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2001-02 Luxembourg National Division Season

168 games

Final

Champion

Grevenmacher

51 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Grevenmacher

9.88 points above expected

51 points · 41.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Etzella Ettelbruck

11.81 points below expected

13 points · 24.81 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Grevenmacher 22 15 6 1 51 44 14 +30 41.12 +9.88
2 F91 Dudelange 22 15 5 2 50 56 18 +38 41.74 +8.26
3 Jeunesse Esch 22 12 5 5 41 38 22 +16 36.00 +5.00
4 Union Luxembourg 22 11 4 7 37 38 35 +3 29.58 +7.42
5 Mondercange 22 10 3 9 33 42 39 +3 25.51 +7.49
6 Swift Hesperange 22 8 6 8 30 44 37 +7 32.32 -2.32
7 Avenir Beggen 22 6 8 8 26 30 39 -9 25.87 +0.13
8 Sporting Mertzig 22 6 6 10 24 24 41 -17 28.67 -4.67
9 Rumelange 22 4 8 10 20 28 42 -14 20.73 -0.73
10 Progres Niedercorn 22 5 5 12 20 29 51 -22 30.71 -10.71
11 Hobscheid 22 4 6 12 18 34 51 -17 27.77 -9.77
12 Etzella Ettelbruck 22 3 4 15 13 33 51 -18 24.81 -11.81
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rumelange 6 4 0 2 12 19 13 +6 27.50 -15.50
2 F91 Dudelange 6 4 0 2 12 8 5 +3 60.61 -48.61
3 Etzella Ettelbruck 6 3 1 2 10 14 14 0 21.50 -11.50
4 Sporting Mertzig 6 3 1 2 10 9 9 0 33.12 -23.12
5 Union Luxembourg 6 3 1 2 10 4 4 0 42.12 -32.12
6 Mondercange 6 2 2 2 8 11 12 -1 44.09 -36.09
7 Progres Niedercorn 6 2 2 2 8 9 11 -2 28.79 -20.79
8 Grevenmacher 6 2 1 3 7 7 8 -1 61.56 -54.56
9 Hobscheid 6 2 1 3 7 10 14 -4 27.45 -20.45
10 Swift Hesperange 6 2 0 4 6 12 10 +2 42.63 -36.63
11 Avenir Beggen 6 1 3 2 6 10 11 -1 36.05 -30.05
12 Jeunesse Esch 6 1 2 3 5 7 9 -2 47.90 -42.90

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Grevenmacher 51 41.12 +9.88
2 F91 Dudelange 50 41.74 +8.26
3 Mondercange 33 25.51 +7.49
4 Union Luxembourg 37 29.58 +7.42
5 Jeunesse Esch 41 36.00 +5.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Etzella Ettelbruck 13 24.81 -11.81
2 Progres Niedercorn 20 30.71 -10.71
3 Hobscheid 18 27.77 -9.77
4 Sporting Mertzig 24 28.67 -4.67
5 Swift Hesperange 30 32.32 -2.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grevenmacher 9 Nov 18 – Apr 7 1 in 64
2 Sporting Mertzig 3 Sep 23 – Oct 14 1 in 24
3 Jeunesse Esch 4 Nov 18 – Dec 2 1 in 19
4 Mondercange 3 Dec 2 – Dec 15 1 in 18
5 Union Luxembourg 2 Sep 9 – Sep 16 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hobscheid 6 Sep 9 – Oct 21 1 in 179
2 Etzella Ettelbruck 5 Sep 23 – Oct 21 1 in 105
3 Progres Niedercorn 4 Nov 18 – Dec 16 1 in 19
4 Avenir Beggen 2 Aug 1 – Aug 5 1 in 12
5 Sporting Mertzig 3 Aug 1 – Aug 11 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grevenmacher 20 Aug 18 – Apr 7 1 in 107
2 F91 Dudelange 17 Sep 23 – Apr 7 1 in 43
3 Rumelange 4 Oct 28 – Nov 18 1 in 16
4 Union Luxembourg 4 Sep 9 – Sep 26 1 in 15
5 Avenir Beggen 4 Mar 10 – Apr 7 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Etzella Ettelbruck 10 Sep 23 – Nov 18 1 in 72
2 Hobscheid 9 Aug 18 – Nov 4 1 in 49
3 Grevenmacher 5 Oct 21 – Nov 11 1 in 29
4 Sporting Mertzig 5 Nov 11 – Dec 9 1 in 13
5 Rumelange 9 Sep 9 – Nov 11 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
F91 Dudelange 1186 62 -3 9 8.7 +0.3
Grevenmacher 1152 58 -37 4 8.4 -4.4
Union Luxembourg 1016 47 +36 10 4.5 +5.5
Jeunesse Esch 1052 46 +3 5 6.0 -1.0
Mondercange 945 41 -18 7 8.0 -1.0
Swift Hesperange 991 36 -13 6 8.8 -2.8
Sporting Mertzig 908 34 +9 9 5.8 +3.2
Rumelange 896 32 +35 9 5.6 +3.4
Avenir Beggen 920 32 -9 5 7.3 -2.3
Progres Niedercorn 883 28 -8 7 5.8 +1.2
Hobscheid 890 25 -8 7 6.5 +0.5
Etzella Ettelbruck 905 23 +12 7 7.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB EE FD GRE HOB JE MON PN RUM SM SH UL
Avenir Beggen —
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
1.45
0-0-2
1.49
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
1.80
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.14
1-1-0
2.37
Etzella Ettelbruck
0-1-1
2.85
—
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
3.47
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.15
F91 Dudelange
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.04
—
0-2-0
2.76
2-0-0
4.29
1-0-1
3.41
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
4.19
0-2-0
4.42
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.77
2-0-0
3.81
Grevenmacher
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
4.20
0-2-0
2.73
—
2-0-0
4.13
0-1-1
3.44
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
4.50
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.88
Hobscheid
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
1.43
—
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.88
Jeunesse Esch
0-1-1
3.73
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.07
2-0-0
3.56
—
1-1-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
3.28
Mondercange
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.57
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
1.88
—
1-1-0
2.31
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.59
Progres Niedercorn
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.24
0-0-2
1.38
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
3.19
—
0-1-1
3.50
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.62
Rumelange
1-0-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.04
0-2-0
1.19
0-0-2
1.11
0-1-1
2.07
0-1-1
1.53
0-0-2
2.13
1-1-0
2.01
—
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.91
0-2-0
1.96
Sporting Mertzig
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
1.44
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
3.50
—
0-2-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.76
Swift Hesperange
0-1-1
3.37
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
1.75
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
3.61
0-2-0
3.08
—
1-0-1
2.86
Union Luxembourg
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.36
0-0-2
1.73
0-1-1
1.65
2-0-0
2.62
2-0-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
2.88
0-2-0
3.56
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.63
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +10.8
Allowed 0.92 -9.5
Differential 0.92 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.36%5.06%5.65%4.76%0.89%0.60%22.32%
15.06%10.71%6.85%3.27%1.79%1.79%29.46%
25.65%6.85%4.17%3.27%2.38%0.89%23.21%
34.76%3.27%3.27%3.57%0.30%0.30%15.48%
40.89%1.79%2.38%0.30%—0.30%5.65%
5+0.60%1.79%0.89%0.30%0.30%—3.87%
Total22.32%29.46%23.21%15.48%5.65%3.87%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.67 +0.00
SD 1.42 1.42 2.02
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 9 9 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 168

