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1957-58 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Chiers Rodange

8.25 points above expected

22 points · 13.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fola Esch

6.22 points below expected

10 points · 16.22 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 15 5 2 35 52 20 +32 30.87 +4.13
2 Differdange 03 22 13 4 5 30 46 27 +19 26.46 +3.54
3 Stade Dudelange 22 12 4 6 28 40 27 +13 31.38 -3.38
4 SC Tetange 22 10 5 7 25 32 28 +4 23.85 +1.15
5 Spora Luxembourg 22 8 6 8 22 47 41 +6 25.43 -3.43
6 Chiers Rodange 22 8 6 8 22 47 50 -3 13.75 +8.25
7 Union Luxembourg 22 9 3 10 21 36 45 -9 19.97 +1.03
8 Progres Niedercorn 22 7 6 9 20 40 44 -4 19.63 +0.37
9 Grevenmacher 22 8 4 10 20 34 38 -4 22.01 -2.01
10 Alliance Dudelange 22 7 4 11 18 50 63 -13 20.50 -2.50
11 US Dudelange 22 4 5 13 13 37 51 -14 13.93 -0.93
12 Fola Esch 22 3 4 15 10 26 53 -27 16.22 -6.22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Chiers Rodange 22 13.75 +8.25
2 Jeunesse Esch 35 30.87 +4.13
3 Differdange 03 30 26.46 +3.54
4 SC Tetange 25 23.85 +1.15
5 Union Luxembourg 21 19.97 +1.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fola Esch 10 16.22 -6.22
2 Spora Luxembourg 22 25.43 -3.43
3 Stade Dudelange 28 31.38 -3.38
4 Alliance Dudelange 18 20.50 -2.50
5 Grevenmacher 20 22.01 -2.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 US Dudelange 4 Dec 1 – Dec 29 1 in 91
2 Chiers Rodange 2 Oct 20 – Oct 27 1 in 19
3 Union Luxembourg 4 Oct 27 – Dec 15 1 in 18
4 Jeunesse Esch 5 Oct 13 – Dec 1 1 in 15
5 Differdange 03 4 Oct 13 – Nov 3 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 7 Oct 13 – Dec 22 1 in 845
2 Stade Dudelange 3 Mar 9 – Mar 30 1 in 463
3 Fola Esch 7 Sep 22 – Dec 1 1 in 246
4 Union Luxembourg 5 Aug 18 – Sep 22 1 in 28
5 SC Tetange 2 Mar 9 – Mar 23 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Progres Niedercorn 5 Jan 26 – Mar 30 1 in 53
2 Chiers Rodange 6 Feb 2 – Apr 27 1 in 45
3 US Dudelange 5 Dec 1 – Jan 5 1 in 34
4 SC Tetange 8 Sep 22 – Dec 15 1 in 30
5 Jeunesse Esch 10 Aug 25 – Dec 1 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 8 Oct 20 – Jan 5 1 in 80
2 Fola Esch 12 Sep 22 – Jan 19 1 in 40
3 Alliance Dudelange 7 Oct 13 – Dec 22 1 in 27
4 Stade Dudelange 3 Mar 9 – Mar 30 1 in 20
5 SC Tetange 4 Dec 15 – Jan 5 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1565 35 +28 8 7.8 +0.2
Differdange 03 1412 30 +5 7 6.8 +0.2
Stade Dudelange 1453 28 -78 4 7.5 -3.5
SC Tetange 1329 25 -3 4 5.1 -1.1
Chiers Rodange 1233 22 +56 7 4.7 +2.3
Spora Luxembourg 1264 22 -68 3 5.0 -2.0
Union Luxembourg 1251 21 +25 7 5.2 +1.8
Grevenmacher 1262 20 +36 6 3.7 +2.3
Progres Niedercorn 1271 20 +71 6 3.7 +2.3
Alliance Dudelange 1160 18 +7 4 3.5 +0.5
US Dudelange 1109 13 -57 2 3.5 -1.5
Fola Esch 1077 10 -20 2 3.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD CR D0 FE GRE JE PN ST SL SD UD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
0-0-2
3.70
0-0-2
1.99
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.51
0-0-2
1.29
0-2-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
3.78
1-0-1
2.68
Chiers Rodange
2-0-0
1.86
 —
1-0-1
1.14
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
1.71
0-0-2
0.95
1-0-1
2.16
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-1
1.19
1-0-1
0.80
1-1-0
2.69
0-2-0
1.71
Differdange 03
2-0-0
3.57
1-0-1
4.45
 —
2-0-0
3.96
0-1-1
3.81
0-2-0
2.28
1-1-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
1.78
2-0-0
4.22
1-0-1
3.72
Fola Esch
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
3.15
0-0-2
1.62
 —
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
2.22
0-2-0
2.32
1-0-1
1.31
0-0-2
1.17
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.29
Grevenmacher
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
3.86
1-1-0
1.75
1-0-1
3.55
 —
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
1.50
1-0-1
3.50
2-0-0
2.77
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.64
0-2-0
3.27
2-0-0
4.67
2-0-0
3.99
 —
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
4.19
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
4.67
2-0-0
4.15
Progres Niedercorn
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
1.56
 —
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
1.70
1-1-0
1.13
1-0-1
3.83
1-0-1
2.50
SC Tetange
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
4.06
0-0-2
2.38
0-2-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-2
1.85
1-1-0
2.86
 —
1-1-0
2.61
1-0-1
1.81
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
3.23
Spora Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
4.38
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
4.26
1-1-0
3.22
0-1-1
1.37
1-0-1
3.86
0-1-1
2.94
 —
0-1-1
1.86
1-1-0
4.34
1-0-1
3.45
Stade Dudelange
1-0-1
3.95
1-0-1
4.81
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
4.43
1-0-1
4.07
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
4.45
1-0-1
3.75
1-1-0
3.70
 —
1-1-0
4.63
1-1-0
4.20
US Dudelange
1-0-1
1.78
0-1-1
2.87
0-0-2
1.36
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
0.92
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
1.23
0-1-1
0.98
 —
0-0-2
2.14
Union Luxembourg
1-0-1
2.87
0-2-0
3.84
1-0-1
1.84
2-0-0
3.27
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.11
0-1-1
1.37
2-0-0
3.42
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.34 +5.1
Allowed 0.71 -4.5
Differential 0.94 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%5.68%4.92%2.65%1.14%0.76%18.18%
15.68%10.61%6.06%4.17%2.65%1.89%31.06%
24.92%6.06%5.30%2.65%1.52%2.65%23.11%
32.65%4.17%2.65%2.27%1.14%1.14%14.02%
41.14%2.65%1.52%1.14%—0.38%6.82%
5+0.76%1.89%2.65%1.14%0.38%—6.82%
