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1970-71 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Union Luxembourg

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Union Luxembourg

8.75 points above expected

37 points · 28.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Grevenmacher

6.55 points below expected

8 points · 14.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Union Luxembourg 22 15 7 0 37 55 24 +31 28.25 +8.75
2 Aris Bonnevoie 22 12 5 5 29 51 32 +19 24.42 +4.58
3 Jeunesse Esch 22 12 5 5 29 51 33 +18 28.48 +0.52
4 Avenir Beggen 22 10 4 8 24 29 35 -6 21.60 +2.40
5 Spora Luxembourg 22 8 7 7 23 38 28 +10 25.77 -2.77
6 Differdange 03 22 9 3 10 21 41 40 +1 22.37 -1.37
7 Rumelange 22 8 5 9 21 36 39 -3 26.17 -5.17
8 Alliance Dudelange 22 5 11 6 21 32 36 -4 16.65 +4.35
9 Progres Niedercorn 22 8 4 10 20 48 51 -3 19.23 +0.77
10 SC Tetange 22 6 5 11 17 30 41 -11 18.21 -1.21
11 Stade Dudelange 22 5 4 13 14 39 55 -16 18.30 -4.30
12 Grevenmacher 22 1 6 15 8 26 62 -36 14.55 -6.55

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Union Luxembourg 37 28.25 +8.75
2 Aris Bonnevoie 29 24.42 +4.58
3 Alliance Dudelange 21 16.65 +4.35
4 Avenir Beggen 24 21.60 +2.40
5 Progres Niedercorn 20 19.23 +0.77

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grevenmacher 8 14.55 -6.55
2 Rumelange 21 26.17 -5.17
3 Stade Dudelange 14 18.30 -4.30
4 Spora Luxembourg 23 25.77 -2.77
5 Differdange 03 21 22.37 -1.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 7 Dec 6 – Mar 14 1 in 135
2 Alliance Dudelange 2 Nov 22 – Nov 28 1 in 71
3 Aris Bonnevoie 6 Dec 6 – Feb 27 1 in 61
4 Differdange 03 3 Apr 10 – May 8 1 in 22
5 Avenir Beggen 3 Jan 30 – Mar 28 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stade Dudelange 6 Oct 25 – Dec 13 1 in 246
2 Rumelange 4 Mar 21 – May 8 1 in 57
3 Spora Luxembourg 3 Dec 13 – Jan 24 1 in 37
4 Grevenmacher 4 Sep 6 – Sep 27 1 in 27
5 Progres Niedercorn 3 Jan 9 – Jan 30 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 22 Sep 6 – May 8 1 in 689
2 Progres Niedercorn 6 Oct 25 – Dec 13 1 in 52
3 Aris Bonnevoie 10 Nov 28 – Mar 27 1 in 39
4 Alliance Dudelange 5 Dec 13 – Feb 27 1 in 15
5 Grevenmacher 3 Jan 17 – Feb 13 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 7 Dec 5 – Mar 13 1 in 34
2 Grevenmacher 17 Oct 11 – May 8 1 in 34
3 Union Luxembourg 3 Mar 20 – Apr 17 1 in 19
4 Progres Niedercorn 6 Dec 13 – Mar 14 1 in 16
5 Stade Dudelange 6 Oct 25 – Dec 13 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Union Luxembourg 1416 37 +0 7 7.8 -0.8
Jeunesse Esch 1357 29 +7 7 6.8 +0.2
Aris Bonnevoie 1308 29 +6 5 5.0 -0.0
Avenir Beggen 1186 24 +7 6 4.8 +1.2
Spora Luxembourg 1305 23 +27 9 6.5 +2.5
Differdange 03 1221 21 +14 7 5.7 +1.3
Alliance Dudelange 1148 21 +7 5 4.2 +0.8
Rumelange 1222 21 -63 2 5.4 -3.4
Progres Niedercorn 1170 20 +15 4 3.5 +0.5
SC Tetange 1115 17 -15 3 4.3 -1.3
Stade Dudelange 1118 14 +17 4 3.9 +0.1
Grevenmacher 987 8 -20 1 2.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB AB D0 GRE JE PN RUM ST SL SD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
0-0-2
2.08
2-0-0
2.22
0-2-0
2.08
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
1.33
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.61
0-2-0
1.74
0-2-0
2.59
0-1-1
1.23
Aris Bonnevoie
2-0-0
3.40
 —
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
3.19
2-0-0
3.96
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
2.49
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.46
0-2-0
2.22
Avenir Beggen
0-0-2
3.28
1-0-1
2.60
 —
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
1.87
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
2.09
2-0-0
3.12
0-2-0
2.16
2-0-0
3.16
0-0-2
1.88
Differdange 03
0-2-0
3.40
2-0-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.70
 —
2-0-0
3.96
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.41
0-0-2
1.76
Grevenmacher
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.53
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
1.55
 —
0-0-2
1.06
1-1-0
2.17
0-1-1
1.26
0-0-2
2.33
0-1-1
1.26
0-0-2
2.37
0-1-1
0.86
Jeunesse Esch
1-1-0
4.18
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
4.49
 —
0-1-1
3.92
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
4.07
0-0-2
2.81
Progres Niedercorn
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
3.33
1-1-0
1.58
 —
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
1.97
2-0-0
2.74
0-1-1
1.65
Rumelange
1-1-0
3.80
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
4.26
0-1-1
2.36
2-0-0
3.54
 —
2-0-0
3.55
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
3.84
0-0-2
2.70
SC Tetange
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
1.59
1-1-0
2.62
0-0-2
1.94
 —
2-0-0
1.75
0-1-1
2.86
0-1-1
1.52
Spora Luxembourg
0-2-0
3.77
0-1-1
2.74
0-2-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
4.26
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.51
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
3.75
 —
2-0-0
3.64
0-1-1
2.58
Stade Dudelange
0-2-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
2.07
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
2.75
1-0-1
1.65
1-1-0
2.62
0-0-2
1.86
 —
0-0-2
1.88
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
4.30
0-2-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
4.71
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.86
2-0-0
2.77
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.63
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.57 +5.8
Allowed 0.78 -5.9
Differential 0.93 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%4.55%5.68%3.03%1.14%1.14%18.56%
14.55%11.36%6.44%2.65%1.89%1.14%28.03%
25.68%6.44%7.58%4.17%2.65%1.89%28.41%
33.03%2.65%4.17%2.27%—1.14%13.26%
41.14%1.89%2.65%—0.76%—6.44%
5+1.14%1.14%1.89%1.14%——5.30%
Total18.56%28.03%28.41%13.26%6.44%5.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 1.46 1.46 2.10