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—3.57%7.14%—3.57%17.86%
13.57%17.86%10.71%3.57%——35.71%
27.14%7.14%10.71%7.14%——32.14%
3—3.57%3.57%7.14%——14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%28.57%25.00%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.79 -0.36
SD 0.96 1.20 1.59
CV 0.67 0.67 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
13.57%7.14%14.29%7.14%3.57%3.57%39.29%
2——3.57%14.29%3.57%3.57%25.00%
310.71%3.57%—3.57%—3.57%21.43%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+———————
Total17.86%17.86%21.43%25.00%7.14%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.32 -0.64
SD 1.06 1.96 2.15
CV 0.63 0.85 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
110.71%10.71%3.57%3.57%——28.57%
27.14%3.57%————10.71%
317.86%3.57%7.14%———28.57%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+—10.71%3.57%———14.29%
Total42.86%35.71%17.86%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 0.82 +1.46
SD 1.76 0.86 1.79
CV 0.77 1.05 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%7.14%7.14%———25.00%
17.14%10.71%————17.86%
210.71%17.86%————28.57%
3—7.14%3.57%3.57%——14.29%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total39.29%46.43%10.71%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.79 +1.04
SD 1.52 0.79 1.75
CV 0.83 1.00 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%—10.71%3.57%—17.86%
13.57%10.71%7.14%3.57%——25.00%
23.57%7.14%7.14%7.14%10.71%3.57%39.29%
33.57%3.57%—7.14%3.57%—17.86%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.71%25.00%14.29%28.57%17.86%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 2.32 -0.75
SD 1.00 1.49 1.78
CV 0.63 0.64 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%10.71%———25.00%
110.71%10.71%7.14%3.57%——32.14%
27.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
37.14%7.14%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
4———————
5+—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
Total32.14%32.14%28.57%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.11 +0.50
SD 1.45 0.96 1.69
CV 0.90 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%10.71%———21.43%
1—7.14%3.57%——10.71%21.43%
27.14%3.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%—25.00%
310.71%—3.57%———14.29%
43.57%—7.14%3.57%——14.29%
5+——3.57%———3.57%
Total25.00%17.86%35.71%7.14%3.57%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.82 +0.07
SD 1.47 1.63 2.34
CV 0.78 0.90 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%7.14%10.71%——28.57%
17.14%10.71%3.57%3.57%7.14%3.57%35.71%
2—7.14%3.57%—3.57%—14.29%
3—3.57%3.57%7.14%——14.29%
4——3.57%——3.57%7.14%
5+———————
Total10.71%28.57%21.43%21.43%10.71%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.21 -0.86
SD 1.25 1.62 1.74
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%—25.00%
1—14.29%3.57%3.57%7.14%—28.57%
23.57%—3.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%17.86%
33.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%——14.29%
4—3.57%7.14%———10.71%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total14.29%28.57%25.00%14.29%14.29%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.96 -0.29
SD 1.47 1.40 2.11
CV 0.87 0.71 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%3.57%17.86%3.57%3.57%35.71%
1—17.86%7.14%———25.00%
210.71%10.71%3.57%—3.57%—28.57%
3—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+———————
Total14.29%35.71%21.43%17.86%7.14%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.79 -0.61
SD 1.12 1.32 2.02
CV 0.95 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%3.57%———17.86%
1—10.71%17.86%7.14%——35.71%
23.57%10.71%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
3——3.57%3.57%——7.14%
4—10.71%————10.71%
5+———3.57%3.57%—7.14%
Total7.14%42.86%28.57%17.86%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.68 +0.32
SD 2.09 0.98 1.91
CV 1.05 0.59 —
Max 9 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%—10.71%7.14%——28.57%
114.29%—3.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%28.57%
27.14%10.71%3.57%———21.43%
33.57%—3.57%3.57%——10.71%
43.57%—3.57%———7.14%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total39.29%14.29%25.00%14.29%3.57%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.39 +0.11
SD 1.40 1.42 2.11
CV 0.93 1.02 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
F91 Dudelange 1186 50 41.74 +8.26 89.0% 27 31 37 41 46 53 56
Grevenmacher 1152 51 41.12 +9.88 96.0% 27 30 36 42 46 50 56
Jeunesse Esch 1052 41 36.00 +5.00 82.0% 25 27 32 36 39 45 50
Union Luxembourg 1016 37 29.58 +7.42 93.0% 12 19 25 30 34 38 46
Swift Hesperange 991 30 32.32 -2.32 35.0% 17 19 28 33 37 41 46
Mondercange 945 33 25.51 +7.49 93.0% 9 16 21 25 30 35 41
Avenir Beggen 920 26 25.87 +0.13 59.0% 11 17 22 26 29 36 45
Sporting Mertzig 908 24 28.67 -4.67 25.0% 9 19 24 29 33 37 41
Etzella Ettelbruck 905 13 24.81 -11.81 2.0% 9 17 21 24 28 34 36
Rumelange 896 20 20.73 -0.73 49.0% 6 12 17 21 23 31 36
Hobscheid 890 18 27.77 -9.77 10.0% 13 15 23 28 33 38 42
Progres Niedercorn 883 20 30.71 -10.71 4.0% 15 21 27 30 35 41 49

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+2.38%
No Edge
39.29%23.81%36.90%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 8.27 Elo pts.
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.13 goals
Neutral
-2+0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Grevenmacher, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.87 * Some Luck: 4.87 to 7.3 * Lucky: 7.3 to 9.74 * Wild Swing: 9.74 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.64 * Close: 1.64 to 2.45 * Off: 2.45 to 3.27 * Way Off: 3.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.52 points
Lucky
06.0915
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.055
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Grevenmacher
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 111.52
2.00
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Even
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Rare
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.57
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.90
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Grevenmacher40.00%31.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%————
F91 Dudelange38.00%28.00%17.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%————
Jeunesse Esch10.00%16.00%23.00%19.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%———
Union Luxembourg—5.00%9.00%9.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%3.00%13.00%8.00%2.00%
Mondercange——1.00%8.00%5.00%12.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%19.00%9.00%
Swift Hesperange2.00%9.00%17.00%14.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%
