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2000-01 Luxembourg National Division Season

169 games

Final

Champion

F91 Dudelange

51 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Grevenmacher

9.48 points above expected

49 points · 39.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Jeunesse Esch

7.57 points below expected

30 points · 37.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 F91 Dudelange 22 16 3 3 51 46 20 +26 42.84 +8.16
2 Grevenmacher 22 15 4 3 49 46 12 +34 39.52 +9.48
3 Etzella Ettelbruck 22 11 6 5 39 45 32 +13 36.47 +2.53
4 Hobscheid 22 12 3 7 39 41 31 +10 30.20 +8.80
5 Sporting Mertzig 22 9 5 8 32 60 43 +17 33.08 -1.08
6 Jeunesse Esch 22 9 3 10 30 37 29 +8 37.57 -7.57
7 Union Luxembourg 22 5 10 7 25 28 30 -2 28.79 -3.79
8 Rumelange 22 6 6 10 24 28 44 -16 20.85 +3.15
9 Rodange 91 22 7 3 12 24 33 57 -24 26.31 -2.31
10 Avenir Beggen 22 6 5 11 23 31 50 -19 26.68 -3.68
11 Mondercange 22 4 5 13 17 23 47 -24 23.37 -6.37
12 Wiltz 71 22 4 3 15 15 30 53 -23 21.82 -6.82
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 6 5 0 1 15 15 6 +9 43.26 -28.26
2 Avenir Beggen 6 4 1 1 13 14 5 +9 32.90 -19.90
3 F91 Dudelange 6 3 3 0 12 11 6 +5 60.71 -48.71
4 Mondercange 6 4 0 2 12 9 7 +2 24.31 -12.31
5 Grevenmacher 6 3 1 2 10 13 7 +6 59.61 -49.61
6 Sporting Mertzig 6 3 1 2 10 12 7 +5 44.82 -34.82
7 Union Luxembourg 6 2 2 2 8 7 7 0 36.15 -28.15
8 Hobscheid 6 2 1 3 7 12 13 -1 45.28 -38.28
9 Rodange 91 7 2 1 4 7 7 12 -5 33.03 -26.03
10 Wiltz 71 6 1 1 4 4 5 14 -9 22.27 -18.27
11 Etzella Ettelbruck 6 1 1 4 4 6 16 -10 45.86 -41.86
12 Rumelange 7 0 2 5 2 5 16 -11 31.39 -29.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grevenmacher 49 39.52 +9.48
2 Hobscheid 39 30.20 +8.80
3 F91 Dudelange 51 42.84 +8.16
4 Rumelange 24 20.85 +3.15
5 Etzella Ettelbruck 39 36.47 +2.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 30 37.57 -7.57
2 Wiltz 71 15 21.82 -6.82
3 Mondercange 17 23.37 -6.37
4 Union Luxembourg 25 28.79 -3.79
5 Avenir Beggen 23 26.68 -3.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 F91 Dudelange 8 Aug 13 – Oct 1 1 in 119
2 Hobscheid 5 Sep 27 – Nov 26 1 in 96
3 Etzella Ettelbruck 5 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 62
4 Rumelange 2 Aug 23 – Sep 9 1 in 15
5 Sporting Mertzig 3 Nov 12 – Dec 6 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 7 Aug 20 – Oct 1 1 in 854
2 Sporting Mertzig 3 Jan 31 – Feb 11 1 in 91
3 Mondercange 6 Sep 24 – Nov 26 1 in 57
4 Jeunesse Esch 3 Nov 26 – Dec 6 1 in 36
5 Wiltz 71 5 Nov 5 – Feb 7 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 8 Dec 3 – Apr 8 1 in 53
2 Etzella Ettelbruck 10 Dec 3 – Apr 14 1 in 53
3 Grevenmacher 15 Oct 1 – Apr 19 1 in 48
4 F91 Dudelange 15 Aug 13 – Feb 11 1 in 45
5 Avenir Beggen 6 Apr 1 – Apr 19 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Etzella Ettelbruck 6 Apr 1 – Apr 19 1 in 132
2 Avenir Beggen 8 Aug 12 – Oct 1 1 in 54
3 Union Luxembourg 8 Aug 12 – Oct 1 1 in 49
4 Rodange 91 8 Feb 11 – Apr 16 1 in 44
5 Mondercange 10 Sep 9 – Dec 6 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
F91 Dudelange 1074 63 +23 11 8.3 +2.7
Grevenmacher 1105 59 +17 7 9.1 -2.1
Hobscheid 944 46 +12 7 4.9 +2.1
Jeunesse Esch 968 45 +11 12 10.3 +1.7
Etzella Ettelbruck 908 43 -52 3 5.6 -2.6
Sporting Mertzig 941 42 -6 7 9.1 -2.1
Avenir Beggen 882 36 +56 13 8.5 +4.5
Union Luxembourg 869 33 +8 8 7.5 +0.5
Rodange 91 778 31 -27 4 6.3 -2.3
Mondercange 788 29 +24 9 5.0 +4.0
Rumelange 705 26 -34 1 4.3 -3.3
Wiltz 71 715 19 -33 3 4.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB EE FD GRE HOB JE MON R9 RUM SM UL W7
Avenir Beggen —
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
1.79
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.76
0-1-1
3.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2-0-0
3.39
 —
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.47
1-1-0
3.16
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
4.08
1-0-1
3.80
0-1-1
4.25
0-1-1
3.17
0-1-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.89
F91 Dudelange
1-1-0
4.14
1-0-1
3.48
 —
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.90
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
3.88
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.93
2-0-0
4.25
Grevenmacher
2-0-0
3.90
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.52
 —
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
4.24
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.87
1-1-0
4.19
Hobscheid
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.69
0-1-1
1.97
 —
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.39
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.76
Jeunesse Esch
1-0-1
3.79
0-0-2
2.64
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.22
 —
2-0-0
4.06
1-0-1
3.60
0-1-1
4.12
0-0-2
3.26
0-1-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.91
Mondercange
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
1.53
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
1.54
 —
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.03
0-2-0
2.26
2-0-0
2.94
Rodange 91
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
1.98
1-1-0
3.04
 —
1-0-1
3.48
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
3.31
Rumelange
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
1.36
0-0-2
1.18
0-1-1
1.37
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
1.49
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.09
 —
0-1-1
1.73
1-0-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.87
Sporting Mertzig
1-1-0
3.53
1-1-0
2.40
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
2.30
1-0-1
3.56
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
3.86
 —
0-2-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.82
Union Luxembourg
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.01
0-1-1
1.66
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
2.66
1-1-0
2.23
0-2-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.64
0-2-0
2.31
 —
2-0-0
3.42
Wiltz 71
1-1-0
2.17
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
1.43
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
2.62
1-1-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
1.76
0-0-2
2.16
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.50 +7.8
Allowed 0.72 -7.2
Differential 0.86 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.96%5.92%5.03%3.55%1.78%0.89%20.12%
15.92%13.02%7.40%2.96%2.66%2.66%34.62%
25.03%7.40%2.96%3.55%1.48%1.18%21.60%
33.55%2.96%3.55%1.78%0.59%—12.43%
41.78%2.66%1.48%0.59%——6.51%
5+0.89%2.66%1.18%———4.73%