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
1—18.18%————18.18%
2—13.64%22.73%4.55%——40.91%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%40.91%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.64 -0.18
SD 1.14 0.95 1.30
CV 0.79 0.58 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
218.18%9.09%9.09%9.09%——45.45%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.45 +0.86
SD 1.46 1.14 1.75
CV 0.63 0.79 —
Max 7 3 +4
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
113.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
24.55%13.64%——4.55%4.55%27.27%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%22.73%22.73%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.59 -0.27
SD 1.29 1.62 2.16
CV 0.98 1.02 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
29.09%4.55%—9.09%4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.82 +0.05
SD 1.49 1.14 1.79
CV 0.80 0.63 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%9.09%36.36%
1—13.64%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
2———9.09%4.55%9.09%22.73%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%31.82%13.64%13.64%13.64%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.82 -1.64
SD 1.18 1.94 2.08
CV 1.00 0.69 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
24.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total18.18%45.45%13.64%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.50 +0.82
SD 1.84 1.22 2.61
CV 0.79 0.82 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
29.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total13.64%13.64%45.45%4.55%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 2.32 -0.14
SD 1.68 1.76 2.32
CV 0.77 0.76 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
29.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%22.73%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.77 -0.14
SD 1.29 1.66 2.21
CV 0.79 0.94 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%31.82%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.86 -0.50
SD 1.29 1.28 1.50
CV 0.95 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
14.55%22.73%9.09%———36.36%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
39.09%————4.55%13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%31.82%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.27 +0.45
SD 1.42 1.12 1.87
CV 0.82 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
2——9.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%31.82%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%13.64%36.36%13.64%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.50 -0.73
SD 1.57 1.54 2.49
CV 0.89 0.61 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
29.09%—9.09%———18.18%
34.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
44.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.09 +1.41
SD 1.26 1.02 1.22
CV 0.51 0.93 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Union Luxembourg 1416 37 28.25 +8.75 100.0% 19 22 26 28 31 33 36
Jeunesse Esch 1357 29 28.48 +0.52 68.0% 21 23 26 28 30 35 38
Aris Bonnevoie 1308 29 24.42 +4.58 93.0% 17 18 22 25 27 30 34
Spora Luxembourg 1305 23 25.77 -2.77 21.0% 17 20 24 25 28 32 36
Rumelange 1222 21 26.17 -5.17 9.0% 17 20 24 26 29 31 34
Differdange 03 1221 21 22.37 -1.37 40.0% 12 17 20 22 24 28 31
Avenir Beggen 1186 24 21.60 +2.40 84.0% 12 16 19 22 24 27 32
Progres Niedercorn 1170 20 19.23 +0.77 62.0% 10 13 16 19 22 26 28
Alliance Dudelange 1148 21 16.65 +4.35 94.0% 8 11 14 17 19 22 26
Stade Dudelange 1118 14 18.30 -4.30 16.0% 9 12 16 19 21 24 26
SC Tetange 1115 17 18.21 -1.21 42.0% 10 12 16 18 21 24 25
Grevenmacher 987 8 14.55 -6.55 5.0% 3 7 12 14 17 22 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.00%
Strong Edge
50.00%25.00%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
176 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
088.74500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
37%
Union Luxembourg, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.84 * Some Luck: 2.84 to 4.26 * Lucky: 4.26 to 5.69 * Wild Swing: 5.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.34 * Close: 1.34 to 2.01 * Off: 2.01 to 2.68 * Way Off: 2.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.30 points
Lucky
03.559
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.674
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Union Luxembourg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Grevenmacher
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 119.07
1.85
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
72%
Slight Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Rare
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.43
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Union Luxembourg37.00%29.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%—1.00%2.00%2.00%———
Aris Bonnevoie6.00%9.00%21.00%14.00%16.00%13.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%—
Jeunesse Esch34.00%25.00%17.00%13.00%7.00%—3.00%1.00%————
Avenir Beggen1.00%2.00%3.00%12.00%5.00%22.00%19.00%11.00%15.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%
Spora Luxembourg8.00%11.00%21.00%18.00%16.00%15.00%8.00%—1.00%2.00%——
Differdange 031.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%17.00%19.00%13.00%18.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%
Rumelange13.00%18.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Alliance Dudelange——1.00%——1.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%21.00%27.00%17.00%
Progres Niedercorn—2.00%2.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%20.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%
SC Tetange——2.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%15.00%16.00%22.00%12.00%14.00%
Stade Dudelange———1.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%18.00%24.00%7.00%
