorn W 7-147.9 1615 1474 49.66% 25.19% 25.16%+0.75 +26.0 18
1959-12-06 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-045.9 1482 1477 44.49% 25.64% 29.87%+0.26 +13.0 13
1959-12-06 @ SC Tetange L 0-245.9 1477 1482 29.87% 25.64% 44.49%-0.26 -13.0 13
1959-12-06 Stade Dudelange D 1-160.1 1460 1495 39.03% 25.70% 35.27%-0.02 -0.2 9
1959-12-06 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-160.1 1495 1460 35.27% 25.70% 39.03%+0.02 +0.2 13
1959-12-20 Fola Esch W 8-132.2 1435 1249 63.39% 23.72% 12.88%+1.50 +16.8 10
1959-12-20 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-832.2 1249 1435 12.88% 23.72% 63.39%-1.50 -16.8 5
1959-12-20 SC Tetange D 1-162.4 1523 1496 47.23% 25.55% 27.22%+0.40 -0.9 14
1959-12-20 @ Differdange 03 D 1-162.4 1496 1523 27.22% 25.55% 47.23%-0.40 +0.9 14
1959-12-20 Progres Niedercorn D 0-055.2 1464 1449 45.71% 25.61% 28.68%+0.32 -0.8 14
1959-12-20 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 0-055.2 1449 1464 28.68% 25.61% 45.71%-0.32 +0.8 12
1959-12-20 Stade Dudelange W 3-151.5 1504 1495 44.85% 25.63% 29.51%+0.28 +11.2 12
1959-12-20 @ Grevenmacher L 1-351.5 1495 1504 29.51% 25.63% 44.85%-0.28 -11.2 13
1959-12-20 Spora Luxembourg W 6-144.8 1641 1460 62.97% 23.81% 13.22%+1.46 +12.6 20
1959-12-20 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-644.8 1460 1641 13.22% 23.81% 62.97%-1.46 -12.6 9
1959-12-20 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-053.9 1513 1344 62.01% 24.01% 13.98%+1.38 -2.6 15
1959-12-20 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-053.9 1344 1513 13.98% 24.01% 62.01%-1.38 +2.6 6
1960-01-03 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-152.9 1347 1463 28.01% 25.39% 46.59%-0.58 +9.2 8
1960-01-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-252.9 1463 1347 46.59% 25.39% 28.01%+0.58 -9.2 14
1960-01-03 SC Tetange W 4-045.3 1232 1496 14.17% 23.46% 62.37%-1.60 +45.3 7
1960-01-03 @ Fola Esch L 0-445.3 1496 1232 62.37% 23.46% 14.17%+1.60 -45.3 14
1960-01-03 Differdange 03 D 0-059.7 1515 1522 42.78% 25.68% 31.54%+0.17 -0.5 13
1960-01-03 @ Grevenmacher D 0-059.7 1522 1515 31.54% 25.68% 42.78%-0.17 +0.5 15
1960-01-03 Alliance Dudelange D 1-158.2 1449 1452 43.40% 25.67% 30.93%+0.20 -0.5 13
1960-01-03 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-158.2 1452 1449 30.93% 25.67% 43.40%-0.20 +0.5 11
1960-01-03 Union Luxembourg L 2-455.4 1448 1511 34.97% 25.66% 39.37%-0.21 -11.4 9
1960-01-03 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-255.4 1511 1448 39.37% 25.66% 34.97%+0.21 +11.4 17
1960-01-03 Jeunesse Esch L 1-256.3 1484 1654 22.05% 24.88% 53.07%-0.95 -5.1 13
1960-01-03 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-156.3 1654 1484 53.07% 24.88% 22.05%+0.95 +5.1 22
1960-01-10 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-142.3 1452 1356 55.20% 24.99% 19.80%+0.88 +8.1 13
1960-01-10 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-342.3 1356 1452 19.80% 24.99% 55.20%-0.88 -8.1 8
1960-01-10 Fola Esch W 8-336.0 1522 1277 67.70% 22.61% 9.69%+1.90 +7.0 17
1960-01-10 @ Differdange 03 L 3-836.0 1277 1522 9.69% 22.61% 67.70%-1.90 -7.0 7
1960-01-10 Spora Luxembourg W 2-149.7 1454 1436 45.99% 25.60% 28.41%+0.34 +6.3 16
1960-01-10 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-249.7 1436 1454 28.41% 25.60% 45.99%-0.34 -6.3 9