Total18.18%31.06%23.11%14.02%6.82%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.84 1.84 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.16
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
14.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
2——9.09%——13.64%22.73%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total4.55%18.18%31.82%9.09%9.09%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 2.86 -0.59
SD 1.80 1.73 2.54
CV 0.79 0.60 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%—9.09%36.36%
24.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total4.55%36.36%18.18%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.27 -0.14
SD 1.46 1.52 2.32
CV 0.68 0.67 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%18.18%9.09%9.09%——45.45%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3—18.18%————18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total18.18%50.00%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.23 +0.86
SD 1.44 0.87 1.81
CV 0.69 0.71 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
14.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%13.64%—40.91%
2——9.09%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%36.36%13.64%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.41 -1.23
SD 1.01 1.53 1.69
CV 0.85 0.64 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%27.27%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.73 -0.18
SD 1.50 1.55 1.94
CV 0.97 0.90 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
113.64%13.64%————27.27%
213.64%4.55%————18.18%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
Total45.45%36.36%4.55%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.91 +1.45
SD 1.92 1.15 1.74
CV 0.81 1.27 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—13.64%—4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%36.36%13.64%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.00 -0.18
SD 1.65 1.57 2.48
CV 0.91 0.79 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
113.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
29.09%—4.55%———13.64%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%18.18%31.82%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.27 +0.18
SD 1.26 1.20 1.76
CV 0.87 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total9.09%31.82%31.82%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.86 +0.27
SD 1.83 1.17 2.07
CV 0.86 0.63 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
19.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
218.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.23 +0.59
SD 1.26 1.19 1.65
CV 0.69 0.97 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
34.55%——4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%22.73%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.32 -0.64
SD 1.29 1.62 2.06
CV 0.77 0.70 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%—9.09%22.73%
19.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
39.09%————4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%22.73%9.09%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.05 -0.41
SD 1.56 1.96 2.61
CV 0.95 0.96 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1565 35 30.87 +4.13 95.0% 24 25 29 31 33 35 38
Stade Dudelange 1453 28 31.38 -3.38 20.0% 22 25 29 32 34 36 38
Differdange 03 1412 30 26.46 +3.54 82.0% 18 20 24 26 29 32 34
SC Tetange 1329 25 23.85 +1.15 70.0% 16 17 22 24 26 30 35
Progres Niedercorn 1271 20 19.63 +0.37 58.0% 10 14 17 20 22 26 28
Spora Luxembourg 1264 22 25.43 -3.43 18.0% 18 20 23 25 28 31 32
Grevenmacher 1262 20 22.01 -2.01 38.0% 14 16 20 22 24 28 32
Union Luxembourg 1251 21 19.97 +1.03 64.0% 13 14 18 19 23 26 28
Chiers Rodange 1233 22 13.75 +8.25 100.0% 7 8 11 14 16 19 22
Alliance Dudelange 1160 18 20.50 -2.50 27.0% 8 14 18 21 23 26 30
US Dudelange 1109 13 13.93 -0.93 50.0% 6 8 11 13 17 21 23
Fola Esch 1077 10 16.22 -6.22 6.0% 6 10 13 17 19 23 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.79%
Strong Edge
53.79%21.21%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
249 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0102.93800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.91 * Some Luck: 2.91 to 4.36 * Lucky: 4.36 to 5.81 * Wild Swing: 5.81 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 * Close: 1.15 to 1.72 * Off: 1.72 to 2.29 * Way Off: 2.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.80 points
Some Luck
03.639
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Off
01.433
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Chiers Rodange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Fola Esch
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 141.28
1.66
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Occasional
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.14
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.54
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.74
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.80
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.084
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch45.00%30.00%14.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Differdange 035.00%21.00%20.00%21.00%16.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%———
Stade Dudelange44.00%33.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%——————
SC Tetange3.00%3.00%11.00%19.00%23.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Spora Luxembourg3.00%8.00%27.00%21.00%12.00%14.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%———
Chiers Rodange—————1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%24.00%27.00%34.00%
