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1962-63 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jeunesse Esch

7.45 points above expected

35 points · 27.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

The Belval Belvaux

6.95 points below expected

6 points · 12.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 13 9 0 35 56 32 +24 27.55 +7.45
2 Union Luxembourg 22 13 3 6 29 54 25 +29 27.19 +1.81
3 Differdange 03 22 11 6 5 28 41 21 +20 24.41 +3.59
4 Aris Bonnevoie 22 11 5 6 27 45 32 +13 24.01 +2.99
5 Alliance Dudelange 22 9 6 7 24 38 30 +8 28.44 -4.44
6 Spora Luxembourg 22 8 6 8 22 31 27 +4 22.71 -0.71
7 FC Schifflange 95 22 8 4 10 20 49 56 -7 20.94 -0.94
8 Stade Dudelange 22 7 6 9 20 46 53 -7 20.63 -0.63
9 US Dudelange 22 7 6 9 20 36 44 -8 19.53 +0.47
10 Avenir Beggen 22 8 2 12 18 41 51 -10 17.03 +0.97
11 Fola Esch 22 4 7 11 15 29 47 -18 18.61 -3.61
12 The Belval Belvaux 22 2 2 18 6 27 75 -48 12.95 -6.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 35 27.55 +7.45
2 Differdange 03 28 24.41 +3.59
3 Aris Bonnevoie 27 24.01 +2.99
4 Union Luxembourg 29 27.19 +1.81
5 Avenir Beggen 18 17.03 +0.97

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 The Belval Belvaux 6 12.95 -6.95
2 Alliance Dudelange 24 28.44 -4.44
3 Fola Esch 15 18.61 -3.61
4 FC Schifflange 95 20 20.94 -0.94
5 Spora Luxembourg 22 22.71 -0.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Differdange 03 4 Aug 25 – Sep 15 1 in 45
2 Avenir Beggen 3 May 18 – May 29 1 in 41
3 Aris Bonnevoie 3 Sep 15 – Sep 29 1 in 34
4 US Dudelange 3 Sep 29 – Oct 20 1 in 26
5 Alliance Dudelange 5 Aug 18 – Sep 15 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 The Belval Belvaux 9 Aug 18 – Oct 20 1 in 413
2 Fola Esch 5 Sep 1 – Sep 29 1 in 71
3 Spora Luxembourg 2 Aug 18 – Aug 25 1 in 14
4 Stade Dudelange 3 Sep 29 – Oct 20 1 in 11
5 Avenir Beggen 4 Aug 18 – Sep 8 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 Aug 18 – Jun 8 1 in 744
2 Spora Luxembourg 8 Mar 23 – May 23 1 in 81
3 Aris Bonnevoie 7 Aug 18 – Sep 29 1 in 44
4 Fola Esch 6 Oct 6 – Mar 23 1 in 24
5 Differdange 03 6 Aug 18 – Sep 22 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 The Belval Belvaux 17 Aug 18 – May 4 1 in 45
2 Alliance Dudelange 5 May 11 – Jun 8 1 in 40
3 Differdange 03 5 May 4 – May 29 1 in 14
4 Aris Bonnevoie 3 Oct 6 – Nov 17 1 in 10
5 FC Schifflange 95 4 Mar 30 – May 4 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1419 35 +13 7 6.4 +0.6
Union Luxembourg 1406 29 +40 7 6.2 +0.8
Differdange 03 1319 28 -27 4 5.8 -1.8
Aris Bonnevoie 1305 27 +22 8 6.4 +1.6
Alliance Dudelange 1349 24 -33 2 6.1 -4.1
Spora Luxembourg 1301 22 +31 7 4.8 +2.2
Stade Dudelange 1206 20 -27 4 4.1 -0.1
FC Schifflange 95 1231 20 +4 4 4.3 -0.3
US Dudelange 1202 20 -31 3 4.9 -1.9
Avenir Beggen 1172 18 +18 6 4.1 +1.9
Fola Esch 1164 15 -17 3 4.3 -1.3
The Belval Belvaux 1025 6 +6 5 2.5 +2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB AB D0 FS9 FE JE SL SD TBB UD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
1-0-1
3.61
1-1-0
4.26
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
4.07
0-0-2
2.65
0-1-1
3.46
0-2-0
3.84
1-0-1
4.66
2-0-0
4.05
2-0-0
2.91
Aris Bonnevoie
1-0-1
1.90
 —
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
3.56
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.99
2-0-0
4.24
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
2.14
Avenir Beggen
0-1-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.78
 —
1-0-1
1.67
1-0-1
2.10
2-0-0
2.39
0-1-1
1.46
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
2.34
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.59
Differdange 03
1-1-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
3.85
 —
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.76
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.11
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.43
0-0-2
2.65
FC Schifflange 95
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
3.41
0-0-2
2.32
 —
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.46
2-0-0
3.57
0-2-0
2.94
0-0-2
1.77
Fola Esch
0-1-1
1.47
1-1-0
1.96
0-0-2
3.12
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.29
 —
0-0-2
1.81
2-0-0
2.13
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
3.77
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.90
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
4.07
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.71
 —
0-2-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
3.77
0-2-0
2.75
Spora Luxembourg
1-1-0
2.05
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.62
0-1-1
2.50
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
3.38
0-2-0
2.02
 —
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.18
Stade Dudelange
0-2-0
1.68
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
3.04
0-2-0
2.92
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.59
 —
2-0-0
3.85
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-2
1.69
The Belval Belvaux
1-0-1
0.92
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
1.75
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.51
0-0-2
1.68
 —
0-1-1
1.58
0-0-2
1.23
US Dudelange
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.08
0-2-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.94
 —
1-1-0
1.68
Union Luxembourg
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
3.37
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
2.86
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.62
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.83
2-0-0
4.33
0-1-1
3.84
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +6.1
Allowed 0.70 -3.9
Differential 0.94 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%6.06%3.03%3.79%3.03%1.52%21.21%
16.06%9.09%4.17%4.55%1.52%2.65%28.03%
23.03%4.17%7.58%2.65%1.89%0.38%19.70%
33.79%4.55%2.65%0.76%2.27%0.38%14.39%
43.03%1.52%1.89%2.27%2.27%0.38%11.36%
5+1.52%2.65%0.38%0.38%0.38%—5.30%
