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1967-68 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rumelange

7.54 points above expected

31 points · 23.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

CS Petange

5.94 points below expected

6 points · 11.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 16 3 3 35 41 17 +24 30.27 +4.73
2 Rumelange 22 13 5 4 31 50 29 +21 23.46 +7.54
3 Union Luxembourg 22 11 6 5 28 64 36 +28 27.65 +0.35
4 Aris Bonnevoie 22 11 4 7 26 42 22 +20 26.66 -0.66
5 US Dudelange 22 10 6 6 26 39 37 +2 22.34 +3.66
6 Spora Luxembourg 22 10 5 7 25 35 26 +9 26.10 -1.10
7 Avenir Beggen 22 8 5 9 21 34 32 +2 20.20 +0.80
8 Differdange 03 22 7 3 12 17 40 46 -6 21.71 -4.71
9 Mondorf-les-Bains 22 7 3 12 17 42 61 -19 18.89 -1.89
10 Progres Niedercorn 22 6 4 12 16 35 46 -11 19.53 -3.53
11 Stade Dudelange 22 6 4 12 16 21 44 -23 15.25 +0.75
12 CS Petange 22 1 4 17 6 16 63 -47 11.94 -5.94

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rumelange 31 23.46 +7.54
2 Jeunesse Esch 35 30.27 +4.73
3 US Dudelange 26 22.34 +3.66
4 Avenir Beggen 21 20.20 +0.80
5 Stade Dudelange 16 15.25 +0.75

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 CS Petange 6 11.94 -5.94
2 Differdange 03 17 21.71 -4.71
3 Progres Niedercorn 16 19.53 -3.53
4 Mondorf-les-Bains 17 18.89 -1.89
5 Spora Luxembourg 25 26.10 -1.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 4 Feb 3 – Mar 2 1 in 41
2 Avenir Beggen 4 Mar 9 – Apr 6 1 in 40
3 Jeunesse Esch 6 Aug 19 – Oct 7 1 in 36
4 Union Luxembourg 6 Feb 17 – Apr 6 1 in 32
5 US Dudelange 3 Mar 17 – Apr 6 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 5 Mar 2 – Apr 6 1 in 169
2 Progres Niedercorn 4 Mar 10 – Apr 6 1 in 94
3 CS Petange 9 Nov 18 – Mar 2 1 in 56
4 Mondorf-les-Bains 6 Feb 10 – Mar 23 1 in 32
5 Differdange 03 4 Oct 14 – Nov 18 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 US Dudelange 8 Dec 9 – Mar 2 1 in 53
2 Rumelange 9 Jan 27 – Apr 6 1 in 36
3 CS Petange 4 Oct 7 – Nov 12 1 in 25
4 Stade Dudelange 3 Mar 2 – Mar 17 1 in 16
5 Avenir Beggen 5 Mar 2 – Apr 6 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CS Petange 18 Aug 19 – Mar 2 1 in 56
2 Union Luxembourg 4 Oct 14 – Nov 18 1 in 16
3 Spora Luxembourg 5 Mar 2 – Apr 6 1 in 16
4 Progres Niedercorn 5 Mar 2 – Apr 6 1 in 14
5 Avenir Beggen 6 Oct 28 – Dec 23 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1286 35 -31 5 7.0 -2.0
Rumelange 1238 31 +30 8 6.3 +1.7
Union Luxembourg 1290 28 +76 10 6.9 +3.1
US Dudelange 1150 26 -1 7 5.4 +1.6
Aris Bonnevoie 1204 26 +0 4 5.5 -1.5
Spora Luxembourg 1181 25 -70 0 5.2 -5.2
Avenir Beggen 1130 21 +80 9 4.9 +4.1
Differdange 03 1080 17 -9 6 5.1 +0.9
Mondorf-les-Bains 990 17 -41 2 3.8 -1.8
Stade Dudelange 977 16 +21 6 3.1 +2.9
Progres Niedercorn 1034 16 -49 1 4.8 -3.8
CS Petange 841 6 -6 2 2.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB AB CP D0 JE MON PN RUM SL SD UD UL
Aris Bonnevoie —
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
4.68
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-0
2.07
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-2
3.58
0-1-1
2.89
2-0-0
4.18
0-1-1
3.63
0-1-1
2.83
Avenir Beggen
1-0-1
1.94
 —
2-0-0
3.86
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
1.41
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.49
0-2-0
2.05
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
1.83
CS Petange
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
1.73
 —
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
0.76
0-0-2
1.85
1-1-0
1.51
0-1-1
1.27
0-1-1
1.10
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
1.02
Differdange 03
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.83
 —
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
3.07
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.22
Jeunesse Esch
0-1-1
3.52
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.88
2-0-0
3.72
 —
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
3.89
0-1-1
3.59
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
4.65
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.20
Mondorf-les-Bains
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.50
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.33
 —
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.82
Progres Niedercorn
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
4.09
2-0-0
2.51
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
2.86
 —
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
3.72
0-1-1
2.54
0-2-0
1.85
Rumelange
2-0-0
2.01
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
4.35
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.54
 —
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
4.13
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.13
Spora Luxembourg
1-1-0
2.69
0-2-0
3.54
1-1-0
4.52
1-0-1
3.69
0-0-2
2.16
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
3.14
 —
2-0-0
4.29
1-0-1
3.23
0-1-1
2.56
Stade Dudelange
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
3.41
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
0.97
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.47
0-0-2
1.31
 —
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
1.19
US Dudelange
1-1-0
1.95
0-1-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.73
 —
2-0-0
2.02
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
3.36
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
3.77
0-2-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.46
1-1-0
3.03
1-1-0
4.42
0-0-2
3.57
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +4.5
Allowed 0.76 -4.8
Differential 0.89 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%6.82%6.44%3.41%3.03%1.89%25.38%
16.82%7.58%5.68%2.65%2.65%0.38%25.76%
26.44%5.68%4.55%1.14%3.03%1.52%22.35%
33.41%2.65%1.14%2.27%1.14%0.38%10.98%
43.03%2.65%3.03%1.14%0.76%—10.61%
5+1.89%0.38%1.52%0.38%—0.76%4.92%
