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1955-56 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Spora Luxembourg

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Spora Luxembourg

7.06 points above expected

33 points · 25.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Chiers Rodange

10.41 points below expected

9 points · 19.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Spora Luxembourg 22 16 1 5 33 61 38 +23 25.94 +7.06
2 Stade Dudelange 22 16 0 6 32 61 23 +38 27.54 +4.46
3 Progres Niedercorn 22 12 6 4 30 66 40 +26 28.37 +1.63
4 Alliance Dudelange 22 12 5 5 29 51 41 +10 24.39 +4.61
5 Jeunesse Esch 22 8 7 7 23 35 32 +3 23.60 -0.60
6 Fola Esch 22 10 3 9 23 57 58 -1 23.39 -0.39
7 FC Schifflange 95 22 9 3 10 21 37 44 -7 21.17 -0.17
8 Differdange 03 22 8 4 10 20 33 39 -6 18.47 +1.53
9 Union Luxembourg 22 7 5 10 19 42 44 -2 19.18 -0.18
10 Red Star Merl 22 3 8 11 14 38 68 -30 16.28 -2.28
11 Racing Rodange 22 3 5 14 11 33 53 -20 16.26 -5.26
12 Chiers Rodange 22 3 3 16 9 29 63 -34 19.41 -10.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Spora Luxembourg 33 25.94 +7.06
2 Alliance Dudelange 29 24.39 +4.61
3 Stade Dudelange 32 27.54 +4.46
4 Progres Niedercorn 30 28.37 +1.63
5 Differdange 03 20 18.47 +1.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Chiers Rodange 9 19.41 -10.41
2 Racing Rodange 11 16.26 -5.26
3 Red Star Merl 14 16.28 -2.28
4 Jeunesse Esch 23 23.60 -0.60
5 Fola Esch 23 23.39 -0.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 10 Oct 23 – Jan 15 1 in 1,559
2 Stade Dudelange 12 Dec 4 – May 6 1 in 424
3 Alliance Dudelange 4 Aug 21 – Oct 2 1 in 91
4 Union Luxembourg 3 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 56
5 Fola Esch 3 Oct 2 – Oct 30 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chiers Rodange 8 Jan 8 – Apr 29 1 in 86
2 Jeunesse Esch 4 Jan 22 – Apr 8 1 in 66
3 Fola Esch 3 Dec 4 – Dec 31 1 in 28
4 Stade Dudelange 3 Aug 21 – Sep 18 1 in 24
5 Racing Rodange 4 Sep 18 – Oct 30 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 8 Aug 21 – Nov 13 1 in 60
2 Spora Luxembourg 10 Oct 23 – Jan 15 1 in 44
3 FC Schifflange 95 6 Jan 15 – Apr 22 1 in 20
4 Jeunesse Esch 6 Nov 6 – Dec 31 1 in 17
5 Union Luxembourg 4 Mar 18 – Apr 29 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Red Star Merl 14 Aug 21 – Jan 22 1 in 97
2 Jeunesse Esch 7 Dec 31 – Apr 8 1 in 86
3 Progres Niedercorn 4 Apr 8 – May 6 1 in 55
4 Racing Rodange 12 Sep 18 – Jan 15 1 in 44
5 Chiers Rodange 11 Dec 11 – May 6 1 in 27

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Spora Luxembourg 1060 33 +17 7 6.6 +0.4
Stade Dudelange 1178 32 +19 8 7.7 +0.3
Progres Niedercorn 1107 30 +8 5 6.5 -1.5
Alliance Dudelange 959 29 -14 5 6.0 -1.0
Jeunesse Esch 938 23 +49 6 5.1 +0.9
Fola Esch 894 23 -12 5 4.6 +0.4
FC Schifflange 95 848 21 -90 4 5.4 -1.4
Differdange 03 892 20 +16 5 4.1 +0.9
Union Luxembourg 897 19 +57 6 5.0 +1.0
Red Star Merl 782 14 +7 3 2.7 +0.3
Racing Rodange 762 11 -44 3 4.1 -1.1
Chiers Rodange 751 9 -12 3 2.3 +0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD CR D0 FS9 FE JE PN RR RSM SL SD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.12
1-0-1
3.86
2-0-0
4.13
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
3.79
Chiers Rodange
0-0-2
2.91
 —
0-0-2
3.05
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
1.45
1-1-0
3.78
0-1-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
1.79
2-0-0
2.23
Differdange 03
1-0-1
2.01
2-0-0
2.55
 —
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
1.32
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
1.92
2-0-0
2.28
FC Schifflange 95
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.16
 —
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.32
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.88
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
3.19
Fola Esch
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.02
 —
1-0-1
3.37
0-1-1
2.18
2-0-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
3.35
Jeunesse Esch
0-1-1
2.56
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
3.37
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.23
 —
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
3.80
1-1-0
3.68
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
1.76
0-2-0
3.33
Progres Niedercorn
0-1-1
3.48
1-1-0
4.16
1-1-0
4.29
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.20
 —
2-0-0
4.10
1-1-0
4.06
0-0-2
3.09
1-0-1
2.34
2-0-0
3.96
Racing Rodange
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-2
1.99
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
1.51
 —
0-2-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.33
1-0-1
1.60
0-1-1
2.66
Red Star Merl
0-0-2
1.48
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
1.54
0-2-0
2.80
 —
0-0-2
1.38
0-0-2
1.14
1-1-0
2.39
Spora Luxembourg
1-1-0
3.02
2-0-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.40
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
2.51
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.23
 —
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
3.81
Stade Dudelange
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.85
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
4.00
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
2.78
 —
1-0-1
3.81
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
1.81
0-0-2
3.37
0-0-2
3.32
1-0-1
2.41
2-0-0
2.25
0-2-0
2.27
0-0-2
1.65
1-1-0
2.94
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
1.79
1-0-1
1.79
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +5.2
Allowed 0.56 -4.6
Differential 0.91 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.41%4.55%2.65%1.52%1.14%16.29%
13.41%5.30%5.30%4.92%1.89%3.03%23.86%
24.55%5.30%7.58%5.68%2.27%2.27%27.65%
32.65%4.92%5.68%3.03%0.76%—17.05%
