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1987-88 Luxembourg National Division Season

150 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Grevenmacher

6.63 points above expected

20 points · 13.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rumelange

8.12 points below expected

10 points · 18.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 15 4 3 34 53 20 +33 32.48 +1.52
2 Spora Luxembourg 22 14 5 3 33 56 21 +35 28.32 +4.68
3 Avenir Beggen 22 11 6 5 28 48 25 +23 30.26 -2.26
4 Union Luxembourg 22 11 5 6 27 48 32 +16 27.50 -0.50
5 Differdange 03 22 8 7 7 23 36 27 +9 21.71 +1.29
6 Olympique Eischen 22 7 7 8 21 24 35 -11 16.34 +4.66
7 Progres Niedercorn 22 7 6 9 20 35 35 0 22.17 -2.17
8 Grevenmacher 22 8 4 10 20 27 36 -9 13.37 +6.63
9 Swift Hesperange 22 6 4 12 16 32 48 -16 18.41 -2.41
10 Alliance Dudelange 22 6 4 12 16 24 40 -16 16.72 -0.72
11 Aris Bonnevoie 22 5 6 11 16 33 54 -21 18.60 -2.60
12 Rumelange 22 2 6 14 10 20 63 -43 18.12 -8.12
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Avenir Beggen 6 4 1 1 9 12 4 +8 20.72 -11.72
2 Jeunesse Esch 6 4 0 2 8 9 7 +2 23.72 -15.72
3 Union Luxembourg 6 3 1 2 7 11 7 +4 18.45 -11.45
4 Swift Hesperange 4 2 1 1 5 7 4 +3 — —
5 Alliance Dudelange 4 1 2 1 4 2 5 -3 — —
6 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1 1 2 3 8 8 0 — —
7 Spora Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 0 3 17 -14 23.11 -23.11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grevenmacher 20 13.37 +6.63
2 Spora Luxembourg 33 28.32 +4.68
3 Olympique Eischen 21 16.34 +4.66
4 Jeunesse Esch 34 32.48 +1.52
5 Differdange 03 23 21.71 +1.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rumelange 10 18.12 -8.12
2 Aris Bonnevoie 16 18.60 -2.60
3 Swift Hesperange 16 18.41 -2.41
4 Avenir Beggen 28 30.26 -2.26
5 Progres Niedercorn 20 22.17 -2.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Differdange 03 5 Sep 9 – Oct 11 1 in 446
2 Alliance Dudelange 3 Nov 1 – Nov 22 1 in 27
3 Grevenmacher 2 Sep 13 – Sep 27 1 in 23
4 Olympique Eischen 2 Sep 27 – Oct 4 1 in 13
5 Avenir Beggen 5 Oct 25 – Nov 29 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 2 Dec 6 – Dec 11 1 in 88
2 Rumelange 3 Sep 13 – Oct 4 1 in 65
3 Swift Hesperange 4 Dec 18 – Feb 14 1 in 34
4 Alliance Dudelange 3 Oct 4 – Oct 25 1 in 10
5 Differdange 03 2 Nov 8 – Nov 22 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olympique Eischen 5 Sep 27 – Nov 1 1 in 37
2 Spora Luxembourg 13 Nov 8 – Mar 13 1 in 36
3 Swift Hesperange 4 Feb 21 – Mar 13 1 in 28
4 Differdange 03 5 Sep 9 – Oct 11 1 in 21
5 Grevenmacher 3 Sep 13 – Oct 4 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Differdange 03 9 Oct 25 – Jan 17 1 in 154
2 Avenir Beggen 4 Feb 14 – Mar 6 1 in 65
3 Rumelange 11 Nov 29 – Mar 13 1 in 35
4 Spora Luxembourg 3 Sep 27 – Oct 11 1 in 16
5 Aris Bonnevoie 6 Aug 30 – Oct 4 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1025 42 -5 6 5.4 +0.6
Avenir Beggen 1048 37 +15 7 5.6 +1.4
Union Luxembourg 955 34 +56 7 4.2 +2.8
Spora Luxembourg 919 33 -65 0 4.7 -4.7
Differdange 03 818 23 +7 6 5.0 +1.0
Swift Hesperange 752 21 +29 7 5.3 +1.7
Olympique Eischen 694 21 -26 3 3.6 -0.6
Alliance Dudelange 685 20 -9 5 4.4 +0.6
Progres Niedercorn 797 20 +2 4 4.3 -0.3
Grevenmacher 677 20 +18 4 3.6 +0.4
Aris Bonnevoie 735 19 +12 5 4.8 +0.2
Rumelange 655 10 -38 2 3.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB AB D0 GRE JE OE PN RUM SL SH UL
Alliance Dudelange —
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
1.23
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
0.99
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
1.38
Aris Bonnevoie
1-0-1
2.98
 —
0-1-1
1.22
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
3.54
0-0-2
1.12
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.46
0-2-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
1.49
Avenir Beggen
1-0-1
4.33
1-1-0
4.34
 —
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
4.70
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
4.47
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
4.30
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
4.48
2-0-0
3.14
Differdange 03
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
1.54
 —
1-0-1
3.94
1-1-0
1.31
0-2-0
3.72
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
1.74
1-0-1
3.14
0-2-0
1.82
Grevenmacher
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
0.90
1-0-1
1.59
 —
0-0-2
0.79
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
1.60
1-1-0
2.00
0-1-1
1.04
2-0-0
2.03
0-0-2
1.11
Jeunesse Esch
1-1-0
4.60
2-0-0
4.45
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
4.24
2-0-0
4.83
 —
1-1-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.32
2-0-0
4.37
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
4.66
2-0-0
3.60
Olympique Eischen
2-0-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
1.10
0-2-0
1.80
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
0.88
 —
0-0-2
2.01
2-0-0
2.46
0-1-1
1.20
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
1.35
Progres Niedercorn
1-0-1
3.42
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
1.48
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.93
0-0-2
1.24
2-0-0
3.51
 —
2-0-0
3.24
0-0-2
1.79
0-2-0
3.29
0-1-1
1.85
Rumelange
1-1-0
2.75
0-2-0
2.71
0-1-1
1.27
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
3.51
0-0-2
1.20
0-0-2
3.06
0-0-2
2.27
 —
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.48
Spora Luxembourg
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
4.01
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
3.79
1-1-0
4.54
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
4.36
2-0-0
3.74
2-0-0
3.85
 —
2-0-0
4.04
1-1-0
2.99
Swift Hesperange
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.47
1-1-0
1.09
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
3.49
1-0-1
0.94
0-0-2
3.10
0-2-0
2.22
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
1.50
 —
0-0-2
1.50
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
4.16
1-0-1
4.05
0-0-2
2.37
0-2-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.46
0-0-2
1.92
2-0-0
4.20
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
4.06
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
4.04
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +5.5
Allowed 0.85 -5.1
Differential 0.96 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.00%4.33%4.33%3.33%2.33%27.00%