Total25.38%25.76%22.35%10.98%10.61%4.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.74 +0.00
SD 1.58 1.58 2.35
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
222.73%4.55%9.09%———36.36%
34.55%—————4.55%
413.64%—————13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%18.18%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.00 +0.91
SD 1.54 1.07 2.39
CV 0.81 1.07 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%————18.18%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
29.09%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—27.27%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.45 +0.09
SD 1.18 1.41 1.77
CV 0.77 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%13.64%—9.09%9.09%50.00%
1——9.09%9.09%13.64%—31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%9.09%27.27%9.09%27.27%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.86 -2.14
SD 0.88 2.08 2.17
CV 1.21 0.73 —
Max 3 9 +1
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%————4.55%9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total13.64%31.82%13.64%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.09 -0.27
SD 1.59 1.54 2.53
CV 0.88 0.74 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
122.73%4.55%4.55%———31.82%
213.64%13.64%9.09%———36.36%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total45.45%31.82%22.73%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.77 +1.09
SD 1.17 0.81 1.41
CV 0.63 1.05 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
2—9.09%——9.09%9.09%27.27%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
49.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total13.64%22.73%13.64%13.64%13.64%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 2.77 -0.86
SD 1.60 2.11 2.98
CV 0.84 0.76 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—22.73%9.09%——36.36%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
24.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%9.09%45.45%18.18%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.09 -0.50
SD 1.59 1.19 1.74
CV 1.00 0.57 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
113.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
29.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
39.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total40.91%13.64%31.82%—13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.32 +0.95
SD 1.70 1.39 1.84
CV 0.75 1.06 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
113.64%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—36.36%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.18 +0.41
SD 1.50 1.10 1.94
CV 0.94 0.93 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%54.55%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
2—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%40.91%9.09%13.64%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.00 -1.05
SD 1.33 1.63 2.24
CV 1.39 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%——9.09%—22.73%
14.55%13.64%———4.55%22.73%
29.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.68 +0.09
SD 1.45 1.39 2.00
CV 0.82 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
44.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
5+9.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
Total22.73%36.36%9.09%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.91 1.64 +1.27
SD 2.22 1.43 2.66
CV 0.76 0.88 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Union Luxembourg 1290 28 27.65 +0.35 55.0% 18 21 25 28 30 34 36
Jeunesse Esch 1286 35 30.27 +4.73 91.0% 21 24 27 30 33 37 39
Rumelange 1238 31 23.46 +7.54 95.0% 13 16 20 23 27 31 38
Aris Bonnevoie 1204 26 26.66 -0.66 49.0% 17 21 24 27 29 33 37
Spora Luxembourg 1181 25 26.10 -1.10 43.0% 14 19 23 26 29 34 35
US Dudelange 1150 26 22.34 +3.66 86.0% 13 17 19 22 25 29 32
Avenir Beggen 1130 21 20.20 +0.80 62.0% 5 13 18 20 23 28 32
Differdange 03 1080 17 21.71 -4.71 17.0% 11 14 19 22 24 29 30
Progres Niedercorn 1034 16 19.53 -3.53 16.0% 12 14 17 19 22 26 28
Mondorf-les-Bains 990 17 18.89 -1.89 35.0% 10 13 16 19 21 25 28
Stade Dudelange 977 16 15.25 +0.75 63.0% 6 8 13 15 18 22 27
CS Petange 841 6 11.94 -5.94 6.0% 5 6 10 12 14 18 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.58%
Slight Edge
43.94%19.70%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.
141 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.19 * Some Luck: 3.19 to 4.79 * Lucky: 4.79 to 6.38 * Wild Swing: 6.38 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.36 * Close: 1.36 to 2.04 * Off: 2.04 to 2.72 * Way Off: 2.72 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.75 points
Some Luck
03.9910
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.704
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Rumelange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
CS Petange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 136.94
1.91
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Some Drama
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Occasional
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Near-Lock
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.58
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch46.00%27.00%8.00%12.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—————
Rumelange5.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
Union Luxembourg20.00%31.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%————
Aris Bonnevoie13.00%14.00%28.00%16.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
US Dudelange2.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%15.00%19.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%—
Spora Luxembourg12.00%7.00%21.00%21.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%——
Avenir Beggen1.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%14.00%11.00%23.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%2.00%
Differdange 031.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%
