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1994-95 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Wiltz 71

6.80 points above expected

22 points · 15.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Koeppchen Wormeldange

7.11 points below expected

6 points · 13.11 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 15 5 2 35 63 17 +46 29.49 +5.51
2 Grevenmacher 22 15 5 2 35 35 12 +23 29.41 +5.59
3 Avenir Beggen 22 13 4 5 30 64 31 +33 32.56 -2.56
4 F91 Dudelange 22 10 3 9 23 41 37 +4 25.02 -2.02
5 Union Luxembourg 22 8 6 8 22 40 30 +10 27.13 -5.13
6 Wiltz 71 22 7 8 7 22 36 40 -4 15.20 +6.80
7 Spora Luxembourg 22 7 6 9 20 38 36 +2 19.99 +0.01
8 Aris Bonnevoie 22 7 5 10 19 39 45 -6 21.42 -2.42
9 CS Petange 22 7 5 10 19 30 43 -13 15.54 +3.46
10 Differdange 03 22 6 5 11 17 44 59 -15 18.00 -1.00
11 Swift Hesperange 22 6 4 12 16 33 58 -25 17.13 -1.13
12 Koeppchen Wormeldange 22 1 4 17 6 13 68 -55 13.11 -7.11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wiltz 71 22 15.20 +6.80
2 Grevenmacher 35 29.41 +5.59
3 Jeunesse Esch 35 29.49 +5.51
4 CS Petange 19 15.54 +3.46
5 Spora Luxembourg 20 19.99 +0.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Koeppchen Wormeldange 6 13.11 -7.11
2 Union Luxembourg 22 27.13 -5.13
3 Avenir Beggen 30 32.56 -2.56
4 Aris Bonnevoie 19 21.42 -2.42
5 F91 Dudelange 23 25.02 -2.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wiltz 71 3 Oct 16 – Oct 30 1 in 326
2 Swift Hesperange 2 Mar 12 – Apr 2 1 in 22
3 CS Petange 2 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 18
4 Spora Luxembourg 2 May 14 – May 21 1 in 14
5 Differdange 03 2 Sep 18 – Sep 25 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 2 Nov 13 – Nov 20 1 in 28
2 Koeppchen Wormeldange 7 Nov 13 – Apr 2 1 in 24
3 Swift Hesperange 5 Oct 2 – Nov 6 1 in 20
4 Spora Luxembourg 3 Nov 13 – Nov 27 1 in 19
5 Aris Bonnevoie 2 Oct 16 – Oct 23 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wiltz 71 7 Oct 2 – Nov 20 1 in 274
2 Union Luxembourg 7 Nov 13 – Apr 2 1 in 22
3 Grevenmacher 12 Nov 16 – May 21 1 in 19
4 CS Petange 4 Nov 6 – Nov 20 1 in 18
5 Spora Luxembourg 4 Mar 12 – Apr 30 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 7 Aug 21 – Oct 16 1 in 119
2 Koeppchen Wormeldange 18 Sep 25 – May 21 1 in 39
3 Spora Luxembourg 8 Oct 30 – Mar 12 1 in 27
4 Differdange 03 7 Dec 4 – May 7 1 in 19
5 Avenir Beggen 3 Mar 12 – Apr 9 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1303 35 +27 9 7.8 +1.2
Grevenmacher 1247 35 +4 7 6.7 +0.3
Avenir Beggen 1273 30 +10 8 7.4 +0.6
F91 Dudelange 1061 23 -6 3 4.5 -1.5
Wiltz 71 964 22 +16 5 3.5 +1.5
Union Luxembourg 1118 22 -48 3 6.6 -3.6
Spora Luxembourg 1040 20 +63 7 4.0 +3.0
CS Petange 973 19 +47 6 4.3 +1.7
Aris Bonnevoie 1017 19 -49 3 4.9 -1.9
Differdange 03 944 17 -30 3 4.1 -1.1
Swift Hesperange 938 16 -7 5 3.7 +1.3
Koeppchen Wormeldange 781 6 -27 1 2.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB AB CP D0 FD GRE JE KW SL SH UL W7
Aris Bonnevoie —
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
3.59
0-1-1
3.27
2-0-0
2.20
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
1.59
2-0-0
4.18
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
3.79
Avenir Beggen
2-0-0
4.18
—
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.46
1-1-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.37
1-0-1
4.64
0-1-1
3.76
0-1-1
4.70
CS Petange
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
0.97
—
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.23
0-0-2
1.22
2-0-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.36
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
1.40
0-1-1
2.98
Differdange 03
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.11
0-1-1
3.07
—
1-0-1
1.63
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
1.31
1-1-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
3.11
2-0-0
1.50
1-0-1
3.32
F91 Dudelange
0-0-2
3.32
0-1-1
1.66
1-1-0
4.05
1-0-1
3.90
—
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.74
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
4.03
2-0-0
2.45
0-1-1
4.10
Grevenmacher
2-0-0
3.89
1-1-0
2.24
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.65
—
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
4.53
2-0-0
3.88
1-1-0
4.49
1-1-0
3.30
2-0-0
4.44
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
2.12
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
3.79
1-1-0
2.73
—
2-0-0
4.89
0-2-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.26
0-2-0
3.06
1-0-1
4.53
Koeppchen Wormeldange
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
0.86
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
1.06
0-0-2
0.72
—
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
1.17
0-1-1
2.09
Spora Luxembourg
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
1.19
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.66
0-2-0
1.41
2-0-0
3.78
—
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
1.98
1-1-0
3.39
Swift Hesperange
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
0.94
0-0-2
2.89
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
1.51
0-1-1
1.08
0-0-2
1.28
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.52
—
0-0-2
1.48
1-1-0
2.96
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
1.77
1-0-1
4.15
0-0-2
4.04
0-0-2
3.07
0-1-1
2.22
0-2-0
2.46
1-0-1
4.39
1-0-1
3.55
2-0-0
4.06
—
1-1-0
4.17
Wiltz 71
1-1-0
1.74
1-1-0
0.88
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
1.44
0-0-2
1.12
1-0-1
1.04
1-1-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.37
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.56 +4.5
Allowed 0.88 -4.7
Differential 0.91 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%5.30%4.55%1.52%1.89%3.03%22.35%
15.30%9.09%5.68%4.17%2.27%3.79%30.30%
24.55%5.68%5.30%3.41%1.52%0.38%20.83%
