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1971-72 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Aris Bonnevoie

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rumelange

7.40 points above expected

30 points · 22.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Union Luxembourg

5.92 points below expected

18 points · 23.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aris Bonnevoie 22 14 3 5 31 59 20 +39 27.41 +3.59
2 Rumelange 22 13 4 5 30 44 34 +10 22.60 +7.40
3 Differdange 03 22 10 6 6 26 51 39 +12 23.11 +2.89
4 Jeunesse Esch 22 12 2 8 26 44 34 +10 25.07 +0.93
5 Avenir Beggen 22 11 3 8 25 40 33 +7 22.70 +2.30
6 Etzella Ettelbruck 22 6 8 8 20 40 38 +2 20.77 -0.77
7 Spora Luxembourg 22 8 4 10 20 35 37 -2 24.79 -4.79
8 FC Schifflange 95 22 6 7 9 19 30 36 -6 19.18 -0.18
9 SC Tetange 22 6 7 9 19 25 36 -11 18.99 +0.01
10 Union Luxembourg 22 8 2 12 18 29 35 -6 23.92 -5.92
11 Progres Niedercorn 22 4 7 11 15 29 50 -21 18.81 -3.81
12 Alliance Dudelange 22 5 5 12 15 25 59 -34 16.65 -1.65

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rumelange 30 22.60 +7.40
2 Aris Bonnevoie 31 27.41 +3.59
3 Differdange 03 26 23.11 +2.89
4 Avenir Beggen 25 22.70 +2.30
5 Jeunesse Esch 26 25.07 +0.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Union Luxembourg 18 23.92 -5.92
2 Spora Luxembourg 20 24.79 -4.79
3 Progres Niedercorn 15 18.81 -3.81
4 Alliance Dudelange 15 16.65 -1.65
5 Etzella Ettelbruck 20 20.77 -0.77

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 12 Oct 3 – Jan 16 1 in 71,901
2 Avenir Beggen 5 Sep 19 – Oct 24 1 in 180
3 Jeunesse Esch 5 Dec 12 – Jan 23 1 in 50
4 Aris Bonnevoie 5 Nov 20 – Dec 18 1 in 29
5 Etzella Ettelbruck 2 Apr 8 – Apr 15 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 5 Mar 4 – Apr 15 1 in 133
2 Alliance Dudelange 7 Sep 5 – Oct 24 1 in 120
3 Union Luxembourg 4 Oct 30 – Nov 27 1 in 76
4 Jeunesse Esch 3 Mar 26 – Apr 15 1 in 39
5 FC Schifflange 95 3 Nov 13 – Nov 28 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 12 Oct 3 – Jan 16 1 in 256
2 Etzella Ettelbruck 7 Jan 16 – Apr 15 1 in 58
3 Alliance Dudelange 5 Mar 4 – Apr 15 1 in 39
4 Avenir Beggen 7 Sep 19 – Nov 13 1 in 28
5 Differdange 03 7 Dec 18 – Mar 25 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 7 Jan 15 – Apr 15 1 in 38
2 Rumelange 6 Jan 23 – Apr 15 1 in 35
3 Union Luxembourg 6 Oct 30 – Dec 12 1 in 25
4 FC Schifflange 95 8 Sep 26 – Nov 28 1 in 24
5 Differdange 03 5 Sep 19 – Oct 24 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aris Bonnevoie 1271 31 +0 7 6.4 +0.6
Rumelange 1180 30 -18 3 5.5 -2.5
Differdange 03 1187 26 +6 6 5.2 +0.8
Jeunesse Esch 1204 26 -24 3 5.7 -2.7
Avenir Beggen 1164 25 -4 6 5.7 +0.3
Etzella Ettelbruck 1148 20 +39 8 4.5 +3.5
Spora Luxembourg 1161 20 -29 0 5.0 -5.0
SC Tetange 1076 19 -8 4 3.8 +0.2
FC Schifflange 95 1091 19 +1 4 4.8 -0.8
Union Luxembourg 1167 18 +2 6 5.1 +0.9
Alliance Dudelange 1047 15 +27 8 3.7 +4.3
Progres Niedercorn 1069 15 +8 5 4.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB AB D0 EE FS9 JE PN RUM ST SL UL
Alliance Dudelange —
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
2.46
0-0-2
2.21
0-2-0
2.43
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
1.95
Aris Bonnevoie
2-0-0
4.15
 —
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.70
1-0-1
3.71
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
4.01
2-0-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.29
Avenir Beggen
1-0-1
3.74
0-1-1
2.30
 —
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.10
0-1-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.29
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.46
Differdange 03
1-0-1
3.70
1-1-0
2.09
1-0-1
2.92
 —
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.27
2-0-0
2.47
0-1-1
3.39
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
3.45
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.46
Etzella Ettelbruck
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.47
 —
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.19
0-2-0
3.11
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
3.08
2-0-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.27
FC Schifflange 95
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
1.84
1-1-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.59
 —
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
2.92
0-1-1
2.14
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
1.92
1-1-0
2.06
Jeunesse Esch
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
3.06
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.54
 —
2-0-0
3.69
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.71
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
2.85
Progres Niedercorn
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
2.17
1-1-0
2.15
0-2-0
2.42
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.86
 —
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.01
Rumelange
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.11
 —
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.72
SC Tetange
0-2-0
3.10
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.10
1-1-0
2.46
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
1.84
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.14
 —
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.12
Spora Luxembourg
2-0-0
3.75
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
3.03
0-0-2
3.38
0-1-1
3.63
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.61
 —
1-0-1
2.95
Union Luxembourg
2-0-0
3.60
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
3.07
0-1-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.27
0-1-1
3.49
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
2.59
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +4.6
Allowed 0.57 -4.3
Differential 0.83 +2.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%4.92%4.55%4.17%1.52%2.27%22.73%
14.92%7.58%7.58%5.30%2.65%1.89%29.92%
24.55%7.58%6.82%1.14%0.76%2.27%23.11%
34.17%5.30%1.14%1.52%——12.12%
41.52%2.65%0.76%—0.76%—5.68%
5+2.27%1.89%2.27%———6.44%