41.52%1.89%2.27%0.76%—0.76%7.20%
5+1.14%3.03%2.27%—0.76%0.76%7.95%
Total16.29%23.86%27.65%17.05%7.20%7.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 2.06 +0.00
SD 1.62 1.62 2.38
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%4.55%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
24.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
34.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
4———————
5+—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%31.82%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.86 +0.45
SD 1.49 1.58 2.18
CV 0.64 0.85 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
14.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%9.09%54.55%
2——4.55%13.64%——18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%9.09%31.82%31.82%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.86 -1.55
SD 0.89 1.67 2.11
CV 0.68 0.58 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%——4.55%27.27%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
213.64%———9.09%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%31.82%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.77 -0.27
SD 1.34 1.54 2.19
CV 0.89 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%31.82%
29.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
34.55%—————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%18.18%22.73%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.00 -0.32
SD 1.55 1.60 2.38
CV 0.92 0.80 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%4.55%13.64%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
4—9.09%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
5+—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
Total4.55%31.82%22.73%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 2.64 -0.05
SD 1.87 1.94 2.80
CV 0.72 0.74 —
Max 7 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.45 +0.14
SD 1.44 1.22 1.86
CV 0.90 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3—18.18%4.55%18.18%——40.91%
44.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%36.36%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.82 +1.18
SD 1.60 1.10 2.17
CV 0.53 0.60 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%36.36%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%18.18%27.27%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.41 -0.91
SD 1.34 1.76 1.54
CV 0.89 0.73 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—9.09%——4.55%9.09%22.73%
2——18.18%—4.55%9.09%31.82%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%18.18%31.82%9.09%13.64%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 3.09 -1.36
SD 1.42 2.18 2.44
CV 0.82 0.71 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%——9.09%
1——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
213.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
34.55%4.55%18.18%———27.27%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
Total18.18%27.27%31.82%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.73 +1.05
SD 2.05 1.32 2.40
CV 0.74 0.76 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
39.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
49.09%—4.55%———13.64%
5+9.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
Total36.36%36.36%22.73%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.05 +1.73
SD 1.97 1.17 2.57
CV 0.71 1.12 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
14.55%—13.64%4.55%——22.73%
2—4.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%13.64%40.91%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 2.00 -0.09
SD 1.31 1.15 1.72
CV 0.68 0.58 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Stade Dudelange 1178 32 27.54 +4.46 92.0% 20 22 25 27 30 33 35
Progres Niedercorn 1107 30 28.37 +1.63 70.0% 18 22 26 28 31 34 38
Spora Luxembourg 1060 33 25.94 +7.06 99.0% 16 20 23 26 28 33 36
Alliance Dudelange 959 29 24.39 +4.61 90.0% 13 18 21 24 27 31 38
Jeunesse Esch 938 23 23.60 -0.60 48.0% 13 18 21 24 26 30 33
Union Luxembourg 897 19 19.18 -0.18 56.0% 10 12 16 19 22 26 31
Fola Esch 894 23 23.39 -0.39 57.0% 17 17 21 23 25 29 33
Differdange 03 892 20 18.47 +1.53 71.0% 11 12 16 18 21 24 28
FC Schifflange 95 848 21 21.17 -0.17 51.0% 8 15 19 21 24 28 32
Red Star Merl 782 14 16.28 -2.28 35.0% 6 10 13 16 19 23 25
Racing Rodange 762 11 16.26 -5.26 13.0% 8 9 13 16 19 23 29
Chiers Rodange 751 9 19.41 -10.41 0.0% 10 13 17 19 22 26 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
Slight Edge
44.70%18.94%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
161 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
14%
Spora Luxembourg, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.68 * Lucky: 4.68 to 6.24 * Wild Swing: 6.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.55 * Close: 1.55 to 2.33 * Off: 2.33 to 3.11 * Way Off: 3.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.45 points
Some Luck
03.9010
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.944
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Spora Luxembourg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Chiers Rodange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 135.87
1.89
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Slight Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Some Drama
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Occasional
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.35
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.36
Weak Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.77
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1410.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Spora Luxembourg14.00%14.00%20.00%21.00%14.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Stade Dudelange27.00%26.00%18.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%————
