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1964-65 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Stade Dudelange

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Stade Dudelange

5.06 points above expected

32 points · 26.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Jeunesse Wasserbilig

5.04 points below expected

18 points · 23.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Stade Dudelange 22 13 6 3 32 44 28 +16 26.94 +5.06
2 Union Luxembourg 22 12 7 3 31 47 25 +22 28.78 +2.22
3 Jeunesse Esch 22 11 6 5 28 44 28 +16 24.89 +3.11
4 Aris Bonnevoie 22 12 4 6 28 44 34 +10 27.24 +0.76
5 Spora Luxembourg 22 9 7 6 25 37 30 +7 22.36 +2.64
6 Alliance Dudelange 22 7 7 8 21 35 32 +3 20.51 +0.49
7 Differdange 03 22 8 4 10 20 25 28 -3 21.50 -1.50
8 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 22 6 6 10 18 27 39 -12 23.04 -5.04
9 Rumelange 22 7 3 12 17 27 31 -4 17.97 -0.97
10 US Dudelange 22 3 11 8 17 25 31 -6 18.21 -1.21
11 Rapid Neudorf 22 7 2 13 16 36 54 -18 17.67 -1.67
12 FC Schifflange 95 22 3 5 14 11 24 55 -31 14.89 -3.89

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stade Dudelange 32 26.94 +5.06
2 Jeunesse Esch 28 24.89 +3.11
3 Spora Luxembourg 25 22.36 +2.64
4 Union Luxembourg 31 28.78 +2.22
5 Aris Bonnevoie 28 27.24 +0.76

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 18 23.04 -5.04
2 FC Schifflange 95 11 14.89 -3.89
3 Rapid Neudorf 16 17.67 -1.67
4 Differdange 03 20 21.50 -1.50
5 US Dudelange 17 18.21 -1.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 4 Sep 13 – Oct 18 1 in 47
2 Aris Bonnevoie 6 Jan 23 – Apr 3 1 in 23
3 Rumelange 2 Sep 26 – Oct 10 1 in 19
4 Alliance Dudelange 3 Sep 13 – Oct 10 1 in 14
5 Differdange 03 3 Sep 26 – Oct 18 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Schifflange 95 8 Sep 13 – Nov 29 1 in 171
2 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 5 Sep 26 – Nov 14 1 in 112
3 Differdange 03 4 Dec 19 – Jan 23 1 in 88
4 Spora Luxembourg 4 Aug 22 – Sep 13 1 in 57
5 Rumelange 5 Mar 14 – Apr 10 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 8 Sep 26 – Dec 13 1 in 27
2 Alliance Dudelange 5 Dec 12 – Feb 13 1 in 15
3 Union Luxembourg 11 Oct 10 – Feb 13 1 in 15
4 US Dudelange 4 Jan 9 – Mar 14 1 in 9
5 Differdange 03 5 Sep 5 – Oct 18 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Differdange 03 10 Oct 24 – Mar 14 1 in 72
2 US Dudelange 9 Dec 13 – Apr 3 1 in 30
3 Spora Luxembourg 7 Aug 22 – Oct 18 1 in 28
4 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 8 Jan 23 – Apr 24 1 in 24
5 Rapid Neudorf 8 Sep 26 – Dec 19 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Stade Dudelange 1350 32 +21 9 6.6 +2.4
Union Luxembourg 1352 31 +5 7 6.8 +0.2
Aris Bonnevoie 1334 28 -2 7 6.8 +0.2
Jeunesse Esch 1299 28 +2 5 6.1 -1.1
Spora Luxembourg 1262 25 +13 7 5.5 +1.5
Alliance Dudelange 1188 21 -7 3 4.1 -1.1
Differdange 03 1199 20 +16 7 5.2 +1.8
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1204 18 -24 2 4.6 -2.6
US Dudelange 1139 17 -2 3 3.5 -0.5
Rumelange 1149 17 -12 2 3.7 -1.7
Rapid Neudorf 1147 16 +17 6 4.0 +2.0
FC Schifflange 95 1056 11 -27 2 3.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB D0 FS9 JE JW RN RUM SL SD UD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
1.94
0-2-0
2.30
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.80
1-1-0
3.04
0-2-0
1.78
Aris Bonnevoie
2-0-0
3.66
 —
1-0-1
3.60
2-0-0
4.23
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.91
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
2.81
2-0-0
3.97
0-2-0
2.76
Differdange 03
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
1.88
 —
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.45
0-0-2
3.22
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
3.27
0-1-1
1.95
FC Schifflange 95
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.00
 —
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-1
1.78
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
1.31
0-2-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.24
Jeunesse Esch
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
3.18
2-0-0
4.04
 —
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
3.68
1-1-0
3.03
0-2-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
2.41
Jeunesse Wasserbilig
0-2-0
3.17
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.72
0-0-2
2.44
 —
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.27
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
3.32
0-1-1
1.93
Rapid Neudorf
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.59
2-0-0
2.25
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
2.18
 —
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
1.62
Rumelange
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
1.82
0-0-2
2.20
2-0-0
2.69
 —
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.62
0-2-0
2.79
1-0-1
1.54
Spora Luxembourg
1-1-0
3.18
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.88
0-1-1
2.44
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.27
 —
1-1-0
2.11
0-2-0
3.42
0-1-1
2.12
Stade Dudelange
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
2.66
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-0
4.25
0-2-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.89
0-1-1
3.37
 —
1-1-0
3.95
1-0-1
2.69
US Dudelange
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
1.56
1-1-0
2.20
0-2-0
2.99
0-1-1
1.87
1-1-0
2.16
1-0-1
2.69
0-2-0
2.67
0-2-0
2.06
0-1-1
1.57
 —
0-0-2
1.50
Union Luxembourg
0-2-0
3.71
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.88
1-0-1
3.97
1-1-0
3.36
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.02
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +6.8
Allowed 0.50 -4.7
Differential 0.91 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.82%5.68%1.52%0.76%0.38%21.21%
16.82%13.64%6.44%4.17%4.17%1.14%36.36%
25.68%6.44%4.55%3.03%1.14%0.38%21.21%
31.52%4.17%3.03%0.76%0.38%1.14%10.98%
40.76%4.17%1.14%0.38%0.76%—7.20%
5+0.38%1.14%0.38%1.14%——3.03%
Total21.21%36.36%21.21%10.98%7.20%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.35 1.35 1.89
