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1954-55 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Stade Dudelange

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Stade Dudelange

10.64 points above expected

34 points · 23.36 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

SC Tetange

7.38 points below expected

13 points · 20.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Stade Dudelange 22 15 4 3 34 55 28 +27 23.36 +10.64
2 Fola Esch 22 10 5 7 25 55 43 +12 22.73 +2.27
3 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 22 10 4 8 24 41 40 +1 20.39 +3.61
4 Progres Niedercorn 22 9 5 8 23 41 32 +9 22.65 +0.35
5 FC Schifflange 95 22 9 5 8 23 39 30 +9 22.78 +0.22
6 Red Star Merl 22 7 9 6 23 46 46 0 21.50 +1.50
7 Differdange 03 22 6 9 7 21 33 35 -2 22.89 -1.89
8 Alliance Dudelange 22 9 3 10 21 47 51 -4 23.60 -2.60
9 Jeunesse Esch 22 7 6 9 20 42 44 -2 22.61 -2.61
10 Racing Rodange 22 7 6 9 20 40 48 -8 23.65 -3.65
11 Grevenmacher 22 7 3 12 17 36 56 -20 17.46 -0.46
12 SC Tetange 22 5 3 14 13 34 56 -22 20.38 -7.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stade Dudelange 34 23.36 +10.64
2 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 24 20.39 +3.61
3 Fola Esch 25 22.73 +2.27
4 Red Star Merl 23 21.50 +1.50
5 Progres Niedercorn 23 22.65 +0.35

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SC Tetange 13 20.38 -7.38
2 Racing Rodange 20 23.65 -3.65
3 Jeunesse Esch 20 22.61 -2.61
4 Alliance Dudelange 21 23.60 -2.60
5 Differdange 03 21 22.89 -1.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stade Dudelange 6 Apr 24 – May 22 1 in 94
2 Grevenmacher 3 Oct 3 – Oct 31 1 in 45
3 Alliance Dudelange 4 Nov 7 – Dec 5 1 in 37
4 Progres Niedercorn 3 Apr 3 – Apr 30 1 in 35
5 Racing Rodange 3 Jan 30 – Mar 13 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 5 Jan 30 – Apr 24 1 in 908
2 SC Tetange 6 Apr 24 – May 22 1 in 278
3 Grevenmacher 7 Nov 7 – Feb 13 1 in 75
4 Red Star Merl 3 Apr 30 – May 15 1 in 30
5 FC Schifflange 95 3 Apr 3 – Apr 30 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grevenmacher 6 Mar 13 – May 15 1 in 52
2 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 7 Dec 5 – Apr 24 1 in 41
3 Stade Dudelange 9 Oct 31 – Mar 13 1 in 38
4 Alliance Dudelange 6 Oct 31 – Jan 23 1 in 18
5 Red Star Merl 6 Nov 14 – Mar 6 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 8 Oct 31 – Feb 13 1 in 50
2 Alliance Dudelange 6 Jan 23 – Apr 24 1 in 39
3 SC Tetange 9 Feb 13 – May 22 1 in 28
4 Differdange 03 4 Oct 17 – Nov 14 1 in 11
5 Racing Rodange 5 Sep 5 – Oct 31 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Stade Dudelange 847 34 +46 10 5.9 +4.1
Fola Esch 798 25 +60 7 4.9 +2.1
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 713 24 -31 4 4.8 -0.8
FC Schifflange 95 772 23 +18 5 5.3 -0.3
Progres Niedercorn 764 23 +4 5 4.7 +0.3
Red Star Merl 729 23 -22 3 5.1 -2.1
Alliance Dudelange 730 21 +12 6 5.2 +0.8
Differdange 03 720 21 -8 5 5.2 -0.2
Jeunesse Esch 741 20 +3 6 5.5 +0.5
Racing Rodange 722 20 -24 4 5.0 -1.0
Grevenmacher 648 17 +14 5 3.9 +1.1
SC Tetange 617 13 -70 0 4.5 -4.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD D0 FS9 FE GRE JE PN RFUL RR RSM ST SD
Alliance Dudelange —
0-1-1
2.90
0-2-0
3.07
0-0-2
3.12
0-0-2
3.60
2-0-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
3.07
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.72
Differdange 03
1-1-0
2.61
—
1-0-1
2.68
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.52
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.70
0-2-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.97
0-2-0
2.63
FC Schifflange 95
0-2-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.83
—
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
2.60
Fola Esch
2-0-0
2.39
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.73
—
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.82
0-2-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.52
Grevenmacher
2-0-0
1.93
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
2.37
—
1-1-0
2.03
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.23
0-0-2
2.18
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
1.74
Jeunesse Esch
0-0-2
2.84
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.89
2-0-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.49
—
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.97
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.62
Progres Niedercorn
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.64
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.62
—
0-0-2
3.06
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.52
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
2.45
—
1-1-0
2.51
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.34
Racing Rodange
2-0-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
3.28
0-2-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
3.00
—
0-0-2
2.94
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.44
Red Star Merl
0-0-2
2.60
0-2-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.53
1-1-0
2.67
2-0-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.88
2-0-0
2.57
—
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.60
SC Tetange
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.28
2-0-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.55
—
0-0-2
2.54
Stade Dudelange
1-0-1
2.79
0-2-0
2.87
0-0-2
2.90
2-0-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
2.89
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.07
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.97
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +5.3
Allowed 0.57 -3.9
Differential 0.89 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%4.17%3.03%2.27%0.76%2.27%14.77%
14.17%9.85%9.85%2.65%1.14%1.89%29.55%