Total20.12%34.62%21.60%12.43%6.51%4.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.67 +0.00
SD 1.42 1.42 2.17
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 169

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%3.57%—3.57%3.57%17.86%
1—14.29%10.71%3.57%—3.57%32.14%
210.71%7.14%——3.57%7.14%28.57%
33.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
4———————
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total17.86%35.71%17.86%7.14%7.14%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.96 -0.36
SD 1.20 1.75 2.30
CV 0.74 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%3.57%——3.57%14.29%
110.71%17.86%7.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%46.43%
23.57%3.57%—3.57%——10.71%
33.57%3.57%—3.57%——10.71%
4—3.57%3.57%3.57%——10.71%
5+—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
Total21.43%35.71%17.86%14.29%3.57%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.71 +0.11
SD 1.59 1.63 2.35
CV 0.87 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—————3.57%
117.86%10.71%3.57%3.57%——35.71%
210.71%14.29%7.14%———32.14%
3—7.14%3.57%—3.57%—14.29%
43.57%7.14%————10.71%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total39.29%39.29%14.29%3.57%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 0.93 +1.11
SD 1.20 1.02 1.50
CV 0.59 1.09 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%3.57%———17.86%
13.57%10.71%3.57%———17.86%
210.71%10.71%—3.57%——25.00%
317.86%3.57%————21.43%
47.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total50.00%35.71%10.71%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 0.68 +1.43
SD 1.52 0.82 1.89
CV 0.72 1.21 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%—10.71%——21.43%
1—7.14%7.14%3.57%3.57%—21.43%
2—17.86%3.57%3.57%——25.00%
33.57%3.57%14.29%———21.43%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+3.57%3.57%————7.14%
Total14.29%39.29%25.00%17.86%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.57 +0.32
SD 1.55 1.07 2.20
CV 0.82 0.68 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%10.71%—3.57%—28.57%
110.71%3.57%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
27.14%3.57%7.14%3.57%——21.43%
37.14%3.57%————10.71%
4———————
5+—14.29%3.57%———17.86%
Total25.00%39.29%25.00%7.14%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.25 +0.61
SD 1.78 1.04 2.23
CV 0.96 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——10.71%10.71%——21.43%
17.14%17.86%14.29%3.57%14.29%—57.14%
27.14%3.57%————10.71%
3—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
4———3.57%——3.57%
5+———————
Total14.29%25.00%28.57%17.86%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.93 -0.79
SD 0.97 1.27 1.75
CV 0.85 0.66 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.45%6.90%6.90%6.90%3.45%27.59%
16.90%6.90%3.45%3.45%3.45%6.90%31.03%
23.45%6.90%6.90%6.90%3.45%—27.59%
3—3.45%————3.45%
43.45%—6.90%———10.34%
5+———————
Total13.79%20.69%24.14%17.24%13.79%10.34%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 2.38 -1.00
SD 1.24 1.82 2.51
CV 0.90 0.77 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.90%6.90%6.90%3.45%—24.14%
16.90%24.14%6.90%—3.45%6.90%48.28%
2—6.90%3.45%3.45%6.90%—20.69%
3——3.45%———3.45%
4—3.45%————3.45%
5+———————
Total6.90%41.38%20.69%10.34%13.79%6.90%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.07 -0.93
SD 0.95 1.51 1.83
CV 0.84 0.73 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%—3.57%3.57%—14.29%
1—7.14%10.71%3.57%——21.43%
23.57%3.57%—7.14%——14.29%
33.57%—3.57%10.71%3.57%—21.43%
43.57%10.71%————14.29%
5+—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
Total14.29%32.14%21.43%25.00%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.57 1.79 +0.79
SD 1.97 1.20 2.50
CV 0.77 0.67 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%7.14%3.57%3.57%——25.00%
13.57%25.00%7.14%7.14%——42.86%
23.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
33.57%—3.57%3.57%——10.71%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+———————
Total21.43%42.86%17.86%17.86%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.32 -0.07
SD 1.08 1.02 1.39
CV 0.86 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%10.71%———25.00%
13.57%10.71%10.71%—3.57%10.71%39.29%
2—3.57%3.57%7.14%3.57%7.14%25.00%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+———————
Total3.57%28.57%35.71%7.14%7.14%17.86%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.39 -1.14
SD 1.04 1.52 1.63
CV 0.83 0.64 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Grevenmacher 1105 49 39.52 +9.48 96.0% 19 29 36 40 44 48 55
F91 Dudelange 1074 51 42.84 +8.16 95.0% 27 33 39 43 47 51 57
Jeunesse Esch 968 30 37.57 -7.57 15.0% 23 26 33 38 43 47 54
Hobscheid 944 39 30.20 +8.80 90.0% 17 20 26 30 34 41 44
Sporting Mertzig 941 32 33.08 -1.08 46.0% 17 23 28 33 37 43 48
Etzella Ettelbruck 908 39 36.47 +2.53 64.0% 20 26 32 37 41 45 50
Avenir Beggen 882 23 26.68 -3.68 35.0% 9 18 22 27 30 37 44
Union Luxembourg 869 25 28.79 -3.79 29.0% 13 19 24 29 33 38 44
Mondercange 788 17 23.37 -6.37 12.0% 11 13 20 23 27 33 46
Rodange 91 778 24 26.31 -2.31 37.0% 14 16 22 26 30 37 39
Wiltz 71 715 15 21.82 -6.82 12.0% 9 11 18 22 26 30 34
Rumelange 705 24 20.85 +3.15 73.0% 7 11 17 21 25 29 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.20%
Clear Edge
46.75%20.71%32.54%
Elo Value
Home Edge
135 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
049.68400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
F91 Dudelange, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.79 * Some Luck: 4.79 to 7.19 * Lucky: 7.19 to 9.59 * Wild Swing: 9.59 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.43 * Close: 1.43 to 2.15 * Off: 2.15 to 2.86 * Way Off: 2.86 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.98 points
Some Luck
05.9915
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.794
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Grevenmacher
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
12.00%
Mondercange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 115.26
1.84
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Slight Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Even
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Occasional
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Very Even
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.00
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.61
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.55
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
F91 Dudelange51.00%16.00%16.00%5.00%8.00%3.00%—1.00%————
Grevenmacher24.00%23.00%22.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—2.00%—