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
19.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
24.55%—9.09%13.64%——27.27%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%36.36%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.45 +0.14
SD 1.37 0.96 1.55
CV 0.86 0.66 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%40.91%31.82%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.55 +0.45
SD 1.35 1.10 1.65
CV 0.67 0.71 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.73%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
19.09%18.18%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
29.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%54.55%9.09%—13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.27 -0.14
SD 1.08 1.24 1.81
CV 0.95 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%18.18%9.09%—9.09%54.55%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%27.27%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.50 -1.41
SD 0.92 1.92 2.30
CV 0.84 0.77 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%13.64%——9.09%—27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%22.73%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.27 +0.73
SD 1.83 1.24 2.33
CV 0.91 0.98 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%9.09%———27.27%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%31.82%13.64%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.77 -0.55
SD 1.11 1.57 1.60
CV 0.90 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
113.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%13.64%—45.45%
2—4.55%————4.55%
3——4.55%—4.55%9.09%18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%22.73%9.09%27.27%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.45 -0.82
SD 1.36 1.63 1.89
CV 0.83 0.66 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
3———————
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.41 -0.18
SD 1.34 1.26 1.89
CV 1.09 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
14.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%54.55%9.09%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.36 +0.32
SD 1.17 1.22 1.59
CV 0.70 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
118.18%13.64%——4.55%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
3—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.27 +0.73
SD 1.41 1.20 1.64
CV 0.71 0.94 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%9.09%———31.82%
1—13.64%9.09%13.64%——36.36%
29.09%—13.64%———22.73%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%31.82%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.41 -0.27
SD 1.08 1.10 1.35
CV 0.95 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
1—22.73%————22.73%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
3—9.09%————9.09%
44.55%13.64%————18.18%
5+———9.09%——9.09%
Total22.73%54.55%9.09%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.14 +1.00
SD 1.64 0.94 1.75
CV 0.77 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Union Luxembourg 1352 31 28.78 +2.22 75.0% 18 23 26 29 31 35 37
Stade Dudelange 1350 32 26.94 +5.06 95.0% 16 22 25 27 29 32 37
Aris Bonnevoie 1334 28 27.24 +0.76 67.0% 19 21 25 27 29 32 37
Jeunesse Esch 1299 28 24.89 +3.11 83.0% 16 19 22 25 27 30 33
Spora Luxembourg 1262 25 22.36 +2.64 80.0% 13 14 19 23 25 28 31
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1204 18 23.04 -5.04 15.0% 15 17 20 23 26 29 32
Differdange 03 1199 20 21.50 -1.50 45.0% 12 15 18 21 24 28 35
Alliance Dudelange 1188 21 20.51 +0.49 66.0% 13 14 18 20 23 27 30
Rumelange 1149 17 17.97 -0.97 42.0% 9 11 15 18 20 23 28
Rapid Neudorf 1147 16 17.67 -1.67 40.0% 10 12 15 18 20 24 27
US Dudelange 1139 17 18.21 -1.21 48.0% 10 12 15 18 21 26 28
FC Schifflange 95 1056 11 14.89 -3.89 16.0% 7 9 12 14 17 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.70%
Strong Edge
46.97%25.76%27.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
180 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
069.34500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
Stade Dudelange, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.51 * Lucky: 4.51 to 6.01 * Wild Swing: 6.01 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.47 * Close: 1.47 to 2.21 * Off: 2.21 to 2.94 * Way Off: 2.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.83 points
As Expected
03.769
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.844
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Stade Dudelange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
15.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 95.55
1.65
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Slight Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Even
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Rare
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Notable Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.59
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.92
Near-Lock
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.30
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Stade Dudelange20.00%20.00%21.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Union Luxembourg44.00%20.00%15.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%——2.00%1.00%——
Jeunesse Esch7.00%15.00%19.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
Aris Bonnevoie23.00%23.00%20.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%—2.00%———
Spora Luxembourg1.00%4.00%7.00%14.00%21.00%10.00%10.00%18.00%6.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%
Alliance Dudelange1.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%19.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%
Differdange 031.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig2.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%19.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%3.00%1.00%
Rumelange—1.00%2.00%—3.00%8.00%7.00%17.00%17.00%22.00%12.00%11.00%
US Dudelange1.00%1.00%—2.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%20.00%18.00%16.00%