Total22.73%29.92%23.11%12.12%5.68%6.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.71 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.52 2.39
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—13.64%36.36%
19.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%45.45%
2—4.55%————4.55%
3———————
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%13.64%13.64%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.68 -1.55
SD 1.42 2.21 2.81
CV 1.25 0.82 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%——9.09%——22.73%
14.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
29.09%—————9.09%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4———————
5+13.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
Total50.00%22.73%13.64%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 0.91 +1.77
SD 2.30 1.11 2.78
CV 0.86 1.22 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
1——13.64%4.55%——18.18%
29.09%9.09%———9.09%27.27%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.50 +0.32
SD 1.37 1.47 2.03
CV 0.75 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%9.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%—36.36%
2—9.09%13.64%——4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.77 +0.55
SD 1.73 1.27 2.30
CV 0.75 0.72 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—9.09%—4.55%27.27%
1—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
24.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%22.73%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.73 +0.09
SD 1.76 1.61 2.64
CV 0.97 0.93 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%————18.18%
1—18.18%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%45.45%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%13.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.64 -0.27
SD 1.05 1.47 2.00
CV 0.77 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
113.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%—————9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.55 +0.45
SD 1.57 1.30 2.39
CV 0.79 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—13.64%—13.64%4.55%4.55%36.36%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%13.64%27.27%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.27 -0.95
SD 0.99 1.55 1.94
CV 0.75 0.68 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
19.09%—————9.09%
2—22.73%18.18%——4.55%45.45%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total18.18%40.91%31.82%——9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.55 +0.45
SD 1.38 1.47 2.26
CV 0.69 0.95 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%9.09%——40.91%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
3———9.09%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%22.73%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.64 -0.50
SD 0.94 1.29 1.57
CV 0.83 0.79 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%9.09%13.64%——4.55%31.82%
213.64%—9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%31.82%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.68 -0.09
SD 1.22 1.73 2.41
CV 0.77 1.03 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%22.73%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%31.82%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.59 -0.27
SD 1.49 1.18 2.21
CV 1.13 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aris Bonnevoie 1271 31 27.41 +3.59 88.0% 16 20 26 28 30 33 36
Jeunesse Esch 1204 26 25.07 +0.93 68.0% 15 18 22 25 28 31 35
Differdange 03 1187 26 23.11 +2.89 74.0% 13 17 20 23 27 31 33
Rumelange 1180 30 22.60 +7.40 98.0% 13 16 20 23 26 29 31
Union Luxembourg 1167 18 23.92 -5.92 11.0% 15 17 20 24 27 30 34
Avenir Beggen 1164 25 22.70 +2.30 75.0% 11 17 19 22 25 30 34
Spora Luxembourg 1161 20 24.79 -4.79 12.0% 15 18 22 25 27 31 33
Etzella Ettelbruck 1148 20 20.77 -0.77 49.0% 8 15 18 21 23 27 32
FC Schifflange 95 1091 19 19.18 -0.18 56.0% 8 14 17 19 21 26 29
SC Tetange 1076 19 18.99 +0.01 51.0% 9 12 16 19 22 25 29
Progres Niedercorn 1069 15 18.81 -3.81 25.0% 10 13 15 19 22 25 33
Alliance Dudelange 1047 15 16.65 -1.65 43.0% 10 11 14 16 19 23 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
Slight Edge
43.18%21.97%34.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
125 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
35%
Aris Bonnevoie, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.22 * Some Luck: 3.22 to 4.83 * Lucky: 4.83 to 6.44 * Wild Swing: 6.44 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.9 * Close: 1.9 to 2.85 * Off: 2.85 to 3.8 * Way Off: 3.8 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.63 points
Some Luck
04.0210
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
02.385
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Rumelange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
11.00%
Union Luxembourg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 65.07
1.31
Coin-Flip Parity
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Even
50%79%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Some Drama
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Very Even
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.82
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
36%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.62
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Aris Bonnevoie35.00%28.00%15.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—
Rumelange7.00%5.00%8.00%18.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%
Differdange 039.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%
Jeunesse Esch12.00%16.00%20.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%—
Avenir Beggen3.00%12.00%13.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck6.00%1.00%2.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%14.00%17.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%
Spora Luxembourg15.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%—
FC Schifflange 951.00%3.00%—7.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%15.00%21.00%11.00%16.00%12.00%
SC Tetange1.00%—2.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%16.00%