Avenir Beggen2.00%—1.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%15.00%15.00%16.00%14.00%9.00%13.00%
Sporting Mertzig2.00%1.00%10.00%3.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%
Rumelange——1.00%—4.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%12.00%14.00%19.00%41.00%
Progres Niedercorn4.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%2.00%4.00%
Hobscheid2.00%4.00%2.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck——1.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%17.00%19.00%17.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
F91 Dudelange 100% —
Grevenmacher 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 99.00% 1.00%
Swift Hesperange 96.00% 4.00%
Progres Niedercorn 90.00% 10.00%
Union Luxembourg 90.00% 10.00%
Sporting Mertzig 85.00% 15.00%
Hobscheid 84.00% 16.00%
Avenir Beggen 79.00% 21.00%
Mondercange 78.00% 22.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck 65.00% 35.00%
Rumelange 34.00% 66.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
F91 Dudelange 100% —
Grevenmacher 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Mondercange 100% —
Swift Hesperange 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Avenir Beggen 99.57% 0.43%
Sporting Mertzig 95.98% 4.02%
Progres Niedercorn 73.71% 26.29%
Rumelange 63.81% 36.19%
Hobscheid 58.10% 41.90%
Etzella Ettelbruck 8.83% 91.17%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2001-08-01 F91 Dudelange L 2-347.6 966 1059 26.48% 24.58% 48.94%-0.52 -5.4 0
2001-08-01 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-247.6 1059 966 48.94% 24.58% 26.48%+0.52 +5.4 3
2001-08-01 Grevenmacher L 0-134.9 898 1083 17.80% 22.48% 59.72%-1.08 -4.2 0
2001-08-01 @ Mondercange W 1-034.9 1083 898 59.72% 22.48% 17.80%+1.08 +4.2 3
2001-08-01 Jeunesse Esch L 0-237.7 986 1000 36.56% 25.25% 38.19%-0.03 -14.8 0
2001-08-01 @ Sporting Mertzig W 2-037.7 1000 986 38.19% 25.25% 36.56%+0.03 +14.8 3
2001-08-01 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.2 986 1023 33.46% 25.17% 41.37%-0.17 +0.3 1
2001-08-01 @ Hobscheid D 1-152.2 1023 986 41.37% 25.17% 33.46%+0.17 -0.3 1
2001-08-01 Rumelange L 1-346.9 951 855 51.45% 24.23% 24.32%+0.64 -16.8 0
2001-08-01 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-146.9 855 951 24.32% 24.23% 51.45%-0.64 +16.8 3
2001-08-01 Swift Hesperange W 3-252.3 949 987 33.19% 25.16% 41.64%-0.18 +7.8 3
2001-08-01 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-352.3 987 949 41.64% 25.16% 33.19%+0.18 -7.7 0
2001-08-05 Avenir Beggen W 2-039.3 894 935 32.93% 25.15% 41.92%-0.20 +16.4 3
2001-08-05 @ Mondercange L 0-239.3 935 894 41.92% 25.15% 32.93%+0.20 -16.4 0
2001-08-05 Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-443.1 1022 960 47.08% 24.78% 28.14%+0.43 -22.1 1
2001-08-05 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-143.1 960 1022 28.14% 24.78% 47.08%-0.43 +22.1 3
2001-08-05 Grevenmacher W 1-044.1 1015 1087 28.87% 24.86% 46.27%-0.39 +9.4 6
2001-08-05 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-144.1 1087 1015 46.27% 24.86% 28.87%+0.39 -9.4 3
2001-08-05 Hobscheid W 3-251.0 979 987 37.50% 25.25% 37.25%+0.01 +7.1 3
2001-08-05 @ Swift Hesperange L 2-351.0 987 979 37.25% 25.25% 37.50%-0.01 -7.1 1
2001-08-05 Union Luxembourg D 3-361.6 872 956 27.45% 24.70% 47.85%-0.46 +0.5 4
2001-08-05 @ Rumelange D 3-361.6 956 872 47.85% 24.70% 27.45%+0.46 -0.5 4
2001-08-05 Sporting Mertzig W 3-031.4 1064 972 50.98% 24.30% 24.72%+0.61 +15.7 6
2001-08-05 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-331.4 972 1064 24.72% 24.30% 50.98%-0.61 -15.7 0
2001-08-11 Avenir Beggen L 0-239.9 956 918 43.82% 25.05% 31.13%+0.28 -17.0 4
2001-08-11 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-039.9 918 956 31.13% 25.05% 43.82%-0.28 +17.0 3
2001-08-11 Mondercange D 1-152.5 1025 911 53.60% 23.87% 22.53%+0.74 -1.4 7
2001-08-11 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.5 911 1025 22.53% 23.87% 53.60%-0.74 +1.4 4
2001-08-11 Progres Niedercorn L 0-140.0 956 1000 32.41% 25.13% 42.47%-0.22 -7.1 0
2001-08-11 @ Sporting Mertzig W 1-040.0 1000 956 42.47% 25.13% 32.41%+0.22 +7.1 4
2001-08-11 Rumelange W 3-138.4 979 872 52.76% 24.02% 23.22%+0.70 +8.8 4
2001-08-11 @ Hobscheid L 1-338.4 872 979 23.22% 24.02% 52.76%-0.70 -8.9 4
2001-08-18 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-042.1 864 982 23.70% 24.11% 52.19%-0.67 +19.6 7
2001-08-18 @ Rumelange L 0-242.1 982 864 52.19% 24.11% 23.70%+0.67 -19.7 3
2001-08-18 Grevenmacher L 1-340.4 1007 1078 29.07% 24.88% 46.05%-0.38 -10.7 4
2001-08-18 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-140.4 1078 1007 46.05% 24.88% 29.07%+0.38 +10.7 6
2001-08-18 Hobscheid D 3-361.5 935 988 31.25% 25.06% 43.69%-0.27 +0.3 4
2001-08-18 @ Avenir Beggen D 3-361.5 988 935 43.69% 25.06% 31.25%+0.27 -0.3 5
2001-08-18 Jeunesse Esch L 0-144.2 1080 1023 46.37% 24.85% 28.78%+0.39 -9.4 6
2001-08-18 @ F91 Dudelange W 1-044.2 1023 1080 28.78% 24.85% 46.37%-0.39 +9.4 10
2001-08-18 Union Luxembourg W 3-036.2 912 939 34.77% 25.22% 40.01%-0.11 +23.0 7
2001-08-18 @ Mondercange L 0-336.2 939 912 40.01% 25.22% 34.77%+0.11 -23.0 4
2001-08-18 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.2 986 949 43.81% 25.05% 31.14%+0.28 -0.5 4
2001-08-18 @ Swift Hesperange D 1-152.2 949 986 31.14% 25.05% 43.81%-0.28 +0.5 1
2001-09-09 Mondercange W 5-133.2 1070 935 56.09% 23.37% 20.54%+0.87 +14.5 9
2001-09-09 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-533.2 935 1070 20.54% 23.37% 56.09%-0.87 -14.5 7
2001-09-09 Union Luxembourg L 0-144.7 988 916 48.43% 24.64% 26.94%+0.49 -9.8 5
2001-09-09 @ Hobscheid W 1-044.7 916 988 26.94% 24.64% 48.43%-0.49 +9.8 7
2001-09-09 Rumelange W 2-034.9 949 883 47.62% 24.73% 27.65%+0.45 +11.9 4
2001-09-09 @ Sporting Mertzig L 0-234.9 883 949 27.65% 24.73% 47.62%-0.45 -11.9 7
2001-09-09 Swift Hesperange W 2-141.6 1089 986 52.28% 24.10% 23.62%+0.68 +5.2 9
2001-09-09 @ Grevenmacher L 1-241.6 986 1089 23.62% 24.10% 52.28%-0.68 -5.2 4
2001-09-16 Avenir Beggen W 2-139.7 1094 935 58.66% 22.76% 18.58%+1.02 +4.2 12
2001-09-16 @ Grevenmacher L 1-239.7 935 1094 18.58% 22.76% 58.66%-1.02 -4.2 4
2001-09-16 Hobscheid W 3-035.7 963 978 36.36% 25.24% 38.40%-0.04 +22.3 6
2001-09-16 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-335.7 978 963 38.40% 25.24% 36.36%+0.04 -22.3 5
2001-09-16 Mondercange D 0-048.7 997 920 48.93% 24.58% 26.49%+0.51 -1.1 5
2001-09-16 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-048.7 920 997 26.49% 24.58% 48.93%-0.51 +1.1 8
2001-09-16 Union Luxembourg L 0-436.3 961 926 43.55% 25.07% 31.38%+0.27 -32.1 4
2001-09-16 @ Sporting Mertzig W 4-036.3 926 961 31.38% 25.07% 43.55%-0.27 +32.1 10