31.52%4.17%3.41%1.52%1.14%—11.74%
41.89%2.27%1.52%1.14%0.76%—7.58%
5+3.03%3.79%0.38%———7.20%
Total22.35%30.30%20.83%11.74%7.58%7.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 1.69 1.69 2.63
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%27.27%
2——4.55%13.64%——18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%13.64%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.05 -0.27
SD 1.45 1.59 2.10
CV 0.82 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
3—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+9.09%9.09%————18.18%
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.91 1.41 +1.50
SD 1.80 1.14 2.41
CV 0.62 0.81 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%—4.55%—36.36%
14.55%4.55%——9.09%9.09%27.27%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%—13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.95 -0.59
SD 1.53 1.81 2.54
CV 1.12 0.93 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%——9.09%31.82%
2——9.09%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total9.09%18.18%27.27%13.64%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.68 -0.68
SD 2.00 1.78 3.18
CV 1.00 0.66 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
19.09%4.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%54.55%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%18.18%18.18%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.68 +0.18
SD 1.52 1.62 2.48
CV 0.82 0.96 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
122.73%13.64%4.55%———40.91%
218.18%13.64%————31.82%
3———————
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total54.55%36.36%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 0.55 +1.05
SD 1.18 0.67 1.21
CV 0.74 1.23 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
213.64%13.64%—4.55%——31.82%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+13.64%9.09%————22.73%
Total45.45%40.91%4.55%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 0.77 +2.09
SD 2.61 0.92 2.88
CV 0.91 1.19 —
Max 11 3 +11
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%18.18%50.00%
14.55%13.64%4.55%13.64%—4.55%40.91%
2——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%18.18%18.18%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.59 3.09 -2.50
SD 0.67 2.54 2.79
CV 1.13 0.82 —
Max 2 11 +1
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total9.09%40.91%31.82%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.64 +0.09
SD 1.72 1.00 2.04
CV 1.00 0.61 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
1——4.55%4.55%—9.09%18.18%
2—13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
3—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%31.82%22.73%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.64 -1.14
SD 1.19 1.89 2.57
CV 0.79 0.72 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
1—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
2—9.09%————9.09%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%9.09%—22.73%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%18.18%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.36 +0.45
SD 1.65 1.36 2.13
CV 0.91 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
29.09%4.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%40.91%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.82 -0.18
SD 1.26 1.44 1.92
CV 0.77 0.79 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1303 35 29.49 +5.51 95.0% 21 23 27 29 32 35 39
Avenir Beggen 1273 30 32.56 -2.56 32.0% 27 27 30 33 35 37 40
Grevenmacher 1247 35 29.41 +5.59 98.0% 21 23 27 30 32 34 36
Union Luxembourg 1118 22 27.13 -5.13 11.0% 16 21 24 27 30 33 35
F91 Dudelange 1061 23 25.02 -2.02 30.0% 17 18 23 25 27 31 34
Spora Luxembourg 1040 20 19.99 +0.01 51.0% 12 14 17 20 23 25 28
Aris Bonnevoie 1017 19 21.42 -2.42 29.0% 14 16 19 21 24 28 30
CS Petange 973 19 15.54 +3.46 90.0% 9 11 13 15 17 21 25
Wiltz 71 964 22 15.20 +6.80 97.0% 7 9 12 15 18 21 25
Differdange 03 944 17 18.00 -1.00 52.0% 10 12 15 17 21 24 29
Swift Hesperange 938 16 17.13 -1.13 46.0% 9 11 14 17 20 24 27
Koeppchen Wormeldange 781 6 13.11 -7.11 6.0% 5 6 10 13 16 19 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.64%
Clear Edge
45.45%22.73%31.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
151 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
047.67400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Jeunesse Esch, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.38 * Lucky: 4.38 to 5.85 * Wild Swing: 5.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.07 * Close: 1.07 to 1.6 * Off: 1.6 to 2.13 * Way Off: 2.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.24 points
Some Luck
03.659
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.333
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Grevenmacher
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Koeppchen Wormeldange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 155.95
1.99
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Frequent
0%43%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Occasional
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.75
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.84
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch23.00%26.00%16.00%27.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%—————
Grevenmacher11.00%35.00%30.00%10.00%10.00%4.00%——————
Avenir Beggen58.00%22.00%13.00%4.00%3.00%———————
F91 Dudelange2.00%4.00%15.00%21.00%24.00%13.00%15.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
Union Luxembourg6.00%12.00%19.00%24.00%24.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Wiltz 71————1.00%5.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%24.00%14.00%21.00%
Spora Luxembourg——2.00%5.00%10.00%22.00%18.00%17.00%14.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%