Union Luxembourg10.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%17.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%
Progres Niedercorn1.00%—5.00%2.00%3.00%10.00%6.00%14.00%10.00%10.00%18.00%21.00%
Alliance Dudelange————2.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%17.00%20.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aris Bonnevoie 99.00% 1.00%
Jeunesse Esch 98.00% 2.00%
Rumelange 96.00% 4.00%
Spora Luxembourg 96.00% 4.00%
Union Luxembourg 95.00% 5.00%
Avenir Beggen 91.00% 9.00%
Differdange 03 89.00% 11.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck 89.00% 11.00%
FC Schifflange 95 72.00% 28.00%
SC Tetange 69.00% 31.00%
Progres Niedercorn 61.00% 39.00%
Alliance Dudelange 45.00% 55.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1971-09-04 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-048.8 1128 1183 37.25% 23.27% 39.48%-0.21 +0.1 1
1971-09-04 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-048.8 1183 1128 39.48% 23.27% 37.25%+0.21 -0.1 1
1971-09-05 SC Tetange D 3-361.9 1124 1100 48.27% 23.13% 28.60%+0.43 -0.3 1
1971-09-05 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 3-361.9 1100 1124 28.60% 23.13% 48.27%-0.43 +0.3 1
1971-09-05 Spora Luxembourg D 2-257.6 1089 1188 31.34% 23.05% 45.60%-0.56 +0.3 1
1971-09-05 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-257.6 1188 1089 45.60% 23.05% 31.34%+0.56 -0.3 1
1971-09-05 Alliance Dudelange W 3-031.7 1204 1114 56.02% 22.51% 21.47%+0.95 +8.3 2
1971-09-05 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-331.7 1114 1204 21.47% 22.51% 56.02%-0.95 -8.3 0
1971-09-05 Rumelange D 2-257.5 1123 1145 42.05% 23.30% 34.66%+0.06 -0.1 1
1971-09-05 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.5 1145 1123 34.66% 23.30% 42.05%-0.06 +0.1 1
1971-09-05 Differdange 03 L 0-440.7 1221 1146 54.33% 22.69% 22.98%+0.83 -23.4 0
1971-09-05 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-040.7 1146 1221 22.98% 22.69% 54.33%-0.83 +23.4 2
1971-09-11 Rumelange L 1-344.5 1105 1145 39.46% 23.30% 37.24%-0.09 -8.2 0
1971-09-11 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-144.5 1145 1105 37.24% 23.30% 39.46%+0.09 +8.2 3
1971-09-11 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-251.5 1183 1089 56.48% 22.45% 21.07%+0.99 -6.4 1
1971-09-11 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-151.5 1089 1183 21.07% 22.45% 56.48%-0.99 +6.4 3
1971-09-11 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-142.6 1169 1124 50.80% 22.98% 26.21%+0.59 +3.4 4
1971-09-11 @ Differdange 03 L 1-242.6 1124 1169 26.21% 22.98% 50.80%-0.59 -3.4 1
1971-09-11 Union Luxembourg W 1-039.3 1212 1197 46.92% 23.19% 29.89%+0.35 +4.0 4
1971-09-11 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-139.3 1197 1212 29.89% 23.19% 46.92%-0.35 -4.0 0
1971-09-11 Avenir Beggen W 2-145.4 1100 1128 41.18% 23.30% 35.51%+0.01 +4.4 3
1971-09-11 @ SC Tetange L 1-245.4 1128 1100 35.51% 23.30% 41.18%-0.01 -4.3 1
1971-09-11 Progres Niedercorn W 3-139.8 1188 1123 53.13% 22.80% 24.07%+0.75 +5.5 3
1971-09-11 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-339.8 1123 1188 24.07% 22.80% 53.13%-0.75 -5.5 1
1971-09-18 Alliance Dudelange W 4-136.6 1193 1097 56.70% 22.43% 20.87%+1.00 +6.9 2
1971-09-18 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-436.6 1097 1193 20.87% 22.43% 56.70%-1.00 -6.8 0
1971-09-19 Differdange 03 W 4-142.2 1123 1173 38.15% 23.29% 38.57%-0.16 +11.3 3
1971-09-19 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-442.2 1173 1123 38.57% 23.29% 38.15%+0.16 -11.3 4
1971-09-19 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.5 1121 1216 31.89% 23.08% 45.02%-0.53 +0.3 2
1971-09-19 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-152.5 1216 1121 45.02% 23.08% 31.89%+0.53 -0.3 5
1971-09-19 SC Tetange W 4-034.4 1095 1104 43.81% 23.27% 32.91%+0.16 +15.5 5
1971-09-19 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-434.4 1104 1095 32.91% 23.27% 43.81%-0.16 -15.5 3
1971-09-19 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-535.5 1118 1177 36.78% 23.26% 39.96%-0.24 -20.9 1
1971-09-19 @ Progres Niedercorn W 5-035.5 1177 1118 39.96% 23.26% 36.78%+0.24 +20.9 3
1971-09-19 Spora Luxembourg L 0-239.5 1154 1193 39.49% 23.30% 37.21%-0.09 -9.4 3
1971-09-19 @ Rumelange W 2-039.5 1193 1154 37.21% 23.30% 39.49%+0.09 +9.4 5
1971-09-25 Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-243.7 1200 1121 54.81% 22.64% 22.55%+0.87 +4.6 4
1971-09-25 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-443.7 1121 1200 22.55% 22.64% 54.81%-0.87 -4.6 2
1971-09-26 Spora Luxembourg L 0-139.1 1090 1203 29.70% 22.95% 47.35%-0.67 -4.0 0
1971-09-26 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-039.1 1203 1090 47.35% 22.95% 29.70%+0.67 +4.0 7
1971-09-26 Rumelange W 6-032.5 1198 1144 51.83% 22.91% 25.26%+0.66 +18.3 5
1971-09-26 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-632.5 1144 1198 25.26% 22.91% 51.83%-0.66 -18.3 3
1971-09-26 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.5 1161 1111 51.45% 22.94% 25.61%+0.64 -0.7 5
1971-09-26 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.5 1111 1161 25.61% 22.94% 51.45%-0.64 +0.7 6
1971-09-26 Avenir Beggen L 0-440.9 1216 1135 55.00% 22.62% 22.38%+0.88 -23.7 5
1971-09-26 @ Jeunesse Esch W 4-040.9 1135 1216 22.38% 22.62% 55.00%-0.88 +23.7 5
1971-09-26 Progres Niedercorn D 3-361.9 1089 1097 43.88% 23.27% 32.85%+0.17 -0.2 4
1971-09-26 @ SC Tetange D 3-361.9 1097 1089 32.85% 23.27% 43.88%-0.17 +0.2 2
1971-10-02 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-240.9 1207 1216 43.76% 23.27% 32.97%+0.16 -10.2 7
1971-10-02 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-040.9 1216 1207 32.97% 23.27% 43.76%-0.16 +10.2 7
1971-10-03 Union Luxembourg W 3-144.2 1158 1205 38.54% 23.29% 38.16%-0.14 +7.9 7
1971-10-03 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-344.2 1205 1158 38.16% 23.29% 38.54%+0.14 -8.0 4
1971-10-03 Alliance Dudelange W 7-033.8 1116 1086 48.94% 23.09% 27.96%+0.47 +23.1 4
1971-10-03 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-733.8 1086 1116 27.96% 23.09% 48.94%-0.47 -23.1 0
