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1956-57 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Stade Dudelange

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jeunesse Esch

6.40 points above expected

31 points · 24.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Red Star Merl

8.37 points below expected

4 points · 12.37 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Stade Dudelange 22 17 3 2 37 71 14 +57 33.26 +3.74
2 Jeunesse Esch 22 14 3 5 31 47 24 +23 24.60 +6.40
3 Differdange 03 22 12 3 7 27 41 25 +16 23.92 +3.08
4 Grevenmacher 22 10 4 8 24 56 39 +17 19.23 +4.77
5 Spora Luxembourg 22 8 6 8 22 61 49 +12 25.49 -3.49
6 Alliance Dudelange 22 8 5 9 21 38 42 -4 22.71 -1.71
7 Union Luxembourg 22 9 3 10 21 38 42 -4 25.19 -4.19
8 Progres Niedercorn 22 9 3 10 21 40 46 -6 25.32 -4.32
9 SC Tetange 22 8 4 10 20 37 48 -11 15.99 +4.01
10 Fola Esch 22 5 9 8 19 35 53 -18 18.89 +0.11
11 FC Schifflange 95 22 6 5 11 17 36 48 -12 17.03 -0.03
12 Red Star Merl 22 1 2 19 4 29 99 -70 12.37 -8.37

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 31 24.60 +6.40
2 Grevenmacher 24 19.23 +4.77
3 SC Tetange 20 15.99 +4.01
4 Stade Dudelange 37 33.26 +3.74
5 Differdange 03 27 23.92 +3.08

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Red Star Merl 4 12.37 -8.37
2 Progres Niedercorn 21 25.32 -4.32
3 Union Luxembourg 21 25.19 -4.19
4 Spora Luxembourg 22 25.49 -3.49
5 Alliance Dudelange 21 22.71 -1.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 7 Sep 2 – Nov 4 1 in 879
2 Jeunesse Esch 7 Feb 3 – May 12 1 in 144
3 Stade Dudelange 8 Aug 19 – Oct 28 1 in 45
4 Differdange 03 5 Sep 23 – Nov 18 1 in 44
5 Fola Esch 3 Aug 26 – Sep 9 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Red Star Merl 13 Nov 18 – May 12 1 in 949
2 Progres Niedercorn 3 Aug 19 – Sep 2 1 in 29
3 Alliance Dudelange 3 Sep 9 – Sep 23 1 in 18
4 FC Schifflange 95 2 Aug 19 – Aug 26 1 in 16
5 Union Luxembourg 4 Mar 31 – May 12 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grevenmacher 7 Oct 28 – Dec 30 1 in 116
2 Union Luxembourg 9 Sep 2 – Nov 25 1 in 80
3 Fola Esch 4 Jan 20 – Mar 3 1 in 44
4 SC Tetange 4 Nov 18 – Jan 6 1 in 33
5 Alliance Dudelange 4 Dec 16 – Jan 13 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 5 Dec 16 – Jan 20 1 in 365
2 Fola Esch 9 Sep 16 – Jan 13 1 in 308
3 Red Star Merl 17 Sep 23 – May 12 1 in 43
4 FC Schifflange 95 8 Aug 19 – Oct 28 1 in 25
5 Progres Niedercorn 4 Aug 19 – Sep 9 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Stade Dudelange 1506 37 +24 7 7.6 -0.6
Jeunesse Esch 1350 31 +46 10 6.7 +3.3
Differdange 03 1237 27 +38 8 7.2 +0.8
Grevenmacher 1204 24 +22 6 6.3 -0.3
Spora Luxembourg 1266 22 +38 6 6.7 -0.7
Alliance Dudelange 1151 21 -13 5 4.9 +0.1
Progres Niedercorn 1190 21 -35 4 4.9 -0.9
Union Luxembourg 1141 21 -83 1 4.1 -3.1
SC Tetange 1058 20 -22 4 4.2 -0.2
Fola Esch 1063 19 -10 3 3.3 -0.3
FC Schifflange 95 1132 17 +38 6 2.6 +3.4
Red Star Merl 858 4 -43 0 1.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD D0 FS9 FE GRE JE PN RSM ST SL SD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
0-0-2
2.63
0-2-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
3.76
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
2.14
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.59
Differdange 03
2-0-0
2.97
 —
0-0-2
4.03
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.69
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
1.43
2-0-0
2.43
FC Schifflange 95
0-2-0
2.12
2-0-0
1.57
 —
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
1.48
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
3.26
1-0-1
1.73
0-1-1
0.78
0-1-1
1.69
Fola Esch
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
3.36
 —
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.18
1-1-0
1.61
2-0-0
3.55
0-2-0
3.05
0-2-0
1.92
0-1-1
0.90
1-0-1
2.34
Grevenmacher
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.18
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.87
 —
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
2.18
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.19
2-0-0
1.86
Jeunesse Esch
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
4.13
1-1-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.21
 —
2-0-0
2.27
2-0-0
4.59
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.78
Progres Niedercorn
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.84
0-1-1
3.99
2-0-0
3.43
0-0-2
3.33
 —
1-1-0
4.25
1-0-1
4.06
0-0-2
2.89
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
2.70
Red Star Merl
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.03
0-1-1
1.36
 —
0-0-2
2.94
0-1-1
1.27
0-0-2
0.75
0-0-2
1.26
SC Tetange
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.93
2-0-0
2.34
0-2-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
1.50
1-0-1
1.55
2-0-0
2.66
 —
1-0-1
1.59
0-0-2
0.79
0-1-1
2.07
Spora Luxembourg
0-1-1
3.46
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.88
0-2-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
4.35
1-0-1
4.03
 —
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
2.71
Stade Dudelange
2-0-0
4.12
1-1-0
4.18
1-1-0
4.86
1-1-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.43
1-0-1
4.10
2-0-0
4.25
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
4.86
2-0-0
3.57
 —
1-0-1
4.10
Union Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-2
3.17
1-1-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.27
0-0-2
3.75
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
1.52
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.55 +4.8
Allowed 0.93 -3.7
Differential 0.95 +2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%3.79%6.44%1.89%2.27%4.92%21.59%
13.79%7.58%5.30%2.65%3.03%3.41%25.76%
26.44%5.30%6.06%3.03%1.52%0.38%22.73%
31.89%2.65%3.03%0.76%0.76%1.14%10.23%
42.27%3.03%1.52%0.76%2.27%—9.85%
5+4.92%3.41%0.38%1.14%——9.85%
