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1969-70 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Spora Luxembourg

5.95 points above expected

30 points · 24.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mondorf-les-Bains

7.42 points below expected

5 points · 12.42 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 15 6 1 36 55 15 +40 31.52 +4.48
2 Rumelange 22 13 5 4 31 49 24 +25 25.37 +5.63
3 Spora Luxembourg 22 14 2 6 30 60 32 +28 24.05 +5.95
4 Differdange 03 22 12 4 6 28 56 37 +19 27.01 +0.99
5 Union Luxembourg 22 9 5 8 23 52 36 +16 26.60 -3.60
6 Aris Bonnevoie 22 10 3 9 23 37 42 -5 23.24 -0.24
7 Avenir Beggen 22 9 4 9 22 31 31 0 25.17 -3.17
8 SC Tetange 22 6 6 10 18 25 44 -19 16.77 +1.23
9 Stade Dudelange 22 8 1 13 17 41 44 -3 16.93 +0.07
10 Progres Niedercorn 22 4 8 10 16 28 45 -17 15.43 +0.57
11 US Dudelange 22 3 9 10 15 24 43 -19 19.49 -4.49
12 Mondorf-les-Bains 22 2 1 19 5 21 86 -65 12.42 -7.42

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Spora Luxembourg 30 24.05 +5.95
2 Rumelange 31 25.37 +5.63
3 Jeunesse Esch 36 31.52 +4.48
4 SC Tetange 18 16.77 +1.23
5 Differdange 03 28 27.01 +0.99

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mondorf-les-Bains 5 12.42 -7.42
2 US Dudelange 15 19.49 -4.49
3 Union Luxembourg 23 26.60 -3.60
4 Avenir Beggen 22 25.17 -3.17
5 Aris Bonnevoie 23 23.24 -0.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 8 Mar 22 – Jun 6 1 in 377
2 Stade Dudelange 4 Nov 15 – Dec 13 1 in 224
3 SC Tetange 3 May 2 – Jun 6 1 in 66
4 Rumelange 4 Oct 19 – Nov 16 1 in 65
5 Jeunesse Esch 5 Jan 17 – Mar 14 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 4 Oct 25 – Nov 22 1 in 164
2 Union Luxembourg 3 Nov 23 – Jan 31 1 in 68
3 Mondorf-les-Bains 7 Nov 30 – Mar 22 1 in 19
4 Spora Luxembourg 3 Feb 15 – Mar 14 1 in 18
5 Differdange 03 2 Apr 11 – Apr 19 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 9 Oct 19 – Feb 28 1 in 108
2 Jeunesse Esch 20 Sep 21 – Jun 6 1 in 69
3 Progres Niedercorn 4 Oct 25 – Nov 23 1 in 62
4 SC Tetange 4 Apr 30 – Jun 6 1 in 30
5 Stade Dudelange 4 Nov 15 – Dec 13 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 4 Apr 30 – Jun 6 1 in 33
2 Union Luxembourg 4 Nov 23 – Feb 14 1 in 30
3 Aris Bonnevoie 5 Sep 28 – Nov 23 1 in 29
4 Avenir Beggen 5 Oct 25 – Nov 30 1 in 24
5 Progres Niedercorn 10 Sep 21 – Feb 15 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1513 36 +21 8 7.5 +0.5
Rumelange 1390 31 -4 5 6.5 -1.5
Spora Luxembourg 1362 30 +65 10 6.7 +3.3
Differdange 03 1296 28 -8 5 7.0 -2.0
Union Luxembourg 1332 23 +15 7 5.8 +1.2
Aris Bonnevoie 1243 23 -11 5 4.0 +1.0
Avenir Beggen 1283 22 -4 4 5.3 -1.3
SC Tetange 1118 18 +34 7 3.6 +3.4
Stade Dudelange 1149 17 -14 3 4.1 -1.1
Progres Niedercorn 1101 16 +0 3 2.5 +0.5
US Dudelange 1120 15 -38 3 5.0 -2.0
Mondorf-les-Bains 901 5 -57 0 2.1 -2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB AB D0 JE MON PN RUM ST SL SD UD UL
Aris Bonnevoie —
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.34
2-0-0
4.04
0-1-1
3.96
0-1-1
2.30
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.54
Avenir Beggen
1-0-1
3.04
 —
1-1-0
2.07
0-0-2
2.22
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.09
0-0-2
2.65
1-1-0
3.62
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-2
3.77
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
2.59
Differdange 03
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
3.50
 —
1-0-1
2.19
2-0-0
4.67
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.01
0-2-0
4.13
0-1-1
3.41
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.88
1-0-1
2.49
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
4.25
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.38
 —
2-0-0
4.75
1-1-0
4.61
0-2-0
3.62
1-1-0
4.17
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.52
1-1-0
4.25
1-1-0
3.44
Mondorf-les-Bains
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
0.93
0-0-2
0.86
 —
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
1.51
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
1.02
Progres Niedercorn
1-1-0
1.62
0-0-2
1.49
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
1.00
2-0-0
3.20
 —
0-2-0
1.23
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.60
0-2-0
2.22
0-1-1
1.40
Rumelange
1-1-0
3.27
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.55
0-2-0
1.95
1-0-1
4.08
0-2-0
4.35
 —
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.92
SC Tetange
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
1.95
0-2-0
1.45
0-1-1
1.42
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
1.94
 —
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
1.23
Spora Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.16
0-0-2
1.65
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.04
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
3.85
 —
1-0-1
3.67
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.06
Stade Dudelange
1-0-1
1.97
2-0-0
1.81
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.08
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
1.90
 —
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
1.49
US Dudelange
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
1.33
2-0-0
4.03
0-2-0
3.35
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.76
 —
0-2-0
2.05
Union Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.14
2-0-0
4.59
1-1-0
4.18
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
4.36
1-0-1
3.51
2-0-0
4.09
0-2-0
3.53
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +5.1
Allowed 0.81 -4.5
Differential 0.93 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%5.68%5.68%4.17%2.27%1.89%23.48%
15.68%8.33%6.06%1.14%2.27%1.14%24.62%
25.68%6.06%6.06%4.92%1.52%0.76%25.00%
34.17%1.14%4.92%2.27%0.76%1.14%14.39%
42.27%2.27%1.52%0.76%—0.38%7.20%
5+1.89%1.14%0.76%1.14%0.38%—5.30%
Total23.48%24.62%25.00%14.39%7.20%5.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.81 +0.00