Aris Bonnevoie—1.00%5.00%6.00%15.00%25.00%21.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%—1.00%
CS Petange—————3.00%4.00%13.00%20.00%18.00%30.00%12.00%
Differdange 03———2.00%5.00%9.00%17.00%20.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%4.00%
Swift Hesperange———1.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%16.00%21.00%15.00%13.00%
Koeppchen Wormeldange—————3.00%1.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%16.00%48.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen 100% —
F91 Dudelange 100% —
Grevenmacher 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Aris Bonnevoie 99.00% 1.00%
Spora Luxembourg 94.00% 6.00%
Differdange 03 76.00% 24.00%
Swift Hesperange 72.00% 28.00%
Wiltz 71 65.00% 35.00%
CS Petange 58.00% 42.00%
Koeppchen Wormeldange 36.00% 64.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1994-08-21 Jeunesse Esch W 3-244.2 1258 1156 58.90% 23.45% 17.65%+0.99 +4.8 2
1994-08-21 @ Avenir Beggen L 2-344.2 1156 1258 17.65% 23.45% 58.90%-0.99 -4.8 0
1994-08-21 Differdange 03 W 2-136.9 1161 953 67.25% 22.26% 10.48%+1.69 +3.1 2
1994-08-21 @ Grevenmacher L 1-236.9 953 1161 10.48% 22.26% 67.25%-1.69 -3.1 0
1994-08-21 F91 Dudelange L 0-736.4 983 1070 35.81% 24.06% 40.13%-0.26 -57.8 0
1994-08-21 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange W 7-036.4 1070 983 40.13% 24.06% 35.81%+0.26 +57.8 2
1994-08-21 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-048.1 1158 1060 58.50% 23.48% 18.02%+0.97 -2.6 1
1994-08-21 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-048.1 1060 1158 18.02% 23.48% 58.50%-0.97 +2.6 1
1994-08-21 Spora Luxembourg L 1-643.3 1013 1001 49.11% 24.00% 26.89%+0.39 -45.0 0
1994-08-21 @ Swift Hesperange W 6-143.3 1001 1013 26.89% 24.00% 49.11%-0.39 +44.9 2
1994-08-21 Wiltz 71 L 0-244.6 957 888 55.56% 23.71% 20.73%+0.77 -26.0 0
1994-08-21 @ CS Petange W 2-044.6 888 957 20.73% 23.71% 55.56%-0.77 +26.0 2
1994-09-04 Swift Hesperange W 1-035.5 1063 968 58.17% 23.51% 18.32%+0.94 +5.5 3
1994-09-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-135.5 968 1063 18.32% 23.51% 58.17%-0.94 -5.5 0
1994-09-04 Differdange 03 W 3-029.6 1128 950 65.15% 22.66% 12.19%+1.49 +10.5 4
1994-09-04 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-329.6 950 1128 12.19% 22.66% 65.15%-1.49 -10.5 0
1994-09-04 CS Petange W 2-030.4 1151 931 68.04% 22.10% 9.87%+1.77 +5.9 2
1994-09-04 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-230.4 931 1151 9.87% 22.10% 68.04%-1.77 -5.9 0
1994-09-04 Avenir Beggen L 1-335.4 925 1263 11.40% 21.77% 66.83%-1.92 -5.8 0
1994-09-04 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange W 3-135.4 1263 925 66.83% 21.77% 11.40%+1.92 +5.8 4
1994-09-04 Grevenmacher L 0-139.7 1046 1164 31.57% 23.96% 44.47%-0.47 -8.6 2
1994-09-04 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-039.7 1164 1046 44.47% 23.96% 31.57%+0.47 +8.6 4
1994-09-04 Union Luxembourg D 1-151.5 914 1156 18.17% 23.02% 58.80%-1.28 +2.3 3
1994-09-04 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-151.5 1156 914 58.80% 23.02% 18.17%+1.28 -2.3 2
1994-09-11 F91 Dudelange D 3-360.4 1269 1138 61.44% 23.18% 15.37%+1.18 -1.7 5
1994-09-11 @ Avenir Beggen D 3-360.4 1138 1269 15.37% 23.18% 61.44%-1.18 +1.7 5
1994-09-11 Spora Luxembourg L 2-349.1 939 1037 34.24% 24.03% 41.73%-0.33 -8.2 0
1994-09-11 @ Differdange 03 W 3-249.1 1037 939 41.73% 24.03% 34.24%+0.33 +8.2 4
1994-09-11 Jeunesse Esch D 0-047.9 1153 1157 47.18% 24.05% 28.78%+0.29 -1.1 3
1994-09-11 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-047.9 1157 1153 28.78% 24.05% 47.18%-0.29 +1.1 3
1994-09-11 Wiltz 71 W 3-139.5 962 917 53.09% 23.85% 23.06%+0.62 +11.0 2
1994-09-11 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-339.5 917 962 23.06% 23.85% 53.09%-0.62 -11.0 3
1994-09-11 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 1-038.5 925 920 48.32% 24.02% 27.66%+0.35 +7.8 2
1994-09-11 @ CS Petange L 0-138.5 920 925 27.66% 24.02% 48.32%-0.35 -7.8 0
1994-09-18 Differdange 03 L 1-350.9 1068 931 61.98% 23.12% 14.90%+1.22 -25.0 3
1994-09-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-150.9 931 1068 14.90% 23.12% 61.98%-1.22 +25.0 2
1994-09-18 CS Petange W 4-131.5 1267 933 74.20% 20.24% 5.56%+2.53 +4.1 7
1994-09-18 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-431.5 933 1267 5.56% 20.24% 74.20%-2.53 -4.0 2
1994-09-18 Spora Luxembourg W 3-031.7 1140 1046 58.11% 23.52% 18.37%+0.94 +15.2 7
1994-09-18 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-331.7 1046 1140 18.37% 23.52% 58.11%-0.94 -15.2 4
1994-09-18 Swift Hesperange W 2-031.2 1158 973 65.65% 22.57% 11.78%+1.54 +7.0 5
1994-09-18 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-231.2 973 1158 11.78% 22.57% 65.65%-1.54 -7.0 2
1994-09-18 Union Luxembourg W 1-047.5 912 1152 18.26% 23.03% 58.71%-1.28 +14.5 2
1994-09-18 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange L 0-147.5 1152 912 58.71% 23.03% 18.26%+1.28 -14.5 3
1994-09-18 Grevenmacher L 0-232.5 906 1173 16.08% 22.73% 61.18%-1.45 -9.2 3
1994-09-18 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-032.5 1173 906 61.18% 22.73% 16.08%+1.45 +9.2 6
1994-09-25 Wiltz 71 W 6-238.6 956 896 54.60% 23.77% 21.63%+0.71 +16.1 4
1994-09-25 @ Differdange 03 L 2-638.6 896 956 21.63% 23.77% 54.60%-0.71 -16.1 3
1994-09-25 Jeunesse Esch L 1-249.3 1182 1165 49.70% 23.98% 26.32%+0.43 -11.7 6
1994-09-25 @ Grevenmacher W 2-149.3 1165 1182 26.32% 23.98% 49.70%-0.43 +11.7 7
1994-09-25 Avenir Beggen D 1-151.4 1138 1271 29.60% 23.89% 46.51%-0.57 +0.9 4
1994-09-25 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-151.4 1271 1138 46.51% 23.89% 29.60%+0.57 -0.9 8
1994-09-25 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-352.7 1030 1043 45.99% 24.07% 29.94%+0.23 -10.4 4
1994-09-25 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-252.7 1043 1030 29.94% 24.07% 45.99%-0.23 +10.4 5
