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1958-59 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Alliance Dudelange

4.24 points above expected

23 points · 18.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

SC Tetange

4.20 points below expected

18 points · 22.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 14 4 4 32 55 22 +33 32.43 -0.43
2 Spora Luxembourg 22 10 6 6 26 49 40 +9 22.43 +3.57
3 Stade Dudelange 22 9 8 5 26 32 29 +3 26.09 -0.09
4 Differdange 03 22 10 5 7 25 39 33 +6 26.08 -1.08
5 Alliance Dudelange 22 9 5 8 23 43 37 +6 18.76 +4.24
6 Progres Niedercorn 22 8 6 8 22 36 38 -2 20.67 +1.33
7 Grevenmacher 22 6 9 7 21 34 33 +1 20.34 +0.66
8 Union Luxembourg 22 8 5 9 21 44 47 -3 20.90 +0.10
9 SC Tetange 22 7 4 11 18 34 41 -7 22.20 -4.20
10 FC Schifflange 95 22 4 10 8 18 29 38 -9 16.53 +1.47
11 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 22 7 3 12 17 23 40 -17 19.22 -2.22
12 Chiers Rodange 22 5 5 12 15 32 52 -20 18.35 -3.35

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Alliance Dudelange 23 18.76 +4.24
2 Spora Luxembourg 26 22.43 +3.57
3 FC Schifflange 95 18 16.53 +1.47
4 Progres Niedercorn 22 20.67 +1.33
5 Grevenmacher 21 20.34 +0.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SC Tetange 18 22.20 -4.20
2 Chiers Rodange 15 18.35 -3.35
3 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 17 19.22 -2.22
4 Differdange 03 25 26.08 -1.08
5 Jeunesse Esch 32 32.43 -0.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 3 Sep 7 – Oct 19 1 in 29
2 Union Luxembourg 3 Feb 8 – Mar 1 1 in 24
3 SC Tetange 3 Oct 12 – Nov 2 1 in 23
4 Progres Niedercorn 2 Jan 25 – Feb 1 1 in 21
5 Differdange 03 4 Oct 19 – Nov 16 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SC Tetange 4 Jan 25 – Feb 22 1 in 98
2 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 4 Oct 12 – Nov 9 1 in 76
3 Differdange 03 3 Mar 1 – Apr 12 1 in 39
4 Stade Dudelange 2 Nov 9 – Nov 16 1 in 22
5 Union Luxembourg 3 Dec 7 – Jan 11 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Differdange 03 11 Oct 19 – Jan 25 1 in 49
2 Progres Niedercorn 6 Jan 18 – Mar 1 1 in 25
3 Grevenmacher 6 Feb 8 – May 3 1 in 20
4 Spora Luxembourg 7 Jan 18 – Mar 15 1 in 20
5 FC Schifflange 95 4 Aug 24 – Oct 12 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stade Dudelange 5 Oct 12 – Nov 16 1 in 24
2 SC Tetange 5 Jan 25 – Mar 1 1 in 20
3 Spora Luxembourg 6 Feb 8 – May 3 1 in 13
4 Differdange 03 4 Aug 24 – Oct 12 1 in 9
5 Alliance Dudelange 6 Dec 7 – Feb 1 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1606 32 -6 5 7.3 -2.3
Stade Dudelange 1499 26 +7 7 6.1 +0.9
Spora Luxembourg 1422 26 -19 3 4.8 -1.8
Differdange 03 1480 25 -7 4 6.1 -2.1
Alliance Dudelange 1370 23 -1 3 4.3 -1.3
Progres Niedercorn 1409 22 +28 7 4.3 +2.7
Grevenmacher 1404 21 +24 8 4.8 +3.2
Union Luxembourg 1387 21 +11 7 5.1 +1.9
FC Schifflange 95 1299 18 -11 4 3.9 +0.1
SC Tetange 1394 18 -20 4 5.4 -1.4
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1346 17 +0 5 4.2 +0.8
Chiers Rodange 1333 15 -6 3 3.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD CR D0 FS9 GRE JE JW PN ST SL SD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
1.89
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.23
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.56
Chiers Rodange
1-0-1
2.59
—
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.55
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.60
Differdange 03
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
3.65
—
1-1-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.44
0-1-1
1.98
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.46
FC Schifflange 95
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.63
—
1-1-0
2.18
0-1-1
1.07
2-0-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.51
0-2-0
2.13
Grevenmacher
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.04
0-1-1
3.29
—
0-0-2
1.38
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.48
0-2-0
2.42
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.71
Jeunesse Esch
1-0-1
4.32
2-0-0
4.28
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.15
—
2-0-0
4.35
1-0-1
4.18
1-0-1
3.96
1-1-0
3.96
0-1-1
3.54
2-0-0
4.15
Jeunesse Wasserbilig
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
3.11
0-1-1
2.54
0-0-2
1.21
—
2-0-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.76
0-0-2
2.61
Progres Niedercorn
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.04
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.36
0-0-2
2.92
—
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
1.89
1-1-0
2.76
SC Tetange
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
2.36
1-1-0
3.49
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
1.56
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.94
—
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.93
Spora Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.22
1-1-0
3.39
0-2-0
3.04
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.68
—
1-1-0
2.23
2-0-0
2.93
Stade Dudelange
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
1.94
1-0-1
3.73
0-1-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
3.25
—
1-0-1
3.58
Union Luxembourg
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.02
0-2-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
1.38
2-0-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
1.91
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +4.1
Allowed 0.63 -4.8
Differential 0.92 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%5.68%2.65%3.41%0.76%1.52%18.56%
15.68%8.33%8.33%5.30%1.52%1.14%30.30%
22.65%8.33%9.85%3.41%1.52%1.14%26.89%
33.41%5.30%3.41%3.79%—0.38%16.29%
40.76%1.52%1.52%———3.79%
5+1.52%1.14%1.14%0.38%——4.17%
Total18.56%30.30%26.89%16.29%3.79%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.70 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 1.97
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
14.55%9.09%18.18%———31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