Total21.59%25.76%22.73%10.23%9.85%9.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.00 +0.00
SD 1.84 1.84 2.95
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%——9.09%27.27%
1—13.64%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%45.45%——13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.91 -0.18
SD 1.78 1.41 2.54
CV 1.03 0.74 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total31.82%31.82%31.82%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.14 +0.73
SD 1.75 1.04 2.33
CV 0.94 0.91 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%——9.09%22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
24.55%—18.18%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%13.64%36.36%9.09%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.18 -0.55
SD 1.36 1.65 2.54
CV 0.83 0.76 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—13.64%——9.09%31.82%
14.55%18.18%———4.55%27.27%
24.55%—9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
3———————
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+———9.09%——9.09%
Total18.18%22.73%22.73%9.09%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.41 -0.82
SD 1.74 2.13 2.58
CV 1.09 0.88 —
Max 6 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%—4.55%13.64%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%—9.09%———13.64%
34.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+9.09%9.09%————18.18%
Total22.73%18.18%31.82%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.77 +0.77
SD 2.18 1.38 3.15
CV 0.85 0.78 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
213.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total36.36%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.09 +1.05
SD 1.58 1.15 2.24
CV 0.74 1.06 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%18.18%18.18%22.73%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.09 -0.27
SD 1.56 1.77 2.66
CV 0.86 0.85 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%—13.64%31.82%
1——4.55%9.09%4.55%18.18%36.36%
2—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
3—————13.64%13.64%
4————9.09%—9.09%
5+———————
Total—9.09%13.64%13.64%18.18%45.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 4.50 -3.18
SD 1.32 2.41 2.72
CV 1.00 0.53 —
Max 4 10 +1
Min 0 1 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——9.09%4.55%18.18%
14.55%13.64%4.55%—13.64%—36.36%
213.64%——9.09%——22.73%
3——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%13.64%18.18%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.18 -0.50
SD 1.46 1.59 2.35
CV 0.87 0.73 —
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
1—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
2——13.64%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
3—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
4—9.09%——9.09%—18.18%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total4.55%36.36%27.27%4.55%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 2.23 +0.55
SD 2.41 1.48 3.28
CV 0.87 0.66 —
Max 10 5 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
118.18%4.55%——4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+18.18%18.18%————36.36%
Total54.55%36.36%4.55%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.23 0.64 +2.59
SD 2.45 0.95 2.74
CV 0.76 1.50 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
213.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total22.73%31.82%13.64%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.91 -0.18
SD 1.52 1.95 2.99
CV 0.88 1.02 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Stade Dudelange 1506 37 33.26 +3.74 89.0% 26 27 31 33 35 38 42
Jeunesse Esch 1350 31 24.60 +6.40 97.0% 14 19 22 24 27 31 34
Spora Luxembourg 1266 22 25.49 -3.49 17.0% 14 17 23 26 28 32 35
Differdange 03 1237 27 23.92 +3.08 81.0% 11 17 22 24 26 30 32
Grevenmacher 1204 24 19.23 +4.77 96.0% 10 13 17 19 22 24 28
Progres Niedercorn 1190 21 25.32 -4.32 17.0% 17 19 22 25 28 31 34
Alliance Dudelange 1151 21 22.71 -1.71 39.0% 14 18 20 22 25 28 33
Union Luxembourg 1141 21 25.19 -4.19 12.0% 17 18 23 25 27 31 36
FC Schifflange 95 1132 17 17.03 -0.03 54.0% 7 10 15 17 20 23 25
Fola Esch 1063 19 18.89 +0.11 54.0% 11 13 16 19 21 24 26
SC Tetange 1058 20 15.99 +4.01 86.0% 8 10 13 16 18 23 26
Red Star Merl 858 4 12.37 -8.37 0.0% 6 8 10 12 14 18 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.97%
Strong Edge
51.52%18.94%29.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge
135 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
077.60400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
Stade Dudelange, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.39 * Lucky: 4.39 to 5.85 * Wild Swing: 5.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.92 * Off: 1.92 to 2.56 * Way Off: 2.56 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.33 points
Some Luck
03.669
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Off
01.604
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Jeunesse Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Red Star Merl
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 160.69
1.89
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Few
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%40%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.53
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.19
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.81
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.125
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Stade Dudelange84.00%11.00%4.00%1.00%————————
Jeunesse Esch2.00%21.00%12.00%16.00%15.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Differdange 032.00%13.00%19.00%10.00%18.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Grevenmacher—1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%14.00%12.00%15.00%24.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%
