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1963-64 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Aris Bonnevoie

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aris Bonnevoie

7.22 points above expected

33 points · 25.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Avenir Beggen

4.61 points below expected

11 points · 15.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aris Bonnevoie 22 15 3 4 33 55 22 +33 25.78 +7.22
2 Union Luxembourg 22 13 5 4 31 61 31 +30 28.53 +2.47
3 Stade Dudelange 22 13 4 5 30 57 32 +25 22.90 +7.10
4 Differdange 03 22 11 4 7 26 32 27 +5 25.71 +0.29
5 Jeunesse Esch 22 11 3 8 25 38 30 +8 23.80 +1.20
6 Spora Luxembourg 22 10 4 8 24 43 33 +10 24.99 -0.99
7 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 22 9 5 8 23 40 36 +4 23.09 -0.09
8 Alliance Dudelange 22 6 5 11 17 40 50 -10 20.57 -3.57
9 US Dudelange 22 7 3 12 17 33 46 -13 19.05 -2.05
10 FC Schifflange 95 22 5 5 12 15 29 55 -26 17.69 -2.69
11 Progres Niedercorn 22 4 4 14 12 21 57 -36 16.28 -4.28
12 Avenir Beggen 22 4 3 15 11 34 64 -30 15.61 -4.61

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aris Bonnevoie 33 25.78 +7.22
2 Stade Dudelange 30 22.90 +7.10
3 Union Luxembourg 31 28.53 +2.47
4 Jeunesse Esch 25 23.80 +1.20
5 Differdange 03 26 25.71 +0.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Avenir Beggen 11 15.61 -4.61
2 Progres Niedercorn 12 16.28 -4.28
3 Alliance Dudelange 17 20.57 -3.57
4 FC Schifflange 95 15 17.69 -2.69
5 US Dudelange 17 19.05 -2.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aris Bonnevoie 5 Dec 22 – Feb 15 1 in 38
2 Jeunesse Esch 4 Nov 16 – Dec 28 1 in 19
3 US Dudelange 2 Aug 17 – Aug 24 1 in 17
4 Spora Luxembourg 3 Feb 8 – Mar 7 1 in 8
5 Stade Dudelange 3 Dec 28 – Feb 8 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Progres Niedercorn 7 Aug 17 – Sep 28 1 in 403
2 US Dudelange 4 Sep 14 – Oct 12 1 in 50
3 Union Luxembourg 2 Feb 8 – Feb 15 1 in 29
4 Jeunesse Esch 3 Oct 12 – Nov 9 1 in 24
5 Differdange 03 3 Mar 14 – Apr 11 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aris Bonnevoie 9 Aug 24 – Nov 10 1 in 111
2 Union Luxembourg 13 Aug 17 – Dec 22 1 in 55
3 Progres Niedercorn 4 Oct 12 – Nov 16 1 in 33
4 FC Schifflange 95 5 Aug 31 – Sep 28 1 in 27
5 Differdange 03 6 Sep 21 – Nov 16 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 11 Sep 28 – Feb 15 1 in 238
2 Progres Niedercorn 7 Aug 17 – Sep 28 1 in 26
3 Spora Luxembourg 5 Oct 12 – Nov 23 1 in 18
4 FC Schifflange 95 10 Nov 10 – Mar 21 1 in 17
5 US Dudelange 6 Sep 14 – Nov 10 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aris Bonnevoie 1456 33 +36 8 6.9 +1.1
Union Luxembourg 1427 31 +29 8 6.6 +1.4
Stade Dudelange 1430 30 +74 9 6.0 +3.0
Differdange 03 1260 26 -74 3 6.1 -3.1
Jeunesse Esch 1353 25 -5 5 5.6 -0.6
Spora Luxembourg 1310 24 -17 6 6.1 -0.1
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1307 23 -1 5 5.4 -0.4
Alliance Dudelange 1198 17 +48 6 3.6 +2.4
US Dudelange 1153 17 -89 1 4.1 -3.1
FC Schifflange 95 1128 15 +27 5 3.9 +1.1
Progres Niedercorn 1096 12 -12 2 2.9 -0.9
Avenir Beggen 1085 11 -17 2 2.8 -0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB AB D0 FS9 JE JW PN SL SD UD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
0-0-2
2.53
1-1-0
3.33
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
3.48
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.88
Aris Bonnevoie
2-0-0
3.10
 —
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.80
0-0-2
2.93
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
4.18
1-1-0
2.01
Avenir Beggen
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.93
 —
1-0-1
1.56
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
1.57
1-0-1
1.76
1-1-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
2.10
0-0-2
1.19
Differdange 03
1-1-0
3.48
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
4.06
 —
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
2.98
0-2-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.55
0-1-1
2.13
FC Schifflange 95
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
1.95
 —
2-0-0
1.48
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
3.10
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.18
1-1-0
2.14
0-0-2
1.47
Jeunesse Esch
1-0-1
3.72
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
4.05
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
4.15
 —
0-0-2
2.94
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
2.06
Jeunesse Wasserbilig
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
3.87
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.68
 —
1-1-0
3.51
0-0-2
2.79
0-0-2
3.14
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
2.11
Progres Niedercorn
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
1.31
0-1-1
3.04
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
2.11
 —
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
3.18
0-0-2
1.29
Spora Luxembourg
2-0-0
2.93
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
3.57
0-0-2
2.64
1-1-0
3.77
0-0-2
3.04
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
4.10
 —
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
3.67
0-1-1
2.07
Stade Dudelange
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.39
2-0-0
3.34
0-2-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.45
1-1-0
3.12
2-0-0
2.47
1-1-0
3.96
1-0-1
2.78
 —
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.27
US Dudelange
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
1.45
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
3.48
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.93
2-0-0
2.44
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.32
 —
0-0-2
2.03
Union Luxembourg
2-0-0
3.74
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
4.44
1-1-0
3.48
2-0-0
4.16
0-1-1
3.56
0-1-1
3.50
2-0-0
4.34
1-1-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.60
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +5.2
Allowed 0.90 -5.2
Differential 0.97 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%5.68%4.92%1.89%2.27%2.65%20.45%
15.68%5.30%7.20%4.92%2.65%1.89%27.65%
24.92%7.20%8.33%3.03%1.14%1.52%26.14%
31.89%4.92%3.03%1.52%0.38%0.76%12.50%
42.27%2.65%1.14%0.38%——6.44%
5+2.65%1.89%1.52%0.76%——6.82%
Total20.45%27.65%26.14%12.50%6.44%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.83 +0.00
SD 1.58 1.58 2.47