39.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%36.36%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.68 +0.27
SD 1.17 1.13 1.78
CV 0.60 0.67 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%27.27%9.09%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.36 -0.91
SD 1.10 1.79 2.16
CV 0.76 0.76 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
1—13.64%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
2—18.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
39.09%18.18%————27.27%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%54.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.50 +0.27
SD 1.02 1.19 1.72
CV 0.58 0.79 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
14.55%27.27%9.09%9.09%—4.55%54.55%
24.55%4.55%18.18%———27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%36.36%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.73 -0.41
SD 1.04 1.12 1.56
CV 0.79 0.65 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
2—4.55%18.18%———22.73%
34.55%—4.55%9.09%——18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%36.36%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.50 +0.05
SD 1.30 1.06 1.65
CV 0.84 0.71 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
1—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
213.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+13.64%4.55%————18.18%
Total31.82%50.00%4.55%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.00 +1.50
SD 1.77 0.98 2.20
CV 0.71 0.98 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%13.64%—4.55%45.45%
19.09%—9.09%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%22.73%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.82 -0.77
SD 1.21 1.71 2.16
CV 1.16 0.94 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—9.09%—4.55%31.82%
19.09%4.55%————13.64%
2—9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.73 -0.09
SD 1.53 1.32 2.09
CV 0.93 0.76 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%—22.73%
19.09%—18.18%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%13.64%40.91%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.86 -0.32
SD 1.44 1.21 1.94
CV 0.93 0.65 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
2—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
39.09%—4.55%9.09%——22.73%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total22.73%18.18%27.27%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.82 +0.41
SD 1.60 1.40 2.09
CV 0.72 0.77 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
113.64%9.09%9.09%13.64%——45.45%
2—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%—4.55%9.09%——18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.32 +0.14
SD 0.96 1.17 1.21
CV 0.66 0.89 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————4.55%4.55%
1—9.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
2——13.64%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
34.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%45.45%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.14 -0.14
SD 1.11 1.39 2.12
CV 0.56 0.65 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1606 32 32.43 -0.43 46.0% 21 26 30 33 35 38 41
Stade Dudelange 1499 26 26.09 -0.09 55.0% 16 20 24 26 28 32 34
Differdange 03 1480 25 26.08 -1.08 46.0% 13 20 23 26 29 32 36
Spora Luxembourg 1422 26 22.43 +3.57 87.0% 14 16 19 23 25 29 31
Progres Niedercorn 1409 22 20.67 +1.33 73.0% 13 15 19 21 23 26 29
Grevenmacher 1404 21 20.34 +0.66 61.0% 13 15 18 21 22 26 29
SC Tetange 1394 18 22.20 -4.20 17.0% 14 17 20 22 25 28 30
Union Luxembourg 1387 21 20.90 +0.10 57.0% 9 14 18 21 24 26 30
Alliance Dudelange 1370 23 18.76 +4.24 89.0% 11 13 16 18 21 25 27
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1346 17 19.22 -2.22 39.0% 10 13 16 19 22 26 30
Chiers Rodange 1333 15 18.35 -3.35 21.0% 8 13 16 18 21 24 27
FC Schifflange 95 1299 18 16.53 +1.47 74.0% 4 9 15 17 19 22 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.42%
Strong Edge
45.45%26.52%28.03%
Elo Value
Home Edge
176 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
061.16500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
81%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.97 * Some Luck: 2.97 to 4.45 * Lucky: 4.45 to 5.94 * Wild Swing: 5.94 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.64 * Close: 1.64 to 2.45 * Off: 2.45 to 3.27 * Way Off: 3.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.42 points
As Expected
03.719
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.055
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
89.00%
Alliance Dudelange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
17.00%
SC Tetange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 83.15
1.19
Coin-Flip Parity
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Even
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Rare
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Slight Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.44
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.73
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch81.00%12.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%—————
Spora Luxembourg1.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%17.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%
Stade Dudelange8.00%27.00%26.00%13.00%8.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%—
Differdange 037.00%29.00%23.00%14.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%——1.00%
Alliance Dudelange—2.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%19.00%16.00%9.00%
Progres Niedercorn—1.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%
Grevenmacher—5.00%2.00%5.00%14.00%17.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%9.00%
Union Luxembourg—5.00%5.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%
SC Tetange3.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%20.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%