Union Luxembourg——5.00%4.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%23.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%1.00%
Progres Niedercorn——4.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%26.00%10.00%16.00%12.00%10.00%2.00%
Grevenmacher—4.00%4.00%11.00%16.00%16.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%1.00%—
Alliance Dudelange—1.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%14.00%19.00%16.00%15.00%6.00%12.00%1.00%
US Dudelange————3.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%14.00%25.00%39.00%
Fola Esch——1.00%—3.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%18.00%24.00%16.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Differdange 03 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Spora Luxembourg 100% —
Stade Dudelange 100% —
Grevenmacher 99.00% 1.00%
SC Tetange 99.00% 1.00%
Union Luxembourg 91.00% 9.00%
Progres Niedercorn 88.00% 12.00%
Alliance Dudelange 87.00% 13.00%
Fola Esch 61.00% 39.00%
Chiers Rodange 39.00% 61.00%
US Dudelange 36.00% 64.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1957-08-18 Union Luxembourg W 3-244.7 1285 1278 58.38% 22.31% 19.31%+0.44 +7.6 2
1957-08-18 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-344.7 1278 1285 19.31% 22.31% 58.38%-0.44 -7.6 0
1957-08-18 SC Tetange D 1-153.0 1226 1225 57.87% 22.33% 19.80%+0.42 -3.2 1
1957-08-18 @ Fola Esch D 1-153.0 1225 1226 19.80% 22.33% 57.87%-0.42 +3.2 1
1957-08-18 Chiers Rodange D 1-153.4 1320 1053 74.48% 20.44% 5.08%+1.49 -6.5 1
1957-08-18 @ Grevenmacher D 1-153.4 1053 1320 5.08% 20.44% 74.48%-1.49 +6.5 1
1957-08-18 US Dudelange W 6-230.6 1308 1087 72.64% 20.89% 6.47%+1.30 +7.8 2
1957-08-18 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-630.6 1087 1308 6.47% 20.89% 72.64%-1.30 -7.8 0
1957-08-18 Differdange 03 W 3-137.9 1356 1339 59.42% 22.27% 18.31%+0.48 +13.2 2
1957-08-18 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-337.9 1339 1356 18.31% 22.27% 59.42%-0.48 -13.2 0
1957-08-18 Jeunesse Esch W 2-036.5 1506 1406 66.00% 21.85% 12.14%+0.81 +10.6 2
1957-08-18 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-236.5 1406 1506 12.14% 21.85% 66.00%-0.81 -10.6 0
1957-08-25 Spora Luxembourg L 1-239.8 1059 1369 20.03% 21.83% 58.14%-0.83 -8.2 1
1957-08-25 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-139.8 1369 1059 58.14% 21.83% 20.03%+0.83 +8.2 4
1957-08-25 Stade Dudelange W 3-148.4 1325 1517 33.65% 22.38% 43.98%-0.36 +27.0 2
1957-08-25 @ Differdange 03 L 1-348.4 1517 1325 43.98% 22.38% 33.65%+0.36 -27.0 2
1957-08-25 Progres Niedercorn W 3-248.0 1223 1316 47.10% 22.50% 30.40%+0.04 +11.0 3
1957-08-25 @ Fola Esch L 2-348.0 1316 1223 30.40% 22.50% 47.10%-0.04 -11.0 2
1957-08-25 Grevenmacher L 1-250.5 1271 1313 53.27% 22.44% 24.28%+0.24 -18.5 0
1957-08-25 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-150.5 1313 1271 24.28% 22.44% 53.27%-0.24 +18.5 3
1957-08-25 Jeunesse Esch L 0-238.3 1228 1396 36.84% 22.43% 40.73%-0.26 -27.1 1
1957-08-25 @ SC Tetange W 2-038.3 1396 1228 40.73% 22.43% 36.84%+0.26 +27.1 2
1957-08-25 Alliance Dudelange L 3-451.1 1080 1292 30.82% 22.31% 46.87%-0.44 -10.9 0
1957-08-25 @ US Dudelange W 4-351.1 1292 1080 46.87% 22.31% 30.82%+0.44 +10.9 4
1957-09-02 Fola Esch W 4-132.6 1303 1234 63.84% 22.03% 14.13%+0.69 +14.9 6
1957-09-02 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-432.6 1234 1303 14.13% 22.03% 63.84%-0.69 -14.9 3
1957-09-02 US Dudelange W 5-127.4 1332 1069 74.34% 20.48% 5.18%+1.47 +7.4 5
1957-09-02 @ Grevenmacher L 1-527.4 1069 1332 5.18% 20.48% 74.34%-1.47 -7.4 0
1957-09-02 Differdange 03 D 1-155.9 1423 1352 63.92% 22.02% 14.06%+0.70 -4.4 3
1957-09-02 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.9 1352 1423 14.06% 22.02% 63.92%-0.70 +4.4 3
1957-09-02 SC Tetange L 0-442.2 1305 1201 66.31% 21.82% 11.86%+0.83 -87.2 2
1957-09-02 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-042.2 1201 1305 11.86% 21.82% 66.31%-0.83 +87.2 3
1957-09-02 Union Luxembourg W 4-132.0 1377 1252 67.66% 21.68% 10.65%+0.92 +11.5 6
1957-09-02 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-432.0 1252 1377 10.65% 21.68% 67.66%-0.92 -11.5 0
1957-09-02 Chiers Rodange W 5-126.2 1490 1051 79.57% 18.37% 2.06%+2.18 +2.9 4
1957-09-02 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-526.2 1051 1490 2.06% 18.37% 79.57%-2.18 -2.8 1
1957-09-15 Jeunesse Esch L 1-630.1 1048 1419 14.97% 21.39% 63.64%-1.07 -24.5 1
1957-09-15 @ Chiers Rodange W 6-130.1 1419 1048 63.64% 21.39% 14.97%+1.07 +24.5 5
1957-09-15 Grevenmacher W 1-040.7 1219 1339 43.53% 22.50% 33.97%-0.07 +13.5 5
1957-09-15 @ Fola Esch L 0-140.7 1339 1219 33.97% 22.50% 43.53%+0.07 -13.5 5
1957-09-15 Alliance Dudelange D 2-257.7 1218 1318 46.19% 22.50% 31.31%+0.01 -0.9 3
1957-09-15 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.7 1318 1218 31.31% 22.50% 46.19%-0.01 +0.9 7
1957-09-15 Stade Dudelange L 1-243.8 1241 1492 26.11% 22.15% 51.74%-0.60 -10.2 0
1957-09-15 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-143.8 1492 1241 51.74% 22.15% 26.11%+0.60 +10.2 6
1957-09-15 Differdange 03 L 1-347.0 1288 1357 50.19% 22.48% 27.33%+0.14 -30.3 3
1957-09-15 @ SC Tetange W 3-147.0 1357 1288 27.33% 22.48% 50.19%-0.14 +30.3 5
1957-09-15 Spora Luxembourg L 3-543.1 1061 1389 18.41% 21.71% 59.89%-0.90 -11.1 0
1957-09-15 @ US Dudelange W 5-343.1 1389 1061 59.89% 21.71% 18.41%+0.90 +11.1 8
1957-09-22 SC Tetange D 1-153.6 1319 1258 63.19% 22.07% 14.73%+0.66 -4.3 8
1957-09-22 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-153.6 1258 1319 14.73% 22.07% 63.19%-0.66 +4.3 4
1957-09-22 Chiers Rodange W 4-235.0 1387 1024 77.60% 19.34% 3.06%+1.87 +2.1 7
1957-09-22 @ Differdange 03 L 2-435.0 1024 1387 3.06% 19.34% 77.60%-1.87 -2.1 1