1960-01-10 Grevenmacher L 2-372.6 1659 1514 59.88% 24.38% 15.74%+1.21 -11.0 22
1960-01-10 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-272.6 1514 1659 15.74% 24.38% 59.88%-1.21 +10.9 15
1960-01-10 Stade Dudelange D 1-161.8 1522 1479 49.22% 25.46% 25.32%+0.51 -1.1 18
1960-01-10 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-161.8 1479 1522 25.32% 25.46% 49.22%-0.51 +1.1 14
1960-01-10 Progres Niedercorn D 1-158.1 1451 1449 44.03% 25.65% 30.32%+0.23 -0.6 15
1960-01-10 @ SC Tetange D 1-158.1 1449 1451 30.32% 25.65% 44.03%-0.23 +0.6 14
1960-01-17 SC Tetange W 7-349.4 1348 1451 29.68% 25.48% 44.84%-0.49 +21.8 10
1960-01-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 3-749.4 1451 1348 44.84% 25.48% 29.68%+0.49 -21.8 15
1960-01-17 Union Luxembourg D 0-060.0 1525 1521 44.27% 25.65% 30.08%+0.25 -0.7 16
1960-01-17 @ Grevenmacher D 0-060.0 1521 1525 30.08% 25.65% 44.27%-0.25 +0.7 19
1960-01-17 Differdange 03 W 3-047.1 1648 1529 57.43% 24.74% 17.84%+1.03 +12.4 24
1960-01-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-347.1 1529 1648 17.84% 24.74% 57.43%-1.03 -12.4 17
1960-01-17 Fola Esch L 1-255.6 1449 1270 62.83% 23.84% 13.33%+1.45 -12.1 14
1960-01-17 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-155.6 1270 1449 13.33% 23.84% 62.83%-1.45 +12.1 9
1960-01-17 Alliance Dudelange W 4-252.9 1430 1460 39.59% 25.70% 34.71%+0.01 +11.3 11
1960-01-17 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-452.9 1460 1430 34.71% 25.70% 39.59%-0.01 -11.3 13
1960-01-17 FC Schifflange 95 W 6-247.3 1480 1460 46.31% 25.59% 28.10%+0.35 +16.7 16
1960-01-17 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-647.3 1460 1480 28.10% 25.59% 46.31%-0.35 -16.7 16
1960-01-31 Stade Dudelange L 0-247.6 1449 1496 37.18% 25.69% 37.13%-0.11 -15.4 13
1960-01-31 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-047.6 1496 1449 37.13% 25.69% 37.18%+0.11 +15.4 18
1960-01-31 Progres Niedercorn D 1-160.2 1517 1437 53.39% 25.17% 21.44%+0.76 -1.5 18
1960-01-31 @ Differdange 03 D 1-160.2 1437 1517 21.44% 25.17% 53.39%-0.76 +1.5 15
1960-01-31 Grevenmacher D 0-057.1 1443 1524 32.50% 25.60% 41.90%-0.34 +0.5 17
1960-01-31 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 0-057.1 1524 1443 41.90% 25.60% 32.50%+0.34 -0.5 17
1960-01-31 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-447.3 1282 1369 31.70% 25.57% 42.73%-0.38 -10.5 9
1960-01-31 @ Fola Esch W 4-247.3 1369 1282 42.73% 25.57% 31.70%+0.38 +10.5 12
1960-01-31 Jeunesse Esch W 1-061.8 1522 1660 25.40% 25.21% 49.40%-0.73 +10.2 21
1960-01-31 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-161.8 1660 1522 49.40% 25.21% 25.40%+0.73 -10.2 24
1960-01-31 Spora Luxembourg L 0-149.3 1429 1441 42.02% 25.69% 32.29%+0.13 -9.0 15
1960-01-31 @ SC Tetange W 1-049.3 1441 1429 32.29% 25.69% 42.02%-0.13 +9.0 13
1960-02-07 Progres Niedercorn W 1-046.9 1380 1439 35.55% 25.67% 38.78%-0.19 +8.4 14
1960-02-07 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-146.9 1439 1380 38.78% 25.67% 35.55%+0.19 -8.4 15
1960-02-07 Union Luxembourg W 1-052.8 1515 1532 41.51% 25.69% 32.80%+0.10 +7.4 20
1960-02-07 @ Differdange 03 L 0-152.8 1532 1515 32.80% 25.69% 41.51%-0.10 -7.4 21
1960-02-07 Alliance Dudelange D 0-056.9 1524 1434 54.53% 25.06% 20.41%+0.84 -1.8 18
1960-02-07 @ Grevenmacher D 0-056.9 1434 1524 20.41% 25.06% 54.53%-0.84 +1.8 14