Rapid Neudorf——1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%18.00%16.00%23.00%16.00%
FC Schifflange 95———1.00%—1.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%21.00%51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aris Bonnevoie 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 99.00% 1.00%
Stade Dudelange 99.00% 1.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 96.00% 4.00%
Differdange 03 93.00% 7.00%
Spora Luxembourg 93.00% 7.00%
Alliance Dudelange 88.00% 12.00%
Rumelange 77.00% 23.00%
US Dudelange 66.00% 34.00%
Rapid Neudorf 61.00% 39.00%
FC Schifflange 95 28.00% 72.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1964-08-22 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.1 1170 1316 31.44% 26.86% 41.71%-0.42 +0.2 1
1964-08-22 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.1 1316 1170 41.71% 26.86% 31.44%+0.42 -0.2 1
1964-08-22 Stade Dudelange L 0-147.5 1337 1318 52.63% 26.60% 20.77%+0.49 -6.2 0
1964-08-22 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-047.5 1318 1337 20.77% 26.60% 52.63%-0.49 +6.2 2
1964-08-22 Jeunesse Esch W 1-039.9 1209 1270 42.94% 27.31% 29.75%+0.05 +4.0 2
1964-08-22 @ Differdange 03 L 0-139.9 1270 1209 29.75% 27.31% 42.94%-0.05 -4.0 0
1964-08-22 US Dudelange D 2-256.7 1123 1142 48.35% 27.06% 24.59%+0.28 -0.5 1
1964-08-22 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-256.7 1142 1123 24.59% 27.06% 48.35%-0.28 +0.5 1
1964-08-22 Spora Luxembourg W 1-040.2 1169 1243 41.14% 27.32% 31.54%-0.03 +4.2 2
1964-08-22 @ Rapid Neudorf L 0-140.2 1243 1169 31.54% 27.32% 41.14%+0.03 -4.2 0
1964-08-22 Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 1-343.5 1144 1240 38.20% 27.28% 34.52%-0.15 -7.8 0
1964-08-22 @ Rumelange W 3-143.5 1240 1144 34.52% 27.28% 38.20%+0.15 +7.8 2
1964-08-29 Rumelange L 0-241.5 1123 1136 48.91% 27.02% 24.07%+0.31 -11.0 1
1964-08-29 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 2-041.5 1136 1123 24.07% 27.02% 48.91%-0.31 +11.0 2
1964-08-29 Alliance Dudelange D 0-048.5 1248 1171 58.76% 25.42% 15.82%+0.81 -1.3 3
1964-08-29 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 0-048.5 1171 1248 15.82% 25.42% 58.76%-0.81 +1.3 2
1964-08-29 Rapid Neudorf W 4-132.1 1316 1173 64.70% 23.57% 11.72%+1.18 +4.0 3
1964-08-29 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-432.1 1173 1316 11.72% 23.57% 64.70%-1.18 -4.0 2
1964-08-29 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-142.9 1239 1330 38.83% 27.29% 33.88%-0.12 -4.8 0
1964-08-29 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-042.9 1330 1239 33.88% 27.29% 38.83%+0.12 +4.8 2
1964-08-29 Differdange 03 W 1-034.4 1324 1213 61.94% 24.52% 13.54%+1.00 +2.0 4
1964-08-29 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-134.4 1213 1324 13.54% 24.52% 61.94%-1.00 -2.0 2
1964-08-29 Jeunesse Esch D 0-048.0 1142 1266 34.34% 27.09% 38.56%-0.30 +0.1 2
1964-08-29 @ US Dudelange D 0-048.0 1266 1142 38.56% 27.09% 34.34%+0.30 -0.1 1
1964-09-05 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-251.9 1172 1112 57.04% 25.82% 17.14%+0.72 -6.3 2
1964-09-05 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-151.9 1112 1172 17.14% 25.82% 57.04%-0.72 +6.3 3
1964-09-05 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.1 1335 1320 52.27% 26.65% 21.08%+0.47 -0.8 3
1964-09-05 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.1 1320 1335 21.08% 26.65% 52.27%-0.47 +0.8 4
1964-09-05 Spora Luxembourg W 2-143.0 1211 1234 47.73% 27.11% 25.16%+0.25 +3.3 4
1964-09-05 @ Differdange 03 L 1-243.0 1234 1211 25.16% 27.11% 47.73%-0.25 -3.3 0
1964-09-05 Stade Dudelange D 1-152.4 1266 1326 43.00% 27.31% 29.69%+0.05 -0.3 2
1964-09-05 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.4 1326 1266 29.69% 27.31% 43.00%-0.05 +0.3 5
1964-09-05 Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-143.0 1169 1247 40.66% 27.32% 32.02%-0.05 -5.0 2
1964-09-05 @ Rapid Neudorf W 1-043.0 1247 1169 32.02% 27.32% 40.66%+0.05 +5.0 5
1964-09-05 US Dudelange D 0-047.9 1148 1142 51.13% 26.79% 22.08%+0.41 -0.8 3
1964-09-05 @ Rumelange D 0-047.9 1142 1148 22.08% 26.79% 51.13%-0.41 +0.8 3
1964-09-12 Stade Dudelange L 1-243.3 1143 1327 26.87% 26.26% 46.87%-0.63 -3.4 3
1964-09-12 @ US Dudelange W 2-143.3 1327 1143 46.87% 26.26% 26.87%+0.63 +3.4 7
1964-09-13 Rapid Neudorf L 1-248.8 1118 1164 44.96% 27.26% 27.78%+0.13 -5.1 3
1964-09-13 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 2-148.8 1164 1118 27.78% 27.26% 44.96%-0.13 +5.1 4
1964-09-13 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-145.8 1252 1335 40.04% 27.32% 32.64%-0.07 +4.0 7
1964-09-13 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 1-245.8 1335 1252 32.64% 27.32% 40.04%+0.07 -4.0 3
1964-09-13 Differdange 03 D 1-152.9 1321 1214 61.51% 24.66% 13.84%+0.98 -1.3 5
1964-09-13 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.9 1214 1321 13.84% 24.66% 61.51%-0.98 +1.3 5
1964-09-13 Alliance Dudelange L 0-145.1 1147 1166 48.27% 27.07% 24.66%+0.28 -5.8 3
1964-09-13 @ Rumelange W 1-045.1 1166 1147 24.66% 27.07% 48.27%-0.28 +5.8 4
1964-09-13 Jeunesse Esch L 2-354.3 1231 1265 46.34% 27.20% 26.47%+0.19 -5.0 0
1964-09-13 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-254.3 1265 1231 26.47% 27.20% 46.34%-0.19 +5.0 4
1964-09-26 US Dudelange W 3-137.6 1171 1140 54.08% 26.38% 19.54%+0.56 +4.6 6
1964-09-26 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-337.6 1140 1171 19.54% 26.38% 54.08%-0.56 -4.6 3
1964-09-26 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-136.1 1330 1113 70.55% 21.03% 8.41%+1.59 +1.2 5
1964-09-26 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-236.1 1113 1330 8.41% 21.03% 70.55%-1.59 -1.2 3
1964-09-26 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 4-137.7 1215 1256 45.60% 27.23% 27.17%+0.16 +8.6 7
1964-09-26 @ Differdange 03 L 1-437.7 1256 1215 27.17% 27.23% 45.60%-0.16 -8.6 7
1964-09-26 Union Luxembourg W 3-033.7 1270 1320 44.50% 27.28% 28.22%+0.11 +10.5 6
1964-09-26 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-333.7 1320 1270 28.22% 27.28% 44.50%-0.11 -10.5 5
1964-09-26 Rumelange L 1-251.1 1169 1141 53.66% 26.45% 19.89%+0.54 -6.0 4