Etzella Ettelbruck10.00%14.00%24.00%13.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%
Hobscheid—6.00%4.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%18.00%14.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%
Sporting Mertzig4.00%9.00%11.00%21.00%15.00%12.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%—
Jeunesse Esch11.00%23.00%16.00%18.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%——
Union Luxembourg—4.00%1.00%7.00%12.00%17.00%16.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%
Rumelange————1.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%15.00%20.00%20.00%28.00%
Rodange 91—1.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%17.00%13.00%14.00%8.00%
Avenir Beggen—2.00%4.00%1.00%8.00%10.00%18.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%7.00%10.00%
Mondercange—2.00%——6.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%16.00%25.00%16.00%
Wiltz 71———1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%18.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Etzella Ettelbruck 100% —
F91 Dudelange 100% —
Grevenmacher 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Sporting Mertzig 96.00% 4.00%
Hobscheid 95.00% 5.00%
Union Luxembourg 95.00% 5.00%
Avenir Beggen 86.00% 14.00%
Rodange 91 82.00% 18.00%
Mondercange 51.00% 49.00%
Wiltz 71 50.00% 50.00%
Rumelange 45.00% 55.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Etzella Ettelbruck 100% —
F91 Dudelange 100% —
Grevenmacher 100% —
Hobscheid 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Sporting Mertzig 100% —
Union Luxembourg 99.27% 0.73%
Rodange 91 95.04% 4.96%
Avenir Beggen 94.31% 5.69%
Rumelange 90.92% 9.08%
Mondercange 14.52% 85.48%
Wiltz 71 5.94% 94.06%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2000-08-12 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.7 880 909 42.32% 21.93% 35.75%+0.15 -0.3 1
2000-08-12 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.7 909 880 35.75% 21.93% 42.32%-0.15 +0.3 1
2000-08-13 Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-342.9 871 924 38.85% 21.97% 39.19%-0.03 -13.1 0
2000-08-13 @ Hobscheid W 3-142.9 924 871 39.19% 21.97% 38.85%+0.03 +13.1 3
2000-08-13 Grevenmacher L 0-334.7 883 952 36.71% 21.95% 41.34%-0.14 -21.0 0
2000-08-13 @ Rodange 91 W 3-034.7 952 883 41.34% 21.95% 36.71%+0.14 +21.0 3
2000-08-13 Jeunesse Esch W 4-036.5 876 975 32.57% 21.83% 45.60%-0.37 +32.6 3
2000-08-13 @ Sporting Mertzig L 0-436.5 975 876 45.60% 21.83% 32.57%+0.37 -32.6 0
2000-08-13 Rumelange W 2-140.7 846 774 55.40% 21.03% 23.57%+0.90 +5.0 3
2000-08-13 @ Mondercange L 1-240.7 774 846 23.57% 21.03% 55.40%-0.90 -5.0 0
2000-08-13 Wiltz 71 W 2-030.7 961 826 62.30% 19.90% 17.81%+1.37 +7.7 3
2000-08-13 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-230.7 826 961 17.81% 19.90% 62.30%-1.37 -7.7 0
2000-08-19 Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-242.8 818 938 29.98% 21.69% 48.34%-0.52 -6.1 0
2000-08-19 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-142.8 938 818 48.34% 21.69% 29.98%+0.52 +6.1 6
2000-08-19 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.0 942 880 54.29% 21.16% 24.55%+0.83 -1.3 1
2000-08-19 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.0 880 942 24.55% 21.16% 54.29%-0.83 +1.3 2
2000-08-20 Hobscheid W 3-029.1 973 858 60.11% 20.32% 19.57%+1.22 +12.2 6
2000-08-20 @ Grevenmacher L 0-329.1 858 973 19.57% 20.32% 60.11%-1.22 -12.2 0
2000-08-20 Mondercange W 4-134.2 969 851 60.49% 20.25% 19.26%+1.24 +10.1 6
2000-08-20 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-434.2 851 969 19.26% 20.25% 60.49%-1.24 -10.1 3
2000-08-20 Rodange 91 L 0-144.8 909 862 52.37% 21.37% 26.27%+0.72 -10.3 1
2000-08-20 @ Avenir Beggen W 1-044.8 862 909 26.27% 21.37% 52.37%-0.72 +10.3 3
2000-08-20 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.9 769 909 27.57% 21.49% 50.94%-0.67 +1.0 1
2000-08-20 @ Rumelange D 1-152.9 909 769 50.94% 21.49% 27.57%+0.67 -1.0 4
2000-08-23 Avenir Beggen W 2-145.6 846 899 38.89% 21.97% 39.15%-0.02 +7.6 3
2000-08-23 @ Hobscheid L 1-245.6 899 846 39.15% 21.97% 38.89%+0.02 -7.6 1
2000-08-23 F91 Dudelange L 2-350.0 908 979 36.25% 21.94% 41.80%-0.16 -6.8 4
2000-08-23 @ Sporting Mertzig W 3-250.0 979 908 41.80% 21.94% 36.25%+0.16 +6.8 9
2000-08-23 Rumelange L 0-146.7 881 770 59.75% 20.38% 19.87%+1.19 -11.5 2
2000-08-23 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-046.7 770 881 19.87% 20.38% 59.75%-1.19 +11.5 4
2000-08-23 Wiltz 71 W 3-247.5 841 812 50.11% 21.56% 28.33%+0.58 +5.5 6
2000-08-23 @ Mondercange L 2-347.5 812 841 28.33% 21.56% 50.11%-0.58 -5.5 0
2000-09-09 Etzella Ettelbruck L 2-641.4 891 944 38.98% 21.97% 39.05%-0.02 -20.3 1
2000-09-09 @ Avenir Beggen W 6-241.4 944 891 39.05% 21.97% 38.98%+0.02 +20.3 9
2000-09-09 Grevenmacher D 1-153.0 806 985 23.36% 21.00% 55.64%-0.95 +1.4 1
2000-09-09 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-153.0 985 806 55.64% 21.00% 23.36%+0.95 -1.4 7
2000-09-09 Hobscheid W 3-030.0 941 853 57.18% 20.79% 22.03%+1.02 +13.6 4
2000-09-09 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-330.0 853 941 22.03% 20.79% 57.18%-1.02 -13.6 3
2000-09-09 Union Luxembourg W 3-136.6 986 869 60.33% 20.28% 19.40%+1.23 +7.2 12
2000-09-09 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-336.6 869 986 19.40% 20.28% 60.33%-1.23 -7.2 2
2000-09-09 Rodange 91 W 4-142.2 782 872 33.62% 21.87% 44.50%-0.31 +20.6 7
2000-09-09 @ Rumelange L 1-442.2 872 782 44.50% 21.87% 33.62%+0.31 -20.6 3
2000-09-09 Sporting Mertzig L 1-440.5 846 901 38.69% 21.97% 39.34%-0.03 -18.4 6
2000-09-09 @ Mondercange W 4-140.5 901 846 39.34% 21.97% 38.69%+0.03 +18.4 7
2000-09-13 Grevenmacher W 1-039.6 964 983 43.65% 21.90% 34.45%+0.22 +7.3 12
2000-09-13 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-139.6 983 964 34.45% 21.90% 43.65%-0.22 -7.3 7
2000-09-13 Jeunesse Esch W 1-043.0 852 955 32.08% 21.81% 46.11%-0.39 +9.2 6
2000-09-13 @ Rodange 91 L 0-143.0 955 852 46.11% 21.81% 32.08%+0.39 -9.2 4
2000-09-17 Avenir Beggen W 2-139.6 976 871 59.10% 20.49% 20.41%+1.15 +4.4 10
2000-09-17 @ Grevenmacher L 1-239.6 871 976 20.41% 20.49% 59.10%-1.15 -4.4 1
2000-09-17 F91 Dudelange L 1-339.7 861 993 28.45% 21.57% 49.98%-0.61 -10.2 6
2000-09-17 @ Rodange 91 W 3-139.7 993 861 49.98% 21.57% 28.45%+0.61 +10.2 15
2000-09-17 Jeunesse Esch W 1-037.7 971 945 49.70% 21.59% 28.71%+0.56 +6.3 15
2000-09-17 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-137.7 945 971 28.71% 21.59% 49.70%-0.56 -6.3 4
2000-09-17 Mondercange D 1-152.9 862 828 50.79% 21.51% 27.70%+0.62 -1.0 3