SD 1.69 1.69 2.55
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%—13.64%—31.82%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
34.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%13.64%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.91 -0.23
SD 1.46 1.74 2.20
CV 0.87 0.91 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.18 1.95
CV 0.89 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
19.09%—4.55%———13.64%
24.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%——36.36%
34.55%—9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
49.09%—4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%9.09%31.82%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.68 +0.86
SD 2.02 1.46 2.85
CV 0.79 0.87 —
Max 10 5 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
19.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
318.18%—4.55%———22.73%
418.18%—————18.18%
5+—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
Total63.64%13.64%18.18%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.68 +1.82
SD 1.74 1.09 1.76
CV 0.70 1.59 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%9.09%4.55%13.64%40.91%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%27.27%
24.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%9.09%18.18%22.73%18.18%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 3.91 -2.95
SD 0.95 2.74 3.17
CV 1.00 0.70 —
Max 3 10 +2
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
19.09%22.73%————31.82%
2——9.09%9.09%——18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%31.82%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.05 -0.77
SD 1.20 1.50 1.85
CV 0.94 0.73 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
313.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.09 +1.14
SD 1.34 0.97 1.75
CV 0.60 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%13.64%—4.55%36.36%
14.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
29.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%31.82%22.73%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.00 -0.86
SD 1.04 1.54 2.03
CV 0.91 0.77 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
19.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
213.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+9.09%——9.09%——18.18%
Total31.82%18.18%27.27%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.45 +1.27
SD 2.41 1.26 2.71
CV 0.89 0.87 —
Max 10 4 +10
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.73%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
14.55%—13.64%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%40.91%27.27%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.00 -0.14
SD 1.83 1.75 2.32
CV 0.98 0.87 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—4.55%9.09%—31.82%
1—18.18%13.64%—9.09%—40.91%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
3——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%31.82%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.95 -0.86
SD 1.02 1.25 1.55
CV 0.93 0.64 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—36.36%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total27.27%22.73%18.18%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.64 +0.73
SD 2.22 1.36 2.51
CV 0.94 0.83 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1513 36 31.52 +4.48 92.0% 24 26 29 32 34 37 39
Rumelange 1390 31 25.37 +5.63 98.0% 18 19 23 26 27 31 35
Spora Luxembourg 1362 30 24.05 +5.95 98.0% 17 19 22 24 26 29 31
Union Luxembourg 1332 23 26.60 -3.60 21.0% 12 17 25 27 29 32 35
Differdange 03 1296 28 27.01 +0.99 64.0% 16 20 23 27 29 34 37
Avenir Beggen 1283 22 25.17 -3.17 22.0% 15 16 23 26 28 31 33
Aris Bonnevoie 1243 23 23.24 -0.24 50.0% 13 17 21 23 25 28 33
Stade Dudelange 1149 17 16.93 +0.07 56.0% 8 11 15 17 19 23 27
US Dudelange 1120 15 19.49 -4.49 14.0% 9 13 17 19 22 25 29
SC Tetange 1118 18 16.77 +1.23 66.0% 8 11 14 17 19 22 31
Progres Niedercorn 1101 16 15.43 +0.57 67.0% 9 11 13 15 18 20 23
Mondorf-les-Bains 901 5 12.42 -7.42 3.0% 2 6 10 12 15 18 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.88%
Clear Edge
46.21%20.45%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
141 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
045.00400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.42 * Lucky: 4.42 to 5.89 * Wild Swing: 5.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.82 * Off: 1.82 to 2.42 * Way Off: 2.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.96 points
Some Luck
03.689
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.514
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Rumelange
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Mondorf-les-Bains
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 164.22
2.03
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
78%
Clear Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Frequent
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Occasional
0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.27
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.1350.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch66.00%18.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%———————
Rumelange5.00%10.00%12.00%21.00%26.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%——
Spora Luxembourg3.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%12.00%21.00%13.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Differdange 0317.00%21.00%18.00%15.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%——
Union Luxembourg8.00%24.00%15.00%14.00%19.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%
Aris Bonnevoie—2.00%6.00%15.00%14.00%22.00%21.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—
Avenir Beggen—13.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%—
SC Tetange1.00%—1.00%—2.00%1.00%6.00%16.00%13.00%23.00%27.00%10.00%