1957-09-22 Progres Niedercorn W 4-238.7 1326 1217 66.62% 21.79% 11.58%+0.85 +7.9 7
1957-09-22 @ Grevenmacher L 2-438.7 1217 1326 11.58% 21.79% 66.62%-0.85 -7.9 3
1957-09-22 Union Luxembourg W 7-333.5 1443 1231 72.27% 20.97% 6.76%+1.27 +7.5 7
1957-09-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 3-733.5 1231 1443 6.76% 20.97% 72.27%-1.27 -7.4 0
1957-09-22 Fola Esch W 4-131.3 1400 1232 70.11% 21.36% 8.53%+1.09 +9.3 10
1957-09-22 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-431.3 1232 1400 8.53% 21.36% 70.11%-1.09 -9.3 5
1957-09-22 US Dudelange D 2-259.1 1503 1050 79.91% 18.18% 1.91%+2.23 -5.4 7
1957-09-22 @ Stade Dudelange D 2-259.1 1050 1503 1.91% 18.18% 79.91%-2.23 +5.4 1
1957-10-06 Grevenmacher W 7-235.4 1315 1333 55.86% 22.39% 21.76%+0.34 +28.7 10
1957-10-06 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-735.4 1333 1315 21.76% 22.39% 55.86%-0.34 -28.7 7
1957-10-06 SC Tetange L 0-331.6 1022 1262 27.46% 22.20% 50.34%-0.55 -31.0 1
1957-10-06 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-031.6 1262 1022 50.34% 22.20% 27.46%+0.55 +31.0 6
1957-10-06 Stade Dudelange L 0-138.9 1223 1497 23.58% 22.03% 54.39%-0.69 -10.0 5
1957-10-06 @ Fola Esch W 1-038.9 1497 1223 54.39% 22.03% 23.58%+0.69 +10.0 9
1957-10-06 Spora Luxembourg W 3-038.0 1209 1409 32.44% 22.35% 45.21%-0.39 +46.3 5
1957-10-06 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-338.0 1409 1209 45.21% 22.35% 32.44%+0.39 -46.3 10
1957-10-06 Differdange 03 W 2-146.9 1223 1389 37.14% 22.44% 40.43%-0.25 +14.5 2
1957-10-06 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-246.9 1389 1223 40.43% 22.44% 37.14%+0.25 -14.5 7
1957-10-06 Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.5 1056 1450 13.25% 21.18% 65.57%-1.17 +4.6 2
1957-10-06 @ US Dudelange D 1-153.5 1450 1056 65.57% 21.18% 13.25%+1.17 -4.6 8
1957-10-13 Union Luxembourg D 2-257.2 991 1238 26.66% 22.17% 51.17%-0.58 +1.5 2
1957-10-13 @ Chiers Rodange D 2-257.2 1238 991 51.17% 22.17% 26.66%+0.58 -1.5 3
1957-10-13 US Dudelange W 2-026.9 1375 1060 76.13% 19.92% 3.95%+1.68 +3.5 9
1957-10-13 @ Differdange 03 L 0-226.9 1060 1375 3.95% 19.92% 76.13%-1.68 -3.5 2
1957-10-13 Fola Esch W 4-130.6 1446 1213 73.15% 20.78% 6.07%+1.35 +6.7 10
1957-10-13 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-430.6 1213 1446 6.07% 20.78% 73.15%-1.35 -6.7 5
1957-10-13 Grevenmacher W 1-037.0 1293 1305 56.56% 22.37% 21.07%+0.37 +9.1 8
1957-10-13 @ SC Tetange L 0-137.0 1305 1293 21.07% 22.37% 56.56%-0.37 -9.1 7
1957-10-13 Alliance Dudelange W 5-238.7 1363 1343 59.62% 22.26% 18.12%+0.49 +16.0 12
1957-10-13 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-538.7 1343 1363 18.12% 22.26% 59.62%-0.49 -16.0 10
1957-10-13 Progres Niedercorn D 1-156.1 1507 1255 73.92% 20.59% 5.49%+1.43 -6.4 10
1957-10-13 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-156.1 1255 1507 5.49% 20.59% 73.92%-1.43 +6.3 6
1957-10-20 Stade Dudelange L 2-546.5 1327 1501 36.07% 22.42% 41.50%-0.28 -28.2 10
1957-10-20 @ Alliance Dudelange W 5-246.5 1501 1327 41.50% 22.42% 36.07%+0.28 +28.2 12
1957-10-20 Differdange 03 L 0-141.5 1206 1378 36.30% 22.42% 41.28%-0.28 -14.2 5
1957-10-20 @ Fola Esch W 1-041.5 1378 1206 41.28% 22.42% 36.30%+0.28 +14.2 11
1957-10-20 Spora Luxembourg D 0-051.0 1296 1379 48.37% 22.49% 29.14%+0.08 -1.7 8
1957-10-20 @ Grevenmacher D 0-051.0 1379 1296 29.14% 22.49% 48.37%-0.08 +1.7 13
1957-10-20 Jeunesse Esch L 0-141.9 1262 1452 33.70% 22.38% 43.92%-0.35 -13.4 6
1957-10-20 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-041.9 1452 1262 43.92% 22.38% 33.70%+0.35 +13.4 12
1957-10-20 SC Tetange L 0-241.9 1236 1302 50.53% 22.48% 26.99%+0.15 -35.2 3
1957-10-20 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-041.9 1302 1236 26.99% 22.48% 50.53%-0.15 +35.2 10
1957-10-20 Chiers Rodange L 1-252.6 1057 992 63.43% 22.06% 14.52%+0.67 -21.9 2
1957-10-20 @ US Dudelange W 2-152.6 992 1057 14.52% 22.06% 63.43%-0.67 +21.9 4
1957-10-27 Fola Esch W 3-250.9 1014 1192 35.49% 22.41% 42.10%-0.30 +14.3 6
1957-10-27 @ Chiers Rodange L 2-350.9 1192 1014 42.10% 22.41% 35.49%+0.30 -14.2 5
1957-10-27 Progres Niedercorn W 3-134.5 1392 1248 68.80% 21.55% 9.66%+0.99 +7.4 13
1957-10-27 @ Differdange 03 L 1-334.5 1248 1392 9.66% 21.55% 68.80%-0.99 -7.4 6
1957-10-27 Alliance Dudelange W 5-448.9 1466 1299 70.05% 21.37% 8.58%+1.08 +3.5 14
1957-10-27 @ Jeunesse Esch L 4-548.9 1299 1466 8.58% 21.37% 70.05%-1.08 -3.5 10
1957-10-27 US Dudelange W 1-032.1 1201 1035 70.03% 21.37% 8.60%+1.08 +4.1 5
1957-10-27 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-132.1 1035 1201 8.60% 21.37% 70.03%-1.08 -4.1 2
1957-10-27 Spora Luxembourg D 0-051.6 1337 1381 53.14% 22.44% 24.41%+0.24 -2.7 11
1957-10-27 @ SC Tetange D 0-051.6 1381 1337 24.41% 22.44% 53.14%-0.24 +2.7 14
1957-10-27 Grevenmacher W 2-031.6 1529 1294 73.25% 20.76% 6.00%+1.36 +5.4 14
1957-10-27 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-231.6 1294 1529 6.00% 20.76% 73.25%-1.36 -5.4 8
1957-11-03 Differdange 03 L 1-249.3 1296 1400 45.72% 22.50% 31.78%+0.00 -16.1 10
1957-11-03 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-149.3 1400 1296 31.78% 22.50% 45.72%+0.00 +16.1 15
1957-11-03 Union Luxembourg L 0-242.8 1178 1205 54.93% 22.41% 22.66%+0.30 -38.0 5
1957-11-03 @ Fola Esch W 2-042.8 1205 1178 22.66% 22.41% 54.93%-0.30 +38.0 7
1957-11-03 Jeunesse Esch L 0-336.6 1288 1469 35.06% 22.40% 42.54%-0.31 -37.8 8
1957-11-03 @ Grevenmacher W 3-036.6 1469 1288 42.54% 22.40% 35.06%+0.31 +37.8 16
1957-11-03 Chiers Rodange W 3-132.3 1241 1029 72.26% 20.97% 6.76%+1.27 +5.3 8
1957-11-03 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-332.3 1029 1241 6.76% 20.97% 72.26%-1.27 -5.3 6