Total21.21%28.03%19.70%14.39%11.36%5.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.87 +0.00
SD 1.59 1.59 2.31
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
39.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
49.09%———4.55%—13.64%
5+———————
Total36.36%22.73%18.18%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.36 +0.36
SD 1.39 1.36 1.87
CV 0.80 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——13.64%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%31.82%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.45 +0.59
SD 1.50 1.18 1.97
CV 0.73 0.81 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%13.64%4.55%—9.09%—31.82%
3—4.55%——9.09%—13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%18.18%18.18%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.32 -0.45
SD 1.75 1.46 1.92
CV 0.94 0.63 —
Max 8 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
218.18%—4.55%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total54.55%22.73%9.09%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.95 +0.91
SD 1.58 1.50 2.39
CV 0.85 1.57 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%—9.09%27.27%
2——4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%27.27%13.64%18.18%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.55 -0.32
SD 2.07 2.11 2.93
CV 0.93 0.83 —
Max 8 8 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%22.73%18.18%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.14 -0.82
SD 1.25 1.52 1.92
CV 0.95 0.71 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%22.73%————27.27%
24.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4—9.09%—13.64%——22.73%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%45.45%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.45 +1.09
SD 1.26 0.96 1.15
CV 0.50 0.66 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—9.09%4.55%—27.27%
118.18%18.18%13.64%———50.00%
2——4.55%———4.55%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.23 +0.18
SD 1.71 1.11 2.24
CV 1.21 0.90 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
1———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
2—4.55%22.73%———27.27%
3—————4.55%4.55%
44.55%—9.09%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total9.09%13.64%40.91%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.41 -0.32
SD 1.69 1.68 2.42
CV 0.81 0.70 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%13.64%45.45%
1———9.09%4.55%4.55%18.18%
2—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
3——4.55%—9.09%—13.64%
4————9.09%—9.09%
5+———————
Total—13.64%9.09%27.27%31.82%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 3.41 -2.18
SD 1.41 1.44 2.02
CV 1.15 0.42 —
Max 4 6 +1
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%——9.09%—18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—9.09%36.36%
24.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%18.18%4.55%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.00 -0.36
SD 1.29 1.80 2.44
CV 0.79 0.90 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.14 +1.32
SD 1.74 0.99 2.23
CV 0.71 0.87 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1419 35 27.55 +7.45 100.0% 19 22 25 28 30 33 35
Union Luxembourg 1406 29 27.19 +1.81 70.0% 19 21 24 27 30 33 36
Alliance Dudelange 1349 24 28.44 -4.44 15.0% 21 22 26 28 31 34 36
Differdange 03 1319 28 24.41 +3.59 81.0% 16 19 21 24 27 32 36
Aris Bonnevoie 1305 27 24.01 +2.99 84.0% 13 18 21 24 26 30 35
Spora Luxembourg 1301 22 22.71 -0.71 56.0% 16 17 20 22 25 29 33
FC Schifflange 95 1231 20 20.94 -0.94 49.0% 14 16 19 21 23 26 29
Stade Dudelange 1206 20 20.63 -0.63 46.0% 13 15 18 21 23 26 30
US Dudelange 1202 20 19.53 +0.47 57.0% 7 12 17 20 22 26 29
Avenir Beggen 1172 18 17.03 +0.97 64.0% 9 11 14 16 20 23 28
Fola Esch 1164 15 18.61 -3.61 23.0% 10 11 16 18 22 25 29
The Belval Belvaux 1025 6 12.95 -6.95 2.0% 6 7 11 13 15 19 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.88%
Clear Edge
44.70%23.48%31.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
135 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
045.00400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Jeunesse Esch, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.52 * Lucky: 4.52 to 6.03 * Wild Swing: 6.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.43 * Close: 1.43 to 2.14 * Off: 2.14 to 2.86 * Way Off: 2.86 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.70 points
Some Luck
03.779
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.784
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Jeunesse Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
The Belval Belvaux
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 113.32
1.82
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Clear Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Frequent
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.05
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.75
Near-Lock
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Well Within Noise
00.1410.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch24.00%26.00%16.00%14.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%———
Union Luxembourg26.00%18.00%16.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%———
Differdange 0312.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%18.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%3.00%2.00%——
Aris Bonnevoie4.00%9.00%20.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Alliance Dudelange29.00%30.00%14.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%—————
Spora Luxembourg3.00%4.00%9.00%14.00%9.00%10.00%21.00%13.00%6.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%
FC Schifflange 95—3.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%21.00%13.00%16.00%4.00%—
Stade Dudelange1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%16.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%—