16.00%10.67%4.33%4.67%2.67%2.33%30.67%
24.33%4.33%4.00%2.00%0.67%0.33%15.67%
34.33%4.67%2.00%2.00%0.67%0.33%14.00%
43.33%2.67%0.67%0.67%——7.33%
5+2.33%2.33%0.33%0.33%——5.33%
Total27.00%30.67%15.67%14.00%7.33%5.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.63 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.43
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 150

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
111.54%15.38%—15.38%—7.69%50.00%
27.69%3.85%—7.69%——19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%7.69%26.92%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.73 -0.73
SD 0.80 1.61 1.91
CV 0.80 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%7.69%3.85%—23.08%
1—7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%34.62%
23.85%—7.69%———11.54%
33.85%7.69%—7.69%3.85%—23.08%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%15.38%19.23%23.08%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 2.38 -0.81
SD 1.30 1.86 2.62
CV 0.83 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%10.71%————17.86%
13.57%10.71%————14.29%
23.57%10.71%7.14%3.57%3.57%—28.57%
314.29%7.14%——3.57%—25.00%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+3.57%3.57%————7.14%
Total32.14%50.00%7.14%3.57%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.04 +1.11
SD 1.53 1.10 1.89
CV 0.72 1.07 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%18.18%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.23 +0.41
SD 1.53 1.11 1.87
CV 0.93 0.90 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%9.09%—40.91%
24.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.64 -0.41
SD 1.11 1.53 1.99
CV 0.90 0.93 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—3.57%—3.57%3.57%17.86%
110.71%3.57%7.14%———21.43%
27.14%7.14%3.57%———17.86%
33.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
421.43%3.57%3.57%———28.57%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total53.57%17.86%21.43%—3.57%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.96 +1.25
SD 1.60 1.43 2.55
CV 0.72 1.48 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%—4.55%4.55%9.09%40.91%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%22.73%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.59 -0.50
SD 1.11 1.59 2.09
CV 1.02 1.00 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
19.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total27.27%27.27%13.64%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.59 1.37 2.45
CV 1.00 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%18.18%9.09%13.64%54.55%
1—13.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
2——9.09%———9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total4.55%18.18%22.73%22.73%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.86 -1.95
SD 1.48 1.67 2.52
CV 1.62 0.58 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%—25.00%
13.57%10.71%3.57%3.57%7.14%—28.57%
2———————
33.57%17.86%3.57%———25.00%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%————14.29%
Total21.43%50.00%10.71%7.14%10.71%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.36 +0.75
SD 1.93 1.22 2.65
CV 0.92 0.90 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
27.69%—3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
4—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
5+———————
Total19.23%26.92%19.23%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.00 -0.50
SD 1.39 1.65 2.06
CV 0.93 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%—21.43%
13.57%10.71%3.57%7.14%—3.57%28.57%
210.71%7.14%————17.86%
3—3.57%—3.57%——7.14%
43.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
5+3.57%7.14%3.57%———14.29%
Total28.57%35.71%14.29%14.29%3.57%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.39 +0.71
SD 1.95 1.34 2.58
CV 0.93 0.96 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Avenir Beggen 1048 28 30.26 -2.26 30.0% 23 25 28 30 32 35 38
Jeunesse Esch 1025 34 32.48 +1.52 64.0% 22 26 30 33 35 37 39
Union Luxembourg 955 27 27.50 -0.50 55.0% 17 21 25 27 30 35 37
Spora Luxembourg 919 33 28.32 +4.68 90.0% 18 23 26 28 31 34 37
Differdange 03 818 23 21.71 +1.29 68.0% 12 16 19 22 24 28 30
Progres Niedercorn 797 20 22.17 -2.17 30.0% 11 15 20 22 24 28 31
Swift Hesperange 752 16 18.41 -2.41 34.0% 10 12 15 18 21 24 26
Aris Bonnevoie 735 16 18.60 -2.60 27.0% 8 11 16 19 21 23 29
Olympique Eischen 694 21 16.34 +4.66 90.0% 7 10 14 16 18 23 26
Alliance Dudelange 685 16 16.72 -0.72 51.0% 9 11 14 16 19 22 24
Grevenmacher 677 20 13.37 +6.63 96.0% 5 7 11 14 15 19 24
Rumelange 655 10 18.12 -8.12 2.0% 9 12 15 18 21 24 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.67%
Slight Edge
42.67%23.33%34.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 30.19 Elo pts.
170 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
57%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.97 * Some Luck: 2.97 to 4.45 * Lucky: 4.45 to 5.93 * Wild Swing: 5.93 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.19 * Close: 1.19 to 1.78 * Off: 1.78 to 2.37 * Way Off: 2.37 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.88 points
Some Luck
03.719
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Off
01.483
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Grevenmacher
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Rumelange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 138.77
1.78
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
80%
Wide Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
89%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Some Drama
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Notable Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.07
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.78
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.80
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch57.00%24.00%11.00%7.00%——1.00%—————
Spora Luxembourg10.00%26.00%29.00%21.00%9.00%4.00%——1.00%———
Avenir Beggen20.00%34.00%27.00%15.00%4.00%———————
Union Luxembourg13.00%12.00%21.00%31.00%10.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%———
Differdange 03—1.00%6.00%10.00%21.00%23.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Olympique Eischen—1.00%——1.00%7.00%13.00%13.00%19.00%13.00%14.00%19.00%
Progres Niedercorn—2.00%5.00%7.00%29.00%23.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
