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1966-67 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jeunesse Esch

9.86 points above expected

36 points · 26.14 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rapid Neudorf

5.65 points below expected

13 points · 18.65 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 16 4 2 36 55 20 +35 26.14 +9.86
2 Spora Luxembourg 22 13 4 5 30 40 23 +17 23.59 +6.41
3 Union Luxembourg 22 12 3 7 27 57 31 +26 27.68 -0.68
4 Aris Bonnevoie 22 10 6 6 26 48 29 +19 27.90 -1.90
5 US Dudelange 22 12 1 9 25 50 41 +9 24.40 +0.60
6 Mondorf-les-Bains 22 9 4 9 22 38 47 -9 20.95 +1.05
7 Rumelange 22 8 5 9 21 32 30 +2 20.91 +0.09
8 Avenir Beggen 22 8 2 12 18 46 46 0 20.12 -2.12
9 CS Petange 22 7 4 11 18 33 50 -17 19.40 -1.40
10 Stade Dudelange 22 6 3 13 15 31 49 -18 18.03 -3.03
11 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 22 5 3 14 13 30 59 -29 16.23 -3.23
12 Rapid Neudorf 22 4 5 13 13 21 56 -35 18.65 -5.65

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 36 26.14 +9.86
2 Spora Luxembourg 30 23.59 +6.41
3 Mondorf-les-Bains 22 20.95 +1.05
4 US Dudelange 25 24.40 +0.60
5 Rumelange 21 20.91 +0.09

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rapid Neudorf 13 18.65 -5.65
2 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 13 16.23 -3.23
3 Stade Dudelange 15 18.03 -3.03
4 Avenir Beggen 18 20.12 -2.12
5 Aris Bonnevoie 26 27.90 -1.90

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 6 Nov 12 – Mar 11 1 in 110
2 Rumelange 3 May 4 – May 21 1 in 29
3 Jeunesse Esch 6 Apr 9 – May 21 1 in 25
4 Avenir Beggen 3 Aug 20 – Sep 3 1 in 13
5 Mondorf-les-Bains 3 Apr 22 – May 4 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 US Dudelange 4 Mar 11 – Apr 22 1 in 240
2 Avenir Beggen 6 Sep 11 – Oct 29 1 in 79
3 Rumelange 4 Apr 2 – Apr 29 1 in 22
4 Rapid Neudorf 5 Apr 22 – May 21 1 in 13
5 Jeunesse Wasserbilig 4 Feb 11 – Apr 9 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 14 Sep 25 – Apr 29 1 in 422
2 Jeunesse Esch 10 Aug 21 – Nov 12 1 in 59
3 Aris Bonnevoie 11 Sep 3 – Jan 21 1 in 38
4 Avenir Beggen 4 Feb 18 – Apr 22 1 in 37
5 CS Petange 4 Nov 12 – Jan 22 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 11 Sep 11 – Feb 12 1 in 105
2 Mondorf-les-Bains 8 Oct 9 – Feb 12 1 in 36
3 Stade Dudelange 8 Aug 21 – Oct 15 1 in 26
4 US Dudelange 4 Mar 11 – Apr 22 1 in 23
5 Rapid Neudorf 6 Sep 25 – Nov 19 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1277 36 +41 10 7.2 +2.8
Spora Luxembourg 1197 30 -5 5 5.4 -0.4
Union Luxembourg 1243 27 +39 8 7.1 +0.9
Aris Bonnevoie 1201 26 -47 4 6.0 -2.0
US Dudelange 1154 25 +15 6 6.0 -0.0
Mondorf-les-Bains 1065 22 +42 8 5.3 +2.7
Rumelange 1094 21 +31 6 5.1 +0.9
Avenir Beggen 1062 18 +14 6 5.1 +0.9
CS Petange 980 18 -48 2 3.5 -1.5
Stade Dudelange 1018 15 -5 2 3.6 -1.6
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 948 13 -8 3 2.6 +0.4
Rapid Neudorf 944 13 -69 0 2.9 -2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB AB CP JE JW MON RN RUM SL SD UD UL
Aris Bonnevoie —
1-0-1
3.99
1-1-0
4.04
1-0-1
2.73
2-0-0
4.23
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.57
0-1-1
3.35
0-1-1
4.36
0-0-2
3.34
1-1-0
2.81
Avenir Beggen
1-0-1
1.66
 —
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.92
CS Petange
0-1-1
1.62
1-0-1
2.64
 —
0-0-2
1.84
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
1.59
Jeunesse Esch
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.81
 —
2-0-0
4.41
1-1-0
3.72
2-0-0
4.15
2-0-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.67
2-0-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.67
Jeunesse Wasserbilig
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.25
 —
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
1.66
2-0-0
2.68
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
2.02
Mondorf-les-Bains
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
1.93
1-1-0
3.18
 —
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.29
1-0-1
1.87
Rapid Neudorf
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.86
0-0-2
1.51
1-0-1
3.27
0-1-1
2.55
 —
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.37
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
1.52
Rumelange
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
3.49
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.04
 —
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.46
1-1-0
1.84
Spora Luxembourg
1-1-0
2.30
1-0-1
3.52
2-0-0
3.50
0-1-1
2.31
1-1-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.26
0-1-1
3.29
1-0-1
3.05
 —
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
2.38
Stade Dudelange
1-1-0
1.31
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.98
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.12
 —
1-0-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.64
US Dudelange
2-0-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.55
0-0-2
2.84
2-0-0
3.72
0-0-2
3.36
2-0-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
3.56
 —
1-0-1
2.33
Union Luxembourg
0-1-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.73
1-0-1
4.07
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
4.15
0-1-1
3.81
0-0-2
3.27
2-0-0
4.01
1-0-1
3.31
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.63 +5.0
Allowed 0.84 -5.0
Differential 0.89 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%5.30%4.92%2.27%3.79%1.14%22.73%
15.30%8.33%5.68%5.68%2.27%2.65%29.92%
24.92%5.68%3.03%0.76%3.03%2.27%19.70%
32.27%5.68%0.76%—0.76%0.76%10.23%
43.79%2.27%3.03%0.76%—0.38%10.23%
5+1.14%2.65%2.27%0.76%0.38%—7.20%
Total22.73%29.92%19.70%10.23%10.23%7.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.82 +0.00
SD 1.66 1.66 2.49
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%———18.18%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
39.09%———4.55%—13.64%
413.64%4.55%9.09%———27.27%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total40.91%18.18%27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.32 +0.86
SD 1.65 1.55 2.47