Progres Niedercorn38.00%27.00%11.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Alliance Dudelange8.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Jeunesse Esch6.00%5.00%12.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%—
Fola Esch2.00%6.00%13.00%5.00%16.00%21.00%16.00%4.00%12.00%4.00%1.00%—
FC Schifflange 953.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%17.00%18.00%7.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%
Differdange 03—1.00%—3.00%6.00%14.00%4.00%9.00%20.00%16.00%19.00%8.00%
Union Luxembourg1.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%17.00%14.00%12.00%
Red Star Merl———3.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%21.00%32.00%
Racing Rodange—1.00%2.00%—2.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%24.00%32.00%
Chiers Rodange1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%16.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Progres Niedercorn 100% —
Stade Dudelange 100% —
Fola Esch 99.00% 1.00%
Spora Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00%
Alliance Dudelange 98.00% 2.00%
Jeunesse Esch 98.00% 2.00%
FC Schifflange 95 89.00% 11.00%
Chiers Rodange 79.00% 21.00%
Union Luxembourg 74.00% 26.00%
Differdange 03 73.00% 27.00%
Red Star Merl 47.00% 53.00%
Racing Rodange 44.00% 56.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1955-08-21 Differdange 03 W 1-038.8 892 886 46.73% 20.07% 33.20%+0.21 +13.4 2
1955-08-21 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-138.8 886 892 33.20% 20.07% 46.73%-0.21 -13.4 0
1955-08-21 Red Star Merl W 1-038.5 901 889 47.63% 20.07% 32.30%+0.25 +13.1 2
1955-08-21 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-138.5 889 901 32.30% 20.07% 47.63%-0.25 -13.1 0
1955-08-21 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-140.2 917 921 45.37% 20.08% 34.55%+0.15 +22.6 2
1955-08-21 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-340.2 921 917 34.55% 20.08% 45.37%-0.15 -22.6 0
1955-08-21 Stade Dudelange W 1-042.4 878 958 34.83% 20.06% 45.11%-0.32 +17.2 2
1955-08-21 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-142.4 958 878 45.11% 20.06% 34.83%+0.32 -17.2 0
1955-08-21 Chiers Rodange L 0-135.3 886 1076 21.70% 19.80% 58.49%-1.00 -9.4 0
1955-08-21 @ Racing Rodange W 1-035.3 1076 886 58.49% 19.80% 21.70%+1.00 +9.4 2
1955-08-21 Fola Esch L 1-539.7 932 933 46.00% 20.08% 33.92%+0.18 -52.3 0
1955-08-21 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-139.7 933 932 33.92% 20.08% 46.00%-0.18 +52.3 2
1955-08-28 Alliance Dudelange L 2-356.4 1086 905 65.44% 19.61% 14.95%+1.30 -21.9 2
1955-08-28 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-256.4 905 1086 14.95% 19.61% 65.44%-1.30 +21.9 4
1955-08-28 Spora Luxembourg L 1-343.4 873 880 45.06% 20.08% 34.85%+0.14 -28.1 0
1955-08-28 @ Differdange 03 W 3-143.4 880 873 34.85% 20.08% 45.06%-0.14 +28.1 2
1955-08-28 Union Luxembourg W 2-142.5 899 895 46.49% 20.08% 33.43%+0.20 +12.7 2
1955-08-28 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-242.5 895 899 33.43% 20.08% 46.49%-0.20 -12.7 2
1955-08-28 Progres Niedercorn D 3-361.0 914 939 42.59% 20.09% 37.32%+0.03 -0.3 3
1955-08-28 @ Jeunesse Esch D 3-361.0 939 914 37.32% 20.09% 42.59%-0.03 +0.3 3
1955-08-28 Fola Esch D 2-256.7 876 985 31.02% 20.02% 48.96%-0.50 +1.1 1
1955-08-28 @ Red Star Merl D 2-256.7 985 876 48.96% 20.02% 31.02%+0.50 -1.1 3
1955-08-28 Racing Rodange L 0-145.1 941 876 54.19% 19.99% 25.82%+0.58 -20.3 0
1955-08-28 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-045.1 876 941 25.82% 19.99% 54.19%-0.58 +20.3 2
1955-09-18 Stade Dudelange W 1-038.8 927 921 46.86% 20.07% 33.07%+0.22 +13.4 6
1955-09-18 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-138.8 921 927 33.07% 20.07% 46.86%-0.22 -13.4 0
1955-09-18 Differdange 03 L 0-244.1 984 845 61.90% 19.78% 18.32%+1.04 -43.6 3
1955-09-18 @ Fola Esch W 2-044.1 845 984 18.32% 19.78% 61.90%-1.04 +43.6 2
1955-09-18 Red Star Merl W 4-241.9 939 877 53.91% 20.00% 26.09%+0.57 +16.1 5
1955-09-18 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-441.9 877 939 26.09% 20.00% 53.91%-0.57 -16.0 1
1955-09-18 Jeunesse Esch D 0-049.6 883 914 41.71% 20.09% 38.20%-0.01 -0.3 3
1955-09-18 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-049.6 914 883 38.20% 20.09% 41.71%+0.01 +0.3 4
1955-09-18 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-238.9 897 912 44.00% 20.09% 35.91%+0.09 -31.8 2
1955-09-18 @ Racing Rodange W 2-038.9 912 897 35.91% 20.09% 44.00%-0.09 +31.8 4
1955-09-18 Chiers Rodange W 2-148.8 908 1064 25.45% 19.91% 54.64%-0.78 +19.3 4
1955-09-18 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-248.8 1064 908 54.64% 19.91% 25.45%+0.78 -19.3 2
1955-10-02 Fola Esch L 1-445.0 1044 940 58.51% 19.89% 21.60%+0.83 -50.5 2
1955-10-02 @ Chiers Rodange W 4-145.0 940 1044 21.60% 19.89% 58.51%-0.83 +50.5 5
1955-10-02 Alliance Dudelange L 1-246.4 943 940 46.45% 20.08% 33.48%+0.20 -16.7 4
1955-10-02 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 2-146.4 940 943 33.48% 20.08% 46.45%-0.20 +16.7 8
1955-10-02 Racing Rodange W 3-245.1 914 865 52.37% 20.02% 27.61%+0.49 +10.3 6
1955-10-02 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-345.1 865 914 27.61% 20.02% 52.37%-0.49 -10.3 2
1955-10-02 Union Luxembourg W 4-029.0 955 882 55.15% 19.97% 24.88%+0.63 +37.7 7
1955-10-02 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-429.0 882 955 24.88% 19.97% 55.15%-0.63 -37.7 3
1955-10-02 Differdange 03 D 1-152.5 861 888 42.25% 20.09% 37.66%+0.01 -0.4 2
1955-10-02 @ Red Star Merl D 1-152.5 888 861 37.66% 20.09% 42.25%-0.01 +0.4 3
1955-10-02 Spora Luxembourg W 3-034.0 907 928 43.26% 20.09% 36.65%+0.05 +39.9 2
1955-10-02 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-334.0 928 907 36.65% 20.09% 43.26%-0.05 -39.9 4