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
1——13.64%9.09%9.09%—31.82%
2—4.55%18.18%9.09%——31.82%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%40.91%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.27 -0.45
SD 1.05 1.35 2.20
CV 0.58 0.59 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
19.09%—9.09%———18.18%
2—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
3—18.18%————18.18%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total27.27%50.00%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.00 +1.50
SD 1.79 0.82 2.22
CV 0.72 0.82 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%9.09%4.55%18.18%
1—9.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%45.45%
24.55%———4.55%4.55%13.64%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%13.64%18.18%18.18%22.73%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.91 -1.36
SD 1.41 1.69 2.44
CV 0.91 0.58 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
118.18%9.09%—4.55%9.09%—40.91%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%27.27%22.73%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.23 +0.23
SD 1.34 1.27 2.02
CV 0.92 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%9.09%27.27%
24.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%13.64%22.73%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.50 -1.18
SD 1.04 1.85 2.22
CV 0.79 0.74 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%——4.55%27.27%
113.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
2—9.09%————9.09%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.36 +0.36
SD 1.80 1.26 2.40
CV 1.04 0.92 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
213.64%4.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%—50.00%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%13.64%45.45%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.64 +0.18
SD 1.14 1.14 1.62
CV 0.63 0.69 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%9.09%45.45%
14.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
2—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%27.27%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.59 -1.64
SD 1.13 1.84 2.32
CV 1.19 0.71 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%————22.73%
19.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
2—4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%31.82%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.50 +0.45
SD 1.56 1.19 1.87
CV 0.80 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%18.18%——4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+9.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
Total22.73%45.45%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.45 +1.14
SD 2.09 1.47 2.70
CV 0.80 1.01 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
1——22.73%4.55%——27.27%
218.18%4.55%9.09%——4.55%36.36%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%18.18%40.91%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.09 -0.59
SD 1.22 1.90 2.50
CV 0.82 0.91 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
14.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
29.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
3—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+9.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
Total36.36%31.82%13.64%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.41 +1.36
SD 2.14 1.76 2.84
CV 0.77 1.25 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aris Bonnevoie 1456 33 25.78 +7.22 99.0% 15 19 23 26 28 32 35
Stade Dudelange 1430 30 22.90 +7.10 97.0% 12 15 20 23 26 30 31
Union Luxembourg 1427 31 28.53 +2.47 77.0% 18 22 26 28 31 35 36
Jeunesse Esch 1353 25 23.80 +1.20 66.0% 14 16 21 24 27 31 34
Spora Luxembourg 1310 24 24.99 -0.99 42.0% 14 17 23 25 27 32 34
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1307 23 23.09 -0.09 57.0% 13 17 21 23 25 30 34
Differdange 03 1260 26 25.71 +0.29 58.0% 17 21 24 26 28 31 33
Alliance Dudelange 1198 17 20.57 -3.57 18.0% 11 13 18 20 23 27 31
US Dudelange 1153 17 19.05 -2.05 33.0% 10 12 16 19 21 27 31
FC Schifflange 95 1128 15 17.69 -2.69 29.0% 9 12 15 18 20 23 28
Progres Niedercorn 1096 12 16.28 -4.28 16.0% 7 9 13 17 19 22 29
Avenir Beggen 1085 11 15.61 -4.61 11.0% 5 10 13 16 18 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.70%
Strong Edge
50.76%18.18%31.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge
140 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
069.34400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
Aris Bonnevoie, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.11 * Some Luck: 3.11 to 4.66 * Lucky: 4.66 to 6.22 * Wild Swing: 6.22 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.58 * Close: 1.58 to 2.37 * Off: 2.37 to 3.16 * Way Off: 3.16 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.82 points
Some Luck
03.8810
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.974
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Aris Bonnevoie
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
11.00%
Avenir Beggen
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 134.27
1.76
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
89%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Some Drama
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Slight Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.30
Weak Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.92
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.077
Well Within Noise
00.1350.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Aris Bonnevoie20.00%16.00%14.00%17.00%6.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%
Union Luxembourg40.00%23.00%13.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Stade Dudelange6.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%
Differdange 0310.00%17.00%15.00%20.00%16.00%14.00%5.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Jeunesse Esch5.00%14.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%—
Spora Luxembourg12.00%10.00%16.00%13.00%18.00%13.00%5.00%7.00%—2.00%—4.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig4.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%12.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%—
Alliance Dudelange1.00%—9.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%18.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%