US Dudelange1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%6.00%
Avenir Beggen——2.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%16.00%18.00%24.00%19.00%
Fola Esch——3.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%15.00%22.00%20.00%10.00%
The Belval Belvaux——————1.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%23.00%63.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Alliance Dudelange 100% —
Differdange 03 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Aris Bonnevoie 97.00% 3.00%
Spora Luxembourg 97.00% 3.00%
FC Schifflange 95 96.00% 4.00%
Stade Dudelange 89.00% 11.00%
US Dudelange 80.00% 20.00%
Fola Esch 70.00% 30.00%
Avenir Beggen 57.00% 43.00%
The Belval Belvaux 14.00% 86.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1962-08-18 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-256.3 1229 1263 42.84% 24.89% 32.26%+0.08 -0.3 1
1962-08-18 @ Differdange 03 D 2-256.3 1263 1229 32.26% 24.89% 42.84%-0.08 +0.3 1
1962-08-18 Avenir Beggen W 4-346.6 1321 1177 62.34% 23.46% 14.21%+1.41 +3.1 2
1962-08-18 @ Jeunesse Esch L 3-446.6 1177 1321 14.21% 23.46% 62.34%-1.41 -3.1 0
1962-08-18 Alliance Dudelange L 2-352.7 1320 1375 40.01% 24.90% 35.09%-0.07 -7.5 0
1962-08-18 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-252.7 1375 1320 35.09% 24.90% 40.01%+0.07 +7.5 2
1962-08-18 Fola Esch L 0-148.3 1320 1222 58.17% 24.06% 17.77%+1.06 -11.7 0
1962-08-18 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-048.3 1222 1320 17.77% 24.06% 58.17%-1.06 +11.6 2
1962-08-18 US Dudelange W 4-030.7 1240 1198 52.36% 24.57% 23.07%+0.65 +19.6 2
1962-08-18 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-430.7 1198 1240 23.07% 24.57% 52.36%-0.65 -19.6 0
1962-08-18 FC Schifflange 95 L 2-350.1 1177 1255 36.71% 24.87% 38.42%-0.25 -7.0 0
1962-08-18 @ The Belval Belvaux W 3-250.1 1255 1177 38.42% 24.87% 36.71%+0.25 +7.0 2
1962-08-25 Spora Luxembourg W 1-041.4 1263 1309 41.31% 24.90% 33.79%+0.00 +7.4 3
1962-08-25 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-141.4 1309 1263 33.79% 24.90% 41.31%+0.00 -7.4 0
1962-08-25 Union Luxembourg L 1-243.3 1174 1313 28.69% 24.57% 46.74%-0.70 -6.1 0
1962-08-25 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-143.3 1313 1174 46.74% 24.57% 28.69%+0.70 +6.1 2
1962-08-25 Alliance Dudelange L 0-434.1 1262 1382 31.01% 24.69% 44.30%-0.56 -24.7 2
1962-08-25 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 4-034.1 1382 1262 44.30% 24.69% 31.01%+0.56 +24.7 4
1962-08-25 Stade Dudelange D 2-256.3 1234 1260 43.93% 24.88% 31.18%+0.14 -0.4 3
1962-08-25 @ Fola Esch D 2-256.3 1260 1234 31.18% 24.88% 43.93%-0.14 +0.4 3
1962-08-25 Differdange 03 L 0-435.7 1170 1228 39.50% 24.90% 35.60%-0.10 -29.8 0
1962-08-25 @ The Belval Belvaux W 4-035.7 1228 1170 35.60% 24.90% 39.50%+0.10 +29.8 3
1962-08-25 Jeunesse Esch L 0-139.2 1179 1324 27.81% 24.52% 47.67%-0.75 -6.3 0
1962-08-25 @ US Dudelange W 1-039.2 1324 1179 47.67% 24.52% 27.81%+0.75 +6.3 4
1962-09-01 Avenir Beggen W 3-027.5 1407 1168 69.24% 21.82% 8.94%+2.11 +6.3 6
1962-09-01 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-327.5 1168 1407 8.94% 21.82% 69.24%-2.11 -6.3 0
1962-09-01 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-032.9 1258 1237 49.85% 24.71% 25.44%+0.49 +16.2 5
1962-09-01 @ Differdange 03 L 0-332.9 1237 1258 25.44% 24.71% 49.85%-0.49 -16.2 2
1962-09-01 Fola Esch W 4-135.2 1331 1234 58.11% 24.06% 17.82%+1.06 +10.1 6
1962-09-01 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-435.2 1234 1331 17.82% 24.06% 58.11%-1.06 -10.1 3
1962-09-01 US Dudelange D 2-256.7 1319 1172 62.51% 23.42% 14.06%+1.42 -1.7 3
1962-09-01 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-256.7 1172 1319 14.06% 23.42% 62.51%-1.42 +1.7 1
1962-09-01 The Belval Belvaux W 1-034.2 1301 1140 63.69% 23.21% 13.11%+1.53 +3.3 2
1962-09-01 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-134.2 1140 1301 13.11% 23.21% 63.69%-1.53 -3.3 0
1962-09-01 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-256.5 1260 1271 46.00% 24.84% 29.16%+0.26 -0.5 4
1962-09-01 @ Stade Dudelange D 2-256.5 1271 1260 29.16% 24.84% 46.00%-0.26 +0.5 4
1962-09-08 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.5 1271 1341 37.88% 24.88% 37.24%-0.18 -0.0 5
1962-09-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.5 1341 1271 37.24% 24.88% 37.88%+0.18 +0.0 7
1962-09-08 Spora Luxembourg W 4-033.9 1274 1304 43.39% 24.89% 31.72%+0.11 +25.2 7
1962-09-08 @ Differdange 03 L 0-433.9 1304 1274 31.72% 24.89% 43.39%-0.11 -25.2 2
1962-09-08 Avenir Beggen W 5-134.2 1221 1162 54.28% 24.44% 21.28%+0.78 +15.2 4
1962-09-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-534.2 1162 1221 21.28% 24.44% 54.28%-0.78 -15.2 0
1962-09-08 Union Luxembourg L 0-141.4 1223 1317 34.55% 24.82% 40.63%-0.36 -7.5 3
1962-09-08 @ Fola Esch W 1-041.4 1317 1223 40.63% 24.82% 34.55%+0.36 +7.5 5
1962-09-08 Stade Dudelange L 0-532.8 1137 1260 30.66% 24.68% 44.67%-0.58 -30.2 0
1962-09-08 @ The Belval Belvaux W 5-032.8 1260 1137 44.67% 24.68% 30.66%+0.58 +30.2 6
1962-09-08 Alliance Dudelange L 1-240.3 1174 1413 18.24% 23.47% 58.29%-1.44 -4.2 1
1962-09-08 @ US Dudelange W 2-140.3 1413 1174 58.29% 23.47% 18.24%+1.44 +4.2 8
1962-09-15 Fola Esch W 2-138.1 1417 1216 66.72% 22.53% 10.75%+1.83 +2.6 10
1962-09-15 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-238.1 1216 1417 10.75% 22.53% 66.72%-1.83 -2.6 3
1962-09-15 US Dudelange W 2-143.7 1146 1170 44.27% 24.88% 30.86%+0.16 +6.5 2
1962-09-15 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-243.7 1170 1146 30.86% 24.88% 44.27%-0.16 -6.5 1
1962-09-15 The Belval Belvaux W 3-241.0 1341 1107 68.92% 21.92% 9.16%+2.07 +2.1 9
1962-09-15 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-341.0 1107 1341 9.16% 21.92% 68.92%-2.07 -2.1 0
1962-09-15 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-251.2 1324 1271 53.60% 24.49% 21.92%+0.73 -10.2 5
1962-09-15 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-151.2 1271 1324 21.92% 24.49% 53.60%-0.73 +10.2 7