1955-10-23 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.5 957 925 50.27% 20.05% 29.68%+0.38 -1.7 9
1955-10-23 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.5 925 957 29.68% 20.05% 50.27%-0.38 +1.7 7
1955-10-23 Chiers Rodange W 2-040.2 889 994 31.53% 20.02% 48.45%-0.47 +34.6 5
1955-10-23 @ Differdange 03 L 0-240.2 994 889 48.45% 20.02% 31.53%+0.47 -34.6 2
1955-10-23 Stade Dudelange W 5-134.3 991 947 51.65% 20.03% 28.32%+0.45 +35.1 7
1955-10-23 @ Fola Esch L 1-534.3 947 991 28.32% 20.03% 51.65%-0.45 -35.1 2
1955-10-23 Red Star Merl D 2-256.7 845 861 43.84% 20.09% 36.07%+0.08 -0.5 4
1955-10-23 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-256.7 861 845 36.07% 20.09% 43.84%-0.08 +0.5 3
1955-10-23 Progres Niedercorn L 3-448.8 854 993 27.37% 19.96% 52.68%-0.68 -10.0 2
1955-10-23 @ Racing Rodange W 4-348.8 993 854 52.68% 19.96% 27.37%+0.68 +10.0 9
1955-10-23 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-037.4 888 927 40.62% 20.09% 39.30%-0.06 +29.0 6
1955-10-23 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-237.4 927 888 39.30% 20.09% 40.62%+0.06 -29.0 4
1955-10-30 Red Star Merl D 2-256.7 959 861 57.90% 19.91% 22.19%+0.79 -2.3 3
1955-10-30 @ Chiers Rodange D 2-256.7 861 959 22.19% 19.91% 57.90%-0.79 +2.3 4
1955-10-30 Fola Esch L 2-442.7 898 1026 28.63% 19.98% 51.39%-0.62 -17.3 4
1955-10-30 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 4-242.7 1026 898 51.39% 19.98% 28.63%+0.62 +17.3 9
1955-10-30 Spora Luxembourg L 0-239.8 926 917 47.31% 20.07% 32.62%+0.24 -33.9 7
1955-10-30 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-039.8 917 926 32.62% 20.07% 47.31%-0.24 +33.9 8
1955-10-30 Alliance Dudelange L 1-345.5 1003 955 52.20% 20.02% 27.78%+0.48 -32.0 9
1955-10-30 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-145.5 955 1003 27.78% 20.02% 52.20%-0.48 +32.0 11
1955-10-30 Racing Rodange W 2-142.6 844 845 45.99% 20.08% 33.93%+0.18 +12.9 6
1955-10-30 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-242.6 845 844 33.93% 20.08% 45.99%-0.18 -12.9 2
1955-10-30 Differdange 03 W 6-032.5 912 923 44.50% 20.08% 35.41%+0.11 +74.1 4
1955-10-30 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-632.5 923 912 35.41% 20.08% 44.50%-0.11 -74.1 5
1955-11-06 Union Luxembourg D 2-256.8 987 857 61.09% 19.81% 19.10%+0.99 -2.8 12
1955-11-06 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-256.8 857 987 19.10% 19.81% 61.09%-0.99 +2.8 7
1955-11-06 Stade Dudelange L 0-238.3 957 986 42.00% 20.09% 37.92%+0.00 -30.6 3
1955-11-06 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-038.3 986 957 37.92% 20.09% 42.00%+0.00 +30.6 6
1955-11-06 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-238.2 849 880 41.74% 20.09% 38.17%-0.01 -30.5 5
1955-11-06 @ Differdange 03 W 2-038.2 880 849 38.17% 20.09% 41.74%+0.01 +30.5 6
1955-11-06 Jeunesse Esch L 0-440.4 1043 892 62.96% 19.74% 17.30%+1.12 -84.1 9
1955-11-06 @ Fola Esch W 4-040.4 892 1043 17.30% 19.74% 62.96%-1.12 +84.1 9
1955-11-06 Racing Rodange D 2-256.7 863 832 50.19% 20.05% 29.76%+0.38 -1.3 5
1955-11-06 @ Red Star Merl D 2-256.7 832 863 29.76% 20.05% 50.19%-0.38 +1.3 3
1955-11-06 Progres Niedercorn W 3-247.9 951 971 43.22% 20.09% 36.70%+0.05 +13.0 10
1955-11-06 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-347.9 971 951 36.70% 20.09% 43.22%-0.05 -13.0 9
1955-11-13 Chiers Rodange W 2-143.2 911 926 43.90% 20.09% 36.02%+0.08 +13.5 8
1955-11-13 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-243.2 926 911 36.02% 20.09% 43.90%-0.08 -13.5 3
1955-11-13 Differdange 03 D 0-049.7 977 819 63.56% 19.71% 16.73%+1.16 -4.7 10
1955-11-13 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-049.7 819 977 16.73% 19.71% 63.56%-1.16 +4.7 6
1955-11-13 Fola Esch W 3-140.1 958 959 45.91% 20.08% 34.01%+0.17 +22.4 11
1955-11-13 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-340.1 959 958 34.01% 20.08% 45.91%-0.17 -22.4 9
1955-11-13 Spora Luxembourg L 1-241.9 860 964 31.69% 20.03% 48.28%-0.46 -12.2 7
1955-11-13 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-141.9 964 860 48.28% 20.03% 31.69%+0.46 +12.2 12
1955-11-13 Alliance Dudelange L 0-330.7 833 984 25.88% 19.92% 54.20%-0.76 -29.9 3
1955-11-13 @ Racing Rodange W 3-030.7 984 833 54.20% 19.92% 25.88%+0.76 +29.8 14
1955-11-13 Red Star Merl W 3-028.0 1017 862 63.31% 19.72% 16.97%+1.14 +20.7 8
1955-11-13 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-328.0 862 1017 16.97% 19.72% 63.31%-1.14 -20.7 5
1955-11-27 Spora Luxembourg L 2-352.2 1014 976 51.03% 20.04% 28.93%+0.42 -17.2 14
1955-11-27 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-252.2 976 1014 28.93% 20.04% 51.03%-0.42 +17.2 14
1955-11-27 Red Star Merl W 7-234.5 924 841 56.24% 19.95% 23.81%+0.69 +31.1 10
1955-11-27 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-734.5 841 924 23.81% 19.95% 56.24%-0.69 -31.0 5
1955-11-27 Stade Dudelange W 2-145.4 972 1038 36.81% 20.07% 43.12%-0.23 +15.6 12
1955-11-27 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-245.4 1038 972 43.12% 20.07% 36.81%+0.23 -15.6 8
1955-11-27 Chiers Rodange W 8-031.2 980 913 54.52% 19.99% 25.49%+0.60 +74.2 13
1955-11-27 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-831.2 913 980 25.49% 19.99% 54.52%-0.60 -74.2 3
1955-11-27 Differdange 03 L 2-351.6 848 824 49.21% 20.06% 30.73%+0.33 -16.6 7
1955-11-27 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-251.6 824 848 30.73% 20.06% 49.21%-0.33 +16.6 8
1955-11-27 Fola Esch L 2-442.5 803 937 27.98% 19.97% 52.06%-0.65 -17.0 3
1955-11-27 @ Racing Rodange W 4-242.5 937 803 52.06% 19.97% 27.98%+0.65 +17.0 11
1955-12-04 Union Luxembourg W 3-139.7 839 831 47.07% 20.07% 32.86%+0.23 +21.7 5
1955-12-04 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-339.7 831 839 32.86% 20.07% 47.07%-0.23 -21.7 7
1955-12-04 Racing Rodange D 1-152.5 840 786 52.93% 20.01% 27.05%+0.52 -2.2 9