Stade Dudelange——1.00%—2.00%5.00%8.00%16.00%24.00%21.00%14.00%9.00%
Progres Niedercorn——————6.00%8.00%22.00%16.00%30.00%18.00%
US Dudelange——3.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%17.00%19.00%21.00%13.00%9.00%3.00%
Mondorf-les-Bains———————3.00%4.00%19.00%15.00%59.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Differdange 03 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Rumelange 100% —
Spora Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00%
Union Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 98.00% 2.00%
Avenir Beggen 98.00% 2.00%
US Dudelange 88.00% 12.00%
Stade Dudelange 77.00% 23.00%
SC Tetange 63.00% 37.00%
Progres Niedercorn 52.00% 48.00%
Mondorf-les-Bains 26.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1969-09-06 Differdange 03 L 0-237.9 1165 1261 35.15% 21.65% 43.21%-0.36 -21.5 0
1969-09-06 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-037.9 1261 1165 43.21% 21.65% 35.15%+0.36 +21.5 2
1969-09-06 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.7 1257 1310 41.17% 21.69% 37.14%-0.06 -0.3 1
1969-09-06 @ US Dudelange D 1-152.7 1310 1257 37.14% 21.69% 41.17%+0.06 +0.3 1
1969-09-07 Mondorf-les-Bains W 2-031.9 1285 1141 63.51% 21.08% 15.41%+1.34 +10.7 2
1969-09-07 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-231.9 1141 1285 15.41% 21.08% 63.51%-1.34 -10.7 0
1969-09-07 SC Tetange W 3-031.8 1328 1235 58.94% 21.36% 19.69%+0.98 +19.3 2
1969-09-07 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-331.8 1235 1328 19.69% 21.36% 58.94%-0.98 -19.3 0
1969-09-07 Spora Luxembourg W 3-243.5 1322 1206 61.04% 21.25% 17.71%+1.14 +5.7 2
1969-09-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-343.5 1206 1322 17.71% 21.25% 61.04%-1.14 -5.7 0
1969-09-07 Stade Dudelange W 1-035.2 1199 1101 59.41% 21.34% 19.25%+1.01 +6.9 2
1969-09-07 @ Rumelange L 0-135.2 1101 1199 19.25% 21.34% 59.41%-1.01 -6.9 0
1969-09-13 Stade Dudelange W 2-136.5 1310 1094 68.74% 20.55% 10.71%+1.85 +3.8 3
1969-09-13 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-236.5 1094 1310 10.71% 20.55% 68.74%-1.85 -3.8 0
1969-09-14 Jeunesse Esch W 2-145.2 1282 1327 42.32% 21.69% 35.99%+0.00 +11.0 4
1969-09-14 @ Differdange 03 L 1-245.2 1327 1282 35.99% 21.69% 42.32%+0.00 -10.9 2
1969-09-14 Progres Niedercorn L 1-345.6 1130 1143 46.63% 21.68% 31.69%+0.22 -23.4 0
1969-09-14 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 3-145.6 1143 1130 31.69% 21.68% 46.63%-0.22 +23.4 2
1969-09-14 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-337.0 1215 1295 37.41% 21.67% 40.92%-0.25 -32.8 0
1969-09-14 @ SC Tetange W 3-037.0 1295 1215 40.92% 21.67% 37.41%+0.25 +32.8 4
1969-09-14 Rumelange W 2-142.8 1200 1206 47.66% 21.67% 30.67%+0.28 +9.6 2
1969-09-14 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-242.8 1206 1200 30.67% 21.67% 47.66%-0.28 -9.6 2
1969-09-14 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.9 1257 1347 35.88% 21.66% 42.47%-0.32 +0.4 2
1969-09-14 @ US Dudelange D 1-152.9 1347 1257 42.47% 21.66% 35.88%+0.32 -0.4 3
1969-09-20 US Dudelange W 2-140.7 1328 1257 56.67% 21.46% 21.87%+0.82 +7.3 6
1969-09-20 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-240.7 1257 1328 21.87% 21.46% 56.67%-0.82 -7.3 2
1969-09-20 Spora Luxembourg L 0-139.1 1090 1210 31.96% 21.60% 46.44%-0.53 -10.5 0
1969-09-20 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-039.1 1210 1090 46.44% 21.60% 31.96%+0.53 +10.5 4
1969-09-21 Union Luxembourg D 0-050.2 1347 1314 52.38% 21.59% 26.03%+0.55 -2.0 4
1969-09-21 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-050.2 1314 1347 26.03% 21.59% 52.38%-0.55 +2.0 4
1969-09-21 Mondorf-les-Bains W 6-130.5 1316 1106 68.33% 20.60% 11.07%+1.80 +15.2 4
1969-09-21 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-630.5 1106 1316 11.07% 20.60% 68.33%-1.80 -15.2 0
1969-09-21 SC Tetange D 1-152.1 1167 1183 46.27% 21.68% 32.05%+0.20 -0.9 3
1969-09-21 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.1 1183 1167 32.05% 21.68% 46.27%-0.20 +1.0 1
1969-09-21 Differdange 03 W 3-251.2 1196 1293 35.03% 21.65% 43.32%-0.37 +12.0 4
1969-09-21 @ Rumelange L 2-351.2 1293 1196 43.32% 21.65% 35.03%+0.37 -12.0 4
1969-09-27 Spora Luxembourg W 2-033.5 1316 1221 59.17% 21.35% 19.48%+0.99 +13.2 6
1969-09-27 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-233.5 1221 1316 19.48% 21.35% 59.17%-0.99 -13.1 4
1969-09-28 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-039.8 1345 1335 49.58% 21.64% 28.77%+0.39 +9.7 6
1969-09-28 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-139.8 1335 1345 28.77% 21.64% 49.58%-0.39 -9.7 6
1969-09-28 Stade Dudelange W 4-238.9 1281 1080 67.78% 20.67% 11.55%+1.74 +6.3 6
1969-09-28 @ Differdange 03 L 2-438.9 1080 1281 11.55% 20.67% 67.78%-1.74 -6.4 0
1969-09-28 Rumelange W 2-041.1 1091 1208 32.33% 21.60% 46.07%-0.51 +26.7 2
1969-09-28 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 0-241.1 1208 1091 46.07% 21.60% 32.33%+0.51 -26.7 4
1969-09-28 Jeunesse Esch L 0-236.1 1184 1332 28.41% 21.51% 50.08%-0.73 -18.1 1
1969-09-28 @ SC Tetange W 2-036.1 1332 1184 50.08% 21.51% 28.41%+0.73 +18.1 6
1969-09-28 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.2 1250 1166 58.02% 21.41% 20.57%+0.91 -2.6 3
1969-09-28 @ US Dudelange D 1-152.2 1166 1250 20.57% 21.41% 58.02%-0.91 +2.6 4
1969-10-18 Union Luxembourg L 1-445.4 1326 1329 47.88% 21.66% 30.46%+0.29 -33.8 6
1969-10-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-145.4 1329 1326 30.46% 21.66% 47.88%-0.29 +33.8 8
1969-10-19 US Dudelange W 4-030.6 1350 1247 59.85% 21.32% 18.84%+1.04 +24.2 8
1969-10-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-430.6 1247 1350 18.84% 21.32% 59.85%-1.04 -24.2 3
1969-10-19 Avenir Beggen L 0-234.8 1168 1355 24.02% 21.35% 54.63%-1.00 -15.7 4
1969-10-19 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-034.8 1355 1168 54.63% 21.35% 24.02%+1.00 +15.7 8