23.03%9.85%9.09%3.41%3.79%0.76%29.92%
32.27%2.65%3.41%1.52%0.38%1.89%12.12%
40.76%1.14%3.79%0.38%0.76%—6.82%
5+2.27%1.89%0.76%1.89%——6.82%
Total14.77%29.55%29.92%12.12%6.82%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.93 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.23
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
1——13.64%—4.55%—18.18%
24.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
4——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%22.73%36.36%9.09%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.32 -0.18
SD 1.83 1.67 2.42
CV 0.86 0.72 —
Max 8 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
14.55%27.27%13.64%4.55%——50.00%
2—18.18%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
3———————
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total4.55%50.00%27.27%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.59 -0.09
SD 1.19 0.85 1.23
CV 0.79 0.54 —
Max 6 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%—4.55%——27.27%
19.09%—13.64%4.55%——27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.36 +0.41
SD 1.66 1.18 1.92
CV 0.94 0.86 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%———9.09%
1—9.09%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
24.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
3———————
4——13.64%———13.64%
5+9.09%——4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%22.73%36.36%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.95 +0.55
SD 1.90 1.40 2.61
CV 0.76 0.71 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%——9.09%27.27%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%9.09%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.55 -0.91
SD 1.47 2.22 2.86
CV 0.90 0.87 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
1—13.64%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%—36.36%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%27.27%9.09%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 2.00 -0.09
SD 1.44 1.45 2.41
CV 0.76 0.72 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
14.55%4.55%18.18%9.09%——36.36%
2—18.18%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
313.64%——4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%31.82%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.45 +0.41
SD 1.46 1.06 1.97
CV 0.78 0.73 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.82 +0.05
SD 1.67 1.40 2.50
CV 0.90 0.77 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
14.55%9.09%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
2—13.64%18.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%50.00%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total4.55%36.36%31.82%4.55%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.18 -0.36
SD 1.14 1.50 2.01
CV 0.63 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%———4.55%—9.09%
14.55%27.27%9.09%———40.91%
2——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
3—9.09%—4.55%—9.09%22.73%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%40.91%22.73%9.09%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.09 +0.00
SD 1.51 1.85 2.07
CV 0.72 0.88 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
14.55%—9.09%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
2——4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%22.73%
3——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%9.09%27.27%13.64%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.55 -1.00
SD 1.41 1.84 2.12
CV 0.91 0.72 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
213.64%4.55%9.09%———27.27%
3——18.18%———18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+9.09%——4.55%——13.64%
Total31.82%18.18%40.91%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.27 +1.23
SD 1.50 1.03 1.74
CV 0.60 0.81 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Stade Dudelange 847 34 23.36 +10.64 100.0% 12 16 21 23 26 30 34
Fola Esch 798 25 22.73 +2.27 77.0% 14 16 20 22 25 30 32
FC Schifflange 95 772 23 22.78 +0.22 60.0% 13 17 21 22 25 29 32
Progres Niedercorn 764 23 22.65 +0.35 61.0% 13 16 20 22 25 30 34
Jeunesse Esch 741 20 22.61 -2.61 28.0% 13 16 20 23 26 28 33
Alliance Dudelange 730 21 23.60 -2.60 26.0% 13 17 21 23 26 29 33
Red Star Merl 729 23 21.50 +1.50 70.0% 11 15 19 21 24 27 30
Racing Rodange 722 20 23.65 -3.65 23.0% 15 17 21 24 26 30 33
Differdange 03 720 21 22.89 -1.89 38.0% 13 16 21 23 25 30 36
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 713 24 20.39 +3.61 84.0% 11 13 17 21 23 26 29
Grevenmacher 648 17 17.46 -0.46 49.0% 10 11 14 18 20 24 30
SC Tetange 617 13 20.38 -7.38 3.0% 8 14 17 20 24 26 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.42%
Strong Edge
46.97%23.48%29.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge
140 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
061.16400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
9.3
Wide Open
123412
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
Stade Dudelange, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.41/gm
Runaway
00.100.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.13 * Some Luck: 3.13 to 4.7 * Lucky: 4.7 to 6.26 * Wild Swing: 6.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.47 * Close: 2.47 to 3.71 * Off: 3.71 to 4.94 * Way Off: 4.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.27 points
Some Luck
03.9110
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.33
Close
03.098
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Stade Dudelange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
SC Tetange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 61.29
1.22
Coin-Flip Parity
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
57%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Even
50%77%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Very Frequent