Mondorf-les-Bains—1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%24.00%20.00%11.00%4.00%
Progres Niedercorn——2.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%20.00%19.00%19.00%11.00%1.00%
Stade Dudelange———2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%12.00%21.00%35.00%19.00%
CS Petange——1.00%————1.00%4.00%6.00%17.00%71.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aris Bonnevoie 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Spora Luxembourg 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Rumelange 96.00% 4.00%
US Dudelange 96.00% 4.00%
Differdange 03 91.00% 9.00%
Progres Niedercorn 88.00% 12.00%
Avenir Beggen 86.00% 14.00%
Mondorf-les-Bains 85.00% 15.00%
Stade Dudelange 46.00% 54.00%
CS Petange 12.00% 88.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1967-08-19 Spora Luxembourg D 0-049.9 1074 1162 33.44% 20.82% 45.74%-0.44 +0.7 1
1967-08-19 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-049.9 1162 1074 45.74% 20.82% 33.44%+0.44 -0.7 1
1967-08-19 CS Petange W 4-135.0 1130 1013 59.49% 20.48% 20.03%+1.02 +13.0 2
1967-08-19 @ Differdange 03 L 1-435.0 1013 1130 20.03% 20.48% 59.49%-1.02 -13.0 0
1967-08-19 Progres Niedercorn W 2-032.9 1213 1100 59.05% 20.50% 20.45%+0.98 +10.9 2
1967-08-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-232.9 1100 1213 20.45% 20.50% 59.05%-0.98 -10.8 0
1967-08-19 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-334.2 1072 1168 32.31% 20.80% 46.89%-0.50 -23.2 0
1967-08-19 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 3-034.2 1168 1072 46.89% 20.80% 32.31%+0.50 +23.2 2
1967-08-19 Rumelange W 4-348.3 1198 1094 58.17% 20.55% 21.28%+0.92 +5.2 2
1967-08-19 @ Union Luxembourg L 3-448.3 1094 1198 21.28% 20.55% 58.17%-0.92 -5.2 0
1967-08-19 Stade Dudelange L 0-146.7 1134 1043 56.72% 20.61% 22.67%+0.83 -13.6 0
1967-08-19 @ US Dudelange W 1-046.7 1043 1134 22.67% 20.61% 56.72%-0.83 +13.6 2
1967-08-26 Union Luxembourg W 1-039.2 1224 1203 48.40% 20.84% 30.76%+0.33 +8.1 4
1967-08-26 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-139.2 1203 1224 30.76% 20.84% 48.40%-0.33 -8.1 2
1967-08-26 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-236.3 1089 1191 31.57% 20.78% 47.65%-0.54 -15.7 0
1967-08-26 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-036.3 1191 1089 47.65% 20.78% 31.57%+0.54 +15.7 4
1967-08-26 Differdange 03 D 1-153.3 1088 1143 37.99% 20.87% 41.13%-0.20 +0.2 1
1967-08-26 @ Rumelange D 1-153.3 1143 1088 41.13% 20.87% 37.99%+0.20 -0.2 3
1967-08-26 Mondorf-les-Bains W 2-140.0 1161 1048 59.02% 20.50% 20.47%+0.98 +5.4 3
1967-08-26 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-240.0 1048 1161 20.47% 20.50% 59.02%-0.98 -5.4 0
1967-08-26 Avenir Beggen L 0-142.7 1057 1074 43.24% 20.88% 35.88%+0.06 -10.7 2
1967-08-26 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-042.7 1074 1057 35.88% 20.88% 43.24%-0.06 +10.7 3
1967-08-26 US Dudelange L 0-235.6 1000 1120 29.35% 20.73% 49.92%-0.66 -14.8 0
1967-08-26 @ CS Petange W 2-035.6 1120 1000 49.92% 20.73% 29.35%+0.66 +14.8 2
1967-09-02 Progres Niedercorn D 4-464.8 1195 1073 59.91% 20.45% 19.63%+1.05 -1.2 3
1967-09-02 @ Union Luxembourg D 4-464.8 1073 1195 19.63% 20.45% 59.91%-1.05 +1.2 1
1967-09-03 Spora Luxembourg L 0-145.2 1207 1166 50.94% 20.79% 28.27%+0.47 -12.3 4
1967-09-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-045.2 1166 1207 28.27% 20.79% 50.94%-0.47 +12.3 5
1967-09-03 CS Petange W 1-036.2 1085 985 57.73% 20.57% 21.71%+0.89 +6.1 5
1967-09-03 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-136.2 985 1085 21.71% 20.57% 57.73%-0.89 -6.1 0
1967-09-03 Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.1 1143 1232 33.35% 20.82% 45.83%-0.44 -8.2 3
1967-09-03 @ Differdange 03 W 2-144.1 1232 1143 45.83% 20.82% 33.35%+0.44 +8.2 6
1967-09-03 Stade Dudelange W 4-033.3 1043 1046 45.29% 20.87% 33.84%+0.17 +31.5 2
1967-09-03 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-433.3 1046 1043 33.84% 20.87% 45.29%-0.17 -31.5 2
1967-09-03 Rumelange L 0-145.2 1135 1089 51.59% 20.78% 27.63%+0.51 -12.5 2
1967-09-03 @ US Dudelange W 1-045.2 1089 1135 27.63% 20.78% 51.59%-0.51 +12.5 3
1967-09-10 US Dudelange W 4-029.2 1240 1122 59.56% 20.47% 19.97%+1.02 +20.2 8
1967-09-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-429.2 1122 1240 19.97% 20.47% 59.56%-1.02 -20.2 2
1967-09-16 Differdange 03 W 5-240.3 1194 1135 53.13% 20.74% 26.14%+0.60 +14.2 5
1967-09-16 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-540.3 1135 1194 26.14% 20.74% 53.13%-0.60 -14.2 3
1967-09-17 Spora Luxembourg W 2-041.2 1075 1179 31.34% 20.78% 47.88%-0.55 +22.0 3
1967-09-17 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-241.2 1179 1075 47.88% 20.78% 31.34%+0.55 -22.0 5
1967-09-17 Avenir Beggen W 1-039.4 1101 1091 47.00% 20.86% 32.15%+0.26 +8.4 5
1967-09-17 @ Rumelange L 0-139.4 1091 1101 32.15% 20.86% 47.00%-0.26 -8.4 5
1967-09-17 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-429.9 1014 1195 22.52% 20.45% 57.03%-1.09 -22.3 2
1967-09-17 @ Stade Dudelange W 4-029.9 1195 1014 57.03% 20.45% 22.52%+1.09 +22.3 6
1967-09-17 Mondorf-les-Bains L 1-438.8 979 1075 32.47% 20.80% 46.73%-0.49 -19.6 0
1967-09-17 @ CS Petange W 4-138.8 1075 979 46.73% 20.80% 32.47%+0.49 +19.6 4
1967-09-23 CS Petange W 4-025.8 1217 960 70.57% 19.38% 10.06%+2.01 +10.7 8
1967-09-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-425.8 960 1217 10.06% 19.38% 70.57%-2.01 -10.7 0
1967-09-23 Jeunesse Esch L 2-442.4 1083 1260 22.82% 20.47% 56.71%-1.07 -9.2 5
1967-09-23 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-242.4 1260 1083 56.71% 20.47% 22.82%+1.07 +9.2 10
1967-09-23 Progres Niedercorn L 1-346.1 1121 1097 48.84% 20.83% 30.32%+0.36 -19.4 3
1967-09-23 @ Differdange 03 W 3-146.1 1097 1121 30.32% 20.83% 48.84%-0.36 +19.4 5
1967-09-23 Rumelange W 4-246.3 1094 1110 43.57% 20.88% 35.54%+0.08 +13.4 6
1967-09-23 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 2-446.3 1110 1094 35.54% 20.88% 43.57%-0.08 -13.4 5