1969-10-19 SC Tetange W 3-033.8 1182 1166 50.38% 21.63% 27.99%+0.43 +26.0 6
1969-10-19 @ Rumelange L 0-333.8 1166 1182 27.99% 21.63% 50.38%-0.43 -25.9 1
1969-10-19 Differdange 03 D 2-256.7 1207 1287 37.38% 21.67% 40.95%-0.25 +0.2 5
1969-10-19 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-256.7 1287 1207 40.95% 21.67% 37.38%+0.25 -0.2 7
1969-10-19 Mondorf-les-Bains W 5-243.9 1073 1118 42.39% 21.69% 35.92%+0.00 +23.2 2
1969-10-19 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-543.9 1118 1073 35.92% 21.69% 42.39%+0.00 -23.2 2
1969-10-25 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.4 1292 1153 63.11% 21.11% 15.78%+1.30 -3.4 7
1969-10-25 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.4 1153 1292 15.78% 21.11% 63.11%-1.30 +3.4 5
1969-10-25 Jeunesse Esch L 0-441.1 1370 1374 47.89% 21.66% 30.45%+0.29 -52.4 8
1969-10-25 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-041.1 1374 1370 30.45% 21.66% 47.89%-0.29 +52.4 10
1969-10-25 Union Luxembourg W 3-251.2 1287 1363 37.96% 21.68% 40.36%-0.22 +11.4 9
1969-10-25 @ Differdange 03 L 2-351.2 1363 1287 40.36% 21.68% 37.96%+0.22 -11.4 8
1969-10-25 Spora Luxembourg L 3-451.1 1095 1208 32.88% 21.61% 45.50%-0.48 -9.4 2
1969-10-25 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-351.1 1208 1095 45.50% 21.61% 32.88%+0.48 +9.4 7
1969-10-25 Stade Dudelange W 1-036.9 1140 1096 53.61% 21.56% 24.84%+0.62 +8.6 3
1969-10-25 @ SC Tetange L 0-136.9 1096 1140 24.84% 21.56% 53.61%-0.62 -8.6 2
1969-10-25 Rumelange L 1-445.0 1223 1208 50.29% 21.63% 28.08%+0.43 -35.3 3
1969-10-25 @ US Dudelange W 4-145.0 1208 1223 28.08% 21.63% 50.29%-0.43 +35.3 8
1969-11-08 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.7 1352 1156 67.39% 20.72% 11.89%+1.70 -4.1 9
1969-11-08 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.7 1156 1352 11.89% 20.72% 67.39%-1.70 +4.1 6
1969-11-08 Avenir Beggen W 3-038.0 1243 1318 38.09% 21.68% 40.23%-0.21 +34.7 10
1969-11-08 @ Rumelange L 0-338.0 1318 1243 40.23% 21.68% 38.09%+0.21 -34.7 8
1969-11-08 SC Tetange W 2-033.9 1217 1148 56.44% 21.47% 22.09%+0.81 +14.7 9
1969-11-08 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-233.9 1148 1217 22.09% 21.47% 56.44%-0.81 -14.7 3
1969-11-15 Stade Dudelange L 2-357.8 1283 1088 67.36% 20.72% 11.92%+1.70 -18.2 8
1969-11-15 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-257.8 1088 1283 11.92% 20.72% 67.36%-1.70 +18.2 4
1969-11-16 Rumelange L 1-445.3 1288 1278 49.72% 21.64% 28.64%+0.39 -35.0 7
1969-11-16 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-145.3 1278 1288 28.64% 21.64% 49.72%-0.39 +35.0 12
1969-11-16 Union Luxembourg L 0-930.5 1085 1348 16.82% 20.89% 62.29%-1.54 -47.0 2
1969-11-16 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 9-030.5 1348 1085 62.29% 20.89% 16.82%+1.54 +47.0 11
1969-11-16 Jeunesse Esch D 2-257.4 1160 1426 16.51% 20.86% 62.63%-1.57 +2.5 7
1969-11-16 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.4 1426 1160 62.63% 20.86% 16.51%+1.57 -2.5 11
1969-11-16 Differdange 03 D 2-256.6 1134 1299 26.39% 21.44% 52.16%-0.85 +1.3 4
1969-11-16 @ SC Tetange D 2-256.6 1299 1134 52.16% 21.44% 26.39%+0.85 -1.3 10
1969-11-16 Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.2 1188 1232 42.46% 21.69% 35.85%+0.01 -0.4 4
1969-11-16 @ US Dudelange D 1-152.2 1232 1188 35.85% 21.69% 42.46%-0.01 +0.4 10
1969-11-22 Avenir Beggen W 3-142.2 1232 1265 44.02% 21.69% 34.29%+0.09 +18.2 12
1969-11-22 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-342.2 1265 1232 34.29% 21.69% 44.02%-0.09 -18.2 8
1969-11-23 US Dudelange W 4-029.9 1297 1187 60.56% 21.28% 18.16%+1.10 +23.5 12
1969-11-23 @ Differdange 03 L 0-429.9 1187 1297 18.16% 21.28% 60.56%-1.10 -23.5 4
1969-11-23 SC Tetange D 1-152.0 1038 1135 35.09% 21.65% 43.26%-0.36 +0.5 3
1969-11-23 @ Mondorf-les-Bains D 1-152.0 1135 1038 43.26% 21.65% 35.09%+0.36 -0.5 5
1969-11-23 Jeunesse Esch L 0-146.9 1395 1424 44.51% 21.69% 33.80%+0.11 -13.8 11
1969-11-23 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-046.9 1424 1395 33.80% 21.69% 44.51%-0.11 +13.8 13
1969-11-23 Progres Niedercorn D 3-360.9 1313 1163 64.00% 21.05% 14.96%+1.38 -2.2 13
1969-11-23 @ Rumelange D 3-360.9 1163 1313 14.96% 21.05% 64.00%-1.38 +2.2 8
1969-11-23 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-144.8 1106 1253 28.51% 21.51% 49.98%-0.72 +35.1 6
1969-11-23 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-444.8 1253 1106 49.98% 21.51% 28.51%+0.72 -35.1 7
1969-11-29 Spora Luxembourg W 4-246.1 1218 1250 44.12% 21.69% 34.19%+0.09 +16.3 9
1969-11-29 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-446.1 1250 1218 34.19% 21.69% 44.12%-0.09 -16.3 12
1969-11-30 Differdange 03 D 2-257.0 1247 1321 38.22% 21.68% 40.10%-0.21 +0.1 9
1969-11-30 @ Avenir Beggen D 2-257.0 1321 1247 40.10% 21.68% 38.22%+0.21 -0.1 13
1969-11-30 Rumelange D 1-154.7 1438 1310 62.10% 21.19% 16.72%+1.22 -3.2 14
1969-11-30 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-154.7 1310 1438 16.72% 21.19% 62.10%-1.22 +3.2 14
1969-11-30 Stade Dudelange L 0-242.6 1165 1141 51.31% 21.61% 27.08%+0.49 -29.4 8
1969-11-30 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-042.6 1141 1165 27.08% 21.61% 51.31%-0.49 +29.4 8
1969-11-30 Union Luxembourg W 3-256.3 1134 1381 18.15% 21.00% 60.85%-1.43 +16.4 7
1969-11-30 @ SC Tetange L 2-356.3 1381 1134 60.85% 21.00% 18.15%+1.43 -16.4 11
1969-11-30 Mondorf-les-Bains W 3-242.7 1164 1039 61.87% 21.20% 16.93%+1.20 +5.5 6
1969-11-30 @ US Dudelange L 2-342.7 1039 1164 16.93% 21.20% 61.87%-1.20 -5.5 3
1969-12-13 US Dudelange W 4-138.7 1171 1169 48.54% 21.66% 29.80%+0.33 +23.0 10
1969-12-13 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-438.7 1169 1171 29.80% 21.66% 48.54%-0.33 -23.0 6
1970-01-17 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-030.0 1434 1235 67.67% 20.68% 11.65%+1.73 +12.0 16
1970-01-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-330.0 1235 1434 11.65% 20.68% 67.67%-1.73 -12.0 9