2001-09-16 Rumelange D 2-257.9 1033 871 58.95% 22.68% 18.36%+1.03 -1.4 11
2001-09-16 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-257.9 871 1033 18.36% 22.68% 58.95%-1.03 +1.4 8
2001-09-16 Swift Hesperange L 1-250.3 1085 981 52.42% 24.07% 23.50%+0.69 -9.9 9
2001-09-16 @ F91 Dudelange W 2-150.3 981 1085 23.50% 24.07% 52.42%-0.69 +9.9 7
2001-09-23 Etzella Ettelbruck W 5-245.9 922 985 29.95% 24.96% 45.09%-0.34 +18.4 11
2001-09-23 @ Mondercange L 2-545.9 985 922 45.09% 24.96% 29.95%+0.34 -18.4 6
2001-09-23 F91 Dudelange D 1-153.1 873 1075 16.52% 21.96% 61.51%-1.18 +2.1 9
2001-09-23 @ Rumelange D 1-153.1 1075 873 61.51% 21.96% 16.52%+1.18 -2.1 10
2001-09-23 Grevenmacher D 0-049.0 958 1098 21.58% 23.64% 54.77%-0.81 +1.7 11
2001-09-23 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-049.0 1098 958 54.77% 23.64% 21.58%+0.81 -1.7 13
2001-09-23 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.4 931 1031 25.69% 24.46% 49.85%-0.56 +1.1 5
2001-09-23 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-152.4 1031 931 49.85% 24.46% 25.69%+0.56 -1.1 12
2001-09-23 Progres Niedercorn W 7-445.8 990 996 37.82% 25.25% 36.93%+0.02 +13.9 10
2001-09-23 @ Swift Hesperange L 4-745.8 996 990 36.93% 25.25% 37.82%-0.02 -13.9 5
2001-09-23 Sporting Mertzig L 1-344.5 956 929 42.34% 25.13% 32.52%+0.21 -14.3 5
2001-09-23 @ Hobscheid W 3-144.5 929 956 32.52% 25.13% 42.34%-0.21 +14.3 7
2001-09-26 Avenir Beggen W 3-029.6 1073 932 56.67% 23.24% 20.09%+0.91 +13.0 13
2001-09-26 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-329.6 932 1073 20.09% 23.24% 56.67%-0.91 -13.0 5
2001-09-26 Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-251.7 943 967 35.26% 25.23% 39.51%-0.09 +7.4 10
2001-09-26 @ Sporting Mertzig L 2-351.7 967 943 39.51% 25.23% 35.26%+0.09 -7.4 6
2001-09-26 Hobscheid W 4-028.3 1096 942 58.26% 22.86% 18.88%+0.99 +16.0 16
2001-09-26 @ Grevenmacher L 0-428.3 942 1096 18.88% 22.86% 58.26%-0.99 -16.0 5
2001-09-26 Mondercange L 1-249.0 1004 940 47.39% 24.75% 27.86%+0.44 -9.1 10
2001-09-26 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-149.0 940 1004 27.86% 24.75% 47.39%-0.44 +9.1 14
2001-09-26 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.4 875 982 24.95% 24.34% 50.70%-0.60 +1.1 10
2001-09-26 @ Rumelange D 1-152.4 982 875 50.70% 24.34% 24.95%+0.60 -1.1 6
2001-09-26 Union Luxembourg L 1-249.2 1030 959 48.25% 24.66% 27.10%+0.48 -9.2 12
2001-09-26 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-149.2 959 1030 27.10% 24.66% 48.25%-0.48 +9.2 14
2001-10-10 Avenir Beggen L 1-345.0 959 919 44.13% 25.03% 30.84%+0.29 -14.8 6
2001-10-10 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-145.0 919 959 30.84% 25.03% 44.13%-0.29 +14.8 8
2001-10-14 F91 Dudelange L 1-534.4 968 1086 23.85% 24.14% 52.01%-0.66 -16.5 14
2001-10-14 @ Union Luxembourg W 5-134.4 1086 968 52.01% 24.14% 23.85%+0.66 +16.5 16
2001-10-14 Grevenmacher L 1-336.9 944 1112 19.15% 22.95% 57.90%-0.97 -7.4 6
2001-10-14 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-136.9 1112 944 57.90% 22.95% 19.15%+0.97 +7.4 19
2001-10-14 Jeunesse Esch L 1-242.5 926 1021 26.20% 24.54% 49.27%-0.53 -5.7 5
2001-10-14 @ Hobscheid W 2-142.5 1021 926 49.27% 24.54% 26.20%+0.53 +5.7 15
2001-10-14 Progres Niedercorn L 2-349.4 934 980 32.13% 25.11% 42.76%-0.23 -6.3 8
2001-10-14 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-249.4 980 934 42.76% 25.11% 32.13%+0.23 +6.4 9
2001-10-14 Sporting Mertzig L 2-447.6 949 951 38.31% 25.25% 36.44%+0.04 -11.9 14
2001-10-14 @ Mondercange W 4-247.6 951 949 36.44% 25.25% 38.31%-0.04 +11.9 13
2001-10-14 Swift Hesperange L 0-233.5 876 995 23.65% 24.10% 52.24%-0.68 -10.4 10
2001-10-14 @ Rumelange W 2-033.5 995 876 52.24% 24.10% 23.65%+0.68 +10.4 13
2001-10-21 Avenir Beggen L 1-249.4 1006 928 49.15% 24.55% 26.30%+0.52 -9.3 13
2001-10-21 @ Swift Hesperange W 2-149.4 928 1006 26.30% 24.55% 49.15%-0.52 +9.3 11
2001-10-21 Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-037.6 1027 937 50.64% 24.35% 25.01%+0.60 +5.8 18
2001-10-21 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-137.6 937 1027 25.01% 24.35% 50.64%-0.60 -5.8 6
2001-10-21 Hobscheid W 6-234.0 1102 920 61.20% 22.06% 16.74%+1.16 +10.1 19
2001-10-21 @ F91 Dudelange L 2-634.0 920 1102 16.74% 22.06% 61.20%-1.16 -10.1 5
2001-10-21 Mondercange L 0-431.9 866 937 28.96% 24.87% 46.17%-0.39 -23.4 10
2001-10-21 @ Rumelange W 4-031.9 937 866 46.17% 24.87% 28.96%+0.39 +23.4 17
2001-10-21 Union Luxembourg L 2-449.1 987 952 43.45% 25.07% 31.47%+0.26 -13.1 9
2001-10-21 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-249.1 952 987 31.47% 25.07% 43.45%-0.26 +13.1 17
2001-10-21 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.9 1120 963 58.52% 22.80% 18.68%+1.01 -1.8 20
2001-10-21 @ Grevenmacher D 1-152.9 963 1120 18.68% 22.80% 58.52%-1.01 +1.8 14
2001-10-24 F91 Dudelange D 0-048.5 1118 1112 39.36% 25.23% 35.41%+0.08 -0.2 21
2001-10-24 @ Grevenmacher D 0-048.5 1112 1118 35.41% 25.23% 39.36%-0.08 +0.2 20
2001-10-24 Progres Niedercorn L 1-345.7 1032 974 46.65% 24.82% 28.53%+0.41 -15.5 18
2001-10-24 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-145.7 974 1032 28.53% 24.82% 46.65%-0.41 +15.5 12
2001-10-24 Swift Hesperange D 2-257.2 931 996 29.75% 24.94% 45.31%-0.35 +0.5 7
2001-10-24 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 2-257.2 996 931 45.31% 24.94% 29.75%+0.35 -0.5 14
2001-10-28 F91 Dudelange L 0-330.0 965 1113 20.88% 23.46% 55.65%-0.85 -13.5 14
2001-10-28 @ Sporting Mertzig W 3-030.0 1113 965 55.65% 23.46% 20.88%+0.85 +13.5 23
2001-10-28 Jeunesse Esch D 0-048.8 1118 1017 52.03% 24.14% 23.83%+0.67 -1.4 22
2001-10-28 @ Grevenmacher D 0-048.8 1017 1118 23.83% 24.14% 52.03%-0.67 +1.4 19
2001-10-28 Mondercange W 3-251.7 937 961 35.22% 25.23% 39.55%-0.09 +7.4 14
2001-10-28 @ Avenir Beggen L 2-351.7 961 937 39.55% 25.23% 35.22%+0.09 -7.4 17
2001-10-28 Progres Niedercorn L 2-445.2 932 989 30.69% 25.02% 44.29%-0.30 -10.0 7
2001-10-28 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-245.2 989 932 44.29% 25.02% 30.69%+0.30 +10.0 15
2001-10-28 Rumelange D 0-048.9 965 842 54.64% 23.67% 21.69%+0.80 -1.6 18
2001-10-28 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-048.9 842 965 21.69% 23.67% 54.64%-0.80 +1.7 11
2001-10-28 Swift Hesperange D 3-361.6 910 996 27.26% 24.68% 48.06%-0.47 +0.6 6
2001-10-28 @ Hobscheid D 3-361.6 996 910 48.06% 24.68% 27.26%+0.47 -0.6 15
2001-11-04 Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-137.0 995 922 48.60% 24.62% 26.79%+0.50 +14.1 18
2001-11-04 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-437.0 922 995 26.79% 24.62% 48.60%-0.50 -14.2 7
2001-11-04 Grevenmacher D 1-152.2 1126 1116 39.93% 25.22% 34.85%+0.11 -0.2 24