US Dudelange1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%17.00%22.00%12.00%18.00%8.00%
FC Schifflange 951.00%—2.00%—1.00%4.00%12.00%5.00%19.00%17.00%25.00%14.00%
Progres Niedercorn—1.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%3.00%5.00%18.00%18.00%20.00%32.00%
Avenir Beggen————1.00%—3.00%5.00%15.00%22.00%19.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Aris Bonnevoie 99.00% 1.00%
Differdange 03 99.00% 1.00%
Jeunesse Esch 98.00% 2.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 97.00% 3.00%
Spora Luxembourg 96.00% 4.00%
Stade Dudelange 94.00% 6.00%
Alliance Dudelange 88.00% 12.00%
US Dudelange 74.00% 26.00%
FC Schifflange 95 61.00% 39.00%
Progres Niedercorn 48.00% 52.00%
Avenir Beggen 46.00% 54.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1963-08-17 Jeunesse Esch L 0-339.1 1267 1321 47.31% 19.28% 33.41%+0.11 -41.9 0
1963-08-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-039.1 1321 1267 33.41% 19.28% 47.31%-0.11 +41.9 2
1963-08-17 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-247.3 1277 1292 52.34% 19.25% 28.41%+0.39 +9.0 2
1963-08-17 @ Differdange 03 L 2-347.3 1292 1277 28.41% 19.25% 52.34%-0.39 -9.0 0
1963-08-17 Alliance Dudelange L 2-352.3 1226 1293 45.64% 19.28% 35.08%+0.02 -13.3 0
1963-08-17 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-252.3 1293 1226 35.08% 19.28% 45.64%-0.02 +13.2 2
1963-08-17 Union Luxembourg D 2-258.9 1266 1329 46.15% 19.28% 34.57%+0.05 -0.6 1
1963-08-17 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-258.9 1329 1266 34.57% 19.28% 46.15%-0.05 +0.6 1
1963-08-17 Avenir Beggen W 4-030.6 1213 1195 56.14% 19.20% 24.66%+0.62 +31.8 2
1963-08-17 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-430.6 1195 1213 24.66% 19.20% 56.14%-0.62 -31.8 0
1963-08-17 Progres Niedercorn W 2-038.8 1210 1313 40.47% 19.27% 40.26%-0.24 +25.2 2
1963-08-17 @ US Dudelange L 0-238.8 1313 1210 40.26% 19.27% 40.47%+0.24 -25.2 0
1963-08-24 Stade Dudelange W 3-137.7 1306 1244 60.76% 19.09% 20.15%+0.93 +12.2 4
1963-08-24 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-337.7 1244 1306 20.15% 19.09% 60.76%-0.93 -12.2 2
1963-08-24 Spora Luxembourg L 1-441.5 1163 1265 40.65% 19.27% 40.08%-0.23 -31.1 0
1963-08-24 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-141.5 1265 1163 40.08% 19.27% 40.65%+0.23 +31.1 3
1963-08-24 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-030.2 1286 1213 61.85% 19.05% 19.10%+1.01 +19.4 4
1963-08-24 @ Differdange 03 L 0-330.2 1213 1286 19.10% 19.05% 61.85%-1.01 -19.4 0
1963-08-24 US Dudelange L 0-247.0 1363 1235 66.54% 18.85% 14.62%+1.40 -40.0 2
1963-08-24 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-047.0 1235 1363 14.62% 18.85% 66.54%-1.40 +40.0 4
1963-08-24 Progres Niedercorn W 3-033.0 1283 1288 53.49% 19.24% 27.27%+0.46 +26.5 2
1963-08-24 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-333.0 1288 1283 27.27% 19.24% 53.49%-0.46 -26.5 0
1963-08-24 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-050.6 1329 1225 64.59% 18.95% 16.46%+1.23 -4.1 2
1963-08-24 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-050.6 1225 1329 16.46% 18.95% 64.59%-1.23 +4.1 1
1963-08-31 Avenir Beggen W 3-136.2 1230 1132 64.04% 18.97% 16.99%+1.19 +10.4 3
1963-08-31 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-336.2 1132 1230 16.99% 18.97% 64.04%-1.19 -10.4 0
1963-08-31 Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 1-153.6 1194 1309 38.69% 19.26% 42.05%-0.33 +0.2 1
1963-08-31 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-153.6 1309 1194 42.05% 19.26% 38.69%+0.33 -0.2 3
1963-08-31 Jeunesse Esch L 0-143.6 1262 1323 46.30% 19.28% 34.42%+0.06 -15.0 0
1963-08-31 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-043.6 1323 1262 34.42% 19.28% 46.30%-0.06 +15.0 4
1963-08-31 Alliance Dudelange W 4-138.8 1296 1318 51.45% 19.26% 29.29%+0.34 +23.7 5
1963-08-31 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-438.8 1318 1296 29.29% 19.26% 51.45%-0.34 -23.7 4
1963-08-31 Differdange 03 D 0-050.4 1232 1306 44.69% 19.28% 36.03%-0.03 -0.7 3
1963-08-31 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-050.4 1306 1232 36.03% 19.28% 44.69%+0.03 +0.7 5
1963-08-31 Union Luxembourg L 1-346.4 1275 1325 47.87% 19.28% 32.85%+0.14 -25.2 4
1963-08-31 @ US Dudelange W 3-146.4 1325 1275 32.85% 19.28% 47.87%-0.14 +25.2 4
1963-09-07 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-349.6 1295 1240 60.06% 19.11% 20.83%+0.88 -31.2 4
1963-09-07 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-149.6 1240 1295 20.83% 19.11% 60.06%-0.88 +31.2 5
1963-09-07 US Dudelange L 1-244.3 1122 1250 36.95% 19.24% 43.81%-0.42 -11.7 0
1963-09-07 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-144.3 1250 1122 43.81% 19.24% 36.95%+0.42 +11.7 6
1963-09-07 Spora Luxembourg W 1-038.5 1306 1320 52.46% 19.25% 28.30%+0.40 +10.0 7
1963-09-07 @ Differdange 03 L 0-138.5 1320 1306 28.30% 19.25% 52.46%-0.40 -10.0 5
1963-09-07 Stade Dudelange W 1-038.5 1194 1232 49.46% 19.27% 31.27%+0.23 +10.8 3
1963-09-07 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-138.5 1232 1194 31.27% 19.27% 49.46%-0.23 -10.9 3
1963-09-07 Jeunesse Esch W 2-143.5 1309 1338 50.57% 19.26% 30.17%+0.29 +9.9 5
1963-09-07 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 1-243.5 1338 1309 30.17% 19.26% 50.57%-0.29 -9.9 4
1963-09-07 Progres Niedercorn W 6-029.0 1350 1247 64.57% 18.95% 16.48%+1.23 +32.6 6
1963-09-07 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-629.0 1247 1350 16.48% 18.95% 64.57%-1.23 -32.6 0
1963-09-14 Differdange 03 W 4-139.5 1271 1316 48.48% 19.28% 32.24%+0.17 +25.7 7
1963-09-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-439.5 1316 1271 32.24% 19.28% 48.48%-0.17 -25.7 7
1963-09-14 Union Luxembourg D 0-051.8 1328 1383 47.24% 19.28% 33.48%+0.11 -1.1 5
1963-09-14 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-051.8 1383 1328 33.48% 19.28% 47.24%-0.11 +1.1 7
1963-09-14 Avenir Beggen L 2-649.5 1214 1110 64.62% 18.95% 16.44%+1.24 -52.0 0
1963-09-14 @ Progres Niedercorn W 6-249.5 1110 1214 16.44% 18.95% 64.62%-1.24 +52.0 2
1963-09-14 FC Schifflange 95 D 0-050.4 1310 1205 64.72% 18.94% 16.34%+1.24 -4.2 6
1963-09-14 @ Spora Luxembourg D 0-050.4 1205 1310 16.34% 18.94% 64.72%-1.24 +4.2 4
1963-09-14 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-145.6 1221 1319 41.16% 19.27% 39.56%-0.21 +12.4 5