1960-02-07 FC Schifflange 95 W 1-047.4 1650 1444 64.95% 23.36% 11.68%+1.63 +3.1 26
1960-02-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-147.4 1444 1650 11.68% 23.36% 64.95%-1.63 -3.1 17
1960-02-07 Fola Esch L 0-151.7 1450 1272 62.78% 23.85% 13.37%+1.44 -12.8 13
1960-02-07 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-051.7 1272 1450 13.37% 23.85% 62.78%-1.44 +12.8 11
1960-02-07 SC Tetange W 3-039.6 1512 1420 54.72% 25.04% 20.23%+0.85 +13.8 20
1960-02-07 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-339.6 1420 1512 20.23% 25.04% 54.72%-0.85 -13.8 15
1960-03-13 Jeunesse Esch L 0-149.3 1436 1653 17.68% 24.24% 58.08%-1.28 -4.5 14
1960-03-13 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-049.3 1653 1436 58.08% 24.24% 17.68%+1.28 +4.5 28
1960-03-13 Differdange 03 W 4-046.3 1388 1523 25.87% 25.25% 48.88%-0.71 +36.3 16
1960-03-13 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-446.3 1523 1388 48.88% 25.25% 25.87%+0.71 -36.3 20
1960-03-13 Union Luxembourg W 3-047.6 1441 1524 32.14% 25.59% 42.27%-0.36 +24.6 19
1960-03-13 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-347.6 1524 1441 42.27% 25.59% 32.14%+0.36 -24.6 21
1960-03-13 Stade Dudelange L 0-236.5 1285 1526 15.83% 23.87% 60.30%-1.44 -7.6 11
1960-03-13 @ Fola Esch W 2-036.5 1526 1285 60.30% 23.87% 15.83%+1.44 +7.6 22
1960-03-13 Spora Luxembourg L 3-557.1 1430 1438 42.77% 25.68% 31.55%+0.17 -12.5 15
1960-03-13 @ Progres Niedercorn W 5-357.1 1438 1430 31.55% 25.68% 42.77%-0.17 +12.5 15
1960-03-13 Grevenmacher L 1-446.1 1406 1522 28.03% 25.39% 46.58%-0.58 -15.1 15
1960-03-13 @ SC Tetange W 4-146.1 1522 1406 46.58% 25.39% 28.03%+0.58 +15.1 20
1960-03-20 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-257.3 1487 1465 46.49% 25.58% 27.93%+0.36 -9.2 20
1960-03-20 @ Differdange 03 W 2-157.3 1465 1487 27.93% 25.58% 46.49%-0.36 +9.2 21
1960-03-20 Fola Esch L 1-258.7 1537 1277 68.72% 22.29% 8.99%+2.00 -13.1 20
1960-03-20 @ Grevenmacher W 2-158.7 1277 1537 8.99% 22.29% 68.72%-2.00 +13.1 13
1960-03-20 SC Tetange D 2-268.8 1658 1391 69.14% 22.15% 8.72%+2.05 -2.2 29
1960-03-20 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-268.8 1391 1658 8.72% 22.15% 69.14%-2.05 +2.2 16
1960-03-20 Alliance Dudelange D 1-159.3 1500 1431 52.19% 25.27% 22.55%+0.69 -1.3 22
1960-03-20 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-159.3 1431 1500 22.55% 25.27% 52.19%-0.69 +1.4 15
1960-03-20 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-040.0 1450 1425 47.01% 25.56% 27.42%+0.39 +17.7 17
1960-03-20 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-340.0 1425 1450 27.42% 25.56% 47.01%-0.39 -17.7 16
1960-03-20 Progres Niedercorn W 3-146.0 1533 1418 57.10% 24.78% 18.12%+1.01 +7.5 24
1960-03-20 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-346.0 1418 1533 18.12% 24.78% 57.10%-1.01 -7.5 15
1960-04-03 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-043.8 1432 1474 37.93% 25.70% 36.37%-0.07 +22.0 17
1960-04-03 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-343.8 1474 1432 36.37% 25.70% 37.93%+0.07 -22.0 21
1960-04-03 Stade Dudelange W 2-157.7 1407 1541 25.97% 25.25% 48.78%-0.70 +9.5 18
1960-04-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-257.7 1541 1407 48.78% 25.25% 25.97%+0.70 -9.5 24
1960-04-03 Jeunesse Esch L 1-538.0 1290 1655 8.74% 21.37% 69.89%-2.29 -6.7 13