1957-11-03 Stade Dudelange D 1-159.7 1383 1535 39.25% 22.46% 38.29%-0.19 -0.1 15
1957-11-03 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-159.7 1535 1383 38.29% 22.46% 39.25%+0.19 +0.1 15
1957-11-03 SC Tetange L 2-344.4 1031 1335 20.58% 21.86% 57.56%-0.81 -7.9 2
1957-11-03 @ US Dudelange W 3-244.4 1335 1031 57.56% 21.86% 20.58%+0.81 +7.9 13
1957-12-01 Alliance Dudelange W 6-141.3 1023 1280 25.58% 22.13% 52.30%-0.62 +70.1 8
1957-12-01 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-641.3 1280 1023 52.30% 22.13% 25.58%+0.62 -70.1 10
1957-12-01 Grevenmacher D 1-154.5 1416 1251 69.96% 21.38% 8.66%+1.08 -5.6 16
1957-12-01 @ Differdange 03 D 1-154.5 1251 1416 8.66% 21.38% 69.96%-1.08 +5.6 9
1957-12-01 Spora Luxembourg W 1-038.9 1507 1383 67.58% 21.69% 10.72%+0.91 +5.0 18
1957-12-01 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-138.9 1383 1507 10.72% 21.69% 67.58%-0.91 -5.0 15
1957-12-01 Progres Niedercorn W 1-036.2 1243 1246 57.46% 22.34% 20.20%+0.40 +8.8 9
1957-12-01 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-136.2 1246 1243 20.20% 22.34% 57.46%-0.40 -8.8 8
1957-12-01 Stade Dudelange W 1-048.7 1343 1535 33.54% 22.37% 44.08%-0.36 +16.5 15
1957-12-01 @ SC Tetange L 0-148.7 1535 1343 44.08% 22.37% 33.54%+0.36 -16.5 15
1957-12-01 Fola Esch W 4-032.2 1023 1140 43.98% 22.50% 33.52%-0.06 +47.7 4
1957-12-01 @ US Dudelange L 0-432.2 1140 1023 33.52% 22.50% 43.98%+0.06 -47.7 5
1957-12-15 Grevenmacher W 2-038.3 1093 1256 37.55% 22.44% 40.00%-0.24 +28.9 10
1957-12-15 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-238.3 1256 1093 40.00% 22.44% 37.55%+0.24 -28.8 9
1957-12-15 Spora Luxembourg W 2-142.1 1410 1378 60.72% 22.21% 17.07%+0.54 +7.2 18
1957-12-15 @ Differdange 03 L 1-242.1 1378 1410 17.07% 22.21% 60.72%-0.54 -7.2 15
1957-12-15 Stade Dudelange L 0-158.0 1512 1518 57.17% 22.35% 20.48%+0.39 -21.0 18
1957-12-15 @ Jeunesse Esch W 1-058.0 1518 1512 20.48% 22.35% 57.17%-0.39 +21.0 17
1957-12-15 Alliance Dudelange W 3-028.5 1252 1209 61.65% 22.16% 16.19%+0.58 +19.9 11
1957-12-15 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-328.5 1209 1252 16.19% 22.16% 61.65%-0.58 -19.9 10
1957-12-15 Fola Esch D 2-258.0 1359 1092 74.50% 20.43% 5.07%+1.49 -4.8 16
1957-12-15 @ SC Tetange D 2-258.0 1092 1359 5.07% 20.43% 74.50%-1.49 +4.8 6
1957-12-15 Progres Niedercorn W 3-035.6 1070 1237 37.00% 22.44% 40.56%-0.26 +42.4 6
1957-12-15 @ US Dudelange L 0-335.6 1237 1070 40.56% 22.44% 37.00%+0.26 -42.4 8
1957-12-22 US Dudelange L 1-447.1 1190 1113 64.38% 21.99% 13.63%+0.72 -54.6 10
1957-12-22 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-147.1 1113 1190 13.63% 21.99% 64.38%-0.72 +54.6 8
1957-12-22 Union Luxembourg W 4-242.6 1227 1272 53.04% 22.45% 24.51%+0.24 +15.1 11
1957-12-22 @ Grevenmacher L 2-442.6 1272 1227 24.51% 22.45% 53.04%-0.24 -15.1 11
1957-12-22 SC Tetange W 2-033.7 1491 1354 68.38% 21.60% 10.02%+0.97 +8.9 20
1957-12-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-233.7 1354 1491 10.02% 21.60% 68.38%-0.97 -8.9 16
1957-12-22 Fola Esch W 2-137.3 1195 1097 65.90% 21.86% 12.23%+0.81 +5.3 10
1957-12-22 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-237.3 1097 1195 12.23% 21.86% 65.90%-0.81 -5.3 6
1957-12-22 Chiers Rodange D 3-362.3 1371 1122 73.80% 20.62% 5.58%+1.42 -3.9 16
1957-12-22 @ Spora Luxembourg D 3-362.3 1122 1371 5.58% 20.62% 73.80%-1.42 +3.9 11
1957-12-22 Differdange 03 W 2-037.6 1539 1417 67.45% 21.71% 10.84%+0.90 +9.5 19
1957-12-22 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-237.6 1417 1539 10.84% 21.71% 67.45%-0.90 -9.5 18
1957-12-29 Stade Dudelange W 2-155.1 1126 1549 11.54% 20.93% 67.53%-1.29 +23.2 13
1957-12-29 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-255.1 1549 1126 67.53% 20.93% 11.54%+1.29 -23.2 19
1957-12-29 Jeunesse Esch D 1-159.3 1408 1500 47.24% 22.50% 30.26%+0.04 -1.4 19
1957-12-29 @ Differdange 03 D 1-159.3 1500 1408 30.26% 22.50% 47.24%-0.04 +1.4 21
1957-12-29 Alliance Dudelange L 0-145.8 1091 1135 53.15% 22.44% 24.41%+0.24 -19.5 6
1957-12-29 @ Fola Esch W 1-045.8 1135 1091 24.41% 22.44% 53.15%-0.24 +19.5 12
1957-12-29 Spora Luxembourg W 2-144.6 1257 1367 44.85% 22.50% 32.65%-0.03 +12.3 13
1957-12-29 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-244.6 1367 1257 32.65% 22.50% 44.85%+0.03 -12.3 16
1957-12-29 Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.6 1345 1200 68.86% 21.54% 9.60%+1.00 -5.4 17
1957-12-29 @ SC Tetange D 1-153.6 1200 1345 9.60% 21.54% 68.86%-1.00 +5.4 11
1957-12-29 Grevenmacher W 2-142.4 1167 1243 49.39% 22.49% 28.12%+0.11 +10.9 10
1957-12-29 @ US Dudelange L 1-242.4 1243 1167 28.12% 22.49% 49.39%-0.11 -10.9 11
1958-01-05 SC Tetange W 4-134.7 1406 1340 63.59% 22.05% 14.36%+0.68 +15.1 21
1958-01-05 @ Differdange 03 L 1-434.7 1340 1406 14.36% 22.05% 63.59%-0.68 -15.1 17
1958-01-05 Fola Esch W 2-028.6 1232 1072 69.67% 21.43% 8.90%+1.06 +7.9 13
1958-01-05 @ Grevenmacher L 0-228.6 1072 1232 8.90% 21.43% 69.67%-1.06 -7.9 6
1958-01-05 Chiers Rodange W 3-132.0 1501 1149 77.29% 19.47% 3.24%+1.83 +2.5 23
1958-01-05 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-332.0 1149 1501 3.24% 19.47% 77.29%-1.83 -2.5 13
1958-01-05 US Dudelange D 2-258.0 1355 1178 70.57% 21.29% 8.15%+1.12 -4.3 17
1958-01-05 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-258.0 1178 1355 8.15% 21.29% 70.57%-1.12 +4.3 11
1958-01-05 Union Luxembourg D 0-053.6 1525 1269 74.09% 20.54% 5.37%+1.45 -7.1 20
1958-01-05 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-053.6 1269 1525 5.37% 20.54% 74.09%-1.45 +7.1 14
1958-01-19 Union Luxembourg W 5-026.6 1422 1276 68.88% 21.54% 9.59%+1.00 +19.9 23
1958-01-19 @ Differdange 03 L 0-526.6 1276 1422 9.59% 21.54% 68.88%-1.00 -19.9 14