2000-09-17 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.9 828 862 27.70% 21.51% 50.79%-0.62 +1.0 7
2000-09-17 Rumelange W 4-030.9 840 802 51.23% 21.47% 27.30%+0.65 +21.5 6
2000-09-17 @ Hobscheid L 0-430.9 802 840 27.30% 21.47% 51.23%-0.65 -21.5 7
2000-09-17 Wiltz 71 W 5-237.8 919 808 59.79% 20.37% 19.84%+1.19 +9.0 10
2000-09-17 @ Sporting Mertzig L 2-537.8 808 919 19.84% 20.37% 59.79%-1.19 -9.0 1
2000-09-24 Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-256.0 781 977 21.55% 20.71% 57.74%-1.09 +10.0 10
2000-09-24 @ Rumelange L 2-356.0 977 781 57.74% 20.71% 21.55%+1.09 -10.0 15
2000-09-24 Grevenmacher W 2-037.3 939 980 40.58% 21.96% 37.46%+0.06 +14.7 7
2000-09-24 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-237.3 980 939 37.46% 21.96% 40.58%-0.06 -14.7 10
2000-09-24 Hobscheid W 2-138.4 1003 861 62.92% 19.77% 17.31%+1.42 +3.7 18
2000-09-24 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-238.4 861 1003 17.31% 19.77% 62.92%-1.42 -3.7 6
2000-09-24 Union Luxembourg D 3-362.7 928 861 54.80% 21.10% 24.10%+0.86 -0.9 11
2000-09-24 @ Sporting Mertzig D 3-362.7 861 928 24.10% 21.10% 54.80%-0.86 +0.9 4
2000-09-24 Rodange 91 L 0-239.0 829 851 43.29% 21.91% 34.80%+0.21 -16.5 7
2000-09-24 @ Mondercange W 2-039.0 851 829 34.80% 21.91% 43.29%-0.21 +16.5 9
2000-09-24 Wiltz 71 L 2-452.0 867 799 54.89% 21.09% 24.01%+0.87 -15.6 1
2000-09-24 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-252.0 799 867 24.01% 21.09% 54.89%-0.87 +15.6 4
2000-09-27 Avenir Beggen W 2-146.0 791 851 37.84% 21.96% 40.19%-0.08 +7.8 13
2000-09-27 @ Rumelange L 1-246.0 851 791 40.19% 21.96% 37.84%+0.08 -7.8 1
2000-09-27 Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-436.4 813 967 25.84% 21.32% 52.84%-0.78 -13.2 7
2000-09-27 @ Mondercange W 4-136.4 967 813 52.84% 21.32% 25.84%+0.78 +13.2 18
2000-09-27 Grevenmacher W 1-037.1 1007 966 51.68% 21.43% 26.89%+0.67 +5.9 21
2000-09-27 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-137.1 966 1007 26.89% 21.43% 51.68%-0.67 -5.9 10
2000-09-27 Hobscheid L 1-347.5 927 858 55.12% 21.06% 23.81%+0.88 -17.5 11
2000-09-27 @ Sporting Mertzig W 3-147.5 858 927 23.81% 21.06% 55.12%-0.88 +17.5 9
2000-09-27 Rodange 91 L 1-247.5 862 867 45.58% 21.83% 32.59%+0.33 -8.6 4
2000-09-27 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-147.5 867 862 32.59% 21.83% 45.58%-0.33 +8.6 12
2000-09-27 Wiltz 71 W 5-131.9 954 814 62.68% 19.82% 17.51%+1.40 +11.9 10
2000-09-27 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-531.9 814 954 17.51% 19.82% 62.68%-1.40 -11.9 4
2000-10-01 F91 Dudelange L 0-530.2 843 1013 24.25% 21.12% 54.63%-0.89 -23.9 1
2000-10-01 @ Avenir Beggen W 5-030.2 1013 843 54.63% 21.12% 24.25%+0.89 +23.9 24
2000-10-01 Mondercange W 3-027.7 960 799 64.71% 19.36% 15.93%+1.56 +10.0 13
2000-10-01 @ Grevenmacher L 0-327.7 799 960 15.93% 19.36% 64.71%-1.56 -10.0 7
2000-10-01 Union Luxembourg W 3-247.7 875 854 49.17% 21.63% 29.20%+0.53 +5.7 12
2000-10-01 @ Hobscheid L 2-347.7 854 875 29.20% 21.63% 49.17%-0.53 -5.7 4
2000-10-01 Rodange 91 D 2-258.0 802 876 35.99% 21.94% 42.07%-0.18 +0.2 5
2000-10-01 @ Wiltz 71 D 2-258.0 876 802 42.07% 21.94% 35.99%+0.18 -0.2 13
2000-10-01 Rumelange D 2-258.8 966 798 65.36% 19.21% 15.44%+1.61 -1.7 11
2000-10-01 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.8 798 966 15.44% 19.21% 65.36%-1.61 +1.7 14
2000-10-01 Sporting Mertzig L 1-445.2 981 910 55.25% 21.05% 23.70%+0.89 -24.9 18
2000-10-01 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-145.2 910 981 23.70% 21.05% 55.25%-0.89 +24.9 14
2000-11-05 Avenir Beggen L 1-343.9 789 819 42.15% 21.94% 35.91%+0.15 -14.0 7
2000-11-05 @ Mondercange W 3-143.9 819 789 35.91% 21.94% 42.15%-0.15 +13.9 4
2000-11-05 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-147.9 848 956 31.41% 21.77% 46.81%-0.43 +8.8 7
2000-11-05 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-247.9 956 848 46.81% 21.77% 31.41%+0.43 -8.8 18
2000-11-05 Grevenmacher L 1-246.3 935 970 41.45% 21.95% 36.60%+0.11 -7.9 14
2000-11-05 @ Sporting Mertzig W 2-146.3 970 935 36.60% 21.95% 41.45%-0.11 +8.0 16
2000-11-05 Hobscheid L 2-352.7 876 881 45.62% 21.83% 32.55%+0.33 -8.1 13
2000-11-05 @ Rodange 91 W 3-252.7 881 876 32.55% 21.83% 45.62%-0.33 +8.1 15
2000-11-05 Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.3 1037 964 55.47% 21.02% 23.51%+0.91 -1.1 25
2000-11-05 @ F91 Dudelange D 2-258.3 964 1037 23.51% 21.02% 55.47%-0.91 +1.1 12
2000-11-05 Wiltz 71 W 2-143.5 800 803 45.96% 21.81% 32.22%+0.35 +6.5 17
2000-11-05 @ Rumelange L 1-243.5 803 800 32.22% 21.81% 45.96%-0.35 -6.5 5
2000-11-11 F91 Dudelange L 1-239.0 807 1036 18.68% 20.12% 61.20%-1.33 -4.0 17
2000-11-11 @ Rumelange W 2-139.0 1036 807 61.20% 20.12% 18.68%+1.33 +4.0 28
2000-11-12 Hobscheid L 1-243.9 796 889 33.38% 21.86% 44.76%-0.32 -6.7 5
2000-11-12 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-143.9 889 796 44.76% 21.86% 33.38%+0.32 +6.7 18
2000-11-12 Mondercange W 2-137.1 965 775 67.38% 18.67% 13.95%+1.77 +3.0 15
2000-11-12 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-237.1 775 965 13.95% 18.67% 67.38%-1.77 -3.0 7
2000-11-12 Rodange 91 W 4-242.3 947 868 56.24% 20.92% 22.84%+0.96 +7.5 21
2000-11-12 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 2-442.3 868 947 22.84% 20.92% 56.24%-0.96 -7.5 13
2000-11-12 Sporting Mertzig L 2-542.3 833 927 33.30% 21.86% 44.84%-0.32 -14.2 4
2000-11-12 @ Avenir Beggen W 5-242.3 927 833 44.84% 21.86% 33.30%+0.32 +14.2 17
2000-11-26 F91 Dudelange L 0-236.3 955 1040 34.39% 21.90% 43.71%-0.26 -13.7 21
2000-11-26 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-036.3 1040 955 43.71% 21.90% 34.39%+0.26 +13.7 31
2000-11-26 Jeunesse Esch W 2-149.4 819 968 26.50% 21.39% 52.12%-0.74 +9.6 7
2000-11-26 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-249.4 968 819 52.12% 21.39% 26.50%+0.74 -9.6 15
2000-11-26 Mondercange W 2-139.0 896 772 61.04% 20.15% 18.81%+1.28 +4.0 21
2000-11-26 @ Hobscheid L 1-239.0 772 896 18.81% 20.15% 61.04%-1.28 -4.1 7
2000-11-26 Union Luxembourg L 1-439.9 789 857 36.88% 21.95% 41.17%-0.13 -17.8 5
2000-11-26 @ Wiltz 71 W 4-139.9 857 789 41.17% 21.95% 36.88%+0.13 +17.8 10
2000-11-26 Rumelange D 1-153.6 978 803 66.06% 19.03% 14.91%+1.66 -2.4 17
2000-11-26 @ Grevenmacher D 1-153.6 803 978 14.91% 19.03% 66.06%-1.66 +2.4 18
2000-11-29 Union Luxembourg W 3-029.5 975 874 58.66% 20.56% 20.78%+1.12 +12.9 20
2000-11-29 @ Grevenmacher L 0-329.5 874 975 20.78% 20.56% 58.66%-1.12 -12.9 10
2000-12-03 Hobscheid D 1-152.9 941 900 51.65% 21.43% 26.92%+0.67 -1.1 22
2000-12-03 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-152.9 900 941 26.92% 21.43% 51.65%-0.67 +1.1 22