1960-04-03 @ Fola Esch W 5-138.0 1655 1290 69.89% 21.37% 8.74%+2.29 +6.7 31
1960-04-03 Grevenmacher L 1-251.2 1410 1524 28.32% 25.41% 46.27%-0.56 -6.2 15
1960-04-03 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-151.2 1524 1410 46.27% 25.41% 28.32%+0.56 +6.2 22
1960-04-03 Union Luxembourg D 1-157.9 1393 1499 29.36% 25.47% 45.18%-0.51 +0.7 17
1960-04-03 @ SC Tetange D 1-157.9 1499 1393 45.18% 25.47% 29.36%+0.51 -0.7 23
1960-04-03 Differdange 03 W 3-150.2 1468 1477 42.44% 25.68% 31.88%+0.15 +11.9 19
1960-04-03 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-350.2 1477 1468 31.88% 25.68% 42.44%-0.15 -11.9 20
1960-05-08 Alliance Dudelange L 0-249.1 1466 1454 45.19% 25.62% 29.18%+0.29 -17.9 20
1960-05-08 @ Differdange 03 W 2-049.1 1454 1466 29.18% 25.62% 45.19%-0.29 +17.9 19
1960-05-08 SC Tetange D 1-156.6 1453 1394 51.04% 25.35% 23.61%+0.62 -1.2 22
1960-05-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-156.6 1394 1453 23.61% 25.35% 51.04%-0.62 +1.2 18
1960-05-08 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-044.4 1530 1417 56.96% 24.79% 18.25%+1.00 +4.6 24
1960-05-08 @ Grevenmacher L 0-144.4 1417 1530 18.25% 24.79% 56.96%-1.00 -4.6 18
1960-05-08 Progres Niedercorn W 5-142.8 1662 1404 68.56% 22.34% 9.10%+1.99 +7.1 33
1960-05-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-542.8 1404 1662 9.10% 22.34% 68.56%-1.99 -7.1 15
1960-05-08 Fola Esch L 0-250.6 1498 1283 65.55% 23.21% 11.24%+1.69 -25.1 23
1960-05-08 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-050.6 1283 1498 11.24% 23.21% 65.55%-1.69 +25.1 15
1960-05-08 Spora Luxembourg W 3-043.9 1531 1480 50.19% 25.40% 24.40%+0.57 +16.1 26
1960-05-08 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-343.9 1480 1531 24.40% 25.40% 50.19%-0.57 -16.1 19
1960-05-15 Jeunesse Esch D 4-475.7 1412 1669 14.65% 23.59% 61.76%-1.55 +1.2 19
1960-05-15 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 4-475.7 1669 1412 61.76% 23.59% 14.65%+1.55 -1.2 34
1960-05-15 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-256.9 1309 1451 24.94% 25.17% 49.89%-0.76 +9.2 17
1960-05-15 @ Fola Esch L 2-356.9 1451 1309 49.89% 25.17% 24.94%+0.76 -9.2 22
1960-05-15 Union Luxembourg D 0-053.8 1397 1473 33.23% 25.62% 41.15%-0.30 +0.4 16
1960-05-15 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-053.8 1473 1397 41.15% 25.62% 33.23%+0.30 -0.4 24
1960-05-15 Alliance Dudelange L 0-841.2 1395 1472 33.01% 25.61% 41.38%-0.31 -51.3 18
1960-05-15 @ SC Tetange W 8-041.2 1472 1395 41.38% 25.61% 33.01%+0.31 +51.3 21
1960-05-15 Grevenmacher L 1-450.4 1464 1535 33.80% 25.64% 40.57%-0.27 -17.5 19
1960-05-15 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-150.4 1535 1464 40.57% 25.64% 33.80%+0.27 +17.5 26
1960-05-15 Differdange 03 W 1-046.6 1547 1448 55.52% 24.96% 19.52%+0.90 +4.9 28
1960-05-15 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-146.6 1448 1547 19.52% 24.96% 55.52%-0.90 -4.9 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1960-03-20 8.99% Fola Esch 1277 2 @ Grevenmacher 1537 1
2 1960-05-08 11.24% Fola Esch 1283 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1498 0
3 1960-01-17 13.33% Fola Esch 1270 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1449 1
4 1960-02-07 13.37% Fola Esch 1272 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1450 0
5 1960-01-03 14.17% @ Fola Esch 1232 4 SC Tetange 1496 0