1971-10-03 Jeunesse Esch L 0-140.4 1112 1192 33.85% 23.17% 42.98%-0.41 -4.4 6
1971-10-03 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-040.4 1192 1112 42.98% 23.17% 33.85%+0.41 +4.4 7
1971-10-03 Differdange 03 W 3-144.9 1097 1161 36.15% 23.25% 40.60%-0.28 +8.3 4
1971-10-03 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-344.9 1161 1097 40.60% 23.25% 36.15%+0.28 -8.3 5
1971-10-03 SC Tetange W 2-142.8 1126 1088 49.83% 23.04% 27.13%+0.53 +3.5 5
1971-10-03 @ Rumelange L 1-242.8 1088 1126 27.13% 23.04% 49.83%-0.53 -3.5 4
1971-10-16 Avenir Beggen L 1-247.2 1140 1166 41.33% 23.30% 35.37%+0.02 -4.9 4
1971-10-16 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-147.2 1166 1140 35.37% 23.30% 41.33%-0.02 +4.9 9
1971-10-16 FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.6 1197 1107 55.99% 22.51% 21.50%+0.95 -1.0 5
1971-10-16 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.6 1107 1197 21.50% 22.51% 55.99%-0.95 +0.9 7
1971-10-17 Alliance Dudelange W 6-131.9 1226 1063 63.31% 21.34% 15.35%+1.54 +8.2 9
1971-10-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-631.9 1063 1226 15.35% 21.34% 63.31%-1.54 -8.2 0
1971-10-17 Rumelange L 1-347.1 1152 1129 48.04% 23.14% 28.82%+0.42 -9.6 5
1971-10-17 @ Differdange 03 W 3-147.1 1129 1152 28.82% 23.14% 48.04%-0.42 +9.6 7
1971-10-17 Progres Niedercorn W 5-240.2 1196 1106 56.10% 22.50% 21.40%+0.96 +6.1 9
1971-10-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-540.2 1106 1196 21.40% 22.50% 56.10%-0.96 -6.1 4
1971-10-17 Spora Luxembourg L 0-236.4 1085 1197 29.83% 22.96% 47.22%-0.66 -7.5 4
1971-10-17 @ SC Tetange W 2-036.4 1197 1085 47.22% 22.96% 29.83%+0.66 +7.5 9
1971-10-23 SC Tetange D 0-049.3 1234 1077 62.75% 21.45% 15.80%+1.49 -1.5 10
1971-10-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-049.3 1077 1234 15.80% 21.45% 62.75%-1.49 +1.5 5
1971-10-24 Avenir Beggen L 1-243.4 1055 1171 29.26% 22.92% 47.82%-0.70 -3.7 0
1971-10-24 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-143.4 1171 1055 47.82% 22.92% 29.26%+0.70 +3.7 11
1971-10-24 Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-152.3 1108 1135 41.37% 23.30% 35.33%+0.02 -0.1 8
1971-10-24 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.3 1135 1108 35.33% 23.30% 41.37%-0.02 +0.2 5
1971-10-24 Union Luxembourg L 1-342.2 1099 1196 31.72% 23.08% 45.20%-0.54 -6.9 4
1971-10-24 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-142.2 1196 1099 45.20% 23.08% 31.72%+0.54 +6.9 7
1971-10-24 Jeunesse Esch W 2-147.0 1139 1202 36.13% 23.25% 40.62%-0.28 +4.8 9
1971-10-24 @ Rumelange L 1-247.0 1202 1139 40.62% 23.25% 36.13%+0.28 -4.8 9
1971-10-24 Differdange 03 D 2-257.7 1204 1143 52.75% 22.83% 24.42%+0.72 -0.6 10
1971-10-24 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-257.7 1143 1204 24.42% 22.83% 52.75%-0.72 +0.6 6
1971-10-30 FC Schifflange 95 D 0-048.9 1175 1108 53.41% 22.78% 23.81%+0.77 -0.9 12
1971-10-30 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-048.9 1108 1175 23.81% 22.78% 53.41%-0.77 +0.9 9
1971-10-30 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-146.0 1143 1233 32.63% 23.12% 44.25%-0.48 +8.9 8
1971-10-30 @ Differdange 03 L 1-346.0 1233 1143 44.25% 23.12% 32.63%+0.48 -8.9 10
1971-10-30 Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.6 1135 1093 50.44% 23.00% 26.56%+0.57 -0.5 6
1971-10-30 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 2-257.6 1093 1135 26.56% 23.00% 50.44%-0.57 +0.5 5
1971-10-30 Spora Luxembourg L 0-338.9 1198 1204 44.21% 23.27% 32.52%+0.18 -15.0 9
1971-10-30 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-038.9 1204 1198 32.52% 23.27% 44.21%-0.18 +15.0 12
1971-10-30 Rumelange L 0-145.9 1203 1144 52.50% 22.85% 24.64%+0.71 -6.4 7
1971-10-30 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-045.9 1144 1203 24.64% 22.85% 52.50%-0.71 +6.3 11
1971-10-30 Alliance Dudelange D 0-048.8 1079 1051 48.62% 23.11% 28.27%+0.45 -0.6 6
1971-10-30 @ SC Tetange D 0-048.8 1051 1079 28.27% 23.11% 48.62%-0.45 +0.6 1
1971-11-13 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-142.4 1052 1109 37.07% 23.27% 39.66%-0.22 +11.6 3
1971-11-13 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-442.4 1109 1052 39.66% 23.27% 37.07%+0.22 -11.6 9
1971-11-13 Jeunesse Esch L 1-250.0 1224 1183 50.34% 23.01% 26.65%+0.56 -5.8 10
1971-11-13 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-150.0 1183 1224 26.65% 23.01% 50.34%-0.56 +5.8 11
1971-11-13 Avenir Beggen L 1-440.7 1093 1174 33.77% 23.17% 43.06%-0.42 -10.2 5
1971-11-13 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-140.7 1174 1093 43.06% 23.17% 33.77%+0.42 +10.2 14
1971-11-13 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-143.7 1150 1134 47.08% 23.18% 29.74%+0.36 +3.8 13
1971-11-13 @ Rumelange L 1-243.7 1134 1150 29.74% 23.18% 47.08%-0.36 -3.8 6
1971-11-13 Differdange 03 W 2-147.4 1078 1152 34.72% 23.21% 42.08%-0.36 +5.0 8
1971-11-13 @ SC Tetange L 1-247.4 1152 1078 42.08% 23.21% 34.72%+0.36 -5.0 8
1971-11-13 Union Luxembourg W 2-036.4 1219 1197 47.89% 23.14% 28.96%+0.41 +7.4 14
1971-11-13 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-236.4 1197 1219 28.96% 23.14% 47.89%-0.41 -7.4 7
1971-11-20 Rumelange L 1-249.5 1184 1154 48.98% 23.09% 27.93%+0.48 -5.6 14
1971-11-20 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-149.5 1154 1184 27.93% 23.09% 48.98%-0.48 +5.6 15
1971-11-20 Alliance Dudelange W 7-133.7 1147 1063 55.33% 22.58% 22.09%+0.90 +13.5 10
1971-11-20 @ Differdange 03 L 1-733.7 1063 1147 22.09% 22.58% 55.33%-0.90 -13.5 3
1971-11-20 Spora Luxembourg W 3-039.0 1131 1226 31.87% 23.08% 45.04%-0.53 +15.2 8
1971-11-20 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-339.0 1226 1131 45.04% 23.08% 31.87%+0.53 -15.2 14
1971-11-20 Progres Niedercorn L 1-346.7 1097 1083 46.91% 23.19% 29.90%+0.35 -9.4 9
1971-11-20 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 3-146.7 1083 1097 29.90% 23.19% 46.91%-0.35 +9.4 7
1971-11-20 SC Tetange W 2-140.5 1188 1083 57.64% 22.30% 20.06%+1.07 +2.7 13
1971-11-20 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-240.5 1083 1188 20.06% 22.30% 57.64%-1.07 -2.7 8