1962-09-15 FC Schifflange 95 W 6-134.3 1279 1236 52.42% 24.57% 23.01%+0.65 +19.9 4
1962-09-15 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-634.3 1236 1279 23.01% 24.57% 52.42%-0.65 -19.9 4
1962-09-15 Differdange 03 L 0-242.1 1290 1300 46.08% 24.84% 29.08%+0.26 -17.8 6
1962-09-15 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-042.1 1300 1290 29.08% 24.84% 46.08%-0.26 +17.8 9
1962-09-22 Alliance Dudelange W 3-040.8 1281 1420 28.67% 24.57% 46.76%-0.70 +26.1 9
1962-09-22 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-340.8 1420 1281 46.76% 24.57% 28.67%+0.70 -26.1 10
1962-09-22 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.9 1317 1343 43.97% 24.88% 31.14%+0.14 -0.6 10
1962-09-22 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.9 1343 1317 31.14% 24.88% 43.97%-0.14 +0.6 10
1962-09-22 Avenir Beggen L 1-250.7 1213 1153 54.37% 24.43% 21.20%+0.78 -10.3 3
1962-09-22 @ Fola Esch W 2-150.7 1153 1213 21.20% 24.43% 54.37%-0.78 +10.3 4
1962-09-22 Stade Dudelange L 1-250.2 1299 1272 50.59% 24.68% 24.74%+0.53 -9.7 4
1962-09-22 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-150.2 1272 1299 24.74% 24.68% 50.59%-0.53 +9.6 8
1962-09-22 Union Luxembourg L 1-435.6 1105 1314 20.93% 23.87% 55.20%-1.22 -11.5 0
1962-09-22 @ The Belval Belvaux W 4-135.6 1314 1105 55.20% 23.87% 20.93%+1.22 +11.5 7
1962-09-22 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-256.1 1163 1217 40.22% 24.90% 34.88%-0.06 -0.2 2
1962-09-22 @ US Dudelange D 2-256.1 1217 1163 34.88% 24.90% 40.22%+0.06 +0.2 5
1962-09-29 The Belval Belvaux W 3-026.0 1394 1093 72.85% 20.54% 6.62%+2.57 +4.6 12
1962-09-29 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-326.0 1093 1394 6.62% 20.54% 72.85%-2.57 -4.6 0
1962-09-29 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-340.4 1163 1307 28.01% 24.53% 47.46%-0.74 -10.4 4
1962-09-29 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-140.4 1307 1163 47.46% 24.53% 28.01%+0.74 +10.4 11
1962-09-29 Stade Dudelange W 3-036.3 1217 1282 38.54% 24.89% 36.57%-0.15 +21.5 7
1962-09-29 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-336.3 1282 1217 36.57% 24.89% 38.54%+0.15 -21.5 8
1962-09-29 Spora Luxembourg D 2-257.2 1344 1290 53.67% 24.48% 21.84%+0.74 -1.1 11
1962-09-29 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-257.2 1290 1344 21.84% 24.48% 53.67%-0.74 +1.1 5
1962-09-29 Differdange 03 W 3-141.1 1326 1317 48.42% 24.77% 26.81%+0.40 +10.1 9
1962-09-29 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-341.1 1317 1326 26.81% 24.77% 48.42%-0.40 -10.1 10
1962-09-29 Fola Esch W 3-035.0 1163 1203 42.06% 24.90% 33.04%+0.04 +19.9 4
1962-09-29 @ US Dudelange L 0-335.0 1203 1163 33.04% 24.90% 42.06%-0.04 -19.9 3
1962-10-06 US Dudelange L 1-447.9 1318 1183 61.53% 23.59% 14.88%+1.34 -28.4 11
1962-10-06 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-147.9 1183 1318 14.88% 23.59% 61.53%-1.34 +28.4 6
1962-10-06 Alliance Dudelange W 2-041.5 1307 1399 34.79% 24.83% 40.38%-0.35 +16.0 12
1962-10-06 @ Differdange 03 L 0-241.5 1399 1307 40.38% 24.83% 34.79%+0.35 -16.0 12
1962-10-06 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-249.6 1183 1238 39.96% 24.90% 35.14%-0.08 +6.8 5
1962-10-06 @ Fola Esch L 2-349.6 1238 1183 35.14% 24.90% 39.96%+0.08 -6.8 7
1962-10-06 Union Luxembourg L 0-338.4 1291 1336 41.31% 24.90% 33.78%+0.00 -23.6 5
1962-10-06 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-038.4 1336 1291 33.78% 24.90% 41.31%+0.00 +23.6 11
1962-10-06 Jeunesse Esch L 1-441.2 1260 1343 36.13% 24.86% 39.02%-0.28 -18.0 8
1962-10-06 @ Stade Dudelange W 4-141.2 1343 1260 39.02% 24.86% 36.13%+0.28 +18.0 13
1962-10-06 Avenir Beggen L 1-343.4 1089 1153 38.68% 24.89% 36.43%-0.14 -13.4 0
1962-10-06 @ The Belval Belvaux W 3-143.4 1153 1089 36.43% 24.89% 38.68%+0.14 +13.4 6
1962-10-20 Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.2 1383 1267 59.84% 23.84% 16.32%+1.19 -2.0 13
1962-10-20 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-153.2 1267 1383 16.32% 23.84% 59.84%-1.19 +2.0 6
1962-10-20 Differdange 03 L 0-235.6 1166 1323 26.54% 24.43% 49.03%-0.83 -11.5 6
1962-10-20 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-035.6 1323 1166 49.03% 24.43% 26.54%+0.83 +11.5 14
1962-10-20 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.5 1231 1361 29.87% 24.64% 45.49%-0.62 +0.7 8
1962-10-20 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.5 1361 1231 45.49% 24.64% 29.87%+0.62 -0.7 14
1962-10-20 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-151.9 1190 1289 33.74% 24.80% 41.46%-0.40 +0.3 6
1962-10-20 @ Fola Esch D 1-151.9 1289 1190 41.46% 24.80% 33.74%+0.40 -0.3 12
1962-10-20 Stade Dudelange W 4-029.1 1360 1242 59.97% 23.82% 16.20%+1.20 +14.4 13
1962-10-20 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-429.1 1242 1360 16.20% 23.82% 59.97%-1.20 -14.4 8
1962-10-20 The Belval Belvaux W 4-027.7 1211 1075 61.66% 23.57% 14.77%+1.35 +13.3 8
1962-10-20 @ US Dudelange L 0-427.7 1075 1211 14.77% 23.57% 61.66%-1.35 -13.3 0
1962-11-17 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-147.1 1289 1232 53.99% 24.46% 21.55%+0.76 -10.9 12
1962-11-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-047.1 1232 1289 21.55% 24.46% 53.99%-0.76 +10.9 10
1962-11-17 US Dudelange W 5-133.2 1334 1225 59.28% 23.92% 16.80%+1.15 +12.4 16
1962-11-17 @ Differdange 03 L 1-533.2 1225 1334 16.80% 23.92% 59.28%-1.15 -12.4 8
1962-11-17 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.9 1360 1374 45.49% 24.86% 29.65%+0.23 -0.7 15
1962-11-17 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.9 1374 1360 29.65% 24.86% 45.49%-0.23 +0.7 14
1962-11-17 Avenir Beggen W 3-136.6 1269 1155 59.73% 23.86% 16.41%+1.18 +6.7 8
1962-11-17 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-336.6 1155 1269 16.41% 23.86% 59.73%-1.18 -6.7 6
1962-11-17 Alliance Dudelange D 4-463.9 1228 1381 27.02% 24.46% 48.52%-0.80 +0.5 9