1958-01-19 Alliance Dudelange D 1-153.0 1240 1155 64.99% 21.94% 13.07%+0.76 -4.6 14
1958-01-19 @ Grevenmacher D 1-153.0 1155 1240 13.07% 21.94% 64.99%-0.76 +4.6 13
1958-01-19 US Dudelange W 2-028.3 1504 1183 76.36% 19.83% 3.81%+1.71 +3.4 25
1958-01-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-228.3 1183 1504 3.81% 19.83% 76.36%-1.71 -3.4 11
1958-01-19 Progres Niedercorn W 6-128.9 1351 1206 68.86% 21.54% 9.60%+1.00 +16.5 19
1958-01-19 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-628.9 1206 1351 9.60% 21.54% 68.86%-1.00 -16.5 11
1958-01-19 Fola Esch W 2-133.8 1518 1064 79.95% 18.16% 1.89%+2.24 +0.8 22
1958-01-19 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-233.8 1064 1518 1.89% 18.16% 79.95%-2.24 -0.8 6
1958-01-26 Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.3 1159 1189 54.65% 22.42% 22.94%+0.29 -2.0 14
1958-01-26 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-257.3 1189 1159 22.94% 22.42% 54.65%-0.29 +2.0 12
1958-01-26 Chiers Rodange W 4-344.2 1325 1147 70.64% 21.28% 8.09%+1.13 +3.4 19
1958-01-26 @ SC Tetange L 3-444.2 1147 1325 8.09% 21.28% 70.64%-1.13 -3.3 13
1958-02-02 Differdange 03 W 3-148.4 1143 1441 21.16% 21.90% 56.94%-0.78 +33.9 15
1958-02-02 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-348.4 1441 1143 56.94% 21.90% 21.16%+0.78 -33.9 23
1958-02-02 Spora Luxembourg W 3-148.0 1063 1367 20.57% 21.86% 57.56%-0.81 +34.3 8
1958-02-02 @ Fola Esch L 1-348.0 1367 1063 57.56% 21.86% 20.57%+0.81 -34.3 19
1958-02-02 Grevenmacher W 4-349.3 1191 1235 53.10% 22.44% 24.45%+0.24 +9.0 14
1958-02-02 @ Progres Niedercorn L 3-449.3 1235 1191 24.45% 22.44% 53.10%-0.24 -9.0 14
1958-02-02 Jeunesse Esch L 0-334.0 1256 1507 26.17% 22.15% 51.68%-0.60 -29.8 14
1958-02-02 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-034.0 1507 1256 51.68% 22.15% 26.17%+0.60 +29.8 27
1958-02-02 Alliance Dudelange W 1-032.3 1328 1157 70.28% 21.33% 8.39%+1.10 +4.0 21
1958-02-02 @ SC Tetange L 0-132.3 1157 1328 8.39% 21.33% 70.28%-1.10 -4.0 14
1958-02-02 Stade Dudelange L 1-337.4 1179 1519 17.35% 21.62% 61.03%-0.95 -12.5 11
1958-02-02 @ US Dudelange W 3-137.4 1519 1179 61.03% 21.62% 17.35%+0.95 +12.5 24
1958-03-09 Spora Luxembourg W 5-244.5 1153 1333 35.21% 22.41% 42.38%-0.31 +32.0 16
1958-03-09 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-544.5 1333 1153 42.38% 22.41% 35.21%+0.31 -32.1 19
1958-03-09 Jeunesse Esch L 1-237.6 1097 1537 10.57% 20.77% 68.66%-1.36 -4.6 8
1958-03-09 @ Fola Esch W 2-137.6 1537 1097 68.66% 20.77% 10.57%+1.36 +4.6 29
1958-03-09 SC Tetange W 1-040.1 1226 1332 45.42% 22.50% 32.08%-0.01 +12.9 16
1958-03-09 @ Grevenmacher L 0-140.1 1332 1226 32.08% 22.50% 45.42%+0.01 -12.9 21
1958-03-09 Stade Dudelange W 3-150.8 1200 1532 18.07% 21.68% 60.25%-0.92 +35.8 16
1958-03-09 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-350.8 1532 1200 60.25% 21.68% 18.07%+0.92 -35.8 24
1958-03-09 Chiers Rodange D 1-153.0 1226 1177 62.20% 22.13% 15.67%+0.61 -4.1 15
1958-03-09 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.0 1177 1226 15.67% 22.13% 62.20%-0.61 +4.1 16
1958-03-09 Differdange 03 L 0-138.7 1167 1408 27.36% 22.20% 50.44%-0.56 -11.3 11
1958-03-09 @ US Dudelange W 1-038.7 1408 1167 50.44% 22.20% 27.36%+0.56 +11.3 25
1958-03-23 US Dudelange D 1-152.9 1181 1155 60.22% 22.23% 17.55%+0.52 -3.7 17
1958-03-23 @ Chiers Rodange D 1-152.9 1155 1181 17.55% 22.23% 60.22%-0.52 +3.7 12
1958-03-23 Fola Esch W 3-131.4 1419 1093 76.50% 19.78% 3.72%+1.73 +2.9 27
1958-03-23 @ Differdange 03 L 1-331.4 1093 1419 3.72% 19.78% 76.50%-1.73 -2.9 8
1958-03-23 Progres Niedercorn D 0-053.4 1542 1236 75.85% 20.01% 4.14%+1.64 -7.5 30
1958-03-23 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-053.4 1236 1542 4.14% 20.01% 75.85%-1.64 +7.5 17
1958-03-23 Union Luxembourg L 1-253.9 1319 1222 65.83% 21.87% 12.30%+0.80 -22.8 21
1958-03-23 @ SC Tetange W 2-153.9 1222 1319 12.30% 21.87% 65.83%-0.80 +22.8 17
1958-03-23 Grevenmacher W 3-243.1 1301 1239 63.25% 22.07% 14.68%+0.66 +6.0 21
1958-03-23 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-343.1 1239 1301 14.68% 22.07% 63.25%-0.66 -6.0 16
1958-03-23 Alliance Dudelange L 2-458.5 1496 1185 76.01% 19.96% 4.04%+1.66 -40.8 24
1958-03-23 @ Stade Dudelange W 4-258.5 1185 1496 4.04% 19.96% 76.01%-1.66 +40.8 18
1958-03-30 Jeunesse Esch L 0-430.8 1226 1534 20.17% 21.84% 57.99%-0.83 -31.2 18
1958-03-30 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-030.8 1534 1226 57.99% 21.84% 20.17%+0.83 +31.2 32
1958-03-30 Chiers Rodange D 2-257.2 1090 1178 47.82% 22.50% 29.68%+0.06 -1.1 9
1958-03-30 @ Fola Esch D 2-257.2 1178 1090 29.68% 22.50% 47.82%-0.06 +1.1 18
1958-03-30 Stade Dudelange W 3-254.3 1233 1455 29.67% 22.27% 48.06%-0.48 +15.9 18
1958-03-30 @ Grevenmacher L 2-354.3 1455 1233 48.06% 22.27% 29.67%+0.48 -15.9 24
1958-03-30 Differdange 03 D 1-154.2 1243 1422 35.41% 22.41% 42.18%-0.30 +0.5 18
1958-03-30 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-154.2 1422 1243 42.18% 22.41% 35.41%+0.30 -0.5 28
1958-03-30 SC Tetange L 0-244.7 1307 1297 58.75% 22.30% 18.95%+0.46 -40.6 21
1958-03-30 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-044.7 1297 1307 18.95% 22.30% 58.75%-0.46 +40.6 23
1958-03-30 Union Luxembourg L 0-338.0 1159 1245 48.02% 22.50% 29.48%+0.07 -48.8 12
1958-03-30 @ US Dudelange W 3-038.0 1245 1159 29.48% 22.50% 48.02%-0.07 +48.8 19
1958-04-20 Progres Niedercorn W 4-136.2 1179 1244 50.63% 22.48% 26.89%+0.15 +25.8 20
1958-04-20 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-436.2 1244 1179 26.89% 22.48% 50.63%-0.15 -25.8 18
1958-04-20 Alliance Dudelange W 5-233.8 1421 1195 72.88% 20.84% 6.28%+1.32 +6.0 30
1958-04-20 @ Differdange 03 L 2-533.8 1195 1421 6.28% 20.84% 72.88%-1.32 -6.0 18