1967-09-23 Stade Dudelange W 2-031.4 1157 992 63.86% 20.18% 15.97%+1.35 +8.7 7
1967-09-23 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-231.4 992 1157 15.97% 20.18% 63.86%-1.35 -8.7 2
1967-09-23 Union Luxembourg W 3-038.9 1102 1208 31.10% 20.77% 48.13%-0.56 +32.1 4
1967-09-23 @ US Dudelange L 0-338.9 1208 1102 48.13% 20.77% 31.10%+0.56 -32.1 5
1967-10-07 US Dudelange W 5-138.8 1101 1134 41.14% 20.89% 37.97%-0.05 +28.8 5
1967-10-07 @ Differdange 03 L 1-538.8 1134 1101 37.97% 20.89% 41.14%+0.05 -28.8 4
1967-10-07 Mondorf-les-Bains W 3-029.3 1269 1108 63.62% 20.20% 16.18%+1.33 +12.8 12
1967-10-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-329.3 1108 1269 16.18% 20.20% 63.62%-1.33 -12.8 6
1967-10-07 Avenir Beggen W 4-135.5 1176 1074 57.96% 20.56% 21.48%+0.91 +13.9 7
1967-10-07 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-435.5 1074 1176 21.48% 20.56% 57.96%-0.91 -13.9 5
1967-10-07 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-042.3 1096 1228 27.93% 20.69% 51.39%-0.74 +23.5 7
1967-10-07 @ Rumelange L 0-242.3 1228 1096 51.39% 20.69% 27.93%+0.74 -23.4 8
1967-10-07 Progres Niedercorn W 4-357.3 983 1116 27.79% 20.68% 51.53%-0.75 +10.9 4
1967-10-07 @ Stade Dudelange L 3-457.3 1116 983 51.53% 20.68% 27.79%+0.75 -10.9 5
1967-10-07 Spora Luxembourg D 2-258.1 949 1165 19.03% 20.22% 60.74%-1.35 +1.8 1
1967-10-07 @ CS Petange D 2-258.1 1165 949 60.74% 20.22% 19.03%+1.35 -1.8 8
1967-10-14 Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.3 1204 1282 34.80% 20.84% 44.36%-0.36 +0.4 9
1967-10-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.3 1282 1204 44.36% 20.84% 34.80%+0.36 -0.4 13
1967-10-14 Differdange 03 W 3-037.5 1060 1130 35.82% 20.85% 43.32%-0.31 +29.4 7
1967-10-14 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-337.5 1130 1060 43.32% 20.85% 35.82%+0.31 -29.4 5
1967-10-14 Union Luxembourg D 5-565.9 1095 1190 32.52% 20.80% 46.67%-0.49 +0.4 7
1967-10-14 @ Mondorf-les-Bains D 5-565.9 1190 1095 46.67% 20.80% 32.52%+0.49 -0.4 8
1967-10-14 US Dudelange L 2-352.3 1105 1105 45.67% 20.87% 33.46%+0.19 -10.0 5
1967-10-14 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-252.3 1105 1105 33.46% 20.87% 45.67%-0.19 +10.0 6
1967-10-15 Rumelange W 2-142.3 1164 1120 51.36% 20.78% 27.86%+0.50 +7.1 10
1967-10-15 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-242.3 1120 1164 27.86% 20.78% 51.36%-0.50 -7.1 7
1967-10-15 CS Petange D 0-049.9 994 951 51.31% 20.78% 27.90%+0.50 -1.4 5
1967-10-15 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-049.9 951 994 27.90% 20.78% 51.31%-0.50 +1.4 2
1967-10-28 Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-338.4 1101 1095 46.43% 20.86% 32.70%+0.23 -31.2 5
1967-10-28 @ Differdange 03 W 3-038.4 1095 1101 32.70% 20.86% 46.43%-0.23 +31.2 9
1967-10-28 Spora Luxembourg W 1-036.1 1282 1171 58.87% 20.51% 20.62%+0.97 +5.8 15
1967-10-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-136.1 1171 1282 20.62% 20.51% 58.87%-0.97 -5.8 10
1967-10-28 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.4 1189 1205 43.57% 20.88% 35.54%+0.08 -0.4 9
1967-10-28 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.4 1205 1189 35.54% 20.88% 43.57%-0.08 +0.4 10
1967-10-28 Stade Dudelange W 3-137.3 1113 993 59.74% 20.46% 19.80%+1.03 +9.1 9
1967-10-28 @ Rumelange L 1-337.3 993 1113 19.80% 20.46% 59.74%-1.03 -9.1 5
1967-10-28 Progres Niedercorn D 0-049.9 952 1095 26.56% 20.64% 52.80%-0.83 +1.6 3
1967-10-28 @ CS Petange D 0-049.9 1095 952 52.80% 20.64% 26.56%+0.83 -1.6 6
1967-10-28 Avenir Beggen D 1-153.3 1115 1089 49.13% 20.83% 30.04%+0.37 -1.0 7
1967-10-28 @ US Dudelange D 1-153.3 1089 1115 30.04% 20.83% 49.13%-0.37 +1.0 8
1967-11-11 Union Luxembourg D 3-362.2 1165 1189 42.39% 20.89% 36.72%+0.02 -0.2 11
1967-11-11 @ Spora Luxembourg D 3-362.2 1189 1165 36.72% 20.89% 42.39%-0.02 +0.2 10
1967-11-12 Differdange 03 W 2-032.2 1205 1070 61.26% 20.37% 18.36%+1.15 +9.9 12
1967-11-12 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-232.2 1070 1205 18.36% 20.37% 61.26%-1.15 -9.9 5
1967-11-12 Avenir Beggen W 1-039.7 1094 1090 46.15% 20.87% 32.98%+0.21 +8.6 8
1967-11-12 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-139.7 1090 1094 32.98% 20.87% 46.15%-0.21 -8.6 8
1967-11-12 Jeunesse Esch L 0-133.1 984 1288 12.46% 19.50% 68.04%-1.96 -3.6 5
1967-11-12 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-033.1 1288 984 68.04% 19.50% 12.46%+1.96 +3.7 17
1967-11-12 Rumelange D 0-049.9 954 1122 23.80% 20.52% 55.68%-1.00 +2.0 4
1967-11-12 @ CS Petange D 0-049.9 1122 954 55.68% 20.52% 23.80%+1.00 -2.0 10
1967-11-18 Mondorf-les-Bains D 3-362.1 1081 1126 39.43% 20.88% 39.69%-0.13 +0.0 9
1967-11-18 @ Avenir Beggen D 3-362.1 1126 1081 39.69% 20.88% 39.43%+0.13 -0.0 10
1967-11-18 Spora Luxembourg L 2-445.0 1060 1165 31.21% 20.78% 48.02%-0.56 -12.0 5
1967-11-18 @ Differdange 03 W 4-245.0 1165 1060 48.02% 20.78% 31.21%+0.56 +12.0 13
1967-11-18 CS Petange W 2-135.3 1291 956 74.74% 18.51% 6.75%+2.56 +1.9 19
1967-11-18 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-235.3 956 1291 6.75% 18.51% 74.74%-2.56 -1.9 4
1967-11-18 Stade Dudelange D 1-153.6 1189 980 67.34% 19.83% 12.83%+1.67 -3.2 11
1967-11-18 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.6 980 1189 12.83% 19.83% 67.34%-1.67 +3.2 6
1967-11-18 Progres Niedercorn W 3-033.8 1120 1102 48.00% 20.84% 31.16%+0.31 +22.5 12
1967-11-18 @ Rumelange L 0-333.8 1102 1120 31.16% 20.84% 48.00%-0.31 -22.5 8
1967-11-18 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.0 1114 1215 31.77% 20.79% 47.44%-0.53 +0.6 8
1967-11-18 @ US Dudelange D 2-258.0 1215 1114 47.44% 20.79% 31.77%+0.53 -0.6 13
1967-11-25 Avenir Beggen W 2-139.4 1214 1082 61.01% 20.39% 18.60%+1.13 +5.0 15
1967-11-25 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-239.4 1082 1214 18.60% 20.39% 61.01%-1.13 -5.0 9
1967-11-25 Mondorf-les-Bains W 5-244.5 1080 1126 39.17% 20.88% 39.94%-0.14 +20.1 10