CV 0.76 1.18 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
1—4.55%18.18%——4.55%27.27%
2—————4.55%4.55%
3—13.64%——4.55%—18.18%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
Total9.09%31.82%31.82%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.09 +0.00
SD 2.07 1.60 2.71
CV 0.99 0.77 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
1—4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%13.64%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.27 -0.77
SD 1.26 1.86 2.09
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
19.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
213.64%—————13.64%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
49.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total40.91%31.82%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.91 +1.59
SD 1.65 0.92 1.76
CV 0.66 1.01 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
24.55%——4.55%9.09%4.55%22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
Total18.18%9.09%22.73%13.64%22.73%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.68 -1.32
SD 1.68 1.96 2.51
CV 1.23 0.73 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—4.55%4.55%13.64%
19.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
29.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
3—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%18.18%—13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.14 -0.41
SD 1.16 1.96 2.54
CV 0.67 0.92 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—13.64%4.55%36.36%
19.09%4.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%36.36%
24.55%—13.64%——4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%18.18%13.64%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.55 -1.59
SD 0.90 2.11 2.38
CV 0.94 0.83 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%————22.73%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%—40.91%
29.09%4.55%——9.09%—22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%9.09%4.55%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.36 +0.09
SD 1.44 1.50 2.02
CV 0.99 1.10 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
29.09%18.18%4.55%———31.82%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%40.91%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.05 +0.77
SD 1.44 0.95 1.88
CV 0.79 0.91 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
1—9.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
2—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%40.91%22.73%9.09%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.23 -0.82
SD 1.68 1.63 2.28
CV 1.19 0.73 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
19.09%4.55%4.55%18.18%——36.36%
2—4.55%——9.09%—13.64%
3—13.64%————13.64%
49.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%18.18%22.73%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.86 +0.41
SD 1.67 1.36 2.34
CV 0.73 0.73 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
Total18.18%50.00%13.64%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.41 +1.18
SD 2.34 1.18 2.84
CV 0.90 0.84 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1277 36 26.14 +9.86 100.0% 17 20 24 26 29 31 33
Union Luxembourg 1243 27 27.68 -0.68 55.0% 20 22 25 27 30 34 37
Aris Bonnevoie 1201 26 27.90 -1.90 37.0% 20 21 25 28 31 33 35
Spora Luxembourg 1197 30 23.59 +6.41 93.0% 14 16 20 23 27 31 33
US Dudelange 1154 25 24.40 +0.60 60.0% 10 17 22 24 27 33 35
Rumelange 1094 21 20.91 +0.09 58.0% 10 13 18 21 24 27 30
Mondorf-les-Bains 1065 22 20.95 +1.05 63.0% 12 14 18 21 23 27 32
Avenir Beggen 1062 18 20.12 -2.12 36.0% 11 14 17 20 22 26 31
Stade Dudelange 1018 15 18.03 -3.03 31.0% 10 12 15 17 21 25 26
CS Petange 980 18 19.40 -1.40 42.0% 12 13 17 19 21 25 31
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 948 13 16.23 -3.23 27.0% 8 10 13 16 20 22 26
Rapid Neudorf 944 13 18.65 -5.65 10.0% 12 13 16 18 21 24 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.27%
Strong Edge
55.30%16.67%28.03%
Elo Value
Home Edge
125 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
097.22400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.78 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.77+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
19%
Jeunesse Esch, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.13 * Some Luck: 3.13 to 4.69 * Lucky: 4.69 to 6.25 * Wild Swing: 6.25 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.49 * Off: 2.49 to 3.31 * Way Off: 3.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.10 points
Some Luck
03.9110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.075
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Jeunesse Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.00%
Rapid Neudorf
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 114.92
1.66
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Even
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
42%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.30
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Near-Lock
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.24
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.096
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch19.00%20.00%16.00%13.00%15.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%———
Spora Luxembourg5.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%18.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%—3.00%3.00%
Union Luxembourg26.00%22.00%20.00%17.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Aris Bonnevoie35.00%17.00%23.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%————
US Dudelange10.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%
Mondorf-les-Bains3.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%20.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%
Rumelange—5.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%7.00%
Avenir Beggen1.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%8.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%3.00%