1971-11-20 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-240.0 1189 1218 41.02% 23.30% 35.68%+0.00 -9.7 7
1971-11-20 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-040.0 1218 1189 35.68% 23.30% 41.02%+0.00 +9.7 12
1971-11-27 Union Luxembourg W 1-043.8 1081 1179 31.42% 23.06% 45.52%-0.56 +5.6 10
1971-11-27 @ SC Tetange L 0-143.8 1179 1081 45.52% 23.06% 31.42%+0.56 -5.6 7
1971-11-27 Avenir Beggen W 3-141.1 1211 1179 49.18% 23.08% 27.74%+0.49 +6.2 16
1971-11-27 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-341.1 1179 1211 27.74% 23.08% 49.18%-0.49 -6.2 14
1971-11-28 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.3 1050 1092 39.16% 23.30% 37.55%-0.11 -0.0 4
1971-11-28 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.3 1092 1050 37.55% 23.30% 39.16%+0.11 +0.0 8
1971-11-28 Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-032.1 1228 1146 55.15% 22.60% 22.25%+0.89 +8.6 14
1971-11-28 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-332.1 1146 1228 22.25% 22.60% 55.15%-0.89 -8.6 8
1971-11-28 Jeunesse Esch W 3-250.7 1161 1191 40.84% 23.30% 35.86%-0.01 +4.2 12
1971-11-28 @ Differdange 03 L 2-350.7 1191 1161 35.86% 23.30% 40.84%+0.01 -4.2 13
1971-11-28 FC Schifflange 95 W 1-037.0 1159 1088 53.93% 22.73% 23.34%+0.80 +3.3 17
1971-11-28 @ Rumelange L 0-137.0 1088 1159 23.34% 22.73% 53.93%-0.80 -3.3 9
1971-12-04 Avenir Beggen W 5-241.3 1237 1172 53.07% 22.81% 24.12%+0.74 +6.7 16
1971-12-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-541.3 1172 1237 24.12% 22.81% 53.07%-0.74 -6.7 14
1971-12-05 Jeunesse Esch W 2-149.7 1050 1187 26.81% 22.71% 50.49%-0.86 +5.8 6
1971-12-05 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-249.7 1187 1050 50.49% 22.71% 26.81%+0.86 -5.8 13
1971-12-05 Union Luxembourg D 2-257.5 1165 1174 43.80% 23.27% 32.93%+0.16 -0.2 13
1971-12-05 @ Differdange 03 D 2-257.5 1174 1165 32.93% 23.27% 43.80%-0.16 +0.2 8
1971-12-05 Progres Niedercorn W 5-135.8 1163 1092 53.80% 22.74% 23.46%+0.80 +9.8 19
1971-12-05 @ Rumelange L 1-535.8 1092 1163 23.46% 22.74% 53.80%-0.80 -9.8 8
1971-12-05 Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-041.8 1086 1137 37.91% 23.28% 38.80%-0.18 +4.9 12
1971-12-05 @ SC Tetange L 0-141.8 1137 1086 38.80% 23.28% 37.91%+0.18 -4.9 8
1971-12-05 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-252.5 1217 1085 60.40% 21.89% 17.71%+1.29 -6.8 16
1971-12-05 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-152.5 1085 1217 17.71% 21.89% 60.40%-1.29 +6.8 11
1971-12-11 SC Tetange W 3-139.4 1166 1091 54.29% 22.69% 23.02%+0.83 +5.3 16
1971-12-11 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-339.4 1091 1166 23.02% 22.69% 54.29%-0.83 -5.3 12
1971-12-12 Differdange 03 W 3-143.6 1132 1165 40.54% 23.30% 36.16%-0.03 +7.6 10
1971-12-12 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-343.6 1165 1132 36.16% 23.30% 40.54%+0.03 -7.6 13
1971-12-12 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-536.3 1091 1243 25.15% 22.53% 52.32%-0.98 -10.3 11
1971-12-12 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 5-136.3 1243 1091 52.32% 22.53% 25.15%+0.98 +10.3 18
1971-12-12 Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.5 1082 1210 27.90% 22.81% 49.29%-0.79 +0.6 9
1971-12-12 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.5 1210 1082 49.29% 22.81% 27.90%+0.79 -0.6 17
1971-12-12 Jeunesse Esch L 2-450.4 1174 1181 44.05% 23.27% 32.69%+0.18 -8.0 8
1971-12-12 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-250.4 1181 1174 32.69% 23.27% 44.05%-0.18 +8.0 15
1971-12-12 Alliance Dudelange W 3-030.8 1172 1056 58.84% 22.13% 19.02%+1.17 +7.5 21
1971-12-12 @ Rumelange L 0-330.8 1056 1172 19.02% 22.13% 58.84%-1.17 -7.5 6
1971-12-18 Union Luxembourg L 0-236.1 1048 1166 29.06% 22.90% 48.04%-0.71 -7.4 6
1971-12-18 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-036.1 1166 1048 48.04% 22.90% 29.06%+0.71 +7.4 10
1971-12-18 Progres Niedercorn W 3-136.6 1254 1083 63.97% 21.20% 14.83%+1.60 +3.5 20
1971-12-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-336.6 1083 1254 14.83% 21.20% 63.97%-1.60 -3.5 9
1971-12-18 Avenir Beggen W 5-244.1 1157 1171 43.12% 23.28% 33.59%+0.12 +8.8 15
1971-12-18 @ Differdange 03 L 2-544.1 1171 1157 33.59% 23.28% 43.12%-0.12 -8.8 16
1971-12-18 Etzella Ettelbruck W 6-032.6 1189 1140 51.31% 22.95% 25.74%+0.63 +18.6 17
1971-12-18 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-632.6 1140 1189 25.74% 22.95% 51.31%-0.63 -18.6 10
1971-12-18 FC Schifflange 95 L 1-346.3 1086 1081 45.64% 23.23% 31.13%+0.27 -9.2 12
1971-12-18 @ SC Tetange W 3-146.3 1081 1086 31.13% 23.23% 45.64%-0.27 +9.2 13
1971-12-18 Rumelange L 2-548.7 1210 1180 48.86% 23.10% 28.04%+0.47 -11.9 17
1971-12-18 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-248.7 1180 1210 28.04% 23.10% 48.86%-0.47 +11.9 23
1972-01-08 Jeunesse Esch L 1-246.5 1162 1208 38.68% 23.29% 38.03%-0.13 -4.6 16
1972-01-08 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-146.5 1208 1162 38.03% 23.29% 38.68%+0.13 +4.6 19
1972-01-08 Union Luxembourg L 0-336.8 1121 1174 37.73% 23.28% 38.99%-0.19 -13.2 10
1972-01-08 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-036.8 1174 1121 38.99% 23.28% 37.73%+0.19 +13.2 12
1972-01-08 Differdange 03 L 0-140.5 1090 1166 34.48% 23.20% 42.32%-0.37 -4.5 13
1972-01-08 @ FC Schifflange 95 W 1-040.5 1166 1090 42.32% 23.20% 34.48%+0.37 +4.5 17
1972-01-08 SC Tetange L 0-241.1 1080 1077 45.39% 23.24% 31.37%+0.26 -10.5 9
1972-01-08 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-041.1 1077 1080 31.37% 23.24% 45.39%-0.26 +10.5 14
1972-01-08 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-038.0 1192 1257 35.90% 23.24% 40.86%-0.29 +14.1 25
1972-01-08 @ Rumelange L 0-338.0 1257 1192 40.86% 23.24% 35.90%+0.29 -14.1 20
1972-01-08 Alliance Dudelange W 5-028.6 1198 1041 62.73% 21.46% 15.81%+1.49 +10.1 19
1972-01-08 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-528.6 1041 1198 15.81% 21.46% 62.73%-1.49 -10.1 6
1972-01-15 Spora Luxembourg W 7-135.7 1243 1208 49.59% 23.06% 27.36%+0.51 +16.2 22
1972-01-15 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-735.7 1208 1243 27.36% 23.06% 49.59%-0.51 -16.2 19