1963-09-14 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-245.6 1319 1221 39.56% 19.27% 41.16%+0.21 -12.4 5
1963-09-14 Alliance Dudelange L 1-249.8 1262 1263 53.92% 19.23% 26.85%+0.48 -16.2 6
1963-09-14 @ US Dudelange W 2-149.8 1263 1262 26.85% 19.23% 53.92%-0.48 +16.2 6
1963-09-21 Progres Niedercorn W 4-027.7 1280 1162 65.72% 18.89% 15.39%+1.33 +20.9 8
1963-09-21 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-427.7 1162 1280 15.39% 18.89% 65.72%-1.33 -20.9 0
1963-09-21 Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.6 1162 1327 31.99% 19.18% 48.83%-0.68 +1.2 3
1963-09-21 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-153.6 1327 1162 48.83% 19.18% 31.99%+0.68 -1.2 6
1963-09-21 US Dudelange W 2-140.2 1291 1245 59.10% 19.13% 21.77%+0.81 +7.5 9
1963-09-21 @ Differdange 03 L 1-240.2 1245 1291 21.77% 19.13% 59.10%-0.81 -7.5 6
1963-09-21 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.4 1209 1297 42.66% 19.28% 38.06%-0.13 -0.2 5
1963-09-21 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-258.4 1297 1209 38.06% 19.28% 42.66%+0.13 +0.2 8
1963-09-21 Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 2-259.8 1384 1307 62.23% 19.04% 18.72%+1.04 -2.5 8
1963-09-21 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-259.8 1307 1384 18.72% 19.04% 62.23%-1.04 +2.5 6
1963-09-21 Spora Luxembourg W 3-249.4 1233 1306 44.76% 19.28% 35.95%-0.02 +10.9 7
1963-09-21 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-349.4 1306 1233 35.95% 19.28% 44.76%+0.02 -10.9 6
1963-09-28 Stade Dudelange W 6-133.3 1297 1244 59.91% 19.11% 20.98%+0.87 +28.2 10
1963-09-28 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-633.3 1244 1297 20.98% 19.11% 59.91%-0.87 -28.2 7
1963-09-28 Alliance Dudelange W 2-141.4 1326 1300 57.01% 19.18% 23.81%+0.68 +8.1 8
1963-09-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-241.4 1300 1326 23.81% 19.18% 57.01%-0.68 -8.1 8
1963-09-28 Spora Luxembourg L 0-146.5 1309 1295 55.75% 19.20% 25.05%+0.59 -17.8 6
1963-09-28 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 1-046.5 1295 1309 25.05% 19.20% 55.75%-0.59 +17.8 8
1963-09-28 Differdange 03 L 0-139.1 1141 1298 33.07% 19.20% 47.73%-0.62 -11.4 0
1963-09-28 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-039.1 1298 1141 47.73% 19.20% 33.07%+0.62 +11.4 11
1963-09-28 Avenir Beggen W 3-134.2 1381 1163 72.39% 18.38% 9.23%+2.05 +5.9 10
1963-09-28 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-334.2 1163 1381 9.23% 18.38% 72.39%-2.05 -5.9 3
1963-09-28 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-250.6 1238 1209 57.42% 19.17% 23.41%+0.70 -17.2 6
1963-09-28 @ US Dudelange W 2-150.6 1209 1238 23.41% 19.17% 57.42%-0.70 +17.2 7
1963-10-12 Union Luxembourg L 1-443.2 1292 1387 41.66% 19.27% 39.07%-0.18 -31.7 8
1963-10-12 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-143.2 1387 1292 39.07% 19.27% 41.66%+0.18 +31.7 12
1963-10-12 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-037.8 1157 1291 36.13% 19.23% 44.64%-0.46 +39.8 5
1963-10-12 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-337.8 1291 1157 44.64% 19.23% 36.13%+0.46 -39.8 6
1963-10-12 Jeunesse Esch W 1-039.0 1309 1334 51.11% 19.26% 29.63%+0.32 +10.4 13
1963-10-12 @ Differdange 03 L 0-139.0 1334 1309 29.63% 19.26% 51.11%-0.32 -10.4 8
1963-10-12 Progres Niedercorn L 3-460.9 1226 1130 63.94% 18.98% 17.09%+1.18 -17.8 7
1963-10-12 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 4-360.9 1130 1226 17.09% 18.98% 63.94%-1.18 +17.8 2
1963-10-12 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-348.1 1313 1325 52.62% 19.25% 28.14%+0.41 -27.5 8
1963-10-12 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-148.1 1325 1313 28.14% 19.25% 52.62%-0.41 +27.5 12
1963-10-12 US Dudelange W 7-032.3 1216 1221 53.54% 19.23% 27.23%+0.46 +58.6 9
1963-10-12 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-732.3 1221 1216 27.23% 19.23% 53.54%-0.46 -58.6 6
1963-10-19 Alliance Dudelange D 3-362.7 1197 1261 46.03% 19.28% 34.69%+0.04 -0.5 6
1963-10-19 @ Avenir Beggen D 3-362.7 1261 1197 34.69% 19.28% 46.03%-0.04 +0.5 9
1963-10-19 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-351.2 1324 1208 65.56% 18.90% 15.54%+1.32 -34.1 8
1963-10-19 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-151.2 1208 1324 15.54% 18.90% 65.56%-1.32 +34.1 9
1963-10-19 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.9 1252 1353 40.79% 19.27% 39.94%-0.23 -0.1 7
1963-10-19 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 2-258.9 1353 1252 39.94% 19.27% 40.79%+0.23 +0.0 13
1963-10-19 Stade Dudelange D 1-153.4 1148 1274 37.13% 19.24% 43.62%-0.41 +0.5 3
1963-10-19 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.4 1274 1148 43.62% 19.24% 37.13%+0.41 -0.5 10
1963-10-19 Differdange 03 D 1-155.7 1419 1320 64.21% 18.96% 16.83%+1.20 -3.6 13
1963-10-19 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-155.7 1320 1419 16.83% 18.96% 64.21%-1.20 +3.6 14
1963-10-19 Spora Luxembourg D 2-258.3 1162 1285 37.65% 19.25% 43.10%-0.38 +0.3 7
1963-10-19 @ US Dudelange D 2-258.3 1285 1162 43.10% 19.25% 37.65%+0.38 -0.3 9
1963-11-09 Jeunesse Esch W 5-032.1 1274 1290 52.23% 19.25% 28.52%+0.38 +44.3 12
1963-11-09 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-532.1 1290 1274 28.52% 19.25% 52.23%-0.38 -44.3 8
1963-11-10 Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-243.3 1261 1252 55.22% 19.21% 25.57%+0.56 -33.2 9
1963-11-10 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-043.3 1252 1261 25.57% 19.21% 55.22%-0.56 +33.2 9
1963-11-10 US Dudelange W 2-136.6 1353 1162 70.80% 18.54% 10.66%+1.85 +3.9 15
1963-11-10 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-236.6 1162 1353 10.66% 18.54% 70.80%-1.85 -3.9 7
1963-11-10 Avenir Beggen W 4-027.8 1323 1197 66.45% 18.85% 14.69%+1.40 +20.0 16
1963-11-10 @ Differdange 03 L 0-427.8 1197 1323 14.69% 18.85% 66.45%-1.40 -20.0 6
1963-11-10 Union Luxembourg L 1-736.6 1242 1415 30.97% 19.16% 49.87%-0.74 -46.5 9
1963-11-10 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 7-136.6 1415 1242 49.87% 19.16% 30.97%+0.74 +46.5 15
1963-11-10 Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.4 1285 1148 67.22% 18.81% 13.97%+1.47 -3.1 10
1963-11-10 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-258.4 1148 1285 13.97% 18.81% 67.22%-1.47 +3.1 4
1963-11-16 Differdange 03 L 1-245.5 1228 1343 38.72% 19.26% 42.02%-0.33 -12.2 9