1964-09-26 @ Rapid Neudorf W 2-151.1 1141 1169 19.89% 26.45% 53.66%-0.54 +6.0 5
1964-09-26 Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.0 1330 1226 61.28% 24.72% 13.99%+0.96 -1.3 8
1964-09-26 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-153.0 1226 1330 13.99% 24.72% 61.28%-0.96 +1.3 1
1964-10-10 Rapid Neudorf W 2-033.2 1176 1163 52.03% 26.68% 21.29%+0.46 +5.8 8
1964-10-10 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-233.2 1163 1176 21.29% 26.68% 52.03%-0.46 -5.8 4
1964-10-10 Differdange 03 L 0-335.3 1112 1224 35.95% 27.19% 36.86%-0.24 -12.5 3
1964-10-10 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-035.3 1224 1112 36.86% 27.19% 35.95%+0.24 +12.5 9
1964-10-10 Jeunesse Esch L 2-354.5 1247 1281 46.46% 27.19% 26.35%+0.20 -5.0 7
1964-10-10 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-254.5 1281 1247 26.35% 27.19% 46.46%-0.20 +5.0 8
1964-10-10 Stade Dudelange W 4-137.8 1309 1329 48.16% 27.08% 24.76%+0.27 +8.0 7
1964-10-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-437.8 1329 1309 24.76% 27.08% 48.16%-0.27 -8.0 8
1964-10-10 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-143.4 1147 1332 26.74% 26.24% 47.02%-0.64 +13.0 7
1964-10-10 @ Rumelange L 1-443.4 1332 1147 47.02% 26.24% 26.74%+0.64 -13.0 5
1964-10-10 US Dudelange D 3-361.5 1227 1135 60.16% 25.05% 14.79%+0.89 -0.8 2
1964-10-10 @ Spora Luxembourg D 3-361.5 1135 1227 14.79% 25.05% 60.16%-0.89 +0.8 4
1964-10-17 Alliance Dudelange W 1-033.6 1319 1182 64.16% 23.77% 12.07%+1.14 +1.8 7
1964-10-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-133.6 1182 1319 12.07% 23.77% 64.16%-1.14 -1.8 8
1964-10-17 Rapid Neudorf W 4-136.7 1136 1157 47.98% 27.09% 24.93%+0.27 +8.0 6
1964-10-17 @ US Dudelange L 1-436.7 1157 1136 24.93% 27.09% 47.98%-0.27 -8.0 4
1964-10-18 Rumelange W 1-035.0 1237 1160 58.68% 25.44% 15.88%+0.81 +2.4 11
1964-10-18 @ Differdange 03 L 0-135.0 1160 1237 15.88% 25.44% 58.68%-0.81 -2.4 7
1964-10-18 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-237.5 1286 1099 68.22% 22.13% 9.65%+1.42 +2.1 10
1964-10-18 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-437.5 1099 1286 9.65% 22.13% 68.22%-1.42 -2.1 3
1964-10-18 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.1 1226 1317 38.95% 27.30% 33.75%-0.12 -0.1 3
1964-10-18 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.1 1317 1226 33.75% 27.30% 38.95%+0.12 +0.1 8
1964-10-18 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 1-035.4 1321 1242 58.86% 25.39% 15.75%+0.82 +2.3 10
1964-10-18 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-135.4 1242 1321 15.75% 25.39% 58.86%-0.82 -2.3 7
1964-10-24 Differdange 03 W 1-039.6 1180 1239 43.23% 27.31% 29.46%+0.06 +4.0 10
1964-10-24 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-139.6 1239 1180 29.46% 27.31% 43.23%-0.06 -4.0 11
1964-10-24 Stade Dudelange L 1-534.2 1097 1323 22.44% 25.34% 52.22%-0.87 -9.3 3
1964-10-24 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 5-134.2 1323 1097 52.22% 25.34% 22.44%+0.87 +9.3 12
1964-10-24 Spora Luxembourg L 1-251.0 1240 1226 52.09% 26.67% 21.24%+0.46 -5.8 7
1964-10-24 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-151.0 1226 1240 21.24% 26.67% 52.09%-0.46 +5.8 5
1964-10-24 US Dudelange W 2-028.8 1317 1144 67.17% 22.59% 10.24%+1.34 +2.9 10
1964-10-24 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-228.8 1144 1317 10.24% 22.59% 67.17%-1.34 -2.9 6
1964-10-24 Aris Bonnevoie D 4-463.5 1149 1320 28.28% 26.48% 45.24%-0.57 +0.2 5
1964-10-24 @ Rapid Neudorf D 4-463.5 1320 1149 45.24% 26.48% 28.28%+0.57 -0.2 8
1964-10-24 Jeunesse Esch W 2-038.9 1157 1288 33.43% 27.03% 39.54%-0.34 +9.2 9
1964-10-24 @ Rumelange L 0-238.9 1288 1157 39.54% 27.03% 33.43%+0.34 -9.2 10
1964-11-14 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 5-342.8 1320 1234 59.56% 25.21% 15.23%+0.86 +3.1 12
1964-11-14 @ Union Luxembourg L 3-542.8 1234 1320 15.23% 25.21% 59.56%-0.86 -3.1 7
1964-11-14 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-340.1 1141 1320 27.36% 26.34% 46.30%-0.61 -6.0 6
1964-11-14 @ US Dudelange W 3-140.1 1320 1141 46.30% 26.34% 27.36%+0.61 +6.0 10
1964-11-15 Alliance Dudelange W 2-030.9 1279 1184 60.41% 24.98% 14.61%+0.91 +4.1 12
1964-11-15 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-230.9 1184 1279 14.61% 24.98% 60.41%-0.91 -4.1 10
1964-11-15 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-026.9 1232 1088 64.78% 23.55% 11.68%+1.18 +4.8 7
1964-11-15 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-326.9 1088 1232 11.68% 23.55% 64.78%-1.18 -4.8 3
1964-11-15 Rumelange L 2-455.1 1333 1167 66.57% 22.84% 10.59%+1.30 -11.2 12
1964-11-15 @ Stade Dudelange W 4-255.1 1167 1333 10.59% 22.84% 66.57%-1.30 +11.2 11
1964-11-21 Stade Dudelange D 2-257.1 1180 1321 32.00% 26.91% 41.09%-0.40 +0.2 11
1964-11-21 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-257.1 1321 1180 41.09% 26.91% 32.00%+0.40 -0.2 13
1964-11-21 Differdange 03 W 4-133.7 1326 1235 60.09% 25.07% 14.84%+0.89 +5.1 12
1964-11-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-433.7 1235 1326 14.84% 25.07% 60.09%-0.89 -5.1 11
1964-11-21 Union Luxembourg L 1-241.1 1083 1323 21.12% 24.98% 53.89%-0.95 -2.8 3
1964-11-21 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 2-141.1 1323 1083 53.89% 24.98% 21.12%+0.95 +2.8 14
1964-11-21 US Dudelange D 0-048.6 1231 1135 60.53% 24.95% 14.53%+0.92 -1.4 8
1964-11-21 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 0-048.6 1135 1231 14.53% 24.95% 60.53%-0.92 +1.4 7
1964-11-21 Jeunesse Esch L 1-439.3 1149 1283 33.02% 27.00% 39.98%-0.36 -9.9 5
1964-11-21 @ Rapid Neudorf W 4-139.3 1283 1149 39.98% 27.00% 33.02%+0.36 +9.9 14
1964-11-21 Spora Luxembourg D 0-047.9 1178 1237 43.21% 27.31% 29.48%+0.06 -0.4 12
1964-11-21 @ Rumelange D 0-047.9 1237 1178 29.48% 27.31% 43.21%-0.06 +0.4 8
1964-11-28 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-144.4 1293 1331 45.83% 27.22% 26.94%+0.17 +3.5 16
1964-11-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.4 1331 1293 26.94% 27.22% 45.83%-0.17 -3.5 12
1964-11-28 Rapid Neudorf W 3-133.7 1321 1139 67.84% 22.30% 9.86%+1.39 +2.4 15