Grevenmacher———1.00%—3.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%21.00%53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Rumelange 100% —
Spora Luxembourg 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Aris Bonnevoie 99.00% 1.00%
Differdange 03 97.00% 3.00%
Avenir Beggen 95.00% 5.00%
Progres Niedercorn 84.00% 16.00%
SC Tetange 74.00% 26.00%
Stade Dudelange 69.00% 31.00%
Alliance Dudelange 56.00% 44.00%
Grevenmacher 26.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1970-09-05 Progres Niedercorn W 5-342.1 1239 1138 62.47% 25.09% 12.45%+1.07 +5.4 2
1970-09-05 @ Differdange 03 L 3-542.1 1138 1239 12.45% 25.09% 62.47%-1.07 -5.5 0
1970-09-05 Avenir Beggen D 1-151.6 1274 1233 57.46% 25.83% 16.71%+0.74 -2.3 1
1970-09-05 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.6 1233 1274 16.71% 25.83% 57.46%-0.74 +2.3 1
1970-09-06 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-239.3 1109 1211 41.11% 26.50% 32.39%-0.08 -19.6 0
1970-09-06 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-039.3 1211 1109 32.39% 26.50% 41.11%+0.08 +19.6 2
1970-09-06 Stade Dudelange D 2-257.0 1352 1166 68.24% 23.62% 8.14%+1.56 -2.7 1
1970-09-06 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-257.0 1166 1352 8.14% 23.62% 68.24%-1.56 +2.7 1
1970-09-06 Rumelange W 3-139.1 1264 1288 50.80% 26.34% 22.86%+0.37 +10.8 2
1970-09-06 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-339.1 1288 1264 22.86% 26.34% 50.80%-0.37 -10.9 0
1970-09-06 Grevenmacher W 1-036.0 1144 1134 54.47% 26.11% 19.42%+0.56 +5.8 2
1970-09-06 @ SC Tetange L 0-136.0 1134 1144 19.42% 26.11% 54.47%-0.56 -5.8 0
1970-09-12 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-140.7 1235 1231 53.87% 26.15% 19.98%+0.53 +5.6 3
1970-09-12 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-240.7 1231 1235 19.98% 26.15% 53.87%-0.53 -5.6 2
1970-09-12 Union Luxembourg L 1-344.1 1169 1274 40.66% 26.50% 32.85%-0.09 -16.8 1
1970-09-12 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-144.1 1274 1169 32.85% 26.50% 40.66%+0.09 +16.8 4
1970-09-13 Alliance Dudelange L 2-356.3 1128 1090 57.25% 25.85% 16.90%+0.72 -12.4 0
1970-09-13 @ Grevenmacher W 3-256.3 1090 1128 16.90% 25.85% 57.25%-0.72 +12.4 2
1970-09-13 SC Tetange L 1-249.9 1133 1150 51.59% 26.30% 22.11%+0.41 -11.9 0
1970-09-13 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-149.9 1150 1133 22.11% 26.30% 51.59%-0.41 +11.9 4
1970-09-13 Differdange 03 W 2-140.0 1277 1244 56.67% 25.91% 17.42%+0.69 +5.0 2
1970-09-13 @ Rumelange L 1-240.0 1244 1277 17.42% 25.91% 56.67%-0.69 -5.0 2
1970-09-13 Jeunesse Esch W 3-034.2 1271 1350 44.25% 26.50% 29.25%+0.06 +22.0 3
1970-09-13 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-334.2 1350 1271 29.25% 26.50% 44.25%-0.06 -22.0 1
1970-09-19 Progres Niedercorn L 0-242.2 1102 1121 51.38% 26.31% 22.31%+0.40 -23.7 2
1970-09-19 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-042.2 1121 1102 22.31% 26.31% 51.38%-0.40 +23.7 2
1970-09-19 Grevenmacher W 4-026.6 1225 1116 63.14% 24.95% 11.91%+1.12 +13.6 4
1970-09-19 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-426.6 1116 1225 11.91% 24.95% 63.14%-1.12 -13.5 0
1970-09-19 Stade Dudelange W 4-133.0 1239 1152 61.43% 25.27% 13.30%+1.00 +9.7 4
1970-09-19 @ Differdange 03 L 1-433.0 1152 1239 13.30% 25.27% 61.43%-1.00 -9.7 1
1970-09-19 Avenir Beggen W 4-027.7 1328 1241 61.41% 25.27% 13.31%+1.00 +15.0 3
1970-09-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-427.7 1241 1328 13.31% 25.27% 61.41%-1.00 -15.0 3
1970-09-19 Rumelange L 1-246.3 1162 1282 38.65% 26.47% 34.88%-0.18 -9.3 4
1970-09-19 @ SC Tetange W 2-146.3 1282 1162 34.88% 26.47% 38.65%+0.18 +9.3 4
1970-09-26 Differdange 03 W 3-029.7 1294 1249 57.79% 25.79% 16.42%+0.76 +13.8 5
1970-09-26 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-329.7 1249 1294 16.42% 25.79% 57.79%-0.76 -13.8 4
1970-09-27 Grevenmacher W 5-026.6 1226 1102 64.15% 24.74% 11.11%+1.20 +15.7 5
1970-09-27 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-526.6 1102 1226 11.11% 24.74% 64.15%-1.20 -15.7 0
1970-09-27 Union Luxembourg L 1-447.6 1343 1291 58.42% 25.71% 15.86%+0.80 -32.8 3
1970-09-27 @ Jeunesse Esch W 4-147.6 1291 1343 15.86% 25.71% 58.42%-0.80 +32.8 6
1970-09-27 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-248.8 1145 1239 42.18% 26.51% 31.31%-0.03 +7.6 4
1970-09-27 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-348.8 1239 1145 31.31% 26.51% 42.18%+0.03 -7.6 4
1970-09-27 Alliance Dudelange W 3-025.6 1291 1078 69.77% 23.09% 7.14%+1.71 +6.3 6
1970-09-27 @ Rumelange L 0-325.6 1078 1291 7.14% 23.09% 69.77%-1.71 -6.3 2
1970-09-27 SC Tetange W 3-245.7 1143 1153 52.35% 26.25% 21.39%+0.45 +5.6 3
1970-09-27 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-345.7 1153 1143 21.39% 26.25% 52.35%-0.45 -5.6 4
1970-10-01 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.1 1307 1324 51.64% 26.29% 22.06%+0.41 -1.6 6
1970-10-01 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.1 1324 1307 22.06% 26.29% 51.64%-0.41 +1.6 7
1970-10-03 Stade Dudelange D 2-255.7 1072 1148 44.55% 26.50% 28.95%+0.07 -0.6 3
1970-10-03 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-255.7 1148 1072 28.95% 26.50% 44.55%-0.07 +0.6 4
1970-10-03 Rumelange W 2-143.3 1231 1297 45.79% 26.49% 27.72%+0.13 +7.3 6
1970-10-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-243.3 1297 1231 27.72% 26.49% 45.79%-0.13 -7.3 6
1970-10-03 Jeunesse Esch L 0-240.9 1235 1310 44.71% 26.50% 28.79%+0.08 -21.0 4
1970-10-03 @ Differdange 03 W 2-040.9 1310 1235 28.79% 26.50% 44.71%-0.08 +21.0 5
1970-10-03 Progres Niedercorn W 3-139.9 1087 1152 45.86% 26.49% 27.66%+0.13 +12.6 2
1970-10-03 @ Grevenmacher L 1-339.9 1152 1087 27.66% 26.49% 45.86%-0.13 -12.6 4
1970-10-03 Avenir Beggen W 4-240.4 1326 1241 61.19% 25.31% 13.50%+0.98 +6.2 9