Spora Luxembourg4.00%22.00%20.00%18.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—
Alliance Dudelange1.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%19.00%17.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Union Luxembourg3.00%11.00%17.00%21.00%15.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—
Progres Niedercorn4.00%16.00%18.00%18.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
SC Tetange————1.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%14.00%21.00%31.00%15.00%
Fola Esch———1.00%6.00%3.00%13.00%22.00%18.00%21.00%14.00%2.00%
FC Schifflange 95———1.00%6.00%1.00%4.00%16.00%16.00%25.00%18.00%13.00%
Red Star Merl——————1.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%21.00%63.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Stade Dudelange 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 99.00% 1.00%
Progres Niedercorn 99.00% 1.00%
Spora Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00%
Union Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00%
Alliance Dudelange 98.00% 2.00%
Differdange 03 97.00% 3.00%
Grevenmacher 86.00% 14.00%
Fola Esch 84.00% 16.00%
FC Schifflange 95 69.00% 31.00%
SC Tetange 54.00% 46.00%
Red Star Merl 16.00% 84.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1956-08-19 Fola Esch W 7-236.4 1207 1172 58.90% 19.90% 21.20%+0.84 +21.1 2
1956-08-19 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-736.4 1172 1207 21.20% 19.90% 58.90%-0.84 -21.1 0
1956-08-19 Union Luxembourg W 1-037.6 1171 1184 53.62% 20.03% 26.35%+0.48 +8.3 2
1956-08-19 @ Differdange 03 L 0-137.6 1184 1171 26.35% 20.03% 53.62%-0.48 -8.3 0
1956-08-19 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-352.9 1036 1140 41.68% 20.08% 38.24%-0.20 +9.9 2
1956-08-19 @ Grevenmacher L 3-452.9 1140 1036 38.24% 20.08% 41.68%+0.20 -9.9 0
1956-08-19 Progres Niedercorn W 3-037.5 1204 1304 42.28% 20.08% 37.64%-0.17 +30.6 2
1956-08-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-337.5 1304 1204 37.64% 20.08% 42.28%+0.17 -30.6 0
1956-08-19 Red Star Merl W 1-040.1 1018 1101 44.60% 20.09% 35.31%-0.04 +10.6 2
1956-08-19 @ SC Tetange L 0-140.1 1101 1018 35.31% 20.09% 44.60%+0.04 -10.6 0
1956-08-19 Stade Dudelange L 0-144.3 1271 1346 45.74% 20.09% 34.17%+0.02 -13.1 0
1956-08-19 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-044.3 1346 1271 34.17% 20.09% 45.74%-0.02 +13.1 2
1956-08-26 SC Tetange L 1-449.6 1130 1029 64.97% 19.63% 15.41%+1.33 -42.1 0
1956-08-26 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 4-149.6 1029 1130 15.41% 19.63% 64.97%-1.33 +42.1 4
1956-08-26 Union Luxembourg W 3-038.4 1046 1176 37.99% 20.05% 41.96%-0.39 +33.4 4
1956-08-26 @ Grevenmacher L 0-338.4 1176 1046 41.96% 20.05% 37.99%+0.39 -33.4 0
1956-08-26 Spora Luxembourg L 2-353.8 1234 1258 52.31% 20.05% 27.65%+0.40 -13.2 2
1956-08-26 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-253.8 1258 1234 27.65% 20.05% 52.31%-0.40 +13.2 2
1956-08-26 Fola Esch L 0-247.6 1273 1150 66.62% 19.51% 13.86%+1.49 -35.3 0
1956-08-26 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-047.6 1150 1273 13.86% 19.51% 66.62%-1.49 +35.3 2
1956-08-26 Alliance Dudelange L 2-447.2 1091 1228 37.06% 20.04% 42.90%-0.44 -16.1 0
1956-08-26 @ Red Star Merl W 4-247.2 1228 1091 42.90% 20.04% 37.06%+0.44 +16.1 4
1956-08-26 Differdange 03 W 2-136.6 1359 1180 70.44% 19.15% 10.40%+1.91 +3.4 4
1956-08-26 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-236.6 1180 1359 10.40% 19.15% 70.44%-1.91 -3.4 2
1956-09-02 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.7 1244 1088 68.93% 19.31% 11.75%+1.73 -4.0 5
1956-09-02 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.7 1088 1244 11.75% 19.31% 68.93%-1.73 +4.0 1
1956-09-02 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.5 1176 1221 49.72% 20.07% 30.21%+0.24 -1.2 3
1956-09-02 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.5 1221 1176 30.21% 20.07% 49.72%-0.24 +1.2 3
1956-09-02 Red Star Merl W 6-340.4 1186 1075 65.71% 19.58% 14.71%+1.40 +9.2 4
1956-09-02 @ Fola Esch L 3-640.4 1075 1186 14.71% 19.58% 65.71%-1.40 -9.2 0
1956-09-02 Stade Dudelange L 0-530.1 1079 1363 19.83% 19.48% 60.69%-1.53 -28.5 4
1956-09-02 @ Grevenmacher W 5-030.1 1363 1079 60.69% 19.48% 19.83%+1.53 +28.5 6
1956-09-02 Union Luxembourg L 0-537.9 1071 1143 46.16% 20.09% 33.75%+0.04 -58.2 4
1956-09-02 @ SC Tetange W 5-037.9 1143 1071 33.75% 20.09% 46.16%-0.04 +58.2 2
1956-09-02 Progres Niedercorn W 3-138.6 1271 1238 58.72% 19.91% 21.37%+0.82 +11.4 4
1956-09-02 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-338.6 1238 1271 21.37% 19.91% 58.72%-0.82 -11.4 0
1956-09-09 Union Luxembourg L 1-251.2 1240 1201 59.29% 19.89% 20.82%+0.87 -15.7 5
1956-09-09 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-151.2 1201 1240 20.82% 19.89% 59.29%-0.87 +15.7 4
1956-09-09 Fola Esch L 1-442.8 1092 1195 41.90% 20.08% 38.02%-0.19 -28.1 1
1956-09-09 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 4-142.8 1195 1092 38.02% 20.08% 41.90%+0.19 +28.1 6
1956-09-09 Grevenmacher W 2-136.3 1222 1051 69.97% 19.21% 10.83%+1.85 +3.5 5
1956-09-09 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-236.3 1051 1222 10.83% 19.21% 69.97%-1.85 -3.5 4
1956-09-09 Red Star Merl D 4-464.1 1227 1065 69.29% 19.28% 11.43%+1.77 -2.2 1
1956-09-09 @ Progres Niedercorn D 4-464.1 1065 1227 11.43% 19.28% 69.29%-1.77 +2.2 1
1956-09-09 Differdange 03 D 1-152.8 1283 1175 65.45% 19.59% 14.96%+1.38 -3.4 5
1956-09-09 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.8 1175 1283 14.96% 19.59% 65.45%-1.38 +3.4 4
1956-09-09 SC Tetange W 1-030.0 1391 1012 79.00% 17.33% 3.67%+3.39 +1.3 8
1956-09-09 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-130.0 1012 1391 3.67% 17.33% 79.00%-3.39 -1.3 4
1956-09-16 Stade Dudelange L 0-534.9 1224 1393 32.81% 19.97% 47.23%-0.68 -44.0 5
1956-09-16 @ Alliance Dudelange W 5-034.9 1393 1224 47.23% 19.97% 32.81%+0.68 +44.0 10