1962-11-17 @ Stade Dudelange D 4-463.9 1381 1228 48.52% 24.46% 27.02%+0.80 -0.5 14
1962-11-17 Fola Esch D 4-462.9 1062 1190 29.96% 24.64% 45.40%-0.62 +0.4 1
1962-11-17 @ The Belval Belvaux D 4-462.9 1190 1062 45.40% 24.64% 29.96%+0.62 -0.4 7
1962-11-24 Jeunesse Esch L 3-459.7 1380 1359 49.87% 24.71% 25.42%+0.49 -8.8 14
1962-11-24 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-359.7 1359 1380 25.42% 24.71% 49.87%-0.49 +8.8 17
1962-11-24 Stade Dudelange L 2-447.0 1148 1228 36.35% 24.86% 38.79%-0.26 -11.4 6
1962-11-24 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-247.0 1228 1148 38.79% 24.86% 36.35%+0.26 +11.4 11
1962-11-24 Union Luxembourg L 1-341.6 1243 1375 29.54% 24.62% 45.84%-0.64 -10.9 10
1962-11-24 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-141.6 1375 1243 45.84% 24.62% 29.54%+0.64 +10.9 16
1962-11-24 Differdange 03 D 0-049.1 1190 1347 26.53% 24.43% 49.04%-0.83 +1.1 8
1962-11-24 @ Fola Esch D 0-049.1 1347 1190 49.04% 24.43% 26.53%+0.83 -1.1 17
1962-11-24 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-136.4 1062 1278 20.33% 23.79% 55.88%-1.27 -4.9 1
1962-11-24 @ The Belval Belvaux W 1-036.4 1278 1062 55.88% 23.79% 20.33%+1.27 +4.9 14
1962-11-24 Spora Luxembourg W 2-145.7 1212 1276 38.79% 24.89% 36.32%-0.14 +7.4 10
1962-11-24 @ US Dudelange L 1-245.7 1276 1212 36.32% 24.89% 38.79%+0.14 -7.4 8
1962-12-08 Stade Dudelange W 1-039.9 1220 1240 44.69% 24.87% 30.44%+0.18 +6.8 12
1962-12-08 @ US Dudelange L 0-139.9 1240 1220 30.44% 24.87% 44.69%-0.18 -6.8 11
1962-12-29 Union Luxembourg W 1-042.1 1371 1386 45.47% 24.86% 29.67%+0.23 +6.7 16
1962-12-29 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-142.1 1386 1371 29.67% 24.86% 45.47%-0.23 -6.7 16
1962-12-29 Differdange 03 W 3-250.9 1283 1346 38.93% 24.89% 36.18%-0.13 +7.0 16
1962-12-29 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-350.9 1346 1283 36.18% 24.89% 38.93%+0.13 -7.0 17
1962-12-29 Jeunesse Esch D 2-256.7 1137 1368 18.93% 23.58% 57.49%-1.39 +1.3 7
1962-12-29 @ Avenir Beggen D 2-256.7 1368 1137 57.49% 23.58% 18.93%+1.39 -1.3 18
1962-12-29 Spora Luxembourg W 3-036.7 1191 1268 36.81% 24.87% 38.32%-0.24 +22.3 10
1962-12-29 @ Fola Esch L 0-336.7 1268 1191 38.32% 24.87% 36.81%+0.24 -22.3 8
1963-02-09 The Belval Belvaux W 6-130.1 1232 1057 64.76% 22.99% 12.25%+1.63 +11.4 12
1963-02-09 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-630.1 1057 1232 12.25% 22.99% 64.76%-1.63 -11.4 1
1963-03-23 FC Schifflange 95 L 2-358.0 1378 1243 61.50% 23.59% 14.90%+1.33 -11.0 16
1963-03-23 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-258.0 1243 1378 14.90% 23.59% 61.50%-1.33 +11.0 14
1963-03-23 The Belval Belvaux W 3-132.8 1339 1046 72.39% 20.72% 6.89%+2.51 +2.9 19
1963-03-23 @ Differdange 03 L 1-332.8 1046 1339 6.89% 20.72% 72.39%-2.51 -2.9 1
1963-03-23 US Dudelange W 3-136.6 1367 1226 61.99% 23.51% 14.49%+1.38 +5.9 20
1963-03-23 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-336.6 1226 1367 14.49% 23.51% 61.99%-1.38 -6.0 12
1963-03-23 Avenir Beggen W 1-032.7 1379 1138 69.35% 21.79% 8.86%+2.12 +2.3 18
1963-03-23 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-132.7 1138 1379 8.86% 21.79% 69.35%-2.12 -2.3 7
1963-03-23 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.1 1246 1290 41.50% 24.90% 33.60%+0.01 -0.3 9
1963-03-23 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.1 1290 1246 33.60% 24.90% 41.50%-0.01 +0.3 17
1963-03-23 Fola Esch D 2-256.2 1233 1213 49.74% 24.72% 25.54%+0.48 -0.8 12
1963-03-23 @ Stade Dudelange D 2-256.2 1213 1233 25.54% 24.72% 49.74%-0.48 +0.8 11
1963-03-30 Stade Dudelange L 2-452.6 1290 1232 54.11% 24.45% 21.44%+0.77 -15.9 17
1963-03-30 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-252.6 1232 1290 21.44% 24.45% 54.11%-0.77 +15.9 14
1963-03-30 Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.3 1136 1367 18.93% 23.58% 57.48%-1.38 +1.8 8
1963-03-30 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-152.3 1367 1136 57.48% 23.58% 18.93%+1.38 -1.8 17
1963-03-30 Differdange 03 L 0-142.0 1254 1341 35.45% 24.84% 39.70%-0.31 -7.7 14
1963-03-30 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-042.0 1341 1254 39.70% 24.84% 35.45%+0.31 +7.7 21
1963-03-30 Jeunesse Esch L 0-333.5 1214 1373 26.32% 24.41% 49.26%-0.84 -16.6 11
1963-03-30 @ Fola Esch W 3-033.5 1373 1214 49.26% 24.41% 26.32%+0.84 +16.6 22
1963-03-30 Spora Luxembourg L 0-331.2 1043 1246 21.62% 23.96% 54.43%-1.17 -14.1 1
1963-03-30 @ The Belval Belvaux W 3-031.2 1246 1043 54.43% 23.96% 21.62%+1.17 +14.1 11
1963-03-30 Union Luxembourg W 3-147.4 1220 1381 26.09% 24.39% 49.52%-0.86 +16.3 14
1963-03-30 @ US Dudelange L 1-347.4 1381 1220 49.52% 24.39% 26.09%+0.86 -16.3 18
1963-04-20 US Dudelange W 4-028.8 1365 1237 60.97% 23.68% 15.35%+1.29 +13.8 19
1963-04-20 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-428.8 1237 1365 15.35% 23.68% 60.97%-1.29 -13.8 14
1963-04-20 FC Schifflange 95 W 8-445.6 1137 1247 32.41% 24.75% 42.84%-0.48 +19.3 10
1963-04-20 @ Avenir Beggen L 4-845.6 1247 1137 42.84% 24.75% 32.41%+0.48 -19.3 14
1963-04-20 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-140.4 1389 1274 59.75% 23.86% 16.39%+1.19 +3.8 24
1963-04-20 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-240.4 1274 1389 16.39% 23.86% 59.75%-1.19 -3.8 17
1963-04-20 Fola Esch W 4-027.6 1365 1197 64.19% 23.11% 12.70%+1.58 +11.5 20
1963-04-20 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-427.6 1197 1365 12.70% 23.11% 64.19%-1.58 -11.5 11
1963-04-20 Differdange 03 D 1-152.5 1260 1349 35.13% 24.83% 40.03%-0.33 +0.2 12
1963-04-20 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.5 1349 1260 40.03% 24.83% 35.13%+0.33 -0.2 22
1963-04-20 The Belval Belvaux W 4-344.6 1248 1029 67.93% 22.21% 9.86%+1.96 +2.2 16
1963-04-20 @ Stade Dudelange L 3-444.6 1029 1248 9.86% 22.21% 67.93%-1.96 -2.2 1
1963-04-27 Union Luxembourg W 2-041.4 1271 1376 32.91% 24.77% 42.32%-0.45 +16.6 19