1964-11-28 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-333.7 1139 1321 9.86% 22.30% 67.84%-1.39 -2.4 5
1964-11-28 Differdange 03 W 2-037.2 1136 1230 38.55% 27.29% 34.16%-0.13 +8.3 9
1964-11-28 @ US Dudelange L 0-237.2 1230 1136 34.16% 27.29% 38.55%+0.13 -8.3 11
1964-11-29 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-137.6 1230 1080 65.20% 23.38% 11.41%+1.21 +1.6 10
1964-11-29 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 1-237.6 1080 1230 11.41% 23.38% 65.20%-1.21 -1.6 3
1964-11-29 Rumelange W 2-029.6 1326 1178 65.14% 23.41% 11.45%+1.21 +3.2 16
1964-11-29 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-229.6 1178 1326 11.45% 23.41% 65.14%-1.21 -3.2 12
1964-11-29 Alliance Dudelange W 2-140.2 1237 1180 56.74% 25.88% 17.38%+0.70 +2.4 10
1964-11-29 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-240.2 1180 1237 17.38% 25.88% 56.74%-0.70 -2.4 11
1964-12-12 Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.2 1329 1178 65.40% 23.31% 11.29%+1.22 -1.1 17
1964-12-12 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-258.2 1178 1329 11.29% 23.31% 65.40%-1.22 +1.1 12
1964-12-12 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-140.0 1324 1328 50.00% 26.92% 23.08%+0.36 +5.3 17
1964-12-12 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-340.0 1328 1324 23.08% 26.92% 50.00%-0.36 -5.3 12
1964-12-13 Differdange 03 D 1-152.6 1296 1221 58.50% 25.48% 16.02%+0.80 -1.2 17
1964-12-13 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.6 1221 1296 16.02% 25.48% 58.50%-0.80 +1.2 12
1964-12-13 Rumelange W 2-031.9 1231 1174 56.71% 25.89% 17.40%+0.70 +4.8 12
1964-12-13 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-231.9 1174 1231 17.40% 25.89% 56.71%-0.70 -4.8 12
1964-12-13 Rapid Neudorf W 2-138.8 1240 1137 61.13% 24.77% 14.10%+0.95 +2.0 12
1964-12-13 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-238.8 1137 1240 14.10% 24.77% 61.13%-0.95 -2.0 5
1964-12-13 FC Schifflange 95 D 0-048.2 1145 1079 57.61% 25.69% 16.70%+0.75 -1.2 10
1964-12-13 @ US Dudelange D 0-048.2 1079 1145 16.70% 25.69% 57.61%-0.75 +1.2 4
1964-12-19 Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 1-151.8 1179 1236 43.43% 27.30% 29.26%+0.07 -0.3 13
1964-12-19 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-151.8 1236 1179 29.26% 27.30% 43.43%-0.07 +0.3 13
1964-12-19 Spora Luxembourg W 5-237.2 1323 1242 59.09% 25.33% 15.57%+0.83 +4.6 14
1964-12-19 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-537.2 1242 1323 15.57% 25.33% 59.09%-0.83 -4.6 12
1964-12-19 Stade Dudelange L 0-142.2 1223 1329 36.78% 27.22% 35.99%-0.20 -4.7 12
1964-12-19 @ Differdange 03 W 1-042.2 1329 1223 35.99% 27.22% 36.78%+0.20 +4.7 19
1964-12-19 US Dudelange W 3-134.3 1295 1143 65.42% 23.30% 11.28%+1.22 +2.8 19
1964-12-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-334.3 1143 1295 11.28% 23.30% 65.42%-1.22 -2.8 10
1964-12-19 Union Luxembourg L 3-545.9 1135 1328 25.83% 26.08% 48.09%-0.69 -4.9 5
1964-12-19 @ Rapid Neudorf W 5-345.9 1328 1135 48.09% 26.08% 25.83%+0.69 +4.9 19
1964-12-19 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-446.6 1169 1080 59.90% 25.12% 14.98%+0.88 -16.2 12
1964-12-19 @ Rumelange W 4-146.6 1080 1169 14.98% 25.12% 59.90%-0.88 +16.2 6
1964-12-26 Rapid Neudorf L 2-453.4 1218 1130 59.75% 25.16% 15.09%+0.87 -10.2 12
1964-12-26 @ Differdange 03 W 4-253.4 1130 1218 15.09% 25.16% 59.75%-0.87 +10.2 7
1965-01-09 Alliance Dudelange L 1-639.5 1096 1178 40.11% 27.32% 32.58%-0.07 -18.2 6
1965-01-09 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 6-139.5 1178 1096 32.58% 27.32% 40.11%+0.07 +18.1 15
1965-01-09 Rapid Neudorf W 4-347.0 1236 1140 60.52% 24.95% 14.53%+0.92 +1.9 15
1965-01-09 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 3-447.0 1140 1236 14.53% 24.95% 60.52%-0.92 -1.9 7
1965-01-09 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.1 1333 1327 51.17% 26.79% 22.04%+0.42 -0.8 20
1965-01-09 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.1 1327 1333 22.04% 26.79% 51.17%-0.42 +0.8 15
1965-01-09 Differdange 03 W 2-141.2 1237 1208 53.80% 26.42% 19.77%+0.55 +2.7 14
1965-01-09 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-241.2 1208 1237 19.77% 26.42% 53.80%-0.55 -2.7 12
1965-01-09 Jeunesse Esch D 0-049.2 1334 1298 54.49% 26.31% 19.20%+0.58 -1.0 20
1965-01-09 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-049.2 1298 1334 19.20% 26.31% 54.49%-0.58 +1.0 20
1965-01-09 Rumelange D 1-151.7 1141 1153 49.02% 27.01% 23.97%+0.31 -0.6 11
1965-01-09 @ US Dudelange D 1-151.7 1153 1141 23.97% 27.01% 49.02%-0.31 +0.7 13
1965-01-23 Rumelange W 3-245.4 1197 1154 55.23% 26.18% 18.59%+0.62 +2.4 17
1965-01-23 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-345.4 1154 1197 18.59% 26.18% 55.23%-0.62 -2.4 13
1965-01-23 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-136.4 1328 1238 59.93% 25.11% 14.96%+0.88 +3.6 17
1965-01-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-336.4 1238 1328 14.96% 25.11% 59.93%-0.88 -3.7 15
1965-01-23 Union Luxembourg L 0-434.5 1205 1332 33.91% 27.06% 39.03%-0.32 -15.7 12
1965-01-23 @ Differdange 03 W 4-034.5 1332 1205 39.03% 27.06% 33.91%+0.32 +15.7 22
1965-01-23 Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.6 1299 1240 56.95% 25.84% 17.21%+0.71 -1.1 21
1965-01-23 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.6 1240 1299 17.21% 25.84% 56.95%-0.71 +1.1 15
1965-01-23 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.0 1138 1078 57.07% 25.81% 17.12%+0.72 -1.1 8
1965-01-23 @ Rapid Neudorf D 1-152.0 1078 1138 17.12% 25.81% 57.07%-0.72 +1.1 7
1965-01-23 US Dudelange D 2-258.5 1332 1140 68.67% 21.93% 9.40%+1.45 -1.2 21
1965-01-23 @ Stade Dudelange D 2-258.5 1140 1332 9.40% 21.93% 68.67%-1.45 +1.2 12
1965-01-30 Stade Dudelange W 2-037.7 1241 1331 38.98% 27.30% 33.73%-0.12 +8.2 17
1965-01-30 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-237.7 1331 1241 33.73% 27.30% 38.98%+0.12 -8.2 21
1965-02-13 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-345.5 1079 1332 20.00% 24.64% 55.35%-1.02 -2.5 7