Grevenmacher————2.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%17.00%28.00%38.00%
Swift Hesperange———1.00%9.00%10.00%16.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%
Alliance Dudelange———1.00%2.00%7.00%11.00%16.00%12.00%22.00%18.00%11.00%
Aris Bonnevoie——1.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%21.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%10.00%
Rumelange———3.00%4.00%10.00%18.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%18.00%10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen 100% — —
Jeunesse Esch 100% — —
Spora Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00% —
Union Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00% —
Differdange 03 82.00% 17.00% 1.00%
Progres Niedercorn 86.00% 13.00% 1.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 56.00% 34.00% 10.00%
Rumelange 45.00% 45.00% 10.00%
Swift Hesperange 52.00% 38.00% 10.00%
Alliance Dudelange 37.00% 52.00% 11.00%
Olympique Eischen 35.00% 46.00% 19.00%
Grevenmacher 9.00% 53.00% 38.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
Alliance Dudelange — 100%
Aris Bonnevoie — 100%
Avenir Beggen 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Spora Luxembourg 100% —
Swift Hesperange — 100%
Union Luxembourg 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1987-08-30 Progres Niedercorn D 3-361.6 789 795 43.63% 24.71% 31.66%+0.14 -0.3 1
1987-08-30 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 3-361.6 795 789 31.66% 24.71% 43.63%-0.14 +0.3 1
1987-08-30 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.1 770 909 26.06% 24.22% 49.72%-0.64 +0.9 1
1987-08-30 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.1 909 770 49.72% 24.22% 26.06%+0.64 -0.9 1
1987-08-30 Avenir Beggen W 1-050.2 619 960 10.21% 20.69% 69.10%-1.83 +11.2 2
1987-08-30 @ Grevenmacher L 0-150.2 960 619 69.10% 20.69% 10.21%+1.83 -11.2 0
1987-08-30 Rumelange W 4-029.2 993 826 62.69% 22.92% 14.38%+1.16 +10.7 2
1987-08-30 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-429.2 826 993 14.38% 22.92% 62.69%-1.16 -10.7 0
1987-08-30 Alliance Dudelange W 3-251.1 693 725 40.12% 24.75% 35.14%-0.01 +5.7 2
1987-08-30 @ Olympique Eischen L 2-351.1 725 693 35.14% 24.75% 40.12%+0.01 -5.7 0
1987-08-30 Swift Hesperange W 1-035.1 913 767 60.81% 23.28% 15.92%+1.04 +3.3 2
1987-08-30 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-135.1 767 913 15.92% 23.28% 60.81%-1.04 -3.3 0
1987-09-06 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.8 719 1004 13.36% 21.94% 64.70%-1.50 +2.0 1
1987-09-06 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.8 1004 719 64.70% 21.94% 13.36%+1.50 -2.0 3
1987-09-06 Olympique Eischen D 1-153.0 949 699 69.06% 21.27% 9.67%+1.65 -2.4 1
1987-09-06 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-153.0 699 949 9.67% 21.27% 69.06%-1.65 +2.4 3
1987-09-06 Differdange 03 W 2-143.7 796 771 47.60% 24.59% 27.81%+0.32 +5.0 3
1987-09-06 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-243.7 771 796 27.81% 24.59% 47.60%-0.32 -5.0 1
1987-09-06 Grevenmacher W 6-233.4 908 630 70.86% 20.65% 8.49%+1.81 +4.5 3
1987-09-06 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-633.4 630 908 8.49% 20.65% 70.86%-1.81 -4.5 2
1987-09-06 Spora Luxembourg L 0-335.5 815 916 30.57% 24.53% 44.90%-0.42 -15.6 0
1987-09-06 @ Rumelange W 3-035.5 916 815 44.90% 24.53% 30.57%+0.42 +15.5 4
1987-09-06 Aris Bonnevoie D 3-361.5 763 789 40.94% 24.75% 34.32%+0.03 -0.1 1
1987-09-06 @ Swift Hesperange D 3-361.5 789 763 34.32% 24.75% 40.94%-0.03 +0.1 2
1987-09-09 Avenir Beggen L 1-338.3 721 947 17.58% 23.04% 59.37%-1.15 -5.8 1
1987-09-09 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-138.3 947 721 59.37% 23.04% 17.58%+1.15 +5.8 3
1987-09-09 Rumelange D 1-152.0 789 799 43.08% 24.72% 32.20%+0.12 -0.4 3
1987-09-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.0 799 789 32.20% 24.72% 43.08%-0.12 +0.4 1
1987-09-09 Swift Hesperange W 4-140.6 766 763 44.82% 24.69% 30.49%+0.20 +13.1 3
1987-09-09 @ Differdange 03 L 1-440.6 763 766 30.49% 24.69% 44.82%-0.20 -13.1 1
1987-09-09 Progres Niedercorn L 0-137.1 626 801 22.21% 23.81% 53.98%-0.85 -4.4 2
1987-09-09 @ Grevenmacher W 1-037.1 801 626 53.98% 23.81% 22.21%+0.85 +4.4 5
1987-09-09 Union Luxembourg L 0-530.6 701 912 18.79% 23.28% 57.92%-1.07 -16.6 3
1987-09-09 @ Olympique Eischen W 5-030.6 912 701 57.92% 23.28% 18.79%+1.07 +16.6 5
1987-09-09 Jeunesse Esch L 0-435.8 932 1002 34.71% 24.68% 40.61%-0.23 -22.4 4
1987-09-09 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-035.8 1002 932 40.61% 24.68% 34.71%+0.23 +22.4 5
1987-09-13 Avenir Beggen W 4-244.5 1024 953 53.20% 24.24% 22.56%+0.60 +6.5 7
1987-09-13 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-444.5 953 1024 22.56% 24.24% 53.20%-0.60 -6.5 3
1987-09-13 Olympique Eischen W 3-031.4 805 685 58.37% 23.66% 17.98%+0.89 +10.0 7
1987-09-13 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-331.4 685 805 17.98% 23.66% 58.37%-0.89 -10.0 3
1987-09-13 Alliance Dudelange D 0-049.0 929 715 66.43% 22.05% 11.53%+1.44 -2.5 6
1987-09-13 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-049.0 715 929 11.53% 22.05% 66.43%-1.44 +2.5 2
1987-09-13 Differdange 03 L 0-340.5 800 779 47.08% 24.61% 28.31%+0.30 -21.9 1
1987-09-13 @ Rumelange W 3-040.5 779 800 28.31% 24.61% 47.08%-0.30 +21.9 5
1987-09-13 Aris Bonnevoie W 6-133.7 909 789 58.36% 23.66% 17.98%+0.89 +13.3 6
1987-09-13 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-633.7 789 909 17.98% 23.66% 58.36%-0.89 -13.3 3
1987-09-13 Grevenmacher L 1-252.8 750 622 59.16% 23.54% 17.29%+0.93 -9.2 1
1987-09-13 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-152.8 622 750 17.29% 23.54% 59.16%-0.93 +9.2 4
1987-09-27 Progres Niedercorn W 3-039.6 718 815 31.09% 24.55% 44.36%-0.39 +20.8 4
1987-09-27 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-339.6 815 718 44.36% 24.55% 31.09%+0.39 -20.8 7
1987-09-27 Jeunesse Esch L 1-239.4 776 1030 15.34% 22.52% 62.13%-1.32 -2.9 3
1987-09-27 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-139.4 1030 776 62.13% 22.52% 15.34%+1.32 +2.9 9
1987-09-27 Union Luxembourg W 3-034.9 946 927 46.97% 24.62% 28.41%+0.29 +14.7 5
1987-09-27 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-334.9 927 946 28.41% 24.62% 46.97%-0.29 -14.7 6
1987-09-27 Spora Luxembourg W 1-044.9 801 922 28.09% 24.38% 47.54%-0.54 +8.0 7