1972-01-15 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.6 1170 1069 57.24% 22.36% 20.40%+1.04 -1.0 18
1972-01-15 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.6 1069 1170 20.40% 22.36% 57.24%-1.04 +1.0 10
1972-01-16 Etzella Ettelbruck D 4-464.3 1031 1108 34.26% 23.19% 42.55%-0.39 +0.1 7
1972-01-16 @ Alliance Dudelange D 4-464.3 1108 1031 42.55% 23.19% 34.26%+0.39 -0.1 11
1972-01-16 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-135.7 1212 1086 59.85% 21.98% 18.17%+1.25 +6.0 21
1972-01-16 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-435.7 1086 1212 18.17% 21.98% 59.85%-1.25 -6.0 13
1972-01-16 Avenir Beggen L 0-242.2 1187 1158 48.81% 23.10% 28.09%+0.47 -11.2 12
1972-01-16 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-042.2 1158 1187 28.09% 23.10% 48.81%-0.47 +11.2 18
1972-01-16 Rumelange L 1-243.4 1087 1206 28.96% 22.90% 48.14%-0.72 -3.7 14
1972-01-16 @ SC Tetange W 2-143.4 1206 1087 48.14% 22.90% 28.96%+0.72 +3.7 27
1972-01-22 Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-048.9 1169 1108 52.69% 22.84% 24.47%+0.72 -0.9 19
1972-01-22 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-048.9 1108 1169 24.47% 22.84% 52.69%-0.72 +0.8 12
1972-01-23 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-529.3 1031 1259 17.90% 21.31% 60.79%-1.59 -11.3 7
1972-01-23 @ Alliance Dudelange W 5-029.3 1259 1031 60.79% 21.31% 17.90%+1.59 +11.3 24
1972-01-23 Union Luxembourg W 2-041.0 1080 1175 31.82% 23.08% 45.10%-0.53 +10.5 15
1972-01-23 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-241.0 1175 1080 45.10% 23.08% 31.82%+0.53 -10.5 12
1972-01-23 Jeunesse Esch L 0-333.0 1070 1218 25.52% 22.58% 51.90%-0.96 -9.6 10
1972-01-23 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-033.0 1218 1070 51.90% 22.58% 25.52%+0.96 +9.6 23
1972-01-23 Differdange 03 L 2-549.1 1210 1169 50.19% 23.02% 26.79%+0.55 -12.2 27
1972-01-23 @ Rumelange W 5-249.1 1169 1210 26.79% 23.02% 50.19%-0.55 +12.2 20
1972-01-23 SC Tetange D 1-152.7 1192 1084 57.95% 22.26% 19.79%+1.10 -1.1 20
1972-01-23 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.7 1084 1192 19.79% 22.26% 57.95%-1.10 +1.1 15
1972-03-04 Alliance Dudelange L 0-148.3 1168 1020 61.94% 21.61% 16.44%+1.42 -7.4 19
1972-03-04 @ Avenir Beggen W 1-048.3 1020 1168 16.44% 21.61% 61.94%-1.42 +7.4 9
1972-03-04 Spora Luxembourg W 2-144.8 1182 1191 43.80% 23.27% 32.93%+0.16 +4.1 22
1972-03-04 @ Differdange 03 L 1-244.8 1191 1182 32.93% 23.27% 43.80%-0.16 -4.1 20
1972-03-04 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-136.4 1085 1271 21.66% 22.05% 56.29%-1.25 -3.0 15
1972-03-04 @ SC Tetange W 1-036.4 1271 1085 56.29% 22.05% 21.66%+1.25 +3.0 26
1972-03-05 FC Schifflange 95 W 4-139.3 1109 1090 47.46% 23.16% 29.38%+0.38 +9.2 14
1972-03-05 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-439.3 1090 1109 29.38% 23.16% 47.46%-0.38 -9.2 15
1972-03-05 Rumelange D 2-257.7 1228 1197 49.00% 23.09% 27.91%+0.48 -0.4 24
1972-03-05 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-257.7 1197 1228 27.91% 23.09% 49.00%-0.48 +0.4 28
1972-03-05 Progres Niedercorn L 0-244.5 1165 1060 57.58% 22.31% 20.11%+1.07 -13.0 12
1972-03-05 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-044.5 1060 1165 20.11% 22.31% 57.58%-1.07 +13.0 12
1972-03-11 Differdange 03 D 0-049.2 1274 1186 55.77% 22.54% 21.69%+0.93 -1.0 27
1972-03-11 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-049.2 1186 1274 21.69% 22.54% 55.77%-0.93 +1.0 23
1972-03-11 Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-048.7 1073 1118 38.84% 23.29% 37.87%-0.12 -0.0 13
1972-03-11 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-048.7 1118 1073 37.87% 23.29% 38.84%+0.12 +0.0 15
1972-03-12 SC Tetange D 1-152.3 1027 1082 37.40% 23.27% 39.32%-0.20 +0.0 10
1972-03-12 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.3 1082 1027 39.32% 23.27% 37.40%+0.20 -0.0 16
1972-03-12 Avenir Beggen W 3-038.3 1081 1161 33.97% 23.18% 42.85%-0.40 +14.6 17
1972-03-12 @ FC Schifflange 95 L 0-338.3 1161 1081 42.85% 23.18% 33.97%+0.40 -14.6 19
1972-03-12 Union Luxembourg L 0-145.5 1198 1152 50.88% 22.98% 26.14%+0.60 -6.2 28
1972-03-12 @ Rumelange W 1-045.5 1152 1198 26.14% 22.98% 50.88%-0.60 +6.2 14
1972-03-12 Jeunesse Esch L 0-142.2 1186 1228 39.31% 23.30% 37.40%-0.10 -5.0 20
1972-03-12 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-042.2 1228 1186 37.40% 23.30% 39.31%+0.10 +5.0 26
1972-03-25 SC Tetange D 2-257.8 1187 1081 57.65% 22.30% 20.05%+1.07 -0.8 24
1972-03-25 @ Differdange 03 D 2-257.8 1081 1187 20.05% 22.30% 57.65%-1.07 +0.8 17
1972-03-25 Spora Luxembourg W 2-145.3 1158 1181 41.82% 23.30% 34.88%+0.05 +4.3 16
1972-03-25 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-245.3 1181 1158 34.88% 23.30% 41.82%-0.05 -4.3 20
1972-03-26 Progres Niedercorn W 3-246.6 1146 1073 54.05% 22.72% 23.23%+0.81 +2.9 21
1972-03-26 @ Avenir Beggen L 2-346.6 1073 1146 23.23% 22.72% 54.05%-0.81 -2.9 13
1972-03-26 Rumelange D 2-257.5 1118 1192 34.75% 23.21% 42.04%-0.36 +0.1 16
1972-03-26 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 2-257.5 1192 1118 42.04% 23.21% 34.75%+0.36 -0.1 29
1972-03-26 Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.5 1096 1027 53.60% 22.76% 23.65%+0.78 -0.8 18
1972-03-26 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 1-152.5 1027 1096 23.65% 22.76% 53.60%-0.78 +0.8 11
1972-03-26 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-344.9 1233 1273 39.50% 23.30% 37.20%-0.09 -8.2 26
1972-03-26 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-144.9 1273 1233 37.20% 23.30% 39.50%+0.09 +8.2 29
1972-04-08 Differdange 03 W 5-249.7 1028 1186 24.47% 22.45% 53.07%-1.03 +12.8 13
1972-04-08 @ Alliance Dudelange L 2-549.7 1186 1028 53.07% 22.45% 24.47%+1.03 -12.8 24
1972-04-08 Union Luxembourg W 3-031.0 1281 1162 58.99% 22.11% 18.89%+1.18 +7.4 31
1972-04-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-331.0 1162 1281 18.89% 22.11% 58.99%-1.18 -7.4 16
1972-04-08 FC Schifflange 95 W 2-145.2 1070 1095 41.68% 23.30% 35.02%+0.04 +4.3 15
1972-04-08 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-245.2 1095 1070 35.02% 23.30% 41.68%-0.04 -4.3 18