1956-09-16 Progres Niedercorn L 1-248.3 1179 1224 49.57% 20.07% 30.36%+0.24 -13.3 4
1956-09-16 @ Differdange 03 W 2-148.3 1224 1179 30.36% 20.07% 49.57%-0.24 +13.3 3
1956-09-16 Union Luxembourg L 0-244.5 1223 1217 55.84% 19.98% 24.18%+0.63 -29.6 6
1956-09-16 @ Fola Esch W 2-044.5 1217 1223 24.18% 19.98% 55.84%-0.63 +29.6 6
1956-09-16 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-140.5 1068 1064 55.52% 19.99% 24.49%+0.60 +7.4 3
1956-09-16 @ Red Star Merl L 1-240.5 1064 1068 24.49% 19.99% 55.52%-0.60 -7.4 1
1956-09-16 Jeunesse Esch W 2-043.4 1011 1226 27.07% 19.82% 53.12%-1.02 +28.2 6
1956-09-16 @ SC Tetange L 0-243.4 1226 1011 53.12% 19.82% 27.07%+1.02 -28.2 5
1956-09-23 Grevenmacher W 2-137.3 1165 1047 66.28% 19.54% 14.18%+1.46 +4.6 6
1956-09-23 @ Differdange 03 L 1-237.3 1047 1165 14.18% 19.54% 66.28%-1.46 -4.5 4
1956-09-23 Progres Niedercorn D 2-256.7 1057 1238 31.17% 19.93% 48.90%-0.77 +0.8 2
1956-09-23 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-256.7 1238 1057 48.90% 19.93% 31.17%+0.77 -0.8 4
1956-09-23 Alliance Dudelange W 2-034.5 1198 1180 57.04% 19.96% 23.00%+0.71 +14.0 7
1956-09-23 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-234.5 1180 1198 23.00% 19.96% 57.04%-0.71 -14.0 5
1956-09-23 Red Star Merl W 2-136.3 1246 1075 69.92% 19.21% 10.87%+1.85 +3.5 8
1956-09-23 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-236.3 1075 1246 10.87% 19.21% 69.92%-1.85 -3.5 3
1956-09-23 SC Tetange W 4-132.2 1279 1039 73.70% 18.68% 7.62%+2.36 +6.2 7
1956-09-23 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-432.2 1039 1279 7.62% 18.68% 73.70%-2.36 -6.2 6
1956-09-23 Fola Esch W 7-130.0 1437 1193 73.85% 18.66% 7.49%+2.38 +11.3 12
1956-09-23 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-730.0 1193 1437 7.49% 18.66% 73.85%-2.38 -11.3 6
1956-10-21 Spora Luxembourg W 4-248.4 1166 1286 39.56% 20.06% 40.38%-0.31 +17.2 7
1956-10-21 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-448.4 1286 1166 40.38% 20.06% 39.56%+0.31 -17.2 7
1956-10-21 Union Luxembourg L 0-533.0 1057 1250 29.77% 19.90% 50.33%-0.85 -40.6 2
1956-10-21 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 5-033.0 1250 1057 50.33% 19.90% 29.77%+0.85 +40.6 10
1956-10-21 Jeunesse Esch D 0-049.6 1182 1212 51.61% 20.05% 28.33%+0.36 -1.7 7
1956-10-21 @ Fola Esch D 0-049.6 1212 1182 28.33% 20.05% 51.61%-0.36 +1.6 8
1956-10-21 Grevenmacher W 2-135.9 1237 1042 71.31% 19.04% 9.64%+2.02 +3.2 6
1956-10-21 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-235.9 1042 1237 9.64% 19.04% 71.31%-2.02 -3.2 4
1956-10-21 Stade Dudelange L 0-728.3 1071 1448 12.66% 18.84% 68.51%-2.22 -26.0 3
1956-10-21 @ Red Star Merl W 7-028.3 1448 1071 68.51% 18.84% 12.66%+2.22 +26.0 14
1956-10-21 Differdange 03 L 2-348.8 1033 1170 37.10% 20.04% 42.86%-0.44 -9.9 6
1956-10-21 @ SC Tetange W 3-248.8 1170 1033 42.86% 20.04% 37.10%+0.44 +9.9 8
1956-10-28 Alliance Dudelange W 5-031.8 1180 1184 54.68% 20.01% 25.31%+0.55 +35.5 10
1956-10-28 @ Differdange 03 L 0-531.8 1184 1180 25.31% 20.01% 54.68%-0.55 -35.5 7
1956-10-28 SC Tetange W 3-244.6 1039 1023 56.87% 19.96% 23.17%+0.70 +6.7 6
1956-10-28 @ Grevenmacher L 2-344.6 1023 1039 23.17% 19.96% 56.87%-0.70 -6.7 6
1956-10-28 Red Star Merl W 4-133.3 1213 1046 69.72% 19.23% 11.05%+1.82 +8.8 10
1956-10-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-433.3 1046 1213 11.05% 19.23% 69.72%-1.82 -8.8 3
1956-10-28 Progres Niedercorn W 2-139.6 1290 1240 60.39% 19.85% 19.76%+0.95 +6.1 12
1956-10-28 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-239.6 1240 1290 19.76% 19.85% 60.39%-0.95 -6.1 6
1956-10-28 Fola Esch D 4-464.2 1268 1180 63.82% 19.69% 16.49%+1.23 -1.7 8
1956-10-28 @ Spora Luxembourg D 4-464.2 1180 1268 16.49% 19.69% 63.82%-1.23 +1.7 8
1956-10-28 FC Schifflange 95 W 1-029.6 1474 1017 81.14% 16.43% 2.43%+3.97 +0.8 16
1956-10-28 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-129.6 1017 1474 2.43% 16.43% 81.14%-3.97 -0.8 2
1956-11-04 Grevenmacher D 1-152.5 1148 1046 65.01% 19.62% 15.37%+1.34 -3.4 8
1956-11-04 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.5 1046 1148 15.37% 19.62% 65.01%-1.34 +3.4 7
1956-11-04 Jeunesse Esch W 3-147.3 1016 1222 28.08% 19.85% 52.07%-0.96 +24.0 4
1956-11-04 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-347.3 1222 1016 52.07% 19.85% 28.08%+0.96 -24.0 10
1956-11-04 Differdange 03 L 2-451.5 1182 1215 51.19% 20.06% 28.76%+0.33 -21.1 8
1956-11-04 @ Fola Esch W 4-251.5 1215 1182 28.76% 20.06% 51.19%-0.33 +21.1 12
1956-11-04 SC Tetange W 4-026.8 1234 1017 72.56% 18.87% 8.57%+2.19 +10.7 8
1956-11-04 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-426.8 1017 1234 8.57% 18.87% 72.56%-2.19 -10.7 6
1956-11-04 Stade Dudelange W 4-147.8 1296 1475 31.51% 19.94% 48.55%-0.75 +31.8 14
1956-11-04 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-447.8 1475 1296 48.55% 19.94% 31.51%+0.75 -31.8 16
1956-11-04 Spora Luxembourg D 4-464.0 1037 1267 25.34% 19.75% 54.91%-1.13 +1.0 4
1956-11-04 @ Red Star Merl D 4-464.0 1267 1037 54.91% 19.75% 25.34%+1.13 -1.0 9
1956-11-18 Fola Esch W 5-035.9 1049 1161 40.64% 20.07% 39.29%-0.25 +51.0 9
1956-11-18 @ Grevenmacher L 0-535.9 1161 1049 39.29% 20.07% 40.64%+0.25 -51.0 8
1956-11-18 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.9 1198 1328 38.04% 20.05% 41.92%-0.39 +0.2 11
1956-11-18 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.9 1328 1198 41.92% 20.05% 38.04%+0.39 -0.2 15
1956-11-18 Differdange 03 L 1-340.4 1038 1236 28.98% 19.88% 51.15%-0.90 -14.7 4
1956-11-18 @ Red Star Merl W 3-140.4 1236 1038 51.15% 19.88% 28.98%+0.90 +14.7 14
1956-11-18 Alliance Dudelange W 2-040.4 1006 1145 36.82% 20.03% 43.15%-0.45 +23.5 8
1956-11-18 @ SC Tetange L 0-240.4 1145 1006 43.15% 20.03% 36.82%+0.45 -23.5 8
1956-11-18 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-133.9 1266 1040 72.98% 18.80% 8.22%+2.25 +4.7 11