1987-09-27 @ Differdange 03 L 0-144.9 922 801 47.54% 24.38% 28.09%+0.54 -8.0 6
1987-09-27 Rumelange W 2-043.3 631 778 25.13% 24.13% 50.74%-0.69 +16.0 6
1987-09-27 @ Grevenmacher L 0-243.3 778 631 50.74% 24.13% 25.13%+0.69 -16.0 1
1987-09-27 Swift Hesperange W 1-042.7 675 741 35.22% 24.69% 40.09%-0.21 +7.0 5
1987-09-27 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-142.7 741 675 40.09% 24.69% 35.22%+0.21 -7.0 1
1987-10-04 Differdange 03 L 1-345.3 773 809 39.40% 24.75% 35.85%-0.04 -11.3 3
1987-10-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-145.3 809 773 35.85% 24.75% 39.40%+0.04 +11.3 9
1987-10-04 Union Luxembourg W 4-030.5 1033 912 58.48% 23.64% 17.88%+0.89 +13.0 11
1987-10-04 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-430.5 912 1033 17.88% 23.64% 58.48%-0.89 -13.0 6
1987-10-04 Avenir Beggen D 0-048.5 794 961 23.02% 23.91% 53.07%-0.80 +1.2 8
1987-10-04 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-048.5 961 794 53.07% 23.91% 23.02%+0.80 -1.2 6
1987-10-04 Olympique Eischen L 1-251.5 762 682 54.18% 24.15% 21.67%+0.65 -8.5 1
1987-10-04 @ Rumelange W 2-151.5 682 762 21.67% 24.15% 54.18%-0.65 +8.5 7
1987-10-04 Grevenmacher D 1-153.1 914 647 70.21% 20.88% 8.91%+1.75 -2.5 7
1987-10-04 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.1 647 914 8.91% 20.88% 70.21%-1.75 +2.5 7
1987-10-04 Alliance Dudelange W 3-250.0 734 739 43.80% 24.71% 31.49%+0.15 +5.2 3
1987-10-04 @ Swift Hesperange L 2-350.0 739 734 31.49% 24.71% 43.80%-0.15 -5.2 4
1987-10-11 Rumelange L 1-542.3 733 753 41.74% 24.74% 33.52%+0.06 -21.5 4
1987-10-11 @ Alliance Dudelange W 5-142.3 753 733 33.52% 24.74% 41.74%-0.06 +21.6 3
1987-10-11 Swift Hesperange D 1-152.8 960 739 66.93% 21.91% 11.16%+1.48 -2.2 7
1987-10-11 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-152.8 739 960 11.16% 21.91% 66.93%-1.48 +2.2 4
1987-10-11 Jeunesse Esch W 2-152.7 821 1046 17.56% 23.04% 59.39%-1.15 +9.2 11
1987-10-11 @ Differdange 03 L 1-252.7 1046 821 59.39% 23.04% 17.56%+1.15 -9.2 11
1987-10-11 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-342.2 649 761 29.23% 24.45% 46.32%-0.48 -8.9 7
1987-10-11 @ Grevenmacher W 3-142.2 761 649 46.32% 24.45% 29.23%+0.48 +8.9 5
1987-10-11 Spora Luxembourg D 0-048.7 690 912 17.90% 23.11% 58.99%-1.13 +1.8 8
1987-10-11 @ Olympique Eischen D 0-048.7 912 690 58.99% 23.11% 17.90%+1.13 -1.8 8
1987-10-11 Progres Niedercorn W 2-141.0 899 795 56.67% 23.88% 19.45%+0.79 +3.7 8
1987-10-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-241.0 795 899 19.45% 23.88% 56.67%-0.79 -3.7 8
1987-10-25 Olympique Eischen D 2-257.4 770 692 53.98% 24.17% 21.85%+0.64 -0.9 6
1987-10-25 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-257.4 692 770 21.85% 24.17% 53.98%-0.64 +0.9 9
1987-10-25 Grevenmacher L 2-359.2 830 640 64.52% 22.53% 12.96%+1.29 -9.5 11
1987-10-25 @ Differdange 03 W 3-259.2 640 830 12.96% 22.53% 64.52%-1.29 +9.5 9
1987-10-25 Progres Niedercorn W 3-242.5 1037 792 68.71% 21.38% 9.91%+1.62 +1.8 13
1987-10-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-342.5 792 1037 9.91% 21.38% 68.71%-1.62 -1.9 8
1987-10-25 Avenir Beggen L 0-332.5 775 957 21.43% 23.70% 54.87%-0.90 -11.6 3
1987-10-25 @ Rumelange W 3-032.5 957 775 54.87% 23.70% 21.43%+0.90 +11.6 9
1987-10-25 Alliance Dudelange W 5-132.8 910 712 65.24% 22.35% 12.41%+1.35 +7.7 10
1987-10-25 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-532.8 712 910 12.41% 22.35% 65.24%-1.35 -7.7 4
1987-10-25 Union Luxembourg L 1-242.3 741 903 23.58% 23.97% 52.45%-0.77 -4.3 4
1987-10-25 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-142.3 903 741 52.45% 23.97% 23.58%+0.77 +4.3 10
1987-11-01 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-040.2 704 769 35.36% 24.70% 39.94%-0.21 +13.2 6
1987-11-01 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-240.2 769 704 39.94% 24.70% 35.36%+0.21 -13.2 6
1987-11-01 Spora Luxembourg W 2-142.7 969 918 50.86% 24.41% 24.73%+0.48 +4.5 11
1987-11-01 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-242.7 918 969 24.73% 24.41% 50.86%-0.48 -4.5 10
1987-11-01 Jeunesse Esch L 0-131.6 650 1039 8.14% 19.53% 72.32%-2.11 -1.6 9
1987-11-01 @ Grevenmacher W 1-031.6 1039 650 72.32% 19.53% 8.14%+2.11 +1.7 15
1987-11-01 Differdange 03 D 0-048.3 693 820 27.36% 24.32% 48.32%-0.57 +0.9 10
1987-11-01 @ Olympique Eischen D 0-048.3 820 693 48.32% 24.32% 27.36%+0.57 -0.9 12
1987-11-01 Swift Hesperange D 1-152.1 790 737 51.08% 24.40% 24.52%+0.49 -1.0 9
1987-11-01 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.1 737 790 24.52% 24.40% 51.08%-0.49 +1.0 5
1987-11-01 Rumelange W 6-133.1 907 763 60.59% 23.31% 16.10%+1.02 +12.1 12
1987-11-01 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-633.1 763 907 16.10% 23.31% 60.59%-1.02 -12.1 3
1987-11-08 Avenir Beggen L 0-331.4 756 973 18.28% 23.18% 58.54%-1.10 -10.0 6
1987-11-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-031.4 973 756 58.54% 23.18% 18.28%+1.10 +10.1 13
1987-11-08 Alliance Dudelange L 1-252.1 819 717 56.53% 23.90% 19.57%+0.78 -8.9 12
1987-11-08 @ Differdange 03 W 2-152.1 717 819 19.57% 23.90% 56.53%-0.78 +8.9 8
1987-11-08 Olympique Eischen W 2-146.6 648 694 38.16% 24.74% 37.10%-0.09 +6.2 11
1987-11-08 @ Grevenmacher L 1-246.6 694 648 37.10% 24.74% 38.16%+0.09 -6.2 10
1987-11-08 Swift Hesperange W 4-026.3 1041 738 72.42% 20.05% 7.53%+1.96 +5.6 17
1987-11-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-426.3 738 1041 7.53% 20.05% 72.42%-1.96 -5.6 5
1987-11-08 Progres Niedercorn L 0-637.5 751 789 39.25% 24.75% 36.01%-0.04 -36.1 3
1987-11-08 @ Rumelange W 6-037.5 789 751 36.01% 24.75% 39.25%+0.04 +36.1 11
1987-11-08 Union Luxembourg W 3-143.0 913 919 43.67% 24.71% 31.61%+0.14 +9.5 12
1987-11-08 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-343.0 919 913 31.61% 24.71% 43.67%-0.14 -9.5 12
1987-11-22 Grevenmacher W 1-037.3 726 655 53.24% 24.23% 22.53%+0.60 +4.4 10
1987-11-22 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-137.3 655 726 22.53% 24.23% 53.24%-0.60 -4.4 11
1987-11-22 Differdange 03 W 2-139.1 983 811 63.17% 22.82% 14.00%+1.20 +2.7 15
1987-11-22 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-239.1 811 983 14.00% 22.82% 63.17%-1.20 -2.7 12
1987-11-22 Jeunesse Esch L 0-526.8 688 1046 9.40% 20.28% 70.32%-1.94 -8.5 10
1987-11-22 @ Olympique Eischen W 5-026.8 1046 688 70.32% 20.28% 9.40%+1.94 +8.5 19
1987-11-22 Spora Luxembourg L 1-440.7 825 923 30.99% 24.55% 44.46%-0.40 -13.2 11