1963-11-16 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-145.5 1343 1228 42.02% 19.26% 38.72%+0.33 +12.2 18
1963-11-16 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-035.1 1177 1196 51.78% 19.25% 28.96%+0.36 +19.2 8
1963-11-16 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-235.1 1196 1177 28.96% 19.25% 51.78%-0.36 -19.2 9
1963-11-16 Spora Luxembourg W 1-038.8 1245 1282 49.59% 19.27% 31.14%+0.23 +10.8 10
1963-11-16 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-138.8 1282 1245 31.14% 19.27% 49.59%-0.23 -10.8 10
1963-11-16 US Dudelange L 2-358.1 1285 1159 66.41% 18.86% 14.73%+1.39 -18.9 9
1963-11-16 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-258.1 1159 1285 14.73% 18.86% 66.41%-1.39 +18.9 9
1963-11-16 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-149.7 1151 1357 27.02% 19.07% 53.90%-0.97 +16.2 6
1963-11-16 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-249.7 1357 1151 53.90% 19.07% 27.02%+0.97 -16.2 15
1963-11-16 Stade Dudelange W 2-140.2 1462 1318 67.70% 18.78% 13.52%+1.52 +4.9 17
1963-11-16 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-240.2 1318 1462 13.52% 18.78% 67.70%-1.52 -4.9 12
1963-11-23 FC Schifflange 95 D 2-258.2 1216 1177 58.47% 19.15% 22.38%+0.77 -2.0 10
1963-11-23 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.2 1177 1216 22.38% 19.15% 58.47%-0.77 +2.0 10
1963-11-23 Stade Dudelange L 1-245.1 1196 1313 38.42% 19.26% 42.32%-0.34 -12.1 8
1963-11-23 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-145.1 1313 1196 42.32% 19.26% 38.42%+0.34 +12.1 14
1963-11-23 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-041.1 1256 1340 43.16% 19.28% 37.56%-0.11 +12.6 12
1963-11-23 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-141.1 1340 1256 37.56% 19.28% 43.16%+0.11 -12.6 15
1963-11-23 Differdange 03 W 2-038.8 1266 1356 42.39% 19.28% 38.33%-0.15 +24.2 11
1963-11-23 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-238.8 1356 1266 38.33% 19.28% 42.39%+0.15 -24.2 18
1963-11-23 US Dudelange L 0-242.2 1167 1177 52.90% 19.24% 27.86%+0.42 -31.9 6
1963-11-23 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-042.2 1177 1167 27.86% 19.24% 52.90%-0.42 +31.9 11
1963-11-23 Spora Luxembourg W 1-034.2 1467 1271 71.12% 18.51% 10.37%+1.89 +4.0 19
1963-11-23 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-134.2 1271 1467 10.37% 18.51% 71.12%-1.89 -4.1 10
1963-12-22 Spora Luxembourg L 2-352.7 1214 1267 47.40% 19.28% 33.32%+0.11 -13.7 10
1963-12-22 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-252.7 1267 1214 33.32% 19.28% 47.40%-0.11 +13.7 12
1963-12-22 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-439.9 1184 1328 34.76% 19.22% 46.02%-0.53 -27.3 8
1963-12-22 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-139.9 1328 1184 46.02% 19.22% 34.76%+0.53 +27.3 17
1963-12-22 Stade Dudelange D 1-154.5 1331 1326 54.80% 19.22% 25.98%+0.54 -2.1 19
1963-12-22 @ Differdange 03 D 1-154.5 1326 1331 25.98% 19.22% 54.80%-0.54 +2.1 15
1963-12-22 Progres Niedercorn W 4-027.3 1269 1135 66.95% 18.82% 14.23%+1.44 +19.5 14
1963-12-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-427.3 1135 1269 14.23% 18.82% 66.95%-1.44 -19.5 6
1963-12-22 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-243.0 1290 1179 65.23% 18.92% 15.85%+1.29 +5.4 13
1963-12-22 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 2-343.0 1179 1290 15.85% 18.92% 65.23%-1.29 -5.4 10
1963-12-22 US Dudelange W 2-029.7 1471 1209 74.54% 18.10% 7.36%+2.36 +5.5 21
1963-12-22 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-229.7 1209 1471 7.36% 18.10% 74.54%-2.36 -5.5 11
1963-12-28 Union Luxembourg W 1-046.1 1355 1476 37.94% 19.25% 42.81%-0.37 +14.0 19
1963-12-28 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-146.1 1476 1355 42.81% 19.25% 37.94%+0.37 -14.0 21
1963-12-28 Differdange 03 L 1-537.8 1173 1329 33.17% 19.20% 47.63%-0.62 -34.0 10
1963-12-28 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 5-137.8 1329 1173 47.63% 19.20% 33.17%+0.62 +34.0 21
1963-12-28 Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 2-258.2 1116 1295 30.17% 19.15% 50.68%-0.78 +1.1 7
1963-12-28 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.2 1295 1116 50.68% 19.15% 30.17%+0.78 -1.1 14
1963-12-28 Avenir Beggen W 5-027.4 1281 1156 66.27% 18.86% 14.87%+1.38 +25.0 14
1963-12-28 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-527.4 1156 1281 14.87% 18.86% 66.27%-1.38 -25.0 8
1963-12-28 Alliance Dudelange W 2-137.9 1328 1200 66.51% 18.85% 14.64%+1.40 +5.3 17
1963-12-28 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-237.9 1200 1328 14.64% 18.85% 66.51%-1.40 -5.3 10
1963-12-28 Jeunesse Esch L 1-246.5 1204 1288 43.15% 19.28% 37.57%-0.11 -13.3 11
1963-12-28 @ US Dudelange W 2-146.5 1288 1204 37.57% 19.28% 43.15%+0.11 +13.3 16
1964-01-11 Alliance Dudelange W 6-027.3 1369 1195 69.81% 18.62% 11.56%+1.74 +23.5 21
1964-01-11 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-627.3 1195 1369 11.56% 18.62% 69.81%-1.74 -23.5 10
1964-01-11 Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-243.6 1302 1294 54.95% 19.22% 25.83%+0.55 -33.0 16
1964-01-11 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-043.6 1294 1302 25.83% 19.22% 54.95%-0.55 +33.0 16
1964-01-11 Union Luxembourg L 0-728.7 1117 1462 14.07% 18.45% 67.48%-1.96 -32.4 7
1964-01-11 @ Progres Niedercorn W 7-028.7 1462 1117 67.48% 18.45% 14.07%+1.96 +32.4 23
1964-01-11 Differdange 03 L 0-144.5 1306 1363 46.83% 19.28% 33.89%+0.08 -15.2 14
1964-01-11 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-044.5 1363 1306 33.89% 19.28% 46.83%-0.08 +15.2 23
1964-01-11 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-132.3 1333 1139 71.00% 18.52% 10.48%+1.87 +9.4 19
1964-01-11 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-432.3 1139 1333 10.48% 18.52% 71.00%-1.87 -9.4 10
1964-01-11 Avenir Beggen W 5-133.6 1191 1131 60.52% 19.10% 20.39%+0.92 +22.4 13
1964-01-11 @ US Dudelange L 1-533.6 1131 1191 20.39% 19.10% 60.52%-0.92 -22.4 8
1964-02-08 US Dudelange D 2-258.1 1171 1213 48.94% 19.27% 31.79%+0.20 -0.9 11
1964-02-08 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.1 1213 1171 31.79% 19.27% 48.94%-0.20 +0.9 14
1964-02-08 Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.2 1109 1085 56.87% 19.18% 23.95%+0.67 -2.4 9