1955-12-04 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.5 786 840 27.05% 20.01% 52.93%-0.52 +2.2 4
1955-12-04 Jeunesse Esch D 0-049.6 955 987 41.59% 20.09% 38.32%-0.02 -0.3 11
1955-12-04 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 0-049.6 987 955 38.32% 20.09% 41.59%+0.02 +0.3 13
1955-12-04 Alliance Dudelange L 4-554.9 954 997 39.97% 20.09% 39.94%-0.09 -13.4 11
1955-12-04 @ Fola Esch W 5-454.9 997 954 39.94% 20.09% 39.97%+0.09 +13.4 16
1955-12-04 Spora Luxembourg L 4-838.0 810 993 22.51% 19.83% 57.66%-0.95 -21.0 5
1955-12-04 @ Red Star Merl W 8-438.0 993 810 57.66% 19.83% 22.51%+0.95 +21.0 16
1955-12-04 Progres Niedercorn W 3-248.4 1022 1055 41.50% 20.09% 38.41%-0.02 +13.5 10
1955-12-04 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-348.4 1055 1022 38.41% 20.09% 41.50%+0.02 -13.5 13
1955-12-11 Jeunesse Esch L 2-345.5 860 988 28.74% 19.98% 51.28%-0.61 -10.7 5
1955-12-11 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-245.5 988 860 51.28% 19.98% 28.74%+0.61 +10.6 15
1955-12-11 Progres Niedercorn L 1-335.9 838 1041 20.46% 19.76% 59.78%-1.08 -14.5 9
1955-12-11 @ Differdange 03 W 3-135.9 1041 838 59.78% 19.76% 20.46%+1.08 +14.5 15
1955-12-11 Union Luxembourg L 3-458.9 940 809 61.16% 19.81% 19.03%+0.99 -19.9 11
1955-12-11 @ Fola Esch W 4-358.9 809 940 19.03% 19.81% 61.16%-0.99 +19.9 9
1955-12-11 Alliance Dudelange L 0-231.2 789 1011 18.79% 19.69% 61.52%-1.19 -15.6 5
1955-12-11 @ Red Star Merl W 2-031.2 1011 789 61.52% 19.69% 18.79%+1.19 +15.6 18
1955-12-11 Racing Rodange W 3-240.2 1014 788 68.70% 19.39% 11.90%+1.58 +4.9 18
1955-12-11 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-340.2 788 1014 11.90% 19.39% 68.70%-1.58 -4.9 4
1955-12-11 FC Schifflange 95 W 5-238.4 1035 955 55.96% 19.96% 24.08%+0.68 +20.5 12
1955-12-11 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-538.4 955 1035 24.08% 19.96% 55.96%-0.68 -20.5 11
1955-12-31 Racing Rodange D 1-152.5 850 783 54.38% 19.99% 25.63%+0.59 -2.5 6
1955-12-31 @ Chiers Rodange D 1-152.5 783 850 25.63% 19.99% 54.38%-0.59 +2.5 5
1955-12-31 Alliance Dudelange W 2-043.5 823 1026 20.51% 19.76% 59.73%-1.08 +42.0 11
1955-12-31 @ Differdange 03 L 0-243.5 1026 823 59.73% 19.76% 20.51%+1.08 -42.0 18
1955-12-31 Progres Niedercorn L 1-338.7 935 1056 29.50% 19.99% 50.51%-0.57 -19.9 11
1955-12-31 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-138.7 1056 935 50.51% 19.99% 29.50%+0.57 +19.9 17
1955-12-31 Spora Luxembourg L 2-836.3 920 1019 32.37% 20.03% 47.60%-0.43 -47.0 11
1955-12-31 @ Fola Esch W 8-236.3 1019 920 47.60% 20.03% 32.37%+0.43 +47.0 20
1955-12-31 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.6 774 998 18.49% 19.67% 61.84%-1.21 +3.8 6
1955-12-31 @ Red Star Merl D 1-152.6 998 774 61.84% 19.67% 18.49%+1.21 -3.9 16
1955-12-31 Union Luxembourg W 1-032.2 1056 829 68.77% 19.39% 11.84%+1.59 +5.4 14
1955-12-31 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-132.2 829 1056 11.84% 19.39% 68.77%-1.59 -5.4 9
1956-01-08 Chiers Rodange W 3-135.3 984 847 61.70% 19.79% 18.51%+1.03 +13.3 20
1956-01-08 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-335.3 847 984 18.51% 19.79% 61.70%-1.03 -13.3 6
1956-01-08 Jeunesse Esch W 3-244.1 1076 995 56.03% 19.96% 24.01%+0.68 +9.2 19
1956-01-08 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-344.1 995 1076 24.01% 19.96% 56.03%-0.68 -9.1 16
1956-01-08 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-037.0 824 915 33.38% 20.05% 46.57%-0.38 +48.5 11
1956-01-08 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-337.0 915 824 46.57% 20.05% 33.38%+0.38 -48.5 11
1956-01-08 Stade Dudelange L 1-334.0 786 1061 14.42% 19.44% 66.15%-1.53 -10.6 5
1956-01-08 @ Racing Rodange W 3-134.0 1061 786 66.15% 19.44% 14.42%+1.53 +10.6 16
1956-01-08 Differdange 03 W 2-029.6 1066 865 66.95% 19.52% 13.53%+1.43 +11.6 22
1956-01-08 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-229.6 865 1066 13.53% 19.52% 66.95%-1.43 -11.6 11
1956-01-15 Spora Luxembourg L 1-432.4 834 1078 16.87% 19.59% 63.54%-1.33 -17.3 6
1956-01-15 @ Chiers Rodange W 4-132.4 1078 834 63.54% 19.59% 16.87%+1.33 +17.3 24
1956-01-15 Fola Esch L 1-245.4 854 873 43.37% 20.09% 36.55%+0.06 -15.7 11
1956-01-15 @ Differdange 03 W 2-145.4 873 854 36.55% 20.09% 43.37%-0.06 +15.7 13
1956-01-15 Racing Rodange W 1-035.7 866 775 57.12% 19.93% 22.95%+0.74 +9.8 13
1956-01-15 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-135.7 775 866 22.95% 19.93% 57.12%-0.74 -9.9 5
1956-01-15 Union Luxembourg D 2-256.7 985 872 59.42% 19.87% 20.71%+0.88 -2.5 17
1956-01-15 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-256.7 872 985 20.71% 19.87% 59.42%-0.88 +2.5 12
1956-01-15 Progres Niedercorn D 3-361.2 778 1085 12.31% 19.26% 68.43%-1.73 +3.2 7
1956-01-15 @ Red Star Merl D 3-361.2 1085 778 68.43% 19.26% 12.31%+1.73 -3.2 20
1956-01-15 Alliance Dudelange W 6-132.5 1072 997 55.31% 19.97% 24.71%+0.64 +38.3 18
1956-01-15 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-632.5 997 1072 24.71% 19.97% 55.31%-0.64 -38.3 20
1956-01-22 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-256.7 959 876 56.27% 19.95% 23.78%+0.70 -2.1 21
1956-01-22 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-256.7 876 959 23.78% 19.95% 56.27%-0.70 +2.1 14
1956-01-22 Red Star Merl W 5-239.2 838 781 53.31% 20.01% 26.68%+0.54 +22.4 13
1956-01-22 @ Differdange 03 L 2-539.2 781 838 26.68% 20.01% 53.31%-0.54 -22.4 7
1956-01-22 Jeunesse Esch W 4-145.7 765 983 19.13% 19.70% 61.17%-1.17 +52.7 7
1956-01-22 @ Racing Rodange L 1-445.7 983 765 61.17% 19.70% 19.13%+1.17 -52.7 17
1956-01-22 Stade Dudelange L 1-245.7 1095 1110 43.93% 20.09% 35.99%+0.08 -15.9 24
1956-01-22 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-145.7 1110 1095 35.99% 20.09% 43.93%-0.08 +15.9 20
1956-01-29 Differdange 03 L 1-341.8 817 861 39.92% 20.09% 40.00%-0.09 -25.5 6