1970-01-31 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-139.7 1321 1223 59.42% 21.34% 19.24%+1.01 +6.5 15
1970-01-31 @ Differdange 03 L 1-239.7 1223 1321 19.24% 21.34% 59.42%-1.01 -6.5 9
1970-01-31 Avenir Beggen L 1-436.0 1033 1247 21.22% 21.21% 57.57%-1.19 -17.3 3
1970-01-31 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-136.0 1247 1033 57.57% 21.21% 21.22%+1.19 +17.3 11
1970-01-31 Rumelange L 2-453.5 1365 1314 54.49% 21.53% 23.97%+0.68 -24.1 11
1970-01-31 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-253.5 1314 1365 23.97% 21.53% 54.49%-0.68 +24.1 16
1970-01-31 US Dudelange L 1-248.1 1151 1146 48.95% 21.65% 29.40%+0.35 -14.1 7
1970-01-31 @ SC Tetange W 2-148.1 1146 1151 29.40% 21.65% 48.95%-0.35 +14.1 8
1970-01-31 Progres Niedercorn W 6-029.9 1234 1135 59.46% 21.34% 19.20%+1.02 +36.1 14
1970-01-31 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-629.9 1135 1234 19.20% 21.34% 59.46%-1.02 -36.1 8
1970-01-31 Jeunesse Esch L 0-331.6 1194 1446 17.61% 20.96% 61.43%-1.47 -17.4 10
1970-01-31 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-031.6 1446 1194 61.43% 20.96% 17.61%+1.47 +17.4 18
1970-02-07 Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-025.7 1327 1016 73.79% 19.63% 6.58%+2.52 +9.0 17
1970-02-07 @ Differdange 03 L 0-425.7 1016 1327 6.58% 19.63% 73.79%-2.52 -9.0 3
1970-02-14 US Dudelange D 2-257.0 1341 1160 66.31% 20.83% 12.86%+1.59 -2.9 12
1970-02-14 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-257.0 1160 1341 12.86% 20.83% 66.31%-1.59 +2.9 9
1970-02-14 Avenir Beggen D 2-256.5 1137 1264 30.98% 21.58% 47.45%-0.58 +0.8 8
1970-02-14 @ SC Tetange D 2-256.5 1264 1137 47.45% 21.58% 30.98%+0.58 -0.8 12
1970-02-15 Progres Niedercorn W 1-032.3 1336 1099 69.99% 20.37% 9.65%+1.99 +3.7 19
1970-02-15 @ Differdange 03 L 0-132.3 1099 1336 9.65% 20.37% 69.99%-1.99 -3.7 8
1970-02-15 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-534.6 1007 1216 21.67% 21.23% 57.10%-1.16 -22.7 3
1970-02-15 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 5-134.6 1216 1007 57.10% 21.23% 21.67%+1.16 +22.7 11
1970-02-15 Jeunesse Esch L 1-242.6 1270 1464 23.23% 21.31% 55.45%-1.05 -7.6 14
1970-02-15 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-142.6 1464 1270 55.45% 21.31% 23.23%+1.05 +7.6 20
1970-02-15 Rumelange L 0-235.6 1176 1338 26.81% 21.46% 51.73%-0.82 -17.2 10
1970-02-15 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-035.6 1338 1176 51.73% 21.46% 26.81%+0.82 +17.2 18
1970-02-21 Union Luxembourg L 2-737.0 1159 1338 24.86% 21.39% 53.75%-0.95 -26.2 10
1970-02-21 @ Stade Dudelange W 7-237.0 1338 1159 53.75% 21.39% 24.86%+0.95 +26.2 14
1970-02-28 SC Tetange W 3-243.5 1239 1137 59.72% 21.33% 18.96%+1.03 +6.1 13
1970-02-28 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-343.5 1137 1239 18.96% 21.33% 59.72%-1.03 -6.1 8
1970-02-28 US Dudelange W 1-035.3 1263 1163 59.61% 21.33% 19.06%+1.03 +6.8 14
1970-02-28 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-135.3 1163 1263 19.06% 21.33% 59.61%-1.03 -6.8 9
1970-02-28 Differdange 03 W 4-032.8 1471 1340 62.46% 21.16% 16.38%+1.25 +21.4 22
1970-02-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-432.8 1340 1471 16.38% 21.16% 62.46%-1.25 -21.4 19
1970-02-28 Mondorf-les-Bains W 4-240.8 1096 984 60.65% 21.27% 18.07%+1.11 +9.5 10
1970-02-28 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-440.8 984 1096 18.07% 21.27% 60.65%-1.11 -9.5 3
1970-02-28 Spora Luxembourg W 2-140.3 1355 1263 58.85% 21.37% 19.78%+0.97 +6.7 20
1970-02-28 @ Rumelange L 1-240.3 1263 1355 19.78% 21.37% 58.85%-0.97 -6.7 14
1970-03-07 Avenir Beggen L 1-350.3 1364 1270 58.97% 21.36% 19.66%+0.98 -29.0 14
1970-03-07 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-150.3 1270 1364 19.66% 21.36% 58.97%-0.98 +29.0 16
1970-03-14 Rumelange W 3-250.1 1319 1362 42.62% 21.69% 35.69%+0.01 +10.3 21
1970-03-14 @ Differdange 03 L 2-350.1 1362 1319 35.69% 21.69% 42.62%-0.01 -10.3 20
1970-03-14 Jeunesse Esch L 0-326.0 975 1493 4.60% 18.23% 77.18%-3.35 -4.7 3
1970-03-14 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 3-026.0 1493 975 77.18% 18.23% 4.60%+3.35 +4.7 24
1970-03-14 Progres Niedercorn W 2-035.2 1131 1105 51.60% 21.61% 26.79%+0.50 +17.2 10
1970-03-14 @ SC Tetange L 0-235.2 1105 1131 26.79% 21.61% 51.60%-0.50 -17.2 10
1970-03-14 Stade Dudelange L 0-148.0 1256 1133 61.72% 21.21% 17.07%+1.19 -18.6 14
1970-03-14 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-048.0 1133 1256 17.07% 21.21% 61.72%-1.19 +18.6 12
1970-03-21 Avenir Beggen W 1-041.3 1245 1299 41.03% 21.69% 37.28%-0.07 +11.9 15
1970-03-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-141.3 1299 1245 37.28% 21.69% 41.03%+0.07 -11.9 16
1970-03-22 SC Tetange D 0-050.8 1498 1149 75.40% 19.20% 5.40%+2.79 -6.0 25
1970-03-22 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-050.8 1149 1498 5.40% 19.20% 75.40%-2.79 +6.0 11
1970-03-22 US Dudelange D 2-256.3 1088 1156 39.04% 21.68% 39.27%-0.16 +0.0 11
1970-03-22 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-256.3 1156 1088 39.27% 21.68% 39.04%+0.16 -0.0 10
1970-03-22 Mondorf-les-Bains W 3-025.9 1351 970 76.61% 18.82% 4.57%+3.01 +4.8 22
1970-03-22 @ Rumelange L 0-325.9 970 1351 4.57% 18.82% 76.61%-3.01 -4.8 3
1970-03-22 Union Luxembourg W 3-251.5 1237 1335 34.95% 21.65% 43.40%-0.37 +12.0 16
1970-03-22 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-351.5 1335 1237 43.40% 21.65% 34.95%+0.37 -12.0 14
1970-03-22 Differdange 03 L 0-137.3 1151 1329 25.00% 21.39% 53.61%-0.94 -8.6 12
1970-03-22 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-037.3 1329 1151 53.61% 21.39% 25.00%+0.94 +8.6 23
1970-04-04 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-048.9 1156 1257 34.55% 21.64% 43.81%-0.39 +0.7 11
1970-04-04 @ US Dudelange D 0-048.9 1257 1156 43.81% 21.64% 34.55%+0.39 -0.7 16
1970-04-11 Progres Niedercorn W 3-241.1 1287 1088 67.62% 20.69% 11.69%+1.73 +3.9 18