1987-11-22 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-140.7 923 825 44.46% 24.55% 30.99%+0.40 +13.2 14
1987-11-22 Aris Bonnevoie W 6-132.5 909 746 62.35% 22.99% 14.66%+1.14 +11.1 14
1987-11-22 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-632.5 746 909 14.66% 22.99% 62.35%-1.14 -11.1 6
1987-11-22 Rumelange L 3-554.1 732 715 46.69% 24.63% 28.68%+0.28 -11.0 5
1987-11-22 @ Swift Hesperange W 5-354.1 715 732 28.68% 24.63% 46.69%-0.28 +10.9 5
1987-11-29 Olympique Eischen L 0-243.4 731 679 50.92% 24.41% 24.67%+0.48 -16.1 10
1987-11-29 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-043.4 679 731 24.67% 24.41% 50.92%-0.48 +16.1 12
1987-11-29 Grevenmacher W 4-131.7 986 650 74.37% 19.22% 6.42%+2.16 +3.0 17
1987-11-29 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-431.7 650 986 6.42% 19.22% 74.37%-2.16 -3.0 11
1987-11-29 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-244.2 812 735 53.81% 24.18% 22.01%+0.63 -16.9 11
1987-11-29 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-044.2 735 812 22.01% 24.18% 53.81%-0.63 +16.9 8
1987-11-29 Differdange 03 D 3-361.8 921 808 57.62% 23.76% 18.62%+0.84 -0.9 15
1987-11-29 @ Union Luxembourg D 3-361.8 808 921 18.62% 23.76% 57.62%-0.84 +0.9 13
1987-11-29 Jeunesse Esch L 0-427.6 726 1055 10.84% 20.98% 68.18%-1.76 -7.9 5
1987-11-29 @ Rumelange W 4-027.6 1055 726 68.18% 20.98% 10.84%+1.76 +8.0 21
1987-11-29 Spora Luxembourg L 0-630.8 722 936 18.50% 23.23% 58.27%-1.09 -19.4 5
1987-11-29 @ Swift Hesperange W 6-030.8 936 722 58.27% 23.23% 18.50%+1.09 +19.4 16
1987-12-06 Swift Hesperange L 0-243.4 752 702 50.73% 24.42% 24.85%+0.47 -16.1 8
1987-12-06 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-043.4 702 752 24.85% 24.42% 50.73%-0.47 +16.1 7
1987-12-06 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.0 809 795 46.25% 24.64% 29.11%+0.26 -0.6 14
1987-12-06 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.0 795 809 29.11% 24.64% 46.25%-0.26 +0.6 12
1987-12-06 Union Luxembourg L 0-231.7 647 920 14.12% 22.18% 63.69%-1.43 -5.4 11
1987-12-06 @ Grevenmacher W 2-031.7 920 647 63.69% 22.18% 14.12%+1.43 +5.5 17
1987-12-06 Alliance Dudelange W 2-028.3 1063 714 75.03% 18.91% 6.06%+2.23 +2.3 23
1987-12-06 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-228.3 714 1063 6.06% 18.91% 75.03%-2.23 -2.3 10
1987-12-06 Avenir Beggen W 3-259.3 695 989 12.76% 21.74% 65.50%-1.55 +9.6 14
1987-12-06 @ Olympique Eischen L 2-359.3 989 695 65.50% 21.74% 12.76%+1.55 -9.6 17
1987-12-06 Rumelange W 5-027.5 956 718 68.16% 21.55% 10.29%+1.58 +9.5 18
1987-12-06 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-527.5 718 956 10.29% 21.55% 68.16%-1.58 -9.5 5
1987-12-11 Alliance Dudelange L 0-150.6 980 712 70.21% 20.88% 8.91%+1.75 -11.5 17
1987-12-11 @ Avenir Beggen W 1-050.6 712 980 8.91% 20.88% 70.21%-1.75 +11.5 12
1987-12-11 Spora Luxembourg D 0-048.5 1065 965 56.30% 23.92% 19.78%+0.77 -1.6 24
1987-12-11 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-048.5 965 1065 19.78% 23.92% 56.30%-0.77 +1.5 19
1987-12-11 Grevenmacher L 0-148.7 795 642 61.51% 23.15% 15.34%+1.08 -10.2 12
1987-12-11 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-048.7 642 795 15.34% 23.15% 61.51%-1.08 +10.2 13
1987-12-11 Olympique Eischen W 1-033.2 925 705 66.92% 21.91% 11.17%+1.48 +2.3 19
1987-12-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-133.2 705 925 11.17% 21.91% 66.92%-1.48 -2.3 14
1987-12-11 Differdange 03 W 1-043.7 718 808 32.02% 24.59% 43.39%-0.35 +7.5 9
1987-12-11 @ Swift Hesperange L 0-143.7 808 718 43.39% 24.59% 32.02%+0.35 -7.4 14
1987-12-18 Union Luxembourg L 1-338.9 724 927 19.45% 23.40% 57.15%-1.02 -6.3 12
1987-12-18 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-138.9 927 724 57.15% 23.40% 19.45%+1.02 +6.3 21
1987-12-18 Spora Luxembourg L 1-338.1 736 967 17.18% 22.96% 59.87%-1.18 -5.7 8
1987-12-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-138.1 967 736 59.87% 22.96% 17.18%+1.18 +5.7 21
1987-12-18 Jeunesse Esch W 6-038.9 968 1063 31.34% 24.56% 44.10%-0.38 +39.5 19
1987-12-18 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-638.9 1063 968 44.10% 24.56% 31.34%+0.38 -39.5 24
1987-12-18 Rumelange D 2-257.4 801 709 55.47% 24.02% 20.51%+0.72 -1.0 15
1987-12-18 @ Differdange 03 D 2-257.4 709 801 20.51% 24.02% 55.47%-0.72 +1.0 6
1987-12-18 Swift Hesperange W 3-145.8 652 726 34.18% 24.67% 41.15%-0.26 +11.7 15
1987-12-18 @ Grevenmacher L 1-345.8 726 652 41.15% 24.67% 34.18%+0.26 -11.7 9
1987-12-18 Progres Niedercorn L 0-140.6 702 785 32.96% 24.63% 42.41%-0.31 -6.0 14
1987-12-18 @ Olympique Eischen W 1-040.6 785 702 42.41% 24.63% 32.96%+0.31 +6.0 14
1987-12-21 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-048.2 710 730 41.63% 24.74% 33.63%+0.06 -0.3 7
1987-12-21 @ Rumelange D 0-048.2 730 710 33.63% 24.74% 41.63%-0.06 +0.3 9
1988-01-17 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-132.5 1024 731 71.85% 20.27% 7.88%+1.91 +3.8 26
1988-01-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-432.5 731 1024 7.88% 20.27% 71.85%-1.91 -3.8 9
1988-01-17 Alliance Dudelange W 3-140.0 791 717 53.50% 24.21% 22.29%+0.61 +7.2 16
1988-01-17 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-340.0 717 791 22.29% 24.21% 53.50%-0.61 -7.2 12
1988-01-17 Avenir Beggen L 0-238.5 934 1008 34.16% 24.67% 41.17%-0.26 -11.7 21
1988-01-17 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-038.5 1008 934 41.17% 24.67% 34.16%+0.26 +11.7 21
1988-01-17 Grevenmacher D 1-152.0 709 663 50.23% 24.45% 25.31%+0.45 -0.9 8
1988-01-17 @ Rumelange D 1-152.0 663 709 25.31% 24.45% 50.23%-0.45 +0.9 16
1988-01-17 Differdange 03 W 3-137.1 972 800 63.14% 22.83% 14.03%+1.19 +4.8 23
1988-01-17 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-337.1 800 972 14.03% 22.83% 63.14%-1.19 -4.8 15
1988-01-17 Olympique Eischen L 0-144.7 714 696 46.72% 24.63% 28.65%+0.28 -7.9 9
1988-01-17 @ Swift Hesperange W 1-044.7 696 714 28.65% 24.63% 46.72%-0.28 +7.9 16
1988-01-24 Swift Hesperange W 2-037.4 710 706 44.97% 24.68% 30.34%+0.20 +10.7 14
1988-01-24 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-237.4 706 710 30.34% 24.68% 44.97%-0.20 -10.7 9
1988-01-24 Progres Niedercorn W 3-136.0 1019 798 66.96% 21.90% 11.14%+1.48 +3.8 23
1988-01-24 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-336.0 798 1019 11.14% 21.90% 66.96%-1.48 -3.8 16
1988-01-24 Aris Bonnevoie W 6-135.4 795 727 52.84% 24.27% 22.89%+0.58 +16.4 17