1956-11-18 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-333.9 1040 1266 8.22% 18.80% 72.98%-2.25 -4.7 4
1956-11-18 Progres Niedercorn W 4-028.8 1443 1245 71.53% 19.02% 9.46%+2.05 +11.8 18
1956-11-18 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-428.8 1245 1443 9.46% 19.02% 71.53%-2.05 -11.8 8
1956-11-25 Differdange 03 W 2-043.5 1035 1251 26.95% 19.81% 53.24%-1.03 +28.2 6
1956-11-25 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-243.5 1251 1035 53.24% 19.81% 26.95%+1.03 -28.2 14
1956-11-25 SC Tetange D 1-152.4 1110 1029 63.20% 19.73% 17.08%+1.18 -3.1 9
1956-11-25 @ Fola Esch D 1-152.4 1029 1110 17.08% 19.73% 63.20%-1.18 +3.1 9
1956-11-25 Alliance Dudelange W 2-137.6 1233 1121 65.77% 19.57% 14.66%+1.41 +4.7 10
1956-11-25 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-237.6 1121 1233 14.66% 19.57% 65.77%-1.41 -4.7 8
1956-11-25 Spora Luxembourg W 2-034.1 1328 1270 61.12% 19.82% 19.06%+1.01 +11.9 17
1956-11-25 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-234.1 1270 1328 19.06% 19.82% 61.12%-1.01 -11.9 11
1956-11-25 Grevenmacher L 1-542.5 1023 1100 45.44% 20.09% 34.47%+0.00 -38.8 4
1956-11-25 @ Red Star Merl W 5-142.5 1100 1023 34.47% 20.09% 45.44%+0.00 +38.9 11
1956-11-25 Jeunesse Esch W 4-027.6 1455 1198 74.46% 18.54% 7.00%+2.48 +8.8 20
1956-11-25 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-427.6 1198 1455 7.00% 18.54% 74.46%-2.48 -8.8 11
1956-12-09 Spora Luxembourg D 2-256.8 1139 1258 39.57% 20.06% 40.37%-0.31 +0.0 12
1956-12-09 @ Grevenmacher D 2-256.8 1258 1139 40.37% 20.06% 39.57%+0.31 -0.0 12
1956-12-16 Grevenmacher L 2-351.4 1064 1139 45.67% 20.09% 34.25%+0.01 -11.7 6
1956-12-16 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-251.4 1139 1064 34.25% 20.09% 45.67%-0.01 +11.7 14
1956-12-16 Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.4 1107 1116 54.01% 20.02% 25.97%+0.51 -1.8 10
1956-12-16 @ Fola Esch D 1-152.4 1116 1107 25.97% 20.02% 54.01%-0.51 +1.8 9
1956-12-16 Jeunesse Esch L 1-251.4 1238 1190 60.17% 19.86% 19.97%+0.93 -15.9 10
1956-12-16 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-151.4 1190 1238 19.97% 19.86% 60.17%-0.93 +15.9 13
1956-12-16 Differdange 03 L 2-358.1 1340 1223 66.18% 19.54% 14.28%+1.45 -16.6 17
1956-12-16 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-258.1 1223 1340 14.28% 19.54% 66.18%-1.45 +16.6 16
1956-12-16 SC Tetange L 3-650.9 984 1033 49.25% 20.08% 30.67%+0.22 -25.9 4
1956-12-16 @ Red Star Merl W 6-350.9 1033 984 30.67% 20.08% 49.25%-0.22 +25.9 11
1956-12-16 Spora Luxembourg W 5-028.6 1464 1258 71.91% 18.96% 9.12%+2.10 +14.0 22
1956-12-16 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-528.6 1258 1464 9.12% 18.96% 71.91%-2.10 -14.0 12
1956-12-30 Red Star Merl W 2-030.7 1118 958 69.21% 19.29% 11.50%+1.77 +7.5 11
1956-12-30 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-230.7 958 1118 11.50% 19.29% 69.21%-1.77 -7.5 4
1956-12-30 Stade Dudelange D 0-051.6 1239 1478 24.43% 19.72% 55.85%-1.19 +2.3 17
1956-12-30 @ Differdange 03 D 0-051.6 1478 1239 55.85% 19.72% 24.43%+1.19 -2.3 23
1956-12-30 Grevenmacher L 0-445.7 1323 1151 70.00% 19.20% 10.80%+1.86 -70.5 17
1956-12-30 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-045.7 1151 1323 10.80% 19.20% 70.00%-1.86 +70.5 16
1957-01-06 Alliance Dudelange D 2-256.6 1052 1126 45.90% 20.09% 34.02%+0.03 -0.6 7
1957-01-06 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-256.6 1126 1052 34.02% 20.09% 45.90%-0.03 +0.5 12
1957-01-06 SC Tetange D 3-361.2 1253 1058 71.30% 19.05% 9.65%+2.02 -2.7 18
1957-01-06 @ Union Luxembourg D 3-361.2 1058 1253 9.65% 19.05% 71.30%-2.02 +2.7 12
1957-01-06 Grevenmacher W 3-029.3 1475 1221 74.35% 18.56% 7.09%+2.46 +6.8 25
1957-01-06 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-329.3 1221 1475 7.09% 18.56% 74.35%-2.46 -6.8 16
1957-01-13 Spora Luxembourg W 2-141.1 1242 1244 54.82% 20.01% 25.18%+0.56 +7.5 19
1957-01-13 @ Differdange 03 L 1-241.1 1244 1242 25.18% 20.01% 54.82%-0.56 -7.5 12
1957-01-13 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-542.2 1105 1051 60.75% 19.84% 19.42%+0.98 -75.1 10
1957-01-13 @ Fola Esch W 5-042.2 1051 1105 19.42% 19.84% 60.75%-0.98 +75.1 9
1957-01-13 Jeunesse Esch L 0-342.8 1215 1206 56.11% 19.98% 23.91%+0.64 -43.2 16
1957-01-13 @ Grevenmacher W 3-042.8 1206 1215 23.91% 19.98% 56.11%-0.64 +43.2 15
1957-01-13 Alliance Dudelange L 1-253.2 1250 1126 66.69% 19.51% 13.81%+1.50 -17.6 18
1957-01-13 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-153.2 1126 1250 13.81% 19.51% 66.69%-1.50 +17.7 14
1957-01-13 Progres Niedercorn L 1-337.9 951 1222 21.06% 19.55% 59.39%-1.44 -11.1 4
1957-01-13 @ Red Star Merl W 3-137.9 1222 951 59.39% 19.55% 21.06%+1.44 +11.1 12
1957-01-20 SC Tetange W 4-133.0 1249 1061 70.92% 19.09% 9.99%+1.97 +8.0 17
1957-01-20 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-433.0 1061 1249 9.99% 19.09% 70.92%-1.97 -8.0 12
1957-01-20 Differdange 03 W 1-037.9 1233 1249 53.20% 20.03% 26.77%+0.45 +8.4 14
1957-01-20 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-137.9 1249 1233 26.77% 20.03% 53.20%-0.45 -8.4 19
1957-01-20 Fola Esch L 0-150.8 1232 1030 71.76% 18.98% 9.26%+2.08 -20.2 18
1957-01-20 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-050.8 1030 1232 9.26% 18.98% 71.76%-2.08 +20.2 12
1957-01-20 Grevenmacher W 3-137.4 1237 1171 61.83% 19.79% 18.38%+1.06 +10.0 14
1957-01-20 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-337.4 1171 1237 18.38% 19.79% 61.83%-1.06 -9.9 16
1957-01-20 Alliance Dudelange W 1-031.3 1482 1144 77.68% 17.76% 4.56%+3.09 +1.6 27
1957-01-20 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-131.3 1144 1482 4.56% 17.76% 77.68%-3.09 -1.6 14
1957-01-27 Jeunesse Esch W 2-039.6 1142 1257 40.26% 20.07% 39.68%-0.27 +22.0 16
1957-01-27 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-239.6 1257 1142 39.68% 20.07% 40.26%+0.27 -22.0 17
1957-01-27 Differdange 03 W 2-038.1 1161 1241 45.14% 20.09% 34.77%-0.01 +19.8 18