1994-09-25 Koeppchen Wormeldange D 2-255.7 966 926 52.45% 23.88% 23.68%+0.58 -1.2 3
1994-09-25 @ Swift Hesperange D 2-255.7 926 966 23.68% 23.88% 52.45%-0.58 +1.2 3
1994-09-25 F91 Dudelange D 0-048.1 929 1155 19.54% 23.18% 57.27%-1.18 +2.4 3
1994-09-25 @ CS Petange D 0-048.1 1155 929 57.27% 23.18% 19.54%+1.18 -2.4 8
1994-10-02 F91 Dudelange W 4-143.5 1054 1153 34.13% 24.03% 41.84%-0.34 +24.8 7
1994-10-02 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-443.5 1153 1054 41.84% 24.03% 34.13%+0.34 -24.8 8
1994-10-02 Swift Hesperange W 5-130.5 1270 965 72.80% 20.76% 6.44%+2.34 +6.1 10
1994-10-02 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-530.5 965 1270 6.44% 20.76% 72.80%-2.34 -6.1 3
1994-10-02 Differdange 03 W 5-132.2 1177 972 67.03% 22.31% 10.66%+1.67 +10.1 9
1994-10-02 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-532.2 972 1177 10.66% 22.31% 67.03%-1.67 -10.1 4
1994-10-02 Grevenmacher D 1-151.5 928 1170 18.07% 23.01% 58.92%-1.29 +2.4 4
1994-10-02 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange D 1-151.5 1170 928 58.92% 23.01% 18.07%+1.29 -2.4 7
1994-10-02 Union Luxembourg W 2-150.6 931 1139 21.31% 23.36% 55.33%-1.06 +12.9 5
1994-10-02 @ CS Petange L 1-250.6 1139 931 55.33% 23.36% 21.31%+1.06 -12.9 4
1994-10-02 Spora Luxembourg D 2-255.8 880 1020 28.83% 23.86% 47.32%-0.61 +0.7 4
1994-10-02 @ Wiltz 71 D 2-255.8 1020 880 47.32% 23.86% 28.83%+0.61 -0.8 5
1994-10-16 Wiltz 71 L 2-358.3 1079 881 66.54% 22.41% 11.05%+1.62 -14.7 7
1994-10-16 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-258.3 881 1079 11.05% 22.41% 66.54%-1.62 +14.7 6
1994-10-16 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 6-032.6 962 930 51.54% 23.92% 24.54%+0.53 +37.0 6
1994-10-16 @ Differdange 03 L 0-632.6 930 962 24.54% 23.92% 51.54%-0.53 -37.0 4
1994-10-16 Union Luxembourg W 4-350.8 1128 1126 47.87% 24.03% 28.10%+0.33 +6.9 10
1994-10-16 @ F91 Dudelange L 3-450.8 1126 1128 28.10% 24.03% 47.87%-0.33 -6.9 4
1994-10-16 Avenir Beggen W 2-147.5 1168 1277 32.81% 24.00% 43.20%-0.40 +10.4 9
1994-10-16 @ Grevenmacher L 1-247.5 1277 1168 43.20% 24.00% 32.81%+0.40 -10.4 10
1994-10-16 Jeunesse Esch D 1-151.3 1019 1187 25.52% 23.68% 50.79%-0.79 +1.4 6
1994-10-16 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.3 1187 1019 50.79% 23.68% 25.52%+0.79 -1.4 10
1994-10-16 CS Petange L 2-353.7 959 944 49.49% 23.99% 26.52%+0.42 -11.1 3
1994-10-16 @ Swift Hesperange W 3-253.7 944 959 26.52% 23.99% 49.49%-0.42 +11.1 7
1994-10-23 Differdange 03 W 6-026.9 1266 999 70.81% 21.39% 7.80%+2.08 +13.0 12
1994-10-23 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-626.9 999 1266 7.80% 21.39% 70.81%-2.08 -13.0 6
1994-10-23 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-243.5 1186 1064 60.65% 23.27% 16.07%+1.12 +4.4 12
1994-10-23 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-343.5 1064 1186 16.07% 23.27% 60.65%-1.12 -4.4 7
1994-10-23 Spora Luxembourg L 2-445.8 893 1021 30.31% 23.92% 45.78%-0.53 -12.2 4
1994-10-23 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange W 4-245.8 1021 893 45.78% 23.92% 30.31%+0.53 +12.2 8
1994-10-23 Swift Hesperange W 4-028.7 1119 948 64.64% 22.74% 12.62%+1.45 +14.2 6
1994-10-23 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-428.7 948 1119 12.62% 22.74% 64.64%-1.45 -14.1 3
1994-10-23 Grevenmacher L 1-436.7 955 1178 19.83% 23.22% 56.95%-1.16 -13.6 7
1994-10-23 @ CS Petange W 4-136.7 1178 955 56.95% 23.22% 19.83%+1.16 +13.6 11
1994-10-23 F91 Dudelange W 2-151.5 896 1135 18.40% 23.05% 58.55%-1.27 +13.6 8
1994-10-23 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-251.5 1135 896 58.55% 23.05% 18.40%+1.27 -13.6 10
1994-10-30 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 4-028.6 1059 881 65.23% 22.64% 12.13%+1.50 +13.6 9
1994-10-30 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-428.6 881 1059 12.13% 22.64% 65.23%-1.50 -13.6 4
1994-10-30 Swift Hesperange W 2-137.3 1121 934 65.82% 22.54% 11.64%+1.56 +3.5 12
1994-10-30 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-237.3 934 1121 11.64% 22.54% 65.82%-1.56 -3.5 3
1994-10-30 Union Luxembourg W 2-034.6 1192 1133 54.49% 23.77% 21.74%+0.70 +12.1 13
1994-10-30 @ Grevenmacher L 0-234.6 1133 1192 21.74% 23.77% 54.49%-0.70 -12.1 6
1994-10-30 Avenir Beggen L 0-233.2 1033 1279 17.77% 22.97% 59.26%-1.32 -10.1 8
1994-10-30 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-033.2 1279 1033 59.26% 22.97% 17.77%+1.32 +10.1 14
1994-10-30 Jeunesse Esch W 1-048.5 909 1190 15.07% 22.56% 62.37%-1.54 +15.3 10
1994-10-30 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-148.5 1190 909 62.37% 22.56% 15.07%+1.54 -15.3 12
1994-11-06 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-027.9 1289 1073 67.78% 22.15% 10.07%+1.75 +11.4 16
1994-11-06 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-427.9 1073 1289 10.07% 22.15% 67.78%-1.75 -11.4 9
1994-11-06 F91 Dudelange W 2-141.0 1175 1125 53.57% 23.82% 22.61%+0.65 +6.2 14
1994-11-06 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-241.0 1125 1175 22.61% 23.82% 53.57%-0.65 -6.2 12
1994-11-06 Wiltz 71 D 1-151.1 867 925 39.91% 24.10% 35.99%-0.07 -0.2 5
1994-11-06 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange D 1-151.1 925 867 35.99% 24.10% 39.91%+0.07 +0.2 11
1994-11-06 Differdange 03 L 0-148.5 1121 986 61.79% 23.14% 15.07%+1.21 -15.3 6
1994-11-06 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-048.5 986 1121 15.07% 23.14% 61.79%-1.21 +15.3 8
1994-11-06 Grevenmacher L 2-441.1 930 1204 15.60% 22.65% 61.74%-1.50 -6.9 3
1994-11-06 @ Swift Hesperange W 4-241.1 1204 930 61.74% 22.65% 15.60%+1.50 +6.9 15
1994-11-06 Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.1 942 1023 36.58% 24.07% 39.34%-0.22 +0.1 8
1994-11-06 @ CS Petange D 1-151.1 1023 942 39.34% 24.07% 36.58%+0.22 -0.1 9