FC Schifflange 95——1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%14.00%22.00%28.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig—2.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%15.00%19.00%
Chiers Rodange——2.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%14.00%21.00%13.00%17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Differdange 03 99.00% 1.00%
Stade Dudelange 99.00% 1.00%
SC Tetange 94.00% 6.00%
Spora Luxembourg 94.00% 6.00%
Grevenmacher 86.00% 14.00%
Progres Niedercorn 86.00% 14.00%
Union Luxembourg 81.00% 19.00%
Alliance Dudelange 75.00% 25.00%
Chiers Rodange 70.00% 30.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 66.00% 34.00%
FC Schifflange 95 50.00% 50.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1958-08-24 Spora Luxembourg W 4-248.6 1328 1396 39.21% 27.32% 33.47%-0.04 +6.0 2
1958-08-24 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-448.6 1396 1328 33.47% 27.32% 39.21%+0.04 -6.0 0
1958-08-24 Jeunesse Esch L 1-452.3 1482 1578 35.29% 27.20% 37.51%-0.19 -9.8 0
1958-08-24 @ Differdange 03 W 4-152.3 1578 1482 37.51% 27.20% 35.29%+0.19 +9.8 2
1958-08-24 Chiers Rodange W 5-244.2 1315 1370 40.83% 27.32% 31.85%+0.03 +7.9 2
1958-08-24 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-544.2 1370 1315 31.85% 27.32% 40.83%-0.03 -7.9 0
1958-08-24 Progres Niedercorn W 4-247.6 1374 1397 45.24% 27.21% 27.55%+0.22 +5.2 2
1958-08-24 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 2-447.6 1397 1374 27.55% 27.21% 45.24%-0.22 -5.2 0
1958-08-24 Grevenmacher W 3-142.6 1379 1391 46.54% 27.13% 26.32%+0.28 +5.6 2
1958-08-24 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-342.6 1391 1379 26.32% 27.13% 46.54%-0.28 -5.6 0
1958-08-24 Stade Dudelange L 1-253.6 1431 1508 37.90% 27.29% 34.80%-0.09 -4.2 0
1958-08-24 @ SC Tetange W 2-153.6 1508 1431 34.80% 27.29% 37.90%+0.09 +4.2 2
1958-08-31 SC Tetange W 4-037.0 1363 1427 39.65% 27.32% 33.02%-0.02 +14.5 2
1958-08-31 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-437.0 1427 1363 33.02% 27.32% 39.65%+0.02 -14.5 0
1958-08-31 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-264.9 1588 1323 72.64% 19.81% 7.55%+1.86 -1.3 3
1958-08-31 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-264.9 1323 1588 7.55% 19.81% 72.64%-1.86 +1.3 3
1958-08-31 Alliance Dudelange W 2-034.2 1380 1334 53.30% 26.39% 20.31%+0.61 +5.2 4
1958-08-31 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-234.2 1334 1380 20.31% 26.39% 53.30%-0.61 -5.2 2
1958-08-31 Grevenmacher D 2-259.1 1391 1385 48.80% 26.95% 24.24%+0.38 -0.4 1
1958-08-31 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-259.1 1385 1391 24.24% 26.95% 48.80%-0.38 +0.4 1
1958-08-31 Differdange 03 W 3-040.1 1390 1473 37.06% 27.27% 35.67%-0.12 +11.8 2
1958-08-31 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-340.1 1473 1390 35.67% 27.27% 37.06%+0.12 -11.8 0
1958-08-31 Union Luxembourg L 1-355.7 1512 1384 61.61% 24.47% 13.92%+1.08 -11.0 2
1958-08-31 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-155.7 1384 1512 13.92% 24.47% 61.61%-1.08 +11.0 4
1958-09-07 Progres Niedercorn W 3-036.1 1329 1391 39.97% 27.32% 32.70%+0.00 +11.0 4
1958-09-07 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-336.1 1391 1329 32.70% 27.32% 39.97%+0.00 -11.0 1
1958-09-07 Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 0-052.0 1461 1385 56.57% 25.78% 17.64%+0.78 -1.1 1
1958-09-07 @ Differdange 03 D 0-052.0 1385 1461 17.64% 25.78% 56.57%-0.78 +1.1 5
1958-09-07 Spora Luxembourg D 2-258.1 1324 1401 37.82% 27.29% 34.89%-0.09 -0.0 4
1958-09-07 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-258.1 1401 1324 34.89% 27.29% 37.82%+0.09 +0.0 3
1958-09-07 Stade Dudelange L 0-145.4 1385 1501 32.57% 27.04% 40.40%-0.31 -4.0 1
1958-09-07 @ Grevenmacher W 1-045.4 1501 1385 40.40% 27.04% 32.57%+0.31 +4.0 4
1958-09-07 Chiers Rodange D 1-153.7 1395 1377 50.20% 26.81% 22.99%+0.45 -0.7 5
1958-09-07 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.7 1377 1395 22.99% 26.81% 50.20%-0.45 +0.7 3
1958-09-07 Jeunesse Esch L 1-251.8 1412 1586 25.50% 26.17% 48.33%-0.64 -3.1 0
1958-09-07 @ SC Tetange W 2-151.8 1586 1412 48.33% 26.17% 25.50%+0.64 +3.1 5
1958-10-12 Differdange 03 W 3-255.7 1340 1460 32.04% 27.00% 40.96%-0.33 +4.2 6
1958-10-12 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-355.7 1460 1340 40.96% 27.00% 32.04%+0.33 -4.2 1
1958-10-12 Grevenmacher D 1-153.3 1378 1381 47.57% 27.06% 25.37%+0.33 -0.5 4
1958-10-12 @ Chiers Rodange D 1-153.3 1381 1378 25.37% 27.06% 47.57%-0.33 +0.5 2
1958-10-12 Union Luxembourg W 3-142.7 1589 1395 67.36% 22.34% 10.30%+1.46 +2.3 7
1958-10-12 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-342.7 1395 1589 10.30% 22.34% 67.36%-1.46 -2.3 5
1958-10-12 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-252.7 1386 1324 55.10% 26.08% 18.82%+0.70 -5.8 5
1958-10-12 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-152.7 1324 1386 18.82% 26.08% 55.10%-0.70 +5.8 6
1958-10-12 Stade Dudelange D 0-052.8 1380 1505 31.33% 26.94% 41.73%-0.36 +0.3 2
1958-10-12 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-052.8 1505 1380 41.73% 26.94% 31.33%+0.36 -0.3 5
1958-10-12 SC Tetange L 0-147.7 1402 1409 47.08% 27.10% 25.82%+0.31 -5.3 3
1958-10-12 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-047.7 1409 1402 25.82% 27.10% 47.08%-0.31 +5.3 2
1958-10-19 Progres Niedercorn W 3-033.5 1455 1380 56.50% 25.80% 17.70%+0.78 +6.7 3
1958-10-19 @ Differdange 03 L 0-333.5 1380 1455 17.70% 25.80% 56.50%-0.78 -6.7 2
1958-10-19 Alliance Dudelange L 0-339.6 1330 1344 46.20% 27.16% 26.64%+0.27 -14.4 6
1958-10-19 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-039.6 1344 1330 26.64% 27.16% 46.20%-0.27 +14.4 8
1958-10-19 Jeunesse Esch L 1-346.7 1382 1592 21.86% 25.39% 52.75%-0.85 -4.7 2
1958-10-19 @ Grevenmacher W 3-146.7 1592 1382 52.75% 25.39% 21.86%+0.85 +4.7 9
1958-10-19 Spora Luxembourg L 2-357.4 1392 1396 47.54% 27.06% 25.40%+0.33 -4.8 5
1958-10-19 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-257.4 1396 1392 25.40% 27.06% 47.54%-0.33 +4.8 5
1958-10-19 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 6-240.3 1414 1380 52.06% 26.58% 21.36%+0.54 +7.3 4