CS Petange1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%21.00%13.00%6.00%
Stade Dudelange—1.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%15.00%24.00%19.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig——1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%39.00%
Rapid Neudorf—1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%21.00%16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aris Bonnevoie 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
US Dudelange 97.00% 3.00%
Spora Luxembourg 94.00% 6.00%
Mondorf-les-Bains 89.00% 11.00%
Rumelange 89.00% 11.00%
Avenir Beggen 87.00% 13.00%
CS Petange 81.00% 19.00%
Rapid Neudorf 63.00% 37.00%
Stade Dudelange 57.00% 43.00%
Jeunesse Wasserbilig 43.00% 57.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1966-08-20 Rapid Neudorf W 3-138.5 1067 1087 57.45% 17.60% 24.95%+0.61 +10.0 2
1966-08-20 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-338.5 1087 1067 24.95% 17.60% 57.45%-0.61 -10.0 0
1966-08-21 Stade Dudelange W 5-237.6 1107 1072 63.17% 17.46% 19.37%+1.05 +9.8 2
1966-08-21 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-537.6 1072 1107 19.37% 17.46% 63.17%-1.05 -9.8 0
1966-08-21 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-259.3 1091 1191 47.45% 17.68% 34.88%-0.03 -0.5 1
1966-08-21 @ Mondorf-les-Bains D 2-259.3 1191 1091 34.88% 17.68% 47.45%+0.03 +0.5 1
1966-08-21 Spora Luxembourg L 1-253.5 1167 1096 66.37% 17.33% 16.30%+1.34 -13.8 0
1966-08-21 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-153.5 1096 1167 16.30% 17.33% 66.37%-1.34 +13.8 2
1966-08-21 CS Petange W 1-034.6 1088 1022 66.02% 17.35% 16.63%+1.31 +4.3 2
1966-08-21 @ Rumelange L 0-134.6 1022 1088 16.63% 17.35% 66.02%-1.31 -4.3 0
1966-08-21 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 4-240.0 1130 1064 66.02% 17.35% 16.63%+1.31 +6.2 2
1966-08-21 @ US Dudelange L 2-440.0 1064 1130 16.63% 17.35% 66.02%-1.31 -6.2 0
1966-08-27 Avenir Beggen L 1-349.9 1110 1077 63.00% 17.47% 19.53%+1.04 -22.6 2
1966-08-27 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-149.9 1077 1110 19.53% 17.47% 63.00%-1.04 +22.6 4
1966-08-28 US Dudelange L 1-253.1 1192 1137 65.03% 17.39% 17.58%+1.22 -13.5 1
1966-08-28 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-153.1 1137 1192 17.58% 17.39% 65.03%-1.22 +13.5 4
1966-08-28 Mondorf-les-Bains W 6-235.1 1117 1090 62.40% 17.49% 20.12%+0.99 +12.8 4
1966-08-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-635.1 1090 1117 20.12% 17.49% 62.40%-0.99 -12.8 1
1966-08-28 Union Luxembourg L 0-737.2 1057 1154 48.08% 17.68% 34.24%+0.01 -65.1 0
1966-08-28 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 7-037.2 1154 1057 34.24% 17.68% 48.08%-0.01 +65.1 2
1966-08-28 Rumelange W 1-037.0 1077 1093 58.02% 17.59% 24.38%+0.65 +6.0 2
1966-08-28 @ Rapid Neudorf L 0-137.0 1093 1077 24.38% 17.59% 58.02%-0.65 -6.0 2
1966-08-28 CS Petange L 0-245.8 1062 1017 64.12% 17.43% 18.46%+1.13 -26.6 0
1966-08-28 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-045.8 1017 1062 18.46% 17.43% 64.12%-1.13 +26.6 2
1966-09-03 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 5-130.3 1100 992 69.21% 17.17% 13.62%+1.63 +10.6 6
1966-09-03 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-530.3 992 1100 13.62% 17.17% 69.21%-1.63 -10.6 0
1966-09-03 Stade Dudelange W 2-032.2 1077 1036 63.78% 17.44% 18.78%+1.11 +9.0 3
1966-09-03 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-232.2 1036 1077 18.78% 17.44% 63.78%-1.11 -9.0 0
1966-09-03 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-155.1 1219 1178 63.67% 17.44% 18.89%+1.10 -2.4 3
1966-09-03 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-155.1 1178 1219 18.89% 17.44% 63.67%-1.10 +2.4 2
1966-09-03 Spora Luxembourg W 2-140.4 1087 1087 59.58% 17.56% 22.86%+0.77 +5.4 4
1966-09-03 @ Rumelange L 1-240.4 1087 1087 22.86% 17.56% 59.58%-0.77 -5.4 2
1966-09-03 Rapid Neudorf W 3-139.1 1044 1083 55.25% 17.63% 27.12%+0.46 +10.8 4
1966-09-03 @ CS Petange L 1-339.1 1083 1044 27.12% 17.63% 55.25%-0.46 -10.8 2
1966-09-03 Jeunesse Esch L 1-349.6 1150 1130 61.75% 17.51% 20.74%+0.94 -22.2 4
1966-09-03 @ US Dudelange W 3-149.6 1130 1150 20.74% 17.51% 61.75%-0.94 +22.2 6
1966-09-10 Rumelange W 1-040.5 982 1092 46.17% 17.67% 36.15%-0.10 +8.5 2
1966-09-10 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-140.5 1092 982 36.15% 17.67% 46.17%+0.10 -8.5 4
1966-09-10 CS Petange W 1-035.6 1082 1055 62.45% 17.48% 20.06%+0.99 +5.1 4
1966-09-10 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-135.6 1055 1082 20.06% 17.48% 62.45%-0.99 -5.1 4
1966-09-10 Rapid Neudorf D 1-154.8 1027 1073 54.50% 17.64% 27.86%+0.41 -1.4 1
1966-09-10 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-154.8 1073 1027 27.86% 17.64% 54.50%-0.41 +1.4 3
1966-09-11 Avenir Beggen W 2-138.5 1181 1110 66.34% 17.33% 16.33%+1.34 +4.0 4
1966-09-11 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-238.5 1110 1181 16.33% 17.33% 66.34%-1.34 -4.0 6
1966-09-11 Union Luxembourg D 1-155.0 1152 1216 52.23% 17.66% 30.11%+0.26 -1.1 7
1966-09-11 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.0 1216 1152 30.11% 17.66% 52.23%-0.26 +1.1 4
1966-09-11 US Dudelange W 1-037.9 1086 1128 54.99% 17.64% 27.37%+0.44 +6.7 5
1966-09-11 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-137.9 1128 1086 27.37% 17.64% 54.99%-0.44 -6.7 4
1966-09-17 Spora Luxembourg W 2-033.9 1074 1087 58.24% 17.59% 24.17%+0.67 +11.3 5
1966-09-17 @ Rapid Neudorf L 0-233.9 1087 1074 24.17% 17.59% 58.24%-0.67 -11.3 4
1966-09-18 Jeunesse Esch L 0-243.1 1106 1151 54.64% 17.64% 27.72%+0.42 -22.8 6
1966-09-18 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-043.1 1151 1106 27.72% 17.64% 54.64%-0.42 +22.8 9
1966-09-18 Mondorf-les-Bains W 5-341.5 1217 1093 70.41% 17.08% 12.51%+1.77 +4.5 6
1966-09-18 @ Union Luxembourg L 3-541.5 1093 1217 12.51% 17.08% 70.41%-1.77 -4.5 5
1966-09-18 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.6 1083 1185 47.39% 17.68% 34.93%-0.03 -0.7 5