2000-12-03 Mondercange D 1-152.9 805 768 51.10% 21.48% 27.42%+0.64 -1.0 19
2000-12-03 @ Rumelange D 1-152.9 768 805 27.42% 21.48% 51.10%-0.64 +1.0 8
2000-12-03 Union Luxembourg D 0-049.1 829 861 41.78% 21.94% 36.27%+0.13 -0.3 8
2000-12-03 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-049.1 861 829 36.27% 21.94% 41.78%-0.13 +0.3 11
2000-12-03 Rodange 91 W 4-027.8 988 860 61.53% 20.05% 18.42%+1.32 +15.0 23
2000-12-03 @ Grevenmacher L 0-427.8 860 988 18.42% 20.05% 61.53%-1.32 -15.0 13
2000-12-03 Sporting Mertzig L 0-240.5 959 941 48.64% 21.67% 29.69%+0.50 -18.1 15
2000-12-03 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-040.5 941 959 29.69% 21.67% 48.64%-0.50 +18.1 20
2000-12-06 F91 Dudelange L 1-237.4 769 1054 14.58% 18.91% 66.51%-1.74 -3.2 8
2000-12-06 @ Mondercange W 2-137.4 1054 769 66.51% 18.91% 14.58%+1.74 +3.2 34
2000-12-06 Grevenmacher D 0-049.1 901 1003 32.12% 21.81% 46.07%-0.39 +0.7 23
2000-12-06 @ Hobscheid D 0-049.1 1003 901 46.07% 21.81% 32.12%+0.39 -0.7 24
2000-12-06 Jeunesse Esch W 3-251.9 862 940 35.28% 21.92% 42.79%-0.21 +7.7 14
2000-12-06 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-351.9 940 862 42.79% 21.92% 35.28%+0.21 -7.7 15
2000-12-06 Rumelange W 6-130.7 959 804 64.20% 19.48% 16.32%+1.52 +13.7 23
2000-12-06 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-630.7 804 959 16.32% 19.48% 64.20%-1.52 -13.7 19
2001-01-31 F91 Dudelange L 0-132.7 772 1057 14.53% 18.89% 66.58%-1.74 -3.3 5
2001-01-31 @ Wiltz 71 W 1-032.7 1057 772 66.58% 18.89% 14.53%+1.74 +3.3 37
2001-01-31 Sporting Mertzig W 4-037.6 845 973 28.99% 21.61% 49.40%-0.58 +34.9 16
2001-01-31 @ Rodange 91 L 0-437.6 973 845 49.40% 21.61% 28.99%+0.58 -34.9 23
2001-02-07 Avenir Beggen W 5-132.8 940 829 59.77% 20.38% 19.86%+1.19 +13.5 25
2001-02-07 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-532.8 829 940 19.86% 20.38% 59.77%-1.19 -13.5 8
2001-02-07 F91 Dudelange D 0-049.4 869 1060 22.15% 20.81% 57.04%-1.04 +1.8 15
2001-02-07 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-049.4 1060 869 57.04% 20.81% 22.15%+1.04 -1.8 38
2001-02-07 Jeunesse Esch L 0-141.8 901 933 42.00% 21.94% 36.06%+0.14 -8.5 23
2001-02-07 @ Hobscheid W 1-041.8 933 901 36.06% 21.94% 42.00%-0.14 +8.5 18
2001-02-07 Mondercange L 3-461.4 938 766 65.75% 19.11% 15.14%+1.64 -11.0 23
2001-02-07 @ Sporting Mertzig W 4-361.4 766 938 15.14% 19.11% 65.75%-1.64 +11.0 11
2001-02-07 Rumelange W 4-241.9 880 790 57.41% 20.76% 21.84%+1.03 +7.2 19
2001-02-07 @ Rodange 91 L 2-441.9 790 880 21.84% 20.76% 57.41%-1.03 -7.2 19
2001-02-07 Wiltz 71 W 4-237.8 1003 768 71.07% 17.54% 11.39%+2.10 +3.8 27
2001-02-07 @ Grevenmacher L 2-437.8 768 1003 11.39% 17.54% 71.07%-2.10 -3.8 5
2001-02-11 Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-239.4 941 953 44.66% 21.87% 33.47%+0.28 -16.9 18
2001-02-11 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-039.4 953 941 33.47% 21.87% 44.66%-0.28 +16.9 28
2001-02-11 Grevenmacher L 0-429.1 815 1006 22.08% 20.80% 57.13%-1.05 -17.8 8
2001-02-11 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-029.1 1006 815 57.13% 20.80% 22.08%+1.05 +17.8 30
2001-02-11 Hobscheid D 1-152.8 783 893 31.18% 21.76% 47.06%-0.45 +0.7 20
2001-02-11 @ Rumelange D 1-152.8 893 783 47.06% 21.76% 31.18%+0.45 -0.7 24
2001-02-11 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.8 777 871 33.22% 21.86% 44.92%-0.33 +0.5 12
2001-02-11 @ Mondercange D 1-152.8 871 777 44.92% 21.86% 33.22%+0.33 -0.5 16
2001-02-11 Rodange 91 W 4-026.6 1058 887 65.69% 19.12% 15.19%+1.63 +12.5 41
2001-02-11 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-426.6 887 1058 15.19% 19.12% 65.69%-1.63 -12.5 19
2001-02-11 Sporting Mertzig W 3-255.0 765 927 25.05% 21.22% 53.73%-0.83 +9.4 8
2001-02-11 @ Wiltz 71 L 2-355.0 927 765 53.73% 21.22% 25.05%+0.83 -9.4 23
2001-02-24 Avenir Beggen L 2-355.6 875 797 56.02% 20.95% 23.03%+0.94 -9.8 19
2001-02-24 @ Rodange 91 W 3-255.6 797 875 23.03% 20.95% 56.02%-0.94 +9.8 11
2001-02-24 Wiltz 71 W 1-032.3 970 774 67.93% 18.52% 13.55%+1.82 +3.1 31
2001-02-24 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-132.3 774 970 13.55% 18.52% 67.93%-1.82 -3.1 8
2001-03-11 Avenir Beggen W 3-136.6 924 807 60.41% 20.26% 19.33%+1.24 +7.2 21
2001-03-11 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-336.6 807 924 19.33% 20.26% 60.41%-1.24 -7.2 11
2001-03-11 Etzella Ettelbruck L 3-459.6 1071 973 58.28% 20.62% 21.10%+1.09 -9.9 41
2001-03-11 @ F91 Dudelange W 4-359.6 973 1071 21.10% 20.62% 58.28%-1.09 +9.9 34
2001-03-11 Grevenmacher L 1-433.6 784 1024 17.76% 19.89% 62.35%-1.41 -9.4 20
2001-03-11 @ Rumelange W 4-133.6 1024 784 62.35% 19.89% 17.76%+1.41 +9.4 33
2001-03-11 Hobscheid L 0-332.8 778 892 30.58% 21.72% 47.70%-0.48 -18.1 12
2001-03-11 @ Mondercange W 3-032.8 892 778 47.70% 21.72% 30.58%+0.48 +18.1 27
2001-03-11 Rodange 91 W 8-133.8 917 865 53.05% 21.30% 25.65%+0.76 +28.4 26
2001-03-11 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-833.8 865 917 25.65% 21.30% 53.05%-0.76 -28.4 19
2001-03-11 Wiltz 71 W 1-035.1 871 771 58.54% 20.58% 20.88%+1.11 +4.7 19
2001-03-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-135.1 771 871 20.88% 20.58% 58.54%-1.11 -4.7 8
2001-03-31 Sporting Mertzig L 2-351.5 910 946 41.39% 21.95% 36.66%+0.11 -7.5 27
2001-03-31 @ Hobscheid W 3-251.5 946 910 36.66% 21.95% 41.39%-0.11 +7.5 29
2001-04-01 F91 Dudelange W 3-141.9 1034 1061 42.54% 21.93% 35.53%+0.17 +12.2 36
2001-04-01 @ Grevenmacher L 1-341.9 1061 1034 35.53% 21.93% 42.54%-0.17 -12.2 41
2001-04-01 Jeunesse Esch L 1-534.5 766 931 24.72% 21.18% 54.10%-0.86 -16.4 8
2001-04-01 @ Wiltz 71 W 5-134.5 931 766 54.10% 21.18% 24.72%+0.86 +16.4 24
2001-04-01 Mondercange D 1-154.0 983 760 70.22% 17.82% 11.96%+2.02 -2.7 35
2001-04-01 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-154.0 760 983 11.96% 17.82% 70.22%-2.02 +2.7 13
2001-04-01 Union Luxembourg D 2-258.0 837 875 40.91% 21.96% 37.13%+0.08 -0.1 20
2001-04-01 @ Rodange 91 D 2-258.0 875 837 37.13% 21.96% 40.91%-0.08 +0.1 20
2001-04-01 Rumelange W 2-034.5 800 774 49.65% 21.60% 28.75%+0.56 +11.8 14
2001-04-01 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-234.5 774 800 28.75% 21.60% 49.65%-0.56 -11.8 20
2001-04-04 Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-049.3 1046 980 54.61% 21.12% 24.26%+0.85 -1.5 37
2001-04-04 @ Grevenmacher D 0-049.3 980 1046 24.26% 21.12% 54.61%-0.85 +1.5 36
2001-04-04 Hobscheid W 2-147.2 812 903 33.60% 21.87% 44.53%-0.31 +8.4 17
2001-04-04 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-247.2 903 812 44.53% 21.87% 33.60%+0.31 -8.4 27