1956-01-29 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-141.8 861 817 40.00% 20.09% 39.92%+0.09 +25.5 15
1956-01-29 Spora Luxembourg W 3-040.8 878 1079 20.68% 19.77% 59.55%-1.07 +60.8 16
1956-01-29 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-340.8 1079 878 59.55% 19.77% 20.68%+1.07 -60.8 24
1956-01-29 Alliance Dudelange L 1-245.1 930 957 42.33% 20.09% 37.58%+0.01 -15.4 17
1956-01-29 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-145.1 957 930 37.58% 20.09% 42.33%-0.01 +15.4 23
1956-01-29 Racing Rodange W 6-231.6 1081 818 71.01% 19.18% 9.81%+1.82 +11.5 22
1956-01-29 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-631.6 818 1081 9.81% 19.18% 71.01%-1.82 -11.5 7
1956-01-29 Union Luxembourg W 4-249.1 758 875 30.10% 20.00% 49.90%-0.54 +27.5 9
1956-01-29 @ Red Star Merl L 2-449.1 875 758 49.90% 20.00% 30.10%+0.54 -27.5 12
1956-01-29 Fola Esch W 5-024.5 1126 889 69.44% 19.33% 11.23%+1.65 +22.8 22
1956-01-29 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-524.5 889 1126 11.23% 19.33% 69.44%-1.65 -22.8 13
1956-02-05 Progres Niedercorn D 3-361.0 972 1093 29.57% 20.00% 50.44%-0.57 +1.1 24
1956-02-05 @ Alliance Dudelange D 3-361.0 1093 972 50.44% 20.00% 29.57%+0.57 -1.1 23
1956-02-05 Stade Dudelange L 2-438.6 886 1149 15.34% 19.50% 65.17%-1.45 -10.0 15
1956-02-05 @ Differdange 03 W 4-238.6 1149 886 65.17% 19.50% 15.34%+1.45 +10.0 24
1956-02-05 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.5 866 939 35.85% 20.07% 44.09%-0.27 +0.7 14
1956-02-05 @ Fola Esch D 1-152.5 939 866 44.09% 20.07% 35.85%+0.27 -0.7 17
1956-02-05 Chiers Rodange W 3-247.3 786 791 45.32% 20.08% 34.60%+0.15 +12.4 11
1956-02-05 @ Red Star Merl L 2-347.3 791 786 34.60% 20.08% 45.32%-0.15 -12.4 6
1956-02-05 Jeunesse Esch W 3-029.5 1018 915 58.43% 19.90% 21.67%+0.82 +25.6 26
1956-02-05 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-329.5 915 1018 21.67% 19.90% 58.43%-0.82 -25.7 17
1956-03-11 Chiers Rodange W 3-136.8 867 779 56.81% 19.94% 23.25%+0.73 +16.3 16
1956-03-11 @ Fola Esch L 1-336.8 779 867 23.25% 19.94% 56.81%-0.73 -16.3 6
1956-03-11 Progres Niedercorn L 1-237.3 847 1092 16.78% 19.59% 63.63%-1.34 -7.0 12
1956-03-11 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-137.3 1092 847 63.63% 19.59% 16.78%+1.34 +7.0 25
1956-03-18 Red Star Merl W 4-134.5 883 798 56.45% 19.95% 23.60%+0.71 +23.3 18
1956-03-18 @ Fola Esch L 1-434.5 798 883 23.60% 19.95% 56.45%-0.71 -23.3 11
1956-03-18 Union Luxembourg D 2-256.7 807 840 41.36% 20.09% 38.55%-0.03 -0.2 8
1956-03-18 @ Racing Rodange D 2-256.7 840 807 38.55% 20.09% 41.36%+0.03 +0.2 13
1956-04-08 Differdange 03 W 4-241.9 938 876 53.91% 20.00% 26.09%+0.57 +16.0 19
1956-04-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-441.9 876 938 26.09% 20.00% 53.91%-0.57 -16.0 15
1956-04-08 Fola Esch L 0-141.9 889 906 43.66% 20.09% 36.25%+0.07 -16.8 17
1956-04-08 @ Jeunesse Esch W 1-041.9 906 889 36.25% 20.09% 43.66%-0.07 +16.8 20
1956-04-08 Spora Luxembourg L 1-248.4 1099 1044 53.06% 20.01% 26.93%+0.52 -18.8 25
1956-04-08 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-148.4 1044 1099 26.93% 20.01% 53.06%-0.52 +18.8 28
1956-04-08 Alliance Dudelange W 5-246.8 840 974 28.04% 19.97% 51.99%-0.65 +39.1 15
1956-04-08 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-546.8 974 840 51.99% 19.97% 28.04%+0.65 -39.1 24
1956-04-08 Red Star Merl D 0-049.6 806 775 50.13% 20.05% 29.82%+0.37 -1.9 9
1956-04-08 @ Racing Rodange D 0-049.6 775 806 29.82% 20.05% 50.13%-0.37 +1.9 12
1956-04-08 Chiers Rodange W 5-126.8 1159 763 76.90% 18.23% 4.87%+2.64 +6.9 26
1956-04-08 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-526.8 763 1159 4.87% 18.23% 76.90%-2.64 -6.9 6
1956-04-22 Racing Rodange L 1-250.7 934 804 61.06% 19.81% 19.12%+0.99 -21.5 24
1956-04-22 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-150.7 804 934 19.12% 19.81% 61.06%-0.99 +21.5 11
1956-04-22 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-238.6 756 954 20.91% 19.78% 59.32%-1.05 -8.5 6
1956-04-22 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-138.6 954 756 59.32% 19.78% 20.91%+1.05 +8.5 21
1956-04-22 Jeunesse Esch L 0-239.0 860 872 44.34% 20.08% 35.58%+0.10 -32.0 15
1956-04-22 @ Differdange 03 W 2-039.0 872 860 35.58% 20.08% 44.34%-0.10 +32.0 19
1956-04-22 Progres Niedercorn D 2-256.7 923 1080 25.27% 19.91% 54.82%-0.79 +1.9 21
1956-04-22 @ Fola Esch D 2-256.7 1080 923 54.82% 19.91% 25.27%+0.79 -1.9 26
1956-04-22 Stade Dudelange L 0-423.6 777 1166 8.08% 18.73% 73.19%-2.23 -13.4 12
1956-04-22 @ Red Star Merl W 4-023.6 1166 777 73.19% 18.73% 8.08%+2.23 +13.4 28
1956-04-22 Union Luxembourg L 2-356.4 1063 880 65.64% 19.60% 14.76%+1.32 -22.0 28
1956-04-22 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-256.4 880 1063 14.76% 19.60% 65.64%-1.32 +22.0 17
1956-04-29 Red Star Merl W 7-130.0 913 764 62.84% 19.74% 17.42%+1.11 +33.4 26
1956-04-29 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-730.0 764 913 17.42% 19.74% 62.84%-1.11 -33.4 12
1956-04-29 Stade Dudelange L 0-427.3 963 1179 19.22% 19.71% 61.08%-1.16 -30.1 21
1956-04-29 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 4-027.3 1179 963 61.08% 19.71% 19.22%+1.16 +30.1 30
1956-04-29 Chiers Rodange W 5-130.8 904 747 63.52% 19.71% 16.77%+1.16 +22.3 21
1956-04-29 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-530.8 747 904 16.77% 19.71% 63.52%-1.16 -22.3 6
1956-04-29 Differdange 03 D 1-152.7 1078 828 70.25% 19.25% 10.49%+1.74 -5.5 27
1956-04-29 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.7 828 1078 10.49% 19.25% 70.25%-1.74 +5.5 16
1956-04-29 Fola Esch W 4-138.6 901 925 42.78% 20.09% 37.13%+0.03 +34.0 19
1956-04-29 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-438.6 925 901 37.13% 20.09% 42.78%-0.03 -34.0 21
1956-04-29 Spora Luxembourg L 2-342.6 826 1041 19.38% 19.71% 60.90%-1.15 -7.6 11