6 1960-01-10 15.74% Grevenmacher 1514 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1659 2
7 1959-09-20 18.84% Fola Esch 1305 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1412 2
8 1959-09-06 23.11% @ Grevenmacher 1460 4 Jeunesse Esch 1619 0
9 1959-08-22 23.36% @ Fola Esch 1299 3 Alliance Dudelange 1456 1
10 1959-09-06 23.37% FC Schifflange 95 1424 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1485 0
11 1959-09-06 24.60% Union Luxembourg 1456 3 @ Stade Dudelange 1506 0
12 1960-05-15 24.94% @ Fola Esch 1309 3 FC Schifflange 95 1451 2
13 1960-01-31 25.40% @ Union Luxembourg 1522 1 Jeunesse Esch 1660 0
14 1960-03-13 25.87% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1388 4 Differdange 03 1523 0
15 1960-04-03 25.97% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1407 2 Stade Dudelange 1541 1
16 1959-09-20 26.47% FC Schifflange 95 1474 3 @ Grevenmacher 1507 1
17 1959-09-27 27.58% Stade Dudelange 1456 2 @ SC Tetange 1480 1
18 1960-03-20 27.93% FC Schifflange 95 1465 2 @ Differdange 03 1487 1
19 1960-01-03 28.01% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1347 2 FC Schifflange 95 1463 1
20 1959-10-18 29.00% Stade Dudelange 1472 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1484 1
21 1959-10-11 29.10% SC Tetange 1471 1 @ Grevenmacher 1482 0
22 1960-05-08 29.18% Alliance Dudelange 1454 2 @ Differdange 03 1466 0
23 1960-01-17 29.68% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1348 7 SC Tetange 1451 3
24 1959-10-25 29.70% Progres Niedercorn 1475 1 @ Grevenmacher 1482 0
25 1960-03-13 31.55% Spora Luxembourg 1438 5 @ Progres Niedercorn 1430 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-05-15 51.28 Alliance Dudelange 8 1472 41.38% @ SC Tetange 0 1395 33.01% 25.61%
2 1960-01-03 45.29 @ Fola Esch 4 1232 14.17% SC Tetange 0 1496 62.37% 23.46%
3 1959-09-06 38.24 @ Grevenmacher 4 1460 23.11% Jeunesse Esch 0 1619 51.89% 25.00%
4 1960-03-13 36.29 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1388 25.87% Differdange 03 0 1523 48.88% 25.25%
5 1959-08-30 30.75 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1589 50.27% Stade Dudelange 0 1537 24.34% 25.40%
6 1959-09-27 29.06 Spora Luxembourg 5 1430 46.38% @ Fola Esch 0 1316 28.21% 25.40%
7 1959-09-06 29.05 FC Schifflange 95 3 1424 23.37% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1485 51.30% 25.33%
8 1959-09-06 28.39 Union Luxembourg 3 1456 24.60% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1506 49.98% 25.42%
9 1959-12-06 25.96 Jeunesse Esch 7 1615 49.66% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1474 25.16% 25.19%
10 1960-05-08 25.15 Fola Esch 2 1283 11.24% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1498 65.55% 23.21%
11 1960-03-13 24.63 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1441 32.14% Union Luxembourg 0 1524 42.27% 25.59%
12 1960-04-03 21.96 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1432 37.93% FC Schifflange 95 0 1474 36.37% 25.70%
13 1960-01-17 21.78 @ Aris Bonnevoie 7 1348 29.68% SC Tetange 3 1451 44.84% 25.48%
14 1959-09-13 20.85 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1453 40.36% Stade Dudelange 0 1477 33.94% 25.70%
15 1959-12-06 19.22 Grevenmacher 5 1484 47.21% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1363 27.44% 25.36%