1970-04-11 @ Avenir Beggen L 2-341.1 1088 1287 11.69% 20.69% 67.62%-1.73 -3.9 11
1970-04-11 Spora Luxembourg L 3-556.5 1337 1249 58.43% 21.39% 20.19%+0.94 -24.3 23
1970-04-11 @ Differdange 03 W 5-356.5 1249 1337 20.19% 21.39% 58.43%-0.94 +24.3 18
1970-04-11 Stade Dudelange W 2-149.4 965 1143 25.00% 21.39% 53.61%-0.94 +15.3 5
1970-04-11 @ Mondorf-les-Bains L 1-249.4 1143 965 53.61% 21.39% 25.00%+0.94 -15.3 12
1970-04-11 Aris Bonnevoie L 3-458.8 1323 1256 56.21% 21.48% 22.32%+0.79 -14.8 14
1970-04-11 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-358.8 1256 1323 22.32% 21.48% 56.21%-0.79 +14.8 18
1970-04-11 Rumelange L 0-530.9 1155 1356 22.42% 21.27% 56.30%-1.11 -34.6 11
1970-04-11 @ SC Tetange W 5-030.9 1356 1155 56.30% 21.27% 22.42%+1.11 +34.6 24
1970-04-11 Jeunesse Esch D 0-050.4 1157 1492 11.77% 20.30% 67.93%-2.05 +4.6 12
1970-04-11 @ US Dudelange D 0-050.4 1492 1157 67.93% 20.30% 11.77%+2.05 -4.6 26
1970-04-18 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-045.9 1084 1271 23.97% 21.35% 54.68%-1.00 +16.5 13
1970-04-18 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-145.9 1271 1084 54.68% 21.35% 23.97%+1.00 -16.5 18
1970-04-19 Avenir Beggen W 1-035.9 1487 1291 67.39% 20.72% 11.89%+1.70 +4.5 28
1970-04-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-135.9 1291 1487 11.89% 20.72% 67.39%-1.70 -4.5 18
1970-04-19 Differdange 03 W 3-248.0 1308 1313 47.69% 21.67% 30.64%+0.28 +9.1 16
1970-04-19 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-348.0 1313 1308 30.64% 21.67% 47.69%-0.28 -9.1 23
1970-04-19 US Dudelange W 2-136.7 1391 1162 69.52% 20.44% 10.04%+1.94 +3.6 26
1970-04-19 @ Rumelange L 1-236.7 1162 1391 10.04% 20.44% 69.52%-1.94 -3.6 12
1970-04-19 Mondorf-les-Bains W 10-027.4 1274 981 72.95% 19.82% 7.23%+2.39 +23.6 20
1970-04-19 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-1027.4 981 1274 7.23% 19.82% 72.95%-2.39 -23.6 5
1970-04-19 SC Tetange W 6-136.0 1128 1120 49.33% 21.65% 29.03%+0.37 +35.6 14
1970-04-19 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-636.0 1120 1128 29.03% 21.65% 49.33%-0.37 -35.6 11
1970-04-25 Union Luxembourg L 3-544.6 1101 1317 20.92% 21.19% 57.89%-1.21 -10.2 13
1970-04-25 @ Progres Niedercorn W 5-344.6 1317 1101 57.89% 21.19% 20.92%+1.21 +10.2 18
1970-04-26 Jeunesse Esch L 0-333.4 1254 1491 18.99% 21.06% 59.94%-1.36 -18.6 18
1970-04-26 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-033.4 1491 1254 59.94% 21.06% 18.99%+1.36 +18.6 30
1970-04-26 Rumelange L 0-238.9 1287 1394 33.60% 21.63% 44.77%-0.44 -20.7 18
1970-04-26 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-038.9 1394 1287 44.77% 21.63% 33.60%+0.44 +20.7 28
1970-04-26 Differdange 03 L 0-1028.7 957 1304 11.07% 20.18% 68.75%-2.14 -35.3 5
1970-04-26 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 10-028.7 1304 957 68.75% 20.18% 11.07%+2.14 +35.3 25
1970-04-26 Spora Luxembourg L 0-233.6 1084 1297 21.27% 21.21% 57.52%-1.19 -14.1 11
1970-04-26 @ SC Tetange W 2-033.6 1297 1084 57.52% 21.21% 21.27%+1.19 +14.1 22
1970-04-26 Stade Dudelange D 3-360.4 1158 1163 47.70% 21.67% 30.64%+0.28 -0.7 13
1970-04-26 @ US Dudelange D 3-360.4 1163 1158 30.64% 21.67% 47.70%-0.28 +0.7 15
1970-04-30 SC Tetange D 3-361.0 1339 1070 71.76% 20.07% 8.17%+2.22 -3.0 26
1970-04-30 @ Differdange 03 D 3-361.0 1070 1339 8.17% 20.07% 71.76%-2.22 +3.0 12
1970-04-30 Progres Niedercorn W 4-025.2 1510 1090 77.93% 18.33% 3.74%+3.29 +5.1 32
1970-04-30 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-425.2 1090 1510 3.74% 18.33% 77.93%-3.29 -5.1 13
1970-04-30 Mondorf-les-Bains W 2-027.5 1327 922 77.46% 18.52% 4.02%+3.19 +2.9 20
1970-04-30 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-227.5 922 1327 4.02% 18.52% 77.46%-3.19 -2.9 5
1970-04-30 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.5 1415 1236 66.22% 20.84% 12.94%+1.59 -3.9 29
1970-04-30 @ Rumelange D 1-153.5 1236 1415 12.94% 20.84% 66.22%-1.59 +3.9 19
1970-04-30 US Dudelange W 1-034.0 1311 1157 64.32% 21.02% 14.66%+1.41 +5.4 24
1970-04-30 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-134.0 1157 1311 14.66% 21.02% 64.32%-1.41 -5.4 13
1970-04-30 Avenir Beggen W 2-146.8 1164 1266 34.32% 21.64% 44.04%-0.40 +12.8 17
1970-04-30 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-246.8 1266 1164 44.04% 21.64% 34.32%+0.40 -12.8 18
1970-05-02 Stade Dudelange W 2-140.4 1240 1177 55.81% 21.49% 22.70%+0.76 +7.5 21
1970-05-02 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-240.4 1177 1240 22.70% 21.49% 55.81%-0.76 -7.5 17
1970-05-02 Spora Luxembourg L 0-239.8 1253 1317 39.71% 21.69% 38.60%-0.13 -23.6 18
1970-05-02 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-039.8 1317 1253 38.60% 21.69% 39.71%+0.13 +23.6 26
1970-05-02 Union Luxembourg D 0-053.7 1515 1330 66.64% 20.80% 12.56%+1.63 -4.4 33
1970-05-02 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-053.7 1330 1515 12.56% 20.80% 66.64%-1.63 +4.5 21
1970-05-02 Rumelange D 1-152.7 1085 1411 12.32% 20.38% 67.30%-1.99 +4.0 14
1970-05-02 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.7 1411 1085 67.30% 20.38% 12.32%+1.99 -4.0 30
1970-05-02 Mondorf-les-Bains W 2-031.4 1073 919 64.34% 21.02% 14.65%+1.41 +10.2 14
1970-05-02 @ SC Tetange L 0-231.4 919 1073 14.65% 21.02% 64.34%-1.41 -10.2 5
1970-05-02 Differdange 03 L 0-332.9 1152 1336 24.22% 21.36% 54.42%-0.99 -22.9 13
1970-05-02 @ US Dudelange W 3-032.9 1336 1152 54.42% 21.36% 24.22%+0.99 +22.9 28
1970-05-30 Avenir Beggen L 0-344.7 1359 1229 62.31% 21.17% 16.52%+1.24 -51.4 28
1970-05-30 @ Differdange 03 W 3-044.7 1229 1359 16.52% 21.17% 62.31%-1.24 +51.4 20
1970-05-30 US Dudelange L 2-343.8 909 1129 20.56% 21.17% 58.27%-1.24 -6.5 5
1970-05-30 @ Mondorf-les-Bains W 3-243.8 1129 909 58.27% 21.17% 20.56%+1.24 +6.5 15
1970-05-30 SC Tetange L 1-254.4 1335 1083 70.80% 20.24% 8.96%+2.10 -20.2 21