1967-11-25 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-544.5 1126 1080 39.94% 20.88% 39.17%+0.14 -20.1 10
1967-11-25 Jeunesse Esch W 1-046.0 1142 1293 25.68% 20.60% 53.71%-0.88 +13.0 14
1967-11-25 @ Rumelange L 0-146.0 1293 1142 53.71% 20.60% 25.68%+0.88 -13.0 19
1967-11-25 US Dudelange W 1-037.5 1177 1115 53.49% 20.73% 25.78%+0.62 +7.0 15
1967-11-25 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-137.5 1115 1177 25.78% 20.73% 53.49%-0.62 -7.0 8
1967-11-25 Differdange 03 L 0-335.4 983 1048 36.66% 20.86% 42.48%-0.27 -25.7 6
1967-11-25 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-035.4 1048 983 42.48% 20.86% 36.66%+0.27 +25.7 7
1967-11-25 Union Luxembourg L 0-930.3 954 1186 17.68% 20.11% 62.21%-1.46 -38.8 4
1967-11-25 @ CS Petange W 9-030.3 1186 954 62.21% 20.11% 17.68%+1.46 +38.8 13
1967-12-09 US Dudelange D 1-153.3 1106 1108 45.44% 20.87% 33.69%+0.17 -0.6 11
1967-12-09 @ Mondorf-les-Bains D 1-153.3 1108 1106 33.69% 20.87% 45.44%-0.17 +0.6 9
1967-12-16 Mondorf-les-Bains L 1-251.6 1219 1106 59.15% 20.50% 20.35%+0.99 -13.4 15
1967-12-16 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-151.6 1106 1219 20.35% 20.50% 59.15%-0.99 +13.4 13
1967-12-16 Jeunesse Esch L 0-233.6 1100 1280 22.51% 20.45% 57.04%-1.09 -11.8 10
1967-12-16 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-033.6 1280 1100 57.04% 20.45% 22.51%+1.09 +11.8 21
1967-12-16 Union Luxembourg W 3-251.6 1155 1225 35.95% 20.86% 43.20%-0.31 +9.6 16
1967-12-16 @ Rumelange L 2-351.6 1225 1155 43.20% 20.86% 35.95%+0.31 -9.6 13
1967-12-16 Avenir Beggen D 1-153.4 1184 1077 58.49% 20.53% 20.98%+0.95 -2.1 16
1967-12-16 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.4 1077 1184 20.98% 20.53% 58.49%-0.95 +2.1 10
1967-12-16 US Dudelange L 0-234.4 958 1109 25.68% 20.60% 53.72%-0.88 -13.2 6
1967-12-16 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-034.4 1109 958 53.72% 20.60% 25.68%+0.88 +13.2 11
1967-12-16 Differdange 03 L 0-530.3 915 1073 24.84% 20.57% 54.60%-0.93 -30.0 4
1967-12-16 @ CS Petange W 5-030.3 1073 915 54.60% 20.57% 24.84%+0.93 +30.0 9
1967-12-23 Stade Dudelange L 1-252.1 1079 944 61.14% 20.38% 18.48%+1.14 -13.8 10
1967-12-23 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-152.1 944 1079 18.48% 20.38% 61.14%-1.14 +13.8 8
1967-12-30 Progres Niedercorn W 2-032.8 1206 1088 59.56% 20.47% 19.96%+1.02 +10.6 17
1967-12-30 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-232.8 1088 1206 19.96% 20.47% 59.56%-1.02 -10.6 10
1967-12-31 Rumelange W 4-141.7 1103 1165 37.06% 20.87% 42.07%-0.25 +24.2 11
1967-12-31 @ Differdange 03 L 1-441.7 1165 1103 42.07% 20.87% 37.06%+0.25 -24.2 16
1967-12-31 Spora Luxembourg L 0-634.6 1119 1182 36.88% 20.87% 42.26%-0.26 -49.4 13
1967-12-31 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 6-034.6 1182 1119 42.26% 20.87% 36.88%+0.26 +49.4 18
1967-12-31 Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.8 1215 1292 34.94% 20.84% 44.22%-0.36 -8.5 13
1967-12-31 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-144.8 1292 1215 44.22% 20.84% 34.94%+0.36 +8.5 23
1967-12-31 CS Petange W 4-344.8 1122 885 69.26% 19.58% 11.16%+1.86 +2.9 13
1967-12-31 @ US Dudelange L 3-444.8 885 1122 11.16% 19.58% 69.26%-1.86 -2.9 4
1968-01-27 Differdange 03 W 1-034.4 1300 1128 64.55% 20.12% 15.33%+1.41 +4.5 25
1968-01-27 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-134.4 1128 1300 15.33% 20.12% 64.55%-1.41 -4.5 11
1968-01-27 Union Luxembourg D 3-362.1 1077 1207 28.21% 20.70% 51.09%-0.73 +0.8 11
1968-01-27 @ Progres Niedercorn D 3-362.1 1207 1077 51.09% 20.70% 28.21%+0.73 -0.8 14
1968-01-27 US Dudelange D 2-257.9 1141 1125 47.80% 20.85% 31.35%+0.30 -0.7 17
1968-01-27 @ Rumelange D 2-257.9 1125 1141 31.35% 20.85% 47.80%-0.30 +0.7 14
1968-01-27 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.6 1231 1217 47.61% 20.85% 31.54%+0.29 -0.9 19
1968-01-27 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.6 1217 1231 31.54% 20.85% 47.61%-0.29 +0.9 18
1968-01-27 Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-143.7 958 1070 30.42% 20.76% 48.83%-0.60 +27.4 10
1968-01-27 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-443.7 1070 958 48.83% 20.76% 30.42%+0.60 -27.4 13
1968-01-27 Avenir Beggen L 0-233.4 882 1065 22.27% 20.44% 57.30%-1.11 -11.7 4
1968-01-27 @ CS Petange W 2-033.4 1065 882 57.30% 20.44% 22.27%+1.11 +11.7 12
1968-02-03 Stade Dudelange W 6-026.5 1217 986 68.92% 19.63% 11.45%+1.83 +17.7 20
1968-02-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-626.5 986 1217 11.45% 19.63% 68.92%-1.83 -17.7 10
1968-02-03 Rumelange L 2-446.6 1076 1140 36.78% 20.86% 42.36%-0.26 -13.7 12
1968-02-03 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-246.6 1140 1076 42.36% 20.86% 36.78%+0.26 +13.7 19
1968-02-03 Union Luxembourg L 1-341.8 1123 1206 34.13% 20.83% 45.03%-0.40 -14.5 11
1968-02-03 @ Differdange 03 W 3-141.8 1206 1123 45.03% 20.83% 34.13%+0.40 +14.5 16
1968-02-03 CS Petange W 4-027.6 1042 870 64.45% 20.13% 15.42%+1.40 +16.0 15
1968-02-03 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-427.6 870 1042 15.42% 20.13% 64.45%-1.40 -16.0 4
1968-02-03 Progres Niedercorn W 3-029.4 1230 1078 62.77% 20.27% 16.97%+1.26 +13.4 21
1968-02-03 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-329.4 1078 1230 16.97% 20.27% 62.77%-1.26 -13.4 11
1968-02-03 Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.3 1125 1305 22.58% 20.46% 56.96%-1.08 +1.4 15
1968-02-03 @ US Dudelange D 2-258.3 1305 1125 56.96% 20.46% 22.58%+1.08 -1.4 26
1968-02-10 Avenir Beggen W 3-134.5 1303 1063 69.52% 19.54% 10.94%+1.89 +5.3 28
1968-02-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-334.5 1063 1303 10.94% 19.54% 69.52%-1.89 -5.3 12
1968-02-10 Differdange 03 W 3-250.4 1065 1109 39.57% 20.88% 39.55%-0.12 +8.9 13
1968-02-10 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-350.4 1109 1065 39.55% 20.88% 39.57%+0.12 -8.9 11
1968-02-10 US Dudelange L 0-146.9 1220 1127 57.06% 20.60% 22.35%+0.85 -13.7 16