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Rare
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.13
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
-0.06
Weak Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.48
Overconfident
0.3202741.001.67973
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.070
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Stade Dudelange15.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%
Fola Esch10.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg4.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%
Progres Niedercorn9.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%
FC Schifflange 9512.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%16.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%
Red Star Merl5.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%14.00%4.00%
Differdange 0315.00%4.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%7.00%
Alliance Dudelange9.00%10.00%18.00%3.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%
Jeunesse Esch7.00%14.00%8.00%13.00%1.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%
Racing Rodange11.00%12.00%9.00%17.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%
Grevenmacher1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%17.00%20.00%38.00%
SC Tetange2.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%1.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Alliance Dudelange 95.00% 5.00%
Fola Esch 93.00% 7.00%
Stade Dudelange 93.00% 7.00%
FC Schifflange 95 92.00% 8.00%
Racing Rodange 92.00% 8.00%
Differdange 03 90.00% 10.00%
Progres Niedercorn 90.00% 10.00%
Jeunesse Esch 85.00% 15.00%
Red Star Merl 82.00% 18.00%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 75.00% 25.00%
SC Tetange 71.00% 29.00%
Grevenmacher 42.00% 58.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1954-08-22 FC Schifflange 95 D 4-462.5 781 733 55.60% 24.33% 20.06%+0.78 -0.8 1
1954-08-22 @ Alliance Dudelange D 4-462.5 733 781 20.06% 24.33% 55.60%-0.78 +0.8 1
1954-08-22 Fola Esch D 1-150.7 743 752 49.17% 24.76% 26.07%+0.37 -0.9 1
1954-08-22 @ Differdange 03 D 1-150.7 752 743 26.07% 24.76% 49.17%-0.37 +0.9 1
1954-08-22 Progres Niedercorn D 1-150.6 677 732 43.31% 24.90% 31.79%+0.04 -0.4 1
1954-08-22 @ Grevenmacher D 1-150.6 732 677 31.79% 24.90% 43.31%-0.04 +0.4 1
1954-08-22 Racing Rodange D 2-255.2 753 762 49.12% 24.77% 26.11%+0.37 -0.7 1
1954-08-22 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-255.2 762 753 26.11% 24.77% 49.12%-0.37 +0.7 1
1954-08-22 Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 1-150.7 710 711 50.17% 24.72% 25.11%+0.43 -1.0 1
1954-08-22 @ Red Star Merl D 1-150.7 711 710 25.11% 24.72% 50.17%-0.43 +1.0 1
1954-08-22 Stade Dudelange L 2-352.8 719 729 49.10% 24.77% 26.14%+0.37 -7.9 0
1954-08-22 @ SC Tetange W 3-252.8 729 719 26.14% 24.77% 49.10%-0.37 +7.9 2
1954-08-29 Red Star Merl L 1-347.3 753 709 55.20% 24.37% 20.43%+0.75 -16.0 1
1954-08-29 @ Fola Esch W 3-147.3 709 753 20.43% 24.37% 55.20%-0.75 +16.0 3
1954-08-29 SC Tetange L 0-143.3 677 711 46.01% 24.86% 29.13%+0.19 -8.4 1
1954-08-29 @ Grevenmacher W 1-043.3 711 677 29.13% 24.86% 46.01%-0.19 +8.4 2
1954-08-29 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-031.6 733 734 50.14% 24.72% 25.14%+0.43 +14.2 3
1954-08-29 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-331.6 734 733 25.14% 24.72% 50.14%-0.43 -14.2 1
1954-08-29 Jeunesse Esch L 0-240.0 712 752 45.34% 24.87% 29.79%+0.15 -15.6 1
1954-08-29 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 2-040.0 752 712 29.79% 24.87% 45.34%-0.15 +15.5 3
1954-08-29 Alliance Dudelange W 2-141.5 763 780 48.21% 24.80% 26.99%+0.32 +5.2 3
1954-08-29 @ Racing Rodange L 1-241.5 780 763 26.99% 24.80% 48.21%-0.32 -5.2 1
1954-08-29 Differdange 03 D 1-150.7 737 742 49.69% 24.74% 25.57%+0.40 -0.9 3
1954-08-29 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-150.7 742 737 25.57% 24.74% 49.69%-0.40 +1.0 2
1954-09-05 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-029.0 775 697 58.64% 23.99% 17.36%+1.00 +10.4 3
1954-09-05 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-329.0 697 775 17.36% 23.99% 58.64%-1.00 -10.4 1
1954-09-05 Grevenmacher W 2-138.5 743 668 58.30% 24.04% 17.67%+0.97 +3.6 4
1954-09-05 @ Differdange 03 L 1-238.5 668 743 17.67% 24.04% 58.30%-0.97 -3.6 1
1954-09-05 Racing Rodange W 1-038.8 720 768 44.20% 24.89% 30.91%+0.09 +6.1 3
1954-09-05 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-138.8 768 720 30.91% 24.89% 44.20%-0.09 -6.1 3
1954-09-05 Fola Esch W 3-244.5 767 737 53.75% 24.49% 21.75%+0.66 +4.1 5
1954-09-05 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-344.5 737 767 21.75% 24.49% 53.75%-0.66 -4.1 1
1954-09-05 Stade Dudelange D 2-255.2 725 736 48.99% 24.77% 26.24%+0.36 -0.7 4
1954-09-05 @ Red Star Merl D 2-255.2 736 725 26.24% 24.77% 48.99%-0.36 +0.7 4
1954-09-05 Progres Niedercorn D 0-047.5 720 747 46.94% 24.84% 28.22%+0.24 -0.8 3
1954-09-05 @ SC Tetange D 0-047.5 747 720 28.22% 24.84% 46.94%-0.24 +0.8 4
1954-09-12 Alliance Dudelange W 4-244.7 733 785 43.68% 24.90% 31.42%+0.06 +9.0 3
1954-09-12 @ Fola Esch L 2-444.7 785 733 31.42% 24.90% 43.68%-0.06 -9.1 3
1954-09-12 Red Star Merl L 3-454.6 665 725 42.67% 24.90% 32.43%+0.01 -6.9 1
1954-09-12 @ Grevenmacher W 4-354.6 725 665 32.43% 24.90% 42.67%-0.01 +6.9 6
1954-09-12 Racing Rodange W 2-141.4 748 762 48.56% 24.79% 26.65%+0.34 +5.1 6
1954-09-12 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-241.4 762 748 26.65% 24.79% 48.56%-0.34 -5.1 3
1954-09-12 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-142.3 686 726 45.36% 24.87% 29.76%+0.15 +5.6 3
1954-09-12 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-242.3 726 686 29.76% 24.87% 45.36%-0.15 -5.6 3
1954-09-12 Differdange 03 W 3-246.6 719 747 46.88% 24.84% 28.28%+0.24 +5.1 5