1957-01-27 @ Grevenmacher L 0-238.1 1241 1161 34.77% 20.09% 45.14%+0.01 -19.7 19
1957-01-27 FC Schifflange 95 W 6-028.4 1241 1126 66.01% 19.56% 14.44%+1.43 +25.7 16
1957-01-27 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-628.4 1126 1241 14.44% 19.56% 66.01%-1.43 -25.7 9
1957-02-03 Progres Niedercorn D 0-049.6 1050 1267 26.84% 19.81% 53.35%-1.03 +1.9 13
1957-02-03 @ Fola Esch D 0-049.6 1267 1050 53.35% 19.81% 26.84%+1.03 -1.9 17
1957-02-03 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-036.7 1053 1101 49.34% 20.07% 30.58%+0.22 +17.8 14
1957-02-03 @ SC Tetange L 0-236.7 1101 1053 30.58% 20.07% 49.34%-0.22 -17.8 9
1957-02-03 Jeunesse Esch L 1-546.1 1247 1235 56.43% 19.97% 23.60%+0.66 -47.3 14
1957-02-03 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-146.1 1235 1247 23.60% 19.97% 56.43%-0.66 +47.3 19
1957-02-10 Differdange 03 W 4-030.6 1282 1221 61.42% 19.81% 18.77%+1.03 +22.2 21
1957-02-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-430.6 1221 1282 18.77% 19.81% 61.42%-1.03 -22.2 19
1957-02-10 Spora Luxembourg L 1-449.0 1265 1199 61.85% 19.79% 18.36%+1.06 -40.1 17
1957-02-10 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-149.0 1199 1265 18.36% 19.79% 61.85%-1.06 +40.1 16
1957-02-10 Fola Esch L 3-551.1 940 1052 40.53% 20.07% 39.40%-0.26 -16.4 4
1957-02-10 @ Red Star Merl W 5-351.1 1052 940 39.40% 20.07% 40.53%+0.26 +16.3 15
1957-02-10 Stade Dudelange L 1-236.6 1071 1484 10.55% 18.53% 70.92%-2.49 -3.4 14
1957-02-10 @ SC Tetange W 2-136.6 1484 1071 70.92% 18.53% 10.55%+2.49 +3.4 29
1957-02-17 Red Star Merl W 3-029.0 1083 923 69.19% 19.29% 11.52%+1.76 +10.9 11
1957-02-17 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-329.0 923 1083 11.52% 19.29% 69.19%-1.76 -10.9 4
1957-02-24 Union Luxembourg L 0-232.8 912 1212 18.39% 19.38% 62.22%-1.65 -11.4 4
1957-02-24 @ Red Star Merl W 2-032.8 1212 912 62.22% 19.38% 18.39%+1.65 +11.4 20
1957-02-24 Spora Luxembourg W 3-252.0 1068 1239 32.35% 19.96% 47.70%-0.70 +12.1 16
1957-02-24 @ SC Tetange L 2-352.0 1239 1068 47.70% 19.96% 32.35%+0.70 -12.1 16
1957-03-03 Stade Dudelange D 1-153.5 1069 1487 10.24% 18.48% 71.28%-2.53 +4.2 16
1957-03-03 @ Fola Esch D 1-153.5 1487 1069 71.28% 18.48% 10.24%+2.53 -4.2 30
1957-03-24 SC Tetange W 4-028.7 1199 1080 66.35% 19.53% 14.12%+1.46 +17.2 21
1957-03-24 @ Differdange 03 L 0-428.7 1080 1199 14.12% 19.53% 66.35%-1.46 -17.2 16
1957-03-24 Progres Niedercorn L 3-456.5 1181 1225 49.84% 20.07% 30.09%+0.25 -12.3 18
1957-03-24 @ Grevenmacher W 4-356.5 1225 1181 30.09% 20.07% 49.84%-0.25 +12.3 19
1957-03-24 Fola Esch W 2-029.7 1304 1073 73.28% 18.75% 7.96%+2.30 +5.2 23
1957-03-24 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-229.7 1073 1304 7.96% 18.75% 73.28%-2.30 -5.2 16
1957-03-24 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-256.9 1224 1094 67.13% 19.47% 13.40%+1.54 -2.8 21
1957-03-24 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-256.9 1094 1224 13.40% 19.47% 67.13%-1.54 +2.8 12
1957-03-24 Alliance Dudelange D 2-256.8 1227 1164 61.61% 19.80% 18.59%+1.04 -2.1 17
1957-03-24 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-256.8 1164 1227 18.59% 19.80% 61.61%-1.04 +2.1 17
1957-03-24 Red Star Merl W 7-126.0 1483 901 83.88% 14.87% 1.25%+4.90 +1.8 32
1957-03-24 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-726.0 901 1483 1.25% 14.87% 83.88%-4.90 -1.8 4
1957-03-31 Differdange 03 L 0-242.4 1166 1216 49.10% 20.08% 30.82%+0.21 -26.3 17
1957-03-31 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-042.4 1216 1166 30.82% 20.08% 49.10%-0.21 +26.3 23
1957-03-31 Stade Dudelange D 2-257.8 1097 1485 11.95% 18.74% 69.30%-2.31 +2.9 13
1957-03-31 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-257.8 1485 1097 69.30% 18.74% 11.95%+2.31 -2.9 33
1957-03-31 Spora Luxembourg D 2-256.7 1068 1225 34.23% 19.99% 45.78%-0.60 +0.5 17
1957-03-31 @ Fola Esch D 2-256.7 1225 1068 45.78% 19.99% 34.23%+0.60 -0.5 18
1957-03-31 Union Luxembourg W 2-034.7 1237 1221 56.93% 19.96% 23.11%+0.70 +14.0 21
1957-03-31 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-234.7 1221 1237 23.11% 19.96% 56.93%-0.70 -14.0 21
1957-03-31 Jeunesse Esch L 1-531.6 899 1310 10.68% 18.55% 70.76%-2.47 -10.9 4
1957-03-31 @ Red Star Merl W 5-131.6 1310 899 70.76% 18.55% 10.68%+2.47 +10.9 25
1957-03-31 Grevenmacher D 1-152.4 1062 1169 41.40% 20.08% 38.52%-0.21 -0.2 17
1957-03-31 @ SC Tetange D 1-152.4 1169 1062 38.52% 20.08% 41.40%+0.21 +0.2 19
1957-04-07 Fola Esch W 2-030.5 1242 1068 70.12% 19.19% 10.69%+1.87 +7.0 25
1957-04-07 @ Differdange 03 L 0-230.5 1068 1242 10.69% 19.19% 70.12%-1.87 -7.0 17
1957-04-07 Alliance Dudelange W 5-135.4 1169 1140 58.24% 19.92% 21.84%+0.79 +21.1 21
1957-04-07 @ Grevenmacher L 1-535.4 1140 1169 21.84% 19.92% 58.24%-0.79 -21.1 17
1957-04-07 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-029.9 1320 1100 72.74% 18.84% 8.42%+2.22 +5.5 27
1957-04-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-229.9 1100 1320 8.42% 18.84% 72.74%-2.22 -5.5 13
1957-04-07 Progres Niedercorn W 3-252.7 1062 1251 30.17% 19.91% 49.92%-0.83 +12.6 19
1957-04-07 @ SC Tetange L 2-352.7 1251 1062 49.92% 19.91% 30.17%+0.83 -12.6 21
1957-04-07 Red Star Merl W 10-126.8 1225 888 77.62% 17.78% 4.60%+3.08 +10.2 20
1957-04-07 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-1026.8 888 1225 4.60% 17.78% 77.62%-3.08 -10.2 4
1957-04-07 Union Luxembourg W 5-132.0 1482 1207 75.27% 18.38% 6.35%+2.62 +6.6 35
1957-04-07 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-532.0 1207 1482 6.35% 18.38% 75.27%-2.62 -6.6 21
1957-04-28 SC Tetange W 4-136.3 1119 1075 59.80% 19.87% 20.33%+0.90 +15.4 19
1957-04-28 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-436.3 1075 1119 20.33% 19.87% 59.80%-0.90 -15.4 19
1957-04-28 Red Star Merl W 6-024.4 1249 878 78.76% 17.41% 3.83%+3.33 +7.0 27
1957-04-28 @ Differdange 03 L 0-624.4 878 1249 3.83% 17.41% 78.76%-3.33 -7.0 4