16 1960-05-08 17.92 Alliance Dudelange 2 1454 29.18% @ Differdange 03 0 1466 45.19% 25.62%
17 1959-09-13 17.78 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1427 39.83% Spora Luxembourg 1 1456 34.47% 25.70%
18 1960-03-20 17.69 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1450 47.01% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1425 27.42% 25.56%
19 1960-05-15 17.51 Grevenmacher 4 1535 40.57% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1464 33.80% 25.64%
20 1959-08-22 17.36 @ Fola Esch 3 1299 23.36% Alliance Dudelange 1 1456 51.61% 25.02%
21 1959-12-20 16.79 @ Alliance Dudelange 8 1435 63.39% Fola Esch 1 1249 12.88% 23.72%
22 1960-01-17 16.66 @ Stade Dudelange 6 1480 46.31% FC Schifflange 95 2 1460 28.10% 25.59%
23 1959-09-20 16.34 FC Schifflange 95 3 1474 26.47% @ Grevenmacher 1 1507 48.01% 25.52%
24 1960-05-08 16.12 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1531 50.19% Spora Luxembourg 0 1480 24.40% 25.40%
25 1960-01-31 15.37 Stade Dudelange 2 1496 37.13% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1449 37.18% 25.69%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-05-15 75.7 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1412 14.65% Jeunesse Esch 4 1669 61.76% 23.59%
2 1960-01-10 72.6 Grevenmacher 3 1514 15.74% @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1659 59.88% 24.38%
3 1960-03-20 68.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1658 69.14% SC Tetange 2 1391 8.72% 22.15%
4 1959-08-30 66.6 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1439 38.71% Progres Niedercorn 3 1475 35.59% 25.70%
5 1959-08-22 64.5 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1484 29.31% Jeunesse Esch 1 1589 45.22% 25.46%
6 1959-12-06 64.4 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1435 31.54% Differdange 03 2 1523 42.89% 25.56%
7 1959-09-20 64.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1588 56.86% Union Luxembourg 1 1476 18.34% 24.81%
8 1959-11-29 62.4 @ Differdange 03 1 1524 47.59% Stade Dudelange 1 1494 26.87% 25.54%
9 1959-12-20 62.4 @ Differdange 03 1 1523 47.23% SC Tetange 1 1496 27.22% 25.55%
10 1959-09-13 62.0 @ SC Tetange 2 1473 51.41% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1411 23.26% 25.32%
11 1960-01-10 61.8 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1522 49.22% Stade Dudelange 1 1479 25.32% 25.46%
12 1960-01-31 61.8 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1522 25.40% Jeunesse Esch 0 1660 49.40% 25.21%
13 1959-10-25 60.5 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1492 46.12% SC Tetange 1 1474 28.29% 25.60%
14 1960-01-31 60.2 @ Differdange 03 1 1517 53.39% Progres Niedercorn 1 1437 21.44% 25.17%
15 1959-12-06 60.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1460 39.03% Stade Dudelange 1 1495 35.27% 25.70%
16 1960-01-17 60.0 @ Grevenmacher 0 1525 44.27% Union Luxembourg 0 1521 30.08% 25.65%
17 1960-01-03 59.7 @ Grevenmacher 0 1515 42.78% Differdange 03 0 1522 31.54% 25.68%
18 1959-08-30 59.5 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1456 39.92% Spora Luxembourg 1 1484 34.38% 25.70%
19 1960-03-20 59.3 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1500 52.19% Alliance Dudelange 1 1431 22.55% 25.27%
20 1959-09-13 58.9 Jeunesse Esch 2 1581 39.95% @ Differdange 03 1 1514 34.40% 25.65%