1970-10-03 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-440.4 1241 1326 13.50% 25.31% 61.19%-0.98 -6.2 5
1970-10-03 Spora Luxembourg W 1-042.6 1147 1306 33.24% 26.31% 40.46%-0.40 +10.2 6
1970-10-03 @ SC Tetange L 0-142.6 1306 1147 40.46% 26.31% 33.24%+0.40 -10.2 6
1970-10-10 Alliance Dudelange D 2-256.9 1296 1072 70.39% 22.85% 6.75%+1.77 -2.8 7
1970-10-10 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-256.9 1072 1296 6.75% 22.85% 70.39%-1.77 +2.8 4
1970-10-11 SC Tetange W 3-026.6 1331 1157 67.49% 23.86% 8.65%+1.49 +7.6 7
1970-10-11 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-326.6 1157 1331 8.65% 23.86% 67.49%-1.49 -7.6 6
1970-10-11 Avenir Beggen W 6-240.0 1140 1235 42.00% 26.51% 31.49%-0.04 +21.5 6
1970-10-11 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-640.0 1235 1140 31.49% 26.51% 42.00%+0.04 -21.5 5
1970-10-11 Differdange 03 W 3-242.8 1332 1214 63.73% 24.83% 11.44%+1.17 +3.3 11
1970-10-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-342.8 1214 1332 11.44% 24.83% 63.73%-1.17 -3.3 4
1970-10-11 Grevenmacher W 1-031.9 1290 1099 68.52% 23.53% 7.95%+1.59 +2.6 8
1970-10-11 @ Rumelange L 0-131.9 1099 1290 7.95% 23.53% 68.52%-1.59 -2.6 2
1970-10-11 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-337.4 1149 1239 42.74% 26.51% 30.75%-0.01 -29.4 4
1970-10-11 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-037.4 1239 1149 30.75% 26.51% 42.74%+0.01 +29.4 8
1970-10-17 Spora Luxembourg W 2-142.0 1268 1293 50.74% 26.34% 22.92%+0.36 +6.3 10
1970-10-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-242.0 1293 1268 22.92% 26.34% 50.74%-0.36 -6.3 7
1970-10-18 Jeunesse Esch D 2-256.2 1074 1339 20.99% 25.28% 53.73%-0.99 +1.3 5
1970-10-18 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-256.2 1339 1074 53.73% 25.28% 20.99%+0.99 -1.3 8
1970-10-18 Differdange 03 W 2-033.0 1214 1211 53.71% 26.17% 20.12%+0.52 +11.3 7
1970-10-18 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-233.0 1211 1214 20.12% 26.17% 53.71%-0.52 -11.3 4
1970-10-18 Stade Dudelange L 0-639.8 1097 1119 50.97% 26.33% 22.70%+0.37 -65.3 2
1970-10-18 @ Grevenmacher W 6-039.8 1119 1097 22.70% 26.33% 50.97%-0.37 +65.3 6
1970-10-18 Rumelange L 1-539.1 1161 1293 37.03% 26.43% 36.54%-0.24 -28.6 6
1970-10-18 @ Progres Niedercorn W 5-139.1 1293 1161 36.54% 26.43% 37.03%+0.24 +28.6 10
1970-10-18 Union Luxembourg D 3-360.5 1150 1335 29.76% 26.13% 44.11%-0.55 +0.5 7
1970-10-18 @ SC Tetange D 3-360.5 1335 1150 44.11% 26.13% 29.76%+0.55 -0.5 12
1970-10-24 Alliance Dudelange W 2-027.4 1335 1076 72.22% 22.09% 5.69%+1.97 +3.4 14
1970-10-24 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-227.4 1076 1335 5.69% 22.09% 72.22%-1.97 -3.4 5
1970-10-25 SC Tetange W 5-237.4 1200 1150 58.25% 25.73% 16.01%+0.78 +9.9 6
1970-10-25 @ Differdange 03 L 2-537.4 1150 1200 16.01% 25.73% 58.25%-0.78 -9.9 7
1970-10-25 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-136.8 1337 1274 59.43% 25.58% 14.99%+0.86 +7.6 10
1970-10-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-336.8 1274 1337 14.99% 25.58% 59.43%-0.86 -7.6 10
1970-10-25 Avenir Beggen D 0-048.6 1321 1225 62.15% 25.14% 12.70%+1.05 -3.2 11
1970-10-25 @ Rumelange D 0-048.6 1225 1321 12.70% 25.14% 62.15%-1.05 +3.2 8
1970-10-25 Grevenmacher D 1-152.3 1286 1031 72.02% 22.18% 5.80%+1.95 -4.0 8
1970-10-25 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.3 1031 1286 5.80% 22.18% 72.02%-1.95 +4.0 3
1970-10-25 Progres Niedercorn L 2-453.3 1185 1133 58.47% 25.71% 15.83%+0.80 -20.7 6
1970-10-25 @ Stade Dudelange W 4-253.3 1133 1185 15.83% 25.71% 58.47%-0.80 +20.7 8
1970-11-07 Union Luxembourg D 1-151.9 1267 1338 45.14% 26.50% 28.37%+0.10 -0.9 11
1970-11-07 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-151.9 1338 1267 28.37% 26.50% 45.14%-0.10 +0.9 15
1970-11-08 Differdange 03 D 1-151.0 1072 1210 36.21% 26.41% 37.38%-0.27 +0.1 6
1970-11-08 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-151.0 1210 1072 37.38% 26.41% 36.21%+0.27 -0.0 7
1970-11-08 SC Tetange W 2-138.2 1228 1140 61.49% 25.26% 13.25%+1.00 +3.9 10
1970-11-08 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-238.2 1140 1228 13.25% 25.26% 61.49%-1.00 -3.9 7
1970-11-08 Jeunesse Esch L 1-239.2 1035 1345 16.99% 24.60% 58.41%-1.25 -4.8 3
1970-11-08 @ Grevenmacher W 2-139.2 1345 1035 58.41% 24.60% 16.99%+1.25 +4.8 12
1970-11-08 Spora Luxembourg W 2-037.9 1154 1282 37.38% 26.44% 36.18%-0.23 +17.8 10
1970-11-08 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-237.9 1282 1154 36.18% 26.44% 37.38%+0.23 -17.8 8
1970-11-08 Stade Dudelange W 2-029.4 1318 1164 66.25% 24.22% 9.53%+1.38 +5.8 13
1970-11-08 @ Rumelange L 0-229.4 1164 1318 9.53% 24.22% 66.25%-1.38 -5.8 6
1970-11-21 Grevenmacher W 4-235.8 1339 1031 74.59% 20.94% 4.47%+2.25 +2.0 17
1970-11-21 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-435.8 1031 1339 4.47% 20.94% 74.59%-2.25 -2.0 3
1970-11-22 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-139.9 1210 1266 47.03% 26.46% 26.51%+0.18 +12.2 9
1970-11-22 @ Differdange 03 L 1-339.9 1266 1210 26.51% 26.46% 47.03%-0.18 -12.2 11
1970-11-22 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.2 1350 1171 67.78% 23.77% 8.45%+1.51 -3.5 13
1970-11-22 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.2 1171 1350 8.45% 23.77% 67.78%-1.51 +3.5 11
1970-11-22 Alliance Dudelange L 1-252.1 1136 1072 59.50% 25.57% 14.93%+0.87 -13.6 7
1970-11-22 @ SC Tetange W 2-152.1 1072 1136 14.93% 25.57% 59.50%-0.87 +13.6 8
1970-11-22 Rumelange W 4-138.1 1265 1324 46.65% 26.47% 26.88%+0.17 +17.4 10
1970-11-22 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-438.1 1324 1265 26.88% 26.47% 46.65%-0.17 -17.4 13
1970-11-22 Avenir Beggen L 2-352.9 1158 1232 44.82% 26.50% 28.68%+0.08 -10.0 6
1970-11-22 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-252.9 1232 1158 28.68% 26.50% 44.82%-0.08 +10.0 12
1970-11-28 SC Tetange D 2-256.4 1254 1123 64.69% 24.62% 10.70%+1.25 -2.3 12