1994-11-13 CS Petange D 0-048.1 1062 942 60.48% 23.29% 16.23%+1.11 -2.9 10
1994-11-13 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-048.1 942 1062 16.23% 23.29% 60.48%-1.11 +2.9 9
1994-11-13 Swift Hesperange D 2-255.8 1001 924 56.50% 23.64% 19.85%+0.83 -1.6 9
1994-11-13 @ Differdange 03 D 2-255.8 924 1001 19.85% 23.64% 56.50%-0.83 +1.6 4
1994-11-13 Grevenmacher W 1-042.6 1118 1211 35.00% 24.05% 40.96%-0.30 +10.6 14
1994-11-13 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-142.6 1211 1118 40.96% 24.05% 35.00%+0.30 -10.6 15
1994-11-13 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 11-027.7 1181 867 73.24% 20.60% 6.16%+2.40 +18.2 16
1994-11-13 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-1127.7 867 1181 6.16% 20.60% 73.24%-2.40 -18.2 5
1994-11-13 Union Luxembourg L 1-245.2 1023 1106 36.31% 24.07% 39.63%-0.23 -9.1 9
1994-11-13 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-145.2 1106 1023 39.63% 24.07% 36.31%+0.23 +9.1 8
1994-11-13 Avenir Beggen W 4-256.8 925 1301 9.45% 21.17% 69.38%-2.17 +24.8 13
1994-11-13 @ Wiltz 71 L 2-456.8 1301 925 69.38% 21.17% 9.45%+2.17 -24.8 16
1994-11-16 CS Petange D 2-255.8 1000 945 54.12% 23.79% 22.09%+0.68 -1.3 10
1994-11-16 @ Differdange 03 D 2-255.8 945 1000 22.09% 23.79% 54.12%-0.68 +1.3 10
1994-11-16 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-034.3 1200 1059 62.33% 23.07% 14.59%+1.25 +4.5 17
1994-11-16 @ Grevenmacher L 0-134.3 1059 1200 14.59% 23.07% 62.33%-1.25 -4.5 10
1994-11-20 Union Luxembourg L 1-246.1 1054 1115 39.50% 24.10% 36.40%-0.09 -9.7 10
1994-11-20 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-146.1 1115 1054 36.40% 24.10% 39.50%+0.09 +9.7 10
1994-11-20 Grevenmacher L 0-431.6 999 1205 21.44% 23.37% 55.19%-1.05 -22.5 10
1994-11-20 @ Differdange 03 W 4-031.6 1205 999 55.19% 23.37% 21.44%+1.05 +22.5 19
1994-11-20 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 3-133.9 1129 849 71.53% 21.17% 7.30%+2.17 +3.8 16
1994-11-20 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-333.9 849 1129 7.30% 21.17% 71.53%-2.17 -3.8 5
1994-11-20 Avenir Beggen W 3-144.6 1199 1276 37.21% 24.08% 38.71%-0.19 +16.5 18
1994-11-20 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-344.6 1276 1199 38.71% 24.08% 37.21%+0.19 -16.5 16
1994-11-20 Swift Hesperange L 1-448.1 1014 925 57.56% 23.56% 18.87%+0.90 -32.9 9
1994-11-20 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-148.1 925 1014 18.87% 23.56% 57.56%-0.90 +32.9 6
1994-11-20 CS Petange D 2-255.7 950 946 48.09% 24.03% 27.88%+0.34 -0.8 14
1994-11-20 @ Wiltz 71 D 2-255.7 946 950 27.88% 24.03% 48.09%-0.34 +0.8 11
1994-11-27 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 5-024.6 1259 845 77.56% 18.73% 3.71%+3.06 +5.1 18
1994-11-27 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-524.6 845 1259 3.71% 18.73% 77.56%-3.06 -5.0 5
1994-11-27 F91 Dudelange W 6-143.3 976 1133 26.80% 23.76% 49.44%-0.72 +45.1 12
1994-11-27 @ Differdange 03 L 1-643.3 1133 976 49.44% 23.76% 26.80%+0.72 -45.1 16
1994-11-27 Spora Luxembourg W 1-032.1 1227 981 69.65% 21.71% 8.65%+1.95 +2.8 21
1994-11-27 @ Grevenmacher L 0-132.1 981 1227 8.65% 21.71% 69.65%-1.95 -2.8 9
1994-11-27 Wiltz 71 W 4-134.2 1125 949 65.00% 22.68% 12.32%+1.48 +8.9 12
1994-11-27 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-434.2 949 1125 12.32% 22.68% 65.00%-1.48 -8.9 14
1994-11-27 Aris Bonnevoie L 3-453.1 958 1045 35.83% 24.06% 40.11%-0.26 -8.3 6
1994-11-27 @ Swift Hesperange W 4-353.1 1045 958 40.11% 24.06% 35.83%+0.26 +8.3 12
1994-11-27 Jeunesse Esch L 0-134.6 947 1216 15.95% 22.71% 61.34%-1.46 -4.8 11
1994-11-27 @ CS Petange W 1-034.6 1216 947 61.34% 22.71% 15.95%+1.46 +4.8 20
1994-12-04 Grevenmacher L 0-137.5 1053 1230 24.47% 23.61% 51.91%-0.86 -7.0 12
1994-12-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-037.5 1230 1053 51.91% 23.61% 24.47%+0.86 +7.0 23
1994-12-04 Avenir Beggen L 1-340.0 1088 1264 24.50% 23.62% 51.89%-0.86 -11.5 16
1994-12-04 @ F91 Dudelange W 3-140.0 1264 1088 51.89% 23.62% 24.50%+0.86 +11.5 20
1994-12-04 Union Luxembourg D 3-360.2 1221 1134 57.41% 23.58% 19.01%+0.89 -1.4 21
1994-12-04 @ Jeunesse Esch D 3-360.2 1134 1221 19.01% 23.58% 57.41%-0.89 +1.4 13
1994-12-04 CS Petange L 0-238.1 840 942 33.66% 24.02% 42.33%-0.36 -17.1 5
1994-12-04 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange W 2-038.1 942 840 42.33% 24.02% 33.66%+0.36 +17.1 13
1994-12-04 Differdange 03 D 1-151.1 978 1021 41.93% 24.10% 33.97%+0.03 -0.4 10
1994-12-04 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.1 1021 978 33.97% 24.10% 41.93%-0.03 +0.4 13
1994-12-04 Swift Hesperange D 2-255.7 940 950 46.39% 24.06% 29.55%+0.25 -0.7 15
1994-12-04 @ Wiltz 71 D 2-255.7 950 940 29.55% 24.06% 46.39%-0.25 +0.7 7
1995-03-05 Aris Bonnevoie D 4-462.5 1022 1046 44.49% 24.09% 31.42%+0.16 -0.4 14
1995-03-05 @ Differdange 03 D 4-462.5 1046 1022 31.42% 24.09% 44.49%-0.16 +0.4 13
1995-03-05 Wiltz 71 W 2-029.1 1237 939 72.43% 20.88% 6.68%+2.29 +4.0 25
1995-03-05 @ Grevenmacher L 0-229.1 939 1237 6.68% 20.88% 72.43%-2.29 -4.0 15
1995-03-05 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 3-027.2 1135 823 73.16% 20.63% 6.21%+2.38 +5.4 15
1995-03-05 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-327.2 823 1135 6.21% 20.63% 73.16%-2.38 -5.4 5
1995-03-05 F91 Dudelange L 1-244.5 978 1076 34.18% 24.03% 41.79%-0.34 -8.7 10
1995-03-05 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-144.5 1076 978 41.79% 24.03% 34.18%+0.34 +8.7 18
1995-03-05 Jeunesse Esch L 0-730.1 950 1219 15.95% 22.71% 61.34%-1.46 -29.4 7
1995-03-05 @ Swift Hesperange W 7-030.1 1219 950 61.34% 22.71% 15.95%+1.46 +29.4 23
1995-03-05 Avenir Beggen L 1-731.2 959 1276 12.64% 22.08% 65.28%-1.78 -16.9 13
1995-03-05 @ CS Petange W 7-131.2 1276 959 65.28% 22.08% 12.64%+1.78 +16.9 22