1965-02-13 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-245.5 1332 1079 55.35% 24.64% 20.00%+1.02 +2.5 19
1965-02-13 Differdange 03 D 1-152.1 1235 1189 55.51% 26.13% 18.37%+0.63 -1.0 16
1965-02-13 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 1-152.1 1189 1235 18.37% 26.13% 55.51%-0.63 +1.0 13
1965-02-13 Jeunesse Esch W 4-135.6 1348 1298 55.99% 26.03% 17.97%+0.66 +6.1 24
1965-02-13 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-435.6 1298 1348 17.97% 26.03% 55.99%-0.66 -6.1 21
1965-02-13 Rapid Neudorf W 4-030.0 1151 1137 52.13% 26.67% 21.20%+0.46 +10.9 15
1965-02-13 @ Rumelange L 0-430.0 1137 1151 21.20% 26.67% 52.13%-0.46 -10.9 8
1965-02-13 Alliance Dudelange D 1-151.7 1141 1199 43.37% 27.31% 29.32%+0.06 -0.4 13
1965-02-13 @ US Dudelange D 1-151.7 1199 1141 29.32% 27.31% 43.37%-0.06 +0.3 18
1965-03-13 Union Luxembourg W 2-036.2 1323 1354 46.80% 27.17% 26.03%+0.21 +6.8 23
1965-03-13 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-236.2 1354 1323 26.03% 27.17% 46.80%-0.21 -6.8 24
1965-03-14 Rumelange W 2-137.3 1334 1162 67.05% 22.64% 10.31%+1.34 +1.4 21
1965-03-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-237.3 1162 1334 10.31% 22.64% 67.05%-1.34 -1.4 15
1965-03-14 FC Schifflange 95 L 0-148.4 1190 1077 62.14% 24.46% 13.40%+1.01 -7.2 13
1965-03-14 @ Differdange 03 W 1-048.4 1077 1190 13.40% 24.46% 62.14%-1.01 +7.2 9
1965-03-14 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-032.1 1292 1234 56.84% 25.86% 17.30%+0.71 +4.8 23
1965-03-14 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-232.1 1234 1292 17.30% 25.86% 56.84%-0.71 -4.8 16
1965-03-14 Alliance Dudelange W 3-249.5 1126 1199 41.37% 27.32% 31.31%-0.02 +3.7 10
1965-03-14 @ Rapid Neudorf L 2-349.5 1199 1126 31.31% 27.32% 41.37%+0.02 -3.7 18
1965-03-14 Spora Luxembourg D 2-256.8 1141 1249 36.51% 27.21% 36.28%-0.22 +0.0 14
1965-03-14 @ US Dudelange D 2-256.8 1249 1141 36.28% 27.21% 36.51%+0.22 +0.0 18
1965-03-20 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-350.1 1196 1336 32.19% 26.93% 40.88%-0.39 -3.8 18
1965-03-20 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-250.1 1336 1196 40.88% 26.93% 32.19%+0.39 +3.8 23
1965-03-20 Jeunesse Esch L 0-833.7 1084 1297 23.74% 25.65% 50.60%-0.79 -22.6 9
1965-03-20 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 8-033.7 1297 1084 50.60% 25.65% 23.74%+0.79 +22.6 25
1965-03-20 Stade Dudelange L 1-343.8 1229 1330 37.52% 27.25% 35.23%-0.18 -7.7 16
1965-03-20 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-143.8 1330 1229 35.23% 27.25% 37.52%+0.18 +7.7 25
1965-03-20 Spora Luxembourg W 3-136.4 1347 1249 60.71% 24.89% 14.40%+0.93 +3.5 26
1965-03-20 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-336.4 1249 1347 14.40% 24.89% 60.71%-0.93 -3.5 18
1965-03-20 US Dudelange W 1-037.6 1130 1141 49.26% 26.99% 23.75%+0.32 +3.3 12
1965-03-20 @ Rapid Neudorf L 0-137.6 1141 1130 23.75% 26.99% 49.26%-0.32 -3.3 14
1965-03-20 Differdange 03 L 1-249.6 1161 1183 47.87% 27.10% 25.03%+0.26 -5.4 15
1965-03-20 @ Rumelange W 2-149.6 1183 1161 25.03% 27.10% 47.87%-0.26 +5.4 15
1965-03-27 Rapid Neudorf W 3-025.7 1339 1133 69.69% 21.45% 8.86%+1.52 +3.6 25
1965-03-27 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-325.7 1133 1339 8.86% 21.45% 69.69%-1.52 -3.5 12
1965-03-27 Alliance Dudelange W 2-033.8 1189 1192 50.14% 26.90% 22.96%+0.37 +6.1 17
1965-03-27 @ Differdange 03 L 0-233.8 1192 1189 22.96% 26.90% 50.14%-0.37 -6.1 18
1965-03-27 Rumelange W 1-032.8 1319 1156 66.39% 22.91% 10.70%+1.29 +1.6 27
1965-03-27 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-132.8 1156 1319 10.70% 22.91% 66.39%-1.29 -1.6 15
1965-03-27 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 5-134.0 1246 1221 53.28% 26.51% 20.22%+0.52 +8.7 20
1965-03-27 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-534.0 1221 1246 20.22% 26.51% 53.28%-0.52 -8.7 16
1965-03-27 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-154.3 1337 1061 74.67% 18.84% 6.48%+1.91 -1.9 26
1965-03-27 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-154.3 1061 1337 6.48% 18.84% 74.67%-1.91 +1.9 10
1965-03-27 Union Luxembourg L 0-233.9 1138 1351 23.71% 25.65% 50.64%-0.80 -6.2 14
1965-03-27 @ US Dudelange W 2-033.9 1351 1138 50.64% 25.65% 23.71%+0.80 +6.2 28
1965-04-03 Jeunesse Esch W 3-252.5 1186 1321 32.84% 26.98% 40.17%-0.36 +4.4 20
1965-04-03 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-352.5 1321 1186 40.17% 26.98% 32.84%+0.36 -4.4 27
1965-04-03 US Dudelange W 2-136.3 1343 1131 70.12% 21.25% 8.64%+1.56 +1.2 27
1965-04-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-236.3 1131 1343 8.64% 21.25% 70.12%-1.56 -1.2 14
1965-04-03 Spora Luxembourg L 1-339.4 1063 1254 26.04% 26.12% 47.84%-0.67 -5.8 10
1965-04-03 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-139.4 1254 1063 47.84% 26.12% 26.04%+0.67 +5.8 22
1965-04-03 Union Luxembourg D 0-048.6 1212 1357 31.62% 26.87% 41.50%-0.42 +0.3 17
1965-04-03 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 0-048.6 1357 1212 41.50% 26.87% 31.62%+0.42 -0.3 29
1965-04-03 Differdange 03 W 1-039.7 1130 1195 42.45% 27.32% 30.23%+0.03 +4.0 14
1965-04-03 @ Rapid Neudorf L 0-139.7 1195 1130 30.23% 27.32% 42.45%-0.03 -4.0 17
1965-04-03 Stade Dudelange L 1-437.5 1154 1336 27.10% 26.30% 46.60%-0.62 -8.5 15
1965-04-03 @ Rumelange W 4-137.5 1336 1154 46.60% 26.30% 27.10%+0.62 +8.5 28
1965-04-10 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-040.1 1191 1344 30.48% 26.75% 42.77%-0.47 +9.8 19
1965-04-10 @ Differdange 03 L 0-240.1 1344 1191 42.77% 26.75% 30.48%+0.47 -9.8 27
1965-04-10 Rapid Neudorf L 1-448.4 1316 1134 67.88% 22.28% 9.84%+1.39 -18.0 27
1965-04-10 @ Jeunesse Esch W 4-148.4 1134 1316 9.84% 22.28% 67.88%-1.39 +18.0 16
1965-04-10 FC Schifflange 95 W 3-131.1 1356 1057 76.17% 17.98% 5.85%+2.04 +1.3 31
1965-04-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-331.1 1057 1356 5.85% 17.98% 76.17%-2.04 -1.3 10
1965-04-10 Rumelange W 1-033.9 1260 1145 62.21% 24.44% 13.35%+1.02 +2.0 24
1965-04-10 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-133.9 1145 1260 13.35% 24.44% 62.21%-1.02 -2.0 15