1988-01-24 @ Differdange 03 L 1-635.4 727 795 22.89% 24.27% 52.84%-0.58 -16.4 9
1988-01-24 Spora Luxembourg L 1-434.0 664 977 11.69% 21.34% 66.97%-1.66 -5.5 16
1988-01-24 @ Grevenmacher W 4-134.0 977 664 66.97% 21.34% 11.69%+1.66 +5.5 25
1988-01-24 Rumelange W 3-035.8 704 708 43.89% 24.71% 31.40%+0.15 +15.9 18
1988-01-24 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-335.8 708 704 31.40% 24.71% 43.89%-0.15 -15.9 8
1988-01-24 Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.4 922 1028 30.02% 24.50% 45.49%-0.44 -5.3 21
1988-01-24 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-144.4 1028 922 45.49% 24.50% 30.02%+0.44 +5.3 28
1988-02-14 Spora Luxembourg L 1-337.3 721 983 14.85% 22.39% 62.75%-1.36 -4.9 14
1988-02-14 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-137.3 983 721 62.75% 22.39% 14.85%+1.36 +4.9 27
1988-02-14 Rumelange D 2-258.8 1023 692 74.06% 19.35% 6.58%+2.13 -2.1 24
1988-02-14 @ Avenir Beggen D 2-258.8 692 1023 6.58% 19.35% 74.06%-2.13 +2.0 9
1988-02-14 Differdange 03 L 0-333.5 659 811 24.52% 24.07% 51.41%-0.72 -13.0 16
1988-02-14 @ Grevenmacher W 3-033.5 811 659 51.41% 24.07% 24.52%+0.72 +13.0 19
1988-02-14 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-439.1 720 710 45.72% 24.66% 29.61%+0.24 -27.9 18
1988-02-14 @ Olympique Eischen W 4-039.1 710 720 29.61% 24.66% 45.72%-0.24 +27.9 11
1988-02-14 Jeunesse Esch L 0-429.8 795 1033 16.58% 22.83% 60.59%-1.23 -12.0 16
1988-02-14 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-029.8 1033 795 60.59% 22.83% 16.58%+1.23 +12.0 30
1988-02-14 Swift Hesperange W 4-240.3 917 695 67.00% 21.89% 11.11%+1.48 +3.4 23
1988-02-14 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-440.3 695 917 11.11% 21.89% 67.00%-1.48 -3.4 9
1988-02-21 Grevenmacher L 0-441.9 738 646 55.51% 24.01% 20.48%+0.72 -33.1 11
1988-02-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-041.9 646 738 20.48% 24.01% 55.51%-0.72 +33.1 18
1988-02-21 Differdange 03 D 0-049.1 1045 824 66.94% 21.91% 11.15%+1.48 -2.5 31
1988-02-21 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-049.1 824 1045 11.15% 21.91% 66.94%-1.48 +2.5 20
1988-02-21 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.1 783 920 26.18% 24.23% 49.59%-0.63 +0.9 17
1988-02-21 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.1 920 783 49.59% 24.23% 26.18%+0.63 -0.9 24
1988-02-21 Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.0 695 716 41.54% 24.74% 33.72%+0.05 -0.3 10
1988-02-21 @ Rumelange D 1-152.0 716 695 33.72% 24.74% 41.54%-0.05 +0.3 15
1988-02-21 Olympique Eischen W 3-241.5 988 692 71.97% 20.23% 7.81%+1.92 +1.4 29
1988-02-21 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-341.5 692 988 7.81% 20.23% 71.97%-1.92 -1.4 18
1988-02-21 Avenir Beggen W 4-363.2 692 1021 10.81% 20.97% 68.22%-1.76 +9.7 11
1988-02-21 @ Swift Hesperange L 3-463.2 1021 692 68.22% 20.97% 10.81%+1.76 -9.7 24
1988-02-28 Alliance Dudelange W 3-036.1 705 716 42.96% 24.73% 32.31%+0.11 +16.3 13
1988-02-28 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-336.1 716 705 32.31% 24.73% 42.96%-0.11 -16.3 15
1988-02-28 Olympique Eischen D 0-048.6 827 691 59.87% 23.43% 16.70%+0.98 -1.9 21
1988-02-28 @ Differdange 03 D 0-048.6 691 827 16.70% 23.43% 59.87%-0.98 +1.9 19
1988-02-28 Grevenmacher W 2-028.1 1042 679 75.86% 18.52% 5.63%+2.32 +2.1 33
1988-02-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-228.1 679 1042 5.63% 18.52% 75.86%-2.32 -2.1 18
1988-02-28 Union Luxembourg L 0-233.0 694 919 17.63% 23.05% 59.32%-1.15 -6.7 10
1988-02-28 @ Rumelange W 2-033.0 919 694 59.32% 23.05% 17.63%+1.15 +6.7 26
1988-02-28 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.0 989 1011 41.38% 24.74% 33.87%+0.05 -0.3 30
1988-02-28 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.0 1011 989 33.87% 24.74% 41.38%-0.05 +0.3 25
1988-02-28 Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.2 702 784 33.09% 24.63% 42.27%-0.30 +0.2 12
1988-02-28 @ Swift Hesperange D 2-257.2 784 702 42.27% 24.63% 33.09%+0.30 -0.2 18
1988-03-06 Differdange 03 L 0-138.9 700 825 27.63% 24.34% 48.03%-0.56 -5.2 15
1988-03-06 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-038.9 825 700 48.03% 24.34% 27.63%+0.56 +5.2 23
1988-03-06 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.5 1012 721 71.66% 20.35% 7.99%+1.89 -1.9 26
1988-03-06 @ Avenir Beggen D 2-258.5 721 1012 7.99% 20.35% 71.66%-1.89 +1.9 14
1988-03-06 Grevenmacher D 1-152.0 693 677 46.52% 24.63% 28.85%+0.27 -0.6 20
1988-03-06 @ Olympique Eischen D 1-152.0 677 693 28.85% 24.63% 46.52%-0.27 +0.6 19
1988-03-06 Rumelange W 5-031.2 783 688 55.86% 23.97% 20.16%+0.74 +17.8 20
1988-03-06 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-531.2 688 783 20.16% 23.97% 55.86%-0.74 -17.8 10
1988-03-06 Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.0 926 989 35.71% 24.71% 39.58%-0.19 +0.1 27
1988-03-06 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.0 989 926 39.58% 24.71% 35.71%+0.19 -0.1 31
1988-03-06 Jeunesse Esch W 2-047.8 702 1045 10.15% 20.66% 69.20%-1.84 +21.2 14
1988-03-06 @ Swift Hesperange L 0-247.8 1045 702 69.20% 20.66% 10.15%+1.84 -21.2 33
1988-03-13 Union Luxembourg W 3-150.2 723 926 19.54% 23.41% 57.05%-1.02 +15.4 16
1988-03-13 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-350.2 926 723 57.05% 23.41% 19.54%+1.02 -15.4 27
1988-03-13 Avenir Beggen L 0-332.6 830 1010 21.72% 23.74% 54.54%-0.88 -11.7 23
1988-03-13 @ Differdange 03 W 3-032.6 1010 830 54.54% 23.74% 21.72%+0.88 +11.7 28
1988-03-13 Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.0 677 695 42.11% 24.74% 33.15%+0.08 -0.3 20
1988-03-13 @ Grevenmacher D 1-152.0 695 677 33.15% 24.74% 42.11%-0.08 +0.3 16
1988-03-13 Olympique Eischen D 2-258.8 1023 692 74.09% 19.34% 6.57%+2.13 -2.1 34
1988-03-13 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.8 692 1023 6.57% 19.34% 74.09%-2.13 +2.1 21
1988-03-13 Swift Hesperange L 1-442.6 670 723 37.02% 24.73% 38.25%-0.14 -15.2 10
1988-03-13 @ Rumelange W 4-142.6 723 670 38.25% 24.73% 37.02%+0.14 +15.2 16
1988-03-13 Progres Niedercorn W 3-136.8 989 801 64.37% 22.56% 13.07%+1.28 +4.4 33
1988-03-13 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-336.8 801 989 13.07% 22.56% 64.37%-1.28 -4.5 20

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1988-04-03 Swift Hesperange D 0-048.2 695 738 38.45% 24.74% 36.81%-0.08 -0.1 1
1988-04-03 @ Alliance Dudelange D 0-048.2 738 695 36.81% 24.74% 38.45%+0.08 +0.1 1