1970-05-30 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-154.4 1083 1335 8.96% 20.24% 70.80%-2.10 +20.2 16
1970-05-30 Jeunesse Esch D 2-263.3 1407 1511 34.10% 21.63% 44.26%-0.42 +0.5 31
1970-05-30 @ Rumelange D 2-263.3 1511 1407 44.26% 21.63% 34.10%+0.42 -0.5 34
1970-05-30 Aris Bonnevoie W 7-338.9 1340 1247 58.93% 21.36% 19.70%+0.98 +16.3 28
1970-05-30 @ Spora Luxembourg L 3-738.9 1247 1340 19.70% 21.36% 58.93%-0.98 -16.3 21
1970-05-30 Progres Niedercorn L 0-146.7 1169 1089 57.59% 21.42% 20.98%+0.88 -17.4 17
1970-05-30 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-046.7 1089 1169 20.98% 21.42% 57.59%-0.88 +17.4 16
1970-06-06 Differdange 03 W 2-146.1 1231 1308 37.82% 21.68% 40.51%-0.23 +12.0 23
1970-06-06 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-246.1 1308 1231 40.51% 21.68% 37.82%+0.23 -12.0 28
1970-06-06 Mondorf-les-Bains W 2-133.9 1281 902 76.52% 18.85% 4.63%+3.00 +1.7 22
1970-06-06 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-233.9 902 1281 4.63% 18.85% 76.52%-3.00 -1.7 5
1970-06-06 Stade Dudelange W 6-441.8 1510 1152 75.76% 19.10% 5.15%+2.85 +2.6 36
1970-06-06 @ Jeunesse Esch L 4-641.8 1152 1510 5.15% 19.10% 75.76%-2.85 -2.6 17
1970-06-06 Spora Luxembourg L 2-343.2 1107 1357 17.86% 20.98% 61.16%-1.45 -5.8 16
1970-06-06 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-243.2 1357 1107 61.16% 20.98% 17.86%+1.45 +5.8 30
1970-06-06 Union Luxembourg L 0-149.3 1407 1314 58.91% 21.37% 19.72%+0.98 -17.8 31
1970-06-06 @ Rumelange W 1-049.3 1314 1407 19.72% 21.37% 58.91%-0.98 +17.8 23
1970-06-06 SC Tetange L 1-249.1 1135 1104 52.30% 21.59% 26.11%+0.54 -15.0 15
1970-06-06 @ US Dudelange W 2-149.1 1104 1135 26.11% 21.59% 52.30%-0.54 +15.0 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-05-30 8.96% SC Tetange 1083 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1335 1
2 1969-11-15 11.92% Stade Dudelange 1088 3 @ Avenir Beggen 1283 2
3 1970-05-30 16.52% Avenir Beggen 1229 3 @ Differdange 03 1359 0
4 1970-03-14 17.07% Stade Dudelange 1133 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1256 0
5 1969-11-30 18.15% @ SC Tetange 1134 3 Union Luxembourg 1381 2
6 1970-03-07 19.66% Avenir Beggen 1270 3 @ Union Luxembourg 1364 1
7 1970-06-06 19.72% Union Luxembourg 1314 1 @ Rumelange 1407 0
8 1970-04-11 20.19% Spora Luxembourg 1249 5 @ Differdange 03 1337 3
9 1970-05-30 20.98% Progres Niedercorn 1089 1 @ Stade Dudelange 1169 0
10 1970-04-11 22.32% Aris Bonnevoie 1256 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1323 3
11 1970-01-31 23.97% Rumelange 1314 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1365 2
12 1970-04-18 23.97% @ Progres Niedercorn 1084 1 Aris Bonnevoie 1271 0
13 1970-04-11 25.00% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 965 2 Stade Dudelange 1143 1
14 1970-06-06 26.11% SC Tetange 1104 2 @ US Dudelange 1135 1
15 1969-11-30 27.08% Stade Dudelange 1141 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1165 0
16 1969-10-25 28.08% Rumelange 1208 4 @ US Dudelange 1223 1
17 1969-11-23 28.51% @ Stade Dudelange 1106 4 Aris Bonnevoie 1253 1
18 1969-11-16 28.64% Rumelange 1278 4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1288 1
19 1970-01-31 29.40% US Dudelange 1146 2 @ SC Tetange 1151 1
20 1969-10-25 30.45% Jeunesse Esch 1374 4 @ Avenir Beggen 1370 0
21 1969-10-18 30.46% Union Luxembourg 1329 4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1326 1
22 1969-09-14 31.69% Progres Niedercorn 1143 3 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 1130 1
23 1969-09-28 32.33% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 1091 2 Rumelange 1208 0
24 1969-11-23 33.80% Jeunesse Esch 1424 1 @ Union Luxembourg 1395 0
25 1970-04-30 34.32% @ Stade Dudelange 1164 2 Avenir Beggen 1266 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1969-10-25 52.42 Jeunesse Esch 4 1374 30.45% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1370 47.89% 21.66%
2 1970-05-30 51.40 Avenir Beggen 3 1229 16.52% @ Differdange 03 0 1359 62.31% 21.17%
3 1969-11-16 46.96 Union Luxembourg 9 1348 62.29% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1085 16.82% 20.89%
4 1970-01-31 36.05 @ Spora Luxembourg 6 1234 59.46% Progres Niedercorn 0 1135 19.20% 21.34%
5 1970-04-19 35.64 @ Stade Dudelange 6 1128 49.33% SC Tetange 1 1120 29.03% 21.65%
6 1969-10-25 35.34 Rumelange 4 1208 28.08% @ US Dudelange 1 1223 50.29% 21.63%
7 1970-04-26 35.28 Differdange 03 10 1304 68.75% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 957 11.07% 20.18%
8 1969-11-23 35.10 @ Stade Dudelange 4 1106 28.51% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1253 49.98% 21.51%
9 1969-11-16 34.98 Rumelange 4 1278 28.64% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1288 49.72% 21.64%
10 1969-11-08 34.69 @ Rumelange 3 1243 38.09% Avenir Beggen 0 1318 40.23% 21.68%
11 1970-04-11 34.58 Rumelange 5 1356 56.30% @ SC Tetange 0 1155 22.42% 21.27%
12 1969-10-18 33.83 Union Luxembourg 4 1329 30.46% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1326 47.88% 21.66%
13 1969-09-14 32.77 Aris Bonnevoie 3 1295 40.92% @ SC Tetange 0 1215 37.41% 21.67%
14 1969-11-30 29.38 Stade Dudelange 2 1141 27.08% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1165 51.31% 21.61%
15 1970-03-07 29.02 Avenir Beggen 3 1270 19.66% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1364 58.97% 21.36%
16 1969-09-28 26.70 @ Mondorf-les-Bains 2 1091 32.33% Rumelange 0 1208 46.07% 21.60%
17 1970-02-21 26.17 Union Luxembourg 7 1338 53.75% @ Stade Dudelange 2 1159 24.86% 21.39%
18 1969-10-19 25.95 @ Rumelange 3 1182 50.38% SC Tetange 0 1166 27.99% 21.63%
19 1970-04-11 24.31 Spora Luxembourg 5 1249 20.19% @ Differdange 03 3 1337 58.43% 21.39%
20 1969-10-19 24.22 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1350 59.85% US Dudelange 0 1247 18.84% 21.32%
21 1970-01-31 24.06 Rumelange 4 1314 23.97% @ Union Luxembourg 2 1365 54.49% 21.53%