1964-02-08 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-153.2 1085 1109 23.95% 19.18% 56.87%-0.67 +2.4 8
1964-02-08 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-147.6 1378 1393 52.40% 19.25% 28.35%+0.39 -16.8 23
1964-02-08 @ Differdange 03 W 1-047.6 1393 1378 28.35% 19.25% 52.40%-0.39 +16.8 23
1964-02-08 Spora Luxembourg L 1-341.0 1130 1291 32.57% 19.19% 48.24%-0.65 -18.3 10
1964-02-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-141.0 1291 1130 48.24% 19.19% 32.57%+0.65 +18.3 16
1964-02-08 Stade Dudelange L 0-243.4 1327 1342 52.31% 19.25% 28.44%+0.39 -31.6 16
1964-02-08 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-043.4 1342 1327 28.44% 19.25% 52.31%-0.39 +31.6 21
1964-02-08 Jeunesse Esch L 1-650.9 1495 1269 72.81% 18.33% 8.86%+2.10 -85.0 23
1964-02-08 @ Union Luxembourg W 6-150.9 1269 1495 8.86% 18.33% 72.81%-2.10 +85.0 18
1964-02-15 FC Schifflange 95 W 5-024.7 1409 1112 76.09% 17.83% 6.08%+2.62 +10.6 25
1964-02-15 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-524.7 1112 1409 6.08% 17.83% 76.09%-2.62 -10.6 10
1964-02-15 Avenir Beggen W 4-237.9 1354 1106 73.86% 18.19% 7.94%+2.25 +4.6 20
1964-02-15 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-437.9 1106 1354 7.94% 18.19% 73.86%-2.25 -4.6 9
1964-02-15 Union Luxembourg W 3-252.5 1296 1410 38.97% 19.26% 41.77%-0.32 +12.3 18
1964-02-15 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 2-352.5 1410 1296 41.77% 19.26% 38.97%+0.32 -12.3 23
1964-02-15 Alliance Dudelange W 3-142.3 1087 1170 43.31% 19.28% 37.41%-0.10 +20.5 10
1964-02-15 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-342.3 1170 1087 37.41% 19.28% 43.31%+0.10 -20.5 11
1964-02-15 Stade Dudelange W 4-247.7 1309 1374 45.83% 19.28% 34.89%+0.03 +17.4 18
1964-02-15 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-447.7 1374 1309 34.89% 19.28% 45.83%-0.03 -17.4 21
1964-02-15 Differdange 03 W 2-040.9 1214 1362 34.27% 19.21% 46.52%-0.56 +28.4 16
1964-02-15 @ US Dudelange L 0-240.9 1362 1214 46.52% 19.21% 34.27%+0.56 -28.4 23
1964-03-07 Jeunesse Esch W 3-147.7 1150 1358 26.71% 19.07% 54.23%-0.99 +28.2 13
1964-03-07 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-347.7 1358 1150 54.23% 19.07% 26.71%+0.99 -28.2 20
1964-03-07 Union Luxembourg L 3-640.1 1102 1397 17.93% 18.72% 63.35%-1.61 -12.4 9
1964-03-07 @ Avenir Beggen W 6-340.1 1397 1102 63.35% 18.72% 17.93%+1.61 +12.4 25
1964-03-07 Progres Niedercorn W 2-028.9 1333 1108 72.79% 18.33% 8.88%+2.10 +6.6 25
1964-03-07 @ Differdange 03 L 0-228.9 1108 1333 8.88% 18.33% 72.79%-2.10 -6.6 10
1964-03-07 US Dudelange D 3-362.6 1101 1242 35.15% 19.22% 45.63%-0.51 +0.5 11
1964-03-07 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 3-362.6 1242 1101 45.63% 19.22% 35.15%+0.51 -0.5 17
1964-03-07 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 4-244.1 1326 1308 56.19% 19.20% 24.61%+0.62 +12.9 20
1964-03-07 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-444.1 1308 1326 24.61% 19.20% 56.19%-0.62 -12.9 18
1964-03-07 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-146.7 1357 1420 46.03% 19.28% 34.69%+0.04 +11.2 23
1964-03-07 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-246.7 1420 1357 34.69% 19.28% 46.03%-0.04 -11.1 25
1964-03-14 Spora Luxembourg W 2-141.5 1409 1339 61.54% 19.06% 19.39%+0.99 +6.8 27
1964-03-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-241.5 1339 1409 19.39% 19.06% 61.54%-0.99 -6.8 20
1964-03-14 Differdange 03 W 4-138.9 1330 1340 52.91% 19.24% 27.84%+0.42 +22.7 22
1964-03-14 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-438.9 1340 1330 27.84% 19.24% 52.91%-0.42 -22.7 25
1964-03-14 Avenir Beggen W 5-235.5 1295 1090 71.70% 18.45% 9.85%+1.96 +7.7 20
1964-03-14 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 2-535.5 1090 1295 9.85% 18.45% 71.70%-1.96 -7.7 9
1964-03-14 Alliance Dudelange W 3-241.2 1410 1178 73.10% 18.29% 8.61%+2.14 +3.0 27
1964-03-14 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-341.2 1178 1410 8.61% 18.29% 73.10%-2.14 -3.0 13
1964-03-14 Stade Dudelange L 2-740.5 1242 1368 37.27% 19.25% 43.49%-0.40 -38.3 17
1964-03-14 @ US Dudelange W 7-240.5 1368 1242 43.49% 19.25% 37.27%+0.40 +38.3 25
1964-03-21 FC Schifflange 95 W 1-036.9 1101 1101 54.07% 19.23% 26.70%+0.49 +9.5 12
1964-03-21 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-136.9 1101 1101 26.70% 19.23% 54.07%-0.49 -9.5 11
1964-04-04 Avenir Beggen W 3-029.3 1175 1082 63.68% 18.99% 17.33%+1.16 +17.8 15
1964-04-04 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-329.3 1082 1175 17.33% 18.99% 63.68%-1.16 -17.8 9
1964-04-04 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-139.9 1416 1303 65.34% 18.91% 15.75%+1.30 +5.6 29
1964-04-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-239.9 1303 1416 15.75% 18.91% 65.34%-1.30 -5.6 20
1964-04-04 Union Luxembourg L 0-241.0 1317 1413 41.57% 19.27% 39.15%-0.19 -25.8 25
1964-04-04 @ Differdange 03 W 2-041.0 1413 1317 39.15% 19.27% 41.57%+0.19 +25.8 29
1964-04-04 Jeunesse Esch W 2-044.4 1092 1353 21.11% 18.87% 60.02%-1.36 +35.9 13
1964-04-04 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-244.4 1353 1092 60.02% 18.87% 21.11%+1.36 -35.9 22
1964-04-04 US Dudelange W 1-033.7 1332 1203 66.62% 18.84% 14.54%+1.41 +5.5 22
1964-04-04 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-133.7 1203 1332 14.54% 18.84% 66.62%-1.41 -5.5 17
1964-04-04 Progres Niedercorn W 3-133.0 1406 1111 75.99% 17.85% 6.16%+2.60 +4.0 27
1964-04-04 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-333.0 1111 1406 6.16% 17.85% 75.99%-2.60 -4.0 12
1964-04-11 Differdange 03 W 3-148.0 1064 1291 24.57% 19.00% 56.43%-1.12 +29.3 11
1964-04-11 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-348.0 1291 1064 56.43% 19.00% 24.57%+1.12 -29.3 25
1964-04-11 Stade Dudelange D 1-155.4 1317 1410 41.90% 19.28% 38.83%-0.17 -0.2 23
1964-04-11 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.4 1410 1317 38.83% 19.28% 41.90%+0.17 +0.2 28
1964-04-11 Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.5 1297 1193 64.65% 18.94% 16.41%+1.24 -2.8 21
1964-04-11 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 2-258.5 1193 1297 16.41% 18.94% 64.65%-1.24 +2.8 16
1964-04-11 Spora Luxembourg L 1-240.6 1107 1338 24.13% 18.99% 56.88%-1.15 -8.2 12
1964-04-11 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-140.6 1338 1107 56.88% 18.99% 24.13%+1.15 +8.2 24