1995-03-12 Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.3 1046 969 56.45% 23.65% 19.90%+0.83 -2.1 14
1995-03-12 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-151.3 969 1046 19.90% 23.65% 56.45%-0.83 +2.1 11
1995-03-12 Union Luxembourg L 2-357.8 1293 1140 63.22% 22.95% 13.82%+1.33 -14.0 22
1995-03-12 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-257.8 1140 1293 13.82% 22.95% 63.22%-1.33 +14.0 17
1995-03-12 CS Petange W 1-034.2 1085 942 62.41% 23.06% 14.53%+1.26 +4.5 20
1995-03-12 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-134.2 942 1085 14.53% 23.06% 62.41%-1.26 -4.5 13
1995-03-12 Grevenmacher D 1-151.6 1249 1241 48.57% 24.02% 27.42%+0.37 -1.1 24
1995-03-12 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-151.6 1241 1249 27.42% 24.02% 48.57%-0.37 +1.2 26
1995-03-12 Swift Hesperange L 1-244.3 817 921 33.45% 24.01% 42.53%-0.37 -8.5 5
1995-03-12 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange W 2-144.3 921 817 42.53% 24.01% 33.45%+0.37 +8.5 9
1995-03-12 Differdange 03 W 2-040.1 935 1021 35.91% 24.06% 40.03%-0.25 +19.6 17
1995-03-12 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-240.1 1021 935 40.03% 24.06% 35.91%+0.25 -19.6 14
1995-04-02 Jeunesse Esch L 0-630.3 1002 1247 17.81% 22.98% 59.21%-1.31 -28.0 14
1995-04-02 @ Differdange 03 W 6-030.3 1247 1002 59.21% 22.98% 17.81%+1.31 +28.0 26
1995-04-02 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-348.5 1089 1044 53.00% 23.85% 23.15%+0.61 -21.5 20
1995-04-02 @ F91 Dudelange W 3-148.5 1044 1089 23.15% 23.85% 53.00%-0.61 +21.5 16
1995-04-02 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 1-029.5 1242 809 78.27% 18.35% 3.38%+3.19 +1.0 28
1995-04-02 @ Grevenmacher L 0-129.5 809 1242 3.38% 18.35% 78.27%-3.19 -1.0 5
1995-04-02 CS Petange W 4-027.8 1154 938 67.80% 22.15% 10.05%+1.75 +11.4 19
1995-04-02 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-427.8 938 1154 10.05% 22.15% 67.80%-1.75 -11.4 13
1995-04-02 Wiltz 71 W 3-246.7 971 955 49.63% 23.98% 26.39%+0.42 +6.7 13
1995-04-02 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-346.7 955 971 26.39% 23.98% 49.63%-0.42 -6.7 17
1995-04-02 Avenir Beggen W 2-153.8 930 1279 10.77% 21.60% 67.63%-2.00 +15.6 11
1995-04-02 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-253.8 1279 930 67.63% 21.60% 10.77%+2.00 -15.6 22
1995-04-09 Grevenmacher D 1-151.6 1263 1243 50.09% 23.97% 25.94%+0.45 -1.3 23
1995-04-09 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-151.6 1243 1263 25.94% 23.97% 50.09%-0.45 +1.3 29
1995-04-09 Spora Luxembourg D 0-048.9 1275 978 72.43% 20.88% 6.69%+2.29 -4.5 27
1995-04-09 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-048.9 978 1275 6.69% 20.88% 72.43%-2.29 +4.5 14
1995-04-09 Differdange 03 D 1-151.2 808 974 25.71% 23.69% 50.60%-0.78 +1.4 6
1995-04-09 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange D 1-151.2 974 808 50.60% 23.69% 25.71%+0.78 -1.4 15
1995-04-09 F91 Dudelange L 0-245.5 1166 1068 58.48% 23.49% 18.03%+0.96 -27.3 19
1995-04-09 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-045.5 1068 1166 18.03% 23.49% 58.48%-0.96 +27.3 22
1995-04-09 Swift Hesperange W 3-141.8 926 945 45.21% 24.08% 30.70%+0.19 +13.8 15
1995-04-09 @ CS Petange L 1-341.8 945 926 30.70% 24.08% 45.21%-0.19 -13.8 11
1995-04-09 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-255.7 948 1066 31.64% 23.96% 44.40%-0.46 +0.5 18
1995-04-09 @ Wiltz 71 D 2-255.7 1066 948 44.40% 23.96% 31.64%+0.46 -0.5 17
1995-04-30 Jeunesse Esch L 1-535.9 1065 1271 21.49% 23.38% 55.13%-1.05 -18.8 17
1995-04-30 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 5-135.9 1271 1065 55.13% 23.38% 21.49%+1.05 +18.8 29
1995-04-30 Avenir Beggen L 2-440.7 972 1262 14.43% 22.45% 63.12%-1.60 -6.5 15
1995-04-30 @ Differdange 03 W 4-240.7 1262 972 63.12% 22.45% 14.43%+1.60 +6.5 25
1995-04-30 Wiltz 71 D 1-151.5 1095 949 62.73% 23.02% 14.25%+1.29 -2.9 23
1995-04-30 @ F91 Dudelange D 1-151.5 949 1095 14.25% 23.02% 62.73%-1.29 +2.9 19
1995-04-30 CS Petange W 2-029.0 1245 940 72.76% 20.77% 6.47%+2.33 +3.9 31
1995-04-30 @ Grevenmacher L 0-229.0 940 1245 6.47% 20.77% 72.76%-2.33 -3.9 15
1995-04-30 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 1-033.5 982 809 64.81% 22.71% 12.47%+1.46 +3.9 16
1995-04-30 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-133.5 809 982 12.47% 22.71% 64.81%-1.46 -3.9 6
1995-04-30 Union Luxembourg L 0-531.3 931 1138 21.35% 23.37% 55.28%-1.06 -27.6 11
1995-04-30 @ Swift Hesperange W 5-031.3 1138 931 55.28% 23.37% 21.35%+1.06 +27.6 21
1995-05-07 Spora Luxembourg W 3-134.0 1268 986 71.63% 21.14% 7.23%+2.18 +3.8 27
1995-05-07 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-334.0 986 1268 7.23% 21.14% 71.63%-2.18 -3.8 16
1995-05-07 Wiltz 71 W 3-026.9 1290 951 74.37% 20.18% 5.46%+2.56 +4.7 31
1995-05-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-326.9 951 1290 5.46% 20.18% 74.37%-2.56 -4.7 19
1995-05-07 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-337.7 805 1046 18.19% 23.03% 58.79%-1.28 -8.9 6
1995-05-07 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange W 3-137.7 1046 805 58.79% 23.03% 18.19%+1.28 +8.9 19
1995-05-07 Grevenmacher D 0-048.1 1166 1248 36.41% 24.07% 39.52%-0.23 +0.2 22
1995-05-07 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-048.1 1248 1166 39.52% 24.07% 36.41%+0.23 -0.2 32
1995-05-07 F91 Dudelange W 3-148.4 904 1092 23.26% 23.53% 53.21%-0.93 +21.5 13
1995-05-07 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-348.4 1092 904 53.21% 23.53% 23.26%+0.93 -21.5 23
1995-05-07 Differdange 03 W 5-139.2 936 966 43.79% 24.10% 32.11%+0.12 +26.1 17
1995-05-07 @ CS Petange L 1-539.2 966 936 32.11% 24.10% 43.79%-0.12 -26.1 15
1995-05-14 Avenir Beggen L 2-344.9 1055 1272 20.42% 23.28% 56.31%-1.12 -5.4 19
1995-05-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-244.9 1272 1055 56.31% 23.28% 20.42%+1.12 +5.4 29