2001-04-04 Mondercange L 0-239.4 750 762 44.59% 21.87% 33.54%+0.27 -16.9 8
2001-04-04 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-039.4 762 750 33.54% 21.87% 44.59%-0.27 +16.9 16
2001-04-04 Union Luxembourg L 0-332.9 763 876 30.79% 21.74% 47.47%-0.47 -18.2 20
2001-04-04 @ Rumelange W 3-032.9 876 763 47.47% 21.74% 30.79%+0.47 +18.2 23
2001-04-04 Rodange 91 W 5-132.8 948 836 59.79% 20.37% 19.84%+1.19 +13.4 27
2001-04-04 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-532.8 836 948 19.84% 20.37% 59.79%-1.19 -13.4 20
2001-04-04 Sporting Mertzig W 1-035.2 1049 953 58.04% 20.66% 21.30%+1.07 +4.8 44
2001-04-04 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-135.2 953 1049 21.30% 20.66% 58.04%-1.07 -4.8 29
2001-04-08 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.7 733 820 34.13% 21.89% 43.98%-0.28 +0.4 9
2001-04-08 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-152.7 820 733 43.98% 21.89% 34.13%+0.28 -0.4 18
2001-04-08 F91 Dudelange W 2-149.7 894 1053 25.39% 21.27% 53.35%-0.81 +9.8 30
2001-04-08 @ Hobscheid L 1-249.7 1053 894 53.35% 21.27% 25.39%+0.81 -9.8 44
2001-04-08 Jeunesse Esch W 2-032.4 1044 961 56.64% 20.86% 22.49%+0.98 +9.5 40
2001-04-08 @ Grevenmacher L 0-232.4 961 1044 22.49% 20.86% 56.64%-0.98 -9.5 27
2001-04-08 Mondercange D 1-152.9 823 779 51.99% 21.40% 26.61%+0.69 -1.1 21
2001-04-08 @ Rodange 91 D 1-152.9 779 823 26.61% 21.40% 51.99%-0.69 +1.1 17
2001-04-08 Rumelange D 1-154.1 982 744 71.32% 17.45% 11.22%+2.13 -2.8 37
2001-04-08 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-154.1 744 982 11.22% 17.45% 71.32%-2.13 +2.8 21
2001-04-08 Sporting Mertzig D 0-049.1 894 949 38.63% 21.97% 39.40%-0.04 +0.0 24
2001-04-08 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-049.1 949 894 39.40% 21.97% 38.63%+0.04 -0.0 30
2001-04-11 Avenir Beggen D 1-154.0 1044 820 70.26% 17.81% 11.94%+2.03 -2.8 45
2001-04-11 @ F91 Dudelange D 1-154.0 820 1044 11.94% 17.81% 70.26%-2.03 +2.7 19
2001-04-11 Etzella Ettelbruck D 3-362.5 948 979 42.09% 21.94% 35.97%+0.14 -0.2 31
2001-04-11 @ Sporting Mertzig D 3-362.5 979 948 35.97% 21.94% 42.09%-0.14 +0.2 38
2001-04-11 Grevenmacher L 0-229.8 780 1054 15.31% 19.16% 65.53%-1.66 -6.6 17
2001-04-11 @ Mondercange W 2-029.8 1054 780 65.53% 19.16% 15.31%+1.66 +6.6 43
2001-04-11 Hobscheid L 1-247.3 894 904 44.88% 21.86% 33.26%+0.29 -8.5 24
2001-04-11 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-147.3 904 894 33.26% 21.86% 44.88%-0.29 +8.5 33
2001-04-11 Jeunesse Esch W 1-046.4 747 952 20.83% 20.57% 58.59%-1.15 +11.4 24
2001-04-11 @ Rumelange L 0-146.4 952 747 58.59% 20.57% 20.83%+1.15 -11.3 27
2001-04-14 F91 Dudelange L 0-138.9 940 1041 32.38% 21.82% 45.80%-0.38 -6.9 27
2001-04-14 @ Jeunesse Esch W 1-038.9 1041 940 45.80% 21.82% 32.38%+0.38 +6.9 48
2001-04-14 Mondercange W 2-033.6 822 774 52.59% 21.34% 26.07%+0.73 +10.9 22
2001-04-14 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-233.6 774 822 26.07% 21.34% 52.59%-0.73 -10.9 17
2001-04-14 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.1 979 885 57.88% 20.69% 21.44%+1.06 -1.6 39
2001-04-14 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-153.1 885 979 21.44% 20.69% 57.88%-1.06 +1.7 25
2001-04-14 Rodange 91 W 5-029.3 913 822 57.54% 20.74% 21.73%+1.04 +21.6 36
2001-04-14 @ Hobscheid L 0-529.3 822 913 21.73% 20.74% 57.54%-1.04 -21.6 21
2001-04-14 Rumelange W 3-249.7 733 759 42.82% 21.92% 35.26%+0.18 +6.6 12
2001-04-14 @ Wiltz 71 L 2-349.7 759 733 35.26% 21.92% 42.82%-0.18 -6.6 24
2001-04-14 Sporting Mertzig W 3-029.2 1060 948 59.86% 20.36% 19.78%+1.20 +12.3 46
2001-04-14 @ Grevenmacher L 0-329.2 948 1060 19.78% 20.36% 59.86%-1.20 -12.3 31
2001-04-16 Wiltz 71 L 1-249.9 800 740 54.01% 21.19% 24.80%+0.81 -9.9 21
2001-04-16 @ Rodange 91 W 2-149.9 740 800 24.80% 21.19% 54.01%-0.81 +9.9 15
2001-04-19 Avenir Beggen D 3-362.9 936 833 58.85% 20.53% 20.61%+1.13 -1.1 32
2001-04-19 @ Sporting Mertzig D 3-362.9 833 936 20.61% 20.53% 58.85%-1.13 +1.1 23
2001-04-19 Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-147.9 790 978 22.48% 20.86% 56.65%-1.02 +18.0 24
2001-04-19 @ Rodange 91 L 1-347.9 978 790 56.65% 20.86% 22.48%+1.02 -18.0 39
2001-04-19 Grevenmacher L 0-232.5 887 1073 22.62% 20.89% 56.49%-1.01 -9.6 25
2001-04-19 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-032.5 1073 887 56.49% 20.89% 22.62%+1.01 +9.6 49
2001-04-19 Jeunesse Esch L 0-330.7 763 934 24.15% 21.11% 54.74%-0.90 -14.8 17
2001-04-19 @ Mondercange W 3-030.7 934 763 54.74% 21.11% 24.15%+0.90 +14.8 30
2001-04-19 Rumelange W 2-026.7 1048 752 75.59% 15.84% 8.57%+2.56 +3.6 51
2001-04-19 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-226.7 752 1048 8.57% 15.84% 75.59%-2.56 -3.6 24
2001-04-19 Wiltz 71 W 3-242.4 934 750 66.91% 18.80% 14.29%+1.73 +2.9 39
2001-04-19 @ Hobscheid L 2-342.4 750 934 14.29% 18.80% 66.91%-1.73 -2.9 15

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2001-04-25 Avenir Beggen W 2-031.4 948 834 60.06% 20.33% 19.62%+1.21 +8.4 3
2001-04-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-231.4 834 948 19.62% 20.33% 60.06%-1.21 -8.4 0
2001-04-25 F91 Dudelange D 1-152.8 960 1051 33.50% 21.87% 44.63%-0.31 +0.5 1
2001-04-25 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-152.8 1051 960 44.63% 21.87% 33.50%+0.31 -0.5 1
2001-04-25 Grevenmacher L 0-137.2 937 1082 26.95% 21.44% 51.62%-0.71 -5.9 0
2001-04-25 @ Hobscheid W 1-037.2 1082 937 51.62% 21.44% 26.95%+0.71 +5.9 3
2001-04-25 Union Luxembourg W 3-146.1 748 877 28.78% 21.60% 49.62%-0.59 +16.0 3
2001-04-25 @ Mondercange L 1-346.1 877 748 49.62% 21.60% 28.78%+0.59 -16.0 0
2001-04-25 Rodange 91 W 3-028.7 935 808 61.38% 20.08% 18.54%+1.31 +11.6 3
2001-04-25 @ Sporting Mertzig L 0-328.7 808 935 18.54% 20.08% 61.38%-1.31 -11.6 0
2001-04-25 Wiltz 71 D 1-152.8 748 747 46.49% 21.79% 31.72%+0.38 -0.6 1
2001-04-25 @ Rumelange D 1-152.8 747 748 31.72% 21.79% 46.49%-0.38 +0.6 1
2001-04-29 Rumelange W 4-243.4 797 748 52.63% 21.34% 26.03%+0.73 +8.4 3
2001-04-29 @ Rodange 91 L 2-443.4 748 797 26.03% 21.34% 52.63%-0.73 -8.4 1
2001-04-30 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-138.9 1088 960 61.54% 20.05% 18.41%+1.32 +4.0 6
2001-04-30 @ Grevenmacher L 1-238.9 960 1088 18.41% 20.05% 61.54%-1.32 -4.0 1
2001-04-30 Hobscheid W 4-134.1 1051 931 60.65% 20.22% 19.13%+1.25 +10.1 4
2001-04-30 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-434.1 931 1051 19.13% 20.22% 60.65%-1.25 -10.1 0
2001-04-30 Jeunesse Esch L 2-538.0 748 957 20.42% 20.49% 59.09%-1.18 -9.3 1
2001-04-30 @ Wiltz 71 W 5-238.0 957 748 59.09% 20.49% 20.42%+1.18 +9.3 6