1966-09-18 @ Rumelange D 0-051.6 1185 1083 34.93% 17.68% 47.39%+0.03 +0.7 5
1966-09-18 Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 0-051.7 1050 990 65.40% 17.37% 17.23%+1.25 -2.9 5
1966-09-18 @ CS Petange D 0-051.7 990 1050 17.23% 17.37% 65.40%-1.25 +2.9 3
1966-09-18 Stade Dudelange W 3-135.2 1121 1025 68.35% 17.22% 14.43%+1.54 +6.1 6
1966-09-18 @ US Dudelange L 1-335.2 1025 1121 14.43% 17.22% 68.35%-1.54 -6.1 1
1966-09-24 CS Petange W 3-027.3 1185 1047 71.36% 17.00% 11.64%+1.88 +8.4 7
1966-09-24 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-327.3 1047 1185 11.64% 17.00% 71.36%-1.88 -8.4 5
1966-09-25 Rumelange W 4-239.5 1174 1083 67.97% 17.24% 14.79%+1.50 +5.6 11
1966-09-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-439.5 1083 1174 14.79% 17.24% 67.97%-1.50 -5.6 5
1966-09-25 Rapid Neudorf W 2-036.7 993 1085 48.61% 17.68% 33.71%+0.04 +15.0 5
1966-09-25 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-236.7 1085 993 33.71% 17.68% 48.61%-0.04 -15.0 5
1966-09-25 Avenir Beggen W 2-033.3 1088 1083 60.19% 17.55% 22.26%+0.81 +10.5 7
1966-09-25 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-233.3 1083 1088 22.26% 17.55% 60.19%-0.81 -10.5 6
1966-09-25 Stade Dudelange W 2-031.8 1076 1019 65.14% 17.39% 17.47%+1.23 +8.4 6
1966-09-25 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-231.8 1019 1076 17.47% 17.39% 65.14%-1.23 -8.4 1
1966-09-25 Union Luxembourg W 3-141.4 1127 1222 48.30% 17.68% 34.02%+0.02 +13.1 8
1966-09-25 @ US Dudelange L 1-341.4 1222 1127 34.02% 17.68% 48.30%-0.02 -13.1 6
1966-10-08 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-435.7 1070 1194 44.31% 17.67% 38.02%-0.21 -35.8 5
1966-10-08 @ Rapid Neudorf W 4-035.7 1194 1070 38.02% 17.67% 44.31%+0.21 +35.8 9
1966-10-09 US Dudelange L 3-457.1 1073 1140 51.82% 17.66% 30.51%+0.24 -10.0 6
1966-10-09 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-357.1 1140 1073 30.51% 17.66% 51.82%-0.24 +10.0 10
1966-10-09 Mondorf-les-Bains W 2-034.2 1077 1099 57.30% 17.61% 25.09%+0.60 +11.7 7
1966-10-09 @ Rumelange L 0-234.2 1099 1077 25.09% 17.61% 57.30%-0.60 -11.7 7
1966-10-09 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-028.6 1084 1008 66.81% 17.31% 15.88%+1.38 +11.2 8
1966-10-09 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-328.6 1008 1084 15.88% 17.31% 66.81%-1.38 -11.2 5
1966-10-09 Union Luxembourg L 0-334.1 1011 1209 33.97% 17.55% 48.47%-0.80 -21.9 1
1966-10-09 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-034.1 1209 1011 48.47% 17.55% 33.97%+0.80 +21.9 8
1966-10-09 Jeunesse Esch L 1-441.0 1038 1179 41.88% 17.65% 40.47%-0.35 -22.0 5
1966-10-09 @ CS Petange W 4-141.0 1179 1038 40.47% 17.65% 41.88%+0.35 +22.0 13
1966-10-15 Spora Luxembourg D 0-051.9 1230 1096 71.06% 17.03% 11.92%+1.84 -3.6 10
1966-10-15 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.9 1096 1230 11.92% 17.03% 71.06%-1.84 +3.6 9
1966-10-15 Rapid Neudorf W 3-133.8 1201 1034 73.08% 16.84% 10.08%+2.10 +4.4 15
1966-10-15 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-333.8 1034 1201 10.08% 16.84% 73.08%-2.10 -4.3 5
1966-10-15 Stade Dudelange W 6-445.7 997 989 60.49% 17.54% 21.97%+0.84 +7.3 7
1966-10-15 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 4-645.7 989 997 21.97% 17.54% 60.49%-0.84 -7.3 1
1966-10-15 CS Petange L 2-454.9 1087 1016 66.37% 17.33% 16.30%+1.34 -21.3 7
1966-10-15 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-254.9 1016 1087 16.30% 17.33% 66.37%-1.34 +21.3 7
1966-10-15 Avenir Beggen W 6-128.1 1231 1063 73.13% 16.83% 10.04%+2.11 +9.7 10
1966-10-15 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-628.1 1063 1231 10.04% 16.83% 73.13%-2.11 -9.7 6
1966-10-15 Rumelange D 1-154.9 1150 1089 65.59% 17.37% 17.05%+1.27 -2.6 11
1966-10-15 @ US Dudelange D 1-154.9 1089 1150 17.05% 17.37% 65.59%-1.27 +2.6 8
1966-10-29 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-444.4 1004 1226 30.89% 17.48% 51.63%-0.99 -10.8 7
1966-10-29 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 4-244.4 1226 1004 51.63% 17.48% 30.89%+0.99 +10.8 12
1966-10-29 Mondorf-les-Bains D 2-259.2 1030 1066 55.67% 17.63% 26.70%+0.49 -1.1 6
1966-10-29 @ Rapid Neudorf D 2-259.2 1066 1030 26.70% 17.63% 55.67%-0.49 +1.1 8
1966-10-29 Union Luxembourg D 1-154.9 1091 1240 40.72% 17.64% 41.63%-0.41 +0.0 9
1966-10-29 @ Rumelange D 1-154.9 1240 1091 41.63% 17.64% 40.72%+0.41 -0.0 11
1966-10-29 Jeunesse Esch D 0-051.7 1099 1206 46.69% 17.67% 35.63%-0.07 -0.6 10
1966-10-29 @ Spora Luxembourg D 0-051.7 1206 1099 35.63% 17.67% 46.69%+0.07 +0.6 16
1966-10-29 Avenir Beggen W 2-142.9 982 1053 51.29% 17.67% 31.04%+0.20 +7.0 3
1966-10-29 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-242.9 1053 982 31.04% 17.67% 51.29%-0.20 -7.0 6
1966-10-29 US Dudelange L 2-545.7 1038 1148 46.17% 17.67% 36.16%-0.10 -20.7 7
1966-10-29 @ CS Petange W 5-245.7 1148 1038 36.16% 17.67% 46.17%+0.10 +20.7 13
1966-11-12 Stade Dudelange D 1-155.3 1237 989 77.11% 16.28% 6.61%+2.75 -4.0 13
1966-11-12 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-155.3 989 1237 6.61% 16.28% 77.11%-2.75 +3.9 4
1966-11-12 Rumelange D 0-051.6 1046 1091 54.57% 17.64% 27.79%+0.41 -1.5 7
1966-11-12 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-051.6 1091 1046 27.79% 17.64% 54.57%-0.41 +1.5 10
1966-11-12 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-028.7 1206 993 75.51% 16.54% 7.95%+2.47 +4.0 18
1966-11-12 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-228.7 993 1206 7.95% 16.54% 75.51%-2.47 -4.0 7
1966-11-12 Spora Luxembourg L 0-439.2 1067 1099 56.18% 17.62% 26.20%+0.52 -44.3 8
1966-11-12 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-039.2 1099 1067 26.20% 17.62% 56.18%-0.52 +44.3 12
1966-11-12 CS Petange L 2-457.6 1240 1017 76.01% 16.46% 7.53%+2.56 -24.5 11
1966-11-12 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-257.6 1017 1240 7.53% 16.46% 76.01%-2.56 +24.6 9
1966-11-12 Rapid Neudorf W 4-025.6 1169 1029 71.42% 17.00% 11.58%+1.89 +10.9 15