1965-04-10 Alliance Dudelange W 3-242.7 1344 1190 65.59% 23.23% 11.17%+1.24 +1.5 30
1965-04-10 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-342.7 1190 1344 11.17% 23.23% 65.59%-1.24 -1.5 20
1965-04-10 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-036.8 1130 1213 40.07% 27.32% 32.62%-0.07 +8.0 16
1965-04-10 @ US Dudelange L 0-236.8 1213 1130 32.62% 27.32% 40.07%+0.07 -8.1 17
1965-04-24 Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.8 1189 1262 41.30% 27.32% 31.37%-0.02 -0.2 21
1965-04-24 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-151.8 1262 1189 31.37% 27.32% 41.30%+0.02 +0.2 25
1965-04-24 Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.1 1334 1298 54.53% 26.30% 19.17%+0.58 -0.7 28
1965-04-24 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.1 1298 1334 19.17% 26.30% 54.53%-0.58 +0.7 28
1965-04-24 US Dudelange D 1-152.1 1201 1138 57.26% 25.77% 16.97%+0.73 -1.1 20
1965-04-24 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.1 1138 1201 16.97% 25.77% 57.26%-0.73 +1.1 17
1965-04-24 Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 1-151.7 1056 1205 31.09% 26.82% 42.09%-0.44 +0.3 11
1965-04-24 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-151.7 1205 1056 42.09% 26.82% 31.09%+0.44 -0.3 18
1965-04-24 Stade Dudelange L 3-546.0 1152 1346 25.77% 26.07% 48.16%-0.69 -4.9 16
1965-04-24 @ Rapid Neudorf W 5-346.0 1346 1152 48.16% 26.07% 25.77%+0.69 +4.8 32
1965-04-24 Union Luxembourg W 1-045.7 1143 1358 23.58% 25.62% 50.80%-0.80 +6.0 17
1965-04-24 @ Rumelange L 0-145.7 1358 1143 50.80% 25.62% 23.58%+0.80 -6.0 31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1965-04-10 9.84% Rapid Neudorf 1134 4 @ Jeunesse Esch 1316 1
2 1964-11-15 10.59% Rumelange 1167 4 @ Stade Dudelange 1333 2
3 1965-03-14 13.40% FC Schifflange 95 1077 1 @ Differdange 03 1190 0
4 1964-12-19 14.98% FC Schifflange 95 1080 4 @ Rumelange 1169 1
5 1964-12-26 15.09% Rapid Neudorf 1130 4 @ Differdange 03 1218 2
6 1964-09-05 17.14% FC Schifflange 95 1112 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 1172 1
7 1964-09-26 19.89% Rumelange 1141 2 @ Rapid Neudorf 1169 1
8 1964-08-22 20.77% Stade Dudelange 1318 1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1337 0
9 1964-10-24 21.24% Spora Luxembourg 1226 2 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1240 1
10 1965-04-24 23.58% @ Rumelange 1143 1 Union Luxembourg 1358 0
11 1964-08-29 24.07% Rumelange 1136 2 @ FC Schifflange 95 1123 0
12 1964-09-13 24.66% Alliance Dudelange 1166 1 @ Rumelange 1147 0
13 1965-03-20 25.03% Differdange 03 1183 2 @ Rumelange 1161 1
14 1964-10-10 26.35% Jeunesse Esch 1281 3 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1247 2
15 1964-09-13 26.47% Jeunesse Esch 1265 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1231 2
16 1964-10-10 26.74% @ Rumelange 1147 4 Aris Bonnevoie 1332 1
17 1964-09-13 27.78% Rapid Neudorf 1164 2 @ FC Schifflange 95 1118 1
18 1965-04-10 30.48% @ Differdange 03 1191 2 Aris Bonnevoie 1344 0
19 1964-09-05 32.02% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1247 1 @ Rapid Neudorf 1169 0
20 1965-01-09 32.58% Alliance Dudelange 1178 6 @ FC Schifflange 95 1096 1
21 1965-04-03 32.84% @ Alliance Dudelange 1186 3 Jeunesse Esch 1321 2
22 1964-10-24 33.43% @ Rumelange 1157 2 Jeunesse Esch 1288 0
23 1964-08-29 33.88% Aris Bonnevoie 1330 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1239 0
24 1964-08-22 34.52% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1240 3 @ Rumelange 1144 1
25 1965-03-20 35.23% Stade Dudelange 1330 3 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1229 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-03-20 22.57 Jeunesse Esch 8 1297 50.60% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1084 23.74% 25.65%
2 1965-01-09 18.16 Alliance Dudelange 6 1178 32.58% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1096 40.11% 27.32%
3 1965-04-10 17.96 Rapid Neudorf 4 1134 9.84% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1316 67.88% 22.28%
4 1964-12-19 16.17 FC Schifflange 95 4 1080 14.98% @ Rumelange 1 1169 59.90% 25.12%
5 1965-01-23 15.67 Union Luxembourg 4 1332 39.03% @ Differdange 03 0 1205 33.91% 27.06%
6 1964-10-10 12.95 @ Rumelange 4 1147 26.74% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1332 47.02% 26.24%
7 1964-10-10 12.53 Differdange 03 3 1224 36.86% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1112 35.95% 27.19%
8 1964-11-15 11.19 Rumelange 4 1167 10.59% @ Stade Dudelange 2 1333 66.57% 22.84%
9 1964-08-29 11.04 Rumelange 2 1136 24.07% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1123 48.91% 27.02%
10 1965-02-13 10.90 @ Rumelange 4 1151 52.13% Rapid Neudorf 0 1137 21.20% 26.67%
11 1964-09-26 10.49 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1270 44.50% Union Luxembourg 0 1320 28.22% 27.28%
12 1964-12-26 10.21 Rapid Neudorf 4 1130 15.09% @ Differdange 03 2 1218 59.75% 25.16%
13 1964-11-21 9.91 Jeunesse Esch 4 1283 39.98% @ Rapid Neudorf 1 1149 33.02% 27.00%
14 1965-04-10 9.82 @ Differdange 03 2 1191 30.48% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1344 42.77% 26.75%
15 1964-10-24 9.30 Stade Dudelange 5 1323 52.22% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1097 22.44% 25.34%
16 1964-10-24 9.25 @ Rumelange 2 1157 33.43% Jeunesse Esch 0 1288 39.54% 27.03%
17 1965-03-27 8.73 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 1246 53.28% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 1221 20.22% 26.51%
18 1964-09-26 8.59 @ Differdange 03 4 1215 45.60% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 1256 27.17% 27.23%
19 1965-04-03 8.46 Stade Dudelange 4 1336 46.60% @ Rumelange 1 1154 27.10% 26.30%
20 1964-11-28 8.32 @ US Dudelange 2 1136 38.55% Differdange 03 0 1230 34.16% 27.29%
21 1965-01-30 8.24 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1241 38.98% Stade Dudelange 0 1331 33.73% 27.30%
22 1965-04-10 8.05 @ US Dudelange 2 1130 40.07% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1213 32.62% 27.32%
23 1964-10-17 8.03 @ US Dudelange 4 1136 47.98% Rapid Neudorf 1 1157 24.93% 27.09%