1956-04-29 @ Racing Rodange W 3-242.6 1041 826 60.90% 19.71% 19.38%+1.15 +7.6 30
1956-05-06 Progres Niedercorn D 3-361.3 725 1073 9.99% 19.01% 70.99%-1.98 +3.5 7
1956-05-06 @ Chiers Rodange D 3-361.3 1073 725 70.99% 19.01% 9.99%+1.98 -3.5 28
1956-05-06 Union Luxembourg W 3-251.3 833 935 31.92% 20.03% 48.05%-0.45 +16.3 18
1956-05-06 @ Differdange 03 L 2-351.3 935 833 48.05% 20.03% 31.92%+0.45 -16.3 19
1956-05-06 Racing Rodange W 7-547.0 891 818 55.11% 19.97% 24.92%+0.63 +13.8 23
1956-05-06 @ Fola Esch L 5-747.0 818 891 24.92% 19.97% 55.11%-0.63 -13.8 11
1956-05-06 FC Schifflange 95 W 5-143.7 730 933 20.52% 19.76% 59.72%-1.08 +66.4 14
1956-05-06 @ Red Star Merl L 1-543.7 933 730 59.72% 19.76% 20.52%+1.08 -66.4 21
1956-05-06 Alliance Dudelange D 2-256.7 1048 946 58.27% 19.90% 21.83%+0.81 -2.4 31
1956-05-06 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-256.7 946 1048 21.83% 19.90% 58.27%-0.81 +2.4 27
1956-05-06 Jeunesse Esch W 3-132.2 1209 927 72.07% 19.06% 8.87%+1.94 +6.8 32
1956-05-06 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-332.2 927 1209 8.87% 19.06% 72.07%-1.94 -6.8 21
1956-05-10 Fola Esch W 3-245.4 949 905 51.69% 20.03% 28.28%+0.45 +10.5 29
1956-05-10 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-345.4 905 949 28.28% 20.03% 51.69%-0.45 -10.5 23
1956-05-10 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-138.0 920 866 52.87% 20.01% 27.12%+0.51 +18.5 23
1956-05-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-338.0 866 920 27.12% 20.01% 52.87%-0.51 -18.5 21
1956-05-10 Stade Dudelange W 2-041.8 1069 1216 26.40% 19.94% 53.66%-0.73 +37.9 30
1956-05-10 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-241.8 1216 1069 53.66% 19.94% 26.40%+0.73 -37.9 32
1956-05-10 Chiers Rodange L 2-356.6 919 728 66.22% 19.57% 14.21%+1.36 -22.1 19
1956-05-10 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-256.6 728 919 14.21% 19.57% 66.22%-1.36 +22.2 9
1956-05-10 Differdange 03 L 0-334.9 805 850 39.74% 20.08% 40.17%-0.10 -42.5 11
1956-05-10 @ Racing Rodange W 3-034.9 850 805 40.17% 20.08% 39.74%+0.10 +42.5 20
1956-05-10 Red Star Merl W 5-128.8 1046 797 70.18% 19.26% 10.56%+1.73 +14.6 33
1956-05-10 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-528.8 797 1046 10.56% 19.26% 70.18%-1.73 -14.5 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1956-05-10 14.21% Chiers Rodange 728 3 @ Union Luxembourg 919 2
2 1956-04-22 14.76% Union Luxembourg 880 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1063 2
3 1955-08-28 14.95% Alliance Dudelange 905 3 @ Chiers Rodange 1086 2
4 1955-11-06 17.30% Jeunesse Esch 892 4 @ Fola Esch 1043 0
5 1955-09-18 18.32% Differdange 03 845 2 @ Fola Esch 984 0
6 1955-12-11 19.03% Union Luxembourg 809 4 @ Fola Esch 940 3
7 1956-04-22 19.12% Racing Rodange 804 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 934 1
8 1956-01-22 19.13% @ Racing Rodange 765 4 Jeunesse Esch 983 1
9 1955-12-31 20.51% @ Differdange 03 823 2 Alliance Dudelange 1026 0
10 1956-05-06 20.52% @ Red Star Merl 730 5 FC Schifflange 95 933 1
11 1956-01-29 20.68% @ FC Schifflange 95 878 3 Spora Luxembourg 1079 0
12 1955-10-02 21.60% Fola Esch 940 4 @ Chiers Rodange 1044 1
13 1955-09-18 25.45% @ Spora Luxembourg 908 2 Chiers Rodange 1064 1
14 1955-08-28 25.82% Racing Rodange 876 1 @ Stade Dudelange 941 0
15 1956-05-10 26.40% @ Progres Niedercorn 1069 2 Stade Dudelange 1216 0
16 1956-04-08 26.93% Spora Luxembourg 1044 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1099 1
17 1955-10-30 27.78% Alliance Dudelange 955 3 @ Progres Niedercorn 1003 1
18 1956-04-08 28.04% @ Union Luxembourg 840 5 Alliance Dudelange 974 2
19 1955-11-27 28.93% Spora Luxembourg 976 3 @ Alliance Dudelange 1014 2
20 1956-01-29 30.10% @ Red Star Merl 758 4 Union Luxembourg 875 2
21 1955-11-27 30.73% Differdange 03 824 3 @ Union Luxembourg 848 2
22 1955-10-23 31.53% @ Differdange 03 889 2 Chiers Rodange 994 0
23 1956-05-06 31.92% @ Differdange 03 833 3 Union Luxembourg 935 2
24 1955-10-30 32.62% Spora Luxembourg 917 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 926 0
25 1956-01-08 33.38% @ Union Luxembourg 824 3 FC Schifflange 95 915 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-11-06 84.12 Jeunesse Esch 4 892 17.30% @ Fola Esch 0 1043 62.96% 19.74%
2 1955-11-27 74.17 @ Progres Niedercorn 8 980 54.52% Chiers Rodange 0 913 25.49% 19.99%
3 1955-10-30 74.12 @ Stade Dudelange 6 912 44.50% Differdange 03 0 923 35.41% 20.08%
4 1956-05-06 66.42 @ Red Star Merl 5 730 20.52% FC Schifflange 95 1 933 59.72% 19.76%
5 1956-01-29 60.83 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 878 20.68% Spora Luxembourg 0 1079 59.55% 19.77%
6 1956-01-22 52.69 @ Racing Rodange 4 765 19.13% Jeunesse Esch 1 983 61.17% 19.70%
7 1955-08-21 52.27 Fola Esch 5 933 33.92% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 932 46.00% 20.08%
8 1955-10-02 50.47 Fola Esch 4 940 21.60% @ Chiers Rodange 1 1044 58.51% 19.89%
9 1956-01-08 48.50 @ Union Luxembourg 3 824 33.38% FC Schifflange 95 0 915 46.57% 20.05%
10 1955-12-31 47.03 Spora Luxembourg 8 1019 47.60% @ Fola Esch 2 920 32.37% 20.03%
11 1955-09-18 43.58 Differdange 03 2 845 18.32% @ Fola Esch 0 984 61.90% 19.78%
12 1956-05-10 42.53 Differdange 03 3 850 40.17% @ Racing Rodange 0 805 39.74% 20.08%
13 1955-12-31 42.02 @ Differdange 03 2 823 20.51% Alliance Dudelange 0 1026 59.73% 19.76%
14 1955-10-02 39.85 @ Stade Dudelange 3 907 43.26% Spora Luxembourg 0 928 36.65% 20.09%
15 1956-04-08 39.06 @ Union Luxembourg 5 840 28.04% Alliance Dudelange 2 974 51.99% 19.97%
16 1956-01-15 38.31 @ Stade Dudelange 6 1072 55.31% Alliance Dudelange 1 997 24.71% 19.97%
17 1956-05-10 37.92 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1069 26.40% Stade Dudelange 0 1216 53.66% 19.94%