1966-11-12 @ US Dudelange L 0-425.6 1029 1169 11.58% 17.00% 71.42%-1.89 -10.9 6
1966-11-19 Jeunesse Esch W 3-030.3 1233 1210 61.98% 17.50% 20.52%+0.95 +14.2 15
1966-11-19 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-330.3 1210 1233 20.52% 17.50% 61.98%-0.95 -14.2 18
1966-11-19 Mondorf-les-Bains D 1-154.8 989 1023 55.97% 17.63% 26.40%+0.51 -1.5 8
1966-11-19 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 1-154.8 1023 989 26.40% 17.63% 55.97%-0.51 +1.5 9
1966-11-19 Union Luxembourg L 0-139.9 1018 1216 33.99% 17.55% 48.46%-0.80 -8.0 6
1966-11-19 @ Rapid Neudorf W 1-039.9 1216 1018 48.46% 17.55% 33.99%+0.80 +8.0 13
1966-11-19 US Dudelange W 3-139.1 1143 1180 55.58% 17.63% 26.79%+0.48 +10.7 14
1966-11-19 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-339.1 1180 1143 26.79% 17.63% 55.58%-0.48 -10.7 15
1966-11-19 Avenir Beggen W 2-140.5 1041 1045 59.33% 17.57% 23.11%+0.75 +5.4 11
1966-11-19 @ CS Petange L 1-240.5 1045 1041 23.11% 17.57% 59.33%-0.75 -5.4 7
1966-12-10 Rumelange W 3-141.5 993 1093 47.51% 17.68% 34.82%-0.03 +13.4 6
1966-12-10 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-341.5 1093 993 34.82% 17.68% 47.51%+0.03 -13.4 10
1966-12-17 Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-130.4 1247 1024 75.98% 16.46% 7.55%+2.55 +4.7 17
1966-12-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-430.4 1024 1247 7.55% 16.46% 75.98%-2.55 -4.7 9
1966-12-17 US Dudelange L 2-639.9 988 1169 36.25% 17.59% 46.17%-0.67 -21.4 8
1966-12-17 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 6-239.9 1169 988 46.17% 17.59% 36.25%+0.67 +21.4 17
1966-12-17 Avenir Beggen W 1-037.4 1010 1039 56.44% 17.62% 25.95%+0.54 +6.4 8
1966-12-17 @ Rapid Neudorf L 0-137.4 1039 1010 25.95% 17.62% 56.44%-0.54 -6.4 7
1966-12-17 Union Luxembourg W 2-143.0 1154 1224 51.47% 17.67% 30.87%+0.21 +7.0 16
1966-12-17 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-243.0 1224 1154 30.87% 17.67% 51.47%-0.21 -7.0 13
1966-12-17 Rumelange D 1-154.8 1047 1080 56.04% 17.62% 26.34%+0.51 -1.5 12
1966-12-17 @ CS Petange D 1-154.8 1080 1047 26.34% 17.62% 56.04%-0.51 +1.5 11
1966-12-31 Jeunesse Esch L 0-140.2 1006 1196 35.01% 17.57% 47.42%-0.74 -8.2 6
1966-12-31 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-040.2 1196 1006 47.42% 17.57% 35.01%+0.74 +8.2 20
1967-01-21 Union Luxembourg W 4-028.4 1252 1217 63.16% 17.46% 19.38%+1.05 +17.6 19
1967-01-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-428.4 1217 1252 19.38% 17.46% 63.16%-1.05 -17.6 13
1967-01-22 US Dudelange W 4-028.9 1204 1190 61.13% 17.52% 21.35%+0.89 +19.2 22
1967-01-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-428.9 1190 1204 21.35% 17.52% 61.13%-0.89 -19.2 17
1967-01-22 Avenir Beggen W 6-238.2 966 1033 51.94% 17.66% 30.39%+0.24 +18.5 10
1967-01-22 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 2-638.2 1033 966 30.39% 17.66% 51.94%-0.24 -18.5 7
1967-01-22 CS Petange D 2-259.2 1016 1045 56.47% 17.62% 25.91%+0.54 -1.2 9
1967-01-22 @ Rapid Neudorf D 2-259.2 1045 1016 25.91% 17.62% 56.47%-0.54 +1.2 13
1967-01-22 Rumelange W 4-133.0 1161 1081 67.06% 17.29% 15.64%+1.41 +9.3 18
1967-01-22 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-433.0 1081 1161 15.64% 17.29% 67.06%-1.41 -9.3 11
1967-01-22 Mondorf-les-Bains W 2-141.1 998 1020 57.29% 17.61% 25.11%+0.60 +5.8 8
1967-01-22 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-241.1 1020 998 25.11% 17.61% 57.29%-0.60 -5.8 9
1967-02-11 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-135.6 1199 985 75.59% 16.52% 7.89%+2.48 +2.0 15
1967-02-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-235.6 985 1199 7.89% 16.52% 75.59%-2.48 -2.0 10
1967-02-12 Spora Luxembourg L 1-245.5 1014 1170 39.82% 17.63% 42.55%-0.46 -8.6 7
1967-02-12 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-145.5 1170 1014 42.55% 17.63% 39.82%+0.46 +8.6 20
1967-02-12 Jeunesse Esch D 1-154.9 1014 1223 32.43% 17.52% 50.05%-0.90 +0.9 10
1967-02-12 @ Mondorf-les-Bains D 1-154.9 1223 1014 50.05% 17.52% 32.43%+0.90 -0.9 23
1967-02-12 Rapid Neudorf W 6-234.2 1072 1015 65.15% 17.39% 17.47%+1.23 +11.3 13
1967-02-12 @ Rumelange L 2-634.2 1015 1072 17.47% 17.39% 65.15%-1.23 -11.3 9
1967-02-12 Stade Dudelange L 1-350.1 1047 1004 63.92% 17.43% 18.64%+1.12 -23.0 13
1967-02-12 @ CS Petange W 3-150.1 1004 1047 18.64% 17.43% 63.92%-1.12 +23.0 10
1967-02-12 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-141.6 1171 1269 47.81% 17.68% 34.51%-0.01 +13.3 19
1967-02-12 @ US Dudelange L 1-341.6 1269 1171 34.51% 17.68% 47.81%+0.01 -13.3 19
1967-02-18 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-358.0 1006 1256 27.47% 17.39% 55.14%-1.22 +10.6 9
1967-02-18 @ Avenir Beggen L 3-458.0 1256 1006 55.14% 17.39% 27.47%+1.22 -10.6 19
1967-02-19 Stade Dudelange D 0-051.6 1004 1026 57.20% 17.61% 25.19%+0.59 -1.9 10
1967-02-19 @ Rapid Neudorf D 0-051.6 1026 1004 25.19% 17.61% 57.20%-0.59 +1.8 11
1967-02-19 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-030.7 1083 983 68.68% 17.20% 14.12%+1.57 +6.9 15
1967-02-19 @ Rumelange L 0-230.7 983 1083 14.12% 17.20% 68.68%-1.57 -6.9 10
1967-03-11 Jeunesse Esch W 2-141.3 1201 1223 57.35% 17.60% 25.05%+0.60 +5.8 17
1967-03-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-241.3 1223 1201 25.05% 17.60% 57.35%-0.60 -5.8 23
1967-03-11 Spora Luxembourg L 2-350.0 1024 1178 39.88% 17.63% 42.49%-0.46 -8.2 13
1967-03-11 @ CS Petange W 3-250.0 1178 1024 42.49% 17.63% 39.88%+0.46 +8.2 22
1967-03-11 Mondorf-les-Bains L 1-352.8 1184 1015 73.24% 16.82% 9.94%+2.13 -26.4 19
1967-03-11 @ US Dudelange W 3-152.8 1015 1184 9.94% 16.82% 73.24%-2.13 +26.4 12
1967-04-01 Rapid Neudorf D 2-259.5 1187 1002 74.07% 16.73% 9.20%+2.25 -2.7 23
1967-04-01 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-259.5 1002 1187 9.20% 16.73% 74.07%-2.25 +2.7 11
1967-04-02 Rumelange W 4-238.2 1245 1090 72.39% 16.91% 10.70%+2.01 +4.1 21
1967-04-02 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-438.2 1090 1245 10.70% 16.91% 72.39%-2.01 -4.1 15