2001-04-30 Rumelange W 3-030.0 826 739 57.06% 20.81% 22.13%+1.01 +13.7 3
2001-04-30 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-330.0 739 826 22.13% 20.81% 57.06%-1.01 -13.6 1
2001-04-30 Sporting Mertzig W 2-147.0 861 947 34.40% 21.90% 43.70%-0.26 +8.3 3
2001-04-30 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-247.0 947 861 43.70% 21.90% 34.40%+0.26 -8.3 3
2001-05-02 Grevenmacher D 1-152.8 1061 1092 41.99% 21.94% 36.07%+0.14 -0.2 5
2001-05-02 @ F91 Dudelange D 1-152.8 1092 1061 36.07% 21.94% 41.99%-0.14 +0.2 7
2001-05-02 Hobscheid W 3-031.9 956 921 50.85% 21.50% 27.65%+0.63 +16.6 4
2001-05-02 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-331.9 921 956 27.65% 21.50% 50.85%-0.63 -16.6 0
2001-05-02 Mondercange W 4-132.5 938 764 65.98% 19.05% 14.97%+1.66 +7.9 6
2001-05-02 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-432.5 764 938 14.97% 19.05% 65.98%-1.66 -7.9 3
2001-05-02 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.7 805 870 37.25% 21.96% 40.79%-0.11 +0.1 4
2001-05-02 @ Rodange 91 D 1-152.7 870 805 40.79% 21.96% 37.25%+0.11 -0.1 4
2001-05-02 Rumelange W 1-031.2 966 726 71.55% 17.37% 11.08%+2.15 +2.5 9
2001-05-02 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-131.2 726 966 11.08% 17.37% 71.55%-2.15 -2.5 1
2001-05-02 Wiltz 71 W 2-031.8 840 738 58.69% 20.56% 20.75%+1.12 +8.9 6
2001-05-02 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-231.8 738 840 20.75% 20.56% 58.69%-1.12 -8.9 1
2001-05-03 F91 Dudelange D 2-258.2 905 1061 25.71% 21.30% 52.98%-0.79 +0.9 1
2001-05-03 @ Hobscheid D 2-258.2 1061 905 52.98% 21.30% 25.71%+0.79 -0.9 6
2001-05-03 Grevenmacher L 0-632.9 973 1092 29.94% 21.68% 48.38%-0.52 -34.0 4
2001-05-03 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 6-032.9 1092 973 48.38% 21.68% 29.94%+0.52 +34.0 10
2001-05-06 Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-034.4 1060 939 60.82% 20.19% 19.00%+1.27 +4.3 9
2001-05-06 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-134.4 939 1060 19.00% 20.19% 60.82%-1.27 -4.3 4
2001-05-06 Hobscheid L 2-358.9 1126 906 70.00% 17.89% 12.11%+2.00 -11.9 10
2001-05-06 @ Grevenmacher W 3-258.9 906 1126 12.11% 17.89% 70.00%-2.00 +11.9 4
2001-05-06 Jeunesse Esch W 3-145.7 848 968 29.91% 21.68% 48.41%-0.52 +15.6 9
2001-05-06 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-345.7 968 848 48.41% 21.68% 29.91%+0.52 -15.6 9
2001-05-06 Mondercange L 0-146.7 870 756 60.00% 20.34% 19.66%+1.21 -11.6 4
2001-05-06 @ Union Luxembourg W 1-046.7 756 870 19.66% 20.34% 60.00%-1.21 +11.6 6
2001-05-06 Rumelange W 1-038.5 729 723 47.15% 21.76% 31.10%+0.41 +6.7 4
2001-05-06 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-138.5 723 729 31.10% 21.76% 47.15%-0.41 -6.7 1
2001-05-06 Sporting Mertzig W 2-149.1 805 946 27.43% 21.48% 51.09%-0.68 +9.5 7
2001-05-06 @ Rodange 91 L 1-249.1 946 805 51.09% 21.48% 27.43%+0.68 -9.5 6
2001-05-09 Mondercange L 0-241.5 815 768 52.39% 21.36% 26.25%+0.72 -19.4 7
2001-05-09 @ Rodange 91 W 2-041.5 768 815 26.25% 21.36% 52.39%-0.72 +19.4 9
2001-05-13 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.9 716 864 26.65% 21.41% 51.94%-0.73 +1.1 2
2001-05-13 @ Rumelange D 1-152.9 864 716 51.94% 21.41% 26.65%+0.73 -1.1 10
2001-05-13 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.0 937 858 56.17% 20.93% 22.90%+0.95 -1.5 7
2001-05-13 @ Sporting Mertzig D 1-153.0 858 937 22.90% 20.93% 56.17%-0.95 +1.5 5
2001-05-13 Rodange 91 W 1-039.1 787 795 45.16% 21.85% 32.99%+0.31 +7.0 12
2001-05-13 @ Mondercange L 0-139.1 795 787 32.99% 21.85% 45.16%-0.31 -7.0 7
2001-05-13 Wiltz 71 W 1-031.7 953 736 69.66% 18.00% 12.34%+1.97 +2.8 12
2001-05-13 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-131.7 736 953 12.34% 18.00% 69.66%-1.97 -2.8 4
2001-05-20 Avenir Beggen L 1-535.8 733 863 28.74% 21.60% 49.66%-0.59 -18.7 4
2001-05-20 @ Wiltz 71 W 5-135.8 863 733 49.66% 21.60% 28.74%+0.59 +18.7 13
2001-05-20 Etzella Ettelbruck W 6-136.8 917 934 43.99% 21.89% 34.12%+0.24 +26.4 7
2001-05-20 @ Hobscheid L 1-636.8 934 917 34.12% 21.89% 43.99%-0.24 -26.4 4
2001-05-20 F91 Dudelange L 1-249.6 1115 1064 52.79% 21.32% 25.89%+0.74 -9.8 10
2001-05-20 @ Grevenmacher W 2-149.6 1064 1115 25.89% 21.32% 52.79%-0.74 +9.8 12
2001-05-20 Jeunesse Esch L 1-532.1 718 956 17.95% 19.93% 62.12%-1.40 -12.2 2
2001-05-20 @ Rumelange W 5-132.1 956 718 62.12% 19.93% 17.95%+1.40 +12.2 15
2001-05-20 Rodange 91 W 2-032.8 859 788 55.27% 21.04% 23.68%+0.89 +10.0 8
2001-05-20 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-232.8 788 859 23.68% 21.04% 55.27%-0.89 -10.0 7
2001-05-20 Sporting Mertzig L 1-242.0 794 935 27.40% 21.48% 51.12%-0.68 -5.7 12
2001-05-20 @ Mondercange W 2-142.0 935 794 51.12% 21.48% 27.40%+0.68 +5.7 10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2001-05-06 12.11% Hobscheid 906 3 @ Grevenmacher 1126 2
2 2001-02-07 15.14% Mondercange 766 4 @ Sporting Mertzig 938 3
3 2001-05-06 19.66% Mondercange 756 1 @ Union Luxembourg 870 0
4 2000-08-23 19.87% Rumelange 770 1 @ Union Luxembourg 881 0
5 2001-04-11 20.83% @ Rumelange 747 1 Jeunesse Esch 952 0
6 2001-03-11 21.10% Etzella Ettelbruck 973 4 @ F91 Dudelange 1071 3
7 2000-09-24 21.55% @ Rumelange 781 3 Etzella Ettelbruck 977 2
8 2001-04-19 22.48% @ Rodange 91 790 3 Etzella Ettelbruck 978 1
9 2001-02-24 23.03% Avenir Beggen 797 3 @ Rodange 91 875 2
10 2000-10-01 23.70% Sporting Mertzig 910 4 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 981 1
11 2000-09-27 23.81% Hobscheid 858 3 @ Sporting Mertzig 927 1
12 2000-09-24 24.01% Wiltz 71 799 4 @ Avenir Beggen 867 2
13 2001-04-16 24.80% Wiltz 71 740 2 @ Rodange 91 800 1
14 2001-02-11 25.05% @ Wiltz 71 765 3 Sporting Mertzig 927 2
15 2001-04-08 25.39% @ Hobscheid 894 2 F91 Dudelange 1053 1
16 2001-05-20 25.89% F91 Dudelange 1064 2 @ Grevenmacher 1115 1
17 2001-05-09 26.25% Mondercange 768 2 @ Rodange 91 815 0
18 2000-08-20 26.27% Rodange 91 862 1 @ Avenir Beggen 909 0
19 2000-11-26 26.50% @ Avenir Beggen 819 2 Jeunesse Esch 968 1
20 2001-05-06 27.43% @ Rodange 91 805 2 Sporting Mertzig 946 1
21 2001-04-25 28.78% @ Mondercange 748 3 Union Luxembourg 877 1
22 2001-01-31 28.99% @ Rodange 91 845 4 Sporting Mertzig 973 0
23 2000-12-03 29.69% Sporting Mertzig 941 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 959 0
24 2001-05-06 29.91% @ Avenir Beggen 848 3 Jeunesse Esch 968 1
25 2000-11-05 31.41% @ Union Luxembourg 848 2 Etzella Ettelbruck 956 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-01-31 34.90 @ Rodange 91 4 845 28.99% Sporting Mertzig 0 973 49.40% 21.61%
2 2001-05-03 33.98 Grevenmacher 6 1092 48.38% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 973 29.94% 21.68%