1964-04-11 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-024.9 1439 1128 76.59% 17.74% 5.68%+2.71 +8.1 31
1964-04-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-424.9 1128 1439 5.68% 17.74% 76.59%-2.71 -8.1 13
1964-04-11 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-431.5 1198 1421 24.99% 19.02% 55.99%-1.10 -32.0 17
1964-04-11 @ US Dudelange W 4-031.5 1421 1198 55.99% 19.02% 24.99%+1.10 +32.0 31
1964-04-18 Progres Niedercorn W 3-132.5 1453 1098 78.13% 17.38% 4.49%+3.02 +2.9 33
1964-04-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-332.5 1098 1453 4.49% 17.38% 78.13%-3.02 -2.9 12
1964-04-18 Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.3 1262 1196 61.22% 19.07% 19.70%+0.97 -2.3 26
1964-04-18 @ Differdange 03 D 2-258.3 1196 1262 19.70% 19.07% 61.22%-0.97 +2.3 17
1964-04-18 Avenir Beggen W 2-140.2 1120 1093 57.11% 19.18% 23.71%+0.68 +8.1 15
1964-04-18 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 1-240.2 1093 1120 23.71% 19.18% 57.11%-0.68 -8.1 11
1964-04-18 Jeunesse Esch L 2-551.3 1346 1317 57.46% 19.17% 23.37%+0.70 -36.6 24
1964-04-18 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-251.3 1317 1346 23.37% 19.17% 57.46%-0.70 +36.6 25
1964-04-18 Union Luxembourg W 6-348.9 1410 1447 49.62% 19.27% 31.11%+0.23 +20.0 30
1964-04-18 @ Stade Dudelange L 3-648.9 1447 1410 31.11% 19.27% 49.62%-0.23 -20.0 31
1964-04-18 Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-140.3 1166 1295 36.89% 19.24% 43.87%-0.42 -12.4 17
1964-04-18 @ US Dudelange W 1-040.3 1295 1166 43.87% 19.24% 36.89%+0.42 +12.4 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1964-02-08 8.86% Jeunesse Esch 1269 6 @ Union Luxembourg 1495 1
2 1963-08-24 14.62% US Dudelange 1235 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1363 0
3 1963-11-16 14.73% US Dudelange 1159 3 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1285 2
4 1963-10-19 15.54% FC Schifflange 95 1208 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1324 1
5 1963-09-14 16.44% Avenir Beggen 1110 6 @ Progres Niedercorn 1214 2
6 1963-10-12 17.09% Progres Niedercorn 1130 4 @ FC Schifflange 95 1226 3
7 1963-09-07 20.83% Aris Bonnevoie 1240 3 @ Alliance Dudelange 1295 1
8 1964-04-04 21.11% @ FC Schifflange 95 1092 2 Jeunesse Esch 1353 0
9 1964-04-18 23.37% Jeunesse Esch 1317 5 @ Spora Luxembourg 1346 2
10 1963-09-28 23.41% FC Schifflange 95 1209 2 @ US Dudelange 1238 1
11 1964-04-11 24.57% @ Avenir Beggen 1064 3 Differdange 03 1291 1
12 1963-09-28 25.05% Spora Luxembourg 1295 1 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1309 0
13 1963-11-10 25.57% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1252 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 1261 0
14 1964-01-11 25.83% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1294 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1302 0
15 1964-03-07 26.71% @ Alliance Dudelange 1150 3 Jeunesse Esch 1358 1
16 1963-09-14 26.85% Alliance Dudelange 1263 2 @ US Dudelange 1262 1
17 1963-11-16 27.02% @ Progres Niedercorn 1151 2 Aris Bonnevoie 1357 1
18 1963-11-23 27.86% US Dudelange 1177 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1167 0
19 1963-10-12 28.14% Aris Bonnevoie 1325 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1313 1
20 1964-02-08 28.35% Aris Bonnevoie 1393 1 @ Differdange 03 1378 0
21 1964-02-08 28.44% Stade Dudelange 1342 2 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1327 0
22 1963-08-31 32.85% Union Luxembourg 1325 3 @ US Dudelange 1275 1
23 1963-12-22 33.32% Spora Luxembourg 1267 3 @ Alliance Dudelange 1214 2
24 1963-08-17 33.41% Jeunesse Esch 1321 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1267 0
25 1964-01-11 33.89% Differdange 03 1363 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1306 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1964-02-08 85.01 Jeunesse Esch 6 1269 8.86% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1495 72.81% 18.33%
2 1963-10-12 58.58 @ Stade Dudelange 7 1216 53.54% US Dudelange 0 1221 27.23% 19.23%
3 1963-09-14 52.01 Avenir Beggen 6 1110 16.44% @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1214 64.62% 18.95%
4 1963-11-10 46.46 Union Luxembourg 7 1415 49.87% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1242 30.97% 19.16%
5 1963-11-09 44.31 @ Stade Dudelange 5 1274 52.23% Jeunesse Esch 0 1290 28.52% 19.25%
6 1963-08-17 41.88 Jeunesse Esch 3 1321 33.41% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1267 47.31% 19.28%
7 1963-08-24 39.95 US Dudelange 2 1235 14.62% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1363 66.54% 18.85%
8 1963-10-12 39.81 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1157 36.13% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1291 44.64% 19.23%
9 1964-03-14 38.31 Stade Dudelange 7 1368 43.49% @ US Dudelange 2 1242 37.27% 19.25%
10 1964-04-18 36.57 Jeunesse Esch 5 1317 23.37% @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1346 57.46% 19.17%
11 1964-04-04 35.90 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1092 21.11% Jeunesse Esch 0 1353 60.02% 18.87%
12 1963-10-19 34.07 FC Schifflange 95 3 1208 15.54% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1324 65.56% 18.90%
13 1963-12-28 33.96 Differdange 03 5 1329 47.63% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1173 33.17% 19.20%
14 1963-11-10 33.20 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1252 25.57% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1261 55.22% 19.21%
15 1964-01-11 33.05 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1294 25.83% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1302 54.95% 19.22%
16 1963-09-07 32.57 @ Union Luxembourg 6 1350 64.57% Progres Niedercorn 0 1247 16.48% 18.95%
17 1964-01-11 32.40 Union Luxembourg 7 1462 67.48% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1117 14.07% 18.45%
18 1964-04-11 32.04 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1421 55.99% @ US Dudelange 0 1198 24.99% 19.02%
19 1963-11-23 31.89 US Dudelange 2 1177 27.86% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1167 52.90% 19.24%
20 1963-08-17 31.76 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1213 56.14% Avenir Beggen 0 1195 24.66% 19.20%
21 1963-10-12 31.71 Union Luxembourg 4 1387 39.07% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1292 41.66% 19.27%
22 1964-02-08 31.56 Stade Dudelange 2 1342 28.44% @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1327 52.31% 19.25%