1967-04-02 Avenir Beggen D 1-155.2 1217 1016 74.89% 16.62% 8.49%+2.37 -3.7 24
1967-04-02 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.2 1016 1217 8.49% 16.62% 74.89%-2.37 +3.7 10
1967-04-02 CS Petange L 1-250.1 976 1015 55.26% 17.63% 27.10%+0.46 -11.5 10
1967-04-02 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 2-150.1 1015 976 27.10% 17.63% 55.26%-0.46 +11.5 15
1967-04-02 Union Luxembourg W 1-042.9 1041 1207 38.31% 17.62% 44.07%-0.55 +10.0 14
1967-04-02 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-142.9 1207 1041 44.07% 17.62% 38.31%+0.55 -10.0 17
1967-04-02 US Dudelange W 4-246.8 1028 1158 43.49% 17.66% 38.85%-0.26 +13.1 13
1967-04-02 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-446.8 1158 1028 38.85% 17.66% 43.49%+0.26 -13.1 19
1967-04-08 Mondorf-les-Bains W 5-029.7 1020 1051 56.26% 17.62% 26.11%+0.53 +28.2 12
1967-04-08 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-529.7 1051 1020 26.11% 17.62% 56.26%-0.53 -28.2 14
1967-04-09 US Dudelange W 4-240.5 1197 1145 64.77% 17.40% 17.83%+1.19 +6.7 19
1967-04-09 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-440.5 1145 1197 17.83% 17.40% 64.77%-1.19 -6.7 19
1967-04-09 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-136.6 1005 964 63.67% 17.44% 18.89%+1.10 +7.8 13
1967-04-09 @ Rapid Neudorf L 1-336.6 964 1005 18.89% 17.44% 63.67%-1.10 -7.8 10
1967-04-09 Jeunesse Esch L 1-441.6 1086 1213 43.83% 17.66% 38.50%-0.24 -22.9 15
1967-04-09 @ Rumelange W 4-141.6 1213 1086 38.50% 17.66% 43.83%+0.24 +22.9 26
1967-04-09 Spora Luxembourg L 0-239.2 1041 1184 41.64% 17.65% 40.71%-0.36 -17.9 13
1967-04-09 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-039.2 1184 1041 40.71% 17.65% 41.64%+0.36 +17.9 25
1967-04-09 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.7 1027 1249 30.80% 17.48% 51.72%-1.00 +1.2 16
1967-04-09 @ CS Petange D 0-051.7 1249 1027 51.72% 17.48% 30.80%+1.00 -1.2 22
1967-04-22 Rapid Neudorf W 5-023.6 1248 1013 76.57% 16.37% 7.06%+2.65 +8.3 24
1967-04-22 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-523.6 1013 1248 7.06% 16.37% 76.57%-2.65 -8.3 13
1967-04-22 CS Petange W 4-024.5 1236 1028 75.27% 16.57% 8.16%+2.43 +7.8 28
1967-04-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-424.5 1028 1236 8.16% 16.57% 75.27%-2.43 -7.8 16
1967-04-22 Spora Luxembourg D 1-154.9 957 1202 28.04% 17.41% 54.55%-1.18 +1.4 11
1967-04-22 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig D 1-154.9 1202 957 54.55% 17.41% 28.04%+1.18 -1.4 26
1967-04-22 Rumelange W 2-141.7 1023 1063 55.15% 17.64% 27.21%+0.45 +6.2 16
1967-04-22 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 1-241.7 1063 1023 27.21% 17.64% 55.15%-0.45 -6.2 15
1967-04-22 Stade Dudelange W 4-131.0 1204 1024 73.83% 16.75% 9.42%+2.21 +5.8 21
1967-04-22 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-431.0 1024 1204 9.42% 16.75% 73.83%-2.21 -5.8 13
1967-04-22 Avenir Beggen L 1-351.3 1138 1048 67.89% 17.25% 14.87%+1.49 -24.4 19
1967-04-22 @ US Dudelange W 3-151.3 1048 1138 14.87% 17.25% 67.89%-1.49 +24.4 14
1967-04-29 Union Luxembourg L 0-239.4 1073 1210 42.47% 17.66% 39.87%-0.31 -18.2 14
1967-04-29 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-039.4 1210 1073 39.87% 17.66% 42.47%+0.31 +18.2 23
1967-04-29 Jeunesse Esch L 0-138.3 1004 1244 28.73% 17.43% 53.84%-1.13 -6.9 13
1967-04-29 @ Rapid Neudorf W 1-038.3 1244 1004 53.84% 17.43% 28.73%+1.13 +6.9 30
1967-04-29 US Dudelange L 0-145.6 1057 1114 53.14% 17.66% 29.21%+0.32 -11.8 15
1967-04-29 @ Rumelange W 1-045.6 1114 1057 29.21% 17.66% 53.14%-0.32 +11.8 21
1967-04-29 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-142.6 1201 1257 53.25% 17.65% 29.10%+0.33 +6.6 28
1967-04-29 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-242.6 1257 1201 29.10% 17.65% 53.25%-0.33 -6.6 24
1967-04-29 Jeunesse Wasserbilig L 0-149.2 1018 958 65.42% 17.37% 17.20%+1.25 -14.4 13
1967-04-29 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-049.2 958 1018 17.20% 17.37% 65.42%-1.25 +14.4 13
1967-04-29 Mondorf-les-Bains L 1-348.6 1020 1029 58.74% 17.58% 23.68%+0.71 -21.1 16
1967-04-29 @ CS Petange W 3-148.6 1029 1020 23.68% 17.58% 58.74%-0.71 +21.1 18
1967-05-04 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 4-023.6 1250 972 78.29% 16.04% 5.66%+2.99 +5.4 26
1967-05-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-423.6 972 1250 5.66% 16.04% 78.29%-2.99 -5.4 13
1967-05-04 Stade Dudelange W 5-131.7 1055 1003 64.67% 17.41% 17.92%+1.18 +13.7 16
1967-05-04 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-531.7 1003 1055 17.92% 17.41% 64.67%-1.18 -13.6 13
1967-05-04 Spora Luxembourg W 3-029.8 1251 1207 63.97% 17.43% 18.60%+1.12 +13.0 32
1967-05-04 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-329.8 1207 1251 18.60% 17.43% 63.97%-1.12 -13.0 28
1967-05-04 Rapid Neudorf W 4-133.6 1050 997 64.81% 17.40% 17.79%+1.20 +10.5 20
1967-05-04 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 1-433.6 997 1050 17.79% 17.40% 64.81%-1.20 -10.5 13
1967-05-04 Rumelange L 0-151.6 1228 1045 73.96% 16.74% 9.30%+2.23 -16.3 23
1967-05-04 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-051.6 1045 1228 9.30% 16.74% 73.96%-2.23 +16.3 17
1967-05-04 CS Petange L 1-254.6 1125 999 70.54% 17.07% 12.39%+1.78 -14.7 21
1967-05-04 @ US Dudelange W 2-154.6 999 1125 12.39% 17.07% 70.54%-1.78 +14.7 18
1967-05-07 Jeunesse Esch L 2-344.7 967 1264 22.40% 17.19% 60.40%-1.59 -5.0 13
1967-05-07 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 3-244.7 1264 967 60.40% 17.19% 22.40%+1.59 +5.0 34
1967-05-07 US Dudelange L 0-435.6 987 1111 44.27% 17.67% 38.06%-0.21 -35.8 13
1967-05-07 @ Rapid Neudorf W 4-035.6 1111 987 38.06% 17.67% 44.27%+0.21 +35.8 23
1967-05-07 Avenir Beggen W 3-031.0 1061 1068 58.94% 17.58% 23.49%+0.72 +16.0 19
1967-05-07 @ Rumelange L 0-331.0 1068 1061 23.49% 17.58% 58.94%-0.72 -16.0 16
1967-05-07 Mondorf-les-Bains W 5-129.9 1194 1061 71.02% 17.03% 11.95%+1.84 +9.3 30
1967-05-07 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-529.9 1061 1194 11.95% 17.03% 71.02%-1.84 -9.4 20