1957-04-28 Spora Luxembourg W 4-249.1 1094 1235 36.53% 20.03% 43.44%-0.47 +18.3 15
1957-04-28 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-449.1 1235 1094 43.44% 20.03% 36.53%+0.47 -18.3 20
1957-04-28 Grevenmacher D 2-256.6 1061 1190 38.17% 20.05% 41.78%-0.38 +0.2 18
1957-04-28 @ Fola Esch D 2-256.6 1190 1061 41.78% 20.05% 38.17%+0.38 -0.2 22
1957-04-28 Stade Dudelange L 1-736.1 1239 1488 23.20% 19.66% 57.14%-1.28 -32.1 21
1957-04-28 @ Progres Niedercorn W 7-136.1 1488 1239 57.14% 19.66% 23.20%+1.28 +32.1 37
1957-04-28 Jeunesse Esch L 2-349.8 1200 1326 38.64% 20.05% 41.31%-0.36 -10.2 21
1957-04-28 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-249.8 1326 1200 41.31% 20.05% 38.64%+0.36 +10.2 29
1957-05-12 Progres Niedercorn W 3-142.0 1134 1207 46.13% 20.09% 33.78%+0.04 +16.7 21
1957-05-12 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-342.0 1207 1134 33.78% 20.09% 46.13%-0.04 -16.7 21
1957-05-12 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-149.9 1256 1112 68.14% 19.39% 12.47%+1.65 -19.1 27
1957-05-12 @ Differdange 03 W 1-049.9 1112 1256 12.47% 19.39% 68.14%-1.65 +19.2 17
1957-05-12 Red Star Merl W 9-025.9 1190 871 77.00% 17.96% 5.04%+2.95 +13.6 24
1957-05-12 @ Grevenmacher L 0-925.9 871 1190 5.04% 17.96% 77.00%-2.95 -13.6 4
1957-05-12 Stade Dudelange W 1-049.3 1336 1520 30.76% 19.92% 49.31%-0.79 +14.0 31
1957-05-12 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-149.3 1520 1336 49.31% 19.92% 30.76%+0.79 -14.0 37
1957-05-12 Fola Esch D 1-152.4 1060 1061 54.92% 20.00% 25.07%+0.56 -1.9 20
1957-05-12 @ SC Tetange D 1-152.4 1061 1060 25.07% 20.00% 54.92%-0.56 +1.9 19
1957-05-12 Union Luxembourg W 8-031.5 1217 1190 58.01% 19.93% 22.06%+0.77 +49.2 22
1957-05-12 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-831.5 1190 1217 22.06% 19.93% 58.01%-0.77 -49.2 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1957-01-20 9.26% Fola Esch 1030 1 @ Union Luxembourg 1232 0
2 1956-12-30 10.80% Grevenmacher 1151 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1323 0
3 1957-05-12 12.47% FC Schifflange 95 1112 1 @ Differdange 03 1256 0
4 1957-01-13 13.81% Alliance Dudelange 1126 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1250 1
5 1956-08-26 13.86% Fola Esch 1150 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1273 0
6 1956-12-16 14.28% Differdange 03 1223 3 @ Union Luxembourg 1340 2
7 1956-08-26 15.41% SC Tetange 1029 4 @ FC Schifflange 95 1130 1
8 1957-02-10 18.36% Spora Luxembourg 1199 4 @ Progres Niedercorn 1265 1
9 1957-01-13 19.42% FC Schifflange 95 1051 5 @ Fola Esch 1105 0
10 1956-12-16 19.97% Jeunesse Esch 1190 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1238 1
11 1956-09-09 20.82% Union Luxembourg 1201 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 1240 1
12 1957-02-03 23.60% Jeunesse Esch 1235 5 @ Spora Luxembourg 1247 1
13 1957-01-13 23.91% Jeunesse Esch 1206 3 @ Grevenmacher 1215 0
14 1956-09-16 24.18% Union Luxembourg 1217 2 @ Fola Esch 1223 0
15 1956-11-25 26.95% @ FC Schifflange 95 1035 2 Differdange 03 1251 0
16 1956-09-16 27.07% @ SC Tetange 1011 2 Jeunesse Esch 1226 0
17 1956-08-26 27.65% Spora Luxembourg 1258 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1234 2
18 1956-11-04 28.08% @ FC Schifflange 95 1016 3 Jeunesse Esch 1222 1
19 1956-11-04 28.76% Differdange 03 1215 4 @ Fola Esch 1182 2
20 1957-03-24 30.09% Progres Niedercorn 1225 4 @ Grevenmacher 1181 3
21 1957-04-07 30.17% @ SC Tetange 1062 3 Progres Niedercorn 1251 2
22 1956-09-16 30.36% Progres Niedercorn 1224 2 @ Differdange 03 1179 1
23 1956-12-16 30.67% SC Tetange 1033 6 @ Red Star Merl 984 3
24 1957-05-12 30.76% @ Jeunesse Esch 1336 1 Stade Dudelange 1520 0
25 1957-03-31 30.82% Differdange 03 1216 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 1166 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-01-13 75.12 FC Schifflange 95 5 1051 19.42% @ Fola Esch 0 1105 60.75% 19.84%
2 1956-12-30 70.46 Grevenmacher 4 1151 10.80% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1323 70.00% 19.20%
3 1956-09-02 58.24 Union Luxembourg 5 1143 33.75% @ SC Tetange 0 1071 46.16% 20.09%
4 1956-11-18 50.96 @ Grevenmacher 5 1049 40.64% Fola Esch 0 1161 39.29% 20.07%
5 1957-05-12 49.23 @ Spora Luxembourg 8 1217 58.01% Union Luxembourg 0 1190 22.06% 19.93%
6 1957-02-03 47.27 Jeunesse Esch 5 1235 23.60% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1247 56.43% 19.97%
7 1956-09-16 43.98 Stade Dudelange 5 1393 47.23% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1224 32.81% 19.97%
8 1957-01-13 43.18 Jeunesse Esch 3 1206 23.91% @ Grevenmacher 0 1215 56.11% 19.98%
9 1956-08-26 42.11 SC Tetange 4 1029 15.41% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1130 64.97% 19.63%
10 1956-10-21 40.56 Union Luxembourg 5 1250 50.33% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1057 29.77% 19.90%
11 1957-02-10 40.06 Spora Luxembourg 4 1199 18.36% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1265 61.85% 19.79%
12 1956-11-25 38.85 Grevenmacher 5 1100 34.47% @ Red Star Merl 1 1023 45.44% 20.09%
13 1956-10-28 35.48 @ Differdange 03 5 1180 54.68% Alliance Dudelange 0 1184 25.31% 20.01%
14 1956-08-26 35.28 Fola Esch 2 1150 13.86% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1273 66.62% 19.51%
15 1956-08-26 33.37 @ Grevenmacher 3 1046 37.99% Union Luxembourg 0 1176 41.96% 20.05%
16 1957-04-28 32.11 Stade Dudelange 7 1488 57.14% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1239 23.20% 19.66%
17 1956-11-04 31.83 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1296 31.51% Stade Dudelange 1 1475 48.55% 19.94%
18 1956-08-19 30.58 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1204 42.28% Progres Niedercorn 0 1304 37.64% 20.08%
19 1956-09-16 29.60 Union Luxembourg 2 1217 24.18% @ Fola Esch 0 1223 55.84% 19.98%