1995-05-14 Union Luxembourg W 4-359.3 940 1166 19.51% 23.18% 57.31%-1.18 +12.3 17
1995-05-14 @ Differdange 03 L 3-459.3 1166 940 57.31% 23.18% 19.51%+1.18 -12.3 22
1995-05-14 Jeunesse Esch L 1-240.1 1071 1294 19.76% 23.21% 57.04%-1.17 -5.5 23
1995-05-14 @ F91 Dudelange W 2-140.1 1294 1071 57.04% 23.21% 19.76%+1.17 +5.5 33
1995-05-14 Swift Hesperange D 0-049.0 1248 925 73.66% 20.45% 5.89%+2.45 -4.7 33
1995-05-14 @ Grevenmacher D 0-049.0 925 1248 5.89% 20.45% 73.66%-2.45 +4.7 14
1995-05-14 CS Petange W 5-137.3 982 962 50.08% 23.97% 25.95%+0.45 +22.1 18
1995-05-14 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-537.3 962 982 25.95% 23.97% 50.08%-0.45 -22.1 17
1995-05-14 Koeppchen Wormeldange W 5-133.4 947 796 63.07% 22.98% 13.95%+1.31 +12.9 21
1995-05-14 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-533.4 796 947 13.95% 22.98% 63.07%-1.31 -12.9 6
1995-05-21 Wiltz 71 D 0-049.0 1277 960 73.41% 20.54% 6.05%+2.42 -4.7 30
1995-05-21 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-049.0 960 1277 6.05% 20.54% 73.41%-2.42 +4.6 22
1995-05-21 F91 Dudelange W 2-137.6 1244 1065 65.20% 22.65% 12.15%+1.50 +3.6 35
1995-05-21 @ Grevenmacher L 1-237.6 1065 1244 12.15% 22.65% 65.20%-1.50 -3.6 23
1995-05-21 Jeunesse Esch L 0-227.8 783 1300 4.69% 18.60% 76.72%-3.11 -2.7 6
1995-05-21 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange W 2-027.8 1300 783 76.72% 18.60% 4.69%+3.11 +2.7 35
1995-05-21 Spora Luxembourg L 1-449.5 1154 1004 62.98% 22.99% 14.03%+1.31 -35.9 22
1995-05-21 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-149.5 1004 1154 14.03% 22.99% 62.98%-1.31 +35.9 20
1995-05-21 Differdange 03 W 2-143.6 930 952 44.78% 24.09% 31.13%+0.17 +8.1 16
1995-05-21 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-243.6 952 930 31.13% 24.09% 44.78%-0.17 -8.1 17
1995-05-21 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-142.5 940 1050 32.69% 23.99% 43.31%-0.41 +33.0 19
1995-05-21 @ CS Petange L 1-542.5 1050 940 43.31% 23.99% 32.69%+0.41 -32.9 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1994-11-13 9.45% @ Wiltz 71 925 4 Avenir Beggen 1301 2
2 1995-04-02 10.77% @ Swift Hesperange 930 2 Avenir Beggen 1279 1
3 1994-10-16 11.05% Wiltz 71 881 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1079 2
4 1995-03-12 13.82% Union Luxembourg 1140 3 @ Avenir Beggen 1293 2
5 1995-05-21 14.03% Spora Luxembourg 1004 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1154 1
6 1994-09-18 14.90% Differdange 03 931 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1068 1
7 1994-10-30 15.07% @ Wiltz 71 909 1 Jeunesse Esch 1190 0
8 1994-11-06 15.07% Differdange 03 986 1 @ Union Luxembourg 1121 0
9 1995-04-09 18.03% F91 Dudelange 1068 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1166 0
10 1994-09-18 18.26% @ Koeppchen Wormeldange 912 1 Union Luxembourg 1152 0
11 1994-10-23 18.40% @ Wiltz 71 896 2 F91 Dudelange 1135 1
12 1994-11-20 18.87% Swift Hesperange 925 4 @ Spora Luxembourg 1014 1
13 1995-05-14 19.51% @ Differdange 03 940 4 Union Luxembourg 1166 3
14 1994-08-21 20.73% Wiltz 71 888 2 @ CS Petange 957 0
15 1994-10-02 21.31% @ CS Petange 931 2 Union Luxembourg 1139 1
16 1995-04-02 23.15% Aris Bonnevoie 1044 3 @ F91 Dudelange 1089 1
17 1995-05-07 23.26% @ Swift Hesperange 904 3 F91 Dudelange 1092 1
18 1994-09-25 26.32% Jeunesse Esch 1165 2 @ Grevenmacher 1182 1
19 1994-10-16 26.52% CS Petange 944 3 @ Swift Hesperange 959 2
20 1994-11-27 26.80% @ Differdange 03 976 6 F91 Dudelange 1133 1
21 1994-08-21 26.89% Spora Luxembourg 1001 6 @ Swift Hesperange 1013 1
22 1994-09-25 29.94% Aris Bonnevoie 1043 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1030 2
23 1995-05-21 32.69% @ CS Petange 940 5 Aris Bonnevoie 1050 1
24 1994-10-16 32.81% @ Grevenmacher 1168 2 Avenir Beggen 1277 1
25 1994-10-02 34.13% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1054 4 F91 Dudelange 1153 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-08-21 57.76 F91 Dudelange 7 1070 40.13% @ Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 983 35.81% 24.06%
2 1994-11-27 45.12 @ Differdange 03 6 976 26.80% F91 Dudelange 1 1133 49.44% 23.76%
3 1994-08-21 44.95 Spora Luxembourg 6 1001 26.89% @ Swift Hesperange 1 1013 49.11% 24.00%
4 1994-10-16 37.04 @ Differdange 03 6 962 51.54% Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 930 24.54% 23.92%
5 1995-05-21 35.95 Spora Luxembourg 4 1004 14.03% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1154 62.98% 22.99%
6 1995-05-21 32.95 @ CS Petange 5 940 32.69% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1050 43.31% 23.99%
7 1994-11-20 32.92 Swift Hesperange 4 925 18.87% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1014 57.56% 23.56%
8 1995-03-05 29.37 Jeunesse Esch 7 1219 61.34% @ Swift Hesperange 0 950 15.95% 22.71%
9 1995-04-02 28.01 Jeunesse Esch 6 1247 59.21% @ Differdange 03 0 1002 17.81% 22.98%
10 1995-04-30 27.62 Union Luxembourg 5 1138 55.28% @ Swift Hesperange 0 931 21.35% 23.37%
11 1995-04-09 27.29 F91 Dudelange 2 1068 18.03% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1166 58.48% 23.49%
12 1995-05-07 26.13 @ CS Petange 5 936 43.79% Differdange 03 1 966 32.11% 24.10%
13 1994-08-21 25.99 Wiltz 71 2 888 20.73% @ CS Petange 0 957 55.56% 23.71%
14 1994-09-18 25.02 Differdange 03 3 931 14.90% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1068 61.98% 23.12%
15 1994-10-02 24.82 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1054 34.13% F91 Dudelange 1 1153 41.84% 24.03%
16 1994-11-13 24.81 @ Wiltz 71 4 925 9.45% Avenir Beggen 2 1301 69.38% 21.17%
17 1994-11-20 22.48 Grevenmacher 4 1205 55.19% @ Differdange 03 0 999 21.44% 23.37%
18 1995-05-14 22.07 @ Spora Luxembourg 5 982 50.08% CS Petange 1 962 25.95% 23.97%