1958-04-20 Grevenmacher W 1-034.1 1565 1249 76.21% 19.89% 3.91%+1.69 +1.9 34
1958-04-20 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-134.1 1249 1565 3.91% 19.89% 76.21%-1.69 -1.9 18
1958-04-20 Fola Esch W 7-229.4 1294 1089 71.94% 21.04% 7.02%+1.24 +10.2 21
1958-04-20 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-729.4 1089 1294 7.02% 21.04% 71.94%-1.24 -10.2 9
1958-04-20 US Dudelange W 3-239.9 1337 1110 72.90% 20.84% 6.26%+1.33 +2.7 25
1958-04-20 @ SC Tetange L 2-339.9 1110 1337 6.26% 20.84% 72.90%-1.33 -2.7 12
1958-04-20 Spora Luxembourg W 2-137.8 1439 1266 70.36% 21.32% 8.32%+1.11 +3.7 26
1958-04-20 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-237.8 1266 1439 8.32% 21.32% 70.36%-1.11 -3.7 21
1958-04-27 Chiers Rodange L 3-554.5 1189 1205 56.15% 22.38% 21.47%+0.35 -28.4 18
1958-04-27 @ Alliance Dudelange W 5-354.5 1205 1189 21.47% 22.38% 56.15%-0.35 +28.4 22
1958-04-27 US Dudelange D 3-361.3 1079 1108 54.77% 22.41% 22.82%+0.30 -1.7 10
1958-04-27 @ Fola Esch D 3-361.3 1108 1079 22.82% 22.41% 54.77%-0.30 +1.7 13
1958-04-27 Differdange 03 W 2-148.0 1247 1427 35.14% 22.40% 42.45%-0.31 +15.1 20
1958-04-27 @ Grevenmacher L 1-248.0 1427 1247 42.45% 22.40% 35.14%+0.31 -15.1 30
1958-04-27 Union Luxembourg W 5-031.5 1218 1304 48.03% 22.50% 29.47%+0.07 +53.1 20
1958-04-27 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-531.5 1304 1218 29.47% 22.50% 48.03%-0.07 -53.1 21
1958-04-27 Jeunesse Esch D 3-365.8 1263 1567 20.50% 21.86% 57.64%-0.81 +2.0 22
1958-04-27 @ Spora Luxembourg D 3-365.8 1567 1263 57.64% 21.86% 20.50%+0.81 -1.9 35
1958-04-27 SC Tetange W 2-032.8 1443 1340 66.23% 21.83% 11.94%+0.83 +10.4 28
1958-04-27 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-232.8 1340 1443 11.94% 21.83% 66.23%-0.83 -10.4 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1958-03-23 4.04% Alliance Dudelange 1185 4 @ Stade Dudelange 1496 2
2 1957-12-29 11.54% @ Chiers Rodange 1126 2 Stade Dudelange 1549 1
3 1957-09-02 11.86% SC Tetange 1201 4 @ Progres Niedercorn 1305 0
4 1958-03-23 12.30% Union Luxembourg 1222 2 @ SC Tetange 1319 1
5 1957-12-22 13.63% US Dudelange 1113 4 @ Alliance Dudelange 1190 1
6 1957-10-20 14.52% Chiers Rodange 992 2 @ US Dudelange 1057 1
7 1958-03-09 18.07% @ Progres Niedercorn 1200 3 Stade Dudelange 1532 1
8 1958-03-30 18.95% SC Tetange 1297 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1307 0
9 1957-12-15 20.48% Stade Dudelange 1518 1 @ Jeunesse Esch 1512 0
10 1958-02-02 20.57% @ Fola Esch 1063 3 Spora Luxembourg 1367 1
11 1958-02-02 21.16% @ Chiers Rodange 1143 3 Differdange 03 1441 1
12 1958-04-27 21.47% Chiers Rodange 1205 5 @ Alliance Dudelange 1189 3
13 1957-11-03 22.66% Union Luxembourg 1205 2 @ Fola Esch 1178 0
14 1957-08-25 24.28% Grevenmacher 1313 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1271 1
15 1957-12-29 24.41% Alliance Dudelange 1135 1 @ Fola Esch 1091 0
16 1957-12-01 25.58% @ Chiers Rodange 1023 6 Alliance Dudelange 1280 1
17 1957-10-20 26.99% SC Tetange 1302 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1236 0
18 1957-09-15 27.33% Differdange 03 1357 3 @ SC Tetange 1288 1
19 1958-03-30 29.48% Union Luxembourg 1245 3 @ US Dudelange 1159 0
20 1958-03-30 29.67% @ Grevenmacher 1233 3 Stade Dudelange 1455 2
21 1957-11-03 31.78% Differdange 03 1400 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 1296 1
22 1957-10-06 32.44% @ Progres Niedercorn 1209 3 Spora Luxembourg 1409 0
23 1957-12-01 33.54% @ SC Tetange 1343 1 Stade Dudelange 1535 0
24 1957-08-25 33.65% @ Differdange 03 1325 3 Stade Dudelange 1517 1
25 1958-04-27 35.14% @ Grevenmacher 1247 2 Differdange 03 1427 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-09-02 87.19 SC Tetange 4 1201 11.86% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1305 66.31% 21.82%
2 1957-12-01 70.09 @ Chiers Rodange 6 1023 25.58% Alliance Dudelange 1 1280 52.30% 22.13%
3 1957-12-22 54.57 US Dudelange 4 1113 13.63% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1190 64.38% 21.99%
4 1958-04-27 53.08 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 1218 48.03% Union Luxembourg 0 1304 29.47% 22.50%
5 1958-03-30 48.83 Union Luxembourg 3 1245 29.48% @ US Dudelange 0 1159 48.02% 22.50%
6 1957-12-01 47.71 @ US Dudelange 4 1023 43.98% Fola Esch 0 1140 33.52% 22.50%
7 1957-10-06 46.29 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1209 32.44% Spora Luxembourg 0 1409 45.21% 22.35%
8 1957-12-15 42.37 @ US Dudelange 3 1070 37.00% Progres Niedercorn 0 1237 40.56% 22.44%
9 1958-03-23 40.82 Alliance Dudelange 4 1185 4.04% @ Stade Dudelange 2 1496 76.01% 19.96%
10 1958-03-30 40.60 SC Tetange 2 1297 18.95% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1307 58.75% 22.30%
11 1957-11-03 38.03 Union Luxembourg 2 1205 22.66% @ Fola Esch 0 1178 54.93% 22.41%
12 1957-11-03 37.80 Jeunesse Esch 3 1469 42.54% @ Grevenmacher 0 1288 35.06% 22.40%
13 1958-03-09 35.84 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1200 18.07% Stade Dudelange 1 1532 60.25% 21.68%
14 1957-10-20 35.19 SC Tetange 2 1302 26.99% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1236 50.53% 22.48%
15 1958-02-02 34.29 @ Fola Esch 3 1063 20.57% Spora Luxembourg 1 1367 57.56% 21.86%
16 1958-02-02 33.94 @ Chiers Rodange 3 1143 21.16% Differdange 03 1 1441 56.94% 21.90%
17 1958-03-09 32.05 @ Alliance Dudelange 5 1153 35.21% Spora Luxembourg 2 1333 42.38% 22.41%
18 1958-03-30 31.21 Jeunesse Esch 4 1534 57.99% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1226 20.17% 21.84%
19 1957-10-06 31.01 SC Tetange 3 1262 50.34% @ Chiers Rodange 0 1022 27.46% 22.20%
20 1957-09-15 30.29 Differdange 03 3 1357 27.33% @ SC Tetange 1 1288 50.19% 22.48%