20 1956-09-02 28.53 Stade Dudelange 5 1363 60.69% @ Grevenmacher 0 1079 19.83% 19.48%
21 1956-11-25 28.24 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1035 26.95% Differdange 03 0 1251 53.24% 19.81%
22 1956-09-16 28.18 @ SC Tetange 2 1011 27.07% Jeunesse Esch 0 1226 53.12% 19.82%
23 1956-09-09 28.12 Fola Esch 4 1195 38.02% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1092 41.90% 20.08%
24 1957-03-31 26.29 Differdange 03 2 1216 30.82% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1166 49.10% 20.08%
25 1956-10-21 25.97 Stade Dudelange 7 1448 68.51% @ Red Star Merl 0 1071 12.66% 18.84%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-10-28 64.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1268 63.82% Fola Esch 4 1180 16.49% 19.69%
2 1956-09-09 64.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 1227 69.29% Red Star Merl 4 1065 11.43% 19.28%
3 1956-11-04 64.0 @ Red Star Merl 4 1037 25.34% Spora Luxembourg 4 1267 54.91% 19.75%
4 1957-01-06 61.2 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1253 71.30% SC Tetange 3 1058 9.65% 19.05%
5 1956-12-16 58.1 Differdange 03 3 1223 14.28% @ Union Luxembourg 2 1340 66.18% 19.54%
6 1957-03-31 57.8 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1097 11.95% Stade Dudelange 2 1485 69.30% 18.74%
7 1957-03-24 56.9 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1224 67.13% FC Schifflange 95 2 1094 13.40% 19.47%
8 1956-12-09 56.8 @ Grevenmacher 2 1139 39.57% Spora Luxembourg 2 1258 40.37% 20.06%
9 1957-03-24 56.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1227 61.61% Alliance Dudelange 2 1164 18.59% 19.80%
10 1956-09-23 56.7 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1057 31.17% Progres Niedercorn 2 1238 48.90% 19.93%
11 1957-03-31 56.7 @ Fola Esch 2 1068 34.23% Spora Luxembourg 2 1225 45.78% 19.99%
12 1957-01-06 56.6 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1052 45.90% Alliance Dudelange 2 1126 34.02% 20.09%
13 1957-04-28 56.6 @ Fola Esch 2 1061 38.17% Grevenmacher 2 1190 41.78% 20.05%
14 1957-03-24 56.5 Progres Niedercorn 4 1225 30.09% @ Grevenmacher 3 1181 49.84% 20.07%
15 1956-08-26 53.8 Spora Luxembourg 3 1258 27.65% @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1234 52.31% 20.05%
16 1957-03-03 53.5 @ Fola Esch 1 1069 10.24% Stade Dudelange 1 1487 71.28% 18.48%
17 1957-01-13 53.2 Alliance Dudelange 2 1126 13.81% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1250 66.69% 19.51%
18 1956-08-19 52.9 @ Grevenmacher 4 1036 41.68% FC Schifflange 95 3 1140 38.24% 20.08%
19 1956-11-18 52.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1198 38.04% Union Luxembourg 1 1328 41.92% 20.05%
20 1956-09-09 52.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1283 65.45% Differdange 03 1 1175 14.96% 19.59%
21 1956-09-02 52.7 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1244 68.93% FC Schifflange 95 1 1088 11.75% 19.31%
22 1957-04-07 52.7 @ SC Tetange 3 1062 30.17% Progres Niedercorn 2 1251 49.92% 19.91%
23 1956-09-02 52.5 @ Differdange 03 1 1176 49.72% Jeunesse Esch 1 1221 30.21% 20.07%
24 1956-11-04 52.5 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1148 65.01% Grevenmacher 1 1046 15.37% 19.62%
25 1956-11-25 52.4 @ Fola Esch 1 1110 63.20% SC Tetange 1 1029 17.08% 19.73%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1957-04-28 24.4 @ Differdange 03 6 1249 78.76% Red Star Merl 0 878 3.83% 17.41%
2 1957-05-12 25.9 @ Grevenmacher 9 1190 77.00% Red Star Merl 0 871 5.04% 17.96%
3 1957-03-24 26.0 @ Stade Dudelange 7 1483 83.88% Red Star Merl 1 901 1.25% 14.87%
4 1956-11-04 26.8 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 1234 72.56% SC Tetange 0 1017 8.57% 18.87%
5 1957-04-07 26.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 10 1225 77.62% Red Star Merl 1 888 4.60% 17.78%
6 1956-11-25 27.6 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1455 74.46% Jeunesse Esch 0 1198 7.00% 18.54%
7 1956-10-21 28.3 Stade Dudelange 7 1448 68.51% @ Red Star Merl 0 1071 12.66% 18.84%
8 1957-01-27 28.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 6 1241 66.01% FC Schifflange 95 0 1126 14.44% 19.56%
9 1956-12-16 28.6 @ Stade Dudelange 5 1464 71.91% Spora Luxembourg 0 1258 9.12% 18.96%
10 1957-03-24 28.7 @ Differdange 03 4 1199 66.35% SC Tetange 0 1080 14.12% 19.53%
11 1956-11-18 28.8 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1443 71.53% Progres Niedercorn 0 1245 9.46% 19.02%
12 1957-02-17 29.0 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1083 69.19% Red Star Merl 0 923 11.52% 19.29%
13 1957-01-06 29.3 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1475 74.35% Grevenmacher 0 1221 7.09% 18.56%
14 1956-10-28 29.6 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1474 81.14% FC Schifflange 95 0 1017 2.43% 16.43%
15 1957-03-24 29.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1304 73.28% Fola Esch 0 1073 7.96% 18.75%
16 1957-04-07 29.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1320 72.74% FC Schifflange 95 0 1100 8.42% 18.84%
17 1956-09-09 30.0 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1391 79.00% SC Tetange 0 1012 3.67% 17.33%
18 1956-09-23 30.0 @ Stade Dudelange 7 1437 73.85% Fola Esch 1 1193 7.49% 18.66%
19 1956-09-02 30.1 Stade Dudelange 5 1363 60.69% @ Grevenmacher 0 1079 19.83% 19.48%
20 1957-04-07 30.5 @ Differdange 03 2 1242 70.12% Fola Esch 0 1068 10.69% 19.19%
21 1957-02-10 30.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1282 61.42% Differdange 03 0 1221 18.77% 19.81%
22 1956-12-30 30.7 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1118 69.21% Red Star Merl 0 958 11.50% 19.29%
23 1957-01-20 31.3 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1482 77.68% Alliance Dudelange 0 1144 4.56% 17.76%
24 1957-05-12 31.5 @ Spora Luxembourg 8 1217 58.01% Union Luxembourg 0 1190 22.06% 19.93%
25 1957-03-31 31.6 Jeunesse Esch 5 1310 70.76% @ Red Star Merl 1 899 10.68% 18.55%