1958-10-19 @ SC Tetange L 2-640.3 1380 1414 21.36% 26.58% 52.06%-0.54 -7.3 5
1958-10-19 Chiers Rodange D 2-262.5 1505 1377 61.58% 24.47% 13.94%+1.07 -0.9 6
1958-10-19 @ Stade Dudelange D 2-262.5 1377 1505 13.94% 24.47% 61.58%-1.07 +0.9 5
1958-11-02 SC Tetange L 1-249.7 1359 1422 39.83% 27.32% 32.85%-0.01 -4.4 8
1958-11-02 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-149.7 1422 1359 32.85% 27.32% 39.83%+0.01 +4.4 6
1958-11-02 Progres Niedercorn L 1-348.9 1378 1374 48.58% 26.97% 24.44%+0.37 -9.0 5
1958-11-02 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-148.9 1374 1378 24.44% 26.97% 48.58%-0.37 +9.0 4
1958-11-02 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-137.7 1462 1315 63.32% 23.91% 12.78%+1.18 +2.9 5
1958-11-02 @ Differdange 03 L 1-337.7 1315 1462 12.78% 23.91% 63.32%-1.18 -2.9 6
1958-11-02 Stade Dudelange D 0-060.9 1596 1504 58.27% 25.39% 16.34%+0.88 -1.2 10
1958-11-02 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-060.9 1504 1596 16.34% 25.39% 58.27%-0.88 +1.2 7
1958-11-02 Union Luxembourg L 0-340.8 1373 1387 46.21% 27.15% 26.64%+0.27 -14.4 5
1958-11-02 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-040.8 1387 1373 26.64% 27.15% 46.21%-0.27 +14.4 7
1958-11-02 Grevenmacher D 3-363.8 1401 1377 50.86% 26.73% 22.41%+0.48 -0.4 6
1958-11-02 @ Spora Luxembourg D 3-363.8 1377 1401 22.41% 26.73% 50.86%-0.48 +0.4 3
1958-11-09 Jeunesse Esch L 1-641.9 1369 1595 20.37% 24.98% 54.65%-0.94 -9.9 5
1958-11-09 @ Chiers Rodange W 6-141.9 1595 1369 54.65% 24.98% 20.37%+0.94 +9.9 12
1958-11-09 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 1-038.9 1378 1358 50.32% 26.80% 22.88%+0.46 +3.1 5
1958-11-09 @ Grevenmacher L 0-138.9 1358 1378 22.88% 26.80% 50.32%-0.46 -3.0 5
1958-11-09 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.7 1382 1312 55.95% 25.91% 18.14%+0.75 -1.0 5
1958-11-09 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.7 1312 1382 18.14% 25.91% 55.95%-0.75 +1.0 7
1958-11-09 Alliance Dudelange L 1-448.0 1402 1354 53.53% 26.35% 20.11%+0.62 -13.8 7
1958-11-09 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-148.0 1354 1402 20.11% 26.35% 53.53%-0.62 +13.8 10
1958-11-09 Differdange 03 L 1-350.8 1426 1465 43.06% 27.29% 29.65%+0.13 -8.1 6
1958-11-09 @ SC Tetange W 3-150.8 1465 1426 29.65% 27.29% 43.06%-0.13 +8.1 7
1958-11-09 Spora Luxembourg L 1-258.3 1505 1401 59.41% 25.10% 15.49%+0.94 -6.2 7
1958-11-09 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-158.3 1401 1505 15.49% 25.10% 59.41%-0.94 +6.2 8
1958-11-16 Grevenmacher W 1-040.3 1368 1381 46.46% 27.14% 26.40%+0.28 +3.4 12
1958-11-16 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-140.3 1381 1368 26.40% 27.14% 46.46%-0.28 -3.4 5
1958-11-16 Union Luxembourg W 2-144.3 1473 1388 57.51% 25.58% 16.92%+0.83 +2.2 9
1958-11-16 @ Differdange 03 L 1-244.3 1388 1473 16.92% 25.58% 57.51%-0.83 -2.2 7
1958-11-16 SC Tetange L 0-238.8 1313 1418 34.03% 27.14% 38.83%-0.25 -7.8 7
1958-11-16 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 2-038.8 1418 1313 38.83% 27.14% 34.03%+0.25 +7.8 8
1958-11-16 Progres Niedercorn W 5-034.8 1605 1382 69.62% 21.32% 9.06%+1.62 +5.5 14
1958-11-16 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-534.8 1382 1605 9.06% 21.32% 69.62%-1.62 -5.5 5
1958-11-16 Stade Dudelange W 3-149.8 1355 1499 29.04% 26.69% 44.26%-0.47 +8.2 7
1958-11-16 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 1-349.8 1499 1355 44.26% 26.69% 29.04%+0.47 -8.2 7
1958-11-23 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 1-039.5 1359 1364 47.48% 27.07% 25.45%+0.32 +3.3 7
1958-11-23 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-139.5 1364 1359 25.45% 27.07% 47.48%-0.32 -3.3 7
1958-11-23 Differdange 03 D 2-260.9 1377 1475 34.92% 27.19% 37.89%-0.21 +0.0 6
1958-11-23 @ Grevenmacher D 2-260.9 1475 1377 37.89% 27.19% 34.92%+0.21 -0.1 10
1958-11-23 Spora Luxembourg W 2-038.4 1611 1407 68.08% 22.03% 9.89%+1.51 +2.6 16
1958-11-23 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-238.4 1407 1611 9.89% 22.03% 68.08%-1.51 -2.6 8
1958-11-23 SC Tetange W 1-042.8 1376 1426 41.61% 27.32% 31.08%+0.06 +3.9 7
1958-11-23 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-142.8 1426 1376 31.08% 27.32% 41.61%-0.06 -3.9 8
1958-11-23 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-258.1 1386 1306 57.01% 25.69% 17.30%+0.80 -0.8 8
1958-11-23 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-258.1 1306 1386 17.30% 25.69% 57.01%-0.80 +0.8 8
1958-11-23 Alliance Dudelange W 2-143.3 1491 1372 60.79% 24.71% 14.49%+1.03 +1.9 9
1958-11-23 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-243.3 1372 1491 14.49% 24.71% 60.79%-1.03 -1.9 12
1958-11-30 Chiers Rodange W 2-035.8 1370 1363 48.88% 26.95% 24.17%+0.39 +6.0 14
1958-11-30 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-235.8 1363 1370 24.17% 26.95% 48.88%-0.39 -6.0 7
1958-11-30 Stade Dudelange W 3-148.6 1475 1492 45.88% 27.17% 26.94%+0.25 +5.7 12
1958-11-30 @ Differdange 03 L 1-348.6 1492 1475 26.94% 27.17% 45.88%-0.25 -5.7 9
1958-11-30 Grevenmacher W 2-038.2 1306 1377 38.72% 27.31% 33.97%-0.06 +7.8 10
1958-11-30 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-238.2 1377 1306 33.97% 27.31% 38.72%+0.06 -7.8 6
1958-11-30 Jeunesse Esch L 0-239.8 1360 1613 18.13% 24.23% 57.65%-1.09 -4.6 7
1958-11-30 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-039.8 1613 1360 57.65% 24.23% 18.13%+1.09 +4.6 18
1958-11-30 Union Luxembourg L 2-359.1 1422 1385 52.36% 26.53% 21.11%+0.56 -5.2 8
1958-11-30 @ SC Tetange W 3-259.1 1385 1422 21.11% 26.53% 52.36%-0.56 +5.2 10
1958-11-30 Progres Niedercorn W 1-039.6 1404 1380 50.91% 26.73% 22.36%+0.49 +3.0 10
1958-11-30 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-139.6 1380 1404 22.36% 26.73% 50.91%-0.49 -3.0 7
1958-12-07 Differdange 03 L 1-248.4 1357 1481 31.41% 26.94% 41.65%-0.36 -3.7 7
1958-12-07 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-148.4 1481 1357 41.65% 26.94% 31.41%+0.36 +3.7 14