22 1970-05-02 23.64 Spora Luxembourg 2 1317 38.60% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1253 39.71% 21.69%
23 1970-04-19 23.59 @ Spora Luxembourg 10 1274 72.95% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 981 7.23% 19.82%
24 1969-11-23 23.46 @ Differdange 03 4 1297 60.56% US Dudelange 0 1187 18.16% 21.28%
25 1969-09-14 23.38 Progres Niedercorn 3 1143 31.69% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 1 1130 46.63% 21.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-05-30 63.3 @ Rumelange 2 1407 34.10% Jeunesse Esch 2 1511 44.26% 21.63%
2 1970-04-30 61.0 @ Differdange 03 3 1339 71.76% SC Tetange 3 1070 8.17% 20.07%
3 1969-11-23 60.9 @ Rumelange 3 1313 64.00% Progres Niedercorn 3 1163 14.96% 21.05%
4 1970-04-26 60.4 @ US Dudelange 3 1158 47.70% Stade Dudelange 3 1163 30.64% 21.67%
5 1970-04-11 58.8 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1256 22.32% @ Union Luxembourg 3 1323 56.21% 21.48%
6 1969-11-15 57.8 Stade Dudelange 3 1088 11.92% @ Avenir Beggen 2 1283 67.36% 20.72%
7 1969-11-16 57.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1160 16.51% Jeunesse Esch 2 1426 62.63% 20.86%
8 1969-11-30 57.0 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1247 38.22% Differdange 03 2 1321 40.10% 21.68%
9 1970-02-14 57.0 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1341 66.31% US Dudelange 2 1160 12.86% 20.83%
10 1969-10-19 56.7 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1207 37.38% Differdange 03 2 1287 40.95% 21.67%
11 1969-11-16 56.6 @ SC Tetange 2 1134 26.39% Differdange 03 2 1299 52.16% 21.44%
12 1970-02-14 56.5 @ SC Tetange 2 1137 30.98% Avenir Beggen 2 1264 47.45% 21.58%
13 1970-04-11 56.5 Spora Luxembourg 5 1249 20.19% @ Differdange 03 3 1337 58.43% 21.39%
14 1969-11-30 56.3 @ SC Tetange 3 1134 18.15% Union Luxembourg 2 1381 60.85% 21.00%
15 1970-03-22 56.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1088 39.04% US Dudelange 2 1156 39.27% 21.68%
16 1969-11-30 54.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1438 62.10% Rumelange 1 1310 16.72% 21.19%
17 1970-05-30 54.4 SC Tetange 2 1083 8.96% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1335 70.80% 20.24%
18 1970-05-02 53.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1515 66.64% Union Luxembourg 0 1330 12.56% 20.80%
19 1970-01-31 53.5 Rumelange 4 1314 23.97% @ Union Luxembourg 2 1365 54.49% 21.53%
20 1970-04-30 53.5 @ Rumelange 1 1415 66.22% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1236 12.94% 20.84%
21 1969-09-14 52.9 @ US Dudelange 1 1257 35.88% Avenir Beggen 1 1347 42.47% 21.66%
22 1969-09-06 52.7 @ US Dudelange 1 1257 41.17% Union Luxembourg 1 1310 37.14% 21.69%
23 1969-11-08 52.7 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1352 67.39% Progres Niedercorn 1 1156 11.89% 20.72%
24 1970-05-02 52.7 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1085 12.32% Rumelange 1 1411 67.30% 20.38%
25 1969-10-25 52.4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1292 63.11% Progres Niedercorn 1 1153 15.78% 21.11%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-04-30 25.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1510 77.93% Progres Niedercorn 0 1090 3.74% 18.33%
2 1970-02-07 25.7 @ Differdange 03 4 1327 73.79% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1016 6.58% 19.63%
3 1970-03-22 25.9 @ Rumelange 3 1351 76.61% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 970 4.57% 18.82%
4 1970-03-14 26.0 Jeunesse Esch 3 1493 77.18% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 975 4.60% 18.23%
5 1970-04-19 27.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 10 1274 72.95% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 981 7.23% 19.82%
6 1970-04-30 27.5 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1327 77.46% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 922 4.02% 18.52%
7 1970-04-26 28.7 Differdange 03 10 1304 68.75% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 957 11.07% 20.18%
8 1969-11-23 29.9 @ Differdange 03 4 1297 60.56% US Dudelange 0 1187 18.16% 21.28%
9 1970-01-31 29.9 @ Spora Luxembourg 6 1234 59.46% Progres Niedercorn 0 1135 19.20% 21.34%
10 1970-01-17 30.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1434 67.67% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1235 11.65% 20.68%
11 1969-09-21 30.5 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1316 68.33% Mondorf-les-Bains 1 1106 11.07% 20.60%
12 1969-11-16 30.5 Union Luxembourg 9 1348 62.29% @ Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1085 16.82% 20.89%
13 1969-10-19 30.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1350 59.85% US Dudelange 0 1247 18.84% 21.32%
14 1970-04-11 30.9 Rumelange 5 1356 56.30% @ SC Tetange 0 1155 22.42% 21.27%
15 1970-05-02 31.4 @ SC Tetange 2 1073 64.34% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 919 14.65% 21.02%
16 1970-01-31 31.6 Jeunesse Esch 3 1446 61.43% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1194 17.61% 20.96%
17 1969-09-07 31.8 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1328 58.94% SC Tetange 0 1235 19.69% 21.36%
18 1969-09-07 31.9 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1285 63.51% Mondorf-les-Bains 0 1141 15.41% 21.08%
19 1970-02-15 32.3 @ Differdange 03 1 1336 69.99% Progres Niedercorn 0 1099 9.65% 20.37%
20 1970-02-28 32.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1471 62.46% Differdange 03 0 1340 16.38% 21.16%
21 1970-05-02 32.9 Differdange 03 3 1336 54.42% @ US Dudelange 0 1152 24.22% 21.36%
22 1970-04-26 33.4 Jeunesse Esch 3 1491 59.94% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1254 18.99% 21.06%
23 1969-09-27 33.5 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1316 59.17% Spora Luxembourg 0 1221 19.48% 21.35%
24 1970-04-26 33.6 Spora Luxembourg 2 1297 57.52% @ SC Tetange 0 1084 21.27% 21.21%
25 1969-10-19 33.8 @ Rumelange 3 1182 50.38% SC Tetange 0 1166 27.99% 21.63%