1954-09-12 @ SC Tetange L 2-346.6 747 719 28.28% 24.84% 46.88%-0.24 -5.1 4
1954-09-12 Jeunesse Esch W 1-038.2 737 772 45.97% 24.86% 29.17%+0.19 +5.9 6
1954-09-12 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-138.2 772 737 29.17% 24.86% 45.97%-0.19 -5.8 5
1954-10-03 Stade Dudelange W 2-139.7 776 742 54.11% 24.47% 21.43%+0.68 +4.3 5
1954-10-03 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-239.7 742 776 21.43% 24.47% 54.11%-0.68 -4.3 6
1954-10-03 Progres Niedercorn W 2-141.3 741 753 48.92% 24.77% 26.31%+0.36 +5.1 6
1954-10-03 @ Differdange 03 L 1-241.3 753 741 26.31% 24.77% 48.92%-0.36 -5.1 6
1954-10-03 Fola Esch W 4-243.5 720 742 47.63% 24.82% 27.55%+0.28 +8.2 5
1954-10-03 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 2-443.5 742 720 27.55% 24.82% 47.63%-0.28 -8.2 3
1954-10-03 Grevenmacher L 1-251.4 766 658 61.35% 23.59% 15.06%+1.21 -10.2 5
1954-10-03 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-151.4 658 766 15.06% 23.59% 61.35%-1.21 +10.2 3
1954-10-03 Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 2-255.3 757 692 57.36% 24.15% 18.49%+0.90 -1.2 4
1954-10-03 @ Racing Rodange D 2-255.3 692 757 18.49% 24.15% 57.36%-0.90 +1.2 4
1954-10-03 SC Tetange L 3-553.4 731 724 51.17% 24.67% 24.16%+0.49 -12.6 6
1954-10-03 @ Red Star Merl W 5-353.4 724 731 24.16% 24.67% 51.17%-0.49 +12.6 7
1954-10-17 Red Star Merl D 1-150.7 746 719 53.46% 24.52% 22.02%+0.64 -1.3 7
1954-10-17 @ Differdange 03 D 1-150.7 719 746 22.02% 24.52% 53.46%-0.64 +1.3 7
1954-10-17 Racing Rodange W 2-141.7 734 756 47.62% 24.82% 27.56%+0.28 +5.3 5
1954-10-17 @ Fola Esch L 1-241.7 756 734 27.56% 24.82% 47.62%-0.28 -5.3 4
1954-10-17 Alliance Dudelange W 2-038.3 668 780 35.35% 24.80% 39.86%-0.37 +14.0 5
1954-10-17 @ Grevenmacher L 0-238.3 780 668 39.86% 24.80% 35.35%+0.37 -14.0 5
1954-10-17 Progres Niedercorn W 3-247.6 693 748 43.36% 24.90% 31.74%+0.05 +5.6 6
1954-10-17 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-347.6 748 693 31.74% 24.90% 43.36%-0.05 -5.6 6
1954-10-17 Jeunesse Esch L 1-443.1 737 755 47.98% 24.81% 27.21%+0.30 -20.0 7
1954-10-17 @ SC Tetange W 4-143.1 755 737 27.21% 24.81% 47.98%-0.30 +20.0 7
1954-10-17 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-248.8 738 728 51.45% 24.65% 23.90%+0.51 -8.7 6
1954-10-17 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-148.8 728 738 23.90% 24.65% 51.45%-0.51 +8.7 7
1954-10-31 Alliance Dudelange D 2-255.1 745 766 47.70% 24.82% 27.48%+0.29 -0.6 8
1954-10-31 @ Differdange 03 D 2-255.1 766 745 27.48% 24.82% 47.70%-0.29 +0.6 6
1954-10-31 Progres Niedercorn D 2-255.2 739 742 49.92% 24.73% 25.35%+0.42 -0.7 6
1954-10-31 @ Fola Esch D 2-255.2 742 739 25.35% 24.73% 49.92%-0.42 +0.7 7
1954-10-31 Racing Rodange W 4-245.4 682 750 41.52% 24.90% 33.58%-0.05 +9.5 7
1954-10-31 @ Grevenmacher L 2-445.4 750 682 33.58% 24.90% 41.52%+0.05 -9.5 4
1954-10-31 Jeunesse Esch D 1-150.6 720 775 43.27% 24.90% 31.83%+0.04 -0.4 8
1954-10-31 @ Red Star Merl D 1-150.6 775 720 31.83% 24.90% 43.27%-0.04 +0.4 8
1954-10-31 FC Schifflange 95 D 0-047.5 717 737 47.80% 24.81% 27.39%+0.29 -0.9 8
1954-10-31 @ SC Tetange D 0-047.5 737 717 27.39% 24.81% 47.80%-0.29 +0.9 8
1954-10-31 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 1-035.9 730 699 53.82% 24.49% 21.69%+0.66 +4.6 8
1954-10-31 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-135.9 699 730 21.69% 24.49% 53.82%-0.66 -4.6 6
1954-11-07 Red Star Merl W 8-335.6 767 720 55.58% 24.34% 20.09%+0.78 +11.9 8
1954-11-07 @ Alliance Dudelange L 3-835.6 720 767 20.09% 24.34% 55.58%-0.78 -11.9 8
1954-11-07 Differdange 03 W 2-141.1 738 745 49.47% 24.75% 25.78%+0.39 +5.0 10
1954-11-07 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-241.1 745 738 25.78% 24.75% 49.47%-0.39 -5.0 8
1954-11-07 Stade Dudelange L 0-241.6 738 734 50.78% 24.69% 24.53%+0.47 -17.2 6
1954-11-07 @ Fola Esch W 2-041.6 734 738 24.53% 24.69% 50.78%-0.47 +17.2 10
1954-11-07 Jeunesse Esch W 3-032.8 743 776 46.20% 24.86% 28.94%+0.20 +15.9 9
1954-11-07 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-332.8 776 743 28.94% 24.86% 46.20%-0.20 -15.9 8
1954-11-07 Grevenmacher W 7-134.0 694 692 50.57% 24.70% 24.73%+0.45 +22.2 8
1954-11-07 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-734.0 692 694 24.73% 24.70% 50.57%-0.45 -22.2 7
1954-11-07 SC Tetange W 5-239.0 741 716 53.18% 24.54% 22.28%+0.62 +9.4 6
1954-11-07 @ Racing Rodange L 2-539.0 716 741 22.28% 24.54% 53.18%-0.62 -9.4 8
1954-11-14 Racing Rodange L 1-248.1 740 750 49.01% 24.77% 26.22%+0.36 -8.3 8
1954-11-14 @ Differdange 03 W 2-148.1 750 740 26.22% 24.77% 49.01%-0.36 +8.3 8
1954-11-14 Fola Esch L 0-239.5 669 721 43.76% 24.90% 31.35%+0.07 -15.1 7
1954-11-14 @ Grevenmacher W 2-039.5 721 669 31.35% 24.90% 43.76%-0.07 +15.1 8
1954-11-14 Alliance Dudelange L 2-449.7 760 779 47.98% 24.81% 27.21%+0.30 -12.6 8
1954-11-14 @ Jeunesse Esch W 4-249.7 779 760 27.21% 24.81% 47.98%-0.30 +12.6 10
1954-11-14 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-139.7 708 743 45.93% 24.86% 29.21%+0.19 +9.6 10
1954-11-14 @ Red Star Merl L 1-339.7 743 708 29.21% 24.86% 45.93%-0.19 -9.6 10
1954-11-14 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 4-030.8 706 716 49.10% 24.77% 26.13%+0.37 +19.2 10
1954-11-14 @ SC Tetange L 0-430.8 716 706 26.13% 24.77% 49.10%-0.37 -19.2 8
1954-11-14 Progres Niedercorn W 2-034.1 751 759 49.39% 24.75% 25.85%+0.38 +10.0 12
1954-11-14 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-234.1 759 751 25.85% 24.75% 49.39%-0.38 -10.0 9
1954-11-28 Jeunesse Esch W 5-031.0 733 747 48.59% 24.79% 26.62%+0.34 +24.0 12
1954-11-28 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-531.0 747 733 26.62% 24.79% 48.59%-0.34 -24.0 8
1954-11-28 SC Tetange W 4-242.4 736 725 51.56% 24.64% 23.80%+0.52 +7.3 10
1954-11-28 @ Fola Esch L 2-442.4 725 736 23.80% 24.64% 51.56%-0.52 -7.3 10