1967-05-07 Aris Bonnevoie W 6-142.3 990 1255 25.70% 17.33% 56.97%-1.34 +45.7 15
1967-05-07 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-642.3 1255 990 56.97% 17.33% 25.70%+1.34 -45.7 26
1967-05-07 Union Luxembourg L 1-536.6 1014 1211 34.02% 17.55% 48.43%-0.80 -23.9 18
1967-05-07 @ CS Petange W 5-136.6 1211 1014 48.43% 17.55% 34.02%+0.80 +23.9 25
1967-05-21 CS Petange W 7-335.5 1052 990 65.64% 17.36% 16.99%+1.27 +10.1 18
1967-05-21 @ Avenir Beggen L 3-735.5 990 1052 16.99% 17.36% 65.64%-1.27 -10.1 18
1967-05-21 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-032.1 1269 1210 65.35% 17.38% 17.27%+1.24 +8.3 36
1967-05-21 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-232.1 1210 1269 17.27% 17.38% 65.35%-1.24 -8.4 26
1967-05-21 Jeunesse Wasserbilig W 4-026.7 1051 962 67.84% 17.25% 14.90%+1.49 +13.8 22
1967-05-21 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-426.7 962 1051 14.90% 17.25% 67.84%-1.49 -13.8 13
1967-05-21 Rapid Neudorf W 8-125.9 1235 951 78.54% 15.99% 5.47%+3.04 +7.3 27
1967-05-21 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-825.9 951 1235 5.47% 15.99% 78.54%-3.04 -7.3 13
1967-05-21 Stade Dudelange W 4-027.9 1077 1035 63.82% 17.44% 18.74%+1.11 +17.1 21
1967-05-21 @ Rumelange L 0-427.9 1035 1077 18.74% 17.44% 63.82%-1.11 -17.1 15
1967-05-21 Spora Luxembourg W 1-038.5 1147 1204 53.13% 17.66% 29.21%+0.32 +7.1 25
1967-05-21 @ US Dudelange L 0-138.5 1204 1147 29.21% 17.66% 53.13%-0.32 -7.0 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1966-11-12 7.53% CS Petange 1017 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1240 2
2 1967-05-04 9.30% Rumelange 1045 1 @ Union Luxembourg 1228 0
3 1967-03-11 9.94% Mondorf-les-Bains 1015 3 @ US Dudelange 1184 1
4 1967-05-04 12.39% CS Petange 999 2 @ US Dudelange 1125 1
5 1967-04-22 14.87% Avenir Beggen 1048 3 @ US Dudelange 1138 1
6 1966-08-21 16.30% Spora Luxembourg 1096 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1167 1
7 1966-10-15 16.30% CS Petange 1016 4 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 1087 2
8 1967-04-29 17.20% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 958 1 @ Stade Dudelange 1018 0
9 1966-08-28 17.58% US Dudelange 1137 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1192 1
10 1966-08-28 18.46% CS Petange 1017 2 @ Stade Dudelange 1062 0
11 1967-02-12 18.64% Stade Dudelange 1004 3 @ CS Petange 1047 1
12 1966-08-27 19.53% Avenir Beggen 1077 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1110 1
13 1966-09-03 20.74% Jeunesse Esch 1130 3 @ US Dudelange 1150 1
14 1967-04-29 23.68% Mondorf-les-Bains 1029 3 @ CS Petange 1020 1
15 1967-05-07 25.70% @ Stade Dudelange 990 6 Aris Bonnevoie 1255 1
16 1966-11-12 26.20% Spora Luxembourg 1099 4 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 1067 0
17 1967-04-02 27.10% CS Petange 1015 2 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 976 1
18 1967-02-18 27.47% @ Avenir Beggen 1006 4 Aris Bonnevoie 1256 3
19 1966-09-18 27.72% Jeunesse Esch 1151 2 @ Avenir Beggen 1106 0
20 1967-04-29 29.21% US Dudelange 1114 1 @ Rumelange 1057 0
21 1966-10-09 30.51% US Dudelange 1140 4 @ Avenir Beggen 1073 3
22 1966-08-28 34.24% Union Luxembourg 1154 7 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1057 0
23 1966-10-29 36.16% US Dudelange 1148 5 @ CS Petange 1038 2
24 1966-10-08 38.02% Aris Bonnevoie 1194 4 @ Rapid Neudorf 1070 0
25 1967-05-07 38.06% US Dudelange 1111 4 @ Rapid Neudorf 987 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-08-28 65.12 Union Luxembourg 7 1154 34.24% @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1057 48.08% 17.68%
2 1967-05-07 45.74 @ Stade Dudelange 6 990 25.70% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1255 56.97% 17.33%
3 1966-11-12 44.34 Spora Luxembourg 4 1099 26.20% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1067 56.18% 17.62%
4 1966-10-08 35.80 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1194 38.02% @ Rapid Neudorf 0 1070 44.31% 17.67%
5 1967-05-07 35.77 US Dudelange 4 1111 38.06% @ Rapid Neudorf 0 987 44.27% 17.67%
6 1967-04-08 28.23 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1020 56.26% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1051 26.11% 17.62%
7 1966-08-28 26.61 CS Petange 2 1017 18.46% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1062 64.12% 17.43%
8 1967-03-11 26.43 Mondorf-les-Bains 3 1015 9.94% @ US Dudelange 1 1184 73.24% 16.82%
9 1966-11-12 24.55 CS Petange 4 1017 7.53% @ Union Luxembourg 2 1240 76.01% 16.46%
10 1967-04-22 24.43 Avenir Beggen 3 1048 14.87% @ US Dudelange 1 1138 67.89% 17.25%
11 1967-05-07 23.90 Union Luxembourg 5 1211 48.43% @ CS Petange 1 1014 34.02% 17.55%
12 1967-02-12 22.98 Stade Dudelange 3 1004 18.64% @ CS Petange 1 1047 63.92% 17.43%
13 1967-04-09 22.89 Jeunesse Esch 4 1213 38.50% @ Rumelange 1 1086 43.83% 17.66%
14 1966-09-18 22.77 Jeunesse Esch 2 1151 27.72% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1106 54.64% 17.64%
15 1966-08-27 22.64 Avenir Beggen 3 1077 19.53% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1110 63.00% 17.47%
16 1966-09-03 22.19 Jeunesse Esch 3 1130 20.74% @ US Dudelange 1 1150 61.75% 17.51%
17 1966-10-09 22.02 Jeunesse Esch 4 1179 40.47% @ CS Petange 1 1038 41.88% 17.65%
18 1966-10-09 21.93 Union Luxembourg 3 1209 48.47% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1011 33.97% 17.55%
19 1966-12-17 21.39 US Dudelange 6 1169 46.17% @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 2 988 36.25% 17.59%
20 1966-10-15 21.35 CS Petange 4 1016 16.30% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 2 1087 66.37% 17.33%
21 1967-04-29 21.13 Mondorf-les-Bains 3 1029 23.68% @ CS Petange 1 1020 58.74% 17.58%
22 1966-10-29 20.73 US Dudelange 5 1148 36.16% @ CS Petange 2 1038 46.17% 17.67%
23 1967-01-22 19.18 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1204 61.13% US Dudelange 0 1190 21.35% 17.52%