2001-11-04 @ F91 Dudelange D 1-152.2 1116 1126 34.85% 25.22% 39.93%-0.11 +0.2 23
2001-11-04 Hobscheid D 1-152.2 844 910 29.58% 24.93% 45.49%-0.35 +0.7 12
2001-11-04 @ Rumelange D 1-152.2 910 844 45.49% 24.93% 29.58%+0.35 -0.7 7
2001-11-04 Sporting Mertzig L 0-240.3 999 951 45.26% 24.95% 29.79%+0.34 -17.4 15
2001-11-04 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-040.3 951 999 29.79% 24.95% 45.26%-0.34 +17.4 17
2001-11-11 Avenir Beggen W 3-036.5 910 945 33.67% 25.18% 41.15%-0.16 +23.5 10
2001-11-11 @ Hobscheid L 0-336.5 945 910 41.15% 25.18% 33.67%+0.16 -23.5 14
2001-11-11 F91 Dudelange L 0-137.6 1018 1126 24.87% 24.33% 50.80%-0.60 -5.8 19
2001-11-11 @ Jeunesse Esch W 1-037.6 1126 1018 50.80% 24.33% 24.87%+0.60 +5.8 27
2001-11-11 Mondercange W 1-040.8 963 953 40.01% 25.22% 34.77%+0.11 +7.5 21
2001-11-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-140.8 953 963 34.77% 25.22% 40.01%-0.11 -7.5 17
2001-11-11 Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.7 1117 982 56.03% 23.38% 20.58%+0.87 -1.6 24
2001-11-11 @ Grevenmacher D 1-152.7 982 1117 20.58% 23.38% 56.03%-0.87 +1.6 16
2001-11-11 Rumelange D 0-048.6 908 845 47.21% 24.77% 28.02%+0.43 -0.9 8
2001-11-11 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-048.6 845 908 28.02% 24.77% 47.21%-0.43 +0.9 13
2001-11-11 Swift Hesperange D 0-048.5 968 1009 32.85% 25.15% 42.00%-0.20 +0.4 18
2001-11-11 @ Sporting Mertzig D 0-048.5 1009 968 42.00% 25.15% 32.85%+0.20 -0.4 19
2001-11-18 Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-152.1 921 907 40.61% 25.20% 34.19%+0.14 -0.3 15
2001-11-18 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-152.1 907 921 34.19% 25.20% 40.61%-0.14 +0.3 9
2001-11-18 F91 Dudelange L 1-631.5 946 1132 17.71% 22.45% 59.84%-1.08 -15.4 17
2001-11-18 @ Mondercange W 6-131.5 1132 946 59.84% 22.45% 17.71%+1.08 +15.4 30
2001-11-18 Grevenmacher L 0-137.6 1009 1115 25.02% 24.35% 50.62%-0.60 -5.8 19
2001-11-18 @ Swift Hesperange W 1-037.6 1115 1009 50.62% 24.35% 25.02%+0.60 +5.8 27
2001-11-18 Hobscheid W 3-033.5 971 933 43.84% 25.05% 31.11%+0.28 +19.0 24
2001-11-18 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-333.5 933 971 31.11% 25.05% 43.84%-0.28 -19.0 10
2001-11-18 Jeunesse Esch L 0-334.5 983 1013 34.44% 25.21% 40.35%-0.13 -20.5 16
2001-11-18 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-034.5 1013 983 40.35% 25.21% 34.44%+0.13 +20.5 22
2001-11-18 Sporting Mertzig W 3-039.7 846 969 23.24% 24.02% 52.74%-0.70 +28.8 16
2001-11-18 @ Rumelange L 0-339.7 969 846 52.74% 24.02% 23.24%+0.70 -28.8 18
2001-11-24 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.1 940 921 41.29% 25.18% 33.53%+0.17 -0.3 19
2001-11-24 @ Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.1 921 940 33.53% 25.18% 41.29%-0.17 +0.3 16
2001-11-25 Mondercange D 2-257.1 914 930 36.28% 25.24% 38.48%-0.05 +0.1 11
2001-11-25 @ Hobscheid D 2-257.1 930 914 38.48% 25.24% 36.28%+0.05 -0.1 18
2001-11-25 Progres Niedercorn W 3-028.3 1147 963 61.37% 22.01% 16.62%+1.17 +10.8 33
2001-11-25 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-328.3 963 1147 16.62% 22.01% 61.37%-1.17 -10.8 16
2001-11-25 Union Luxembourg W 3-145.9 907 990 27.61% 24.72% 47.67%-0.46 +15.8 12
2001-11-25 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-345.9 990 907 47.67% 24.72% 27.61%+0.46 -15.8 24
2001-11-25 Rumelange W 4-131.4 1121 874 67.40% 19.92% 12.68%+1.55 +6.9 30
2001-11-25 @ Grevenmacher L 1-431.4 874 1121 12.68% 19.92% 67.40%-1.55 -6.9 16
2001-11-25 Swift Hesperange W 3-141.4 1033 1003 42.76% 25.11% 32.13%+0.23 +11.6 25
2001-11-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-341.4 1003 1033 32.13% 25.11% 42.76%-0.23 -11.6 19
2001-11-28 Jeunesse Esch L 0-233.7 930 1045 24.14% 24.20% 51.66%-0.65 -10.6 18
2001-11-28 @ Mondercange W 2-033.7 1045 930 51.66% 24.20% 24.14%+0.65 +10.6 28
2001-11-28 Union Luxembourg D 2-257.2 921 974 31.28% 25.06% 43.66%-0.27 +0.4 17
2001-11-28 @ Avenir Beggen D 2-257.2 974 921 43.66% 25.06% 31.28%+0.27 -0.4 25
2001-12-02 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-146.1 914 923 37.37% 25.25% 37.38%+0.00 +7.5 14
2001-12-02 @ Hobscheid L 1-246.1 923 914 37.38% 25.25% 37.37%+0.00 -7.5 12
2001-12-02 F91 Dudelange L 1-336.9 992 1158 19.30% 23.00% 57.70%-0.96 -7.5 19
2001-12-02 @ Swift Hesperange W 3-136.9 1158 992 57.70% 23.00% 19.30%+0.96 +7.5 36
2001-12-02 Grevenmacher L 0-527.5 922 1128 16.22% 21.83% 61.94%-1.21 -17.0 17
2001-12-02 @ Avenir Beggen W 5-027.5 1128 922 61.94% 21.83% 16.22%+1.21 +17.0 33
2001-12-02 Jeunesse Esch L 2-536.9 867 1055 17.58% 22.39% 60.03%-1.09 -8.4 16
2001-12-02 @ Rumelange W 5-236.9 1055 867 60.03% 22.39% 17.58%+1.09 +8.4 31
2001-12-02 Progres Niedercorn W 2-039.0 920 952 33.99% 25.19% 40.82%-0.15 +16.1 21
2001-12-02 @ Mondercange L 0-239.0 952 920 40.82% 25.19% 33.99%+0.15 -16.1 16
2001-12-02 Sporting Mertzig W 2-144.3 974 940 43.32% 25.08% 31.60%+0.26 +6.6 28
2001-12-02 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-244.3 940 974 31.60% 25.08% 43.32%-0.26 -6.6 19
2001-12-08 Mondercange L 2-350.5 915 936 35.64% 25.24% 39.13%-0.07 -6.9 12
2001-12-08 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-250.5 936 915 39.13% 25.24% 35.64%+0.07 +6.9 24
2001-12-09 Avenir Beggen L 0-243.6 1064 904 58.73% 22.74% 18.53%+1.02 -21.8 31
2001-12-09 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-043.6 904 1064 18.53% 22.74% 58.73%-1.02 +21.8 20
2001-12-09 Hobscheid D 1-152.1 933 922 40.17% 25.21% 34.61%+0.12 -0.2 20
2001-12-09 @ Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.1 922 933 34.61% 25.21% 40.17%-0.12 +0.2 15
2001-12-09 Union Luxembourg W 2-139.5 1145 980 59.31% 22.59% 18.10%+1.05 +4.1 36
2001-12-09 @ Grevenmacher L 1-239.5 980 1145 18.10% 22.59% 59.31%-1.05 -4.0 28
2001-12-09 Rumelange D 1-154.4 1165 859 72.51% 17.71% 9.78%+1.92 -3.0 37
2001-12-09 @ F91 Dudelange D 1-154.4 859 1165 9.78% 17.71% 72.51%-1.92 +3.0 17
2001-12-15 Hobscheid W 4-353.1 943 922 41.46% 25.17% 33.37%+0.18 +6.4 27
2001-12-15 @ Mondercange L 3-453.1 922 943 33.37% 25.17% 41.46%-0.18 -6.4 15
2001-12-16 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-142.9 976 908 47.88% 24.70% 27.43%+0.46 +5.9 31
2001-12-16 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-242.9 908 976 27.43% 24.70% 47.88%-0.46 -5.9 12
2001-12-16 F91 Dudelange L 0-133.6 936 1162 14.87% 21.18% 63.95%-1.33 -3.5 16
2001-12-16 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-033.6 1162 936 63.95% 21.18% 14.87%+1.33 +3.5 40
2001-12-16 Grevenmacher L 2-341.4 862 1149 11.44% 19.06% 69.50%-1.70 -2.4 17
2001-12-16 @ Rumelange W 3-241.4 1149 862 69.50% 19.06% 11.44%+1.70 +2.4 39
2001-12-16 Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.2 984 1042 30.67% 25.02% 44.31%-0.30 +0.6 20