1970-11-28 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-256.4 1123 1254 10.70% 24.62% 64.69%-1.25 +2.4 8
1970-11-28 Alliance Dudelange L 0-343.7 1242 1086 66.37% 24.18% 9.44%+1.39 -43.9 12
1970-11-28 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-043.7 1086 1242 9.44% 24.18% 66.37%-1.39 +43.9 10
1970-11-28 Differdange 03 L 1-243.0 1029 1222 28.80% 26.06% 45.14%-0.59 -7.5 3
1970-11-28 @ Grevenmacher W 2-143.0 1222 1029 45.14% 26.06% 28.80%+0.59 +7.5 11
1970-11-28 Union Luxembourg D 2-256.2 1175 1341 32.26% 26.26% 41.48%-0.44 +0.4 12
1970-11-28 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-256.2 1341 1175 41.48% 26.26% 32.26%+0.44 -0.4 18
1970-11-28 Jeunesse Esch D 2-257.0 1307 1346 49.02% 26.41% 24.57%+0.28 -1.0 14
1970-11-28 @ Rumelange D 2-257.0 1346 1307 24.57% 26.41% 49.02%-0.28 +1.0 14
1970-11-28 Spora Luxembourg L 0-534.9 1148 1282 36.69% 26.42% 36.89%-0.26 -42.0 6
1970-11-28 @ Stade Dudelange W 5-034.9 1282 1148 36.89% 26.42% 36.69%+0.26 +42.0 12
1970-12-05 Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.4 1198 1324 37.80% 26.45% 35.75%-0.21 -0.1 13
1970-12-05 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-151.4 1324 1198 35.75% 26.45% 37.80%+0.21 +0.1 13
1970-12-06 Alliance Dudelange W 3-242.3 1251 1130 64.00% 24.77% 11.23%+1.19 +3.2 14
1970-12-06 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-342.3 1130 1251 11.23% 24.77% 64.00%-1.19 -3.2 10
1970-12-06 SC Tetange L 2-351.5 1021 1125 40.85% 26.50% 32.65%-0.09 -9.2 3
1970-12-06 @ Grevenmacher W 3-251.5 1125 1021 32.65% 26.50% 40.85%+0.09 +9.2 10
1970-12-06 Differdange 03 W 4-244.0 1175 1229 47.30% 26.46% 26.25%+0.20 +10.8 14
1970-12-06 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-444.0 1229 1175 26.25% 26.46% 47.30%-0.20 -10.8 11
1970-12-06 Union Luxembourg L 0-146.4 1306 1341 49.56% 26.39% 24.05%+0.30 -12.2 14
1970-12-06 @ Rumelange W 1-046.4 1341 1306 24.05% 26.39% 49.56%-0.30 +12.2 20
1970-12-06 Jeunesse Esch L 1-241.5 1106 1347 23.34% 25.58% 51.08%-0.86 -6.3 6
1970-12-06 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-141.5 1347 1106 51.08% 25.58% 23.34%+0.86 +6.3 16
1970-12-12 Avenir Beggen W 2-031.5 1254 1198 58.85% 25.66% 15.49%+0.82 +9.0 16
1970-12-12 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-231.5 1198 1254 15.49% 25.66% 58.85%-0.82 -9.0 13
1970-12-13 Grevenmacher D 4-463.2 1127 1012 63.54% 24.87% 11.59%+1.15 -1.6 11
1970-12-13 @ Alliance Dudelange D 4-463.2 1012 1127 11.59% 24.87% 63.54%-1.15 +1.6 4
1970-12-13 Rumelange D 3-360.5 1218 1293 44.67% 26.50% 28.83%+0.08 -0.5 12
1970-12-13 @ Differdange 03 D 3-360.5 1293 1218 28.83% 26.50% 44.67%-0.08 +0.5 15
1970-12-13 Spora Luxembourg W 2-141.2 1353 1324 56.36% 25.94% 17.69%+0.67 +5.1 18
1970-12-13 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-241.2 1324 1353 17.69% 25.94% 56.36%-0.67 -5.1 13
1970-12-13 Stade Dudelange W 4-236.7 1353 1100 71.91% 22.23% 5.86%+1.94 +2.7 22
1970-12-13 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-436.7 1100 1353 5.86% 22.23% 71.91%-1.94 -2.7 6
1970-12-13 Progres Niedercorn D 0-047.7 1134 1186 47.58% 26.45% 25.97%+0.21 -1.3 11
1970-12-13 @ SC Tetange D 0-047.7 1186 1134 25.97% 26.45% 47.58%-0.21 +1.3 15
1971-01-09 Jeunesse Esch W 3-252.4 1189 1358 31.81% 26.24% 41.95%-0.46 +9.4 15
1971-01-09 @ Avenir Beggen L 2-352.4 1358 1189 41.95% 26.24% 31.81%+0.46 -9.4 18
1971-01-09 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-539.2 1014 1263 22.40% 25.47% 52.14%-0.91 -12.9 4
1971-01-09 @ Grevenmacher W 5-239.2 1263 1014 52.14% 25.47% 22.40%+0.91 +12.9 18
1971-01-09 Alliance Dudelange L 1-252.1 1187 1125 59.35% 25.59% 15.06%+0.86 -13.6 15
1971-01-09 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-152.1 1125 1187 15.06% 25.59% 59.35%-0.86 +13.6 13
1971-01-09 Spora Luxembourg W 2-033.4 1355 1319 57.03% 25.87% 17.09%+0.71 +9.9 24
1971-01-09 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-233.4 1319 1355 17.09% 25.87% 57.03%-0.71 -9.9 13
1971-01-09 SC Tetange W 2-029.1 1294 1133 66.68% 24.10% 9.22%+1.42 +5.6 17
1971-01-09 @ Rumelange L 0-229.1 1133 1294 9.22% 24.10% 66.68%-1.42 -5.6 11
1971-01-09 Differdange 03 W 3-249.9 1097 1218 38.55% 26.47% 34.98%-0.18 +8.2 8
1971-01-09 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-349.9 1218 1097 34.98% 26.47% 38.55%+0.18 -8.2 12
1971-01-16 Progres Niedercorn W 7-335.2 1276 1174 62.64% 25.05% 12.31%+1.09 +9.0 20
1971-01-16 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 3-735.2 1174 1276 12.31% 25.05% 62.64%-1.09 -9.0 15
1971-01-17 Avenir Beggen D 0-047.7 1001 1198 28.23% 26.02% 45.75%-0.62 +1.0 5
1971-01-17 @ Grevenmacher D 0-047.7 1198 1001 45.75% 26.02% 28.23%+0.62 -1.0 16
1971-01-23 Union Luxembourg L 0-334.6 1197 1365 32.02% 26.25% 41.73%-0.45 -23.5 16
1971-01-23 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-034.6 1365 1197 41.73% 26.25% 32.02%+0.45 +23.5 26
1971-01-24 Differdange 03 W 2-137.6 1349 1210 65.27% 24.47% 10.25%+1.29 +3.1 20
1971-01-24 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-237.6 1210 1349 10.25% 24.47% 65.27%-1.29 -3.1 12
1971-01-24 SC Tetange L 3-558.4 1309 1127 67.98% 23.71% 8.31%+1.53 -22.6 13
1971-01-24 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-358.4 1127 1309 8.31% 23.71% 67.98%-1.53 +22.6 13
1971-01-30 Spora Luxembourg D 2-255.9 1139 1287 34.72% 26.36% 38.92%-0.34 +0.2 14
1971-01-30 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-255.9 1287 1139 38.92% 26.36% 34.72%+0.34 -0.1 14
1971-01-30 Stade Dudelange W 2-028.7 1285 1105 67.87% 23.74% 8.39%+1.52 +5.1 22
1971-01-30 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-228.7 1105 1285 8.39% 23.74% 67.87%-1.52 -5.1 8
1971-01-30 Progres Niedercorn W 2-140.3 1174 1165 54.39% 26.12% 19.50%+0.56 +5.5 18
1971-01-30 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-240.3 1165 1174 19.50% 26.12% 54.39%-0.56 -5.5 15