24 1967-01-22 18.46 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 6 966 51.94% Avenir Beggen 2 1033 30.39% 17.66%
25 1967-04-29 18.21 Union Luxembourg 2 1210 39.87% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1073 42.47% 17.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-04-01 59.5 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1187 74.07% Rapid Neudorf 2 1002 9.20% 16.73%
2 1966-08-21 59.3 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 2 1091 47.45% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1191 34.88% 17.68%
3 1966-10-29 59.2 @ Rapid Neudorf 2 1030 55.67% Mondorf-les-Bains 2 1066 26.70% 17.63%
4 1967-01-22 59.2 @ Rapid Neudorf 2 1016 56.47% CS Petange 2 1045 25.91% 17.62%
5 1967-02-18 58.0 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1006 27.47% Aris Bonnevoie 3 1256 55.14% 17.39%
6 1966-11-12 57.6 CS Petange 4 1017 7.53% @ Union Luxembourg 2 1240 76.01% 16.46%
7 1966-10-09 57.1 US Dudelange 4 1140 30.51% @ Avenir Beggen 3 1073 51.82% 17.66%
8 1966-11-12 55.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1237 77.11% Stade Dudelange 1 989 6.61% 16.28%
9 1967-04-02 55.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1217 74.89% Avenir Beggen 1 1016 8.49% 16.62%
10 1966-09-03 55.1 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1219 63.67% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1178 18.89% 17.44%
11 1966-09-11 55.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1152 52.23% Union Luxembourg 1 1216 30.11% 17.66%
12 1966-10-15 54.9 CS Petange 4 1016 16.30% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 2 1087 66.37% 17.33%
13 1966-10-15 54.9 @ US Dudelange 1 1150 65.59% Rumelange 1 1089 17.05% 17.37%
14 1966-10-29 54.9 @ Rumelange 1 1091 40.72% Union Luxembourg 1 1240 41.63% 17.64%
15 1967-02-12 54.9 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 1 1014 32.43% Jeunesse Esch 1 1223 50.05% 17.52%
16 1967-04-22 54.9 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 957 28.04% Spora Luxembourg 1 1202 54.55% 17.41%
17 1966-09-10 54.8 @ Stade Dudelange 1 1027 54.50% Rapid Neudorf 1 1073 27.86% 17.64%
18 1966-11-19 54.8 @ Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 989 55.97% Mondorf-les-Bains 1 1023 26.40% 17.63%
19 1966-12-17 54.8 @ CS Petange 1 1047 56.04% Rumelange 1 1080 26.34% 17.62%
20 1967-05-04 54.6 CS Petange 2 999 12.39% @ US Dudelange 1 1125 70.54% 17.07%
21 1966-08-21 53.5 Spora Luxembourg 2 1096 16.30% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1167 66.37% 17.33%
22 1966-08-28 53.1 US Dudelange 2 1137 17.58% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1192 65.03% 17.39%
23 1967-03-11 52.8 Mondorf-les-Bains 3 1015 9.94% @ US Dudelange 1 1184 73.24% 16.82%
24 1966-10-15 51.9 @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1230 71.06% Spora Luxembourg 0 1096 11.92% 17.03%
25 1966-09-18 51.7 @ CS Petange 0 1050 65.40% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 990 17.23% 17.37%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-04-22 23.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 5 1248 76.57% Rapid Neudorf 0 1013 7.06% 16.37%
2 1967-05-04 23.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1250 78.29% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 972 5.66% 16.04%
3 1967-04-22 24.5 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1236 75.27% CS Petange 0 1028 8.16% 16.57%
4 1966-11-12 25.6 @ US Dudelange 4 1169 71.42% Rapid Neudorf 0 1029 11.58% 17.00%
5 1967-05-21 25.9 @ Union Luxembourg 8 1235 78.54% Rapid Neudorf 1 951 5.47% 15.99%
6 1967-05-21 26.7 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 4 1051 67.84% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 962 14.90% 17.25%
7 1966-09-24 27.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1185 71.36% CS Petange 0 1047 11.64% 17.00%
8 1967-05-21 27.9 @ Rumelange 4 1077 63.82% Stade Dudelange 0 1035 18.74% 17.44%
9 1966-10-15 28.1 @ Union Luxembourg 6 1231 73.13% Avenir Beggen 1 1063 10.04% 16.83%
10 1967-01-21 28.4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1252 63.16% Union Luxembourg 0 1217 19.38% 17.46%
11 1966-10-09 28.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1084 66.81% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 1008 15.88% 17.31%
12 1966-11-12 28.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1206 75.51% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 993 7.95% 16.54%
13 1967-01-22 28.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1204 61.13% US Dudelange 0 1190 21.35% 17.52%
14 1967-04-08 29.7 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1020 56.26% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1051 26.11% 17.62%
15 1967-05-04 29.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1251 63.97% Spora Luxembourg 0 1207 18.60% 17.43%
16 1967-05-07 29.9 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 1194 71.02% Mondorf-les-Bains 1 1061 11.95% 17.03%
17 1966-09-03 30.3 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1100 69.21% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 1 992 13.62% 17.17%
18 1966-11-19 30.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1233 61.98% Jeunesse Esch 0 1210 20.52% 17.50%
19 1966-12-17 30.4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1247 75.98% Mondorf-les-Bains 1 1024 7.55% 16.46%
20 1967-02-19 30.7 @ Rumelange 2 1083 68.68% Jeunesse Wasserbilig 0 983 14.12% 17.20%
21 1967-04-22 31.0 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1204 73.83% Stade Dudelange 1 1024 9.42% 16.75%
22 1967-05-07 31.0 @ Rumelange 3 1061 58.94% Avenir Beggen 0 1068 23.49% 17.58%
23 1967-05-04 31.7 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1055 64.67% Stade Dudelange 1 1003 17.92% 17.41%
24 1966-09-25 31.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1076 65.14% Stade Dudelange 0 1019 17.47% 17.39%
25 1967-05-21 32.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1269 65.35% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1210 17.27% 17.38%