1954-11-28 Alliance Dudelange L 1-344.4 749 792 44.94% 24.88% 30.18%+0.13 -13.4 9
1954-11-28 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-144.4 792 749 30.18% 24.88% 44.94%-0.13 +13.4 12
1954-11-28 Differdange 03 L 1-247.2 697 731 46.03% 24.86% 29.11%+0.19 -7.9 8
1954-11-28 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 2-147.2 731 697 29.11% 24.86% 46.03%-0.19 +7.9 10
1954-11-28 Red Star Merl L 1-543.7 759 717 54.93% 24.40% 20.67%+0.73 -29.1 8
1954-11-28 @ Racing Rodange W 5-143.7 717 759 20.67% 24.40% 54.93%-0.73 +29.1 12
1954-11-28 Grevenmacher W 2-030.6 761 654 61.27% 23.60% 15.13%+1.20 +6.3 14
1954-11-28 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-230.6 654 761 15.13% 23.60% 61.27%-1.20 -6.3 7
1954-12-05 SC Tetange W 4-240.0 805 718 59.45% 23.88% 16.67%+1.06 +5.3 14
1954-12-05 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-440.0 718 805 16.67% 23.88% 59.45%-1.06 -5.4 10
1954-12-05 Grevenmacher W 3-028.2 757 648 61.47% 23.57% 14.96%+1.22 +9.1 14
1954-12-05 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-328.2 648 757 14.96% 23.57% 61.47%-1.22 -9.1 7
1954-12-05 Differdange 03 D 1-150.6 723 739 48.36% 24.80% 26.84%+0.32 -0.8 9
1954-12-05 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-150.6 739 723 26.84% 24.80% 48.36%-0.32 +0.8 11
1954-12-05 Red Star Merl D 3-359.5 735 746 48.96% 24.77% 26.27%+0.36 -0.5 10
1954-12-05 @ Progres Niedercorn D 3-359.5 746 735 26.27% 24.77% 48.96%-0.36 +0.5 13
1954-12-05 Fola Esch W 2-035.9 689 744 43.40% 24.90% 31.71%+0.05 +11.8 10
1954-12-05 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-235.9 744 689 31.71% 24.90% 43.40%-0.05 -11.8 10
1954-12-05 Stade Dudelange D 1-150.6 729 768 45.54% 24.87% 29.59%+0.16 -0.6 9
1954-12-05 @ Racing Rodange D 1-150.6 768 729 29.59% 24.87% 45.54%-0.16 +0.6 15
1955-01-23 Alliance Dudelange D 2-255.1 766 810 44.80% 24.88% 30.32%+0.12 -0.4 15
1955-01-23 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-255.1 810 766 30.32% 24.88% 44.80%-0.12 +0.4 15
1955-01-23 Differdange 03 D 2-255.2 732 740 49.29% 24.76% 25.95%+0.38 -0.7 11
1955-01-23 @ Fola Esch D 2-255.2 740 732 25.95% 24.76% 49.29%-0.38 +0.7 12
1955-01-23 Grevenmacher W 7-131.1 735 639 60.29% 23.76% 15.95%+1.12 +15.2 12
1955-01-23 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-731.1 639 735 15.95% 23.76% 60.29%-1.12 -15.2 7
1955-01-23 Jeunesse Esch D 2-255.2 729 722 51.03% 24.67% 24.30%+0.48 -0.8 10
1955-01-23 @ Racing Rodange D 2-255.2 722 729 24.30% 24.67% 51.03%-0.48 +0.8 10
1955-01-23 SC Tetange W 4-134.4 768 713 56.40% 24.25% 19.35%+0.83 +9.6 17
1955-01-23 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-434.4 713 768 19.35% 24.25% 56.40%-0.83 -9.6 10
1955-01-30 Racing Rodange L 1-446.2 811 728 59.07% 23.93% 17.00%+1.03 -24.2 15
1955-01-30 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-146.2 728 811 17.00% 23.93% 59.07%-1.03 +24.2 12
1955-01-30 Stade Dudelange D 2-255.1 741 778 45.68% 24.87% 29.46%+0.17 -0.5 13
1955-01-30 @ Differdange 03 D 2-255.1 778 741 29.46% 24.87% 45.68%-0.17 +0.5 18
1955-01-30 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-451.1 723 701 52.88% 24.56% 22.56%+0.60 -13.8 10
1955-01-30 @ Jeunesse Esch W 4-251.1 701 723 22.56% 24.56% 52.88%-0.60 +13.8 12
1955-01-30 Fola Esch D 1-150.7 747 731 52.13% 24.61% 23.26%+0.55 -1.1 14
1955-01-30 @ Red Star Merl D 1-150.7 731 747 23.26% 24.61% 52.13%-0.55 +1.1 12
1955-01-30 Grevenmacher W 3-243.0 703 624 58.77% 23.98% 17.26%+1.01 +3.4 12
1955-01-30 @ SC Tetange L 2-343.0 624 703 17.26% 23.98% 58.77%-1.01 -3.4 7
1955-02-13 Fola Esch L 3-748.4 787 732 56.29% 24.27% 19.45%+0.83 -23.1 15
1955-02-13 @ Alliance Dudelange W 7-348.4 732 787 19.45% 24.27% 56.29%-0.83 +23.1 14
1955-02-13 SC Tetange W 6-340.8 740 707 54.12% 24.47% 21.42%+0.68 +8.4 15
1955-02-13 @ Differdange 03 L 3-640.8 707 740 21.42% 24.47% 54.12%-0.68 -8.4 12
1955-02-13 Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 3-359.7 766 715 55.98% 24.30% 19.72%+0.81 -0.9 16
1955-02-13 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 3-359.7 715 766 19.72% 24.30% 55.98%-0.81 +0.9 13
1955-02-13 Stade Dudelange L 2-350.5 709 778 41.45% 24.90% 33.65%-0.06 -6.9 10
1955-02-13 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-250.5 778 709 33.65% 24.90% 41.45%+0.06 +6.9 20
1955-02-13 Progres Niedercorn W 3-138.3 752 750 50.54% 24.70% 24.76%+0.45 +8.4 14
1955-02-13 @ Racing Rodange L 1-338.3 750 752 24.76% 24.70% 50.54%-0.45 -8.4 12
1955-02-13 Grevenmacher W 4-239.0 746 620 62.85% 23.32% 13.84%+1.34 +4.5 16
1955-02-13 @ Red Star Merl L 2-439.0 620 746 13.84% 23.32% 62.85%-1.34 -4.5 7
1955-03-06 Red Star Merl D 1-150.6 716 750 45.98% 24.86% 29.16%+0.19 -0.6 14
1955-03-06 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg D 1-150.6 750 716 29.16% 24.86% 45.98%-0.19 +0.6 17
1955-03-13 Jeunesse Esch L 1-643.4 755 703 56.11% 24.28% 19.60%+0.81 -36.4 14
1955-03-13 @ Fola Esch W 6-143.4 703 755 19.60% 24.28% 56.11%-0.81 +36.4 12
1955-03-13 Differdange 03 W 2-146.2 616 749 32.57% 24.69% 42.74%-0.51 +7.4 9
1955-03-13 @ Grevenmacher L 1-246.2 749 616 42.74% 24.69% 32.57%+0.51 -7.4 15
1955-03-13 SC Tetange W 2-139.4 742 698 55.17% 24.38% 20.46%+0.75 +4.1 14
1955-03-13 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-239.4 698 742 20.46% 24.38% 55.17%-0.75 -4.1 12
1955-03-13 FC Schifflange 95 W 1-037.1 761 765 49.75% 24.74% 25.51%+0.41 +5.3 16
1955-03-13 @ Racing Rodange L 0-137.1 765 761 25.51% 24.74% 49.75%-0.41 -5.3 16
1955-03-13 Red Star Merl W 4-241.6 785 751 54.17% 24.46% 21.37%+0.68 +6.6 22
1955-03-13 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-441.6 751 785 21.37% 24.46% 54.17%-0.68 -6.6 17
1955-03-20 Grevenmacher L 1-252.1 763 623 64.05% 23.07% 12.88%+1.44 -10.7 15