1971-01-30 Union Luxembourg L 0-140.1 1207 1389 30.15% 26.15% 43.70%-0.53 -8.2 12
1971-01-30 @ Differdange 03 W 1-040.1 1389 1207 43.70% 26.15% 30.15%+0.53 +8.2 28
1971-01-30 Rumelange D 1-151.5 1002 1299 17.95% 24.78% 57.27%-1.19 +2.2 6
1971-01-30 @ Grevenmacher D 1-151.5 1299 1002 57.27% 24.78% 17.95%+1.19 -2.2 18
1971-01-30 Jeunesse Esch L 1-437.8 1150 1352 27.71% 25.99% 46.31%-0.64 -17.7 13
1971-01-30 @ SC Tetange W 4-137.8 1352 1150 46.31% 25.99% 27.71%+0.64 +17.7 22
1971-02-13 Rumelange D 2-256.0 1139 1297 33.28% 26.31% 40.41%-0.40 +0.3 15
1971-02-13 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-256.0 1297 1139 40.41% 26.31% 33.28%+0.40 -0.3 19
1971-02-13 Spora Luxembourg W 1-039.8 1198 1286 42.96% 26.51% 30.53%+0.00 +8.3 14
1971-02-13 @ Differdange 03 L 0-139.8 1286 1198 30.53% 26.51% 42.96%+0.00 -8.3 14
1971-02-13 Grevenmacher D 1-151.6 1159 1004 66.33% 24.20% 9.48%+1.38 -3.4 16
1971-02-13 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-151.6 1004 1159 9.48% 24.20% 66.33%-1.38 +3.4 7
1971-02-13 Jeunesse Esch W 4-031.5 1397 1370 56.16% 25.96% 17.88%+0.66 +19.4 30
1971-02-13 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-431.5 1370 1397 17.88% 25.96% 56.16%-0.66 -19.4 22
1971-02-13 Stade Dudelange D 1-151.1 1132 1100 56.62% 25.92% 17.46%+0.68 -2.2 14
1971-02-13 @ SC Tetange D 1-151.1 1100 1132 17.46% 25.92% 56.62%-0.68 +2.2 9
1971-02-27 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-356.2 1297 1290 54.11% 26.14% 19.75%+0.54 -11.8 19
1971-02-27 @ Rumelange W 3-256.2 1290 1297 19.75% 26.14% 54.11%-0.54 +11.8 24
1971-02-27 Alliance Dudelange D 1-151.0 1103 1139 49.38% 26.40% 24.22%+0.30 -1.3 10
1971-02-27 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-151.0 1139 1103 24.22% 26.40% 49.38%-0.30 +1.3 16
1971-03-13 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-151.8 1278 1302 50.81% 26.34% 22.86%+0.37 -1.5 15
1971-03-13 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.8 1302 1278 22.86% 26.34% 50.81%-0.37 +1.5 25
1971-03-14 Alliance Dudelange W 1-031.8 1350 1140 69.62% 23.15% 7.23%+1.69 +2.3 24
1971-03-14 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-131.8 1140 1350 7.23% 23.15% 69.62%-1.69 -2.3 16
1971-03-14 SC Tetange W 1-030.9 1416 1130 73.56% 21.46% 4.98%+2.13 +1.6 32
1971-03-14 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-130.9 1130 1416 4.98% 21.46% 73.56%-2.13 -1.6 14
1971-03-14 Progres Niedercorn W 4-238.9 1285 1156 64.59% 24.64% 10.78%+1.24 +5.0 21
1971-03-14 @ Rumelange L 2-438.9 1156 1285 10.78% 24.64% 64.59%-1.24 -5.0 16
1971-03-20 Union Luxembourg D 0-048.7 1138 1418 19.52% 25.06% 55.42%-1.08 +2.2 17
1971-03-20 @ Alliance Dudelange D 0-048.7 1418 1138 55.42% 25.06% 19.52%+1.08 -2.2 33
1971-03-21 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.3 1304 1353 47.90% 26.44% 25.65%+0.23 -1.2 26
1971-03-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.3 1353 1304 25.65% 26.44% 47.90%-0.23 +1.2 25
1971-03-21 Rumelange W 1-040.7 1179 1290 39.89% 26.49% 33.62%-0.13 +8.9 20
1971-03-21 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-140.7 1290 1179 33.62% 26.49% 39.89%+0.13 -8.9 21
1971-03-21 Spora Luxembourg L 0-136.1 1007 1277 20.48% 25.21% 54.31%-1.02 -6.0 7
1971-03-21 @ Grevenmacher W 1-036.1 1277 1007 54.31% 25.21% 20.48%+1.02 +6.0 17
1971-03-21 Stade Dudelange W 6-235.0 1151 1101 58.24% 25.74% 16.02%+0.78 +12.5 18
1971-03-21 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-635.0 1101 1151 16.02% 25.74% 58.24%-0.78 -12.5 10
1971-03-21 Differdange 03 W 3-140.5 1129 1207 44.28% 26.50% 29.22%+0.06 +13.1 16
1971-03-21 @ SC Tetange L 1-340.5 1207 1129 29.22% 26.50% 44.28%-0.06 -13.1 14
1971-03-27 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.3 1416 1303 63.42% 24.90% 11.68%+1.15 -2.2 34
1971-03-27 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-258.3 1303 1416 11.68% 24.90% 63.42%-1.15 +2.2 27
1971-03-28 Alliance Dudelange D 1-151.3 1194 1140 58.57% 25.69% 15.74%+0.80 -2.4 15
1971-03-28 @ Differdange 03 D 1-151.3 1140 1194 15.74% 25.69% 58.57%-0.80 +2.4 18
1971-03-28 Grevenmacher W 7-126.3 1354 1001 76.55% 19.86% 3.60%+2.50 +4.7 27
1971-03-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-726.3 1001 1354 3.60% 19.86% 76.55%-2.50 -4.7 7
1971-03-28 Avenir Beggen L 0-144.8 1142 1188 48.20% 26.43% 25.37%+0.24 -11.9 16
1971-03-28 @ SC Tetange W 1-044.8 1188 1142 25.37% 26.43% 48.20%-0.24 +11.9 22
1971-03-28 Progres Niedercorn W 2-030.0 1283 1163 63.87% 24.80% 11.33%+1.18 +6.8 19
1971-03-28 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-230.0 1163 1283 11.33% 24.80% 63.87%-1.18 -6.8 18
1971-03-28 Rumelange W 3-037.9 1089 1281 28.86% 26.07% 45.07%-0.59 +30.6 12
1971-03-28 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-337.9 1281 1089 45.07% 26.07% 28.86%+0.59 -30.6 21
1971-04-03 Grevenmacher W 5-235.5 1119 996 64.12% 24.75% 11.14%+1.20 +7.1 14
1971-04-03 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-535.5 996 1119 11.14% 24.75% 64.12%-1.20 -7.1 7
1971-04-10 Avenir Beggen W 2-033.3 1191 1200 52.46% 26.25% 21.29%+0.45 +11.8 17
1971-04-10 @ Differdange 03 L 0-233.3 1200 1191 21.29% 26.25% 52.46%-0.45 -11.8 22
1971-04-17 SC Tetange D 1-151.1 1143 1130 54.76% 26.09% 19.16%+0.58 -2.0 19
1971-04-17 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-151.1 1130 1143 19.16% 26.09% 54.76%-0.58 +2.0 17
1971-04-17 Differdange 03 L 2-358.1 1305 1203 62.58% 25.06% 12.36%+1.08 -13.6 27
1971-04-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-258.1 1203 1305 12.36% 25.06% 62.58%-1.08 +13.6 19
1971-04-17 Stade Dudelange W 1-034.6 1188 1126 59.34% 25.59% 15.07%+0.85 +4.7 24
1971-04-17 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-134.6 1126 1188 15.07% 25.59% 59.34%-0.85 -4.7 14
1971-04-17 Union Luxembourg D 3-361.5 989 1414 9.83% 22.36% 67.81%-1.90 +2.1 8
1971-04-17 @ Grevenmacher D 3-361.5 1414 989 67.81% 22.36% 9.83%+1.90 -2.1 35