1988-04-03 Union Luxembourg W 5-135.2 1021 911 57.41% 23.79% 18.80%+0.83 +11.3 2
1988-04-03 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-535.2 911 1021 18.80% 23.79% 57.41%-0.83 -11.3 0
1988-04-03 Spora Luxembourg W 3-141.7 1021 993 48.08% 24.57% 27.35%+0.34 +8.5 2
1988-04-03 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-341.7 993 1021 27.35% 24.57% 48.08%-0.34 -8.5 0
1988-04-10 Avenir Beggen W 1-040.1 1030 1033 44.03% 24.71% 31.27%+0.16 +5.8 4
1988-04-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-140.1 1033 1030 31.27% 24.71% 44.03%-0.16 -5.8 2
1988-04-10 Spora Luxembourg W 4-144.3 899 985 32.66% 24.62% 42.72%-0.32 +17.0 2
1988-04-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-444.3 985 899 42.72% 24.62% 32.66%+0.32 -17.0 0
1988-04-10 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-035.6 738 739 44.38% 24.70% 30.92%+0.18 +15.7 3
1988-04-10 @ Swift Hesperange L 0-335.6 739 738 30.92% 24.70% 44.38%-0.18 -15.7 0
1988-04-17 Alliance Dudelange W 4-033.6 723 695 48.07% 24.57% 27.36%+0.34 +18.6 2
1988-04-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-433.6 695 723 27.36% 24.57% 48.07%-0.34 -18.6 1
1988-04-17 Spora Luxembourg W 4-138.5 1027 968 51.85% 24.34% 23.80%+0.53 +10.7 4
1988-04-17 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-438.5 968 1027 23.80% 24.34% 51.85%-0.53 -10.7 0
1988-04-17 Jeunesse Esch W 4-039.5 916 1036 28.34% 24.39% 47.27%-0.52 +28.6 4
1988-04-17 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-439.5 1036 916 47.27% 24.39% 28.34%+0.52 -28.6 4
1988-04-24 Avenir Beggen D 0-048.3 945 1038 31.66% 24.58% 43.77%-0.37 +0.5 5
1988-04-24 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-048.3 1038 945 43.77% 24.58% 31.66%+0.37 -0.5 5
1988-04-24 Jeunesse Esch L 0-337.6 957 1007 37.48% 24.73% 37.79%-0.12 -18.2 0
1988-04-24 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-037.6 1007 957 37.79% 24.73% 37.48%+0.12 +18.2 6
1988-04-24 Alliance Dudelange L 0-146.7 754 676 53.94% 24.17% 21.89%+0.64 -9.0 3
1988-04-24 @ Swift Hesperange W 1-046.7 676 754 21.89% 24.17% 53.94%-0.64 +9.0 3
1988-05-01 Swift Hesperange L 3-457.0 742 745 43.97% 24.71% 31.32%+0.16 -6.6 2
1988-05-01 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-357.0 745 742 31.32% 24.71% 43.97%-0.16 +6.6 5
1988-05-01 Jeunesse Esch W 2-144.2 1037 1025 46.02% 24.65% 29.33%+0.25 +5.2 7
1988-05-01 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-244.2 1025 1037 29.33% 24.65% 46.02%-0.25 -5.2 6
1988-05-01 Union Luxembourg L 0-241.3 939 945 43.50% 24.72% 31.78%+0.14 -14.1 0
1988-05-01 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-041.3 945 939 31.78% 24.72% 43.50%-0.14 +14.1 7
1988-05-08 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.0 685 735 37.52% 24.73% 37.75%-0.12 +0.0 4
1988-05-08 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-152.0 735 685 37.75% 24.73% 37.52%+0.12 -0.0 3
1988-05-08 Union Luxembourg W 1-037.7 1020 960 51.96% 24.34% 23.71%+0.53 +4.6 8
1988-05-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-137.7 960 1020 23.71% 24.34% 51.96%-0.53 -4.6 7
1988-05-08 Avenir Beggen L 0-139.2 924 1042 28.48% 24.40% 47.12%-0.52 -5.4 0
1988-05-08 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-039.2 1042 924 47.12% 24.40% 28.48%+0.52 +5.4 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1987-12-11 8.91% Alliance Dudelange 712 1 @ Avenir Beggen 980 0
2 1988-03-06 10.15% @ Swift Hesperange 702 2 Jeunesse Esch 1045 0
3 1987-08-30 10.21% @ Grevenmacher 619 1 Avenir Beggen 960 0
4 1988-02-21 10.81% @ Swift Hesperange 692 4 Avenir Beggen 1021 3
5 1987-12-06 12.76% @ Olympique Eischen 695 3 Avenir Beggen 989 2
6 1987-10-25 12.96% Grevenmacher 640 3 @ Differdange 03 830 2
7 1987-12-11 15.34% Grevenmacher 642 1 @ Progres Niedercorn 795 0
8 1987-09-13 17.29% Grevenmacher 622 2 @ Swift Hesperange 750 1
9 1987-10-11 17.56% @ Differdange 03 821 2 Jeunesse Esch 1046 1
10 1988-03-13 19.54% @ Aris Bonnevoie 723 3 Union Luxembourg 926 1
11 1987-11-08 19.57% Alliance Dudelange 717 2 @ Differdange 03 819 1
12 1988-02-21 20.48% Grevenmacher 646 4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 738 0
13 1987-10-04 21.67% Olympique Eischen 682 2 @ Rumelange 762 1
14 1988-04-24 21.89% Alliance Dudelange 676 1 @ Swift Hesperange 754 0
15 1987-11-29 22.01% Aris Bonnevoie 735 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 812 0
16 1987-11-29 24.67% Olympique Eischen 679 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 731 0
17 1987-12-06 24.85% Swift Hesperange 702 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 752 0
18 1987-09-27 25.13% @ Grevenmacher 631 2 Rumelange 778 0
19 1987-09-27 28.09% @ Differdange 03 801 1 Spora Luxembourg 922 0
20 1987-09-13 28.31% Differdange 03 779 3 @ Rumelange 800 0
21 1988-04-17 28.34% @ Union Luxembourg 916 4 Jeunesse Esch 1036 0
22 1988-01-17 28.65% Olympique Eischen 696 1 @ Swift Hesperange 714 0
23 1987-11-22 28.68% Rumelange 715 5 @ Swift Hesperange 732 3
24 1988-02-14 29.61% Aris Bonnevoie 710 4 @ Olympique Eischen 720 0
25 1987-09-27 31.09% @ Alliance Dudelange 718 3 Progres Niedercorn 815 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-12-18 39.53 @ Avenir Beggen 6 968 31.34% Jeunesse Esch 0 1063 44.10% 24.56%
2 1987-11-08 36.07 Progres Niedercorn 6 789 36.01% @ Rumelange 0 751 39.25% 24.75%
3 1988-02-21 33.07 Grevenmacher 4 646 20.48% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 738 55.51% 24.01%
4 1988-04-17 28.61 @ Union Luxembourg 4 916 28.34% Jeunesse Esch 0 1036 47.27% 24.39%
5 1988-02-14 27.87 Aris Bonnevoie 4 710 29.61% @ Olympique Eischen 0 720 45.72% 24.66%
6 1987-09-09 22.43 Jeunesse Esch 4 1002 40.61% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 932 34.71% 24.68%
7 1987-09-13 21.87 Differdange 03 3 779 28.31% @ Rumelange 0 800 47.08% 24.61%
8 1987-10-11 21.55 Rumelange 5 753 33.52% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 733 41.74% 24.74%
9 1988-03-06 21.23 @ Swift Hesperange 2 702 10.15% Jeunesse Esch 0 1045 69.20% 20.66%
10 1987-09-27 20.77 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 718 31.09% Progres Niedercorn 0 815 44.36% 24.55%
11 1987-11-29 19.44 Spora Luxembourg 6 936 58.27% @ Swift Hesperange 0 722 18.50% 23.23%
12 1988-04-17 18.64 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 723 48.07% Alliance Dudelange 0 695 27.36% 24.57%