2001-12-16 @ Swift Hesperange D 1-152.2 1042 984 44.31% 25.02% 30.67%+0.30 -0.6 32
2001-12-16 Sporting Mertzig L 1-246.2 926 933 37.60% 25.25% 37.15%+0.01 -7.5 20
2001-12-16 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-146.2 933 926 37.15% 25.25% 37.60%-0.01 +7.5 23
2002-03-06 Swift Hesperange W 2-147.9 932 985 31.37% 25.06% 43.56%-0.27 +8.5 19
2002-03-06 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-247.9 985 932 43.56% 25.06% 31.37%+0.27 -8.5 20
2002-03-10 F91 Dudelange D 0-049.9 919 1166 13.58% 20.48% 65.94%-1.46 +2.8 21
2002-03-10 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-049.9 1166 919 65.94% 20.48% 13.58%+1.46 -2.8 41
2002-03-10 Grevenmacher L 1-237.9 916 1151 14.29% 20.88% 64.84%-1.38 -3.2 15
2002-03-10 @ Hobscheid W 2-137.9 1151 916 64.84% 20.88% 14.29%+1.38 +3.2 42
2002-03-10 Jeunesse Esch W 2-040.1 982 1041 30.50% 25.00% 44.50%-0.31 +17.2 34
2002-03-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-240.1 1041 982 44.50% 25.00% 30.50%+0.31 -17.2 32
2002-03-10 Rumelange L 1-443.8 941 860 49.58% 24.50% 25.92%+0.55 -23.0 19
2002-03-10 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-143.8 860 941 25.92% 24.50% 49.58%-0.55 +23.0 20
2002-03-10 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.1 902 940 33.22% 25.16% 41.61%-0.18 +0.4 13
2002-03-10 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-152.1 940 902 41.61% 25.16% 33.22%+0.18 -0.4 24
2002-03-10 Swift Hesperange L 1-245.3 949 976 34.69% 25.21% 40.10%-0.12 -7.1 27
2002-03-10 @ Mondercange W 2-145.3 976 949 40.10% 25.21% 34.69%+0.12 +7.1 23
2002-03-17 Avenir Beggen D 3-361.4 918 921 38.05% 25.25% 36.70%+0.03 -0.0 20
2002-03-17 @ Progres Niedercorn D 3-361.4 921 918 36.70% 25.25% 38.05%-0.03 +0.0 22
2002-03-17 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-137.0 1154 903 67.87% 19.73% 12.40%+1.58 +2.7 45
2002-03-17 @ Grevenmacher L 1-237.0 903 1154 12.40% 19.73% 67.87%-1.58 -2.7 13
2002-03-17 Hobscheid W 3-246.2 1024 912 53.32% 23.92% 22.76%+0.73 +4.8 35
2002-03-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-346.2 912 1024 22.76% 23.92% 53.32%-0.73 -4.8 15
2002-03-17 Mondercange L 2-447.6 940 942 38.32% 25.25% 36.43%+0.04 -11.9 24
2002-03-17 @ Sporting Mertzig W 4-247.6 942 940 36.43% 25.25% 38.32%-0.04 +11.8 30
2002-03-17 Union Luxembourg W 3-028.9 1163 999 59.24% 22.61% 18.15%+1.05 +11.8 44
2002-03-17 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-328.9 999 1163 18.15% 22.61% 59.24%-1.05 -11.8 34
2002-03-17 Rumelange W 4-136.0 983 883 52.00% 24.14% 23.86%+0.66 +12.8 26
2002-03-17 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-436.0 883 983 23.86% 24.14% 52.00%-0.66 -12.8 20
2002-03-22 Rumelange W 3-031.7 954 870 49.90% 24.45% 25.65%+0.56 +16.2 33
2002-03-22 @ Mondercange L 0-331.7 870 954 25.65% 24.45% 49.90%-0.56 -16.2 20
2002-03-22 Swift Hesperange D 1-152.2 921 996 28.58% 24.83% 46.59%-0.40 +0.8 23
2002-03-22 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-152.2 996 921 46.59% 24.83% 28.58%+0.40 -0.8 27
2002-03-23 F91 Dudelange L 2-438.2 908 1175 12.45% 19.77% 67.78%-1.58 -4.3 15
2002-03-23 @ Hobscheid W 4-238.2 1175 908 67.78% 19.77% 12.45%+1.58 +4.3 47
2002-03-23 Grevenmacher L 0-526.8 928 1157 14.70% 21.10% 64.20%-1.34 -15.4 24
2002-03-23 @ Sporting Mertzig W 5-026.8 1157 928 64.20% 21.10% 14.70%+1.34 +15.4 48
2002-03-23 Jeunesse Esch L 1-534.0 900 1029 22.69% 23.90% 53.40%-0.73 -15.8 13
2002-03-23 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 5-134.0 1029 900 53.40% 23.90% 22.69%+0.73 +15.8 38
2002-03-23 Progres Niedercorn W 5-135.6 988 918 48.09% 24.68% 27.23%+0.48 +18.5 37
2002-03-23 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-535.6 918 988 27.23% 24.68% 48.09%-0.48 -18.5 20
2002-04-07 Avenir Beggen L 0-139.0 854 922 29.33% 24.90% 45.77%-0.37 -6.6 20
2002-04-07 @ Rumelange W 1-039.0 922 854 45.77% 24.90% 29.33%+0.37 +6.6 26
2002-04-07 Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-240.8 1179 884 71.60% 18.13% 10.27%+1.85 +2.1 50
2002-04-07 @ F91 Dudelange L 2-340.8 884 1179 10.27% 18.13% 71.60%-1.85 -2.1 13
2002-04-07 Hobscheid L 0-141.7 899 903 37.97% 25.25% 36.78%+0.03 -8.1 20
2002-04-07 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-041.7 903 899 36.78% 25.25% 37.97%-0.03 +8.1 18
2002-04-07 Mondercange W 2-030.2 1173 970 63.25% 21.42% 15.33%+1.29 +6.9 51
2002-04-07 @ Grevenmacher L 0-230.2 970 1173 15.33% 21.42% 63.25%-1.29 -6.9 33
2002-04-07 Union Luxembourg W 4-140.5 995 1006 37.03% 25.25% 37.72%-0.01 +18.5 30
2002-04-07 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-440.5 1006 995 37.72% 25.25% 37.03%+0.01 -18.5 37
2002-04-07 Sporting Mertzig W 3-029.9 1045 913 55.68% 23.46% 20.86%+0.85 +13.5 41
2002-04-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-329.9 913 1045 20.86% 23.46% 55.68%-0.85 -13.5 24

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-04-21 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.2 963 929 43.35% 25.08% 31.58%+0.26 -0.5 1
2002-04-21 @ Mondercange D 1-152.2 929 963 31.58% 25.08% 43.35%-0.26 +0.5 1
2002-04-21 F91 Dudelange L 0-231.0 988 1181 17.12% 22.21% 60.67%-1.13 -7.7 0
2002-04-21 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-031.0 1181 988 60.67% 22.21% 17.12%+1.13 +7.7 3
2002-04-21 Hobscheid W 4-249.5 847 912 29.84% 24.95% 45.21%-0.34 +13.5 3
2002-04-21 @ Rumelange L 2-449.5 912 847 45.21% 24.95% 29.84%+0.34 -13.5 0
2002-04-21 Jeunesse Esch W 2-032.9 1179 1058 54.47% 23.70% 21.82%+0.79 +9.7 3
2002-04-21 @ Grevenmacher L 0-232.9 1058 1179 21.82% 23.70% 54.47%-0.79 -9.7 0
2002-04-21 Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.2 899 891 39.72% 25.22% 35.06%+0.10 -0.1 1
2002-04-21 @ Sporting Mertzig D 2-257.2 891 899 35.06% 25.22% 39.72%-0.10 +0.1 1
2002-04-21 Swift Hesperange W 1-046.1 882 1014 22.40% 23.84% 53.76%-0.75 +10.7 3
2002-04-21 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-146.1 1014 882 53.76% 23.84% 22.40%+0.75 -10.7 0
2002-04-24 Avenir Beggen D 2-257.2 898 929 34.14% 25.20% 40.66%-0.14 +0.2 1
2002-04-24 @ Hobscheid D 2-257.2 929 898 40.66% 25.20% 34.14%+0.14 -0.2 2
2002-04-24 F91 Dudelange W 3-147.8 1048 1189 21.57% 23.64% 54.79%-0.81 +17.7 3
2002-04-24 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-347.8 1189 1048 54.79% 23.64% 21.57%+0.81 -17.7 3
2002-04-24 Grevenmacher W 2-044.4 980 1189 16.01% 21.74% 62.25%-1.22 +22.8 3
2002-04-24 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-244.4 1189 980 62.25% 21.74% 16.01%+1.22 -22.9 3
2002-04-24 Progres Niedercorn L 0-145.9 1003 891 53.34% 23.91% 22.74%+0.73 -10.6 0
2002-04-24 @ Swift Hesperange W 1-045.9 891 1003 22.74% 23.91% 53.34%-0.73 +10.6 4
2002-04-24 Rumelange W 4-242.8 962 861 52.14% 24.12% 23.74%+0.67 +8.1 4