1955-03-20 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-152.1 623 763 12.88% 23.07% 64.05%-1.44 +10.7 11
1955-03-20 Stade Dudelange W 3-139.6 760 792 46.34% 24.85% 28.81%+0.21 +9.5 18
1955-03-20 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-339.6 792 760 28.81% 24.85% 46.34%-0.21 -9.5 22
1955-03-20 SC Tetange D 2-255.3 739 694 55.33% 24.36% 20.31%+0.76 -1.1 13
1955-03-20 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-255.3 694 739 20.31% 24.36% 55.33%-0.76 +1.0 13
1955-03-20 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-249.4 746 715 53.81% 24.49% 21.70%+0.66 -9.0 14
1955-03-20 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-149.4 715 746 21.70% 24.49% 53.81%-0.66 +9.0 16
1955-03-20 Fola Esch L 2-451.8 766 719 55.52% 24.34% 20.14%+0.77 -14.4 16
1955-03-20 @ Racing Rodange W 4-251.8 719 766 20.14% 24.34% 55.52%-0.77 +14.4 16
1955-03-27 Alliance Dudelange W 3-032.6 724 753 46.73% 24.85% 28.42%+0.23 +15.7 18
1955-03-27 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-332.6 753 724 28.42% 24.85% 46.73%-0.23 -15.7 15
1955-04-03 Progres Niedercorn L 0-145.6 769 737 53.98% 24.48% 21.54%+0.67 -9.6 18
1955-04-03 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-045.6 737 769 21.54% 24.48% 53.98%-0.67 +9.6 16
1955-04-03 Differdange 03 D 1-150.7 744 741 50.64% 24.70% 24.66%+0.46 -1.0 18
1955-04-03 @ Red Star Merl D 1-150.7 741 744 24.66% 24.70% 50.64%-0.46 +1.0 16
1955-04-24 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-141.8 733 760 47.06% 24.84% 28.10%+0.25 +5.3 18
1955-04-24 @ Fola Esch L 1-241.8 760 733 28.10% 24.84% 47.06%-0.25 -5.4 18
1955-04-24 Jeunesse Esch D 1-150.6 634 738 36.49% 24.83% 38.68%-0.31 +0.1 12
1955-04-24 @ Grevenmacher D 1-150.6 738 634 38.68% 24.83% 36.49%+0.31 -0.1 14
1955-04-24 Differdange 03 W 3-031.4 746 742 50.76% 24.69% 24.55%+0.47 +14.0 18
1955-04-24 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-331.4 742 746 24.55% 24.69% 50.76%-0.47 -14.0 16
1955-04-24 Racing Rodange W 3-246.0 740 751 48.86% 24.78% 26.36%+0.35 +4.8 20
1955-04-24 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 2-346.0 751 740 26.36% 24.78% 48.86%-0.35 -4.8 16
1955-04-24 Red Star Merl L 0-142.8 695 743 44.23% 24.89% 30.88%+0.09 -8.1 13
1955-04-24 @ SC Tetange W 1-042.8 743 695 30.88% 24.89% 44.23%-0.09 +8.1 20
1955-04-24 Alliance Dudelange W 5-029.0 782 737 55.35% 24.36% 20.29%+0.76 +19.2 24
1955-04-24 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-529.0 737 782 20.29% 24.36% 55.35%-0.76 -19.2 15
1955-04-30 Jeunesse Esch L 1-345.6 728 738 49.14% 24.77% 26.09%+0.37 -14.4 16
1955-04-30 @ Differdange 03 W 3-145.6 738 728 26.09% 24.77% 49.14%-0.37 +14.4 16
1955-04-30 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 2-141.1 739 744 49.60% 24.75% 25.66%+0.40 +5.0 20
1955-04-30 @ Fola Esch L 1-241.1 744 739 25.66% 24.75% 49.60%-0.40 -5.0 20
1955-04-30 FC Schifflange 95 W 1-041.8 634 754 34.25% 24.76% 40.99%-0.42 +7.6 14
1955-04-30 @ Grevenmacher L 0-141.8 754 634 40.99% 24.76% 34.25%+0.42 -7.6 18
1955-04-30 Progres Niedercorn L 1-248.1 751 760 49.21% 24.76% 26.03%+0.37 -8.3 20
1955-04-30 @ Red Star Merl W 2-148.1 760 751 26.03% 24.76% 49.21%-0.37 +8.3 20
1955-04-30 Alliance Dudelange L 0-240.3 687 718 46.47% 24.85% 28.68%+0.22 -15.9 13
1955-04-30 @ SC Tetange W 2-040.3 718 687 28.68% 24.85% 46.47%-0.22 +15.9 17
1955-04-30 Racing Rodange W 5-028.7 802 747 56.35% 24.26% 19.39%+0.83 +18.4 26
1955-04-30 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-528.7 747 802 19.39% 24.26% 56.35%-0.83 -18.5 16
1955-05-08 Differdange 03 L 0-145.2 734 714 52.58% 24.58% 22.84%+0.58 -9.4 17
1955-05-08 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-045.2 714 734 22.84% 24.58% 52.58%-0.58 +9.4 18
1955-05-08 SC Tetange W 1-034.5 747 671 58.40% 24.02% 17.58%+0.98 +3.8 20
1955-05-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-134.5 671 747 17.58% 24.02% 58.40%-0.98 -3.9 13
1955-05-08 Red Star Merl W 4-030.1 752 743 51.38% 24.65% 23.97%+0.50 +17.9 18
1955-05-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-430.1 743 752 23.97% 24.65% 51.38%-0.50 -17.9 20
1955-05-08 Fola Esch D 2-255.2 769 744 53.16% 24.54% 22.30%+0.62 -0.9 21
1955-05-08 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-255.2 744 769 22.30% 24.54% 53.16%-0.62 +0.9 21
1955-05-08 Stade Dudelange L 2-350.1 739 820 39.83% 24.89% 35.28%-0.14 -6.6 20
1955-05-08 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 3-250.1 820 739 35.28% 24.89% 39.83%+0.14 +6.6 28
1955-05-08 Grevenmacher D 2-255.4 728 641 59.44% 23.88% 16.68%+1.06 -1.3 17
1955-05-08 @ Racing Rodange D 2-255.4 641 728 16.68% 23.88% 59.44%-1.06 +1.3 15
1955-05-15 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-141.9 723 751 46.95% 24.84% 28.21%+0.24 +5.4 20
1955-05-15 @ Differdange 03 L 1-241.9 751 723 28.21% 24.84% 46.95%-0.24 -5.4 20
1955-05-15 Racing FC Union Luxembourg W 6-034.8 643 733 38.50% 24.87% 36.63%-0.21 +36.5 17
1955-05-15 @ Grevenmacher L 0-634.8 733 643 36.63% 24.87% 38.50%+0.21 -36.5 20
1955-05-15 Progres Niedercorn W 2-140.8 770 768 50.58% 24.70% 24.72%+0.46 +4.8 20
1955-05-15 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-240.8 768 770 24.72% 24.70% 50.58%-0.46 -4.8 21
1955-05-15 Alliance Dudelange L 1-248.5 725 724 50.37% 24.71% 24.92%+0.44 -8.5 20
1955-05-15 @ Red Star Merl W 2-148.5 724 725 24.92% 24.71% 50.37%-0.44 +8.5 19
1955-05-15 Racing Rodange L 1-246.2 667 727 42.71% 24.90% 32.39%+0.01 -7.4 13
1955-05-15 @ SC Tetange W 2-146.2 727 667 32.39% 24.90% 42.71%-0.01 +7.4 19
1955-05-15 Fola Esch W 3-242.9 827 745 59.01% 23.94% 17.05%+1.03 +3.3 30
1955-05-15 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-342.9 745 827 17.05% 23.94% 59.01%-1.03 -3.3 21
1955-05-19 Jeunesse Esch W 2-142.4 733 775 45.03% 24.88% 30.09%+0.14 +5.7 21