1972-04-08 Avenir Beggen L 0-242.7 1192 1149 50.49% 23.00% 26.50%+0.57 -11.6 29
1972-04-08 @ Rumelange W 2-042.7 1149 1192 26.50% 23.00% 50.49%-0.57 +11.6 23
1972-04-08 Jeunesse Esch W 2-150.0 1082 1224 26.22% 22.65% 51.13%-0.91 +5.8 19
1972-04-08 @ SC Tetange L 1-250.0 1224 1082 51.13% 22.65% 26.22%+0.91 -5.8 26
1972-04-08 Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-243.2 1177 1118 52.48% 22.86% 24.66%+0.70 -12.0 20
1972-04-08 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-043.2 1118 1177 24.66% 22.86% 52.48%-0.70 +12.0 18
1972-04-15 Spora Luxembourg W 3-249.6 1160 1165 44.36% 23.26% 32.38%+0.19 +3.8 25
1972-04-15 @ Avenir Beggen L 2-349.6 1165 1160 32.38% 23.26% 44.36%-0.19 -3.8 20
1972-04-15 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-041.3 1130 1288 24.49% 22.45% 53.06%-1.03 +17.5 20
1972-04-15 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-341.3 1288 1130 53.06% 22.45% 24.49%+1.03 -17.5 31
1972-04-15 Rumelange D 2-257.5 1091 1180 32.65% 23.12% 44.23%-0.48 +0.2 19
1972-04-15 @ FC Schifflange 95 D 2-257.5 1180 1091 44.23% 23.12% 32.65%+0.48 -0.2 30
1972-04-15 Differdange 03 L 1-445.9 1219 1173 50.84% 22.98% 26.18%+0.60 -14.2 26
1972-04-15 @ Jeunesse Esch W 4-145.9 1173 1219 26.18% 22.98% 50.84%-0.60 +14.2 26
1972-04-15 Alliance Dudelange L 0-144.9 1075 1041 49.44% 23.07% 27.49%+0.51 -6.0 15
1972-04-15 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-044.9 1041 1075 27.49% 23.07% 49.44%-0.51 +6.0 15
1972-04-15 SC Tetange W 4-031.5 1155 1088 53.40% 22.78% 23.82%+0.77 +11.9 18
1972-04-15 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-431.5 1088 1155 23.82% 22.78% 53.40%-0.77 -11.9 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1972-03-04 16.44% Alliance Dudelange 1020 1 @ Avenir Beggen 1168 0
2 1971-12-05 17.71% FC Schifflange 95 1085 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1217 1
3 1972-03-05 20.11% Progres Niedercorn 1060 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1165 0
4 1971-09-11 21.07% FC Schifflange 95 1089 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1183 1
5 1971-09-26 22.38% Avenir Beggen 1135 4 @ Jeunesse Esch 1216 0
6 1971-09-05 22.98% Differdange 03 1146 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1221 0
7 1972-04-08 24.47% @ Alliance Dudelange 1028 5 Differdange 03 1186 2
8 1972-04-15 24.49% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1130 3 Aris Bonnevoie 1288 0
9 1971-10-30 24.64% Rumelange 1144 1 @ Union Luxembourg 1203 0
10 1972-04-08 24.66% Etzella Ettelbruck 1118 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1177 0
11 1972-03-12 26.14% Union Luxembourg 1152 1 @ Rumelange 1198 0
12 1972-04-15 26.18% Differdange 03 1173 4 @ Jeunesse Esch 1219 1
13 1972-04-08 26.22% @ SC Tetange 1082 2 Jeunesse Esch 1224 1
14 1972-04-08 26.50% Avenir Beggen 1149 2 @ Rumelange 1192 0
15 1971-11-13 26.65% Jeunesse Esch 1183 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1224 1
16 1972-01-23 26.79% Differdange 03 1169 5 @ Rumelange 1210 2
17 1971-12-05 26.81% @ Alliance Dudelange 1050 2 Jeunesse Esch 1187 1
18 1972-04-15 27.49% Alliance Dudelange 1041 1 @ Progres Niedercorn 1075 0
19 1971-11-20 27.93% Rumelange 1154 2 @ Avenir Beggen 1184 1
20 1971-12-18 28.04% Rumelange 1180 5 @ Spora Luxembourg 1210 2
21 1972-01-16 28.09% Avenir Beggen 1158 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1187 0
22 1971-10-17 28.82% Rumelange 1129 3 @ Differdange 03 1152 1
23 1971-11-20 29.90% Progres Niedercorn 1083 3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1097 1
24 1971-12-18 31.13% FC Schifflange 95 1081 3 @ SC Tetange 1086 1
25 1972-01-08 31.37% SC Tetange 1077 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1080 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-09-26 23.68 Avenir Beggen 4 1135 22.38% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1216 55.00% 22.62%
2 1971-09-05 23.43 Differdange 03 4 1146 22.98% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1221 54.33% 22.69%
3 1971-10-03 23.08 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 7 1116 48.94% Alliance Dudelange 0 1086 27.96% 23.09%
4 1971-09-19 20.86 Aris Bonnevoie 5 1177 39.96% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1118 36.78% 23.26%
5 1971-12-18 18.61 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1189 51.31% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1140 25.74% 22.95%
6 1971-09-26 18.32 @ Aris Bonnevoie 6 1198 51.83% Rumelange 0 1144 25.26% 22.91%
7 1972-04-15 17.49 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 1130 24.49% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1288 53.06% 22.45%
8 1972-01-15 16.15 @ Aris Bonnevoie 7 1243 49.59% Spora Luxembourg 1 1208 27.36% 23.06%
9 1971-09-19 15.53 @ FC Schifflange 95 4 1095 43.81% SC Tetange 0 1104 32.91% 23.27%
10 1971-11-20 15.21 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 1131 31.87% Spora Luxembourg 0 1226 45.04% 23.08%
11 1971-10-30 14.99 Spora Luxembourg 3 1204 32.52% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1198 44.21% 23.27%
12 1972-03-12 14.60 @ FC Schifflange 95 3 1081 33.97% Avenir Beggen 0 1161 42.85% 23.18%
13 1972-04-15 14.25 Differdange 03 4 1173 26.18% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1219 50.84% 22.98%
14 1972-01-08 14.06 @ Rumelange 3 1192 35.90% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1257 40.86% 23.24%
15 1971-11-20 13.47 @ Differdange 03 7 1147 55.33% Alliance Dudelange 1 1063 22.09% 22.58%
16 1972-01-08 13.22 Union Luxembourg 3 1174 38.99% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1121 37.73% 23.28%
17 1972-03-05 13.02 Progres Niedercorn 2 1060 20.11% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1165 57.58% 22.31%
18 1972-04-08 12.78 @ Alliance Dudelange 5 1028 24.47% Differdange 03 2 1186 53.07% 22.45%
19 1972-01-23 12.20 Differdange 03 5 1169 26.79% @ Rumelange 2 1210 50.19% 23.02%
20 1972-04-08 11.97 Etzella Ettelbruck 2 1118 24.66% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1177 52.48% 22.86%
21 1971-12-18 11.92 Rumelange 5 1180 28.04% @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1210 48.86% 23.10%