1963-04-27 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-241.4 1376 1271 42.32% 24.77% 32.91%+0.45 -16.6 20
1963-04-27 Stade Dudelange W 2-033.4 1349 1250 58.24% 24.05% 17.72%+1.07 +8.2 24
1963-04-27 @ Differdange 03 L 0-233.4 1250 1349 17.72% 24.05% 58.24%-1.07 -8.2 16
1963-04-27 Spora Luxembourg D 0-048.7 1227 1260 43.06% 24.89% 32.05%+0.09 -0.5 15
1963-04-27 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 0-048.7 1260 1227 32.05% 24.89% 43.06%-0.09 +0.5 13
1963-04-27 Alliance Dudelange D 0-049.3 1186 1379 22.58% 24.07% 53.35%-1.10 +1.5 12
1963-04-27 @ Fola Esch D 0-049.3 1379 1186 53.35% 24.07% 22.58%+1.10 -1.6 20
1963-04-27 Jeunesse Esch L 3-444.5 1027 1393 9.97% 21.20% 68.83%-2.39 -2.2 1
1963-04-27 @ The Belval Belvaux W 4-344.5 1393 1027 68.83% 21.20% 9.97%+2.39 +2.2 26
1963-04-27 Avenir Beggen W 2-033.6 1223 1157 55.00% 24.38% 20.62%+0.83 +9.4 16
1963-04-27 @ US Dudelange L 0-233.6 1157 1223 20.62% 24.38% 55.00%-0.83 -9.4 10
1963-05-04 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-037.3 1377 1287 57.42% 24.14% 18.44%+1.00 +4.5 22
1963-05-04 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-137.3 1287 1377 18.44% 24.14% 57.42%-1.00 -4.5 19
1963-05-04 Fola Esch W 4-352.4 1147 1187 42.02% 24.90% 33.08%+0.04 +6.3 12
1963-05-04 @ Avenir Beggen L 3-452.4 1187 1147 33.08% 24.90% 42.02%-0.04 -6.3 12
1963-05-04 US Dudelange D 1-151.8 1227 1232 46.60% 24.83% 28.57%+0.29 -0.8 16
1963-05-04 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-151.8 1232 1227 28.57% 24.83% 46.60%-0.29 +0.8 17
1963-05-04 Differdange 03 W 2-037.1 1395 1357 51.88% 24.60% 23.52%+0.62 +10.5 28
1963-05-04 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-237.1 1357 1395 23.52% 24.60% 51.88%-0.62 -10.5 24
1963-05-04 The Belval Belvaux W 5-023.8 1360 1025 74.63% 19.77% 5.60%+2.82 +6.2 22
1963-05-04 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-523.8 1025 1360 5.60% 19.77% 74.63%-2.82 -6.2 1
1963-05-04 Spora Luxembourg L 0-144.4 1242 1261 44.94% 24.87% 30.19%+0.20 -9.2 16
1963-05-04 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-044.4 1261 1242 30.19% 24.87% 44.94%-0.20 +9.2 15
1963-05-11 Avenir Beggen W 4-240.4 1283 1154 61.04% 23.67% 15.30%+1.29 +5.6 21
1963-05-11 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-440.4 1154 1283 15.30% 23.67% 61.04%-1.29 -5.6 12
1963-05-11 Union Luxembourg L 1-642.5 1347 1366 44.82% 24.87% 30.31%+0.19 -33.7 24
1963-05-11 @ Differdange 03 W 6-142.5 1366 1347 30.31% 24.87% 44.82%-0.19 +33.7 24
1963-05-11 US Dudelange D 1-151.7 1181 1233 40.37% 24.90% 34.72%-0.05 -0.2 13
1963-05-11 @ Fola Esch D 1-151.7 1233 1181 34.72% 24.90% 40.37%+0.05 +0.2 18
1963-05-11 Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.2 1270 1406 29.02% 24.59% 46.39%-0.68 +0.8 16
1963-05-11 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.2 1406 1270 46.39% 24.59% 29.02%+0.68 -0.8 29
1963-05-11 FC Schifflange 95 L 3-844.7 1233 1226 48.14% 24.78% 27.07%+0.38 -27.0 16
1963-05-11 @ Stade Dudelange W 8-344.7 1226 1233 27.07% 24.78% 48.14%-0.38 +27.0 18
1963-05-11 Alliance Dudelange W 2-154.1 1018 1382 10.11% 21.26% 68.64%-2.37 +12.7 3
1963-05-11 @ The Belval Belvaux L 1-254.1 1382 1018 68.64% 21.26% 10.11%+2.37 -12.7 22
1963-05-18 Differdange 03 D 0-050.1 1369 1313 53.90% 24.47% 21.64%+0.75 -1.6 23
1963-05-18 @ Alliance Dudelange D 0-050.1 1313 1369 21.64% 24.47% 53.90%-0.75 +1.6 25
1963-05-18 The Belval Belvaux W 2-032.0 1148 1031 59.94% 23.83% 16.23%+1.20 +7.6 14
1963-05-18 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-232.0 1031 1148 16.23% 23.83% 59.94%-1.20 -7.6 3
1963-05-18 Fola Esch W 3-137.9 1253 1181 55.62% 24.32% 20.06%+0.87 +7.9 20
1963-05-18 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-337.9 1181 1253 20.06% 24.32% 55.62%-0.87 -7.9 13
1963-05-18 Stade Dudelange D 2-257.6 1405 1206 66.55% 22.57% 10.88%+1.81 -2.0 30
1963-05-18 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-257.6 1206 1405 10.88% 22.57% 66.55%-1.81 +2.0 17
1963-05-18 Spora Luxembourg L 0-150.0 1400 1270 61.04% 23.67% 15.29%+1.29 -12.2 24
1963-05-18 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-050.0 1270 1400 15.29% 23.67% 61.04%-1.29 +12.2 18
1963-05-18 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-448.5 1233 1288 40.00% 24.90% 35.10%-0.07 -12.3 18
1963-05-18 @ US Dudelange W 4-248.5 1288 1233 35.10% 24.90% 40.00%+0.07 +12.3 23
1963-05-23 Fola Esch L 1-350.1 1301 1173 60.91% 23.69% 15.40%+1.28 -19.9 23
1963-05-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-150.1 1173 1301 15.40% 23.69% 60.91%-1.28 +19.9 15
1963-05-23 Avenir Beggen L 0-149.4 1315 1156 63.53% 23.24% 13.23%+1.52 -12.7 25
1963-05-23 @ Differdange 03 W 1-049.4 1156 1315 13.23% 23.24% 63.53%-1.52 +12.7 16
1963-05-23 FC Schifflange 95 W 5-238.3 1403 1261 62.13% 23.49% 14.38%+1.39 +7.2 32
1963-05-23 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-538.3 1261 1403 14.38% 23.49% 62.13%-1.39 -7.2 20
1963-05-23 Alliance Dudelange W 1-043.6 1283 1368 35.76% 24.85% 39.40%-0.30 +8.3 20
1963-05-23 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-143.6 1368 1283 39.40% 24.85% 35.76%+0.30 -8.3 23
1963-05-23 Union Luxembourg L 1-339.7 1208 1387 23.99% 24.21% 51.80%-1.00 -9.2 17
1963-05-23 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-139.7 1387 1208 51.80% 24.21% 23.99%+1.00 +9.2 26
1963-05-23 US Dudelange D 4-463.1 1024 1221 22.11% 24.01% 53.87%-1.13 +0.8 4
1963-05-23 @ The Belval Belvaux D 4-463.1 1221 1024 53.87% 24.01% 22.11%+1.13 -0.8 19
1963-05-29 Spora Luxembourg W 2-148.0 1168 1291 30.69% 24.68% 44.64%-0.58 +8.6 18
1963-05-29 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-248.0 1291 1168 44.64% 24.68% 30.69%+0.58 -8.6 20
1963-05-29 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-449.7 1254 1281 43.82% 24.88% 31.29%+0.14 -13.2 20
1963-05-29 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 4-249.7 1281 1254 31.29% 24.88% 43.82%-0.14 +13.2 25