1958-12-07 SC Tetange D 2-259.2 1370 1417 41.96% 27.31% 30.73%+0.08 -0.2 7
1958-12-07 @ Grevenmacher D 2-259.2 1417 1370 30.73% 27.31% 41.96%-0.08 +0.2 9
1958-12-07 Alliance Dudelange W 2-144.8 1618 1376 71.00% 20.65% 8.35%+1.73 +1.1 20
1958-12-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.8 1376 1618 8.35% 20.65% 71.00%-1.73 -1.1 14
1958-12-07 Union Luxembourg W 2-145.4 1377 1390 46.35% 27.15% 26.50%+0.27 +3.2 9
1958-12-07 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-245.4 1390 1377 26.50% 27.15% 46.35%-0.27 -3.2 10
1958-12-07 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-032.7 1407 1356 53.97% 26.28% 19.75%+0.64 +7.4 12
1958-12-07 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-332.7 1356 1407 19.75% 26.28% 53.97%-0.64 -7.4 7
1958-12-07 FC Schifflange 95 W 1-035.6 1487 1314 65.54% 23.09% 11.37%+1.33 +1.6 11
1958-12-07 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-135.6 1314 1487 11.37% 23.09% 65.54%-1.33 -1.6 10
1958-12-21 Chiers Rodange W 5-346.9 1415 1353 55.07% 26.08% 18.84%+0.70 +3.6 14
1958-12-21 @ Spora Luxembourg L 3-546.9 1353 1415 18.84% 26.08% 55.07%-0.70 -3.6 7
1959-01-04 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-139.3 1349 1313 52.34% 26.54% 21.12%+0.56 +4.7 9
1959-01-04 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-339.3 1313 1349 21.12% 26.54% 52.34%-0.56 -4.7 10
1959-01-04 Union Luxembourg W 5-035.2 1369 1387 45.80% 27.18% 27.02%+0.25 +15.4 9
1959-01-04 @ Grevenmacher L 0-535.2 1387 1369 27.02% 27.18% 45.80%-0.25 -15.4 10
1959-01-04 Differdange 03 D 1-165.0 1619 1485 62.19% 24.28% 13.52%+1.11 -1.3 21
1959-01-04 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-165.0 1485 1619 13.52% 24.28% 62.19%-1.11 +1.3 15
1959-01-04 Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-147.4 1380 1348 51.78% 26.62% 21.61%+0.53 -5.8 9
1959-01-04 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-047.4 1348 1380 21.61% 26.62% 51.78%-0.53 +5.8 9
1959-01-04 Alliance Dudelange W 4-033.0 1418 1375 53.10% 26.42% 20.48%+0.60 +10.0 16
1959-01-04 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-433.0 1375 1418 20.48% 26.42% 53.10%-0.60 -10.0 14
1959-01-04 SC Tetange D 0-053.8 1488 1417 56.11% 25.88% 18.01%+0.75 -1.1 12
1959-01-04 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-053.8 1417 1488 18.01% 25.88% 56.11%-0.75 +1.1 10
1959-01-11 Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 2-258.1 1365 1354 49.30% 26.91% 23.80%+0.41 -0.5 15
1959-01-11 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.1 1354 1365 23.80% 26.91% 49.30%-0.41 +0.5 10
1959-01-11 Spora Luxembourg W 3-144.0 1486 1428 54.67% 26.16% 19.17%+0.68 +4.3 17
1959-01-11 @ Differdange 03 L 1-344.0 1428 1486 19.17% 26.16% 54.67%-0.68 -4.3 16
1959-01-11 Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.6 1308 1618 14.15% 22.41% 63.44%-1.41 -1.8 10
1959-01-11 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 2-144.6 1618 1308 63.44% 22.41% 14.15%+1.41 +1.8 23
1959-01-11 Progres Niedercorn W 1-039.6 1385 1374 49.28% 26.91% 23.81%+0.41 +3.2 11
1959-01-11 @ Grevenmacher L 0-139.6 1374 1385 23.81% 26.91% 49.28%-0.41 -3.1 9
1959-01-11 Stade Dudelange L 1-249.3 1372 1487 32.56% 27.04% 40.41%-0.31 -3.8 10
1959-01-11 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-149.3 1487 1372 40.41% 27.04% 32.56%+0.31 +3.8 14
1959-01-11 Chiers Rodange W 4-137.8 1418 1354 55.32% 26.04% 18.64%+0.71 +5.9 12
1959-01-11 @ SC Tetange L 1-437.8 1354 1418 18.64% 26.04% 55.32%-0.71 -5.9 9
1959-01-18 Union Luxembourg L 1-445.2 1348 1368 45.54% 27.19% 27.27%+0.24 -12.0 9
1959-01-18 @ Chiers Rodange W 4-145.2 1368 1348 27.27% 27.19% 45.54%-0.24 +12.0 12
1959-01-18 SC Tetange L 0-160.1 1619 1424 67.41% 22.32% 10.27%+1.46 -7.3 23
1959-01-18 @ Jeunesse Esch W 1-060.1 1424 1619 10.27% 22.32% 67.41%-1.46 +7.3 14
1959-01-18 Differdange 03 L 1-248.1 1355 1490 29.99% 26.80% 43.21%-0.42 -3.5 10
1959-01-18 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-148.1 1490 1355 43.21% 26.80% 29.99%+0.42 +3.5 19
1959-01-18 Alliance Dudelange D 3-362.9 1371 1364 48.86% 26.95% 24.19%+0.39 -0.4 10
1959-01-18 @ Progres Niedercorn D 3-362.9 1364 1371 24.19% 26.95% 48.86%-0.39 +0.4 16
1959-01-18 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-140.4 1424 1306 60.67% 24.75% 14.58%+1.02 +1.9 18
1959-01-18 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-240.4 1306 1424 14.58% 24.75% 60.67%-1.02 -1.9 10
1959-01-18 Grevenmacher D 3-366.8 1491 1388 59.29% 25.13% 15.57%+0.94 -0.7 15
1959-01-18 @ Stade Dudelange D 3-366.8 1388 1491 15.57% 25.13% 59.29%-0.94 +0.7 12
1959-01-25 Alliance Dudelange D 1-156.4 1494 1365 61.74% 24.42% 13.83%+1.08 -1.2 20
1959-01-25 @ Differdange 03 D 1-156.4 1365 1494 13.83% 24.42% 61.74%-1.08 +1.2 17
1959-01-25 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 1-040.4 1304 1351 42.00% 27.31% 30.68%+0.08 +3.8 12
1959-01-25 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-140.4 1351 1304 30.68% 27.31% 42.00%-0.08 -3.8 10
1959-01-25 Chiers Rodange L 1-252.7 1389 1336 54.09% 26.26% 19.65%+0.65 -5.7 12
1959-01-25 @ Grevenmacher W 2-152.7 1336 1389 19.65% 26.26% 54.09%-0.65 +5.7 11
1959-01-25 Jeunesse Esch L 1-249.4 1380 1612 19.84% 24.81% 55.35%-0.97 -2.5 12
1959-01-25 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-149.4 1612 1380 55.35% 24.81% 19.84%+0.97 +2.5 25
1959-01-25 Spora Luxembourg L 2-455.9 1431 1426 48.69% 26.97% 24.35%+0.38 -8.0 14
1959-01-25 @ SC Tetange W 4-255.9 1426 1431 24.35% 26.97% 48.69%-0.38 +8.0 20
1959-01-25 Progres Niedercorn L 1-257.2 1490 1371 60.85% 24.70% 14.45%+1.03 -6.3 15
1959-01-25 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-157.2 1371 1490 14.45% 24.70% 60.85%-1.03 +6.3 12
1959-02-01 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.4 1366 1308 54.66% 26.16% 19.18%+0.68 -0.9 18
1959-02-01 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.4 1308 1366 19.18% 26.16% 54.66%-0.68 +0.9 13
1959-02-01 Stade Dudelange L 2-352.7 1342 1484 29.17% 26.71% 44.12%-0.46 -3.3 11