2002-04-24 @ Mondercange L 2-442.8 861 962 23.74% 24.12% 52.14%-0.67 -8.1 3
2002-04-24 Sporting Mertzig W 3-035.4 893 899 37.62% 25.25% 37.13%+0.01 +21.7 6
2002-04-24 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-335.4 899 893 37.13% 25.25% 37.62%-0.01 -21.7 1
2002-04-28 Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-335.3 902 914 36.78% 25.25% 37.97%-0.03 -21.5 4
2002-04-28 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-035.3 914 902 37.97% 25.25% 36.78%+0.03 +21.6 9
2002-04-28 Grevenmacher W 1-041.1 1171 1166 39.28% 25.23% 35.49%+0.08 +7.7 6
2002-04-28 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-141.1 1166 1171 35.49% 25.23% 39.28%-0.08 -7.7 3
2002-04-28 Mondercange W 2-040.5 898 971 28.87% 24.86% 46.27%-0.39 +17.8 4
2002-04-28 @ Hobscheid L 0-240.5 971 898 46.27% 24.86% 28.87%+0.39 -17.8 4
2002-04-28 Union Luxembourg L 0-144.4 1066 1003 47.29% 24.76% 27.95%+0.44 -9.6 3
2002-04-28 @ Jeunesse Esch W 1-044.4 1003 1066 27.95% 24.76% 47.29%-0.44 +9.6 6
2002-04-28 Rumelange L 2-354.3 929 853 48.99% 24.57% 26.44%+0.52 -8.8 2
2002-04-28 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-254.3 853 929 26.44% 24.57% 48.99%-0.52 +8.8 6
2002-04-28 Sporting Mertzig W 2-141.2 993 878 53.73% 23.84% 22.42%+0.75 +5.0 3
2002-04-28 @ Swift Hesperange L 1-241.2 878 993 22.42% 23.84% 53.73%-0.75 -4.9 1
2002-05-05 Hobscheid L 1-246.6 920 916 39.18% 25.23% 35.59%+0.08 -7.8 2
2002-05-05 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-146.6 916 920 35.59% 25.23% 39.18%-0.08 +7.8 7
2002-05-05 Jeunesse Esch W 2-141.0 1179 1057 54.59% 23.68% 21.73%+0.80 +4.8 9
2002-05-05 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-241.0 1057 1179 21.73% 23.68% 54.59%-0.80 -4.8 3
2002-05-05 Mondercange W 5-142.0 861 953 26.64% 24.60% 48.76%-0.51 +29.3 9
2002-05-05 @ Rumelange L 1-542.0 953 861 48.76% 24.60% 26.64%+0.51 -29.3 4
2002-05-05 Union Luxembourg W 2-032.0 1159 1012 57.33% 23.09% 19.59%+0.94 +8.7 6
2002-05-05 @ Grevenmacher L 0-232.0 1012 1159 19.59% 23.09% 57.33%-0.94 -8.7 6
2002-05-05 Swift Hesperange W 2-150.1 880 998 23.87% 24.15% 51.98%-0.66 +9.8 7
2002-05-05 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-250.1 998 880 51.98% 24.15% 23.87%+0.66 -9.8 3
2002-05-08 Avenir Beggen L 1-245.5 891 913 35.46% 25.23% 39.31%-0.08 -7.2 9
2002-05-08 @ Rumelange W 2-145.5 913 891 39.31% 25.23% 35.46%+0.08 +7.2 5
2002-05-08 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-148.3 873 936 29.96% 24.96% 45.08%-0.34 +8.7 4
2002-05-08 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-248.3 936 873 45.08% 24.96% 29.96%+0.34 -8.7 9
2002-05-08 F91 Dudelange L 0-237.8 1167 1184 36.21% 25.24% 38.55%-0.05 -14.7 6
2002-05-08 @ Grevenmacher W 2-037.8 1184 1167 38.55% 25.24% 36.21%+0.05 +14.7 12
2002-05-08 Hobscheid W 3-035.1 923 924 38.52% 25.24% 36.24%+0.05 +21.3 7
2002-05-08 @ Mondercange L 0-335.1 924 923 36.24% 25.24% 38.52%-0.05 -21.3 7
2002-05-08 Jeunesse Esch D 0-048.5 1004 1052 31.89% 25.10% 43.02%-0.24 +0.5 7
2002-05-08 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-048.5 1052 1004 43.02% 25.10% 31.89%+0.24 -0.5 4
2002-05-12 Grevenmacher D 3-361.7 1051 1153 25.53% 24.43% 50.04%-0.57 +0.7 5
2002-05-12 @ Jeunesse Esch D 3-361.7 1153 1051 50.04% 24.43% 25.53%+0.57 -0.7 7
2002-05-12 Mondercange D 2-257.2 920 945 35.01% 25.22% 39.77%-0.10 +0.1 6
2002-05-12 @ Avenir Beggen D 2-257.2 945 920 39.77% 25.22% 35.01%+0.10 -0.1 8
2002-05-12 Progres Niedercorn D 3-361.5 927 890 43.75% 25.05% 31.20%+0.28 -0.3 10
2002-05-12 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 3-361.5 890 927 31.20% 25.05% 43.75%-0.28 +0.3 8
2002-05-12 Union Luxembourg L 0-148.0 1198 1004 62.42% 21.68% 15.89%+1.24 -12.2 12
2002-05-12 @ F91 Dudelange W 1-048.0 1004 1198 15.89% 21.68% 62.42%-1.24 +12.2 10
2002-05-12 Rumelange L 2-448.4 902 883 41.24% 25.18% 33.58%+0.17 -12.6 7
2002-05-12 @ Hobscheid W 4-248.4 883 902 33.58% 25.18% 41.24%-0.17 +12.5 12
2002-05-12 Swift Hesperange W 2-041.7 881 988 24.98% 24.35% 50.67%-0.60 +19.2 7
2002-05-12 @ Sporting Mertzig L 0-241.7 988 881 50.67% 24.35% 24.98%+0.60 -19.2 3
2002-05-15 Etzella Ettelbruck W 9-337.4 969 927 44.37% 25.01% 30.61%+0.30 +21.9 6
2002-05-15 @ Swift Hesperange L 3-937.4 927 969 30.61% 25.01% 44.37%-0.30 -21.9 10
2002-05-15 Sporting Mertzig L 1-246.0 891 900 37.15% 25.25% 37.60%-0.01 -7.5 8
2002-05-15 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-146.0 900 891 37.60% 25.25% 37.15%+0.01 +7.5 10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-05-12 15.89% Union Luxembourg 1004 1 @ F91 Dudelange 1198 0
2 2002-04-24 16.01% @ Union Luxembourg 980 2 Grevenmacher 1189 0
3 2001-12-09 18.53% Avenir Beggen 904 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1064 0
4 2002-04-24 21.57% @ Jeunesse Esch 1048 3 F91 Dudelange 1189 1
5 2002-04-21 22.40% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 882 1 Swift Hesperange 1014 0
6 2002-04-24 22.74% Progres Niedercorn 891 1 @ Swift Hesperange 1003 0
7 2001-11-18 23.24% @ Rumelange 846 3 Sporting Mertzig 969 0
8 2001-09-16 23.50% Swift Hesperange 981 2 @ F91 Dudelange 1085 1
9 2001-08-18 23.70% @ Rumelange 864 2 Etzella Ettelbruck 982 0
10 2002-05-05 23.87% @ Progres Niedercorn 880 2 Swift Hesperange 998 1
11 2001-08-01 24.32% Rumelange 855 3 @ Avenir Beggen 951 1
12 2002-05-12 24.98% @ Sporting Mertzig 881 2 Swift Hesperange 988 0
13 2002-03-10 25.92% Rumelange 860 4 @ Progres Niedercorn 941 1
14 2001-10-21 26.30% Avenir Beggen 928 2 @ Swift Hesperange 1006 1
15 2002-04-28 26.44% Rumelange 853 3 @ Avenir Beggen 929 2
16 2002-05-05 26.64% @ Rumelange 861 5 Mondercange 953 1
17 2001-09-09 26.94% Union Luxembourg 916 1 @ Hobscheid 988 0
18 2001-09-26 27.10% Union Luxembourg 959 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1030 1
19 2001-11-25 27.61% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 907 3 Union Luxembourg 990 1
20 2001-09-26 27.86% Mondercange 940 2 @ Swift Hesperange 1004 1
21 2002-04-28 27.95% Union Luxembourg 1003 1 @ Jeunesse Esch 1066 0
22 2001-08-05 28.14% Etzella Ettelbruck 960 4 @ Progres Niedercorn 1022 1
23 2001-10-24 28.53% Progres Niedercorn 974 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1032 1
24 2001-08-18 28.78% Jeunesse Esch 1023 1 @ F91 Dudelange 1080 0
25 2001-08-05 28.87% @ Jeunesse Esch 1015 1 Grevenmacher 1087 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-09-16 32.09 Union Luxembourg 4 926 31.38% @ Sporting Mertzig 0 961 43.55% 25.07%
2 2002-05-05 29.33 @ Rumelange 5 861 26.64% Mondercange 1 953 48.76% 24.60%
3 2001-11-18 28.80 @ Rumelange 3 846 23.24% Sporting Mertzig 0 969 52.74% 24.02%
4 2001-11-11 23.49 @ Hobscheid 3 910 33.67% Avenir Beggen 0 945 41.15% 25.18%