23 1963-09-07 31.19 Aris Bonnevoie 3 1240 20.83% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1295 60.06% 19.11%
24 1963-08-24 31.08 Spora Luxembourg 4 1265 40.08% @ Avenir Beggen 1 1163 40.65% 19.27%
25 1964-04-11 29.30 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1064 24.57% Differdange 03 1 1291 56.43% 19.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1963-10-19 62.7 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1197 46.03% Alliance Dudelange 3 1261 34.69% 19.28%
2 1964-03-07 62.6 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1101 35.15% US Dudelange 3 1242 45.63% 19.22%
3 1963-10-12 60.9 Progres Niedercorn 4 1130 17.09% @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1226 63.94% 18.98%
4 1963-09-21 59.8 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1384 62.23% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1307 18.72% 19.04%
5 1963-08-17 58.9 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1266 46.15% Union Luxembourg 2 1329 34.57% 19.28%
6 1963-10-19 58.9 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1252 40.79% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1353 39.94% 19.27%
7 1964-04-11 58.5 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1297 64.65% Alliance Dudelange 2 1193 16.41% 18.94%
8 1963-09-21 58.4 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1209 42.66% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1297 38.06% 19.28%
9 1963-11-10 58.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1285 67.22% Progres Niedercorn 2 1148 13.97% 18.81%
10 1963-10-19 58.3 @ US Dudelange 2 1162 37.65% Spora Luxembourg 2 1285 43.10% 19.25%
11 1964-04-18 58.3 @ Differdange 03 2 1262 61.22% Alliance Dudelange 2 1196 19.70% 19.07%
12 1963-11-23 58.2 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1216 58.47% FC Schifflange 95 2 1177 22.38% 19.15%
13 1963-12-28 58.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1116 30.17% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1295 50.68% 19.15%
14 1963-11-16 58.1 US Dudelange 3 1159 14.73% @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1285 66.41% 18.86%
15 1964-02-08 58.1 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1171 48.94% US Dudelange 2 1213 31.79% 19.27%
16 1963-10-19 55.7 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1419 64.21% Differdange 03 1 1320 16.83% 18.96%
17 1964-04-11 55.4 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1317 41.90% Stade Dudelange 1 1410 38.83% 19.28%
18 1963-12-22 54.5 @ Differdange 03 1 1331 54.80% Stade Dudelange 1 1326 25.98% 19.22%
19 1963-08-31 53.6 @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1194 38.69% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 1309 42.05% 19.26%
20 1963-09-21 53.6 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1162 31.99% Jeunesse Esch 1 1327 48.83% 19.18%
21 1963-10-19 53.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1148 37.13% Stade Dudelange 1 1274 43.62% 19.24%
22 1964-02-08 53.2 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1109 56.87% Progres Niedercorn 1 1085 23.95% 19.18%
23 1963-12-22 52.7 Spora Luxembourg 3 1267 33.32% @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1214 47.40% 19.28%
24 1964-02-15 52.5 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 3 1296 38.97% Union Luxembourg 2 1410 41.77% 19.26%
25 1963-08-17 52.3 Alliance Dudelange 3 1293 35.08% @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1226 45.64% 19.28%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1964-02-15 24.7 @ Aris Bonnevoie 5 1409 76.09% FC Schifflange 95 0 1112 6.08% 17.83%
2 1964-04-11 24.9 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1439 76.59% FC Schifflange 95 0 1128 5.68% 17.74%
3 1963-12-22 27.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1269 66.95% Progres Niedercorn 0 1135 14.23% 18.82%
4 1964-01-11 27.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 6 1369 69.81% Alliance Dudelange 0 1195 11.56% 18.62%
5 1963-12-28 27.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 1281 66.27% Avenir Beggen 0 1156 14.87% 18.86%
6 1963-09-21 27.7 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1280 65.72% Progres Niedercorn 0 1162 15.39% 18.89%
7 1963-11-10 27.8 @ Differdange 03 4 1323 66.45% Avenir Beggen 0 1197 14.69% 18.85%
8 1964-01-11 28.7 Union Luxembourg 7 1462 67.48% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1117 14.07% 18.45%
9 1964-03-07 28.9 @ Differdange 03 2 1333 72.79% Progres Niedercorn 0 1108 8.88% 18.33%
10 1963-09-07 29.0 @ Union Luxembourg 6 1350 64.57% Progres Niedercorn 0 1247 16.48% 18.95%
11 1964-04-04 29.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1175 63.68% Avenir Beggen 0 1082 17.33% 18.99%
12 1963-12-22 29.7 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1471 74.54% US Dudelange 0 1209 7.36% 18.10%
13 1963-08-24 30.2 @ Differdange 03 3 1286 61.85% FC Schifflange 95 0 1213 19.10% 19.05%
14 1963-08-17 30.6 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1213 56.14% Avenir Beggen 0 1195 24.66% 19.20%
15 1964-04-11 31.5 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1421 55.99% @ US Dudelange 0 1198 24.99% 19.02%
16 1963-11-09 32.1 @ Stade Dudelange 5 1274 52.23% Jeunesse Esch 0 1290 28.52% 19.25%
17 1963-10-12 32.3 @ Stade Dudelange 7 1216 53.54% US Dudelange 0 1221 27.23% 19.23%
18 1964-01-11 32.3 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1333 71.00% FC Schifflange 95 1 1139 10.48% 18.52%
19 1964-04-18 32.5 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1453 78.13% Progres Niedercorn 1 1098 4.49% 17.38%
20 1963-08-24 33.0 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 3 1283 53.49% Progres Niedercorn 0 1288 27.27% 19.24%
21 1964-04-04 33.0 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1406 75.99% Progres Niedercorn 1 1111 6.16% 17.85%
22 1963-09-28 33.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 6 1297 59.91% Stade Dudelange 1 1244 20.98% 19.11%
23 1964-01-11 33.6 @ US Dudelange 5 1191 60.52% Avenir Beggen 1 1131 20.39% 19.10%
24 1964-04-04 33.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1332 66.62% US Dudelange 0 1203 14.54% 18.84%
25 1963-09-28 34.2 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1381 72.39% Avenir Beggen 1 1163 9.23% 18.38%