1971-04-17 Jeunesse Esch W 3-145.8 1156 1359 27.69% 25.98% 46.33%-0.64 +18.6 20
1971-04-17 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-345.8 1359 1156 46.33% 25.98% 27.69%+0.64 -18.6 27
1971-04-17 Spora Luxembourg L 1-249.8 1251 1289 49.14% 26.40% 24.46%+0.28 -11.4 21
1971-04-17 @ Rumelange W 2-149.8 1289 1251 24.46% 26.40% 49.14%-0.28 +11.4 21
1971-05-08 Avenir Beggen W 2-142.4 1141 1193 47.52% 26.45% 26.03%+0.21 +6.9 21
1971-05-08 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-242.4 1193 1141 26.03% 26.45% 47.52%-0.21 -6.9 24
1971-05-08 Grevenmacher W 2-027.8 1216 991 70.45% 22.83% 6.72%+1.78 +4.1 21
1971-05-08 @ Differdange 03 L 0-227.8 991 1216 6.72% 22.83% 70.45%-1.78 -4.1 8
1971-05-08 Rumelange W 7-131.2 1340 1239 62.48% 25.08% 12.44%+1.07 +17.0 29
1971-05-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-731.2 1239 1340 12.44% 25.08% 62.48%-1.07 -17.0 21
1971-05-08 Progres Niedercorn W 4-130.7 1411 1175 71.06% 22.59% 6.35%+1.84 +4.7 37
1971-05-08 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-430.7 1175 1411 6.35% 22.59% 71.06%-1.84 -4.7 20
1971-05-08 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-237.0 1132 1291 33.14% 26.30% 40.56%-0.40 -16.6 17
1971-05-08 @ SC Tetange W 2-037.0 1291 1132 40.56% 26.30% 33.14%+0.40 +16.6 29
1971-05-08 Stade Dudelange W 4-237.9 1301 1122 67.82% 23.76% 8.42%+1.52 +4.0 23
1971-05-08 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-437.9 1122 1301 8.42% 23.76% 67.82%-1.52 -4.0 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1971-01-24 8.31% SC Tetange 1127 5 @ Spora Luxembourg 1309 3
2 1970-11-28 9.44% Alliance Dudelange 1086 3 @ Avenir Beggen 1242 0
3 1971-04-17 12.36% Differdange 03 1203 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1305 2
4 1970-11-22 14.93% Alliance Dudelange 1072 2 @ SC Tetange 1136 1
5 1971-01-09 15.06% Alliance Dudelange 1125 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1187 1
6 1970-10-25 15.83% Progres Niedercorn 1133 4 @ Stade Dudelange 1185 2
7 1970-09-27 15.86% Union Luxembourg 1291 4 @ Jeunesse Esch 1343 1
8 1970-09-13 16.90% Alliance Dudelange 1090 3 @ Grevenmacher 1128 2
9 1971-02-27 19.75% Aris Bonnevoie 1290 3 @ Rumelange 1297 2
10 1970-09-13 22.11% SC Tetange 1150 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1133 1
11 1970-09-19 22.31% Progres Niedercorn 1121 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 1102 0
12 1970-10-18 22.70% Stade Dudelange 1119 6 @ Grevenmacher 1097 0
13 1970-12-06 24.05% Union Luxembourg 1341 1 @ Rumelange 1306 0
14 1971-04-17 24.46% Spora Luxembourg 1289 2 @ Rumelange 1251 1
15 1971-03-28 25.37% Avenir Beggen 1188 1 @ SC Tetange 1142 0
16 1971-04-17 27.69% @ Progres Niedercorn 1156 3 Jeunesse Esch 1359 1
17 1970-11-22 28.68% Avenir Beggen 1232 3 @ Stade Dudelange 1158 2
18 1970-10-03 28.79% Jeunesse Esch 1310 2 @ Differdange 03 1235 0
19 1971-03-28 28.86% @ Stade Dudelange 1089 3 Rumelange 1281 0
20 1970-10-11 30.75% Aris Bonnevoie 1239 3 @ Stade Dudelange 1149 0
21 1971-01-09 31.81% @ Avenir Beggen 1189 3 Jeunesse Esch 1358 2
22 1970-09-06 32.39% Aris Bonnevoie 1211 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 1109 0
23 1970-12-06 32.65% SC Tetange 1125 3 @ Grevenmacher 1021 2
24 1970-09-12 32.85% Union Luxembourg 1274 3 @ Stade Dudelange 1169 1
25 1970-10-03 33.24% @ SC Tetange 1147 1 Spora Luxembourg 1306 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-10-18 65.35 Stade Dudelange 6 1119 22.70% @ Grevenmacher 0 1097 50.97% 26.33%
2 1970-11-28 43.94 Alliance Dudelange 3 1086 9.44% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1242 66.37% 24.18%
3 1970-11-28 41.99 Spora Luxembourg 5 1282 36.89% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1148 36.69% 26.42%
4 1970-09-27 32.76 Union Luxembourg 4 1291 15.86% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1343 58.42% 25.71%
5 1971-03-28 30.56 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1089 28.86% Rumelange 0 1281 45.07% 26.07%
6 1970-10-11 29.37 Aris Bonnevoie 3 1239 30.75% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1149 42.74% 26.51%
7 1970-10-18 28.59 Rumelange 5 1293 36.54% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1161 37.03% 26.43%
8 1970-09-19 23.70 Progres Niedercorn 2 1121 22.31% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1102 51.38% 26.31%
9 1971-01-23 23.52 Union Luxembourg 3 1365 41.73% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1197 32.02% 26.25%
10 1971-01-24 22.65 SC Tetange 5 1127 8.31% @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1309 67.98% 23.71%
11 1970-09-13 22.04 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1271 44.25% Jeunesse Esch 0 1350 29.25% 26.50%
12 1970-10-11 21.53 @ Progres Niedercorn 6 1140 42.00% Avenir Beggen 2 1235 31.49% 26.51%
13 1970-10-03 20.99 Jeunesse Esch 2 1310 28.79% @ Differdange 03 0 1235 44.71% 26.50%
14 1970-10-25 20.73 Progres Niedercorn 4 1133 15.83% @ Stade Dudelange 2 1185 58.47% 25.71%
15 1970-09-06 19.60 Aris Bonnevoie 2 1211 32.39% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 1109 41.11% 26.50%
16 1971-02-13 19.43 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1397 56.16% Jeunesse Esch 0 1370 17.88% 25.96%
17 1971-04-17 18.65 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1156 27.69% Jeunesse Esch 1 1359 46.33% 25.98%
18 1970-11-08 17.78 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1154 37.38% Spora Luxembourg 0 1282 36.18% 26.44%
19 1971-01-30 17.72 Jeunesse Esch 4 1352 46.31% @ SC Tetange 1 1150 27.71% 25.99%
20 1970-11-22 17.42 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 1265 46.65% Rumelange 1 1324 26.88% 26.47%
21 1971-05-08 17.03 @ Jeunesse Esch 7 1340 62.48% Rumelange 1 1239 12.44% 25.08%
22 1970-09-12 16.83 Union Luxembourg 3 1274 32.85% @ Stade Dudelange 1 1169 40.66% 26.50%