5 2001-10-21 23.37 Mondercange 4 937 46.17% @ Rumelange 0 866 28.96% 24.87%
6 2002-03-10 23.04 Rumelange 4 860 25.92% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 941 49.58% 24.50%
7 2001-08-18 22.98 @ Mondercange 3 912 34.77% Union Luxembourg 0 939 40.01% 25.22%
8 2002-04-24 22.86 @ Union Luxembourg 2 980 16.01% Grevenmacher 0 1189 62.25% 21.74%
9 2001-09-16 22.27 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 963 36.36% Hobscheid 0 978 38.40% 25.24%
10 2001-08-05 22.07 Etzella Ettelbruck 4 960 28.14% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1022 47.08% 24.78%
11 2002-05-15 21.91 @ Swift Hesperange 9 969 44.37% Etzella Ettelbruck 3 927 30.61% 25.01%
12 2001-12-09 21.75 Avenir Beggen 2 904 18.53% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1064 58.73% 22.74%
13 2002-04-24 21.71 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 893 37.62% Sporting Mertzig 0 899 37.13% 25.25%
14 2002-04-28 21.56 Etzella Ettelbruck 3 914 37.97% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 902 36.78% 25.25%
15 2002-05-08 21.32 @ Mondercange 3 923 38.52% Hobscheid 0 924 36.24% 25.24%
16 2001-11-18 20.51 Jeunesse Esch 3 1013 40.35% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 983 34.44% 25.21%
17 2001-08-18 19.65 @ Rumelange 2 864 23.70% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 982 52.19% 24.11%
18 2002-05-12 19.16 @ Sporting Mertzig 2 881 24.98% Swift Hesperange 0 988 50.67% 24.35%
19 2001-11-18 18.95 @ Union Luxembourg 3 971 43.84% Hobscheid 0 933 31.11% 25.05%
20 2002-04-07 18.53 @ Swift Hesperange 4 995 37.03% Union Luxembourg 1 1006 37.72% 25.25%
21 2002-03-23 18.51 @ Union Luxembourg 5 988 48.09% Progres Niedercorn 1 918 27.23% 24.68%
22 2001-09-23 18.45 @ Mondercange 5 922 29.95% Etzella Ettelbruck 2 985 45.09% 24.96%
23 2002-04-28 17.76 @ Hobscheid 2 898 28.87% Mondercange 0 971 46.27% 24.86%
24 2002-04-24 17.74 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1048 21.57% F91 Dudelange 1 1189 54.79% 23.64%
25 2001-11-04 17.44 Sporting Mertzig 2 951 29.79% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 999 45.26% 24.95%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-05-12 61.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1051 25.53% Grevenmacher 3 1153 50.04% 24.43%
2 2001-08-05 61.6 @ Rumelange 3 872 27.45% Union Luxembourg 3 956 47.85% 24.70%
3 2001-10-28 61.6 @ Hobscheid 3 910 27.26% Swift Hesperange 3 996 48.06% 24.68%
4 2001-08-18 61.5 @ Avenir Beggen 3 935 31.25% Hobscheid 3 988 43.69% 25.06%
5 2002-05-12 61.5 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 927 43.75% Progres Niedercorn 3 890 31.20% 25.05%
6 2002-03-17 61.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 918 38.05% Avenir Beggen 3 921 36.70% 25.25%
7 2001-09-16 57.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1033 58.95% Rumelange 2 871 18.36% 22.68%
8 2001-10-24 57.2 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 2 931 29.75% Swift Hesperange 2 996 45.31% 24.94%
9 2001-11-28 57.2 @ Avenir Beggen 2 921 31.28% Union Luxembourg 2 974 43.66% 25.06%
10 2002-04-21 57.2 @ Sporting Mertzig 2 899 39.72% Progres Niedercorn 2 891 35.06% 25.22%
11 2002-04-24 57.2 @ Hobscheid 2 898 34.14% Avenir Beggen 2 929 40.66% 25.20%
12 2002-05-12 57.2 @ Avenir Beggen 2 920 35.01% Mondercange 2 945 39.77% 25.22%
13 2001-11-25 57.1 @ Hobscheid 2 914 36.28% Mondercange 2 930 38.48% 25.24%
14 2001-12-09 54.4 @ F91 Dudelange 1 1165 72.51% Rumelange 1 859 9.78% 17.71%
15 2002-04-28 54.3 Rumelange 3 853 26.44% @ Avenir Beggen 2 929 48.99% 24.57%
16 2001-09-23 53.1 @ Rumelange 1 873 16.52% F91 Dudelange 1 1075 61.51% 21.96%
17 2001-12-15 53.1 @ Mondercange 4 943 41.46% Hobscheid 3 922 33.37% 25.17%
18 2001-10-21 52.9 @ Grevenmacher 1 1120 58.52% Sporting Mertzig 1 963 18.68% 22.80%
19 2001-11-11 52.7 @ Grevenmacher 1 1117 56.03% Progres Niedercorn 1 982 20.58% 23.38%
20 2001-08-11 52.5 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1025 53.60% Mondercange 1 911 22.53% 23.87%
21 2001-09-23 52.4 @ Avenir Beggen 1 931 25.69% Jeunesse Esch 1 1031 49.85% 24.46%
22 2001-09-26 52.4 @ Rumelange 1 875 24.95% Progres Niedercorn 1 982 50.70% 24.34%
23 2001-08-01 52.3 @ Union Luxembourg 3 949 33.19% Swift Hesperange 2 987 41.64% 25.16%
24 2001-08-01 52.2 @ Hobscheid 1 986 33.46% Progres Niedercorn 1 1023 41.37% 25.17%
25 2001-08-18 52.2 @ Swift Hesperange 1 986 43.81% Sporting Mertzig 1 949 31.14% 25.05%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-03-23 26.8 Grevenmacher 5 1157 64.20% @ Sporting Mertzig 0 928 14.70% 21.10%
2 2001-12-02 27.5 Grevenmacher 5 1128 61.94% @ Avenir Beggen 0 922 16.22% 21.83%
3 2001-09-26 28.3 @ Grevenmacher 4 1096 58.26% Hobscheid 0 942 18.88% 22.86%
4 2001-11-25 28.3 @ F91 Dudelange 3 1147 61.37% Progres Niedercorn 0 963 16.62% 22.01%
5 2002-03-17 28.9 @ F91 Dudelange 3 1163 59.24% Union Luxembourg 0 999 18.15% 22.61%
6 2001-09-26 29.6 @ F91 Dudelange 3 1073 56.67% Avenir Beggen 0 932 20.09% 23.24%
7 2002-04-07 29.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1045 55.68% Sporting Mertzig 0 913 20.86% 23.46%
8 2001-10-28 30.0 F91 Dudelange 3 1113 55.65% @ Sporting Mertzig 0 965 20.88% 23.46%
9 2002-04-07 30.2 @ Grevenmacher 2 1173 63.25% Mondercange 0 970 15.33% 21.42%
10 2002-04-21 31.0 F91 Dudelange 2 1181 60.67% @ Union Luxembourg 0 988 17.12% 22.21%
11 2001-08-05 31.4 @ F91 Dudelange 3 1064 50.98% Sporting Mertzig 0 972 24.72% 24.30%
12 2001-11-25 31.4 @ Grevenmacher 4 1121 67.40% Rumelange 1 874 12.68% 19.92%
13 2001-11-18 31.5 F91 Dudelange 6 1132 59.84% @ Mondercange 1 946 17.71% 22.45%
14 2002-03-22 31.7 @ Mondercange 3 954 49.90% Rumelange 0 870 25.65% 24.45%
15 2001-10-21 31.9 Mondercange 4 937 46.17% @ Rumelange 0 866 28.96% 24.87%
16 2002-05-05 32.0 @ Grevenmacher 2 1159 57.33% Union Luxembourg 0 1012 19.59% 23.09%
17 2002-04-21 32.9 @ Grevenmacher 2 1179 54.47% Jeunesse Esch 0 1058 21.82% 23.70%
18 2001-09-09 33.2 @ F91 Dudelange 5 1070 56.09% Mondercange 1 935 20.54% 23.37%
19 2001-10-14 33.5 Swift Hesperange 2 995 52.24% @ Rumelange 0 876 23.65% 24.10%
20 2001-11-18 33.5 @ Union Luxembourg 3 971 43.84% Hobscheid 0 933 31.11% 25.05%
21 2001-12-16 33.6 F91 Dudelange 1 1162 63.95% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 936 14.87% 21.18%
22 2001-11-28 33.7 Jeunesse Esch 2 1045 51.66% @ Mondercange 0 930 24.14% 24.20%
23 2001-10-21 34.0 @ F91 Dudelange 6 1102 61.20% Hobscheid 2 920 16.74% 22.06%
24 2002-03-23 34.0 Jeunesse Esch 5 1029 53.40% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 900 22.69% 23.90%
25 2001-10-14 34.4 F91 Dudelange 5 1086 52.01% @ Union Luxembourg 1 968 23.85% 24.14%