3 2000-08-13 32.61 @ Sporting Mertzig 4 876 32.57% Jeunesse Esch 0 975 45.60% 21.83%
4 2001-03-11 28.37 @ Sporting Mertzig 8 917 53.05% Rodange 91 1 865 25.65% 21.30%
5 2001-05-20 26.37 @ Hobscheid 6 917 43.99% Etzella Ettelbruck 1 934 34.12% 21.89%
6 2000-10-01 24.86 Sporting Mertzig 4 910 23.70% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 981 55.25% 21.05%
7 2000-10-01 23.87 F91 Dudelange 5 1013 54.63% @ Avenir Beggen 0 843 24.25% 21.12%
8 2001-04-14 21.63 @ Hobscheid 5 913 57.54% Rodange 91 0 822 21.73% 20.74%
9 2000-09-17 21.48 @ Hobscheid 4 840 51.23% Rumelange 0 802 27.30% 21.47%
10 2000-08-13 20.98 Grevenmacher 3 952 41.34% @ Rodange 91 0 883 36.71% 21.95%
11 2000-09-09 20.63 @ Rumelange 4 782 33.62% Rodange 91 1 872 44.50% 21.87%
12 2000-09-09 20.31 Etzella Ettelbruck 6 944 39.05% @ Avenir Beggen 2 891 38.98% 21.97%
13 2001-05-09 19.36 Mondercange 2 768 26.25% @ Rodange 91 0 815 52.39% 21.36%
14 2001-05-20 18.69 Avenir Beggen 5 863 49.66% @ Wiltz 71 1 733 28.74% 21.60%
15 2000-09-09 18.44 Sporting Mertzig 4 901 39.34% @ Mondercange 1 846 38.69% 21.97%
16 2001-04-04 18.19 Union Luxembourg 3 876 47.47% @ Rumelange 0 763 30.79% 21.74%
17 2000-12-03 18.15 Sporting Mertzig 2 941 29.69% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 959 48.64% 21.67%
18 2001-03-11 18.08 Hobscheid 3 892 47.70% @ Mondercange 0 778 30.58% 21.72%
19 2001-04-19 17.98 @ Rodange 91 3 790 22.48% Etzella Ettelbruck 1 978 56.65% 20.86%
20 2001-02-11 17.81 Grevenmacher 4 1006 57.13% @ Avenir Beggen 0 815 22.08% 20.80%
21 2000-11-26 17.75 Union Luxembourg 4 857 41.17% @ Wiltz 71 1 789 36.88% 21.95%
22 2000-09-27 17.54 Hobscheid 3 858 23.81% @ Sporting Mertzig 1 927 55.12% 21.06%
23 2001-02-11 16.89 Etzella Ettelbruck 2 953 33.47% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 941 44.66% 21.87%
24 2001-04-04 16.87 Mondercange 2 762 33.54% @ Wiltz 71 0 750 44.59% 21.87%
25 2001-05-02 16.61 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 956 50.85% Hobscheid 0 921 27.65% 21.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-04-19 62.9 @ Sporting Mertzig 3 936 58.85% Avenir Beggen 3 833 20.61% 20.53%
2 2000-09-24 62.7 @ Sporting Mertzig 3 928 54.80% Union Luxembourg 3 861 24.10% 21.10%
3 2001-04-11 62.5 @ Sporting Mertzig 3 948 42.09% Etzella Ettelbruck 3 979 35.97% 21.94%
4 2001-02-07 61.4 Mondercange 4 766 15.14% @ Sporting Mertzig 3 938 65.75% 19.11%
5 2001-03-11 59.6 Etzella Ettelbruck 4 973 21.10% @ F91 Dudelange 3 1071 58.28% 20.62%
6 2001-05-06 58.9 Hobscheid 3 906 12.11% @ Grevenmacher 2 1126 70.00% 17.89%
7 2000-10-01 58.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 966 65.36% Rumelange 2 798 15.44% 19.21%
8 2000-11-05 58.3 @ F91 Dudelange 2 1037 55.47% Jeunesse Esch 2 964 23.51% 21.02%
9 2001-05-03 58.2 @ Hobscheid 2 905 25.71% F91 Dudelange 2 1061 52.98% 21.30%
10 2000-10-01 58.0 @ Wiltz 71 2 802 35.99% Rodange 91 2 876 42.07% 21.94%
11 2001-04-01 58.0 @ Rodange 91 2 837 40.91% Union Luxembourg 2 875 37.13% 21.96%
12 2000-09-24 56.0 @ Rumelange 3 781 21.55% Etzella Ettelbruck 2 977 57.74% 20.71%
13 2001-02-24 55.6 Avenir Beggen 3 797 23.03% @ Rodange 91 2 875 56.02% 20.95%
14 2001-02-11 55.0 @ Wiltz 71 3 765 25.05% Sporting Mertzig 2 927 53.73% 21.22%
15 2001-04-08 54.1 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 982 71.32% Rumelange 1 744 11.22% 17.45%
16 2001-04-01 54.0 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 983 70.22% Mondercange 1 760 11.96% 17.82%
17 2001-04-11 54.0 @ F91 Dudelange 1 1044 70.26% Avenir Beggen 1 820 11.94% 17.81%
18 2000-11-26 53.6 @ Grevenmacher 1 978 66.06% Rumelange 1 803 14.91% 19.03%
19 2001-04-14 53.1 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 979 57.88% Union Luxembourg 1 885 21.44% 20.69%
20 2000-08-19 53.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 942 54.29% Union Luxembourg 1 880 24.55% 21.16%
21 2000-09-09 53.0 @ Wiltz 71 1 806 23.36% Grevenmacher 1 985 55.64% 21.00%
22 2001-05-13 53.0 @ Sporting Mertzig 1 937 56.17% Union Luxembourg 1 858 22.90% 20.93%
23 2000-08-20 52.9 @ Rumelange 1 769 27.57% Sporting Mertzig 1 909 50.94% 21.49%
24 2000-09-17 52.9 @ Union Luxembourg 1 862 50.79% Mondercange 1 828 27.70% 21.51%
25 2000-12-03 52.9 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 941 51.65% Hobscheid 1 900 26.92% 21.43%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-02-11 26.6 @ F91 Dudelange 4 1058 65.69% Rodange 91 0 887 15.19% 19.12%
2 2001-04-19 26.7 @ F91 Dudelange 2 1048 75.59% Rumelange 0 752 8.57% 15.84%
3 2000-10-01 27.7 @ Grevenmacher 3 960 64.71% Mondercange 0 799 15.93% 19.36%
4 2000-12-03 27.8 @ Grevenmacher 4 988 61.53% Rodange 91 0 860 18.42% 20.05%
5 2001-04-25 28.7 @ Sporting Mertzig 3 935 61.38% Rodange 91 0 808 18.54% 20.08%
6 2000-08-20 29.1 @ Grevenmacher 3 973 60.11% Hobscheid 0 858 19.57% 20.32%
7 2001-02-11 29.1 Grevenmacher 4 1006 57.13% @ Avenir Beggen 0 815 22.08% 20.80%
8 2001-04-14 29.2 @ Grevenmacher 3 1060 59.86% Sporting Mertzig 0 948 19.78% 20.36%
9 2001-04-14 29.3 @ Hobscheid 5 913 57.54% Rodange 91 0 822 21.73% 20.74%
10 2000-11-29 29.5 @ Grevenmacher 3 975 58.66% Union Luxembourg 0 874 20.78% 20.56%
11 2001-04-11 29.8 Grevenmacher 2 1054 65.53% @ Mondercange 0 780 15.31% 19.16%
12 2000-09-09 30.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 941 57.18% Hobscheid 0 853 22.03% 20.79%
13 2001-04-30 30.0 @ Avenir Beggen 3 826 57.06% Rumelange 0 739 22.13% 20.81%
14 2000-10-01 30.2 F91 Dudelange 5 1013 54.63% @ Avenir Beggen 0 843 24.25% 21.12%
15 2000-08-13 30.7 @ F91 Dudelange 2 961 62.30% Wiltz 71 0 826 17.81% 19.90%
16 2000-12-06 30.7 @ Sporting Mertzig 6 959 64.20% Rumelange 1 804 16.32% 19.48%
17 2001-04-19 30.7 Jeunesse Esch 3 934 54.74% @ Mondercange 0 763 24.15% 21.11%
18 2000-09-17 30.9 @ Hobscheid 4 840 51.23% Rumelange 0 802 27.30% 21.47%
19 2001-05-02 31.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 966 71.55% Rumelange 0 726 11.08% 17.37%
20 2001-04-25 31.4 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 948 60.06% Avenir Beggen 0 834 19.62% 20.33%
21 2001-05-13 31.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 953 69.66% Wiltz 71 0 736 12.34% 18.00%
22 2001-05-02 31.8 @ Avenir Beggen 2 840 58.69% Wiltz 71 0 738 20.75% 20.56%
23 2000-09-27 31.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 5 954 62.68% Wiltz 71 1 814 17.51% 19.82%
24 2001-05-02 31.9 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 956 50.85% Hobscheid 0 921 27.65% 21.50%
25 2001-05-20 32.1 Jeunesse Esch 5 956 62.12% @ Rumelange 1 718 17.95% 19.93%