1968-02-10 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-046.9 1127 1220 22.35% 20.60% 57.06%-0.85 +13.7 17
1968-02-10 Mondorf-les-Bains W 7-234.8 1154 1058 57.26% 20.59% 22.15%+0.86 +18.8 21
1968-02-10 @ Rumelange L 2-734.8 1058 1154 22.15% 20.59% 57.26%-0.86 -18.8 15
1968-02-10 Spora Luxembourg L 0-133.7 968 1244 14.33% 19.76% 65.92%-1.76 -4.2 10
1968-02-10 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-033.7 1244 968 65.92% 19.76% 14.33%+1.76 +4.2 23
1968-02-10 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-228.7 854 1235 8.46% 18.67% 72.86%-2.51 -4.7 4
1968-02-10 @ CS Petange W 2-028.7 1235 854 72.86% 18.67% 8.46%+2.51 +4.7 22
1968-02-17 Union Luxembourg L 0-137.5 1057 1207 25.88% 20.61% 53.51%-0.87 -7.0 12
1968-02-17 @ Avenir Beggen W 1-037.5 1207 1057 53.51% 20.61% 25.88%+0.87 +7.0 18
1968-02-18 Rumelange L 0-340.9 1240 1173 54.14% 20.71% 25.15%+0.66 -35.8 22
1968-02-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-040.9 1173 1240 25.15% 20.71% 54.14%-0.66 +35.8 23
1968-02-18 Jeunesse Esch L 0-231.1 1039 1309 14.76% 19.81% 65.43%-1.72 -8.1 15
1968-02-18 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 2-031.1 1309 1039 65.43% 19.81% 14.76%+1.72 +8.1 30
1968-02-18 Stade Dudelange W 4-241.7 1074 964 58.76% 20.52% 20.72%+0.96 +8.5 15
1968-02-18 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-441.7 964 1074 20.72% 20.52% 58.76%-0.96 -8.5 10
1968-02-18 CS Petange W 3-132.0 1248 850 77.39% 17.72% 4.89%+3.00 +2.4 25
1968-02-18 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-332.0 850 1248 4.89% 17.72% 77.39%-3.00 -2.4 4
1968-02-18 Differdange 03 W 5-346.6 1140 1100 50.95% 20.79% 28.26%+0.47 +10.5 19
1968-02-18 @ US Dudelange L 3-546.6 1100 1140 28.26% 20.79% 50.95%-0.47 -10.5 11
1968-03-02 Avenir Beggen D 2-257.9 1089 1050 50.71% 20.80% 28.49%+0.46 -0.9 12
1968-03-02 @ Differdange 03 D 2-257.9 1050 1089 28.49% 20.80% 50.71%-0.46 +0.9 13
1968-03-02 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-244.9 1317 1204 59.04% 20.50% 20.46%+0.98 -26.7 30
1968-03-02 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-044.9 1204 1317 20.46% 20.50% 59.04%-0.98 +26.7 24
1968-03-02 Mondorf-les-Bains W 6-027.6 1214 1031 65.32% 20.05% 14.64%+1.48 +22.3 20
1968-03-02 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-627.6 1031 1214 14.64% 20.05% 65.32%-1.48 -22.3 15
1968-03-02 Spora Luxembourg W 2-038.9 1208 1250 39.85% 20.88% 39.27%-0.11 +18.7 25
1968-03-02 @ Rumelange L 0-238.9 1250 1208 39.27% 20.88% 39.85%+0.11 -18.7 25
1968-03-02 Stade Dudelange L 1-340.6 847 955 30.83% 20.77% 48.40%-0.58 -13.3 4
1968-03-02 @ CS Petange W 3-140.6 955 847 48.40% 20.77% 30.83%+0.58 +13.3 12
1968-03-02 Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.4 1151 1082 54.28% 20.70% 25.02%+0.67 -1.6 20
1968-03-02 @ US Dudelange D 1-153.4 1082 1151 25.02% 20.70% 54.28%-0.67 +1.6 16
1968-03-09 Union Luxembourg L 0-240.7 1231 1236 45.00% 20.88% 34.13%+0.15 -20.9 24
1968-03-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-040.7 1236 1231 34.13% 20.88% 45.00%-0.15 +20.9 22
1968-03-09 US Dudelange W 4-037.3 1051 1149 32.12% 20.80% 47.08%-0.51 +41.2 15
1968-03-09 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-437.3 1149 1051 47.08% 20.80% 32.12%+0.51 -41.2 20
1968-03-10 Differdange 03 L 0-140.1 1009 1088 34.59% 20.84% 44.57%-0.38 -9.0 15
1968-03-10 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 1-040.1 1088 1009 44.57% 20.84% 34.59%+0.38 +9.0 14
1968-03-10 CS Petange L 1-254.5 1084 834 70.10% 19.45% 10.45%+1.96 -15.9 16
1968-03-10 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-154.5 834 1084 10.45% 19.45% 70.10%-1.96 +15.9 6
1968-03-10 Jeunesse Esch L 0-141.5 1231 1290 37.45% 20.87% 41.68%-0.23 -9.6 25
1968-03-10 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-041.5 1290 1231 41.68% 20.87% 37.45%+0.23 +9.5 32
1968-03-10 Rumelange D 0-050.2 969 1227 15.58% 19.91% 64.51%-1.64 +3.2 13
1968-03-10 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-050.2 1227 969 64.51% 19.91% 15.58%+1.64 -3.2 26
1968-03-16 Spora Luxembourg W 4-138.1 1257 1222 50.23% 20.81% 28.96%+0.43 +17.9 24
1968-03-16 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-438.1 1222 1257 28.96% 20.81% 50.23%-0.43 -17.9 25
1968-03-17 Progres Niedercorn W 2-035.9 1092 1068 48.90% 20.83% 30.27%+0.36 +15.1 17
1968-03-17 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-235.9 1068 1092 30.27% 20.83% 48.90%-0.36 -15.2 16
1968-03-17 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-432.3 1097 1210 30.24% 20.75% 49.01%-0.61 -28.7 14
1968-03-17 @ Differdange 03 W 4-032.3 1210 1097 49.01% 20.75% 30.24%+0.61 +28.7 26
1968-03-17 Stade Dudelange L 1-255.6 1300 972 74.37% 18.61% 7.02%+2.51 -16.8 32
1968-03-17 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-155.6 972 1300 7.02% 18.61% 74.37%-2.51 +16.8 15
1968-03-17 CS Petange W 5-233.2 1224 850 76.42% 18.04% 5.54%+2.83 +3.3 28
1968-03-17 @ Rumelange L 2-533.2 850 1224 5.54% 18.04% 76.42%-2.83 -3.3 6
1968-03-17 Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-241.8 1108 1000 58.58% 20.53% 20.90%+0.95 +8.6 22
1968-03-17 @ US Dudelange L 2-441.8 1000 1108 20.90% 20.53% 58.58%-0.95 -8.6 15
1968-03-23 US Dudelange L 1-349.4 1239 1117 59.97% 20.45% 19.58%+1.05 -23.5 26
1968-03-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-149.4 1117 1239 19.58% 20.45% 59.97%-1.05 +23.5 24
1968-03-23 Avenir Beggen L 2-444.5 991 1108 29.80% 20.74% 49.46%-0.64 -11.6 15
1968-03-23 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-244.5 1108 991 49.46% 20.74% 29.80%+0.64 +11.6 19
1968-03-23 Rumelange L 2-442.5 1053 1227 23.14% 20.49% 56.37%-1.05 -9.3 16
1968-03-23 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-242.5 1227 1053 56.37% 20.49% 23.14%+1.05 +9.3 30
1968-03-23 Differdange 03 L 1-252.2 1204 1069 61.25% 20.37% 18.38%+1.14 -13.9 25
1968-03-23 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-152.2 1069 1204 18.38% 20.37% 61.25%-1.14 +13.9 16