23 1971-05-08 16.63 Aris Bonnevoie 2 1291 40.56% @ SC Tetange 0 1132 33.14% 26.30%
24 1970-09-27 15.65 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1226 64.15% Grevenmacher 0 1102 11.11% 24.74%
25 1970-09-19 15.01 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1328 61.41% Avenir Beggen 0 1241 13.31% 25.27%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-12-13 63.2 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1127 63.54% Grevenmacher 4 1012 11.59% 24.87%
2 1971-04-17 61.5 @ Grevenmacher 3 989 9.83% Union Luxembourg 3 1414 67.81% 22.36%
3 1970-10-18 60.5 @ SC Tetange 3 1150 29.76% Union Luxembourg 3 1335 44.11% 26.13%
4 1970-12-13 60.5 @ Differdange 03 3 1218 44.67% Rumelange 3 1293 28.83% 26.50%
5 1971-01-24 58.4 SC Tetange 5 1127 8.31% @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1309 67.98% 23.71%
6 1971-03-27 58.3 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1416 63.42% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1303 11.68% 24.90%
7 1971-04-17 58.1 Differdange 03 3 1203 12.36% @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1305 62.58% 25.06%
8 1970-09-06 57.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1352 68.24% Stade Dudelange 2 1166 8.14% 23.62%
9 1970-11-28 57.0 @ Rumelange 2 1307 49.02% Jeunesse Esch 2 1346 24.57% 26.41%
10 1970-10-10 56.9 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1296 70.39% Alliance Dudelange 2 1072 6.75% 22.85%
11 1970-11-28 56.4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1254 64.69% SC Tetange 2 1123 10.70% 24.62%
12 1970-09-13 56.3 Alliance Dudelange 3 1090 16.90% @ Grevenmacher 2 1128 57.25% 25.85%
13 1970-10-18 56.2 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1074 20.99% Jeunesse Esch 2 1339 53.73% 25.28%
14 1970-11-28 56.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1175 32.26% Union Luxembourg 2 1341 41.48% 26.26%
15 1971-02-27 56.2 Aris Bonnevoie 3 1290 19.75% @ Rumelange 2 1297 54.11% 26.14%
16 1971-02-13 56.0 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1139 33.28% Rumelange 2 1297 40.41% 26.31%
17 1971-01-30 55.9 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1139 34.72% Spora Luxembourg 2 1287 38.92% 26.36%
18 1970-10-03 55.7 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1072 44.55% Stade Dudelange 2 1148 28.95% 26.50%
19 1970-10-25 53.3 Progres Niedercorn 4 1133 15.83% @ Stade Dudelange 2 1185 58.47% 25.71%
20 1970-11-22 52.9 Avenir Beggen 3 1232 28.68% @ Stade Dudelange 2 1158 44.82% 26.50%
21 1971-01-09 52.4 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1189 31.81% Jeunesse Esch 2 1358 41.95% 26.24%
22 1970-10-25 52.3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1286 72.02% Grevenmacher 1 1031 5.80% 22.18%
23 1971-03-21 52.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1304 47.90% Jeunesse Esch 1 1353 25.65% 26.44%
24 1970-11-22 52.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1350 67.78% Progres Niedercorn 1 1171 8.45% 23.77%
25 1970-10-01 52.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1307 51.64% Union Luxembourg 1 1324 22.06% 26.29%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-09-27 25.6 @ Rumelange 3 1291 69.77% Alliance Dudelange 0 1078 7.14% 23.09%
2 1971-03-28 26.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 7 1354 76.55% Grevenmacher 1 1001 3.60% 19.86%
3 1970-09-19 26.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1225 63.14% Grevenmacher 0 1116 11.91% 24.95%
4 1970-09-27 26.6 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1226 64.15% Grevenmacher 0 1102 11.11% 24.74%
5 1970-10-11 26.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1331 67.49% SC Tetange 0 1157 8.65% 23.86%
6 1970-10-24 27.4 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1335 72.22% Alliance Dudelange 0 1076 5.69% 22.09%
7 1970-09-19 27.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1328 61.41% Avenir Beggen 0 1241 13.31% 25.27%
8 1971-05-08 27.8 @ Differdange 03 2 1216 70.45% Grevenmacher 0 991 6.72% 22.83%
9 1971-01-30 28.7 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1285 67.87% Stade Dudelange 0 1105 8.39% 23.74%
10 1971-01-09 29.1 @ Rumelange 2 1294 66.68% SC Tetange 0 1133 9.22% 24.10%
11 1970-11-08 29.4 @ Rumelange 2 1318 66.25% Stade Dudelange 0 1164 9.53% 24.22%
12 1970-09-26 29.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1294 57.79% Differdange 03 0 1249 16.42% 25.79%
13 1971-03-28 30.0 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1283 63.87% Progres Niedercorn 0 1163 11.33% 24.80%
14 1971-05-08 30.7 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1411 71.06% Progres Niedercorn 1 1175 6.35% 22.59%
15 1971-03-14 30.9 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1416 73.56% SC Tetange 0 1130 4.98% 21.46%
16 1971-05-08 31.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 7 1340 62.48% Rumelange 1 1239 12.44% 25.08%
17 1970-12-12 31.5 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1254 58.85% Avenir Beggen 0 1198 15.49% 25.66%
18 1971-02-13 31.5 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1397 56.16% Jeunesse Esch 0 1370 17.88% 25.96%
19 1971-03-14 31.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1350 69.62% Alliance Dudelange 0 1140 7.23% 23.15%
20 1970-10-11 31.9 @ Rumelange 1 1290 68.52% Grevenmacher 0 1099 7.95% 23.53%
21 1970-09-19 33.0 @ Differdange 03 4 1239 61.43% Stade Dudelange 1 1152 13.30% 25.27%
22 1970-10-18 33.0 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1214 53.71% Differdange 03 0 1211 20.12% 26.17%
23 1971-04-10 33.3 @ Differdange 03 2 1191 52.46% Avenir Beggen 0 1200 21.29% 26.25%
24 1971-01-09 33.4 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1355 57.03% Spora Luxembourg 0 1319 17.09% 25.87%
25 1970-09-13 34.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1271 44.25% Jeunesse Esch 0 1350 29.25% 26.50%