13 1988-04-24 18.21 Jeunesse Esch 3 1007 37.79% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 957 37.48% 24.73%
14 1988-03-06 17.82 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 783 55.86% Rumelange 0 688 20.16% 23.97%
15 1988-04-10 16.99 @ Union Luxembourg 4 899 32.66% Spora Luxembourg 1 985 42.72% 24.62%
16 1987-11-29 16.94 Aris Bonnevoie 2 735 22.01% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 812 53.81% 24.18%
17 1987-09-09 16.60 Union Luxembourg 5 912 57.92% @ Olympique Eischen 0 701 18.79% 23.28%
18 1988-01-24 16.44 @ Differdange 03 6 795 52.84% Aris Bonnevoie 1 727 22.89% 24.27%
19 1988-02-28 16.27 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 705 42.96% Alliance Dudelange 0 716 32.31% 24.73%
20 1987-11-29 16.12 Olympique Eischen 2 679 24.67% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 731 50.92% 24.41%
21 1987-12-06 16.07 Swift Hesperange 2 702 24.85% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 752 50.73% 24.42%
22 1987-09-27 16.02 @ Grevenmacher 2 631 25.13% Rumelange 0 778 50.74% 24.13%
23 1988-01-24 15.91 @ Olympique Eischen 3 704 43.89% Rumelange 0 708 31.40% 24.71%
24 1988-04-10 15.72 @ Swift Hesperange 3 738 44.38% Aris Bonnevoie 0 739 30.92% 24.70%
25 1987-09-06 15.55 Spora Luxembourg 3 916 44.90% @ Rumelange 0 815 30.57% 24.53%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1988-02-21 63.2 @ Swift Hesperange 4 692 10.81% Avenir Beggen 3 1021 68.22% 20.97%
2 1987-11-29 61.8 @ Union Luxembourg 3 921 57.62% Differdange 03 3 808 18.62% 23.76%
3 1987-08-30 61.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 789 43.63% Progres Niedercorn 3 795 31.66% 24.71%
4 1987-09-06 61.5 @ Swift Hesperange 3 763 40.94% Aris Bonnevoie 3 789 34.32% 24.75%
5 1987-12-06 59.3 @ Olympique Eischen 3 695 12.76% Avenir Beggen 2 989 65.50% 21.74%
6 1987-10-25 59.2 Grevenmacher 3 640 12.96% @ Differdange 03 2 830 64.52% 22.53%
7 1988-02-14 58.8 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1023 74.06% Rumelange 2 692 6.58% 19.35%
8 1988-03-13 58.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1023 74.09% Olympique Eischen 2 692 6.57% 19.34%
9 1988-03-06 58.5 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1012 71.66% Aris Bonnevoie 2 721 7.99% 20.35%
10 1987-10-25 57.4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 770 53.98% Olympique Eischen 2 692 21.85% 24.17%
11 1987-12-18 57.4 @ Differdange 03 2 801 55.47% Rumelange 2 709 20.51% 24.02%
12 1988-02-28 57.2 @ Swift Hesperange 2 702 33.09% Progres Niedercorn 2 784 42.27% 24.63%
13 1988-05-01 57.0 Swift Hesperange 4 745 31.32% @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 742 43.97% 24.71%
14 1987-11-22 54.1 Rumelange 5 715 28.68% @ Swift Hesperange 3 732 46.69% 24.63%
15 1987-10-04 53.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 914 70.21% Grevenmacher 1 647 8.91% 20.88%
16 1987-09-06 53.0 @ Avenir Beggen 1 949 69.06% Olympique Eischen 1 699 9.67% 21.27%
17 1987-09-06 52.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 719 13.36% Jeunesse Esch 1 1004 64.70% 21.94%
18 1987-09-13 52.8 Grevenmacher 2 622 17.29% @ Swift Hesperange 1 750 59.16% 23.54%
19 1987-10-11 52.8 @ Avenir Beggen 1 960 66.93% Swift Hesperange 1 739 11.16% 21.91%
20 1987-10-11 52.7 @ Differdange 03 2 821 17.56% Jeunesse Esch 1 1046 59.39% 23.04%
21 1987-08-30 52.1 @ Differdange 03 1 770 26.06% Union Luxembourg 1 909 49.72% 24.22%
22 1987-11-01 52.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 790 51.08% Swift Hesperange 1 737 24.52% 24.40%
23 1987-11-08 52.1 Alliance Dudelange 2 717 19.57% @ Differdange 03 1 819 56.53% 23.90%
24 1988-02-21 52.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 783 26.18% Union Luxembourg 1 920 49.59% 24.23%
25 1987-09-09 52.0 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 789 43.08% Rumelange 1 799 32.20% 24.72%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-11-08 26.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1041 72.42% Swift Hesperange 0 738 7.53% 20.05%
2 1987-11-22 26.8 Jeunesse Esch 5 1046 70.32% @ Olympique Eischen 0 688 9.40% 20.28%
3 1987-12-06 27.5 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 956 68.16% Rumelange 0 718 10.29% 21.55%
4 1987-11-29 27.6 Jeunesse Esch 4 1055 68.18% @ Rumelange 0 726 10.84% 20.98%
5 1988-02-28 28.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1042 75.86% Grevenmacher 0 679 5.63% 18.52%
6 1987-12-06 28.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1063 75.03% Alliance Dudelange 0 714 6.06% 18.91%
7 1987-08-30 29.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 993 62.69% Rumelange 0 826 14.38% 22.92%
8 1988-02-14 29.8 Jeunesse Esch 4 1033 60.59% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 795 16.58% 22.83%
9 1987-10-04 30.5 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1033 58.48% Union Luxembourg 0 912 17.88% 23.64%
10 1987-09-09 30.6 Union Luxembourg 5 912 57.92% @ Olympique Eischen 0 701 18.79% 23.28%
11 1987-11-29 30.8 Spora Luxembourg 6 936 58.27% @ Swift Hesperange 0 722 18.50% 23.23%
12 1988-03-06 31.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 783 55.86% Rumelange 0 688 20.16% 23.97%
13 1987-09-13 31.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 805 58.37% Olympique Eischen 0 685 17.98% 23.66%
14 1987-11-08 31.4 Avenir Beggen 3 973 58.54% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 756 18.28% 23.18%
15 1987-11-01 31.6 Jeunesse Esch 1 1039 72.32% @ Grevenmacher 0 650 8.14% 19.53%
16 1987-11-29 31.7 @ Avenir Beggen 4 986 74.37% Grevenmacher 1 650 6.42% 19.22%
17 1987-12-06 31.7 Union Luxembourg 2 920 63.69% @ Grevenmacher 0 647 14.12% 22.18%
18 1987-10-25 32.5 Avenir Beggen 3 957 54.87% @ Rumelange 0 775 21.43% 23.70%
19 1987-11-22 32.5 @ Union Luxembourg 6 909 62.35% Aris Bonnevoie 1 746 14.66% 22.99%
20 1988-01-17 32.5 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1024 71.85% Aris Bonnevoie 1 731 7.88% 20.27%
21 1988-03-13 32.6 Avenir Beggen 3 1010 54.54% @ Differdange 03 0 830 21.72% 23.74%
22 1987-10-25 32.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 910 65.24% Alliance Dudelange 1 712 12.41% 22.35%
23 1988-02-28 33.0 Union Luxembourg 2 919 59.32% @ Rumelange 0 694 17.63% 23.05%
24 1987-11-01 33.1 @ Union Luxembourg 6 907 60.59% Rumelange 1 763 16.10% 23.31%
25 1987-12-11 33.2 @ Union Luxembourg 1 925 66.92% Olympique Eischen 0 705 11.17% 21.91%