1968-03-23 Union Luxembourg L 0-427.0 989 1275 13.61% 19.66% 66.73%-1.84 -14.2 15
1968-03-23 @ Stade Dudelange W 4-027.0 1275 989 66.73% 19.66% 13.61%+1.84 +14.2 26
1968-03-23 Jeunesse Esch L 1-430.1 847 1283 6.38% 17.99% 75.63%-2.90 -4.4 6
1968-03-23 @ CS Petange W 4-130.1 1283 847 75.63% 17.99% 6.38%+2.90 +4.4 34
1968-04-06 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-148.0 1119 1215 32.38% 20.80% 46.82%-0.49 +10.8 21
1968-04-06 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-248.0 1215 1119 46.82% 20.80% 32.38%+0.49 -10.8 26
1968-04-06 Stade Dudelange D 1-153.4 1082 974 58.57% 20.53% 20.91%+0.95 -2.1 17
1968-04-06 @ Differdange 03 D 1-153.4 974 1082 20.91% 20.53% 58.57%-0.95 +2.1 16
1968-04-06 Rumelange D 1-153.8 1287 1236 52.17% 20.76% 27.06%+0.55 -1.4 35
1968-04-06 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.8 1236 1287 27.06% 20.76% 52.17%-0.55 +1.4 31
1968-04-06 Progres Niedercorn W 2-146.6 980 1043 36.75% 20.86% 42.39%-0.26 +9.9 17
1968-04-06 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 1-246.6 1043 980 42.39% 20.86% 36.75%+0.26 -9.9 16
1968-04-06 CS Petange W 2-133.9 1289 842 79.14% 17.06% 3.80%+3.35 +1.0 28
1968-04-06 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-233.9 842 1289 3.80% 17.06% 79.14%-3.35 -1.0 6
1968-04-06 Spora Luxembourg W 2-146.1 1140 1190 38.69% 20.88% 40.44%-0.17 +9.6 26
1968-04-06 @ US Dudelange L 1-246.1 1190 1140 40.44% 20.88% 38.69%+0.17 -9.6 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1968-03-17 7.02% Stade Dudelange 972 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1300 1
2 1968-03-10 10.45% CS Petange 834 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1084 1
3 1968-03-23 18.38% Differdange 03 1069 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1204 1
4 1967-12-23 18.48% Stade Dudelange 944 2 @ Avenir Beggen 1079 1
5 1968-03-23 19.58% US Dudelange 1117 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1239 1
6 1967-12-16 20.35% Mondorf-les-Bains 1106 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1219 1
7 1968-03-02 20.46% Aris Bonnevoie 1204 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1317 0
8 1968-02-10 22.35% US Dudelange 1127 1 @ Union Luxembourg 1220 0
9 1967-08-19 22.67% Stade Dudelange 1043 1 @ US Dudelange 1134 0
10 1968-02-18 25.15% Rumelange 1173 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1240 0
11 1967-11-25 25.68% @ Rumelange 1142 1 Jeunesse Esch 1293 0
12 1967-09-03 27.63% Rumelange 1089 1 @ US Dudelange 1135 0
13 1967-10-07 27.79% @ Stade Dudelange 983 4 Progres Niedercorn 1116 3
14 1967-10-07 27.93% @ Rumelange 1096 2 Aris Bonnevoie 1228 0
15 1967-09-03 28.27% Spora Luxembourg 1166 1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1207 0
16 1967-09-23 30.32% Progres Niedercorn 1097 3 @ Differdange 03 1121 1
17 1968-01-27 30.42% @ Stade Dudelange 958 4 Mondorf-les-Bains 1070 1
18 1967-09-23 31.10% @ US Dudelange 1102 3 Union Luxembourg 1208 0
19 1967-09-17 31.34% @ Progres Niedercorn 1075 2 Spora Luxembourg 1179 0
20 1968-03-09 32.12% @ Avenir Beggen 1051 4 US Dudelange 1149 0
21 1968-04-06 32.38% @ Avenir Beggen 1119 2 Aris Bonnevoie 1215 1
22 1967-10-28 32.70% Mondorf-les-Bains 1095 3 @ Differdange 03 1101 0
23 1967-10-14 33.46% US Dudelange 1105 3 @ Progres Niedercorn 1105 2
24 1968-03-09 34.13% Union Luxembourg 1236 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1231 0
25 1967-10-14 35.82% @ Avenir Beggen 1060 3 Differdange 03 1130 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-12-31 49.37 Spora Luxembourg 6 1182 42.26% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1119 36.88% 20.87%
2 1968-03-09 41.19 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1051 32.12% US Dudelange 0 1149 47.08% 20.80%
3 1967-11-25 38.84 Union Luxembourg 9 1186 62.21% @ CS Petange 0 954 17.68% 20.11%
4 1968-02-18 35.76 Rumelange 3 1173 25.15% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1240 54.14% 20.71%
5 1967-09-23 32.13 @ US Dudelange 3 1102 31.10% Union Luxembourg 0 1208 48.13% 20.77%
6 1967-09-03 31.49 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 4 1043 45.29% Stade Dudelange 0 1046 33.84% 20.87%
7 1967-10-28 31.17 Mondorf-les-Bains 3 1095 32.70% @ Differdange 03 0 1101 46.43% 20.86%
8 1967-12-16 29.96 Differdange 03 5 1073 54.60% @ CS Petange 0 915 24.84% 20.57%
9 1967-10-14 29.39 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1060 35.82% Differdange 03 0 1130 43.32% 20.85%
10 1967-10-07 28.78 @ Differdange 03 5 1101 41.14% US Dudelange 1 1134 37.97% 20.89%
11 1968-03-17 28.69 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1210 49.01% @ Differdange 03 0 1097 30.24% 20.75%
12 1968-01-27 27.44 @ Stade Dudelange 4 958 30.42% Mondorf-les-Bains 1 1070 48.83% 20.76%
13 1968-03-02 26.74 Aris Bonnevoie 2 1204 20.46% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1317 59.04% 20.50%
14 1967-11-25 25.69 Differdange 03 3 1048 42.48% @ Stade Dudelange 0 983 36.66% 20.86%
15 1967-12-31 24.19 @ Differdange 03 4 1103 37.06% Rumelange 1 1165 42.07% 20.87%
16 1968-03-23 23.51 US Dudelange 3 1117 19.58% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1239 59.97% 20.45%
17 1967-10-07 23.45 @ Rumelange 2 1096 27.93% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1228 51.39% 20.69%
18 1967-08-19 23.19 Aris Bonnevoie 3 1168 46.89% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1072 32.31% 20.80%
19 1967-11-18 22.53 @ Rumelange 3 1120 48.00% Progres Niedercorn 0 1102 31.16% 20.84%
20 1967-09-17 22.34 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1195 57.03% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1014 22.52% 20.45%
21 1968-03-02 22.32 @ Union Luxembourg 6 1214 65.32% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1031 14.64% 20.05%
22 1967-09-17 22.03 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1075 31.34% Spora Luxembourg 0 1179 47.88% 20.78%