1963-05-29 The Belval Belvaux L 2-357.6 1193 1024 64.28% 23.09% 12.63%+1.59 -11.5 15
1963-05-29 @ Fola Esch W 3-257.6 1024 1193 12.63% 23.09% 64.28%-1.59 +11.5 6
1963-05-29 Jeunesse Esch D 3-363.8 1397 1410 45.56% 24.85% 29.58%+0.23 -0.4 27
1963-05-29 @ Union Luxembourg D 3-363.8 1410 1397 29.58% 24.85% 45.56%-0.23 +0.4 33
1963-05-29 Differdange 03 D 0-048.9 1220 1302 36.22% 24.86% 38.92%-0.27 +0.1 20
1963-05-29 @ US Dudelange D 0-048.9 1302 1220 38.92% 24.86% 36.22%+0.27 -0.1 26
1963-06-01 Stade Dudelange D 2-257.1 1359 1199 63.66% 23.21% 13.13%+1.53 -1.8 24
1963-06-01 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-257.1 1199 1359 13.13% 23.21% 63.66%-1.53 +1.8 18
1963-06-08 The Belval Belvaux W 6-025.5 1294 1036 70.40% 21.45% 8.15%+2.25 +10.9 27
1963-06-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-625.5 1036 1294 8.15% 21.45% 70.40%-2.25 -10.9 6
1963-06-08 Fola Esch W 5-028.3 1302 1181 60.27% 23.78% 15.94%+1.23 +17.5 28
1963-06-08 @ Differdange 03 L 0-528.3 1181 1302 15.94% 23.78% 60.27%-1.23 -17.5 15
1963-06-08 Alliance Dudelange W 3-141.2 1411 1357 53.57% 24.49% 21.94%+0.73 +8.6 35
1963-06-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-341.2 1357 1411 21.94% 24.49% 53.57%-0.73 -8.6 24
1963-06-08 FC Schifflange 95 W 5-132.5 1396 1241 63.25% 23.29% 13.46%+1.49 +10.1 29
1963-06-08 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-532.5 1241 1396 13.46% 23.29% 63.25%-1.49 -10.2 20
1963-06-08 US Dudelange W 6-133.6 1282 1221 54.51% 24.42% 21.07%+0.79 +18.5 22
1963-06-08 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-633.6 1221 1282 21.07% 24.42% 54.51%-0.79 -18.5 20
1963-06-08 Avenir Beggen W 4-350.0 1201 1177 50.19% 24.70% 25.12%+0.51 +5.1 20
1963-06-08 @ Stade Dudelange L 3-450.0 1177 1201 25.12% 24.70% 50.19%-0.51 -5.1 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1963-05-11 10.11% @ The Belval Belvaux 1018 2 Alliance Dudelange 1382 1
2 1963-05-29 12.63% The Belval Belvaux 1024 3 @ Fola Esch 1193 2
3 1963-05-23 13.23% Avenir Beggen 1156 1 @ Differdange 03 1315 0
4 1962-10-06 14.88% US Dudelange 1183 4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1318 1
5 1963-03-23 14.90% FC Schifflange 95 1243 3 @ Alliance Dudelange 1378 2
6 1963-05-18 15.29% Spora Luxembourg 1270 1 @ Union Luxembourg 1400 0
7 1963-05-23 15.40% Fola Esch 1173 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1301 1
8 1962-08-18 17.77% Fola Esch 1222 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1320 0
9 1962-09-22 21.20% Avenir Beggen 1153 2 @ Fola Esch 1213 1
10 1963-03-30 21.44% Stade Dudelange 1232 4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1290 2
11 1962-11-17 21.55% FC Schifflange 95 1232 1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1289 0
12 1962-09-15 21.92% Aris Bonnevoie 1271 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1324 1
13 1962-09-22 24.74% Stade Dudelange 1272 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1299 1
14 1962-11-24 25.42% Jeunesse Esch 1359 4 @ Alliance Dudelange 1380 3
15 1963-03-30 26.09% @ US Dudelange 1220 3 Union Luxembourg 1381 1
16 1963-05-11 27.07% FC Schifflange 95 1226 8 @ Stade Dudelange 1233 3
17 1962-09-22 28.67% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1281 3 Alliance Dudelange 1420 0
18 1962-09-15 29.08% Differdange 03 1300 2 @ Stade Dudelange 1290 0
19 1963-05-04 30.19% Spora Luxembourg 1261 1 @ Stade Dudelange 1242 0
20 1963-05-11 30.31% Union Luxembourg 1366 6 @ Differdange 03 1347 1
21 1963-05-29 30.69% @ Avenir Beggen 1168 2 Spora Luxembourg 1291 1
22 1963-05-29 31.29% Aris Bonnevoie 1281 4 @ FC Schifflange 95 1254 2
23 1963-04-20 32.41% @ Avenir Beggen 1137 8 FC Schifflange 95 1247 4
24 1963-04-27 32.91% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1271 2 Union Luxembourg 1376 0
25 1962-10-06 33.78% Union Luxembourg 1336 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1291 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1963-05-11 33.66 Union Luxembourg 6 1366 30.31% @ Differdange 03 1 1347 44.82% 24.87%
2 1962-09-08 30.19 Stade Dudelange 5 1260 44.67% @ The Belval Belvaux 0 1137 30.66% 24.68%
3 1962-08-25 29.79 Differdange 03 4 1228 35.60% @ The Belval Belvaux 0 1170 39.50% 24.90%
4 1962-10-06 28.37 US Dudelange 4 1183 14.88% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1318 61.53% 23.59%
5 1963-05-11 27.04 FC Schifflange 95 8 1226 27.07% @ Stade Dudelange 3 1233 48.14% 24.78%
6 1962-09-22 26.10 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1281 28.67% Alliance Dudelange 0 1420 46.76% 24.57%
7 1962-09-08 25.21 @ Differdange 03 4 1274 43.39% Spora Luxembourg 0 1304 31.72% 24.89%
8 1962-08-25 24.72 Alliance Dudelange 4 1382 44.30% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1262 31.01% 24.69%
9 1962-10-06 23.62 Union Luxembourg 3 1336 33.78% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1291 41.31% 24.90%
10 1962-12-29 22.27 @ Fola Esch 3 1191 36.81% Spora Luxembourg 0 1268 38.32% 24.87%
11 1962-09-29 21.50 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1217 38.54% Stade Dudelange 0 1282 36.57% 24.89%
12 1962-09-15 19.92 @ Spora Luxembourg 6 1279 52.42% FC Schifflange 95 1 1236 23.01% 24.57%
13 1962-09-29 19.91 @ US Dudelange 3 1163 42.06% Fola Esch 0 1203 33.04% 24.90%
14 1963-05-23 19.87 Fola Esch 3 1173 15.40% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1301 60.91% 23.69%
15 1962-08-18 19.56 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1240 52.36% US Dudelange 0 1198 23.07% 24.57%
16 1963-04-20 19.31 @ Avenir Beggen 8 1137 32.41% FC Schifflange 95 4 1247 42.84% 24.75%
17 1963-06-08 18.51 @ Spora Luxembourg 6 1282 54.51% US Dudelange 1 1221 21.07% 24.42%
18 1962-10-06 17.96 Jeunesse Esch 4 1343 39.02% @ Stade Dudelange 1 1260 36.13% 24.86%
19 1962-09-15 17.79 Differdange 03 2 1300 29.08% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1290 46.08% 24.84%
20 1963-06-08 17.53 @ Differdange 03 5 1302 60.27% Fola Esch 0 1181 15.94% 23.78%