22 1972-04-15 11.91 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1155 53.40% SC Tetange 0 1088 23.82% 22.78%
23 1971-11-13 11.58 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1052 37.07% FC Schifflange 95 1 1109 39.66% 23.27%
24 1972-04-08 11.56 Avenir Beggen 2 1149 26.50% @ Rumelange 0 1192 50.49% 23.00%
25 1971-09-19 11.33 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1123 38.15% Differdange 03 1 1173 38.57% 23.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1972-01-16 64.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1031 34.26% Etzella Ettelbruck 4 1108 42.55% 23.19%
2 1971-09-05 61.9 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 1124 48.27% SC Tetange 3 1100 28.60% 23.13%
3 1971-09-26 61.9 @ SC Tetange 3 1089 43.88% Progres Niedercorn 3 1097 32.85% 23.27%
4 1972-03-25 57.8 @ Differdange 03 2 1187 57.65% SC Tetange 2 1081 20.05% 22.30%
5 1971-10-24 57.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1204 52.75% Differdange 03 2 1143 24.42% 22.83%
6 1972-03-05 57.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1228 49.00% Rumelange 2 1197 27.91% 23.09%
7 1971-09-05 57.6 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1089 31.34% Spora Luxembourg 2 1188 45.60% 23.05%
8 1971-10-30 57.6 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 2 1135 50.44% Progres Niedercorn 2 1093 26.56% 23.00%
9 1971-09-05 57.5 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1123 42.05% Rumelange 2 1145 34.66% 23.30%
10 1971-12-05 57.5 @ Differdange 03 2 1165 43.80% Union Luxembourg 2 1174 32.93% 23.27%
11 1972-03-26 57.5 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 2 1118 34.75% Rumelange 2 1192 42.04% 23.21%
12 1972-04-15 57.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 2 1091 32.65% Rumelange 2 1180 44.23% 23.12%
13 1972-01-23 52.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1192 57.95% SC Tetange 1 1084 19.79% 22.26%
14 1971-10-16 52.6 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1197 55.99% FC Schifflange 95 1 1107 21.50% 22.51%
15 1972-01-15 52.6 @ Differdange 03 1 1170 57.24% Progres Niedercorn 1 1069 20.40% 22.36%
16 1971-09-19 52.5 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 1121 31.89% Jeunesse Esch 1 1216 45.02% 23.08%
17 1971-09-26 52.5 @ Differdange 03 1 1161 51.45% FC Schifflange 95 1 1111 25.61% 22.94%
18 1971-12-05 52.5 FC Schifflange 95 2 1085 17.71% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1217 60.40% 21.89%
19 1971-12-12 52.5 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1082 27.90% Spora Luxembourg 1 1210 49.29% 22.81%
20 1972-03-26 52.5 @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1096 53.60% Alliance Dudelange 1 1027 23.65% 22.76%
21 1971-10-24 52.3 @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1108 41.37% Etzella Ettelbruck 1 1135 35.33% 23.30%
22 1971-11-28 52.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1050 39.16% Progres Niedercorn 1 1092 37.55% 23.30%
23 1972-03-12 52.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1027 37.40% SC Tetange 1 1082 39.32% 23.27%
24 1971-09-11 51.5 FC Schifflange 95 2 1089 21.07% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1183 56.48% 22.45%
25 1971-11-28 50.7 @ Differdange 03 3 1161 40.84% Jeunesse Esch 2 1191 35.86% 23.30%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1972-01-08 28.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 1198 62.73% Alliance Dudelange 0 1041 15.81% 21.46%
2 1972-01-23 29.3 Aris Bonnevoie 5 1259 60.79% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1031 17.90% 21.31%
3 1971-12-12 30.8 @ Rumelange 3 1172 58.84% Alliance Dudelange 0 1056 19.02% 22.13%
4 1972-04-08 31.0 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1281 58.99% Union Luxembourg 0 1162 18.89% 22.11%
5 1972-04-15 31.5 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1155 53.40% SC Tetange 0 1088 23.82% 22.78%
6 1971-09-05 31.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1204 56.02% Alliance Dudelange 0 1114 21.47% 22.51%
7 1971-10-17 31.9 @ Aris Bonnevoie 6 1226 63.31% Alliance Dudelange 1 1063 15.35% 21.34%
8 1971-11-28 32.1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1228 55.15% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1146 22.25% 22.60%
9 1971-09-26 32.5 @ Aris Bonnevoie 6 1198 51.83% Rumelange 0 1144 25.26% 22.91%
10 1971-12-18 32.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1189 51.31% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1140 25.74% 22.95%
11 1972-01-23 33.0 Jeunesse Esch 3 1218 51.90% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1070 25.52% 22.58%
12 1971-11-20 33.7 @ Differdange 03 7 1147 55.33% Alliance Dudelange 1 1063 22.09% 22.58%
13 1971-10-03 33.8 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 7 1116 48.94% Alliance Dudelange 0 1086 27.96% 23.09%
14 1971-09-19 34.4 @ FC Schifflange 95 4 1095 43.81% SC Tetange 0 1104 32.91% 23.27%
15 1971-09-19 35.5 Aris Bonnevoie 5 1177 39.96% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1118 36.78% 23.26%
16 1972-01-15 35.7 @ Aris Bonnevoie 7 1243 49.59% Spora Luxembourg 1 1208 27.36% 23.06%
17 1972-01-16 35.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1212 59.85% FC Schifflange 95 1 1086 18.17% 21.98%
18 1971-12-05 35.8 @ Rumelange 5 1163 53.80% Progres Niedercorn 1 1092 23.46% 22.74%
19 1971-12-18 36.1 Union Luxembourg 2 1166 48.04% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1048 29.06% 22.90%
20 1971-12-12 36.3 Aris Bonnevoie 5 1243 52.32% @ FC Schifflange 95 1 1091 25.15% 22.53%
21 1971-10-17 36.4 Spora Luxembourg 2 1197 47.22% @ SC Tetange 0 1085 29.83% 22.96%
22 1971-11-13 36.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1219 47.89% Union Luxembourg 0 1197 28.96% 23.14%
23 1972-03-04 36.4 Aris Bonnevoie 1 1271 56.29% @ SC Tetange 0 1085 21.66% 22.05%
24 1971-09-18 36.6 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1193 56.70% Alliance Dudelange 1 1097 20.87% 22.43%
25 1971-12-18 36.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1254 63.97% Progres Niedercorn 1 1083 14.83% 21.20%