21 1958-02-02 29.80 Jeunesse Esch 3 1507 51.68% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1256 26.17% 22.15%
22 1957-12-15 28.86 @ Chiers Rodange 2 1093 37.55% Grevenmacher 0 1256 40.00% 22.44%
23 1957-10-06 28.66 @ Alliance Dudelange 7 1315 55.86% Grevenmacher 2 1333 21.76% 22.39%
24 1958-04-27 28.42 Chiers Rodange 5 1205 21.47% @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1189 56.15% 22.38%
25 1957-10-20 28.23 Stade Dudelange 5 1501 41.50% @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1327 36.07% 22.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-04-27 65.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1263 20.50% Jeunesse Esch 3 1567 57.64% 21.86%
2 1957-12-22 62.3 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1371 73.80% Chiers Rodange 3 1122 5.58% 20.62%
3 1958-04-27 61.3 @ Fola Esch 3 1079 54.77% US Dudelange 3 1108 22.82% 22.41%
4 1957-11-03 59.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1383 39.25% Stade Dudelange 1 1535 38.29% 22.46%
5 1957-12-29 59.3 @ Differdange 03 1 1408 47.24% Jeunesse Esch 1 1500 30.26% 22.50%
6 1957-09-22 59.1 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1503 79.91% US Dudelange 2 1050 1.91% 18.18%
7 1958-03-23 58.5 Alliance Dudelange 4 1185 4.04% @ Stade Dudelange 2 1496 76.01% 19.96%
8 1957-12-15 58.0 Stade Dudelange 1 1518 20.48% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1512 57.17% 22.35%
9 1957-12-15 58.0 @ SC Tetange 2 1359 74.50% Fola Esch 2 1092 5.07% 20.43%
10 1958-01-05 58.0 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1355 70.57% US Dudelange 2 1178 8.15% 21.29%
11 1957-09-15 57.7 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1218 46.19% Alliance Dudelange 2 1318 31.31% 22.50%
12 1958-01-26 57.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1159 54.65% Progres Niedercorn 2 1189 22.94% 22.42%
13 1957-10-13 57.2 @ Chiers Rodange 2 991 26.66% Union Luxembourg 2 1238 51.17% 22.17%
14 1958-03-30 57.2 @ Fola Esch 2 1090 47.82% Chiers Rodange 2 1178 29.68% 22.50%
15 1957-10-13 56.1 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1507 73.92% Progres Niedercorn 1 1255 5.49% 20.59%
16 1957-09-02 55.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1423 63.92% Differdange 03 1 1352 14.06% 22.02%
17 1957-12-29 55.1 @ Chiers Rodange 2 1126 11.54% Stade Dudelange 1 1549 67.53% 20.93%
18 1957-12-01 54.5 @ Differdange 03 1 1416 69.96% Grevenmacher 1 1251 8.66% 21.38%
19 1958-04-27 54.5 Chiers Rodange 5 1205 21.47% @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1189 56.15% 22.38%
20 1958-03-30 54.3 @ Grevenmacher 3 1233 29.67% Stade Dudelange 2 1455 48.06% 22.27%
21 1958-03-30 54.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1243 35.41% Differdange 03 1 1422 42.18% 22.41%
22 1958-03-23 53.9 Union Luxembourg 2 1222 12.30% @ SC Tetange 1 1319 65.83% 21.87%
23 1957-09-22 53.6 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1319 63.19% SC Tetange 1 1258 14.73% 22.07%
24 1957-12-29 53.6 @ SC Tetange 1 1345 68.86% Progres Niedercorn 1 1200 9.60% 21.54%
25 1958-01-05 53.6 @ Stade Dudelange 0 1525 74.09% Union Luxembourg 0 1269 5.37% 20.54%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-09-02 26.2 @ Stade Dudelange 5 1490 79.57% Chiers Rodange 1 1051 2.06% 18.37%
2 1958-01-19 26.6 @ Differdange 03 5 1422 68.88% Union Luxembourg 0 1276 9.59% 21.54%
3 1957-10-13 26.9 @ Differdange 03 2 1375 76.13% US Dudelange 0 1060 3.95% 19.92%
4 1957-09-02 27.4 @ Grevenmacher 5 1332 74.34% US Dudelange 1 1069 5.18% 20.48%
5 1958-01-19 28.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1504 76.36% US Dudelange 0 1183 3.81% 19.83%
6 1957-12-15 28.5 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1252 61.65% Alliance Dudelange 0 1209 16.19% 22.16%
7 1958-01-05 28.6 @ Grevenmacher 2 1232 69.67% Fola Esch 0 1072 8.90% 21.43%
8 1958-01-19 28.9 @ Spora Luxembourg 6 1351 68.86% Progres Niedercorn 1 1206 9.60% 21.54%
9 1958-04-20 29.4 @ Union Luxembourg 7 1294 71.94% Fola Esch 2 1089 7.02% 21.04%
10 1957-09-15 30.1 Jeunesse Esch 6 1419 63.64% @ Chiers Rodange 1 1048 14.97% 21.39%
11 1957-08-18 30.6 @ Progres Niedercorn 6 1308 72.64% US Dudelange 2 1087 6.47% 20.89%
12 1957-10-13 30.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1446 73.15% Fola Esch 1 1213 6.07% 20.78%
13 1958-03-30 30.8 Jeunesse Esch 4 1534 57.99% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1226 20.17% 21.84%
14 1957-09-22 31.3 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1400 70.11% Fola Esch 1 1232 8.53% 21.36%
15 1958-03-23 31.4 @ Differdange 03 3 1419 76.50% Fola Esch 1 1093 3.72% 19.78%
16 1958-04-27 31.5 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 1218 48.03% Union Luxembourg 0 1304 29.47% 22.50%
17 1957-10-06 31.6 SC Tetange 3 1262 50.34% @ Chiers Rodange 0 1022 27.46% 22.20%
18 1957-10-27 31.6 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1529 73.25% Grevenmacher 0 1294 6.00% 20.76%
19 1957-09-02 32.0 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1377 67.66% Union Luxembourg 1 1252 10.65% 21.68%
20 1958-01-05 32.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1501 77.29% Chiers Rodange 1 1149 3.24% 19.47%
21 1957-10-27 32.1 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1201 70.03% US Dudelange 0 1035 8.60% 21.37%
22 1957-12-01 32.2 @ US Dudelange 4 1023 43.98% Fola Esch 0 1140 33.52% 22.50%
23 1957-11-03 32.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1241 72.26% Chiers Rodange 1 1029 6.76% 20.97%
24 1958-02-02 32.3 @ SC Tetange 1 1328 70.28% Alliance Dudelange 0 1157 8.39% 21.33%
25 1957-09-02 32.6 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1303 63.84% Fola Esch 1 1234 14.13% 22.03%