19 1995-05-07 21.55 @ Swift Hesperange 3 904 23.26% F91 Dudelange 1 1092 53.21% 23.53%
20 1995-04-02 21.54 Aris Bonnevoie 3 1044 23.15% @ F91 Dudelange 1 1089 53.00% 23.85%
21 1995-03-12 19.57 @ Wiltz 71 2 935 35.91% Differdange 03 0 1021 40.03% 24.06%
22 1995-04-30 18.77 Jeunesse Esch 5 1271 55.13% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1065 21.49% 23.38%
23 1994-11-13 18.25 @ Jeunesse Esch 11 1181 73.24% Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 867 6.16% 20.60%
24 1994-12-04 17.12 CS Petange 2 942 42.33% @ Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 840 33.66% 24.02%
25 1995-03-05 16.87 Avenir Beggen 7 1276 65.28% @ CS Petange 1 959 12.64% 22.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-03-05 62.5 @ Differdange 03 4 1022 44.49% Aris Bonnevoie 4 1046 31.42% 24.09%
2 1994-09-11 60.4 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1269 61.44% F91 Dudelange 3 1138 15.37% 23.18%
3 1994-12-04 60.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1221 57.41% Union Luxembourg 3 1134 19.01% 23.58%
4 1995-05-14 59.3 @ Differdange 03 4 940 19.51% Union Luxembourg 3 1166 57.31% 23.18%
5 1994-10-16 58.3 Wiltz 71 3 881 11.05% @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1079 66.54% 22.41%
6 1995-03-12 57.8 Union Luxembourg 3 1140 13.82% @ Avenir Beggen 2 1293 63.22% 22.95%
7 1994-11-13 56.8 @ Wiltz 71 4 925 9.45% Avenir Beggen 2 1301 69.38% 21.17%
8 1994-10-02 55.8 @ Wiltz 71 2 880 28.83% Spora Luxembourg 2 1020 47.32% 23.86%
9 1994-11-13 55.8 @ Differdange 03 2 1001 56.50% Swift Hesperange 2 924 19.85% 23.64%
10 1994-11-16 55.8 @ Differdange 03 2 1000 54.12% CS Petange 2 945 22.09% 23.79%
11 1994-09-25 55.7 @ Swift Hesperange 2 966 52.45% Koeppchen Wormeldange 2 926 23.68% 23.88%
12 1994-11-20 55.7 @ Wiltz 71 2 950 48.09% CS Petange 2 946 27.88% 24.03%
13 1994-12-04 55.7 @ Wiltz 71 2 940 46.39% Swift Hesperange 2 950 29.55% 24.06%
14 1995-04-09 55.7 @ Wiltz 71 2 948 31.64% Aris Bonnevoie 2 1066 44.40% 23.96%
15 1995-04-02 53.8 @ Swift Hesperange 2 930 10.77% Avenir Beggen 1 1279 67.63% 21.60%
16 1994-10-16 53.7 CS Petange 3 944 26.52% @ Swift Hesperange 2 959 49.49% 23.99%
17 1994-11-27 53.1 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1045 40.11% @ Swift Hesperange 3 958 35.83% 24.06%
18 1994-09-25 52.7 Aris Bonnevoie 3 1043 29.94% @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1030 45.99% 24.07%
19 1995-03-12 51.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1249 48.57% Grevenmacher 1 1241 27.42% 24.02%
20 1995-04-09 51.6 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1263 50.09% Grevenmacher 1 1243 25.94% 23.97%
21 1994-09-04 51.5 @ Wiltz 71 1 914 18.17% Union Luxembourg 1 1156 58.80% 23.02%
22 1994-10-02 51.5 @ Koeppchen Wormeldange 1 928 18.07% Grevenmacher 1 1170 58.92% 23.01%
23 1994-10-23 51.5 @ Wiltz 71 2 896 18.40% F91 Dudelange 1 1135 58.55% 23.05%
24 1995-04-30 51.5 @ F91 Dudelange 1 1095 62.73% Wiltz 71 1 949 14.25% 23.02%
25 1994-09-25 51.4 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1138 29.60% Avenir Beggen 1 1271 46.51% 23.89%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-11-27 24.6 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1259 77.56% Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 845 3.71% 18.73%
2 1994-10-23 26.9 @ Avenir Beggen 6 1266 70.81% Differdange 03 0 999 7.80% 21.39%
3 1995-05-07 26.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1290 74.37% Wiltz 71 0 951 5.46% 20.18%
4 1995-03-05 27.2 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1135 73.16% Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 823 6.21% 20.63%
5 1994-11-13 27.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 11 1181 73.24% Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 867 6.16% 20.60%
6 1995-04-02 27.8 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1154 67.80% CS Petange 0 938 10.05% 22.15%
7 1995-05-21 27.8 Jeunesse Esch 2 1300 76.72% @ Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 783 4.69% 18.60%
8 1994-11-06 27.9 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1289 67.78% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1073 10.07% 22.15%
9 1994-10-30 28.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1059 65.23% Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 881 12.13% 22.64%
10 1994-10-23 28.7 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1119 64.64% Swift Hesperange 0 948 12.62% 22.74%
11 1995-04-30 29.0 @ Grevenmacher 2 1245 72.76% CS Petange 0 940 6.47% 20.77%
12 1995-03-05 29.1 @ Grevenmacher 2 1237 72.43% Wiltz 71 0 939 6.68% 20.88%
13 1995-04-02 29.5 @ Grevenmacher 1 1242 78.27% Koeppchen Wormeldange 0 809 3.38% 18.35%
14 1994-09-04 29.6 @ F91 Dudelange 3 1128 65.15% Differdange 03 0 950 12.19% 22.66%
15 1995-03-05 30.1 Jeunesse Esch 7 1219 61.34% @ Swift Hesperange 0 950 15.95% 22.71%
16 1995-04-02 30.3 Jeunesse Esch 6 1247 59.21% @ Differdange 03 0 1002 17.81% 22.98%
17 1994-09-04 30.4 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1151 68.04% CS Petange 0 931 9.87% 22.10%
18 1994-10-02 30.5 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1270 72.80% Swift Hesperange 1 965 6.44% 20.76%
19 1994-09-18 31.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1158 65.65% Swift Hesperange 0 973 11.78% 22.57%
20 1995-03-05 31.2 Avenir Beggen 7 1276 65.28% @ CS Petange 1 959 12.64% 22.08%
21 1995-04-30 31.3 Union Luxembourg 5 1138 55.28% @ Swift Hesperange 0 931 21.35% 23.37%
22 1994-09-18 31.5 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1267 74.20% CS Petange 1 933 5.56% 20.24%
23 1994-11-20 31.6 Grevenmacher 4 1205 55.19% @ Differdange 03 0 999 21.44% 23.37%
24 1994-09-18 31.7 @ F91 Dudelange 3 1140 58.11% Spora Luxembourg 0 1046 18.37% 23.52%
25 1994-11-27 32.1 @ Grevenmacher 1 1227 69.65% Spora Luxembourg 0 981 8.65% 21.71%