1959-02-01 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-252.7 1484 1342 44.12% 26.71% 29.17%+0.46 +3.3 17
1959-02-01 Grevenmacher W 2-037.0 1615 1383 70.22% 21.03% 8.74%+1.67 +2.2 27
1959-02-01 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-237.0 1383 1615 8.74% 21.03% 70.22%-1.67 -2.2 12
1959-02-01 SC Tetange W 2-147.9 1347 1423 38.02% 27.30% 34.68%-0.08 +4.0 12
1959-02-01 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 1-247.9 1423 1347 34.68% 27.30% 38.02%+0.08 -4.0 14
1959-02-01 Differdange 03 W 1-047.2 1377 1493 32.58% 27.04% 40.38%-0.31 +4.7 14
1959-02-01 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-147.2 1493 1377 40.38% 27.04% 32.58%+0.31 -4.7 20
1959-02-01 Union Luxembourg W 6-240.0 1434 1377 54.50% 26.19% 19.31%+0.67 +6.7 22
1959-02-01 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-640.0 1377 1434 19.31% 26.19% 54.50%-0.67 -6.7 12
1959-02-08 Differdange 03 D 1-154.4 1309 1488 24.99% 26.08% 48.94%-0.67 +0.6 14
1959-02-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-154.4 1488 1309 48.94% 26.08% 24.99%+0.67 -0.6 21
1959-02-08 Spora Luxembourg D 2-260.0 1381 1440 40.26% 27.32% 32.42%+0.01 -0.1 13
1959-02-08 @ Grevenmacher D 2-260.0 1440 1381 32.42% 27.32% 40.26%-0.01 +0.1 23
1959-02-08 Chiers Rodange D 2-258.3 1382 1338 53.08% 26.43% 20.49%+0.59 -0.6 15
1959-02-08 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.3 1338 1382 20.49% 26.43% 53.08%-0.59 +0.6 12
1959-02-08 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-140.6 1371 1351 50.36% 26.79% 22.85%+0.46 +5.0 14
1959-02-08 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-340.6 1351 1371 22.85% 26.79% 50.36%-0.46 -5.0 12
1959-02-08 Alliance Dudelange L 1-253.8 1419 1365 54.28% 26.23% 19.49%+0.66 -5.7 14
1959-02-08 @ SC Tetange W 2-153.8 1365 1419 19.49% 26.23% 54.28%-0.66 +5.7 20
1959-02-08 Jeunesse Esch W 1-056.0 1487 1617 30.76% 26.88% 42.35%-0.39 +4.9 19
1959-02-08 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-156.0 1617 1487 42.35% 26.88% 30.76%+0.39 -4.9 27
1959-02-22 Union Luxembourg L 2-356.6 1371 1376 47.40% 27.07% 25.53%+0.32 -4.8 20
1959-02-22 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-256.6 1376 1371 25.53% 27.07% 47.40%-0.32 +4.8 16
1959-02-22 SC Tetange W 3-035.5 1487 1414 56.35% 25.83% 17.82%+0.77 +6.8 23
1959-02-22 @ Differdange 03 L 0-335.5 1414 1487 17.82% 25.83% 56.35%-0.77 -6.8 14
1959-02-22 Progres Niedercorn L 1-541.6 1310 1381 38.62% 27.31% 34.07%-0.06 -13.6 14
1959-02-22 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 5-141.6 1381 1310 34.07% 27.31% 38.62%+0.06 +13.6 17
1959-02-22 Chiers Rodange W 5-032.4 1612 1339 73.21% 19.51% 7.28%+1.90 +4.3 29
1959-02-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-532.4 1339 1612 7.28% 19.51% 73.21%-1.90 -4.3 12
1959-02-22 Grevenmacher D 0-049.1 1346 1381 43.67% 27.27% 29.06%+0.15 -0.4 13
1959-02-22 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 0-049.1 1381 1346 29.06% 27.27% 43.67%-0.15 +0.4 14
1959-02-22 Stade Dudelange D 1-158.0 1441 1492 41.36% 27.32% 31.32%+0.05 -0.2 24
1959-02-22 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-158.0 1492 1441 31.32% 27.32% 41.36%-0.05 +0.2 20
1959-03-01 Spora Luxembourg D 0-049.9 1335 1440 33.91% 27.13% 38.97%-0.25 +0.1 13
1959-03-01 @ Chiers Rodange D 0-049.9 1440 1335 38.97% 27.13% 33.91%+0.25 -0.1 25
1959-03-01 Alliance Dudelange W 2-144.0 1381 1366 49.83% 26.85% 23.32%+0.43 +2.9 16
1959-03-01 @ Grevenmacher L 1-244.0 1366 1381 23.32% 26.85% 49.83%-0.43 -2.9 20
1959-03-01 Jeunesse Esch W 3-265.8 1395 1616 20.79% 25.10% 54.12%-0.91 +5.3 19
1959-03-01 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-365.8 1616 1395 54.12% 25.10% 20.79%+0.91 -5.3 29
1959-03-01 Differdange 03 W 4-253.9 1381 1494 32.84% 27.06% 40.11%-0.30 +6.8 18
1959-03-01 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-453.9 1494 1381 40.11% 27.06% 32.84%+0.30 -6.8 23
1959-03-01 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-258.5 1407 1296 60.03% 24.93% 15.04%+0.98 -0.9 15
1959-03-01 @ SC Tetange D 2-258.5 1296 1407 15.04% 24.93% 60.03%-0.98 +0.9 15
1959-03-01 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-031.5 1492 1346 63.31% 23.91% 12.78%+1.18 +4.9 22
1959-03-01 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-331.5 1346 1492 12.78% 23.91% 63.31%-1.18 -4.9 13
1959-03-15 Stade Dudelange D 3-365.8 1363 1497 30.14% 26.82% 43.04%-0.42 +0.2 21
1959-03-15 @ Alliance Dudelange D 3-365.8 1497 1363 43.04% 26.82% 30.14%+0.42 -0.2 23
1959-03-15 Grevenmacher L 2-362.5 1487 1384 59.31% 25.13% 15.56%+0.94 -5.8 23
1959-03-15 @ Differdange 03 W 3-262.5 1384 1487 15.56% 25.13% 59.31%-0.94 +5.8 18
1959-03-15 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.2 1297 1387 35.97% 27.23% 36.79%-0.17 +0.0 16
1959-03-15 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.2 1387 1297 36.79% 27.23% 35.97%+0.17 -0.0 19
1959-03-15 Chiers Rodange W 1-038.5 1341 1335 48.75% 26.96% 24.29%+0.38 +3.2 15
1959-03-15 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-138.5 1335 1341 24.29% 26.96% 48.75%-0.38 -3.2 13
1959-03-15 Progres Niedercorn W 3-250.8 1406 1400 48.72% 26.96% 24.31%+0.38 +2.9 17
1959-03-15 @ SC Tetange L 2-350.8 1400 1406 24.31% 26.96% 48.72%-0.38 -2.9 19
1959-03-15 Jeunesse Esch D 3-372.6 1440 1611 25.87% 26.24% 47.89%-0.62 +0.3 26
1959-03-15 @ Spora Luxembourg D 3-372.6 1611 1440 47.89% 26.24% 25.87%+0.62 -0.3 30
1959-04-12 Alliance Dudelange W 3-250.3 1332 1363 44.05% 27.26% 28.69%+0.17 +3.3 15
1959-04-12 @ Chiers Rodange L 2-350.3 1363 1332 28.69% 27.26% 44.05%-0.17 -3.3 21
1959-04-12 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.8 1390 1297 58.28% 25.39% 16.33%+0.88 -1.1 19
1959-04-12 @ Grevenmacher D 1-152.8 1297 1390 16.33% 25.39% 58.28%-0.88 +1.1 17
1959-04-12 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 6-033.7 1611 1344 72.76% 19.75% 7.49%+1.87 +5.2 32
1959-04-12 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-633.7 1344 1611 7.49% 19.75% 72.76%-1.87 -5.3 15
1959-04-12 Spora Luxembourg W 5-141.9 1397 1441 42.48% 27.30% 30.22%+0.10 +11.3 21