24 1964-10-10 7.99 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1309 48.16% Stade Dudelange 1 1329 24.76% 27.08%
25 1964-08-22 7.82 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 3 1240 34.52% @ Rumelange 1 1144 38.20% 27.28%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1964-10-24 63.5 @ Rapid Neudorf 4 1149 28.28% Aris Bonnevoie 4 1320 45.24% 26.48%
2 1964-10-10 61.5 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1227 60.16% US Dudelange 3 1135 14.79% 25.05%
3 1965-01-23 58.5 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1332 68.67% US Dudelange 2 1140 9.40% 21.93%
4 1964-12-12 58.2 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1329 65.40% Alliance Dudelange 2 1178 11.29% 23.31%
5 1965-04-24 58.1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1334 54.53% Jeunesse Esch 2 1298 19.17% 26.30%
6 1964-11-21 57.1 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1180 32.00% Stade Dudelange 2 1321 41.09% 26.91%
7 1965-03-14 56.8 @ US Dudelange 2 1141 36.51% Spora Luxembourg 2 1249 36.28% 27.21%
8 1964-08-22 56.7 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1123 48.35% US Dudelange 2 1142 24.59% 27.06%
9 1964-11-15 55.1 Rumelange 4 1167 10.59% @ Stade Dudelange 2 1333 66.57% 22.84%
10 1964-10-10 54.5 Jeunesse Esch 3 1281 26.35% @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1247 46.46% 27.19%
11 1964-09-13 54.3 Jeunesse Esch 3 1265 26.47% @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1231 46.34% 27.20%
12 1965-03-27 54.3 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1337 74.67% FC Schifflange 95 1 1061 6.48% 18.84%
13 1964-12-26 53.4 Rapid Neudorf 4 1130 15.09% @ Differdange 03 2 1218 59.75% 25.16%
14 1964-09-05 53.1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1335 52.27% Union Luxembourg 1 1320 21.08% 26.65%
15 1965-01-09 53.1 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1333 51.17% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1327 22.04% 26.79%
16 1964-09-26 53.0 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1330 61.28% Spora Luxembourg 1 1226 13.99% 24.72%
17 1964-09-13 52.9 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1321 61.51% Differdange 03 1 1214 13.84% 24.66%
18 1964-12-13 52.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1296 58.50% Differdange 03 1 1221 16.02% 25.48%
19 1965-01-23 52.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1299 56.95% Spora Luxembourg 1 1240 17.21% 25.84%
20 1965-04-03 52.5 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1186 32.84% Jeunesse Esch 2 1321 40.17% 26.98%
21 1964-09-05 52.4 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1266 43.00% Stade Dudelange 1 1326 29.69% 27.31%
22 1964-08-22 52.1 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1170 31.44% Union Luxembourg 1 1316 41.71% 26.86%
23 1964-10-18 52.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1226 38.95% Union Luxembourg 1 1317 33.75% 27.30%
24 1965-02-13 52.1 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 1235 55.51% Differdange 03 1 1189 18.37% 26.13%
25 1965-04-24 52.1 @ Differdange 03 1 1201 57.26% US Dudelange 1 1138 16.97% 25.77%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-03-27 25.7 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1339 69.69% Rapid Neudorf 0 1133 8.86% 21.45%
2 1964-11-15 26.9 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1232 64.78% FC Schifflange 95 0 1088 11.68% 23.55%
3 1964-10-24 28.8 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1317 67.17% US Dudelange 0 1144 10.24% 22.59%
4 1964-11-29 29.6 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1326 65.14% Rumelange 0 1178 11.45% 23.41%
5 1965-02-13 30.0 @ Rumelange 4 1151 52.13% Rapid Neudorf 0 1137 21.20% 26.67%
6 1964-11-15 30.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1279 60.41% Alliance Dudelange 0 1184 14.61% 24.98%
7 1965-04-10 31.1 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1356 76.17% FC Schifflange 95 1 1057 5.85% 17.98%
8 1964-12-13 31.9 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 1231 56.71% Rumelange 0 1174 17.40% 25.89%
9 1964-08-29 32.1 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1316 64.70% Rapid Neudorf 1 1173 11.72% 23.57%
10 1965-03-14 32.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1292 56.84% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1234 17.30% 25.86%
11 1965-03-27 32.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1319 66.39% Rumelange 0 1156 10.70% 22.91%
12 1964-10-10 33.2 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1176 52.03% Rapid Neudorf 0 1163 21.29% 26.68%
13 1964-10-17 33.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1319 64.16% Alliance Dudelange 0 1182 12.07% 23.77%
14 1964-09-26 33.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1270 44.50% Union Luxembourg 0 1320 28.22% 27.28%
15 1964-11-21 33.7 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1326 60.09% Differdange 03 1 1235 14.84% 25.07%
16 1964-11-28 33.7 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1321 67.84% Rapid Neudorf 1 1139 9.86% 22.30%
17 1965-03-20 33.7 Jeunesse Esch 8 1297 50.60% @ FC Schifflange 95 0 1084 23.74% 25.65%
18 1965-03-27 33.8 @ Differdange 03 2 1189 50.14% Alliance Dudelange 0 1192 22.96% 26.90%
19 1965-03-27 33.9 Union Luxembourg 2 1351 50.64% @ US Dudelange 0 1138 23.71% 25.65%
20 1965-04-10 33.9 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1260 62.21% Rumelange 0 1145 13.35% 24.44%
21 1965-03-27 34.0 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 1246 53.28% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 1221 20.22% 26.51%
22 1964-10-24 34.2 Stade Dudelange 5 1323 52.22% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1097 22.44% 25.34%
23 1964-12-19 34.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1295 65.42% US Dudelange 1 1143 11.28% 23.30%
24 1964-08-29 34.4 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1324 61.94% Differdange 03 0 1213 13.54% 24.52%
25 1965-01-23 34.5 Union Luxembourg 4 1332 39.03% @ Differdange 03 0 1205 33.91% 27.06%