18 1955-10-02 37.74 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 955 55.15% Union Luxembourg 0 882 24.88% 19.97%
19 1955-10-23 35.09 @ Fola Esch 5 991 51.65% Stade Dudelange 1 947 28.32% 20.03%
20 1955-10-23 34.57 @ Differdange 03 2 889 31.53% Chiers Rodange 0 994 48.45% 20.02%
21 1956-04-29 33.96 @ Union Luxembourg 4 901 42.78% Fola Esch 1 925 37.13% 20.09%
22 1955-10-30 33.87 Spora Luxembourg 2 917 32.62% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 926 47.31% 20.07%
23 1956-04-29 33.40 @ Alliance Dudelange 7 913 62.84% Red Star Merl 1 764 17.42% 19.74%
24 1955-10-30 32.03 Alliance Dudelange 3 955 27.78% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1003 52.20% 20.02%
25 1956-04-22 32.03 Jeunesse Esch 2 872 35.58% @ Differdange 03 0 860 44.34% 20.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-05-06 61.3 @ Chiers Rodange 3 725 9.99% Progres Niedercorn 3 1073 70.99% 19.01%
2 1956-01-15 61.2 @ Red Star Merl 3 778 12.31% Progres Niedercorn 3 1085 68.43% 19.26%
3 1955-08-28 61.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 914 42.59% Progres Niedercorn 3 939 37.32% 20.09%
4 1956-02-05 61.0 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 972 29.57% Progres Niedercorn 3 1093 50.44% 20.00%
5 1955-12-11 58.9 Union Luxembourg 4 809 19.03% @ Fola Esch 3 940 61.16% 19.81%
6 1955-11-06 56.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 987 61.09% Union Luxembourg 2 857 19.10% 19.81%
7 1955-08-28 56.7 @ Red Star Merl 2 876 31.02% Fola Esch 2 985 48.96% 20.02%
8 1955-10-23 56.7 @ Union Luxembourg 2 845 43.84% Red Star Merl 2 861 36.07% 20.09%
9 1955-10-30 56.7 @ Chiers Rodange 2 959 57.90% Red Star Merl 2 861 22.19% 19.91%
10 1955-11-06 56.7 @ Red Star Merl 2 863 50.19% Racing Rodange 2 832 29.76% 20.05%
11 1956-01-15 56.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 985 59.42% Union Luxembourg 2 872 20.71% 19.87%
12 1956-01-22 56.7 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 959 56.27% FC Schifflange 95 2 876 23.78% 19.95%
13 1956-03-18 56.7 @ Racing Rodange 2 807 41.36% Union Luxembourg 2 840 38.55% 20.09%
14 1956-04-22 56.7 @ Fola Esch 2 923 25.27% Progres Niedercorn 2 1080 54.82% 19.91%
15 1956-05-06 56.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1048 58.27% Alliance Dudelange 2 946 21.83% 19.90%
16 1956-05-10 56.6 Chiers Rodange 3 728 14.21% @ Union Luxembourg 2 919 66.22% 19.57%
17 1955-08-28 56.4 Alliance Dudelange 3 905 14.95% @ Chiers Rodange 2 1086 65.44% 19.61%
18 1956-04-22 56.4 Union Luxembourg 3 880 14.76% @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1063 65.64% 19.60%
19 1955-12-04 54.9 Alliance Dudelange 5 997 39.94% @ Fola Esch 4 954 39.97% 20.09%
20 1956-04-29 52.7 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1078 70.25% Differdange 03 1 828 10.49% 19.25%
21 1955-12-31 52.6 @ Red Star Merl 1 774 18.49% Jeunesse Esch 1 998 61.84% 19.67%
22 1955-10-02 52.5 @ Red Star Merl 1 861 42.25% Differdange 03 1 888 37.66% 20.09%
23 1955-10-23 52.5 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 957 50.27% Jeunesse Esch 1 925 29.68% 20.05%
24 1955-12-04 52.5 @ Differdange 03 1 840 52.93% Racing Rodange 1 786 27.05% 20.01%
25 1955-12-31 52.5 @ Chiers Rodange 1 850 54.38% Racing Rodange 1 783 25.63% 19.99%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1956-04-22 23.6 Stade Dudelange 4 1166 73.19% @ Red Star Merl 0 777 8.08% 18.73%
2 1956-01-29 24.5 @ Stade Dudelange 5 1126 69.44% Fola Esch 0 889 11.23% 19.33%
3 1956-04-08 26.8 @ Stade Dudelange 5 1159 76.90% Chiers Rodange 1 763 4.87% 18.23%
4 1956-04-29 27.3 Stade Dudelange 4 1179 61.08% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 963 19.22% 19.71%
5 1955-11-13 28.0 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1017 63.31% Red Star Merl 0 862 16.97% 19.72%
6 1956-05-10 28.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 1046 70.18% Red Star Merl 1 797 10.56% 19.26%
7 1955-10-02 29.0 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 955 55.15% Union Luxembourg 0 882 24.88% 19.97%
8 1956-02-05 29.5 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1018 58.43% Jeunesse Esch 0 915 21.67% 19.90%
9 1956-01-08 29.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1066 66.95% Differdange 03 0 865 13.53% 19.52%
10 1956-04-29 30.0 @ Alliance Dudelange 7 913 62.84% Red Star Merl 1 764 17.42% 19.74%
11 1955-11-13 30.7 Alliance Dudelange 3 984 54.20% @ Racing Rodange 0 833 25.88% 19.92%
12 1956-04-29 30.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 5 904 63.52% Chiers Rodange 1 747 16.77% 19.71%
13 1955-11-27 31.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 8 980 54.52% Chiers Rodange 0 913 25.49% 19.99%
14 1955-12-11 31.2 Alliance Dudelange 2 1011 61.52% @ Red Star Merl 0 789 18.79% 19.69%
15 1956-01-29 31.6 @ Progres Niedercorn 6 1081 71.01% Racing Rodange 2 818 9.81% 19.18%
16 1955-12-31 32.2 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1056 68.77% Union Luxembourg 0 829 11.84% 19.39%
17 1956-05-06 32.2 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1209 72.07% Jeunesse Esch 1 927 8.87% 19.06%
18 1956-01-15 32.4 Spora Luxembourg 4 1078 63.54% @ Chiers Rodange 1 834 16.87% 19.59%
19 1955-10-30 32.5 @ Stade Dudelange 6 912 44.50% Differdange 03 0 923 35.41% 20.08%
20 1956-01-15 32.5 @ Stade Dudelange 6 1072 55.31% Alliance Dudelange 1 997 24.71% 19.97%
21 1955-10-02 34.0 @ Stade Dudelange 3 907 43.26% Spora Luxembourg 0 928 36.65% 20.09%
22 1956-01-08 34.0 Stade Dudelange 3 1061 66.15% @ Racing Rodange 1 786 14.42% 19.44%
23 1955-10-23 34.3 @ Fola Esch 5 991 51.65% Stade Dudelange 1 947 28.32% 20.03%
24 1955-11-27 34.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 7 924 56.24% Red Star Merl 2 841 23.81% 19.95%
25 1956-03-18 34.5 @ Fola Esch 4 883 56.45% Red Star Merl 1 798 23.60% 19.95%