1959-04-12 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-541.9 1441 1397 30.22% 27.30% 42.48%-0.10 -11.3 26
1959-04-12 SC Tetange D 2-259.4 1387 1409 45.33% 27.20% 27.46%+0.23 -0.3 20
1959-04-12 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-259.4 1409 1387 27.46% 27.20% 45.33%-0.23 +0.3 18
1959-04-12 Differdange 03 W 2-150.5 1497 1481 49.93% 26.84% 23.23%+0.44 +2.9 25
1959-04-12 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-250.5 1481 1497 23.23% 26.84% 49.93%-0.44 -2.9 23
1959-05-03 Jeunesse Esch W 3-157.3 1360 1616 17.88% 24.13% 57.98%-1.11 +10.3 23
1959-05-03 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-357.3 1616 1360 57.98% 24.13% 17.88%+1.11 -10.3 32
1959-05-03 Chiers Rodange W 2-141.4 1478 1335 63.02% 24.01% 12.97%+1.16 +1.7 25
1959-05-03 @ Differdange 03 L 1-241.4 1335 1478 12.97% 24.01% 63.02%-1.16 -1.7 15
1959-05-03 Stade Dudelange D 1-154.6 1298 1500 22.60% 25.57% 51.83%-0.80 +0.7 18
1959-05-03 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-154.6 1500 1298 51.83% 25.57% 22.60%+0.80 -0.7 26
1959-05-03 Spora Luxembourg W 3-145.7 1339 1429 36.00% 27.23% 36.76%-0.17 +7.2 17
1959-05-03 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 1-345.7 1429 1339 36.76% 27.23% 36.00%+0.17 -7.2 26
1959-05-03 Progres Niedercorn D 2-259.4 1387 1409 45.32% 27.20% 27.48%+0.23 -0.3 21
1959-05-03 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-259.4 1409 1387 27.48% 27.20% 45.32%-0.23 +0.3 22
1959-05-03 Grevenmacher L 0-342.7 1409 1389 50.47% 26.78% 22.75%+0.46 -15.5 18
1959-05-03 @ SC Tetange W 3-042.7 1389 1409 22.75% 26.78% 50.47%-0.46 +15.5 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1959-01-18 10.27% SC Tetange 1424 1 @ Jeunesse Esch 1619 0
2 1958-08-31 13.92% Union Luxembourg 1384 3 @ Stade Dudelange 1512 1
3 1959-01-25 14.45% Progres Niedercorn 1371 2 @ Stade Dudelange 1490 1
4 1958-11-09 15.49% Spora Luxembourg 1401 2 @ Stade Dudelange 1505 1
5 1959-03-15 15.56% Grevenmacher 1384 3 @ Differdange 03 1487 2
6 1959-05-03 17.88% @ Alliance Dudelange 1360 3 Jeunesse Esch 1616 1
7 1958-10-12 18.82% FC Schifflange 95 1324 2 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1386 1
8 1959-02-08 19.49% Alliance Dudelange 1365 2 @ SC Tetange 1419 1
9 1959-01-25 19.65% Chiers Rodange 1336 2 @ Grevenmacher 1389 1
10 1958-11-09 20.11% Alliance Dudelange 1354 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1402 1
11 1959-03-01 20.79% @ Progres Niedercorn 1395 3 Jeunesse Esch 1616 2
12 1958-11-30 21.11% Union Luxembourg 1385 3 @ SC Tetange 1422 2
13 1959-01-04 21.61% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1348 1 @ Progres Niedercorn 1380 0
14 1959-05-03 22.75% Grevenmacher 1389 3 @ SC Tetange 1409 0
15 1959-01-25 24.35% Spora Luxembourg 1426 4 @ SC Tetange 1431 2
16 1958-11-02 24.44% Progres Niedercorn 1374 3 @ Chiers Rodange 1378 1
17 1958-10-19 25.40% Spora Luxembourg 1396 3 @ Union Luxembourg 1392 2
18 1959-02-22 25.53% Union Luxembourg 1376 3 @ Alliance Dudelange 1371 2
19 1958-10-12 25.82% SC Tetange 1409 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1402 0
20 1958-10-19 26.64% Alliance Dudelange 1344 3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1330 0
21 1958-11-02 26.64% Union Luxembourg 1387 3 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1373 0
22 1959-01-18 27.27% Union Luxembourg 1368 4 @ Chiers Rodange 1348 1
23 1958-11-16 29.04% @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1355 3 Stade Dudelange 1499 1
24 1958-11-09 29.65% Differdange 03 1465 3 @ SC Tetange 1426 1
25 1959-02-08 30.76% @ Stade Dudelange 1487 1 Jeunesse Esch 1617 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-05-03 15.52 Grevenmacher 3 1389 22.75% @ SC Tetange 0 1409 50.47% 26.78%
2 1959-01-04 15.39 @ Grevenmacher 5 1369 45.80% Union Luxembourg 0 1387 27.02% 27.18%
3 1958-08-31 14.53 @ Chiers Rodange 4 1363 39.65% SC Tetange 0 1427 33.02% 27.32%
4 1958-11-02 14.40 Union Luxembourg 3 1387 26.64% @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1373 46.21% 27.15%
5 1958-10-19 14.40 Alliance Dudelange 3 1344 26.64% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1330 46.20% 27.16%
6 1958-11-09 13.78 Alliance Dudelange 4 1354 20.11% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1402 53.53% 26.35%
7 1959-02-22 13.58 Progres Niedercorn 5 1381 34.07% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1310 38.62% 27.31%
8 1959-01-18 12.00 Union Luxembourg 4 1368 27.27% @ Chiers Rodange 1 1348 45.54% 27.19%
9 1958-08-31 11.76 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1390 37.06% Differdange 03 0 1473 35.67% 27.27%
10 1959-04-12 11.34 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 1397 42.48% Spora Luxembourg 1 1441 30.22% 27.30%
11 1958-09-07 11.04 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1329 39.97% Progres Niedercorn 0 1391 32.70% 27.32%
12 1958-08-31 11.03 Union Luxembourg 3 1384 13.92% @ Stade Dudelange 1 1512 61.61% 24.47%
13 1959-05-03 10.31 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1360 17.88% Jeunesse Esch 1 1616 57.98% 24.13%
14 1959-01-04 9.96 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1418 53.10% Alliance Dudelange 0 1375 20.48% 26.42%
15 1958-11-09 9.88 Jeunesse Esch 6 1595 54.65% @ Chiers Rodange 1 1369 20.37% 24.98%
16 1958-08-24 9.83 Jeunesse Esch 4 1578 37.51% @ Differdange 03 1 1482 35.29% 27.20%
17 1958-11-02 8.95 Progres Niedercorn 3 1374 24.44% @ Chiers Rodange 1 1378 48.58% 26.97%
18 1958-11-16 8.24 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 3 1355 29.04% Stade Dudelange 1 1499 44.26% 26.69%
19 1958-11-09 8.10 Differdange 03 3 1465 29.65% @ SC Tetange 1 1426 43.06% 27.29%
20 1959-01-25 8.03 Spora Luxembourg 4 1426 24.35% @ SC Tetange 2 1431 48.69% 26.97%
21 1958-08-24 7.91 @ FC Schifflange 95 5 1315 40.83% Chiers Rodange 2 1370 31.85% 27.32%
22 1958-11-30 7.82 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1306 38.72% Grevenmacher 0 1377 33.97% 27.31%
23 1958-11-16 7.81 SC Tetange 2 1418 38.83% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1313 34.03% 27.14%