1955-05-19 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-242.4 775 733 30.09% 24.88% 45.03%-0.14 -5.6 20
1955-05-19 Red Star Merl D 0-047.6 745 717 53.55% 24.51% 21.94%+0.64 -1.4 21
1955-05-19 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 0-047.6 717 745 21.94% 24.51% 53.55%-0.64 +1.4 21
1955-05-19 Grevenmacher W 6-029.2 741 679 57.06% 24.18% 18.76%+0.88 +21.3 23
1955-05-19 @ Fola Esch L 0-629.2 679 741 18.76% 24.18% 57.06%-0.88 -21.3 17
1955-05-19 Stade Dudelange L 1-245.9 763 830 41.69% 24.90% 33.40%-0.04 -7.3 21
1955-05-19 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-145.9 830 763 33.40% 24.90% 41.69%+0.04 +7.3 32
1955-05-19 SC Tetange W 3-137.1 696 660 54.42% 24.44% 21.14%+0.70 +7.4 22
1955-05-19 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 1-337.1 660 696 21.14% 24.44% 54.42%-0.70 -7.4 13
1955-05-19 Differdange 03 D 1-150.7 734 729 50.94% 24.68% 24.38%+0.48 -1.0 20
1955-05-19 @ Racing Rodange D 1-150.7 729 734 24.38% 24.68% 50.94%-0.48 +1.0 21
1955-05-22 Progres Niedercorn L 1-247.9 739 756 48.22% 24.80% 26.98%+0.32 -8.2 21
1955-05-22 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-147.9 756 739 26.98% 24.80% 48.22%-0.32 +8.2 23
1955-05-22 Racing FC Union Luxembourg L 0-145.4 730 704 53.27% 24.53% 22.19%+0.62 -9.5 21
1955-05-22 @ Differdange 03 W 1-045.4 704 730 22.19% 24.53% 53.27%-0.62 +9.5 24
1955-05-22 Stade Dudelange L 3-642.4 658 837 26.82% 24.31% 48.87%-0.85 -10.1 17
1955-05-22 @ Grevenmacher W 6-342.4 837 658 48.87% 24.31% 26.82%+0.85 +10.1 34
1955-05-22 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-543.3 769 744 53.23% 24.53% 22.24%+0.62 -28.3 20
1955-05-22 @ Jeunesse Esch W 5-143.3 744 769 22.24% 24.53% 53.23%-0.62 +28.3 23
1955-05-22 Racing Rodange W 5-240.5 718 733 48.46% 24.79% 26.75%+0.33 +10.9 23
1955-05-22 @ Red Star Merl L 2-540.5 733 718 26.75% 24.79% 48.46%-0.33 -10.9 20
1955-05-22 Fola Esch L 0-634.5 652 763 35.68% 24.81% 39.52%-0.35 -35.7 13
1955-05-22 @ SC Tetange W 6-034.5 763 652 39.52% 24.81% 35.68%+0.35 +35.7 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1955-03-20 12.88% Grevenmacher 623 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 763 1
2 1954-10-03 15.06% Grevenmacher 658 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 766 1
3 1955-01-30 17.00% Racing Rodange 728 4 @ Alliance Dudelange 811 1
4 1955-02-13 19.45% Fola Esch 732 7 @ Alliance Dudelange 787 3
5 1955-03-13 19.60% Jeunesse Esch 703 6 @ Fola Esch 755 1
6 1955-03-20 20.14% Fola Esch 719 4 @ Racing Rodange 766 2
7 1954-08-29 20.43% Red Star Merl 709 3 @ Fola Esch 753 1
8 1954-11-28 20.67% Red Star Merl 717 5 @ Racing Rodange 759 1
9 1955-04-03 21.54% Progres Niedercorn 737 1 @ FC Schifflange 95 769 0
10 1955-03-20 21.70% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 715 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 746 1
11 1955-05-22 22.19% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 704 1 @ Differdange 03 730 0
12 1955-05-22 22.24% FC Schifflange 95 744 5 @ Jeunesse Esch 769 1
13 1955-01-30 22.56% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 701 4 @ Jeunesse Esch 723 2
14 1955-05-08 22.84% Differdange 03 714 1 @ Alliance Dudelange 734 0
15 1954-10-17 23.90% FC Schifflange 95 728 2 @ Stade Dudelange 738 1
16 1954-10-03 24.16% SC Tetange 724 5 @ Red Star Merl 731 3
17 1954-11-07 24.53% Stade Dudelange 734 2 @ Fola Esch 738 0
18 1955-05-15 24.92% Alliance Dudelange 724 2 @ Red Star Merl 725 1
19 1955-04-30 26.03% Progres Niedercorn 760 2 @ Red Star Merl 751 1
20 1955-04-30 26.09% Jeunesse Esch 738 3 @ Differdange 03 728 1
21 1954-08-22 26.14% Stade Dudelange 729 3 @ SC Tetange 719 2
22 1954-11-14 26.22% Racing Rodange 750 2 @ Differdange 03 740 1
23 1955-05-22 26.98% Progres Niedercorn 756 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 739 1
24 1954-10-17 27.21% Jeunesse Esch 755 4 @ SC Tetange 737 1
25 1954-11-14 27.21% Alliance Dudelange 779 4 @ Jeunesse Esch 760 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-05-15 36.47 @ Grevenmacher 6 643 38.50% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 733 36.63% 24.87%
2 1955-03-13 36.41 Jeunesse Esch 6 703 19.60% @ Fola Esch 1 755 56.11% 24.28%
3 1955-05-22 35.73 Fola Esch 6 763 39.52% @ SC Tetange 0 652 35.68% 24.81%
4 1954-11-28 29.14 Red Star Merl 5 717 20.67% @ Racing Rodange 1 759 54.93% 24.40%
5 1955-05-22 28.31 FC Schifflange 95 5 744 22.24% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 769 53.23% 24.53%
6 1955-01-30 24.17 Racing Rodange 4 728 17.00% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 811 59.07% 23.93%
7 1954-11-28 24.00 @ FC Schifflange 95 5 733 48.59% Jeunesse Esch 0 747 26.62% 24.79%
8 1955-02-13 23.10 Fola Esch 7 732 19.45% @ Alliance Dudelange 3 787 56.29% 24.27%
9 1954-11-07 22.16 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 7 694 50.57% Grevenmacher 1 692 24.73% 24.70%
10 1955-05-19 21.29 @ Fola Esch 6 741 57.06% Grevenmacher 0 679 18.76% 24.18%
11 1954-10-17 19.99 Jeunesse Esch 4 755 27.21% @ SC Tetange 1 737 47.98% 24.81%
12 1954-11-14 19.19 @ SC Tetange 4 706 49.10% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 716 26.13% 24.77%
13 1955-04-24 19.19 @ Stade Dudelange 5 782 55.35% Alliance Dudelange 0 737 20.29% 24.36%
14 1955-04-30 18.45 @ Stade Dudelange 5 802 56.35% Racing Rodange 0 747 19.39% 24.26%
15 1955-05-08 17.89 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 752 51.38% Red Star Merl 0 743 23.97% 24.65%
16 1954-11-07 17.16 Stade Dudelange 2 734 24.53% @ Fola Esch 0 738 50.78% 24.69%
17 1954-08-29 16.04 Red Star Merl 3 709 20.43% @ Fola Esch 1 753 55.20% 24.37%
18 1954-11-07 15.92 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 743 46.20% Jeunesse Esch 0 776 28.94% 24.86%
19 1955-04-30 15.88 Alliance Dudelange 2 718 28.68% @ SC Tetange 0 687 46.47% 24.85%