23 1968-03-09 20.89 Union Luxembourg 2 1236 34.13% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1231 45.00% 20.88%
24 1967-09-10 20.17 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1240 59.56% US Dudelange 0 1122 19.97% 20.47%
25 1967-11-25 20.09 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 1080 39.17% Mondorf-les-Bains 2 1126 39.94% 20.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-10-14 65.9 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 5 1095 32.52% Union Luxembourg 5 1190 46.67% 20.80%
2 1967-09-02 64.8 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1195 59.91% Progres Niedercorn 4 1073 19.63% 20.45%
3 1967-11-11 62.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1165 42.39% Union Luxembourg 3 1189 36.72% 20.89%
4 1967-11-18 62.1 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1081 39.43% Mondorf-les-Bains 3 1126 39.69% 20.88%
5 1968-01-27 62.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1077 28.21% Union Luxembourg 3 1207 51.09% 20.70%
6 1967-10-14 58.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1204 34.80% Jeunesse Esch 2 1282 44.36% 20.84%
7 1968-02-03 58.3 @ US Dudelange 2 1125 22.58% Jeunesse Esch 2 1305 56.96% 20.46%
8 1967-10-07 58.1 @ CS Petange 2 949 19.03% Spora Luxembourg 2 1165 60.74% 20.22%
9 1967-11-18 58.0 @ US Dudelange 2 1114 31.77% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1215 47.44% 20.79%
10 1968-01-27 57.9 @ Rumelange 2 1141 47.80% US Dudelange 2 1125 31.35% 20.85%
11 1968-03-02 57.9 @ Differdange 03 2 1089 50.71% Avenir Beggen 2 1050 28.49% 20.80%
12 1967-10-07 57.3 @ Stade Dudelange 4 983 27.79% Progres Niedercorn 3 1116 51.53% 20.68%
13 1968-03-17 55.6 Stade Dudelange 2 972 7.02% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1300 74.37% 18.61%
14 1968-03-10 54.5 CS Petange 2 834 10.45% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1084 70.10% 19.45%
15 1968-04-06 53.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1287 52.17% Rumelange 1 1236 27.06% 20.76%
16 1967-11-18 53.6 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1189 67.34% Stade Dudelange 1 980 12.83% 19.83%
17 1968-01-27 53.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1231 47.61% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1217 31.54% 20.85%
18 1967-10-28 53.4 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1189 43.57% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1205 35.54% 20.88%
19 1967-12-16 53.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1184 58.49% Avenir Beggen 1 1077 20.98% 20.53%
20 1968-03-02 53.4 @ US Dudelange 1 1151 54.28% Progres Niedercorn 1 1082 25.02% 20.70%
21 1968-04-06 53.4 @ Differdange 03 1 1082 58.57% Stade Dudelange 1 974 20.91% 20.53%
22 1967-08-26 53.3 @ Rumelange 1 1088 37.99% Differdange 03 1 1143 41.13% 20.87%
23 1967-10-28 53.3 @ US Dudelange 1 1115 49.13% Avenir Beggen 1 1089 30.04% 20.83%
24 1967-12-09 53.3 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 1 1106 45.44% US Dudelange 1 1108 33.69% 20.87%
25 1967-10-14 52.3 US Dudelange 3 1105 33.46% @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1105 45.67% 20.87%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-09-23 25.8 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1217 70.57% CS Petange 0 960 10.06% 19.38%
2 1968-02-03 26.5 @ Aris Bonnevoie 6 1217 68.92% Stade Dudelange 0 986 11.45% 19.63%
3 1968-03-23 27.0 Union Luxembourg 4 1275 66.73% @ Stade Dudelange 0 989 13.61% 19.66%
4 1968-02-03 27.6 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 4 1042 64.45% CS Petange 0 870 15.42% 20.13%
5 1968-03-02 27.6 @ Union Luxembourg 6 1214 65.32% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1031 14.64% 20.05%
6 1968-02-10 28.7 Aris Bonnevoie 2 1235 72.86% @ CS Petange 0 854 8.46% 18.67%
7 1967-09-10 29.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1240 59.56% US Dudelange 0 1122 19.97% 20.47%
8 1967-10-07 29.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1269 63.62% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1108 16.18% 20.20%
9 1968-02-03 29.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1230 62.77% Progres Niedercorn 0 1078 16.97% 20.27%
10 1967-09-17 29.9 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1195 57.03% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1014 22.52% 20.45%
11 1968-03-23 30.1 Jeunesse Esch 4 1283 75.63% @ CS Petange 1 847 6.38% 17.99%
12 1967-11-25 30.3 Union Luxembourg 9 1186 62.21% @ CS Petange 0 954 17.68% 20.11%
13 1967-12-16 30.3 Differdange 03 5 1073 54.60% @ CS Petange 0 915 24.84% 20.57%
14 1968-02-18 31.1 Jeunesse Esch 2 1309 65.43% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1039 14.76% 19.81%
15 1967-09-23 31.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1157 63.86% Stade Dudelange 0 992 15.97% 20.18%
16 1968-02-18 32.0 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1248 77.39% CS Petange 1 850 4.89% 17.72%
17 1967-11-12 32.2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1205 61.26% Differdange 03 0 1070 18.36% 20.37%
18 1968-03-17 32.3 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1210 49.01% @ Differdange 03 0 1097 30.24% 20.75%
19 1967-12-30 32.8 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1206 59.56% Progres Niedercorn 0 1088 19.96% 20.47%
20 1967-08-19 32.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1213 59.05% Progres Niedercorn 0 1100 20.45% 20.50%
21 1967-11-12 33.1 Jeunesse Esch 1 1288 68.04% @ Stade Dudelange 0 984 12.46% 19.50%
22 1968-03-17 33.2 @ Rumelange 5 1224 76.42% CS Petange 2 850 5.54% 18.04%
23 1967-09-03 33.3 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 4 1043 45.29% Stade Dudelange 0 1046 33.84% 20.87%
24 1968-01-27 33.4 Avenir Beggen 2 1065 57.30% @ CS Petange 0 882 22.27% 20.44%
25 1967-12-16 33.6 Jeunesse Esch 2 1280 57.04% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1100 22.51% 20.45%