24 1958-12-07 7.40 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1407 53.97% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1356 19.75% 26.28%
25 1958-10-19 7.30 @ SC Tetange 6 1414 52.06% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1380 21.36% 26.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-03-15 72.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1440 25.87% Jeunesse Esch 3 1611 47.89% 26.24%
2 1959-01-18 66.8 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1491 59.29% Grevenmacher 3 1388 15.57% 25.13%
3 1959-03-01 65.8 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1395 20.79% Jeunesse Esch 2 1616 54.12% 25.10%
4 1959-03-15 65.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1363 30.14% Stade Dudelange 3 1497 43.04% 26.82%
5 1959-01-04 65.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1619 62.19% Differdange 03 1 1485 13.52% 24.28%
6 1958-08-31 64.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1588 72.64% FC Schifflange 95 2 1323 7.55% 19.81%
7 1958-11-02 63.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1401 50.86% Grevenmacher 3 1377 22.41% 26.73%
8 1959-01-18 62.9 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1371 48.86% Alliance Dudelange 3 1364 24.19% 26.95%
9 1958-10-19 62.5 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1505 61.58% Chiers Rodange 2 1377 13.94% 24.47%
10 1959-03-15 62.5 Grevenmacher 3 1384 15.56% @ Differdange 03 2 1487 59.31% 25.13%
11 1958-11-02 60.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1596 58.27% Stade Dudelange 0 1504 16.34% 25.39%
12 1958-11-23 60.9 @ Grevenmacher 2 1377 34.92% Differdange 03 2 1475 37.89% 27.19%
13 1959-01-18 60.1 SC Tetange 1 1424 10.27% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1619 67.41% 22.32%
14 1959-02-08 60.0 @ Grevenmacher 2 1381 40.26% Spora Luxembourg 2 1440 32.42% 27.32%
15 1959-04-12 59.4 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1387 45.33% SC Tetange 2 1409 27.46% 27.20%
16 1959-05-03 59.4 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1387 45.32% Progres Niedercorn 2 1409 27.48% 27.20%
17 1958-12-07 59.2 @ Grevenmacher 2 1370 41.96% SC Tetange 2 1417 30.73% 27.31%
18 1958-08-31 59.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1391 48.80% Grevenmacher 2 1385 24.24% 26.95%
19 1958-11-30 59.1 Union Luxembourg 3 1385 21.11% @ SC Tetange 2 1422 52.36% 26.53%
20 1959-03-01 58.5 @ SC Tetange 2 1407 60.03% FC Schifflange 95 2 1296 15.04% 24.93%
21 1958-11-09 58.3 Spora Luxembourg 2 1401 15.49% @ Stade Dudelange 1 1505 59.41% 25.10%
22 1959-02-08 58.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1382 53.08% Chiers Rodange 2 1338 20.49% 26.43%
23 1958-09-07 58.1 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1324 37.82% Spora Luxembourg 2 1401 34.89% 27.29%
24 1958-11-23 58.1 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1386 57.01% FC Schifflange 95 2 1306 17.30% 25.69%
25 1959-01-11 58.1 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1365 49.30% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1354 23.80% 26.91%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-03-01 31.5 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1492 63.31% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1346 12.78% 23.91%
2 1959-02-22 32.4 @ Jeunesse Esch 5 1612 73.21% Chiers Rodange 0 1339 7.28% 19.51%
3 1958-12-07 32.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1407 53.97% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1356 19.75% 26.28%
4 1959-01-04 33.0 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1418 53.10% Alliance Dudelange 0 1375 20.48% 26.42%
5 1958-10-19 33.5 @ Differdange 03 3 1455 56.50% Progres Niedercorn 0 1380 17.70% 25.80%
6 1959-04-12 33.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1611 72.76% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1344 7.49% 19.75%
7 1958-08-31 34.2 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1380 53.30% Alliance Dudelange 0 1334 20.31% 26.39%
8 1958-11-16 34.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 5 1605 69.62% Progres Niedercorn 0 1382 9.06% 21.32%
9 1959-01-04 35.2 @ Grevenmacher 5 1369 45.80% Union Luxembourg 0 1387 27.02% 27.18%
10 1959-02-22 35.5 @ Differdange 03 3 1487 56.35% SC Tetange 0 1414 17.82% 25.83%
11 1958-12-07 35.6 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1487 65.54% FC Schifflange 95 0 1314 11.37% 23.09%
12 1958-11-30 35.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1370 48.88% Chiers Rodange 0 1363 24.17% 26.95%
13 1958-09-07 36.1 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1329 39.97% Progres Niedercorn 0 1391 32.70% 27.32%
14 1958-08-31 37.0 @ Chiers Rodange 4 1363 39.65% SC Tetange 0 1427 33.02% 27.32%
15 1959-02-01 37.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1615 70.22% Grevenmacher 0 1383 8.74% 21.03%
16 1958-11-02 37.7 @ Differdange 03 3 1462 63.32% FC Schifflange 95 1 1315 12.78% 23.91%
17 1959-01-11 37.8 @ SC Tetange 4 1418 55.32% Chiers Rodange 1 1354 18.64% 26.04%
18 1958-11-30 38.2 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1306 38.72% Grevenmacher 0 1377 33.97% 27.31%
19 1958-11-23 38.4 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1611 68.08% Spora Luxembourg 0 1407 9.89% 22.03%
20 1959-03-15 38.5 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 1341 48.75% Chiers Rodange 0 1335 24.29% 26.96%
21 1958-11-16 38.8 SC Tetange 2 1418 38.83% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1313 34.03% 27.14%
22 1958-11-09 38.9 @ Grevenmacher 1 1378 50.32% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1358 22.88% 26.80%
23 1959-01-04 39.3 @ Chiers Rodange 3 1349 52.34% FC Schifflange 95 1 1313 21.12% 26.54%
24 1958-11-23 39.5 @ Chiers Rodange 1 1359 47.48% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1364 25.45% 27.07%
25 1958-10-19 39.6 Alliance Dudelange 3 1344 26.64% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1330 46.20% 27.16%