20 1955-03-27 15.70 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 724 46.73% Alliance Dudelange 0 753 28.42% 24.85%
21 1954-08-29 15.55 Jeunesse Esch 2 752 29.79% @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 712 45.34% 24.87%
22 1955-01-23 15.22 @ Progres Niedercorn 7 735 60.29% Grevenmacher 1 639 15.95% 23.76%
23 1954-11-14 15.10 Fola Esch 2 721 31.35% @ Grevenmacher 0 669 43.76% 24.90%
24 1955-04-30 14.44 Jeunesse Esch 3 738 26.09% @ Differdange 03 1 728 49.14% 24.77%
25 1955-03-20 14.42 Fola Esch 4 719 20.14% @ Racing Rodange 2 766 55.52% 24.34%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-08-22 62.5 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 781 55.60% FC Schifflange 95 4 733 20.06% 24.33%
2 1955-02-13 59.7 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 766 55.98% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 715 19.72% 24.30%
3 1954-12-05 59.5 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 735 48.96% Red Star Merl 3 746 26.27% 24.77%
4 1955-05-08 55.4 @ Racing Rodange 2 728 59.44% Grevenmacher 2 641 16.68% 23.88%
5 1954-10-03 55.3 @ Racing Rodange 2 757 57.36% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 692 18.49% 24.15%
6 1955-03-20 55.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 739 55.33% SC Tetange 2 694 20.31% 24.36%
7 1954-08-22 55.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 753 49.12% Racing Rodange 2 762 26.11% 24.77%
8 1954-09-05 55.2 @ Red Star Merl 2 725 48.99% Stade Dudelange 2 736 26.24% 24.77%
9 1954-10-31 55.2 @ Fola Esch 2 739 49.92% Progres Niedercorn 2 742 25.35% 24.73%
10 1955-01-23 55.2 @ Fola Esch 2 732 49.29% Differdange 03 2 740 25.95% 24.76%
11 1955-01-23 55.2 @ Racing Rodange 2 729 51.03% Jeunesse Esch 2 722 24.30% 24.67%
12 1955-05-08 55.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 769 53.16% Fola Esch 2 744 22.30% 24.54%
13 1954-10-31 55.1 @ Differdange 03 2 745 47.70% Alliance Dudelange 2 766 27.48% 24.82%
14 1955-01-23 55.1 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 766 44.80% Alliance Dudelange 2 810 30.32% 24.88%
15 1955-01-30 55.1 @ Differdange 03 2 741 45.68% Stade Dudelange 2 778 29.46% 24.87%
16 1954-09-12 54.6 Red Star Merl 4 725 32.43% @ Grevenmacher 3 665 42.67% 24.90%
17 1954-10-03 53.4 SC Tetange 5 724 24.16% @ Red Star Merl 3 731 51.17% 24.67%
18 1954-08-22 52.8 Stade Dudelange 3 729 26.14% @ SC Tetange 2 719 49.10% 24.77%
19 1955-03-20 52.1 Grevenmacher 2 623 12.88% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 763 64.05% 23.07%
20 1955-03-20 51.8 Fola Esch 4 719 20.14% @ Racing Rodange 2 766 55.52% 24.34%
21 1954-10-03 51.4 Grevenmacher 2 658 15.06% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 766 61.35% 23.59%
22 1955-01-30 51.1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 4 701 22.56% @ Jeunesse Esch 2 723 52.88% 24.56%
23 1954-08-22 50.7 @ Differdange 03 1 743 49.17% Fola Esch 1 752 26.07% 24.76%
24 1954-08-22 50.7 @ Red Star Merl 1 710 50.17% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1 711 25.11% 24.72%
25 1954-08-29 50.7 @ Stade Dudelange 1 737 49.69% Differdange 03 1 742 25.57% 24.74%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-12-05 28.2 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 757 61.47% Grevenmacher 0 648 14.96% 23.57%
2 1955-04-30 28.7 @ Stade Dudelange 5 802 56.35% Racing Rodange 0 747 19.39% 24.26%
3 1954-09-05 29.0 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 775 58.64% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 697 17.36% 23.99%
4 1955-04-24 29.0 @ Stade Dudelange 5 782 55.35% Alliance Dudelange 0 737 20.29% 24.36%
5 1955-05-19 29.2 @ Fola Esch 6 741 57.06% Grevenmacher 0 679 18.76% 24.18%
6 1955-05-08 30.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 752 51.38% Red Star Merl 0 743 23.97% 24.65%
7 1954-11-28 30.6 @ Stade Dudelange 2 761 61.27% Grevenmacher 0 654 15.13% 23.60%
8 1954-11-14 30.8 @ SC Tetange 4 706 49.10% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 716 26.13% 24.77%
9 1954-11-28 31.0 @ FC Schifflange 95 5 733 48.59% Jeunesse Esch 0 747 26.62% 24.79%
10 1955-01-23 31.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 7 735 60.29% Grevenmacher 1 639 15.95% 23.76%
11 1955-04-24 31.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 746 50.76% Differdange 03 0 742 24.55% 24.69%
12 1954-08-29 31.6 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 733 50.14% FC Schifflange 95 0 734 25.14% 24.72%
13 1955-03-27 32.6 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 724 46.73% Alliance Dudelange 0 753 28.42% 24.85%
14 1954-11-07 32.8 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 743 46.20% Jeunesse Esch 0 776 28.94% 24.86%
15 1954-11-07 34.0 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 7 694 50.57% Grevenmacher 1 692 24.73% 24.70%
16 1954-11-14 34.1 @ Stade Dudelange 2 751 49.39% Progres Niedercorn 0 759 25.85% 24.75%
17 1955-01-23 34.4 @ Stade Dudelange 4 768 56.40% SC Tetange 1 713 19.35% 24.25%
18 1955-05-08 34.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 1 747 58.40% SC Tetange 0 671 17.58% 24.02%
19 1955-05-22 34.5 Fola Esch 6 763 39.52% @ SC Tetange 0 652 35.68% 24.81%
20 1955-05-15 34.8 @ Grevenmacher 6 643 38.50% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 733 36.63% 24.87%
21 1954-11-07 35.6 @ Alliance Dudelange 8 767 55.58% Red Star Merl 3 720 20.09% 24.34%
22 1954-10-31 35.9 @ Stade Dudelange 1 730 53.82% Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 699 21.69% 24.49%
23 1954-12-05 35.9 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2 689 43.40% Fola Esch 0 744 31.71% 24.90%
24 1955-03-13 37.1 @ Racing Rodange 1 761 49.75% FC Schifflange 95 0 765 25.51% 24.74%
25 1955-05-19 37.1 @ Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3 696 54.42% SC Tetange 1 660 21.14% 24.44%