21 1963-03-30 16.58 Jeunesse Esch 3 1373 49.26% @ Fola Esch 0 1214 26.32% 24.41%
22 1963-04-27 16.56 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1271 32.91% Union Luxembourg 0 1376 42.32% 24.77%
23 1963-03-30 16.35 @ US Dudelange 3 1220 26.09% Union Luxembourg 1 1381 49.52% 24.39%
24 1962-09-01 16.21 @ Differdange 03 3 1258 49.85% FC Schifflange 95 0 1237 25.44% 24.71%
25 1962-10-06 15.96 @ Differdange 03 2 1307 34.79% Alliance Dudelange 0 1399 40.38% 24.83%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-11-17 63.9 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1228 27.02% Alliance Dudelange 4 1381 48.52% 24.46%
2 1963-05-29 63.8 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1397 45.56% Jeunesse Esch 3 1410 29.58% 24.85%
3 1963-05-23 63.1 @ The Belval Belvaux 4 1024 22.11% US Dudelange 4 1221 53.87% 24.01%
4 1962-11-17 62.9 @ The Belval Belvaux 4 1062 29.96% Fola Esch 4 1190 45.40% 24.64%
5 1962-11-24 59.7 Jeunesse Esch 4 1359 25.42% @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1380 49.87% 24.71%
6 1963-03-23 58.0 FC Schifflange 95 3 1243 14.90% @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1378 61.50% 23.59%
7 1963-05-18 57.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1405 66.55% Stade Dudelange 2 1206 10.88% 22.57%
8 1963-05-29 57.6 The Belval Belvaux 3 1024 12.63% @ Fola Esch 2 1193 64.28% 23.09%
9 1962-09-29 57.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1344 53.67% Spora Luxembourg 2 1290 21.84% 24.48%
10 1963-06-01 57.1 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1359 63.66% Stade Dudelange 2 1199 13.13% 23.21%
11 1962-09-01 56.7 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1319 62.51% US Dudelange 2 1172 14.06% 23.42%
12 1962-12-29 56.7 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1137 18.93% Jeunesse Esch 2 1368 57.49% 23.58%
13 1962-09-01 56.5 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1260 46.00% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1271 29.16% 24.84%
14 1962-08-18 56.3 @ Differdange 03 2 1229 42.84% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1263 32.26% 24.89%
15 1962-08-25 56.3 @ Fola Esch 2 1234 43.93% Stade Dudelange 2 1260 31.18% 24.88%
16 1963-03-23 56.2 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1233 49.74% Fola Esch 2 1213 25.54% 24.72%
17 1962-09-22 56.1 @ US Dudelange 2 1163 40.22% FC Schifflange 95 2 1217 34.88% 24.90%
18 1963-05-11 54.1 @ The Belval Belvaux 2 1018 10.11% Alliance Dudelange 1 1382 68.64% 21.26%
19 1962-11-17 53.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1360 45.49% Union Luxembourg 1 1374 29.65% 24.86%
20 1962-10-20 53.2 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1383 59.84% Spora Luxembourg 1 1267 16.32% 23.84%
21 1963-05-11 53.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1270 29.02% Jeunesse Esch 1 1406 46.39% 24.59%
22 1962-09-22 52.9 @ Differdange 03 1 1317 43.97% Jeunesse Esch 1 1343 31.14% 24.88%
23 1962-08-18 52.7 Alliance Dudelange 3 1375 35.09% @ Union Luxembourg 2 1320 40.01% 24.90%
24 1963-03-30 52.6 Stade Dudelange 4 1232 21.44% @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1290 54.11% 24.45%
25 1962-09-08 52.5 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1271 37.88% Jeunesse Esch 1 1341 37.24% 24.88%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1963-05-04 23.8 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1360 74.63% The Belval Belvaux 0 1025 5.60% 19.77%
2 1963-06-08 25.5 @ Aris Bonnevoie 6 1294 70.40% The Belval Belvaux 0 1036 8.15% 21.45%
3 1962-09-29 26.0 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1394 72.85% The Belval Belvaux 0 1093 6.62% 20.54%
4 1962-09-01 27.5 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1407 69.24% Avenir Beggen 0 1168 8.94% 21.82%
5 1963-04-20 27.6 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1365 64.19% Fola Esch 0 1197 12.70% 23.11%
6 1962-10-20 27.7 @ US Dudelange 4 1211 61.66% The Belval Belvaux 0 1075 14.77% 23.57%
7 1963-06-08 28.3 @ Differdange 03 5 1302 60.27% Fola Esch 0 1181 15.94% 23.78%
8 1963-04-20 28.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1365 60.97% US Dudelange 0 1237 15.35% 23.68%
9 1962-10-20 29.1 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1360 59.97% Stade Dudelange 0 1242 16.20% 23.82%
10 1963-02-09 30.1 @ FC Schifflange 95 6 1232 64.76% The Belval Belvaux 1 1057 12.25% 22.99%
11 1962-08-18 30.7 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1240 52.36% US Dudelange 0 1198 23.07% 24.57%
12 1963-03-30 31.2 Spora Luxembourg 3 1246 54.43% @ The Belval Belvaux 0 1043 21.62% 23.96%
13 1963-05-18 32.0 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1148 59.94% The Belval Belvaux 0 1031 16.23% 23.83%
14 1963-06-08 32.5 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1396 63.25% FC Schifflange 95 1 1241 13.46% 23.29%
15 1963-03-23 32.7 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1379 69.35% Avenir Beggen 0 1138 8.86% 21.79%
16 1962-09-08 32.8 Stade Dudelange 5 1260 44.67% @ The Belval Belvaux 0 1137 30.66% 24.68%
17 1963-03-23 32.8 @ Differdange 03 3 1339 72.39% The Belval Belvaux 1 1046 6.89% 20.72%
18 1962-09-01 32.9 @ Differdange 03 3 1258 49.85% FC Schifflange 95 0 1237 25.44% 24.71%
19 1962-11-17 33.2 @ Differdange 03 5 1334 59.28% US Dudelange 1 1225 16.80% 23.92%
20 1963-04-27 33.4 @ Differdange 03 2 1349 58.24% Stade Dudelange 0 1250 17.72% 24.05%
21 1963-03-30 33.5 Jeunesse Esch 3 1373 49.26% @ Fola Esch 0 1214 26.32% 24.41%
22 1963-04-27 33.6 @ US Dudelange 2 1223 55.00% Avenir Beggen 0 1157 20.62% 24.38%
23 1963-06-08 33.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 6 1282 54.51% US Dudelange 1 1221 21.07% 24.42%
24 1962-09-08 33.9 @ Differdange 03 4 1274 43.39% Spora Luxembourg 0 1304 31.72% 24.89%
25 1962-08-25 34.1 Alliance Dudelange 4 1382 44.30% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1262 31.01% 24.69%