21 1959-10-25 58.7 @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1475 47.98% Alliance Dudelange 1 1442 26.50% 25.52%
22 1960-03-20 58.7 Fola Esch 2 1277 8.99% @ Grevenmacher 1 1537 68.72% 22.29%
23 1959-09-20 58.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1491 41.62% Differdange 03 0 1507 32.69% 25.69%
24 1960-01-03 58.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1449 43.40% Alliance Dudelange 1 1452 30.93% 25.67%
25 1959-09-20 58.1 Fola Esch 3 1305 18.84% @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1412 56.28% 24.88%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-12-20 32.2 @ Alliance Dudelange 8 1435 63.39% Fola Esch 1 1249 12.88% 23.72%
2 1959-10-25 33.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 7 1604 73.06% Fola Esch 1 1271 6.32% 20.63%
3 1959-09-27 35.6 Spora Luxembourg 5 1430 46.38% @ Fola Esch 0 1316 28.21% 25.40%
4 1959-12-06 35.8 Union Luxembourg 5 1501 60.25% @ Fola Esch 1 1261 15.87% 23.88%
5 1960-01-10 36.0 @ Differdange 03 8 1522 67.70% Fola Esch 3 1277 9.69% 22.61%
6 1960-03-13 36.5 Stade Dudelange 2 1526 60.30% @ Fola Esch 0 1285 15.83% 23.87%
7 1959-10-18 36.8 Grevenmacher 2 1473 55.57% @ Fola Esch 0 1280 19.84% 24.59%
8 1959-10-25 37.1 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1480 55.53% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1381 19.51% 24.96%
9 1960-04-03 38.0 Jeunesse Esch 5 1655 69.89% @ Fola Esch 1 1290 8.74% 21.37%
10 1960-02-07 39.6 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1512 54.72% SC Tetange 0 1420 20.23% 25.04%
11 1960-03-20 40.0 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1450 47.01% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1425 27.42% 25.56%
12 1959-10-11 40.3 @ Differdange 03 2 1500 55.85% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1397 19.23% 24.92%
13 1959-11-29 40.3 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1474 65.24% Fola Esch 1 1264 11.47% 23.29%
14 1960-05-15 41.2 Alliance Dudelange 8 1472 41.38% @ SC Tetange 0 1395 33.01% 25.61%
15 1959-10-11 41.4 @ Stade Dudelange 6 1465 62.78% Fola Esch 3 1286 13.37% 23.85%
16 1959-12-06 41.6 Grevenmacher 5 1484 47.21% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1363 27.44% 25.36%
17 1960-01-10 42.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1452 55.20% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1356 19.80% 24.99%
18 1959-09-13 42.7 Progres Niedercorn 3 1482 52.88% @ Fola Esch 1 1314 22.22% 24.90%
19 1960-05-08 42.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 5 1662 68.56% Progres Niedercorn 1 1404 9.10% 22.34%
20 1959-09-13 43.8 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1453 40.36% Stade Dudelange 0 1477 33.94% 25.70%
21 1960-04-03 43.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1432 37.93% FC Schifflange 95 0 1474 36.37% 25.70%
22 1959-11-29 43.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1611 67.62% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1367 9.75% 22.63%
23 1960-05-08 43.9 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1531 50.19% Spora Luxembourg 0 1480 24.40% 25.40%
24 1959-08-30 44.2 @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1417 45.07% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1407 29.30% 25.63%
25 1960-05-08 44.4 @ Grevenmacher 1 1530 56.96% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1417 18.25% 24.79%